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1995-96 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

198 games

Final

Champion

St Patrick's Athletic

67 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

UC Dublin

15.74 points above expected

42 points · 26.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Galway United (old)

12.04 points below expected

21 points · 33.04 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 St Patrick's Athletic 33 19 10 4 67 53 34 +19 55.79 +11.21
2 Bohemian 33 18 8 7 62 60 29 +31 59.64 +2.36
3 Sligo Rovers 33 16 7 10 55 45 38 +7 49.32 +5.68
4 Shelbourne 33 15 9 9 54 45 33 +12 57.15 -3.15
5 Shamrock Rovers 33 14 8 11 50 32 32 0 43.72 +6.28
6 Derry City 33 11 13 9 46 50 38 +12 53.45 -7.45
7 Dundalk 33 11 9 13 42 38 39 -1 52.85 -10.85
8 UC Dublin 33 12 6 15 42 38 40 -2 26.26 +15.74
9 Cork City* 33 12 8 13 41 37 41 -4 43.66 -2.66
10 Athlone Town 33 8 7 18 31 38 59 -21 30.05 +0.95
11 Drogheda United 33 7 9 17 30 39 51 -12 36.67 -6.67
12 Galway United (old) 33 5 6 22 21 26 67 -41 33.04 -12.04

* Point deductions: Cork City (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 UC Dublin 42 26.26 +15.74
2 St Patrick's Athletic 67 55.79 +11.21
3 Shamrock Rovers 50 43.72 +6.28
4 Sligo Rovers 55 49.32 +5.68
5 Bohemian 62 59.64 +2.36

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Galway United (old) 21 33.04 -12.04
2 Dundalk 42 52.85 -10.85
3 Derry City 46 53.45 -7.45
4 Drogheda United 30 36.67 -6.67
5 Shelbourne 54 57.15 -3.15

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Galway United (old) 2 Mar 9 – Mar 16 1 in 64
2 UC Dublin 2 Jan 5 – Jan 21 1 in 44
3 Shelbourne 5 Jan 19 – Feb 23 1 in 33
4 Shamrock Rovers 4 Nov 12 – Dec 10 1 in 31
5 Sligo Rovers 3 Mar 30 – Apr 13 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Galway United (old) 11 Dec 10 – Mar 2 1 in 991
2 Shamrock Rovers 5 Dec 15 – Jan 21 1 in 234
3 Cork City 4 Mar 18 – Apr 14 1 in 66
4 Shelbourne 2 Mar 3 – Mar 15 1 in 39
5 Sligo Rovers 2 Mar 16 – Mar 24 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 10 Jan 24 – Apr 7 1 in 189
2 St Patrick's Athletic 18 Dec 15 – Apr 28 1 in 155
3 Athlone Town 5 Feb 16 – Mar 24 1 in 40
4 Shelbourne 10 Dec 8 – Feb 23 1 in 17
5 UC Dublin 3 Oct 15 – Oct 29 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundalk 9 Jan 6 – Mar 9 1 in 341
2 Derry City 7 Feb 21 – Mar 31 1 in 102
3 Shamrock Rovers 8 Aug 27 – Oct 15 1 in 78
4 St Patrick's Athletic 5 Feb 4 – Mar 16 1 in 35
5 Athlone Town 15 Sep 22 – Dec 31 1 in 32

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
St Patrick's Athletic 1357 67 +49 13 9.0 +4.0
Bohemian 1365 62 +35 13 10.2 +2.8
Sligo Rovers 1234 55 +58 12 6.6 +5.4
Shelbourne 1266 54 -59 3 8.4 -5.4
Shamrock Rovers 1232 50 +8 9 6.3 +2.7
Derry City 1273 46 -10 7 9.4 -2.4
Cork City 1165 44 -18 6 6.1 -0.1
UC Dublin 1133 42 +4 6 5.8 +0.2
Dundalk 1208 42 -23 4 7.1 -3.1
Athlone Town 1114 31 +10 7 3.9 +3.1
Drogheda United 1100 30 -1 6 6.3 -0.3
Galway United (old) 971 21 -61 0 3.0 -3.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT BOH CC DC DU DUN GU( SR SHE SR SPA UD
Athlone Town —
0-0-3
1.96
1-0-2
2.32
0-2-1
2.04
2-0-1
3.11
0-2-1
2.42
1-1-1
4.17
1-1-1
2.48
1-0-2
2.06
0-0-3
2.43
0-1-2
2.35
2-0-1
3.93
Bohemian
3-0-0
6.37
—
1-1-1
5.31
1-2-0
4.79
3-0-0
5.82
3-0-0
4.38
3-0-0
6.41
1-1-1
5.69
1-0-2
4.13
1-1-1
5.26
0-2-1
4.87
1-1-1
6.80
Cork City
2-0-1
5.95
1-1-1
2.92
—
0-0-3
3.35
1-1-1
5.26
1-1-1
3.55
1-1-1
5.76
1-1-1
4.07
1-2-0
3.22
1-0-2
4.03
1-1-1
3.72
2-0-1
5.44
Derry City
1-2-0
6.25
0-2-1
3.42
3-0-0
4.88
—
1-2-0
5.65
0-1-2
4.45
2-1-0
5.90
0-1-2
4.97
1-0-2
3.58
1-1-1
4.58
1-2-0
3.70
1-1-1
6.59
Drogheda United
1-0-2
5.10
0-0-3
2.43
1-1-1
2.96
0-2-1
2.60
—
2-1-0
2.94
3-0-0
4.41
0-1-2
3.26
0-2-1
2.70
0-1-2
3.37
0-0-3
2.33
0-1-2
4.93
Dundalk
1-2-0
5.85
0-0-3
3.83
1-1-1
4.65
2-1-0
3.76
0-1-2
5.30
—
2-0-1
5.59
1-1-1
5.13
1-1-1
3.44
0-1-2
4.76
1-0-2
3.59
2-1-0
6.14
Galway United (old)
1-1-1
4.04
0-0-3
1.93
1-1-1
2.50
0-1-2
2.38
0-0-3
3.80
1-0-2
2.65
—
0-1-2
3.20
0-1-2
2.39
1-0-2
2.64
1-0-2
1.80
0-1-2
5.20
Shamrock Rovers
1-1-1
5.77
1-1-1
2.56
1-1-1
4.13
2-1-0
3.25
2-1-0
4.96
1-1-1
3.08
2-1-0
5.03
—
1-0-2
2.83
1-0-2
3.42
0-1-2
3.24
2-0-1
6.08
Shelbourne
2-0-1
6.25
2-0-1
4.07
0-2-1
4.99
2-0-1
4.62
1-2-0
5.54
1-1-1
4.78
2-1-0
5.89
2-0-1
5.40
—
2-1-0
5.04
0-1-2
4.00
1-1-1
6.51
Sligo Rovers
3-0-0
5.83
1-1-1
2.97
2-0-1
4.17
1-1-1
3.63
2-1-0
4.84
2-1-0
3.45
2-0-1
5.62
2-0-1
4.79
0-1-2
3.18
—
0-2-1
3.71
1-0-2
5.72
St Patrick's Athletic
2-1-0
5.93
1-2-0
3.34
1-1-1
4.49
0-2-1
4.51
3-0-0
5.95
2-0-1
4.61
2-0-1
6.54
2-1-0
4.99
2-1-0
4.21
1-2-0
4.50
—
3-0-0
6.51
UC Dublin
1-0-2
4.27
1-1-1
1.57
1-0-2
2.82
1-1-1
1.75
2-1-0
3.30
0-1-2
2.15
2-1-0
3.05
1-0-2
2.21
1-1-1
1.81
2-0-1
2.54
0-0-3
1.82
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.62 +11.3
Allowed 0.80 -10.5
Differential 0.86 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.07%10.61%6.82%2.78%0.25%0.25%27.78%
110.61%13.64%8.59%3.03%0.51%0.76%37.12%
26.82%8.59%3.03%2.02%0.76%0.51%21.72%
32.78%3.03%2.02%1.52%0.25%0.25%9.85%
40.25%0.51%0.76%0.25%——1.77%
5+0.25%0.76%0.51%0.25%——1.77%
Total27.78%37.12%21.72%9.85%1.77%1.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.27 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.59
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%9.09%6.06%——27.27%
112.12%9.09%15.15%3.03%——39.39%
26.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%27.27%
3—————3.03%3.03%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total24.24%18.18%30.30%15.15%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.79 -0.64
SD 0.97 1.45 1.41
CV 0.84 0.81 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%————24.24%
115.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%——33.33%
26.06%3.03%————9.09%
36.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%——18.18%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%6.06%———12.12%
Total39.39%39.39%15.15%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 0.88 +0.94
SD 1.72 0.89 1.73
CV 0.95 1.02 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%12.12%———24.24%
112.12%15.15%12.12%6.06%3.03%—48.48%
26.06%12.12%3.03%———21.21%
33.03%—————3.03%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%33.33%30.30%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.24 -0.12
SD 0.93 1.03 1.45
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%6.06%———15.15%
16.06%33.33%12.12%———51.52%
26.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
33.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
Total18.18%54.55%21.21%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.15 +0.36
SD 1.30 0.80 1.50
CV 0.86 0.69 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%27.27%———3.03%39.39%
1—9.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%—24.24%
23.03%6.06%9.09%3.03%—3.03%24.24%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total18.18%45.45%18.18%9.09%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.55 -0.36
SD 1.33 1.42 1.93
CV 1.13 0.92 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%————27.27%
112.12%6.06%15.15%3.03%——36.36%
29.09%9.09%3.03%6.06%3.03%—30.30%
3——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%21.21%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.18 -0.03
SD 0.91 1.16 1.10
CV 0.79 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%21.21%18.18%——48.48%
1—15.15%3.03%3.03%—6.06%27.27%
26.06%6.06%3.03%6.06%——21.21%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total6.06%33.33%27.27%27.27%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 2.03 -1.24
SD 0.89 1.29 1.73
CV 1.13 0.63 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%15.15%12.12%3.03%——33.33%
115.15%18.18%—3.03%——36.36%
212.12%15.15%3.03%———30.30%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%48.48%15.15%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 0.97 +0.00
SD 0.81 0.85 1.37
CV 0.83 0.87 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
118.18%21.21%12.12%———51.52%
23.03%9.09%—3.03%——15.15%
36.06%9.09%——3.03%—18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%45.45%12.12%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.00 +0.36
SD 0.96 1.00 1.32
CV 0.71 1.00 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%6.06%—3.03%—30.30%
112.12%6.06%9.09%3.03%——30.30%
26.06%12.12%————18.18%
3—6.06%6.06%3.03%——15.15%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+———————
Total30.30%36.36%24.24%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.15 +0.21
SD 1.25 1.03 1.49
CV 0.91 0.90 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%————12.12%
121.21%9.09%3.03%——3.03%36.36%
26.06%15.15%6.06%3.03%——30.30%
36.06%3.03%6.06%6.06%——21.21%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.42%30.30%15.15%9.09%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 1.03 +0.58
SD 0.97 1.21 1.28
CV 0.60 1.18 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%15.15%3.03%——36.36%
13.03%9.09%12.12%6.06%——30.30%
212.12%6.06%————18.18%
33.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%33.33%30.30%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.21 -0.06
SD 1.15 0.96 1.68
CV 1.00 0.79 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Bohemian 1365 62 59.64 +2.36 63.0% 42 47 54 60 64 70 73
St Patrick's Athletic 1357 67 55.79 +11.21 98.0% 32 44 51 56 61 65 74
Derry City 1273 46 53.45 -7.45 20.0% 39 42 48 53 59 64 69
Shelbourne 1266 54 57.15 -3.15 37.0% 36 45 51 57 63 69 73
Sligo Rovers 1234 55 49.32 +5.68 82.0% 35 39 44 49 54 61 66
Shamrock Rovers 1232 50 43.72 +6.28 82.0% 29 32 39 43 49 55 60
Dundalk 1208 42 52.85 -10.85 14.0% 37 41 48 53 58 63 70
Cork City 1165 41 43.66 -2.66 34.0% 27 31 39 44 49 53 59
UC Dublin 1133 42 26.26 +15.74 100.0% 12 16 22 26 31 35 39
Athlone Town 1114 31 30.05 +0.95 56.0% 15 20 26 30 35 40 43
Drogheda United 1100 30 36.67 -6.67 22.0% 17 25 31 37 42 48 57
Galway United (old) 971 21 33.04 -12.04 3.0% 20 24 29 33 37 43 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.15%
Clear Edge
44.95%25.25%29.80%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 53.05 Elo pts.
260 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.20+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
15%
St Patrick's Athletic, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.47 * Some Luck: 5.47 to 8.2 * Lucky: 8.2 to 10.94 * Wild Swing: 10.94 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.15 * Close: 1.15 to 1.72 * Off: 1.72 to 2.3 * Way Off: 2.3 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.32 points
Lucky
06.8317
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Off
01.433
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
UC Dublin
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
3.00%
Galway United (old)
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 112.61
1.79
Moderate Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Clear Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.67
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.57
Strong Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.86
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.71
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.094
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
St Patrick's Athletic15.00%22.00%19.00%17.00%13.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%———
Bohemian45.00%17.00%11.00%16.00%5.00%5.00%—1.00%————
Sligo Rovers2.00%5.00%12.00%15.00%14.00%17.00%15.00%15.00%4.00%1.00%——
Shelbourne20.00%26.00%12.00%16.00%16.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%1.00%———
Shamrock Rovers—1.00%5.00%4.00%11.00%18.00%20.00%16.00%17.00%4.00%4.00%—
Derry City9.00%14.00%19.00%13.00%15.00%13.00%8.00%8.00%1.00%———
Dundalk9.00%14.00%18.00%10.00%17.00%12.00%8.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%——
UC Dublin———————1.00%8.00%17.00%22.00%52.00%
Cork City—1.00%4.00%8.00%8.00%14.00%24.00%22.00%10.00%4.00%5.00%—
Athlone Town—————1.00%1.00%4.00%12.00%28.00%26.00%28.00%
Drogheda United———1.00%1.00%7.00%11.00%18.00%25.00%12.00%16.00%9.00%
Galway United (old)——————7.00%4.00%18.00%33.00%27.00%11.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bohemian 100% — —
Derry City 100% — —
Dundalk 99.00% 1.00% —
Shelbourne 100% — —
Sligo Rovers 99.00% 1.00% —
St Patrick's Athletic 100% — —
Shamrock Rovers 92.00% 4.00% 4.00%
Cork City 91.00% 4.00% 5.00%
Drogheda United 63.00% 12.00% 25.00%
Galway United (old) 29.00% 33.00% 38.00%
Athlone Town 18.00% 28.00% 54.00%
UC Dublin 9.00% 17.00% 74.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1995-08-25 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-039.9 1243 1255 42.43% 26.66% 30.92%+0.16 +10.2 3
1995-08-25 @ Cork City L 0-139.9 1255 1243 30.92% 26.66% 42.43%-0.16 -10.2 0
1995-08-26 UC Dublin D 1-154.7 1167 951 66.94% 21.82% 11.24%+1.04 -3.9 1
1995-08-26 @ Galway United (old) D 1-154.7 951 1167 11.24% 21.82% 66.94%-1.04 +3.9 1
1995-08-26 Athlone Town W 4-242.3 1205 1152 50.76% 25.92% 23.32%+0.41 +11.9 3
1995-08-26 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-442.3 1152 1205 23.32% 25.92% 50.76%-0.41 -11.9 0
1995-08-27 Bohemian L 1-249.5 1269 1274 43.30% 26.61% 30.09%+0.18 -12.4 0
1995-08-27 @ Dundalk W 2-149.5 1274 1269 30.09% 26.61% 43.30%-0.18 +12.4 3
1995-08-27 Drogheda United D 1-153.9 1236 1144 55.15% 25.21% 19.64%+0.56 -2.4 1
1995-08-27 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.9 1144 1236 19.64% 25.21% 55.15%-0.56 +2.4 1
1995-08-27 Derry City L 1-249.2 1256 1267 42.57% 26.65% 30.78%+0.16 -12.3 0
1995-08-27 @ Shelbourne W 2-149.2 1267 1256 30.78% 26.65% 42.57%-0.16 +12.3 3
1995-09-01 Cork City D 1-154.0 1286 1253 48.24% 26.22% 25.54%+0.33 -1.4 4
1995-09-01 @ Bohemian D 1-154.0 1253 1286 25.54% 26.22% 48.24%-0.33 +1.5 4
1995-09-01 Shelbourne D 1-153.5 1146 1244 30.48% 26.63% 42.88%-0.17 +0.8 2
1995-09-01 @ Drogheda United D 1-153.5 1244 1146 42.88% 26.63% 30.48%+0.17 -0.8 1
1995-09-01 Shamrock Rovers W 1-038.9 1244 1233 45.46% 26.47% 28.07%+0.25 +9.5 3
1995-09-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-138.9 1233 1244 28.07% 26.47% 45.46%-0.25 -9.5 1
1995-09-02 Galway United (old) L 0-238.3 1140 1163 40.83% 26.72% 32.44%+0.12 -23.7 0
1995-09-02 @ Athlone Town W 2-038.3 1163 1140 32.44% 26.72% 40.83%-0.12 +23.7 4
1995-09-03 Sligo Rovers L 1-251.6 1279 1217 51.78% 25.77% 22.44%+0.44 -14.4 3
1995-09-03 @ Derry City W 2-151.6 1217 1279 22.44% 25.77% 51.78%-0.44 +14.4 6
1995-09-03 Dundalk L 1-238.4 955 1256 12.32% 22.47% 65.21%-0.96 -4.2 1
1995-09-03 @ UC Dublin W 2-138.4 1256 955 65.21% 22.47% 12.32%+0.96 +4.2 3
1995-09-08 Dundalk D 0-048.7 1116 1260 24.94% 26.15% 48.92%-0.35 +1.7 1
1995-09-08 @ Athlone Town D 0-048.7 1260 1116 48.92% 26.15% 24.94%+0.35 -1.7 4
1995-09-08 Galway United (old) D 1-153.9 1255 1187 52.48% 25.67% 21.85%+0.47 -2.0 5
1995-09-08 @ Cork City D 1-153.9 1187 1255 21.85% 25.67% 52.48%-0.47 +2.0 5
1995-09-08 Bohemian W 1-041.2 1243 1285 38.27% 26.78% 34.95%+0.04 +11.2 4
1995-09-08 @ Shelbourne L 0-141.2 1285 1243 34.95% 26.78% 38.27%-0.04 -11.2 4
1995-09-09 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.8 1231 1254 40.93% 26.72% 32.35%+0.12 -0.6 7
1995-09-09 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-048.8 1254 1231 32.35% 26.72% 40.93%-0.12 +0.6 4
1995-09-10 Drogheda United W 1-035.0 1265 1147 57.91% 24.62% 17.47%+0.66 +6.3 6
1995-09-10 @ Derry City L 0-135.0 1147 1265 17.47% 24.62% 57.91%-0.66 -6.3 2
1995-09-10 UC Dublin L 0-245.4 1224 951 71.41% 19.89% 8.69%+1.26 -37.9 1
1995-09-10 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-045.4 951 1224 8.69% 19.89% 71.41%-1.26 +37.9 4
1995-09-15 Sligo Rovers W 2-033.6 1273 1231 49.45% 26.08% 24.46%+0.37 +16.0 7
1995-09-15 @ Bohemian L 0-233.6 1231 1273 24.46% 26.08% 49.45%-0.37 -16.0 7
1995-09-15 Athlone Town L 0-144.2 1141 1118 46.98% 26.34% 26.68%+0.29 -14.1 2
1995-09-15 @ Drogheda United W 1-044.2 1118 1141 26.68% 26.34% 46.98%-0.29 +14.1 4
1995-09-15 Derry City D 3-363.3 1254 1271 41.75% 26.69% 31.56%+0.14 -0.4 5
1995-09-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 3-363.3 1271 1254 31.56% 26.69% 41.75%-0.14 +0.4 7
1995-09-16 Cork City D 0-048.9 1259 1253 44.78% 26.52% 28.70%+0.23 -1.1 5
1995-09-16 @ Dundalk D 0-048.9 1253 1259 28.70% 26.52% 44.78%-0.23 +1.1 6
1995-09-16 Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.5 1189 1186 44.35% 26.55% 29.10%+0.22 -0.9 6
1995-09-16 @ Galway United (old) D 1-153.5 1186 1189 29.10% 26.55% 44.35%-0.22 +1.0 2
1995-09-16 Shelbourne L 0-327.4 989 1254 14.45% 23.52% 62.03%-0.82 -14.4 4
1995-09-16 @ UC Dublin W 3-027.4 1254 989 62.03% 23.52% 14.45%+0.82 +14.4 7
1995-09-22 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-138.5 1132 1254 27.47% 26.42% 46.11%-0.27 -9.3 4
1995-09-22 @ Athlone Town W 1-038.5 1254 1132 46.11% 26.42% 27.47%+0.27 +9.3 8
1995-09-22 Bohemian L 2-538.2 1126 1289 22.97% 25.86% 51.16%-0.42 -16.1 2
1995-09-22 @ Drogheda United W 5-238.2 1289 1126 51.16% 25.86% 22.97%+0.42 +16.1 10
1995-09-22 Dundalk W 3-140.6 1269 1258 45.48% 26.47% 28.05%+0.25 +15.5 10
1995-09-22 @ Shelbourne L 1-340.6 1258 1269 28.05% 26.47% 45.48%-0.25 -15.5 5
1995-09-23 Galway United (old) W 3-248.8 1215 1188 47.52% 26.29% 26.19%+0.31 +8.0 10
1995-09-23 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-348.8 1188 1215 26.19% 26.29% 47.52%-0.31 -8.0 6
1995-09-24 UC Dublin W 3-131.9 1271 974 73.14% 19.05% 7.80%+1.35 +4.5 10
1995-09-24 @ Derry City L 1-331.9 974 1271 7.80% 19.05% 73.14%-1.35 -4.5 4
1995-09-24 Cork City D 1-153.5 1187 1254 34.62% 26.78% 38.60%-0.05 +0.2 3
1995-09-24 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.5 1254 1187 38.60% 26.78% 34.62%+0.05 -0.2 7
1995-09-28 Shamrock Rovers W 1-037.1 1242 1187 50.95% 25.89% 23.15%+0.42 +8.1 8
1995-09-28 @ Dundalk L 0-137.1 1187 1242 23.15% 25.89% 50.95%-0.42 -8.1 3
1995-09-29 Derry City W 1-038.6 1306 1276 47.85% 26.26% 25.89%+0.32 +8.9 13
1995-09-29 @ Bohemian L 0-138.6 1276 1306 25.89% 26.26% 47.85%-0.32 -8.9 10
1995-09-29 Athlone Town W 2-030.3 1254 1122 59.26% 24.29% 16.45%+0.71 +11.2 10
1995-09-29 @ Cork City L 0-230.3 1122 1254 16.45% 24.29% 59.26%-0.71 -11.2 4
1995-09-29 Drogheda United W 1-033.9 1263 1110 61.39% 23.71% 14.90%+0.79 +5.4 11
1995-09-29 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-133.9 1110 1263 14.90% 23.71% 61.39%-0.79 -5.4 2
1995-09-30 Shelbourne D 1-153.6 1180 1284 29.62% 26.58% 43.80%-0.20 +0.9 7
1995-09-30 @ Galway United (old) D 1-153.6 1284 1180 43.80% 26.58% 29.62%+0.20 -0.9 11
1995-10-01 Sligo Rovers W 2-153.4 970 1223 15.31% 23.87% 60.82%-0.77 +16.6 7
1995-10-01 @ UC Dublin L 1-253.4 1223 970 60.82% 23.87% 15.31%+0.77 -16.6 10
1995-10-06 Bohemian L 2-536.8 1111 1314 19.18% 25.09% 55.73%-0.58 -13.7 4
1995-10-06 @ Athlone Town W 5-236.8 1314 1111 55.73% 25.09% 19.18%+0.58 +13.8 16
1995-10-06 Galway United (old) W 3-036.0 1105 1180 33.45% 26.75% 39.80%-0.09 +33.8 5
1995-10-06 @ Drogheda United L 0-336.0 1180 1105 39.80% 26.75% 33.45%+0.09 -33.8 7
1995-10-06 Shamrock Rovers W 3-029.3 1283 1179 56.53% 24.93% 18.54%+0.61 +18.3 14
1995-10-06 @ Shelbourne L 0-329.3 1179 1283 18.54% 24.93% 56.53%-0.61 -18.3 3
1995-10-06 UC Dublin W 2-136.4 1269 986 72.10% 19.57% 8.34%+1.29 +2.8 14
1995-10-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-236.4 986 1269 8.34% 19.57% 72.10%-1.29 -2.8 7
1995-10-07 Cork City W 3-143.4 1206 1265 35.81% 26.79% 37.40%-0.02 +19.2 13
1995-10-07 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-343.4 1265 1206 37.40% 26.79% 35.81%+0.02 -19.2 10
1995-10-08 Dundalk D 1-153.9 1267 1250 46.18% 26.41% 27.41%+0.27 -1.2 11
1995-10-08 @ Derry City D 1-153.9 1250 1267 27.41% 26.41% 46.18%-0.27 +1.2 9
1995-10-12 Sligo Rovers L 0-144.6 1251 1225 47.36% 26.31% 26.33%+0.30 -14.2 9
1995-10-12 @ Dundalk W 1-044.6 1225 1251 26.33% 26.31% 47.36%-0.30 +14.2 16
1995-10-13 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-146.2 1328 1272 51.14% 25.87% 23.00%+0.42 -15.1 16
1995-10-13 @ Bohemian W 1-046.2 1272 1328 23.00% 25.87% 51.14%-0.42 +15.1 17
1995-10-13 Shelbourne D 1-153.9 1246 1302 36.16% 26.79% 37.05%-0.01 +0.0 11
1995-10-13 @ Cork City D 1-153.9 1302 1246 37.05% 26.79% 36.16%+0.01 -0.1 15
1995-10-14 Derry City D 1-153.6 1147 1266 27.86% 26.45% 45.69%-0.25 +1.1 8
1995-10-14 @ Galway United (old) D 1-153.6 1266 1147 45.69% 26.45% 27.86%+0.25 -1.1 12
1995-10-15 Athlone Town D 1-153.6 1161 1097 51.91% 25.76% 22.33%+0.45 -1.9 4
1995-10-15 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.6 1097 1161 22.33% 25.76% 51.91%-0.45 +1.9 5
1995-10-15 Drogheda United D 0-048.6 984 1139 23.78% 25.99% 50.24%-0.39 +1.9 8
1995-10-15 @ UC Dublin D 0-048.6 1139 984 50.24% 25.99% 23.78%+0.39 -1.9 6
1995-10-20 Shelbourne L 1-241.4 1099 1302 19.26% 25.11% 55.63%-0.57 -6.5 5
1995-10-20 @ Athlone Town W 2-141.4 1302 1099 55.63% 25.11% 19.26%+0.57 +6.5 18
1995-10-20 UC Dublin D 0-051.1 1313 986 75.21% 17.98% 6.81%+1.47 -5.3 17
1995-10-20 @ Bohemian D 0-051.1 986 1313 6.81% 17.98% 75.21%-1.47 +5.3 9
1995-10-20 Dundalk W 3-254.0 1137 1237 30.18% 26.62% 43.21%-0.18 +11.8 9
1995-10-20 @ Drogheda United L 2-354.0 1237 1137 43.21% 26.62% 30.18%+0.18 -11.8 9
1995-10-20 Galway United (old) L 1-253.4 1287 1148 60.03% 24.09% 15.88%+0.74 -16.4 17
1995-10-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-153.4 1148 1287 15.88% 24.09% 60.03%-0.74 +16.4 11
1995-10-21 Shamrock Rovers L 0-146.2 1240 1159 53.94% 25.43% 20.63%+0.52 -15.9 16
1995-10-21 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-046.2 1159 1240 20.63% 25.43% 53.94%-0.52 +15.9 7
1995-10-22 Cork City W 2-034.5 1265 1246 46.47% 26.39% 27.14%+0.28 +17.4 15
1995-10-22 @ Derry City L 0-234.5 1246 1265 27.14% 26.39% 46.47%-0.28 -17.4 11
1995-10-26 Drogheda United L 1-251.9 1228 1149 53.80% 25.45% 20.75%+0.51 -14.9 11
1995-10-26 @ Cork City W 2-151.9 1149 1228 20.75% 25.45% 53.80%-0.51 +14.9 12
1995-10-26 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-252.0 1225 1270 37.78% 26.79% 35.43%+0.03 +10.1 12
1995-10-26 @ Dundalk L 2-352.0 1270 1225 35.43% 26.79% 37.78%-0.03 -10.1 17
1995-10-27 Sligo Rovers D 0-049.4 1308 1224 54.34% 25.36% 20.30%+0.53 -2.5 19
1995-10-27 @ Shelbourne D 0-049.4 1224 1308 20.30% 25.36% 54.34%-0.53 +2.5 17
1995-10-28 Bohemian L 1-535.5 1164 1308 25.05% 26.16% 48.79%-0.35 -25.8 11
1995-10-28 @ Galway United (old) W 5-135.5 1308 1164 48.79% 26.16% 25.05%+0.35 +25.8 20
1995-10-29 Derry City W 2-039.5 1175 1282 29.28% 26.56% 44.16%-0.21 +25.2 10
1995-10-29 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-239.5 1282 1175 44.16% 26.56% 29.28%+0.21 -25.2 15
1995-10-29 Athlone Town W 3-037.0 991 1093 29.95% 26.60% 43.44%-0.19 +36.2 12
1995-10-29 @ UC Dublin L 0-337.0 1093 991 43.44% 26.60% 29.95%+0.19 -36.2 5
1995-11-03 Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.6 1333 1200 59.51% 24.22% 16.26%+0.72 -2.9 21
1995-11-03 @ Bohemian D 1-154.6 1200 1333 16.26% 24.22% 59.51%-0.72 +2.9 11
1995-11-03 Sligo Rovers D 0-048.6 1164 1226 35.23% 26.79% 37.99%-0.04 +0.2 13
1995-11-03 @ Drogheda United D 0-048.6 1226 1164 37.99% 26.79% 35.23%+0.04 -0.2 18
1995-11-03 Shelbourne W 2-147.4 1260 1306 37.68% 26.79% 35.53%+0.03 +10.7 20
1995-11-03 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-247.4 1306 1260 35.53% 26.79% 37.68%-0.03 -10.7 19
1995-11-04 Dundalk L 0-139.5 1138 1236 30.59% 26.64% 42.77%-0.17 -10.1 11
1995-11-04 @ Galway United (old) W 1-039.5 1236 1138 42.77% 26.64% 30.59%+0.17 +10.1 15
1995-11-05 Athlone Town W 5-339.3 1257 1057 65.63% 22.32% 12.06%+0.97 +6.0 18
1995-11-05 @ Derry City L 3-539.3 1057 1257 12.06% 22.32% 65.63%-0.97 -6.0 5
1995-11-05 Cork City L 0-136.1 1027 1213 20.70% 25.44% 53.86%-0.51 -7.3 12
1995-11-05 @ UC Dublin W 1-036.1 1213 1027 53.86% 25.44% 20.70%+0.51 +7.4 14
1995-11-09 Galway United (old) W 2-030.7 1246 1128 57.87% 24.63% 17.50%+0.66 +11.9 18
1995-11-09 @ Dundalk L 0-230.7 1128 1246 17.50% 24.63% 57.87%-0.66 -11.9 11
1995-11-10 Derry City D 1-153.9 1051 1263 18.42% 24.89% 56.68%-0.61 +2.6 6
1995-11-10 @ Athlone Town D 1-153.9 1263 1051 56.68% 24.89% 18.42%+0.61 -2.6 19
1995-11-10 UC Dublin W 2-138.3 1221 1020 65.71% 22.29% 12.00%+0.98 +4.1 17
1995-11-10 @ Cork City L 1-238.3 1020 1221 12.00% 22.29% 65.71%-0.98 -4.1 12
1995-11-10 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.1 1295 1271 47.14% 26.33% 26.53%+0.30 -1.3 20
1995-11-10 @ Shelbourne D 1-154.1 1271 1295 26.53% 26.33% 47.14%-0.30 +1.3 21
1995-11-11 Drogheda United W 1-036.8 1226 1164 51.81% 25.77% 22.42%+0.44 +7.9 21
1995-11-11 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-136.8 1164 1226 22.42% 25.77% 51.81%-0.44 -7.9 13
1995-11-12 Bohemian W 1-044.7 1203 1330 26.83% 26.36% 46.82%-0.29 +14.0 14
1995-11-12 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-144.7 1330 1203 46.82% 26.36% 26.83%+0.29 -14.0 21
1995-11-17 Sligo Rovers L 1-242.0 1053 1234 21.22% 25.55% 53.24%-0.49 -7.1 6
1995-11-17 @ Athlone Town W 2-142.0 1234 1053 53.24% 25.55% 21.22%+0.49 +7.1 24
1995-11-17 Dundalk W 3-248.2 1316 1258 51.40% 25.83% 22.77%+0.43 +7.1 24
1995-11-17 @ Bohemian L 2-348.2 1258 1316 22.77% 25.83% 51.40%-0.43 -7.1 18
1995-11-17 Shamrock Rovers L 1-246.8 1156 1217 35.48% 26.79% 37.74%-0.03 -10.7 13
1995-11-17 @ Drogheda United W 2-146.8 1217 1156 37.74% 26.79% 35.48%+0.03 +10.7 17
1995-11-17 Cork City W 2-143.4 1272 1225 50.02% 26.01% 23.96%+0.39 +7.9 24
1995-11-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-243.4 1225 1272 23.96% 26.01% 50.02%-0.39 -7.8 17
1995-11-19 Shelbourne L 1-248.4 1260 1294 39.39% 26.76% 33.84%+0.08 -11.5 19
1995-11-19 @ Derry City W 2-148.4 1294 1260 33.84% 26.76% 39.39%-0.08 +11.5 23
1995-11-19 Galway United (old) W 2-038.9 1016 1116 30.11% 26.61% 43.28%-0.18 +24.9 15
1995-11-19 @ UC Dublin L 0-238.9 1116 1016 43.28% 26.61% 30.11%+0.18 -24.9 11
1995-11-23 UC Dublin W 2-028.1 1250 1040 66.47% 22.00% 11.53%+1.01 +7.9 21
1995-11-23 @ Dundalk L 0-228.1 1040 1250 11.53% 22.00% 66.47%-1.01 -7.9 15
1995-11-24 Bohemian W 1-043.9 1217 1324 29.37% 26.57% 44.06%-0.21 +13.4 20
1995-11-24 @ Cork City L 0-143.9 1324 1217 44.06% 26.57% 29.37%+0.21 -13.4 24
1995-11-24 Drogheda United D 0-049.7 1305 1145 62.06% 23.51% 14.43%+0.82 -3.7 24
1995-11-24 @ Shelbourne D 0-049.7 1145 1305 14.43% 23.51% 62.06%-0.82 +3.7 14
1995-11-25 Athlone Town D 2-259.3 1092 1046 49.79% 26.04% 24.17%+0.38 -1.2 12
1995-11-25 @ Galway United (old) D 2-259.3 1046 1092 24.17% 26.04% 49.79%-0.38 +1.2 7
1995-11-25 Derry City D 1-153.7 1241 1249 42.96% 26.63% 30.41%+0.18 -0.8 25
1995-11-25 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-153.7 1249 1241 30.41% 26.63% 42.96%-0.18 +0.8 20
1995-11-30 Athlone Town W 2-138.1 1258 1047 66.55% 21.97% 11.48%+1.02 +3.9 24
1995-11-30 @ Dundalk L 1-238.1 1047 1258 11.48% 21.97% 66.55%-1.02 -3.9 7
1995-12-01 Shelbourne W 1-039.6 1310 1302 45.13% 26.49% 28.37%+0.24 +9.6 27
1995-12-01 @ Bohemian L 0-139.6 1302 1310 28.37% 26.49% 45.13%-0.24 -9.6 24
1995-12-01 Derry City D 2-259.3 1149 1249 30.14% 26.62% 43.25%-0.18 +0.6 15
1995-12-01 @ Drogheda United D 2-259.3 1249 1149 43.25% 26.62% 30.14%+0.18 -0.6 21
1995-12-01 Sligo Rovers W 1-037.9 1280 1240 49.09% 26.13% 24.79%+0.36 +8.6 27
1995-12-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-137.9 1240 1280 24.79% 26.13% 49.09%-0.36 -8.6 25
1995-12-02 Cork City W 3-146.2 1090 1230 25.43% 26.21% 48.36%-0.33 +23.6 15
1995-12-02 @ Galway United (old) L 1-346.2 1230 1090 48.36% 26.21% 25.43%+0.33 -23.6 20
1995-12-03 Shamrock Rovers L 0-135.8 1033 1227 19.90% 25.27% 54.83%-0.55 -7.1 15
1995-12-03 @ UC Dublin W 1-035.8 1227 1033 54.83% 25.27% 19.90%+0.55 +7.1 20
1995-12-08 Drogheda United L 0-234.8 1043 1149 29.46% 26.57% 43.97%-0.20 -18.5 7
1995-12-08 @ Athlone Town W 2-034.8 1149 1043 43.97% 26.57% 29.46%+0.20 +18.5 18
1995-12-08 UC Dublin D 1-155.3 1292 1025 70.93% 20.12% 8.95%+1.23 -4.3 25
1995-12-08 @ Shelbourne D 1-155.3 1025 1292 8.95% 20.12% 70.93%-1.23 +4.3 16
1995-12-09 Dundalk L 0-237.2 1207 1262 36.25% 26.79% 36.96%-0.01 -21.7 20
1995-12-09 @ Cork City W 2-037.2 1262 1207 36.96% 26.79% 36.25%+0.01 +21.7 27
1995-12-09 Bohemian D 0-049.1 1232 1320 31.76% 26.70% 41.54%-0.13 +0.7 26
1995-12-09 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-049.1 1320 1232 41.54% 26.70% 31.76%+0.13 -0.7 28
1995-12-10 St Patrick's Athletic W 5-138.8 1249 1289 38.51% 26.78% 34.71%+0.05 +33.2 24
1995-12-10 @ Derry City L 1-538.8 1289 1249 34.71% 26.78% 38.51%-0.05 -33.2 27
1995-12-10 Galway United (old) W 2-140.6 1235 1114 58.21% 24.55% 17.24%+0.67 +5.9 23
1995-12-10 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-240.6 1114 1235 17.24% 24.55% 58.21%-0.67 -5.9 15
1995-12-15 Drogheda United W 6-030.2 1319 1168 61.22% 23.76% 15.03%+0.79 +28.6 31
1995-12-15 @ Bohemian L 0-630.2 1168 1319 15.03% 23.76% 61.22%-0.79 -28.6 18
1995-12-15 Shamrock Rovers W 2-037.3 1185 1240 36.26% 26.79% 36.95%-0.01 +22.0 23
1995-12-15 @ Cork City L 0-237.3 1240 1185 36.95% 26.79% 36.26%+0.01 -22.0 23
1995-12-15 Athlone Town W 3-242.5 1255 1025 68.14% 21.34% 10.52%+1.09 +3.4 30
1995-12-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-342.5 1025 1255 10.52% 21.34% 68.14%-1.09 -3.4 7
1995-12-16 Sligo Rovers L 2-349.1 1108 1232 27.22% 26.40% 46.38%-0.27 -8.3 15
1995-12-16 @ Galway United (old) W 3-249.1 1232 1108 46.38% 26.40% 27.22%+0.27 +8.3 29
1995-12-16 Derry City W 2-043.4 1030 1282 15.36% 23.89% 60.74%-0.77 +33.2 19
1995-12-16 @ UC Dublin L 0-243.4 1282 1030 60.74% 23.89% 15.36%+0.77 -33.2 24
1995-12-17 Shelbourne D 1-154.1 1284 1288 43.49% 26.60% 29.91%+0.19 -0.9 28
1995-12-17 @ Dundalk D 1-154.1 1288 1284 29.91% 26.60% 43.49%-0.19 +0.8 26
1995-12-17 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-142.1 1218 1259 38.44% 26.78% 34.79%+0.05 -12.0 23
1995-12-17 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-042.1 1259 1218 34.79% 26.78% 38.44%-0.05 +12.0 33
1995-12-22 Cork City L 2-441.3 1021 1207 20.77% 25.46% 53.78%-0.51 -10.8 7
1995-12-22 @ Athlone Town W 4-241.3 1207 1021 53.78% 25.46% 20.77%+0.51 +10.8 26
1995-12-22 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-339.8 1139 1271 26.41% 26.32% 47.28%-0.30 -14.7 18
1995-12-22 @ Drogheda United W 3-139.8 1271 1139 47.28% 26.32% 26.41%+0.30 +14.7 36
1995-12-22 Galway United (old) W 2-028.7 1288 1100 64.65% 22.67% 12.68%+0.93 +8.7 29
1995-12-22 @ Shelbourne L 0-228.7 1100 1288 12.68% 22.67% 64.65%-0.93 -8.7 15
1995-12-23 UC Dublin W 2-028.9 1241 1063 63.67% 23.00% 13.33%+0.89 +9.2 32
1995-12-23 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-228.9 1063 1241 13.33% 23.00% 63.67%-0.89 -9.2 19
1995-12-31 Athlone Town W 3-131.1 1348 1011 75.84% 17.64% 6.52%+1.50 +3.6 34
1995-12-31 @ Bohemian L 1-331.1 1011 1348 6.52% 17.64% 75.84%-1.50 -3.6 7
1995-12-31 Derry City W 2-144.0 1283 1249 48.41% 26.20% 25.39%+0.34 +8.2 31
1995-12-31 @ Dundalk L 1-244.0 1249 1283 25.39% 26.20% 48.41%-0.34 -8.2 24
1995-12-31 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-230.4 1054 1285 16.87% 24.43% 58.71%-0.69 -11.5 19
1995-12-31 @ UC Dublin W 2-030.4 1285 1054 58.71% 24.43% 16.87%+0.69 +11.5 39
1996-01-01 Drogheda United L 0-335.8 1091 1125 39.38% 26.76% 33.86%+0.08 -33.5 15
1996-01-01 @ Galway United (old) W 3-035.8 1125 1091 33.86% 26.76% 39.38%-0.08 +33.5 21
1996-01-01 Shelbourne L 0-140.0 1206 1297 31.41% 26.68% 41.91%-0.15 -10.3 23
1996-01-01 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-040.0 1297 1206 41.91% 26.68% 31.41%+0.15 +10.3 32
1996-01-05 Shamrock Rovers W 2-041.8 1007 1196 20.44% 25.39% 54.17%-0.52 +30.0 10
1996-01-05 @ Athlone Town L 0-241.8 1196 1007 54.17% 25.39% 20.44%+0.52 -30.0 23
1996-01-05 UC Dublin L 0-146.9 1158 1042 57.72% 24.66% 17.62%+0.65 -16.8 21
1996-01-05 @ Drogheda United W 1-046.9 1042 1158 17.62% 24.66% 57.72%-0.65 +16.8 22
1996-01-05 Bohemian D 3-364.0 1297 1351 36.41% 26.79% 36.80%-0.01 +0.0 40
1996-01-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 3-364.0 1351 1297 36.80% 26.79% 36.41%+0.01 -0.0 35
1996-01-06 Dundalk D 3-363.3 1250 1291 38.25% 26.78% 34.97%+0.04 -0.1 33
1996-01-06 @ Sligo Rovers D 3-363.3 1291 1250 34.97% 26.78% 38.25%-0.04 +0.1 32
1996-01-07 Galway United (old) W 2-028.8 1241 1058 64.16% 22.84% 13.01%+0.91 +8.9 27
1996-01-07 @ Derry City L 0-228.8 1058 1241 13.01% 22.84% 64.16%-0.91 -8.9 15
1996-01-07 Cork City D 1-154.2 1308 1218 54.93% 25.25% 19.82%+0.55 -2.3 33
1996-01-07 @ Shelbourne D 1-154.2 1218 1308 19.82% 25.25% 54.93%-0.55 +2.3 27
1996-01-17 Sligo Rovers W 2-146.3 1220 1250 39.94% 26.75% 33.31%+0.09 +10.2 30
1996-01-17 @ Cork City L 1-246.3 1250 1220 33.31% 26.75% 39.94%-0.09 -10.2 33
1996-01-19 Athlone Town W 1-031.0 1305 1037 71.05% 20.06% 8.89%+1.24 +3.1 36
1996-01-19 @ Shelbourne L 0-131.0 1037 1305 8.89% 20.06% 71.05%-1.24 -3.1 10
1996-01-20 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-134.2 1049 1297 15.64% 24.00% 60.37%-0.75 -5.7 15
1996-01-20 @ Galway United (old) W 1-034.2 1297 1049 60.37% 24.00% 15.64%+0.75 +5.7 43
1996-01-21 Derry City L 0-143.0 1230 1250 41.37% 26.70% 31.93%+0.13 -12.7 30
1996-01-21 @ Cork City W 1-043.0 1250 1230 31.93% 26.70% 41.37%-0.13 +12.7 30
1996-01-21 Drogheda United D 2-260.2 1291 1141 61.12% 23.78% 15.09%+0.78 -2.3 33
1996-01-21 @ Dundalk D 2-260.2 1141 1291 15.09% 23.78% 61.12%-0.78 +2.3 22
1996-01-21 Sligo Rovers L 0-236.3 1166 1239 33.74% 26.76% 39.50%-0.08 -20.6 23
1996-01-21 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-036.3 1239 1166 39.50% 26.76% 33.74%+0.08 +20.6 36
1996-01-21 Bohemian W 3-150.1 1059 1351 12.83% 22.74% 64.42%-0.92 +30.2 25
1996-01-21 @ UC Dublin L 1-350.1 1351 1059 64.42% 22.74% 12.83%+0.92 -30.2 35
1996-01-24 Dundalk W 1-044.9 1146 1289 25.03% 26.16% 48.82%-0.35 +14.5 26
1996-01-24 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-144.9 1289 1146 48.82% 26.16% 25.03%+0.35 -14.5 33
1996-01-26 UC Dublin W 1-041.3 1034 1089 36.27% 26.79% 36.94%-0.01 +11.7 13
1996-01-26 @ Athlone Town L 0-141.3 1089 1034 36.94% 26.79% 36.27%+0.01 -11.7 25
1996-01-26 Galway United (old) W 3-024.6 1321 1043 71.79% 19.71% 8.49%+1.28 +8.2 38
1996-01-26 @ Bohemian L 0-324.6 1043 1321 8.49% 19.71% 71.79%-1.28 -8.2 15
1996-01-27 Shelbourne L 0-142.1 1260 1308 37.29% 26.79% 35.92%+0.02 -11.8 36
1996-01-27 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-042.1 1308 1260 35.92% 26.79% 37.29%-0.02 +11.8 39
1996-01-28 Dundalk W 2-144.4 1303 1275 47.64% 26.28% 26.08%+0.31 +8.4 46
1996-01-28 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-244.4 1275 1303 26.08% 26.28% 47.64%-0.31 -8.4 33
1996-02-02 Derry City W 1-037.6 1320 1262 51.28% 25.85% 22.87%+0.43 +8.0 42
1996-02-02 @ Shelbourne L 0-137.6 1262 1320 22.87% 25.85% 51.28%-0.43 -8.0 30
1996-02-03 UC Dublin L 0-237.4 1035 1078 38.05% 26.78% 35.17%+0.04 -22.5 15
1996-02-03 @ Galway United (old) W 2-037.4 1078 1035 35.17% 26.78% 38.05%-0.04 +22.5 28
1996-02-03 Athlone Town W 2-138.3 1248 1046 65.86% 22.23% 11.91%+0.99 +4.1 39
1996-02-03 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-238.3 1046 1248 11.91% 22.23% 65.86%-0.99 -4.1 13
1996-02-04 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-049.0 1218 1311 31.05% 26.66% 42.28%-0.16 +0.8 31
1996-02-04 @ Cork City D 0-049.0 1311 1218 42.28% 26.66% 31.05%+0.16 -0.8 47
1996-02-04 Bohemian L 2-446.9 1266 1329 35.16% 26.78% 38.05%-0.04 -16.4 33
1996-02-04 @ Dundalk W 4-246.9 1329 1266 38.05% 26.78% 35.16%+0.04 +16.4 41
1996-02-04 Drogheda United W 1-038.4 1160 1144 46.14% 26.42% 27.44%+0.27 +9.3 29
1996-02-04 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-138.4 1144 1160 27.44% 26.42% 46.14%-0.27 -9.3 22
1996-02-16 Galway United (old) W 1-037.8 1042 1012 47.79% 26.26% 25.94%+0.32 +8.9 16
1996-02-16 @ Athlone Town L 0-137.8 1012 1042 25.94% 26.26% 47.79%-0.32 -8.9 15
1996-02-16 Cork City W 1-035.2 1346 1218 58.89% 24.38% 16.72%+0.70 +6.1 44
1996-02-16 @ Bohemian L 0-135.2 1218 1346 16.72% 24.38% 58.89%-0.70 -6.1 31
1996-02-16 Shelbourne L 1-337.7 1134 1328 20.01% 25.29% 54.70%-0.54 -11.7 22
1996-02-16 @ Drogheda United W 3-137.7 1328 1134 54.70% 25.29% 20.01%+0.54 +11.7 45
1996-02-16 Shamrock Rovers D 2-260.3 1310 1169 60.24% 24.03% 15.73%+0.75 -2.3 48
1996-02-16 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-260.3 1169 1310 15.73% 24.03% 60.24%-0.75 +2.3 30
1996-02-18 Sligo Rovers W 4-033.3 1254 1252 44.23% 26.56% 29.21%+0.21 +35.0 33
1996-02-18 @ Derry City L 0-433.3 1252 1254 29.21% 26.56% 44.23%-0.21 -35.0 39
1996-02-18 Dundalk D 0-048.7 1100 1250 24.38% 26.07% 49.55%-0.37 +1.8 29
1996-02-18 @ UC Dublin D 0-048.7 1250 1100 49.55% 26.07% 24.38%+0.37 -1.8 34
1996-02-21 Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.2 1289 1172 57.90% 24.62% 17.48%+0.66 -2.7 34
1996-02-21 @ Derry City D 1-154.2 1172 1289 17.48% 24.62% 57.90%-0.66 +2.7 31
1996-02-23 Dundalk D 0-048.9 1050 1248 19.68% 25.21% 55.11%-0.56 +2.6 17
1996-02-23 @ Athlone Town D 0-048.9 1248 1050 55.11% 25.21% 19.68%+0.56 -2.6 35
1996-02-23 Bohemian W 1-041.2 1340 1352 42.36% 26.66% 30.98%+0.16 +10.2 48
1996-02-23 @ Shelbourne L 0-141.2 1352 1340 30.98% 26.66% 42.36%-0.16 -10.2 44
1996-02-25 Galway United (old) W 3-026.1 1212 1003 66.39% 22.03% 11.58%+1.01 +11.5 34
1996-02-25 @ Cork City L 0-326.1 1003 1212 11.58% 22.03% 66.39%-1.01 -11.5 15
1996-02-25 Drogheda United D 1-154.5 1287 1123 62.41% 23.40% 14.19%+0.84 -3.3 35
1996-02-25 @ Derry City D 1-154.5 1123 1287 14.19% 23.40% 62.41%-0.84 +3.3 23
1996-02-25 UC Dublin W 2-032.1 1174 1102 52.98% 25.59% 21.43%+0.48 +14.3 34
1996-02-25 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-232.1 1102 1174 21.43% 25.59% 52.98%-0.48 -14.3 29
1996-02-25 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.8 1217 1308 31.43% 26.68% 41.89%-0.14 +0.6 40
1996-02-25 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-153.8 1308 1217 41.89% 26.68% 31.43%+0.14 -0.6 49
1996-03-01 Sligo Rovers L 1-253.5 1342 1218 58.50% 24.48% 17.02%+0.68 -16.0 44
1996-03-01 @ Bohemian W 2-153.5 1218 1342 17.02% 24.48% 58.50%-0.68 +16.0 43
1996-03-01 Athlone Town L 0-145.8 1126 1053 53.04% 25.58% 21.38%+0.49 -15.6 23
1996-03-01 @ Drogheda United W 1-045.8 1053 1126 21.38% 25.58% 53.04%-0.49 +15.6 20
1996-03-01 Derry City D 1-154.3 1307 1283 47.14% 26.33% 26.53%+0.30 -1.3 50
1996-03-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.3 1283 1307 26.53% 26.33% 47.14%-0.30 +1.3 36
1996-03-02 Shamrock Rovers L 0-231.5 992 1189 19.74% 25.23% 55.04%-0.55 -13.3 15
1996-03-02 @ Galway United (old) W 2-031.5 1189 992 55.04% 25.23% 19.74%+0.55 +13.3 37
1996-03-03 Bohemian D 1-154.3 1285 1326 38.32% 26.78% 34.90%+0.05 -0.2 37
1996-03-03 @ Derry City D 1-154.3 1326 1285 34.90% 26.78% 38.32%-0.05 +0.2 45
1996-03-03 Cork City L 0-144.5 1245 1224 46.79% 26.36% 26.85%+0.29 -14.0 35
1996-03-03 @ Dundalk W 1-044.5 1224 1245 26.85% 26.36% 46.79%-0.29 +14.0 37
1996-03-03 Shelbourne W 3-258.7 1088 1350 14.68% 23.62% 61.70%-0.81 +16.0 32
1996-03-03 @ UC Dublin L 2-358.7 1350 1088 61.70% 23.62% 14.68%+0.81 -16.0 48
1996-03-05 Cork City D 2-259.3 1110 1238 26.86% 26.36% 46.78%-0.29 +0.9 24
1996-03-05 @ Drogheda United D 2-259.3 1238 1110 46.78% 26.36% 26.86%+0.29 -0.9 38
1996-03-09 Dundalk W 2-153.4 979 1231 15.33% 23.88% 60.79%-0.77 +16.6 18
1996-03-09 @ Galway United (old) L 1-253.4 1231 979 60.79% 23.88% 15.33%+0.77 -16.6 35
1996-03-15 Bohemian L 0-135.4 1111 1326 18.23% 24.84% 56.93%-0.62 -6.6 24
1996-03-15 @ Drogheda United W 1-035.4 1326 1111 56.93% 24.84% 18.23%+0.62 +6.6 48
1996-03-15 Dundalk L 0-147.6 1334 1215 58.08% 24.58% 17.34%+0.66 -16.9 48
1996-03-15 @ Shelbourne W 1-047.6 1215 1334 17.34% 24.58% 58.08%-0.66 +16.9 38
1996-03-16 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-260.0 1069 1306 16.43% 24.28% 59.29%-0.71 +2.2 21
1996-03-16 @ Athlone Town D 2-260.0 1306 1069 59.29% 24.28% 16.43%+0.71 -2.2 51
1996-03-16 Galway United (old) L 0-244.9 1234 995 68.82% 21.05% 10.12%+1.13 -36.9 43
1996-03-16 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-044.9 995 1234 10.12% 21.05% 68.82%-1.13 +36.9 21
1996-03-18 UC Dublin D 1-154.6 1284 1104 63.94% 22.91% 13.15%+0.90 -3.5 38
1996-03-18 @ Derry City D 1-154.6 1104 1284 13.15% 22.91% 63.94%-0.90 +3.5 33
1996-03-18 Cork City W 2-036.5 1202 1237 39.18% 26.77% 34.05%+0.07 +20.7 40
1996-03-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-236.5 1237 1202 34.05% 26.77% 39.18%-0.07 -20.7 38
1996-03-21 Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.8 1232 1223 45.16% 26.49% 28.35%+0.24 -1.2 39
1996-03-21 @ Dundalk D 0-048.8 1223 1232 28.35% 26.49% 45.16%-0.24 +1.2 41
1996-03-22 Derry City D 1-154.5 1332 1281 50.53% 25.95% 23.52%+0.40 -1.8 49
1996-03-22 @ Bohemian D 1-154.5 1281 1332 23.52% 25.95% 50.53%-0.40 +1.8 39
1996-03-22 Drogheda United W 3-243.4 1304 1105 65.55% 22.34% 12.10%+0.97 +3.9 54
1996-03-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-343.4 1105 1304 12.10% 22.34% 65.55%-0.97 -3.9 24
1996-03-23 Shelbourne L 1-334.7 1032 1317 13.25% 22.96% 63.80%-0.89 -7.9 21
1996-03-23 @ Galway United (old) W 3-134.7 1317 1032 63.80% 22.96% 13.25%+0.89 +7.9 51
1996-03-24 Athlone Town L 0-243.4 1216 1071 60.66% 23.92% 15.42%+0.76 -33.1 38
1996-03-24 @ Cork City W 2-043.4 1071 1216 15.42% 23.92% 60.66%-0.76 +33.1 24
1996-03-24 Sligo Rovers W 3-144.4 1107 1197 31.49% 26.68% 41.82%-0.14 +20.9 36
1996-03-24 @ UC Dublin L 1-344.4 1197 1107 41.82% 26.68% 31.49%+0.14 -20.9 43
1996-03-29 Bohemian L 0-328.8 1104 1331 17.26% 24.55% 58.19%-0.67 -17.1 24
1996-03-29 @ Athlone Town W 3-028.8 1331 1104 58.19% 24.55% 17.26%+0.67 +17.1 52
1996-03-29 Galway United (old) W 6-133.5 1101 1024 53.48% 25.51% 21.02%+0.50 +27.2 27
1996-03-29 @ Drogheda United L 1-633.5 1024 1101 21.02% 25.51% 53.48%-0.50 -27.2 21
1996-03-29 Shamrock Rovers L 1-252.9 1325 1224 56.17% 25.00% 18.83%+0.59 -15.5 51
1996-03-29 @ Shelbourne W 2-152.9 1224 1325 18.83% 25.00% 56.17%-0.59 +15.5 44
1996-03-29 UC Dublin W 2-029.1 1308 1128 63.86% 22.94% 13.20%+0.90 +9.1 57
1996-03-29 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-229.1 1128 1308 13.20% 22.94% 63.86%-0.90 -9.1 36
1996-03-30 Cork City W 4-138.1 1176 1183 43.08% 26.62% 30.30%+0.18 +23.2 46
1996-03-30 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-438.1 1183 1176 30.30% 26.62% 43.08%-0.18 -23.2 38
1996-03-31 Dundalk L 0-145.6 1283 1230 50.61% 25.94% 23.45%+0.41 -15.0 39
1996-03-31 @ Derry City W 1-045.6 1230 1283 23.45% 25.94% 50.61%-0.41 +15.0 42
1996-04-06 Derry City L 0-327.3 997 1268 14.14% 23.38% 62.48%-0.84 -14.1 21
1996-04-06 @ Galway United (old) W 3-027.3 1268 997 62.48% 23.38% 14.14%+0.84 +14.1 42
1996-04-07 Athlone Town W 2-139.6 1239 1087 61.34% 23.72% 14.94%+0.79 +5.1 47
1996-04-07 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-239.6 1087 1239 14.94% 23.72% 61.34%-0.79 -5.1 24
1996-04-07 Drogheda United W 4-138.1 1119 1128 42.77% 26.64% 30.59%+0.17 +23.4 39
1996-04-07 @ UC Dublin L 1-438.1 1128 1119 30.59% 26.64% 42.77%-0.17 -23.4 27
1996-04-08 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-050.0 1348 1317 47.97% 26.25% 25.78%+0.32 -1.6 53
1996-04-08 @ Bohemian D 0-050.0 1317 1348 25.78% 26.25% 47.97%-0.32 +1.6 58
1996-04-08 Sligo Rovers L 0-145.2 1245 1200 49.84% 26.04% 24.12%+0.38 -14.8 42
1996-04-08 @ Dundalk W 1-045.2 1200 1245 24.12% 26.04% 49.84%-0.38 +14.8 49
1996-04-12 Shelbourne W 4-360.3 1082 1310 17.16% 24.52% 58.31%-0.67 +14.8 27
1996-04-12 @ Athlone Town L 3-460.3 1310 1082 58.31% 24.52% 17.16%+0.67 -14.8 51
1996-04-12 UC Dublin W 3-134.4 1346 1142 65.94% 22.20% 11.86%+0.99 +7.0 56
1996-04-12 @ Bohemian L 1-334.4 1142 1346 11.86% 22.20% 65.94%-0.99 -7.0 39
1996-04-12 Galway United (old) W 3-023.3 1319 983 75.75% 17.69% 6.56%+1.50 +6.1 61
1996-04-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-323.3 983 1319 6.56% 17.69% 75.75%-1.50 -6.1 21
1996-04-13 Shamrock Rovers W 3-142.1 1214 1244 39.86% 26.75% 33.39%+0.09 +17.7 52
1996-04-13 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-342.1 1244 1214 33.39% 26.75% 39.86%-0.09 -17.7 47
1996-04-14 Cork City W 2-140.7 1282 1160 58.33% 24.52% 17.15%+0.67 +5.8 45
1996-04-14 @ Derry City L 1-240.7 1160 1282 17.15% 24.52% 58.33%-0.67 -5.8 38
1996-04-14 Dundalk W 2-149.9 1105 1231 27.04% 26.38% 46.58%-0.28 +13.2 30
1996-04-14 @ Drogheda United L 1-249.9 1231 1105 46.58% 26.38% 27.04%+0.28 -13.2 42
1996-04-19 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-245.3 1217 1325 29.30% 26.56% 44.14%-0.21 -9.2 42
1996-04-19 @ Dundalk W 2-145.3 1325 1217 44.14% 26.56% 29.30%+0.21 +9.2 64
1996-04-19 Sligo Rovers W 2-142.9 1295 1232 51.85% 25.76% 22.38%+0.45 +7.4 54
1996-04-19 @ Shelbourne L 1-242.9 1232 1295 22.38% 25.76% 51.85%-0.45 -7.4 52
1996-04-20 Bohemian L 0-226.7 977 1353 8.80% 19.99% 71.22%-1.25 -5.9 21
1996-04-20 @ Galway United (old) W 2-026.7 1353 977 71.22% 19.99% 8.80%+1.25 +5.9 59
1996-04-21 Drogheda United W 2-143.4 1154 1118 48.65% 26.18% 25.18%+0.34 +8.2 41
1996-04-21 @ Cork City L 1-243.4 1118 1154 25.18% 26.18% 48.65%-0.34 -8.2 30
1996-04-21 Derry City W 2-147.8 1227 1288 35.51% 26.79% 37.70%-0.03 +11.2 50
1996-04-21 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-247.8 1288 1227 37.70% 26.79% 35.51%+0.03 -11.2 45
1996-04-21 Athlone Town L 1-250.5 1135 1097 48.98% 26.14% 24.89%+0.35 -13.8 39
1996-04-21 @ UC Dublin W 2-150.5 1097 1135 24.89% 26.14% 48.98%-0.35 +13.8 30
1996-04-23 Shelbourne W 2-150.6 1162 1302 25.43% 26.21% 48.36%-0.33 +13.6 44
1996-04-23 @ Cork City L 1-250.6 1302 1162 48.36% 26.21% 25.43%+0.33 -13.6 54
1996-04-28 Shamrock Rovers W 1-035.6 1359 1238 58.25% 24.54% 17.21%+0.67 +6.2 62
1996-04-28 @ Bohemian L 0-135.6 1238 1359 17.21% 24.54% 58.25%-0.67 -6.2 50
1996-04-28 Athlone Town D 1-154.5 1276 1110 62.61% 23.34% 14.05%+0.84 -3.3 46
1996-04-28 @ Derry City D 1-154.5 1110 1276 14.05% 23.34% 62.61%-0.84 +3.4 31
1996-04-28 Sligo Rovers L 0-138.7 1110 1225 28.35% 26.49% 45.16%-0.24 -9.6 30
1996-04-28 @ Drogheda United W 1-038.7 1225 1110 45.16% 26.49% 28.35%+0.24 +9.6 55
1996-04-28 Shelbourne W 3-032.1 1334 1289 49.78% 26.04% 24.18%+0.38 +23.0 67
1996-04-28 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-332.1 1289 1334 24.18% 26.04% 49.78%-0.38 -23.0 54
1996-04-28 Cork City W 2-147.1 1122 1176 36.45% 26.79% 36.76%+0.00 +11.0 42
1996-04-28 @ UC Dublin L 1-247.1 1176 1122 36.76% 26.79% 36.45%+0.00 -11.0 44

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1995-09-10 8.69% UC Dublin 951 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1224 0
2 1996-03-16 10.12% Galway United (old) 995 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1234 0
3 1996-01-21 12.83% @ UC Dublin 1059 3 Bohemian 1351 1
4 1996-03-03 14.68% @ UC Dublin 1088 3 Shelbourne 1350 2
5 1995-10-01 15.31% @ UC Dublin 970 2 Sligo Rovers 1223 1
6 1996-03-09 15.33% @ Galway United (old) 979 2 Dundalk 1231 1
7 1995-12-16 15.36% @ UC Dublin 1030 2 Derry City 1282 0
8 1996-03-24 15.42% Athlone Town 1071 2 @ Cork City 1216 0
9 1995-10-20 15.88% Galway United (old) 1148 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1287 1
10 1996-03-01 17.02% Sligo Rovers 1218 2 @ Bohemian 1342 1
11 1996-04-12 17.16% @ Athlone Town 1082 4 Shelbourne 1310 3
12 1996-03-15 17.34% Dundalk 1215 1 @ Shelbourne 1334 0
13 1996-01-05 17.62% UC Dublin 1042 1 @ Drogheda United 1158 0
14 1996-03-29 18.83% Shamrock Rovers 1224 2 @ Shelbourne 1325 1
15 1996-01-05 20.44% @ Athlone Town 1007 2 Shamrock Rovers 1196 0
16 1995-10-21 20.63% Shamrock Rovers 1159 1 @ Sligo Rovers 1240 0
17 1995-10-26 20.75% Drogheda United 1149 2 @ Cork City 1228 1
18 1996-03-01 21.38% Athlone Town 1053 1 @ Drogheda United 1126 0
19 1995-09-03 22.44% Sligo Rovers 1217 2 @ Derry City 1279 1
20 1995-10-13 23.00% St Patrick's Athletic 1272 1 @ Bohemian 1328 0
21 1996-03-31 23.45% Dundalk 1230 1 @ Derry City 1283 0
22 1996-04-08 24.12% Sligo Rovers 1200 1 @ Dundalk 1245 0
23 1996-04-21 24.89% Athlone Town 1097 2 @ UC Dublin 1135 1
24 1996-01-24 25.03% @ Shamrock Rovers 1146 1 Dundalk 1289 0
25 1995-12-02 25.43% @ Galway United (old) 1090 3 Cork City 1230 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1995-09-10 37.92 UC Dublin 2 951 8.69% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1224 71.41% 19.89%
2 1996-03-16 36.86 Galway United (old) 2 995 10.12% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1234 68.82% 21.05%
3 1995-10-29 36.20 @ UC Dublin 3 991 29.95% Athlone Town 0 1093 43.44% 26.60%
4 1996-02-18 34.97 @ Derry City 4 1254 44.23% Sligo Rovers 0 1252 29.21% 26.56%
5 1995-10-06 33.80 @ Drogheda United 3 1105 33.45% Galway United (old) 0 1180 39.80% 26.75%
6 1996-01-01 33.53 Drogheda United 3 1125 33.86% @ Galway United (old) 0 1091 39.38% 26.76%
7 1995-12-10 33.23 @ Derry City 5 1249 38.51% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1289 34.71% 26.78%
8 1995-12-16 33.18 @ UC Dublin 2 1030 15.36% Derry City 0 1282 60.74% 23.89%
9 1996-03-24 33.14 Athlone Town 2 1071 15.42% @ Cork City 0 1216 60.66% 23.92%
10 1996-01-21 30.24 @ UC Dublin 3 1059 12.83% Bohemian 1 1351 64.42% 22.74%
11 1996-01-05 30.00 @ Athlone Town 2 1007 20.44% Shamrock Rovers 0 1196 54.17% 25.39%
12 1995-12-15 28.64 @ Bohemian 6 1319 61.22% Drogheda United 0 1168 15.03% 23.76%
13 1996-03-29 27.21 @ Drogheda United 6 1101 53.48% Galway United (old) 1 1024 21.02% 25.51%
14 1995-10-28 25.77 Bohemian 5 1308 48.79% @ Galway United (old) 1 1164 25.05% 26.16%
15 1995-10-29 25.25 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1175 29.28% Derry City 0 1282 44.16% 26.56%
16 1995-11-19 24.85 @ UC Dublin 2 1016 30.11% Galway United (old) 0 1116 43.28% 26.61%
17 1995-09-02 23.74 Galway United (old) 2 1163 32.44% @ Athlone Town 0 1140 40.83% 26.72%
18 1995-12-02 23.57 @ Galway United (old) 3 1090 25.43% Cork City 1 1230 48.36% 26.21%
19 1996-04-07 23.40 @ UC Dublin 4 1119 42.77% Drogheda United 1 1128 30.59% 26.64%
20 1996-03-30 23.22 @ Sligo Rovers 4 1176 43.08% Cork City 1 1183 30.30% 26.62%
21 1996-04-28 22.99 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1334 49.78% Shelbourne 0 1289 24.18% 26.04%
22 1996-02-03 22.50 UC Dublin 2 1078 35.17% @ Galway United (old) 0 1035 38.05% 26.78%
23 1995-12-15 22.01 @ Cork City 2 1185 36.26% Shamrock Rovers 0 1240 36.95% 26.79%
24 1995-12-09 21.71 Dundalk 2 1262 36.96% @ Cork City 0 1207 36.25% 26.79%
25 1996-03-24 20.95 @ UC Dublin 3 1107 31.49% Sligo Rovers 1 1197 41.82% 26.68%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-01-05 64.0 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1297 36.41% Bohemian 3 1351 36.80% 26.79%
2 1995-09-15 63.3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1254 41.75% Derry City 3 1271 31.56% 26.69%
3 1996-01-06 63.3 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1250 38.25% Dundalk 3 1291 34.97% 26.78%
4 1996-02-16 60.3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1310 60.24% Shamrock Rovers 2 1169 15.73% 24.03%
5 1996-04-12 60.3 @ Athlone Town 4 1082 17.16% Shelbourne 3 1310 58.31% 24.52%
6 1996-01-21 60.2 @ Dundalk 2 1291 61.12% Drogheda United 2 1141 15.09% 23.78%
7 1996-03-16 60.0 @ Athlone Town 2 1069 16.43% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1306 59.29% 24.28%
8 1995-11-25 59.3 @ Galway United (old) 2 1092 49.79% Athlone Town 2 1046 24.17% 26.04%
9 1995-12-01 59.3 @ Drogheda United 2 1149 30.14% Derry City 2 1249 43.25% 26.62%
10 1996-03-05 59.3 @ Drogheda United 2 1110 26.86% Cork City 2 1238 46.78% 26.36%
11 1996-03-03 58.7 @ UC Dublin 3 1088 14.68% Shelbourne 2 1350 61.70% 23.62%
12 1995-12-08 55.3 @ Shelbourne 1 1292 70.93% UC Dublin 1 1025 8.95% 20.12%
13 1995-08-26 54.7 @ Galway United (old) 1 1167 66.94% UC Dublin 1 951 11.24% 21.82%
14 1995-11-03 54.6 @ Bohemian 1 1333 59.51% Shamrock Rovers 1 1200 16.26% 24.22%
15 1996-03-18 54.6 @ Derry City 1 1284 63.94% UC Dublin 1 1104 13.15% 22.91%
16 1996-02-25 54.5 @ Derry City 1 1287 62.41% Drogheda United 1 1123 14.19% 23.40%
17 1996-03-22 54.5 @ Bohemian 1 1332 50.53% Derry City 1 1281 23.52% 25.95%
18 1996-04-28 54.5 @ Derry City 1 1276 62.61% Athlone Town 1 1110 14.05% 23.34%
19 1996-03-01 54.3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1307 47.14% Derry City 1 1283 26.53% 26.33%
20 1996-03-03 54.3 @ Derry City 1 1285 38.32% Bohemian 1 1326 34.90% 26.78%
21 1996-01-07 54.2 @ Shelbourne 1 1308 54.93% Cork City 1 1218 19.82% 25.25%
22 1996-02-21 54.2 @ Derry City 1 1289 57.90% Shamrock Rovers 1 1172 17.48% 24.62%
23 1995-11-10 54.1 @ Shelbourne 1 1295 47.14% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1271 26.53% 26.33%
24 1995-12-17 54.1 @ Dundalk 1 1284 43.49% Shelbourne 1 1288 29.91% 26.60%
25 1995-09-01 54.0 @ Bohemian 1 1286 48.24% Cork City 1 1253 25.54% 26.22%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-04-12 23.3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1319 75.75% Galway United (old) 0 983 6.56% 17.69%
2 1996-01-26 24.6 @ Bohemian 3 1321 71.79% Galway United (old) 0 1043 8.49% 19.71%
3 1996-02-25 26.1 @ Cork City 3 1212 66.39% Galway United (old) 0 1003 11.58% 22.03%
4 1996-04-20 26.7 Bohemian 2 1353 71.22% @ Galway United (old) 0 977 8.80% 19.99%
5 1996-04-06 27.3 Derry City 3 1268 62.48% @ Galway United (old) 0 997 14.14% 23.38%
6 1995-09-16 27.4 Shelbourne 3 1254 62.03% @ UC Dublin 0 989 14.45% 23.52%
7 1995-11-23 28.1 @ Dundalk 2 1250 66.47% UC Dublin 0 1040 11.53% 22.00%
8 1995-12-22 28.7 @ Shelbourne 2 1288 64.65% Galway United (old) 0 1100 12.68% 22.67%
9 1996-01-07 28.8 @ Derry City 2 1241 64.16% Galway United (old) 0 1058 13.01% 22.84%
10 1996-03-29 28.8 Bohemian 3 1331 58.19% @ Athlone Town 0 1104 17.26% 24.55%
11 1995-12-23 28.9 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1241 63.67% UC Dublin 0 1063 13.33% 23.00%
12 1996-03-29 29.1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1308 63.86% UC Dublin 0 1128 13.20% 22.94%
13 1995-10-06 29.3 @ Shelbourne 3 1283 56.53% Shamrock Rovers 0 1179 18.54% 24.93%
14 1995-12-15 30.2 @ Bohemian 6 1319 61.22% Drogheda United 0 1168 15.03% 23.76%
15 1995-09-29 30.3 @ Cork City 2 1254 59.26% Athlone Town 0 1122 16.45% 24.29%
16 1995-12-31 30.4 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1285 58.71% @ UC Dublin 0 1054 16.87% 24.43%
17 1995-11-09 30.7 @ Dundalk 2 1246 57.87% Galway United (old) 0 1128 17.50% 24.63%
18 1996-01-19 31.0 @ Shelbourne 1 1305 71.05% Athlone Town 0 1037 8.89% 20.06%
19 1995-12-31 31.1 @ Bohemian 3 1348 75.84% Athlone Town 1 1011 6.52% 17.64%
20 1996-03-02 31.5 Shamrock Rovers 2 1189 55.04% @ Galway United (old) 0 992 19.74% 25.23%
21 1995-09-24 31.9 @ Derry City 3 1271 73.14% UC Dublin 1 974 7.80% 19.05%
22 1996-02-25 32.1 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1174 52.98% UC Dublin 0 1102 21.43% 25.59%
23 1996-04-28 32.1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1334 49.78% Shelbourne 0 1289 24.18% 26.04%
24 1996-02-18 33.3 @ Derry City 4 1254 44.23% Sligo Rovers 0 1252 29.21% 26.56%
25 1996-03-29 33.5 @ Drogheda United 6 1101 53.48% Galway United (old) 1 1024 21.02% 25.51%