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1996-97 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Derry City

67 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Derry City

10.90 points above expected

67 points · 56.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bray Wanderers

10.72 points below expected

23 points · 33.72 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Derry City 33 19 10 4 67 58 27 +31 56.10 +10.90
2 Bohemian 33 16 9 8 57 43 32 +11 58.20 -1.20
3 Shelbourne 33 15 9 9 54 52 36 +16 53.13 +0.87
4 Cork City 33 15 9 9 54 38 24 +14 45.77 +8.23
5 St Patrick's Athletic 33 13 14 6 53 45 33 +12 56.17 -3.17
6 Sligo Rovers 33 12 11 10 47 43 43 0 47.66 -0.66
7 Shamrock Rovers 33 10 13 10 43 43 46 -3 43.67 -0.67
8 UC Dublin 33 12 7 14 43 34 39 -5 40.64 +2.36
9 Finn Harps 33 10 9 14 39 41 43 -2 40.37 -1.37
10 Dundalk 33 9 9 15 36 32 50 -18 40.81 -4.81
11 Bray Wanderers 33 5 8 20 23 30 59 -29 33.72 -10.72
12 Home Farm 33 3 10 20 19 26 53 -27 21.37 -2.37

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Derry City 67 56.10 +10.90
2 Cork City 54 45.77 +8.23
3 UC Dublin 43 40.64 +2.36
4 Shelbourne 54 53.13 +0.87
5 Sligo Rovers 47 47.66 -0.66

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bray Wanderers 23 33.72 -10.72
2 Dundalk 36 40.81 -4.81
3 St Patrick's Athletic 53 56.17 -3.17
4 Home Farm 19 21.37 -2.37
5 Finn Harps 39 40.37 -1.37

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Finn Harps 4 Sep 14 – Oct 4 1 in 118
2 UC Dublin 4 Oct 6 – Oct 27 1 in 52
3 Cork City 4 Oct 13 – Nov 3 1 in 51
4 Bohemian 4 Aug 30 – Sep 22 1 in 22
5 Bray Wanderers 2 Mar 15 – Mar 23 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bray Wanderers 6 Sep 13 – Oct 20 1 in 158
2 Cork City 4 Aug 30 – Sep 22 1 in 50
3 Finn Harps 5 Mar 21 – Apr 12 1 in 48
4 Shelbourne 3 Sep 29 – Oct 11 1 in 45
5 Sligo Rovers 3 Feb 23 – Mar 15 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 18 Oct 25 – Mar 16 1 in 157
2 Shelbourne 14 Oct 20 – Feb 1 1 in 78
3 Cork City 8 Nov 17 – Jan 5 1 in 43
4 Shamrock Rovers 7 Mar 21 – Apr 27 1 in 40
5 St Patrick's Athletic 9 Dec 20 – Feb 28 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 5 Apr 12 – Apr 27 1 in 58
2 Bray Wanderers 15 Sep 13 – Dec 29 1 in 57
3 Finn Harps 8 Dec 14 – Feb 23 1 in 20
4 Bohemian 4 Feb 28 – Mar 28 1 in 18
5 Derry City 6 Sep 27 – Nov 2 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Derry City 1197 67 +0 8 8.6 -0.6
Bohemian 1160 57 -2 10 9.0 +1.0
Cork City 1116 54 +34 11 7.8 +3.2
Shelbourne 1134 54 -43 2 9.4 -7.4
St Patrick's Athletic 1166 53 +5 12 9.2 +2.8
Sligo Rovers 1089 47 -2 6 6.5 -0.5
Shamrock Rovers 1074 43 +13 7 5.6 +1.4
UC Dublin 1040 43 +5 7 6.4 +0.6
Finn Harps 1027 39 -5 4 5.3 -1.3
Dundalk 1015 36 -17 5 5.3 -0.3
Bray Wanderers 966 23 -9 2 4.0 -2.0
Home Farm 877 19 +21 4 3.0 +1.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH BW CC DC DUN FH HF SR SHE SR SPA UD
Bohemian —
3-0-0
5.98
2-1-0
5.34
0-1-2
4.25
2-1-0
5.58
2-1-0
5.60
1-2-0
7.03
0-1-2
5.43
2-1-0
4.55
0-1-2
5.15
1-0-2
4.48
3-0-0
5.38
Bray Wanderers
0-0-3
2.26
—
0-1-2
3.01
0-0-3
2.35
1-0-2
3.37
0-2-1
3.33
2-1-0
5.33
0-1-2
3.19
0-1-2
2.51
1-1-1
2.80
0-1-2
2.16
1-0-2
3.39
Cork City
0-1-2
2.79
2-1-0
5.10
—
2-0-1
2.99
2-1-0
4.54
2-0-1
4.57
2-1-0
6.34
1-1-1
4.25
1-1-1
3.17
2-0-1
3.71
0-3-0
3.02
1-0-2
4.45
Derry City
2-1-0
3.82
3-0-0
5.88
1-0-2
5.12
—
3-0-0
5.22
3-0-0
5.33
2-1-0
6.90
1-2-0
5.23
0-3-0
4.20
1-1-1
5.06
1-2-0
4.10
2-0-1
5.43
Dundalk
0-1-2
2.59
2-0-1
4.71
0-1-2
3.53
0-0-3
2.91
—
0-2-1
4.14
2-1-0
5.97
2-0-1
3.80
1-0-2
2.88
1-1-1
3.42
1-2-0
2.89
0-1-2
3.91
Finn Harps
0-1-2
2.57
1-2-0
4.75
1-0-2
3.50
0-0-3
2.80
1-2-0
3.92
—
3-0-0
5.84
0-2-1
3.89
2-0-1
2.72
1-1-1
3.21
0-0-3
2.73
1-1-1
3.90
Home Farm
0-2-1
1.46
0-1-2
2.81
0-1-2
1.97
0-1-2
1.55
0-1-2
2.26
0-0-3
2.38
—
1-1-1
2.08
1-0-2
1.60
0-2-1
1.88
1-0-2
1.58
0-1-2
2.27
Shamrock Rovers
2-1-0
2.72
2-1-0
4.91
1-1-1
3.81
0-2-1
2.90
1-0-2
4.26
1-2-0
4.17
1-1-1
6.21
—
1-0-2
3.28
1-1-1
3.58
0-2-1
2.95
0-2-1
4.18
Shelbourne
0-1-2
3.52
2-1-0
5.69
1-1-1
4.92
0-3-0
3.86
2-0-1
5.24
1-0-2
5.42
2-0-1
6.84
2-0-1
4.81
—
2-1-0
4.46
0-2-1
3.94
3-0-0
5.28
Sligo Rovers
2-1-0
2.96
1-1-1
5.34
1-0-2
4.35
1-1-1
3.05
1-1-1
4.64
1-1-1
4.88
1-2-0
6.46
1-1-1
4.48
0-1-2
3.61
—
1-1-1
3.15
2-1-0
4.76
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0-1
3.58
2-1-0
6.10
0-3-0
5.08
0-2-1
3.96
0-2-1
5.23
3-0-0
5.42
2-0-1
6.86
1-2-0
5.16
1-2-0
4.12
1-1-1
4.94
—
1-1-1
5.37
UC Dublin
0-0-3
2.76
2-0-1
4.69
2-0-1
3.62
1-0-2
2.72
2-1-0
4.15
1-1-1
4.16
2-1-0
5.96
1-2-0
3.88
0-0-3
2.85
0-1-2
3.32
1-1-1
2.77
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.76 +13.3
Allowed 0.83 -12.0
Differential 0.95 +7.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.10%12.12%5.81%2.53%0.76%0.76%32.07%
112.12%12.63%5.30%2.53%0.51%0.76%33.84%
25.81%5.30%6.57%2.27%0.51%0.51%20.96%
32.53%2.53%2.27%0.51%0.51%—8.33%
40.76%0.51%0.51%0.51%—0.25%2.53%
5+0.76%0.76%0.51%—0.25%—2.27%
Total32.07%33.84%20.96%8.33%2.53%2.27%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.22 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.62
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%6.06%——3.03%24.24%
121.21%12.12%3.03%3.03%——39.39%
26.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total42.42%33.33%15.15%6.06%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.97 +0.33
SD 1.13 1.16 1.71
CV 0.87 1.20 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%6.06%—3.03%—36.36%
112.12%6.06%9.09%6.06%—6.06%39.39%
23.03%—9.09%6.06%—3.03%21.21%
3————3.03%—3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%24.24%24.24%12.12%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.79 -0.88
SD 0.84 1.56 1.45
CV 0.93 0.87 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%18.18%—3.03%——36.36%
121.21%9.09%6.06%———36.36%
26.06%3.03%————9.09%
3—9.09%—3.03%——12.12%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total45.45%42.42%6.06%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 0.73 +0.42
SD 1.23 0.84 1.41
CV 1.07 1.15 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%———15.15%
124.24%21.21%————45.45%
29.09%—6.06%———15.15%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%6.06%———12.12%
Total42.42%33.33%24.24%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.82 +0.94
SD 1.54 0.81 1.56
CV 0.88 0.99 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%39.39%
112.12%6.06%6.06%6.06%——30.30%
23.03%9.09%9.09%—3.03%3.03%27.27%
3———————
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%33.33%18.18%9.09%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.52 -0.55
SD 0.98 1.46 1.70
CV 1.01 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%15.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%—42.42%
16.06%6.06%9.09%3.03%——24.24%
23.03%3.03%6.06%———12.12%
33.03%—9.09%—3.03%—15.15%
4———————
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total30.30%27.27%30.30%6.06%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.30 -0.06
SD 1.46 1.16 1.82
CV 1.17 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%12.12%12.12%9.09%——51.52%
1—9.09%9.09%6.06%——24.24%
2—3.03%3.03%12.12%——18.18%
33.03%—3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%24.24%27.27%27.27%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.61 -0.82
SD 0.96 1.12 1.26
CV 1.22 0.70 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%9.09%3.03%——36.36%
13.03%18.18%——3.03%—24.24%
23.03%9.09%9.09%3.03%——24.24%
3—6.06%3.03%———9.09%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+————3.03%—3.03%
Total18.18%45.45%21.21%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.39 -0.09
SD 1.40 1.09 1.33
CV 1.08 0.78 —
Max 6 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.12%—3.03%——15.15%
115.15%18.18%3.03%3.03%——39.39%
212.12%3.03%6.06%3.03%——24.24%
39.09%3.03%—3.03%——15.15%
43.03%————3.03%6.06%
5+———————
Total39.39%36.36%9.09%12.12%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.09 +0.48
SD 1.12 1.33 1.62
CV 0.71 1.22 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%3.03%6.06%——30.30%
1—15.15%6.06%—3.03%—24.24%
212.12%12.12%6.06%—3.03%—33.33%
33.03%—6.06%———9.09%
4———3.03%——3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%21.21%9.09%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.10 1.16 1.50
CV 0.85 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%9.09%———18.18%
118.18%21.21%6.06%———45.45%
26.06%6.06%15.15%———27.27%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total33.33%33.33%33.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.00 +0.36
SD 1.11 0.83 1.37
CV 0.82 0.83 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%9.09%——3.03%39.39%
112.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%—3.03%33.33%
26.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%36.36%21.21%3.03%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.18 -0.15
SD 1.10 1.29 1.84
CV 1.07 1.09 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Derry City 1197 67 56.10 +10.90 94.0% 41 44 51 55 62 68 73
St Patrick's Athletic 1166 53 56.17 -3.17 36.0% 38 42 50 58 61 68 76
Bohemian 1160 57 58.20 -1.20 47.0% 37 46 53 59 63 69 76
Shelbourne 1134 54 53.13 +0.87 54.0% 36 42 47 54 58 63 71
Cork City 1116 54 45.77 +8.23 89.0% 26 34 40 45 51 56 62
Sligo Rovers 1089 47 47.66 -0.66 49.0% 30 37 43 48 52 58 64
Shamrock Rovers 1074 43 43.67 -0.67 44.0% 28 32 39 44 48 54 57
UC Dublin 1040 43 40.64 +2.36 69.0% 25 31 35 40 46 53 57
Finn Harps 1027 39 40.37 -1.37 50.0% 27 31 35 39 45 51 55
Dundalk 1015 36 40.81 -4.81 23.0% 22 31 37 42 45 51 55
Bray Wanderers 966 23 33.72 -10.72 7.0% 15 21 29 34 39 45 49
Home Farm 877 19 21.37 -2.37 40.0% 9 11 17 21 24 32 38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.54%
No Edge
36.87%29.80%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 12.29 Elo pts.
245 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.16 goals
Neutral
-2+0.05+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.1
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
Derry City, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.30/gm
Runaway
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.48 * Some Luck: 5.48 to 8.23 * Lucky: 8.23 to 10.97 * Wild Swing: 10.97 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.28 * Close: 1.28 to 1.91 * Off: 1.91 to 2.55 * Way Off: 2.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.40 points
As Expected
06.8517
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.604
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.00%
Derry City
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Bray Wanderers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 92.29
1.90
Moderate Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
66%
Even
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Even
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
70%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.59
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.79
Near-Lock
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.82
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.19
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.076
Well Within Noise
00.1240.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Derry City24.00%23.00%18.00%10.00%8.00%10.00%4.00%2.00%—1.00%——
Bohemian32.00%30.00%10.00%14.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%————
Shelbourne17.00%12.00%22.00%11.00%16.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%——
Cork City2.00%2.00%10.00%13.00%14.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%13.00%9.00%2.00%—
St Patrick's Athletic23.00%27.00%18.00%12.00%3.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%——
Sligo Rovers2.00%4.00%10.00%14.00%18.00%15.00%14.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%—
Shamrock Rovers—1.00%2.00%10.00%12.00%17.00%18.00%13.00%8.00%10.00%9.00%—
UC Dublin——4.00%4.00%9.00%11.00%7.00%12.00%24.00%15.00%14.00%—
Finn Harps—1.00%3.00%6.00%6.00%6.00%10.00%15.00%22.00%19.00%11.00%1.00%
Dundalk——3.00%4.00%7.00%8.00%18.00%15.00%12.00%19.00%13.00%1.00%
Bray Wanderers———2.00%1.00%2.00%4.00%13.00%10.00%16.00%38.00%14.00%
Home Farm————————2.00%5.00%9.00%84.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bohemian 100% — —
Derry City 99.00% 1.00% —
Shelbourne 98.00% 2.00% —
St Patrick's Athletic 99.00% 1.00% —
Cork City 89.00% 9.00% 2.00%
Sligo Rovers 93.00% 3.00% 4.00%
Shamrock Rovers 81.00% 10.00% 9.00%
Finn Harps 69.00% 19.00% 12.00%
Dundalk 67.00% 19.00% 14.00%
UC Dublin 71.00% 15.00% 14.00%
Bray Wanderers 32.00% 16.00% 52.00%
Home Farm 2.00% 5.00% 93.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1996-08-30 Cork City W 1-036.7 1174 1055 52.28% 27.93% 19.79%+0.54 +3.6 3
1996-08-30 @ Bohemian L 0-136.7 1055 1174 19.79% 27.93% 52.28%-0.54 -3.6 0
1996-08-30 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-044.3 1080 1151 26.71% 30.84% 42.44%-0.24 +6.6 3
1996-08-30 @ Dundalk L 0-144.3 1151 1080 42.44% 30.84% 26.71%+0.24 -6.6 0
1996-08-30 Shelbourne L 0-237.7 1088 1112 32.59% 31.58% 35.82%-0.05 -10.4 0
1996-08-30 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-037.7 1112 1088 35.82% 31.58% 32.59%+0.05 +10.4 3
1996-08-31 Derry City L 0-138.0 1016 1123 22.88% 29.61% 47.52%-0.39 -4.2 0
1996-08-31 @ Finn Harps W 1-038.0 1123 1016 47.52% 29.61% 22.88%+0.39 +4.2 3
1996-08-31 Bray Wanderers D 1-152.7 891 1044 19.07% 27.43% 53.49%-0.57 +1.1 1
1996-08-31 @ Home Farm D 1-152.7 1044 891 53.49% 27.43% 19.07%+0.57 -1.1 1
1996-08-31 UC Dublin W 2-144.7 1090 1036 43.48% 30.64% 25.88%+0.27 +4.4 3
1996-08-31 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-244.7 1036 1090 25.88% 30.64% 43.48%-0.27 -4.4 0
1996-09-06 Bohemian L 0-140.3 1122 1178 28.49% 31.19% 40.32%-0.18 -5.0 3
1996-09-06 @ Shelbourne W 1-040.3 1178 1122 40.32% 31.19% 28.49%+0.18 +5.0 6
1996-09-06 Shamrock Rovers D 0-047.2 1144 1078 45.26% 30.23% 24.51%+0.32 -0.7 1
1996-09-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-047.2 1078 1144 24.51% 30.23% 45.26%-0.32 +0.7 1
1996-09-07 Home Farm W 3-134.0 1127 892 66.32% 20.81% 12.87%+1.01 +3.6 6
1996-09-07 @ Derry City L 1-334.0 892 1127 12.87% 20.81% 66.32%-1.01 -3.6 1
1996-09-08 Dundalk W 1-043.3 1043 1087 29.87% 31.38% 38.75%-0.13 +6.2 4
1996-09-08 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-143.3 1087 1043 38.75% 31.38% 29.87%+0.13 -6.2 3
1996-09-08 Sligo Rovers L 1-246.2 1051 1094 30.01% 31.39% 38.59%-0.13 -4.9 0
1996-09-08 @ Cork City W 2-146.2 1094 1051 38.59% 31.39% 30.01%+0.13 +4.9 6
1996-09-08 Finn Harps W 4-034.7 1032 1012 38.90% 31.36% 29.74%+0.13 +18.4 3
1996-09-08 @ UC Dublin L 0-434.7 1012 1032 29.74% 31.36% 38.90%-0.13 -18.4 0
1996-09-13 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-145.4 1183 1144 41.50% 31.01% 27.49%+0.21 +4.6 9
1996-09-13 @ Bohemian L 1-245.4 1144 1183 27.49% 31.01% 41.50%-0.21 -4.6 1
1996-09-13 Derry City L 2-445.5 1081 1131 29.12% 31.28% 39.60%-0.15 -7.4 3
1996-09-13 @ Dundalk W 4-245.5 1131 1081 39.60% 31.28% 29.12%+0.15 +7.4 9
1996-09-13 Bray Wanderers W 2-036.4 1079 1049 40.15% 31.21% 28.63%+0.17 +9.4 4
1996-09-13 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-236.4 1049 1079 28.63% 31.21% 40.15%-0.17 -9.4 4
1996-09-14 Home Farm W 3-247.3 993 888 50.39% 28.65% 20.96%+0.48 +3.4 3
1996-09-14 @ Finn Harps L 2-347.3 888 993 20.96% 28.65% 50.39%-0.48 -3.4 1
1996-09-14 Shelbourne D 1-151.5 1099 1117 33.34% 31.60% 35.06%-0.02 +0.0 7
1996-09-14 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-151.5 1117 1099 35.06% 31.60% 33.34%+0.02 -0.0 4
1996-09-15 Cork City W 2-146.8 1051 1046 36.58% 31.55% 31.87%+0.07 +5.1 6
1996-09-15 @ UC Dublin L 1-246.8 1046 1051 31.87% 31.55% 36.58%-0.07 -5.1 0
1996-09-20 UC Dublin W 1-038.9 1117 1056 44.62% 30.38% 24.99%+0.30 +4.5 7
1996-09-20 @ Shelbourne L 0-138.9 1056 1117 24.99% 30.38% 44.62%-0.30 -4.5 6
1996-09-20 Sligo Rovers D 2-257.2 1139 1099 41.61% 30.99% 27.40%+0.21 -0.3 2
1996-09-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-257.2 1099 1139 27.40% 30.99% 41.61%-0.21 +0.3 8
1996-09-21 Shamrock Rovers W 1-039.4 1138 1088 43.06% 30.72% 26.21%+0.26 +4.7 12
1996-09-21 @ Derry City L 0-139.4 1088 1138 26.21% 30.72% 43.06%-0.26 -4.7 4
1996-09-21 Dundalk D 0-048.6 885 1074 16.69% 25.40% 57.91%-0.72 +1.5 2
1996-09-21 @ Home Farm D 0-048.6 1074 885 57.91% 25.40% 16.69%+0.72 -1.5 4
1996-09-22 Bohemian L 1-534.1 1040 1187 19.51% 27.74% 52.75%-0.55 -10.7 4
1996-09-22 @ Bray Wanderers W 5-134.1 1187 1040 52.75% 27.74% 19.51%+0.55 +10.7 12
1996-09-22 Finn Harps L 0-144.2 1041 997 42.27% 30.88% 26.86%+0.23 -6.6 0
1996-09-22 @ Cork City W 1-044.2 997 1041 26.86% 30.88% 42.27%-0.23 +6.6 6
1996-09-27 Derry City D 1-151.9 1198 1143 43.67% 30.60% 25.73%+0.27 -0.6 13
1996-09-27 @ Bohemian D 1-151.9 1143 1198 25.73% 30.60% 43.67%-0.27 +0.6 13
1996-09-27 Home Farm W 2-139.2 1083 887 61.89% 23.32% 14.79%+0.85 +2.5 7
1996-09-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-239.2 887 1083 14.79% 23.32% 61.89%-0.85 -2.5 2
1996-09-28 Dundalk W 5-039.1 1003 1072 26.90% 30.89% 42.22%-0.23 +29.1 9
1996-09-28 @ Finn Harps L 0-539.1 1072 1003 42.22% 30.89% 26.90%+0.23 -29.1 4
1996-09-28 Bray Wanderers W 3-248.7 1099 1029 45.81% 30.09% 24.10%+0.34 +3.9 11
1996-09-28 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-348.7 1029 1099 24.10% 30.09% 45.81%-0.34 -3.9 4
1996-09-29 Shelbourne W 3-146.4 1035 1122 24.88% 30.35% 44.77%-0.31 +11.3 3
1996-09-29 @ Cork City L 1-346.4 1122 1035 44.77% 30.35% 24.88%+0.31 -11.3 7
1996-09-29 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-138.9 1051 1139 24.86% 30.34% 44.80%-0.31 -4.5 6
1996-09-29 @ UC Dublin W 1-038.9 1139 1051 44.80% 30.34% 24.86%+0.31 +4.5 5
1996-10-04 Shamrock Rovers W 4-142.1 1043 1086 30.00% 31.39% 38.60%-0.13 +14.3 7
1996-10-04 @ Dundalk L 1-442.1 1086 1043 38.60% 31.39% 30.00%+0.13 -14.3 7
1996-10-04 Finn Harps L 1-250.8 1111 1032 46.88% 29.79% 23.33%+0.37 -6.7 7
1996-10-04 @ Shelbourne W 2-150.8 1032 1111 23.33% 29.79% 46.88%-0.37 +6.7 12
1996-10-04 Cork City D 1-152.3 1143 1046 49.43% 28.99% 21.58%+0.45 -0.9 6
1996-10-04 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-152.3 1046 1143 21.58% 28.99% 49.43%-0.45 +0.9 4
1996-10-05 Sligo Rovers D 0-047.0 1144 1103 41.68% 30.98% 27.34%+0.21 -0.5 14
1996-10-05 @ Derry City D 0-047.0 1103 1144 27.34% 30.98% 41.68%-0.21 +0.5 12
1996-10-05 Bohemian L 0-324.9 884 1197 10.59% 17.36% 72.05%-1.23 -4.7 2
1996-10-05 @ Home Farm W 3-024.9 1197 884 72.05% 17.36% 10.59%+1.23 +4.7 16
1996-10-06 UC Dublin L 0-237.8 1025 1047 32.89% 31.59% 35.52%-0.04 -10.4 4
1996-10-06 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-037.8 1047 1025 35.52% 31.59% 32.89%+0.04 +10.4 9
1996-10-11 Dundalk W 3-029.9 1202 1057 55.54% 26.53% 17.93%+0.64 +9.0 19
1996-10-11 @ Bohemian L 0-329.9 1057 1202 17.93% 26.53% 55.54%-0.64 -9.0 7
1996-10-11 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-141.0 1104 1142 30.61% 31.45% 37.94%-0.11 -5.3 7
1996-10-11 @ Shelbourne W 1-041.0 1142 1104 37.94% 31.45% 30.61%+0.11 +5.3 9
1996-10-12 Shamrock Rovers D 0-046.8 1039 1072 31.37% 31.52% 37.11%-0.08 +0.2 13
1996-10-12 @ Finn Harps D 0-046.8 1072 1039 37.11% 31.52% 31.37%+0.08 -0.2 8
1996-10-12 Home Farm D 0-049.8 1104 879 65.08% 21.53% 13.39%+0.97 -1.9 13
1996-10-12 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-049.8 879 1104 13.39% 21.53% 65.08%-0.97 +1.9 3
1996-10-13 Bray Wanderers W 3-141.7 1047 1015 40.50% 31.16% 28.34%+0.18 +8.1 7
1996-10-13 @ Cork City L 1-341.7 1015 1047 28.34% 31.16% 40.50%-0.18 -8.1 4
1996-10-13 Derry City W 1-044.8 1057 1143 25.01% 30.39% 44.60%-0.30 +6.9 12
1996-10-13 @ UC Dublin L 0-144.8 1143 1057 44.60% 30.39% 25.01%+0.30 -6.9 14
1996-10-18 Sligo Rovers W 2-149.2 1048 1102 28.68% 31.22% 40.10%-0.17 +6.0 10
1996-10-18 @ Dundalk L 1-249.2 1102 1048 40.10% 31.22% 28.68%+0.17 -6.0 13
1996-10-18 Bohemian W 3-256.5 1071 1211 20.12% 28.15% 51.73%-0.52 +6.9 11
1996-10-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-356.5 1211 1071 51.73% 28.15% 20.12%+0.52 -6.9 19
1996-10-18 Finn Harps W 2-033.2 1148 1039 50.86% 28.48% 20.66%+0.49 +7.1 12
1996-10-18 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-233.2 1039 1148 20.66% 28.48% 50.86%-0.49 -7.1 13
1996-10-19 Cork City L 0-145.4 1136 1055 47.32% 29.66% 23.02%+0.38 -7.2 14
1996-10-19 @ Derry City W 1-045.4 1055 1136 23.02% 29.66% 47.32%-0.38 +7.2 10
1996-10-19 UC Dublin L 0-135.1 881 1064 17.05% 25.75% 57.20%-0.69 -3.1 3
1996-10-19 @ Home Farm W 1-035.1 1064 881 57.20% 25.75% 17.05%+0.69 +3.1 15
1996-10-20 Shelbourne L 0-432.8 1007 1099 24.41% 30.19% 45.40%-0.32 -15.8 4
1996-10-20 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-032.8 1099 1007 45.40% 30.19% 24.41%+0.32 +15.8 10
1996-10-25 Derry City D 2-257.0 1114 1129 33.83% 31.61% 34.56%-0.01 +0.0 11
1996-10-25 @ Shelbourne D 2-257.0 1129 1114 34.56% 31.61% 33.83%+0.01 -0.0 15
1996-10-25 Bray Wanderers D 2-258.8 1155 991 57.89% 25.41% 16.70%+0.72 -1.0 13
1996-10-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-258.8 991 1155 16.70% 25.41% 57.89%-0.72 +1.0 5
1996-10-26 Bohemian D 2-258.6 1032 1204 17.75% 26.38% 55.87%-0.65 +0.9 14
1996-10-26 @ Finn Harps D 2-258.6 1204 1032 55.87% 26.38% 17.75%+0.65 -0.9 20
1996-10-26 Shamrock Rovers W 3-035.0 1096 1078 38.47% 31.41% 30.13%+0.12 +14.2 16
1996-10-26 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-335.0 1078 1096 30.13% 31.41% 38.47%-0.12 -14.2 11
1996-10-27 Home Farm W 2-139.7 1062 878 60.32% 24.17% 15.51%+0.80 +2.6 13
1996-10-27 @ Cork City L 1-239.7 878 1062 15.51% 24.17% 60.32%-0.80 -2.6 3
1996-10-27 Dundalk W 1-041.0 1067 1054 37.81% 31.47% 30.72%+0.10 +5.3 18
1996-10-27 @ UC Dublin L 0-141.0 1054 1067 30.72% 31.47% 37.81%-0.10 -5.3 10
1996-11-01 Sligo Rovers L 0-242.0 1203 1110 48.86% 29.18% 21.96%+0.43 -13.9 20
1996-11-01 @ Bohemian W 2-042.0 1110 1203 21.96% 29.18% 48.86%-0.43 +13.9 19
1996-11-02 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.6 1129 1154 32.47% 31.58% 35.95%-0.05 +0.1 16
1996-11-02 @ Derry City D 1-151.6 1154 1129 35.95% 31.58% 32.47%+0.05 -0.1 14
1996-11-02 Shelbourne L 0-327.3 876 1114 13.90% 22.20% 63.90%-0.92 -6.7 3
1996-11-02 @ Home Farm W 3-027.3 1114 876 63.90% 22.20% 13.90%+0.92 +6.7 14
1996-11-03 Finn Harps L 0-140.8 992 1033 30.26% 31.42% 38.32%-0.12 -5.2 5
1996-11-03 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-040.8 1033 992 38.32% 31.42% 30.26%+0.12 +5.2 17
1996-11-03 Cork City L 0-141.9 1049 1065 33.70% 31.61% 34.69%-0.01 -5.6 10
1996-11-03 @ Dundalk W 1-041.9 1065 1049 34.69% 31.61% 33.70%+0.01 +5.6 16
1996-11-03 UC Dublin D 1-151.5 1064 1072 34.76% 31.61% 33.63%+0.02 -0.0 12
1996-11-03 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-151.5 1072 1064 33.63% 31.61% 34.76%-0.02 +0.0 19
1996-11-08 Dundalk W 2-143.7 1121 1043 46.81% 29.81% 23.38%+0.37 +4.0 17
1996-11-08 @ Shelbourne L 1-243.7 1043 1121 23.38% 29.81% 46.81%-0.37 -4.0 10
1996-11-08 Home Farm L 1-254.5 1154 869 71.63% 17.62% 10.76%+1.21 -9.1 14
1996-11-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-154.5 869 1154 10.76% 17.62% 71.63%-1.21 +9.1 6
1996-11-09 Derry City L 2-346.8 987 1129 19.88% 28.00% 52.12%-0.53 -3.3 5
1996-11-09 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-246.8 1129 987 52.12% 28.00% 19.88%+0.53 +3.3 19
1996-11-09 Shamrock Rovers L 0-142.8 1070 1064 36.85% 31.53% 31.62%+0.08 -6.0 16
1996-11-09 @ Cork City W 1-042.8 1064 1070 31.62% 31.53% 36.85%-0.08 +6.0 15
1996-11-09 Sligo Rovers D 1-151.9 1038 1124 25.04% 30.40% 44.56%-0.30 +0.6 18
1996-11-09 @ Finn Harps D 1-151.9 1124 1038 44.56% 30.40% 25.04%+0.30 -0.6 20
1996-11-09 Bohemian L 0-233.9 1072 1189 22.03% 29.22% 48.75%-0.43 -7.6 19
1996-11-09 @ UC Dublin W 2-033.9 1189 1072 48.75% 29.22% 22.03%+0.43 +7.6 23
1996-11-15 UC Dublin W 1-036.2 1197 1065 53.92% 27.25% 18.83%+0.59 +3.4 26
1996-11-15 @ Bohemian L 0-136.2 1065 1197 18.83% 27.25% 53.92%-0.59 -3.5 19
1996-11-15 Shelbourne L 0-138.9 1039 1125 25.04% 30.40% 44.56%-0.30 -4.5 10
1996-11-15 @ Dundalk W 1-038.9 1125 1039 44.56% 30.40% 25.04%+0.30 +4.5 20
1996-11-16 Bray Wanderers W 5-133.1 1132 983 56.07% 26.29% 17.64%+0.66 +9.6 22
1996-11-16 @ Derry City L 1-533.1 983 1132 17.64% 26.29% 56.07%-0.66 -9.6 5
1996-11-16 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-228.3 878 1144 12.58% 20.38% 67.04%-1.04 -4.0 6
1996-11-16 @ Home Farm W 2-028.3 1144 878 67.04% 20.38% 12.58%+1.04 +4.0 17
1996-11-16 Finn Harps L 0-241.7 1123 1039 47.73% 29.54% 22.73%+0.39 -13.6 20
1996-11-16 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-041.7 1039 1123 22.73% 29.54% 47.73%-0.39 +13.6 21
1996-11-17 Cork City L 0-142.8 1070 1064 36.79% 31.54% 31.68%+0.07 -6.0 15
1996-11-17 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-042.8 1064 1070 31.68% 31.54% 36.79%-0.07 +6.0 19
1996-11-22 Shamrock Rovers W 2-034.9 1130 1064 45.14% 30.26% 24.60%+0.32 +8.4 23
1996-11-22 @ Shelbourne L 0-234.9 1064 1130 24.60% 30.26% 45.14%-0.32 -8.4 15
1996-11-22 Dundalk D 2-258.0 1148 1035 51.57% 28.21% 20.22%+0.51 -0.8 18
1996-11-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-258.0 1035 1148 20.22% 28.21% 51.57%-0.51 +0.8 11
1996-11-23 Finn Harps W 3-032.0 1142 1052 48.40% 29.33% 22.27%+0.42 +11.1 25
1996-11-23 @ Derry City L 0-332.0 1052 1142 22.27% 29.33% 48.40%-0.42 -11.1 21
1996-11-24 Bohemian D 0-047.7 1070 1200 20.89% 28.61% 50.50%-0.48 +1.1 20
1996-11-24 @ Cork City D 0-047.7 1200 1070 50.50% 28.61% 20.89%+0.48 -1.1 27
1996-11-24 Sligo Rovers D 1-151.6 1061 1110 29.34% 31.31% 39.35%-0.15 +0.3 20
1996-11-24 @ UC Dublin D 1-151.6 1110 1061 39.35% 31.31% 29.34%+0.15 -0.3 21
1996-11-29 Bray Wanderers W 2-144.4 1036 974 44.63% 30.38% 24.99%+0.30 +4.2 14
1996-11-29 @ Dundalk L 1-244.4 974 1036 24.99% 30.38% 44.63%-0.30 -4.2 5
1996-11-29 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-138.7 1056 1148 24.40% 30.19% 45.42%-0.33 -4.4 15
1996-11-29 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-038.7 1148 1056 45.42% 30.19% 24.40%+0.33 +4.4 21
1996-11-30 UC Dublin W 5-140.0 1041 1062 33.05% 31.60% 35.35%-0.03 +17.4 24
1996-11-30 @ Finn Harps L 1-540.0 1062 1041 35.35% 31.60% 33.05%+0.03 -17.4 20
1996-11-30 Derry City L 0-227.9 874 1153 12.01% 19.54% 68.45%-1.09 -3.8 6
1996-11-30 @ Home Farm W 2-027.9 1153 874 68.45% 19.54% 12.01%+1.09 +3.8 28
1996-11-30 Cork City L 1-442.9 1109 1071 41.37% 31.03% 27.60%+0.21 -15.0 21
1996-11-30 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-142.9 1071 1109 27.60% 31.03% 41.37%-0.21 +15.0 23
1996-12-01 Shelbourne D 1-152.0 1199 1138 44.59% 30.39% 25.02%+0.30 -0.6 28
1996-12-01 @ Bohemian D 1-152.0 1138 1199 25.02% 30.39% 44.59%-0.30 +0.6 24
1996-12-06 Bohemian W 5-038.4 1152 1199 29.57% 31.34% 39.09%-0.14 +27.6 24
1996-12-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-538.4 1199 1152 39.09% 31.34% 29.57%+0.14 -27.6 28
1996-12-07 Dundalk W 5-238.0 1157 1040 52.03% 28.03% 19.94%+0.53 +7.3 31
1996-12-07 @ Derry City L 2-538.0 1040 1157 19.94% 28.03% 52.03%-0.53 -7.3 14
1996-12-07 Finn Harps L 2-345.0 870 1059 16.69% 25.40% 57.91%-0.72 -2.7 6
1996-12-07 @ Home Farm W 3-245.0 1059 870 57.91% 25.40% 16.69%+0.72 +2.7 27
1996-12-08 Shamrock Rovers L 3-451.6 970 1051 25.47% 30.52% 44.00%-0.28 -4.0 5
1996-12-08 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-351.6 1051 970 44.00% 30.52% 25.47%+0.28 +4.0 18
1996-12-08 UC Dublin W 1-039.7 1086 1044 41.91% 30.94% 27.15%+0.22 +4.8 26
1996-12-08 @ Cork City L 0-139.7 1044 1086 27.15% 30.94% 41.91%-0.22 -4.8 20
1996-12-08 Sligo Rovers W 3-033.9 1138 1094 42.20% 30.89% 26.91%+0.23 +13.1 27
1996-12-08 @ Shelbourne L 0-333.9 1094 1138 26.91% 30.89% 42.20%-0.23 -13.1 21
1996-12-13 Home Farm W 2-140.3 1032 867 58.04% 25.34% 16.63%+0.72 +2.8 17
1996-12-13 @ Dundalk L 1-240.3 867 1032 16.63% 25.34% 58.04%-0.72 -2.8 6
1996-12-14 Cork City L 0-141.3 1061 1091 31.76% 31.54% 36.70%-0.07 -5.4 27
1996-12-14 @ Finn Harps W 1-041.3 1091 1061 36.70% 31.54% 31.76%+0.07 +5.4 29
1996-12-14 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-041.4 1081 1180 23.77% 29.96% 46.27%-0.35 +13.3 24
1996-12-14 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-241.4 1180 1081 46.27% 29.96% 23.77%+0.35 -13.3 24
1996-12-15 Bray Wanderers W 1-033.4 1171 966 62.89% 22.77% 14.34%+0.89 +2.5 31
1996-12-15 @ Bohemian L 0-133.4 966 1171 14.34% 22.77% 62.89%-0.89 -2.5 5
1996-12-15 Derry City D 1-152.2 1055 1164 22.74% 29.54% 47.72%-0.39 +0.8 19
1996-12-15 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-152.2 1164 1055 47.72% 29.54% 22.74%+0.39 -0.8 32
1996-12-15 Shelbourne L 1-339.5 1040 1152 22.47% 29.42% 48.11%-0.41 -6.7 20
1996-12-15 @ UC Dublin W 3-139.5 1152 1040 48.11% 29.42% 22.47%+0.41 +6.7 30
1996-12-19 Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.7 865 1056 16.51% 25.22% 58.27%-0.73 +1.5 7
1996-12-19 @ Home Farm D 0-048.7 1056 865 58.27% 25.22% 16.51%+0.73 -1.6 20
1996-12-20 Finn Harps D 1-151.5 1035 1056 33.00% 31.60% 35.41%-0.03 +0.1 18
1996-12-20 @ Dundalk D 1-151.5 1056 1035 35.41% 31.60% 33.00%+0.03 -0.1 28
1996-12-20 Cork City D 3-360.9 1158 1097 44.63% 30.38% 24.99%+0.30 -0.4 31
1996-12-20 @ Shelbourne D 3-360.9 1097 1158 24.99% 30.38% 44.63%-0.30 +0.4 30
1996-12-20 UC Dublin D 1-152.9 1166 1033 54.11% 27.17% 18.72%+0.59 -1.2 25
1996-12-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-152.9 1033 1166 18.72% 27.17% 54.11%-0.59 +1.2 21
1996-12-22 Sligo Rovers D 2-257.9 963 1095 20.76% 28.54% 50.70%-0.49 +0.7 6
1996-12-22 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-257.9 1095 963 50.70% 28.54% 20.76%+0.49 -0.7 25
1996-12-22 Bohemian W 1-042.1 1164 1174 34.51% 31.61% 33.88%+0.01 +5.7 35
1996-12-22 @ Derry City L 0-142.1 1174 1164 33.88% 31.61% 34.51%-0.01 -5.6 31
1996-12-27 Dundalk L 0-239.5 1055 1035 38.69% 31.38% 29.92%+0.13 -11.7 20
1996-12-27 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-039.5 1035 1055 29.92% 31.38% 38.69%-0.13 +11.7 21
1996-12-28 Derry City L 0-139.4 1094 1169 26.17% 30.71% 43.11%-0.26 -4.7 25
1996-12-28 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-039.4 1169 1094 43.11% 30.71% 26.17%+0.26 +4.7 38
1996-12-29 Home Farm D 1-156.0 1168 866 73.37% 16.54% 10.08%+1.28 -2.1 32
1996-12-29 @ Bohemian D 1-156.0 866 1168 10.08% 16.54% 73.37%-1.28 +2.1 8
1996-12-29 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.8 1097 1165 26.96% 30.90% 42.14%-0.23 +0.5 31
1996-12-29 @ Cork City D 1-151.8 1165 1097 42.14% 30.90% 26.96%+0.23 -0.5 26
1996-12-29 Bray Wanderers W 2-144.0 1034 964 45.79% 30.09% 24.12%+0.34 +4.1 24
1996-12-29 @ UC Dublin L 1-244.0 964 1034 24.12% 30.09% 45.79%-0.34 -4.1 6
1996-12-31 Home Farm W 1-037.7 960 868 48.63% 29.26% 22.11%+0.42 +4.0 9
1996-12-31 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-137.7 868 960 22.11% 29.26% 48.63%-0.42 -4.0 8
1997-01-03 Bohemian L 0-233.8 1047 1166 21.86% 29.13% 49.01%-0.43 -7.5 21
1997-01-03 @ Dundalk W 2-033.8 1166 1047 49.01% 29.13% 21.86%+0.43 +7.5 35
1997-01-05 Cork City D 0-047.7 964 1097 20.59% 28.44% 50.97%-0.50 +1.1 10
1997-01-05 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-047.7 1097 964 50.97% 28.44% 20.59%+0.50 -1.1 32
1997-01-17 Bray Wanderers W 1-033.9 1158 965 61.43% 23.57% 15.00%+0.84 +2.7 34
1997-01-17 @ Shelbourne L 0-133.9 965 1158 15.00% 23.57% 61.43%-0.84 -2.7 10
1997-01-18 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-138.0 1056 1165 22.77% 29.56% 47.68%-0.39 -4.2 28
1997-01-18 @ Finn Harps W 1-038.0 1165 1056 47.68% 29.56% 22.77%+0.39 +4.1 29
1997-01-18 Dundalk W 2-144.9 1089 1040 42.99% 30.74% 26.27%+0.25 +4.4 28
1997-01-18 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-244.9 1040 1089 26.27% 30.74% 42.99%-0.25 -4.4 21
1997-01-19 Shamrock Rovers D 1-152.8 1173 1043 53.74% 27.33% 18.93%+0.58 -1.1 36
1997-01-19 @ Bohemian D 1-152.8 1043 1173 18.93% 27.33% 53.74%-0.58 +1.2 21
1997-01-19 Derry City L 0-139.3 1096 1174 25.92% 30.65% 43.43%-0.27 -4.6 32
1997-01-19 @ Cork City W 1-039.3 1174 1096 43.43% 30.65% 25.92%+0.27 +4.6 41
1997-01-19 Home Farm D 0-048.8 1038 864 59.12% 24.79% 16.09%+0.76 -1.6 25
1997-01-19 @ UC Dublin D 0-048.8 864 1038 16.09% 24.79% 59.12%-0.76 +1.6 9
1997-01-21 Shelbourne D 1-151.6 1169 1161 37.15% 31.51% 31.34%+0.08 -0.2 30
1997-01-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.6 1161 1169 31.34% 31.51% 37.15%-0.08 +0.2 35
1997-01-22 Sligo Rovers D 0-049.3 866 1094 14.46% 22.91% 62.63%-0.88 +1.8 10
1997-01-22 @ Home Farm D 0-049.3 1094 866 62.63% 22.91% 14.46%+0.88 -1.8 29
1997-01-24 Finn Harps W 3-138.2 1172 1052 52.44% 27.87% 19.69%+0.54 +5.9 39
1997-01-24 @ Bohemian L 1-338.2 1052 1172 19.69% 27.87% 52.44%-0.54 -5.9 28
1997-01-24 UC Dublin D 2-256.9 1035 1037 35.76% 31.58% 32.66%+0.04 -0.1 22
1997-01-24 @ Dundalk D 2-256.9 1037 1035 32.66% 31.58% 35.76%-0.04 +0.1 26
1997-01-25 Shelbourne D 2-257.1 1179 1161 38.50% 31.40% 30.10%+0.12 -0.2 42
1997-01-25 @ Derry City D 2-257.1 1161 1179 30.10% 31.40% 38.50%-0.12 +0.2 36
1997-01-25 Cork City L 0-229.8 868 1092 14.66% 23.16% 62.18%-0.86 -4.9 10
1997-01-25 @ Home Farm W 2-029.8 1092 868 62.18% 23.16% 14.66%+0.86 +4.9 35
1997-01-26 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-134.3 962 1169 15.62% 24.28% 60.10%-0.79 -2.8 10
1997-01-26 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-034.3 1169 962 60.10% 24.28% 15.62%+0.79 +2.8 33
1997-01-26 Sligo Rovers W 2-149.0 1044 1092 29.39% 31.32% 39.29%-0.15 +5.9 24
1997-01-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-249.0 1092 1044 39.29% 31.32% 29.39%+0.15 -5.9 29
1997-01-31 Derry City D 1-151.6 1171 1178 34.98% 31.61% 33.42%+0.02 -0.0 34
1997-01-31 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.6 1178 1171 33.42% 31.61% 34.98%-0.02 +0.0 43
1997-02-01 Bray Wanderers D 0-047.4 1046 959 47.99% 29.46% 22.55%+0.40 -0.9 29
1997-02-01 @ Finn Harps D 0-047.4 959 1046 22.55% 29.46% 47.99%-0.40 +0.9 11
1997-02-01 Home Farm W 2-026.5 1161 863 73.01% 16.77% 10.22%+1.27 +3.1 39
1997-02-01 @ Shelbourne L 0-226.5 863 1161 10.22% 16.77% 73.01%-1.27 -3.1 10
1997-02-01 Bohemian W 2-150.5 1086 1178 24.38% 30.18% 45.44%-0.33 +6.6 32
1997-02-01 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-250.5 1178 1086 45.44% 30.18% 24.38%+0.33 -6.6 39
1997-02-02 Dundalk D 0-047.1 1097 1035 44.61% 30.39% 25.00%+0.30 -0.7 36
1997-02-02 @ Cork City D 0-047.1 1035 1097 25.00% 30.39% 44.61%-0.30 +0.7 23
1997-02-02 Shamrock Rovers W 1-042.1 1037 1050 34.05% 31.61% 34.34%+0.00 +5.7 29
1997-02-02 @ UC Dublin L 0-142.1 1050 1037 34.34% 31.61% 34.05%+0.00 -5.7 24
1997-02-04 Finn Harps D 2-256.9 1044 1045 35.84% 31.58% 32.58%+0.05 -0.1 25
1997-02-04 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-256.9 1045 1044 32.58% 31.58% 35.84%-0.05 +0.1 30
1997-02-11 UC Dublin W 5-030.9 1178 1042 54.44% 27.03% 18.54%+0.60 +15.0 46
1997-02-11 @ Derry City L 0-530.9 1042 1178 18.54% 27.03% 54.44%-0.60 -15.0 29
1997-02-14 Cork City W 1-038.4 1172 1096 46.53% 29.89% 23.58%+0.36 +4.3 42
1997-02-14 @ Bohemian L 0-138.4 1096 1172 23.58% 29.89% 46.53%-0.36 -4.3 36
1997-02-14 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-257.9 1036 1171 20.43% 28.34% 51.23%-0.50 +0.8 24
1997-02-14 @ Dundalk D 2-257.9 1171 1036 51.23% 28.34% 20.43%+0.50 -0.8 35
1997-02-14 Shelbourne W 6-453.0 1044 1164 21.76% 29.08% 49.16%-0.44 +9.9 28
1997-02-14 @ Shamrock Rovers L 4-653.0 1164 1044 49.16% 29.08% 21.76%+0.44 -9.9 39
1997-02-15 Derry City L 0-136.5 1045 1193 19.44% 27.70% 52.86%-0.55 -3.6 30
1997-02-15 @ Finn Harps W 1-036.5 1193 1045 52.86% 27.70% 19.44%+0.55 +3.6 49
1997-02-15 Bray Wanderers L 0-138.3 860 960 23.55% 29.88% 46.57%-0.36 -4.3 10
1997-02-15 @ Home Farm W 1-038.3 960 860 46.57% 29.88% 23.55%+0.36 +4.3 14
1997-02-15 UC Dublin W 2-034.9 1093 1027 45.12% 30.26% 24.62%+0.32 +8.4 35
1997-02-15 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-234.9 1027 1093 24.62% 30.26% 45.12%-0.32 -8.4 29
1997-02-21 Bohemian L 0-141.7 1154 1176 32.86% 31.59% 35.55%-0.04 -5.5 39
1997-02-21 @ Shelbourne W 1-041.7 1176 1154 35.55% 31.59% 32.86%+0.04 +5.5 45
1997-02-22 Home Farm D 1-156.7 1197 855 77.17% 14.18% 8.65%+1.44 -2.3 50
1997-02-22 @ Derry City D 1-156.7 855 1197 8.65% 14.18% 77.17%-1.44 +2.3 11
1997-02-23 Dundalk L 0-139.5 965 1036 26.54% 30.80% 42.65%-0.24 -4.7 14
1997-02-23 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-039.5 1036 965 42.65% 30.80% 26.54%+0.24 +4.7 27
1997-02-23 Sligo Rovers W 1-041.9 1092 1101 34.62% 31.61% 33.77%+0.01 +5.6 39
1997-02-23 @ Cork City L 0-141.9 1101 1092 33.77% 31.61% 34.62%-0.01 -5.6 35
1997-02-23 Shamrock Rovers D 2-258.0 1171 1054 51.96% 28.06% 19.98%+0.53 -0.8 36
1997-02-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-258.0 1054 1171 19.98% 28.06% 51.96%-0.53 +0.8 29
1997-02-23 Finn Harps D 0-046.8 1019 1041 32.74% 31.59% 35.67%-0.04 +0.1 30
1997-02-23 @ UC Dublin D 0-046.8 1041 1019 35.67% 31.59% 32.74%+0.04 -0.1 31
1997-02-28 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-143.1 1181 1170 37.60% 31.48% 30.92%+0.10 -6.1 45
1997-02-28 @ Bohemian W 1-043.1 1170 1181 30.92% 31.48% 37.60%-0.10 +6.1 39
1997-02-28 Derry City L 0-136.3 1041 1195 19.06% 27.42% 53.52%-0.58 -3.5 27
1997-02-28 @ Dundalk W 1-036.3 1195 1041 53.52% 27.42% 19.06%+0.58 +3.5 53
1997-02-28 Bray Wanderers D 2-257.7 1055 960 49.11% 29.10% 21.79%+0.44 -0.7 30
1997-02-28 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-257.7 960 1055 21.79% 29.10% 49.11%-0.44 +0.7 15
1997-03-01 Home Farm W 3-028.4 1041 858 60.31% 24.17% 15.52%+0.80 +7.6 34
1997-03-01 @ Finn Harps L 0-328.4 858 1041 15.52% 24.17% 60.31%-0.80 -7.6 11
1997-03-01 Shelbourne L 0-334.5 1095 1149 28.73% 31.23% 40.05%-0.17 -13.8 35
1997-03-01 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-034.5 1149 1095 40.05% 31.23% 28.73%+0.17 +13.8 42
1997-03-02 Cork City W 3-038.7 1019 1097 25.85% 30.63% 43.52%-0.27 +18.5 33
1997-03-02 @ UC Dublin L 0-338.7 1097 1019 43.52% 30.63% 25.85%+0.27 -18.5 39
1997-03-09 Dundalk L 0-134.9 850 1038 16.75% 25.46% 57.80%-0.71 -3.0 11
1997-03-09 @ Home Farm W 1-034.9 1038 850 57.80% 25.46% 16.75%+0.71 +3.0 30
1997-03-14 Home Farm L 2-358.1 1054 847 63.07% 22.67% 14.26%+0.89 -7.9 30
1997-03-14 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-258.1 847 1054 14.26% 22.67% 63.07%-0.89 +7.9 14
1997-03-15 Dundalk D 0-046.8 1049 1041 37.14% 31.51% 31.34%+0.08 -0.2 35
1997-03-15 @ Finn Harps D 0-046.8 1041 1049 31.34% 31.51% 37.14%-0.08 +0.2 31
1997-03-15 Bray Wanderers L 0-146.4 1082 960 52.52% 27.84% 19.64%+0.54 -7.8 35
1997-03-15 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-046.4 960 1082 19.64% 27.84% 52.52%-0.54 +7.8 18
1997-03-16 Derry City L 0-237.9 1175 1198 32.70% 31.59% 35.71%-0.04 -10.4 45
1997-03-16 @ Bohemian W 2-037.9 1198 1175 35.71% 31.59% 32.70%+0.04 +10.4 56
1997-03-16 Shelbourne L 0-139.1 1079 1162 25.27% 30.47% 44.26%-0.29 -4.5 39
1997-03-16 @ Cork City W 1-039.1 1162 1079 44.26% 30.47% 25.27%+0.29 +4.5 45
1997-03-16 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-042.4 1038 1176 20.21% 28.20% 51.59%-0.51 +14.5 36
1997-03-16 @ UC Dublin L 0-242.4 1176 1038 51.59% 28.20% 20.21%+0.51 -14.5 39
1997-03-21 Shamrock Rovers L 1-343.9 1041 1046 35.21% 31.60% 33.19%+0.03 -9.5 31
1997-03-21 @ Dundalk W 3-143.9 1046 1041 33.19% 31.60% 35.21%-0.03 +9.5 33
1997-03-21 Finn Harps W 2-032.8 1167 1049 52.13% 27.99% 19.88%+0.53 +6.9 48
1997-03-21 @ Shelbourne L 0-232.8 1049 1167 19.88% 27.99% 52.13%-0.53 -6.9 35
1997-03-21 Cork City D 0-047.4 1162 1074 48.10% 29.43% 22.48%+0.41 -0.9 40
1997-03-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-047.4 1074 1162 22.48% 29.43% 48.10%-0.41 +0.9 40
1997-03-22 Sligo Rovers L 0-242.9 1209 1074 54.27% 27.10% 18.63%+0.60 -15.0 56
1997-03-22 @ Derry City W 2-042.9 1074 1209 18.63% 27.10% 54.27%-0.60 +15.0 38
1997-03-23 UC Dublin W 2-040.9 968 1052 25.25% 30.46% 44.29%-0.29 +12.9 21
1997-03-23 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-240.9 1052 968 44.29% 30.46% 25.25%+0.29 -12.9 36
1997-03-23 Bohemian D 2-261.1 855 1165 10.73% 17.57% 71.71%-1.21 +1.5 15
1997-03-23 @ Home Farm D 2-261.1 1165 855 71.71% 17.57% 10.73%+1.21 -1.5 46
1997-03-28 Dundalk D 0-048.1 1163 1031 53.91% 27.26% 18.83%+0.59 -1.3 47
1997-03-28 @ Bohemian D 0-048.1 1031 1163 18.83% 27.26% 53.91%-0.59 +1.3 32
1997-03-28 Bray Wanderers W 3-139.2 1075 981 48.98% 29.14% 21.88%+0.43 +6.5 43
1997-03-28 @ Cork City L 1-339.2 981 1075 21.88% 29.14% 48.98%-0.43 -6.5 21
1997-03-28 Shamrock Rovers L 1-247.4 1042 1056 33.99% 31.61% 34.40%-0.01 -5.3 35
1997-03-28 @ Finn Harps W 2-147.4 1056 1042 34.40% 31.61% 33.99%+0.01 +5.3 36
1997-03-28 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.7 1174 1161 37.84% 31.46% 30.70%+0.10 -0.2 49
1997-03-28 @ Shelbourne D 1-151.7 1161 1174 30.70% 31.46% 37.84%-0.10 +0.2 41
1997-03-29 Home Farm W 3-242.6 1089 856 65.97% 21.01% 13.02%+1.00 +2.0 41
1997-03-29 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-342.6 856 1089 13.02% 21.01% 65.97%-1.00 -2.0 15
1997-03-30 Derry City L 0-136.2 1039 1194 18.98% 27.37% 53.65%-0.58 -3.5 36
1997-03-30 @ UC Dublin W 1-036.2 1194 1039 53.65% 27.37% 18.98%+0.58 +3.5 59
1997-03-31 Finn Harps W 1-039.6 1082 1037 42.34% 30.86% 26.80%+0.23 +4.8 46
1997-03-31 @ Cork City L 0-139.6 1037 1082 26.80% 30.86% 42.34%-0.23 -4.8 35
1997-04-04 Sligo Rovers D 1-151.7 1033 1091 28.15% 31.13% 40.71%-0.19 +0.4 33
1997-04-04 @ Dundalk D 1-151.7 1091 1033 40.71% 31.13% 28.15%+0.19 -0.4 42
1997-04-06 UC Dublin L 2-345.3 854 1036 17.16% 25.85% 57.00%-0.69 -2.8 15
1997-04-06 @ Home Farm W 3-245.3 1036 854 57.00% 25.85% 17.16%+0.69 +2.8 39
1997-04-06 Finn Harps W 2-141.7 1161 1032 53.54% 27.42% 19.05%+0.58 +3.3 44
1997-04-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-241.7 1032 1161 19.05% 27.42% 53.54%-0.58 -3.3 35
1997-04-08 UC Dublin W 1-036.0 1174 1038 54.32% 27.08% 18.60%+0.60 +3.4 52
1997-04-08 @ Shelbourne L 0-136.0 1038 1174 18.60% 27.08% 54.32%-0.60 -3.4 39
1997-04-11 Bray Wanderers W 2-139.5 1164 975 61.01% 23.80% 15.19%+0.82 +2.6 47
1997-04-11 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-239.5 975 1164 15.19% 23.80% 61.01%-0.82 -2.6 21
1997-04-12 Bohemian L 1-242.5 1029 1162 20.60% 28.44% 50.95%-0.49 -3.6 35
1997-04-12 @ Finn Harps W 2-142.5 1162 1029 50.95% 28.44% 20.60%+0.49 +3.6 50
1997-04-12 Derry City D 1-151.7 1177 1197 33.09% 31.60% 35.31%-0.03 +0.1 53
1997-04-12 @ Shelbourne D 1-151.7 1197 1177 35.31% 31.60% 33.09%+0.03 -0.1 60
1997-04-12 Shamrock Rovers D 1-151.6 1090 1061 40.15% 31.21% 28.64%+0.17 -0.4 43
1997-04-12 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-151.6 1061 1090 28.64% 31.21% 40.15%-0.17 +0.4 37
1997-04-13 Home Farm D 0-050.0 1086 852 66.24% 20.85% 12.91%+1.01 -2.0 47
1997-04-13 @ Cork City D 0-050.0 852 1086 12.91% 20.85% 66.24%-1.01 +2.0 16
1997-04-13 Dundalk W 3-143.0 1035 1033 36.23% 31.57% 32.21%+0.06 +8.9 42
1997-04-13 @ UC Dublin L 1-343.0 1033 1035 32.21% 31.57% 36.23%-0.06 -8.9 33
1997-04-15 Shamrock Rovers D 1-152.9 1197 1061 54.38% 27.05% 18.57%+0.60 -1.2 61
1997-04-15 @ Derry City D 1-152.9 1061 1197 18.57% 27.05% 54.38%-0.60 +1.2 38
1997-04-15 Shelbourne W 3-256.7 1025 1177 19.16% 27.50% 53.34%-0.57 +7.0 38
1997-04-15 @ Finn Harps L 2-356.7 1177 1025 53.34% 27.50% 19.16%+0.57 -7.0 53
1997-04-15 Sligo Rovers W 4-243.5 1167 1090 46.66% 29.85% 23.48%+0.36 +6.2 50
1997-04-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-443.5 1090 1167 23.48% 29.85% 46.66%-0.36 -6.2 43
1997-04-16 Bohemian L 0-134.7 972 1166 16.38% 25.09% 58.54%-0.74 -3.0 21
1997-04-16 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-034.7 1166 972 58.54% 25.09% 16.38%+0.74 +3.0 53
1997-04-18 UC Dublin D 0-046.8 1062 1044 38.61% 31.39% 29.99%+0.13 -0.3 39
1997-04-18 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-046.8 1044 1062 29.99% 31.39% 38.61%-0.13 +0.3 43
1997-04-19 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-036.8 1196 1173 39.22% 31.33% 29.45%+0.14 +9.7 64
1997-04-19 @ Derry City L 0-236.8 1173 1196 29.45% 31.33% 39.22%-0.14 -9.7 50
1997-04-20 Sligo Rovers D 0-047.4 1169 1084 47.76% 29.53% 22.71%+0.40 -0.9 54
1997-04-20 @ Bohemian D 0-047.4 1084 1169 22.71% 29.53% 47.76%-0.40 +0.9 44
1997-04-20 Finn Harps D 0-046.9 969 1032 27.58% 31.03% 41.40%-0.21 +0.5 22
1997-04-20 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-046.9 1032 969 41.40% 31.03% 27.58%+0.21 -0.5 39
1997-04-20 Cork City L 0-434.1 1024 1084 27.90% 31.09% 41.02%-0.20 -17.6 33
1997-04-20 @ Dundalk W 4-034.1 1084 1024 41.02% 31.09% 27.90%+0.20 +17.6 50
1997-04-20 Shelbourne W 3-043.3 854 1170 10.47% 17.17% 72.36%-1.24 +26.5 19
1997-04-20 @ Home Farm L 0-343.3 1170 854 72.36% 17.17% 10.47%+1.24 -26.5 53
1997-04-22 Shelbourne D 1-153.1 970 1143 17.63% 26.27% 56.10%-0.66 +1.3 23
1997-04-22 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-153.1 1143 970 56.10% 26.27% 17.63%+0.66 -1.3 54
1997-04-22 Cork City L 0-242.2 1205 1102 50.23% 28.71% 21.06%+0.47 -14.2 64
1997-04-22 @ Derry City W 2-042.2 1102 1205 21.06% 28.71% 50.23%-0.47 +14.2 53
1997-04-24 Bohemian W 3-147.0 1062 1168 23.07% 29.69% 47.24%-0.38 +11.7 42
1997-04-24 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-347.0 1168 1062 47.24% 29.69% 23.07%+0.38 -11.7 54
1997-04-26 Sligo Rovers L 3-452.8 1032 1085 28.74% 31.23% 40.03%-0.17 -4.4 39
1997-04-26 @ Finn Harps W 4-352.8 1085 1032 40.03% 31.23% 28.74%+0.17 +4.4 47
1997-04-27 Derry City L 2-535.0 971 1191 14.85% 23.39% 61.76%-0.85 -5.3 23
1997-04-27 @ Bray Wanderers W 5-235.0 1191 971 61.76% 23.39% 14.85%+0.85 +5.3 67
1997-04-27 Shamrock Rovers D 1-151.7 1116 1074 41.94% 30.94% 27.13%+0.22 -0.5 54
1997-04-27 @ Cork City D 1-151.7 1074 1116 27.13% 30.94% 41.94%-0.22 +0.5 43
1997-04-27 Dundalk L 0-146.7 1142 1007 54.37% 27.06% 18.58%+0.60 -8.0 54
1997-04-27 @ Shelbourne W 1-046.7 1007 1142 18.58% 27.06% 54.37%-0.60 +8.0 36
1997-04-27 Home Farm W 3-132.4 1163 880 71.46% 17.72% 10.82%+1.20 +2.9 53
1997-04-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-332.4 880 1163 10.82% 17.72% 71.46%-1.20 -2.9 19
1997-04-27 Bohemian L 1-243.4 1044 1156 22.49% 29.43% 48.08%-0.41 -3.9 43
1997-04-27 @ UC Dublin W 2-143.4 1156 1044 48.08% 29.43% 22.49%+0.41 +3.9 57

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1997-04-20 10.47% @ Home Farm 854 3 Shelbourne 1170 0
2 1996-11-08 10.76% Home Farm 869 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1154 1
3 1997-03-14 14.26% Home Farm 847 3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1054 2
4 1997-04-27 18.58% Dundalk 1007 1 @ Shelbourne 1142 0
5 1997-03-22 18.63% Sligo Rovers 1074 2 @ Derry City 1209 0
6 1997-04-15 19.16% @ Finn Harps 1025 3 Shelbourne 1177 2
7 1997-03-15 19.64% Bray Wanderers 960 1 @ Sligo Rovers 1082 0
8 1996-10-18 20.12% @ Shamrock Rovers 1071 3 Bohemian 1211 2
9 1997-03-16 20.21% @ UC Dublin 1038 2 St Patrick's Athletic 1176 0
10 1997-04-22 21.06% Cork City 1102 2 @ Derry City 1205 0
11 1997-02-14 21.76% @ Shamrock Rovers 1044 6 Shelbourne 1164 4
12 1996-11-01 21.96% Sligo Rovers 1110 2 @ Bohemian 1203 0
13 1996-11-16 22.73% Finn Harps 1039 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1123 0
14 1996-10-19 23.02% Cork City 1055 1 @ Derry City 1136 0
15 1997-04-24 23.07% @ Shamrock Rovers 1062 3 Bohemian 1168 1
16 1996-10-04 23.33% Finn Harps 1032 2 @ Shelbourne 1111 1
17 1996-12-14 23.77% @ Sligo Rovers 1081 2 St Patrick's Athletic 1180 0
18 1997-02-01 24.38% @ Sligo Rovers 1086 2 Bohemian 1178 1
19 1996-09-29 24.88% @ Cork City 1035 3 Shelbourne 1122 1
20 1996-10-13 25.01% @ UC Dublin 1057 1 Derry City 1143 0
21 1997-03-23 25.25% @ Bray Wanderers 968 2 UC Dublin 1052 0
22 1997-03-02 25.85% @ UC Dublin 1019 3 Cork City 1097 0
23 1996-08-30 26.71% @ Dundalk 1080 1 St Patrick's Athletic 1151 0
24 1996-09-22 26.86% Finn Harps 997 1 @ Cork City 1041 0
25 1996-09-28 26.90% @ Finn Harps 1003 5 Dundalk 1072 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-09-28 29.13 @ Finn Harps 5 1003 26.90% Dundalk 0 1072 42.22% 30.89%
2 1996-12-06 27.55 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1152 29.57% Bohemian 0 1199 39.09% 31.34%
3 1997-04-20 26.55 @ Home Farm 3 854 10.47% Shelbourne 0 1170 72.36% 17.17%
4 1997-03-02 18.50 @ UC Dublin 3 1019 25.85% Cork City 0 1097 43.52% 30.63%
5 1996-09-08 18.44 @ UC Dublin 4 1032 38.90% Finn Harps 0 1012 29.74% 31.36%
6 1997-04-20 17.57 Cork City 4 1084 41.02% @ Dundalk 0 1024 27.90% 31.09%
7 1996-11-30 17.36 @ Finn Harps 5 1041 33.05% UC Dublin 1 1062 35.35% 31.60%
8 1996-10-20 15.77 Shelbourne 4 1099 45.40% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1007 24.41% 30.19%
9 1996-11-30 15.04 Cork City 4 1071 27.60% @ Sligo Rovers 1 1109 41.37% 31.03%
10 1997-03-22 15.01 Sligo Rovers 2 1074 18.63% @ Derry City 0 1209 54.27% 27.10%
11 1997-02-11 14.98 @ Derry City 5 1178 54.44% UC Dublin 0 1042 18.54% 27.03%
12 1997-03-16 14.46 @ UC Dublin 2 1038 20.21% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1176 51.59% 28.20%
13 1996-10-04 14.30 @ Dundalk 4 1043 30.00% Shamrock Rovers 1 1086 38.60% 31.39%
14 1996-10-26 14.24 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1096 38.47% Shamrock Rovers 0 1078 30.13% 31.41%
15 1997-04-22 14.18 Cork City 2 1102 21.06% @ Derry City 0 1205 50.23% 28.71%
16 1996-11-01 13.89 Sligo Rovers 2 1110 21.96% @ Bohemian 0 1203 48.86% 29.18%
17 1997-03-01 13.75 Shelbourne 3 1149 40.05% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1095 28.73% 31.23%
18 1996-11-16 13.64 Finn Harps 2 1039 22.73% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1123 47.73% 29.54%
19 1996-12-14 13.33 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1081 23.77% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1180 46.27% 29.96%
20 1996-12-08 13.07 @ Shelbourne 3 1138 42.20% Sligo Rovers 0 1094 26.91% 30.89%
21 1997-03-23 12.90 @ Bray Wanderers 2 968 25.25% UC Dublin 0 1052 44.29% 30.46%
22 1997-04-24 11.73 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1062 23.07% Bohemian 1 1168 47.24% 29.69%
23 1996-12-27 11.70 Dundalk 2 1035 29.92% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1055 38.69% 31.38%
24 1996-09-29 11.27 @ Cork City 3 1035 24.88% Shelbourne 1 1122 44.77% 30.35%
25 1996-11-23 11.14 @ Derry City 3 1142 48.40% Finn Harps 0 1052 22.27% 29.33%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-03-23 61.1 @ Home Farm 2 855 10.73% Bohemian 2 1165 71.71% 17.57%
2 1996-12-20 60.9 @ Shelbourne 3 1158 44.63% Cork City 3 1097 24.99% 30.38%
3 1996-10-25 58.8 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1155 57.89% Bray Wanderers 2 991 16.70% 25.41%
4 1996-10-26 58.6 @ Finn Harps 2 1032 17.75% Bohemian 2 1204 55.87% 26.38%
5 1997-03-14 58.1 Home Farm 3 847 14.26% @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1054 63.07% 22.67%
6 1996-11-22 58.0 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1148 51.57% Dundalk 2 1035 20.22% 28.21%
7 1997-02-23 58.0 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1171 51.96% Shamrock Rovers 2 1054 19.98% 28.06%
8 1996-12-22 57.9 @ Bray Wanderers 2 963 20.76% Sligo Rovers 2 1095 50.70% 28.54%
9 1997-02-14 57.9 @ Dundalk 2 1036 20.43% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1171 51.23% 28.34%
10 1997-02-28 57.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1055 49.11% Bray Wanderers 2 960 21.79% 29.10%
11 1996-09-20 57.2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1139 41.61% Sligo Rovers 2 1099 27.40% 30.99%
12 1997-01-25 57.1 @ Derry City 2 1179 38.50% Shelbourne 2 1161 30.10% 31.40%
13 1996-10-25 57.0 @ Shelbourne 2 1114 33.83% Derry City 2 1129 34.56% 31.61%
14 1997-01-24 56.9 @ Dundalk 2 1035 35.76% UC Dublin 2 1037 32.66% 31.58%
15 1997-02-04 56.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1044 35.84% Finn Harps 2 1045 32.58% 31.58%
16 1997-02-22 56.7 @ Derry City 1 1197 77.17% Home Farm 1 855 8.65% 14.18%
17 1997-04-15 56.7 @ Finn Harps 3 1025 19.16% Shelbourne 2 1177 53.34% 27.50%
18 1996-10-18 56.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1071 20.12% Bohemian 2 1211 51.73% 28.15%
19 1996-12-29 56.0 @ Bohemian 1 1168 73.37% Home Farm 1 866 10.08% 16.54%
20 1996-11-08 54.5 Home Farm 2 869 10.76% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1154 71.63% 17.62%
21 1997-04-22 53.1 @ Bray Wanderers 1 970 17.63% Shelbourne 1 1143 56.10% 26.27%
22 1997-02-14 53.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1044 21.76% Shelbourne 4 1164 49.16% 29.08%
23 1996-12-20 52.9 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1166 54.11% UC Dublin 1 1033 18.72% 27.17%
24 1997-04-15 52.9 @ Derry City 1 1197 54.38% Shamrock Rovers 1 1061 18.57% 27.05%
25 1997-01-19 52.8 @ Bohemian 1 1173 53.74% Shamrock Rovers 1 1043 18.93% 27.33%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1996-10-05 24.9 Bohemian 3 1197 72.05% @ Home Farm 0 884 10.59% 17.36%
2 1997-02-01 26.5 @ Shelbourne 2 1161 73.01% Home Farm 0 863 10.22% 16.77%
3 1996-11-02 27.3 Shelbourne 3 1114 63.90% @ Home Farm 0 876 13.90% 22.20%
4 1996-11-30 27.9 Derry City 2 1153 68.45% @ Home Farm 0 874 12.01% 19.54%
5 1996-11-16 28.3 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1144 67.04% @ Home Farm 0 878 12.58% 20.38%
6 1997-03-01 28.4 @ Finn Harps 3 1041 60.31% Home Farm 0 858 15.52% 24.17%
7 1997-01-25 29.8 Cork City 2 1092 62.18% @ Home Farm 0 868 14.66% 23.16%
8 1996-10-11 29.9 @ Bohemian 3 1202 55.54% Dundalk 0 1057 17.93% 26.53%
9 1997-02-11 30.9 @ Derry City 5 1178 54.44% UC Dublin 0 1042 18.54% 27.03%
10 1996-11-23 32.0 @ Derry City 3 1142 48.40% Finn Harps 0 1052 22.27% 29.33%
11 1997-04-27 32.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1163 71.46% Home Farm 1 880 10.82% 17.72%
12 1996-10-20 32.8 Shelbourne 4 1099 45.40% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1007 24.41% 30.19%
13 1997-03-21 32.8 @ Shelbourne 2 1167 52.13% Finn Harps 0 1049 19.88% 27.99%
14 1996-11-16 33.1 @ Derry City 5 1132 56.07% Bray Wanderers 1 983 17.64% 26.29%
15 1996-10-18 33.2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1148 50.86% Finn Harps 0 1039 20.66% 28.48%
16 1996-12-15 33.4 @ Bohemian 1 1171 62.89% Bray Wanderers 0 966 14.34% 22.77%
17 1997-01-03 33.8 Bohemian 2 1166 49.01% @ Dundalk 0 1047 21.86% 29.13%
18 1996-11-09 33.9 Bohemian 2 1189 48.75% @ UC Dublin 0 1072 22.03% 29.22%
19 1996-12-08 33.9 @ Shelbourne 3 1138 42.20% Sligo Rovers 0 1094 26.91% 30.89%
20 1997-01-17 33.9 @ Shelbourne 1 1158 61.43% Bray Wanderers 0 965 15.00% 23.57%
21 1996-09-07 34.0 @ Derry City 3 1127 66.32% Home Farm 1 892 12.87% 20.81%
22 1996-09-22 34.1 Bohemian 5 1187 52.75% @ Bray Wanderers 1 1040 19.51% 27.74%
23 1997-04-20 34.1 Cork City 4 1084 41.02% @ Dundalk 0 1024 27.90% 31.09%
24 1997-01-26 34.3 St Patrick's Athletic 1 1169 60.10% @ Bray Wanderers 0 962 15.62% 24.28%
25 1997-03-01 34.5 Shelbourne 3 1149 40.05% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1095 28.73% 31.23%