1998-99 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

198 games

Final

Champion

St Patrick's Athletic

73 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

St Patrick's Athletic

12.24 points above expected

73 points · 60.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dundalk

9.23 points below expected

27 points · 36.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	St Patrick's Athletic	33	22	7	4	73	58	21	+37	60.76	+12.24
2	Cork City	33	21	7	5	70	62	25	+37	57.92	+12.08
3	Shelbourne	33	13	8	12	47	37	35	+2	50.09	-3.09
4	Finn Harps	33	12	10	11	46	39	40	-1	42.41	+3.59
5	Derry City	33	12	9	12	45	34	32	+2	41.68	+3.32
6	UC Dublin	33	10	12	11	42	31	32	-1	41.04	+0.96
7	Waterford	33	11	9	13	42	21	37	-16	42.17	-0.17
8	Shamrock Rovers	33	9	13	11	40	34	40	-6	44.57	-4.57
9	Sligo Rovers	33	9	11	13	38	37	50	-13	36.97	+1.03
10	Bohemian	33	10	7	16	37	28	37	-9	43.22	-6.22
11	Bray Wanderers	33	8	8	17	32	30	45	-15	40.83	-8.83
12	Dundalk	33	6	9	18	27	23	40	-17	36.23	-9.23

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	St Patrick's Athletic	73	60.76	+12.24
2	Cork City	70	57.92	+12.08
3	Finn Harps	46	42.41	+3.59
4	Derry City	45	41.68	+3.32
5	Sligo Rovers	38	36.97	+1.03

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dundalk	27	36.23	-9.23
2	Bray Wanderers	32	40.83	-8.83
3	Bohemian	37	43.22	-6.22
4	Shamrock Rovers	40	44.57	-4.57
5	Shelbourne	47	50.09	-3.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Waterford	6	Apr 2 – May 2	1 in 1,239
2	Cork City	8	Aug 30 – Oct 18	1 in 1,015
3	UC Dublin	3	Dec 5 – Dec 20	1 in 58
4	Finn Harps	4	Nov 15 – Dec 5	1 in 57
5	Shelbourne	5	Feb 12 – Mar 19	1 in 50

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bray Wanderers	8	Nov 6 – Dec 20	1 in 792
2	Dundalk	8	Mar 14 – May 2	1 in 641
3	Bohemian	4	Sep 11 – Oct 2	1 in 51
4	Shelbourne	3	Jan 1 – Jan 27	1 in 33
5	Waterford	3	Oct 4 – Oct 17	1 in 33

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Waterford	8	Mar 19 – May 2	1 in 118
2	UC Dublin	7	Nov 22 – Jan 3	1 in 60
3	Bohemian	7	Dec 6 – Jan 29	1 in 52
4	Shamrock Rovers	9	Nov 20 – Jan 24	1 in 29
5	Derry City	6	Jan 3 – Feb 28	1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Waterford	15	Nov 6 – Mar 13	1 in 197
2	Sligo Rovers	10	Sep 5 – Nov 15	1 in 30
3	Bray Wanderers	9	Oct 30 – Dec 20	1 in 28
4	Cork City	4	Nov 29 – Dec 20	1 in 28
5	Shamrock Rovers	7	Mar 19 – May 2	1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
St Patrick's Athletic	1120	73	+22	13	9.5	+3.5
Cork City	1095	70	+20	12	8.9	+3.1
Shelbourne	982	47	-25	4	7.3	-3.3
Finn Harps	911	46	-9	7	7.5	-0.5
Derry City	933	45	-14	6	7.0	-1.0
Waterford	940	42	+51	15	6.2	+8.8
UC Dublin	935	42	+19	10	6.8	+3.2
Shamrock Rovers	927	40	-39	1	6.2	-5.2
Sligo Rovers	903	38	+21	10	5.2	+4.8
Bohemian	930	37	-13	6	6.7	-0.7
Bray Wanderers	902	32	-1	3	6.0	-3.0
Dundalk	846	27	-39	0	5.4	-5.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BOH	BW	CC	DC	DUN	FH	SR	SHE	SR	SPA	UD	WAT
Bohemian	—	1-1-1 4.61	0-1-2 3.20	2-0-1 3.87	3-0-0 4.75	0-0-3 4.47	0-2-1 3.53	2-0-1 3.13	0-1-2 4.45	1-1-1 2.44	1-0-2 3.94	0-1-2 4.63
Bray Wanderers	1-1-1 3.53	—	0-0-3 3.04	0-1-2 3.69	2-1-0 4.40	1-1-1 3.60	1-1-1 3.27	1-0-2 3.12	0-2-1 4.71	0-0-3 2.45	1-1-1 3.58	1-0-2 4.06
Cork City	2-1-0 4.99	3-0-0 5.16	—	1-1-1 5.53	2-1-0 5.91	2-1-0 5.72	3-0-0 5.36	2-1-0 5.02	3-0-0 5.68	0-0-3 3.72	1-1-1 5.25	2-1-0 5.44
Derry City	1-0-2 4.26	2-1-0 4.45	1-1-1 2.68	—	1-1-1 4.46	2-1-0 4.27	0-2-1 3.59	1-0-2 3.43	1-1-1 4.30	0-1-2 2.76	1-1-1 3.95	2-0-1 4.01
Dundalk	0-0-3 3.40	0-1-2 3.75	0-1-2 2.34	1-1-1 3.67	—	0-2-1 3.34	0-3-0 3.42	1-0-2 2.92	1-0-2 4.29	1-0-2 2.13	1-1-1 3.71	1-0-2 3.46
Finn Harps	3-0-0 3.68	1-1-1 4.53	0-1-2 2.51	0-1-2 3.86	1-2-0 4.80	—	2-0-1 3.84	1-1-1 3.31	0-2-1 4.24	1-1-1 2.80	1-1-1 4.49	2-0-1 4.05
Shamrock Rovers	1-2-0 4.61	1-1-1 4.88	0-0-3 2.84	1-2-0 4.54	0-3-0 4.73	1-0-2 4.28	—	1-1-1 3.46	1-1-1 4.86	1-0-2 2.84	2-1-0 4.69	0-2-1 4.41
Shelbourne	1-0-2 5.03	2-0-1 5.04	0-1-2 3.14	2-0-1 4.71	2-0-1 5.25	1-1-1 4.84	1-1-1 4.67	—	2-1-0 5.40	0-1-2 3.47	1-2-0 4.79	1-1-1 4.94
Sligo Rovers	2-1-0 3.68	1-2-0 3.44	0-0-3 2.55	1-1-1 3.83	2-0-1 3.84	1-2-0 3.88	1-1-1 3.30	0-1-2 2.79	—	0-0-3 2.11	0-1-2 3.69	1-2-0 3.74
St Patrick's Athletic	1-1-1 5.80	3-0-0 5.81	3-0-0 4.41	2-1-0 5.44	2-0-1 6.16	1-1-1 5.39	2-0-1 5.34	2-1-0 4.67	3-0-0 6.19	—	1-2-0 5.77	2-1-0 5.20
UC Dublin	2-0-1 4.18	1-1-1 4.55	1-1-1 2.94	1-1-1 4.17	1-1-1 4.41	1-1-1 3.63	0-1-2 3.45	0-2-1 3.36	2-1-0 4.45	0-2-1 2.47	—	1-1-1 3.54
Waterford	2-1-0 3.51	2-0-1 4.07	0-1-2 2.78	1-0-2 4.13	2-0-1 4.69	1-0-2 4.09	1-2-0 3.77	1-1-1 3.21	0-2-1 4.39	0-1-2 3.03	1-1-1 4.61	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.84	+10.1
Allowed	0.69	-14.2
Differential	0.94	+7.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	12.63%	8.08%	3.03%	0.25%	0.51%	35.61%
1	12.63%	11.62%	6.57%	1.77%	1.26%	0.25%	34.09%
2	8.08%	6.57%	4.04%	1.01%	—	0.51%	20.20%
3	3.03%	1.77%	1.01%	1.01%	0.25%	—	7.07%
4	0.25%	1.26%	—	0.25%	—	—	1.77%
5+	0.51%	0.25%	0.51%	—	—	—	1.26%
Total	35.61%	34.09%	20.20%	7.07%	1.77%	1.26%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.10	1.10	+0.00
SD	1.11	1.11	1.60
CV	1.02	1.02	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	18.18%	12.12%	6.06%	—	—	45.45%
1	12.12%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	30.30%
2	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.30%	36.36%	24.24%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.85	1.12	-0.27
SD	0.94	0.96	1.46
CV	1.11	0.86	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	24.24%	—	6.06%	—	—	48.48%
1	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	33.33%
2	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%	6.06%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	36.36%	36.36%	3.03%	12.12%	6.06%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.36	-0.45
SD	1.31	1.62	1.97
CV	1.44	1.19	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
1	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	24.24%
2	18.18%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	9.09%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	45.45%	36.36%	15.15%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.88	0.76	+1.12
SD	1.32	0.83	1.54
CV	0.70	1.10	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	21.21%	9.09%	—	—	—	36.36%
1	21.21%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	36.36%
2	6.06%	6.06%	9.09%	—	—	—	21.21%
3	—	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	33.33%	39.39%	24.24%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	0.97	+0.06
SD	1.10	0.85	1.30
CV	1.07	0.87	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	24.24%	15.15%	—	—	—	51.52%
1	3.03%	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	30.30%
2	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.24%	39.39%	30.30%	3.03%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.70	1.21	-0.52
SD	0.85	0.96	1.25
CV	1.22	0.79	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	3.03%	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	39.39%
1	12.12%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	30.30%
2	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	3.03%	—	6.06%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	33.33%	21.21%	36.36%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.21	-0.03
SD	1.40	1.02	1.70
CV	1.19	0.84	—
Max	6	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	15.15%	—	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
1	3.03%	24.24%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	45.45%	9.09%	15.15%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.21	-0.18
SD	1.05	1.11	1.49
CV	1.01	0.92	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
1	21.21%	12.12%	18.18%	—	—	—	51.52%
2	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	21.21%
3	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	27.27%	6.06%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.06	+0.06
SD	0.82	0.93	1.12
CV	0.73	0.88	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	9.09%	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	27.27%
1	6.06%	21.21%	—	3.03%	6.06%	—	36.36%
2	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	6.06%	—	3.03%	33.33%
3	—	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.24%	39.39%	12.12%	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.12	1.52	-0.39
SD	0.86	1.39	1.58
CV	0.76	0.92	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
1	24.24%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	39.39%
2	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
3	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	15.15%
4	3.03%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	57.58%	24.24%	15.15%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	0.64	+1.12
SD	1.23	0.86	1.52
CV	0.70	1.35	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	15.15%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	48.48%
1	3.03%	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
2	12.12%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	30.30%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	36.36%	21.21%	6.06%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	0.97	-0.03
SD	1.03	0.92	1.45
CV	1.10	0.95	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	6.06%	15.15%	3.03%	—	6.06%	45.45%
1	24.24%	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	—	45.45%
2	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.45%	21.21%	24.24%	3.03%	—	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.64	1.12	-0.48
SD	0.65	1.45	1.80
CV	1.03	1.30	—
Max	2	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
St Patrick's Athletic	1120	73	60.76	+12.24	99.0%	40	50	56	61	65	71	76
Cork City	1095	70	57.92	+12.08	95.0%	38	45	53	58	63	69	76
Shelbourne	982	47	50.09	-3.09	33.0%	31	39	45	50	56	59	65
Waterford	940	42	42.17	-0.17	52.0%	30	32	37	42	46	54	59
UC Dublin	935	42	41.04	+0.96	59.0%	27	30	36	40	45	52	60
Derry City	933	45	41.68	+3.32	69.0%	25	29	37	42	47	52	60
Bohemian	930	37	43.22	-6.22	22.0%	29	31	38	44	48	55	60
Shamrock Rovers	927	40	44.57	-4.57	27.0%	28	32	39	45	49	54	61
Finn Harps	911	46	42.41	+3.59	75.0%	24	32	39	43	46	50	56
Sligo Rovers	903	38	36.97	+1.03	54.0%	21	24	32	38	42	48	59
Bray Wanderers	902	32	40.83	-8.83	12.0%	21	29	36	41	45	54	62
Dundalk	846	27	36.23	-9.23	8.0%	21	25	32	36	41	45	48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+12.63%

Clear Edge

42.42%27.78%29.80%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 44.10 Elo pts.

190 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.31 goals

Neutral

-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.2

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

56%

St Patrick's Athletic, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.09/gm

Tight Race

00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.46 * Some Luck: 5.46 to 8.19 * Lucky: 8.19 to 10.91 * Wild Swing: 10.91 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.73 * Close: 1.73 to 2.6 * Off: 2.6 to 3.46 * Way Off: 3.46 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.79 points

Some Luck

06.8217

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.67

Pinpoint

02.175

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.00%

St Patrick's Athletic

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

8.00%

Dundalk

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Balanced

00.160.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 79.39

1.84

Moderate Separation

11.71.952.22.75

Interquartile Edge

56%

Even

50%68%76.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

83%

Even

50%83%100%

Close Games

Expected

69%

Very Frequent

0%65%100%

Blowouts

Expected

12%

Rare

0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.63

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.27

Very Even

00.370.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.00

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.46

Some Carryover

00.360.560.691

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Very Upset-Prone

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Shaky Favorites

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.37

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.13

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.065

Well Within Noise

00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
St Patrick's Athletic	56.00%	33.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Cork City	38.00%	30.00%	18.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Shelbourne	4.00%	17.00%	29.00%	14.00%	10.00%	12.00%	3.00%	5.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	—
Finn Harps	—	2.00%	8.00%	11.00%	12.00%	13.00%	9.00%	13.00%	10.00%	12.00%	7.00%	3.00%
Derry City	—	3.00%	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	15.00%	10.00%	13.00%	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%	11.00%
UC Dublin	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	15.00%	8.00%	6.00%	10.00%	15.00%	12.00%	14.00%	8.00%	8.00%
Waterford	—	2.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	6.00%	15.00%	10.00%	12.00%	14.00%	11.00%	8.00%
Shamrock Rovers	1.00%	9.00%	3.00%	16.00%	20.00%	13.00%	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	5.00%	9.00%	2.00%
Sligo Rovers	—	—	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	7.00%	19.00%	14.00%	25.00%
Bohemian	—	2.00%	13.00%	8.00%	12.00%	14.00%	15.00%	5.00%	11.00%	5.00%	11.00%	4.00%
Bray Wanderers	—	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	8.00%	13.00%	12.00%	12.00%	6.00%	13.00%	13.00%
Dundalk	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	11.00%	16.00%	14.00%	18.00%	26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Cork City	99.00%	1.00%	—
St Patrick's Athletic	100%	—	—
Shelbourne	96.00%	1.00%	3.00%
Finn Harps	78.00%	12.00%	10.00%
Shamrock Rovers	84.00%	5.00%	11.00%
Bohemian	80.00%	5.00%	15.00%
UC Dublin	70.00%	14.00%	16.00%
Derry City	74.00%	9.00%	17.00%
Waterford	67.00%	14.00%	19.00%
Bray Wanderers	68.00%	6.00%	26.00%
Sligo Rovers	42.00%	19.00%	39.00%
Dundalk	42.00%	14.00%	44.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1998-08-27	Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	39.9	904	910	40.68%	29.21%	30.11%	+0.20	-14.6	0
1998-08-27	@ Dundalk	W 2-0	39.9	910	904	30.11%	29.21%	40.68%	-0.20	+14.6	3
1998-08-28	Finn Harps	L 2-3	56.7	972	914	49.34%	27.71%	22.95%	+0.54	-8.0	0
1998-08-28	@ Bohemian	W 3-2	56.7	914	972	22.95%	27.71%	49.34%	-0.54	+8.0	3
1998-08-28	Shamrock Rovers	D 2-2	59.5	1004	954	48.23%	27.98%	23.79%	+0.49	-0.7	1
1998-08-28	@ Shelbourne	D 2-2	59.5	954	1004	23.79%	27.98%	48.23%	-0.49	+0.7	1
1998-08-28	UC Dublin	W 1-0	36.7	1019	930	53.19%	26.59%	20.22%	+0.70	+4.4	3
1998-08-28	@ Waterford	L 0-1	36.7	930	1019	20.22%	26.59%	53.19%	-0.70	-4.4	0
1998-08-30	Cork City	L 0-1	43.0	937	959	38.42%	29.38%	32.20%	+0.12	-7.4	0
1998-08-30	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	43.0	959	937	32.20%	29.38%	38.42%	-0.12	+7.4	3
1998-08-30	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	40.2	916	1006	29.17%	29.11%	41.72%	-0.24	-6.1	0
1998-08-30	@ Derry City	W 1-0	40.2	1006	916	41.72%	29.11%	29.17%	+0.24	+6.1	3
1998-09-04	Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	44.8	955	929	44.96%	28.65%	26.39%	+0.36	-8.4	1
1998-09-04	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	44.8	929	955	26.39%	28.65%	44.96%	-0.36	+8.4	3
1998-09-04	Dundalk	W 3-1	37.7	1012	889	57.28%	25.11%	17.62%	+0.88	+6.3	6
1998-09-04	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-3	37.7	889	1012	17.62%	25.11%	57.28%	-0.88	-6.3	0
1998-09-05	Waterford	L 1-2	45.9	922	1023	27.75%	28.90%	43.35%	-0.30	-5.5	3
1998-09-05	@ Finn Harps	W 2-1	45.9	1023	922	43.35%	28.90%	27.75%	+0.30	+5.5	6
1998-09-05	Bohemian	D 2-2	59.0	925	964	35.97%	29.46%	34.57%	+0.03	-0.0	4
1998-09-05	@ Sligo Rovers	D 2-2	59.0	964	925	34.57%	29.46%	35.97%	-0.03	+0.0	1
1998-09-06	Derry City	W 2-1	44.2	966	910	49.03%	27.79%	23.18%	+0.53	+4.8	6
1998-09-06	@ Cork City	L 1-2	44.2	910	966	23.18%	27.79%	49.03%	-0.53	-4.8	0
1998-09-06	Shelbourne	D 1-1	53.2	925	1003	30.68%	29.27%	40.05%	-0.18	+0.4	1
1998-09-06	@ UC Dublin	D 1-1	53.2	1003	925	40.05%	29.27%	30.68%	+0.18	-0.4	2
1998-09-10	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	53.1	883	946	32.60%	29.40%	38.00%	-0.10	+0.2	1
1998-09-10	@ Dundalk	D 1-1	53.1	946	883	38.00%	29.40%	32.60%	+0.10	-0.2	2
1998-09-11	Cork City	L 0-2	39.9	964	971	40.51%	29.23%	30.26%	+0.19	-14.6	1
1998-09-11	@ Bohemian	W 2-0	39.9	971	964	30.26%	29.23%	40.51%	-0.19	+14.6	9
1998-09-11	Finn Harps	D 0-0	48.5	1003	916	52.91%	26.68%	20.41%	+0.69	-1.4	3
1998-09-11	@ Shelbourne	D 0-0	48.5	916	1003	20.41%	26.68%	52.91%	-0.69	+1.5	4
1998-09-11	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	40.5	1029	1019	42.90%	28.96%	28.14%	+0.28	-15.2	6
1998-09-11	@ Waterford	W 2-0	40.5	1019	1029	28.14%	28.96%	42.90%	-0.28	+15.2	9
1998-09-13	Bray Wanderers	W 5-1	39.4	906	938	36.98%	29.44%	33.58%	+0.06	+20.1	3
1998-09-13	@ Derry City	L 1-5	39.4	938	906	33.58%	29.44%	36.98%	-0.06	-20.1	3
1998-09-13	Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	36.5	926	925	41.66%	29.11%	29.23%	+0.24	+11.5	4
1998-09-13	@ UC Dublin	L 0-2	36.5	925	926	29.23%	29.11%	41.66%	-0.24	-11.5	4
1998-09-18	Bohemian	W 3-0	31.4	1034	949	52.64%	26.77%	20.59%	+0.68	+12.4	12
1998-09-18	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	31.4	949	1034	20.59%	26.77%	52.64%	-0.68	-12.4	1
1998-09-19	Shelbourne	W 1-0	43.7	918	1001	29.94%	29.20%	40.87%	-0.21	+7.8	6
1998-09-19	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	43.7	1001	918	40.87%	29.20%	29.94%	+0.21	-7.8	3
1998-09-19	Dundalk	W 4-1	35.4	986	883	54.84%	26.03%	19.13%	+0.77	+9.7	12
1998-09-19	@ Cork City	L 1-4	35.4	883	986	19.13%	26.03%	54.84%	-0.77	-9.7	1
1998-09-19	UC Dublin	D 0-0	47.7	917	937	38.76%	29.36%	31.88%	+0.13	-0.3	5
1998-09-19	@ Finn Harps	D 0-0	47.7	937	917	31.88%	29.36%	38.76%	-0.13	+0.3	5
1998-09-19	Waterford	D 1-1	53.3	913	1013	27.90%	28.92%	43.17%	-0.30	+0.6	5
1998-09-19	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.3	1013	913	43.17%	28.92%	27.90%	+0.30	-0.6	7
1998-09-20	Derry City	D 0-0	47.9	946	926	44.29%	28.76%	26.95%	+0.34	-0.7	3
1998-09-20	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	47.9	926	946	26.95%	28.76%	44.29%	-0.34	+0.7	4
1998-09-25	Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	50.5	937	925	43.10%	28.93%	27.97%	+0.29	-7.6	1
1998-09-25	@ Bohemian	W 2-1	50.5	925	937	27.97%	28.93%	43.10%	-0.29	+7.6	9
1998-09-25	Derry City	D 2-2	59.0	874	927	34.01%	29.45%	36.54%	-0.05	+0.1	2
1998-09-25	@ Dundalk	D 2-2	59.0	927	874	36.54%	29.45%	34.01%	+0.05	-0.1	5
1998-09-25	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.9	993	914	52.05%	26.95%	21.00%	+0.65	-1.2	4
1998-09-25	@ Shelbourne	D 1-1	53.9	914	993	21.00%	26.95%	52.05%	-0.65	+1.2	6
1998-09-25	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	53.8	1013	945	50.50%	27.40%	22.09%	+0.59	-1.1	8
1998-09-25	@ Waterford	D 1-1	53.8	945	1013	22.09%	27.40%	50.50%	-0.59	+1.1	4
1998-09-26	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	51.5	917	1046	24.71%	28.25%	47.04%	-0.45	+8.2	8
1998-09-26	@ Finn Harps	L 1-2	51.5	1046	917	47.04%	28.25%	24.71%	+0.45	-8.2	12
1998-09-27	Cork City	L 0-1	41.5	937	995	33.31%	29.43%	37.26%	-0.07	-6.7	5
1998-09-27	@ UC Dublin	W 1-0	41.5	995	937	37.26%	29.43%	33.31%	+0.07	+6.7	15
1998-10-02	Bohemian	W 3-0	34.1	946	929	43.87%	28.82%	27.31%	+0.32	+15.8	7
1998-10-02	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-3	34.1	929	946	27.31%	28.82%	43.87%	-0.32	-15.8	1
1998-10-02	UC Dublin	W 1-0	36.0	1038	931	55.42%	25.82%	18.76%	+0.80	+4.1	15
1998-10-02	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	36.0	931	1038	18.76%	25.82%	55.42%	-0.80	-4.1	5
1998-10-03	Dundalk	D 0-0	48.2	933	874	49.48%	27.68%	22.84%	+0.55	-1.2	10
1998-10-03	@ Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	48.2	874	933	22.84%	27.68%	49.48%	-0.55	+1.2	3
1998-10-03	Finn Harps	D 1-1	53.2	915	925	40.06%	29.27%	30.67%	+0.18	-0.3	7
1998-10-03	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.2	925	915	30.67%	29.27%	40.06%	-0.18	+0.4	9
1998-10-04	Waterford	W 5-0	36.0	1002	1012	40.19%	29.26%	30.55%	+0.18	+27.8	18
1998-10-04	@ Cork City	L 0-5	36.0	1012	1002	30.55%	29.26%	40.19%	-0.18	-27.8	8
1998-10-04	Shelbourne	L 0-1	41.2	926	992	32.26%	29.38%	38.36%	-0.11	-6.6	5
1998-10-04	@ Derry City	W 1-0	41.2	992	926	38.36%	29.38%	32.26%	+0.11	+6.6	7
1998-10-10	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	48.0	926	962	36.36%	29.45%	34.19%	+0.04	+6.4	12
1998-10-10	@ Finn Harps	L 1-2	48.0	962	926	34.19%	29.45%	36.36%	-0.04	-6.5	7
1998-10-10	Cork City	L 0-2	35.4	915	1030	26.18%	28.60%	45.22%	-0.37	-10.5	7
1998-10-10	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	35.4	1030	915	45.22%	28.60%	26.18%	+0.37	+10.5	21
1998-10-10	Derry City	L 1-2	52.2	984	920	50.06%	27.52%	22.42%	+0.57	-8.6	8
1998-10-10	@ Waterford	W 2-1	52.2	920	984	22.42%	27.52%	50.06%	-0.57	+8.6	8
1998-10-11	Dundalk	W 1-0	38.6	913	875	46.77%	28.30%	24.93%	+0.44	+5.4	4
1998-10-11	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	38.6	875	913	24.93%	28.30%	46.77%	-0.44	-5.4	3
1998-10-11	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	42.1	999	1042	35.38%	29.46%	35.16%	+0.00	-7.0	7
1998-10-11	@ Shelbourne	W 1-0	42.1	1042	999	35.16%	29.46%	35.38%	+0.00	+7.0	18
1998-10-11	Bray Wanderers	W 3-1	42.6	927	932	40.77%	29.20%	30.03%	+0.20	+10.1	8
1998-10-11	@ UC Dublin	L 1-3	42.6	932	927	30.03%	29.20%	40.77%	-0.20	-10.1	10
1998-10-15	Shelbourne	L 1-2	45.1	869	992	25.41%	28.43%	46.16%	-0.41	-5.1	3
1998-10-15	@ Dundalk	W 2-1	45.1	992	869	46.16%	28.43%	25.41%	+0.41	+5.1	10
1998-10-16	UC Dublin	W 2-0	35.7	956	937	44.13%	28.78%	27.08%	+0.33	+10.8	10
1998-10-16	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	35.7	937	956	27.08%	28.78%	44.13%	-0.33	-10.8	8
1998-10-16	Sligo Rovers	W 4-1	33.9	1049	904	59.84%	24.03%	16.13%	+1.00	+8.1	21
1998-10-16	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-4	33.9	904	1049	16.13%	24.03%	59.84%	-1.00	-8.1	7
1998-10-17	Waterford	W 6-0	38.6	922	975	33.93%	29.45%	36.62%	-0.05	+37.6	13
1998-10-17	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-6	38.6	975	922	36.62%	29.45%	33.93%	+0.05	-37.6	8
1998-10-18	Finn Harps	W 2-0	32.3	1040	932	55.54%	25.77%	18.68%	+0.80	+7.8	24
1998-10-18	@ Cork City	L 0-2	32.3	932	1040	18.68%	25.77%	55.54%	-0.80	-7.8	12
1998-10-18	Bohemian	L 0-2	40.5	928	919	42.85%	28.97%	28.18%	+0.28	-15.2	8
1998-10-18	@ Derry City	W 2-0	40.5	919	928	28.18%	28.97%	42.85%	-0.28	+15.2	7
1998-10-23	Cork City	W 2-0	36.2	1057	1048	42.77%	28.98%	28.25%	+0.28	+11.2	24
1998-10-23	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	36.2	1048	1057	28.25%	28.98%	42.77%	-0.28	-11.2	24
1998-10-23	Dundalk	W 1-0	37.3	938	864	51.25%	27.19%	21.56%	+0.62	+4.7	11
1998-10-23	@ Waterford	L 0-1	37.3	864	938	21.56%	27.19%	51.25%	-0.62	-4.7	3
1998-10-25	Derry City	D 2-2	59.2	926	913	43.26%	28.91%	27.83%	+0.30	-0.4	9
1998-10-25	@ UC Dublin	D 2-2	59.2	913	926	27.83%	28.91%	43.26%	-0.30	+0.4	9
1998-10-26	Bohemian	W 2-1	43.9	997	934	49.91%	27.56%	22.53%	+0.56	+4.6	13
1998-10-26	@ Shelbourne	L 1-2	43.9	934	997	22.53%	27.56%	49.91%	-0.56	-4.6	7
1998-10-29	UC Dublin	W 2-0	39.3	860	925	32.23%	29.38%	38.38%	-0.11	+14.0	6
1998-10-29	@ Dundalk	L 0-2	39.3	925	860	38.38%	29.38%	32.23%	+0.11	-14.0	9
1998-10-30	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.7	959	896	49.99%	27.54%	22.47%	+0.57	-1.1	14
1998-10-30	@ Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	53.7	896	959	22.47%	27.54%	49.99%	-0.57	+1.1	8
1998-10-30	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	50.6	967	1068	27.71%	28.89%	43.39%	-0.30	+7.7	13
1998-10-30	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	50.6	1068	967	43.39%	28.89%	27.71%	+0.30	-7.7	24
1998-11-01	Waterford	L 0-1	43.4	929	942	39.70%	29.30%	31.00%	+0.16	-7.6	7
1998-11-01	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	43.4	942	929	31.00%	29.30%	39.70%	-0.16	+7.6	14
1998-11-01	Shelbourne	W 2-1	45.0	1037	1001	46.34%	28.39%	25.27%	+0.42	+5.1	27
1998-11-01	@ Cork City	L 1-2	45.0	1001	1037	25.27%	28.39%	46.34%	-0.42	-5.1	13
1998-11-01	Finn Harps	W 2-1	46.9	914	924	40.02%	29.27%	30.71%	+0.18	+6.0	12
1998-11-01	@ Derry City	L 1-2	46.9	924	914	30.71%	29.27%	40.02%	-0.18	-6.0	12
1998-11-06	Waterford	W 1-0	38.3	996	950	47.78%	28.09%	24.13%	+0.48	+5.2	16
1998-11-06	@ Shelbourne	L 0-1	38.3	950	996	24.13%	28.09%	47.78%	-0.48	-5.2	14
1998-11-06	Bray Wanderers	W 3-0	30.8	1061	958	54.84%	26.03%	19.13%	+0.77	+11.5	27
1998-11-06	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	30.8	958	1061	19.13%	26.03%	54.84%	-0.77	-11.5	14
1998-11-07	Dundalk	D 0-0	48.0	918	874	47.58%	28.13%	24.29%	+0.47	-1.0	13
1998-11-07	@ Finn Harps	D 0-0	48.0	874	918	24.29%	28.13%	47.58%	-0.47	+1.0	7
1998-11-07	Derry City	D 3-3	62.2	897	920	38.33%	29.38%	32.28%	+0.11	-0.1	9
1998-11-07	@ Sligo Rovers	D 3-3	62.2	920	897	32.28%	29.38%	38.33%	-0.11	+0.1	13
1998-11-08	Shamrock Rovers	W 3-1	39.7	1042	974	50.55%	27.39%	22.06%	+0.59	+7.9	30
1998-11-08	@ Cork City	L 1-3	39.7	974	1042	22.06%	27.39%	50.55%	-0.59	-7.9	13
1998-11-08	Bohemian	W 2-0	37.0	911	922	40.07%	29.27%	30.66%	+0.18	+11.9	12
1998-11-08	@ UC Dublin	L 0-2	37.0	922	911	30.66%	29.27%	40.07%	-0.18	-11.9	7
1998-11-12	Finn Harps	D 0-0	47.6	875	917	35.45%	29.46%	35.09%	+0.01	-0.0	8
1998-11-12	@ Dundalk	D 0-0	47.6	917	875	35.09%	29.46%	35.45%	-0.01	+0.0	14
1998-11-13	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-4	37.9	947	1072	25.08%	28.34%	46.58%	-0.43	-12.4	14
1998-11-13	@ Bray Wanderers	W 4-1	37.9	1072	947	46.58%	28.34%	25.08%	+0.43	+12.4	30
1998-11-13	Shelbourne	D 0-0	47.7	945	1002	33.47%	29.44%	37.09%	-0.07	+0.1	15
1998-11-13	@ Waterford	D 0-0	47.7	1002	945	37.09%	29.44%	33.47%	+0.07	-0.1	17
1998-11-15	UC Dublin	W 3-0	35.3	910	923	39.63%	29.30%	31.07%	+0.16	+17.5	10
1998-11-15	@ Bohemian	L 0-3	35.3	923	910	31.07%	29.30%	39.63%	-0.16	-17.5	12
1998-11-15	Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	35.6	920	897	44.66%	28.70%	26.64%	+0.35	+10.7	16
1998-11-15	@ Derry City	L 0-2	35.6	897	920	26.64%	28.70%	44.66%	-0.35	-10.7	9
1998-11-15	Bray Wanderers	W 6-2	39.8	917	934	39.15%	29.34%	31.51%	+0.14	+16.3	17
1998-11-15	@ Finn Harps	L 2-6	39.8	934	917	31.51%	29.34%	39.15%	-0.14	-16.3	14
1998-11-15	Cork City	L 0-3	35.0	966	1050	29.93%	29.20%	40.87%	-0.21	-17.0	13
1998-11-15	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 3-0	35.0	1050	966	40.87%	29.20%	29.93%	+0.21	+17.0	33
1998-11-20	Shelbourne	W 2-1	48.7	949	1001	34.14%	29.45%	36.41%	-0.04	+6.7	16
1998-11-20	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	48.7	1001	949	36.41%	29.45%	34.14%	+0.04	-6.7	17
1998-11-20	Derry City	W 1-0	34.4	1085	930	60.88%	23.56%	15.56%	+1.04	+3.4	33
1998-11-20	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	34.4	930	1085	15.56%	23.56%	60.88%	-1.04	-3.4	16
1998-11-21	Bohemian	W 1-0	39.9	934	927	42.40%	29.02%	28.57%	+0.27	+6.0	20
1998-11-21	@ Finn Harps	L 0-1	39.9	927	934	28.57%	29.02%	42.40%	-0.27	-6.0	10
1998-11-21	Dundalk	W 2-0	36.0	886	875	43.12%	28.93%	27.95%	+0.29	+11.1	12
1998-11-21	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	36.0	875	886	27.95%	28.93%	43.12%	-0.29	-11.1	8
1998-11-22	Bray Wanderers	W 3-0	29.2	1067	918	60.28%	23.83%	15.89%	+1.02	+9.5	36
1998-11-22	@ Cork City	L 0-3	29.2	918	1067	15.89%	23.83%	60.28%	-1.02	-9.5	14
1998-11-22	Waterford	D 1-1	53.1	906	945	36.00%	29.46%	34.54%	+0.03	-0.0	13
1998-11-22	@ UC Dublin	D 1-1	53.1	945	906	34.54%	29.46%	36.00%	-0.03	+0.1	16
1998-11-24	Shamrock Rovers	L 2-3	52.3	897	956	33.19%	29.43%	37.38%	-0.08	-6.0	12
1998-11-24	@ Sligo Rovers	W 3-2	52.3	956	897	37.38%	29.43%	33.19%	+0.08	+6.0	19
1998-11-26	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	44.0	863	1088	16.69%	24.46%	58.85%	-0.95	+19.5	11
1998-11-26	@ Dundalk	L 0-2	44.0	1088	863	58.85%	24.46%	16.69%	+0.95	-19.5	33
1998-11-27	Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	44.9	921	891	45.62%	28.53%	25.85%	+0.39	-8.5	10
1998-11-27	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	44.9	891	921	25.85%	28.53%	45.62%	-0.39	+8.5	15
1998-11-27	UC Dublin	D 1-1	54.0	995	906	53.18%	26.59%	20.22%	+0.70	-1.3	18
1998-11-27	@ Shelbourne	D 1-1	54.0	906	995	20.22%	26.59%	53.18%	-0.70	+1.3	14
1998-11-28	Finn Harps	L 0-3	38.6	945	940	42.24%	29.05%	28.72%	+0.26	-21.9	16
1998-11-28	@ Waterford	W 3-0	38.6	940	945	28.72%	29.05%	42.24%	-0.26	+21.9	23
1998-11-29	Shamrock Rovers	L 3-4	54.5	909	962	33.92%	29.45%	36.63%	-0.05	-5.9	14
1998-11-29	@ Bray Wanderers	W 4-3	54.5	962	909	36.63%	29.45%	33.92%	+0.05	+5.9	22
1998-11-29	Cork City	D 1-1	53.7	927	1076	22.68%	27.62%	49.70%	-0.55	+1.1	17
1998-11-29	@ Derry City	D 1-1	53.7	1076	927	49.70%	27.62%	22.68%	+0.55	-1.1	37
1998-12-04	Derry City	L 0-1	42.9	903	928	37.92%	29.40%	32.67%	+0.10	-7.4	14
1998-12-04	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	42.9	928	903	32.67%	29.40%	37.92%	-0.10	+7.4	20
1998-12-04	Dundalk	D 1-1	53.9	968	883	52.72%	26.74%	20.54%	+0.68	-1.3	23
1998-12-04	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	53.9	883	968	20.54%	26.74%	52.72%	-0.68	+1.3	12
1998-12-04	Waterford	W 2-0	31.0	1069	923	59.89%	24.01%	16.10%	+1.00	+6.6	36
1998-12-04	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	31.0	923	1069	16.10%	24.01%	59.89%	-1.00	-6.6	16
1998-12-05	Shelbourne	W 3-2	52.4	962	993	37.04%	29.44%	33.53%	+0.06	+6.0	26
1998-12-05	@ Finn Harps	L 2-3	52.4	993	962	33.53%	29.44%	37.04%	-0.06	-6.0	18
1998-12-05	UC Dublin	L 0-1	43.6	900	907	40.48%	29.23%	30.28%	+0.19	-7.7	15
1998-12-05	@ Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	43.6	907	900	30.28%	29.23%	40.48%	-0.19	+7.7	17
1998-12-06	Bohemian	D 0-0	49.6	1075	913	61.80%	23.14%	15.06%	+1.09	-2.2	38
1998-12-06	@ Cork City	D 0-0	49.6	913	1075	15.06%	23.14%	61.80%	-1.09	+2.1	11
1998-12-11	St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	53.8	915	1075	21.68%	27.24%	51.07%	-0.61	+1.2	12
1998-12-11	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	53.8	1075	915	51.07%	27.24%	21.68%	+0.61	-1.2	37
1998-12-11	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.4	916	892	44.87%	28.66%	26.47%	+0.36	-0.7	17
1998-12-11	@ Waterford	D 1-1	53.4	892	916	26.47%	28.66%	44.87%	-0.36	+0.7	16
1998-12-13	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	53.1	936	967	37.11%	29.44%	33.46%	+0.07	-0.1	21
1998-12-13	@ Derry City	D 1-1	53.1	967	936	33.46%	29.44%	37.11%	-0.07	+0.1	24
1998-12-13	Cork City	D 1-1	54.1	884	1073	19.26%	26.10%	54.64%	-0.76	+1.4	13
1998-12-13	@ Dundalk	D 1-1	54.1	1073	884	54.64%	26.10%	19.26%	+0.76	-1.4	39
1998-12-13	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	36.6	987	895	53.58%	26.46%	19.96%	+0.72	+4.4	21
1998-12-13	@ Shelbourne	L 0-1	36.6	895	987	19.96%	26.46%	53.58%	-0.72	-4.4	14
1998-12-13	Finn Harps	W 3-0	37.0	915	968	34.04%	29.45%	36.51%	-0.05	+19.6	20
1998-12-13	@ UC Dublin	L 0-3	37.0	968	915	36.51%	29.45%	34.04%	+0.05	-19.6	26
1998-12-18	Finn Harps	D 2-2	60.4	1074	948	57.65%	24.96%	17.39%	+0.90	-1.2	38
1998-12-18	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	60.4	948	1074	17.39%	24.96%	57.65%	-0.90	+1.2	27
1998-12-19	Dundalk	L 0-1	45.5	935	886	48.22%	27.99%	23.80%	+0.49	-8.8	21
1998-12-19	@ Derry City	W 1-0	45.5	886	935	23.80%	27.99%	48.22%	-0.49	+8.8	16
1998-12-19	Shelbourne	L 1-3	42.0	893	992	28.05%	28.95%	43.01%	-0.29	-9.6	16
1998-12-19	@ Sligo Rovers	W 3-1	42.0	992	893	43.01%	28.95%	28.05%	+0.29	+9.6	24
1998-12-20	Bohemian	L 0-1	42.9	891	916	37.95%	29.40%	32.65%	+0.10	-7.4	14
1998-12-20	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	42.9	916	891	32.65%	29.40%	37.95%	-0.10	+7.4	15
1998-12-20	UC Dublin	L 1-2	53.9	1072	935	58.95%	24.41%	16.63%	+0.95	-9.8	39
1998-12-20	@ Cork City	W 2-1	53.9	935	1072	16.63%	24.41%	58.95%	-0.95	+9.8	23
1998-12-26	Derry City	W 2-0	33.5	1001	927	51.43%	27.14%	21.43%	+0.63	+8.8	27
1998-12-26	@ Shelbourne	L 0-2	33.5	927	1001	21.43%	27.14%	51.43%	-0.63	-8.8	21
1998-12-27	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	53.1	924	967	35.38%	29.46%	35.16%	+0.00	-0.0	16
1998-12-27	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	53.1	967	924	35.16%	29.46%	35.38%	+0.00	+0.0	25
1998-12-27	Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	44.3	895	883	43.04%	28.94%	28.02%	+0.29	-8.1	16
1998-12-27	@ Dundalk	W 1-0	44.3	883	895	28.02%	28.94%	43.04%	-0.29	+8.1	17
1998-12-27	St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	59.4	944	1073	24.75%	28.26%	46.99%	-0.44	+0.6	24
1998-12-27	@ UC Dublin	D 2-2	59.4	1073	944	46.99%	28.26%	24.75%	+0.44	-0.6	39
1998-12-27	Cork City	L 0-2	34.2	916	1062	22.98%	27.72%	49.30%	-0.54	-9.4	17
1998-12-27	@ Waterford	W 2-0	34.2	1062	916	49.30%	27.72%	22.98%	+0.54	+9.4	42
1999-01-01	Shelbourne	W 2-1	44.0	1072	1010	49.80%	27.59%	22.60%	+0.56	+4.6	42
1999-01-01	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	44.0	1010	1072	22.60%	27.59%	49.80%	-0.56	-4.6	27
1999-01-03	UC Dublin	D 0-0	47.7	892	945	33.96%	29.45%	36.59%	-0.05	+0.1	18
1999-01-03	@ Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	47.7	945	892	36.59%	29.45%	33.96%	+0.05	-0.1	25
1999-01-03	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	33.3	1071	883	64.62%	21.76%	13.62%	+1.22	+2.9	45
1999-01-03	@ Cork City	L 0-1	33.3	883	1071	13.62%	21.76%	64.62%	-1.22	-2.9	16
1999-01-03	Waterford	W 1-0	39.7	918	906	43.08%	28.94%	27.98%	+0.29	+5.9	24
1999-01-03	@ Derry City	L 0-1	39.7	906	918	27.98%	28.94%	43.08%	-0.29	-5.9	17
1999-01-03	Bohemian	L 0-1	42.4	886	924	36.26%	29.46%	34.28%	+0.04	-7.1	16
1999-01-03	@ Dundalk	W 1-0	42.4	924	886	34.28%	29.46%	36.26%	-0.04	+7.1	19
1999-01-03	Finn Harps	W 2-0	35.8	967	949	43.95%	28.81%	27.24%	+0.33	+10.9	28
1999-01-03	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	35.8	949	967	27.24%	28.81%	43.95%	-0.33	-10.9	27
1999-01-16	Cork City	D 1-1	53.6	938	1074	23.99%	28.04%	47.97%	-0.48	+0.9	28
1999-01-16	@ Finn Harps	D 1-1	53.6	1074	938	47.97%	28.04%	23.99%	+0.48	-0.9	46
1999-01-17	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-4	35.2	880	1077	18.67%	25.76%	55.57%	-0.80	-9.5	16
1999-01-17	@ Sligo Rovers	W 4-1	35.2	1077	880	55.57%	25.76%	18.67%	+0.80	+9.5	45
1999-01-17	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	38.9	945	978	36.86%	29.44%	33.70%	+0.06	-13.6	25
1999-01-17	@ UC Dublin	W 2-0	38.9	978	945	33.70%	29.44%	36.86%	-0.06	+13.6	31
1999-01-22	Shelbourne	W 2-0	39.7	931	1006	31.05%	29.30%	39.65%	-0.16	+14.4	22
1999-01-22	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	39.7	1006	931	39.65%	29.30%	31.05%	+0.16	-14.4	27
1999-01-22	Finn Harps	D 0-0	47.6	892	939	34.77%	29.46%	35.77%	-0.02	+0.0	19
1999-01-22	@ Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	47.6	939	892	35.77%	29.46%	34.77%	+0.02	-0.0	29
1999-01-23	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	49.6	1073	1086	39.71%	29.30%	30.99%	+0.16	-7.2	46
1999-01-23	@ Cork City	W 2-1	49.6	1086	1073	30.99%	29.30%	39.71%	-0.16	+7.2	48
1999-01-23	UC Dublin	W 2-0	36.8	924	931	40.46%	29.23%	30.31%	+0.19	+11.8	27
1999-01-23	@ Derry City	L 0-2	36.8	931	924	30.31%	29.23%	40.46%	-0.19	-11.8	25
1999-01-24	Waterford	W 2-0	37.4	879	900	38.54%	29.37%	32.09%	+0.12	+12.3	19
1999-01-24	@ Dundalk	L 0-2	37.4	900	879	32.09%	29.37%	38.54%	-0.12	-12.3	17
1999-01-24	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	54.4	991	871	57.02%	25.21%	17.77%	+0.87	-1.6	32
1999-01-24	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	54.4	871	991	17.77%	25.21%	57.02%	-0.87	+1.6	17
1999-01-27	Dundalk	L 1-2	53.1	991	892	54.50%	26.15%	19.35%	+0.76	-9.2	27
1999-01-27	@ Shelbourne	W 2-1	53.1	892	991	19.35%	26.15%	54.50%	-0.76	+9.2	22
1999-01-29	Shamrock Rovers	W 3-0	30.8	1094	990	54.99%	25.97%	19.03%	+0.78	+11.5	51
1999-01-29	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	30.8	990	1094	19.03%	25.97%	54.99%	-0.78	-11.5	32
1999-01-29	Bohemian	D 0-0	47.7	888	945	33.46%	29.44%	37.10%	-0.07	+0.2	18
1999-01-29	@ Waterford	D 0-0	47.7	945	888	37.10%	29.44%	33.46%	+0.07	-0.2	23
1999-01-30	Derry City	D 2-2	59.1	939	935	42.05%	29.07%	28.88%	+0.25	-0.4	30
1999-01-30	@ Finn Harps	D 2-2	59.1	935	939	28.88%	29.07%	42.05%	-0.25	+0.4	28
1999-01-30	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	47.7	872	892	38.79%	29.36%	31.85%	+0.13	-0.3	18
1999-01-30	@ Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	47.7	892	872	31.85%	29.36%	38.79%	-0.13	+0.3	20
1999-01-31	Cork City	D 3-3	62.3	982	1066	29.85%	29.19%	40.96%	-0.21	+0.3	28
1999-01-31	@ Shelbourne	D 3-3	62.3	1066	982	40.96%	29.19%	29.85%	+0.21	-0.2	47
1999-01-31	Dundalk	D 0-0	47.8	919	901	44.07%	28.79%	27.14%	+0.33	-0.7	26
1999-01-31	@ UC Dublin	D 0-0	47.8	901	919	27.14%	28.79%	44.07%	-0.33	+0.7	23
1999-02-07	Waterford	D 0-0	48.5	978	888	53.33%	26.55%	20.13%	+0.71	-1.5	33
1999-02-07	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	48.5	888	978	20.13%	26.55%	53.33%	-0.71	+1.5	19
1999-02-11	Sligo Rovers	W 3-2	49.9	902	872	45.54%	28.54%	25.92%	+0.39	+5.0	26
1999-02-11	@ Dundalk	L 2-3	49.9	872	902	25.92%	28.54%	45.54%	-0.39	-4.9	18
1999-02-12	Finn Harps	L 0-1	44.1	945	939	42.35%	29.03%	28.62%	+0.26	-8.0	23
1999-02-12	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	44.1	939	945	28.62%	29.03%	42.35%	-0.26	+8.0	33
1999-02-12	Cork City	L 1-3	39.0	892	1066	20.48%	26.72%	52.80%	-0.68	-7.3	20
1999-02-12	@ Bray Wanderers	W 3-1	39.0	1066	892	52.80%	26.72%	20.48%	+0.68	+7.3	50
1999-02-12	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	40.0	982	977	42.27%	29.04%	28.69%	+0.26	+6.0	31
1999-02-12	@ Shelbourne	L 0-1	40.0	977	982	28.69%	29.04%	42.27%	-0.26	-6.0	33
1999-02-12	UC Dublin	L 1-2	49.0	890	919	37.45%	29.42%	33.13%	+0.08	-6.9	19
1999-02-12	@ Waterford	W 2-1	49.0	919	890	33.13%	29.42%	37.45%	-0.08	+6.9	29
1999-02-14	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	48.4	936	1105	20.89%	26.90%	52.21%	-0.66	+1.4	29
1999-02-14	@ Derry City	D 0-0	48.4	1105	936	52.21%	26.90%	20.89%	+0.66	-1.4	52
1999-02-19	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	48.5	971	885	52.85%	26.70%	20.45%	+0.69	-1.5	34
1999-02-19	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	48.5	885	971	20.45%	26.70%	52.85%	-0.69	+1.5	21
1999-02-19	Dundalk	W 1-0	33.0	1104	906	65.55%	21.29%	13.16%	+1.27	+2.8	55
1999-02-19	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	33.0	906	1104	13.16%	21.29%	65.55%	-1.27	-2.8	26
1999-02-20	Waterford	W 2-0	34.0	947	883	50.06%	27.52%	22.42%	+0.57	+9.2	36
1999-02-20	@ Finn Harps	L 0-2	34.0	883	947	22.42%	27.52%	50.06%	-0.57	-9.2	19
1999-02-20	Bohemian	W 2-1	49.4	867	937	31.71%	29.35%	38.94%	-0.14	+7.1	21
1999-02-20	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	49.4	937	867	38.94%	29.35%	31.71%	+0.14	-7.1	23
1999-02-21	Derry City	L 0-1	47.7	1073	937	58.83%	24.47%	16.71%	+0.95	-10.3	50
1999-02-21	@ Cork City	W 1-0	47.7	937	1073	16.71%	24.47%	58.83%	-0.95	+10.3	32
1999-02-21	Shelbourne	L 0-1	41.3	926	988	32.66%	29.40%	37.94%	-0.10	-6.6	29
1999-02-21	@ UC Dublin	W 1-0	41.3	988	926	37.94%	29.40%	32.66%	+0.10	+6.6	34
1999-02-25	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	53.2	904	969	32.25%	29.38%	38.37%	-0.11	+0.2	27
1999-02-25	@ Dundalk	D 1-1	53.2	969	904	38.37%	29.38%	32.25%	+0.11	-0.2	35
1999-02-26	Cork City	L 0-2	34.7	930	1063	24.28%	28.13%	47.59%	-0.47	-9.9	23
1999-02-26	@ Bohemian	W 2-0	34.7	1063	930	47.59%	28.13%	24.28%	+0.47	+9.9	53
1999-02-26	Finn Harps	W 2-0	34.9	995	956	46.78%	28.30%	24.91%	+0.44	+10.1	37
1999-02-26	@ Shelbourne	L 0-2	34.9	956	995	24.91%	28.30%	46.78%	-0.44	-10.1	36
1999-02-26	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	49.3	874	1106	16.17%	24.06%	59.78%	-0.99	+2.0	20
1999-02-26	@ Waterford	D 0-0	49.3	1106	874	59.78%	24.06%	16.17%	+0.99	-2.0	56
1999-02-28	Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	53.7	947	886	49.72%	27.61%	22.66%	+0.55	-1.1	33
1999-02-28	@ Derry City	D 1-1	53.7	886	947	22.66%	27.61%	49.72%	-0.55	+1.1	22
1999-02-28	Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	48.0	919	874	47.57%	28.13%	24.30%	+0.47	-1.0	30
1999-02-28	@ UC Dublin	D 0-0	48.0	874	919	24.30%	28.13%	47.57%	-0.47	+1.0	22
1999-03-12	Bohemian	L 1-3	50.7	1104	920	64.20%	21.97%	13.83%	+1.20	-18.0	56
1999-03-12	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-1	50.7	920	1104	13.83%	21.97%	64.20%	-1.20	+18.0	26
1999-03-13	Shelbourne	L 0-1	39.0	887	1005	25.90%	28.54%	45.56%	-0.39	-5.5	22
1999-03-13	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	39.0	1005	887	45.56%	28.54%	25.90%	+0.39	+5.5	40
1999-03-13	UC Dublin	W 1-0	39.1	946	918	45.35%	28.58%	26.07%	+0.38	+5.6	39
1999-03-13	@ Finn Harps	L 0-1	39.1	918	946	26.07%	28.58%	45.35%	-0.38	-5.6	30
1999-03-13	Waterford	W 2-1	46.5	875	876	41.44%	29.14%	29.42%	+0.23	+5.8	25
1999-03-13	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	46.5	876	875	29.42%	29.14%	41.44%	-0.23	-5.8	20
1999-03-14	Dundalk	W 2-0	30.2	1073	904	62.52%	22.80%	14.68%	+1.12	+6.0	56
1999-03-14	@ Cork City	L 0-2	30.2	904	1073	14.68%	22.80%	62.52%	-1.12	-6.0	27
1999-03-14	Derry City	W 1-0	39.3	969	946	44.64%	28.70%	26.66%	+0.35	+5.7	38
1999-03-14	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	39.3	946	969	26.66%	28.70%	44.64%	-0.35	-5.7	33
1999-03-18	Derry City	L 0-1	42.1	898	941	35.45%	29.46%	35.09%	+0.01	-7.0	27
1999-03-18	@ Dundalk	W 1-0	42.1	941	898	35.09%	29.46%	35.45%	-0.01	+7.0	36
1999-03-19	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	35.2	1011	881	58.07%	24.79%	17.15%	+0.91	+3.8	43
1999-03-19	@ Shelbourne	L 0-1	35.2	881	1011	17.15%	24.79%	58.07%	-0.91	-3.8	25
1999-03-19	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	44.5	870	975	27.35%	28.83%	43.82%	-0.32	+8.2	23
1999-03-19	@ Waterford	L 0-1	44.5	975	870	43.82%	28.83%	27.35%	+0.32	-8.2	38
1999-03-20	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	32.9	952	1086	24.11%	28.08%	47.81%	-0.48	-14.3	39
1999-03-20	@ Finn Harps	W 3-0	32.9	1086	952	47.81%	28.08%	24.11%	+0.48	+14.3	59
1999-03-21	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	48.2	938	882	49.07%	27.78%	23.15%	+0.53	-1.1	27
1999-03-21	@ Bohemian	D 0-0	48.2	882	938	23.15%	27.78%	49.07%	-0.53	+1.1	23
1999-03-21	Cork City	D 2-2	59.8	912	1079	21.12%	27.01%	51.87%	-0.64	+0.9	31
1999-03-21	@ UC Dublin	D 2-2	59.8	1079	912	51.87%	27.01%	21.12%	+0.64	-0.9	57
1999-03-26	Dundalk	W 1-0	40.6	883	891	40.39%	29.24%	30.37%	+0.19	+6.3	26
1999-03-26	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	40.6	891	883	30.37%	29.24%	40.39%	-0.19	-6.3	27
1999-03-26	Bohemian	D 1-1	53.4	967	937	45.59%	28.53%	25.88%	+0.39	-0.8	39
1999-03-26	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	53.4	937	967	25.88%	28.53%	45.59%	-0.39	+0.8	28
1999-03-26	Finn Harps	W 2-0	39.1	877	937	33.02%	29.42%	37.56%	-0.08	+13.8	28
1999-03-26	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	39.1	937	877	37.56%	29.42%	33.02%	+0.08	-13.8	39
1999-03-28	Waterford	D 0-0	50.1	1078	878	65.84%	21.14%	13.02%	+1.28	-2.5	58
1999-03-28	@ Cork City	D 0-0	50.1	878	1078	13.02%	21.14%	65.84%	-1.28	+2.4	24
1999-03-28	Shelbourne	W 1-0	43.0	948	1014	32.15%	29.38%	38.47%	-0.12	+7.5	39
1999-03-28	@ Derry City	L 0-1	43.0	1014	948	38.47%	29.38%	32.15%	+0.12	-7.4	43
1999-03-28	UC Dublin	D 0-0	49.9	1101	913	64.51%	21.82%	13.67%	+1.22	-2.4	60
1999-03-28	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	49.9	913	1101	13.67%	21.82%	64.51%	-1.22	+2.4	32
1999-04-02	Derry City	W 1-0	43.3	881	955	31.08%	29.30%	39.62%	-0.16	+7.6	27
1999-04-02	@ Waterford	L 0-1	43.3	955	881	39.62%	29.30%	31.08%	+0.16	-7.6	39
1999-04-03	Cork City	L 2-5	37.6	891	1076	19.61%	26.29%	54.10%	-0.74	-8.6	28
1999-04-03	@ Sligo Rovers	W 5-2	37.6	1076	891	54.10%	26.29%	19.61%	+0.74	+8.6	61
1999-04-04	Dundalk	W 2-1	44.3	938	885	48.64%	27.89%	23.47%	+0.51	+4.8	31
1999-04-04	@ Bohemian	L 1-2	44.3	885	938	23.47%	27.89%	48.64%	-0.51	-4.8	27
1999-04-05	St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	53.3	1007	1098	28.96%	29.08%	41.96%	-0.25	+0.5	44
1999-04-05	@ Shelbourne	D 1-1	53.3	1098	1007	41.96%	29.08%	28.96%	+0.25	-0.5	61
1999-04-05	Bray Wanderers	L 1-3	47.0	916	889	45.15%	28.61%	26.24%	+0.37	-13.7	32
1999-04-05	@ UC Dublin	W 3-1	47.0	889	916	26.24%	28.61%	45.15%	-0.37	+13.7	29
1999-04-08	Shelbourne	L 1-2	44.8	880	1007	24.86%	28.29%	46.85%	-0.44	-5.0	27
1999-04-08	@ Dundalk	W 2-1	44.8	1007	880	46.85%	28.29%	24.86%	+0.44	+5.0	47
1999-04-09	Waterford	L 0-1	44.4	903	888	43.52%	28.87%	27.60%	+0.31	-8.2	29
1999-04-09	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	44.4	888	903	27.60%	28.87%	43.52%	-0.31	+8.2	30
1999-04-09	UC Dublin	D 0-0	48.2	966	902	50.06%	27.52%	22.42%	+0.57	-1.2	40
1999-04-09	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	48.2	902	966	22.42%	27.52%	50.06%	-0.57	+1.2	33
1999-04-09	Sligo Rovers	W 4-0	27.1	1098	882	67.46%	20.28%	12.26%	+1.37	+9.2	64
1999-04-09	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-4	27.1	882	1098	12.26%	20.28%	67.46%	-1.37	-9.2	28
1999-04-10	Finn Harps	W 2-1	40.4	1084	924	61.60%	23.23%	15.17%	+1.08	+3.1	64
1999-04-10	@ Cork City	L 1-2	40.4	924	1084	15.17%	23.23%	61.60%	-1.08	-3.1	39
1999-04-10	Bohemian	L 0-1	44.1	948	942	42.24%	29.05%	28.71%	+0.26	-8.0	39
1999-04-10	@ Derry City	W 1-0	44.1	942	948	28.71%	29.05%	42.24%	-0.26	+8.0	34
1999-04-13	Shamrock Rovers	W 4-1	41.3	920	965	35.24%	29.46%	35.29%	+0.00	+16.2	42
1999-04-13	@ Finn Harps	L 1-4	41.3	965	920	35.29%	29.46%	35.24%	+0.00	-16.2	40
1999-04-15	Bohemian	L 1-2	52.1	1012	950	49.81%	27.59%	22.60%	+0.56	-8.5	47
1999-04-15	@ Shelbourne	W 2-1	52.1	950	1012	22.60%	27.59%	49.81%	-0.56	+8.5	37
1999-04-16	Cork City	W 1-0	39.4	1107	1087	44.22%	28.77%	27.01%	+0.34	+5.7	67
1999-04-16	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	39.4	1087	1107	27.01%	28.77%	44.22%	-0.34	-5.7	64
1999-04-16	Dundalk	W 2-0	35.6	896	875	44.48%	28.73%	26.80%	+0.35	+10.7	33
1999-04-16	@ Waterford	L 0-2	35.6	875	896	26.80%	28.73%	44.48%	-0.35	-10.7	27
1999-04-17	Bray Wanderers	L 0-3	39.9	937	895	47.20%	28.21%	24.59%	+0.45	-23.8	42
1999-04-17	@ Finn Harps	W 3-0	39.9	895	937	24.59%	28.21%	47.20%	-0.45	+23.8	32
1999-04-17	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	43.4	873	949	30.99%	29.30%	39.72%	-0.16	+7.6	31
1999-04-17	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	43.4	949	873	39.72%	29.30%	30.99%	+0.16	-7.6	40
1999-04-18	Derry City	W 2-1	48.0	903	940	36.36%	29.45%	34.19%	+0.04	+6.5	36
1999-04-18	@ UC Dublin	L 1-2	48.0	940	903	34.19%	29.45%	36.36%	-0.04	-6.4	39
1999-04-22	UC Dublin	L 0-2	38.3	864	910	35.06%	29.46%	35.47%	-0.01	-13.1	27
1999-04-22	@ Dundalk	W 2-0	38.3	910	864	35.47%	29.46%	35.06%	+0.01	+13.1	39
1999-04-23	Waterford	L 0-1	45.6	959	907	48.49%	27.92%	23.59%	+0.50	-8.9	37
1999-04-23	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	45.6	907	959	23.59%	27.92%	48.49%	-0.50	+8.9	36
1999-04-23	Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	51.4	918	881	46.63%	28.33%	25.04%	+0.43	-8.1	32
1999-04-23	@ Bray Wanderers	W 2-1	51.4	881	918	25.04%	28.33%	46.63%	-0.43	+8.1	34
1999-04-23	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	36.9	941	1113	20.67%	26.80%	52.53%	-0.67	-4.5	40
1999-04-23	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	36.9	1113	941	52.53%	26.80%	20.67%	+0.67	+4.5	70
1999-04-25	Shelbourne	W 2-1	43.4	1082	1004	51.79%	27.03%	21.18%	+0.64	+4.4	67
1999-04-25	@ Cork City	L 1-2	43.4	1004	1082	21.18%	27.03%	51.79%	-0.64	-4.4	47
1999-04-25	Finn Harps	W 1-0	39.4	933	913	44.32%	28.75%	26.93%	+0.34	+5.7	42
1999-04-25	@ Derry City	L 0-1	39.4	913	933	26.93%	28.75%	44.32%	-0.34	-5.7	42
1999-04-25	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	40.0	916	910	42.30%	29.04%	28.66%	+0.26	+6.0	39
1999-04-25	@ Waterford	L 0-1	40.0	910	916	28.66%	29.04%	42.30%	-0.26	-6.0	32
1999-04-27	Derry City	L 0-1	44.3	950	939	43.05%	28.94%	28.01%	+0.29	-8.1	37
1999-04-27	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	44.3	939	950	28.01%	28.94%	43.05%	-0.29	+8.1	45
1999-04-27	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.3	907	889	44.01%	28.80%	27.19%	+0.33	-0.6	43
1999-04-27	@ Finn Harps	D 1-1	53.3	889	907	27.19%	28.80%	44.01%	-0.33	+0.6	35
1999-05-02	Shamrock Rovers	W 3-0	29.1	1086	936	60.35%	23.80%	15.85%	+1.02	+9.5	70
1999-05-02	@ Cork City	L 0-3	29.1	936	1086	15.85%	23.80%	60.35%	-1.02	-9.5	40
1999-05-02	Dundalk	W 1-0	38.0	906	851	48.97%	27.81%	23.23%	+0.52	+5.0	46
1999-05-02	@ Finn Harps	L 0-1	38.0	851	906	23.23%	27.81%	48.97%	-0.52	-5.0	27
1999-05-02	Waterford	L 0-2	42.6	999	922	51.77%	27.04%	21.19%	+0.64	-17.6	47
1999-05-02	@ Shelbourne	W 2-0	42.6	922	999	21.19%	27.04%	51.77%	-0.64	+17.6	42
1999-05-02	Derry City	W 2-0	39.0	890	947	33.39%	29.43%	37.18%	-0.07	+13.7	38
1999-05-02	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	39.0	947	890	37.18%	29.43%	33.39%	+0.07	-13.7	45
1999-05-02	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	32.5	1117	904	67.20%	20.42%	12.38%	+1.35	+2.6	73
1999-05-02	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	32.5	904	1117	12.38%	20.42%	67.20%	-1.35	-2.6	32
1999-05-02	Bohemian	W 2-0	37.3	923	942	38.82%	29.36%	31.82%	+0.13	+12.2	42
1999-05-02	@ UC Dublin	L 0-2	37.3	942	923	31.82%	29.36%	38.82%	-0.13	-12.2	37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1999-03-12	13.83%	Bohemian	920	3	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1104	1
2	1998-12-20	16.63%	UC Dublin	935	2	@ Cork City	1072	1
3	1998-11-26	16.69%	@ Dundalk	863	2	St Patrick's Athletic	1088	0
4	1999-02-21	16.71%	Derry City	937	1	@ Cork City	1073	0
5	1999-01-27	19.35%	Dundalk	892	2	@ Shelbourne	991	1
6	1999-05-02	21.19%	Waterford	922	2	@ Shelbourne	999	0
7	1998-10-10	22.42%	Derry City	920	2	@ Waterford	984	1
8	1999-04-15	22.60%	Bohemian	950	2	@ Shelbourne	1012	1
9	1998-08-28	22.95%	Finn Harps	914	3	@ Bohemian	972	2
10	1999-04-23	23.59%	Waterford	907	1	@ Bohemian	959	0
11	1998-12-19	23.80%	Dundalk	886	1	@ Derry City	935	0
12	1999-04-17	24.59%	Bray Wanderers	895	3	@ Finn Harps	937	0
13	1998-09-26	24.71%	@ Finn Harps	917	2	St Patrick's Athletic	1046	1
14	1999-04-23	25.04%	Sligo Rovers	881	2	@ Bray Wanderers	918	1
15	1998-11-27	25.85%	Sligo Rovers	891	1	@ Bohemian	921	0
16	1999-04-05	26.24%	Bray Wanderers	889	3	@ UC Dublin	916	1
17	1998-09-04	26.39%	Bray Wanderers	929	1	@ Shamrock Rovers	955	0
18	1999-03-19	27.35%	@ Waterford	870	1	Shamrock Rovers	975	0
19	1999-04-09	27.60%	Waterford	888	1	@ Bray Wanderers	903	0
20	1998-10-30	27.71%	@ Shamrock Rovers	967	2	St Patrick's Athletic	1068	1
21	1998-09-25	27.97%	Bray Wanderers	925	2	@ Bohemian	937	1
22	1999-04-27	28.01%	Derry City	939	1	@ Bohemian	950	0
23	1998-12-27	28.02%	Bray Wanderers	883	1	@ Dundalk	895	0
24	1998-09-11	28.14%	St Patrick's Athletic	1019	2	@ Waterford	1029	0
25	1998-10-18	28.18%	Bohemian	919	2	@ Derry City	928	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1998-10-17	37.62	@ Bray Wanderers	6	922	33.93%	Waterford	0	975	36.62%	29.45%
2	1998-10-04	27.78	@ Cork City	5	1002	40.19%	Waterford	0	1012	30.55%	29.26%
3	1999-04-17	23.81	Bray Wanderers	3	895	24.59%	@ Finn Harps	0	937	47.20%	28.21%
4	1998-11-28	21.85	Finn Harps	3	940	28.72%	@ Waterford	0	945	42.24%	29.05%
5	1998-09-13	20.13	@ Derry City	5	906	36.98%	Bray Wanderers	1	938	33.58%	29.44%
6	1998-12-13	19.63	@ UC Dublin	3	915	34.04%	Finn Harps	0	968	36.51%	29.45%
7	1998-11-26	19.48	@ Dundalk	2	863	16.69%	St Patrick's Athletic	0	1088	58.85%	24.46%
8	1999-03-12	18.01	Bohemian	3	920	13.83%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1104	64.20%	21.97%
9	1999-05-02	17.63	Waterford	2	922	21.19%	@ Shelbourne	0	999	51.77%	27.04%
10	1998-11-15	17.47	@ Bohemian	3	910	39.63%	UC Dublin	0	923	31.07%	29.30%
11	1998-11-15	16.98	Cork City	3	1050	40.87%	@ Shamrock Rovers	0	966	29.93%	29.20%
12	1998-11-15	16.31	@ Finn Harps	6	917	39.15%	Bray Wanderers	2	934	31.51%	29.34%
13	1999-04-13	16.16	@ Finn Harps	4	920	35.24%	Shamrock Rovers	1	965	35.29%	29.46%
14	1998-10-02	15.81	@ Shamrock Rovers	3	946	43.87%	Bohemian	0	929	27.31%	28.82%
15	1998-09-11	15.22	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1019	28.14%	@ Waterford	0	1029	42.90%	28.96%
16	1998-10-18	15.21	Bohemian	2	919	28.18%	@ Derry City	0	928	42.85%	28.97%
17	1998-08-27	14.63	Sligo Rovers	2	910	30.11%	@ Dundalk	0	904	40.68%	29.21%
18	1998-09-11	14.58	Cork City	2	971	30.26%	@ Bohemian	0	964	40.51%	29.23%
19	1999-01-22	14.35	@ Bohemian	2	931	31.05%	Shelbourne	0	1006	39.65%	29.30%
20	1999-03-20	14.27	St Patrick's Athletic	3	1086	47.81%	@ Finn Harps	0	952	24.11%	28.08%
21	1998-10-29	14.02	@ Dundalk	2	860	32.23%	UC Dublin	0	925	38.38%	29.38%
22	1999-03-26	13.79	@ Sligo Rovers	2	877	33.02%	Finn Harps	0	937	37.56%	29.42%
23	1999-04-05	13.71	Bray Wanderers	3	889	26.24%	@ UC Dublin	1	916	45.15%	28.61%
24	1999-05-02	13.70	@ Sligo Rovers	2	890	33.39%	Derry City	0	947	37.18%	29.43%
25	1999-01-17	13.61	Shamrock Rovers	2	978	33.70%	@ UC Dublin	0	945	36.86%	29.44%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-01-31	62.3	@ Shelbourne	3	982	29.85%	Cork City	3	1066	40.96%	29.19%
2	1998-11-07	62.2	@ Sligo Rovers	3	897	38.33%	Derry City	3	920	32.28%	29.38%
3	1998-12-18	60.4	@ St Patrick's Athletic	2	1074	57.65%	Finn Harps	2	948	17.39%	24.96%
4	1999-03-21	59.8	@ UC Dublin	2	912	21.12%	Cork City	2	1079	51.87%	27.01%
5	1998-08-28	59.5	@ Shelbourne	2	1004	48.23%	Shamrock Rovers	2	954	23.79%	27.98%
6	1998-12-27	59.4	@ UC Dublin	2	944	24.75%	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1073	46.99%	28.26%
7	1998-10-25	59.2	@ UC Dublin	2	926	43.26%	Derry City	2	913	27.83%	28.91%
8	1999-01-30	59.1	@ Finn Harps	2	939	42.05%	Derry City	2	935	28.88%	29.07%
9	1998-09-05	59.0	@ Sligo Rovers	2	925	35.97%	Bohemian	2	964	34.57%	29.46%
10	1998-09-25	59.0	@ Dundalk	2	874	34.01%	Derry City	2	927	36.54%	29.45%
11	1998-08-28	56.7	Finn Harps	3	914	22.95%	@ Bohemian	2	972	49.34%	27.71%
12	1998-11-29	54.5	Shamrock Rovers	4	962	36.63%	@ Bray Wanderers	3	909	33.92%	29.45%
13	1999-01-24	54.4	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	991	57.02%	Sligo Rovers	1	871	17.77%	25.21%
14	1998-12-13	54.1	@ Dundalk	1	884	19.26%	Cork City	1	1073	54.64%	26.10%
15	1998-11-27	54.0	@ Shelbourne	1	995	53.18%	UC Dublin	1	906	20.22%	26.59%
16	1998-09-25	53.9	@ Shelbourne	1	993	52.05%	Sligo Rovers	1	914	21.00%	26.95%
17	1998-12-04	53.9	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	968	52.72%	Dundalk	1	883	20.54%	26.74%
18	1998-12-20	53.9	UC Dublin	2	935	16.63%	@ Cork City	1	1072	58.95%	24.41%
19	1998-09-25	53.8	@ Waterford	1	1013	50.50%	Shamrock Rovers	1	945	22.09%	27.40%
20	1998-12-11	53.8	@ Bohemian	1	915	21.68%	St Patrick's Athletic	1	1075	51.07%	27.24%
21	1998-10-30	53.7	@ Bray Wanderers	1	959	49.99%	Sligo Rovers	1	896	22.47%	27.54%
22	1998-11-29	53.7	@ Derry City	1	927	22.68%	Cork City	1	1076	49.70%	27.62%
23	1999-02-28	53.7	@ Derry City	1	947	49.72%	Bray Wanderers	1	886	22.66%	27.61%
24	1999-01-16	53.6	@ Finn Harps	1	938	23.99%	Cork City	1	1074	47.97%	28.04%
25	1998-12-11	53.4	@ Waterford	1	916	44.87%	Sligo Rovers	1	892	26.47%	28.66%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-04-09	27.1	@ St Patrick's Athletic	4	1098	67.46%	Sligo Rovers	0	882	12.26%	20.28%
2	1999-05-02	29.1	@ Cork City	3	1086	60.35%	Shamrock Rovers	0	936	15.85%	23.80%
3	1998-11-22	29.2	@ Cork City	3	1067	60.28%	Bray Wanderers	0	918	15.89%	23.83%
4	1999-03-14	30.2	@ Cork City	2	1073	62.52%	Dundalk	0	904	14.68%	22.80%
5	1998-11-06	30.8	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1061	54.84%	Bray Wanderers	0	958	19.13%	26.03%
6	1999-01-29	30.8	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1094	54.99%	Shamrock Rovers	0	990	19.03%	25.97%
7	1998-12-04	31.0	@ St Patrick's Athletic	2	1069	59.89%	Waterford	0	923	16.10%	24.01%
8	1998-09-18	31.4	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1034	52.64%	Bohemian	0	949	20.59%	26.77%
9	1998-10-18	32.3	@ Cork City	2	1040	55.54%	Finn Harps	0	932	18.68%	25.77%
10	1999-05-02	32.5	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1117	67.20%	Bray Wanderers	0	904	12.38%	20.42%
11	1999-03-20	32.9	St Patrick's Athletic	3	1086	47.81%	@ Finn Harps	0	952	24.11%	28.08%
12	1999-02-19	33.0	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1104	65.55%	Dundalk	0	906	13.16%	21.29%
13	1999-01-03	33.3	@ Cork City	1	1071	64.62%	Sligo Rovers	0	883	13.62%	21.76%
14	1998-12-26	33.5	@ Shelbourne	2	1001	51.43%	Derry City	0	927	21.43%	27.14%
15	1998-10-16	33.9	@ St Patrick's Athletic	4	1049	59.84%	Sligo Rovers	1	904	16.13%	24.03%
16	1999-02-20	34.0	@ Finn Harps	2	947	50.06%	Waterford	0	883	22.42%	27.52%
17	1998-10-02	34.1	@ Shamrock Rovers	3	946	43.87%	Bohemian	0	929	27.31%	28.82%
18	1998-12-27	34.2	Cork City	2	1062	49.30%	@ Waterford	0	916	22.98%	27.72%
19	1998-11-20	34.4	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1085	60.88%	Derry City	0	930	15.56%	23.56%
20	1999-02-26	34.7	Cork City	2	1063	47.59%	@ Bohemian	0	930	24.28%	28.13%
21	1999-02-26	34.9	@ Shelbourne	2	995	46.78%	Finn Harps	0	956	24.91%	28.30%
22	1998-11-15	35.0	Cork City	3	1050	40.87%	@ Shamrock Rovers	0	966	29.93%	29.20%
23	1999-01-17	35.2	St Patrick's Athletic	4	1077	55.57%	@ Sligo Rovers	1	880	18.67%	25.76%
24	1999-03-19	35.2	@ Shelbourne	1	1011	58.07%	Sligo Rovers	0	881	17.15%	24.79%
25	1998-11-15	35.3	@ Bohemian	3	910	39.63%	UC Dublin	0	923	31.07%	29.30%