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1999-00 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Shelbourne

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shelbourne

13.92 points above expected

69 points · 55.08 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sligo Rovers

11.04 points below expected

25 points · 36.04 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shelbourne 33 19 12 2 69 49 20 +29 55.08 +13.92
2 Cork City 33 16 10 7 58 53 32 +21 56.55 +1.45
3 Bohemian 33 16 9 8 57 40 23 +17 49.62 +7.38
4 UC Dublin 33 13 12 8 51 40 29 +11 44.98 +6.02
5 Shamrock Rovers 33 13 11 9 50 49 36 +13 46.14 +3.86
6 St Patrick's Athletic 33 13 11 9 50 40 31 +9 55.00 -5.00
7 Derry City 33 12 10 11 46 32 38 -6 40.21 +5.79
8 Finn Harps 33 8 10 15 34 39 41 -2 39.14 -5.14
9 Galway United (old) 33 8 10 15 34 32 49 -17 40.59 -6.59
10 Waterford 33 7 12 14 33 24 38 -14 36.68 -3.68
11 Sligo Rovers 33 5 10 18 25 31 60 -29 36.04 -11.04
12 Drogheda United 33 4 11 18 23 21 53 -32 29.82 -6.82

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shelbourne 69 55.08 +13.92
2 Bohemian 57 49.62 +7.38
3 UC Dublin 51 44.98 +6.02
4 Derry City 46 40.21 +5.79
5 Shamrock Rovers 50 46.14 +3.86

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sligo Rovers 25 36.04 -11.04
2 Drogheda United 23 29.82 -6.82
3 Galway United (old) 34 40.59 -6.59
4 Finn Harps 34 39.14 -5.14
5 St Patrick's Athletic 50 55.00 -5.00

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 4 Dec 17 – Jan 14 1 in 83
2 Shelbourne 5 Feb 18 – Mar 26 1 in 51
3 Shamrock Rovers 4 Sep 12 – Oct 3 1 in 43
4 Derry City 3 Aug 13 – Sep 5 1 in 34
5 Cork City 4 Apr 9 – Apr 23 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Galway United (old) 6 Sep 24 – Oct 29 1 in 765
2 St Patrick's Athletic 3 Dec 10 – Dec 27 1 in 77
3 Finn Harps 5 Aug 14 – Sep 17 1 in 75
4 Bohemian 3 Mar 24 – Apr 12 1 in 38
5 Sligo Rovers 4 Sep 18 – Oct 8 1 in 35

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shelbourne 20 Aug 13 – Jan 3 1 in 650
2 Derry City 10 Jan 16 – Apr 8 1 in 141
3 Bohemian 11 Dec 17 – Mar 18 1 in 30
4 St Patrick's Athletic 12 Sep 18 – Dec 3 1 in 22
5 Waterford 5 Nov 26 – Dec 27 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork City 6 Jan 16 – Mar 10 1 in 59
2 Shamrock Rovers 7 Jan 21 – Mar 10 1 in 34
3 Galway United (old) 9 Sep 24 – Nov 21 1 in 29
4 Sligo Rovers 13 Jan 14 – Apr 23 1 in 28
5 Drogheda United 14 Nov 19 – Mar 12 1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shelbourne 1141 69 +5 8 10.2 -2.2
Cork City 1106 58 +28 13 8.7 +4.3
Bohemian 1061 57 -14 4 7.8 -3.8
UC Dublin 1042 51 +17 10 7.5 +2.5
St Patrick's Athletic 1077 50 +4 8 8.8 -0.8
Shamrock Rovers 1028 50 +3 6 6.2 -0.2
Derry City 973 46 -6 5 6.4 -1.4
Finn Harps 984 34 +34 10 7.3 +2.7
Galway United (old) 934 34 -7 8 5.7 +2.3
Waterford 935 33 -1 5 4.5 +0.5
Sligo Rovers 874 25 -23 2 4.4 -2.4
Drogheda United 824 23 -40 1 3.6 -2.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CC DC DU FH GU( SR SHE SR SPA UD WAT
Bohemian —
1-1-1
3.23
1-2-0
4.76
3-0-0
5.49
2-1-0
4.89
2-0-1
4.71
1-1-1
4.29
0-1-2
3.80
2-1-0
5.60
1-1-1
3.58
2-0-1
4.60
1-1-1
4.83
Cork City
1-1-1
4.77
—
1-1-1
5.38
2-1-0
6.38
2-1-0
5.26
3-0-0
5.20
3-0-0
4.52
0-0-3
4.27
1-1-1
5.71
1-1-1
4.33
1-2-0
5.08
1-2-0
5.51
Derry City
0-2-1
3.26
1-1-1
2.70
—
2-0-1
5.16
2-1-0
4.02
2-0-1
4.19
1-1-1
3.59
1-1-1
2.64
0-1-2
4.93
1-1-1
2.75
1-0-2
3.66
1-2-0
4.36
Drogheda United
0-0-3
2.61
0-1-2
1.90
1-0-2
2.90
—
1-1-1
3.25
1-2-0
2.87
0-1-2
2.79
0-2-1
1.99
0-3-0
3.19
0-0-3
2.19
0-0-3
2.61
1-1-1
3.29
Finn Harps
0-1-2
3.14
0-1-2
2.80
0-1-2
3.95
1-1-1
4.76
—
2-0-1
3.92
1-1-1
3.22
0-1-2
2.95
2-1-0
4.47
0-1-2
2.66
0-2-1
3.40
2-0-1
4.15
Galway United (old)
1-0-2
3.31
0-0-3
2.88
1-0-2
3.79
0-2-1
5.19
1-0-2
4.07
—
0-1-2
3.14
0-3-0
3.03
1-1-1
4.13
1-0-2
2.71
2-1-0
3.34
1-2-0
4.12
Shamrock Rovers
1-1-1
3.70
0-0-3
3.47
1-1-1
4.40
2-1-0
5.29
1-1-1
4.79
2-1-0
4.87
—
1-1-1
3.30
3-0-0
5.14
1-2-0
3.24
0-2-1
4.24
1-1-1
4.99
Shelbourne
2-1-0
4.18
3-0-0
3.72
1-1-1
5.46
1-2-0
6.28
2-1-0
5.10
0-3-0
5.02
1-1-1
4.71
—
3-0-0
5.63
2-1-0
3.81
2-1-0
4.63
2-1-0
5.51
Sligo Rovers
0-1-2
2.52
1-1-1
2.43
2-1-0
3.10
0-3-0
4.83
0-1-2
3.53
1-1-1
3.84
0-0-3
2.91
0-0-3
2.51
—
0-1-2
2.57
0-1-2
3.40
1-0-2
3.82
St Patrick's Athletic
1-1-1
4.43
1-1-1
3.65
1-1-1
5.31
3-0-0
6.01
2-1-0
5.42
2-0-1
5.36
0-2-1
4.77
0-1-2
4.18
2-1-0
5.54
—
0-2-1
4.76
1-1-1
5.61
UC Dublin
1-0-2
3.41
0-2-1
2.96
2-0-1
4.33
3-0-0
5.49
1-2-0
4.60
0-1-2
4.66
1-2-0
3.74
0-1-2
3.36
2-1-0
4.60
1-2-0
3.25
—
2-1-0
4.74
Waterford
1-1-1
3.21
0-2-1
2.59
0-2-1
3.63
1-1-1
4.71
1-0-2
3.83
0-2-1
3.85
1-1-1
3.04
0-1-2
2.59
2-0-1
4.16
1-1-1
2.51
0-1-2
3.27
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +11.9
Allowed 0.85 -11.0
Differential 0.93 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%9.34%5.30%3.54%1.26%0.76%35.35%
19.34%12.63%7.32%2.78%1.26%—33.33%
25.30%7.32%4.04%1.52%0.51%—18.69%
33.54%2.78%1.52%0.51%—0.25%8.59%
41.26%1.26%0.51%———3.03%
5+0.76%——0.25%——1.01%
Total35.35%33.33%18.69%8.59%3.03%1.01%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.14 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.65
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%9.09%3.03%———33.33%
115.15%6.06%6.06%6.06%——33.33%
29.09%6.06%————15.15%
39.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total54.55%27.27%12.12%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 0.70 +0.52
SD 1.17 0.92 1.46
CV 0.96 1.32 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
16.06%12.12%3.03%———21.21%
29.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%——27.27%
36.06%9.09%————15.15%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total36.36%42.42%12.12%6.06%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.97 +0.64
SD 1.37 1.02 1.85
CV 0.85 1.05 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%12.12%9.09%——39.39%
19.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
212.12%12.12%6.06%———30.30%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%24.24%21.21%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.15 -0.18
SD 0.92 1.18 1.67
CV 0.95 1.02 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%12.12%6.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%54.55%
13.03%12.12%12.12%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
23.03%—3.03%———6.06%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%27.27%24.24%15.15%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 1.61 -0.97
SD 0.86 1.34 1.63
CV 1.35 0.84 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%6.06%———33.33%
13.03%18.18%12.12%3.03%——36.36%
23.03%6.06%—6.06%——15.15%
3—3.03%3.03%3.03%——9.09%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%45.45%21.21%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.24 -0.06
SD 1.18 0.94 1.46
CV 1.00 0.75 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%9.09%9.09%3.03%—39.39%
13.03%15.15%9.09%6.06%3.03%—36.36%
23.03%12.12%3.03%———18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total21.21%36.36%21.21%15.15%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.48 -0.52
SD 1.10 1.18 1.82
CV 1.14 0.79 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%9.09%3.03%6.06%——39.39%
13.03%9.09%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
2—9.09%————9.09%
36.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
43.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total33.33%39.39%12.12%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.09 +0.39
SD 1.58 1.04 1.75
CV 1.07 0.95 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%————18.18%
121.21%18.18%3.03%———42.42%
29.09%9.09%3.03%———21.21%
33.03%—6.06%———9.09%
46.06%—3.03%———9.09%
5+———————
Total54.55%30.30%15.15%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 0.61 +0.88
SD 1.18 0.75 1.19
CV 0.79 1.23 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%——3.03%6.06%36.36%
19.09%15.15%9.09%—6.06%—39.39%
23.03%—3.03%6.06%6.06%—18.18%
3—3.03%———3.03%6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%33.33%12.12%6.06%15.15%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.82 -0.88
SD 0.90 1.69 1.69
CV 0.96 0.93 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%————21.21%
115.15%15.15%12.12%6.06%——48.48%
23.03%9.09%6.06%———18.18%
39.09%—3.03%———12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%33.33%21.21%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 0.94 +0.27
SD 0.93 0.93 1.28
CV 0.77 0.99 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%12.12%———30.30%
112.12%15.15%6.06%———33.33%
26.06%12.12%9.09%———27.27%
36.06%—————6.06%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total39.39%33.33%27.27%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 0.88 +0.33
SD 1.14 0.82 1.53
CV 0.94 0.93 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%15.15%9.09%3.03%3.03%—51.52%
112.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%——27.27%
23.03%3.03%9.09%3.03%——18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%24.24%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.15 -0.42
SD 0.88 1.12 1.32
CV 1.20 0.97 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shelbourne 1141 69 55.08 +13.92 98.0% 36 41 50 55 59 65 74
Cork City 1106 58 56.55 +1.45 57.0% 39 44 52 57 61 69 72
St Patrick's Athletic 1077 50 55.00 -5.00 27.0% 38 44 50 54 60 66 71
Bohemian 1061 57 49.62 +7.38 87.0% 32 39 44 50 54 61 65
UC Dublin 1042 51 44.98 +6.02 82.0% 27 34 39 45 50 56 65
Shamrock Rovers 1028 50 46.14 +3.86 79.0% 23 33 43 47 50 58 64
Finn Harps 984 34 39.14 -5.14 29.0% 21 27 34 38 45 51 54
Derry City 973 46 40.21 +5.79 77.0% 26 28 35 40 45 52 56
Waterford 935 33 36.68 -3.68 35.0% 21 25 33 36 41 47 60
Galway United (old) 934 34 40.59 -6.59 19.0% 23 30 36 40 45 51 59
Sligo Rovers 874 25 36.04 -11.04 9.0% 22 24 31 36 41 49 52
Drogheda United 824 23 29.82 -6.82 19.0% 18 19 25 29 34 39 44

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.07%
No Edge
37.37%32.32%30.30%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 24.61 Elo pts.
175 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.06 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.9
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
26%
Shelbourne, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.33/gm
Runaway
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.62 * Some Luck: 5.62 to 8.42 * Lucky: 8.42 to 11.23 * Wild Swing: 11.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.44 * Close: 1.44 to 2.17 * Off: 2.17 to 2.89 * Way Off: 2.89 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.14 points
Some Luck
07.0218
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.814
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Shelbourne
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
Sligo Rovers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 95.26
1.98
Strong Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
68%
Even
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
86%
Even
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.30
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.02
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.67
Strong Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.11
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.25
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.099
Well Within Noise
00.1340.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Shelbourne26.00%23.00%22.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%———
Cork City37.00%24.00%14.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%—2.00%1.00%———
Bohemian11.00%11.00%12.00%20.00%14.00%11.00%12.00%4.00%2.00%3.00%——
UC Dublin3.00%5.00%11.00%10.00%14.00%13.00%13.00%7.00%11.00%11.00%—2.00%
Shamrock Rovers3.00%4.00%12.00%12.00%20.00%16.00%13.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%
St Patrick's Athletic20.00%28.00%18.00%13.00%9.00%3.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%———
Derry City—2.00%4.00%5.00%12.00%7.00%12.00%11.00%18.00%11.00%12.00%6.00%
Finn Harps—1.00%4.00%8.00%6.00%11.00%4.00%16.00%15.00%9.00%17.00%9.00%
Galway United (old)—1.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%13.00%16.00%18.00%10.00%9.00%16.00%2.00%
Waterford—1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%8.00%13.00%12.00%9.00%28.00%15.00%11.00%
Sligo Rovers———4.00%4.00%5.00%9.00%11.00%19.00%13.00%18.00%17.00%
Drogheda United—————3.00%1.00%6.00%8.00%10.00%20.00%52.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bohemian 97.00% 3.00% —
Cork City 100% — —
Shelbourne 100% — —
St Patrick's Athletic 100% — —
UC Dublin 87.00% 11.00% 2.00%
Shamrock Rovers 91.00% 6.00% 3.00%
Derry City 71.00% 11.00% 18.00%
Galway United (old) 73.00% 9.00% 18.00%
Finn Harps 65.00% 9.00% 26.00%
Waterford 46.00% 28.00% 26.00%
Sligo Rovers 52.00% 13.00% 35.00%
Drogheda United 18.00% 10.00% 72.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1999-08-13 Shamrock Rovers L 0-435.5 914 987 26.55% 33.69% 39.75%-0.28 -22.1 0
1999-08-13 @ Drogheda United W 4-035.5 987 914 39.75% 33.69% 26.55%+0.28 +22.1 3
1999-08-13 Galway United (old) D 1-151.0 1012 1007 37.01% 34.06% 28.92%+0.17 -0.3 1
1999-08-13 @ Shelbourne D 1-151.0 1007 1012 28.92% 34.06% 37.01%-0.17 +0.3 1
1999-08-13 Derry City L 1-252.4 1078 991 48.34% 31.34% 20.32%+0.64 -8.8 0
1999-08-13 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-152.4 991 1078 20.32% 31.34% 48.34%-0.64 +8.9 3
1999-08-13 Bohemian L 0-240.2 989 988 36.48% 34.11% 29.41%+0.14 -14.5 0
1999-08-13 @ Waterford W 2-040.2 988 989 29.41% 34.11% 36.48%-0.14 +14.5 3
1999-08-14 Cork City L 1-246.0 980 1066 25.03% 33.33% 41.64%-0.35 -5.5 0
1999-08-14 @ Finn Harps W 2-146.0 1066 980 41.64% 33.33% 25.03%+0.35 +5.6 3
1999-08-14 UC Dublin L 1-249.0 976 991 34.17% 34.25% 31.58%+0.05 -6.9 0
1999-08-14 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-149.0 991 976 31.58% 34.25% 34.17%-0.05 +6.9 3
1999-08-20 Shelbourne L 0-143.2 1003 1011 35.19% 34.21% 30.60%+0.09 -7.5 3
1999-08-20 @ Bohemian W 1-043.2 1011 1003 30.60% 34.21% 35.19%-0.09 +7.5 4
1999-08-20 Drogheda United D 1-152.3 1008 892 52.04% 29.80% 18.16%+0.80 -1.4 2
1999-08-20 @ Galway United (old) D 1-152.3 892 1008 18.16% 29.80% 52.04%-0.80 +1.4 1
1999-08-20 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-257.0 998 1069 26.87% 33.76% 39.37%-0.26 +0.4 4
1999-08-20 @ UC Dublin D 2-257.0 1069 998 39.37% 33.76% 26.87%+0.26 -0.4 1
1999-08-21 Sligo Rovers L 0-146.6 1072 969 50.40% 30.52% 19.08%+0.73 -9.7 3
1999-08-21 @ Cork City W 1-046.6 969 1072 19.08% 30.52% 50.40%-0.73 +9.7 3
1999-08-22 Waterford W 3-035.4 999 975 39.90% 33.67% 26.43%+0.28 +16.8 6
1999-08-22 @ Derry City L 0-335.4 975 999 26.43% 33.67% 39.90%-0.28 -16.8 0
1999-08-22 Finn Harps W 3-142.5 1009 974 41.37% 33.39% 25.24%+0.34 +9.7 6
1999-08-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-342.5 974 1009 25.24% 33.39% 41.37%-0.34 -9.7 0
1999-09-03 Bohemian L 0-235.9 894 995 23.44% 32.82% 43.74%-0.44 -10.5 1
1999-09-03 @ Drogheda United W 2-035.9 995 894 43.74% 32.82% 23.44%+0.44 +10.6 6
1999-09-03 Cork City L 1-440.9 1006 1062 28.64% 34.03% 37.33%-0.18 -15.0 2
1999-09-03 @ Galway United (old) W 4-140.9 1062 1006 37.33% 34.03% 28.64%+0.18 +15.0 6
1999-09-03 UC Dublin D 0-045.8 1019 999 39.23% 33.78% 26.99%+0.25 -0.5 5
1999-09-03 @ Shelbourne D 0-045.8 999 1019 26.99% 33.78% 39.23%-0.25 +0.5 5
1999-09-03 Finn Harps W 2-143.3 1068 964 50.58% 30.44% 18.98%+0.73 +4.4 4
1999-09-03 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-243.3 964 1068 18.98% 30.44% 50.58%-0.73 -4.4 0
1999-09-03 Sligo Rovers W 1-042.3 958 979 33.40% 34.27% 32.33%+0.02 +7.1 3
1999-09-03 @ Waterford L 0-142.3 979 958 32.33% 34.27% 33.40%-0.02 -7.1 3
1999-09-05 Shamrock Rovers W 1-041.6 1016 1019 35.99% 34.15% 29.85%+0.12 +6.7 9
1999-09-05 @ Derry City L 0-141.6 1019 1016 29.85% 34.15% 35.99%-0.12 -6.7 6
1999-09-10 Derry City W 3-037.2 1006 1023 33.96% 34.26% 31.78%+0.04 +19.2 9
1999-09-10 @ Bohemian L 0-337.2 1023 1006 31.78% 34.26% 33.96%-0.04 -19.2 9
1999-09-11 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-041.3 1077 1073 37.01% 34.06% 28.93%+0.17 +6.6 9
1999-09-11 @ Cork City L 0-141.3 1073 1077 28.93% 34.06% 37.01%-0.17 -6.6 4
1999-09-11 Shelbourne L 0-141.1 960 1018 28.32% 33.99% 37.69%-0.19 -6.5 0
1999-09-11 @ Finn Harps W 1-041.1 1018 960 37.69% 33.99% 28.32%+0.19 +6.5 8
1999-09-11 Drogheda United D 1-151.9 972 883 48.55% 31.26% 20.19%+0.64 -1.2 4
1999-09-11 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-151.9 883 972 20.19% 31.26% 48.55%-0.64 +1.2 2
1999-09-12 Waterford W 1-039.4 1012 965 43.04% 33.00% 23.96%+0.41 +5.7 9
1999-09-12 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-139.4 965 1012 23.96% 33.00% 43.04%-0.41 -5.7 3
1999-09-12 Galway United (old) L 0-240.5 999 991 37.55% 34.01% 28.45%+0.19 -14.8 5
1999-09-12 @ UC Dublin W 2-040.5 991 999 28.45% 34.01% 37.55%-0.19 +14.8 5
1999-09-17 Cork City W 3-254.7 1025 1084 28.26% 33.98% 37.75%-0.20 +7.0 11
1999-09-17 @ Shelbourne L 2-354.7 1084 1025 37.75% 33.98% 28.26%+0.20 -7.0 9
1999-09-17 Finn Harps W 1-040.1 984 953 40.76% 33.51% 25.73%+0.32 +6.0 8
1999-09-17 @ UC Dublin L 0-140.1 953 984 25.73% 33.51% 40.76%-0.32 -6.0 0
1999-09-17 Galway United (old) L 1-247.7 959 1006 29.82% 34.15% 36.03%-0.13 -6.3 3
1999-09-17 @ Waterford W 2-147.7 1006 959 36.03% 34.15% 29.82%+0.13 +6.3 8
1999-09-18 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-139.5 970 1066 24.06% 33.04% 42.90%-0.41 -5.7 4
1999-09-18 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-039.5 1066 970 42.90% 33.04% 24.06%+0.41 +5.7 7
1999-09-19 Shamrock Rovers L 1-346.3 1025 1018 37.40% 34.02% 28.58%+0.18 -12.8 9
1999-09-19 @ Bohemian W 3-146.3 1018 1025 28.58% 34.02% 37.40%-0.18 +12.8 12
1999-09-19 Drogheda United L 0-243.7 1004 884 52.58% 29.55% 17.87%+0.82 -18.8 9
1999-09-19 @ Derry City W 2-043.7 884 1004 17.87% 29.55% 52.58%-0.82 +18.8 5
1999-09-24 Waterford D 1-151.0 903 953 29.41% 34.12% 36.47%-0.14 +0.3 6
1999-09-24 @ Drogheda United D 1-151.0 953 903 36.47% 34.12% 29.41%+0.14 -0.3 4
1999-09-24 Bohemian L 1-249.6 1012 1012 36.36% 34.12% 29.52%+0.14 -7.2 8
1999-09-24 @ Galway United (old) W 2-149.6 1012 1012 29.52% 34.12% 36.36%-0.14 +7.2 12
1999-09-24 Shelbourne D 1-151.3 1072 1032 42.01% 33.25% 24.74%+0.37 -0.7 8
1999-09-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.3 1032 1072 24.74% 33.25% 42.01%-0.37 +0.7 12
1999-09-25 Derry City D 1-151.0 947 985 31.04% 34.23% 34.72%-0.07 +0.1 1
1999-09-25 @ Finn Harps D 1-151.0 985 947 34.72% 34.23% 31.04%+0.07 -0.1 10
1999-09-26 Sligo Rovers W 4-138.4 1031 965 45.57% 32.29% 22.14%+0.52 +12.3 15
1999-09-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-438.4 965 1031 22.14% 32.29% 45.57%-0.52 -12.3 4
1999-10-01 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-045.7 1020 1071 29.19% 34.09% 36.72%-0.15 +0.3 13
1999-10-01 @ Bohemian D 0-045.7 1071 1020 36.72% 34.09% 29.19%+0.15 -0.3 9
1999-10-01 Finn Harps W 3-254.1 903 948 30.14% 34.18% 35.68%-0.11 +6.8 9
1999-10-01 @ Drogheda United L 2-354.1 948 903 35.68% 34.18% 30.14%+0.11 -6.8 1
1999-10-01 Cork City L 1-340.9 953 1077 21.36% 31.91% 46.73%-0.57 -8.4 4
1999-10-01 @ Waterford W 3-140.9 1077 953 46.73% 31.91% 21.36%+0.57 +8.4 12
1999-10-02 Shelbourne L 2-445.9 952 1032 25.75% 33.51% 40.74%-0.32 -8.8 4
1999-10-02 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-245.9 1032 952 40.74% 33.51% 25.75%+0.32 +8.8 15
1999-10-03 Galway United (old) W 2-145.9 1043 1005 41.75% 33.31% 24.94%+0.36 +5.5 18
1999-10-03 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-245.9 1005 1043 24.94% 33.31% 41.75%-0.36 -5.6 8
1999-10-08 Sligo Rovers W 2-147.7 941 944 36.00% 34.15% 29.85%+0.12 +6.3 4
1999-10-08 @ Finn Harps L 1-247.7 944 941 29.85% 34.15% 36.00%-0.12 -6.3 4
1999-10-08 Derry City L 0-240.7 999 985 38.45% 33.89% 27.66%+0.22 -15.0 8
1999-10-08 @ Galway United (old) W 2-040.7 985 999 27.66% 33.89% 38.45%-0.22 +15.0 13
1999-10-08 Drogheda United W 1-036.1 1041 910 54.05% 28.85% 17.10%+0.89 +4.1 18
1999-10-08 @ Shelbourne L 0-136.1 910 1041 17.10% 28.85% 54.05%-0.89 -4.1 9
1999-10-08 Waterford W 1-036.3 1071 944 53.49% 29.13% 17.39%+0.86 +4.2 12
1999-10-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-136.3 944 1071 17.39% 29.13% 53.49%-0.86 -4.2 4
1999-10-08 Shamrock Rovers W 3-038.9 990 1049 28.35% 33.99% 37.66%-0.19 +21.5 11
1999-10-08 @ UC Dublin L 0-338.9 1049 990 37.66% 33.99% 28.35%+0.19 -21.5 18
1999-10-10 Bohemian D 1-151.6 1085 1020 45.42% 32.34% 22.24%+0.51 -0.9 13
1999-10-10 @ Cork City D 1-151.6 1020 1085 22.24% 32.34% 45.42%-0.51 +0.9 14
1999-10-13 UC Dublin W 1-038.5 1084 1012 46.37% 32.04% 21.60%+0.55 +5.2 16
1999-10-13 @ Cork City L 0-138.5 1012 1084 21.60% 32.04% 46.37%-0.55 -5.2 11
1999-10-15 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-242.7 906 1075 17.84% 29.53% 52.62%-0.82 -4.1 9
1999-10-15 @ Drogheda United W 2-142.7 1075 906 52.62% 29.53% 17.84%+0.82 +4.1 15
1999-10-15 Finn Harps L 1-347.4 984 947 41.63% 33.33% 25.04%+0.35 -13.8 8
1999-10-15 @ Galway United (old) W 3-147.4 947 984 25.04% 33.33% 41.63%-0.35 +13.8 7
1999-10-15 Shelbourne D 0-046.1 940 1045 23.08% 32.69% 44.24%-0.46 +0.9 5
1999-10-15 @ Waterford D 0-046.1 1045 940 44.24% 32.69% 23.08%+0.46 -0.9 19
1999-10-17 Sligo Rovers L 1-348.1 1000 937 45.10% 32.44% 22.46%+0.50 -14.6 13
1999-10-17 @ Derry City W 3-148.1 937 1000 22.46% 32.44% 45.10%-0.50 +14.6 7
1999-10-17 Cork City L 1-343.4 1027 1089 27.86% 33.92% 38.22%-0.21 -10.4 18
1999-10-17 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-143.4 1089 1027 38.22% 33.92% 27.86%+0.21 +10.4 19
1999-10-17 Bohemian L 0-239.6 1007 1021 34.37% 34.25% 31.38%+0.06 -13.9 11
1999-10-17 @ UC Dublin W 2-039.6 1021 1007 31.38% 34.25% 34.37%-0.06 +13.9 17
1999-10-22 Derry City W 2-035.6 1044 985 44.63% 32.58% 22.80%+0.48 +10.3 22
1999-10-22 @ Shelbourne L 0-235.6 985 1044 22.80% 32.58% 44.63%-0.48 -10.3 13
1999-10-22 Waterford D 2-257.2 993 941 43.66% 32.84% 23.50%+0.44 -0.6 12
1999-10-22 @ UC Dublin D 2-257.2 941 993 23.50% 32.84% 43.66%-0.44 +0.6 6
1999-10-23 Bohemian L 0-140.4 961 1035 26.45% 33.67% 39.88%-0.28 -6.1 7
1999-10-23 @ Finn Harps W 1-040.4 1035 961 39.88% 33.67% 26.45%+0.28 +6.2 20
1999-10-23 Galway United (old) W 1-042.2 952 971 33.69% 34.27% 32.04%+0.03 +7.0 10
1999-10-23 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-142.2 971 952 32.04% 34.27% 33.69%-0.03 -7.0 8
1999-10-24 Drogheda United W 3-028.7 1100 902 62.19% 24.35% 13.45%+1.27 +8.5 22
1999-10-24 @ Cork City L 0-328.7 902 1100 13.45% 24.35% 62.19%-1.27 -8.5 9
1999-10-24 UC Dublin L 0-239.5 975 992 33.92% 34.26% 31.82%+0.04 -13.8 13
1999-10-24 @ Derry City W 2-039.5 992 975 31.82% 34.26% 33.92%-0.04 +13.8 15
1999-10-24 Shamrock Rovers D 1-151.5 1079 1017 45.07% 32.45% 22.49%+0.50 -0.9 16
1999-10-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.5 1017 1079 22.49% 32.45% 45.07%-0.50 +0.9 19
1999-10-29 UC Dublin L 0-138.8 893 1006 22.38% 32.40% 45.22%-0.50 -5.4 9
1999-10-29 @ Drogheda United W 1-038.8 1006 893 45.22% 32.40% 22.38%+0.50 +5.4 18
1999-10-29 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-244.8 964 1078 22.21% 32.32% 45.47%-0.51 -5.0 8
1999-10-29 @ Galway United (old) W 2-144.8 1078 964 45.47% 32.32% 22.21%+0.51 +5.0 19
1999-10-30 Shelbourne D 1-151.0 1018 1055 31.10% 34.23% 34.66%-0.07 +0.1 20
1999-10-30 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-151.0 1055 1018 34.66% 34.23% 31.10%+0.07 -0.1 23
1999-10-31 Sligo Rovers W 3-248.9 1041 959 47.70% 31.57% 20.72%+0.61 +4.5 23
1999-10-31 @ Bohemian L 2-348.9 959 1041 20.72% 31.57% 47.70%-0.61 -4.5 10
1999-10-31 Cork City W 1-046.5 961 1108 19.45% 30.78% 49.77%-0.70 +9.6 16
1999-10-31 @ Derry City L 0-146.5 1108 961 49.77% 30.78% 19.45%+0.70 -9.6 22
1999-10-31 Finn Harps L 2-353.8 941 955 34.49% 34.24% 31.27%+0.06 -6.6 6
1999-10-31 @ Waterford W 3-253.8 955 941 31.27% 34.24% 34.49%-0.06 +6.6 10
1999-11-05 Waterford L 0-243.5 1045 935 51.43% 30.08% 18.50%+0.77 -18.5 23
1999-11-05 @ Bohemian W 2-043.5 935 1045 18.50% 30.08% 51.43%-0.77 +18.5 9
1999-11-05 Shelbourne D 0-046.0 959 1055 24.03% 33.03% 42.95%-0.41 +0.8 9
1999-11-05 @ Galway United (old) D 0-046.0 1055 959 42.95% 33.03% 24.03%+0.41 -0.8 24
1999-11-05 Sligo Rovers D 1-151.4 1011 954 44.35% 32.66% 23.00%+0.47 -0.8 19
1999-11-05 @ UC Dublin D 1-151.4 954 1011 23.00% 32.66% 44.35%-0.47 +0.9 11
1999-11-07 Finn Harps W 2-032.6 1099 961 54.82% 28.47% 16.71%+0.92 +7.6 25
1999-11-07 @ Cork City L 0-232.6 961 1099 16.71% 28.47% 54.82%-0.92 -7.6 10
1999-11-07 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-333.8 971 1083 22.41% 32.41% 45.18%-0.50 -14.8 16
1999-11-07 @ Derry City W 3-033.8 1083 971 45.18% 32.41% 22.41%+0.50 +14.8 22
1999-11-07 Drogheda United W 4-135.9 1018 888 53.88% 28.93% 17.18%+0.88 +9.6 23
1999-11-07 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-435.9 888 1018 17.18% 28.93% 53.88%-0.88 -9.6 9
1999-11-12 Galway United (old) W 3-147.2 878 959 25.63% 33.49% 40.88%-0.32 +13.6 12
1999-11-12 @ Drogheda United L 1-347.2 959 878 40.88% 33.49% 25.63%+0.32 -13.6 9
1999-11-12 Shamrock Rovers W 1-044.4 954 1027 26.48% 33.68% 39.84%-0.28 +8.2 13
1999-11-12 @ Finn Harps L 0-144.4 1027 954 39.84% 33.68% 26.48%+0.28 -8.2 23
1999-11-12 Bohemian W 1-040.3 1054 1027 40.18% 33.62% 26.20%+0.29 +6.1 27
1999-11-12 @ Shelbourne L 0-140.3 1027 1054 26.20% 33.62% 40.18%-0.29 -6.1 23
1999-11-12 UC Dublin D 0-046.6 1098 1011 48.41% 31.31% 20.28%+0.64 -1.3 23
1999-11-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-046.6 1011 1098 20.28% 31.31% 48.41%-0.64 +1.3 20
1999-11-15 Cork City L 0-533.0 955 1106 19.14% 30.56% 50.30%-0.72 -20.6 11
1999-11-15 @ Sligo Rovers W 5-033.0 1106 955 50.30% 30.56% 19.14%+0.72 +20.6 28
1999-11-15 Derry City D 2-256.9 953 956 36.00% 34.15% 29.85%+0.12 -0.2 10
1999-11-15 @ Waterford D 2-256.9 956 953 29.85% 34.15% 36.00%-0.12 +0.2 17
1999-11-19 Drogheda United W 2-142.3 1021 892 53.77% 28.99% 17.24%+0.88 +3.9 26
1999-11-19 @ Bohemian L 1-242.3 892 1021 17.24% 28.99% 53.77%-0.88 -4.0 12
1999-11-19 Shelbourne L 0-238.2 1012 1060 29.64% 34.14% 36.22%-0.13 -12.6 20
1999-11-19 @ UC Dublin W 2-038.2 1060 1012 36.22% 34.14% 29.64%+0.13 +12.6 30
1999-11-20 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.8 962 1097 20.43% 31.40% 48.17%-0.63 +1.1 14
1999-11-20 @ Finn Harps D 1-151.8 1097 962 48.17% 31.40% 20.43%+0.63 -1.1 24
1999-11-20 Waterford W 1-042.2 935 953 33.74% 34.26% 32.00%+0.03 +7.0 14
1999-11-20 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-142.2 953 935 32.00% 34.26% 33.74%-0.03 -7.0 10
1999-11-21 Galway United (old) W 3-029.3 1127 946 60.19% 25.54% 14.27%+1.17 +9.2 31
1999-11-21 @ Cork City L 0-329.3 946 1127 14.27% 25.54% 60.19%-1.17 -9.2 9
1999-11-21 Derry City W 3-033.8 1019 956 45.15% 32.42% 22.43%+0.50 +14.8 26
1999-11-21 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-333.8 956 1019 22.43% 32.42% 45.15%-0.50 -14.8 17
1999-11-25 Finn Harps D 1-152.2 1072 963 51.28% 30.14% 18.58%+0.76 -1.4 31
1999-11-25 @ Shelbourne D 1-152.2 963 1072 18.58% 30.14% 51.28%-0.76 +1.4 15
1999-11-26 Sligo Rovers D 1-151.0 888 942 28.90% 34.06% 37.04%-0.17 +0.3 13
1999-11-26 @ Drogheda United D 1-151.0 942 888 37.04% 34.06% 28.90%+0.17 -0.3 15
1999-11-26 UC Dublin W 2-150.1 937 999 27.79% 33.91% 38.29%-0.22 +7.5 12
1999-11-26 @ Galway United (old) L 1-250.1 999 937 38.29% 33.91% 27.79%+0.22 -7.5 20
1999-11-26 Cork City W 2-039.9 1096 1136 30.66% 34.21% 35.13%-0.09 +14.1 27
1999-11-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-239.9 1136 1096 35.13% 34.21% 30.66%+0.09 -14.1 31
1999-11-26 Shamrock Rovers D 0-045.9 946 1034 24.89% 33.29% 41.82%-0.36 +0.8 11
1999-11-26 @ Waterford D 0-045.9 1034 946 41.82% 33.29% 24.89%+0.36 -0.8 27
1999-11-27 Bohemian D 0-045.9 941 1025 25.39% 33.43% 41.19%-0.33 +0.7 18
1999-11-27 @ Derry City D 0-045.9 1025 941 41.19% 33.43% 25.39%+0.33 -0.7 27
1999-12-03 Sligo Rovers W 3-245.6 1110 941 58.66% 26.41% 14.93%+1.10 +3.2 30
1999-12-03 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-345.6 941 1110 14.93% 26.41% 58.66%-1.10 -3.2 15
1999-12-04 UC Dublin D 0-045.6 964 992 32.46% 34.27% 33.27%-0.02 +0.0 16
1999-12-04 @ Finn Harps D 0-045.6 992 964 33.27% 34.27% 32.46%+0.02 -0.0 21
1999-12-05 Shelbourne L 1-251.4 1122 1071 43.49% 32.89% 23.62%+0.43 -8.2 31
1999-12-05 @ Cork City W 2-151.4 1071 1122 23.62% 32.89% 43.49%-0.43 +8.2 34
1999-12-05 Derry City L 1-247.3 888 942 28.88% 34.06% 37.06%-0.17 -6.2 13
1999-12-05 @ Drogheda United W 2-147.3 942 888 37.06% 34.06% 28.88%+0.17 +6.2 21
1999-12-05 Waterford D 0-045.7 944 947 36.00% 34.15% 29.85%+0.12 -0.3 13
1999-12-05 @ Galway United (old) D 0-045.7 947 944 29.85% 34.15% 36.00%-0.12 +0.3 12
1999-12-05 Bohemian L 0-143.9 1033 1024 37.69% 33.99% 28.32%+0.19 -7.8 27
1999-12-05 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-043.9 1024 1033 28.32% 33.99% 37.69%-0.19 +7.9 30
1999-12-10 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-042.9 1079 1113 31.60% 34.25% 34.15%-0.05 +7.3 37
1999-12-10 @ Shelbourne L 0-142.9 1113 1079 34.15% 34.25% 31.60%+0.05 -7.3 30
1999-12-10 Drogheda United W 1-038.7 947 882 45.43% 32.34% 22.23%+0.51 +5.4 15
1999-12-10 @ Waterford L 0-138.7 882 947 22.23% 32.34% 45.43%-0.51 -5.3 13
1999-12-11 Shamrock Rovers L 3-546.9 938 1025 24.96% 33.31% 41.73%-0.36 -8.1 15
1999-12-11 @ Sligo Rovers W 5-346.9 1025 938 41.73% 33.31% 24.96%+0.36 +8.1 30
1999-12-12 Galway United (old) L 1-348.8 1032 944 48.49% 31.28% 20.23%+0.64 -15.4 30
1999-12-12 @ Bohemian W 3-148.8 944 1032 20.23% 31.28% 48.49%-0.64 +15.4 16
1999-12-12 Cork City D 2-257.5 992 1114 21.54% 32.01% 46.46%-0.55 +0.8 22
1999-12-12 @ UC Dublin D 2-257.5 1114 992 46.46% 32.01% 21.54%+0.55 -0.8 32
1999-12-17 Shamrock Rovers L 0-335.4 959 1034 26.41% 33.66% 39.93%-0.28 -16.8 16
1999-12-17 @ Galway United (old) W 3-035.4 1034 959 39.93% 33.66% 26.41%+0.28 +16.8 33
1999-12-17 Sligo Rovers W 1-035.2 1087 930 57.22% 27.21% 15.57%+1.03 +3.7 40
1999-12-17 @ Shelbourne L 0-135.2 930 1087 15.57% 27.21% 57.22%-1.03 -3.7 15
1999-12-17 Bohemian L 1-348.8 1106 1017 48.61% 31.24% 20.15%+0.65 -15.4 30
1999-12-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-148.8 1017 1106 20.15% 31.24% 48.61%-0.65 +15.4 33
1999-12-18 Drogheda United D 0-046.5 964 877 48.45% 31.30% 20.25%+0.64 -1.3 17
1999-12-18 @ Finn Harps D 0-046.5 877 964 20.25% 31.30% 48.45%-0.64 +1.3 14
1999-12-19 Waterford D 0-047.9 1113 952 57.70% 26.95% 15.35%+1.05 -2.0 33
1999-12-19 @ Cork City D 0-047.9 952 1113 15.35% 26.95% 57.70%-1.05 +2.0 16
1999-12-19 Derry City W 1-039.6 993 948 42.58% 33.12% 24.30%+0.39 +5.8 25
1999-12-19 @ UC Dublin L 0-139.6 948 993 24.30% 33.12% 42.58%-0.39 -5.8 21
1999-12-21 Finn Harps W 2-039.0 943 963 33.45% 34.27% 32.28%+0.02 +13.3 24
1999-12-21 @ Derry City L 0-239.0 963 943 32.28% 34.27% 33.45%-0.02 -13.3 17
1999-12-26 Galway United (old) W 2-037.5 956 942 38.31% 33.91% 27.78%+0.22 +12.0 27
1999-12-26 @ Derry City L 0-237.5 942 956 27.78% 33.91% 38.31%-0.22 -12.0 16
1999-12-26 Shelbourne D 0-047.9 878 1090 15.21% 26.77% 58.03%-1.07 +2.0 15
1999-12-26 @ Drogheda United D 0-047.9 1090 878 58.03% 26.77% 15.21%+1.07 -2.0 41
1999-12-27 Cork City W 3-039.7 1032 1111 25.87% 33.54% 40.59%-0.31 +22.6 36
1999-12-27 @ Bohemian L 0-339.7 1111 1032 40.59% 33.54% 25.87%+0.31 -22.7 33
1999-12-27 Finn Harps D 1-151.0 926 950 33.03% 34.27% 32.69%+0.01 -0.0 16
1999-12-27 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-151.0 950 926 32.69% 34.27% 33.03%-0.01 +0.0 18
1999-12-27 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-148.8 954 1090 20.36% 31.36% 48.28%-0.63 +15.3 19
1999-12-27 @ Waterford L 1-348.8 1090 954 48.28% 31.36% 20.36%+0.63 -15.3 30
2000-01-02 UC Dublin W 1-039.1 1055 998 44.24% 32.68% 23.07%+0.46 +5.5 39
2000-01-02 @ Bohemian L 0-139.1 998 1055 23.07% 32.68% 44.24%-0.46 -5.5 25
2000-01-02 Shamrock Rovers W 2-036.5 1088 1050 41.72% 33.31% 24.96%+0.36 +11.1 36
2000-01-02 @ Cork City L 0-236.5 1050 1088 24.96% 33.31% 41.72%-0.36 -11.1 33
2000-01-02 Drogheda United W 1-033.8 1075 880 61.83% 24.57% 13.60%+1.25 +3.2 33
2000-01-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-133.8 880 1075 13.60% 24.57% 61.83%-1.25 -3.1 15
2000-01-03 Galway United (old) L 1-250.3 950 930 39.14% 33.79% 27.07%+0.25 -7.6 18
2000-01-03 @ Finn Harps W 2-150.3 930 950 27.07% 33.79% 39.14%-0.25 +7.6 19
2000-01-03 Waterford W 1-036.6 1088 970 52.45% 29.61% 17.94%+0.82 +4.4 44
2000-01-03 @ Shelbourne L 0-136.6 970 1088 17.94% 29.61% 52.45%-0.82 -4.4 19
2000-01-03 Derry City W 2-039.9 926 968 30.50% 34.20% 35.30%-0.10 +14.1 19
2000-01-03 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-239.9 968 926 35.30% 34.20% 30.50%+0.10 -14.2 27
2000-01-14 Finn Harps W 1-036.7 1060 942 52.37% 29.65% 17.98%+0.81 +4.4 42
2000-01-14 @ Bohemian L 0-136.7 942 1060 17.98% 29.65% 52.37%-0.81 -4.4 18
2000-01-14 Sligo Rovers W 5-037.2 938 940 36.03% 34.15% 29.82%+0.13 +29.6 22
2000-01-14 @ Galway United (old) L 0-537.2 940 938 29.82% 34.15% 36.03%-0.13 -29.6 19
2000-01-16 Shelbourne W 1-046.3 954 1093 20.09% 31.20% 48.71%-0.65 +9.4 30
2000-01-16 @ Derry City L 0-146.3 1093 954 48.71% 31.20% 20.09%+0.65 -9.4 44
2000-01-16 Cork City D 0-048.1 877 1099 14.67% 26.07% 59.26%-1.13 +2.1 16
2000-01-16 @ Drogheda United D 0-048.1 1099 877 59.26% 26.07% 14.67%+1.13 -2.1 37
2000-01-16 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-149.2 1039 1078 30.88% 34.22% 34.90%-0.08 +7.0 36
2000-01-16 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-249.2 1078 1039 34.90% 34.22% 30.88%+0.08 -7.0 33
2000-01-16 UC Dublin L 0-239.0 965 993 32.48% 34.27% 33.25%-0.02 -13.4 19
2000-01-16 @ Waterford W 2-039.0 993 965 33.25% 34.27% 32.48%+0.02 +13.4 28
2000-01-21 Shamrock Rovers W 3-034.9 1083 1046 41.59% 33.34% 25.07%+0.35 +16.2 47
2000-01-21 @ Shelbourne L 0-334.9 1046 1083 25.07% 33.34% 41.59%-0.35 -16.2 36
2000-01-21 Galway United (old) W 3-032.2 1071 968 50.50% 30.48% 19.02%+0.73 +12.7 36
2000-01-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-332.2 968 1071 19.02% 30.48% 50.50%-0.73 -12.7 22
2000-01-21 Drogheda United W 3-031.3 1006 879 53.54% 29.10% 17.36%+0.86 +11.5 31
2000-01-21 @ UC Dublin L 0-331.3 879 1006 17.36% 29.10% 53.54%-0.86 -11.5 16
2000-01-22 Waterford W 4-037.1 938 952 34.36% 34.25% 31.40%+0.06 +24.8 21
2000-01-22 @ Finn Harps L 0-437.1 952 938 31.40% 34.25% 34.36%-0.06 -24.8 19
2000-01-22 Bohemian D 0-046.8 911 1064 18.95% 30.43% 50.62%-0.73 +1.5 20
2000-01-22 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-046.8 1064 911 50.62% 30.43% 18.95%+0.73 -1.5 43
2000-01-23 Derry City D 0-047.3 1097 963 54.41% 28.67% 16.92%+0.90 -1.8 38
2000-01-23 @ Cork City D 0-047.3 963 1097 16.92% 28.67% 54.41%-0.90 +1.8 31
2000-01-23 UC Dublin D 0-045.8 1030 1018 38.15% 33.93% 27.92%+0.21 -0.4 37
2000-01-23 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-045.8 1018 1030 27.92% 33.93% 38.15%-0.21 +0.4 32
2000-01-28 Galway United (old) D 1-152.9 1099 955 55.74% 28.00% 16.27%+0.96 -1.7 48
2000-01-28 @ Shelbourne D 1-152.9 955 1099 16.27% 28.00% 55.74%-0.96 +1.7 23
2000-01-28 Derry City D 1-152.4 1084 965 52.47% 29.61% 17.93%+0.82 -1.4 37
2000-01-28 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-152.4 965 1084 17.93% 29.61% 52.47%-0.82 +1.4 32
2000-01-28 Bohemian D 0-046.5 927 1063 20.34% 31.35% 48.30%-0.63 +1.3 20
2000-01-28 @ Waterford D 0-046.5 1063 927 48.30% 31.35% 20.34%+0.63 -1.3 44
2000-01-29 Cork City D 1-151.8 963 1096 20.59% 31.50% 47.91%-0.62 +1.1 22
2000-01-29 @ Finn Harps D 1-151.8 1096 963 47.91% 31.50% 20.59%+0.62 -1.1 39
2000-01-29 UC Dublin L 0-139.1 912 1018 23.05% 32.68% 44.27%-0.46 -5.5 20
2000-01-29 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-039.1 1018 912 44.27% 32.68% 23.05%+0.46 +5.5 35
2000-01-30 Shamrock Rovers D 0-046.9 867 1030 18.32% 29.94% 51.74%-0.78 +1.6 17
2000-01-30 @ Drogheda United D 0-046.9 1030 867 51.74% 29.94% 18.32%+0.78 -1.6 38
2000-02-11 Shelbourne D 1-151.0 1062 1098 31.26% 34.24% 34.50%-0.07 +0.1 45
2000-02-11 @ Bohemian D 1-151.0 1098 1062 34.50% 34.24% 31.26%+0.07 -0.1 49
2000-02-13 Sligo Rovers D 0-048.4 1094 907 60.96% 25.09% 13.95%+1.21 -2.2 40
2000-02-13 @ Cork City D 0-048.4 907 1094 13.95% 25.09% 60.96%-1.21 +2.2 21
2000-02-13 Waterford D 1-151.2 966 928 41.72% 33.31% 24.97%+0.36 -0.7 33
2000-02-13 @ Derry City D 1-151.2 928 966 24.97% 33.31% 41.72%-0.36 +0.7 21
2000-02-13 Drogheda United D 2-257.7 957 869 48.42% 31.31% 20.27%+0.64 -0.9 24
2000-02-13 @ Galway United (old) D 2-257.7 869 957 20.27% 31.31% 48.42%-0.64 +0.9 18
2000-02-13 Finn Harps D 3-360.7 1028 964 45.33% 32.37% 22.31%+0.51 -0.6 39
2000-02-13 @ Shamrock Rovers D 3-360.7 964 1028 22.31% 32.37% 45.33%-0.51 +0.6 23
2000-02-13 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-150.0 1024 1082 28.30% 33.99% 37.72%-0.19 +7.4 38
2000-02-13 @ UC Dublin L 1-250.0 1082 1024 37.72% 33.99% 28.30%+0.19 -7.4 37
2000-02-18 Bohemian L 0-330.7 870 1062 16.38% 28.11% 55.51%-0.95 -10.8 18
2000-02-18 @ Drogheda United W 3-030.7 1062 870 55.51% 28.11% 16.38%+0.95 +10.8 48
2000-02-18 UC Dublin W 2-144.8 1098 1031 45.63% 32.27% 22.09%+0.52 +5.0 52
2000-02-18 @ Shelbourne L 1-244.8 1031 1098 22.09% 32.27% 45.63%-0.52 -5.0 38
2000-02-18 Finn Harps W 1-036.9 1075 964 51.41% 30.08% 18.51%+0.77 +4.5 40
2000-02-18 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-136.9 964 1075 18.51% 30.08% 51.41%-0.77 -4.5 23
2000-02-18 Sligo Rovers W 1-040.6 929 909 39.22% 33.78% 27.00%+0.25 +6.2 24
2000-02-18 @ Waterford L 0-140.6 909 929 27.00% 33.78% 39.22%-0.25 -6.2 21
2000-02-19 Shamrock Rovers D 0-045.8 966 1028 27.90% 33.93% 38.17%-0.21 +0.4 34
2000-02-19 @ Derry City D 0-045.8 1028 966 38.17% 33.93% 27.90%+0.21 -0.4 40
2000-02-25 Derry City D 0-046.8 1073 966 50.90% 30.31% 18.79%+0.75 -1.5 49
2000-02-25 @ Bohemian D 0-046.8 966 1073 18.79% 30.31% 50.90%-0.75 +1.5 35
2000-02-26 Shelbourne L 2-348.4 960 1103 19.78% 31.00% 49.22%-0.67 -4.3 23
2000-02-26 @ Finn Harps W 3-248.4 1103 960 49.22% 31.00% 19.78%+0.67 +4.3 55
2000-02-27 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-151.1 1092 1079 38.21% 33.93% 27.87%+0.21 -0.4 41
2000-02-27 @ Cork City D 1-151.1 1079 1092 27.87% 33.93% 38.21%-0.21 +0.4 41
2000-02-27 Waterford L 1-252.5 1027 935 48.97% 31.10% 19.93%+0.66 -8.9 40
2000-02-27 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-152.5 935 1027 19.93% 31.10% 48.97%-0.66 +8.9 27
2000-02-27 Drogheda United D 0-046.0 903 859 42.54% 33.13% 24.34%+0.39 -0.8 22
2000-02-27 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-046.0 859 903 24.34% 33.13% 42.54%-0.39 +0.8 19
2000-02-27 Galway United (old) D 1-151.6 1026 956 46.14% 32.11% 21.75%+0.54 -1.0 39
2000-02-27 @ UC Dublin D 1-151.6 956 1026 21.75% 32.11% 46.14%-0.54 +1.0 25
2000-03-10 Shamrock Rovers D 0-046.1 1071 1018 43.80% 32.81% 23.40%+0.44 -0.9 50
2000-03-10 @ Bohemian D 0-046.1 1018 1071 23.40% 32.81% 43.80%-0.44 +0.9 41
2000-03-10 Cork City W 4-035.9 1107 1092 38.55% 33.88% 27.57%+0.23 +22.7 58
2000-03-10 @ Shelbourne L 0-435.9 1092 1107 27.57% 33.88% 38.55%-0.23 -22.7 41
2000-03-10 Galway United (old) D 0-045.7 944 957 34.63% 34.24% 31.14%+0.07 -0.1 28
2000-03-10 @ Waterford D 0-045.7 957 944 31.14% 34.24% 34.63%-0.07 +0.1 26
2000-03-12 Drogheda United W 2-143.1 968 860 51.07% 30.23% 18.69%+0.75 +4.3 38
2000-03-12 @ Derry City L 1-243.1 860 968 18.69% 30.23% 51.07%-0.75 -4.3 19
2000-03-12 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-258.4 902 1080 17.28% 29.02% 53.70%-0.87 +1.1 23
2000-03-12 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-258.4 1080 902 53.70% 29.02% 17.28%+0.87 -1.1 42
2000-03-12 Finn Harps D 1-151.6 1025 956 46.03% 32.15% 21.83%+0.54 -1.0 40
2000-03-12 @ UC Dublin D 1-151.6 956 1025 21.83% 32.15% 46.03%-0.54 +1.0 24
2000-03-14 Cork City L 0-235.5 957 1069 22.43% 32.42% 45.15%-0.50 -10.2 26
2000-03-14 @ Galway United (old) W 2-035.5 1069 957 45.15% 32.42% 22.43%+0.50 +10.2 44
2000-03-17 Shelbourne L 1-247.5 1079 1130 29.25% 34.10% 36.65%-0.15 -6.2 42
2000-03-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-147.5 1130 1079 36.65% 34.10% 29.25%+0.15 +6.2 61
2000-03-18 UC Dublin D 1-151.4 1079 1024 44.08% 32.73% 23.19%+0.45 -0.8 45
2000-03-18 @ Cork City D 1-151.4 1024 1079 23.19% 32.73% 44.08%-0.45 +0.8 41
2000-03-18 Derry City L 1-249.0 957 972 34.18% 34.25% 31.57%+0.05 -6.9 24
2000-03-18 @ Finn Harps W 2-149.0 972 957 31.57% 34.25% 34.18%-0.05 +6.9 41
2000-03-18 Bohemian L 0-138.4 947 1070 21.38% 31.93% 46.69%-0.56 -5.2 26
2000-03-18 @ Galway United (old) W 1-038.4 1070 947 46.69% 31.93% 21.38%+0.56 +5.2 53
2000-03-19 Waterford W 1-044.9 856 944 24.81% 33.27% 41.92%-0.36 +8.5 22
2000-03-19 @ Drogheda United L 0-144.9 944 856 41.92% 33.27% 24.81%+0.36 -8.5 28
2000-03-19 Sligo Rovers W 4-242.5 1019 903 52.10% 29.77% 18.12%+0.80 +6.4 44
2000-03-19 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-442.5 903 1019 18.12% 29.77% 52.10%-0.80 -6.5 23
2000-03-24 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-143.7 1075 1072 36.83% 34.08% 29.08%+0.16 -7.7 53
2000-03-24 @ Bohemian W 1-043.7 1072 1075 29.08% 34.08% 36.83%-0.16 +7.7 45
2000-03-24 Finn Harps L 0-236.6 864 950 25.14% 33.36% 41.50%-0.35 -11.1 22
2000-03-24 @ Drogheda United W 2-036.6 950 864 41.50% 33.36% 25.14%+0.35 +11.2 27
2000-03-24 Cork City D 2-257.8 936 1078 19.79% 31.01% 49.20%-0.67 +0.9 29
2000-03-24 @ Waterford D 2-257.8 1078 936 49.20% 31.01% 19.79%+0.67 -0.9 46
2000-03-26 UC Dublin W 2-040.0 979 1025 29.91% 34.16% 35.93%-0.12 +14.3 44
2000-03-26 @ Derry City L 0-240.0 1025 979 35.93% 34.16% 29.91%+0.12 -14.3 41
2000-03-26 Galway United (old) D 0-046.5 1026 941 47.96% 31.48% 20.56%+0.62 -1.2 45
2000-03-26 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-046.5 941 1026 20.56% 31.48% 47.96%-0.62 +1.2 27
2000-03-26 Shelbourne L 0-429.0 897 1136 13.83% 24.92% 61.25%-1.22 -11.5 23
2000-03-26 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-029.0 1136 897 61.25% 24.92% 13.83%+1.22 +11.5 64
2000-03-31 Waterford D 0-047.5 1080 937 55.60% 28.07% 16.33%+0.96 -1.9 46
2000-03-31 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-047.5 937 1080 16.33% 28.07% 55.60%-0.96 +1.9 30
2000-04-01 Sligo Rovers W 2-144.4 961 885 46.83% 31.88% 21.29%+0.57 +4.9 30
2000-04-01 @ Finn Harps L 1-244.4 885 961 21.29% 31.88% 46.83%-0.57 -4.9 23
2000-04-02 Shamrock Rovers D 1-151.0 1011 1024 34.43% 34.24% 31.32%+0.06 -0.1 42
2000-04-02 @ UC Dublin D 1-151.0 1024 1011 31.32% 34.24% 34.43%-0.06 +0.1 46
2000-04-04 Drogheda United D 0-050.7 1147 853 72.84% 17.59% 9.57%+1.82 -3.0 65
2000-04-04 @ Shelbourne D 0-050.7 853 1147 9.57% 17.59% 72.84%-1.82 +3.0 23
2000-04-07 UC Dublin L 1-251.6 1068 1010 44.37% 32.65% 22.98%+0.47 -8.3 53
2000-04-07 @ Bohemian W 2-151.6 1010 1068 22.98% 32.65% 44.37%-0.47 +8.3 45
2000-04-07 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-329.6 856 1078 14.68% 26.08% 59.24%-1.13 -9.5 23
2000-04-07 @ Drogheda United W 3-029.6 1078 856 59.24% 26.08% 14.68%+1.13 +9.5 49
2000-04-07 Finn Harps L 0-437.6 943 966 33.11% 34.27% 32.62%+0.01 -25.7 27
2000-04-07 @ Galway United (old) W 4-037.6 966 943 32.62% 34.27% 33.11%-0.01 +25.7 33
2000-04-07 Shelbourne L 0-231.9 938 1144 15.56% 27.20% 57.24%-1.03 -7.0 30
2000-04-07 @ Waterford W 2-031.9 1144 938 57.24% 27.20% 15.56%+1.03 +7.0 68
2000-04-08 Sligo Rovers D 0-046.9 993 880 51.72% 29.95% 18.33%+0.78 -1.6 45
2000-04-08 @ Derry City D 0-046.9 880 993 18.33% 29.95% 51.72%-0.78 +1.6 24
2000-04-09 Cork City L 1-247.4 1024 1077 28.99% 34.07% 36.94%-0.16 -6.2 46
2000-04-09 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-147.4 1077 1024 36.94% 34.07% 28.99%+0.16 +6.2 49
2000-04-11 Derry City W 2-150.6 917 992 26.36% 33.65% 39.99%-0.29 +7.7 30
2000-04-11 @ Galway United (old) L 1-250.6 992 917 39.99% 33.65% 26.36%+0.29 -7.7 45
2000-04-12 Bohemian W 2-146.5 1084 1059 39.81% 33.68% 26.50%+0.28 +5.8 52
2000-04-12 @ Cork City L 1-246.5 1059 1084 26.50% 33.68% 39.81%-0.28 -5.8 53
2000-04-16 Drogheda United W 3-134.7 1089 846 67.37% 21.13% 11.50%+1.53 +4.1 55
2000-04-16 @ Cork City L 1-334.7 846 1089 11.50% 21.13% 67.37%-1.53 -4.1 23
2000-04-16 Derry City D 2-259.2 1151 984 58.55% 26.47% 14.97%+1.09 -1.4 69
2000-04-16 @ Shelbourne D 2-259.2 984 1151 14.97% 26.47% 58.55%-1.09 +1.4 46
2000-04-16 Galway United (old) D 1-151.0 882 925 30.34% 34.19% 35.47%-0.10 +0.2 25
2000-04-16 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-151.0 925 882 35.47% 34.19% 30.34%+0.10 -0.2 31
2000-04-16 Shamrock Rovers D 0-046.3 1088 1018 46.03% 32.15% 21.82%+0.54 -1.1 50
2000-04-16 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-046.3 1018 1088 21.82% 32.15% 46.03%-0.54 +1.1 47
2000-04-16 Waterford W 2-143.9 1019 931 48.40% 31.32% 20.28%+0.64 +4.6 48
2000-04-16 @ UC Dublin L 1-243.9 931 1019 20.28% 31.32% 48.40%-0.64 -4.6 30
2000-04-18 Bohemian D 0-045.8 991 1054 27.84% 33.92% 38.24%-0.21 +0.4 34
2000-04-18 @ Finn Harps D 0-045.8 1054 991 38.24% 33.92% 27.84%+0.21 -0.5 54
2000-04-23 Sligo Rovers W 4-134.4 1053 882 58.99% 26.23% 14.78%+1.12 +8.1 57
2000-04-23 @ Bohemian L 1-434.4 882 1053 14.78% 26.23% 58.99%-1.12 -8.1 25
2000-04-23 Cork City L 1-438.7 985 1094 22.81% 32.58% 44.61%-0.48 -12.6 46
2000-04-23 @ Derry City W 4-138.7 1094 985 44.61% 32.58% 22.81%+0.48 +12.6 58
2000-04-23 UC Dublin L 0-531.8 842 1023 17.05% 28.80% 54.15%-0.89 -18.2 23
2000-04-23 @ Drogheda United W 5-031.8 1023 842 54.15% 28.80% 17.05%+0.89 +18.2 51
2000-04-23 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-046.9 924 1087 18.33% 29.94% 51.73%-0.78 +9.9 34
2000-04-23 @ Galway United (old) L 0-146.9 1087 924 51.73% 29.94% 18.33%+0.78 -9.9 50
2000-04-23 Shelbourne W 2-152.3 1019 1150 20.77% 31.60% 47.64%-0.61 +8.8 50
2000-04-23 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-252.3 1150 1019 47.64% 31.60% 20.77%+0.61 -8.8 69
2000-04-23 Finn Harps W 1-044.1 927 992 27.51% 33.87% 38.63%-0.23 +8.0 33
2000-04-23 @ Waterford L 0-144.1 992 927 38.63% 33.87% 27.51%+0.23 -8.0 34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1999-09-19 17.87% Drogheda United 884 2 @ Derry City 1004 0
2 2000-04-23 18.33% @ Galway United (old) 924 1 St Patrick's Athletic 1087 0
3 1999-11-05 18.50% Waterford 935 2 @ Bohemian 1045 0
4 1999-08-21 19.08% Sligo Rovers 969 1 @ Cork City 1072 0
5 1999-10-31 19.45% @ Derry City 961 1 Cork City 1108 0
6 2000-02-27 19.93% Waterford 935 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1027 1
7 2000-01-16 20.09% @ Derry City 954 1 Shelbourne 1093 0
8 1999-12-17 20.15% Bohemian 1017 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1106 1
9 1999-12-12 20.23% Galway United (old) 944 3 @ Bohemian 1032 1
10 1999-08-13 20.32% Derry City 991 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1078 1
11 1999-12-27 20.36% @ Waterford 954 3 St Patrick's Athletic 1090 1
12 2000-04-23 20.77% @ Shamrock Rovers 1019 2 Shelbourne 1150 1
13 1999-10-17 22.46% Sligo Rovers 937 3 @ Derry City 1000 1
14 2000-04-07 22.98% UC Dublin 1010 2 @ Bohemian 1068 1
15 1999-12-05 23.62% Shelbourne 1071 2 @ Cork City 1122 1
16 2000-03-19 24.81% @ Drogheda United 856 1 Waterford 944 0
17 1999-10-15 25.04% Finn Harps 947 3 @ Galway United (old) 984 1
18 1999-11-12 25.63% @ Drogheda United 878 3 Galway United (old) 959 1
19 1999-12-27 25.87% @ Bohemian 1032 3 Cork City 1111 0
20 2000-04-11 26.36% @ Galway United (old) 917 2 Derry City 992 1
21 1999-11-12 26.48% @ Finn Harps 954 1 Shamrock Rovers 1027 0
22 2000-01-03 27.07% Galway United (old) 930 2 @ Finn Harps 950 1
23 2000-04-23 27.51% @ Waterford 927 1 Finn Harps 992 0
24 1999-10-08 27.66% Derry City 985 2 @ Galway United (old) 999 0
25 1999-11-26 27.79% @ Galway United (old) 937 2 UC Dublin 999 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-01-14 29.56 @ Galway United (old) 5 938 36.03% Sligo Rovers 0 940 29.82% 34.15%
2 2000-04-07 25.74 Finn Harps 4 966 32.62% @ Galway United (old) 0 943 33.11% 34.27%
3 2000-01-22 24.85 @ Finn Harps 4 938 34.36% Waterford 0 952 31.40% 34.25%
4 2000-03-10 22.69 @ Shelbourne 4 1107 38.55% Cork City 0 1092 27.57% 33.88%
5 1999-12-27 22.65 @ Bohemian 3 1032 25.87% Cork City 0 1111 40.59% 33.54%
6 1999-08-13 22.07 Shamrock Rovers 4 987 39.75% @ Drogheda United 0 914 26.55% 33.69%
7 1999-10-08 21.49 @ UC Dublin 3 990 28.35% Shamrock Rovers 0 1049 37.66% 33.99%
8 1999-11-15 20.56 Cork City 5 1106 50.30% @ Sligo Rovers 0 955 19.14% 30.56%
9 1999-09-10 19.18 @ Bohemian 3 1006 33.96% Derry City 0 1023 31.78% 34.26%
10 1999-09-19 18.80 Drogheda United 2 884 17.87% @ Derry City 0 1004 52.58% 29.55%
11 1999-11-05 18.50 Waterford 2 935 18.50% @ Bohemian 0 1045 51.43% 30.08%
12 2000-04-23 18.23 UC Dublin 5 1023 54.15% @ Drogheda United 0 842 17.05% 28.80%
13 1999-08-22 16.83 @ Derry City 3 999 39.90% Waterford 0 975 26.43% 33.67%
14 1999-12-17 16.82 Shamrock Rovers 3 1034 39.93% @ Galway United (old) 0 959 26.41% 33.66%
15 2000-01-21 16.16 @ Shelbourne 3 1083 41.59% Shamrock Rovers 0 1046 25.07% 33.34%
16 1999-12-17 15.38 Bohemian 3 1017 20.15% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1106 48.61% 31.24%
17 1999-12-12 15.35 Galway United (old) 3 944 20.23% @ Bohemian 1 1032 48.49% 31.28%
18 1999-12-27 15.31 @ Waterford 3 954 20.36% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1090 48.28% 31.36%
19 1999-09-03 15.05 Cork City 4 1062 37.33% @ Galway United (old) 1 1006 28.64% 34.03%
20 1999-10-08 15.01 Derry City 2 985 27.66% @ Galway United (old) 0 999 38.45% 33.89%
21 1999-09-12 14.77 Galway United (old) 2 991 28.45% @ UC Dublin 0 999 37.55% 34.01%
22 1999-11-21 14.77 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1019 45.15% Derry City 0 956 22.43% 32.42%
23 1999-11-07 14.75 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1083 45.18% @ Derry City 0 971 22.41% 32.41%
24 1999-10-17 14.57 Sligo Rovers 3 937 22.46% @ Derry City 1 1000 45.10% 32.44%
25 1999-08-13 14.48 Bohemian 2 988 29.41% @ Waterford 0 989 36.48% 34.11%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-02-13 60.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1028 45.33% Finn Harps 3 964 22.31% 32.37%
2 2000-04-16 59.2 @ Shelbourne 2 1151 58.55% Derry City 2 984 14.97% 26.47%
3 2000-03-12 58.4 @ Sligo Rovers 2 902 17.28% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1080 53.70% 29.02%
4 2000-03-24 57.8 @ Waterford 2 936 19.79% Cork City 2 1078 49.20% 31.01%
5 2000-02-13 57.7 @ Galway United (old) 2 957 48.42% Drogheda United 2 869 20.27% 31.31%
6 1999-12-12 57.5 @ UC Dublin 2 992 21.54% Cork City 2 1114 46.46% 32.01%
7 1999-10-22 57.2 @ UC Dublin 2 993 43.66% Waterford 2 941 23.50% 32.84%
8 1999-08-20 57.0 @ UC Dublin 2 998 26.87% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1069 39.37% 33.76%
9 1999-11-15 56.9 @ Waterford 2 953 36.00% Derry City 2 956 29.85% 34.15%
10 1999-09-17 54.7 @ Shelbourne 3 1025 28.26% Cork City 2 1084 37.75% 33.98%
11 1999-10-01 54.1 @ Drogheda United 3 903 30.14% Finn Harps 2 948 35.68% 34.18%
12 1999-10-31 53.8 Finn Harps 3 955 31.27% @ Waterford 2 941 34.49% 34.24%
13 2000-01-28 52.9 @ Shelbourne 1 1099 55.74% Galway United (old) 1 955 16.27% 28.00%
14 2000-02-27 52.5 Waterford 2 935 19.93% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1027 48.97% 31.10%
15 1999-08-13 52.4 Derry City 2 991 20.32% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1078 48.34% 31.34%
16 2000-01-28 52.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1084 52.47% Derry City 1 965 17.93% 29.61%
17 1999-08-20 52.3 @ Galway United (old) 1 1008 52.04% Drogheda United 1 892 18.16% 29.80%
18 2000-04-23 52.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1019 20.77% Shelbourne 1 1150 47.64% 31.60%
19 1999-11-25 52.2 @ Shelbourne 1 1072 51.28% Finn Harps 1 963 18.58% 30.14%
20 1999-09-11 51.9 @ Sligo Rovers 1 972 48.55% Drogheda United 1 883 20.19% 31.26%
21 1999-11-20 51.8 @ Finn Harps 1 962 20.43% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1097 48.17% 31.40%
22 2000-01-29 51.8 @ Finn Harps 1 963 20.59% Cork City 1 1096 47.91% 31.50%
23 1999-10-10 51.6 @ Cork City 1 1085 45.42% Bohemian 1 1020 22.24% 32.34%
24 2000-02-27 51.6 @ UC Dublin 1 1026 46.14% Galway United (old) 1 956 21.75% 32.11%
25 2000-03-12 51.6 @ UC Dublin 1 1025 46.03% Finn Harps 1 956 21.83% 32.15%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-10-24 28.7 @ Cork City 3 1100 62.19% Drogheda United 0 902 13.45% 24.35%
2 2000-03-26 29.0 Shelbourne 4 1136 61.25% @ Sligo Rovers 0 897 13.83% 24.92%
3 1999-11-21 29.3 @ Cork City 3 1127 60.19% Galway United (old) 0 946 14.27% 25.54%
4 2000-04-07 29.6 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1078 59.24% @ Drogheda United 0 856 14.68% 26.08%
5 2000-02-18 30.7 Bohemian 3 1062 55.51% @ Drogheda United 0 870 16.38% 28.11%
6 2000-01-21 31.3 @ UC Dublin 3 1006 53.54% Drogheda United 0 879 17.36% 29.10%
7 2000-04-23 31.8 UC Dublin 5 1023 54.15% @ Drogheda United 0 842 17.05% 28.80%
8 2000-04-07 31.9 Shelbourne 2 1144 57.24% @ Waterford 0 938 15.56% 27.20%
9 2000-01-21 32.2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1071 50.50% Galway United (old) 0 968 19.02% 30.48%
10 1999-11-07 32.6 @ Cork City 2 1099 54.82% Finn Harps 0 961 16.71% 28.47%
11 1999-11-15 33.0 Cork City 5 1106 50.30% @ Sligo Rovers 0 955 19.14% 30.56%
12 1999-11-07 33.8 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1083 45.18% @ Derry City 0 971 22.41% 32.41%
13 1999-11-21 33.8 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1019 45.15% Derry City 0 956 22.43% 32.42%
14 2000-01-02 33.8 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1075 61.83% Drogheda United 0 880 13.60% 24.57%
15 2000-04-23 34.4 @ Bohemian 4 1053 58.99% Sligo Rovers 1 882 14.78% 26.23%
16 2000-04-16 34.7 @ Cork City 3 1089 67.37% Drogheda United 1 846 11.50% 21.13%
17 2000-01-21 34.9 @ Shelbourne 3 1083 41.59% Shamrock Rovers 0 1046 25.07% 33.34%
18 1999-12-17 35.2 @ Shelbourne 1 1087 57.22% Sligo Rovers 0 930 15.57% 27.21%
19 1999-08-22 35.4 @ Derry City 3 999 39.90% Waterford 0 975 26.43% 33.67%
20 1999-12-17 35.4 Shamrock Rovers 3 1034 39.93% @ Galway United (old) 0 959 26.41% 33.66%
21 1999-08-13 35.5 Shamrock Rovers 4 987 39.75% @ Drogheda United 0 914 26.55% 33.69%
22 2000-03-14 35.5 Cork City 2 1069 45.15% @ Galway United (old) 0 957 22.43% 32.42%
23 1999-10-22 35.6 @ Shelbourne 2 1044 44.63% Derry City 0 985 22.80% 32.58%
24 1999-09-03 35.9 Bohemian 2 995 43.74% @ Drogheda United 0 894 23.44% 32.82%
25 1999-11-07 35.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1018 53.88% Drogheda United 1 888 17.18% 28.93%