2007 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Drogheda United

68 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Bohemian

8.44 points above expected

58 points · 49.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Derry City

17.89 points below expected

37 points · 54.89 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Drogheda United	33	19	11	3	68	48	24	+24	61.49	+6.51
2	St Patrick's Athletic	33	18	7	8	61	54	29	+25	54.56	+6.44
3	Bohemian	33	16	10	7	58	35	17	+18	49.56	+8.44
4	Cork City	33	15	10	8	55	44	32	+12	60.75	-5.75
5	Shamrock Rovers	33	14	9	10	51	36	26	+10	45.51	+5.49
6	Sligo Rovers	33	12	5	16	41	34	45	-11	38.64	+2.36
7	Derry City	33	8	13	12	37	30	31	-1	54.89	-17.89
8	Galway United (old)	33	7	14	12	35	28	35	-7	32.11	+2.89
9	Bray Wanderers	33	8	10	15	34	30	48	-18	31.29	+2.71
10	UC Dublin	33	7	10	16	31	31	44	-13	45.12	-14.12
11	Waterford United	33	7	9	17	30	23	47	-24	27.91	+2.09
12	Longford Town*	33	9	8	16	29	34	49	-15	29.34	-0.34

* Point deductions: Longford Town (-6 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Bohemian	58	49.56	+8.44
2	Drogheda United	68	61.49	+6.51
3	St Patrick's Athletic	61	54.56	+6.44
4	Shamrock Rovers	51	45.51	+5.49
5	Galway United (old)	35	32.11	+2.89

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Derry City	37	54.89	-17.89
2	UC Dublin	31	45.12	-14.12
3	Cork City	55	60.75	-5.75
4	Longford Town	29	29.34	-0.34
5	Waterford United	30	27.91	+2.09

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Longford Town	3	Jul 21 – Aug 4	1 in 127
2	Sligo Rovers	4	Jul 20 – Aug 11	1 in 111
3	St Patrick's Athletic	5	Mar 10 – Apr 6	1 in 96
4	Bohemian	5	Sep 28 – Oct 22	1 in 90
5	Drogheda United	6	Mar 16 – Apr 20	1 in 71

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Waterford United	6	Mar 16 – Apr 20	1 in 127
2	Longford Town	5	Mar 10 – Apr 6	1 in 126
3	UC Dublin	4	Jun 22 – Jul 21	1 in 123
4	Shamrock Rovers	4	Oct 2 – Oct 19	1 in 80
5	Sligo Rovers	4	Sep 28 – Oct 20	1 in 59

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Waterford United	6	Oct 5 – Nov 9	1 in 131
2	Galway United (old)	5	Aug 10 – Sep 7	1 in 81
3	Bray Wanderers	5	Oct 2 – Oct 19	1 in 42
4	Shamrock Rovers	9	May 25 – Jul 23	1 in 29
5	Bohemian	8	Mar 30 – May 11	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Derry City	9	Sep 14 – Nov 9	1 in 240
2	Shamrock Rovers	7	Oct 2 – Nov 9	1 in 32
3	Longford Town	11	Apr 27 – Jul 15	1 in 23
4	Drogheda United	4	Apr 27 – May 25	1 in 16
5	Sligo Rovers	7	Sep 28 – Nov 9	1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Drogheda United	1613	68	+18	9	9.3	-0.3
St Patrick's Athletic	1570	61	+87	13	7.5	+5.5
Bohemian	1536	58	+47	13	8.3	+4.7
Cork City	1540	55	-34	4	8.2	-4.2
Shamrock Rovers	1410	51	-63	3	6.7	-3.7
Sligo Rovers	1354	41	-45	1	6.4	-5.4
Derry City	1433	37	-55	2	8.3	-6.3
Longford Town	1392	35	+49	11	6.4	+4.6
Galway United (old)	1350	35	+15	8	5.8	+2.2
Bray Wanderers	1319	34	+10	6	5.1	+0.9
UC Dublin	1327	31	-55	1	5.2	-4.2
Waterford United	1288	30	+27	7	4.2	+2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BOH	BW	CC	DC	DU	GU(	LT	SR	SR	SPA	UD	WU
Bohemian	—	2-0-1 5.47	2-0-1 3.10	1-2-0 3.64	0-2-1 3.08	2-1-0 5.97	1-1-1 5.72	1-1-1 4.37	2-0-1 4.95	2-1-0 3.12	1-1-1 5.04	2-1-0 5.57
Bray Wanderers	1-0-2 2.66	—	0-3-0 1.76	0-1-2 1.96	0-1-2 1.63	1-1-1 4.22	0-1-2 3.67	1-0-2 2.82	2-0-1 3.17	0-1-2 2.07	1-1-1 2.61	2-1-0 3.92
Cork City	1-0-2 5.00	0-3-0 6.50	—	2-1-0 4.05	0-2-1 3.63	1-2-0 6.24	3-0-0 6.17	1-1-1 5.64	1-0-2 5.83	1-1-1 4.53	3-0-0 5.33	2-0-1 6.20
Derry City	0-2-1 4.45	2-1-0 6.27	0-1-2 4.03	—	0-0-3 3.76	0-2-1 5.80	1-1-1 5.41	1-2-0 4.87	2-1-0 5.16	1-0-2 4.57	0-2-1 5.07	1-1-1 6.18
Drogheda United	1-2-0 5.02	2-1-0 6.67	1-2-0 4.45	3-0-0 4.32	—	1-2-0 6.30	2-1-0 6.04	2-0-1 5.52	3-0-0 5.88	1-1-1 4.35	2-0-1 5.59	1-2-0 6.73
Galway United (old)	0-1-2 2.21	1-1-1 3.86	0-2-1 1.98	1-2-0 2.36	0-2-1 1.94	—	2-1-0 3.57	0-1-2 2.69	1-1-1 3.20	1-0-2 2.21	1-2-0 3.25	0-1-2 4.29
Longford Town	1-1-1 2.43	2-1-0 4.44	0-0-3 2.03	1-1-1 2.72	0-1-2 2.16	0-1-2 4.51	—	1-0-2 3.01	0-1-2 3.62	1-0-2 2.85	2-1-0 2.77	1-1-1 4.89
Shamrock Rovers	1-1-1 3.71	2-0-1 5.34	1-1-1 2.51	0-2-1 3.23	1-0-2 2.62	2-1-0 5.44	2-0-1 5.12	—	1-1-1 4.96	0-1-2 3.18	2-1-0 4.09	2-1-0 5.93
Sligo Rovers	1-0-2 3.14	1-0-2 4.93	2-0-1 2.33	0-1-2 2.94	0-0-3 2.29	1-1-1 4.89	2-1-0 4.47	1-1-1 3.13	—	0-0-3 2.84	3-0-0 3.92	1-1-1 5.27
St Patrick's Athletic	0-1-2 4.97	2-1-0 6.14	1-1-1 3.54	2-0-1 3.53	1-1-1 3.73	2-0-1 5.97	2-0-1 5.33	2-1-0 4.94	3-0-0 5.30	—	1-2-0 5.30	2-0-1 6.10
UC Dublin	1-1-1 3.07	1-1-1 5.52	0-0-3 2.79	1-2-0 3.05	1-0-2 2.56	0-2-1 4.86	0-1-2 5.35	0-1-2 4.02	0-0-3 4.18	0-2-1 2.82	—	3-0-0 5.53
Waterford United	0-1-2 2.59	0-1-2 4.16	1-0-2 2.02	1-1-1 2.03	0-2-1 1.58	2-1-0 3.79	1-1-1 3.21	0-1-2 2.25	1-1-1 2.84	1-0-2 2.10	0-0-3 2.61	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.71	+13.0
Allowed	0.69	-10.5
Differential	0.91	+7.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.63%	11.11%	6.06%	3.54%	0.51%	0.51%	34.34%
1	11.11%	13.64%	8.84%	1.52%	1.52%	—	36.62%
2	6.06%	8.84%	3.03%	1.01%	0.76%	—	19.70%
3	3.54%	1.52%	1.01%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	0.51%	1.52%	0.76%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	0.51%	—	—	—	—	—	0.51%
Total	34.34%	36.62%	19.70%	6.06%	2.78%	0.51%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.08	1.08	+0.00
SD	1.05	1.05	1.55
CV	0.98	0.98	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	24.24%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	39.39%
1	18.18%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	30.30%
2	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	21.21%
3	6.06%	—	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	63.64%	24.24%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.06	0.52	+0.55
SD	1.17	0.80	1.54
CV	1.10	1.54	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	12.12%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
1	6.06%	21.21%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	39.39%
2	3.03%	12.12%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	21.21%
3	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	45.45%	15.15%	15.15%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.45	-0.55
SD	0.84	1.15	1.52
CV	0.93	0.79	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	24.24%
1	12.12%	12.12%	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	36.36%
2	6.06%	15.15%	6.06%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	6.06%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	42.42%	21.21%	—	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	0.97	+0.36
SD	1.11	0.92	1.37
CV	0.83	0.95	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	15.15%	—	—	—	—	33.33%
1	12.12%	21.21%	15.15%	3.03%	3.03%	—	54.55%
2	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	42.42%	15.15%	3.03%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	0.94	-0.03
SD	0.95	0.97	1.29
CV	1.04	1.03	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	18.18%	18.18%	—	—	—	—	36.36%
2	9.09%	15.15%	6.06%	—	—	—	30.30%
3	6.06%	—	6.06%	—	—	—	12.12%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.42%	42.42%	15.15%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	0.73	+0.73
SD	1.03	0.72	1.13
CV	0.71	0.99	—
Max	4	2	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	18.18%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	42.42%
1	6.06%	21.21%	6.06%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	3.03%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	21.21%
3	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	48.48%	18.18%	3.03%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.85	1.06	-0.21
SD	0.87	0.93	1.24
CV	1.03	0.88	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	6.06%	6.06%	6.06%	—	3.03%	27.27%
1	15.15%	15.15%	18.18%	3.03%	—	—	51.52%
2	—	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	12.12%
3	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.24%	30.30%	27.27%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.48	-0.45
SD	0.88	1.25	1.62
CV	0.86	0.84	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	3.03%	39.39%
1	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	24.24%	—	—	—	—	—	24.24%
3	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	57.58%	18.18%	18.18%	3.03%	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	0.79	+0.30
SD	1.16	1.17	1.85
CV	1.06	1.48	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	12.12%	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	—	39.39%
1	6.06%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	15.15%	—	3.03%	—	—	27.27%
3	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.24%	39.39%	18.18%	12.12%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.36	-0.33
SD	1.05	1.17	1.80
CV	1.01	0.86	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	27.27%
1	15.15%	6.06%	9.09%	—	—	—	30.30%
2	—	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
3	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
4	3.03%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	12.12%
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	39.39%	33.33%	27.27%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	0.88	+0.76
SD	1.50	0.82	1.66
CV	0.91	0.93	—
Max	5	2	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	15.15%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	39.39%
1	9.09%	9.09%	12.12%	—	3.03%	—	33.33%
2	3.03%	3.03%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	21.21%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	30.30%	30.30%	6.06%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	1.33	-0.39
SD	0.93	1.14	1.37
CV	0.99	0.85	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	12.12%	9.09%	12.12%	—	—	45.45%
1	6.06%	15.15%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	39.39%
2	—	15.15%	—	—	—	—	15.15%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	42.42%	21.21%	15.15%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.70	1.42	-0.73
SD	0.73	1.06	1.35
CV	1.04	0.75	—
Max	2	4	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Drogheda United	1613	68	61.49	+6.51	81.0%	42	47	57	61	66	72	83
St Patrick's Athletic	1570	61	54.56	+6.44	81.0%	35	39	50	55	60	66	71
Cork City	1540	55	60.75	-5.75	23.0%	45	49	56	61	65	71	77
Bohemian	1536	58	49.56	+8.44	93.0%	34	37	46	49	54	59	68
Derry City	1433	37	54.89	-17.89	0.0%	38	42	50	55	60	66	70
Shamrock Rovers	1410	51	45.51	+5.49	79.0%	31	34	40	45	51	56	59
Longford Town	1392	29	29.34	-0.34	48.0%	13	18	25	30	34	38	49
Sligo Rovers	1354	41	38.64	+2.36	69.0%	20	25	34	39	43	53	58
Galway United (old)	1350	35	32.11	+2.89	69.0%	19	23	27	31	36	44	49
UC Dublin	1327	31	45.12	-14.12	2.0%	30	34	41	45	49	56	60
Bray Wanderers	1319	34	31.29	+2.71	69.0%	12	20	27	32	36	40	51
Waterford United	1288	30	27.91	+2.09	66.0%	15	19	23	28	32	39	43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+13.13%

Clear Edge

41.92%29.29%28.79%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 45.89 Elo pts.

286 Elo

0.003 goals per Elo point

0800

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.30 goals

Neutral

-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.3

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

39%

Drogheda United, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.21/gm

Comfortable

00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.48 * Some Luck: 5.48 to 8.21 * Lucky: 8.21 to 10.95 * Wild Swing: 10.95 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.07 * Close: 1.07 to 1.6 * Off: 1.6 to 2.13 * Way Off: 2.13 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.98 points

Some Luck

06.8517

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.67

Off

01.333

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

93.00%

Bohemian

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

Derry City

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Even

00.160.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 110.15

1.86

Moderate Separation

11.71.952.22.75

Interquartile Edge

75%

Clear Edge

50%68%76.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

87%

Even

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

71%

Very Frequent

0%66%100%

Blowouts

Expected

12%

Rare

0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.41

Slight Separation

00.370.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.43

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.38

Some Carryover

00.360.560.691

Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Upset-Prone

0%21%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Very Shaky

0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.38

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.73

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.064

Well Within Noise

00.1270.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Drogheda United	39.00%	31.00%	15.00%	7.00%	4.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
St Patrick's Athletic	16.00%	14.00%	21.00%	19.00%	16.00%	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Bohemian	2.00%	6.00%	12.00%	17.00%	27.00%	16.00%	13.00%	6.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Cork City	35.00%	25.00%	19.00%	11.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Shamrock Rovers	—	1.00%	8.00%	11.00%	15.00%	19.00%	25.00%	13.00%	7.00%	—	1.00%	—
Sligo Rovers	1.00%	1.00%	—	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	17.00%	22.00%	20.00%	11.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Derry City	7.00%	20.00%	20.00%	23.00%	12.00%	12.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	—	—	—
Galway United (old)	—	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	8.00%	8.00%	22.00%	17.00%	28.00%	12.00%
Bray Wanderers	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	4.00%	13.00%	15.00%	31.00%	15.00%	20.00%
UC Dublin	—	2.00%	5.00%	7.00%	14.00%	28.00%	20.00%	18.00%	2.00%	4.00%	—	—
Waterford United	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	12.00%	16.00%	25.00%	41.00%
Longford Town	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	10.00%	18.00%	21.00%	26.00%	22.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Bohemian	100%	—	—
Cork City	100%	—	—
Derry City	100%	—	—
Drogheda United	100%	—	—
Shamrock Rovers	99.00%	1.00%	—
St Patrick's Athletic	100%	—	—
UC Dublin	100%	—	—
Sligo Rovers	90.00%	5.00%	5.00%
Galway United (old)	60.00%	28.00%	12.00%
Bray Wanderers	65.00%	15.00%	20.00%
Longford Town	52.00%	26.00%	22.00%
Waterford United	34.00%	25.00%	41.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2007-03-09	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	38.3	1561	1327	66.36%	23.54%	10.10%	+0.98	+4.1	3
2007-03-09	@ Derry City	L 0-1	38.3	1327	1561	10.10%	23.54%	66.36%	-0.98	-4.1	0
2007-03-09	Cork City	W 1-0	54.0	1353	1559	16.93%	28.29%	54.78%	-0.56	+17.7	3
2007-03-09	@ Waterford United	L 0-1	54.0	1559	1353	54.78%	28.29%	16.93%	+0.56	-17.7	0
2007-03-09	Drogheda United	D 0-0	54.6	1426	1513	28.83%	30.87%	40.30%	-0.15	+0.8	1
2007-03-09	@ Bohemian	D 0-0	54.6	1513	1426	40.30%	30.87%	28.83%	+0.15	-0.9	1
2007-03-09	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	51.0	1451	1342	54.18%	28.47%	17.35%	+0.54	-3.0	1
2007-03-09	@ UC Dublin	D 0-0	51.0	1342	1451	17.35%	28.47%	54.18%	-0.54	+3.0	1
2007-03-09	Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	38.7	1311	1395	29.24%	30.90%	39.86%	-0.13	-20.8	0
2007-03-09	@ Galway United (old)	W 2-0	38.7	1395	1311	39.86%	30.90%	29.24%	+0.13	+20.8	3
2007-03-10	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	55.8	1435	1456	38.11%	30.99%	30.90%	+0.09	-12.5	0
2007-03-10	@ Longford Town	W 2-1	55.8	1456	1435	30.90%	30.99%	38.11%	-0.09	+12.5	3
2007-03-16	Bohemian	W 1-0	46.8	1323	1427	26.79%	30.69%	42.52%	-0.20	+14.4	3
2007-03-16	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	46.8	1427	1323	42.52%	30.69%	26.79%	+0.20	-14.4	1
2007-03-16	Galway United (old)	D 0-0	53.7	1542	1290	67.84%	22.77%	9.40%	+1.04	-5.0	1
2007-03-16	@ Cork City	D 0-0	53.7	1290	1542	9.40%	22.77%	67.84%	-1.04	+5.0	1
2007-03-16	Longford Town	W 2-0	42.6	1345	1423	30.06%	30.95%	38.99%	-0.11	+25.5	4
2007-03-16	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	42.6	1423	1345	38.99%	30.95%	30.06%	+0.11	-25.5	0
2007-03-16	UC Dublin	W 3-2	57.5	1513	1448	49.14%	29.70%	21.16%	+0.39	+7.7	4
2007-03-16	@ Drogheda United	L 2-3	57.5	1448	1513	21.16%	29.70%	49.14%	-0.39	-7.7	1
2007-03-16	Waterford United	W 3-0	36.0	1468	1371	52.89%	28.83%	18.28%	+0.50	+20.7	6
2007-03-16	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	36.0	1371	1468	18.28%	28.83%	52.89%	-0.50	-20.7	3
2007-03-17	Derry City	L 0-2	43.5	1416	1565	21.87%	29.87%	48.26%	-0.36	-16.6	3
2007-03-17	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	43.5	1565	1416	48.26%	29.87%	21.87%	+0.36	+16.6	6
2007-03-23	Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	52.7	1350	1337	42.64%	30.67%	26.69%	+0.21	-13.6	3
2007-03-23	@ Waterford United	W 2-1	52.7	1337	1350	26.69%	30.67%	42.64%	-0.21	+13.6	6
2007-03-23	Cork City	L 0-1	48.9	1440	1537	27.69%	30.78%	41.53%	-0.18	-10.6	1
2007-03-23	@ UC Dublin	W 1-0	48.9	1537	1440	41.53%	30.78%	27.69%	+0.18	+10.6	4
2007-03-23	Drogheda United	L 2-3	50.6	1295	1520	15.57%	27.65%	56.77%	-0.63	-5.8	1
2007-03-23	@ Galway United (old)	W 3-2	50.6	1520	1295	56.77%	27.65%	15.57%	+0.63	+5.8	7
2007-03-23	Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	47.2	1397	1400	40.60%	30.85%	28.55%	+0.15	-13.9	0
2007-03-23	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	47.2	1400	1397	28.55%	30.85%	40.60%	-0.15	+13.9	6
2007-03-23	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	59.2	1582	1489	52.42%	28.95%	18.62%	+0.49	-17.1	6
2007-03-23	@ Derry City	W 1-0	59.2	1489	1582	18.62%	28.95%	52.42%	-0.49	+17.1	9
2007-03-30	Bohemian	L 0-1	43.2	1337	1412	30.35%	30.97%	38.68%	-0.10	-11.3	3
2007-03-30	@ Waterford United	W 1-0	43.2	1412	1337	38.68%	30.97%	30.35%	+0.10	+11.3	4
2007-03-30	Bray Wanderers	W 3-1	42.3	1506	1351	59.00%	26.85%	14.15%	+0.70	+9.7	12
2007-03-30	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-3	42.3	1351	1506	14.15%	26.85%	59.00%	-0.70	-9.7	6
2007-03-30	Derry City	W 2-1	61.6	1526	1565	35.49%	31.06%	33.44%	+0.03	+11.4	10
2007-03-30	@ Drogheda United	L 1-2	61.6	1565	1526	33.44%	31.06%	35.49%	-0.03	-11.4	6
2007-03-30	Galway United (old)	W 1-0	38.3	1370	1289	51.05%	29.29%	19.66%	+0.44	+8.0	7
2007-03-30	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	38.3	1289	1370	19.66%	29.29%	51.05%	-0.44	-8.0	1
2007-03-30	Longford Town	W 2-0	38.2	1547	1383	59.87%	26.51%	13.62%	+0.73	+10.7	7
2007-03-30	@ Cork City	L 0-2	38.2	1383	1547	13.62%	26.51%	59.87%	-0.73	-10.7	0
2007-04-01	UC Dublin	W 1-0	45.3	1413	1430	38.67%	30.97%	30.36%	+0.10	+11.3	9
2007-04-01	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	45.3	1430	1413	30.36%	30.97%	38.67%	-0.10	-11.3	1
2007-04-03	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	48.6	1424	1379	46.76%	30.13%	23.11%	+0.32	+8.7	7
2007-04-03	@ Bohemian	L 1-2	48.6	1379	1424	23.11%	30.13%	46.76%	-0.32	-8.7	7
2007-04-06	Drogheda United	L 0-1	43.9	1373	1538	20.38%	29.50%	50.12%	-0.42	-8.3	0
2007-04-06	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	43.9	1538	1373	50.12%	29.50%	20.38%	+0.42	+8.3	13
2007-04-06	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	41.1	1341	1370	36.93%	31.04%	32.03%	+0.06	-24.5	6
2007-04-06	@ Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	41.1	1370	1341	32.03%	31.04%	36.93%	-0.06	+24.5	10
2007-04-06	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	44.7	1432	1425	41.91%	30.74%	27.34%	+0.19	+10.5	10
2007-04-06	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	44.7	1425	1432	27.34%	30.74%	41.91%	-0.19	-10.5	9
2007-04-06	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	38.5	1281	1516	14.95%	27.32%	57.73%	-0.66	-6.3	1
2007-04-06	@ Galway United (old)	W 1-0	38.5	1516	1281	57.73%	27.32%	14.95%	+0.66	+6.2	15
2007-04-06	Waterford United	W 3-0	34.1	1418	1325	52.41%	28.96%	18.63%	+0.49	+21.0	4
2007-04-06	@ UC Dublin	L 0-3	34.1	1325	1418	18.63%	28.96%	52.41%	-0.49	-21.0	3
2007-04-09	Cork City	L 1-4	57.3	1553	1558	40.24%	30.88%	28.88%	+0.14	-32.0	6
2007-04-09	@ Derry City	W 4-1	57.3	1558	1553	28.88%	30.88%	40.24%	-0.14	+32.0	10
2007-04-12	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	34.7	1439	1317	55.66%	28.02%	16.32%	+0.59	+12.8	7
2007-04-12	@ UC Dublin	L 0-2	34.7	1317	1439	16.32%	28.02%	55.66%	-0.59	-12.8	6
2007-04-13	Bohemian	D 0-0	56.0	1522	1443	50.82%	29.34%	19.84%	+0.44	-2.5	16
2007-04-13	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	56.0	1443	1522	19.84%	29.34%	50.82%	-0.44	+2.5	11
2007-04-13	Derry City	L 0-1	39.7	1304	1521	16.13%	27.93%	55.94%	-0.60	-6.7	3
2007-04-13	@ Waterford United	W 1-0	39.7	1521	1304	55.94%	27.93%	16.13%	+0.60	+6.7	9
2007-04-13	Longford Town	D 1-1	53.9	1275	1364	28.60%	30.85%	40.54%	-0.15	+0.8	2
2007-04-13	@ Galway United (old)	D 1-1	53.9	1364	1275	40.54%	30.85%	28.60%	+0.15	-0.8	1
2007-04-13	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	57.9	1590	1394	62.91%	25.21%	11.88%	+0.84	-4.3	11
2007-04-13	@ Cork City	D 0-0	57.9	1394	1590	11.88%	25.21%	62.91%	-0.84	+4.3	11
2007-04-13	Sligo Rovers	W 3-0	38.8	1546	1414	56.60%	27.71%	15.69%	+0.62	+18.0	16
2007-04-13	@ Drogheda United	L 0-3	38.8	1414	1546	15.69%	27.71%	56.60%	-0.62	-18.0	9
2007-04-20	Cork City	D 1-1	60.4	1304	1586	12.17%	25.45%	62.38%	-0.83	+3.8	7
2007-04-20	@ Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	60.4	1586	1304	62.38%	25.45%	12.17%	+0.83	-3.8	12
2007-04-20	Drogheda United	L 1-2	52.5	1399	1564	20.35%	29.49%	50.16%	-0.42	-7.8	11
2007-04-20	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	52.5	1564	1399	50.16%	29.49%	20.35%	+0.42	+7.8	19
2007-04-20	Galway United (old)	D 1-1	56.2	1445	1276	60.41%	26.29%	13.30%	+0.75	-3.5	12
2007-04-20	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	56.2	1276	1445	13.30%	26.29%	60.41%	-0.75	+3.5	3
2007-04-20	UC Dublin	L 0-1	55.4	1528	1452	50.47%	29.42%	20.11%	+0.43	-16.6	9
2007-04-20	@ Derry City	W 1-0	55.4	1452	1528	20.11%	29.42%	50.47%	-0.43	+16.5	10
2007-04-20	Waterford United	W 1-0	38.9	1364	1298	49.29%	29.67%	21.04%	+0.39	+8.5	4
2007-04-20	@ Longford Town	L 0-1	38.9	1298	1364	21.04%	29.67%	49.29%	-0.39	-8.5	3
2007-04-21	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-4	41.0	1396	1519	24.60%	30.39%	45.01%	-0.27	-34.6	9
2007-04-21	@ Sligo Rovers	W 4-0	41.0	1519	1396	45.01%	30.39%	24.60%	+0.27	+34.6	19
2007-04-27	Bohemian	D 0-0	55.5	1512	1442	49.74%	29.58%	20.68%	+0.40	-2.3	10
2007-04-27	@ Derry City	D 0-0	55.5	1442	1512	20.68%	29.58%	49.74%	-0.40	+2.3	13
2007-04-27	Cork City	D 2-2	74.1	1572	1582	39.46%	30.93%	29.61%	+0.12	-0.5	20
2007-04-27	@ Drogheda United	D 2-2	74.1	1582	1572	29.61%	30.93%	39.46%	-0.12	+0.5	13
2007-04-27	Galway United (old)	L 0-1	45.6	1308	1279	44.61%	30.45%	24.94%	+0.26	-15.0	7
2007-04-27	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	45.6	1279	1308	24.94%	30.45%	44.61%	-0.26	+15.0	6
2007-04-27	Longford Town	D 2-2	64.2	1469	1372	52.83%	28.85%	18.33%	+0.50	-1.8	11
2007-04-27	@ UC Dublin	D 2-2	64.2	1372	1469	18.33%	28.85%	52.83%	-0.50	+1.8	5
2007-04-27	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	49.0	1554	1391	59.80%	26.54%	13.66%	+0.73	+5.4	22
2007-04-27	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	49.0	1391	1554	13.66%	26.54%	59.80%	-0.73	-5.4	11
2007-04-28	Waterford United	D 1-1	54.4	1362	1289	50.07%	29.51%	20.42%	+0.41	-2.1	10
2007-04-28	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	54.4	1289	1362	20.42%	29.51%	50.07%	-0.41	+2.1	4
2007-05-03	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	53.9	1583	1559	43.94%	30.53%	25.53%	+0.24	+10.0	16
2007-05-03	@ Cork City	L 0-1	53.9	1559	1583	25.53%	30.53%	43.94%	-0.24	-10.0	22
2007-05-04	Derry City	D 1-1	57.3	1294	1509	16.29%	28.00%	55.71%	-0.59	+2.9	7
2007-05-04	@ Galway United (old)	D 1-1	57.3	1509	1294	55.71%	28.00%	16.29%	+0.59	-2.9	11
2007-05-04	Drogheda United	D 1-1	59.5	1291	1571	12.27%	25.53%	62.19%	-0.82	+3.8	5
2007-05-04	@ Waterford United	D 1-1	59.5	1571	1291	62.19%	25.53%	12.27%	+0.82	-3.8	21
2007-05-04	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	41.5	1385	1360	44.30%	30.49%	25.21%	+0.25	+9.9	14
2007-05-04	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	41.5	1360	1385	25.21%	30.49%	44.30%	-0.25	-9.9	10
2007-05-04	UC Dublin	D 0-0	53.6	1444	1467	37.75%	31.01%	31.24%	+0.08	-0.5	14
2007-05-04	@ Bohemian	D 0-0	53.6	1467	1444	31.24%	31.01%	37.75%	-0.08	+0.5	12
2007-05-05	Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	54.7	1374	1293	51.09%	29.28%	19.63%	+0.44	-2.2	6
2007-05-05	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	54.7	1293	1374	19.63%	29.28%	51.09%	-0.44	+2.2	8
2007-05-11	Galway United (old)	W 1-0	40.9	1295	1297	40.56%	30.85%	28.58%	+0.15	+10.8	8
2007-05-11	@ Waterford United	L 0-1	40.9	1297	1295	28.58%	30.85%	40.56%	-0.15	-10.8	7
2007-05-11	Longford Town	W 5-0	37.4	1444	1372	49.99%	29.53%	20.48%	+0.41	+36.8	17
2007-05-11	@ Bohemian	L 0-5	37.4	1372	1444	20.48%	29.53%	49.99%	-0.41	-36.8	6
2007-05-11	St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	69.5	1467	1550	29.51%	30.92%	39.57%	-0.13	+0.5	13
2007-05-11	@ UC Dublin	D 2-2	69.5	1550	1467	39.57%	30.92%	29.51%	+0.13	-0.5	23
2007-05-12	Cork City	W 4-1	55.5	1350	1592	14.41%	27.01%	58.58%	-0.69	+43.2	13
2007-05-12	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-4	55.5	1592	1350	58.58%	27.01%	14.41%	+0.69	-43.3	16
2007-05-14	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	42.3	1506	1395	54.42%	28.40%	17.18%	+0.55	+7.1	14
2007-05-14	@ Derry City	L 0-1	42.3	1395	1506	17.18%	28.40%	54.42%	-0.55	-7.1	14
2007-05-18	Bohemian	W 2-1	55.2	1549	1480	49.62%	29.61%	20.77%	+0.40	+8.0	19
2007-05-18	@ Cork City	L 1-2	55.2	1480	1549	20.77%	29.61%	49.62%	-0.40	-8.0	17
2007-05-18	Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	42.2	1295	1393	27.51%	30.76%	41.73%	-0.18	+26.8	11
2007-05-18	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-2	42.2	1393	1295	41.73%	30.76%	27.51%	+0.18	-26.8	13
2007-05-18	UC Dublin	D 0-0	50.1	1287	1468	18.91%	29.05%	52.04%	-0.47	+2.7	8
2007-05-18	@ Galway United (old)	D 0-0	50.1	1468	1287	52.04%	29.05%	18.91%	+0.47	-2.6	14
2007-05-19	Derry City	D 0-0	52.2	1335	1514	19.15%	29.13%	51.72%	-0.46	+2.6	7
2007-05-19	@ Longford Town	D 0-0	52.2	1514	1335	51.72%	29.13%	19.15%	+0.46	-2.6	15
2007-05-21	Drogheda United	W 1-0	54.8	1549	1567	38.37%	30.98%	30.65%	+0.10	+11.4	26
2007-05-21	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	54.8	1567	1549	30.65%	30.98%	38.37%	-0.10	-11.4	21
2007-05-25	Bohemian	L 0-1	39.4	1289	1472	18.75%	28.99%	52.26%	-0.48	-7.7	8
2007-05-25	@ Galway United (old)	W 1-0	39.4	1472	1289	52.26%	28.99%	18.75%	+0.48	+7.7	20
2007-05-25	Derry City	D 1-1	61.7	1465	1511	34.49%	31.07%	34.44%	+0.00	-0.0	15
2007-05-25	@ UC Dublin	D 1-1	61.7	1511	1465	34.44%	31.07%	34.49%	+0.00	+0.0	16
2007-05-25	Longford Town	W 2-1	49.3	1306	1338	36.48%	31.05%	32.47%	+0.05	+11.2	11
2007-05-25	@ Waterford United	L 1-2	49.3	1338	1306	32.47%	31.05%	36.48%	-0.05	-11.2	7
2007-05-25	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	52.6	1556	1388	60.25%	26.36%	13.39%	+0.75	-36.1	21
2007-05-25	@ Drogheda United	W 2-0	52.6	1388	1556	13.39%	26.36%	60.25%	-0.75	+36.1	17
2007-05-25	Sligo Rovers	W 3-1	43.4	1560	1366	62.76%	25.28%	11.96%	+0.84	+8.1	29
2007-05-25	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-3	43.4	1366	1560	11.96%	25.28%	62.76%	-0.84	-8.1	13
2007-05-28	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	51.8	1480	1569	28.72%	30.86%	40.41%	-0.15	+26.2	23
2007-05-28	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	51.8	1569	1480	40.41%	30.86%	28.72%	+0.15	-26.2	29
2007-05-29	Cork City	W 2-0	50.9	1424	1557	23.54%	30.22%	46.24%	-0.30	+29.1	20
2007-05-29	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	50.9	1557	1424	46.24%	30.22%	23.54%	+0.30	-29.1	19
2007-05-29	Drogheda United	L 0-2	39.4	1358	1520	20.66%	29.58%	49.76%	-0.41	-15.8	13
2007-05-29	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	39.4	1520	1358	49.76%	29.58%	20.66%	+0.41	+15.8	24
2007-05-29	Galway United (old)	L 0-3	41.3	1326	1281	46.73%	30.14%	23.13%	+0.32	-42.6	7
2007-05-29	@ Longford Town	W 3-0	41.3	1281	1326	23.13%	30.14%	46.73%	-0.32	+42.6	11
2007-05-29	UC Dublin	W 2-1	55.6	1322	1465	22.44%	30.00%	47.56%	-0.34	+14.9	14
2007-05-29	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	55.6	1465	1322	47.56%	30.00%	22.44%	+0.34	-14.9	15
2007-05-29	Waterford United	D 1-1	58.7	1511	1317	62.74%	25.29%	11.97%	+0.84	-3.8	17
2007-05-29	@ Derry City	D 1-1	58.7	1317	1511	11.97%	25.29%	62.74%	-0.84	+3.8	12
2007-06-01	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	39.1	1453	1337	55.03%	28.22%	16.75%	+0.57	+7.0	23
2007-06-01	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	39.1	1337	1453	16.75%	28.22%	55.03%	-0.57	-7.0	14
2007-06-01	Derry City	D 1-1	64.1	1528	1507	43.67%	30.56%	25.77%	+0.23	-1.2	20
2007-06-01	@ Cork City	D 1-1	64.1	1507	1528	25.77%	30.56%	43.67%	-0.23	+1.2	18
2007-06-01	Galway United (old)	L 1-2	61.1	1542	1324	64.96%	24.24%	10.80%	+0.92	-19.2	29
2007-06-01	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	61.1	1324	1542	10.80%	24.24%	64.96%	-0.92	+19.2	14
2007-06-01	Longford Town	D 1-1	59.2	1536	1284	67.87%	22.75%	9.38%	+1.04	-4.4	25
2007-06-01	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	59.2	1284	1536	9.38%	22.75%	67.87%	-1.04	+4.4	8
2007-06-01	UC Dublin	L 1-3	44.2	1321	1450	23.90%	30.28%	45.82%	-0.29	-15.4	12
2007-06-01	@ Waterford United	W 3-1	44.2	1450	1321	45.82%	30.28%	23.90%	+0.29	+15.4	18
2007-06-02	Bohemian	W 2-1	57.7	1342	1506	20.44%	29.51%	50.05%	-0.41	+15.5	16
2007-06-02	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	57.7	1506	1342	50.05%	29.51%	20.44%	+0.41	-15.5	23
2007-06-22	Drogheda United	L 0-1	54.3	1508	1531	37.73%	31.01%	31.26%	+0.08	-13.2	18
2007-06-22	@ Derry City	W 1-0	54.3	1531	1508	31.26%	31.01%	37.73%	-0.08	+13.2	28
2007-06-22	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	56.5	1343	1460	25.26%	30.49%	44.25%	-0.25	+1.3	15
2007-06-22	@ Galway United (old)	D 1-1	56.5	1460	1343	44.25%	30.49%	25.26%	+0.25	-1.3	24
2007-06-22	Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	47.6	1466	1358	54.09%	28.50%	17.41%	+0.54	-33.1	18
2007-06-22	@ UC Dublin	W 2-0	47.6	1358	1466	17.41%	28.50%	54.09%	-0.54	+33.1	19
2007-06-22	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	52.5	1330	1523	17.91%	28.69%	53.40%	-0.52	+2.9	15
2007-06-22	@ Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	52.5	1523	1330	53.40%	28.69%	17.91%	+0.52	-2.9	30
2007-06-25	Waterford United	W 1-0	37.2	1491	1305	61.95%	25.64%	12.41%	+0.81	+5.2	26
2007-06-25	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	37.2	1305	1491	12.41%	25.64%	61.95%	-0.81	-5.2	12
2007-06-26	Bray Wanderers	W 4-1	38.4	1544	1333	64.38%	24.52%	11.09%	+0.90	+10.6	31
2007-06-26	@ Drogheda United	L 1-4	38.4	1333	1544	11.09%	24.52%	64.38%	-0.90	-10.6	15
2007-06-26	Cork City	L 1-2	45.5	1288	1527	14.67%	27.16%	58.17%	-0.67	-5.8	8
2007-06-26	@ Longford Town	W 2-1	45.5	1527	1288	58.17%	27.16%	14.67%	+0.67	+5.8	23
2007-06-29	Bohemian	D 0-0	55.1	1459	1496	35.74%	31.06%	33.20%	+0.03	-0.2	25
2007-06-29	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	55.1	1496	1459	33.20%	31.06%	35.74%	-0.03	+0.2	27
2007-06-29	Derry City	W 2-1	56.2	1520	1495	44.22%	30.50%	25.29%	+0.25	+9.3	33
2007-06-29	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	56.2	1495	1520	25.29%	30.50%	44.22%	-0.25	-9.3	18
2007-06-30	Longford Town	W 2-1	44.3	1391	1282	54.12%	28.49%	17.39%	+0.54	+6.8	22
2007-06-30	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	44.3	1282	1391	17.39%	28.49%	54.12%	-0.54	-6.8	8
2007-07-01	Waterford United	W 2-1	46.9	1322	1300	43.77%	30.55%	25.68%	+0.24	+9.4	18
2007-07-01	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	46.9	1300	1322	25.68%	30.55%	43.77%	-0.24	-9.4	12
2007-07-06	Drogheda United	L 0-1	48.3	1433	1555	24.69%	30.41%	44.90%	-0.27	-9.7	18
2007-07-06	@ UC Dublin	W 1-0	48.3	1555	1433	44.90%	30.41%	24.69%	+0.27	+9.7	34
2007-07-06	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-3	34.0	1276	1459	18.76%	29.00%	52.25%	-0.48	-21.2	8
2007-07-06	@ Longford Town	W 3-0	34.0	1459	1276	52.25%	29.00%	18.76%	+0.48	+21.2	28
2007-07-06	Sligo Rovers	W 4-1	42.3	1486	1398	51.88%	29.09%	19.03%	+0.47	+18.1	21
2007-07-06	@ Derry City	L 1-4	42.3	1398	1486	19.03%	29.09%	51.88%	-0.47	-18.1	22
2007-07-06	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	58.7	1291	1530	14.65%	27.15%	58.19%	-0.67	+17.6	15
2007-07-06	@ Waterford United	L 1-2	58.7	1530	1291	58.19%	27.15%	14.65%	+0.67	-17.6	33
2007-07-09	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	35.0	1496	1331	59.97%	26.47%	13.56%	+0.74	+10.7	30
2007-07-09	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	35.0	1331	1496	13.56%	26.47%	59.97%	-0.74	-10.7	18
2007-07-10	Cork City	L 1-2	48.8	1344	1533	18.34%	28.85%	52.81%	-0.50	-7.1	15
2007-07-10	@ Galway United (old)	W 2-1	48.8	1533	1344	52.81%	28.85%	18.34%	+0.50	+7.1	26
2007-07-10	Waterford United	W 2-0	33.9	1480	1308	60.63%	26.20%	13.17%	+0.76	+10.4	31
2007-07-10	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	33.9	1308	1480	13.17%	26.20%	60.63%	-0.76	-10.4	15
2007-07-13	Bohemian	W 1-0	50.3	1565	1507	48.30%	29.87%	21.83%	+0.36	+8.8	37
2007-07-13	@ Drogheda United	L 0-1	50.3	1507	1565	21.83%	29.87%	48.30%	-0.36	-8.8	30
2007-07-14	Galway United (old)	D 1-1	55.0	1380	1337	46.38%	30.19%	23.42%	+0.31	-1.6	23
2007-07-14	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	55.0	1337	1380	23.42%	30.19%	46.38%	-0.31	+1.6	16
2007-07-15	Longford Town	W 4-2	40.4	1512	1255	68.35%	22.49%	9.16%	+1.06	+5.4	36
2007-07-15	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 2-4	40.4	1255	1512	9.16%	22.49%	68.35%	-1.06	-5.4	8
2007-07-16	UC Dublin	W 2-0	40.7	1490	1423	49.46%	29.64%	20.90%	+0.40	+16.0	34
2007-07-16	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	40.7	1423	1490	20.90%	29.64%	49.46%	-0.40	-16.0	18
2007-07-17	Waterford United	W 2-0	33.1	1540	1298	67.02%	23.20%	9.78%	+1.01	+7.5	29
2007-07-17	@ Cork City	L 0-2	33.1	1298	1540	9.78%	23.20%	67.02%	-1.01	-7.5	15
2007-07-20	Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	45.8	1339	1321	43.31%	30.60%	26.09%	+0.22	-14.6	16
2007-07-20	@ Galway United (old)	W 1-0	45.8	1321	1339	26.09%	30.60%	43.31%	-0.22	+14.6	21
2007-07-20	Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	48.4	1290	1378	28.83%	30.87%	40.30%	-0.15	-10.3	15
2007-07-20	@ Waterford United	W 2-1	48.4	1378	1290	40.30%	30.87%	28.83%	+0.15	+10.3	26
2007-07-21	Derry City	D 0-0	56.9	1498	1504	40.11%	30.89%	29.01%	+0.14	-0.8	31
2007-07-21	@ Bohemian	D 0-0	56.9	1504	1498	29.01%	30.89%	40.11%	-0.14	+0.8	22
2007-07-21	UC Dublin	W 1-0	47.3	1249	1407	21.02%	29.67%	49.31%	-0.39	+16.2	11
2007-07-21	@ Longford Town	L 0-1	47.3	1407	1249	49.31%	29.67%	21.02%	+0.39	-16.2	18
2007-07-22	Drogheda United	D 0-0	61.0	1547	1573	37.27%	31.03%	31.71%	+0.07	-0.4	30
2007-07-22	@ Cork City	D 0-0	61.0	1573	1547	31.71%	31.03%	37.27%	-0.07	+0.4	38
2007-07-23	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	57.7	1506	1517	39.38%	30.93%	29.69%	+0.12	-0.7	35
2007-07-23	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	57.7	1517	1506	29.69%	30.93%	39.38%	-0.12	+0.7	37
2007-07-27	Bohemian	W 1-0	50.3	1391	1497	26.49%	30.65%	42.86%	-0.21	+14.5	21
2007-07-27	@ UC Dublin	L 0-1	50.3	1497	1391	42.86%	30.65%	26.49%	+0.21	-14.5	31
2007-07-27	Cork City	D 1-1	65.0	1518	1547	36.91%	31.04%	32.05%	+0.06	-0.3	38
2007-07-27	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	65.0	1547	1518	32.05%	31.04%	36.91%	-0.06	+0.3	31
2007-07-27	Longford Town	L 1-3	49.7	1335	1265	49.76%	29.58%	20.66%	+0.41	-26.7	21
2007-07-27	@ Bray Wanderers	W 3-1	49.7	1265	1335	20.66%	29.58%	49.76%	-0.41	+26.7	14
2007-07-27	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	47.3	1388	1506	25.23%	30.49%	44.29%	-0.25	+28.1	29
2007-07-27	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	47.3	1506	1388	44.29%	30.49%	25.23%	+0.25	-28.1	35
2007-07-27	Waterford United	W 3-0	30.9	1574	1280	71.29%	20.83%	7.88%	+1.19	+8.4	41
2007-07-27	@ Drogheda United	L 0-3	30.9	1280	1574	7.88%	20.83%	71.29%	-1.19	-8.4	15
2007-07-29	Galway United (old)	D 0-0	52.7	1505	1324	61.47%	25.85%	12.68%	+0.79	-4.1	23
2007-07-29	@ Derry City	D 0-0	52.7	1324	1505	12.68%	25.85%	61.47%	-0.79	+4.1	17
2007-08-03	Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	62.9	1547	1416	56.53%	27.74%	15.73%	+0.62	-17.2	31
2007-08-03	@ Cork City	W 2-1	62.9	1416	1547	15.73%	27.74%	56.53%	-0.62	+17.2	32
2007-08-03	Waterford United	L 1-2	53.3	1328	1272	48.16%	29.89%	21.95%	+0.36	-15.0	17
2007-08-03	@ Galway United (old)	W 2-1	53.3	1272	1328	21.95%	29.89%	48.16%	-0.36	+15.0	18
2007-08-04	Bohemian	W 3-0	44.9	1292	1483	18.14%	28.78%	53.09%	-0.51	+47.3	17
2007-08-04	@ Longford Town	L 0-3	44.9	1483	1292	53.09%	28.78%	18.14%	+0.51	-47.3	31
2007-08-04	Derry City	D 1-1	61.8	1478	1501	37.72%	31.01%	31.27%	+0.08	-0.4	36
2007-08-04	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	61.8	1501	1478	31.27%	31.01%	37.72%	-0.08	+0.4	24
2007-08-06	Drogheda United	L 1-2	46.6	1309	1582	12.60%	25.79%	61.61%	-0.80	-4.9	21
2007-08-06	@ Bray Wanderers	W 2-1	46.6	1582	1309	61.61%	25.79%	12.60%	+0.80	+5.0	44
2007-08-06	UC Dublin	D 1-1	60.6	1518	1405	54.58%	28.35%	17.07%	+0.55	-2.7	39
2007-08-06	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	60.6	1405	1518	17.07%	28.35%	54.58%	-0.55	+2.7	22
2007-08-10	Cork City	W 2-1	59.3	1436	1530	27.94%	30.80%	41.26%	-0.17	+13.3	34
2007-08-10	@ Bohemian	L 1-2	59.3	1530	1436	41.26%	30.80%	27.94%	+0.17	-13.3	31
2007-08-10	Galway United (old)	D 2-2	61.7	1408	1313	52.61%	28.90%	18.48%	+0.49	-1.8	23
2007-08-10	@ UC Dublin	D 2-2	61.7	1313	1408	18.48%	28.90%	52.61%	-0.49	+1.8	18
2007-08-10	Longford Town	W 3-1	41.7	1501	1339	59.65%	26.60%	13.75%	+0.73	+9.4	27
2007-08-10	@ Derry City	L 1-3	41.7	1339	1501	13.75%	26.60%	59.65%	-0.73	-9.4	17
2007-08-10	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	35.6	1287	1477	18.16%	28.79%	53.05%	-0.51	-14.2	18
2007-08-10	@ Waterford United	W 2-0	35.6	1477	1287	53.05%	28.79%	18.16%	+0.51	+14.2	39
2007-08-10	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	47.3	1587	1515	50.02%	29.52%	20.46%	+0.41	+15.7	47
2007-08-10	@ Drogheda United	L 0-2	47.3	1515	1587	20.46%	29.52%	50.02%	-0.41	-15.7	39
2007-08-11	Bray Wanderers	W 3-0	32.8	1433	1304	56.42%	27.77%	15.81%	+0.61	+18.1	35
2007-08-11	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-3	32.8	1304	1433	15.81%	27.77%	56.42%	-0.61	-18.1	21
2007-08-20	Galway United (old)	D 2-2	68.9	1603	1315	70.82%	21.10%	8.07%	+1.17	-3.5	48
2007-08-20	@ Drogheda United	D 2-2	68.9	1315	1603	8.07%	21.10%	70.82%	-1.17	+3.5	19
2007-08-24	Bray Wanderers	W 3-0	31.1	1510	1286	65.54%	23.96%	10.50%	+0.95	+11.8	30
2007-08-24	@ Derry City	L 0-3	31.1	1286	1510	10.50%	23.96%	65.54%	-0.95	-11.8	21
2007-08-24	Cork City	L 0-3	33.0	1273	1517	14.32%	26.95%	58.72%	-0.69	-16.4	18
2007-08-24	@ Waterford United	W 3-0	33.0	1517	1273	58.72%	26.95%	14.32%	+0.69	+16.4	34
2007-08-24	Drogheda United	D 1-1	64.8	1449	1599	21.73%	29.84%	48.43%	-0.37	+1.9	35
2007-08-24	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	64.8	1599	1449	48.43%	29.84%	21.73%	+0.37	-1.9	49
2007-08-24	Shamrock Rovers	L 2-4	52.3	1406	1491	29.12%	30.89%	39.98%	-0.14	-16.0	23
2007-08-24	@ UC Dublin	W 4-2	52.3	1491	1406	39.98%	30.89%	29.12%	+0.14	+16.1	42
2007-08-24	Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	44.6	1319	1452	23.54%	30.22%	46.24%	-0.30	+29.1	22
2007-08-24	@ Galway United (old)	L 0-2	44.6	1452	1319	46.24%	30.22%	23.54%	+0.30	-29.1	35
2007-08-25	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	57.3	1330	1499	19.96%	29.38%	50.66%	-0.43	+15.7	20
2007-08-25	@ Longford Town	L 1-2	57.3	1499	1330	50.66%	29.38%	19.96%	+0.43	-15.7	39
2007-08-27	Bray Wanderers	D 2-2	65.3	1533	1274	68.51%	22.41%	9.09%	+1.07	-3.4	35
2007-08-27	@ Cork City	D 2-2	65.3	1274	1533	9.09%	22.41%	68.51%	-1.07	+3.4	22
2007-08-31	Bohemian	L 0-3	34.2	1277	1451	19.59%	29.27%	51.14%	-0.45	-22.0	22
2007-08-31	@ Bray Wanderers	W 3-0	34.2	1451	1277	51.14%	29.27%	19.59%	+0.45	+22.0	38
2007-08-31	Galway United (old)	D 0-0	54.1	1530	1348	61.62%	25.78%	12.60%	+0.80	-4.1	36
2007-08-31	@ Cork City	D 0-0	54.1	1348	1530	12.60%	25.78%	61.62%	-0.80	+4.1	23
2007-08-31	Longford Town	L 0-1	53.1	1507	1346	59.66%	26.59%	13.75%	+0.73	-19.0	42
2007-08-31	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	53.1	1346	1507	13.75%	26.59%	59.66%	-0.73	+19.0	23
2007-08-31	Waterford United	W 4-1	34.7	1484	1256	65.77%	23.84%	10.39%	+0.96	+9.8	42
2007-08-31	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-4	34.7	1256	1484	10.39%	23.84%	65.77%	-0.96	-9.8	18
2007-09-01	Derry City	D 0-0	54.8	1422	1522	27.31%	30.74%	41.96%	-0.19	+1.1	36
2007-09-01	@ Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	54.8	1522	1422	41.96%	30.74%	27.31%	+0.19	-1.1	31
2007-09-03	UC Dublin	L 0-1	58.3	1598	1390	63.98%	24.72%	11.31%	+0.89	-20.1	49
2007-09-03	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	58.3	1390	1598	11.31%	24.72%	63.98%	-0.89	+20.1	26
2007-09-07	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	47.3	1246	1255	39.69%	30.91%	29.39%	+0.13	-0.8	19
2007-09-07	@ Waterford United	D 0-0	47.3	1255	1246	29.39%	30.91%	39.69%	-0.13	+0.8	23
2007-09-07	Drogheda United	D 1-1	61.1	1352	1577	15.53%	27.63%	56.83%	-0.63	+3.0	24
2007-09-07	@ Galway United (old)	D 1-1	61.1	1577	1352	56.83%	27.63%	15.53%	+0.63	-3.0	50
2007-09-07	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	56.0	1365	1424	32.62%	31.05%	36.33%	-0.05	+0.2	24
2007-09-07	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	56.0	1424	1365	36.33%	31.05%	32.62%	+0.05	-0.2	37
2007-09-07	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	49.4	1521	1494	44.53%	30.46%	25.01%	+0.26	+9.8	34
2007-09-07	@ Derry City	L 0-1	49.4	1494	1521	25.01%	30.46%	44.53%	-0.26	-9.8	42
2007-09-10	UC Dublin	W 4-1	43.2	1526	1410	54.90%	28.26%	16.85%	+0.56	+16.2	39
2007-09-10	@ Cork City	L 1-4	43.2	1410	1526	16.85%	28.26%	54.90%	-0.56	-16.2	26
2007-09-14	Bohemian	D 0-0	50.0	1246	1473	15.43%	27.58%	56.99%	-0.63	+3.4	20
2007-09-14	@ Waterford United	D 0-0	50.0	1473	1246	56.99%	27.58%	15.43%	+0.63	-3.4	39
2007-09-14	Bray Wanderers	W 4-2	40.7	1484	1256	65.80%	23.83%	10.37%	+0.96	+6.2	45
2007-09-14	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 2-4	40.7	1256	1484	10.37%	23.83%	65.80%	-0.96	-6.2	23
2007-09-14	Derry City	W 1-0	52.0	1574	1531	46.54%	30.17%	23.29%	+0.31	+9.3	53
2007-09-14	@ Drogheda United	L 0-1	52.0	1531	1574	23.29%	30.17%	46.54%	-0.31	-9.3	34
2007-09-14	Galway United (old)	W 4-0	35.2	1488	1355	56.80%	27.65%	15.56%	+0.63	+23.3	45
2007-09-14	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-4	35.2	1355	1488	15.56%	27.65%	56.80%	-0.63	-23.3	24
2007-09-14	Longford Town	W 3-2	52.0	1542	1365	61.14%	25.99%	12.87%	+0.78	+4.8	42
2007-09-14	@ Cork City	L 2-3	52.0	1365	1542	12.87%	25.99%	61.14%	-0.78	-4.8	24
2007-09-15	UC Dublin	W 2-1	49.6	1423	1394	44.75%	30.43%	24.82%	+0.26	+9.2	40
2007-09-15	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	49.6	1394	1423	24.82%	30.43%	44.75%	-0.26	-9.2	26
2007-09-17	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	47.7	1469	1512	34.97%	31.07%	33.97%	+0.01	-23.6	39
2007-09-17	@ Bohemian	W 2-0	47.7	1512	1469	33.97%	31.07%	34.97%	-0.01	+23.6	48
2007-09-28	Cork City	L 1-2	62.0	1522	1547	37.43%	31.02%	31.55%	+0.07	-12.4	34
2007-09-28	@ Derry City	W 2-1	62.0	1547	1522	31.55%	31.02%	37.43%	-0.07	+12.4	45
2007-09-28	Drogheda United	L 1-2	49.9	1360	1584	15.67%	27.70%	56.63%	-0.62	-6.2	24
2007-09-28	@ Longford Town	W 2-1	49.9	1584	1360	56.63%	27.70%	15.67%	+0.62	+6.2	56
2007-09-28	Sligo Rovers	W 3-0	40.2	1446	1433	42.64%	30.67%	26.68%	+0.21	+28.2	42
2007-09-28	@ Bohemian	L 0-3	40.2	1433	1446	26.68%	30.67%	42.64%	-0.21	-28.2	40
2007-09-28	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	41.5	1332	1490	20.99%	29.66%	49.35%	-0.39	-8.5	24
2007-09-28	@ Galway United (old)	W 1-0	41.5	1490	1332	49.35%	29.66%	20.99%	+0.39	+8.5	48
2007-09-28	Waterford United	W 2-1	43.0	1385	1249	57.04%	27.56%	15.40%	+0.64	+6.1	29
2007-09-28	@ UC Dublin	L 1-2	43.0	1249	1385	15.40%	27.56%	57.04%	-0.64	-6.1	20
2007-10-02	Shamrock Rovers	W 3-0	47.0	1250	1535	11.98%	25.30%	62.72%	-0.84	+54.2	26
2007-10-02	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-3	47.0	1535	1250	62.72%	25.30%	11.98%	+0.84	-54.2	48
2007-10-05	Bohemian	L 0-1	53.6	1498	1474	44.14%	30.51%	25.35%	+0.25	-14.9	48
2007-10-05	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	53.6	1474	1498	25.35%	30.51%	44.14%	-0.25	+14.9	45
2007-10-05	Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	55.0	1391	1304	51.75%	29.12%	19.13%	+0.46	-2.3	30
2007-10-05	@ UC Dublin	D 1-1	55.0	1304	1391	19.13%	29.12%	51.75%	-0.46	+2.3	27
2007-10-05	Derry City	W 2-1	57.7	1243	1509	13.01%	26.09%	60.90%	-0.77	+18.2	23
2007-10-05	@ Waterford United	L 1-2	57.7	1509	1243	60.90%	26.09%	13.01%	+0.77	-18.2	34
2007-10-05	Longford Town	W 2-1	49.6	1323	1354	36.63%	31.04%	32.33%	+0.05	+11.2	27
2007-10-05	@ Galway United (old)	L 1-2	49.6	1354	1323	32.33%	31.04%	36.63%	-0.05	-11.2	24
2007-10-05	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	48.5	1559	1481	50.71%	29.37%	19.92%	+0.43	+8.1	48
2007-10-05	@ Cork City	L 0-1	48.5	1481	1559	19.92%	29.37%	50.71%	-0.43	-8.1	48
2007-10-05	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	43.4	1590	1404	61.95%	25.64%	12.41%	+0.81	+5.2	59
2007-10-05	@ Drogheda United	L 0-1	43.4	1404	1590	12.41%	25.64%	61.95%	-0.81	-5.2	40
2007-10-08	Cork City	L 1-2	51.8	1389	1567	19.15%	29.13%	51.72%	-0.46	-7.4	30
2007-10-08	@ UC Dublin	W 2-1	51.8	1567	1389	51.72%	29.13%	19.15%	+0.46	+7.4	51
2007-10-12	Cork City	D 1-1	59.9	1306	1575	12.89%	26.00%	61.10%	-0.78	+3.6	28
2007-10-12	@ Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	59.9	1575	1306	61.10%	26.00%	12.89%	+0.78	-3.6	52
2007-10-12	Drogheda United	L 0-2	47.7	1473	1595	24.71%	30.41%	44.88%	-0.27	-18.3	48
2007-10-12	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	47.7	1595	1473	44.88%	30.41%	24.71%	+0.27	+18.3	62
2007-10-12	Galway United (old)	W 2-0	35.2	1489	1334	58.93%	26.88%	14.19%	+0.70	+11.2	48
2007-10-12	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	35.2	1334	1489	14.19%	26.88%	58.93%	-0.70	-11.2	27
2007-10-12	St Patrick's Athletic	L 2-3	57.6	1399	1484	29.21%	30.90%	39.89%	-0.13	-9.9	40
2007-10-12	@ Sligo Rovers	W 3-2	57.6	1484	1399	39.89%	30.90%	29.21%	+0.13	+9.9	51
2007-10-12	UC Dublin	D 0-0	53.1	1491	1381	54.29%	28.44%	17.27%	+0.54	-3.0	35
2007-10-12	@ Derry City	D 0-0	53.1	1381	1491	17.27%	28.44%	54.29%	-0.54	+3.0	31
2007-10-15	Derry City	D 1-1	56.8	1310	1488	19.18%	29.14%	51.68%	-0.46	+2.3	29
2007-10-15	@ Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	56.8	1488	1310	51.68%	29.14%	19.18%	+0.46	-2.3	36
2007-10-15	Waterford United	D 1-1	54.1	1343	1261	51.11%	29.27%	19.61%	+0.45	-2.2	25
2007-10-15	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	54.1	1261	1343	19.61%	29.27%	51.11%	-0.45	+2.2	24
2007-10-19	Bohemian	L 1-2	59.4	1486	1500	38.94%	30.96%	30.10%	+0.11	-12.7	36
2007-10-19	@ Derry City	W 2-1	59.4	1500	1486	30.10%	30.96%	38.94%	-0.11	+12.7	51
2007-10-19	Cork City	W 2-1	61.0	1613	1571	46.40%	30.19%	23.41%	+0.31	+8.8	65
2007-10-19	@ Drogheda United	L 1-2	61.0	1571	1613	23.41%	30.19%	46.40%	-0.31	-8.8	52
2007-10-19	Galway United (old)	D 1-1	53.9	1312	1323	39.39%	30.93%	29.68%	+0.12	-0.6	30
2007-10-19	@ Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	53.9	1323	1312	29.68%	30.93%	39.39%	-0.12	+0.6	28
2007-10-19	Longford Town	L 0-1	47.5	1384	1341	46.57%	30.16%	23.26%	+0.31	-15.5	31
2007-10-19	@ UC Dublin	W 1-0	47.5	1341	1384	23.26%	30.16%	46.57%	-0.31	+15.5	28
2007-10-19	Shamrock Rovers	W 5-0	42.6	1493	1455	45.96%	30.26%	23.78%	+0.30	+41.5	54
2007-10-19	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-5	42.6	1455	1493	23.78%	30.26%	45.96%	-0.30	-41.5	48
2007-10-20	Waterford United	L 1-2	55.5	1389	1263	56.00%	27.91%	16.09%	+0.60	-17.0	40
2007-10-20	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-1	55.5	1263	1389	16.09%	27.91%	56.00%	-0.60	+17.0	27
2007-10-22	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	39.7	1356	1312	46.67%	30.15%	23.18%	+0.32	+9.2	31
2007-10-22	@ Longford Town	L 0-1	39.7	1312	1356	23.18%	30.15%	46.67%	-0.32	-9.2	30
2007-10-22	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	58.2	1562	1535	44.49%	30.46%	25.05%	+0.26	-15.0	52
2007-10-22	@ Cork City	W 1-0	58.2	1535	1562	25.05%	30.46%	44.49%	-0.26	+15.0	57
2007-10-22	UC Dublin	W 2-0	37.1	1513	1369	57.88%	27.26%	14.85%	+0.66	+11.7	54
2007-10-22	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	37.1	1369	1513	14.85%	27.26%	57.88%	-0.66	-11.7	31
2007-10-26	Derry City	W 1-0	49.2	1324	1473	21.86%	29.87%	48.26%	-0.36	+16.0	31
2007-10-26	@ Galway United (old)	L 0-1	49.2	1473	1324	48.26%	29.87%	21.86%	+0.36	-16.0	36
2007-10-26	Drogheda United	D 1-1	61.6	1280	1622	9.46%	22.84%	67.70%	-1.03	+4.4	28
2007-10-26	@ Waterford United	D 1-1	61.6	1622	1280	67.70%	22.84%	9.46%	+1.03	-4.4	66
2007-10-27	Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	50.3	1413	1372	46.21%	30.22%	23.57%	+0.30	-1.8	49
2007-10-27	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	50.3	1372	1413	23.57%	30.22%	46.21%	-0.30	+1.8	41
2007-11-02	Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	63.1	1618	1302	72.97%	19.84%	7.19%	+1.26	-5.0	67
2007-11-02	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	63.1	1302	1618	7.19%	19.84%	72.97%	-1.26	+5.0	31
2007-11-02	Galway United (old)	D 0-0	47.9	1285	1340	33.19%	31.06%	35.74%	-0.03	+0.2	29
2007-11-02	@ Waterford United	D 0-0	47.9	1340	1285	35.74%	31.06%	33.19%	+0.03	-0.2	32
2007-11-02	Longford Town	D 0-0	54.2	1524	1365	59.41%	26.69%	13.90%	+0.72	-3.8	55
2007-11-02	@ Bohemian	D 0-0	54.2	1365	1524	13.90%	26.69%	59.41%	-0.72	+3.8	32
2007-11-02	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	58.3	1457	1411	46.82%	30.12%	23.05%	+0.32	-1.6	37
2007-11-02	@ Derry City	D 1-1	58.3	1411	1457	23.05%	30.12%	46.82%	-0.32	+1.7	50
2007-11-02	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	37.9	1357	1550	17.95%	28.71%	53.34%	-0.51	-20.4	31
2007-11-02	@ UC Dublin	W 3-0	37.9	1550	1357	53.34%	28.71%	17.95%	+0.51	+20.4	60
2007-11-03	Cork City	L 0-1	44.0	1374	1547	19.61%	29.28%	51.11%	-0.45	-8.0	41
2007-11-03	@ Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	44.0	1547	1374	51.11%	29.28%	19.61%	+0.45	+8.0	55
2007-11-09	Bohemian	L 0-1	57.7	1555	1521	45.44%	30.33%	24.22%	+0.28	-15.2	55
2007-11-09	@ Cork City	W 1-0	57.7	1521	1555	24.22%	30.33%	45.44%	-0.28	+15.2	58
2007-11-09	Derry City	W 3-1	50.4	1369	1455	28.97%	30.88%	40.15%	-0.14	+22.6	35
2007-11-09	@ Longford Town	L 1-3	50.4	1455	1369	40.15%	30.88%	28.97%	+0.14	-22.6	37
2007-11-09	Drogheda United	D 0-0	62.7	1570	1613	34.96%	31.07%	33.97%	+0.01	-0.1	61
2007-11-09	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	62.7	1613	1570	33.97%	31.07%	34.96%	-0.01	+0.1	68
2007-11-09	Sligo Rovers	W 2-1	50.7	1307	1366	32.65%	31.05%	36.30%	-0.04	+12.1	34
2007-11-09	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	50.7	1366	1307	36.30%	31.05%	32.65%	+0.04	-12.1	41
2007-11-09	UC Dublin	W 2-1	48.2	1340	1337	41.28%	30.80%	27.92%	+0.17	+10.0	35
2007-11-09	@ Galway United (old)	L 1-2	48.2	1337	1340	27.92%	30.80%	41.28%	-0.17	-10.0	31
2007-11-09	Waterford United	D 0-0	49.6	1413	1285	56.22%	27.84%	15.94%	+0.61	-3.3	51
2007-11-09	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	49.6	1285	1413	15.94%	27.84%	56.22%	-0.61	+3.3	30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2007-06-01	10.80%	Galway United (old)	1324	2	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1542	1
2	2007-09-03	11.31%	UC Dublin	1390	1	@ Drogheda United	1598	0
3	2007-10-02	11.98%	@ Bray Wanderers	1250	3	Shamrock Rovers	1535	0
4	2007-10-05	13.01%	@ Waterford United	1243	2	Derry City	1509	1
5	2007-05-25	13.39%	Shamrock Rovers	1388	2	@ Drogheda United	1556	0
6	2007-08-31	13.75%	Longford Town	1346	1	@ Shamrock Rovers	1507	0
7	2007-05-12	14.41%	@ Sligo Rovers	1350	4	Cork City	1592	1
8	2007-07-06	14.65%	@ Waterford United	1291	2	St Patrick's Athletic	1530	1
9	2007-08-03	15.73%	Sligo Rovers	1416	2	@ Cork City	1547	1
10	2007-10-20	16.09%	Waterford United	1263	2	@ Sligo Rovers	1389	1
11	2007-03-09	16.93%	@ Waterford United	1353	1	Cork City	1559	0
12	2007-06-22	17.41%	Sligo Rovers	1358	2	@ UC Dublin	1466	0
13	2007-08-04	18.14%	@ Longford Town	1292	3	Bohemian	1483	0
14	2007-03-23	18.62%	St Patrick's Athletic	1489	1	@ Derry City	1582	0
15	2007-08-25	19.96%	@ Longford Town	1330	2	St Patrick's Athletic	1499	1
16	2007-04-20	20.11%	UC Dublin	1452	1	@ Derry City	1528	0
17	2007-06-02	20.44%	@ Sligo Rovers	1342	2	Bohemian	1506	1
18	2007-07-27	20.66%	Longford Town	1265	3	@ Bray Wanderers	1335	1
19	2007-07-21	21.02%	@ Longford Town	1249	1	UC Dublin	1407	0
20	2007-10-26	21.86%	@ Galway United (old)	1324	1	Derry City	1473	0
21	2007-08-03	21.95%	Waterford United	1272	2	@ Galway United (old)	1328	1
22	2007-05-29	22.44%	@ Bray Wanderers	1322	2	UC Dublin	1465	1
23	2007-05-29	23.13%	Galway United (old)	1281	3	@ Longford Town	1326	0
24	2007-10-19	23.26%	Longford Town	1341	1	@ UC Dublin	1384	0
25	2007-05-29	23.54%	@ Shamrock Rovers	1424	2	Cork City	1557	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-10-02	54.18	@ Bray Wanderers	3	1250	11.98%	Shamrock Rovers	0	1535	62.72%	25.30%
2	2007-08-04	47.28	@ Longford Town	3	1292	18.14%	Bohemian	0	1483	53.09%	28.78%
3	2007-05-12	43.26	@ Sligo Rovers	4	1350	14.41%	Cork City	1	1592	58.58%	27.01%
4	2007-05-29	42.58	Galway United (old)	3	1281	23.13%	@ Longford Town	0	1326	46.73%	30.14%
5	2007-10-19	41.54	@ St Patrick's Athletic	5	1493	45.96%	Shamrock Rovers	0	1455	23.78%	30.26%
6	2007-05-11	36.77	@ Bohemian	5	1444	49.99%	Longford Town	0	1372	20.48%	29.53%
7	2007-05-25	36.14	Shamrock Rovers	2	1388	13.39%	@ Drogheda United	0	1556	60.25%	26.36%
8	2007-04-21	34.61	St Patrick's Athletic	4	1519	45.01%	@ Sligo Rovers	0	1396	24.60%	30.39%
9	2007-06-22	33.07	Sligo Rovers	2	1358	17.41%	@ UC Dublin	0	1466	54.09%	28.50%
10	2007-04-09	31.97	Cork City	4	1558	28.88%	@ Derry City	1	1553	40.24%	30.88%
11	2007-05-29	29.08	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1424	23.54%	Cork City	0	1557	46.24%	30.22%
12	2007-08-24	29.08	@ Galway United (old)	2	1319	23.54%	Sligo Rovers	0	1452	46.24%	30.22%
13	2007-09-28	28.21	@ Bohemian	3	1446	42.64%	Sligo Rovers	0	1433	26.68%	30.67%
14	2007-07-27	28.09	@ Sligo Rovers	2	1388	25.23%	Shamrock Rovers	0	1506	44.29%	30.49%
15	2007-05-18	26.83	@ Bray Wanderers	2	1295	27.51%	Sligo Rovers	0	1393	41.73%	30.76%
16	2007-07-27	26.73	Longford Town	3	1265	20.66%	@ Bray Wanderers	1	1335	49.76%	29.58%
17	2007-05-28	26.19	@ Bohemian	2	1480	28.72%	St Patrick's Athletic	0	1569	40.41%	30.86%
18	2007-03-16	25.49	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1345	30.06%	Longford Town	0	1423	38.99%	30.95%
19	2007-04-06	24.51	Shamrock Rovers	2	1370	32.03%	@ Bray Wanderers	0	1341	36.93%	31.04%
20	2007-09-17	23.58	Shamrock Rovers	2	1512	33.97%	@ Bohemian	0	1469	34.97%	31.07%
21	2007-09-14	23.27	@ Shamrock Rovers	4	1488	56.80%	Galway United (old)	0	1355	15.56%	27.65%
22	2007-11-09	22.57	@ Longford Town	3	1369	28.97%	Derry City	1	1455	40.15%	30.88%
23	2007-08-31	21.98	Bohemian	3	1451	51.14%	@ Bray Wanderers	0	1277	19.59%	29.27%
24	2007-07-06	21.17	Shamrock Rovers	3	1459	52.25%	@ Longford Town	0	1276	18.76%	29.00%
25	2007-04-06	21.04	@ UC Dublin	3	1418	52.41%	Waterford United	0	1325	18.63%	28.96%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-04-27	74.1	@ Drogheda United	2	1572	39.46%	Cork City	2	1582	29.61%	30.93%
2	2007-05-11	69.5	@ UC Dublin	2	1467	29.51%	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1550	39.57%	30.92%
3	2007-08-20	68.9	@ Drogheda United	2	1603	70.82%	Galway United (old)	2	1315	8.07%	21.10%
4	2007-08-27	65.3	@ Cork City	2	1533	68.51%	Bray Wanderers	2	1274	9.09%	22.41%
5	2007-07-27	65.0	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1518	36.91%	Cork City	1	1547	32.05%	31.04%
6	2007-08-24	64.8	@ Bohemian	1	1449	21.73%	Drogheda United	1	1599	48.43%	29.84%
7	2007-04-27	64.2	@ UC Dublin	2	1469	52.83%	Longford Town	2	1372	18.33%	28.85%
8	2007-06-01	64.1	@ Cork City	1	1528	43.67%	Derry City	1	1507	25.77%	30.56%
9	2007-11-02	63.1	@ Drogheda United	1	1618	72.97%	Bray Wanderers	1	1302	7.19%	19.84%
10	2007-08-03	62.9	Sligo Rovers	2	1416	15.73%	@ Cork City	1	1547	56.53%	27.74%
11	2007-11-09	62.7	@ St Patrick's Athletic	0	1570	34.96%	Drogheda United	0	1613	33.97%	31.07%
12	2007-09-28	62.0	Cork City	2	1547	31.55%	@ Derry City	1	1522	37.43%	31.02%
13	2007-08-04	61.8	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1478	37.72%	Derry City	1	1501	31.27%	31.01%
14	2007-05-25	61.7	@ UC Dublin	1	1465	34.49%	Derry City	1	1511	34.44%	31.07%
15	2007-08-10	61.7	@ UC Dublin	2	1408	52.61%	Galway United (old)	2	1313	18.48%	28.90%
16	2007-03-30	61.6	@ Drogheda United	2	1526	35.49%	Derry City	1	1565	33.44%	31.06%
17	2007-10-26	61.6	@ Waterford United	1	1280	9.46%	Drogheda United	1	1622	67.70%	22.84%
18	2007-06-01	61.1	Galway United (old)	2	1324	10.80%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1542	64.96%	24.24%
19	2007-09-07	61.1	@ Galway United (old)	1	1352	15.53%	Drogheda United	1	1577	56.83%	27.63%
20	2007-07-22	61.0	@ Cork City	0	1547	37.27%	Drogheda United	0	1573	31.71%	31.03%
21	2007-10-19	61.0	@ Drogheda United	2	1613	46.40%	Cork City	1	1571	23.41%	30.19%
22	2007-08-06	60.6	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1518	54.58%	UC Dublin	1	1405	17.07%	28.35%
23	2007-04-20	60.4	@ Bray Wanderers	1	1304	12.17%	Cork City	1	1586	62.38%	25.45%
24	2007-10-12	59.9	@ Bray Wanderers	1	1306	12.89%	Cork City	1	1575	61.10%	26.00%
25	2007-05-04	59.5	@ Waterford United	1	1291	12.27%	Drogheda United	1	1571	62.19%	25.53%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2007-07-27	30.9	@ Drogheda United	3	1574	71.29%	Waterford United	0	1280	7.88%	20.83%
2	2007-08-24	31.1	@ Derry City	3	1510	65.54%	Bray Wanderers	0	1286	10.50%	23.96%
3	2007-08-11	32.8	@ Sligo Rovers	3	1433	56.42%	Bray Wanderers	0	1304	15.81%	27.77%
4	2007-08-24	33.0	Cork City	3	1517	58.72%	@ Waterford United	0	1273	14.32%	26.95%
5	2007-07-17	33.1	@ Cork City	2	1540	67.02%	Waterford United	0	1298	9.78%	23.20%
6	2007-07-10	33.9	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1480	60.63%	Waterford United	0	1308	13.17%	26.20%
7	2007-07-06	34.0	Shamrock Rovers	3	1459	52.25%	@ Longford Town	0	1276	18.76%	29.00%
8	2007-04-06	34.1	@ UC Dublin	3	1418	52.41%	Waterford United	0	1325	18.63%	28.96%
9	2007-08-31	34.2	Bohemian	3	1451	51.14%	@ Bray Wanderers	0	1277	19.59%	29.27%
10	2007-04-12	34.7	@ UC Dublin	2	1439	55.66%	Bray Wanderers	0	1317	16.32%	28.02%
11	2007-08-31	34.7	@ St Patrick's Athletic	4	1484	65.77%	Waterford United	1	1256	10.39%	23.84%
12	2007-07-09	35.0	@ Bohemian	2	1496	59.97%	Bray Wanderers	0	1331	13.56%	26.47%
13	2007-09-14	35.2	@ Shamrock Rovers	4	1488	56.80%	Galway United (old)	0	1355	15.56%	27.65%
14	2007-10-12	35.2	@ Bohemian	2	1489	58.93%	Galway United (old)	0	1334	14.19%	26.88%
15	2007-08-10	35.6	Shamrock Rovers	2	1477	53.05%	@ Waterford United	0	1287	18.16%	28.79%
16	2007-03-16	36.0	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1468	52.89%	Waterford United	0	1371	18.28%	28.83%
17	2007-10-22	37.1	@ Bohemian	2	1513	57.88%	UC Dublin	0	1369	14.85%	27.26%
18	2007-06-25	37.2	@ Bohemian	1	1491	61.95%	Waterford United	0	1305	12.41%	25.64%
19	2007-05-11	37.4	@ Bohemian	5	1444	49.99%	Longford Town	0	1372	20.48%	29.53%
20	2007-11-02	37.9	St Patrick's Athletic	3	1550	53.34%	@ UC Dublin	0	1357	17.95%	28.71%
21	2007-03-30	38.2	@ Cork City	2	1547	59.87%	Longford Town	0	1383	13.62%	26.51%
22	2007-03-09	38.3	@ Derry City	1	1561	66.36%	Bray Wanderers	0	1327	10.10%	23.54%
23	2007-03-30	38.3	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1370	51.05%	Galway United (old)	0	1289	19.66%	29.29%
24	2007-06-26	38.4	@ Drogheda United	4	1544	64.38%	Bray Wanderers	1	1333	11.09%	24.52%
25	2007-04-06	38.5	St Patrick's Athletic	1	1516	57.73%	@ Galway United (old)	0	1281	14.95%	27.32%