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2006 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

165 games

Final

Champion

Shelbourne

62 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Drogheda United

10.28 points above expected

58 points · 47.72 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Waterford United

13.12 points below expected

12 points · 25.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shelbourne 30 18 8 4 62 60 27 +33 60.64 +1.36
2 Derry City 30 18 8 4 62 46 20 +26 58.87 +3.13
3 Drogheda United 30 16 10 4 58 37 23 +14 47.72 +10.28
4 Cork City 30 15 11 4 56 37 15 +22 57.14 -1.14
5 Sligo Rovers 30 11 7 12 40 33 42 -9 30.62 +9.38
6 UC Dublin 30 9 11 10 38 26 26 0 33.82 +4.18
7 St Patrick's Athletic 30 9 10 11 37 32 29 +3 39.62 -2.62
8 Longford Town 30 8 10 12 34 23 27 -4 37.02 -3.02
9 Bohemian* 30 9 5 16 29 29 34 -5 33.85 -4.85
10 Bray Wanderers 30 3 8 19 17 22 64 -42 24.05 -7.05
11 Waterford United 30 2 6 22 12 20 58 -38 25.12 -13.12

* Point deductions: Bohemian (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Drogheda United 58 47.72 +10.28
2 Sligo Rovers 40 30.62 +9.38
3 UC Dublin 38 33.82 +4.18
4 Derry City 62 58.87 +3.13
5 Shelbourne 62 60.64 +1.36

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Waterford United 12 25.12 -13.12
2 Bray Wanderers 17 24.05 -7.05
3 Bohemian 29 33.85 -4.85
4 Longford Town 34 37.02 -3.02
5 St Patrick's Athletic 37 39.62 -2.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sligo Rovers 3 Jun 3 – Jun 26 1 in 190
2 Shelbourne 8 May 19 – Aug 4 1 in 40
3 Waterford United 2 Sep 1 – Sep 8 1 in 23
4 St Patrick's Athletic 3 Oct 6 – Oct 20 1 in 22
5 UC Dublin 3 Oct 27 – Nov 10 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Waterford United 11 Apr 28 – Jul 30 1 in 427
2 Bray Wanderers 8 Jul 18 – Sep 15 1 in 376
3 St Patrick's Athletic 3 Jul 7 – Jul 19 1 in 32
4 Bohemian 3 Mar 10 – Mar 24 1 in 21
5 Derry City 2 Jun 6 – Jun 26 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 UC Dublin 7 Aug 4 – Oct 6 1 in 53
2 Drogheda United 8 Oct 10 – Nov 17 1 in 52
3 Bray Wanderers 3 Nov 3 – Nov 17 1 in 30
4 Sligo Rovers 4 Mar 27 – Apr 29 1 in 23
5 Cork City 14 Jun 23 – Oct 6 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Waterford United 20 Mar 10 – Aug 18 1 in 152
2 Derry City 5 Aug 18 – Oct 10 1 in 37
3 Cork City 5 Aug 5 – Sep 8 1 in 34
4 Bray Wanderers 14 Jun 27 – Oct 6 1 in 26
5 Bohemian 6 Oct 6 – Nov 17 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Derry City 1508 62 -7 10 9.8 +0.2
Shelbourne 1543 62 -27 7 9.3 -2.3
Drogheda United 1423 58 +49 13 8.0 +5.0
Cork City 1500 56 +22 12 9.1 +2.9
Sligo Rovers 1211 40 -34 1 4.6 -3.6
UC Dublin 1300 38 +24 9 5.8 +3.2
St Patrick's Athletic 1305 37 +9 7 6.5 +0.5
Longford Town 1270 34 +9 7 6.5 +0.5
Bohemian 1241 32 -67 1 7.1 -6.1
Bray Wanderers 1071 17 +22 6 2.8 +3.2
Waterford United 1104 12 -16 1 2.9 -1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH BW CC DC DU LT SHE SR SPA UD WU
Bohemian —
2-1-0
5.49
0-1-2
1.87
0-1-2
2.04
0-1-2
3.46
0-0-3
3.92
1-0-2
1.66
0-0-3
5.00
1-1-1
4.12
2-0-1
4.56
3-0-0
5.33
Bray Wanderers
0-1-2
2.68
 —
1-1-1
1.37
0-1-2
1.29
0-1-2
2.04
1-0-2
3.14
0-1-2
1.63
0-1-2
3.33
0-0-3
2.61
0-1-2
3.00
1-1-1
3.98
Cork City
2-1-0
6.39
1-1-1
7.03
 —
0-1-2
3.76
1-2-0
4.84
2-1-0
6.39
2-1-0
3.74
3-0-0
6.52
1-1-1
5.78
1-2-0
6.15
2-1-0
7.20
Derry City
2-1-0
6.19
2-1-0
7.12
2-1-0
4.35
 —
0-1-2
5.62
3-0-0
5.87
1-1-1
3.22
2-0-1
6.82
2-1-0
5.63
1-2-0
6.46
3-0-0
6.90
Drogheda United
2-1-0
4.67
2-1-0
6.21
0-2-1
3.27
2-1-0
2.55
 —
2-1-0
5.57
0-1-2
2.47
1-2-0
5.97
2-0-1
4.86
2-1-0
5.54
3-0-0
6.74
Longford Town
3-0-0
4.18
2-0-1
4.98
0-1-2
1.87
0-0-3
2.33
0-1-2
2.59
 —
0-2-1
1.62
0-1-2
5.55
1-2-0
3.86
0-2-1
3.86
2-1-0
5.11
Shelbourne
2-0-1
6.64
2-1-0
6.70
0-1-2
4.38
1-1-1
4.90
2-1-0
5.71
1-2-0
6.69
 —
2-1-0
6.78
2-1-0
6.03
3-0-0
6.33
3-0-0
6.99
Sligo Rovers
3-0-0
3.14
2-1-0
4.79
0-0-3
1.78
1-0-2
1.52
0-2-1
2.23
2-1-0
2.61
0-1-2
1.55
 —
1-1-1
3.35
0-0-3
3.33
2-1-0
4.81
St Patrick's Athletic
1-1-1
4.01
3-0-0
5.58
1-1-1
2.41
0-1-2
2.54
1-0-2
3.26
0-2-1
4.24
0-1-2
2.17
1-1-1
4.78
 —
1-2-0
4.22
1-1-1
5.62
UC Dublin
1-0-2
3.56
2-1-0
5.16
0-2-1
2.07
0-2-1
1.81
0-1-2
2.61
1-2-0
4.26
0-0-3
1.92
3-0-0
4.80
0-2-1
3.90
 —
2-1-0
4.60
Waterford United
0-0-3
2.82
1-1-1
4.13
0-1-2
1.22
0-0-3
1.46
0-0-3
1.58
0-1-2
3.04
0-0-3
1.40
0-1-2
3.33
1-1-1
2.56
0-1-2
3.55
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +12.7
Allowed 0.70 -9.4
Differential 0.91 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.36%11.52%5.76%3.64%1.21%0.61%39.09%
111.52%7.27%5.15%4.55%0.91%0.61%30.00%
25.76%5.15%4.85%1.52%0.30%—17.58%
33.64%4.55%1.52%———9.70%
41.21%0.91%0.30%———2.42%
5+0.61%0.61%————1.21%
Total39.09%30.00%17.58%9.70%2.42%1.21%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.11 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.19 1.75
CV 1.08 1.08 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 165

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%33.33%6.67%3.33%——50.00%
16.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%——23.33%
2—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
36.67%6.67%————13.33%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total20.00%53.33%20.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.13 -0.17
SD 1.22 0.82 1.51
CV 1.26 0.72 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%6.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%46.67%
13.33%16.67%6.67%—6.67%3.33%36.67%
2—3.33%3.33%6.67%——13.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%33.33%16.67%23.33%10.00%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 2.13 -1.40
SD 0.83 1.50 1.79
CV 1.13 0.70 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%3.33%6.67%———33.33%
120.00%10.00%3.33%———33.33%
213.33%6.67%3.33%———23.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total63.33%23.33%13.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 0.50 +0.73
SD 1.36 0.73 1.57
CV 1.10 1.46 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%————16.67%
120.00%10.00%3.33%6.67%——40.00%
213.33%6.67%3.33%———23.33%
33.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+———————
Total56.67%26.67%10.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 0.67 +0.87
SD 1.14 0.92 1.46
CV 0.74 1.38 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%3.33%—3.33%——26.67%
130.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%——40.00%
23.33%6.67%10.00%———20.00%
3—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total56.67%16.67%20.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 0.77 +0.47
SD 1.07 1.01 1.25
CV 0.87 1.31 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%13.33%16.67%———56.67%
16.67%3.33%3.33%6.67%——20.00%
26.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.67%23.33%23.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 0.90 -0.13
SD 1.04 0.99 1.50
CV 1.36 1.11 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
110.00%3.33%6.67%———20.00%
213.33%10.00%16.67%———40.00%
36.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%————6.67%
Total40.00%30.00%30.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.90 +1.10
SD 1.39 0.84 1.67
CV 0.69 0.94 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%6.67%10.00%10.00%3.33%—40.00%
16.67%10.00%—6.67%——23.33%
210.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
3—10.00%3.33%———13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.67%33.33%16.67%20.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.40 -0.30
SD 1.09 1.19 1.78
CV 0.99 0.85 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%——46.67%
16.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%——23.33%
23.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
36.67%6.67%————13.33%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total40.00%36.67%10.00%13.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 0.97 +0.10
SD 1.31 1.03 1.63
CV 1.23 1.07 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%16.67%6.67%——3.33%53.33%
113.33%6.67%6.67%———26.67%
2—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total46.67%33.33%16.67%——3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 0.87 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.80
CV 1.41 1.41 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%6.67%—46.67%
13.33%3.33%13.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%43.33%
2———3.33%3.33%—6.67%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%20.00%16.67%23.33%13.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.93 -1.27
SD 0.76 1.51 1.51
CV 1.14 0.78 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shelbourne 1543 62 60.64 +1.36 62.0% 44 48 56 61 65 73 79
Derry City 1508 62 58.87 +3.13 68.0% 45 50 54 59 63 67 70
Cork City 1500 56 57.14 -1.14 45.0% 39 47 53 57 60 67 73
Drogheda United 1423 58 47.72 +10.28 99.0% 32 38 44 48 51 57 64
St Patrick's Athletic 1305 37 39.62 -2.62 40.0% 21 27 35 40 44 51 59
UC Dublin 1300 38 33.82 +4.18 78.0% 20 24 30 33 38 45 51
Longford Town 1270 34 37.02 -3.02 34.0% 24 27 33 36 41 46 59
Bohemian 1241 29 33.85 -4.85 24.0% 16 23 30 33 38 45 55
Sligo Rovers 1211 40 30.62 +9.38 92.0% 19 21 26 30 35 42 52
Waterford United 1104 12 25.12 -13.12 3.0% 9 16 20 24 29 36 44
Bray Wanderers 1071 17 24.05 -7.05 10.0% 10 14 21 24 28 33 38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+19.39%
Strong Edge
45.45%28.48%26.06%
Elo Value
Home Edge
203 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
068.25600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.58 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Shelbourne, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.1 * Some Luck: 5.1 to 7.65 * Lucky: 7.65 to 10.2 * Wild Swing: 10.2 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.91 * Close: 0.91 to 1.36 * Off: 1.36 to 1.81 * Way Off: 1.81 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.64 points
Some Luck
06.3716
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.45
Off
01.132.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
99.00%
Drogheda United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
3.00%
Waterford United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 160.50
2.47
Wide Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
80%
Wide Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
94%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Lopsided
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.11
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.58
Strong Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.89
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.21
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.065
Well Within Noise
00.1320.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
Shelbourne46.00%32.00%16.00%5.00%1.00%——————
Derry City34.00%33.00%29.00%4.00%———————
Drogheda United1.00%3.00%12.00%50.00%25.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%——
Cork City19.00%29.00%41.00%10.00%—1.00%—————
Sligo Rovers———3.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%16.00%31.00%16.00%10.00%
UC Dublin——1.00%3.00%10.00%18.00%23.00%22.00%13.00%6.00%4.00%
St Patrick's Athletic—2.00%—16.00%28.00%21.00%14.00%9.00%7.00%1.00%2.00%
Longford Town—1.00%—6.00%18.00%27.00%18.00%17.00%5.00%6.00%2.00%
Bohemian——1.00%3.00%13.00%13.00%24.00%18.00%15.00%9.00%4.00%
Bray Wanderers——————5.00%7.00%14.00%31.00%43.00%
Waterford United—————6.00%5.00%9.00%14.00%31.00%35.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
Bohemian 100% —
Bray Wanderers 100% —
Cork City 81.00% 19.00%
Derry City 66.00% 34.00%
Drogheda United 99.00% 1.00%
Longford Town 100% —
Shelbourne 54.00% 46.00%
Sligo Rovers 100% —
St Patrick's Athletic 100% —
UC Dublin 100% —
Waterford United 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2006-03-10 Drogheda United L 0-144.8 1294 1342 37.75% 30.18% 32.07%+0.10 -13.2 0
2006-03-10 @ Bohemian W 1-044.8 1342 1294 32.07% 30.18% 37.75%-0.10 +13.2 3
2006-03-10 Shelbourne D 2-261.7 1262 1485 17.58% 27.83% 54.59%-0.76 +2.0 1
2006-03-10 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-261.7 1485 1262 54.59% 27.83% 17.58%+0.76 -2.0 1
2006-03-10 UC Dublin W 2-031.9 1449 1243 66.03% 23.53% 10.44%+1.35 +8.1 3
2006-03-10 @ Derry City L 0-231.9 1243 1449 10.44% 23.53% 66.03%-1.35 -8.1 0
2006-03-10 Waterford United D 0-048.1 1269 1253 46.35% 29.48% 24.16%+0.42 -1.7 1
2006-03-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.1 1253 1269 24.16% 29.48% 46.35%-0.42 +1.7 1
2006-03-16 Bray Wanderers D 1-153.3 1254 1264 43.04% 29.86% 27.10%+0.29 -1.1 2
2006-03-16 @ Waterford United D 1-153.3 1264 1254 27.10% 29.86% 43.04%-0.29 +1.1 2
2006-03-17 Longford Town D 0-052.2 1483 1281 65.73% 23.67% 10.60%+1.33 -4.7 2
2006-03-17 @ Shelbourne D 0-052.2 1281 1483 10.60% 23.67% 65.73%-1.33 +4.7 1
2006-03-17 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-144.6 1235 1267 39.95% 30.09% 29.96%+0.18 -13.8 0
2006-03-17 @ UC Dublin W 1-044.6 1267 1235 29.96% 30.09% 39.95%-0.18 +13.8 4
2006-03-18 Bohemian W 1-046.7 1110 1281 22.32% 29.15% 48.53%-0.50 +16.0 3
2006-03-18 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-146.7 1281 1110 48.53% 29.15% 22.32%+0.50 -16.0 0
2006-03-18 Cork City D 0-052.2 1355 1488 26.45% 29.79% 43.76%-0.32 +1.3 4
2006-03-18 @ Drogheda United D 0-052.2 1488 1355 43.76% 29.79% 26.45%+0.32 -1.3 1
2006-03-24 Bohemian W 1-035.6 1486 1265 67.40% 22.85% 9.75%+1.43 +4.0 4
2006-03-24 @ Cork City L 0-135.6 1265 1486 9.75% 22.85% 67.40%-1.43 -4.0 0
2006-03-24 Shelbourne D 2-261.7 1281 1478 19.77% 28.54% 51.70%-0.64 +1.7 5
2006-03-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-261.7 1478 1281 51.70% 28.54% 19.77%+0.64 -1.7 3
2006-03-24 Sligo Rovers W 3-133.8 1457 1126 75.70% 18.17% 6.12%+1.96 +3.7 6
2006-03-24 @ Derry City L 1-333.8 1126 1457 6.12% 18.17% 75.70%-1.96 -3.7 3
2006-03-24 UC Dublin L 0-146.8 1253 1221 48.31% 29.19% 22.50%+0.49 -16.0 2
2006-03-24 @ Waterford United W 1-046.8 1221 1253 22.50% 29.19% 48.31%-0.49 +16.0 3
2006-03-27 Sligo Rovers D 0-049.1 1285 1122 62.21% 25.23% 12.55%+1.14 -4.2 2
2006-03-27 @ Longford Town D 0-049.1 1122 1285 12.55% 25.23% 62.21%-1.14 +4.2 4
2006-03-31 Bray Wanderers W 1-037.7 1356 1265 55.10% 27.69% 17.21%+0.79 +7.1 7
2006-03-31 @ Drogheda United L 0-137.7 1265 1356 17.21% 27.69% 55.10%-0.79 -7.1 2
2006-03-31 Cork City D 0-050.6 1237 1490 15.38% 26.89% 57.72%-0.91 +3.5 4
2006-03-31 @ UC Dublin D 0-050.6 1490 1237 57.72% 26.89% 15.38%+0.91 -3.5 5
2006-03-31 Waterford United W 4-245.1 1261 1237 47.22% 29.36% 23.42%+0.45 +13.5 3
2006-03-31 @ Bohemian L 2-445.1 1237 1261 23.42% 29.36% 47.22%-0.45 -13.5 2
2006-04-01 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.1 1127 1283 23.81% 29.43% 46.77%-0.43 +1.6 5
2006-04-01 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-153.1 1283 1127 46.77% 29.43% 23.81%+0.43 -1.6 6
2006-04-07 Bohemian W 1-036.3 1461 1274 64.34% 24.32% 11.35%+1.25 +4.7 9
2006-04-07 @ Derry City L 0-136.3 1274 1461 11.35% 24.32% 64.34%-1.25 -4.7 3
2006-04-07 Drogheda United L 0-143.4 1281 1364 32.88% 30.20% 36.91%-0.07 -12.0 6
2006-04-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-043.4 1364 1281 36.91% 30.20% 32.88%+0.07 +12.0 10
2006-04-07 Longford Town W 2-142.3 1487 1281 66.02% 23.53% 10.45%+1.35 +4.0 8
2006-04-07 @ Cork City L 1-242.3 1281 1487 10.45% 23.53% 66.02%-1.35 -4.0 2
2006-04-07 Shelbourne L 0-137.8 1224 1477 15.41% 26.91% 57.69%-0.91 -6.4 2
2006-04-07 @ Waterford United W 1-037.8 1477 1224 57.69% 26.91% 15.41%+0.91 +6.4 6
2006-04-08 Bray Wanderers W 4-140.6 1241 1258 42.02% 29.95% 28.03%+0.25 +24.6 7
2006-04-08 @ UC Dublin L 1-440.6 1258 1241 28.03% 29.95% 42.02%-0.25 -24.6 2
2006-04-14 Cork City D 0-050.6 1233 1491 15.08% 26.74% 58.18%-0.93 +3.6 3
2006-04-14 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-050.6 1491 1233 58.18% 26.74% 15.08%+0.93 -3.6 9
2006-04-14 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.1 1269 1269 44.30% 29.73% 25.96%+0.34 -1.4 4
2006-04-14 @ Bohemian D 0-048.1 1269 1269 25.96% 29.73% 44.30%-0.34 +1.4 7
2006-04-14 UC Dublin W 1-037.3 1376 1265 57.06% 27.11% 15.83%+0.88 +6.6 13
2006-04-14 @ Drogheda United L 0-137.3 1265 1376 15.83% 27.11% 57.06%-0.88 -6.6 7
2006-04-15 Derry City L 0-140.5 1277 1465 20.62% 28.77% 50.61%-0.59 -8.3 2
2006-04-15 @ Longford Town W 1-040.5 1465 1277 50.61% 28.77% 20.62%+0.59 +8.3 12
2006-04-15 Waterford United W 3-146.2 1128 1217 31.96% 30.18% 37.86%-0.10 +21.6 8
2006-04-15 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-346.2 1217 1128 37.86% 30.18% 31.96%+0.10 -21.6 2
2006-04-19 Bray Wanderers W 3-034.0 1271 1237 48.52% 29.15% 22.33%+0.50 +24.4 10
2006-04-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-334.0 1237 1271 22.33% 29.15% 48.52%-0.50 -24.4 3
2006-04-21 Longford Town D 0-047.7 1196 1269 34.19% 30.22% 35.59%-0.02 +0.1 3
2006-04-21 @ Waterford United D 0-047.7 1269 1196 35.59% 30.22% 34.19%+0.02 -0.1 3
2006-04-22 Shelbourne L 1-245.3 1259 1483 17.50% 27.80% 54.70%-0.77 -6.8 7
2006-04-22 @ UC Dublin W 2-145.3 1483 1259 54.70% 27.80% 17.50%+0.77 +6.8 9
2006-04-28 Cork City W 2-047.1 1295 1487 20.22% 28.66% 51.12%-0.61 +31.6 13
2006-04-28 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-247.1 1487 1295 51.12% 28.66% 20.22%+0.61 -31.6 9
2006-04-28 Derry City L 1-242.7 1196 1474 13.81% 26.05% 60.14%-1.03 -5.4 3
2006-04-28 @ Waterford United W 2-142.7 1474 1196 60.14% 26.05% 13.81%+1.03 +5.4 15
2006-04-28 Longford Town W 1-037.3 1382 1269 57.38% 27.01% 15.62%+0.89 +6.5 16
2006-04-28 @ Drogheda United L 0-137.3 1269 1382 15.62% 27.01% 57.38%-0.89 -6.5 3
2006-04-28 UC Dublin W 2-145.8 1268 1252 46.33% 29.49% 24.18%+0.41 +9.0 7
2006-04-28 @ Bohemian L 1-245.8 1252 1268 24.18% 29.49% 46.33%-0.41 -9.0 7
2006-04-29 Shelbourne D 1-155.9 1150 1490 10.54% 23.62% 65.84%-1.34 +4.2 9
2006-04-29 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-155.9 1490 1150 65.84% 23.62% 10.54%+1.34 -4.2 10
2006-05-02 Sligo Rovers W 2-028.9 1456 1154 73.64% 19.42% 6.94%+1.82 +5.0 12
2006-05-02 @ Cork City L 0-228.9 1154 1456 6.94% 19.42% 73.64%-1.82 -5.0 9
2006-05-04 Drogheda United W 2-148.1 1486 1389 55.68% 27.52% 16.79%+0.81 +6.5 13
2006-05-04 @ Shelbourne L 1-248.1 1389 1486 16.79% 27.52% 55.68%-0.81 -6.6 16
2006-05-05 Bray Wanderers W 3-028.6 1479 1212 71.01% 20.94% 8.06%+1.65 +8.7 18
2006-05-05 @ Derry City L 0-328.6 1212 1479 8.06% 20.94% 71.01%-1.65 -8.7 3
2006-05-05 Waterford United W 2-029.9 1461 1190 71.29% 20.78% 7.93%+1.67 +5.9 15
2006-05-05 @ Cork City L 0-229.9 1190 1461 7.93% 20.78% 71.29%-1.67 -5.9 3
2006-05-06 Bohemian W 3-143.5 1262 1277 42.33% 29.92% 27.74%+0.26 +17.3 6
2006-05-06 @ Longford Town L 1-343.5 1277 1262 27.74% 29.92% 42.33%-0.26 -17.3 7
2006-05-06 Sligo Rovers W 3-031.7 1243 1149 55.35% 27.62% 17.03%+0.80 +19.3 10
2006-05-06 @ UC Dublin L 0-331.7 1149 1243 17.03% 27.62% 55.35%-0.80 -19.3 9
2006-05-12 Bray Wanderers W 3-033.1 1260 1204 51.15% 28.65% 20.19%+0.61 +22.4 10
2006-05-12 @ Bohemian L 0-333.1 1204 1260 20.19% 28.65% 51.15%-0.61 -22.4 3
2006-05-12 Derry City D 1-156.9 1327 1488 23.28% 29.34% 47.38%-0.46 +1.7 14
2006-05-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-156.9 1488 1327 47.38% 29.34% 23.28%+0.46 -1.7 19
2006-05-13 Drogheda United D 0-048.8 1130 1382 15.45% 26.92% 57.63%-0.91 +3.5 10
2006-05-13 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-048.8 1382 1130 57.63% 26.92% 15.45%+0.91 -3.5 17
2006-05-15 Shelbourne W 2-155.4 1467 1492 40.86% 30.03% 29.10%+0.21 +10.3 18
2006-05-15 @ Cork City L 1-255.4 1492 1467 29.10% 30.03% 40.86%-0.21 -10.3 13
2006-05-16 Longford Town W 1-044.3 1181 1280 30.72% 30.13% 39.15%-0.15 +13.5 6
2006-05-16 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-144.3 1280 1181 39.15% 30.13% 30.72%+0.15 -13.6 6
2006-05-19 Bohemian W 2-033.2 1482 1282 65.51% 23.78% 10.71%+1.32 +8.3 16
2006-05-19 @ Shelbourne L 0-233.2 1282 1482 10.71% 23.78% 65.51%-1.32 -8.3 10
2006-05-19 Waterford United W 4-029.0 1379 1185 65.01% 24.01% 10.98%+1.29 +16.2 20
2006-05-19 @ Drogheda United L 0-429.0 1185 1379 10.98% 24.01% 65.01%-1.29 -16.2 3
2006-05-20 Cork City W 2-044.9 1486 1477 45.43% 29.60% 24.97%+0.38 +18.4 22
2006-05-20 @ Derry City L 0-244.9 1477 1486 24.97% 29.60% 45.43%-0.38 -18.4 18
2006-06-02 Bohemian W 1-037.3 1395 1274 58.14% 26.76% 15.10%+0.93 +6.3 23
2006-06-02 @ Drogheda United L 0-137.3 1274 1395 15.10% 26.76% 58.14%-0.93 -6.3 10
2006-06-02 Bray Wanderers W 4-132.5 1490 1195 73.18% 19.69% 7.12%+1.79 +6.3 19
2006-06-02 @ Shelbourne L 1-432.5 1195 1490 7.12% 19.69% 73.18%-1.79 -6.3 6
2006-06-02 Derry City D 0-051.2 1262 1504 16.16% 27.26% 56.58%-0.86 +3.3 11
2006-06-02 @ UC Dublin D 0-051.2 1504 1262 56.58% 27.26% 16.16%+0.86 -3.3 23
2006-06-02 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-341.9 1168 1328 23.41% 29.36% 47.23%-0.45 -15.1 3
2006-06-02 @ Waterford United W 3-141.9 1328 1168 47.23% 29.36% 23.41%+0.45 +15.1 17
2006-06-03 Longford Town W 3-147.9 1133 1266 26.43% 29.79% 43.78%-0.32 +24.1 13
2006-06-03 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-347.9 1266 1133 43.78% 29.79% 26.43%+0.32 -24.1 6
2006-06-06 Derry City W 1-050.0 1497 1501 43.68% 29.80% 26.52%+0.31 +10.2 22
2006-06-06 @ Shelbourne L 0-150.0 1501 1497 26.52% 29.80% 43.68%-0.31 -10.2 23
2006-06-23 Drogheda United W 1-042.9 1459 1401 51.32% 28.62% 20.06%+0.62 +8.2 21
2006-06-23 @ Cork City L 0-142.9 1401 1459 20.06% 28.62% 51.32%-0.62 -8.1 23
2006-06-23 Sligo Rovers L 0-245.4 1268 1157 57.06% 27.11% 15.83%+0.88 -34.7 10
2006-06-23 @ Bohemian W 2-045.4 1157 1268 15.83% 27.11% 57.06%-0.88 +34.7 16
2006-06-23 UC Dublin D 0-049.0 1343 1266 53.60% 28.09% 18.31%+0.72 -2.9 18
2006-06-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-049.0 1266 1343 18.31% 28.09% 53.60%-0.72 +2.9 12
2006-06-23 Waterford United W 3-141.2 1188 1153 48.67% 29.13% 22.20%+0.51 +14.5 9
2006-06-23 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-341.2 1153 1188 22.20% 29.13% 48.67%-0.51 -14.5 3
2006-06-26 Derry City W 3-153.5 1192 1491 12.59% 25.26% 62.15%-1.13 +32.2 19
2006-06-26 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-353.5 1491 1192 62.15% 25.26% 12.59%+1.13 -32.2 23
2006-06-26 Waterford United W 2-141.7 1268 1139 59.02% 26.45% 14.53%+0.97 +5.7 15
2006-06-26 @ UC Dublin L 1-241.7 1139 1268 14.53% 26.45% 59.02%-0.97 -5.7 3
2006-06-27 Bray Wanderers W 1-038.7 1242 1203 49.14% 29.05% 21.82%+0.53 +8.8 9
2006-06-27 @ Longford Town L 0-138.7 1203 1242 21.82% 29.05% 49.14%-0.53 -8.8 9
2006-06-27 Cork City D 0-050.1 1233 1467 16.78% 27.52% 55.70%-0.81 +3.2 11
2006-06-27 @ Bohemian D 0-050.1 1467 1233 55.70% 27.52% 16.78%+0.81 -3.2 22
2006-06-27 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-034.2 1507 1341 62.51% 25.11% 12.38%+1.15 +14.1 25
2006-06-27 @ Shelbourne L 0-334.2 1341 1507 12.38% 25.11% 62.51%-1.15 -14.1 18
2006-06-30 Bohemian L 1-343.9 1133 1236 30.11% 30.10% 39.79%-0.17 -18.3 3
2006-06-30 @ Waterford United W 3-143.9 1236 1133 39.79% 30.10% 30.11%+0.17 +18.3 14
2006-06-30 Sligo Rovers W 3-139.4 1326 1224 56.23% 27.36% 16.41%+0.84 +11.1 21
2006-06-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-339.4 1224 1326 16.41% 27.36% 56.23%-0.84 -11.1 19
2006-06-30 UC Dublin W 1-036.2 1464 1274 64.60% 24.20% 11.20%+1.27 +4.6 25
2006-06-30 @ Cork City L 0-136.2 1274 1464 11.20% 24.20% 64.60%-1.27 -4.6 15
2006-07-02 Drogheda United L 0-138.5 1194 1393 19.64% 28.50% 51.85%-0.64 -8.0 9
2006-07-02 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-038.5 1393 1194 51.85% 28.50% 19.64%+0.64 +8.0 26
2006-07-04 Longford Town D 2-259.1 1270 1251 46.68% 29.44% 23.88%+0.43 -1.2 16
2006-07-04 @ UC Dublin D 2-259.1 1251 1270 23.88% 29.44% 46.68%-0.43 +1.2 10
2006-07-07 Derry City L 1-245.5 1254 1459 19.17% 28.36% 52.47%-0.67 -7.4 14
2006-07-07 @ Bohemian W 2-145.5 1459 1254 52.47% 28.36% 19.17%+0.67 +7.4 26
2006-07-07 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-146.0 1401 1338 51.98% 28.47% 19.55%+0.65 +7.5 29
2006-07-07 @ Drogheda United L 1-246.0 1338 1401 19.55% 28.47% 51.98%-0.65 -7.5 21
2006-07-08 Cork City L 0-236.0 1252 1468 18.14% 28.03% 53.82%-0.73 -14.1 10
2006-07-08 @ Longford Town W 2-036.0 1468 1252 53.82% 28.03% 18.14%+0.73 +14.1 28
2006-07-09 UC Dublin D 1-153.0 1186 1268 32.92% 30.20% 36.88%-0.07 +0.3 10
2006-07-09 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-153.0 1268 1186 36.88% 30.20% 32.92%+0.07 -0.3 17
2006-07-14 Bohemian L 0-148.6 1330 1247 54.17% 27.94% 17.89%+0.74 -17.6 21
2006-07-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-048.6 1247 1330 17.89% 27.94% 54.17%-0.74 +17.6 17
2006-07-14 Sligo Rovers L 1-247.5 1115 1213 30.72% 30.13% 39.15%-0.15 -10.8 3
2006-07-14 @ Waterford United W 2-147.5 1213 1115 39.15% 30.13% 30.72%+0.15 +10.8 22
2006-07-16 Drogheda United D 0-049.1 1268 1408 25.56% 29.68% 44.76%-0.35 +1.5 18
2006-07-16 @ UC Dublin D 0-049.1 1408 1268 44.76% 29.68% 25.56%+0.35 -1.5 30
2006-07-16 Longford Town W 1-034.7 1466 1238 67.93% 22.59% 9.49%+1.46 +3.8 29
2006-07-16 @ Derry City L 0-134.7 1238 1466 9.49% 22.59% 67.93%-1.46 -3.8 10
2006-07-17 Waterford United W 5-127.8 1521 1104 81.19% 14.62% 4.18%+2.39 +4.3 28
2006-07-17 @ Shelbourne L 1-527.8 1104 1521 4.18% 14.62% 81.19%-2.39 -4.3 3
2006-07-18 Sligo Rovers L 1-250.2 1186 1224 39.24% 30.12% 30.64%+0.15 -12.8 10
2006-07-18 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-150.2 1224 1186 30.64% 30.12% 39.24%-0.15 +12.8 25
2006-07-19 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-040.5 1234 1312 33.42% 30.21% 36.36%-0.05 +24.2 13
2006-07-19 @ Longford Town L 0-240.5 1312 1234 36.36% 30.21% 33.42%+0.05 -24.2 21
2006-07-21 UC Dublin W 6-031.3 1525 1270 70.13% 21.42% 8.45%+1.59 +17.5 31
2006-07-21 @ Shelbourne L 0-631.3 1270 1525 8.45% 21.42% 70.13%-1.59 -17.5 18
2006-07-22 Waterford United W 3-029.7 1258 1100 61.79% 25.41% 12.81%+1.11 +14.6 16
2006-07-22 @ Longford Town L 0-329.7 1100 1258 12.81% 25.41% 61.79%-1.11 -14.6 3
2006-07-23 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-247.1 1174 1288 28.63% 30.00% 41.37%-0.23 -10.2 10
2006-07-23 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-147.1 1288 1174 41.37% 30.00% 28.63%+0.23 +10.2 24
2006-07-28 Sligo Rovers W 3-029.1 1543 1237 73.95% 19.24% 6.81%+1.84 +7.1 34
2006-07-28 @ Shelbourne L 0-329.1 1237 1543 6.81% 19.24% 73.95%-1.84 -7.1 25
2006-07-29 Bohemian L 0-145.4 1252 1265 42.60% 29.90% 27.50%+0.27 -14.5 18
2006-07-29 @ UC Dublin W 1-045.4 1265 1252 27.50% 29.90% 42.60%-0.27 +14.5 20
2006-07-30 Drogheda United D 0-049.1 1273 1407 26.26% 29.77% 43.97%-0.32 +1.3 17
2006-07-30 @ Longford Town D 0-049.1 1407 1273 43.97% 29.77% 26.26%+0.32 -1.4 31
2006-07-30 Waterford United W 4-024.7 1470 1085 79.26% 15.91% 4.83%+2.23 +6.1 32
2006-07-30 @ Derry City L 0-424.7 1085 1470 4.83% 15.91% 79.26%-2.23 -6.1 3
2006-08-04 Derry City L 2-346.0 1163 1476 11.86% 24.73% 63.41%-1.20 -4.4 10
2006-08-04 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-246.0 1476 1163 63.41% 24.73% 11.86%+1.20 +4.4 35
2006-08-04 Longford Town L 0-146.2 1279 1274 44.92% 29.66% 25.41%+0.36 -15.1 20
2006-08-04 @ Bohemian W 1-046.2 1274 1279 25.41% 29.66% 44.92%-0.36 +15.1 20
2006-08-04 Shelbourne L 1-350.4 1406 1550 25.11% 29.62% 45.26%-0.37 -16.0 31
2006-08-04 @ Drogheda United W 3-150.4 1550 1406 45.26% 29.62% 25.11%+0.37 +16.0 37
2006-08-04 UC Dublin L 0-145.4 1230 1238 43.23% 29.84% 26.93%+0.30 -14.6 25
2006-08-04 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-045.4 1238 1230 26.93% 29.84% 43.23%-0.30 +14.6 21
2006-08-05 Cork City D 0-050.8 1079 1482 8.05% 20.94% 71.01%-1.65 +5.4 4
2006-08-05 @ Waterford United D 0-050.8 1482 1079 71.01% 20.94% 8.05%+1.65 -5.4 29
2006-08-11 Bohemian L 0-336.3 1159 1264 29.85% 30.08% 40.07%-0.18 -30.6 10
2006-08-11 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-036.3 1264 1159 40.07% 30.08% 29.85%+0.18 +30.6 23
2006-08-11 Cork City D 2-270.7 1566 1477 54.81% 27.77% 17.42%+0.77 -2.0 38
2006-08-11 @ Shelbourne D 2-270.7 1477 1566 17.42% 27.77% 54.81%-0.77 +2.0 30
2006-08-12 UC Dublin D 0-048.3 1289 1252 48.89% 29.09% 22.02%+0.52 -2.1 21
2006-08-12 @ Longford Town D 0-048.3 1252 1289 22.02% 29.09% 48.89%-0.52 +2.1 22
2006-08-13 Sligo Rovers D 2-261.0 1390 1215 63.28% 24.78% 11.94%+1.19 -2.9 32
2006-08-13 @ Drogheda United D 2-261.0 1215 1390 11.94% 24.78% 63.28%-1.19 +2.9 26
2006-08-13 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-139.6 1480 1298 63.94% 24.50% 11.57%+1.23 +7.8 38
2006-08-13 @ Derry City L 1-339.6 1298 1480 11.57% 24.50% 63.94%-1.23 -7.8 24
2006-08-18 Bray Wanderers W 2-033.6 1218 1128 54.87% 27.75% 17.38%+0.78 +13.5 29
2006-08-18 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-233.6 1128 1218 17.38% 27.75% 54.87%-0.78 -13.5 10
2006-08-18 Derry City D 1-161.5 1479 1488 43.05% 29.86% 27.09%+0.29 -1.1 31
2006-08-18 @ Cork City D 1-161.5 1488 1479 27.09% 29.86% 43.05%-0.29 +1.1 39
2006-08-18 Drogheda United L 2-345.4 1084 1387 12.40% 25.13% 62.47%-1.15 -4.6 4
2006-08-18 @ Waterford United W 3-245.4 1387 1084 62.47% 25.13% 12.40%+1.15 +4.6 35
2006-08-18 Longford Town D 0-048.3 1291 1287 44.74% 29.69% 25.58%+0.35 -1.5 25
2006-08-18 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.3 1287 1291 25.58% 29.69% 44.74%-0.35 +1.5 22
2006-08-18 Shelbourne W 2-160.0 1295 1564 14.34% 26.35% 59.31%-0.99 +17.9 26
2006-08-18 @ Bohemian L 1-260.0 1564 1295 59.31% 26.35% 14.34%+0.99 -17.9 38
2006-09-01 Drogheda United D 2-260.3 1313 1391 33.40% 30.21% 36.39%-0.05 +0.2 27
2006-09-01 @ Bohemian D 2-260.3 1391 1313 36.39% 30.21% 33.40%+0.05 -0.1 36
2006-09-01 Shelbourne L 2-343.3 1115 1546 7.16% 19.74% 73.11%-1.78 -2.5 10
2006-09-01 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-243.3 1546 1115 73.11% 19.74% 7.16%+1.78 +2.5 41
2006-09-01 Waterford United L 0-150.2 1289 1080 66.34% 23.38% 10.28%+1.37 -20.8 25
2006-09-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-050.2 1080 1289 10.28% 23.38% 66.34%-1.37 +20.8 7
2006-09-03 Sligo Rovers L 0-244.4 1289 1231 51.27% 28.63% 20.10%+0.62 -31.7 22
2006-09-03 @ Longford Town W 2-044.4 1231 1289 20.10% 28.63% 51.27%-0.62 +31.7 32
2006-09-03 UC Dublin D 0-052.3 1489 1254 68.48% 22.30% 9.22%+1.49 -5.1 40
2006-09-03 @ Derry City D 0-052.3 1254 1489 9.22% 22.30% 68.48%-1.49 +5.1 23
2006-09-04 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-052.0 1478 1268 66.34% 23.38% 10.28%+1.37 -4.8 32
2006-09-04 @ Cork City D 0-052.0 1268 1478 10.28% 23.38% 66.34%-1.37 +4.8 26
2006-09-08 Bray Wanderers W 3-035.4 1101 1112 42.70% 29.89% 27.40%+0.28 +28.7 10
2006-09-08 @ Waterford United L 0-335.4 1112 1101 27.40% 29.89% 42.70%-0.28 -28.7 10
2006-09-08 Cork City D 0-052.7 1391 1473 32.96% 30.20% 36.83%-0.07 +0.3 37
2006-09-08 @ Drogheda United D 0-052.7 1473 1391 36.83% 30.20% 32.96%+0.07 -0.3 33
2006-09-08 Longford Town W 2-031.8 1548 1257 72.89% 19.86% 7.25%+1.77 +5.3 44
2006-09-08 @ Shelbourne L 0-231.8 1257 1548 7.25% 19.86% 72.89%-1.77 -5.3 22
2006-09-08 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.0 1259 1273 42.45% 29.91% 27.64%+0.27 -1.1 24
2006-09-08 @ UC Dublin D 0-048.0 1273 1259 27.64% 29.91% 42.45%-0.27 +1.1 27
2006-09-09 Bohemian W 1-042.7 1263 1313 37.54% 30.19% 32.27%+0.09 +11.8 35
2006-09-09 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-142.7 1313 1263 32.27% 30.19% 37.54%-0.09 -11.8 27
2006-09-12 Cork City L 0-335.2 1275 1473 19.72% 28.52% 51.75%-0.64 -22.0 35
2006-09-12 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-035.2 1473 1275 51.75% 28.52% 19.72%+0.64 +22.0 36
2006-09-15 Bohemian W 1-037.2 1495 1301 64.99% 24.02% 10.99%+1.29 +4.5 39
2006-09-15 @ Cork City L 0-137.2 1301 1495 10.99% 24.02% 64.99%-1.29 -4.5 27
2006-09-15 Longford Town L 0-235.6 1084 1252 22.59% 29.21% 48.21%-0.49 -17.0 10
2006-09-15 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-035.6 1252 1084 48.21% 29.21% 22.59%+0.49 +17.0 25
2006-09-15 Shelbourne L 1-341.9 1274 1554 13.71% 25.99% 60.30%-1.04 -9.3 27
2006-09-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-141.9 1554 1274 60.30% 25.99% 13.71%+1.04 +9.3 47
2006-09-15 UC Dublin D 0-047.7 1129 1258 26.87% 29.84% 43.29%-0.30 +1.2 11
2006-09-15 @ Waterford United D 0-047.7 1258 1129 43.29% 29.84% 26.87%+0.30 -1.2 25
2006-09-22 Bray Wanderers D 1-156.5 1391 1067 75.28% 18.43% 6.29%+1.93 -5.2 38
2006-09-22 @ Drogheda United D 1-156.5 1067 1391 6.29% 18.43% 75.28%-1.93 +5.2 11
2006-09-22 Cork City D 1-156.3 1257 1499 16.16% 27.25% 56.59%-0.86 +3.0 26
2006-09-22 @ UC Dublin D 1-156.3 1499 1257 56.59% 27.25% 16.16%+0.86 -3.0 40
2006-09-22 Derry City D 2-270.7 1563 1484 53.70% 28.06% 18.23%+0.72 -1.9 48
2006-09-22 @ Shelbourne D 2-270.7 1484 1563 18.23% 28.06% 53.70%-0.72 +1.9 41
2006-09-22 Waterford United W 3-137.2 1296 1130 62.48% 25.12% 12.40%+1.15 +8.4 30
2006-09-22 @ Bohemian L 1-337.2 1130 1296 12.40% 25.12% 62.48%-1.15 -8.4 11
2006-09-23 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-251.5 1253 1265 42.68% 29.89% 27.42%+0.28 +9.4 38
2006-09-23 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-351.5 1265 1253 27.42% 29.89% 42.68%-0.28 -9.4 27
2006-09-29 Bray Wanderers W 6-025.1 1496 1072 81.62% 14.33% 4.04%+2.42 +7.2 43
2006-09-29 @ Cork City L 0-625.1 1072 1496 4.04% 14.33% 81.62%-2.42 -7.2 11
2006-10-06 Bohemian D 1-157.8 1486 1305 63.88% 24.52% 11.60%+1.23 -4.0 42
2006-10-06 @ Derry City D 1-157.8 1305 1486 11.60% 24.52% 63.88%-1.23 +4.0 31
2006-10-06 Bray Wanderers W 4-028.4 1260 1065 65.11% 23.96% 10.92%+1.30 +16.1 29
2006-10-06 @ UC Dublin L 0-428.4 1065 1260 10.92% 23.96% 65.11%-1.30 -16.1 11
2006-10-06 Drogheda United W 3-041.4 1256 1386 26.68% 29.82% 43.50%-0.31 +40.2 30
2006-10-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-341.4 1386 1256 43.50% 29.82% 26.68%+0.31 -40.2 38
2006-10-06 Longford Town D 1-158.1 1504 1269 68.48% 22.30% 9.22%+1.49 -4.5 44
2006-10-06 @ Cork City D 1-158.1 1269 1504 9.22% 22.30% 68.48%-1.49 +4.5 26
2006-10-06 Shelbourne L 0-132.7 1122 1561 6.92% 19.39% 73.70%-1.82 -2.6 11
2006-10-06 @ Waterford United W 1-032.7 1561 1122 73.70% 19.39% 6.92%+1.82 +2.6 51
2006-10-10 Drogheda United L 1-259.2 1482 1346 59.66% 26.22% 14.12%+1.01 -18.0 42
2006-10-10 @ Derry City W 2-159.2 1346 1482 14.12% 26.22% 59.66%-1.01 +18.0 41
2006-10-10 Shelbourne D 0-053.3 1273 1564 13.05% 25.57% 61.38%-1.09 +4.1 27
2006-10-10 @ Longford Town D 0-053.3 1564 1273 61.38% 25.57% 13.05%+1.09 -4.1 52
2006-10-13 Cork City W 2-157.8 1049 1499 6.59% 18.90% 74.51%-1.88 +21.2 14
2006-10-13 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-257.8 1499 1049 74.51% 18.90% 6.59%+1.88 -21.2 44
2006-10-13 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-146.8 1309 1296 45.92% 29.54% 24.54%+0.40 -15.3 31
2006-10-13 @ Bohemian W 1-046.8 1296 1309 24.54% 29.54% 45.92%-0.40 +15.3 33
2006-10-14 Derry City L 0-237.3 1277 1464 20.71% 28.79% 50.50%-0.58 -15.8 27
2006-10-14 @ Longford Town W 2-037.3 1464 1277 50.50% 28.79% 20.71%+0.58 +15.8 45
2006-10-14 UC Dublin W 1-038.0 1364 1276 54.70% 27.80% 17.50%+0.77 +7.2 44
2006-10-14 @ Drogheda United L 0-138.0 1276 1364 17.50% 27.80% 54.70%-0.77 -7.2 29
2006-10-14 Waterford United D 0-048.8 1262 1119 60.31% 25.98% 13.71%+1.04 -3.9 39
2006-10-14 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-048.8 1119 1262 13.71% 25.98% 60.31%-1.04 +3.9 12
2006-10-17 Sligo Rovers W 4-030.1 1480 1258 67.37% 22.87% 9.76%+1.43 +14.2 48
2006-10-17 @ Derry City L 0-430.1 1258 1480 9.76% 22.87% 67.37%-1.43 -14.2 39
2006-10-20 Bray Wanderers W 5-130.5 1311 1070 69.00% 22.03% 8.97%+1.52 +10.7 36
2006-10-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-530.5 1070 1311 8.97% 22.03% 69.00%-1.52 -10.7 14
2006-10-20 Drogheda United D 0-053.7 1494 1371 58.35% 26.69% 14.97%+0.94 -3.6 49
2006-10-20 @ Derry City D 0-053.7 1371 1494 14.97% 26.69% 58.35%-0.94 +3.6 45
2006-10-20 Longford Town L 1-246.0 1123 1261 25.82% 29.72% 44.47%-0.34 -9.4 12
2006-10-20 @ Waterford United W 2-146.0 1261 1123 44.47% 29.72% 25.82%+0.34 +9.4 30
2006-10-20 Shelbourne L 0-235.8 1269 1560 13.04% 25.57% 61.39%-1.09 -10.2 29
2006-10-20 @ UC Dublin W 2-035.8 1560 1269 61.39% 25.57% 13.04%+1.09 +10.2 55
2006-10-20 Sligo Rovers W 2-031.6 1478 1244 68.37% 22.36% 9.27%+1.48 +7.0 47
2006-10-20 @ Cork City L 0-231.6 1244 1478 9.27% 22.36% 68.37%-1.48 -7.0 39
2006-10-24 Shelbourne W 2-052.2 1490 1570 33.32% 30.21% 36.47%-0.05 +24.3 52
2006-10-24 @ Derry City L 0-252.2 1570 1490 36.47% 30.21% 33.32%+0.05 -24.3 55
2006-10-27 Longford Town W 2-034.3 1375 1271 56.41% 27.31% 16.28%+0.85 +12.7 48
2006-10-27 @ Drogheda United L 0-234.3 1271 1375 16.28% 27.31% 56.41%-0.85 -12.7 30
2006-10-27 UC Dublin L 0-147.2 1293 1259 48.63% 29.13% 22.23%+0.51 -16.1 31
2006-10-27 @ Bohemian W 1-047.2 1259 1293 22.23% 29.13% 48.63%-0.51 +16.1 32
2006-11-03 Bray Wanderers D 0-053.3 1515 1059 83.35% 13.15% 3.50%+2.58 -6.5 53
2006-11-03 @ Derry City D 0-053.3 1059 1515 3.50% 13.15% 83.35%-2.58 +6.5 15
2006-11-03 Drogheda United D 2-267.3 1546 1388 61.75% 25.42% 12.83%+1.11 -2.8 56
2006-11-03 @ Shelbourne D 2-267.3 1388 1546 12.83% 25.42% 61.75%-1.11 +2.8 49
2006-11-03 Sligo Rovers W 1-039.0 1275 1237 48.96% 29.08% 21.96%+0.52 +8.8 35
2006-11-03 @ UC Dublin L 0-139.0 1237 1275 21.96% 29.08% 48.96%-0.52 -8.8 39
2006-11-03 Waterford United W 4-130.1 1485 1114 78.39% 16.47% 5.14%+2.16 +4.3 50
2006-11-03 @ Cork City L 1-430.1 1114 1485 5.14% 16.47% 78.39%-2.16 -4.3 12
2006-11-04 Bohemian W 3-036.2 1258 1277 41.72% 29.97% 28.31%+0.24 +29.4 33
2006-11-04 @ Longford Town L 0-336.2 1277 1258 28.31% 29.97% 41.72%-0.24 -29.4 31
2006-11-06 Cork City L 0-142.6 1322 1489 22.65% 29.22% 48.13%-0.49 -9.0 36
2006-11-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-042.6 1489 1322 48.13% 29.22% 22.65%+0.49 +9.0 53
2006-11-07 Derry City W 3-153.5 1390 1508 28.21% 29.96% 41.82%-0.24 +23.3 52
2006-11-07 @ Drogheda United L 1-353.5 1508 1390 41.82% 29.96% 28.21%+0.24 -23.3 53
2006-11-07 Shelbourne L 0-233.9 1228 1543 11.77% 24.65% 63.58%-1.21 -9.2 39
2006-11-07 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-033.9 1543 1228 63.58% 24.65% 11.77%+1.21 +9.2 59
2006-11-10 Bray Wanderers D 1-154.5 1248 1066 63.96% 24.48% 11.55%+1.23 -4.0 32
2006-11-10 @ Bohemian D 1-154.5 1066 1248 11.55% 24.48% 63.96%-1.23 +4.0 16
2006-11-10 Derry City L 0-142.1 1313 1485 22.16% 29.12% 48.72%-0.51 -8.9 36
2006-11-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-042.1 1485 1313 48.72% 29.12% 22.16%+0.51 +8.9 56
2006-11-10 Longford Town W 3-143.3 1283 1287 43.75% 29.79% 26.45%+0.32 +16.7 38
2006-11-10 @ UC Dublin L 1-343.3 1287 1283 26.45% 29.79% 43.75%-0.32 -16.7 33
2006-11-10 Shelbourne W 1-053.9 1498 1552 36.95% 30.20% 32.85%+0.07 +12.0 56
2006-11-10 @ Cork City L 0-153.9 1552 1498 32.85% 30.20% 36.95%-0.07 -12.0 59
2006-11-11 Drogheda United L 2-349.5 1219 1414 20.03% 28.61% 51.36%-0.62 -7.3 39
2006-11-11 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-249.5 1414 1219 51.36% 28.61% 20.03%+0.62 +7.3 55
2006-11-13 Derry City L 0-133.3 1110 1494 8.73% 21.76% 69.51%-1.55 -3.5 12
2006-11-13 @ Waterford United W 1-033.3 1494 1110 69.51% 21.76% 8.73%+1.55 +3.5 59
2006-11-17 Bohemian W 2-140.5 1540 1244 73.23% 19.67% 7.11%+1.79 +2.6 62
2006-11-17 @ Shelbourne L 1-240.5 1244 1540 7.11% 19.67% 73.23%-1.79 -2.6 32
2006-11-17 Cork City W 1-050.7 1497 1510 42.59% 29.90% 27.51%+0.27 +10.5 62
2006-11-17 @ Derry City L 0-150.7 1510 1497 27.51% 29.90% 42.59%-0.27 -10.5 56
2006-11-17 Sligo Rovers D 1-152.9 1070 1212 25.34% 29.66% 45.01%-0.36 +1.4 17
2006-11-17 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-152.9 1212 1070 45.01% 29.66% 25.34%+0.36 -1.4 40
2006-11-17 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.2 1271 1304 39.82% 30.09% 30.09%+0.17 -0.7 34
2006-11-17 @ Longford Town D 0-048.2 1304 1271 30.09% 30.09% 39.82%-0.17 +0.7 37
2006-11-17 Waterford United W 1-031.3 1421 1106 74.58% 18.86% 6.56%+1.88 +2.5 58
2006-11-17 @ Drogheda United L 0-131.3 1106 1421 6.56% 18.86% 74.58%-1.88 -2.5 12

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2006-10-13 6.59% @ Bray Wanderers 1049 2 Cork City 1499 1
2 2006-09-01 10.28% Waterford United 1080 1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1289 0
3 2006-06-26 12.59% @ Sligo Rovers 1192 3 Derry City 1491 1
4 2006-10-10 14.12% Drogheda United 1346 2 @ Derry City 1482 1
5 2006-08-18 14.34% @ Bohemian 1295 2 Shelbourne 1564 1
6 2006-06-23 15.83% Sligo Rovers 1157 2 @ Bohemian 1268 0
7 2006-07-14 17.89% Bohemian 1247 1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1330 0
8 2006-09-03 20.10% Sligo Rovers 1231 2 @ Longford Town 1289 0
9 2006-04-28 20.22% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1295 2 Cork City 1487 0
10 2006-10-27 22.23% UC Dublin 1259 1 @ Bohemian 1293 0
11 2006-03-18 22.32% @ Sligo Rovers 1110 1 Bohemian 1281 0
12 2006-03-24 22.50% UC Dublin 1221 1 @ Waterford United 1253 0
13 2006-10-13 24.54% St Patrick's Athletic 1296 1 @ Bohemian 1309 0
14 2006-08-04 25.41% Longford Town 1274 1 @ Bohemian 1279 0
15 2006-06-03 26.43% @ Sligo Rovers 1133 3 Longford Town 1266 1
16 2006-10-06 26.68% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1256 3 Drogheda United 1386 0
17 2006-08-04 26.93% UC Dublin 1238 1 @ Sligo Rovers 1230 0
18 2006-07-29 27.50% Bohemian 1265 1 @ UC Dublin 1252 0
19 2006-11-07 28.21% @ Drogheda United 1390 3 Derry City 1508 1
20 2006-03-17 29.96% St Patrick's Athletic 1267 1 @ UC Dublin 1235 0
21 2006-07-18 30.64% Sligo Rovers 1224 2 @ Bray Wanderers 1186 1
22 2006-05-16 30.72% @ Bray Wanderers 1181 1 Longford Town 1280 0
23 2006-04-15 31.96% @ Sligo Rovers 1128 3 Waterford United 1217 1
24 2006-03-10 32.07% Drogheda United 1342 1 @ Bohemian 1294 0
25 2006-10-24 33.32% @ Derry City 1490 2 Shelbourne 1570 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-10-06 40.25 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1256 26.68% Drogheda United 0 1386 43.50% 29.82%
2 2006-06-23 34.66 Sligo Rovers 2 1157 15.83% @ Bohemian 0 1268 57.06% 27.11%
3 2006-06-26 32.22 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1192 12.59% Derry City 1 1491 62.15% 25.26%
4 2006-09-03 31.67 Sligo Rovers 2 1231 20.10% @ Longford Town 0 1289 51.27% 28.63%
5 2006-04-28 31.60 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1295 20.22% Cork City 0 1487 51.12% 28.66%
6 2006-08-11 30.57 Bohemian 3 1264 40.07% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1159 29.85% 30.08%
7 2006-11-04 29.39 @ Longford Town 3 1258 41.72% Bohemian 0 1277 28.31% 29.97%
8 2006-09-08 28.69 @ Waterford United 3 1101 42.70% Bray Wanderers 0 1112 27.40% 29.89%
9 2006-04-08 24.61 @ UC Dublin 4 1241 42.02% Bray Wanderers 1 1258 28.03% 29.95%
10 2006-04-19 24.41 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1271 48.52% Bray Wanderers 0 1237 22.33% 29.15%
11 2006-10-24 24.28 @ Derry City 2 1490 33.32% Shelbourne 0 1570 36.47% 30.21%
12 2006-07-19 24.23 @ Longford Town 2 1234 33.42% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1312 36.36% 30.21%
13 2006-06-03 24.12 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1133 26.43% Longford Town 1 1266 43.78% 29.79%
14 2006-11-07 23.28 @ Drogheda United 3 1390 28.21% Derry City 1 1508 41.82% 29.96%
15 2006-05-12 22.44 @ Bohemian 3 1260 51.15% Bray Wanderers 0 1204 20.19% 28.65%
16 2006-09-12 21.99 Cork City 3 1473 51.75% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1275 19.72% 28.52%
17 2006-04-15 21.61 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1128 31.96% Waterford United 1 1217 37.86% 30.18%
18 2006-10-13 21.19 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1049 6.59% Cork City 1 1499 74.51% 18.90%
19 2006-09-01 20.77 Waterford United 1 1080 10.28% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1289 66.34% 23.38%
20 2006-05-06 19.30 @ UC Dublin 3 1243 55.35% Sligo Rovers 0 1149 17.03% 27.62%
21 2006-05-20 18.39 @ Derry City 2 1486 45.43% Cork City 0 1477 24.97% 29.60%
22 2006-06-30 18.35 Bohemian 3 1236 39.79% @ Waterford United 1 1133 30.11% 30.10%
23 2006-10-10 17.99 Drogheda United 2 1346 14.12% @ Derry City 1 1482 59.66% 26.22%
24 2006-08-18 17.90 @ Bohemian 2 1295 14.34% Shelbourne 1 1564 59.31% 26.35%
25 2006-07-14 17.59 Bohemian 1 1247 17.89% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1330 54.17% 27.94%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-08-11 70.7 @ Shelbourne 2 1566 54.81% Cork City 2 1477 17.42% 27.77%
2 2006-09-22 70.7 @ Shelbourne 2 1563 53.70% Derry City 2 1484 18.23% 28.06%
3 2006-11-03 67.3 @ Shelbourne 2 1546 61.75% Drogheda United 2 1388 12.83% 25.42%
4 2006-03-10 61.7 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1262 17.58% Shelbourne 2 1485 54.59% 27.83%
5 2006-03-24 61.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1281 19.77% Shelbourne 2 1478 51.70% 28.54%
6 2006-08-18 61.5 @ Cork City 1 1479 43.05% Derry City 1 1488 27.09% 29.86%
7 2006-08-13 61.0 @ Drogheda United 2 1390 63.28% Sligo Rovers 2 1215 11.94% 24.78%
8 2006-09-01 60.3 @ Bohemian 2 1313 33.40% Drogheda United 2 1391 36.39% 30.21%
9 2006-08-18 60.0 @ Bohemian 2 1295 14.34% Shelbourne 1 1564 59.31% 26.35%
10 2006-10-10 59.2 Drogheda United 2 1346 14.12% @ Derry City 1 1482 59.66% 26.22%
11 2006-07-04 59.1 @ UC Dublin 2 1270 46.68% Longford Town 2 1251 23.88% 29.44%
12 2006-10-06 58.1 @ Cork City 1 1504 68.48% Longford Town 1 1269 9.22% 22.30%
13 2006-10-06 57.8 @ Derry City 1 1486 63.88% Bohemian 1 1305 11.60% 24.52%
14 2006-10-13 57.8 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1049 6.59% Cork City 1 1499 74.51% 18.90%
15 2006-05-12 56.9 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1327 23.28% Derry City 1 1488 47.38% 29.34%
16 2006-09-22 56.5 @ Drogheda United 1 1391 75.28% Bray Wanderers 1 1067 6.29% 18.43%
17 2006-09-22 56.3 @ UC Dublin 1 1257 16.16% Cork City 1 1499 56.59% 27.25%
18 2006-04-29 55.9 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1150 10.54% Shelbourne 1 1490 65.84% 23.62%
19 2006-05-15 55.4 @ Cork City 2 1467 40.86% Shelbourne 1 1492 29.10% 30.03%
20 2006-11-10 54.5 @ Bohemian 1 1248 63.96% Bray Wanderers 1 1066 11.55% 24.48%
21 2006-11-10 53.9 @ Cork City 1 1498 36.95% Shelbourne 0 1552 32.85% 30.20%
22 2006-10-20 53.7 @ Derry City 0 1494 58.35% Drogheda United 0 1371 14.97% 26.69%
23 2006-06-26 53.5 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1192 12.59% Derry City 1 1491 62.15% 25.26%
24 2006-11-07 53.5 @ Drogheda United 3 1390 28.21% Derry City 1 1508 41.82% 29.96%
25 2006-03-16 53.3 @ Waterford United 1 1254 43.04% Bray Wanderers 1 1264 27.10% 29.86%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2006-07-30 24.7 @ Derry City 4 1470 79.26% Waterford United 0 1085 4.83% 15.91%
2 2006-09-29 25.1 @ Cork City 6 1496 81.62% Bray Wanderers 0 1072 4.04% 14.33%
3 2006-07-17 27.8 @ Shelbourne 5 1521 81.19% Waterford United 1 1104 4.18% 14.62%
4 2006-10-06 28.4 @ UC Dublin 4 1260 65.11% Bray Wanderers 0 1065 10.92% 23.96%
5 2006-05-05 28.6 @ Derry City 3 1479 71.01% Bray Wanderers 0 1212 8.06% 20.94%
6 2006-05-02 28.9 @ Cork City 2 1456 73.64% Sligo Rovers 0 1154 6.94% 19.42%
7 2006-05-19 29.0 @ Drogheda United 4 1379 65.01% Waterford United 0 1185 10.98% 24.01%
8 2006-07-28 29.1 @ Shelbourne 3 1543 73.95% Sligo Rovers 0 1237 6.81% 19.24%
9 2006-07-22 29.7 @ Longford Town 3 1258 61.79% Waterford United 0 1100 12.81% 25.41%
10 2006-05-05 29.9 @ Cork City 2 1461 71.29% Waterford United 0 1190 7.93% 20.78%
11 2006-10-17 30.1 @ Derry City 4 1480 67.37% Sligo Rovers 0 1258 9.76% 22.87%
12 2006-11-03 30.1 @ Cork City 4 1485 78.39% Waterford United 1 1114 5.14% 16.47%
13 2006-10-20 30.5 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1311 69.00% Bray Wanderers 1 1070 8.97% 22.03%
14 2006-07-21 31.3 @ Shelbourne 6 1525 70.13% UC Dublin 0 1270 8.45% 21.42%
15 2006-11-17 31.3 @ Drogheda United 1 1421 74.58% Waterford United 0 1106 6.56% 18.86%
16 2006-10-20 31.6 @ Cork City 2 1478 68.37% Sligo Rovers 0 1244 9.27% 22.36%
17 2006-05-06 31.7 @ UC Dublin 3 1243 55.35% Sligo Rovers 0 1149 17.03% 27.62%
18 2006-09-08 31.8 @ Shelbourne 2 1548 72.89% Longford Town 0 1257 7.25% 19.86%
19 2006-03-10 31.9 @ Derry City 2 1449 66.03% UC Dublin 0 1243 10.44% 23.53%
20 2006-06-02 32.5 @ Shelbourne 4 1490 73.18% Bray Wanderers 1 1195 7.12% 19.69%
21 2006-10-06 32.7 Shelbourne 1 1561 73.70% @ Waterford United 0 1122 6.92% 19.39%
22 2006-05-12 33.1 @ Bohemian 3 1260 51.15% Bray Wanderers 0 1204 20.19% 28.65%
23 2006-05-19 33.2 @ Shelbourne 2 1482 65.51% Bohemian 0 1282 10.71% 23.78%
24 2006-11-13 33.3 Derry City 1 1494 69.51% @ Waterford United 0 1110 8.73% 21.76%
25 2006-08-18 33.6 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1218 54.87% Bray Wanderers 0 1128 17.38% 27.75%