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2005 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Cork City

74 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Derry City

15.29 points above expected

72 points · 56.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Finn Harps

11.95 points below expected

21 points · 32.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Cork City 33 22 8 3 74 53 18 +35 63.24 +10.76
2 Derry City 33 22 6 5 72 55 25 +30 56.71 +15.29
3 Shelbourne 33 20 7 6 67 62 25 +37 60.70 +6.30
4 Drogheda United 33 12 12 9 48 40 33 +7 48.52 -0.52
5 Longford Town 33 12 9 12 45 29 32 -3 45.69 -0.69
6 Bohemian 33 13 6 14 45 42 46 -4 52.30 -7.30
7 Bray Wanderers 33 11 6 16 39 40 57 -17 34.65 +4.35
8 Waterford United 33 9 7 17 34 30 49 -19 33.60 +0.40
9 UC Dublin 33 7 12 14 33 28 44 -16 39.24 -6.24
10 St Patrick's Athletic 33 7 11 15 32 26 36 -10 38.95 -6.95
11 Shamrock Rovers* 33 9 8 16 27 33 52 -19 28.27 -1.27
12 Finn Harps 33 5 6 22 21 30 51 -21 32.95 -11.95

* Point deductions: Shamrock Rovers (-8 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Derry City 72 56.71 +15.29
2 Cork City 74 63.24 +10.76
3 Shelbourne 67 60.70 +6.30
4 Bray Wanderers 39 34.65 +4.35
5 Waterford United 34 33.60 +0.40

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Finn Harps 21 32.95 -11.95
2 Bohemian 45 52.30 -7.30
3 St Patrick's Athletic 32 38.95 -6.95
4 UC Dublin 33 39.24 -6.24
5 Shamrock Rovers 27 28.27 -1.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 6 Jul 1 – Aug 2 1 in 66
2 Bohemian 5 May 13 – Jul 1 1 in 51
3 Shamrock Rovers 3 Aug 12 – Sep 2 1 in 33
4 St Patrick's Athletic 2 Oct 28 – Nov 4 1 in 30
5 Longford Town 3 May 21 – Jun 5 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 5 Oct 14 – Nov 11 1 in 61
2 Waterford United 5 May 27 – Jul 1 1 in 48
3 Bohemian 3 Apr 1 – Apr 15 1 in 43
4 Longford Town 4 Oct 15 – Nov 4 1 in 32
5 Bray Wanderers 4 Apr 29 – May 20 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Waterford United 6 Oct 17 – Nov 18 1 in 207
2 Derry City 17 Jun 3 – Oct 14 1 in 136
3 Drogheda United 10 Mar 25 – May 27 1 in 118
4 Cork City 15 Apr 29 – Aug 15 1 in 21
5 Bohemian 8 Apr 22 – Jul 1 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Waterford United 18 May 6 – Sep 16 1 in 161
2 St Patrick's Athletic 12 Jul 31 – Oct 21 1 in 61
3 Longford Town 8 Sep 9 – Nov 4 1 in 39
4 Shelbourne 5 May 13 – Jun 17 1 in 39
5 Bohemian 5 Mar 18 – Apr 15 1 in 27

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Cork City 1475 74 +38 11 9.2 +1.8
Derry City 1424 72 -19 9 10.4 -1.4
Shelbourne 1468 67 +58 13 9.9 +3.1
Drogheda United 1264 48 +3 9 7.8 +1.2
Longford Town 1175 45 -61 6 6.3 -0.3
Bohemian 1195 45 -61 3 6.5 -3.5
Bray Wanderers 1150 39 +44 9 4.1 +4.9
Shamrock Rovers 1100 35 -61 1 6.1 -5.1
Waterford United 1135 34 +67 11 4.1 +6.9
UC Dublin 1118 33 -26 4 5.5 -1.5
St Patrick's Athletic 1151 32 +8 7 5.7 +1.3
Finn Harps 1122 21 +18 3 5.8 -2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH BW CC DC DU FH LT SR SHE SPA UD WU
Bohemian —
2-0-1
5.65
0-0-3
2.98
0-0-3
3.92
1-1-1
4.24
3-0-0
5.68
2-0-1
5.01
1-1-1
5.58
1-0-2
2.94
1-2-0
5.21
1-2-0
5.12
1-0-2
5.90
Bray Wanderers
1-0-2
2.61
—
0-1-2
1.86
0-1-2
2.16
0-1-2
3.12
3-0-0
3.98
0-2-1
2.74
1-0-2
3.83
0-1-2
1.91
2-0-1
3.76
1-0-2
3.88
3-0-0
4.26
Cork City
3-0-0
5.26
2-1-0
6.46
—
2-0-1
4.97
2-0-1
5.90
3-0-0
6.21
1-2-0
5.52
3-0-0
6.41
2-1-0
4.40
2-0-1
6.49
2-1-0
6.29
0-3-0
6.61
Derry City
3-0-0
4.31
2-1-0
6.14
1-0-2
3.26
—
2-1-0
4.26
3-0-0
5.98
2-1-0
4.80
2-0-1
6.07
2-1-0
3.80
1-2-0
6.01
2-0-1
5.76
2-0-1
6.25
Drogheda United
1-1-1
3.98
2-1-0
5.11
1-0-2
2.36
0-1-2
3.96
—
2-1-0
5.61
1-2-0
4.51
1-1-1
5.40
0-2-1
2.76
1-2-0
4.87
1-1-1
4.57
2-0-1
5.44
Finn Harps
0-0-3
2.56
0-0-3
4.23
0-0-3
2.11
0-0-3
2.29
0-1-2
2.64
—
1-1-1
2.88
2-1-0
3.55
0-0-3
1.80
0-1-2
3.75
1-1-1
3.87
1-1-1
4.02
Longford Town
1-0-2
3.22
1-2-0
5.51
0-2-1
2.73
0-1-2
3.42
0-2-1
3.71
1-1-1
5.36
—
2-0-1
4.96
0-0-3
3.00
3-0-0
4.24
2-1-0
4.71
2-0-1
5.33
Shamrock Rovers
1-1-1
2.66
2-0-1
4.39
0-0-3
1.91
1-0-2
2.21
1-1-1
2.84
0-1-2
4.67
1-0-2
3.27
—
1-0-2
2.82
0-2-1
3.65
1-2-0
3.83
1-1-1
4.46
Shelbourne
2-0-1
5.30
2-1-0
6.40
0-1-2
3.82
0-1-2
4.42
1-2-0
5.48
3-0-0
6.52
3-0-0
5.23
2-0-1
5.42
—
3-0-0
5.83
1-2-0
5.77
3-0-0
6.29
St Patrick's Athletic
0-2-1
3.02
1-0-2
4.45
1-0-2
1.83
0-2-1
2.27
0-2-1
3.35
2-1-0
4.47
0-0-3
3.98
1-2-0
4.56
0-0-3
2.44
—
1-1-1
4.28
1-1-1
4.70
UC Dublin
0-2-1
3.12
2-0-1
4.34
0-1-2
2.01
1-0-2
2.50
1-1-1
3.65
1-1-1
4.35
0-1-2
3.51
0-2-1
4.38
0-2-1
2.48
1-1-1
3.94
—
1-1-1
4.76
Waterford United
2-0-1
2.37
0-0-3
3.96
0-3-0
1.75
1-0-2
2.08
1-0-2
2.81
1-1-1
4.20
1-0-2
2.93
1-1-1
3.75
0-0-3
2.02
1-1-1
3.53
1-1-1
3.46
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +13.1
Allowed 0.72 -11.9
Differential 0.93 +7.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%11.62%7.83%3.28%—0.76%32.58%
111.62%10.10%6.57%3.28%0.51%0.25%32.32%
27.83%6.57%5.05%2.53%1.01%—22.98%
33.28%3.28%2.53%0.51%——9.60%
4—0.51%1.01%———1.52%
5+0.76%0.25%————1.01%
Total32.58%32.32%22.98%9.60%1.52%1.01%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.18 +0.00
SD 1.10 1.10 1.59
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%9.09%3.03%——21.21%
112.12%12.12%12.12%6.06%——42.42%
23.03%12.12%3.03%6.06%——24.24%
3—9.09%3.03%———12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%39.39%27.27%15.15%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.39 -0.12
SD 0.94 0.97 1.39
CV 0.74 0.69 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%6.06%9.09%—3.03%27.27%
112.12%9.09%9.09%—3.03%—33.33%
2—15.15%9.09%9.09%——33.33%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total12.12%36.36%27.27%18.18%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.73 -0.52
SD 0.99 1.18 1.64
CV 0.82 0.68 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%————18.18%
115.15%6.06%—3.03%——24.24%
224.24%12.12%6.06%———42.42%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total57.58%33.33%6.06%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.55 +1.06
SD 1.12 0.75 1.27
CV 0.70 1.38 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%———18.18%
115.15%6.06%————21.21%
218.18%9.09%6.06%3.03%——36.36%
39.09%9.09%6.06%———24.24%
4———————
5+———————
Total48.48%30.30%18.18%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.76 +0.91
SD 1.05 0.87 1.33
CV 0.63 1.14 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%6.06%3.03%——30.30%
112.12%15.15%3.03%———30.30%
212.12%3.03%9.09%3.03%——27.27%
36.06%—3.03%3.03%——12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.39%30.30%21.21%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.00 +0.21
SD 1.02 1.00 1.39
CV 0.84 1.00 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%18.18%6.06%——48.48%
13.03%6.06%15.15%6.06%——30.30%
23.03%—3.03%3.03%3.03%—12.12%
33.03%—————3.03%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total21.21%24.24%36.36%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.55 -0.64
SD 1.23 1.09 1.76
CV 1.36 0.71 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%15.15%9.09%——3.03%42.42%
118.18%12.12%3.03%3.03%——36.36%
23.03%6.06%——3.03%—12.12%
36.06%3.03%————9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total42.42%36.36%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 0.97 -0.09
SD 0.96 1.21 1.63
CV 1.09 1.25 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%18.18%6.06%——39.39%
19.09%9.09%12.12%6.06%3.03%—39.39%
2—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
3—3.03%9.09%———12.12%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%18.18%45.45%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.58 -0.58
SD 1.12 1.06 1.46
CV 1.12 0.67 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%3.03%———15.15%
115.15%6.06%12.12%———33.33%
215.15%3.03%3.03%———21.21%
39.09%3.03%—3.03%——15.15%
4—3.03%6.06%———9.09%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total54.55%18.18%24.24%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 0.76 +1.12
SD 1.43 0.94 1.69
CV 0.76 1.24 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%24.24%9.09%———45.45%
16.06%18.18%3.03%9.09%——36.36%
29.09%—3.03%———12.12%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%45.45%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.09 -0.30
SD 0.89 0.91 1.24
CV 1.13 0.84 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%18.18%6.06%3.03%——42.42%
112.12%15.15%—3.03%—3.03%33.33%
2—6.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%—21.21%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%39.39%15.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.33 -0.48
SD 0.87 1.27 1.23
CV 1.03 0.95 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%21.21%3.03%9.09%—3.03%42.42%
19.09%6.06%9.09%3.03%——27.27%
26.06%9.09%9.09%—3.03%—27.27%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%36.36%24.24%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.48 -0.58
SD 0.91 1.23 1.56
CV 1.01 0.83 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Cork City 1475 74 63.24 +10.76 95.0% 42 52 58 64 68 74 77
Shelbourne 1468 67 60.70 +6.30 79.0% 44 50 55 60 65 74 76
Derry City 1424 72 56.71 +15.29 99.0% 42 46 51 56 62 69 73
Drogheda United 1264 48 48.52 -0.52 52.0% 37 40 44 48 53 58 70
Bohemian 1195 45 52.30 -7.30 20.0% 36 41 48 52 58 64 66
Longford Town 1175 45 45.69 -0.69 48.0% 28 33 40 46 50 56 68
St Patrick's Athletic 1151 32 38.95 -6.95 24.0% 24 27 33 39 44 50 52
Bray Wanderers 1150 39 34.65 +4.35 77.0% 22 24 30 35 39 44 52
Waterford United 1135 34 33.60 +0.40 54.0% 17 24 30 34 37 43 48
Finn Harps 1122 21 32.95 -11.95 5.0% 19 21 28 32 37 44 50
UC Dublin 1118 33 39.24 -6.24 23.0% 25 29 34 40 44 49 60
Shamrock Rovers 1100 27 28.27 -1.27 44.0% 8 15 24 28 33 42 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.59%
Slight Edge
41.92%24.75%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 29.90 Elo pts.
207 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.13 goals
Neutral
-2+0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
47%
Cork City, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.45 * Some Luck: 5.45 to 8.18 * Lucky: 8.18 to 10.9 * Wild Swing: 10.9 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.09 * Close: 1.09 to 1.64 * Off: 1.64 to 2.19 * Way Off: 2.19 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.60 points
Some Luck
06.8117
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Close
01.373
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Derry City
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.00%
Finn Harps
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 142.27
2.33
Wide Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
90%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.21
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.34
Weak Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.98
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.06
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.073
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Cork City47.00%26.00%17.00%7.00%—2.00%1.00%—————
Derry City13.00%24.00%26.00%19.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%————
Shelbourne33.00%27.00%22.00%13.00%4.00%1.00%——————
Drogheda United2.00%4.00%12.00%17.00%20.00%29.00%8.00%8.00%————
Longford Town—2.00%7.00%14.00%20.00%16.00%22.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%
Bohemian5.00%16.00%16.00%21.00%21.00%12.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%———
Bray Wanderers————3.00%5.00%7.00%18.00%25.00%17.00%15.00%10.00%
Waterford United———1.00%——8.00%13.00%19.00%25.00%19.00%15.00%
UC Dublin—1.00%—4.00%7.00%13.00%18.00%22.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%4.00%
St Patrick's Athletic———3.00%14.00%10.00%17.00%18.00%11.00%13.00%10.00%4.00%
Shamrock Rovers—————1.00%5.00%2.00%10.00%14.00%22.00%46.00%
Finn Harps———1.00%1.00%5.00%7.00%9.00%18.00%17.00%22.00%20.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bohemian 95.00% 5.00% —
Cork City 53.00% 47.00% —
Derry City 87.00% 13.00% —
Drogheda United 98.00% 2.00% —
Shelbourne 67.00% 33.00% —
Longford Town 99.00% — 1.00%
St Patrick's Athletic 96.00% — 4.00%
UC Dublin 96.00% — 4.00%
Bray Wanderers 90.00% — 10.00%
Waterford United 85.00% — 15.00%
Finn Harps 80.00% — 20.00%
Shamrock Rovers 54.00% — 46.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2005-03-16 UC Dublin D 1-154.7 1299 1221 51.38% 25.54% 23.09%+0.52 -2.3 1
2005-03-16 @ Shelbourne D 1-154.7 1221 1299 23.09% 25.54% 51.38%-0.52 +2.3 1
2005-03-18 Derry City L 0-239.6 1218 1198 44.17% 26.08% 29.75%+0.24 -31.3 0
2005-03-18 @ Drogheda United W 2-039.6 1198 1218 29.75% 26.08% 44.17%-0.24 +31.3 3
2005-03-18 Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.0 1328 1221 54.60% 25.13% 20.27%+0.66 -2.8 1
2005-03-18 @ Bohemian D 1-155.0 1221 1328 20.27% 25.13% 54.60%-0.66 +2.8 1
2005-03-18 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-148.4 1167 1211 35.06% 26.24% 38.70%-0.07 +14.1 3
2005-03-18 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-248.4 1211 1167 38.70% 26.24% 35.06%+0.07 -14.1 0
2005-03-19 Cork City L 0-235.7 1208 1287 30.48% 26.12% 43.40%-0.24 -23.6 0
2005-03-19 @ Finn Harps W 2-035.7 1287 1208 43.40% 26.12% 30.48%+0.24 +23.6 3
2005-03-19 Waterford United L 1-251.0 1233 1186 47.58% 25.88% 26.54%+0.37 -16.7 0
2005-03-19 @ Longford Town W 2-151.0 1186 1233 26.54% 25.88% 47.58%-0.37 +16.7 3
2005-03-25 Bohemian D 0-049.4 1197 1325 24.64% 25.71% 49.65%-0.47 +2.2 1
2005-03-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-049.4 1325 1197 49.65% 25.71% 24.64%+0.47 -2.2 2
2005-03-25 Bray Wanderers D 1-154.9 1310 1181 56.97% 24.76% 18.27%+0.77 -3.2 4
2005-03-25 @ Cork City D 1-154.9 1181 1310 18.27% 24.76% 56.97%-0.77 +3.2 4
2005-03-25 Drogheda United L 0-240.2 1223 1187 46.17% 25.97% 27.85%+0.32 -32.5 1
2005-03-25 @ UC Dublin W 2-040.2 1187 1223 27.85% 25.97% 46.17%-0.32 +32.5 3
2005-03-25 Finn Harps W 2-145.8 1203 1185 43.85% 26.10% 30.05%+0.23 +11.7 6
2005-03-25 @ Waterford United L 1-245.8 1185 1203 30.05% 26.10% 43.85%-0.23 -11.7 0
2005-03-25 Shelbourne L 0-236.0 1223 1297 31.16% 26.14% 42.70%-0.21 -24.0 1
2005-03-25 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-036.0 1297 1223 42.70% 26.14% 31.16%+0.21 +24.0 4
2005-03-31 Cork City L 0-139.5 1217 1307 28.98% 26.04% 44.98%-0.29 -12.0 0
2005-03-31 @ Longford Town W 1-039.5 1307 1217 44.98% 26.04% 28.98%+0.29 +12.0 7
2005-04-01 Derry City L 0-146.6 1322 1229 53.11% 25.33% 21.56%+0.60 -19.5 2
2005-04-01 @ Bohemian W 1-046.6 1229 1322 21.56% 25.33% 53.11%-0.60 +19.5 6
2005-04-01 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.3 1220 1199 44.09% 26.09% 29.83%+0.24 -1.1 4
2005-04-01 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.3 1199 1220 29.83% 26.09% 44.09%-0.24 +1.1 2
2005-04-01 UC Dublin W 1-040.5 1184 1191 40.47% 26.21% 33.32%+0.11 +13.4 7
2005-04-01 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-140.5 1191 1184 33.32% 26.21% 40.47%-0.11 -13.4 1
2005-04-01 Waterford United W 1-036.6 1321 1215 54.53% 25.14% 20.33%+0.66 +9.0 7
2005-04-01 @ Shelbourne L 0-136.6 1215 1321 20.33% 25.14% 54.53%-0.66 -9.0 6
2005-04-02 Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.2 1173 1199 37.62% 26.24% 36.13%+0.02 -0.1 1
2005-04-02 @ Finn Harps D 1-154.2 1199 1173 36.13% 26.24% 37.62%-0.02 +0.1 2
2005-04-08 Bohemian W 2-040.4 1206 1303 28.12% 25.99% 45.89%-0.33 +32.4 9
2005-04-08 @ Waterford United L 0-240.4 1303 1206 45.89% 25.99% 28.12%+0.33 -32.3 2
2005-04-08 Drogheda United D 2-260.4 1198 1218 38.44% 26.24% 35.33%+0.04 -0.2 8
2005-04-08 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-260.4 1218 1198 35.33% 26.24% 38.44%-0.04 +0.2 5
2005-04-08 Finn Harps W 2-035.0 1201 1173 45.11% 26.04% 28.86%+0.28 +22.6 5
2005-04-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-235.0 1173 1201 28.86% 26.04% 45.11%-0.28 -22.6 1
2005-04-08 Longford Town L 0-238.6 1200 1205 40.67% 26.20% 33.12%+0.12 -29.3 2
2005-04-08 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-038.6 1205 1200 33.12% 26.20% 40.67%-0.12 +29.4 3
2005-04-08 Shelbourne D 0-049.5 1248 1330 30.13% 26.10% 43.77%-0.25 +1.2 7
2005-04-08 @ Derry City D 0-049.5 1330 1248 43.77% 26.10% 30.13%+0.25 -1.2 8
2005-04-08 UC Dublin D 0-049.6 1319 1177 58.23% 24.53% 17.24%+0.83 -3.8 8
2005-04-08 @ Cork City D 0-049.6 1177 1319 17.24% 24.53% 58.23%-0.83 +3.9 2
2005-04-12 Longford Town W 1-039.8 1250 1234 43.51% 26.11% 30.38%+0.22 +12.5 10
2005-04-12 @ Derry City L 0-139.8 1234 1250 30.38% 26.11% 43.51%-0.22 -12.5 3
2005-04-15 Cork City L 0-237.6 1271 1315 35.07% 26.24% 38.69%-0.07 -26.2 2
2005-04-15 @ Bohemian W 2-037.6 1315 1271 38.69% 26.24% 35.07%+0.07 +26.2 11
2005-04-15 Shamrock Rovers W 2-144.6 1219 1170 47.74% 25.87% 26.39%+0.38 +10.5 8
2005-04-15 @ Drogheda United L 1-244.6 1170 1219 26.39% 25.87% 47.74%-0.38 -10.5 2
2005-04-15 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-138.8 1329 1223 54.44% 25.16% 20.41%+0.66 +14.7 11
2005-04-15 @ Shelbourne L 1-338.8 1223 1329 20.41% 25.16% 54.44%-0.66 -14.7 5
2005-04-15 Waterford United W 1-042.7 1181 1238 33.37% 26.21% 40.42%-0.13 +15.5 5
2005-04-15 @ UC Dublin L 0-142.7 1238 1181 40.42% 26.21% 33.37%+0.13 -15.5 9
2005-04-16 Bray Wanderers W 2-145.6 1221 1197 44.62% 26.06% 29.32%+0.26 +11.5 6
2005-04-16 @ Longford Town L 1-245.6 1197 1221 29.32% 26.06% 44.62%-0.26 -11.4 8
2005-04-16 Derry City L 0-234.2 1150 1262 26.39% 25.87% 47.74%-0.40 -21.1 1
2005-04-16 @ Finn Harps W 2-034.2 1262 1150 47.74% 25.87% 26.39%+0.40 +21.1 13
2005-04-21 Shelbourne L 0-234.9 1233 1343 26.57% 25.88% 47.55%-0.39 -21.2 6
2005-04-21 @ Longford Town W 2-034.9 1343 1233 47.55% 25.88% 26.57%+0.39 +21.2 14
2005-04-22 Drogheda United L 0-147.2 1342 1229 55.18% 25.05% 19.77%+0.69 -20.1 11
2005-04-22 @ Cork City W 1-047.2 1229 1342 19.77% 25.05% 55.18%-0.69 +20.1 11
2005-04-22 Finn Harps W 1-035.9 1244 1129 55.51% 25.00% 19.49%+0.70 +8.7 5
2005-04-22 @ Bohemian L 0-135.9 1129 1244 19.49% 25.00% 55.51%-0.70 -8.7 1
2005-04-22 Shamrock Rovers L 2-358.3 1283 1160 56.36% 24.86% 18.78%+0.74 -18.4 13
2005-04-22 @ Derry City W 3-258.3 1160 1283 18.78% 24.86% 56.36%-0.74 +18.3 5
2005-04-22 UC Dublin W 3-251.0 1208 1197 42.99% 26.13% 30.87%+0.20 +11.3 8
2005-04-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-351.0 1197 1208 30.87% 26.13% 42.99%-0.20 -11.3 5
2005-04-22 Waterford United W 2-148.1 1186 1222 36.21% 26.24% 37.55%-0.03 +13.8 11
2005-04-22 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-248.1 1222 1186 37.55% 26.24% 36.21%+0.03 -13.8 9
2005-04-29 Bohemian D 2-260.6 1249 1253 40.83% 26.20% 32.97%+0.13 -0.5 12
2005-04-29 @ Drogheda United D 2-260.6 1253 1249 32.97% 26.20% 40.83%-0.13 +0.4 6
2005-04-29 Bray Wanderers W 4-134.1 1365 1200 60.43% 24.07% 15.50%+0.94 +16.3 17
2005-04-29 @ Shelbourne L 1-434.1 1200 1365 15.50% 24.07% 60.43%-0.94 -16.3 11
2005-04-29 Cork City L 1-339.5 1178 1321 22.95% 25.52% 51.53%-0.55 -16.3 5
2005-04-29 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-139.5 1321 1178 51.53% 25.52% 22.95%+0.55 +16.3 14
2005-04-29 Derry City W 1-043.6 1185 1265 30.35% 26.11% 43.54%-0.24 +16.4 8
2005-04-29 @ UC Dublin L 0-143.6 1265 1185 43.54% 26.11% 30.35%+0.24 -16.4 13
2005-04-29 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-040.7 1209 1220 39.81% 26.22% 33.97%+0.09 +13.6 12
2005-04-29 @ Waterford United L 0-140.7 1220 1209 33.97% 26.22% 39.81%-0.09 -13.6 8
2005-04-30 Longford Town D 0-048.9 1120 1212 28.88% 26.04% 45.09%-0.30 +1.4 2
2005-04-30 @ Finn Harps D 0-048.9 1212 1120 45.09% 26.04% 28.88%+0.30 -1.4 7
2005-05-06 Bohemian D 1-154.3 1202 1254 34.04% 26.22% 39.74%-0.11 +0.4 9
2005-05-06 @ UC Dublin D 1-154.3 1254 1202 39.74% 26.22% 34.04%+0.11 -0.4 7
2005-05-06 Bray Wanderers W 3-252.3 1162 1183 38.33% 26.24% 35.43%+0.04 +12.5 8
2005-05-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-352.3 1183 1162 35.43% 26.24% 38.33%-0.04 -12.6 11
2005-05-06 Finn Harps W 3-026.5 1381 1122 68.22% 21.80% 9.99%+1.40 +12.5 20
2005-05-06 @ Shelbourne L 0-326.5 1122 1381 9.99% 21.80% 68.22%-1.40 -12.5 2
2005-05-06 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-137.9 1338 1206 57.18% 24.72% 18.10%+0.78 +13.3 17
2005-05-06 @ Cork City L 1-337.9 1206 1338 18.10% 24.72% 57.18%-0.78 -13.2 8
2005-05-06 Waterford United W 1-039.3 1248 1222 44.90% 26.05% 29.05%+0.27 +12.1 16
2005-05-06 @ Derry City L 0-139.3 1222 1248 29.05% 26.05% 44.90%-0.27 -12.1 12
2005-05-07 Drogheda United D 1-154.3 1210 1249 35.92% 26.24% 37.84%-0.04 +0.2 8
2005-05-07 @ Longford Town D 1-154.3 1249 1210 37.84% 26.24% 35.92%+0.04 -0.1 13
2005-05-13 Cork City D 2-261.1 1210 1351 23.21% 25.55% 51.23%-0.54 +1.7 13
2005-05-13 @ Waterford United D 2-261.1 1351 1210 51.23% 25.55% 23.21%+0.54 -1.7 18
2005-05-13 Derry City L 0-139.2 1171 1260 29.09% 26.05% 44.86%-0.29 -12.1 11
2005-05-13 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-039.2 1260 1171 44.86% 26.05% 29.09%+0.29 +12.1 19
2005-05-13 Longford Town W 2-034.6 1253 1210 47.03% 25.92% 27.05%+0.35 +21.5 10
2005-05-13 @ Bohemian L 0-234.6 1210 1253 27.05% 25.92% 47.03%-0.35 -21.5 8
2005-05-13 Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.2 1193 1174 43.89% 26.10% 30.02%+0.23 -1.1 9
2005-05-13 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.2 1174 1193 30.02% 26.10% 43.89%-0.23 +1.1 9
2005-05-13 Shelbourne D 0-050.2 1249 1393 22.81% 25.50% 51.68%-0.56 +2.6 14
2005-05-13 @ Drogheda United D 0-050.2 1393 1249 51.68% 25.50% 22.81%+0.56 -2.6 21
2005-05-14 UC Dublin W 1-043.9 1109 1202 28.70% 26.03% 45.28%-0.30 +17.0 5
2005-05-14 @ Finn Harps L 0-143.9 1202 1109 45.28% 26.03% 28.70%+0.30 -17.0 9
2005-05-20 Bohemian L 1-244.5 1159 1275 25.95% 25.83% 48.22%-0.42 -10.4 11
2005-05-20 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-144.5 1275 1159 48.22% 25.83% 25.95%+0.42 +10.4 13
2005-05-20 Finn Harps W 1-035.6 1251 1126 56.52% 24.84% 18.65%+0.75 +8.3 17
2005-05-20 @ Drogheda United L 0-135.6 1126 1251 18.65% 24.84% 56.52%-0.75 -8.3 5
2005-05-20 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-260.7 1273 1192 51.65% 25.51% 22.84%+0.54 -1.7 20
2005-05-20 @ Derry City D 2-260.7 1192 1273 22.84% 25.51% 51.65%-0.54 +1.7 10
2005-05-20 Waterford United D 0-048.9 1175 1212 36.22% 26.24% 37.54%-0.03 +0.1 10
2005-05-20 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.9 1212 1175 37.54% 26.24% 36.22%+0.03 -0.1 14
2005-05-21 UC Dublin W 1-040.0 1189 1185 41.89% 26.17% 31.94%+0.16 +13.0 11
2005-05-21 @ Longford Town L 0-140.0 1185 1189 31.94% 26.17% 41.89%-0.16 -13.0 9
2005-05-27 Derry City W 2-034.0 1349 1271 51.38% 25.54% 23.08%+0.52 +18.9 21
2005-05-27 @ Cork City L 0-234.0 1271 1349 23.08% 25.54% 51.38%-0.52 -18.9 20
2005-05-27 Drogheda United L 0-335.1 1212 1260 34.60% 26.23% 39.17%-0.09 -37.7 14
2005-05-27 @ Waterford United W 3-035.1 1260 1212 39.17% 26.23% 34.60%+0.09 +37.7 20
2005-05-27 Longford Town L 0-142.6 1194 1202 40.21% 26.21% 33.58%+0.10 -15.4 10
2005-05-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-042.6 1202 1194 33.58% 26.21% 40.21%-0.10 +15.4 14
2005-05-27 Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.8 1172 1175 40.90% 26.20% 32.90%+0.13 -0.7 10
2005-05-27 @ UC Dublin D 0-048.8 1175 1172 32.90% 26.20% 40.90%-0.13 +0.7 11
2005-05-27 Shelbourne W 2-152.2 1285 1391 27.13% 25.92% 46.94%-0.37 +16.5 16
2005-05-27 @ Bohemian L 1-252.2 1391 1285 46.94% 25.92% 27.13%+0.37 -16.5 21
2005-05-28 Bray Wanderers L 1-247.8 1118 1148 37.07% 26.25% 36.68%+0.00 -13.7 5
2005-05-28 @ Finn Harps W 2-147.8 1148 1118 36.68% 26.25% 37.07%+0.00 +13.7 14
2005-05-30 Cork City L 0-241.4 1374 1368 42.21% 26.16% 31.63%+0.17 -30.2 21
2005-05-30 @ Shelbourne W 2-041.4 1368 1374 31.63% 26.16% 42.21%-0.17 +30.2 24
2005-06-03 Bohemian L 1-244.3 1176 1302 24.88% 25.73% 49.39%-0.46 -10.0 11
2005-06-03 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-144.3 1302 1176 49.39% 25.73% 24.88%+0.46 +10.0 19
2005-06-03 Bray Wanderers W 2-035.4 1178 1162 43.55% 26.11% 30.34%+0.22 +23.5 13
2005-06-03 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-235.4 1162 1178 30.34% 26.11% 43.55%-0.22 -23.5 14
2005-06-03 Drogheda United W 3-036.7 1252 1297 34.94% 26.24% 38.82%-0.08 +41.1 23
2005-06-03 @ Derry City L 0-336.7 1297 1252 38.82% 26.24% 34.94%+0.08 -41.1 20
2005-06-03 Shelbourne D 1-154.9 1171 1344 20.09% 25.10% 54.81%-0.69 +2.9 11
2005-06-03 @ UC Dublin D 1-154.9 1344 1171 54.81% 25.10% 20.09%+0.69 -2.9 22
2005-06-05 Longford Town L 0-335.2 1174 1217 35.23% 26.24% 38.53%-0.07 -38.3 14
2005-06-05 @ Waterford United W 3-035.2 1217 1174 38.53% 26.24% 35.23%+0.07 +38.3 17
2005-06-06 Finn Harps W 2-027.6 1398 1104 70.69% 20.82% 8.49%+1.57 +7.2 27
2005-06-06 @ Cork City L 0-227.6 1104 1398 8.49% 20.82% 70.69%-1.57 -7.2 5
2005-06-17 Cork City L 1-240.2 1139 1406 12.95% 23.22% 63.83%-1.15 -5.6 14
2005-06-17 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-140.2 1406 1139 63.83% 23.22% 12.95%+1.15 +5.6 30
2005-06-17 Shamrock Rovers L 1-254.8 1341 1166 61.36% 23.86% 14.78%+0.99 -20.9 22
2005-06-17 @ Shelbourne W 2-154.8 1166 1341 14.78% 23.86% 61.36%-0.99 +20.9 14
2005-06-17 UC Dublin L 1-252.2 1256 1174 51.79% 25.49% 22.72%+0.54 -17.9 20
2005-06-17 @ Drogheda United W 2-152.2 1174 1256 22.72% 25.49% 51.79%-0.54 +17.9 14
2005-06-18 Derry City D 0-049.3 1256 1293 36.07% 26.24% 37.69%-0.04 +0.1 18
2005-06-18 @ Longford Town D 0-049.3 1293 1256 37.69% 26.24% 36.07%+0.04 -0.1 24
2005-06-18 Waterford United W 2-037.6 1097 1136 35.90% 26.24% 37.86%-0.04 +27.8 8
2005-06-18 @ Finn Harps L 0-237.6 1136 1097 37.86% 26.24% 35.90%+0.04 -27.8 14
2005-06-24 Bray Wanderers W 3-249.1 1192 1133 49.09% 25.76% 25.15%+0.43 +9.6 17
2005-06-24 @ UC Dublin L 2-349.1 1133 1192 25.15% 25.76% 49.09%-0.43 -9.6 14
2005-06-24 Drogheda United L 0-237.4 1202 1238 36.19% 26.24% 37.57%-0.03 -26.9 13
2005-06-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-037.4 1238 1202 37.57% 26.24% 36.19%+0.03 +26.9 23
2005-06-24 Finn Harps L 1-444.1 1187 1125 49.45% 25.73% 24.82%+0.45 -42.2 14
2005-06-24 @ Shamrock Rovers W 4-144.1 1125 1187 24.82% 25.73% 49.45%-0.45 +42.2 11
2005-06-24 Longford Town D 0-050.8 1411 1256 59.54% 24.27% 16.20%+0.90 -4.1 31
2005-06-24 @ Cork City D 0-050.8 1256 1411 16.20% 24.27% 59.54%-0.90 +4.1 19
2005-06-24 Shelbourne L 2-440.5 1108 1320 16.71% 24.40% 58.89%-0.88 -11.0 14
2005-06-24 @ Waterford United W 4-240.5 1320 1108 58.89% 24.40% 16.71%+0.88 +11.0 25
2005-06-27 Longford Town W 1-038.1 1331 1260 50.56% 25.62% 23.82%+0.49 +10.3 28
2005-06-27 @ Shelbourne L 0-138.1 1260 1331 23.82% 25.62% 50.56%-0.49 -10.3 19
2005-07-01 Bray Wanderers W 3-029.2 1265 1123 58.21% 24.53% 17.25%+0.83 +21.3 26
2005-07-01 @ Drogheda United L 0-329.2 1123 1265 17.25% 24.53% 58.21%-0.83 -21.3 14
2005-07-01 Cork City L 1-533.7 1202 1407 17.28% 24.54% 58.19%-0.85 -23.2 17
2005-07-01 @ UC Dublin W 5-133.7 1407 1202 58.19% 24.54% 17.28%+0.85 +23.2 34
2005-07-01 Derry City L 1-252.0 1342 1293 47.78% 25.87% 26.36%+0.38 -16.7 28
2005-07-01 @ Shelbourne W 2-152.0 1293 1342 26.36% 25.87% 47.78%-0.38 +16.7 27
2005-07-01 Waterford United W 2-139.5 1312 1097 64.77% 22.94% 12.28%+1.18 +5.3 22
2005-07-01 @ Bohemian L 1-239.5 1097 1312 12.28% 22.94% 64.77%-1.18 -5.3 14
2005-07-02 Shamrock Rovers W 2-142.6 1250 1145 54.36% 25.17% 20.48%+0.65 +8.5 22
2005-07-02 @ Longford Town L 1-242.6 1145 1250 20.48% 25.17% 54.36%-0.65 -8.5 14
2005-07-02 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-238.4 1167 1175 40.28% 26.21% 33.50%+0.11 -29.1 11
2005-07-02 @ Finn Harps W 2-038.4 1175 1167 33.50% 26.21% 40.28%-0.11 +29.1 16
2005-07-08 Bohemian W 2-144.7 1430 1317 55.29% 25.03% 19.68%+0.69 +8.2 37
2005-07-08 @ Cork City L 1-244.7 1317 1430 19.68% 25.03% 55.29%-0.69 -8.2 22
2005-07-08 Drogheda United W 1-046.0 1136 1286 22.25% 25.43% 52.32%-0.58 +19.2 17
2005-07-08 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-146.0 1286 1136 52.32% 25.43% 22.25%+0.58 -19.2 26
2005-07-08 Finn Harps W 3-245.6 1310 1138 61.07% 23.93% 15.01%+0.98 +6.1 30
2005-07-08 @ Derry City L 2-345.6 1138 1310 15.01% 23.93% 61.07%-0.98 -6.1 11
2005-07-08 Longford Town D 1-154.4 1102 1258 21.67% 25.35% 52.98%-0.61 +2.6 15
2005-07-08 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-154.4 1258 1102 52.98% 25.35% 21.67%+0.61 -2.6 23
2005-07-08 Shelbourne L 0-138.3 1204 1325 25.37% 25.78% 48.85%-0.44 -10.8 16
2005-07-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-038.3 1325 1204 48.85% 25.78% 25.37%+0.44 +10.8 31
2005-07-09 UC Dublin D 0-048.8 1092 1179 29.40% 26.07% 44.53%-0.28 +1.3 15
2005-07-09 @ Waterford United D 0-048.8 1179 1092 44.53% 26.07% 29.40%+0.28 -1.3 18
2005-07-15 Bray Wanderers L 1-248.5 1093 1105 39.73% 26.22% 34.05%+0.09 -14.4 15
2005-07-15 @ Waterford United W 2-148.5 1105 1093 34.05% 26.22% 39.73%-0.09 +14.4 18
2005-07-15 Derry City L 0-232.7 1155 1316 21.25% 25.29% 53.46%-0.63 -17.6 17
2005-07-15 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-032.7 1316 1155 53.46% 25.29% 21.25%+0.63 +17.6 33
2005-07-15 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-040.8 1177 1193 39.17% 26.23% 34.60%+0.07 +13.8 21
2005-07-15 @ UC Dublin L 0-140.8 1193 1177 34.60% 26.23% 39.17%-0.07 -13.8 16
2005-07-16 Bohemian L 1-338.2 1132 1309 19.69% 25.03% 55.27%-0.71 -14.3 11
2005-07-16 @ Finn Harps W 3-138.2 1309 1132 55.27% 25.03% 19.69%+0.71 +14.3 25
2005-07-17 Cork City L 0-138.0 1267 1439 20.21% 25.12% 54.66%-0.68 -9.0 26
2005-07-17 @ Drogheda United W 1-038.0 1439 1267 54.66% 25.12% 20.21%+0.68 +8.9 40
2005-07-22 Drogheda United W 3-249.6 1323 1258 49.73% 25.70% 24.56%+0.46 +9.4 28
2005-07-22 @ Bohemian L 2-349.6 1258 1323 24.56% 25.70% 49.73%-0.46 -9.4 26
2005-07-22 Shamrock Rovers W 3-025.8 1447 1138 71.73% 20.38% 7.90%+1.64 +9.7 43
2005-07-22 @ Cork City L 0-325.8 1138 1447 7.90% 20.38% 71.73%-1.64 -9.7 17
2005-07-22 Shelbourne D 2-261.0 1119 1336 16.38% 24.32% 59.30%-0.90 +2.7 19
2005-07-22 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-261.0 1336 1119 59.30% 24.32% 16.38%+0.90 -2.7 32
2005-07-22 UC Dublin W 3-029.6 1333 1191 58.26% 24.52% 17.22%+0.83 +21.2 36
2005-07-22 @ Derry City L 0-329.6 1191 1333 17.22% 24.52% 58.26%-0.83 -21.2 21
2005-07-22 Waterford United W 1-036.3 1179 1078 53.93% 25.23% 20.84%+0.63 +9.2 19
2005-07-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-136.3 1078 1179 20.84% 25.23% 53.93%-0.63 -9.2 15
2005-07-23 Finn Harps W 1-035.2 1256 1117 57.84% 24.60% 17.56%+0.81 +7.9 26
2005-07-23 @ Longford Town L 0-135.2 1117 1256 17.56% 24.60% 57.84%-0.81 -7.9 11
2005-07-29 Derry City L 1-335.1 1069 1355 11.89% 22.77% 65.34%-1.24 -8.9 15
2005-07-29 @ Waterford United W 3-135.1 1355 1069 65.34% 22.77% 11.89%+1.24 +8.9 39
2005-07-29 UC Dublin D 1-155.1 1332 1170 60.20% 24.12% 15.67%+0.93 -3.8 29
2005-07-29 @ Bohemian D 1-155.1 1170 1332 15.67% 24.12% 60.20%-0.93 +3.8 22
2005-07-31 Cork City L 0-230.4 1188 1457 12.85% 23.18% 63.97%-1.16 -11.1 19
2005-07-31 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-030.4 1457 1188 63.97% 23.18% 12.85%+1.16 +11.1 46
2005-07-31 Longford Town D 1-154.5 1249 1263 39.34% 26.23% 34.43%+0.07 -0.4 27
2005-07-31 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.5 1263 1249 34.43% 26.23% 39.34%-0.07 +0.4 27
2005-07-31 Shamrock Rovers L 2-353.7 1122 1128 40.48% 26.21% 33.31%+0.11 -13.9 19
2005-07-31 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-253.7 1128 1122 33.31% 26.21% 40.48%-0.11 +13.9 20
2005-08-02 Bohemian W 2-146.7 1364 1329 46.04% 25.98% 27.98%+0.31 +11.0 42
2005-08-02 @ Derry City L 1-246.7 1329 1364 27.98% 25.98% 46.04%-0.31 -11.0 29
2005-08-05 Bray Wanderers D 2-261.9 1375 1108 68.77% 21.59% 9.64%+1.44 -3.9 43
2005-08-05 @ Derry City D 2-261.9 1108 1375 9.64% 21.59% 68.77%-1.44 +3.9 20
2005-08-05 Finn Harps D 1-154.3 1174 1110 49.68% 25.71% 24.61%+0.45 -2.0 23
2005-08-05 @ UC Dublin D 1-154.3 1110 1174 24.61% 25.71% 49.68%-0.45 +2.0 12
2005-08-05 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.8 1142 1177 36.37% 26.25% 37.39%-0.03 +0.1 21
2005-08-05 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.8 1177 1142 37.39% 26.25% 36.37%+0.03 -0.1 20
2005-08-05 Waterford United D 1-157.2 1468 1060 77.58% 17.43% 4.99%+2.12 -6.4 47
2005-08-05 @ Cork City D 1-157.2 1060 1468 4.99% 17.43% 77.58%-2.12 +6.4 16
2005-08-06 Bohemian W 1-043.1 1264 1318 33.80% 26.22% 39.98%-0.12 +15.4 30
2005-08-06 @ Longford Town L 0-143.1 1318 1264 39.98% 26.22% 33.80%+0.12 -15.4 29
2005-08-08 Drogheda United D 3-364.6 1333 1249 52.08% 25.46% 22.46%+0.55 -1.5 33
2005-08-08 @ Shelbourne D 3-364.6 1249 1333 22.46% 25.46% 52.08%-0.55 +1.5 28
2005-08-11 Bray Wanderers W 1-033.8 1302 1112 62.72% 23.52% 13.76%+1.07 +6.3 32
2005-08-11 @ Bohemian L 0-133.8 1112 1302 13.76% 23.52% 62.72%-1.07 -6.3 20
2005-08-12 Derry City D 1-155.1 1177 1371 18.25% 24.75% 57.00%-0.79 +3.2 21
2005-08-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-155.1 1371 1177 57.00% 24.75% 18.25%+0.79 -3.2 44
2005-08-12 Longford Town D 0-049.1 1172 1279 26.92% 25.91% 47.17%-0.38 +1.8 24
2005-08-12 @ UC Dublin D 0-049.1 1279 1172 47.17% 25.91% 26.92%+0.38 -1.8 31
2005-08-12 Shamrock Rovers L 0-139.6 1067 1142 30.90% 26.13% 42.96%-0.22 -12.7 16
2005-08-12 @ Waterford United W 1-039.6 1142 1067 42.96% 26.13% 30.90%+0.22 +12.7 24
2005-08-13 Drogheda United D 0-049.0 1112 1250 23.46% 25.58% 50.96%-0.53 +2.5 13
2005-08-13 @ Finn Harps D 0-049.0 1250 1112 50.96% 25.58% 23.46%+0.53 -2.5 29
2005-08-15 Shelbourne W 1-038.8 1462 1331 57.07% 24.74% 18.19%+0.78 +8.1 50
2005-08-15 @ Cork City L 0-138.8 1331 1462 18.19% 24.74% 57.07%-0.78 -8.2 33
2005-08-19 Bohemian W 2-146.9 1323 1308 43.39% 26.12% 30.49%+0.22 +11.8 36
2005-08-19 @ Shelbourne L 1-246.9 1308 1323 30.49% 26.12% 43.39%-0.22 -11.8 32
2005-08-19 Cork City W 3-150.8 1367 1470 27.50% 25.95% 46.55%-0.35 +28.3 47
2005-08-19 @ Derry City L 1-350.8 1470 1367 46.55% 25.95% 27.50%+0.35 -28.3 50
2005-08-19 Finn Harps W 2-146.7 1105 1114 40.17% 26.21% 33.61%+0.10 +12.7 23
2005-08-19 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-246.7 1114 1105 33.61% 26.21% 40.17%-0.10 -12.7 13
2005-08-19 UC Dublin W 1-040.9 1155 1173 38.76% 26.24% 35.01%+0.05 +13.9 27
2005-08-19 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-140.9 1173 1155 35.01% 26.24% 38.76%-0.05 -13.9 24
2005-08-19 Waterford United W 1-033.6 1248 1054 62.99% 23.45% 13.56%+1.08 +6.2 32
2005-08-19 @ Drogheda United L 0-133.6 1054 1248 13.56% 23.45% 62.99%-1.08 -6.2 16
2005-08-20 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-036.7 1277 1181 53.48% 25.29% 21.23%+0.61 +9.3 34
2005-08-20 @ Longford Town L 0-136.7 1181 1277 21.23% 25.29% 53.48%-0.61 -9.3 21
2005-09-02 Derry City D 1-155.6 1254 1396 23.09% 25.54% 51.38%-0.54 +2.3 33
2005-09-02 @ Drogheda United D 1-155.6 1396 1254 51.38% 25.54% 23.09%+0.54 -2.3 48
2005-09-02 Shamrock Rovers L 1-349.3 1297 1169 56.82% 24.79% 18.40%+0.76 -33.8 32
2005-09-02 @ Bohemian W 3-149.3 1169 1297 18.40% 24.79% 56.82%-0.76 +33.8 30
2005-09-02 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-042.3 1118 1171 33.89% 26.22% 39.89%-0.11 +15.3 26
2005-09-02 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-142.3 1171 1118 39.89% 26.22% 33.89%+0.11 -15.3 21
2005-09-02 UC Dublin W 4-239.9 1335 1160 61.41% 23.85% 14.74%+0.99 +9.8 39
2005-09-02 @ Shelbourne L 2-439.9 1160 1335 14.74% 23.85% 61.41%-0.99 -9.8 24
2005-09-02 Waterford United W 3-026.6 1287 1048 66.69% 22.33% 10.98%+1.30 +13.8 37
2005-09-02 @ Longford Town L 0-326.6 1048 1287 10.98% 22.33% 66.69%-1.30 -13.8 16
2005-09-09 Bohemian L 0-138.5 1156 1263 26.98% 25.91% 47.11%-0.37 -11.4 21
2005-09-09 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-038.5 1263 1156 47.11% 25.91% 26.98%+0.37 +11.4 35
2005-09-09 Bray Wanderers W 3-025.8 1442 1134 71.64% 20.42% 7.95%+1.64 +9.8 53
2005-09-09 @ Cork City L 0-325.8 1134 1442 7.95% 20.42% 71.64%-1.64 -9.8 26
2005-09-09 Drogheda United D 2-260.5 1150 1256 27.06% 25.92% 47.02%-0.37 +1.2 25
2005-09-09 @ UC Dublin D 2-260.5 1256 1150 47.02% 25.92% 27.06%+0.37 -1.2 34
2005-09-09 Finn Harps D 2-260.2 1034 1101 31.97% 26.17% 41.85%-0.18 +0.6 17
2005-09-09 @ Waterford United D 2-260.2 1101 1034 41.85% 26.17% 31.97%+0.18 -0.6 14
2005-09-09 Longford Town W 3-140.4 1394 1300 53.06% 25.34% 21.60%+0.60 +15.5 51
2005-09-09 @ Derry City L 1-340.4 1300 1394 21.60% 25.34% 53.06%-0.60 -15.5 37
2005-09-09 Shelbourne L 0-233.5 1202 1345 23.03% 25.53% 51.43%-0.55 -18.9 30
2005-09-09 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-033.5 1345 1202 51.43% 25.53% 23.03%+0.55 +18.8 42
2005-09-16 Derry City L 2-350.2 1274 1409 23.86% 25.63% 50.51%-0.51 -9.2 35
2005-09-16 @ Bohemian W 3-250.2 1409 1274 50.51% 25.63% 23.86%+0.51 +9.2 54
2005-09-16 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.6 1255 1145 54.97% 25.08% 19.95%+0.68 -2.9 35
2005-09-16 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.6 1145 1255 19.95% 25.08% 54.97%-0.68 +2.9 22
2005-09-16 UC Dublin L 0-141.6 1124 1151 37.55% 26.24% 36.21%+0.01 -14.6 26
2005-09-16 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-041.6 1151 1124 36.21% 26.24% 37.55%-0.01 +14.6 28
2005-09-16 Waterford United W 5-026.1 1364 1035 72.98% 19.81% 7.21%+1.74 +14.2 45
2005-09-16 @ Shelbourne L 0-526.1 1035 1364 7.21% 19.81% 72.98%-1.74 -14.2 17
2005-09-17 Shamrock Rovers W 3-037.6 1101 1184 29.95% 26.09% 43.96%-0.26 +45.3 17
2005-09-17 @ Finn Harps L 0-337.6 1184 1101 43.96% 26.09% 29.95%+0.26 -45.3 30
2005-09-18 Cork City D 0-051.4 1285 1452 20.65% 25.20% 54.15%-0.66 +3.1 38
2005-09-18 @ Longford Town D 0-051.4 1452 1285 54.15% 25.20% 20.65%+0.66 -3.1 54
2005-09-23 Shelbourne L 0-328.8 1146 1378 15.26% 24.01% 60.74%-0.98 -19.0 17
2005-09-23 @ Finn Harps W 3-028.8 1378 1146 60.74% 24.01% 15.26%+0.98 +19.0 48
2005-09-30 Bohemian W 2-044.1 1020 1265 14.38% 23.73% 61.89%-1.04 +42.1 20
2005-09-30 @ Waterford United L 0-244.1 1265 1020 61.89% 23.73% 14.38%+1.04 -42.1 35
2005-09-30 Drogheda United L 0-233.0 1109 1252 22.99% 25.53% 51.48%-0.55 -18.8 26
2005-09-30 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-033.0 1252 1109 51.48% 25.53% 22.99%+0.55 +18.8 38
2005-09-30 Finn Harps D 0-048.8 1147 1127 44.12% 26.09% 29.80%+0.24 -1.2 23
2005-09-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.8 1127 1147 29.80% 26.09% 44.12%-0.24 +1.2 18
2005-09-30 Longford Town W 4-251.4 1138 1288 22.28% 25.44% 52.28%-0.58 +28.0 33
2005-09-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-451.4 1288 1138 52.28% 25.44% 22.28%+0.58 -28.0 38
2005-09-30 Shelbourne W 2-149.4 1418 1397 44.23% 26.08% 29.69%+0.25 +11.6 57
2005-09-30 @ Derry City L 1-249.4 1397 1418 29.69% 26.08% 44.23%-0.25 -11.6 48
2005-10-02 UC Dublin W 1-032.5 1448 1166 69.92% 21.14% 8.94%+1.51 +4.1 57
2005-10-02 @ Cork City L 0-132.5 1166 1448 8.94% 21.14% 69.92%-1.51 -4.1 28
2005-10-03 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.4 1223 1146 51.19% 25.56% 23.25%+0.52 -2.3 36
2005-10-03 @ Bohemian D 1-154.4 1146 1223 23.25% 25.56% 51.19%-0.52 +2.3 24
2005-10-07 Derry City L 0-133.1 1128 1430 11.03% 22.36% 66.61%-1.31 -5.0 18
2005-10-07 @ Finn Harps W 1-033.1 1430 1128 66.61% 22.36% 11.03%+1.31 +5.1 60
2005-10-07 Shamrock Rovers D 0-049.3 1271 1166 54.34% 25.17% 20.49%+0.65 -3.1 39
2005-10-07 @ Drogheda United D 0-049.3 1166 1271 20.49% 25.17% 54.34%-0.65 +3.1 34
2005-10-07 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-033.0 1385 1148 66.55% 22.38% 11.07%+1.29 +5.1 51
2005-10-07 @ Shelbourne L 0-133.0 1148 1385 11.07% 22.38% 66.55%-1.29 -5.1 24
2005-10-09 Bray Wanderers D 1-154.8 1260 1090 60.89% 23.97% 15.14%+0.97 -3.9 39
2005-10-09 @ Longford Town D 1-154.8 1090 1260 15.14% 23.97% 60.89%-0.97 +3.9 27
2005-10-14 Drogheda United W 1-035.9 1452 1268 62.24% 23.64% 14.12%+1.04 +6.5 60
2005-10-14 @ Cork City L 0-135.9 1268 1452 14.12% 23.64% 62.24%-1.04 -6.5 39
2005-10-14 Finn Harps W 3-138.5 1221 1123 53.54% 25.28% 21.18%+0.62 +15.2 39
2005-10-14 @ Bohemian L 1-338.5 1123 1221 21.18% 25.28% 53.54%-0.62 -15.2 18
2005-10-14 Shamrock Rovers W 2-028.7 1435 1169 68.68% 21.62% 9.70%+1.43 +8.3 63
2005-10-14 @ Derry City L 0-228.7 1169 1435 9.70% 21.62% 68.68%-1.43 -8.3 34
2005-10-14 UC Dublin D 0-048.8 1143 1161 38.83% 26.24% 34.93%+0.06 -0.3 25
2005-10-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.8 1161 1143 34.93% 26.24% 38.83%-0.06 +0.3 29
2005-10-14 Waterford United W 1-038.8 1094 1063 45.59% 26.01% 28.40%+0.30 +11.8 30
2005-10-14 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-138.8 1063 1094 28.40% 26.01% 45.59%-0.30 -11.8 20
2005-10-15 Shelbourne L 0-234.5 1256 1390 23.90% 25.63% 50.47%-0.51 -19.4 39
2005-10-15 @ Longford Town W 2-034.5 1390 1256 50.47% 25.63% 23.90%+0.51 +19.4 54
2005-10-17 Waterford United L 2-357.7 1162 1051 55.04% 25.07% 19.89%+0.68 -18.0 29
2005-10-17 @ UC Dublin W 3-257.7 1051 1162 19.89% 25.07% 55.04%-0.68 +18.0 23
2005-10-18 Cork City L 1-238.4 1108 1459 8.76% 21.02% 70.22%-1.55 -3.7 18
2005-10-18 @ Finn Harps W 2-138.4 1459 1108 70.22% 21.02% 8.76%+1.55 +3.8 63
2005-10-21 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.1 1069 1143 31.04% 26.14% 42.82%-0.21 +0.9 24
2005-10-21 @ Waterford United D 1-154.1 1143 1069 42.82% 26.14% 31.04%+0.21 -0.9 26
2005-10-22 Longford Town W 5-040.6 1104 1237 24.11% 25.65% 50.24%-0.50 +81.7 21
2005-10-22 @ Finn Harps L 0-540.6 1237 1104 50.24% 25.65% 24.11%+0.50 -81.7 39
2005-10-28 Bohemian L 1-341.1 1144 1236 28.79% 26.03% 45.18%-0.30 -19.5 29
2005-10-28 @ UC Dublin W 3-141.1 1236 1144 45.18% 26.03% 28.79%+0.30 +19.5 42
2005-10-28 Bray Wanderers L 0-144.8 1161 1106 48.57% 25.80% 25.63%+0.41 -18.0 34
2005-10-28 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-044.8 1106 1161 25.63% 25.80% 48.57%-0.41 +18.0 33
2005-10-28 Finn Harps W 1-033.7 1410 1186 65.52% 22.71% 11.77%+1.23 +5.4 57
2005-10-28 @ Shelbourne L 0-133.7 1186 1410 11.77% 22.71% 65.52%-1.23 -5.4 21
2005-10-28 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-151.1 1463 1142 72.44% 20.06% 7.50%+1.70 -25.5 63
2005-10-28 @ Cork City W 1-051.1 1142 1463 7.50% 20.06% 72.44%-1.70 +25.5 29
2005-10-28 Waterford United L 0-151.2 1443 1070 75.66% 18.48% 5.86%+1.95 -26.4 63
2005-10-28 @ Derry City W 1-051.2 1070 1443 5.86% 18.48% 75.66%-1.95 +26.3 27
2005-10-29 Drogheda United L 0-138.6 1155 1261 27.08% 25.92% 47.00%-0.37 -11.4 39
2005-10-29 @ Longford Town W 1-038.6 1261 1155 47.00% 25.92% 27.08%+0.37 +11.4 42
2005-10-31 Bray Wanderers W 5-027.2 1415 1124 70.50% 20.90% 8.60%+1.55 +17.2 60
2005-10-31 @ Shelbourne L 0-527.2 1124 1415 8.60% 20.90% 70.50%-1.55 -17.2 33
2005-10-31 Cork City L 1-243.8 1255 1437 19.26% 24.95% 55.79%-0.73 -8.1 42
2005-10-31 @ Bohemian W 2-143.8 1437 1255 55.79% 24.95% 19.26%+0.73 +8.1 66
2005-10-31 Derry City L 0-229.2 1124 1417 11.50% 22.59% 65.91%-1.27 -9.9 29
2005-10-31 @ UC Dublin W 2-029.2 1417 1124 65.91% 22.59% 11.50%+1.27 +9.9 66
2005-11-04 Cork City D 2-262.3 1096 1445 8.83% 21.06% 70.11%-1.55 +4.0 28
2005-11-04 @ Waterford United D 2-262.3 1445 1096 70.11% 21.06% 8.83%+1.55 -4.0 67
2005-11-04 Derry City L 0-326.7 1107 1427 10.12% 21.87% 68.01%-1.40 -12.7 33
2005-11-04 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-026.7 1427 1107 68.01% 21.87% 10.12%+1.40 +12.7 69
2005-11-04 Longford Town W 1-036.3 1247 1144 54.24% 25.18% 20.57%+0.65 +9.1 45
2005-11-04 @ Bohemian L 0-136.3 1144 1247 20.57% 25.18% 54.24%-0.65 -9.1 39
2005-11-04 Shamrock Rovers W 3-141.2 1168 1143 44.69% 26.06% 29.25%+0.26 +19.8 32
2005-11-04 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-341.2 1143 1168 29.25% 26.06% 44.69%-0.26 -19.8 34
2005-11-04 Shelbourne L 0-234.3 1273 1432 21.29% 25.30% 53.41%-0.63 -17.6 42
2005-11-04 @ Drogheda United W 2-034.3 1432 1273 53.41% 25.30% 21.29%+0.63 +17.6 63
2005-11-05 UC Dublin L 1-251.5 1181 1114 49.94% 25.68% 24.38%+0.47 -17.4 21
2005-11-05 @ Finn Harps W 2-151.5 1114 1181 24.38% 25.68% 49.94%-0.47 +17.4 32
2005-11-07 Cork City L 0-228.7 1123 1441 10.21% 21.92% 67.87%-1.39 -8.8 34
2005-11-07 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-028.7 1441 1123 67.87% 21.92% 10.21%+1.39 +8.8 70
2005-11-08 Bohemian W 3-251.8 1255 1256 41.17% 26.19% 32.64%+0.14 +11.8 45
2005-11-08 @ Drogheda United L 2-351.8 1256 1255 32.64% 26.19% 41.17%-0.14 -11.8 45
2005-11-11 Bohemian W 3-147.9 1094 1245 22.22% 25.43% 52.35%-0.58 +31.4 36
2005-11-11 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-347.9 1245 1094 52.35% 25.43% 22.22%+0.58 -31.4 45
2005-11-11 Cork City D 0-055.1 1450 1450 41.38% 26.19% 32.43%+0.15 -0.8 64
2005-11-11 @ Shelbourne D 0-055.1 1450 1450 32.43% 26.19% 41.38%-0.15 +0.8 71
2005-11-11 Finn Harps W 2-032.3 1267 1163 54.23% 25.19% 20.59%+0.65 +17.1 48
2005-11-11 @ Drogheda United L 0-232.3 1163 1267 20.59% 25.19% 54.23%-0.65 -17.1 21
2005-11-11 Waterford United L 1-249.6 1114 1100 43.33% 26.12% 30.55%+0.21 -15.4 34
2005-11-11 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-149.6 1100 1114 30.55% 26.12% 43.33%-0.21 +15.4 31
2005-11-12 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-029.2 1439 1187 67.69% 21.99% 10.33%+1.36 +8.9 72
2005-11-12 @ Derry City L 0-229.2 1187 1439 10.33% 21.99% 67.69%-1.36 -8.9 32
2005-11-12 UC Dublin W 1-040.0 1135 1132 41.76% 26.17% 32.07%+0.16 +13.0 42
2005-11-12 @ Longford Town L 0-140.0 1132 1135 32.07% 26.17% 41.76%-0.16 -13.0 32
2005-11-18 Bray Wanderers L 2-449.0 1146 1126 44.15% 26.08% 29.76%+0.24 -24.3 21
2005-11-18 @ Finn Harps W 4-249.0 1126 1146 29.76% 26.08% 44.15%-0.24 +24.3 39
2005-11-18 Derry City W 2-042.2 1451 1448 41.71% 26.18% 32.12%+0.16 +24.6 74
2005-11-18 @ Cork City L 0-242.2 1448 1451 32.12% 26.18% 41.71%-0.16 -24.6 72
2005-11-18 Drogheda United W 1-046.5 1115 1284 20.47% 25.17% 54.37%-0.67 +19.9 34
2005-11-18 @ Waterford United L 0-146.5 1284 1115 54.37% 25.17% 20.47%+0.67 -19.9 48
2005-11-18 Longford Town L 1-346.0 1179 1148 45.52% 26.01% 28.47%+0.29 -27.8 32
2005-11-18 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-146.0 1148 1179 28.47% 26.01% 45.52%-0.29 +27.8 45
2005-11-18 Shamrock Rovers D 2-260.2 1119 1099 44.04% 26.09% 29.87%+0.24 -0.8 33
2005-11-18 @ UC Dublin D 2-260.2 1099 1119 29.87% 26.09% 44.04%-0.24 +0.8 35
2005-11-18 Shelbourne L 0-329.7 1213 1449 14.96% 23.91% 61.12%-1.00 -18.7 45
2005-11-18 @ Bohemian W 3-029.7 1449 1213 61.12% 23.91% 14.96%+1.00 +18.7 67

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2005-10-28 5.86% Waterford United 1070 1 @ Derry City 1443 0
2 2005-10-28 7.50% St Patrick's Athletic 1142 1 @ Cork City 1463 0
3 2005-09-30 14.38% @ Waterford United 1020 2 Bohemian 1265 0
4 2005-06-17 14.78% Shamrock Rovers 1166 2 @ Shelbourne 1341 1
5 2005-09-02 18.40% Shamrock Rovers 1169 3 @ Bohemian 1297 1
6 2005-04-22 18.78% Shamrock Rovers 1160 3 @ Derry City 1283 2
7 2005-04-22 19.77% Drogheda United 1229 1 @ Cork City 1342 0
8 2005-10-17 19.89% Waterford United 1051 3 @ UC Dublin 1162 2
9 2005-11-18 20.47% @ Waterford United 1115 1 Drogheda United 1284 0
10 2005-04-01 21.56% Derry City 1229 1 @ Bohemian 1322 0
11 2005-11-11 22.22% @ Bray Wanderers 1094 3 Bohemian 1245 1
12 2005-07-08 22.25% @ Shamrock Rovers 1136 1 Drogheda United 1286 0
13 2005-09-30 22.28% @ Shamrock Rovers 1138 4 Longford Town 1288 2
14 2005-06-17 22.72% UC Dublin 1174 2 @ Drogheda United 1256 1
15 2005-10-22 24.11% @ Finn Harps 1104 5 Longford Town 1237 0
16 2005-11-05 24.38% UC Dublin 1114 2 @ Finn Harps 1181 1
17 2005-06-24 24.82% Finn Harps 1125 4 @ Shamrock Rovers 1187 1
18 2005-10-28 25.63% Bray Wanderers 1106 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1161 0
19 2005-07-01 26.36% Derry City 1293 2 @ Shelbourne 1342 1
20 2005-03-19 26.54% Waterford United 1186 2 @ Longford Town 1233 1
21 2005-05-27 27.13% @ Bohemian 1285 2 Shelbourne 1391 1
22 2005-08-19 27.50% @ Derry City 1367 3 Cork City 1470 1
23 2005-03-25 27.85% Drogheda United 1187 2 @ UC Dublin 1223 0
24 2005-04-08 28.12% @ Waterford United 1206 2 Bohemian 1303 0
25 2005-11-18 28.47% Longford Town 1148 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1179 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-10-22 81.67 @ Finn Harps 5 1104 24.11% Longford Town 0 1237 50.24% 25.65%
2 2005-09-17 45.34 @ Finn Harps 3 1101 29.95% Shamrock Rovers 0 1184 43.96% 26.09%
3 2005-06-24 42.20 Finn Harps 4 1125 24.82% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1187 49.45% 25.73%
4 2005-09-30 42.12 @ Waterford United 2 1020 14.38% Bohemian 0 1265 61.89% 23.73%
5 2005-06-03 41.13 @ Derry City 3 1252 34.94% Drogheda United 0 1297 38.82% 26.24%
6 2005-06-05 38.27 Longford Town 3 1217 38.53% @ Waterford United 0 1174 35.23% 26.24%
7 2005-05-27 37.74 Drogheda United 3 1260 39.17% @ Waterford United 0 1212 34.60% 26.23%
8 2005-09-02 33.75 Shamrock Rovers 3 1169 18.40% @ Bohemian 1 1297 56.82% 24.79%
9 2005-03-25 32.51 Drogheda United 2 1187 27.85% @ UC Dublin 0 1223 46.17% 25.97%
10 2005-04-08 32.35 @ Waterford United 2 1206 28.12% Bohemian 0 1303 45.89% 25.99%
11 2005-11-11 31.36 @ Bray Wanderers 3 1094 22.22% Bohemian 1 1245 52.35% 25.43%
12 2005-03-18 31.34 Derry City 2 1198 29.75% @ Drogheda United 0 1218 44.17% 26.08%
13 2005-05-30 30.22 Cork City 2 1368 31.63% @ Shelbourne 0 1374 42.21% 26.16%
14 2005-04-08 29.35 Longford Town 2 1205 33.12% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1200 40.67% 26.20%
15 2005-07-02 29.14 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1175 33.50% @ Finn Harps 0 1167 40.28% 26.21%
16 2005-08-19 28.34 @ Derry City 3 1367 27.50% Cork City 1 1470 46.55% 25.95%
17 2005-09-30 28.02 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1138 22.28% Longford Town 2 1288 52.28% 25.44%
18 2005-11-18 27.82 Longford Town 3 1148 28.47% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1179 45.52% 26.01%
19 2005-06-18 27.79 @ Finn Harps 2 1097 35.90% Waterford United 0 1136 37.86% 26.24%
20 2005-06-24 26.87 Drogheda United 2 1238 37.57% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1202 36.19% 26.24%
21 2005-10-28 26.35 Waterford United 1 1070 5.86% @ Derry City 0 1443 75.66% 18.48%
22 2005-04-15 26.25 Cork City 2 1315 38.69% @ Bohemian 0 1271 35.07% 26.24%
23 2005-10-28 25.54 St Patrick's Athletic 1 1142 7.50% @ Cork City 0 1463 72.44% 20.06%
24 2005-11-18 24.56 @ Cork City 2 1451 41.71% Derry City 0 1448 32.12% 26.18%
25 2005-11-18 24.27 Bray Wanderers 4 1126 29.76% @ Finn Harps 2 1146 44.15% 26.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-08-08 64.6 @ Shelbourne 3 1333 52.08% Drogheda United 3 1249 22.46% 25.46%
2 2005-11-04 62.3 @ Waterford United 2 1096 8.83% Cork City 2 1445 70.11% 21.06%
3 2005-08-05 61.9 @ Derry City 2 1375 68.77% Bray Wanderers 2 1108 9.64% 21.59%
4 2005-05-13 61.1 @ Waterford United 2 1210 23.21% Cork City 2 1351 51.23% 25.55%
5 2005-07-22 61.0 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1119 16.38% Shelbourne 2 1336 59.30% 24.32%
6 2005-05-20 60.7 @ Derry City 2 1273 51.65% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1192 22.84% 25.51%
7 2005-04-29 60.6 @ Drogheda United 2 1249 40.83% Bohemian 2 1253 32.97% 26.20%
8 2005-09-09 60.5 @ UC Dublin 2 1150 27.06% Drogheda United 2 1256 47.02% 25.92%
9 2005-04-08 60.4 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1198 38.44% Drogheda United 2 1218 35.33% 26.24%
10 2005-09-09 60.2 @ Waterford United 2 1034 31.97% Finn Harps 2 1101 41.85% 26.17%
11 2005-11-18 60.2 @ UC Dublin 2 1119 44.04% Shamrock Rovers 2 1099 29.87% 26.09%
12 2005-04-22 58.3 Shamrock Rovers 3 1160 18.78% @ Derry City 2 1283 56.36% 24.86%
13 2005-10-17 57.7 Waterford United 3 1051 19.89% @ UC Dublin 2 1162 55.04% 25.07%
14 2005-08-05 57.2 @ Cork City 1 1468 77.58% Waterford United 1 1060 4.99% 17.43%
15 2005-09-02 55.6 @ Drogheda United 1 1254 23.09% Derry City 1 1396 51.38% 25.54%
16 2005-07-29 55.1 @ Bohemian 1 1332 60.20% UC Dublin 1 1170 15.67% 24.12%
17 2005-08-12 55.1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1177 18.25% Derry City 1 1371 57.00% 24.75%
18 2005-11-11 55.1 @ Shelbourne 0 1450 41.38% Cork City 0 1450 32.43% 26.19%
19 2005-03-18 55.0 @ Bohemian 1 1328 54.60% Shamrock Rovers 1 1221 20.27% 25.13%
20 2005-03-25 54.9 @ Cork City 1 1310 56.97% Bray Wanderers 1 1181 18.27% 24.76%
21 2005-06-03 54.9 @ UC Dublin 1 1171 20.09% Shelbourne 1 1344 54.81% 25.10%
22 2005-06-17 54.8 Shamrock Rovers 2 1166 14.78% @ Shelbourne 1 1341 61.36% 23.86%
23 2005-10-09 54.8 @ Longford Town 1 1260 60.89% Bray Wanderers 1 1090 15.14% 23.97%
24 2005-03-16 54.7 @ Shelbourne 1 1299 51.38% UC Dublin 1 1221 23.09% 25.54%
25 2005-09-16 54.6 @ Drogheda United 1 1255 54.97% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1145 19.95% 25.08%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2005-07-22 25.8 @ Cork City 3 1447 71.73% Shamrock Rovers 0 1138 7.90% 20.38%
2 2005-09-09 25.8 @ Cork City 3 1442 71.64% Bray Wanderers 0 1134 7.95% 20.42%
3 2005-09-16 26.1 @ Shelbourne 5 1364 72.98% Waterford United 0 1035 7.21% 19.81%
4 2005-05-06 26.5 @ Shelbourne 3 1381 68.22% Finn Harps 0 1122 9.99% 21.80%
5 2005-09-02 26.6 @ Longford Town 3 1287 66.69% Waterford United 0 1048 10.98% 22.33%
6 2005-11-04 26.7 Derry City 3 1427 68.01% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1107 10.12% 21.87%
7 2005-10-31 27.2 @ Shelbourne 5 1415 70.50% Bray Wanderers 0 1124 8.60% 20.90%
8 2005-06-06 27.6 @ Cork City 2 1398 70.69% Finn Harps 0 1104 8.49% 20.82%
9 2005-10-14 28.7 @ Derry City 2 1435 68.68% Shamrock Rovers 0 1169 9.70% 21.62%
10 2005-11-07 28.7 Cork City 2 1441 67.87% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1123 10.21% 21.92%
11 2005-09-23 28.8 Shelbourne 3 1378 60.74% @ Finn Harps 0 1146 15.26% 24.01%
12 2005-07-01 29.2 @ Drogheda United 3 1265 58.21% Bray Wanderers 0 1123 17.25% 24.53%
13 2005-10-31 29.2 Derry City 2 1417 65.91% @ UC Dublin 0 1124 11.50% 22.59%
14 2005-11-12 29.2 @ Derry City 2 1439 67.69% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1187 10.33% 21.99%
15 2005-07-22 29.6 @ Derry City 3 1333 58.26% UC Dublin 0 1191 17.22% 24.52%
16 2005-11-18 29.7 Shelbourne 3 1449 61.12% @ Bohemian 0 1213 14.96% 23.91%
17 2005-07-31 30.4 Cork City 2 1457 63.97% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1188 12.85% 23.18%
18 2005-11-11 32.3 @ Drogheda United 2 1267 54.23% Finn Harps 0 1163 20.59% 25.19%
19 2005-10-02 32.5 @ Cork City 1 1448 69.92% UC Dublin 0 1166 8.94% 21.14%
20 2005-07-15 32.7 Derry City 2 1316 53.46% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1155 21.25% 25.29%
21 2005-09-30 33.0 Drogheda United 2 1252 51.48% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1109 22.99% 25.53%
22 2005-10-07 33.0 @ Shelbourne 1 1385 66.55% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1148 11.07% 22.38%
23 2005-10-07 33.1 Derry City 1 1430 66.61% @ Finn Harps 0 1128 11.03% 22.36%
24 2005-09-09 33.5 Shelbourne 2 1345 51.43% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1202 23.03% 25.53%
25 2005-08-19 33.6 @ Drogheda United 1 1248 62.99% Waterford United 0 1054 13.56% 23.45%