2009 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

180 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Bohemian

77 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shamrock Rovers

15.72 points above expected

73 points · 57.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Drogheda United

11.89 points below expected

32 points · 43.89 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Bohemian	36	24	5	7	77	62	21	+41	70.81	+6.19
2	Shamrock Rovers	36	21	10	5	73	51	27	+24	57.28	+15.72
3	Cork City	36	17	9	10	60	42	28	+14	60.30	-0.30
4	Derry City	36	18	5	13	59	49	31	+18	61.24	-2.24
5	Dundalk	36	12	8	16	44	46	51	-5	37.76	+6.24
6	Sligo Rovers	36	11	10	15	43	41	51	-10	45.38	-2.38
7	St Patrick's Athletic	36	13	4	19	43	29	46	-17	48.13	-5.13
8	Galway United (old)	36	12	6	18	42	36	57	-21	42.24	-0.24
9	Drogheda United	36	7	11	18	32	32	50	-18	43.89	-11.89
10	Bray Wanderers	36	6	10	20	28	30	56	-26	34.33	-6.33

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Shamrock Rovers	73	57.28	+15.72
2	Dundalk	44	37.76	+6.24
3	Bohemian	77	70.81	+6.19
4	Galway United (old)	42	42.24	-0.24
5	Cork City	60	60.30	-0.30

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Drogheda United	32	43.89	-11.89
2	Bray Wanderers	28	34.33	-6.33
3	St Patrick's Athletic	43	48.13	-5.13
4	Sligo Rovers	43	45.38	-2.38
5	Derry City	59	61.24	-2.24

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Shamrock Rovers	7	Aug 28 – Oct 17	1 in 108
2	Dundalk	3	Jun 5 – Jul 3	1 in 96
3	Cork City	6	Apr 17 – May 22	1 in 57
4	Sligo Rovers	3	Oct 6 – Oct 13	1 in 12
5	St Patrick's Athletic	3	Mar 13 – Mar 27	1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Derry City	5	Sep 29 – Oct 20	1 in 287
2	St Patrick's Athletic	3	Apr 3 – Apr 11	1 in 20
3	Bohemian	2	May 8 – May 16	1 in 14
4	Sligo Rovers	3	Jun 2 – Jun 19	1 in 11
5	Drogheda United	3	Apr 7 – Apr 17	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Shamrock Rovers	22	May 9 – Oct 17	1 in 7,108
2	Drogheda United	6	May 30 – Jul 10	1 in 58
3	Cork City	10	Mar 27 – May 22	1 in 37
4	Sligo Rovers	6	Sep 29 – Oct 20	1 in 33
5	Derry City	6	Mar 6 – Apr 7	1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Drogheda United	10	Mar 6 – May 1	1 in 118
2	Derry City	5	Jul 3 – Aug 2	1 in 23
3	Dundalk	7	Oct 2 – Nov 6	1 in 23
4	Cork City	4	May 29 – Jun 19	1 in 19
5	Sligo Rovers	6	Jun 2 – Jul 18	1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Bohemian	1658	77	+24	13	10.8	+2.2
Shamrock Rovers	1561	73	-8	7	9.8	-2.8
Cork City	1540	60	-2	8	8.1	-0.1
Derry City	1527	59	-2	9	9.4	-0.4
Dundalk	1399	44	-19	2	6.0	-4.0
Sligo Rovers	1438	43	+22	10	6.3	+3.7
St Patrick's Athletic	1411	43	+14	9	5.5	+3.5
Galway United (old)	1348	42	-9	5	4.0	+1.0
Drogheda United	1393	32	+1	4	5.8	-1.8
Bray Wanderers	1294	28	-21	2	3.9	-1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BOH	BW	CC	DC	DU	DUN	GU(	SR	SR	SPA
Bohemian	—	2-1-1 9.30	3-0-1 6.82	2-1-1 6.78	3-1-0 8.32	4-0-0 8.82	4-0-0 8.58	1-1-2 7.35	2-1-1 8.43	3-0-1 8.22
Bray Wanderers	1-1-2 2.00	—	1-0-3 2.87	0-1-3 2.76	1-1-2 4.39	0-3-1 4.99	0-1-3 4.64	1-1-2 3.58	1-1-2 4.29	1-1-2 3.94
Cork City	1-0-3 4.29	3-0-1 8.32	—	2-1-1 5.45	2-1-1 7.36	2-0-2 7.91	3-1-0 7.69	1-3-0 5.90	2-2-0 6.94	1-1-2 6.87
Derry City	1-1-2 4.33	3-1-0 8.44	1-1-2 5.64	—	3-0-1 7.13	2-0-2 7.91	1-1-2 7.60	1-1-2 6.07	2-0-2 7.30	4-0-0 6.95
Drogheda United	0-1-3 2.87	2-1-1 6.72	1-1-2 3.76	1-0-3 3.99	—	0-2-2 6.41	2-1-1 5.63	0-2-2 4.19	0-3-1 5.35	1-0-3 5.30
Dundalk	0-0-4 2.41	1-3-0 6.11	2-0-2 3.25	2-0-2 3.25	2-2-0 4.69	—	3-0-1 4.67	0-1-3 3.68	2-1-1 4.70	0-1-3 4.72
Galway United (old)	0-0-4 2.64	3-1-0 6.46	0-1-3 3.45	2-1-1 3.54	1-1-2 5.46	1-0-3 6.44	—	0-1-3 3.92	1-1-2 5.34	4-0-0 4.65
Shamrock Rovers	2-1-1 3.78	2-1-1 7.57	0-3-1 5.19	2-1-1 5.03	2-2-0 6.93	3-1-0 7.45	3-1-0 7.23	—	4-0-0 6.43	3-0-1 6.79
Sligo Rovers	1-1-2 2.77	2-1-1 6.82	0-2-2 4.18	2-0-2 3.82	1-3-0 5.74	1-1-2 6.40	2-1-1 5.75	0-0-4 4.68	—	2-1-1 5.09
St Patrick's Athletic	1-0-3 2.97	2-1-1 7.18	2-1-1 4.24	0-0-4 4.17	3-0-1 5.79	3-1-0 6.40	0-0-4 6.45	1-0-3 4.32	1-1-2 6.00	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.78	+13.8
Allowed	0.87	-11.4
Differential	0.93	+7.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.22%	13.06%	6.67%	4.17%	0.83%	0.56%	32.50%
1	13.06%	8.89%	7.78%	4.17%	—	—	33.89%
2	6.67%	7.78%	5.56%	0.83%	0.83%	—	21.67%
3	4.17%	4.17%	0.83%	—	0.28%	—	9.44%
4	0.83%	—	0.83%	0.28%	—	—	1.94%
5+	0.56%	—	—	—	—	—	0.56%
Total	32.50%	33.89%	21.67%	9.44%	1.94%	0.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.16	1.16	+0.00
SD	1.08	1.08	1.64
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
1	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	36.11%
2	25.00%	—	—	2.78%	—	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	61.11%	25.00%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.72	0.58	+1.14
SD	1.28	0.87	1.64
CV	0.74	1.50	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	41.67%
1	2.78%	13.89%	13.89%	8.33%	—	—	38.89%
2	—	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	38.89%	33.33%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.83	1.56	-0.72
SD	0.88	0.91	1.26
CV	1.05	0.58	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	—	27.78%
1	19.44%	11.11%	8.33%	—	—	—	38.89%
2	8.33%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	25.00%
3	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	44.44%	36.11%	16.67%	2.78%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	0.78	+0.39
SD	1.00	0.83	1.23
CV	0.86	1.07	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	19.44%	2.78%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	13.89%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
3	13.89%	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	—	19.44%
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	41.67%	13.89%	5.56%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	0.86	+0.50
SD	1.15	0.87	1.65
CV	0.85	1.01	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	22.22%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	41.67%
1	8.33%	11.11%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
2	2.78%	5.56%	11.11%	—	2.78%	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	2.78%	—	—	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	38.89%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.89	1.39	-0.50
SD	0.95	1.13	1.48
CV	1.07	0.81	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	13.89%	8.33%	2.78%	—	2.78%	33.33%
1	11.11%	8.33%	8.33%	2.78%	—	—	30.56%
2	—	2.78%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	—	16.67%
3	11.11%	2.78%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	2.78%	2.78%	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.78%	27.78%	27.78%	11.11%	2.78%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.42	-0.14
SD	1.23	1.25	1.79
CV	0.97	0.88	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	19.44%	8.33%	2.78%	2.78%	47.22%
1	8.33%	8.33%	—	2.78%	—	—	19.44%
2	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	2.78%	—	19.44%
3	5.56%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	38.89%	25.00%	11.11%	5.56%	2.78%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.58	-0.58
SD	1.12	1.23	1.95
CV	1.12	0.78	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.89%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	19.44%	8.33%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	13.89%
4	—	—	2.78%	—	—	—	2.78%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	41.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.42	0.75	+0.67
SD	1.08	0.73	1.10
CV	0.76	0.98	—
Max	4	2	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	2.78%	5.56%	2.78%	—	33.33%
1	5.56%	2.78%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	25.00%
2	13.89%	8.33%	13.89%	—	—	—	36.11%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	2.78%	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	25.00%	22.22%	16.67%	5.56%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.42	-0.28
SD	0.96	1.25	1.58
CV	0.84	0.88	—
Max	3	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	2.78%	11.11%	13.89%	11.11%	—	—	38.89%
1	22.22%	5.56%	13.89%	2.78%	—	—	44.44%
2	5.56%	5.56%	2.78%	—	—	—	13.89%
3	—	2.78%	—	—	—	—	2.78%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.56%	25.00%	30.56%	13.89%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.81	1.28	-0.47
SD	0.79	1.06	1.54
CV	0.98	0.83	—
Max	3	3	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Bohemian	1658	77	70.81	+6.19	79.0%	52	59	64	70	77	83	89
Shamrock Rovers	1561	73	57.28	+15.72	99.0%	34	46	52	58	62	68	79
Cork City	1540	60	60.30	-0.30	50.0%	41	47	55	60	65	77	79
Derry City	1527	59	61.24	-2.24	36.0%	42	47	57	61	66	74	82
Sligo Rovers	1438	43	45.38	-2.38	41.0%	24	33	40	46	49	59	63
St Patrick's Athletic	1411	43	48.13	-5.13	30.0%	20	36	42	50	53	60	67
Drogheda United	1403	32	43.89	-11.89	6.0%	28	32	39	44	49	59	67
Dundalk	1399	44	37.76	+6.24	82.0%	19	24	32	38	43	51	56
Galway United (old)	1348	42	42.24	-0.24	51.0%	21	31	38	42	46	54	57
Bray Wanderers	1284	28	34.33	-6.33	24.0%	18	23	29	34	39	47	57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+6.11%

No Edge

42.22%21.67%36.11%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 21.26 Elo pts.

213 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.16 goals

Neutral

-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.0

Top-Heavy

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

68%

Bohemian, 1st of 10

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.11/gm

Tight Race

00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.18 * Some Luck: 6.18 to 9.28 * Lucky: 9.28 to 12.37 * Wild Swing: 12.37 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.01 * Close: 1.01 to 1.52 * Off: 1.52 to 2.02 * Way Off: 2.02 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.37 points

Some Luck

07.7319

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.20

01.263

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.00%

99.00%

Shamrock Rovers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 5.00%

6.00%

Drogheda United

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 10

Minimal Outliers

01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.17

Even

00.160.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 111.36

2.04

Strong Separation

11.71.952.22.75

Interquartile Edge

69%

Slight Edge

50%68%76.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

89%

Clear Edge

50%89%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Very Frequent

0%64%100%

Blowouts

Expected

11%

Rare

0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.61

Predictable

00.602

Matchup Imbalance

0.33

Very Even

00.370.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.94

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.47

Some Carryover

00.360.560.691

Upset Rate

Expected

27%

Very Upset-Prone

0%26%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

25%

Very Shaky

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.35

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.79

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.081

Well Within Noise

00.1210.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Drogheda United 2

Bray Wanderers 0

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Bohemian	68.00%	23.00%	7.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Shamrock Rovers	6.00%	16.00%	26.00%	21.00%	21.00%	5.00%	4.00%	—	—	1.00%
Cork City	11.00%	25.00%	25.00%	19.00%	11.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—
Derry City	14.00%	30.00%	24.00%	19.00%	7.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	—	—
Dundalk	—	—	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	8.00%	12.00%	20.00%	23.00%	29.00%
Sligo Rovers	—	—	6.00%	10.00%	8.00%	25.00%	21.00%	15.00%	11.00%	4.00%
St Patrick's Athletic	1.00%	3.00%	3.00%	17.00%	26.00%	12.00%	14.00%	13.00%	10.00%	1.00%
Galway United (old)	—	—	2.00%	6.00%	8.00%	16.00%	22.00%	19.00%	15.00%	12.00%
Drogheda United	—	3.00%	4.00%	6.00%	11.00%	19.00%	16.00%	18.00%	17.00%	6.00%
Bray Wanderers	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	14.00%	24.00%	47.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff
Bohemian	100%	—
Bray Wanderers	29.00%	71.00%
Cork City	100%	—
Derry City	100%	—
Drogheda United	77.00%	23.00%
Dundalk	48.00%	52.00%
Galway United (old)	73.00%	27.00%
Shamrock Rovers	99.00%	1.00%
Sligo Rovers	85.00%	15.00%
St Patrick's Athletic	89.00%	11.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2009-03-06	Bohemian	L 0-1	39.0	1320	1577	14.25%	19.40%	66.36%	-1.11	-3.3	0
2009-03-06	@ Dundalk	W 1-0	39.0	1577	1320	66.36%	19.40%	14.25%	+1.11	+3.3	3
2009-03-06	Drogheda United	W 1-0	48.2	1498	1476	44.94%	22.71%	32.35%	+0.20	+7.0	3
2009-03-06	@ Derry City	L 0-1	48.2	1476	1498	32.35%	22.71%	44.94%	-0.20	-7.0	0
2009-03-06	Galway United (old)	L 0-3	47.5	1515	1415	54.84%	21.82%	23.34%	+0.57	-29.7	0
2009-03-06	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-0	47.5	1415	1515	23.34%	21.82%	54.84%	-0.57	+29.7	3
2009-03-06	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	53.3	1367	1432	32.79%	22.73%	44.49%	-0.21	+0.6	1
2009-03-06	@ Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	53.3	1432	1367	44.49%	22.73%	32.79%	+0.21	-0.6	1
2009-03-07	Cork City	D 1-1	64.2	1468	1502	37.08%	22.84%	40.08%	-0.06	+0.1	1
2009-03-07	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	64.2	1502	1468	40.08%	22.84%	37.08%	+0.06	-0.1	1
2009-03-13	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	54.5	1469	1367	55.07%	21.79%	23.14%	+0.58	-1.6	1
2009-03-13	@ Drogheda United	D 0-0	54.5	1367	1469	23.14%	21.79%	55.07%	-0.58	+1.6	2
2009-03-13	Derry City	D 1-1	68.7	1580	1505	51.81%	22.19%	26.00%	+0.45	-1.2	4
2009-03-13	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	68.7	1505	1580	26.00%	22.19%	51.81%	-0.45	+1.2	4
2009-03-13	Dundalk	W 1-0	38.1	1445	1316	58.06%	21.32%	20.62%	+0.70	+4.8	6
2009-03-13	@ Galway United (old)	L 0-1	38.1	1316	1445	20.62%	21.32%	58.06%	-0.70	-4.8	0
2009-03-13	Sligo Rovers	W 2-1	54.8	1431	1468	36.59%	22.84%	40.58%	-0.07	+8.0	4
2009-03-13	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	54.8	1468	1431	40.58%	22.84%	36.59%	+0.07	-7.9	1
2009-03-13	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	52.2	1501	1485	44.11%	22.74%	33.15%	+0.18	-9.0	1
2009-03-13	@ Cork City	W 1-0	52.2	1485	1501	33.15%	22.74%	44.11%	-0.18	+9.0	3
2009-03-20	Cork City	W 2-1	56.2	1507	1492	43.85%	22.75%	33.40%	+0.17	+6.8	7
2009-03-20	@ Derry City	L 1-2	56.2	1492	1507	33.40%	22.75%	43.85%	-0.17	-6.8	1
2009-03-20	Drogheda United	W 3-0	43.5	1311	1468	22.36%	21.66%	55.98%	-0.63	+30.3	3
2009-03-20	@ Dundalk	L 0-3	43.5	1468	1311	55.98%	21.66%	22.36%	+0.63	-30.3	1
2009-03-20	Galway United (old)	D 2-2	66.0	1369	1449	30.78%	22.62%	46.60%	-0.28	+0.5	3
2009-03-20	@ Bray Wanderers	D 2-2	66.0	1449	1369	46.60%	22.62%	30.78%	+0.28	-0.5	7
2009-03-20	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	41.6	1579	1439	59.36%	21.08%	19.56%	+0.76	+8.6	7
2009-03-20	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	41.6	1439	1579	19.56%	21.08%	59.36%	-0.76	-8.6	4
2009-03-21	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	48.9	1460	1494	37.01%	22.84%	40.15%	-0.06	-7.8	1
2009-03-21	@ Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	48.9	1494	1460	40.15%	22.84%	37.01%	+0.06	+7.8	6
2009-03-27	Bohemian	L 0-1	47.0	1437	1588	22.89%	21.75%	55.36%	-0.61	-5.2	1
2009-03-27	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	47.0	1588	1437	55.36%	21.75%	22.89%	+0.61	+5.3	10
2009-03-27	Bray Wanderers	W 2-1	47.4	1486	1369	56.72%	21.54%	21.74%	+0.65	+4.7	4
2009-03-27	@ Cork City	L 1-2	47.4	1369	1486	21.74%	21.54%	56.72%	-0.65	-4.7	3
2009-03-27	Derry City	L 1-2	53.3	1430	1513	30.48%	22.60%	46.92%	-0.29	-6.3	4
2009-03-27	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	53.3	1513	1430	46.92%	22.60%	30.48%	+0.29	+6.3	10
2009-03-27	Dundalk	W 2-0	35.0	1502	1342	61.44%	20.65%	17.91%	+0.85	+7.9	9
2009-03-27	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	35.0	1342	1502	17.91%	20.65%	61.44%	-0.85	-7.9	3
2009-03-27	Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	56.2	1449	1452	41.38%	22.82%	35.80%	+0.08	-0.3	8
2009-03-27	@ Galway United (old)	D 0-0	56.2	1452	1449	35.80%	22.82%	41.38%	-0.08	+0.3	2
2009-04-03	Cork City	L 0-1	58.8	1593	1490	55.17%	21.77%	23.06%	+0.58	-10.9	10
2009-04-03	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	58.8	1490	1593	23.06%	21.77%	55.17%	-0.58	+10.9	7
2009-04-03	Galway United (old)	D 1-1	64.4	1520	1449	51.34%	22.24%	26.42%	+0.43	-1.1	11
2009-04-03	@ Derry City	D 1-1	64.4	1449	1520	26.42%	22.24%	51.34%	-0.43	+1.1	9
2009-04-03	Shamrock Rovers	D 2-2	67.0	1432	1424	42.97%	22.78%	34.25%	+0.14	-0.3	2
2009-04-03	@ Drogheda United	D 2-2	67.0	1424	1432	34.25%	22.78%	42.97%	-0.14	+0.3	5
2009-04-03	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	58.0	1364	1510	23.41%	21.83%	54.75%	-0.58	+10.2	6
2009-04-03	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	58.0	1510	1364	54.75%	21.83%	23.41%	+0.58	-10.2	9
2009-04-04	Dundalk	L 1-3	52.1	1453	1334	56.98%	21.50%	21.52%	+0.66	-18.3	2
2009-04-04	@ Sligo Rovers	W 3-1	52.1	1334	1453	21.52%	21.50%	56.98%	-0.66	+18.4	6
2009-04-07	Bohemian	L 0-2	44.0	1450	1582	24.76%	22.03%	53.21%	-0.52	-10.6	9
2009-04-07	@ Galway United (old)	W 2-0	44.0	1582	1450	53.21%	22.03%	24.76%	+0.52	+10.6	13
2009-04-07	Bray Wanderers	W 2-1	48.3	1434	1375	49.86%	22.38%	27.76%	+0.38	+5.8	5
2009-04-07	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	48.3	1375	1434	27.76%	22.38%	49.86%	-0.38	-5.9	6
2009-04-07	Derry City	L 0-3	46.3	1500	1519	39.17%	22.85%	37.99%	+0.01	-22.5	9
2009-04-07	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-0	46.3	1519	1500	37.99%	22.85%	39.17%	-0.01	+22.5	14
2009-04-07	Drogheda United	W 1-0	44.8	1501	1432	51.13%	22.26%	26.61%	+0.43	+6.0	10
2009-04-07	@ Cork City	L 0-1	44.8	1432	1501	26.61%	22.26%	51.13%	-0.43	-6.0	2
2009-04-07	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	42.2	1352	1424	31.87%	22.68%	45.45%	-0.24	-7.0	6
2009-04-07	@ Dundalk	W 1-0	42.2	1424	1352	45.45%	22.68%	31.87%	+0.24	+7.0	8
2009-04-10	Cork City	D 1-1	63.1	1431	1507	31.39%	22.65%	45.96%	-0.26	+0.6	9
2009-04-10	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	63.1	1507	1431	45.96%	22.65%	31.39%	+0.26	-0.6	11
2009-04-10	Dundalk	D 1-1	57.5	1369	1345	45.13%	22.70%	32.18%	+0.21	-0.6	7
2009-04-10	@ Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	57.5	1345	1369	32.18%	22.70%	45.13%	-0.21	+0.5	7
2009-04-10	Galway United (old)	L 0-1	46.8	1426	1439	39.96%	22.84%	37.20%	+0.04	-8.3	2
2009-04-10	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	46.8	1439	1426	37.20%	22.84%	39.96%	-0.04	+8.3	12
2009-04-10	Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	61.7	1541	1440	54.96%	21.80%	23.24%	+0.58	-10.3	14
2009-04-10	@ Derry City	W 2-1	61.7	1440	1541	23.24%	21.80%	54.96%	-0.58	+10.3	8
2009-04-11	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-0	42.6	1593	1477	56.63%	21.56%	21.81%	+0.64	+13.8	16
2009-04-11	@ Bohemian	L 0-3	42.6	1477	1593	21.81%	21.56%	56.63%	-0.64	-13.8	9
2009-04-17	Cork City	L 1-2	47.4	1346	1507	21.91%	21.57%	56.52%	-0.66	-4.8	7
2009-04-17	@ Dundalk	W 2-1	47.4	1507	1346	56.52%	21.57%	21.91%	+0.66	+4.8	14
2009-04-17	Derry City	D 1-1	62.1	1368	1531	21.73%	21.54%	56.73%	-0.66	+1.6	8
2009-04-17	@ Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	62.1	1531	1368	56.73%	21.54%	21.73%	+0.66	-1.6	15
2009-04-17	Drogheda United	W 2-1	50.8	1464	1417	48.13%	22.52%	29.35%	+0.32	+6.1	12
2009-04-17	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	50.8	1417	1464	29.35%	22.52%	48.13%	-0.32	-6.1	2
2009-04-17	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-3	51.0	1447	1432	44.02%	22.75%	33.24%	+0.17	-14.7	12
2009-04-17	@ Galway United (old)	W 3-1	51.0	1432	1447	33.24%	22.75%	44.02%	-0.17	+14.7	12
2009-04-18	Bohemian	D 0-0	62.2	1450	1607	22.34%	21.65%	56.01%	-0.64	+1.7	9
2009-04-18	@ Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	62.2	1607	1450	56.01%	21.65%	22.34%	+0.64	-1.7	17
2009-04-24	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	37.3	1605	1370	68.43%	18.76%	12.81%	+1.21	+5.6	20
2009-04-24	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	37.3	1370	1605	12.81%	18.76%	68.43%	-1.21	-5.6	8
2009-04-24	Dundalk	L 0-1	53.4	1529	1341	64.20%	19.99%	15.81%	+0.99	-12.5	15
2009-04-24	@ Derry City	W 1-0	53.4	1341	1529	15.81%	19.99%	64.20%	-0.99	+12.5	10
2009-04-24	Galway United (old)	W 1-0	44.9	1511	1433	52.26%	22.14%	25.60%	+0.47	+5.8	17
2009-04-24	@ Cork City	L 0-1	44.9	1433	1511	25.60%	22.14%	52.26%	-0.47	-5.8	12
2009-04-24	Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	55.0	1411	1452	36.07%	22.83%	41.10%	-0.09	+0.2	3
2009-04-24	@ Drogheda United	D 0-0	55.0	1452	1411	41.10%	22.83%	36.07%	+0.09	-0.2	10
2009-04-25	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	44.1	1447	1470	38.58%	22.85%	38.57%	-0.01	+15.3	15
2009-04-25	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	44.1	1470	1447	38.57%	22.85%	38.58%	+0.01	-15.3	12
2009-05-01	Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	49.8	1462	1364	54.56%	21.86%	23.59%	+0.56	-10.8	15
2009-05-01	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	49.8	1364	1462	23.59%	21.86%	54.56%	-0.56	+10.8	11
2009-05-01	Derry City	L 0-3	39.5	1411	1517	27.80%	22.38%	49.82%	-0.40	-17.0	3
2009-05-01	@ Drogheda United	W 3-0	39.5	1517	1411	49.82%	22.38%	27.80%	+0.40	+17.0	18
2009-05-01	Dundalk	W 5-0	35.8	1611	1354	70.27%	18.13%	11.60%	+1.31	+11.9	23
2009-05-01	@ Bohemian	L 0-5	35.8	1354	1611	11.60%	18.13%	70.27%	-1.31	-11.9	10
2009-05-01	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	46.3	1517	1452	50.61%	22.31%	27.08%	+0.41	+6.1	20
2009-05-01	@ Cork City	L 0-1	46.3	1452	1517	27.08%	22.31%	50.61%	-0.41	-6.1	10
2009-05-01	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	53.8	1427	1454	37.95%	22.85%	39.20%	-0.03	+7.7	15
2009-05-01	@ Galway United (old)	L 1-2	53.8	1454	1427	39.20%	22.85%	37.95%	+0.03	-7.7	12
2009-05-08	Bohemian	W 3-2	70.8	1534	1622	29.79%	22.55%	47.66%	-0.32	+8.6	21
2009-05-08	@ Derry City	L 2-3	70.8	1622	1534	47.66%	22.55%	29.79%	+0.32	-8.6	23
2009-05-08	Drogheda United	L 0-1	44.2	1375	1394	39.10%	22.85%	38.05%	+0.01	-8.2	11
2009-05-08	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	44.2	1394	1375	38.05%	22.85%	39.10%	-0.01	+8.2	6
2009-05-08	Galway United (old)	W 1-0	47.0	1342	1435	29.26%	22.51%	48.23%	-0.34	+9.7	13
2009-05-08	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	47.0	1435	1342	48.23%	22.51%	29.26%	+0.34	-9.7	15
2009-05-09	Cork City	L 0-3	42.1	1447	1523	31.30%	22.65%	46.05%	-0.26	-18.8	12
2009-05-09	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-0	42.1	1523	1447	46.05%	22.65%	31.30%	+0.26	+18.8	23
2009-05-09	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-3	42.5	1446	1451	41.10%	22.83%	36.07%	+0.07	-23.3	10
2009-05-09	@ Sligo Rovers	W 3-0	42.5	1451	1446	36.07%	22.83%	41.10%	-0.07	+23.3	18
2009-05-15	Bray Wanderers	W 3-0	35.6	1425	1367	49.69%	22.39%	27.92%	+0.37	+17.1	18
2009-05-15	@ Galway United (old)	L 0-3	35.6	1367	1425	27.92%	22.39%	49.69%	-0.37	-17.1	11
2009-05-15	Derry City	W 1-0	53.2	1542	1542	41.80%	22.81%	35.39%	+0.10	+7.6	26
2009-05-15	@ Cork City	L 0-1	53.2	1542	1542	35.39%	22.81%	41.80%	-0.10	-7.6	21
2009-05-15	Dundalk	D 1-1	58.2	1403	1351	48.80%	22.47%	28.73%	+0.34	-0.9	7
2009-05-15	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	58.2	1351	1403	28.73%	22.47%	48.80%	-0.34	+0.9	14
2009-05-15	Sligo Rovers	D 2-2	66.8	1428	1422	42.62%	22.79%	34.59%	+0.13	-0.3	13
2009-05-15	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	66.8	1422	1428	34.59%	22.79%	42.62%	-0.13	+0.3	11
2009-05-16	Bohemian	W 2-1	65.4	1474	1614	24.03%	21.93%	54.04%	-0.56	+10.1	21
2009-05-16	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	65.4	1614	1474	54.04%	21.93%	24.03%	+0.56	-10.1	23
2009-05-22	Cork City	L 0-2	36.9	1350	1550	18.44%	20.80%	60.76%	-0.84	-8.1	11
2009-05-22	@ Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	36.9	1550	1350	60.76%	20.80%	18.44%	+0.84	+8.1	29
2009-05-22	Drogheda United	W 1-0	43.2	1604	1402	65.49%	19.64%	14.86%	+1.05	+3.5	26
2009-05-22	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	43.2	1402	1604	14.86%	19.64%	65.49%	-1.05	-3.5	7
2009-05-22	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	60.5	1535	1485	48.68%	22.48%	28.84%	+0.34	-1.0	22
2009-05-22	@ Derry City	D 0-0	60.5	1485	1535	28.84%	22.48%	48.68%	-0.34	+1.0	22
2009-05-22	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	42.1	1352	1428	31.46%	22.66%	45.88%	-0.25	-6.9	14
2009-05-22	@ Dundalk	W 1-0	42.1	1428	1352	45.88%	22.66%	31.46%	+0.25	+6.9	16
2009-05-23	Galway United (old)	W 2-0	42.3	1423	1442	39.10%	22.85%	38.05%	+0.01	+15.1	14
2009-05-23	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	42.3	1442	1423	38.05%	22.85%	39.10%	-0.01	-15.1	18
2009-05-28	Derry City	L 0-3	40.6	1427	1534	27.61%	22.36%	50.03%	-0.40	-16.9	18
2009-05-28	@ Galway United (old)	W 3-0	40.6	1534	1427	50.03%	22.36%	27.61%	+0.40	+16.9	25
2009-05-29	Bohemian	L 0-1	55.4	1558	1607	34.87%	22.80%	42.33%	-0.13	-7.5	29
2009-05-29	@ Cork City	W 1-0	55.4	1607	1558	42.33%	22.80%	34.87%	+0.13	+7.5	29
2009-05-29	Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	58.8	1434	1342	53.98%	21.93%	24.08%	+0.54	-1.3	17
2009-05-29	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	58.8	1342	1434	24.08%	21.93%	53.98%	-0.54	+1.3	12
2009-05-29	Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	37.6	1345	1438	29.33%	22.52%	48.15%	-0.33	-12.3	14
2009-05-29	@ Dundalk	W 2-0	37.6	1438	1345	48.15%	22.52%	29.33%	+0.33	+12.3	17
2009-05-30	Drogheda United	D 1-1	61.5	1485	1398	53.31%	22.02%	24.67%	+0.51	-1.3	23
2009-05-30	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	61.5	1398	1485	24.67%	22.02%	53.31%	-0.51	+1.3	8
2009-06-02	Cork City	W 2-1	60.7	1400	1550	22.89%	21.75%	55.36%	-0.61	+10.3	11
2009-06-02	@ Drogheda United	L 1-2	60.7	1550	1400	55.36%	21.75%	22.89%	+0.61	-10.3	29
2009-06-02	Dundalk	W 3-1	41.2	1484	1333	60.49%	20.85%	18.65%	+0.81	+7.1	26
2009-06-02	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-3	41.2	1333	1484	18.65%	20.85%	60.49%	-0.81	-7.1	14
2009-06-02	Galway United (old)	W 2-0	39.9	1615	1410	65.74%	19.57%	14.68%	+1.06	+6.5	32
2009-06-02	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	39.9	1410	1615	14.68%	19.57%	65.74%	-1.06	-6.5	18
2009-06-02	Sligo Rovers	W 3-1	50.5	1343	1450	27.60%	22.36%	50.04%	-0.40	+16.4	15
2009-06-02	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-3	50.5	1450	1343	50.04%	22.36%	27.60%	+0.40	-16.4	17
2009-06-02	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	45.0	1551	1433	56.87%	21.52%	21.62%	+0.65	+5.0	28
2009-06-02	@ Derry City	L 0-1	45.0	1433	1551	21.62%	21.52%	56.87%	-0.65	-5.0	17
2009-06-05	Bohemian	W 3-1	61.4	1428	1621	19.00%	20.94%	60.06%	-0.81	+19.2	20
2009-06-05	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-3	61.4	1621	1428	60.06%	20.94%	19.00%	+0.81	-19.2	32
2009-06-05	Bray Wanderers	W 3-0	37.6	1326	1359	37.11%	22.84%	40.05%	-0.06	+22.8	17
2009-06-05	@ Dundalk	L 0-3	37.6	1359	1326	40.05%	22.84%	37.11%	+0.06	-22.8	15
2009-06-05	Derry City	L 0-1	46.7	1434	1556	25.89%	22.18%	51.94%	-0.47	-5.9	17
2009-06-05	@ Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	46.7	1556	1434	51.94%	22.18%	25.89%	+0.47	+5.9	31
2009-06-05	Drogheda United	D 1-1	59.3	1404	1410	40.96%	22.83%	36.21%	+0.07	-0.2	19
2009-06-05	@ Galway United (old)	D 1-1	59.3	1410	1404	36.21%	22.83%	40.96%	-0.07	+0.2	12
2009-06-05	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	61.0	1540	1491	48.46%	22.49%	29.05%	+0.33	-1.0	30
2009-06-05	@ Cork City	D 0-0	61.0	1491	1540	29.05%	22.49%	48.46%	-0.33	+1.0	27
2009-06-19	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	34.8	1562	1337	67.57%	19.03%	13.40%	+1.16	+5.9	34
2009-06-19	@ Derry City	L 0-2	34.8	1337	1562	13.40%	19.03%	67.57%	-1.16	-5.9	15
2009-06-19	Dundalk	L 1-2	60.7	1539	1349	64.38%	19.94%	15.68%	+0.99	-11.8	30
2009-06-19	@ Cork City	W 2-1	60.7	1349	1539	15.68%	19.94%	64.38%	-0.99	+11.8	20
2009-06-19	Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	41.0	1602	1428	62.83%	20.33%	16.84%	+0.92	+7.4	35
2009-06-19	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	41.0	1428	1602	16.84%	20.33%	62.83%	-0.92	-7.4	17
2009-06-19	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	46.8	1410	1447	36.56%	22.83%	40.61%	-0.08	+8.4	15
2009-06-19	@ Drogheda United	L 0-1	46.8	1447	1410	40.61%	22.83%	36.56%	+0.08	-8.4	20
2009-06-20	Galway United (old)	W 1-0	42.9	1492	1403	53.52%	21.99%	24.49%	+0.52	+5.6	30
2009-06-20	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	42.9	1403	1492	24.49%	21.99%	53.52%	-0.52	-5.6	19
2009-07-03	Bohemian	L 1-3	42.6	1331	1609	12.95%	18.82%	68.23%	-1.21	-4.9	15
2009-07-03	@ Bray Wanderers	W 3-1	42.6	1609	1331	68.23%	18.82%	12.95%	+1.21	+4.9	38
2009-07-03	Cork City	L 0-2	40.1	1398	1527	25.10%	22.08%	52.83%	-0.51	-10.7	19
2009-07-03	@ Galway United (old)	W 2-0	40.1	1527	1398	52.83%	22.08%	25.10%	+0.51	+10.7	33
2009-07-03	Derry City	W 1-0	54.6	1361	1568	17.87%	20.64%	61.49%	-0.87	+12.0	23
2009-07-03	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	54.6	1568	1361	61.49%	20.64%	17.87%	+0.87	-12.0	34
2009-07-04	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	54.0	1439	1498	33.60%	22.76%	43.64%	-0.18	-6.9	20
2009-07-04	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	54.0	1498	1439	43.64%	22.76%	33.60%	+0.18	+6.9	33
2009-07-05	Drogheda United	D 2-2	66.5	1420	1419	42.12%	22.81%	35.07%	+0.11	-0.2	18
2009-07-05	@ Sligo Rovers	D 2-2	66.5	1419	1420	35.07%	22.81%	42.12%	-0.11	+0.2	16
2009-07-07	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	54.7	1538	1432	55.51%	21.73%	22.77%	+0.60	-11.0	33
2009-07-07	@ Cork City	W 1-0	54.7	1432	1538	22.77%	21.73%	55.51%	-0.60	+11.0	23
2009-07-10	Bohemian	L 0-2	38.8	1373	1614	15.30%	19.81%	64.89%	-1.04	-6.8	23
2009-07-10	@ Dundalk	W 2-0	38.8	1614	1373	64.89%	19.81%	15.30%	+1.04	+6.8	41
2009-07-10	Drogheda United	L 0-1	55.7	1556	1419	58.97%	21.15%	19.87%	+0.74	-11.6	34
2009-07-10	@ Derry City	W 1-0	55.7	1419	1556	19.87%	21.15%	58.97%	-0.74	+11.6	19
2009-07-10	Galway United (old)	L 1-2	55.3	1443	1387	49.42%	22.42%	28.16%	+0.36	-9.3	23
2009-07-10	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	55.3	1387	1443	28.16%	22.42%	49.42%	-0.36	+9.3	22
2009-07-10	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	46.2	1326	1505	20.22%	21.23%	58.55%	-0.74	-4.4	15
2009-07-10	@ Bray Wanderers	W 2-1	46.2	1505	1326	58.55%	21.23%	20.22%	+0.74	+4.4	36
2009-07-12	Cork City	L 0-3	40.1	1420	1527	27.63%	22.37%	50.00%	-0.40	-16.9	18
2009-07-12	@ Sligo Rovers	W 3-0	40.1	1527	1420	50.00%	22.37%	27.63%	+0.40	+16.9	36
2009-07-17	Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	55.4	1430	1321	55.89%	21.67%	22.44%	+0.61	-10.4	19
2009-07-17	@ Drogheda United	W 2-1	55.4	1321	1430	22.44%	21.67%	55.89%	-0.61	+10.4	18
2009-07-17	Dundalk	L 0-3	40.5	1396	1366	46.05%	22.65%	31.30%	+0.24	-25.6	22
2009-07-17	@ Galway United (old)	W 3-0	40.5	1366	1396	31.30%	22.65%	46.05%	-0.24	+25.6	26
2009-07-18	Sligo Rovers	W 3-1	45.4	1509	1403	55.52%	21.72%	22.76%	+0.60	+8.5	39
2009-07-18	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-3	45.4	1403	1509	22.76%	21.72%	55.52%	-0.60	-8.5	18
2009-07-19	Derry City	W 1-0	52.5	1621	1544	52.08%	22.16%	25.76%	+0.46	+5.8	44
2009-07-19	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	52.5	1544	1621	25.76%	22.16%	52.08%	-0.46	-5.8	34
2009-07-24	Drogheda United	W 4-2	51.1	1392	1420	37.81%	22.85%	39.34%	-0.03	+12.0	29
2009-07-24	@ Dundalk	L 2-4	51.1	1420	1392	39.34%	22.85%	37.81%	+0.03	-12.0	19
2009-07-24	Galway United (old)	L 1-2	49.1	1332	1371	36.30%	22.83%	40.87%	-0.08	-7.3	18
2009-07-24	@ Bray Wanderers	W 2-1	49.1	1371	1332	40.87%	22.83%	36.30%	+0.08	+7.3	25
2009-07-26	Cork City	D 1-1	68.3	1538	1544	41.05%	22.83%	36.12%	+0.07	-0.2	35
2009-07-26	@ Derry City	D 1-1	68.3	1544	1538	36.12%	22.83%	41.05%	-0.07	+0.2	37
2009-07-26	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	65.0	1627	1518	55.91%	21.67%	22.42%	+0.61	-1.7	45
2009-07-26	@ Bohemian	D 0-0	65.0	1518	1627	22.42%	21.67%	55.91%	-0.61	+1.7	40
2009-07-26	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	42.2	1395	1434	36.31%	22.83%	40.86%	-0.08	+16.0	21
2009-07-26	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	42.2	1434	1395	40.86%	22.83%	36.31%	+0.08	-16.0	23
2009-07-31	Bohemian	D 1-1	67.3	1408	1625	17.06%	20.40%	62.54%	-0.92	+2.1	20
2009-07-31	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	67.3	1625	1408	62.54%	20.40%	17.06%	+0.92	-2.1	46
2009-07-31	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	37.9	1544	1324	67.09%	19.18%	13.73%	+1.13	+3.2	40
2009-07-31	@ Cork City	L 0-1	37.9	1324	1544	13.73%	19.18%	67.09%	-1.13	-3.2	18
2009-07-31	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	44.9	1378	1411	37.22%	22.84%	39.94%	-0.05	+8.3	28
2009-07-31	@ Galway United (old)	L 0-1	44.9	1411	1378	39.94%	22.84%	37.22%	+0.05	-8.3	21
2009-08-02	Derry City	W 2-1	59.8	1519	1538	39.22%	22.85%	37.93%	+0.01	+7.5	43
2009-08-02	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	59.8	1538	1519	37.93%	22.85%	39.22%	-0.01	-7.5	35
2009-08-02	Dundalk	W 1-0	43.6	1418	1404	43.84%	22.75%	33.41%	+0.17	+7.2	26
2009-08-02	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	43.6	1404	1418	33.41%	22.75%	43.84%	-0.17	-7.2	29
2009-08-07	Cork City	W 1-0	52.7	1623	1547	51.92%	22.18%	25.90%	+0.46	+5.9	49
2009-08-07	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	52.7	1547	1623	25.90%	22.18%	51.92%	-0.46	-5.8	40
2009-08-07	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	44.9	1410	1527	26.47%	22.24%	51.28%	-0.45	-6.0	20
2009-08-07	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	44.9	1527	1410	51.28%	22.24%	26.47%	+0.45	+6.0	46
2009-08-08	Dundalk	L 3-4	59.6	1402	1396	42.71%	22.79%	34.50%	+0.13	-7.7	21
2009-08-08	@ Sligo Rovers	W 4-3	59.6	1396	1402	34.50%	22.79%	42.71%	-0.13	+7.7	32
2009-08-11	Bohemian	L 0-2	42.4	1425	1629	18.10%	20.70%	61.19%	-0.86	-8.0	26
2009-08-11	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	42.4	1629	1425	61.19%	20.70%	18.10%	+0.86	+8.0	52
2009-08-11	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	52.2	1404	1321	52.77%	22.08%	25.15%	+0.49	-1.4	33
2009-08-11	@ Dundalk	D 0-0	52.2	1321	1404	25.15%	22.08%	52.77%	-0.49	+1.4	19
2009-08-11	Derry City	L 0-4	38.5	1395	1530	24.42%	21.98%	53.59%	-0.54	-19.9	21
2009-08-11	@ Sligo Rovers	W 4-0	38.5	1530	1395	53.59%	21.98%	24.42%	+0.54	+19.9	38
2009-08-11	Drogheda United	L 0-2	40.8	1386	1404	39.35%	22.85%	37.80%	+0.02	-15.5	28
2009-08-11	@ Galway United (old)	W 2-0	40.8	1404	1386	37.80%	22.85%	39.35%	-0.02	+15.5	23
2009-08-11	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	62.4	1541	1533	43.05%	22.78%	34.17%	+0.14	-0.4	41
2009-08-11	@ Cork City	D 0-0	62.4	1533	1541	34.17%	22.78%	43.05%	-0.14	+0.4	47
2009-08-21	Cork City	L 0-1	45.6	1420	1541	25.97%	22.19%	51.85%	-0.47	-5.9	23
2009-08-21	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	45.6	1541	1420	51.85%	22.19%	25.97%	+0.47	+5.9	44
2009-08-21	Galway United (old)	W 5-0	37.2	1637	1371	70.99%	17.87%	11.13%	+1.35	+11.4	55
2009-08-21	@ Bohemian	L 0-5	37.2	1371	1637	11.13%	17.87%	70.99%	-1.35	-11.4	28
2009-08-21	Sligo Rovers	D 2-2	63.8	1323	1375	34.50%	22.79%	42.71%	-0.15	+0.3	20
2009-08-21	@ Bray Wanderers	D 2-2	63.8	1375	1323	42.71%	22.79%	34.50%	+0.15	-0.3	22
2009-08-22	Dundalk	D 2-2	70.0	1533	1403	58.32%	21.27%	20.41%	+0.71	-1.3	48
2009-08-22	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 2-2	70.0	1403	1533	20.41%	21.27%	58.32%	-0.71	+1.3	34
2009-08-23	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	43.8	1550	1417	58.59%	21.22%	20.18%	+0.73	+4.7	41
2009-08-23	@ Derry City	L 0-1	43.8	1417	1550	20.18%	21.22%	58.59%	-0.73	-4.7	26
2009-08-28	Derry City	L 0-1	39.2	1323	1555	15.97%	20.05%	63.99%	-0.99	-3.7	20
2009-08-28	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	39.2	1555	1323	63.99%	20.05%	15.97%	+0.99	+3.7	44
2009-08-28	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	41.4	1360	1532	20.81%	21.36%	57.83%	-0.71	-4.8	28
2009-08-28	@ Galway United (old)	W 1-0	41.4	1532	1360	57.83%	21.36%	20.81%	+0.71	+4.8	51
2009-08-30	Drogheda United	W 1-0	44.4	1412	1414	41.66%	22.82%	35.52%	+0.09	+7.6	29
2009-08-30	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	44.4	1414	1412	35.52%	22.82%	41.66%	-0.09	-7.6	23
2009-09-01	Bohemian	W 1-0	59.5	1375	1648	13.24%	18.96%	67.80%	-1.19	+13.1	25
2009-09-01	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	59.5	1648	1375	67.80%	18.96%	13.24%	+1.19	-13.1	55
2009-09-01	Galway United (old)	L 1-3	57.7	1559	1355	65.68%	19.59%	14.73%	+1.06	-20.8	44
2009-09-01	@ Derry City	W 3-1	57.7	1355	1559	14.73%	19.59%	65.68%	-1.06	+20.8	31
2009-09-04	Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	65.1	1635	1319	74.76%	16.37%	8.86%	+1.59	-13.4	55
2009-09-04	@ Bohemian	W 2-1	65.1	1319	1635	8.86%	16.37%	74.76%	-1.59	+13.4	23
2009-09-04	Dundalk	W 3-0	37.3	1538	1404	58.67%	21.21%	20.12%	+0.73	+12.8	47
2009-09-04	@ Derry City	L 0-3	37.3	1404	1538	20.12%	21.21%	58.67%	-0.73	-12.8	34
2009-09-04	Galway United (old)	W 4-2	46.9	1547	1376	62.55%	20.40%	17.05%	+0.91	+5.8	47
2009-09-04	@ Cork City	L 2-4	46.9	1376	1547	17.05%	20.40%	62.55%	-0.91	-5.8	31
2009-09-04	Sligo Rovers	D 2-2	65.4	1406	1388	44.43%	22.73%	32.84%	+0.19	-0.4	24
2009-09-04	@ Drogheda United	D 2-2	65.4	1388	1406	32.84%	22.73%	44.43%	-0.19	+0.4	26
2009-09-04	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	44.0	1537	1420	56.78%	21.53%	21.69%	+0.65	+5.0	54
2009-09-04	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	44.0	1420	1537	21.69%	21.53%	56.78%	-0.65	-5.0	29
2009-09-12	Cork City	W 1-0	54.0	1391	1553	21.83%	21.56%	56.62%	-0.66	+11.2	37
2009-09-12	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	54.0	1553	1391	56.62%	21.56%	21.83%	+0.66	-11.2	47
2009-09-18	Derry City	L 1-3	47.2	1406	1551	23.47%	21.84%	54.69%	-0.58	-8.8	24
2009-09-18	@ Drogheda United	W 3-1	47.2	1551	1406	54.69%	21.84%	23.47%	+0.58	+8.8	50
2009-09-18	Dundalk	W 3-2	55.2	1622	1402	67.09%	19.18%	13.73%	+1.13	+2.9	58
2009-09-18	@ Bohemian	L 2-3	55.2	1402	1622	13.73%	19.18%	67.09%	-1.13	-2.9	37
2009-09-18	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	52.1	1370	1415	35.46%	22.81%	41.73%	-0.11	+8.1	34
2009-09-18	@ Galway United (old)	L 1-2	52.1	1415	1370	41.73%	22.81%	35.46%	+0.11	-8.1	29
2009-09-19	Bray Wanderers	W 3-1	41.0	1542	1332	66.17%	19.45%	14.38%	+1.08	+5.5	57
2009-09-19	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-3	41.0	1332	1542	14.38%	19.45%	66.17%	-1.08	-5.5	23
2009-09-25	Cork City	D 1-1	63.7	1407	1542	24.53%	22.00%	53.47%	-0.53	+1.3	30
2009-09-25	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	63.7	1542	1407	53.47%	22.00%	24.53%	+0.53	-1.3	48
2009-09-25	Drogheda United	L 1-2	48.1	1327	1397	32.14%	22.70%	45.16%	-0.23	-6.6	23
2009-09-25	@ Bray Wanderers	W 2-1	48.1	1397	1327	45.16%	22.70%	32.14%	+0.23	+6.6	27
2009-09-25	Galway United (old)	W 3-0	36.7	1399	1378	44.85%	22.71%	32.44%	+0.20	+19.4	40
2009-09-25	@ Dundalk	L 0-3	36.7	1378	1399	32.44%	22.71%	44.85%	-0.20	-19.4	34
2009-09-26	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	50.1	1388	1547	22.04%	21.60%	56.36%	-0.65	-4.8	26
2009-09-26	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-1	50.1	1547	1388	56.36%	21.60%	22.04%	+0.65	+4.8	60
2009-09-28	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	40.7	1320	1408	29.90%	22.56%	47.54%	-0.31	-6.6	23
2009-09-28	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	40.7	1408	1320	47.54%	22.56%	29.90%	+0.31	+6.6	33
2009-09-29	Bohemian	L 0-1	55.3	1559	1625	32.76%	22.72%	44.51%	-0.21	-7.1	50
2009-09-29	@ Derry City	W 1-0	55.3	1625	1559	44.51%	22.72%	32.76%	+0.21	+7.1	61
2009-09-29	Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	57.5	1540	1383	61.11%	20.72%	18.17%	+0.84	-2.2	49
2009-09-29	@ Cork City	D 0-0	57.5	1383	1540	18.17%	20.72%	61.11%	-0.84	+2.2	27
2009-10-02	Bohemian	W 1-0	59.3	1552	1632	30.90%	22.63%	46.47%	-0.28	+9.4	63
2009-10-02	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	59.3	1632	1552	46.47%	22.63%	30.90%	+0.28	-9.4	61
2009-10-02	Bray Wanderers	W 3-1	42.4	1358	1314	47.95%	22.53%	29.52%	+0.31	+10.7	37
2009-10-02	@ Galway United (old)	L 1-3	42.4	1314	1358	29.52%	22.53%	47.95%	-0.31	-10.7	23
2009-10-02	Dundalk	D 2-2	66.0	1404	1419	39.71%	22.84%	37.44%	+0.03	-0.1	28
2009-10-02	@ Drogheda United	D 2-2	66.0	1419	1404	37.44%	22.84%	39.71%	-0.03	+0.1	41
2009-10-06	Derry City	W 2-0	50.1	1538	1552	39.83%	22.84%	37.33%	+0.03	+14.9	52
2009-10-06	@ Cork City	L 0-2	50.1	1552	1538	37.33%	22.84%	39.83%	-0.03	-14.9	50
2009-10-06	Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	43.0	1415	1385	45.89%	22.66%	31.45%	+0.24	-17.6	33
2009-10-06	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	43.0	1385	1415	31.45%	22.66%	45.89%	-0.24	+17.6	30
2009-10-09	Cork City	W 3-2	65.1	1303	1553	14.75%	19.60%	65.65%	-1.08	+11.4	26
2009-10-09	@ Bray Wanderers	L 2-3	65.1	1553	1303	65.65%	19.60%	14.75%	+1.08	-11.4	52
2009-10-09	Drogheda United	W 4-0	38.2	1622	1404	67.03%	19.20%	13.78%	+1.13	+11.5	64
2009-10-09	@ Bohemian	L 0-4	38.2	1404	1622	13.78%	19.20%	67.03%	-1.13	-11.5	28
2009-10-09	Galway United (old)	W 2-0	37.9	1403	1369	46.51%	22.62%	30.87%	+0.26	+12.8	33
2009-10-09	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	37.9	1369	1403	30.87%	22.62%	46.51%	-0.26	-12.8	37
2009-10-09	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	54.6	1537	1562	38.43%	22.85%	38.72%	-0.01	-8.1	50
2009-10-09	@ Derry City	W 1-0	54.6	1562	1537	38.72%	22.85%	38.43%	+0.01	+8.1	66
2009-10-09	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	53.8	1419	1397	44.86%	22.71%	32.43%	+0.20	-0.6	42
2009-10-09	@ Dundalk	D 0-0	53.8	1397	1419	32.43%	22.71%	44.86%	-0.20	+0.6	34
2009-10-13	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	38.5	1416	1314	54.99%	21.80%	23.21%	+0.58	+5.3	36
2009-10-13	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	38.5	1314	1416	23.21%	21.80%	54.99%	-0.58	-5.3	26
2009-10-16	Bohemian	L 0-2	50.1	1541	1634	29.32%	22.52%	48.16%	-0.34	-12.3	52
2009-10-16	@ Cork City	W 2-0	50.1	1634	1541	48.16%	22.52%	29.32%	+0.34	+12.3	67
2009-10-16	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	34.7	1398	1309	53.48%	22.00%	24.52%	+0.52	+10.5	37
2009-10-16	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	34.7	1309	1398	24.52%	22.00%	53.48%	-0.52	-10.5	26
2009-10-16	Derry City	W 3-1	55.0	1356	1529	20.76%	21.35%	57.89%	-0.71	+18.6	40
2009-10-16	@ Galway United (old)	L 1-3	55.0	1529	1356	57.89%	21.35%	20.76%	+0.71	-18.6	50
2009-10-16	Sligo Rovers	D 2-2	66.5	1418	1421	41.45%	22.82%	35.73%	+0.09	-0.2	43
2009-10-16	@ Dundalk	D 2-2	66.5	1421	1418	35.73%	22.82%	41.45%	-0.09	+0.2	37
2009-10-17	Drogheda United	W 2-0	38.4	1570	1392	63.17%	20.25%	16.58%	+0.94	+7.3	69
2009-10-17	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	38.4	1392	1570	16.58%	20.25%	63.17%	-0.94	-7.3	28
2009-10-20	Cork City	L 1-2	64.4	1577	1529	48.34%	22.50%	29.16%	+0.32	-9.2	69
2009-10-20	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 2-1	64.4	1529	1577	29.16%	22.50%	48.34%	-0.32	+9.2	55
2009-10-20	Dundalk	D 1-1	57.7	1299	1418	26.19%	22.21%	51.60%	-0.46	+1.1	27
2009-10-20	@ Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	57.7	1418	1299	51.60%	22.21%	26.19%	+0.46	-1.1	44
2009-10-20	Galway United (old)	W 4-0	37.2	1385	1375	43.21%	22.77%	34.01%	+0.15	+26.3	31
2009-10-20	@ Drogheda United	L 0-4	37.2	1375	1385	34.01%	22.77%	43.21%	-0.15	-26.3	40
2009-10-20	Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	59.6	1511	1421	53.58%	21.99%	24.44%	+0.52	-10.0	50
2009-10-20	@ Derry City	W 2-1	59.6	1421	1511	24.44%	21.99%	53.58%	-0.52	+10.0	40
2009-10-20	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-1	46.7	1646	1408	68.68%	18.68%	12.64%	+1.22	+4.8	70
2009-10-20	@ Bohemian	L 1-3	46.7	1408	1646	12.64%	18.68%	68.68%	-1.22	-4.8	37
2009-10-23	Bohemian	L 0-2	37.7	1349	1651	11.64%	18.16%	70.20%	-1.32	-5.1	40
2009-10-23	@ Galway United (old)	W 2-0	37.7	1651	1349	70.20%	18.16%	11.64%	+1.32	+5.1	73
2009-10-23	Derry City	L 0-2	40.7	1403	1501	28.75%	22.47%	48.78%	-0.36	-12.1	37
2009-10-23	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	40.7	1501	1403	48.78%	22.47%	28.75%	+0.36	+12.1	53
2009-10-23	Drogheda United	D 0-0	58.3	1538	1411	57.96%	21.33%	20.71%	+0.70	-1.9	56
2009-10-23	@ Cork City	D 0-0	58.3	1411	1538	20.71%	21.33%	57.96%	-0.70	+1.9	32
2009-10-23	Shamrock Rovers	L 2-4	51.3	1417	1568	22.87%	21.74%	55.38%	-0.61	-7.7	44
2009-10-23	@ Dundalk	W 4-2	51.3	1568	1417	55.38%	21.74%	22.87%	+0.61	+7.7	72
2009-10-30	Bray Wanderers	W 3-0	31.0	1513	1300	66.50%	19.35%	14.14%	+1.10	+9.1	56
2009-10-30	@ Derry City	L 0-3	31.0	1300	1513	14.14%	19.35%	66.50%	-1.10	-9.1	27
2009-10-30	Dundalk	W 2-1	50.0	1536	1409	57.93%	21.34%	20.73%	+0.70	+4.5	59
2009-10-30	@ Cork City	L 1-2	50.0	1409	1536	20.73%	21.34%	57.93%	-0.70	-4.5	44
2009-10-30	Galway United (old)	D 1-1	63.6	1575	1344	68.15%	18.85%	13.00%	+1.19	-2.6	73
2009-10-30	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	63.6	1344	1575	13.00%	18.85%	68.15%	-1.19	+2.6	41
2009-10-30	Sligo Rovers	W 3-1	48.1	1656	1431	67.55%	19.04%	13.41%	+1.16	+5.1	76
2009-10-30	@ Bohemian	L 1-3	48.1	1431	1656	13.41%	19.04%	67.55%	-1.16	-5.1	40
2009-10-30	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	53.4	1413	1391	44.83%	22.71%	32.46%	+0.20	-8.6	32
2009-10-30	@ Drogheda United	W 2-1	53.4	1391	1413	32.46%	22.71%	44.83%	-0.20	+8.6	40
2009-11-06	Bohemian	D 1-1	65.6	1291	1661	8.53%	16.12%	75.35%	-1.64	+3.2	28
2009-11-06	@ Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	65.6	1661	1291	75.35%	16.12%	8.53%	+1.64	-3.2	77
2009-11-06	Cork City	D 2-2	68.5	1346	1541	18.86%	20.90%	60.24%	-0.82	+1.4	42
2009-11-06	@ Galway United (old)	D 2-2	68.5	1541	1346	60.24%	20.90%	18.86%	+0.82	-1.4	60
2009-11-06	Derry City	L 1-2	51.3	1405	1522	26.44%	22.24%	51.32%	-0.45	-5.6	44
2009-11-06	@ Dundalk	W 2-1	51.3	1522	1405	51.32%	22.24%	26.44%	+0.45	+5.6	59
2009-11-06	Drogheda United	W 3-1	46.2	1426	1404	44.90%	22.71%	32.39%	+0.20	+11.5	43
2009-11-06	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-3	46.2	1404	1426	32.39%	22.71%	44.90%	-0.20	-11.5	32
2009-11-06	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	55.4	1400	1573	20.78%	21.35%	57.87%	-0.71	+11.4	43
2009-11-06	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	55.4	1573	1400	57.87%	21.35%	20.78%	+0.71	-11.4	73

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2009-11-10	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	34.1	1393	1294	54.70%	21.84%	23.46%	+0.57	+10.1	1-0
2009-11-10	@ Drogheda United	L 0-2	34.1	1294	1393	23.46%	21.84%	54.70%	-0.57	-10.1	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2009-09-04	8.86%	Bray Wanderers	1319	2	@ Bohemian	1635	1
2	2009-09-01	13.24%	@ Sligo Rovers	1375	1	Bohemian	1648	0
3	2009-09-01	14.73%	Galway United (old)	1355	3	@ Derry City	1559	1
4	2009-10-09	14.75%	@ Bray Wanderers	1303	3	Cork City	1553	2
5	2009-06-19	15.68%	Dundalk	1349	2	@ Cork City	1539	1
6	2009-04-24	15.81%	Dundalk	1341	1	@ Derry City	1529	0
7	2009-07-03	17.87%	@ Dundalk	1361	1	Derry City	1568	0
8	2009-06-05	19.00%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1428	3	Bohemian	1621	1
9	2009-07-10	19.87%	Drogheda United	1419	1	@ Derry City	1556	0
10	2009-10-16	20.76%	@ Galway United (old)	1356	3	Derry City	1529	1
11	2009-11-06	20.78%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1400	1	Shamrock Rovers	1573	0
12	2009-04-04	21.52%	Dundalk	1334	3	@ Sligo Rovers	1453	1
13	2009-09-12	21.83%	@ Dundalk	1391	1	Cork City	1553	0
14	2009-03-20	22.36%	@ Dundalk	1311	3	Drogheda United	1468	0
15	2009-07-17	22.44%	Bray Wanderers	1321	2	@ Drogheda United	1430	1
16	2009-07-07	22.77%	St Patrick's Athletic	1432	1	@ Cork City	1538	0
17	2009-06-02	22.89%	@ Drogheda United	1400	2	Cork City	1550	1
18	2009-04-03	23.06%	Cork City	1490	1	@ Bohemian	1593	0
19	2009-04-10	23.24%	Sligo Rovers	1440	2	@ Derry City	1541	1
20	2009-03-06	23.34%	Galway United (old)	1415	3	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1515	0
21	2009-04-03	23.41%	@ Bray Wanderers	1364	2	St Patrick's Athletic	1510	1
22	2009-05-01	23.59%	Bray Wanderers	1364	1	@ Shamrock Rovers	1462	0
23	2009-05-16	24.03%	@ Shamrock Rovers	1474	2	Bohemian	1614	1
24	2009-10-20	24.44%	Sligo Rovers	1421	2	@ Derry City	1511	1
25	2009-06-02	27.60%	@ Bray Wanderers	1343	3	Sligo Rovers	1450	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-03-20	30.29	@ Dundalk	3	1311	22.36%	Drogheda United	0	1468	55.98%	21.66%
2	2009-03-06	29.74	Galway United (old)	3	1415	23.34%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	0	1515	54.84%	21.82%
3	2009-10-20	26.26	@ Drogheda United	4	1385	43.21%	Galway United (old)	0	1375	34.01%	22.77%
4	2009-07-17	25.58	Dundalk	3	1366	31.30%	@ Galway United (old)	0	1396	46.05%	22.65%
5	2009-05-09	23.32	Shamrock Rovers	3	1451	36.07%	@ Sligo Rovers	0	1446	41.10%	22.83%
6	2009-06-05	22.85	@ Dundalk	3	1326	37.11%	Bray Wanderers	0	1359	40.05%	22.84%
7	2009-04-07	22.45	Derry City	3	1519	37.99%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	0	1500	39.17%	22.85%
8	2009-09-01	20.83	Galway United (old)	3	1355	14.73%	@ Derry City	1	1559	65.68%	19.59%
9	2009-08-11	19.91	Derry City	4	1530	53.59%	@ Sligo Rovers	0	1395	24.42%	21.98%
10	2009-09-25	19.36	@ Dundalk	3	1399	44.85%	Galway United (old)	0	1378	32.44%	22.71%
11	2009-06-05	19.23	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1428	19.00%	Bohemian	1	1621	60.06%	20.94%
12	2009-05-09	18.79	Cork City	3	1523	46.05%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	0	1447	31.30%	22.65%
13	2009-10-16	18.61	@ Galway United (old)	3	1356	20.76%	Derry City	1	1529	57.89%	21.35%
14	2009-04-04	18.35	Dundalk	3	1334	21.52%	@ Sligo Rovers	1	1453	56.98%	21.50%
15	2009-10-06	17.57	Sligo Rovers	2	1385	31.45%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	0	1415	45.89%	22.66%
16	2009-05-15	17.10	@ Galway United (old)	3	1425	49.69%	Bray Wanderers	0	1367	27.92%	22.39%
17	2009-05-01	17.03	Derry City	3	1517	49.82%	@ Drogheda United	0	1411	27.80%	22.38%
18	2009-05-28	16.94	Derry City	3	1534	50.03%	@ Galway United (old)	0	1427	27.61%	22.36%
19	2009-07-12	16.94	Cork City	3	1527	50.00%	@ Sligo Rovers	0	1420	27.63%	22.37%
20	2009-06-02	16.36	@ Bray Wanderers	3	1343	27.60%	Sligo Rovers	1	1450	50.04%	22.36%
21	2009-07-26	15.98	@ Sligo Rovers	2	1395	36.31%	St Patrick's Athletic	0	1434	40.86%	22.83%
22	2009-08-11	15.52	Drogheda United	2	1404	37.80%	@ Galway United (old)	0	1386	39.35%	22.85%
23	2009-04-25	15.27	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1447	38.58%	St Patrick's Athletic	0	1470	38.57%	22.85%
24	2009-05-23	15.12	@ Sligo Rovers	2	1423	39.10%	Galway United (old)	0	1442	38.05%	22.85%
25	2009-10-06	14.89	@ Cork City	2	1538	39.83%	Derry City	0	1552	37.33%	22.84%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-05-08	70.8	@ Derry City	3	1534	29.79%	Bohemian	2	1622	47.66%	22.55%
2	2009-08-22	70.0	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1533	58.32%	Dundalk	2	1403	20.41%	21.27%
3	2009-03-13	68.7	@ Bohemian	1	1580	51.81%	Derry City	1	1505	26.00%	22.19%
4	2009-11-06	68.5	@ Galway United (old)	2	1346	18.86%	Cork City	2	1541	60.24%	20.90%
5	2009-07-26	68.3	@ Derry City	1	1538	41.05%	Cork City	1	1544	36.12%	22.83%
6	2009-07-31	67.3	@ Drogheda United	1	1408	17.06%	Bohemian	1	1625	62.54%	20.40%
7	2009-04-03	67.0	@ Drogheda United	2	1432	42.97%	Shamrock Rovers	2	1424	34.25%	22.78%
8	2009-05-15	66.8	@ St Patrick's Athletic	2	1428	42.62%	Sligo Rovers	2	1422	34.59%	22.79%
9	2009-07-05	66.5	@ Sligo Rovers	2	1420	42.12%	Drogheda United	2	1419	35.07%	22.81%
10	2009-10-16	66.5	@ Dundalk	2	1418	41.45%	Sligo Rovers	2	1421	35.73%	22.82%
11	2009-03-20	66.0	@ Bray Wanderers	2	1369	30.78%	Galway United (old)	2	1449	46.60%	22.62%
12	2009-10-02	66.0	@ Drogheda United	2	1404	39.71%	Dundalk	2	1419	37.44%	22.84%
13	2009-11-06	65.6	@ Bray Wanderers	1	1291	8.53%	Bohemian	1	1661	75.35%	16.12%
14	2009-05-16	65.4	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1474	24.03%	Bohemian	1	1614	54.04%	21.93%
15	2009-09-04	65.4	@ Drogheda United	2	1406	44.43%	Sligo Rovers	2	1388	32.84%	22.73%
16	2009-09-04	65.1	Bray Wanderers	2	1319	8.86%	@ Bohemian	1	1635	74.76%	16.37%
17	2009-10-09	65.1	@ Bray Wanderers	3	1303	14.75%	Cork City	2	1553	65.65%	19.60%
18	2009-07-26	65.0	@ Bohemian	0	1627	55.91%	Shamrock Rovers	0	1518	22.42%	21.67%
19	2009-04-03	64.4	@ Derry City	1	1520	51.34%	Galway United (old)	1	1449	26.42%	22.24%
20	2009-10-20	64.4	Cork City	2	1529	29.16%	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1577	48.34%	22.50%
21	2009-03-07	64.2	@ Sligo Rovers	1	1468	37.08%	Cork City	1	1502	40.08%	22.84%
22	2009-08-21	63.8	@ Bray Wanderers	2	1323	34.50%	Sligo Rovers	2	1375	42.71%	22.79%
23	2009-09-25	63.7	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1407	24.53%	Cork City	1	1542	53.47%	22.00%
24	2009-10-30	63.6	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1575	68.15%	Galway United (old)	1	1344	13.00%	18.85%
25	2009-04-10	63.1	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1431	31.39%	Cork City	1	1507	45.96%	22.65%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2009-10-30	31.0	@ Derry City	3	1513	66.50%	Bray Wanderers	0	1300	14.14%	19.35%
2	2009-11-10 *	34.1	@ Drogheda United	2	1393	54.70%	Bray Wanderers	0	1294	23.46%	21.84%
3	2009-10-16	34.7	@ St Patrick's Athletic	2	1398	53.48%	Bray Wanderers	0	1309	24.52%	22.00%
4	2009-06-19	34.8	@ Derry City	2	1562	67.57%	Bray Wanderers	0	1337	13.40%	19.03%
5	2009-03-27	35.0	@ St Patrick's Athletic	2	1502	61.44%	Dundalk	0	1342	17.91%	20.65%
6	2009-05-15	35.6	@ Galway United (old)	3	1425	49.69%	Bray Wanderers	0	1367	27.92%	22.39%
7	2009-05-01	35.8	@ Bohemian	5	1611	70.27%	Dundalk	0	1354	11.60%	18.13%
8	2009-09-25	36.7	@ Dundalk	3	1399	44.85%	Galway United (old)	0	1378	32.44%	22.71%
9	2009-05-22	36.9	Cork City	2	1550	60.76%	@ Bray Wanderers	0	1350	18.44%	20.80%
10	2009-08-21	37.2	@ Bohemian	5	1637	70.99%	Galway United (old)	0	1371	11.13%	17.87%
11	2009-10-20	37.2	@ Drogheda United	4	1385	43.21%	Galway United (old)	0	1375	34.01%	22.77%
12	2009-04-24	37.3	@ Bohemian	2	1605	68.43%	Bray Wanderers	0	1370	12.81%	18.76%
13	2009-09-04	37.3	@ Derry City	3	1538	58.67%	Dundalk	0	1404	20.12%	21.21%
14	2009-05-29	37.6	Sligo Rovers	2	1438	48.15%	@ Dundalk	0	1345	29.33%	22.52%
15	2009-06-05	37.6	@ Dundalk	3	1326	37.11%	Bray Wanderers	0	1359	40.05%	22.84%
16	2009-10-23	37.7	Bohemian	2	1651	70.20%	@ Galway United (old)	0	1349	11.64%	18.16%
17	2009-07-31	37.9	@ Cork City	1	1544	67.09%	Bray Wanderers	0	1324	13.73%	19.18%
18	2009-10-09	37.9	@ Sligo Rovers	2	1403	46.51%	Galway United (old)	0	1369	30.87%	22.62%
19	2009-03-13	38.1	@ Galway United (old)	1	1445	58.06%	Dundalk	0	1316	20.62%	21.32%
20	2009-10-09	38.2	@ Bohemian	4	1622	67.03%	Drogheda United	0	1404	13.78%	19.20%
21	2009-10-17	38.4	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1570	63.17%	Drogheda United	0	1392	16.58%	20.25%
22	2009-08-11	38.5	Derry City	4	1530	53.59%	@ Sligo Rovers	0	1395	24.42%	21.98%
23	2009-10-13	38.5	@ Sligo Rovers	1	1416	54.99%	Bray Wanderers	0	1314	23.21%	21.80%
24	2009-07-10	38.8	Bohemian	2	1614	64.89%	@ Dundalk	0	1373	15.30%	19.81%
25	2009-03-06	39.0	Bohemian	1	1577	66.36%	@ Dundalk	0	1320	14.25%	19.40%