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2010 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

180 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Shamrock Rovers

67 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Fingal

15.61 points above expected

62 points · 46.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Drogheda United

12.29 points below expected

21 points · 33.29 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 36 19 10 7 67 57 34 +23 63.94 +3.06
2 Bohemian 36 19 10 7 67 50 29 +21 68.89 -1.89
3 Sligo Rovers 36 17 12 7 63 61 36 +25 56.77 +6.23
4 Sporting Fingal 36 16 14 6 62 60 38 +22 46.39 +15.61
5 St Patrick's Athletic 36 16 9 11 57 55 33 +22 59.71 -2.71
6 Dundalk 36 14 6 16 48 46 50 -4 50.44 -2.44
7 UC Dublin 36 11 8 17 41 47 54 -7 41.79 -0.79
8 Galway United (old) 36 9 11 16 38 38 59 -21 40.37 -2.37
9 Bray Wanderers 36 6 9 21 27 35 72 -37 30.65 -3.65
10 Drogheda United 36 4 9 23 21 30 74 -44 33.29 -12.29

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sporting Fingal 62 46.39 +15.61
2 Sligo Rovers 63 56.77 +6.23
3 Shamrock Rovers 67 63.94 +3.06
4 UC Dublin 41 41.79 -0.79
5 Bohemian 67 68.89 -1.89

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Drogheda United 21 33.29 -12.29
2 Bray Wanderers 27 30.65 -3.65
3 St Patrick's Athletic 57 59.71 -2.71
4 Dundalk 48 50.44 -2.44
5 Galway United (old) 38 40.37 -2.37

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sporting Fingal 4 Oct 9 – Oct 29 1 in 38
2 Shamrock Rovers 6 Aug 8 – Sep 10 1 in 38
3 Bray Wanderers 2 Sep 3 – Sep 10 1 in 31
4 Sligo Rovers 5 Oct 2 – Oct 29 1 in 18
5 St Patrick's Athletic 3 Mar 5 – Mar 19 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 3 Apr 9 – Apr 23 1 in 113
2 Shamrock Rovers 3 Oct 1 – Oct 9 1 in 99
3 St Patrick's Athletic 3 Sep 10 – Sep 24 1 in 69
4 Drogheda United 6 Jul 23 – Aug 23 1 in 56
5 Bray Wanderers 4 Mar 5 – Mar 26 1 in 46

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bray Wanderers 6 Sep 3 – Oct 1 1 in 115
2 Sporting Fingal 8 Mar 12 – Apr 22 1 in 97
3 Shamrock Rovers 17 May 7 – Sep 10 1 in 80
4 UC Dublin 5 Apr 22 – May 7 1 in 17
5 St Patrick's Athletic 6 Mar 5 – Apr 6 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 5 Mar 26 – Apr 23 1 in 44
2 Shamrock Rovers 4 May 21 – Jun 25 1 in 28
3 Dundalk 8 Jul 11 – Sep 3 1 in 25
4 St Patrick's Athletic 5 Sep 3 – Oct 2 1 in 24
5 Drogheda United 15 Jul 23 – Oct 29 1 in 24

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Bohemian 1571 67 +9 10 9.3 +0.7
Shamrock Rovers 1555 67 -37 4 9.9 -5.9
Sligo Rovers 1560 63 +32 15 9.8 +5.2
Sporting Fingal 1508 62 +55 13 7.6 +5.4
St Patrick's Athletic 1498 57 +1 7 8.0 -1.0
Dundalk 1399 48 +3 6 6.1 -0.1
UC Dublin 1351 41 -4 6 5.2 +0.8
Galway United (old) 1291 38 -36 4 5.0 -1.0
Bray Wanderers 1305 27 -9 3 4.3 -1.3
Drogheda United 1200 21 -15 2 3.4 -1.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH BW DU DUN GU( SR SR SF SPA UD
Bohemian —
3-1-0
9.35
4-0-0
8.77
3-0-1
7.26
0-1-3
8.48
1-1-2
6.07
2-2-0
6.84
2-2-0
7.77
1-2-1
6.52
3-1-0
8.03
Bray Wanderers
0-1-3
1.86
—
1-3-0
5.08
3-0-1
3.55
1-1-2
3.94
0-2-2
2.13
0-0-4
2.71
0-1-3
3.93
1-0-3
2.46
0-1-3
4.12
Drogheda United
0-0-4
2.33
0-3-1
5.82
—
0-1-3
3.86
0-1-3
4.27
0-1-3
2.49
0-1-3
3.14
1-1-2
4.05
2-0-2
2.52
1-1-2
4.81
Dundalk
1-0-3
3.65
1-0-3
7.39
3-1-0
7.05
—
2-2-0
6.64
3-0-1
3.91
1-1-2
4.70
0-0-4
5.69
1-1-2
4.41
2-1-1
6.12
Galway United (old)
3-1-0
2.57
2-1-1
6.96
3-1-0
6.61
0-2-2
4.24
—
0-0-4
3.27
0-2-2
3.93
0-1-3
4.50
0-1-3
3.77
1-2-1
4.78
Shamrock Rovers
2-1-1
4.79
2-2-0
9.02
3-1-0
8.61
1-0-3
7.02
4-0-0
7.70
—
2-2-0
6.32
0-3-1
7.25
3-0-1
5.90
2-1-1
7.77
Sligo Rovers
0-2-2
4.06
4-0-0
8.33
3-1-0
7.86
2-1-1
6.18
2-2-0
6.97
0-2-2
4.55
—
1-2-1
6.76
1-2-1
5.31
4-0-0
7.00
Sporting Fingal
0-2-2
3.20
3-1-0
7.00
2-1-1
6.86
4-0-0
5.18
3-1-0
6.40
1-3-0
3.67
1-2-1
4.12
—
0-3-1
4.05
2-1-1
6.39
St Patrick's Athletic
1-2-1
4.36
3-0-1
8.63
2-0-2
8.54
2-1-1
6.47
3-1-0
7.14
1-0-3
4.96
1-2-1
5.56
1-3-0
6.85
—
2-0-2
7.44
UC Dublin
0-1-3
2.96
3-1-0
6.79
2-1-1
6.08
1-1-2
4.75
1-2-1
6.08
1-1-2
3.21
0-0-4
3.91
1-1-2
4.48
2-0-2
3.48
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +14.4
Allowed 0.96 -10.0
Differential 0.96 +6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.89%8.06%7.22%3.61%1.67%0.56%30.00%
18.06%10.00%6.67%3.06%1.39%0.56%29.72%
27.22%6.67%7.22%2.50%0.83%—24.44%
33.61%3.06%2.50%1.11%0.28%—10.56%
41.67%1.39%0.83%0.28%——4.17%
5+0.56%0.56%————1.11%
Total30.00%29.72%24.44%10.56%4.17%1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.21 1.81
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
113.89%11.11%—2.78%——27.78%
216.67%8.33%2.78%5.56%——33.33%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total50.00%30.56%8.33%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 0.81 +0.58
SD 1.08 1.01 1.42
CV 0.78 1.25 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%11.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%47.22%
1—2.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%19.44%
28.33%—13.89%2.78%——25.00%
3——5.56%———5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total19.44%13.89%36.11%16.67%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 2.00 -1.03
SD 1.11 1.47 2.02
CV 1.14 0.74 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%19.44%5.56%2.78%2.78%41.67%
15.56%11.11%8.33%8.33%2.78%—36.11%
2—5.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
3———2.78%——2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%25.00%36.11%19.44%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 2.06 -1.22
SD 0.85 1.26 1.51
CV 1.01 0.61 —
Max 3 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%—30.56%
111.11%5.56%8.33%5.56%——30.56%
25.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—25.00%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total27.78%30.56%22.22%13.89%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.39 -0.11
SD 1.19 1.20 1.86
CV 0.93 0.87 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%11.11%8.33%2.78%—44.44%
15.56%5.56%—2.78%2.78%—16.67%
25.56%5.56%13.89%—2.78%—27.78%
3—2.78%5.56%2.78%——11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%27.78%30.56%13.89%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.64 -0.58
SD 1.09 1.20 1.57
CV 1.04 0.73 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%5.56%———16.67%
113.89%13.89%5.56%——2.78%36.11%
211.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%——27.78%
35.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+———————
Total41.67%36.11%13.89%5.56%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.94 +0.64
SD 1.16 1.12 1.64
CV 0.73 1.19 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%2.78%———25.00%
18.33%13.89%5.56%———27.78%
22.78%11.11%8.33%———22.22%
32.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
42.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total30.56%41.67%25.00%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.00 +0.69
SD 1.55 0.83 1.62
CV 0.91 0.83 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
111.11%19.44%5.56%———36.11%
25.56%11.11%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
32.78%5.56%—2.78%2.78%—13.89%
42.78%5.56%————8.33%
5+———————
Total30.56%44.44%16.67%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.06 +0.61
SD 1.15 0.98 1.34
CV 0.69 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%————22.22%
15.56%11.11%11.11%2.78%——30.56%
213.89%2.78%2.78%5.56%——25.00%
311.11%2.78%2.78%———16.67%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total44.44%27.78%19.44%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 0.92 +0.61
SD 1.18 1.00 1.55
CV 0.77 1.09 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%8.33%5.56%2.78%—33.33%
15.56%5.56%16.67%2.78%5.56%—36.11%
22.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
32.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%19.44%36.11%8.33%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.50 -0.19
SD 1.43 1.23 2.12
CV 1.10 0.82 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Bohemian 1571 67 68.89 -1.89 44.0% 51 57 63 68 73 80 85
Sligo Rovers 1560 63 56.77 +6.23 81.0% 35 44 53 56 61 69 74
Shamrock Rovers 1555 67 63.94 +3.06 65.0% 44 50 58 64 70 78 82
Sporting Fingal 1508 62 46.39 +15.61 100.0% 26 35 42 46 50 55 61
St Patrick's Athletic 1498 57 59.71 -2.71 39.0% 43 50 55 59 65 70 78
Dundalk 1399 48 50.44 -2.44 41.0% 34 38 45 51 55 61 71
UC Dublin 1351 41 41.79 -0.79 48.0% 22 29 37 42 47 52 66
Galway United (old) 1301 38 40.37 -2.37 38.0% 20 29 35 40 45 51 59
Bray Wanderers 1294 27 30.65 -3.65 32.0% 10 20 26 30 35 42 53
Drogheda United 1200 21 33.29 -12.29 4.0% 16 22 29 33 37 44 54

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.11%
No Edge
39.44%27.22%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 21.26 Elo pts.
206 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.17 goals
Neutral
-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
34%
Shamrock Rovers, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.73 * Some Luck: 5.73 to 8.59 * Lucky: 8.59 to 11.45 * Wild Swing: 11.45 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.82 * Close: 0.82 to 1.23 * Off: 1.23 to 1.64 * Way Off: 1.64 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.92 points
Some Luck
07.1618
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.022.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Sporting Fingal
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
4.00%
Drogheda United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 132.40
2.15
Strong Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
79%
Wide Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Clear Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Occasional
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.12
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.58
Strong Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.14
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.83
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.080
Well Within Noise
00.1290.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Galway United (old) 1
Bray Wanderers 0

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Shamrock Rovers34.00%24.00%16.00%16.00%7.00%3.00%————
Bohemian54.00%30.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%—————
Sligo Rovers4.00%18.00%21.00%28.00%18.00%6.00%1.00%4.00%——
Sporting Fingal—1.00%3.00%10.00%23.00%26.00%22.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%
St Patrick's Athletic7.00%22.00%37.00%22.00%8.00%4.00%————
Dundalk—5.00%14.00%14.00%18.00%23.00%19.00%5.00%2.00%—
UC Dublin1.00%——1.00%14.00%16.00%26.00%25.00%11.00%6.00%
Galway United (old)———3.00%6.00%18.00%21.00%26.00%18.00%8.00%
Bray Wanderers————1.00%1.00%4.00%10.00%31.00%53.00%
Drogheda United————4.00%3.00%7.00%19.00%36.00%31.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bohemian 100% — —
Dundalk 93.00% 7.00% —
Shamrock Rovers 100% — —
Sligo Rovers 96.00% 4.00% —
St Patrick's Athletic 100% — —
Sporting Fingal 85.00% 13.00% 2.00%
UC Dublin 58.00% 36.00% 6.00%
Galway United (old) 48.00% 44.00% 8.00%
Drogheda United 14.00% 55.00% 31.00%
Bray Wanderers 6.00% 41.00% 53.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2010-03-05 Dundalk L 0-143.5 1365 1424 30.69% 28.58% 40.73%-0.18 -9.5 0
2010-03-05 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-043.5 1424 1365 40.73% 28.58% 30.69%+0.18 +9.5 3
2010-03-05 Galway United (old) W 2-040.0 1430 1394 43.78% 28.36% 27.86%+0.28 +16.6 3
2010-03-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-240.0 1394 1430 27.86% 28.36% 43.78%-0.28 -16.6 0
2010-03-05 Sporting Fingal W 1-038.8 1572 1329 66.44% 22.32% 11.24%+1.28 +3.8 3
2010-03-05 @ Bohemian L 0-138.8 1329 1572 11.24% 22.32% 66.44%-1.28 -3.8 0
2010-03-05 UC Dublin L 0-343.3 1426 1343 49.80% 27.56% 22.64%+0.51 -37.5 0
2010-03-05 @ Drogheda United W 3-043.3 1343 1426 22.64% 27.56% 49.80%-0.51 +37.5 3
2010-03-06 Shamrock Rovers D 1-160.4 1445 1512 29.64% 28.51% 41.84%-0.22 +0.7 1
2010-03-06 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-160.4 1512 1445 41.84% 28.51% 29.64%+0.22 -0.7 1
2010-03-12 Bray Wanderers W 2-147.9 1378 1355 42.01% 28.50% 29.48%+0.21 +8.7 3
2010-03-12 @ Galway United (old) L 1-247.9 1355 1378 29.48% 28.50% 42.01%-0.21 -8.7 0
2010-03-12 Sligo Rovers D 1-155.2 1325 1445 23.51% 27.73% 48.75%-0.48 +1.5 1
2010-03-12 @ Sporting Fingal D 1-155.2 1445 1325 48.75% 27.73% 23.51%+0.48 -1.5 2
2010-03-14 Drogheda United D 2-262.2 1433 1388 45.00% 28.24% 26.76%+0.32 -0.8 4
2010-03-14 @ Dundalk D 2-262.2 1388 1433 26.76% 28.24% 45.00%-0.32 +0.8 1
2010-03-16 Bohemian L 1-249.3 1380 1576 16.90% 25.79% 57.31%-0.84 -5.4 3
2010-03-16 @ UC Dublin W 2-149.3 1576 1380 57.31% 25.79% 16.90%+0.84 +5.4 6
2010-03-16 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-250.0 1511 1446 47.60% 27.91% 24.49%+0.42 -24.8 1
2010-03-16 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-050.0 1446 1511 24.49% 27.91% 47.60%-0.42 +24.8 6
2010-03-19 Bohemian L 2-450.6 1389 1581 17.15% 25.89% 56.96%-0.83 -8.5 1
2010-03-19 @ Drogheda United W 4-250.6 1581 1389 56.96% 25.89% 17.15%+0.83 +8.5 9
2010-03-19 Sporting Fingal L 1-347.6 1346 1326 41.70% 28.52% 29.77%+0.20 -19.4 0
2010-03-19 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-147.6 1326 1346 29.77% 28.52% 41.70%-0.20 +19.4 4
2010-03-19 UC Dublin W 3-036.5 1471 1375 51.37% 27.26% 21.36%+0.57 +19.4 9
2010-03-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-336.5 1375 1471 21.36% 27.26% 51.37%-0.57 -19.4 3
2010-03-20 Galway United (old) W 1-042.7 1444 1386 46.66% 28.04% 25.30%+0.38 +8.2 5
2010-03-20 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-142.7 1386 1444 25.30% 28.04% 46.66%-0.38 -8.1 3
2010-03-21 Dundalk L 0-248.3 1486 1432 46.19% 28.10% 25.71%+0.37 -24.2 1
2010-03-21 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-048.3 1432 1486 25.71% 28.10% 46.19%-0.37 +24.2 7
2010-03-26 Bray Wanderers W 1-041.2 1356 1327 42.86% 28.44% 28.70%+0.24 +9.0 6
2010-03-26 @ UC Dublin L 0-141.2 1327 1356 28.70% 28.44% 42.86%-0.24 -9.0 0
2010-03-26 Drogheda United W 4-144.4 1346 1381 33.95% 28.71% 37.34%-0.07 +25.2 7
2010-03-26 @ Sporting Fingal L 1-444.4 1381 1346 37.34% 28.71% 33.95%+0.07 -25.2 1
2010-03-26 Shamrock Rovers L 0-143.7 1378 1462 27.57% 28.33% 44.10%-0.31 -8.7 3
2010-03-26 @ Galway United (old) W 1-043.7 1462 1378 44.10% 28.33% 27.57%+0.31 +8.7 4
2010-03-26 Sligo Rovers D 0-059.5 1589 1452 56.08% 26.14% 17.78%+0.77 -2.6 10
2010-03-26 @ Bohemian D 0-059.5 1452 1589 17.78% 26.14% 56.08%-0.77 +2.6 6
2010-03-26 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-055.2 1457 1490 34.12% 28.71% 37.17%-0.06 +0.2 8
2010-03-26 @ Dundalk D 0-055.2 1490 1457 37.17% 28.71% 34.12%+0.06 -0.2 10
2010-04-02 Sligo Rovers D 2-261.9 1355 1455 25.82% 28.11% 46.06%-0.38 +0.9 2
2010-04-02 @ Drogheda United D 2-261.9 1455 1355 46.06% 28.11% 25.82%+0.38 -0.9 7
2010-04-02 Sporting Fingal D 0-053.0 1490 1371 54.07% 26.66% 19.26%+0.68 -2.4 11
2010-04-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-053.0 1371 1490 19.26% 26.66% 54.07%-0.68 +2.4 8
2010-04-02 UC Dublin D 0-052.2 1471 1365 52.56% 27.01% 20.42%+0.62 -2.2 5
2010-04-02 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-052.2 1365 1471 20.42% 27.01% 52.56%-0.62 +2.2 7
2010-04-05 Bray Wanderers D 0-048.9 1356 1318 44.14% 28.32% 27.53%+0.29 -1.1 3
2010-04-05 @ Drogheda United D 0-048.9 1318 1356 27.53% 28.32% 44.14%-0.29 +1.1 1
2010-04-05 Dundalk D 2-264.7 1454 1457 38.48% 28.68% 32.84%+0.09 -0.2 8
2010-04-05 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-264.7 1457 1454 32.84% 28.68% 38.48%-0.09 +0.2 9
2010-04-05 Galway United (old) D 0-049.6 1367 1369 38.58% 28.68% 32.74%+0.09 -0.4 8
2010-04-05 @ UC Dublin D 0-049.6 1369 1367 32.74% 28.68% 38.58%-0.09 +0.4 4
2010-04-05 Shamrock Rovers D 1-156.8 1373 1469 26.25% 28.17% 45.58%-0.36 +1.1 9
2010-04-05 @ Sporting Fingal D 1-156.8 1469 1373 45.58% 28.17% 26.25%+0.36 -1.1 6
2010-04-06 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-165.1 1587 1488 51.73% 27.19% 21.08%+0.58 -1.8 11
2010-04-06 @ Bohemian D 1-165.1 1488 1587 21.08% 27.19% 51.73%-0.58 +1.8 12
2010-04-09 Bohemian W 1-057.1 1468 1585 23.83% 27.79% 48.38%-0.47 +13.4 9
2010-04-09 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-157.1 1585 1468 48.38% 27.79% 23.83%+0.47 -13.4 11
2010-04-09 Drogheda United L 0-151.7 1490 1355 55.75% 26.23% 18.02%+0.76 -15.0 12
2010-04-09 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-051.7 1355 1490 18.02% 26.23% 55.75%-0.76 +15.0 6
2010-04-09 Sligo Rovers L 2-351.2 1319 1453 22.11% 27.44% 50.45%-0.55 -6.5 1
2010-04-09 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-251.2 1453 1319 50.45% 27.44% 22.11%+0.55 +6.5 11
2010-04-09 Sporting Fingal D 2-260.4 1370 1374 38.25% 28.69% 33.07%+0.08 -0.2 5
2010-04-09 @ Galway United (old) D 2-260.4 1374 1370 33.07% 28.69% 38.25%-0.08 +0.2 10
2010-04-09 UC Dublin W 3-036.1 1457 1367 50.73% 27.39% 21.88%+0.54 +19.8 12
2010-04-09 @ Dundalk L 0-336.1 1367 1457 21.88% 27.39% 50.73%-0.54 -19.8 8
2010-04-16 Dundalk W 2-155.4 1375 1477 25.48% 28.06% 46.46%-0.39 +12.2 13
2010-04-16 @ Sporting Fingal L 1-255.4 1477 1375 46.46% 28.06% 25.48%+0.39 -12.2 12
2010-04-16 Galway United (old) L 2-367.1 1572 1369 62.67% 23.93% 13.41%+1.08 -14.8 11
2010-04-16 @ Bohemian W 3-267.1 1369 1572 13.41% 23.93% 62.67%-1.08 +14.8 8
2010-04-16 Shamrock Rovers L 0-239.6 1370 1481 24.56% 27.92% 47.52%-0.43 -15.0 6
2010-04-16 @ Drogheda United W 2-039.6 1481 1370 47.52% 27.92% 24.56%+0.43 +15.0 12
2010-04-19 Dundalk L 0-144.1 1384 1465 28.02% 28.37% 43.61%-0.29 -8.8 8
2010-04-19 @ Galway United (old) W 1-044.1 1465 1384 43.61% 28.37% 28.02%+0.29 +8.8 15
2010-04-20 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-434.2 1313 1475 19.56% 26.76% 53.69%-0.68 -23.4 1
2010-04-20 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-034.2 1475 1313 53.69% 26.76% 19.56%+0.68 +23.4 15
2010-04-22 Sporting Fingal D 0-049.6 1347 1387 33.24% 28.69% 38.07%-0.09 +0.3 9
2010-04-22 @ UC Dublin D 0-049.6 1387 1347 38.07% 28.69% 33.24%+0.09 -0.3 14
2010-04-23 Bohemian W 1-055.2 1473 1557 27.67% 28.34% 43.99%-0.30 +12.4 18
2010-04-23 @ Dundalk L 0-155.2 1557 1473 43.99% 28.34% 27.67%+0.30 -12.4 11
2010-04-23 Bray Wanderers W 1-036.7 1496 1289 63.10% 23.76% 13.15%+1.11 +4.4 15
2010-04-23 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-136.7 1289 1496 13.15% 23.76% 63.10%-1.11 -4.4 1
2010-04-23 Drogheda United W 3-144.8 1375 1355 41.70% 28.52% 29.78%+0.20 +15.1 11
2010-04-23 @ Galway United (old) L 1-344.8 1355 1375 29.78% 28.52% 41.70%-0.20 -15.1 6
2010-04-23 Sligo Rovers W 1-047.5 1498 1460 44.12% 28.33% 27.56%+0.29 +8.7 18
2010-04-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-147.5 1460 1498 27.56% 28.33% 44.12%-0.29 -8.7 11
2010-04-26 Bohemian L 0-240.5 1387 1544 19.92% 26.87% 53.21%-0.66 -12.5 14
2010-04-26 @ Sporting Fingal W 2-040.5 1544 1387 53.21% 26.87% 19.92%+0.66 +12.5 14
2010-04-26 Bray Wanderers L 2-362.3 1486 1285 62.57% 23.97% 13.47%+1.08 -14.8 18
2010-04-26 @ Dundalk W 3-262.3 1285 1486 13.47% 23.97% 62.57%-1.08 +14.8 4
2010-04-26 Drogheda United W 2-038.8 1347 1340 39.87% 28.63% 31.50%+0.14 +18.2 12
2010-04-26 @ UC Dublin L 0-238.8 1340 1347 31.50% 28.63% 39.87%-0.14 -18.2 6
2010-04-26 Sligo Rovers D 1-160.3 1500 1451 45.56% 28.17% 26.27%+0.34 -1.1 16
2010-04-26 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-160.3 1451 1500 26.27% 28.17% 45.56%-0.34 +1.1 12
2010-04-26 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-240.8 1391 1507 23.95% 27.82% 48.24%-0.46 -14.7 11
2010-04-26 @ Galway United (old) W 2-040.8 1507 1391 48.24% 27.82% 23.95%+0.46 +14.7 21
2010-04-30 Dundalk L 1-342.8 1322 1471 20.72% 27.09% 52.19%-0.62 -11.2 6
2010-04-30 @ Drogheda United W 3-142.8 1471 1322 52.19% 27.09% 20.72%+0.62 +11.2 21
2010-04-30 Galway United (old) L 0-237.7 1300 1376 28.52% 28.42% 43.06%-0.27 -16.9 4
2010-04-30 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-037.7 1376 1300 43.06% 28.42% 28.52%+0.27 +16.9 14
2010-04-30 Shamrock Rovers L 1-260.1 1521 1499 42.00% 28.50% 29.50%+0.21 -11.2 21
2010-04-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-160.1 1499 1521 29.50% 28.50% 42.00%-0.21 +11.2 19
2010-04-30 UC Dublin D 0-055.6 1557 1365 61.66% 24.32% 14.03%+1.03 -3.4 15
2010-04-30 @ Bohemian D 0-055.6 1365 1557 14.03% 24.32% 61.66%-1.03 +3.4 13
2010-05-01 Sporting Fingal L 0-149.7 1452 1374 49.26% 27.65% 23.09%+0.48 -13.6 12
2010-05-01 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-049.7 1374 1452 23.09% 27.65% 49.26%-0.48 +13.6 17
2010-05-03 Drogheda United W 1-037.7 1554 1311 66.41% 22.33% 11.26%+1.28 +3.8 18
2010-05-03 @ Bohemian L 0-137.7 1311 1554 11.26% 22.33% 66.41%-1.28 -3.8 6
2010-05-03 Shamrock Rovers W 2-157.4 1482 1510 34.91% 28.72% 36.37%-0.03 +10.1 24
2010-05-03 @ Dundalk L 1-257.4 1510 1482 36.37% 28.72% 34.91%+0.03 -10.1 19
2010-05-03 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-051.7 1369 1510 21.40% 27.27% 51.32%-0.58 +14.0 16
2010-05-03 @ UC Dublin L 0-151.7 1510 1369 51.32% 27.27% 21.40%+0.58 -14.0 21
2010-05-04 Bray Wanderers W 1-038.2 1388 1283 52.42% 27.05% 20.54%+0.61 +6.8 20
2010-05-04 @ Sporting Fingal L 0-138.2 1283 1388 20.54% 27.05% 52.42%-0.61 -6.8 4
2010-05-04 Sligo Rovers D 0-051.6 1393 1439 32.42% 28.67% 38.91%-0.12 +0.4 15
2010-05-04 @ Galway United (old) D 0-051.6 1439 1393 38.91% 28.67% 32.42%+0.12 -0.4 13
2010-05-07 Dundalk W 1-050.1 1496 1492 39.45% 28.64% 31.90%+0.12 +9.7 24
2010-05-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-150.1 1492 1496 31.90% 28.64% 39.45%-0.12 -9.7 24
2010-05-07 Galway United (old) W 2-039.4 1500 1393 52.69% 26.99% 20.32%+0.62 +12.8 22
2010-05-07 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-239.4 1393 1500 20.32% 26.99% 52.69%-0.62 -12.8 15
2010-05-07 Sporting Fingal D 1-154.0 1307 1394 27.18% 28.29% 44.53%-0.32 +1.0 7
2010-05-07 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.0 1394 1307 44.53% 28.29% 27.18%+0.32 -1.0 21
2010-05-07 UC Dublin L 0-635.7 1276 1383 24.97% 27.99% 47.04%-0.42 -42.2 4
2010-05-07 @ Bray Wanderers W 6-035.7 1383 1276 47.04% 27.99% 24.97%+0.42 +42.2 19
2010-05-08 Bohemian L 1-253.4 1438 1557 23.67% 27.76% 48.57%-0.47 -7.3 13
2010-05-08 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-153.4 1557 1438 48.57% 27.76% 23.67%+0.47 +7.3 21
2010-05-14 Galway United (old) D 0-052.9 1483 1380 52.12% 27.11% 20.77%+0.60 -2.1 25
2010-05-14 @ Dundalk D 0-052.9 1380 1483 20.77% 27.11% 52.12%-0.60 +2.1 16
2010-05-14 Shamrock Rovers L 1-252.5 1425 1513 27.07% 28.27% 44.65%-0.33 -8.1 19
2010-05-14 @ UC Dublin W 2-152.5 1513 1425 44.65% 28.27% 27.07%+0.33 +8.1 25
2010-05-15 Drogheda United W 6-034.5 1431 1308 54.50% 26.56% 18.94%+0.70 +33.3 16
2010-05-15 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-634.5 1308 1431 18.94% 26.56% 54.50%-0.70 -33.3 7
2010-05-21 Bohemian W 3-158.3 1506 1565 30.75% 28.59% 40.66%-0.18 +19.0 27
2010-05-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-358.3 1565 1506 40.66% 28.59% 30.75%+0.18 -19.0 21
2010-05-21 Drogheda United D 2-258.4 1234 1275 33.11% 28.69% 38.21%-0.10 +0.2 5
2010-05-21 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-258.4 1275 1234 38.21% 28.69% 33.11%+0.10 -0.2 8
2010-05-21 Sligo Rovers W 1-048.0 1481 1464 41.15% 28.56% 30.29%+0.18 +9.4 28
2010-05-21 @ Dundalk L 0-148.0 1464 1481 30.29% 28.56% 41.15%-0.18 -9.4 16
2010-05-21 Sporting Fingal D 1-159.5 1521 1393 55.03% 26.42% 18.55%+0.72 -2.2 26
2010-05-21 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-159.5 1393 1521 18.55% 26.42% 55.03%-0.72 +2.2 22
2010-05-21 UC Dublin D 2-261.5 1382 1417 34.05% 28.71% 37.24%-0.06 +0.1 17
2010-05-21 @ Galway United (old) D 2-261.5 1417 1382 37.24% 28.71% 34.05%+0.06 -0.1 20
2010-05-29 Bray Wanderers W 5-133.2 1455 1234 64.46% 23.19% 12.35%+1.18 +12.4 19
2010-05-29 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-533.2 1234 1455 12.35% 23.19% 64.46%-1.18 -12.4 5
2010-05-29 Dundalk W 3-152.9 1417 1490 28.89% 28.45% 42.66%-0.25 +19.7 23
2010-05-29 @ UC Dublin L 1-352.9 1490 1417 42.66% 28.45% 28.89%+0.25 -19.7 28
2010-05-29 Galway United (old) W 2-039.9 1396 1383 40.73% 28.58% 30.69%+0.17 +17.9 25
2010-05-29 @ Sporting Fingal L 0-239.9 1383 1396 30.69% 28.58% 40.73%-0.17 -17.8 17
2010-05-29 Shamrock Rovers D 0-059.6 1546 1519 42.58% 28.46% 28.96%+0.23 -0.9 22
2010-05-29 @ Bohemian D 0-059.6 1519 1546 28.96% 28.46% 42.58%-0.23 +0.9 27
2010-05-29 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-157.8 1274 1525 13.28% 23.85% 62.87%-1.11 +15.7 11
2010-05-29 @ Drogheda United L 1-257.8 1525 1274 62.87% 23.85% 13.28%+1.11 -15.7 27
2010-06-01 Bohemian L 0-231.1 1221 1545 9.72% 20.91% 69.37%-1.47 -6.0 5
2010-06-01 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-031.1 1545 1221 69.37% 20.91% 9.72%+1.47 +6.0 25
2010-06-08 Bohemian D 2-265.6 1365 1551 17.59% 26.07% 56.34%-0.80 +1.8 18
2010-06-08 @ Galway United (old) D 2-265.6 1551 1365 56.34% 26.07% 17.59%+0.80 -1.8 26
2010-06-08 Bray Wanderers W 3-028.1 1509 1215 70.74% 20.21% 9.06%+1.53 +8.0 30
2010-06-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-328.1 1215 1509 9.06% 20.21% 70.74%-1.53 -8.0 5
2010-06-08 Drogheda United D 1-157.6 1520 1290 65.23% 22.86% 11.91%+1.22 -3.4 28
2010-06-08 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-157.6 1290 1520 11.91% 22.86% 65.23%-1.22 +3.4 12
2010-06-08 Sligo Rovers L 0-244.5 1436 1467 34.49% 28.71% 36.80%-0.05 -19.4 23
2010-06-08 @ UC Dublin W 2-044.5 1467 1436 36.80% 28.71% 34.49%+0.05 +19.5 22
2010-06-08 Sporting Fingal L 1-256.4 1470 1413 46.55% 28.05% 25.40%+0.38 -12.2 28
2010-06-08 @ Dundalk W 2-156.4 1413 1470 25.40% 28.05% 46.55%-0.38 +12.2 28
2010-06-25 Dundalk W 3-042.1 1549 1458 50.78% 27.38% 21.84%+0.55 +19.8 29
2010-06-25 @ Bohemian L 0-342.1 1458 1549 21.84% 27.38% 50.78%-0.55 -19.8 28
2010-06-25 Galway United (old) L 0-141.0 1294 1367 28.93% 28.46% 42.61%-0.25 -9.0 12
2010-06-25 @ Drogheda United W 1-041.0 1367 1294 42.61% 28.46% 28.93%+0.25 +9.0 21
2010-06-25 Shamrock Rovers D 0-051.6 1207 1516 10.33% 21.50% 68.16%-1.40 +4.1 6
2010-06-25 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-051.6 1516 1207 68.16% 21.50% 10.33%+1.40 -4.1 29
2010-06-25 UC Dublin L 1-253.5 1426 1417 40.14% 28.61% 31.24%+0.15 -10.9 28
2010-06-25 @ Sporting Fingal W 2-153.5 1417 1426 31.24% 28.61% 40.14%-0.15 +10.9 26
2010-06-26 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-057.3 1487 1517 34.59% 28.72% 36.69%-0.04 +0.1 23
2010-06-26 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-057.3 1517 1487 36.69% 28.72% 34.59%+0.04 -0.1 31
2010-07-02 Galway United (old) W 4-248.0 1517 1376 56.53% 26.01% 17.46%+0.79 +8.6 34
2010-07-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-448.0 1376 1517 17.46% 26.01% 56.53%-0.79 -8.6 21
2010-07-02 Shamrock Rovers L 1-257.3 1487 1512 35.32% 28.72% 35.96%-0.02 -9.9 23
2010-07-02 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-157.3 1512 1487 35.96% 28.72% 35.32%+0.02 +9.9 32
2010-07-02 Sporting Fingal D 1-162.2 1569 1415 57.84% 25.62% 16.53%+0.85 -2.6 30
2010-07-02 @ Bohemian D 1-162.2 1415 1569 16.53% 25.62% 57.84%-0.85 +2.6 29
2010-07-02 UC Dublin W 1-048.0 1285 1428 21.26% 27.24% 51.51%-0.59 +14.1 15
2010-07-02 @ Drogheda United L 0-148.0 1428 1285 51.51% 27.24% 21.26%+0.59 -14.1 26
2010-07-05 Bohemian L 0-242.4 1414 1566 20.40% 27.01% 52.59%-0.64 -12.8 26
2010-07-05 @ UC Dublin W 2-042.4 1566 1414 52.59% 27.01% 20.40%+0.64 +12.8 33
2010-07-05 Bray Wanderers D 2-259.6 1367 1212 58.00% 25.58% 16.43%+0.86 -1.9 22
2010-07-05 @ Galway United (old) D 2-259.6 1212 1367 16.43% 25.58% 58.00%-0.86 +1.9 7
2010-07-05 Drogheda United W 2-143.7 1438 1299 56.32% 26.07% 17.61%+0.78 +5.6 31
2010-07-05 @ Dundalk L 1-243.7 1299 1438 17.61% 26.07% 56.32%-0.78 -5.6 15
2010-07-05 Sligo Rovers D 1-158.2 1417 1477 30.60% 28.58% 40.82%-0.19 +0.6 30
2010-07-05 @ Sporting Fingal D 1-158.2 1477 1417 40.82% 28.58% 30.60%+0.19 -0.6 24
2010-07-05 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-158.4 1522 1526 38.42% 28.68% 32.90%+0.09 +9.4 35
2010-07-05 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-258.4 1526 1522 32.90% 28.68% 38.42%-0.09 -9.4 34
2010-07-09 Galway United (old) W 3-035.8 1477 1365 53.19% 26.87% 19.94%+0.64 +18.2 27
2010-07-09 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-335.8 1365 1477 19.94% 26.87% 53.19%-0.64 -18.2 22
2010-07-09 Sporting Fingal L 0-330.8 1213 1418 16.22% 25.48% 58.30%-0.89 -15.1 7
2010-07-09 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-030.8 1418 1213 58.30% 25.48% 16.22%+0.89 +15.1 33
2010-07-09 UC Dublin W 2-149.0 1516 1401 53.65% 26.77% 19.59%+0.66 +6.2 37
2010-07-09 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-249.0 1401 1516 19.59% 26.77% 53.65%-0.66 -6.2 26
2010-07-11 Dundalk W 4-040.9 1532 1444 50.40% 27.45% 22.15%+0.53 +26.1 38
2010-07-11 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-440.9 1444 1532 22.15% 27.45% 50.40%-0.53 -26.1 31
2010-07-13 UC Dublin W 2-148.7 1495 1395 51.87% 27.16% 20.97%+0.59 +6.6 30
2010-07-13 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-248.7 1395 1495 20.97% 27.16% 51.87%-0.59 -6.6 26
2010-07-16 Bray Wanderers W 4-029.3 1388 1198 61.46% 24.39% 14.15%+1.02 +17.2 29
2010-07-16 @ UC Dublin L 0-429.3 1198 1388 14.15% 24.39% 61.46%-1.02 -17.2 7
2010-07-16 Sligo Rovers W 2-047.1 1579 1501 49.16% 27.67% 23.17%+0.48 +14.3 36
2010-07-16 @ Bohemian L 0-247.1 1501 1579 23.17% 27.67% 49.16%-0.48 -14.3 30
2010-07-18 Shamrock Rovers L 0-141.2 1347 1558 15.77% 25.26% 58.97%-0.92 -5.3 22
2010-07-18 @ Galway United (old) W 1-041.2 1558 1347 58.97% 25.26% 15.77%+0.92 +5.3 41
2010-07-18 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-340.9 1418 1523 25.18% 28.02% 46.80%-0.41 -22.2 31
2010-07-18 @ Dundalk W 3-040.9 1523 1418 46.80% 28.02% 25.18%+0.41 +22.2 40
2010-07-19 Drogheda United L 1-255.1 1433 1293 56.36% 26.06% 17.58%+0.78 -14.3 33
2010-07-19 @ Sporting Fingal W 2-155.1 1293 1433 17.58% 26.06% 56.36%-0.78 +14.3 18
2010-07-23 Bohemian L 0-327.3 1181 1593 6.65% 17.15% 76.21%-1.90 -5.6 7
2010-07-23 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-027.3 1593 1181 76.21% 17.15% 6.65%+1.90 +5.6 39
2010-07-23 Sligo Rovers L 2-350.1 1307 1487 18.08% 26.25% 55.67%-0.77 -5.5 18
2010-07-23 @ Drogheda United W 3-250.1 1487 1307 55.67% 26.25% 18.08%+0.77 +5.5 33
2010-07-25 Dundalk D 1-154.4 1341 1396 31.36% 28.62% 40.02%-0.16 +0.5 23
2010-07-25 @ Galway United (old) D 1-154.4 1396 1341 40.02% 28.62% 31.36%+0.16 -0.5 32
2010-07-25 Sporting Fingal D 1-161.2 1545 1419 54.84% 26.47% 18.69%+0.72 -2.2 41
2010-07-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-161.2 1419 1545 18.69% 26.47% 54.84%-0.72 +2.2 34
2010-07-30 Bray Wanderers L 0-243.7 1302 1176 54.84% 26.47% 18.69%+0.72 -28.0 18
2010-07-30 @ Drogheda United W 2-043.7 1176 1302 18.69% 26.47% 54.84%-0.72 +28.0 10
2010-07-30 Galway United (old) L 0-147.6 1405 1342 47.38% 27.94% 24.68%+0.41 -13.1 29
2010-07-30 @ UC Dublin W 1-047.6 1342 1405 24.68% 27.94% 47.38%-0.41 +13.1 26
2010-07-30 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-167.0 1599 1543 46.48% 28.06% 25.46%+0.38 -1.2 40
2010-07-30 @ Bohemian D 1-167.0 1543 1599 25.46% 28.06% 46.48%-0.38 +1.2 42
2010-07-31 Dundalk W 1-042.9 1493 1395 51.56% 27.23% 21.21%+0.58 +7.0 36
2010-07-31 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-142.9 1395 1493 21.21% 27.23% 51.56%-0.58 -7.0 32
2010-08-01 Shamrock Rovers D 3-371.5 1421 1563 21.35% 27.26% 51.39%-0.59 +1.1 35
2010-08-01 @ Sporting Fingal D 3-371.5 1563 1421 51.39% 27.26% 21.35%+0.59 -1.1 42
2010-08-06 Drogheda United W 2-032.4 1544 1274 68.76% 21.21% 10.03%+1.41 +6.2 45
2010-08-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-232.4 1274 1544 10.03% 21.21% 68.76%-1.41 -6.2 18
2010-08-06 Sligo Rovers L 1-336.8 1204 1500 10.93% 22.05% 67.02%-1.33 -5.9 10
2010-08-06 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-136.8 1500 1204 67.02% 22.05% 10.93%+1.33 +5.9 39
2010-08-06 Sporting Fingal L 0-143.0 1355 1422 29.69% 28.52% 41.79%-0.22 -9.2 26
2010-08-06 @ Galway United (old) W 1-043.0 1422 1355 41.79% 28.52% 29.69%+0.22 +9.2 38
2010-08-06 UC Dublin D 1-155.2 1388 1392 38.34% 28.68% 32.98%+0.08 -0.3 33
2010-08-06 @ Dundalk D 1-155.2 1392 1388 32.98% 28.68% 38.34%-0.08 +0.3 30
2010-08-08 Bohemian W 3-052.3 1562 1598 33.86% 28.70% 37.44%-0.07 +30.0 45
2010-08-08 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-352.3 1598 1562 37.44% 28.70% 33.86%+0.07 -30.0 40
2010-08-13 Dundalk W 1-043.0 1431 1388 44.83% 28.25% 26.91%+0.31 +8.6 41
2010-08-13 @ Sporting Fingal L 0-143.0 1388 1431 26.91% 28.25% 44.83%-0.31 -8.5 33
2010-08-13 Galway United (old) L 0-252.1 1568 1346 64.51% 23.17% 12.32%+1.18 -32.0 40
2010-08-13 @ Bohemian W 2-052.1 1346 1568 12.32% 23.17% 64.51%-1.18 +32.0 29
2010-08-13 Shamrock Rovers L 0-233.3 1268 1592 9.68% 20.87% 69.45%-1.47 -6.0 18
2010-08-13 @ Drogheda United W 2-033.3 1592 1268 69.45% 20.87% 9.68%+1.47 +6.0 48
2010-08-13 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-263.3 1198 1550 8.59% 19.68% 71.73%-1.61 +16.4 13
2010-08-13 @ Bray Wanderers L 2-363.3 1550 1198 71.73% 19.68% 8.59%+1.61 -16.4 45
2010-08-14 UC Dublin W 4-037.3 1506 1392 53.37% 26.83% 19.80%+0.65 +23.7 42
2010-08-14 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-437.3 1392 1506 19.80% 26.83% 53.37%-0.65 -23.7 30
2010-08-17 Bray Wanderers W 2-029.7 1536 1214 72.93% 19.03% 8.05%+1.66 +4.8 43
2010-08-17 @ Bohemian L 0-229.7 1214 1536 8.05% 19.03% 72.93%-1.66 -4.8 13
2010-08-20 Bohemian L 1-249.1 1379 1540 19.62% 26.78% 53.61%-0.68 -6.2 33
2010-08-20 @ Dundalk W 2-149.1 1540 1379 53.61% 26.78% 19.62%+0.68 +6.2 46
2010-08-20 Bray Wanderers W 4-132.7 1598 1209 77.78% 16.20% 6.02%+1.99 +4.2 51
2010-08-20 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-432.7 1209 1598 6.02% 16.20% 77.78%-1.99 -4.2 13
2010-08-20 Drogheda United W 2-143.3 1378 1262 53.72% 26.75% 19.53%+0.67 +6.2 32
2010-08-20 @ Galway United (old) L 1-243.3 1262 1378 19.53% 26.75% 53.72%-0.67 -6.2 18
2010-08-20 Sligo Rovers D 0-059.5 1534 1529 39.54% 28.64% 31.82%+0.12 -0.5 46
2010-08-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-059.5 1529 1534 31.82% 28.64% 39.54%-0.12 +0.5 43
2010-08-20 Sporting Fingal L 1-249.3 1369 1440 29.17% 28.48% 42.35%-0.24 -8.6 30
2010-08-20 @ UC Dublin W 2-149.3 1440 1369 42.35% 28.48% 29.17%+0.24 +8.6 44
2010-08-23 Bohemian L 0-136.1 1256 1547 11.15% 22.24% 66.61%-1.31 -3.7 18
2010-08-23 @ Drogheda United W 1-036.1 1547 1256 66.61% 22.24% 11.15%+1.31 +3.7 49
2010-08-23 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-359.4 1448 1533 27.49% 28.32% 44.19%-0.31 -7.8 44
2010-08-23 @ Sporting Fingal W 3-259.4 1533 1448 44.19% 28.32% 27.49%+0.31 +7.8 49
2010-08-23 UC Dublin W 4-141.0 1602 1360 66.33% 22.37% 11.30%+1.28 +8.7 54
2010-08-23 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-441.0 1360 1602 11.30% 22.37% 66.33%-1.28 -8.7 30
2010-09-03 Bohemian D 0-057.1 1441 1550 24.64% 27.93% 47.43%-0.43 +1.5 45
2010-09-03 @ Sporting Fingal D 0-057.1 1550 1441 47.43% 27.93% 24.64%+0.43 -1.5 50
2010-09-03 Bray Wanderers L 0-245.1 1373 1205 59.28% 25.16% 15.56%+0.92 -29.9 33
2010-09-03 @ Dundalk W 2-045.1 1205 1373 15.56% 25.16% 59.28%-0.92 +29.9 16
2010-09-03 Drogheda United D 1-153.4 1351 1252 51.81% 27.17% 21.01%+0.59 -1.9 31
2010-09-03 @ UC Dublin D 1-153.4 1252 1351 21.01% 27.17% 51.81%-0.59 +1.9 19
2010-09-03 Sligo Rovers W 1-052.3 1611 1530 49.59% 27.59% 22.81%+0.50 +7.5 57
2010-09-03 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-152.3 1530 1611 22.81% 27.59% 49.59%-0.50 -7.5 43
2010-09-03 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-159.7 1384 1541 20.00% 26.89% 53.10%-0.66 +2.0 33
2010-09-03 @ Galway United (old) D 1-159.7 1541 1384 53.10% 26.89% 20.00%+0.66 -2.0 50
2010-09-10 Dundalk L 1-342.4 1254 1343 26.94% 28.26% 44.81%-0.33 -14.0 19
2010-09-10 @ Drogheda United W 3-142.4 1343 1254 44.81% 28.26% 26.94%+0.33 +14.0 36
2010-09-10 Galway United (old) W 4-041.9 1235 1386 20.54% 27.05% 52.42%-0.63 +51.1 19
2010-09-10 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-441.9 1386 1235 52.42% 27.05% 20.54%+0.63 -51.1 33
2010-09-10 Shamrock Rovers L 1-357.2 1539 1618 28.14% 28.39% 43.47%-0.28 -14.5 50
2010-09-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-157.2 1618 1539 43.47% 28.39% 28.14%+0.28 +14.5 60
2010-09-10 Sporting Fingal W 4-359.7 1522 1442 49.47% 27.62% 22.91%+0.49 +6.6 46
2010-09-10 @ Sligo Rovers L 3-459.7 1442 1522 22.91% 27.62% 49.47%-0.49 -6.6 45
2010-09-10 UC Dublin W 3-142.6 1549 1350 62.39% 24.03% 13.57%+1.07 +7.5 53
2010-09-10 @ Bohemian L 1-342.6 1350 1549 13.57% 24.03% 62.39%-1.07 -7.5 31
2010-09-13 Bray Wanderers D 2-261.0 1436 1286 57.36% 25.77% 16.87%+0.83 -1.9 46
2010-09-13 @ Sporting Fingal D 2-261.0 1286 1436 16.87% 25.77% 57.36%-0.83 +1.9 20
2010-09-13 Drogheda United W 2-030.8 1556 1240 72.55% 19.23% 8.21%+1.64 +4.9 56
2010-09-13 @ Bohemian L 0-230.8 1240 1556 8.21% 19.23% 72.55%-1.64 -4.9 19
2010-09-13 Shamrock Rovers W 5-156.8 1357 1633 11.92% 22.86% 65.22%-1.24 +51.0 39
2010-09-13 @ Dundalk L 1-556.8 1633 1357 65.22% 22.86% 11.92%+1.24 -51.0 60
2010-09-13 Sligo Rovers D 2-264.0 1335 1529 17.00% 25.82% 57.18%-0.84 +1.8 34
2010-09-13 @ Galway United (old) D 2-264.0 1529 1335 57.18% 25.82% 17.00%+0.84 -1.8 47
2010-09-13 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-263.3 1342 1524 17.88% 26.18% 55.95%-0.78 +13.5 34
2010-09-13 @ UC Dublin L 2-363.3 1524 1342 55.95% 26.18% 17.88%+0.78 -13.5 50
2010-09-20 Dundalk W 2-043.8 1288 1408 23.54% 27.74% 48.72%-0.48 +25.3 23
2010-09-20 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-243.8 1408 1288 48.72% 27.74% 23.54%+0.48 -25.3 39
2010-09-21 Bohemian D 1-165.1 1527 1561 34.03% 28.71% 37.27%-0.06 +0.2 48
2010-09-21 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-165.1 1561 1527 37.27% 28.71% 34.03%+0.06 -0.2 57
2010-09-24 Dundalk L 1-258.8 1511 1383 55.06% 26.41% 18.52%+0.73 -14.0 50
2010-09-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-158.8 1383 1511 18.52% 26.41% 55.06%-0.73 +14.0 42
2010-09-24 Galway United (old) W 3-034.2 1582 1337 66.60% 22.24% 11.16%+1.29 +10.2 63
2010-09-24 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-334.2 1337 1582 11.16% 22.24% 66.60%-1.29 -10.2 34
2010-09-24 Sporting Fingal L 0-431.1 1235 1434 16.62% 25.66% 57.72%-0.86 -20.1 19
2010-09-24 @ Drogheda United W 4-031.1 1434 1235 57.72% 25.66% 16.62%+0.86 +20.1 49
2010-09-24 UC Dublin D 2-259.4 1313 1356 32.94% 28.68% 38.38%-0.10 +0.2 24
2010-09-24 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-259.4 1356 1313 38.38% 28.68% 32.94%+0.10 -0.2 35
2010-10-01 Bray Wanderers D 0-054.8 1561 1314 66.84% 22.13% 11.03%+1.31 -4.0 58
2010-10-01 @ Bohemian D 0-054.8 1314 1561 11.03% 22.13% 66.84%-1.31 +4.0 25
2010-10-01 Galway United (old) W 3-034.9 1397 1327 48.25% 27.81% 23.94%+0.44 +21.3 45
2010-10-01 @ Dundalk L 0-334.9 1327 1397 23.94% 27.81% 48.25%-0.44 -21.3 34
2010-10-01 Shamrock Rovers W 3-267.1 1355 1592 14.10% 24.36% 61.53%-1.05 +14.6 38
2010-10-01 @ UC Dublin L 2-367.1 1592 1355 61.53% 24.36% 14.10%+1.05 -14.6 63
2010-10-02 Drogheda United W 2-139.0 1527 1215 72.22% 19.41% 8.36%+1.62 +2.5 51
2010-10-02 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-239.0 1215 1527 8.36% 19.41% 72.22%-1.62 -2.5 19
2010-10-02 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-266.1 1454 1497 32.82% 28.68% 38.50%-0.11 +0.2 50
2010-10-02 @ Sporting Fingal D 2-266.1 1497 1454 38.50% 28.68% 32.82%+0.11 -0.2 51
2010-10-05 Bray Wanderers W 2-143.9 1530 1317 63.61% 23.55% 12.84%+1.13 +4.1 54
2010-10-05 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-243.9 1317 1530 12.84% 23.55% 63.61%-1.13 -4.1 25
2010-10-05 Shamrock Rovers W 1-056.2 1557 1577 36.06% 28.72% 35.22%+0.01 +10.5 61
2010-10-05 @ Bohemian L 0-156.2 1577 1557 35.22% 28.72% 36.06%-0.01 -10.5 63
2010-10-05 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-329.3 1212 1497 11.47% 22.51% 66.03%-1.28 -10.5 19
2010-10-05 @ Drogheda United W 3-029.3 1497 1212 66.03% 22.51% 11.47%+1.28 +10.5 54
2010-10-09 Bohemian L 0-152.8 1507 1568 30.52% 28.57% 40.91%-0.19 -9.4 54
2010-10-09 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-052.8 1568 1507 40.91% 28.57% 30.52%+0.19 +9.4 64
2010-10-09 Sligo Rovers L 2-452.5 1418 1534 24.02% 27.83% 48.15%-0.46 -11.4 45
2010-10-09 @ Dundalk W 4-252.5 1534 1418 48.15% 27.83% 24.02%+0.46 +11.4 57
2010-10-09 Sporting Fingal L 1-263.0 1567 1454 53.34% 26.84% 19.82%+0.65 -13.7 63
2010-10-09 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-163.0 1454 1567 19.82% 26.84% 53.34%-0.65 +13.7 53
2010-10-09 UC Dublin L 1-441.4 1305 1370 29.97% 28.54% 41.49%-0.21 -21.5 34
2010-10-09 @ Galway United (old) W 4-141.4 1370 1305 41.49% 28.54% 29.97%+0.21 +21.5 41
2010-10-10 Drogheda United D 1-153.0 1313 1202 53.22% 26.87% 19.91%+0.65 -2.0 26
2010-10-10 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-153.0 1202 1313 19.91% 26.87% 53.22%-0.65 +2.0 20
2010-10-15 Dundalk L 0-242.2 1391 1407 36.76% 28.72% 34.53%+0.03 -20.4 41
2010-10-15 @ UC Dublin W 2-042.2 1407 1391 34.53% 28.72% 36.76%-0.03 +20.3 48
2010-10-15 Galway United (old) W 3-139.3 1468 1284 60.89% 24.60% 14.51%+1.00 +8.0 56
2010-10-15 @ Sporting Fingal L 1-339.3 1284 1468 14.51% 24.60% 60.89%-1.00 -8.0 34
2010-10-22 Bohemian W 3-265.1 1276 1577 10.68% 21.83% 67.49%-1.36 +15.7 37
2010-10-22 @ Galway United (old) L 2-365.1 1577 1276 67.49% 21.83% 10.68%+1.36 -15.7 64
2010-10-22 Bray Wanderers W 2-034.5 1498 1311 61.14% 24.51% 14.35%+1.01 +9.2 57
2010-10-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-234.5 1311 1498 14.35% 24.51% 61.14%-1.01 -9.2 26
2010-10-22 Drogheda United W 2-029.2 1553 1204 75.03% 17.84% 7.13%+1.80 +4.2 66
2010-10-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-229.2 1204 1553 7.13% 17.84% 75.03%-1.80 -4.2 20
2010-10-22 Sligo Rovers L 1-248.6 1371 1545 18.55% 26.42% 55.03%-0.74 -5.9 41
2010-10-22 @ UC Dublin W 2-148.6 1545 1371 55.03% 26.42% 18.55%+0.74 +5.9 60
2010-10-22 Sporting Fingal L 0-243.7 1427 1476 32.08% 28.65% 39.27%-0.13 -18.4 48
2010-10-22 @ Dundalk W 2-043.7 1476 1427 39.27% 28.65% 32.08%+0.13 +18.4 59
2010-10-29 Dundalk W 3-146.5 1561 1409 57.71% 25.66% 16.62%+0.84 +9.2 67
2010-10-29 @ Bohemian L 1-346.5 1409 1561 16.62% 25.66% 57.71%-0.84 -9.2 48
2010-10-29 Galway United (old) D 3-362.3 1199 1291 26.63% 28.22% 45.15%-0.34 +0.7 21
2010-10-29 @ Drogheda United D 3-362.3 1291 1199 45.15% 28.22% 26.63%+0.34 -0.7 38
2010-10-29 Shamrock Rovers D 2-264.6 1302 1557 13.02% 23.67% 63.32%-1.14 +2.4 27
2010-10-29 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-264.6 1557 1302 63.32% 23.67% 13.02%+1.14 -2.4 67
2010-10-29 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-051.0 1551 1507 44.90% 28.25% 26.85%+0.32 +8.5 63
2010-10-29 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-151.0 1507 1551 26.85% 28.25% 44.90%-0.32 -8.5 57
2010-10-29 UC Dublin W 4-140.9 1494 1365 55.15% 26.39% 18.46%+0.73 +14.3 62
2010-10-29 @ Sporting Fingal L 1-440.9 1365 1494 18.46% 26.39% 55.15%-0.73 -14.4 41

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2010-11-02 Bray Wanderers W 1-042.2 1291 1305 36.97% 28.71% 34.32%+0.04 +10.3 1-0
2010-11-02 @ Galway United (old) L 0-142.2 1305 1291 34.32% 28.71% 36.97%-0.04 -10.3 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2010-08-13 8.59% @ Bray Wanderers 1198 3 St Patrick's Athletic 1550 2
2 2010-10-22 10.68% @ Galway United (old) 1276 3 Bohemian 1577 2
3 2010-09-13 11.92% @ Dundalk 1357 5 Shamrock Rovers 1633 1
4 2010-08-13 12.32% Galway United (old) 1346 2 @ Bohemian 1568 0
5 2010-05-29 13.28% @ Drogheda United 1274 2 St Patrick's Athletic 1525 1
6 2010-04-16 13.41% Galway United (old) 1369 3 @ Bohemian 1572 2
7 2010-04-26 13.47% Bray Wanderers 1285 3 @ Dundalk 1486 2
8 2010-10-01 14.10% @ UC Dublin 1355 3 Shamrock Rovers 1592 2
9 2010-09-03 15.56% Bray Wanderers 1205 2 @ Dundalk 1373 0
10 2010-07-19 17.58% Drogheda United 1293 2 @ Sporting Fingal 1433 1
11 2010-09-13 17.88% @ UC Dublin 1342 3 St Patrick's Athletic 1524 2
12 2010-04-09 18.02% Drogheda United 1355 1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1490 0
13 2010-09-24 18.52% Dundalk 1383 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1511 1
14 2010-07-30 18.69% Bray Wanderers 1176 2 @ Drogheda United 1302 0
15 2010-10-09 19.82% Sporting Fingal 1454 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1567 1
16 2010-09-10 20.54% @ Bray Wanderers 1235 4 Galway United (old) 1386 0
17 2010-07-02 21.26% @ Drogheda United 1285 1 UC Dublin 1428 0
18 2010-05-03 21.40% @ UC Dublin 1369 1 St Patrick's Athletic 1510 0
19 2010-03-05 22.64% UC Dublin 1343 3 @ Drogheda United 1426 0
20 2010-05-01 23.09% Sporting Fingal 1374 1 @ Sligo Rovers 1452 0
21 2010-09-20 23.54% @ Bray Wanderers 1288 2 Dundalk 1408 0
22 2010-04-09 23.83% @ Shamrock Rovers 1468 1 Bohemian 1585 0
23 2010-03-16 24.49% St Patrick's Athletic 1446 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1511 0
24 2010-07-30 24.68% Galway United (old) 1342 1 @ UC Dublin 1405 0
25 2010-06-08 25.40% Sporting Fingal 1413 2 @ Dundalk 1470 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-09-10 51.08 @ Bray Wanderers 4 1235 20.54% Galway United (old) 0 1386 52.42% 27.05%
2 2010-09-13 51.03 @ Dundalk 5 1357 11.92% Shamrock Rovers 1 1633 65.22% 22.86%
3 2010-05-07 42.23 UC Dublin 6 1383 47.04% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1276 24.97% 27.99%
4 2010-03-05 37.46 UC Dublin 3 1343 22.64% @ Drogheda United 0 1426 49.80% 27.56%
5 2010-05-15 33.31 @ Sligo Rovers 6 1431 54.50% Drogheda United 0 1308 18.94% 26.56%
6 2010-08-13 32.00 Galway United (old) 2 1346 12.32% @ Bohemian 0 1568 64.51% 23.17%
7 2010-08-08 29.96 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1562 33.86% Bohemian 0 1598 37.44% 28.70%
8 2010-09-03 29.86 Bray Wanderers 2 1205 15.56% @ Dundalk 0 1373 59.28% 25.16%
9 2010-07-30 27.97 Bray Wanderers 2 1176 18.69% @ Drogheda United 0 1302 54.84% 26.47%
10 2010-07-11 26.11 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1532 50.40% Dundalk 0 1444 22.15% 27.45%
11 2010-09-20 25.33 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1288 23.54% Dundalk 0 1408 48.72% 27.74%
12 2010-03-26 25.22 @ Sporting Fingal 4 1346 33.95% Drogheda United 1 1381 37.34% 28.71%
13 2010-03-16 24.85 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1446 24.49% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1511 47.60% 27.91%
14 2010-03-21 24.25 Dundalk 2 1432 25.71% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1486 46.19% 28.10%
15 2010-08-14 23.69 @ Sligo Rovers 4 1506 53.37% UC Dublin 0 1392 19.80% 26.83%
16 2010-04-20 23.42 St Patrick's Athletic 4 1475 53.69% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1313 19.56% 26.76%
17 2010-07-18 22.23 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1523 46.80% @ Dundalk 0 1418 25.18% 28.02%
18 2010-10-09 21.47 UC Dublin 4 1370 41.49% @ Galway United (old) 1 1305 29.97% 28.54%
19 2010-10-01 21.33 @ Dundalk 3 1397 48.25% Galway United (old) 0 1327 23.94% 27.81%
20 2010-10-15 20.35 Dundalk 2 1407 34.53% @ UC Dublin 0 1391 36.76% 28.72%
21 2010-09-24 20.14 Sporting Fingal 4 1434 57.72% @ Drogheda United 0 1235 16.62% 25.66%
22 2010-04-09 19.78 @ Dundalk 3 1457 50.73% UC Dublin 0 1367 21.88% 27.39%
23 2010-06-25 19.75 @ Bohemian 3 1549 50.78% Dundalk 0 1458 21.84% 27.38%
24 2010-05-29 19.71 @ UC Dublin 3 1417 28.89% Dundalk 1 1490 42.66% 28.45%
25 2010-06-08 19.45 Sligo Rovers 2 1467 36.80% @ UC Dublin 0 1436 34.49% 28.71%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-08-01 71.5 @ Sporting Fingal 3 1421 21.35% Shamrock Rovers 3 1563 51.39% 27.26%
2 2010-04-16 67.1 Galway United (old) 3 1369 13.41% @ Bohemian 2 1572 62.67% 23.93%
3 2010-10-01 67.1 @ UC Dublin 3 1355 14.10% Shamrock Rovers 2 1592 61.53% 24.36%
4 2010-07-30 67.0 @ Bohemian 1 1599 46.48% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1543 25.46% 28.06%
5 2010-10-02 66.1 @ Sporting Fingal 2 1454 32.82% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1497 38.50% 28.68%
6 2010-06-08 65.6 @ Galway United (old) 2 1365 17.59% Bohemian 2 1551 56.34% 26.07%
7 2010-04-06 65.1 @ Bohemian 1 1587 51.73% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1488 21.08% 27.19%
8 2010-09-21 65.1 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1527 34.03% Bohemian 1 1561 37.27% 28.71%
9 2010-10-22 65.1 @ Galway United (old) 3 1276 10.68% Bohemian 2 1577 67.49% 21.83%
10 2010-04-05 64.7 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1454 38.48% Dundalk 2 1457 32.84% 28.68%
11 2010-10-29 64.6 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1302 13.02% Shamrock Rovers 2 1557 63.32% 23.67%
12 2010-09-13 64.0 @ Galway United (old) 2 1335 17.00% Sligo Rovers 2 1529 57.18% 25.82%
13 2010-08-13 63.3 @ Bray Wanderers 3 1198 8.59% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1550 71.73% 19.68%
14 2010-09-13 63.3 @ UC Dublin 3 1342 17.88% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1524 55.95% 26.18%
15 2010-10-09 63.0 Sporting Fingal 2 1454 19.82% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1567 53.34% 26.84%
16 2010-04-26 62.3 Bray Wanderers 3 1285 13.47% @ Dundalk 2 1486 62.57% 23.97%
17 2010-10-29 62.3 @ Drogheda United 3 1199 26.63% Galway United (old) 3 1291 45.15% 28.22%
18 2010-03-14 62.2 @ Dundalk 2 1433 45.00% Drogheda United 2 1388 26.76% 28.24%
19 2010-07-02 62.2 @ Bohemian 1 1569 57.84% Sporting Fingal 1 1415 16.53% 25.62%
20 2010-04-02 61.9 @ Drogheda United 2 1355 25.82% Sligo Rovers 2 1455 46.06% 28.11%
21 2010-05-21 61.5 @ Galway United (old) 2 1382 34.05% UC Dublin 2 1417 37.24% 28.71%
22 2010-07-25 61.2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1545 54.84% Sporting Fingal 1 1419 18.69% 26.47%
23 2010-09-13 61.0 @ Sporting Fingal 2 1436 57.36% Bray Wanderers 2 1286 16.87% 25.77%
24 2010-03-06 60.4 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1445 29.64% Shamrock Rovers 1 1512 41.84% 28.51%
25 2010-04-09 60.4 @ Galway United (old) 2 1370 38.25% Sporting Fingal 2 1374 33.07% 28.69%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2010-07-23 27.3 Bohemian 3 1593 76.21% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1181 6.65% 17.15%
2 2010-06-08 28.1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1509 70.74% Bray Wanderers 0 1215 9.06% 20.21%
3 2010-10-22 29.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1553 75.03% Drogheda United 0 1204 7.13% 17.84%
4 2010-07-16 29.3 @ UC Dublin 4 1388 61.46% Bray Wanderers 0 1198 14.15% 24.39%
5 2010-10-05 29.3 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1497 66.03% @ Drogheda United 0 1212 11.47% 22.51%
6 2010-08-17 29.7 @ Bohemian 2 1536 72.93% Bray Wanderers 0 1214 8.05% 19.03%
7 2010-07-09 30.8 Sporting Fingal 3 1418 58.30% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1213 16.22% 25.48%
8 2010-09-13 30.8 @ Bohemian 2 1556 72.55% Drogheda United 0 1240 8.21% 19.23%
9 2010-06-01 31.1 Bohemian 2 1545 69.37% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1221 9.72% 20.91%
10 2010-09-24 31.1 Sporting Fingal 4 1434 57.72% @ Drogheda United 0 1235 16.62% 25.66%
11 2010-08-06 32.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1544 68.76% Drogheda United 0 1274 10.03% 21.21%
12 2010-08-20 32.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1598 77.78% Bray Wanderers 1 1209 6.02% 16.20%
13 2010-05-29 33.2 @ Sligo Rovers 5 1455 64.46% Bray Wanderers 1 1234 12.35% 23.19%
14 2010-08-13 33.3 Shamrock Rovers 2 1592 69.45% @ Drogheda United 0 1268 9.68% 20.87%
15 2010-04-20 34.2 St Patrick's Athletic 4 1475 53.69% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1313 19.56% 26.76%
16 2010-09-24 34.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1582 66.60% Galway United (old) 0 1337 11.16% 22.24%
17 2010-05-15 34.5 @ Sligo Rovers 6 1431 54.50% Drogheda United 0 1308 18.94% 26.56%
18 2010-10-22 34.5 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1498 61.14% Bray Wanderers 0 1311 14.35% 24.51%
19 2010-10-01 34.9 @ Dundalk 3 1397 48.25% Galway United (old) 0 1327 23.94% 27.81%
20 2010-05-07 35.7 UC Dublin 6 1383 47.04% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1276 24.97% 27.99%
21 2010-07-09 35.8 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1477 53.19% Galway United (old) 0 1365 19.94% 26.87%
22 2010-04-09 36.1 @ Dundalk 3 1457 50.73% UC Dublin 0 1367 21.88% 27.39%
23 2010-08-23 36.1 Bohemian 1 1547 66.61% @ Drogheda United 0 1256 11.15% 22.24%
24 2010-03-19 36.5 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1471 51.37% UC Dublin 0 1375 21.36% 27.26%
25 2010-04-23 36.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1496 63.10% Bray Wanderers 0 1289 13.15% 23.76%