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2011 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Shamrock Rovers

77 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shamrock Rovers

7.65 points above expected

77 points · 69.35 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Galway United (old)

18.12 points below expected

6 points · 24.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 36 23 8 5 77 69 24 +45 69.35 +7.65
2 Sligo Rovers 36 22 7 7 73 73 19 +54 69.12 +3.88
3 Derry City 36 18 14 4 68 63 23 +40 68.18 -0.18
4 St Patrick's Athletic 36 17 12 7 63 62 35 +27 60.83 +2.17
5 Bohemian 36 17 9 10 60 39 27 +12 59.14 +0.86
6 Bray Wanderers 36 15 6 15 51 53 50 +3 43.59 +7.41
7 Dundalk 36 11 11 14 44 50 53 -3 48.91 -4.91
8 UC Dublin 36 10 4 22 34 42 80 -38 32.78 +1.22
9 Drogheda United 36 7 4 25 25 32 77 -45 25.98 -0.98
10 Galway United (old) 36 1 3 32 6 20 115 -95 24.12 -18.12

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shamrock Rovers 77 69.35 +7.65
2 Bray Wanderers 51 43.59 +7.41
3 Sligo Rovers 73 69.12 +3.88
4 St Patrick's Athletic 63 60.83 +2.17
5 UC Dublin 34 32.78 +1.22

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Galway United (old) 6 24.12 -18.12
2 Dundalk 44 48.91 -4.91
3 Drogheda United 25 25.98 -0.98
4 Derry City 68 68.18 -0.18
5 Bohemian 60 59.14 +0.86

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 UC Dublin 3 Sep 26 – Oct 3 1 in 611
2 Dundalk 4 May 6 – May 26 1 in 47
3 Bray Wanderers 3 Apr 8 – Apr 22 1 in 24
4 Bohemian 4 Jun 20 – Jul 8 1 in 14
5 Drogheda United 2 Jul 22 – Aug 5 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Galway United (old) 22 Apr 15 – Sep 3 1 in 13,248
2 UC Dublin 7 May 13 – Jun 21 1 in 60
3 Dundalk 5 Sep 12 – Oct 8 1 in 48
4 Drogheda United 8 Apr 15 – May 20 1 in 30
5 Sligo Rovers 2 Apr 22 – Apr 29 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St Patrick's Athletic 14 Apr 15 – Jun 24 1 in 134
2 Dundalk 8 Apr 15 – May 26 1 in 74
3 Derry City 18 May 30 – Oct 8 1 in 74
4 UC Dublin 3 Sep 26 – Oct 3 1 in 30
5 Bray Wanderers 5 Apr 8 – May 2 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundalk 11 Jul 22 – Oct 8 1 in 372
2 Galway United (old) 32 Apr 1 – Oct 28 1 in 173
3 St Patrick's Athletic 5 Jul 3 – Aug 12 1 in 23
4 Drogheda United 14 Mar 4 – May 20 1 in 12
5 Bohemian 3 Mar 18 – Apr 1 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shamrock Rovers 1582 77 +23 13 10.4 +2.6
Sligo Rovers 1626 73 +35 12 11.0 +1.0
Derry City 1574 68 -6 8 9.9 -1.9
St Patrick's Athletic 1505 63 -27 5 8.6 -3.6
Bohemian 1441 60 -5 6 5.9 +0.1
Bray Wanderers 1348 51 +52 10 6.9 +3.1
Dundalk 1289 44 -89 3 6.3 -3.3
UC Dublin 1241 34 +58 6 2.8 +3.2
Drogheda United 1139 25 -5 6 4.2 +1.8
Galway United (old) 966 6 -38 0 2.0 -2.0

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH BW DC DU DUN GU( SR SR SPA UD
Bohemian —
3-1-0
7.19
0-1-3
4.32
4-0-0
9.03
2-1-1
6.54
3-0-1
9.42
0-2-2
4.51
2-1-1
4.13
0-3-1
5.26
3-0-1
8.55
Bray Wanderers
0-1-3
3.92
 —
0-2-2
2.85
3-0-1
7.93
1-2-1
5.08
4-0-0
8.52
2-0-2
2.62
0-1-3
2.82
1-0-3
3.50
4-0-0
6.58
Derry City
3-1-0
6.78
2-2-0
8.31
 —
2-2-0
9.46
2-1-1
7.65
4-0-0
9.72
1-2-1
5.32
0-2-2
5.79
1-3-0
6.47
3-1-0
8.63
Drogheda United
0-0-4
2.16
1-0-3
3.19
0-2-2
1.80
 —
1-1-2
2.71
3-1-0
6.07
0-0-4
1.67
0-0-4
1.70
1-0-3
1.95
1-0-3
4.59
Dundalk
1-1-2
4.55
1-2-1
6.01
1-1-2
3.47
2-1-1
8.45
 —
3-1-0
8.38
0-2-2
3.57
0-2-2
3.32
0-1-3
4.20
3-0-1
7.71
Galway United (old)
1-0-3
1.83
0-0-4
2.65
0-0-4
1.60
0-1-3
5.03
0-1-3
2.80
 —
0-0-4
1.33
0-0-4
1.63
0-0-4
2.29
0-1-3
4.15
Shamrock Rovers
2-2-0
6.58
2-0-2
8.54
1-2-1
5.76
4-0-0
9.60
2-2-0
7.54
4-0-0
10.04
 —
2-0-2
5.59
2-2-0
6.21
4-0-0
9.20
Sligo Rovers
1-1-2
6.97
3-1-0
8.33
2-2-0
5.29
4-0-0
9.57
2-2-0
7.81
4-0-0
9.69
2-0-2
5.50
 —
1-1-2
6.78
3-0-1
9.33
St Patrick's Athletic
1-3-0
5.83
3-0-1
7.61
0-3-1
4.62
3-0-1
9.28
3-1-0
6.89
4-0-0
8.94
0-2-2
4.87
2-1-1
4.32
 —
1-2-1
8.71
UC Dublin
1-0-3
2.62
0-0-4
4.51
0-1-3
2.57
3-0-1
6.50
1-0-3
3.42
3-1-0
6.95
0-0-4
2.02
1-0-3
1.91
1-2-1
2.48
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.84 +12.3
Allowed 0.96 -7.1
Differential 0.98 +4.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.22%8.89%6.39%5.28%2.50%1.67%31.94%
18.89%9.44%6.94%2.50%0.83%1.39%30.00%
26.39%6.94%5.00%1.11%0.28%0.56%20.28%
35.28%2.50%1.11%—0.56%—9.44%
42.50%0.83%0.28%0.56%—0.28%4.44%
5+1.67%1.39%0.56%—0.28%—3.89%
Total31.94%30.00%20.28%9.44%4.44%3.89%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.46 1.46 2.27
CV 1.04 1.04 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%16.67%5.56%5.56%——41.67%
18.33%11.11%————19.44%
216.67%11.11%————27.78%
32.78%8.33%————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total41.67%47.22%5.56%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 0.75 +0.33
SD 1.08 0.81 1.51
CV 1.00 1.07 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%—8.33%——19.44%
113.89%8.33%16.67%5.56%—2.78%47.22%
22.78%8.33%2.78%——2.78%16.67%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
45.56%2.78%————8.33%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%25.00%22.22%13.89%—5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.39 +0.08
SD 1.36 1.38 2.18
CV 0.93 0.99 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%—2.78%——22.22%
15.56%19.44%————25.00%
216.67%8.33%8.33%———33.33%
38.33%—————8.33%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total50.00%38.89%8.33%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 0.64 +1.11
SD 1.61 0.76 1.95
CV 0.92 1.19 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%13.89%13.89%8.33%—52.78%
12.78%2.78%8.33%—5.56%—19.44%
2—11.11%8.33%———19.44%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———2.78%—2.78%5.56%
5+———————
Total2.78%33.33%30.56%16.67%13.89%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 2.14 -1.25
SD 1.17 1.20 1.65
CV 1.31 0.56 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%8.33%2.78%—2.78%27.78%
18.33%8.33%8.33%8.33%——33.33%
25.56%2.78%13.89%2.78%——25.00%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total25.00%25.00%33.33%13.89%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.47 -0.08
SD 1.38 1.18 1.93
CV 0.99 0.80 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%11.11%19.44%11.11%8.33%61.11%
12.78%2.78%8.33%—2.78%8.33%25.00%
2——2.78%5.56%—2.78%11.11%
3————2.78%—2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total5.56%11.11%22.22%25.00%16.67%19.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.56 3.19 -2.64
SD 0.81 1.91 2.02
CV 1.46 0.60 —
Max 3 8 +1
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%2.78%———16.67%
122.22%13.89%2.78%———38.89%
22.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
411.11%—————11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
Total47.22%38.89%13.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 0.67 +1.25
SD 1.68 0.72 1.84
CV 0.88 1.08 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%————19.44%
111.11%8.33%11.11%———30.56%
211.11%2.78%————13.89%
319.44%2.78%————22.22%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+5.56%2.78%————8.33%
Total61.11%25.00%13.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.53 +1.50
SD 1.89 0.74 2.13
CV 0.93 1.39 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%8.33%———22.22%
111.11%16.67%2.78%———30.56%
25.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
38.33%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—16.67%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
Total38.89%33.33%22.22%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.97 +0.75
SD 1.50 1.00 1.70
CV 0.87 1.03 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%13.89%—5.56%5.56%36.11%
12.78%2.78%11.11%11.11%—2.78%30.56%
22.78%11.11%5.56%—2.78%—22.22%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+————2.78%—2.78%
Total13.89%22.22%30.56%13.89%11.11%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 2.22 -1.06
SD 1.23 1.73 2.25
CV 1.05 0.78 —
Max 5 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sligo Rovers 1626 73 69.12 +3.88 73.0% 49 56 64 69 74 82 90
Shamrock Rovers 1582 77 69.35 +7.65 85.0% 51 56 64 69 74 82 85
Derry City 1574 68 68.18 -0.18 51.0% 51 53 64 68 73 81 87
St Patrick's Athletic 1505 63 60.83 +2.17 62.0% 46 50 55 61 66 72 80
Bohemian 1441 60 59.14 +0.86 58.0% 42 47 54 58 65 71 75
Bray Wanderers 1348 51 43.59 +7.41 87.0% 31 33 38 44 48 53 65
Dundalk 1289 44 48.91 -4.91 29.0% 33 37 43 50 54 61 66
UC Dublin 1241 34 32.78 +1.22 61.0% 15 21 28 33 37 45 60
Drogheda United 1139 25 25.98 -0.98 52.0% 9 18 21 25 30 36 43
Galway United (old) 966 6 24.12 -18.12 0.0% 9 14 18 25 29 33 43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.89%
No Edge
41.11%21.67%37.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 13.52 Elo pts.
147 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.24 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.4
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
35%
Shamrock Rovers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.11/gm
Tight Race
00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.71 * Some Luck: 5.71 to 8.57 * Lucky: 8.57 to 11.43 * Wild Swing: 11.43 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.71 * Close: 0.71 to 1.06 * Off: 1.06 to 1.42 * Way Off: 1.42 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.99 points
Some Luck
07.1418
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.20
Pinpoint
00.892
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
87.00%
Bray Wanderers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
0.00%
Galway United (old)
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 215.01
2.84
Wide Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
85%
Wide Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Some Drama
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Lopsided
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.11
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.77
Near-Lock
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
10%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.44
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.22
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.096
Well Within Noise
00.1190.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Shamrock Rovers35.00%22.00%25.00%8.00%10.00%—————
Sligo Rovers34.00%27.00%20.00%10.00%4.00%5.00%————
Derry City22.00%27.00%26.00%18.00%7.00%—————
St Patrick's Athletic5.00%13.00%13.00%33.00%24.00%12.00%————
Bohemian4.00%11.00%13.00%24.00%30.00%14.00%4.00%———
Bray Wanderers———2.00%5.00%27.00%46.00%17.00%3.00%—
Dundalk——3.00%5.00%19.00%36.00%35.00%2.00%——
UC Dublin————1.00%5.00%11.00%51.00%21.00%11.00%
Drogheda United——————3.00%19.00%40.00%38.00%
Galway United (old)—————1.00%1.00%11.00%36.00%51.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Bohemian 100% —
Bray Wanderers 100% —
Derry City 100% —
Dundalk 100% —
Shamrock Rovers 100% —
Sligo Rovers 100% —
St Patrick's Athletic 100% —
UC Dublin 89.00% 11.00%
Drogheda United 62.00% 38.00%
Galway United (old) 49.00% 51.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2011-03-04 Bohemian L 1-341.7 1288 1463 19.48% 21.93% 58.59%-1.09 -12.8 0
2011-03-04 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-141.7 1463 1288 58.59% 21.93% 19.48%+1.09 +12.8 3
2011-03-04 Dundalk W 3-144.4 1452 1353 53.35% 22.46% 24.19%+0.77 +15.4 3
2011-03-04 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-344.4 1353 1452 24.19% 22.46% 53.35%-0.77 -15.4 0
2011-03-04 Sligo Rovers L 0-147.5 1430 1459 36.33% 22.97% 40.70%-0.10 -13.1 0
2011-03-04 @ Derry City W 1-047.5 1459 1430 40.70% 22.97% 36.33%+0.10 +13.1 3
2011-03-04 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-335.4 1291 1421 23.72% 22.41% 53.86%-0.80 -25.4 0
2011-03-04 @ Galway United (old) W 3-035.4 1421 1291 53.86% 22.41% 23.72%+0.80 +25.4 3
2011-03-04 UC Dublin L 0-139.7 1233 1322 28.41% 22.74% 48.85%-0.51 -10.8 0
2011-03-04 @ Drogheda United W 1-039.7 1322 1233 48.85% 22.74% 28.41%+0.51 +10.8 3
2011-03-11 Bray Wanderers L 2-360.6 1447 1276 60.98% 21.61% 17.41%+1.25 -18.3 3
2011-03-11 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-260.6 1276 1447 17.41% 21.61% 60.98%-1.25 +18.3 3
2011-03-11 Derry City L 0-239.5 1333 1417 29.13% 22.78% 48.09%-0.47 -20.8 3
2011-03-11 @ UC Dublin W 2-039.5 1417 1333 48.09% 22.78% 29.13%+0.47 +20.8 3
2011-03-11 Drogheda United W 1-035.2 1475 1222 67.94% 20.24% 11.82%+1.81 +4.9 6
2011-03-11 @ Bohemian L 0-135.2 1222 1475 11.82% 20.24% 67.94%-1.81 -4.9 0
2011-03-11 Galway United (old) W 3-249.6 1337 1265 50.05% 22.68% 27.27%+0.58 +9.3 3
2011-03-11 @ Dundalk L 2-349.6 1265 1337 27.27% 22.68% 50.05%-0.58 -9.3 0
2011-03-12 Shamrock Rovers L 0-150.6 1472 1467 41.06% 22.97% 35.97%+0.12 -14.5 3
2011-03-12 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-050.6 1467 1472 35.97% 22.97% 41.06%-0.12 +14.5 6
2011-03-18 Bohemian D 0-053.5 1347 1480 23.42% 22.39% 54.20%-0.82 +2.6 4
2011-03-18 @ Dundalk D 0-053.5 1480 1347 54.20% 22.39% 23.42%+0.82 -2.6 7
2011-03-18 Derry City D 2-260.6 1217 1437 15.73% 21.28% 62.99%-1.40 +2.8 1
2011-03-18 @ Drogheda United D 2-260.6 1437 1217 62.99% 21.28% 15.73%+1.40 -2.8 4
2011-03-18 Sligo Rovers D 0-052.0 1294 1457 20.47% 22.06% 57.46%-1.02 +3.2 4
2011-03-18 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-052.0 1457 1294 57.46% 22.06% 20.47%+1.02 -3.2 4
2011-03-18 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-043.7 1482 1429 47.67% 22.80% 29.54%+0.45 +21.0 9
2011-03-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-243.7 1429 1482 29.54% 22.80% 47.67%-0.45 -21.0 3
2011-03-18 UC Dublin D 0-049.9 1256 1312 32.59% 22.90% 44.51%-0.29 +1.0 1
2011-03-18 @ Galway United (old) D 0-049.9 1312 1256 44.51% 22.90% 32.59%+0.29 -1.0 4
2011-03-25 Bray Wanderers L 0-144.3 1311 1297 42.44% 22.95% 34.61%+0.19 -14.8 4
2011-03-25 @ UC Dublin W 1-044.3 1297 1311 34.61% 22.95% 42.44%-0.19 +14.9 7
2011-03-25 Drogheda United W 2-032.9 1454 1220 66.45% 20.59% 12.96%+1.68 +10.1 7
2011-03-25 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-232.9 1220 1454 12.96% 20.59% 66.45%-1.68 -10.1 1
2011-03-25 Dundalk W 3-251.9 1408 1349 48.35% 22.76% 28.88%+0.49 +9.8 6
2011-03-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-351.9 1349 1408 28.88% 22.76% 48.35%-0.49 -9.8 4
2011-03-25 Galway United (old) L 0-151.9 1478 1257 65.36% 20.83% 13.81%+1.59 -21.8 7
2011-03-25 @ Bohemian W 1-051.9 1257 1478 13.81% 20.83% 65.36%-1.59 +21.8 4
2011-03-25 Shamrock Rovers D 0-056.8 1434 1503 31.04% 22.86% 46.11%-0.37 +1.2 5
2011-03-25 @ Derry City D 0-056.8 1503 1434 46.11% 22.86% 31.04%+0.37 -1.2 10
2011-04-01 Bohemian D 0-054.7 1417 1456 35.02% 22.95% 42.03%-0.17 +0.6 7
2011-04-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-054.7 1456 1417 42.03% 22.95% 35.02%+0.17 -0.6 8
2011-04-01 Derry City L 1-245.5 1312 1436 24.46% 22.48% 53.06%-0.75 -9.0 7
2011-04-01 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-145.5 1436 1312 53.06% 22.48% 24.46%+0.75 +9.0 8
2011-04-01 Shamrock Rovers L 0-430.0 1210 1501 11.20% 20.02% 68.78%-1.89 -16.5 1
2011-04-01 @ Drogheda United W 4-030.0 1501 1210 68.78% 20.02% 11.20%+1.89 +16.5 13
2011-04-01 Sligo Rovers L 0-138.3 1279 1464 18.51% 21.79% 59.70%-1.17 -7.5 4
2011-04-01 @ Galway United (old) W 1-038.3 1464 1279 59.70% 21.79% 18.51%+1.17 +7.5 10
2011-04-01 UC Dublin W 3-143.9 1339 1297 46.33% 22.85% 30.83%+0.38 +18.8 7
2011-04-01 @ Dundalk L 1-343.9 1297 1339 30.83% 22.85% 46.33%-0.38 -18.8 4
2011-04-08 Bohemian L 0-236.0 1278 1455 19.19% 21.89% 58.92%-1.11 -14.5 4
2011-04-08 @ UC Dublin W 2-036.0 1455 1278 58.92% 21.89% 19.19%+1.11 +14.5 11
2011-04-08 Bray Wanderers L 0-153.5 1518 1303 64.91% 20.92% 14.17%+1.55 -21.7 13
2011-04-08 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-053.5 1303 1518 14.17% 20.92% 64.91%-1.55 +21.7 10
2011-04-08 Dundalk W 2-039.4 1445 1358 51.84% 22.57% 25.60%+0.68 +18.7 11
2011-04-08 @ Derry City L 0-239.4 1358 1445 25.60% 22.57% 51.84%-0.68 -18.7 7
2011-04-08 Galway United (old) D 1-153.8 1194 1271 29.83% 22.81% 47.37%-0.44 +1.3 2
2011-04-08 @ Drogheda United D 1-153.8 1271 1194 47.37% 22.81% 29.83%+0.44 -1.3 5
2011-04-09 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-043.0 1471 1418 47.72% 22.79% 29.49%+0.46 +21.0 13
2011-04-09 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-243.0 1418 1471 29.49% 22.79% 47.72%-0.46 -21.0 7
2011-04-15 Derry City L 1-438.5 1270 1463 17.83% 21.68% 60.50%-1.22 -16.6 5
2011-04-15 @ Galway United (old) W 4-138.5 1463 1270 60.50% 21.68% 17.83%+1.22 +16.6 14
2011-04-15 Drogheda United W 2-142.3 1325 1195 56.77% 22.14% 21.09%+0.97 +7.9 13
2011-04-15 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-242.3 1195 1325 21.09% 22.14% 56.77%-0.97 -7.9 2
2011-04-15 Shamrock Rovers D 1-162.1 1470 1496 36.64% 22.97% 40.39%-0.09 +0.3 12
2011-04-15 @ Bohemian D 1-162.1 1496 1470 40.39% 22.97% 36.64%+0.09 -0.3 14
2011-04-15 Sligo Rovers D 1-158.1 1340 1492 21.47% 22.18% 56.35%-0.95 +2.7 8
2011-04-15 @ Dundalk D 1-158.1 1492 1340 56.35% 22.18% 21.47%+0.95 -2.7 14
2011-04-15 UC Dublin D 1-155.1 1397 1263 57.20% 22.09% 20.71%+1.00 -2.8 8
2011-04-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-155.1 1263 1397 20.71% 22.09% 57.20%-1.00 +2.8 5
2011-04-22 Bohemian L 1-257.1 1490 1470 43.21% 22.93% 33.85%+0.23 -14.2 14
2011-04-22 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-157.1 1470 1490 33.85% 22.93% 43.21%-0.23 +14.2 15
2011-04-22 Dundalk L 1-242.4 1187 1342 21.23% 22.16% 56.61%-0.96 -7.9 2
2011-04-22 @ Drogheda United W 2-142.4 1342 1187 56.61% 22.16% 21.23%+0.96 +8.0 11
2011-04-22 Galway United (old) W 2-036.8 1333 1253 50.95% 22.62% 26.43%+0.63 +19.2 16
2011-04-22 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-236.8 1253 1333 26.43% 22.62% 50.95%-0.63 -19.2 5
2011-04-22 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-159.1 1480 1394 51.77% 22.57% 25.66%+0.67 -2.0 15
2011-04-22 @ Derry City D 1-159.1 1394 1480 25.66% 22.57% 51.77%-0.67 +2.0 9
2011-04-22 UC Dublin W 3-139.6 1496 1266 66.14% 20.66% 13.20%+1.65 +8.9 17
2011-04-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-339.6 1266 1496 13.20% 20.66% 66.14%-1.65 -8.9 5
2011-04-29 Bray Wanderers D 0-051.0 1350 1352 40.23% 22.97% 36.80%+0.08 -0.3 12
2011-04-29 @ Dundalk D 0-051.0 1352 1350 36.80% 22.97% 40.23%-0.08 +0.3 17
2011-04-29 Derry City L 0-249.1 1484 1478 41.30% 22.96% 35.74%+0.13 -27.4 15
2011-04-29 @ Bohemian W 2-049.1 1478 1484 35.74% 22.96% 41.30%-0.13 +27.4 18
2011-04-29 Drogheda United W 3-030.7 1396 1179 65.08% 20.89% 14.03%+1.57 +15.8 12
2011-04-29 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-330.7 1179 1396 14.03% 20.89% 65.08%-1.57 -15.8 2
2011-04-29 Shamrock Rovers L 0-136.0 1234 1505 12.37% 20.42% 67.21%-1.75 -5.1 5
2011-04-29 @ Galway United (old) W 1-036.0 1505 1234 67.21% 20.42% 12.37%+1.75 +5.1 20
2011-04-29 Sligo Rovers W 2-156.4 1257 1476 15.85% 21.31% 62.84%-1.39 +19.8 8
2011-04-29 @ UC Dublin L 1-256.4 1476 1257 62.84% 21.31% 15.85%+1.39 -19.8 14
2011-05-02 Bray Wanderers D 1-157.4 1457 1352 53.99% 22.40% 23.61%+0.80 -2.3 16
2011-05-02 @ Bohemian D 1-157.4 1352 1457 23.61% 22.40% 53.99%-0.80 +2.3 18
2011-05-02 Derry City W 3-048.0 1456 1505 33.47% 22.93% 43.60%-0.25 +41.6 17
2011-05-02 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-348.0 1505 1456 43.60% 22.93% 33.47%+0.25 -41.6 18
2011-05-02 Drogheda United W 2-142.6 1277 1163 55.01% 22.31% 22.68%+0.86 +8.4 11
2011-05-02 @ UC Dublin L 1-242.6 1163 1277 22.68% 22.31% 55.01%-0.86 -8.4 2
2011-05-02 Galway United (old) W 5-239.7 1412 1229 62.06% 21.44% 16.51%+1.33 +13.4 15
2011-05-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-539.7 1229 1412 16.51% 21.44% 62.06%-1.33 -13.4 5
2011-05-02 Shamrock Rovers D 1-158.8 1350 1510 20.78% 22.10% 57.12%-0.99 +2.8 13
2011-05-02 @ Dundalk D 1-158.8 1510 1350 57.12% 22.10% 20.78%+0.99 -2.8 21
2011-05-06 Bohemian L 0-133.9 1155 1454 10.77% 19.86% 69.37%-1.94 -4.4 2
2011-05-06 @ Drogheda United W 1-033.9 1454 1155 69.37% 19.86% 10.77%+1.94 +4.4 19
2011-05-06 Dundalk L 0-333.8 1216 1353 23.06% 22.35% 54.59%-0.84 -24.8 5
2011-05-06 @ Galway United (old) W 3-033.8 1353 1216 54.59% 22.35% 23.06%+0.84 +24.8 16
2011-05-06 Sligo Rovers W 1-051.3 1507 1497 41.84% 22.96% 35.21%+0.16 +12.8 24
2011-05-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-151.3 1497 1507 35.21% 22.96% 41.84%-0.16 -12.8 17
2011-05-06 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-142.9 1354 1425 30.69% 22.84% 46.47%-0.39 -11.5 18
2011-05-06 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-042.9 1425 1354 46.47% 22.84% 30.69%+0.39 +11.5 18
2011-05-06 UC Dublin W 7-033.3 1464 1285 61.66% 21.50% 16.84%+1.30 +41.5 21
2011-05-06 @ Derry City L 0-733.3 1285 1464 16.84% 21.50% 61.66%-1.30 -41.5 11
2011-05-09 Dundalk L 0-150.3 1459 1378 51.21% 22.61% 26.18%+0.64 -17.4 19
2011-05-09 @ Bohemian W 1-050.3 1378 1459 26.18% 22.61% 51.21%-0.64 +17.4 19
2011-05-09 Galway United (old) W 3-035.5 1244 1191 47.65% 22.80% 29.55%+0.45 +30.5 14
2011-05-09 @ UC Dublin L 0-335.5 1191 1244 29.55% 22.80% 47.65%-0.45 -30.5 5
2011-05-09 Shamrock Rovers D 0-057.5 1437 1520 29.16% 22.78% 48.06%-0.47 +1.6 19
2011-05-09 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-057.5 1520 1437 48.06% 22.78% 29.16%+0.47 -1.6 25
2011-05-10 Bray Wanderers W 3-143.5 1484 1343 58.02% 22.00% 19.98%+1.05 +13.0 20
2011-05-10 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-343.5 1343 1484 19.98% 22.00% 58.02%-1.05 -13.0 18
2011-05-10 Drogheda United W 2-030.3 1505 1150 74.65% 18.11% 7.24%+2.50 +5.5 24
2011-05-10 @ Derry City L 0-230.3 1150 1505 7.24% 18.11% 74.65%-2.50 -5.5 2
2011-05-13 Bohemian L 0-231.8 1160 1441 11.77% 20.22% 68.00%-1.82 -9.2 5
2011-05-13 @ Galway United (old) W 2-031.8 1441 1160 68.00% 20.22% 11.77%+1.82 +9.1 22
2011-05-13 Sligo Rovers L 0-328.9 1145 1498 8.34% 18.76% 72.90%-2.30 -9.3 2
2011-05-13 @ Drogheda United W 3-028.9 1498 1145 72.90% 18.76% 8.34%+2.30 +9.3 23
2011-05-13 UC Dublin W 2-145.4 1330 1274 47.95% 22.78% 29.26%+0.47 +10.4 21
2011-05-13 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-245.4 1274 1330 29.26% 22.78% 47.95%-0.47 -10.4 14
2011-05-20 Bray Wanderers D 1-158.7 1511 1340 60.92% 21.61% 17.47%+1.25 -3.4 25
2011-05-20 @ Derry City D 1-158.7 1340 1511 17.47% 21.61% 60.92%-1.25 +3.5 22
2011-05-20 Drogheda United W 3-028.0 1518 1135 76.21% 17.47% 6.32%+2.69 +7.0 28
2011-05-20 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-328.0 1135 1518 6.32% 17.47% 76.21%-2.69 -7.0 2
2011-05-20 Dundalk L 0-236.5 1264 1395 23.70% 22.41% 53.89%-0.80 -17.5 14
2011-05-20 @ UC Dublin W 2-036.5 1395 1264 53.89% 22.41% 23.70%+0.80 +17.5 22
2011-05-20 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-149.3 1451 1438 42.16% 22.95% 34.89%+0.17 -14.8 22
2011-05-20 @ Bohemian W 1-049.3 1438 1451 34.89% 22.95% 42.16%-0.17 +14.8 22
2011-05-21 Galway United (old) W 3-028.5 1507 1151 74.69% 18.10% 7.22%+2.51 +8.0 26
2011-05-21 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-328.5 1151 1507 7.22% 18.10% 74.69%-2.51 -8.0 5
2011-05-26 Derry City W 1-052.4 1412 1507 27.74% 22.70% 49.56%-0.55 +16.9 25
2011-05-26 @ Dundalk L 0-152.4 1507 1412 49.56% 22.70% 27.74%+0.55 -16.9 25
2011-05-26 Drogheda United L 1-248.5 1143 1128 42.51% 22.95% 34.54%+0.19 -14.0 5
2011-05-26 @ Galway United (old) W 2-148.5 1128 1143 34.54% 22.95% 42.51%-0.19 +14.0 5
2011-05-26 Shamrock Rovers W 1-053.5 1344 1525 18.81% 21.83% 59.36%-1.14 +19.9 25
2011-05-26 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-153.5 1525 1344 59.36% 21.83% 18.81%+1.14 -19.9 28
2011-05-26 Sligo Rovers W 2-158.0 1453 1515 31.88% 22.88% 45.24%-0.33 +14.8 25
2011-05-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-258.0 1515 1453 45.24% 22.88% 31.88%+0.33 -14.8 26
2011-05-26 UC Dublin W 1-036.6 1436 1247 62.66% 21.34% 16.01%+1.38 +6.5 25
2011-05-26 @ Bohemian L 0-136.6 1247 1436 16.01% 21.34% 62.66%-1.38 -6.5 14
2011-05-30 Bohemian W 1-047.0 1505 1442 48.95% 22.74% 28.31%+0.52 +10.8 31
2011-05-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-147.0 1442 1505 28.31% 22.74% 48.95%-0.52 -10.8 25
2011-05-30 Bray Wanderers L 0-135.2 1142 1364 15.65% 21.26% 63.08%-1.41 -6.4 5
2011-05-30 @ Drogheda United W 1-035.2 1364 1142 63.08% 21.26% 15.65%+1.41 +6.4 28
2011-05-30 Dundalk W 1-046.1 1500 1429 49.91% 22.69% 27.40%+0.57 +10.5 29
2011-05-30 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-146.1 1429 1500 27.40% 22.69% 49.91%-0.57 -10.5 25
2011-05-30 Galway United (old) W 6-027.4 1491 1129 75.01% 17.97% 7.02%+2.54 +14.9 28
2011-05-30 @ Derry City L 0-627.4 1129 1491 7.02% 17.97% 75.01%-2.54 -14.9 5
2011-05-30 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-339.5 1240 1468 15.16% 21.16% 63.68%-1.45 -10.1 14
2011-05-30 @ UC Dublin W 3-139.5 1468 1240 63.68% 21.16% 15.16%+1.45 +10.1 28
2011-06-10 Bray Wanderers L 0-330.1 1114 1370 13.29% 20.69% 66.03%-1.64 -15.0 5
2011-06-10 @ Galway United (old) W 3-030.1 1370 1114 66.03% 20.69% 13.29%+1.64 +15.0 31
2011-06-10 Derry City D 1-162.8 1478 1505 36.53% 22.97% 40.50%-0.09 +0.3 29
2011-06-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-162.8 1505 1478 40.50% 22.97% 36.53%+0.09 -0.3 29
2011-06-10 Drogheda United L 1-256.4 1419 1136 70.09% 19.66% 10.26%+2.01 -21.9 25
2011-06-10 @ Dundalk W 2-156.4 1136 1419 10.26% 19.66% 70.09%-2.01 +21.9 8
2011-06-10 Shamrock Rovers L 1-633.4 1230 1516 11.48% 20.12% 68.40%-1.85 -17.3 14
2011-06-10 @ UC Dublin W 6-133.4 1516 1230 68.40% 20.12% 11.48%+1.85 +17.3 34
2011-06-10 Sligo Rovers D 0-057.0 1432 1511 29.68% 22.80% 47.52%-0.44 +1.5 26
2011-06-10 @ Bohemian D 0-057.0 1511 1432 47.52% 22.80% 29.68%+0.44 -1.5 30
2011-06-13 Derry City D 1-164.9 1534 1505 44.38% 22.91% 32.71%+0.28 -0.8 35
2011-06-13 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-164.9 1505 1534 32.71% 22.91% 44.38%-0.28 +0.8 30
2011-06-13 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-250.1 1397 1478 29.39% 22.79% 47.82%-0.46 -10.5 25
2011-06-13 @ Dundalk W 2-150.1 1478 1397 47.82% 22.79% 29.39%+0.46 +10.5 32
2011-06-17 Bohemian W 3-042.2 1506 1433 50.18% 22.67% 27.15%+0.59 +28.5 33
2011-06-17 @ Derry City L 0-342.2 1433 1506 27.15% 22.67% 50.18%-0.59 -28.5 26
2011-06-17 Galway United (old) W 4-026.2 1533 1099 78.77% 16.29% 4.95%+3.03 +7.0 38
2011-06-17 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-426.2 1099 1533 4.95% 16.29% 78.77%-3.03 -7.0 5
2011-06-17 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-434.2 1158 1489 9.28% 19.23% 71.50%-2.15 -8.8 8
2011-06-17 @ Drogheda United W 4-134.2 1489 1158 71.50% 19.23% 9.28%+2.15 +8.8 35
2011-06-18 UC Dublin W 4-029.5 1509 1213 71.02% 19.38% 9.60%+2.10 +14.1 33
2011-06-18 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-429.5 1213 1509 9.60% 19.38% 71.02%-2.10 -14.1 14
2011-06-20 Bohemian L 1-250.4 1385 1405 37.63% 22.98% 39.39%-0.04 -12.7 31
2011-06-20 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-150.4 1405 1385 39.39% 22.98% 37.63%+0.04 +12.7 29
2011-06-21 Dundalk D 2-266.4 1540 1386 59.20% 21.85% 18.94%+1.13 -2.4 39
2011-06-21 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-266.4 1386 1540 18.94% 21.85% 59.20%-1.13 +2.4 26
2011-06-21 Sligo Rovers D 0-061.2 1534 1523 42.02% 22.95% 35.03%+0.17 -0.6 34
2011-06-21 @ Derry City D 0-061.2 1523 1534 35.03% 22.95% 42.02%-0.17 +0.6 34
2011-06-21 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-229.4 1092 1498 6.47% 17.58% 75.95%-2.66 -4.9 5
2011-06-21 @ Galway United (old) W 2-029.4 1498 1092 75.95% 17.58% 6.47%+2.66 +4.9 38
2011-06-21 UC Dublin W 3-146.7 1149 1198 33.53% 22.93% 43.54%-0.24 +24.8 11
2011-06-21 @ Drogheda United L 1-346.7 1198 1149 43.54% 22.93% 33.53%+0.24 -24.8 14
2011-06-24 Bray Wanderers W 1-042.2 1502 1372 56.82% 22.13% 21.04%+0.98 +8.4 41
2011-06-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-142.2 1372 1502 21.04% 22.13% 56.82%-0.98 -8.4 31
2011-06-24 Derry City D 2-262.1 1174 1534 8.05% 18.60% 73.36%-2.35 +4.0 15
2011-06-24 @ UC Dublin D 2-262.1 1534 1174 73.36% 18.60% 8.05%+2.35 -4.0 35
2011-06-24 Drogheda United W 2-032.0 1417 1174 67.19% 20.42% 12.39%+1.74 +9.6 32
2011-06-24 @ Bohemian L 0-232.0 1174 1417 12.39% 20.42% 67.19%-1.74 -9.6 11
2011-06-24 Galway United (old) W 6-130.3 1389 1087 71.35% 19.28% 9.38%+2.14 +14.1 29
2011-06-24 @ Dundalk L 1-630.3 1087 1389 9.38% 19.28% 71.35%-2.14 -14.1 5
2011-06-24 Shamrock Rovers W 2-052.0 1524 1537 38.52% 22.98% 38.50%+0.00 +25.9 37
2011-06-24 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-252.0 1537 1524 38.50% 22.98% 38.52%+0.00 -25.9 39
2011-06-28 Dundalk L 1-542.8 1364 1403 34.91% 22.95% 42.14%-0.17 -38.0 31
2011-06-28 @ Bray Wanderers W 5-142.8 1403 1364 42.14% 22.95% 34.91%+0.17 +38.0 32
2011-07-01 Bohemian L 1-351.6 1441 1427 42.40% 22.95% 34.65%+0.19 -24.2 32
2011-07-01 @ Dundalk W 3-151.6 1427 1441 34.65% 22.95% 42.40%-0.19 +24.2 35
2011-07-01 Derry City L 0-329.2 1164 1530 7.84% 18.48% 73.68%-2.39 -8.8 11
2011-07-01 @ Drogheda United W 3-029.2 1530 1164 73.68% 18.48% 7.84%+2.39 +8.8 38
2011-07-01 Sligo Rovers L 0-336.1 1326 1550 15.45% 21.22% 63.33%-1.43 -17.3 31
2011-07-01 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-036.1 1550 1326 63.33% 21.22% 15.45%+1.43 +17.3 40
2011-07-01 UC Dublin L 3-451.3 1073 1178 26.63% 22.64% 50.73%-0.62 -8.9 5
2011-07-01 @ Galway United (old) W 4-351.3 1178 1073 50.73% 22.64% 26.63%+0.62 +8.9 18
2011-07-03 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-052.3 1511 1511 40.52% 22.97% 36.51%+0.10 +13.2 42
2011-07-03 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-152.3 1511 1511 36.51% 22.97% 40.52%-0.10 -13.2 41
2011-07-08 Bray Wanderers L 1-243.4 1187 1309 24.67% 22.49% 52.84%-0.74 -9.0 18
2011-07-08 @ UC Dublin W 2-143.4 1309 1187 52.84% 22.49% 24.67%+0.74 +9.0 34
2011-07-08 Galway United (old) W 2-028.8 1451 1064 76.41% 17.38% 6.21%+2.72 +4.7 38
2011-07-08 @ Bohemian L 0-228.8 1064 1451 6.21% 17.38% 76.41%-2.72 -4.7 5
2011-07-08 Shamrock Rovers W 1-053.3 1539 1525 42.42% 22.95% 34.63%+0.19 +12.7 41
2011-07-08 @ Derry City L 0-153.3 1525 1539 34.63% 22.95% 42.42%-0.19 -12.7 42
2011-07-09 Drogheda United W 2-030.2 1567 1156 77.69% 16.81% 5.50%+2.88 +4.1 43
2011-07-09 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-230.2 1156 1567 5.50% 16.81% 77.69%-2.88 -4.1 11
2011-07-10 Dundalk D 2-265.7 1498 1417 51.17% 22.61% 26.22%+0.64 -1.4 42
2011-07-10 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-265.7 1417 1498 26.22% 22.61% 51.17%-0.64 +1.4 33
2011-07-15 Derry City L 1-245.0 1318 1551 14.75% 21.06% 64.19%-1.49 -5.7 34
2011-07-15 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-145.0 1551 1318 64.19% 21.06% 14.75%+1.49 +5.7 44
2011-07-15 Shamrock Rovers L 0-133.1 1151 1512 8.04% 18.59% 73.37%-2.35 -3.3 11
2011-07-15 @ Drogheda United W 1-033.1 1512 1151 73.37% 18.59% 8.04%+2.35 +3.3 45
2011-07-15 Sligo Rovers L 0-826.3 1060 1571 3.85% 15.07% 81.08%-3.38 -10.2 5
2011-07-15 @ Galway United (old) W 8-026.3 1571 1060 81.08% 15.07% 3.85%+3.38 +10.2 46
2011-07-15 UC Dublin W 2-032.1 1418 1178 66.97% 20.47% 12.56%+1.72 +9.8 36
2011-07-15 @ Dundalk L 0-232.1 1178 1418 12.56% 20.47% 66.97%-1.72 -9.8 18
2011-07-22 Dundalk D 0-058.8 1557 1428 56.70% 22.15% 21.15%+0.97 -3.1 45
2011-07-22 @ Derry City D 0-058.8 1428 1557 21.15% 22.15% 56.70%-0.97 +3.1 37
2011-07-22 Galway United (old) W 1-037.7 1148 1049 53.28% 22.46% 24.26%+0.76 +9.5 14
2011-07-22 @ Drogheda United L 0-137.7 1049 1148 24.26% 22.46% 53.28%-0.76 -9.5 5
2011-07-23 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-062.0 1581 1496 51.67% 22.58% 25.75%+0.67 -2.2 47
2011-07-23 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-062.0 1496 1581 25.75% 22.58% 51.67%-0.67 +2.2 43
2011-08-05 Derry City L 0-326.0 1040 1554 3.80% 15.01% 81.18%-3.40 -4.0 5
2011-08-05 @ Galway United (old) W 3-026.0 1554 1040 81.18% 15.01% 3.80%+3.40 +4.0 48
2011-08-05 Drogheda United L 1-253.5 1312 1158 59.32% 21.84% 18.84%+1.14 -18.8 34
2011-08-05 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-153.5 1158 1312 18.84% 21.84% 59.32%-1.14 +18.8 17
2011-08-05 Shamrock Rovers L 0-149.1 1456 1515 32.20% 22.89% 44.91%-0.31 -11.9 38
2011-08-05 @ Bohemian W 1-049.1 1515 1456 44.91% 22.89% 32.20%+0.31 +12.0 48
2011-08-07 Sligo Rovers D 1-164.0 1431 1579 21.93% 22.24% 55.84%-0.91 +2.6 38
2011-08-07 @ Dundalk D 1-164.0 1579 1431 55.84% 22.24% 21.93%+0.91 -2.6 48
2011-08-07 UC Dublin D 2-261.6 1498 1168 73.20% 18.65% 8.15%+2.34 -4.0 44
2011-08-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-261.6 1168 1498 8.15% 18.65% 73.20%-2.34 +4.0 19
2011-08-12 Dundalk D 2-260.5 1176 1434 13.19% 20.66% 66.15%-1.65 +3.2 18
2011-08-12 @ Drogheda United D 2-260.5 1434 1176 66.15% 20.66% 13.19%+1.65 -3.2 39
2011-08-12 Galway United (old) W 4-028.3 1293 1036 68.24% 20.16% 11.60%+1.84 +17.1 37
2011-08-12 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-428.3 1036 1293 11.60% 20.16% 68.24%-1.84 -17.1 5
2011-08-12 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-048.5 1558 1494 49.00% 22.73% 28.27%+0.52 +20.3 51
2011-08-12 @ Derry City L 0-248.5 1494 1558 28.27% 22.73% 49.00%-0.52 -20.3 44
2011-08-12 UC Dublin W 6-028.3 1527 1172 74.66% 18.10% 7.23%+2.50 +15.4 51
2011-08-12 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-628.3 1172 1527 7.23% 18.10% 74.66%-2.50 -15.4 19
2011-08-13 Bohemian L 1-263.3 1577 1444 57.07% 22.11% 20.82%+0.99 -18.1 48
2011-08-13 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-163.3 1444 1577 20.82% 22.11% 57.07%-0.99 +18.1 41
2011-08-19 Bray Wanderers D 2-261.5 1430 1310 55.71% 22.25% 22.04%+0.91 -1.9 40
2011-08-19 @ Dundalk D 2-261.5 1310 1430 22.04% 22.25% 55.71%-0.91 +1.9 38
2011-08-19 Derry City L 0-149.5 1462 1578 25.30% 22.54% 52.15%-0.70 -9.8 41
2011-08-19 @ Bohemian W 1-049.5 1578 1462 52.15% 22.54% 25.30%+0.70 +9.8 54
2011-08-19 Drogheda United W 4-028.7 1474 1180 70.89% 19.42% 9.69%+2.09 +14.3 47
2011-08-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-428.7 1180 1474 9.69% 19.42% 70.89%-2.09 -14.3 18
2011-08-20 Sligo Rovers L 0-133.0 1156 1558 6.58% 17.66% 75.77%-2.64 -2.7 19
2011-08-20 @ UC Dublin W 1-033.0 1558 1156 75.77% 17.66% 6.58%+2.64 +2.6 51
2011-08-21 Shamrock Rovers L 2-339.9 1019 1543 3.62% 14.78% 81.60%-3.46 -1.2 5
2011-08-21 @ Galway United (old) W 3-239.9 1543 1019 81.60% 14.78% 3.62%+3.46 +1.2 54
2011-08-22 Bohemian D 1-161.2 1488 1452 45.44% 22.88% 31.69%+0.34 -1.0 48
2011-08-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-161.2 1452 1488 31.69% 22.88% 45.44%-0.34 +1.0 42
2011-09-03 Bray Wanderers W 2-144.3 1453 1312 57.96% 22.01% 20.03%+1.05 +7.5 45
2011-09-03 @ Bohemian L 1-244.3 1312 1453 20.03% 22.01% 57.96%-1.05 -7.5 38
2011-09-03 Derry City D 1-168.5 1561 1588 36.61% 22.97% 40.42%-0.09 +0.3 52
2011-09-03 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-168.5 1588 1561 40.42% 22.97% 36.61%+0.09 -0.3 55
2011-09-03 Drogheda United W 5-456.1 1154 1165 38.80% 22.98% 38.22%+0.01 +11.8 22
2011-09-03 @ UC Dublin L 4-556.1 1165 1154 38.22% 22.98% 38.80%-0.01 -11.8 18
2011-09-03 Galway United (old) W 6-127.6 1487 1018 80.44% 15.42% 4.14%+3.28 +5.9 51
2011-09-03 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-627.6 1018 1487 4.14% 15.42% 80.44%-3.28 -5.8 5
2011-09-03 Shamrock Rovers L 1-252.1 1428 1544 25.39% 22.55% 52.06%-0.69 -9.3 40
2011-09-03 @ Dundalk W 2-152.1 1544 1428 52.06% 22.55% 25.39%+0.69 +9.3 57
2011-09-09 Bohemian L 0-231.3 1154 1461 10.38% 19.71% 69.90%-1.99 -8.1 18
2011-09-09 @ Drogheda United W 2-031.3 1461 1154 69.90% 19.71% 10.38%+1.99 +8.1 48
2011-09-09 Dundalk D 2-260.7 1012 1419 6.41% 17.53% 76.06%-2.67 +4.3 6
2011-09-09 @ Galway United (old) D 2-260.7 1419 1012 76.06% 17.53% 6.41%+2.67 -4.3 41
2011-09-09 Sligo Rovers L 1-261.5 1553 1561 39.26% 22.98% 37.76%+0.04 -13.2 57
2011-09-09 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-161.5 1561 1553 37.76% 22.98% 39.26%-0.04 +13.2 55
2011-09-09 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-335.1 1305 1493 18.22% 21.74% 60.04%-1.19 -20.1 38
2011-09-09 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-035.1 1493 1305 60.04% 21.74% 18.22%+1.19 +20.1 54
2011-09-09 UC Dublin W 2-138.0 1588 1166 78.22% 16.55% 5.23%+2.96 +2.0 58
2011-09-09 @ Derry City L 1-238.0 1166 1588 5.23% 16.55% 78.22%-2.96 -2.0 22
2011-09-12 Bray Wanderers W 3-033.4 1575 1285 70.58% 19.51% 9.91%+2.06 +11.2 58
2011-09-12 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-333.4 1285 1575 9.91% 19.51% 70.58%-2.06 -11.2 38
2011-09-12 Drogheda United D 2-263.2 1590 1145 79.28% 16.03% 4.69%+3.11 -4.6 59
2011-09-12 @ Derry City D 2-263.2 1145 1590 4.69% 16.03% 79.28%-3.11 +4.6 19
2011-09-12 Dundalk W 3-148.2 1469 1415 47.78% 22.79% 29.43%+0.46 +18.1 51
2011-09-12 @ Bohemian L 1-348.2 1415 1469 29.43% 22.79% 47.78%-0.46 -18.1 41
2011-09-12 Galway United (old) W 2-141.2 1164 1016 58.63% 21.93% 19.44%+1.09 +7.3 25
2011-09-12 @ UC Dublin L 1-241.2 1016 1164 19.44% 21.93% 58.63%-1.09 -7.4 6
2011-09-12 Shamrock Rovers D 1-165.4 1513 1540 36.67% 22.97% 40.36%-0.09 +0.3 55
2011-09-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-165.4 1540 1513 40.36% 22.97% 36.67%+0.09 -0.3 58
2011-09-21 UC Dublin W 4-032.8 1273 1171 53.71% 22.43% 23.86%+0.79 +33.4 41
2011-09-21 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-432.8 1171 1273 23.86% 22.43% 53.71%-0.79 -33.4 25
2011-09-23 Bohemian L 0-326.0 1009 1487 4.53% 15.86% 79.60%-3.15 -4.9 6
2011-09-23 @ Galway United (old) W 3-026.0 1487 1009 79.60% 15.86% 4.53%+3.15 +4.8 54
2011-09-23 Sligo Rovers L 0-328.6 1150 1586 5.58% 16.87% 77.54%-2.86 -6.1 19
2011-09-23 @ Drogheda United W 3-028.6 1586 1150 77.54% 16.87% 5.58%+2.86 +6.1 61
2011-09-23 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-242.3 1397 1514 25.21% 22.54% 52.25%-0.70 -18.4 41
2011-09-23 @ Dundalk W 2-042.3 1514 1397 52.25% 22.54% 25.21%+0.70 +18.4 58
2011-09-25 Bray Wanderers W 5-242.0 1540 1307 66.37% 20.61% 13.02%+1.67 +10.7 61
2011-09-25 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-542.0 1307 1540 13.02% 20.61% 66.37%-1.67 -10.7 41
2011-09-26 Bohemian W 2-049.9 1138 1492 8.28% 18.73% 72.99%-2.31 +45.4 28
2011-09-26 @ UC Dublin L 0-249.9 1492 1138 72.99% 18.73% 8.28%+2.31 -45.4 54
2011-09-30 Bray Wanderers D 1-160.2 1585 1296 70.52% 19.53% 9.95%+2.05 -5.0 60
2011-09-30 @ Derry City D 1-160.2 1296 1585 9.95% 19.53% 70.52%-2.05 +5.0 42
2011-09-30 Dundalk W 3-044.9 1183 1378 17.67% 21.65% 60.68%-1.23 +55.7 31
2011-09-30 @ UC Dublin L 0-344.9 1378 1183 60.68% 21.65% 17.67%+1.23 -55.7 41
2011-09-30 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-058.3 1446 1532 28.86% 22.76% 48.38%-0.49 +1.6 55
2011-09-30 @ Bohemian D 0-058.3 1532 1446 48.38% 22.76% 28.86%+0.49 -1.6 59
2011-10-01 Galway United (old) W 7-126.0 1592 1004 85.07% 12.64% 2.30%+4.08 +3.6 64
2011-10-01 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-726.0 1004 1592 2.30% 12.64% 85.07%-4.08 -3.6 6
2011-10-02 Drogheda United W 4-027.2 1550 1144 77.43% 16.93% 5.64%+2.85 +8.1 64
2011-10-02 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-427.2 1144 1550 5.64% 16.93% 77.43%-2.85 -8.0 19
2011-10-03 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-158.4 1239 1530 11.19% 20.02% 68.79%-1.89 +21.6 34
2011-10-03 @ UC Dublin L 1-258.4 1530 1239 68.79% 20.02% 11.19%+1.89 -21.6 59
2011-10-04 Dundalk W 5-034.7 1595 1323 69.38% 19.86% 10.76%+1.94 +19.6 67
2011-10-04 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-534.7 1323 1595 10.76% 19.86% 69.38%-1.94 -19.6 41
2011-10-05 Bohemian D 1-163.8 1558 1448 54.63% 22.35% 23.03%+0.84 -2.4 65
2011-10-05 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-163.8 1448 1558 23.03% 22.35% 54.63%-0.84 +2.4 56
2011-10-08 Derry City L 0-236.8 1303 1580 12.00% 20.30% 67.70%-1.79 -9.3 41
2011-10-08 @ Dundalk W 2-036.8 1580 1303 67.70% 20.30% 12.00%+1.79 +9.3 63
2011-10-08 Drogheda United L 1-242.5 1000 1136 23.21% 22.37% 54.42%-0.83 -8.6 6
2011-10-08 @ Galway United (old) W 2-142.5 1136 1000 54.42% 22.37% 23.21%+0.83 +8.6 22
2011-10-08 Sligo Rovers W 1-060.1 1509 1615 26.44% 22.63% 50.93%-0.63 +17.3 62
2011-10-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-160.1 1615 1509 50.93% 22.63% 26.44%+0.63 -17.3 67
2011-10-08 UC Dublin W 2-034.5 1450 1260 62.73% 21.33% 15.95%+1.38 +12.3 59
2011-10-08 @ Bohemian L 0-234.5 1260 1450 15.95% 21.33% 62.73%-1.38 -12.3 34
2011-10-09 Shamrock Rovers L 1-244.1 1301 1556 13.33% 20.70% 65.97%-1.64 -5.2 42
2011-10-09 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-144.1 1556 1301 65.97% 20.70% 13.33%+1.64 +5.2 68
2011-10-13 Derry City W 1-057.8 1561 1589 36.41% 22.97% 40.62%-0.10 +14.3 71
2011-10-13 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-157.8 1589 1561 40.62% 22.97% 36.41%+0.10 -14.3 63
2011-10-14 Bray Wanderers L 1-437.8 1144 1296 21.63% 22.20% 56.17%-0.94 -19.8 22
2011-10-14 @ Drogheda United W 4-137.8 1296 1144 56.17% 22.20% 21.63%+0.94 +19.8 45
2011-10-16 Galway United (old) W 4-023.9 1575 992 84.91% 12.74% 2.35%+4.05 +3.1 66
2011-10-16 @ Derry City L 0-423.9 992 1575 2.35% 12.74% 84.91%-4.05 -3.1 6
2011-10-21 Bray Wanderers L 0-627.5 989 1316 9.45% 19.31% 71.24%-2.13 -20.4 6
2011-10-21 @ Galway United (old) W 6-027.5 1316 989 71.24% 19.31% 9.45%+2.13 +20.4 48
2011-10-21 Derry City D 1-167.1 1526 1578 33.17% 22.92% 43.91%-0.26 +0.8 63
2011-10-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-167.1 1578 1526 43.91% 22.92% 33.17%+0.26 -0.8 67
2011-10-21 Drogheda United W 1-035.7 1294 1125 60.76% 21.64% 17.61%+1.24 +7.1 44
2011-10-21 @ Dundalk L 0-135.7 1125 1294 17.61% 21.64% 60.76%-1.24 -7.1 22
2011-10-21 Sligo Rovers L 0-345.4 1463 1598 23.28% 22.37% 54.34%-0.82 -25.0 59
2011-10-21 @ Bohemian W 3-045.4 1598 1463 54.34% 22.37% 23.28%+0.82 +25.0 70
2011-10-25 Shamrock Rovers L 1-241.6 1248 1575 9.43% 19.30% 71.27%-2.13 -3.6 34
2011-10-25 @ UC Dublin W 2-141.6 1575 1248 71.27% 19.30% 9.43%+2.13 +3.7 74
2011-10-28 Bohemian D 0-059.9 1577 1438 57.82% 22.02% 20.16%+1.04 -3.3 68
2011-10-28 @ Derry City D 0-059.9 1438 1577 20.16% 22.02% 57.82%-1.04 +3.3 60
2011-10-28 Dundalk W 1-041.3 1336 1301 45.29% 22.88% 31.82%+0.33 +11.8 51
2011-10-28 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-141.3 1301 1336 31.82% 22.88% 45.29%-0.33 -11.8 44
2011-10-28 Galway United (old) W 4-023.5 1579 968 85.84% 12.12% 2.04%+4.24 +2.6 77
2011-10-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-423.5 968 1579 2.04% 12.12% 85.84%-4.24 -2.6 6
2011-10-28 St Patrick's Athletic W 4-365.8 1118 1527 6.34% 17.48% 76.17%-2.69 +21.8 25
2011-10-28 @ Drogheda United L 3-465.8 1527 1118 76.17% 17.48% 6.34%+2.69 -21.8 63
2011-10-28 UC Dublin W 4-243.1 1623 1244 75.95% 17.58% 6.47%+2.66 +3.8 73
2011-10-28 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-443.1 1244 1623 6.47% 17.58% 75.95%-2.66 -3.8 34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2011-10-28 6.34% @ Drogheda United 1118 4 St Patrick's Athletic 1527 3
2 2011-09-26 8.28% @ UC Dublin 1138 2 Bohemian 1492 0
3 2011-06-10 10.26% Drogheda United 1136 2 @ Dundalk 1419 1
4 2011-10-03 11.19% @ UC Dublin 1239 2 St Patrick's Athletic 1530 1
5 2011-03-25 13.81% Galway United (old) 1257 1 @ Bohemian 1478 0
6 2011-04-08 14.17% Bray Wanderers 1303 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1518 0
7 2011-04-29 15.85% @ UC Dublin 1257 2 Sligo Rovers 1476 1
8 2011-03-11 17.41% Bray Wanderers 1276 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1447 2
9 2011-09-30 17.67% @ UC Dublin 1183 3 Dundalk 1378 0
10 2011-05-26 18.81% @ Bray Wanderers 1344 1 Shamrock Rovers 1525 0
11 2011-08-05 18.84% Drogheda United 1158 2 @ Bray Wanderers 1312 1
12 2011-08-13 20.82% Bohemian 1444 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1577 1
13 2011-05-09 26.18% Dundalk 1378 1 @ Bohemian 1459 0
14 2011-10-08 26.44% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1509 1 Sligo Rovers 1615 0
15 2011-05-26 27.74% @ Dundalk 1412 1 Derry City 1507 0
16 2011-05-26 31.88% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1453 2 Sligo Rovers 1515 1
17 2011-05-02 33.47% @ Sligo Rovers 1456 3 Derry City 1505 0
18 2011-06-21 33.53% @ Drogheda United 1149 3 UC Dublin 1198 1
19 2011-04-22 33.85% Bohemian 1470 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1490 1
20 2011-05-26 34.54% Drogheda United 1128 2 @ Galway United (old) 1143 1
21 2011-03-25 34.61% Bray Wanderers 1297 1 @ UC Dublin 1311 0
22 2011-07-01 34.65% Bohemian 1427 3 @ Dundalk 1441 1
23 2011-05-20 34.89% St Patrick's Athletic 1438 1 @ Bohemian 1451 0
24 2011-04-29 35.74% Derry City 1478 2 @ Bohemian 1484 0
25 2011-03-12 35.97% Shamrock Rovers 1467 1 @ Sligo Rovers 1472 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-09-30 55.72 @ UC Dublin 3 1183 17.67% Dundalk 0 1378 60.68% 21.65%
2 2011-09-26 45.45 @ UC Dublin 2 1138 8.28% Bohemian 0 1492 72.99% 18.73%
3 2011-05-02 41.56 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1456 33.47% Derry City 0 1505 43.60% 22.93%
4 2011-05-06 41.46 @ Derry City 7 1464 61.66% UC Dublin 0 1285 16.84% 21.50%
5 2011-06-28 37.98 Dundalk 5 1403 42.14% @ Bray Wanderers 1 1364 34.91% 22.95%
6 2011-09-21 33.36 @ Bray Wanderers 4 1273 53.71% UC Dublin 0 1171 23.86% 22.43%
7 2011-05-09 30.53 @ UC Dublin 3 1244 47.65% Galway United (old) 0 1191 29.55% 22.80%
8 2011-06-17 28.47 @ Derry City 3 1506 50.18% Bohemian 0 1433 27.15% 22.67%
9 2011-04-29 27.39 Derry City 2 1478 35.74% @ Bohemian 0 1484 41.30% 22.96%
10 2011-06-24 25.92 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1524 38.52% Shamrock Rovers 0 1537 38.50% 22.98%
11 2011-03-04 25.41 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1421 53.86% @ Galway United (old) 0 1291 23.72% 22.41%
12 2011-10-21 25.00 Sligo Rovers 3 1598 54.34% @ Bohemian 0 1463 23.28% 22.37%
13 2011-05-06 24.80 Dundalk 3 1353 54.59% @ Galway United (old) 0 1216 23.06% 22.35%
14 2011-06-21 24.76 @ Drogheda United 3 1149 33.53% UC Dublin 1 1198 43.54% 22.93%
15 2011-07-01 24.22 Bohemian 3 1427 34.65% @ Dundalk 1 1441 42.40% 22.95%
16 2011-06-10 21.94 Drogheda United 2 1136 10.26% @ Dundalk 1 1419 70.09% 19.66%
17 2011-03-25 21.82 Galway United (old) 1 1257 13.81% @ Bohemian 0 1478 65.36% 20.83%
18 2011-10-28 21.77 @ Drogheda United 4 1118 6.34% St Patrick's Athletic 3 1527 76.17% 17.48%
19 2011-04-08 21.68 Bray Wanderers 1 1303 14.17% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1518 64.91% 20.92%
20 2011-10-03 21.57 @ UC Dublin 2 1239 11.19% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1530 68.79% 20.02%
21 2011-03-18 21.01 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1482 47.67% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1429 29.54% 22.80%
22 2011-04-09 20.99 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1471 47.72% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1418 29.49% 22.79%
23 2011-03-11 20.78 Derry City 2 1417 48.09% @ UC Dublin 0 1333 29.13% 22.78%
24 2011-10-21 20.35 Bray Wanderers 6 1316 71.24% @ Galway United (old) 0 989 9.45% 19.31%
25 2011-08-12 20.27 @ Derry City 2 1558 49.00% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1494 28.27% 22.73%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-09-03 68.5 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1561 36.61% Derry City 1 1588 40.42% 22.97%
2 2011-10-21 67.1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1526 33.17% Derry City 1 1578 43.91% 22.92%
3 2011-06-21 66.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1540 59.20% Dundalk 2 1386 18.94% 21.85%
4 2011-10-28 65.8 @ Drogheda United 4 1118 6.34% St Patrick's Athletic 3 1527 76.17% 17.48%
5 2011-07-10 65.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1498 51.17% Dundalk 2 1417 26.22% 22.61%
6 2011-09-12 65.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1513 36.67% Shamrock Rovers 1 1540 40.36% 22.97%
7 2011-06-13 64.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1534 44.38% Derry City 1 1505 32.71% 22.91%
8 2011-08-07 64.0 @ Dundalk 1 1431 21.93% Sligo Rovers 1 1579 55.84% 22.24%
9 2011-10-05 63.8 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1558 54.63% Bohemian 1 1448 23.03% 22.35%
10 2011-08-13 63.3 Bohemian 2 1444 20.82% @ Sligo Rovers 1 1577 57.07% 22.11%
11 2011-09-12 63.2 @ Derry City 2 1590 79.28% Drogheda United 2 1145 4.69% 16.03%
12 2011-06-10 62.8 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1478 36.53% Derry City 1 1505 40.50% 22.97%
13 2011-04-15 62.1 @ Bohemian 1 1470 36.64% Shamrock Rovers 1 1496 40.39% 22.97%
14 2011-06-24 62.1 @ UC Dublin 2 1174 8.05% Derry City 2 1534 73.36% 18.60%
15 2011-07-23 62.0 @ Sligo Rovers 0 1581 51.67% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1496 25.75% 22.58%
16 2011-08-07 61.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1498 73.20% UC Dublin 2 1168 8.15% 18.65%
17 2011-08-19 61.5 @ Dundalk 2 1430 55.71% Bray Wanderers 2 1310 22.04% 22.25%
18 2011-09-09 61.5 Sligo Rovers 2 1561 37.76% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1553 39.26% 22.98%
19 2011-06-21 61.2 @ Derry City 0 1534 42.02% Sligo Rovers 0 1523 35.03% 22.95%
20 2011-08-22 61.2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1488 45.44% Bohemian 1 1452 31.69% 22.88%
21 2011-09-09 60.7 @ Galway United (old) 2 1012 6.41% Dundalk 2 1419 76.06% 17.53%
22 2011-03-11 60.6 Bray Wanderers 3 1276 17.41% @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1447 60.98% 21.61%
23 2011-03-18 60.6 @ Drogheda United 2 1217 15.73% Derry City 2 1437 62.99% 21.28%
24 2011-08-12 60.5 @ Drogheda United 2 1176 13.19% Dundalk 2 1434 66.15% 20.66%
25 2011-09-30 60.2 @ Derry City 1 1585 70.52% Bray Wanderers 1 1296 9.95% 19.53%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2011-10-28 23.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1579 85.84% Galway United (old) 0 968 2.04% 12.12%
2 2011-10-16 23.9 @ Derry City 4 1575 84.91% Galway United (old) 0 992 2.35% 12.74%
3 2011-08-05 26.0 Derry City 3 1554 81.18% @ Galway United (old) 0 1040 3.80% 15.01%
4 2011-09-23 26.0 Bohemian 3 1487 79.60% @ Galway United (old) 0 1009 4.53% 15.86%
5 2011-10-01 26.0 @ Sligo Rovers 7 1592 85.07% Galway United (old) 1 1004 2.30% 12.64%
6 2011-06-17 26.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1533 78.77% Galway United (old) 0 1099 4.95% 16.29%
7 2011-07-15 26.3 Sligo Rovers 8 1571 81.08% @ Galway United (old) 0 1060 3.85% 15.07%
8 2011-10-02 27.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1550 77.43% Drogheda United 0 1144 5.64% 16.93%
9 2011-05-30 27.4 @ Derry City 6 1491 75.01% Galway United (old) 0 1129 7.02% 17.97%
10 2011-10-21 27.5 Bray Wanderers 6 1316 71.24% @ Galway United (old) 0 989 9.45% 19.31%
11 2011-09-03 27.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 6 1487 80.44% Galway United (old) 1 1018 4.14% 15.42%
12 2011-05-20 28.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1518 76.21% Drogheda United 0 1135 6.32% 17.47%
13 2011-08-12 28.3 @ Bray Wanderers 4 1293 68.24% Galway United (old) 0 1036 11.60% 20.16%
14 2011-08-12 28.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1527 74.66% UC Dublin 0 1172 7.23% 18.10%
15 2011-05-21 28.5 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1507 74.69% Galway United (old) 0 1151 7.22% 18.10%
16 2011-09-23 28.6 Sligo Rovers 3 1586 77.54% @ Drogheda United 0 1150 5.58% 16.87%
17 2011-08-19 28.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1474 70.89% Drogheda United 0 1180 9.69% 19.42%
18 2011-07-08 28.8 @ Bohemian 2 1451 76.41% Galway United (old) 0 1064 6.21% 17.38%
19 2011-05-13 28.9 Sligo Rovers 3 1498 72.90% @ Drogheda United 0 1145 8.34% 18.76%
20 2011-07-01 29.2 Derry City 3 1530 73.68% @ Drogheda United 0 1164 7.84% 18.48%
21 2011-06-21 29.4 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1498 75.95% @ Galway United (old) 0 1092 6.47% 17.58%
22 2011-06-18 29.5 @ Sligo Rovers 4 1509 71.02% UC Dublin 0 1213 9.60% 19.38%
23 2011-04-01 30.0 Shamrock Rovers 4 1501 68.78% @ Drogheda United 0 1210 11.20% 20.02%
24 2011-06-10 30.1 Bray Wanderers 3 1370 66.03% @ Galway United (old) 0 1114 13.29% 20.69%
25 2011-07-09 30.2 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1567 77.69% Drogheda United 0 1156 5.50% 16.81%