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2012 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

165 games

Final

Champion

Sligo Rovers

61 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Drogheda United

19.22 points above expected

57 points · 37.78 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shelbourne

6.39 points below expected

35 points · 41.39 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sligo Rovers 30 17 10 3 61 53 23 +30 58.46 +2.54
2 Drogheda United 30 17 6 7 57 51 36 +15 37.78 +19.22
3 St Patrick's Athletic 30 15 10 5 55 44 22 +22 50.84 +4.16
4 Shamrock Rovers 30 14 10 6 52 56 37 +19 50.40 +1.60
5 Derry City 30 11 6 13 39 36 36 0 44.88 -5.88
6 Cork City 30 8 12 10 36 38 36 +2 41.64 -5.64
7 Bohemian 30 9 9 12 36 35 38 -3 39.70 -3.70
8 Shelbourne 30 9 8 13 35 35 43 -8 41.39 -6.39
9 UC Dublin 30 8 7 15 31 32 48 -16 27.36 +3.64
10 Bray Wanderers 30 5 10 15 25 33 54 -21 30.32 -5.32
11 Dundalk 30 4 8 18 20 23 63 -40 25.34 -5.34

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Drogheda United 57 37.78 +19.22
2 St Patrick's Athletic 55 50.84 +4.16
3 UC Dublin 31 27.36 +3.64
4 Sligo Rovers 61 58.46 +2.54
5 Shamrock Rovers 52 50.40 +1.60

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shelbourne 35 41.39 -6.39
2 Derry City 39 44.88 -5.88
3 Cork City 36 41.64 -5.64
4 Dundalk 20 25.34 -5.34
5 Bray Wanderers 25 30.32 -5.32

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drogheda United 6 Jun 1 – Jul 27 1 in 768
2 Derry City 3 Oct 2 – Oct 19 1 in 45
3 UC Dublin 3 Aug 31 – Sep 21 1 in 37
4 St Patrick's Athletic 4 Sep 3 – Sep 25 1 in 21
5 Bohemian 3 Apr 6 – Apr 27 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 5 Sep 3 – Sep 29 1 in 124
2 Dundalk 7 Aug 20 – Oct 2 1 in 44
3 Sligo Rovers 2 Oct 19 – Oct 26 1 in 35
4 Cork City 2 Mar 2 – Mar 9 1 in 32
5 Shelbourne 2 Apr 20 – Apr 27 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork City 12 Apr 27 – Aug 3 1 in 179
2 Drogheda United 7 Mar 9 – Apr 27 1 in 95
3 Bray Wanderers 5 Jul 20 – Aug 20 1 in 30
4 St Patrick's Athletic 11 Mar 2 – May 18 1 in 29
5 Shamrock Rovers 9 Jul 8 – Sep 7 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 6 Mar 30 – May 4 1 in 40
2 Cork City 7 Mar 2 – Apr 20 1 in 33
3 Dundalk 18 Jun 1 – Oct 19 1 in 30
4 Shelbourne 8 Jul 20 – Sep 10 1 in 19
5 Shamrock Rovers 4 Apr 20 – May 12 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sligo Rovers 1527 61 -33 7 9.7 -2.7
Drogheda United 1421 57 +36 10 6.8 +3.2
St Patrick's Athletic 1488 55 +4 7 8.5 -1.5
Shamrock Rovers 1458 52 +43 12 9.0 +3.0
Derry City 1368 39 +37 9 6.1 +2.9
Bohemian 1340 36 -11 6 8.2 -2.2
Cork City 1363 36 -5 5 6.7 -1.7
Shelbourne 1304 35 +10 8 7.1 +0.9
UC Dublin 1252 31 -9 5 4.5 +0.5
Bray Wanderers 1184 25 -35 2 4.7 -2.7
Dundalk 1112 20 -38 4 3.5 +0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH BW CC DC DU DUN SR SHE SR SPA UD
Bohemian —
1-1-1
5.37
1-2-0
3.88
0-0-3
3.60
0-1-2
4.20
2-1-0
5.79
2-0-1
2.63
1-1-1
3.92
0-1-2
2.22
0-1-2
2.90
2-1-0
5.22
Bray Wanderers
1-1-1
2.76
 —
0-1-2
2.88
0-1-2
2.82
0-0-3
3.90
1-1-1
4.80
0-2-1
2.18
0-1-2
2.82
0-2-1
1.67
1-1-1
2.41
2-0-1
4.39
Cork City
0-2-1
4.20
2-1-0
5.23
 —
1-1-1
3.44
1-1-1
4.89
2-1-0
6.03
0-2-1
3.19
1-1-1
4.25
0-2-1
2.39
0-1-2
2.90
1-0-2
5.59
Derry City
3-0-0
4.49
2-1-0
5.29
1-1-1
4.65
 —
0-0-3
4.91
1-1-1
6.02
1-1-1
3.16
1-0-2
4.59
0-1-2
2.46
1-0-2
3.21
1-1-1
5.61
Drogheda United
2-1-0
3.88
3-0-0
4.19
1-1-1
3.22
3-0-0
3.22
 —
2-1-0
4.82
0-0-3
2.84
3-0-0
4.08
1-0-2
2.35
1-2-0
2.71
1-1-1
5.49
Dundalk
0-1-2
2.40
1-1-1
3.29
0-1-2
2.18
1-1-1
2.18
0-1-2
3.30
 —
0-1-2
1.94
0-1-2
2.69
0-0-3
1.53
1-0-2
2.16
1-1-1
3.88
Shamrock Rovers
1-0-2
5.51
1-2-0
6.01
1-2-0
4.90
1-1-1
4.94
3-0-0
5.30
2-1-0
6.30
 —
2-1-0
5.00
1-1-1
2.87
0-1-2
3.75
2-1-0
6.17
Shelbourne
1-1-1
4.16
2-1-0
5.30
1-1-1
3.84
2-0-1
3.50
0-0-3
4.01
2-1-0
5.44
0-1-2
3.11
 —
0-1-2
2.63
0-1-2
3.03
1-1-1
5.24
Sligo Rovers
2-1-0
5.96
1-2-0
6.63
1-2-0
5.77
2-1-0
5.72
2-0-1
5.82
3-0-0
6.81
1-1-1
5.25
2-1-0
5.52
 —
1-2-0
5.01
2-0-1
6.71
St Patrick's Athletic
2-1-0
5.21
1-1-1
5.76
2-1-0
5.22
2-0-1
4.88
0-2-1
5.42
2-0-1
6.06
2-1-0
4.33
2-1-0
5.09
0-2-1
3.09
 —
2-1-0
6.33
UC Dublin
0-1-2
2.90
1-0-2
3.69
2-0-1
2.55
1-1-1
2.54
1-1-1
2.66
1-1-1
4.20
0-1-2
2.05
1-1-1
2.89
1-0-2
1.61
0-1-2
1.91
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +12.5
Allowed 0.78 -9.9
Differential 0.93 +6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.70%6.97%5.45%2.73%1.52%0.91%27.27%
16.97%13.94%8.79%3.64%1.21%0.30%34.85%
25.45%8.79%4.85%3.33%0.61%—23.03%
32.73%3.64%3.33%0.61%——10.30%
41.52%1.21%0.61%———3.33%
5+0.91%0.30%————1.21%
Total27.27%34.85%23.03%10.30%3.33%1.21%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.77
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 165

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%10.00%———30.00%
110.00%10.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
23.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%——26.67%
3———————
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total26.67%33.33%30.00%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.27 -0.10
SD 1.09 1.05 1.52
CV 0.93 0.83 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
13.33%10.00%10.00%13.33%3.33%—40.00%
23.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%—20.00%
3—3.33%3.33%3.33%——10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%20.00%20.00%26.67%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.80 -0.70
SD 0.96 1.35 1.44
CV 0.87 0.75 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%3.33%———30.00%
13.33%23.33%3.33%3.33%——33.33%
23.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%——20.00%
36.67%—6.67%———13.33%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total23.33%43.33%23.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.20 +0.07
SD 1.14 0.92 1.26
CV 0.90 0.77 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%——33.33%
16.67%10.00%13.33%—3.33%—33.33%
210.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+———————
Total30.00%33.33%26.67%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.20 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.06 1.82
CV 0.99 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%3.33%———16.67%
16.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%—30.00%
26.67%16.67%—3.33%——26.67%
33.33%10.00%6.67%———20.00%
4—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total26.67%43.33%16.67%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.20 +0.50
SD 1.18 1.06 1.53
CV 0.69 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%10.00%10.00%6.67%6.67%46.67%
1—16.67%13.33%———30.00%
2—13.33%3.33%6.67%——23.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total6.67%36.67%26.67%16.67%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 2.10 -1.33
SD 0.82 1.58 1.99
CV 1.07 0.75 —
Max 2 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%—3.33%3.33%—13.33%
13.33%20.00%3.33%3.33%—3.33%33.33%
213.33%10.00%10.00%———33.33%
3—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+6.67%—————6.67%
Total30.00%40.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 1.23 +0.63
SD 1.59 1.25 2.39
CV 0.85 1.01 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%—26.67%
110.00%10.00%16.67%6.67%——43.33%
26.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%——20.00%
3——6.67%———6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%16.67%36.67%13.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.43 -0.27
SD 1.02 1.17 1.62
CV 0.87 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%3.33%———20.00%
16.67%16.67%3.33%———26.67%
2—13.33%3.33%———16.67%
316.67%10.00%3.33%———30.00%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total36.67%50.00%13.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 0.77 +1.00
SD 1.28 0.68 1.41
CV 0.72 0.89 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%3.33%———23.33%
116.67%13.33%6.67%———36.67%
213.33%6.67%—3.33%——23.33%
33.33%—3.33%3.33%——10.00%
4———————
5+3.33%3.33%————6.67%
Total53.33%26.67%13.33%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 0.73 +0.73
SD 1.33 0.94 1.51
CV 0.91 1.29 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%—3.33%30.00%
110.00%13.33%13.33%3.33%——40.00%
2—10.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%—23.33%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.33%40.00%30.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.60 -0.53
SD 0.91 1.16 1.53
CV 0.85 0.73 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sligo Rovers 1527 61 58.46 +2.54 63.0% 37 45 54 59 63 66 73
St Patrick's Athletic 1488 55 50.84 +4.16 73.0% 39 41 46 50 56 60 69
Shamrock Rovers 1458 52 50.40 +1.60 61.0% 34 39 45 51 55 61 73
Drogheda United 1421 57 37.78 +19.22 100.0% 21 27 32 38 42 48 52
Derry City 1368 39 44.88 -5.88 20.0% 28 33 40 46 49 54 60
Cork City 1363 36 41.64 -5.64 20.0% 25 32 37 41 46 52 57
Bohemian 1340 36 39.70 -3.70 29.0% 25 28 36 39 44 50 54
Shelbourne 1304 35 41.39 -6.39 19.0% 24 29 37 41 47 53 58
UC Dublin 1252 31 27.36 +3.64 82.0% 13 18 23 27 31 37 44
Bray Wanderers 1184 25 30.32 -5.32 22.0% 18 20 26 30 34 42 46
Dundalk 1112 20 25.34 -5.34 24.0% 12 17 21 25 30 34 38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+5.45%
No Edge
38.18%29.09%32.73%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 18.97 Elo pts.
206 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.25 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
70%
Sligo Rovers, 1st of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.13/gm
Comfortable
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.08 * Some Luck: 5.08 to 7.62 * Lucky: 7.62 to 10.17 * Wild Swing: 10.17 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.05 * Close: 1.05 to 1.58 * Off: 1.58 to 2.1 * Way Off: 2.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.30 points
Some Luck
06.3516
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.27
Close
01.313
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
100.00%
Drogheda United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
19.00%
Shelbourne
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 128.07
1.94
Moderate Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
72%
Slight Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.30
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.43
Some Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Shaky Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.77
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.83
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.046
Well Within Noise
00.1350.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
Sligo Rovers70.00%20.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%——1.00%———
Drogheda United—2.00%4.00%6.00%15.00%13.00%19.00%19.00%15.00%3.00%4.00%
St Patrick's Athletic12.00%36.00%24.00%11.00%7.00%5.00%5.00%————
Shamrock Rovers11.00%26.00%18.00%20.00%16.00%7.00%—2.00%———
Derry City1.00%8.00%15.00%31.00%12.00%11.00%9.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%—
Cork City2.00%1.00%13.00%10.00%17.00%24.00%17.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%2.00%
Bohemian1.00%3.00%8.00%7.00%10.00%18.00%26.00%17.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%
Shelbourne3.00%4.00%12.00%12.00%15.00%15.00%12.00%14.00%9.00%4.00%—
UC Dublin——1.00%—1.00%1.00%4.00%7.00%23.00%35.00%28.00%
Bray Wanderers——1.00%—5.00%6.00%7.00%17.00%23.00%29.00%12.00%
Dundalk——————1.00%6.00%17.00%23.00%53.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff
Bohemian 99.00% 1.00%
Bray Wanderers 88.00% 12.00%
Cork City 98.00% 2.00%
Derry City 100% —
Drogheda United 96.00% 4.00%
Dundalk 47.00% 53.00%
Shamrock Rovers 100% —
Shelbourne 100% —
Sligo Rovers 100% —
St Patrick's Athletic 100% —
UC Dublin 72.00% 28.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2012-03-02 Bohemian W 1-040.7 1420 1347 47.00% 29.86% 23.13%+0.45 +8.7 3
2012-03-02 @ Derry City L 0-140.7 1347 1420 23.13% 29.86% 47.00%-0.45 -8.7 0
2012-03-02 Bray Wanderers W 1-039.1 1381 1301 47.88% 29.71% 22.41%+0.48 +8.4 3
2012-03-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-139.1 1301 1381 22.41% 29.71% 47.88%-0.48 -8.4 0
2012-03-02 Cork City W 1-046.8 1251 1387 20.64% 29.26% 50.09%-0.57 +15.5 3
2012-03-02 @ UC Dublin L 0-146.8 1387 1251 50.09% 29.26% 20.64%+0.57 -15.5 0
2012-03-02 Shamrock Rovers L 1-241.4 1208 1416 15.03% 26.95% 58.02%-0.92 -5.6 0
2012-03-02 @ Drogheda United W 2-141.4 1416 1208 58.02% 26.95% 15.03%+0.92 +5.5 3
2012-03-02 Sligo Rovers D 1-155.3 1382 1450 28.00% 30.57% 41.43%-0.24 +0.8 1
2012-03-02 @ Shelbourne D 1-155.3 1450 1382 41.43% 30.57% 28.00%+0.24 -0.8 1
2012-03-09 Derry City L 0-434.2 1292 1429 20.61% 29.25% 50.14%-0.57 -28.1 0
2012-03-09 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-034.2 1429 1292 50.14% 29.25% 20.61%+0.57 +28.1 6
2012-03-09 Drogheda United L 2-359.2 1372 1202 57.98% 26.96% 15.06%+0.91 -15.6 0
2012-03-09 @ Cork City W 3-259.2 1202 1372 15.06% 26.96% 57.98%-0.91 +15.6 3
2012-03-09 Shelbourne L 0-239.4 1339 1383 31.12% 30.78% 38.10%-0.12 -20.4 0
2012-03-09 @ Bohemian W 2-039.4 1383 1339 38.10% 30.78% 31.12%+0.12 +20.4 4
2012-03-09 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-235.9 1274 1389 22.74% 29.78% 47.48%-0.46 -16.1 0
2012-03-09 @ Dundalk W 2-035.9 1389 1274 47.48% 29.78% 22.74%+0.46 +16.1 6
2012-03-10 UC Dublin W 2-142.0 1449 1266 59.28% 26.47% 14.25%+0.98 +5.3 4
2012-03-10 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-242.0 1266 1449 14.25% 26.47% 59.28%-0.98 -5.3 3
2012-03-16 Bohemian W 1-038.5 1454 1318 54.37% 28.16% 17.47%+0.75 +6.8 7
2012-03-16 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-138.5 1318 1454 17.47% 28.16% 54.37%-0.75 -6.8 0
2012-03-16 Bray Wanderers L 2-353.8 1261 1264 36.85% 30.82% 32.33%+0.08 -10.9 3
2012-03-16 @ UC Dublin W 3-253.8 1264 1261 32.33% 30.82% 36.85%-0.08 +10.9 3
2012-03-16 Derry City W 1-048.0 1403 1457 29.75% 30.71% 39.54%-0.17 +12.8 7
2012-03-16 @ Shelbourne L 0-148.0 1457 1403 39.54% 30.71% 29.75%+0.17 -12.9 6
2012-03-16 Dundalk D 0-046.3 1218 1258 31.54% 30.80% 37.66%-0.11 +0.4 4
2012-03-16 @ Drogheda United D 0-046.3 1258 1218 37.66% 30.80% 31.54%+0.11 -0.4 1
2012-03-16 Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.0 1356 1421 28.37% 30.60% 41.02%-0.22 +0.8 1
2012-03-16 @ Cork City D 1-154.0 1421 1356 41.02% 30.60% 28.37%+0.22 -0.8 4
2012-03-23 Cork City W 2-037.7 1444 1357 48.77% 29.54% 21.69%+0.51 +15.5 9
2012-03-23 @ Derry City L 0-237.7 1357 1444 21.69% 29.54% 48.77%-0.51 -15.5 1
2012-03-23 Drogheda United L 2-451.5 1275 1218 44.97% 30.17% 24.85%+0.37 -20.7 3
2012-03-23 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-251.5 1218 1275 24.85% 30.17% 44.97%-0.37 +20.7 7
2012-03-23 Shelbourne W 4-040.2 1420 1416 37.92% 30.79% 31.29%+0.11 +38.9 7
2012-03-23 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-440.2 1416 1420 31.29% 30.79% 37.92%-0.11 -38.9 7
2012-03-23 UC Dublin W 2-146.7 1258 1250 38.36% 30.77% 30.87%+0.13 +10.2 4
2012-03-23 @ Dundalk L 1-246.7 1250 1258 30.87% 30.77% 38.36%-0.13 -10.2 3
2012-03-25 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.3 1312 1405 24.98% 30.19% 44.83%-0.36 +1.4 1
2012-03-25 @ Bohemian D 0-048.3 1405 1312 44.83% 30.19% 24.98%+0.36 -1.4 7
2012-03-30 Bohemian W 2-035.0 1459 1313 55.53% 27.80% 16.67%+0.80 +12.2 10
2012-03-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-235.0 1313 1459 16.67% 27.80% 55.53%-0.80 -12.3 1
2012-03-30 Bray Wanderers D 1-152.1 1342 1254 48.74% 29.55% 21.71%+0.51 -1.8 2
2012-03-30 @ Cork City D 1-152.1 1254 1342 21.71% 29.55% 48.74%-0.51 +1.8 4
2012-03-30 Derry City W 2-046.2 1239 1460 14.22% 26.45% 59.33%-0.98 +33.5 10
2012-03-30 @ Drogheda United L 0-246.2 1460 1239 59.33% 26.45% 14.22%+0.98 -33.5 9
2012-03-30 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.0 1377 1404 33.43% 30.85% 35.72%-0.04 +0.1 8
2012-03-30 @ Shelbourne D 1-154.0 1404 1377 35.72% 30.85% 33.43%+0.04 -0.1 8
2012-03-31 Dundalk W 3-031.3 1461 1268 60.31% 26.06% 13.63%+1.03 +14.6 10
2012-03-31 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-331.3 1268 1461 13.63% 26.06% 60.31%-1.03 -14.6 4
2012-04-06 Cork City W 1-043.5 1301 1340 31.76% 30.81% 37.43%-0.10 +12.3 4
2012-04-06 @ Bohemian L 0-143.5 1340 1301 37.43% 30.81% 31.76%+0.10 -12.3 2
2012-04-06 Shamrock Rovers W 5-148.1 1404 1472 28.02% 30.57% 41.41%-0.24 +39.7 11
2012-04-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-548.1 1472 1404 41.41% 30.57% 28.02%+0.24 -39.7 10
2012-04-06 Shelbourne D 0-047.5 1254 1377 21.86% 29.58% 48.55%-0.51 +2.0 5
2012-04-06 @ Dundalk D 0-047.5 1377 1254 48.55% 29.58% 21.86%+0.51 -2.0 9
2012-04-06 Sligo Rovers L 1-242.3 1256 1476 14.32% 26.51% 59.17%-0.97 -5.3 4
2012-04-06 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-142.3 1476 1256 59.17% 26.51% 14.32%+0.97 +5.3 13
2012-04-06 UC Dublin D 0-048.8 1426 1240 59.65% 26.32% 14.03%+0.99 -3.6 10
2012-04-06 @ Derry City D 0-048.8 1240 1426 14.03% 26.32% 59.65%-0.99 +3.6 4
2012-04-13 Bohemian L 1-245.9 1244 1313 27.84% 30.55% 41.61%-0.24 -9.4 4
2012-04-13 @ UC Dublin W 2-145.9 1313 1244 41.61% 30.55% 27.84%+0.24 +9.4 7
2012-04-13 Bray Wanderers W 2-142.9 1375 1251 53.07% 28.53% 18.40%+0.69 +6.7 12
2012-04-13 @ Shelbourne L 1-242.9 1251 1375 18.40% 28.53% 53.07%-0.69 -6.7 4
2012-04-13 Derry City D 1-157.5 1481 1423 45.12% 30.15% 24.73%+0.37 -1.3 14
2012-04-13 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-157.5 1423 1481 24.73% 30.15% 45.12%-0.37 +1.3 11
2012-04-13 Dundalk W 6-032.7 1432 1256 58.67% 26.70% 14.63%+0.95 +30.0 13
2012-04-13 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-632.7 1256 1432 14.63% 26.70% 58.67%-0.95 -30.0 5
2012-04-13 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.8 1272 1443 17.68% 28.25% 54.07%-0.74 +2.8 11
2012-04-13 @ Drogheda United D 0-048.8 1443 1272 54.07% 28.25% 17.68%+0.74 -2.8 12
2012-04-20 Dundalk L 1-255.1 1424 1226 60.87% 25.83% 13.31%+1.05 -17.1 11
2012-04-20 @ Derry City W 2-155.1 1226 1424 13.31% 25.83% 60.87%-1.05 +17.1 8
2012-04-20 Shamrock Rovers D 2-260.1 1244 1462 14.42% 26.57% 59.01%-0.96 +2.3 5
2012-04-20 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-260.1 1462 1244 59.01% 26.57% 14.42%+0.96 -2.3 14
2012-04-20 Shelbourne W 3-149.1 1275 1382 23.58% 29.95% 46.46%-0.42 +23.8 14
2012-04-20 @ Drogheda United L 1-349.1 1382 1275 46.46% 29.95% 23.58%+0.42 -23.8 12
2012-04-20 Sligo Rovers L 0-140.0 1327 1479 19.24% 28.83% 51.93%-0.64 -7.4 2
2012-04-20 @ Cork City W 1-040.0 1479 1327 51.93% 28.83% 19.24%+0.64 +7.4 17
2012-04-20 UC Dublin W 2-031.7 1441 1234 61.64% 25.50% 12.87%+1.09 +9.4 15
2012-04-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-231.7 1234 1441 12.87% 25.50% 61.64%-1.09 -9.5 4
2012-04-27 Bohemian L 0-236.5 1243 1322 26.58% 30.42% 43.00%-0.29 -18.2 8
2012-04-27 @ Dundalk W 2-036.5 1322 1243 43.00% 30.42% 26.58%+0.29 +18.2 10
2012-04-27 Cork City L 1-251.2 1358 1320 42.49% 30.47% 27.04%+0.28 -12.8 12
2012-04-27 @ Shelbourne W 2-151.2 1320 1358 27.04% 30.47% 42.49%-0.28 +12.8 5
2012-04-27 Derry City D 1-156.3 1460 1407 44.42% 30.25% 25.33%+0.35 -1.2 15
2012-04-27 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-156.3 1407 1460 25.33% 30.25% 44.42%-0.35 +1.2 12
2012-04-27 Drogheda United D 1-151.4 1225 1299 27.26% 30.49% 42.25%-0.27 +1.0 5
2012-04-27 @ UC Dublin D 1-151.4 1299 1225 42.25% 30.49% 27.26%+0.27 -1.0 15
2012-04-27 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-158.6 1487 1450 42.33% 30.49% 27.19%+0.27 -1.0 18
2012-04-27 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-158.6 1450 1487 27.19% 30.49% 42.33%-0.27 +1.0 16
2012-05-04 Bohemian W 2-151.1 1247 1341 24.94% 30.19% 44.87%-0.36 +13.3 8
2012-05-04 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-251.1 1341 1247 44.87% 30.19% 24.94%+0.36 -13.4 10
2012-05-04 Dundalk W 3-248.3 1333 1224 51.26% 29.00% 19.75%+0.62 +6.8 8
2012-05-04 @ Cork City L 2-348.3 1224 1333 19.75% 29.00% 51.26%-0.62 -6.8 8
2012-05-04 Sligo Rovers L 1-341.2 1298 1486 16.41% 27.68% 55.91%-0.82 -10.5 15
2012-05-04 @ Drogheda United W 3-141.2 1486 1298 55.91% 27.68% 16.41%+0.82 +10.5 21
2012-05-04 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-242.4 1408 1451 31.24% 30.79% 37.98%-0.12 -20.5 12
2012-05-04 @ Derry City W 2-042.4 1451 1408 37.98% 30.79% 31.24%+0.12 +20.5 19
2012-05-04 UC Dublin D 2-260.5 1458 1226 64.11% 24.37% 11.52%+1.22 -2.8 16
2012-05-04 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-260.5 1226 1458 11.52% 24.37% 64.11%-1.22 +2.8 6
2012-05-11 Bray Wanderers L 0-237.6 1218 1260 31.34% 30.79% 37.87%-0.11 -20.5 8
2012-05-11 @ Dundalk W 2-037.6 1260 1218 37.87% 30.79% 31.34%+0.11 +20.5 11
2012-05-11 Cork City D 0-050.6 1472 1340 53.95% 28.28% 17.77%+0.73 -2.8 20
2012-05-11 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-050.6 1340 1472 17.77% 28.28% 53.95%-0.73 +2.8 9
2012-05-11 Drogheda United D 1-152.0 1327 1288 42.73% 30.45% 26.83%+0.28 -1.0 11
2012-05-11 @ Bohemian D 1-152.0 1288 1327 26.83% 30.45% 42.73%-0.28 +1.0 16
2012-05-11 Shelbourne L 0-235.1 1229 1345 22.54% 29.74% 47.72%-0.47 -16.0 6
2012-05-11 @ UC Dublin W 2-035.1 1345 1229 47.72% 29.74% 22.54%+0.47 +16.0 15
2012-05-12 Shamrock Rovers W 3-042.4 1496 1456 42.86% 30.43% 26.71%+0.29 +26.5 24
2012-05-12 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-342.4 1456 1496 26.71% 30.43% 42.86%-0.29 -26.5 16
2012-05-18 Derry City L 1-247.7 1326 1388 28.84% 30.64% 40.52%-0.21 -9.7 11
2012-05-18 @ Bohemian W 2-147.7 1388 1326 40.52% 30.64% 28.84%+0.21 +9.7 15
2012-05-18 Drogheda United W 3-140.4 1429 1289 54.89% 28.00% 17.11%+0.77 +10.9 19
2012-05-18 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-340.4 1289 1429 17.11% 28.00% 54.89%-0.77 -10.9 16
2012-05-18 Shelbourne W 3-035.8 1523 1361 57.15% 27.26% 15.59%+0.88 +16.7 27
2012-05-18 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-335.8 1361 1523 15.59% 27.26% 57.15%-0.88 -16.7 15
2012-05-18 St Patrick's Athletic D 3-364.3 1280 1469 16.38% 27.66% 55.96%-0.82 +1.7 12
2012-05-18 @ Bray Wanderers D 3-364.3 1469 1280 55.96% 27.66% 16.38%+0.82 -1.7 21
2012-05-18 UC Dublin W 4-243.1 1342 1213 53.70% 28.35% 17.95%+0.72 +10.2 12
2012-05-18 @ Cork City L 2-443.1 1213 1342 17.95% 28.35% 53.70%-0.72 -10.2 6
2012-05-21 Bohemian L 1-250.7 1345 1317 41.13% 30.59% 28.28%+0.23 -12.5 15
2012-05-21 @ Shelbourne W 2-150.7 1317 1345 28.28% 30.59% 41.13%-0.23 +12.5 14
2012-05-21 Bray Wanderers W 3-249.0 1397 1282 52.05% 28.80% 19.15%+0.65 +6.6 18
2012-05-21 @ Derry City L 2-349.0 1282 1397 19.15% 28.80% 52.05%-0.65 -6.6 12
2012-05-21 Cork City D 1-152.1 1278 1352 27.18% 30.48% 42.34%-0.27 +1.0 17
2012-05-21 @ Drogheda United D 1-152.1 1352 1278 42.34% 30.48% 27.18%+0.27 -1.0 13
2012-05-21 Dundalk L 1-256.2 1467 1197 67.46% 22.69% 9.86%+1.40 -18.5 21
2012-05-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-156.2 1197 1467 9.86% 22.69% 67.46%-1.40 +18.5 11
2012-05-21 Sligo Rovers W 1-051.7 1202 1540 8.73% 21.33% 69.94%-1.54 +20.1 9
2012-05-21 @ UC Dublin L 0-151.7 1540 1202 69.94% 21.33% 8.73%+1.54 -20.1 27
2012-06-01 Cork City D 1-154.6 1440 1352 48.90% 29.51% 21.58%+0.52 -1.8 20
2012-06-01 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.6 1352 1440 21.58% 29.51% 48.90%-0.52 +1.8 14
2012-06-01 Drogheda United L 1-245.9 1216 1279 28.63% 30.62% 40.74%-0.21 -9.6 11
2012-06-01 @ Dundalk W 2-145.9 1279 1216 40.74% 30.62% 28.63%+0.21 +9.6 20
2012-06-01 Shelbourne L 0-147.2 1404 1332 46.86% 29.89% 23.25%+0.44 -14.7 18
2012-06-01 @ Derry City W 1-047.2 1332 1404 23.25% 29.89% 46.86%-0.44 +14.7 18
2012-06-01 Sligo Rovers D 0-051.8 1329 1519 16.24% 27.59% 56.17%-0.83 +3.1 15
2012-06-01 @ Bohemian D 0-051.8 1519 1329 56.17% 27.59% 16.24%+0.83 -3.1 28
2012-06-01 UC Dublin W 3-141.8 1276 1223 44.46% 30.24% 25.30%+0.35 +15.2 15
2012-06-01 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-341.8 1223 1276 25.30% 30.24% 44.46%-0.35 -15.2 9
2012-06-21 Shamrock Rovers L 2-352.9 1347 1438 25.24% 30.23% 44.53%-0.35 -8.3 18
2012-06-21 @ Shelbourne W 3-252.9 1438 1347 44.53% 30.23% 25.24%+0.35 +8.3 23
2012-06-22 Bohemian W 2-145.3 1449 1332 52.19% 28.76% 19.04%+0.66 +6.9 24
2012-06-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-245.3 1332 1449 19.04% 28.76% 52.19%-0.66 -6.9 15
2012-06-22 Bray Wanderers W 3-144.5 1288 1291 36.93% 30.82% 32.25%+0.08 +18.2 23
2012-06-22 @ Drogheda United L 1-344.5 1291 1288 32.25% 30.82% 36.93%-0.08 -18.2 15
2012-06-22 Derry City D 2-259.4 1353 1389 32.19% 30.82% 36.99%-0.08 +0.2 15
2012-06-22 @ Cork City D 2-259.4 1389 1353 36.99% 30.82% 32.19%+0.08 -0.2 19
2012-06-22 Dundalk D 1-151.0 1207 1206 37.46% 30.80% 31.73%+0.10 -0.4 10
2012-06-22 @ UC Dublin D 1-151.0 1206 1207 31.73% 30.80% 37.46%-0.10 +0.4 12
2012-06-29 Cork City L 0-335.2 1273 1354 26.44% 30.40% 43.16%-0.30 -26.3 15
2012-06-29 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-035.2 1354 1273 43.16% 30.40% 26.44%+0.30 +26.3 18
2012-06-29 Drogheda United L 0-342.2 1389 1306 48.19% 29.65% 22.15%+0.49 -41.0 19
2012-06-29 @ Derry City W 3-042.2 1306 1389 22.15% 29.65% 48.19%-0.49 +41.0 26
2012-06-29 Shamrock Rovers W 4-043.5 1325 1446 22.09% 29.64% 48.27%-0.50 +53.7 18
2012-06-29 @ Bohemian L 0-443.5 1446 1325 48.27% 29.64% 22.09%+0.50 -53.7 23
2012-06-29 Shelbourne W 1-039.6 1456 1338 52.27% 28.74% 18.98%+0.66 +7.3 27
2012-06-29 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-139.6 1338 1456 18.98% 28.74% 52.27%-0.66 -7.3 18
2012-06-29 Sligo Rovers L 1-239.6 1206 1516 9.77% 22.59% 67.64%-1.41 -3.5 12
2012-06-29 @ Dundalk W 2-139.6 1516 1206 67.64% 22.59% 9.77%+1.41 +3.5 31
2012-07-06 Derry City L 0-137.3 1207 1348 20.22% 29.14% 50.64%-0.59 -7.7 10
2012-07-06 @ UC Dublin W 1-037.3 1348 1207 50.64% 29.14% 20.22%+0.59 +7.7 22
2012-07-06 Dundalk W 4-031.6 1331 1203 53.52% 28.40% 18.08%+0.71 +25.1 21
2012-07-06 @ Shelbourne L 0-431.6 1203 1331 18.08% 28.40% 53.52%-0.71 -25.1 12
2012-07-07 Bray Wanderers D 1-156.2 1520 1246 67.78% 22.52% 9.70%+1.42 -4.1 32
2012-07-07 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-156.2 1246 1520 9.70% 22.52% 67.78%-1.42 +4.1 16
2012-07-08 Bohemian D 1-153.6 1380 1379 37.40% 30.81% 31.79%+0.10 -0.3 19
2012-07-08 @ Cork City D 1-153.6 1379 1380 31.79% 30.81% 37.40%-0.10 +0.3 19
2012-07-08 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-155.9 1393 1463 27.75% 30.54% 41.71%-0.25 +0.9 24
2012-07-08 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.9 1463 1393 41.71% 30.54% 27.75%+0.25 -0.9 28
2012-07-13 Shamrock Rovers D 1-152.8 1178 1394 14.54% 26.65% 58.81%-0.95 +3.1 13
2012-07-13 @ Dundalk D 1-152.8 1394 1178 58.81% 26.65% 14.54%+0.95 -3.1 25
2012-07-13 Shelbourne L 2-350.0 1250 1356 23.67% 29.97% 46.36%-0.42 -7.9 16
2012-07-13 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-250.0 1356 1250 46.36% 29.97% 23.67%+0.42 +7.9 24
2012-07-13 Sligo Rovers L 1-247.4 1356 1516 18.57% 28.59% 52.84%-0.68 -6.8 22
2012-07-13 @ Derry City W 2-147.4 1516 1356 52.84% 28.59% 18.57%+0.68 +6.8 35
2012-07-15 Drogheda United L 0-246.7 1462 1347 51.97% 28.82% 19.21%+0.65 -30.1 28
2012-07-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-046.7 1347 1462 19.21% 28.82% 51.97%-0.65 +30.1 29
2012-07-15 UC Dublin W 1-034.9 1379 1199 59.03% 26.56% 14.40%+0.96 +5.6 22
2012-07-15 @ Bohemian L 0-134.9 1199 1379 14.40% 26.56% 59.03%-0.96 -5.6 10
2012-07-20 Bray Wanderers D 0-048.1 1391 1242 55.70% 27.74% 16.55%+0.81 -3.0 26
2012-07-20 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.1 1242 1391 16.55% 27.74% 55.70%-0.81 +3.0 17
2012-07-20 Derry City D 1-152.1 1181 1349 17.92% 28.34% 53.73%-0.72 +2.4 14
2012-07-20 @ Dundalk D 1-152.1 1349 1181 53.73% 28.34% 17.92%+0.72 -2.4 23
2012-07-20 Drogheda United L 1-250.1 1364 1378 35.36% 30.85% 33.79%+0.03 -11.2 24
2012-07-20 @ Shelbourne W 2-150.1 1378 1364 33.79% 30.85% 35.36%-0.03 +11.2 32
2012-07-22 Cork City D 2-264.2 1523 1380 55.15% 27.92% 16.93%+0.78 -2.0 36
2012-07-22 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-264.2 1380 1523 16.93% 27.92% 55.15%-0.78 +2.0 20
2012-07-22 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.4 1194 1432 13.20% 25.75% 61.05%-1.06 +3.4 11
2012-07-22 @ UC Dublin D 1-153.4 1432 1194 61.05% 25.75% 13.20%+1.06 -3.4 29
2012-07-27 Dundalk W 2-140.1 1385 1183 61.17% 25.70% 13.13%+1.07 +4.8 25
2012-07-27 @ Bohemian L 1-240.1 1183 1385 13.13% 25.70% 61.17%-1.07 -4.8 14
2012-07-27 Shamrock Rovers L 0-142.9 1346 1388 31.49% 30.80% 37.71%-0.11 -10.9 23
2012-07-27 @ Derry City W 1-042.9 1388 1346 37.71% 30.80% 31.49%+0.11 +10.9 29
2012-07-27 Shelbourne D 0-048.4 1381 1353 41.23% 30.58% 28.18%+0.23 -0.9 21
2012-07-27 @ Cork City D 0-048.4 1353 1381 28.18% 30.58% 41.23%-0.23 +0.9 25
2012-07-27 UC Dublin W 1-034.6 1389 1197 60.20% 26.10% 13.70%+1.02 +5.3 35
2012-07-27 @ Drogheda United L 0-134.6 1197 1389 13.70% 26.10% 60.20%-1.02 -5.4 11
2012-08-03 Bray Wanderers D 0-048.0 1390 1245 55.29% 27.87% 16.83%+0.79 -3.0 26
2012-08-03 @ Bohemian D 0-048.0 1245 1390 16.83% 27.87% 55.29%-0.79 +3.0 18
2012-08-03 Cork City D 1-152.6 1179 1381 15.44% 27.17% 57.39%-0.89 +2.9 15
2012-08-03 @ Dundalk D 1-152.6 1381 1179 57.39% 27.17% 15.44%+0.89 -2.9 22
2012-08-03 Shamrock Rovers L 0-232.1 1192 1398 15.12% 26.99% 57.89%-0.91 -11.1 11
2012-08-03 @ UC Dublin W 2-032.1 1398 1192 57.89% 26.99% 15.12%+0.91 +11.1 32
2012-08-04 Drogheda United W 4-143.2 1521 1394 53.34% 28.46% 18.21%+0.70 +16.3 39
2012-08-04 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-443.2 1394 1521 18.21% 28.46% 53.34%-0.70 -16.3 35
2012-08-10 Bohemian W 1-043.9 1378 1387 35.99% 30.84% 33.17%+0.05 +11.3 38
2012-08-10 @ Drogheda United L 0-143.9 1387 1378 33.17% 30.84% 35.99%-0.05 -11.3 26
2012-08-10 Dundalk D 1-151.3 1248 1181 46.25% 29.99% 23.77%+0.42 -1.5 19
2012-08-10 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-151.3 1181 1248 23.77% 29.99% 46.25%-0.42 +1.5 16
2012-08-10 UC Dublin L 1-253.9 1354 1180 58.34% 26.83% 14.83%+0.93 -16.5 25
2012-08-10 @ Shelbourne W 2-153.9 1180 1354 14.83% 26.83% 58.34%-0.93 +16.5 14
2012-08-13 Sligo Rovers D 1-159.2 1410 1537 21.50% 29.49% 49.00%-0.52 +1.8 33
2012-08-13 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-159.2 1537 1410 49.00% 29.49% 21.50%+0.52 -1.8 40
2012-08-13 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-143.8 1378 1429 30.18% 30.73% 39.08%-0.15 -10.6 22
2012-08-13 @ Cork City W 1-043.8 1429 1378 39.08% 30.73% 30.18%+0.15 +10.6 32
2012-08-17 Bohemian W 2-041.2 1336 1375 31.65% 30.80% 37.55%-0.10 +23.3 26
2012-08-17 @ Derry City L 0-241.2 1375 1336 37.55% 30.80% 31.65%+0.10 -23.3 26
2012-08-17 Bray Wanderers L 0-149.4 1439 1247 60.24% 26.08% 13.67%+1.02 -18.0 32
2012-08-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-049.4 1247 1439 13.67% 26.08% 60.24%-1.02 +18.0 22
2012-08-17 Cork City W 3-150.1 1197 1367 17.77% 28.28% 53.95%-0.73 +26.9 17
2012-08-17 @ UC Dublin L 1-350.1 1367 1197 53.95% 28.28% 17.77%+0.73 -26.9 22
2012-08-17 Shamrock Rovers L 0-241.8 1389 1411 34.09% 30.85% 35.06%-0.02 -21.8 38
2012-08-17 @ Drogheda United W 2-041.8 1411 1389 35.06% 30.85% 34.09%+0.02 +21.8 36
2012-08-17 Sligo Rovers L 1-343.2 1337 1535 15.72% 27.33% 56.95%-0.87 -10.0 25
2012-08-17 @ Shelbourne W 3-143.2 1535 1337 56.95% 27.33% 15.72%+0.87 +10.0 43
2012-08-20 Derry City D 0-047.2 1265 1359 24.96% 30.19% 44.85%-0.36 +1.4 23
2012-08-20 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-047.2 1359 1265 44.85% 30.19% 24.96%+0.36 -1.4 27
2012-08-20 Drogheda United W 3-254.9 1340 1367 33.41% 30.85% 35.74%-0.04 +10.7 25
2012-08-20 @ Cork City L 2-354.9 1367 1340 35.74% 30.85% 33.41%+0.04 -10.7 38
2012-08-20 Shelbourne D 2-258.6 1352 1327 40.73% 30.62% 28.64%+0.21 -0.6 27
2012-08-20 @ Bohemian D 2-258.6 1327 1352 28.64% 30.62% 40.73%-0.21 +0.6 26
2012-08-20 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-134.4 1183 1421 13.21% 25.75% 61.04%-1.06 -5.2 16
2012-08-20 @ Dundalk W 1-034.4 1421 1183 61.04% 25.75% 13.21%+1.06 +5.2 35
2012-08-20 UC Dublin W 3-028.5 1545 1224 71.72% 20.31% 7.97%+1.65 +7.9 46
2012-08-20 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-328.5 1224 1545 7.97% 20.31% 71.72%-1.65 -7.9 17
2012-08-24 Sligo Rovers D 0-055.6 1426 1553 21.55% 29.51% 48.94%-0.52 +2.0 36
2012-08-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-055.6 1553 1426 48.94% 29.51% 21.55%+0.52 -2.0 47
2012-08-31 Bray Wanderers W 3-146.0 1216 1266 30.25% 30.74% 39.02%-0.15 +20.8 20
2012-08-31 @ UC Dublin L 1-346.0 1266 1216 39.02% 30.74% 30.25%+0.15 -20.8 23
2012-08-31 Derry City L 0-239.5 1328 1357 33.05% 30.84% 36.11%-0.05 -21.3 26
2012-08-31 @ Shelbourne W 2-039.5 1357 1328 36.11% 30.84% 33.05%+0.05 +21.3 30
2012-08-31 Dundalk W 3-245.9 1357 1178 58.91% 26.61% 14.48%+0.96 +5.1 41
2012-08-31 @ Drogheda United L 2-345.9 1178 1357 14.48% 26.61% 58.91%-0.96 -5.1 16
2012-08-31 Shamrock Rovers L 1-248.0 1351 1433 26.28% 30.38% 43.34%-0.31 -9.0 25
2012-08-31 @ Cork City W 2-148.0 1433 1351 43.34% 30.38% 26.28%+0.31 +9.0 39
2012-09-03 Bohemian W 3-142.9 1551 1352 60.95% 25.79% 13.26%+1.06 +8.5 50
2012-09-03 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-342.9 1352 1551 13.26% 25.79% 60.95%-1.06 -8.4 27
2012-09-03 Derry City W 3-037.6 1428 1379 44.00% 30.30% 25.70%+0.33 +25.7 39
2012-09-03 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-337.6 1379 1428 25.70% 30.30% 44.00%-0.33 -25.8 30
2012-09-07 Cork City L 0-144.5 1353 1342 38.84% 30.75% 30.41%+0.15 -12.7 30
2012-09-07 @ Derry City W 1-044.5 1342 1353 30.41% 30.75% 38.84%-0.15 +12.7 28
2012-09-07 Drogheda United L 1-341.4 1246 1362 22.61% 29.75% 47.64%-0.47 -13.9 23
2012-09-07 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-141.4 1362 1246 47.64% 29.75% 22.61%+0.47 +13.9 44
2012-09-07 Shelbourne D 2-260.3 1442 1306 54.37% 28.16% 17.47%+0.75 -1.9 40
2012-09-07 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-260.3 1306 1442 17.47% 28.16% 54.37%-0.75 +1.9 27
2012-09-07 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-352.4 1343 1454 23.14% 29.87% 47.00%-0.45 -7.7 27
2012-09-07 @ Bohemian W 3-252.4 1454 1343 47.00% 29.87% 23.14%+0.45 +7.7 42
2012-09-07 UC Dublin L 1-245.7 1173 1237 28.50% 30.61% 40.89%-0.22 -9.6 16
2012-09-07 @ Dundalk W 2-145.7 1237 1173 40.89% 30.61% 28.50%+0.22 +9.6 23
2012-09-10 Bohemian L 0-148.9 1440 1335 50.87% 29.09% 20.04%+0.60 -15.7 40
2012-09-10 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-048.9 1335 1440 20.04% 29.09% 50.87%-0.60 +15.7 30
2012-09-10 Bray Wanderers W 2-033.6 1355 1232 52.92% 28.57% 18.51%+0.69 +13.5 31
2012-09-10 @ Cork City L 0-233.6 1232 1355 18.51% 28.57% 52.92%-0.69 -13.5 23
2012-09-10 Derry City W 2-147.2 1376 1340 42.11% 30.51% 27.38%+0.26 +9.3 47
2012-09-10 @ Drogheda United L 1-247.2 1340 1376 27.38% 30.51% 42.11%-0.26 -9.3 30
2012-09-10 Dundalk W 3-026.0 1559 1163 77.34% 16.85% 5.80%+2.01 +5.4 53
2012-09-10 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-326.0 1163 1559 5.80% 16.85% 77.34%-2.01 -5.4 16
2012-09-10 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-236.0 1308 1462 19.12% 28.79% 52.09%-0.65 -13.9 27
2012-09-10 @ Shelbourne W 2-036.0 1462 1308 52.09% 28.79% 19.12%+0.65 +13.9 45
2012-09-21 Cork City D 1-152.9 1351 1368 34.86% 30.85% 34.29%+0.01 -0.0 31
2012-09-21 @ Bohemian D 1-152.9 1368 1351 34.29% 30.85% 34.86%-0.01 +0.0 32
2012-09-21 Shelbourne L 0-137.1 1158 1294 20.61% 29.26% 50.13%-0.57 -7.9 16
2012-09-21 @ Dundalk W 1-037.1 1294 1158 50.13% 29.26% 20.61%+0.57 +7.9 30
2012-09-21 Sligo Rovers D 0-052.2 1218 1565 8.40% 20.90% 70.71%-1.59 +5.0 24
2012-09-21 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-052.2 1565 1218 70.71% 20.90% 8.40%+1.59 -5.0 54
2012-09-21 UC Dublin L 1-251.9 1331 1246 48.45% 29.60% 21.95%+0.50 -14.2 30
2012-09-21 @ Derry City W 2-151.9 1246 1331 21.95% 29.60% 48.45%-0.50 +14.2 26
2012-09-25 Shamrock Rovers W 2-150.9 1476 1425 44.20% 30.28% 25.53%+0.34 +8.8 48
2012-09-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-250.9 1425 1476 25.53% 30.28% 44.20%-0.34 -8.8 40
2012-09-28 Bohemian D 2-258.1 1261 1351 25.35% 30.25% 44.40%-0.35 +0.9 27
2012-09-28 @ UC Dublin D 2-258.1 1351 1261 44.40% 30.25% 25.35%+0.35 -0.9 32
2012-09-28 Bray Wanderers D 0-046.8 1302 1223 47.75% 29.73% 22.51%+0.47 -1.9 31
2012-09-28 @ Shelbourne D 0-046.8 1223 1302 22.51% 29.73% 47.75%-0.47 +1.8 25
2012-09-28 Dundalk W 7-029.7 1416 1150 67.11% 22.87% 10.02%+1.38 +23.0 43
2012-09-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-729.7 1150 1416 10.02% 22.87% 67.11%-1.38 -23.0 16
2012-09-28 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-051.6 1385 1484 24.33% 30.09% 45.58%-0.39 +1.5 48
2012-09-28 @ Drogheda United D 0-051.6 1484 1385 45.58% 30.09% 24.33%+0.39 -1.5 49
2012-09-29 Derry City W 4-138.4 1560 1317 65.05% 23.92% 11.03%+1.27 +9.8 57
2012-09-29 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-438.4 1317 1560 11.03% 23.92% 65.05%-1.27 -9.8 30
2012-10-01 Shelbourne W 2-144.9 1386 1300 48.60% 29.57% 21.83%+0.51 +7.8 51
2012-10-01 @ Drogheda United L 1-244.9 1300 1386 21.83% 29.57% 48.60%-0.51 -7.8 31
2012-10-01 UC Dublin W 5-031.4 1483 1261 63.07% 24.86% 12.07%+1.16 +20.6 52
2012-10-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-531.4 1261 1483 12.07% 24.86% 63.07%-1.16 -20.6 27
2012-10-02 Dundalk W 4-029.6 1307 1127 59.05% 26.56% 14.39%+0.96 +20.1 33
2012-10-02 @ Derry City L 0-429.6 1127 1307 14.39% 26.56% 59.05%-0.96 -20.1 16
2012-10-05 Shamrock Rovers L 1-338.6 1225 1439 14.67% 26.73% 58.61%-0.94 -9.4 25
2012-10-05 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-138.6 1439 1225 58.61% 26.73% 14.67%+0.94 +9.4 46
2012-10-05 Sligo Rovers D 0-054.7 1368 1570 15.47% 27.19% 57.34%-0.88 +3.2 33
2012-10-05 @ Cork City D 0-054.7 1570 1368 57.34% 27.19% 15.47%+0.88 -3.2 58
2012-10-13 Bohemian D 2-258.8 1107 1350 12.92% 25.54% 61.54%-1.09 +2.6 17
2012-10-13 @ Dundalk D 2-258.8 1350 1107 61.54% 25.54% 12.92%+1.09 -2.5 33
2012-10-13 Cork City W 3-256.4 1293 1371 26.72% 30.43% 42.85%-0.29 +12.2 34
2012-10-13 @ Shelbourne L 2-356.4 1371 1293 42.85% 30.43% 26.72%+0.29 -12.2 33
2012-10-13 Derry City L 1-352.3 1448 1327 52.71% 28.63% 18.66%+0.68 -26.3 46
2012-10-13 @ Shamrock Rovers W 3-152.3 1327 1448 18.66% 28.63% 52.71%-0.68 +26.3 36
2012-10-13 Drogheda United W 1-047.2 1241 1394 19.13% 28.79% 52.07%-0.65 +16.0 30
2012-10-13 @ UC Dublin L 0-147.2 1394 1241 52.07% 28.79% 19.13%+0.65 -16.0 51
2012-10-13 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-261.8 1566 1504 45.71% 30.07% 24.22%+0.40 +8.0 61
2012-10-13 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-361.8 1504 1566 24.22% 30.07% 45.71%-0.40 -8.0 52
2012-10-19 Bohemian L 1-438.1 1216 1348 21.06% 29.38% 49.56%-0.55 -18.5 25
2012-10-19 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-138.1 1348 1216 49.56% 29.38% 21.06%+0.55 +18.5 36
2012-10-19 Dundalk W 3-027.7 1359 1109 65.67% 23.61% 10.72%+1.30 +11.2 36
2012-10-19 @ Cork City L 0-327.7 1109 1359 10.72% 23.61% 65.67%-1.30 -11.2 17
2012-10-19 Sligo Rovers W 2-161.2 1378 1574 15.84% 27.39% 56.78%-0.86 +16.2 54
2012-10-19 @ Drogheda United L 1-261.2 1574 1378 56.78% 27.39% 15.84%+0.86 -16.2 61
2012-10-19 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-156.5 1354 1496 20.13% 29.11% 50.76%-0.60 +14.8 39
2012-10-19 @ Derry City L 1-256.5 1496 1354 50.76% 29.11% 20.13%+0.60 -14.7 52
2012-10-19 UC Dublin W 2-142.1 1422 1257 57.50% 27.13% 15.37%+0.89 +5.7 49
2012-10-19 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-242.1 1257 1422 15.37% 27.13% 57.50%-0.89 -5.7 30
2012-10-26 Bray Wanderers W 2-150.5 1098 1197 24.39% 30.10% 45.51%-0.39 +13.5 20
2012-10-26 @ Dundalk L 1-250.5 1197 1098 45.51% 30.10% 24.39%+0.39 -13.5 25
2012-10-26 Cork City W 1-041.3 1481 1370 51.51% 28.93% 19.56%+0.63 +7.5 55
2012-10-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-141.3 1370 1481 19.56% 28.93% 51.51%-0.63 -7.5 36
2012-10-26 Drogheda United L 1-444.3 1366 1394 33.24% 30.84% 35.91%-0.05 -26.2 36
2012-10-26 @ Bohemian W 4-144.3 1394 1366 35.91% 30.84% 33.24%+0.05 +26.2 57
2012-10-26 Shamrock Rovers L 0-252.7 1558 1428 53.79% 28.33% 17.88%+0.72 -30.9 61
2012-10-26 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-052.7 1428 1558 17.88% 28.33% 53.79%-0.72 +30.9 52
2012-10-26 Shelbourne D 1-151.5 1251 1305 29.81% 30.71% 39.48%-0.17 +0.6 31
2012-10-26 @ UC Dublin D 1-151.5 1305 1251 39.48% 30.71% 29.81%+0.17 -0.6 35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-05-21 8.73% @ UC Dublin 1202 1 Sligo Rovers 1540 0
2 2012-05-21 9.86% Dundalk 1197 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1467 1
3 2012-04-20 13.31% Dundalk 1226 2 @ Derry City 1424 1
4 2012-08-17 13.67% Bray Wanderers 1247 1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1439 0
5 2012-03-30 14.22% @ Drogheda United 1239 2 Derry City 1460 0
6 2012-08-10 14.83% UC Dublin 1180 2 @ Shelbourne 1354 1
7 2012-03-09 15.06% Drogheda United 1202 3 @ Cork City 1372 2
8 2012-10-19 15.84% @ Drogheda United 1378 2 Sligo Rovers 1574 1
9 2012-08-17 17.77% @ UC Dublin 1197 3 Cork City 1367 1
10 2012-10-26 17.88% Shamrock Rovers 1428 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1558 0
11 2012-10-13 18.66% Derry City 1327 3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1448 1
12 2012-10-13 19.13% @ UC Dublin 1241 1 Drogheda United 1394 0
13 2012-07-15 19.21% Drogheda United 1347 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1462 0
14 2012-09-10 20.04% Bohemian 1335 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1440 0
15 2012-10-19 20.13% @ Derry City 1354 2 St Patrick's Athletic 1496 1
16 2012-03-02 20.64% @ UC Dublin 1251 1 Cork City 1387 0
17 2012-09-21 21.95% UC Dublin 1246 2 @ Derry City 1331 1
18 2012-06-29 22.09% @ Bohemian 1325 4 Shamrock Rovers 1446 0
19 2012-06-29 22.15% Drogheda United 1306 3 @ Derry City 1389 0
20 2012-06-01 23.25% Shelbourne 1332 1 @ Derry City 1404 0
21 2012-04-20 23.58% @ Drogheda United 1275 3 Shelbourne 1382 1
22 2012-10-26 24.39% @ Dundalk 1098 2 Bray Wanderers 1197 1
23 2012-03-23 24.85% Drogheda United 1218 4 @ Bray Wanderers 1275 2
24 2012-05-04 24.94% @ Bray Wanderers 1247 2 Bohemian 1341 1
25 2012-10-13 26.72% @ Shelbourne 1293 3 Cork City 1371 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-06-29 53.70 @ Bohemian 4 1325 22.09% Shamrock Rovers 0 1446 48.27% 29.64%
2 2012-06-29 41.05 Drogheda United 3 1306 22.15% @ Derry City 0 1389 48.19% 29.65%
3 2012-04-06 39.67 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1404 28.02% Shamrock Rovers 1 1472 41.41% 30.57%
4 2012-03-23 38.93 @ Shamrock Rovers 4 1420 37.92% Shelbourne 0 1416 31.29% 30.79%
5 2012-03-30 33.53 @ Drogheda United 2 1239 14.22% Derry City 0 1460 59.33% 26.45%
6 2012-10-26 30.94 Shamrock Rovers 2 1428 17.88% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1558 53.79% 28.33%
7 2012-07-15 30.07 Drogheda United 2 1347 19.21% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1462 51.97% 28.82%
8 2012-04-13 29.96 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1432 58.67% Dundalk 0 1256 14.63% 26.70%
9 2012-03-09 28.12 Derry City 4 1429 50.14% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1292 20.61% 29.25%
10 2012-08-17 26.86 @ UC Dublin 3 1197 17.77% Cork City 1 1367 53.95% 28.28%
11 2012-05-12 26.52 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1496 42.86% Shamrock Rovers 0 1456 26.71% 30.43%
12 2012-10-13 26.35 Derry City 3 1327 18.66% @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1448 52.71% 28.63%
13 2012-06-29 26.32 Cork City 3 1354 43.16% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1273 26.44% 30.40%
14 2012-10-26 26.23 Drogheda United 4 1394 35.91% @ Bohemian 1 1366 33.24% 30.84%
15 2012-09-03 25.75 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1428 44.00% Derry City 0 1379 25.70% 30.30%
16 2012-07-06 25.06 @ Shelbourne 4 1331 53.52% Dundalk 0 1203 18.08% 28.40%
17 2012-04-20 23.77 @ Drogheda United 3 1275 23.58% Shelbourne 1 1382 46.46% 29.95%
18 2012-08-17 23.33 @ Derry City 2 1336 31.65% Bohemian 0 1375 37.55% 30.80%
19 2012-09-28 22.99 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1416 67.11% Dundalk 0 1150 10.02% 22.87%
20 2012-08-17 21.80 Shamrock Rovers 2 1411 35.06% @ Drogheda United 0 1389 34.09% 30.85%
21 2012-08-31 21.33 Derry City 2 1357 36.11% @ Shelbourne 0 1328 33.05% 30.84%
22 2012-08-31 20.78 @ UC Dublin 3 1216 30.25% Bray Wanderers 1 1266 39.02% 30.74%
23 2012-03-23 20.72 Drogheda United 4 1218 24.85% @ Bray Wanderers 2 1275 44.97% 30.17%
24 2012-10-01 20.62 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1483 63.07% UC Dublin 0 1261 12.07% 24.86%
25 2012-05-11 20.54 Bray Wanderers 2 1260 37.87% @ Dundalk 0 1218 31.34% 30.79%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-05-18 64.3 @ Bray Wanderers 3 1280 16.38% St Patrick's Athletic 3 1469 55.96% 27.66%
2 2012-07-22 64.2 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1523 55.15% Cork City 2 1380 16.93% 27.92%
3 2012-10-13 61.8 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1566 45.71% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1504 24.22% 30.07%
4 2012-10-19 61.2 @ Drogheda United 2 1378 15.84% Sligo Rovers 1 1574 56.78% 27.39%
5 2012-05-04 60.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1458 64.11% UC Dublin 2 1226 11.52% 24.37%
6 2012-09-07 60.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1442 54.37% Shelbourne 2 1306 17.47% 28.16%
7 2012-04-20 60.1 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1244 14.42% Shamrock Rovers 2 1462 59.01% 26.57%
8 2012-06-22 59.4 @ Cork City 2 1353 32.19% Derry City 2 1389 36.99% 30.82%
9 2012-03-09 59.2 Drogheda United 3 1202 15.06% @ Cork City 2 1372 57.98% 26.96%
10 2012-08-13 59.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1410 21.50% Sligo Rovers 1 1537 49.00% 29.49%
11 2012-10-13 58.8 @ Dundalk 2 1107 12.92% Bohemian 2 1350 61.54% 25.54%
12 2012-04-27 58.6 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1487 42.33% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1450 27.19% 30.49%
13 2012-08-20 58.6 @ Bohemian 2 1352 40.73% Shelbourne 2 1327 28.64% 30.62%
14 2012-09-28 58.1 @ UC Dublin 2 1261 25.35% Bohemian 2 1351 44.40% 30.25%
15 2012-04-13 57.5 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1481 45.12% Derry City 1 1423 24.73% 30.15%
16 2012-10-19 56.5 @ Derry City 2 1354 20.13% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1496 50.76% 29.11%
17 2012-10-13 56.4 @ Shelbourne 3 1293 26.72% Cork City 2 1371 42.85% 30.43%
18 2012-04-27 56.3 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1460 44.42% Derry City 1 1407 25.33% 30.25%
19 2012-05-21 56.2 Dundalk 2 1197 9.86% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1467 67.46% 22.69%
20 2012-07-07 56.2 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1520 67.78% Bray Wanderers 1 1246 9.70% 22.52%
21 2012-07-08 55.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1393 27.75% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1463 41.71% 30.54%
22 2012-08-24 55.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1426 21.55% Sligo Rovers 0 1553 48.94% 29.51%
23 2012-03-02 55.3 @ Shelbourne 1 1382 28.00% Sligo Rovers 1 1450 41.43% 30.57%
24 2012-04-20 55.1 Dundalk 2 1226 13.31% @ Derry City 1 1424 60.87% 25.83%
25 2012-08-20 54.9 @ Cork City 3 1340 33.41% Drogheda United 2 1367 35.74% 30.85%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-09-10 26.0 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1559 77.34% Dundalk 0 1163 5.80% 16.85%
2 2012-10-19 27.7 @ Cork City 3 1359 65.67% Dundalk 0 1109 10.72% 23.61%
3 2012-08-20 28.5 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1545 71.72% UC Dublin 0 1224 7.97% 20.31%
4 2012-10-02 29.6 @ Derry City 4 1307 59.05% Dundalk 0 1127 14.39% 26.56%
5 2012-09-28 29.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1416 67.11% Dundalk 0 1150 10.02% 22.87%
6 2012-03-31 31.3 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1461 60.31% Dundalk 0 1268 13.63% 26.06%
7 2012-10-01 31.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1483 63.07% UC Dublin 0 1261 12.07% 24.86%
8 2012-07-06 31.6 @ Shelbourne 4 1331 53.52% Dundalk 0 1203 18.08% 28.40%
9 2012-04-20 31.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1441 61.64% UC Dublin 0 1234 12.87% 25.50%
10 2012-08-03 32.1 Shamrock Rovers 2 1398 57.89% @ UC Dublin 0 1192 15.12% 26.99%
11 2012-04-13 32.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1432 58.67% Dundalk 0 1256 14.63% 26.70%
12 2012-09-10 33.6 @ Cork City 2 1355 52.92% Bray Wanderers 0 1232 18.51% 28.57%
13 2012-03-09 34.2 Derry City 4 1429 50.14% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1292 20.61% 29.25%
14 2012-08-20 34.4 St Patrick's Athletic 1 1421 61.04% @ Dundalk 0 1183 13.21% 25.75%
15 2012-07-27 34.6 @ Drogheda United 1 1389 60.20% UC Dublin 0 1197 13.70% 26.10%
16 2012-07-15 34.9 @ Bohemian 1 1379 59.03% UC Dublin 0 1199 14.40% 26.56%
17 2012-03-30 35.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1459 55.53% Bohemian 0 1313 16.67% 27.80%
18 2012-05-11 35.1 Shelbourne 2 1345 47.72% @ UC Dublin 0 1229 22.54% 29.74%
19 2012-06-29 35.2 Cork City 3 1354 43.16% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1273 26.44% 30.40%
20 2012-05-18 35.8 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1523 57.15% Shelbourne 0 1361 15.59% 27.26%
21 2012-03-09 35.9 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1389 47.48% @ Dundalk 0 1274 22.74% 29.78%
22 2012-09-10 36.0 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1462 52.09% @ Shelbourne 0 1308 19.12% 28.79%
23 2012-04-27 36.5 Bohemian 2 1322 43.00% @ Dundalk 0 1243 26.58% 30.42%
24 2012-09-21 37.1 Shelbourne 1 1294 50.13% @ Dundalk 0 1158 20.61% 29.26%
25 2012-07-06 37.3 Derry City 1 1348 50.64% @ UC Dublin 0 1207 20.22% 29.14%