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2013 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

198 games

Final

Champion

St Patrick's Athletic

71 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Dundalk

23.58 points above expected

68 points · 44.42 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shelbourne

12.06 points below expected

21 points · 33.06 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 St Patrick's Athletic 33 21 8 4 71 56 20 +36 65.62 +5.38
2 Dundalk 33 21 5 7 68 55 30 +25 44.42 +23.58
3 Sligo Rovers 33 19 9 5 66 53 22 +31 63.29 +2.71
4 Derry City 33 17 5 11 56 57 39 +18 55.77 +0.23
5 Shamrock Rovers 33 13 13 7 52 43 28 +15 56.76 -4.76
6 Cork City 33 13 7 13 46 47 50 -3 42.94 +3.06
7 Limerick 33 11 9 13 42 38 46 -8 40.47 +1.53
8 Drogheda United 33 8 14 11 38 44 46 -2 48.73 -10.73
9 UC Dublin 33 8 6 19 30 45 73 -28 32.17 -2.17
10 Bohemian 33 7 8 18 29 27 47 -20 35.08 -6.08
11 Bray Wanderers 33 7 6 20 27 33 66 -33 27.82 -0.82
12 Shelbourne 33 5 6 22 21 25 56 -31 33.06 -12.06

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Dundalk 68 44.42 +23.58
2 St Patrick's Athletic 71 65.62 +5.38
3 Cork City 46 42.94 +3.06
4 Sligo Rovers 66 63.29 +2.71
5 Limerick 42 40.47 +1.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shelbourne 21 33.06 -12.06
2 Drogheda United 38 48.73 -10.73
3 Bohemian 29 35.08 -6.08
4 Shamrock Rovers 52 56.76 -4.76
5 UC Dublin 30 32.17 -2.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Dundalk 6 Jul 26 – Sep 8 1 in 146
2 Bray Wanderers 3 May 17 – Jun 8 1 in 96
3 Sligo Rovers 8 Mar 8 – Apr 13 1 in 69
4 Limerick 3 Sep 24 – Sep 30 1 in 58
5 Derry City 6 Mar 24 – Apr 19 1 in 57

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drogheda United 5 May 17 – Jun 28 1 in 333
2 Bray Wanderers 7 Apr 1 – May 3 1 in 67
3 Shamrock Rovers 3 Aug 2 – Aug 16 1 in 53
4 Derry City 3 Aug 16 – Sep 3 1 in 35
5 UC Dublin 4 Mar 8 – Mar 23 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bray Wanderers 5 May 6 – Jun 8 1 in 75
2 Shamrock Rovers 12 May 3 – Jul 27 1 in 49
3 Drogheda United 10 Mar 15 – May 3 1 in 46
4 Dundalk 9 Jul 5 – Sep 8 1 in 34
5 UC Dublin 4 May 7 – May 24 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drogheda United 9 May 17 – Aug 2 1 in 138
2 Sligo Rovers 4 May 10 – Jun 8 1 in 81
3 Shamrock Rovers 5 Mar 18 – Apr 5 1 in 32
4 Shelbourne 11 Aug 4 – Oct 25 1 in 25
5 Bohemian 11 Apr 29 – Jul 12 1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
St Patrick's Athletic 1533 71 -6 10 11.0 -1.0
Dundalk 1453 68 +39 10 9.8 +0.2
Sligo Rovers 1480 66 +6 10 9.0 +1.0
Derry City 1367 56 +42 8 6.3 +1.7
Shamrock Rovers 1381 52 +34 10 8.4 +1.6
Cork City 1319 46 +27 10 6.0 +4.0
Limerick 1224 42 -33 9 7.3 +1.7
Drogheda United 1311 38 -23 5 7.6 -2.6
UC Dublin 1191 30 -23 4 4.5 -0.5
Bohemian 1202 29 +0 4 5.5 -1.5
Bray Wanderers 1138 27 +9 6 3.2 +2.8
Shelbourne 1134 21 -36 1 4.7 -3.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH BW CC DC DU DUN LIM SR SHE SR SPA UD
Bohemian —
2-0-1
4.77
0-0-3
3.55
1-0-2
2.44
0-2-1
2.81
0-1-2
3.07
0-0-3
3.45
1-2-0
2.48
2-0-1
4.30
0-1-2
2.04
0-2-1
1.75
1-0-2
4.54
Bray Wanderers
1-0-2
3.48
—
1-0-2
2.77
0-0-3
2.01
1-0-2
2.34
0-0-3
2.12
1-1-1
2.79
0-1-2
1.88
2-1-0
3.35
0-1-2
1.62
0-0-3
1.75
1-2-0
3.93
Cork City
3-0-0
4.68
2-0-1
5.50
—
1-1-1
2.97
2-1-0
3.37
0-1-2
3.51
0-1-2
4.12
0-1-2
2.90
1-1-1
5.50
1-1-1
2.08
1-0-2
2.15
2-0-1
5.38
Derry City
2-0-1
5.85
3-0-0
6.31
1-1-1
5.29
—
1-1-1
4.92
1-0-2
4.93
3-0-0
5.44
1-1-1
4.01
3-0-0
5.99
0-0-3
3.70
0-2-1
2.84
2-0-1
5.72
Drogheda United
1-2-0
5.45
2-0-1
5.95
0-1-2
4.87
1-1-1
3.32
—
0-1-2
4.45
2-1-0
4.72
0-1-2
3.38
1-2-0
5.47
0-2-1
2.73
0-1-2
2.90
1-2-0
5.58
Dundalk
2-1-0
5.20
3-0-0
6.19
2-1-0
4.73
2-0-1
3.34
2-1-0
3.79
—
0-1-2
4.86
1-1-1
2.85
3-0-0
4.61
2-0-1
2.43
2-0-1
2.47
2-0-1
5.06
Limerick
3-0-0
4.79
1-1-1
5.47
2-1-0
4.11
0-0-3
2.82
0-1-2
3.51
2-1-0
3.39
—
1-1-1
2.69
1-1-1
5.44
0-1-2
2.10
0-1-2
2.27
1-1-1
4.92
Shamrock Rovers
0-2-1
5.80
2-1-0
6.45
2-1-0
5.35
1-1-1
4.23
2-1-0
4.85
1-1-1
5.40
1-1-1
5.57
—
2-1-0
5.85
0-2-1
3.43
1-1-1
3.55
1-1-1
6.29
Shelbourne
1-0-2
3.94
0-1-2
4.89
1-1-1
2.77
0-0-3
2.30
0-2-1
2.78
0-0-3
3.64
1-1-1
2.82
0-1-2
2.44
—
0-0-3
1.58
0-0-3
1.79
2-0-1
4.02
Sligo Rovers
2-1-0
6.29
2-1-0
6.76
1-1-1
6.23
3-0-0
4.53
1-2-0
5.54
1-0-2
5.86
2-1-0
6.21
1-2-0
4.81
3-0-0
6.79
—
0-1-2
4.03
3-0-0
6.62
St Patrick's Athletic
1-2-0
6.61
3-0-0
6.63
2-0-1
6.17
1-2-0
5.45
2-1-0
5.36
1-0-2
5.81
2-1-0
6.04
1-1-1
4.68
3-0-0
6.55
2-1-0
4.21
—
3-0-0
6.60
UC Dublin
2-0-1
3.69
0-2-1
4.31
1-0-2
2.88
1-0-2
2.57
0-2-1
2.69
1-0-2
3.19
1-1-1
3.32
1-1-1
2.03
1-0-2
4.21
0-0-3
1.73
0-0-3
1.76
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +13.7
Allowed 0.76 -9.0
Differential 0.96 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.08%8.33%6.82%4.04%1.52%1.01%29.80%
18.33%11.11%7.83%4.29%0.51%—32.07%
26.82%7.83%4.55%2.27%0.51%0.25%22.22%
34.04%4.29%2.27%——0.25%10.86%
41.52%0.51%0.51%—0.51%0.25%3.28%
5+1.01%—0.25%0.25%0.25%—1.77%
Total29.80%32.07%22.22%10.86%3.28%1.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.85
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%9.09%9.09%3.03%—45.45%
16.06%15.15%12.12%3.03%——36.36%
23.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%39.39%27.27%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.42 -0.61
SD 0.95 1.03 1.56
CV 1.16 0.72 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%18.18%6.06%3.03%3.03%45.45%
19.09%6.06%9.09%6.06%——30.30%
2—3.03%3.03%6.06%——12.12%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4————3.03%—3.03%
5+————3.03%—3.03%
Total15.15%21.21%33.33%18.18%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.00 -1.00
SD 1.27 1.48 1.77
CV 1.27 0.74 —
Max 5 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
16.06%12.12%15.15%3.03%——36.36%
23.03%15.15%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total15.15%36.36%33.33%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.52 -0.09
SD 1.28 1.00 1.59
CV 0.90 0.66 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%6.06%6.06%——24.24%
19.09%12.12%6.06%—3.03%—30.30%
26.06%9.09%——3.03%—18.18%
3—9.09%6.06%———15.15%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total30.30%39.39%18.18%6.06%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.18 +0.55
SD 1.63 1.13 2.28
CV 0.94 0.96 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%—3.03%——21.21%
16.06%18.18%3.03%6.06%——33.33%
26.06%3.03%18.18%9.09%——36.36%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%36.36%24.24%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.39 -0.06
SD 0.92 1.03 1.25
CV 0.69 0.74 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
121.21%3.03%3.03%6.06%——33.33%
215.15%12.12%9.09%6.06%——42.42%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total48.48%24.24%15.15%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.91 +0.76
SD 0.92 1.07 1.48
CV 0.55 1.18 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%15.15%3.03%6.06%—3.03%39.39%
19.09%6.06%9.09%3.03%——27.27%
23.03%9.09%6.06%———18.18%
3—3.03%6.06%———9.09%
43.03%———3.03%—6.06%
5+———————
Total27.27%33.33%24.24%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.39 -0.24
SD 1.23 1.34 1.77
CV 1.07 0.96 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%3.03%6.06%—3.03%—33.33%
19.09%18.18%6.06%3.03%——36.36%
2—12.12%————12.12%
39.09%3.03%————12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total42.42%39.39%12.12%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.85 +0.45
SD 1.51 0.97 1.94
CV 1.16 1.15 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%21.21%9.09%6.06%6.06%—51.52%
1—6.06%12.12%9.09%——27.27%
23.03%9.09%3.03%———15.15%
33.03%————3.03%6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%36.36%24.24%15.15%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.70 -0.94
SD 0.94 1.26 1.54
CV 1.24 0.74 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%9.09%———27.27%
13.03%9.09%—3.03%——15.15%
221.21%9.09%3.03%———33.33%
315.15%6.06%————21.21%
4———————
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total54.55%27.27%15.15%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 0.67 +0.94
SD 1.27 0.85 1.60
CV 0.79 1.28 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——3.03%——12.12%
118.18%15.15%6.06%———39.39%
218.18%6.06%——3.03%—27.27%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total60.61%27.27%6.06%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.61 +1.09
SD 1.21 0.97 1.68
CV 0.71 1.59 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.03%9.09%6.06%—6.06%24.24%
13.03%12.12%12.12%9.09%3.03%—39.39%
23.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%—3.03%18.18%
33.03%6.06%3.03%———12.12%
4——3.03%——3.03%6.06%
5+———————
Total9.09%24.24%33.33%18.18%3.03%12.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.21 -0.85
SD 1.17 1.49 2.03
CV 0.86 0.68 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
St Patrick's Athletic 1533 71 65.62 +5.38 77.0% 44 52 60 66 71 78 87
Sligo Rovers 1480 66 63.29 +2.71 70.0% 50 53 59 63 67 76 83
Dundalk 1453 68 44.42 +23.58 99.0% 24 34 40 45 48 54 71
Shamrock Rovers 1381 52 56.76 -4.76 26.0% 37 47 52 57 61 67 71
Derry City 1367 56 55.77 +0.23 51.0% 37 44 50 56 61 67 72
Cork City 1319 46 42.94 +3.06 64.0% 24 28 38 43 48 54 62
Drogheda United 1311 38 48.73 -10.73 9.0% 32 37 45 49 53 59 63
Limerick 1224 42 40.47 +1.53 62.0% 23 26 36 42 45 53 54
Bohemian 1202 29 35.08 -6.08 24.0% 17 23 30 34 39 48 59
UC Dublin 1191 30 32.17 -2.17 42.0% 14 22 28 32 36 43 50
Bray Wanderers 1138 27 27.82 -0.82 45.0% 17 18 23 28 32 37 49
Shelbourne 1134 21 33.06 -12.06 1.0% 21 22 28 33 37 44 52

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.06%
No Edge
40.91%24.24%34.85%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 21.08 Elo pts.
212 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.18 goals
Neutral
-2+0.10+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
50%
St Patrick's Athletic, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.61 * Some Luck: 5.61 to 8.42 * Lucky: 8.42 to 11.23 * Wild Swing: 11.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.04 * Close: 1.04 to 1.57 * Off: 1.57 to 2.09 * Way Off: 2.09 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.80 points
Lucky
07.0218
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.303
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.00%
Dundalk
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.00%
Shelbourne
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 135.31
2.26
Wide Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
91%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
62%
Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.63
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.44
Some Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
1.00
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.97
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.052
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
St Patrick's Athletic50.00%27.00%10.00%7.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Dundalk1.00%1.00%1.00%4.00%16.00%24.00%17.00%21.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%
Sligo Rovers35.00%29.00%20.00%14.00%2.00%———————
Derry City6.00%16.00%28.00%24.00%12.00%9.00%3.00%1.00%—1.00%——
Shamrock Rovers7.00%22.00%23.00%25.00%15.00%5.00%1.00%2.00%————
Cork City1.00%1.00%3.00%7.00%8.00%24.00%22.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%5.00%
Limerick——2.00%4.00%10.00%10.00%26.00%19.00%9.00%8.00%7.00%5.00%
Drogheda United—4.00%10.00%13.00%29.00%17.00%16.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%——
UC Dublin————1.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%18.00%23.00%26.00%17.00%
Bohemian——3.00%1.00%1.00%2.00%6.00%17.00%21.00%19.00%20.00%10.00%
Bray Wanderers————1.00%—1.00%2.00%11.00%18.00%22.00%45.00%
Shelbourne———1.00%1.00%4.00%2.00%16.00%20.00%18.00%21.00%17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Derry City 100% — —
Drogheda United 100% — —
Shamrock Rovers 100% — —
Sligo Rovers 100% — —
St Patrick's Athletic 100% — —
Dundalk 97.00% 2.00% 1.00%
Cork City 93.00% 2.00% 5.00%
Limerick 88.00% 7.00% 5.00%
Bohemian 70.00% 20.00% 10.00%
Shelbourne 62.00% 21.00% 17.00%
UC Dublin 57.00% 26.00% 17.00%
Bray Wanderers 33.00% 22.00% 45.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2013-03-08 Drogheda United W 1-041.4 1391 1349 45.96% 25.42% 28.61%+0.30 +9.4 3
2013-03-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-141.4 1349 1391 28.61% 25.42% 45.96%-0.30 -9.5 0
2013-03-08 Shamrock Rovers D 0-049.5 1197 1372 19.17% 24.11% 56.72%-0.73 +2.8 1
2013-03-08 @ Dundalk D 0-049.5 1372 1197 56.72% 24.11% 19.17%+0.73 -2.8 1
2013-03-08 Shelbourne W 1-043.5 1237 1292 32.39% 25.62% 41.99%-0.16 +12.7 3
2013-03-08 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-143.5 1292 1237 41.99% 25.62% 32.39%+0.16 -12.7 0
2013-03-08 Sligo Rovers L 0-141.4 1326 1409 28.88% 25.44% 45.68%-0.29 -9.5 0
2013-03-08 @ Derry City W 1-041.4 1409 1326 45.68% 25.44% 28.88%+0.29 +9.5 3
2013-03-08 UC Dublin W 2-145.3 1311 1267 46.14% 25.41% 28.45%+0.31 +8.9 3
2013-03-08 @ Bohemian L 1-245.3 1267 1311 28.45% 25.41% 46.14%-0.31 -8.9 0
2013-03-10 Cork City D 0-049.1 1258 1324 30.95% 25.56% 43.48%-0.21 +0.9 1
2013-03-10 @ Limerick D 0-049.1 1324 1258 43.48% 25.56% 30.95%+0.21 -0.9 1
2013-03-15 Bohemian W 2-147.5 1324 1320 40.67% 25.66% 33.67%+0.12 +10.1 4
2013-03-15 @ Cork City L 1-247.5 1320 1324 33.67% 25.66% 40.67%-0.12 -10.1 3
2013-03-15 Derry City L 0-636.4 1258 1317 31.96% 25.61% 42.44%-0.18 -54.0 0
2013-03-15 @ UC Dublin W 6-036.4 1317 1258 42.44% 25.61% 31.96%+0.18 +54.0 3
2013-03-15 Dundalk L 1-348.3 1279 1200 50.63% 25.01% 24.37%+0.48 -24.2 0
2013-03-15 @ Shelbourne W 3-148.3 1200 1279 24.37% 25.01% 50.63%-0.48 +24.2 4
2013-03-15 Limerick D 2-260.0 1339 1259 50.67% 25.00% 24.33%+0.48 -1.3 1
2013-03-15 @ Drogheda United D 2-260.0 1259 1339 24.33% 25.00% 50.67%-0.48 +1.3 2
2013-03-15 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-039.7 1370 1401 35.70% 25.70% 38.60%-0.05 +32.6 4
2013-03-15 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-339.7 1401 1370 38.60% 25.70% 35.70%+0.05 -32.6 3
2013-03-16 Bray Wanderers W 3-030.8 1418 1249 60.35% 23.34% 16.31%+0.90 +15.9 6
2013-03-16 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-330.8 1249 1418 16.31% 23.34% 60.35%-0.90 -15.9 3
2013-03-18 Shamrock Rovers D 0-050.4 1310 1402 27.71% 25.35% 46.94%-0.34 +1.3 4
2013-03-18 @ Bohemian D 0-050.4 1402 1310 46.94% 25.35% 27.71%+0.34 -1.4 5
2013-03-19 Drogheda United D 1-155.1 1371 1338 44.63% 25.50% 29.87%+0.25 -0.9 4
2013-03-19 @ Derry City D 1-155.1 1338 1371 29.87% 25.50% 44.63%-0.25 +0.9 2
2013-03-19 Sligo Rovers L 1-338.5 1224 1434 16.36% 23.35% 60.28%-0.89 -9.5 4
2013-03-19 @ Dundalk W 3-138.5 1434 1224 60.28% 23.35% 16.36%+0.89 +9.5 9
2013-03-19 UC Dublin W 3-141.2 1260 1204 47.70% 25.29% 27.01%+0.37 +14.7 5
2013-03-19 @ Limerick L 1-341.2 1204 1260 27.01% 25.29% 47.70%-0.37 -14.7 0
2013-03-23 Dundalk L 1-247.3 1189 1214 36.56% 25.70% 37.73%-0.02 -10.8 0
2013-03-23 @ UC Dublin W 2-147.3 1214 1189 37.73% 25.70% 36.56%+0.02 +10.8 7
2013-03-23 Limerick W 2-142.4 1444 1275 60.34% 23.34% 16.32%+0.90 +5.5 12
2013-03-23 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-242.4 1275 1444 16.32% 23.34% 60.34%-0.90 -5.5 5
2013-03-24 Bray Wanderers W 2-143.1 1339 1234 53.61% 24.62% 21.77%+0.60 +7.1 5
2013-03-24 @ Drogheda United L 1-243.1 1234 1339 21.77% 24.62% 53.61%-0.60 -7.1 3
2013-03-24 Derry City L 0-142.8 1334 1370 35.03% 25.69% 39.28%-0.07 -11.1 4
2013-03-24 @ Cork City W 1-042.8 1370 1334 39.28% 25.69% 35.03%+0.07 +11.0 7
2013-03-24 Shamrock Rovers D 0-050.0 1255 1401 21.94% 24.65% 53.40%-0.59 +2.3 1
2013-03-24 @ Shelbourne D 0-050.0 1401 1255 53.40% 24.65% 21.94%+0.59 -2.3 6
2013-03-28 Drogheda United D 2-259.8 1225 1346 24.50% 25.02% 50.48%-0.47 +1.2 8
2013-03-28 @ Dundalk D 2-259.8 1346 1225 50.48% 25.02% 24.50%+0.47 -1.2 6
2013-03-29 Cork City D 1-155.4 1399 1323 50.15% 25.06% 24.79%+0.46 -1.6 7
2013-03-29 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.4 1323 1399 24.79% 25.06% 50.15%-0.46 +1.6 5
2013-03-29 Shelbourne W 4-031.6 1381 1258 55.62% 24.31% 20.08%+0.68 +25.1 10
2013-03-29 @ Derry City L 0-431.6 1258 1381 20.08% 24.31% 55.62%-0.68 -25.1 1
2013-03-29 Sligo Rovers L 0-334.5 1311 1449 22.68% 24.77% 52.55%-0.55 -21.4 4
2013-03-29 @ Bohemian W 3-034.5 1449 1311 52.55% 24.77% 22.68%+0.55 +21.4 15
2013-03-29 UC Dublin D 2-259.2 1226 1178 46.64% 25.37% 27.98%+0.33 -0.9 4
2013-03-29 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-259.2 1178 1226 27.98% 25.37% 46.64%-0.33 +0.9 1
2013-03-30 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-139.6 1269 1368 26.96% 25.29% 47.75%-0.37 -9.0 5
2013-03-30 @ Limerick W 1-039.6 1368 1269 47.75% 25.29% 26.96%+0.37 +9.0 6
2013-04-01 Bohemian L 0-140.5 1232 1290 32.14% 25.61% 42.24%-0.17 -10.4 1
2013-04-01 @ Shelbourne W 1-040.5 1290 1232 42.24% 25.61% 32.14%+0.17 +10.4 7
2013-04-01 Bray Wanderers W 2-032.1 1406 1226 61.43% 23.07% 15.50%+0.95 +10.4 13
2013-04-01 @ Derry City L 0-232.1 1226 1406 15.50% 23.07% 61.43%-0.95 -10.4 4
2013-04-01 Cork City D 1-154.6 1345 1324 42.97% 25.59% 31.44%+0.20 -0.7 7
2013-04-01 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.6 1324 1345 31.44% 25.59% 42.97%-0.20 +0.7 6
2013-04-01 Sligo Rovers L 0-328.5 1179 1471 11.32% 21.21% 67.47%-1.28 -11.0 1
2013-04-01 @ UC Dublin W 3-028.5 1471 1179 67.47% 21.21% 11.32%+1.28 +11.0 18
2013-04-02 Dundalk L 1-254.0 1377 1226 58.55% 23.74% 17.71%+0.81 -15.9 6
2013-04-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-154.0 1226 1377 17.71% 23.74% 58.55%-0.81 +15.9 11
2013-04-02 Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.7 1260 1397 22.85% 24.80% 52.35%-0.55 +1.9 6
2013-04-02 @ Limerick D 1-154.7 1397 1260 52.35% 24.80% 22.85%+0.55 -1.9 8
2013-04-05 Derry City L 0-434.2 1300 1416 25.00% 25.08% 49.92%-0.45 -30.3 7
2013-04-05 @ Bohemian W 4-034.2 1416 1300 49.92% 25.08% 25.00%+0.45 +30.3 16
2013-04-05 Drogheda United D 1-155.6 1395 1344 47.03% 25.34% 27.62%+0.34 -1.2 9
2013-04-05 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.6 1344 1395 27.62% 25.34% 47.03%-0.34 +1.2 8
2013-04-05 Limerick D 2-259.3 1242 1262 37.29% 25.70% 37.01%+0.00 -0.0 12
2013-04-05 @ Dundalk D 2-259.3 1262 1242 37.01% 25.70% 37.29%+0.00 +0.0 7
2013-04-05 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-137.4 1215 1361 21.88% 24.64% 53.48%-0.59 -7.6 4
2013-04-05 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-037.4 1361 1215 53.48% 24.64% 21.88%+0.59 +7.6 9
2013-04-05 UC Dublin W 2-141.1 1325 1168 59.13% 23.62% 17.25%+0.84 +5.8 9
2013-04-05 @ Cork City L 1-241.1 1168 1325 17.25% 23.62% 59.13%-0.84 -5.8 1
2013-04-06 Shelbourne W 2-030.8 1482 1222 68.30% 20.90% 10.80%+1.33 +7.2 21
2013-04-06 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-230.8 1222 1482 10.80% 20.90% 68.30%-1.33 -7.2 1
2013-04-12 Bray Wanderers W 7-031.4 1394 1208 61.99% 22.92% 15.09%+0.98 +32.6 12
2013-04-12 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-731.4 1208 1394 15.09% 22.92% 61.99%-0.98 -32.6 4
2013-04-12 Derry City L 1-339.1 1242 1447 16.83% 23.50% 59.68%-0.87 -9.8 12
2013-04-12 @ Dundalk W 3-139.1 1447 1242 59.68% 23.50% 16.83%+0.87 +9.8 19
2013-04-12 Drogheda United L 1-340.4 1215 1345 23.49% 24.89% 51.62%-0.52 -13.1 1
2013-04-12 @ Shelbourne W 3-140.4 1345 1215 51.62% 24.89% 23.49%+0.52 +13.1 11
2013-04-12 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-135.3 1162 1369 16.66% 23.45% 59.89%-0.88 -5.9 1
2013-04-12 @ UC Dublin W 1-035.3 1369 1162 59.89% 23.45% 16.66%+0.88 +5.9 12
2013-04-13 Cork City W 2-035.7 1489 1331 59.28% 23.59% 17.13%+0.85 +11.5 24
2013-04-13 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-235.7 1331 1489 17.13% 23.59% 59.28%-0.85 -11.5 9
2013-04-15 Shelbourne W 4-029.7 1375 1202 60.75% 23.24% 16.01%+0.92 +20.4 15
2013-04-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-429.7 1202 1375 16.01% 23.24% 60.75%-0.92 -20.4 1
2013-04-16 Bohemian W 2-147.2 1262 1270 39.10% 25.69% 35.21%+0.06 +10.5 10
2013-04-16 @ Limerick L 1-247.2 1270 1262 35.21% 25.69% 39.10%-0.06 -10.5 7
2013-04-19 Dundalk L 0-240.6 1259 1232 43.84% 25.55% 30.62%+0.23 -24.8 7
2013-04-19 @ Bohemian W 2-040.6 1232 1259 30.62% 25.55% 43.84%-0.23 +24.8 15
2013-04-19 Shamrock Rovers W 2-151.0 1456 1426 44.25% 25.52% 30.22%+0.24 +9.3 22
2013-04-19 @ Derry City L 1-251.0 1426 1456 30.22% 25.52% 44.25%-0.24 -9.3 12
2013-04-19 Shelbourne D 1-154.0 1319 1181 57.19% 24.02% 18.79%+0.75 -2.5 10
2013-04-19 @ Cork City D 1-154.0 1181 1319 18.79% 24.02% 57.19%-0.75 +2.6 2
2013-04-19 Sligo Rovers W 2-047.8 1395 1500 26.24% 25.22% 48.54%-0.40 +27.0 18
2013-04-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-247.8 1500 1395 48.54% 25.22% 26.24%+0.40 -27.0 24
2013-04-19 UC Dublin W 3-244.9 1358 1157 63.42% 22.53% 14.05%+1.05 +4.5 14
2013-04-19 @ Drogheda United L 2-344.9 1157 1358 14.05% 22.53% 63.42%-1.05 -4.5 1
2013-04-21 Limerick L 0-433.1 1175 1273 27.08% 25.30% 47.62%-0.36 -32.4 4
2013-04-21 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-033.1 1273 1175 47.62% 25.30% 27.08%+0.36 +32.4 13
2013-04-26 Bray Wanderers W 3-248.0 1234 1143 52.06% 24.83% 23.10%+0.53 +7.1 10
2013-04-26 @ Bohemian L 2-348.0 1143 1234 23.10% 24.83% 52.06%-0.53 -7.1 4
2013-04-26 Cork City W 2-040.6 1257 1317 31.85% 25.60% 42.54%-0.18 +24.2 18
2013-04-26 @ Dundalk L 0-240.6 1317 1257 42.54% 25.60% 31.85%+0.18 -24.2 10
2013-04-26 Derry City D 1-159.0 1422 1466 34.01% 25.67% 40.32%-0.11 +0.4 19
2013-04-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-159.0 1466 1422 40.32% 25.67% 34.01%+0.11 -0.4 23
2013-04-26 Shamrock Rovers W 2-046.3 1152 1417 12.77% 21.96% 65.27%-1.15 +35.0 4
2013-04-26 @ UC Dublin L 0-246.3 1417 1152 65.27% 21.96% 12.77%+1.15 -35.0 12
2013-04-27 Drogheda United D 2-263.7 1473 1363 54.22% 24.53% 21.25%+0.62 -1.6 25
2013-04-27 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-263.7 1363 1473 21.25% 24.53% 54.22%-0.62 +1.6 15
2013-04-27 Shelbourne D 0-049.1 1305 1184 55.41% 24.34% 20.25%+0.67 -2.6 14
2013-04-27 @ Limerick D 0-049.1 1184 1305 20.25% 24.34% 55.41%-0.67 +2.6 3
2013-04-29 Bohemian D 1-155.3 1423 1242 61.50% 23.05% 15.44%+0.95 -3.1 20
2013-04-29 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-155.3 1242 1423 15.44% 23.05% 61.50%-0.95 +3.1 11
2013-04-29 Cork City L 1-242.2 1136 1292 20.85% 24.46% 54.69%-0.64 -6.8 4
2013-04-29 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-142.2 1292 1136 54.69% 24.46% 20.85%+0.64 +6.8 13
2013-05-03 Bohemian D 2-260.3 1364 1245 55.23% 24.37% 20.40%+0.66 -1.7 16
2013-05-03 @ Drogheda United D 2-260.3 1245 1364 20.40% 24.37% 55.23%-0.66 +1.7 12
2013-05-03 Dundalk L 0-136.6 1129 1281 21.25% 24.53% 54.21%-0.62 -7.4 4
2013-05-03 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-036.6 1281 1129 54.21% 24.53% 21.25%+0.62 +7.4 21
2013-05-03 Limerick W 2-143.4 1465 1303 59.72% 23.49% 16.79%+0.87 +5.6 26
2013-05-03 @ Derry City L 1-243.4 1303 1465 16.79% 23.49% 59.72%-0.87 -5.6 14
2013-05-03 Sligo Rovers D 1-158.1 1382 1472 28.05% 25.38% 46.57%-0.32 +1.2 13
2013-05-03 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-158.1 1472 1382 46.57% 25.38% 28.05%+0.32 -1.2 26
2013-05-03 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-236.4 1299 1419 24.57% 25.03% 50.40%-0.47 -15.7 13
2013-05-03 @ Cork City W 2-036.4 1419 1299 50.40% 25.03% 24.57%+0.47 +15.7 23
2013-05-03 UC Dublin W 2-037.5 1186 1187 40.07% 25.68% 34.26%+0.10 +20.5 6
2013-05-03 @ Shelbourne L 0-237.5 1187 1186 34.26% 25.68% 40.07%-0.10 -20.5 4
2013-05-06 Bray Wanderers L 1-251.4 1207 1121 51.33% 24.93% 23.75%+0.50 -14.2 6
2013-05-06 @ Shelbourne W 2-151.4 1121 1207 23.75% 24.93% 51.33%-0.50 +14.1 7
2013-05-06 Derry City W 3-043.2 1471 1471 40.12% 25.67% 34.21%+0.10 +29.8 29
2013-05-06 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-343.2 1471 1471 34.21% 25.67% 40.12%-0.10 -29.7 26
2013-05-06 Dundalk W 1-038.5 1383 1289 52.37% 24.80% 22.84%+0.55 +7.8 16
2013-05-06 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-138.5 1289 1383 22.84% 24.80% 52.37%-0.55 -7.8 21
2013-05-06 Limerick L 2-353.5 1284 1297 38.25% 25.70% 36.05%+0.04 -10.6 13
2013-05-06 @ Cork City W 3-253.5 1297 1284 36.05% 25.70% 38.25%-0.04 +10.6 17
2013-05-06 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-248.7 1363 1435 30.16% 25.52% 44.32%-0.24 -9.3 16
2013-05-06 @ Drogheda United W 2-148.7 1435 1363 44.32% 25.52% 30.16%+0.24 +9.3 26
2013-05-07 Bohemian W 1-044.1 1167 1246 29.25% 25.47% 45.29%-0.28 +13.5 7
2013-05-07 @ UC Dublin L 0-144.1 1246 1167 45.29% 25.47% 29.25%+0.28 -13.5 12
2013-05-10 Cork City L 1-246.9 1233 1273 34.47% 25.68% 39.85%-0.09 -10.3 12
2013-05-10 @ Bohemian W 2-146.9 1273 1233 39.85% 25.68% 34.47%+0.09 +10.3 16
2013-05-10 Shelbourne W 1-037.6 1281 1193 51.61% 24.89% 23.49%+0.52 +8.0 24
2013-05-10 @ Dundalk L 0-137.6 1193 1281 23.49% 24.89% 51.61%-0.52 -8.0 6
2013-05-10 Sligo Rovers D 0-051.5 1135 1500 8.10% 18.94% 72.96%-1.62 +5.0 8
2013-05-10 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-051.5 1500 1135 72.96% 18.94% 8.10%+1.62 -5.0 30
2013-05-10 UC Dublin L 2-456.9 1441 1180 68.41% 20.86% 10.73%+1.33 -28.2 26
2013-05-10 @ Derry City W 4-256.9 1180 1441 10.73% 20.86% 68.41%-1.33 +28.2 10
2013-05-14 Drogheda United L 0-141.9 1308 1353 33.68% 25.66% 40.66%-0.12 -10.7 17
2013-05-14 @ Limerick W 1-041.9 1353 1308 40.66% 25.66% 33.68%+0.12 +10.7 19
2013-05-14 Shamrock Rovers D 0-052.9 1444 1391 47.33% 25.32% 27.35%+0.35 -1.4 27
2013-05-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-052.9 1391 1444 27.35% 25.32% 47.33%-0.35 +1.4 17
2013-05-17 Bohemian D 1-154.8 1392 1223 60.43% 23.32% 16.25%+0.90 -3.0 18
2013-05-17 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.8 1223 1392 16.25% 23.32% 60.43%-0.90 +3.0 13
2013-05-17 Bray Wanderers L 1-350.0 1283 1141 57.71% 23.92% 18.37%+0.77 -27.2 16
2013-05-17 @ Cork City W 3-150.0 1141 1283 18.37% 23.92% 57.71%-0.77 +27.2 11
2013-05-17 Derry City L 2-354.3 1364 1413 33.28% 25.65% 41.07%-0.13 -9.5 19
2013-05-17 @ Drogheda United W 3-254.3 1413 1364 41.07% 25.65% 33.28%+0.13 +9.5 29
2013-05-17 Limerick D 1-153.6 1208 1297 28.18% 25.39% 46.43%-0.32 +1.2 11
2013-05-17 @ UC Dublin D 1-153.6 1297 1208 46.43% 25.39% 28.18%+0.32 -1.1 18
2013-05-17 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-329.2 1185 1443 13.16% 22.15% 64.69%-1.12 -12.9 6
2013-05-17 @ Shelbourne W 3-029.2 1443 1185 64.69% 22.15% 13.16%+1.12 +12.9 30
2013-05-24 Cork City D 1-155.3 1422 1256 60.08% 23.40% 16.52%+0.88 -2.9 30
2013-05-24 @ Derry City D 1-155.3 1256 1422 16.52% 23.40% 60.08%-0.88 +2.9 17
2013-05-24 Drogheda United W 3-258.5 1168 1355 18.21% 23.88% 57.91%-0.78 +14.9 14
2013-05-24 @ Bray Wanderers L 2-358.5 1355 1168 57.91% 23.88% 18.21%+0.78 -14.9 19
2013-05-24 Shelbourne W 1-033.9 1390 1172 64.82% 22.11% 13.07%+1.13 +4.7 21
2013-05-24 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-133.9 1172 1390 13.07% 22.11% 64.82%-1.13 -4.7 6
2013-05-24 Sligo Rovers D 0-052.3 1296 1495 17.19% 23.60% 59.21%-0.84 +3.1 19
2013-05-24 @ Limerick D 0-052.3 1495 1296 59.21% 23.60% 17.19%+0.84 -3.2 31
2013-05-24 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-232.4 1226 1456 14.95% 22.87% 62.18%-0.99 -10.0 13
2013-05-24 @ Bohemian W 2-032.4 1456 1226 62.18% 22.87% 14.95%+0.99 +10.0 33
2013-05-24 UC Dublin L 2-356.6 1289 1209 50.60% 25.01% 24.39%+0.48 -13.2 24
2013-05-24 @ Dundalk W 3-256.6 1209 1289 24.39% 25.01% 50.60%-0.48 +13.2 14
2013-05-28 Dundalk L 0-151.7 1492 1276 64.72% 22.14% 13.14%+1.12 -18.4 31
2013-05-28 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-051.7 1276 1492 13.14% 22.14% 64.72%-1.12 +18.4 27
2013-05-28 UC Dublin W 5-029.3 1466 1223 66.99% 21.38% 11.63%+1.25 +18.3 36
2013-05-28 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-529.3 1223 1466 11.63% 21.38% 66.99%-1.25 -18.3 14
2013-06-08 Bohemian D 0-051.5 1474 1216 68.18% 20.95% 10.87%+1.32 -4.5 32
2013-06-08 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-051.5 1216 1474 10.87% 20.95% 68.18%-1.32 +4.4 14
2013-06-08 Bray Wanderers L 4-557.7 1204 1183 43.16% 25.58% 31.27%+0.20 -11.2 14
2013-06-08 @ UC Dublin W 5-457.7 1183 1204 31.27% 25.58% 43.16%-0.20 +11.2 17
2013-06-08 Derry City L 0-134.3 1167 1419 13.53% 22.31% 64.16%-1.09 -4.8 6
2013-06-08 @ Shelbourne W 1-034.3 1419 1167 64.16% 22.31% 13.53%+1.09 +4.8 33
2013-06-08 Limerick W 3-032.1 1484 1299 61.92% 22.94% 15.13%+0.98 +14.8 39
2013-06-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-332.1 1299 1484 15.13% 22.94% 61.92%-0.98 -14.8 19
2013-06-09 Shamrock Rovers L 1-244.1 1259 1394 22.99% 24.82% 52.19%-0.54 -7.4 17
2013-06-09 @ Cork City W 2-144.1 1394 1259 52.19% 24.82% 22.99%+0.54 +7.4 24
2013-06-10 Dundalk L 0-145.4 1340 1294 46.31% 25.40% 28.29%+0.31 -13.8 19
2013-06-10 @ Drogheda United W 1-045.4 1294 1340 28.29% 25.40% 46.31%-0.31 +13.8 30
2013-06-14 Derry City L 2-345.9 1194 1424 14.94% 22.87% 62.19%-0.99 -4.8 17
2013-06-14 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-245.9 1424 1194 62.19% 22.87% 14.94%+0.99 +4.8 36
2013-06-14 Drogheda United W 1-044.5 1252 1326 29.95% 25.51% 44.54%-0.25 +13.3 20
2013-06-14 @ Cork City L 0-144.5 1326 1252 44.54% 25.51% 29.95%+0.25 -13.3 19
2013-06-14 Limerick W 1-037.9 1402 1284 55.00% 24.41% 20.59%+0.66 +7.2 27
2013-06-14 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-137.9 1284 1402 20.59% 24.41% 55.00%-0.66 -7.2 19
2013-06-14 Shelbourne L 0-339.5 1220 1162 47.86% 25.28% 26.86%+0.37 -38.7 14
2013-06-14 @ Bohemian W 3-039.5 1162 1220 26.86% 25.28% 47.86%-0.37 +38.7 9
2013-06-14 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-156.8 1308 1499 17.87% 23.79% 58.35%-0.80 +15.8 33
2013-06-14 @ Dundalk L 1-256.8 1499 1308 58.35% 23.79% 17.87%+0.80 -15.8 39
2013-06-15 UC Dublin W 5-235.6 1469 1193 69.57% 20.41% 10.02%+1.40 +7.1 35
2013-06-15 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-535.6 1193 1469 10.02% 20.41% 69.57%-1.40 -7.1 14
2013-06-28 Bohemian W 2-139.2 1429 1181 67.35% 21.25% 11.40%+1.27 +3.8 39
2013-06-28 @ Derry City L 1-239.2 1181 1429 11.40% 21.25% 67.35%-1.27 -3.8 14
2013-06-28 Bray Wanderers W 2-029.7 1483 1189 70.93% 19.85% 9.22%+1.49 +6.1 42
2013-06-28 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-229.7 1189 1483 9.22% 19.85% 70.93%-1.49 -6.1 17
2013-06-28 Cork City W 3-038.9 1186 1265 29.37% 25.47% 45.15%-0.27 +36.9 17
2013-06-28 @ UC Dublin L 0-338.9 1265 1186 45.15% 25.47% 29.37%+0.27 -36.9 20
2013-06-28 Shamrock Rovers L 0-335.4 1313 1409 27.27% 25.32% 47.41%-0.35 -24.9 19
2013-06-28 @ Drogheda United W 3-035.4 1409 1313 47.41% 25.32% 27.27%+0.35 +24.9 30
2013-06-28 Sligo Rovers L 0-231.1 1201 1476 12.18% 21.68% 66.14%-1.20 -8.2 9
2013-06-28 @ Shelbourne W 2-031.1 1476 1201 66.14% 21.68% 12.18%+1.20 +8.2 38
2013-06-29 Dundalk W 3-254.3 1277 1324 33.54% 25.66% 40.81%-0.12 +11.1 22
2013-06-29 @ Limerick L 2-354.3 1324 1277 40.81% 25.66% 33.54%+0.12 -11.1 33
2013-07-05 Dundalk L 0-149.2 1433 1313 55.29% 24.36% 20.35%+0.67 -16.0 39
2013-07-05 @ Derry City W 1-049.2 1313 1433 20.35% 24.36% 55.29%-0.67 +16.0 36
2013-07-05 Limerick L 0-138.3 1177 1288 25.63% 25.16% 49.21%-0.42 -8.6 14
2013-07-05 @ Bohemian W 1-038.3 1288 1177 49.21% 25.16% 25.63%+0.42 +8.6 25
2013-07-05 Shamrock Rovers D 0-050.3 1183 1434 13.62% 22.35% 64.04%-1.09 +3.9 18
2013-07-05 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-050.3 1434 1183 64.04% 22.35% 13.62%+1.09 -3.9 31
2013-07-05 Sligo Rovers W 3-153.3 1228 1485 13.27% 22.19% 64.53%-1.11 +30.0 23
2013-07-05 @ Cork City L 1-353.3 1485 1228 64.53% 22.19% 13.27%+1.11 -30.0 38
2013-07-07 Shelbourne D 0-048.9 1288 1193 52.40% 24.79% 22.81%+0.55 -2.1 20
2013-07-07 @ Drogheda United D 0-048.9 1193 1288 22.81% 24.79% 52.40%-0.55 +2.1 10
2013-07-09 Bray Wanderers D 4-464.9 1297 1187 54.13% 24.54% 21.32%+0.62 -1.2 26
2013-07-09 @ Limerick D 4-464.9 1187 1297 21.32% 24.54% 54.13%-0.62 +1.2 19
2013-07-12 Bohemian W 3-030.0 1329 1169 59.44% 23.55% 17.01%+0.85 +16.5 39
2013-07-12 @ Dundalk L 0-330.0 1169 1329 17.01% 23.55% 59.44%-0.85 -16.5 14
2013-07-12 Cork City W 2-149.3 1195 1258 31.39% 25.58% 43.03%-0.20 +12.2 13
2013-07-12 @ Shelbourne L 1-249.3 1258 1195 43.03% 25.58% 31.39%+0.20 -12.2 23
2013-07-12 Derry City W 2-150.6 1430 1417 41.95% 25.62% 32.42%+0.16 +9.8 34
2013-07-12 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-250.6 1417 1430 32.42% 25.62% 41.95%-0.16 -9.8 39
2013-07-14 Drogheda United D 2-259.4 1223 1286 31.45% 25.59% 42.97%-0.20 +0.5 18
2013-07-14 @ UC Dublin D 2-259.4 1286 1223 42.97% 25.59% 31.45%+0.20 -0.5 21
2013-07-14 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-160.9 1455 1489 35.21% 25.69% 39.10%-0.06 +0.2 39
2013-07-14 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-160.9 1489 1455 39.10% 25.69% 35.21%+0.06 -0.2 43
2013-07-19 Bohemian L 1-346.5 1188 1152 45.01% 25.48% 29.51%+0.27 -21.9 19
2013-07-19 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-146.5 1152 1188 29.51% 25.48% 45.01%-0.27 +21.9 17
2013-07-19 Dundalk D 2-259.9 1246 1345 26.91% 25.28% 47.80%-0.37 +1.0 24
2013-07-19 @ Cork City D 2-259.9 1345 1246 47.80% 25.28% 26.91%+0.37 -1.0 40
2013-07-19 Limerick W 2-150.4 1207 1295 28.23% 25.39% 46.37%-0.32 +13.0 16
2013-07-19 @ Shelbourne L 1-250.4 1295 1207 46.37% 25.39% 28.23%+0.32 -13.0 26
2013-07-19 UC Dublin D 1-155.5 1440 1224 64.70% 22.14% 13.16%+1.12 -3.6 35
2013-07-19 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.5 1224 1440 13.16% 22.14% 64.70%-1.12 +3.5 19
2013-07-26 Bray Wanderers W 1-034.8 1344 1166 61.23% 23.12% 15.65%+0.94 +5.6 43
2013-07-26 @ Dundalk L 0-134.8 1166 1344 15.65% 23.12% 61.23%-0.94 -5.6 19
2013-07-26 Cork City W 2-140.7 1489 1247 66.90% 21.41% 11.69%+1.24 +3.9 46
2013-07-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-240.7 1247 1489 11.69% 21.41% 66.90%-1.24 -3.9 24
2013-07-26 Drogheda United D 1-153.5 1174 1285 25.60% 25.15% 49.25%-0.42 +1.5 18
2013-07-26 @ Bohemian D 1-153.5 1285 1174 49.25% 25.15% 25.60%+0.42 -1.5 22
2013-07-26 Shelbourne L 1-248.7 1227 1220 41.10% 25.65% 33.25%+0.13 -11.8 19
2013-07-26 @ UC Dublin W 2-148.7 1220 1227 33.25% 25.65% 41.10%-0.13 +11.8 19
2013-07-27 Shamrock Rovers D 0-054.4 1455 1436 42.73% 25.60% 31.68%+0.19 -0.8 40
2013-07-27 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-054.4 1436 1455 31.68% 25.60% 42.73%-0.19 +0.8 36
2013-07-28 Derry City L 0-139.2 1282 1407 24.09% 24.97% 50.94%-0.49 -8.2 26
2013-07-28 @ Limerick W 1-039.2 1407 1282 50.94% 24.97% 24.09%+0.49 +8.2 42
2013-08-02 Cork City W 2-145.6 1274 1243 44.44% 25.51% 30.05%+0.25 +9.3 29
2013-08-02 @ Limerick L 1-245.6 1243 1274 30.05% 25.51% 44.44%-0.25 -9.3 24
2013-08-02 Drogheda United D 0-052.4 1493 1284 64.11% 22.32% 13.56%+1.09 -3.9 47
2013-08-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-052.4 1284 1493 13.56% 22.32% 64.11%-1.09 +3.9 23
2013-08-02 Shamrock Rovers W 3-150.1 1350 1437 28.35% 25.40% 46.25%-0.31 +22.4 46
2013-08-02 @ Dundalk L 1-350.1 1437 1350 46.25% 25.40% 28.35%+0.31 -22.4 36
2013-08-02 Sligo Rovers L 1-251.9 1415 1454 34.65% 25.68% 39.67%-0.08 -10.3 42
2013-08-02 @ Derry City W 2-151.9 1454 1415 39.67% 25.68% 34.65%+0.08 +10.3 43
2013-08-02 UC Dublin L 1-343.5 1176 1215 34.54% 25.68% 39.78%-0.09 -17.9 18
2013-08-02 @ Bohemian W 3-143.5 1215 1176 39.78% 25.68% 34.54%+0.09 +17.9 22
2013-08-04 Shelbourne D 1-153.3 1160 1232 30.28% 25.53% 44.19%-0.24 +0.9 20
2013-08-04 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-153.3 1232 1160 44.19% 25.53% 30.28%+0.24 -0.9 20
2013-08-09 Bohemian W 1-037.8 1234 1158 50.14% 25.06% 24.80%+0.46 +8.4 27
2013-08-09 @ Cork City L 0-137.8 1158 1234 24.80% 25.06% 50.14%-0.46 -8.4 18
2013-08-09 Derry City L 1-339.6 1233 1405 19.51% 24.18% 56.31%-0.71 -11.2 22
2013-08-09 @ UC Dublin W 3-139.6 1405 1233 56.31% 24.18% 19.51%+0.71 +11.2 45
2013-08-09 Dundalk L 1-243.5 1231 1372 22.40% 24.73% 52.88%-0.57 -7.3 20
2013-08-09 @ Shelbourne W 2-143.5 1372 1231 52.88% 24.73% 22.40%+0.57 +7.3 49
2013-08-09 Limerick W 3-036.0 1287 1284 40.69% 25.66% 33.65%+0.12 +29.4 26
2013-08-09 @ Drogheda United L 0-336.0 1284 1287 33.65% 25.66% 40.69%-0.12 -29.4 29
2013-08-09 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-440.2 1414 1489 29.90% 25.51% 44.60%-0.25 -35.0 36
2013-08-09 @ Shamrock Rovers W 4-040.2 1489 1414 44.60% 25.51% 29.90%+0.25 +35.0 50
2013-08-10 Bray Wanderers W 2-029.0 1464 1161 71.57% 19.57% 8.86%+1.53 +5.8 46
2013-08-10 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-229.0 1161 1464 8.86% 19.57% 71.57%-1.53 -5.8 20
2013-08-16 Cork City L 1-244.7 1155 1242 28.41% 25.41% 46.18%-0.31 -8.9 20
2013-08-16 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-144.7 1242 1155 46.18% 25.41% 28.41%+0.31 +8.9 30
2013-08-16 Drogheda United L 0-245.0 1416 1317 52.93% 24.72% 22.35%+0.57 -29.0 45
2013-08-16 @ Derry City W 2-045.0 1317 1416 22.35% 24.72% 52.93%-0.57 +29.0 29
2013-08-16 Shamrock Rovers W 1-048.8 1149 1379 14.97% 22.88% 62.14%-0.99 +17.8 21
2013-08-16 @ Bohemian L 0-148.8 1379 1149 62.14% 22.88% 14.97%+0.99 -17.8 36
2013-08-16 Shelbourne W 1-033.9 1524 1224 71.37% 19.66% 8.97%+1.52 +3.1 53
2013-08-16 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-133.9 1224 1524 8.97% 19.66% 71.37%-1.52 -3.1 20
2013-08-16 Sligo Rovers W 2-045.9 1379 1470 27.92% 25.37% 46.72%-0.33 +26.1 52
2013-08-16 @ Dundalk L 0-245.9 1470 1379 46.72% 25.37% 27.92%+0.33 -26.1 46
2013-08-16 UC Dublin L 1-346.6 1254 1222 44.55% 25.51% 29.94%+0.25 -21.7 29
2013-08-16 @ Limerick W 3-146.6 1222 1254 29.94% 25.51% 44.55%-0.25 +21.7 25
2013-08-30 Bohemian D 1-157.2 1527 1167 75.43% 17.74% 6.83%+1.80 -4.8 54
2013-08-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-157.2 1167 1527 6.83% 17.74% 75.43%-1.80 +4.8 22
2013-08-30 Bray Wanderers W 2-030.8 1346 1147 63.19% 22.59% 14.21%+1.04 +9.6 32
2013-08-30 @ Drogheda United L 0-230.8 1147 1346 14.21% 22.59% 63.19%-1.04 -9.6 20
2013-08-30 Derry City W 4-146.9 1251 1387 22.90% 24.80% 52.30%-0.54 +35.2 33
2013-08-30 @ Cork City L 1-446.9 1387 1251 52.30% 24.80% 22.90%+0.54 -35.2 45
2013-08-30 Dundalk L 0-234.1 1244 1406 20.40% 24.37% 55.23%-0.66 -13.4 25
2013-08-30 @ UC Dublin W 2-034.1 1406 1244 55.23% 24.37% 20.40%+0.66 +13.4 55
2013-08-30 Shamrock Rovers L 1-243.4 1221 1362 22.40% 24.73% 52.87%-0.57 -7.3 20
2013-08-30 @ Shelbourne W 2-143.4 1362 1221 52.87% 24.73% 22.40%+0.57 +7.3 39
2013-08-31 Limerick W 2-031.7 1444 1232 64.31% 22.26% 13.43%+1.10 +9.1 49
2013-08-31 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-231.7 1232 1444 13.43% 22.26% 64.31%-1.10 -9.0 29
2013-09-03 Sligo Rovers D 1-157.0 1355 1453 27.09% 25.30% 47.61%-0.36 +1.3 33
2013-09-03 @ Drogheda United D 1-157.0 1453 1355 47.61% 25.30% 27.09%+0.36 -1.3 50
2013-09-03 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-141.4 1352 1522 19.60% 24.20% 56.20%-0.71 -6.9 45
2013-09-03 @ Derry City W 1-041.4 1522 1352 56.20% 24.20% 19.60%+0.71 +6.9 57
2013-09-07 Cork City W 2-144.5 1369 1286 50.98% 24.97% 24.05%+0.49 +7.7 42
2013-09-07 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-244.5 1286 1369 24.05% 24.97% 50.98%-0.49 -7.7 33
2013-09-07 Sligo Rovers L 0-230.5 1172 1452 11.93% 21.54% 66.53%-1.22 -8.0 22
2013-09-07 @ Bohemian W 2-030.5 1452 1172 66.53% 21.54% 11.93%+1.22 +8.0 53
2013-09-07 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-052.4 1223 1529 10.59% 20.78% 68.63%-1.35 +4.5 30
2013-09-07 @ Limerick D 0-052.4 1529 1223 68.63% 20.78% 10.59%+1.35 -4.5 58
2013-09-08 Drogheda United W 1-041.3 1419 1357 48.46% 25.23% 26.32%+0.39 +8.8 58
2013-09-08 @ Dundalk L 0-141.3 1357 1419 26.32% 25.23% 48.46%-0.39 -8.8 33
2013-09-08 UC Dublin D 1-153.3 1137 1230 27.61% 25.34% 47.04%-0.34 +1.2 21
2013-09-08 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-153.3 1230 1137 47.04% 25.34% 27.61%+0.34 -1.2 26
2013-09-20 Bohemian L 0-339.3 1213 1164 46.83% 25.36% 27.81%+0.33 -38.0 20
2013-09-20 @ Shelbourne W 3-039.3 1164 1213 27.81% 25.36% 46.83%-0.33 +38.0 25
2013-09-20 Bray Wanderers W 2-030.6 1345 1138 63.86% 22.40% 13.74%+1.08 +9.2 48
2013-09-20 @ Derry City L 0-230.6 1138 1345 13.74% 22.40% 63.86%-1.08 -9.2 21
2013-09-20 Dundalk W 2-041.8 1525 1428 52.67% 24.75% 22.57%+0.56 +14.7 61
2013-09-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-241.8 1428 1525 22.57% 24.75% 52.67%-0.56 -14.6 58
2013-09-20 Sligo Rovers L 0-330.5 1229 1460 14.92% 22.86% 62.22%-0.99 -14.6 26
2013-09-20 @ UC Dublin W 3-030.5 1460 1229 62.22% 22.86% 14.92%+0.99 +14.6 56
2013-09-24 Cork City L 2-356.9 1348 1278 49.35% 25.14% 25.51%+0.43 -13.0 33
2013-09-24 @ Drogheda United W 3-256.9 1278 1348 25.51% 25.14% 49.35%-0.43 +13.0 36
2013-09-24 Shamrock Rovers W 2-043.8 1228 1377 21.63% 24.60% 53.78%-0.60 +29.5 33
2013-09-24 @ Limerick L 0-243.8 1377 1228 53.78% 24.60% 21.63%+0.60 -29.5 42
2013-09-26 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-334.0 1129 1540 6.57% 17.47% 75.96%-1.84 -3.6 21
2013-09-26 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-134.0 1540 1129 75.96% 17.47% 6.57%+1.84 +3.6 64
2013-09-27 Derry City W 2-043.7 1202 1354 21.30% 24.54% 54.16%-0.62 +29.7 28
2013-09-27 @ Bohemian L 0-243.7 1354 1202 54.16% 24.54% 21.30%+0.62 -29.6 48
2013-09-27 Drogheda United W 3-144.3 1347 1335 41.87% 25.63% 32.51%+0.16 +17.1 45
2013-09-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-344.3 1335 1347 32.51% 25.63% 41.87%-0.16 -17.1 33
2013-09-27 Limerick L 1-254.7 1413 1257 59.04% 23.64% 17.32%+0.84 -16.0 58
2013-09-27 @ Dundalk W 2-154.7 1257 1413 17.32% 23.64% 59.04%-0.84 +16.0 36
2013-09-27 Shelbourne W 2-029.3 1474 1175 71.28% 19.70% 9.03%+1.51 +6.0 59
2013-09-27 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-229.3 1175 1474 9.03% 19.70% 71.28%-1.51 -6.0 20
2013-09-27 UC Dublin W 2-034.8 1291 1215 50.27% 25.05% 24.69%+0.46 +15.8 39
2013-09-27 @ Cork City L 0-234.8 1215 1291 24.69% 25.05% 50.27%-0.46 -15.8 26
2013-09-30 Bohemian W 1-039.4 1273 1232 45.81% 25.43% 28.75%+0.30 +9.5 39
2013-09-30 @ Limerick L 0-139.4 1232 1273 28.75% 25.43% 45.81%-0.30 -9.5 28
2013-09-30 Bray Wanderers W 3-027.8 1364 1125 66.63% 21.51% 11.86%+1.23 +11.6 48
2013-09-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-327.8 1125 1364 11.86% 21.51% 66.63%-1.23 -11.6 21
2013-09-30 Cork City D 0-052.4 1480 1307 60.76% 23.24% 16.00%+0.92 -3.4 60
2013-09-30 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-052.4 1307 1480 16.00% 23.24% 60.76%-0.92 +3.4 40
2013-09-30 Derry City W 3-034.7 1397 1325 49.74% 25.10% 25.16%+0.44 +23.3 61
2013-09-30 @ Dundalk L 0-334.7 1325 1397 25.16% 25.10% 49.74%-0.44 -23.3 48
2013-09-30 Drogheda United D 2-259.6 1170 1318 21.68% 24.61% 53.71%-0.60 +1.6 21
2013-09-30 @ Shelbourne D 2-259.6 1318 1170 53.71% 24.61% 21.68%+0.60 -1.6 34
2013-10-04 Shelbourne W 3-138.7 1301 1171 56.37% 24.17% 19.46%+0.71 +11.1 51
2013-10-04 @ Derry City L 1-338.7 1171 1301 19.46% 24.17% 56.37%-0.71 -11.1 21
2013-10-04 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-336.3 1199 1543 8.89% 19.59% 71.51%-1.53 -5.1 26
2013-10-04 @ UC Dublin W 3-136.3 1543 1199 71.51% 19.59% 8.89%+1.53 +5.1 67
2013-10-10 Shelbourne W 5-343.4 1311 1160 58.52% 23.75% 17.73%+0.81 +8.7 43
2013-10-10 @ Cork City L 3-543.4 1160 1311 17.73% 23.75% 58.52%-0.81 -8.7 21
2013-10-12 Dundalk D 1-154.9 1222 1420 17.29% 23.63% 59.07%-0.84 +2.8 29
2013-10-12 @ Bohemian D 1-154.9 1420 1222 59.07% 23.63% 17.29%+0.84 -2.8 62
2013-10-12 Shamrock Rovers D 0-050.1 1312 1376 31.32% 25.58% 43.10%-0.20 +0.8 52
2013-10-12 @ Derry City D 0-050.1 1376 1312 43.10% 25.58% 31.32%+0.20 -0.8 49
2013-10-12 UC Dublin D 1-153.9 1316 1194 55.55% 24.32% 20.13%+0.68 -2.3 35
2013-10-12 @ Drogheda United D 1-153.9 1194 1316 20.13% 24.32% 55.55%-0.68 +2.3 27
2013-10-13 Limerick W 1-047.0 1114 1283 19.75% 24.24% 56.02%-0.70 +16.2 24
2013-10-13 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-147.0 1283 1114 56.02% 24.24% 19.75%+0.70 -16.2 39
2013-10-13 Sligo Rovers W 2-045.4 1548 1477 49.57% 25.12% 25.31%+0.44 +16.1 70
2013-10-13 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-245.4 1477 1548 25.31% 25.12% 49.57%-0.44 -16.1 60
2013-10-16 Shelbourne W 1-036.5 1267 1151 54.75% 24.45% 20.80%+0.64 +7.2 42
2013-10-16 @ Limerick L 0-136.5 1151 1267 20.80% 24.45% 54.75%-0.64 -7.2 21
2013-10-18 Bray Wanderers L 0-146.0 1225 1130 52.42% 24.79% 22.79%+0.55 -15.3 29
2013-10-18 @ Bohemian W 1-046.0 1130 1225 22.79% 24.79% 52.42%-0.55 +15.3 27
2013-10-18 Cork City W 4-033.7 1418 1319 52.82% 24.73% 22.44%+0.56 +27.7 65
2013-10-18 @ Dundalk L 0-433.7 1319 1418 22.44% 24.73% 52.82%-0.56 -27.7 43
2013-10-18 Derry City D 1-160.1 1564 1313 67.63% 21.15% 11.22%+1.29 -3.9 71
2013-10-18 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-160.1 1313 1564 11.22% 21.15% 67.63%-1.29 +3.9 53
2013-10-18 Shamrock Rovers L 1-436.1 1196 1375 18.87% 24.04% 57.09%-0.75 -15.3 27
2013-10-18 @ UC Dublin W 4-136.1 1375 1196 57.09% 24.04% 18.87%+0.75 +15.3 52
2013-10-19 Drogheda United W 3-140.9 1461 1314 58.14% 23.83% 18.03%+0.79 +10.4 63
2013-10-19 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-340.9 1314 1461 18.03% 23.83% 58.14%-0.79 -10.4 35
2013-10-25 Bohemian W 1-037.5 1304 1210 52.30% 24.80% 22.90%+0.54 +7.9 38
2013-10-25 @ Drogheda United L 0-137.5 1210 1304 22.90% 24.80% 52.30%-0.54 -7.9 29
2013-10-25 Dundalk L 0-229.8 1145 1445 10.88% 20.96% 68.16%-1.32 -7.3 27
2013-10-25 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-029.8 1445 1145 68.16% 20.96% 10.88%+1.32 +7.3 68
2013-10-25 Limerick W 6-035.5 1317 1274 46.02% 25.42% 28.57%+0.30 +49.4 56
2013-10-25 @ Derry City L 0-635.5 1274 1317 28.57% 25.42% 46.02%-0.30 -49.4 42
2013-10-25 Sligo Rovers L 1-250.0 1390 1471 29.12% 25.46% 45.42%-0.28 -9.0 52
2013-10-25 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-150.0 1471 1390 45.42% 25.46% 29.12%+0.28 +9.0 66
2013-10-25 St Patrick's Athletic W 4-260.2 1292 1560 12.54% 21.85% 65.60%-1.17 +27.2 46
2013-10-25 @ Cork City L 2-460.2 1560 1292 65.60% 21.85% 12.54%+1.17 -27.2 71
2013-10-25 UC Dublin L 1-246.7 1144 1181 34.95% 25.69% 39.36%-0.07 -10.4 21
2013-10-25 @ Shelbourne W 2-146.7 1181 1144 39.36% 25.69% 34.95%+0.07 +10.4 30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2013-05-10 10.73% UC Dublin 1180 4 @ Derry City 1441 2
2 2013-10-25 12.54% @ Cork City 1292 4 St Patrick's Athletic 1560 2
3 2013-04-26 12.77% @ UC Dublin 1152 2 Shamrock Rovers 1417 0
4 2013-05-28 13.14% Dundalk 1276 1 @ Sligo Rovers 1492 0
5 2013-07-05 13.27% @ Cork City 1228 3 Sligo Rovers 1485 1
6 2013-08-16 14.97% @ Bohemian 1149 1 Shamrock Rovers 1379 0
7 2013-09-27 17.32% Limerick 1257 2 @ Dundalk 1413 1
8 2013-04-02 17.71% Dundalk 1226 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1377 1
9 2013-06-14 17.87% @ Dundalk 1308 2 St Patrick's Athletic 1499 1
10 2013-05-24 18.21% @ Bray Wanderers 1168 3 Drogheda United 1355 2
11 2013-05-17 18.37% Bray Wanderers 1141 3 @ Cork City 1283 1
12 2013-10-13 19.75% @ Bray Wanderers 1114 1 Limerick 1283 0
13 2013-07-05 20.35% Dundalk 1313 1 @ Derry City 1433 0
14 2013-09-27 21.30% @ Bohemian 1202 2 Derry City 1354 0
15 2013-09-24 21.63% @ Limerick 1228 2 Shamrock Rovers 1377 0
16 2013-08-16 22.35% Drogheda United 1317 2 @ Derry City 1416 0
17 2013-10-18 22.79% Bray Wanderers 1130 1 @ Bohemian 1225 0
18 2013-08-30 22.90% @ Cork City 1251 4 Derry City 1387 1
19 2013-05-06 23.75% Bray Wanderers 1121 2 @ Shelbourne 1207 1
20 2013-03-15 24.37% Dundalk 1200 3 @ Shelbourne 1279 1
21 2013-05-24 24.39% UC Dublin 1209 3 @ Dundalk 1289 2
22 2013-09-24 25.51% Cork City 1278 3 @ Drogheda United 1348 2
23 2013-04-19 26.24% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1395 2 Sligo Rovers 1500 0
24 2013-06-14 26.86% Shelbourne 1162 3 @ Bohemian 1220 0
25 2013-09-20 27.81% Bohemian 1164 3 @ Shelbourne 1213 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-03-15 53.99 Derry City 6 1317 42.44% @ UC Dublin 0 1258 31.96% 25.61%
2 2013-10-25 49.44 @ Derry City 6 1317 46.02% Limerick 0 1274 28.57% 25.42%
3 2013-06-14 38.69 Shelbourne 3 1162 26.86% @ Bohemian 0 1220 47.86% 25.28%
4 2013-09-20 37.99 Bohemian 3 1164 27.81% @ Shelbourne 0 1213 46.83% 25.36%
5 2013-06-28 36.86 @ UC Dublin 3 1186 29.37% Cork City 0 1265 45.15% 25.47%
6 2013-08-30 35.21 @ Cork City 4 1251 22.90% Derry City 1 1387 52.30% 24.80%
7 2013-08-09 35.02 St Patrick's Athletic 4 1489 44.60% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1414 29.90% 25.51%
8 2013-04-26 34.99 @ UC Dublin 2 1152 12.77% Shamrock Rovers 0 1417 65.27% 21.96%
9 2013-04-12 32.60 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1394 61.99% Bray Wanderers 0 1208 15.09% 22.92%
10 2013-03-15 32.57 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1370 35.70% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1401 38.60% 25.70%
11 2013-04-21 32.36 Limerick 4 1273 47.62% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1175 27.08% 25.30%
12 2013-04-05 30.30 Derry City 4 1416 49.92% @ Bohemian 0 1300 25.00% 25.08%
13 2013-07-05 30.00 @ Cork City 3 1228 13.27% Sligo Rovers 1 1485 64.53% 22.19%
14 2013-05-06 29.75 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1471 40.12% Derry City 0 1471 34.21% 25.67%
15 2013-09-27 29.65 @ Bohemian 2 1202 21.30% Derry City 0 1354 54.16% 24.54%
16 2013-09-24 29.46 @ Limerick 2 1228 21.63% Shamrock Rovers 0 1377 53.78% 24.60%
17 2013-08-09 29.38 @ Drogheda United 3 1287 40.69% Limerick 0 1284 33.65% 25.66%
18 2013-08-16 29.05 Drogheda United 2 1317 22.35% @ Derry City 0 1416 52.93% 24.72%
19 2013-05-10 28.20 UC Dublin 4 1180 10.73% @ Derry City 2 1441 68.41% 20.86%
20 2013-10-18 27.66 @ Dundalk 4 1418 52.82% Cork City 0 1319 22.44% 24.73%
21 2013-10-25 27.22 @ Cork City 4 1292 12.54% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1560 65.60% 21.85%
22 2013-05-17 27.17 Bray Wanderers 3 1141 18.37% @ Cork City 1 1283 57.71% 23.92%
23 2013-04-19 26.96 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1395 26.24% Sligo Rovers 0 1500 48.54% 25.22%
24 2013-08-16 26.11 @ Dundalk 2 1379 27.92% Sligo Rovers 0 1470 46.72% 25.37%
25 2013-03-29 25.10 @ Derry City 4 1381 55.62% Shelbourne 0 1258 20.08% 24.31%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-07-09 64.9 @ Limerick 4 1297 54.13% Bray Wanderers 4 1187 21.32% 24.54%
2 2013-04-27 63.7 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1473 54.22% Drogheda United 2 1363 21.25% 24.53%
3 2013-07-14 60.9 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1455 35.21% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1489 39.10% 25.69%
4 2013-05-03 60.3 @ Drogheda United 2 1364 55.23% Bohemian 2 1245 20.40% 24.37%
5 2013-10-25 60.2 @ Cork City 4 1292 12.54% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1560 65.60% 21.85%
6 2013-10-18 60.1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1564 67.63% Derry City 1 1313 11.22% 21.15%
7 2013-03-15 60.0 @ Drogheda United 2 1339 50.67% Limerick 2 1259 24.33% 25.00%
8 2013-07-19 59.9 @ Cork City 2 1246 26.91% Dundalk 2 1345 47.80% 25.28%
9 2013-03-28 59.8 @ Dundalk 2 1225 24.50% Drogheda United 2 1346 50.48% 25.02%
10 2013-09-30 59.6 @ Shelbourne 2 1170 21.68% Drogheda United 2 1318 53.71% 24.61%
11 2013-07-14 59.4 @ UC Dublin 2 1223 31.45% Drogheda United 2 1286 42.97% 25.59%
12 2013-04-05 59.3 @ Dundalk 2 1242 37.29% Limerick 2 1262 37.01% 25.70%
13 2013-03-29 59.2 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1226 46.64% UC Dublin 2 1178 27.98% 25.37%
14 2013-04-26 59.0 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1422 34.01% Derry City 1 1466 40.32% 25.67%
15 2013-05-24 58.5 @ Bray Wanderers 3 1168 18.21% Drogheda United 2 1355 57.91% 23.88%
16 2013-05-03 58.1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1382 28.05% Sligo Rovers 1 1472 46.57% 25.38%
17 2013-06-08 57.7 Bray Wanderers 5 1183 31.27% @ UC Dublin 4 1204 43.16% 25.58%
18 2013-08-30 57.2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1527 75.43% Bohemian 1 1167 6.83% 17.74%
19 2013-09-03 57.0 @ Drogheda United 1 1355 27.09% Sligo Rovers 1 1453 47.61% 25.30%
20 2013-05-10 56.9 UC Dublin 4 1180 10.73% @ Derry City 2 1441 68.41% 20.86%
21 2013-09-24 56.9 Cork City 3 1278 25.51% @ Drogheda United 2 1348 49.35% 25.14%
22 2013-06-14 56.8 @ Dundalk 2 1308 17.87% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1499 58.35% 23.79%
23 2013-05-24 56.6 UC Dublin 3 1209 24.39% @ Dundalk 2 1289 50.60% 25.01%
24 2013-04-05 55.6 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1395 47.03% Drogheda United 1 1344 27.62% 25.34%
25 2013-07-19 55.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1440 64.70% UC Dublin 1 1224 13.16% 22.14%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-09-30 27.8 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1364 66.63% Bray Wanderers 0 1125 11.86% 21.51%
2 2013-04-01 28.5 Sligo Rovers 3 1471 67.47% @ UC Dublin 0 1179 11.32% 21.21%
3 2013-08-10 29.0 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1464 71.57% Bray Wanderers 0 1161 8.86% 19.57%
4 2013-05-17 29.2 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1443 64.69% @ Shelbourne 0 1185 13.16% 22.15%
5 2013-05-28 29.3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1466 66.99% UC Dublin 0 1223 11.63% 21.38%
6 2013-09-27 29.3 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1474 71.28% Shelbourne 0 1175 9.03% 19.70%
7 2013-04-15 29.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1375 60.75% Shelbourne 0 1202 16.01% 23.24%
8 2013-06-28 29.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1483 70.93% Bray Wanderers 0 1189 9.22% 19.85%
9 2013-10-25 29.8 Dundalk 2 1445 68.16% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1145 10.88% 20.96%
10 2013-07-12 30.0 @ Dundalk 3 1329 59.44% Bohemian 0 1169 17.01% 23.55%
11 2013-09-07 30.5 Sligo Rovers 2 1452 66.53% @ Bohemian 0 1172 11.93% 21.54%
12 2013-09-20 30.5 Sligo Rovers 3 1460 62.22% @ UC Dublin 0 1229 14.92% 22.86%
13 2013-09-20 30.6 @ Derry City 2 1345 63.86% Bray Wanderers 0 1138 13.74% 22.40%
14 2013-03-16 30.8 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1418 60.35% Bray Wanderers 0 1249 16.31% 23.34%
15 2013-04-06 30.8 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1482 68.30% Shelbourne 0 1222 10.80% 20.90%
16 2013-08-30 30.8 @ Drogheda United 2 1346 63.19% Bray Wanderers 0 1147 14.21% 22.59%
17 2013-06-28 31.1 Sligo Rovers 2 1476 66.14% @ Shelbourne 0 1201 12.18% 21.68%
18 2013-04-12 31.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1394 61.99% Bray Wanderers 0 1208 15.09% 22.92%
19 2013-03-29 31.6 @ Derry City 4 1381 55.62% Shelbourne 0 1258 20.08% 24.31%
20 2013-08-31 31.7 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1444 64.31% Limerick 0 1232 13.43% 22.26%
21 2013-04-01 32.1 @ Derry City 2 1406 61.43% Bray Wanderers 0 1226 15.50% 23.07%
22 2013-06-08 32.1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1484 61.92% Limerick 0 1299 15.13% 22.94%
23 2013-05-24 32.4 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1456 62.18% @ Bohemian 0 1226 14.95% 22.87%
24 2013-04-21 33.1 Limerick 4 1273 47.62% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1175 27.08% 25.30%
25 2013-10-18 33.7 @ Dundalk 4 1418 52.82% Cork City 0 1319 22.44% 24.73%