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2014 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Dundalk

74 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Cork City

14.90 points above expected

72 points · 57.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sligo Rovers

13.28 points below expected

43 points · 56.28 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dundalk 33 22 8 3 74 73 24 +49 64.72 +9.28
2 Cork City 33 22 6 5 72 51 25 +26 57.10 +14.90
3 St Patrick's Athletic 33 19 8 6 65 66 37 +29 65.72 -0.72
4 Shamrock Rovers 33 18 8 7 62 43 26 +17 48.90 +13.10
5 Sligo Rovers 33 12 7 14 43 44 36 +8 56.28 -13.28
6 Limerick 33 12 5 16 41 37 45 -8 39.06 +1.94
7 Bohemian 33 9 13 11 40 42 43 -1 40.20 -0.20
8 Derry City 33 9 11 13 38 42 41 +1 50.48 -12.48
9 Drogheda United 33 10 6 17 36 40 63 -23 42.27 -6.27
10 Bray Wanderers 33 5 11 17 26 28 61 -33 27.84 -1.84
11 UC Dublin 33 6 7 20 25 27 71 -44 30.13 -5.13
12 Athlone Town 33 4 10 19 22 35 56 -21 33.33 -11.33

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cork City 72 57.10 +14.90
2 Shamrock Rovers 62 48.90 +13.10
3 Dundalk 74 64.72 +9.28
4 Limerick 41 39.06 +1.94
5 Bohemian 40 40.20 -0.20

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sligo Rovers 43 56.28 -13.28
2 Derry City 38 50.48 -12.48
3 Athlone Town 22 33.33 -11.33
4 Drogheda United 36 42.27 -6.27
5 UC Dublin 25 30.13 -5.13

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork City 6 May 16 – Jun 27 1 in 41
2 Limerick 3 May 23 – Jun 13 1 in 36
3 Dundalk 6 May 2 – Jun 2 1 in 24
4 Shamrock Rovers 3 Mar 14 – Mar 28 1 in 16
5 Derry City 4 Jul 6 – Aug 1 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Athlone Town 10 Mar 8 – Apr 25 1 in 459
2 Sligo Rovers 4 Mar 14 – Apr 4 1 in 176
3 Bray Wanderers 6 Jun 13 – Jul 27 1 in 79
4 Derry City 3 Aug 8 – Aug 18 1 in 79
5 Drogheda United 6 May 20 – Jun 27 1 in 59

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 8 Apr 18 – Jun 1 1 in 41
2 Athlone Town 6 Aug 15 – Sep 26 1 in 36
3 UC Dublin 4 Apr 25 – May 16 1 in 26
4 Dundalk 16 May 2 – Aug 29 1 in 17
5 Bohemian 5 Jun 13 – Jul 25 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 6 Apr 18 – May 16 1 in 39
2 Sligo Rovers 6 Mar 14 – Apr 11 1 in 32
3 Bray Wanderers 13 May 17 – Aug 18 1 in 30
4 Athlone Town 13 Mar 8 – May 20 1 in 21
5 Bohemian 9 Apr 11 – May 30 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dundalk 1451 74 +13 11 11.7 -0.7
Cork City 1333 72 +13 12 9.2 +2.8
St Patrick's Athletic 1367 65 -5 10 10.5 -0.5
Shamrock Rovers 1108 62 +56 13 6.2 +6.8
Sligo Rovers 1233 43 -29 4 7.8 -3.8
Limerick 1121 41 +17 9 5.5 +3.5
Bohemian 1187 40 +10 7 5.8 +1.2
Derry City 1199 38 -43 2 9.7 -7.7
Drogheda United 1113 36 -48 1 7.2 -6.2
Bray Wanderers 999 26 +4 4 3.5 +0.5
UC Dublin 974 25 -6 6 3.2 +2.8
Athlone Town 1114 22 +11 5 4.9 +0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AT BOH BW CC DC DU DUN LIM SR SR SPA UD
Athlone Town —
0-2-1
3.44
0-3-0
4.86
0-1-2
2.38
0-1-2
2.57
1-1-1
3.14
0-0-3
1.57
1-0-2
3.42
0-1-2
3.43
0-0-3
1.87
1-0-2
1.56
1-1-1
4.11
Bohemian
1-2-0
4.77
—
2-1-0
5.17
1-1-1
2.38
1-1-1
3.64
1-1-1
4.21
0-1-2
1.93
2-0-1
4.68
0-2-1
4.08
0-1-2
3.04
0-1-2
2.17
1-2-0
4.79
Bray Wanderers
0-3-0
3.36
0-1-2
3.09
—
0-1-2
2.14
0-2-1
2.46
1-1-1
2.99
1-1-1
1.36
1-1-1
3.20
0-0-3
3.23
1-0-2
1.92
0-0-3
1.63
1-1-1
4.31
Cork City
2-1-0
5.91
1-1-1
5.90
2-1-0
6.19
—
3-0-0
4.20
3-0-0
5.97
0-0-3
2.97
3-0-0
5.69
3-0-0
5.54
1-2-0
4.54
1-1-1
3.06
3-0-0
6.63
Derry City
2-1-0
5.69
1-1-1
4.57
1-2-0
5.82
0-0-3
4.01
—
1-1-1
4.70
0-1-2
2.43
1-1-1
5.30
0-1-2
4.78
2-1-0
3.55
0-1-2
3.03
1-1-1
6.26
Drogheda United
1-1-1
5.10
1-1-1
4.00
1-1-1
5.29
0-0-3
2.31
1-1-1
3.52
—
1-1-1
2.38
2-0-1
4.11
1-0-2
4.38
1-1-1
2.42
0-0-3
2.31
1-0-2
5.06
Dundalk
3-0-0
6.83
2-1-0
6.40
1-1-1
7.11
3-0-0
5.26
2-1-0
5.83
1-1-1
5.93
—
3-0-0
6.30
1-2-0
6.78
2-1-0
4.41
1-1-1
4.12
3-0-0
6.94
Limerick
2-0-1
4.79
1-0-2
3.53
1-1-1
5.04
0-0-3
2.57
1-1-1
2.94
1-0-2
4.10
0-0-3
2.03
—
1-1-1
4.02
1-0-2
2.62
2-1-0
1.83
2-1-0
4.75
Shamrock Rovers
2-1-0
4.83
1-2-0
4.16
3-0-0
4.99
0-0-3
2.72
2-1-0
3.46
2-0-1
3.84
0-2-1
1.62
1-1-1
4.20
—
3-0-0
2.72
1-1-1
1.91
3-0-0
5.16
Sligo Rovers
3-0-0
6.47
2-1-0
5.19
2-0-1
6.41
0-2-1
3.67
0-1-2
4.67
1-1-1
5.86
0-1-2
3.81
2-0-1
5.63
0-0-3
5.55
—
0-1-2
3.47
2-0-1
6.62
St Patrick's Athletic
2-0-1
6.85
2-1-0
6.13
3-0-0
6.77
1-1-1
5.17
2-1-0
5.20
3-0-0
5.99
1-1-1
4.09
0-1-2
6.51
1-1-1
6.44
2-1-0
4.74
—
2-1-0
6.93
UC Dublin
1-1-1
4.09
0-2-1
3.44
1-1-1
3.89
0-0-3
1.74
1-1-1
2.07
2-0-1
3.16
0-0-3
1.50
0-1-2
3.47
0-0-3
3.06
1-0-2
1.75
0-1-2
1.49
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +11.5
Allowed 0.78 -10.3
Differential 0.87 +6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.57%10.10%6.06%3.28%2.02%1.77%29.80%
110.10%14.65%5.30%2.53%2.02%0.51%35.10%
26.06%5.30%4.04%2.53%0.51%0.51%18.94%
33.28%2.53%2.53%——0.25%8.59%
42.02%2.02%0.51%———4.55%
5+1.77%0.51%0.51%0.25%——3.03%
Total29.80%35.10%18.94%8.59%4.55%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 2.03
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%—36.36%
1—18.18%9.09%6.06%3.03%—36.36%
26.06%—6.06%6.06%3.03%—21.21%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total18.18%30.30%24.24%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.70 -0.64
SD 1.22 1.24 1.90
CV 1.15 0.73 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%6.06%—3.03%—30.30%
1—18.18%—9.09%——27.27%
26.06%12.12%9.09%6.06%——33.33%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total24.24%42.42%15.15%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.30 -0.03
SD 1.15 1.10 1.69
CV 0.91 0.85 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%6.06%—6.06%33.33%
19.09%21.21%6.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%51.52%
26.06%——3.03%3.03%—12.12%
3—————3.03%3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%27.27%9.09%18.18%6.06%12.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.85 -1.00
SD 0.76 1.72 1.77
CV 0.89 0.93 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%—6.06%—3.03%—12.12%
127.27%12.12%3.03%———42.42%
29.09%12.12%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
39.09%6.06%————15.15%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total51.52%30.30%12.12%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 0.76 +0.79
SD 1.00 1.00 1.60
CV 0.65 1.32 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%6.06%3.03%—3.03%39.39%
16.06%18.18%6.06%———30.30%
23.03%3.03%6.06%——3.03%15.15%
3——3.03%———3.03%
46.06%—————6.06%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total27.27%42.42%21.21%3.03%—6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.24 +0.03
SD 1.57 1.25 2.16
CV 1.23 1.01 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%9.09%—3.03%9.09%27.27%
112.12%15.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%—45.45%
23.03%—3.03%6.06%——12.12%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total21.21%27.27%27.27%9.09%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.91 -0.70
SD 1.14 1.81 2.51
CV 0.94 0.95 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%————12.12%
112.12%12.12%——3.03%—27.27%
212.12%9.09%6.06%———27.27%
39.09%—3.03%———12.12%
43.03%6.06%————9.09%
5+6.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
Total48.48%36.36%12.12%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.21 0.73 +1.48
SD 1.69 0.91 1.95
CV 0.76 1.25 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%6.06%12.12%3.03%—42.42%
19.09%9.09%12.12%———30.30%
23.03%9.09%————12.12%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4—9.09%3.03%———12.12%
5+———————
Total18.18%45.45%21.21%12.12%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.36 -0.24
SD 1.34 1.03 1.87
CV 1.20 0.75 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%3.03%3.03%——24.24%
121.21%15.15%——3.03%—39.39%
212.12%6.06%3.03%———21.21%
36.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total45.45%39.39%9.09%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.79 +0.52
SD 1.07 0.96 1.52
CV 0.82 1.22 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%27.27%3.03%3.03%——36.36%
13.03%9.09%6.06%—3.03%—21.21%
29.09%6.06%9.09%———24.24%
36.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total27.27%45.45%21.21%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.09 +0.24
SD 1.34 0.95 1.85
CV 1.00 0.87 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%———18.18%
112.12%15.15%3.03%—3.03%—33.33%
23.03%—3.03%———6.06%
3—9.09%15.15%———24.24%
46.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
5+3.03%—3.03%———6.06%
Total30.30%33.33%33.33%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.12 +0.88
SD 1.62 0.96 1.85
CV 0.81 0.86 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%15.15%6.06%9.09%3.03%45.45%
19.09%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%36.36%
2—6.06%—6.06%—3.03%15.15%
3———————
4———————
5+———3.03%——3.03%
Total18.18%21.21%21.21%18.18%12.12%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 2.15 -1.33
SD 1.04 1.64 1.88
CV 1.28 0.76 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dundalk 1451 74 64.72 +9.28 88.0% 47 51 60 64 69 78 83
St Patrick's Athletic 1367 65 65.72 -0.72 50.0% 47 54 62 65 70 77 83
Cork City 1333 72 57.10 +14.90 100.0% 42 45 52 57 62 68 72
Sligo Rovers 1233 43 56.28 -13.28 1.0% 43 46 51 55 61 67 73
Derry City 1199 38 50.48 -12.48 4.0% 32 39 45 50 54 63 71
Bohemian 1187 40 40.20 -0.20 58.0% 27 30 35 39 45 52 59
Limerick 1121 41 39.06 +1.94 67.0% 22 27 35 38 45 51 58
Athlone Town 1114 22 33.33 -11.33 7.0% 20 21 28 33 37 46 51
Drogheda United 1113 36 42.27 -6.27 20.0% 24 31 38 42 47 55 60
Shamrock Rovers 1108 62 88.21 -26.21 51.0% 61 72 82 88 94 102 116
Bray Wanderers 999 26 27.84 -1.84 39.0% 13 16 24 28 32 37 44
UC Dublin 959 25 30.13 -5.13 29.0% 16 19 25 31 35 40 45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.13%
Clear Edge
43.94%25.25%30.81%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 45.89 Elo pts.
203 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.28 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.1
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
2%
Dundalk, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.51 * Some Luck: 5.51 to 8.26 * Lucky: 8.26 to 11.02 * Wild Swing: 11.02 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.3 * Close: 1.3 to 1.95 * Off: 1.95 to 2.59 * Way Off: 2.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
14.27 points
Wild Swing
06.8919
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.624
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Shamrock Rovers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.61%
Sligo Rovers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 143.85
2.44
Wide Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
70%
Slight Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
94%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Notable Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
4.25
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.78
Near-Lock
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.94
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.072
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Dundalk2.00%42.00%26.00%14.00%13.00%3.00%——————
Cork City1.00%9.00%19.00%31.00%20.00%11.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%———
St Patrick's Athletic1.00%36.00%41.00%15.00%4.00%3.00%——————
Shamrock Rovers96.00%2.00%2.00%—————————
Sligo Rovers—6.00%10.00%28.00%33.00%17.00%6.00%—————
Limerick————4.00%9.00%14.00%28.00%16.00%18.00%6.00%5.00%
Bohemian———1.00%5.00%7.00%21.00%19.00%23.00%17.00%6.00%1.00%
Derry City—5.00%1.00%8.00%19.00%32.00%20.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%——
Drogheda United——1.00%3.00%2.00%13.00%21.00%25.00%20.00%10.00%4.00%1.00%
Bray Wanderers———————2.00%8.00%13.00%34.00%43.00%
UC Dublin——————4.00%8.00%14.00%16.00%26.00%32.00%
Athlone Town—————5.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%24.00%24.00%18.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Cork City 100% — —
Derry City 100% — —
Dundalk 100% — —
Shamrock Rovers 100% — —
Sligo Rovers 100% — —
St Patrick's Athletic 100% — —
Drogheda United 95.00% 4.00% 1.00%
Bohemian 93.00% 6.00% 1.00%
Limerick 89.00% 6.00% 5.00%
Athlone Town 58.00% 24.00% 18.00%
Bray Wanderers 23.00% 34.00% 43.00%
UC Dublin — 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2014-03-07 Bohemian L 0-339.3 1133 1139 42.20% 26.64% 31.16%+0.20 -28.9 0
2014-03-07 @ UC Dublin W 3-039.3 1139 1133 31.16% 26.64% 42.20%-0.20 +28.9 3
2014-03-07 Bray Wanderers D 0-048.0 1152 1101 49.72% 25.90% 24.38%+0.48 -1.5 1
2014-03-07 @ Limerick D 0-048.0 1101 1152 24.38% 25.90% 49.72%-0.48 +1.5 1
2014-03-07 Dundalk W 4-144.4 1210 1289 32.11% 26.69% 41.20%-0.16 +23.9 3
2014-03-07 @ Drogheda United L 1-444.4 1289 1210 41.20% 26.69% 32.11%+0.16 -23.9 0
2014-03-07 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.3 1211 1348 24.99% 26.00% 49.01%-0.45 +1.2 1
2014-03-07 @ Cork City D 1-153.3 1348 1211 49.01% 26.00% 24.99%+0.45 -1.2 1
2014-03-08 Athlone Town W 2-139.9 1317 1139 63.56% 22.47% 13.97%+1.11 +3.9 3
2014-03-08 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-239.9 1139 1317 13.97% 22.47% 63.56%-1.11 -3.8 0
2014-03-09 Derry City D 1-152.9 1253 1242 44.60% 26.48% 28.93%+0.28 -0.8 1
2014-03-09 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-152.9 1242 1253 28.93% 26.48% 44.60%-0.28 +0.8 1
2014-03-14 Drogheda United D 2-258.3 1168 1234 33.71% 26.75% 39.54%-0.10 +0.2 4
2014-03-14 @ Bohemian D 2-258.3 1234 1168 39.54% 26.75% 33.71%+0.10 -0.2 4
2014-03-14 Limerick W 2-141.7 1265 1151 57.00% 24.47% 18.53%+0.79 +5.1 3
2014-03-14 @ Dundalk L 1-241.7 1151 1265 18.53% 24.47% 57.00%-0.79 -5.1 1
2014-03-14 Shamrock Rovers L 1-439.8 1135 1253 27.18% 26.30% 46.53%-0.36 -17.4 0
2014-03-14 @ Athlone Town W 4-139.8 1253 1135 46.53% 26.30% 27.18%+0.36 +17.4 4
2014-03-14 Sligo Rovers W 1-048.0 1103 1321 17.54% 24.12% 58.33%-0.85 +13.8 4
2014-03-14 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-148.0 1321 1103 58.33% 24.12% 17.54%+0.85 -13.8 3
2014-03-14 UC Dublin W 3-243.1 1347 1104 69.33% 20.12% 10.55%+1.42 +2.7 4
2014-03-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-343.1 1104 1347 10.55% 20.12% 69.33%-1.42 -2.7 0
2014-03-16 Cork City L 0-145.3 1243 1212 47.14% 26.23% 26.63%+0.38 -11.5 1
2014-03-16 @ Derry City W 1-045.3 1212 1243 26.63% 26.23% 47.14%-0.38 +11.5 4
2014-03-21 Athlone Town W 2-146.4 1101 1117 40.81% 26.71% 32.48%+0.15 +8.2 3
2014-03-21 @ UC Dublin L 1-246.4 1117 1101 32.48% 26.71% 40.81%-0.15 -8.2 0
2014-03-21 Bray Wanderers W 3-139.3 1223 1116 56.23% 24.66% 19.11%+0.75 +9.1 7
2014-03-21 @ Cork City L 1-339.3 1116 1223 19.11% 24.66% 56.23%-0.75 -9.1 4
2014-03-21 Derry City D 1-152.8 1234 1231 43.42% 26.57% 30.02%+0.24 -0.7 5
2014-03-21 @ Drogheda United D 1-152.8 1231 1234 30.02% 26.57% 43.42%-0.24 +0.7 2
2014-03-21 Shamrock Rovers L 1-344.7 1168 1226 34.85% 26.78% 38.37%-0.06 -14.9 4
2014-03-21 @ Bohemian W 3-144.7 1226 1168 38.37% 26.78% 34.85%+0.06 +14.9 7
2014-03-22 Dundalk L 0-146.0 1307 1270 47.93% 26.14% 25.93%+0.41 -11.7 3
2014-03-22 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-046.0 1270 1307 25.93% 26.14% 47.93%-0.41 +11.7 6
2014-03-22 Limerick D 1-154.4 1349 1146 65.90% 21.58% 12.52%+1.23 -3.0 5
2014-03-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.4 1146 1349 12.52% 21.58% 65.90%-1.23 +3.0 2
2014-03-28 Bohemian D 1-153.5 1282 1153 58.57% 24.06% 17.37%+0.86 -2.3 7
2014-03-28 @ Dundalk D 1-153.5 1153 1282 17.37% 24.06% 58.57%-0.86 +2.3 5
2014-03-28 Cork City L 0-334.5 1109 1232 26.57% 26.22% 47.21%-0.38 -20.2 0
2014-03-28 @ Athlone Town W 3-034.5 1232 1109 47.21% 26.22% 26.57%+0.38 +20.2 10
2014-03-28 Drogheda United L 0-140.6 1149 1233 31.32% 26.65% 42.03%-0.19 -8.4 2
2014-03-28 @ Limerick W 1-040.6 1233 1149 42.03% 26.65% 31.32%+0.19 +8.4 8
2014-03-28 Sligo Rovers W 1-043.1 1238 1295 35.01% 26.78% 38.21%-0.06 +9.8 10
2014-03-28 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-143.1 1295 1238 38.21% 26.78% 35.01%+0.06 -9.8 3
2014-03-28 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-048.6 1232 1346 27.58% 26.34% 46.07%-0.34 +1.1 3
2014-03-28 @ Derry City D 0-048.6 1346 1232 46.07% 26.34% 27.58%+0.34 -1.1 6
2014-03-28 UC Dublin L 3-552.3 1107 1109 42.79% 26.61% 30.61%+0.22 -14.7 4
2014-03-28 @ Bray Wanderers W 5-352.3 1109 1107 30.61% 26.61% 42.79%-0.22 +14.7 6
2014-04-04 Athlone Town W 3-245.4 1242 1089 61.06% 23.32% 15.62%+0.98 +4.1 11
2014-04-04 @ Drogheda United L 2-345.4 1089 1242 15.62% 23.32% 61.06%-0.98 -4.1 0
2014-04-04 Bray Wanderers D 1-152.8 1155 1093 51.10% 25.69% 23.21%+0.54 -1.5 6
2014-04-04 @ Bohemian D 1-152.8 1093 1155 23.21% 25.69% 51.10%-0.54 +1.5 5
2014-04-04 Dundalk L 1-447.8 1345 1279 51.52% 25.62% 22.86%+0.55 -28.7 6
2014-04-04 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 4-147.8 1279 1345 22.86% 25.62% 51.52%-0.55 +28.7 10
2014-04-04 Limerick D 1-152.5 1124 1140 40.77% 26.71% 32.52%+0.15 -0.4 7
2014-04-04 @ UC Dublin D 1-152.5 1140 1124 32.52% 26.71% 40.77%-0.15 +0.4 3
2014-04-04 Shamrock Rovers W 3-035.7 1253 1244 44.17% 26.51% 29.32%+0.27 +21.9 13
2014-04-04 @ Cork City L 0-335.7 1244 1253 29.32% 26.51% 44.17%-0.27 -21.9 10
2014-04-04 Sligo Rovers W 1-042.8 1233 1285 35.65% 26.79% 37.56%-0.03 +9.6 6
2014-04-04 @ Derry City L 0-142.8 1285 1233 37.56% 26.79% 35.65%+0.03 -9.6 3
2014-04-07 Bohemian L 1-344.1 1085 1154 33.37% 26.74% 39.89%-0.11 -14.4 0
2014-04-07 @ Athlone Town W 3-144.1 1154 1085 39.89% 26.74% 33.37%+0.11 +14.4 9
2014-04-07 Derry City W 3-033.7 1308 1243 51.44% 25.63% 22.93%+0.55 +17.9 13
2014-04-07 @ Dundalk L 0-333.7 1243 1308 22.93% 25.63% 51.44%-0.55 -17.9 6
2014-04-07 Drogheda United D 1-153.1 1276 1246 47.03% 26.24% 26.73%+0.37 -1.0 4
2014-04-07 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-153.1 1246 1276 26.73% 26.24% 47.03%-0.37 +1.0 12
2014-04-07 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-338.6 1094 1317 17.21% 23.99% 58.80%-0.87 -8.2 5
2014-04-07 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-138.6 1317 1094 58.80% 23.99% 17.21%+0.87 +8.2 9
2014-04-07 UC Dublin W 2-034.2 1210 1124 53.89% 25.18% 20.93%+0.65 +11.4 13
2014-04-07 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-234.2 1124 1210 20.93% 25.18% 53.89%-0.65 -11.4 7
2014-04-11 Athlone Town W 3-245.4 1225 1070 61.22% 23.27% 15.52%+0.99 +4.1 9
2014-04-11 @ Derry City L 2-345.4 1070 1225 15.52% 23.27% 61.22%-0.99 -4.1 0
2014-04-11 Bray Wanderers L 0-245.9 1247 1086 61.87% 23.05% 15.08%+1.02 -27.4 12
2014-04-11 @ Drogheda United W 2-045.9 1086 1247 15.08% 23.05% 61.87%-1.02 +27.3 8
2014-04-11 Dundalk L 1-436.5 1112 1326 17.89% 24.25% 57.86%-0.83 -12.0 7
2014-04-11 @ UC Dublin W 4-136.5 1326 1112 57.86% 24.25% 17.89%+0.83 +12.0 16
2014-04-11 Limerick L 0-145.0 1168 1141 46.68% 26.28% 27.04%+0.36 -11.4 9
2014-04-11 @ Bohemian W 1-045.0 1141 1168 27.04% 26.28% 46.68%-0.36 +11.4 6
2014-04-11 Shamrock Rovers W 1-036.9 1325 1221 55.89% 24.74% 19.37%+0.74 +5.6 12
2014-04-11 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-136.9 1221 1325 19.37% 24.74% 55.89%-0.74 -5.6 13
2014-04-11 Sligo Rovers D 1-153.1 1275 1275 43.01% 26.59% 30.40%+0.23 -0.6 14
2014-04-11 @ Cork City D 1-153.1 1275 1275 30.40% 26.59% 43.01%-0.23 +0.6 5
2014-04-18 Athlone Town W 2-142.5 1152 1066 53.87% 25.18% 20.95%+0.65 +5.7 9
2014-04-18 @ Limerick L 1-242.5 1066 1152 20.95% 25.18% 53.87%-0.65 -5.7 0
2014-04-18 Bohemian W 3-137.5 1330 1157 63.12% 22.63% 14.26%+1.08 +6.8 15
2014-04-18 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-337.5 1157 1330 14.26% 22.63% 63.12%-1.08 -6.8 9
2014-04-18 Derry City D 0-048.0 1113 1229 27.47% 26.33% 46.20%-0.34 +1.1 9
2014-04-18 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-048.0 1229 1113 46.20% 26.33% 27.47%+0.34 -1.1 10
2014-04-18 Drogheda United W 3-141.4 1274 1219 50.10% 25.84% 24.05%+0.49 +11.1 17
2014-04-18 @ Cork City L 1-341.4 1219 1274 24.05% 25.84% 50.10%-0.49 -11.1 12
2014-04-18 Shamrock Rovers D 2-259.5 1338 1220 57.42% 24.36% 18.22%+0.81 -1.6 17
2014-04-18 @ Dundalk D 2-259.5 1220 1338 18.22% 24.36% 57.42%-0.81 +1.6 14
2014-04-18 UC Dublin W 5-029.4 1275 1100 63.27% 22.57% 14.16%+1.09 +18.2 8
2014-04-18 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-529.4 1100 1275 14.16% 22.57% 63.27%-1.09 -18.2 7
2014-04-21 Bray Wanderers W 2-142.3 1208 1114 54.79% 24.99% 20.22%+0.69 +5.5 17
2014-04-21 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-242.3 1114 1208 20.22% 24.99% 54.79%-0.69 -5.5 9
2014-04-21 Cork City L 0-136.2 1082 1285 18.74% 24.54% 56.72%-0.78 -5.5 7
2014-04-21 @ UC Dublin W 1-036.2 1285 1082 56.72% 24.54% 18.74%+0.78 +5.5 20
2014-04-21 Dundalk L 0-134.0 1061 1336 13.64% 22.28% 64.08%-1.13 -4.0 0
2014-04-21 @ Athlone Town W 1-034.0 1336 1061 64.08% 22.28% 13.64%+1.13 +4.0 20
2014-04-21 Limerick D 0-048.3 1228 1158 51.96% 25.54% 22.50%+0.57 -1.8 11
2014-04-21 @ Derry City D 0-048.3 1158 1228 22.50% 25.54% 51.96%-0.57 +1.8 10
2014-04-21 Sligo Rovers L 0-235.6 1150 1294 24.31% 25.89% 49.80%-0.48 -12.9 9
2014-04-21 @ Bohemian W 2-035.6 1294 1150 49.80% 25.89% 24.31%+0.48 +12.9 11
2014-04-21 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-434.2 1208 1337 25.92% 26.14% 47.94%-0.41 -25.9 12
2014-04-21 @ Drogheda United W 4-034.2 1337 1208 47.94% 26.14% 25.92%+0.41 +25.9 18
2014-04-25 Athlone Town W 4-025.9 1363 1057 74.36% 17.64% 8.00%+1.74 +7.9 21
2014-04-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-425.9 1057 1363 8.00% 17.64% 74.36%-1.74 -7.9 0
2014-04-25 Bohemian D 1-153.7 1290 1137 61.13% 23.30% 15.58%+0.98 -2.5 21
2014-04-25 @ Cork City D 1-153.7 1137 1290 15.58% 23.30% 61.13%-0.98 +2.5 10
2014-04-25 Dundalk W 1-048.4 1109 1340 16.55% 23.73% 59.72%-0.92 +14.1 12
2014-04-25 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-148.4 1340 1109 59.72% 23.73% 16.55%+0.92 -14.1 20
2014-04-25 Shamrock Rovers L 2-353.5 1182 1214 38.67% 26.77% 34.56%+0.07 -8.8 12
2014-04-25 @ Drogheda United W 3-253.5 1214 1182 34.56% 26.77% 38.67%-0.07 +8.8 20
2014-04-25 Sligo Rovers L 0-333.8 1160 1307 23.98% 25.83% 50.19%-0.50 -18.6 10
2014-04-25 @ Limerick W 3-033.8 1307 1160 50.19% 25.83% 23.98%+0.50 +18.6 14
2014-04-25 UC Dublin D 1-153.5 1226 1076 60.73% 23.42% 15.85%+0.96 -2.5 12
2014-04-25 @ Derry City D 1-153.5 1076 1226 15.85% 23.42% 60.73%-0.96 +2.5 8
2014-05-02 Bray Wanderers D 0-047.8 1049 1123 32.67% 26.72% 40.62%-0.14 +0.4 1
2014-05-02 @ Athlone Town D 0-047.8 1123 1049 40.62% 26.72% 32.67%+0.14 -0.4 13
2014-05-02 Cork City W 4-034.6 1326 1288 48.08% 26.12% 25.80%+0.42 +25.8 23
2014-05-02 @ Dundalk L 0-434.6 1288 1326 25.80% 26.12% 48.08%-0.42 -25.8 21
2014-05-02 Derry City D 1-152.6 1140 1223 31.39% 26.65% 41.96%-0.19 +0.5 11
2014-05-02 @ Bohemian D 1-152.6 1223 1140 41.96% 26.65% 31.39%+0.19 -0.5 13
2014-05-02 Drogheda United W 2-149.7 1079 1174 30.00% 26.56% 43.44%-0.24 +10.2 11
2014-05-02 @ UC Dublin L 1-249.7 1174 1079 43.44% 26.56% 30.00%+0.24 -10.2 12
2014-05-02 Limerick D 1-153.0 1227 1141 53.84% 25.19% 20.97%+0.65 -1.8 21
2014-05-02 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.0 1141 1227 20.97% 25.19% 53.84%-0.65 +1.8 11
2014-05-03 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-260.0 1325 1371 36.61% 26.79% 36.60%+0.00 +0.0 15
2014-05-03 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-260.0 1371 1325 36.60% 26.79% 36.61%+0.00 +0.0 22
2014-05-09 Cork City W 3-247.9 1371 1262 56.46% 24.60% 18.93%+0.76 +4.9 25
2014-05-09 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-347.9 1262 1371 18.93% 24.60% 56.46%-0.76 -4.9 21
2014-05-09 Limerick W 1-041.0 1123 1143 40.23% 26.73% 33.04%+0.13 +8.8 16
2014-05-09 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-141.0 1143 1123 33.04% 26.73% 40.23%-0.13 -8.8 11
2014-05-09 Shamrock Rovers L 0-143.9 1223 1231 41.93% 26.66% 31.42%+0.19 -10.5 13
2014-05-09 @ Derry City W 1-043.9 1231 1223 31.42% 26.66% 41.93%-0.19 +10.5 24
2014-05-09 UC Dublin D 0-048.0 1140 1089 49.68% 25.91% 24.41%+0.48 -1.5 12
2014-05-09 @ Bohemian D 0-048.0 1089 1140 24.41% 25.91% 49.68%-0.48 +1.5 12
2014-05-16 Bohemian W 1-039.2 1163 1139 46.36% 26.32% 27.33%+0.35 +7.6 15
2014-05-16 @ Drogheda United L 0-139.2 1139 1163 27.33% 26.32% 46.36%-0.35 -7.6 12
2014-05-16 Derry City W 2-036.0 1257 1212 48.91% 26.01% 25.08%+0.45 +13.3 24
2014-05-16 @ Cork City L 0-236.0 1212 1257 25.08% 26.01% 48.91%-0.45 -13.3 13
2014-05-16 Dundalk L 1-241.5 1134 1352 17.56% 24.13% 58.31%-0.85 -4.8 11
2014-05-16 @ Limerick W 2-141.5 1352 1134 58.31% 24.13% 17.56%+0.85 +4.8 26
2014-05-16 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.2 1091 1376 13.07% 21.94% 64.99%-1.18 +2.9 13
2014-05-16 @ UC Dublin D 1-154.2 1376 1091 64.99% 21.94% 13.07%+1.18 -2.9 26
2014-05-17 Athlone Town W 1-033.8 1236 1049 64.36% 22.17% 13.46%+1.15 +3.9 27
2014-05-17 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-133.8 1049 1236 13.46% 22.17% 64.36%-1.15 -3.9 1
2014-05-17 Bray Wanderers W 3-029.3 1325 1131 65.02% 21.93% 13.05%+1.18 +10.4 18
2014-05-17 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-329.3 1131 1325 13.05% 21.93% 65.02%-1.18 -10.4 16
2014-05-20 Cork City L 1-244.0 1129 1270 24.58% 25.94% 49.48%-0.47 -6.5 11
2014-05-20 @ Limerick W 2-144.0 1270 1129 49.48% 25.94% 24.58%+0.47 +6.5 27
2014-05-20 Drogheda United W 7-030.4 1357 1171 64.26% 22.21% 13.52%+1.14 +23.9 29
2014-05-20 @ Dundalk L 0-730.4 1171 1357 13.52% 22.21% 64.26%-1.14 -23.9 15
2014-05-20 Sligo Rovers L 0-230.8 1045 1336 12.79% 21.76% 65.44%-1.21 -7.0 1
2014-05-20 @ Athlone Town W 2-030.8 1336 1045 65.44% 21.76% 12.79%+1.21 +7.0 21
2014-05-23 Bohemian D 0-048.5 1240 1131 56.46% 24.60% 18.93%+0.76 -2.3 28
2014-05-23 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-048.5 1131 1240 18.93% 24.60% 56.46%-0.76 +2.3 13
2014-05-23 Cork City L 0-235.1 1121 1277 23.03% 25.65% 51.32%-0.54 -12.4 16
2014-05-23 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-035.1 1277 1121 51.32% 25.65% 23.03%+0.54 +12.4 30
2014-05-23 Drogheda United W 2-035.5 1199 1147 49.81% 25.89% 24.30%+0.48 +13.0 16
2014-05-23 @ Derry City L 0-235.5 1147 1199 24.30% 25.89% 49.81%-0.48 -12.9 15
2014-05-23 Sligo Rovers W 3-036.3 1381 1343 48.06% 26.12% 25.82%+0.41 +19.8 32
2014-05-23 @ Dundalk L 0-336.3 1343 1381 25.82% 26.12% 48.06%-0.41 -19.8 21
2014-05-23 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-046.2 1123 1373 15.23% 23.13% 61.63%-1.01 +27.3 14
2014-05-23 @ Limerick L 0-246.2 1373 1123 61.63% 23.13% 15.23%+1.01 -27.3 26
2014-05-23 UC Dublin W 2-039.7 1038 1093 35.28% 26.78% 37.94%-0.05 +18.3 4
2014-05-23 @ Athlone Town L 0-239.7 1093 1038 37.94% 26.78% 35.28%+0.05 -18.3 13
2014-05-30 Athlone Town W 1-032.6 1289 1057 68.47% 20.50% 11.03%+1.38 +3.2 33
2014-05-30 @ Cork City L 0-132.6 1057 1289 11.03% 20.50% 68.47%-1.38 -3.2 4
2014-05-30 Bray Wanderers D 0-047.7 1075 1108 38.40% 26.78% 34.82%+0.06 -0.2 14
2014-05-30 @ UC Dublin D 0-047.7 1108 1075 34.82% 26.78% 38.40%-0.06 +0.2 17
2014-05-30 Derry City W 5-239.1 1346 1212 59.12% 23.90% 16.98%+0.89 +9.9 29
2014-05-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-539.1 1212 1346 16.98% 23.90% 59.12%-0.89 -9.9 16
2014-05-30 Dundalk L 0-231.9 1133 1400 14.15% 22.57% 63.28%-1.09 -7.8 13
2014-05-30 @ Bohemian W 2-031.9 1400 1133 63.28% 22.57% 14.15%+1.09 +7.8 35
2014-05-30 Limerick L 1-443.9 1134 1150 40.85% 26.71% 32.44%+0.15 -23.7 15
2014-05-30 @ Drogheda United W 4-143.9 1150 1134 32.44% 26.71% 40.85%-0.15 +23.7 17
2014-06-01 Shamrock Rovers L 0-149.1 1323 1148 63.21% 22.59% 14.20%+1.09 -14.8 21
2014-06-01 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-049.1 1148 1323 14.20% 22.59% 63.21%-1.09 +14.8 31
2014-06-02 Drogheda United W 6-028.2 1356 1110 69.53% 20.02% 10.44%+1.44 +15.6 32
2014-06-02 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-628.2 1110 1356 10.44% 20.02% 69.53%-1.44 -15.6 15
2014-06-02 UC Dublin W 5-233.6 1408 1075 76.29% 16.60% 7.11%+1.87 +3.8 38
2014-06-02 @ Dundalk L 2-533.6 1075 1408 7.11% 16.60% 76.29%-1.87 -3.8 14
2014-06-13 Bohemian L 0-538.5 1109 1126 40.72% 26.71% 32.56%+0.14 -45.2 17
2014-06-13 @ Bray Wanderers W 5-038.5 1126 1109 32.56% 26.71% 40.72%-0.14 +45.2 16
2014-06-13 Cork City L 0-235.7 1149 1293 24.38% 25.90% 49.72%-0.48 -13.0 31
2014-06-13 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-035.7 1293 1149 49.72% 25.90% 24.38%+0.48 +13.0 36
2014-06-13 Derry City D 2-259.2 1308 1202 56.13% 24.68% 19.18%+0.75 -1.5 22
2014-06-13 @ Sligo Rovers D 2-259.2 1202 1308 19.18% 24.68% 56.13%-0.75 +1.5 17
2014-06-13 Drogheda United W 6-037.6 1053 1095 37.25% 26.79% 35.96%+0.02 +48.9 7
2014-06-13 @ Athlone Town L 0-637.6 1095 1053 35.96% 26.79% 37.25%-0.02 -48.9 15
2014-06-13 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-051.2 1412 1371 48.40% 26.08% 25.52%+0.43 -1.3 39
2014-06-13 @ Dundalk D 0-051.2 1371 1412 25.52% 26.08% 48.40%-0.43 +1.3 33
2014-06-13 UC Dublin W 2-141.9 1174 1071 55.76% 24.77% 19.47%+0.73 +5.3 20
2014-06-13 @ Limerick L 1-241.9 1071 1174 19.47% 24.77% 55.76%-0.73 -5.3 14
2014-06-27 Athlone Town D 2-258.5 1171 1102 51.80% 25.57% 22.63%+0.56 -1.2 17
2014-06-27 @ Bohemian D 2-258.5 1102 1171 22.63% 25.57% 51.80%-0.56 +1.2 8
2014-06-27 Bray Wanderers W 3-241.5 1373 1064 74.55% 17.54% 7.91%+1.75 +1.9 36
2014-06-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-341.5 1064 1373 7.91% 17.54% 74.55%-1.75 -1.9 17
2014-06-27 Dundalk D 2-259.9 1204 1411 18.41% 24.43% 57.16%-0.80 +1.6 18
2014-06-27 @ Derry City D 2-259.9 1411 1204 57.16% 24.43% 18.41%+0.80 -1.6 40
2014-06-27 Limerick W 3-031.4 1306 1179 58.35% 24.12% 17.54%+0.85 +14.0 39
2014-06-27 @ Cork City L 0-331.4 1179 1306 17.54% 24.12% 58.35%-0.85 -14.0 20
2014-06-27 Shamrock Rovers L 0-238.3 1066 1136 33.14% 26.73% 40.12%-0.12 -16.6 14
2014-06-27 @ UC Dublin W 2-038.3 1136 1066 40.12% 26.73% 33.14%+0.12 +16.6 34
2014-06-27 Sligo Rovers L 1-239.9 1046 1307 14.56% 22.79% 62.66%-1.06 -4.0 15
2014-06-27 @ Drogheda United W 2-139.9 1307 1046 62.66% 22.79% 14.56%+1.06 +4.0 25
2014-07-04 Bohemian L 1-249.4 1165 1170 42.43% 26.63% 30.94%+0.20 -10.0 20
2014-07-04 @ Limerick W 2-149.4 1170 1165 30.94% 26.63% 42.43%-0.20 +10.0 20
2014-07-04 Drogheda United L 1-347.7 1062 1042 45.68% 26.38% 27.94%+0.32 -18.3 17
2014-07-04 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-147.7 1042 1062 27.94% 26.38% 45.68%-0.32 +18.3 18
2014-07-05 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-154.7 1112 1375 14.44% 22.73% 62.84%-1.07 +13.9 37
2014-07-05 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-254.7 1375 1112 62.84% 22.73% 14.44%+1.07 -13.8 36
2014-07-06 Cork City D 0-048.9 1311 1320 41.82% 26.66% 31.52%+0.18 -0.6 26
2014-07-06 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-048.9 1320 1311 31.52% 26.66% 41.82%-0.18 +0.6 40
2014-07-06 Derry City L 0-139.8 1103 1205 29.12% 26.49% 44.38%-0.28 -8.0 8
2014-07-06 @ Athlone Town W 1-039.8 1205 1103 44.38% 26.49% 29.12%+0.28 +8.0 21
2014-07-11 Cork City L 0-134.4 1060 1320 14.61% 22.82% 62.58%-1.06 -4.3 18
2014-07-11 @ Drogheda United W 1-034.4 1320 1060 62.58% 22.82% 14.61%+1.06 +4.3 43
2014-07-11 Limerick W 3-038.2 1096 1155 34.67% 26.77% 38.56%-0.07 +26.9 11
2014-07-11 @ Athlone Town L 0-338.2 1155 1096 38.56% 26.77% 34.67%+0.07 -26.9 20
2014-07-11 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.5 1180 1361 20.63% 25.10% 54.27%-0.67 +1.8 21
2014-07-11 @ Bohemian D 1-153.5 1361 1180 54.27% 25.10% 20.63%+0.67 -1.8 37
2014-07-13 Bray Wanderers W 5-029.5 1213 1043 62.75% 22.75% 14.49%+1.06 +18.7 24
2014-07-13 @ Derry City L 0-529.5 1043 1213 14.49% 22.75% 62.75%-1.06 -18.7 17
2014-07-13 Dundalk L 0-132.5 1071 1409 10.38% 19.97% 69.65%-1.44 -3.0 37
2014-07-13 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-032.5 1409 1071 69.65% 19.97% 10.38%+1.44 +3.0 43
2014-07-13 Sligo Rovers W 1-048.8 1049 1310 14.55% 22.79% 62.66%-1.06 +14.7 17
2014-07-13 @ UC Dublin L 0-148.8 1310 1049 62.66% 22.79% 14.55%+1.06 -14.7 26
2014-07-18 Shamrock Rovers L 0-337.7 1025 1068 36.98% 26.79% 36.23%+0.01 -26.1 17
2014-07-18 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-037.7 1068 1025 36.23% 26.79% 36.98%-0.01 +26.1 40
2014-07-18 UC Dublin W 2-137.6 1324 1064 70.78% 19.44% 9.78%+1.51 +2.6 46
2014-07-18 @ Cork City L 1-237.6 1064 1324 9.78% 19.44% 70.78%-1.51 -2.6 17
2014-07-20 Athlone Town W 2-028.9 1412 1122 73.09% 18.30% 8.61%+1.66 +4.5 46
2014-07-20 @ Dundalk L 0-228.9 1122 1412 8.61% 18.30% 73.09%-1.66 -4.5 11
2014-07-25 Cork City W 2-043.5 1181 1327 24.11% 25.85% 50.03%-0.49 +22.8 24
2014-07-25 @ Bohemian L 0-243.5 1327 1181 50.03% 25.85% 24.11%+0.49 -22.8 46
2014-07-25 Drogheda United L 0-144.5 1071 1056 45.06% 26.44% 28.50%+0.30 -11.1 40
2014-07-25 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-044.5 1056 1071 28.50% 26.44% 45.06%-0.30 +11.1 21
2014-07-26 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-232.5 1118 1359 15.87% 23.43% 60.70%-0.96 -8.8 11
2014-07-26 @ Athlone Town W 2-032.5 1359 1118 60.70% 23.43% 15.87%+0.96 +8.8 40
2014-07-27 Bray Wanderers W 5-127.5 1417 998 81.76% 13.40% 4.84%+2.29 +3.6 49
2014-07-27 @ Dundalk L 1-527.5 998 1417 4.84% 13.40% 81.76%-2.29 -3.6 17
2014-07-27 Derry City L 1-635.0 1061 1232 21.62% 25.35% 53.03%-0.62 -22.7 17
2014-07-27 @ UC Dublin W 6-135.0 1232 1061 53.03% 25.35% 21.62%+0.62 +22.7 27
2014-07-27 Limerick W 2-031.8 1295 1128 62.49% 22.85% 14.67%+1.05 +8.1 29
2014-07-27 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-231.8 1128 1295 14.67% 22.85% 62.49%-1.05 -8.1 20
2014-08-01 Athlone Town D 1-152.5 995 1109 27.59% 26.34% 46.06%-0.34 +1.0 18
2014-08-01 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-152.5 1109 995 46.06% 26.34% 27.59%+0.34 -1.0 12
2014-08-01 Bohemian W 4-033.4 1254 1204 49.60% 25.92% 24.48%+0.47 +24.7 30
2014-08-01 @ Derry City L 0-433.4 1204 1254 24.48% 25.92% 49.60%-0.47 -24.7 24
2014-08-01 Dundalk L 1-247.0 1304 1420 27.38% 26.32% 46.29%-0.35 -7.1 46
2014-08-01 @ Cork City W 2-147.0 1420 1304 46.29% 26.32% 27.38%+0.35 +7.1 52
2014-08-01 Shamrock Rovers W 4-137.7 1120 1042 52.92% 25.37% 21.71%+0.61 +14.4 23
2014-08-01 @ Limerick L 1-437.7 1042 1120 21.71% 25.37% 52.92%-0.61 -14.4 40
2014-08-01 Sligo Rovers W 1-039.2 1368 1303 51.30% 25.65% 23.04%+0.54 +6.6 43
2014-08-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-139.2 1303 1368 23.04% 25.65% 51.30%-0.54 -6.6 29
2014-08-01 UC Dublin W 4-034.0 1067 1039 46.82% 26.27% 26.92%+0.37 +26.7 24
2014-08-01 @ Drogheda United L 0-434.0 1039 1067 26.92% 26.27% 46.82%-0.37 -26.7 17
2014-08-07 Bray Wanderers W 4-135.7 1134 996 59.63% 23.75% 16.61%+0.91 +11.2 26
2014-08-07 @ Limerick L 1-435.7 996 1134 16.61% 23.75% 59.63%-0.91 -11.2 18
2014-08-08 Bohemian D 0-048.2 1012 1179 21.91% 25.41% 52.68%-0.60 +1.8 18
2014-08-08 @ UC Dublin D 0-048.2 1179 1012 52.68% 25.41% 21.91%+0.60 -1.8 25
2014-08-08 Derry City W 2-046.1 1012 1279 14.17% 22.58% 63.24%-1.09 +27.9 43
2014-08-08 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-246.1 1279 1012 63.24% 22.58% 14.17%+1.09 -27.9 30
2014-08-08 Dundalk D 1-154.9 1094 1427 10.60% 20.15% 69.25%-1.42 +3.3 25
2014-08-08 @ Drogheda United D 1-154.9 1427 1094 69.25% 20.15% 10.60%+1.42 -3.3 53
2014-08-08 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-044.9 1297 1374 32.26% 26.70% 41.04%-0.15 +10.3 49
2014-08-08 @ Cork City L 0-144.9 1374 1297 41.04% 26.70% 32.26%+0.15 -10.3 43
2014-08-09 Athlone Town W 3-136.9 1297 1108 64.53% 22.11% 13.36%+1.16 +6.4 32
2014-08-09 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-336.9 1108 1297 13.36% 22.11% 64.53%-1.16 -6.4 12
2014-08-15 Cork City L 0-142.3 1251 1307 35.17% 26.78% 38.05%-0.05 -9.2 30
2014-08-15 @ Derry City W 1-042.3 1307 1251 38.05% 26.78% 35.17%+0.05 +9.2 52
2014-08-15 Drogheda United W 2-142.7 1178 1097 53.24% 25.31% 21.45%+0.62 +5.8 28
2014-08-15 @ Bohemian L 1-242.7 1097 1178 21.45% 25.31% 53.24%-0.62 -5.8 25
2014-08-15 Limerick W 1-032.1 1424 1146 72.22% 18.74% 9.04%+1.60 +2.5 56
2014-08-15 @ Dundalk L 0-132.1 1146 1424 9.04% 18.74% 72.22%-1.60 -2.5 26
2014-08-15 Shamrock Rovers D 1-152.6 1102 1058 48.74% 26.04% 25.22%+0.44 -1.2 13
2014-08-15 @ Athlone Town D 1-152.6 1058 1102 25.22% 26.04% 48.74%-0.44 +1.2 44
2014-08-15 Sligo Rovers L 0-132.7 985 1303 11.31% 20.72% 67.97%-1.35 -3.3 18
2014-08-15 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-032.7 1303 985 67.97% 20.72% 11.31%+1.35 +3.3 35
2014-08-15 UC Dublin W 3-240.6 1364 1014 77.46% 15.95% 6.60%+1.95 +1.6 46
2014-08-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-340.6 1014 1364 6.60% 15.95% 77.46%-1.95 -1.6 18
2014-08-18 Athlone Town D 1-152.4 1012 1101 30.79% 26.62% 42.59%-0.21 +0.6 19
2014-08-18 @ UC Dublin D 1-152.4 1101 1012 42.59% 26.62% 30.79%+0.21 -0.6 14
2014-08-18 Bray Wanderers D 1-155.5 1317 981 76.43% 16.52% 7.05%+1.88 -3.9 53
2014-08-18 @ Cork City D 1-155.5 981 1317 7.05% 16.52% 76.43%-1.88 +3.9 19
2014-08-18 Derry City W 1-046.1 1091 1242 23.56% 25.76% 50.68%-0.52 +12.2 28
2014-08-18 @ Drogheda United L 0-146.1 1242 1091 50.68% 25.76% 23.56%+0.52 -12.2 30
2014-08-18 Dundalk D 1-154.9 1307 1427 26.92% 26.27% 46.82%-0.37 +1.0 36
2014-08-18 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.9 1427 1307 46.82% 26.27% 26.92%+0.37 -1.0 57
2014-08-18 Limerick L 0-150.0 1366 1143 67.57% 20.89% 11.54%+1.32 -15.6 46
2014-08-18 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-050.0 1143 1366 11.54% 20.89% 67.57%-1.32 +15.6 29
2014-08-25 Derry City L 0-436.1 1159 1230 33.07% 26.73% 40.20%-0.12 -31.4 29
2014-08-25 @ Limerick W 4-036.1 1230 1159 40.20% 26.73% 33.07%+0.12 +31.4 33
2014-08-29 Bohemian W 3-243.9 1426 1183 69.27% 20.14% 10.58%+1.42 +2.7 60
2014-08-29 @ Dundalk L 2-343.9 1183 1426 10.58% 20.14% 69.27%-1.42 -2.7 28
2014-08-29 Cork City D 2-259.1 1100 1313 17.97% 24.28% 57.75%-0.82 +1.6 15
2014-08-29 @ Athlone Town D 2-259.1 1313 1100 57.75% 24.28% 17.97%+0.82 -1.6 54
2014-08-29 Drogheda United L 0-340.3 1127 1104 46.22% 26.33% 27.45%+0.34 -31.0 29
2014-08-29 @ Limerick W 3-040.3 1104 1127 27.45% 26.33% 46.22%-0.34 +31.0 31
2014-08-29 Sligo Rovers W 1-048.1 1082 1308 16.95% 23.89% 59.16%-0.89 +14.0 47
2014-08-29 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-148.1 1308 1082 59.16% 23.89% 16.95%+0.89 -14.0 36
2014-08-29 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-141.2 1261 1350 30.78% 26.62% 42.61%-0.21 -8.3 33
2014-08-29 @ Derry City W 1-041.2 1350 1261 42.61% 26.62% 30.78%+0.21 +8.3 49
2014-08-29 UC Dublin W 2-038.5 985 1013 39.21% 26.76% 34.03%+0.09 +16.9 22
2014-08-29 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-238.5 1013 985 34.03% 26.76% 39.21%-0.09 -16.9 19
2014-09-05 Athlone Town D 1-152.6 1135 1102 47.39% 26.20% 26.41%+0.39 -1.1 32
2014-09-05 @ Drogheda United D 1-152.6 1102 1135 26.41% 26.20% 47.39%-0.39 +1.1 16
2014-09-05 Bray Wanderers W 2-139.6 1181 1002 63.59% 22.46% 13.95%+1.11 +3.8 31
2014-09-05 @ Bohemian L 1-239.6 1002 1181 13.95% 22.46% 63.59%-1.11 -3.8 22
2014-09-05 Dundalk W 1-046.4 1358 1428 33.21% 26.74% 40.05%-0.12 +10.1 52
2014-09-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-146.4 1428 1358 40.05% 26.74% 33.21%+0.12 -10.1 60
2014-09-05 Limerick L 1-342.8 996 1096 29.28% 26.51% 44.21%-0.27 -13.0 19
2014-09-05 @ UC Dublin W 3-142.8 1096 996 44.21% 26.51% 29.28%+0.27 +13.0 32
2014-09-05 Shamrock Rovers W 1-033.4 1311 1106 66.04% 21.52% 12.43%+1.24 +3.6 57
2014-09-05 @ Cork City L 0-133.4 1106 1311 12.43% 21.52% 66.04%-1.24 -3.6 47
2014-09-05 Sligo Rovers W 2-148.0 1253 1294 37.37% 26.79% 35.84%+0.03 +8.8 36
2014-09-05 @ Derry City L 1-248.0 1294 1253 35.84% 26.79% 37.37%-0.03 -8.8 36
2014-09-08 Bohemian W 3-247.3 1285 1185 55.49% 24.83% 19.68%+0.72 +5.1 39
2014-09-08 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-347.3 1185 1285 19.68% 24.83% 55.49%-0.72 -5.1 31
2014-09-08 Derry City W 5-031.4 1418 1262 61.43% 23.20% 15.37%+1.00 +19.8 63
2014-09-08 @ Dundalk L 0-531.4 1262 1418 15.37% 23.20% 61.43%-1.00 -19.8 36
2014-09-19 Bohemian D 0-047.8 1103 1179 32.33% 26.70% 40.97%-0.15 +0.5 17
2014-09-19 @ Athlone Town D 0-047.8 1179 1103 40.97% 26.70% 32.33%+0.15 -0.5 32
2014-09-19 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-438.3 998 1368 9.05% 18.75% 72.21%-1.60 -3.7 22
2014-09-19 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-238.3 1368 998 72.21% 18.75% 9.05%+1.60 +3.7 55
2014-09-20 Drogheda United L 0-245.9 1290 1133 61.43% 23.20% 15.37%+1.00 -27.2 39
2014-09-20 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-045.9 1133 1290 15.37% 23.20% 61.43%-1.00 +27.2 35
2014-09-21 Cork City L 0-136.2 1109 1315 18.56% 24.48% 56.96%-0.79 -5.4 32
2014-09-21 @ Limerick W 1-036.2 1315 1109 56.96% 24.48% 18.56%+0.79 +5.4 60
2014-09-23 Shamrock Rovers D 1-153.1 1179 1067 56.84% 24.51% 18.65%+0.78 -2.1 33
2014-09-23 @ Bohemian D 1-153.1 1067 1179 18.65% 24.51% 56.84%-0.78 +2.1 48
2014-09-26 Athlone Town D 1-153.4 1242 1103 59.63% 23.75% 16.61%+0.91 -2.4 37
2014-09-26 @ Derry City D 1-153.4 1103 1242 16.61% 23.75% 59.63%-0.91 +2.4 18
2014-09-26 Bray Wanderers D 1-153.6 1161 995 62.39% 22.88% 14.73%+1.05 -2.7 36
2014-09-26 @ Drogheda United D 1-153.6 995 1161 14.73% 22.88% 62.39%-1.05 +2.6 23
2014-09-26 Dundalk L 0-227.0 983 1438 6.21% 15.44% 78.35%-2.02 -3.1 19
2014-09-26 @ UC Dublin W 2-027.0 1438 983 78.35% 15.44% 6.21%+2.02 +3.1 66
2014-09-26 Limerick W 2-034.7 1177 1104 52.35% 25.47% 22.18%+0.59 +12.0 36
2014-09-26 @ Bohemian L 0-234.7 1104 1177 22.18% 25.47% 52.35%-0.59 -12.0 32
2014-09-26 Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.4 1372 1069 74.12% 17.77% 8.11%+1.72 -3.7 56
2014-09-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-155.4 1069 1372 8.11% 17.77% 74.12%-1.72 +3.7 49
2014-09-26 Sligo Rovers W 2-144.3 1320 1263 50.46% 25.79% 23.75%+0.51 +6.3 63
2014-09-26 @ Cork City L 1-244.3 1263 1320 23.75% 25.79% 50.46%-0.51 -6.4 39
2014-09-30 Bohemian W 3-137.6 1368 1189 63.66% 22.43% 13.90%+1.11 +6.6 59
2014-09-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-337.6 1189 1368 13.90% 22.43% 63.66%-1.11 -6.6 36
2014-09-30 Derry City D 1-153.4 997 1240 15.77% 23.38% 60.85%-0.97 +2.5 24
2014-09-30 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-153.4 1240 997 60.85% 23.38% 15.77%+0.97 -2.5 38
2014-09-30 UC Dublin W 3-032.9 1052 980 52.25% 25.49% 22.25%+0.58 +17.4 52
2014-09-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-332.9 980 1052 22.25% 25.49% 52.25%-0.58 -17.4 19
2014-10-03 Athlone Town W 4-247.5 1092 1106 41.17% 26.69% 32.14%+0.16 +12.5 35
2014-10-03 @ Limerick L 2-447.5 1106 1092 32.14% 26.69% 41.17%-0.16 -12.5 18
2014-10-03 Drogheda United W 2-140.2 1326 1158 62.60% 22.81% 14.59%+1.06 +4.0 66
2014-10-03 @ Cork City L 1-240.2 1158 1326 14.59% 22.81% 62.60%-1.06 -4.0 36
2014-10-04 UC Dublin W 4-026.0 1256 962 73.42% 18.13% 8.45%+1.68 +8.4 42
2014-10-04 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-426.0 962 1256 8.45% 18.13% 73.42%-1.68 -8.4 19
2014-10-10 Bray Wanderers W 1-038.1 1050 1000 49.56% 25.92% 24.52%+0.47 +6.9 55
2014-10-10 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-138.1 1000 1050 24.52% 25.92% 49.56%-0.47 -6.9 24
2014-10-10 Cork City L 0-426.3 954 1330 8.80% 18.50% 72.70%-1.63 -8.8 19
2014-10-10 @ UC Dublin W 4-026.3 1330 954 72.70% 18.50% 8.80%+1.63 +8.8 69
2014-10-10 Dundalk L 0-328.0 1093 1441 9.96% 19.60% 70.44%-1.49 -7.7 18
2014-10-10 @ Athlone Town W 3-028.0 1441 1093 70.44% 19.60% 9.96%+1.49 +7.7 69
2014-10-10 Limerick L 1-253.6 1237 1105 58.99% 23.94% 17.07%+0.88 -13.1 38
2014-10-10 @ Derry City W 2-153.6 1105 1237 17.07% 23.94% 58.99%-0.88 +13.1 38
2014-10-10 Sligo Rovers D 2-258.4 1182 1265 31.57% 26.66% 41.77%-0.18 +0.4 37
2014-10-10 @ Bohemian D 2-258.4 1265 1182 41.77% 26.66% 31.57%+0.18 -0.4 43
2014-10-10 St Patrick's Athletic L 2-346.6 1154 1375 17.32% 24.04% 58.64%-0.86 -4.5 36
2014-10-10 @ Drogheda United W 3-246.6 1375 1154 58.64% 24.04% 17.32%+0.86 +4.5 62
2014-10-13 Shamrock Rovers D 0-051.8 1449 1070 79.32% 14.87% 5.81%+2.09 -4.6 70
2014-10-13 @ Dundalk D 0-051.8 1070 1449 5.81% 14.87% 79.32%-2.09 +4.6 56
2014-10-17 Athlone Town L 0-248.1 1379 1085 73.43% 18.13% 8.44%+1.68 -31.3 62
2014-10-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-048.1 1085 1379 8.44% 18.13% 73.43%-1.68 +31.3 21
2014-10-17 Bohemian W 1-035.1 1339 1183 61.44% 23.20% 15.37%+1.00 +4.5 72
2014-10-17 @ Cork City L 0-135.1 1183 1339 15.37% 23.20% 61.44%-1.00 -4.5 37
2014-10-17 Dundalk D 1-156.0 993 1444 6.32% 15.58% 78.11%-2.00 +4.0 25
2014-10-17 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-156.0 1444 993 78.11% 15.58% 6.32%+2.00 -4.0 71
2014-10-17 Shamrock Rovers L 0-243.7 1149 1075 52.52% 25.44% 22.04%+0.59 -23.8 36
2014-10-17 @ Drogheda United W 2-043.7 1075 1149 22.04% 25.44% 52.52%-0.59 +23.8 59
2014-10-17 Sligo Rovers W 1-046.0 1118 1264 24.00% 25.84% 50.17%-0.50 +12.1 41
2014-10-17 @ Limerick L 0-146.0 1264 1118 50.17% 25.84% 24.00%+0.50 -12.1 43
2014-10-17 UC Dublin L 0-150.3 1224 945 72.24% 18.73% 9.03%+1.60 -16.4 38
2014-10-17 @ Derry City W 1-050.3 945 1224 9.03% 18.73% 72.24%-1.60 +16.4 22
2014-10-24 Bray Wanderers D 1-153.1 1117 997 57.64% 24.31% 18.05%+0.82 -2.2 22
2014-10-24 @ Athlone Town D 1-153.1 997 1117 18.05% 24.31% 57.64%-0.82 +2.2 26
2014-10-24 Cork City W 2-037.1 1440 1344 55.09% 24.92% 19.99%+0.70 +10.9 74
2014-10-24 @ Dundalk L 0-237.1 1344 1440 19.99% 24.92% 55.09%-0.70 -10.9 72
2014-10-24 Derry City W 2-147.1 1178 1208 38.96% 26.77% 34.28%+0.08 +8.5 40
2014-10-24 @ Bohemian L 1-247.1 1208 1178 34.28% 26.77% 38.96%-0.08 -8.5 38
2014-10-24 Drogheda United W 1-046.3 962 1126 22.24% 25.49% 52.27%-0.58 +12.6 25
2014-10-24 @ UC Dublin L 0-146.3 1126 962 52.27% 25.49% 22.24%+0.58 -12.6 36
2014-10-24 Limerick W 1-041.4 1099 1130 38.74% 26.77% 34.49%+0.07 +9.1 62
2014-10-24 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-141.4 1130 1099 34.49% 26.77% 38.74%-0.07 -9.0 41
2014-10-24 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-441.4 1252 1348 29.84% 26.55% 43.61%-0.25 -18.7 43
2014-10-24 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-141.4 1348 1252 43.61% 26.55% 29.84%+0.25 +18.7 65

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2014-10-27 Galway United L 1-2 974 1177 18.76% 24.55% 56.69%-0.77 -5.1 0-1
2014-10-27 @ UC Dublin W 2-1 1177 974 56.69% 24.55% 18.76%+0.77 +5.1 1-0
2014-10-31 UC Dublin W 3-0 1182 969 66.76% 21.23% 12.01%+1.28 +9.5 2-0
2014-10-31 @ Galway United L 0-3 969 1182 12.01% 21.23% 66.76%-1.28 -9.5 0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-10-17 8.44% Athlone Town 1085 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1379 0
2 2014-10-17 9.03% UC Dublin 945 1 @ Derry City 1224 0
3 2014-08-18 11.54% Limerick 1143 1 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1366 0
4 2014-08-08 14.17% @ Shamrock Rovers 1012 2 Derry City 1279 0
5 2014-06-01 14.20% Shamrock Rovers 1148 1 @ Sligo Rovers 1323 0
6 2014-07-05 14.44% @ Shamrock Rovers 1112 2 St Patrick's Athletic 1375 1
7 2014-07-13 14.55% @ UC Dublin 1049 1 Sligo Rovers 1310 0
8 2014-04-11 15.08% Bray Wanderers 1086 2 @ Drogheda United 1247 0
9 2014-05-23 15.23% @ Limerick 1123 2 St Patrick's Athletic 1373 0
10 2014-09-20 15.37% Drogheda United 1133 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1290 0
11 2014-04-25 16.55% @ Bray Wanderers 1109 1 Dundalk 1340 0
12 2014-08-29 16.95% @ Shamrock Rovers 1082 1 Sligo Rovers 1308 0
13 2014-10-10 17.07% Limerick 1105 2 @ Derry City 1237 1
14 2014-03-14 17.54% @ Bray Wanderers 1103 1 Sligo Rovers 1321 0
15 2014-10-17 22.04% Shamrock Rovers 1075 2 @ Drogheda United 1149 0
16 2014-10-24 22.24% @ UC Dublin 962 1 Drogheda United 1126 0
17 2014-04-04 22.86% Dundalk 1279 4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1345 1
18 2014-08-18 23.56% @ Drogheda United 1091 1 Derry City 1242 0
19 2014-10-17 24.00% @ Limerick 1118 1 Sligo Rovers 1264 0
20 2014-07-25 24.11% @ Bohemian 1181 2 Cork City 1327 0
21 2014-03-22 25.93% Dundalk 1270 1 @ Sligo Rovers 1307 0
22 2014-03-16 26.63% Cork City 1212 1 @ Derry City 1243 0
23 2014-04-11 27.04% Limerick 1141 1 @ Bohemian 1168 0
24 2014-08-29 27.45% Drogheda United 1104 3 @ Limerick 1127 0
25 2014-07-04 27.94% Drogheda United 1042 3 @ Bray Wanderers 1062 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-06-13 48.91 @ Athlone Town 6 1053 37.25% Drogheda United 0 1095 35.96% 26.79%
2 2014-06-13 45.20 Bohemian 5 1126 32.56% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1109 40.72% 26.71%
3 2014-08-25 31.39 Derry City 4 1230 40.20% @ Limerick 0 1159 33.07% 26.73%
4 2014-10-17 31.26 Athlone Town 2 1085 8.44% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1379 73.43% 18.13%
5 2014-08-29 31.04 Drogheda United 3 1104 27.45% @ Limerick 0 1127 46.22% 26.33%
6 2014-03-07 28.86 Bohemian 3 1139 31.16% @ UC Dublin 0 1133 42.20% 26.64%
7 2014-04-04 28.65 Dundalk 4 1279 22.86% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1345 51.52% 25.62%
8 2014-08-08 27.87 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1012 14.17% Derry City 0 1279 63.24% 22.58%
9 2014-04-11 27.36 Bray Wanderers 2 1086 15.08% @ Drogheda United 0 1247 61.87% 23.05%
10 2014-05-23 27.27 @ Limerick 2 1123 15.23% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1373 61.63% 23.13%
11 2014-09-20 27.19 Drogheda United 2 1133 15.37% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1290 61.43% 23.20%
12 2014-07-11 26.93 @ Athlone Town 3 1096 34.67% Limerick 0 1155 38.56% 26.77%
13 2014-08-01 26.72 @ Drogheda United 4 1067 46.82% UC Dublin 0 1039 26.92% 26.27%
14 2014-07-18 26.11 Shamrock Rovers 3 1068 36.23% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1025 36.98% 26.79%
15 2014-04-21 25.91 St Patrick's Athletic 4 1337 47.94% @ Drogheda United 0 1208 25.92% 26.14%
16 2014-05-02 25.81 @ Dundalk 4 1326 48.08% Cork City 0 1288 25.80% 26.12%
17 2014-08-01 24.71 @ Derry City 4 1254 49.60% Bohemian 0 1204 24.48% 25.92%
18 2014-05-20 23.93 @ Dundalk 7 1357 64.26% Drogheda United 0 1171 13.52% 22.21%
19 2014-03-07 23.89 @ Drogheda United 4 1210 32.11% Dundalk 1 1289 41.20% 26.69%
20 2014-10-17 23.78 Shamrock Rovers 2 1075 22.04% @ Drogheda United 0 1149 52.52% 25.44%
21 2014-05-30 23.73 Limerick 4 1150 32.44% @ Drogheda United 1 1134 40.85% 26.71%
22 2014-07-25 22.82 @ Bohemian 2 1181 24.11% Cork City 0 1327 50.03% 25.85%
23 2014-07-27 22.66 Derry City 6 1232 53.03% @ UC Dublin 1 1061 21.62% 25.35%
24 2014-04-04 21.90 @ Cork City 3 1253 44.17% Shamrock Rovers 0 1244 29.32% 26.51%
25 2014-03-28 20.24 Cork City 3 1232 47.21% @ Athlone Town 0 1109 26.57% 26.22%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-05-03 60.0 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1325 36.61% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1371 36.60% 26.79%
2 2014-06-27 59.9 @ Derry City 2 1204 18.41% Dundalk 2 1411 57.16% 24.43%
3 2014-04-18 59.5 @ Dundalk 2 1338 57.42% Shamrock Rovers 2 1220 18.22% 24.36%
4 2014-06-13 59.2 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1308 56.13% Derry City 2 1202 19.18% 24.68%
5 2014-08-29 59.1 @ Athlone Town 2 1100 17.97% Cork City 2 1313 57.75% 24.28%
6 2014-06-27 58.5 @ Bohemian 2 1171 51.80% Athlone Town 2 1102 22.63% 25.57%
7 2014-10-10 58.4 @ Bohemian 2 1182 31.57% Sligo Rovers 2 1265 41.77% 26.66%
8 2014-03-14 58.3 @ Bohemian 2 1168 33.71% Drogheda United 2 1234 39.54% 26.75%
9 2014-10-17 56.0 @ Bray Wanderers 1 993 6.32% Dundalk 1 1444 78.11% 15.58%
10 2014-08-18 55.5 @ Cork City 1 1317 76.43% Bray Wanderers 1 981 7.05% 16.52%
11 2014-09-26 55.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1372 74.12% Shamrock Rovers 1 1069 8.11% 17.77%
12 2014-08-08 54.9 @ Drogheda United 1 1094 10.60% Dundalk 1 1427 69.25% 20.15%
13 2014-08-18 54.9 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1307 26.92% Dundalk 1 1427 46.82% 26.27%
14 2014-07-05 54.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1112 14.44% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1375 62.84% 22.73%
15 2014-03-22 54.4 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1349 65.90% Limerick 1 1146 12.52% 21.58%
16 2014-05-16 54.2 @ UC Dublin 1 1091 13.07% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1376 64.99% 21.94%
17 2014-04-25 53.7 @ Cork City 1 1290 61.13% Bohemian 1 1137 15.58% 23.30%
18 2014-09-26 53.6 @ Drogheda United 1 1161 62.39% Bray Wanderers 1 995 14.73% 22.88%
19 2014-10-10 53.6 Limerick 2 1105 17.07% @ Derry City 1 1237 58.99% 23.94%
20 2014-03-28 53.5 @ Dundalk 1 1282 58.57% Bohemian 1 1153 17.37% 24.06%
21 2014-04-25 53.5 Shamrock Rovers 3 1214 34.56% @ Drogheda United 2 1182 38.67% 26.77%
22 2014-04-25 53.5 @ Derry City 1 1226 60.73% UC Dublin 1 1076 15.85% 23.42%
23 2014-07-11 53.5 @ Bohemian 1 1180 20.63% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1361 54.27% 25.10%
24 2014-09-26 53.4 @ Derry City 1 1242 59.63% Athlone Town 1 1103 16.61% 23.75%
25 2014-09-30 53.4 @ Bray Wanderers 1 997 15.77% Derry City 1 1240 60.85% 23.38%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2014-04-25 25.9 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1363 74.36% Athlone Town 0 1057 8.00% 17.64%
2 2014-10-04 26.0 @ Sligo Rovers 4 1256 73.42% UC Dublin 0 962 8.45% 18.13%
3 2014-10-10 26.3 Cork City 4 1330 72.70% @ UC Dublin 0 954 8.80% 18.50%
4 2014-09-26 27.0 Dundalk 2 1438 78.35% @ UC Dublin 0 983 6.21% 15.44%
5 2014-07-27 27.5 @ Dundalk 5 1417 81.76% Bray Wanderers 1 998 4.84% 13.40%
6 2014-10-10 28.0 Dundalk 3 1441 70.44% @ Athlone Town 0 1093 9.96% 19.60%
7 2014-06-02 28.2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 6 1356 69.53% Drogheda United 0 1110 10.44% 20.02%
8 2014-07-20 28.9 @ Dundalk 2 1412 73.09% Athlone Town 0 1122 8.61% 18.30%
9 2014-05-17 29.3 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1325 65.02% Bray Wanderers 0 1131 13.05% 21.93%
10 2014-04-18 29.4 @ Sligo Rovers 5 1275 63.27% UC Dublin 0 1100 14.16% 22.57%
11 2014-07-13 29.5 @ Derry City 5 1213 62.75% Bray Wanderers 0 1043 14.49% 22.75%
12 2014-05-20 30.4 @ Dundalk 7 1357 64.26% Drogheda United 0 1171 13.52% 22.21%
13 2014-05-20 30.8 Sligo Rovers 2 1336 65.44% @ Athlone Town 0 1045 12.79% 21.76%
14 2014-06-27 31.4 @ Cork City 3 1306 58.35% Limerick 0 1179 17.54% 24.12%
15 2014-09-08 31.4 @ Dundalk 5 1418 61.43% Derry City 0 1262 15.37% 23.20%
16 2014-07-27 31.8 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1295 62.49% Limerick 0 1128 14.67% 22.85%
17 2014-05-30 31.9 Dundalk 2 1400 63.28% @ Bohemian 0 1133 14.15% 22.57%
18 2014-08-15 32.1 @ Dundalk 1 1424 72.22% Limerick 0 1146 9.04% 18.74%
19 2014-07-13 32.5 Dundalk 1 1409 69.65% @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1071 10.38% 19.97%
20 2014-07-26 32.5 St Patrick's Athletic 2 1359 60.70% @ Athlone Town 0 1118 15.87% 23.43%
21 2014-05-30 32.6 @ Cork City 1 1289 68.47% Athlone Town 0 1057 11.03% 20.50%
22 2014-08-15 32.7 Sligo Rovers 1 1303 67.97% @ Bray Wanderers 0 985 11.31% 20.72%
23 2014-09-30 32.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1052 52.25% UC Dublin 0 980 22.25% 25.49%
24 2014-08-01 33.4 @ Derry City 4 1254 49.60% Bohemian 0 1204 24.48% 25.92%
25 2014-09-05 33.4 @ Cork City 1 1311 66.04% Shamrock Rovers 0 1106 12.43% 21.52%