2015 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

198 games · 3 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Dundalk

78 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shamrock Rovers

18.03 points above expected

65 points · 46.97 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Sligo Rovers

13.04 points below expected

31 points · 44.04 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dundalk	33	23	9	1	78	78	23	+55	71.66	+6.34
2	Cork City	33	19	10	4	67	57	25	+32	62.21	+4.79
3	Shamrock Rovers	33	18	11	4	65	56	27	+29	46.97	+18.03
4	St Patrick's Athletic	33	18	4	11	58	52	34	+18	59.75	-1.75
5	Bohemian	33	15	8	10	53	49	42	+7	47.92	+5.08
6	Longford Town	33	10	9	14	39	41	53	-12	45.08	-6.08
7	Derry City	33	9	8	16	35	32	42	-10	41.61	-6.61
8	Bray Wanderers	33	9	6	18	33	27	51	-24	27.60	+5.40
9	Sligo Rovers	33	7	10	16	31	39	55	-16	44.04	-13.04
10	Galway United	33	9	4	20	31	39	61	-22	39.41	-8.41
11	Limerick	33	7	8	18	29	46	73	-27	30.13	-1.13
12	Drogheda United	33	7	7	19	28	32	62	-30	32.60	-4.60

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Shamrock Rovers	65	46.97	+18.03
2	Dundalk	78	71.66	+6.34
3	Bray Wanderers	33	27.60	+5.40
4	Bohemian	53	47.92	+5.08
5	Cork City	67	62.21	+4.79

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Sligo Rovers	31	44.04	-13.04
2	Galway United	31	39.41	-8.41
3	Derry City	35	41.61	-6.61
4	Longford Town	39	45.08	-6.08
5	Drogheda United	28	32.60	-4.60

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bray Wanderers	4	Jun 27 – Jul 24	1 in 220
2	Limerick	3	Aug 1 – Aug 14	1 in 219
3	St Patrick's Athletic	9	Jun 5 – Aug 14	1 in 96
4	Longford Town	3	Oct 16 – Oct 30	1 in 37
5	Dundalk	6	Apr 20 – May 22	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	St Patrick's Athletic	4	Aug 17 – Sep 5	1 in 239
2	Limerick	8	May 8 – Jul 11	1 in 113
3	Cork City	2	Aug 14 – Aug 17	1 in 47
4	Galway United	4	Mar 24 – Apr 10	1 in 27
5	Sligo Rovers	4	Jul 17 – Aug 8	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Shamrock Rovers	16	Mar 6 – Jun 8	1 in 13,533
2	Limerick	7	Aug 1 – Sep 19	1 in 347
3	Bohemian	7	Aug 28 – Oct 23	1 in 48
4	Sligo Rovers	5	Aug 14 – Sep 26	1 in 23
5	Cork City	12	May 4 – Aug 8	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Limerick	21	Mar 7 – Jul 26	1 in 342
2	Derry City	12	Apr 24 – Jul 24	1 in 180
3	Cork City	4	Sep 5 – Oct 16	1 in 80
4	Sligo Rovers	6	Mar 7 – Apr 3	1 in 27
5	Longford Town	7	Jul 11 – Aug 17	1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Dundalk	1539	78	+1	9	11.3	-2.3
Cork City	1427	67	+0	8	8.5	-0.5
Shamrock Rovers	1340	65	+18	11	8.7	+2.3
St Patrick's Athletic	1377	58	-32	6	9.4	-3.4
Bohemian	1305	53	+25	10	6.8	+3.2
Longford Town	1254	39	+21	10	5.9	+4.1
Derry City	1246	35	+4	7	6.7	+0.3
Bray Wanderers	1136	33	-13	2	4.2	-2.2
Galway United	1185	31	-6	5	5.5	-0.5
Sligo Rovers	1238	31	-7	4	6.7	-2.7
Limerick	1166	29	+0	6	4.5	+1.5
Drogheda United	1134	28	-17	2	3.9	-1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BOH	BW	CC	DC	DU	DUN	GU	LIM	LT	SR	SR	SPA
Bohemian	—	1-1-1 5.94	0-1-2 2.88	3-0-0 4.62	1-1-1 5.36	1-1-1 2.03	2-0-1 4.84	2-0-1 5.46	1-1-1 4.42	1-2-0 4.04	2-1-0 4.61	1-0-2 3.00
Bray Wanderers	1-1-1 2.40	—	0-1-2 1.59	1-1-1 2.84	1-0-2 3.41	0-0-3 1.05	1-1-1 3.25	2-1-0 3.81	0-0-3 2.53	0-1-2 2.54	2-0-1 2.64	1-0-2 1.53
Cork City	2-1-0 5.41	2-1-0 6.89	—	2-1-0 5.93	2-1-0 6.49	0-2-1 3.08	3-0-0 6.07	2-0-1 6.67	2-0-1 5.88	0-2-1 5.66	2-1-0 5.68	2-1-0 4.18
Derry City	0-0-3 3.64	1-1-1 5.46	0-1-2 2.41	—	1-1-1 5.03	0-0-3 1.96	2-0-1 4.28	2-1-0 5.21	1-1-1 3.78	1-1-1 3.72	0-2-1 4.04	1-0-2 2.57
Drogheda United	1-1-1 2.93	2-0-1 4.85	0-1-2 1.92	1-1-1 3.24	—	0-0-3 1.32	1-1-1 3.45	1-1-1 4.56	0-1-2 3.20	0-0-3 2.64	1-0-2 3.41	0-1-2 1.93
Dundalk	1-1-1 6.36	3-0-0 7.57	1-2-0 5.20	3-0-0 6.45	3-0-0 7.23	—	2-1-0 7.03	2-1-0 7.30	2-1-0 6.34	1-2-0 6.35	2-1-0 6.71	3-0-0 5.24
Galway United	1-0-2 3.42	1-1-1 5.02	0-0-3 2.29	1-0-2 3.97	1-1-1 4.80	0-1-2 1.47	—	2-0-1 5.00	2-0-1 3.53	0-0-3 3.41	1-1-1 3.82	0-0-3 2.30
Limerick	1-0-2 2.85	0-1-2 4.44	1-0-2 1.78	0-1-2 3.07	1-1-1 3.69	0-1-2 1.26	1-0-2 3.27	—	0-2-1 2.88	0-1-2 2.54	2-1-0 2.89	1-0-2 1.87
Longford Town	1-1-1 3.83	3-0-0 5.80	1-0-2 2.45	1-1-1 4.47	2-1-0 5.06	0-1-2 2.05	1-0-2 4.73	1-2-0 5.42	—	0-0-3 4.42	0-2-1 4.42	0-1-2 2.81
Shamrock Rovers	0-2-1 4.21	2-1-0 5.79	1-2-0 2.65	1-1-1 4.54	3-0-0 5.68	0-2-1 2.04	3-0-0 4.86	2-1-0 5.79	3-0-0 3.85	—	2-1-0 4.26	1-1-1 2.56
Sligo Rovers	0-1-2 3.64	1-0-2 5.68	0-1-2 2.64	1-2-0 4.21	2-0-1 4.85	0-1-2 1.74	1-1-1 4.43	0-1-2 5.39	1-2-0 3.83	0-1-2 4.00	—	1-0-2 2.41
St Patrick's Athletic	2-0-1 5.28	2-0-1 6.96	0-1-2 4.06	2-0-1 5.75	2-1-0 6.48	0-0-3 3.04	3-0-0 6.05	2-0-1 6.55	2-1-0 5.49	1-1-1 5.76	2-0-1 5.93	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.80	+11.2
Allowed	0.85	-10.1
Differential	0.98	+6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.58%	9.34%	6.57%	5.05%	1.26%	0.76%	30.56%
1	9.34%	10.61%	4.29%	3.28%	1.77%	0.51%	29.80%
2	6.57%	4.29%	5.05%	2.78%	1.52%	0.25%	20.45%
3	5.05%	3.28%	2.78%	0.51%	0.25%	0.51%	12.37%
4	1.26%	1.77%	1.52%	0.25%	—	—	4.80%
5+	0.76%	0.51%	0.25%	0.51%	—	—	2.02%
Total	30.56%	29.80%	20.45%	12.37%	4.80%	2.02%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	1.38	+0.00
SD	1.32	1.32	1.94
CV	0.95	0.95	—
Max	8	8	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	24.24%
1	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	27.27%
2	12.12%	9.09%	6.06%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	3.03%	3.03%	18.18%
4	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	30.30%	15.15%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.48	1.27	+0.21
SD	1.15	1.38	1.67
CV	0.77	1.08	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	27.27%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	51.52%
1	18.18%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	27.27%
2	—	—	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	12.12%
3	—	6.06%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.30%	36.36%	9.09%	12.12%	6.06%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.82	1.55	-0.73
SD	1.07	1.79	2.11
CV	1.31	1.16	—
Max	4	8	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	—	—	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
1	15.15%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	—	30.30%
2	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	27.27%
3	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	12.12%
4	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	51.52%	30.30%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	0.76	+0.97
SD	1.33	0.97	1.59
CV	0.77	1.28	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	12.12%	15.15%	6.06%	—	—	48.48%
1	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	21.21%
2	6.06%	3.03%	—	3.03%	6.06%	—	18.18%
3	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.27	-0.30
SD	1.16	1.31	1.83
CV	1.20	1.03	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.18%	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	39.39%
1	6.06%	15.15%	9.09%	—	6.06%	—	36.36%
2	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	15.15%
3	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	6.06%
4	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.12%	36.36%	27.27%	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.88	-0.91
SD	1.05	1.45	1.83
CV	1.08	0.77	—
Max	4	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	—	—	—	—	—	6.06%
1	15.15%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	27.27%
2	12.12%	9.09%	12.12%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	15.15%
4	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	51.52%	27.27%	21.21%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.36	0.70	+1.67
SD	1.75	0.81	1.80
CV	0.74	1.16	—
Max	8	2	+7
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	12.12%	12.12%	9.09%	3.03%	—	39.39%
1	6.06%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	—	36.36%
2	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	—	9.09%
3	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	6.06%	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
Total	15.15%	24.24%	30.30%	21.21%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.85	-0.67
SD	1.47	1.20	1.95
CV	1.24	0.65	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	30.30%
1	—	12.12%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	30.30%
2	—	—	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	15.15%
3	—	6.06%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.03%	30.30%	33.33%	18.18%	9.09%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	2.21	-0.82
SD	1.27	1.32	1.81
CV	0.91	0.60	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	6.06%	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	33.33%
1	9.09%	12.12%	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	27.27%
2	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	24.24%
3	6.06%	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
4	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.24%	24.24%	24.24%	21.21%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.61	-0.36
SD	1.15	1.25	1.69
CV	0.92	0.78	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	24.24%
1	12.12%	12.12%	—	3.03%	—	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
3	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
4	—	6.06%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	—	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
Total	45.45%	33.33%	15.15%	6.06%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.70	0.82	+0.88
SD	1.47	0.92	1.54
CV	0.87	1.12	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	9.09%	—	—	24.24%
1	6.06%	24.24%	9.09%	3.03%	—	3.03%	45.45%
2	6.06%	—	3.03%	12.12%	—	—	21.21%
3	—	—	6.06%	—	—	—	6.06%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	30.30%	24.24%	24.24%	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.67	-0.48
SD	0.98	1.22	1.62
CV	0.83	0.73	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	27.27%
1	9.09%	—	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	—	21.21%
2	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	21.21%
3	18.18%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.42%	27.27%	18.18%	9.09%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.03	+0.55
SD	1.25	1.13	1.97
CV	0.79	1.10	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Dundalk	1539	78	71.66	+6.34	83.0%	53	59	66	72	77	83	92
Cork City	1427	67	62.21	+4.79	79.0%	41	52	58	61	66	74	82
St Patrick's Athletic	1377	58	59.75	-1.75	40.0%	44	46	55	60	65	69	78
Shamrock Rovers	1340	65	46.97	+18.03	99.0%	24	36	42	46	52	58	68
Bohemian	1305	53	47.92	+5.08	74.0%	27	34	42	48	54	62	67
Longford Town	1254	39	45.08	-6.08	22.0%	24	31	40	46	49	58	70
Derry City	1246	35	41.61	-6.61	20.0%	24	31	36	41	46	53	59
Sligo Rovers	1238	31	44.04	-13.04	4.0%	30	32	39	43	50	55	63
Galway United	1185	31	39.41	-8.41	13.0%	20	28	34	39	43	54	58
Limerick	1161	29	30.13	-1.13	50.0%	18	21	26	29	34	40	52
Bray Wanderers	1136	33	27.60	+5.40	83.0%	14	17	23	27	32	37	43
Drogheda United	1134	28	32.60	-4.60	31.0%	17	23	28	32	37	45	49

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+4.55%

No Edge

40.40%23.74%35.86%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 15.80 Elo pts.

178 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.21 goals

Neutral

-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.6

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

77%

Dundalk, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.33/gm

Runaway

00.270.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.78 * Some Luck: 5.78 to 8.67 * Lucky: 8.67 to 11.56 * Wild Swing: 11.56 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.08 * Close: 1.08 to 1.61 * Off: 1.61 to 2.15 * Way Off: 2.15 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.11 points

Some Luck

07.2218

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

01.353

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

99.00%

Shamrock Rovers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

4.00%

Sligo Rovers

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Lopsided

00.160.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 124.13

2.31

Wide Separation

11.71.952.22.75

Interquartile Edge

73%

Clear Edge

50%68%76.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

91%

Clear Edge

50%92%100%

Close Games

Expected

57%

Some Drama

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Frequent

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.58

Predictable

00.582

Matchup Imbalance

0.38

Slight Separation

00.370.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.20

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.56

Strong Carryover

00.360.560.691

Upset Rate

Expected

21%

As Expected

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

18%

As Expected

0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.

Probability calibration

0.98

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.06

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.056

Well Within Noise

00.1260.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

Finn Harps 3

UC Dublin 1

Leg 1: UC Dublin 0-1 Finn Harps

Leg 2: Finn Harps 2-1 UC Dublin

Finals

Finn Harps 2

Limerick 1

Leg 1: Limerick 1-0 Finn Harps

Leg 2: Finn Harps 2-0 Limerick

Sim: 3.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Dundalk	77.00%	15.00%	6.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cork City	16.00%	37.00%	30.00%	12.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	—	—	—	—
Shamrock Rovers	—	3.00%	7.00%	20.00%	18.00%	16.00%	16.00%	11.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%
St Patrick's Athletic	7.00%	35.00%	33.00%	14.00%	5.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Bohemian	—	4.00%	18.00%	15.00%	17.00%	16.00%	7.00%	12.00%	6.00%	4.00%	1.00%	—
Longford Town	—	4.00%	2.00%	12.00%	17.00%	24.00%	17.00%	11.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	—
Derry City	—	—	1.00%	8.00%	10.00%	15.00%	21.00%	13.00%	18.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Bray Wanderers	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	10.00%	14.00%	26.00%	47.00%
Sligo Rovers	—	1.00%	2.00%	12.00%	17.00%	11.00%	16.00%	20.00%	11.00%	7.00%	3.00%	—
Galway United	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	10.00%	11.00%	13.00%	12.00%	21.00%	17.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Limerick	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	3.00%	5.00%	10.00%	22.00%	31.00%	27.00%
Drogheda United	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	12.00%	16.00%	24.00%	22.00%	16.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Cork City	100%	—	—
Dundalk	100%	—	—
St Patrick's Athletic	100%	—	—
Bohemian	99.00%	1.00%	—
Sligo Rovers	97.00%	3.00%	—
Longford Town	96.00%	4.00%	—
Shamrock Rovers	96.00%	1.00%	3.00%
Derry City	92.00%	5.00%	3.00%
Galway United	89.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Drogheda United	62.00%	22.00%	16.00%
Bray Wanderers	27.00%	26.00%	47.00%
Limerick	—	100%	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Athlone Town	Bohemian	Bray Wanderers	Cabinteely	Derry City	Drogheda United	Finn Harps	Galway United	Limerick	Longford Town	Shamrock Rovers	Shelbourne	Sligo Rovers	UC Dublin	Wexford Youths
Athlone Town
Bohemian
Bray Wanderers
Cabinteely
Derry City
Drogheda United
Finn Harps
Galway United
Limerick
Longford Town
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
UC Dublin
Wexford Youths

Loser → ↓ Winner	Athlone Town	Bohemian	Bray Wanderers	Cabinteely	Derry City	Drogheda United	Finn Harps	Galway United	Limerick	Longford Town	Shamrock Rovers	Shelbourne	Sligo Rovers	UC Dublin	Wexford Youths
Athlone Town			75.0%4.00%		0.0%1.00%	33.3%3.00%		100.0%1.00%	25.0%4.00%
Bohemian														100.0%1.00%
Bray Wanderers	25.0%4.00%			80.0%5.00%			40.0%5.00%					100.0%2.00%		66.7%3.00%	57.1%7.00%
Cabinteely			20.0%5.00%		0.0%2.00%	0.0%2.00%		100.0%1.00%	33.3%3.00%	50.0%2.00%			0.0%1.00%
Derry City	100.0%1.00%			100.0%2.00%			0.0%1.00%					0.0%1.00%		100.0%2.00%	0.0%1.00%
Drogheda United	66.7%3.00%			100.0%2.00%			25.0%4.00%					75.0%4.00%		100.0%5.00%	0.0%3.00%
Finn Harps			60.0%5.00%		100.0%1.00%	75.0%4.00%		50.0%4.00%	50.0%6.00%		0.0%2.00%		0.0%1.00%
Galway United	0.0%1.00%			0.0%1.00%			50.0%4.00%					100.0%1.00%			66.7%3.00%
Limerick	75.0%4.00%			66.7%3.00%			50.0%6.00%					100.0%2.00%		33.3%3.00%	0.0%6.00%
Longford Town				50.0%2.00%											100.0%1.00%
Shamrock Rovers							100.0%2.00%								100.0%1.00%
Shelbourne			0.0%2.00%		100.0%1.00%	25.0%4.00%		0.0%1.00%	0.0%2.00%
Sligo Rovers				100.0%1.00%			100.0%1.00%								100.0%2.00%
UC Dublin		0.0%1.00%	33.3%3.00%		0.0%2.00%	0.0%5.00%			66.7%3.00%
Wexford Youths			42.9%7.00%		100.0%1.00%	100.0%3.00%		33.3%3.00%	100.0%6.00%	0.0%1.00%	0.0%1.00%		0.0%2.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team	Semifinals	Finals
Limerick	—	52.49%
Finn Harps	55.24%	27.54%
UC Dublin	44.76%	19.97%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Finn Harps	Limerick	UC Dublin
Finn Harps
Limerick
UC Dublin

Loser → ↓ Winner	Finn Harps	Limerick	UC Dublin
Finn Harps		49.9%55.24%
Limerick	50.1%55.24%		55.4%44.76%
UC Dublin		44.6%44.76%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2015-03-06	Derry City	L 1-2	48.0	1262	1272	38.22%	25.17%	36.62%	+0.03	-5.8	0
2015-03-06	@ Galway United	W 2-1	48.0	1272	1262	36.62%	25.17%	38.22%	-0.03	+5.8	3
2015-03-06	Longford Town	W 1-0	38.6	1449	1308	57.99%	22.32%	19.69%	+0.88	+3.5	3
2015-03-06	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	38.6	1308	1449	19.69%	22.32%	57.99%	-0.88	-3.5	0
2015-03-06	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	48.5	1201	1386	18.68%	21.88%	59.43%	-0.95	+8.8	3
2015-03-06	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	48.5	1386	1201	59.43%	21.88%	18.68%	+0.95	-8.8	0
2015-03-07	Bohemian	L 0-3	35.3	1214	1263	32.90%	25.04%	42.06%	-0.18	-15.0	0
2015-03-07	@ Limerick	W 3-0	35.3	1263	1214	42.06%	25.04%	32.90%	+0.18	+15.0	3
2015-03-07	Cork City	D 1-1	54.7	1295	1361	30.59%	24.85%	44.56%	-0.28	+0.5	1
2015-03-07	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	54.7	1361	1295	44.56%	24.85%	30.59%	+0.28	-0.5	1
2015-03-07	Drogheda United	L 0-1	39.5	1129	1207	29.14%	24.68%	46.17%	-0.35	-5.0	0
2015-03-07	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	39.5	1207	1129	46.17%	24.68%	29.14%	+0.35	+5.0	3
2015-03-13	Bray Wanderers	W 3-0	27.0	1378	1124	69.83%	17.86%	12.31%	+1.52	+5.8	3
2015-03-13	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	27.0	1124	1378	12.31%	17.86%	69.83%	-1.52	-5.8	0
2015-03-13	Dundalk	L 0-1	38.1	1278	1453	19.51%	22.25%	58.24%	-0.89	-3.5	3
2015-03-13	@ Derry City	W 1-0	38.1	1453	1278	58.24%	22.25%	19.51%	+0.89	+3.5	6
2015-03-13	Galway United	W 2-0	37.6	1278	1256	42.69%	25.00%	32.31%	+0.21	+10.2	6
2015-03-13	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	37.6	1256	1278	32.31%	25.00%	42.69%	-0.21	-10.2	0
2015-03-13	Limerick	W 5-0	29.9	1361	1199	60.31%	21.61%	18.09%	+1.00	+14.1	4
2015-03-13	@ Cork City	L 0-5	29.9	1199	1361	18.09%	21.61%	60.31%	-1.00	-14.1	0
2015-03-13	Sligo Rovers	W 3-2	55.2	1212	1295	28.57%	24.61%	46.82%	-0.38	+6.4	6
2015-03-13	@ Drogheda United	L 2-3	55.2	1295	1212	46.82%	24.61%	28.57%	+0.38	-6.4	1
2015-03-14	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	43.2	1305	1210	52.45%	23.69%	23.86%	+0.62	-14.9	0
2015-03-14	@ Longford Town	W 2-0	43.2	1210	1305	23.86%	23.69%	52.45%	-0.62	+14.9	6
2015-03-20	Cork City	D 0-0	50.5	1225	1375	21.64%	23.04%	55.32%	-0.75	+1.3	7
2015-03-20	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	50.5	1375	1225	55.32%	23.04%	21.64%	+0.75	-1.3	5
2015-03-20	Drogheda United	W 1-0	40.5	1246	1218	43.59%	24.93%	31.47%	+0.25	+5.3	3
2015-03-20	@ Galway United	L 0-1	40.5	1218	1246	31.47%	24.93%	43.59%	-0.25	-5.3	6
2015-03-20	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-0	37.3	1456	1383	49.64%	24.21%	26.16%	+0.50	+12.4	9
2015-03-20	@ Dundalk	L 0-3	37.3	1383	1456	26.16%	24.21%	49.64%	-0.50	-12.4	3
2015-03-21	Bohemian	L 0-1	36.1	1118	1288	19.90%	22.40%	57.70%	-0.87	-3.5	0
2015-03-21	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	36.1	1288	1118	57.70%	22.40%	19.90%	+0.87	+3.5	9
2015-03-21	Derry City	D 1-1	54.0	1289	1275	41.65%	25.06%	33.29%	+0.17	-0.3	2
2015-03-21	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	54.0	1275	1289	33.29%	25.06%	41.65%	-0.17	+0.3	4
2015-03-21	Longford Town	D 2-2	59.3	1185	1290	26.12%	24.20%	49.68%	-0.50	+0.6	1
2015-03-21	@ Limerick	D 2-2	59.3	1290	1185	49.68%	24.20%	26.12%	+0.50	-0.6	1
2015-03-24	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	31.5	1289	1114	61.83%	21.09%	17.08%	+1.07	+5.7	4
2015-03-24	@ Longford Town	L 0-2	31.5	1114	1289	17.08%	21.09%	61.83%	-1.07	-5.7	0
2015-03-24	Derry City	W 2-0	35.3	1371	1275	52.59%	23.66%	23.75%	+0.63	+7.8	6
2015-03-24	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	35.3	1275	1371	23.75%	23.66%	52.59%	-0.63	-7.8	4
2015-03-24	Dundalk	L 0-3	32.8	1291	1469	19.30%	22.16%	58.54%	-0.91	-9.3	9
2015-03-24	@ Bohemian	W 3-0	32.8	1469	1291	58.54%	22.16%	19.30%	+0.91	+9.3	12
2015-03-24	Galway United	W 2-0	34.2	1373	1251	55.76%	22.93%	21.31%	+0.77	+7.1	8
2015-03-24	@ Cork City	L 0-2	34.2	1251	1373	21.31%	22.93%	55.76%	-0.77	-7.1	3
2015-03-24	Limerick	D 1-1	53.5	1213	1186	43.50%	24.94%	31.56%	+0.24	-0.4	7
2015-03-24	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	53.5	1186	1213	31.56%	24.94%	43.50%	-0.24	+0.4	2
2015-03-24	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	50.8	1288	1226	48.24%	24.42%	27.34%	+0.44	-6.9	2
2015-03-24	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-1	50.8	1226	1288	27.34%	24.42%	48.24%	-0.44	+6.9	10
2015-03-27	Bohemian	D 0-0	49.4	1233	1282	32.84%	25.03%	42.13%	-0.19	+0.3	11
2015-03-27	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	49.4	1282	1233	42.13%	25.03%	32.84%	+0.19	-0.3	10
2015-03-27	Drogheda United	W 3-0	33.8	1267	1213	47.21%	24.56%	28.23%	+0.39	+13.2	7
2015-03-27	@ Derry City	L 0-3	33.8	1213	1267	28.23%	24.56%	47.21%	-0.39	-13.2	7
2015-03-27	Longford Town	L 1-2	46.3	1244	1295	32.60%	25.02%	42.39%	-0.20	-5.1	3
2015-03-27	@ Galway United	W 2-1	46.3	1295	1244	42.39%	25.02%	32.60%	+0.20	+5.1	7
2015-03-27	Sligo Rovers	W 3-0	31.1	1478	1281	64.12%	20.26%	15.62%	+1.19	+7.5	15
2015-03-27	@ Dundalk	L 0-3	31.1	1281	1478	15.62%	20.26%	64.12%	-1.19	-7.5	2
2015-03-28	Cork City	L 0-1	33.1	1109	1381	13.03%	18.44%	68.52%	-1.44	-2.2	0
2015-03-28	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	33.1	1381	1109	68.52%	18.44%	13.03%	+1.44	+2.2	11
2015-03-28	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	41.1	1186	1379	18.11%	21.62%	60.27%	-0.99	-3.0	2
2015-03-28	@ Limerick	W 2-1	41.1	1379	1186	60.27%	21.62%	18.11%	+0.99	+3.0	9
2015-04-03	Bohemian	L 0-1	39.6	1199	1282	28.67%	24.62%	46.71%	-0.37	-4.9	7
2015-04-03	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	39.6	1282	1199	46.71%	24.62%	28.67%	+0.37	+4.9	13
2015-04-03	Bray Wanderers	L 1-3	50.1	1274	1106	60.99%	21.38%	17.63%	+1.03	-14.6	2
2015-04-03	@ Sligo Rovers	W 3-1	50.1	1106	1274	17.63%	21.38%	60.99%	-1.03	+14.6	3
2015-04-03	Derry City	W 3-0	33.0	1383	1280	53.39%	23.49%	23.12%	+0.66	+11.1	14
2015-04-03	@ Cork City	L 0-3	33.0	1280	1383	23.12%	23.49%	53.39%	-0.66	-11.1	7
2015-04-03	Galway United	W 3-0	36.2	1233	1239	38.84%	25.16%	36.00%	+0.06	+16.0	14
2015-04-03	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-3	36.2	1239	1233	36.00%	25.16%	38.84%	-0.06	-16.0	3
2015-04-04	Dundalk	D 1-1	57.2	1183	1486	11.48%	17.13%	71.39%	-1.61	+2.1	3
2015-04-04	@ Limerick	D 1-1	57.2	1486	1183	71.39%	17.13%	11.48%	+1.61	-2.1	16
2015-04-04	St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	60.5	1300	1382	28.76%	24.63%	46.61%	-0.37	+0.4	8
2015-04-04	@ Longford Town	D 2-2	60.5	1382	1300	46.61%	24.63%	28.76%	+0.37	-0.4	10
2015-04-10	Cork City	D 0-0	52.0	1381	1394	37.89%	25.17%	36.94%	+0.02	-0.0	11
2015-04-10	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	52.0	1394	1381	36.94%	25.17%	37.89%	-0.02	+0.0	15
2015-04-10	Drogheda United	W 1-0	33.0	1483	1194	73.01%	16.35%	10.64%	+1.71	+1.8	19
2015-04-10	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	33.0	1194	1483	10.64%	16.35%	73.01%	-1.71	-1.8	7
2015-04-10	Longford Town	W 2-0	39.4	1287	1301	37.66%	25.17%	37.17%	+0.01	+11.3	16
2015-04-10	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	39.4	1301	1287	37.17%	25.17%	37.66%	-0.01	-11.3	8
2015-04-10	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	49.4	1269	1249	42.47%	25.01%	32.52%	+0.20	-0.4	8
2015-04-10	@ Derry City	D 0-0	49.4	1249	1269	32.52%	25.01%	42.47%	-0.20	+0.4	15
2015-04-10	Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	41.5	1223	1259	34.57%	25.12%	40.31%	-0.11	-5.7	3
2015-04-10	@ Galway United	W 1-0	41.5	1259	1223	40.31%	25.12%	34.57%	+0.11	+5.7	5
2015-04-11	Limerick	W 4-0	37.7	1121	1185	30.87%	24.88%	44.25%	-0.27	+24.6	6
2015-04-11	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-4	37.7	1185	1121	44.25%	24.88%	30.87%	+0.27	-24.6	3
2015-04-17	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	49.8	1269	1146	55.91%	22.89%	21.20%	+0.78	-1.3	9
2015-04-17	@ Derry City	D 0-0	49.8	1146	1269	21.20%	22.89%	55.91%	-0.78	+1.3	7
2015-04-17	Cork City	L 1-2	40.9	1193	1394	17.48%	21.30%	61.22%	-1.04	-2.9	7
2015-04-17	@ Drogheda United	W 2-1	40.9	1394	1193	61.22%	21.30%	17.48%	+1.04	+2.9	18
2015-04-17	Dundalk	D 2-2	62.6	1250	1485	15.16%	19.97%	64.87%	-1.23	+1.3	16
2015-04-17	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 2-2	62.6	1485	1250	64.87%	19.97%	15.16%	+1.23	-1.3	20
2015-04-17	Limerick	W 3-2	49.3	1217	1161	47.52%	24.52%	27.96%	+0.41	+4.3	6
2015-04-17	@ Galway United	L 2-3	49.3	1161	1217	27.96%	24.52%	47.52%	-0.41	-4.3	3
2015-04-17	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	54.0	1289	1265	43.12%	24.97%	31.92%	+0.23	-0.4	9
2015-04-17	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	54.0	1265	1289	31.92%	24.97%	43.12%	-0.23	+0.4	6
2015-04-17	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	40.8	1298	1381	28.54%	24.60%	46.86%	-0.38	-4.9	16
2015-04-17	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	40.8	1381	1298	46.86%	24.60%	28.54%	+0.38	+4.9	14
2015-04-20	Bohemian	D 0-0	49.6	1265	1293	35.72%	25.15%	39.13%	-0.07	+0.1	7
2015-04-20	@ Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	49.6	1293	1265	39.13%	25.15%	35.72%	+0.07	-0.1	17
2015-04-20	Derry City	L 0-2	34.9	1156	1268	25.44%	24.06%	50.49%	-0.54	-8.3	3
2015-04-20	@ Limerick	W 2-0	34.9	1268	1156	50.49%	24.06%	25.44%	+0.54	+8.3	12
2015-04-20	Drogheda United	D 2-2	60.9	1386	1190	64.10%	20.26%	15.64%	+1.19	-1.3	15
2015-04-20	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 2-2	60.9	1190	1386	15.64%	20.26%	64.10%	-1.19	+1.3	8
2015-04-20	Galway United	W 3-0	28.3	1484	1222	70.59%	17.51%	11.90%	+1.56	+5.5	23
2015-04-20	@ Dundalk	L 0-3	28.3	1222	1484	11.90%	17.51%	70.59%	-1.56	-5.5	6
2015-04-20	Longford Town	W 2-0	35.3	1397	1289	54.04%	23.34%	22.61%	+0.69	+7.5	21
2015-04-20	@ Cork City	L 0-2	35.3	1289	1397	22.61%	23.34%	54.04%	-0.69	-7.5	9
2015-04-20	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-3	32.9	1147	1251	26.19%	24.21%	49.60%	-0.50	-12.4	7
2015-04-20	@ Bray Wanderers	W 3-0	32.9	1251	1147	49.60%	24.21%	26.19%	+0.50	+12.4	19
2015-04-24	Bohemian	L 1-2	47.9	1276	1293	37.23%	25.17%	37.60%	-0.01	-5.7	12
2015-04-24	@ Derry City	W 2-1	47.9	1293	1276	37.60%	25.17%	37.23%	+0.01	+5.7	20
2015-04-24	Dundalk	L 1-2	50.5	1404	1489	28.34%	24.58%	47.08%	-0.39	-4.6	21
2015-04-24	@ Cork City	W 2-1	50.5	1489	1404	47.08%	24.58%	28.34%	+0.39	+4.6	26
2015-04-24	Longford Town	L 0-3	33.6	1191	1282	27.72%	24.48%	47.79%	-0.42	-13.0	8
2015-04-24	@ Drogheda United	W 3-0	33.6	1282	1191	47.79%	24.48%	27.72%	+0.42	+13.0	12
2015-04-24	Sligo Rovers	W 3-0	32.2	1385	1265	55.47%	23.00%	21.53%	+0.76	+10.4	18
2015-04-24	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	32.2	1265	1385	21.53%	23.00%	55.47%	-0.76	-10.4	7
2015-04-25	Galway United	L 0-5	33.4	1134	1216	28.74%	24.63%	46.63%	-0.37	-21.6	7
2015-04-25	@ Bray Wanderers	W 5-0	33.4	1216	1134	46.63%	24.63%	28.74%	+0.37	+21.6	9
2015-04-25	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	53.8	1148	1263	24.99%	23.96%	51.04%	-0.56	+0.9	4
2015-04-25	@ Limerick	D 1-1	53.8	1263	1148	51.04%	23.96%	24.99%	+0.56	-0.9	20
2015-05-01	Drogheda United	W 1-0	38.2	1263	1178	51.14%	23.95%	24.92%	+0.56	+4.3	23
2015-05-01	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	38.2	1178	1263	24.92%	23.95%	51.14%	-0.56	-4.3	8
2015-05-01	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-4	36.7	1238	1395	20.97%	22.81%	56.23%	-0.80	-8.5	9
2015-05-01	@ Galway United	W 4-1	36.7	1395	1238	56.23%	22.81%	20.97%	+0.80	+8.5	21
2015-05-02	Derry City	D 0-0	49.7	1295	1270	43.11%	24.97%	31.93%	+0.23	-0.4	13
2015-05-02	@ Longford Town	D 0-0	49.7	1270	1295	31.93%	24.97%	43.11%	-0.23	+0.4	13
2015-05-02	Limerick	D 1-1	54.0	1255	1149	53.83%	23.39%	22.78%	+0.68	-1.0	8
2015-05-02	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	54.0	1149	1255	22.78%	23.39%	53.83%	-0.68	+1.0	5
2015-05-04	Bray Wanderers	W 8-1	26.7	1494	1113	80.37%	12.49%	7.14%	+2.23	+5.6	29
2015-05-04	@ Dundalk	L 1-8	26.7	1113	1494	7.14%	12.49%	80.37%	-2.23	-5.6	7
2015-05-04	Cork City	D 1-1	55.4	1299	1400	26.52%	24.28%	49.20%	-0.48	+0.8	21
2015-05-04	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	55.4	1400	1299	49.20%	24.28%	26.52%	+0.48	-0.8	22
2015-05-08	Bray Wanderers	W 4-2	44.5	1174	1107	48.79%	24.34%	26.87%	+0.46	+6.8	11
2015-05-08	@ Drogheda United	L 2-4	44.5	1107	1174	26.87%	24.34%	48.79%	-0.46	-6.8	7
2015-05-08	Galway United	L 0-2	41.3	1271	1229	45.43%	24.77%	29.80%	+0.32	-13.2	13
2015-05-08	@ Derry City	W 2-0	41.3	1229	1271	29.80%	24.77%	45.43%	-0.32	+13.2	12
2015-05-08	Limerick	W 2-1	41.1	1299	1150	58.95%	22.03%	19.01%	+0.93	+3.2	24
2015-05-08	@ Bohemian	L 1-2	41.1	1150	1299	19.01%	22.03%	58.95%	-0.93	-3.2	5
2015-05-08	Sligo Rovers	W 3-2	47.2	1399	1254	58.46%	22.18%	19.36%	+0.90	+3.1	25
2015-05-08	@ Cork City	L 2-3	47.2	1254	1399	19.36%	22.18%	58.46%	-0.90	-3.1	8
2015-05-09	Dundalk	L 0-2	34.8	1294	1500	17.17%	21.14%	61.68%	-1.07	-5.7	13
2015-05-09	@ Longford Town	W 2-0	34.8	1500	1294	61.68%	21.14%	17.17%	+1.07	+5.7	32
2015-05-11	Drogheda United	W 4-1	33.2	1402	1180	66.68%	19.23%	14.09%	+1.33	+5.7	28
2015-05-11	@ Cork City	L 1-4	33.2	1180	1402	14.09%	19.23%	66.68%	-1.33	-5.7	11
2015-05-11	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	51.2	1404	1267	57.52%	22.45%	20.02%	+0.86	-1.4	22
2015-05-11	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	51.2	1267	1404	20.02%	22.45%	57.52%	-0.86	+1.4	24
2015-05-15	Bohemian	W 5-3	52.1	1243	1302	31.41%	24.93%	43.66%	-0.25	+9.4	15
2015-05-15	@ Galway United	L 3-5	52.1	1302	1243	43.66%	24.93%	31.41%	+0.25	-9.4	24
2015-05-15	Derry City	W 1-0	35.3	1505	1257	69.25%	18.12%	12.63%	+1.48	+2.2	35
2015-05-15	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	35.3	1257	1505	12.63%	18.12%	69.25%	-1.48	-2.2	13
2015-05-15	Longford Town	W 3-2	53.0	1268	1288	36.81%	25.17%	38.03%	-0.02	+5.5	27
2015-05-15	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 2-3	53.0	1288	1268	38.03%	25.17%	36.81%	+0.02	-5.5	13
2015-05-16	Cork City	L 0-1	33.7	1147	1408	13.64%	18.91%	67.44%	-1.38	-2.4	5
2015-05-16	@ Limerick	W 1-0	33.7	1408	1147	67.44%	18.91%	13.64%	+1.38	+2.4	31
2015-05-16	Drogheda United	W 2-0	35.1	1251	1175	50.05%	24.14%	25.81%	+0.52	+8.4	11
2015-05-16	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	35.1	1175	1251	25.81%	24.14%	50.05%	-0.52	-8.4	11
2015-05-16	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	50.2	1101	1402	11.50%	17.15%	71.34%	-1.61	+10.1	10
2015-05-16	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	50.2	1402	1101	71.34%	17.15%	11.50%	+1.61	-10.1	22
2015-05-22	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	50.4	1293	1111	62.62%	20.81%	16.57%	+1.11	-1.8	25
2015-05-22	@ Bohemian	D 0-0	50.4	1111	1293	16.57%	20.81%	62.62%	-1.11	+1.8	11
2015-05-22	Dundalk	L 0-2	40.9	1392	1507	25.03%	23.97%	51.00%	-0.56	-8.2	22
2015-05-22	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	40.9	1507	1392	51.00%	23.97%	25.03%	+0.56	+8.2	38
2015-05-22	Galway United	W 2-0	41.6	1166	1252	28.29%	24.57%	47.14%	-0.39	+13.6	14
2015-05-22	@ Drogheda United	L 0-2	41.6	1252	1166	47.14%	24.57%	28.29%	+0.39	-13.6	15
2015-05-22	Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	51.4	1410	1274	57.44%	22.48%	20.08%	+0.85	-1.4	32
2015-05-22	@ Cork City	D 0-0	51.4	1274	1410	20.08%	22.48%	57.44%	-0.85	+1.4	28
2015-05-22	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.8	1255	1259	39.09%	25.15%	35.76%	+0.07	-0.1	14
2015-05-22	@ Derry City	D 1-1	53.8	1259	1255	35.76%	25.15%	39.09%	-0.07	+0.1	12
2015-05-23	Limerick	W 1-0	36.2	1283	1144	57.71%	22.40%	19.89%	+0.87	+3.5	16
2015-05-23	@ Longford Town	L 0-1	36.2	1144	1283	19.89%	22.40%	57.71%	-0.87	-3.5	5
2015-06-05	Bohemian	L 1-2	58.1	1516	1291	66.95%	19.12%	13.93%	+1.35	-9.1	38
2015-06-05	@ Dundalk	W 2-1	58.1	1291	1516	13.93%	19.12%	66.95%	-1.35	+9.1	28
2015-06-05	Cork City	L 1-3	39.2	1238	1409	19.87%	22.39%	57.74%	-0.87	-5.7	15
2015-06-05	@ Galway United	W 3-1	39.2	1409	1238	57.74%	22.39%	19.87%	+0.87	+5.7	35
2015-06-05	Drogheda United	L 1-2	46.3	1141	1180	34.16%	25.10%	40.74%	-0.13	-5.3	5
2015-06-05	@ Limerick	W 2-1	46.3	1180	1141	40.74%	25.10%	34.16%	+0.13	+5.3	17
2015-06-05	Longford Town	L 0-1	36.0	1112	1286	19.57%	22.27%	58.16%	-0.89	-3.5	11
2015-06-05	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	36.0	1286	1112	58.16%	22.27%	19.57%	+0.89	+3.5	19
2015-06-05	Sligo Rovers	W 5-1	38.7	1275	1259	41.91%	25.04%	33.04%	+0.18	+16.3	31
2015-06-05	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-5	38.7	1259	1275	33.04%	25.04%	41.91%	-0.18	-16.4	12
2015-06-05	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	33.0	1255	1384	23.61%	23.63%	52.76%	-0.64	-11.3	14
2015-06-05	@ Derry City	W 3-0	33.0	1384	1255	52.76%	23.63%	23.61%	+0.64	+11.3	25
2015-06-08	Derry City	W 4-1	39.1	1292	1244	46.32%	24.67%	29.01%	+0.36	+11.4	34
2015-06-08	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-4	39.1	1244	1292	29.01%	24.67%	46.32%	-0.36	-11.4	14
2015-06-09	Bohemian	W 3-1	41.3	1395	1300	52.46%	23.69%	23.85%	+0.62	+6.8	28
2015-06-09	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-3	41.3	1300	1395	23.85%	23.69%	52.46%	-0.62	-6.8	28
2015-06-12	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	31.4	1414	1109	74.44%	15.64%	9.92%	+1.80	+1.6	38
2015-06-12	@ Cork City	L 0-1	31.4	1109	1414	9.92%	15.64%	74.44%	-1.80	-1.6	11
2015-06-12	Derry City	D 1-1	53.5	1185	1232	33.09%	25.05%	41.86%	-0.18	+0.3	18
2015-06-12	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	53.5	1232	1185	41.86%	25.05%	33.09%	+0.18	-0.3	15
2015-06-12	Dundalk	L 1-2	40.8	1243	1507	13.50%	18.80%	67.70%	-1.39	-2.2	12
2015-06-12	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-1	40.8	1507	1243	67.70%	18.80%	13.50%	+1.39	+2.2	41
2015-06-12	Galway United	L 0-1	45.4	1290	1233	47.60%	24.51%	27.89%	+0.41	-7.3	19
2015-06-12	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	45.4	1233	1290	27.89%	24.51%	47.60%	-0.41	+7.3	18
2015-06-12	Limerick	W 3-1	34.5	1402	1136	71.01%	17.31%	11.68%	+1.59	+3.2	31
2015-06-12	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-3	34.5	1136	1402	11.68%	17.31%	71.01%	-1.59	-3.2	5
2015-06-12	Shamrock Rovers	W 3-1	44.7	1294	1303	38.33%	25.16%	36.51%	+0.04	+9.7	31
2015-06-12	@ Bohemian	L 1-3	44.7	1303	1294	36.51%	25.16%	38.33%	-0.04	-9.7	34
2015-06-26	Cork City	L 0-2	33.3	1232	1416	18.78%	21.93%	59.29%	-0.94	-6.3	15
2015-06-26	@ Derry City	W 2-0	33.3	1416	1232	59.29%	21.93%	18.78%	+0.94	+6.3	41
2015-06-26	Drogheda United	L 0-1	47.1	1303	1186	55.24%	23.06%	21.70%	+0.75	-8.2	31
2015-06-26	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	47.1	1186	1303	21.70%	23.06%	55.24%	-0.75	+8.2	21
2015-06-26	Limerick	W 6-2	29.8	1509	1132	80.03%	12.68%	7.29%	+2.20	+2.9	44
2015-06-26	@ Dundalk	L 2-6	29.8	1132	1509	7.29%	12.68%	80.03%	-2.20	-2.9	5
2015-06-26	Longford Town	W 3-0	32.5	1406	1283	55.86%	22.90%	21.24%	+0.78	+10.2	34
2015-06-26	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	32.5	1283	1406	21.24%	22.90%	55.86%	-0.78	-10.3	19
2015-06-26	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	46.2	1240	1293	32.24%	24.99%	42.77%	-0.21	-5.1	18
2015-06-26	@ Galway United	W 2-1	46.2	1293	1240	42.77%	24.99%	32.24%	+0.21	+5.1	37
2015-06-27	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	46.4	1107	1241	23.17%	23.51%	53.32%	-0.66	+8.0	14
2015-06-27	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	46.4	1241	1107	53.32%	23.51%	23.17%	+0.66	-8.0	12
2015-07-03	Dundalk	L 1-2	38.6	1194	1512	10.76%	16.47%	72.77%	-1.70	-1.7	21
2015-07-03	@ Drogheda United	W 2-1	38.6	1512	1194	72.77%	16.47%	10.76%	+1.70	+1.7	47
2015-07-04	Bohemian	W 2-1	48.3	1272	1295	36.44%	25.16%	38.39%	-0.04	+5.8	22
2015-07-04	@ Longford Town	L 1-2	48.3	1295	1272	38.39%	25.16%	36.44%	+0.04	-5.8	31
2015-07-04	Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	43.3	1129	1115	41.68%	25.06%	33.27%	+0.17	-6.5	5
2015-07-04	@ Limerick	W 1-0	43.3	1115	1129	33.27%	25.06%	41.68%	-0.17	+6.5	17
2015-07-04	Galway United	D 1-1	53.6	1233	1235	39.41%	25.15%	35.44%	+0.08	-0.1	13
2015-07-04	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.6	1235	1233	35.44%	25.15%	39.41%	-0.08	+0.1	19
2015-07-07	Dundalk	L 2-4	41.0	1235	1513	12.68%	18.16%	69.15%	-1.48	-3.2	19
2015-07-07	@ Galway United	W 4-2	41.0	1513	1235	69.15%	18.16%	12.68%	+1.48	+3.2	50
2015-07-11	Derry City	W 1-0	45.5	1122	1226	26.22%	24.22%	49.56%	-0.49	+7.5	20
2015-07-11	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	45.5	1226	1122	49.56%	24.22%	26.22%	+0.49	-7.5	15
2015-07-11	Galway United	L 2-4	44.2	1123	1232	25.70%	24.11%	50.19%	-0.52	-6.5	5
2015-07-11	@ Limerick	W 4-2	44.2	1232	1123	50.19%	24.11%	25.70%	+0.52	+6.5	22
2015-07-11	Longford Town	W 3-2	53.8	1233	1278	33.31%	25.06%	41.64%	-0.17	+5.9	16
2015-07-11	@ Sligo Rovers	L 2-3	53.8	1278	1233	41.64%	25.06%	33.31%	+0.17	-5.9	22
2015-07-17	Limerick	D 0-0	49.5	1218	1116	53.31%	23.51%	23.18%	+0.66	-1.1	16
2015-07-17	@ Derry City	D 0-0	49.5	1116	1218	23.18%	23.51%	53.31%	-0.66	+1.1	6
2015-07-17	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	39.8	1289	1239	46.69%	24.62%	28.68%	+0.37	+4.9	34
2015-07-17	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	39.8	1239	1289	28.68%	24.62%	46.69%	-0.37	-4.9	16
2015-07-17	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	31.7	1192	1416	15.92%	20.44%	63.64%	-1.17	-5.3	21
2015-07-17	@ Drogheda United	W 2-0	31.7	1416	1192	63.64%	20.44%	15.92%	+1.17	+5.3	37
2015-07-18	Cork City	L 1-4	37.7	1272	1422	21.64%	23.04%	55.32%	-0.75	-8.8	22
2015-07-18	@ Longford Town	W 4-1	37.7	1422	1272	55.32%	23.04%	21.64%	+0.75	+8.8	44
2015-07-24	Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	46.6	1238	1129	54.16%	23.32%	22.52%	+0.70	-8.1	22
2015-07-24	@ Galway United	W 1-0	46.6	1129	1238	22.52%	23.32%	54.16%	-0.70	+8.1	23
2015-07-24	Derry City	W 4-2	44.5	1294	1217	50.16%	24.12%	25.72%	+0.52	+6.5	37
2015-07-24	@ Bohemian	L 2-4	44.5	1217	1294	25.72%	24.12%	50.16%	-0.52	-6.5	16
2015-07-24	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	31.0	1234	1421	18.52%	21.81%	59.67%	-0.96	-9.0	16
2015-07-24	@ Sligo Rovers	W 3-0	31.0	1421	1234	59.67%	21.81%	18.52%	+0.96	+9.0	40
2015-07-25	Drogheda United	D 1-1	53.9	1264	1187	50.13%	24.13%	25.75%	+0.52	-0.8	23
2015-07-25	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	53.9	1187	1264	25.75%	24.13%	50.13%	-0.52	+0.8	22
2015-07-26	Cork City	D 1-1	61.7	1517	1431	51.25%	23.92%	24.82%	+0.57	-0.9	51
2015-07-26	@ Dundalk	D 1-1	61.7	1431	1517	24.82%	23.92%	51.25%	-0.57	+0.9	45
2015-07-26	Limerick	W 4-1	33.9	1298	1118	62.45%	20.88%	16.68%	+1.10	+6.8	40
2015-07-26	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-4	33.9	1118	1298	16.68%	20.88%	62.45%	-1.10	-6.8	6
2015-07-31	Bohemian	W 4-0	32.2	1432	1301	56.87%	22.64%	20.50%	+0.83	+13.0	48
2015-07-31	@ Cork City	L 0-4	32.2	1301	1432	20.50%	22.64%	56.87%	-0.83	-12.9	37
2015-07-31	Dundalk	L 0-1	31.3	1138	1516	8.32%	13.90%	77.79%	-2.04	-1.3	23
2015-07-31	@ Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	31.3	1516	1138	77.79%	13.90%	8.32%	+2.04	+1.3	54
2015-07-31	Galway United	W 3-1	37.3	1430	1230	64.46%	20.12%	15.41%	+1.21	+4.4	43
2015-07-31	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-3	37.3	1230	1430	15.41%	20.12%	64.46%	-1.21	-4.4	22
2015-07-31	Longford Town	W 3-0	38.2	1211	1263	32.43%	25.01%	42.57%	-0.20	+18.2	19
2015-07-31	@ Derry City	L 0-3	38.2	1263	1211	42.57%	25.01%	32.43%	+0.20	-18.2	23
2015-07-31	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	38.3	1188	1305	24.77%	23.91%	51.32%	-0.57	-4.3	22
2015-07-31	@ Drogheda United	W 1-0	38.3	1305	1188	51.32%	23.91%	24.77%	+0.57	+4.3	43
2015-08-01	Sligo Rovers	W 3-2	55.9	1111	1225	25.14%	24.00%	50.86%	-0.55	+6.9	9
2015-08-01	@ Limerick	L 2-3	55.9	1225	1111	50.86%	24.00%	25.14%	+0.55	-6.9	16
2015-08-07	Derry City	L 0-4	36.5	1226	1229	39.22%	25.15%	35.63%	+0.07	-22.4	22
2015-08-07	@ Galway United	W 4-0	36.5	1229	1226	35.63%	25.15%	39.22%	-0.07	+22.4	22
2015-08-07	Longford Town	D 0-0	54.2	1517	1244	71.54%	17.06%	11.40%	+1.62	-2.4	55
2015-08-07	@ Dundalk	D 0-0	54.2	1244	1517	11.40%	17.06%	71.54%	-1.62	+2.4	24
2015-08-07	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	36.7	1310	1434	24.03%	23.73%	52.24%	-0.61	-7.9	43
2015-08-07	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	36.7	1434	1310	52.24%	23.73%	24.03%	+0.61	+7.9	46
2015-08-08	Bohemian	W 4-3	60.3	1118	1288	19.90%	22.40%	57.70%	-0.87	+7.5	12
2015-08-08	@ Limerick	L 3-4	60.3	1288	1118	57.70%	22.40%	19.90%	+0.87	-7.5	37
2015-08-08	Cork City	L 0-2	32.1	1218	1445	15.70%	20.30%	64.00%	-1.19	-5.2	16
2015-08-08	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	32.1	1445	1218	64.00%	20.30%	15.70%	+1.19	+5.2	51
2015-08-08	Drogheda United	W 1-0	43.4	1136	1183	33.08%	25.05%	41.87%	-0.18	+6.6	26
2015-08-08	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	43.4	1183	1136	41.87%	25.05%	33.08%	+0.18	-6.6	22
2015-08-14	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	31.9	1442	1143	73.94%	15.89%	10.17%	+1.77	+1.7	49
2015-08-14	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	31.9	1143	1442	10.17%	15.89%	73.94%	-1.77	-1.7	26
2015-08-14	Dundalk	L 0-2	32.4	1251	1515	13.51%	18.81%	67.69%	-1.39	-4.4	22
2015-08-14	@ Derry City	W 2-0	32.4	1515	1251	67.69%	18.81%	13.51%	+1.39	+4.4	58
2015-08-14	Galway United	W 3-0	32.9	1280	1203	50.15%	24.12%	25.73%	+0.52	+12.2	40
2015-08-14	@ Bohemian	L 0-3	32.9	1203	1280	25.73%	24.12%	50.15%	-0.52	-12.2	22
2015-08-14	Limerick	L 2-3	61.4	1450	1125	76.07%	14.80%	9.13%	+1.91	-9.5	51
2015-08-14	@ Cork City	W 3-2	61.4	1125	1450	9.13%	14.80%	76.07%	-1.91	+9.5	15
2015-08-14	Shamrock Rovers	L 1-3	43.0	1247	1302	32.08%	24.98%	42.94%	-0.22	-8.8	24
2015-08-14	@ Longford Town	W 3-1	43.0	1302	1247	42.94%	24.98%	32.08%	+0.22	+8.8	46
2015-08-14	Sligo Rovers	L 0-4	35.0	1177	1213	34.59%	25.12%	40.29%	-0.11	-20.3	22
2015-08-14	@ Drogheda United	W 4-0	35.0	1213	1177	40.29%	25.12%	34.59%	+0.11	+20.3	19
2015-08-17	Bohemian	W 3-1	49.1	1141	1292	21.51%	23.00%	55.49%	-0.76	+13.5	29
2015-08-17	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-3	49.1	1292	1141	55.49%	23.00%	21.51%	+0.76	-13.5	40
2015-08-17	Cork City	W 3-0	43.2	1310	1441	23.49%	23.59%	52.92%	-0.64	+21.8	49
2015-08-17	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-3	43.2	1441	1310	52.92%	23.59%	23.49%	+0.64	-21.8	51
2015-08-17	Derry City	W 1-0	42.3	1233	1247	37.70%	25.17%	37.13%	+0.01	+6.0	22
2015-08-17	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	42.3	1247	1233	37.13%	25.17%	37.70%	-0.01	-6.0	22
2015-08-17	Drogheda United	D 1-1	53.5	1191	1156	44.53%	24.85%	30.62%	+0.28	-0.4	23
2015-08-17	@ Galway United	D 1-1	53.5	1156	1191	30.62%	24.85%	44.53%	-0.28	+0.4	23
2015-08-17	Longford Town	D 3-3	63.0	1135	1238	26.26%	24.23%	49.51%	-0.49	+0.5	16
2015-08-17	@ Limerick	D 3-3	63.0	1238	1135	49.51%	24.23%	26.26%	+0.49	-0.5	25
2015-08-17	St Patrick's Athletic	W 4-1	46.1	1519	1444	49.91%	24.16%	25.93%	+0.51	+10.4	61
2015-08-17	@ Dundalk	L 1-4	46.1	1444	1519	25.93%	24.16%	49.91%	-0.51	-10.4	49
2015-08-28	Derry City	L 0-1	50.1	1434	1241	63.72%	20.41%	15.87%	+1.17	-9.3	49
2015-08-28	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	50.1	1241	1434	15.87%	20.41%	63.72%	-1.17	+9.3	25
2015-08-28	Dundalk	D 2-2	64.3	1279	1529	14.25%	19.35%	66.40%	-1.32	+1.4	41
2015-08-28	@ Bohemian	D 2-2	64.3	1529	1279	66.40%	19.35%	14.25%	+1.32	-1.4	62
2015-08-28	Galway United	W 1-0	34.0	1419	1191	67.34%	18.96%	13.71%	+1.37	+2.4	54
2015-08-28	@ Cork City	L 0-1	34.0	1191	1419	13.71%	18.96%	67.34%	-1.37	-2.4	23
2015-08-28	Limerick	L 1-4	42.8	1157	1135	42.75%	24.99%	32.25%	+0.21	-15.4	23
2015-08-28	@ Drogheda United	W 4-1	42.8	1135	1157	32.25%	24.99%	42.75%	-0.21	+15.4	19
2015-08-29	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	38.2	1238	1155	50.94%	23.98%	25.08%	+0.56	+4.4	28
2015-08-29	@ Longford Town	L 0-1	38.2	1155	1238	25.08%	23.98%	50.94%	-0.56	-4.4	29
2015-08-29	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	54.2	1239	1332	27.42%	24.43%	48.15%	-0.43	+0.7	23
2015-08-29	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	54.2	1332	1239	48.15%	24.43%	27.42%	+0.43	-0.7	50
2015-08-31	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-1	48.2	1421	1424	39.23%	25.15%	35.62%	+0.07	+9.5	57
2015-08-31	@ Cork City	L 1-3	48.2	1424	1421	35.62%	25.15%	39.23%	-0.07	-9.5	49
2015-09-01	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	35.7	1528	1331	64.11%	20.26%	15.63%	+1.19	+5.2	65
2015-09-01	@ Dundalk	L 0-2	35.7	1331	1528	15.63%	20.26%	64.11%	-1.19	-5.2	50
2015-09-05	Bohemian	D 1-1	54.4	1326	1280	46.07%	24.70%	29.23%	+0.35	-0.5	51
2015-09-05	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	54.4	1280	1326	29.23%	24.70%	46.07%	-0.35	+0.5	42
2015-09-05	Cork City	D 0-0	51.8	1150	1431	12.58%	18.08%	69.35%	-1.49	+2.2	30
2015-09-05	@ Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	51.8	1431	1150	69.35%	18.08%	12.58%	+1.49	-2.2	58
2015-09-05	Drogheda United	L 0-2	43.3	1250	1141	54.15%	23.32%	22.53%	+0.70	-15.3	25
2015-09-05	@ Derry City	W 2-0	43.3	1141	1250	22.53%	23.32%	54.15%	-0.70	+15.3	26
2015-09-05	Longford Town	W 4-2	49.7	1188	1242	32.22%	24.99%	42.79%	-0.21	+9.8	26
2015-09-05	@ Galway United	L 2-4	49.7	1242	1188	42.79%	24.99%	32.22%	+0.21	-9.8	28
2015-09-05	Sligo Rovers	D 2-2	64.5	1533	1240	73.41%	16.15%	10.43%	+1.74	-1.7	66
2015-09-05	@ Dundalk	D 2-2	64.5	1240	1533	10.43%	16.15%	73.41%	-1.74	+1.6	24
2015-09-05	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-1	51.9	1150	1415	13.45%	18.76%	67.79%	-1.40	+15.9	22
2015-09-05	@ Limerick	L 1-3	51.9	1415	1150	67.79%	18.76%	13.45%	+1.40	-15.9	49
2015-09-18	Drogheda United	W 6-0	25.8	1532	1157	79.91%	12.74%	7.35%	+2.19	+6.0	69
2015-09-18	@ Dundalk	L 0-6	25.8	1157	1532	7.35%	12.74%	79.91%	-2.19	-6.0	26
2015-09-18	Longford Town	D 1-1	53.9	1281	1232	46.42%	24.66%	28.92%	+0.36	-0.6	43
2015-09-18	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	53.9	1232	1281	28.92%	24.66%	46.42%	-0.36	+0.6	29
2015-09-18	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	45.6	1235	1326	27.67%	24.47%	47.85%	-0.42	+7.3	28
2015-09-18	@ Derry City	L 0-1	45.6	1326	1235	47.85%	24.47%	27.67%	+0.42	-7.3	51
2015-09-19	Limerick	D 2-2	58.8	1152	1166	37.69%	25.17%	37.14%	+0.01	-0.0	31
2015-09-19	@ Bray Wanderers	D 2-2	58.8	1166	1152	37.14%	25.17%	37.69%	-0.01	+0.0	23
2015-09-22	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	35.4	1318	1152	60.82%	21.44%	17.74%	+1.02	+3.1	54
2015-09-22	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	35.4	1152	1318	17.74%	21.44%	60.82%	-1.02	-3.1	31
2015-09-25	Bohemian	D 2-2	59.4	1151	1280	23.56%	23.61%	52.83%	-0.64	+0.7	27
2015-09-25	@ Drogheda United	D 2-2	59.4	1280	1151	52.83%	23.61%	23.56%	+0.64	-0.7	44
2015-09-25	Derry City	D 0-0	51.8	1429	1242	63.04%	20.66%	16.30%	+1.14	-1.8	59
2015-09-25	@ Cork City	D 0-0	51.8	1242	1429	16.30%	20.66%	63.04%	-1.14	+1.8	29
2015-09-25	Galway United	W 2-0	33.6	1322	1198	55.94%	22.88%	21.18%	+0.78	+7.0	57
2015-09-25	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	33.6	1198	1322	21.18%	22.88%	55.94%	-0.78	-7.0	26
2015-09-26	Bray Wanderers	W 3-2	47.9	1241	1149	52.08%	23.76%	24.16%	+0.61	+3.8	27
2015-09-26	@ Sligo Rovers	L 2-3	47.9	1149	1241	24.16%	23.76%	52.08%	-0.61	-3.8	31
2015-09-26	Dundalk	L 1-3	34.0	1166	1538	8.57%	14.19%	77.24%	-2.00	-2.2	23
2015-09-26	@ Limerick	W 3-1	34.0	1538	1166	77.24%	14.19%	8.57%	+2.00	+2.2	72
2015-09-26	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	31.5	1233	1399	20.22%	22.53%	57.25%	-0.84	-9.8	29
2015-09-26	@ Longford Town	W 3-0	31.5	1399	1233	57.25%	22.53%	20.22%	+0.84	+9.8	52
2015-10-02	Sligo Rovers	W 2-1	49.1	1191	1245	32.17%	24.99%	42.85%	-0.22	+6.3	29
2015-10-02	@ Galway United	L 1-2	49.1	1245	1191	42.85%	24.99%	32.17%	+0.22	-6.3	27
2015-10-09	Bray Wanderers	W 3-1	39.6	1244	1146	52.88%	23.60%	23.52%	+0.64	+6.7	32
2015-10-09	@ Derry City	L 1-3	39.6	1146	1244	23.52%	23.60%	52.88%	-0.64	-6.7	31
2015-10-09	Cork City	D 1-1	56.1	1151	1427	12.86%	18.30%	68.84%	-1.46	+2.0	28
2015-10-09	@ Drogheda United	D 1-1	56.1	1427	1151	68.84%	18.30%	12.86%	+1.46	-2.0	60
2015-10-09	Dundalk	D 1-1	60.0	1329	1540	16.76%	20.92%	62.31%	-1.10	+1.6	58
2015-10-09	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	60.0	1540	1329	62.31%	20.92%	16.76%	+1.10	-1.6	73
2015-10-09	Limerick	L 1-3	46.1	1197	1164	44.32%	24.87%	30.81%	+0.28	-11.2	29
2015-10-09	@ Galway United	W 3-1	46.1	1164	1197	30.81%	24.87%	44.32%	-0.28	+11.2	26
2015-10-09	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	44.5	1280	1409	23.59%	23.62%	52.78%	-0.64	+15.0	47
2015-10-09	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	44.5	1409	1280	52.78%	23.62%	23.59%	+0.64	-15.0	52
2015-10-10	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	53.6	1223	1239	37.42%	25.17%	37.41%	+0.00	+0.0	30
2015-10-10	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	53.6	1239	1223	37.41%	25.17%	37.42%	+0.00	+0.0	28
2015-10-16	Drogheda United	W 2-1	38.5	1394	1153	68.53%	18.44%	13.03%	+1.44	+2.1	55
2015-10-16	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	38.5	1153	1394	13.03%	18.44%	68.53%	-1.44	-2.1	28
2015-10-16	Galway United	D 0-0	54.6	1538	1186	78.22%	13.66%	8.11%	+2.07	-2.7	74
2015-10-16	@ Dundalk	D 0-0	54.6	1186	1538	8.11%	13.66%	78.22%	-2.07	+2.7	30
2015-10-16	Longford Town	L 2-3	60.1	1425	1223	64.65%	20.05%	15.30%	+1.22	-8.4	60
2015-10-16	@ Cork City	W 3-2	60.1	1223	1425	15.30%	20.05%	64.65%	-1.22	+8.4	33
2015-10-17	Bohemian	L 0-2	37.5	1239	1294	31.96%	24.97%	43.07%	-0.22	-10.1	28
2015-10-17	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	37.5	1294	1239	43.07%	24.97%	31.96%	+0.22	+10.1	50
2015-10-17	Derry City	L 0-2	36.3	1175	1251	29.51%	24.73%	45.76%	-0.33	-9.4	26
2015-10-17	@ Limerick	W 2-0	36.3	1251	1175	45.76%	24.73%	29.51%	+0.33	+9.4	35
2015-10-17	Shamrock Rovers	D 2-2	60.1	1139	1330	18.21%	21.66%	60.13%	-0.99	+1.1	32
2015-10-17	@ Bray Wanderers	D 2-2	60.1	1330	1139	60.13%	21.66%	18.21%	+0.99	-1.1	59
2015-10-19	Cork City	L 1-2	51.0	1396	1416	36.76%	25.17%	38.08%	-0.03	-5.6	55
2015-10-19	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	51.0	1416	1396	38.08%	25.17%	36.76%	+0.03	+5.6	63
2015-10-23	Bohemian	L 2-3	51.6	1260	1305	33.44%	25.07%	41.49%	-0.16	-5.0	35
2015-10-23	@ Derry City	W 3-2	51.6	1305	1260	41.49%	25.07%	33.44%	+0.16	+5.0	53
2015-10-23	Dundalk	D 2-2	67.4	1422	1536	25.19%	24.01%	50.81%	-0.55	+0.6	64
2015-10-23	@ Cork City	D 2-2	67.4	1536	1422	50.81%	24.01%	25.19%	+0.55	-0.6	75
2015-10-23	Longford Town	L 0-3	33.8	1151	1231	28.93%	24.66%	46.41%	-0.36	-13.5	28
2015-10-23	@ Drogheda United	W 3-0	33.8	1231	1151	46.41%	24.66%	28.93%	+0.36	+13.5	36
2015-10-23	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	33.2	1166	1329	20.48%	22.63%	56.90%	-0.83	-6.8	26
2015-10-23	@ Limerick	W 2-0	33.2	1329	1166	56.90%	22.63%	20.48%	+0.83	+6.8	62
2015-10-23	Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	45.5	1390	1229	60.33%	21.60%	18.07%	+1.00	-16.7	55
2015-10-23	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	45.5	1229	1390	18.07%	21.60%	60.33%	-1.00	+16.7	31
2015-10-24	Galway United	D 1-1	53.4	1140	1189	32.85%	25.03%	42.12%	-0.19	+0.3	33
2015-10-24	@ Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	53.4	1189	1140	42.12%	25.03%	32.85%	+0.19	-0.3	31
2015-10-30	Bray Wanderers	W 4-0	24.1	1535	1140	81.32%	11.96%	6.72%	+2.31	+3.7	78
2015-10-30	@ Dundalk	L 0-4	24.1	1140	1535	6.72%	11.96%	81.32%	-2.31	-3.7	33
2015-10-30	Cork City	L 0-1	40.4	1310	1423	25.24%	24.02%	50.74%	-0.55	-4.4	53
2015-10-30	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	40.4	1423	1310	50.74%	24.02%	25.24%	+0.55	+4.4	67
2015-10-30	Derry City	W 4-2	48.1	1245	1255	38.21%	25.17%	36.63%	+0.03	+8.7	39
2015-10-30	@ Longford Town	L 2-4	48.1	1255	1245	36.63%	25.17%	38.21%	-0.03	-8.7	35
2015-10-30	Drogheda United	W 5-3	42.0	1336	1138	64.28%	20.20%	15.53%	+1.20	+3.8	65
2015-10-30	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 3-5	42.0	1138	1336	15.53%	20.20%	64.28%	-1.20	-3.8	28
2015-10-30	Limerick	L 2-3	56.1	1245	1159	51.36%	23.90%	24.73%	+0.57	-6.9	31
2015-10-30	@ Sligo Rovers	W 3-2	56.1	1159	1245	24.73%	23.90%	51.36%	-0.57	+6.9	29
2015-10-30	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	36.1	1189	1374	18.69%	21.89%	59.42%	-0.95	-3.3	31
2015-10-30	@ Galway United	W 1-0	36.1	1374	1189	59.42%	21.89%	18.69%	+0.95	+3.3	58

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2015-10-23	Finn Harps	L 0-1	41.5	1127	1156	35.56%	25.15%	39.29%	-0.07	-5.8	0-1
2015-10-23	@ UC Dublin	W 1-0	41.5	1156	1127	39.29%	25.15%	35.56%	+0.07	+5.8	1-0
2015-10-30	UC Dublin	W 2-1	44.9	1162	1122	45.33%	24.78%	29.90%	+0.32	+4.8	2-0
2015-10-30	@ Finn Harps	L 1-2	44.9	1122	1162	29.90%	24.78%	45.33%	-0.32	-4.8	0-2
2015-11-02	Finn Harps	W 1-0	41.5	1166	1167	39.55%	25.14%	35.31%	+0.08	+5.8	1-0
2015-11-02	@ Limerick	L 0-1	41.5	1167	1166	35.31%	25.14%	39.55%	-0.08	-5.8	2-1
2015-11-06	Limerick	W 2-0	38.5	1161	1172	38.16%	25.17%	36.68%	+0.03	+11.2	3-1
2015-11-06	@ Finn Harps	L 0-2	38.5	1172	1161	36.68%	25.17%	38.16%	-0.03	-11.2	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2015-08-14	9.13%	Limerick	1125	3	@ Cork City	1450	2
2	2015-05-16	11.50%	@ Bray Wanderers	1101	1	St Patrick's Athletic	1402	0
3	2015-09-05	13.45%	@ Limerick	1150	3	St Patrick's Athletic	1415	1
4	2015-06-05	13.93%	Bohemian	1291	2	@ Dundalk	1516	1
5	2015-10-16	15.30%	Longford Town	1223	3	@ Cork City	1425	2
6	2015-08-28	15.87%	Derry City	1241	1	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1434	0
7	2015-04-03	17.63%	Bray Wanderers	1106	3	@ Sligo Rovers	1274	1
8	2015-10-23	18.07%	Sligo Rovers	1229	2	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1390	0
9	2015-03-06	18.68%	@ Shamrock Rovers	1201	1	St Patrick's Athletic	1386	0
10	2015-08-08	19.90%	@ Limerick	1118	4	Bohemian	1288	3
11	2015-08-17	21.51%	@ Bray Wanderers	1141	3	Bohemian	1292	1
12	2015-06-26	21.70%	Drogheda United	1186	1	@ Bohemian	1303	0
13	2015-07-24	22.52%	Bray Wanderers	1129	1	@ Galway United	1238	0
14	2015-09-05	22.53%	Drogheda United	1141	2	@ Derry City	1250	0
15	2015-06-27	23.17%	@ Bray Wanderers	1107	1	Sligo Rovers	1241	0
16	2015-08-17	23.49%	@ Shamrock Rovers	1310	3	Cork City	1441	0
17	2015-10-09	23.59%	@ Bohemian	1280	2	St Patrick's Athletic	1409	0
18	2015-03-14	23.86%	Shamrock Rovers	1210	2	@ Longford Town	1305	0
19	2015-10-30	24.73%	Limerick	1159	3	@ Sligo Rovers	1245	2
20	2015-08-01	25.14%	@ Limerick	1111	3	Sligo Rovers	1225	2
21	2015-07-11	26.22%	@ Bray Wanderers	1122	1	Derry City	1226	0
22	2015-03-24	27.34%	Shamrock Rovers	1226	2	@ Sligo Rovers	1288	1
23	2015-09-18	27.67%	@ Derry City	1235	1	Shamrock Rovers	1326	0
24	2015-06-12	27.89%	Galway United	1233	1	@ Longford Town	1290	0
25	2015-05-22	28.29%	@ Drogheda United	1166	2	Galway United	1252	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-04-11	24.57	@ Bray Wanderers	4	1121	30.87%	Limerick	0	1185	44.25%	24.88%
2	2015-08-07	22.36	Derry City	4	1229	35.63%	@ Galway United	0	1226	39.22%	25.15%
3	2015-08-17	21.77	@ Shamrock Rovers	3	1310	23.49%	Cork City	0	1441	52.92%	23.59%
4	2015-04-25	21.61	Galway United	5	1216	46.63%	@ Bray Wanderers	0	1134	28.74%	24.63%
5	2015-08-14	20.34	Sligo Rovers	4	1213	40.29%	@ Drogheda United	0	1177	34.59%	25.12%
6	2015-07-31	18.24	@ Derry City	3	1211	32.43%	Longford Town	0	1263	42.57%	25.01%
7	2015-10-23	16.72	Sligo Rovers	2	1229	18.07%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	0	1390	60.33%	21.60%
8	2015-06-05	16.35	@ Shamrock Rovers	5	1275	41.91%	Sligo Rovers	1	1259	33.04%	25.04%
9	2015-04-03	16.04	@ Shamrock Rovers	3	1233	38.84%	Galway United	0	1239	36.00%	25.16%
10	2015-09-05	15.90	@ Limerick	3	1150	13.45%	St Patrick's Athletic	1	1415	67.79%	18.76%
11	2015-08-28	15.43	Limerick	4	1135	32.25%	@ Drogheda United	1	1157	42.75%	24.99%
12	2015-09-05	15.28	Drogheda United	2	1141	22.53%	@ Derry City	0	1250	54.15%	23.32%
13	2015-03-07	14.97	Bohemian	3	1263	42.06%	@ Limerick	0	1214	32.90%	25.04%
14	2015-10-09	14.96	@ Bohemian	2	1280	23.59%	St Patrick's Athletic	0	1409	52.78%	23.62%
15	2015-03-14	14.88	Shamrock Rovers	2	1210	23.86%	@ Longford Town	0	1305	52.45%	23.69%
16	2015-04-03	14.62	Bray Wanderers	3	1106	17.63%	@ Sligo Rovers	1	1274	60.99%	21.38%
17	2015-03-13	14.10	@ Cork City	5	1361	60.31%	Limerick	0	1199	18.09%	21.61%
18	2015-05-22	13.63	@ Drogheda United	2	1166	28.29%	Galway United	0	1252	47.14%	24.57%
19	2015-08-17	13.51	@ Bray Wanderers	3	1141	21.51%	Bohemian	1	1292	55.49%	23.00%
20	2015-10-23	13.50	Longford Town	3	1231	46.41%	@ Drogheda United	0	1151	28.93%	24.66%
21	2015-05-08	13.23	Galway United	2	1229	29.80%	@ Derry City	0	1271	45.43%	24.77%
22	2015-03-27	13.22	@ Derry City	3	1267	47.21%	Drogheda United	0	1213	28.23%	24.56%
23	2015-04-24	13.02	Longford Town	3	1282	47.79%	@ Drogheda United	0	1191	27.72%	24.48%
24	2015-07-31	12.95	@ Cork City	4	1432	56.87%	Bohemian	0	1301	20.50%	22.64%
25	2015-04-20	12.40	Shamrock Rovers	3	1251	49.60%	@ Bray Wanderers	0	1147	26.19%	24.21%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-10-23	67.4	@ Cork City	2	1422	25.19%	Dundalk	2	1536	50.81%	24.01%
2	2015-09-05	64.5	@ Dundalk	2	1533	73.41%	Sligo Rovers	2	1240	10.43%	16.15%
3	2015-08-28	64.3	@ Bohemian	2	1279	14.25%	Dundalk	2	1529	66.40%	19.35%
4	2015-08-17	63.0	@ Limerick	3	1135	26.26%	Longford Town	3	1238	49.51%	24.23%
5	2015-04-17	62.6	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1250	15.16%	Dundalk	2	1485	64.87%	19.97%
6	2015-07-26	61.7	@ Dundalk	1	1517	51.25%	Cork City	1	1431	24.82%	23.92%
7	2015-08-14	61.4	Limerick	3	1125	9.13%	@ Cork City	2	1450	76.07%	14.80%
8	2015-04-20	60.9	@ St Patrick's Athletic	2	1386	64.10%	Drogheda United	2	1190	15.64%	20.26%
9	2015-04-04	60.5	@ Longford Town	2	1300	28.76%	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1382	46.61%	24.63%
10	2015-08-08	60.3	@ Limerick	4	1118	19.90%	Bohemian	3	1288	57.70%	22.40%
11	2015-10-16	60.1	Longford Town	3	1223	15.30%	@ Cork City	2	1425	64.65%	20.05%
12	2015-10-17	60.1	@ Bray Wanderers	2	1139	18.21%	Shamrock Rovers	2	1330	60.13%	21.66%
13	2015-10-09	60.0	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1329	16.76%	Dundalk	1	1540	62.31%	20.92%
14	2015-09-25	59.4	@ Drogheda United	2	1151	23.56%	Bohemian	2	1280	52.83%	23.61%
15	2015-03-21	59.3	@ Limerick	2	1185	26.12%	Longford Town	2	1290	49.68%	24.20%
16	2015-09-19	58.8	@ Bray Wanderers	2	1152	37.69%	Limerick	2	1166	37.14%	25.17%
17	2015-06-05	58.1	Bohemian	2	1291	13.93%	@ Dundalk	1	1516	66.95%	19.12%
18	2015-04-04	57.2	@ Limerick	1	1183	11.48%	Dundalk	1	1486	71.39%	17.13%
19	2015-10-09	56.1	@ Drogheda United	1	1151	12.86%	Cork City	1	1427	68.84%	18.30%
20	2015-10-30	56.1	Limerick	3	1159	24.73%	@ Sligo Rovers	2	1245	51.36%	23.90%
21	2015-08-01	55.9	@ Limerick	3	1111	25.14%	Sligo Rovers	2	1225	50.86%	24.00%
22	2015-05-04	55.4	@ Bohemian	1	1299	26.52%	Cork City	1	1400	49.20%	24.28%
23	2015-03-13	55.2	@ Drogheda United	3	1212	28.57%	Sligo Rovers	2	1295	46.82%	24.61%
24	2015-03-07	54.7	@ Sligo Rovers	1	1295	30.59%	Cork City	1	1361	44.56%	24.85%
25	2015-10-16	54.6	@ Dundalk	0	1538	78.22%	Galway United	0	1186	8.11%	13.66%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2015-10-30	24.1	@ Dundalk	4	1535	81.32%	Bray Wanderers	0	1140	6.72%	11.96%
2	2015-09-18	25.8	@ Dundalk	6	1532	79.91%	Drogheda United	0	1157	7.35%	12.74%
3	2015-05-04	26.7	@ Dundalk	8	1494	80.37%	Bray Wanderers	1	1113	7.14%	12.49%
4	2015-03-13	27.0	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1378	69.83%	Bray Wanderers	0	1124	12.31%	17.86%
5	2015-04-20	28.3	@ Dundalk	3	1484	70.59%	Galway United	0	1222	11.90%	17.51%
6	2015-06-26	29.8	@ Dundalk	6	1509	80.03%	Limerick	2	1132	7.29%	12.68%
7	2015-03-13	29.9	@ Cork City	5	1361	60.31%	Limerick	0	1199	18.09%	21.61%
8	2015-07-24	31.0	St Patrick's Athletic	3	1421	59.67%	@ Sligo Rovers	0	1234	18.52%	21.81%
9	2015-03-27	31.1	@ Dundalk	3	1478	64.12%	Sligo Rovers	0	1281	15.62%	20.26%
10	2015-07-31	31.3	Dundalk	1	1516	77.79%	@ Bray Wanderers	0	1138	8.32%	13.90%
11	2015-06-12	31.4	@ Cork City	1	1414	74.44%	Bray Wanderers	0	1109	9.92%	15.64%
12	2015-03-24	31.5	@ Longford Town	2	1289	61.83%	Bray Wanderers	0	1114	17.08%	21.09%
13	2015-09-26	31.5	St Patrick's Athletic	3	1399	57.25%	@ Longford Town	0	1233	20.22%	22.53%
14	2015-07-17	31.7	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1416	63.64%	@ Drogheda United	0	1192	15.92%	20.44%
15	2015-08-14	31.9	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1442	73.94%	Bray Wanderers	0	1143	10.17%	15.89%
16	2015-08-08	32.1	Cork City	2	1445	64.00%	@ Sligo Rovers	0	1218	15.70%	20.30%
17	2015-04-24	32.2	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1385	55.47%	Sligo Rovers	0	1265	21.53%	23.00%
18	2015-07-31	32.2	@ Cork City	4	1432	56.87%	Bohemian	0	1301	20.50%	22.64%
19	2015-08-14	32.4	Dundalk	2	1515	67.69%	@ Derry City	0	1251	13.51%	18.81%
20	2015-06-26	32.5	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1406	55.86%	Longford Town	0	1283	21.24%	22.90%
21	2015-03-24	32.8	Dundalk	3	1469	58.54%	@ Bohemian	0	1291	19.30%	22.16%
22	2015-04-20	32.9	Shamrock Rovers	3	1251	49.60%	@ Bray Wanderers	0	1147	26.19%	24.21%
23	2015-08-14	32.9	@ Bohemian	3	1280	50.15%	Galway United	0	1203	25.73%	24.12%
24	2015-04-03	33.0	@ Cork City	3	1383	53.39%	Derry City	0	1280	23.12%	23.49%
25	2015-04-10	33.0	@ Dundalk	1	1483	73.01%	Drogheda United	0	1194	10.64%	16.35%