2016 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

198 games · 3 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Dundalk

77 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Bray Wanderers

12.13 points above expected

46 points · 33.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Longford Town

15.35 points below expected

14 points · 29.35 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dundalk	33	25	2	6	77	73	28	+45	70.97	+6.03
2	Cork City	33	21	7	5	70	65	23	+42	66.31	+3.69
3	Derry City	33	17	11	5	62	48	29	+19	52.26	+9.74
4	Shamrock Rovers	33	16	7	10	55	46	34	+12	52.96	+2.04
5	Sligo Rovers	33	13	10	10	49	42	35	+7	42.87	+6.13
6	Bray Wanderers	33	13	7	13	46	39	40	-1	33.87	+12.13
7	St Patrick's Athletic	33	13	6	14	45	45	41	+4	50.93	-5.93
8	Bohemian	33	12	5	16	41	30	37	-7	43.47	-2.47
9	Galway United	33	10	8	15	38	44	54	-10	42.10	-4.10
10	Finn Harps	33	8	8	17	32	23	49	-26	35.07	-3.07
11	Wexford Youths	33	6	5	22	23	31	70	-39	31.71	-8.71
12	Longford Town	33	2	8	23	14	25	71	-46	29.35	-15.35

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Bray Wanderers	46	33.87	+12.13
2	Derry City	62	52.26	+9.74
3	Sligo Rovers	49	42.87	+6.13
4	Dundalk	77	70.97	+6.03
5	Cork City	70	66.31	+3.69

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Longford Town	14	29.35	-15.35
2	Wexford Youths	23	31.71	-8.71
3	St Patrick's Athletic	45	50.93	-5.93
4	Galway United	38	42.10	-4.10
5	Finn Harps	32	35.07	-3.07

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bray Wanderers	5	Sep 6 – Sep 30	1 in 104
2	Cork City	8	Apr 22 – Jun 3	1 in 87
3	Derry City	4	Mar 11 – Mar 26	1 in 37
4	Sligo Rovers	3	Apr 23 – May 7	1 in 23
5	Dundalk	8	Apr 9 – May 29	1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Finn Harps	9	Jul 16 – Oct 1	1 in 1,084
2	Dundalk	2	Aug 5 – Aug 10	1 in 92
3	St Patrick's Athletic	4	May 29 – Jul 9	1 in 46
4	Wexford Youths	6	May 29 – Jul 22	1 in 37
5	Galway United	3	Aug 12 – Aug 27	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bray Wanderers	9	Jun 3 – Aug 27	1 in 1,116
2	Cork City	15	Mar 14 – Jul 10	1 in 59
3	Sligo Rovers	7	Jun 24 – Aug 12	1 in 42
4	Derry City	10	Jul 15 – Sep 16	1 in 37
5	Finn Harps	4	May 29 – Jul 8	1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Longford Town	25	Mar 11 – Sep 10	1 in 2,121
2	Finn Harps	10	Jul 16 – Oct 4	1 in 37
3	Sligo Rovers	8	Mar 5 – Apr 15	1 in 20
4	Cork City	3	Apr 2 – Apr 15	1 in 16
5	Derry City	4	Sep 2 – Sep 27	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Dundalk	1471	77	+2	12	11.2	+0.8
Cork City	1420	70	-42	9	11.2	-2.2
Derry City	1353	62	+37	13	8.9	+4.1
Shamrock Rovers	1297	55	-27	5	7.7	-2.7
Sligo Rovers	1280	49	+60	10	8.0	+2.0
Bray Wanderers	1279	46	+40	10	6.8	+3.2
St Patrick's Athletic	1270	45	+20	6	4.8	+1.2
Bohemian	1213	41	-18	3	5.4	-2.4
Galway United	1150	38	-36	4	6.8	-2.8
Finn Harps	1103	32	+25	8	4.6	+3.4
Wexford Youths	1036	23	-23	4	4.1	-0.1
Longford Town	1006	14	-15	1	2.8	-1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BOH	BW	CC	DC	DUN	FH	GU	LT	SR	SR	SPA	WY
Bohemian	—	1-1-1 4.78	0-1-2 2.31	0-0-3 3.12	0-0-3 1.85	1-1-1 4.79	0-1-2 4.28	3-0-0 5.73	1-0-2 3.54	2-0-1 4.35	2-0-1 3.09	2-1-0 5.32
Bray Wanderers	1-1-1 3.56	—	1-0-2 1.93	0-1-2 2.80	1-0-2 1.50	1-0-2 4.10	1-0-2 2.97	1-2-0 4.14	0-2-1 2.45	2-1-0 3.37	3-0-0 3.17	2-0-1 4.23
Cork City	2-1-0 6.06	2-0-1 6.47	—	1-1-1 5.31	2-0-1 3.44	3-0-0 7.07	2-1-0 6.17	3-0-0 6.71	2-1-0 5.47	0-2-1 6.28	2-0-1 6.09	2-1-0 7.01
Derry City	3-0-0 5.22	2-1-0 5.56	1-1-1 3.04	—	0-1-2 2.07	1-1-1 5.08	1-2-0 5.22	2-1-0 6.15	2-1-0 4.14	1-1-1 5.40	2-1-0 4.14	2-1-0 5.69
Dundalk	3-0-0 6.56	2-0-1 6.96	1-0-2 4.89	2-1-0 6.31	—	3-0-0 7.06	2-0-1 6.97	3-0-0 7.26	2-1-0 5.73	2-0-1 6.88	2-0-1 5.81	3-0-0 6.97
Finn Harps	1-1-1 3.54	2-0-1 4.24	0-0-3 1.40	1-1-1 3.26	0-0-3 1.41	—	1-0-2 3.30	2-0-1 4.86	0-1-2 2.52	1-2-0 3.02	0-1-2 2.74	0-2-1 4.44
Galway United	2-1-0 4.05	2-0-1 5.37	0-1-2 2.22	0-2-1 3.12	1-0-2 1.48	2-0-1 5.05	—	0-3-0 5.91	0-0-3 2.81	0-1-2 3.96	1-0-2 3.30	2-0-1 5.07
Longford Town	0-0-3 2.64	0-2-1 4.21	0-0-3 1.73	0-1-2 2.24	0-0-3 1.25	1-0-2 3.48	0-3-0 2.45	—	0-0-3 2.05	0-1-2 2.72	0-1-2 2.82	1-0-2 3.97
Shamrock Rovers	2-0-1 4.80	1-2-0 5.91	0-1-2 2.88	0-1-2 4.19	0-1-2 2.63	2-1-0 5.84	3-0-0 5.54	3-0-0 6.35	—	2-0-1 4.85	1-1-1 4.71	2-0-1 6.22
Sligo Rovers	1-0-2 3.98	0-1-2 4.97	1-2-0 2.10	1-1-1 2.95	1-0-2 1.57	0-2-1 5.32	2-1-0 4.37	2-1-0 5.66	1-0-2 3.49	—	1-2-0 3.09	3-0-0 5.63
St Patrick's Athletic	1-0-2 5.25	0-0-3 5.18	1-0-2 2.29	0-1-2 4.19	1-0-2 2.57	2-1-0 5.62	2-0-1 5.05	2-1-0 5.55	1-1-1 3.63	0-2-1 5.26	—	3-0-0 5.91
Wexford Youths	0-1-2 3.03	1-0-2 4.10	0-1-2 1.45	0-1-2 2.67	0-0-3 1.49	1-2-0 3.89	1-0-2 3.27	2-0-1 4.36	1-0-2 2.17	0-0-3 2.74	0-0-3 2.46	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.82	+11.1
Allowed	0.86	-10.9
Differential	0.98	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.60%	10.86%	7.83%	3.54%	2.53%	2.02%	36.36%
1	10.86%	7.58%	5.56%	2.27%	1.01%	0.25%	27.53%
2	7.83%	5.56%	3.03%	1.26%	1.01%	0.51%	19.19%
3	3.54%	2.27%	1.26%	1.01%	0.25%	0.25%	8.59%
4	2.53%	1.01%	1.01%	0.25%	—	0.25%	5.05%
5+	2.02%	0.25%	0.51%	0.25%	0.25%	—	3.28%
Total	36.36%	27.53%	19.19%	8.59%	5.05%	3.28%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.29	1.29	+0.00
SD	1.37	1.37	2.07
CV	1.06	1.06	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	18.18%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	42.42%
1	21.21%	3.03%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	39.39%
2	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
3	—	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	39.39%	24.24%	24.24%	9.09%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.91	1.12	-0.21
SD	1.13	1.14	1.63
CV	1.24	1.02	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.12%	6.06%	15.15%	3.03%	6.06%	—	42.42%
1	6.06%	6.06%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	21.21%
2	6.06%	12.12%	3.03%	—	—	—	21.21%
3	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
4	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	30.30%	24.24%	6.06%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.21	-0.03
SD	1.31	1.17	2.07
CV	1.11	0.96	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
1	18.18%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	33.33%
2	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	6.06%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	12.12%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	9.09%	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
Total	63.64%	15.15%	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.97	0.70	+1.27
SD	1.72	1.10	1.99
CV	0.87	1.58	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	15.15%	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	21.21%
1	18.18%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	36.36%
2	6.06%	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	51.52%	21.21%	21.21%	3.03%	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	0.88	+0.58
SD	1.20	1.17	1.79
CV	0.83	1.33	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
1	12.12%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	21.21%
2	12.12%	15.15%	—	—	—	3.03%	30.30%
3	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	6.06%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
5+	6.06%	—	—	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	45.45%	39.39%	6.06%	6.06%	—	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.21	0.85	+1.36
SD	1.56	1.12	2.07
CV	0.70	1.32	—
Max	7	5	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	18.18%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	6.06%	51.52%
1	12.12%	12.12%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
2	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	15.15%
3	3.03%	—	—	—	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	36.36%	18.18%	9.09%	3.03%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.70	1.48	-0.79
SD	0.85	1.58	1.98
CV	1.22	1.07	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	—	3.03%	30.30%
1	9.09%	9.09%	12.12%	—	3.03%	—	33.33%
2	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	18.18%
3	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	9.09%
4	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	24.24%	30.30%	3.03%	6.06%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.64	-0.30
SD	1.27	1.54	1.78
CV	0.95	0.94	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	18.18%	15.15%	9.09%	6.06%	3.03%	57.58%
1	3.03%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	15.15%
2	3.03%	—	6.06%	3.03%	6.06%	3.03%	21.21%
3	—	—	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	6.06%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.12%	27.27%	24.24%	15.15%	15.15%	6.06%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.76	2.15	-1.39
SD	1.00	1.52	1.60
CV	1.32	0.71	—
Max	3	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	6.06%	12.12%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
1	6.06%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	15.15%
2	21.21%	3.03%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	30.30%
3	3.03%	6.06%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	3.03%	—	6.06%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	42.42%	24.24%	21.21%	12.12%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.39	1.03	+0.36
SD	1.32	1.07	1.88
CV	0.95	1.04	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	—	42.42%
1	9.09%	9.09%	3.03%	—	—	—	21.21%
2	3.03%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	18.18%
3	6.06%	—	3.03%	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	3.03%	—	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	6.06%	—	—	—	—	—	6.06%
Total	42.42%	30.30%	12.12%	9.09%	6.06%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.06	+0.21
SD	1.48	1.22	2.13
CV	1.17	1.15	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	15.15%	9.09%	—	3.03%	—	33.33%
1	12.12%	9.09%	6.06%	6.06%	—	3.03%	36.36%
2	3.03%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
3	6.06%	3.03%	—	3.03%	—	—	12.12%
4	6.06%	3.03%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	18.18%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.36	1.24	+0.12
SD	1.45	1.28	2.09
CV	1.07	1.03	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.06%	18.18%	9.09%	3.03%	3.03%	9.09%	48.48%
1	3.03%	6.06%	6.06%	6.06%	6.06%	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	—	—	3.03%	3.03%	—	15.15%
3	—	—	—	3.03%	—	—	3.03%
4	—	—	3.03%	—	—	—	3.03%
5+	—	—	—	—	3.03%	—	3.03%
Total	18.18%	24.24%	18.18%	15.15%	15.15%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.94	2.12	-1.18
SD	1.25	1.62	1.96
CV	1.33	0.76	—
Max	5	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Dundalk	1471	77	70.97	+6.03	83.0%	47	59	67	70	75	81	86
Cork City	1420	70	66.31	+3.69	77.0%	52	56	62	66	70	76	79
Derry City	1353	62	52.26	+9.74	93.0%	29	40	47	52	58	63	72
Shamrock Rovers	1297	55	52.96	+2.04	64.0%	39	43	48	52	58	64	70
Sligo Rovers	1280	49	42.87	+6.13	81.0%	30	32	39	42	48	55	60
Bray Wanderers	1279	46	33.87	+12.13	96.0%	18	22	30	33	39	46	55
St Patrick's Athletic	1270	45	50.93	-5.93	28.0%	39	41	45	50	55	63	68
Bohemian	1213	41	43.47	-2.47	38.0%	23	31	39	43	49	54	59
Galway United	1150	38	42.10	-4.10	30.0%	24	30	37	42	46	54	58
Finn Harps	1103	32	35.07	-3.07	42.0%	19	24	30	35	39	48	57
Wexford Youths	1040	23	31.71	-8.71	13.0%	12	17	27	32	36	45	48
Longford Town	1006	14	29.35	-15.35	0.0%	15	19	24	29	34	40	45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+15.15%

Clear Edge

46.97%21.21%31.82%

Elo Value

Home Edge

191 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

053.05500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.28 goals

Neutral

-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.9

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

64%

Dundalk, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.21/gm

Comfortable

00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.57 * Some Luck: 5.57 to 8.35 * Lucky: 8.35 to 11.13 * Wild Swing: 11.13 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.06 * Close: 1.06 to 1.59 * Off: 1.59 to 2.12 * Way Off: 2.12 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

7.71 points

Some Luck

06.9617

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.17

01.333

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

96.00%

Bray Wanderers

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

Longford Town

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.

Gini Index

0.22

Lopsided

00.160.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 144.47

2.38

Wide Separation

11.71.952.22.75

Interquartile Edge

73%

Clear Edge

50%68%76.5%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 95%

94%

Strong Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

58%

Some Drama

0%53%100%

Blowouts

Expected

20%

Frequent

0%23%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.56

Highly Predictable

00.572

Matchup Imbalance

0.41

Notable Separation

00.370.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.28

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.55

Some Carryover

00.360.560.691

Upset Rate

Expected

22%

As Expected

0%23%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Solid Favorites

0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.

Probability calibration

0.51

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.08

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.051

Well Within Noise

00.1180.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

Drogheda United 3

Cobh Ramblers 2

Leg 1: Cobh Ramblers 0-2 Drogheda United

Leg 2: Drogheda United 1-2 Cobh Ramblers

Finals

Drogheda United 3

Wexford Youths 2

Leg 1: Wexford Youths 2-0 Drogheda United

Leg 2: Drogheda United 3-0 Wexford Youths

Sim: 5.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Dundalk	64.00%	29.00%	6.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cork City	34.00%	50.00%	13.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Derry City	—	7.00%	29.00%	19.00%	20.00%	12.00%	8.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—
Shamrock Rovers	2.00%	8.00%	22.00%	28.00%	18.00%	12.00%	6.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—
Sligo Rovers	—	—	2.00%	8.00%	15.00%	15.00%	18.00%	18.00%	12.00%	9.00%	3.00%	—
Bray Wanderers	—	—	—	—	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	14.00%	17.00%	17.00%	26.00%	13.00%
St Patrick's Athletic	—	5.00%	17.00%	25.00%	19.00%	18.00%	12.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Bohemian	—	—	8.00%	11.00%	8.00%	13.00%	20.00%	15.00%	15.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Galway United	—	1.00%	1.00%	7.00%	10.00%	15.00%	20.00%	17.00%	18.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Finn Harps	—	—	2.00%	—	4.00%	3.00%	7.00%	17.00%	18.00%	18.00%	17.00%	14.00%
Wexford Youths	—	—	—	1.00%	—	5.00%	4.00%	5.00%	11.00%	31.00%	16.00%	27.00%
Longford Town	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	15.00%	30.00%	41.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level	Lost relegation playoff	Direct relegation
Cork City	100%	—	—
Dundalk	100%	—	—
Shamrock Rovers	100%	—	—
St Patrick's Athletic	100%	—	—
Derry City	99.00%	1.00%	—
Sligo Rovers	97.00%	3.00%	—
Bohemian	95.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Galway United	93.00%	4.00%	3.00%
Finn Harps	69.00%	17.00%	14.00%
Bray Wanderers	61.00%	26.00%	13.00%
Longford Town	29.00%	30.00%	41.00%
Wexford Youths	—	100%	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Athlone Town	Bohemian	Bray Wanderers	Cobh Ramblers	Drogheda United	Finn Harps	Galway United	Limerick	Longford Town	Shelbourne	Sligo Rovers	UC Dublin	Waterford United	Wexford Youths
Athlone Town
Bohemian
Bray Wanderers
Cobh Ramblers
Drogheda United
Finn Harps
Galway United
Limerick
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
UC Dublin
Waterford United
Wexford Youths

Loser → ↓ Winner	Bohemian	Bray Wanderers	Cobh Ramblers	Drogheda United	Finn Harps	Galway United	Limerick	Longford Town	Shelbourne	Sligo Rovers	UC Dublin	Waterford United	Wexford Youths
Bohemian				0.0%3.00%							100.0%1.00%
Bray Wanderers				80.0%5.00%			0.0%1.00%		50.0%4.00%		50.0%6.00%
Cobh Ramblers					100.0%1.00%			50.0%2.00%					66.7%3.00%
Drogheda United	100.0%3.00%	20.0%5.00%			75.0%4.00%			76.9%13.00%		66.7%3.00%			71.4%7.00%
Finn Harps			0.0%1.00%	25.0%4.00%			0.0%1.00%		100.0%3.00%		66.7%6.00%
Galway United											50.0%2.00%
Limerick		100.0%1.00%			100.0%1.00%			100.0%1.00%					100.0%2.00%
Longford Town			50.0%2.00%	23.1%13.00%			0.0%1.00%		50.0%2.00%		16.7%12.00%	0.0%1.00%
Shelbourne		50.0%4.00%			0.0%3.00%			50.0%2.00%					66.7%3.00%
Sligo Rovers				33.3%3.00%							50.0%2.00%
UC Dublin	0.0%1.00%	50.0%6.00%			33.3%6.00%	50.0%2.00%		83.3%12.00%		50.0%2.00%			58.3%12.00%
Waterford United								100.0%1.00%
Wexford Youths			33.3%3.00%	28.6%7.00%			0.0%2.00%		33.3%3.00%		41.7%12.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team	Semifinals	Finals
Drogheda United	57.76%	39.24%
Wexford Youths	—	34.17%
Cobh Ramblers	42.24%	26.59%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cobh Ramblers	Drogheda United	Wexford Youths
Cobh Ramblers
Drogheda United
Wexford Youths

Loser → ↓ Winner	Cobh Ramblers	Drogheda United	Wexford Youths
Cobh Ramblers			62.9%42.24%
Drogheda United			67.9%57.76%
Wexford Youths	37.1%42.24%	32.1%57.76%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2016-03-04	Bohemian	W 2-0	35.1	1324	1250	55.43%	21.68%	22.89%	+0.67	+12.8	3
2016-03-04	@ Cork City	L 0-2	35.1	1250	1324	22.89%	21.68%	55.43%	-0.67	-12.8	0
2016-03-04	Derry City	W 2-1	47.4	1173	1216	40.22%	22.50%	37.28%	+0.05	+9.6	3
2016-03-04	@ Finn Harps	L 1-2	47.4	1216	1173	37.28%	22.50%	40.22%	-0.05	-9.6	0
2016-03-04	Galway United	L 1-3	50.9	1293	1182	59.41%	21.16%	19.43%	+0.86	-24.7	0
2016-03-04	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-1	50.9	1182	1293	19.43%	21.16%	59.41%	-0.86	+24.7	3
2016-03-04	Longford Town	L 0-2	40.9	1198	1219	43.22%	22.45%	34.33%	+0.17	-21.6	0
2016-03-04	@ Wexford Youths	W 2-0	40.9	1219	1198	34.33%	22.45%	43.22%	-0.17	+21.6	3
2016-03-05	Dundalk	L 1-3	38.6	1151	1388	17.85%	20.86%	61.29%	-0.96	-8.9	0
2016-03-05	@ Bray Wanderers	W 3-1	38.6	1388	1151	61.29%	20.86%	17.85%	+0.96	+8.9	3
2016-03-05	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	39.4	1211	1272	37.64%	22.50%	39.86%	-0.04	-19.3	0
2016-03-05	@ Sligo Rovers	W 2-0	39.4	1272	1211	39.86%	22.50%	37.64%	+0.04	+19.3	3
2016-03-11	Bray Wanderers	W 4-0	31.9	1207	1143	54.17%	21.81%	24.02%	+0.61	+25.3	6
2016-03-11	@ Galway United	L 0-4	31.9	1143	1207	24.02%	21.81%	54.17%	-0.61	-25.3	0
2016-03-11	Cork City	W 1-0	46.0	1206	1337	28.41%	22.19%	49.40%	-0.41	+12.8	3
2016-03-11	@ Derry City	L 0-1	46.0	1337	1206	49.40%	22.19%	28.41%	+0.41	-12.8	3
2016-03-11	Finn Harps	W 3-0	29.1	1396	1183	68.69%	19.19%	12.11%	+1.40	+10.2	6
2016-03-11	@ Dundalk	L 0-3	29.1	1183	1396	12.11%	19.19%	68.69%	-1.40	-10.2	3
2016-03-11	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	38.6	1237	1192	51.93%	22.01%	26.06%	+0.52	+7.6	3
2016-03-11	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	38.6	1192	1237	26.06%	22.01%	51.93%	-0.52	-7.6	0
2016-03-11	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	43.9	1241	1269	42.36%	22.47%	35.17%	+0.13	-11.3	3
2016-03-11	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	43.9	1269	1241	35.17%	22.47%	42.36%	-0.13	+11.2	3
2016-03-11	Wexford Youths	W 2-0	33.4	1291	1176	59.74%	21.11%	19.15%	+0.88	+10.9	6
2016-03-11	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	33.4	1176	1291	19.15%	21.11%	59.74%	-0.88	-10.9	0
2016-03-14	Bohemian	W 3-0	34.2	1280	1244	50.73%	22.10%	27.17%	+0.46	+21.6	6
2016-03-14	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	34.2	1244	1280	27.17%	22.10%	50.73%	-0.46	-21.6	3
2016-03-14	Derry City	L 0-3	35.3	1117	1219	32.07%	22.38%	45.55%	-0.26	-24.7	0
2016-03-14	@ Bray Wanderers	W 3-0	35.3	1219	1117	45.55%	22.38%	32.07%	+0.26	+24.7	6
2016-03-14	Dundalk	L 1-2	41.5	1166	1407	17.45%	20.77%	61.78%	-0.99	-5.0	0
2016-03-14	@ Wexford Youths	W 2-1	41.5	1407	1166	61.78%	20.77%	17.45%	+0.99	+5.0	9
2016-03-14	Galway United	D 1-1	54.7	1184	1232	39.50%	22.50%	38.00%	+0.03	-0.1	1
2016-03-14	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	54.7	1232	1184	38.00%	22.50%	39.50%	-0.03	+0.1	7
2016-03-14	Longford Town	W 6-0	31.9	1324	1230	57.63%	21.41%	20.95%	+0.78	+32.9	6
2016-03-14	@ Cork City	L 0-6	31.9	1230	1324	20.95%	21.41%	57.63%	-0.78	-32.9	3
2016-03-14	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	39.5	1172	1302	28.59%	22.20%	49.21%	-0.40	-8.2	3
2016-03-14	@ Finn Harps	W 1-0	39.5	1302	1172	49.21%	22.20%	28.59%	+0.40	+8.2	9
2016-03-18	Cork City	L 0-1	49.4	1412	1357	53.03%	21.92%	25.05%	+0.56	-13.6	9
2016-03-18	@ Dundalk	W 1-0	49.4	1357	1412	25.05%	21.92%	53.03%	-0.56	+13.6	9
2016-03-18	Galway United	W 2-1	45.3	1244	1232	47.70%	22.29%	30.01%	+0.34	+8.1	9
2016-03-18	@ Derry City	L 1-2	45.3	1232	1244	30.01%	22.29%	47.70%	-0.34	-8.1	7
2016-03-18	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-2	42.9	1310	1301	47.30%	22.30%	30.39%	+0.32	-23.2	9
2016-03-18	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	42.9	1301	1310	30.39%	22.30%	47.30%	-0.32	+23.2	9
2016-03-18	Wexford Youths	D 3-3	63.9	1223	1161	53.99%	21.83%	24.19%	+0.61	-1.1	4
2016-03-18	@ Bohemian	D 3-3	63.9	1161	1223	24.19%	21.83%	53.99%	-0.61	+1.1	1
2016-03-19	Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	54.9	1197	1093	58.67%	21.27%	20.06%	+0.83	-2.3	4
2016-03-19	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	54.9	1093	1197	20.06%	21.27%	58.67%	-0.83	+2.3	1
2016-03-19	Finn Harps	D 1-1	54.7	1184	1164	48.73%	22.23%	29.04%	+0.38	-1.1	2
2016-03-19	@ Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	54.7	1164	1184	29.04%	22.23%	48.73%	-0.38	+1.1	4
2016-03-24	Dundalk	L 0-4	37.7	1325	1398	35.88%	22.48%	41.64%	-0.11	-35.3	9
2016-03-24	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 4-0	37.7	1398	1325	41.64%	22.48%	35.88%	+0.11	+35.3	12
2016-03-26	Bohemian	W 1-0	40.3	1224	1222	46.42%	22.34%	31.23%	+0.29	+8.8	10
2016-03-26	@ Galway United	L 0-1	40.3	1222	1224	31.23%	22.34%	46.42%	-0.29	-8.8	4
2016-03-26	Derry City	L 1-2	46.3	1162	1252	33.59%	22.43%	43.98%	-0.19	-8.8	1
2016-03-26	@ Wexford Youths	W 2-1	46.3	1252	1162	43.98%	22.43%	33.59%	+0.19	+8.8	12
2016-03-26	Longford Town	W 1-0	41.5	1165	1195	42.13%	22.47%	35.40%	+0.13	+9.8	7
2016-03-26	@ Finn Harps	L 0-1	41.5	1195	1165	35.40%	22.47%	42.13%	-0.13	-9.8	4
2016-03-26	Sligo Rovers	W 4-0	37.9	1095	1183	33.89%	22.44%	43.68%	-0.18	+41.3	4
2016-03-26	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-4	37.9	1183	1095	43.68%	22.44%	33.89%	+0.18	-41.3	2
2016-04-01	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	36.6	1153	1136	48.34%	22.25%	29.41%	+0.37	+15.8	4
2016-04-01	@ Wexford Youths	L 0-2	36.6	1136	1153	29.41%	22.25%	48.34%	-0.37	-15.9	4
2016-04-01	Derry City	D 1-1	57.0	1433	1261	65.27%	20.06%	14.67%	+1.18	-3.1	13
2016-04-01	@ Dundalk	D 1-1	57.0	1261	1433	14.67%	20.06%	65.27%	-1.18	+3.1	13
2016-04-01	Galway United	W 2-0	35.6	1287	1233	53.02%	21.92%	25.06%	+0.56	+13.8	12
2016-04-01	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	35.6	1233	1287	25.06%	21.92%	53.02%	-0.56	-13.9	10
2016-04-01	Longford Town	W 2-0	36.2	1213	1185	49.81%	22.16%	28.03%	+0.43	+15.2	7
2016-04-01	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	36.2	1185	1213	28.03%	22.16%	49.81%	-0.43	-15.2	4
2016-04-02	Cork City	D 0-0	50.9	1142	1371	18.41%	20.97%	60.62%	-0.93	+2.8	3
2016-04-02	@ Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	50.9	1371	1142	60.62%	20.97%	18.41%	+0.93	-2.8	10
2016-04-08	Finn Harps	W 1-0	38.6	1219	1175	51.76%	22.02%	26.22%	+0.51	+7.6	13
2016-04-08	@ Galway United	L 0-1	38.6	1175	1219	26.22%	22.02%	51.76%	-0.51	-7.6	7
2016-04-08	Shamrock Rovers	W 3-0	37.3	1264	1301	41.03%	22.49%	36.48%	+0.08	+27.4	16
2016-04-08	@ Derry City	L 0-3	37.3	1301	1264	36.48%	22.49%	41.03%	-0.08	-27.4	12
2016-04-08	Sligo Rovers	D 1-1	55.3	1289	1144	62.73%	20.59%	16.67%	+1.04	-2.8	10
2016-04-08	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	55.3	1144	1289	16.67%	20.59%	62.73%	-1.04	+2.8	4
2016-04-08	Wexford Youths	D 1-1	56.0	1368	1169	67.54%	19.51%	12.95%	+1.33	-3.4	11
2016-04-08	@ Cork City	D 1-1	56.0	1169	1368	12.95%	19.51%	67.54%	-1.33	+3.4	5
2016-04-09	Bohemian	L 0-2	37.2	1120	1228	31.27%	22.35%	46.38%	-0.29	-16.7	4
2016-04-09	@ Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	37.2	1228	1120	46.38%	22.35%	31.27%	+0.29	+16.7	10
2016-04-09	Dundalk	L 0-4	29.9	1170	1430	15.95%	20.42%	63.63%	-1.09	-17.4	4
2016-04-09	@ Longford Town	W 4-0	29.9	1430	1170	63.63%	20.42%	15.95%	+1.09	+17.4	16
2016-04-11	St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-2	45.2	1167	1287	29.87%	22.28%	47.86%	-0.35	-8.0	7
2016-04-11	@ Finn Harps	W 2-1	45.2	1287	1167	47.86%	22.28%	29.87%	+0.35	+8.0	13
2016-04-15	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	38.0	1159	1104	53.22%	21.90%	24.88%	+0.57	+7.3	10
2016-04-15	@ Finn Harps	L 0-1	38.0	1104	1159	24.88%	21.90%	53.22%	-0.57	-7.3	4
2016-04-15	Cork City	D 2-2	60.8	1226	1365	27.55%	22.13%	50.31%	-0.45	+1.0	14
2016-04-15	@ Galway United	D 2-2	60.8	1365	1226	50.31%	22.13%	27.55%	+0.45	-1.0	12
2016-04-15	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-4	37.9	1245	1273	42.23%	22.47%	35.30%	+0.13	-40.1	10
2016-04-15	@ Bohemian	W 4-0	37.9	1273	1245	35.30%	22.47%	42.23%	-0.13	+40.2	15
2016-04-15	Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	32.4	1448	1147	74.83%	17.11%	8.06%	+1.86	+2.4	19
2016-04-15	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	32.4	1147	1448	8.06%	17.11%	74.83%	-1.86	-2.4	4
2016-04-15	Wexford Youths	W 4-0	30.2	1295	1172	60.55%	20.98%	18.47%	+0.92	+20.0	16
2016-04-15	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-4	30.2	1172	1295	18.47%	20.98%	60.55%	-0.92	-20.0	5
2016-04-16	Derry City	D 1-1	54.9	1152	1291	27.47%	22.12%	50.40%	-0.45	+1.3	5
2016-04-16	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	54.9	1291	1152	50.40%	22.12%	27.47%	+0.45	-1.3	17
2016-04-22	Bohemian	W 1-0	37.4	1290	1205	56.58%	21.54%	21.87%	+0.72	+6.5	20
2016-04-22	@ Derry City	L 0-1	37.4	1205	1290	21.87%	21.54%	56.58%	-0.72	-6.5	10
2016-04-22	Dundalk	L 0-2	38.8	1314	1450	27.75%	22.14%	50.10%	-0.44	-15.1	15
2016-04-22	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	38.8	1450	1314	50.10%	22.14%	27.75%	+0.44	+15.1	22
2016-04-22	Finn Harps	W 3-1	36.7	1364	1167	67.34%	19.56%	13.10%	+1.31	+6.6	15
2016-04-22	@ Cork City	L 1-3	36.7	1167	1364	13.10%	19.56%	67.34%	-1.31	-6.6	10
2016-04-22	Galway United	L 0-2	38.6	1152	1227	35.58%	22.47%	41.94%	-0.12	-18.5	5
2016-04-22	@ Wexford Youths	W 2-0	38.6	1227	1152	41.94%	22.47%	35.58%	+0.12	+18.5	17
2016-04-23	Longford Town	W 3-0	35.5	1145	1153	44.97%	22.40%	32.63%	+0.23	+25.1	7
2016-04-23	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-3	35.5	1153	1145	32.63%	22.40%	44.97%	-0.23	-25.1	5
2016-04-23	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	48.4	1096	1315	19.36%	21.15%	59.49%	-0.87	+15.1	7
2016-04-23	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	48.4	1315	1096	59.49%	21.15%	19.36%	+0.87	-15.1	16
2016-04-25	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	36.0	1370	1298	55.10%	21.71%	23.19%	+0.66	+13.0	18
2016-04-25	@ Cork City	L 0-2	36.0	1298	1370	23.19%	21.71%	55.10%	-0.66	-13.0	15
2016-04-29	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	31.6	1285	1111	65.39%	20.04%	14.58%	+1.19	+8.4	18
2016-04-29	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	31.6	1111	1285	14.58%	20.04%	65.39%	-1.19	-8.4	7
2016-04-29	Dundalk	L 0-2	33.2	1198	1465	15.49%	20.29%	64.21%	-1.12	-8.9	10
2016-04-29	@ Bohemian	W 2-0	33.2	1465	1198	64.21%	20.29%	15.49%	+1.12	+8.9	25
2016-04-29	Finn Harps	D 1-1	54.6	1133	1160	42.49%	22.47%	35.05%	+0.14	-0.4	6
2016-04-29	@ Wexford Youths	D 1-1	54.6	1160	1133	35.05%	22.47%	42.49%	-0.14	+0.4	11
2016-04-29	Longford Town	D 2-2	60.4	1246	1128	60.04%	21.06%	18.90%	+0.90	-1.8	18
2016-04-29	@ Galway United	D 2-2	60.4	1128	1246	18.90%	21.06%	60.04%	-0.90	+1.8	6
2016-04-29	Sligo Rovers	L 0-2	45.9	1296	1170	60.94%	20.92%	18.14%	+0.94	-29.2	20
2016-04-29	@ Derry City	W 2-0	45.9	1170	1296	18.14%	20.92%	60.94%	-0.94	+29.2	10
2016-04-29	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	38.7	1383	1299	56.44%	21.56%	22.00%	+0.72	+6.6	21
2016-04-29	@ Cork City	L 0-1	38.7	1299	1383	22.00%	21.56%	56.44%	-0.72	-6.6	16
2016-05-06	Bohemian	D 0-0	50.1	1161	1189	42.22%	22.47%	35.31%	+0.13	-0.4	12
2016-05-06	@ Finn Harps	D 0-0	50.1	1189	1161	35.31%	22.47%	42.22%	-0.13	+0.4	11
2016-05-06	Derry City	L 0-1	46.1	1293	1267	49.51%	22.18%	28.31%	+0.41	-12.8	16
2016-05-06	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	46.1	1267	1293	28.31%	22.18%	49.51%	-0.41	+12.8	23
2016-05-06	Galway United	W 2-1	40.4	1474	1244	69.94%	18.82%	11.23%	+1.49	+3.2	28
2016-05-06	@ Dundalk	L 1-2	40.4	1244	1474	11.23%	18.82%	69.94%	-1.49	-3.2	18
2016-05-07	Cork City	L 0-2	31.6	1103	1390	14.13%	19.90%	65.97%	-1.23	-8.2	7
2016-05-07	@ Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	31.6	1390	1103	65.97%	19.90%	14.13%	+1.23	+8.2	24
2016-05-07	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	35.2	1130	1294	24.70%	21.88%	53.42%	-0.58	-13.7	6
2016-05-07	@ Longford Town	W 2-0	35.2	1294	1130	53.42%	21.88%	24.70%	+0.58	+13.7	21
2016-05-07	Wexford Youths	W 4-1	37.4	1199	1133	54.40%	21.79%	23.81%	+0.62	+16.2	13
2016-05-07	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-4	37.4	1133	1199	23.81%	21.79%	54.40%	-0.62	-16.2	6
2016-05-10	Bray Wanderers	W 1-0	30.8	1477	1095	79.57%	14.98%	5.45%	+2.29	+1.6	31
2016-05-10	@ Dundalk	L 0-1	30.8	1095	1477	5.45%	14.98%	79.57%	-2.29	-1.6	7
2016-05-10	Cork City	L 0-1	37.3	1190	1398	20.25%	21.30%	58.44%	-0.81	-6.1	11
2016-05-10	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	37.3	1398	1190	58.44%	21.30%	20.25%	+0.81	+6.1	27
2016-05-10	Finn Harps	D 2-2	60.6	1280	1160	60.27%	21.03%	18.71%	+0.91	-1.9	24
2016-05-10	@ Derry City	D 2-2	60.6	1160	1280	18.71%	21.03%	60.27%	-0.91	+1.9	13
2016-05-10	Sligo Rovers	W 3-0	32.2	1308	1215	57.38%	21.44%	21.17%	+0.76	+17.4	24
2016-05-10	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 0-3	32.2	1215	1308	21.17%	21.44%	57.38%	-0.76	-17.4	13
2016-05-10	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-3	38.3	1241	1280	40.73%	22.49%	36.78%	+0.07	-29.8	18
2016-05-10	@ Galway United	W 3-0	38.3	1280	1241	36.78%	22.49%	40.73%	-0.07	+29.9	19
2016-05-10	Wexford Youths	L 2-4	50.6	1117	1117	46.10%	22.36%	31.54%	+0.28	-17.6	6
2016-05-10	@ Longford Town	W 4-2	50.6	1117	1117	31.54%	22.36%	46.10%	-0.28	+17.6	9
2016-05-13	Derry City	W 2-1	42.7	1404	1278	60.89%	20.92%	18.19%	+0.94	+5.2	30
2016-05-13	@ Cork City	L 1-2	42.7	1278	1404	18.19%	20.92%	60.89%	-0.94	-5.2	24
2016-05-13	Dundalk	L 0-7	29.7	1162	1479	12.29%	19.26%	68.45%	-1.38	-22.8	13
2016-05-13	@ Finn Harps	W 7-0	29.7	1479	1162	68.45%	19.26%	12.29%	+1.38	+22.8	34
2016-05-13	Longford Town	D 3-3	64.7	1310	1099	68.47%	19.25%	12.28%	+1.39	-2.2	20
2016-05-13	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 3-3	64.7	1099	1310	12.28%	19.25%	68.47%	-1.39	+2.2	7
2016-05-13	Shamrock Rovers	W 2-0	44.7	1134	1325	21.94%	21.55%	56.50%	-0.72	+27.2	12
2016-05-13	@ Wexford Youths	L 0-2	44.7	1325	1134	56.50%	21.55%	21.94%	+0.72	-27.2	24
2016-05-14	Bohemian	W 1-0	39.7	1198	1184	48.03%	22.27%	29.70%	+0.35	+8.5	16
2016-05-14	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	39.7	1184	1198	29.70%	22.27%	48.03%	-0.35	-8.5	11
2016-05-14	Galway United	L 1-2	45.0	1093	1211	30.03%	22.29%	47.69%	-0.34	-8.1	7
2016-05-14	@ Bray Wanderers	W 2-1	45.0	1211	1093	47.69%	22.29%	30.03%	+0.34	+8.1	21
2016-05-17	Finn Harps	W 4-0	28.8	1308	1139	64.90%	20.14%	14.95%	+1.16	+16.4	23
2016-05-17	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-4	28.8	1139	1308	14.95%	20.14%	64.90%	-1.16	-16.4	13
2016-05-29	Bray Wanderers	W 2-0	31.2	1273	1085	66.56%	19.76%	13.68%	+1.26	+7.9	27
2016-05-29	@ Derry City	L 0-2	31.2	1085	1273	13.68%	19.76%	66.56%	-1.26	-7.9	7
2016-05-29	Cork City	L 0-3	29.0	1101	1409	12.80%	19.45%	67.75%	-1.34	-10.8	7
2016-05-29	@ Longford Town	W 3-0	29.0	1409	1101	67.75%	19.45%	12.80%	+1.34	+10.8	33
2016-05-29	Finn Harps	D 1-1	55.5	1298	1123	65.46%	20.02%	14.52%	+1.20	-3.1	25
2016-05-29	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	55.5	1123	1298	14.52%	20.02%	65.46%	-1.20	+3.1	14
2016-05-29	Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	50.5	1219	1206	47.83%	22.28%	29.89%	+0.35	-11.7	21
2016-05-29	@ Galway United	W 2-1	50.5	1206	1219	29.89%	22.28%	47.83%	-0.35	+11.7	19
2016-05-29	St Patrick's Athletic	W 5-1	44.2	1175	1324	26.31%	22.03%	51.66%	-0.50	+39.7	14
2016-05-29	@ Bohemian	L 1-5	44.2	1324	1175	51.66%	22.03%	26.31%	+0.50	-39.7	23
2016-05-29	Wexford Youths	W 3-2	42.3	1502	1162	77.23%	16.09%	6.68%	+2.06	+1.8	37
2016-05-29	@ Dundalk	L 2-3	42.3	1162	1502	6.68%	16.09%	77.23%	-2.06	-1.8	12
2016-06-03	Bohemian	L 0-1	42.4	1160	1215	38.49%	22.50%	39.01%	-0.01	-10.4	12
2016-06-03	@ Wexford Youths	W 1-0	42.4	1215	1160	39.01%	22.50%	38.49%	+0.01	+10.4	17
2016-06-03	Derry City	D 0-0	50.3	1207	1281	35.86%	22.48%	41.66%	-0.11	+0.4	22
2016-06-03	@ Galway United	D 0-0	50.3	1281	1207	41.66%	22.48%	35.86%	+0.11	-0.4	28
2016-06-03	Dundalk	W 1-0	50.8	1420	1504	34.49%	22.45%	43.06%	-0.16	+11.4	36
2016-06-03	@ Cork City	L 0-1	50.8	1504	1420	43.06%	22.45%	34.49%	+0.16	-11.4	37
2016-06-03	Longford Town	D 0-0	50.0	1077	1090	44.37%	22.42%	33.21%	+0.21	-0.7	8
2016-06-03	@ Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	50.0	1090	1077	33.21%	22.42%	44.37%	-0.21	+0.7	8
2016-06-03	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	41.9	1284	1295	44.77%	22.41%	32.82%	+0.23	-22.2	23
2016-06-03	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	41.9	1295	1284	32.82%	22.41%	44.77%	-0.23	+22.2	28
2016-06-03	Sligo Rovers	W 3-0	39.0	1126	1218	33.33%	22.42%	44.25%	-0.21	+31.9	17
2016-06-03	@ Finn Harps	L 0-3	39.0	1218	1126	44.25%	22.42%	33.33%	+0.21	-31.9	19
2016-06-24	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	50.4	1186	1077	59.22%	21.19%	19.59%	+0.85	-2.6	20
2016-06-24	@ Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	50.4	1077	1186	19.59%	21.19%	59.22%	-0.85	+2.6	9
2016-06-24	Cork City	D 0-0	52.6	1317	1431	30.42%	22.31%	47.27%	-0.32	+1.1	29
2016-06-24	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	52.6	1431	1317	47.27%	22.31%	30.42%	+0.32	-1.1	37
2016-06-24	Finn Harps	L 0-2	38.8	1091	1158	36.79%	22.49%	40.72%	-0.07	-19.0	8
2016-06-24	@ Longford Town	W 2-0	38.8	1158	1091	40.72%	22.49%	36.79%	+0.07	+19.0	20
2016-06-24	Galway United	D 1-1	54.8	1225	1208	48.45%	22.25%	29.31%	+0.37	-1.1	18
2016-06-24	@ Bohemian	D 1-1	54.8	1208	1225	29.31%	22.25%	48.45%	-0.37	+1.1	23
2016-06-24	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	32.7	1492	1262	69.93%	18.83%	11.24%	+1.48	+6.5	40
2016-06-24	@ Dundalk	L 0-2	32.7	1262	1492	11.24%	18.83%	69.93%	-1.48	-6.5	23
2016-06-24	Wexford Youths	W 1-0	35.8	1280	1149	61.39%	20.84%	17.77%	+0.97	+5.4	31
2016-06-24	@ Derry City	L 0-1	35.8	1149	1280	17.77%	20.84%	61.39%	-0.97	-5.4	12
2016-07-01	Dundalk	L 0-5	33.7	1286	1499	19.85%	21.23%	58.91%	-0.84	-26.4	31
2016-07-01	@ Derry City	W 5-0	33.7	1499	1286	58.91%	21.23%	19.85%	+0.84	+26.4	43
2016-07-02	Bohemian	L 0-1	38.4	1072	1224	25.97%	22.00%	52.03%	-0.52	-7.6	8
2016-07-02	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	38.4	1224	1072	52.03%	22.00%	25.97%	+0.52	+7.6	21
2016-07-02	Wexford Youths	W 3-0	37.8	1079	1144	37.07%	22.49%	40.44%	-0.06	+29.7	12
2016-07-02	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-3	37.8	1144	1079	40.44%	22.49%	37.07%	+0.06	-29.7	12
2016-07-05	Longford Town	W 4-3	42.4	1525	1064	83.32%	12.95%	3.73%	+2.70	+0.9	46
2016-07-05	@ Dundalk	L 3-4	42.4	1064	1525	3.73%	12.95%	83.32%	-2.70	-0.9	8
2016-07-08	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	50.5	1232	1109	60.57%	20.98%	18.45%	+0.92	-2.8	22
2016-07-08	@ Bohemian	D 0-0	50.5	1109	1232	18.45%	20.98%	60.57%	-0.92	+2.8	13
2016-07-08	Galway United	W 1-0	41.6	1177	1209	41.75%	22.48%	35.77%	+0.11	+9.9	23
2016-07-08	@ Finn Harps	L 0-1	41.6	1209	1177	35.77%	22.48%	41.75%	-0.11	-9.8	23
2016-07-09	St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	43.4	1183	1256	36.03%	22.48%	41.49%	-0.10	+11.1	23
2016-07-09	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	43.4	1256	1183	41.49%	22.48%	36.03%	+0.10	-11.1	23
2016-07-10	Cork City	L 0-1	34.0	1114	1430	12.34%	19.28%	68.38%	-1.38	-3.8	12
2016-07-10	@ Wexford Youths	W 1-0	34.0	1430	1114	68.38%	19.28%	12.34%	+1.38	+3.8	40
2016-07-15	Bohemian	W 3-1	39.9	1318	1229	57.01%	21.49%	21.49%	+0.75	+10.5	32
2016-07-15	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-3	39.9	1229	1318	21.49%	21.49%	57.01%	-0.75	-10.5	22
2016-07-15	Longford Town	W 4-0	27.9	1259	1064	67.25%	19.58%	13.17%	+1.31	+14.5	34
2016-07-15	@ Derry City	L 0-4	27.9	1064	1259	13.17%	19.58%	67.25%	-1.31	-14.5	8
2016-07-16	Finn Harps	W 1-0	43.3	1112	1187	35.66%	22.48%	41.87%	-0.11	+11.1	16
2016-07-16	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-1	43.3	1187	1112	41.87%	22.48%	35.66%	+0.11	-11.1	23
2016-07-22	Derry City	L 0-1	42.6	1218	1274	38.39%	22.50%	39.11%	-0.01	-10.4	22
2016-07-22	@ Bohemian	W 1-0	42.6	1274	1218	39.11%	22.50%	38.39%	+0.01	+10.4	37
2016-07-22	Wexford Youths	W 4-2	43.0	1199	1111	56.94%	21.50%	21.56%	+0.74	+9.4	26
2016-07-22	@ Galway United	L 2-4	43.0	1111	1199	21.56%	21.50%	56.94%	-0.74	-9.4	12
2016-07-23	Sligo Rovers	D 2-2	60.0	1049	1195	26.72%	22.07%	51.21%	-0.48	+1.1	9
2016-07-23	@ Longford Town	D 2-2	60.0	1195	1049	51.21%	22.07%	26.72%	+0.48	-1.0	24
2016-07-29	Derry City	D 0-0	50.3	1194	1284	33.50%	22.43%	44.07%	-0.20	+0.7	25
2016-07-29	@ Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	50.3	1284	1194	44.07%	22.43%	33.50%	+0.20	-0.7	38
2016-07-29	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	55.1	1123	1328	20.52%	21.34%	58.14%	-0.80	+2.2	17
2016-07-29	@ Bray Wanderers	D 1-1	55.1	1328	1123	58.14%	21.34%	20.52%	+0.80	-2.2	33
2016-07-29	Wexford Youths	L 0-1	47.1	1176	1101	55.38%	21.68%	22.94%	+0.67	-14.2	23
2016-07-29	@ Finn Harps	W 1-0	47.1	1101	1176	22.94%	21.68%	55.38%	-0.67	+14.2	15
2016-07-30	Galway United	D 1-1	54.7	1050	1208	25.29%	21.94%	52.77%	-0.55	+1.6	10
2016-07-30	@ Longford Town	D 1-1	54.7	1208	1050	52.77%	21.94%	25.29%	+0.55	-1.6	27
2016-08-01	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	39.3	1115	1245	28.61%	22.20%	49.19%	-0.40	-8.2	15
2016-08-01	@ Wexford Youths	W 1-0	39.3	1245	1115	49.19%	22.20%	28.61%	+0.40	+8.2	26
2016-08-05	Dundalk	W 1-0	52.7	1207	1526	12.16%	19.21%	68.63%	-1.40	+17.2	30
2016-08-05	@ Galway United	L 0-1	52.7	1526	1207	68.63%	19.21%	12.16%	+1.40	-17.2	46
2016-08-05	Finn Harps	W 2-0	35.5	1208	1161	52.10%	22.00%	25.90%	+0.52	+14.2	25
2016-08-05	@ Bohemian	L 0-2	35.5	1161	1208	25.90%	22.00%	52.10%	-0.52	-14.2	23
2016-08-05	Longford Town	W 2-1	37.5	1326	1052	73.12%	17.76%	9.12%	+1.72	+2.6	36
2016-08-05	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-2	37.5	1052	1326	9.12%	17.76%	73.12%	-1.72	-2.6	10
2016-08-05	Sligo Rovers	L 0-5	35.1	1107	1194	34.01%	22.44%	43.55%	-0.18	-41.7	15
2016-08-05	@ Wexford Youths	W 5-0	35.1	1194	1107	43.55%	22.44%	34.01%	+0.18	+41.7	28
2016-08-05	St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	55.2	1284	1253	50.14%	22.14%	27.72%	+0.44	-1.3	39
2016-08-05	@ Derry City	D 1-1	55.2	1253	1284	27.72%	22.14%	50.14%	-0.44	+1.3	27
2016-08-08	Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	56.9	1434	1236	67.44%	19.53%	13.03%	+1.32	-16.0	40
2016-08-08	@ Cork City	W 2-1	56.9	1236	1434	13.03%	19.53%	67.44%	-1.32	+16.0	31
2016-08-10	Dundalk	W 2-1	57.7	1125	1509	8.99%	17.69%	73.33%	-1.73	+17.2	20
2016-08-10	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	57.7	1509	1125	73.33%	17.69%	8.99%	+1.73	-17.2	46
2016-08-12	Bohemian	D 0-0	52.0	1418	1222	67.25%	19.58%	13.17%	+1.31	-3.7	41
2016-08-12	@ Cork City	D 0-0	52.0	1222	1418	13.17%	19.58%	67.25%	-1.31	+3.7	26
2016-08-12	Derry City	L 0-5	33.3	1147	1282	27.90%	22.16%	49.94%	-0.43	-35.5	23
2016-08-12	@ Finn Harps	W 5-0	33.3	1282	1147	49.94%	22.16%	27.90%	+0.43	+35.5	42
2016-08-12	Galway United	W 1-0	39.3	1254	1224	50.07%	22.15%	27.78%	+0.44	+8.0	30
2016-08-12	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	39.3	1224	1254	27.78%	22.15%	50.07%	-0.44	-8.0	30
2016-08-12	Longford Town	W 2-0	36.5	1065	1049	48.29%	22.25%	29.46%	+0.36	+15.9	18
2016-08-12	@ Wexford Youths	L 0-2	36.5	1049	1065	29.46%	22.25%	48.29%	-0.36	-15.9	10
2016-08-12	Shamrock Rovers	W 3-2	54.2	1252	1329	35.40%	22.47%	42.13%	-0.12	+10.0	34
2016-08-12	@ Sligo Rovers	L 2-3	54.2	1329	1252	42.13%	22.47%	35.40%	+0.12	-10.0	36
2016-08-15	Cork City	D 0-0	52.3	1318	1414	32.75%	22.40%	44.85%	-0.23	+0.8	43
2016-08-15	@ Derry City	D 0-0	52.3	1414	1318	44.85%	22.40%	32.75%	+0.23	-0.8	42
2016-08-15	Sligo Rovers	W 3-2	52.0	1226	1262	41.19%	22.49%	36.33%	+0.09	+8.9	29
2016-08-15	@ Bohemian	L 2-3	52.0	1262	1226	36.33%	22.49%	41.19%	-0.09	-8.9	34
2016-08-15	St Patrick's Athletic	L 0-1	35.9	1033	1262	18.45%	20.98%	60.58%	-0.92	-5.6	10
2016-08-15	@ Longford Town	W 1-0	35.9	1262	1033	60.58%	20.98%	18.45%	+0.92	+5.6	33
2016-08-15	Wexford Youths	W 3-1	35.4	1319	1081	70.50%	18.65%	10.85%	+1.52	+5.4	39
2016-08-15	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 1-3	35.4	1081	1319	10.85%	18.65%	70.50%	-1.52	-5.4	18
2016-08-19	Bray Wanderers	L 0-2	44.2	1216	1142	55.30%	21.69%	23.01%	+0.66	-26.7	30
2016-08-19	@ Galway United	W 2-0	44.2	1142	1216	23.01%	21.69%	55.30%	-0.66	+26.7	23
2016-08-26	Bohemian	L 0-1	46.2	1268	1235	50.42%	22.12%	27.46%	+0.45	-13.0	33
2016-08-26	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 1-0	46.2	1235	1268	27.46%	22.12%	50.42%	-0.45	+13.0	32
2016-08-26	Dundalk	L 0-1	32.1	1076	1491	7.72%	16.88%	75.40%	-1.90	-2.3	18
2016-08-26	@ Wexford Youths	W 1-0	32.1	1491	1076	75.40%	16.88%	7.72%	+1.90	+2.3	49
2016-08-26	Longford Town	W 5-2	32.5	1414	1028	79.75%	14.89%	5.36%	+2.30	+3.1	45
2016-08-26	@ Cork City	L 2-5	32.5	1028	1414	5.36%	14.89%	79.75%	-2.30	-3.1	10
2016-08-26	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-2	33.6	1112	1324	19.88%	21.24%	58.88%	-0.84	-11.3	23
2016-08-26	@ Finn Harps	W 2-0	33.6	1324	1112	58.88%	21.24%	19.88%	+0.84	+11.3	42
2016-08-27	Derry City	D 2-2	60.4	1169	1319	26.24%	22.03%	51.73%	-0.51	+1.1	24
2016-08-27	@ Bray Wanderers	D 2-2	60.4	1319	1169	51.73%	22.03%	26.24%	+0.51	-1.1	44
2016-08-27	Galway United	W 2-1	43.3	1253	1189	54.15%	21.81%	24.04%	+0.61	+6.7	37
2016-08-27	@ Sligo Rovers	L 1-2	43.3	1189	1253	24.04%	21.81%	54.15%	-0.61	-6.7	30
2016-08-30	Bray Wanderers	W 4-0	27.5	1417	1170	71.18%	18.43%	10.39%	+1.57	+11.3	48
2016-08-30	@ Cork City	L 0-4	27.5	1170	1417	10.39%	18.43%	71.18%	-1.57	-11.3	24
2016-08-30	Derry City	L 0-1	46.5	1335	1318	48.49%	22.24%	29.27%	+0.37	-12.6	42
2016-08-30	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	46.5	1318	1335	29.27%	22.24%	48.49%	-0.37	+12.6	47
2016-09-02	Dundalk	L 1-2	43.1	1248	1494	17.08%	20.69%	62.24%	-1.01	-4.9	32
2016-09-02	@ Bohemian	W 2-1	43.1	1494	1248	62.24%	20.69%	17.08%	+1.01	+4.9	52
2016-09-02	Galway United	D 0-0	51.0	1330	1183	62.98%	20.55%	16.48%	+1.05	-3.2	48
2016-09-02	@ Derry City	D 0-0	51.0	1183	1330	16.48%	20.55%	62.98%	-1.05	+3.2	31
2016-09-02	St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	50.9	1323	1255	54.65%	21.76%	23.59%	+0.64	-2.0	43
2016-09-02	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	50.9	1255	1323	23.59%	21.76%	54.65%	-0.64	+2.0	34
2016-09-06	Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	53.3	1257	1159	58.00%	21.36%	20.64%	+0.79	-13.9	34
2016-09-06	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	53.3	1159	1257	20.64%	21.36%	58.00%	-0.79	+13.9	27
2016-09-06	Dundalk	L 0-1	38.3	1260	1499	17.62%	20.81%	61.57%	-0.98	-5.4	37
2016-09-06	@ Sligo Rovers	W 1-0	38.3	1499	1260	61.57%	20.81%	17.62%	+0.98	+5.3	55
2016-09-06	Shamrock Rovers	L 0-1	39.4	1186	1321	27.94%	22.16%	49.91%	-0.43	-8.1	31
2016-09-06	@ Galway United	W 1-0	39.4	1321	1186	49.91%	22.16%	27.94%	+0.43	+8.1	46
2016-09-10	Bray Wanderers	L 0-2	35.6	1025	1173	26.42%	22.04%	51.54%	-0.50	-14.5	10
2016-09-10	@ Longford Town	W 2-0	35.6	1173	1025	51.54%	22.04%	26.42%	+0.50	+14.5	30
2016-09-12	Finn Harps	W 2-0	27.8	1504	1100	80.66%	14.43%	4.92%	+2.40	+2.7	58
2016-09-12	@ Dundalk	L 0-2	27.8	1100	1504	4.92%	14.43%	80.66%	-2.40	-2.7	23
2016-09-16	Bohemian	W 2-0	40.1	1178	1243	37.01%	22.49%	40.50%	-0.06	+20.5	34
2016-09-16	@ Galway United	L 0-2	40.1	1243	1178	40.50%	22.49%	37.01%	+0.06	-20.5	32
2016-09-16	Derry City	D 0-0	50.7	1074	1327	16.49%	20.55%	62.96%	-1.05	+3.2	19
2016-09-16	@ Wexford Youths	D 0-0	50.7	1327	1074	62.96%	20.55%	16.49%	+1.05	-3.2	49
2016-09-16	Longford Town	L 0-1	47.5	1098	1010	56.86%	21.51%	21.63%	+0.74	-14.5	23
2016-09-16	@ Finn Harps	W 1-0	47.5	1010	1098	21.63%	21.51%	56.86%	-0.74	+14.5	13
2016-09-16	Shamrock Rovers	W 3-0	34.2	1428	1329	58.13%	21.34%	20.53%	+0.80	+16.9	51
2016-09-16	@ Cork City	L 0-3	34.2	1329	1428	20.53%	21.34%	58.13%	-0.80	-16.9	46
2016-09-17	Sligo Rovers	W 4-0	37.3	1187	1254	36.74%	22.49%	40.77%	-0.07	+39.0	33
2016-09-17	@ Bray Wanderers	L 0-4	37.3	1254	1187	40.77%	22.49%	36.74%	+0.07	-39.0	37
2016-09-19	Cork City	L 0-1	32.9	1083	1445	9.96%	18.22%	71.83%	-1.62	-3.0	23
2016-09-19	@ Finn Harps	W 1-0	32.9	1445	1083	71.83%	18.22%	9.96%	+1.62	+3.0	54
2016-09-19	Wexford Youths	W 1-0	35.2	1223	1077	62.82%	20.58%	16.61%	+1.04	+5.1	35
2016-09-19	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	35.2	1077	1223	16.61%	20.58%	62.82%	-1.04	-5.1	19
2016-09-20	Shamrock Rovers	D 1-1	59.4	1507	1312	67.15%	19.61%	13.24%	+1.30	-3.3	59
2016-09-20	@ Dundalk	D 1-1	59.4	1312	1507	13.24%	19.61%	67.15%	-1.30	+3.3	47
2016-09-23	Bray Wanderers	L 1-3	40.7	1072	1226	25.69%	21.98%	52.33%	-0.53	-12.3	19
2016-09-23	@ Wexford Youths	W 3-1	40.7	1226	1072	52.33%	21.98%	25.69%	+0.53	+12.3	36
2016-09-23	Derry City	W 3-1	40.9	1503	1324	65.86%	19.93%	14.22%	+1.22	+7.1	62
2016-09-23	@ Dundalk	L 1-3	40.9	1324	1503	14.22%	19.93%	65.86%	-1.22	-7.1	49
2016-09-23	Galway United	W 4-2	42.5	1315	1198	59.99%	21.07%	18.94%	+0.89	+8.4	50
2016-09-23	@ Shamrock Rovers	L 2-4	42.5	1198	1315	18.94%	21.07%	59.99%	-0.89	-8.4	34
2016-09-23	Longford Town	W 1-0	33.7	1228	1025	67.83%	19.43%	12.74%	+1.34	+3.9	38
2016-09-23	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	33.7	1025	1228	12.74%	19.43%	67.83%	-1.34	-3.9	13
2016-09-24	Cork City	D 0-0	51.9	1215	1448	18.13%	20.91%	60.95%	-0.94	+2.9	38
2016-09-24	@ Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	51.9	1448	1215	60.95%	20.91%	18.13%	+0.94	-2.9	55
2016-09-27	Galway United	W 5-3	41.3	1445	1190	71.80%	18.23%	9.97%	+1.62	+4.2	58
2016-09-27	@ Cork City	L 3-5	41.3	1190	1445	9.97%	18.23%	71.80%	-1.62	-4.2	34
2016-09-27	Shamrock Rovers	D 2-2	61.1	1317	1324	45.21%	22.39%	32.40%	+0.24	-0.5	50
2016-09-27	@ Derry City	D 2-2	61.1	1324	1317	32.40%	22.39%	45.21%	-0.24	+0.5	51
2016-09-27	Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	50.3	1243	1218	49.38%	22.19%	28.43%	+0.41	-1.3	35
2016-09-27	@ St Patrick's Athletic	D 0-0	50.3	1218	1243	28.43%	22.19%	49.38%	-0.41	+1.3	39
2016-09-30	Bohemian	W 2-1	45.5	1238	1231	47.07%	22.32%	30.62%	+0.31	+8.2	39
2016-09-30	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	45.5	1231	1238	30.62%	22.32%	47.07%	-0.31	-8.2	38
2016-10-01	Finn Harps	W 3-2	46.4	1186	1080	58.79%	21.25%	19.96%	+0.83	+5.4	37
2016-10-01	@ Galway United	L 2-3	46.4	1080	1186	19.96%	21.25%	58.79%	-0.83	-5.4	23
2016-10-04	Finn Harps	D 0-0	50.6	1220	1075	62.71%	20.60%	16.69%	+1.04	-3.1	40
2016-10-04	@ Sligo Rovers	D 0-0	50.6	1075	1220	16.69%	20.60%	62.71%	-1.04	+3.1	24
2016-10-07	Bray Wanderers	W 2-1	52.1	1078	1247	24.15%	21.82%	54.02%	-0.61	+13.1	27
2016-10-07	@ Finn Harps	L 1-2	52.1	1247	1078	54.02%	21.82%	24.15%	+0.61	-13.1	39
2016-10-07	Shamrock Rovers	W 1-0	44.9	1223	1324	32.18%	22.38%	45.44%	-0.25	+11.9	41
2016-10-07	@ Bohemian	L 0-1	44.9	1324	1223	45.44%	22.38%	32.18%	+0.25	-11.9	51
2016-10-07	Wexford Youths	W 4-1	33.8	1242	1059	66.09%	19.87%	14.04%	+1.23	+9.9	38
2016-10-07	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-4	33.8	1059	1242	14.04%	19.87%	66.09%	-1.23	-9.9	19
2016-10-08	Cork City	L 0-5	30.3	1191	1449	16.12%	20.46%	63.42%	-1.08	-21.7	37
2016-10-08	@ Galway United	W 5-0	30.3	1449	1191	63.42%	20.46%	16.12%	+1.08	+21.7	61
2016-10-08	Derry City	L 2-3	44.1	1021	1316	13.57%	19.72%	66.71%	-1.27	-3.7	13
2016-10-08	@ Longford Town	W 3-2	44.1	1316	1021	66.71%	19.72%	13.57%	+1.27	+3.7	53
2016-10-08	Sligo Rovers	L 0-3	48.6	1510	1216	74.42%	17.27%	8.31%	+1.82	-50.6	62
2016-10-08	@ Dundalk	W 3-0	48.6	1216	1510	8.31%	17.27%	74.42%	-1.82	+50.6	43
2016-10-11	Cork City	W 2-1	53.3	1460	1471	44.64%	22.41%	32.95%	+0.22	+8.7	65
2016-10-11	@ Dundalk	L 1-2	53.3	1471	1460	32.95%	22.41%	44.64%	-0.22	-8.7	61
2016-10-11	St Patrick's Athletic	D 1-1	54.8	1091	1252	25.03%	21.91%	53.05%	-0.56	+1.6	28
2016-10-11	@ Finn Harps	D 1-1	54.8	1252	1091	53.05%	21.91%	25.03%	+0.56	-1.6	39
2016-10-14	Bohemian	W 2-1	43.0	1320	1235	56.54%	21.55%	21.91%	+0.72	+6.2	56
2016-10-14	@ Derry City	L 1-2	43.0	1235	1320	21.91%	21.55%	56.54%	-0.72	-6.2	41
2016-10-14	Dundalk	L 0-3	36.3	1312	1469	25.50%	21.96%	52.55%	-0.54	-20.4	51
2016-10-14	@ Shamrock Rovers	W 3-0	36.3	1469	1312	52.55%	21.96%	25.50%	+0.54	+20.4	68
2016-10-14	Finn Harps	W 2-0	28.0	1462	1093	78.89%	15.31%	5.79%	+2.22	+3.2	64
2016-10-14	@ Cork City	L 0-2	28.0	1093	1462	5.79%	15.31%	78.89%	-2.22	-3.2	28
2016-10-14	Galway United	W 5-4	58.7	1049	1169	29.77%	22.27%	47.96%	-0.35	+10.7	22
2016-10-14	@ Wexford Youths	L 4-5	58.7	1169	1049	47.96%	22.27%	29.77%	+0.35	-10.7	37
2016-10-14	Longford Town	W 1-0	32.6	1267	1017	71.42%	18.36%	10.23%	+1.59	+3.1	46
2016-10-14	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-1	32.6	1017	1267	10.23%	18.36%	71.42%	-1.59	-3.1	13
2016-10-14	St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-1	46.5	1234	1250	43.93%	22.43%	33.64%	+0.19	+8.8	42
2016-10-14	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-2	46.5	1250	1234	33.64%	22.43%	43.93%	-0.19	-8.8	39
2016-10-17	Cork City	W 3-1	52.7	1241	1466	18.83%	21.05%	60.12%	-0.90	+24.9	42
2016-10-17	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 1-3	52.7	1466	1241	60.12%	21.05%	18.83%	+0.90	-24.9	64
2016-10-17	Dundalk	L 0-3	25.7	1014	1489	5.81%	15.33%	78.86%	-2.22	-4.6	13
2016-10-17	@ Longford Town	W 3-0	25.7	1489	1014	78.86%	15.33%	5.81%	+2.22	+4.7	71
2016-10-21	Bray Wanderers	D 0-0	50.6	1292	1242	52.45%	21.97%	25.59%	+0.54	-1.7	52
2016-10-21	@ Shamrock Rovers	D 0-0	50.6	1242	1292	25.59%	21.97%	52.45%	-0.54	+1.7	43
2016-10-21	Finn Harps	D 0-0	49.9	1060	1089	42.14%	22.47%	35.39%	+0.13	-0.4	23
2016-10-21	@ Wexford Youths	D 0-0	49.9	1089	1060	35.39%	22.47%	42.14%	-0.13	+0.4	29
2016-10-21	Longford Town	D 0-0	50.5	1159	1009	63.15%	20.51%	16.34%	+1.06	-3.2	38
2016-10-21	@ Galway United	D 0-0	50.5	1009	1159	16.34%	20.51%	63.15%	-1.06	+3.2	14
2016-10-21	Sligo Rovers	W 2-1	44.2	1326	1270	53.24%	21.90%	24.86%	+0.57	+6.9	59
2016-10-21	@ Derry City	L 1-2	44.2	1270	1326	24.86%	21.90%	53.24%	-0.57	-6.9	46
2016-10-21	St Patrick's Athletic	W 3-1	38.7	1441	1266	65.43%	20.02%	14.54%	+1.19	+7.3	67
2016-10-21	@ Cork City	L 1-3	38.7	1266	1441	14.54%	20.02%	65.43%	-1.19	-7.3	42
2016-10-23	Bohemian	W 2-1	39.7	1494	1229	72.45%	18.00%	9.55%	+1.67	+2.7	74
2016-10-23	@ Dundalk	L 1-2	39.7	1229	1494	9.55%	18.00%	72.45%	-1.67	-2.7	41
2016-10-24	Wexford Youths	W 5-0	24.6	1448	1060	79.86%	14.83%	5.30%	+2.32	+6.8	70
2016-10-24	@ Cork City	L 0-5	24.6	1060	1448	5.30%	14.83%	79.86%	-2.32	-6.8	23
2016-10-25	Dundalk	W 5-2	53.5	1259	1496	17.73%	20.83%	61.44%	-0.97	+31.2	45
2016-10-25	@ St Patrick's Athletic	L 2-5	53.5	1496	1259	61.44%	20.83%	17.73%	+0.97	-31.2	74
2016-10-28	Bohemian	W 1-0	45.7	1090	1226	27.76%	22.15%	50.10%	-0.44	+13.0	32
2016-10-28	@ Finn Harps	L 0-1	45.7	1226	1090	50.10%	22.15%	27.76%	+0.44	-13.0	41
2016-10-28	Cork City	W 4-1	49.4	1244	1455	20.06%	21.27%	58.67%	-0.83	+34.5	46
2016-10-28	@ Bray Wanderers	L 1-4	49.4	1455	1244	58.67%	21.27%	20.06%	+0.83	-34.5	70
2016-10-28	Derry City	L 0-2	40.9	1290	1333	40.17%	22.50%	37.33%	+0.05	-20.3	45
2016-10-28	@ St Patrick's Athletic	W 2-0	40.9	1333	1290	37.33%	22.50%	40.17%	-0.05	+20.3	62
2016-10-28	Galway United	W 4-1	32.0	1465	1155	75.42%	16.87%	7.71%	+1.90	+5.3	77
2016-10-28	@ Dundalk	L 1-4	32.0	1155	1465	7.71%	16.87%	75.42%	-1.90	-5.3	38
2016-10-28	Shamrock Rovers	L 2-4	40.6	1012	1290	14.74%	20.08%	65.17%	-1.18	-6.6	14
2016-10-28	@ Longford Town	W 4-2	40.6	1290	1012	65.17%	20.08%	14.74%	+1.18	+6.6	55
2016-10-28	Wexford Youths	W 5-0	27.7	1263	1053	68.41%	19.27%	12.32%	+1.38	+16.7	49
2016-10-28	@ Sligo Rovers	L 0-5	27.7	1053	1263	12.32%	19.27%	68.41%	-1.38	-16.7	23

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2016-10-22	Drogheda United	L 0-2	39.7	1095	1142	39.67%	22.50%	37.83%	+0.03	-20.1	0-1
2016-10-22	@ Cobh Ramblers	W 2-0	39.7	1142	1095	37.83%	22.50%	39.67%	-0.03	+20.1	1-0
2016-10-28	Cobh Ramblers	L 1-2	52.8	1162	1075	56.79%	21.52%	21.69%	+0.73	-13.7	1-1
2016-10-28	@ Drogheda United	W 2-1	52.8	1075	1162	21.69%	21.52%	56.79%	-0.73	+13.7	1-1
2016-10-31	Drogheda United	W 2-0	41.8	1036	1149	30.73%	22.32%	46.95%	-0.31	+23.1	1-0
2016-10-31	@ Wexford Youths	L 0-2	41.8	1149	1036	46.95%	22.32%	30.73%	+0.31	-23.1	1-2
2016-11-04	Wexford Youths	W 3-0	32.6	1125	1059	54.41%	21.79%	23.80%	+0.62	+19.2	2-2
2016-11-04	@ Drogheda United	L 0-3	32.6	1059	1125	23.80%	21.79%	54.41%	-0.62	-19.2	1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2016-10-08	8.31%	Sligo Rovers	1216	3	@ Dundalk	1510	0
2	2016-08-10	8.99%	@ Bray Wanderers	1125	2	Dundalk	1509	1
3	2016-08-05	12.16%	@ Galway United	1207	1	Dundalk	1526	0
4	2016-08-08	13.03%	Sligo Rovers	1236	2	@ Cork City	1434	1
5	2016-10-25	17.73%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1259	5	Dundalk	1496	2
6	2016-04-29	18.14%	Sligo Rovers	1170	2	@ Derry City	1296	0
7	2016-10-17	18.83%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1241	3	Cork City	1466	1
8	2016-04-23	19.36%	@ Bray Wanderers	1096	1	St Patrick's Athletic	1315	0
9	2016-03-04	19.43%	Galway United	1182	3	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1293	1
10	2016-10-28	20.06%	@ Bray Wanderers	1244	4	Cork City	1455	1
11	2016-09-06	20.64%	Bray Wanderers	1159	2	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1257	1
12	2016-09-16	21.63%	Longford Town	1010	1	@ Finn Harps	1098	0
13	2016-10-28 *	21.69%	Cobh Ramblers	1075	2	@ Drogheda United	1162	1
14	2016-05-13	21.94%	@ Wexford Youths	1134	2	Shamrock Rovers	1325	0
15	2016-07-29	22.94%	Wexford Youths	1101	1	@ Finn Harps	1176	0
16	2016-08-19	23.01%	Bray Wanderers	1142	2	@ Galway United	1216	0
17	2016-10-07	24.15%	@ Finn Harps	1078	2	Bray Wanderers	1247	1
18	2016-03-18	25.05%	Cork City	1357	1	@ Dundalk	1412	0
19	2016-05-29	26.31%	@ Bohemian	1175	5	St Patrick's Athletic	1324	1
20	2016-08-26	27.46%	Bohemian	1235	1	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1268	0
21	2016-10-28	27.76%	@ Finn Harps	1090	1	Bohemian	1226	0
22	2016-05-06	28.31%	Derry City	1267	1	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1293	0
23	2016-03-11	28.41%	@ Derry City	1206	1	Cork City	1337	0
24	2016-08-30	29.27%	Derry City	1318	1	@ Shamrock Rovers	1335	0
25	2016-10-14	29.77%	@ Wexford Youths	1049	5	Galway United	1169	4

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2016-10-08	50.57	Sligo Rovers	3	1216	8.31%	@ Dundalk	0	1510	74.42%	17.27%
2	2016-08-05	41.73	Sligo Rovers	5	1194	43.55%	@ Wexford Youths	0	1107	34.01%	22.44%
3	2016-03-26	41.27	@ Bray Wanderers	4	1095	33.89%	Sligo Rovers	0	1183	43.68%	22.44%
4	2016-04-15	40.15	Shamrock Rovers	4	1273	35.30%	@ Bohemian	0	1245	42.23%	22.47%
5	2016-05-29	39.68	@ Bohemian	5	1175	26.31%	St Patrick's Athletic	1	1324	51.66%	22.03%
6	2016-09-17	39.03	@ Bray Wanderers	4	1187	36.74%	Sligo Rovers	0	1254	40.77%	22.49%
7	2016-08-12	35.49	Derry City	5	1282	49.94%	@ Finn Harps	0	1147	27.90%	22.16%
8	2016-03-24	35.33	Dundalk	4	1398	41.64%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	0	1325	35.88%	22.48%
9	2016-10-28	34.48	@ Bray Wanderers	4	1244	20.06%	Cork City	1	1455	58.67%	21.27%
10	2016-03-14	32.87	@ Cork City	6	1324	57.63%	Longford Town	0	1230	20.95%	21.41%
11	2016-06-03	31.93	@ Finn Harps	3	1126	33.33%	Sligo Rovers	0	1218	44.25%	22.42%
12	2016-10-25	31.17	@ St Patrick's Athletic	5	1259	17.73%	Dundalk	2	1496	61.44%	20.83%
13	2016-05-10	29.86	St Patrick's Athletic	3	1280	36.78%	@ Galway United	0	1241	40.73%	22.49%
14	2016-07-02	29.69	@ Bray Wanderers	3	1079	37.07%	Wexford Youths	0	1144	40.44%	22.49%
15	2016-04-29	29.17	Sligo Rovers	2	1170	18.14%	@ Derry City	0	1296	60.94%	20.92%
16	2016-04-08	27.39	@ Derry City	3	1264	41.03%	Shamrock Rovers	0	1301	36.48%	22.49%
17	2016-05-13	27.20	@ Wexford Youths	2	1134	21.94%	Shamrock Rovers	0	1325	56.50%	21.55%
18	2016-08-19	26.67	Bray Wanderers	2	1142	23.01%	@ Galway United	0	1216	55.30%	21.69%
19	2016-07-01	26.36	Dundalk	5	1499	58.91%	@ Derry City	0	1286	19.85%	21.23%
20	2016-03-11	25.34	@ Galway United	4	1207	54.17%	Bray Wanderers	0	1143	24.02%	21.81%
21	2016-04-23	25.07	@ Sligo Rovers	3	1145	44.97%	Longford Town	0	1153	32.63%	22.40%
22	2016-10-17	24.94	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1241	18.83%	Cork City	1	1466	60.12%	21.05%
23	2016-03-14	24.72	Derry City	3	1219	45.55%	@ Bray Wanderers	0	1117	32.07%	22.38%
24	2016-03-04	24.67	Galway United	3	1182	19.43%	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1293	59.41%	21.16%
25	2016-03-18	23.24	St Patrick's Athletic	2	1301	30.39%	@ Shamrock Rovers	0	1310	47.30%	22.30%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2016-05-13	64.7	@ St Patrick's Athletic	3	1310	68.47%	Longford Town	3	1099	12.28%	19.25%
2	2016-03-18	63.9	@ Bohemian	3	1223	53.99%	Wexford Youths	3	1161	24.19%	21.83%
3	2016-09-27	61.1	@ Derry City	2	1317	45.21%	Shamrock Rovers	2	1324	32.40%	22.39%
4	2016-04-15	60.8	@ Galway United	2	1226	27.55%	Cork City	2	1365	50.31%	22.13%
5	2016-05-10	60.6	@ Derry City	2	1280	60.27%	Finn Harps	2	1160	18.71%	21.03%
6	2016-04-29	60.4	@ Galway United	2	1246	60.04%	Longford Town	2	1128	18.90%	21.06%
7	2016-08-27	60.4	@ Bray Wanderers	2	1169	26.24%	Derry City	2	1319	51.73%	22.03%
8	2016-07-23	60.0	@ Longford Town	2	1049	26.72%	Sligo Rovers	2	1195	51.21%	22.07%
9	2016-09-20	59.4	@ Dundalk	1	1507	67.15%	Shamrock Rovers	1	1312	13.24%	19.61%
10	2016-10-14	58.7	@ Wexford Youths	5	1049	29.77%	Galway United	4	1169	47.96%	22.27%
11	2016-08-10	57.7	@ Bray Wanderers	2	1125	8.99%	Dundalk	1	1509	73.33%	17.69%
12	2016-04-01	57.0	@ Dundalk	1	1433	65.27%	Derry City	1	1261	14.67%	20.06%
13	2016-08-08	56.9	Sligo Rovers	2	1236	13.03%	@ Cork City	1	1434	67.44%	19.53%
14	2016-04-08	56.0	@ Cork City	1	1368	67.54%	Wexford Youths	1	1169	12.95%	19.51%
15	2016-05-29	55.5	@ Shamrock Rovers	1	1298	65.46%	Finn Harps	1	1123	14.52%	20.02%
16	2016-04-08	55.3	@ St Patrick's Athletic	1	1289	62.73%	Sligo Rovers	1	1144	16.67%	20.59%
17	2016-08-05	55.2	@ Derry City	1	1284	50.14%	St Patrick's Athletic	1	1253	27.72%	22.14%
18	2016-07-29	55.1	@ Bray Wanderers	1	1123	20.52%	Shamrock Rovers	1	1328	58.14%	21.34%
19	2016-03-19	54.9	@ Longford Town	1	1197	58.67%	Bray Wanderers	1	1093	20.06%	21.27%
20	2016-04-16	54.9	@ Longford Town	1	1152	27.47%	Derry City	1	1291	50.40%	22.12%
21	2016-06-24	54.8	@ Bohemian	1	1225	48.45%	Galway United	1	1208	29.31%	22.25%
22	2016-10-11	54.8	@ Finn Harps	1	1091	25.03%	St Patrick's Athletic	1	1252	53.05%	21.91%
23	2016-03-14	54.7	@ Sligo Rovers	1	1184	39.50%	Galway United	1	1232	38.00%	22.50%
24	2016-03-19	54.7	@ Sligo Rovers	1	1184	48.73%	Finn Harps	1	1164	29.04%	22.23%
25	2016-07-30	54.7	@ Longford Town	1	1050	25.29%	Galway United	1	1208	52.77%	21.94%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2016-10-24	24.6	@ Cork City	5	1448	79.86%	Wexford Youths	0	1060	5.30%	14.83%
2	2016-10-17	25.7	Dundalk	3	1489	78.86%	@ Longford Town	0	1014	5.81%	15.33%
3	2016-08-30	27.5	@ Cork City	4	1417	71.18%	Bray Wanderers	0	1170	10.39%	18.43%
4	2016-10-28	27.7	@ Sligo Rovers	5	1263	68.41%	Wexford Youths	0	1053	12.32%	19.27%
5	2016-09-12	27.8	@ Dundalk	2	1504	80.66%	Finn Harps	0	1100	4.92%	14.43%
6	2016-07-15	27.9	@ Derry City	4	1259	67.25%	Longford Town	0	1064	13.17%	19.58%
7	2016-10-14	28.0	@ Cork City	2	1462	78.89%	Finn Harps	0	1093	5.79%	15.31%
8	2016-05-17	28.8	@ St Patrick's Athletic	4	1308	64.90%	Finn Harps	0	1139	14.95%	20.14%
9	2016-05-29	29.0	Cork City	3	1409	67.75%	@ Longford Town	0	1101	12.80%	19.45%
10	2016-03-11	29.1	@ Dundalk	3	1396	68.69%	Finn Harps	0	1183	12.11%	19.19%
11	2016-05-13	29.7	Dundalk	7	1479	68.45%	@ Finn Harps	0	1162	12.29%	19.26%
12	2016-04-09	29.9	Dundalk	4	1430	63.63%	@ Longford Town	0	1170	15.95%	20.42%
13	2016-04-15	30.2	@ St Patrick's Athletic	4	1295	60.55%	Wexford Youths	0	1172	18.47%	20.98%
14	2016-10-08	30.3	Cork City	5	1449	63.42%	@ Galway United	0	1191	16.12%	20.46%
15	2016-05-10	30.8	@ Dundalk	1	1477	79.57%	Bray Wanderers	0	1095	5.45%	14.98%
16	2016-05-29	31.2	@ Derry City	2	1273	66.56%	Bray Wanderers	0	1085	13.68%	19.76%
17	2016-04-29	31.6	@ Shamrock Rovers	2	1285	65.39%	Bray Wanderers	0	1111	14.58%	20.04%
18	2016-05-07	31.6	Cork City	2	1390	65.97%	@ Bray Wanderers	0	1103	14.13%	19.90%
19	2016-03-11	31.9	@ Galway United	4	1207	54.17%	Bray Wanderers	0	1143	24.02%	21.81%
20	2016-03-14	31.9	@ Cork City	6	1324	57.63%	Longford Town	0	1230	20.95%	21.41%
21	2016-10-28	32.0	@ Dundalk	4	1465	75.42%	Galway United	1	1155	7.71%	16.87%
22	2016-08-26	32.1	Dundalk	1	1491	75.40%	@ Wexford Youths	0	1076	7.72%	16.88%
23	2016-05-10	32.2	@ Shamrock Rovers	3	1308	57.38%	Sligo Rovers	0	1215	21.17%	21.44%
24	2016-04-15	32.4	@ Dundalk	1	1448	74.83%	Sligo Rovers	0	1147	8.06%	17.11%
25	2016-08-26	32.5	@ Cork City	5	1414	79.75%	Longford Town	2	1028	5.36%	14.89%