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2017 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Cork City

76 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Cork City

9.57 points above expected

76 points · 66.43 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Drogheda United

9.29 points below expected

22 points · 31.29 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Cork City 33 24 4 5 76 67 23 +44 66.43 +9.57
2 Dundalk 33 22 3 8 69 72 24 +48 66.26 +2.74
3 Shamrock Rovers 33 17 3 13 54 49 41 +8 48.61 +5.39
4 Derry City 33 14 9 10 51 49 40 +9 54.02 -3.02
5 Bohemian 33 14 5 14 47 36 40 -4 38.72 +8.28
6 Bray Wanderers 33 13 7 13 46 55 52 +3 46.67 -0.67
7 Limerick 33 10 10 13 40 41 51 -10 47.76 -7.76
8 St Patrick's Athletic 33 9 12 12 39 45 52 -7 42.91 -3.91
9 Sligo Rovers 33 8 15 10 39 33 44 -11 43.00 -4.00
10 Galway United 33 7 14 12 35 45 50 -5 35.47 -0.47
11 Finn Harps 33 9 3 21 30 35 67 -32 29.07 +0.93
12 Drogheda United 33 5 7 21 22 22 65 -43 31.29 -9.29

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cork City 76 66.43 +9.57
2 Bohemian 47 38.72 +8.28
3 Shamrock Rovers 54 48.61 +5.39
4 Dundalk 69 66.26 +2.74
5 Finn Harps 30 29.07 +0.93

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Drogheda United 22 31.29 -9.29
2 Limerick 40 47.76 -7.76
3 Sligo Rovers 39 43.00 -4.00
4 St Patrick's Athletic 39 42.91 -3.91
5 Derry City 51 54.02 -3.02

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork City 12 Feb 24 – May 5 1 in 912
2 Bray Wanderers 4 Mar 31 – Apr 21 1 in 92
3 Shamrock Rovers 4 Aug 15 – Sep 22 1 in 41
4 Derry City 4 Feb 24 – Mar 18 1 in 28
5 St Patrick's Athletic 3 Jul 14 – Jul 28 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drogheda United 9 Jul 21 – Oct 14 1 in 101
2 Derry City 3 Mar 31 – Apr 14 1 in 55
3 Bray Wanderers 4 Jun 30 – Jul 28 1 in 44
4 Finn Harps 6 Sep 16 – Oct 27 1 in 40
5 Cork City 2 Sep 1 – Sep 22 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Galway United 7 Apr 14 – May 19 1 in 196
2 Cork City 22 Feb 24 – Jul 28 1 in 170
3 Sligo Rovers 7 Jul 15 – Sep 16 1 in 69
4 Derry City 10 Apr 22 – Jun 2 1 in 33
5 Finn Harps 4 Mar 10 – Mar 25 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Drogheda United 21 Apr 28 – Oct 14 1 in 318
2 Cork City 6 Sep 1 – Oct 20 1 in 157
3 Derry City 6 Mar 31 – Apr 28 1 in 63
4 St Patrick's Athletic 8 May 19 – Jul 9 1 in 39
5 Sligo Rovers 7 May 12 – Jun 23 1 in 27

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Cork City 1501 76 -9 6 9.6 -3.6
Dundalk 1525 69 -1 10 10.3 -0.3
Shamrock Rovers 1367 54 -6 7 8.3 -1.3
Derry City 1371 51 -6 8 8.5 -0.5
Bohemian 1299 47 +13 10 5.8 +4.2
Bray Wanderers 1350 46 +25 7 5.7 +1.3
Limerick 1309 40 +5 8 6.8 +1.2
St Patrick's Athletic 1322 39 +18 9 6.1 +2.9
Sligo Rovers 1320 39 +9 8 7.1 +0.9
Galway United 1261 35 +7 6 5.2 +0.8
Finn Harps 1179 30 -21 0 4.3 -4.3
Drogheda United 1169 22 -3 4 4.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH BW CC DC DU DUN FH GU LIM SR SR SPA
Bohemian —
2-1-0
3.46
1-1-1
1.98
0-0-3
2.97
2-1-0
4.72
1-0-2
1.86
2-0-1
5.19
1-2-0
4.69
1-0-2
3.27
1-0-2
3.10
1-0-2
3.61
2-0-1
3.96
Bray Wanderers
0-1-2
4.83
—
0-0-3
2.35
3-0-0
3.17
2-1-0
5.65
1-0-2
2.39
2-0-1
5.85
2-1-0
5.47
0-1-2
4.36
2-0-1
4.29
0-2-1
4.36
1-1-1
4.35
Cork City
1-1-1
6.48
3-0-0
6.04
—
2-1-0
5.52
3-0-0
6.74
2-1-0
4.21
3-0-0
6.89
2-1-0
6.80
2-0-1
5.86
2-0-1
5.65
2-0-1
6.27
2-0-1
6.18
Derry City
3-0-0
5.35
0-0-3
5.13
0-1-2
2.81
—
2-1-0
6.22
1-1-1
3.29
2-0-1
6.33
1-1-1
5.80
1-2-0
4.85
3-0-0
4.61
1-1-1
4.94
0-2-1
5.24
Drogheda United
0-1-2
3.55
0-1-2
2.69
0-0-3
1.77
0-1-2
2.20
—
0-0-3
1.55
2-0-1
3.97
1-1-1
3.80
0-0-3
2.61
1-0-2
2.67
0-3-0
3.02
1-0-2
3.22
Dundalk
2-0-1
6.62
2-0-1
5.99
0-1-2
4.05
1-1-1
5.00
3-0-0
7.01
—
3-0-0
6.98
2-0-1
6.67
3-0-0
5.84
1-0-2
5.81
2-1-0
5.83
3-0-0
6.22
Finn Harps
1-0-2
3.12
1-0-2
2.52
0-0-3
1.64
1-0-2
2.10
1-0-2
4.30
0-0-3
1.56
—
0-1-2
3.80
2-1-0
2.52
0-0-3
2.45
1-1-1
3.03
2-0-1
2.72
Galway United
0-2-1
3.59
0-1-2
2.85
0-1-2
1.71
1-1-1
2.56
1-1-1
4.48
1-0-2
1.82
2-1-0
4.48
—
1-2-0
2.90
0-0-3
3.08
1-2-0
3.43
0-3-0
3.47
Limerick
2-0-1
5.02
2-1-0
3.91
1-0-2
2.51
0-2-1
3.43
3-0-0
5.75
0-0-3
2.53
0-1-2
5.84
0-2-1
5.42
—
0-1-2
3.78
1-1-1
4.67
1-2-0
4.23
Shamrock Rovers
2-0-1
5.20
1-0-2
3.97
1-0-2
2.69
0-0-3
3.66
2-0-1
5.68
2-0-1
2.55
3-0-0
5.92
3-0-0
5.23
2-1-0
4.49
—
1-1-1
4.82
0-1-2
4.63
Sligo Rovers
2-0-1
4.66
1-2-0
3.91
1-0-2
2.16
1-1-1
3.35
0-3-0
5.30
0-1-2
2.53
1-1-1
5.28
0-2-1
4.86
1-1-1
3.61
1-1-1
3.46
—
0-3-0
4.25
St Patrick's Athletic
1-0-2
4.31
1-1-1
3.92
1-0-2
2.23
1-2-0
3.06
2-0-1
5.07
0-0-3
2.19
1-0-2
5.62
0-3-0
4.81
0-2-1
4.04
2-1-0
3.64
0-3-0
4.01
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +9.7
Allowed 0.89 -10.7
Differential 0.94 +5.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.82%6.82%3.79%2.27%1.26%27.02%
16.82%13.64%8.59%3.03%2.02%0.25%34.34%
26.82%8.59%3.03%2.27%0.51%—21.21%
33.79%3.03%2.27%0.51%0.25%0.51%10.35%
42.27%2.02%0.51%0.25%——5.05%
5+1.26%0.25%—0.51%——2.02%
Total27.02%34.34%21.21%10.35%5.05%2.02%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.96
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%15.15%—3.03%—39.39%
112.12%6.06%9.09%—3.03%—30.30%
26.06%9.09%————15.15%
3—6.06%6.06%———12.12%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total27.27%36.36%30.30%—6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.21 -0.12
SD 1.16 1.05 1.63
CV 1.06 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%——27.27%
16.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
2—12.12%3.03%9.09%——24.24%
33.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%—3.03%18.18%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+3.03%——3.03%——6.06%
Total21.21%30.30%24.24%21.21%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.58 +0.09
SD 1.45 1.23 1.65
CV 0.87 0.78 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%————12.12%
115.15%6.06%3.03%3.03%——27.27%
26.06%21.21%——3.03%—30.30%
312.12%—————12.12%
43.03%9.09%————12.12%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total48.48%42.42%3.03%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.70 +1.33
SD 1.40 0.92 1.78
CV 0.69 1.32 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%—3.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%27.27%
16.06%12.12%9.09%———27.27%
29.09%6.06%3.03%6.06%——24.24%
36.06%6.06%————12.12%
46.06%3.03%————9.09%
5+———————
Total39.39%27.27%15.15%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.21 +0.27
SD 1.28 1.34 2.15
CV 0.86 1.11 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%12.12%6.06%3.03%6.06%51.52%
13.03%6.06%9.09%3.03%12.12%—33.33%
26.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%21.21%27.27%9.09%15.15%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.97 -1.30
SD 0.82 1.61 1.88
CV 1.22 0.82 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%—3.03%——12.12%
19.09%6.06%9.09%6.06%——30.30%
215.15%3.03%————18.18%
315.15%3.03%————18.18%
412.12%——3.03%——15.15%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total60.61%18.18%9.09%12.12%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 0.73 +1.45
SD 1.61 1.07 2.25
CV 0.74 1.47 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%15.15%6.06%6.06%3.03%42.42%
1—6.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%—21.21%
29.09%9.09%—6.06%——24.24%
3—3.03%6.06%——3.03%12.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.12%27.27%27.27%18.18%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 2.03 -0.97
SD 1.09 1.38 1.88
CV 1.03 0.68 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%—3.03%—18.18%
1—30.30%18.18%———48.48%
2—9.09%6.06%———15.15%
3—9.09%—3.03%3.03%—15.15%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total3.03%57.58%30.30%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.52 -0.15
SD 1.06 0.87 1.33
CV 0.77 0.57 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%15.15%——30.30%
19.09%18.18%3.03%3.03%3.03%—36.36%
26.06%6.06%9.09%3.03%——24.24%
33.03%—————3.03%
4———————
5+—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
Total21.21%33.33%18.18%24.24%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.55 -0.30
SD 1.28 1.18 1.85
CV 1.03 0.76 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%6.06%———15.15%
19.09%9.09%15.15%3.03%3.03%—39.39%
215.15%15.15%——3.03%—33.33%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4—6.06%————6.06%
5+———————
Total24.24%42.42%24.24%3.03%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.24 +0.24
SD 1.03 1.06 1.60
CV 0.70 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%3.03%—9.09%—27.27%
19.09%30.30%9.09%3.03%—3.03%54.55%
23.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
36.06%—3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.30%36.36%18.18%3.03%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.33 -0.33
SD 0.87 1.36 1.76
CV 0.87 1.02 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.03%9.09%6.06%—3.03%21.21%
13.03%27.27%6.06%6.06%——42.42%
26.06%6.06%9.09%3.03%——24.24%
3—3.03%————3.03%
46.06%—3.03%———9.09%
5+———————
Total15.15%39.39%27.27%15.15%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.58 -0.21
SD 1.14 1.23 2.00
CV 0.84 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dundalk 1525 69 66.26 +2.74 67.0% 50 53 61 66 71 78 85
Cork City 1501 76 66.43 +9.57 95.0% 52 54 62 66 72 76 80
Derry City 1371 51 54.02 -3.02 37.0% 39 44 49 54 59 65 72
Shamrock Rovers 1367 54 48.61 +5.39 78.0% 26 37 45 48 53 62 67
Bray Wanderers 1350 46 46.67 -0.67 51.0% 28 36 42 46 51 59 67
St Patrick's Athletic 1322 39 42.91 -3.91 33.0% 22 27 38 43 49 54 61
Sligo Rovers 1320 39 43.00 -4.00 33.0% 27 31 37 42 49 56 58
Limerick 1309 40 47.76 -7.76 21.0% 30 35 42 47 53 63 69
Bohemian 1299 47 38.72 +8.28 91.0% 24 28 34 38 42 51 58
Galway United 1261 35 35.47 -0.47 50.0% 20 26 31 35 40 46 52
Finn Harps 1179 30 29.07 +0.93 60.0% 14 20 25 29 33 39 43
Drogheda United 1169 22 31.29 -9.29 9.0% 11 18 27 32 35 42 46

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.10%
Slight Edge
43.43%23.23%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 35.21 Elo pts.
153 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.26 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
44%
Cork City, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.21/gm
Comfortable
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.67 * Some Luck: 5.67 to 8.51 * Lucky: 8.51 to 11.35 * Wild Swing: 11.35 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.16 * Close: 1.16 to 1.74 * Off: 1.74 to 2.32 * Way Off: 2.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.66 points
As Expected
07.0918
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.453
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Cork City
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
Drogheda United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 106.94
2.01
Strong Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
61%
Even
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Clear Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Frequent
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Very Even
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.65
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.88
Near-Lock
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.07
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.97
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.078
Well Within Noise
00.1220.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Cork City44.00%40.00%12.00%4.00%————————
Dundalk44.00%41.00%10.00%5.00%————————
Shamrock Rovers1.00%3.00%14.00%19.00%17.00%18.00%14.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—
Derry City8.00%9.00%29.00%22.00%17.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%———
Bohemian—1.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%10.00%10.00%17.00%28.00%17.00%8.00%2.00%
Bray Wanderers—1.00%10.00%13.00%20.00%15.00%16.00%13.00%8.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%
Limerick2.00%4.00%12.00%14.00%17.00%16.00%11.00%13.00%6.00%4.00%1.00%—
St Patrick's Athletic1.00%—5.00%10.00%13.00%15.00%14.00%10.00%12.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%
Sligo Rovers—1.00%6.00%8.00%12.00%11.00%18.00%16.00%6.00%13.00%5.00%4.00%
Galway United———2.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%13.00%15.00%22.00%23.00%9.00%
Finn Harps———————6.00%7.00%11.00%28.00%48.00%
Drogheda United—————1.00%5.00%4.00%12.00%20.00%27.00%31.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Cork City 100% —
Derry City 100% —
Dundalk 100% —
Shamrock Rovers 97.00% 3.00%
Bray Wanderers 96.00% 4.00%
Limerick 95.00% 5.00%
St Patrick's Athletic 80.00% 20.00%
Sligo Rovers 78.00% 22.00%
Bohemian 73.00% 27.00%
Galway United 46.00% 54.00%
Drogheda United 22.00% 78.00%
Finn Harps 13.00% 87.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2017-02-24 Bray Wanderers L 1-250.0 1330 1335 42.01% 24.49% 33.50%+0.20 -4.5 0
2017-02-24 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-150.0 1335 1330 33.50% 24.49% 42.01%-0.20 +4.5 3
2017-02-24 Cork City L 0-134.9 1205 1438 17.25% 19.28% 63.47%-1.29 -2.1 0
2017-02-24 @ Finn Harps W 1-034.9 1438 1205 63.47% 19.28% 17.25%+1.29 +2.1 3
2017-02-24 Derry City L 1-440.8 1289 1387 29.44% 24.01% 46.55%-0.41 -8.3 0
2017-02-24 @ Bohemian W 4-140.8 1387 1289 46.55% 24.01% 29.44%+0.41 +8.3 3
2017-02-24 Drogheda United L 0-143.6 1248 1239 43.94% 24.33% 31.74%+0.29 -4.9 0
2017-02-24 @ Galway United W 1-043.6 1239 1248 31.74% 24.33% 43.94%-0.29 +4.9 3
2017-02-24 Shamrock Rovers W 2-144.9 1469 1348 58.72% 21.05% 20.23%+1.03 +2.4 3
2017-02-24 @ Dundalk L 1-244.9 1348 1469 20.23% 21.05% 58.72%-1.03 -2.4 0
2017-02-24 Sligo Rovers W 5-139.8 1348 1337 44.24% 24.30% 31.47%+0.30 +11.3 3
2017-02-24 @ Limerick L 1-539.8 1337 1348 31.47% 24.30% 44.24%-0.30 -11.3 0
2017-03-03 Bohemian W 2-144.2 1345 1281 51.48% 23.10% 25.42%+0.65 +3.0 3
2017-03-03 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-244.2 1281 1345 25.42% 23.10% 51.48%-0.65 -3.0 0
2017-03-03 Finn Harps W 5-343.8 1339 1203 60.49% 20.43% 19.08%+1.12 +3.3 6
2017-03-03 @ Bray Wanderers L 3-543.8 1203 1339 19.08% 20.43% 60.49%-1.12 -3.3 0
2017-03-03 Galway United W 4-028.9 1440 1243 67.34% 17.62% 15.03%+1.52 +6.5 6
2017-03-03 @ Cork City L 0-428.9 1243 1440 15.03% 17.62% 67.34%-1.52 -6.5 0
2017-03-03 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-040.9 1244 1326 31.47% 24.30% 44.23%-0.30 +9.3 6
2017-03-03 @ Drogheda United L 0-240.9 1326 1244 44.23% 24.30% 31.47%+0.30 -9.3 0
2017-03-04 Dundalk L 0-435.1 1325 1471 24.28% 22.75% 52.97%-0.73 -10.8 0
2017-03-04 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-035.1 1471 1325 52.97% 22.75% 24.28%+0.73 +10.8 6
2017-03-10 Bray Wanderers W 3-254.9 1278 1343 33.61% 24.50% 41.89%-0.19 +4.2 3
2017-03-10 @ Bohemian L 2-354.9 1343 1278 41.89% 24.50% 33.61%+0.19 -4.2 6
2017-03-10 Cork City L 1-437.4 1254 1446 20.16% 21.01% 58.82%-1.03 -5.8 6
2017-03-10 @ Drogheda United W 4-137.4 1446 1254 58.82% 21.01% 20.16%+1.03 +5.8 9
2017-03-10 Derry City L 0-143.4 1348 1396 35.95% 24.62% 39.43%-0.08 -4.2 3
2017-03-10 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-043.4 1396 1348 39.43% 24.62% 35.95%+0.08 +4.2 6
2017-03-10 Galway United D 1-153.3 1200 1237 37.48% 24.64% 37.88%-0.01 +0.0 1
2017-03-10 @ Finn Harps D 1-153.3 1237 1200 37.88% 24.64% 37.48%+0.01 -0.0 1
2017-03-10 Limerick W 1-039.6 1482 1359 58.96% 20.97% 20.08%+1.04 +2.5 9
2017-03-10 @ Dundalk L 0-139.6 1359 1482 20.08% 20.97% 58.96%-1.04 -2.5 3
2017-03-10 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.3 1314 1316 42.46% 24.46% 33.08%+0.22 -0.2 1
2017-03-10 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.3 1316 1314 33.08% 24.46% 42.46%-0.22 +0.2 1
2017-03-13 Bohemian L 0-146.6 1356 1282 52.76% 22.80% 24.44%+0.72 -5.7 3
2017-03-13 @ Limerick W 1-046.6 1282 1356 24.44% 22.80% 52.76%-0.72 +5.7 6
2017-03-13 Drogheda United W 2-142.9 1338 1248 54.90% 22.23% 22.86%+0.82 +2.7 9
2017-03-13 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-242.9 1248 1338 22.86% 22.23% 54.90%-0.82 -2.7 6
2017-03-13 Dundalk W 3-152.3 1400 1485 31.03% 24.25% 44.72%-0.32 +8.2 9
2017-03-13 @ Derry City L 1-352.3 1485 1400 44.72% 24.25% 31.03%+0.32 -8.2 9
2017-03-13 Finn Harps L 1-252.8 1316 1200 58.11% 21.25% 20.64%+0.99 -5.8 1
2017-03-13 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-152.8 1200 1316 20.64% 21.25% 58.11%-0.99 +5.8 4
2017-03-13 Shamrock Rovers L 1-245.0 1237 1344 28.36% 23.81% 47.83%-0.47 -3.3 1
2017-03-13 @ Galway United W 2-145.0 1344 1237 47.83% 23.81% 28.36%+0.47 +3.3 6
2017-03-13 Sligo Rovers W 2-143.3 1452 1314 60.69% 20.35% 18.96%+1.13 +2.2 12
2017-03-13 @ Cork City L 1-243.3 1314 1452 18.96% 20.35% 60.69%-1.13 -2.2 1
2017-03-17 Cork City L 1-247.9 1347 1454 28.39% 23.82% 47.78%-0.47 -3.3 6
2017-03-17 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-147.9 1454 1347 47.78% 23.82% 28.39%+0.47 +3.3 15
2017-03-17 Galway United D 1-153.9 1288 1233 50.22% 23.37% 26.41%+0.59 -0.6 7
2017-03-17 @ Bohemian D 1-153.9 1233 1288 26.41% 23.37% 50.22%-0.59 +0.6 2
2017-03-18 Bray Wanderers W 3-253.7 1312 1341 38.55% 24.64% 36.81%+0.04 +3.8 4
2017-03-18 @ Sligo Rovers L 2-353.7 1341 1312 36.81% 24.64% 38.55%-0.04 -3.8 9
2017-03-18 Drogheda United W 4-029.7 1408 1245 63.61% 19.22% 17.17%+1.30 +7.6 12
2017-03-18 @ Derry City L 0-429.7 1245 1408 17.17% 19.22% 63.61%-1.30 -7.6 6
2017-03-18 Finn Harps D 1-155.1 1351 1206 61.51% 20.05% 18.44%+1.18 -1.1 4
2017-03-18 @ Limerick D 1-155.1 1206 1351 18.44% 20.05% 61.51%-1.18 +1.1 5
2017-03-18 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-031.9 1476 1311 63.95% 19.08% 16.97%+1.32 +5.7 12
2017-03-18 @ Dundalk L 0-331.9 1311 1476 16.97% 19.08% 63.95%-1.32 -5.7 1
2017-03-25 Bohemian L 0-141.3 1238 1287 35.60% 24.61% 39.79%-0.10 -4.2 6
2017-03-25 @ Drogheda United W 1-041.3 1287 1238 39.79% 24.61% 35.60%+0.10 +4.2 10
2017-03-25 Dundalk W 2-154.5 1458 1482 39.19% 24.62% 36.18%+0.07 +4.0 18
2017-03-25 @ Cork City L 1-254.5 1482 1458 36.18% 24.62% 39.19%-0.07 -4.0 12
2017-03-25 Limerick L 0-144.1 1337 1350 40.97% 24.56% 34.47%+0.15 -4.7 9
2017-03-25 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-044.1 1350 1337 34.47% 24.56% 40.97%-0.15 +4.7 7
2017-03-25 Shamrock Rovers W 2-148.7 1305 1344 37.13% 24.64% 38.24%-0.03 +4.2 4
2017-03-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-248.7 1344 1305 38.24% 24.64% 37.13%+0.03 -4.2 6
2017-03-25 Sligo Rovers W 2-150.6 1207 1316 28.18% 23.78% 48.04%-0.48 +5.0 8
2017-03-25 @ Finn Harps L 1-250.6 1316 1207 48.04% 23.78% 28.18%+0.48 -5.0 4
2017-03-31 Bray Wanderers L 2-359.4 1416 1333 53.91% 22.51% 23.58%+0.77 -5.2 12
2017-03-31 @ Derry City W 3-259.4 1333 1416 23.58% 22.51% 53.91%-0.77 +5.2 12
2017-03-31 Cork City L 0-337.4 1354 1462 28.36% 23.81% 47.83%-0.47 -9.5 7
2017-03-31 @ Limerick W 3-037.4 1462 1354 47.83% 23.81% 28.36%+0.47 +9.5 21
2017-03-31 Drogheda United W 3-136.1 1478 1233 72.33% 15.27% 12.39%+1.83 +2.4 15
2017-03-31 @ Dundalk L 1-336.1 1233 1478 12.39% 15.27% 72.33%-1.83 -2.4 6
2017-03-31 Finn Harps W 3-246.7 1340 1212 59.50% 20.78% 19.72%+1.07 +2.2 9
2017-03-31 @ Shamrock Rovers L 2-346.7 1212 1340 19.72% 20.78% 59.50%-1.07 -2.2 8
2017-03-31 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-437.8 1292 1309 40.23% 24.59% 35.18%+0.12 -16.4 10
2017-03-31 @ Bohemian W 4-037.8 1309 1292 35.18% 24.59% 40.23%-0.12 +16.4 7
2017-04-03 Sligo Rovers D 1-153.7 1234 1311 32.02% 24.36% 43.62%-0.27 +0.3 3
2017-04-03 @ Galway United D 1-153.7 1311 1234 43.62% 24.36% 32.02%+0.27 -0.3 5
2017-04-07 Derry City W 3-038.2 1471 1410 51.02% 23.20% 25.78%+0.63 +8.8 24
2017-04-07 @ Cork City L 0-338.2 1410 1471 25.78% 23.20% 51.02%-0.63 -8.8 12
2017-04-07 Dundalk L 0-231.0 1210 1481 14.80% 17.44% 67.76%-1.54 -3.4 8
2017-04-07 @ Finn Harps W 2-031.0 1481 1210 67.76% 17.44% 14.80%+1.54 +3.4 18
2017-04-07 Galway United W 1-036.5 1338 1234 56.54% 21.76% 21.71%+0.91 +2.7 15
2017-04-07 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-136.5 1234 1338 21.71% 21.76% 56.54%-0.91 -2.7 3
2017-04-07 Limerick L 0-240.5 1326 1345 39.98% 24.60% 35.42%+0.11 -8.6 7
2017-04-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-040.5 1345 1326 35.42% 24.60% 39.98%-0.11 +8.6 10
2017-04-07 Shamrock Rovers W 2-150.9 1231 1342 27.94% 23.73% 48.33%-0.50 +5.0 9
2017-04-07 @ Drogheda United L 1-250.9 1342 1231 48.33% 23.73% 27.94%+0.50 -5.0 9
2017-04-08 Bohemian W 2-036.1 1311 1275 47.62% 23.85% 28.53%+0.46 +6.6 8
2017-04-08 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-236.1 1275 1311 28.53% 23.85% 47.62%-0.46 -6.6 10
2017-04-14 Bray Wanderers L 1-354.4 1484 1341 61.35% 20.10% 18.54%+1.17 -10.5 18
2017-04-14 @ Dundalk W 3-154.4 1341 1484 18.54% 20.10% 61.35%-1.17 +10.5 18
2017-04-14 Cork City L 0-233.9 1269 1480 18.73% 20.22% 61.05%-1.15 -4.4 10
2017-04-14 @ Bohemian W 2-033.9 1480 1269 61.05% 20.22% 18.73%+1.15 +4.4 27
2017-04-14 Finn Harps L 0-246.0 1402 1206 67.21% 17.69% 15.11%+1.51 -13.0 12
2017-04-14 @ Derry City W 2-046.0 1206 1402 15.11% 17.69% 67.21%-1.51 +13.0 11
2017-04-14 Sligo Rovers W 1-040.4 1337 1317 45.47% 24.16% 30.37%+0.36 +3.7 12
2017-04-14 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-140.4 1317 1337 30.37% 24.16% 45.47%-0.36 -3.7 8
2017-04-14 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.8 1231 1317 30.96% 24.24% 44.80%-0.33 +0.3 4
2017-04-14 @ Galway United D 1-153.8 1317 1231 44.80% 24.24% 30.96%+0.33 -0.3 8
2017-04-15 Drogheda United W 3-031.1 1353 1236 58.23% 21.21% 20.56%+1.00 +7.0 13
2017-04-15 @ Limerick L 0-331.1 1236 1353 20.56% 21.21% 58.23%-1.00 -7.0 9
2017-04-21 Bohemian W 2-031.4 1473 1264 68.70% 17.01% 14.29%+1.60 +3.2 21
2017-04-21 @ Dundalk L 0-231.4 1264 1473 14.29% 17.01% 68.70%-1.60 -3.2 10
2017-04-21 Cork City L 0-334.7 1317 1484 22.27% 22.00% 55.73%-0.87 -7.6 8
2017-04-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-034.7 1484 1317 55.73% 22.00% 22.27%+0.87 +7.6 30
2017-04-21 Drogheda United L 0-239.7 1219 1229 41.35% 24.53% 34.11%+0.17 -8.9 11
2017-04-21 @ Finn Harps W 2-039.7 1229 1219 34.11% 24.53% 41.35%-0.17 +8.9 12
2017-04-21 Galway United D 1-155.1 1360 1232 59.58% 20.75% 19.67%+1.07 -1.0 14
2017-04-21 @ Limerick D 1-155.1 1232 1360 19.67% 20.75% 59.58%-1.07 +1.0 5
2017-04-21 Shamrock Rovers W 4-248.3 1351 1341 44.17% 24.31% 31.53%+0.30 +5.5 21
2017-04-21 @ Bray Wanderers L 2-448.3 1341 1351 31.53% 24.31% 44.17%-0.30 -5.6 12
2017-04-22 Derry City D 1-155.0 1314 1389 32.25% 24.38% 43.36%-0.26 +0.3 9
2017-04-22 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-155.0 1389 1314 43.36% 24.38% 32.25%+0.26 -0.2 13
2017-04-25 Limerick D 1-155.8 1388 1359 46.75% 23.98% 29.27%+0.42 -0.4 14
2017-04-25 @ Derry City D 1-155.8 1359 1388 29.27% 23.98% 46.75%-0.42 +0.4 15
2017-04-28 Bray Wanderers W 2-145.3 1492 1357 60.38% 20.46% 19.15%+1.12 +2.2 33
2017-04-28 @ Cork City L 1-245.3 1357 1492 19.15% 20.46% 60.38%-1.12 -2.2 21
2017-04-28 Dundalk W 2-155.6 1233 1477 16.47% 18.73% 64.81%-1.37 +6.3 8
2017-04-28 @ Galway United L 1-255.6 1477 1233 64.81% 18.73% 16.47%+1.37 -6.3 21
2017-04-28 Finn Harps W 2-035.1 1261 1211 49.65% 23.49% 26.86%+0.56 +6.2 13
2017-04-28 @ Bohemian L 0-235.1 1211 1261 26.86% 23.49% 49.65%-0.56 -6.2 11
2017-04-28 Limerick D 1-154.9 1335 1360 39.20% 24.62% 36.18%+0.07 -0.1 13
2017-04-28 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.9 1360 1335 36.18% 24.62% 39.20%-0.07 +0.1 16
2017-04-28 Sligo Rovers D 1-153.8 1238 1314 32.14% 24.37% 43.49%-0.27 +0.3 13
2017-04-28 @ Drogheda United D 1-153.8 1314 1238 43.49% 24.37% 32.14%+0.27 -0.3 10
2017-04-28 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-261.6 1388 1309 53.41% 22.64% 23.95%+0.75 -0.5 15
2017-04-28 @ Derry City D 2-261.6 1309 1388 23.95% 22.64% 53.41%-0.75 +0.5 9
2017-05-05 Bohemian W 2-033.4 1387 1267 58.57% 21.10% 20.33%+1.02 +4.8 18
2017-05-05 @ Derry City L 0-233.4 1267 1387 20.33% 21.10% 58.57%-1.02 -4.8 13
2017-05-05 Dundalk W 2-154.7 1335 1470 25.35% 23.08% 51.57%-0.66 +5.3 16
2017-05-05 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-254.7 1470 1335 51.57% 23.08% 25.35%+0.66 -5.3 21
2017-05-05 Finn Harps W 5-026.8 1494 1204 76.55% 13.15% 10.30%+2.13 +5.2 36
2017-05-05 @ Cork City L 0-526.8 1204 1494 10.30% 13.15% 76.55%-2.13 -5.1 11
2017-05-05 Galway United D 2-259.6 1238 1239 42.55% 24.45% 33.00%+0.22 -0.2 14
2017-05-05 @ Drogheda United D 2-259.6 1239 1238 33.00% 24.45% 42.55%-0.22 +0.2 9
2017-05-05 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.8 1354 1309 48.91% 23.63% 27.46%+0.52 -0.5 22
2017-05-05 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-154.8 1309 1354 27.46% 23.63% 48.91%-0.52 +0.5 10
2017-05-06 Limerick W 3-038.5 1314 1360 36.11% 24.62% 39.27%-0.07 +12.4 13
2017-05-06 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-338.5 1360 1314 39.27% 24.62% 36.11%+0.07 -12.3 16
2017-05-08 Derry City D 0-050.2 1239 1392 23.62% 22.52% 53.85%-0.77 +0.8 10
2017-05-08 @ Galway United D 0-050.2 1392 1239 53.85% 22.52% 23.62%+0.77 -0.8 19
2017-05-12 Bray Wanderers L 0-332.2 1199 1354 23.45% 22.46% 54.09%-0.78 -8.0 11
2017-05-12 @ Finn Harps W 3-032.2 1354 1199 54.09% 22.46% 23.45%+0.78 +8.0 25
2017-05-12 Cork City D 1-157.5 1240 1499 15.51% 18.00% 66.49%-1.47 +1.3 11
2017-05-12 @ Galway United D 1-157.5 1499 1240 66.49% 18.00% 15.51%+1.47 -1.3 37
2017-05-12 Drogheda United W 2-034.5 1310 1238 52.51% 22.86% 24.62%+0.70 +5.8 13
2017-05-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-234.5 1238 1310 24.62% 22.86% 52.51%-0.70 -5.8 14
2017-05-12 Shamrock Rovers L 0-237.4 1262 1340 31.90% 24.35% 43.76%-0.28 -7.2 13
2017-05-12 @ Bohemian W 2-037.4 1340 1262 43.76% 24.35% 31.90%+0.28 +7.2 19
2017-05-12 Sligo Rovers W 4-032.6 1465 1326 60.86% 20.29% 18.85%+1.14 +8.4 24
2017-05-12 @ Dundalk L 0-432.6 1326 1465 18.85% 20.29% 60.86%-1.14 -8.4 13
2017-05-13 Derry City D 1-155.5 1347 1391 36.44% 24.63% 38.93%-0.06 +0.0 17
2017-05-13 @ Limerick D 1-155.5 1391 1347 38.93% 24.63% 36.44%+0.06 -0.1 20
2017-05-19 Bohemian L 1-253.1 1362 1255 56.92% 21.64% 21.45%+0.93 -5.7 25
2017-05-19 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-153.1 1255 1362 21.45% 21.64% 56.92%-0.93 +5.7 16
2017-05-19 Drogheda United W 5-027.9 1498 1232 74.35% 14.27% 11.38%+1.97 +5.8 40
2017-05-19 @ Cork City L 0-527.9 1232 1498 11.38% 14.27% 74.35%-1.97 -5.8 14
2017-05-19 Dundalk L 0-336.8 1348 1473 26.32% 23.35% 50.33%-0.59 -8.9 17
2017-05-19 @ Limerick W 3-036.8 1473 1348 50.33% 23.35% 26.32%+0.59 +8.9 27
2017-05-19 Finn Harps W 2-143.9 1241 1191 49.63% 23.49% 26.88%+0.56 +3.1 14
2017-05-19 @ Galway United L 1-243.9 1191 1241 26.88% 23.49% 49.63%-0.56 -3.1 11
2017-05-19 Shamrock Rovers W 3-143.6 1391 1348 48.75% 23.66% 27.59%+0.52 +5.5 23
2017-05-19 @ Derry City L 1-343.6 1348 1391 27.59% 23.66% 48.75%-0.52 -5.5 19
2017-05-19 Sligo Rovers D 1-154.3 1316 1317 42.46% 24.46% 33.08%+0.22 -0.2 14
2017-05-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.3 1317 1316 33.08% 24.46% 42.46%-0.22 +0.2 14
2017-05-22 Cork City L 1-245.3 1318 1504 20.70% 21.28% 58.02%-0.99 -2.4 14
2017-05-22 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-145.3 1504 1318 58.02% 21.28% 20.70%+0.99 +2.4 43
2017-05-22 Galway United W 2-033.7 1342 1245 55.77% 21.99% 22.25%+0.87 +5.2 22
2017-05-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-233.7 1245 1342 22.25% 21.99% 55.77%-0.87 -5.2 14
2017-05-22 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-148.3 1188 1316 26.15% 23.31% 50.54%-0.60 +9.0 14
2017-05-22 @ Finn Harps L 1-348.3 1316 1188 50.54% 23.31% 26.15%+0.60 -9.0 14
2017-05-23 Bray Wanderers D 0-049.6 1226 1356 25.91% 23.24% 50.85%-0.62 +0.7 15
2017-05-23 @ Drogheda United D 0-049.6 1356 1226 50.85% 23.24% 25.91%+0.62 -0.7 26
2017-05-23 Derry City D 0-054.8 1482 1397 54.25% 22.42% 23.33%+0.79 -0.8 28
2017-05-23 @ Dundalk D 0-054.8 1397 1482 23.33% 22.42% 54.25%-0.79 +0.8 24
2017-05-23 Limerick L 1-246.3 1261 1339 31.92% 24.35% 43.73%-0.28 -3.6 16
2017-05-23 @ Bohemian W 2-146.3 1339 1261 43.73% 24.35% 31.92%+0.28 +3.6 20
2017-05-26 Bohemian L 1-248.4 1239 1257 40.15% 24.59% 35.26%+0.11 -4.3 14
2017-05-26 @ Galway United W 2-148.4 1257 1239 35.26% 24.59% 40.15%-0.11 +4.3 19
2017-05-26 Derry City D 0-050.3 1227 1398 22.00% 21.88% 56.12%-0.89 +0.9 16
2017-05-26 @ Drogheda United D 0-050.3 1398 1227 56.12% 21.88% 22.00%+0.89 -0.9 25
2017-05-26 Dundalk L 0-236.0 1307 1482 21.63% 21.72% 56.65%-0.92 -5.1 14
2017-05-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-036.0 1482 1307 56.65% 21.72% 21.63%+0.92 +5.1 31
2017-05-26 Limerick W 3-257.2 1197 1342 24.36% 22.77% 52.87%-0.72 +5.1 17
2017-05-26 @ Finn Harps L 2-357.2 1342 1197 52.87% 22.77% 24.36%+0.72 -5.1 20
2017-05-26 Shamrock Rovers W 4-139.2 1506 1347 63.15% 19.40% 17.44%+1.27 +5.0 46
2017-05-26 @ Cork City L 1-439.2 1347 1506 17.44% 19.40% 63.15%-1.27 -5.0 22
2017-05-26 Sligo Rovers D 2-261.0 1355 1315 48.28% 23.74% 27.98%+0.49 -0.3 27
2017-05-26 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-261.0 1315 1355 27.98% 23.74% 48.28%-0.49 +0.4 15
2017-05-30 Bray Wanderers W 2-039.2 1342 1355 40.88% 24.56% 34.56%+0.15 +7.7 25
2017-05-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-239.2 1355 1342 34.56% 24.56% 40.88%-0.15 -7.7 27
2017-06-02 Bray Wanderers W 5-350.6 1337 1347 41.25% 24.54% 34.21%+0.16 +5.6 23
2017-06-02 @ Limerick L 3-550.6 1347 1337 34.21% 24.54% 41.25%-0.16 -5.6 27
2017-06-02 Cork City L 0-346.8 1487 1511 39.22% 24.62% 36.16%+0.07 -12.3 31
2017-06-02 @ Dundalk W 3-046.8 1511 1487 36.16% 24.62% 39.22%-0.07 +12.3 49
2017-06-02 Drogheda United D 0-049.0 1262 1228 47.39% 23.89% 28.73%+0.45 -0.5 20
2017-06-02 @ Bohemian D 0-049.0 1228 1262 28.73% 23.89% 47.39%-0.45 +0.5 17
2017-06-02 Finn Harps D 0-049.9 1316 1202 57.76% 21.37% 20.87%+0.97 -1.0 16
2017-06-02 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-049.9 1202 1316 20.87% 21.37% 57.76%-0.97 +1.0 18
2017-06-02 Galway United W 2-140.7 1397 1235 63.48% 19.27% 17.24%+1.29 +2.0 28
2017-06-02 @ Derry City L 1-240.7 1235 1397 17.24% 19.27% 63.48%-1.29 -2.0 14
2017-06-02 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.7 1350 1301 49.40% 23.54% 27.06%+0.55 -0.5 26
2017-06-02 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-154.7 1301 1350 27.06% 23.54% 49.40%-0.55 +0.5 15
2017-06-16 Bohemian L 1-348.1 1302 1261 48.36% 23.72% 27.91%+0.50 -8.7 15
2017-06-16 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-148.1 1261 1302 27.91% 23.72% 48.36%-0.50 +8.7 23
2017-06-16 Derry City W 3-256.0 1342 1399 34.64% 24.56% 40.79%-0.14 +4.2 30
2017-06-16 @ Bray Wanderers L 2-356.0 1399 1342 40.79% 24.56% 34.64%+0.14 -4.2 28
2017-06-16 Dundalk L 0-631.0 1228 1474 16.34% 18.63% 65.03%-1.38 -10.5 17
2017-06-16 @ Drogheda United W 6-031.0 1474 1228 65.03% 18.63% 16.34%+1.38 +10.5 34
2017-06-16 Limerick W 4-138.8 1523 1343 65.62% 18.38% 16.00%+1.41 +4.5 52
2017-06-16 @ Cork City L 1-438.8 1343 1523 16.00% 18.38% 65.62%-1.41 -4.5 23
2017-06-16 Shamrock Rovers L 0-137.4 1203 1349 24.25% 22.74% 53.01%-0.73 -3.0 18
2017-06-16 @ Finn Harps W 1-037.4 1349 1203 53.01% 22.74% 24.25%+0.73 +3.0 29
2017-06-17 Galway United D 1-154.3 1315 1233 53.75% 22.55% 23.70%+0.77 -0.7 17
2017-06-17 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.3 1233 1315 23.70% 22.55% 53.75%-0.77 +0.7 15
2017-06-23 Bray Wanderers L 1-244.8 1234 1346 27.80% 23.70% 48.50%-0.50 -3.2 15
2017-06-23 @ Galway United W 2-144.8 1346 1234 48.50% 23.70% 27.80%+0.50 +3.2 33
2017-06-23 Cork City L 1-250.3 1395 1528 25.54% 23.14% 51.32%-0.64 -3.0 28
2017-06-23 @ Derry City W 2-150.3 1528 1395 51.32% 23.14% 25.54%+0.64 +3.0 55
2017-06-23 Drogheda United W 4-135.8 1352 1218 60.31% 20.49% 19.20%+1.11 +5.5 32
2017-06-23 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-435.8 1218 1352 19.20% 20.49% 60.31%-1.11 -5.5 17
2017-06-23 Finn Harps W 4-026.3 1485 1200 76.09% 13.38% 10.53%+2.09 +4.3 37
2017-06-23 @ Dundalk L 0-426.3 1200 1485 10.53% 13.38% 76.09%-2.09 -4.3 18
2017-06-23 Sligo Rovers W 2-039.5 1270 1314 36.42% 24.63% 38.95%-0.06 +8.5 26
2017-06-23 @ Bohemian L 0-239.5 1314 1270 38.95% 24.63% 36.42%+0.06 -8.5 17
2017-06-24 St Patrick's Athletic D 2-260.7 1338 1293 48.91% 23.63% 27.47%+0.52 -0.4 24
2017-06-24 @ Limerick D 2-260.7 1293 1338 27.47% 23.63% 48.91%-0.52 +0.4 16
2017-06-26 Galway United W 2-029.7 1489 1230 73.66% 14.61% 11.72%+1.92 +2.6 40
2017-06-26 @ Dundalk L 0-229.7 1230 1489 11.72% 14.61% 73.66%-1.92 -2.6 15
2017-06-30 Dundalk L 0-336.6 1349 1492 24.63% 22.86% 52.51%-0.70 -8.4 33
2017-06-30 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-036.6 1492 1349 52.51% 22.86% 24.63%+0.70 +8.4 43
2017-06-30 Galway United D 1-154.0 1294 1228 51.69% 23.06% 25.26%+0.66 -0.6 17
2017-06-30 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.0 1228 1294 25.26% 23.06% 51.69%-0.66 +0.6 16
2017-06-30 Limerick L 0-235.2 1212 1338 26.37% 23.36% 50.26%-0.59 -6.2 17
2017-06-30 @ Drogheda United W 2-035.2 1338 1212 50.26% 23.36% 26.37%+0.59 +6.2 27
2017-07-02 Shamrock Rovers W 1-043.6 1305 1358 35.24% 24.59% 40.17%-0.11 +4.6 20
2017-07-02 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-143.6 1358 1305 40.17% 24.59% 35.24%+0.11 -4.6 32
2017-07-05 Dundalk L 0-137.2 1278 1500 17.97% 19.75% 62.28%-1.22 -2.2 26
2017-07-05 @ Bohemian W 1-037.2 1500 1278 62.28% 19.75% 17.97%+1.22 +2.2 46
2017-07-07 Finn Harps L 0-240.3 1206 1196 44.17% 24.31% 31.52%+0.30 -9.3 17
2017-07-07 @ Drogheda United W 2-040.3 1196 1206 31.52% 24.31% 44.17%-0.30 +9.3 21
2017-07-07 Limerick W 3-148.3 1229 1344 27.45% 23.62% 48.92%-0.53 +8.8 19
2017-07-07 @ Galway United L 1-348.3 1344 1229 48.92% 23.62% 27.45%+0.53 -8.8 27
2017-07-09 Sligo Rovers W 4-033.2 1392 1310 53.75% 22.55% 23.70%+0.76 +10.6 31
2017-07-09 @ Derry City L 0-433.2 1310 1392 23.70% 22.55% 53.75%-0.76 -10.6 20
2017-07-09 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-035.4 1531 1293 71.65% 15.61% 12.74%+1.79 +1.5 58
2017-07-09 @ Cork City L 0-135.4 1293 1531 12.74% 15.61% 71.65%-1.79 -1.5 17
2017-07-14 Bohemian W 2-149.1 1205 1276 32.79% 24.44% 42.77%-0.23 +4.5 24
2017-07-14 @ Finn Harps L 1-249.1 1276 1205 42.77% 24.44% 32.79%+0.23 -4.5 26
2017-07-14 Derry City W 2-151.9 1292 1402 27.98% 23.74% 48.28%-0.49 +5.0 20
2017-07-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-251.9 1402 1292 48.28% 23.74% 27.98%+0.49 -5.0 31
2017-07-15 Drogheda United D 1-154.3 1299 1197 56.40% 21.80% 21.81%+0.90 -0.9 21
2017-07-15 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.3 1197 1299 21.81% 21.80% 56.40%-0.90 +0.8 18
2017-07-16 Cork City L 0-237.5 1341 1532 20.24% 21.05% 58.71%-1.02 -4.8 33
2017-07-16 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-037.5 1532 1341 58.71% 21.05% 20.24%+1.02 +4.8 61
2017-07-21 Bray Wanderers W 3-145.8 1297 1336 37.07% 24.64% 38.29%-0.03 +7.2 23
2017-07-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-345.8 1336 1297 38.29% 24.64% 37.07%+0.03 -7.2 33
2017-07-21 Derry City L 0-139.1 1271 1397 26.34% 23.36% 50.30%-0.59 -3.3 26
2017-07-21 @ Bohemian W 1-039.1 1397 1271 50.30% 23.36% 26.34%+0.59 +3.3 34
2017-07-21 Drogheda United W 4-138.9 1237 1198 48.18% 23.76% 28.06%+0.49 +8.0 22
2017-07-21 @ Galway United L 1-438.9 1198 1237 28.06% 23.76% 48.18%-0.49 -8.0 18
2017-07-22 Sligo Rovers D 0-049.8 1335 1299 47.79% 23.82% 28.39%+0.47 -0.5 28
2017-07-22 @ Limerick D 0-049.8 1299 1335 28.39% 23.82% 47.79%-0.47 +0.5 22
2017-07-23 Shamrock Rovers L 0-152.3 1502 1353 61.99% 19.86% 18.15%+1.21 -6.5 46
2017-07-23 @ Dundalk W 1-052.3 1353 1502 18.15% 19.86% 61.99%-1.21 +6.5 35
2017-07-24 Derry City L 0-233.0 1210 1400 20.31% 21.09% 58.59%-1.02 -4.8 24
2017-07-24 @ Finn Harps W 2-033.0 1400 1210 58.59% 21.09% 20.31%+1.02 +4.8 37
2017-07-28 Bohemian L 1-252.8 1360 1268 55.03% 22.20% 22.77%+0.83 -5.6 35
2017-07-28 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-152.8 1268 1360 22.77% 22.20% 55.03%-0.83 +5.6 29
2017-07-28 Finn Harps L 2-358.5 1329 1205 59.03% 20.94% 20.03%+1.04 -5.6 33
2017-07-28 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-258.5 1205 1329 20.03% 20.94% 59.03%-1.04 +5.6 27
2017-07-28 Galway United W 2-138.8 1537 1245 76.75% 13.04% 10.21%+2.14 +1.1 64
2017-07-28 @ Cork City L 1-238.8 1245 1537 10.21% 13.04% 76.75%-2.14 -1.1 22
2017-07-28 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-138.5 1190 1304 27.62% 23.66% 48.72%-0.52 -3.4 18
2017-07-28 @ Drogheda United W 1-038.5 1304 1190 48.72% 23.66% 27.62%+0.52 +3.4 26
2017-07-29 Dundalk D 1-157.7 1299 1496 19.84% 20.85% 59.31%-1.06 +1.0 23
2017-07-29 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-157.7 1496 1299 59.31% 20.85% 19.84%+1.06 -1.0 47
2017-07-30 Limerick W 3-034.5 1405 1335 52.31% 22.91% 24.78%+0.69 +8.4 40
2017-07-30 @ Derry City L 0-334.5 1335 1405 24.78% 22.91% 52.31%-0.69 -8.4 28
2017-07-31 Bohemian L 0-153.2 1538 1274 74.23% 14.33% 11.44%+1.96 -7.4 64
2017-07-31 @ Cork City W 1-053.2 1274 1538 11.44% 14.33% 74.23%-1.96 +7.4 32
2017-08-04 Bray Wanderers D 0-049.3 1281 1323 36.71% 24.63% 38.66%-0.04 +0.0 33
2017-08-04 @ Bohemian D 0-049.3 1323 1281 38.66% 24.63% 36.71%+0.04 -0.0 34
2017-08-04 Cork City L 0-132.3 1186 1531 11.00% 13.88% 75.12%-2.03 -1.3 18
2017-08-04 @ Drogheda United W 1-032.3 1531 1186 75.12% 13.88% 11.00%+2.03 +1.3 67
2017-08-04 Derry City L 0-240.2 1354 1414 34.32% 24.55% 41.13%-0.16 -7.7 35
2017-08-04 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-040.2 1414 1354 41.13% 24.55% 34.32%+0.16 +7.7 43
2017-08-04 Galway United L 1-344.8 1210 1244 37.90% 24.64% 37.46%+0.01 -7.2 27
2017-08-04 @ Finn Harps W 3-144.8 1244 1210 37.46% 24.64% 37.90%-0.01 +7.2 25
2017-08-04 Limerick W 3-032.6 1495 1326 64.25% 18.96% 16.79%+1.33 +5.7 50
2017-08-04 @ Dundalk L 0-332.6 1326 1495 16.79% 18.96% 64.25%-1.33 -5.7 28
2017-08-05 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.1 1300 1307 41.70% 24.51% 33.79%+0.18 -0.2 24
2017-08-05 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.1 1307 1300 33.79% 24.51% 41.70%-0.18 +0.2 27
2017-08-15 Bray Wanderers D 0-049.5 1300 1323 39.39% 24.62% 35.99%+0.08 -0.1 25
2017-08-15 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-049.5 1323 1300 35.99% 24.62% 39.39%-0.08 +0.1 35
2017-08-15 Shamrock Rovers L 0-240.2 1321 1347 38.99% 24.63% 36.38%+0.06 -8.5 28
2017-08-15 @ Limerick W 2-040.2 1347 1321 36.38% 24.63% 38.99%-0.06 +8.5 38
2017-08-18 Drogheda United W 2-140.8 1323 1185 60.73% 20.34% 18.93%+1.13 +2.2 38
2017-08-18 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-240.8 1185 1323 18.93% 20.34% 60.73%-1.13 -2.2 18
2017-08-18 Finn Harps W 4-030.9 1307 1203 56.59% 21.74% 21.67%+0.91 +9.7 30
2017-08-18 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-430.9 1203 1307 21.67% 21.74% 56.59%-0.91 -9.7 27
2017-08-18 Shamrock Rovers L 1-245.3 1251 1355 28.77% 23.89% 47.34%-0.45 -3.3 25
2017-08-18 @ Galway United W 2-145.3 1355 1251 47.34% 23.89% 28.77%+0.45 +3.3 41
2017-08-18 Sligo Rovers L 0-153.2 1532 1300 71.09% 15.88% 13.03%+1.75 -7.2 67
2017-08-18 @ Cork City W 1-053.2 1300 1532 13.03% 15.88% 71.09%-1.75 +7.2 28
2017-08-19 Bohemian W 1-039.5 1312 1281 47.00% 23.95% 29.05%+0.43 +3.5 31
2017-08-19 @ Limerick L 0-139.5 1281 1312 29.05% 23.95% 47.00%-0.43 -3.5 33
2017-08-20 Dundalk L 0-441.4 1421 1500 31.74% 24.33% 43.93%-0.29 -13.7 43
2017-08-20 @ Derry City W 4-041.4 1500 1421 43.93% 24.33% 31.74%+0.29 +13.7 53
2017-08-21 Cork City L 0-132.7 1194 1525 11.61% 14.50% 73.89%-1.94 -1.4 27
2017-08-21 @ Finn Harps W 1-032.7 1525 1194 73.89% 14.50% 11.61%+1.94 +1.3 70
2017-09-01 Cork City W 3-155.0 1358 1526 22.25% 21.99% 55.76%-0.87 +9.7 44
2017-09-01 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-355.0 1526 1358 55.76% 21.99% 22.25%+0.87 -9.7 70
2017-09-01 Finn Harps L 0-244.0 1316 1192 58.97% 20.97% 20.07%+1.04 -11.8 31
2017-09-01 @ Limerick W 2-044.0 1192 1316 20.07% 20.97% 58.97%-1.04 +11.8 30
2017-09-01 Galway United D 1-153.8 1278 1248 46.84% 23.97% 29.19%+0.42 -0.4 34
2017-09-01 @ Bohemian D 1-153.8 1248 1278 29.19% 23.97% 46.84%-0.42 +0.4 26
2017-09-01 St Patrick's Athletic W 6-032.8 1514 1317 67.40% 17.60% 15.00%+1.52 +9.5 56
2017-09-01 @ Dundalk L 0-632.8 1317 1514 15.00% 17.60% 67.40%-1.52 -9.5 30
2017-09-15 Bohemian L 1-439.6 1183 1277 29.87% 24.08% 46.05%-0.39 -8.4 18
2017-09-15 @ Drogheda United W 4-139.6 1277 1183 46.05% 24.08% 29.87%+0.39 +8.4 37
2017-09-15 Derry City W 2-153.0 1248 1408 23.03% 22.30% 54.67%-0.81 +5.5 29
2017-09-15 @ Galway United L 1-253.0 1408 1248 54.67% 22.30% 23.03%+0.81 -5.5 43
2017-09-15 Limerick D 1-154.3 1325 1304 45.72% 24.12% 30.16%+0.37 -0.4 39
2017-09-15 @ Bray Wanderers D 1-154.3 1304 1325 30.16% 24.12% 45.72%-0.37 +0.4 32
2017-09-16 Sligo Rovers L 1-244.8 1204 1307 28.86% 23.91% 47.23%-0.44 -3.3 30
2017-09-16 @ Finn Harps W 2-144.8 1307 1204 47.23% 23.91% 28.86%+0.44 +3.3 31
2017-09-22 Bray Wanderers L 0-543.0 1402 1325 53.15% 22.70% 24.14%+0.73 -25.3 43
2017-09-22 @ Derry City W 5-043.0 1325 1402 24.14% 22.70% 53.15%-0.73 +25.3 42
2017-09-22 Cork City W 2-157.1 1304 1517 18.65% 20.17% 61.18%-1.16 +6.0 35
2017-09-22 @ Limerick L 1-257.1 1517 1304 61.18% 20.17% 18.65%+1.16 -6.1 70
2017-09-22 Drogheda United W 3-025.2 1524 1175 81.46% 10.55% 7.99%+2.52 +2.4 59
2017-09-22 @ Dundalk L 0-325.2 1175 1524 7.99% 10.55% 81.46%-2.52 -2.4 18
2017-09-22 Finn Harps W 4-134.6 1368 1201 64.13% 19.01% 16.86%+1.33 +4.8 47
2017-09-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-434.6 1201 1368 16.86% 19.01% 64.13%-1.33 -4.8 30
2017-09-22 Sligo Rovers W 3-146.0 1254 1310 34.72% 24.57% 40.71%-0.14 +7.6 32
2017-09-22 @ Galway United L 1-346.0 1310 1254 40.71% 24.57% 34.72%+0.14 -7.6 31
2017-09-22 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-252.9 1286 1308 39.60% 24.61% 35.79%+0.09 +3.8 40
2017-09-22 @ Bohemian L 2-352.9 1308 1286 35.79% 24.61% 39.60%-0.09 -3.8 30
2017-09-25 Dundalk D 1-164.4 1511 1526 40.51% 24.58% 34.91%+0.13 -0.1 71
2017-09-25 @ Cork City D 1-164.4 1526 1511 34.91% 24.58% 40.51%-0.13 +0.1 60
2017-09-25 Shamrock Rovers W 2-041.3 1304 1373 33.01% 24.45% 42.54%-0.22 +9.0 33
2017-09-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-241.3 1373 1304 42.54% 24.45% 33.01%+0.22 -9.0 47
2017-09-29 Drogheda United W 2-138.7 1377 1172 68.21% 17.23% 14.56%+1.57 +1.7 46
2017-09-29 @ Derry City L 1-238.7 1172 1377 14.56% 17.23% 68.21%-1.57 -1.7 18
2017-10-07 Bohemian W 1-040.2 1303 1289 44.57% 24.26% 31.16%+0.32 +3.8 34
2017-10-07 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-140.2 1289 1303 31.16% 24.26% 44.57%-0.32 -3.8 40
2017-10-07 Dundalk L 0-229.7 1196 1526 11.66% 14.56% 73.78%-1.93 -2.5 30
2017-10-07 @ Finn Harps W 2-029.7 1526 1196 73.78% 14.56% 11.66%+1.93 +2.5 63
2017-10-07 Galway United D 3-364.9 1350 1262 54.67% 22.30% 23.03%+0.81 -0.5 43
2017-10-07 @ Bray Wanderers D 3-364.9 1262 1350 23.03% 22.30% 54.67%-0.81 +0.5 33
2017-10-07 Limerick D 2-260.3 1313 1310 43.05% 24.41% 32.53%+0.25 -0.2 34
2017-10-07 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-260.3 1310 1313 32.53% 24.41% 43.05%-0.25 +0.2 36
2017-10-07 Shamrock Rovers L 0-232.5 1171 1364 20.10% 20.98% 58.92%-1.04 -4.7 18
2017-10-07 @ Drogheda United W 2-032.5 1364 1171 58.92% 20.98% 20.10%+1.04 +4.7 50
2017-10-13 Bray Wanderers W 1-038.8 1529 1350 65.40% 18.48% 16.13%+1.40 +2.0 66
2017-10-13 @ Dundalk L 0-138.8 1350 1529 16.13% 18.48% 65.40%-1.40 -2.0 43
2017-10-13 Cork City D 0-053.4 1286 1510 17.76% 19.62% 62.62%-1.24 +1.3 41
2017-10-13 @ Bohemian D 0-053.4 1510 1286 62.62% 19.62% 17.76%+1.24 -1.2 72
2017-10-13 Finn Harps W 3-028.7 1378 1193 66.10% 18.17% 15.73%+1.44 +5.3 49
2017-10-13 @ Derry City L 0-328.7 1193 1378 15.73% 18.17% 66.10%-1.44 -5.3 30
2017-10-13 Sligo Rovers D 1-155.1 1369 1307 51.21% 23.16% 25.63%+0.64 -0.6 51
2017-10-13 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-155.1 1307 1369 25.63% 23.16% 51.21%-0.64 +0.6 35
2017-10-13 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-153.8 1262 1313 35.51% 24.60% 39.89%-0.10 +0.1 34
2017-10-13 @ Galway United D 1-153.8 1313 1262 39.89% 24.60% 35.51%+0.10 -0.1 35
2017-10-14 Drogheda United W 1-034.6 1311 1166 61.51% 20.05% 18.45%+1.18 +2.3 39
2017-10-14 @ Limerick L 0-134.6 1166 1311 18.45% 20.05% 61.51%-1.18 -2.3 18
2017-10-17 Derry City D 0-055.7 1509 1384 59.21% 20.88% 19.91%+1.05 -1.1 73
2017-10-17 @ Cork City D 0-055.7 1384 1509 19.91% 20.88% 59.21%-1.05 +1.1 50
2017-10-20 Bohemian L 0-153.0 1531 1287 72.22% 15.33% 12.45%+1.83 -7.3 66
2017-10-20 @ Dundalk W 1-053.0 1287 1531 12.45% 15.33% 72.22%-1.83 +7.3 44
2017-10-20 Cork City W 4-257.9 1313 1508 19.93% 20.89% 59.17%-1.05 +9.1 38
2017-10-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-457.9 1508 1313 59.17% 20.89% 19.93%+1.05 -9.1 73
2017-10-20 Galway United D 2-260.3 1313 1262 49.68% 23.48% 26.84%+0.56 -0.4 40
2017-10-20 @ Limerick D 2-260.3 1262 1313 26.84% 23.48% 49.68%-0.56 +0.4 35
2017-10-20 Shamrock Rovers W 1-042.8 1348 1368 39.85% 24.60% 35.55%+0.10 +4.2 46
2017-10-20 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-142.8 1368 1348 35.55% 24.60% 39.85%-0.10 -4.2 51
2017-10-21 Derry City W 3-040.0 1307 1385 31.92% 24.35% 43.73%-0.28 +13.4 38
2017-10-21 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-340.0 1385 1307 43.73% 24.35% 31.92%+0.28 -13.4 50
2017-10-23 Drogheda United L 2-355.1 1188 1164 46.14% 24.07% 29.79%+0.39 -4.6 30
2017-10-23 @ Finn Harps W 3-255.1 1164 1188 29.79% 24.07% 46.14%-0.39 +4.6 21
2017-10-27 Bray Wanderers W 1-039.1 1499 1352 61.75% 19.95% 18.30%+1.19 +2.3 76
2017-10-27 @ Cork City L 0-139.1 1352 1499 18.30% 19.95% 61.75%-1.19 -2.3 46
2017-10-27 Dundalk L 3-449.9 1263 1523 15.40% 17.92% 66.68%-1.48 -1.6 35
2017-10-27 @ Galway United W 4-349.9 1523 1263 66.68% 17.92% 15.40%+1.48 +1.6 69
2017-10-27 Finn Harps W 3-138.9 1294 1184 57.41% 21.48% 21.11%+0.96 +4.3 47
2017-10-27 @ Bohemian L 1-338.9 1184 1294 21.11% 21.48% 57.41%-0.96 -4.3 30
2017-10-27 Limerick W 2-145.2 1364 1312 49.79% 23.46% 26.75%+0.57 +3.1 54
2017-10-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-245.2 1312 1364 26.75% 23.46% 49.79%-0.57 -3.1 40
2017-10-27 Sligo Rovers D 0-049.4 1168 1321 23.66% 22.53% 53.81%-0.77 +0.8 22
2017-10-27 @ Drogheda United D 0-049.4 1321 1168 53.81% 22.53% 23.66%+0.77 -0.8 39
2017-10-27 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-155.2 1371 1322 49.56% 23.50% 26.94%+0.56 -0.6 51
2017-10-27 @ Derry City D 1-155.2 1322 1371 26.94% 23.50% 49.56%-0.56 +0.5 39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-07-31 11.44% Bohemian 1274 1 @ Cork City 1538 0
2 2017-10-20 12.45% Bohemian 1287 1 @ Dundalk 1531 0
3 2017-08-18 13.03% Sligo Rovers 1300 1 @ Cork City 1532 0
4 2017-04-14 15.11% Finn Harps 1206 2 @ Derry City 1402 0
5 2017-04-28 16.47% @ Galway United 1233 2 Dundalk 1477 1
6 2017-07-23 18.15% Shamrock Rovers 1353 1 @ Dundalk 1502 0
7 2017-04-14 18.54% Bray Wanderers 1341 3 @ Dundalk 1484 1
8 2017-09-22 18.65% @ Limerick 1304 2 Cork City 1517 1
9 2017-10-20 19.93% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1313 4 Cork City 1508 2
10 2017-07-28 20.03% Finn Harps 1205 3 @ Bray Wanderers 1329 2
11 2017-09-01 20.07% Finn Harps 1192 2 @ Limerick 1316 0
12 2017-03-13 20.64% Finn Harps 1200 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1316 1
13 2017-05-19 21.45% Bohemian 1255 2 @ Bray Wanderers 1362 1
14 2017-09-01 22.25% @ Shamrock Rovers 1358 3 Cork City 1526 1
15 2017-07-28 22.77% Bohemian 1268 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1360 1
16 2017-09-15 23.03% @ Galway United 1248 2 Derry City 1408 1
17 2017-03-31 23.58% Bray Wanderers 1333 3 @ Derry City 1416 2
18 2017-09-22 24.14% Bray Wanderers 1325 5 @ Derry City 1402 0
19 2017-05-26 24.36% @ Finn Harps 1197 3 Limerick 1342 2
20 2017-03-13 24.44% Bohemian 1282 1 @ Limerick 1356 0
21 2017-05-05 25.35% @ Shamrock Rovers 1335 2 Dundalk 1470 1
22 2017-05-22 26.15% @ Finn Harps 1188 3 St Patrick's Athletic 1316 1
23 2017-07-07 27.45% @ Galway United 1229 3 Limerick 1344 1
24 2017-06-16 27.91% Bohemian 1261 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1302 1
25 2017-04-07 27.94% @ Drogheda United 1231 2 Shamrock Rovers 1342 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-09-22 25.30 Bray Wanderers 5 1325 24.14% @ Derry City 0 1402 53.15% 22.70%
2 2017-03-31 16.44 St Patrick's Athletic 4 1309 35.18% @ Bohemian 0 1292 40.23% 24.59%
3 2017-08-20 13.68 Dundalk 4 1500 43.93% @ Derry City 0 1421 31.74% 24.33%
4 2017-10-21 13.44 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1307 31.92% Derry City 0 1385 43.73% 24.35%
5 2017-04-14 13.04 Finn Harps 2 1206 15.11% @ Derry City 0 1402 67.21% 17.69%
6 2017-05-06 12.36 @ Sligo Rovers 3 1314 36.11% Limerick 0 1360 39.27% 24.62%
7 2017-06-02 12.35 Cork City 3 1511 36.16% @ Dundalk 0 1487 39.22% 24.62%
8 2017-09-01 11.77 Finn Harps 2 1192 20.07% @ Limerick 0 1316 58.97% 20.97%
9 2017-02-24 11.32 @ Limerick 5 1348 44.24% Sligo Rovers 1 1337 31.47% 24.30%
10 2017-03-04 10.81 Dundalk 4 1471 52.97% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1325 24.28% 22.75%
11 2017-07-09 10.58 @ Derry City 4 1392 53.75% Sligo Rovers 0 1310 23.70% 22.55%
12 2017-04-14 10.52 Bray Wanderers 3 1341 18.54% @ Dundalk 1 1484 61.35% 20.10%
13 2017-06-16 10.50 Dundalk 6 1474 65.03% @ Drogheda United 0 1228 16.34% 18.63%
14 2017-09-01 9.74 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1358 22.25% Cork City 1 1526 55.76% 21.99%
15 2017-08-18 9.69 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1307 56.59% Finn Harps 0 1203 21.67% 21.74%
16 2017-09-01 9.52 @ Dundalk 6 1514 67.40% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1317 15.00% 17.60%
17 2017-03-31 9.52 Cork City 3 1462 47.83% @ Limerick 0 1354 28.36% 23.81%
18 2017-03-03 9.34 @ Drogheda United 2 1244 31.47% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1326 44.23% 24.30%
19 2017-07-07 9.32 Finn Harps 2 1196 31.52% @ Drogheda United 0 1206 44.17% 24.31%
20 2017-10-20 9.14 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1313 19.93% Cork City 2 1508 59.17% 20.89%
21 2017-09-25 9.05 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1304 33.01% Shamrock Rovers 0 1373 42.54% 24.45%
22 2017-05-22 9.00 @ Finn Harps 3 1188 26.15% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1316 50.54% 23.31%
23 2017-05-19 8.92 Dundalk 3 1473 50.33% @ Limerick 0 1348 26.32% 23.35%
24 2017-04-21 8.86 Drogheda United 2 1229 34.11% @ Finn Harps 0 1219 41.35% 24.53%
25 2017-07-07 8.76 @ Galway United 3 1229 27.45% Limerick 1 1344 48.92% 23.62%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-10-07 64.9 @ Bray Wanderers 3 1350 54.67% Galway United 3 1262 23.03% 22.30%
2 2017-09-25 64.4 @ Cork City 1 1511 40.51% Dundalk 1 1526 34.91% 24.58%
3 2017-04-28 61.6 @ Derry City 2 1388 53.41% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1309 23.95% 22.64%
4 2017-05-26 61.0 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1355 48.28% Sligo Rovers 2 1315 27.98% 23.74%
5 2017-06-24 60.7 @ Limerick 2 1338 48.91% St Patrick's Athletic 2 1293 27.47% 23.63%
6 2017-10-07 60.3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1313 43.05% Limerick 2 1310 32.53% 24.41%
7 2017-10-20 60.3 @ Limerick 2 1313 49.68% Galway United 2 1262 26.84% 23.48%
8 2017-05-05 59.6 @ Drogheda United 2 1238 42.55% Galway United 2 1239 33.00% 24.45%
9 2017-03-31 59.4 Bray Wanderers 3 1333 23.58% @ Derry City 2 1416 53.91% 22.51%
10 2017-07-28 58.5 Finn Harps 3 1205 20.03% @ Bray Wanderers 2 1329 59.03% 20.94%
11 2017-10-20 57.9 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1313 19.93% Cork City 2 1508 59.17% 20.89%
12 2017-07-29 57.7 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1299 19.84% Dundalk 1 1496 59.31% 20.85%
13 2017-05-12 57.5 @ Galway United 1 1240 15.51% Cork City 1 1499 66.49% 18.00%
14 2017-05-26 57.2 @ Finn Harps 3 1197 24.36% Limerick 2 1342 52.87% 22.77%
15 2017-09-22 57.1 @ Limerick 2 1304 18.65% Cork City 1 1517 61.18% 20.17%
16 2017-06-16 56.0 @ Bray Wanderers 3 1342 34.64% Derry City 2 1399 40.79% 24.56%
17 2017-04-25 55.8 @ Derry City 1 1388 46.75% Limerick 1 1359 29.27% 23.98%
18 2017-10-17 55.7 @ Cork City 0 1509 59.21% Derry City 0 1384 19.91% 20.88%
19 2017-04-28 55.6 @ Galway United 2 1233 16.47% Dundalk 1 1477 64.81% 18.73%
20 2017-05-13 55.5 @ Limerick 1 1347 36.44% Derry City 1 1391 38.93% 24.63%
21 2017-10-27 55.2 @ Derry City 1 1371 49.56% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1322 26.94% 23.50%
22 2017-03-18 55.1 @ Limerick 1 1351 61.51% Finn Harps 1 1206 18.44% 20.05%
23 2017-04-21 55.1 @ Limerick 1 1360 59.58% Galway United 1 1232 19.67% 20.75%
24 2017-10-13 55.1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1369 51.21% Sligo Rovers 1 1307 25.63% 23.16%
25 2017-10-23 55.1 Drogheda United 3 1164 29.79% @ Finn Harps 2 1188 46.14% 24.07%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-09-22 25.2 @ Dundalk 3 1524 81.46% Drogheda United 0 1175 7.99% 10.55%
2 2017-06-23 26.3 @ Dundalk 4 1485 76.09% Finn Harps 0 1200 10.53% 13.38%
3 2017-05-05 26.8 @ Cork City 5 1494 76.55% Finn Harps 0 1204 10.30% 13.15%
4 2017-05-19 27.9 @ Cork City 5 1498 74.35% Drogheda United 0 1232 11.38% 14.27%
5 2017-10-13 28.7 @ Derry City 3 1378 66.10% Finn Harps 0 1193 15.73% 18.17%
6 2017-03-03 28.9 @ Cork City 4 1440 67.34% Galway United 0 1243 15.03% 17.62%
7 2017-03-18 29.7 @ Derry City 4 1408 63.61% Drogheda United 0 1245 17.17% 19.22%
8 2017-06-26 29.7 @ Dundalk 2 1489 73.66% Galway United 0 1230 11.72% 14.61%
9 2017-10-07 29.7 Dundalk 2 1526 73.78% @ Finn Harps 0 1196 11.66% 14.56%
10 2017-08-18 30.9 @ St Patrick's Athletic 4 1307 56.59% Finn Harps 0 1203 21.67% 21.74%
11 2017-04-07 31.0 Dundalk 2 1481 67.76% @ Finn Harps 0 1210 14.80% 17.44%
12 2017-06-16 31.0 Dundalk 6 1474 65.03% @ Drogheda United 0 1228 16.34% 18.63%
13 2017-04-15 31.1 @ Limerick 3 1353 58.23% Drogheda United 0 1236 20.56% 21.21%
14 2017-04-21 31.4 @ Dundalk 2 1473 68.70% Bohemian 0 1264 14.29% 17.01%
15 2017-03-18 31.9 @ Dundalk 3 1476 63.95% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1311 16.97% 19.08%
16 2017-05-12 32.2 Bray Wanderers 3 1354 54.09% @ Finn Harps 0 1199 23.45% 22.46%
17 2017-08-04 32.3 Cork City 1 1531 75.12% @ Drogheda United 0 1186 11.00% 13.88%
18 2017-10-07 32.5 Shamrock Rovers 2 1364 58.92% @ Drogheda United 0 1171 20.10% 20.98%
19 2017-05-12 32.6 @ Dundalk 4 1465 60.86% Sligo Rovers 0 1326 18.85% 20.29%
20 2017-08-04 32.6 @ Dundalk 3 1495 64.25% Limerick 0 1326 16.79% 18.96%
21 2017-08-21 32.7 Cork City 1 1525 73.89% @ Finn Harps 0 1194 11.61% 14.50%
22 2017-09-01 32.8 @ Dundalk 6 1514 67.40% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1317 15.00% 17.60%
23 2017-07-24 33.0 Derry City 2 1400 58.59% @ Finn Harps 0 1210 20.31% 21.09%
24 2017-07-09 33.2 @ Derry City 4 1392 53.75% Sligo Rovers 0 1310 23.70% 22.55%
25 2017-05-05 33.4 @ Derry City 2 1387 58.57% Bohemian 0 1267 20.33% 21.10%