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2018 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

180 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Dundalk

87 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Waterford

6.92 points above expected

59 points · 52.08 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bray Wanderers

7.51 points below expected

18 points · 25.51 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dundalk 36 27 6 3 87 85 20 +65 80.21 +6.79
2 Cork City 36 24 5 7 77 71 27 +44 71.73 +5.27
3 Shamrock Rovers 36 18 8 10 62 57 27 +30 63.13 -1.13
4 Waterford 36 18 5 13 59 52 44 +8 52.08 +6.92
5 St Patrick's Athletic 36 15 5 16 50 51 47 +4 48.14 +1.86
6 Bohemian 36 13 9 14 48 52 45 +7 46.78 +1.22
7 Sligo Rovers 36 12 6 18 42 38 50 -12 40.80 +1.20
8 Derry City 36 13 3 20 42 47 70 -23 49.02 -7.02
9 Limerick 36 7 6 23 27 25 75 -50 32.76 -5.76
10 Bray Wanderers 36 5 3 28 18 23 96 -73 25.51 -7.51

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Waterford 59 52.08 +6.92
2 Dundalk 87 80.21 +6.79
3 Cork City 77 71.73 +5.27
4 St Patrick's Athletic 50 48.14 +1.86
5 Bohemian 48 46.78 +1.22

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bray Wanderers 18 25.51 -7.51
2 Derry City 42 49.02 -7.02
3 Limerick 27 32.76 -5.76
4 Shamrock Rovers 62 63.13 -1.13
5 Sligo Rovers 42 40.80 +1.20

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bohemian 5 Aug 3 – Sep 22 1 in 172
2 Dundalk 13 May 11 – Aug 20 1 in 65
3 Derry City 6 Mar 12 – Apr 16 1 in 30
4 Shamrock Rovers 4 Aug 28 – Sep 22 1 in 17
5 St Patrick's Athletic 4 May 4 – May 18 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St Patrick's Athletic 7 May 22 – Jul 6 1 in 355
2 Bray Wanderers 9 Feb 23 – Apr 13 1 in 254
3 Cork City 3 Aug 31 – Sep 21 1 in 67
4 Shamrock Rovers 3 Apr 6 – Apr 16 1 in 60
5 Bohemian 3 Feb 27 – Mar 12 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derry City 9 Mar 12 – Apr 30 1 in 30
2 Bohemian 5 Aug 3 – Sep 22 1 in 23
3 Waterford 6 Apr 20 – May 14 1 in 14
4 Shamrock Rovers 7 Aug 28 – Oct 19 1 in 11
5 Sligo Rovers 3 Apr 21 – Apr 30 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cork City 5 Aug 19 – Oct 5 1 in 92
2 Shamrock Rovers 5 Apr 6 – Apr 27 1 in 57
3 St Patrick's Athletic 7 May 22 – Jul 6 1 in 33
4 Bray Wanderers 10 Feb 16 – Apr 13 1 in 29
5 Bohemian 6 Feb 24 – Mar 19 1 in 22

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dundalk 1658 87 +8 11 12.2 -1.2
Cork City 1509 77 +17 10 9.7 +0.3
Shamrock Rovers 1463 62 -19 10 10.2 -0.2
Waterford 1332 59 +44 9 6.1 +2.9
St Patrick's Athletic 1335 50 +47 7 6.4 +0.6
Bohemian 1382 48 +8 8 8.2 -0.2
Sligo Rovers 1325 42 +22 7 6.0 +1.0
Derry City 1117 42 -61 3 5.1 -2.1
Limerick 1039 27 -41 3 4.5 -1.5
Bray Wanderers 975 18 -30 3 3.1 -0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH BW CC DC DUN LIM SR SR SPA WAT
Bohemian —
4-0-0
8.09
1-0-3
2.64
1-0-3
5.74
0-1-3
1.97
1-3-0
6.73
3-1-0
3.79
1-2-1
6.05
2-1-1
5.89
0-1-3
5.13
Bray Wanderers
0-0-4
3.27
—
0-0-4
1.40
2-0-2
2.48
0-1-3
1.62
0-0-4
4.94
1-0-3
2.65
1-0-3
3.51
1-0-3
3.89
0-2-2
2.31
Cork City
3-0-1
8.72
4-0-0
10.03
—
3-1-0
8.48
1-0-3
4.42
3-1-0
9.43
1-2-1
6.78
3-0-1
8.75
3-1-0
8.06
3-0-1
8.19
Derry City
3-0-1
5.61
2-0-2
8.89
0-1-3
2.89
—
0-1-3
2.55
4-0-0
7.26
0-1-3
4.13
1-0-3
6.58
2-0-2
5.60
1-0-3
6.06
Dundalk
3-1-0
9.42
3-1-0
9.82
3-0-1
6.92
3-1-0
8.84
—
4-0-0
9.66
2-1-1
8.02
4-0-0
9.46
2-2-0
9.34
3-0-1
8.92
Limerick
0-3-1
4.62
4-0-0
6.40
0-1-3
1.97
0-0-4
4.09
0-0-4
1.76
—
0-1-3
2.39
1-1-2
4.61
0-0-4
3.69
2-0-2
2.85
Shamrock Rovers
0-1-3
7.56
3-0-1
8.73
1-2-1
4.56
3-1-0
7.23
1-1-2
3.33
3-1-0
8.99
—
2-1-1
8.33
3-0-1
7.26
2-1-1
7.06
Sligo Rovers
1-2-1
5.29
3-0-1
7.85
1-0-3
2.62
3-0-1
4.76
0-0-4
1.93
2-1-1
6.73
1-1-2
3.03
—
1-1-2
4.79
0-1-3
4.98
St Patrick's Athletic
1-1-2
5.46
3-0-1
7.47
0-1-3
3.31
2-0-2
5.74
0-2-2
2.05
4-0-0
7.66
1-0-3
4.08
2-1-1
6.56
—
2-0-2
5.18
Waterford
3-1-0
6.22
2-2-0
9.06
1-0-3
3.17
3-0-1
5.29
1-0-3
2.45
2-0-2
8.52
1-1-2
4.29
3-1-0
6.37
2-0-2
6.17
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.96 +10.9
Allowed 0.88 -8.2
Differential 0.97 +5.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%8.61%7.22%4.17%1.67%3.89%32.22%
18.61%6.67%9.44%3.33%0.83%0.83%29.72%
27.22%9.44%2.22%0.83%0.56%0.56%20.83%
34.17%3.33%0.83%——0.28%8.61%
41.67%0.83%0.56%———3.06%
5+3.89%0.83%0.56%0.28%——5.56%
Total32.22%29.72%20.83%8.61%3.06%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.34
CV 1.04 1.04 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%13.89%8.33%8.33%——33.33%
15.56%16.67%2.78%5.56%——30.56%
25.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
3—8.33%————8.33%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+8.33%—————8.33%
Total22.22%44.44%19.44%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.25 +0.19
SD 1.59 0.97 2.18
CV 1.10 0.77 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%8.33%5.56%16.67%52.78%
12.78%—16.67%8.33%—5.56%33.33%
2—8.33%2.78%———11.11%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%16.67%30.56%16.67%5.56%22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.64 2.67 -2.03
SD 0.80 1.71 2.13
CV 1.25 0.64 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%—2.78%——16.67%
113.89%5.56%8.33%———27.78%
211.11%5.56%——2.78%—19.44%
311.11%5.56%2.78%———19.44%
45.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total52.78%27.78%13.89%2.78%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 0.75 +1.22
SD 1.46 1.00 1.84
CV 0.74 1.33 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%2.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%5.56%30.56%
18.33%—16.67%—2.78%2.78%30.56%
25.56%11.11%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%27.78%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
4———————
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total25.00%19.44%27.78%5.56%11.11%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.94 -0.64
SD 1.28 1.72 2.46
CV 0.98 0.89 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%————11.11%
111.11%5.56%5.56%———22.22%
216.67%11.11%2.78%———30.56%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
45.56%2.78%————8.33%
5+11.11%—2.78%———13.89%
Total58.33%27.78%13.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 0.56 +1.81
SD 1.76 0.73 1.95
CV 0.75 1.32 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%8.33%8.33%5.56%11.11%52.78%
18.33%11.11%11.11%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
22.78%5.56%————8.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total16.67%30.56%19.44%13.89%8.33%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 2.08 -1.39
SD 1.12 1.81 2.27
CV 1.61 0.87 —
Max 6 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%5.56%———27.78%
116.67%8.33%8.33%2.78%——36.11%
28.33%2.78%———2.78%13.89%
38.33%2.78%————11.11%
4———————
5+8.33%2.78%————11.11%
Total55.56%25.00%13.89%2.78%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.75 +0.83
SD 1.70 1.11 2.16
CV 1.07 1.47 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%11.11%19.44%——2.78%41.67%
1—5.56%11.11%—2.78%—19.44%
25.56%19.44%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%38.89%33.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.39 -0.33
SD 1.04 1.10 1.72
CV 0.99 0.79 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%—2.78%30.56%
111.11%5.56%5.56%11.11%——33.33%
25.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%——19.44%
35.56%—————5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+5.56%—2.78%———8.33%
Total36.11%25.00%16.67%19.44%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.31 +0.11
SD 1.48 1.31 2.28
CV 1.05 1.00 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%5.56%5.56%——25.00%
18.33%8.33%8.33%2.78%——27.78%
211.11%16.67%2.78%———30.56%
32.78%2.78%2.78%——2.78%11.11%
42.78%2.78%————5.56%
5+———————
Total27.78%41.67%19.44%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.22 +0.22
SD 1.16 1.22 1.76
CV 0.80 1.00 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dundalk 1658 87 80.21 +6.79 88.0% 66 70 77 80 84 91 92
Cork City 1509 77 71.73 +5.27 75.0% 45 55 67 72 77 85 89
Shamrock Rovers 1463 62 63.13 -1.13 49.0% 39 50 58 63 70 75 82
Bohemian 1382 48 46.78 +1.22 55.0% 28 33 42 47 52 58 63
St Patrick's Athletic 1335 50 48.14 +1.86 63.0% 27 33 44 49 52 60 68
Waterford 1332 59 52.08 +6.92 85.0% 32 40 47 53 56 62 68
Sligo Rovers 1325 42 40.80 +1.20 57.0% 22 27 35 41 46 53 58
Derry City 1117 42 49.02 -7.02 19.0% 30 35 43 49 55 60 68
Limerick 1023 27 32.76 -5.76 22.0% 14 21 28 33 37 43 48
Bray Wanderers 975 18 25.51 -7.51 11.0% 13 16 21 25 29 35 41

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.22%
Slight Edge
48.33%15.56%36.11%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 42.68 Elo pts.
165 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.46 goals
Neutral
-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.7
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
73%
Dundalk, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.28/gm
Runaway
00.260.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.88 * Some Luck: 5.88 to 8.82 * Lucky: 8.82 to 11.76 * Wild Swing: 11.76 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.71 * Close: 0.71 to 1.07 * Off: 1.07 to 1.43 * Way Off: 1.43 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.18 points
As Expected
07.3518
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.60
Pinpoint
00.892
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
88.00%
Dundalk
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
11.00%
Bray Wanderers
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 214.39
2.53
Wide Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
83%
Wide Edge
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Some Drama
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
24%
Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.59
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.43
Some Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.66
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.062
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

Drogheda United 4
Shelbourne 3

Leg 1: Drogheda United 0-1 Shelbourne

Leg 2: Shelbourne 2-4 Drogheda United

Semifinals

Finn Harps 3
Drogheda United 1

Leg 1: Drogheda United 1-1 Finn Harps

Leg 2: Finn Harps 2-0 Drogheda United

Finals

Finn Harps 3
Limerick 0

Leg 1: Finn Harps 1-0 Limerick

Leg 2: Limerick 0-2 Finn Harps

Sim: 8.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Dundalk73.00%23.00%4.00%———————
Cork City23.00%55.00%15.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%————
Shamrock Rovers4.00%20.00%50.00%16.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%——
Waterford—1.00%11.00%29.00%27.00%14.00%12.00%3.00%3.00%—
St Patrick's Athletic——5.00%13.00%23.00%26.00%16.00%10.00%6.00%1.00%
Bohemian——10.00%10.00%19.00%23.00%17.00%15.00%5.00%1.00%
Sligo Rovers———6.00%6.00%14.00%17.00%37.00%12.00%8.00%
Derry City—1.00%5.00%22.00%18.00%17.00%22.00%12.00%3.00%—
Limerick————1.00%2.00%13.00%18.00%51.00%15.00%
Bray Wanderers——————2.00%3.00%20.00%75.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Cork City 100% — —
Dundalk 100% — —
Shamrock Rovers 100% — —
Derry City 97.00% 3.00% —
Waterford 97.00% 3.00% —
Bohemian 94.00% 5.00% 1.00%
St Patrick's Athletic 93.00% 6.00% 1.00%
Sligo Rovers 80.00% 12.00% 8.00%
Bray Wanderers 5.00% 20.00% 75.00%
Limerick — 100% —
Loser →
↓ Winner
BohemianBray WanderersCabinteelyCobh RamblersDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLimerickLongford TownShelbourneSligo RoversSt Patrick's AthleticUC Dublin
Bohemian
Bray Wanderers
Cabinteely
Cobh Ramblers
Drogheda United
Finn Harps
Galway United
Limerick
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athletic
UC Dublin
Loser →
↓ Winner
BohemianBray WanderersCabinteelyCobh RamblersDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLimerickLongford TownShelbourneSligo RoversSt Patrick's AthleticUC Dublin
Bohemian
Bray Wanderers
Cabinteely
Cobh Ramblers
Drogheda United
Finn Harps
Galway United
Limerick
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athletic
UC Dublin
Loser →
↓ Winner
BohemianBray WanderersCabinteelyDerry CityDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLimerickLongford TownShelbourneSligo RoversSt Patrick's AthleticUC DublinWaterford
Bohemian0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Bray Wanderers0.0%3.00%0.0%5.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%6.00%20.0%5.00%
Cabinteely
Derry City0.0%2.00%
Drogheda United100.0%3.00%66.7%6.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Finn Harps100.0%5.00%72.7%11.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Galway United100.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%
Limerick33.3%6.00%27.3%11.00%0.0%4.00%33.3%3.00%12.5%16.00%20.0%15.00%
Longford Town100.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Shelbourne100.0%6.00%100.0%2.00%87.5%16.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Sligo Rovers0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%
St Patrick's Athletic0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
UC Dublin66.7%3.00%80.0%5.00%80.0%15.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Waterford0.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
Finn Harps — 49.92% 42.70%
Shelbourne 60.46% 32.61% 28.22%
Drogheda United 39.54% 17.47% 14.72%
Limerick — — 14.36%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Drogheda UnitedLimerickShelbourne
Drogheda United
Limerick
Shelbourne
Loser →
↓ Winner
Drogheda UnitedFinn HarpsLimerickShelbourne
Drogheda United
Finn Harps
Limerick
Shelbourne
Loser →
↓ Winner
Drogheda UnitedFinn HarpsLimerickShelbourne
Drogheda United84.3%17.47%
Finn Harps85.5%49.92%
Limerick15.7%17.47%14.5%49.92%13.5%32.61%
Shelbourne86.5%32.61%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2018-02-16 Bray Wanderers D 0-053.7 1419 1310 61.35% 16.19% 22.46%+0.92 -3.9 1
2018-02-16 @ Dundalk D 0-053.7 1310 1419 22.46% 16.19% 61.35%-0.92 +3.9 1
2018-02-16 Cork City L 2-351.4 1293 1397 33.55% 16.45% 50.00%-0.37 -12.0 0
2018-02-16 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-251.4 1397 1293 50.00% 16.45% 33.55%+0.37 +12.0 3
2018-02-16 Derry City W 2-150.0 1220 1322 33.82% 16.46% 49.72%-0.36 +17.7 3
2018-02-16 @ Waterford L 1-250.0 1322 1220 49.72% 16.46% 33.82%+0.36 -17.7 0
2018-02-16 Shamrock Rovers W 3-145.6 1278 1319 42.41% 16.50% 41.09%+0.01 +26.0 3
2018-02-16 @ Bohemian L 1-345.6 1319 1278 41.09% 16.50% 42.41%-0.01 -26.0 0
2018-02-17 Limerick L 0-144.5 1291 1285 48.89% 16.46% 34.65%+0.30 -18.5 0
2018-02-17 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-044.5 1285 1291 34.65% 16.46% 48.89%-0.30 +18.5 3
2018-02-23 Derry City W 2-147.3 1273 1304 43.62% 16.50% 39.89%+0.07 +14.6 3
2018-02-23 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-247.3 1304 1273 39.89% 16.50% 43.62%-0.07 -14.7 0
2018-02-23 Dundalk D 0-053.4 1293 1415 31.23% 16.42% 52.36%-0.48 +2.0 1
2018-02-23 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-053.4 1415 1293 52.36% 16.42% 31.23%+0.48 -2.0 2
2018-02-23 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-251.1 1313 1281 52.38% 16.42% 31.20%+0.46 -18.6 1
2018-02-23 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-151.1 1281 1313 31.20% 16.42% 52.38%-0.46 +18.6 3
2018-02-23 Waterford W 2-032.8 1409 1238 67.26% 15.90% 16.85%+1.30 +13.6 6
2018-02-23 @ Cork City L 0-232.8 1238 1409 16.85% 15.90% 67.26%-1.30 -13.6 3
2018-02-24 Bohemian D 1-156.9 1303 1304 47.90% 16.47% 35.62%+0.25 -1.1 4
2018-02-24 @ Limerick D 1-156.9 1304 1303 35.62% 16.47% 47.90%-0.25 +1.0 4
2018-02-26 Bray Wanderers W 6-035.6 1295 1295 48.04% 16.47% 35.49%+0.26 +73.7 4
2018-02-26 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-635.6 1295 1295 35.49% 16.47% 48.04%-0.26 -73.7 1
2018-02-26 Cork City L 1-440.8 1287 1423 29.61% 16.39% 54.00%-0.56 -27.8 3
2018-02-26 @ Sligo Rovers W 4-140.8 1423 1287 54.00% 16.39% 29.61%+0.56 +27.8 9
2018-02-26 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-041.0 1224 1299 37.46% 16.49% 46.05%-0.20 +33.1 6
2018-02-26 @ Waterford L 0-241.0 1299 1224 46.05% 16.49% 37.46%+0.20 -33.1 3
2018-02-27 Derry City L 0-145.0 1306 1290 50.17% 16.45% 33.38%+0.35 -18.9 4
2018-02-27 @ Bohemian W 1-045.0 1290 1306 33.38% 16.45% 50.17%-0.35 +18.9 3
2018-02-27 Limerick W 8-033.3 1413 1302 61.48% 16.18% 22.33%+0.93 +64.4 5
2018-02-27 @ Dundalk L 0-833.3 1302 1413 22.33% 16.18% 61.48%-0.93 -64.4 4
2018-03-09 Bray Wanderers W 1-039.3 1238 1221 50.29% 16.45% 33.26%+0.36 +13.3 7
2018-03-09 @ Limerick L 0-139.3 1221 1238 33.26% 16.45% 50.29%-0.36 -13.3 1
2018-03-09 Cork City W 1-045.9 1477 1450 51.66% 16.43% 31.91%+0.42 +12.8 8
2018-03-09 @ Dundalk L 0-145.9 1450 1477 31.91% 16.43% 51.66%-0.42 -12.8 9
2018-03-09 Derry City W 6-136.5 1368 1309 55.75% 16.35% 27.90%+0.62 +41.7 7
2018-03-09 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-636.5 1309 1368 27.90% 16.35% 55.75%-0.62 -41.7 3
2018-03-09 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-144.9 1287 1266 50.78% 16.44% 32.77%+0.38 -19.1 4
2018-03-09 @ Bohemian W 1-044.9 1266 1287 32.77% 16.44% 50.78%-0.38 +19.1 6
2018-03-09 Waterford L 1-249.5 1259 1257 48.37% 16.47% 35.16%+0.27 -17.3 3
2018-03-09 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-149.5 1257 1259 35.16% 16.47% 48.37%-0.27 +17.3 9
2018-03-12 Bohemian W 1-040.0 1274 1267 48.99% 16.46% 34.55%+0.30 +13.7 12
2018-03-12 @ Waterford L 0-140.0 1267 1274 34.55% 16.46% 48.99%-0.30 -13.8 4
2018-03-12 Dundalk D 0-054.6 1285 1490 21.88% 16.16% 61.95%-0.98 +4.0 7
2018-03-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-054.6 1490 1285 61.95% 16.16% 21.88%+0.98 -4.0 9
2018-03-12 Limerick W 5-034.4 1267 1251 50.17% 16.45% 33.38%+0.35 +58.8 6
2018-03-12 @ Derry City L 0-534.4 1251 1267 33.38% 16.45% 50.17%-0.35 -58.9 7
2018-03-12 Shamrock Rovers W 1-043.4 1437 1410 51.68% 16.43% 31.89%+0.42 +12.8 12
2018-03-12 @ Cork City L 0-143.4 1410 1437 31.89% 16.43% 51.68%-0.42 -12.8 7
2018-03-12 Sligo Rovers L 1-247.8 1208 1242 43.27% 16.50% 40.23%+0.05 -15.7 1
2018-03-12 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-147.8 1242 1208 40.23% 16.50% 43.27%-0.05 +15.7 6
2018-03-16 Bray Wanderers W 5-134.4 1326 1192 63.80% 16.08% 20.11%+1.07 +25.4 9
2018-03-16 @ Derry City L 1-534.4 1192 1326 20.11% 16.08% 63.80%-1.07 -25.4 1
2018-03-16 Cork City D 1-157.3 1192 1450 17.10% 15.91% 66.99%-1.30 +4.6 8
2018-03-16 @ Limerick D 1-157.3 1450 1192 66.99% 15.91% 17.10%+1.30 -4.6 13
2018-03-16 Sligo Rovers D 2-262.1 1254 1258 47.49% 16.48% 36.03%+0.23 -0.7 5
2018-03-16 @ Bohemian D 2-262.1 1258 1254 36.03% 16.48% 47.49%-0.23 +0.7 7
2018-03-16 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-037.4 1397 1289 61.20% 16.19% 22.60%+0.91 +9.5 10
2018-03-16 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-137.4 1289 1397 22.60% 16.19% 61.20%-0.91 -9.5 7
2018-03-16 Waterford W 1-036.3 1486 1288 69.46% 15.74% 14.80%+1.46 +6.4 12
2018-03-16 @ Dundalk L 0-136.3 1288 1486 14.80% 15.74% 69.46%-1.46 -6.4 12
2018-03-19 Bohemian W 3-031.1 1446 1253 69.03% 15.77% 15.19%+1.43 +17.9 16
2018-03-19 @ Cork City L 0-331.1 1253 1446 15.19% 15.77% 69.03%-1.43 -17.9 5
2018-03-19 Shamrock Rovers L 0-136.3 1197 1407 21.40% 16.14% 62.46%-1.01 -9.0 8
2018-03-19 @ Limerick W 1-036.3 1407 1197 62.46% 16.14% 21.40%+1.01 +9.0 13
2018-03-23 Bray Wanderers W 2-142.7 1235 1167 56.75% 16.33% 26.92%+0.67 +10.4 8
2018-03-23 @ Bohemian L 1-242.7 1167 1235 26.92% 16.33% 56.75%-0.67 -10.4 1
2018-03-23 Limerick W 1-036.6 1280 1188 59.47% 16.25% 24.28%+0.82 +10.1 10
2018-03-23 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-136.6 1188 1280 24.28% 16.25% 59.47%-0.82 -10.1 8
2018-03-23 Shamrock Rovers W 2-152.5 1282 1416 29.76% 16.39% 53.85%-0.55 +19.0 15
2018-03-23 @ Waterford L 1-252.5 1416 1282 53.85% 16.39% 29.76%+0.55 -19.0 13
2018-03-24 Dundalk L 0-234.9 1259 1493 19.14% 16.03% 64.83%-1.16 -15.3 7
2018-03-24 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-034.9 1493 1259 64.83% 16.03% 19.14%+1.16 +15.3 15
2018-03-30 Bohemian W 3-030.4 1508 1245 73.94% 15.31% 10.75%+1.85 +12.9 18
2018-03-30 @ Dundalk L 0-330.4 1245 1508 10.75% 15.31% 73.94%-1.85 -12.9 8
2018-03-30 Cork City L 0-428.8 1156 1464 13.46% 15.62% 70.92%-1.60 -20.9 1
2018-03-30 @ Bray Wanderers W 4-028.8 1464 1156 70.92% 15.62% 13.46%+1.60 +20.9 19
2018-03-30 Sligo Rovers W 1-035.6 1397 1243 65.68% 15.99% 18.33%+1.19 +7.8 16
2018-03-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-135.6 1243 1397 18.33% 15.99% 65.68%-1.19 -7.8 7
2018-03-30 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-144.0 1351 1290 55.92% 16.35% 27.73%+0.63 +10.7 12
2018-03-30 @ Derry City L 1-244.0 1290 1351 27.73% 16.35% 55.92%-0.63 -10.7 10
2018-03-30 Waterford L 0-236.4 1178 1301 31.15% 16.42% 52.44%-0.49 -23.7 8
2018-03-30 @ Limerick W 2-036.4 1301 1178 52.44% 16.42% 31.15%+0.49 +23.7 18
2018-04-06 Bray Wanderers W 5-029.7 1279 1136 64.77% 16.04% 19.19%+1.13 +35.9 13
2018-04-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-529.7 1136 1279 19.19% 16.04% 64.77%-1.13 -35.9 1
2018-04-06 Cork City W 2-155.4 1324 1485 26.67% 16.32% 57.00%-0.71 +20.1 21
2018-04-06 @ Waterford L 1-255.4 1485 1324 57.00% 16.32% 26.67%+0.71 -20.1 19
2018-04-06 Limerick D 0-051.6 1233 1154 57.95% 16.30% 25.75%+0.73 -3.2 9
2018-04-06 @ Bohemian D 0-051.6 1154 1233 25.75% 16.30% 57.95%-0.73 +3.2 9
2018-04-06 Shamrock Rovers W 2-148.2 1521 1405 62.07% 16.16% 21.77%+0.96 +8.6 21
2018-04-06 @ Dundalk L 1-248.2 1405 1521 21.77% 16.16% 62.07%-0.96 -8.6 16
2018-04-07 Derry City L 0-236.8 1235 1362 30.70% 16.41% 52.89%-0.51 -23.4 7
2018-04-07 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-036.8 1362 1235 52.89% 16.41% 30.70%+0.51 +23.4 15
2018-04-13 Bohemian L 1-255.5 1396 1229 66.84% 15.92% 17.24%+1.27 -23.5 16
2018-04-13 @ Shamrock Rovers W 2-155.5 1229 1396 17.24% 15.92% 66.84%-1.27 +23.5 12
2018-04-13 Dundalk L 0-229.4 1100 1529 7.23% 14.68% 78.09%-2.35 -6.0 1
2018-04-13 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-029.4 1529 1100 78.09% 14.68% 7.23%+2.35 +6.0 24
2018-04-13 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-037.7 1464 1315 65.30% 16.01% 18.69%+1.16 +8.0 22
2018-04-13 @ Cork City L 0-137.7 1315 1464 18.69% 16.01% 65.30%-1.16 -8.0 13
2018-04-13 Waterford W 1-040.4 1385 1345 53.40% 16.40% 30.19%+0.51 +12.2 18
2018-04-13 @ Derry City L 0-140.4 1345 1385 30.19% 16.40% 53.40%-0.51 -12.2 21
2018-04-14 Sligo Rovers L 1-246.8 1157 1212 40.34% 16.50% 43.16%-0.07 -14.8 9
2018-04-14 @ Limerick W 2-146.8 1212 1157 43.16% 16.50% 40.34%+0.07 +14.8 10
2018-04-16 Bohemian W 3-139.3 1398 1253 64.86% 16.03% 19.11%+1.14 +13.2 21
2018-04-16 @ Derry City L 1-339.3 1253 1398 19.11% 16.03% 64.86%-1.14 -13.2 12
2018-04-16 Shamrock Rovers W 1-049.8 1094 1372 15.47% 15.80% 68.74%-1.43 +25.6 4
2018-04-16 @ Bray Wanderers L 0-149.8 1372 1094 68.74% 15.80% 15.47%+1.43 -25.6 16
2018-04-16 Waterford W 1-041.9 1307 1332 44.57% 16.49% 38.93%+0.11 +15.2 16
2018-04-16 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-141.9 1332 1307 38.93% 16.49% 44.57%-0.11 -15.2 21
2018-04-17 Dundalk L 0-328.7 1143 1535 8.74% 15.00% 76.26%-2.12 -10.5 9
2018-04-17 @ Limerick W 3-028.7 1535 1143 76.26% 15.00% 8.74%+2.12 +10.5 27
2018-04-17 Sligo Rovers W 1-034.1 1472 1227 72.87% 15.43% 11.70%+1.75 +5.1 25
2018-04-17 @ Cork City L 0-134.1 1227 1472 11.70% 15.43% 72.87%-1.75 -5.1 10
2018-04-20 Bray Wanderers W 3-029.3 1317 1119 69.44% 15.74% 14.82%+1.46 +17.5 24
2018-04-20 @ Waterford L 0-329.3 1119 1317 14.82% 15.74% 69.44%-1.46 -17.5 4
2018-04-20 Cork City L 0-234.3 1240 1478 18.80% 16.02% 65.18%-1.18 -15.1 12
2018-04-20 @ Bohemian W 2-034.3 1478 1240 65.18% 16.02% 18.80%+1.18 +15.1 28
2018-04-20 Derry City D 2-270.1 1546 1411 63.95% 16.08% 19.97%+1.08 -3.0 28
2018-04-20 @ Dundalk D 2-270.1 1411 1546 19.97% 16.08% 63.95%-1.08 +3.0 22
2018-04-20 Limerick D 1-156.5 1347 1132 70.73% 15.64% 13.64%+1.56 -5.3 17
2018-04-20 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-156.5 1132 1347 13.64% 15.64% 70.73%-1.56 +5.3 10
2018-04-21 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-052.0 1222 1322 34.01% 16.46% 49.53%-0.35 +1.5 11
2018-04-21 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-052.0 1322 1222 49.53% 16.46% 34.01%+0.35 -1.5 17
2018-04-27 Bohemian D 2-262.3 1321 1225 59.95% 16.24% 23.81%+0.84 -2.4 18
2018-04-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 2-262.3 1225 1321 23.81% 16.24% 59.95%-0.84 +2.4 13
2018-04-27 Dundalk W 1-053.1 1493 1543 40.96% 16.50% 42.54%-0.05 +16.4 31
2018-04-27 @ Cork City L 0-153.1 1543 1493 42.54% 16.50% 40.96%+0.05 -16.4 28
2018-04-27 Limerick L 0-142.0 1102 1137 43.09% 16.50% 40.41%+0.04 -16.6 4
2018-04-27 @ Bray Wanderers W 1-042.0 1137 1102 40.41% 16.50% 43.09%-0.04 +16.6 13
2018-04-27 Shamrock Rovers D 0-054.2 1414 1342 57.22% 16.32% 26.46%+0.70 -3.0 23
2018-04-27 @ Derry City D 0-054.2 1342 1414 26.46% 16.32% 57.22%-0.70 +3.0 18
2018-04-27 Sligo Rovers D 1-156.6 1335 1223 61.56% 16.18% 22.26%+0.93 -3.5 25
2018-04-27 @ Waterford D 1-156.6 1223 1335 22.26% 16.18% 61.56%-0.93 +3.5 12
2018-04-30 Bray Wanderers W 2-140.3 1227 1085 64.57% 16.05% 19.39%+1.12 +7.8 15
2018-04-30 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-240.3 1085 1227 19.39% 16.05% 64.57%-1.12 -7.8 4
2018-04-30 Cork City W 3-047.0 1345 1509 26.19% 16.31% 57.50%-0.74 +58.8 21
2018-04-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-347.0 1509 1345 57.50% 16.31% 26.19%+0.74 -58.8 31
2018-04-30 Derry City L 0-330.6 1154 1411 17.19% 15.92% 66.90%-1.30 -20.1 13
2018-04-30 @ Limerick W 3-030.6 1411 1154 66.90% 15.92% 17.19%+1.30 +20.1 26
2018-04-30 St Patrick's Athletic W 5-032.6 1527 1319 70.22% 15.68% 14.10%+1.52 +26.9 31
2018-04-30 @ Dundalk L 0-532.6 1319 1527 14.10% 15.68% 70.22%-1.52 -26.9 18
2018-04-30 Waterford L 0-139.8 1227 1331 33.57% 16.45% 49.98%-0.37 -13.4 13
2018-04-30 @ Bohemian W 1-039.8 1331 1227 49.98% 16.45% 33.57%+0.37 +13.4 28
2018-05-04 Derry City W 2-156.8 1077 1431 10.69% 15.30% 74.01%-1.88 +26.0 7
2018-05-04 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-256.8 1431 1077 74.01% 15.30% 10.69%+1.88 -26.0 26
2018-05-04 Dundalk W 2-159.4 1345 1554 21.48% 16.15% 62.37%-1.01 +21.9 31
2018-05-04 @ Waterford L 1-259.4 1554 1345 62.37% 16.15% 21.48%+1.01 -21.9 31
2018-05-04 Shamrock Rovers W 2-043.8 1292 1403 32.57% 16.44% 50.99%-0.42 +36.2 21
2018-05-04 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-243.8 1403 1292 50.99% 16.44% 32.57%+0.42 -36.2 21
2018-05-05 Bohemian L 0-242.2 1234 1214 50.85% 16.44% 32.71%+0.39 -36.1 15
2018-05-05 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-042.2 1214 1234 32.71% 16.44% 50.85%-0.39 +36.1 16
2018-05-05 Limerick W 2-137.3 1450 1134 76.95% 14.89% 8.17%+2.18 +3.4 34
2018-05-05 @ Cork City L 1-237.3 1134 1450 8.17% 14.89% 76.95%-2.18 -3.4 13
2018-05-11 Bohemian L 1-341.0 1103 1250 28.29% 16.36% 55.35%-0.63 -18.9 7
2018-05-11 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-141.0 1250 1103 55.35% 16.36% 28.29%+0.63 +18.9 19
2018-05-11 Cork City D 0-056.5 1405 1454 41.20% 16.50% 42.30%-0.04 +0.1 27
2018-05-11 @ Derry City D 0-056.5 1454 1405 42.30% 16.50% 41.20%+0.04 -0.1 35
2018-05-11 Sligo Rovers W 2-138.5 1532 1198 77.77% 14.74% 7.49%+2.28 +3.1 34
2018-05-11 @ Dundalk L 1-238.5 1198 1532 7.49% 14.74% 77.77%-2.28 -3.1 15
2018-05-11 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-136.0 1130 1328 22.63% 16.19% 61.18%-0.94 -9.5 13
2018-05-11 @ Limerick W 1-036.0 1328 1130 61.18% 16.19% 22.63%+0.94 +9.5 24
2018-05-11 Waterford D 1-158.2 1367 1366 48.16% 16.47% 35.37%+0.26 -1.1 22
2018-05-11 @ Shamrock Rovers D 1-158.2 1366 1367 35.37% 16.47% 48.16%-0.26 +1.1 32
2018-05-14 Dundalk L 1-446.8 1405 1535 30.29% 16.40% 53.30%-0.53 -28.3 27
2018-05-14 @ Derry City W 4-146.8 1535 1405 53.30% 16.40% 30.29%+0.53 +28.3 37
2018-05-14 Waterford D 2-262.1 1085 1368 15.16% 15.77% 69.07%-1.46 +3.7 8
2018-05-14 @ Bray Wanderers D 2-262.1 1368 1085 69.07% 15.77% 15.16%+1.46 -3.7 33
2018-05-15 Sligo Rovers W 2-032.9 1337 1195 64.62% 16.05% 19.34%+1.12 +15.5 27
2018-05-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-232.9 1195 1337 19.34% 16.05% 64.62%-1.12 -15.5 15
2018-05-18 Bray Wanderers W 4-025.9 1453 1088 79.20% 14.46% 6.34%+2.47 +10.0 38
2018-05-18 @ Cork City L 0-425.9 1088 1453 6.34% 14.46% 79.20%-2.47 -10.0 8
2018-05-18 Derry City W 5-246.6 1353 1377 44.75% 16.49% 38.75%+0.11 +30.3 30
2018-05-18 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 2-546.6 1377 1353 38.75% 16.49% 44.75%-0.11 -30.3 27
2018-05-18 Dundalk L 0-235.1 1269 1563 14.33% 15.70% 69.97%-1.53 -11.7 19
2018-05-18 @ Bohemian W 2-035.1 1563 1269 69.97% 15.70% 14.33%+1.53 +11.7 40
2018-05-18 Limerick L 3-655.6 1364 1121 72.69% 15.45% 11.86%+1.73 -50.2 33
2018-05-18 @ Waterford W 6-355.6 1121 1364 11.86% 15.45% 72.69%-1.73 +50.2 16
2018-05-19 Shamrock Rovers D 0-052.1 1180 1366 23.79% 16.24% 59.97%-0.87 +3.6 16
2018-05-19 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-052.1 1366 1180 59.97% 16.24% 23.79%+0.87 -3.6 23
2018-05-21 Bray Wanderers W 2-029.7 1346 1078 74.27% 15.27% 10.46%+1.88 +8.6 30
2018-05-21 @ Derry City L 0-229.7 1078 1346 10.46% 15.27% 74.27%-1.88 -8.6 8
2018-05-21 Cork City L 0-232.0 1171 1463 14.48% 15.71% 69.80%-1.51 -11.8 16
2018-05-21 @ Limerick W 2-032.0 1463 1171 69.80% 15.71% 14.48%+1.51 +11.8 41
2018-05-21 Waterford W 2-035.6 1575 1314 73.85% 15.32% 10.83%+1.84 +8.9 43
2018-05-21 @ Dundalk L 0-235.6 1314 1575 10.83% 15.32% 73.85%-1.84 -8.9 33
2018-05-22 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-038.9 1363 1383 45.20% 16.49% 38.30%+0.13 +41.1 26
2018-05-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-338.9 1383 1363 38.30% 16.49% 45.20%-0.13 -41.1 30
2018-05-25 Bray Wanderers W 5-025.0 1584 1070 84.14% 12.97% 2.89%+3.37 +5.5 46
2018-05-25 @ Dundalk L 0-525.0 1070 1584 2.89% 12.97% 84.14%-3.37 -5.5 8
2018-05-25 Cork City L 1-345.3 1342 1475 29.87% 16.40% 53.74%-0.55 -19.8 30
2018-05-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-145.3 1475 1342 53.74% 16.40% 29.87%+0.55 +19.8 44
2018-05-25 Derry City W 4-038.2 1305 1355 40.99% 16.50% 42.52%-0.05 +58.6 36
2018-05-25 @ Waterford L 0-438.2 1355 1305 42.52% 16.50% 40.99%+0.05 -58.6 30
2018-05-25 Limerick D 0-051.5 1183 1159 51.27% 16.44% 32.30%+0.40 -1.8 17
2018-05-25 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-051.5 1159 1183 32.30% 16.44% 51.27%-0.40 +1.8 17
2018-05-25 Shamrock Rovers D 1-157.3 1257 1404 28.23% 16.36% 55.41%-0.63 +2.4 20
2018-05-25 @ Bohemian D 1-157.3 1404 1257 55.41% 16.36% 28.23%+0.63 -2.4 27
2018-06-01 Bohemian D 1-156.1 1161 1259 34.35% 16.46% 49.19%-0.34 +1.3 18
2018-06-01 @ Limerick D 1-156.1 1259 1161 49.19% 16.46% 34.35%+0.34 -1.3 21
2018-06-01 Dundalk L 2-549.3 1401 1589 23.63% 16.23% 60.14%-0.88 -19.7 27
2018-06-01 @ Shamrock Rovers W 5-249.3 1589 1401 60.14% 16.23% 23.63%+0.88 +19.7 49
2018-06-01 Sligo Rovers L 0-245.5 1296 1182 61.91% 16.17% 21.92%+0.95 -43.5 30
2018-06-01 @ Derry City W 2-045.5 1182 1296 21.92% 16.17% 61.91%-0.95 +43.5 20
2018-06-01 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-152.5 1064 1322 17.09% 15.91% 67.00%-1.31 +40.8 11
2018-06-01 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-352.5 1322 1064 67.00% 15.91% 17.09%+1.31 -40.8 30
2018-06-01 Waterford W 3-035.9 1495 1363 63.62% 16.09% 20.29%+1.06 +23.5 47
2018-06-01 @ Cork City L 0-335.9 1363 1495 20.29% 16.09% 63.62%-1.06 -23.5 36
2018-06-04 Derry City W 4-242.2 1519 1253 74.13% 15.29% 10.58%+1.87 +6.8 50
2018-06-04 @ Cork City L 2-442.2 1253 1519 10.58% 15.29% 74.13%-1.87 -6.8 30
2018-06-08 Derry City L 1-249.8 1258 1246 49.66% 16.46% 33.88%+0.33 -17.7 21
2018-06-08 @ Bohemian W 2-149.8 1246 1258 33.88% 16.46% 49.66%-0.33 +17.7 33
2018-06-08 Limerick W 4-027.4 1609 1162 82.18% 13.68% 4.14%+2.96 +6.4 52
2018-06-08 @ Dundalk L 0-427.4 1162 1609 4.14% 13.68% 82.18%-2.96 -6.4 18
2018-06-08 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-036.1 1340 1281 55.58% 16.36% 28.07%+0.61 +21.6 39
2018-06-08 @ Waterford L 0-236.1 1281 1340 28.07% 16.36% 55.58%-0.61 -21.6 30
2018-06-09 Bray Wanderers W 5-026.9 1382 1105 74.79% 15.20% 10.01%+1.94 +19.3 30
2018-06-09 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-526.9 1105 1382 10.01% 15.20% 74.79%-1.94 -19.3 11
2018-06-09 Cork City L 0-233.2 1225 1525 13.93% 15.67% 70.40%-1.56 -11.4 20
2018-06-09 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-033.2 1525 1225 70.40% 15.67% 13.93%+1.56 +11.4 53
2018-06-15 Bohemian W 1-034.5 1537 1240 75.90% 15.05% 9.05%+2.05 +4.0 56
2018-06-15 @ Cork City L 0-134.5 1240 1537 9.05% 15.05% 75.90%-2.05 -4.0 21
2018-06-15 Dundalk L 0-432.6 1264 1615 10.79% 15.32% 73.89%-1.87 -16.9 33
2018-06-15 @ Derry City W 4-032.6 1615 1264 73.89% 15.32% 10.79%+1.87 +16.9 55
2018-06-15 Shamrock Rovers L 0-232.6 1156 1401 18.18% 15.98% 65.84%-1.23 -14.6 18
2018-06-15 @ Limerick W 2-032.6 1401 1156 65.84% 15.98% 18.18%+1.23 +14.6 33
2018-06-15 Sligo Rovers L 0-341.4 1260 1214 54.08% 16.39% 29.53%+0.54 -55.5 30
2018-06-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-041.4 1214 1260 29.53% 16.39% 54.08%-0.54 +55.5 23
2018-06-15 Waterford D 0-051.9 1086 1361 15.69% 15.81% 68.50%-1.41 +5.4 12
2018-06-15 @ Bray Wanderers D 0-051.9 1361 1086 68.50% 15.81% 15.69%+1.41 -5.4 40
2018-06-29 Bray Wanderers W 2-143.2 1141 1091 54.58% 16.38% 29.04%+0.56 +11.1 21
2018-06-29 @ Limerick L 1-243.2 1091 1141 29.04% 16.38% 54.58%-0.56 -11.1 12
2018-06-29 Cork City W 2-157.4 1632 1541 59.42% 16.26% 24.32%+0.81 +9.5 58
2018-06-29 @ Dundalk L 1-257.4 1541 1632 24.32% 16.26% 59.42%-0.81 -9.5 56
2018-06-29 Derry City W 2-033.1 1416 1247 67.03% 15.91% 17.06%+1.28 +13.8 36
2018-06-29 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-233.1 1247 1416 17.06% 15.91% 67.03%-1.28 -13.8 33
2018-06-29 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-038.7 1236 1204 52.29% 16.42% 31.29%+0.45 +12.6 24
2018-06-29 @ Bohemian L 0-138.7 1204 1236 31.29% 16.42% 52.29%-0.45 -12.6 30
2018-06-30 Waterford L 2-351.5 1269 1356 35.87% 16.48% 47.66%-0.27 -12.7 23
2018-06-30 @ Sligo Rovers W 3-251.5 1356 1269 47.66% 16.48% 35.87%+0.27 +12.7 43
2018-07-06 Bohemian D 1-157.0 1369 1249 62.43% 16.15% 21.43%+0.98 -3.7 44
2018-07-06 @ Waterford D 1-157.0 1249 1369 21.43% 16.15% 62.43%-0.98 +3.7 25
2018-07-06 Dundalk L 1-338.2 1192 1642 6.51% 14.51% 78.98%-2.47 -4.7 30
2018-07-06 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-138.2 1642 1192 78.98% 14.51% 6.51%+2.47 +4.7 61
2018-07-06 Limerick W 2-142.3 1233 1152 58.20% 16.29% 25.51%+0.75 +10.0 36
2018-07-06 @ Derry City L 1-242.3 1152 1233 25.51% 16.29% 58.20%-0.75 -9.9 21
2018-07-06 Shamrock Rovers D 0-060.0 1531 1429 60.54% 16.22% 23.24%+0.88 -3.7 57
2018-07-06 @ Cork City D 0-060.0 1429 1531 23.24% 16.22% 60.54%-0.88 +3.7 37
2018-07-08 Sligo Rovers W 2-152.2 1080 1256 24.84% 16.27% 58.89%-0.81 +20.7 15
2018-07-08 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-252.2 1256 1080 58.89% 16.27% 24.84%+0.81 -20.7 23
2018-07-13 Sligo Rovers L 0-340.3 1253 1236 50.32% 16.45% 33.23%+0.36 -52.0 25
2018-07-13 @ Bohemian W 3-040.3 1236 1253 33.23% 16.45% 50.32%-0.36 +52.0 26
2018-07-20 Bray Wanderers W 6-031.1 1201 1101 60.35% 16.22% 23.42%+0.87 +51.2 28
2018-07-20 @ Bohemian L 0-631.1 1101 1201 23.42% 16.22% 60.35%-0.87 -51.2 15
2018-07-20 Limerick W 2-143.5 1187 1142 53.88% 16.39% 29.73%+0.53 +11.4 33
2018-07-20 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-243.5 1142 1187 29.73% 16.39% 53.88%-0.53 -11.4 21
2018-07-22 Shamrock Rovers L 0-144.2 1365 1433 38.48% 16.49% 45.03%-0.15 -15.1 44
2018-07-22 @ Waterford W 1-044.2 1433 1365 45.03% 16.49% 38.48%+0.15 +15.1 40
2018-07-23 Derry City W 5-029.4 1527 1243 75.23% 15.14% 9.63%+1.98 +18.6 60
2018-07-23 @ Cork City L 0-529.4 1243 1527 9.63% 15.14% 75.23%-1.98 -18.6 36
2018-07-27 Cork City L 1-334.1 1049 1546 5.10% 14.07% 80.82%-2.75 -3.6 15
2018-07-27 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-134.1 1546 1049 80.82% 14.07% 5.10%+2.75 +3.6 63
2018-07-27 Sligo Rovers W 2-034.2 1448 1288 66.30% 15.95% 17.75%+1.23 +14.3 43
2018-07-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-234.2 1288 1448 17.75% 15.95% 66.30%-1.23 -14.3 26
2018-07-27 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-144.3 1224 1198 51.52% 16.43% 32.05%+0.42 +12.1 39
2018-07-27 @ Derry City L 1-244.3 1198 1224 32.05% 16.43% 51.52%-0.42 -12.2 33
2018-07-27 Waterford W 2-153.8 1131 1350 20.53% 16.10% 63.36%-1.07 +22.2 24
2018-07-27 @ Limerick L 1-253.8 1350 1131 63.36% 16.10% 20.53%+1.07 -22.3 44
2018-07-29 Bohemian W 2-033.9 1646 1252 80.37% 14.19% 5.44%+2.65 +4.5 64
2018-07-29 @ Dundalk L 0-233.9 1252 1646 5.44% 14.19% 80.37%-2.65 -4.5 28
2018-08-03 Bray Wanderers W 3-030.6 1186 1046 64.46% 16.05% 19.48%+1.11 +22.6 36
2018-08-03 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-330.6 1046 1186 19.48% 16.05% 64.46%-1.11 -22.6 15
2018-08-03 Cork City L 1-246.1 1328 1550 20.26% 16.09% 63.65%-1.09 -8.1 44
2018-08-03 @ Waterford W 2-146.1 1550 1328 63.65% 16.09% 20.26%+1.09 +8.1 66
2018-08-03 Limerick W 5-031.2 1247 1153 59.69% 16.25% 24.06%+0.83 +44.1 31
2018-08-03 @ Bohemian L 0-531.2 1153 1247 24.06% 16.25% 59.69%-0.83 -44.1 24
2018-08-03 Sligo Rovers L 1-247.9 1237 1273 42.90% 16.50% 40.60%+0.04 -15.6 39
2018-08-03 @ Derry City W 2-147.9 1273 1237 40.60% 16.50% 42.90%-0.04 +15.6 29
2018-08-17 Bohemian L 0-151.7 1462 1291 67.22% 15.90% 16.88%+1.29 -25.0 43
2018-08-17 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-051.7 1291 1462 16.88% 15.90% 67.22%-1.29 +25.0 34
2018-08-17 Dundalk L 1-333.6 1023 1651 2.55% 12.71% 84.74%-3.55 -1.8 15
2018-08-17 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-133.6 1651 1023 84.74% 12.71% 2.55%+3.55 +1.8 67
2018-08-17 Sligo Rovers L 1-339.9 1109 1289 24.49% 16.26% 59.25%-0.83 -16.6 24
2018-08-17 @ Limerick W 3-139.9 1289 1109 59.25% 16.26% 24.49%+0.83 +16.6 32
2018-08-17 Waterford L 1-245.4 1221 1320 34.29% 16.46% 49.25%-0.34 -12.9 39
2018-08-17 @ Derry City W 2-145.4 1320 1221 49.25% 16.46% 34.29%+0.34 +12.9 47
2018-08-19 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-159.4 1558 1209 78.48% 14.61% 6.91%+2.37 -6.8 67
2018-08-19 @ Cork City D 1-159.4 1209 1558 6.91% 14.61% 78.48%-2.37 +6.8 37
2018-08-20 Dundalk L 0-238.1 1306 1653 11.04% 15.35% 73.61%-1.84 -9.1 32
2018-08-20 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-038.1 1653 1306 73.61% 15.35% 11.04%+1.84 +9.1 70
2018-08-28 Shamrock Rovers L 1-269.2 1662 1437 71.42% 15.58% 13.01%+1.62 -25.1 70
2018-08-28 @ Dundalk W 2-169.2 1437 1662 13.01% 15.58% 71.42%-1.62 +25.1 46
2018-08-31 Bohemian L 0-237.1 1208 1317 33.01% 16.45% 50.54%-0.40 -24.9 39
2018-08-31 @ Derry City W 2-037.1 1317 1208 50.54% 16.45% 33.01%+0.40 +24.9 37
2018-08-31 Dundalk L 0-131.7 1093 1637 3.97% 13.60% 82.43%-3.04 -1.7 24
2018-08-31 @ Limerick W 1-031.7 1637 1093 82.43% 13.60% 3.97%+3.04 +1.7 73
2018-08-31 Shamrock Rovers L 0-326.7 1021 1462 6.82% 14.59% 78.59%-2.41 -8.2 15
2018-08-31 @ Bray Wanderers W 3-026.7 1462 1021 78.59% 14.59% 6.82%+2.41 +8.2 49
2018-08-31 Sligo Rovers L 1-261.0 1551 1297 73.43% 15.37% 11.20%+1.80 -25.8 67
2018-08-31 @ Cork City W 2-161.0 1297 1551 11.20% 15.37% 73.43%-1.80 +25.8 35
2018-08-31 Waterford W 3-041.0 1216 1333 31.91% 16.43% 51.66%-0.45 +53.2 40
2018-08-31 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-341.0 1333 1216 51.66% 16.43% 31.91%+0.45 -53.2 47
2018-09-14 Bray Wanderers W 2-029.5 1279 1013 74.16% 15.28% 10.56%+1.87 +8.7 50
2018-09-14 @ Waterford L 0-229.5 1013 1279 10.56% 15.28% 74.16%-1.87 -8.7 15
2018-09-14 Cork City W 4-259.5 1341 1525 24.08% 16.25% 59.68%-0.85 +32.5 40
2018-09-14 @ Bohemian L 2-459.5 1525 1341 59.68% 16.25% 24.08%+0.85 -32.5 67
2018-09-14 Limerick W 5-025.7 1471 1091 79.79% 14.33% 5.88%+2.56 +11.4 52
2018-09-14 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-525.7 1091 1471 5.88% 14.33% 79.79%-2.56 -11.4 24
2018-09-15 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-251.8 1322 1269 54.98% 16.37% 28.65%+0.58 -19.4 35
2018-09-15 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-151.8 1269 1322 28.65% 16.37% 54.98%-0.58 +19.4 43
2018-09-21 Dundalk L 0-152.0 1493 1638 28.35% 16.37% 55.29%-0.62 -11.6 67
2018-09-21 @ Cork City W 1-052.0 1638 1493 55.29% 16.37% 28.35%+0.62 +11.6 76
2018-09-21 Limerick L 0-237.9 1005 1080 37.49% 16.49% 46.02%-0.20 -27.8 15
2018-09-21 @ Bray Wanderers W 2-037.9 1080 1005 46.02% 16.49% 37.49%+0.20 +27.8 27
2018-09-21 Sligo Rovers W 1-041.2 1288 1303 46.00% 16.49% 37.51%+0.17 +14.8 53
2018-09-21 @ Waterford L 0-141.2 1303 1288 37.51% 16.49% 46.00%-0.17 -14.8 35
2018-09-22 Bohemian L 1-344.6 1288 1374 36.03% 16.48% 47.49%-0.26 -23.3 43
2018-09-22 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-144.6 1374 1288 47.49% 16.48% 36.03%+0.26 +23.3 43
2018-09-22 Shamrock Rovers L 0-134.5 1183 1482 14.04% 15.68% 70.29%-1.55 -6.1 39
2018-09-22 @ Derry City W 1-034.5 1482 1183 70.29% 15.68% 14.04%+1.55 +6.1 55
2018-09-25 Derry City W 3-244.0 1650 1177 82.99% 13.41% 3.60%+3.12 +1.4 79
2018-09-25 @ Dundalk L 2-344.0 1177 1650 3.60% 13.41% 82.99%-3.12 -1.4 39
2018-10-05 Cork City D 0-060.2 1488 1481 49.01% 16.46% 34.53%+0.30 -1.4 56
2018-10-05 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-060.2 1481 1488 34.53% 16.46% 49.01%-0.30 +1.4 68
2018-10-05 Derry City L 0-140.6 1107 1176 38.41% 16.49% 45.10%-0.16 -15.0 27
2018-10-05 @ Limerick W 1-040.6 1176 1107 45.10% 16.49% 38.41%+0.16 +15.0 42
2018-10-05 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-163.5 1651 1265 80.05% 14.27% 5.68%+2.60 -7.0 80
2018-10-05 @ Dundalk D 1-163.5 1265 1651 5.68% 14.27% 80.05%-2.60 +7.0 44
2018-10-05 Waterford L 1-352.1 1397 1303 59.74% 16.24% 24.01%+0.83 -36.4 43
2018-10-05 @ Bohemian W 3-152.1 1303 1397 24.01% 16.24% 59.74%-0.83 +36.4 56
2018-10-06 Bray Wanderers W 2-136.6 1288 977 76.69% 14.93% 8.38%+2.15 +3.5 38
2018-10-06 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-236.6 977 1288 8.38% 14.93% 76.69%-2.15 -3.5 15
2018-10-12 Dundalk L 1-247.7 1339 1644 13.61% 15.64% 70.76%-1.59 -5.6 56
2018-10-12 @ Waterford W 2-147.7 1644 1339 70.76% 15.64% 13.61%+1.59 +5.6 83
2018-10-12 Limerick W 3-026.6 1482 1092 80.20% 14.23% 5.57%+2.62 +6.7 71
2018-10-12 @ Cork City L 0-326.6 1092 1482 5.57% 14.23% 80.20%-2.62 -6.7 27
2018-10-12 Shamrock Rovers L 0-138.0 1272 1487 20.94% 16.12% 62.93%-1.04 -8.8 44
2018-10-12 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-038.0 1487 1272 62.93% 16.12% 20.94%+1.04 +8.8 59
2018-10-19 Bohemian L 0-526.2 973 1361 8.98% 15.04% 75.98%-2.09 -17.4 15
2018-10-19 @ Bray Wanderers W 5-026.2 1361 973 75.98% 15.04% 8.98%+2.09 +17.4 46
2018-10-19 Cork City L 0-330.5 1191 1489 14.07% 15.68% 70.25%-1.55 -16.7 42
2018-10-19 @ Derry City W 3-030.5 1489 1191 70.25% 15.68% 14.07%+1.55 +16.7 74
2018-10-19 Sligo Rovers W 5-033.1 1650 1292 78.90% 14.52% 6.58%+2.43 +12.7 86
2018-10-19 @ Dundalk L 0-533.1 1292 1650 6.58% 14.52% 78.90%-2.43 -12.7 38
2018-10-19 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-431.5 1086 1263 24.72% 16.27% 59.01%-0.82 -36.7 27
2018-10-19 @ Limerick W 4-031.5 1263 1086 59.01% 16.27% 24.72%+0.82 +36.7 47
2018-10-19 Waterford W 3-141.8 1496 1334 66.44% 15.95% 17.62%+1.24 +12.3 62
2018-10-19 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-341.8 1334 1496 17.62% 15.95% 66.44%-1.24 -12.3 56
2018-10-22 Bohemian D 1-157.3 1279 1378 34.20% 16.46% 49.34%-0.34 +1.3 39
2018-10-22 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-157.3 1378 1279 49.34% 16.46% 34.20%+0.34 -1.3 47
2018-10-22 Derry City W 2-153.4 956 1174 20.59% 16.11% 63.30%-1.06 +22.2 18
2018-10-22 @ Bray Wanderers L 1-253.4 1174 956 63.30% 16.11% 20.59%+1.06 -22.2 42
2018-10-26 Bray Wanderers W 5-128.0 1506 978 84.49% 12.82% 2.69%+3.46 +3.4 77
2018-10-26 @ Cork City L 1-528.0 978 1506 2.69% 12.82% 84.49%-3.46 -3.4 18
2018-10-26 Derry City W 5-029.7 1300 1152 65.18% 16.02% 18.81%+1.16 +35.3 50
2018-10-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-529.7 1152 1300 18.81% 16.02% 65.18%-1.16 -35.3 42
2018-10-26 Dundalk D 1-167.5 1377 1663 14.96% 15.76% 69.28%-1.47 +5.0 48
2018-10-26 @ Bohemian D 1-167.5 1663 1377 69.28% 15.76% 14.96%+1.47 -5.0 87
2018-10-26 Limerick W 4-132.8 1321 1049 74.54% 15.24% 10.23%+1.91 +10.3 59
2018-10-26 @ Waterford L 1-432.8 1049 1321 10.23% 15.24% 74.54%-1.91 -10.3 27
2018-10-26 Shamrock Rovers W 2-049.2 1280 1508 19.73% 16.07% 64.21%-1.12 +45.1 42
2018-10-26 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-249.2 1508 1280 64.21% 16.07% 19.73%+1.12 -45.1 62

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2018-10-05 Shelbourne L 0-141.0 1229 1299 38.18% 16.49% 45.33%-0.17 -15.0 0-1
2018-10-05 @ Drogheda United W 1-041.0 1299 1229 45.33% 16.49% 38.18%+0.17 +15.0 1-0
2018-10-08 Drogheda United L 2-454.9 1314 1214 60.35% 16.22% 23.43%+0.86 -32.9 1-1
2018-10-08 @ Shelbourne W 4-254.9 1214 1314 23.43% 16.22% 60.35%-0.86 +32.9 1-1
2018-10-12 Finn Harps D 1-156.5 1247 1303 40.09% 16.50% 43.41%-0.08 +0.3 1-1-1
2018-10-12 @ Drogheda United D 1-156.5 1303 1247 43.41% 16.50% 40.09%+0.08 -0.3 0-0-1
2018-10-19 Drogheda United W 2-035.8 1303 1247 55.28% 16.37% 28.36%+0.60 +21.8 1-0-1
2018-10-19 @ Finn Harps L 0-235.8 1247 1303 28.36% 16.37% 55.28%-0.60 -21.8 1-2-1
2018-10-29 Limerick W 1-031.6 1325 1039 75.33% 15.13% 9.54%+1.99 +4.2 2-0-1
2018-10-29 @ Finn Harps L 0-131.6 1039 1325 9.54% 15.13% 75.33%-1.99 -4.2 0-1
2018-11-02 Finn Harps L 0-230.9 1034 1329 14.33% 15.70% 69.97%-1.53 -11.7 0-2
2018-11-02 @ Limerick W 2-030.9 1329 1034 69.97% 15.70% 14.33%+1.53 +11.7 3-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2018-05-04 10.69% @ Bray Wanderers 1077 2 Derry City 1431 1
2 2018-08-31 11.20% Sligo Rovers 1297 2 @ Cork City 1551 1
3 2018-05-18 11.86% Limerick 1121 6 @ Waterford 1364 3
4 2018-08-28 13.01% Shamrock Rovers 1437 2 @ Dundalk 1662 1
5 2018-04-16 15.47% @ Bray Wanderers 1094 1 Shamrock Rovers 1372 0
6 2018-08-17 16.88% Bohemian 1291 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1462 0
7 2018-06-01 17.09% @ Bray Wanderers 1064 3 St Patrick's Athletic 1322 1
8 2018-04-13 17.24% Bohemian 1229 2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1396 1
9 2018-10-26 19.73% @ Sligo Rovers 1280 2 Shamrock Rovers 1508 0
10 2018-07-27 20.53% @ Limerick 1131 2 Waterford 1350 1
11 2018-10-22 20.59% @ Bray Wanderers 956 2 Derry City 1174 1
12 2018-05-04 21.48% @ Waterford 1345 2 Dundalk 1554 1
13 2018-06-01 21.92% Sligo Rovers 1182 2 @ Derry City 1296 0
14 2018-10-08 * 23.43% Drogheda United 1214 4 @ Shelbourne 1314 2
15 2018-10-05 24.01% Waterford 1303 3 @ Bohemian 1397 1
16 2018-09-14 24.08% @ Bohemian 1341 4 Cork City 1525 2
17 2018-07-08 24.84% @ Bray Wanderers 1080 2 Sligo Rovers 1256 1
18 2018-04-30 26.19% @ Shamrock Rovers 1345 3 Cork City 1509 0
19 2018-04-06 26.67% @ Waterford 1324 2 Cork City 1485 1
20 2018-09-15 28.65% St Patrick's Athletic 1269 2 @ Sligo Rovers 1322 1
21 2018-06-15 29.53% Sligo Rovers 1214 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1260 0
22 2018-03-23 29.76% @ Waterford 1282 2 Shamrock Rovers 1416 1
23 2018-02-23 31.20% St Patrick's Athletic 1281 2 @ Bray Wanderers 1313 1
24 2018-08-31 31.91% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1216 3 Waterford 1333 0
25 2018-05-04 32.57% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1292 2 Shamrock Rovers 1403 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-02-26 73.67 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1295 48.04% Bray Wanderers 0 1295 35.49% 16.47%
2 2018-02-27 64.44 @ Dundalk 8 1413 61.48% Limerick 0 1302 22.33% 16.18%
3 2018-03-12 58.85 @ Derry City 5 1267 50.17% Limerick 0 1251 33.38% 16.45%
4 2018-04-30 58.82 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1345 26.19% Cork City 0 1509 57.50% 16.31%
5 2018-05-25 58.62 @ Waterford 4 1305 40.99% Derry City 0 1355 42.52% 16.50%
6 2018-06-15 55.51 Sligo Rovers 3 1214 29.53% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1260 54.08% 16.39%
7 2018-08-31 53.22 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1216 31.91% Waterford 0 1333 51.66% 16.43%
8 2018-07-13 51.96 Sligo Rovers 3 1236 33.23% @ Bohemian 0 1253 50.32% 16.45%
9 2018-07-20 51.17 @ Bohemian 6 1201 60.35% Bray Wanderers 0 1101 23.42% 16.22%
10 2018-05-18 50.19 Limerick 6 1121 11.86% @ Waterford 3 1364 72.69% 15.45%
11 2018-10-26 45.10 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1280 19.73% Shamrock Rovers 0 1508 64.21% 16.07%
12 2018-08-03 44.14 @ Bohemian 5 1247 59.69% Limerick 0 1153 24.06% 16.25%
13 2018-06-01 43.50 Sligo Rovers 2 1182 21.92% @ Derry City 0 1296 61.91% 16.17%
14 2018-03-09 41.69 @ Shamrock Rovers 6 1368 55.75% Derry City 1 1309 27.90% 16.35%
15 2018-05-22 41.11 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1363 45.20% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1383 38.30% 16.49%
16 2018-06-01 40.75 @ Bray Wanderers 3 1064 17.09% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1322 67.00% 15.91%
17 2018-10-19 36.69 St Patrick's Athletic 4 1263 59.01% @ Limerick 0 1086 24.72% 16.27%
18 2018-10-05 36.39 Waterford 3 1303 24.01% @ Bohemian 1 1397 59.74% 16.24%
19 2018-05-04 36.22 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1292 32.57% Shamrock Rovers 0 1403 50.99% 16.44%
20 2018-05-05 36.12 Bohemian 2 1214 32.71% @ Sligo Rovers 0 1234 50.85% 16.44%
21 2018-04-06 35.93 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1279 64.77% Bray Wanderers 0 1136 19.19% 16.04%
22 2018-10-26 35.26 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1300 65.18% Derry City 0 1152 18.81% 16.02%
23 2018-02-26 33.08 @ Waterford 2 1224 37.46% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1299 46.05% 16.49%
24 2018-10-08 * 32.86 Drogheda United 4 1214 23.43% @ Shelbourne 2 1314 60.35% 16.22%
25 2018-09-14 32.51 @ Bohemian 4 1341 24.08% Cork City 2 1525 59.68% 16.25%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-04-20 70.1 @ Dundalk 2 1546 63.95% Derry City 2 1411 19.97% 16.08%
2 2018-08-28 69.2 Shamrock Rovers 2 1437 13.01% @ Dundalk 1 1662 71.42% 15.58%
3 2018-10-26 67.5 @ Bohemian 1 1377 14.96% Dundalk 1 1663 69.28% 15.76%
4 2018-10-05 63.5 @ Dundalk 1 1651 80.05% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1265 5.68% 14.27%
5 2018-04-27 62.3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 2 1321 59.95% Bohemian 2 1225 23.81% 16.24%
6 2018-03-16 62.1 @ Bohemian 2 1254 47.49% Sligo Rovers 2 1258 36.03% 16.48%
7 2018-05-14 62.1 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1085 15.16% Waterford 2 1368 69.07% 15.77%
8 2018-08-31 61.0 Sligo Rovers 2 1297 11.20% @ Cork City 1 1551 73.43% 15.37%
9 2018-10-05 60.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 0 1488 49.01% Cork City 0 1481 34.53% 16.46%
10 2018-07-06 60.0 @ Cork City 0 1531 60.54% Shamrock Rovers 0 1429 23.24% 16.22%
11 2018-09-14 59.5 @ Bohemian 4 1341 24.08% Cork City 2 1525 59.68% 16.25%
12 2018-05-04 59.4 @ Waterford 2 1345 21.48% Dundalk 1 1554 62.37% 16.15%
13 2018-08-19 59.4 @ Cork City 1 1558 78.48% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1209 6.91% 14.61%
14 2018-05-11 58.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1367 48.16% Waterford 1 1366 35.37% 16.47%
15 2018-06-29 57.4 @ Dundalk 2 1632 59.42% Cork City 1 1541 24.32% 16.26%
16 2018-03-16 57.3 @ Limerick 1 1192 17.10% Cork City 1 1450 66.99% 15.91%
17 2018-05-25 57.3 @ Bohemian 1 1257 28.23% Shamrock Rovers 1 1404 55.41% 16.36%
18 2018-10-22 57.3 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1279 34.20% Bohemian 1 1378 49.34% 16.46%
19 2018-07-06 57.0 @ Waterford 1 1369 62.43% Bohemian 1 1249 21.43% 16.15%
20 2018-02-24 56.9 @ Limerick 1 1303 47.90% Bohemian 1 1304 35.62% 16.47%
21 2018-05-04 56.8 @ Bray Wanderers 2 1077 10.69% Derry City 1 1431 74.01% 15.30%
22 2018-04-27 56.6 @ Waterford 1 1335 61.56% Sligo Rovers 1 1223 22.26% 16.18%
23 2018-04-20 56.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1347 70.73% Limerick 1 1132 13.64% 15.64%
24 2018-05-11 56.5 @ Derry City 0 1405 41.20% Cork City 0 1454 42.30% 16.50%
25 2018-10-12 * 56.5 @ Drogheda United 1 1247 40.09% Finn Harps 1 1303 43.41% 16.50%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-05-25 25.0 @ Dundalk 5 1584 84.14% Bray Wanderers 0 1070 2.89% 12.97%
2 2018-09-14 25.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1471 79.79% Limerick 0 1091 5.88% 14.33%
3 2018-05-18 25.9 @ Cork City 4 1453 79.20% Bray Wanderers 0 1088 6.34% 14.46%
4 2018-10-19 26.2 Bohemian 5 1361 75.98% @ Bray Wanderers 0 973 8.98% 15.04%
5 2018-10-12 26.6 @ Cork City 3 1482 80.20% Limerick 0 1092 5.57% 14.23%
6 2018-08-31 26.7 Shamrock Rovers 3 1462 78.59% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1021 6.82% 14.59%
7 2018-06-09 26.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 5 1382 74.79% Bray Wanderers 0 1105 10.01% 15.20%
8 2018-06-08 27.4 @ Dundalk 4 1609 82.18% Limerick 0 1162 4.14% 13.68%
9 2018-10-26 28.0 @ Cork City 5 1506 84.49% Bray Wanderers 1 978 2.69% 12.82%
10 2018-04-17 28.7 Dundalk 3 1535 76.26% @ Limerick 0 1143 8.74% 15.00%
11 2018-03-30 28.8 Cork City 4 1464 70.92% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1156 13.46% 15.62%
12 2018-04-20 29.3 @ Waterford 3 1317 69.44% Bray Wanderers 0 1119 14.82% 15.74%
13 2018-04-13 29.4 Dundalk 2 1529 78.09% @ Bray Wanderers 0 1100 7.23% 14.68%
14 2018-07-23 29.4 @ Cork City 5 1527 75.23% Derry City 0 1243 9.63% 15.14%
15 2018-09-14 29.5 @ Waterford 2 1279 74.16% Bray Wanderers 0 1013 10.56% 15.28%
16 2018-04-06 29.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1279 64.77% Bray Wanderers 0 1136 19.19% 16.04%
17 2018-05-21 29.7 @ Derry City 2 1346 74.27% Bray Wanderers 0 1078 10.46% 15.27%
18 2018-10-26 29.7 @ St Patrick's Athletic 5 1300 65.18% Derry City 0 1152 18.81% 16.02%
19 2018-03-30 30.4 @ Dundalk 3 1508 73.94% Bohemian 0 1245 10.75% 15.31%
20 2018-10-19 30.5 Cork City 3 1489 70.25% @ Derry City 0 1191 14.07% 15.68%
21 2018-04-30 30.6 Derry City 3 1411 66.90% @ Limerick 0 1154 17.19% 15.92%
22 2018-08-03 30.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 3 1186 64.46% Bray Wanderers 0 1046 19.48% 16.05%
23 2018-11-02 * 30.9 Finn Harps 2 1329 69.97% @ Limerick 0 1034 14.33% 15.70%
24 2018-03-19 31.1 @ Cork City 3 1446 69.03% Bohemian 0 1253 15.19% 15.77%
25 2018-07-20 31.1 @ Bohemian 6 1201 60.35% Bray Wanderers 0 1101 23.42% 16.22%