‹ ›

2019 League of Ireland Premier Division Season

180 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Dundalk

86 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Derry City

10.37 points above expected

57 points · 46.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

UC Dublin

13.12 points below expected

19 points · 32.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Dundalk 36 27 5 4 86 73 18 +55 76.53 +9.47
2 Shamrock Rovers 36 23 6 7 75 62 21 +41 67.70 +7.30
3 Bohemian 36 17 9 10 60 47 28 +19 56.47 +3.53
4 Derry City 36 15 12 9 57 56 34 +22 46.63 +10.37
5 St Patrick's Athletic 36 14 10 12 52 29 35 -6 46.29 +5.71
6 Waterford 36 12 7 17 43 46 53 -7 46.44 -3.44
7 Sligo Rovers 36 10 12 14 42 38 47 -9 43.10 -1.10
8 Cork City 36 9 10 17 37 29 49 -20 49.55 -12.55
9 Finn Harps 36 7 7 22 28 26 64 -38 34.58 -6.58
10 UC Dublin 36 5 4 27 19 25 82 -57 32.12 -13.12

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Derry City 57 46.63 +10.37
2 Dundalk 86 76.53 +9.47
3 Shamrock Rovers 75 67.70 +7.30
4 St Patrick's Athletic 52 46.29 +5.71
5 Bohemian 60 56.47 +3.53

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 UC Dublin 19 32.12 -13.12
2 Cork City 37 49.55 -12.55
3 Finn Harps 28 34.58 -6.58
4 Waterford 43 46.44 -3.44
5 Sligo Rovers 42 43.10 -1.10

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shamrock Rovers 8 Mar 4 – Apr 19 1 in 155
2 Finn Harps 3 Jul 19 – Aug 2 1 in 104
3 Derry City 4 Mar 29 – Apr 15 1 in 101
4 Dundalk 9 Jul 27 – Oct 4 1 in 20
5 Bohemian 3 Feb 15 – Feb 25 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Finn Harps 10 Mar 1 – Apr 22 1 in 1,746
2 UC Dublin 11 Apr 19 – Jul 1 1 in 1,095
3 Dundalk 2 Apr 5 – Apr 12 1 in 30
4 Cork City 3 Aug 30 – Sep 6 1 in 16
5 Waterford 4 Jul 29 – Aug 27 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sligo Rovers 7 Apr 22 – May 24 1 in 70
2 Derry City 7 May 24 – Jul 19 1 in 54
3 Dundalk 24 Apr 15 – Oct 4 1 in 49
4 Finn Harps 4 Apr 26 – May 17 1 in 18
5 Shamrock Rovers 9 Mar 1 – Apr 19 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Finn Harps 15 Feb 15 – Apr 29 1 in 120
2 Cork City 8 Mar 29 – Apr 29 1 in 108
3 Bohemian 5 May 3 – May 24 1 in 16
4 Waterford 5 Jun 28 – Jul 19 1 in 12
5 St Patrick's Athletic 5 Feb 25 – Mar 29 1 in 10

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Dundalk 1550 86 -13 9 11.0 -2.0
Shamrock Rovers 1470 75 +9 10 9.9 +0.1
Bohemian 1340 60 +24 11 7.5 +3.5
Derry City 1325 57 +22 9 7.9 +1.1
St Patrick's Athletic 1252 52 -6 5 4.8 +0.2
Waterford 1260 43 +29 9 7.1 +1.9
Sligo Rovers 1221 42 -14 4 5.8 -1.8
Cork City 1202 37 -14 6 4.6 +1.4
Finn Harps 1136 28 -7 5 4.9 +0.1
UC Dublin 1052 19 -28 1 3.7 -2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BOH CC DC DUN FH SR SR SPA UD WAT
Bohemian —
1-1-2
6.70
1-3-0
6.64
1-0-3
3.39
3-0-1
7.54
3-0-1
4.29
2-1-1
7.03
2-2-0
6.69
3-0-1
7.70
1-2-1
6.67
Cork City
2-1-1
4.37
—
0-1-3
5.91
1-0-3
2.52
1-3-0
7.09
0-1-3
3.47
1-2-1
6.33
0-2-2
6.27
3-0-1
7.44
1-0-3
6.14
Derry City
0-3-1
4.42
3-1-0
5.15
—
0-2-2
2.47
3-0-1
7.12
0-1-3
3.43
3-1-0
5.81
1-1-2
5.76
3-1-0
6.32
2-2-0
5.55
Dundalk
3-0-1
7.71
3-0-1
8.68
2-2-0
8.71
—
3-1-0
9.09
3-1-0
6.81
2-1-1
8.71
3-0-1
8.82
4-0-0
9.40
4-0-0
8.54
Finn Harps
1-0-3
3.55
0-3-1
3.98
1-0-3
3.96
0-1-3
2.16
—
0-0-4
2.88
1-1-2
4.52
0-1-3
4.18
1-1-2
5.98
3-0-1
3.79
Shamrock Rovers
1-0-3
6.77
3-1-0
7.65
3-1-0
7.67
0-1-3
4.25
4-0-0
8.27
—
1-2-1
7.95
3-1-0
7.47
4-0-0
8.98
4-0-0
7.87
Sligo Rovers
1-1-2
4.03
1-2-1
4.72
0-1-3
5.23
1-1-2
2.47
2-1-1
6.54
1-2-1
3.16
—
0-1-3
5.27
4-0-0
6.82
0-3-1
5.11
St Patrick's Athletic
0-2-2
4.36
2-2-0
4.78
2-1-1
5.29
1-0-3
2.37
3-1-0
6.88
0-1-3
3.62
3-1-0
5.78
—
2-2-0
7.25
1-0-3
5.72
UC Dublin
1-0-3
3.41
1-0-3
3.65
0-1-3
4.76
0-0-4
1.90
2-1-1
5.07
0-0-4
2.23
0-0-4
4.24
0-2-2
3.83
—
1-0-3
3.64
Waterford
1-2-1
4.39
3-0-1
4.90
0-2-2
5.50
0-0-4
2.63
1-0-3
7.28
0-0-4
3.26
1-3-0
5.93
3-0-1
5.32
3-0-1
7.46
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +11.2
Allowed 0.91 -9.8
Differential 0.97 +5.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.67%10.56%7.50%5.00%1.94%0.83%37.50%
110.56%8.33%6.94%1.94%0.56%0.83%29.17%
27.50%6.94%2.22%1.39%0.56%—18.61%
35.00%1.94%1.39%0.56%0.28%0.28%9.44%
41.94%0.56%0.56%0.28%——3.33%
5+0.83%0.83%—0.28%——1.94%
Total37.50%29.17%18.61%9.44%3.33%1.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.20 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 2.00
CV 1.11 1.11 —
Max 10 10 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%5.56%2.78%——36.11%
116.67%8.33%8.33%———33.33%
28.33%11.11%————19.44%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
Total47.22%33.33%13.89%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 0.78 +0.53
SD 1.86 0.90 1.99
CV 1.43 1.15 —
Max 10 3 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%13.89%2.78%2.78%—47.22%
18.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
25.56%5.56%——2.78%—13.89%
3——2.78%———2.78%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%33.33%22.22%8.33%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.36 -0.56
SD 0.98 1.22 1.44
CV 1.22 0.90 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%11.11%———36.11%
1—8.33%—2.78%——11.11%
211.11%2.78%11.11%———25.00%
35.56%5.56%5.56%———16.67%
48.33%2.78%————11.11%
5+———————
Total38.89%30.56%27.78%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 0.94 +0.61
SD 1.42 0.89 1.79
CV 0.91 0.95 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%————8.33%
122.22%5.56%5.56%———33.33%
211.11%8.33%5.56%———25.00%
313.89%2.78%2.78%———19.44%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+5.56%—————5.56%
Total63.89%22.22%13.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.50 +1.53
SD 1.32 0.74 1.65
CV 0.65 1.47 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%2.78%13.89%8.33%2.78%55.56%
111.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%——27.78%
22.78%——2.78%——5.56%
32.78%—2.78%—2.78%2.78%11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.78%25.00%11.11%19.44%11.11%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.72 1.78 -1.06
SD 1.00 1.59 1.84
CV 1.39 0.89 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%————19.44%
119.44%2.78%8.33%———30.56%
211.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
313.89%5.56%————19.44%
4———————
5+2.78%2.78%————5.56%
Total58.33%27.78%11.11%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.58 +1.14
SD 1.49 0.81 1.73
CV 0.86 1.38 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%2.78%13.89%5.56%2.78%—41.67%
12.78%13.89%13.89%———30.56%
25.56%11.11%————16.67%
3—2.78%—2.78%——5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total25.00%33.33%30.56%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.31 -0.25
SD 1.24 1.04 1.65
CV 1.18 0.79 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%8.33%5.56%2.78%—41.67%
119.44%16.67%—2.78%——38.89%
25.56%11.11%————16.67%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.11%44.44%8.33%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 0.97 -0.17
SD 0.82 1.03 1.48
CV 1.02 1.06 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%16.67%13.89%—5.56%58.33%
12.78%2.78%5.56%8.33%—5.56%25.00%
2—2.78%—2.78%2.78%—8.33%
35.56%—————5.56%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total16.67%22.22%22.22%25.00%2.78%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 2.28 -1.58
SD 1.04 2.06 2.41
CV 1.49 0.91 —
Max 4 10 +3
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%2.78%5.56%2.78%—30.56%
12.78%2.78%16.67%—2.78%2.78%27.78%
213.89%8.33%2.78%5.56%——30.56%
32.78%——2.78%——5.56%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+———————
Total33.33%19.44%25.00%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.47 -0.19
SD 1.14 1.38 1.89
CV 0.89 0.94 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Dundalk 1550 86 76.53 +9.47 95.0% 55 64 72 76 82 86 92
Shamrock Rovers 1470 75 67.70 +7.30 88.0% 52 57 62 68 72 80 85
Bohemian 1340 60 56.47 +3.53 69.0% 38 41 51 57 62 69 76
Derry City 1325 57 46.63 +10.37 97.0% 30 34 42 46 51 57 60
Waterford 1260 43 46.44 -3.44 29.0% 30 35 43 46 50 56 65
St Patrick's Athletic 1252 52 46.29 +5.71 81.0% 29 35 42 46 50 59 64
Sligo Rovers 1221 42 43.10 -1.10 54.0% 27 31 37 41 47 58 67
Cork City 1202 37 49.55 -12.55 6.0% 30 35 45 50 54 62 64
Finn Harps 1152 28 34.58 -6.58 16.0% 19 20 30 34 39 46 53
UC Dublin 1052 19 32.12 -13.12 1.0% 19 22 28 32 36 44 54

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8.5% * Slight Edge: 8.5% to 12.5% * Clear Edge: 12.5% to 19% * Strong Edge: 19% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.78%
Clear Edge
45.00%22.78%32.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge
151 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
044.64400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.38 goals
Neutral
-2+0.30+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.06 * Tight Race: 0.06 to 0.13 * Comfortable: 0.13 to 0.22 * Runaway: 0.22 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.5
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
79%
Dundalk, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.31/gm
Runaway
00.270.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.76 * Some Luck: 5.76 to 8.64 * Lucky: 8.64 to 11.53 * Wild Swing: 11.53 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.92 * Close: 0.92 to 1.38 * Off: 1.38 to 1.85 * Way Off: 1.85 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.26 points
Some Luck
07.2018
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.152.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.00%
Derry City
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.00%
UC Dublin
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.16 * Even: 0.16 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.2 * Lopsided: 0.2 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.7 * Moderate Separation: 1.7 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 76.5% * Wide Edge: 76.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 87.5% * Clear Edge: 87.5% to 91.5% * Strong Edge: 91.5% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 59% * Frequent: 59% to 65% * Very Frequent: 65% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 14.5% * Occasional: 14.5% to 19% * Frequent: 19% to 25% * Very Frequent: 25% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Lopsided
00.160.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 148.32
2.57
Wide Separation
11.71.952.22.75
Interquartile Edge
68%
Even
50%68%76.5%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
95%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.37 * Slight Separation: 0.37 to 0.41 * Notable Separation: 0.41 to 0.47 * Lopsided: 0.47 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.36 * Some Carryover: 0.36 to 0.56 * Strong Carryover: 0.56 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 20.5% * As Expected: 20.5% to 23% * Upset-Prone: 23% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 17% * As Expected: 17% to 20% * Shaky Favorites: 20% to 23% * Very Shaky: 23% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Slight Separation
00.370.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.44
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.43
Some Carryover
00.360.560.691
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.42
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.08
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.081
Well Within Noise
00.1240.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

Cabinteely 3
Longford Town 1

Leg 1: Longford Town 1-3 Cabinteely

Leg 2: Cabinteely 0-0 Longford Town

Semifinals

Drogheda United 6
Cabinteely 2

Leg 1: Cabinteely 1-1 Drogheda United

Leg 2: Drogheda United 5-1 Cabinteely

Finals

Finn Harps 2
Drogheda United 1

Leg 1: Drogheda United 1-0 Finn Harps

Leg 2: Finn Harps 2-0 Drogheda United

Sim: 4.0%

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Dundalk79.00%19.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Shamrock Rovers16.00%68.00%15.00%1.00%——————
Bohemian4.00%8.00%44.00%20.00%9.00%3.00%5.00%7.00%——
Derry City——7.00%19.00%14.00%27.00%15.00%10.00%7.00%1.00%
St Patrick's Athletic—1.00%8.00%12.00%14.00%23.00%22.00%12.00%5.00%3.00%
Waterford——7.00%14.00%25.00%17.00%19.00%12.00%5.00%1.00%
Sligo Rovers—1.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%9.00%18.00%26.00%13.00%9.00%
Cork City1.00%3.00%11.00%25.00%23.00%15.00%10.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%
Finn Harps———1.00%3.00%4.00%8.00%18.00%39.00%27.00%
UC Dublin——1.00%—1.00%2.00%3.00%9.00%27.00%57.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bohemian 100% — —
Dundalk 100% — —
Shamrock Rovers 100% — —
Cork City 94.00% 4.00% 2.00%
Waterford 94.00% 5.00% 1.00%
Derry City 92.00% 7.00% 1.00%
St Patrick's Athletic 92.00% 5.00% 3.00%
Sligo Rovers 78.00% 13.00% 9.00%
UC Dublin 16.00% 27.00% 57.00%
Finn Harps — 100% —
Loser →
↓ Winner
BohemianBray WanderersCabinteelyCobh RamblersCork CityDerry CityDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLongford TownShelbourneSligo RoversSt Patrick's AthleticUC DublinWaterford
Bohemian
Bray Wanderers
Cabinteely
Cobh Ramblers
Cork City
Derry City
Drogheda United
Finn Harps
Galway United
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athletic
UC Dublin
Waterford
Loser →
↓ Winner
BohemianBray WanderersCabinteelyCobh RamblersCork CityDerry CityDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLongford TownShelbourneSligo RoversSt Patrick's AthleticUC DublinWaterford
Bohemian
Bray Wanderers
Cabinteely
Cobh Ramblers
Cork City
Derry City
Drogheda United
Finn Harps
Galway United
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athletic
UC Dublin
Waterford
Loser →
↓ Winner
BohemianBray WanderersCabinteelyCobh RamblersCork CityDerry CityDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsGalway UnitedLongford TownShelbourneSligo RoversSt Patrick's AthleticUC DublinWaterford
Bohemian100.0%1.00%
Bray Wanderers50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Cabinteely28.6%7.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%
Cobh Ramblers
Cork City100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Derry City50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Drogheda United0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%8.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%71.4%7.00%0.0%1.00%
Finn Harps50.0%2.00%71.4%7.00%50.0%8.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%6.00%16.7%12.00%
Galway United100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Longford Town0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%6.00%0.0%2.00%70.0%10.00%50.0%2.00%
Shelbourne50.0%2.00%83.3%12.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%81.8%11.00%60.0%5.00%
Sligo Rovers100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
St Patrick's Athletic50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
UC Dublin100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%28.6%7.00%0.0%1.00%30.0%10.00%18.2%11.00%
Waterford100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%40.0%5.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
Finn Harps — — 37.36%
Drogheda United — 54.36% 34.79%
Longford Town 57.75% 27.88% 17.75%
Cabinteely 42.25% 17.76% 10.10%
Loser →
↓ Winner
CabinteelyFinn HarpsLongford Town
Cabinteely
Finn Harps
Longford Town
Loser →
↓ Winner
CabinteelyDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsLongford Town
Cabinteely
Drogheda United
Finn Harps
Longford Town
Loser →
↓ Winner
CabinteelyDrogheda UnitedFinn HarpsLongford Town
Cabinteely56.9%17.76%
Drogheda United64.0%54.36%
Finn Harps43.1%17.76%36.0%54.36%36.3%27.88%
Longford Town63.7%27.88%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-02-15 Cork City W 1-045.1 1259 1346 32.13% 24.04% 43.83%-0.28 +10.9 3
2019-02-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-145.1 1346 1259 43.83% 24.04% 32.13%+0.28 -10.9 0
2019-02-15 Finn Harps W 1-040.1 1286 1261 47.57% 23.83% 28.60%+0.46 +7.8 3
2019-02-15 @ Bohemian L 0-140.1 1261 1286 28.60% 23.83% 47.57%-0.46 -7.8 0
2019-02-15 Shamrock Rovers L 1-247.5 1256 1331 33.65% 24.10% 42.25%-0.20 -8.4 0
2019-02-15 @ Waterford W 2-147.5 1331 1256 42.25% 24.10% 33.65%+0.20 +8.4 3
2019-02-15 Sligo Rovers D 1-156.5 1419 1254 63.23% 21.36% 15.41%+1.39 -2.7 1
2019-02-15 @ Dundalk D 1-156.5 1254 1419 15.41% 21.36% 63.23%-1.39 +2.7 1
2019-02-15 UC Dublin W 3-040.2 1148 1250 30.25% 23.94% 45.80%-0.38 +31.0 3
2019-02-15 @ Derry City L 0-340.2 1250 1148 45.80% 23.94% 30.25%+0.38 -31.0 0
2019-02-22 Bohemian L 0-238.8 1219 1294 33.69% 24.10% 42.21%-0.20 -16.8 0
2019-02-22 @ UC Dublin W 2-038.8 1294 1219 42.21% 24.10% 33.69%+0.20 +16.8 6
2019-02-22 Derry City W 2-032.7 1339 1179 62.70% 21.50% 15.81%+1.35 +8.6 6
2019-02-22 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-232.7 1179 1339 15.81% 21.50% 62.70%-1.35 -8.7 3
2019-02-22 Dundalk D 1-155.9 1253 1417 23.14% 23.21% 53.65%-0.79 +1.7 1
2019-02-22 @ Finn Harps D 1-155.9 1417 1253 53.65% 23.21% 23.14%+0.79 -1.7 2
2019-02-22 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-144.2 1256 1270 42.30% 24.10% 33.60%+0.20 -10.6 1
2019-02-22 @ Sligo Rovers W 1-044.2 1270 1256 33.60% 24.10% 42.30%-0.20 +10.6 6
2019-02-22 Waterford L 0-245.3 1335 1247 55.15% 23.00% 21.85%+0.88 -25.0 0
2019-02-22 @ Cork City W 2-045.3 1247 1335 21.85% 23.00% 55.15%-0.88 +25.0 3
2019-02-25 Cork City L 1-247.8 1246 1310 35.17% 24.14% 40.69%-0.13 -8.7 1
2019-02-25 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-147.8 1310 1246 40.69% 24.14% 35.17%+0.13 +8.7 3
2019-02-25 Finn Harps D 0-049.9 1281 1254 47.69% 23.82% 28.49%+0.47 -1.1 7
2019-02-25 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-049.9 1254 1281 28.49% 23.82% 47.69%-0.47 +1.1 2
2019-02-25 Shamrock Rovers W 1-043.5 1311 1348 38.94% 24.16% 36.90%+0.05 +9.5 9
2019-02-25 @ Bohemian L 0-143.5 1348 1311 36.90% 24.16% 38.94%-0.05 -9.5 6
2019-02-25 UC Dublin W 2-140.2 1415 1202 67.45% 20.12% 12.43%+1.71 +3.4 5
2019-02-25 @ Dundalk L 1-240.2 1202 1415 12.43% 20.12% 67.45%-1.71 -3.4 0
2019-02-25 Waterford W 3-255.2 1171 1272 30.21% 23.94% 45.85%-0.38 +10.1 6
2019-02-25 @ Derry City L 2-355.2 1272 1171 45.85% 23.94% 30.21%+0.38 -10.1 3
2019-03-01 Bohemian D 0-050.0 1262 1320 36.05% 24.15% 39.79%-0.09 +0.2 4
2019-03-01 @ Waterford D 0-050.0 1320 1262 39.79% 24.15% 36.05%+0.09 -0.2 10
2019-03-01 Derry City D 0-050.3 1319 1181 60.52% 22.01% 17.47%+1.21 -2.7 4
2019-03-01 @ Cork City D 0-050.3 1181 1319 17.47% 22.01% 60.52%-1.21 +2.7 7
2019-03-01 Dundalk D 0-052.0 1338 1418 33.03% 24.08% 42.89%-0.23 +0.6 7
2019-03-01 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-052.0 1418 1338 42.89% 24.08% 33.03%+0.23 -0.6 6
2019-03-01 Sligo Rovers L 1-250.9 1256 1237 46.63% 23.89% 29.48%+0.42 -10.8 2
2019-03-01 @ Finn Harps W 2-150.9 1237 1256 29.48% 23.89% 46.63%-0.42 +10.8 4
2019-03-01 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.5 1199 1280 32.88% 24.07% 43.05%-0.24 +0.5 1
2019-03-01 @ UC Dublin D 1-154.5 1280 1199 43.05% 24.07% 32.88%+0.24 -0.5 8
2019-03-04 Finn Harps W 3-033.1 1339 1245 55.91% 22.88% 21.21%+0.92 +16.5 10
2019-03-04 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-333.1 1245 1339 21.21% 22.88% 55.91%-0.92 -16.5 2
2019-03-08 Cork City L 3-453.7 1228 1316 31.98% 24.04% 43.98%-0.29 -7.5 2
2019-03-08 @ Finn Harps W 4-353.7 1316 1228 43.98% 24.04% 31.98%+0.29 +7.4 7
2019-03-08 Derry City D 1-155.2 1320 1184 60.37% 22.04% 17.59%+1.20 -2.4 11
2019-03-08 @ Bohemian D 1-155.2 1184 1320 17.59% 22.04% 60.37%-1.20 +2.4 8
2019-03-08 Shamrock Rovers L 0-142.2 1279 1356 33.49% 24.09% 42.42%-0.21 -8.9 8
2019-03-08 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-042.2 1356 1279 42.42% 24.09% 33.49%+0.21 +8.9 13
2019-03-08 Waterford W 4-031.4 1418 1263 62.25% 21.61% 16.14%+1.32 +16.7 9
2019-03-08 @ Dundalk L 0-431.4 1263 1418 16.14% 21.61% 62.25%-1.32 -16.8 4
2019-03-09 UC Dublin W 1-038.9 1248 1199 50.54% 23.57% 25.89%+0.62 +7.2 7
2019-03-09 @ Sligo Rovers L 0-138.9 1199 1248 25.89% 23.57% 50.54%-0.62 -7.2 1
2019-03-15 Bohemian W 2-038.7 1323 1317 44.99% 23.99% 31.02%+0.33 +15.7 10
2019-03-15 @ Cork City L 0-238.7 1317 1323 31.02% 23.99% 44.99%-0.33 -15.7 11
2019-03-15 Dundalk L 0-233.3 1186 1435 15.85% 21.51% 62.63%-1.35 -8.7 8
2019-03-15 @ Derry City W 2-033.3 1435 1186 62.63% 21.51% 15.85%+1.35 +8.7 12
2019-03-15 Finn Harps W 3-037.3 1192 1221 40.19% 24.15% 35.66%+0.11 +25.4 4
2019-03-15 @ UC Dublin L 0-337.3 1221 1192 35.66% 24.15% 40.19%-0.11 -25.4 2
2019-03-15 Sligo Rovers W 3-032.9 1364 1255 57.54% 22.61% 19.86%+1.02 +15.6 16
2019-03-15 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-332.9 1255 1364 19.86% 22.61% 57.54%-1.02 -15.6 7
2019-03-15 St Patrick's Athletic W 2-039.3 1246 1270 40.79% 24.14% 35.08%+0.13 +17.3 7
2019-03-15 @ Waterford L 0-239.3 1270 1246 35.08% 24.14% 40.79%-0.13 -17.3 8
2019-03-22 Shamrock Rovers L 0-137.7 1195 1380 21.11% 22.86% 56.03%-0.93 -6.0 2
2019-03-22 @ Finn Harps W 1-037.7 1380 1195 56.03% 22.86% 21.11%+0.93 +6.0 19
2019-03-29 Cork City W 1-039.9 1443 1339 56.99% 22.70% 20.31%+0.98 +5.8 15
2019-03-29 @ Dundalk L 0-139.9 1339 1443 20.31% 22.70% 56.99%-0.98 -5.8 10
2019-03-29 Finn Harps W 4-032.6 1263 1189 53.55% 23.22% 23.22%+0.78 +23.4 10
2019-03-29 @ Waterford L 0-432.6 1189 1263 23.22% 23.22% 53.55%-0.78 -23.4 2
2019-03-29 Sligo Rovers W 2-040.6 1177 1240 35.42% 24.14% 40.44%-0.12 +19.3 11
2019-03-29 @ Derry City L 0-240.6 1240 1177 40.44% 24.14% 35.42%+0.12 -19.3 7
2019-03-29 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-039.3 1302 1253 50.53% 23.57% 25.90%+0.62 +7.2 14
2019-03-29 @ Bohemian L 0-139.3 1253 1302 25.90% 23.57% 50.53%-0.62 -7.2 8
2019-03-29 UC Dublin W 3-138.4 1386 1217 63.51% 21.29% 15.20%+1.41 +7.2 22
2019-03-29 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-338.4 1217 1386 15.20% 21.29% 63.51%-1.41 -7.2 4
2019-04-05 Derry City L 2-353.3 1166 1197 39.90% 24.15% 35.95%+0.09 -9.0 2
2019-04-05 @ Finn Harps W 3-253.3 1197 1166 35.95% 24.15% 39.90%-0.09 +9.1 14
2019-04-05 Dundalk W 1-049.8 1246 1449 19.44% 22.51% 58.05%-1.05 +13.9 11
2019-04-05 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-149.8 1449 1246 58.05% 22.51% 19.44%+1.05 -13.9 15
2019-04-05 Shamrock Rovers L 1-346.7 1333 1393 35.75% 24.15% 40.10%-0.10 -15.2 10
2019-04-05 @ Cork City W 3-146.7 1393 1333 40.10% 24.15% 35.75%+0.10 +15.2 25
2019-04-05 Waterford W 4-144.1 1210 1286 33.52% 24.10% 42.39%-0.21 +24.5 7
2019-04-05 @ UC Dublin L 1-444.1 1286 1210 42.39% 24.10% 33.52%+0.21 -24.5 10
2019-04-06 Bohemian L 0-238.3 1220 1309 31.89% 24.03% 44.08%-0.29 -16.0 7
2019-04-06 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-038.3 1309 1220 44.08% 24.03% 31.89%+0.29 +16.0 17
2019-04-12 Bohemian L 0-137.9 1157 1325 22.71% 23.14% 54.15%-0.82 -6.4 2
2019-04-12 @ Finn Harps W 1-037.9 1325 1157 54.15% 23.14% 22.71%+0.82 +6.4 20
2019-04-12 Derry City L 0-242.8 1235 1206 48.03% 23.79% 28.17%+0.49 -22.2 7
2019-04-12 @ UC Dublin W 2-042.8 1206 1235 28.17% 23.79% 48.03%-0.49 +22.2 17
2019-04-12 Dundalk W 2-155.4 1204 1435 17.17% 21.93% 60.90%-1.23 +13.7 10
2019-04-12 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-255.4 1435 1204 60.90% 21.93% 17.17%+1.23 -13.7 15
2019-04-12 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-155.1 1318 1260 51.71% 23.45% 24.84%+0.68 -1.4 11
2019-04-12 @ Cork City D 1-155.1 1260 1318 24.84% 23.45% 51.71%-0.68 +1.5 12
2019-04-12 Waterford W 2-142.5 1408 1262 61.39% 21.81% 16.80%+1.27 +4.6 28
2019-04-12 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-242.5 1262 1408 16.80% 21.81% 61.39%-1.27 -4.6 10
2019-04-15 Bohemian W 1-039.8 1421 1331 55.43% 22.96% 21.62%+0.89 +6.1 18
2019-04-15 @ Dundalk L 0-139.8 1331 1421 21.62% 22.96% 55.43%-0.89 -6.1 20
2019-04-15 Cork City W 2-150.9 1213 1317 29.91% 23.92% 46.17%-0.39 +10.7 10
2019-04-15 @ UC Dublin L 1-250.9 1317 1213 46.17% 23.92% 29.91%+0.39 -10.7 11
2019-04-15 Derry City L 1-348.6 1261 1228 48.57% 23.75% 27.68%+0.52 -19.4 12
2019-04-15 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-148.6 1228 1261 27.68% 23.75% 48.57%-0.52 +19.4 20
2019-04-15 Waterford D 0-049.6 1218 1257 38.67% 24.16% 37.16%+0.03 -0.1 11
2019-04-15 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-049.6 1257 1218 37.16% 24.16% 38.67%-0.03 +0.1 11
2019-04-19 Cork City W 2-040.5 1257 1306 37.37% 24.16% 38.47%-0.03 +18.6 14
2019-04-19 @ Waterford L 0-240.5 1306 1257 38.47% 24.16% 37.37%+0.03 -18.6 11
2019-04-19 Finn Harps W 3-028.1 1428 1150 72.49% 18.23% 9.28%+2.13 +7.2 21
2019-04-19 @ Dundalk L 0-328.1 1150 1428 9.28% 18.23% 72.49%-2.13 -7.2 2
2019-04-19 Shamrock Rovers L 0-139.0 1247 1413 22.96% 23.18% 53.86%-0.80 -6.5 20
2019-04-19 @ Derry City W 1-039.0 1413 1247 53.86% 23.18% 22.96%+0.80 +6.5 31
2019-04-19 Sligo Rovers W 2-145.5 1242 1218 47.36% 23.84% 28.80%+0.45 +7.4 15
2019-04-19 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-245.5 1218 1242 28.80% 23.84% 47.36%-0.45 -7.4 11
2019-04-19 UC Dublin W 3-032.7 1325 1223 56.75% 22.74% 20.51%+0.97 +16.0 23
2019-04-19 @ Bohemian L 0-332.7 1223 1325 20.51% 22.74% 56.75%-0.97 -16.0 10
2019-04-22 Derry City D 2-260.2 1276 1241 48.82% 23.73% 27.45%+0.53 -0.8 15
2019-04-22 @ Waterford D 2-260.2 1241 1276 27.45% 23.73% 48.82%-0.53 +0.8 21
2019-04-22 Dundalk L 1-339.6 1207 1435 17.43% 22.00% 60.57%-1.21 -8.2 10
2019-04-22 @ UC Dublin W 3-139.6 1435 1207 60.57% 22.00% 17.43%+1.21 +8.2 24
2019-04-22 Sligo Rovers D 0-049.9 1287 1211 53.91% 23.18% 22.92%+0.80 -1.9 12
2019-04-22 @ Cork City D 0-049.9 1211 1287 22.92% 23.18% 53.91%-0.80 +1.9 12
2019-04-22 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-237.3 1143 1249 29.67% 23.91% 46.42%-0.41 -15.2 2
2019-04-22 @ Finn Harps W 2-037.3 1249 1143 46.42% 23.91% 29.67%+0.41 +15.1 18
2019-04-23 Bohemian L 0-149.8 1419 1341 54.06% 23.15% 22.78%+0.81 -13.0 31
2019-04-23 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-049.8 1341 1419 22.78% 23.15% 54.06%-0.81 +13.0 26
2019-04-26 Cork City W 2-040.1 1242 1285 38.04% 24.16% 37.80%+0.01 +18.3 24
2019-04-26 @ Derry City L 0-240.1 1285 1242 37.80% 24.16% 38.04%-0.01 -18.3 12
2019-04-26 Finn Harps D 1-154.5 1212 1128 54.78% 23.05% 22.17%+0.85 -1.8 13
2019-04-26 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.5 1128 1212 22.17% 23.05% 54.78%-0.85 +1.8 3
2019-04-26 Shamrock Rovers W 2-149.5 1443 1406 49.00% 23.71% 27.28%+0.54 +7.1 27
2019-04-26 @ Dundalk L 1-249.5 1406 1443 27.28% 23.71% 49.00%-0.54 -7.1 31
2019-04-26 UC Dublin W 2-035.6 1264 1199 52.54% 23.35% 24.11%+0.73 +12.7 21
2019-04-26 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-235.6 1199 1264 24.11% 23.35% 52.54%-0.73 -12.7 10
2019-04-26 Waterford D 0-050.7 1354 1275 54.18% 23.14% 22.68%+0.82 -1.9 27
2019-04-26 @ Bohemian D 0-050.7 1275 1354 22.68% 23.14% 54.18%-0.82 +1.9 16
2019-04-29 Bohemian L 0-238.6 1260 1352 31.39% 24.01% 44.61%-0.32 -15.8 24
2019-04-29 @ Derry City W 2-038.6 1352 1260 44.61% 24.01% 31.39%+0.32 +15.8 30
2019-04-29 Dundalk L 0-335.0 1277 1450 22.23% 23.06% 54.71%-0.85 -17.2 16
2019-04-29 @ Waterford W 3-035.0 1450 1277 54.71% 23.06% 22.23%+0.85 +17.2 30
2019-04-29 Finn Harps D 1-154.9 1267 1130 60.48% 22.02% 17.50%+1.20 -2.4 13
2019-04-29 @ Cork City D 1-154.9 1130 1267 17.50% 22.02% 60.48%-1.20 +2.4 4
2019-04-29 Sligo Rovers L 0-240.7 1186 1211 40.81% 24.14% 35.05%+0.13 -19.4 10
2019-04-29 @ UC Dublin W 2-040.7 1211 1186 35.05% 24.14% 40.81%-0.13 +19.4 16
2019-04-29 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-037.7 1399 1277 58.94% 22.34% 18.72%+1.11 +5.4 34
2019-04-29 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-137.7 1277 1399 18.72% 22.34% 58.94%-1.11 -5.4 21
2019-05-03 Cork City L 0-148.8 1368 1265 56.92% 22.71% 20.37%+0.98 -13.7 30
2019-05-03 @ Bohemian W 1-048.8 1265 1368 20.37% 22.71% 56.92%-0.98 +13.7 16
2019-05-03 Derry City D 2-262.9 1467 1244 68.31% 19.83% 11.87%+1.77 -2.4 31
2019-05-03 @ Dundalk D 2-262.9 1244 1467 11.87% 19.83% 68.31%-1.77 +2.4 25
2019-05-03 UC Dublin W 3-037.4 1132 1167 39.35% 24.16% 36.50%+0.07 +25.9 7
2019-05-03 @ Finn Harps L 0-337.4 1167 1132 36.50% 24.16% 39.35%-0.07 -25.9 10
2019-05-03 Waterford L 0-340.6 1272 1260 45.77% 23.95% 30.29%+0.37 -31.0 21
2019-05-03 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 3-040.6 1260 1272 30.29% 23.95% 45.77%-0.37 +31.0 19
2019-05-04 Shamrock Rovers W 2-153.9 1230 1405 22.07% 23.04% 54.90%-0.86 +12.5 19
2019-05-04 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-253.9 1405 1230 54.90% 23.04% 22.07%+0.86 -12.5 34
2019-05-10 Dundalk L 0-241.0 1355 1465 29.14% 23.87% 46.99%-0.43 -14.9 30
2019-05-10 @ Bohemian W 2-041.0 1465 1355 46.99% 23.87% 29.14%+0.43 +14.9 34
2019-05-10 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.5 1247 1241 44.97% 23.99% 31.04%+0.33 -0.7 26
2019-05-10 @ Derry City D 1-154.5 1241 1247 31.04% 23.99% 44.97%-0.33 +0.7 22
2019-05-10 UC Dublin W 2-033.1 1278 1141 60.49% 22.02% 17.49%+1.21 +9.5 19
2019-05-10 @ Cork City L 0-233.1 1141 1278 17.49% 22.02% 60.49%-1.21 -9.5 10
2019-05-11 Sligo Rovers D 3-363.7 1291 1243 50.47% 23.58% 25.95%+0.62 -0.8 20
2019-05-11 @ Waterford D 3-363.7 1243 1291 25.95% 23.58% 50.47%-0.62 +0.8 20
2019-05-17 Bohemian D 1-154.9 1241 1340 30.64% 23.97% 45.39%-0.36 +0.8 23
2019-05-17 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.9 1340 1241 45.39% 23.97% 30.64%+0.36 -0.8 31
2019-05-17 Dundalk L 0-236.9 1288 1480 20.44% 22.73% 56.83%-0.97 -11.0 19
2019-05-17 @ Cork City W 2-036.9 1480 1288 56.83% 22.73% 20.44%+0.97 +11.0 37
2019-05-17 Shamrock Rovers L 0-135.2 1131 1392 15.00% 21.21% 63.79%-1.43 -4.4 10
2019-05-17 @ UC Dublin W 1-035.2 1392 1131 63.79% 21.21% 15.00%+1.43 +4.4 37
2019-05-17 Waterford W 3-256.3 1158 1290 26.59% 23.65% 49.76%-0.58 +10.9 10
2019-05-17 @ Finn Harps L 2-356.3 1290 1158 49.76% 23.65% 26.59%+0.58 -10.8 20
2019-05-18 Derry City D 0-049.6 1243 1246 43.84% 24.04% 32.12%+0.28 -0.7 21
2019-05-18 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-049.6 1246 1243 32.12% 24.04% 43.84%-0.28 +0.7 27
2019-05-20 Bohemian W 2-145.1 1491 1339 61.93% 21.69% 16.39%+1.30 +4.5 40
2019-05-20 @ Dundalk L 1-245.1 1339 1491 16.39% 21.69% 61.93%-1.30 -4.5 31
2019-05-20 Cork City L 0-138.4 1127 1277 24.61% 23.42% 51.97%-0.70 -6.9 10
2019-05-20 @ UC Dublin W 1-038.4 1277 1127 51.97% 23.42% 24.61%+0.70 +6.9 22
2019-05-20 Shamrock Rovers L 0-331.6 1169 1397 17.42% 22.00% 60.59%-1.21 -13.8 10
2019-05-20 @ Finn Harps W 3-031.6 1397 1169 60.59% 22.00% 17.42%+1.21 +13.8 40
2019-05-21 Derry City W 1-041.1 1242 1247 43.59% 24.05% 32.36%+0.27 +8.6 26
2019-05-21 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-141.1 1247 1242 32.36% 24.05% 43.59%-0.27 -8.6 27
2019-05-24 Cork City W 2-035.0 1410 1284 59.38% 22.25% 18.36%+1.13 +10.0 43
2019-05-24 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-235.0 1284 1410 18.36% 22.25% 59.38%-1.13 -10.0 22
2019-05-24 Finn Harps W 4-032.2 1238 1155 54.59% 23.08% 22.33%+0.84 +22.6 30
2019-05-24 @ Derry City L 0-432.2 1155 1238 22.33% 23.08% 54.59%-0.84 -22.6 10
2019-05-24 Sligo Rovers L 1-253.7 1334 1243 55.62% 22.93% 21.46%+0.90 -12.6 31
2019-05-24 @ Bohemian W 2-153.7 1243 1334 21.46% 22.93% 55.62%-0.90 +12.6 24
2019-05-24 St Patrick's Athletic W 1-035.3 1495 1251 70.02% 19.21% 10.77%+1.91 +3.1 43
2019-05-24 @ Dundalk L 0-135.3 1251 1495 10.77% 19.21% 70.02%-1.91 -3.1 26
2019-05-24 UC Dublin W 1-035.2 1279 1120 62.60% 21.52% 15.88%+1.35 +4.6 23
2019-05-24 @ Waterford L 0-135.2 1120 1279 15.88% 21.52% 62.60%-1.35 -4.6 10
2019-05-31 Cork City D 1-154.6 1248 1274 40.56% 24.14% 35.30%+0.12 -0.3 27
2019-05-31 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.6 1274 1248 35.30% 24.14% 40.56%-0.12 +0.3 23
2019-05-31 Finn Harps W 5-342.1 1322 1133 65.40% 20.76% 13.84%+1.55 +5.5 34
2019-05-31 @ Bohemian L 3-542.1 1133 1322 13.84% 20.76% 65.40%-1.55 -5.5 10
2019-05-31 Sligo Rovers W 4-030.1 1498 1255 69.91% 19.25% 10.84%+1.91 +11.2 46
2019-05-31 @ Dundalk L 0-430.1 1255 1498 10.84% 19.25% 69.91%-1.91 -11.2 24
2019-06-08 Derry City D 2-262.0 1420 1261 62.69% 21.50% 15.81%+1.35 -2.0 44
2019-06-08 @ Shamrock Rovers D 2-262.0 1261 1420 15.81% 21.50% 62.69%-1.35 +2.0 31
2019-06-08 Dundalk L 0-328.2 1127 1510 8.62% 17.74% 73.64%-2.24 -6.7 10
2019-06-08 @ Finn Harps W 3-028.2 1510 1127 73.64% 17.74% 8.62%+2.24 +6.7 49
2019-06-08 St Patrick's Athletic D 1-154.5 1244 1247 43.73% 24.05% 32.23%+0.27 -0.6 25
2019-06-08 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.5 1247 1244 32.23% 24.05% 43.73%-0.27 +0.6 28
2019-06-14 Cork City D 1-154.6 1244 1274 39.93% 24.15% 35.92%+0.09 -0.2 26
2019-06-14 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.6 1274 1244 35.92% 24.15% 39.93%-0.09 +0.2 24
2019-06-14 Finn Harps W 1-036.1 1248 1120 59.49% 22.23% 18.28%+1.14 +5.3 31
2019-06-14 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 0-136.1 1120 1248 18.28% 22.23% 59.49%-1.14 -5.3 10
2019-06-14 Shamrock Rovers W 2-152.4 1327 1418 31.56% 24.02% 44.42%-0.31 +10.4 37
2019-06-14 @ Bohemian L 1-252.4 1418 1327 44.42% 24.02% 31.56%+0.31 -10.4 44
2019-06-28 Bohemian L 1-248.6 1284 1338 36.58% 24.16% 39.26%-0.06 -8.9 23
2019-06-28 @ Waterford W 2-148.6 1338 1284 39.26% 24.16% 36.58%+0.06 +8.9 40
2019-06-28 Derry City L 1-445.2 1274 1262 45.77% 23.95% 30.29%+0.37 -26.1 24
2019-06-28 @ Cork City W 4-145.2 1262 1274 30.29% 23.95% 45.77%-0.37 +26.1 34
2019-06-28 Dundalk L 0-147.0 1408 1516 29.39% 23.89% 46.72%-0.42 -8.0 44
2019-06-28 @ Shamrock Rovers W 1-047.0 1516 1408 46.72% 23.89% 29.39%+0.42 +8.0 52
2019-06-28 Sligo Rovers W 2-043.0 1115 1243 27.01% 23.69% 49.30%-0.55 +22.7 13
2019-06-28 @ Finn Harps L 0-243.0 1243 1115 49.30% 23.69% 27.01%+0.55 -22.7 26
2019-06-28 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-138.8 1116 1253 25.94% 23.58% 50.48%-0.62 -7.2 10
2019-06-28 @ UC Dublin W 1-038.8 1253 1116 50.48% 23.58% 25.94%+0.62 +7.2 34
2019-07-01 Cork City D 0-049.5 1138 1248 29.13% 23.87% 47.00%-0.44 +1.0 14
2019-07-01 @ Finn Harps D 0-049.5 1248 1138 47.00% 23.87% 29.13%+0.44 -1.0 25
2019-07-01 Derry City D 0-050.6 1347 1289 51.68% 23.45% 24.87%+0.68 -1.6 41
2019-07-01 @ Bohemian D 0-050.6 1289 1347 24.87% 23.45% 51.68%-0.68 +1.6 35
2019-07-01 Shamrock Rovers L 0-237.2 1260 1400 25.73% 23.55% 50.72%-0.63 -13.5 34
2019-07-01 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-037.2 1400 1260 50.72% 23.55% 25.73%+0.63 +13.5 47
2019-07-01 UC Dublin W 5-134.6 1221 1108 57.86% 22.55% 19.59%+1.04 +16.8 29
2019-07-01 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-534.6 1108 1221 19.59% 22.55% 57.86%-1.04 -16.8 10
2019-07-01 Waterford W 3-031.6 1524 1275 70.40% 19.07% 10.53%+1.95 +8.3 55
2019-07-01 @ Dundalk L 0-331.6 1275 1524 10.53% 19.07% 70.40%-1.95 -8.3 23
2019-07-05 Bohemian D 0-050.1 1247 1345 30.68% 23.97% 45.35%-0.35 +0.8 26
2019-07-05 @ Cork City D 0-050.1 1345 1247 45.35% 23.97% 30.68%+0.35 -0.9 42
2019-07-05 Dundalk D 2-264.5 1290 1533 16.31% 21.66% 62.03%-1.31 +1.9 36
2019-07-05 @ Derry City D 2-264.5 1533 1290 62.03% 21.66% 16.31%+1.31 -1.9 56
2019-07-05 Finn Harps W 1-042.5 1092 1139 37.56% 24.16% 38.28%-0.02 +9.8 13
2019-07-05 @ UC Dublin L 0-142.5 1139 1092 38.28% 24.16% 37.56%+0.02 -9.8 14
2019-07-05 Sligo Rovers D 0-051.5 1414 1237 64.21% 21.10% 14.69%+1.46 -3.2 48
2019-07-05 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-051.5 1237 1414 14.69% 21.10% 64.21%-1.46 +3.2 30
2019-07-05 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-251.0 1267 1247 46.79% 23.88% 29.33%+0.42 -10.8 23
2019-07-05 @ Waterford W 2-151.0 1247 1267 29.33% 23.88% 46.79%-0.42 +10.9 37
2019-07-12 UC Dublin D 0-050.4 1292 1101 65.52% 20.72% 13.76%+1.56 -3.3 37
2019-07-12 @ Derry City D 0-050.4 1101 1292 13.76% 20.72% 65.52%-1.56 +3.3 14
2019-07-13 Waterford D 0-049.6 1241 1256 42.09% 24.10% 33.80%+0.20 -0.5 31
2019-07-13 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-049.6 1256 1241 33.80% 24.10% 42.09%-0.20 +0.5 24
2019-07-15 Bohemian W 3-044.4 1105 1344 16.52% 21.73% 61.75%-1.29 +40.2 17
2019-07-15 @ UC Dublin L 0-344.4 1344 1105 61.75% 21.73% 16.52%+1.29 -40.2 42
2019-07-19 Finn Harps L 0-148.5 1256 1129 59.44% 22.24% 18.32%+1.14 -14.2 24
2019-07-19 @ Waterford W 1-048.5 1129 1256 18.32% 22.24% 59.44%-1.14 +14.2 17
2019-07-19 Sligo Rovers W 3-034.5 1289 1240 50.53% 23.57% 25.90%+0.62 +19.7 40
2019-07-19 @ Derry City L 0-334.5 1240 1289 25.90% 23.57% 50.53%-0.62 -19.7 31
2019-07-21 St Patrick's Athletic W 3-034.7 1304 1258 50.20% 23.61% 26.19%+0.60 +19.8 45
2019-07-21 @ Bohemian L 0-334.7 1258 1304 26.19% 23.61% 50.20%-0.60 -19.8 37
2019-07-21 UC Dublin W 7-028.4 1410 1145 71.61% 18.59% 9.80%+2.05 +17.0 51
2019-07-21 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-728.4 1145 1410 9.80% 18.59% 71.61%-2.05 -17.0 17
2019-07-26 Derry City W 1-047.2 1143 1308 23.00% 23.19% 53.81%-0.80 +13.0 20
2019-07-26 @ Finn Harps L 0-147.2 1308 1143 53.81% 23.19% 23.00%+0.80 -13.0 40
2019-07-26 Waterford L 1-245.3 1128 1242 28.70% 23.84% 47.46%-0.46 -7.4 17
2019-07-26 @ UC Dublin W 2-145.3 1242 1128 47.46% 23.84% 28.70%+0.46 +7.4 27
2019-07-27 Bohemian D 1-154.7 1220 1324 29.99% 23.93% 46.09%-0.39 +0.8 32
2019-07-27 @ Sligo Rovers D 1-154.7 1324 1220 46.09% 23.93% 29.99%+0.39 -0.8 46
2019-07-27 Dundalk L 0-136.8 1238 1531 12.99% 20.38% 66.63%-1.64 -3.8 37
2019-07-27 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 1-036.8 1531 1238 66.63% 20.38% 12.99%+1.64 +3.8 59
2019-07-28 Shamrock Rovers D 1-156.0 1248 1427 21.62% 22.96% 55.42%-0.89 +1.9 27
2019-07-28 @ Cork City D 1-156.0 1427 1248 55.42% 22.96% 21.62%+0.89 -1.9 52
2019-07-29 Waterford W 2-036.6 1296 1249 50.21% 23.60% 26.19%+0.60 +13.7 43
2019-07-29 @ Derry City L 0-236.6 1249 1296 26.19% 23.60% 50.21%-0.60 -13.7 27
2019-08-02 Bohemian W 1-047.3 1156 1323 22.85% 23.16% 53.99%-0.81 +13.0 23
2019-08-02 @ Finn Harps L 0-147.3 1323 1156 53.99% 23.16% 22.85%+0.81 -13.0 46
2019-08-02 Derry City L 1-339.8 1121 1309 20.76% 22.79% 56.45%-0.95 -9.7 17
2019-08-02 @ UC Dublin W 3-139.8 1309 1121 56.45% 22.79% 20.76%+0.95 +9.7 46
2019-08-02 St Patrick's Athletic L 0-145.2 1250 1234 46.27% 23.92% 29.81%+0.40 -11.4 27
2019-08-02 @ Cork City W 1-045.2 1234 1250 29.81% 23.92% 46.27%-0.40 +11.4 40
2019-08-16 Cork City L 1-250.1 1236 1238 43.80% 24.04% 32.16%+0.28 -10.3 27
2019-08-16 @ Waterford W 2-150.1 1238 1236 32.16% 24.04% 43.80%-0.28 +10.3 30
2019-08-16 Finn Harps W 5-026.9 1534 1169 78.32% 15.49% 6.19%+2.71 +7.4 62
2019-08-16 @ Dundalk L 0-526.9 1169 1534 6.19% 15.49% 78.32%-2.71 -7.4 23
2019-08-16 Shamrock Rovers L 0-239.6 1319 1425 29.59% 23.90% 46.51%-0.41 -15.1 46
2019-08-16 @ Derry City W 2-039.6 1425 1319 46.51% 23.90% 29.59%+0.41 +15.1 55
2019-08-16 Sligo Rovers W 2-145.5 1246 1221 47.43% 23.84% 28.73%+0.46 +7.4 43
2019-08-16 @ St Patrick's Athletic L 1-245.5 1221 1246 28.73% 23.84% 47.43%-0.46 -7.4 32
2019-08-16 UC Dublin W 10-130.4 1310 1111 66.26% 20.50% 13.25%+1.61 +24.3 49
2019-08-16 @ Bohemian L 1-1030.4 1111 1310 13.25% 20.50% 66.26%-1.61 -24.3 17
2019-08-19 Shamrock Rovers L 1-535.5 1225 1441 18.42% 22.27% 59.31%-1.13 -15.8 27
2019-08-19 @ Waterford W 5-135.5 1441 1225 59.31% 22.27% 18.42%+1.13 +15.8 58
2019-08-26 UC Dublin W 3-025.3 1542 1087 83.22% 12.74% 4.05%+3.31 +2.9 65
2019-08-26 @ Dundalk L 0-325.3 1087 1542 4.05% 12.74% 83.22%-3.31 -2.8 17
2019-08-27 Waterford W 2-139.8 1456 1210 70.20% 19.14% 10.66%+1.93 +2.9 61
2019-08-27 @ Shamrock Rovers L 1-239.8 1210 1456 10.66% 19.14% 70.20%-1.93 -2.9 27
2019-08-30 Bohemian W 1-039.5 1459 1334 59.21% 22.29% 18.50%+1.12 +5.3 64
2019-08-30 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-139.5 1334 1459 18.50% 22.29% 59.21%-1.12 -5.3 49
2019-08-30 Derry City D 1-154.6 1207 1304 30.80% 23.98% 45.23%-0.35 +0.8 28
2019-08-30 @ Waterford D 1-154.6 1304 1207 45.23% 23.98% 30.80%+0.35 -0.8 47
2019-08-30 Dundalk L 0-526.0 1084 1545 6.01% 15.29% 78.70%-2.75 -7.2 17
2019-08-30 @ UC Dublin W 5-026.0 1545 1084 78.70% 15.29% 6.01%+2.75 +7.2 68
2019-08-30 Sligo Rovers L 2-452.0 1249 1214 48.78% 23.73% 27.49%+0.53 -17.4 30
2019-08-30 @ Cork City W 4-252.0 1214 1249 27.49% 23.73% 48.78%-0.53 +17.4 35
2019-09-02 Dundalk L 0-233.6 1231 1552 11.44% 19.60% 68.96%-1.83 -6.2 35
2019-09-02 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-033.6 1552 1231 68.96% 19.60% 11.44%+1.83 +6.2 71
2019-09-02 Waterford L 1-251.0 1231 1207 47.36% 23.84% 28.80%+0.45 -11.0 30
2019-09-02 @ Cork City W 2-151.0 1207 1231 28.80% 23.84% 47.36%-0.45 +11.0 31
2019-09-06 Cork City W 1-034.0 1558 1220 76.61% 16.35% 7.03%+2.53 +1.9 74
2019-09-06 @ Dundalk L 0-134.0 1220 1558 7.03% 16.35% 76.61%-2.53 -1.9 30
2019-09-06 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-246.2 1162 1253 31.54% 24.01% 44.44%-0.31 -8.0 23
2019-09-06 @ Finn Harps W 2-146.2 1253 1162 44.44% 24.01% 31.54%+0.31 +8.0 46
2019-09-13 Finn Harps W 3-140.7 1225 1154 53.24% 23.26% 23.49%+0.77 +10.8 38
2019-09-13 @ Sligo Rovers L 1-340.7 1154 1225 23.49% 23.26% 53.24%-0.77 -10.8 23
2019-09-13 UC Dublin D 0-050.3 1261 1077 64.96% 20.89% 14.16%+1.52 -3.2 47
2019-09-13 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-050.3 1077 1261 14.16% 20.89% 64.96%-1.52 +3.2 18
2019-09-13 Waterford L 1-254.1 1329 1218 57.69% 22.58% 19.73%+1.03 -13.0 49
2019-09-13 @ Bohemian W 2-154.1 1218 1329 19.73% 22.58% 57.69%-1.03 +13.0 34
2019-09-20 Bohemian D 0-050.3 1303 1316 42.40% 24.09% 33.51%+0.21 -0.5 48
2019-09-20 @ Derry City D 0-050.3 1316 1303 33.51% 24.09% 42.40%-0.21 +0.5 50
2019-09-20 Dundalk L 0-136.3 1231 1560 11.03% 19.37% 69.60%-1.88 -3.2 34
2019-09-20 @ Waterford W 1-036.3 1560 1231 69.60% 19.37% 11.03%+1.88 +3.2 77
2019-09-20 Finn Harps D 0-049.6 1218 1143 53.73% 23.20% 23.07%+0.79 -1.9 31
2019-09-20 @ Cork City D 0-049.6 1143 1218 23.07% 23.20% 53.73%-0.79 +1.9 24
2019-09-20 Sligo Rovers L 0-235.3 1080 1236 23.97% 23.33% 52.70%-0.74 -12.7 18
2019-09-20 @ UC Dublin W 2-035.3 1236 1080 52.70% 23.33% 23.97%+0.74 +12.7 41
2019-09-20 St Patrick's Athletic D 0-052.6 1465 1258 66.94% 20.28% 12.78%+1.67 -3.5 65
2019-09-20 @ Shamrock Rovers D 0-052.6 1258 1465 12.78% 20.28% 66.94%-1.67 +3.5 48
2019-09-23 Shamrock Rovers W 3-257.8 1563 1461 56.76% 22.74% 20.50%+0.97 +5.2 80
2019-09-23 @ Dundalk L 2-357.8 1461 1563 20.50% 22.74% 56.76%-0.97 -5.2 65
2019-09-27 Cork City W 4-032.4 1302 1217 54.96% 23.03% 22.02%+0.86 +22.3 51
2019-09-27 @ Derry City L 0-432.4 1217 1302 22.02% 23.03% 54.96%-0.86 -22.3 31
2019-10-04 Cork City W 1-036.6 1316 1194 58.93% 22.34% 18.73%+1.10 +5.4 53
2019-10-04 @ Bohemian L 0-136.6 1194 1316 18.73% 22.34% 58.93%-1.10 -5.4 31
2019-10-04 Derry City W 1-039.0 1568 1325 69.94% 19.24% 10.82%+1.91 +3.1 83
2019-10-04 @ Dundalk L 0-139.0 1325 1568 10.82% 19.24% 69.94%-1.91 -3.1 51
2019-10-04 UC Dublin D 0-049.5 1145 1067 54.01% 23.16% 22.83%+0.81 -1.9 25
2019-10-04 @ Finn Harps D 0-049.5 1067 1145 22.83% 23.16% 54.01%-0.81 +1.9 19
2019-10-04 Waterford L 0-243.1 1261 1228 48.54% 23.75% 27.71%+0.51 -22.4 48
2019-10-04 @ St Patrick's Athletic W 2-043.1 1228 1261 27.71% 23.75% 48.54%-0.51 +22.4 37
2019-10-05 Shamrock Rovers D 0-051.7 1248 1456 19.08% 22.43% 58.49%-1.08 +2.5 42
2019-10-05 @ Sligo Rovers D 0-051.7 1456 1248 58.49% 22.43% 19.08%+1.08 -2.5 66
2019-10-08 Sligo Rovers W 2-038.2 1251 1251 44.14% 24.03% 31.83%+0.29 +16.0 40
2019-10-08 @ Waterford L 0-238.2 1251 1251 31.83% 24.03% 44.14%-0.29 -16.0 42
2019-10-11 Dundalk W 2-160.8 1322 1572 15.78% 21.49% 62.74%-1.36 +14.0 56
2019-10-11 @ Bohemian L 1-260.8 1572 1322 62.74% 21.49% 15.78%+1.36 -14.0 83
2019-10-11 Finn Harps W 1-032.2 1453 1143 74.82% 17.21% 7.97%+2.35 +2.2 69
2019-10-11 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-132.2 1143 1453 7.97% 17.21% 74.82%-2.35 -2.2 25
2019-10-11 UC Dublin W 3-246.4 1189 1069 58.66% 22.40% 18.95%+1.09 +4.9 34
2019-10-11 @ Cork City L 2-346.4 1069 1189 18.95% 22.40% 58.66%-1.09 -4.9 19
2019-10-18 Bohemian D 0-050.0 1239 1336 30.79% 23.98% 45.23%-0.35 +0.8 49
2019-10-18 @ St Patrick's Athletic D 0-050.0 1336 1239 45.23% 23.98% 30.79%+0.35 -0.8 57
2019-10-18 Dundalk W 1-053.6 1194 1557 9.40% 18.32% 72.29%-2.11 +16.8 37
2019-10-18 @ Cork City L 0-153.6 1557 1194 72.29% 18.32% 9.40%+2.11 -16.8 83
2019-10-18 Shamrock Rovers L 0-327.3 1064 1456 8.28% 17.47% 74.25%-2.30 -6.4 19
2019-10-18 @ UC Dublin W 3-027.3 1456 1064 74.25% 17.47% 8.28%+2.30 +6.4 72
2019-10-18 Waterford W 1-045.8 1141 1267 27.29% 23.72% 49.00%-0.54 +12.0 28
2019-10-18 @ Finn Harps L 0-145.8 1267 1141 49.00% 23.72% 27.29%+0.54 -12.0 40
2019-10-19 Derry City L 1-246.9 1235 1322 32.12% 24.04% 43.83%-0.28 -8.1 42
2019-10-19 @ Sligo Rovers W 2-146.9 1322 1235 43.83% 24.04% 32.12%+0.28 +8.1 54
2019-10-22 St Patrick's Athletic L 1-350.7 1330 1240 55.43% 22.96% 21.62%+0.89 -21.8 54
2019-10-22 @ Derry City W 3-150.7 1240 1330 21.62% 22.96% 55.43%-0.89 +21.8 52
2019-10-25 Cork City W 3-029.5 1462 1210 70.56% 19.00% 10.43%+1.96 +8.2 75
2019-10-25 @ Shamrock Rovers L 0-329.5 1210 1462 10.43% 19.00% 70.56%-1.96 -8.2 37
2019-10-25 Finn Harps W 4-030.0 1308 1153 62.24% 21.61% 16.15%+1.32 +16.8 57
2019-10-25 @ Derry City L 0-430.0 1153 1308 16.15% 21.61% 62.24%-1.32 -16.8 28
2019-10-25 Sligo Rovers W 2-142.8 1335 1227 57.43% 22.62% 19.94%+1.01 +5.4 60
2019-10-25 @ Bohemian L 1-242.8 1227 1335 19.94% 22.62% 57.43%-1.01 -5.4 42
2019-10-25 St Patrick's Athletic W 4-030.3 1541 1261 72.63% 18.17% 9.20%+2.14 +9.3 86
2019-10-25 @ Dundalk L 0-430.3 1261 1541 9.20% 18.17% 72.63%-2.14 -9.4 52
2019-10-25 UC Dublin W 4-240.2 1255 1058 66.06% 20.56% 13.38%+1.60 +5.7 43
2019-10-25 @ Waterford L 2-440.2 1058 1255 13.38% 20.56% 66.06%-1.60 -5.7 19

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2019-10-04 Longford Town D 0-049.3 1138 1189 36.91% 24.16% 38.93%-0.05 +0.1 0-0-1
2019-10-04 @ Cabinteely D 0-049.3 1189 1138 38.93% 24.16% 36.91%+0.05 -0.1 0-0-1
2019-10-11 Cabinteely L 1-348.9 1189 1138 50.86% 23.54% 25.60%+0.64 -20.2 0-1-1
2019-10-11 @ Longford Town W 3-148.9 1138 1189 25.60% 23.54% 50.86%-0.64 +20.2 1-0-1
2019-10-18 Drogheda United D 1-154.2 1158 1210 36.81% 24.16% 39.03%-0.05 +0.1 1-0-2
2019-10-18 @ Cabinteely D 1-154.2 1210 1158 39.03% 24.16% 36.81%+0.05 -0.1 0-0-1
2019-10-25 Cabinteely W 5-136.7 1210 1158 50.95% 23.53% 25.52%+0.64 +21.1 1-0-1
2019-10-25 @ Drogheda United L 1-536.7 1158 1210 25.52% 23.53% 50.95%-0.64 -21.1 1-1-2
2019-10-28 Finn Harps W 1-037.1 1231 1136 56.02% 22.86% 21.12%+0.93 +6.0 2-0-1
2019-10-28 @ Drogheda United L 0-137.1 1136 1231 21.12% 22.86% 56.02%-0.93 -6.0 0-1
2019-11-01 Drogheda United W 2-042.3 1130 1237 29.50% 23.89% 46.60%-0.42 +21.6 1-1
2019-11-01 @ Finn Harps L 0-242.3 1237 1130 46.60% 23.89% 29.50%+0.42 -21.6 2-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-10-18 9.40% @ Cork City 1194 1 Dundalk 1557 0
2 2019-10-11 15.78% @ Bohemian 1322 2 Dundalk 1572 1
3 2019-07-15 16.52% @ UC Dublin 1105 3 Bohemian 1344 0
4 2019-04-12 17.17% @ Sligo Rovers 1204 2 Dundalk 1435 1
5 2019-07-19 18.32% Finn Harps 1129 1 @ Waterford 1256 0
6 2019-04-05 19.44% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1246 1 Dundalk 1449 0
7 2019-09-13 19.73% Waterford 1218 2 @ Bohemian 1329 1
8 2019-05-03 20.37% Cork City 1265 1 @ Bohemian 1368 0
9 2019-05-24 21.46% Sligo Rovers 1243 2 @ Bohemian 1334 1
10 2019-10-22 21.62% St Patrick's Athletic 1240 3 @ Derry City 1330 1
11 2019-02-22 21.85% Waterford 1247 2 @ Cork City 1335 0
12 2019-05-04 22.07% @ Sligo Rovers 1230 2 Shamrock Rovers 1405 1
13 2019-04-23 22.78% Bohemian 1341 1 @ Shamrock Rovers 1419 0
14 2019-08-02 22.85% @ Finn Harps 1156 1 Bohemian 1323 0
15 2019-07-26 23.00% @ Finn Harps 1143 1 Derry City 1308 0
16 2019-10-11 * 25.60% Cabinteely 1138 3 @ Longford Town 1189 1
17 2019-05-17 26.59% @ Finn Harps 1158 3 Waterford 1290 2
18 2019-06-28 27.01% @ Finn Harps 1115 2 Sligo Rovers 1243 0
19 2019-10-18 27.29% @ Finn Harps 1141 1 Waterford 1267 0
20 2019-08-30 27.49% Sligo Rovers 1214 4 @ Cork City 1249 2
21 2019-04-15 27.68% Derry City 1228 3 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1261 1
22 2019-10-04 27.71% Waterford 1228 2 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1261 0
23 2019-04-12 28.17% Derry City 1206 2 @ UC Dublin 1235 0
24 2019-09-02 28.80% Waterford 1207 2 @ Cork City 1231 1
25 2019-07-05 29.33% St Patrick's Athletic 1247 2 @ Waterford 1267 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-07-15 40.23 @ UC Dublin 3 1105 16.52% Bohemian 0 1344 61.75% 21.73%
2 2019-02-15 30.98 @ Derry City 3 1148 30.25% UC Dublin 0 1250 45.80% 23.94%
3 2019-05-03 30.96 Waterford 3 1260 30.29% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1272 45.77% 23.95%
4 2019-06-28 26.11 Derry City 4 1262 30.29% @ Cork City 1 1274 45.77% 23.95%
5 2019-05-03 25.90 @ Finn Harps 3 1132 39.35% UC Dublin 0 1167 36.50% 24.16%
6 2019-03-15 25.44 @ UC Dublin 3 1192 40.19% Finn Harps 0 1221 35.66% 24.15%
7 2019-02-22 25.03 Waterford 2 1247 21.85% @ Cork City 0 1335 55.15% 23.00%
8 2019-04-05 24.53 @ UC Dublin 4 1210 33.52% Waterford 1 1286 42.39% 24.10%
9 2019-08-16 24.32 @ Bohemian 10 1310 66.26% UC Dublin 1 1111 13.25% 20.50%
10 2019-03-29 23.40 @ Waterford 4 1263 53.55% Finn Harps 0 1189 23.22% 23.22%
11 2019-06-28 22.70 @ Finn Harps 2 1115 27.01% Sligo Rovers 0 1243 49.30% 23.69%
12 2019-05-24 22.61 @ Derry City 4 1238 54.59% Finn Harps 0 1155 22.33% 23.08%
13 2019-10-04 22.40 Waterford 2 1228 27.71% @ St Patrick's Athletic 0 1261 48.54% 23.75%
14 2019-09-27 22.33 @ Derry City 4 1302 54.96% Cork City 0 1217 22.02% 23.03%
15 2019-04-12 22.20 Derry City 2 1206 28.17% @ UC Dublin 0 1235 48.03% 23.79%
16 2019-10-22 21.78 St Patrick's Athletic 3 1240 21.62% @ Derry City 1 1330 55.43% 22.96%
17 2019-11-01 * 21.64 @ Finn Harps 2 1130 29.50% Drogheda United 0 1237 46.60% 23.89%
18 2019-10-25 * 21.14 @ Drogheda United 5 1210 50.95% Cabinteely 1 1158 25.52% 23.53%
19 2019-10-11 * 20.19 Cabinteely 3 1138 25.60% @ Longford Town 1 1189 50.86% 23.54%
20 2019-07-21 19.85 @ Bohemian 3 1304 50.20% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1258 26.19% 23.61%
21 2019-07-19 19.67 @ Derry City 3 1289 50.53% Sligo Rovers 0 1240 25.90% 23.57%
22 2019-04-29 19.43 Sligo Rovers 2 1211 35.05% @ UC Dublin 0 1186 40.81% 24.14%
23 2019-04-15 19.41 Derry City 3 1228 27.68% @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1261 48.57% 23.75%
24 2019-03-29 19.29 @ Derry City 2 1177 35.42% Sligo Rovers 0 1240 40.44% 24.14%
25 2019-04-19 18.57 @ Waterford 2 1257 37.37% Cork City 0 1306 38.47% 24.16%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-07-05 64.5 @ Derry City 2 1290 16.31% Dundalk 2 1533 62.03% 21.66%
2 2019-05-11 63.7 @ Waterford 3 1291 50.47% Sligo Rovers 3 1243 25.95% 23.58%
3 2019-05-03 62.9 @ Dundalk 2 1467 68.31% Derry City 2 1244 11.87% 19.83%
4 2019-06-08 62.0 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1420 62.69% Derry City 2 1261 15.81% 21.50%
5 2019-10-11 60.8 @ Bohemian 2 1322 15.78% Dundalk 1 1572 62.74% 21.49%
6 2019-04-22 60.2 @ Waterford 2 1276 48.82% Derry City 2 1241 27.45% 23.73%
7 2019-09-23 57.8 @ Dundalk 3 1563 56.76% Shamrock Rovers 2 1461 20.50% 22.74%
8 2019-02-15 56.5 @ Dundalk 1 1419 63.23% Sligo Rovers 1 1254 15.41% 21.36%
9 2019-05-17 56.3 @ Finn Harps 3 1158 26.59% Waterford 2 1290 49.76% 23.65%
10 2019-07-28 56.0 @ Cork City 1 1248 21.62% Shamrock Rovers 1 1427 55.42% 22.96%
11 2019-02-22 55.9 @ Finn Harps 1 1253 23.14% Dundalk 1 1417 53.65% 23.21%
12 2019-04-12 55.4 @ Sligo Rovers 2 1204 17.17% Dundalk 1 1435 60.90% 21.93%
13 2019-02-25 55.2 @ Derry City 3 1171 30.21% Waterford 2 1272 45.85% 23.94%
14 2019-03-08 55.2 @ Bohemian 1 1320 60.37% Derry City 1 1184 17.59% 22.04%
15 2019-04-12 55.1 @ Cork City 1 1318 51.71% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1260 24.84% 23.45%
16 2019-04-29 54.9 @ Cork City 1 1267 60.48% Finn Harps 1 1130 17.50% 22.02%
17 2019-05-17 54.9 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1241 30.64% Bohemian 1 1340 45.39% 23.97%
18 2019-07-27 54.7 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1220 29.99% Bohemian 1 1324 46.09% 23.93%
19 2019-05-31 54.6 @ St Patrick's Athletic 1 1248 40.56% Cork City 1 1274 35.30% 24.14%
20 2019-06-14 54.6 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1244 39.93% Cork City 1 1274 35.92% 24.15%
21 2019-08-30 54.6 @ Waterford 1 1207 30.80% Derry City 1 1304 45.23% 23.98%
22 2019-03-01 54.5 @ UC Dublin 1 1199 32.88% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1280 43.05% 24.07%
23 2019-04-26 54.5 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1212 54.78% Finn Harps 1 1128 22.17% 23.05%
24 2019-05-10 54.5 @ Derry City 1 1247 44.97% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1241 31.04% 23.99%
25 2019-06-08 54.5 @ Sligo Rovers 1 1244 43.73% St Patrick's Athletic 1 1247 32.23% 24.05%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-08-26 25.3 @ Dundalk 3 1542 83.22% UC Dublin 0 1087 4.05% 12.74%
2 2019-08-30 26.0 Dundalk 5 1545 78.70% @ UC Dublin 0 1084 6.01% 15.29%
3 2019-08-16 26.9 @ Dundalk 5 1534 78.32% Finn Harps 0 1169 6.19% 15.49%
4 2019-10-18 27.3 Shamrock Rovers 3 1456 74.25% @ UC Dublin 0 1064 8.28% 17.47%
5 2019-04-19 28.1 @ Dundalk 3 1428 72.49% Finn Harps 0 1150 9.28% 18.23%
6 2019-06-08 28.2 Dundalk 3 1510 73.64% @ Finn Harps 0 1127 8.62% 17.74%
7 2019-07-21 28.4 @ Shamrock Rovers 7 1410 71.61% UC Dublin 0 1145 9.80% 18.59%
8 2019-10-25 29.5 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1462 70.56% Cork City 0 1210 10.43% 19.00%
9 2019-10-25 30.0 @ Derry City 4 1308 62.24% Finn Harps 0 1153 16.15% 21.61%
10 2019-05-31 30.1 @ Dundalk 4 1498 69.91% Sligo Rovers 0 1255 10.84% 19.25%
11 2019-10-25 30.3 @ Dundalk 4 1541 72.63% St Patrick's Athletic 0 1261 9.20% 18.17%
12 2019-08-16 30.4 @ Bohemian 10 1310 66.26% UC Dublin 1 1111 13.25% 20.50%
13 2019-03-08 31.4 @ Dundalk 4 1418 62.25% Waterford 0 1263 16.14% 21.61%
14 2019-05-20 31.6 Shamrock Rovers 3 1397 60.59% @ Finn Harps 0 1169 17.42% 22.00%
15 2019-07-01 31.6 @ Dundalk 3 1524 70.40% Waterford 0 1275 10.53% 19.07%
16 2019-05-24 32.2 @ Derry City 4 1238 54.59% Finn Harps 0 1155 22.33% 23.08%
17 2019-10-11 32.2 @ Shamrock Rovers 1 1453 74.82% Finn Harps 0 1143 7.97% 17.21%
18 2019-09-27 32.4 @ Derry City 4 1302 54.96% Cork City 0 1217 22.02% 23.03%
19 2019-03-29 32.6 @ Waterford 4 1263 53.55% Finn Harps 0 1189 23.22% 23.22%
20 2019-02-22 32.7 @ Shamrock Rovers 2 1339 62.70% Derry City 0 1179 15.81% 21.50%
21 2019-04-19 32.7 @ Bohemian 3 1325 56.75% UC Dublin 0 1223 20.51% 22.74%
22 2019-03-15 32.9 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1364 57.54% Sligo Rovers 0 1255 19.86% 22.61%
23 2019-03-04 33.1 @ Shamrock Rovers 3 1339 55.91% Finn Harps 0 1245 21.21% 22.88%
24 2019-05-10 33.1 @ Cork City 2 1278 60.49% UC Dublin 0 1141 17.49% 22.02%
25 2019-03-15 33.3 Dundalk 2 1435 62.63% @ Derry City 0 1186 15.85% 21.51%