1939-40 Serie A Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Inter Milan

44 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Inter Milan

11.05 points above expected

44 points · 32.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Modena

5.82 points below expected

22 points · 27.82 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Inter Milan	30	20	4	6	44	56	23	+33	33.0	+11.05
2	Bologna	30	16	9	5	41	44	23	+21	34.8	+6.24
3	Juventus	30	15	6	9	36	45	40	+5	30.5	+5.53
4	Lazio Roma	30	12	11	7	35	44	36	+8	30.8	+4.22
5	Genova 1893	30	14	5	11	33	56	47	+9	33.2	-0.25
6	Torino	30	13	7	10	33	47	41	+6	31.4	+1.57
7	Roma	30	11	7	12	29	28	31	-3	30.3	-1.29
8	AC Milan	30	10	8	12	28	46	38	+8	30.9	-2.94
9	Novara	30	12	3	15	27	27	35	-8	29.3	-2.26
10	Venezia	30	10	7	13	27	34	46	-12	28.0	-1.04
11	Bari	30	9	9	12	27	33	46	-13	28.5	-1.50
12	Triestina	30	10	6	14	26	38	43	-5	29.7	-3.70
13	Fiorentina	30	9	6	15	24	37	48	-11	25.9	-1.91
14	Napoli	30	9	6	15	24	26	41	-15	27.9	-3.86
15	Sampdoria	30	7	10	13	24	25	44	-19	28.0	-4.04
16	Modena	30	7	8	15	22	39	43	-4	27.8	-5.82

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Inter Milan	1835	44	32.95	+11.05	100.0%	22	25	31	33	36	39	42
Bologna	1820	41	34.76	+6.24	97.0%	27	28	32	34	37	41	44
Lazio Roma	1754	35	30.78	+4.22	88.0%	23	24	28	31	33	37	41
Genova 1893	1747	33	33.25	-0.25	50.0%	24	25	30	33	36	40	45
Torino	1742	33	31.43	+1.57	70.0%	23	25	28	32	34	37	39
Juventus	1735	36	30.47	+5.53	91.0%	21	23	27	31	33	37	42
AC Milan	1715	28	30.94	-2.94	29.0%	20	25	28	31	34	38	40
Roma	1694	29	30.29	-1.29	41.0%	19	23	28	30	32	37	43
Modena	1682	22	27.82	-5.82	6.0%	17	22	25	27	30	34	37
Novara	1672	27	29.26	-2.26	32.0%	20	23	27	29	32	35	39
Triestina	1672	26	29.70	-3.70	29.0%	21	24	26	30	33	36	41
Napoli	1643	24	27.86	-3.86	16.0%	18	21	26	28	30	35	38
Bari	1639	27	28.50	-1.50	34.0%	20	22	27	28	30	35	44
Sampdoria	1616	24	28.04	-4.04	22.0%	17	20	25	28	30	35	39
Venezia	1602	27	28.04	-1.04	41.0%	20	21	25	29	31	33	36
Fiorentina	1590	24	25.91	-1.91	35.0%	15	20	23	26	28	33	38

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AM	BAR	BOL	FIO	G1	IM	JUV	LR	MOD	NAP	NOV	ROM	SAM	TOR	TRI	VEN
AC Milan	—	1-0-1 3.10	0-0-2 2.50	1-0-1 3.38	0-2-0 2.60	1-0-1 2.49	0-1-1 2.78	0-1-1 2.87	1-1-0 3.13	2-0-0 3.03	0-0-2 2.99	1-0-1 2.97	1-1-0 3.08	0-0-2 2.87	0-2-0 3.01	2-0-0 3.06
Bari	1-0-1 2.54	—	0-1-1 2.10	1-1-0 3.05	0-0-2 2.38	1-1-0 2.33	1-0-1 2.56	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.87	1-1-0 2.86	1-0-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.67	0-1-1 2.80	0-2-0 2.51	0-1-1 2.67	1-0-1 2.92
Bologna	2-0-0 3.14	1-1-0 3.54	—	1-0-1 3.64	2-0-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 3.26	1-1-0 3.09	1-1-0 3.38	0-2-0 3.59	1-1-0 3.30	1-0-1 3.09	1-1-0 3.45	1-0-1 3.03	2-0-0 3.18	1-1-0 3.50
Fiorentina	1-0-1 2.26	0-1-1 2.58	1-0-1 2.02	—	0-1-1 2.14	0-0-2 2.01	0-1-1 2.42	0-1-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.63	0-1-1 2.53	1-1-0 2.40	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 2.19	1-0-1 2.39	1-0-1 2.54
Genova 1893	0-2-0 3.04	2-0-0 3.26	0-0-2 2.78	1-1-0 3.51	—	0-1-1 2.72	1-0-1 3.12	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 3.41	1-0-1 3.44	1-0-1 3.31	0-1-1 3.16	1-0-1 3.33	1-0-1 2.96	2-0-0 3.15	2-0-0 3.23
Inter Milan	1-0-1 3.14	0-1-1 3.31	1-1-0 2.77	2-0-0 3.64	1-1-0 2.91	—	1-0-1 2.99	1-1-0 3.03	2-0-0 3.38	2-0-0 3.28	1-0-1 3.43	2-0-0 3.08	2-0-0 3.18	2-0-0 3.03	1-0-1 3.14	1-0-1 3.24
Juventus	1-1-0 2.85	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 2.38	1-1-0 3.23	1-0-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.64	—	1-0-1 2.70	2-0-0 3.07	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 2.91	0-1-1 2.82	2-0-0 3.11	1-1-0 2.64	0-0-2 2.91	1-1-0 3.19
Lazio Roma	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 3.04	0-1-1 2.55	1-1-0 3.26	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.93	—	0-2-0 3.09	1-1-0 3.28	1-1-0 3.01	1-0-1 2.97	0-2-0 3.16	1-1-0 2.69	2-0-0 3.01	1-0-1 3.22
Modena	0-1-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.76	0-1-1 2.28	1-0-1 2.97	1-0-1 2.24	0-0-2 2.26	0-0-2 2.57	0-2-0 2.56	—	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.57	0-2-0 2.75	0-0-2 2.48	1-0-1 2.58	1-1-0 2.65
Napoli	0-0-2 2.62	0-1-1 2.77	0-2-0 2.06	1-0-1 3.01	1-0-1 2.19	0-0-2 2.35	0-1-1 2.53	0-1-1 2.36	1-1-0 2.80	—	2-0-0 2.60	0-0-2 2.63	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.42	1-0-1 2.57	1-0-1 2.87
Novara	2-0-0 2.65	1-0-1 2.95	0-1-1 2.35	1-1-0 3.11	1-0-1 2.32	1-0-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 2.62	1-0-1 3.04	0-0-2 3.03	—	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.94	0-0-2 2.60	1-0-1 2.78	1-0-1 3.08
Roma	1-0-1 2.66	1-1-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.55	0-1-1 3.24	1-1-0 2.48	0-0-2 2.56	1-1-0 2.80	1-0-1 2.67	1-0-1 3.07	2-0-0 3.02	1-0-1 2.89	—	0-1-1 3.01	0-1-1 2.74	1-0-1 2.83	0-1-1 3.04
Sampdoria	0-1-1 2.55	1-1-0 2.83	0-1-1 2.21	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 2.31	0-0-2 2.46	0-0-2 2.52	0-2-0 2.48	0-2-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.69	1-1-0 2.63	—	1-0-1 2.56	0-1-1 2.70	0-1-1 2.89
Torino	2-0-0 2.76	0-2-0 3.13	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 3.45	1-0-1 2.68	0-0-2 2.60	0-1-1 2.99	0-1-1 2.94	2-0-0 3.16	1-0-1 3.21	2-0-0 3.04	1-1-0 2.90	1-0-1 3.08	—	1-1-0 2.93	0-1-1 3.11
Triestina	0-2-0 2.62	1-1-0 2.97	0-0-2 2.46	1-0-1 3.24	0-0-2 2.49	1-0-1 2.50	2-0-0 2.73	0-0-2 2.62	1-0-1 3.05	1-0-1 3.06	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.80	1-1-0 2.94	0-1-1 2.69	—	0-1-1 2.94
Venezia	0-0-2 2.57	1-0-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.16	1-0-1 3.09	0-0-2 2.43	1-0-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.44	1-0-1 2.43	0-1-1 2.99	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.55	1-1-0 2.60	1-1-0 2.75	1-1-0 2.54	1-1-0 2.70	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.08%	11.25%	5.62%	3.12%	2.29%	—	29.38%
1	11.25%	10.00%	6.67%	4.58%	1.04%	0.62%	34.17%
2	5.62%	6.67%	6.25%	1.67%	0.21%	0.62%	21.04%
3	3.12%	4.58%	1.67%	—	0.21%	0.42%	10.00%
4	2.29%	1.04%	0.21%	0.21%	—	—	3.75%
5+	—	0.62%	0.62%	0.42%	—	—	1.67%
Total	29.38%	34.17%	21.04%	10.00%	3.75%	1.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.30
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	2.60
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.037
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	10.00%	13.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	—	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	26.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	30.00%	33.33%	10.00%	—	—	100%

AC Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.31
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	2.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.465
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	13.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	36.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	3.33%	26.67%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	33.33%	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Bari — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.61
Mean total goals/game	2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.014
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
1	13.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
Total	43.33%	40.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Bologna — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	0.82
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.319
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	—	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	13.33%	10.00%	20.00%	3.33%	—	—	46.67%
2	3.33%	—	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	13.33%	33.33%	26.67%	—	—	100%

Fiorentina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.23
Mean allowed	1.60
StdDev scored	1.04
StdDev allowed	1.16
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.120
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
1	13.33%	6.67%	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	—	46.67%
2	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	16.67%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
Total	33.33%	13.33%	26.67%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Genova 1893 — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.87
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.48
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	3.43
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.012
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
1	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
3	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	46.67%	36.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Inter Milan — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.87
Mean allowed	0.77
StdDev scored	1.50
StdDev allowed	0.90
Mean total goals/game	2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.280
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	6.67%	—	23.33%
1	16.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	33.33%
2	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	26.67%
3	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	40.00%	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Juventus — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.36
StdDev allowed	1.45
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.035
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	6.67%	—	20.00%
1	13.33%	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	43.33%
2	10.00%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	6.67%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	20.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	100%

Lazio Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	1.28
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.132
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	20.00%	—	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	36.67%
2	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	10.00%	—	—	—	3.33%	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	40.00%	20.00%	3.33%	13.33%	—	100%

Modena — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.24
StdDev allowed	1.28
Mean total goals/game	2.73
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.085
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	16.67%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	50.00%
1	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	46.67%	26.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Napoli — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.03
Mean total goals/game	2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.203
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	26.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	40.00%
1	23.33%	—	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	10.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Novara — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.90
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.32
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.185
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	23.33%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	50.00%
1	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	23.33%
2	6.67%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	10.00%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Roma — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.93
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.07
Mean total goals/game	1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.026
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	40.00%
1	10.00%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
2	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	36.67%	26.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Sampdoria — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	0.79
StdDev allowed	1.14
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.217
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	10.00%	6.67%	10.00%	6.67%	—	3.33%	36.67%
2	—	13.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	40.00%	20.00%	13.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Torino — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	1.37
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.93
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.045
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	30.00%
1	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	10.00%	—	3.33%	36.67%
2	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	23.33%	33.33%	26.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Triestina — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.27
Mean allowed	1.43
StdDev scored	1.34
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	2.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.055
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	36.67%
1	—	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	20.00%
2	10.00%	16.67%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	36.67%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	36.67%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Venezia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	1.33
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.106
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Inter Milan	44	33.0	+11.05
2	Bologna	41	34.8	+6.24
3	Juventus	36	30.5	+5.53
4	Lazio Roma	35	30.8	+4.22
5	Torino	33	31.4	+1.57

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Modena	22	27.8	-5.82
2	Sampdoria	24	28.0	-4.04
3	Napoli	24	27.9	-3.86
4	Triestina	26	29.7	-3.70
5	AC Milan	28	30.9	-2.94

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Inter Milan	8	Feb 25 – May 19	1 in 1,345
2	Lazio Roma	3	Oct 1 – Oct 15	1 in 64
3	Genova 1893	5	Dec 31 – Jan 28	1 in 43
4	AC Milan	3	Mar 24 – Apr 21	1 in 39
5	Venezia	3	Sep 24 – Oct 8	1 in 25

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Modena	6	Dec 3 – Jan 15	1 in 84
2	AC Milan	3	Oct 15 – Oct 29	1 in 74
3	Novara	3	Apr 21 – May 19	1 in 25
4	Genova 1893	3	Feb 18 – Mar 10	1 in 22
5	Torino	3	Oct 8 – Oct 22	1 in 19

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Bologna	13	Oct 22 – Feb 4	1 in 184
2	AC Milan	8	Nov 5 – Jan 15	1 in 155
3	Inter Milan	12	Jan 28 – May 19	1 in 143
4	Venezia	6	Sep 17 – Oct 22	1 in 63
5	Juventus	6	Feb 11 – Mar 24	1 in 40

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	AC Milan	8	Jan 21 – Mar 17	1 in 216
2	Modena	8	Sep 17 – Nov 5	1 in 100
3	Sampdoria	7	Sep 17 – Oct 29	1 in 48
4	Triestina	6	Mar 31 – Jun 2	1 in 34
5	Napoli	7	Dec 31 – Feb 11	1 in 27

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Inter Milan	18.00%	15.00%	11.00%	13.00%	8.00%	9.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Bologna	23.00%	18.00%	16.00%	9.00%	10.00%	9.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Juventus	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	8.00%	9.00%	10.00%	7.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	2.00%	6.00%	3.00%
Lazio Roma	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	3.00%	9.00%	9.00%	13.00%	5.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Genova 1893	24.00%	9.00%	13.00%	12.00%	10.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—
Torino	3.00%	9.00%	10.00%	11.00%	13.00%	8.00%	11.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—
Roma	3.00%	7.00%	1.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%	11.00%	14.00%	9.00%	6.00%	9.00%	2.00%	2.00%	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%
AC Milan	5.00%	10.00%	11.00%	6.00%	11.00%	8.00%	4.00%	7.00%	5.00%	9.00%	3.00%	4.00%	8.00%	5.00%	1.00%	3.00%
Novara	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	3.00%	9.00%	8.00%	10.00%	5.00%	5.00%	13.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	5.00%
Venezia	1.00%	—	—	5.00%	3.00%	6.00%	9.00%	13.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	6.00%	12.00%	9.00%	10.00%
Bari	2.00%	3.00%	—	4.00%	3.00%	3.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	10.00%
Triestina	5.00%	1.00%	8.00%	3.00%	9.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	8.00%	5.00%	6.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Fiorentina	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	—	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	4.00%	8.00%	4.00%	6.00%	14.00%	14.00%	14.00%	24.00%
Napoli	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	15.00%	10.00%	9.00%	10.00%
Sampdoria	1.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	11.00%	3.00%	7.00%	7.00%	9.00%	10.00%	17.00%
Modena	—	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	3.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	11.00%	8.00%	11.00%	15.00%	4.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Bologna	100%	—
Genova 1893	97.0%	3.0%
Torino	97.0%	3.0%
AC Milan	96.0%	4.0%
Inter Milan	96.0%	4.0%
Lazio Roma	96.0%	4.0%
Juventus	91.0%	9.0%
Roma	90.0%	10.0%
Novara	89.0%	11.0%
Triestina	87.0%	13.0%
Bari	83.0%	17.0%
Modena	81.0%	19.0%
Napoli	81.0%	19.0%
Venezia	81.0%	19.0%
Sampdoria	73.0%	27.0%
Fiorentina	62.0%	38.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1939-09-17	Napoli	W 1-0	1667	1686	66.9%	18.5%	14.5%	+2.7	3
1939-09-17	@ Bari	L 0-1	1686	1667	14.5%	18.5%	66.9%	-2.7	0
1939-09-17	Genova 1893	D 1-1	1602	1749	54.2%	19.3%	26.5%	-1.0	1
1939-09-17	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1749	1602	26.5%	19.3%	54.2%	+1.0	1
1939-09-17	Juventus	W 4-0	1748	1709	71.2%	17.8%	11.0%	+7.4	3
1939-09-17	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1709	1748	11.0%	17.8%	71.2%	-7.5	0
1939-09-17	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1661	1690	66.1%	18.6%	15.3%	-1.9	1
1939-09-17	@ Modena	D 1-1	1690	1661	15.3%	18.6%	66.1%	+1.9	1
1939-09-17	Bologna	W 2-0	1713	1762	64.3%	18.8%	16.8%	+5.9	3
1939-09-17	@ Roma	L 0-2	1762	1713	16.8%	18.8%	64.3%	-5.9	0
1939-09-17	Venezia	D 0-0	1690	1656	70.8%	17.9%	11.3%	-2.6	1
1939-09-17	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1656	1690	11.3%	17.9%	70.8%	+2.6	1
1939-09-17	AC Milan	W 2-1	1728	1721	68.8%	18.2%	12.9%	+2.3	3
1939-09-17	@ Torino	L 1-2	1721	1728	12.9%	18.2%	68.8%	-2.3	0
1939-09-17	Novara	W 2-0	1692	1684	68.9%	18.2%	12.8%	+4.6	3
1939-09-17	@ Triestina	L 0-2	1684	1692	12.8%	18.2%	68.9%	-4.6	0
1939-09-24	Fiorentina	W 3-1	1719	1601	76.0%	16.5%	7.4%	+2.3	3
1939-09-24	@ AC Milan	L 1-3	1601	1719	7.4%	16.5%	76.0%	-2.3	1
1939-09-24	Triestina	W 2-0	1756	1696	72.5%	17.5%	10.0%	+3.6	3
1939-09-24	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1696	1756	10.0%	17.5%	72.5%	-3.6	3
1939-09-24	Bari	W 3-0	1750	1670	73.8%	17.2%	9.0%	+4.7	4
1939-09-24	@ Genova 1893	L 0-3	1670	1750	9.0%	17.2%	73.8%	-4.7	3
1939-09-24	Roma	D 1-1	1701	1719	67.0%	18.5%	14.5%	-2.0	1
1939-09-24	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1719	1701	14.5%	18.5%	67.0%	+2.0	4
1939-09-24	Torino	D 1-1	1692	1730	65.3%	18.7%	16.0%	-1.9	2
1939-09-24	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1730	1692	16.0%	18.7%	65.3%	+1.9	4
1939-09-24	Sampdoria	W 3-2	1683	1687	68.1%	18.4%	13.6%	+2.3	3
1939-09-24	@ Napoli	L 2-3	1687	1683	13.6%	18.4%	68.1%	-2.3	1
1939-09-24	Modena	W 1-0	1680	1659	69.9%	18.1%	12.1%	+2.3	3
1939-09-24	@ Novara	L 0-1	1659	1680	12.1%	18.1%	69.9%	-2.3	1
1939-09-24	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1659	1755	59.8%	19.2%	21.1%	+3.6	4
1939-09-24	@ Venezia	L 1-2	1755	1659	21.1%	19.2%	59.8%	-3.6	3
1939-10-01	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1665	1685	66.8%	18.5%	14.6%	-2.0	4
1939-10-01	@ Bari	D 1-1	1685	1665	14.6%	18.5%	66.8%	+2.0	2
1939-10-01	Lazio Roma	L 2-3	1599	1690	60.3%	19.1%	20.6%	-8.5	1
1939-10-01	@ Fiorentina	W 3-2	1690	1599	20.6%	19.1%	60.3%	+8.5	5
1939-10-01	AC Milan	D 1-1	1755	1721	70.8%	17.9%	11.3%	-2.3	5
1939-10-01	@ Genova 1893	D 1-1	1721	1755	11.3%	17.9%	70.8%	+2.3	4
1939-10-01	Napoli	W 4-0	1752	1685	73.0%	17.4%	9.6%	+6.5	6
1939-10-01	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1685	1752	9.6%	17.4%	73.0%	-6.5	3
1939-10-01	Bologna	D 0-0	1657	1759	59.2%	19.2%	21.6%	-1.6	2
1939-10-01	@ Modena	D 0-0	1759	1657	21.6%	19.2%	59.2%	+1.6	4
1939-10-01	Venezia	L 0-2	1721	1662	72.5%	17.5%	10.0%	-21.4	4
1939-10-01	@ Roma	W 2-0	1662	1721	10.0%	17.5%	72.5%	+21.4	7
1939-10-01	Novara	W 1-0	1732	1682	71.9%	17.6%	10.4%	+2.0	7
1939-10-01	@ Torino	L 0-1	1682	1732	10.4%	17.6%	71.9%	-2.0	3
1939-10-01	Juventus	W 1-0	1693	1699	67.9%	18.4%	13.7%	+2.6	6
1939-10-01	@ Triestina	L 0-1	1699	1693	13.7%	18.4%	67.9%	-2.6	1
1939-10-08	Bari	W 4-0	1724	1663	72.6%	17.5%	9.9%	+6.7	7
1939-10-08	@ AC Milan	L 0-4	1663	1724	9.9%	17.5%	72.6%	-6.7	4
1939-10-08	Torino	W 3-1	1761	1734	70.3%	18.0%	11.7%	+3.6	7
1939-10-08	@ Bologna	L 1-3	1734	1761	11.7%	18.0%	70.3%	-3.6	7
1939-10-08	Modena	W 1-0	1697	1656	71.3%	17.8%	10.9%	+2.1	4
1939-10-08	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1656	1697	10.9%	17.8%	71.3%	-2.1	2
1939-10-08	Genova 1893	W 4-1	1699	1752	63.9%	18.9%	17.2%	+7.4	8
1939-10-08	@ Lazio Roma	L 1-4	1752	1699	17.2%	18.9%	63.9%	-7.4	5
1939-10-08	Roma	L 0-1	1679	1699	66.8%	18.6%	14.7%	-10.5	3
1939-10-08	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1699	1679	14.7%	18.6%	66.8%	+10.5	7
1939-10-08	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1680	1590	74.4%	17.0%	8.6%	+1.5	6
1939-10-08	@ Novara	L 1-2	1590	1680	8.6%	17.0%	74.4%	-1.5	1
1939-10-08	Inter Milan	L 0-2	1687	1758	62.2%	19.0%	18.8%	-18.5	2
1939-10-08	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1758	1687	18.8%	19.0%	62.2%	+18.5	9
1939-10-08	Triestina	W 3-1	1684	1695	67.5%	18.4%	14.1%	+4.3	10
1939-10-08	@ Venezia	L 1-3	1695	1684	14.1%	18.4%	67.5%	-4.3	6
1939-10-15	Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1730	1706	70.2%	18.0%	11.8%	-20.8	7
1939-10-15	@ AC Milan	W 2-0	1706	1730	11.8%	18.0%	70.2%	+20.8	11
1939-10-15	Inter Milan	W 3-0	1657	1777	57.3%	19.3%	23.5%	+11.5	7
1939-10-15	@ Bari	L 0-3	1777	1657	23.5%	19.3%	57.3%	-11.5	9
1939-10-15	Bologna	W 1-0	1589	1764	50.7%	19.4%	29.9%	+5.2	4
1939-10-15	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1764	1589	29.9%	19.4%	50.7%	-5.2	7
1939-10-15	Novara	W 5-3	1745	1682	72.8%	17.4%	9.8%	+2.5	8
1939-10-15	@ Genova 1893	L 3-5	1682	1745	9.8%	17.4%	72.8%	-2.5	6
1939-10-15	Venezia	D 2-2	1654	1688	65.6%	18.7%	15.7%	-1.4	3
1939-10-15	@ Modena	D 2-2	1688	1654	15.7%	18.7%	65.6%	+1.4	11
1939-10-15	Sampdoria	D 2-2	1710	1668	71.4%	17.8%	10.9%	-1.8	8
1939-10-15	@ Roma	D 2-2	1668	1710	10.9%	17.8%	71.4%	+1.8	3
1939-10-15	Juventus	L 1-2	1730	1699	70.7%	17.9%	11.4%	-10.5	7
1939-10-15	@ Torino	W 2-1	1699	1730	11.4%	17.9%	70.7%	+10.4	7
1939-10-15	Napoli	W 2-0	1691	1668	70.1%	18.0%	11.9%	+4.2	9
1939-10-15	@ Triestina	L 0-2	1668	1691	11.9%	18.0%	70.1%	-4.2	3
1939-10-22	Genova 1893	W 5-3	1759	1748	69.2%	18.2%	12.6%	+3.3	10
1939-10-22	@ Bologna	L 3-5	1748	1759	12.6%	18.2%	69.2%	-3.3	8
1939-10-22	Roma	W 3-0	1765	1708	72.4%	17.5%	10.1%	+5.2	12
1939-10-22	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1708	1765	10.1%	17.5%	72.4%	-5.2	8
1939-10-22	Fiorentina	W 3-2	1709	1594	75.9%	16.6%	7.5%	+1.3	10
1939-10-22	@ Juventus	L 2-3	1594	1709	7.5%	16.6%	75.9%	-1.3	4
1939-10-22	Bari	L 0-1	1727	1668	72.5%	17.5%	10.0%	-11.3	11
1939-10-22	@ Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1668	1727	10.0%	17.5%	72.5%	+11.3	10
1939-10-22	Modena	W 1-0	1664	1652	69.3%	18.2%	12.6%	+2.4	6
1939-10-22	@ Napoli	L 0-1	1652	1664	12.6%	18.2%	69.3%	-2.4	3
1939-10-22	AC Milan	W 1-0	1679	1710	65.9%	18.6%	15.4%	+2.9	9
1939-10-22	@ Novara	L 0-1	1710	1679	15.4%	18.6%	65.9%	-2.9	7
1939-10-22	Triestina	D 1-1	1670	1695	66.3%	18.6%	15.1%	-2.0	4
1939-10-22	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1695	1670	15.1%	18.6%	66.3%	+2.0	10
1939-10-22	Torino	W 2-1	1689	1720	65.9%	18.6%	15.4%	+2.7	14
1939-10-22	@ Venezia	L 1-2	1720	1689	15.4%	18.6%	65.9%	-2.7	7
1939-10-29	Bologna	L 0-2	1707	1762	63.7%	18.9%	17.4%	-18.9	7
1939-10-29	@ AC Milan	W 2-0	1762	1707	17.4%	18.9%	63.7%	+18.9	13
1939-10-29	Roma	D 0-0	1679	1703	66.5%	18.6%	14.9%	-2.2	11
1939-10-29	@ Bari	D 0-0	1703	1679	14.9%	18.6%	66.5%	+2.2	9
1939-10-29	Venezia	W 3-1	1592	1692	59.5%	19.2%	21.4%	+6.3	7
1939-10-29	@ Fiorentina	L 1-3	1692	1592	21.4%	19.2%	59.5%	-6.3	14
1939-10-29	Juventus	W 3-2	1744	1711	70.8%	17.9%	11.3%	+1.9	11
1939-10-29	@ Genova 1893	L 2-3	1711	1744	11.3%	17.9%	70.8%	-1.9	10
1939-10-29	Novara	W 1-0	1716	1682	70.8%	17.9%	11.3%	+2.1	14
1939-10-29	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1682	1716	11.3%	17.9%	70.8%	-2.1	9
1939-10-29	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1650	1668	66.9%	18.5%	14.5%	-2.0	4
1939-10-29	@ Modena	D 1-1	1668	1650	14.5%	18.5%	66.9%	+2.0	5
1939-10-29	Napoli	W 1-0	1717	1666	72.0%	17.6%	10.4%	+2.0	10
1939-10-29	@ Torino	L 0-1	1666	1717	10.4%	17.6%	72.0%	-2.0	6
1939-10-29	Inter Milan	W 2-1	1697	1770	62.1%	19.0%	18.9%	+3.3	13
1939-10-29	@ Triestina	L 1-2	1770	1697	18.9%	19.0%	62.1%	-3.3	12
1939-11-05	Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1781	1718	72.8%	17.4%	9.8%	+3.0	16
1939-11-05	@ Bologna	L 1-3	1718	1781	9.8%	17.4%	72.8%	-3.0	14
1939-11-05	Modena	W 2-1	1767	1648	76.1%	16.5%	7.4%	+1.3	15
1939-11-05	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1648	1767	7.4%	16.5%	76.1%	-1.3	4
1939-11-05	AC Milan	D 2-2	1709	1688	69.9%	18.1%	12.0%	-1.7	11
1939-11-05	@ Juventus	D 2-2	1688	1709	12.0%	18.1%	69.9%	+1.7	8
1939-11-05	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1664	1599	72.9%	17.4%	9.7%	+1.7	9
1939-11-05	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1599	1664	9.7%	17.4%	72.9%	-1.7	7
1939-11-05	Bari	W 1-0	1680	1677	68.6%	18.3%	13.2%	+2.5	12
1939-11-05	@ Novara	L 0-1	1677	1680	13.2%	18.3%	68.6%	-2.5	11
1939-11-05	Triestina	W 1-0	1705	1701	68.7%	18.3%	13.0%	+2.5	12
1939-11-05	@ Roma	L 0-1	1701	1705	13.0%	18.3%	68.7%	-2.5	13
1939-11-05	Torino	W 2-1	1670	1719	64.3%	18.8%	16.9%	+3.0	8
1939-11-05	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1719	1670	16.9%	18.8%	64.3%	-3.0	10
1939-11-05	Genova 1893	L 2-6	1686	1746	63.3%	18.9%	17.8%	-25.2	14
1939-11-05	@ Venezia	W 6-2	1746	1686	17.8%	18.9%	63.3%	+25.2	14
1939-11-19	Venezia	W 2-1	1690	1661	70.5%	17.9%	11.6%	+2.1	11
1939-11-19	@ AC Milan	L 1-2	1661	1690	11.6%	17.9%	70.5%	-2.1	14
1939-11-19	Triestina	D 2-2	1675	1698	66.5%	18.6%	14.9%	-1.5	12
1939-11-19	@ Bari	D 2-2	1698	1675	14.9%	18.6%	66.5%	+1.5	14
1939-11-19	Sampdoria	W 4-0	1597	1673	61.8%	19.0%	19.1%	+12.6	10
1939-11-19	@ Fiorentina	L 0-4	1673	1597	19.1%	19.0%	61.8%	-12.6	8
1939-11-19	Napoli	W 2-0	1771	1666	75.3%	16.7%	8.0%	+2.8	17
1939-11-19	@ Genova 1893	L 0-2	1666	1771	8.0%	16.7%	75.3%	-2.8	9
1939-11-19	Juventus	W 4-0	1715	1707	69.0%	18.2%	12.8%	+8.7	17
1939-11-19	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-4	1707	1715	12.8%	18.2%	69.0%	-8.6	11
1939-11-19	Roma	W 1-0	1646	1707	63.2%	18.9%	17.8%	+3.3	7
1939-11-19	@ Modena	L 0-1	1707	1646	17.8%	18.9%	63.2%	-3.3	12
1939-11-19	Bologna	D 0-0	1682	1784	59.2%	19.2%	21.6%	-1.6	13
1939-11-19	@ Novara	D 0-0	1784	1682	21.6%	19.2%	59.2%	+1.6	17
1939-11-19	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1716	1769	64.0%	18.9%	17.1%	-10.1	10
1939-11-19	@ Torino	W 1-0	1769	1716	17.1%	18.9%	64.0%	+10.1	18
1939-12-03	Bari	W 3-1	1786	1673	75.7%	16.6%	7.7%	+2.3	20
1939-12-03	@ Bologna	L 1-3	1673	1786	7.7%	16.6%	75.7%	-2.3	12
1939-12-03	Fiorentina	W 3-0	1779	1610	78.7%	15.5%	5.8%	+2.9	21
1939-12-03	@ Inter Milan	L 0-3	1610	1779	5.8%	15.5%	78.7%	-2.9	10
1939-12-03	Novara	W 1-0	1698	1681	69.7%	18.1%	12.2%	+2.3	14
1939-12-03	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1681	1698	12.2%	18.1%	69.7%	-2.3	13
1939-12-03	AC Milan	L 1-4	1663	1692	66.1%	18.6%	15.3%	-24.0	9
1939-12-03	@ Napoli	W 4-1	1692	1663	15.3%	18.6%	66.1%	+24.0	14
1939-12-03	Torino	D 0-0	1704	1706	68.2%	18.3%	13.4%	-2.4	13
1939-12-03	@ Roma	D 0-0	1706	1704	13.4%	18.3%	68.2%	+2.4	11
1939-12-03	Genova 1893	W 2-1	1660	1774	58.0%	19.2%	22.8%	+3.9	11
1939-12-03	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1774	1660	22.8%	19.2%	58.0%	-3.9	17
1939-12-03	Modena	W 4-1	1700	1650	71.9%	17.6%	10.4%	+4.6	17
1939-12-03	@ Triestina	L 1-4	1650	1700	10.4%	17.6%	71.9%	-4.6	7
1939-12-03	Lazio Roma	W 2-1	1659	1723	62.9%	18.9%	18.1%	+3.2	17
1939-12-03	@ Venezia	L 1-2	1723	1659	18.1%	18.9%	62.9%	-3.2	17
1939-12-10	Sampdoria	D 1-1	1716	1664	72.0%	17.6%	10.4%	-2.4	15
1939-12-10	@ AC Milan	D 1-1	1664	1716	10.4%	17.6%	72.0%	+2.4	12
1939-12-10	Modena	W 1-0	1671	1645	70.3%	18.0%	11.7%	+2.2	15
1939-12-10	@ Bari	L 0-1	1645	1671	11.7%	18.0%	70.3%	-2.2	7
1939-12-10	Juventus	W 1-0	1788	1701	74.3%	17.0%	8.7%	+1.6	23
1939-12-10	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1701	1788	8.7%	17.0%	74.3%	-1.6	14
1939-12-10	Roma	W 1-0	1607	1702	59.9%	19.1%	20.9%	+3.8	13
1939-12-10	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1702	1607	20.9%	19.1%	59.9%	-3.8	13
1939-12-10	Inter Milan	D 2-2	1770	1782	67.5%	18.4%	14.1%	-1.5	18
1939-12-10	@ Genova 1893	D 2-2	1782	1770	14.1%	18.4%	67.5%	+1.5	22
1939-12-10	Napoli	W 2-0	1720	1639	73.9%	17.2%	9.0%	+3.2	20
1939-12-10	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1639	1720	9.0%	17.2%	73.9%	-3.2	9
1939-12-10	Venezia	W 2-0	1678	1662	69.6%	18.1%	12.3%	+4.4	16
1939-12-10	@ Novara	L 0-2	1662	1678	12.3%	18.1%	69.6%	-4.4	17
1939-12-10	Triestina	W 3-1	1708	1704	68.7%	18.3%	13.1%	+4.0	14
1939-12-10	@ Torino	L 1-3	1704	1708	13.1%	18.3%	68.7%	-4.0	17
1939-12-17	AC Milan	L 0-3	1783	1713	73.2%	17.3%	9.5%	-31.3	22
1939-12-17	@ Inter Milan	W 3-0	1713	1783	9.5%	17.3%	73.2%	+31.4	18
1939-12-17	Bari	W 6-2	1699	1673	70.3%	18.0%	11.7%	+5.6	17
1939-12-17	@ Juventus	L 2-6	1673	1699	11.7%	18.0%	70.3%	-5.6	15
1939-12-17	Torino	L 1-2	1643	1712	62.5%	19.0%	18.6%	-9.3	7
1939-12-17	@ Modena	W 2-1	1712	1643	18.6%	19.0%	62.5%	+9.3	17
1939-12-17	Novara	W 2-1	1636	1683	64.5%	18.8%	16.7%	+2.9	12
1939-12-17	@ Napoli	L 1-2	1683	1636	16.7%	18.8%	64.5%	-2.9	16
1939-12-17	Genova 1893	W 2-0	1698	1769	62.3%	19.0%	18.7%	+6.5	16
1939-12-17	@ Roma	L 0-2	1769	1698	18.7%	19.0%	62.3%	-6.5	18
1939-12-17	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1667	1723	63.6%	18.9%	17.5%	-2.0	13
1939-12-17	@ Sampdoria	D 0-0	1723	1667	17.5%	18.9%	63.6%	+2.0	21
1939-12-17	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1700	1610	74.4%	17.0%	8.6%	+1.5	20
1939-12-17	@ Triestina	L 1-2	1610	1700	8.6%	17.0%	74.4%	-1.5	13
1939-12-17	Bologna	D 1-1	1657	1790	55.9%	19.3%	24.8%	-1.1	18
1939-12-17	@ Venezia	D 1-1	1790	1657	24.8%	19.3%	55.9%	+1.1	24
1939-12-31	Roma	W 3-0	1745	1704	71.3%	17.8%	10.9%	+5.7	21
1939-12-31	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1704	1745	10.9%	17.8%	71.3%	-5.7	16
1939-12-31	Torino	D 2-2	1668	1722	63.9%	18.9%	17.3%	-1.3	16
1939-12-31	@ Bari	D 2-2	1722	1668	17.3%	18.9%	63.9%	+1.3	18
1939-12-31	Napoli	D 1-1	1791	1639	77.8%	15.9%	6.3%	-2.8	25
1939-12-31	@ Bologna	D 1-1	1639	1791	6.3%	15.9%	77.8%	+2.8	13
1939-12-31	Modena	W 3-2	1609	1634	66.4%	18.6%	15.0%	+2.5	16
1939-12-31	@ Fiorentina	L 2-3	1634	1609	15.0%	18.6%	66.4%	-2.5	7
1939-12-31	Triestina	W 1-0	1762	1702	72.6%	17.5%	9.9%	+1.9	21
1939-12-31	@ Genova 1893	L 0-1	1702	1762	9.9%	17.5%	72.6%	-1.9	20
1939-12-31	Venezia	W 1-0	1705	1656	71.8%	17.7%	10.5%	+2.0	20
1939-12-31	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1656	1705	10.5%	17.7%	71.8%	-2.0	18
1939-12-31	Inter Milan	D 1-1	1725	1752	66.3%	18.6%	15.1%	-2.0	22
1939-12-31	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1752	1725	15.1%	18.6%	66.3%	+2.0	23
1939-12-31	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1680	1665	69.5%	18.1%	12.4%	+2.3	19
1939-12-31	@ Novara	L 0-1	1665	1680	12.4%	18.1%	69.5%	-2.3	13
1940-01-07	Venezia	W 3-0	1666	1654	69.3%	18.2%	12.6%	+6.5	19
1940-01-07	@ Bari	L 0-3	1654	1666	12.6%	18.2%	69.3%	-6.5	18
1940-01-07	Novara	W 1-0	1754	1682	73.3%	17.3%	9.4%	+1.8	26
1940-01-07	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1682	1754	9.4%	17.3%	73.3%	-1.8	19
1940-01-07	Genova 1893	L 1-4	1631	1764	55.9%	19.3%	24.8%	-20.4	7
1940-01-07	@ Modena	W 4-1	1764	1631	24.8%	19.3%	55.9%	+20.3	24
1940-01-07	Juventus	D 0-0	1642	1707	62.9%	18.9%	18.2%	-1.9	14
1940-01-07	@ Napoli	D 0-0	1707	1642	18.2%	18.9%	62.9%	+1.9	21
1940-01-07	Lazio Roma	W 1-0	1699	1723	66.4%	18.6%	15.0%	+2.8	19
1940-01-07	@ Roma	L 0-1	1723	1699	15.0%	18.6%	66.4%	-2.8	22
1940-01-07	Bologna	D 1-1	1662	1788	56.6%	19.3%	24.1%	-1.2	14
1940-01-07	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1788	1662	24.1%	19.3%	56.6%	+1.2	26
1940-01-07	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1723	1611	75.7%	16.6%	7.7%	+1.4	21
1940-01-07	@ Torino	L 1-2	1611	1723	7.7%	16.6%	75.7%	-1.4	16
1940-01-07	AC Milan	D 1-1	1700	1750	64.2%	18.8%	17.0%	-1.8	21
1940-01-07	@ Triestina	D 1-1	1750	1700	17.0%	18.8%	64.2%	+1.8	22
1940-01-15	Modena	W 4-0	1752	1611	77.3%	16.1%	6.7%	+4.5	25
1940-01-15	@ AC Milan	L 0-4	1611	1752	6.7%	16.1%	77.3%	-4.4	7
1940-01-15	Inter Milan	D 0-0	1789	1755	70.9%	17.9%	11.3%	-2.6	27
1940-01-15	@ Bologna	D 0-0	1755	1789	11.3%	17.9%	70.9%	+2.6	27
1940-01-15	Bari	D 1-1	1610	1673	63.1%	18.9%	18.0%	-1.7	17
1940-01-15	@ Fiorentina	D 1-1	1673	1610	18.0%	18.9%	63.1%	+1.7	20
1940-01-15	Torino	W 1-0	1784	1724	72.6%	17.5%	9.9%	+1.9	27
1940-01-15	@ Genova 1893	L 0-1	1724	1784	9.9%	17.5%	72.6%	-1.9	21
1940-01-15	Sampdoria	W 4-0	1709	1661	71.8%	17.7%	10.6%	+7.2	24
1940-01-15	@ Juventus	L 0-4	1661	1709	10.6%	17.7%	71.8%	-7.2	14
1940-01-15	Triestina	W 2-0	1721	1698	70.0%	18.0%	11.9%	+4.2	25
1940-01-15	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-2	1698	1721	11.9%	18.0%	70.0%	-4.2	21
1940-01-15	Roma	W 1-0	1680	1702	66.7%	18.6%	14.8%	+2.8	22
1940-01-15	@ Novara	L 0-1	1702	1680	14.8%	18.6%	66.7%	-2.8	19
1940-01-15	Napoli	W 2-0	1648	1640	69.0%	18.2%	12.8%	+4.6	21
1940-01-15	@ Venezia	L 0-2	1640	1648	12.8%	18.2%	69.0%	-4.6	14
1940-01-21	Torino	L 1-3	1757	1722	70.9%	17.9%	11.3%	-18.1	25
1940-01-21	@ AC Milan	W 3-1	1722	1757	11.3%	17.9%	70.9%	+18.1	24
1940-01-21	Roma	W 1-0	1787	1699	74.3%	17.0%	8.6%	+1.6	30
1940-01-21	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1699	1787	8.6%	17.0%	74.3%	-1.6	19
1940-01-21	Fiorentina	W 3-0	1786	1608	79.1%	15.3%	5.5%	+2.8	30
1940-01-21	@ Genova 1893	L 0-3	1608	1786	5.5%	15.3%	79.1%	-2.8	17
1940-01-21	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1716	1758	64.9%	18.8%	16.3%	+3.0	27
1940-01-21	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1758	1716	16.3%	18.8%	64.9%	-3.0	27
1940-01-21	Modena	D 1-1	1725	1606	76.0%	16.5%	7.4%	-2.7	26
1940-01-21	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1606	1725	7.4%	16.5%	76.0%	+2.7	8
1940-01-21	Bari	D 1-1	1635	1674	65.2%	18.7%	16.1%	-1.9	15
1940-01-21	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1674	1635	16.1%	18.7%	65.2%	+1.9	21
1940-01-21	Triestina	W 2-1	1683	1694	67.5%	18.4%	14.0%	+2.5	25
1940-01-21	@ Novara	L 1-2	1694	1683	14.0%	18.4%	67.5%	-2.5	21
1940-01-21	Sampdoria	W 2-1	1652	1654	68.2%	18.3%	13.4%	+2.4	24
1940-01-21	@ Venezia	L 1-2	1654	1652	13.4%	18.3%	68.2%	-2.4	14
1940-01-28	Genova 1893	L 0-1	1676	1789	58.1%	19.2%	22.7%	-9.1	21
1940-01-28	@ Bari	W 1-0	1789	1676	22.7%	19.2%	58.1%	+9.1	33
1940-01-28	AC Milan	W 1-0	1606	1738	55.9%	19.3%	24.8%	+4.4	20
1940-01-28	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1738	1606	24.8%	19.3%	55.9%	-4.4	25
1940-01-28	Venezia	W 2-1	1755	1655	75.0%	16.8%	8.2%	+1.5	30
1940-01-28	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1655	1755	8.2%	16.8%	75.0%	-1.5	24
1940-01-28	Novara	W 4-1	1609	1686	61.8%	19.0%	19.2%	+8.1	11
1940-01-28	@ Modena	L 1-4	1686	1609	19.2%	19.0%	61.8%	-8.2	25
1940-01-28	Juventus	W 3-1	1697	1719	66.7%	18.6%	14.8%	+4.5	22
1940-01-28	@ Roma	L 1-3	1719	1697	14.8%	18.6%	66.7%	-4.5	27
1940-01-28	Napoli	W 2-0	1652	1634	69.7%	18.1%	12.2%	+4.3	17
1940-01-28	@ Sampdoria	L 0-2	1634	1652	12.2%	18.1%	69.7%	-4.3	15
1940-01-28	Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1741	1722	69.8%	18.1%	12.2%	-10.9	24
1940-01-28	@ Torino	W 1-0	1722	1741	12.2%	18.1%	69.8%	+10.9	29
1940-01-28	Bologna	L 0-2	1691	1788	59.7%	19.2%	21.1%	-17.7	21
1940-01-28	@ Triestina	W 2-0	1788	1691	21.1%	19.2%	59.7%	+17.7	33
1940-02-04	Genova 1893	D 2-2	1734	1798	62.9%	18.9%	18.1%	-1.3	26
1940-02-04	@ AC Milan	D 2-2	1798	1734	18.1%	18.9%	62.9%	+1.3	34
1940-02-04	Modena	W 1-0	1806	1617	79.6%	15.1%	5.2%	+1.0	36
1940-02-04	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1617	1806	5.2%	15.1%	79.6%	-1.0	11
1940-02-04	Triestina	L 2-6	1714	1674	71.3%	17.8%	10.9%	-28.3	27
1940-02-04	@ Juventus	W 6-2	1674	1714	10.9%	17.8%	71.3%	+28.3	24
1940-02-04	Fiorentina	D 1-1	1733	1610	76.3%	16.4%	7.3%	-2.7	30
1940-02-04	@ Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1610	1733	7.3%	16.4%	76.3%	+2.7	21
1940-02-04	Inter Milan	L 0-1	1629	1756	56.5%	19.3%	24.2%	-8.9	15
1940-02-04	@ Napoli	W 1-0	1756	1629	24.2%	19.3%	56.5%	+8.9	33
1940-02-04	Torino	L 0-1	1678	1730	64.0%	18.9%	17.1%	-10.1	25
1940-02-04	@ Novara	W 1-0	1730	1678	17.1%	18.9%	64.0%	+10.1	27
1940-02-04	Bari	W 1-0	1656	1667	67.5%	18.4%	14.1%	+2.6	20
1940-02-04	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1667	1656	14.1%	18.4%	67.5%	-2.6	21
1940-02-04	Roma	D 2-2	1653	1702	64.4%	18.8%	16.8%	-1.3	25
1940-02-04	@ Venezia	D 2-2	1702	1653	16.8%	18.8%	64.4%	+1.3	23
1940-02-11	AC Milan	W 2-0	1665	1733	62.6%	19.0%	18.4%	+6.4	24
1940-02-11	@ Bari	L 0-2	1733	1665	18.4%	19.0%	62.6%	-6.4	26
1940-02-11	Novara	D 2-2	1613	1667	63.8%	18.9%	17.3%	-1.3	22
1940-02-11	@ Fiorentina	D 2-2	1667	1613	17.3%	18.9%	63.8%	+1.3	26
1940-02-11	Lazio Roma	W 4-0	1800	1730	73.2%	17.3%	9.5%	+6.4	37
1940-02-11	@ Genova 1893	L 0-4	1730	1800	9.5%	17.3%	73.2%	-6.4	30
1940-02-11	Sampdoria	W 1-0	1765	1659	75.4%	16.7%	7.9%	+1.5	36
1940-02-11	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1659	1765	7.9%	16.7%	75.4%	-1.5	20
1940-02-11	Juventus	L 1-2	1616	1686	62.4%	19.0%	18.6%	-9.2	11
1940-02-11	@ Modena	W 2-1	1686	1616	18.6%	19.0%	62.4%	+9.3	30
1940-02-11	Napoli	W 1-0	1703	1620	74.0%	17.1%	8.9%	+1.7	26
1940-02-11	@ Roma	L 0-1	1620	1703	8.9%	17.1%	74.0%	-1.7	15
1940-02-11	Bologna	W 2-1	1740	1807	62.6%	19.0%	18.4%	+3.2	30
1940-02-11	@ Torino	L 1-2	1807	1740	18.4%	19.0%	62.6%	-3.2	36
1940-02-11	Venezia	D 0-0	1702	1652	71.9%	17.6%	10.4%	-2.7	25
1940-02-11	@ Triestina	D 0-0	1652	1702	10.4%	17.6%	71.9%	+2.7	26
1940-02-18	Fiorentina	W 3-2	1804	1611	79.8%	15.0%	5.2%	+0.8	39
1940-02-18	@ Bologna	L 2-3	1611	1804	5.2%	15.0%	79.8%	-0.9	22
1940-02-18	Bari	D 0-0	1767	1671	74.8%	16.9%	8.3%	-2.9	37
1940-02-18	@ Inter Milan	D 0-0	1671	1767	8.3%	16.9%	74.8%	+2.9	25
1940-02-18	Torino	D 1-1	1695	1743	64.4%	18.8%	16.8%	-1.8	31
1940-02-18	@ Juventus	D 1-1	1743	1695	16.8%	18.8%	64.4%	+1.8	31
1940-02-18	AC Milan	D 2-2	1724	1726	68.2%	18.3%	13.5%	-1.6	31
1940-02-18	@ Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1726	1724	13.5%	18.3%	68.2%	+1.6	27
1940-02-18	Triestina	W 3-1	1619	1699	61.4%	19.1%	19.6%	+5.9	18
1940-02-18	@ Napoli	L 1-3	1699	1619	19.6%	19.1%	61.4%	-5.9	25
1940-02-18	Genova 1893	W 3-1	1669	1806	55.4%	19.3%	25.3%	+7.3	29
1940-02-18	@ Novara	L 1-3	1806	1669	25.3%	19.3%	55.4%	-7.3	37
1940-02-18	Roma	W 1-0	1657	1705	64.5%	18.8%	16.7%	+3.1	23
1940-02-18	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1705	1657	16.7%	18.8%	64.5%	-3.1	26
1940-02-18	Modena	L 0-4	1655	1607	71.8%	17.7%	10.5%	-40.2	26
1940-02-18	@ Venezia	W 4-0	1607	1655	10.5%	17.7%	71.8%	+40.2	14
1940-02-25	Novara	L 0-2	1728	1676	72.0%	17.6%	10.3%	-21.3	27
1940-02-25	@ AC Milan	W 2-0	1676	1728	10.3%	17.6%	72.0%	+21.3	32
1940-02-25	Lazio Roma	L 1-5	1674	1722	64.4%	18.8%	16.8%	-30.2	25
1940-02-25	@ Bari	W 5-1	1722	1674	16.8%	18.8%	64.4%	+30.2	34
1940-02-25	Juventus	D 0-0	1611	1693	61.2%	19.1%	19.8%	-1.7	23
1940-02-25	@ Fiorentina	D 0-0	1693	1611	19.8%	19.1%	61.2%	+1.7	32
1940-02-25	Bologna	L 1-2	1799	1805	67.9%	18.4%	13.7%	-10.1	37
1940-02-25	@ Genova 1893	W 2-1	1805	1799	13.7%	18.4%	67.9%	+10.0	42
1940-02-25	Napoli	D 0-0	1647	1624	70.1%	18.0%	11.9%	-2.5	15
1940-02-25	@ Modena	D 0-0	1624	1647	11.9%	18.0%	70.1%	+2.5	19
1940-02-25	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1702	1764	63.1%	18.9%	17.9%	-9.3	26
1940-02-25	@ Roma	W 2-1	1764	1702	17.9%	18.9%	63.1%	+9.3	40
1940-02-25	Venezia	D 0-0	1745	1614	76.7%	16.3%	7.0%	-3.1	32
1940-02-25	@ Torino	D 0-0	1614	1745	7.0%	16.3%	76.7%	+3.1	27
1940-02-25	Sampdoria	W 3-1	1693	1660	70.8%	17.9%	11.3%	+3.5	28
1940-02-25	@ Triestina	L 1-3	1660	1693	11.3%	17.9%	70.8%	-3.5	23
1940-03-10	AC Milan	W 1-0	1815	1707	75.5%	16.7%	7.8%	+1.5	45
1940-03-10	@ Bologna	L 0-1	1707	1815	7.8%	16.7%	75.5%	-1.5	27
1940-03-10	Triestina	W 5-1	1773	1697	73.6%	17.2%	9.2%	+5.2	43
1940-03-10	@ Inter Milan	L 1-5	1697	1773	9.2%	17.2%	73.6%	-5.2	28
1940-03-10	Genova 1893	W 3-1	1695	1789	60.1%	19.1%	20.8%	+6.2	35
1940-03-10	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1789	1695	20.8%	19.1%	60.1%	-6.2	37
1940-03-10	Torino	W 3-1	1627	1742	57.9%	19.2%	22.9%	+6.7	22
1940-03-10	@ Napoli	L 1-3	1742	1627	22.9%	19.2%	57.9%	-6.7	32
1940-03-10	Lazio Roma	D 0-0	1697	1752	63.8%	18.9%	17.3%	-2.0	33
1940-03-10	@ Novara	D 0-0	1752	1697	17.3%	18.9%	63.8%	+2.0	35
1940-03-10	Bari	W 4-2	1692	1644	71.8%	17.7%	10.5%	+2.9	29
1940-03-10	@ Roma	L 2-4	1644	1692	10.5%	17.7%	71.8%	-2.9	25
1940-03-10	Modena	D 1-1	1657	1645	69.3%	18.2%	12.6%	-2.2	24
1940-03-10	@ Sampdoria	D 1-1	1645	1657	12.6%	18.2%	69.3%	+2.2	16
1940-03-10	Fiorentina	W 2-0	1617	1609	69.0%	18.2%	12.8%	+4.5	30
1940-03-10	@ Venezia	L 0-2	1609	1617	12.8%	18.2%	69.0%	-4.5	23
1940-03-17	Juventus	L 1-2	1705	1701	68.7%	18.3%	13.1%	-10.2	27
1940-03-17	@ AC Milan	W 2-1	1701	1705	13.1%	18.3%	68.7%	+10.2	38
1940-03-17	Novara	W 1-0	1641	1695	63.8%	18.9%	17.3%	+3.2	28
1940-03-17	@ Bari	L 0-1	1695	1641	17.3%	18.9%	63.8%	-3.2	33
1940-03-17	Napoli	W 2-0	1604	1634	66.0%	18.6%	15.3%	+5.4	26
1940-03-17	@ Fiorentina	L 0-2	1634	1604	15.3%	18.6%	66.0%	-5.4	22
1940-03-17	Venezia	W 3-1	1782	1622	78.2%	15.7%	6.0%	+1.8	40
1940-03-17	@ Genova 1893	L 1-3	1622	1782	6.0%	15.7%	78.2%	-1.8	30
1940-03-17	Bologna	D 2-2	1754	1816	63.2%	18.9%	17.9%	-1.3	36
1940-03-17	@ Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1816	1754	17.9%	18.9%	63.2%	+1.3	46
1940-03-17	Inter Milan	L 1-2	1647	1778	56.0%	19.3%	24.7%	-8.3	16
1940-03-17	@ Modena	W 2-1	1778	1647	24.7%	19.3%	56.0%	+8.3	46
1940-03-17	Sampdoria	W 3-0	1735	1655	73.9%	17.2%	9.0%	+4.6	35
1940-03-17	@ Torino	L 0-3	1655	1735	9.0%	17.2%	73.9%	-4.6	24
1940-03-17	Roma	W 1-0	1692	1695	68.1%	18.4%	13.5%	+2.5	31
1940-03-17	@ Triestina	L 0-1	1695	1692	13.5%	18.4%	68.1%	-2.6	29
1940-03-24	Novara	W 3-0	1818	1692	76.4%	16.4%	7.2%	+3.7	49
1940-03-24	@ Bologna	L 0-3	1692	1818	7.2%	16.4%	76.4%	-3.7	33
1940-03-24	Torino	W 5-1	1787	1740	71.7%	17.7%	10.6%	+6.0	49
1940-03-24	@ Inter Milan	L 1-5	1740	1787	10.6%	17.7%	71.7%	-6.0	35
1940-03-24	Lazio Roma	W 3-1	1711	1753	65.0%	18.8%	16.3%	+5.0	41
1940-03-24	@ Juventus	L 1-3	1753	1711	16.3%	18.8%	65.0%	-5.0	36
1940-03-24	Genova 1893	W 3-1	1628	1784	53.2%	19.3%	27.5%	+7.9	25
1940-03-24	@ Napoli	L 1-3	1784	1628	27.5%	19.3%	53.2%	-7.9	40
1940-03-24	Modena	W 1-0	1693	1639	72.2%	17.6%	10.2%	+1.9	32
1940-03-24	@ Roma	L 0-1	1639	1693	10.2%	17.6%	72.2%	-1.9	16
1940-03-24	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1650	1610	71.3%	17.8%	10.9%	+2.0	27
1940-03-24	@ Sampdoria	L 1-2	1610	1650	10.9%	17.8%	71.3%	-2.0	26
1940-03-24	Bari	W 1-0	1694	1644	71.9%	17.6%	10.4%	+2.0	34
1940-03-24	@ Triestina	L 0-1	1644	1694	10.4%	17.6%	71.9%	-2.0	28
1940-03-24	AC Milan	L 0-2	1620	1695	61.9%	19.0%	19.0%	-18.4	30
1940-03-24	@ Venezia	W 2-0	1695	1620	19.0%	19.0%	61.9%	+18.4	30
1940-03-31	Napoli	W 3-0	1713	1636	73.7%	17.2%	9.1%	+4.7	33
1940-03-31	@ AC Milan	L 0-3	1636	1713	9.1%	17.2%	73.7%	-4.7	25
1940-03-31	Bologna	D 1-1	1642	1821	50.3%	19.3%	30.3%	-0.7	29
1940-03-31	@ Bari	D 1-1	1821	1642	30.3%	19.3%	50.3%	+0.7	50
1940-03-31	Inter Milan	L 0-3	1608	1793	49.6%	19.3%	31.1%	-21.6	26
1940-03-31	@ Fiorentina	W 3-0	1793	1608	31.1%	19.3%	49.6%	+21.6	52
1940-03-31	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1776	1652	76.4%	16.4%	7.2%	+2.6	43
1940-03-31	@ Genova 1893	L 0-2	1652	1776	7.2%	16.4%	76.4%	-2.6	27
1940-03-31	Venezia	W 1-0	1748	1602	77.5%	16.0%	6.5%	+1.2	39
1940-03-31	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1602	1748	6.5%	16.0%	77.5%	-1.2	30
1940-03-31	Triestina	W 2-1	1637	1696	63.4%	18.9%	17.7%	+3.1	19
1940-03-31	@ Modena	L 1-2	1696	1637	17.7%	18.9%	63.4%	-3.1	34
1940-03-31	Juventus	W 1-0	1689	1716	66.1%	18.6%	15.2%	+2.8	36
1940-03-31	@ Novara	L 0-1	1716	1689	15.2%	18.6%	66.1%	-2.9	41
1940-03-31	Roma	W 4-0	1734	1695	71.2%	17.8%	11.0%	+7.5	38
1940-03-31	@ Torino	L 0-4	1695	1734	11.0%	17.8%	71.2%	-7.5	32
1940-04-21	Genova 1893	W 2-1	1814	1779	70.9%	17.8%	11.2%	+2.0	55
1940-04-21	@ Inter Milan	L 1-2	1779	1814	11.2%	17.8%	70.9%	-2.0	43
1940-04-21	Bologna	W 1-0	1714	1822	58.5%	19.2%	22.2%	+4.0	44
1940-04-21	@ Juventus	L 0-1	1822	1714	22.2%	19.2%	58.5%	-4.0	50
1940-04-21	Bari	W 3-0	1640	1641	68.2%	18.3%	13.4%	+6.9	22
1940-04-21	@ Modena	L 0-3	1641	1640	13.4%	18.3%	68.2%	-6.9	29
1940-04-21	Lazio Roma	D 1-1	1631	1749	57.5%	19.2%	23.2%	-1.3	26
1940-04-21	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1749	1631	23.2%	19.2%	57.5%	+1.3	40
1940-04-21	Fiorentina	D 0-0	1687	1586	75.1%	16.8%	8.1%	-2.9	33
1940-04-21	@ Roma	D 0-0	1586	1687	8.1%	16.8%	75.1%	+2.9	27
1940-04-21	AC Milan	L 0-2	1649	1718	62.5%	19.0%	18.5%	-18.5	27
1940-04-21	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1718	1649	18.5%	19.0%	62.5%	+18.5	36
1940-04-21	Torino	D 2-2	1693	1741	64.4%	18.8%	16.8%	-1.3	35
1940-04-21	@ Triestina	D 2-2	1741	1693	16.8%	18.8%	64.4%	+1.4	39
1940-04-21	Novara	W 3-1	1601	1691	60.4%	19.1%	20.5%	+6.1	33
1940-04-21	@ Venezia	L 1-3	1691	1601	20.5%	19.1%	60.4%	-6.1	36
1940-05-12	Inter Milan	L 1-3	1737	1816	61.5%	19.1%	19.5%	-15.8	36
1940-05-12	@ AC Milan	W 3-1	1816	1737	19.5%	19.1%	61.5%	+15.8	58
1940-05-12	Juventus	W 2-1	1634	1718	61.1%	19.1%	19.8%	+3.4	32
1940-05-12	@ Bari	L 1-2	1718	1634	19.8%	19.1%	61.1%	-3.4	44
1940-05-12	Venezia	W 2-0	1818	1607	80.7%	14.6%	4.7%	+1.6	53
1940-05-12	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1607	1818	4.7%	14.6%	80.7%	-1.6	33
1940-05-12	Triestina	W 1-0	1589	1692	59.2%	19.2%	21.7%	+3.9	30
1940-05-12	@ Fiorentina	L 0-1	1692	1589	21.7%	19.2%	59.2%	-3.9	35
1940-05-12	Roma	D 0-0	1777	1684	74.6%	17.0%	8.5%	-2.9	44
1940-05-12	@ Genova 1893	D 0-0	1684	1777	8.5%	17.0%	74.6%	+2.9	34
1940-05-12	Sampdoria	D 2-2	1751	1631	76.1%	16.5%	7.4%	-2.0	41
1940-05-12	@ Lazio Roma	D 2-2	1631	1751	7.4%	16.5%	76.1%	+2.0	28
1940-05-12	Napoli	L 0-1	1685	1630	72.3%	17.6%	10.2%	-11.3	36
1940-05-12	@ Novara	W 1-0	1630	1685	10.2%	17.6%	72.3%	+11.3	29
1940-05-12	Modena	W 4-3	1742	1647	74.8%	16.9%	8.3%	+1.4	42
1940-05-12	@ Torino	L 3-4	1647	1742	8.3%	16.9%	74.8%	-1.4	22
1940-05-19	Lazio Roma	W 4-0	1832	1749	74.0%	17.1%	8.8%	+6.0	61
1940-05-19	@ Inter Milan	L 0-4	1749	1832	8.8%	17.1%	74.0%	-6.0	41
1940-05-19	Fiorentina	W 3-0	1645	1593	72.1%	17.6%	10.3%	+5.4	25
1940-05-19	@ Modena	L 0-3	1593	1645	10.3%	17.6%	72.1%	-5.3	30
1940-05-19	Bologna	D 1-1	1642	1820	50.5%	19.3%	30.2%	-0.7	30
1940-05-19	@ Napoli	D 1-1	1820	1642	30.2%	19.3%	50.5%	+0.7	54
1940-05-19	AC Milan	W 3-1	1687	1721	65.6%	18.7%	15.7%	+4.8	37
1940-05-19	@ Roma	L 1-3	1721	1687	15.7%	18.7%	65.6%	-4.8	36
1940-05-19	Novara	W 1-0	1633	1674	65.0%	18.8%	16.2%	+3.0	31
1940-05-19	@ Sampdoria	L 0-1	1674	1633	16.2%	18.8%	65.0%	-3.0	36
1940-05-19	Bari	D 2-2	1744	1638	75.3%	16.7%	7.9%	-2.0	43
1940-05-19	@ Torino	D 2-2	1638	1744	7.9%	16.7%	75.3%	+2.0	33
1940-05-19	Genova 1893	L 0-1	1688	1774	60.8%	19.1%	20.1%	-9.6	35
1940-05-19	@ Triestina	W 1-0	1774	1688	20.1%	19.1%	60.8%	+9.6	47
1940-05-19	Juventus	D 1-1	1605	1714	58.5%	19.2%	22.3%	-1.3	34
1940-05-19	@ Venezia	D 1-1	1714	1605	22.3%	19.2%	58.5%	+1.3	45
1940-05-26	Triestina	D 0-0	1716	1678	71.1%	17.8%	11.1%	-2.6	37
1940-05-26	@ AC Milan	D 0-0	1678	1716	11.1%	17.8%	71.1%	+2.6	36
1940-05-26	Sampdoria	W 2-0	1820	1636	79.4%	15.2%	5.4%	+1.9	57
1940-05-26	@ Bologna	L 0-2	1636	1820	5.4%	15.2%	79.4%	-1.9	31
1940-05-26	Torino	W 3-2	1588	1742	53.4%	19.3%	27.3%	+4.3	33
1940-05-26	@ Fiorentina	L 2-3	1742	1588	27.3%	19.3%	53.4%	-4.3	43
1940-05-26	Modena	L 0-3	1784	1651	76.8%	16.2%	6.9%	-32.7	47
1940-05-26	@ Genova 1893	W 3-0	1651	1784	6.9%	16.2%	76.8%	+32.7	28
1940-05-26	Napoli	W 2-1	1716	1641	73.5%	17.3%	9.2%	+1.7	48
1940-05-26	@ Juventus	L 1-2	1641	1716	9.2%	17.3%	73.5%	-1.6	30
1940-05-26	Roma	W 1-0	1743	1692	72.0%	17.6%	10.4%	+2.0	44
1940-05-26	@ Lazio Roma	L 0-1	1692	1743	10.4%	17.6%	72.0%	-2.0	37
1940-05-26	Inter Milan	W 1-0	1671	1838	51.8%	19.4%	28.8%	+5.0	39
1940-05-26	@ Novara	L 0-1	1838	1671	28.8%	19.4%	51.8%	-5.0	61
1940-05-26	Bari	W 2-1	1604	1640	65.5%	18.7%	15.8%	+2.8	37
1940-05-26	@ Venezia	L 1-2	1640	1604	15.8%	18.7%	65.5%	-2.8	33
1940-06-02	Fiorentina	W 2-1	1637	1592	71.6%	17.7%	10.7%	+1.9	36
1940-06-02	@ Bari	L 1-2	1592	1637	10.7%	17.7%	71.6%	-1.9	33
1940-06-02	Bologna	W 1-0	1833	1822	69.2%	18.2%	12.6%	+2.4	64
1940-06-02	@ Inter Milan	L 0-1	1822	1833	12.6%	18.2%	69.2%	-2.4	57
1940-06-02	AC Milan	D 2-2	1683	1713	66.0%	18.6%	15.4%	-1.4	29
1940-06-02	@ Modena	D 2-2	1713	1683	15.4%	18.6%	66.0%	+1.4	38
1940-06-02	Venezia	W 2-0	1639	1607	70.8%	17.9%	11.4%	+4.0	33
1940-06-02	@ Napoli	L 0-2	1607	1639	11.4%	17.9%	70.8%	-4.0	37
1940-06-02	Novara	W 3-1	1690	1676	69.4%	18.1%	12.4%	+3.8	40
1940-06-02	@ Roma	L 1-3	1676	1690	12.4%	18.1%	69.4%	-3.8	39
1940-06-02	Juventus	L 0-2	1634	1717	61.1%	19.1%	19.8%	-18.1	31
1940-06-02	@ Sampdoria	W 2-0	1717	1634	19.8%	19.1%	61.1%	+18.1	51
1940-06-02	Genova 1893	W 3-1	1737	1751	67.3%	18.5%	14.2%	+4.4	46
1940-06-02	@ Torino	L 1-3	1751	1737	14.2%	18.5%	67.3%	-4.4	47
1940-06-02	Lazio Roma	L 2-3	1681	1745	63.0%	18.9%	18.1%	-8.8	36
1940-06-02	@ Triestina	W 3-2	1745	1681	18.1%	18.9%	63.0%	+8.8	47

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1940-05-26	6.93%	Modena	1651	3	@ Genova 1893	1784	0
2	1939-12-17	9.47%	AC Milan	1713	3	@ Inter Milan	1783	0
3	1939-10-22	9.99%	Bari	1668	1	@ Lazio Roma	1727	0
4	1939-10-01	10.02%	Venezia	1662	2	@ Roma	1721	0
5	1940-05-12	10.17%	Napoli	1630	1	@ Novara	1685	0
6	1940-02-25	10.34%	Novara	1676	2	@ AC Milan	1728	0
7	1940-02-18	10.55%	Modena	1607	4	@ Venezia	1655	0
8	1940-02-04	10.92%	Triestina	1674	6	@ Juventus	1714	2
9	1940-01-21	11.28%	Torino	1722	3	@ AC Milan	1757	1
10	1939-10-15	11.43%	Juventus	1699	2	@ Torino	1730	1
11	1939-10-15	11.82%	Lazio Roma	1706	2	@ AC Milan	1730	0
12	1940-01-28	12.17%	Lazio Roma	1722	1	@ Torino	1741	0
13	1940-03-17	13.07%	Juventus	1701	2	@ AC Milan	1705	1
14	1940-02-25	13.72%	Bologna	1805	2	@ Genova 1893	1799	1
15	1939-10-08	14.70%	Roma	1699	1	@ Napoli	1679	0
16	1939-12-03	15.27%	AC Milan	1692	4	@ Napoli	1663	1
17	1940-02-25	16.81%	Lazio Roma	1722	5	@ Bari	1674	1
18	1940-02-04	17.10%	Torino	1730	1	@ Novara	1678	0
19	1939-11-19	17.13%	Inter Milan	1769	1	@ Torino	1716	0
20	1939-10-29	17.39%	Bologna	1762	2	@ AC Milan	1707	0
21	1939-11-05	17.78%	Genova 1893	1746	6	@ Venezia	1686	2
22	1940-02-25	17.95%	Inter Milan	1764	2	@ Roma	1702	1
23	1940-06-02	18.08%	Lazio Roma	1745	3	@ Triestina	1681	2
24	1940-04-21	18.50%	AC Milan	1718	2	@ Sampdoria	1649	0
25	1939-12-17	18.56%	Torino	1712	2	@ Modena	1643	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1940-02-18	40.22	Modena	4	1607	10.55%	@ Venezia	0	1655	71.77%
2	1940-05-26	32.71	Modena	3	1651	6.93%	@ Genova 1893	0	1784	76.84%
3	1939-12-17	31.36	AC Milan	3	1713	9.47%	@ Inter Milan	0	1783	73.20%
4	1940-02-25	30.16	Lazio Roma	5	1722	16.81%	@ Bari	1	1674	64.38%
5	1940-02-04	28.27	Triestina	6	1674	10.92%	@ Juventus	2	1714	71.30%
6	1939-11-05	25.18	Genova 1893	6	1746	17.78%	@ Venezia	2	1686	63.30%
7	1939-12-03	23.98	AC Milan	4	1692	15.27%	@ Napoli	1	1663	66.10%
8	1940-03-31	21.62	Inter Milan	3	1793	31.07%	@ Fiorentina	0	1608	49.59%
9	1939-10-01	21.40	Venezia	2	1662	10.02%	@ Roma	0	1721	72.47%
10	1940-02-25	21.27	Novara	2	1676	10.34%	@ AC Milan	0	1728	72.04%
11	1939-10-15	20.75	Lazio Roma	2	1706	11.82%	@ AC Milan	0	1730	70.17%
12	1940-01-07	20.35	Genova 1893	4	1764	24.84%	@ Modena	1	1631	55.86%
13	1939-10-29	18.89	Bologna	2	1762	17.39%	@ AC Milan	0	1707	63.73%
14	1940-04-21	18.54	AC Milan	2	1718	18.50%	@ Sampdoria	0	1649	62.52%
15	1939-10-08	18.45	Inter Milan	2	1758	18.76%	@ Sampdoria	0	1687	62.24%
16	1940-03-24	18.37	AC Milan	2	1695	19.04%	@ Venezia	0	1620	61.94%
17	1940-01-21	18.14	Torino	3	1722	11.28%	@ AC Milan	1	1757	70.85%
18	1940-06-02	18.13	Juventus	2	1717	19.80%	@ Sampdoria	0	1634	61.12%
19	1940-01-28	17.72	Bologna	2	1788	21.12%	@ Triestina	0	1691	59.72%
20	1940-05-12	15.79	Inter Milan	3	1816	19.48%	@ AC Milan	1	1737	61.46%
21	1939-11-19	12.58	@ Fiorentina	4	1597	61.84%	Sampdoria	0	1673	19.13%
22	1939-10-15	11.54	@ Bari	3	1657	57.28%	Inter Milan	0	1777	23.46%
23	1939-10-22	11.35	Bari	1	1668	9.99%	@ Lazio Roma	0	1727	72.50%
24	1940-05-12	11.32	Napoli	1	1630	10.17%	@ Novara	0	1685	72.26%
25	1940-01-28	10.94	Lazio Roma	1	1722	12.17%	@ Torino	0	1741	69.75%