Home / Leagues / Kazakhstan / Kazakhstan Premier League / 2012
‹ ›

2012 Kazakhstan Premier League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Shakter Karagandy

53 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Taraz

10.00 points above expected

46 points · 36.00 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Zhetysu

12.29 points below expected

23 points · 35.29 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shakter Karagandy 26 17 2 7 53 48 15 +33 51.26 +1.74
2 Irtysh 26 15 6 5 51 46 20 +26 43.46 +7.54
3 Aktobe 26 15 5 6 50 44 22 +22 47.64 +2.36
4 Astana 26 13 7 6 46 34 24 +10 40.29 +5.71
5 Taraz 26 14 4 8 46 32 30 +2 36.00 +10.00
6 Tobol 26 13 6 7 45 42 27 +15 42.22 +2.78
7 Ordabasy 26 10 9 7 39 29 24 +5 41.07 -2.07
8 Akzhayik 26 10 4 12 34 34 39 -5 32.55 +1.45
9 Kaisar 26 8 6 12 30 21 33 -12 30.48 -0.48
10 Kairat 26 7 8 11 29 23 34 -11 29.24 -0.24
11 Atyrau 26 7 6 13 27 16 32 -16 29.88 -2.88
12 Sunkar Kaskelen 26 5 8 13 23 16 31 -15 27.84 -4.84
13 Zhetysu 26 6 5 15 23 27 45 -18 35.29 -12.29
14 Okzhetpes 26 3 2 21 11 20 56 -36 20.37 -9.37

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Taraz 46 36.00 +10.00
2 Irtysh 51 43.46 +7.54
3 Astana 46 40.29 +5.71
4 Tobol 45 42.22 +2.78
5 Aktobe 50 47.64 +2.36

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Zhetysu 23 35.29 -12.29
2 Okzhetpes 11 20.37 -9.37
3 Sunkar Kaskelen 23 27.84 -4.84
4 Atyrau 27 29.88 -2.88
5 Ordabasy 39 41.07 -2.07

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Akzhayik 4 Apr 8 – Apr 29 1 in 96
2 Taraz 4 Mar 10 – Apr 1 1 in 68
3 Tobol 3 Apr 29 – May 12 1 in 13
4 Astana 3 Jun 24 – Jul 8 1 in 12
5 Sunkar Kaskelen 2 Jul 8 – Jul 15 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zhetysu 5 Apr 15 – May 12 1 in 109
2 Okzhetpes 6 Mar 10 – Apr 15 1 in 53
3 Astana 3 Apr 15 – Apr 29 1 in 52
4 Ordabasy 3 Aug 5 – Aug 19 1 in 41
5 Kaisar 5 Mar 10 – Apr 8 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Astana 8 May 6 – Jul 8 1 in 42
2 Tobol 8 Mar 25 – May 12 1 in 24
3 Aktobe 9 Jun 16 – Sep 23 1 in 16
4 Kaisar 4 Jul 15 – Aug 10 1 in 16
5 Akzhayik 5 Apr 1 – Apr 29 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Akzhayik 8 Jul 1 – Sep 23 1 in 58
2 Ordabasy 6 Aug 5 – Sep 24 1 in 39
3 Kairat 8 May 27 – Aug 19 1 in 28
4 Aktobe 4 Apr 1 – Apr 22 1 in 24
5 Astana 4 Apr 8 – Apr 29 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shakter Karagandy 1492 53 +9 12 10.7 +1.3
Irtysh 1458 51 +32 12 8.4 +3.6
Aktobe 1472 50 +21 12 10.4 +1.6
Taraz 1318 46 +32 11 7.3 +3.7
Astana 1393 46 +12 8 7.7 +0.3
Tobol 1362 45 -17 4 8.5 -4.5
Ordabasy 1342 39 +3 8 8.1 -0.1
Akzhayik 1230 34 -27 6 5.7 +0.3
Kaisar 1234 30 -13 6 5.3 +0.7
Kairat 1220 29 -6 6 4.8 +1.2
Atyrau 1188 27 -21 2 4.4 -2.4
Zhetysu 1245 23 -13 5 7.5 -2.5
Sunkar Kaskelen 1186 23 -13 2 3.9 -1.9
Okzhetpes 1079 11 -6 3 3.3 -0.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AKT AKZ AST ATY IRT KAI KAI OKZ ORD SK SK TAR TOB ZHE
Aktobe —
0-0-2
3.95
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
4.17
2-0-0
2.90
1-1-0
4.14
2-0-0
4.03
2-0-0
4.60
0-2-0
3.17
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
4.28
1-0-1
3.60
0-1-1
3.21
1-1-0
3.46
Akzhayik
2-0-0
1.64
 —
0-0-2
2.43
2-0-0
2.87
0-0-2
1.85
0-0-2
3.09
1-1-0
3.08
2-0-0
3.26
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-2
1.56
0-1-1
3.25
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.65
Astana
1-0-1
2.22
2-0-0
3.13
 —
1-0-1
3.36
0-1-1
2.49
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
3.43
1-0-1
4.27
1-1-0
2.72
2-0-0
1.76
0-2-0
3.78
0-1-1
3.34
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.34
Atyrau
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
2.68
1-0-1
2.21
 —
0-1-1
1.85
1-1-0
2.76
0-0-2
2.78
2-0-0
3.69
0-1-1
1.98
0-0-2
1.50
1-1-0
2.89
1-1-0
2.08
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.39
Irtysh
0-0-2
2.65
2-0-0
3.71
1-1-0
3.07
1-1-0
3.72
 —
1-1-0
3.86
0-1-1
4.10
2-0-0
4.29
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
2.32
2-0-0
4.05
0-1-1
3.58
1-1-0
2.95
2-0-0
3.43
Kairat
0-1-1
1.45
2-0-0
2.47
0-0-2
2.04
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
1.72
 —
0-2-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.46
0-2-0
1.84
0-0-2
1.29
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.31
Kaisar
0-0-2
1.57
0-1-1
2.48
0-0-2
2.14
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
1.49
0-2-0
2.74
 —
1-1-0
3.71
1-0-1
1.90
1-0-1
1.27
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-2
2.29
0-0-2
1.97
1-0-1
2.22
Okzhetpes
0-0-2
1.04
0-0-2
2.32
1-0-1
1.34
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
1.31
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
1.85
 —
0-0-2
1.23
0-0-2
0.97
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
1.41
0-0-2
1.42
1-0-1
1.59
Ordabasy
0-2-0
2.39
1-1-0
3.26
0-1-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.59
1-0-1
2.58
0-2-0
3.73
1-0-1
3.67
2-0-0
4.38
 —
0-1-1
1.96
1-1-0
3.77
0-0-2
3.43
1-0-1
2.73
2-0-0
3.25
Shakter Karagandy
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
4.02
0-0-2
3.81
2-0-0
4.10
0-0-2
3.23
2-0-0
4.31
1-0-1
4.34
2-0-0
4.69
1-1-0
3.60
 —
2-0-0
4.34
1-1-0
3.98
1-0-1
3.48
2-0-0
3.66
Sunkar Kaskelen
0-0-2
1.32
1-1-0
2.31
0-2-0
1.78
0-1-1
2.66
0-0-2
1.53
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.58
2-0-0
3.29
0-1-1
1.81
0-0-2
1.27
 —
0-0-2
2.29
0-1-1
1.80
1-1-0
1.95
Taraz
1-0-1
1.96
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.22
0-1-1
3.47
1-1-0
1.98
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
3.26
1-0-1
4.18
2-0-0
2.14
0-1-1
1.60
2-0-0
3.27
 —
2-0-0
2.26
0-0-2
2.89
Tobol
1-1-0
2.35
1-0-1
3.44
1-1-0
2.78
1-1-0
3.44
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
3.63
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
4.18
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.08
1-1-0
3.77
0-0-2
3.30
 —
1-1-0
3.50
Zhetysu
0-1-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.91
0-1-1
2.23
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
2.14
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.99
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
3.60
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.06
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.76 +10.1
Allowed 0.78 -10.6
Differential 0.94 +6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.01%5.49%3.02%1.65%0.55%31.87%
114.01%11.54%6.87%3.30%1.92%0.55%38.19%
25.49%6.87%2.75%1.10%—0.55%16.76%
33.02%3.30%1.10%—0.27%—7.69%
41.65%1.92%—0.27%——3.85%
5+0.55%0.55%0.55%———1.65%
Total31.87%38.19%16.76%7.69%3.85%1.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.19 +0.00
SD 1.18 1.18 1.78
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%3.85%———23.08%
115.38%11.54%————26.92%
211.54%11.54%3.85%———26.92%
33.85%———3.85%—7.69%
43.85%7.69%————11.54%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total38.46%46.15%11.54%—3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 0.85 +0.85
SD 1.44 0.92 1.57
CV 0.85 1.09 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%3.85%——3.85%26.92%
17.69%7.69%11.54%7.69%——34.62%
2—15.38%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+———————
Total19.23%42.31%19.23%15.38%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.50 -0.19
SD 1.12 1.33 1.83
CV 0.86 0.89 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
126.92%15.38%3.85%—3.85%—50.00%
23.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total46.15%30.77%11.54%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 0.92 +0.38
SD 1.12 1.13 1.70
CV 0.86 1.22 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%23.08%11.54%—3.85%3.85%53.85%
115.38%11.54%—3.85%——30.77%
23.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%42.31%11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 1.23 -0.62
SD 0.75 1.31 1.60
CV 1.22 1.06 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
119.23%7.69%7.69%———34.62%
23.85%3.85%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
315.38%3.85%————19.23%
43.85%7.69%————11.54%
5+———————
Total50.00%26.92%19.23%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 0.77 +1.00
SD 1.27 0.91 1.62
CV 0.72 1.18 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
17.69%19.23%11.54%3.85%3.85%—46.15%
23.85%11.54%————15.38%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%38.46%19.23%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.31 -0.42
SD 0.82 1.19 1.60
CV 0.92 0.91 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%11.54%7.69%——38.46%
119.23%11.54%11.54%———42.31%
23.85%7.69%3.85%——3.85%19.23%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%30.77%26.92%7.69%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.27 -0.46
SD 0.75 1.22 1.42
CV 0.93 0.96 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%11.54%11.54%3.85%—50.00%
13.85%—11.54%11.54%7.69%—34.62%
2——3.85%——3.85%7.69%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%26.92%26.92%23.08%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 2.15 -1.38
SD 1.03 1.29 1.63
CV 1.34 0.60 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%11.54%—3.85%——30.77%
111.54%19.23%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
27.69%7.69%————15.38%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total34.62%46.15%11.54%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.92 +0.19
SD 1.07 0.89 1.33
CV 0.96 0.97 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—23.08%————23.08%
115.38%7.69%—3.85%——26.92%
219.23%—————19.23%
37.69%3.85%————11.54%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+—7.69%————7.69%
Total50.00%46.15%—3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 0.58 +1.27
SD 1.59 0.70 1.87
CV 0.86 1.22 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%19.23%11.54%—7.69%—57.69%
17.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
23.85%—————3.85%
3—7.69%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%38.46%19.23%3.85%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 1.19 -0.58
SD 0.90 1.17 1.55
CV 1.46 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
123.08%11.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%—50.00%
27.69%11.54%————19.23%
3—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%34.62%15.38%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.15 +0.08
SD 0.91 1.16 1.49
CV 0.74 1.00 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
115.38%11.54%3.85%—3.85%—34.62%
23.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
3—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total34.62%38.46%19.23%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.04 +0.58
SD 1.50 1.04 2.04
CV 0.93 1.00 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—23.08%—3.85%3.85%—30.77%
17.69%15.38%15.38%—3.85%7.69%50.00%
23.85%3.85%3.85%———11.54%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total11.54%46.15%23.08%3.85%7.69%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.73 -0.69
SD 1.11 1.40 1.83
CV 1.07 0.81 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shakter Karagandy 1492 53 51.26 +1.74 64.0% 38 42 47 52 55 61 63
Aktobe 1472 50 47.64 +2.36 69.0% 31 36 43 48 51 57 65
Irtysh 1458 51 43.46 +7.54 91.0% 30 33 40 43 47 54 57
Astana 1393 46 40.29 +5.71 81.0% 24 28 36 40 45 50 57
Tobol 1362 45 42.22 +2.78 68.0% 28 32 37 42 47 52 62
Ordabasy 1342 39 41.07 -2.07 35.0% 25 28 36 41 47 51 56
Taraz 1318 46 36.00 +10.00 97.0% 20 25 31 36 41 46 48
Zhetysu 1245 23 35.29 -12.29 3.0% 21 25 31 35 39 45 50
Kaisar 1234 30 30.48 -0.48 50.0% 13 18 26 30 35 41 44
Akzhayik 1230 34 32.55 +1.45 61.0% 16 22 28 32 37 44 51
Kairat 1220 29 29.24 -0.24 57.0% 16 20 26 29 33 37 51
Atyrau 1188 27 29.88 -2.88 32.0% 14 20 26 30 33 39 44
Sunkar Kaskelen 1186 23 27.84 -4.84 21.0% 8 16 24 28 32 38 42
Okzhetpes 1079 11 20.37 -9.37 4.0% 9 12 17 20 24 30 38

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+24.73%
Slight Edge
51.65%21.43%26.92%
Elo Value
Home Edge
164 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
087.72500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.53 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.53+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
55%
Shakter Karagandy, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.02 * Some Luck: 5.02 to 7.53 * Lucky: 7.53 to 10.04 * Wild Swing: 10.04 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.56 * Close: 1.56 to 2.34 * Off: 2.34 to 3.12 * Way Off: 3.12 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.87 points
Some Luck
06.2716
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.43
Pinpoint
01.954
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
97.00%
Taraz
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
3.00%
Zhetysu
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 79% * Wide Edge: 79% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 98.5% * Dominant: 98.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 64% * Frequent: 64% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13.5% * Occasional: 13.5% to 15.5% * Frequent: 15.5% to 18.5% * Very Frequent: 18.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.170.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 123.67
1.87
Moderate Separation
0.91.752.353
Interquartile Edge
72%
Slight Edge
50%70.5%79%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
91%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
66%
Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.49 * Lopsided: 0.49 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.64 * Strong Carryover: 0.64 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Upset-Prone: 20.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Highly Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Very Even
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.96
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.67
Strong Carryover
00.470.641
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Upset-Prone
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.73
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.08
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.066
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Shakter Karagandy55.00%23.00%9.00%8.00%4.00%—1.00%———————
Irtysh9.00%11.00%19.00%15.00%18.00%16.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%—1.00%———
Aktobe25.00%26.00%14.00%12.00%7.00%8.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%—————
Astana1.00%6.00%18.00%15.00%13.00%8.00%15.00%9.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%——
Taraz1.00%3.00%7.00%6.00%11.00%8.00%13.00%14.00%10.00%13.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%1.00%
Tobol5.00%18.00%17.00%12.00%7.00%9.00%12.00%12.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%———
Ordabasy4.00%9.00%11.00%15.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%8.00%3.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%—
Akzhayik—2.00%2.00%3.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%8.00%7.00%15.00%8.00%5.00%
Kaisar———2.00%3.00%10.00%8.00%9.00%14.00%13.00%9.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%
Kairat——1.00%1.00%—5.00%4.00%8.00%9.00%16.00%19.00%16.00%18.00%3.00%
Atyrau———1.00%5.00%4.00%2.00%8.00%15.00%11.00%19.00%12.00%19.00%4.00%
Sunkar Kaskelen————3.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%15.00%18.00%18.00%20.00%11.00%
Zhetysu—2.00%2.00%10.00%5.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%14.00%11.00%9.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%
Okzhetpes—————1.00%——1.00%2.00%4.00%9.00%17.00%66.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Direct relegation
Aktobe 100% —
Astana 100% —
Irtysh 100% —
Shakter Karagandy 100% —
Tobol 100% —
Ordabasy 99.00% 1.00%
Taraz 97.00% 3.00%
Zhetysu 94.00% 6.00%
Akzhayik 87.00% 13.00%
Kaisar 81.00% 19.00%
Kairat 79.00% 21.00%
Atyrau 77.00% 23.00%
Sunkar Kaskelen 69.00% 31.00%
Okzhetpes 17.00% 83.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2012-03-10 Aktobe L 0-236.6 1247 1407 28.98% 22.46% 48.56%-0.44 -16.1 0
2012-03-10 @ Kaisar W 2-036.6 1407 1247 48.56% 22.46% 28.98%+0.44 +16.1 3
2012-03-10 Akzhayik L 0-339.4 1201 1215 48.71% 22.45% 28.84%+0.45 -35.6 0
2012-03-10 @ Okzhetpes W 3-039.4 1215 1201 28.84% 22.45% 48.71%-0.45 +35.5 3
2012-03-10 Kairat W 4-031.2 1300 1249 56.57% 21.75% 21.68%+0.85 +23.8 3
2012-03-10 @ Tobol L 0-431.2 1249 1300 21.68% 21.75% 56.57%-0.85 -23.8 0
2012-03-10 Ordabasy L 2-353.6 1257 1344 38.74% 22.73% 38.53%+0.00 -9.6 0
2012-03-10 @ Atyrau W 3-253.6 1344 1257 38.53% 22.73% 38.74%+0.00 +9.6 3
2012-03-10 Shakter Karagandy W 1-043.3 1348 1411 42.24% 22.70% 35.06%+0.15 +10.0 3
2012-03-10 @ Irtysh L 0-143.3 1411 1348 35.06% 22.70% 42.24%-0.15 -10.0 0
2012-03-10 Taraz L 0-245.3 1357 1274 59.90% 21.29% 18.81%+1.04 -29.5 0
2012-03-10 @ Astana W 2-045.3 1274 1357 18.81% 21.29% 59.90%-1.04 +29.5 3
2012-03-10 Zhetysu W 1-045.2 1229 1381 29.91% 22.51% 47.58%-0.39 +12.7 3
2012-03-10 @ Sunkar Kaskelen L 0-145.2 1381 1229 47.58% 22.51% 29.91%+0.39 -12.7 0
2012-03-18 Aktobe W 2-039.6 1401 1423 47.70% 22.51% 29.79%+0.40 +16.5 3
2012-03-18 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-239.6 1423 1401 29.79% 22.51% 47.70%-0.40 -16.5 3
2012-03-18 Atyrau W 3-140.9 1251 1248 50.91% 22.31% 26.78%+0.55 +13.1 6
2012-03-18 @ Akzhayik L 1-340.9 1248 1251 26.78% 22.31% 50.91%-0.55 -13.0 0
2012-03-18 Kaisar W 5-236.3 1369 1230 65.15% 20.27% 14.58%+1.38 +9.2 3
2012-03-18 @ Zhetysu L 2-536.3 1230 1369 14.58% 20.27% 65.15%-1.38 -9.2 0
2012-03-18 Okzhetpes W 3-030.8 1225 1166 57.43% 21.64% 20.92%+0.90 +17.7 3
2012-03-18 @ Kairat L 0-330.8 1166 1225 20.92% 21.64% 57.43%-0.90 -17.7 0
2012-03-18 Sunkar Kaskelen W 1-036.5 1303 1242 57.69% 21.61% 20.70%+0.91 +6.4 6
2012-03-18 @ Taraz L 0-136.5 1242 1303 20.70% 21.61% 57.69%-0.91 -6.4 3
2012-03-18 Tobol W 4-138.0 1358 1324 54.64% 21.98% 23.39%+0.74 +16.4 6
2012-03-18 @ Irtysh L 1-438.0 1324 1358 23.39% 21.98% 54.64%-0.74 -16.4 3
2012-03-25 Akzhayik W 2-142.9 1327 1264 57.86% 21.59% 20.56%+0.92 +6.0 3
2012-03-25 @ Astana L 1-242.9 1264 1327 20.56% 21.59% 57.86%-0.92 -6.0 6
2012-03-25 Irtysh L 1-436.3 1148 1375 21.68% 21.76% 56.56%-0.85 -15.4 0
2012-03-25 @ Okzhetpes W 4-136.3 1375 1148 56.56% 21.76% 21.68%+0.85 +15.4 9
2012-03-25 Kairat W 2-035.3 1235 1243 49.51% 22.40% 28.09%+0.49 +15.7 3
2012-03-25 @ Atyrau L 0-235.3 1243 1235 28.09% 22.40% 49.51%-0.49 -15.7 3
2012-03-25 Ordabasy D 0-050.6 1235 1354 34.30% 22.68% 43.02%-0.19 +0.5 4
2012-03-25 @ Sunkar Kaskelen D 0-050.6 1354 1235 43.02% 22.68% 34.30%+0.19 -0.6 4
2012-03-25 Shakter Karagandy W 3-147.3 1308 1417 35.55% 22.71% 41.75%-0.13 +18.6 6
2012-03-25 @ Tobol L 1-347.3 1417 1308 41.75% 22.71% 35.55%+0.13 -18.6 3
2012-03-25 Taraz L 1-248.3 1221 1310 38.53% 22.73% 38.74%+0.00 -10.1 0
2012-03-25 @ Kaisar W 2-148.3 1310 1221 38.74% 22.73% 38.53%+0.00 +10.1 9
2012-03-25 Zhetysu W 4-034.7 1406 1378 53.94% 22.05% 24.02%+0.71 +26.0 6
2012-03-25 @ Aktobe L 0-434.7 1378 1406 24.02% 22.05% 53.94%-0.71 -26.0 3
2012-04-01 Aktobe W 1-045.3 1320 1432 35.15% 22.70% 42.15%-0.15 +11.5 12
2012-04-01 @ Taraz L 0-145.3 1432 1320 42.15% 22.70% 35.15%+0.15 -11.5 6
2012-04-01 Astana L 0-238.1 1227 1333 36.00% 22.71% 41.28%-0.11 -19.2 3
2012-04-01 @ Kairat W 2-038.1 1333 1227 41.28% 22.71% 36.00%+0.11 +19.2 6
2012-04-01 Atyrau D 0-051.7 1390 1250 65.28% 20.24% 14.48%+1.38 -3.6 10
2012-04-01 @ Irtysh D 0-051.7 1250 1390 14.48% 20.24% 65.28%-1.38 +3.6 4
2012-04-01 Kaisar W 1-034.3 1353 1211 65.50% 20.19% 14.31%+1.40 +4.5 7
2012-04-01 @ Ordabasy L 0-134.3 1211 1353 14.31% 20.19% 65.50%-1.40 -4.5 0
2012-04-01 Okzhetpes W 3-135.2 1326 1133 69.67% 19.07% 11.26%+1.71 +5.8 9
2012-04-01 @ Tobol L 1-335.2 1133 1326 11.26% 19.07% 69.67%-1.71 -5.8 0
2012-04-01 Sunkar Kaskelen D 1-155.6 1258 1236 53.21% 22.12% 24.67%+0.67 -1.7 7
2012-04-01 @ Akzhayik D 1-155.6 1236 1258 24.67% 22.12% 53.21%-0.67 +1.7 5
2012-04-01 Zhetysu W 5-136.8 1399 1352 56.04% 21.82% 22.15%+0.82 +20.2 6
2012-04-01 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-536.8 1352 1399 22.15% 21.82% 56.04%-0.82 -20.2 3
2012-04-08 Akzhayik L 1-249.7 1207 1256 43.99% 22.66% 33.35%+0.23 -11.2 0
2012-04-08 @ Kaisar W 2-149.7 1256 1207 33.35% 22.66% 43.99%-0.23 +11.2 10
2012-04-08 Irtysh D 2-263.5 1352 1387 46.09% 22.58% 31.33%+0.33 -0.6 7
2012-04-08 @ Astana D 2-263.5 1387 1352 31.33% 22.58% 46.09%-0.33 +0.6 11
2012-04-08 Kairat L 0-242.9 1238 1208 54.11% 22.03% 23.86%+0.72 -26.8 5
2012-04-08 @ Sunkar Kaskelen W 2-042.9 1208 1238 23.86% 22.03% 54.11%-0.72 +26.9 6
2012-04-08 Ordabasy D 0-053.3 1421 1358 57.81% 21.59% 20.59%+0.92 -2.5 7
2012-04-08 @ Aktobe D 0-053.3 1358 1421 20.59% 21.59% 57.81%-0.92 +2.5 8
2012-04-08 Shakter Karagandy L 0-231.4 1127 1419 16.12% 20.70% 63.18%-1.24 -9.5 0
2012-04-08 @ Okzhetpes W 2-031.4 1419 1127 63.18% 20.70% 16.12%+1.24 +9.5 9
2012-04-08 Taraz W 2-036.1 1332 1331 50.55% 22.33% 27.11%+0.54 +15.2 6
2012-04-08 @ Zhetysu L 0-236.1 1331 1332 27.11% 22.33% 50.55%-0.54 -15.2 12
2012-04-08 Tobol D 1-155.8 1254 1332 40.01% 22.73% 37.26%+0.06 -0.2 5
2012-04-08 @ Atyrau D 1-155.8 1332 1254 37.26% 22.73% 40.01%-0.06 +0.2 10
2012-04-15 Aktobe W 1-045.9 1268 1418 30.13% 22.53% 47.35%-0.38 +12.7 13
2012-04-15 @ Akzhayik L 0-145.9 1418 1268 47.35% 22.53% 30.13%+0.38 -12.7 7
2012-04-15 Astana W 3-251.6 1332 1352 48.01% 22.49% 29.50%+0.41 +7.7 13
2012-04-15 @ Tobol L 2-351.6 1352 1332 29.50% 22.49% 48.01%-0.41 -7.7 7
2012-04-15 Atyrau L 1-245.9 1117 1254 31.94% 22.61% 45.46%-0.30 -8.7 0
2012-04-15 @ Okzhetpes W 2-145.9 1254 1117 45.46% 22.61% 31.94%+0.30 +8.7 8
2012-04-15 Kaisar D 1-155.5 1235 1195 55.20% 21.91% 22.89%+0.77 -1.9 7
2012-04-15 @ Kairat D 1-155.5 1195 1235 22.89% 21.91% 55.20%-0.77 +1.9 1
2012-04-15 Sunkar Kaskelen W 4-028.0 1387 1211 68.34% 19.46% 12.20%+1.61 +13.8 14
2012-04-15 @ Irtysh L 0-428.0 1211 1387 12.20% 19.46% 68.34%-1.61 -13.8 5
2012-04-15 Taraz W 1-036.9 1428 1316 62.78% 20.78% 16.45%+1.22 +5.2 12
2012-04-15 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-136.9 1316 1428 16.45% 20.78% 62.78%-1.22 -5.2 12
2012-04-15 Zhetysu W 4-139.1 1360 1347 52.18% 22.21% 25.61%+0.62 +17.8 11
2012-04-15 @ Ordabasy L 1-439.1 1347 1360 25.61% 22.21% 52.18%-0.62 -17.8 6
2012-04-22 Akzhayik L 1-253.8 1329 1280 56.29% 21.79% 21.92%+0.83 -13.9 6
2012-04-22 @ Zhetysu W 2-153.8 1280 1329 21.92% 21.79% 56.29%-0.83 +13.9 16
2012-04-22 Irtysh W 2-043.5 1197 1401 24.03% 22.05% 53.92%-0.71 +26.8 4
2012-04-22 @ Kaisar L 0-243.5 1401 1197 53.92% 22.05% 24.03%+0.71 -26.8 14
2012-04-22 Kairat D 1-157.2 1406 1233 68.05% 19.54% 12.41%+1.59 -3.5 8
2012-04-22 @ Aktobe D 1-157.2 1233 1406 12.41% 19.54% 68.05%-1.59 +3.5 8
2012-04-22 Okzhetpes L 1-450.3 1344 1109 72.68% 18.06% 9.25%+1.97 -42.9 7
2012-04-22 @ Astana W 4-150.3 1109 1344 9.25% 18.06% 72.68%-1.97 +42.9 3
2012-04-22 Ordabasy W 2-148.7 1311 1378 41.54% 22.71% 35.75%+0.12 +9.5 15
2012-04-22 @ Taraz L 1-248.7 1378 1311 35.75% 22.71% 41.54%-0.12 -9.5 11
2012-04-22 Shakter Karagandy L 0-236.6 1262 1433 27.67% 22.38% 49.95%-0.51 -15.5 8
2012-04-22 @ Atyrau W 2-036.6 1433 1262 49.95% 22.38% 27.67%+0.51 +15.5 15
2012-04-22 Tobol D 0-050.4 1197 1340 31.10% 22.57% 46.32%-0.34 +1.0 6
2012-04-22 @ Sunkar Kaskelen D 0-050.4 1340 1197 46.32% 22.57% 31.10%+0.34 -1.0 14
2012-04-29 Aktobe L 1-253.3 1374 1402 46.93% 22.55% 30.53%+0.36 -11.9 14
2012-04-29 @ Irtysh W 2-153.3 1402 1374 30.53% 22.55% 46.93%-0.36 +11.9 11
2012-04-29 Astana W 1-040.8 1247 1301 43.38% 22.67% 33.95%+0.20 +9.7 11
2012-04-29 @ Atyrau L 0-140.8 1301 1247 33.95% 22.67% 43.38%-0.20 -9.7 7
2012-04-29 Kaisar W 2-031.6 1339 1224 63.02% 20.73% 16.25%+1.23 +9.6 17
2012-04-29 @ Tobol L 0-231.6 1224 1339 16.25% 20.73% 63.02%-1.23 -9.6 4
2012-04-29 Ordabasy D 1-159.4 1449 1369 59.64% 21.33% 19.04%+1.02 -2.5 16
2012-04-29 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-159.4 1369 1449 19.04% 21.33% 59.64%-1.02 +2.5 12
2012-04-29 Sunkar Kaskelen L 0-240.0 1151 1198 44.43% 22.64% 32.92%+0.25 -22.7 3
2012-04-29 @ Okzhetpes W 2-040.0 1198 1151 32.92% 22.64% 44.43%-0.25 +22.6 9
2012-04-29 Taraz W 3-034.7 1294 1320 47.13% 22.54% 30.34%+0.37 +24.3 19
2012-04-29 @ Akzhayik L 0-334.7 1320 1294 30.34% 22.54% 47.13%-0.37 -24.3 15
2012-04-29 Zhetysu W 1-041.9 1236 1315 39.88% 22.73% 37.39%+0.05 +10.5 11
2012-04-29 @ Kairat L 0-141.9 1315 1236 37.39% 22.73% 39.88%-0.05 -10.5 6
2012-05-06 Akzhayik W 2-034.5 1371 1318 56.72% 21.74% 21.54%+0.86 +12.5 15
2012-05-06 @ Ordabasy L 0-234.5 1318 1371 21.54% 21.74% 56.72%-0.86 -12.5 19
2012-05-06 Atyrau D 0-050.1 1221 1257 45.82% 22.59% 31.58%+0.31 -0.9 10
2012-05-06 @ Sunkar Kaskelen D 0-050.1 1257 1221 31.58% 22.59% 45.82%-0.31 +0.9 12
2012-05-06 Irtysh L 1-250.5 1305 1362 42.89% 22.68% 34.42%+0.18 -11.0 6
2012-05-06 @ Zhetysu W 2-150.5 1362 1305 34.42% 22.68% 42.89%-0.18 +11.0 17
2012-05-06 Kairat W 2-143.1 1296 1247 56.36% 21.78% 21.86%+0.84 +6.3 18
2012-05-06 @ Taraz L 1-243.1 1247 1296 21.86% 21.78% 56.36%-0.84 -6.3 11
2012-05-06 Okzhetpes W 1-035.3 1214 1129 60.19% 21.24% 18.57%+1.06 +5.8 7
2012-05-06 @ Kaisar L 0-135.3 1129 1214 18.57% 21.24% 60.19%-1.06 -5.8 3
2012-05-06 Shakter Karagandy W 1-046.8 1291 1446 29.59% 22.50% 47.91%-0.41 +12.8 10
2012-05-06 @ Astana L 0-146.8 1446 1291 47.91% 22.50% 29.59%+0.41 -12.8 16
2012-05-06 Tobol L 0-150.0 1414 1349 58.08% 21.56% 20.36%+0.93 -15.2 11
2012-05-06 @ Aktobe W 1-050.0 1349 1414 20.36% 21.56% 58.08%-0.93 +15.2 20
2012-05-12 Aktobe L 1-434.8 1123 1399 17.37% 20.99% 61.64%-1.14 -12.5 3
2012-05-12 @ Okzhetpes W 4-134.8 1399 1123 61.64% 20.99% 17.37%+1.14 +12.5 14
2012-05-12 Akzhayik W 3-139.0 1434 1306 64.21% 20.48% 15.31%+1.31 +7.9 19
2012-05-12 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-339.0 1306 1434 15.31% 20.48% 64.21%-1.31 -7.9 19
2012-05-12 Kaisar L 0-146.7 1258 1220 54.98% 21.94% 23.08%+0.76 -14.4 12
2012-05-12 @ Atyrau W 1-046.7 1220 1258 23.08% 21.94% 54.98%-0.76 +14.5 10
2012-05-12 Ordabasy D 1-156.1 1240 1384 31.06% 22.57% 46.37%-0.34 +0.9 12
2012-05-12 @ Kairat D 1-156.1 1384 1240 46.37% 22.57% 31.06%+0.34 -0.9 16
2012-05-12 Sunkar Kaskelen D 0-050.7 1304 1220 60.08% 21.26% 18.67%+1.05 -2.9 11
2012-05-12 @ Astana D 0-050.7 1220 1304 18.67% 21.26% 60.08%-1.05 +2.9 11
2012-05-12 Taraz D 1-157.0 1373 1303 58.66% 21.47% 19.87%+0.96 -2.4 18
2012-05-12 @ Irtysh D 1-157.0 1303 1373 19.87% 21.47% 58.66%-0.96 +2.4 19
2012-05-12 Zhetysu W 2-143.2 1364 1294 58.57% 21.49% 19.94%+0.96 +5.8 23
2012-05-12 @ Tobol L 1-243.2 1294 1364 19.94% 21.49% 58.57%-0.96 -5.8 6
2012-05-20 Astana L 0-143.1 1235 1301 41.64% 22.71% 35.65%+0.13 -11.4 10
2012-05-20 @ Kaisar W 1-043.1 1301 1235 35.65% 22.71% 41.64%-0.13 +11.4 14
2012-05-20 Atyrau W 1-034.3 1411 1243 67.67% 19.64% 12.69%+1.56 +4.0 17
2012-05-20 @ Aktobe L 0-134.3 1243 1411 12.69% 19.64% 67.67%-1.56 -4.0 12
2012-05-20 Irtysh W 2-146.5 1383 1371 51.97% 22.22% 25.81%+0.61 +7.3 19
2012-05-20 @ Ordabasy L 1-246.5 1371 1383 25.81% 22.22% 51.97%-0.61 -7.3 18
2012-05-20 Kairat L 1-253.6 1298 1241 57.16% 21.68% 21.16%+0.88 -14.1 19
2012-05-20 @ Akzhayik W 2-153.6 1241 1298 21.16% 21.68% 57.16%-0.88 +14.1 15
2012-05-20 Okzhetpes W 1-032.9 1288 1110 68.41% 19.44% 12.15%+1.61 +3.8 9
2012-05-20 @ Zhetysu L 0-132.9 1110 1288 12.15% 19.44% 68.41%-1.61 -3.8 3
2012-05-20 Shakter Karagandy L 0-234.5 1222 1442 22.44% 21.86% 55.70%-0.80 -12.9 11
2012-05-20 @ Sunkar Kaskelen W 2-034.5 1442 1222 55.70% 21.86% 22.44%+0.80 +12.9 22
2012-05-20 Tobol W 1-042.2 1305 1370 41.91% 22.70% 35.39%+0.14 +10.0 22
2012-05-20 @ Taraz L 0-142.2 1370 1305 35.39% 22.70% 41.91%-0.14 -10.0 23
2012-05-27 Aktobe W 1-044.5 1313 1415 36.52% 22.72% 40.76%-0.09 +11.2 17
2012-05-27 @ Astana L 0-144.5 1415 1313 40.76% 22.72% 36.52%+0.09 -11.2 17
2012-05-27 Akzhayik W 3-139.2 1364 1284 59.59% 21.33% 19.08%+1.02 +9.7 21
2012-05-27 @ Irtysh L 1-339.2 1284 1364 19.08% 21.33% 59.59%-1.02 -9.7 19
2012-05-27 Kairat W 4-133.7 1454 1255 70.08% 18.94% 10.98%+1.75 +8.0 25
2012-05-27 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-433.7 1255 1454 10.98% 18.94% 70.08%-1.75 -8.0 15
2012-05-27 Kaisar D 0-050.1 1210 1223 48.76% 22.45% 28.79%+0.45 -1.3 12
2012-05-27 @ Sunkar Kaskelen D 0-050.1 1223 1210 28.79% 22.45% 48.76%-0.45 +1.3 11
2012-05-27 Ordabasy W 1-041.9 1360 1390 46.57% 22.56% 30.87%+0.35 +9.0 26
2012-05-27 @ Tobol L 0-141.9 1390 1360 30.87% 22.56% 46.57%-0.35 -9.0 19
2012-05-27 Taraz W 3-149.0 1107 1315 23.54% 21.99% 54.47%-0.73 +23.4 6
2012-05-27 @ Okzhetpes L 1-349.0 1315 1107 54.47% 21.99% 23.54%+0.73 -23.4 22
2012-05-27 Zhetysu W 2-146.8 1239 1292 43.59% 22.67% 33.74%+0.21 +9.1 15
2012-05-27 @ Atyrau L 1-246.8 1292 1239 33.74% 22.67% 43.59%-0.21 -9.1 9
2012-06-16 Astana D 1-156.0 1283 1324 45.13% 22.62% 32.25%+0.28 -0.7 10
2012-06-16 @ Zhetysu D 1-156.0 1324 1283 32.25% 22.62% 45.13%-0.28 +0.7 18
2012-06-16 Atyrau L 0-147.1 1292 1248 55.66% 21.86% 22.48%+0.80 -14.6 22
2012-06-16 @ Taraz W 1-047.1 1248 1292 22.48% 21.86% 55.66%-0.80 +14.6 18
2012-06-16 Irtysh D 0-050.8 1247 1373 33.32% 22.66% 44.02%-0.23 +0.7 16
2012-06-16 @ Kairat D 0-050.8 1373 1247 44.02% 22.66% 33.32%+0.23 -0.7 22
2012-06-16 Okzhetpes W 1-031.6 1381 1130 73.73% 17.67% 8.60%+2.06 +2.7 22
2012-06-16 @ Ordabasy L 0-131.6 1130 1381 8.60% 17.67% 73.73%-2.06 -2.7 6
2012-06-16 Shakter Karagandy W 1-048.7 1225 1462 20.64% 21.60% 57.76%-0.91 +15.1 14
2012-06-16 @ Kaisar L 0-148.7 1462 1225 57.76% 21.60% 20.64%+0.91 -15.1 25
2012-06-16 Sunkar Kaskelen W 2-139.4 1404 1208 69.84% 19.02% 11.15%+1.73 +3.3 20
2012-06-16 @ Aktobe L 1-239.4 1208 1404 11.15% 19.02% 69.84%-1.73 -3.3 12
2012-06-16 Tobol W 2-149.3 1274 1369 37.69% 22.73% 39.58%-0.04 +10.3 22
2012-06-16 @ Akzhayik L 1-249.3 1369 1274 39.58% 22.73% 37.69%+0.04 -10.3 26
2012-06-24 Akzhayik L 0-144.9 1263 1285 47.74% 22.51% 29.75%+0.40 -12.8 18
2012-06-24 @ Atyrau W 1-044.9 1285 1263 29.75% 22.51% 47.74%-0.40 +12.8 25
2012-06-24 Irtysh D 2-263.4 1358 1373 48.67% 22.46% 28.87%+0.45 -0.9 27
2012-06-24 @ Tobol D 2-263.4 1373 1358 28.87% 22.46% 48.67%-0.45 +0.9 23
2012-06-24 Kairat D 0-049.9 1127 1248 34.03% 22.68% 43.29%-0.20 +0.6 7
2012-06-24 @ Okzhetpes D 0-049.9 1248 1127 43.29% 22.68% 34.03%+0.20 -0.6 17
2012-06-24 Ordabasy W 1-042.4 1325 1384 42.68% 22.69% 34.63%+0.17 +9.9 21
2012-06-24 @ Astana L 0-142.4 1384 1325 34.63% 22.69% 42.68%-0.17 -9.9 22
2012-06-24 Shakter Karagandy W 1-044.6 1407 1447 45.32% 22.61% 32.07%+0.29 +9.3 23
2012-06-24 @ Aktobe L 0-144.6 1447 1407 32.07% 22.61% 45.32%-0.29 -9.3 25
2012-06-24 Taraz L 0-142.7 1205 1277 40.88% 22.72% 36.41%+0.10 -11.2 12
2012-06-24 @ Sunkar Kaskelen W 1-042.7 1277 1205 36.41% 22.72% 40.88%-0.10 +11.2 25
2012-06-24 Zhetysu W 1-040.2 1240 1282 45.01% 22.62% 32.36%+0.28 +9.3 17
2012-06-24 @ Kaisar L 0-140.2 1282 1240 32.36% 22.62% 45.01%-0.28 -9.3 10
2012-07-01 Aktobe D 1-156.8 1273 1417 30.96% 22.57% 46.47%-0.34 +0.9 11
2012-07-01 @ Zhetysu D 1-156.8 1417 1273 46.47% 22.57% 30.96%+0.34 -0.9 24
2012-07-01 Astana L 0-144.9 1297 1335 45.68% 22.60% 31.72%+0.31 -12.3 25
2012-07-01 @ Akzhayik W 1-044.9 1335 1297 31.72% 22.60% 45.68%-0.31 +12.3 24
2012-07-01 Atyrau D 1-155.5 1247 1250 50.18% 22.36% 27.46%+0.52 -1.3 18
2012-07-01 @ Kairat D 1-155.5 1250 1247 27.46% 22.36% 50.18%-0.52 +1.3 19
2012-07-01 Kaisar W 1-037.2 1288 1249 55.18% 21.92% 22.90%+0.77 +7.0 28
2012-07-01 @ Taraz L 0-137.2 1249 1288 22.90% 21.92% 55.18%-0.77 -7.0 17
2012-07-01 Okzhetpes W 3-026.3 1374 1128 73.36% 17.81% 8.82%+2.03 +7.5 26
2012-07-01 @ Irtysh L 0-326.3 1128 1374 8.82% 17.81% 73.36%-2.03 -7.5 7
2012-07-01 Sunkar Kaskelen W 3-135.9 1374 1194 68.63% 19.37% 11.99%+1.63 +6.2 25
2012-07-01 @ Ordabasy L 1-335.9 1194 1374 11.99% 19.37% 68.63%-1.63 -6.2 12
2012-07-01 Tobol W 3-033.4 1438 1357 59.69% 21.32% 18.99%+1.03 +16.2 28
2012-07-01 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-333.4 1357 1438 18.99% 21.32% 59.69%-1.03 -16.2 27
2012-07-08 Akzhayik W 1-042.4 1188 1285 37.24% 22.73% 40.04%-0.06 +11.0 15
2012-07-08 @ Sunkar Kaskelen L 0-142.4 1285 1188 40.04% 22.73% 37.24%+0.06 -11.0 25
2012-07-08 Irtysh L 0-237.6 1251 1381 32.84% 22.64% 44.52%-0.26 -17.8 19
2012-07-08 @ Atyrau W 2-037.6 1381 1251 44.52% 22.64% 32.84%+0.26 +17.8 29
2012-07-08 Kairat W 2-141.7 1347 1246 61.68% 20.98% 17.34%+1.15 +5.1 27
2012-07-08 @ Astana L 1-241.7 1246 1347 17.34% 20.98% 61.68%-1.15 -5.1 18
2012-07-08 Taraz W 4-135.7 1416 1295 63.56% 20.62% 15.82%+1.27 +11.5 27
2012-07-08 @ Aktobe L 1-435.7 1295 1416 15.82% 20.62% 63.56%-1.27 -11.5 28
2012-07-08 Tobol L 0-136.8 1120 1341 22.27% 21.84% 55.89%-0.81 -6.8 7
2012-07-08 @ Okzhetpes W 1-036.8 1341 1120 55.89% 21.84% 22.27%+0.81 +6.8 30
2012-07-09 Shakter Karagandy L 1-537.9 1273 1454 26.54% 22.29% 51.18%-0.57 -23.6 11
2012-07-09 @ Zhetysu W 5-137.9 1454 1273 51.18% 22.29% 26.54%+0.57 +23.6 31
2012-07-15 Aktobe D 1-158.8 1380 1427 44.33% 22.65% 33.02%+0.25 -0.7 26
2012-07-15 @ Ordabasy D 1-158.8 1427 1380 33.02% 22.65% 44.33%-0.25 +0.6 28
2012-07-15 Astana W 3-033.7 1399 1352 56.07% 21.81% 22.11%+0.82 +18.5 32
2012-07-15 @ Irtysh L 0-333.7 1352 1399 22.11% 21.81% 56.07%-0.82 -18.5 27
2012-07-15 Atyrau W 1-035.1 1348 1234 62.98% 20.74% 16.28%+1.23 +5.1 33
2012-07-15 @ Tobol L 0-135.1 1234 1348 16.28% 20.74% 62.98%-1.23 -5.1 19
2012-07-15 Kaisar D 0-050.5 1274 1242 54.35% 22.00% 23.64%+0.73 -2.0 26
2012-07-15 @ Akzhayik D 0-050.5 1242 1274 23.64% 22.00% 54.35%-0.73 +2.1 18
2012-07-15 Sunkar Kaskelen L 1-349.3 1241 1199 55.56% 21.87% 22.56%+0.79 -23.8 18
2012-07-15 @ Kairat W 3-149.3 1199 1241 22.56% 21.87% 55.56%-0.79 +23.8 18
2012-07-15 Zhetysu L 1-349.3 1284 1250 54.58% 21.98% 23.44%+0.74 -23.4 28
2012-07-15 @ Taraz W 3-149.3 1250 1284 23.44% 21.98% 54.58%-0.74 +23.4 14
2012-07-29 Irtysh L 0-138.6 1222 1417 24.94% 22.14% 52.91%-0.65 -7.5 18
2012-07-29 @ Sunkar Kaskelen W 1-038.6 1417 1222 52.91% 22.14% 24.94%+0.65 +7.5 35
2012-07-29 Kairat D 1-155.5 1244 1217 53.78% 22.06% 24.16%+0.70 -1.8 19
2012-07-29 @ Kaisar D 1-155.5 1217 1244 24.16% 22.06% 53.78%-0.70 +1.8 19
2012-07-29 Okzhetpes W 1-034.4 1229 1114 63.03% 20.73% 16.24%+1.23 +5.1 22
2012-07-29 @ Atyrau L 0-134.4 1114 1229 16.24% 20.73% 63.03%-1.23 -5.1 7
2012-07-29 Ordabasy L 0-142.2 1273 1379 36.02% 22.71% 41.27%-0.11 -10.2 14
2012-07-29 @ Zhetysu W 1-042.2 1379 1273 41.27% 22.71% 36.02%+0.11 +10.2 29
2012-07-29 Shakter Karagandy D 1-157.7 1260 1478 22.58% 21.88% 55.54%-0.79 +2.0 29
2012-07-29 @ Taraz D 1-157.7 1478 1260 55.54% 21.88% 22.58%+0.79 -2.0 32
2012-07-29 Tobol D 1-156.8 1333 1353 48.00% 22.49% 29.51%+0.41 -1.1 28
2012-07-29 @ Astana D 1-156.8 1353 1333 29.51% 22.49% 48.00%-0.41 +1.1 34
2012-08-05 Astana L 1-339.2 1108 1332 21.97% 21.80% 56.23%-0.83 -11.0 7
2012-08-05 @ Okzhetpes W 3-139.2 1332 1108 56.23% 21.80% 21.97%+0.83 +11.0 31
2012-08-05 Atyrau W 4-027.7 1476 1234 73.14% 17.90% 8.96%+2.01 +10.0 35
2012-08-05 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-427.7 1234 1476 8.96% 17.90% 73.14%-2.01 -10.0 22
2012-08-05 Kaisar D 1-157.5 1425 1242 68.82% 19.32% 11.86%+1.65 -3.6 36
2012-08-05 @ Irtysh D 1-157.5 1242 1425 11.86% 19.32% 68.82%-1.65 +3.6 20
2012-08-05 Sunkar Kaskelen W 4-028.7 1354 1215 65.24% 20.25% 14.51%+1.38 +16.4 37
2012-08-05 @ Tobol L 0-428.7 1215 1354 14.51% 20.25% 65.24%-1.38 -16.4 18
2012-08-05 Taraz L 1-352.5 1390 1262 64.18% 20.49% 15.33%+1.31 -27.2 29
2012-08-05 @ Ordabasy W 3-152.5 1262 1390 15.33% 20.49% 64.18%-1.31 +27.2 32
2012-08-05 Zhetysu D 2-261.7 1272 1263 51.60% 22.25% 26.14%+0.59 -1.1 27
2012-08-05 @ Akzhayik D 2-261.7 1263 1272 26.14% 22.25% 51.60%-0.59 +1.1 15
2012-08-10 Okzhetpes W 4-024.0 1486 1097 81.46% 14.08% 4.46%+2.90 +4.7 38
2012-08-10 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-424.0 1097 1486 4.46% 14.08% 81.46%-2.90 -4.7 7
2012-08-10 Ordabasy W 2-150.0 1246 1362 34.61% 22.69% 42.70%-0.17 +11.0 23
2012-08-10 @ Kaisar L 1-250.0 1362 1246 42.70% 22.69% 34.61%+0.17 -11.0 29
2012-08-19 Akzhayik W 3-249.1 1289 1271 52.79% 22.15% 25.06%+0.65 +6.8 35
2012-08-19 @ Taraz L 2-349.1 1271 1289 25.06% 22.15% 52.79%-0.65 -6.8 27
2012-08-19 Atyrau W 5-029.8 1343 1224 63.48% 20.64% 15.89%+1.26 +22.0 34
2012-08-19 @ Astana L 0-529.8 1224 1343 15.89% 20.64% 63.48%-1.26 -22.0 22
2012-08-19 Irtysh W 1-042.7 1428 1421 51.33% 22.28% 26.40%+0.57 +7.9 31
2012-08-19 @ Aktobe L 0-142.7 1421 1428 26.40% 22.28% 51.33%-0.57 -7.9 36
2012-08-19 Kairat W 2-143.0 1264 1219 55.88% 21.84% 22.28%+0.81 +6.4 18
2012-08-19 @ Zhetysu L 1-243.0 1219 1264 22.28% 21.84% 55.88%-0.81 -6.4 19
2012-08-19 Okzhetpes W 3-137.2 1198 1093 62.15% 20.89% 16.95%+1.18 +8.7 21
2012-08-19 @ Sunkar Kaskelen L 1-337.2 1093 1198 16.95% 20.89% 62.15%-1.18 -8.7 7
2012-08-19 Shakter Karagandy L 0-144.1 1351 1491 31.61% 22.60% 45.80%-0.31 -9.2 29
2012-08-19 @ Ordabasy W 1-044.1 1491 1351 45.80% 22.60% 31.61%+0.31 +9.2 41
2012-08-19 Tobol L 1-247.8 1257 1371 35.00% 22.70% 42.30%-0.16 -9.4 23
2012-08-19 @ Kaisar W 2-147.8 1371 1257 42.30% 22.70% 35.00%+0.16 +9.4 40
2012-08-26 Aktobe D 2-265.0 1380 1436 43.13% 22.68% 34.19%+0.19 -0.4 41
2012-08-26 @ Tobol D 2-265.0 1436 1380 34.19% 22.68% 43.13%-0.19 +0.4 32
2012-08-26 Astana L 0-154.1 1500 1365 64.81% 20.35% 14.84%+1.35 -16.8 41
2012-08-26 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-054.1 1365 1500 14.84% 20.35% 64.81%-1.35 +16.8 37
2012-08-26 Kaisar D 2-261.2 1084 1248 28.57% 22.44% 48.99%-0.46 +0.9 8
2012-08-26 @ Okzhetpes D 2-261.2 1248 1084 48.99% 22.44% 28.57%+0.46 -0.9 24
2012-08-26 Ordabasy D 1-156.0 1264 1342 39.99% 22.73% 37.28%+0.06 -0.1 28
2012-08-26 @ Akzhayik D 1-156.0 1342 1264 37.28% 22.73% 39.99%-0.06 +0.2 30
2012-08-26 Sunkar Kaskelen W 1-038.5 1202 1207 49.81% 22.38% 27.80%+0.50 +8.2 25
2012-08-26 @ Atyrau L 0-138.5 1207 1202 27.80% 22.38% 49.81%-0.50 -8.2 21
2012-08-26 Taraz W 2-148.1 1213 1296 39.22% 22.73% 38.05%+0.02 +10.0 22
2012-08-26 @ Kairat L 1-248.1 1296 1213 38.05% 22.73% 39.22%-0.02 -10.0 35
2012-08-26 Zhetysu W 3-029.9 1413 1271 65.54% 20.18% 14.28%+1.40 +12.3 39
2012-08-26 @ Irtysh L 0-329.9 1271 1413 14.28% 20.18% 65.54%-1.40 -12.3 18
2012-09-15 Astana D 1-155.9 1199 1382 26.26% 22.26% 51.48%-0.58 +1.5 22
2012-09-15 @ Sunkar Kaskelen D 1-155.9 1382 1199 51.48% 22.26% 26.26%+0.58 -1.5 38
2012-09-15 Atyrau W 1-037.0 1247 1210 54.93% 21.94% 23.13%+0.76 +7.0 27
2012-09-15 @ Kaisar L 0-137.0 1210 1247 23.13% 21.94% 54.93%-0.76 -7.0 25
2012-09-15 Irtysh W 3-256.9 1286 1426 31.53% 22.59% 45.87%-0.32 +11.0 38
2012-09-15 @ Taraz L 2-356.9 1426 1286 45.87% 22.59% 31.53%+0.32 -11.0 39
2012-09-15 Kairat D 0-051.1 1342 1223 63.50% 20.63% 15.87%+1.26 -3.3 31
2012-09-15 @ Ordabasy D 0-051.1 1223 1342 15.87% 20.63% 63.50%-1.26 +3.3 23
2012-09-15 Okzhetpes W 5-231.5 1436 1085 79.60% 15.07% 5.34%+2.67 +3.2 35
2012-09-15 @ Aktobe L 2-531.5 1085 1436 5.34% 15.07% 79.60%-2.67 -3.2 8
2012-09-15 Shakter Karagandy L 0-139.1 1264 1483 22.45% 21.86% 55.69%-0.80 -6.9 28
2012-09-15 @ Akzhayik W 1-039.1 1483 1264 55.69% 21.86% 22.45%+0.80 +6.9 44
2012-09-15 Tobol D 1-156.2 1258 1380 33.96% 22.67% 43.37%-0.20 +0.5 19
2012-09-15 @ Zhetysu D 1-156.2 1380 1258 43.37% 22.67% 33.96%+0.20 -0.5 42
2012-09-23 Aktobe L 0-233.7 1203 1439 20.75% 21.62% 57.63%-0.91 -12.1 25
2012-09-23 @ Atyrau W 2-033.7 1439 1203 57.63% 21.62% 20.75%+0.91 +12.1 38
2012-09-23 Akzhayik W 2-145.8 1226 1257 46.49% 22.57% 30.95%+0.34 +8.5 26
2012-09-23 @ Kairat L 1-245.8 1257 1226 30.95% 22.57% 46.49%-0.34 -8.5 28
2012-09-23 Kaisar W 3-029.8 1381 1254 64.13% 20.50% 15.37%+1.31 +13.2 41
2012-09-23 @ Astana L 0-329.8 1254 1381 15.37% 20.50% 64.13%-1.31 -13.2 27
2012-09-23 Sunkar Kaskelen W 2-028.7 1490 1200 76.14% 16.69% 7.17%+2.30 +4.2 47
2012-09-23 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-228.7 1200 1490 7.17% 16.69% 76.14%-2.30 -4.2 22
2012-09-23 Zhetysu W 1-045.2 1082 1259 26.97% 22.32% 50.70%-0.54 +13.4 11
2012-09-23 @ Okzhetpes L 0-145.2 1259 1082 50.70% 22.32% 26.97%+0.54 -13.4 19
2012-09-24 Ordabasy W 3-032.8 1415 1339 59.16% 21.40% 19.44%+0.99 +16.5 42
2012-09-24 @ Irtysh L 0-332.8 1339 1415 19.44% 21.40% 59.16%-0.99 -16.5 31
2012-09-24 Taraz L 0-149.1 1379 1297 59.80% 21.30% 18.90%+1.03 -15.6 42
2012-09-24 @ Tobol W 1-049.1 1297 1379 18.90% 21.30% 59.80%-1.03 +15.6 41
2012-09-26 Akzhayik L 3-465.1 1451 1249 70.36% 18.85% 10.79%+1.77 -15.8 38
2012-09-26 @ Aktobe W 4-365.1 1249 1451 10.79% 18.85% 70.36%-1.77 +15.8 31
2012-10-04 Astana W 2-147.1 1436 1394 55.49% 21.88% 22.63%+0.79 +6.5 41
2012-10-04 @ Aktobe L 1-247.1 1394 1436 22.63% 21.88% 55.49%-0.79 -6.5 41
2012-10-04 Atyrau W 1-036.4 1245 1191 56.93% 21.71% 21.36%+0.87 +6.6 22
2012-10-04 @ Zhetysu L 0-136.4 1191 1245 21.36% 21.71% 56.93%-0.87 -6.6 25
2012-10-04 Irtysh L 0-140.2 1264 1431 28.15% 22.41% 49.44%-0.48 -8.3 31
2012-10-04 @ Akzhayik W 1-040.2 1431 1264 49.44% 22.41% 28.15%+0.48 +8.3 45
2012-10-04 Okzhetpes W 2-028.5 1313 1095 71.42% 18.51% 10.07%+1.86 +6.0 44
2012-10-04 @ Taraz L 0-228.5 1095 1313 10.07% 18.51% 71.42%-1.86 -6.0 11
2012-10-04 Shakter Karagandy L 0-137.5 1234 1494 18.70% 21.26% 60.04%-1.05 -5.8 26
2012-10-04 @ Kairat W 1-037.5 1494 1234 60.04% 21.26% 18.70%+1.05 +5.8 50
2012-10-04 Sunkar Kaskelen W 2-142.9 1241 1196 55.77% 21.85% 22.38%+0.80 +6.5 30
2012-10-04 @ Kaisar L 1-242.9 1196 1241 22.38% 21.85% 55.77%-0.80 -6.5 22
2012-10-04 Tobol W 2-037.9 1323 1363 45.20% 22.62% 32.18%+0.29 +17.5 34
2012-10-04 @ Ordabasy L 0-237.9 1363 1323 32.18% 22.62% 45.20%-0.29 -17.5 42
2012-10-21 Aktobe L 0-136.6 1190 1442 19.32% 21.38% 59.30%-1.00 -6.0 22
2012-10-21 @ Sunkar Kaskelen W 1-036.6 1442 1190 59.30% 21.38% 19.32%+1.00 +6.0 44
2012-10-21 Akzhayik W 6-031.5 1346 1256 60.61% 21.17% 18.22%+1.08 +29.8 45
2012-10-21 @ Tobol L 0-631.5 1256 1346 18.22% 21.17% 60.61%-1.08 -29.8 31
2012-10-21 Kairat W 1-033.4 1440 1229 70.96% 18.66% 10.38%+1.82 +3.3 48
2012-10-21 @ Irtysh L 0-133.4 1229 1440 10.38% 18.66% 70.96%-1.82 -3.3 26
2012-10-21 Kaisar W 3-028.3 1500 1247 73.84% 17.63% 8.53%+2.07 +7.3 53
2012-10-21 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-328.3 1247 1500 8.53% 17.63% 73.84%-2.07 -7.3 30
2012-10-21 Ordabasy L 1-241.9 1089 1340 19.46% 21.40% 59.13%-0.99 -5.7 11
2012-10-21 @ Okzhetpes W 2-141.9 1340 1089 59.13% 21.40% 19.46%+0.99 +5.7 37
2012-10-21 Taraz D 0-050.2 1184 1319 32.19% 22.62% 45.19%-0.29 +0.8 26
2012-10-21 @ Atyrau D 0-050.2 1319 1184 45.19% 22.62% 32.19%+0.29 -0.8 45
2012-10-21 Zhetysu W 1-035.0 1387 1252 64.90% 20.33% 14.77%+1.36 +4.7 44
2012-10-21 @ Astana L 0-135.0 1252 1387 14.77% 20.33% 64.90%-1.36 -4.7 22
2012-10-24 Aktobe L 0-332.6 1225 1448 22.06% 21.81% 56.13%-0.82 -18.5 26
2012-10-24 @ Kairat W 3-032.6 1448 1225 56.13% 21.81% 22.06%+0.82 +18.5 47
2012-10-25 Astana D 0-052.2 1346 1392 44.47% 22.64% 32.89%+0.25 -0.7 38
2012-10-25 @ Ordabasy D 0-052.2 1392 1346 32.89% 22.64% 44.47%-0.25 +0.7 45
2012-10-28 Astana D 1-157.0 1318 1393 40.47% 22.72% 36.81%+0.08 -0.2 46
2012-10-28 @ Taraz D 1-157.0 1393 1318 36.81% 22.72% 40.47%-0.08 +0.2 46
2012-10-28 Atyrau D 1-156.4 1345 1185 67.01% 19.82% 13.17%+1.51 -3.4 39
2012-10-28 @ Ordabasy D 1-156.4 1185 1345 13.17% 19.82% 67.01%-1.51 +3.4 27
2012-10-28 Irtysh L 0-155.2 1507 1443 57.95% 21.57% 20.47%+0.92 -15.2 53
2012-10-28 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-055.2 1443 1507 20.47% 21.57% 57.95%-0.92 +15.2 51
2012-10-28 Kaisar W 2-030.1 1467 1240 72.10% 18.27% 9.63%+1.92 +5.7 50
2012-10-28 @ Aktobe L 0-230.1 1240 1467 9.63% 18.27% 72.10%-1.92 -5.7 30
2012-10-28 Okzhetpes W 2-139.8 1226 1084 65.52% 20.18% 14.29%+1.40 +4.2 34
2012-10-28 @ Akzhayik L 1-239.8 1084 1226 14.29% 20.18% 65.52%-1.40 -4.2 11
2012-10-28 Sunkar Kaskelen D 1-155.6 1247 1184 57.88% 21.58% 20.53%+0.92 -2.3 23
2012-10-28 @ Zhetysu D 1-155.6 1184 1247 20.53% 21.58% 57.88%-0.92 +2.3 23
2012-10-28 Tobol W 1-045.6 1207 1376 27.92% 22.39% 49.69%-0.49 +13.2 29
2012-10-28 @ Kairat L 0-145.6 1376 1207 49.69% 22.39% 27.92%+0.49 -13.2 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-04-22 9.25% Okzhetpes 1109 4 @ Astana 1344 1
2 2012-09-26 10.79% Akzhayik 1249 4 @ Aktobe 1451 3
3 2012-08-26 14.84% Astana 1365 1 @ Shakter Karagandy 1500 0
4 2012-08-05 15.33% Taraz 1262 3 @ Ordabasy 1390 1
5 2012-03-10 18.81% Taraz 1274 2 @ Astana 1357 0
6 2012-09-24 18.90% Taraz 1297 1 @ Tobol 1379 0
7 2012-05-06 20.36% Tobol 1349 1 @ Aktobe 1414 0
8 2012-10-28 20.47% Irtysh 1443 1 @ Shakter Karagandy 1507 0
9 2012-06-16 20.64% @ Kaisar 1225 1 Shakter Karagandy 1462 0
10 2012-05-20 21.16% Kairat 1241 2 @ Akzhayik 1298 1
11 2012-04-22 21.92% Akzhayik 1280 2 @ Zhetysu 1329 1
12 2012-06-16 22.48% Atyrau 1248 1 @ Taraz 1292 0
13 2012-07-15 22.56% Sunkar Kaskelen 1199 3 @ Kairat 1241 1
14 2012-05-12 23.08% Kaisar 1220 1 @ Atyrau 1258 0
15 2012-07-15 23.44% Zhetysu 1250 3 @ Taraz 1284 1
16 2012-05-27 23.54% @ Okzhetpes 1107 3 Taraz 1315 1
17 2012-04-08 23.86% Kairat 1208 2 @ Sunkar Kaskelen 1238 0
18 2012-04-22 24.03% @ Kaisar 1197 2 Irtysh 1401 0
19 2012-09-23 26.97% @ Okzhetpes 1082 1 Zhetysu 1259 0
20 2012-10-28 27.92% @ Kairat 1207 1 Tobol 1376 0
21 2012-03-10 28.84% Akzhayik 1215 3 @ Okzhetpes 1201 0
22 2012-05-06 29.59% @ Astana 1291 1 Shakter Karagandy 1446 0
23 2012-06-24 29.75% Akzhayik 1285 1 @ Atyrau 1263 0
24 2012-03-10 29.91% @ Sunkar Kaskelen 1229 1 Zhetysu 1381 0
25 2012-04-15 30.13% @ Akzhayik 1268 1 Aktobe 1418 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-04-22 42.94 Okzhetpes 4 1109 9.25% @ Astana 1 1344 72.68% 18.06%
2 2012-03-10 35.55 Akzhayik 3 1215 28.84% @ Okzhetpes 0 1201 48.71% 22.45%
3 2012-10-21 29.77 @ Tobol 6 1346 60.61% Akzhayik 0 1256 18.22% 21.17%
4 2012-03-10 29.47 Taraz 2 1274 18.81% @ Astana 0 1357 59.90% 21.29%
5 2012-08-05 27.20 Taraz 3 1262 15.33% @ Ordabasy 1 1390 64.18% 20.49%
6 2012-04-08 26.86 Kairat 2 1208 23.86% @ Sunkar Kaskelen 0 1238 54.11% 22.03%
7 2012-04-22 26.77 @ Kaisar 2 1197 24.03% Irtysh 0 1401 53.92% 22.05%
8 2012-03-25 26.05 @ Aktobe 4 1406 53.94% Zhetysu 0 1378 24.02% 22.05%
9 2012-04-29 24.28 @ Akzhayik 3 1294 47.13% Taraz 0 1320 30.34% 22.54%
10 2012-07-15 23.82 Sunkar Kaskelen 3 1199 22.56% @ Kairat 1 1241 55.56% 21.87%
11 2012-03-10 23.81 @ Tobol 4 1300 56.57% Kairat 0 1249 21.68% 21.75%
12 2012-07-09 23.64 Shakter Karagandy 5 1454 51.18% @ Zhetysu 1 1273 26.54% 22.29%
13 2012-07-15 23.44 Zhetysu 3 1250 23.44% @ Taraz 1 1284 54.58% 21.98%
14 2012-05-27 23.40 @ Okzhetpes 3 1107 23.54% Taraz 1 1315 54.47% 21.99%
15 2012-04-29 22.65 Sunkar Kaskelen 2 1198 32.92% @ Okzhetpes 0 1151 44.43% 22.64%
16 2012-08-19 22.03 @ Astana 5 1343 63.48% Atyrau 0 1224 15.89% 20.64%
17 2012-04-01 20.22 @ Shakter Karagandy 5 1399 56.04% Zhetysu 1 1352 22.15% 21.82%
18 2012-04-01 19.18 Astana 2 1333 41.28% @ Kairat 0 1227 36.00% 22.71%
19 2012-03-25 18.64 @ Tobol 3 1308 35.55% Shakter Karagandy 1 1417 41.75% 22.71%
20 2012-07-15 18.55 @ Irtysh 3 1399 56.07% Astana 0 1352 22.11% 21.81%
21 2012-10-24 18.52 Aktobe 3 1448 56.13% @ Kairat 0 1225 22.06% 21.81%
22 2012-07-08 17.82 Irtysh 2 1381 44.52% @ Atyrau 0 1251 32.84% 22.64%
23 2012-04-15 17.77 @ Ordabasy 4 1360 52.18% Zhetysu 1 1347 25.61% 22.21%
24 2012-03-18 17.66 @ Kairat 3 1225 57.43% Okzhetpes 0 1166 20.92% 21.64%
25 2012-10-04 17.53 @ Ordabasy 2 1323 45.20% Tobol 0 1363 32.18% 22.62%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-09-26 65.1 Akzhayik 4 1249 10.79% @ Aktobe 3 1451 70.36% 18.85%
2 2012-08-26 65.0 @ Tobol 2 1380 43.13% Aktobe 2 1436 34.19% 22.68%
3 2012-04-08 63.5 @ Astana 2 1352 46.09% Irtysh 2 1387 31.33% 22.58%
4 2012-06-24 63.4 @ Tobol 2 1358 48.67% Irtysh 2 1373 28.87% 22.46%
5 2012-08-05 61.7 @ Akzhayik 2 1272 51.60% Zhetysu 2 1263 26.14% 22.25%
6 2012-08-26 61.2 @ Okzhetpes 2 1084 28.57% Kaisar 2 1248 48.99% 22.44%
7 2012-04-29 59.4 @ Shakter Karagandy 1 1449 59.64% Ordabasy 1 1369 19.04% 21.33%
8 2012-07-15 58.8 @ Ordabasy 1 1380 44.33% Aktobe 1 1427 33.02% 22.65%
9 2012-07-29 57.7 @ Taraz 1 1260 22.58% Shakter Karagandy 1 1478 55.54% 21.88%
10 2012-08-05 57.5 @ Irtysh 1 1425 68.82% Kaisar 1 1242 11.86% 19.32%
11 2012-04-22 57.2 @ Aktobe 1 1406 68.05% Kairat 1 1233 12.41% 19.54%
12 2012-05-12 57.0 @ Irtysh 1 1373 58.66% Taraz 1 1303 19.87% 21.47%
13 2012-10-28 57.0 @ Taraz 1 1318 40.47% Astana 1 1393 36.81% 22.72%
14 2012-09-15 56.9 @ Taraz 3 1286 31.53% Irtysh 2 1426 45.87% 22.59%
15 2012-07-01 56.8 @ Zhetysu 1 1273 30.96% Aktobe 1 1417 46.47% 22.57%
16 2012-07-29 56.8 @ Astana 1 1333 48.00% Tobol 1 1353 29.51% 22.49%
17 2012-10-28 56.4 @ Ordabasy 1 1345 67.01% Atyrau 1 1185 13.17% 19.82%
18 2012-09-15 56.2 @ Zhetysu 1 1258 33.96% Tobol 1 1380 43.37% 22.67%
19 2012-05-12 56.1 @ Kairat 1 1240 31.06% Ordabasy 1 1384 46.37% 22.57%
20 2012-06-16 56.0 @ Zhetysu 1 1283 45.13% Astana 1 1324 32.25% 22.62%
21 2012-08-26 56.0 @ Akzhayik 1 1264 39.99% Ordabasy 1 1342 37.28% 22.73%
22 2012-09-15 55.9 @ Sunkar Kaskelen 1 1199 26.26% Astana 1 1382 51.48% 22.26%
23 2012-04-08 55.8 @ Atyrau 1 1254 40.01% Tobol 1 1332 37.26% 22.73%
24 2012-04-01 55.6 @ Akzhayik 1 1258 53.21% Sunkar Kaskelen 1 1236 24.67% 22.12%
25 2012-10-28 55.6 @ Zhetysu 1 1247 57.88% Sunkar Kaskelen 1 1184 20.53% 21.58%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-08-10 24.0 @ Shakter Karagandy 4 1486 81.46% Okzhetpes 0 1097 4.46% 14.08%
2 2012-07-01 26.3 @ Irtysh 3 1374 73.36% Okzhetpes 0 1128 8.82% 17.81%
3 2012-08-05 27.7 @ Shakter Karagandy 4 1476 73.14% Atyrau 0 1234 8.96% 17.90%
4 2012-04-15 28.0 @ Irtysh 4 1387 68.34% Sunkar Kaskelen 0 1211 12.20% 19.46%
5 2012-10-21 28.3 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1500 73.84% Kaisar 0 1247 8.53% 17.63%
6 2012-10-04 28.5 @ Taraz 2 1313 71.42% Okzhetpes 0 1095 10.07% 18.51%
7 2012-08-05 28.7 @ Tobol 4 1354 65.24% Sunkar Kaskelen 0 1215 14.51% 20.25%
8 2012-09-23 28.7 @ Shakter Karagandy 2 1490 76.14% Sunkar Kaskelen 0 1200 7.17% 16.69%
9 2012-08-19 29.8 @ Astana 5 1343 63.48% Atyrau 0 1224 15.89% 20.64%
10 2012-09-23 29.8 @ Astana 3 1381 64.13% Kaisar 0 1254 15.37% 20.50%
11 2012-08-26 29.9 @ Irtysh 3 1413 65.54% Zhetysu 0 1271 14.28% 20.18%
12 2012-10-28 30.1 @ Aktobe 2 1467 72.10% Kaisar 0 1240 9.63% 18.27%
13 2012-03-18 30.8 @ Kairat 3 1225 57.43% Okzhetpes 0 1166 20.92% 21.64%
14 2012-03-10 31.2 @ Tobol 4 1300 56.57% Kairat 0 1249 21.68% 21.75%
15 2012-04-08 31.4 Shakter Karagandy 2 1419 63.18% @ Okzhetpes 0 1127 16.12% 20.70%
16 2012-09-15 31.5 @ Aktobe 5 1436 79.60% Okzhetpes 2 1085 5.34% 15.07%
17 2012-10-21 31.5 @ Tobol 6 1346 60.61% Akzhayik 0 1256 18.22% 21.17%
18 2012-04-29 31.6 @ Tobol 2 1339 63.02% Kaisar 0 1224 16.25% 20.73%
19 2012-06-16 31.6 @ Ordabasy 1 1381 73.73% Okzhetpes 0 1130 8.60% 17.67%
20 2012-10-24 32.6 Aktobe 3 1448 56.13% @ Kairat 0 1225 22.06% 21.81%
21 2012-09-24 32.8 @ Irtysh 3 1415 59.16% Ordabasy 0 1339 19.44% 21.40%
22 2012-05-20 32.9 @ Zhetysu 1 1288 68.41% Okzhetpes 0 1110 12.15% 19.44%
23 2012-07-01 33.4 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1438 59.69% Tobol 0 1357 18.99% 21.32%
24 2012-10-21 33.4 @ Irtysh 1 1440 70.96% Kairat 0 1229 10.38% 18.66%
25 2012-05-27 33.7 @ Shakter Karagandy 4 1454 70.08% Kairat 1 1255 10.98% 18.94%