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2013 Kazakhstan Premier League Season

192 games

Final

Champion

Aktobe

43 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Astana

7.19 points above expected

42 points · 34.81 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shakter Karagandy

9.62 points below expected

26 points · 35.62 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Aktobe 22 14 5 3 47 30 12 +18
2 Astana 22 12 5 5 41 35 24 +11
3 Shakter Karagandy 22 10 5 7 35 31 23 +8
4 Irtysh 22 9 7 6 34 24 20 +4
5 Kairat 22 7 10 5 31 28 24 +4
6 Ordabasy 22 8 6 8 30 20 20 0
7 Atyrau 22 7 6 9 27 18 28 -10
8 Tobol 22 7 5 10 26 30 27 +3
9 Vostok 22 5 8 9 23 12 24 -12
10 Zhetysu* 22 4 12 6 21 20 25 -5
11 Taraz 22 4 6 12 18 19 29 -10
12 Akzhayik* 22 4 7 11 13 24 35 -11
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Aktobe 32 20 6 6 43 46 22 +24 — —
2 Astana 32 19 5 8 42 54 35 +19 — —
3 Kairat 32 12 12 8 33 44 38 +6 — —
4 Irtysh 32 12 8 12 27 41 39 +2 — —
5 Shakter Karagandy 32 12 7 13 26 43 45 -2 — —
6 Ordabasy 32 11 8 13 26 33 37 -4 — —
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Tobol 32 14 6 12 35 48 33 +15 — —
2 Atyrau 32 10 11 11 28 26 38 -12 — —
3 Taraz 32 7 9 16 21 30 38 -8 — —
4 Zhetysu* 32 6 17 9 20 22 32 -10 — —
5 Vostok 32 6 13 13 20 20 37 -17 — —
6 Akzhayik* 32 7 10 15 16 37 50 -13 — —

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

* Point deductions: Akzhayik (-6 pts), Zhetysu (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Astana 42 34.81 +7.19
2 Kairat 33 26.88 +6.12
3 Atyrau 28 22.91 +5.09
4 Tobol 35 31.85 +3.15
5 Aktobe 43 40.25 +2.75

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shakter Karagandy 26 35.62 -9.62
2 Irtysh 27 35.03 -8.03
3 Taraz 21 27.20 -6.20
4 Akzhayik 16 20.73 -4.73
5 Zhetysu 20 23.54 -3.54

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ordabasy 4 May 26 – Jun 23 1 in 95
2 Aktobe 5 Sep 14 – Oct 19 1 in 61
3 Atyrau 3 Jul 21 – Aug 4 1 in 51
4 Tobol 5 Aug 18 – Sep 21 1 in 30
5 Astana 3 Mar 30 – Apr 14 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Taraz 6 May 18 – Jun 23 1 in 283
2 Irtysh 4 Oct 5 – Nov 2 1 in 135
3 Ordabasy 4 Sep 15 – Oct 6 1 in 51
4 Aktobe 2 Aug 4 – Aug 17 1 in 46
5 Shakter Karagandy 3 Oct 19 – Nov 2 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kairat 11 May 26 – Aug 18 1 in 369
2 Vostok 5 Jul 20 – Aug 24 1 in 58
3 Zhetysu 6 Mar 9 – Apr 20 1 in 28
4 Atyrau 7 Aug 30 – Oct 27 1 in 25
5 Ordabasy 7 May 26 – Jul 13 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Akzhayik 13 May 26 – Aug 30 1 in 136
2 Tobol 9 Mar 15 – May 11 1 in 115
3 Zhetysu 10 Jul 7 – Sep 21 1 in 76
4 Taraz 10 Apr 24 – Jun 23 1 in 43
5 Ordabasy 6 Mar 9 – Apr 20 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Aktobe 1462 66 +22 10 8.7 +1.3
Astana 1436 62 +40 12 7.1 +4.9
Kairat 1328 48 +23 10 5.3 +4.7
Tobol 1369 48 -18 7 9.2 -2.2
Irtysh 1369 44 -36 3 7.7 -4.7
Shakter Karagandy 1337 43 -38 3 7.0 -4.0
Atyrau 1232 41 -1 8 6.0 +2.0
Ordabasy 1307 41 -11 5 5.0 -0.0
Zhetysu 1230 35 +19 9 6.4 +2.6
Akzhayik 1237 31 +3 7 6.7 +0.3
Vostok 1177 31 +7 5 5.1 -0.1
Taraz 1262 30 -9 4 7.3 -3.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AKT AKZ AST ATY IRT KAI ORD SK TAR TOB VOS ZHE
Aktobe —
1-1-0
3.60
3-0-1
6.04
2-0-0
4.12
2-1-1
6.07
2-1-1
7.52
2-1-1
7.35
4-0-0
5.98
2-0-0
3.72
1-0-1
3.65
1-0-1
4.19
0-2-0
3.95
Akzhayik
0-1-1
1.86
—
0-1-1
1.96
2-1-1
5.51
0-0-2
2.07
0-1-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
1.73
2-1-1
5.06
0-2-2
4.16
0-2-2
6.29
2-1-1
5.44
Astana
1-0-3
4.78
1-1-0
3.50
—
1-0-1
3.78
3-1-0
5.40
2-1-1
6.79
3-0-1
6.34
3-0-1
5.53
1-1-0
3.50
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.83
1-1-0
3.49
Atyrau
0-0-2
1.40
1-1-2
5.31
1-0-1
1.72
—
0-1-1
1.74
0-2-0
2.45
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
1.79
2-1-1
4.86
1-1-2
3.72
3-1-0
5.94
1-3-0
5.07
Irtysh
1-1-2
4.77
2-0-0
3.35
0-1-3
5.44
1-1-0
3.74
—
1-0-3
6.65
3-0-1
6.44
1-2-1
5.48
2-0-0
3.37
1-1-0
3.14
0-2-0
3.98
0-0-2
3.61
Kairat
1-1-2
3.43
1-1-0
2.64
1-1-2
4.08
0-2-0
2.96
3-0-1
4.21
—
1-2-1
5.13
1-2-1
4.29
1-0-1
2.49
2-0-0
2.17
1-1-0
3.29
0-2-0
2.76
Ordabasy
1-1-2
3.58
2-0-0
2.96
1-0-3
4.53
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-3
4.40
1-2-1
5.71
—
1-1-2
4.35
1-1-0
2.72
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
3.58
0-1-1
3.03
Shakter Karagandy
0-0-4
4.85
1-0-1
3.74
1-0-3
5.29
1-0-1
3.68
1-2-1
5.36
1-2-1
6.57
2-1-1
6.49
—
1-0-1
3.29
2-0-0
3.02
1-1-0
4.03
1-1-0
3.55
Taraz
0-0-2
1.77
1-1-2
5.77
0-1-1
1.93
1-1-2
5.99
0-0-2
2.05
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.12
—
1-1-2
4.36
1-2-1
6.54
1-2-1
5.68
Tobol
1-0-1
1.80
2-2-0
6.73
1-0-1
2.49
2-1-1
7.17
0-1-1
2.27
0-0-2
3.25
0-1-1
2.88
0-0-2
2.39
2-1-1
6.48
—
3-0-1
7.50
3-0-1
6.63
Vostok
1-0-1
1.37
2-2-0
4.54
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-3
4.88
0-2-0
1.52
0-1-1
2.13
1-0-1
1.89
0-1-1
1.47
1-2-1
4.35
1-0-3
3.46
—
0-4-0
4.73
Zhetysu
0-2-0
1.54
1-1-2
5.37
0-1-1
1.95
0-3-1
5.74
2-0-0
1.85
0-2-0
2.64
1-1-0
2.39
0-1-1
1.91
1-2-1
5.19
1-0-3
4.22
0-4-0
6.10
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.57 +6.1
Allowed 0.41 -8.2
Differential 0.88 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.58%10.16%4.69%3.12%1.56%—34.11%
110.16%10.42%8.07%3.91%1.30%0.52%34.38%
24.69%8.07%3.12%1.30%0.78%—17.97%
33.12%3.91%1.30%1.04%——9.38%
41.56%1.30%0.78%———3.65%
5+—0.52%————0.52%
Total34.11%34.38%17.97%9.38%3.65%0.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.16 +0.00
SD 1.13 1.13 1.62
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%12.50%——3.12%—21.88%
121.88%9.38%3.12%———34.38%
212.50%9.38%3.12%———25.00%
36.25%6.25%3.12%———15.62%
43.12%—————3.12%
5+———————
Total50.00%37.50%9.38%—3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 0.69 +0.75
SD 1.11 0.90 1.52
CV 0.77 1.30 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%6.25%9.38%3.12%3.12%—31.25%
13.12%12.50%9.38%9.38%—3.12%37.50%
23.12%3.12%9.38%—3.12%—18.75%
39.38%—————9.38%
43.12%—————3.12%
5+———————
Total28.12%21.88%28.12%12.50%6.25%3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.56 -0.41
SD 1.08 1.37 1.95
CV 0.93 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%3.12%3.12%———12.50%
115.62%6.25%15.62%——3.12%40.62%
26.25%12.50%3.12%———21.88%
3—15.62%————15.62%
4—6.25%3.12%———9.38%
5+———————
Total28.12%43.75%25.00%——3.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.09 +0.59
SD 1.18 1.03 1.54
CV 0.70 0.94 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.88%3.12%3.12%9.38%3.12%—40.62%
118.75%9.38%6.25%3.12%3.12%—40.62%
23.12%6.25%3.12%3.12%——15.62%
3—3.12%————3.12%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.75%21.88%12.50%15.62%6.25%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.19 -0.38
SD 0.82 1.33 1.56
CV 1.01 1.12 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%12.50%—3.12%——25.00%
112.50%12.50%3.12%9.38%——37.50%
23.12%9.38%3.12%6.25%3.12%—25.00%
33.12%6.25%————9.38%
43.12%—————3.12%
5+———————
Total31.25%40.62%6.25%18.75%3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.22 +0.06
SD 1.05 1.18 1.56
CV 0.82 0.97 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%6.25%3.12%———28.12%
13.12%12.50%15.62%———31.25%
23.12%15.62%————18.75%
3—3.12%9.38%6.25%——18.75%
4——3.12%———3.12%
5+———————
Total25.00%37.50%31.25%6.25%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.19 +0.19
SD 1.18 0.90 1.00
CV 0.86 0.75 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.88%6.25%9.38%9.38%——46.88%
112.50%—9.38%6.25%——28.12%
2—6.25%3.12%———9.38%
33.12%3.12%————6.25%
43.12%3.12%3.12%———9.38%
5+———————
Total40.62%18.75%25.00%15.62%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.16 -0.12
SD 1.31 1.14 1.79
CV 1.27 0.99 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%9.38%—3.12%6.25%—28.12%
13.12%6.25%12.50%6.25%3.12%—31.25%
26.25%12.50%3.12%———21.88%
39.38%—3.12%3.12%——15.62%
43.12%—————3.12%
5+———————
Total31.25%28.12%18.75%12.50%9.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.41 -0.06
SD 1.15 1.32 1.98
CV 0.86 0.94 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%25.00%3.12%3.12%——40.62%
13.12%15.62%9.38%6.25%——34.38%
26.25%6.25%3.12%3.12%——18.75%
33.12%—————3.12%
4—3.12%————3.12%
5+———————
Total21.88%50.00%15.62%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.19 -0.25
SD 1.01 0.93 1.39
CV 1.08 0.78 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.38%18.75%6.25%———34.38%
13.12%6.25%6.25%———15.62%
29.38%9.38%3.12%3.12%3.12%—28.12%
33.12%9.38%————12.50%
43.12%3.12%————6.25%
5+—3.12%————3.12%
Total28.12%50.00%15.62%3.12%3.12%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.03 +0.47
SD 1.41 0.93 1.72
CV 0.94 0.90 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%12.50%9.38%3.12%3.12%—46.88%
112.50%18.75%6.25%3.12%3.12%—43.75%
23.12%3.12%3.12%———9.38%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total34.38%34.38%18.75%6.25%6.25%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 1.16 -0.53
SD 0.66 1.17 1.34
CV 1.06 1.01 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
034.38%6.25%9.38%3.12%——53.12%
112.50%15.62%—3.12%6.25%—37.50%
2—3.12%————3.12%
3———3.12%——3.12%
4———————
5+—3.12%————3.12%
Total46.88%28.12%9.38%9.38%6.25%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.69 1.00 -0.31
SD 1.06 1.24 1.42
CV 1.54 1.24 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 32

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Aktobe 1462 43 40.25 +2.75 93.0% 30 32 36 40 44 48 52
Astana 1436 42 34.81 +7.19 89.0% 21 25 31 35 39 42 52
Tobol 1369 35 31.85 +3.15 17.0% 17 21 28 31 36 41 47
Irtysh 1369 27 35.03 -8.03 50.0% 23 26 30 34 39 46 52
Shakter Karagandy 1337 26 35.62 -9.62 44.0% 23 26 31 37 39 45 49
Kairat 1328 33 26.88 +6.12 80.0% 14 17 23 27 31 35 41
Ordabasy 1307 26 29.23 -3.23 59.0% 17 20 25 30 33 36 39
Taraz 1262 21 27.20 -6.20 4.0% 15 19 23 28 31 34 37
Akzhayik 1237 16 20.73 -4.73 9.0% 6 12 16 20 25 30 34
Atyrau 1232 28 22.91 +5.09 78.0% 8 14 19 23 27 33 40
Zhetysu 1230 20 23.54 -3.54 37.0% 7 14 19 23 28 34 37
Vostok 1177 20 20.91 -0.91 67.0% 9 12 18 21 24 30 33

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim mean data.
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim percentile data.

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+25.00%
Clear Edge
47.92%29.17%22.92%
Elo Value
Home Edge
195 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
088.74500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.56 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.46+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
51%
Aktobe, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Tight Race
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.52 * Some Luck: 4.52 to 6.78 * Lucky: 6.78 to 9.03 * Wild Swing: 9.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.5 * Close: 1.5 to 2.24 * Off: 2.24 to 2.99 * Way Off: 2.99 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.07 points
Some Luck
05.6514
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Close
01.874
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
Aktobe
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.00%
Taraz
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 79% * Wide Edge: 79% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 98.5% * Dominant: 98.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 64% * Frequent: 64% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13.5% * Occasional: 13.5% to 15.5% * Frequent: 15.5% to 18.5% * Very Frequent: 18.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Balanced
00.170.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 80.78
1.19
Coin-Flip Parity
0.91.752.353
Interquartile Edge
69%
Even
50%70.5%79%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Even
50%83%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
13%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.49 * Lopsided: 0.49 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.64 * Strong Carryover: 0.64 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Upset-Prone: 20.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Very Even
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.85
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.45
Weak Carryover
00.470.641
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.28
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.75
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.093
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team123456789101112
Aktobe51.00%22.00%14.00%6.00%6.00%1.00%——————
Astana15.00%22.00%14.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%——
Tobol4.00%9.00%15.00%15.00%16.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%1.00%7.00%2.00%—
Kairat—1.00%6.00%7.00%8.00%18.00%11.00%13.00%14.00%6.00%12.00%4.00%
Atyrau—3.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%6.00%7.00%7.00%17.00%18.00%13.00%21.00%
Irtysh16.00%14.00%12.00%19.00%14.00%9.00%9.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%——
Shakter Karagandy14.00%24.00%21.00%9.00%11.00%4.00%9.00%3.00%4.00%1.00%——
Ordabasy—4.00%9.00%14.00%13.00%10.00%14.00%15.00%8.00%7.00%4.00%2.00%
Taraz——5.00%7.00%10.00%19.00%11.00%14.00%7.00%14.00%9.00%4.00%
Zhetysu—1.00%1.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%5.00%11.00%20.00%12.00%21.00%11.00%
Vostok————1.00%3.00%8.00%8.00%14.00%22.00%21.00%23.00%
Akzhayik——1.00%4.00%—3.00%7.00%11.00%10.00%11.00%18.00%35.00%
No playoff sim data.

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Survived Relegation Round Relegated
Aktobe 100% — —
Astana 100% — —
Irtysh 100% — —
Shakter Karagandy 100% — —
Tobol 98.00% 2.00% —
Ordabasy 94.00% 4.00% 2.00%
Kairat 89.00% 8.00% 3.00%
Taraz 82.00% 7.00% 11.00%
Atyrau 61.00% 26.00% 13.00%
Zhetysu 74.00% 11.00% 15.00%
Akzhayik 55.00% 21.00% 24.00%
Vostok 47.00% 21.00% 32.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2013-03-09 Aktobe L 0-138.8 1209 1393 22.96% 29.32% 47.73%-0.49 -5.7 0
2013-03-09 @ Vostok W 1-038.8 1393 1209 47.73% 29.32% 22.96%+0.49 +5.7 3
2013-03-09 Astana W 5-138.2 1333 1349 44.79% 29.96% 25.24%+0.38 +18.2 3
2013-03-09 @ Tobol L 1-538.2 1349 1333 25.24% 29.96% 44.79%-0.38 -18.2 0
2013-03-09 Atyrau W 4-135.1 1309 1239 55.46% 26.80% 17.74%+0.81 +10.2 3
2013-03-09 @ Taraz L 1-435.1 1239 1309 17.74% 26.80% 55.46%-0.81 -10.2 0
2013-03-09 Irtysh L 1-346.5 1322 1387 38.02% 30.82% 31.17%+0.13 -13.5 0
2013-03-09 @ Ordabasy W 3-146.5 1387 1322 31.17% 30.82% 38.02%-0.13 +13.5 3
2013-03-09 Shakter Karagandy W 3-039.9 1264 1409 27.18% 30.36% 42.46%-0.29 +24.6 3
2013-03-09 @ Akzhayik L 0-339.9 1409 1264 42.46% 30.36% 27.18%+0.29 -24.6 0
2013-03-09 Zhetysu D 3-362.2 1259 1273 44.89% 29.95% 25.16%+0.38 -0.5 1
2013-03-09 @ Kairat D 3-362.2 1273 1259 25.16% 29.95% 44.89%-0.38 +0.5 1
2013-03-15 Akzhayik D 1-154.1 1319 1289 50.70% 28.49% 20.81%+0.61 -1.3 4
2013-03-15 @ Taraz D 1-154.1 1289 1319 20.81% 28.49% 50.70%-0.61 +1.3 4
2013-03-15 Kairat D 0-049.3 1330 1258 55.83% 26.65% 17.52%+0.83 -1.9 1
2013-03-15 @ Astana D 0-049.3 1258 1330 17.52% 26.65% 55.83%-0.83 +1.9 2
2013-03-15 Ordabasy D 0-048.1 1274 1309 42.08% 30.41% 27.51%+0.28 -0.7 2
2013-03-15 @ Zhetysu D 0-048.1 1309 1274 27.51% 30.41% 42.08%-0.28 +0.7 1
2013-03-15 Shakter Karagandy W 3-142.5 1399 1384 48.67% 29.07% 22.26%+0.53 +9.0 6
2013-03-15 @ Aktobe L 1-342.5 1384 1399 22.26% 29.07% 48.67%-0.53 -9.0 0
2013-03-15 Tobol W 1-044.0 1229 1352 29.94% 30.72% 39.34%-0.17 +8.5 3
2013-03-15 @ Atyrau L 0-144.0 1352 1229 39.34% 30.72% 29.94%+0.17 -8.5 3
2013-03-15 Vostok D 1-156.7 1400 1203 69.41% 19.79% 10.80%+1.47 -2.7 4
2013-03-15 @ Irtysh D 1-156.7 1203 1400 10.80% 19.79% 69.41%-1.47 +2.7 1
2013-03-30 Aktobe D 1-154.3 1290 1408 30.54% 30.77% 38.69%-0.15 +0.3 5
2013-03-30 @ Akzhayik D 1-154.3 1408 1290 38.69% 30.77% 30.54%+0.15 -0.3 7
2013-03-30 Astana L 0-241.7 1309 1328 44.29% 30.06% 25.66%+0.36 -17.5 1
2013-03-30 @ Ordabasy W 2-041.7 1328 1309 25.66% 30.06% 44.29%-0.36 +17.5 4
2013-03-30 Atyrau D 0-048.2 1260 1238 49.69% 28.79% 21.52%+0.57 -1.4 3
2013-03-30 @ Kairat D 0-048.2 1238 1260 21.52% 28.79% 49.69%-0.57 +1.4 4
2013-03-30 Irtysh W 2-148.0 1375 1397 43.88% 30.13% 25.99%+0.34 +5.9 3
2013-03-30 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-248.0 1397 1375 25.99% 30.13% 43.88%-0.34 -5.9 4
2013-03-30 Taraz D 2-260.2 1343 1318 50.10% 28.67% 21.23%+0.59 -1.0 4
2013-03-30 @ Tobol D 2-260.2 1318 1343 21.23% 28.67% 50.10%-0.59 +1.0 5
2013-03-30 Zhetysu D 1-152.8 1206 1273 37.61% 30.84% 31.54%+0.11 -0.2 2
2013-03-30 @ Vostok D 1-152.8 1273 1206 31.54% 30.84% 37.61%-0.11 +0.2 3
2013-04-06 Aktobe D 0-051.0 1392 1407 44.70% 29.98% 25.31%+0.37 -0.9 5
2013-04-06 @ Irtysh D 0-051.0 1407 1392 25.31% 29.98% 44.70%-0.37 +0.9 8
2013-04-06 Akzhayik D 1-154.6 1342 1290 53.38% 27.59% 19.03%+0.72 -1.5 5
2013-04-06 @ Tobol D 1-154.6 1290 1342 19.03% 27.59% 53.38%-0.72 +1.5 6
2013-04-06 Kairat W 2-142.6 1319 1259 54.35% 27.23% 18.42%+0.76 +4.4 8
2013-04-06 @ Taraz L 1-242.6 1259 1319 18.42% 27.23% 54.35%-0.76 -4.3 3
2013-04-06 Ordabasy D 0-047.8 1239 1292 39.62% 30.69% 29.69%+0.18 -0.5 5
2013-04-06 @ Atyrau D 0-047.8 1292 1239 29.69% 30.69% 39.62%-0.18 +0.5 2
2013-04-06 Shakter Karagandy D 0-048.5 1273 1381 31.81% 30.86% 37.33%-0.10 +0.2 4
2013-04-06 @ Zhetysu D 0-048.5 1381 1273 37.33% 30.86% 31.81%+0.10 -0.2 4
2013-04-06 Vostok W 1-033.8 1346 1205 63.54% 23.05% 13.42%+1.18 +3.3 7
2013-04-06 @ Astana L 0-133.8 1205 1346 13.42% 23.05% 63.54%-1.18 -3.3 2
2013-04-14 Astana L 1-350.0 1381 1349 50.90% 28.42% 20.67%+0.62 -16.9 4
2013-04-14 @ Shakter Karagandy W 3-150.0 1349 1381 20.67% 28.42% 50.90%-0.62 +16.8 10
2013-04-14 Atyrau D 0-047.6 1202 1239 41.92% 30.43% 27.65%+0.27 -0.7 3
2013-04-14 @ Vostok D 0-047.6 1239 1202 27.65% 30.43% 41.92%-0.27 +0.7 6
2013-04-14 Irtysh L 1-249.0 1292 1391 33.10% 30.91% 35.99%-0.05 -7.1 6
2013-04-14 @ Akzhayik W 2-149.0 1391 1292 35.99% 30.91% 33.10%+0.05 +7.1 8
2013-04-14 Taraz D 0-048.4 1292 1323 42.73% 30.32% 26.95%+0.30 -0.7 3
2013-04-14 @ Ordabasy D 0-048.4 1323 1292 26.95% 30.32% 42.73%-0.30 +0.7 9
2013-04-14 Tobol W 4-247.5 1254 1341 34.86% 30.92% 34.21%+0.01 +11.2 6
2013-04-14 @ Kairat L 2-447.5 1341 1254 34.21% 30.92% 34.86%-0.01 -11.2 5
2013-04-14 Zhetysu D 1-156.4 1408 1273 62.94% 23.36% 13.70%+1.15 -2.3 9
2013-04-14 @ Aktobe D 1-156.4 1273 1408 13.70% 23.36% 62.94%-1.15 +2.3 5
2013-04-20 Aktobe L 1-252.8 1366 1406 41.41% 30.50% 28.09%+0.25 -8.3 10
2013-04-20 @ Astana W 2-152.8 1406 1366 28.09% 30.50% 41.41%-0.25 +8.3 12
2013-04-20 Akzhayik W 2-145.5 1265 1285 44.25% 30.06% 25.68%+0.36 +5.8 9
2013-04-20 @ Kairat L 1-245.5 1285 1265 25.68% 30.06% 44.25%-0.36 -5.9 6
2013-04-20 Irtysh W 1-044.7 1276 1398 29.99% 30.72% 39.28%-0.17 +8.5 8
2013-04-20 @ Zhetysu L 0-144.7 1398 1276 39.28% 30.72% 29.99%+0.17 -8.5 8
2013-04-20 Ordabasy D 0-049.0 1329 1292 51.63% 28.19% 20.18%+0.65 -1.6 6
2013-04-20 @ Tobol D 0-049.0 1292 1329 20.18% 28.19% 51.63%-0.65 +1.6 4
2013-04-20 Shakter Karagandy W 1-044.2 1239 1364 29.61% 30.69% 39.70%-0.19 +8.5 9
2013-04-20 @ Atyrau L 0-144.2 1364 1239 39.70% 30.69% 29.61%+0.19 -8.5 4
2013-04-20 Vostok W 1-034.3 1324 1201 61.53% 24.07% 14.40%+1.08 +3.5 12
2013-04-20 @ Taraz L 0-134.3 1201 1324 14.40% 24.07% 61.53%-1.08 -3.5 3
2013-04-24 Astana L 0-148.6 1389 1358 50.85% 28.44% 20.71%+0.62 -10.3 8
2013-04-24 @ Irtysh W 1-048.6 1358 1389 20.71% 28.44% 50.85%-0.62 +10.3 13
2013-04-24 Atyrau W 3-028.1 1414 1248 66.30% 21.56% 12.14%+1.31 +7.9 15
2013-04-24 @ Aktobe L 0-328.1 1248 1414 12.14% 21.56% 66.30%-1.31 -7.9 9
2013-04-24 Kairat W 1-038.0 1293 1271 49.64% 28.80% 21.56%+0.57 +5.3 7
2013-04-24 @ Ordabasy L 0-138.0 1271 1293 21.56% 28.80% 49.64%-0.57 -5.3 9
2013-04-24 Taraz W 3-033.0 1356 1327 50.48% 28.56% 20.97%+0.60 +14.3 7
2013-04-24 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-333.0 1327 1356 20.97% 28.56% 50.48%-0.60 -14.3 12
2013-04-24 Tobol W 1-044.0 1198 1328 29.00% 30.62% 40.38%-0.21 +8.6 6
2013-04-24 @ Vostok L 0-144.0 1328 1198 40.38% 30.62% 29.00%+0.21 -8.7 6
2013-04-24 Zhetysu W 2-035.1 1279 1284 46.11% 29.69% 24.19%+0.43 +11.2 9
2013-04-24 @ Akzhayik L 0-235.1 1284 1279 24.19% 29.69% 46.11%-0.43 -11.1 8
2013-04-28 Aktobe L 0-143.3 1313 1422 31.66% 30.85% 37.49%-0.11 -7.3 12
2013-04-28 @ Taraz W 1-043.3 1422 1313 37.49% 30.85% 31.66%+0.11 +7.3 18
2013-04-28 Akzhayik W 4-243.6 1299 1290 47.93% 29.27% 22.80%+0.50 +8.2 10
2013-04-28 @ Ordabasy L 2-443.6 1290 1299 22.80% 29.27% 47.93%-0.50 -8.2 9
2013-04-28 Irtysh D 0-048.3 1240 1379 27.88% 30.47% 41.65%-0.26 +0.6 10
2013-04-28 @ Atyrau D 0-048.3 1379 1240 41.65% 30.47% 27.88%+0.26 -0.6 9
2013-04-28 Shakter Karagandy L 1-251.1 1319 1370 39.93% 30.67% 29.41%+0.20 -8.1 6
2013-04-28 @ Tobol W 2-151.1 1370 1319 29.41% 30.67% 39.93%-0.20 +8.1 10
2013-04-28 Vostok W 2-032.3 1266 1207 54.28% 27.26% 18.46%+0.76 +8.7 12
2013-04-28 @ Kairat L 0-232.3 1207 1266 18.46% 27.26% 54.28%-0.76 -8.7 6
2013-04-28 Zhetysu W 4-134.8 1368 1273 58.48% 25.52% 16.01%+0.94 +9.2 16
2013-04-28 @ Astana L 1-434.8 1273 1368 16.01% 25.52% 58.48%-0.94 -9.2 8
2013-05-05 Astana D 2-259.5 1282 1377 33.58% 30.92% 35.50%-0.03 +0.1 10
2013-05-05 @ Akzhayik D 2-259.5 1377 1282 35.50% 30.92% 33.58%+0.03 -0.1 17
2013-05-05 Atyrau L 0-146.2 1264 1240 49.81% 28.75% 21.44%+0.58 -10.2 8
2013-05-05 @ Zhetysu W 1-046.2 1240 1264 21.44% 28.75% 49.81%-0.58 +10.1 13
2013-05-05 Kairat W 2-141.7 1378 1275 59.43% 25.08% 15.49%+0.99 +3.6 13
2013-05-05 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-241.7 1275 1378 15.49% 25.08% 59.43%-0.99 -3.6 12
2013-05-05 Ordabasy W 2-149.1 1198 1307 31.72% 30.85% 37.43%-0.10 +7.7 9
2013-05-05 @ Vostok L 1-249.1 1307 1198 37.43% 30.85% 31.72%+0.10 -7.7 10
2013-05-05 Taraz W 1-037.1 1378 1306 55.87% 26.64% 17.50%+0.83 +4.4 12
2013-05-05 @ Irtysh L 0-137.1 1306 1378 17.50% 26.64% 55.87%-0.83 -4.4 12
2013-05-05 Tobol W 1-036.3 1430 1311 61.11% 24.28% 14.61%+1.06 +3.6 21
2013-05-05 @ Aktobe L 0-136.3 1311 1430 14.61% 24.28% 61.11%-1.06 -3.6 6
2013-05-11 Aktobe W 1-046.5 1271 1433 25.26% 29.97% 44.78%-0.38 +9.3 15
2013-05-11 @ Kairat L 0-146.5 1433 1271 44.78% 29.97% 25.26%+0.38 -9.4 21
2013-05-11 Akzhayik W 1-041.7 1206 1282 36.33% 30.90% 32.77%+0.06 +7.5 12
2013-05-11 @ Vostok L 0-141.7 1282 1206 32.77% 30.90% 36.33%-0.06 -7.5 10
2013-05-11 Astana L 1-247.3 1251 1377 29.43% 30.67% 39.91%-0.19 -6.5 13
2013-05-11 @ Atyrau W 2-147.3 1377 1251 39.91% 30.67% 29.43%+0.19 +6.5 20
2013-05-11 Irtysh D 0-048.9 1308 1383 36.49% 30.89% 32.62%+0.07 -0.2 7
2013-05-11 @ Tobol D 0-048.9 1383 1308 32.62% 30.89% 36.49%-0.07 +0.2 13
2013-05-11 Shakter Karagandy D 0-048.8 1299 1382 35.41% 30.92% 33.67%+0.03 -0.1 11
2013-05-11 @ Ordabasy D 0-048.8 1382 1299 33.67% 30.92% 35.41%-0.03 +0.1 14
2013-05-11 Zhetysu D 0-048.8 1301 1254 52.85% 27.78% 19.37%+0.70 -1.7 13
2013-05-11 @ Taraz D 0-048.8 1254 1301 19.37% 27.78% 52.85%-0.70 +1.7 9
2013-05-18 Atyrau W 4-032.0 1274 1244 50.69% 28.49% 20.82%+0.61 +18.6 13
2013-05-18 @ Akzhayik L 0-432.0 1244 1274 20.82% 28.49% 50.69%-0.61 -18.5 13
2013-05-18 Kairat W 2-141.8 1383 1280 59.32% 25.13% 15.55%+0.98 +3.6 16
2013-05-18 @ Irtysh L 1-241.8 1280 1383 15.55% 25.13% 59.32%-0.98 -3.6 15
2013-05-18 Ordabasy W 1-035.8 1424 1299 61.83% 23.92% 14.25%+1.10 +3.5 24
2013-05-18 @ Aktobe L 0-135.8 1299 1424 14.25% 23.92% 61.83%-1.10 -3.5 11
2013-05-18 Taraz W 3-138.4 1384 1300 57.21% 26.08% 16.72%+0.89 +6.8 23
2013-05-18 @ Astana L 1-338.4 1300 1384 16.72% 26.08% 57.21%-0.89 -6.8 13
2013-05-18 Tobol L 1-442.9 1255 1307 39.74% 30.68% 29.58%+0.19 -19.7 9
2013-05-18 @ Zhetysu W 4-142.9 1307 1255 29.58% 30.68% 39.74%-0.19 +19.7 10
2013-05-18 Vostok W 2-029.1 1382 1213 66.53% 21.43% 12.04%+1.32 +5.4 17
2013-05-18 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-229.1 1213 1382 12.04% 21.43% 66.53%-1.32 -5.4 12
2013-05-22 Aktobe L 1-253.7 1387 1427 41.41% 30.50% 28.09%+0.25 -8.3 17
2013-05-22 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-153.7 1427 1387 28.09% 30.50% 41.41%-0.25 +8.3 27
2013-05-22 Astana L 1-248.2 1277 1390 31.08% 30.81% 38.11%-0.13 -6.8 15
2013-05-22 @ Kairat W 2-148.2 1390 1277 38.11% 30.81% 31.08%+0.13 +6.8 26
2013-05-22 Atyrau W 2-141.0 1327 1226 59.22% 25.18% 15.60%+0.98 +3.6 13
2013-05-22 @ Tobol L 1-241.0 1226 1327 15.60% 25.18% 59.22%-0.98 -3.7 13
2013-05-22 Irtysh D 1-153.8 1208 1386 23.52% 29.50% 46.99%-0.46 +1.0 13
2013-05-22 @ Vostok D 1-153.8 1386 1208 46.99% 29.50% 23.52%+0.46 -1.0 17
2013-05-22 Taraz W 1-039.0 1293 1293 46.83% 29.53% 23.64%+0.46 +5.8 16
2013-05-22 @ Akzhayik L 0-139.0 1293 1293 23.64% 29.53% 46.83%-0.46 -5.8 13
2013-05-22 Zhetysu L 1-253.2 1296 1236 54.35% 27.23% 18.42%+0.76 -10.2 11
2013-05-22 @ Ordabasy W 2-153.2 1236 1296 18.42% 27.23% 54.35%-0.76 +10.2 12
2013-05-26 Akzhayik W 2-031.6 1436 1299 63.15% 23.25% 13.60%+1.16 +6.2 30
2013-05-26 @ Aktobe L 0-231.6 1299 1436 13.60% 23.25% 63.15%-1.16 -6.3 16
2013-05-26 Kairat D 1-152.9 1222 1270 40.31% 30.63% 29.07%+0.21 -0.5 14
2013-05-26 @ Atyrau D 1-152.9 1270 1222 29.07% 30.63% 40.31%-0.21 +0.5 16
2013-05-26 Ordabasy L 0-149.4 1397 1285 60.40% 24.62% 14.98%+1.03 -11.8 26
2013-05-26 @ Astana W 1-049.4 1285 1397 14.98% 24.62% 60.40%-1.03 +11.8 14
2013-05-26 Shakter Karagandy D 2-261.5 1385 1379 47.66% 29.33% 23.00%+0.49 -0.8 18
2013-05-26 @ Irtysh D 2-261.5 1379 1385 23.00% 29.33% 47.66%-0.49 +0.8 18
2013-05-26 Tobol L 1-250.6 1287 1331 40.89% 30.56% 28.54%+0.23 -8.2 13
2013-05-26 @ Taraz W 2-150.6 1331 1287 28.54% 30.56% 40.89%-0.23 +8.2 16
2013-05-26 Vostok D 0-048.3 1246 1209 51.55% 28.22% 20.23%+0.65 -1.5 13
2013-05-26 @ Zhetysu D 0-048.3 1209 1246 20.23% 28.22% 51.55%-0.65 +1.5 14
2013-05-30 Astana L 1-340.8 1210 1386 23.87% 29.60% 46.52%-0.45 -9.5 14
2013-05-30 @ Vostok W 3-140.8 1386 1210 46.52% 29.60% 23.87%+0.45 +9.5 29
2013-05-30 Atyrau W 3-030.2 1297 1221 56.21% 26.50% 17.29%+0.84 +11.9 17
2013-05-30 @ Ordabasy L 0-330.2 1221 1297 17.29% 26.50% 56.21%-0.84 -11.9 14
2013-05-30 Irtysh W 3-034.6 1442 1385 54.02% 27.36% 18.63%+0.75 +12.8 33
2013-05-30 @ Aktobe L 0-334.6 1385 1442 18.63% 27.36% 54.02%-0.75 -12.8 18
2013-05-30 Taraz W 2-145.1 1270 1279 45.72% 29.78% 24.51%+0.41 +5.6 19
2013-05-30 @ Kairat L 1-245.1 1279 1270 24.51% 29.78% 45.72%-0.41 -5.6 13
2013-05-30 Tobol D 1-153.7 1292 1339 40.51% 30.60% 28.88%+0.22 -0.5 17
2013-05-30 @ Akzhayik D 1-153.7 1339 1292 28.88% 30.60% 40.51%-0.22 +0.5 17
2013-05-30 Zhetysu W 1-034.4 1380 1244 62.99% 23.33% 13.68%+1.15 +3.3 21
2013-05-30 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-134.4 1244 1380 13.68% 23.33% 62.99%-1.15 -3.3 13
2013-06-14 Aktobe D 0-049.8 1241 1455 20.30% 28.25% 51.45%-0.64 +1.5 14
2013-06-14 @ Zhetysu D 0-049.8 1455 1241 51.45% 28.25% 20.30%+0.64 -1.5 34
2013-06-14 Akzhayik W 3-138.3 1372 1292 56.72% 26.28% 17.00%+0.87 +6.9 21
2013-06-14 @ Irtysh L 1-338.3 1292 1372 17.00% 26.28% 56.72%-0.87 -6.9 17
2013-06-14 Kairat L 2-358.3 1340 1276 54.76% 27.07% 18.16%+0.78 -9.8 17
2013-06-14 @ Tobol W 3-258.3 1276 1340 18.16% 27.07% 54.76%-0.78 +9.8 22
2013-06-14 Ordabasy L 0-144.7 1273 1309 42.00% 30.42% 27.58%+0.27 -8.9 13
2013-06-14 @ Taraz W 1-044.7 1309 1273 27.58% 30.42% 42.00%-0.27 +8.9 20
2013-06-14 Shakter Karagandy W 1-040.8 1395 1383 48.37% 29.15% 22.48%+0.52 +5.6 32
2013-06-14 @ Astana L 0-140.8 1383 1395 22.48% 29.15% 48.37%-0.52 -5.5 21
2013-06-14 Vostok W 2-034.0 1210 1201 47.97% 29.25% 22.77%+0.50 +10.6 17
2013-06-14 @ Atyrau L 0-234.0 1201 1210 22.77% 29.25% 47.97%-0.50 -10.6 14
2013-06-23 Astana W 2-147.1 1453 1401 53.45% 27.57% 18.99%+0.73 +4.5 37
2013-06-23 @ Aktobe L 1-247.1 1401 1453 18.99% 27.57% 53.45%-0.73 -4.5 32
2013-06-23 Atyrau W 3-244.0 1377 1220 65.33% 22.09% 12.58%+1.26 +2.7 24
2013-06-23 @ Shakter Karagandy L 2-344.0 1220 1377 12.58% 22.09% 65.33%-1.26 -2.7 17
2013-06-23 Kairat D 0-048.3 1285 1286 46.70% 29.56% 23.74%+0.45 -1.1 18
2013-06-23 @ Akzhayik D 0-048.3 1286 1285 23.74% 29.56% 46.70%-0.45 +1.1 23
2013-06-23 Taraz W 1-041.5 1190 1264 36.63% 30.89% 32.48%+0.08 +7.4 17
2013-06-23 @ Vostok L 0-141.5 1264 1190 32.48% 30.89% 36.63%-0.08 -7.4 13
2013-06-23 Tobol W 1-039.9 1318 1330 45.23% 29.88% 24.89%+0.39 +6.0 23
2013-06-23 @ Ordabasy L 0-139.9 1330 1318 24.89% 29.88% 45.23%-0.39 -6.0 17
2013-06-23 Zhetysu L 0-149.2 1379 1242 63.09% 23.28% 13.63%+1.16 -12.1 21
2013-06-23 @ Irtysh W 1-049.2 1242 1379 13.63% 23.28% 63.09%-1.16 +12.1 17
2013-06-29 Aktobe L 0-233.4 1217 1458 18.22% 27.11% 54.67%-0.78 -8.6 17
2013-06-29 @ Atyrau W 2-033.4 1458 1217 54.67% 27.11% 18.22%+0.78 +8.6 40
2013-06-29 Akzhayik W 5-137.7 1255 1284 42.88% 30.29% 26.82%+0.31 +19.2 20
2013-06-29 @ Zhetysu L 1-537.7 1284 1255 26.82% 30.29% 42.88%-0.31 -19.2 18
2013-06-29 Irtysh D 1-156.0 1396 1367 50.59% 28.52% 20.89%+0.61 -1.3 33
2013-06-29 @ Astana D 1-156.0 1367 1396 20.89% 28.52% 50.59%-0.61 +1.3 22
2013-06-29 Ordabasy D 0-048.3 1287 1324 41.85% 30.44% 27.71%+0.27 -0.7 24
2013-06-29 @ Kairat D 0-048.3 1324 1287 27.71% 30.44% 41.85%-0.27 +0.7 24
2013-06-29 Shakter Karagandy W 2-150.4 1257 1380 29.82% 30.71% 39.47%-0.18 +8.0 16
2013-06-29 @ Taraz L 1-250.4 1380 1257 39.47% 30.71% 29.82%+0.18 -8.0 24
2013-06-29 Vostok W 3-028.4 1324 1197 61.98% 23.85% 14.18%+1.11 +9.5 20
2013-06-29 @ Tobol L 0-328.4 1197 1324 14.18% 23.85% 61.98%-1.11 -9.5 17
2013-07-06 Kairat D 1-152.8 1188 1286 33.18% 30.91% 35.92%-0.05 +0.1 18
2013-07-06 @ Vostok D 1-152.8 1286 1188 35.92% 30.91% 33.18%+0.05 -0.1 25
2013-07-06 Ordabasy L 1-249.8 1265 1325 38.67% 30.77% 30.56%+0.15 -7.9 18
2013-07-06 @ Akzhayik W 2-149.8 1325 1265 30.56% 30.77% 38.67%-0.15 +7.9 27
2013-07-06 Tobol W 2-034.6 1372 1333 51.78% 28.14% 20.08%+0.66 +9.5 27
2013-07-06 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-234.6 1333 1372 20.08% 28.14% 51.78%-0.66 -9.5 20
2013-07-07 Astana D 1-154.0 1274 1395 30.12% 30.74% 39.14%-0.17 +0.4 21
2013-07-07 @ Zhetysu D 1-154.0 1395 1274 39.14% 30.74% 30.12%+0.17 -0.4 34
2013-07-07 Atyrau W 1-033.3 1368 1209 65.52% 21.99% 12.49%+1.27 +3.0 25
2013-07-07 @ Irtysh L 0-133.3 1209 1368 12.49% 21.99% 65.52%-1.27 -3.0 17
2013-07-07 Taraz W 3-244.1 1466 1265 69.82% 19.55% 10.63%+1.49 +2.2 43
2013-07-07 @ Aktobe L 2-344.1 1265 1466 10.63% 19.55% 69.82%-1.49 -2.2 16
2013-07-13 Shakter Karagandy D 1-153.9 1286 1382 33.58% 30.92% 35.50%-0.03 +0.1 26
2013-07-13 @ Kairat D 1-153.9 1382 1286 35.50% 30.92% 33.58%+0.03 -0.1 28
2013-07-13 Vostok W 4-132.4 1332 1188 63.95% 22.83% 13.22%+1.20 +7.4 30
2013-07-13 @ Ordabasy L 1-432.4 1188 1332 13.22% 22.83% 63.95%-1.20 -7.4 18
2013-07-13 Zhetysu D 1-152.8 1206 1274 37.47% 30.85% 31.68%+0.11 -0.2 18
2013-07-13 @ Atyrau D 1-152.8 1274 1206 31.68% 30.85% 37.47%-0.11 +0.2 22
2013-07-14 Aktobe W 1-047.5 1324 1468 27.23% 30.36% 42.41%-0.29 +9.0 23
2013-07-14 @ Tobol L 0-147.5 1468 1324 42.41% 30.36% 27.23%+0.29 -9.0 43
2013-07-14 Akzhayik W 3-136.3 1394 1257 63.22% 23.21% 13.57%+1.16 +5.4 37
2013-07-14 @ Astana L 1-336.3 1257 1394 13.57% 23.21% 63.22%-1.16 -5.4 18
2013-07-14 Irtysh L 0-142.2 1263 1371 31.80% 30.86% 37.35%-0.10 -7.3 16
2013-07-14 @ Taraz W 1-042.2 1371 1263 37.35% 30.86% 31.80%+0.10 +7.3 28
2013-07-19 Ordabasy W 3-033.1 1382 1340 52.12% 28.03% 19.85%+0.67 +13.6 31
2013-07-19 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-333.1 1340 1382 19.85% 28.03% 52.12%-0.67 -13.6 30
2013-07-20 Taraz D 1-153.6 1274 1255 49.27% 28.91% 21.82%+0.55 -1.2 23
2013-07-20 @ Zhetysu D 1-153.6 1255 1274 21.82% 28.91% 49.27%-0.55 +1.2 17
2013-07-20 Vostok D 0-048.7 1251 1181 55.65% 26.73% 17.63%+0.82 -1.9 19
2013-07-20 @ Akzhayik D 0-048.7 1181 1251 17.63% 26.73% 55.65%-0.82 +1.9 19
2013-07-21 Atyrau L 1-255.8 1400 1206 69.10% 19.97% 10.93%+1.45 -12.2 37
2013-07-21 @ Astana W 2-155.8 1206 1400 10.93% 19.97% 69.10%-1.45 +12.2 21
2013-07-21 Kairat D 1-157.9 1459 1286 66.98% 21.18% 11.84%+1.35 -2.5 44
2013-07-21 @ Aktobe D 1-157.9 1286 1459 11.84% 21.18% 66.98%-1.35 +2.5 27
2013-07-21 Tobol W 1-038.4 1378 1333 52.60% 27.87% 19.54%+0.69 +4.9 31
2013-07-21 @ Irtysh L 0-138.4 1333 1378 19.54% 27.87% 52.60%-0.69 -4.9 23
2013-07-27 Akzhayik W 1-039.8 1218 1250 42.56% 30.34% 27.10%+0.29 +6.5 24
2013-07-27 @ Atyrau L 0-139.8 1250 1218 27.10% 30.34% 42.56%-0.29 -6.5 19
2013-07-27 Shakter Karagandy D 0-048.7 1183 1395 20.40% 28.30% 51.30%-0.64 +1.5 20
2013-07-27 @ Vostok D 0-048.7 1395 1183 51.30% 28.30% 20.40%+0.64 -1.5 32
2013-07-27 Zhetysu W 3-138.7 1328 1273 53.71% 27.47% 18.82%+0.74 +7.7 26
2013-07-27 @ Tobol L 1-338.7 1273 1328 18.82% 27.47% 53.71%-0.74 -7.7 23
2013-07-28 Aktobe L 0-143.3 1326 1457 28.91% 30.61% 40.48%-0.22 -6.8 30
2013-07-28 @ Ordabasy W 1-043.3 1457 1326 40.48% 30.61% 28.91%+0.22 +6.8 47
2013-07-28 Astana D 0-048.5 1257 1388 28.85% 30.60% 40.54%-0.22 +0.5 18
2013-07-28 @ Taraz D 0-048.5 1388 1257 40.54% 30.60% 28.85%+0.22 -0.5 38
2013-07-28 Irtysh W 3-254.2 1289 1383 33.73% 30.92% 35.35%-0.03 +7.0 30
2013-07-28 @ Kairat L 2-354.2 1383 1289 35.35% 30.92% 33.73%+0.03 -7.0 31
2013-08-03 Akzhayik W 4-028.6 1394 1243 64.61% 22.48% 12.91%+1.23 +11.2 35
2013-08-03 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-428.6 1243 1394 12.91% 22.48% 64.61%-1.23 -11.1 19
2013-08-04 Kairat D 0-048.0 1265 1296 42.74% 30.32% 26.94%+0.30 -0.7 24
2013-08-04 @ Zhetysu D 0-048.0 1296 1265 26.94% 30.32% 42.74%-0.30 +0.7 31
2013-08-04 Ordabasy W 2-033.8 1376 1319 53.96% 27.38% 18.66%+0.75 +8.8 34
2013-08-04 @ Irtysh L 0-233.8 1319 1376 18.66% 27.38% 53.96%-0.75 -8.8 30
2013-08-04 Taraz W 3-141.5 1224 1257 42.42% 30.36% 27.21%+0.29 +10.6 27
2013-08-04 @ Atyrau L 1-341.5 1257 1224 27.21% 30.36% 42.42%-0.29 -10.6 18
2013-08-04 Tobol W 2-144.3 1387 1336 53.33% 27.61% 19.06%+0.72 +4.5 41
2013-08-04 @ Astana L 1-244.3 1336 1387 19.06% 27.61% 53.33%-0.72 -4.5 26
2013-08-04 Vostok L 0-151.1 1464 1184 76.98% 15.22% 7.80%+1.89 -13.8 47
2013-08-04 @ Aktobe W 1-051.1 1184 1464 7.80% 15.22% 76.98%-1.89 +13.8 23

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2013-08-17 Aktobe W 2-152.6 1311 1450 27.86% 30.47% 41.67%-0.26 +8.4 3
2013-08-17 @ Ordabasy L 1-252.6 1450 1311 41.67% 30.47% 27.86%+0.26 -8.3 0
2013-08-17 Shakter Karagandy L 1-254.2 1392 1405 45.07% 29.91% 25.02%+0.39 -8.9 0
2013-08-17 @ Astana W 2-154.2 1405 1392 25.02% 29.91% 45.07%-0.39 +8.8 3
2013-08-18 Akzhayik D 2-258.9 1235 1232 47.20% 29.45% 23.35%+0.47 -0.8 1
2013-08-18 @ Atyrau D 2-258.9 1232 1235 23.35% 29.45% 47.20%-0.47 +0.8 1
2013-08-18 Irtysh W 3-145.2 1297 1385 34.59% 30.93% 34.49%+0.00 +12.6 3
2013-08-18 @ Kairat L 1-345.2 1385 1297 34.49% 30.93% 34.59%+0.00 -12.6 0
2013-08-18 Taraz D 1-152.8 1198 1246 40.24% 30.63% 29.13%+0.21 -0.5 1
2013-08-18 @ Vostok D 1-152.8 1246 1198 29.13% 30.63% 40.24%-0.21 +0.5 1
2013-08-18 Zhetysu W 2-032.6 1331 1265 55.11% 26.94% 17.95%+0.80 +8.5 3
2013-08-18 @ Tobol L 0-232.6 1265 1331 17.95% 26.94% 55.11%-0.80 -8.5 0
2013-08-24 Atyrau W 3-136.8 1340 1234 59.65% 24.98% 15.37%+1.00 +6.2 6
2013-08-24 @ Tobol L 1-336.8 1234 1340 15.37% 24.98% 59.65%-1.00 -6.2 1
2013-08-24 Irtysh D 1-156.6 1414 1372 52.06% 28.05% 19.89%+0.67 -1.4 4
2013-08-24 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-156.6 1372 1414 19.89% 28.05% 52.06%-0.67 +1.4 1
2013-08-24 Ordabasy W 3-139.3 1383 1319 54.81% 27.06% 18.14%+0.78 +7.4 3
2013-08-24 @ Astana L 1-339.3 1319 1383 18.14% 27.06% 54.81%-0.78 -7.4 3
2013-08-24 Taraz L 0-241.8 1256 1247 48.02% 29.24% 22.74%+0.50 -18.6 0
2013-08-24 @ Zhetysu W 2-041.8 1247 1256 22.74% 29.24% 48.02%-0.50 +18.6 4
2013-08-24 Vostok D 2-259.2 1233 1197 51.32% 28.29% 20.39%+0.64 -1.0 2
2013-08-24 @ Akzhayik D 2-259.2 1197 1233 20.39% 28.29% 51.32%-0.64 +1.0 2
2013-08-25 Kairat W 2-032.1 1442 1309 62.65% 23.51% 13.84%+1.14 +6.4 3
2013-08-25 @ Aktobe L 0-232.1 1309 1442 13.84% 23.51% 62.65%-1.14 -6.4 3
2013-08-30 Akzhayik W 3-031.6 1265 1232 51.14% 28.35% 20.51%+0.63 +14.0 7
2013-08-30 @ Taraz L 0-331.6 1232 1265 20.51% 28.35% 51.14%-0.63 -14.0 2
2013-08-30 Astana L 1-249.6 1303 1390 34.74% 30.93% 34.34%+0.01 -7.3 3
2013-08-30 @ Kairat W 2-149.6 1390 1303 34.34% 30.93% 34.74%-0.01 +7.3 6
2013-08-30 Tobol L 0-434.5 1198 1346 26.92% 30.31% 42.77%-0.30 -23.1 2
2013-08-30 @ Vostok W 4-034.5 1346 1198 42.77% 30.31% 26.92%+0.30 +23.0 9
2013-08-30 Zhetysu D 0-047.8 1228 1238 45.53% 29.82% 24.65%+0.41 -1.0 2
2013-08-30 @ Atyrau D 0-047.8 1238 1228 24.65% 29.82% 45.53%-0.41 +1.0 1
2013-09-01 Aktobe W 4-039.9 1374 1448 36.63% 30.89% 32.48%+0.08 +26.5 4
2013-09-01 @ Irtysh L 0-439.9 1448 1374 32.48% 30.89% 36.63%-0.08 -26.5 3
2013-09-01 Shakter Karagandy W 4-039.1 1312 1412 32.86% 30.90% 36.24%-0.06 +28.6 6
2013-09-01 @ Ordabasy L 0-439.1 1412 1312 36.24% 30.90% 32.86%+0.06 -28.6 4
2013-09-14 Aktobe L 0-147.6 1384 1421 41.72% 30.46% 27.82%+0.26 -8.9 4
2013-09-14 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-047.6 1421 1384 27.82% 30.46% 41.72%-0.26 +8.9 6
2013-09-14 Akzhayik L 0-340.3 1239 1218 49.51% 28.84% 21.65%+0.56 -27.7 1
2013-09-14 @ Zhetysu W 3-040.3 1218 1239 21.65% 28.84% 49.51%-0.56 +27.6 5
2013-09-14 Irtysh W 4-246.7 1397 1400 46.44% 29.62% 23.94%+0.44 +8.6 9
2013-09-14 @ Astana L 2-446.7 1400 1397 23.94% 29.62% 46.44%-0.44 -8.6 4
2013-09-14 Taraz W 2-032.2 1369 1280 57.81% 25.81% 16.38%+0.92 +7.7 12
2013-09-14 @ Tobol L 0-232.2 1280 1369 16.38% 25.81% 57.81%-0.92 -7.7 7
2013-09-14 Vostok W 1-036.4 1227 1175 53.32% 27.61% 19.07%+0.72 +4.8 5
2013-09-14 @ Atyrau L 0-136.4 1175 1227 19.07% 27.61% 53.32%-0.72 -4.8 2
2013-09-15 Kairat L 1-253.5 1340 1295 52.49% 27.91% 19.61%+0.69 -10.0 6
2013-09-15 @ Ordabasy W 2-153.5 1295 1340 19.61% 27.91% 52.49%-0.69 +10.0 6
2013-09-21 Astana W 2-037.7 1430 1406 49.93% 28.72% 21.35%+0.58 +10.0 9
2013-09-21 @ Aktobe L 0-237.7 1406 1430 21.35% 28.72% 49.93%-0.58 -10.0 9
2013-09-21 Atyrau D 1-153.7 1272 1232 51.92% 28.10% 19.98%+0.66 -1.4 8
2013-09-21 @ Taraz D 1-153.7 1232 1272 19.98% 28.10% 51.92%-0.66 +1.4 6
2013-09-21 Ordabasy W 3-032.3 1392 1330 54.54% 27.16% 18.30%+0.77 +12.6 7
2013-09-21 @ Irtysh L 0-332.3 1330 1392 18.30% 27.16% 54.54%-0.77 -12.5 6
2013-09-21 Tobol L 1-342.8 1245 1376 28.85% 30.60% 40.55%-0.22 -11.1 5
2013-09-21 @ Akzhayik W 3-142.8 1376 1245 40.55% 30.60% 28.85%+0.22 +11.1 15
2013-09-21 Zhetysu D 0-047.4 1171 1211 41.38% 30.50% 28.12%+0.25 -0.6 3
2013-09-21 @ Vostok D 0-047.4 1211 1171 28.12% 30.50% 41.38%-0.25 +0.6 2
2013-09-22 Shakter Karagandy D 3-363.0 1305 1375 37.33% 30.86% 31.82%+0.10 -0.1 7
2013-09-22 @ Kairat D 3-363.0 1375 1305 31.82% 30.86% 37.33%-0.10 +0.1 5
2013-09-29 Aktobe L 0-142.4 1305 1440 28.38% 30.54% 41.08%-0.24 -6.7 7
2013-09-29 @ Kairat W 1-042.4 1440 1305 41.08% 30.54% 28.38%+0.24 +6.7 12
2013-09-29 Akzhayik W 2-037.0 1170 1234 38.04% 30.82% 31.14%+0.13 +13.6 6
2013-09-29 @ Vostok L 0-237.0 1234 1170 31.14% 30.82% 38.04%-0.13 -13.5 5
2013-09-29 Astana L 0-240.4 1318 1396 36.02% 30.91% 33.07%+0.05 -15.0 6
2013-09-29 @ Ordabasy W 2-040.4 1396 1318 33.07% 30.91% 36.02%-0.05 +15.0 12
2013-09-29 Shakter Karagandy W 2-146.2 1404 1375 50.59% 28.52% 20.89%+0.61 +4.9 10
2013-09-29 @ Irtysh L 1-246.2 1375 1404 20.89% 28.52% 50.59%-0.61 -4.9 5
2013-09-29 Tobol D 0-048.5 1233 1388 26.10% 30.15% 43.74%-0.34 +0.8 7
2013-09-29 @ Atyrau D 0-048.5 1388 1233 43.74% 30.15% 26.10%+0.34 -0.8 16
2013-09-29 Zhetysu L 0-147.0 1270 1212 54.21% 27.29% 18.51%+0.76 -10.8 8
2013-09-29 @ Taraz W 1-047.0 1212 1270 18.51% 27.29% 54.21%-0.76 +10.8 5
2013-10-05 Atyrau D 0-047.8 1222 1234 45.28% 29.87% 24.85%+0.40 -1.0 6
2013-10-05 @ Zhetysu D 0-047.8 1234 1222 24.85% 29.87% 45.28%-0.40 +1.0 8
2013-10-05 Irtysh W 3-143.4 1447 1409 51.64% 28.19% 20.17%+0.65 +8.2 15
2013-10-05 @ Aktobe L 1-343.4 1409 1447 20.17% 28.19% 51.64%-0.65 -8.2 10
2013-10-05 Kairat L 1-255.7 1411 1299 60.45% 24.60% 14.95%+1.03 -11.1 12
2013-10-05 @ Astana W 2-155.7 1299 1411 14.95% 24.60% 60.45%-1.03 +11.1 10
2013-10-05 Taraz W 2-146.1 1221 1260 41.58% 30.48% 27.94%+0.26 +6.2 8
2013-10-05 @ Akzhayik L 1-246.1 1260 1221 27.94% 30.48% 41.58%-0.26 -6.3 8
2013-10-05 Vostok W 2-137.9 1387 1184 69.99% 19.45% 10.55%+1.50 +2.3 19
2013-10-05 @ Tobol L 1-237.9 1184 1387 10.55% 19.45% 69.99%-1.50 -2.3 6
2013-10-06 Ordabasy W 3-031.5 1370 1303 55.23% 26.89% 17.88%+0.80 +12.3 8
2013-10-06 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-331.5 1303 1370 17.88% 26.89% 55.23%-0.80 -12.3 6
2013-10-19 Astana L 0-148.8 1401 1400 46.94% 29.51% 23.55%+0.46 -9.7 10
2013-10-19 @ Irtysh W 1-048.8 1400 1401 23.55% 29.51% 46.94%-0.46 +9.7 15
2013-10-19 Atyrau L 1-249.4 1181 1235 39.53% 30.70% 29.77%+0.18 -8.0 6
2013-10-19 @ Vostok W 2-149.4 1235 1181 29.77% 30.70% 39.53%-0.18 +8.0 11
2013-10-19 Ordabasy D 0-048.7 1310 1290 49.31% 28.90% 21.79%+0.56 -1.4 11
2013-10-19 @ Kairat D 0-048.7 1290 1310 21.79% 28.90% 49.31%-0.56 +1.3 7
2013-10-19 Shakter Karagandy W 4-034.5 1455 1382 55.91% 26.62% 17.47%+0.83 +15.6 18
2013-10-19 @ Aktobe L 0-434.5 1382 1455 17.47% 26.62% 55.91%-0.83 -15.6 8
2013-10-19 Tobol W 2-041.0 1253 1389 28.29% 30.53% 41.18%-0.24 +16.5 11
2013-10-19 @ Taraz L 0-241.0 1389 1253 41.18% 30.53% 28.29%+0.24 -16.5 19
2013-10-19 Zhetysu D 0-047.9 1227 1221 47.52% 29.37% 23.11%+0.48 -1.2 9
2013-10-19 @ Akzhayik D 0-047.9 1221 1227 23.11% 29.37% 47.52%-0.48 +1.2 7
2013-10-27 Aktobe W 1-046.4 1410 1471 38.46% 30.79% 30.75%+0.14 +7.1 18
2013-10-27 @ Astana L 0-146.4 1471 1410 30.75% 30.79% 38.46%-0.14 -7.1 18
2013-10-27 Akzhayik W 2-029.9 1372 1226 64.21% 22.69% 13.10%+1.21 +6.0 22
2013-10-27 @ Tobol L 0-229.9 1226 1372 13.10% 22.69% 64.21%-1.21 -6.0 9
2013-10-27 Irtysh W 3-145.7 1292 1391 33.01% 30.90% 36.09%-0.06 +13.0 10
2013-10-27 @ Ordabasy L 1-345.7 1391 1292 36.09% 30.90% 33.01%+0.06 -13.0 10
2013-10-27 Kairat L 1-254.2 1367 1308 54.13% 27.31% 18.55%+0.76 -10.2 8
2013-10-27 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-154.2 1308 1367 18.55% 27.31% 54.13%-0.76 +10.2 14
2013-10-27 Taraz W 1-039.7 1243 1270 43.22% 30.24% 26.54%+0.32 +6.4 14
2013-10-27 @ Atyrau L 0-139.7 1270 1243 26.54% 30.24% 43.22%-0.32 -6.4 11
2013-10-27 Vostok D 0-048.3 1223 1173 53.06% 27.70% 19.23%+0.71 -1.7 8
2013-10-27 @ Zhetysu D 0-048.3 1173 1223 19.23% 27.70% 53.06%-0.71 +1.7 7
2013-11-02 Astana L 1-445.0 1356 1417 38.57% 30.78% 30.65%+0.15 -19.3 8
2013-11-02 @ Shakter Karagandy W 4-145.0 1417 1356 30.65% 30.78% 38.57%-0.15 +19.3 21
2013-11-02 Atyrau W 3-034.0 1220 1249 42.85% 30.30% 26.85%+0.30 +17.6 12
2013-11-02 @ Akzhayik L 0-334.0 1249 1220 26.85% 30.30% 42.85%-0.30 -17.6 14
2013-11-02 Kairat L 2-359.0 1378 1319 54.31% 27.25% 18.44%+0.76 -9.7 10
2013-11-02 @ Irtysh W 3-259.0 1319 1378 18.44% 27.25% 54.31%-0.76 +9.7 17
2013-11-02 Ordabasy D 2-263.8 1464 1305 65.50% 22.00% 12.50%+1.27 -1.8 19
2013-11-02 @ Aktobe D 2-263.8 1305 1464 12.50% 22.00% 65.50%-1.27 +1.8 11
2013-11-02 Tobol W 1-045.4 1221 1378 25.76% 30.08% 44.16%-0.35 +9.2 11
2013-11-02 @ Zhetysu L 0-145.4 1378 1221 44.16% 30.08% 25.76%+0.35 -9.2 22
2013-11-02 Vostok D 1-154.2 1263 1175 57.72% 25.85% 16.43%+0.91 -1.9 12
2013-11-02 @ Taraz D 1-154.2 1175 1263 16.43% 25.85% 57.72%-0.91 +1.9 8

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2013-08-04 7.80% Vostok 1184 1 @ Aktobe 1464 0
2 2013-07-21 10.93% Atyrau 1206 2 @ Astana 1400 1
3 2013-06-23 13.63% Zhetysu 1242 1 @ Irtysh 1379 0
4 2013-10-05 14.95% Kairat 1299 2 @ Astana 1411 1
5 2013-05-26 14.98% Ordabasy 1285 1 @ Astana 1397 0
6 2013-06-14 18.16% Kairat 1276 3 @ Tobol 1340 2
7 2013-05-22 18.42% Zhetysu 1236 2 @ Ordabasy 1296 1
8 2013-11-02 18.44% Kairat 1319 3 @ Irtysh 1378 2
9 2013-09-29 18.51% Zhetysu 1212 1 @ Taraz 1270 0
10 2013-10-27 18.55% Kairat 1308 2 @ Shakter Karagandy 1367 1
11 2013-09-15 19.61% Kairat 1295 2 @ Ordabasy 1340 1
12 2013-04-14 20.67% Astana 1349 3 @ Shakter Karagandy 1381 1
13 2013-04-24 20.71% Astana 1358 1 @ Irtysh 1389 0
14 2013-05-05 21.44% Atyrau 1240 1 @ Zhetysu 1264 0
15 2013-09-14 21.65% Akzhayik 1218 3 @ Zhetysu 1239 0
16 2013-08-24 22.74% Taraz 1247 2 @ Zhetysu 1256 0
17 2013-10-19 23.55% Astana 1400 1 @ Irtysh 1401 0
18 2013-08-17 25.02% Shakter Karagandy 1405 2 @ Astana 1392 1
19 2013-05-11 25.26% @ Kairat 1271 1 Aktobe 1433 0
20 2013-03-30 25.66% Astana 1328 2 @ Ordabasy 1309 0
21 2013-11-02 25.76% @ Zhetysu 1221 1 Tobol 1378 0
22 2013-03-09 27.18% @ Akzhayik 1264 3 Shakter Karagandy 1409 0
23 2013-07-14 27.23% @ Tobol 1324 1 Aktobe 1468 0
24 2013-06-14 27.58% Ordabasy 1309 1 @ Taraz 1273 0
25 2013-09-14 27.82% Aktobe 1421 1 @ Shakter Karagandy 1384 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-09-01 28.62 @ Ordabasy 4 1312 32.86% Shakter Karagandy 0 1412 36.24% 30.90%
2 2013-09-14 27.66 Akzhayik 3 1218 21.65% @ Zhetysu 0 1239 49.51% 28.84%
3 2013-09-01 26.51 @ Irtysh 4 1374 36.63% Aktobe 0 1448 32.48% 30.89%
4 2013-03-09 24.59 @ Akzhayik 3 1264 27.18% Shakter Karagandy 0 1409 42.46% 30.36%
5 2013-08-30 23.06 Tobol 4 1346 42.77% @ Vostok 0 1198 26.92% 30.31%
6 2013-05-18 19.74 Tobol 4 1307 29.58% @ Zhetysu 1 1255 39.74% 30.68%
7 2013-11-02 19.31 Astana 4 1417 30.65% @ Shakter Karagandy 1 1356 38.57% 30.78%
8 2013-06-29 19.16 @ Zhetysu 5 1255 42.88% Akzhayik 1 1284 26.82% 30.29%
9 2013-08-24 18.59 Taraz 2 1247 22.74% @ Zhetysu 0 1256 48.02% 29.24%
10 2013-05-18 18.55 @ Akzhayik 4 1274 50.69% Atyrau 0 1244 20.82% 28.49%
11 2013-03-09 18.25 @ Tobol 5 1333 44.79% Astana 1 1349 25.24% 29.96%
12 2013-11-02 17.61 @ Akzhayik 3 1220 42.85% Atyrau 0 1249 26.85% 30.30%
13 2013-03-30 17.48 Astana 2 1328 25.66% @ Ordabasy 0 1309 44.29% 30.06%
14 2013-04-14 16.85 Astana 3 1349 20.67% @ Shakter Karagandy 1 1381 50.90% 28.42%
15 2013-10-19 16.55 @ Taraz 2 1253 28.29% Tobol 0 1389 41.18% 30.53%
16 2013-10-19 15.64 @ Aktobe 4 1455 55.91% Shakter Karagandy 0 1382 17.47% 26.62%
17 2013-09-29 15.02 Astana 2 1396 33.07% @ Ordabasy 0 1318 36.02% 30.91%
18 2013-04-24 14.29 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1356 50.48% Taraz 0 1327 20.97% 28.56%
19 2013-08-30 14.01 @ Taraz 3 1265 51.14% Akzhayik 0 1232 20.51% 28.35%
20 2013-08-04 13.82 Vostok 1 1184 7.80% @ Aktobe 0 1464 76.98% 15.22%
21 2013-07-19 13.58 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1382 52.12% Ordabasy 0 1340 19.85% 28.03%
22 2013-09-29 13.56 @ Vostok 2 1170 38.04% Akzhayik 0 1234 31.14% 30.82%
23 2013-03-09 13.52 Irtysh 3 1387 31.17% @ Ordabasy 1 1322 38.02% 30.82%
24 2013-10-27 13.03 @ Ordabasy 3 1292 33.01% Irtysh 1 1391 36.09% 30.90%
25 2013-05-30 12.77 @ Aktobe 3 1442 54.02% Irtysh 0 1385 18.63% 27.36%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-11-02 63.8 @ Aktobe 2 1464 65.50% Ordabasy 2 1305 12.50% 22.00%
2 2013-09-22 63.0 @ Kairat 3 1305 37.33% Shakter Karagandy 3 1375 31.82% 30.86%
3 2013-03-09 62.2 @ Kairat 3 1259 44.89% Zhetysu 3 1273 25.16% 29.95%
4 2013-05-26 61.5 @ Irtysh 2 1385 47.66% Shakter Karagandy 2 1379 23.00% 29.33%
5 2013-03-30 60.2 @ Tobol 2 1343 50.10% Taraz 2 1318 21.23% 28.67%
6 2013-05-05 59.5 @ Akzhayik 2 1282 33.58% Astana 2 1377 35.50% 30.92%
7 2013-08-24 59.2 @ Akzhayik 2 1233 51.32% Vostok 2 1197 20.39% 28.29%
8 2013-11-02 59.0 Kairat 3 1319 18.44% @ Irtysh 2 1378 54.31% 27.25%
9 2013-08-18 58.9 @ Atyrau 2 1235 47.20% Akzhayik 2 1232 23.35% 29.45%
10 2013-06-14 58.3 Kairat 3 1276 18.16% @ Tobol 2 1340 54.76% 27.07%
11 2013-07-21 57.9 @ Aktobe 1 1459 66.98% Kairat 1 1286 11.84% 21.18%
12 2013-03-15 56.7 @ Irtysh 1 1400 69.41% Vostok 1 1203 10.80% 19.79%
13 2013-08-24 56.6 @ Shakter Karagandy 1 1414 52.06% Irtysh 1 1372 19.89% 28.05%
14 2013-04-14 56.4 @ Aktobe 1 1408 62.94% Zhetysu 1 1273 13.70% 23.36%
15 2013-06-29 56.0 @ Astana 1 1396 50.59% Irtysh 1 1367 20.89% 28.52%
16 2013-07-21 55.8 Atyrau 2 1206 10.93% @ Astana 1 1400 69.10% 19.97%
17 2013-10-05 55.7 Kairat 2 1299 14.95% @ Astana 1 1411 60.45% 24.60%
18 2013-04-06 54.6 @ Tobol 1 1342 53.38% Akzhayik 1 1290 19.03% 27.59%
19 2013-03-30 54.3 @ Akzhayik 1 1290 30.54% Aktobe 1 1408 38.69% 30.77%
20 2013-07-28 54.2 @ Kairat 3 1289 33.73% Irtysh 2 1383 35.35% 30.92%
21 2013-08-17 54.2 Shakter Karagandy 2 1405 25.02% @ Astana 1 1392 45.07% 29.91%
22 2013-10-27 54.2 Kairat 2 1308 18.55% @ Shakter Karagandy 1 1367 54.13% 27.31%
23 2013-11-02 54.2 @ Taraz 1 1263 57.72% Vostok 1 1175 16.43% 25.85%
24 2013-03-15 54.1 @ Taraz 1 1319 50.70% Akzhayik 1 1289 20.81% 28.49%
25 2013-07-07 54.0 @ Zhetysu 1 1274 30.12% Astana 1 1395 39.14% 30.74%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-04-24 28.1 @ Aktobe 3 1414 66.30% Atyrau 0 1248 12.14% 21.56%
2 2013-06-29 28.4 @ Tobol 3 1324 61.98% Vostok 0 1197 14.18% 23.85%
3 2013-08-03 28.6 @ Shakter Karagandy 4 1394 64.61% Akzhayik 0 1243 12.91% 22.48%
4 2013-05-18 29.1 @ Shakter Karagandy 2 1382 66.53% Vostok 0 1213 12.04% 21.43%
5 2013-10-27 29.9 @ Tobol 2 1372 64.21% Akzhayik 0 1226 13.10% 22.69%
6 2013-05-30 30.2 @ Ordabasy 3 1297 56.21% Atyrau 0 1221 17.29% 26.50%
7 2013-10-06 31.5 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1370 55.23% Ordabasy 0 1303 17.88% 26.89%
8 2013-05-26 31.6 @ Aktobe 2 1436 63.15% Akzhayik 0 1299 13.60% 23.25%
9 2013-08-30 31.6 @ Taraz 3 1265 51.14% Akzhayik 0 1232 20.51% 28.35%
10 2013-05-18 32.0 @ Akzhayik 4 1274 50.69% Atyrau 0 1244 20.82% 28.49%
11 2013-08-25 32.1 @ Aktobe 2 1442 62.65% Kairat 0 1309 13.84% 23.51%
12 2013-09-14 32.2 @ Tobol 2 1369 57.81% Taraz 0 1280 16.38% 25.81%
13 2013-04-28 32.3 @ Kairat 2 1266 54.28% Vostok 0 1207 18.46% 27.26%
14 2013-09-21 32.3 @ Irtysh 3 1392 54.54% Ordabasy 0 1330 18.30% 27.16%
15 2013-07-13 32.4 @ Ordabasy 4 1332 63.95% Vostok 1 1188 13.22% 22.83%
16 2013-08-18 32.6 @ Tobol 2 1331 55.11% Zhetysu 0 1265 17.95% 26.94%
17 2013-04-24 33.0 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1356 50.48% Taraz 0 1327 20.97% 28.56%
18 2013-07-19 33.1 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1382 52.12% Ordabasy 0 1340 19.85% 28.03%
19 2013-07-07 33.3 @ Irtysh 1 1368 65.52% Atyrau 0 1209 12.49% 21.99%
20 2013-06-29 33.4 Aktobe 2 1458 54.67% @ Atyrau 0 1217 18.22% 27.11%
21 2013-04-06 33.8 @ Astana 1 1346 63.54% Vostok 0 1205 13.42% 23.05%
22 2013-08-04 33.8 @ Irtysh 2 1376 53.96% Ordabasy 0 1319 18.66% 27.38%
23 2013-06-14 34.0 @ Atyrau 2 1210 47.97% Vostok 0 1201 22.77% 29.25%
24 2013-11-02 34.0 @ Akzhayik 3 1220 42.85% Atyrau 0 1249 26.85% 30.30%
25 2013-04-20 34.3 @ Taraz 1 1324 61.53% Vostok 0 1201 14.40% 24.07%