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2017 Kazakhstan Premier League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Astana

79 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kaisar

10.65 points above expected

42 points · 31.35 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Okzhetpes

9.76 points below expected

24 points · 33.76 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Astana 33 25 4 4 79 74 21 +53 68.79 +10.21
2 Kairat 33 23 9 1 78 75 28 +47 72.12 +5.88
3 Ordabasy 33 18 4 11 58 44 37 +7 53.66 +4.34
4 Irtysh 33 12 12 9 48 35 32 +3 51.48 -3.48
5 Tobol 33 12 11 10 47 36 26 +10 47.95 -0.95
6 Kaisar 33 11 9 13 42 30 36 -6 31.35 +10.65
7 Shakter Karagandy 33 12 4 17 40 36 50 -14 36.80 +3.20
8 Atyrau* 33 10 8 15 35 34 54 -20 36.05 -1.05
9 Aktobe 33 8 9 16 33 38 46 -8 42.06 -9.06
10 Akzhayik 33 7 9 17 30 29 47 -18 32.88 -2.88
11 Taraz* 33 8 8 17 26 29 50 -21 33.54 -7.54
12 Okzhetpes 33 7 3 23 24 28 61 -33 33.76 -9.76

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

* Point deductions: Atyrau (-3 pts), Taraz (-6 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kaisar 42 31.35 +10.65
2 Astana 79 68.79 +10.21
3 Kairat 78 72.12 +5.88
4 Ordabasy 58 53.66 +4.34
5 Shakter Karagandy 40 36.80 +3.20

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Okzhetpes 24 33.76 -9.76
2 Aktobe 33 42.06 -9.06
3 Taraz 26 33.54 -7.54
4 Irtysh 48 51.48 -3.48
5 Akzhayik 30 32.88 -2.88

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Astana 11 Jun 3 – Sep 23 1 in 55
2 Shakter Karagandy 3 Jun 17 – Jun 28 1 in 48
3 Kaisar 3 Mar 8 – Mar 18 1 in 41
4 Kairat 8 May 14 – Jul 9 1 in 36
5 Atyrau 3 Apr 29 – May 6 1 in 36

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Taraz 4 Oct 15 – Nov 5 1 in 93
2 Okzhetpes 6 Aug 13 – Sep 30 1 in 56
3 Aktobe 5 May 20 – Jun 28 1 in 43
4 Shakter Karagandy 4 Mar 12 – Apr 8 1 in 32
5 Atyrau 3 Jul 1 – Jul 15 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kaisar 5 Mar 8 – Apr 8 1 in 43
2 Tobol 7 Apr 1 – Apr 29 1 in 27
3 Irtysh 6 Apr 4 – Apr 29 1 in 23
4 Akzhayik 5 Apr 1 – Apr 23 1 in 17
5 Kairat 21 May 14 – Nov 5 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kairat 4 Mar 12 – Apr 4 1 in 76
2 Aktobe 6 Apr 8 – May 14 1 in 38
3 Irtysh 5 Aug 13 – Sep 16 1 in 35
4 Akzhayik 12 May 6 – Jul 30 1 in 24
5 Shakter Karagandy 8 Mar 8 – Apr 29 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Astana 1784 79 -36 9 11.0 -2.0
Kairat 1881 78 +32 13 11.0 +2.0
Ordabasy 1574 58 -20 9 8.8 +0.2
Irtysh 1541 48 +17 8 6.5 +1.5
Tobol 1562 47 +23 8 6.8 +1.2
Kaisar 1472 42 +40 10 7.2 +2.8
Shakter Karagandy 1459 40 +13 7 5.5 +1.5
Atyrau 1415 38 +4 9 6.3 +2.7
Aktobe 1519 33 -4 4 5.8 -1.8
Taraz 1415 32 -45 3 7.6 -4.6
Akzhayik 1400 30 -25 1 4.2 -3.2
Okzhetpes 1309 24 -11 3 3.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AKT AKZ AST ATY IRT KAI KAI OKZ ORD SK TAR TOB
Aktobe —
0-3-0
5.09
0-0-3
2.17
1-1-1
4.12
1-1-1
3.15
0-0-3
1.57
0-1-2
5.51
2-0-1
4.55
1-0-2
3.52
2-0-1
4.21
0-2-1
4.39
1-1-1
4.10
Akzhayik
0-3-0
3.21
—
0-0-3
1.56
1-1-1
3.99
1-0-2
2.38
0-0-3
1.12
1-2-0
4.19
1-1-1
4.17
0-0-3
2.20
1-0-2
4.11
1-2-0
3.09
1-0-2
2.48
Astana
3-0-0
6.16
3-0-0
6.84
—
3-0-0
6.48
2-1-0
5.69
0-1-2
4.20
3-0-0
6.94
3-0-0
6.87
1-0-2
5.77
3-0-0
6.56
3-0-0
6.92
1-2-0
6.16
Atyrau
1-1-1
4.16
1-1-1
4.30
0-0-3
1.90
—
0-2-1
3.33
1-1-1
1.51
1-0-2
4.38
2-0-1
4.57
0-2-1
2.77
1-1-1
4.70
2-0-1
4.45
1-0-2
3.02
Irtysh
1-1-1
5.14
2-0-1
5.94
0-1-2
2.65
1-2-0
4.96
—
0-3-0
2.36
1-2-0
6.00
2-1-0
5.42
2-0-1
3.70
2-0-1
5.57
1-1-1
5.18
0-1-2
4.72
Kairat
3-0-0
6.83
3-0-0
7.34
2-1-0
4.08
1-1-1
6.90
0-3-0
5.97
—
2-1-0
7.12
2-1-0
6.71
3-0-0
6.17
3-0-0
7.03
2-1-0
6.67
2-1-0
6.46
Kaisar
2-1-0
2.79
0-2-1
4.09
0-0-3
1.47
2-0-1
3.91
0-2-1
2.32
0-1-2
1.32
—
2-0-1
4.39
0-1-2
2.56
2-0-1
3.55
2-0-1
3.61
1-2-0
2.91
Okzhetpes
1-0-2
3.73
1-1-1
4.11
0-0-3
1.57
1-0-2
3.72
0-1-2
2.89
0-1-2
1.67
1-0-2
3.90
—
0-0-3
2.31
0-0-3
3.67
2-0-1
3.48
1-0-2
2.83
Ordabasy
2-0-1
4.77
3-0-0
6.13
2-0-1
2.55
1-2-0
5.54
1-0-2
4.59
0-0-3
2.17
2-1-0
5.75
3-0-0
6.03
—
2-0-1
5.46
2-0-1
5.74
0-1-2
4.41
Shakter Karagandy
1-0-2
4.08
2-0-1
4.17
0-0-3
1.82
1-1-1
3.58
1-0-2
2.74
0-0-3
1.39
1-0-2
4.73
3-0-0
4.63
1-0-2
2.84
—
1-1-1
3.74
1-2-0
3.18
Taraz
1-2-0
3.90
0-2-1
5.21
0-0-3
1.49
1-0-2
3.84
1-1-1
3.12
0-1-2
1.71
1-0-2
4.67
1-0-2
4.81
1-0-2
2.57
1-1-1
4.54
—
1-1-1
2.87
Tobol
1-1-1
4.18
2-0-1
5.84
0-2-1
2.18
2-0-1
5.28
2-1-0
3.56
0-1-2
1.91
0-2-1
5.39
2-0-1
5.50
2-1-0
3.87
0-2-1
5.11
1-1-1
5.42
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +10.4
Allowed 0.70 -12.4
Differential 0.94 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.57%11.87%6.57%3.03%1.01%0.25%29.29%
111.87%11.11%8.84%2.27%1.77%0.76%36.62%
26.57%8.84%4.04%1.77%0.25%0.25%21.72%
33.03%2.27%1.77%1.01%——8.08%
41.01%1.77%0.25%———3.03%
5+0.25%0.76%0.25%———1.26%
Total29.29%36.62%21.72%8.08%3.03%1.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.23 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.70
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%15.15%3.03%6.06%——27.27%
16.06%15.15%12.12%3.03%——36.36%
212.12%—9.09%6.06%3.03%—30.30%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%33.33%24.24%15.15%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.39 -0.24
SD 0.91 1.12 1.48
CV 0.79 0.80 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%15.15%3.03%——36.36%
115.15%6.06%15.15%3.03%3.03%—42.42%
23.03%—12.12%3.03%——18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%18.18%42.42%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.42 -0.55
SD 0.82 1.09 1.30
CV 0.93 0.77 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.03%6.06%——9.09%
112.12%12.12%3.03%———27.27%
218.18%6.06%————24.24%
315.15%3.03%————18.18%
49.09%6.06%3.03%———18.18%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total57.58%27.27%9.09%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.24 0.64 +1.61
SD 1.52 0.90 2.06
CV 0.68 1.41 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%18.18%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%42.42%
16.06%9.09%—3.03%3.03%—21.21%
26.06%12.12%9.09%———27.27%
3—3.03%3.03%3.03%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.15%42.42%24.24%9.09%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.64 -0.61
SD 1.05 1.43 1.90
CV 1.01 0.88 —
Max 3 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%6.06%———27.27%
118.18%21.21%9.09%3.03%——51.52%
23.03%12.12%————15.15%
3———3.03%——3.03%
4———————
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total33.33%42.42%18.18%6.06%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 0.97 +0.09
SD 1.03 0.88 1.13
CV 0.97 0.91 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%—————3.03%
112.12%15.15%3.03%———30.30%
212.12%9.09%6.06%———27.27%
36.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
43.03%9.09%————12.12%
5+—6.06%————6.06%
Total36.36%45.45%15.15%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 0.85 +1.42
SD 1.28 0.80 1.37
CV 0.56 0.94 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%15.15%3.03%3.03%——36.36%
115.15%12.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%—45.45%
23.03%9.09%————12.12%
3——3.03%———3.03%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total33.33%39.39%15.15%9.09%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.09 -0.18
SD 0.95 1.07 1.36
CV 1.04 0.98 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%12.12%9.09%3.03%—39.39%
19.09%3.03%21.21%—3.03%3.03%39.39%
2—9.09%3.03%6.06%——18.18%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.12%27.27%36.36%15.15%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.85 -1.00
SD 0.83 1.20 1.52
CV 0.98 0.65 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%9.09%6.06%3.03%——21.21%
118.18%6.06%12.12%——3.03%39.39%
23.03%18.18%3.03%———24.24%
39.09%—6.06%———15.15%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%27.27%3.03%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.12 +0.21
SD 0.99 1.11 1.62
CV 0.74 0.99 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%18.18%6.06%———27.27%
19.09%6.06%9.09%9.09%9.09%—42.42%
26.06%18.18%————24.24%
3——3.03%3.03%——6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%42.42%18.18%12.12%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.52 -0.42
SD 0.88 1.20 1.46
CV 0.81 0.79 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%3.03%3.03%6.06%—39.39%
112.12%12.12%9.09%——3.03%36.36%
23.03%6.06%3.03%6.06%—3.03%21.21%
3—3.03%————3.03%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%39.39%15.15%9.09%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.52 -0.64
SD 0.86 1.44 1.60
CV 0.98 0.95 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%18.18%9.09%———42.42%
19.09%15.15%3.03%———27.27%
29.09%6.06%3.03%———18.18%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total36.36%48.48%15.15%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 0.79 +0.30
SD 1.28 0.70 1.49
CV 1.18 0.88 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Kairat 1881 78 72.12 +5.88 87.0% 41 64 69 72 76 81 85
Astana 1784 79 68.79 +10.21 95.0% 49 58 64 69 73 79 81
Ordabasy 1574 58 53.66 +4.34 71.0% 35 42 49 54 59 63 76
Tobol 1562 47 47.95 -0.95 46.0% 33 36 44 48 53 58 62
Irtysh 1541 48 51.48 -3.48 37.0% 33 38 47 51 56 64 68
Aktobe 1519 33 42.06 -9.06 10.0% 27 30 37 42 46 54 61
Kaisar 1472 42 31.35 +10.65 95.0% 17 20 27 31 35 42 47
Shakter Karagandy 1459 40 36.80 +3.20 67.0% 19 25 31 37 42 48 52
Taraz 1415 26 33.54 -7.54 20.0% 14 21 28 33 38 46 51
Atyrau 1415 35 36.05 -1.05 48.0% 18 26 31 37 40 47 54
Akzhayik 1400 30 32.88 -2.88 33.0% 19 23 30 33 36 42 46
Okzhetpes 1309 24 33.76 -9.76 13.0% 20 22 29 33 38 48 53

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+18.69%
No Edge
47.98%22.73%29.29%
Elo Value
Home Edge
187 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
065.70500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.46 goals
Neutral
-2+0.35+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
39%
Astana, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Tight Race
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.45 * Some Luck: 5.45 to 8.18 * Lucky: 8.18 to 10.9 * Wild Swing: 10.9 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.14 * Close: 1.14 to 1.71 * Off: 1.71 to 2.28 * Way Off: 2.28 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.70 points
Some Luck
06.8117
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Close
01.423
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.00%
Astana
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
10.00%
Aktobe
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 79% * Wide Edge: 79% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 98.5% * Dominant: 98.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 64% * Frequent: 64% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13.5% * Occasional: 13.5% to 15.5% * Frequent: 15.5% to 18.5% * Very Frequent: 18.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.170.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 162.80
2.40
Wide Separation
0.91.752.353
Interquartile Edge
70%
Even
50%70.5%79%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Occasional
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.49 * Lopsided: 0.49 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.64 * Strong Carryover: 0.64 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Upset-Prone: 20.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.41
Slight Separation
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.01
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Some Carryover
00.470.641
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.71
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.079
Well Within Noise
00.1160.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Astana39.00%50.00%10.00%1.00%————————
Kairat60.00%37.00%2.00%———1.00%—————
Ordabasy1.00%6.00%41.00%24.00%17.00%6.00%1.00%3.00%1.00%———
Irtysh—7.00%22.00%29.00%23.00%11.00%2.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%——
Tobol——18.00%31.00%22.00%7.00%13.00%5.00%3.00%1.00%——
Kaisar————1.00%8.00%4.00%13.00%11.00%12.00%21.00%30.00%
Shakter Karagandy——1.00%5.00%7.00%17.00%15.00%11.00%11.00%12.00%13.00%8.00%
Atyrau———2.00%8.00%8.00%16.00%14.00%13.00%17.00%14.00%8.00%
Aktobe——5.00%6.00%13.00%26.00%23.00%8.00%11.00%1.00%6.00%1.00%
Akzhayik————1.00%6.00%7.00%16.00%16.00%20.00%18.00%16.00%
Taraz——1.00%—3.00%9.00%7.00%16.00%14.00%20.00%13.00%17.00%
Okzhetpes———2.00%5.00%2.00%11.00%11.00%18.00%16.00%15.00%20.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Astana 100% — —
Irtysh 99.00% 1.00% —
Kairat 100% — —
Ordabasy 100% — —
Tobol 99.00% 1.00% —
Aktobe 92.00% 1.00% 7.00%
Shakter Karagandy 67.00% 12.00% 21.00%
Atyrau 61.00% 17.00% 22.00%
Taraz 50.00% 20.00% 30.00%
Akzhayik 46.00% 20.00% 34.00%
Okzhetpes 49.00% 16.00% 35.00%
Kaisar 37.00% 12.00% 51.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2017-03-08 Aktobe W 1-050.8 1710 1549 64.12% 21.82% 14.06%+1.21 +6.0 3
2017-03-08 @ Kairat L 0-150.8 1549 1710 14.06% 21.82% 64.12%-1.21 -6.0 0
2017-03-08 Akzhayik W 2-150.0 1569 1430 62.28% 22.21% 15.51%+1.10 +6.2 3
2017-03-08 @ Irtysh L 1-250.0 1430 1569 15.51% 22.21% 62.28%-1.10 -6.2 0
2017-03-08 Astana W 3-054.0 1533 1654 30.36% 23.96% 45.68%-0.30 +44.3 3
2017-03-08 @ Ordabasy L 0-354.0 1654 1533 45.68% 23.96% 30.36%+0.30 -44.3 0
2017-03-08 Atyrau W 3-043.9 1503 1512 45.86% 23.95% 30.19%+0.31 +32.0 3
2017-03-08 @ Tobol L 0-343.9 1512 1503 30.19% 23.95% 45.86%-0.31 -32.0 0
2017-03-08 Okzhetpes W 1-050.5 1385 1521 28.61% 23.87% 47.52%-0.37 +16.7 3
2017-03-08 @ Kaisar L 0-150.5 1521 1385 47.52% 23.87% 28.61%+0.37 -16.7 0
2017-03-08 Shakter Karagandy D 0-057.7 1487 1478 48.12% 23.84% 28.03%+0.40 -1.7 1
2017-03-08 @ Taraz D 0-057.7 1478 1487 28.03% 23.84% 48.12%-0.40 +1.7 1
2017-03-12 Aktobe D 0-061.9 1535 1543 45.94% 23.95% 30.11%+0.31 -1.3 4
2017-03-12 @ Tobol D 0-061.9 1543 1535 30.11% 23.95% 45.94%-0.31 +1.3 1
2017-03-12 Astana D 1-170.2 1576 1610 42.35% 24.06% 33.59%+0.17 -0.7 4
2017-03-12 @ Irtysh D 1-170.2 1610 1576 33.59% 24.06% 42.35%-0.17 +0.6 1
2017-03-12 Atyrau D 1-166.6 1577 1480 58.22% 22.88% 18.89%+0.87 -3.1 4
2017-03-12 @ Ordabasy D 1-166.6 1480 1577 18.89% 22.88% 58.22%-0.87 +3.2 1
2017-03-12 Okzhetpes D 2-278.1 1716 1504 68.19% 20.78% 11.03%+1.49 -3.6 4
2017-03-12 @ Kairat D 2-278.1 1504 1716 11.03% 20.78% 68.19%-1.49 +3.5 1
2017-03-12 Shakter Karagandy W 3-149.7 1424 1479 39.40% 24.10% 36.50%+0.05 +22.1 3
2017-03-12 @ Akzhayik L 1-349.7 1479 1424 36.50% 24.10% 39.40%-0.05 -22.1 1
2017-03-12 Taraz W 2-154.1 1402 1485 35.50% 24.09% 40.41%-0.09 +13.8 6
2017-03-12 @ Kaisar L 1-254.1 1485 1402 40.41% 24.09% 35.50%+0.09 -13.8 1
2017-03-17 Akzhayik W 3-147.8 1611 1446 64.50% 21.74% 13.76%+1.24 +9.6 4
2017-03-17 @ Astana L 1-347.8 1446 1611 13.76% 21.74% 64.50%-1.24 -9.6 3
2017-03-17 Kairat D 0-065.3 1471 1712 17.83% 22.70% 59.47%-0.94 +3.8 2
2017-03-17 @ Taraz D 0-065.3 1712 1471 59.47% 22.70% 17.83%+0.94 -3.7 5
2017-03-18 Irtysh L 0-152.2 1483 1575 34.30% 24.07% 41.63%-0.14 -12.9 1
2017-03-18 @ Atyrau W 1-052.2 1575 1483 41.63% 24.07% 34.30%+0.14 +12.9 7
2017-03-18 Kaisar L 0-150.8 1457 1416 52.12% 23.56% 24.31%+0.57 -18.1 1
2017-03-18 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-050.8 1416 1457 24.31% 23.56% 52.12%-0.57 +18.1 9
2017-03-18 Ordabasy L 0-156.8 1545 1574 43.07% 24.04% 32.89%+0.20 -15.4 1
2017-03-18 @ Aktobe W 1-056.8 1574 1545 32.89% 24.04% 43.07%-0.20 +15.4 7
2017-03-18 Tobol W 1-051.0 1508 1534 43.45% 24.03% 32.52%+0.21 +12.4 4
2017-03-18 @ Okzhetpes L 0-151.0 1534 1508 32.52% 24.03% 43.45%-0.21 -12.4 4
2017-03-31 Aktobe L 1-362.4 1588 1529 54.08% 23.38% 22.53%+0.67 -30.6 7
2017-03-31 @ Irtysh W 3-162.4 1529 1588 22.53% 23.38% 54.08%-0.67 +30.6 4
2017-03-31 Kaisar D 1-170.4 1708 1434 72.49% 19.33% 8.18%+1.82 -5.4 6
2017-03-31 @ Kairat D 1-170.4 1434 1708 8.18% 19.33% 72.49%-1.82 +5.4 10
2017-03-31 Okzhetpes W 2-156.0 1589 1520 55.29% 23.26% 21.45%+0.72 +8.3 10
2017-03-31 @ Ordabasy L 1-256.0 1520 1589 21.45% 23.26% 55.29%-0.72 -8.3 4
2017-04-01 Astana L 1-255.0 1439 1620 23.44% 23.48% 53.08%-0.62 -8.9 1
2017-04-01 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-155.0 1620 1439 53.08% 23.48% 23.44%+0.62 +8.9 7
2017-04-01 Atyrau D 2-266.9 1436 1470 42.43% 24.06% 33.51%+0.17 -0.5 4
2017-04-01 @ Akzhayik D 2-266.9 1470 1436 33.51% 24.06% 42.43%-0.17 +0.5 2
2017-04-01 Taraz W 1-046.5 1522 1475 52.75% 23.51% 23.74%+0.60 +9.6 7
2017-04-01 @ Tobol L 0-146.5 1475 1522 23.74% 23.51% 52.75%-0.60 -9.6 2
2017-04-04 Irtysh D 1-172.2 1703 1557 62.84% 22.09% 15.06%+1.13 -3.9 7
2017-04-04 @ Kairat D 1-172.2 1557 1703 15.06% 22.09% 62.84%-1.13 +3.9 8
2017-04-04 Ordabasy W 1-055.6 1531 1598 37.86% 24.11% 38.04%+0.00 +14.0 10
2017-04-04 @ Tobol L 0-155.6 1598 1531 38.04% 24.11% 37.86%+0.00 -14.0 10
2017-04-08 Akzhayik D 1-164.5 1560 1436 60.86% 22.47% 16.67%+1.02 -3.6 5
2017-04-08 @ Aktobe D 1-164.5 1436 1560 16.67% 22.47% 60.86%-1.02 +3.6 5
2017-04-08 Astana L 0-151.0 1471 1629 25.92% 23.70% 50.38%-0.50 -10.3 2
2017-04-08 @ Atyrau W 1-051.0 1629 1471 50.38% 23.70% 25.92%+0.50 +10.3 10
2017-04-08 Irtysh L 0-250.8 1512 1561 40.28% 24.09% 35.63%+0.09 -27.5 4
2017-04-08 @ Okzhetpes W 2-050.8 1561 1512 35.63% 24.09% 40.28%-0.09 +27.5 11
2017-04-08 Kairat L 1-448.0 1430 1699 15.66% 22.24% 62.10%-1.09 -15.3 1
2017-04-08 @ Shakter Karagandy W 4-148.0 1699 1430 62.10% 22.24% 15.66%+1.09 +15.3 10
2017-04-08 Ordabasy W 2-161.3 1465 1584 30.76% 23.97% 45.27%-0.28 +15.1 5
2017-04-08 @ Taraz L 1-261.3 1584 1465 45.27% 23.97% 30.76%+0.28 -15.1 10
2017-04-08 Tobol D 0-058.4 1439 1545 32.37% 24.03% 43.60%-0.22 +0.9 11
2017-04-08 @ Kaisar D 0-058.4 1545 1439 43.60% 24.03% 32.37%+0.22 -0.9 11
2017-04-12 Aktobe W 3-046.3 1639 1556 56.78% 23.08% 20.14%+0.80 +22.8 13
2017-04-12 @ Astana L 0-346.3 1556 1639 20.14% 23.08% 56.78%-0.80 -22.8 5
2017-04-12 Kairat D 2-277.9 1544 1714 24.65% 23.60% 51.76%-0.56 +1.6 12
2017-04-12 @ Tobol D 2-277.9 1714 1544 51.76% 23.60% 24.65%+0.56 -1.6 11
2017-04-12 Kaisar W 1-044.4 1569 1440 61.27% 22.39% 16.34%+1.04 +6.9 13
2017-04-12 @ Ordabasy L 0-144.4 1440 1569 16.34% 22.39% 61.27%-1.04 -6.9 11
2017-04-12 Okzhetpes D 1-161.4 1439 1484 40.93% 24.08% 34.99%+0.11 -0.4 6
2017-04-12 @ Akzhayik D 1-161.4 1484 1439 34.99% 24.08% 40.93%-0.11 +0.4 5
2017-04-12 Shakter Karagandy D 3-369.7 1460 1415 52.59% 23.52% 23.88%+0.60 -1.4 3
2017-04-12 @ Atyrau D 3-369.7 1415 1460 23.88% 23.52% 52.59%-0.60 +1.4 2
2017-04-12 Taraz W 5-249.1 1589 1480 59.34% 22.72% 17.94%+0.93 +15.0 14
2017-04-12 @ Irtysh L 2-549.1 1480 1589 17.94% 22.72% 59.34%-0.93 -15.0 5
2017-04-16 Akzhayik D 0-055.6 1465 1439 50.30% 23.71% 25.99%+0.49 -2.1 6
2017-04-16 @ Taraz D 0-055.6 1439 1465 25.99% 23.71% 50.30%-0.49 +2.1 7
2017-04-16 Astana L 0-346.2 1485 1662 23.81% 23.52% 52.67%-0.60 -26.3 5
2017-04-16 @ Okzhetpes W 3-046.2 1662 1485 52.67% 23.52% 23.81%+0.60 +26.3 16
2017-04-16 Irtysh D 1-165.7 1433 1604 24.60% 23.59% 51.81%-0.56 +2.1 12
2017-04-16 @ Kaisar D 1-165.7 1604 1433 51.81% 23.59% 24.60%+0.56 -2.1 15
2017-04-16 Ordabasy W 3-046.3 1713 1575 62.09% 22.24% 15.67%+1.09 +18.1 14
2017-04-16 @ Kairat L 0-346.3 1575 1713 15.67% 22.24% 62.09%-1.09 -18.1 13
2017-04-16 Tobol D 1-162.8 1416 1546 29.34% 23.91% 46.75%-0.34 +1.3 3
2017-04-16 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-162.8 1546 1416 46.75% 23.91% 29.34%+0.34 -1.3 13
2017-04-23 Kairat D 3-382.4 1602 1731 29.39% 23.91% 46.70%-0.34 +0.8 16
2017-04-23 @ Irtysh D 3-382.4 1731 1602 46.70% 23.91% 29.39%+0.34 -0.8 15
2017-04-23 Kaisar W 1-043.9 1441 1435 47.71% 23.86% 28.43%+0.38 +11.1 10
2017-04-23 @ Akzhayik L 0-143.9 1435 1441 28.43% 23.86% 47.71%-0.38 -11.1 12
2017-04-23 Taraz W 4-041.4 1689 1463 69.18% 20.48% 10.34%+1.56 +15.8 19
2017-04-23 @ Astana L 0-441.4 1463 1689 10.34% 20.48% 69.18%-1.56 -15.8 6
2017-04-23 Tobol L 1-264.1 1557 1545 48.60% 23.81% 27.59%+0.42 -16.1 13
2017-04-23 @ Ordabasy W 2-164.1 1545 1557 27.59% 23.81% 48.60%-0.42 +16.1 16
2017-04-29 Aktobe W 2-157.4 1458 1534 36.59% 24.10% 39.31%-0.05 +13.5 8
2017-04-29 @ Okzhetpes L 1-257.4 1534 1458 39.31% 24.10% 36.59%+0.05 -13.5 5
2017-04-29 Akzhayik W 4-146.2 1730 1452 72.70% 19.25% 8.05%+1.84 +7.8 18
2017-04-29 @ Kairat L 1-446.2 1452 1730 8.05% 19.25% 72.70%-1.84 -7.8 10
2017-04-29 Astana L 0-342.6 1424 1704 14.85% 22.04% 63.10%-1.15 -17.2 12
2017-04-29 @ Kaisar W 3-042.6 1704 1424 63.10% 22.04% 14.85%+1.15 +17.2 22
2017-04-29 Atyrau L 1-256.2 1448 1459 45.47% 23.97% 30.57%+0.29 -15.2 6
2017-04-29 @ Taraz W 2-156.2 1459 1448 30.57% 23.97% 45.47%-0.29 +15.2 6
2017-04-29 Irtysh D 0-064.4 1561 1602 41.36% 24.08% 34.56%+0.13 -0.6 17
2017-04-29 @ Tobol D 0-064.4 1602 1561 34.56% 24.08% 41.36%-0.13 +0.6 17
2017-04-29 Ordabasy L 1-253.4 1418 1541 30.10% 23.95% 45.96%-0.31 -11.0 3
2017-04-29 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-153.4 1541 1418 45.96% 23.95% 30.10%+0.31 +11.0 16
2017-05-02 Kairat D 1-173.5 1722 1738 44.83% 23.99% 31.18%+0.26 -1.0 23
2017-05-02 @ Astana D 1-173.5 1738 1722 31.18% 23.99% 44.83%-0.26 +1.0 19
2017-05-02 Kaisar W 1-041.8 1474 1407 55.05% 23.28% 21.66%+0.71 +8.9 9
2017-05-02 @ Atyrau L 0-141.8 1407 1474 21.66% 23.28% 55.05%-0.71 -8.9 12
2017-05-02 Ordabasy L 0-160.7 1603 1552 53.19% 23.47% 23.34%+0.62 -18.5 17
2017-05-02 @ Irtysh W 1-060.7 1552 1603 23.34% 23.47% 53.19%-0.62 +18.5 19
2017-05-02 Shakter Karagandy L 0-248.0 1472 1407 54.83% 23.31% 21.86%+0.70 -35.8 8
2017-05-02 @ Okzhetpes W 2-048.0 1407 1472 21.86% 23.31% 54.83%-0.70 +35.8 6
2017-05-02 Taraz D 1-162.7 1520 1432 57.25% 23.02% 19.73%+0.82 -3.0 6
2017-05-02 @ Aktobe D 1-162.7 1432 1520 19.73% 23.02% 57.25%-0.82 +3.0 7
2017-05-02 Tobol W 1-053.3 1444 1560 31.10% 23.99% 44.91%-0.27 +15.9 13
2017-05-02 @ Akzhayik L 0-153.3 1560 1444 44.91% 23.99% 31.10%+0.27 -16.0 17
2017-05-06 Aktobe W 3-261.5 1398 1517 30.70% 23.97% 45.32%-0.28 +14.4 15
2017-05-06 @ Kaisar L 2-361.5 1517 1398 45.32% 23.97% 30.70%+0.28 -14.4 6
2017-05-06 Akzhayik W 3-040.3 1571 1460 59.55% 22.69% 17.77%+0.94 +20.3 22
2017-05-06 @ Ordabasy L 0-340.3 1460 1571 17.77% 22.69% 59.55%-0.94 -20.3 13
2017-05-06 Astana D 1-171.9 1544 1721 23.95% 23.53% 52.52%-0.59 +2.2 18
2017-05-06 @ Tobol D 1-171.9 1721 1544 52.52% 23.53% 23.95%+0.59 -2.2 24
2017-05-06 Irtysh L 0-149.0 1442 1584 27.83% 23.83% 48.34%-0.41 -10.9 6
2017-05-06 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-049.0 1584 1442 48.34% 23.83% 27.83%+0.41 +10.9 20
2017-05-06 Kairat W 2-170.5 1483 1739 16.65% 22.46% 60.89%-1.02 +19.7 12
2017-05-06 @ Atyrau L 1-270.5 1739 1483 60.89% 22.46% 16.65%+1.02 -19.7 19
2017-05-06 Okzhetpes L 0-149.3 1435 1436 46.89% 23.90% 29.21%+0.35 -16.5 7
2017-05-06 @ Taraz W 1-049.3 1436 1435 29.21% 23.90% 46.89%-0.35 +16.5 11
2017-05-14 Akzhayik W 1-044.3 1431 1440 45.86% 23.95% 30.19%+0.31 +11.7 9
2017-05-14 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-144.3 1440 1431 30.19% 23.95% 45.86%-0.31 -11.7 13
2017-05-14 Irtysh W 2-048.9 1718 1595 60.76% 22.48% 16.75%+1.01 +13.3 27
2017-05-14 @ Astana L 0-248.9 1595 1718 16.75% 22.48% 60.76%-1.01 -13.3 20
2017-05-14 Kairat L 2-360.9 1453 1719 15.82% 22.28% 61.90%-1.08 -6.0 11
2017-05-14 @ Okzhetpes W 3-260.9 1719 1453 61.90% 22.28% 15.82%+1.08 +6.0 22
2017-05-14 Kaisar W 2-148.8 1419 1413 47.78% 23.86% 28.36%+0.39 +10.5 10
2017-05-14 @ Taraz L 1-248.8 1413 1419 28.36% 23.86% 47.78%-0.39 -10.5 15
2017-05-14 Ordabasy D 2-273.7 1503 1591 34.78% 24.08% 41.14%-0.12 +0.4 13
2017-05-14 @ Atyrau D 2-273.7 1591 1503 41.14% 24.08% 34.78%+0.12 -0.3 23
2017-05-14 Tobol L 1-356.4 1503 1546 41.06% 24.08% 34.85%+0.12 -24.2 6
2017-05-14 @ Aktobe W 3-156.4 1546 1503 34.85% 24.08% 41.06%-0.12 +24.2 21
2017-05-17 Atyrau W 1-048.7 1478 1503 43.69% 24.03% 32.29%+0.22 +12.3 9
2017-05-17 @ Aktobe L 0-148.7 1503 1478 32.29% 24.03% 43.69%-0.22 -12.3 13
2017-05-20 Aktobe W 2-154.1 1591 1491 58.51% 22.84% 18.65%+0.89 +7.3 26
2017-05-20 @ Ordabasy L 1-254.1 1491 1591 18.65% 22.84% 58.51%-0.89 -7.3 9
2017-05-20 Astana L 0-244.7 1428 1732 13.31% 21.60% 65.09%-1.27 -10.7 13
2017-05-20 @ Akzhayik W 2-044.7 1732 1428 65.09% 21.60% 13.31%+1.27 +10.7 30
2017-05-20 Atyrau D 1-167.1 1582 1491 57.62% 22.97% 19.41%+0.84 -3.0 21
2017-05-20 @ Irtysh D 1-167.1 1491 1582 19.41% 22.97% 57.62%-0.84 +3.1 14
2017-05-20 Okzhetpes W 5-143.0 1571 1447 60.86% 22.47% 16.67%+1.02 +20.9 24
2017-05-20 @ Tobol L 1-543.0 1447 1571 16.67% 22.47% 60.86%-1.02 -20.9 11
2017-05-20 Shakter Karagandy W 2-151.1 1402 1443 41.44% 24.08% 34.48%+0.13 +12.2 18
2017-05-20 @ Kaisar L 1-251.1 1443 1402 34.48% 24.08% 41.44%-0.13 -12.2 9
2017-05-20 Taraz W 4-040.1 1725 1429 73.81% 18.81% 7.39%+1.94 +11.1 25
2017-05-20 @ Kairat L 0-440.1 1429 1725 7.39% 18.81% 73.81%-1.94 -11.1 10
2017-05-27 Irtysh L 1-258.4 1483 1579 33.76% 24.06% 42.17%-0.16 -12.0 9
2017-05-27 @ Aktobe W 2-158.4 1579 1483 42.17% 24.06% 33.76%+0.16 +12.0 24
2017-05-27 Tobol W 1-055.6 1418 1592 24.27% 23.56% 52.17%-0.58 +18.1 13
2017-05-27 @ Taraz L 0-155.6 1592 1418 52.17% 23.56% 24.27%+0.58 -18.1 24
2017-05-28 Akzhayik W 2-038.8 1494 1418 56.05% 23.17% 20.79%+0.76 +16.1 17
2017-05-28 @ Atyrau L 0-238.8 1418 1494 20.79% 23.17% 56.05%-0.76 -16.1 13
2017-05-28 Kairat L 1-253.8 1414 1736 12.19% 21.23% 66.58%-1.37 -4.9 18
2017-05-28 @ Kaisar W 2-153.8 1736 1414 66.58% 21.23% 12.19%+1.37 +4.9 28
2017-05-28 Ordabasy L 1-254.0 1426 1598 24.38% 23.57% 52.04%-0.57 -9.2 11
2017-05-28 @ Okzhetpes W 2-154.0 1598 1426 52.04% 23.57% 24.38%+0.57 +9.2 29
2017-05-28 Shakter Karagandy W 4-145.4 1742 1431 74.72% 18.42% 6.86%+2.02 +6.6 33
2017-05-28 @ Astana L 1-445.4 1431 1742 6.86% 18.42% 74.72%-2.02 -6.6 9
2017-05-31 Astana W 3-052.7 1741 1749 45.96% 23.95% 30.10%+0.31 +31.9 31
2017-05-31 @ Kairat L 0-352.7 1749 1741 30.10% 23.95% 45.96%-0.31 -31.9 33
2017-05-31 Irtysh L 0-160.7 1607 1591 49.04% 23.79% 27.17%+0.44 -17.2 29
2017-05-31 @ Ordabasy W 1-060.7 1591 1607 27.17% 23.79% 49.04%-0.44 +17.2 27
2017-06-03 Atyrau W 4-043.6 1717 1510 67.84% 20.88% 11.27%+1.46 +17.2 36
2017-06-03 @ Astana L 0-443.6 1510 1717 11.27% 20.88% 67.84%-1.46 -17.2 17
2017-06-03 Kaisar D 0-059.0 1573 1409 64.43% 21.75% 13.82%+1.23 -4.7 25
2017-06-03 @ Tobol D 0-059.0 1409 1573 13.82% 21.75% 64.43%-1.23 +4.7 19
2017-06-03 Okzhetpes D 0-060.8 1608 1416 66.68% 21.20% 12.12%+1.38 -5.1 28
2017-06-03 @ Irtysh D 0-060.8 1416 1608 12.12% 21.20% 66.68%-1.38 +5.1 12
2017-06-03 Shakter Karagandy W 4-145.4 1773 1424 76.80% 17.47% 5.73%+2.22 +5.4 34
2017-06-03 @ Kairat L 1-445.4 1424 1773 5.73% 17.47% 76.80%-2.22 -5.4 9
2017-06-03 Taraz W 3-039.0 1590 1436 63.55% 21.95% 14.50%+1.18 +16.9 32
2017-06-03 @ Ordabasy L 0-339.0 1436 1590 14.50% 21.95% 63.55%-1.18 -16.8 13
2017-06-17 Atyrau W 2-044.6 1419 1493 36.77% 24.10% 39.13%-0.04 +26.9 12
2017-06-17 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-244.6 1493 1419 39.13% 24.10% 36.77%+0.04 -26.9 17
2017-06-17 Ordabasy L 0-147.0 1414 1607 22.24% 23.35% 54.41%-0.68 -9.1 19
2017-06-17 @ Kaisar W 1-047.0 1607 1414 54.41% 23.35% 22.24%+0.68 +9.1 35
2017-06-17 Tobol W 2-047.1 1778 1569 68.05% 20.82% 11.13%+1.48 +8.9 37
2017-06-17 @ Kairat L 0-247.1 1569 1778 11.13% 20.82% 68.05%-1.48 -9.0 25
2017-06-18 Akzhayik W 2-148.0 1422 1402 49.52% 23.76% 26.72%+0.46 +10.0 15
2017-06-18 @ Okzhetpes L 1-248.0 1402 1422 26.72% 23.76% 49.52%-0.46 -10.0 13
2017-06-18 Astana L 2-456.6 1471 1734 16.11% 22.34% 61.55%-1.06 -9.9 9
2017-06-18 @ Aktobe W 4-256.6 1734 1471 61.55% 22.34% 16.11%+1.06 +9.9 39
2017-06-18 Irtysh W 2-052.7 1420 1603 23.18% 23.45% 53.37%-0.63 +34.9 16
2017-06-18 @ Taraz L 0-252.7 1603 1420 53.37% 23.45% 23.18%+0.63 -34.9 28
2017-06-24 Kairat L 0-252.3 1616 1787 24.48% 23.58% 51.94%-0.57 -18.5 35
2017-06-24 @ Ordabasy W 2-052.3 1787 1616 51.94% 23.58% 24.48%+0.57 +18.6 40
2017-06-24 Kaisar W 1-042.2 1568 1405 64.37% 21.77% 13.87%+1.23 +5.9 31
2017-06-24 @ Irtysh L 0-142.2 1405 1568 13.87% 21.77% 64.37%-1.23 -5.9 19
2017-06-25 Aktobe W 2-041.9 1466 1461 47.55% 23.87% 28.58%+0.38 +21.1 20
2017-06-25 @ Atyrau L 0-241.9 1461 1466 28.58% 23.87% 47.55%-0.38 -21.1 9
2017-06-25 Okzhetpes W 3-040.4 1744 1432 74.79% 18.39% 6.82%+2.03 +7.8 42
2017-06-25 @ Astana L 0-340.4 1432 1744 6.82% 18.39% 74.79%-2.03 -7.8 15
2017-06-25 Shakter Karagandy L 1-263.7 1560 1446 59.90% 22.63% 17.47%+0.96 -19.4 25
2017-06-25 @ Tobol W 2-163.7 1446 1560 17.47% 22.63% 59.90%-0.96 +19.4 15
2017-06-25 Taraz D 2-265.1 1392 1454 38.35% 24.10% 37.54%+0.02 -0.0 14
2017-06-25 @ Akzhayik D 2-265.1 1454 1392 37.54% 24.10% 38.35%-0.02 +0.0 17
2017-06-28 Shakter Karagandy L 0-149.4 1440 1465 43.68% 24.03% 32.29%+0.22 -15.6 9
2017-06-28 @ Aktobe W 1-049.4 1465 1440 32.29% 24.03% 43.68%-0.22 +15.6 18
2017-07-01 Akzhayik D 0-052.5 1399 1391 47.96% 23.85% 28.19%+0.39 -1.7 20
2017-07-01 @ Kaisar D 0-052.5 1391 1399 28.19% 23.85% 47.96%-0.39 +1.7 15
2017-07-01 Astana L 0-149.6 1454 1752 13.69% 21.72% 64.60%-1.24 -5.8 17
2017-07-01 @ Taraz W 1-049.6 1752 1454 64.60% 21.72% 13.69%+1.24 +5.8 45
2017-07-01 Atyrau W 1-047.8 1424 1487 38.30% 24.10% 37.59%+0.01 +13.8 18
2017-07-01 @ Okzhetpes L 0-147.8 1487 1424 37.59% 24.10% 38.30%-0.01 -13.9 20
2017-07-02 Aktobe L 0-248.6 1481 1425 53.80% 23.41% 22.79%+0.65 -35.1 18
2017-07-02 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-048.6 1425 1481 22.79% 23.41% 53.80%-0.65 +35.2 12
2017-07-06 Kaisar W 2-040.9 1758 1397 77.41% 17.17% 5.42%+2.28 +4.2 48
2017-07-06 @ Astana L 0-240.9 1397 1758 5.42% 17.17% 77.41%-2.28 -4.2 20
2017-07-08 Okzhetpes W 3-038.4 1460 1438 49.81% 23.74% 26.45%+0.47 +28.7 15
2017-07-08 @ Aktobe L 0-338.4 1438 1460 26.45% 23.74% 49.81%-0.47 -28.7 18
2017-07-08 Taraz L 1-354.3 1473 1449 50.07% 23.72% 26.21%+0.48 -28.6 20
2017-07-08 @ Atyrau W 3-154.3 1449 1473 26.21% 23.72% 50.07%-0.48 +28.6 20
2017-07-09 Kairat L 0-147.0 1393 1806 7.91% 19.16% 72.92%-1.86 -3.3 15
2017-07-09 @ Akzhayik W 1-047.0 1806 1393 72.92% 19.16% 7.91%+1.86 +3.3 43
2017-07-09 Shakter Karagandy W 1-045.1 1597 1446 63.38% 21.98% 14.64%+1.17 +6.2 38
2017-07-09 @ Ordabasy L 0-145.1 1446 1597 14.64% 21.98% 63.38%-1.17 -6.2 18
2017-07-10 Tobol L 0-159.0 1574 1540 51.20% 23.64% 25.16%+0.53 -17.8 31
2017-07-10 @ Irtysh W 1-059.0 1540 1574 25.16% 23.64% 51.20%-0.53 +17.8 28
2017-07-15 Aktobe D 1-162.9 1477 1489 45.47% 23.97% 30.57%+0.29 -1.1 21
2017-07-15 @ Taraz D 1-162.9 1489 1477 30.57% 23.97% 45.47%-0.29 +1.1 16
2017-07-15 Akzhayik W 2-037.5 1558 1390 64.80% 21.67% 13.53%+1.25 +10.9 31
2017-07-15 @ Tobol L 0-237.5 1390 1558 13.53% 21.67% 64.80%-1.25 -10.9 15
2017-07-15 Atyrau W 2-041.4 1393 1445 40.01% 24.10% 35.90%+0.08 +25.2 23
2017-07-15 @ Kaisar L 0-241.4 1445 1393 35.90% 24.10% 40.01%-0.08 -25.2 20
2017-07-15 Okzhetpes W 1-042.1 1439 1409 50.81% 23.67% 25.52%+0.52 +10.2 21
2017-07-15 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-142.1 1409 1439 25.52% 23.67% 50.81%-0.52 -10.2 18
2017-07-22 Kaisar D 1-161.1 1490 1418 55.51% 23.23% 21.26%+0.73 -2.7 17
2017-07-22 @ Aktobe D 1-161.1 1418 1490 21.26% 23.23% 55.51%-0.73 +2.7 24
2017-07-22 Ordabasy L 1-250.7 1379 1604 19.23% 22.94% 57.83%-0.85 -7.5 15
2017-07-22 @ Akzhayik W 2-150.7 1604 1379 57.83% 22.94% 19.23%+0.85 +7.5 41
2017-07-22 Taraz L 0-146.2 1399 1476 36.28% 24.10% 39.62%-0.06 -13.5 18
2017-07-22 @ Okzhetpes W 1-046.2 1476 1399 39.62% 24.10% 36.28%+0.06 +13.5 24
2017-07-22 Tobol W 2-047.3 1762 1569 66.76% 21.18% 12.06%+1.39 +9.7 51
2017-07-22 @ Astana L 0-247.3 1569 1762 12.06% 21.18% 66.76%-1.39 -9.7 31
2017-07-23 Atyrau D 1-173.4 1809 1419 78.90% 16.40% 4.70%+2.44 -6.2 44
2017-07-23 @ Kairat D 1-173.4 1419 1809 4.70% 16.40% 78.90%-2.44 +6.2 21
2017-07-23 Shakter Karagandy L 1-263.5 1556 1450 59.19% 22.74% 18.07%+0.92 -19.2 31
2017-07-23 @ Irtysh W 2-163.5 1450 1556 18.07% 22.74% 59.19%-0.92 +19.2 24
2017-07-26 Aktobe D 2-265.5 1371 1487 31.11% 23.99% 44.90%-0.27 +0.8 16
2017-07-26 @ Akzhayik D 2-265.5 1487 1371 44.90% 23.99% 31.11%+0.27 -0.8 18
2017-07-26 Okzhetpes W 2-147.0 1426 1385 51.98% 23.58% 24.44%+0.57 +9.3 24
2017-07-26 @ Atyrau L 1-247.0 1385 1426 24.44% 23.58% 51.98%-0.57 -9.3 18
2017-07-29 Taraz L 0-151.4 1469 1490 44.23% 24.01% 31.76%+0.24 -15.7 24
2017-07-29 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-051.4 1490 1469 31.76% 24.01% 44.23%-0.24 +15.8 27
2017-07-29 Tobol W 1-053.3 1435 1559 29.98% 23.94% 46.08%-0.32 +16.3 27
2017-07-29 @ Atyrau L 0-153.3 1559 1435 46.08% 23.94% 29.98%+0.32 -16.3 31
2017-07-30 Irtysh L 0-143.9 1372 1537 25.19% 23.64% 51.16%-0.53 -10.1 16
2017-07-30 @ Akzhayik W 1-043.9 1537 1372 51.16% 23.64% 25.19%+0.53 +10.1 34
2017-07-30 Kairat L 1-256.8 1486 1803 12.50% 21.34% 66.17%-1.34 -5.0 18
2017-07-30 @ Aktobe W 2-156.8 1803 1486 66.17% 21.34% 12.50%+1.34 +5.0 47
2017-07-30 Kaisar W 3-146.3 1376 1421 40.86% 24.09% 35.06%+0.11 +21.4 21
2017-07-30 @ Okzhetpes L 1-346.3 1421 1376 35.06% 24.09% 40.86%-0.11 -21.4 24
2017-08-07 Ordabasy W 1-052.2 1772 1611 64.13% 21.82% 14.05%+1.21 +6.0 54
2017-08-07 @ Astana L 0-152.2 1611 1772 14.05% 21.82% 64.13%-1.21 -6.0 41
2017-08-11 Astana L 0-345.2 1481 1778 13.77% 21.74% 64.50%-1.24 -16.0 18
2017-08-11 @ Aktobe W 3-045.2 1778 1481 64.50% 21.74% 13.77%+1.24 +16.0 57
2017-08-12 Ordabasy W 2-162.9 1453 1605 26.64% 23.75% 49.60%-0.46 +16.4 27
2017-08-12 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-262.9 1605 1453 49.60% 23.75% 26.64%+0.46 -16.4 41
2017-08-12 Tobol W 1-052.1 1400 1543 27.68% 23.82% 48.50%-0.42 +17.0 27
2017-08-12 @ Kaisar L 0-152.1 1543 1400 48.50% 23.82% 27.68%+0.42 -17.0 31
2017-08-13 Akzhayik L 0-153.3 1505 1362 62.62% 22.14% 15.24%+1.12 -21.5 27
2017-08-13 @ Taraz W 1-053.3 1362 1505 15.24% 22.14% 62.62%-1.12 +21.5 19
2017-08-13 Irtysh D 0-058.9 1451 1547 33.70% 24.06% 42.24%-0.16 +0.7 28
2017-08-13 @ Atyrau D 0-058.9 1547 1451 42.24% 24.06% 33.70%+0.16 -0.7 35
2017-08-13 Kairat L 0-147.1 1397 1808 7.99% 19.22% 72.79%-1.85 -3.4 21
2017-08-13 @ Okzhetpes W 1-047.1 1808 1397 72.79% 19.22% 7.99%+1.85 +3.4 50
2017-08-19 Aktobe D 2-265.2 1384 1465 35.68% 24.09% 40.23%-0.09 +0.2 20
2017-08-19 @ Akzhayik D 2-265.2 1465 1384 40.23% 24.09% 35.68%+0.09 -0.2 19
2017-08-20 Atyrau W 2-041.7 1589 1452 62.07% 22.25% 15.69%+1.09 +12.5 44
2017-08-20 @ Ordabasy L 0-241.7 1452 1589 15.69% 22.25% 62.07%-1.09 -12.5 28
2017-08-20 Kaisar D 0-058.1 1546 1417 61.40% 22.37% 16.23%+1.05 -4.1 36
2017-08-20 @ Irtysh D 0-058.1 1417 1546 16.23% 22.37% 61.40%-1.05 +4.1 28
2017-08-20 Shakter Karagandy W 3-149.9 1811 1469 76.44% 17.64% 5.92%+2.18 +4.0 53
2017-08-20 @ Kairat L 1-349.9 1469 1811 5.92% 17.64% 76.44%-2.18 -4.0 27
2017-08-20 Taraz D 1-164.7 1526 1484 52.20% 23.56% 24.24%+0.58 -2.2 32
2017-08-20 @ Tobol D 1-164.7 1484 1526 24.24% 23.56% 52.20%-0.58 +2.2 28
2017-08-26 Aktobe L 0-242.4 1394 1465 37.18% 24.10% 38.71%-0.03 -25.9 21
2017-08-26 @ Okzhetpes W 2-042.4 1465 1394 38.71% 24.10% 37.18%+0.03 +25.9 22
2017-08-26 Akzhayik W 2-036.8 1524 1384 62.34% 22.19% 15.46%+1.10 +12.3 35
2017-08-26 @ Tobol L 0-236.8 1384 1524 15.46% 22.19% 62.34%-1.10 -12.3 20
2017-08-26 Irtysh D 1-165.2 1486 1542 39.29% 24.10% 36.61%+0.05 -0.2 29
2017-08-26 @ Taraz D 1-165.2 1542 1486 36.61% 24.10% 39.29%-0.05 +0.2 37
2017-08-26 Kairat L 0-148.8 1439 1815 9.43% 20.04% 70.54%-1.66 -4.0 28
2017-08-26 @ Atyrau W 1-048.8 1815 1439 70.54% 20.04% 9.43%+1.66 +4.0 56
2017-08-26 Ordabasy D 1-165.1 1421 1601 23.51% 23.49% 53.00%-0.61 +2.3 29
2017-08-26 @ Kaisar D 1-165.1 1601 1421 53.00% 23.49% 23.51%+0.61 -2.3 45
2017-09-09 Atyrau W 7-043.0 1794 1435 77.30% 17.22% 5.48%+2.27 +13.5 60
2017-09-09 @ Astana L 0-743.0 1435 1794 5.48% 17.22% 77.30%-2.27 -13.5 28
2017-09-09 Okzhetpes W 2-037.1 1372 1368 47.42% 23.88% 28.70%+0.37 +21.1 23
2017-09-09 @ Akzhayik L 0-237.1 1368 1372 28.70% 23.88% 47.42%-0.37 -21.1 21
2017-09-10 Kaisar W 3-148.5 1819 1423 79.21% 16.23% 4.56%+2.48 +3.0 59
2017-09-10 @ Kairat L 1-348.5 1423 1819 4.56% 16.23% 79.21%-2.48 -3.0 29
2017-09-10 Shakter Karagandy W 2-042.2 1491 1465 50.20% 23.71% 26.09%+0.49 +19.6 25
2017-09-10 @ Aktobe L 0-242.2 1465 1491 26.09% 23.71% 50.20%-0.49 -19.5 27
2017-09-10 Taraz W 1-047.6 1599 1486 59.82% 22.64% 17.53%+0.96 +7.3 48
2017-09-10 @ Ordabasy L 0-147.6 1486 1599 17.53% 22.64% 59.82%-0.96 -7.3 29
2017-09-10 Tobol L 1-263.1 1543 1536 47.80% 23.86% 28.35%+0.39 -15.8 37
2017-09-10 @ Irtysh W 2-163.1 1536 1543 28.35% 23.86% 47.80%-0.39 +15.8 38
2017-09-16 Aktobe D 2-267.8 1422 1511 34.70% 24.08% 41.22%-0.12 +0.3 29
2017-09-16 @ Atyrau D 2-267.8 1511 1422 41.22% 24.08% 34.70%+0.12 -0.4 26
2017-09-16 Akzhayik L 0-154.8 1527 1393 61.80% 22.30% 15.90%+1.07 -21.2 37
2017-09-16 @ Irtysh W 1-054.8 1393 1527 15.90% 22.30% 61.80%-1.07 +21.2 26
2017-09-16 Kairat L 1-548.2 1478 1822 10.98% 20.76% 68.25%-1.49 -14.0 29
2017-09-16 @ Taraz W 5-148.2 1822 1478 68.25% 20.76% 10.98%+1.49 +14.0 62
2017-09-16 Ordabasy D 0-064.3 1552 1606 39.58% 24.10% 36.32%+0.06 -0.3 39
2017-09-16 @ Tobol D 0-064.3 1606 1552 36.32% 24.10% 39.58%-0.06 +0.3 49
2017-09-17 Okzhetpes W 2-144.7 1446 1347 58.41% 22.86% 18.73%+0.88 +7.3 30
2017-09-17 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-244.7 1347 1446 18.73% 22.86% 58.41%-0.88 -7.3 21
2017-09-18 Astana L 1-447.7 1420 1807 8.95% 19.78% 71.27%-1.72 -8.8 29
2017-09-18 @ Kaisar W 4-147.7 1807 1420 71.27% 19.78% 8.95%+1.72 +8.8 63
2017-09-20 Atyrau W 1-043.3 1414 1422 45.90% 23.95% 30.16%+0.31 +11.7 29
2017-09-20 @ Akzhayik L 0-143.3 1422 1414 30.16% 23.95% 45.90%-0.31 -11.7 29
2017-09-20 Ordabasy W 5-149.1 1836 1607 69.50% 20.38% 10.12%+1.58 +12.9 65
2017-09-20 @ Kairat L 1-549.1 1607 1836 10.12% 20.38% 69.50%-1.58 -12.8 49
2017-09-20 Tobol W 1-052.4 1510 1552 41.36% 24.08% 34.56%+0.13 +13.0 29
2017-09-20 @ Aktobe L 0-152.4 1552 1510 34.56% 24.08% 41.36%-0.13 -13.0 39
2017-09-23 Taraz W 2-043.6 1816 1465 76.94% 17.40% 5.66%+2.23 +4.4 66
2017-09-23 @ Astana L 0-243.6 1465 1816 5.66% 17.40% 76.94%-2.23 -4.4 29
2017-09-24 Atyrau L 1-249.8 1340 1410 37.21% 24.10% 38.68%-0.03 -13.0 21
2017-09-24 @ Okzhetpes W 2-149.8 1410 1340 38.68% 24.10% 37.21%+0.03 +13.0 32
2017-09-24 Irtysh L 1-266.4 1594 1506 57.31% 23.01% 19.68%+0.82 -18.6 49
2017-09-24 @ Ordabasy W 2-166.4 1506 1594 19.68% 23.01% 57.31%-0.82 +18.6 40
2017-09-24 Kaisar L 0-154.8 1523 1411 59.68% 22.66% 17.65%+0.95 -20.5 29
2017-09-24 @ Aktobe W 1-054.8 1411 1523 17.65% 22.66% 59.68%-0.95 +20.5 32
2017-09-24 Shakter Karagandy L 1-254.7 1426 1453 43.28% 24.04% 32.68%+0.20 -14.6 29
2017-09-24 @ Akzhayik W 2-154.7 1453 1426 32.68% 24.04% 43.28%-0.20 +14.6 33
2017-09-24 Tobol W 2-045.4 1849 1539 74.67% 18.45% 6.89%+2.02 +5.4 68
2017-09-24 @ Kairat L 0-245.4 1539 1849 6.89% 18.45% 74.67%-2.02 -5.4 39
2017-09-30 Akzhayik W 3-253.9 1575 1411 64.45% 21.75% 13.80%+1.23 +5.2 52
2017-09-30 @ Ordabasy L 2-353.9 1411 1575 13.80% 21.75% 64.45%-1.23 -5.2 29
2017-09-30 Kairat D 1-173.9 1524 1855 11.71% 21.05% 67.24%-1.42 +4.6 41
2017-09-30 @ Irtysh D 1-173.9 1855 1524 67.24% 21.05% 11.71%+1.42 -4.6 69
2017-09-30 Okzhetpes W 2-143.8 1432 1327 59.05% 22.76% 18.19%+0.92 +7.2 35
2017-09-30 @ Kaisar L 1-243.8 1327 1432 18.19% 22.76% 59.05%-0.92 -7.2 21
2017-09-30 Shakter Karagandy W 3-148.9 1423 1468 40.97% 24.08% 34.94%+0.11 +21.4 35
2017-09-30 @ Atyrau L 1-348.9 1468 1423 34.94% 24.08% 40.97%-0.11 -21.4 33
2017-10-01 Aktobe W 1-048.7 1460 1503 41.24% 24.08% 34.68%+0.12 +13.0 32
2017-10-01 @ Taraz L 0-148.7 1503 1460 34.68% 24.08% 41.24%-0.12 -13.0 29
2017-10-01 Astana D 1-173.5 1533 1820 14.38% 21.92% 63.70%-1.19 +4.0 40
2017-10-01 @ Tobol D 1-173.5 1820 1533 63.70% 21.92% 14.38%+1.19 -4.0 67
2017-10-11 Astana L 0-149.0 1446 1816 9.71% 20.18% 70.10%-1.63 -4.1 33
2017-10-11 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-049.0 1816 1446 70.10% 20.18% 9.71%+1.63 +4.1 70
2017-10-15 Irtysh W 2-155.3 1820 1529 73.55% 18.91% 7.54%+1.91 +3.0 73
2017-10-15 @ Astana L 1-255.3 1529 1820 7.54% 18.91% 73.55%-1.91 -3.0 41
2017-10-15 Kaisar W 2-150.3 1442 1439 47.39% 23.88% 28.73%+0.37 +10.6 36
2017-10-15 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-250.3 1439 1442 28.73% 23.88% 47.39%-0.37 -10.6 35
2017-10-15 Taraz W 2-154.3 1320 1473 26.46% 23.74% 49.80%-0.47 +16.4 24
2017-10-15 @ Okzhetpes L 1-254.3 1473 1320 49.80% 23.74% 26.46%+0.47 -16.4 32
2017-10-21 Aktobe D 1-164.9 1526 1490 51.49% 23.62% 24.89%+0.55 -2.0 42
2017-10-21 @ Irtysh D 1-164.9 1490 1526 24.89% 23.62% 51.49%-0.55 +2.1 30
2017-10-21 Akzhayik W 2-151.7 1850 1406 81.41% 14.98% 3.61%+2.73 +1.3 72
2017-10-21 @ Kairat L 1-251.7 1406 1850 3.61% 14.98% 81.41%-2.73 -1.3 29
2017-10-21 Shakter Karagandy L 2-361.9 1457 1453 47.48% 23.88% 28.65%+0.37 -14.9 32
2017-10-21 @ Taraz W 3-261.9 1453 1457 28.65% 23.88% 47.48%-0.37 +14.9 39
2017-10-22 Astana W 2-172.5 1580 1823 17.67% 22.67% 59.66%-0.95 +19.3 55
2017-10-22 @ Ordabasy L 1-272.5 1823 1580 59.66% 22.67% 17.67%+0.95 -19.3 73
2017-10-22 Atyrau W 4-144.2 1429 1445 44.83% 23.99% 31.18%+0.26 +27.7 38
2017-10-22 @ Kaisar L 1-444.2 1445 1429 31.18% 23.99% 44.83%-0.26 -27.7 35
2017-10-22 Okzhetpes W 4-137.5 1537 1336 67.44% 21.00% 11.57%+1.43 +11.4 43
2017-10-22 @ Tobol L 1-437.5 1336 1537 11.57% 21.00% 67.44%-1.43 -11.4 24
2017-10-25 Okzhetpes W 4-036.7 1804 1325 82.89% 14.08% 3.04%+2.92 +4.1 76
2017-10-25 @ Astana L 0-436.7 1325 1804 3.04% 14.08% 82.89%-2.92 -4.1 24
2017-10-28 Irtysh L 1-246.8 1320 1524 21.20% 23.22% 55.58%-0.74 -8.2 24
2017-10-28 @ Okzhetpes W 2-146.8 1524 1320 55.58% 23.22% 21.20%+0.74 +8.2 45
2017-10-28 Kairat L 0-258.3 1808 1851 41.15% 24.08% 34.77%+0.12 -28.0 76
2017-10-28 @ Astana W 2-058.3 1851 1808 34.77% 24.08% 41.15%-0.12 +28.0 75
2017-10-28 Kaisar D 0-054.2 1404 1456 39.93% 24.10% 35.97%+0.07 -0.3 30
2017-10-28 @ Akzhayik D 0-054.2 1456 1404 35.97% 24.10% 39.93%-0.07 +0.3 39
2017-10-28 Ordabasy W 2-052.5 1492 1600 32.10% 24.02% 43.88%-0.23 +29.5 33
2017-10-28 @ Aktobe L 0-252.5 1600 1492 43.88% 24.02% 32.10%+0.23 -29.5 55
2017-10-28 Taraz W 3-255.8 1417 1442 43.70% 24.03% 32.28%+0.22 +11.0 38
2017-10-28 @ Atyrau L 2-355.8 1442 1417 32.28% 24.03% 43.70%-0.22 -11.0 32
2017-10-28 Tobol D 1-164.8 1468 1549 35.78% 24.09% 40.13%-0.08 +0.3 40
2017-10-28 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-164.8 1549 1468 40.13% 24.09% 35.78%+0.08 -0.3 44
2017-11-05 Aktobe W 3-259.7 1879 1521 77.30% 17.22% 5.48%+2.27 +2.0 78
2017-11-05 @ Kairat L 2-359.7 1521 1879 5.48% 17.22% 77.30%-2.27 -2.0 33
2017-11-05 Akzhayik W 2-041.4 1780 1404 78.22% 16.76% 5.03%+2.37 +3.8 79
2017-11-05 @ Astana L 0-241.4 1404 1780 5.03% 16.76% 78.22%-2.37 -3.8 30
2017-11-05 Atyrau W 2-039.8 1549 1428 60.52% 22.53% 16.96%+1.00 +13.4 47
2017-11-05 @ Tobol L 0-239.8 1428 1549 16.96% 22.53% 60.52%-1.00 -13.4 38
2017-11-05 Kaisar L 0-148.8 1431 1457 43.56% 24.03% 32.41%+0.21 -15.5 32
2017-11-05 @ Taraz W 1-048.8 1457 1431 32.41% 24.03% 43.56%-0.21 +15.5 42
2017-11-05 Okzhetpes W 3-248.2 1570 1312 71.43% 19.72% 8.84%+1.74 +3.3 58
2017-11-05 @ Ordabasy L 2-348.2 1312 1570 8.84% 19.72% 71.43%-1.74 -3.4 24
2017-11-05 Shakter Karagandy W 1-046.1 1532 1468 54.68% 23.32% 22.00%+0.69 +9.0 48
2017-11-05 @ Irtysh L 0-146.1 1468 1532 22.00% 23.32% 54.68%-0.69 -9.0 40

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-08-13 15.24% Akzhayik 1362 1 @ Taraz 1505 0
2 2017-09-16 15.90% Akzhayik 1393 1 @ Irtysh 1527 0
3 2017-05-06 16.65% @ Atyrau 1483 2 Kairat 1739 1
4 2017-06-25 17.47% Shakter Karagandy 1446 2 @ Tobol 1560 1
5 2017-09-24 17.65% Kaisar 1411 1 @ Aktobe 1523 0
6 2017-10-22 17.67% @ Ordabasy 1580 2 Astana 1823 1
7 2017-07-23 18.07% Shakter Karagandy 1450 2 @ Irtysh 1556 1
8 2017-09-24 19.68% Irtysh 1506 2 @ Ordabasy 1594 1
9 2017-05-02 21.86% Shakter Karagandy 1407 2 @ Okzhetpes 1472 0
10 2017-03-31 22.53% Aktobe 1529 3 @ Irtysh 1588 1
11 2017-07-02 22.79% Aktobe 1425 2 @ Shakter Karagandy 1481 0
12 2017-06-18 23.18% @ Taraz 1420 2 Irtysh 1603 0
13 2017-05-02 23.34% Ordabasy 1552 1 @ Irtysh 1603 0
14 2017-05-27 24.27% @ Taraz 1418 1 Tobol 1592 0
15 2017-03-18 24.31% Kaisar 1416 1 @ Shakter Karagandy 1457 0
16 2017-07-10 25.16% Tobol 1540 1 @ Irtysh 1574 0
17 2017-07-08 26.21% Taraz 1449 3 @ Atyrau 1473 1
18 2017-10-15 26.46% @ Okzhetpes 1320 2 Taraz 1473 1
19 2017-08-12 26.64% @ Shakter Karagandy 1453 2 Ordabasy 1605 1
20 2017-05-31 27.17% Irtysh 1591 1 @ Ordabasy 1607 0
21 2017-04-23 27.59% Tobol 1545 2 @ Ordabasy 1557 1
22 2017-08-12 27.68% @ Kaisar 1400 1 Tobol 1543 0
23 2017-09-10 28.35% Tobol 1536 2 @ Irtysh 1543 1
24 2017-03-08 28.61% @ Kaisar 1385 1 Okzhetpes 1521 0
25 2017-10-21 28.65% Shakter Karagandy 1453 3 @ Taraz 1457 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-03-08 44.29 @ Ordabasy 3 1533 30.36% Astana 0 1654 45.68% 23.96%
2 2017-05-02 35.77 Shakter Karagandy 2 1407 21.86% @ Okzhetpes 0 1472 54.83% 23.31%
3 2017-07-02 35.15 Aktobe 2 1425 22.79% @ Shakter Karagandy 0 1481 53.80% 23.41%
4 2017-06-18 34.91 @ Taraz 2 1420 23.18% Irtysh 0 1603 53.37% 23.45%
5 2017-03-08 31.98 @ Tobol 3 1503 45.86% Atyrau 0 1512 30.19% 23.95%
6 2017-05-31 31.90 @ Kairat 3 1741 45.96% Astana 0 1749 30.10% 23.95%
7 2017-03-31 30.60 Aktobe 3 1529 22.53% @ Irtysh 1 1588 54.08% 23.38%
8 2017-10-28 29.49 @ Aktobe 2 1492 32.10% Ordabasy 0 1600 43.88% 24.02%
9 2017-07-08 28.72 @ Aktobe 3 1460 49.81% Okzhetpes 0 1438 26.45% 23.74%
10 2017-07-08 28.57 Taraz 3 1449 26.21% @ Atyrau 1 1473 50.07% 23.72%
11 2017-10-28 28.01 Kairat 2 1851 34.77% @ Astana 0 1808 41.15% 24.08%
12 2017-10-22 27.67 @ Kaisar 4 1429 44.83% Atyrau 1 1445 31.18% 23.99%
13 2017-04-08 27.54 Irtysh 2 1561 35.63% @ Okzhetpes 0 1512 40.28% 24.09%
14 2017-06-17 26.93 @ Shakter Karagandy 2 1419 36.77% Atyrau 0 1493 39.13% 24.10%
15 2017-04-16 26.31 Astana 3 1662 52.67% @ Okzhetpes 0 1485 23.81% 23.52%
16 2017-08-26 25.90 Aktobe 2 1465 38.71% @ Okzhetpes 0 1394 37.18% 24.10%
17 2017-07-15 25.22 @ Kaisar 2 1393 40.01% Atyrau 0 1445 35.90% 24.10%
18 2017-05-14 24.22 Tobol 3 1546 34.85% @ Aktobe 1 1503 41.06% 24.08%
19 2017-04-12 22.76 @ Astana 3 1639 56.78% Aktobe 0 1556 20.14% 23.08%
20 2017-03-12 22.12 @ Akzhayik 3 1424 39.40% Shakter Karagandy 1 1479 36.50% 24.10%
21 2017-08-13 21.46 Akzhayik 1 1362 15.24% @ Taraz 0 1505 62.62% 22.14%
22 2017-07-30 21.44 @ Okzhetpes 3 1376 40.86% Kaisar 1 1421 35.06% 24.09%
23 2017-09-30 21.39 @ Atyrau 3 1423 40.97% Shakter Karagandy 1 1468 34.94% 24.08%
24 2017-09-16 21.19 Akzhayik 1 1393 15.90% @ Irtysh 0 1527 61.80% 22.30%
25 2017-09-09 21.14 @ Akzhayik 2 1372 47.42% Okzhetpes 0 1368 28.70% 23.88%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-04-23 82.4 @ Irtysh 3 1602 29.39% Kairat 3 1731 46.70% 23.91%
2 2017-03-12 78.1 @ Kairat 2 1716 68.19% Okzhetpes 2 1504 11.03% 20.78%
3 2017-04-12 77.9 @ Tobol 2 1544 24.65% Kairat 2 1714 51.76% 23.60%
4 2017-09-30 73.9 @ Irtysh 1 1524 11.71% Kairat 1 1855 67.24% 21.05%
5 2017-05-14 73.7 @ Atyrau 2 1503 34.78% Ordabasy 2 1591 41.14% 24.08%
6 2017-05-02 73.5 @ Astana 1 1722 44.83% Kairat 1 1738 31.18% 23.99%
7 2017-10-01 73.5 @ Tobol 1 1533 14.38% Astana 1 1820 63.70% 21.92%
8 2017-07-23 73.4 @ Kairat 1 1809 78.90% Atyrau 1 1419 4.70% 16.40%
9 2017-10-22 72.5 @ Ordabasy 2 1580 17.67% Astana 1 1823 59.66% 22.67%
10 2017-04-04 72.2 @ Kairat 1 1703 62.84% Irtysh 1 1557 15.06% 22.09%
11 2017-05-06 71.9 @ Tobol 1 1544 23.95% Astana 1 1721 52.52% 23.53%
12 2017-05-06 70.5 @ Atyrau 2 1483 16.65% Kairat 1 1739 60.89% 22.46%
13 2017-03-31 70.4 @ Kairat 1 1708 72.49% Kaisar 1 1434 8.18% 19.33%
14 2017-03-12 70.2 @ Irtysh 1 1576 42.35% Astana 1 1610 33.59% 24.06%
15 2017-04-12 69.7 @ Atyrau 3 1460 52.59% Shakter Karagandy 3 1415 23.88% 23.52%
16 2017-09-16 67.8 @ Atyrau 2 1422 34.70% Aktobe 2 1511 41.22% 24.08%
17 2017-05-20 67.1 @ Irtysh 1 1582 57.62% Atyrau 1 1491 19.41% 22.97%
18 2017-04-01 66.9 @ Akzhayik 2 1436 42.43% Atyrau 2 1470 33.51% 24.06%
19 2017-03-12 66.6 @ Ordabasy 1 1577 58.22% Atyrau 1 1480 18.89% 22.88%
20 2017-09-24 66.4 Irtysh 2 1506 19.68% @ Ordabasy 1 1594 57.31% 23.01%
21 2017-04-16 65.7 @ Kaisar 1 1433 24.60% Irtysh 1 1604 51.81% 23.59%
22 2017-07-26 65.5 @ Akzhayik 2 1371 31.11% Aktobe 2 1487 44.90% 23.99%
23 2017-03-17 65.3 @ Taraz 0 1471 17.83% Kairat 0 1712 59.47% 22.70%
24 2017-08-19 65.2 @ Akzhayik 2 1384 35.68% Aktobe 2 1465 40.23% 24.09%
25 2017-08-26 65.2 @ Taraz 1 1486 39.29% Irtysh 1 1542 36.61% 24.10%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-10-25 36.7 @ Astana 4 1804 82.89% Okzhetpes 0 1325 3.04% 14.08%
2 2017-08-26 36.8 @ Tobol 2 1524 62.34% Akzhayik 0 1384 15.46% 22.19%
3 2017-09-09 37.1 @ Akzhayik 2 1372 47.42% Okzhetpes 0 1368 28.70% 23.88%
4 2017-07-15 37.5 @ Tobol 2 1558 64.80% Akzhayik 0 1390 13.53% 21.67%
5 2017-10-22 37.5 @ Tobol 4 1537 67.44% Okzhetpes 1 1336 11.57% 21.00%
6 2017-07-08 38.4 @ Aktobe 3 1460 49.81% Okzhetpes 0 1438 26.45% 23.74%
7 2017-05-28 38.8 @ Atyrau 2 1494 56.05% Akzhayik 0 1418 20.79% 23.17%
8 2017-06-03 39.0 @ Ordabasy 3 1590 63.55% Taraz 0 1436 14.50% 21.95%
9 2017-11-05 39.8 @ Tobol 2 1549 60.52% Atyrau 0 1428 16.96% 22.53%
10 2017-05-20 40.1 @ Kairat 4 1725 73.81% Taraz 0 1429 7.39% 18.81%
11 2017-05-06 40.3 @ Ordabasy 3 1571 59.55% Akzhayik 0 1460 17.77% 22.69%
12 2017-06-25 40.4 @ Astana 3 1744 74.79% Okzhetpes 0 1432 6.82% 18.39%
13 2017-07-06 40.9 @ Astana 2 1758 77.41% Kaisar 0 1397 5.42% 17.17%
14 2017-04-23 41.4 @ Astana 4 1689 69.18% Taraz 0 1463 10.34% 20.48%
15 2017-07-15 41.4 @ Kaisar 2 1393 40.01% Atyrau 0 1445 35.90% 24.10%
16 2017-11-05 41.4 @ Astana 2 1780 78.22% Akzhayik 0 1404 5.03% 16.76%
17 2017-08-20 41.7 @ Ordabasy 2 1589 62.07% Atyrau 0 1452 15.69% 22.25%
18 2017-05-02 41.8 @ Atyrau 1 1474 55.05% Kaisar 0 1407 21.66% 23.28%
19 2017-06-25 41.9 @ Atyrau 2 1466 47.55% Aktobe 0 1461 28.58% 23.87%
20 2017-07-15 42.1 @ Shakter Karagandy 1 1439 50.81% Okzhetpes 0 1409 25.52% 23.67%
21 2017-06-24 42.2 @ Irtysh 1 1568 64.37% Kaisar 0 1405 13.87% 21.77%
22 2017-09-10 42.2 @ Aktobe 2 1491 50.20% Shakter Karagandy 0 1465 26.09% 23.71%
23 2017-08-26 42.4 Aktobe 2 1465 38.71% @ Okzhetpes 0 1394 37.18% 24.10%
24 2017-04-29 42.6 Astana 3 1704 63.10% @ Kaisar 0 1424 14.85% 22.04%
25 2017-05-20 43.0 @ Tobol 5 1571 60.86% Okzhetpes 1 1447 16.67% 22.47%