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2018 Kazakhstan Premier League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Astana

77 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kyzylzhar

16.51 points above expected

35 points · 18.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kairat

9.79 points below expected

62 points · 71.79 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Astana 33 24 5 4 77 66 22 +44 71.18 +5.82
2 Kairat 33 19 5 9 62 60 33 +27 71.79 -9.79
3 Tobol 33 15 8 10 53 36 30 +6 50.39 +2.61
4 Ordabasy 33 13 7 13 46 38 44 -6 47.89 -1.89
5 Kaisar 33 11 12 10 45 35 31 +4 44.76 +0.24
6 Zhetysu 33 11 10 12 43 36 40 -4 39.06 +3.94
7 Aktobe* 33 13 9 11 42 51 47 +4 42.67 -0.67
8 Shakter Karagandy 33 8 12 13 36 29 36 -7 39.64 -3.64
9 Atyrau 33 9 9 15 36 34 47 -13 35.70 +0.30
10 Irtysh 33 10 5 18 35 28 45 -17 42.72 -7.72
11 Kyzylzhar 33 10 5 18 35 27 48 -21 18.49 +16.51
12 Akzhayik 33 7 9 17 30 31 48 -17 38.94 -8.94

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

* Point deductions: Aktobe (-6 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kyzylzhar 35 18.49 +16.51
2 Astana 77 71.18 +5.82
3 Zhetysu 43 39.06 +3.94
4 Tobol 53 50.39 +2.61
5 Atyrau 36 35.70 +0.30

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kairat 62 71.79 -9.79
2 Akzhayik 30 38.94 -8.94
3 Irtysh 35 42.72 -7.72
4 Shakter Karagandy 36 39.64 -3.64
5 Ordabasy 46 47.89 -1.89

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tobol 4 May 9 – May 27 1 in 181
2 Kyzylzhar 2 May 31 – Jun 18 1 in 86
3 Kaisar 4 Oct 21 – Nov 11 1 in 54
4 Shakter Karagandy 2 Oct 31 – Nov 3 1 in 24
5 Atyrau 3 Aug 4 – Aug 18 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kairat 3 Oct 27 – Nov 3 1 in 328
2 Shakter Karagandy 6 May 9 – Jun 18 1 in 296
3 Irtysh 5 Jun 17 – Jul 15 1 in 122
4 Astana 2 Oct 28 – Oct 31 1 in 42
5 Akzhayik 4 May 31 – Jul 1 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shakter Karagandy 7 Mar 17 – May 5 1 in 36
2 Kyzylzhar 4 Sep 26 – Oct 21 1 in 26
3 Ordabasy 5 Oct 6 – Nov 11 1 in 24
4 Astana 16 May 27 – Oct 20 1 in 15
5 Kaisar 6 Apr 28 – May 27 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kairat 6 Oct 6 – Nov 11 1 in 626
2 Irtysh 12 Jun 17 – Sep 16 1 in 481
3 Zhetysu 6 Sep 26 – Nov 3 1 in 29
4 Astana 3 Oct 20 – Oct 31 1 in 28
5 Akzhayik 8 Sep 23 – Nov 11 1 in 27

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Astana 1791 77 -31 7 10.8 -3.8
Kairat 1732 62 -48 2 10.4 -8.4
Tobol 1599 53 +1 7 7.3 -0.3
Aktobe 1566 48 -36 6 8.0 -2.0
Ordabasy 1548 46 +45 11 6.5 +4.5
Kaisar 1615 45 +74 13 7.5 +5.5
Zhetysu 1531 43 -3 6 8.4 -2.4
Atyrau 1494 36 +23 8 5.5 +2.5
Shakter Karagandy 1511 36 +34 8 4.4 +3.6
Irtysh 1492 35 +26 9 4.7 +4.3
Kyzylzhar 1344 35 +1 4 3.3 +0.7
Akzhayik 1421 30 -69 1 6.4 -5.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AKT AKZ AST ATY IRT KAI KAI KYZ ORD SK TOB ZHE
Aktobe —
1-2-0
4.79
0-1-2
2.22
1-1-1
5.00
1-1-1
4.89
0-1-2
1.78
2-0-1
4.70
2-0-1
6.94
1-1-1
3.93
2-1-0
4.62
2-0-1
4.15
1-1-1
5.37
Akzhayik
0-2-1
3.45
—
1-0-2
1.77
0-1-2
4.27
1-0-2
3.21
1-0-2
1.35
0-2-1
3.98
1-1-1
6.46
1-0-2
3.15
1-1-1
3.93
0-1-2
3.55
1-1-1
3.52
Astana
2-1-0
6.10
2-0-1
6.61
—
3-0-0
6.87
3-0-0
6.52
2-1-0
4.32
2-1-0
6.59
3-0-0
8.01
2-1-0
6.64
1-0-2
6.76
1-1-1
6.00
3-0-0
6.87
Atyrau
1-1-1
3.26
2-1-0
3.97
0-0-3
1.55
—
1-0-2
3.55
0-0-3
1.24
1-2-0
2.86
1-2-0
6.25
1-0-2
2.86
0-1-2
3.61
1-0-2
3.17
1-2-0
3.41
Irtysh
1-1-1
3.39
2-0-1
5.04
0-0-3
1.86
2-0-1
4.71
—
1-0-2
1.45
0-1-2
4.43
1-0-2
6.39
1-0-2
3.28
1-2-0
4.44
1-1-1
2.97
0-0-3
4.23
Kairat
2-1-0
6.60
2-0-1
7.10
0-1-2
3.93
3-0-0
7.23
2-0-1
7.00
—
3-0-0
6.45
2-0-1
7.68
1-0-2
6.61
1-2-0
7.03
1-1-1
6.57
2-0-1
6.82
Kaisar
1-0-2
3.54
1-2-0
4.26
0-1-2
1.79
0-2-1
5.41
2-1-0
3.81
0-0-3
1.92
—
1-1-1
6.44
2-1-0
4.15
2-1-0
5.01
1-2-0
3.12
1-1-1
5.01
Kyzylzhar
1-0-2
1.48
1-1-1
1.89
0-0-3
0.65
0-2-1
2.08
2-0-1
1.97
1-0-2
0.90
1-1-1
1.92
—
0-0-3
1.95
2-0-1
2.30
1-0-2
1.36
1-1-1
2.30
Ordabasy
1-1-1
4.32
2-0-1
5.10
0-1-2
1.76
2-0-1
5.41
2-0-1
4.98
2-0-1
1.76
0-1-2
4.09
3-0-0
6.43
—
1-2-0
5.16
0-1-2
3.27
0-1-2
4.37
Shakter Karagandy
0-1-2
3.64
1-1-1
4.30
2-0-1
1.64
2-1-0
4.63
0-2-1
3.80
0-2-1
1.41
0-1-2
3.24
1-0-2
6.03
0-2-1
3.10
—
2-0-1
3.38
0-2-1
3.93
Tobol
1-0-2
4.10
2-1-0
4.70
1-1-1
2.31
2-0-1
5.09
1-1-1
5.32
1-1-1
1.80
0-2-1
5.14
2-0-1
7.09
2-1-0
5.00
1-0-2
4.88
—
2-1-0
5.40
Zhetysu
1-1-1
2.91
1-1-1
4.74
0-0-3
1.55
0-2-1
4.85
3-0-0
4.02
1-0-2
1.59
1-1-1
3.25
1-1-1
6.01
2-1-0
3.88
1-2-0
4.33
0-1-2
2.87
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.76 +9.2
Allowed 0.70 -12.9
Differential 0.93 +6.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%10.35%6.82%2.78%0.76%0.25%30.05%
110.35%12.63%10.10%3.03%0.51%0.76%37.37%
26.82%10.10%2.53%1.52%0.51%—21.46%
32.78%3.03%1.52%——0.51%7.83%
40.76%0.51%0.51%———1.77%
5+0.25%0.76%—0.51%——1.52%
Total30.05%37.37%21.46%7.83%1.77%1.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.19 +0.00
SD 1.11 1.11 1.61
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%3.03%———12.12%
19.09%21.21%9.09%9.09%—3.03%51.52%
29.09%3.03%—6.06%——18.18%
3—9.09%3.03%———12.12%
4———————
5+—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
Total24.24%39.39%15.15%18.18%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.42 +0.12
SD 1.23 1.32 1.73
CV 0.79 0.93 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%—36.36%
16.06%18.18%15.15%6.06%——45.45%
26.06%3.03%————9.09%
33.03%————3.03%6.06%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+———————
Total24.24%33.33%24.24%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.45 -0.52
SD 1.00 1.25 1.64
CV 1.06 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%—3.03%——15.15%
16.06%9.09%—3.03%——18.18%
224.24%12.12%————36.36%
315.15%3.03%3.03%———21.21%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+—3.03%—3.03%——6.06%
Total54.55%33.33%3.03%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.67 +1.33
SD 1.39 0.92 1.67
CV 0.70 1.39 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%12.12%3.03%——39.39%
13.03%9.09%6.06%3.03%—3.03%24.24%
29.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%—30.30%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%33.33%27.27%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.42 -0.39
SD 0.98 1.23 1.50
CV 0.95 0.86 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%21.21%12.12%3.03%6.06%—45.45%
19.09%12.12%9.09%——3.03%33.33%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total24.24%42.42%21.21%3.03%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.36 -0.52
SD 1.06 1.34 1.99
CV 1.25 0.98 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%3.03%———21.21%
13.03%9.09%9.09%———21.21%
29.09%18.18%—3.03%——30.30%
33.03%9.09%3.03%———15.15%
43.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total24.24%54.55%18.18%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.00 +0.82
SD 1.45 0.75 1.63
CV 0.80 0.75 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
024.24%9.09%6.06%———39.39%
19.09%3.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%—27.27%
23.03%12.12%9.09%———24.24%
36.06%—————6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total45.45%24.24%24.24%3.03%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 0.94 +0.12
SD 1.09 1.06 1.49
CV 1.03 1.13 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%3.03%12.12%6.06%—3.03%33.33%
118.18%6.06%24.24%3.03%——51.52%
2—12.12%—3.03%——15.15%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%21.21%36.36%12.12%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 1.45 -0.64
SD 0.68 1.20 1.48
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 2 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%9.09%———24.24%
112.12%12.12%12.12%3.03%3.03%—42.42%
23.03%21.21%——3.03%—27.27%
3—3.03%———3.03%6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.24%42.42%21.21%3.03%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.33 -0.18
SD 0.87 1.24 1.33
CV 0.76 0.93 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%9.09%3.03%——36.36%
19.09%24.24%12.12%———45.45%
2—9.09%3.03%———12.12%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%51.52%24.24%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.09 -0.21
SD 0.86 0.77 1.22
CV 0.98 0.70 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%—3.03%——24.24%
130.30%9.09%9.09%3.03%——51.52%
23.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%——15.15%
33.03%3.03%3.03%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total45.45%27.27%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 0.91 +0.18
SD 0.88 1.01 1.24
CV 0.81 1.11 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%6.06%6.06%——33.33%
19.09%18.18%6.06%3.03%——36.36%
26.06%9.09%6.06%———21.21%
3—3.03%3.03%———6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+———————
Total21.21%45.45%24.24%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.21 -0.12
SD 1.04 0.89 1.36
CV 0.95 0.74 —
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Astana 1791 77 71.18 +5.82 80.0% 51 59 66 71 76 83 87
Kairat 1732 62 71.79 -9.79 9.0% 52 59 67 72 76 82 88
Kaisar 1615 45 44.76 +0.24 56.0% 29 32 41 44 49 53 62
Tobol 1599 53 50.39 +2.61 67.0% 28 41 45 50 56 63 67
Aktobe 1566 42 42.67 -0.67 44.0% 25 29 38 44 48 53 60
Ordabasy 1548 46 47.89 -1.89 44.0% 28 37 43 47 52 60 65
Zhetysu 1531 43 39.06 +3.94 75.0% 24 29 34 39 43 51 54
Shakter Karagandy 1511 36 39.64 -3.64 31.0% 25 28 35 39 44 50 54
Atyrau 1494 36 35.70 +0.30 54.0% 18 25 31 35 41 46 50
Irtysh 1492 35 42.72 -7.72 18.0% 27 31 38 42 47 55 66
Akzhayik 1421 30 38.94 -8.94 8.0% 25 29 34 39 43 49 54
Kyzylzhar 1344 35 18.49 +16.51 100.0% 6 9 14 19 22 27 33

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.22%
Slight Edge
48.99%24.24%26.77%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 78.52 Elo pts.
288 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.47 goals
Neutral
-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.0
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
50%
Astana, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.45/gm
Runaway
00.240.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.48 * Some Luck: 5.48 to 8.22 * Lucky: 8.22 to 10.96 * Wild Swing: 10.96 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.23 * Close: 1.23 to 1.84 * Off: 1.84 to 2.46 * Way Off: 2.46 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.96 points
Some Luck
06.8517
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
01.544
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Kyzylzhar
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
8.00%
Akzhayik
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 79% * Wide Edge: 79% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 98.5% * Dominant: 98.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 64% * Frequent: 64% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13.5% * Occasional: 13.5% to 15.5% * Frequent: 15.5% to 18.5% * Very Frequent: 18.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Balanced
00.170.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 122.62
1.76
Moderate Separation
0.91.752.353
Interquartile Edge
65%
Even
50%70.5%79%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
93%
Clear Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%65%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.49 * Lopsided: 0.49 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.64 * Strong Carryover: 0.64 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Upset-Prone: 20.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.47
Notable Separation
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.30
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.81
Near-Lock
00.470.641
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.02
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.55
Overconfident
0.410111.001.58989
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.133
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Astana50.00%46.00%3.00%1.00%————————
Kairat49.00%48.00%3.00%—————————
Tobol1.00%4.00%36.00%18.00%16.00%6.00%9.00%6.00%—2.00%2.00%—
Ordabasy—1.00%22.00%16.00%15.00%17.00%12.00%5.00%10.00%1.00%1.00%—
Kaisar——10.00%22.00%11.00%18.00%16.00%9.00%7.00%3.00%4.00%—
Zhetysu——3.00%4.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%19.00%21.00%13.00%1.00%
Aktobe—1.00%8.00%15.00%15.00%15.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%9.00%7.00%—
Shakter Karagandy——1.00%8.00%14.00%7.00%11.00%17.00%14.00%9.00%19.00%—
Atyrau——1.00%3.00%2.00%7.00%4.00%14.00%17.00%24.00%27.00%1.00%
Irtysh——6.00%12.00%11.00%13.00%16.00%13.00%10.00%9.00%10.00%—
Kyzylzhar——————————3.00%97.00%
Akzhayik——7.00%1.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%13.00%13.00%22.00%14.00%1.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Astana 100% — —
Kairat 100% — —
Ordabasy 98.00% 1.00% 1.00%
Tobol 96.00% 2.00% 2.00%
Kaisar 93.00% 3.00% 4.00%
Aktobe 84.00% 9.00% 7.00%
Irtysh 81.00% 9.00% 10.00%
Zhetysu 65.00% 21.00% 14.00%
Akzhayik 63.00% 22.00% 15.00%
Shakter Karagandy 72.00% 9.00% 19.00%
Atyrau 48.00% 24.00% 28.00%
Kyzylzhar — — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2018-03-11 Aktobe L 0-156.5 1530 1563 43.54% 25.54% 30.93%+0.16 -11.2 0
2018-03-11 @ Kaisar W 1-056.5 1563 1530 30.93% 25.54% 43.54%-0.16 +11.2 3
2018-03-11 Akzhayik W 3-041.6 1745 1484 73.33% 18.23% 8.44%+1.18 +6.8 3
2018-03-11 @ Astana L 0-341.6 1484 1745 8.44% 18.23% 73.33%-1.18 -6.8 0
2018-03-11 Atyrau W 2-153.7 1576 1490 57.91% 23.64% 18.46%+0.57 +5.2 3
2018-03-11 @ Irtysh L 1-253.7 1490 1576 18.46% 23.64% 57.91%-0.57 -5.2 0
2018-03-11 Kyzylzhar W 2-144.0 1805 1250 89.03% 8.87% 2.10%+2.20 +0.5 3
2018-03-11 @ Kairat L 1-244.0 1250 1805 2.10% 8.87% 89.03%-2.20 -0.5 0
2018-03-11 Shakter Karagandy W 2-155.6 1597 1520 57.03% 23.83% 19.14%+0.54 +5.4 3
2018-03-11 @ Ordabasy L 1-255.6 1520 1597 19.14% 23.83% 57.03%-0.54 -5.4 0
2018-03-11 Tobol L 0-153.5 1493 1590 34.52% 25.68% 39.80%-0.06 -9.4 0
2018-03-11 @ Zhetysu W 1-053.5 1590 1493 39.80% 25.68% 34.52%+0.06 +9.4 3
2018-03-17 Aktobe W 2-159.2 1581 1574 48.80% 25.12% 26.08%+0.30 +7.1 6
2018-03-17 @ Irtysh L 1-259.2 1574 1581 26.08% 25.12% 48.80%-0.30 -7.1 3
2018-03-17 Akzhayik D 1-164.1 1518 1477 52.97% 24.57% 22.46%+0.42 -1.7 1
2018-03-17 @ Kaisar D 1-164.1 1477 1518 22.46% 24.57% 52.97%-0.42 +1.7 1
2018-03-17 Astana L 0-247.4 1484 1752 16.50% 23.00% 60.50%-0.66 -9.4 0
2018-03-17 @ Zhetysu W 2-047.4 1752 1484 60.50% 23.00% 16.50%+0.66 +9.4 6
2018-03-17 Atyrau W 2-043.2 1806 1485 77.43% 16.13% 6.44%+1.39 +3.4 6
2018-03-17 @ Kairat L 0-243.2 1485 1806 6.44% 16.13% 77.43%-1.39 -3.4 0
2018-03-17 Kyzylzhar W 2-139.8 1603 1250 79.40% 15.03% 5.57%+1.50 +1.4 6
2018-03-17 @ Ordabasy L 1-239.8 1250 1603 5.57% 15.03% 79.40%-1.50 -1.5 0
2018-03-17 Shakter Karagandy L 0-160.9 1600 1514 57.87% 23.65% 18.49%+0.57 -14.3 3
2018-03-17 @ Tobol W 1-060.9 1514 1600 18.49% 23.65% 57.87%-0.57 +14.3 3
2018-03-31 Irtysh W 1-055.0 1479 1588 32.84% 25.63% 41.54%-0.11 +10.8 4
2018-03-31 @ Akzhayik L 0-155.0 1588 1479 41.54% 25.63% 32.84%+0.11 -10.8 6
2018-03-31 Kairat D 1-173.5 1567 1809 18.47% 23.64% 57.89%-0.57 +2.3 4
2018-03-31 @ Aktobe D 1-173.5 1809 1567 57.89% 23.64% 18.47%+0.57 -2.3 7
2018-03-31 Kaisar W 2-044.6 1761 1517 72.09% 18.81% 9.10%+1.12 +5.1 9
2018-03-31 @ Astana L 0-244.6 1517 1761 9.10% 18.81% 72.09%-1.12 -5.1 1
2018-03-31 Ordabasy L 0-152.5 1481 1604 31.11% 25.55% 43.35%-0.15 -8.7 0
2018-03-31 @ Atyrau W 1-052.5 1604 1481 43.35% 25.55% 31.11%+0.15 +8.7 9
2018-04-01 Tobol L 1-243.0 1249 1585 12.13% 20.97% 66.89%-0.90 -3.5 0
2018-04-01 @ Kyzylzhar W 2-143.0 1585 1249 66.89% 20.97% 12.13%+0.90 +3.5 6
2018-04-01 Zhetysu D 1-164.5 1529 1474 54.47% 24.32% 21.21%+0.46 -1.9 4
2018-04-01 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-164.5 1474 1529 21.21% 24.32% 54.47%-0.46 +1.9 1
2018-04-07 Aktobe W 3-154.5 1613 1569 53.25% 24.53% 22.23%+0.43 +10.8 12
2018-04-07 @ Ordabasy L 1-354.5 1569 1613 22.23% 24.53% 53.25%-0.43 -10.8 4
2018-04-07 Akzhayik W 3-041.5 1807 1490 77.21% 16.25% 6.54%+1.38 +5.1 10
2018-04-07 @ Kairat L 0-341.5 1490 1807 6.54% 16.25% 77.21%-1.38 -5.1 4
2018-04-07 Astana L 1-652.9 1577 1766 23.45% 24.75% 51.81%-0.38 -25.2 6
2018-04-07 @ Irtysh W 6-152.9 1766 1577 51.81% 24.75% 23.45%+0.38 +25.2 12
2018-04-07 Atyrau W 3-257.5 1589 1473 61.02% 22.86% 16.12%+0.68 +4.4 9
2018-04-07 @ Tobol L 2-357.5 1473 1589 16.12% 22.86% 61.02%-0.68 -4.4 0
2018-04-07 Kaisar W 1-049.0 1476 1512 43.18% 25.56% 31.26%+0.15 +8.7 4
2018-04-07 @ Zhetysu L 0-149.0 1512 1476 31.26% 25.56% 43.18%-0.15 -8.7 1
2018-04-07 Kyzylzhar W 2-139.2 1527 1245 74.80% 17.51% 7.69%+1.25 +2.1 7
2018-04-07 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-239.2 1245 1527 7.69% 17.51% 74.80%-1.25 -2.1 0
2018-04-14 Irtysh D 0-060.8 1503 1552 41.30% 25.64% 33.07%+0.10 -0.5 2
2018-04-14 @ Kaisar D 0-060.8 1552 1503 33.07% 25.64% 41.30%-0.10 +0.5 7
2018-04-14 Kairat D 1-173.8 1791 1812 45.16% 25.44% 29.40%+0.20 -0.8 13
2018-04-14 @ Astana D 1-173.8 1812 1791 29.40% 25.44% 45.16%-0.20 +0.8 11
2018-04-14 Ordabasy W 4-156.7 1484 1624 29.04% 25.41% 45.56%-0.21 +27.0 7
2018-04-14 @ Akzhayik L 1-456.7 1624 1484 45.56% 25.41% 29.04%+0.21 -26.9 12
2018-04-14 Shakter Karagandy D 0-058.6 1468 1529 39.71% 25.68% 34.61%+0.06 -0.3 1
2018-04-14 @ Atyrau D 0-058.6 1529 1468 34.61% 25.68% 39.71%-0.06 +0.3 8
2018-04-14 Tobol L 0-158.2 1558 1593 43.27% 25.55% 31.18%+0.15 -11.2 4
2018-04-14 @ Aktobe W 1-058.2 1593 1558 31.18% 25.55% 43.27%-0.15 +11.2 12
2018-04-14 Zhetysu W 1-049.2 1243 1485 18.53% 23.66% 57.81%-0.57 +14.3 3
2018-04-14 @ Kyzylzhar L 0-149.2 1485 1243 57.81% 23.66% 18.53%+0.57 -14.3 4
2018-04-22 Aktobe D 1-166.8 1529 1547 45.56% 25.41% 29.03%+0.21 -0.9 9
2018-04-22 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-166.8 1547 1529 29.03% 25.41% 45.56%-0.21 +0.9 5
2018-04-22 Akzhayik D 1-168.7 1604 1511 58.67% 23.46% 17.87%+0.60 -2.4 13
2018-04-22 @ Tobol D 1-168.7 1511 1604 17.87% 23.46% 58.67%-0.60 +2.3 8
2018-04-22 Astana L 1-261.9 1597 1790 22.93% 24.66% 52.41%-0.40 -6.4 12
2018-04-22 @ Ordabasy W 2-161.9 1790 1597 52.41% 24.66% 22.93%+0.40 +6.4 16
2018-04-22 Atyrau D 1-156.6 1257 1468 21.27% 24.34% 54.39%-0.46 +1.9 4
2018-04-22 @ Kyzylzhar D 1-156.6 1468 1257 54.39% 24.34% 21.27%+0.46 -1.9 2
2018-04-22 Irtysh W 2-158.5 1471 1553 36.63% 25.70% 37.66%-0.01 +9.5 7
2018-04-22 @ Zhetysu L 1-258.5 1553 1471 37.66% 25.70% 36.63%+0.01 -9.5 7
2018-04-22 Kaisar W 4-146.8 1813 1502 76.75% 16.50% 6.76%+1.35 +4.4 14
2018-04-22 @ Kairat L 1-446.8 1502 1813 6.76% 16.50% 76.75%-1.35 -4.4 2
2018-04-25 Astana L 0-236.2 1259 1797 4.90% 14.08% 81.02%-1.60 -2.5 4
2018-04-25 @ Kyzylzhar W 2-036.2 1797 1259 81.02% 14.08% 4.90%+1.60 +2.5 19
2018-04-28 Kairat L 1-259.0 1543 1817 16.04% 22.83% 61.13%-0.68 -4.6 7
2018-04-28 @ Irtysh W 2-159.0 1817 1543 61.13% 22.83% 16.04%+0.68 +4.6 17
2018-04-28 Ordabasy D 0-061.9 1498 1590 35.20% 25.69% 39.11%-0.05 +0.2 3
2018-04-28 @ Kaisar D 0-061.9 1590 1498 39.11% 25.69% 35.20%+0.05 -0.2 13
2018-04-28 Shakter Karagandy D 1-165.6 1514 1528 45.99% 25.38% 28.63%+0.22 -0.9 9
2018-04-28 @ Akzhayik D 1-165.6 1528 1514 28.63% 25.38% 45.99%-0.22 +0.9 10
2018-04-28 Zhetysu W 1-046.6 1466 1480 46.09% 25.37% 28.54%+0.22 +8.1 5
2018-04-28 @ Atyrau L 0-146.6 1480 1466 28.54% 25.37% 46.09%-0.22 -8.1 7
2018-04-29 Kyzylzhar W 2-029.6 1548 1257 75.46% 17.17% 7.37%+1.29 +4.0 8
2018-04-29 @ Aktobe L 0-229.6 1257 1548 7.37% 17.17% 75.46%-1.29 -4.0 4
2018-04-29 Tobol W 1-051.0 1799 1602 68.37% 20.41% 11.22%+0.96 +3.4 22
2018-04-29 @ Astana L 0-151.0 1602 1799 11.22% 20.41% 68.37%-0.96 -3.4 13
2018-05-05 Aktobe D 1-165.0 1474 1552 37.28% 25.70% 37.02%+0.00 -0.0 6
2018-05-05 @ Atyrau D 1-165.0 1552 1474 37.02% 25.70% 37.28%+0.00 +0.0 9
2018-05-05 Akzhayik W 2-156.4 1253 1513 17.08% 23.21% 59.71%-0.63 +13.9 7
2018-05-05 @ Kyzylzhar L 1-256.4 1513 1253 59.71% 23.21% 17.08%+0.63 -13.9 9
2018-05-05 Astana W 1-066.0 1529 1803 16.10% 22.86% 61.05%-0.68 +15.0 13
2018-05-05 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-166.0 1803 1529 61.05% 22.86% 16.10%+0.68 -15.0 22
2018-05-05 Irtysh W 1-050.7 1590 1539 54.13% 24.38% 21.49%+0.45 +6.4 16
2018-05-05 @ Ordabasy L 0-150.7 1539 1590 21.49% 24.38% 54.13%-0.45 -6.4 7
2018-05-05 Kairat L 1-352.1 1472 1822 11.43% 20.54% 68.02%-0.94 -5.6 7
2018-05-05 @ Zhetysu W 3-152.1 1822 1472 68.02% 20.54% 11.43%+0.94 +5.6 20
2018-05-05 Kaisar L 0-355.0 1599 1498 59.44% 23.27% 17.28%+0.62 -40.2 13
2018-05-05 @ Tobol W 3-055.0 1498 1599 17.28% 23.27% 59.44%-0.62 +40.2 6
2018-05-09 Atyrau D 1-163.2 1499 1474 50.95% 24.86% 24.18%+0.36 -1.5 10
2018-05-09 @ Akzhayik D 1-163.2 1474 1499 24.18% 24.86% 50.95%-0.36 +1.5 7
2018-05-09 Kyzylzhar W 2-034.2 1788 1267 87.75% 9.76% 2.49%+2.08 +1.1 25
2018-05-09 @ Astana L 0-234.2 1267 1788 2.49% 9.76% 87.75%-2.08 -1.1 7
2018-05-09 Ordabasy W 2-046.3 1828 1596 71.09% 19.27% 9.65%+1.08 +5.4 23
2018-05-09 @ Kairat L 0-246.3 1596 1828 9.65% 19.27% 71.09%-1.08 -5.4 16
2018-05-09 Shakter Karagandy W 3-045.5 1538 1544 47.13% 25.28% 27.59%+0.25 +21.6 9
2018-05-09 @ Kaisar L 0-345.5 1544 1538 27.59% 25.28% 47.13%-0.25 -21.6 13
2018-05-09 Tobol L 0-156.7 1532 1559 44.43% 25.49% 30.08%+0.18 -11.4 7
2018-05-09 @ Irtysh W 1-056.7 1559 1532 30.08% 25.49% 44.43%-0.18 +11.4 16
2018-05-09 Zhetysu D 1-165.3 1552 1466 57.91% 23.64% 18.46%+0.57 -2.3 10
2018-05-09 @ Aktobe D 1-165.3 1466 1552 18.46% 23.64% 57.91%-0.57 +2.3 8
2018-05-13 Akzhayik W 5-354.7 1550 1497 54.22% 24.37% 21.41%+0.45 +8.8 13
2018-05-13 @ Aktobe L 3-554.7 1497 1550 21.41% 24.37% 54.22%-0.45 -8.8 10
2018-05-13 Astana L 0-246.6 1476 1789 13.49% 21.72% 64.79%-0.82 -7.7 7
2018-05-13 @ Atyrau W 2-046.6 1789 1476 64.79% 21.72% 13.49%+0.82 +7.7 28
2018-05-13 Irtysh L 0-156.0 1523 1521 48.12% 25.19% 26.69%+0.28 -12.2 13
2018-05-13 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-056.0 1521 1523 26.69% 25.19% 48.12%-0.28 +12.2 10
2018-05-13 Kairat W 1-066.4 1570 1833 16.86% 23.13% 60.02%-0.64 +14.8 19
2018-05-13 @ Tobol L 0-166.4 1833 1570 60.02% 23.13% 16.86%+0.64 -14.8 23
2018-05-13 Kaisar D 0-054.0 1265 1560 14.64% 22.26% 63.10%-0.75 +3.2 8
2018-05-13 @ Kyzylzhar D 0-054.0 1560 1265 63.10% 22.26% 14.64%+0.75 -3.2 10
2018-05-14 Ordabasy W 4-260.8 1469 1591 31.13% 25.55% 43.32%-0.15 +16.4 11
2018-05-14 @ Zhetysu L 2-460.8 1591 1469 43.32% 25.55% 31.13%+0.15 -16.4 16
2018-05-19 Aktobe W 3-151.8 1797 1559 71.61% 19.03% 9.36%+1.10 +4.5 31
2018-05-19 @ Astana L 1-351.8 1559 1797 9.36% 19.03% 71.61%-1.10 -4.5 13
2018-05-19 Atyrau D 0-060.3 1557 1468 58.24% 23.56% 18.20%+0.58 -2.6 11
2018-05-19 @ Kaisar D 0-060.3 1468 1557 18.20% 23.56% 58.24%-0.58 +2.6 8
2018-05-19 Kyzylzhar W 5-029.3 1533 1269 73.57% 18.11% 8.32%+1.19 +10.7 13
2018-05-19 @ Irtysh L 0-529.3 1269 1533 8.32% 18.11% 73.57%-1.19 -10.7 8
2018-05-19 Shakter Karagandy W 2-043.9 1818 1510 76.57% 16.59% 6.84%+1.34 +3.7 26
2018-05-19 @ Kairat L 0-243.9 1510 1818 6.84% 16.59% 76.57%-1.34 -3.7 13
2018-05-19 Tobol L 0-159.3 1575 1585 46.58% 25.33% 28.09%+0.24 -11.9 16
2018-05-19 @ Ordabasy W 1-059.3 1585 1575 28.09% 25.33% 46.58%-0.24 +11.9 22
2018-05-19 Zhetysu W 2-043.0 1489 1485 48.36% 25.16% 26.47%+0.29 +14.4 13
2018-05-19 @ Akzhayik L 0-243.0 1485 1489 26.47% 25.16% 48.36%-0.29 -14.4 11
2018-05-23 Astana W 3-060.5 1503 1801 14.42% 22.16% 63.41%-0.76 +42.5 16
2018-05-23 @ Akzhayik L 0-360.5 1801 1503 63.41% 22.16% 14.42%+0.76 -42.5 31
2018-05-27 Irtysh D 1-167.7 1554 1544 49.19% 25.08% 25.74%+0.31 -1.3 14
2018-05-27 @ Aktobe D 1-167.7 1544 1554 25.74% 25.08% 49.19%-0.31 +1.3 14
2018-05-27 Kairat L 1-352.1 1471 1822 11.38% 20.51% 68.12%-0.95 -5.6 8
2018-05-27 @ Atyrau W 3-152.1 1822 1471 68.12% 20.51% 11.38%+0.95 +5.6 29
2018-05-27 Kaisar D 0-062.4 1546 1554 46.75% 25.31% 27.94%+0.24 -1.1 17
2018-05-27 @ Akzhayik D 0-062.4 1554 1546 27.94% 25.31% 46.75%-0.24 +1.1 12
2018-05-27 Ordabasy L 1-243.5 1258 1563 13.99% 21.96% 64.05%-0.79 -4.0 8
2018-05-27 @ Kyzylzhar W 2-143.5 1563 1258 64.05% 21.96% 13.99%+0.79 +4.0 19
2018-05-27 Tobol L 0-154.5 1507 1597 35.54% 25.69% 38.77%-0.04 -9.6 13
2018-05-27 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-054.5 1597 1507 38.77% 25.69% 35.54%+0.04 +9.6 25
2018-05-27 Zhetysu W 3-041.0 1759 1471 75.24% 17.28% 7.48%+1.27 +5.9 34
2018-05-27 @ Astana L 0-341.0 1471 1759 7.48% 17.28% 75.24%-1.27 -5.9 11
2018-05-31 Aktobe W 3-260.2 1828 1553 74.31% 17.75% 7.94%+1.23 +2.1 32
2018-05-31 @ Kairat L 2-360.2 1553 1828 7.94% 17.75% 74.31%-1.23 -2.1 14
2018-05-31 Akzhayik W 2-047.3 1545 1544 47.95% 25.20% 26.84%+0.27 +14.6 17
2018-05-31 @ Irtysh L 0-247.3 1544 1545 26.84% 25.20% 47.95%-0.27 -14.6 17
2018-05-31 Astana L 0-250.6 1555 1764 21.44% 24.37% 54.19%-0.45 -12.0 12
2018-05-31 @ Kaisar W 2-050.6 1764 1555 54.19% 24.37% 21.44%+0.45 +12.0 37
2018-05-31 Atyrau L 0-254.5 1567 1465 59.58% 23.24% 17.18%+0.63 -27.7 19
2018-05-31 @ Ordabasy W 2-054.5 1465 1567 17.18% 23.24% 59.58%-0.63 +27.7 11
2018-05-31 Kyzylzhar L 0-155.9 1606 1254 79.38% 15.04% 5.58%+1.50 -18.4 25
2018-05-31 @ Tobol W 1-055.9 1254 1606 5.58% 15.04% 79.38%-1.50 +18.4 11
2018-05-31 Shakter Karagandy W 1-047.9 1465 1497 43.59% 25.53% 30.87%+0.16 +8.6 14
2018-05-31 @ Zhetysu L 0-147.9 1497 1465 30.87% 25.53% 43.59%-0.16 -8.6 13
2018-06-17 Irtysh W 3-044.2 1776 1560 69.97% 19.75% 10.28%+1.03 +8.4 40
2018-06-17 @ Astana L 0-344.2 1560 1776 10.28% 19.75% 69.97%-1.03 -8.4 17
2018-06-17 Kairat L 1-258.3 1530 1830 14.31% 22.11% 63.57%-0.77 -4.1 17
2018-06-17 @ Akzhayik W 2-158.3 1830 1530 63.57% 22.11% 14.31%+0.77 +4.1 35
2018-06-17 Ordabasy W 3-153.0 1551 1539 49.34% 25.06% 25.60%+0.31 +12.1 17
2018-06-17 @ Aktobe L 1-353.0 1539 1551 25.60% 25.06% 49.34%-0.31 -12.1 19
2018-06-17 Tobol L 0-249.6 1493 1588 34.80% 25.68% 39.51%-0.06 -17.9 11
2018-06-17 @ Atyrau W 2-049.6 1588 1493 39.51% 25.68% 34.80%+0.06 +17.9 28
2018-06-17 Zhetysu D 0-059.8 1543 1473 56.23% 23.99% 19.78%+0.52 -2.3 13
2018-06-17 @ Kaisar D 0-059.8 1473 1543 19.78% 23.99% 56.23%-0.52 +2.3 15
2018-06-18 Shakter Karagandy W 1-049.0 1272 1489 20.76% 24.23% 55.01%-0.48 +13.7 14
2018-06-18 @ Kyzylzhar L 0-149.0 1489 1272 55.01% 24.23% 20.76%+0.48 -13.7 13
2018-06-23 Aktobe L 2-372.5 1606 1563 53.15% 24.54% 22.31%+0.42 -11.9 28
2018-06-23 @ Tobol W 3-272.5 1563 1606 22.31% 24.54% 53.15%-0.42 +11.9 20
2018-06-23 Akzhayik W 2-156.2 1527 1526 48.04% 25.20% 26.76%+0.28 +7.3 22
2018-06-23 @ Ordabasy L 1-256.2 1526 1527 26.76% 25.20% 48.04%-0.28 -7.3 17
2018-06-23 Atyrau W 3-040.4 1475 1475 47.87% 25.21% 26.92%+0.27 +21.2 16
2018-06-23 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-340.4 1475 1475 26.92% 25.21% 47.87%-0.27 -21.2 11
2018-06-23 Kaisar L 0-158.0 1551 1541 49.15% 25.08% 25.77%+0.31 -12.4 17
2018-06-23 @ Irtysh W 1-058.0 1541 1551 25.77% 25.08% 49.15%-0.31 +12.4 16
2018-06-23 Kyzylzhar W 2-141.2 1476 1286 67.73% 20.66% 11.61%+0.93 +3.3 18
2018-06-23 @ Zhetysu L 1-241.2 1286 1476 11.61% 20.66% 67.73%-0.93 -3.3 14
2018-06-24 Astana L 1-271.9 1834 1785 53.82% 24.44% 21.75%+0.44 -12.7 35
2018-06-24 @ Kairat W 2-171.9 1785 1834 21.75% 24.44% 53.82%-0.44 +12.7 43
2018-06-30 Ordabasy W 5-355.6 1798 1534 73.49% 18.15% 8.36%+1.19 +3.4 46
2018-06-30 @ Astana L 3-555.6 1534 1798 8.36% 18.15% 73.49%-1.19 -3.4 22
2018-07-01 Kairat L 1-259.3 1554 1821 16.53% 23.02% 60.45%-0.66 -4.7 16
2018-07-01 @ Kaisar W 2-159.3 1821 1554 60.45% 23.02% 16.53%+0.66 +4.7 38
2018-07-01 Kyzylzhar D 0-052.5 1454 1283 66.14% 21.25% 12.61%+0.87 -3.5 12
2018-07-01 @ Atyrau D 0-052.5 1283 1454 12.61% 21.25% 66.14%-0.87 +3.5 15
2018-07-01 Shakter Karagandy W 2-043.9 1575 1496 57.15% 23.80% 19.04%+0.55 +10.8 23
2018-07-01 @ Aktobe L 0-243.9 1496 1575 19.04% 23.80% 57.15%-0.55 -10.8 16
2018-07-01 Tobol L 1-357.5 1518 1594 37.60% 25.70% 36.70%+0.01 -16.4 17
2018-07-01 @ Akzhayik W 3-157.5 1594 1518 36.70% 25.70% 37.60%-0.01 +16.4 31
2018-07-01 Zhetysu L 0-252.9 1539 1479 55.08% 24.21% 20.71%+0.48 -25.9 17
2018-07-01 @ Irtysh W 2-052.9 1479 1539 20.71% 24.21% 55.08%-0.48 +25.9 21
2018-07-05 Astana D 0-068.1 1610 1801 23.24% 24.71% 52.04%-0.39 +1.8 32
2018-07-05 @ Tobol D 0-068.1 1801 1610 52.04% 24.71% 23.24%+0.39 -1.8 47
2018-07-05 Kaisar L 1-262.8 1531 1549 45.55% 25.41% 29.04%+0.21 -11.0 22
2018-07-05 @ Ordabasy W 2-162.8 1549 1531 29.04% 25.41% 45.55%-0.21 +11.0 19
2018-07-06 Irtysh W 4-042.3 1826 1513 76.90% 16.41% 6.68%+1.36 +6.8 41
2018-07-06 @ Kairat L 0-442.3 1513 1826 6.68% 16.41% 76.90%-1.36 -6.8 17
2018-07-07 Aktobe W 2-159.8 1286 1585 14.34% 22.13% 63.53%-0.77 +14.6 18
2018-07-07 @ Kyzylzhar L 1-259.8 1585 1286 63.53% 22.13% 14.34%+0.77 -14.7 23
2018-07-07 Akzhayik L 1-259.5 1485 1502 45.69% 25.40% 28.91%+0.21 -11.0 16
2018-07-07 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-159.5 1502 1485 28.91% 25.40% 45.69%-0.21 +11.0 20
2018-07-07 Atyrau D 2-268.8 1505 1450 54.49% 24.32% 21.19%+0.46 -1.4 22
2018-07-07 @ Zhetysu D 2-268.8 1450 1505 21.19% 24.32% 54.49%-0.46 +1.4 13
2018-07-14 Atyrau W 5-142.7 1571 1452 61.33% 22.78% 15.89%+0.69 +14.4 26
2018-07-14 @ Aktobe L 1-542.7 1452 1571 15.89% 22.78% 61.33%-0.69 -14.4 13
2018-07-14 Kyzylzhar W 2-031.6 1513 1301 69.60% 19.91% 10.50%+1.01 +5.9 23
2018-07-14 @ Akzhayik L 0-231.6 1301 1513 10.50% 19.91% 69.60%-1.01 -5.9 18
2018-07-14 Shakter Karagandy W 2-042.9 1799 1474 77.69% 15.99% 6.33%+1.40 +3.3 50
2018-07-14 @ Astana L 0-242.9 1474 1799 6.33% 15.99% 77.69%-1.40 -3.4 16
2018-07-14 Tobol D 2-275.7 1560 1612 40.88% 25.65% 33.47%+0.09 -0.3 20
2018-07-14 @ Kaisar D 2-275.7 1612 1560 33.47% 25.65% 40.88%-0.09 +0.3 33
2018-07-15 Ordabasy L 1-261.0 1506 1520 46.09% 25.37% 28.54%+0.22 -11.1 17
2018-07-15 @ Irtysh W 2-161.0 1520 1506 28.54% 25.37% 46.09%-0.22 +11.1 25
2018-07-15 Zhetysu W 2-153.7 1832 1503 77.95% 15.84% 6.21%+1.42 +1.6 44
2018-07-15 @ Kairat L 1-253.7 1503 1832 6.21% 15.84% 77.95%-1.42 -1.6 22
2018-07-21 Aktobe L 1-260.4 1502 1585 36.43% 25.70% 37.87%-0.02 -9.2 22
2018-07-21 @ Zhetysu W 2-160.4 1585 1502 37.87% 25.70% 36.43%+0.02 +9.2 29
2018-07-21 Akzhayik W 2-045.8 1437 1519 36.67% 25.70% 37.63%-0.01 +18.9 16
2018-07-21 @ Atyrau L 0-245.8 1519 1437 37.63% 25.70% 36.67%+0.01 -18.9 23
2018-07-21 Kaisar D 2-271.2 1471 1560 35.70% 25.70% 38.61%-0.04 +0.1 17
2018-07-21 @ Shakter Karagandy D 2-271.2 1560 1471 38.61% 25.70% 35.70%+0.04 -0.1 21
2018-07-22 Irtysh D 1-168.7 1612 1495 61.15% 22.83% 16.02%+0.68 -2.6 34
2018-07-22 @ Tobol D 1-168.7 1495 1612 16.02% 22.83% 61.15%-0.68 +2.6 18
2018-07-22 Kairat W 2-173.2 1531 1834 14.09% 22.01% 63.89%-0.78 +14.7 28
2018-07-22 @ Ordabasy L 1-273.2 1834 1531 63.89% 22.01% 14.09%+0.78 -14.7 44
2018-07-28 Aktobe D 1-167.4 1500 1594 34.90% 25.68% 39.41%-0.06 +0.2 24
2018-07-28 @ Akzhayik D 1-167.4 1594 1500 39.41% 25.68% 34.90%+0.06 -0.2 30
2018-07-28 Atyrau W 2-042.3 1802 1456 79.02% 15.25% 5.74%+1.48 +3.0 53
2018-07-28 @ Astana L 0-242.3 1456 1802 5.74% 15.25% 79.02%-1.48 -3.0 16
2018-07-28 Kyzylzhar W 2-141.6 1559 1295 73.58% 18.11% 8.31%+1.19 +2.3 24
2018-07-28 @ Kaisar L 1-241.6 1295 1559 8.31% 18.11% 73.58%-1.19 -2.3 18
2018-07-29 Shakter Karagandy D 1-163.1 1498 1471 51.20% 24.83% 23.97%+0.37 -1.5 19
2018-07-29 @ Irtysh D 1-163.1 1471 1498 23.97% 24.83% 51.20%-0.37 +1.5 18
2018-07-29 Tobol W 1-050.8 1819 1610 69.39% 19.99% 10.62%+1.00 +3.2 47
2018-07-29 @ Kairat L 0-150.8 1610 1819 10.62% 19.99% 69.39%-1.00 -3.2 34
2018-07-29 Zhetysu L 1-263.6 1546 1492 54.33% 24.35% 21.32%+0.46 -12.8 28
2018-07-29 @ Ordabasy W 2-163.6 1492 1546 21.32% 24.35% 54.33%-0.46 +12.8 25
2018-08-04 Akzhayik D 1-164.3 1505 1500 48.51% 25.15% 26.34%+0.29 -1.2 26
2018-08-04 @ Zhetysu D 1-164.3 1500 1505 26.34% 25.15% 48.51%-0.29 +1.2 25
2018-08-04 Astana D 1-173.4 1594 1806 21.23% 24.33% 54.44%-0.46 +1.9 31
2018-08-04 @ Aktobe D 1-173.4 1806 1594 54.44% 24.33% 21.23%+0.46 -1.9 54
2018-08-04 Kaisar W 2-159.3 1453 1562 32.96% 25.63% 41.40%-0.10 +10.2 19
2018-08-04 @ Atyrau L 1-259.3 1562 1453 41.40% 25.63% 32.96%+0.10 -10.2 24
2018-08-05 Irtysh W 1-049.2 1293 1496 21.98% 24.48% 53.54%-0.43 +13.4 21
2018-08-05 @ Kyzylzhar L 0-149.2 1496 1293 53.54% 24.48% 21.98%+0.43 -13.4 19
2018-08-05 Kairat D 1-173.5 1472 1823 11.43% 20.54% 68.03%-0.94 +3.4 19
2018-08-05 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-173.5 1823 1472 68.03% 20.54% 11.43%+0.94 -3.3 48
2018-08-05 Ordabasy D 1-169.3 1607 1533 56.61% 23.92% 19.48%+0.53 -2.1 35
2018-08-05 @ Tobol D 1-169.3 1533 1607 19.48% 23.92% 56.61%-0.53 +2.1 29
2018-08-11 Kaisar W 3-153.6 1596 1552 53.34% 24.51% 22.15%+0.43 +10.7 34
2018-08-11 @ Aktobe L 1-353.6 1552 1596 22.15% 24.51% 53.34%-0.43 -10.7 24
2018-08-11 Zhetysu W 1-048.4 1604 1504 59.44% 23.27% 17.29%+0.62 +5.2 38
2018-08-11 @ Tobol L 0-148.4 1504 1604 17.29% 23.27% 59.44%-0.62 -5.2 26
2018-08-12 Irtysh W 2-042.9 1463 1483 45.36% 25.42% 29.22%+0.21 +15.6 22
2018-08-12 @ Atyrau L 0-242.9 1483 1463 29.22% 25.42% 45.36%-0.21 -15.6 19
2018-08-12 Kairat L 1-345.0 1306 1819 5.48% 14.91% 79.61%-1.51 -2.5 21
2018-08-12 @ Kyzylzhar W 3-145.0 1819 1306 79.61% 14.91% 5.48%+1.51 +2.5 51
2018-08-12 Ordabasy D 0-059.1 1476 1535 39.90% 25.67% 34.43%+0.07 -0.3 20
2018-08-12 @ Shakter Karagandy D 0-059.1 1535 1476 34.43% 25.67% 39.90%-0.07 +0.3 30
2018-08-18 Aktobe D 0-062.6 1502 1607 33.41% 25.65% 40.95%-0.09 +0.4 26
2018-08-18 @ Akzhayik D 0-062.6 1607 1502 40.95% 25.65% 33.41%+0.09 -0.4 35
2018-08-18 Tobol W 2-162.8 1479 1610 30.08% 25.49% 44.43%-0.18 +10.8 25
2018-08-18 @ Atyrau L 1-262.8 1610 1479 44.43% 25.49% 30.08%+0.18 -10.8 38
2018-08-19 Irtysh W 2-041.7 1499 1467 51.81% 24.74% 23.44%+0.38 +13.0 29
2018-08-19 @ Zhetysu L 0-241.7 1467 1499 23.44% 24.74% 51.81%-0.38 -13.0 19
2018-08-19 Ordabasy W 2-156.8 1541 1535 48.58% 25.14% 26.28%+0.29 +7.2 27
2018-08-19 @ Kaisar L 1-256.8 1535 1541 26.28% 25.14% 48.58%-0.29 -7.1 30
2018-08-25 Akzhayik W 1-048.2 1528 1502 51.15% 24.84% 24.01%+0.36 +7.0 33
2018-08-25 @ Ordabasy L 0-148.2 1502 1528 24.01% 24.84% 51.15%-0.36 -7.0 26
2018-08-25 Kaisar D 0-064.1 1599 1548 54.07% 24.39% 21.54%+0.45 -2.0 39
2018-08-25 @ Tobol D 0-064.1 1548 1599 21.54% 24.39% 54.07%-0.45 +2.0 28
2018-08-25 Shakter Karagandy D 1-161.5 1454 1475 45.09% 25.44% 29.47%+0.20 -0.8 20
2018-08-25 @ Irtysh D 1-161.5 1475 1454 29.47% 25.44% 45.09%-0.20 +0.8 21
2018-08-25 Zhetysu L 2-372.4 1606 1512 58.84% 23.42% 17.74%+0.60 -13.0 35
2018-08-25 @ Aktobe W 3-272.4 1512 1606 17.74% 23.42% 58.84%-0.60 +13.0 32
2018-08-26 Atyrau W 4-252.8 1822 1490 78.13% 15.74% 6.13%+1.43 +2.5 54
2018-08-26 @ Kairat L 2-452.8 1490 1822 6.13% 15.74% 78.13%-1.43 -2.5 25
2018-08-26 Kyzylzhar W 3-034.4 1804 1304 86.89% 10.35% 2.76%+2.01 +1.9 57
2018-08-26 @ Astana L 0-334.4 1304 1804 2.76% 10.35% 86.89%-2.01 -1.9 21
2018-09-16 Aktobe D 0-063.2 1535 1593 40.05% 25.67% 34.28%+0.07 -0.3 34
2018-09-16 @ Ordabasy D 0-063.2 1593 1535 34.28% 25.67% 40.05%-0.07 +0.3 36
2018-09-16 Akzhayik L 0-168.9 1824 1495 77.96% 15.84% 6.20%+1.42 -18.2 54
2018-09-16 @ Kairat W 1-068.9 1495 1824 6.20% 15.84% 77.96%-1.42 +18.2 29
2018-09-16 Atyrau W 2-153.3 1476 1487 46.48% 25.34% 28.19%+0.24 +7.6 24
2018-09-16 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-253.3 1487 1476 28.19% 25.34% 46.48%-0.24 -7.6 25
2018-09-16 Kaisar D 0-069.6 1806 1550 72.92% 18.42% 8.65%+1.16 -4.3 58
2018-09-16 @ Astana D 0-069.6 1550 1806 8.65% 18.42% 72.92%-1.16 +4.3 29
2018-09-16 Kyzylzhar L 0-151.0 1453 1302 64.39% 21.85% 13.76%+0.80 -15.7 20
2018-09-16 @ Irtysh W 1-051.0 1302 1453 13.76% 21.85% 64.39%-0.80 +15.7 24
2018-09-16 Zhetysu D 2-274.8 1597 1525 56.43% 23.95% 19.61%+0.52 -1.6 40
2018-09-16 @ Tobol D 2-274.8 1525 1597 19.61% 23.95% 56.43%-0.52 +1.6 33
2018-09-22 Irtysh L 0-252.2 1535 1438 59.13% 23.35% 17.52%+0.61 -27.5 34
2018-09-22 @ Ordabasy W 2-052.2 1438 1535 17.52% 23.35% 59.13%-0.61 +27.5 23
2018-09-22 Kairat W 1-066.2 1526 1806 15.65% 22.68% 61.66%-0.70 +15.1 36
2018-09-22 @ Zhetysu L 0-166.2 1806 1526 61.66% 22.68% 15.65%+0.70 -15.1 54
2018-09-22 Kyzylzhar W 3-247.5 1480 1317 65.36% 21.52% 13.12%+0.84 +3.6 28
2018-09-22 @ Atyrau L 2-347.5 1317 1480 13.12% 21.52% 65.36%-0.84 -3.6 24
2018-09-22 Shakter Karagandy W 2-153.2 1554 1484 56.25% 23.99% 19.76%+0.52 +5.6 32
2018-09-22 @ Kaisar L 1-253.2 1484 1554 19.76% 23.99% 56.25%-0.52 -5.6 24
2018-09-22 Tobol W 3-156.3 1594 1595 47.69% 25.23% 27.08%+0.27 +12.7 39
2018-09-22 @ Aktobe L 1-356.3 1595 1594 27.08% 25.23% 47.69%-0.27 -12.7 40
2018-09-23 Astana L 1-258.1 1513 1801 15.07% 22.45% 62.48%-0.73 -4.3 29
2018-09-23 @ Akzhayik W 2-158.1 1801 1513 62.48% 22.45% 15.07%+0.73 +4.3 61
2018-09-26 Astana L 0-150.7 1483 1806 12.94% 21.43% 65.63%-0.85 -3.9 28
2018-09-26 @ Atyrau W 1-050.7 1806 1483 65.63% 21.43% 12.94%+0.85 +3.9 64
2018-09-26 Irtysh W 2-042.1 1606 1465 63.45% 22.15% 14.40%+0.76 +8.3 42
2018-09-26 @ Aktobe L 0-242.1 1465 1606 14.40% 22.15% 63.45%-0.76 -8.3 23
2018-09-26 Kairat L 1-260.3 1560 1791 19.45% 23.91% 56.65%-0.53 -5.5 32
2018-09-26 @ Kaisar W 2-160.3 1791 1560 56.65% 23.91% 19.45%+0.53 +5.5 57
2018-09-26 Ordabasy D 1-166.1 1542 1507 52.10% 24.70% 23.19%+0.39 -1.6 37
2018-09-26 @ Zhetysu D 1-166.1 1507 1542 23.19% 24.70% 52.10%-0.39 +1.6 35
2018-09-26 Shakter Karagandy W 2-154.3 1314 1478 26.06% 25.12% 48.83%-0.30 +11.7 27
2018-09-26 @ Kyzylzhar L 1-254.3 1478 1314 48.83% 25.12% 26.06%+0.30 -11.7 24
2018-09-26 Tobol L 0-154.8 1509 1583 37.83% 25.70% 36.47%+0.02 -10.1 29
2018-09-26 @ Akzhayik W 1-054.8 1583 1509 36.47% 25.70% 37.83%-0.02 +10.1 43
2018-09-30 Aktobe W 6-148.9 1796 1615 67.06% 20.91% 12.03%+0.90 +13.3 60
2018-09-30 @ Kairat L 1-648.9 1615 1796 12.03% 20.91% 67.06%-0.90 -13.3 42
2018-09-30 Akzhayik W 1-048.0 1467 1499 43.66% 25.53% 30.81%+0.16 +8.6 27
2018-09-30 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-148.0 1499 1467 30.81% 25.53% 43.66%-0.16 -8.6 29
2018-09-30 Atyrau W 1-046.6 1457 1479 44.95% 25.45% 29.60%+0.19 +8.4 26
2018-09-30 @ Irtysh L 0-146.6 1479 1457 29.60% 25.45% 44.95%-0.19 -8.4 28
2018-09-30 Kaisar W 1-052.3 1326 1554 19.63% 23.96% 56.41%-0.52 +14.0 30
2018-09-30 @ Kyzylzhar L 0-152.3 1554 1326 56.41% 23.96% 19.63%+0.52 -14.0 32
2018-09-30 Ordabasy W 1-048.7 1593 1509 57.69% 23.69% 18.62%+0.56 +5.6 46
2018-09-30 @ Tobol L 0-148.7 1509 1593 18.62% 23.69% 57.69%-0.56 -5.6 35
2018-09-30 Zhetysu W 3-043.1 1809 1540 73.94% 17.93% 8.13%+1.21 +6.5 67
2018-09-30 @ Astana L 0-343.1 1540 1809 8.13% 17.93% 73.94%-1.21 -6.5 37
2018-10-06 Atyrau D 2-271.0 1540 1471 56.15% 24.01% 19.84%+0.51 -1.5 33
2018-10-06 @ Kaisar D 2-271.0 1471 1540 19.84% 24.01% 56.15%-0.51 +1.5 29
2018-10-06 Irtysh L 1-266.5 1598 1465 62.67% 22.39% 14.94%+0.74 -14.5 46
2018-10-06 @ Tobol W 2-166.5 1465 1598 14.94% 22.39% 62.67%-0.74 +14.5 29
2018-10-06 Kairat W 2-062.6 1503 1810 13.90% 21.92% 64.18%-0.79 +29.6 38
2018-10-06 @ Ordabasy L 0-262.6 1810 1503 64.18% 21.92% 13.90%+0.79 -29.6 60
2018-10-06 Kyzylzhar D 0-054.2 1490 1340 64.30% 21.88% 13.82%+0.80 -3.3 30
2018-10-06 @ Akzhayik D 0-054.2 1340 1490 13.82% 21.88% 64.30%-0.80 +3.3 31
2018-10-06 Shakter Karagandy D 1-164.7 1533 1475 54.89% 24.25% 20.86%+0.48 -1.9 38
2018-10-06 @ Zhetysu D 1-164.7 1475 1533 20.86% 24.25% 54.89%-0.48 +1.9 28
2018-10-07 Astana L 1-261.3 1601 1816 20.92% 24.26% 54.82%-0.47 -5.9 42
2018-10-07 @ Aktobe W 2-161.3 1816 1601 54.82% 24.26% 20.92%+0.47 +5.9 70
2018-10-20 Ordabasy D 1-175.2 1822 1533 75.30% 17.25% 7.45%+1.28 -4.0 71
2018-10-20 @ Astana D 1-175.2 1533 1822 7.45% 17.25% 75.30%-1.28 +4.0 39
2018-10-21 Aktobe L 0-152.2 1477 1596 31.68% 25.58% 42.75%-0.14 -8.8 28
2018-10-21 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-052.2 1596 1477 42.75% 25.58% 31.68%+0.14 +8.8 45
2018-10-21 Akzhayik W 2-153.3 1472 1487 46.03% 25.37% 28.60%+0.22 +7.7 32
2018-10-21 @ Atyrau L 1-253.3 1487 1472 28.60% 25.37% 46.03%-0.22 -7.7 30
2018-10-21 Kaisar L 0-152.8 1480 1539 39.90% 25.67% 34.42%+0.07 -10.5 29
2018-10-21 @ Irtysh W 1-052.8 1539 1480 34.42% 25.67% 39.90%-0.07 +10.5 36
2018-10-21 Tobol D 0-069.1 1780 1584 68.29% 20.44% 11.27%+0.96 -3.8 61
2018-10-21 @ Kairat D 0-069.1 1584 1780 11.27% 20.44% 68.29%-0.96 +3.8 47
2018-10-21 Zhetysu D 1-159.9 1343 1531 23.45% 24.75% 51.80%-0.38 +1.6 32
2018-10-21 @ Kyzylzhar D 1-159.9 1531 1343 51.80% 24.75% 23.45%+0.38 -1.6 39
2018-10-27 Atyrau D 0-059.5 1530 1480 53.94% 24.41% 21.65%+0.45 -2.0 40
2018-10-27 @ Zhetysu D 0-059.5 1480 1530 21.65% 24.41% 53.94%-0.45 +2.0 33
2018-10-27 Irtysh L 0-167.6 1776 1469 76.53% 16.61% 6.86%+1.34 -18.0 61
2018-10-27 @ Kairat W 1-067.6 1469 1776 6.86% 16.61% 76.53%-1.34 +17.9 32
2018-10-27 Kaisar L 0-447.1 1479 1549 38.34% 25.70% 35.97%+0.03 -36.4 30
2018-10-27 @ Akzhayik W 4-047.1 1549 1479 35.97% 25.70% 38.34%-0.03 +36.5 39
2018-10-27 Kyzylzhar W 1-038.5 1604 1344 73.25% 18.27% 8.48%+1.18 +2.5 48
2018-10-27 @ Aktobe L 0-138.5 1344 1604 8.48% 18.27% 73.25%-1.18 -2.5 32
2018-10-27 Shakter Karagandy D 1-164.7 1537 1468 56.05% 24.03% 19.92%+0.51 -2.1 40
2018-10-27 @ Ordabasy D 1-164.7 1468 1537 19.92% 24.03% 56.05%-0.51 +2.0 29
2018-10-28 Astana W 1-065.6 1588 1818 19.51% 23.93% 56.56%-0.53 +14.0 50
2018-10-28 @ Tobol L 0-165.6 1818 1588 56.56% 23.93% 19.51%+0.53 -14.0 71
2018-10-31 Astana W 3-168.6 1470 1804 12.32% 21.08% 66.59%-0.89 +26.4 32
2018-10-31 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-368.6 1804 1470 66.59% 21.08% 12.32%+0.89 -26.4 71
2018-10-31 Kairat W 2-169.7 1342 1758 8.50% 18.29% 73.21%-1.17 +16.4 35
2018-10-31 @ Kyzylzhar L 1-269.7 1758 1342 73.21% 18.29% 8.50%+1.17 -16.4 61
2018-11-03 Aktobe W 3-158.5 1482 1607 30.85% 25.53% 43.62%-0.16 +18.4 36
2018-11-03 @ Atyrau L 1-358.5 1607 1482 43.62% 25.53% 30.85%+0.16 -18.4 48
2018-11-03 Akzhayik W 2-039.9 1487 1443 53.32% 24.52% 22.16%+0.43 +12.4 35
2018-11-03 @ Irtysh L 0-239.9 1443 1487 22.16% 24.52% 53.32%-0.43 -12.4 30
2018-11-03 Kairat W 3-267.5 1777 1742 52.25% 24.68% 23.07%+0.40 +6.1 74
2018-11-03 @ Astana L 2-367.5 1742 1777 23.07% 24.68% 52.25%-0.40 -6.1 61
2018-11-03 Ordabasy L 1-249.7 1358 1535 24.72% 24.94% 50.33%-0.34 -6.8 35
2018-11-03 @ Kyzylzhar W 2-149.7 1535 1358 50.33% 24.94% 24.72%+0.34 +6.8 43
2018-11-03 Tobol W 2-162.1 1497 1602 33.48% 25.65% 40.87%-0.09 +10.1 35
2018-11-03 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-262.1 1602 1497 40.87% 25.65% 33.48%+0.09 -10.1 50
2018-11-03 Zhetysu W 1-050.0 1586 1528 54.86% 24.25% 20.89%+0.47 +6.2 42
2018-11-03 @ Kaisar L 0-150.0 1528 1586 20.89% 24.25% 54.86%-0.47 -6.2 40
2018-11-11 Akzhayik W 3-145.2 1522 1430 58.51% 23.50% 17.99%+0.59 +8.9 43
2018-11-11 @ Zhetysu L 1-345.2 1430 1522 17.99% 23.50% 58.51%-0.59 -8.9 30
2018-11-11 Atyrau W 1-048.1 1542 1501 52.94% 24.58% 22.49%+0.42 +6.6 46
2018-11-11 @ Ordabasy L 0-148.1 1501 1542 22.49% 24.58% 52.94%-0.42 -6.6 36
2018-11-11 Irtysh W 4-042.2 1783 1499 74.96% 17.43% 7.62%+1.26 +7.9 77
2018-11-11 @ Astana L 0-442.2 1499 1783 7.62% 17.43% 74.96%-1.26 -7.9 35
2018-11-11 Kaisar L 0-256.2 1588 1592 47.42% 25.26% 27.32%+0.26 -22.8 48
2018-11-11 @ Aktobe W 2-056.2 1592 1588 27.32% 25.26% 47.42%-0.26 +22.8 45
2018-11-11 Kyzylzhar W 3-033.0 1592 1352 71.76% 18.96% 9.28%+1.11 +7.5 53
2018-11-11 @ Tobol L 0-333.0 1352 1592 9.28% 18.96% 71.76%-1.11 -7.5 35
2018-11-11 Shakter Karagandy D 0-067.8 1736 1507 70.91% 19.34% 9.75%+1.07 -4.1 62
2018-11-11 @ Kairat D 0-067.8 1507 1736 9.75% 19.34% 70.91%-1.07 +4.1 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2018-05-31 5.58% Kyzylzhar 1254 1 @ Tobol 1606 0
2 2018-09-16 6.20% Akzhayik 1495 1 @ Kairat 1824 0
3 2018-10-27 6.86% Irtysh 1469 1 @ Kairat 1776 0
4 2018-10-31 8.50% @ Kyzylzhar 1342 2 Kairat 1758 1
5 2018-10-31 12.32% @ Shakter Karagandy 1470 3 Astana 1804 1
6 2018-09-16 13.76% Kyzylzhar 1302 1 @ Irtysh 1453 0
7 2018-10-06 13.90% @ Ordabasy 1503 2 Kairat 1810 0
8 2018-07-22 14.09% @ Ordabasy 1531 2 Kairat 1834 1
9 2018-07-07 14.34% @ Kyzylzhar 1286 2 Aktobe 1585 1
10 2018-05-23 14.42% @ Akzhayik 1503 3 Astana 1801 0
11 2018-10-06 14.94% Irtysh 1465 2 @ Tobol 1598 1
12 2018-09-22 15.65% @ Zhetysu 1526 1 Kairat 1806 0
13 2018-05-05 16.10% @ Shakter Karagandy 1529 1 Astana 1803 0
14 2018-05-13 16.86% @ Tobol 1570 1 Kairat 1833 0
15 2018-05-05 17.08% @ Kyzylzhar 1253 2 Akzhayik 1513 1
16 2018-05-31 17.18% Atyrau 1465 2 @ Ordabasy 1567 0
17 2018-05-05 17.28% Kaisar 1498 3 @ Tobol 1599 0
18 2018-09-22 17.52% Irtysh 1438 2 @ Ordabasy 1535 0
19 2018-08-25 17.74% Zhetysu 1512 3 @ Aktobe 1606 2
20 2018-03-17 18.49% Shakter Karagandy 1514 1 @ Tobol 1600 0
21 2018-04-14 18.53% @ Kyzylzhar 1243 1 Zhetysu 1485 0
22 2018-10-28 19.51% @ Tobol 1588 1 Astana 1818 0
23 2018-09-30 19.63% @ Kyzylzhar 1326 1 Kaisar 1554 0
24 2018-07-01 20.71% Zhetysu 1479 2 @ Irtysh 1539 0
25 2018-06-18 20.76% @ Kyzylzhar 1272 1 Shakter Karagandy 1489 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-05-23 42.50 @ Akzhayik 3 1503 14.42% Astana 0 1801 63.41% 22.16%
2 2018-05-05 40.17 Kaisar 3 1498 17.28% @ Tobol 0 1599 59.44% 23.27%
3 2018-10-27 36.45 Kaisar 4 1549 35.97% @ Akzhayik 0 1479 38.34% 25.70%
4 2018-10-06 29.57 @ Ordabasy 2 1503 13.90% Kairat 0 1810 64.18% 21.92%
5 2018-05-31 27.71 Atyrau 2 1465 17.18% @ Ordabasy 0 1567 59.58% 23.24%
6 2018-09-22 27.53 Irtysh 2 1438 17.52% @ Ordabasy 0 1535 59.13% 23.35%
7 2018-04-14 26.96 @ Akzhayik 4 1484 29.04% Ordabasy 1 1624 45.56% 25.41%
8 2018-10-31 26.41 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1470 12.32% Astana 1 1804 66.59% 21.08%
9 2018-07-01 25.86 Zhetysu 2 1479 20.71% @ Irtysh 0 1539 55.08% 24.21%
10 2018-04-07 25.19 Astana 6 1766 51.81% @ Irtysh 1 1577 23.45% 24.75%
11 2018-11-11 22.75 Kaisar 2 1592 27.32% @ Aktobe 0 1588 47.42% 25.26%
12 2018-05-09 21.64 @ Kaisar 3 1538 47.13% Shakter Karagandy 0 1544 27.59% 25.28%
13 2018-06-23 21.21 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1475 47.87% Atyrau 0 1475 26.92% 25.21%
14 2018-07-21 18.95 @ Atyrau 2 1437 36.67% Akzhayik 0 1519 37.63% 25.70%
15 2018-11-03 18.40 @ Atyrau 3 1482 30.85% Aktobe 1 1607 43.62% 25.53%
16 2018-05-31 18.37 Kyzylzhar 1 1254 5.58% @ Tobol 0 1606 79.38% 15.04%
17 2018-09-16 18.17 Akzhayik 1 1495 6.20% @ Kairat 0 1824 77.96% 15.84%
18 2018-10-27 17.95 Irtysh 1 1469 6.86% @ Kairat 0 1776 76.53% 16.61%
19 2018-06-17 17.87 Tobol 2 1588 39.51% @ Atyrau 0 1493 34.80% 25.68%
20 2018-10-31 16.42 @ Kyzylzhar 2 1342 8.50% Kairat 1 1758 73.21% 18.29%
21 2018-07-01 16.40 Tobol 3 1594 36.70% @ Akzhayik 1 1518 37.60% 25.70%
22 2018-05-14 16.37 @ Zhetysu 4 1469 31.13% Ordabasy 2 1591 43.32% 25.55%
23 2018-09-16 15.72 Kyzylzhar 1 1302 13.76% @ Irtysh 0 1453 64.39% 21.85%
24 2018-08-12 15.60 @ Atyrau 2 1463 45.36% Irtysh 0 1483 29.22% 25.42%
25 2018-09-22 15.14 @ Zhetysu 1 1526 15.65% Kairat 0 1806 61.66% 22.68%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-07-14 75.7 @ Kaisar 2 1560 40.88% Tobol 2 1612 33.47% 25.65%
2 2018-10-20 75.2 @ Astana 1 1822 75.30% Ordabasy 1 1533 7.45% 17.25%
3 2018-09-16 74.8 @ Tobol 2 1597 56.43% Zhetysu 2 1525 19.61% 23.95%
4 2018-04-14 73.8 @ Astana 1 1791 45.16% Kairat 1 1812 29.40% 25.44%
5 2018-03-31 73.5 @ Aktobe 1 1567 18.47% Kairat 1 1809 57.89% 23.64%
6 2018-08-05 73.5 @ Shakter Karagandy 1 1472 11.43% Kairat 1 1823 68.03% 20.54%
7 2018-08-04 73.4 @ Aktobe 1 1594 21.23% Astana 1 1806 54.44% 24.33%
8 2018-07-22 73.2 @ Ordabasy 2 1531 14.09% Kairat 1 1834 63.89% 22.01%
9 2018-06-23 72.5 Aktobe 3 1563 22.31% @ Tobol 2 1606 53.15% 24.54%
10 2018-08-25 72.4 Zhetysu 3 1512 17.74% @ Aktobe 2 1606 58.84% 23.42%
11 2018-06-24 71.9 Astana 2 1785 21.75% @ Kairat 1 1834 53.82% 24.44%
12 2018-07-21 71.2 @ Shakter Karagandy 2 1471 35.70% Kaisar 2 1560 38.61% 25.70%
13 2018-10-06 71.0 @ Kaisar 2 1540 56.15% Atyrau 2 1471 19.84% 24.01%
14 2018-10-31 69.7 @ Kyzylzhar 2 1342 8.50% Kairat 1 1758 73.21% 18.29%
15 2018-09-16 69.6 @ Astana 0 1806 72.92% Kaisar 0 1550 8.65% 18.42%
16 2018-08-05 69.3 @ Tobol 1 1607 56.61% Ordabasy 1 1533 19.48% 23.92%
17 2018-10-21 69.1 @ Kairat 0 1780 68.29% Tobol 0 1584 11.27% 20.44%
18 2018-09-16 68.9 Akzhayik 1 1495 6.20% @ Kairat 0 1824 77.96% 15.84%
19 2018-07-07 68.8 @ Zhetysu 2 1505 54.49% Atyrau 2 1450 21.19% 24.32%
20 2018-04-22 68.7 @ Tobol 1 1604 58.67% Akzhayik 1 1511 17.87% 23.46%
21 2018-07-22 68.7 @ Tobol 1 1612 61.15% Irtysh 1 1495 16.02% 22.83%
22 2018-10-31 68.6 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1470 12.32% Astana 1 1804 66.59% 21.08%
23 2018-07-05 68.1 @ Tobol 0 1610 23.24% Astana 0 1801 52.04% 24.71%
24 2018-11-11 67.8 @ Kairat 0 1736 70.91% Shakter Karagandy 0 1507 9.75% 19.34%
25 2018-05-27 67.7 @ Aktobe 1 1554 49.19% Irtysh 1 1544 25.74% 25.08%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-05-19 29.3 @ Irtysh 5 1533 73.57% Kyzylzhar 0 1269 8.32% 18.11%
2 2018-04-29 29.6 @ Aktobe 2 1548 75.46% Kyzylzhar 0 1257 7.37% 17.17%
3 2018-07-14 31.6 @ Akzhayik 2 1513 69.60% Kyzylzhar 0 1301 10.50% 19.91%
4 2018-11-11 33.0 @ Tobol 3 1592 71.76% Kyzylzhar 0 1352 9.28% 18.96%
5 2018-05-09 34.2 @ Astana 2 1788 87.75% Kyzylzhar 0 1267 2.49% 9.76%
6 2018-08-26 34.4 @ Astana 3 1804 86.89% Kyzylzhar 0 1304 2.76% 10.35%
7 2018-04-25 36.2 Astana 2 1797 81.02% @ Kyzylzhar 0 1259 4.90% 14.08%
8 2018-10-27 38.5 @ Aktobe 1 1604 73.25% Kyzylzhar 0 1344 8.48% 18.27%
9 2018-04-07 39.2 @ Shakter Karagandy 2 1527 74.80% Kyzylzhar 1 1245 7.69% 17.51%
10 2018-03-17 39.8 @ Ordabasy 2 1603 79.40% Kyzylzhar 1 1250 5.57% 15.03%
11 2018-11-03 39.9 @ Irtysh 2 1487 53.32% Akzhayik 0 1443 22.16% 24.52%
12 2018-06-23 40.4 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1475 47.87% Atyrau 0 1475 26.92% 25.21%
13 2018-05-27 41.0 @ Astana 3 1759 75.24% Zhetysu 0 1471 7.48% 17.28%
14 2018-06-23 41.2 @ Zhetysu 2 1476 67.73% Kyzylzhar 1 1286 11.61% 20.66%
15 2018-04-07 41.5 @ Kairat 3 1807 77.21% Akzhayik 0 1490 6.54% 16.25%
16 2018-03-11 41.6 @ Astana 3 1745 73.33% Akzhayik 0 1484 8.44% 18.23%
17 2018-07-28 41.6 @ Kaisar 2 1559 73.58% Kyzylzhar 1 1295 8.31% 18.11%
18 2018-08-19 41.7 @ Zhetysu 2 1499 51.81% Irtysh 0 1467 23.44% 24.74%
19 2018-09-26 42.1 @ Aktobe 2 1606 63.45% Irtysh 0 1465 14.40% 22.15%
20 2018-11-11 42.2 @ Astana 4 1783 74.96% Irtysh 0 1499 7.62% 17.43%
21 2018-07-06 42.3 @ Kairat 4 1826 76.90% Irtysh 0 1513 6.68% 16.41%
22 2018-07-28 42.3 @ Astana 2 1802 79.02% Atyrau 0 1456 5.74% 15.25%
23 2018-07-14 42.7 @ Aktobe 5 1571 61.33% Atyrau 1 1452 15.89% 22.78%
24 2018-07-14 42.9 @ Astana 2 1799 77.69% Shakter Karagandy 0 1474 6.33% 15.99%
25 2018-08-12 42.9 @ Atyrau 2 1463 45.36% Irtysh 0 1483 29.22% 25.42%