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2019 Kazakhstan Premier League Season

198 games

Final

Champion

Astana

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Ordabasy

9.94 points above expected

65 points · 55.06 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aktobe

10.78 points below expected

15 points · 25.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Astana 33 22 3 8 69 67 28 +39 65.89 +3.11
2 Kairat 33 22 2 9 68 65 32 +33 62.38 +5.62
3 Ordabasy 33 19 8 6 65 52 24 +28 55.06 +9.94
4 Tobol 33 19 6 8 63 45 27 +18 57.28 +5.72
5 Zhetysu 33 16 8 9 56 45 25 +20 51.19 +4.81
6 Kaisar 33 12 6 15 42 37 43 -6 50.62 -8.62
7 Okzhetpes 33 11 7 15 40 44 49 -5 33.52 +6.48
8 Irtysh 33 11 4 18 37 30 45 -15 33.55 +3.45
9 Shakter Karagandy 33 9 8 16 35 40 47 -7 43.63 -8.63
10 Taraz 33 7 8 18 29 28 60 -32 31.59 -2.59
11 Atyrau 33 6 8 19 26 25 58 -33 33.53 -7.53
12 Aktobe* 33 7 6 20 15 35 75 -40 25.78 -10.78

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

* Point deductions: Aktobe (-12 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ordabasy 65 55.06 +9.94
2 Okzhetpes 40 33.52 +6.48
3 Tobol 63 57.28 +5.72
4 Kairat 68 62.38 +5.62
5 Zhetysu 56 51.19 +4.81

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aktobe 15 25.78 -10.78
2 Shakter Karagandy 35 43.63 -8.63
3 Kaisar 42 50.62 -8.62
4 Atyrau 26 33.53 -7.53
5 Taraz 29 31.59 -2.59

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kaisar 5 Apr 27 – May 18 1 in 56
2 Okzhetpes 3 Apr 20 – May 1 1 in 37
3 Zhetysu 5 Jul 27 – Aug 25 1 in 35
4 Tobol 6 May 18 – Jun 30 1 in 31
5 Atyrau 2 Jul 6 – Jul 21 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Astana 2 May 5 – May 11 1 in 83
2 Kaisar 4 Sep 21 – Oct 25 1 in 54
3 Kairat 3 May 1 – May 12 1 in 39
4 Shakter Karagandy 5 Aug 24 – Sep 28 1 in 38
5 Irtysh 4 Apr 14 – May 1 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Taraz 6 Sep 21 – Nov 3 1 in 98
2 Ordabasy 10 Apr 20 – Jun 23 1 in 75
3 Kaisar 9 Mar 30 – May 18 1 in 69
4 Okzhetpes 5 Apr 20 – May 12 1 in 34
5 Aktobe 5 Jun 23 – Jul 20 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shakter Karagandy 10 Aug 24 – Nov 10 1 in 189
2 Kaisar 7 Sep 21 – Nov 10 1 in 52
3 Atyrau 10 Mar 15 – May 5 1 in 51
4 Aktobe 9 Apr 27 – Jun 23 1 in 46
5 Taraz 8 May 18 – Jul 14 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Astana 1748 69 +6 12 10.1 +1.9
Kairat 1707 68 -59 9 10.5 -1.5
Ordabasy 1684 65 +33 13 9.0 +4.0
Tobol 1646 63 -26 4 7.5 -3.5
Zhetysu 1646 56 +15 11 10.4 +0.6
Kaisar 1527 42 -35 2 8.3 -6.3
Okzhetpes 1498 40 +7 6 5.4 +0.6
Irtysh 1557 37 +96 9 3.5 +5.5
Shakter Karagandy 1506 35 -30 2 8.0 -6.0
Taraz 1424 29 +18 8 4.1 +3.9
Aktobe 1416 27 -20 3 3.7 -0.7
Atyrau 1398 26 +8 6 3.2 +2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AKT AST ATY IRT KAI KAI OKZ ORD SK TAR TOB ZHE
Aktobe —
0-0-3
1.81
2-1-0
4.61
2-1-0
4.56
0-0-3
2.11
2-0-1
2.61
0-0-3
4.27
0-0-3
2.79
1-1-1
3.43
0-2-1
4.89
0-0-3
2.34
0-1-2
2.54
Astana
3-0-0
6.68
—
3-0-0
6.80
1-0-2
6.84
2-0-1
4.73
2-1-0
5.69
2-1-0
6.72
1-1-1
5.28
1-0-2
6.06
2-0-1
6.95
3-0-0
5.09
2-0-1
5.48
Atyrau
0-1-2
3.80
0-0-3
1.69
—
0-0-3
4.59
1-0-2
1.96
2-0-1
2.60
0-1-2
4.17
1-1-1
2.16
1-2-0
3.12
0-2-1
4.29
0-0-3
2.32
1-1-1
2.39
Irtysh
0-1-2
3.85
2-0-1
1.64
3-0-0
3.82
—
1-0-2
1.79
1-0-2
3.06
1-0-2
4.07
0-0-3
2.31
1-1-1
3.49
2-1-0
4.57
0-1-2
2.54
0-0-3
2.60
Kairat
3-0-0
6.36
1-0-2
3.68
2-0-1
6.51
2-0-1
6.68
—
2-0-1
5.07
2-0-1
6.62
1-1-1
5.08
3-0-0
5.26
3-0-0
6.49
2-0-1
4.97
1-1-1
5.49
Kaisar
1-0-2
5.83
0-1-2
2.73
1-0-2
5.83
2-0-1
5.36
1-0-2
3.34
—
1-1-1
5.57
2-1-0
3.55
1-1-1
4.78
1-1-1
5.66
2-1-0
3.67
0-0-3
4.56
Okzhetpes
3-0-0
4.14
0-1-2
1.76
2-1-0
4.24
2-0-1
4.34
1-0-2
1.85
1-1-1
2.85
—
0-1-2
2.58
0-2-1
3.14
2-0-1
4.61
0-0-3
2.10
0-1-2
2.99
Ordabasy
3-0-0
5.64
1-1-1
3.13
1-1-1
6.29
3-0-0
6.14
1-1-1
3.33
0-1-2
4.87
2-1-0
5.85
—
3-0-0
4.93
2-0-1
6.35
1-2-0
3.88
2-1-0
4.51
Shakter Karagandy
1-1-1
4.98
2-0-1
2.38
0-2-1
5.31
1-1-1
4.92
0-0-3
3.16
1-1-1
3.63
1-2-0
5.28
0-0-3
3.48
—
2-1-0
5.31
0-0-3
3.28
1-0-2
3.42
Taraz
1-2-0
3.52
1-0-2
1.54
1-2-0
4.12
0-1-2
3.84
0-0-3
1.97
1-1-1
2.77
1-0-2
3.80
1-0-2
2.11
0-1-2
3.11
—
0-0-3
2.46
1-1-1
2.17
Tobol
3-0-0
6.10
0-0-3
3.32
3-0-0
6.12
2-1-0
5.90
1-0-2
3.44
0-1-2
4.74
3-0-0
6.35
0-2-1
4.53
3-0-0
5.13
3-0-0
5.98
—
1-2-0
4.94
Zhetysu
2-1-0
5.89
1-0-2
2.94
1-1-1
6.05
3-0-0
5.83
1-1-1
2.92
3-0-0
3.85
2-1-0
5.43
0-1-2
3.89
2-0-1
5.00
1-1-1
6.29
0-2-1
3.47
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +11.6
Allowed 0.90 -10.7
Differential 0.96 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%10.61%6.82%4.29%1.77%1.52%32.58%
110.61%7.58%7.83%2.27%2.02%0.76%31.06%
26.82%7.83%3.54%2.02%0.25%0.25%20.71%
34.29%2.27%2.02%——0.25%8.84%
41.77%2.02%0.25%———4.04%
5+1.52%0.76%0.25%0.25%——2.78%
Total32.58%31.06%20.71%8.84%4.04%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 2.01
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.06%3.03%9.09%3.03%9.09%30.30%
16.06%12.12%12.12%6.06%6.06%—42.42%
23.03%3.03%6.06%6.06%——18.18%
3—3.03%6.06%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%24.24%27.27%21.21%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 2.27 -1.21
SD 0.93 1.48 2.03
CV 0.88 0.65 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%9.09%———18.18%
112.12%6.06%6.06%———24.24%
26.06%12.12%—3.03%——21.21%
36.06%6.06%3.03%———15.15%
46.06%9.09%————15.15%
5+6.06%—————6.06%
Total39.39%39.39%18.18%3.03%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.85 +1.18
SD 1.53 0.83 1.96
CV 0.75 0.98 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%12.12%15.15%——39.39%
112.12%12.12%6.06%12.12%3.03%—45.45%
2—6.06%6.06%3.03%——15.15%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%24.24%24.24%30.30%3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.76 -1.00
SD 0.71 1.17 1.41
CV 0.94 0.67 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%15.15%6.06%9.09%—54.55%
19.09%3.03%9.09%———21.21%
26.06%6.06%————12.12%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
4——3.03%———3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total30.30%27.27%27.27%6.06%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.36 -0.45
SD 1.31 1.25 2.11
CV 1.44 0.91 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%—3.03%—3.03%24.24%
16.06%—6.06%3.03%——15.15%
218.18%15.15%————33.33%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
43.03%9.09%————12.12%
5+3.03%3.03%—3.03%——9.09%
Total39.39%42.42%6.06%9.09%—3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 0.97 +1.00
SD 1.67 1.16 2.19
CV 0.85 1.20 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%21.21%3.03%6.06%——36.36%
16.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%30.30%
29.09%12.12%3.03%———24.24%
3—6.06%————6.06%
4———————
5+—3.03%————3.03%
Total21.21%51.52%12.12%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.30 -0.18
SD 1.17 1.19 1.78
CV 1.04 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
112.12%9.09%15.15%—3.03%3.03%42.42%
23.03%6.06%9.09%3.03%——21.21%
33.03%3.03%————6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+——3.03%———3.03%
Total24.24%30.30%30.30%6.06%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.48 -0.15
SD 1.29 1.28 1.92
CV 0.97 0.86 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%3.03%———21.21%
115.15%12.12%6.06%—3.03%—36.36%
26.06%6.06%————12.12%
315.15%3.03%6.06%———24.24%
43.03%3.03%————6.06%
5+———————
Total51.52%30.30%15.15%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.73 +0.85
SD 1.25 0.94 1.62
CV 0.79 1.30 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%—33.33%
19.09%3.03%12.12%———24.24%
23.03%6.06%12.12%9.09%3.03%—33.33%
36.06%—————6.06%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+———————
Total30.30%21.21%30.30%12.12%6.06%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.42 -0.21
SD 1.08 1.23 1.67
CV 0.89 0.86 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%9.09%6.06%3.03%6.06%48.48%
13.03%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%—24.24%
29.09%3.03%6.06%——3.03%21.21%
3——6.06%———6.06%
4———————
5+———————
Total21.21%27.27%27.27%9.09%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.82 -0.97
SD 0.97 1.59 1.91
CV 1.15 0.87 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%9.09%———24.24%
124.24%6.06%6.06%——3.03%39.39%
212.12%9.09%————21.21%
36.06%————3.03%9.09%
4—3.03%————3.03%
5+3.03%—————3.03%
Total57.58%21.21%15.15%——6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.82 +0.55
SD 1.22 1.31 1.80
CV 0.89 1.60 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%9.09%———36.36%
112.12%9.09%3.03%—3.03%—27.27%
26.06%9.09%————15.15%
39.09%—3.03%———12.12%
43.03%—————3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%————6.06%
Total48.48%33.33%15.15%—3.03%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.76 +0.61
SD 1.48 0.94 1.89
CV 1.08 1.24 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Astana 1748 69 65.89 +3.11 69.0% 52 54 61 66 70 76 83
Kairat 1707 68 62.38 +5.62 80.0% 43 50 58 63 67 73 81
Ordabasy 1684 65 55.06 +9.94 93.0% 36 41 49 55 60 67 74
Zhetysu 1646 56 51.19 +4.81 73.0% 33 38 46 51 57 63 68
Tobol 1646 63 57.28 +5.72 80.0% 36 43 52 58 63 70 74
Irtysh 1557 37 33.55 +3.45 73.0% 20 23 29 34 38 43 47
Kaisar 1527 42 50.62 -8.62 12.0% 35 39 45 50 55 64 68
Shakter Karagandy 1506 35 43.63 -8.63 13.0% 26 31 39 43 49 56 60
Okzhetpes 1498 40 33.52 +6.48 82.0% 19 23 27 34 37 47 52
Taraz 1424 29 31.59 -2.59 45.0% 17 20 26 32 37 43 50
Aktobe 1416 15 25.78 -10.78 7.0% 10 15 21 25 29 37 49
Atyrau 1398 26 33.53 -7.53 15.0% 15 23 29 34 37 45 54

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.59%
No Edge
44.95%18.69%36.36%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 29.90 Elo pts.
167 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.35 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
50%
Astana, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.71 * Some Luck: 5.71 to 8.57 * Lucky: 8.57 to 11.42 * Wild Swing: 11.42 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.06 * Close: 1.06 to 1.58 * Off: 1.58 to 2.11 * Way Off: 2.11 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.94 points
Some Luck
07.1418
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.323
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
Ordabasy
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
7.00%
Aktobe
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 79% * Wide Edge: 79% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 98.5% * Dominant: 98.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 64% * Frequent: 64% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13.5% * Occasional: 13.5% to 15.5% * Frequent: 15.5% to 18.5% * Very Frequent: 18.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.22
Top-Heavy
00.170.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 120.74
2.32
Strong Separation
0.91.752.353
Interquartile Edge
73%
Slight Edge
50%70.5%79%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Even
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Some Drama
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Very Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.49 * Lopsided: 0.49 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.64 * Strong Carryover: 0.64 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Upset-Prone: 20.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.36
Very Even
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.95
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.63
Some Carryover
00.470.641
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Very Upset-Prone
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.37
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.88
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.049
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Astana50.00%27.00%12.00%8.00%2.00%1.00%——————
Kairat29.00%27.00%21.00%12.00%5.00%5.00%1.00%—————
Ordabasy8.00%10.00%22.00%27.00%15.00%14.00%2.00%—2.00%———
Tobol11.00%23.00%15.00%21.00%11.00%14.00%3.00%——2.00%——
Zhetysu—9.00%13.00%15.00%26.00%16.00%11.00%8.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Kaisar2.00%4.00%12.00%12.00%23.00%19.00%20.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%——
Okzhetpes———2.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%17.00%23.00%15.00%22.00%8.00%
Irtysh—————5.00%8.00%18.00%20.00%23.00%20.00%6.00%
Shakter Karagandy——4.00%3.00%11.00%18.00%32.00%18.00%7.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%
Taraz—————2.00%10.00%13.00%15.00%22.00%17.00%21.00%
Atyrau——1.00%—1.00%3.00%8.00%16.00%22.00%22.00%17.00%10.00%
Aktobe————1.00%——5.00%8.00%10.00%22.00%54.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Astana 100% — —
Kairat 100% — —
Kaisar 99.00% 1.00% —
Ordabasy 100% — —
Tobol 98.00% 2.00% —
Zhetysu 99.00% — 1.00%
Shakter Karagandy 93.00% 5.00% 2.00%
Irtysh 51.00% 23.00% 26.00%
Atyrau 51.00% 22.00% 27.00%
Okzhetpes 55.00% 15.00% 30.00%
Taraz 40.00% 22.00% 38.00%
Aktobe 14.00% 10.00% 76.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2019-03-09 Irtysh W 3-047.0 1589 1529 52.19% 19.50% 28.31%+0.53 +19.0 3
2019-03-09 @ Tobol L 0-347.0 1529 1589 28.31% 19.50% 52.19%-0.53 -19.0 0
2019-03-09 Okzhetpes W 5-143.5 1551 1435 58.85% 18.99% 22.15%+0.87 +16.7 3
2019-03-09 @ Zhetysu L 1-543.5 1435 1551 22.15% 18.99% 58.85%-0.87 -16.7 0
2019-03-09 Shakter Karagandy W 3-048.1 1560 1542 46.89% 19.72% 33.39%+0.29 +21.9 3
2019-03-09 @ Ordabasy L 0-348.1 1542 1560 33.39% 19.72% 46.89%-0.29 -21.9 0
2019-03-10 Aktobe W 4-153.2 1696 1570 59.87% 18.89% 21.25%+0.93 +12.4 3
2019-03-10 @ Astana L 1-453.2 1570 1696 21.25% 18.89% 59.87%-0.93 -12.4 0
2019-03-10 Atyrau L 0-160.0 1599 1532 53.19% 19.45% 27.36%+0.58 -11.8 0
2019-03-10 @ Kaisar W 1-060.0 1532 1599 27.36% 19.45% 53.19%-0.58 +11.8 3
2019-03-10 Taraz W 2-046.4 1665 1491 64.76% 18.24% 17.00%+1.22 +8.2 3
2019-03-10 @ Kairat L 0-246.4 1491 1665 17.00% 18.24% 64.76%-1.22 -8.2 0
2019-03-15 Aktobe W 1-054.1 1582 1558 47.68% 19.70% 32.62%+0.33 +7.8 6
2019-03-15 @ Ordabasy L 0-154.1 1558 1582 32.62% 19.70% 47.68%-0.33 -7.8 0
2019-03-15 Irtysh L 1-359.0 1544 1510 48.83% 19.66% 31.51%+0.38 -17.8 3
2019-03-15 @ Atyrau W 3-159.0 1510 1544 31.51% 19.66% 48.83%-0.38 +17.8 3
2019-03-15 Okzhetpes W 2-151.7 1708 1418 73.88% 16.25% 9.88%+1.91 +2.4 6
2019-03-15 @ Astana L 1-251.7 1418 1708 9.88% 16.25% 73.88%-1.91 -2.4 0
2019-03-15 Shakter Karagandy W 2-156.8 1674 1520 62.77% 18.53% 18.70%+1.10 +4.5 6
2019-03-15 @ Kairat L 1-256.8 1520 1674 18.70% 18.53% 62.77%-1.10 -4.5 0
2019-03-15 Taraz W 4-148.9 1608 1483 59.83% 18.89% 21.28%+0.93 +12.4 6
2019-03-15 @ Tobol L 1-448.9 1483 1608 21.28% 18.89% 59.83%-0.93 -12.4 0
2019-03-15 Zhetysu L 0-158.9 1587 1568 47.01% 19.72% 33.27%+0.30 -10.6 0
2019-03-15 @ Kaisar W 1-058.9 1568 1587 33.27% 19.72% 47.01%-0.30 +10.6 6
2019-03-30 Astana L 0-252.4 1578 1710 26.81% 19.41% 53.78%-0.61 -12.5 6
2019-03-30 @ Zhetysu W 2-052.4 1710 1578 53.78% 19.41% 26.81%+0.61 +12.5 9
2019-03-30 Atyrau W 2-049.5 1470 1526 36.47% 19.79% 43.74%-0.15 +18.8 3
2019-03-30 @ Taraz L 0-249.5 1526 1470 43.74% 19.79% 36.47%+0.15 -18.8 3
2019-03-30 Kaisar L 0-154.6 1528 1577 37.46% 19.80% 42.74%-0.11 -8.8 3
2019-03-30 @ Irtysh W 1-054.6 1577 1528 42.74% 19.80% 37.46%+0.11 +8.8 3
2019-03-31 Kairat L 1-357.4 1550 1678 27.23% 19.44% 53.33%-0.59 -11.0 0
2019-03-31 @ Aktobe W 3-157.4 1678 1550 53.33% 19.44% 27.23%+0.59 +11.0 9
2019-03-31 Ordabasy D 0-061.0 1416 1590 22.34% 19.01% 58.65%-0.86 +2.1 1
2019-03-31 @ Okzhetpes D 0-061.0 1590 1416 58.65% 19.01% 22.34%+0.86 -2.1 7
2019-03-31 Tobol L 0-153.2 1515 1620 30.03% 19.60% 50.37%-0.45 -7.3 0
2019-03-31 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-053.2 1620 1515 50.37% 19.60% 30.03%+0.45 +7.3 9
2019-04-03 Atyrau W 3-152.9 1723 1507 68.39% 17.59% 14.02%+1.47 +5.9 12
2019-04-03 @ Astana L 1-352.9 1507 1723 14.02% 17.59% 68.39%-1.47 -5.9 3
2019-04-06 Aktobe W 2-158.3 1627 1539 55.74% 19.27% 24.99%+0.71 +5.9 12
2019-04-06 @ Tobol L 1-258.3 1539 1627 24.99% 19.27% 55.74%-0.71 -5.9 0
2019-04-06 Okzhetpes W 4-145.6 1689 1418 72.60% 16.61% 10.80%+1.80 +6.4 12
2019-04-06 @ Kairat L 1-445.6 1418 1689 10.80% 16.61% 72.60%-1.80 -6.4 1
2019-04-06 Taraz W 2-046.3 1520 1489 48.49% 19.67% 31.84%+0.36 +14.5 6
2019-04-06 @ Irtysh L 0-246.3 1489 1520 31.84% 19.67% 48.49%-0.36 -14.5 3
2019-04-06 Zhetysu W 1-054.6 1588 1566 47.35% 19.71% 32.94%+0.31 +7.9 10
2019-04-06 @ Ordabasy L 0-154.6 1566 1588 32.94% 19.71% 47.35%-0.31 -7.9 6
2019-04-07 Astana D 0-069.0 1586 1729 25.55% 19.31% 55.13%-0.68 +1.7 4
2019-04-07 @ Kaisar D 0-069.0 1729 1586 55.13% 19.31% 25.55%+0.68 -1.7 13
2019-04-07 Shakter Karagandy D 0-060.9 1501 1508 43.35% 19.80% 36.85%+0.14 -0.4 4
2019-04-07 @ Atyrau D 0-060.9 1508 1501 36.85% 19.80% 43.35%-0.14 +0.4 1
2019-04-14 Atyrau W 2-047.2 1533 1501 48.71% 19.66% 31.62%+0.37 +14.4 3
2019-04-14 @ Aktobe L 0-247.2 1501 1533 31.62% 19.66% 48.71%-0.37 -14.4 4
2019-04-14 Irtysh W 4-047.3 1508 1534 40.71% 19.82% 39.47%+0.03 +32.7 4
2019-04-14 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-447.3 1534 1508 39.47% 19.82% 40.71%-0.03 -32.7 6
2019-04-14 Kairat W 3-058.1 1558 1695 26.19% 19.36% 54.45%-0.64 +33.0 9
2019-04-14 @ Zhetysu L 0-358.1 1695 1558 54.45% 19.36% 26.19%+0.64 -33.0 12
2019-04-14 Kaisar L 1-256.3 1474 1587 29.06% 19.55% 51.39%-0.50 -6.7 3
2019-04-14 @ Taraz W 2-156.3 1587 1474 51.39% 19.55% 29.06%+0.50 +6.7 7
2019-04-14 Ordabasy W 2-159.7 1727 1596 60.48% 18.82% 20.70%+0.96 +5.0 16
2019-04-14 @ Astana L 1-259.7 1596 1727 20.70% 18.82% 60.48%-0.96 -4.9 10
2019-04-14 Tobol L 1-252.1 1412 1633 18.02% 18.42% 63.56%-1.15 -4.3 1
2019-04-14 @ Okzhetpes W 2-152.1 1633 1412 63.56% 18.42% 18.02%+1.15 +4.4 15
2019-04-20 Aktobe L 0-152.7 1501 1547 37.78% 19.81% 42.41%-0.10 -8.8 6
2019-04-20 @ Irtysh W 1-052.7 1547 1501 42.41% 19.81% 37.78%+0.10 +8.8 6
2019-04-20 Astana L 0-158.9 1662 1732 34.57% 19.76% 45.67%-0.24 -8.2 12
2019-04-20 @ Kairat W 1-058.9 1732 1662 45.67% 19.76% 34.57%+0.24 +8.2 19
2019-04-20 Okzhetpes L 1-257.9 1486 1407 54.61% 19.35% 26.04%+0.65 -11.4 4
2019-04-20 @ Atyrau W 2-157.9 1407 1486 26.04% 19.35% 54.61%-0.65 +11.4 4
2019-04-20 Ordabasy D 0-066.6 1594 1591 44.75% 19.78% 35.48%+0.20 -0.5 8
2019-04-20 @ Kaisar D 0-066.6 1591 1594 35.48% 19.78% 44.75%-0.20 +0.5 11
2019-04-20 Shakter Karagandy L 1-255.9 1468 1541 34.06% 19.74% 46.20%-0.26 -7.6 3
2019-04-20 @ Taraz W 2-155.9 1541 1468 46.20% 19.74% 34.06%+0.26 +7.6 7
2019-04-20 Zhetysu D 0-067.6 1638 1591 50.59% 19.59% 29.83%+0.46 -1.2 16
2019-04-20 @ Tobol D 0-067.6 1591 1638 29.83% 19.59% 50.59%-0.46 +1.2 10
2019-04-24 Atyrau W 2-045.5 1654 1475 65.21% 18.17% 16.62%+1.25 +8.1 15
2019-04-24 @ Kairat L 0-245.5 1475 1654 16.62% 18.17% 65.21%-1.25 -8.1 4
2019-04-27 Atyrau D 0-063.0 1592 1467 59.85% 18.89% 21.26%+0.93 -2.2 11
2019-04-27 @ Zhetysu D 0-063.0 1467 1592 21.26% 18.89% 59.85%-0.93 +2.2 5
2019-04-27 Irtysh W 1-050.2 1419 1492 34.02% 19.74% 46.23%-0.26 +10.4 7
2019-04-27 @ Okzhetpes L 0-150.2 1492 1419 46.23% 19.74% 34.02%+0.26 -10.4 6
2019-04-27 Kairat D 0-068.0 1591 1662 34.38% 19.75% 45.87%-0.25 +0.6 12
2019-04-27 @ Ordabasy D 0-068.0 1662 1591 45.87% 19.75% 34.38%+0.25 -0.6 16
2019-04-27 Kaisar L 0-155.9 1549 1593 38.00% 19.81% 42.19%-0.09 -8.9 7
2019-04-27 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-055.9 1593 1549 42.19% 19.81% 38.00%+0.09 +8.9 11
2019-04-27 Taraz L 2-367.9 1556 1460 56.62% 19.20% 24.19%+0.75 -11.2 6
2019-04-27 @ Aktobe W 3-267.9 1460 1556 24.19% 19.20% 56.62%-0.75 +11.2 6
2019-04-27 Tobol W 2-161.1 1740 1636 57.49% 19.12% 23.39%+0.80 +5.5 22
2019-04-27 @ Astana L 1-261.1 1636 1740 23.39% 19.12% 57.49%-0.80 -5.5 16
2019-05-01 Aktobe W 3-048.5 1540 1545 43.61% 19.79% 36.59%+0.15 +23.6 10
2019-05-01 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-348.5 1545 1540 36.59% 19.79% 43.61%-0.15 -23.6 6
2019-05-01 Astana L 0-344.7 1469 1746 13.95% 17.58% 68.47%-1.48 -9.9 5
2019-05-01 @ Atyrau W 3-044.7 1746 1469 68.47% 17.58% 13.95%+1.48 +9.9 25
2019-05-01 Kairat W 2-166.3 1602 1662 35.94% 19.78% 44.28%-0.18 +9.5 14
2019-05-01 @ Kaisar L 1-266.3 1662 1602 44.28% 19.78% 35.94%+0.18 -9.5 16
2019-05-01 Okzhetpes L 2-650.4 1471 1429 50.00% 19.61% 30.38%+0.43 -28.2 6
2019-05-01 @ Taraz W 6-250.4 1429 1471 30.38% 19.61% 50.00%-0.43 +28.2 10
2019-05-01 Ordabasy D 1-172.3 1631 1592 49.59% 19.63% 30.78%+0.41 -0.9 17
2019-05-01 @ Tobol D 1-172.3 1592 1631 30.78% 19.63% 49.59%-0.41 +0.9 13
2019-05-01 Zhetysu L 0-345.9 1482 1590 29.64% 19.58% 50.78%-0.47 -19.8 6
2019-05-01 @ Irtysh W 3-045.9 1590 1482 50.78% 19.58% 29.64%+0.47 +19.8 14
2019-05-05 Atyrau D 1-167.7 1593 1459 60.74% 18.79% 20.47%+0.98 -2.1 14
2019-05-05 @ Ordabasy D 1-167.7 1459 1593 20.47% 18.79% 60.74%-0.98 +2.1 6
2019-05-05 Irtysh L 0-167.5 1756 1462 74.14% 16.17% 9.69%+1.94 -16.0 25
2019-05-05 @ Astana W 1-067.5 1462 1756 9.69% 16.17% 74.14%-1.94 +16.0 9
2019-05-05 Kaisar L 1-356.6 1521 1612 31.85% 19.67% 48.47%-0.36 -12.5 6
2019-05-05 @ Aktobe W 3-156.6 1612 1521 48.47% 19.67% 31.85%+0.36 +12.5 17
2019-05-05 Shakter Karagandy D 2-272.2 1457 1563 29.87% 19.59% 50.54%-0.46 +0.8 11
2019-05-05 @ Okzhetpes D 2-272.2 1563 1457 50.54% 19.59% 29.87%+0.46 -0.8 11
2019-05-05 Taraz W 1-046.4 1610 1443 64.02% 18.35% 17.62%+1.18 +4.5 17
2019-05-05 @ Zhetysu L 0-146.4 1443 1610 17.62% 18.35% 64.02%-1.18 -4.5 6
2019-05-05 Tobol L 0-161.6 1652 1630 47.37% 19.71% 32.92%+0.31 -10.6 16
2019-05-05 @ Kairat W 1-061.6 1630 1652 32.92% 19.71% 47.37%-0.31 +10.6 20
2019-05-11 Astana W 2-062.7 1439 1740 12.44% 17.15% 70.41%-1.62 +28.9 9
2019-05-11 @ Taraz L 0-262.7 1740 1439 70.41% 17.15% 12.44%+1.62 -28.9 25
2019-05-11 Ordabasy L 0-247.7 1478 1591 29.08% 19.55% 51.37%-0.50 -13.4 9
2019-05-11 @ Irtysh W 2-047.7 1591 1478 51.37% 19.55% 29.08%+0.50 +13.4 17
2019-05-12 Kairat W 2-166.6 1461 1642 21.72% 18.94% 59.33%-0.90 +12.3 9
2019-05-12 @ Atyrau L 1-266.6 1642 1461 59.33% 18.94% 21.72%+0.90 -12.3 16
2019-05-12 Okzhetpes L 0-250.5 1509 1458 51.11% 19.56% 29.32%+0.48 -21.5 6
2019-05-12 @ Aktobe W 2-050.5 1458 1509 29.32% 19.56% 51.11%-0.48 +21.5 14
2019-05-12 Tobol W 5-156.6 1624 1641 42.02% 19.81% 38.17%+0.08 +26.5 20
2019-05-12 @ Kaisar L 1-556.6 1641 1624 38.17% 19.81% 42.02%-0.08 -26.6 20
2019-05-12 Zhetysu W 2-055.3 1563 1614 37.04% 19.80% 43.16%-0.13 +18.6 14
2019-05-12 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-255.3 1614 1563 43.16% 19.80% 37.04%+0.13 -18.5 17
2019-05-15 Astana L 0-443.9 1465 1711 16.11% 18.07% 65.82%-1.29 -14.8 9
2019-05-15 @ Irtysh W 4-043.9 1711 1465 65.82% 18.07% 16.11%+1.29 +14.8 28
2019-05-18 Aktobe D 1-168.7 1596 1488 57.98% 19.08% 22.94%+0.83 -1.8 18
2019-05-18 @ Zhetysu D 1-168.7 1488 1596 22.94% 19.08% 57.98%-0.83 +1.8 7
2019-05-18 Atyrau W 3-043.3 1614 1474 61.44% 18.70% 19.86%+1.02 +13.8 23
2019-05-18 @ Tobol L 0-343.3 1474 1614 19.86% 18.70% 61.44%-1.02 -13.8 9
2019-05-18 Kaisar L 1-256.5 1480 1651 22.61% 19.04% 58.34%-0.85 -5.4 14
2019-05-18 @ Okzhetpes W 2-156.5 1651 1480 58.34% 19.04% 22.61%+0.85 +5.4 23
2019-05-18 Taraz W 3-042.8 1604 1467 61.06% 18.75% 20.19%+1.00 +14.0 20
2019-05-18 @ Ordabasy L 0-342.8 1467 1604 20.19% 18.75% 61.06%-1.00 -14.1 9
2019-05-19 Irtysh W 2-152.8 1629 1450 65.21% 18.17% 16.62%+1.25 +4.0 19
2019-05-19 @ Kairat L 1-252.8 1450 1629 16.62% 18.17% 65.21%-1.25 -4.0 9
2019-05-19 Shakter Karagandy L 1-271.8 1726 1581 61.83% 18.66% 19.52%+1.04 -12.8 28
2019-05-19 @ Astana W 2-171.8 1581 1726 19.52% 18.66% 61.83%-1.04 +12.8 17
2019-05-26 Astana D 1-172.0 1474 1713 16.67% 18.18% 65.15%-1.25 +2.6 15
2019-05-26 @ Okzhetpes D 1-172.0 1713 1474 65.15% 18.18% 16.67%+1.25 -2.6 29
2019-05-26 Atyrau W 1-047.5 1446 1460 42.39% 19.81% 37.81%+0.10 +8.8 12
2019-05-26 @ Irtysh L 0-147.5 1460 1446 37.81% 19.81% 42.39%-0.10 -8.8 9
2019-05-26 Kairat L 1-264.0 1594 1633 38.75% 19.81% 41.43%-0.06 -8.5 17
2019-05-26 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-164.0 1633 1594 41.43% 19.81% 38.75%+0.06 +8.5 22
2019-05-26 Kaisar W 1-060.3 1594 1656 35.54% 19.78% 44.68%-0.19 +10.1 21
2019-05-26 @ Zhetysu L 0-160.3 1656 1594 44.68% 19.78% 35.54%+0.19 -10.1 23
2019-05-26 Ordabasy L 0-346.3 1489 1618 27.15% 19.43% 53.42%-0.59 -18.3 7
2019-05-26 @ Aktobe W 3-046.3 1618 1489 53.42% 19.43% 27.15%+0.59 +18.3 23
2019-05-26 Tobol L 0-149.0 1453 1628 22.28% 19.01% 58.72%-0.87 -5.6 9
2019-05-26 @ Taraz W 1-049.0 1628 1453 58.72% 19.01% 22.28%+0.87 +5.6 26
2019-05-31 Aktobe W 3-043.2 1642 1471 64.42% 18.29% 17.28%+1.20 +12.2 25
2019-05-31 @ Kairat L 0-343.2 1471 1642 17.28% 18.29% 64.42%-1.20 -12.2 7
2019-05-31 Irtysh W 2-044.3 1646 1455 66.29% 17.99% 15.73%+1.32 +7.6 26
2019-05-31 @ Kaisar L 0-244.3 1455 1646 15.73% 17.99% 66.29%-1.32 -7.6 12
2019-05-31 Okzhetpes W 3-043.5 1637 1477 63.36% 18.45% 18.19%+1.14 +12.8 26
2019-05-31 @ Ordabasy L 0-343.5 1477 1637 18.19% 18.45% 63.36%-1.14 -12.8 15
2019-05-31 Shakter Karagandy W 2-052.1 1634 1586 50.76% 19.58% 29.66%+0.47 +13.6 29
2019-05-31 @ Tobol L 0-252.1 1586 1634 29.66% 19.58% 50.76%-0.47 -13.6 17
2019-05-31 Taraz D 1-161.8 1451 1448 44.77% 19.77% 35.45%+0.20 -0.5 10
2019-05-31 @ Atyrau D 1-161.8 1448 1451 35.45% 19.77% 44.77%-0.20 +0.5 10
2019-05-31 Zhetysu W 1-054.6 1710 1604 57.77% 19.10% 23.13%+0.81 +5.8 32
2019-05-31 @ Astana L 0-154.6 1604 1710 23.13% 19.10% 57.77%-0.81 -5.8 21
2019-06-15 Tobol L 0-149.3 1459 1647 20.95% 18.85% 60.20%-0.95 -5.3 7
2019-06-15 @ Aktobe W 1-049.3 1647 1459 60.20% 18.85% 20.95%+0.95 +5.3 32
2019-06-16 Atyrau D 1-166.5 1572 1451 59.44% 18.93% 21.63%+0.91 -2.0 18
2019-06-16 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-166.5 1451 1572 21.63% 18.93% 59.44%-0.91 +2.0 11
2019-06-16 Irtysh D 0-056.8 1448 1447 44.47% 19.78% 35.75%+0.19 -0.5 11
2019-06-16 @ Taraz D 0-056.8 1447 1448 35.75% 19.78% 44.47%-0.19 +0.5 13
2019-06-16 Kairat L 1-255.5 1464 1654 20.81% 18.83% 60.36%-0.96 -5.0 15
2019-06-16 @ Okzhetpes W 2-155.5 1654 1464 60.36% 18.83% 20.81%+0.96 +5.0 28
2019-06-16 Kaisar W 4-156.6 1716 1654 52.57% 19.48% 27.95%+0.55 +15.8 35
2019-06-16 @ Astana L 1-456.6 1654 1716 27.95% 19.48% 52.57%-0.55 -15.9 26
2019-06-16 Ordabasy D 1-172.7 1598 1649 37.07% 19.80% 43.13%-0.13 +0.3 22
2019-06-16 @ Zhetysu D 1-172.7 1649 1598 43.13% 19.80% 37.07%+0.13 -0.3 27
2019-06-23 Aktobe D 1-162.0 1452 1454 44.18% 19.79% 36.03%+0.17 -0.4 12
2019-06-23 @ Atyrau D 1-162.0 1454 1452 36.03% 19.79% 44.18%-0.17 +0.4 8
2019-06-23 Astana W 3-273.6 1649 1732 32.82% 19.71% 47.47%-0.32 +9.5 30
2019-06-23 @ Ordabasy L 2-373.6 1732 1649 47.47% 19.71% 32.82%+0.32 -9.5 35
2019-06-23 Okzhetpes W 2-044.6 1652 1459 66.47% 17.95% 15.57%+1.34 +7.6 35
2019-06-23 @ Tobol L 0-244.6 1459 1652 15.57% 17.95% 66.47%-1.34 -7.6 15
2019-06-23 Shakter Karagandy D 0-061.3 1448 1570 27.92% 19.48% 52.60%-0.55 +1.4 14
2019-06-23 @ Irtysh D 0-061.3 1570 1448 52.60% 19.48% 27.92%+0.55 -1.4 19
2019-06-23 Taraz D 1-169.1 1638 1448 66.18% 18.01% 15.81%+1.32 -2.7 27
2019-06-23 @ Kaisar D 1-169.1 1448 1638 15.81% 18.01% 66.18%-1.32 +2.7 12
2019-06-23 Zhetysu D 0-068.1 1659 1598 52.34% 19.50% 28.16%+0.54 -1.4 29
2019-06-23 @ Kairat D 0-068.1 1598 1659 28.16% 19.50% 52.34%-0.54 +1.4 23
2019-06-30 Atyrau W 3-041.8 1452 1452 44.25% 19.78% 35.96%+0.18 +23.2 18
2019-06-30 @ Okzhetpes L 0-341.8 1452 1452 35.96% 19.78% 44.25%-0.18 -23.2 12
2019-06-30 Irtysh W 2-152.5 1454 1449 45.00% 19.77% 35.23%+0.21 +7.9 11
2019-06-30 @ Aktobe L 1-252.5 1449 1454 35.23% 19.77% 45.00%-0.21 -7.9 14
2019-06-30 Kairat L 0-261.2 1722 1658 52.87% 19.47% 27.66%+0.57 -22.1 35
2019-06-30 @ Astana W 2-061.2 1658 1722 27.66% 19.47% 52.87%-0.57 +22.1 32
2019-06-30 Kaisar L 1-267.6 1659 1635 47.54% 19.71% 32.76%+0.32 -10.1 30
2019-06-30 @ Ordabasy W 2-167.6 1635 1659 32.76% 19.71% 47.54%-0.32 +10.1 30
2019-06-30 Taraz W 1-046.6 1569 1450 59.09% 18.97% 21.94%+0.89 +5.5 22
2019-06-30 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-146.6 1450 1569 21.94% 18.97% 59.09%-0.89 -5.5 12
2019-06-30 Tobol L 0-157.8 1600 1660 35.83% 19.78% 44.39%-0.18 -8.5 23
2019-06-30 @ Zhetysu W 1-057.8 1660 1600 44.39% 19.78% 35.83%+0.18 +8.5 38
2019-07-05 Astana L 0-257.3 1669 1700 39.84% 19.82% 40.35%-0.01 -17.4 38
2019-07-05 @ Tobol W 2-057.3 1700 1669 40.35% 19.82% 39.84%+0.01 +17.4 38
2019-07-05 Ordabasy L 0-162.5 1680 1649 48.56% 19.67% 31.77%+0.37 -10.9 32
2019-07-05 @ Kairat W 1-062.5 1649 1680 31.77% 19.67% 48.56%-0.37 +10.9 33
2019-07-06 Aktobe D 1-162.0 1445 1462 41.95% 19.81% 38.24%+0.08 -0.2 13
2019-07-06 @ Taraz D 1-162.0 1462 1445 38.24% 19.81% 41.95%-0.08 +0.2 12
2019-07-06 Okzhetpes W 2-154.5 1441 1475 39.56% 19.82% 40.62%-0.02 +8.8 17
2019-07-06 @ Irtysh L 1-254.5 1475 1441 40.62% 19.82% 39.56%+0.02 -8.8 18
2019-07-06 Shakter Karagandy D 2-278.2 1645 1574 53.66% 19.42% 26.93%+0.60 -1.0 31
2019-07-06 @ Kaisar D 2-278.2 1574 1645 26.93% 19.42% 53.66%-0.60 +1.0 23
2019-07-06 Zhetysu W 2-163.2 1429 1591 23.49% 19.13% 57.37%-0.79 +11.9 15
2019-07-06 @ Atyrau L 1-263.2 1591 1429 57.37% 19.13% 23.49%+0.79 -11.9 23
2019-07-13 Irtysh W 4-040.9 1579 1450 60.29% 18.84% 20.87%+0.95 +18.9 26
2019-07-13 @ Zhetysu L 0-440.9 1450 1579 20.87% 18.84% 60.29%-0.95 -18.9 17
2019-07-13 Shakter Karagandy D 2-272.8 1462 1575 29.01% 19.54% 51.45%-0.50 +0.8 13
2019-07-13 @ Aktobe D 2-272.8 1575 1462 51.45% 19.54% 29.01%+0.50 -0.8 24
2019-07-14 Kaisar W 5-155.6 1669 1644 47.69% 19.70% 32.61%+0.33 +23.3 35
2019-07-14 @ Kairat L 1-555.6 1644 1669 32.61% 19.70% 47.69%-0.33 -23.3 31
2019-07-14 Taraz W 3-149.1 1466 1445 47.24% 19.71% 33.05%+0.31 +12.9 21
2019-07-14 @ Okzhetpes L 1-349.1 1445 1466 33.05% 19.71% 47.24%-0.31 -12.9 13
2019-07-14 Tobol D 0-068.8 1659 1651 45.47% 19.76% 34.77%+0.23 -0.6 34
2019-07-14 @ Ordabasy D 0-068.8 1651 1659 34.77% 19.76% 45.47%-0.23 +0.6 39
2019-07-20 Aktobe L 0-161.2 1621 1463 63.20% 18.47% 18.32%+1.13 -13.8 31
2019-07-20 @ Kaisar W 1-061.2 1463 1621 18.32% 18.47% 63.20%-1.13 +13.8 16
2019-07-20 Okzhetpes W 1-048.6 1574 1479 56.54% 19.20% 24.26%+0.75 +6.1 27
2019-07-20 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-148.6 1479 1574 24.26% 19.20% 56.54%-0.75 -6.1 21
2019-07-21 Kairat L 3-567.8 1652 1692 38.59% 19.81% 41.60%-0.06 -12.4 39
2019-07-21 @ Tobol W 5-367.8 1692 1652 41.60% 19.81% 38.59%+0.06 +12.4 38
2019-07-21 Ordabasy W 1-061.7 1441 1659 18.31% 18.47% 63.22%-1.13 +13.8 18
2019-07-21 @ Atyrau L 0-161.7 1659 1441 63.22% 18.47% 18.31%+1.13 -13.8 34
2019-07-21 Zhetysu W 2-054.8 1432 1598 23.08% 19.09% 57.83%-0.82 +24.0 16
2019-07-21 @ Taraz L 0-254.8 1598 1432 57.83% 19.09% 23.08%+0.82 -24.0 26
2019-07-27 Aktobe W 4-042.9 1473 1477 43.80% 19.79% 36.41%+0.16 +30.7 24
2019-07-27 @ Okzhetpes L 0-442.9 1477 1473 36.41% 19.79% 43.80%-0.16 -30.7 16
2019-07-27 Shakter Karagandy W 2-052.7 1574 1580 43.49% 19.80% 36.71%+0.14 +16.3 29
2019-07-27 @ Zhetysu L 0-252.7 1580 1574 36.71% 19.80% 43.49%-0.14 -16.3 27
2019-07-28 Irtysh W 1-045.9 1645 1431 68.23% 17.62% 14.14%+1.46 +3.7 37
2019-07-28 @ Ordabasy L 0-145.9 1431 1645 14.14% 17.62% 68.23%-1.46 -3.6 17
2019-07-28 Kaisar L 0-258.3 1639 1607 48.71% 19.66% 31.62%+0.37 -20.6 39
2019-07-28 @ Tobol W 2-058.3 1607 1639 31.62% 19.66% 48.71%-0.37 +20.6 34
2019-07-28 Taraz W 4-042.1 1718 1456 71.95% 16.78% 11.28%+1.75 +10.4 41
2019-07-28 @ Astana L 0-442.1 1456 1718 11.28% 16.78% 71.95%-1.75 -10.4 16
2019-08-03 Okzhetpes L 0-161.8 1628 1503 59.73% 18.90% 21.37%+0.92 -13.1 34
2019-08-03 @ Kaisar W 1-061.8 1503 1628 21.37% 18.90% 59.73%-0.92 +13.1 27
2019-08-03 Zhetysu L 1-254.2 1446 1591 25.39% 19.30% 55.31%-0.69 -6.0 16
2019-08-03 @ Aktobe W 2-154.2 1591 1446 55.31% 19.30% 25.39%+0.69 +5.9 32
2019-08-04 Astana W 1-064.6 1564 1728 23.35% 19.12% 57.53%-0.80 +12.7 30
2019-08-04 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-164.6 1728 1564 57.53% 19.12% 23.35%+0.80 -12.7 41
2019-08-04 Kairat L 0-244.6 1427 1705 13.92% 17.57% 68.51%-1.48 -6.8 17
2019-08-04 @ Irtysh W 2-044.6 1705 1427 68.51% 17.57% 13.92%+1.48 +6.8 41
2019-08-04 Ordabasy W 1-061.1 1445 1649 19.59% 18.67% 61.75%-1.04 +13.5 19
2019-08-04 @ Taraz L 0-161.1 1649 1445 61.75% 18.67% 19.59%+1.04 -13.5 37
2019-08-04 Tobol L 0-149.0 1455 1619 23.32% 19.12% 57.56%-0.80 -5.9 18
2019-08-04 @ Atyrau W 1-049.0 1619 1455 57.56% 19.12% 23.32%+0.80 +5.8 42
2019-08-10 Kaisar L 1-351.5 1449 1615 23.16% 19.10% 57.74%-0.81 -9.5 18
2019-08-10 @ Atyrau W 3-151.5 1615 1449 57.74% 19.10% 23.16%+0.81 +9.5 37
2019-08-10 Zhetysu L 0-153.5 1517 1597 33.19% 19.72% 47.10%-0.30 -7.9 27
2019-08-10 @ Okzhetpes W 1-053.5 1597 1517 47.10% 19.72% 33.19%+0.30 +7.9 35
2019-08-11 Astana L 2-359.3 1440 1715 14.04% 17.60% 68.36%-1.47 -3.2 16
2019-08-11 @ Aktobe W 3-259.3 1715 1440 68.36% 17.60% 14.04%+1.47 +3.2 44
2019-08-11 Kairat L 0-149.3 1459 1711 15.63% 17.97% 66.41%-1.33 -4.0 19
2019-08-11 @ Taraz W 1-049.3 1711 1459 66.41% 17.97% 15.63%+1.33 +4.0 44
2019-08-11 Ordabasy L 1-262.8 1577 1635 36.09% 19.79% 44.13%-0.17 -8.0 30
2019-08-11 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-162.8 1635 1577 44.13% 19.79% 36.09%+0.17 +8.0 40
2019-08-11 Tobol L 0-243.7 1421 1625 19.52% 18.66% 61.82%-1.04 -9.4 17
2019-08-11 @ Irtysh W 2-043.7 1625 1421 61.82% 18.66% 19.52%+1.04 +9.4 45
2019-08-17 Kairat L 0-246.1 1455 1715 15.05% 17.84% 67.11%-1.38 -7.3 19
2019-08-17 @ Taraz W 2-046.1 1715 1455 67.11% 17.84% 15.05%+1.38 +7.3 47
2019-08-17 Ordabasy L 0-446.8 1509 1643 26.52% 19.39% 54.09%-0.63 -23.5 27
2019-08-17 @ Okzhetpes W 4-046.8 1643 1509 54.09% 19.39% 26.52%+0.63 +23.5 43
2019-08-17 Tobol D 0-062.7 1411 1634 17.92% 18.41% 63.67%-1.15 +2.7 18
2019-08-17 @ Irtysh D 0-062.7 1634 1411 63.67% 18.41% 17.92%+1.15 -2.7 46
2019-08-18 Aktobe W 5-040.5 1605 1437 64.13% 18.34% 17.53%+1.18 +19.8 38
2019-08-18 @ Zhetysu L 0-540.5 1437 1605 17.53% 18.34% 64.13%-1.18 -19.8 16
2019-08-18 Kaisar W 3-053.8 1569 1624 36.51% 19.79% 43.70%-0.15 +27.2 33
2019-08-18 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-353.8 1624 1569 43.70% 19.79% 36.51%+0.15 -27.2 37
2019-08-24 Atyrau W 2-043.2 1631 1439 66.36% 17.98% 15.67%+1.33 +7.6 49
2019-08-24 @ Tobol L 0-243.2 1439 1631 15.67% 17.98% 66.36%-1.33 -7.6 18
2019-08-24 Shakter Karagandy W 3-266.0 1667 1596 53.60% 19.42% 26.98%+0.60 +6.0 46
2019-08-24 @ Ordabasy L 2-366.0 1596 1667 26.98% 19.42% 53.60%-0.60 -6.0 33
2019-08-25 Irtysh D 1-159.8 1417 1414 44.74% 19.78% 35.48%+0.20 -0.5 17
2019-08-25 @ Aktobe D 1-159.8 1414 1417 35.48% 19.78% 44.74%-0.20 +0.5 19
2019-08-25 Okzhetpes L 0-166.4 1723 1485 70.12% 17.22% 12.66%+1.60 -15.3 47
2019-08-25 @ Kairat W 1-066.4 1485 1723 12.66% 17.22% 70.12%-1.60 +15.3 30
2019-08-25 Taraz W 5-041.9 1719 1448 72.61% 16.60% 10.79%+1.80 +12.3 47
2019-08-25 @ Astana L 0-541.9 1448 1719 10.79% 16.60% 72.61%-1.80 -12.3 19
2019-08-25 Zhetysu L 0-255.4 1597 1624 40.42% 19.82% 39.76%+0.01 -17.6 37
2019-08-25 @ Kaisar W 2-055.4 1624 1597 39.76% 19.82% 40.42%-0.01 +17.6 41
2019-08-31 Aktobe L 1-360.9 1579 1416 63.65% 18.41% 17.94%+1.15 -22.8 37
2019-08-31 @ Kaisar W 3-160.9 1416 1579 17.94% 18.41% 63.65%-1.15 +22.8 20
2019-08-31 Irtysh L 0-343.2 1432 1414 46.70% 19.73% 33.57%+0.28 -28.8 18
2019-08-31 @ Atyrau W 3-043.2 1414 1432 33.57% 19.73% 46.70%-0.28 +28.8 22
2019-08-31 Kairat L 0-450.4 1590 1707 28.50% 19.52% 51.98%-0.52 -25.0 33
2019-08-31 @ Shakter Karagandy W 4-050.4 1707 1590 51.98% 19.52% 28.50%+0.52 +25.0 50
2019-08-31 Ordabasy L 0-159.8 1642 1673 39.99% 19.82% 40.19%+0.00 -9.2 41
2019-08-31 @ Zhetysu W 1-059.8 1673 1642 40.19% 19.82% 39.99%+0.00 +9.2 49
2019-08-31 Tobol L 0-542.4 1435 1639 19.55% 18.66% 61.78%-1.04 -22.0 19
2019-08-31 @ Taraz W 5-042.4 1639 1435 61.78% 18.66% 19.55%+1.04 +22.0 52
2019-09-15 Atyrau W 3-254.4 1439 1403 49.26% 19.64% 31.10%+0.40 +6.7 23
2019-09-15 @ Aktobe L 2-354.4 1403 1439 31.10% 19.64% 49.26%-0.40 -6.7 18
2019-09-15 Kaisar L 0-261.3 1682 1556 59.86% 18.89% 21.25%+0.93 -24.8 49
2019-09-15 @ Ordabasy W 2-061.3 1556 1682 21.25% 18.89% 59.86%-0.93 +24.8 40
2019-09-15 Okzhetpes W 1-050.0 1661 1500 63.43% 18.44% 18.13%+1.14 +4.6 55
2019-09-15 @ Tobol L 0-150.0 1500 1661 18.13% 18.44% 63.43%-1.14 -4.7 30
2019-09-15 Shakter Karagandy W 2-158.3 1731 1565 63.95% 18.36% 17.69%+1.17 +4.3 50
2019-09-15 @ Astana L 1-258.3 1565 1731 17.69% 18.36% 63.95%-1.17 -4.3 33
2019-09-15 Taraz W 1-044.2 1443 1413 48.40% 19.68% 31.93%+0.36 +7.7 25
2019-09-15 @ Irtysh L 0-144.2 1413 1443 31.93% 19.68% 48.40%-0.36 -7.7 19
2019-09-15 Zhetysu W 4-155.3 1732 1633 57.03% 19.16% 23.81%+0.78 +13.8 53
2019-09-15 @ Kairat L 1-455.3 1633 1732 23.81% 19.16% 57.03%-0.78 -13.8 41
2019-09-21 Atyrau D 2-265.0 1406 1396 45.64% 19.76% 34.60%+0.24 -0.4 20
2019-09-21 @ Taraz D 2-265.0 1396 1406 34.60% 19.76% 45.64%-0.24 +0.4 19
2019-09-21 Irtysh W 1-046.5 1496 1451 50.37% 19.60% 30.04%+0.45 +7.3 33
2019-09-21 @ Okzhetpes L 0-146.5 1451 1496 30.04% 19.60% 50.37%-0.45 -7.3 25
2019-09-21 Kairat L 0-154.8 1581 1746 23.25% 19.11% 57.65%-0.81 -5.8 40
2019-09-21 @ Kaisar W 1-054.8 1746 1581 57.65% 19.11% 23.25%+0.81 +5.8 56
2019-09-22 Aktobe W 4-146.9 1657 1446 67.99% 17.67% 14.34%+1.44 +8.6 52
2019-09-22 @ Ordabasy L 1-446.9 1446 1657 14.34% 17.67% 67.99%-1.44 -8.5 23
2019-09-22 Astana W 2-169.6 1619 1735 28.65% 19.52% 51.83%-0.52 +10.9 44
2019-09-22 @ Zhetysu L 1-269.6 1735 1619 51.83% 19.52% 28.65%+0.52 -10.9 50
2019-09-22 Tobol L 0-155.4 1561 1666 30.03% 19.60% 50.37%-0.45 -7.3 33
2019-09-22 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-055.4 1666 1561 50.37% 19.60% 30.03%+0.45 +7.3 58
2019-09-25 Astana L 1-446.1 1397 1724 10.95% 16.66% 72.39%-1.78 -6.5 19
2019-09-25 @ Atyrau W 4-146.1 1724 1397 72.39% 16.66% 10.95%+1.78 +6.5 53
2019-09-28 Shakter Karagandy W 4-261.3 1444 1553 29.41% 19.57% 51.03%-0.48 +16.6 28
2019-09-28 @ Irtysh L 2-461.3 1553 1444 51.03% 19.57% 29.41%+0.48 -16.6 33
2019-09-28 Zhetysu D 0-068.8 1673 1630 50.12% 19.61% 30.27%+0.44 -1.1 59
2019-09-28 @ Tobol D 0-068.8 1630 1673 30.27% 19.61% 50.12%-0.44 +1.1 45
2019-09-29 Kaisar W 3-047.8 1731 1575 62.94% 18.51% 18.55%+1.11 +13.0 56
2019-09-29 @ Astana L 0-347.8 1575 1731 18.55% 18.51% 62.94%-1.11 -13.0 40
2019-09-29 Okzhetpes D 2-267.6 1390 1503 29.02% 19.54% 51.44%-0.50 +0.8 20
2019-09-29 @ Atyrau D 2-267.6 1503 1390 51.44% 19.54% 29.02%+0.50 -0.8 34
2019-09-29 Ordabasy W 4-156.1 1752 1666 55.50% 19.29% 25.22%+0.70 +14.5 59
2019-09-29 @ Kairat L 1-456.1 1666 1752 25.22% 19.29% 55.50%-0.70 -14.5 52
2019-09-29 Taraz D 2-266.1 1437 1405 48.70% 19.67% 31.63%+0.37 -0.6 24
2019-09-29 @ Aktobe D 2-266.1 1405 1437 31.63% 19.67% 48.70%-0.37 +0.6 21
2019-10-05 Aktobe W 6-042.2 1766 1437 76.43% 15.44% 8.13%+2.15 +10.9 62
2019-10-05 @ Kairat L 0-642.2 1437 1766 8.13% 15.44% 76.43%-2.15 -10.9 24
2019-10-05 Irtysh W 2-153.4 1631 1460 64.41% 18.30% 17.29%+1.20 +4.2 48
2019-10-05 @ Zhetysu L 1-253.4 1460 1631 17.29% 18.30% 64.41%-1.20 -4.2 28
2019-10-05 Taraz L 2-364.0 1502 1406 56.66% 19.19% 24.15%+0.76 -11.2 34
2019-10-05 @ Okzhetpes W 3-264.0 1406 1502 24.15% 19.19% 56.66%-0.76 +11.2 24
2019-10-06 Astana D 1-174.5 1651 1744 31.54% 19.66% 48.80%-0.38 +0.9 53
2019-10-06 @ Ordabasy D 1-174.5 1744 1651 48.80% 19.66% 31.54%+0.38 -0.9 57
2019-10-19 Kaisar W 2-161.2 1456 1562 29.83% 19.59% 50.58%-0.46 +10.6 31
2019-10-19 @ Irtysh L 1-261.2 1562 1456 50.58% 19.59% 29.83%+0.46 -10.6 40
2019-10-19 Zhetysu L 0-339.8 1391 1635 16.23% 18.09% 65.68%-1.28 -11.4 20
2019-10-19 @ Atyrau W 3-039.8 1635 1391 65.68% 18.09% 16.23%+1.28 +11.4 51
2019-10-20 Kairat W 3-164.3 1743 1777 39.44% 19.82% 40.74%-0.03 +15.3 60
2019-10-20 @ Astana L 1-364.3 1777 1743 40.74% 19.82% 39.44%+0.03 -15.3 62
2019-10-20 Okzhetpes L 1-252.9 1426 1491 35.15% 19.77% 45.08%-0.21 -7.9 24
2019-10-20 @ Aktobe W 2-152.9 1491 1426 45.08% 19.77% 35.15%+0.21 +7.9 37
2019-10-20 Ordabasy L 1-267.9 1672 1652 47.05% 19.72% 33.23%+0.30 -10.0 59
2019-10-20 @ Tobol W 2-167.9 1652 1672 33.23% 19.72% 47.05%-0.30 +10.0 56
2019-10-20 Shakter Karagandy D 0-058.9 1417 1537 28.21% 19.50% 52.29%-0.54 +1.4 25
2019-10-20 @ Taraz D 0-058.9 1537 1417 52.29% 19.50% 28.21%+0.54 -1.3 34
2019-10-25 Atyrau L 0-156.0 1552 1379 64.57% 18.27% 17.16%+1.21 -14.1 40
2019-10-25 @ Kaisar W 1-056.0 1379 1552 17.16% 18.27% 64.57%-1.21 +14.1 23
2019-10-26 Irtysh W 2-045.0 1662 1467 66.64% 17.92% 15.43%+1.35 +7.5 59
2019-10-26 @ Ordabasy L 0-245.0 1467 1662 15.43% 17.92% 66.64%-1.35 -7.5 31
2019-10-26 Okzhetpes D 2-272.7 1536 1499 49.28% 19.64% 31.08%+0.40 -0.7 35
2019-10-26 @ Shakter Karagandy D 2-272.7 1499 1536 31.08% 19.64% 49.28%-0.40 +0.7 38
2019-10-26 Tobol W 2-052.6 1762 1662 57.10% 19.16% 23.75%+0.78 +11.2 65
2019-10-26 @ Kairat L 0-252.6 1662 1762 23.75% 19.16% 57.10%-0.78 -11.2 59
2019-10-27 Aktobe W 5-040.9 1758 1418 77.05% 15.22% 7.73%+2.22 +8.7 63
2019-10-27 @ Astana L 0-540.9 1418 1758 7.73% 15.22% 77.05%-2.22 -8.7 24
2019-10-27 Taraz D 0-063.7 1647 1418 69.39% 17.38% 13.23%+1.54 -3.4 52
2019-10-27 @ Zhetysu D 0-063.7 1418 1647 13.23% 17.38% 69.39%-1.54 +3.4 26
2019-10-30 Astana L 0-150.9 1500 1767 14.58% 17.73% 67.69%-1.42 -3.8 38
2019-10-30 @ Okzhetpes W 1-050.9 1767 1500 67.69% 17.73% 14.58%+1.42 +3.8 66
2019-10-30 Atyrau L 0-155.1 1535 1394 61.53% 18.69% 19.78%+1.03 -13.5 35
2019-10-30 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-055.1 1394 1535 19.78% 18.69% 61.53%-1.03 +13.5 26
2019-10-30 Tobol D 1-171.6 1538 1651 29.04% 19.55% 51.41%-0.50 +1.1 41
2019-10-30 @ Kaisar D 1-171.6 1651 1538 51.41% 19.55% 29.04%+0.50 -1.1 60
2019-11-03 Astana L 0-157.1 1649 1771 28.04% 19.49% 52.47%-0.55 -6.9 60
2019-11-03 @ Tobol W 1-057.1 1771 1649 52.47% 19.49% 28.04%+0.55 +6.9 69
2019-11-03 Kairat W 5-061.7 1459 1773 11.68% 16.91% 71.40%-1.70 +68.4 34
2019-11-03 @ Irtysh L 0-561.7 1773 1459 71.40% 16.91% 11.68%+1.70 -68.4 65
2019-11-03 Kaisar W 2-159.4 1422 1539 28.55% 19.52% 51.93%-0.52 +10.9 29
2019-11-03 @ Taraz L 1-259.4 1539 1422 51.93% 19.52% 28.55%+0.52 -10.9 41
2019-11-03 Ordabasy L 1-349.1 1407 1669 14.92% 17.81% 67.28%-1.39 -6.3 26
2019-11-03 @ Atyrau W 3-149.1 1669 1407 67.28% 17.81% 14.92%+1.39 +6.3 62
2019-11-03 Shakter Karagandy W 3-263.3 1409 1521 29.16% 19.55% 51.29%-0.49 +10.2 27
2019-11-03 @ Aktobe L 2-363.3 1521 1409 51.29% 19.55% 29.16%+0.49 -10.2 35
2019-11-03 Zhetysu D 1-170.4 1496 1643 25.10% 19.28% 55.62%-0.70 +1.6 39
2019-11-03 @ Okzhetpes D 1-170.4 1643 1496 55.62% 19.28% 25.10%+0.70 -1.6 53
2019-11-10 Aktobe W 2-151.1 1643 1420 68.97% 17.47% 13.56%+1.51 +3.3 63
2019-11-10 @ Tobol L 1-251.1 1420 1643 13.56% 17.47% 68.97%-1.51 -3.3 27
2019-11-10 Atyrau W 2-150.8 1705 1401 74.84% 15.96% 9.20%+2.00 +2.2 68
2019-11-10 @ Kairat L 1-250.8 1401 1705 9.20% 15.96% 74.84%-2.00 -2.2 26
2019-11-10 Irtysh L 0-265.1 1778 1528 71.09% 16.99% 11.92%+1.68 -29.1 69
2019-11-10 @ Astana W 2-065.1 1528 1778 11.92% 16.99% 71.09%-1.68 +29.1 37
2019-11-10 Okzhetpes D 1-166.4 1528 1497 48.47% 19.67% 31.85%+0.36 -0.8 42
2019-11-10 @ Kaisar D 1-166.4 1497 1528 31.85% 19.67% 48.47%-0.36 +0.8 40
2019-11-10 Shakter Karagandy W 3-261.6 1642 1511 60.40% 18.83% 20.77%+0.96 +4.7 56
2019-11-10 @ Zhetysu L 2-361.6 1511 1642 20.77% 18.83% 60.40%-0.96 -4.7 35
2019-11-10 Taraz W 3-041.2 1676 1433 70.55% 17.12% 12.33%+1.63 +8.7 65
2019-11-10 @ Ordabasy L 0-341.2 1433 1676 12.33% 17.12% 70.55%-1.63 -8.7 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-05-05 9.69% Irtysh 1462 1 @ Astana 1756 0
2 2019-11-03 11.68% @ Irtysh 1459 5 Kairat 1773 0
3 2019-11-10 11.92% Irtysh 1528 2 @ Astana 1778 0
4 2019-05-11 12.44% @ Taraz 1439 2 Astana 1740 0
5 2019-08-25 12.66% Okzhetpes 1485 1 @ Kairat 1723 0
6 2019-10-25 17.16% Atyrau 1379 1 @ Kaisar 1552 0
7 2019-08-31 17.94% Aktobe 1416 3 @ Kaisar 1579 1
8 2019-07-21 18.31% @ Atyrau 1441 1 Ordabasy 1659 0
9 2019-07-20 18.32% Aktobe 1463 1 @ Kaisar 1621 0
10 2019-05-19 19.52% Shakter Karagandy 1581 2 @ Astana 1726 1
11 2019-08-04 19.59% @ Taraz 1445 1 Ordabasy 1649 0
12 2019-10-30 19.78% Atyrau 1394 1 @ Shakter Karagandy 1535 0
13 2019-09-15 21.25% Kaisar 1556 2 @ Ordabasy 1682 0
14 2019-08-03 21.37% Okzhetpes 1503 1 @ Kaisar 1628 0
15 2019-05-12 21.72% @ Atyrau 1461 2 Kairat 1642 1
16 2019-07-21 23.08% @ Taraz 1432 2 Zhetysu 1598 0
17 2019-08-04 23.35% @ Shakter Karagandy 1564 1 Astana 1728 0
18 2019-07-06 23.49% @ Atyrau 1429 2 Zhetysu 1591 1
19 2019-10-05 24.15% Taraz 1406 3 @ Okzhetpes 1502 2
20 2019-04-27 24.19% Taraz 1460 3 @ Aktobe 1556 2
21 2019-04-20 26.04% Okzhetpes 1407 2 @ Atyrau 1486 1
22 2019-04-14 26.19% @ Zhetysu 1558 3 Kairat 1695 0
23 2019-03-10 27.36% Atyrau 1532 1 @ Kaisar 1599 0
24 2019-06-30 27.66% Kairat 1658 2 @ Astana 1722 0
25 2019-11-03 28.55% @ Taraz 1422 2 Kaisar 1539 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-11-03 68.40 @ Irtysh 5 1459 11.68% Kairat 0 1773 71.40% 16.91%
2 2019-04-14 32.99 @ Zhetysu 3 1558 26.19% Kairat 0 1695 54.45% 19.36%
3 2019-04-14 32.74 @ Shakter Karagandy 4 1508 40.71% Irtysh 0 1534 39.47% 19.82%
4 2019-07-27 30.67 @ Okzhetpes 4 1473 43.80% Aktobe 0 1477 36.41% 19.79%
5 2019-11-10 29.13 Irtysh 2 1528 11.92% @ Astana 0 1778 71.09% 16.99%
6 2019-05-11 28.88 @ Taraz 2 1439 12.44% Astana 0 1740 70.41% 17.15%
7 2019-08-31 28.80 Irtysh 3 1414 33.57% @ Atyrau 0 1432 46.70% 19.73%
8 2019-05-01 28.23 Okzhetpes 6 1429 30.38% @ Taraz 2 1471 50.00% 19.61%
9 2019-08-18 27.23 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1569 36.51% Kaisar 0 1624 43.70% 19.79%
10 2019-05-12 26.55 @ Kaisar 5 1624 42.02% Tobol 1 1641 38.17% 19.81%
11 2019-08-31 24.97 Kairat 4 1707 51.98% @ Shakter Karagandy 0 1590 28.50% 19.52%
12 2019-09-15 24.80 Kaisar 2 1556 21.25% @ Ordabasy 0 1682 59.86% 18.89%
13 2019-07-21 24.01 @ Taraz 2 1432 23.08% Zhetysu 0 1598 57.83% 19.09%
14 2019-05-01 23.57 @ Shakter Karagandy 3 1540 43.61% Aktobe 0 1545 36.59% 19.79%
15 2019-08-17 23.46 Ordabasy 4 1643 54.09% @ Okzhetpes 0 1509 26.52% 19.39%
16 2019-07-14 23.33 @ Kairat 5 1669 47.69% Kaisar 1 1644 32.61% 19.70%
17 2019-06-30 23.23 @ Okzhetpes 3 1452 44.25% Atyrau 0 1452 35.96% 19.78%
18 2019-08-31 22.75 Aktobe 3 1416 17.94% @ Kaisar 1 1579 63.65% 18.41%
19 2019-06-30 22.12 Kairat 2 1658 27.66% @ Astana 0 1722 52.87% 19.47%
20 2019-08-31 21.98 Tobol 5 1639 61.78% @ Taraz 0 1435 19.55% 18.66%
21 2019-03-09 21.85 @ Ordabasy 3 1560 46.89% Shakter Karagandy 0 1542 33.39% 19.72%
22 2019-05-12 21.45 Okzhetpes 2 1458 29.32% @ Aktobe 0 1509 51.11% 19.56%
23 2019-07-28 20.57 Kaisar 2 1607 31.62% @ Tobol 0 1639 48.71% 19.66%
24 2019-08-18 19.83 @ Zhetysu 5 1605 64.13% Aktobe 0 1437 17.53% 18.34%
25 2019-05-01 19.77 Zhetysu 3 1590 50.78% @ Irtysh 0 1482 29.64% 19.58%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-07-06 78.2 @ Kaisar 2 1645 53.66% Shakter Karagandy 2 1574 26.93% 19.42%
2 2019-10-06 74.5 @ Ordabasy 1 1651 31.54% Astana 1 1744 48.80% 19.66%
3 2019-06-23 73.6 @ Ordabasy 3 1649 32.82% Astana 2 1732 47.47% 19.71%
4 2019-07-13 72.8 @ Aktobe 2 1462 29.01% Shakter Karagandy 2 1575 51.45% 19.54%
5 2019-06-16 72.7 @ Zhetysu 1 1598 37.07% Ordabasy 1 1649 43.13% 19.80%
6 2019-10-26 72.7 @ Shakter Karagandy 2 1536 49.28% Okzhetpes 2 1499 31.08% 19.64%
7 2019-05-01 72.3 @ Tobol 1 1631 49.59% Ordabasy 1 1592 30.78% 19.63%
8 2019-05-05 72.2 @ Okzhetpes 2 1457 29.87% Shakter Karagandy 2 1563 50.54% 19.59%
9 2019-05-26 72.0 @ Okzhetpes 1 1474 16.67% Astana 1 1713 65.15% 18.18%
10 2019-05-19 71.8 Shakter Karagandy 2 1581 19.52% @ Astana 1 1726 61.83% 18.66%
11 2019-10-30 71.6 @ Kaisar 1 1538 29.04% Tobol 1 1651 51.41% 19.55%
12 2019-11-03 70.4 @ Okzhetpes 1 1496 25.10% Zhetysu 1 1643 55.62% 19.28%
13 2019-09-22 69.6 @ Zhetysu 2 1619 28.65% Astana 1 1735 51.83% 19.52%
14 2019-06-23 69.1 @ Kaisar 1 1638 66.18% Taraz 1 1448 15.81% 18.01%
15 2019-04-07 69.0 @ Kaisar 0 1586 25.55% Astana 0 1729 55.13% 19.31%
16 2019-07-14 68.8 @ Ordabasy 0 1659 45.47% Tobol 0 1651 34.77% 19.76%
17 2019-09-28 68.8 @ Tobol 0 1673 50.12% Zhetysu 0 1630 30.27% 19.61%
18 2019-05-18 68.7 @ Zhetysu 1 1596 57.98% Aktobe 1 1488 22.94% 19.08%
19 2019-06-23 68.1 @ Kairat 0 1659 52.34% Zhetysu 0 1598 28.16% 19.50%
20 2019-04-27 68.0 @ Ordabasy 0 1591 34.38% Kairat 0 1662 45.87% 19.75%
21 2019-04-27 67.9 Taraz 3 1460 24.19% @ Aktobe 2 1556 56.62% 19.20%
22 2019-10-20 67.9 Ordabasy 2 1652 33.23% @ Tobol 1 1672 47.05% 19.72%
23 2019-07-21 67.8 Kairat 5 1692 41.60% @ Tobol 3 1652 38.59% 19.81%
24 2019-05-05 67.7 @ Ordabasy 1 1593 60.74% Atyrau 1 1459 20.47% 18.79%
25 2019-04-20 67.6 @ Tobol 0 1638 50.59% Zhetysu 0 1591 29.83% 19.59%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-10-19 39.8 Zhetysu 3 1635 65.68% @ Atyrau 0 1391 16.23% 18.09%
2 2019-08-18 40.5 @ Zhetysu 5 1605 64.13% Aktobe 0 1437 17.53% 18.34%
3 2019-07-13 40.9 @ Zhetysu 4 1579 60.29% Irtysh 0 1450 20.87% 18.84%
4 2019-10-27 40.9 @ Astana 5 1758 77.05% Aktobe 0 1418 7.73% 15.22%
5 2019-11-10 41.2 @ Ordabasy 3 1676 70.55% Taraz 0 1433 12.33% 17.12%
6 2019-06-30 41.8 @ Okzhetpes 3 1452 44.25% Atyrau 0 1452 35.96% 19.78%
7 2019-08-25 41.9 @ Astana 5 1719 72.61% Taraz 0 1448 10.79% 16.60%
8 2019-07-28 42.1 @ Astana 4 1718 71.95% Taraz 0 1456 11.28% 16.78%
9 2019-10-05 42.2 @ Kairat 6 1766 76.43% Aktobe 0 1437 8.13% 15.44%
10 2019-08-31 42.4 Tobol 5 1639 61.78% @ Taraz 0 1435 19.55% 18.66%
11 2019-05-18 42.8 @ Ordabasy 3 1604 61.06% Taraz 0 1467 20.19% 18.75%
12 2019-07-27 42.9 @ Okzhetpes 4 1473 43.80% Aktobe 0 1477 36.41% 19.79%
13 2019-05-31 43.2 @ Kairat 3 1642 64.42% Aktobe 0 1471 17.28% 18.29%
14 2019-08-24 43.2 @ Tobol 2 1631 66.36% Atyrau 0 1439 15.67% 17.98%
15 2019-08-31 43.2 Irtysh 3 1414 33.57% @ Atyrau 0 1432 46.70% 19.73%
16 2019-05-18 43.3 @ Tobol 3 1614 61.44% Atyrau 0 1474 19.86% 18.70%
17 2019-03-09 43.5 @ Zhetysu 5 1551 58.85% Okzhetpes 1 1435 22.15% 18.99%
18 2019-05-31 43.5 @ Ordabasy 3 1637 63.36% Okzhetpes 0 1477 18.19% 18.45%
19 2019-08-11 43.7 Tobol 2 1625 61.82% @ Irtysh 0 1421 19.52% 18.66%
20 2019-05-15 43.9 Astana 4 1711 65.82% @ Irtysh 0 1465 16.11% 18.07%
21 2019-09-15 44.2 @ Irtysh 1 1443 48.40% Taraz 0 1413 31.93% 19.68%
22 2019-05-31 44.3 @ Kaisar 2 1646 66.29% Irtysh 0 1455 15.73% 17.99%
23 2019-06-23 44.6 @ Tobol 2 1652 66.47% Okzhetpes 0 1459 15.57% 17.95%
24 2019-08-04 44.6 Kairat 2 1705 68.51% @ Irtysh 0 1427 13.92% 17.57%
25 2019-05-01 44.7 Astana 3 1746 68.47% @ Atyrau 0 1469 13.95% 17.58%