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2021 Kazakhstan Premier League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Tobol

61 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Tobol

11.58 points above expected

61 points · 49.42 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kaisar

11.24 points below expected

19 points · 30.24 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Tobol 26 18 7 1 61 54 18 +36 49.42 +11.58
2 Astana 26 17 6 3 57 53 25 +28 51.10 +5.90
3 Kairat 26 14 9 3 51 52 21 +31 51.42 -0.42
4 Kyzylzhar 26 11 6 9 39 32 24 +8 37.03 +1.97
5 Ordabasy 26 10 8 8 38 36 35 +1 41.53 -3.53
6 Aktobe 26 9 6 11 33 35 40 -5 31.12 +1.88
7 Shakter Karagandy 26 9 6 11 33 25 34 -9 31.63 +1.37
8 Caspiy 26 8 8 10 32 35 35 0 26.32 +5.68
9 Akzhayik 26 9 5 12 32 25 31 -6 32.05 -0.05
10 Taraz 26 7 8 11 29 27 34 -7 35.18 -6.18
11 Atyrau 26 7 7 12 28 25 40 -15 28.95 -0.95
12 Turan 26 5 11 10 26 22 40 -18 21.94 +4.06
13 Kaisar 26 4 7 15 19 24 44 -20 30.24 -11.24
14 Zhetysu* 26 5 4 17 16 23 47 -24 26.63 -10.63

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

* Point deductions: Zhetysu (-3 pts)

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Tobol 61 49.42 +11.58
2 Astana 57 51.10 +5.90
3 Caspiy 32 26.32 +5.68
4 Turan 26 21.94 +4.06
5 Kyzylzhar 39 37.03 +1.97

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kaisar 19 30.24 -11.24
2 Zhetysu 16 26.63 -10.63
3 Taraz 29 35.18 -6.18
4 Ordabasy 38 41.53 -3.53
5 Atyrau 28 28.95 -0.95

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Turan 3 May 3 – May 14 1 in 288
2 Astana 9 Apr 10 – May 18 1 in 185
3 Akzhayik 4 May 3 – May 18 1 in 90
4 Zhetysu 3 May 19 – May 28 1 in 48
5 Atyrau 3 Apr 23 – May 2 1 in 46

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zhetysu 6 Apr 19 – May 14 1 in 140
2 Taraz 4 May 2 – May 19 1 in 86
3 Shakter Karagandy 4 Mar 20 – Apr 13 1 in 84
4 Astana 2 Jun 22 – Jun 27 1 in 32
5 Aktobe 4 Apr 19 – May 2 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Turan 5 Sep 11 – Oct 16 1 in 43
2 Astana 16 Mar 13 – Jun 18 1 in 38
3 Tobol 18 May 2 – Oct 30 1 in 36
4 Caspiy 4 Apr 14 – Apr 28 1 in 24
5 Atyrau 5 Apr 14 – May 2 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Ordabasy 7 Apr 29 – May 29 1 in 96
2 Taraz 10 May 2 – Jun 28 1 in 95
3 Kaisar 11 Apr 14 – Jun 13 1 in 66
4 Akzhayik 8 Jul 2 – Oct 30 1 in 25
5 Atyrau 9 Jun 28 – Oct 30 1 in 23

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Tobol 1703 61 +45 15 10.4 +4.6
Astana 1642 57 +11 10 10.2 -0.2
Kairat 1687 51 +13 11 10.3 +0.7
Kyzylzhar 1521 39 -17 7 8.0 -1.0
Ordabasy 1489 38 -3 7 7.0 -0.0
Aktobe 1406 33 +0 9 7.1 +1.9
Shakter Karagandy 1449 33 +17 8 6.1 +1.9
Caspiy 1436 32 +24 5 5.6 -0.6
Akzhayik 1411 32 -17 3 5.9 -2.9
Taraz 1392 29 -26 4 6.5 -2.5
Atyrau 1375 28 -24 2 4.8 -2.8
Turan 1343 26 +16 6 4.2 +1.8
Zhetysu 1335 19 -13 4 4.2 -0.2
Kaisar 1360 19 -26 4 5.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AKT AKZ AST ATY CAS KAI KAI KYZ ORD SK TAR TOB TUR ZHE
Aktobe —
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
1.30
2-0-0
2.58
0-1-1
3.26
0-0-2
1.32
1-1-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
1.84
0-0-2
2.89
0-1-1
2.35
0-1-1
1.48
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
2.97
Akzhayik
1-0-1
2.89
—
0-0-2
1.45
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
3.08
1-0-1
1.33
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
1.89
1-1-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.30
0-0-2
1.45
1-1-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.18
Astana
2-0-0
4.22
2-0-0
4.05
—
2-0-0
4.13
1-1-0
4.18
0-1-1
2.73
2-0-0
4.36
1-0-1
3.86
1-0-1
3.36
2-0-0
3.98
2-0-0
3.95
0-2-0
2.80
0-2-0
4.37
2-0-0
4.59
Atyrau
0-0-2
2.85
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-2
1.38
—
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
1.18
0-2-0
2.54
1-1-0
1.97
0-1-1
1.94
0-0-2
2.16
1-1-0
2.29
0-0-2
1.27
1-1-0
3.39
1-1-0
2.47
Caspiy
1-1-0
2.18
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
1.33
1-0-1
2.66
—
0-1-1
1.18
0-0-2
2.66
0-0-2
1.95
0-2-0
1.86
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.16
1-0-1
1.24
0-2-0
3.23
2-0-0
2.25
Kairat
2-0-0
4.19
1-0-1
4.19
1-1-0
2.70
1-0-1
4.36
1-1-0
4.36
—
2-0-0
3.99
1-1-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.64
0-2-0
4.16
1-1-0
3.91
0-2-0
2.98
2-0-0
4.58
1-1-0
4.15
Kaisar
0-1-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.19
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
2.79
0-0-2
1.51
—
0-0-2
2.13
1-0-1
1.73
0-1-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
1.52
0-2-0
3.40
0-0-2
3.11
Kyzylzhar
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
1.62
0-1-1
3.48
2-0-0
3.50
0-1-1
1.73
2-0-0
3.32
—
2-0-0
2.51
2-0-0
2.77
0-2-0
2.61
0-0-2
1.75
0-0-2
4.07
1-1-0
3.28
Ordabasy
0-1-1
3.62
2-0-0
3.57
1-0-1
2.09
1-1-0
3.51
0-2-0
3.59
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
3.73
0-0-2
2.93
—
1-1-0
3.18
1-1-0
3.27
0-1-1
1.80
0-1-1
4.13
2-0-0
3.54
Shakter Karagandy
2-0-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.75
0-0-2
1.51
2-0-0
3.28
1-0-1
3.16
0-2-0
1.35
1-1-0
2.94
0-0-2
2.66
0-1-1
2.27
—
1-0-1
2.46
0-0-2
1.29
0-1-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.11
Taraz
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.14
0-0-2
1.54
0-1-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.29
0-1-1
1.57
1-0-1
2.83
0-2-0
2.83
0-1-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.97
—
0-1-1
1.67
1-1-0
3.82
1-0-1
3.52
Tobol
1-1-0
4.02
2-0-0
4.05
0-2-0
2.63
2-0-0
4.26
1-0-1
4.29
0-2-0
2.46
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
3.71
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
4.24
1-1-0
3.81
—
2-0-0
4.55
2-0-0
3.80
Turan
1-0-1
2.03
0-1-1
1.99
0-2-0
1.18
0-1-1
2.05
0-2-0
2.21
0-0-2
1.00
0-2-0
2.04
2-0-0
1.43
1-1-0
1.38
1-1-0
1.88
0-1-1
1.66
0-0-2
1.02
—
0-0-2
2.12
Zhetysu
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
0.99
0-1-1
2.97
0-0-2
3.20
0-1-1
1.38
2-0-0
2.32
0-1-1
2.16
0-0-2
1.92
0-0-2
2.32
1-0-1
1.93
0-0-2
1.69
2-0-0
3.33
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.87 +10.6
Allowed 0.84 -13.8
Differential 0.95 +6.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.59%10.71%6.87%3.57%0.55%0.82%29.12%
110.71%13.19%6.59%2.47%0.55%1.10%34.62%
26.87%6.59%6.59%1.37%1.10%0.55%23.08%
33.57%2.47%1.37%—0.27%—7.69%
40.55%0.55%1.10%0.27%0.55%—3.02%
5+0.82%1.10%0.55%———2.47%
Total29.12%34.62%23.08%7.69%3.02%2.47%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.74
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%——23.08%
17.69%15.38%11.54%3.85%—3.85%42.31%
27.69%11.54%——3.85%—23.08%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4————3.85%—3.85%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%42.31%19.23%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.54 -0.19
SD 1.23 1.33 1.77
CV 0.91 0.87 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%11.54%3.85%——34.62%
119.23%11.54%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
23.85%3.85%7.69%———15.38%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%34.62%30.77%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.19 -0.23
SD 0.92 0.94 1.42
CV 0.95 0.79 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
119.23%15.38%————34.62%
215.38%3.85%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
5+——7.69%———7.69%
Total38.46%34.62%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 0.96 +1.08
SD 1.46 0.96 1.41
CV 0.71 1.00 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%7.69%——3.85%34.62%
111.54%7.69%7.69%7.69%——34.62%
23.85%11.54%11.54%——3.85%30.77%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%34.62%26.92%7.69%—7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.54 -0.58
SD 0.82 1.48 1.60
CV 0.86 0.96 —
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
17.69%11.54%15.38%——3.85%38.46%
23.85%7.69%11.54%—3.85%—26.92%
37.69%—————7.69%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%30.77%34.62%—3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.35 +0.00
SD 1.16 1.23 1.74
CV 0.86 0.91 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%————11.54%
111.54%19.23%3.85%———34.62%
27.69%3.85%11.54%———23.08%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%7.69%————11.54%
Total38.46%42.31%19.23%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.81 +1.19
SD 1.50 0.75 1.67
CV 0.75 0.93 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%15.38%3.85%——38.46%
13.85%23.08%7.69%3.85%——38.46%
2—7.69%—3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
3———————
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total7.69%46.15%26.92%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.69 -0.77
SD 0.98 1.16 1.27
CV 1.06 0.68 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%19.23%7.69%———38.46%
17.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
211.54%7.69%3.85%———23.08%
33.85%—7.69%———11.54%
4———————
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total38.46%34.62%23.08%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 0.92 +0.31
SD 1.31 0.89 1.64
CV 1.06 0.97 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%—3.85%—3.85%30.77%
13.85%15.38%—3.85%3.85%—26.92%
27.69%15.38%—3.85%——26.92%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%—3.85%—3.85%—11.54%
5+———————
Total30.77%42.31%3.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.35 +0.04
SD 1.30 1.44 1.93
CV 0.94 1.07 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%—38.46%
119.23%15.38%3.85%—3.85%—42.31%
2—3.85%————3.85%
33.85%7.69%——3.85%—15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%38.46%11.54%7.69%11.54%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.31 -0.35
SD 1.04 1.32 1.74
CV 1.08 1.01 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%15.38%3.85%11.54%——42.31%
111.54%7.69%7.69%———26.92%
2—3.85%11.54%3.85%——19.23%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%30.77%26.92%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.31 -0.27
SD 1.15 1.05 1.56
CV 1.11 0.80 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—————3.85%
17.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
223.08%11.54%7.69%———42.31%
37.69%7.69%————15.38%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total46.15%38.46%15.38%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 0.69 +1.38
SD 1.13 0.74 1.33
CV 0.54 1.06 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%7.69%7.69%—3.85%34.62%
115.38%19.23%7.69%——3.85%46.15%
23.85%—11.54%—3.85%—19.23%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%23.08%26.92%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.54 -0.69
SD 0.73 1.50 1.67
CV 0.86 0.98 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%15.38%7.69%3.85%—46.15%
13.85%—11.54%7.69%—3.85%26.92%
27.69%—7.69%3.85%——19.23%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%11.54%38.46%19.23%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.81 -0.92
SD 0.99 1.33 1.76
CV 1.12 0.73 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Tobol 1703 61 49.42 +11.58 98.0% 36 39 45 50 53 60 63
Kairat 1687 51 51.42 -0.42 57.0% 37 43 48 50 55 60 68
Astana 1642 57 51.10 +5.90 87.0% 38 42 48 50 55 60 64
Kyzylzhar 1521 39 37.03 +1.97 61.0% 16 25 34 37 41 44 51
Ordabasy 1489 38 41.53 -3.53 30.0% 28 31 38 42 45 51 58
Shakter Karagandy 1449 33 31.63 +1.37 60.0% 13 22 28 32 35 40 50
Caspiy 1436 32 26.32 +5.68 83.0% 8 16 22 26 30 36 46
Akzhayik 1411 32 32.05 -0.05 56.0% 16 23 28 32 36 40 47
Aktobe 1406 33 31.12 +1.88 66.0% 17 20 26 31 35 41 50
Taraz 1392 29 35.18 -6.18 22.0% 21 24 30 35 40 44 53
Atyrau 1375 28 28.95 -0.95 49.0% 13 19 25 29 33 40 42
Kaisar 1360 19 30.24 -11.24 4.0% 19 21 27 29 34 40 44
Turan 1343 26 21.94 +4.06 81.0% 9 13 18 22 26 31 36
Zhetysu 1335 16 26.63 -10.63 4.0% 14 18 22 26 31 37 40

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+6.04%
No Edge
39.56%26.92%33.52%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 21.02 Elo pts.
198 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.14 goals
Neutral
-2+0.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.3
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
27%
Tobol, 3rd of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.15/gm
Comfortable
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.74 * Some Luck: 4.74 to 7.1 * Lucky: 7.1 to 9.47 * Wild Swing: 9.47 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.49 * Close: 1.49 to 2.23 * Off: 2.23 to 2.97 * Way Off: 2.97 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.08 points
Some Luck
05.9215
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Close
01.864
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
98.00%
Tobol
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
4.00%
Kaisar
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 79% * Wide Edge: 79% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 98.5% * Dominant: 98.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 64% * Frequent: 64% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13.5% * Occasional: 13.5% to 15.5% * Frequent: 15.5% to 18.5% * Very Frequent: 18.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.170.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 125.32
1.98
Strong Separation
0.91.752.353
Interquartile Edge
68%
Even
50%70.5%79%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
89%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Occasional
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.49 * Lopsided: 0.49 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.64 * Strong Carryover: 0.64 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Upset-Prone: 20.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Very Even
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.08
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.57
Some Carryover
00.470.641
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.92
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.137
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1230.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Tobol27.00%25.00%28.00%11.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%———————
Astana35.00%32.00%22.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%———————
Kairat33.00%36.00%22.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%————————
Kyzylzhar1.00%—2.00%19.00%25.00%18.00%12.00%9.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%5.00%—1.00%
Ordabasy3.00%4.00%16.00%36.00%22.00%3.00%6.00%4.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%———
Aktobe—1.00%1.00%2.00%11.00%6.00%11.00%12.00%16.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%6.00%5.00%
Shakter Karagandy—1.00%—2.00%3.00%18.00%13.00%12.00%10.00%13.00%15.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%
Caspiy———1.00%5.00%—6.00%10.00%9.00%8.00%20.00%9.00%15.00%17.00%
Akzhayik—1.00%1.00%2.00%8.00%14.00%13.00%17.00%10.00%16.00%5.00%7.00%6.00%—
Taraz1.00%—8.00%8.00%10.00%21.00%12.00%7.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%3.00%
Atyrau———5.00%2.00%4.00%10.00%8.00%15.00%6.00%9.00%15.00%17.00%9.00%
Turan—————1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%6.00%9.00%12.00%29.00%39.00%
Kaisar———1.00%4.00%9.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%19.00%16.00%13.00%3.00%5.00%
Zhetysu————2.00%1.00%4.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%8.00%17.00%17.00%19.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Direct relegation
Astana 100% —
Kairat 100% —
Ordabasy 100% —
Tobol 100% —
Kyzylzhar 99.00% 1.00%
Taraz 95.00% 5.00%
Akzhayik 94.00% 6.00%
Shakter Karagandy 93.00% 7.00%
Kaisar 92.00% 8.00%
Aktobe 89.00% 11.00%
Atyrau 74.00% 26.00%
Caspiy 68.00% 32.00%
Zhetysu 64.00% 36.00%
Turan 32.00% 68.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2021-03-13 Astana D 2-265.5 1344 1556 15.69% 25.30% 59.00%-0.96 +2.1 1
2021-03-13 @ Turan D 2-265.5 1556 1344 59.00% 25.30% 15.69%+0.96 -2.1 1
2021-03-13 Shakter Karagandy L 0-145.9 1413 1506 26.54% 28.07% 45.39%-0.37 -8.9 0
2021-03-13 @ Atyrau W 1-045.9 1506 1413 45.39% 28.07% 26.54%+0.37 +8.9 3
2021-03-13 Zhetysu W 2-047.3 1593 1506 50.33% 27.39% 22.28%+0.55 +14.6 3
2021-03-13 @ Kairat L 0-247.3 1506 1593 22.28% 27.39% 50.33%-0.55 -14.6 0
2021-03-14 Aktobe D 1-155.2 1337 1422 27.57% 28.18% 44.25%-0.32 +1.0 1
2021-03-14 @ Caspiy D 1-155.2 1422 1337 44.25% 28.18% 27.57%+0.32 -1.0 1
2021-03-14 Akzhayik W 2-041.7 1541 1428 53.43% 26.79% 19.78%+0.68 +13.2 3
2021-03-14 @ Tobol L 0-241.7 1428 1541 19.78% 26.79% 53.43%-0.68 -13.2 0
2021-03-14 Taraz L 2-362.4 1486 1457 42.93% 28.29% 28.78%+0.25 -11.5 0
2021-03-14 @ Kaisar W 3-262.4 1457 1486 28.78% 28.29% 42.93%-0.25 +11.5 3
2021-03-19 Caspiy W 2-035.9 1554 1338 63.83% 23.57% 12.59%+1.20 +8.5 4
2021-03-19 @ Astana L 0-235.9 1338 1554 12.59% 23.57% 63.83%-1.20 -8.5 1
2021-03-19 Kairat L 0-344.8 1475 1607 22.29% 27.39% 50.31%-0.57 -21.2 0
2021-03-19 @ Kaisar W 3-044.8 1607 1475 50.31% 27.39% 22.29%+0.57 +21.2 6
2021-03-19 Kyzylzhar D 0-054.3 1469 1441 42.89% 28.30% 28.81%+0.25 -1.0 4
2021-03-19 @ Taraz D 0-054.3 1441 1469 28.81% 28.30% 42.89%-0.25 +0.9 1
2021-03-20 Atyrau W 1-044.4 1415 1404 40.48% 28.44% 31.07%+0.16 +10.1 3
2021-03-20 @ Akzhayik L 0-144.4 1404 1415 31.07% 28.44% 40.48%-0.16 -10.1 0
2021-03-20 Ordabasy L 0-250.3 1515 1519 38.51% 28.52% 32.97%+0.09 -22.2 3
2021-03-20 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-050.3 1519 1515 32.97% 28.52% 38.51%-0.09 +22.2 3
2021-03-20 Tobol D 1-161.7 1421 1554 22.20% 27.38% 50.42%-0.57 +1.8 2
2021-03-20 @ Aktobe D 1-161.7 1554 1421 50.42% 27.38% 22.20%+0.57 -1.8 4
2021-03-20 Turan W 3-034.4 1491 1346 56.89% 25.93% 17.18%+0.84 +16.8 3
2021-03-20 @ Zhetysu L 0-334.4 1346 1491 17.18% 25.93% 56.89%-0.84 -16.8 1
2021-04-04 Aktobe L 1-347.7 1394 1422 34.93% 28.55% 36.52%-0.04 -17.9 0
2021-04-04 @ Atyrau W 3-147.7 1422 1394 36.52% 28.55% 34.93%+0.04 +17.9 5
2021-04-04 Kaisar D 1-155.9 1329 1453 23.19% 27.57% 49.23%-0.52 +1.6 2
2021-04-04 @ Turan D 1-155.9 1453 1329 49.23% 27.57% 23.19%+0.52 -1.6 1
2021-04-04 Zhetysu W 2-048.0 1330 1508 18.17% 26.28% 55.55%-0.80 +29.9 4
2021-04-04 @ Caspiy L 0-248.0 1508 1330 55.55% 26.28% 18.17%+0.80 -29.9 3
2021-04-05 Akzhayik W 2-150.8 1541 1425 53.74% 26.72% 19.54%+0.69 +6.5 6
2021-04-05 @ Ordabasy L 1-250.8 1425 1541 19.54% 26.72% 53.74%-0.69 -6.5 3
2021-04-05 Astana D 1-166.4 1553 1562 37.65% 28.54% 33.81%+0.06 -0.2 5
2021-04-05 @ Tobol D 1-166.4 1562 1553 33.81% 28.54% 37.65%-0.06 +0.2 5
2021-04-05 Shakter Karagandy W 2-046.9 1441 1493 31.78% 28.48% 39.74%-0.15 +22.8 4
2021-04-05 @ Kyzylzhar L 0-246.9 1493 1441 39.74% 28.48% 31.78%+0.15 -22.8 3
2021-04-05 Taraz D 2-272.5 1629 1468 58.52% 25.45% 16.03%+0.92 -2.1 7
2021-04-05 @ Kairat D 2-272.5 1468 1629 16.03% 25.45% 58.52%-0.92 +2.1 5
2021-04-09 Caspiy W 2-146.8 1452 1359 50.99% 27.28% 21.73%+0.57 +7.1 4
2021-04-09 @ Kaisar L 1-246.8 1359 1452 21.73% 27.28% 50.99%-0.57 -7.2 4
2021-04-09 Kyzylzhar L 0-146.6 1418 1464 32.50% 28.50% 38.99%-0.13 -10.4 3
2021-04-09 @ Akzhayik W 1-046.6 1464 1418 38.99% 28.50% 32.50%+0.13 +10.4 7
2021-04-09 Ordabasy D 4-473.1 1440 1547 25.00% 27.87% 47.13%-0.43 +0.7 6
2021-04-09 @ Aktobe D 4-473.1 1547 1440 47.13% 27.87% 25.00%+0.43 -0.7 7
2021-04-09 Shakter Karagandy W 4-042.8 1470 1470 38.98% 28.51% 32.52%+0.11 +37.3 8
2021-04-09 @ Taraz L 0-442.8 1470 1470 32.52% 28.51% 38.98%-0.11 -37.3 3
2021-04-10 Atyrau W 6-241.4 1562 1376 61.09% 24.61% 14.31%+1.05 +13.0 8
2021-04-10 @ Astana L 2-641.4 1376 1562 14.31% 24.61% 61.09%-1.05 -13.0 0
2021-04-10 Tobol L 0-247.2 1478 1552 28.87% 28.30% 42.83%-0.27 -18.0 3
2021-04-10 @ Zhetysu W 2-047.2 1552 1478 42.83% 28.30% 28.87%+0.27 +18.0 8
2021-04-10 Turan W 5-137.7 1627 1331 70.62% 20.46% 8.92%+1.60 +9.2 10
2021-04-10 @ Kairat L 1-537.7 1331 1627 8.92% 20.46% 70.62%-1.60 -9.2 2
2021-04-13 Aktobe L 1-256.7 1475 1441 43.58% 28.24% 28.17%+0.28 -12.2 7
2021-04-13 @ Kyzylzhar W 2-156.7 1441 1475 28.17% 28.24% 43.58%-0.28 +12.2 9
2021-04-13 Akzhayik L 1-254.1 1433 1408 42.46% 28.33% 29.21%+0.23 -12.0 3
2021-04-13 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-154.1 1408 1433 29.21% 28.33% 42.46%-0.23 +12.0 6
2021-04-14 Astana L 1-455.2 1547 1575 34.90% 28.55% 36.54%-0.04 -25.3 7
2021-04-14 @ Ordabasy W 4-155.2 1575 1547 36.54% 28.55% 34.90%+0.04 +25.3 11
2021-04-14 Kairat D 1-163.6 1352 1636 11.46% 22.76% 65.78%-1.33 +3.7 5
2021-04-14 @ Caspiy D 1-163.6 1636 1352 65.78% 22.76% 11.46%+1.33 -3.7 11
2021-04-14 Kaisar W 1-047.6 1570 1459 53.20% 26.84% 19.96%+0.67 +7.0 11
2021-04-14 @ Tobol L 0-147.6 1459 1570 19.96% 26.84% 53.20%-0.67 -7.0 4
2021-04-14 Taraz L 0-139.9 1322 1507 17.64% 26.10% 56.27%-0.83 -6.3 2
2021-04-14 @ Turan W 1-039.9 1507 1322 56.27% 26.10% 17.64%+0.83 +6.3 11
2021-04-14 Zhetysu D 2-262.5 1363 1460 26.07% 28.02% 45.92%-0.39 +0.9 1
2021-04-14 @ Atyrau D 2-262.5 1460 1363 45.92% 28.02% 26.07%+0.39 -0.9 4
2021-04-18 Akzhayik W 1-044.7 1514 1420 51.17% 27.24% 21.59%+0.58 +7.5 14
2021-04-18 @ Taraz L 0-144.7 1420 1514 21.59% 27.24% 51.17%-0.58 -7.5 6
2021-04-18 Atyrau D 1-156.7 1452 1364 50.48% 27.37% 22.16%+0.55 -1.8 5
2021-04-18 @ Kaisar D 1-156.7 1364 1452 22.16% 27.37% 50.48%-0.55 +1.8 2
2021-04-18 Kyzylzhar W 3-150.1 1601 1462 56.17% 26.12% 17.71%+0.81 +10.3 14
2021-04-18 @ Astana L 1-350.1 1462 1601 17.71% 26.12% 56.17%-0.81 -10.3 7
2021-04-19 Caspiy D 2-259.7 1316 1356 33.30% 28.53% 38.17%-0.10 +0.2 3
2021-04-19 @ Turan D 2-259.7 1356 1316 38.17% 28.53% 33.30%+0.10 -0.2 6
2021-04-19 Ordabasy L 0-443.7 1459 1521 30.41% 28.41% 41.18%-0.21 -35.5 4
2021-04-19 @ Zhetysu W 4-043.7 1521 1459 41.18% 28.41% 30.41%+0.21 +35.5 10
2021-04-19 Shakter Karagandy L 0-344.0 1453 1421 43.44% 28.25% 28.31%+0.27 -35.4 9
2021-04-19 @ Aktobe W 3-044.0 1421 1453 28.31% 28.25% 43.44%-0.27 +35.4 6
2021-04-19 Tobol D 2-274.8 1632 1577 46.35% 27.97% 25.69%+0.38 -0.9 12
2021-04-19 @ Kairat D 2-274.8 1577 1632 25.69% 27.97% 46.35%-0.38 +1.0 12
2021-04-23 Astana L 0-149.1 1456 1611 20.21% 26.90% 52.88%-0.68 -7.1 6
2021-04-23 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-049.1 1611 1456 52.88% 26.90% 20.21%+0.68 +7.1 17
2021-04-23 Kairat W 1-058.6 1366 1631 12.39% 23.44% 64.17%-1.24 +17.9 5
2021-04-23 @ Atyrau L 0-158.6 1631 1366 64.17% 23.44% 12.39%+1.24 -17.9 12
2021-04-23 Taraz W 1-052.4 1356 1521 19.27% 26.64% 54.09%-0.73 +15.5 9
2021-04-23 @ Caspiy L 0-152.4 1521 1356 54.09% 26.64% 19.27%+0.73 -15.5 14
2021-04-23 Turan W 5-033.3 1578 1316 67.94% 21.78% 10.28%+1.43 +15.9 15
2021-04-23 @ Tobol L 0-533.3 1316 1578 10.28% 21.78% 67.94%-1.43 -15.9 3
2021-04-24 Aktobe W 1-045.4 1412 1418 38.19% 28.53% 33.29%+0.08 +10.6 9
2021-04-24 @ Akzhayik L 0-145.4 1418 1412 33.29% 28.53% 38.19%-0.08 -10.6 9
2021-04-24 Kaisar W 4-252.8 1557 1450 52.66% 26.95% 20.39%+0.65 +10.5 13
2021-04-24 @ Ordabasy L 2-452.8 1450 1557 20.39% 26.95% 52.66%-0.65 -10.5 5
2021-04-24 Zhetysu W 3-039.7 1452 1424 42.86% 28.30% 28.84%+0.25 +26.1 10
2021-04-24 @ Kyzylzhar L 0-339.7 1424 1452 28.84% 28.30% 42.86%-0.25 -26.1 4
2021-04-28 Aktobe W 3-146.0 1506 1407 51.69% 27.14% 21.17%+0.60 +12.1 17
2021-04-28 @ Taraz L 1-346.0 1407 1506 21.17% 27.14% 51.69%-0.60 -12.1 9
2021-04-28 Akzhayik W 1-045.4 1618 1423 61.94% 24.30% 13.76%+1.09 +4.9 20
2021-04-28 @ Astana L 0-145.4 1423 1618 13.76% 24.30% 61.94%-1.09 -4.9 9
2021-04-28 Atyrau L 1-246.7 1300 1383 27.70% 28.20% 44.10%-0.32 -8.7 3
2021-04-28 @ Turan W 2-146.7 1383 1300 44.10% 28.20% 27.70%+0.32 +8.7 8
2021-04-28 Tobol W 2-162.4 1371 1594 14.92% 24.93% 60.15%-1.02 +16.0 12
2021-04-28 @ Caspiy L 1-262.4 1594 1371 60.15% 24.93% 14.92%+1.02 -16.0 15
2021-04-29 Kyzylzhar L 1-253.8 1440 1478 33.53% 28.53% 37.94%-0.09 -10.1 5
2021-04-29 @ Kaisar W 2-153.8 1478 1440 37.94% 28.53% 33.53%+0.09 +10.0 13
2021-04-29 Ordabasy W 3-049.3 1613 1567 45.22% 28.09% 26.69%+0.34 +24.6 15
2021-04-29 @ Kairat L 0-349.3 1567 1613 26.69% 28.09% 45.22%-0.34 -24.6 13
2021-04-29 Shakter Karagandy L 0-145.4 1398 1449 31.80% 28.48% 39.72%-0.15 -10.2 4
2021-04-29 @ Zhetysu W 1-045.4 1449 1398 39.72% 28.48% 31.80%+0.15 +10.2 9
2021-05-02 Astana L 0-241.4 1395 1623 14.61% 24.77% 60.62%-1.05 -9.9 9
2021-05-02 @ Aktobe W 2-041.4 1623 1395 60.62% 24.77% 14.61%+1.05 +9.9 23
2021-05-02 Caspiy W 2-149.5 1392 1387 39.70% 28.48% 31.82%+0.13 +9.7 11
2021-05-02 @ Atyrau L 1-249.5 1387 1392 31.82% 28.48% 39.70%-0.13 -9.7 12
2021-05-02 Taraz W 3-046.2 1578 1518 47.09% 27.87% 25.03%+0.41 +23.3 18
2021-05-02 @ Tobol L 0-346.2 1518 1578 25.03% 27.87% 47.09%-0.41 -23.3 17
2021-05-03 Kairat D 1-167.2 1488 1638 20.69% 27.03% 52.28%-0.65 +2.0 14
2021-05-03 @ Kyzylzhar D 1-167.2 1638 1488 52.28% 27.03% 20.69%+0.65 -2.0 16
2021-05-03 Kaisar D 1-158.5 1459 1430 43.10% 28.28% 28.62%+0.26 -0.9 10
2021-05-03 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-158.5 1430 1459 28.62% 28.28% 43.10%-0.26 +0.9 6
2021-05-03 Turan L 0-153.7 1543 1291 67.00% 22.22% 10.78%+1.38 -18.5 13
2021-05-03 @ Ordabasy W 1-053.7 1291 1543 10.78% 22.22% 67.00%-1.38 +18.5 6
2021-05-03 Zhetysu W 3-254.0 1418 1388 43.14% 28.28% 28.59%+0.26 +8.5 12
2021-05-03 @ Akzhayik L 2-354.0 1388 1418 28.59% 28.28% 43.14%-0.26 -8.5 4
2021-05-08 Akzhayik L 0-148.0 1430 1426 39.58% 28.48% 31.93%+0.13 -12.0 6
2021-05-08 @ Kaisar W 1-048.0 1426 1430 31.93% 28.48% 39.58%-0.13 +12.0 15
2021-05-08 Astana L 0-151.6 1494 1633 21.72% 27.27% 51.00%-0.59 -7.6 17
2021-05-08 @ Taraz W 1-051.6 1633 1494 51.00% 27.27% 21.72%+0.59 +7.6 26
2021-05-08 Ordabasy D 0-054.4 1378 1524 20.96% 27.09% 51.95%-0.64 +2.2 13
2021-05-08 @ Caspiy D 0-054.4 1524 1378 51.95% 27.09% 20.96%+0.64 -2.2 14
2021-05-08 Shakter Karagandy D 1-166.8 1636 1459 60.18% 24.92% 14.90%+1.00 -3.0 17
2021-05-08 @ Kairat D 1-166.8 1459 1636 14.90% 24.92% 60.18%-1.00 +3.0 11
2021-05-09 Aktobe L 1-543.4 1379 1385 38.13% 28.53% 33.34%+0.08 -34.9 4
2021-05-09 @ Zhetysu W 5-143.4 1385 1379 33.34% 28.53% 38.13%-0.08 +34.9 12
2021-05-09 Atyrau W 2-040.3 1602 1402 62.35% 24.15% 13.50%+1.12 +9.1 21
2021-05-09 @ Tobol L 0-240.3 1402 1602 13.50% 24.15% 62.35%-1.12 -9.1 11
2021-05-09 Kyzylzhar W 1-050.7 1310 1490 18.02% 26.23% 55.75%-0.81 +15.9 9
2021-05-09 @ Turan L 0-150.7 1490 1310 55.75% 26.23% 18.02%+0.81 -15.9 14
2021-05-14 Kairat W 1-060.0 1438 1633 16.93% 25.83% 57.24%-0.88 +16.3 18
2021-05-14 @ Akzhayik L 0-160.0 1633 1438 57.24% 25.83% 16.93%+0.88 -16.2 17
2021-05-14 Kaisar D 1-156.9 1420 1418 39.26% 28.50% 32.25%+0.12 -0.4 13
2021-05-14 @ Aktobe D 1-156.9 1418 1420 32.25% 28.50% 39.26%-0.12 +0.4 7
2021-05-14 Turan L 0-150.5 1462 1326 55.92% 26.19% 17.90%+0.79 -15.9 11
2021-05-14 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-050.5 1326 1462 17.90% 26.19% 55.92%-0.79 +15.9 12
2021-05-14 Zhetysu W 1-040.7 1641 1344 70.69% 20.43% 8.89%+1.60 +3.1 29
2021-05-14 @ Astana L 0-140.7 1344 1641 8.89% 20.43% 70.69%-1.60 -3.1 4
2021-05-15 Caspiy W 2-038.5 1474 1380 51.26% 27.23% 21.51%+0.58 +14.2 17
2021-05-15 @ Kyzylzhar L 0-238.5 1380 1474 21.51% 27.23% 51.26%-0.58 -14.2 13
2021-05-15 Taraz W 1-050.3 1393 1487 26.46% 28.06% 45.48%-0.37 +13.4 14
2021-05-15 @ Atyrau L 0-150.3 1487 1393 45.48% 28.06% 26.46%+0.37 -13.4 17
2021-05-15 Tobol D 1-167.0 1522 1611 27.08% 28.13% 44.79%-0.34 +1.1 15
2021-05-15 @ Ordabasy D 1-167.0 1611 1522 44.79% 28.13% 27.08%+0.34 -1.1 22
2021-05-18 Aktobe W 4-251.1 1617 1420 62.07% 24.26% 13.68%+1.10 +7.2 20
2021-05-18 @ Kairat L 2-451.1 1420 1617 13.68% 24.26% 62.07%-1.10 -7.2 13
2021-05-18 Akzhayik L 0-238.1 1342 1455 24.34% 27.77% 47.89%-0.47 -15.7 12
2021-05-18 @ Turan W 2-038.1 1455 1342 47.89% 27.77% 24.34%+0.47 +15.7 21
2021-05-18 Astana L 2-548.6 1419 1644 14.81% 24.87% 60.32%-1.03 -10.6 7
2021-05-18 @ Kaisar W 5-248.6 1644 1419 60.32% 24.87% 14.81%+1.03 +10.6 32
2021-05-19 Kyzylzhar W 2-046.1 1610 1489 54.30% 26.59% 19.11%+0.72 +12.8 25
2021-05-19 @ Tobol L 0-246.1 1489 1610 19.11% 26.59% 54.30%-0.72 -12.8 17
2021-05-19 Ordabasy D 0-055.2 1406 1523 23.92% 27.70% 48.38%-0.49 +1.7 15
2021-05-19 @ Atyrau D 0-055.2 1523 1406 48.38% 27.70% 23.92%+0.49 -1.7 16
2021-05-19 Shakter Karagandy W 3-042.4 1366 1446 28.12% 28.24% 43.64%-0.30 +35.5 16
2021-05-19 @ Caspiy L 0-342.4 1446 1366 43.64% 28.24% 28.12%+0.30 -35.5 11
2021-05-19 Zhetysu L 2-361.7 1473 1341 55.51% 26.29% 18.20%+0.77 -14.2 17
2021-05-19 @ Taraz W 3-261.7 1341 1473 18.20% 26.29% 55.51%-0.77 +14.2 7
2021-05-23 Kairat D 1-170.2 1654 1624 43.19% 28.27% 28.53%+0.26 -0.9 33
2021-05-23 @ Astana D 1-170.2 1624 1654 28.53% 28.27% 43.19%-0.26 +0.9 21
2021-05-23 Kaisar W 2-042.3 1355 1408 31.60% 28.47% 39.93%-0.16 +22.8 10
2021-05-23 @ Zhetysu L 0-242.3 1408 1355 39.93% 28.47% 31.60%+0.16 -22.8 7
2021-05-23 Turan L 0-244.7 1413 1326 50.33% 27.39% 22.28%+0.55 -27.5 13
2021-05-23 @ Aktobe W 2-044.7 1326 1413 22.28% 27.39% 50.33%-0.55 +27.5 15
2021-05-24 Atyrau L 0-151.1 1476 1408 48.02% 27.75% 24.23%+0.45 -14.0 17
2021-05-24 @ Kyzylzhar W 1-051.1 1408 1476 24.23% 27.75% 48.02%-0.45 +14.0 18
2021-05-24 Caspiy L 0-345.2 1470 1401 48.18% 27.73% 24.09%+0.46 -38.5 21
2021-05-24 @ Akzhayik W 3-045.2 1401 1470 24.09% 27.73% 48.18%-0.46 +38.5 19
2021-05-24 Taraz D 1-161.8 1521 1459 47.29% 27.85% 24.86%+0.42 -1.4 17
2021-05-24 @ Ordabasy D 1-161.8 1459 1521 24.86% 27.85% 47.29%-0.42 +1.4 18
2021-05-24 Tobol L 0-340.4 1410 1622 15.65% 25.28% 59.08%-0.97 -15.4 11
2021-05-24 @ Shakter Karagandy W 3-040.4 1622 1410 59.08% 25.28% 15.65%+0.97 +15.4 28
2021-05-28 Kaisar W 1-043.1 1625 1385 65.94% 22.69% 11.37%+1.32 +4.0 24
2021-05-28 @ Kairat L 0-143.1 1385 1625 11.37% 22.69% 65.94%-1.32 -4.0 7
2021-05-28 Taraz D 2-265.3 1462 1461 39.15% 28.50% 32.35%+0.11 -0.3 18
2021-05-28 @ Kyzylzhar D 2-265.3 1461 1462 32.35% 28.50% 39.15%-0.11 +0.3 19
2021-05-28 Zhetysu L 0-240.4 1353 1378 35.46% 28.56% 35.99%-0.02 -20.9 15
2021-05-28 @ Turan W 2-040.4 1378 1353 35.99% 28.56% 35.46%+0.02 +20.9 13
2021-05-29 Aktobe W 2-148.9 1638 1385 67.10% 22.17% 10.73%+1.38 +3.6 31
2021-05-29 @ Tobol L 1-248.9 1385 1638 10.73% 22.17% 67.10%-1.38 -3.6 13
2021-05-29 Akzhayik W 2-042.6 1422 1432 37.60% 28.54% 33.86%+0.06 +20.2 21
2021-05-29 @ Atyrau L 0-242.6 1432 1422 33.86% 28.54% 37.60%-0.06 -20.2 21
2021-05-29 Astana D 2-272.5 1440 1653 15.54% 25.23% 59.23%-0.98 +2.2 20
2021-05-29 @ Caspiy D 2-272.5 1653 1440 59.23% 25.23% 15.54%+0.98 -2.1 34
2021-05-29 Shakter Karagandy D 0-055.0 1520 1395 54.75% 26.48% 18.77%+0.74 -2.6 18
2021-05-29 @ Ordabasy D 0-055.0 1395 1520 18.77% 26.48% 54.75%-0.74 +2.6 12
2021-06-12 Atyrau W 1-047.5 1382 1442 30.59% 28.42% 40.99%-0.20 +12.4 16
2021-06-12 @ Aktobe L 0-147.5 1442 1382 40.99% 28.42% 30.59%+0.20 -12.3 21
2021-06-12 Caspiy L 0-145.6 1399 1442 32.99% 28.52% 38.49%-0.11 -10.5 13
2021-06-12 @ Zhetysu W 1-045.6 1442 1399 38.49% 28.52% 32.99%+0.11 +10.5 23
2021-06-12 Kyzylzhar L 0-145.2 1397 1461 30.12% 28.39% 41.49%-0.22 -9.8 12
2021-06-12 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-045.2 1461 1397 41.49% 28.39% 30.12%+0.22 +9.8 21
2021-06-12 Ordabasy L 0-145.8 1412 1517 25.12% 27.89% 46.99%-0.43 -8.5 21
2021-06-12 @ Akzhayik W 1-045.8 1517 1412 46.99% 27.89% 25.12%+0.43 +8.5 21
2021-06-13 Kairat L 0-245.8 1461 1629 19.08% 26.58% 54.34%-0.74 -12.8 19
2021-06-13 @ Taraz W 2-045.8 1629 1461 54.34% 26.58% 19.08%+0.74 +12.8 27
2021-06-13 Tobol D 1-170.3 1651 1641 40.37% 28.45% 31.18%+0.16 -0.5 35
2021-06-13 @ Astana D 1-170.3 1641 1651 31.18% 28.45% 40.37%-0.16 +0.5 32
2021-06-13 Turan D 0-049.8 1381 1332 45.60% 28.05% 26.35%+0.35 -1.3 8
2021-06-13 @ Kaisar D 0-049.8 1332 1381 26.35% 28.05% 45.60%-0.35 +1.3 16
2021-06-18 Aktobe L 0-154.1 1526 1394 55.49% 26.30% 18.21%+0.77 -15.8 21
2021-06-18 @ Ordabasy W 1-054.1 1394 1526 18.21% 26.30% 55.49%-0.77 +15.8 19
2021-06-18 Akzhayik L 0-150.8 1471 1403 48.06% 27.75% 24.19%+0.45 -14.0 21
2021-06-18 @ Kyzylzhar W 1-050.8 1403 1471 24.19% 27.75% 48.06%-0.45 +14.0 24
2021-06-18 Astana L 0-243.8 1430 1651 15.06% 25.00% 59.94%-1.01 -10.2 21
2021-06-18 @ Atyrau W 2-043.8 1651 1430 59.94% 25.00% 15.06%+1.01 +10.2 38
2021-06-18 Taraz W 1-047.8 1387 1448 30.56% 28.42% 41.02%-0.20 +12.4 15
2021-06-18 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-147.8 1448 1387 41.02% 28.42% 30.56%+0.20 -12.4 19
2021-06-19 Kairat L 0-335.6 1334 1641 10.32% 21.82% 67.86%-1.45 -9.9 16
2021-06-19 @ Turan W 3-035.6 1641 1334 67.86% 21.82% 10.32%+1.45 +9.9 30
2021-06-19 Kaisar L 2-455.7 1452 1380 48.55% 27.68% 23.77%+0.47 -20.7 23
2021-06-19 @ Caspiy W 4-255.7 1380 1452 23.77% 27.68% 48.55%-0.47 +20.7 11
2021-06-19 Zhetysu W 2-149.2 1642 1389 67.16% 22.14% 10.70%+1.39 +3.6 35
2021-06-19 @ Tobol L 1-249.2 1389 1642 10.70% 22.14% 67.16%-1.39 -3.6 13
2021-06-22 Kyzylzhar D 1-157.7 1410 1457 32.31% 28.50% 39.19%-0.13 +0.4 20
2021-06-22 @ Aktobe D 1-157.7 1457 1410 39.19% 28.50% 32.31%+0.13 -0.4 22
2021-06-22 Ordabasy L 0-259.5 1661 1510 57.49% 25.76% 16.75%+0.87 -30.8 38
2021-06-22 @ Astana W 2-059.5 1510 1661 16.75% 25.76% 57.49%-0.87 +30.8 24
2021-06-22 Shakter Karagandy D 1-156.4 1417 1400 41.38% 28.40% 30.22%+0.19 -0.7 25
2021-06-22 @ Akzhayik D 1-156.4 1400 1417 30.22% 28.40% 41.38%-0.19 +0.7 16
2021-06-23 Atyrau L 1-250.7 1385 1420 34.10% 28.54% 37.35%-0.07 -10.2 13
2021-06-23 @ Zhetysu W 2-150.7 1420 1385 37.35% 28.54% 34.10%+0.07 +10.2 24
2021-06-23 Caspiy W 5-144.2 1651 1432 64.21% 23.42% 12.37%+1.22 +13.2 33
2021-06-23 @ Kairat L 1-544.2 1432 1651 12.37% 23.42% 64.21%-1.22 -13.2 23
2021-06-23 Tobol L 1-347.7 1401 1646 13.56% 24.19% 62.25%-1.13 -8.0 11
2021-06-23 @ Kaisar W 3-147.7 1646 1401 62.25% 24.19% 13.56%+1.13 +8.0 38
2021-06-23 Turan D 1-155.7 1436 1324 53.27% 26.82% 19.91%+0.67 -2.1 20
2021-06-23 @ Taraz D 1-155.7 1324 1436 19.91% 26.82% 53.27%-0.67 +2.1 17
2021-06-27 Aktobe W 1-045.1 1401 1410 37.64% 28.54% 33.83%+0.06 +10.7 19
2021-06-27 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-145.1 1410 1401 33.83% 28.54% 37.64%-0.06 -10.7 20
2021-06-27 Astana W 3-270.7 1457 1630 18.61% 26.43% 54.96%-0.77 +14.0 25
2021-06-27 @ Kyzylzhar L 2-370.7 1630 1457 54.96% 26.43% 18.61%+0.77 -14.0 38
2021-06-27 Zhetysu W 3-036.1 1541 1375 59.05% 25.29% 15.66%+0.95 +15.4 27
2021-06-27 @ Ordabasy L 0-336.1 1375 1541 15.66% 25.29% 59.05%-0.95 -15.4 13
2021-06-28 Kairat D 2-276.4 1654 1665 37.44% 28.54% 34.02%+0.05 -0.2 39
2021-06-28 @ Tobol D 2-276.4 1665 1654 34.02% 28.54% 37.44%-0.05 +0.2 34
2021-06-28 Kaisar D 1-156.6 1430 1393 44.05% 28.20% 27.75%+0.29 -1.0 25
2021-06-28 @ Atyrau D 1-156.6 1393 1430 27.75% 28.20% 44.05%-0.29 +1.0 12
2021-06-28 Taraz W 3-040.9 1416 1434 36.54% 28.55% 34.90%+0.02 +30.1 28
2021-06-28 @ Akzhayik L 0-340.9 1434 1416 34.90% 28.55% 36.54%-0.02 -30.0 20
2021-06-28 Turan D 0-050.5 1418 1326 51.00% 27.27% 21.73%+0.57 -2.1 24
2021-06-28 @ Caspiy D 0-050.5 1326 1418 21.73% 27.27% 51.00%-0.57 +2.1 18
2021-07-02 Akzhayik W 2-153.3 1399 1446 32.39% 28.50% 39.11%-0.13 +11.2 23
2021-07-02 @ Aktobe L 1-253.3 1446 1399 39.11% 28.50% 32.39%+0.13 -11.2 28
2021-07-02 Atyrau W 5-041.1 1665 1429 65.65% 22.82% 11.53%+1.30 +18.1 37
2021-07-02 @ Kairat L 0-541.1 1429 1665 11.53% 22.82% 65.65%-1.30 -18.1 25
2021-07-02 Shakter Karagandy W 4-357.8 1616 1411 62.83% 23.97% 13.20%+1.14 +4.1 41
2021-07-02 @ Astana L 3-457.8 1411 1616 13.20% 23.97% 62.83%-1.14 -4.1 19
2021-07-03 Kyzylzhar D 0-052.1 1360 1471 24.52% 27.80% 47.69%-0.46 +1.6 14
2021-07-03 @ Zhetysu D 0-052.1 1471 1360 47.69% 27.80% 24.52%+0.46 -1.6 26
2021-07-03 Ordabasy W 1-054.8 1394 1556 19.52% 26.71% 53.77%-0.72 +15.4 15
2021-07-03 @ Kaisar L 0-154.8 1556 1394 53.77% 26.71% 19.52%+0.72 -15.4 27
2021-07-03 Tobol L 2-446.9 1328 1653 9.57% 21.12% 69.32%-1.54 -4.9 18
2021-07-03 @ Turan W 4-246.9 1653 1328 69.32% 21.12% 9.57%+1.54 +4.9 42
2021-07-04 Caspiy W 1-045.4 1404 1416 37.21% 28.55% 34.24%+0.04 +10.8 23
2021-07-04 @ Taraz L 0-145.4 1416 1404 34.24% 28.55% 37.21%-0.04 -10.8 24
2021-08-26 Kyzylzhar L 0-550.7 1541 1469 48.47% 27.69% 23.84%+0.47 -62.3 27
2021-08-26 @ Ordabasy W 5-050.7 1469 1541 23.84% 27.69% 48.47%-0.47 +62.3 29
2021-09-11 Astana L 0-147.7 1435 1620 17.66% 26.10% 56.24%-0.83 -6.3 28
2021-09-11 @ Akzhayik W 1-047.7 1620 1435 56.24% 26.10% 17.66%+0.83 +6.3 44
2021-09-11 Kaisar W 2-040.4 1532 1409 54.44% 26.56% 19.00%+0.73 +12.7 32
2021-09-11 @ Kyzylzhar L 0-240.4 1409 1532 19.00% 26.56% 54.44%-0.73 -12.7 15
2021-09-11 Turan D 2-260.8 1411 1323 50.41% 27.38% 22.21%+0.55 -1.3 26
2021-09-11 @ Atyrau D 2-260.8 1323 1411 22.21% 27.38% 50.41%-0.55 +1.3 19
2021-09-12 Caspiy W 2-150.4 1658 1406 67.11% 22.17% 10.72%+1.38 +3.6 45
2021-09-12 @ Tobol L 1-250.4 1406 1658 10.72% 22.17% 67.11%-1.38 -3.6 24
2021-09-12 Kairat W 2-168.7 1479 1683 16.22% 25.54% 58.24%-0.93 +15.6 30
2021-09-12 @ Ordabasy L 1-268.7 1683 1479 58.24% 25.54% 16.22%+0.93 -15.6 37
2021-09-12 Taraz D 0-051.8 1411 1414 38.47% 28.52% 33.01%+0.09 -0.4 24
2021-09-12 @ Aktobe D 0-051.8 1414 1411 33.01% 28.52% 38.47%-0.09 +0.4 24
2021-09-12 Zhetysu W 3-144.1 1407 1361 45.23% 28.09% 26.69%+0.34 +14.6 22
2021-09-12 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-344.1 1361 1407 26.69% 28.09% 45.23%-0.34 -14.6 14
2021-09-18 Aktobe W 2-150.4 1627 1410 63.88% 23.55% 12.56%+1.20 +4.2 47
2021-09-18 @ Astana L 1-250.4 1410 1627 12.56% 23.55% 63.88%-1.20 -4.2 24
2021-09-18 Akzhayik D 2-261.3 1346 1429 27.84% 28.21% 43.95%-0.31 +0.7 15
2021-09-18 @ Zhetysu D 2-261.3 1429 1346 43.95% 28.21% 27.84%+0.31 -0.7 29
2021-09-18 Atyrau W 2-150.7 1402 1409 37.96% 28.53% 33.51%+0.07 +10.0 27
2021-09-18 @ Caspiy L 1-250.7 1409 1402 33.51% 28.53% 37.96%-0.07 -10.0 26
2021-09-18 Ordabasy D 1-157.0 1324 1494 18.91% 26.53% 54.56%-0.75 +2.3 20
2021-09-18 @ Turan D 1-157.0 1494 1324 54.56% 26.53% 18.91%+0.75 -2.3 31
2021-09-19 Kyzylzhar W 1-052.7 1667 1544 54.49% 26.54% 18.97%+0.73 +6.7 40
2021-09-19 @ Kairat L 0-152.7 1544 1667 18.97% 26.54% 54.49%-0.73 -6.7 32
2021-09-19 Shakter Karagandy L 1-251.5 1396 1422 35.39% 28.56% 36.05%-0.02 -10.5 15
2021-09-19 @ Kaisar W 2-151.5 1422 1396 36.05% 28.56% 35.39%+0.02 +10.5 25
2021-09-19 Tobol D 0-061.6 1415 1662 13.44% 24.11% 62.45%-1.14 +3.7 25
2021-09-19 @ Taraz D 0-061.6 1662 1415 62.45% 24.11% 13.44%+1.14 -3.7 46
2021-09-26 Kairat D 1-167.4 1432 1674 13.75% 24.30% 61.96%-1.12 +3.2 26
2021-09-26 @ Shakter Karagandy D 1-167.4 1674 1432 61.96% 24.30% 13.75%+1.12 -3.2 41
2021-09-26 Turan L 0-153.9 1538 1327 63.39% 23.75% 12.86%+1.17 -17.7 32
2021-09-26 @ Kyzylzhar W 1-053.9 1327 1538 12.86% 23.75% 63.39%-1.17 +17.7 23
2021-09-26 Zhetysu W 2-037.5 1406 1347 46.89% 27.90% 25.21%+0.40 +16.2 27
2021-09-26 @ Aktobe L 0-237.5 1347 1406 25.21% 27.90% 46.89%-0.40 -16.2 15
2021-09-27 Caspiy D 1-159.2 1492 1412 49.49% 27.53% 22.98%+0.51 -1.7 32
2021-09-27 @ Ordabasy D 1-159.2 1412 1492 22.98% 27.53% 49.49%-0.51 +1.7 28
2021-09-27 Kaisar D 1-156.4 1428 1386 44.73% 28.14% 27.13%+0.32 -1.1 30
2021-09-27 @ Akzhayik D 1-156.4 1386 1428 27.13% 28.14% 44.73%-0.32 +1.1 16
2021-09-27 Taraz W 3-039.7 1631 1418 63.52% 23.70% 12.78%+1.18 +12.5 50
2021-09-27 @ Astana L 0-339.7 1418 1631 12.78% 23.70% 63.52%-1.18 -12.5 25
2021-09-27 Tobol L 0-145.5 1399 1658 12.76% 23.68% 63.56%-1.20 -4.6 26
2021-09-27 @ Atyrau W 1-045.5 1658 1399 63.56% 23.68% 12.76%+1.20 +4.6 49
2021-10-02 Aktobe L 0-241.5 1387 1422 33.99% 28.54% 37.46%-0.07 -20.3 16
2021-10-02 @ Kaisar W 2-041.5 1422 1387 37.46% 28.54% 33.99%+0.07 +20.3 30
2021-10-02 Astana L 1-343.2 1331 1643 10.12% 21.64% 68.24%-1.47 -5.8 15
2021-10-02 @ Zhetysu W 3-143.2 1643 1331 68.24% 21.64% 10.12%+1.47 +5.8 53
2021-10-02 Ordabasy W 3-151.9 1663 1490 59.70% 25.08% 15.22%+0.98 +8.9 52
2021-10-02 @ Tobol L 1-351.9 1490 1663 15.22% 25.08% 59.70%-0.98 -8.9 32
2021-10-02 Shakter Karagandy D 0-050.9 1344 1435 26.82% 28.10% 45.07%-0.35 +1.2 24
2021-10-02 @ Turan D 0-050.9 1435 1344 45.07% 28.10% 26.82%+0.35 -1.2 27
2021-10-03 Akzhayik W 3-148.3 1671 1427 66.33% 22.52% 11.15%+1.34 +6.5 44
2021-10-03 @ Kairat L 1-348.3 1427 1671 11.15% 22.52% 66.33%-1.34 -6.5 30
2021-10-03 Atyrau D 2-261.8 1406 1395 40.56% 28.44% 30.99%+0.16 -0.4 26
2021-10-03 @ Taraz D 2-261.8 1395 1406 30.99% 28.44% 40.56%-0.16 +0.4 27
2021-10-03 Kyzylzhar L 1-251.6 1414 1520 25.08% 27.88% 47.03%-0.43 -8.1 28
2021-10-03 @ Caspiy W 2-151.6 1520 1414 47.03% 27.88% 25.08%+0.43 +8.1 35
2021-10-16 Atyrau W 2-148.8 1481 1395 50.25% 27.41% 22.35%+0.54 +7.3 35
2021-10-16 @ Ordabasy L 1-248.8 1395 1481 22.35% 27.41% 50.25%-0.54 -7.3 27
2021-10-16 Caspiy W 1-044.2 1434 1406 42.93% 28.29% 28.78%+0.25 +9.5 30
2021-10-16 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-144.2 1406 1434 28.78% 28.29% 42.93%-0.25 -9.5 28
2021-10-16 Kairat L 1-254.0 1443 1677 14.19% 24.54% 61.27%-1.08 -4.8 30
2021-10-16 @ Aktobe W 2-154.0 1677 1443 61.27% 24.54% 14.19%+1.08 +4.8 47
2021-10-16 Turan D 1-155.5 1421 1346 48.89% 27.63% 23.49%+0.49 -1.6 31
2021-10-16 @ Akzhayik D 1-155.5 1346 1421 23.49% 27.63% 48.89%-0.49 +1.6 25
2021-10-17 Kaisar W 2-038.6 1649 1367 69.58% 20.99% 9.43%+1.53 +6.2 56
2021-10-17 @ Astana L 0-238.6 1367 1649 9.43% 20.99% 69.58%-1.53 -6.2 16
2021-10-17 Taraz L 1-247.4 1325 1406 28.10% 28.23% 43.67%-0.30 -8.8 15
2021-10-17 @ Zhetysu W 2-147.4 1406 1325 43.67% 28.23% 28.10%+0.30 +8.8 29
2021-10-17 Tobol L 0-249.7 1528 1672 21.24% 27.16% 51.60%-0.62 -14.0 35
2021-10-17 @ Kyzylzhar W 2-049.7 1672 1528 51.60% 27.16% 21.24%+0.62 +14.0 55
2021-10-24 Aktobe L 1-248.0 1347 1438 26.88% 28.11% 45.01%-0.35 -8.5 25
2021-10-24 @ Turan W 2-148.0 1438 1347 45.01% 28.11% 26.88%+0.35 +8.5 33
2021-10-24 Akzhayik D 2-262.1 1396 1419 35.74% 28.56% 35.71%-0.01 +0.0 29
2021-10-24 @ Caspiy D 2-262.1 1419 1396 35.71% 28.56% 35.74%+0.01 +0.0 32
2021-10-24 Astana W 1-058.2 1682 1655 42.67% 28.31% 29.02%+0.24 +9.6 50
2021-10-24 @ Kairat L 0-158.2 1655 1682 29.02% 28.31% 42.67%-0.24 -9.6 56
2021-10-24 Kyzylzhar D 0-054.3 1388 1514 22.97% 27.53% 49.50%-0.53 +1.9 28
2021-10-24 @ Atyrau D 0-054.3 1514 1388 49.50% 27.53% 22.97%+0.53 -1.9 36
2021-10-24 Ordabasy L 1-251.8 1414 1489 28.84% 28.30% 42.86%-0.27 -9.0 29
2021-10-24 @ Taraz W 2-151.8 1489 1414 42.86% 28.30% 28.84%+0.27 +9.0 38
2021-10-24 Shakter Karagandy W 4-146.5 1686 1444 66.18% 22.59% 11.24%+1.33 +9.2 58
2021-10-24 @ Tobol L 1-446.5 1444 1686 11.24% 22.59% 66.18%-1.33 -9.2 30
2021-10-24 Zhetysu L 0-146.0 1361 1316 44.98% 28.11% 26.91%+0.33 -13.3 16
2021-10-24 @ Kaisar W 1-046.0 1316 1361 26.91% 28.11% 44.98%-0.33 +13.3 18
2021-10-30 Atyrau W 3-145.4 1434 1390 45.07% 28.11% 26.82%+0.33 +14.7 33
2021-10-30 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-345.4 1390 1434 26.82% 28.11% 45.07%-0.33 -14.7 28
2021-10-30 Caspiy L 1-547.3 1446 1396 45.77% 28.03% 26.20%+0.36 -40.2 33
2021-10-30 @ Aktobe W 5-147.3 1396 1446 26.20% 28.03% 45.77%-0.36 +40.2 32
2021-10-30 Kairat D 0-061.0 1330 1692 8.17% 19.64% 72.19%-1.72 +4.8 19
2021-10-30 @ Zhetysu D 0-061.0 1692 1330 72.19% 19.64% 8.17%+1.72 -4.8 51
2021-10-30 Kaisar L 1-253.3 1405 1347 46.78% 27.91% 25.30%+0.40 -12.9 29
2021-10-30 @ Taraz W 2-153.3 1347 1405 25.30% 27.91% 46.78%-0.40 +12.9 19
2021-10-30 Ordabasy W 3-261.2 1512 1498 41.01% 28.42% 30.57%+0.18 +8.9 39
2021-10-30 @ Kyzylzhar L 2-361.2 1498 1512 30.57% 28.42% 41.01%-0.18 -8.9 38
2021-10-30 Tobol L 0-243.4 1419 1695 11.85% 23.06% 65.09%-1.29 -8.0 32
2021-10-30 @ Akzhayik W 2-043.4 1695 1419 65.09% 23.06% 11.85%+1.29 +8.0 61
2021-10-30 Turan D 1-164.3 1646 1339 71.52% 19.99% 8.49%+1.66 -4.3 57
2021-10-30 @ Astana D 1-164.3 1339 1646 8.49% 19.99% 71.52%-1.66 +4.3 26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2021-05-03 10.78% Turan 1291 1 @ Ordabasy 1543 0
2 2021-04-23 12.39% @ Atyrau 1366 1 Kairat 1631 0
3 2021-09-26 12.86% Turan 1327 1 @ Kyzylzhar 1538 0
4 2021-04-28 14.92% @ Caspiy 1371 2 Tobol 1594 1
5 2021-09-12 16.22% @ Ordabasy 1479 2 Kairat 1683 1
6 2021-06-22 16.75% Ordabasy 1510 2 @ Astana 1661 0
7 2021-05-14 16.93% @ Akzhayik 1438 1 Kairat 1633 0
8 2021-05-14 17.90% Turan 1326 1 @ Shakter Karagandy 1462 0
9 2021-05-09 18.02% @ Turan 1310 1 Kyzylzhar 1490 0
10 2021-04-04 18.17% @ Caspiy 1330 2 Zhetysu 1508 0
11 2021-05-19 18.20% Zhetysu 1341 3 @ Taraz 1473 2
12 2021-06-18 18.21% Aktobe 1394 1 @ Ordabasy 1526 0
13 2021-06-27 18.61% @ Kyzylzhar 1457 3 Astana 1630 2
14 2021-04-23 19.27% @ Caspiy 1356 1 Taraz 1521 0
15 2021-07-03 19.52% @ Kaisar 1394 1 Ordabasy 1556 0
16 2021-05-23 22.28% Turan 1326 2 @ Aktobe 1413 0
17 2021-06-19 23.77% Kaisar 1380 4 @ Caspiy 1452 2
18 2021-08-26 23.84% Kyzylzhar 1469 5 @ Ordabasy 1541 0
19 2021-05-24 24.09% Caspiy 1401 3 @ Akzhayik 1470 0
20 2021-06-18 24.19% Akzhayik 1403 1 @ Kyzylzhar 1471 0
21 2021-05-24 24.23% Atyrau 1408 1 @ Kyzylzhar 1476 0
22 2021-10-30 25.30% Kaisar 1347 2 @ Taraz 1405 1
23 2021-10-30 26.20% Caspiy 1396 5 @ Aktobe 1446 1
24 2021-05-15 26.46% @ Atyrau 1393 1 Taraz 1487 0
25 2021-10-24 26.91% Zhetysu 1316 1 @ Kaisar 1361 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-08-26 62.28 Kyzylzhar 5 1469 23.84% @ Ordabasy 0 1541 48.47% 27.69%
2 2021-10-30 40.18 Caspiy 5 1396 26.20% @ Aktobe 1 1446 45.77% 28.03%
3 2021-05-24 38.49 Caspiy 3 1401 24.09% @ Akzhayik 0 1470 48.18% 27.73%
4 2021-04-09 37.29 @ Taraz 4 1470 38.98% Shakter Karagandy 0 1470 32.52% 28.51%
5 2021-05-19 35.53 @ Caspiy 3 1366 28.12% Shakter Karagandy 0 1446 43.64% 28.24%
6 2021-04-19 35.49 Ordabasy 4 1521 41.18% @ Zhetysu 0 1459 30.41% 28.41%
7 2021-04-19 35.40 Shakter Karagandy 3 1421 28.31% @ Aktobe 0 1453 43.44% 28.25%
8 2021-05-09 34.88 Aktobe 5 1385 33.34% @ Zhetysu 1 1379 38.13% 28.53%
9 2021-06-22 30.77 Ordabasy 2 1510 16.75% @ Astana 0 1661 57.49% 25.76%
10 2021-06-28 30.05 @ Akzhayik 3 1416 36.54% Taraz 0 1434 34.90% 28.55%
11 2021-04-04 29.88 @ Caspiy 2 1330 18.17% Zhetysu 0 1508 55.55% 26.28%
12 2021-05-23 27.48 Turan 2 1326 22.28% @ Aktobe 0 1413 50.33% 27.39%
13 2021-04-24 26.09 @ Kyzylzhar 3 1452 42.86% Zhetysu 0 1424 28.84% 28.30%
14 2021-04-14 25.34 Astana 4 1575 36.54% @ Ordabasy 1 1547 34.90% 28.55%
15 2021-04-29 24.56 @ Kairat 3 1613 45.22% Ordabasy 0 1567 26.69% 28.09%
16 2021-05-02 23.34 @ Tobol 3 1578 47.09% Taraz 0 1518 25.03% 27.87%
17 2021-05-23 22.84 @ Zhetysu 2 1355 31.60% Kaisar 0 1408 39.93% 28.47%
18 2021-04-05 22.76 @ Kyzylzhar 2 1441 31.78% Shakter Karagandy 0 1493 39.74% 28.48%
19 2021-03-20 22.22 Ordabasy 2 1519 32.97% @ Shakter Karagandy 0 1515 38.51% 28.52%
20 2021-03-19 21.21 Kairat 3 1607 50.31% @ Kaisar 0 1475 22.29% 27.39%
21 2021-05-28 20.93 Zhetysu 2 1378 35.99% @ Turan 0 1353 35.46% 28.56%
22 2021-06-19 20.66 Kaisar 4 1380 23.77% @ Caspiy 2 1452 48.55% 27.68%
23 2021-10-02 20.30 Aktobe 2 1422 37.46% @ Kaisar 0 1387 33.99% 28.54%
24 2021-05-29 20.24 @ Atyrau 2 1422 37.60% Akzhayik 0 1432 33.86% 28.54%
25 2021-05-03 18.51 Turan 1 1291 10.78% @ Ordabasy 0 1543 67.00% 22.22%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-06-28 76.4 @ Tobol 2 1654 37.44% Kairat 2 1665 34.02% 28.54%
2 2021-04-19 74.8 @ Kairat 2 1632 46.35% Tobol 2 1577 25.69% 27.97%
3 2021-04-09 73.1 @ Aktobe 4 1440 25.00% Ordabasy 4 1547 47.13% 27.87%
4 2021-04-05 72.5 @ Kairat 2 1629 58.52% Taraz 2 1468 16.03% 25.45%
5 2021-05-29 72.5 @ Caspiy 2 1440 15.54% Astana 2 1653 59.23% 25.23%
6 2021-06-27 70.7 @ Kyzylzhar 3 1457 18.61% Astana 2 1630 54.96% 26.43%
7 2021-06-13 70.3 @ Astana 1 1651 40.37% Tobol 1 1641 31.18% 28.45%
8 2021-05-23 70.2 @ Astana 1 1654 43.19% Kairat 1 1624 28.53% 28.27%
9 2021-09-12 68.7 @ Ordabasy 2 1479 16.22% Kairat 1 1683 58.24% 25.54%
10 2021-09-26 67.4 @ Shakter Karagandy 1 1432 13.75% Kairat 1 1674 61.96% 24.30%
11 2021-05-03 67.2 @ Kyzylzhar 1 1488 20.69% Kairat 1 1638 52.28% 27.03%
12 2021-05-15 67.0 @ Ordabasy 1 1522 27.08% Tobol 1 1611 44.79% 28.13%
13 2021-05-08 66.8 @ Kairat 1 1636 60.18% Shakter Karagandy 1 1459 14.90% 24.92%
14 2021-04-05 66.4 @ Tobol 1 1553 37.65% Astana 1 1562 33.81% 28.54%
15 2021-03-13 65.5 @ Turan 2 1344 15.69% Astana 2 1556 59.00% 25.30%
16 2021-05-28 65.3 @ Kyzylzhar 2 1462 39.15% Taraz 2 1461 32.35% 28.50%
17 2021-10-30 64.3 @ Astana 1 1646 71.52% Turan 1 1339 8.49% 19.99%
18 2021-04-14 63.6 @ Caspiy 1 1352 11.46% Kairat 1 1636 65.78% 22.76%
19 2021-04-14 62.5 @ Atyrau 2 1363 26.07% Zhetysu 2 1460 45.92% 28.02%
20 2021-03-14 62.4 Taraz 3 1457 28.78% @ Kaisar 2 1486 42.93% 28.29%
21 2021-04-28 62.4 @ Caspiy 2 1371 14.92% Tobol 1 1594 60.15% 24.93%
22 2021-10-24 62.1 @ Caspiy 2 1396 35.74% Akzhayik 2 1419 35.71% 28.56%
23 2021-05-24 61.8 @ Ordabasy 1 1521 47.29% Taraz 1 1459 24.86% 27.85%
24 2021-10-03 61.8 @ Taraz 2 1406 40.56% Atyrau 2 1395 30.99% 28.44%
25 2021-03-20 61.7 @ Aktobe 1 1421 22.20% Tobol 1 1554 50.42% 27.38%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2021-04-23 33.3 @ Tobol 5 1578 67.94% Turan 0 1316 10.28% 21.78%
2 2021-03-20 34.4 @ Zhetysu 3 1491 56.89% Turan 0 1346 17.18% 25.93%
3 2021-06-19 35.6 Kairat 3 1641 67.86% @ Turan 0 1334 10.32% 21.82%
4 2021-03-19 35.9 @ Astana 2 1554 63.83% Caspiy 0 1338 12.59% 23.57%
5 2021-06-27 36.1 @ Ordabasy 3 1541 59.05% Zhetysu 0 1375 15.66% 25.29%
6 2021-09-26 37.5 @ Aktobe 2 1406 46.89% Zhetysu 0 1347 25.21% 27.90%
7 2021-04-10 37.7 @ Kairat 5 1627 70.62% Turan 1 1331 8.92% 20.46%
8 2021-05-18 38.1 Akzhayik 2 1455 47.89% @ Turan 0 1342 24.34% 27.77%
9 2021-05-15 38.5 @ Kyzylzhar 2 1474 51.26% Caspiy 0 1380 21.51% 27.23%
10 2021-10-17 38.6 @ Astana 2 1649 69.58% Kaisar 0 1367 9.43% 20.99%
11 2021-04-24 39.7 @ Kyzylzhar 3 1452 42.86% Zhetysu 0 1424 28.84% 28.30%
12 2021-09-27 39.7 @ Astana 3 1631 63.52% Taraz 0 1418 12.78% 23.70%
13 2021-04-14 39.9 Taraz 1 1507 56.27% @ Turan 0 1322 17.64% 26.10%
14 2021-05-09 40.3 @ Tobol 2 1602 62.35% Atyrau 0 1402 13.50% 24.15%
15 2021-05-24 40.4 Tobol 3 1622 59.08% @ Shakter Karagandy 0 1410 15.65% 25.28%
16 2021-05-28 40.4 Zhetysu 2 1378 35.99% @ Turan 0 1353 35.46% 28.56%
17 2021-09-11 40.4 @ Kyzylzhar 2 1532 54.44% Kaisar 0 1409 19.00% 26.56%
18 2021-05-14 40.7 @ Astana 1 1641 70.69% Zhetysu 0 1344 8.89% 20.43%
19 2021-06-28 40.9 @ Akzhayik 3 1416 36.54% Taraz 0 1434 34.90% 28.55%
20 2021-07-02 41.1 @ Kairat 5 1665 65.65% Atyrau 0 1429 11.53% 22.82%
21 2021-04-10 41.4 @ Astana 6 1562 61.09% Atyrau 2 1376 14.31% 24.61%
22 2021-05-02 41.4 Astana 2 1623 60.62% @ Aktobe 0 1395 14.61% 24.77%
23 2021-10-02 41.5 Aktobe 2 1422 37.46% @ Kaisar 0 1387 33.99% 28.54%
24 2021-03-14 41.7 @ Tobol 2 1541 53.43% Akzhayik 0 1428 19.78% 26.79%
25 2021-05-23 42.3 @ Zhetysu 2 1355 31.60% Kaisar 0 1408 39.93% 28.47%