‹ ›

2022 Kazakhstan Premier League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Astana

53 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Aktobe

15.82 points above expected

52 points · 36.18 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Akzhayik

7.64 points below expected

25 points · 32.64 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Astana 26 16 5 5 53 65 24 +41 48.37 +4.63
2 Aktobe 26 16 4 6 52 43 28 +15 36.18 +15.82
3 Tobol 26 14 5 7 47 46 33 +13 46.14 +0.86
4 Kairat 26 12 6 8 42 34 36 -2 44.57 -2.57
5 Ordabasy 26 11 5 10 38 36 39 -3 36.21 +1.79
6 Aksu 26 11 3 12 36 32 37 -5 28.98 +7.02
7 Shakter Karagandy 26 9 5 12 32 34 35 -1 36.45 -4.45
8 Makhtaaral 26 8 7 11 31 28 38 -10 25.10 +5.90
9 Caspiy 26 9 4 13 31 26 42 -16 33.08 -2.08
10 Kyzylzhar 26 7 9 10 30 33 32 +1 36.92 -6.92
11 Atyrau 26 7 8 11 29 30 39 -9 34.04 -5.04
12 Taraz 26 6 10 10 28 27 29 -2 34.69 -6.69
13 Turan 26 6 10 10 28 25 35 -10 29.41 -1.41
14 Akzhayik 26 6 7 13 25 19 31 -12 32.64 -7.64

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aktobe 52 36.18 +15.82
2 Aksu 36 28.98 +7.02
3 Makhtaaral 31 25.10 +5.90
4 Astana 53 48.37 +4.63
5 Ordabasy 38 36.21 +1.79

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Akzhayik 25 32.64 -7.64
2 Kyzylzhar 30 36.92 -6.92
3 Taraz 28 34.69 -6.69
4 Atyrau 29 34.04 -5.04
5 Shakter Karagandy 32 36.45 -4.45

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aktobe 8 May 14 – Sep 5 1 in 3,719
2 Makhtaaral 5 Oct 1 – Oct 30 1 in 1,582
3 Akzhayik 3 Apr 9 – Apr 23 1 in 52
4 Taraz 4 Apr 17 – May 2 1 in 37
5 Astana 5 Oct 9 – Nov 6 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Taraz 4 Sep 4 – Oct 1 1 in 122
2 Atyrau 5 Sep 15 – Oct 23 1 in 56
3 Ordabasy 4 Aug 21 – Sep 11 1 in 47
4 Caspiy 4 Jun 19 – Aug 20 1 in 33
5 Aksu 4 Apr 3 – Apr 23 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Makhtaaral 8 Sep 10 – Nov 6 1 in 268
2 Aktobe 10 May 14 – Sep 14 1 in 87
3 Turan 6 Apr 10 – May 8 1 in 66
4 Atyrau 6 Apr 22 – May 21 1 in 44
5 Kyzylzhar 6 Apr 27 – Jun 19 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Taraz 15 May 22 – Nov 6 1 in 1,319
2 Kairat 6 Apr 16 – May 14 1 in 91
3 Kyzylzhar 7 Apr 10 – May 14 1 in 46
4 Akzhayik 8 Apr 27 – Jul 3 1 in 41
5 Atyrau 7 May 14 – Aug 26 1 in 32

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Astana 1631 53 +61 15 9.2 +5.8
Aktobe 1493 52 +26 10 7.6 +2.4
Tobol 1557 47 -10 9 9.0 +0.0
Kairat 1509 42 -15 9 7.7 +1.3
Ordabasy 1440 38 -11 6 6.6 -0.6
Aksu 1380 36 +32 10 5.7 +4.3
Shakter Karagandy 1415 32 -23 2 6.5 -4.5
Makhtaaral 1362 31 +52 13 5.5 +7.5
Caspiy 1361 31 -35 2 6.1 -4.1
Kyzylzhar 1458 30 +6 8 7.5 +0.5
Atyrau 1379 29 -23 1 5.2 -4.2
Turan 1353 28 -25 4 6.0 -2.0
Taraz 1386 28 -19 3 7.6 -4.6
Akzhayik 1372 25 -14 3 6.4 -3.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AKS AKT AKZ AST ATY CAS KAI KYZ MAK ORD SK TAR TOB TUR
Aksu —
0-0-2
2.14
2-0-0
2.32
1-0-1
1.57
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.16
0-0-2
1.65
1-0-1
1.98
1-0-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.17
0-1-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
1.41
2-0-0
2.58
Aktobe
2-0-0
3.40
—
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
1.89
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.14
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.77
1-1-0
2.80
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.96
1-0-1
1.95
2-0-0
3.31
Akzhayik
0-0-2
3.20
1-0-1
2.38
—
1-0-1
1.87
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
1.68
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
3.38
0-0-2
2.36
1-0-1
2.35
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.64
0-2-0
2.85
Astana
1-0-1
4.00
1-0-1
3.64
1-0-1
3.68
—
1-1-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.66
2-0-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
3.90
1-1-0
3.62
0-1-1
2.72
0-2-0
4.00
Atyrau
0-1-1
2.97
0-0-2
2.79
0-0-2
2.82
0-1-1
1.67
—
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
1.82
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.32
0-2-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.61
2-0-0
1.58
0-1-1
3.07
Caspiy
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
2.92
—
0-1-1
1.86
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
3.52
1-0-1
2.52
2-0-0
2.42
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
1.87
1-0-1
3.20
Kairat
2-0-0
3.90
1-0-1
3.41
1-1-0
3.87
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
3.73
1-1-0
3.68
—
1-1-0
3.36
2-0-0
4.24
0-0-2
3.46
2-0-0
3.23
0-2-0
3.60
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
3.99
Kyzylzhar
1-0-1
3.54
0-1-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.23
0-0-2
1.79
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
3.21
0-1-1
2.18
—
0-2-0
3.81
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.83
0-2-0
2.98
0-0-2
2.08
1-1-0
3.39
Makhtaaral
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.77
1-1-0
2.14
0-0-2
1.50
0-1-1
2.19
2-0-0
2.00
0-0-2
1.35
0-2-0
1.73
—
0-2-0
2.10
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
1.96
1-0-1
1.36
2-0-0
2.37
Ordabasy
1-1-0
3.37
0-1-1
2.70
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-2
2.18
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
3.00
2-0-0
2.06
1-0-1
2.82
0-2-0
3.43
—
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
1.96
0-1-1
3.49
Shakter Karagandy
1-1-0
3.37
0-1-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
1.64
0-2-0
2.95
0-0-2
3.10
0-0-2
2.28
1-0-1
2.67
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
2.69
—
1-0-1
3.08
1-0-1
1.91
0-1-1
3.29
Taraz
1-0-1
3.33
1-0-1
2.56
1-1-0
2.93
0-1-1
1.91
0-1-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.89
0-2-0
1.95
0-2-0
2.52
1-0-1
3.57
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.42
—
0-1-1
1.85
0-1-1
3.03
Tobol
1-0-1
4.18
1-0-1
3.57
2-0-0
3.91
1-1-0
2.80
0-0-2
3.99
1-1-0
3.66
1-1-0
2.88
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
4.23
1-0-1
3.56
1-0-1
3.62
1-1-0
3.69
—
1-1-0
4.03
Turan
0-0-2
2.92
0-0-2
2.22
0-2-0
2.65
0-2-0
1.56
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
1.59
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
3.14
1-1-0
2.03
1-1-0
2.22
1-1-0
2.48
0-1-1
1.55
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +7.2
Allowed 0.22 -8.7
Differential 0.71 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.24%9.62%6.87%2.47%2.20%0.82%30.22%
19.62%9.89%7.69%2.75%1.37%0.55%31.87%
26.87%7.69%4.95%1.92%1.37%—22.80%
32.47%2.75%1.92%1.10%0.27%—8.52%
42.20%1.37%1.37%0.27%——5.22%
5+0.82%0.55%————1.37%
Total30.22%31.87%22.80%8.52%5.22%1.37%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.31 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.84
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
119.23%3.85%19.23%———42.31%
27.69%3.85%3.85%—3.85%—19.23%
33.85%—————3.85%
4——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
5+———————
Total34.62%15.38%34.62%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.42 -0.19
SD 1.14 1.36 1.79
CV 0.93 0.96 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
115.38%11.54%—3.85%——30.77%
27.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
3—3.85%7.69%———11.54%
43.85%7.69%————11.54%
5+———————
Total26.92%46.15%19.23%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 1.08 +0.58
SD 1.26 0.89 1.68
CV 0.76 0.83 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%19.23%15.38%—3.85%—53.85%
111.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
23.85%—3.85%———7.69%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%30.77%30.77%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.19 -0.46
SD 1.04 1.06 1.45
CV 1.43 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
17.69%11.54%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
23.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
37.69%—3.85%3.85%——15.38%
415.38%—————15.38%
5+11.54%3.85%————15.38%
Total46.15%30.77%11.54%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 0.92 +1.58
SD 1.82 1.13 2.53
CV 0.73 1.22 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%11.54%———30.77%
13.85%7.69%15.38%3.85%—3.85%34.62%
23.85%11.54%3.85%—3.85%—23.08%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%23.08%34.62%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.50 -0.35
SD 1.01 1.30 1.50
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%11.54%3.85%7.69%—38.46%
115.38%3.85%3.85%—7.69%—30.77%
23.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%—26.92%
3———————
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%23.08%19.23%7.69%19.23%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.62 -0.62
SD 1.02 1.50 1.96
CV 1.02 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%—3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
111.54%11.54%7.69%—3.85%—34.62%
219.23%11.54%7.69%3.85%——42.31%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%30.77%15.38%7.69%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.38 -0.08
SD 0.84 1.55 2.04
CV 0.64 1.12 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%19.23%7.69%———34.62%
1—19.23%3.85%7.69%——30.77%
23.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
3—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%57.69%15.38%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.23 +0.04
SD 1.28 0.86 1.56
CV 1.01 0.70 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
17.69%19.23%3.85%——3.85%34.62%
23.85%11.54%——7.69%—23.08%
33.85%—————3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total23.08%46.15%11.54%3.85%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.46 -0.38
SD 1.06 1.42 1.75
CV 0.98 0.97 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%——7.69%3.85%26.92%
17.69%3.85%15.38%3.85%——30.77%
27.69%7.69%7.69%———23.08%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
4—3.85%————3.85%
5+———————
Total26.92%30.77%26.92%3.85%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.50 -0.12
SD 1.17 1.48 2.16
CV 0.84 0.98 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%11.54%—3.85%—34.62%
111.54%7.69%7.69%3.85%——30.77%
23.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
33.85%—————3.85%
4—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total26.92%30.77%26.92%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.35 -0.04
SD 1.41 1.13 1.84
CV 1.08 0.84 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%15.38%3.85%———34.62%
17.69%19.23%7.69%———34.62%
23.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
33.85%———3.85%—7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%42.31%15.38%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.12 -0.08
SD 0.96 1.07 1.09
CV 0.92 0.96 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
111.54%3.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%—34.62%
211.54%3.85%11.54%———26.92%
33.85%11.54%3.85%———19.23%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+———————
Total34.62%19.23%34.62%7.69%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 1.27 +0.50
SD 1.14 1.15 1.79
CV 0.65 0.91 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%7.69%11.54%7.69%——46.15%
13.85%7.69%—7.69%——19.23%
211.54%3.85%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
3——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%19.23%23.08%23.08%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.35 -0.38
SD 1.04 1.20 1.44
CV 1.08 0.89 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Astana 1631 53 48.37 +4.63 83.0% 36 38 44 48 51 60 65
Tobol 1557 47 46.14 +0.86 62.0% 30 34 41 45 51 58 66
Kairat 1509 42 44.57 -2.57 43.0% 30 35 41 43 49 55 62
Aktobe 1493 52 36.18 +15.82 100.0% 23 26 32 36 40 46 51
Kyzylzhar 1458 30 36.92 -6.92 18.0% 18 25 32 37 41 48 53
Ordabasy 1440 38 36.21 +1.79 61.0% 20 24 32 37 40 45 49
Shakter Karagandy 1415 32 36.45 -4.45 28.0% 22 26 32 36 41 46 50
Taraz 1386 28 34.69 -6.69 19.0% 21 24 31 35 39 45 48
Aksu 1380 36 28.98 +7.02 91.0% 16 20 25 29 33 38 42
Atyrau 1379 29 34.04 -5.04 26.0% 20 22 29 34 39 44 47
Akzhayik 1372 25 32.64 -7.64 18.0% 16 22 28 33 37 42 48
Makhtaaral 1362 31 25.10 +5.90 82.0% 10 17 21 24 29 35 44
Caspiy 1361 31 33.08 -2.08 45.0% 11 23 29 33 38 43 47
Turan 1353 28 29.41 -1.41 45.0% 15 21 25 29 33 38 45

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.08%
Slight Edge
49.45%24.18%26.37%
Elo Value
Home Edge
185 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
081.65500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.56 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
46%
Astana, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.04/gm
Tight Race
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.01 * Some Luck: 5.01 to 7.52 * Lucky: 7.52 to 10.03 * Wild Swing: 10.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.95 * Close: 1.95 to 2.93 * Off: 2.93 to 3.91 * Way Off: 3.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.37 points
Some Luck
06.2716
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.86
Close
02.445
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Aktobe
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
18.00%
Kyzylzhar
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 79% * Wide Edge: 79% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 98.5% * Dominant: 98.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 64% * Frequent: 64% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13.5% * Occasional: 13.5% to 15.5% * Frequent: 15.5% to 18.5% * Very Frequent: 18.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Balanced
00.170.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 84.65
1.37
Coin-Flip Parity
0.91.752.353
Interquartile Edge
65%
Even
50%70.5%79%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Even
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Some Drama
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Occasional
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.49 * Lopsided: 0.49 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.64 * Strong Carryover: 0.64 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Upset-Prone: 20.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Very Even
00.410.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.06
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.50
Some Carryover
00.470.641
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Very Upset-Prone
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Shaky
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.40
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.61
Overconfident
0.4903551.001.50964
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Astana46.00%24.00%17.00%6.00%2.00%3.00%—2.00%——————
Aktobe—7.00%8.00%11.00%8.00%9.00%9.00%9.00%11.00%14.00%6.00%4.00%2.00%2.00%
Tobol32.00%15.00%27.00%5.00%13.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Kairat17.00%18.00%14.00%24.00%14.00%1.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%——1.00%—
Ordabasy—4.00%6.00%9.00%16.00%16.00%10.00%10.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%4.00%4.00%3.00%
Aksu———1.00%2.00%5.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%17.00%20.00%13.00%
Shakter Karagandy1.00%8.00%7.00%14.00%4.00%10.00%9.00%17.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%
Makhtaaral————1.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%7.00%3.00%15.00%8.00%17.00%45.00%
Caspiy—3.00%2.00%4.00%8.00%11.00%7.00%7.00%10.00%12.00%13.00%9.00%7.00%7.00%
Kyzylzhar4.00%9.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%13.00%12.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%4.00%
Atyrau—4.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%
Taraz—5.00%5.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%10.00%13.00%12.00%6.00%6.00%11.00%7.00%2.00%
Turan—2.00%—2.00%2.00%1.00%6.00%11.00%8.00%11.00%10.00%19.00%18.00%10.00%
Akzhayik—1.00%3.00%3.00%6.00%9.00%14.00%12.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%7.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Direct relegation
Astana 100% —
Kairat 99.00% 1.00%
Tobol 99.00% 1.00%
Shakter Karagandy 94.00% 6.00%
Aktobe 92.00% 8.00%
Kyzylzhar 89.00% 11.00%
Ordabasy 89.00% 11.00%
Taraz 80.00% 20.00%
Atyrau 77.00% 23.00%
Caspiy 77.00% 23.00%
Akzhayik 71.00% 29.00%
Turan 53.00% 47.00%
Aksu 50.00% 50.00%
Makhtaaral 30.00% 70.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-03-05 Aksu D 0-051.2 1390 1337 55.28% 23.49% 21.22%+0.72 -1.4 1
2022-03-05 @ Atyrau D 0-051.2 1337 1390 21.22% 23.49% 55.28%-0.72 +1.4 1
2022-03-05 Kyzylzhar W 1-046.3 1422 1472 42.14% 25.49% 32.37%+0.18 +5.9 3
2022-03-05 @ Caspiy L 0-146.3 1472 1422 32.37% 25.49% 42.14%-0.18 -5.9 0
2022-03-05 Makhtaaral D 1-157.7 1451 1337 62.23% 21.38% 16.39%+1.05 -1.7 1
2022-03-05 @ Ordabasy D 1-157.7 1337 1451 16.39% 21.38% 62.23%-1.05 +1.7 1
2022-03-05 Shakter Karagandy L 0-350.8 1531 1429 60.97% 21.82% 17.21%+0.99 -26.7 0
2022-03-05 @ Astana W 3-050.8 1429 1531 17.21% 21.82% 60.97%-0.99 +26.7 3
2022-03-05 Taraz D 0-051.5 1372 1400 45.02% 25.26% 29.72%+0.29 -0.6 1
2022-03-05 @ Turan D 0-051.5 1400 1372 29.72% 25.26% 45.02%-0.29 +0.6 1
2022-03-06 Aktobe W 2-038.3 1570 1407 67.23% 19.41% 13.36%+1.32 +4.8 3
2022-03-06 @ Kairat L 0-238.3 1407 1570 13.36% 19.41% 67.23%-1.32 -4.8 0
2022-03-06 Akzhayik W 1-041.8 1568 1409 66.79% 19.60% 13.61%+1.29 +2.6 3
2022-03-06 @ Tobol L 0-141.8 1409 1568 13.61% 19.60% 66.79%-1.29 -2.6 0
2022-03-10 Astana W 1-049.4 1339 1505 26.70% 24.84% 48.46%-0.45 +8.0 4
2022-03-10 @ Aksu L 0-149.4 1505 1339 48.46% 24.84% 26.70%+0.45 -8.0 0
2022-03-10 Ordabasy W 1-044.9 1401 1449 42.22% 25.48% 32.29%+0.18 +5.9 4
2022-03-10 @ Taraz L 0-144.9 1449 1401 32.29% 25.48% 42.22%-0.18 -5.9 1
2022-03-10 Shakter Karagandy L 0-152.2 1466 1456 50.06% 24.59% 25.36%+0.49 -8.3 0
2022-03-10 @ Kyzylzhar W 1-052.2 1456 1466 25.36% 24.59% 50.06%-0.49 +8.3 6
2022-03-11 Atyrau W 2-146.7 1402 1388 50.57% 24.50% 24.93%+0.52 +4.5 3
2022-03-11 @ Aktobe L 1-246.7 1388 1402 24.93% 24.50% 50.57%-0.52 -4.5 1
2022-03-11 Kairat L 0-142.4 1339 1574 19.94% 23.03% 57.03%-0.83 -3.8 1
2022-03-11 @ Makhtaaral W 1-042.4 1574 1339 57.03% 23.03% 19.94%+0.83 +3.9 6
2022-03-11 Tobol D 0-058.4 1428 1570 29.51% 25.24% 45.26%-0.32 +0.6 4
2022-03-11 @ Caspiy D 0-058.4 1570 1428 45.26% 25.24% 29.51%+0.32 -0.6 4
2022-03-17 Aktobe W 1-041.3 1497 1406 59.65% 22.25% 18.10%+0.93 +3.5 3
2022-03-17 @ Astana L 0-141.3 1406 1497 18.10% 22.25% 59.65%-0.93 -3.5 3
2022-03-17 Akzhayik W 2-038.2 1444 1407 53.44% 23.92% 22.63%+0.64 +8.2 4
2022-03-17 @ Ordabasy L 0-238.2 1407 1444 22.63% 23.92% 53.44%-0.64 -8.2 0
2022-03-17 Caspiy L 0-146.3 1371 1429 40.95% 25.55% 33.50%+0.13 -7.0 1
2022-03-17 @ Turan W 1-046.3 1429 1371 33.50% 25.55% 40.95%-0.13 +7.0 7
2022-03-17 Kyzylzhar W 2-041.7 1569 1458 62.04% 21.45% 16.51%+1.04 +6.0 7
2022-03-17 @ Tobol L 0-241.7 1458 1569 16.51% 21.45% 62.04%-1.04 -6.0 0
2022-03-17 Makhtaaral W 2-144.1 1384 1335 54.84% 23.60% 21.56%+0.70 +3.9 4
2022-03-17 @ Atyrau L 1-244.1 1335 1384 21.56% 23.60% 54.84%-0.70 -3.9 1
2022-03-17 Taraz D 1-164.5 1578 1407 68.09% 19.04% 12.88%+1.37 -2.1 7
2022-03-17 @ Kairat D 1-164.5 1407 1578 12.88% 19.04% 68.09%-1.37 +2.1 5
2022-04-03 Aksu W 2-143.7 1452 1347 61.25% 21.72% 17.03%+1.00 +3.1 3
2022-04-03 @ Kyzylzhar L 1-243.7 1347 1452 17.03% 21.72% 61.25%-1.00 -3.1 4
2022-04-03 Astana L 0-337.1 1331 1500 26.38% 24.78% 48.84%-0.47 -13.6 1
2022-04-03 @ Makhtaaral W 3-037.1 1500 1331 48.84% 24.78% 26.38%+0.47 +13.6 6
2022-04-03 Atyrau L 0-149.0 1409 1388 51.49% 24.33% 24.18%+0.55 -8.5 5
2022-04-03 @ Taraz W 1-049.0 1388 1409 24.18% 24.33% 51.49%-0.55 +8.5 7
2022-04-03 Ordabasy W 2-150.4 1436 1452 46.72% 25.07% 28.21%+0.36 +5.0 10
2022-04-03 @ Caspiy L 1-250.4 1452 1436 28.21% 25.07% 46.72%-0.36 -5.0 4
2022-04-03 Shakter Karagandy D 1-158.5 1403 1464 40.45% 25.57% 33.97%+0.11 -0.2 4
2022-04-03 @ Aktobe D 1-158.5 1464 1403 33.97% 25.57% 40.45%-0.11 +0.2 7
2022-04-04 Kairat D 0-057.7 1398 1576 25.40% 24.59% 50.01%-0.52 +1.0 1
2022-04-04 @ Akzhayik D 0-057.7 1576 1398 50.01% 24.59% 25.40%+0.52 -1.0 8
2022-04-04 Turan W 3-033.7 1576 1364 71.74% 17.34% 10.91%+1.58 +5.5 10
2022-04-04 @ Tobol L 0-333.7 1364 1576 10.91% 17.34% 71.74%-1.58 -5.5 1
2022-04-09 Akzhayik L 0-148.2 1396 1399 48.34% 24.86% 26.80%+0.42 -8.0 7
2022-04-09 @ Atyrau W 1-048.2 1399 1396 26.80% 24.86% 48.34%-0.42 +8.0 4
2022-04-09 Caspiy W 1-044.0 1575 1441 64.37% 20.58% 15.05%+1.16 +2.9 11
2022-04-09 @ Kairat L 0-144.0 1441 1575 15.05% 20.58% 64.37%-1.16 -2.9 10
2022-04-09 Tobol W 3-157.1 1447 1581 30.43% 25.33% 44.24%-0.28 +12.2 7
2022-04-09 @ Ordabasy L 1-357.1 1581 1447 44.24% 25.33% 30.43%+0.28 -12.2 10
2022-04-10 Aktobe L 1-250.9 1344 1403 40.76% 25.56% 33.68%+0.12 -6.6 4
2022-04-10 @ Aksu W 2-150.9 1403 1344 33.68% 25.56% 40.76%-0.12 +6.6 7
2022-04-10 Kyzylzhar D 0-052.3 1359 1455 35.52% 25.62% 38.86%-0.08 +0.1 2
2022-04-10 @ Turan D 0-052.3 1455 1359 38.86% 25.62% 35.52%+0.08 -0.1 4
2022-04-10 Makhtaaral W 5-134.4 1464 1318 65.63% 20.08% 14.29%+1.23 +8.2 10
2022-04-10 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-534.4 1318 1464 14.29% 20.08% 65.63%-1.23 -8.2 1
2022-04-10 Taraz W 2-146.6 1514 1400 62.19% 21.39% 16.41%+1.05 +3.0 9
2022-04-10 @ Astana L 1-246.6 1400 1514 16.41% 21.39% 62.19%-1.05 -3.0 5
2022-04-16 Aktobe D 1-158.9 1454 1409 54.44% 23.70% 21.86%+0.68 -1.2 5
2022-04-16 @ Kyzylzhar D 1-158.9 1409 1454 21.86% 23.70% 54.44%-0.68 +1.2 8
2022-04-16 Astana W 1-049.8 1407 1517 33.68% 25.56% 40.76%-0.15 +7.0 7
2022-04-16 @ Akzhayik L 0-149.8 1517 1407 40.76% 25.56% 33.68%+0.15 -7.0 9
2022-04-16 Atyrau W 2-146.2 1438 1388 55.04% 23.55% 21.41%+0.71 +3.9 13
2022-04-16 @ Caspiy L 1-246.2 1388 1438 21.41% 23.55% 55.04%-0.71 -3.9 7
2022-04-16 Kairat D 2-274.2 1569 1578 47.57% 24.96% 27.47%+0.39 -0.5 11
2022-04-16 @ Tobol D 2-274.2 1578 1569 27.47% 24.96% 47.57%-0.39 +0.5 12
2022-04-16 Ordabasy D 0-052.4 1359 1459 34.93% 25.61% 39.46%-0.10 +0.2 3
2022-04-16 @ Turan D 0-052.4 1459 1359 39.46% 25.61% 34.93%+0.10 -0.2 8
2022-04-17 Aksu W 2-146.2 1310 1337 45.12% 25.25% 29.63%+0.29 +5.2 4
2022-04-17 @ Makhtaaral L 1-246.2 1337 1310 29.63% 25.25% 45.12%-0.29 -5.2 4
2022-04-17 Shakter Karagandy W 2-152.4 1397 1473 38.46% 25.63% 35.91%+0.03 +6.0 8
2022-04-17 @ Taraz L 1-252.4 1473 1397 35.91% 25.63% 38.46%-0.03 -6.0 10
2022-04-22 Caspiy W 4-038.2 1510 1442 57.11% 23.01% 19.88%+0.81 +13.8 12
2022-04-22 @ Astana L 0-438.2 1442 1510 19.88% 23.01% 57.11%-0.81 -13.8 13
2022-04-22 Tobol W 2-159.2 1384 1568 24.72% 24.45% 50.83%-0.55 +7.9 10
2022-04-22 @ Atyrau L 1-259.2 1568 1384 50.83% 24.45% 24.72%+0.55 -7.9 11
2022-04-23 Akzhayik L 0-152.1 1467 1414 55.28% 23.49% 21.23%+0.72 -9.0 10
2022-04-23 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-052.1 1414 1467 21.23% 23.49% 55.28%-0.72 +9.0 10
2022-04-23 Kyzylzhar W 3-147.2 1459 1453 49.50% 24.68% 25.83%+0.47 +8.0 11
2022-04-23 @ Ordabasy L 1-347.2 1453 1459 25.83% 24.68% 49.50%-0.47 -8.0 5
2022-04-23 Makhtaaral W 1-036.9 1411 1315 60.29% 22.05% 17.67%+0.96 +3.4 11
2022-04-23 @ Aktobe L 0-136.9 1315 1411 17.67% 22.05% 60.29%-0.96 -3.4 4
2022-04-23 Taraz L 1-250.2 1332 1403 39.01% 25.62% 35.37%+0.06 -6.4 4
2022-04-23 @ Aksu W 2-150.2 1403 1332 35.37% 25.62% 39.01%-0.06 +6.4 11
2022-04-23 Turan L 0-157.2 1579 1359 72.48% 16.98% 10.54%+1.62 -11.1 12
2022-04-23 @ Kairat W 1-057.2 1359 1579 10.54% 16.98% 72.48%-1.62 +11.1 6
2022-04-26 Astana D 1-166.6 1560 1523 53.45% 23.92% 22.63%+0.64 -1.1 12
2022-04-26 @ Tobol D 1-166.6 1523 1560 22.63% 23.92% 53.45%-0.64 +1.1 13
2022-04-26 Kairat W 2-159.2 1467 1568 34.84% 25.61% 39.56%-0.10 +6.5 14
2022-04-26 @ Ordabasy L 1-259.2 1568 1467 39.56% 25.61% 34.84%+0.10 -6.5 12
2022-04-27 Aksu L 0-150.1 1423 1326 60.51% 21.97% 17.52%+0.97 -9.7 10
2022-04-27 @ Akzhayik W 1-050.1 1326 1423 17.52% 21.97% 60.51%-0.97 +9.7 7
2022-04-27 Aktobe W 3-037.1 1410 1414 48.22% 24.87% 26.90%+0.42 +13.8 14
2022-04-27 @ Taraz L 0-337.1 1414 1410 26.90% 24.87% 48.22%-0.42 -13.9 11
2022-04-27 Atyrau D 0-051.3 1370 1392 45.89% 25.17% 28.94%+0.32 -0.7 7
2022-04-27 @ Turan D 0-051.3 1392 1370 28.94% 25.17% 45.89%-0.32 +0.7 11
2022-04-27 Makhtaaral D 1-157.4 1445 1311 64.35% 20.59% 15.06%+1.16 -1.9 6
2022-04-27 @ Kyzylzhar D 1-157.4 1311 1445 15.06% 20.59% 64.35%-1.16 +1.9 5
2022-04-27 Shakter Karagandy W 4-039.6 1428 1458 44.87% 25.27% 29.85%+0.28 +19.7 16
2022-04-27 @ Caspiy L 0-439.6 1458 1428 29.85% 25.27% 44.87%-0.28 -19.7 10
2022-05-01 Ordabasy W 2-152.5 1393 1473 37.70% 25.64% 36.66%+0.01 +6.1 14
2022-05-01 @ Atyrau L 1-252.5 1473 1393 36.66% 25.64% 37.70%-0.01 -6.1 14
2022-05-01 Turan D 3-370.7 1525 1370 66.47% 19.73% 13.80%+1.28 -1.2 14
2022-05-01 @ Astana D 3-370.7 1370 1525 13.80% 19.73% 66.47%-1.28 +1.2 8
2022-05-02 Akzhayik W 2-148.3 1400 1414 46.99% 25.04% 27.97%+0.37 +4.9 14
2022-05-02 @ Aktobe L 1-248.3 1414 1400 27.97% 25.04% 46.99%-0.37 -4.9 10
2022-05-02 Caspiy W 2-042.7 1335 1448 33.22% 25.54% 41.24%-0.17 +13.3 10
2022-05-02 @ Aksu L 0-242.7 1448 1335 41.24% 25.54% 33.22%+0.17 -13.3 16
2022-05-02 Kyzylzhar D 1-164.6 1561 1443 62.64% 21.23% 16.13%+1.07 -1.8 13
2022-05-02 @ Kairat D 1-164.6 1443 1561 16.13% 21.23% 62.64%-1.07 +1.8 7
2022-05-02 Taraz L 0-142.8 1313 1424 33.53% 25.55% 40.91%-0.15 -6.0 5
2022-05-02 @ Makhtaaral W 1-042.8 1424 1313 40.91% 25.55% 33.53%+0.15 +6.0 17
2022-05-02 Tobol W 4-152.7 1438 1559 32.07% 25.47% 42.47%-0.21 +16.7 13
2022-05-02 @ Shakter Karagandy L 1-452.7 1559 1438 42.47% 25.47% 32.07%+0.21 -16.7 12
2022-05-07 Aksu W 2-034.4 1543 1349 70.19% 18.09% 11.73%+1.49 +4.1 15
2022-05-07 @ Tobol L 0-234.4 1349 1543 11.73% 18.09% 70.19%-1.49 -4.1 10
2022-05-07 Astana L 1-258.1 1467 1523 41.15% 25.54% 33.30%+0.14 -6.6 14
2022-05-07 @ Ordabasy W 2-158.1 1523 1467 33.30% 25.54% 41.15%-0.14 +6.7 17
2022-05-07 Atyrau L 0-351.8 1559 1399 67.01% 19.51% 13.49%+1.31 -28.8 13
2022-05-07 @ Kairat W 3-051.8 1399 1559 13.49% 19.51% 67.01%-1.31 +28.8 17
2022-05-07 Taraz D 1-159.0 1445 1430 50.79% 24.46% 24.75%+0.52 -0.9 8
2022-05-07 @ Kyzylzhar D 1-159.0 1430 1445 24.75% 24.46% 50.79%-0.52 +0.9 18
2022-05-08 Aktobe W 2-038.2 1435 1405 52.54% 24.12% 23.34%+0.60 +8.4 19
2022-05-08 @ Caspiy L 0-238.2 1405 1435 23.34% 24.12% 52.54%-0.60 -8.4 14
2022-05-08 Makhtaaral D 0-051.6 1409 1307 60.93% 21.83% 17.24%+0.99 -1.8 11
2022-05-08 @ Akzhayik D 0-051.6 1307 1409 17.24% 21.83% 60.93%-0.99 +1.8 6
2022-05-08 Shakter Karagandy W 2-042.4 1371 1455 37.23% 25.64% 37.13%-0.01 +12.3 11
2022-05-08 @ Turan L 0-242.4 1455 1371 37.13% 25.64% 37.23%+0.01 -12.3 13
2022-05-14 Kairat W 6-046.0 1530 1531 48.72% 24.80% 26.48%+0.44 +26.1 20
2022-05-14 @ Astana L 0-646.0 1531 1530 26.48% 24.80% 48.72%-0.44 -26.1 13
2022-05-14 Kyzylzhar D 3-368.4 1428 1444 46.58% 25.09% 28.33%+0.35 -0.4 18
2022-05-14 @ Atyrau D 3-368.4 1444 1428 28.33% 25.09% 46.58%-0.35 +0.4 9
2022-05-14 Ordabasy W 1-045.3 1442 1460 46.38% 25.11% 28.51%+0.34 +5.3 16
2022-05-14 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-145.3 1460 1442 28.51% 25.11% 46.38%-0.34 -5.3 14
2022-05-14 Tobol W 2-157.8 1397 1547 28.51% 25.11% 46.38%-0.37 +7.3 17
2022-05-14 @ Aktobe L 1-257.8 1547 1397 46.38% 25.11% 28.51%+0.37 -7.3 15
2022-05-14 Turan W 2-038.5 1344 1383 43.61% 25.39% 31.01%+0.23 +10.7 13
2022-05-14 @ Aksu L 0-238.5 1383 1344 31.01% 25.39% 43.61%-0.23 -10.7 11
2022-05-15 Akzhayik W 2-038.4 1431 1407 51.79% 24.27% 23.94%+0.57 +8.6 21
2022-05-15 @ Taraz L 0-238.4 1407 1431 23.94% 24.27% 51.79%-0.57 -8.6 11
2022-05-15 Caspiy W 2-152.0 1309 1443 30.46% 25.34% 44.20%-0.28 +7.0 9
2022-05-15 @ Makhtaaral L 1-252.0 1443 1309 44.20% 25.34% 30.46%+0.28 -7.0 19
2022-05-21 Astana D 1-162.5 1427 1556 31.09% 25.39% 43.52%-0.26 +0.4 19
2022-05-21 @ Atyrau D 1-162.5 1556 1427 43.52% 25.39% 31.09%+0.26 -0.4 21
2022-05-21 Shakter Karagandy W 2-040.8 1504 1448 55.84% 23.35% 20.81%+0.75 +7.6 16
2022-05-21 @ Kairat L 0-240.8 1448 1504 20.81% 23.35% 55.84%-0.75 -7.6 16
2022-05-22 Akzhayik W 2-037.7 1445 1398 54.58% 23.66% 21.76%+0.69 +7.9 12
2022-05-22 @ Kyzylzhar L 0-237.7 1398 1445 21.76% 23.66% 54.58%-0.69 -7.9 11
2022-05-22 Makhtaaral W 4-242.2 1539 1316 72.81% 16.82% 10.37%+1.64 +2.8 18
2022-05-22 @ Tobol L 2-442.2 1316 1539 10.37% 16.82% 72.81%-1.64 -2.8 9
2022-05-22 Taraz W 2-149.5 1436 1439 48.37% 24.85% 26.78%+0.42 +4.8 22
2022-05-22 @ Caspiy L 1-249.5 1439 1436 26.78% 24.85% 48.37%-0.42 -4.8 21
2022-06-19 Aksu W 5-033.2 1556 1355 70.78% 17.80% 11.41%+1.52 +9.4 24
2022-06-19 @ Astana L 0-533.2 1355 1556 11.41% 17.80% 70.78%-1.52 -9.4 13
2022-06-19 Aktobe L 0-246.6 1428 1404 51.80% 24.27% 23.93%+0.57 -16.0 19
2022-06-19 @ Atyrau W 2-046.6 1404 1428 23.93% 24.27% 51.80%-0.57 +16.0 20
2022-06-19 Akzhayik D 1-156.1 1372 1390 46.39% 25.11% 28.50%+0.34 -0.6 12
2022-06-19 @ Turan D 1-156.1 1390 1372 28.50% 25.11% 46.39%-0.34 +0.6 12
2022-06-19 Caspiy W 1-043.8 1542 1441 60.90% 21.84% 17.26%+0.99 +3.3 21
2022-06-19 @ Tobol L 0-143.8 1441 1542 17.26% 21.84% 60.90%-0.99 -3.3 22
2022-06-19 Kyzylzhar L 1-256.2 1440 1453 47.13% 25.02% 27.85%+0.37 -7.4 16
2022-06-19 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-156.2 1453 1440 27.85% 25.02% 47.13%-0.37 +7.4 15
2022-06-19 Makhtaaral W 1-035.7 1512 1313 70.62% 17.88% 11.50%+1.51 +2.1 19
2022-06-19 @ Kairat L 0-135.7 1313 1512 11.50% 17.88% 70.62%-1.51 -2.2 9
2022-06-19 Taraz W 3-254.1 1455 1434 51.44% 24.34% 24.22%+0.55 +4.1 17
2022-06-19 @ Ordabasy L 2-354.1 1434 1455 24.22% 24.34% 51.44%-0.55 -4.1 21
2022-06-25 Ordabasy L 0-147.1 1391 1459 39.47% 25.61% 34.93%+0.07 -6.8 12
2022-06-25 @ Akzhayik W 1-047.1 1459 1391 34.93% 25.61% 39.47%-0.07 +6.8 20
2022-06-25 Shakter Karagandy D 1-156.3 1346 1433 36.80% 25.64% 37.56%-0.03 +0.0 14
2022-06-25 @ Aksu D 1-156.3 1433 1346 37.56% 25.64% 36.80%+0.03 -0.0 17
2022-06-26 Astana W 4-153.2 1420 1565 29.10% 25.19% 45.71%-0.34 +17.7 23
2022-06-26 @ Aktobe L 1-453.2 1565 1420 45.71% 25.19% 29.10%+0.34 -17.7 24
2022-06-26 Atyrau D 1-155.3 1311 1412 34.88% 25.61% 39.51%-0.10 +0.2 10
2022-06-26 @ Makhtaaral D 1-155.3 1412 1311 39.51% 25.61% 34.88%+0.10 -0.2 20
2022-06-26 Kairat D 1-161.0 1430 1514 37.22% 25.64% 37.14%-0.01 +0.0 22
2022-06-26 @ Taraz D 1-161.0 1514 1430 37.14% 25.64% 37.22%+0.01 +0.0 20
2022-06-26 Tobol L 1-354.2 1460 1546 36.98% 25.64% 37.38%-0.02 -10.6 15
2022-06-26 @ Kyzylzhar W 3-154.2 1546 1460 37.38% 25.64% 36.98%+0.02 +10.6 24
2022-06-26 Turan L 0-247.2 1437 1372 56.88% 23.07% 20.05%+0.79 -17.3 22
2022-06-26 @ Caspiy W 2-047.2 1372 1437 20.05% 23.07% 56.88%-0.79 +17.3 15
2022-06-29 Aksu W 3-032.4 1466 1346 62.92% 21.13% 15.95%+1.09 +8.4 23
2022-06-29 @ Ordabasy L 0-332.4 1346 1466 15.95% 21.13% 62.92%-1.09 -8.4 14
2022-07-01 Tobol D 2-267.2 1389 1556 26.56% 24.81% 48.63%-0.46 +0.6 16
2022-07-01 @ Turan D 2-267.2 1556 1389 48.63% 24.81% 26.56%+0.46 -0.6 25
2022-07-02 Aktobe L 2-360.9 1433 1438 48.11% 24.89% 27.00%+0.41 -7.1 17
2022-07-02 @ Shakter Karagandy W 3-260.9 1438 1433 27.00% 24.89% 48.11%-0.41 +7.1 26
2022-07-02 Taraz D 0-053.1 1411 1430 46.29% 25.12% 28.59%+0.34 -0.7 21
2022-07-02 @ Atyrau D 0-053.1 1430 1411 28.59% 25.12% 46.29%-0.34 +0.7 23
2022-07-03 Akzhayik W 2-036.5 1514 1384 63.92% 20.76% 15.33%+1.14 +5.6 23
2022-07-03 @ Kairat L 0-236.5 1384 1514 15.33% 20.76% 63.92%-1.14 -5.6 12
2022-07-03 Kyzylzhar W 1-046.0 1337 1449 33.32% 25.54% 41.14%-0.16 +7.1 17
2022-07-03 @ Aksu L 0-146.0 1449 1337 41.14% 25.54% 33.32%+0.16 -7.0 15
2022-07-03 Makhtaaral W 4-030.1 1547 1311 73.90% 16.27% 9.82%+1.71 +6.4 27
2022-07-03 @ Astana L 0-430.1 1311 1547 9.82% 16.27% 73.90%-1.71 -6.4 10
2022-07-04 Caspiy W 4-142.0 1475 1420 55.56% 23.42% 21.02%+0.73 +9.4 26
2022-07-04 @ Ordabasy L 1-442.0 1420 1475 21.02% 23.42% 55.56%-0.73 -9.4 22
2022-07-12 Aksu W 4-244.4 1425 1344 58.63% 22.57% 18.80%+0.88 +5.3 20
2022-07-12 @ Shakter Karagandy L 2-444.4 1344 1425 18.80% 22.57% 58.63%-0.88 -5.3 17
2022-07-12 Aktobe L 0-243.9 1390 1445 41.30% 25.54% 33.16%+0.14 -13.4 16
2022-07-12 @ Turan W 2-043.9 1445 1390 33.16% 25.54% 41.30%-0.14 +13.3 29
2022-08-20 Atyrau D 0-053.4 1431 1411 51.35% 24.35% 24.30%+0.55 -1.1 21
2022-08-20 @ Shakter Karagandy D 0-053.4 1411 1431 24.30% 24.35% 51.35%-0.55 +1.1 22
2022-08-20 Caspiy W 2-039.4 1379 1411 44.51% 25.31% 30.18%+0.27 +10.5 15
2022-08-20 @ Akzhayik L 0-239.4 1411 1379 30.18% 25.31% 44.51%-0.27 -10.5 22
2022-08-20 Turan W 2-039.3 1305 1376 39.01% 25.62% 35.38%+0.06 +11.9 13
2022-08-20 @ Makhtaaral L 0-239.3 1376 1305 35.38% 25.62% 39.01%-0.06 -11.9 16
2022-08-21 Kairat L 1-248.5 1339 1520 25.10% 24.53% 50.37%-0.53 -4.5 17
2022-08-21 @ Aksu W 2-148.5 1520 1339 50.37% 24.53% 25.10%+0.53 +4.5 26
2022-08-21 Kyzylzhar W 1-043.9 1554 1442 61.98% 21.47% 16.55%+1.04 +3.2 30
2022-08-21 @ Astana L 0-143.9 1442 1554 16.55% 21.47% 61.98%-1.04 -3.2 15
2022-08-21 Ordabasy W 3-149.5 1458 1484 45.36% 25.23% 29.41%+0.30 +8.9 32
2022-08-21 @ Aktobe L 1-349.5 1484 1458 29.41% 25.23% 45.36%-0.30 -8.9 26
2022-08-21 Taraz D 2-269.8 1556 1431 63.37% 20.96% 15.67%+1.11 -1.3 26
2022-08-21 @ Tobol D 2-269.8 1431 1556 15.67% 20.96% 63.37%-1.11 +1.3 24
2022-08-26 Aksu W 1-037.1 1467 1335 64.19% 20.65% 15.16%+1.15 +2.9 35
2022-08-26 @ Aktobe L 0-137.1 1335 1467 15.16% 20.65% 64.19%-1.15 -2.9 17
2022-08-26 Atyrau W 4-248.9 1389 1412 45.79% 25.18% 29.03%+0.32 +7.9 18
2022-08-26 @ Akzhayik L 2-448.9 1412 1389 29.03% 25.18% 45.79%-0.32 -7.9 22
2022-08-26 Shakter Karagandy L 0-239.6 1317 1430 33.19% 25.54% 41.27%-0.17 -11.3 13
2022-08-26 @ Makhtaaral W 2-039.6 1430 1317 41.27% 25.54% 33.19%+0.17 +11.3 24
2022-08-27 Astana D 1-162.7 1432 1557 31.65% 25.44% 42.91%-0.23 +0.4 25
2022-08-27 @ Taraz D 1-162.7 1557 1432 42.91% 25.44% 31.65%+0.23 -0.4 31
2022-08-27 Kairat D 2-266.2 1400 1524 31.74% 25.45% 42.82%-0.23 +0.3 23
2022-08-27 @ Caspiy D 2-266.2 1524 1400 42.82% 25.45% 31.74%+0.23 -0.3 27
2022-08-27 Ordabasy W 4-040.7 1554 1475 58.43% 22.63% 18.94%+0.87 +13.1 29
2022-08-27 @ Tobol L 0-440.7 1475 1554 18.94% 22.63% 58.43%-0.87 -13.1 26
2022-08-27 Turan W 3-141.6 1439 1364 57.91% 22.78% 19.31%+0.84 +6.1 18
2022-08-27 @ Kyzylzhar L 1-341.6 1364 1439 19.31% 22.78% 57.91%-0.84 -6.1 16
2022-09-04 Caspiy W 3-252.5 1404 1400 49.23% 24.72% 26.05%+0.46 +4.4 25
2022-09-04 @ Atyrau L 2-352.5 1400 1404 26.05% 24.72% 49.23%-0.46 -4.4 23
2022-09-04 Makhtaaral W 4-244.6 1332 1305 52.13% 24.20% 23.67%+0.58 +6.6 20
2022-09-04 @ Aksu L 2-444.6 1305 1332 23.67% 24.20% 52.13%-0.58 -6.6 13
2022-09-04 Taraz W 1-043.3 1441 1433 49.85% 24.62% 25.53%+0.48 +4.8 27
2022-09-04 @ Shakter Karagandy L 0-143.3 1433 1441 25.53% 24.62% 49.85%-0.48 -4.8 25
2022-09-04 Turan L 1-257.4 1462 1358 61.13% 21.76% 17.10%+1.00 -9.2 26
2022-09-04 @ Ordabasy W 2-157.4 1358 1462 17.10% 21.76% 61.13%-1.00 +9.2 19
2022-09-05 Akzhayik W 4-035.3 1557 1397 66.91% 19.55% 13.55%+1.30 +9.2 34
2022-09-05 @ Astana L 0-435.3 1397 1557 13.55% 19.55% 66.91%-1.30 -9.2 18
2022-09-05 Kyzylzhar W 1-044.0 1470 1445 51.95% 24.24% 23.82%+0.57 +4.5 38
2022-09-05 @ Aktobe L 0-144.0 1445 1470 23.82% 24.24% 51.95%-0.57 -4.5 18
2022-09-05 Tobol L 2-367.3 1524 1567 42.94% 25.44% 31.62%+0.21 -6.5 27
2022-09-05 @ Kairat W 3-267.3 1567 1524 31.62% 25.44% 42.94%-0.21 +6.5 32
2022-09-10 Aksu L 3-463.5 1428 1338 59.59% 22.27% 18.14%+0.92 -8.3 25
2022-09-10 @ Taraz W 4-363.5 1338 1428 18.14% 22.27% 59.59%-0.92 +8.3 23
2022-09-10 Aktobe D 1-156.5 1299 1475 25.62% 24.64% 49.74%-0.51 +0.9 14
2022-09-10 @ Makhtaaral D 1-156.5 1475 1299 49.74% 24.64% 25.62%+0.51 -0.9 39
2022-09-10 Astana L 0-341.3 1396 1566 26.27% 24.76% 48.97%-0.47 -13.6 23
2022-09-10 @ Caspiy W 3-041.3 1566 1396 48.97% 24.76% 26.27%+0.47 +13.6 37
2022-09-10 Atyrau L 0-254.7 1574 1408 67.50% 19.29% 13.21%+1.33 -19.9 32
2022-09-10 @ Tobol W 2-054.7 1408 1574 13.21% 19.29% 67.50%-1.33 +19.9 28
2022-09-10 Shakter Karagandy L 1-252.8 1388 1446 40.92% 25.55% 33.53%+0.13 -6.6 18
2022-09-10 @ Akzhayik W 2-152.8 1446 1388 33.53% 25.55% 40.92%-0.13 +6.6 30
2022-09-11 Kairat L 1-347.2 1368 1517 28.54% 25.12% 46.35%-0.37 -8.7 19
2022-09-11 @ Turan W 3-147.2 1517 1368 46.35% 25.12% 28.54%+0.37 +8.7 30
2022-09-11 Ordabasy W 4-039.1 1441 1453 47.20% 25.01% 27.79%+0.38 +18.6 21
2022-09-11 @ Kyzylzhar L 0-439.1 1453 1441 27.79% 25.01% 47.20%-0.38 -18.6 26
2022-09-14 Taraz W 1-042.2 1474 1420 55.52% 23.43% 21.05%+0.73 +4.1 42
2022-09-14 @ Aktobe L 0-142.2 1420 1474 21.05% 23.43% 55.52%-0.73 -4.1 25
2022-09-14 Tobol L 1-265.9 1579 1554 52.02% 24.22% 23.75%+0.58 -8.0 37
2022-09-14 @ Astana W 2-165.9 1554 1579 23.75% 24.22% 52.02%-0.58 +8.0 35
2022-09-15 Akzhayik W 1-041.7 1347 1381 44.16% 25.34% 30.50%+0.25 +5.6 26
2022-09-15 @ Aksu L 0-141.7 1381 1347 30.50% 25.34% 44.16%-0.25 -5.6 18
2022-09-15 Caspiy L 0-151.3 1452 1383 57.36% 22.94% 19.70%+0.82 -9.3 30
2022-09-15 @ Shakter Karagandy W 1-051.3 1383 1452 19.70% 22.94% 57.36%-0.82 +9.2 26
2022-09-15 Kyzylzhar D 1-156.1 1300 1459 27.41% 24.96% 47.63%-0.42 +0.7 15
2022-09-15 @ Makhtaaral D 1-156.1 1459 1300 47.63% 24.96% 27.41%+0.42 -0.7 22
2022-09-15 Ordabasy L 1-261.5 1526 1434 59.86% 22.19% 17.96%+0.94 -9.0 30
2022-09-15 @ Kairat W 2-161.5 1434 1526 17.96% 22.19% 59.86%-0.94 +9.0 29
2022-09-15 Turan L 0-246.8 1428 1359 57.30% 22.95% 19.74%+0.81 -17.4 28
2022-09-15 @ Atyrau W 2-046.8 1359 1428 19.74% 22.95% 57.30%-0.81 +17.4 22
2022-10-01 Aksu W 1-039.1 1392 1352 53.76% 23.85% 22.38%+0.65 +4.3 29
2022-10-01 @ Caspiy L 0-139.1 1352 1392 22.38% 23.85% 53.76%-0.65 -4.3 26
2022-10-01 Atyrau W 2-038.5 1443 1411 52.89% 24.05% 23.07%+0.61 +8.3 32
2022-10-01 @ Ordabasy L 0-238.5 1411 1443 23.07% 24.05% 52.89%-0.61 -8.3 28
2022-10-01 Makhtaaral L 0-149.9 1415 1300 62.36% 21.33% 16.30%+1.06 -9.9 25
2022-10-01 @ Taraz W 1-049.9 1300 1415 16.30% 21.33% 62.36%-1.06 +9.9 18
2022-10-02 Aktobe W 3-149.8 1376 1478 34.65% 25.60% 39.75%-0.11 +11.2 21
2022-10-02 @ Akzhayik L 1-349.8 1478 1376 39.75% 25.60% 34.65%+0.11 -11.2 42
2022-10-02 Astana D 2-267.4 1376 1571 23.62% 24.19% 52.19%-0.61 +0.8 23
2022-10-02 @ Turan D 2-267.4 1571 1376 52.19% 24.19% 23.62%+0.61 -0.8 38
2022-10-02 Kairat L 1-257.4 1459 1517 40.84% 25.56% 33.60%+0.12 -6.6 22
2022-10-02 @ Kyzylzhar W 2-157.4 1517 1459 33.60% 25.56% 40.84%-0.12 +6.6 33
2022-10-02 Shakter Karagandy W 3-146.6 1562 1443 62.77% 21.18% 16.05%+1.08 +5.1 38
2022-10-02 @ Tobol L 1-346.6 1443 1562 16.05% 21.18% 62.77%-1.08 -5.1 30
2022-10-05 Turan D 1-156.3 1387 1377 50.05% 24.59% 25.37%+0.49 -0.9 22
2022-10-05 @ Akzhayik D 1-156.3 1377 1387 25.37% 24.59% 50.05%-0.49 +0.9 24
2022-10-08 Caspiy W 4-035.1 1466 1396 57.42% 22.92% 19.65%+0.82 +13.6 45
2022-10-08 @ Aktobe L 0-435.1 1396 1466 19.65% 22.92% 57.42%-0.82 -13.6 29
2022-10-08 Tobol W 3-047.9 1348 1567 21.35% 23.53% 55.12%-0.74 +24.5 29
2022-10-08 @ Aksu L 0-347.9 1567 1348 55.12% 23.53% 21.35%+0.74 -24.5 38
2022-10-09 Akzhayik W 1-043.0 1310 1386 38.41% 25.63% 35.96%+0.03 +6.4 21
2022-10-09 @ Makhtaaral L 0-143.0 1386 1310 35.96% 25.63% 38.41%-0.03 -6.4 22
2022-10-09 Kairat L 1-253.0 1402 1524 32.10% 25.47% 42.43%-0.21 -5.5 28
2022-10-09 @ Atyrau W 2-153.0 1524 1402 42.43% 25.47% 32.10%+0.21 +5.5 36
2022-10-09 Kyzylzhar D 0-053.5 1406 1452 42.54% 25.46% 32.00%+0.19 -0.4 26
2022-10-09 @ Taraz D 0-053.5 1452 1406 32.00% 25.46% 42.54%-0.19 +0.4 23
2022-10-09 Ordabasy W 6-040.4 1571 1451 62.79% 21.18% 16.03%+1.08 +16.2 41
2022-10-09 @ Astana L 0-640.4 1451 1571 16.03% 21.18% 62.79%-1.08 -16.2 32
2022-10-09 Turan D 0-053.0 1438 1378 56.23% 23.25% 20.52%+0.76 -1.5 31
2022-10-09 @ Shakter Karagandy D 0-053.0 1378 1438 20.52% 23.25% 56.23%-0.76 +1.5 25
2022-10-14 Aksu L 0-147.7 1379 1372 49.68% 24.65% 25.67%+0.48 -8.2 25
2022-10-14 @ Turan W 1-047.7 1372 1379 25.67% 24.65% 49.68%-0.48 +8.2 32
2022-10-14 Makhtaaral L 2-454.9 1382 1317 56.88% 23.07% 20.04%+0.79 -13.4 29
2022-10-14 @ Caspiy W 4-254.9 1317 1382 20.04% 23.07% 56.88%-0.79 +13.4 24
2022-10-14 Shakter Karagandy W 1-043.6 1435 1437 48.61% 24.82% 26.57%+0.43 +5.0 35
2022-10-14 @ Ordabasy L 0-143.6 1437 1435 26.57% 24.82% 48.61%-0.43 -5.0 31
2022-10-14 Taraz D 0-051.8 1380 1405 45.39% 25.22% 29.39%+0.30 -0.6 23
2022-10-14 @ Akzhayik D 0-051.8 1405 1380 29.39% 25.22% 45.39%-0.30 +0.6 27
2022-10-15 Aktobe W 1-046.6 1543 1480 56.50% 23.18% 20.33%+0.78 +3.9 41
2022-10-15 @ Tobol L 0-146.6 1480 1543 20.33% 23.18% 56.50%-0.78 -3.9 45
2022-10-15 Astana L 0-451.1 1529 1587 40.96% 25.55% 33.49%+0.13 -25.1 36
2022-10-15 @ Kairat W 4-051.1 1587 1529 33.49% 25.55% 40.96%-0.13 +25.2 44
2022-10-15 Atyrau W 3-143.4 1452 1397 55.67% 23.39% 20.94%+0.74 +6.6 26
2022-10-15 @ Kyzylzhar L 1-343.4 1397 1452 20.94% 23.39% 55.67%-0.74 -6.6 28
2022-10-23 Atyrau W 5-139.2 1612 1390 72.66% 16.90% 10.45%+1.64 +5.7 47
2022-10-23 @ Astana L 1-539.2 1390 1612 10.45% 16.90% 72.66%-1.64 -5.7 28
2022-10-23 Kairat L 0-246.3 1432 1504 38.87% 25.62% 35.51%+0.05 -12.7 31
2022-10-23 @ Shakter Karagandy W 2-046.3 1504 1432 35.51% 25.62% 38.87%-0.05 +12.7 39
2022-10-23 Kyzylzhar D 2-263.5 1379 1459 37.78% 25.64% 36.58%+0.01 -0.0 24
2022-10-23 @ Akzhayik D 2-263.5 1459 1379 36.58% 25.64% 37.78%-0.01 +0.0 27
2022-10-23 Tobol W 2-157.6 1330 1546 21.60% 23.61% 54.79%-0.73 +8.4 27
2022-10-23 @ Makhtaaral L 1-257.6 1546 1330 54.79% 23.61% 21.60%+0.73 -8.4 41
2022-10-24 Caspiy D 1-156.7 1406 1369 53.42% 23.93% 22.65%+0.64 -1.1 28
2022-10-24 @ Taraz D 1-156.7 1369 1406 22.65% 23.93% 53.42%-0.64 +1.1 30
2022-10-24 Ordabasy D 2-263.1 1381 1440 40.68% 25.57% 33.75%+0.12 -0.2 33
2022-10-24 @ Aksu D 2-263.1 1440 1381 33.75% 25.57% 40.68%-0.12 +0.2 36
2022-10-24 Turan W 3-249.9 1476 1371 61.28% 21.71% 17.00%+1.01 +2.9 48
2022-10-24 @ Aktobe L 2-349.9 1371 1476 17.00% 21.71% 61.28%-1.01 -3.0 25
2022-10-29 Aktobe D 2-266.1 1440 1479 43.60% 25.39% 31.02%+0.23 -0.3 37
2022-10-29 @ Ordabasy D 2-266.1 1479 1440 31.02% 25.39% 43.60%-0.23 +0.3 49
2022-10-29 Akzhayik D 0-051.2 1370 1379 47.64% 24.95% 27.41%+0.39 -0.8 31
2022-10-29 @ Caspiy D 0-051.2 1379 1370 27.41% 24.95% 47.64%-0.39 +0.8 25
2022-10-29 Tobol L 0-244.0 1405 1538 30.53% 25.34% 44.12%-0.28 -10.6 28
2022-10-29 @ Taraz W 2-044.0 1538 1405 44.12% 25.34% 30.53%+0.28 +10.6 44
2022-10-30 Aksu W 2-036.3 1517 1380 64.57% 20.50% 14.93%+1.17 +5.4 42
2022-10-30 @ Kairat L 0-236.3 1380 1517 14.93% 20.50% 64.57%-1.17 -5.4 33
2022-10-30 Astana L 0-247.9 1459 1618 27.51% 24.97% 47.52%-0.42 -9.7 27
2022-10-30 @ Kyzylzhar W 2-047.9 1618 1459 47.52% 24.97% 27.51%+0.42 +9.7 50
2022-10-30 Makhtaaral L 0-342.4 1368 1339 52.56% 24.11% 23.32%+0.60 -23.6 25
2022-10-30 @ Turan W 3-042.4 1339 1368 23.32% 24.11% 52.56%-0.60 +23.6 30
2022-10-30 Shakter Karagandy D 2-262.7 1385 1419 44.21% 25.34% 30.45%+0.26 -0.4 29
2022-10-30 @ Atyrau D 2-262.7 1419 1385 30.45% 25.34% 44.21%-0.26 +0.4 32
2022-11-06 Astana L 2-359.1 1419 1627 22.35% 23.84% 53.80%-0.68 -3.9 32
2022-11-06 @ Shakter Karagandy W 3-259.1 1627 1419 53.80% 23.84% 22.35%+0.68 +3.8 53
2022-11-06 Atyrau W 2-147.0 1375 1384 47.58% 24.96% 27.46%+0.39 +4.9 36
2022-11-06 @ Aksu L 1-247.0 1384 1375 27.46% 24.96% 47.58%-0.39 -4.8 29
2022-11-06 Caspiy W 4-139.0 1449 1369 58.50% 22.61% 18.89%+0.87 +8.5 30
2022-11-06 @ Kyzylzhar L 1-439.0 1369 1449 18.89% 22.61% 58.50%-0.87 -8.4 31
2022-11-06 Kairat W 4-149.6 1479 1522 43.05% 25.43% 31.52%+0.21 +13.3 52
2022-11-06 @ Aktobe L 1-449.6 1522 1479 31.52% 25.43% 43.05%-0.21 -13.3 42
2022-11-06 Ordabasy D 0-052.0 1362 1440 38.06% 25.63% 36.31%+0.02 -0.1 31
2022-11-06 @ Makhtaaral D 0-052.0 1440 1362 36.31% 25.63% 38.06%-0.02 +0.1 38
2022-11-06 Tobol L 1-347.9 1380 1549 26.35% 24.78% 48.87%-0.47 -8.1 25
2022-11-06 @ Akzhayik W 3-147.9 1549 1380 48.87% 24.78% 26.35%+0.47 +8.1 47
2022-11-06 Turan L 2-359.5 1394 1345 54.95% 23.57% 21.48%+0.71 -8.0 28
2022-11-06 @ Taraz W 3-259.5 1345 1394 21.48% 23.57% 54.95%-0.71 +8.0 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-04-23 10.54% Turan 1359 1 @ Kairat 1579 0
2 2022-09-10 13.21% Atyrau 1408 2 @ Tobol 1574 0
3 2022-05-07 13.49% Atyrau 1399 3 @ Kairat 1559 0
4 2022-10-01 16.30% Makhtaaral 1300 1 @ Taraz 1415 0
5 2022-09-04 17.10% Turan 1358 2 @ Ordabasy 1462 1
6 2022-03-05 17.21% Shakter Karagandy 1429 3 @ Astana 1531 0
7 2022-04-27 17.52% Aksu 1326 1 @ Akzhayik 1423 0
8 2022-09-15 17.96% Ordabasy 1434 2 @ Kairat 1526 1
9 2022-09-10 18.14% Aksu 1338 4 @ Taraz 1428 3
10 2022-09-15 19.70% Caspiy 1383 1 @ Shakter Karagandy 1452 0
11 2022-09-15 19.74% Turan 1359 2 @ Atyrau 1428 0
12 2022-10-14 20.04% Makhtaaral 1317 4 @ Caspiy 1382 2
13 2022-06-26 20.05% Turan 1372 2 @ Caspiy 1437 0
14 2022-04-23 21.23% Akzhayik 1414 1 @ Shakter Karagandy 1467 0
15 2022-10-08 21.35% @ Aksu 1348 3 Tobol 1567 0
16 2022-11-06 21.48% Turan 1345 3 @ Taraz 1394 2
17 2022-10-23 21.60% @ Makhtaaral 1330 2 Tobol 1546 1
18 2022-10-30 23.32% Makhtaaral 1339 3 @ Turan 1368 0
19 2022-09-14 23.75% Tobol 1554 2 @ Astana 1579 1
20 2022-06-19 23.93% Aktobe 1404 2 @ Atyrau 1428 0
21 2022-04-03 24.18% Atyrau 1388 1 @ Taraz 1409 0
22 2022-04-22 24.72% @ Atyrau 1384 2 Tobol 1568 1
23 2022-03-10 25.36% Shakter Karagandy 1456 1 @ Kyzylzhar 1466 0
24 2022-10-14 25.67% Aksu 1372 1 @ Turan 1379 0
25 2022-03-10 26.70% @ Aksu 1339 1 Astana 1505 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-05-07 28.76 Atyrau 3 1399 13.49% @ Kairat 0 1559 67.01% 19.51%
2 2022-03-05 26.66 Shakter Karagandy 3 1429 17.21% @ Astana 0 1531 60.97% 21.82%
3 2022-05-14 26.14 @ Astana 6 1530 48.72% Kairat 0 1531 26.48% 24.80%
4 2022-10-15 25.16 Astana 4 1587 33.49% @ Kairat 0 1529 40.96% 25.55%
5 2022-10-08 24.51 @ Aksu 3 1348 21.35% Tobol 0 1567 55.12% 23.53%
6 2022-10-30 23.56 Makhtaaral 3 1339 23.32% @ Turan 0 1368 52.56% 24.11%
7 2022-09-10 19.91 Atyrau 2 1408 13.21% @ Tobol 0 1574 67.50% 19.29%
8 2022-04-27 19.72 @ Caspiy 4 1428 44.87% Shakter Karagandy 0 1458 29.85% 25.27%
9 2022-09-11 18.60 @ Kyzylzhar 4 1441 47.20% Ordabasy 0 1453 27.79% 25.01%
10 2022-06-26 17.71 @ Aktobe 4 1420 29.10% Astana 1 1565 45.71% 25.19%
11 2022-09-15 17.44 Turan 2 1359 19.74% @ Atyrau 0 1428 57.30% 22.95%
12 2022-06-26 17.33 Turan 2 1372 20.05% @ Caspiy 0 1437 56.88% 23.07%
13 2022-05-02 16.71 @ Shakter Karagandy 4 1438 32.07% Tobol 1 1559 42.47% 25.47%
14 2022-10-09 16.21 @ Astana 6 1571 62.79% Ordabasy 0 1451 16.03% 21.18%
15 2022-06-19 16.03 Aktobe 2 1404 23.93% @ Atyrau 0 1428 51.80% 24.27%
16 2022-04-27 13.85 @ Taraz 3 1410 48.22% Aktobe 0 1414 26.90% 24.87%
17 2022-04-22 13.76 @ Astana 4 1510 57.11% Caspiy 0 1442 19.88% 23.01%
18 2022-04-03 13.62 Astana 3 1500 48.84% @ Makhtaaral 0 1331 26.38% 24.78%
19 2022-10-08 13.62 @ Aktobe 4 1466 57.42% Caspiy 0 1396 19.65% 22.92%
20 2022-09-10 13.58 Astana 3 1566 48.97% @ Caspiy 0 1396 26.27% 24.76%
21 2022-10-14 13.42 Makhtaaral 4 1317 20.04% @ Caspiy 2 1382 56.88% 23.07%
22 2022-07-12 13.35 Aktobe 2 1445 33.16% @ Turan 0 1390 41.30% 25.54%
23 2022-05-02 13.33 @ Aksu 2 1335 33.22% Caspiy 0 1448 41.24% 25.54%
24 2022-11-06 13.30 @ Aktobe 4 1479 43.05% Kairat 1 1522 31.52% 25.43%
25 2022-08-27 13.13 @ Tobol 4 1554 58.43% Ordabasy 0 1475 18.94% 22.63%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-04-16 74.2 @ Tobol 2 1569 47.57% Kairat 2 1578 27.47% 24.96%
2 2022-05-01 70.7 @ Astana 3 1525 66.47% Turan 3 1370 13.80% 19.73%
3 2022-08-21 69.8 @ Tobol 2 1556 63.37% Taraz 2 1431 15.67% 20.96%
4 2022-05-14 68.4 @ Atyrau 3 1428 46.58% Kyzylzhar 3 1444 28.33% 25.09%
5 2022-10-02 67.4 @ Turan 2 1376 23.62% Astana 2 1571 52.19% 24.19%
6 2022-09-05 67.3 Tobol 3 1567 31.62% @ Kairat 2 1524 42.94% 25.44%
7 2022-07-01 67.2 @ Turan 2 1389 26.56% Tobol 2 1556 48.63% 24.81%
8 2022-04-26 66.6 @ Tobol 1 1560 53.45% Astana 1 1523 22.63% 23.92%
9 2022-08-27 66.2 @ Caspiy 2 1400 31.74% Kairat 2 1524 42.82% 25.45%
10 2022-10-29 66.1 @ Ordabasy 2 1440 43.60% Aktobe 2 1479 31.02% 25.39%
11 2022-09-14 65.9 Tobol 2 1554 23.75% @ Astana 1 1579 52.02% 24.22%
12 2022-05-02 64.6 @ Kairat 1 1561 62.64% Kyzylzhar 1 1443 16.13% 21.23%
13 2022-03-17 64.5 @ Kairat 1 1578 68.09% Taraz 1 1407 12.88% 19.04%
14 2022-09-10 63.5 Aksu 4 1338 18.14% @ Taraz 3 1428 59.59% 22.27%
15 2022-10-23 63.5 @ Akzhayik 2 1379 37.78% Kyzylzhar 2 1459 36.58% 25.64%
16 2022-10-24 63.1 @ Aksu 2 1381 40.68% Ordabasy 2 1440 33.75% 25.57%
17 2022-08-27 62.7 @ Taraz 1 1432 31.65% Astana 1 1557 42.91% 25.44%
18 2022-10-30 62.7 @ Atyrau 2 1385 44.21% Shakter Karagandy 2 1419 30.45% 25.34%
19 2022-05-21 62.5 @ Atyrau 1 1427 31.09% Astana 1 1556 43.52% 25.39%
20 2022-09-15 61.5 Ordabasy 2 1434 17.96% @ Kairat 1 1526 59.86% 22.19%
21 2022-06-26 61.0 @ Taraz 1 1430 37.22% Kairat 1 1514 37.14% 25.64%
22 2022-07-02 60.9 Aktobe 3 1438 27.00% @ Shakter Karagandy 2 1433 48.11% 24.89%
23 2022-11-06 59.5 Turan 3 1345 21.48% @ Taraz 2 1394 54.95% 23.57%
24 2022-04-22 59.2 @ Atyrau 2 1384 24.72% Tobol 1 1568 50.83% 24.45%
25 2022-04-26 59.2 @ Ordabasy 2 1467 34.84% Kairat 1 1568 39.56% 25.61%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-07-03 30.1 @ Astana 4 1547 73.90% Makhtaaral 0 1311 9.82% 16.27%
2 2022-06-29 32.4 @ Ordabasy 3 1466 62.92% Aksu 0 1346 15.95% 21.13%
3 2022-06-19 33.2 @ Astana 5 1556 70.78% Aksu 0 1355 11.41% 17.80%
4 2022-04-04 33.7 @ Tobol 3 1576 71.74% Turan 0 1364 10.91% 17.34%
5 2022-04-10 34.4 @ Shakter Karagandy 5 1464 65.63% Makhtaaral 1 1318 14.29% 20.08%
6 2022-05-07 34.4 @ Tobol 2 1543 70.19% Aksu 0 1349 11.73% 18.09%
7 2022-10-08 35.1 @ Aktobe 4 1466 57.42% Caspiy 0 1396 19.65% 22.92%
8 2022-09-05 35.3 @ Astana 4 1557 66.91% Akzhayik 0 1397 13.55% 19.55%
9 2022-06-19 35.7 @ Kairat 1 1512 70.62% Makhtaaral 0 1313 11.50% 17.88%
10 2022-10-30 36.3 @ Kairat 2 1517 64.57% Aksu 0 1380 14.93% 20.50%
11 2022-07-03 36.5 @ Kairat 2 1514 63.92% Akzhayik 0 1384 15.33% 20.76%
12 2022-04-23 36.9 @ Aktobe 1 1411 60.29% Makhtaaral 0 1315 17.67% 22.05%
13 2022-04-03 37.1 Astana 3 1500 48.84% @ Makhtaaral 0 1331 26.38% 24.78%
14 2022-04-27 37.1 @ Taraz 3 1410 48.22% Aktobe 0 1414 26.90% 24.87%
15 2022-08-26 37.1 @ Aktobe 1 1467 64.19% Aksu 0 1335 15.16% 20.65%
16 2022-05-22 37.7 @ Kyzylzhar 2 1445 54.58% Akzhayik 0 1398 21.76% 23.66%
17 2022-03-17 38.2 @ Ordabasy 2 1444 53.44% Akzhayik 0 1407 22.63% 23.92%
18 2022-04-22 38.2 @ Astana 4 1510 57.11% Caspiy 0 1442 19.88% 23.01%
19 2022-05-08 38.2 @ Caspiy 2 1435 52.54% Aktobe 0 1405 23.34% 24.12%
20 2022-03-06 38.3 @ Kairat 2 1570 67.23% Aktobe 0 1407 13.36% 19.41%
21 2022-05-15 38.4 @ Taraz 2 1431 51.79% Akzhayik 0 1407 23.94% 24.27%
22 2022-05-14 38.5 @ Aksu 2 1344 43.61% Turan 0 1383 31.01% 25.39%
23 2022-10-01 38.5 @ Ordabasy 2 1443 52.89% Atyrau 0 1411 23.07% 24.05%
24 2022-11-06 39.0 @ Kyzylzhar 4 1449 58.50% Caspiy 1 1369 18.89% 22.61%
25 2022-09-11 39.1 @ Kyzylzhar 4 1441 47.20% Ordabasy 0 1453 27.79% 25.01%