2024 Kazakhstan Premier League Season

156 games

Final

Champion

Kairat

47 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kairat

7.85 points above expected

47 points · 39.15 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Shakter Karagandy

12.56 points below expected

10 points · 22.56 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Kairat	24	14	5	5	47	39	21	+18	39.15	+7.85
2	Astana	24	14	4	6	46	39	19	+20	38.92	+7.08
3	Aktobe	24	12	7	5	43	39	26	+13	43.22	-0.22
4	Ordabasy	24	12	6	6	42	36	24	+12	42.92	-0.92
5	Tobol	24	11	6	7	39	33	23	+10	35.15	+3.85
6	Yelimay	24	10	7	7	37	35	32	+3	34.71	+2.29
7	Atyrau	24	9	8	7	35	28	20	+8	33.52	+1.48
8	Kaisar	24	9	7	8	34	28	29	-1	30.01	+3.99
9	Kyzylzhar	24	8	5	11	29	29	26	+3	32.93	-3.93
10	Zhenis	24	6	6	12	24	18	32	-14	23.97	+0.03
11	Zhetysu	24	5	8	11	23	17	33	-16	25.24	-2.24
12	Turan	24	5	5	14	20	16	39	-23	27.12	-7.12
13	Shakter Karagandy	24	2	4	18	10	12	45	-33	22.56	-12.56

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Kairat	47	39.15	+7.85
2	Astana	46	38.92	+7.08
3	Kaisar	34	30.01	+3.99
4	Tobol	39	35.15	+3.85
5	Yelimay	37	34.71	+2.29

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Shakter Karagandy	10	22.56	-12.56
2	Turan	20	27.12	-7.12
3	Kyzylzhar	29	32.93	-3.93
4	Zhetysu	23	25.24	-2.24
5	Ordabasy	42	42.92	-0.92

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Astana	5	Aug 4 – Sep 22	1 in 173
2	Zhenis	3	Oct 4 – Oct 26	1 in 96
3	Yelimay	5	Aug 17 – Sep 22	1 in 74
4	Atyrau	3	May 18 – Jun 15	1 in 18
5	Tobol	3	Oct 19 – Nov 3	1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Yelimay	4	Oct 3 – Nov 10	1 in 52
2	Ordabasy	3	Oct 19 – Nov 2	1 in 51
3	Kyzylzhar	5	Aug 17 – Oct 3	1 in 49
4	Zhenis	4	May 4 – Jun 2	1 in 32
5	Tobol	3	May 12 – Jun 1	1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Yelimay	10	Mar 31 – Jun 30	1 in 110
2	Kaisar	8	Apr 20 – Jun 22	1 in 81
3	Ordabasy	12	Apr 7 – Aug 25	1 in 40
4	Astana	10	Aug 4 – Oct 30	1 in 36
5	Zhenis	5	Sep 29 – Nov 3	1 in 34

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Zhetysu	12	May 19 – Sep 15	1 in 108
2	Shakter Karagandy	16	Jun 2 – Nov 3	1 in 34
3	Kyzylzhar	7	Apr 20 – Jun 22	1 in 29
4	Zhenis	11	Apr 27 – Sep 1	1 in 22
5	Yelimay	6	May 19 – Jul 13	1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Kairat	1478	47	+31	12	8.3	+3.7
Astana	1506	46	+56	12	8.8	+3.2
Aktobe	1438	43	-24	9	8.3	+0.7
Ordabasy	1439	42	-23	6	8.3	-2.3
Tobol	1414	39	-2	9	7.9	+1.1
Yelimay	1350	37	-72	3	7.2	-4.2
Atyrau	1387	35	-1	6	6.9	-0.9
Kaisar	1339	34	+19	9	6.7	+2.3
Kyzylzhar	1352	29	+38	10	7.0	+3.0
Zhenis	1264	24	+32	10	5.7	+4.3
Zhetysu	1225	23	-20	3	4.6	-1.6
Turan	1207	20	-45	1	4.6	-3.6
Shakter Karagandy	1141	10	-35	1	3.3	-2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AKT	AST	ATY	KAI	KAI	KYZ	ORD	SK	TOB	TUR	YEL	ZHE	ZHE
Aktobe	—	0-1-1 2.69	0-2-0 3.66	2-0-0 2.83	1-1-0 3.55	2-0-0 3.51	0-2-0 2.80	2-0-0 4.39	0-0-2 3.49	2-0-0 4.00	0-1-1 3.53	2-0-0 4.02	1-0-1 3.98
Astana	1-1-0 2.79	—	1-0-1 3.49	1-0-1 2.55	1-1-0 3.52	2-0-0 3.21	1-0-1 2.35	1-0-1 4.10	0-1-1 3.15	2-0-0 3.28	1-0-1 3.35	1-1-0 3.82	2-0-0 3.97
Atyrau	0-2-0 1.84	1-0-1 2.00	—	0-0-2 2.33	0-2-0 3.03	1-0-1 2.72	0-1-1 1.93	2-0-0 3.63	0-2-0 2.76	1-0-1 3.38	1-1-0 2.76	2-0-0 3.53	1-0-1 3.44
Kairat	0-0-2 2.64	1-0-1 2.94	2-0-0 3.15	—	1-0-1 3.60	2-0-0 3.29	2-0-0 2.63	2-0-0 3.91	0-1-1 3.25	1-1-0 3.57	1-1-0 3.19	1-1-0 3.72	1-1-0 3.87
Kaisar	0-1-1 1.96	0-1-1 1.98	0-2-0 2.44	1-0-1 1.90	—	0-0-2 2.75	1-0-1 1.67	1-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 2.01	1-1-0 3.21	1-0-1 2.42	1-0-1 3.35	1-1-0 3.04
Kyzylzhar	0-0-2 1.98	0-0-2 2.27	1-0-1 2.75	0-0-2 2.19	2-0-0 2.72	—	0-1-1 2.00	1-1-0 3.74	1-1-0 2.62	0-0-2 3.21	0-1-1 2.54	2-0-0 3.25	1-1-0 2.97
Ordabasy	0-2-0 2.68	1-0-1 3.13	1-1-0 3.56	0-0-2 2.85	1-0-1 3.83	1-1-0 3.48	—	2-0-0 4.04	1-0-1 3.23	2-0-0 3.59	1-1-0 3.41	1-0-1 4.18	1-1-0 3.90
Shakter Karagandy	0-0-2 1.17	1-0-1 1.45	0-0-2 1.87	0-0-2 1.60	0-1-1 2.20	0-1-1 1.76	0-0-2 1.48	—	1-0-1 1.65	0-0-2 2.30	0-0-2 1.59	0-1-1 2.54	0-1-1 2.38
Tobol	2-0-0 2.01	1-1-0 2.32	0-2-0 2.72	1-1-0 2.23	0-0-2 3.47	0-1-1 2.86	1-0-1 2.25	1-0-1 3.88	—	2-0-0 3.39	1-0-1 2.76	0-1-1 3.75	2-0-0 3.24
Turan	0-0-2 1.53	0-0-2 2.21	1-0-1 2.10	0-1-1 1.94	0-1-1 2.27	2-0-0 2.27	0-0-2 1.92	2-0-0 3.18	0-0-2 2.09	—	0-1-1 2.42	0-1-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.82
Yelimay	1-1-0 1.96	1-0-1 2.15	0-1-1 2.71	0-1-1 2.29	1-0-1 3.06	1-1-0 2.94	0-1-1 2.07	2-0-0 3.92	1-0-1 2.72	1-1-0 3.06	—	2-0-0 3.31	0-1-1 3.68
Zhenis	0-0-2 1.50	0-1-1 1.68	0-0-2 1.96	0-1-1 1.79	1-0-1 2.13	0-0-2 2.23	1-0-1 1.35	1-1-0 2.94	1-1-0 1.74	1-1-0 2.72	0-0-2 2.18	—	1-1-0 2.40
Zhetysu	1-0-1 1.54	0-0-2 1.57	1-0-1 2.04	0-1-1 1.63	0-1-1 2.45	0-1-1 2.51	0-1-1 1.61	1-1-0 3.10	0-0-2 2.24	1-1-0 2.65	1-1-0 1.81	0-1-1 3.08	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.94	+11.2
Allowed	0.78	-12.9
Differential	0.95	+6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	12.82%	5.45%	3.21%	0.32%	0.96%	30.45%
1	12.82%	13.46%	8.65%	2.24%	0.32%	0.64%	38.14%
2	5.45%	8.65%	3.85%	1.28%	0.96%	0.32%	20.51%
3	3.21%	2.24%	1.28%	—	0.32%	—	7.05%
4	0.32%	0.32%	0.96%	0.32%	—	—	1.92%
5+	0.96%	0.64%	0.32%	—	—	—	1.92%
Total	30.45%	38.14%	20.51%	7.05%	1.92%	1.92%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.18	1.18	+0.00
SD	1.14	1.14	1.66
CV	0.96	0.96	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 156

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.17%	—	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	12.50%
1	8.33%	20.83%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	37.50%
2	12.50%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	8.33%	12.50%	—	—	4.17%	—	25.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	41.67%	12.50%	8.33%	4.17%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	1.08	+0.54
SD	1.01	1.10	1.59
CV	0.62	1.02	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	20.83%	—	—	—	—	20.83%
1	12.50%	12.50%	—	4.17%	—	—	29.17%
2	16.67%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	29.17%
3	8.33%	—	4.17%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	—	4.17%	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	4.17%	—	—	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	41.67%	41.67%	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	0.79	+0.83
SD	1.31	0.83	1.63
CV	0.81	1.05	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
1	16.67%	20.83%	4.17%	—	—	—	41.67%
2	8.33%	4.17%	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
3	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	41.67%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	0.83	+0.33
SD	0.92	0.92	1.24
CV	0.79	1.10	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	20.83%
1	16.67%	8.33%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	33.33%
2	4.17%	16.67%	4.17%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	33.33%	50.00%	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	0.88	+0.75
SD	1.38	0.80	1.45
CV	0.85	0.91	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	16.67%	—	4.17%	—	—	29.17%
1	12.50%	16.67%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	37.50%
2	4.17%	16.67%	4.17%	—	—	4.17%	29.17%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	25.00%	54.17%	8.33%	8.33%	—	4.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.21	-0.04
SD	1.13	1.32	1.63
CV	0.97	1.09	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	20.83%	12.50%	—	—	—	41.67%
1	4.17%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	—	29.17%
2	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
3	4.17%	—	4.17%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	4.17%	—	—	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	—	—	4.17%	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	25.00%	41.67%	33.33%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.21	1.08	+0.12
SD	1.53	0.78	1.73
CV	1.27	0.72	—
Max	6	2	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
1	20.83%	20.83%	16.67%	—	—	—	58.33%
2	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	4.17%	—	16.67%
3	—	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.17%	—	—	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	33.33%	41.67%	20.83%	—	4.17%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.00	+0.50
SD	1.10	0.98	1.44
CV	0.74	0.98	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	20.83%	8.33%	12.50%	—	4.17%	58.33%
1	8.33%	4.17%	12.50%	4.17%	—	4.17%	33.33%
2	—	—	—	4.17%	4.17%	—	8.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.83%	25.00%	20.83%	20.83%	4.17%	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.50	1.88	-1.38
SD	0.66	1.51	1.47
CV	1.32	0.81	—
Max	2	5	+1
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	20.83%
1	20.83%	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	45.83%
2	8.33%	—	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.83%	16.67%	33.33%	4.17%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.38	0.96	+0.42
SD	1.17	1.00	1.35
CV	0.85	1.04	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	16.67%	20.83%	4.17%	—	4.17%	54.17%
1	8.33%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	4.17%	25.00%
2	4.17%	8.33%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	20.83%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.83%	33.33%	29.17%	8.33%	—	8.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.67	1.62	-0.96
SD	0.82	1.50	1.78
CV	1.22	0.92	—
Max	2	6	+2
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.17%	4.17%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	16.67%
1	12.50%	16.67%	8.33%	—	4.17%	—	41.67%
2	—	20.83%	8.33%	—	4.17%	—	33.33%
3	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.17%	—	—	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	20.83%	45.83%	20.83%	4.17%	8.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.46	1.33	+0.12
SD	1.25	1.13	1.83
CV	0.86	0.85	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.17%	16.67%	8.33%	4.17%	4.17%	—	37.50%
1	16.67%	16.67%	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	12.50%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.83%	41.67%	25.00%	8.33%	4.17%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.75	1.33	-0.58
SD	0.68	1.05	1.35
CV	0.90	0.79	—
Max	2	4	+1
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.83%	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%	—	4.17%	50.00%
1	8.33%	8.33%	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	33.33%
2	4.17%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	12.50%
3	—	—	4.17%	—	—	—	4.17%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	20.83%	29.17%	12.50%	—	4.17%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.71	1.38	-0.67
SD	0.86	1.31	1.58
CV	1.21	0.95	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 24

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Astana	1506	46	38.92	+7.08	91.0%	27	29	35	38	43	49	56
Kairat	1478	47	39.15	+7.85	93.0%	26	27	35	39	43	48	55
Ordabasy	1439	42	42.92	-0.92	49.0%	28	31	39	43	46	53	59
Aktobe	1438	43	43.22	-0.22	50.0%	31	32	38	43	48	53	60
Tobol	1414	39	35.15	+3.85	74.0%	14	24	31	35	40	47	55
Atyrau	1387	35	33.52	+1.48	66.0%	20	24	30	33	37	43	46
Kyzylzhar	1352	29	32.93	-3.93	31.0%	13	22	29	32	38	43	49
Yelimay	1350	37	34.71	+2.29	59.0%	18	23	29	35	40	46	48
Kaisar	1339	34	30.01	+3.99	77.0%	18	21	26	30	34	41	44
Zhenis	1264	24	23.97	+0.03	59.0%	14	16	20	24	27	32	40
Zhetysu	1225	23	25.24	-2.24	42.0%	13	16	21	25	29	35	46
Turan	1207	20	27.12	-7.12	19.0%	12	17	22	26	32	37	43
Shakter Karagandy	1141	10	22.56	-12.56	2.0%	9	13	19	23	25	32	39

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 19% * Slight Edge: 19% to 25% * Clear Edge: 25% to 31% * Strong Edge: 31% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+16.03%

No Edge

45.51%25.00%29.49%

Elo Value

Home Edge

163 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

056.16500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.33 goals

Neutral

-2+0.34+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.03 * Tight Race: 0.03 to 0.1 * Comfortable: 0.1 to 0.17 * Runaway: 0.17 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.5

Wide Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

10%

Kairat, 4th of 13

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.04/gm

Tight Race

00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.9 * Some Luck: 4.9 to 7.35 * Lucky: 7.35 to 9.8 * Wild Swing: 9.8 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.62 * Close: 1.62 to 2.44 * Off: 2.44 to 3.25 * Way Off: 3.25 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 13 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 13 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 13 * As Expected: 13 to 20.8 * Several Outliers: 20.8 to 28.6 * Many Outliers: 28.6 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.40 points

Some Luck

06.1315

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.08

Pinpoint

02.035

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.15%

93.00%

Kairat

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.85%

2.00%

Shakter Karagandy

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 13

Minimal Outliers

01.36

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.23 * Lopsided: 0.23 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.75 * Moderate Separation: 1.75 to 1.95 * Strong Separation: 1.95 to 2.35 * Wide Separation: 2.35 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 70.5% * Slight Edge: 70.5% to 75.5% * Clear Edge: 75.5% to 79% * Wide Edge: 79% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 90.5% * Clear Edge: 90.5% to 95% * Strong Edge: 95% to 98.5% * Dominant: 98.5% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 59.5% * Some Drama: 59.5% to 64% * Frequent: 64% to 67.5% * Very Frequent: 67.5% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 13.5% * Occasional: 13.5% to 15.5% * Frequent: 15.5% to 18.5% * Very Frequent: 18.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.18

Even

00.170.230.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 111.45

1.73

Coin-Flip Parity

0.91.752.353

Interquartile Edge

73%

Slight Edge

50%70.5%79%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

89%

Even

50%91%100%

Close Games

Expected

71%

Very Frequent

0%63%100%

Blowouts

Expected

12%

Rare

0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.41 * Slight Separation: 0.41 to 0.45 * Notable Separation: 0.45 to 0.49 * Lopsided: 0.49 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.47 * Some Carryover: 0.47 to 0.64 * Strong Carryover: 0.64 to 0.69 * Near-Lock: 0.69 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 19% * As Expected: 19% to 20.5% * Upset-Prone: 20.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 18% * Shaky Favorites: 18% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.60

Predictable

00.612

Matchup Imbalance

0.33

Very Even

00.410.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.85

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.66

Strong Carryover

00.470.641

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Very Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Very Shaky

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.77

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.13

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.077

Well Within Noise

00.1330.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13
Kairat	10.00%	17.00%	20.00%	10.00%	17.00%	9.00%	9.00%	2.00%	1.00%	5.00%	—	—	—
Astana	13.00%	12.00%	13.00%	17.00%	14.00%	13.00%	6.00%	4.00%	6.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—
Aktobe	33.00%	21.00%	13.00%	14.00%	7.00%	3.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Ordabasy	28.00%	27.00%	17.00%	9.00%	4.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Tobol	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	12.00%	14.00%	10.00%	11.00%	3.00%	11.00%	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%
Yelimay	4.00%	5.00%	12.00%	8.00%	14.00%	7.00%	15.00%	10.00%	6.00%	10.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%
Atyrau	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	9.00%	8.00%	12.00%	13.00%	17.00%	15.00%	7.00%	5.00%	—	—
Kaisar	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	6.00%	4.00%	9.00%	8.00%	16.00%	17.00%	13.00%	10.00%	7.00%	4.00%
Kyzylzhar	2.00%	4.00%	3.00%	13.00%	12.00%	12.00%	9.00%	12.00%	14.00%	9.00%	4.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Zhenis	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	10.00%	10.00%	20.00%	29.00%	19.00%
Zhetysu	—	1.00%	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	5.00%	13.00%	11.00%	22.00%	19.00%	18.00%
Turan	—	—	—	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	11.00%	6.00%	9.00%	13.00%	15.00%	13.00%	16.00%
Shakter Karagandy	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	7.00%	4.00%	10.00%	16.00%	23.00%	37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Direct relegation
Aktobe	100%	—
Astana	100%	—
Atyrau	100%	—
Kairat	100%	—
Ordabasy	100%	—
Kyzylzhar	98.00%	2.00%
Tobol	98.00%	2.00%
Yelimay	98.00%	2.00%
Kaisar	96.00%	4.00%
Turan	84.00%	16.00%
Zhetysu	82.00%	18.00%
Zhenis	81.00%	19.00%
Shakter Karagandy	63.00%	37.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2024-03-01	Aktobe	L 1-3	45.3	1332	1412	33.45%	26.47%	40.09%	-0.14	-17.5	0
2024-03-01	@ Kaisar	W 3-1	45.3	1412	1332	40.09%	26.47%	33.45%	+0.14	+17.5	3
2024-03-01	Zhenis	W 2-0	34.8	1400	1322	54.03%	25.18%	20.79%	+0.82	+13.7	3
2024-03-01	@ Astana	L 0-2	34.8	1322	1400	20.79%	25.18%	54.03%	-0.82	-13.7	0
2024-03-02	Atyrau	D 0-0	49.5	1325	1321	45.10%	26.23%	28.67%	+0.37	-1.1	1
2024-03-02	@ Yelimay	D 0-0	49.5	1321	1325	28.67%	26.23%	45.10%	-0.37	+1.1	1
2024-03-02	Kyzylzhar	W 2-1	45.9	1383	1344	49.55%	25.82%	24.63%	+0.58	+7.9	3
2024-03-02	@ Kairat	L 1-2	45.9	1344	1383	24.63%	25.82%	49.55%	-0.58	-7.9	0
2024-03-02	Shakter Karagandy	W 5-0	33.6	1410	1321	55.39%	24.94%	19.67%	+0.89	+30.6	3
2024-03-02	@ Ordabasy	L 0-5	33.6	1321	1410	19.67%	24.94%	55.39%	-0.89	-30.6	0
2024-03-02	Turan	W 2-0	37.5	1338	1346	43.56%	26.33%	30.11%	+0.30	+18.6	3
2024-03-02	@ Tobol	L 0-2	37.5	1346	1338	30.11%	26.33%	43.56%	-0.30	-18.6	0
2024-03-05	Astana	L 0-2	36.7	1285	1413	27.27%	26.11%	46.62%	-0.44	-17.2	0
2024-03-05	@ Zhetysu	W 2-0	36.7	1413	1285	46.62%	26.11%	27.27%	+0.44	+17.2	6
2024-03-06	Kyzylzhar	L 0-3	38.9	1314	1336	41.68%	26.41%	31.91%	+0.21	-34.6	0
2024-03-06	@ Kaisar	W 3-0	38.9	1336	1314	31.91%	26.41%	41.68%	-0.21	+34.6	3
2024-03-06	Ordabasy	D 1-1	56.3	1322	1441	28.37%	26.21%	45.43%	-0.39	+1.1	2
2024-03-06	@ Atyrau	D 1-1	56.3	1441	1322	45.43%	26.21%	28.37%	+0.39	-1.1	4
2024-03-06	Yelimay	W 4-2	45.2	1357	1324	48.82%	25.90%	25.28%	+0.55	+12.5	6
2024-03-06	@ Tobol	L 2-4	45.2	1324	1357	25.28%	25.90%	48.82%	-0.55	-12.5	1
2024-03-07	Kairat	D 0-0	50.3	1327	1391	35.69%	26.50%	37.80%	-0.05	+0.1	1
2024-03-07	@ Turan	D 0-0	50.3	1391	1327	37.80%	26.50%	35.69%	+0.05	-0.2	4
2024-03-07	Shakter Karagandy	W 1-0	39.2	1309	1290	46.94%	26.08%	26.98%	+0.46	+9.1	3
2024-03-07	@ Zhenis	L 0-1	39.2	1290	1309	26.98%	26.08%	46.94%	-0.46	-9.0	0
2024-03-30	Turan	L 0-2	39.2	1281	1327	38.19%	26.50%	35.31%	+0.06	-22.3	0
2024-03-30	@ Shakter Karagandy	W 2-0	39.2	1327	1281	35.31%	26.50%	38.19%	-0.06	+22.3	4
2024-03-30	Zhetysu	L 0-1	46.4	1323	1268	51.47%	25.58%	22.96%	+0.68	-15.0	2
2024-03-30	@ Atyrau	W 1-0	46.4	1268	1323	22.96%	25.58%	51.47%	-0.68	+15.0	3
2024-03-31	Kairat	L 1-2	55.8	1440	1391	50.78%	25.67%	23.55%	+0.65	-14.0	4
2024-03-31	@ Ordabasy	W 2-1	55.8	1391	1440	23.55%	25.67%	50.78%	-0.65	+14.0	7
2024-03-31	Tobol	D 0-0	50.7	1370	1370	44.63%	26.26%	29.11%	+0.35	-1.1	4
2024-03-31	@ Kyzylzhar	D 0-0	50.7	1370	1370	29.11%	26.26%	44.63%	-0.35	+1.1	7
2024-03-31	Yelimay	L 0-1	49.7	1431	1311	58.53%	24.27%	17.20%	+1.08	-16.8	6
2024-03-31	@ Astana	W 1-0	49.7	1311	1431	17.20%	24.27%	58.53%	-1.08	+16.8	4
2024-03-31	Zhenis	W 3-0	32.4	1429	1318	57.73%	24.45%	17.82%	+1.03	+17.3	6
2024-03-31	@ Aktobe	L 0-3	32.4	1318	1429	17.82%	24.45%	57.73%	-1.03	-17.4	3
2024-04-06	Kaisar	W 1-0	38.2	1328	1280	50.65%	25.69%	23.67%	+0.64	+8.1	7
2024-04-06	@ Yelimay	L 0-1	38.2	1280	1328	23.67%	25.69%	50.65%	-0.64	-8.1	0
2024-04-06	Zhenis	W 4-0	32.7	1369	1300	53.08%	25.34%	21.58%	+0.77	+26.9	7
2024-04-06	@ Kyzylzhar	L 0-4	32.7	1300	1369	21.58%	25.34%	53.08%	-0.77	-26.9	3
2024-04-06	Zhetysu	D 0-0	50.6	1405	1283	58.77%	24.21%	17.02%	+1.09	-3.1	8
2024-04-06	@ Kairat	D 0-0	50.6	1283	1405	17.02%	24.21%	58.77%	-1.09	+3.1	4
2024-04-07	Astana	W 1-0	46.7	1259	1414	24.27%	25.77%	49.95%	-0.60	+14.7	3
2024-04-07	@ Shakter Karagandy	L 0-1	46.7	1414	1259	49.95%	25.77%	24.27%	+0.60	-14.7	6
2024-04-07	Atyrau	D 1-1	56.9	1446	1308	60.45%	23.79%	15.76%	+1.19	-3.0	7
2024-04-07	@ Aktobe	D 1-1	56.9	1308	1446	15.76%	23.79%	60.45%	-1.19	+3.0	3
2024-04-07	Ordabasy	L 0-1	43.6	1350	1426	33.91%	26.48%	39.61%	-0.12	-10.8	4
2024-04-07	@ Turan	W 1-0	43.6	1426	1350	39.61%	26.48%	33.91%	+0.12	+10.8	7
2024-04-20	Aktobe	L 1-3	49.1	1401	1443	38.76%	26.49%	34.75%	+0.09	-19.5	8
2024-04-20	@ Kairat	W 3-1	49.1	1443	1401	34.75%	26.49%	38.76%	-0.09	+19.5	10
2024-04-20	Atyrau	D 1-1	54.2	1272	1311	39.17%	26.49%	34.34%	+0.10	-0.3	1
2024-04-20	@ Kaisar	D 1-1	54.2	1311	1272	34.34%	26.49%	39.17%	-0.10	+0.3	4
2024-04-20	Kyzylzhar	D 1-1	58.0	1437	1396	49.72%	25.80%	24.48%	+0.59	-1.6	8
2024-04-20	@ Ordabasy	D 1-1	58.0	1396	1437	24.48%	25.80%	49.72%	-0.59	+1.6	8
2024-04-20	Turan	W 1-0	42.8	1273	1339	35.44%	26.50%	38.06%	-0.06	+11.8	6
2024-04-20	@ Zhenis	L 0-1	42.8	1339	1273	38.06%	26.50%	35.44%	+0.06	-11.8	4
2024-04-21	Shakter Karagandy	W 1-0	39.2	1286	1274	46.18%	26.15%	27.67%	+0.42	+9.2	7
2024-04-21	@ Zhetysu	L 0-1	39.2	1274	1286	27.67%	26.15%	46.18%	-0.42	-9.2	3
2024-04-21	Tobol	D 2-2	62.5	1399	1371	48.21%	25.96%	25.83%	+0.52	-1.0	7
2024-04-21	@ Astana	D 2-2	62.5	1371	1399	25.83%	25.96%	48.21%	-0.52	+1.0	8
2024-04-27	Astana	L 0-2	39.4	1327	1398	34.64%	26.49%	38.87%	-0.09	-20.7	4
2024-04-27	@ Turan	W 2-0	39.4	1398	1327	38.87%	26.49%	34.64%	+0.09	+20.7	10
2024-04-27	Kairat	W 1-0	44.9	1271	1382	29.43%	26.28%	44.29%	-0.33	+13.3	4
2024-04-27	@ Kaisar	L 0-1	44.9	1382	1271	44.29%	26.28%	29.43%	+0.33	-13.3	8
2024-04-27	Kyzylzhar	W 2-0	41.1	1311	1398	32.53%	26.44%	41.04%	-0.19	+23.5	7
2024-04-27	@ Atyrau	L 0-2	41.1	1398	1311	41.04%	26.44%	32.53%	+0.19	-23.5	8
2024-04-27	Zhenis	D 1-1	55.2	1372	1285	55.06%	25.00%	19.94%	+0.87	-2.3	9
2024-04-27	@ Tobol	D 1-1	55.2	1285	1372	19.94%	25.00%	55.06%	-0.87	+2.3	7
2024-04-28	Aktobe	W 2-1	54.4	1295	1463	22.92%	25.57%	51.50%	-0.68	+14.2	10
2024-04-28	@ Zhetysu	L 1-2	54.4	1463	1295	51.50%	25.57%	22.92%	+0.68	-14.2	10
2024-04-28	Ordabasy	D 1-1	56.5	1336	1435	30.90%	26.37%	42.73%	-0.26	+0.7	8
2024-04-28	@ Yelimay	D 1-1	56.5	1435	1336	42.73%	26.37%	30.90%	+0.26	-0.7	9
2024-05-04	Astana	D 1-1	58.9	1449	1419	48.42%	25.94%	25.63%	+0.53	-1.4	11
2024-05-04	@ Aktobe	D 1-1	58.9	1419	1449	25.63%	25.94%	48.42%	-0.53	+1.4	11
2024-05-04	Atyrau	W 1-0	39.7	1369	1335	48.90%	25.89%	25.21%	+0.55	+8.6	11
2024-05-04	@ Kairat	L 0-1	39.7	1335	1369	25.21%	25.89%	48.90%	-0.55	-8.6	7
2024-05-04	Turan	L 0-1	47.5	1374	1306	52.97%	25.36%	21.68%	+0.76	-15.4	8
2024-05-04	@ Kyzylzhar	W 1-0	47.5	1306	1374	21.68%	25.36%	52.97%	-0.76	+15.4	7
2024-05-04	Yelimay	L 1-2	48.9	1288	1337	37.71%	26.50%	35.79%	+0.04	-11.0	7
2024-05-04	@ Zhenis	W 2-1	48.9	1337	1288	35.79%	26.50%	37.71%	-0.04	+11.0	11
2024-05-04	Zhetysu	W 1-0	38.4	1369	1309	52.04%	25.50%	22.46%	+0.71	+7.8	12
2024-05-04	@ Tobol	L 0-1	38.4	1309	1369	22.46%	25.50%	52.04%	-0.71	-7.8	10
2024-05-05	Kaisar	D 0-0	48.8	1264	1285	41.78%	26.41%	31.81%	+0.22	-0.7	4
2024-05-05	@ Shakter Karagandy	D 0-0	48.8	1285	1264	31.81%	26.41%	41.78%	-0.22	+0.7	5
2024-05-11	Zhetysu	L 2-3	56.5	1322	1302	47.14%	26.07%	26.79%	+0.47	-12.5	7
2024-05-11	@ Turan	W 3-2	56.5	1302	1322	26.79%	26.07%	47.14%	-0.47	+12.5	13
2024-05-12	Aktobe	L 0-2	40.2	1359	1447	32.24%	26.43%	41.33%	-0.20	-19.6	8
2024-05-12	@ Kyzylzhar	W 2-0	40.2	1447	1359	41.33%	26.43%	32.24%	+0.20	+19.6	14
2024-05-12	Kairat	L 0-2	37.3	1276	1377	30.65%	26.36%	42.99%	-0.27	-18.9	7
2024-05-12	@ Zhenis	W 2-0	37.3	1377	1276	42.99%	26.36%	30.65%	+0.27	+18.9	14
2024-05-12	Kaisar	D 1-1	56.1	1420	1285	60.08%	23.89%	16.04%	+1.17	-3.0	12
2024-05-12	@ Astana	D 1-1	56.1	1285	1420	16.04%	23.89%	60.08%	-1.17	+3.0	6
2024-05-12	Shakter Karagandy	W 2-1	43.1	1348	1264	54.82%	25.04%	20.14%	+0.86	+6.7	14
2024-05-12	@ Yelimay	L 1-2	43.1	1264	1348	20.14%	25.04%	54.82%	-0.86	-6.7	4
2024-05-12	Tobol	W 1-0	40.8	1434	1377	51.71%	25.54%	22.75%	+0.69	+7.9	12
2024-05-12	@ Ordabasy	L 0-1	40.8	1377	1434	22.75%	25.54%	51.71%	-0.69	-7.9	12
2024-05-18	Astana	W 1-0	45.4	1326	1417	31.93%	26.41%	41.66%	-0.21	+12.6	10
2024-05-18	@ Atyrau	L 0-1	45.4	1417	1326	41.66%	26.41%	31.93%	+0.21	-12.6	12
2024-05-18	Ordabasy	D 0-0	55.0	1467	1442	47.76%	26.01%	26.23%	+0.50	-1.5	15
2024-05-18	@ Aktobe	D 0-0	55.0	1442	1467	26.23%	26.01%	47.76%	-0.50	+1.5	13
2024-05-18	Zhenis	W 1-0	38.5	1288	1258	48.51%	25.93%	25.55%	+0.53	+8.7	9
2024-05-18	@ Kaisar	L 0-1	38.5	1258	1288	25.55%	25.93%	48.51%	-0.53	-8.7	7
2024-05-19	Kairat	D 1-1	56.0	1355	1396	38.84%	26.49%	34.66%	+0.09	-0.2	15
2024-05-19	@ Yelimay	D 1-1	56.0	1396	1355	34.66%	26.49%	38.84%	-0.09	+0.2	15
2024-05-19	Kyzylzhar	D 0-0	49.5	1314	1339	41.16%	26.43%	32.41%	+0.19	-0.6	14
2024-05-19	@ Zhetysu	D 0-0	49.5	1339	1314	32.41%	26.43%	41.16%	-0.19	+0.6	9
2024-05-19	Tobol	W 1-0	44.8	1257	1369	29.18%	26.27%	44.55%	-0.34	+13.3	7
2024-05-19	@ Shakter Karagandy	L 0-1	44.8	1369	1257	44.55%	26.27%	29.18%	+0.34	-13.3	12
2024-06-01	Kaisar	L 1-2	53.1	1356	1297	51.93%	25.51%	22.56%	+0.71	-14.3	12
2024-06-01	@ Tobol	W 2-1	53.1	1297	1356	22.56%	25.51%	51.93%	-0.71	+14.3	12
2024-06-01	Zhetysu	W 3-1	39.7	1444	1314	59.62%	24.00%	16.38%	+1.14	+9.6	16
2024-06-01	@ Ordabasy	L 1-3	39.7	1314	1444	16.38%	24.00%	59.62%	-1.14	-9.6	14
2024-06-02	Aktobe	L 0-1	40.5	1309	1465	24.11%	25.75%	50.14%	-0.61	-8.3	7
2024-06-02	@ Turan	W 1-0	40.5	1465	1309	50.14%	25.75%	24.11%	+0.61	+8.3	18
2024-06-02	Atyrau	L 0-1	40.8	1249	1339	32.07%	26.42%	41.51%	-0.21	-10.4	7
2024-06-02	@ Zhenis	W 1-0	40.8	1339	1249	41.51%	26.42%	32.07%	+0.21	+10.4	13
2024-06-02	Shakter Karagandy	W 4-2	42.0	1396	1270	59.21%	24.11%	16.68%	+1.12	+8.7	18
2024-06-02	@ Kairat	L 2-4	42.0	1270	1396	16.68%	24.11%	59.21%	-1.12	-8.7	7
2024-06-02	Yelimay	D 1-1	55.2	1340	1354	42.57%	26.38%	31.06%	+0.25	-0.7	10
2024-06-02	@ Kyzylzhar	D 1-1	55.2	1354	1340	31.06%	26.38%	42.57%	-0.25	+0.7	16
2024-06-15	Atyrau	L 0-3	35.8	1262	1349	32.38%	26.43%	41.19%	-0.19	-28.6	7
2024-06-15	@ Shakter Karagandy	W 3-0	35.8	1349	1262	41.19%	26.43%	32.38%	+0.19	+28.6	16
2024-06-15	Kairat	W 1-0	44.3	1342	1405	35.72%	26.50%	37.77%	-0.04	+11.7	15
2024-06-15	@ Tobol	L 0-1	44.3	1405	1342	37.77%	26.50%	35.72%	+0.04	-11.7	18
2024-06-15	Turan	D 1-1	54.5	1311	1301	45.91%	26.17%	27.92%	+0.41	-1.1	13
2024-06-15	@ Kaisar	D 1-1	54.5	1301	1311	27.92%	26.17%	45.91%	-0.41	+1.1	8
2024-06-16	Aktobe	D 2-2	63.8	1355	1474	28.41%	26.21%	45.38%	-0.38	+0.8	17
2024-06-16	@ Yelimay	D 2-2	63.8	1474	1355	45.38%	26.21%	28.41%	+0.38	-0.8	19
2024-06-16	Ordabasy	L 0-1	46.8	1405	1453	37.81%	26.50%	35.68%	+0.05	-11.7	12
2024-06-16	@ Astana	W 1-0	46.8	1453	1405	35.68%	26.50%	37.81%	-0.05	+11.7	19
2024-06-16	Zhenis	D 2-2	60.3	1304	1239	52.69%	25.40%	21.91%	+0.75	-1.5	15
2024-06-16	@ Zhetysu	D 2-2	60.3	1239	1304	21.91%	25.40%	52.69%	-0.75	+1.5	8
2024-06-22	Astana	L 0-1	43.8	1339	1393	37.08%	26.51%	36.41%	+0.01	-11.6	10
2024-06-22	@ Kyzylzhar	W 1-0	43.8	1393	1339	36.41%	26.51%	37.08%	-0.01	+11.6	15
2024-06-22	Kaisar	L 1-2	50.5	1303	1310	43.52%	26.33%	30.16%	+0.30	-12.3	15
2024-06-22	@ Zhetysu	W 2-1	50.5	1310	1303	30.16%	26.33%	43.52%	-0.30	+12.3	16
2024-06-23	Ordabasy	L 1-3	39.4	1240	1465	17.72%	24.43%	57.85%	-1.03	-10.3	8
2024-06-23	@ Zhenis	W 3-1	39.4	1465	1240	57.85%	24.43%	17.72%	+1.03	+10.3	22
2024-06-23	Shakter Karagandy	W 1-0	33.6	1473	1233	69.26%	20.75%	9.98%	+1.81	+3.5	22
2024-06-23	@ Aktobe	L 0-1	33.6	1233	1473	9.98%	20.75%	69.26%	-1.81	-3.5	7
2024-06-23	Tobol	D 0-0	50.6	1378	1353	47.70%	26.01%	26.29%	+0.49	-1.5	17
2024-06-23	@ Atyrau	D 0-0	50.6	1353	1378	26.29%	26.01%	47.70%	-0.49	+1.5	16
2024-06-23	Yelimay	D 2-2	60.8	1302	1356	37.08%	26.51%	36.41%	+0.01	-0.0	9
2024-06-23	@ Turan	D 2-2	60.8	1356	1302	36.41%	26.51%	37.08%	-0.01	+0.0	18
2024-06-29	Kairat	L 1-3	50.0	1404	1393	45.99%	26.16%	27.84%	+0.41	-22.3	15
2024-06-29	@ Astana	W 3-1	50.0	1393	1404	27.84%	26.16%	45.99%	-0.41	+22.3	21
2024-06-29	Kaisar	W 2-1	43.6	1475	1323	61.81%	23.41%	14.78%	+1.28	+5.0	25
2024-06-29	@ Ordabasy	L 1-2	43.6	1323	1475	14.78%	23.41%	61.81%	-1.28	-5.0	16
2024-06-29	Shakter Karagandy	W 2-0	32.6	1327	1229	56.31%	24.76%	18.94%	+0.94	+12.6	13
2024-06-29	@ Kyzylzhar	L 0-2	32.6	1229	1327	18.94%	24.76%	56.31%	-0.94	-12.6	7
2024-06-30	Tobol	L 3-4	64.8	1476	1355	58.76%	24.22%	17.03%	+1.09	-14.7	22
2024-06-30	@ Aktobe	W 4-3	64.8	1355	1476	17.03%	24.22%	58.76%	-1.09	+14.8	19
2024-06-30	Zhetysu	D 1-1	55.0	1356	1290	52.71%	25.40%	21.89%	+0.75	-2.0	19
2024-06-30	@ Yelimay	D 1-1	55.0	1290	1356	21.89%	25.40%	52.71%	-0.75	+2.0	16
2024-07-01	Atyrau	W 2-1	49.9	1302	1376	34.19%	26.48%	39.33%	-0.11	+11.4	12
2024-07-01	@ Turan	L 1-2	49.9	1376	1302	39.33%	26.48%	34.19%	+0.11	-11.4	17
2024-07-13	Yelimay	W 2-1	48.2	1318	1354	39.56%	26.48%	33.96%	+0.12	+10.2	19
2024-07-13	@ Kaisar	L 1-2	48.2	1354	1318	33.96%	26.48%	39.56%	-0.12	-10.2	19
2024-07-13	Zhetysu	D 0-0	48.6	1217	1292	34.04%	26.48%	39.48%	-0.12	+0.4	8
2024-07-13	@ Shakter Karagandy	D 0-0	48.6	1292	1217	39.48%	26.48%	34.04%	+0.12	-0.4	17
2024-07-14	Zhenis	D 1-1	55.9	1416	1230	64.81%	22.46%	12.73%	+1.48	-3.6	22
2024-07-14	@ Kairat	D 1-1	55.9	1230	1416	12.73%	22.46%	64.81%	-1.48	+3.6	9
2024-07-27	Kairat	L 0-3	31.9	1217	1412	20.30%	25.08%	54.63%	-0.85	-19.5	8
2024-07-27	@ Shakter Karagandy	W 3-0	31.9	1412	1217	54.63%	25.08%	20.30%	+0.85	+19.5	25
2024-07-27	Zhenis	W 1-0	35.9	1344	1233	57.62%	24.48%	17.90%	+1.02	+6.4	22
2024-07-27	@ Yelimay	L 0-1	35.9	1233	1344	17.90%	24.48%	57.62%	-1.02	-6.4	9
2024-07-28	Kyzylzhar	W 2-0	34.9	1462	1340	58.77%	24.21%	17.01%	+1.09	+11.5	25
2024-07-28	@ Aktobe	L 0-2	34.9	1340	1462	17.01%	24.21%	58.77%	-1.09	-11.4	13
2024-07-28	Ordabasy	D 1-1	56.8	1292	1480	20.89%	25.20%	53.90%	-0.81	+2.2	18
2024-07-28	@ Zhetysu	D 1-1	56.8	1480	1292	53.90%	25.20%	20.89%	+0.81	-2.2	26
2024-08-03	Kaisar	D 2-2	61.3	1365	1328	49.30%	25.85%	24.85%	+0.57	-1.2	18
2024-08-03	@ Atyrau	D 2-2	61.3	1328	1365	24.85%	25.85%	49.30%	-0.57	+1.2	20
2024-08-03	Yelimay	W 4-1	38.9	1432	1350	54.51%	25.10%	20.39%	+0.84	+16.5	28
2024-08-03	@ Kairat	L 1-4	38.9	1350	1432	20.39%	25.10%	54.51%	-0.84	-16.5	22
2024-08-03	Zhetysu	W 2-1	44.9	1329	1294	48.99%	25.88%	25.13%	+0.56	+8.1	16
2024-08-03	@ Kyzylzhar	L 1-2	44.9	1294	1329	25.13%	25.88%	48.99%	-0.56	-8.1	18
2024-08-04	Aktobe	L 1-2	42.4	1227	1473	16.10%	23.91%	59.99%	-1.16	-5.4	9
2024-08-04	@ Zhenis	W 2-1	42.4	1473	1227	59.99%	23.91%	16.10%	+1.16	+5.4	28
2024-08-04	Turan	W 2-1	44.4	1382	1313	53.05%	25.34%	21.60%	+0.77	+7.1	18
2024-08-04	@ Astana	L 1-2	44.4	1313	1382	21.60%	25.34%	53.05%	-0.77	-7.1	12
2024-08-11	Aktobe	D 1-1	58.1	1364	1479	28.87%	26.24%	44.88%	-0.36	+1.0	19
2024-08-11	@ Atyrau	D 1-1	58.1	1479	1364	44.88%	26.24%	28.87%	+0.36	-1.0	29
2024-08-11	Kyzylzhar	L 1-2	52.9	1370	1337	48.79%	25.90%	25.31%	+0.55	-13.5	19
2024-08-11	@ Tobol	W 2-1	52.9	1337	1370	25.31%	25.90%	48.79%	-0.55	+13.5	19
2024-08-17	Kairat	L 0-1	43.2	1350	1448	31.02%	26.37%	42.60%	-0.26	-10.1	19
2024-08-17	@ Kyzylzhar	W 1-0	43.2	1448	1350	42.60%	26.37%	31.02%	+0.26	+10.1	31
2024-08-17	Turan	W 6-0	35.5	1334	1306	48.07%	25.98%	25.95%	+0.51	+46.0	25
2024-08-17	@ Yelimay	L 0-6	35.5	1306	1334	25.95%	25.98%	48.07%	-0.51	-46.0	12
2024-08-18	Kaisar	D 1-1	58.1	1478	1329	61.42%	23.52%	15.06%	+1.26	-3.1	30
2024-08-18	@ Aktobe	D 1-1	58.1	1329	1478	15.06%	23.52%	61.42%	-1.26	+3.1	21
2024-08-18	Ordabasy	L 2-3	46.0	1198	1478	13.79%	22.98%	63.23%	-1.37	-4.4	8
2024-08-18	@ Shakter Karagandy	W 3-2	46.0	1478	1198	63.23%	22.98%	13.79%	+1.37	+4.4	29
2024-08-18	Tobol	L 0-3	36.7	1286	1356	34.75%	26.49%	38.76%	-0.09	-30.2	18
2024-08-18	@ Zhetysu	W 3-0	36.7	1356	1286	38.76%	26.49%	34.75%	+0.09	+30.2	22
2024-08-24	Kyzylzhar	W 2-1	45.8	1380	1340	49.58%	25.82%	24.61%	+0.59	+7.9	28
2024-08-24	@ Yelimay	L 1-2	45.8	1340	1380	24.61%	25.82%	49.58%	-0.59	-7.9	19
2024-08-24	Shakter Karagandy	W 1-0	34.0	1365	1193	63.53%	22.88%	13.59%	+1.40	+4.9	22
2024-08-24	@ Atyrau	L 0-1	34.0	1193	1365	13.59%	22.88%	63.53%	-1.40	-4.9	8
2024-08-24	Zhetysu	D 0-0	49.4	1332	1256	53.92%	25.20%	20.88%	+0.81	-2.4	22
2024-08-24	@ Kaisar	D 0-0	49.4	1256	1332	20.88%	25.20%	53.92%	-0.81	+2.4	19
2024-08-25	Aktobe	D 1-1	61.9	1483	1474	45.61%	26.19%	28.20%	+0.39	-1.1	30
2024-08-25	@ Ordabasy	D 1-1	61.9	1474	1483	28.20%	26.19%	45.61%	-0.39	+1.1	31
2024-08-25	Tobol	D 2-2	64.5	1458	1386	53.42%	25.28%	21.29%	+0.78	-1.6	32
2024-08-25	@ Kairat	D 2-2	64.5	1386	1458	21.29%	25.28%	53.42%	-0.78	+1.6	23
2024-08-31	Atyrau	D 1-1	56.3	1388	1370	46.93%	26.09%	26.98%	+0.46	-1.2	24
2024-08-31	@ Tobol	D 1-1	56.3	1370	1388	26.98%	26.09%	46.93%	-0.46	+1.2	23
2024-08-31	Ordabasy	W 2-1	55.0	1330	1481	24.59%	25.81%	49.59%	-0.59	+13.7	25
2024-08-31	@ Kaisar	L 1-2	55.0	1481	1330	49.59%	25.81%	24.59%	+0.59	-13.7	30
2024-08-31	Yelimay	L 1-3	54.1	1476	1387	55.24%	24.97%	19.80%	+0.88	-26.1	31
2024-08-31	@ Aktobe	W 3-1	54.1	1387	1476	19.80%	24.97%	55.24%	-0.88	+26.1	31
2024-09-01	Astana	L 0-1	50.7	1457	1389	52.92%	25.36%	21.71%	+0.76	-15.4	32
2024-09-01	@ Kairat	W 1-0	50.7	1389	1457	21.71%	25.36%	52.92%	-0.76	+15.4	21
2024-09-01	Turan	D 0-0	48.7	1258	1260	44.25%	26.28%	29.46%	+0.33	-1.0	20
2024-09-01	@ Zhetysu	D 0-0	48.7	1260	1258	29.46%	26.28%	44.25%	-0.33	+1.0	13
2024-09-01	Zhenis	D 0-0	48.4	1188	1222	40.02%	26.47%	33.52%	+0.14	-0.4	9
2024-09-01	@ Shakter Karagandy	D 0-0	48.4	1222	1188	33.52%	26.47%	40.02%	-0.14	+0.4	10
2024-09-14	Kaisar	W 1-0	44.7	1222	1343	28.08%	26.18%	45.74%	-0.40	+13.6	13
2024-09-14	@ Zhenis	L 0-1	44.7	1343	1222	45.74%	26.18%	28.08%	+0.40	-13.6	25
2024-09-14	Kyzylzhar	W 2-1	44.9	1405	1332	53.48%	25.27%	21.25%	+0.79	+7.0	24
2024-09-14	@ Astana	L 1-2	44.9	1332	1405	21.25%	25.27%	53.48%	-0.79	-7.0	19
2024-09-14	Shakter Karagandy	W 2-1	42.7	1261	1188	53.60%	25.25%	21.15%	+0.79	+7.0	16
2024-09-14	@ Turan	L 1-2	42.7	1188	1261	21.15%	25.25%	53.60%	-0.79	-7.0	9
2024-09-15	Atyrau	W 1-0	40.1	1468	1371	56.19%	24.78%	19.03%	+0.94	+6.7	33
2024-09-15	@ Ordabasy	L 0-1	40.1	1371	1468	19.03%	24.78%	56.19%	-0.94	-6.7	23
2024-09-15	Tobol	W 2-1	47.7	1414	1387	48.03%	25.98%	25.99%	+0.51	+8.3	34
2024-09-15	@ Yelimay	L 1-2	47.7	1387	1414	25.99%	25.98%	48.03%	-0.51	-8.3	24
2024-09-15	Zhetysu	W 3-0	29.5	1449	1257	65.36%	22.27%	12.37%	+1.52	+12.1	34
2024-09-15	@ Aktobe	L 0-3	29.5	1257	1449	12.37%	22.27%	65.36%	-1.52	-12.1	20
2024-09-18	Astana	L 0-1	42.8	1330	1412	33.16%	26.46%	40.38%	-0.16	-10.6	25
2024-09-18	@ Kaisar	W 1-0	42.8	1412	1330	40.38%	26.46%	33.16%	+0.16	+10.6	27
2024-09-21	Kaisar	W 1-0	37.6	1441	1319	58.82%	24.20%	16.98%	+1.09	+6.0	35
2024-09-21	@ Kairat	L 0-1	37.6	1319	1441	16.98%	24.20%	58.82%	-1.09	-6.1	25
2024-09-21	Zhenis	W 2-1	41.6	1364	1236	59.46%	24.04%	16.49%	+1.13	+5.6	26
2024-09-21	@ Atyrau	L 1-2	41.6	1236	1364	16.49%	24.04%	59.46%	-1.13	-5.5	13
2024-09-22	Aktobe	W 3-0	41.8	1378	1462	32.97%	26.45%	40.58%	-0.17	+33.9	27
2024-09-22	@ Tobol	L 0-3	41.8	1462	1378	40.58%	26.45%	32.97%	+0.17	-33.9	34
2024-09-22	Astana	L 2-4	57.6	1474	1422	51.14%	25.62%	23.24%	+0.66	-21.8	33
2024-09-22	@ Ordabasy	W 4-2	57.6	1422	1474	23.24%	25.62%	51.14%	-0.66	+21.8	30
2024-09-22	Kyzylzhar	W 1-0	42.3	1268	1325	36.64%	26.51%	36.85%	+0.00	+11.5	19
2024-09-22	@ Turan	L 0-1	42.3	1325	1268	36.85%	26.51%	36.64%	+0.00	-11.5	19
2024-09-22	Yelimay	L 1-2	41.6	1181	1422	16.49%	24.04%	59.46%	-1.13	-5.5	9
2024-09-22	@ Shakter Karagandy	W 2-1	41.6	1422	1181	59.46%	24.04%	16.49%	+1.13	+5.6	37
2024-09-27	Turan	W 2-0	32.1	1453	1280	63.65%	22.85%	13.50%	+1.40	+9.1	36
2024-09-27	@ Ordabasy	L 0-2	32.1	1280	1453	13.50%	22.85%	63.65%	-1.40	-9.1	19
2024-09-28	Shakter Karagandy	W 1-0	32.5	1412	1175	69.02%	20.86%	10.12%	+1.80	+3.6	30
2024-09-28	@ Tobol	L 0-1	32.5	1175	1412	10.12%	20.86%	69.02%	-1.80	-3.6	9
2024-09-29	Astana	D 1-1	55.5	1230	1444	18.62%	24.68%	56.70%	-0.97	+2.5	14
2024-09-29	@ Zhenis	D 1-1	55.5	1444	1230	56.70%	24.68%	18.62%	+0.97	-2.5	31
2024-10-03	Ordabasy	L 0-1	40.8	1314	1462	25.00%	25.87%	49.13%	-0.56	-8.5	19
2024-10-03	@ Kyzylzhar	W 1-0	40.8	1462	1314	49.13%	25.87%	25.00%	+0.56	+8.5	39
2024-10-03	Yelimay	W 2-0	44.0	1245	1427	21.47%	25.32%	53.21%	-0.77	+29.2	23
2024-10-03	@ Zhetysu	L 0-2	44.0	1427	1245	53.21%	25.32%	21.47%	+0.77	-29.2	37
2024-10-04	Kairat	W 2-1	51.6	1428	1447	41.89%	26.41%	31.71%	+0.22	+9.7	37
2024-10-04	@ Aktobe	L 1-2	51.6	1447	1428	31.71%	26.41%	41.89%	-0.22	-9.7	35
2024-10-04	Tobol	W 2-1	53.4	1233	1416	21.38%	25.30%	53.32%	-0.78	+14.6	17
2024-10-04	@ Zhenis	L 1-2	53.4	1416	1233	53.32%	25.30%	21.38%	+0.78	-14.6	30
2024-10-04	Turan	W 3-0	31.4	1370	1271	56.41%	24.74%	18.85%	+0.95	+18.3	29
2024-10-04	@ Atyrau	L 0-3	31.4	1271	1370	18.85%	24.74%	56.41%	-0.95	-18.3	19
2024-10-16	Shakter Karagandy	W 3-0	26.7	1442	1172	71.51%	19.76%	8.74%	+2.00	+8.3	34
2024-10-16	@ Astana	L 0-3	26.7	1172	1442	8.74%	19.76%	71.51%	-2.00	-8.4	9
2024-10-19	Ordabasy	W 1-0	47.4	1401	1470	34.91%	26.49%	38.59%	-0.08	+11.9	33
2024-10-19	@ Tobol	L 0-1	47.4	1470	1401	38.59%	26.49%	34.91%	+0.08	-11.9	39
2024-10-19	Turan	W 5-1	32.9	1438	1252	64.75%	22.48%	12.77%	+1.48	+13.7	38
2024-10-19	@ Kairat	L 1-5	32.9	1252	1438	12.77%	22.48%	64.75%	-1.48	-13.7	19
2024-10-19	Zhetysu	W 1-0	40.7	1247	1274	40.87%	26.44%	32.69%	+0.18	+10.5	20
2024-10-19	@ Zhenis	L 0-1	40.7	1274	1247	32.69%	26.44%	40.87%	-0.18	-10.5	23
2024-10-20	Astana	L 0-3	41.1	1398	1450	37.39%	26.51%	36.10%	+0.03	-31.9	37
2024-10-20	@ Yelimay	W 3-0	41.1	1450	1398	36.10%	26.51%	37.39%	-0.03	+31.9	37
2024-10-20	Atyrau	W 3-2	55.3	1305	1388	33.03%	26.45%	40.52%	-0.16	+11.0	22
2024-10-20	@ Kyzylzhar	L 2-3	55.3	1388	1305	40.52%	26.45%	33.03%	+0.16	-11.1	29
2024-10-20	Shakter Karagandy	W 5-1	32.5	1313	1163	61.51%	23.50%	15.00%	+1.26	+16.0	28
2024-10-20	@ Kaisar	L 1-5	32.5	1163	1313	15.00%	23.50%	61.51%	-1.26	-16.0	9
2024-10-23	Tobol	L 0-2	34.5	1239	1413	22.25%	25.46%	52.29%	-0.72	-14.6	19
2024-10-23	@ Turan	W 2-0	34.5	1413	1239	52.29%	25.46%	22.25%	+0.72	+14.6	36
2024-10-26	Kairat	L 1-2	44.5	1264	1451	20.97%	25.22%	53.81%	-0.81	-6.9	23
2024-10-26	@ Zhetysu	W 2-1	44.5	1451	1264	53.81%	25.22%	20.97%	+0.81	+6.9	41
2024-10-26	Yelimay	W 1-0	41.2	1377	1366	45.93%	26.17%	27.90%	+0.41	+9.3	32
2024-10-26	@ Atyrau	L 0-1	41.2	1366	1377	27.90%	26.17%	45.93%	-0.41	-9.3	37
2024-10-26	Zhenis	L 1-2	57.1	1458	1258	66.08%	22.01%	11.91%	+1.57	-17.6	39
2024-10-26	@ Ordabasy	W 2-1	57.1	1258	1458	11.91%	22.01%	66.08%	-1.57	+17.6	23
2024-10-27	Aktobe	W 2-0	40.8	1482	1437	50.18%	25.74%	24.08%	+0.62	+15.5	40
2024-10-27	@ Astana	L 0-2	40.8	1437	1482	24.08%	25.74%	50.18%	-0.62	-15.6	37
2024-10-27	Kaisar	L 0-1	40.0	1224	1329	30.12%	26.33%	43.55%	-0.30	-9.9	19
2024-10-27	@ Turan	W 1-0	40.0	1329	1224	43.55%	26.33%	30.12%	+0.30	+9.9	31
2024-10-27	Kyzylzhar	D 1-1	54.0	1147	1316	22.81%	25.55%	51.64%	-0.69	+1.8	10
2024-10-27	@ Shakter Karagandy	D 1-1	54.0	1316	1147	51.64%	25.55%	22.81%	+0.69	-1.9	23
2024-10-30	Atyrau	W 3-2	52.0	1497	1386	57.69%	24.46%	17.85%	+1.02	+5.7	43
2024-10-30	@ Astana	L 2-3	52.0	1386	1497	17.85%	24.46%	57.69%	-1.02	-5.7	32
2024-11-02	Kaisar	W 6-2	40.8	1314	1339	41.21%	26.43%	32.36%	+0.19	+26.4	26
2024-11-02	@ Kyzylzhar	L 2-6	40.8	1339	1314	32.36%	26.43%	41.21%	-0.19	-26.4	31
2024-11-02	Ordabasy	W 2-1	50.8	1458	1441	46.82%	26.09%	27.08%	+0.45	+8.6	44
2024-11-02	@ Kairat	L 1-2	50.8	1441	1458	27.08%	26.09%	46.82%	-0.45	-8.6	39
2024-11-03	Aktobe	L 1-3	36.8	1149	1422	14.29%	23.20%	62.50%	-1.33	-8.4	10
2024-11-03	@ Shakter Karagandy	W 3-1	36.8	1422	1149	62.50%	23.20%	14.29%	+1.33	+8.4	40
2024-11-03	Astana	W 1-0	49.6	1428	1503	34.05%	26.48%	39.47%	-0.12	+12.1	39
2024-11-03	@ Tobol	L 0-1	49.6	1503	1428	39.47%	26.48%	34.05%	+0.12	-12.1	43
2024-11-03	Atyrau	L 0-2	36.3	1257	1381	27.80%	26.16%	46.05%	-0.41	-17.5	23
2024-11-03	@ Zhetysu	W 2-0	36.3	1381	1257	46.05%	26.16%	27.80%	+0.41	+17.5	35
2024-11-03	Zhenis	D 1-1	53.8	1214	1275	36.06%	26.51%	37.44%	-0.03	+0.1	20
2024-11-03	@ Turan	D 1-1	53.8	1275	1214	37.44%	26.51%	36.06%	+0.03	-0.1	24
2024-11-10	Kairat	L 0-1	46.1	1398	1467	34.95%	26.50%	38.55%	-0.08	-11.1	35
2024-11-10	@ Atyrau	W 1-0	46.1	1467	1398	38.55%	26.50%	34.95%	+0.08	+11.1	47
2024-11-10	Kyzylzhar	L 0-1	42.0	1275	1341	35.40%	26.50%	38.10%	-0.06	-11.2	24
2024-11-10	@ Zhenis	W 1-0	42.0	1341	1275	38.10%	26.50%	35.40%	+0.06	+11.2	29
2024-11-10	Tobol	W 2-0	43.3	1313	1440	27.38%	26.12%	46.49%	-0.44	+26.0	34
2024-11-10	@ Kaisar	L 0-2	43.3	1440	1313	46.49%	26.12%	27.38%	+0.44	-26.0	39
2024-11-10	Turan	W 2-0	29.9	1430	1214	67.34%	21.54%	11.13%	+1.67	+7.5	43
2024-11-10	@ Aktobe	L 0-2	29.9	1214	1430	11.13%	21.54%	67.34%	-1.67	-7.5	20
2024-11-10	Yelimay	W 2-1	45.8	1432	1357	53.79%	25.22%	20.99%	+0.80	+6.9	42
2024-11-10	@ Ordabasy	L 1-2	45.8	1357	1432	20.99%	25.22%	53.79%	-0.80	-6.9	37
2024-11-10	Zhetysu	W 5-0	29.2	1491	1239	70.16%	20.37%	9.48%	+1.89	+14.7	46
2024-11-10	@ Astana	L 0-5	29.2	1239	1491	9.48%	20.37%	70.16%	-1.89	-14.7	23

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2024-10-26	11.91%	Zhenis	1258	2	@ Ordabasy	1458	1
2	2024-06-30	17.03%	Tobol	1355	4	@ Aktobe	1476	3
3	2024-03-31	17.20%	Yelimay	1311	1	@ Astana	1431	0
4	2024-08-31	19.80%	Yelimay	1387	3	@ Aktobe	1476	1
5	2024-10-04	21.38%	@ Zhenis	1233	2	Tobol	1416	1
6	2024-10-03	21.47%	@ Zhetysu	1245	2	Yelimay	1427	0
7	2024-05-04	21.68%	Turan	1306	1	@ Kyzylzhar	1374	0
8	2024-09-01	21.71%	Astana	1389	1	@ Kairat	1457	0
9	2024-06-01	22.56%	Kaisar	1297	2	@ Tobol	1356	1
10	2024-04-28	22.92%	@ Zhetysu	1295	2	Aktobe	1463	1
11	2024-03-30	22.96%	Zhetysu	1268	1	@ Atyrau	1323	0
12	2024-09-22	23.24%	Astana	1422	4	@ Ordabasy	1474	2
13	2024-03-31	23.55%	Kairat	1391	2	@ Ordabasy	1440	1
14	2024-04-07	24.27%	@ Shakter Karagandy	1259	1	Astana	1414	0
15	2024-08-31	24.59%	@ Kaisar	1330	2	Ordabasy	1481	1
16	2024-08-11	25.31%	Kyzylzhar	1337	2	@ Tobol	1370	1
17	2024-05-11	26.79%	Zhetysu	1302	3	@ Turan	1322	2
18	2024-11-10	27.38%	@ Kaisar	1313	2	Tobol	1440	0
19	2024-06-29	27.84%	Kairat	1393	3	@ Astana	1404	1
20	2024-09-14	28.08%	@ Zhenis	1222	1	Kaisar	1343	0
21	2024-05-19	29.18%	@ Shakter Karagandy	1257	1	Tobol	1369	0
22	2024-04-27	29.43%	@ Kaisar	1271	1	Kairat	1382	0
23	2024-06-22	30.16%	Kaisar	1310	2	@ Zhetysu	1303	1
24	2024-03-06	31.91%	Kyzylzhar	1336	3	@ Kaisar	1314	0
25	2024-05-18	31.93%	@ Atyrau	1326	1	Astana	1417	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-08-17	45.97	@ Yelimay	6	1334	48.07%	Turan	0	1306	25.95%	25.98%
2	2024-03-06	34.60	Kyzylzhar	3	1336	31.91%	@ Kaisar	0	1314	41.68%	26.41%
3	2024-09-22	33.89	@ Tobol	3	1378	32.97%	Aktobe	0	1462	40.58%	26.45%
4	2024-10-20	31.86	Astana	3	1450	36.10%	@ Yelimay	0	1398	37.39%	26.51%
5	2024-03-02	30.56	@ Ordabasy	5	1410	55.39%	Shakter Karagandy	0	1321	19.67%	24.94%
6	2024-08-18	30.18	Tobol	3	1356	38.76%	@ Zhetysu	0	1286	34.75%	26.49%
7	2024-10-03	29.19	@ Zhetysu	2	1245	21.47%	Yelimay	0	1427	53.21%	25.32%
8	2024-06-15	28.61	Atyrau	3	1349	41.19%	@ Shakter Karagandy	0	1262	32.38%	26.43%
9	2024-04-06	26.90	@ Kyzylzhar	4	1369	53.08%	Zhenis	0	1300	21.58%	25.34%
10	2024-11-02	26.42	@ Kyzylzhar	6	1314	41.21%	Kaisar	2	1339	32.36%	26.43%
11	2024-08-31	26.12	Yelimay	3	1387	19.80%	@ Aktobe	1	1476	55.24%	24.97%
12	2024-11-10	26.02	@ Kaisar	2	1313	27.38%	Tobol	0	1440	46.49%	26.12%
13	2024-04-27	23.54	@ Atyrau	2	1311	32.53%	Kyzylzhar	0	1398	41.04%	26.44%
14	2024-06-29	22.34	Kairat	3	1393	27.84%	@ Astana	1	1404	45.99%	26.16%
15	2024-03-30	22.28	Turan	2	1327	35.31%	@ Shakter Karagandy	0	1281	38.19%	26.50%
16	2024-09-22	21.84	Astana	4	1422	23.24%	@ Ordabasy	2	1474	51.14%	25.62%
17	2024-04-27	20.73	Astana	2	1398	38.87%	@ Turan	0	1327	34.64%	26.49%
18	2024-05-12	19.64	Aktobe	2	1447	41.33%	@ Kyzylzhar	0	1359	32.24%	26.43%
19	2024-04-20	19.52	Aktobe	3	1443	34.75%	@ Kairat	1	1401	38.76%	26.49%
20	2024-07-27	19.52	Kairat	3	1412	54.63%	@ Shakter Karagandy	0	1217	20.30%	25.08%
21	2024-05-12	18.89	Kairat	2	1377	42.99%	@ Zhenis	0	1276	30.65%	26.36%
22	2024-03-02	18.63	@ Tobol	2	1338	43.56%	Turan	0	1346	30.11%	26.33%
23	2024-10-04	18.27	@ Atyrau	3	1370	56.41%	Turan	0	1271	18.85%	24.74%
24	2024-10-26	17.63	Zhenis	2	1258	11.91%	@ Ordabasy	1	1458	66.08%	22.01%
25	2024-11-03	17.49	Atyrau	2	1381	46.05%	@ Zhetysu	0	1257	27.80%	26.16%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-06-30	64.8	Tobol	4	1355	17.03%	@ Aktobe	3	1476	58.76%	24.22%
2	2024-08-25	64.5	@ Kairat	2	1458	53.42%	Tobol	2	1386	21.29%	25.28%
3	2024-06-16	63.8	@ Yelimay	2	1355	28.41%	Aktobe	2	1474	45.38%	26.21%
4	2024-04-21	62.5	@ Astana	2	1399	48.21%	Tobol	2	1371	25.83%	25.96%
5	2024-08-25	61.9	@ Ordabasy	1	1483	45.61%	Aktobe	1	1474	28.20%	26.19%
6	2024-08-03	61.3	@ Atyrau	2	1365	49.30%	Kaisar	2	1328	24.85%	25.85%
7	2024-06-23	60.8	@ Turan	2	1302	37.08%	Yelimay	2	1356	36.41%	26.51%
8	2024-06-16	60.3	@ Zhetysu	2	1304	52.69%	Zhenis	2	1239	21.91%	25.40%
9	2024-05-04	58.9	@ Aktobe	1	1449	48.42%	Astana	1	1419	25.63%	25.94%
10	2024-08-11	58.1	@ Atyrau	1	1364	28.87%	Aktobe	1	1479	44.88%	26.24%
11	2024-08-18	58.1	@ Aktobe	1	1478	61.42%	Kaisar	1	1329	15.06%	23.52%
12	2024-04-20	58.0	@ Ordabasy	1	1437	49.72%	Kyzylzhar	1	1396	24.48%	25.80%
13	2024-09-22	57.6	Astana	4	1422	23.24%	@ Ordabasy	2	1474	51.14%	25.62%
14	2024-10-26	57.1	Zhenis	2	1258	11.91%	@ Ordabasy	1	1458	66.08%	22.01%
15	2024-04-07	56.9	@ Aktobe	1	1446	60.45%	Atyrau	1	1308	15.76%	23.79%
16	2024-07-28	56.8	@ Zhetysu	1	1292	20.89%	Ordabasy	1	1480	53.90%	25.20%
17	2024-04-28	56.5	@ Yelimay	1	1336	30.90%	Ordabasy	1	1435	42.73%	26.37%
18	2024-05-11	56.5	Zhetysu	3	1302	26.79%	@ Turan	2	1322	47.14%	26.07%
19	2024-03-06	56.3	@ Atyrau	1	1322	28.37%	Ordabasy	1	1441	45.43%	26.21%
20	2024-08-31	56.3	@ Tobol	1	1388	46.93%	Atyrau	1	1370	26.98%	26.09%
21	2024-05-12	56.1	@ Astana	1	1420	60.08%	Kaisar	1	1285	16.04%	23.89%
22	2024-05-19	56.0	@ Yelimay	1	1355	38.84%	Kairat	1	1396	34.66%	26.49%
23	2024-07-14	55.9	@ Kairat	1	1416	64.81%	Zhenis	1	1230	12.73%	22.46%
24	2024-03-31	55.8	Kairat	2	1391	23.55%	@ Ordabasy	1	1440	50.78%	25.67%
25	2024-09-29	55.5	@ Zhenis	1	1230	18.62%	Astana	1	1444	56.70%	24.68%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2024-10-16	26.7	@ Astana	3	1442	71.51%	Shakter Karagandy	0	1172	8.74%	19.76%
2	2024-11-10	29.2	@ Astana	5	1491	70.16%	Zhetysu	0	1239	9.48%	20.37%
3	2024-09-15	29.5	@ Aktobe	3	1449	65.36%	Zhetysu	0	1257	12.37%	22.27%
4	2024-11-10	29.9	@ Aktobe	2	1430	67.34%	Turan	0	1214	11.13%	21.54%
5	2024-10-04	31.4	@ Atyrau	3	1370	56.41%	Turan	0	1271	18.85%	24.74%
6	2024-07-27	31.9	Kairat	3	1412	54.63%	@ Shakter Karagandy	0	1217	20.30%	25.08%
7	2024-09-27	32.1	@ Ordabasy	2	1453	63.65%	Turan	0	1280	13.50%	22.85%
8	2024-03-31	32.4	@ Aktobe	3	1429	57.73%	Zhenis	0	1318	17.82%	24.45%
9	2024-09-28	32.5	@ Tobol	1	1412	69.02%	Shakter Karagandy	0	1175	10.12%	20.86%
10	2024-10-20	32.5	@ Kaisar	5	1313	61.51%	Shakter Karagandy	1	1163	15.00%	23.50%
11	2024-06-29	32.6	@ Kyzylzhar	2	1327	56.31%	Shakter Karagandy	0	1229	18.94%	24.76%
12	2024-04-06	32.7	@ Kyzylzhar	4	1369	53.08%	Zhenis	0	1300	21.58%	25.34%
13	2024-10-19	32.9	@ Kairat	5	1438	64.75%	Turan	1	1252	12.77%	22.48%
14	2024-03-02	33.6	@ Ordabasy	5	1410	55.39%	Shakter Karagandy	0	1321	19.67%	24.94%
15	2024-06-23	33.6	@ Aktobe	1	1473	69.26%	Shakter Karagandy	0	1233	9.98%	20.75%
16	2024-08-24	34.0	@ Atyrau	1	1365	63.53%	Shakter Karagandy	0	1193	13.59%	22.88%
17	2024-10-23	34.5	Tobol	2	1413	52.29%	@ Turan	0	1239	22.25%	25.46%
18	2024-03-01	34.8	@ Astana	2	1400	54.03%	Zhenis	0	1322	20.79%	25.18%
19	2024-07-28	34.9	@ Aktobe	2	1462	58.77%	Kyzylzhar	0	1340	17.01%	24.21%
20	2024-08-17	35.5	@ Yelimay	6	1334	48.07%	Turan	0	1306	25.95%	25.98%
21	2024-06-15	35.8	Atyrau	3	1349	41.19%	@ Shakter Karagandy	0	1262	32.38%	26.43%
22	2024-07-27	35.9	@ Yelimay	1	1344	57.62%	Zhenis	0	1233	17.90%	24.48%
23	2024-11-03	36.3	Atyrau	2	1381	46.05%	@ Zhetysu	0	1257	27.80%	26.16%
24	2024-03-05	36.7	Astana	2	1413	46.62%	@ Zhetysu	0	1285	27.27%	26.11%
25	2024-08-18	36.7	Tobol	3	1356	38.76%	@ Zhetysu	0	1286	34.75%	26.49%