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1994 Virsliga Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Skonto

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Skonto

6.92 points above expected

42 points · 35.08 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Kimikis Daugavpils

5.69 points below expected

8 points · 13.69 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Skonto 22 20 2 0 42 76 9 +67 35.08 +6.92
2 Jelgava 22 13 7 2 33 38 11 +27 30.62 +2.38
3 DAG Riga 22 11 7 4 29 34 16 +18 22.88 +6.12
4 Olimpija Riga 22 10 8 4 28 32 19 +13 26.67 +1.33
5 Blazma 22 9 6 7 24 28 27 +1 18.83 +5.17
6 Pardaugava Riga 22 6 10 6 22 24 24 0 25.06 -3.06
7 Torpedo Riga 22 8 5 9 21 21 34 -13 22.01 -1.01
8 Skonto Metals Rinar 22 5 7 10 17 17 27 -10 19.76 -2.76
9 Dinaburg 22 5 7 10 17 26 29 -3 21.39 -4.39
10 Gemma Riga 22 4 6 12 14 18 45 -27 16.23 -2.23
11 Liepaja (Old) 22 2 5 15 9 16 46 -30 11.78 -2.78
12 Kimikis Daugavpils 22 1 6 15 8 10 53 -43 13.69 -5.69

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Skonto 42 35.08 +6.92
2 DAG Riga 29 22.88 +6.12
3 Blazma 24 18.83 +5.17
4 Jelgava 33 30.62 +2.38
5 Olimpija Riga 28 26.67 +1.33

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kimikis Daugavpils 8 13.69 -5.69
2 Dinaburg 17 21.39 -4.39
3 Pardaugava Riga 22 25.06 -3.06
4 Liepaja (Old) 9 11.78 -2.78
5 Skonto Metals Rinar 17 19.76 -2.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Torpedo Riga 4 May 14 – Jun 11 1 in 142
2 Skonto 10 Apr 17 – Jul 9 1 in 92
3 Blazma 3 May 22 – Jun 11 1 in 18
4 Pardaugava Riga 2 Aug 20 – Aug 28 1 in 16
5 Olimpija Riga 5 Sep 18 – Oct 22 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pardaugava Riga 3 Jul 16 – Aug 14 1 in 138
2 Gemma Riga 5 May 28 – Jul 9 1 in 105
3 Kimikis Daugavpils 5 Apr 17 – May 22 1 in 82
4 Liepaja (Old) 5 Aug 20 – Oct 2 1 in 20
5 Dinaburg 3 Aug 4 – Aug 20 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 DAG Riga 10 Jun 11 – Sep 11 1 in 50
2 Gemma Riga 4 Oct 2 – Oct 29 1 in 19
3 Olimpija Riga 7 Jun 18 – Aug 20 1 in 10
4 Blazma 6 May 22 – Jul 9 1 in 10
5 Skonto Metals Rinar 3 May 28 – Jun 18 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Olimpija Riga 7 Apr 17 – Jun 11 1 in 58
2 Kimikis Daugavpils 15 Apr 17 – Aug 28 1 in 31
3 Pardaugava Riga 5 May 14 – Jun 18 1 in 26
4 Dinaburg 7 Jun 18 – Aug 20 1 in 22
5 Skonto Metals Rinar 9 Apr 17 – Jul 2 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Skonto 1969 42 +16 9 8.4 +0.6
Jelgava 1753 33 +25 8 6.6 +1.4
DAG Riga 1622 29 -30 6 6.7 -0.7
Olimpija Riga 1694 28 +45 8 6.3 +1.7
Blazma 1487 24 +14 4 4.5 -0.5
Pardaugava Riga 1566 22 +61 6 5.1 +0.9
Torpedo Riga 1400 21 -62 2 3.9 -1.9
Dinaburg 1452 17 -32 4 5.3 -1.3
Skonto Metals Rinar 1422 17 -13 4 4.3 -0.3
Gemma Riga 1309 14 +69 5 3.0 +2.0
Liepaja (Old) 1192 9 -56 2 2.9 -0.9
Kimikis Daugavpils 1222 8 -35 2 2.9 -0.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BLA DR DIN GR JEL KD L( OR PR SKO SMR TR
Blazma —
0-1-1
2.07
0-2-0
2.45
1-1-0
3.68
1-0-1
1.14
1-0-1
3.67
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
1.84
1-1-0
1.45
0-0-2
0.78
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
1.96
DAG Riga
1-1-0
3.33
 —
1-1-0
2.99
1-1-0
4.17
0-2-0
1.58
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
4.33
1-1-0
1.69
0-1-1
3.00
0-0-2
0.99
2-0-0
3.16
1-0-1
3.15
Dinaburg
0-2-0
2.94
0-1-1
2.41
 —
2-0-0
3.24
0-0-2
1.52
2-0-0
4.01
1-0-1
3.91
0-0-2
2.23
0-2-0
2.15
0-0-2
0.97
0-1-1
2.95
0-1-1
2.89
Gemma Riga
0-1-1
1.72
0-1-1
1.26
0-0-2
2.15
 —
0-0-2
1.13
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.40
0-1-1
1.52
1-1-0
1.18
0-0-2
0.72
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.07
Jelgava
1-0-1
4.29
0-2-0
3.83
2-0-0
3.89
2-0-0
4.30
 —
2-0-0
4.61
2-0-0
4.81
0-2-0
3.61
1-1-0
3.80
0-1-1
1.60
1-1-0
4.38
2-0-0
3.78
Kimikis Daugavpils
1-0-1
1.74
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
1.40
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-2
0.85
 —
0-2-0
2.88
0-1-1
1.08
0-0-2
1.41
0-0-2
0.52
0-1-1
1.73
0-1-1
1.35
Liepaja (Old)
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-2
1.11
1-0-1
1.50
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
0.70
0-2-0
2.51
 —
0-1-1
1.04
0-1-1
1.03
0-0-2
0.54
0-1-1
1.74
0-0-2
1.46
Olimpija Riga
1-0-1
3.56
0-1-1
3.71
2-0-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.90
0-2-0
1.79
1-1-0
4.35
1-1-0
4.40
 —
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
1.23
2-0-0
3.84
2-0-0
3.41
Pardaugava Riga
0-1-1
3.96
1-1-0
2.39
0-2-0
3.25
0-1-1
4.24
0-1-1
1.61
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
4.41
1-1-0
2.56
 —
0-0-2
1.04
0-2-0
3.63
1-0-1
3.15
Skonto
2-0-0
4.69
2-0-0
4.46
2-0-0
4.47
2-0-0
4.81
1-1-0
3.81
2-0-0
5.06
2-0-0
5.03
1-1-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.41
 —
2-0-0
4.50
2-0-0
4.51
Skonto Metals Rinar
1-0-1
2.17
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
2.44
1-0-1
3.19
0-1-1
1.05
1-1-0
3.67
1-1-0
3.66
0-0-2
1.57
0-2-0
1.78
0-0-2
0.96
 —
0-1-1
2.36
Torpedo Riga
0-1-1
3.44
1-0-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
3.34
0-0-2
1.64
1-1-0
4.07
2-0-0
3.95
0-0-2
2.01
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
0.94
1-1-0
3.03
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +5.3
Allowed 0.87 -6.6
Differential 0.95 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.82%7.20%5.30%2.65%1.52%35.61%
16.82%14.39%4.55%3.41%0.38%1.14%30.68%
27.20%4.55%2.27%1.52%1.14%—16.67%
35.30%3.41%1.52%———10.23%
42.65%0.38%1.14%———4.17%
5+1.52%1.14%————2.65%
Total35.61%30.68%16.67%10.23%4.17%2.65%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.29 +0.00
SD 1.47 1.47 2.31
CV 1.14 1.14 —
Max 10 10 +10
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%—9.09%—27.27%
14.55%22.73%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
213.64%4.55%————18.18%
34.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%45.45%13.64%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.23 +0.05
SD 1.08 1.19 1.89
CV 0.85 0.97 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%—————22.73%
118.18%9.09%—9.09%——36.36%
29.09%——4.55%4.55%—18.18%
39.09%4.55%————13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total68.18%13.64%—13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 0.73 +0.82
SD 1.37 1.28 1.87
CV 0.89 1.76 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
14.55%18.18%9.09%4.55%—4.55%40.91%
24.55%——4.55%4.55%—13.64%
3—4.55%————4.55%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+———————
Total31.82%36.36%13.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.32 -0.14
SD 1.22 1.39 1.88
CV 1.03 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%13.64%4.55%54.55%
1—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%31.82%27.27%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 2.05 -1.23
SD 1.14 1.81 2.41
CV 1.39 0.89 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%4.55%————22.73%
113.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
29.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
313.64%9.09%————22.73%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total59.09%31.82%9.09%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.50 +1.23
SD 1.42 0.67 1.51
CV 0.82 1.35 —
Max 5 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%13.64%13.64%9.09%4.55%54.55%
14.55%18.18%4.55%13.64%4.55%—45.45%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%22.73%18.18%27.27%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.45 2.41 -1.95
SD 0.51 2.13 2.30
CV 1.12 0.88 —
Max 1 10 +1
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%18.18%4.55%—9.09%45.45%
1—13.64%13.64%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
24.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%27.27%36.36%13.64%—13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 2.09 -1.36
SD 0.77 1.44 1.76
CV 1.06 0.69 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
19.09%22.73%4.55%———36.36%
29.09%4.55%—4.55%——18.18%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total40.91%36.36%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 0.86 +0.59
SD 1.18 0.89 1.33
CV 0.81 1.03 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%—9.09%9.09%——40.91%
14.55%18.18%9.09%———31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%27.27%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.09 +0.00
SD 1.27 1.02 1.63
CV 1.16 0.93 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
113.64%4.55%————18.18%
213.64%4.55%4.55%———22.73%
318.18%4.55%4.55%———27.27%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+13.64%9.09%————22.73%
Total68.18%22.73%9.09%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.45 0.41 +3.05
SD 2.44 0.67 2.57
CV 0.71 1.63 —
Max 10 2 +10
Min 1 0 +0

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%18.18%4.55%18.18%——63.64%
1—9.09%————9.09%
29.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total36.36%31.82%9.09%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.23 -0.45
SD 1.19 1.27 1.82
CV 1.54 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%13.64%13.64%——40.91%
19.09%13.64%———4.55%27.27%
29.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%40.91%18.18%13.64%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.55 -0.59
SD 0.95 1.74 2.17
CV 1.00 1.12 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Skonto 1969 42 35.08 +6.92 100.0% 27 31 34 35 37 39 40
Jelgava 1753 33 30.62 +2.38 83.0% 22 26 29 31 33 35 38
Olimpija Riga 1694 28 26.67 +1.33 74.0% 17 21 25 26 29 33 35
DAG Riga 1622 29 22.88 +6.12 95.0% 15 17 20 23 25 29 30
Pardaugava Riga 1566 22 25.06 -3.06 24.0% 16 19 23 25 27 30 34
Blazma 1487 24 18.83 +5.17 97.0% 11 13 17 19 21 23 27
Dinaburg 1452 17 21.39 -4.39 14.0% 12 15 18 21 24 27 33
Skonto Metals Rinar 1422 17 19.76 -2.76 26.0% 11 14 17 20 22 26 27
Torpedo Riga 1400 21 22.01 -1.01 44.0% 15 17 20 22 24 27 29
Gemma Riga 1309 14 16.23 -2.23 31.0% 5 11 14 16 18 21 27
Kimikis Daugavpils 1222 8 13.69 -5.69 9.0% 4 7 11 14 16 19 24
Liepaja (Old) 1192 9 11.78 -2.78 28.0% 4 7 9 12 14 16 18

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 2.5% * Slight Edge: 2.5% to 6% * Clear Edge: 6% to 11% * Strong Edge: 11% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.09%
Clear Edge
40.15%28.79%31.06%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 31.67 Elo pts.
162 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.17 goals
Neutral
-2+0.20+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.09 * Tight Race: 0.09 to 0.16 * Comfortable: 0.16 to 0.3 * Runaway: 0.3 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.2
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
91%
Skonto, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.41/gm
Runaway
00.200.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.67 * Some Luck: 2.67 to 4.01 * Lucky: 4.01 to 5.34 * Wild Swing: 5.34 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.96 * Close: 0.96 to 1.43 * Off: 1.43 to 1.91 * Way Off: 1.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.10 points
Lucky
03.348
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Close
01.192.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Skonto
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
9.00%
Kimikis Daugavpils
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.24 * Even: 0.24 to 0.27 * Top-Heavy: 0.27 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.55 * Moderate Separation: 2.55 to 2.8 * Strong Separation: 2.8 to 2.95 * Wide Separation: 2.95 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 82% * Slight Edge: 82% to 86.5% * Clear Edge: 86.5% to 91.5% * Wide Edge: 91.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 97% * Clear Edge: 97% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 51% * Frequent: 51% to 57.5% * Very Frequent: 57.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 21% * Occasional: 21% to 27.5% * Frequent: 27.5% to 32% * Very Frequent: 32% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Even
00.240.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 227.02
2.51
Coin-Flip Parity
12.552.953.5
Interquartile Edge
82%
Even
50%82%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 99%
99%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Frequent
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Occasional
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.51 * Slight Separation: 0.51 to 0.55 * Notable Separation: 0.55 to 0.58 * Lopsided: 0.58 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.62 * Some Carryover: 0.62 to 0.76 * Strong Carryover: 0.76 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 13.5% * As Expected: 13.5% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 18.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 18.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 14% * Shaky Favorites: 14% to 15% * Very Shaky: 15% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.53
Slight Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.68
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.53
Weak Carryover
00.620.761
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
As Expected
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.32
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.08
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.083
Well Within Noise
00.1390.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Skonto91.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%————————
Jelgava6.00%65.00%22.00%7.00%————————
DAG Riga—2.00%12.00%19.00%21.00%15.00%12.00%9.00%8.00%2.00%——
Olimpija Riga3.00%16.00%29.00%29.00%7.00%8.00%6.00%—2.00%———
Blazma——1.00%1.00%6.00%11.00%18.00%24.00%16.00%11.00%10.00%2.00%
Pardaugava Riga—9.00%20.00%25.00%19.00%9.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%——
Torpedo Riga——6.00%3.00%23.00%21.00%16.00%15.00%10.00%6.00%——
Skonto Metals Rinar——2.00%6.00%7.00%11.00%16.00%23.00%19.00%11.00%3.00%2.00%
Dinaburg—2.00%5.00%9.00%17.00%18.00%16.00%12.00%7.00%11.00%3.00%—
Gemma Riga——1.00%——6.00%5.00%7.00%23.00%27.00%24.00%7.00%
Liepaja (Old)———————1.00%3.00%10.00%34.00%52.00%
Kimikis Daugavpils—————1.00%3.00%3.00%10.00%20.00%26.00%37.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
DAG Riga 100% —
Jelgava 100% —
Olimpija Riga 100% —
Pardaugava Riga 100% —
Skonto 100% —
Torpedo Riga 100% —
Dinaburg 97.00% 3.00%
Skonto Metals Rinar 95.00% 5.00%
Blazma 88.00% 12.00%
Gemma Riga 69.00% 31.00%
Kimikis Daugavpils 37.00% 63.00%
Liepaja (Old) 14.00% 86.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1994-04-17 Pardaugava Riga D 1-161.1 1371 1621 13.49% 29.30% 57.21%-1.35 +5.9 1
1994-04-17 @ Blazma D 1-161.1 1621 1371 57.21% 29.30% 13.49%+1.35 -5.9 1
1994-04-17 Gemma Riga W 1-050.2 1651 1474 59.30% 29.34% 11.36%+1.29 +9.4 2
1994-04-17 @ Jelgava L 0-150.2 1474 1651 11.36% 29.34% 59.30%-1.29 -9.4 0
1994-04-17 DAG Riga L 1-356.7 1474 1368 53.62% 29.99% 16.39%+0.86 -51.6 0
1994-04-17 @ Kimikis Daugavpils W 3-156.7 1368 1474 16.39% 29.99% 53.62%-0.86 +51.6 2
1994-04-17 Olimpija Riga D 0-053.9 1325 1591 12.43% 29.12% 58.45%-1.45 +7.0 1
1994-04-17 @ Liepaja (Old) D 0-053.9 1591 1325 58.45% 29.12% 12.43%+1.45 -7.0 1
1994-04-17 Dinaburg W 1-051.8 1752 1499 63.97% 28.40% 7.63%+1.76 +6.5 2
1994-04-17 @ Skonto L 0-151.8 1499 1752 7.63% 28.40% 63.97%-1.76 -6.6 0
1994-04-17 Skonto Metals Rinar D 0-055.1 1488 1474 43.63% 30.46% 25.91%+0.28 -2.4 1
1994-04-17 @ Torpedo Riga D 0-055.1 1474 1488 25.91% 30.46% 43.63%-0.28 +2.4 1
1994-04-23 Torpedo Riga W 1-050.8 1377 1486 27.07% 30.37% 42.56%-0.48 +25.8 3
1994-04-23 @ Blazma L 0-150.8 1486 1377 42.56% 30.37% 27.07%+0.48 -25.7 1
1994-04-23 Liepaja (Old) W 2-038.4 1493 1332 58.12% 29.51% 12.36%+1.19 +19.0 2
1994-04-23 @ Dinaburg L 0-238.4 1332 1493 12.36% 29.51% 58.12%-1.19 -19.0 1
1994-04-23 Kimikis Daugavpils W 2-150.8 1465 1423 46.98% 30.36% 22.66%+0.46 +15.4 2
1994-04-23 @ Gemma Riga L 1-250.8 1423 1465 22.66% 30.36% 46.98%-0.46 -15.3 0
1994-04-23 Pardaugava Riga D 1-168.8 1660 1615 47.34% 30.35% 22.31%+0.48 -3.1 3
1994-04-23 @ Jelgava D 1-168.8 1615 1660 22.31% 30.35% 47.34%-0.48 +3.1 2
1994-04-23 Skonto L 0-349.4 1477 1758 11.42% 28.93% 59.65%-1.55 -25.5 1
1994-04-23 @ Skonto Metals Rinar W 3-049.4 1758 1477 59.65% 28.93% 11.42%+1.55 +25.5 4
1994-04-23 Olimpija Riga W 2-055.5 1419 1584 20.77% 30.07% 49.16%-0.82 +54.8 4
1994-04-23 @ DAG Riga L 0-255.5 1584 1419 49.16% 30.07% 20.77%+0.82 -54.8 1
1994-05-08 Pardaugava Riga L 0-345.0 1407 1618 16.48% 29.70% 53.83%-1.11 -34.7 0
1994-05-08 @ Kimikis Daugavpils W 3-045.0 1618 1407 53.83% 29.70% 16.48%+1.11 +34.7 4
1994-05-08 Skonto Metals Rinar D 1-154.0 1313 1451 23.64% 30.24% 46.12%-0.66 +2.8 2
1994-05-08 @ Liepaja (Old) D 1-154.0 1451 1313 46.12% 30.24% 23.64%+0.66 -2.8 2
1994-05-08 Gemma Riga D 1-161.4 1529 1480 47.71% 30.34% 21.95%+0.50 -3.2 2
1994-05-08 @ Olimpija Riga D 1-161.4 1480 1529 21.95% 30.34% 47.71%-0.50 +3.2 3
1994-05-10 Blazma W 3-149.9 1657 1403 64.09% 28.36% 7.55%+1.77 +10.6 5
1994-05-10 @ Jelgava L 1-349.9 1403 1657 7.55% 28.36% 64.09%-1.77 -10.6 3
1994-05-10 Torpedo Riga W 2-048.6 1784 1460 67.43% 27.29% 5.27%+2.20 +8.6 6
1994-05-10 @ Skonto L 0-248.6 1460 1784 5.27% 27.29% 67.43%-2.20 -8.6 1
1994-05-10 Dinaburg D 0-056.0 1474 1512 36.73% 30.52% 32.75%-0.04 -0.5 5
1994-05-10 @ DAG Riga D 0-056.0 1512 1474 32.75% 30.52% 36.73%+0.04 +0.5 3
1994-05-14 Gemma Riga W 1-049.8 1512 1483 45.43% 30.41% 24.16%+0.38 +17.1 5
1994-05-14 @ Dinaburg L 0-149.8 1483 1512 24.16% 30.41% 45.43%-0.38 -17.1 3
1994-05-14 Kimikis Daugavpils W 3-041.8 1668 1373 66.14% 27.75% 6.10%+2.02 +14.5 7
1994-05-14 @ Jelgava L 0-341.8 1373 1668 6.10% 27.75% 66.14%-2.02 -14.5 0
1994-05-14 Olimpija Riga D 1-167.1 1653 1526 55.43% 29.83% 14.74%+0.98 -5.4 5
1994-05-14 @ Pardaugava Riga D 1-167.1 1526 1653 14.74% 29.83% 55.43%-0.98 +5.4 3
1994-05-14 Blazma W 4-044.3 1792 1392 70.51% 25.92% 3.57%+2.67 +10.9 8
1994-05-14 @ Skonto L 0-444.3 1392 1792 3.57% 25.92% 70.51%-2.67 -10.9 3
1994-05-14 DAG Riga L 0-151.5 1448 1473 38.49% 30.52% 30.99%+0.04 -23.8 2
1994-05-14 @ Skonto Metals Rinar W 1-051.5 1473 1448 30.99% 30.52% 38.49%-0.04 +23.8 7
1994-05-14 Liepaja (Old) W 2-145.0 1452 1316 56.15% 29.75% 14.10%+1.03 +10.6 3
1994-05-14 @ Torpedo Riga L 1-245.0 1316 1452 14.10% 29.75% 56.15%-1.03 -10.6 2
1994-05-22 Kimikis Daugavpils W 3-146.0 1381 1358 44.72% 30.43% 24.84%+0.34 +28.5 5
1994-05-22 @ Blazma L 1-346.0 1358 1381 24.84% 30.43% 44.72%-0.34 -28.5 0
1994-05-22 Pardaugava Riga D 0-062.4 1529 1647 25.99% 30.34% 43.68%-0.53 +2.4 6
1994-05-22 @ Dinaburg D 0-062.4 1647 1529 43.68% 30.34% 25.99%+0.53 -2.4 6
1994-05-22 Jelgava D 1-167.8 1531 1682 22.18% 30.16% 47.67%-0.74 +3.2 4
1994-05-22 @ Olimpija Riga D 1-167.8 1682 1531 47.67% 30.16% 22.18%+0.74 -3.2 8
1994-05-22 Liepaja (Old) W 1-045.3 1803 1305 73.85% 23.96% 2.19%+3.28 +1.8 10
1994-05-22 @ Skonto L 0-145.3 1305 1803 2.19% 23.96% 73.85%-3.28 -1.8 2
1994-05-22 Gemma Riga L 2-456.7 1424 1466 36.17% 30.52% 33.31%-0.06 -33.3 2
1994-05-22 @ Skonto Metals Rinar W 4-256.7 1466 1424 33.31% 30.52% 36.17%+0.06 +33.3 5
1994-05-22 Torpedo Riga L 1-358.4 1497 1462 46.15% 30.39% 23.46%+0.41 -45.0 7
1994-05-22 @ DAG Riga W 3-158.4 1462 1497 23.46% 30.39% 46.15%-0.41 +45.0 5
1994-05-28 Jelgava L 1-359.4 1532 1679 22.60% 30.18% 47.21%-0.71 -26.5 6
1994-05-28 @ Dinaburg W 3-159.4 1679 1532 47.21% 30.18% 22.60%+0.71 +26.5 10
1994-05-28 Torpedo Riga L 0-253.3 1500 1507 40.84% 30.50% 28.66%+0.15 -47.0 5
1994-05-28 @ Gemma Riga W 2-053.3 1507 1500 28.66% 30.50% 40.84%-0.15 +47.0 7
1994-05-28 Blazma L 1-346.4 1304 1410 27.44% 30.39% 42.18%-0.46 -30.6 2
1994-05-28 @ Liepaja (Old) W 3-146.4 1410 1304 42.18% 30.39% 27.44%+0.46 +30.6 7
1994-05-28 Kimikis Daugavpils D 1-156.8 1534 1330 61.17% 29.02% 9.81%+1.46 -7.2 5
1994-05-28 @ Olimpija Riga D 1-156.8 1330 1534 9.81% 29.02% 61.17%-1.46 +7.2 1
1994-05-28 Skonto Metals Rinar D 0-058.5 1645 1391 64.04% 28.38% 7.58%+1.77 -9.0 7
1994-05-28 @ Pardaugava Riga D 0-058.5 1391 1645 7.58% 28.38% 64.04%-1.77 +9.0 3
1994-05-28 Skonto L 1-355.2 1452 1805 7.89% 27.93% 64.17%-1.99 -10.9 7
1994-05-28 @ DAG Riga W 3-155.2 1805 1452 64.17% 27.93% 7.89%+1.99 +10.9 12
1994-06-11 Olimpija Riga W 3-263.4 1440 1527 29.91% 30.45% 39.64%-0.34 +21.8 9
1994-06-11 @ Blazma L 2-363.4 1527 1440 39.64% 30.45% 29.91%+0.34 -21.8 5
1994-06-11 Kimikis Daugavpils W 4-036.5 1505 1337 58.71% 29.43% 11.86%+1.24 +34.8 8
1994-06-11 @ Dinaburg L 0-436.5 1337 1505 11.86% 29.43% 58.71%-1.24 -34.8 1
1994-06-11 Skonto L 0-447.7 1453 1816 7.47% 27.77% 64.76%-2.05 -22.6 5
1994-06-11 @ Gemma Riga W 4-047.7 1816 1453 64.76% 27.77% 7.47%+2.05 +22.6 14
1994-06-11 Torpedo Riga L 0-262.2 1636 1554 51.21% 30.16% 18.63%+0.70 -57.0 7
1994-06-11 @ Pardaugava Riga W 2-062.2 1554 1636 18.63% 30.16% 51.21%-0.70 +57.0 9
1994-06-11 Jelgava D 0-060.8 1400 1706 10.10% 28.62% 61.28%-1.69 +8.0 4
1994-06-11 @ Skonto Metals Rinar D 0-060.8 1706 1400 61.28% 28.62% 10.10%+1.69 -8.0 11
1994-06-11 Liepaja (Old) W 5-033.7 1441 1273 58.69% 29.43% 11.87%+1.24 +42.9 9
1994-06-11 @ DAG Riga L 0-533.7 1273 1441 11.87% 29.43% 58.69%-1.24 -42.9 2
1994-06-18 DAG Riga D 1-159.1 1462 1484 38.88% 30.52% 30.60%+0.06 -1.0 10
1994-06-18 @ Blazma D 1-159.1 1484 1462 30.60% 30.52% 38.88%-0.06 +1.0 10
1994-06-18 Skonto Metals Rinar D 0-048.6 1302 1408 27.43% 30.39% 42.19%-0.46 +2.0 2
1994-06-18 @ Kimikis Daugavpils D 0-048.6 1408 1302 42.19% 30.39% 27.43%+0.46 -2.0 5
1994-06-18 Gemma Riga W 2-047.9 1230 1430 17.42% 29.80% 52.78%-1.04 +58.5 4
1994-06-18 @ Liepaja (Old) L 0-247.9 1430 1230 52.78% 29.80% 17.42%+1.04 -58.5 5
1994-06-18 Dinaburg W 4-261.1 1505 1540 37.15% 30.52% 32.32%-0.02 +30.8 7
1994-06-18 @ Olimpija Riga L 2-461.1 1540 1505 32.32% 30.52% 37.15%+0.02 -30.8 8
1994-06-18 Skonto L 0-351.9 1579 1839 12.80% 29.19% 58.01%-1.41 -28.1 7
1994-06-18 @ Pardaugava Riga W 3-051.9 1839 1579 58.01% 29.19% 12.80%+1.41 +28.1 16
1994-06-18 Jelgava L 0-258.0 1611 1698 29.99% 30.45% 39.56%-0.34 -37.6 9
1994-06-18 @ Torpedo Riga W 2-058.0 1698 1611 39.56% 30.45% 29.99%+0.34 +37.6 13
1994-07-02 Blazma D 0-055.4 1509 1461 47.67% 30.34% 21.99%+0.50 -3.6 9
1994-07-02 @ Dinaburg D 0-055.4 1461 1509 21.99% 30.34% 47.67%-0.50 +3.6 11
1994-07-02 Skonto L 0-159.8 1735 1867 24.37% 30.27% 45.36%-0.62 -17.2 13
1994-07-02 @ Jelgava W 1-059.8 1867 1735 45.36% 30.27% 24.37%+0.62 +17.2 18
1994-07-02 Liepaja (Old) W 2-144.2 1551 1289 64.49% 28.26% 7.26%+1.82 +5.9 9
1994-07-02 @ Pardaugava Riga L 1-244.2 1289 1551 7.26% 28.26% 64.49%-1.82 -5.9 4
1994-07-02 Olimpija Riga L 0-344.5 1406 1536 24.57% 30.28% 45.15%-0.61 -47.2 5
1994-07-02 @ Skonto Metals Rinar W 3-044.5 1536 1406 45.15% 30.28% 24.57%+0.61 +47.2 9
1994-07-02 Kimikis Daugavpils W 1-039.9 1574 1304 64.88% 28.14% 6.97%+1.86 +6.0 11
1994-07-02 @ Torpedo Riga L 0-139.9 1304 1574 6.97% 28.14% 64.88%-1.86 -6.0 2
1994-07-02 Gemma Riga W 2-040.4 1485 1371 54.27% 29.93% 15.79%+0.90 +23.2 12
1994-07-02 @ DAG Riga L 0-240.4 1371 1485 15.79% 29.93% 54.27%-0.90 -23.2 5
1994-07-09 Gemma Riga W 3-037.8 1465 1348 54.50% 29.91% 15.58%+0.92 +33.4 13
1994-07-09 @ Blazma L 0-337.8 1348 1465 15.58% 29.91% 54.50%-0.92 -33.4 5
1994-07-09 Skonto L 0-245.4 1298 1884 2.43% 23.57% 74.01%-3.43 -3.7 2
1994-07-09 @ Kimikis Daugavpils W 2-045.4 1884 1298 74.01% 23.57% 2.43%+3.43 +3.7 20
1994-07-09 Jelgava L 0-241.2 1283 1718 5.17% 26.55% 68.28%-2.50 -8.3 4
1994-07-09 @ Liepaja (Old) W 2-041.2 1718 1283 68.28% 26.55% 5.17%+2.50 +8.3 15
1994-07-09 Olimpija Riga L 0-357.2 1580 1583 41.36% 30.50% 28.14%+0.17 -69.0 11
1994-07-09 @ Torpedo Riga W 3-057.2 1583 1580 28.14% 30.50% 41.36%-0.17 +69.0 11
1994-07-09 Pardaugava Riga D 0-058.9 1508 1557 35.29% 30.52% 34.20%-0.10 -0.1 13
1994-07-09 @ DAG Riga D 0-058.9 1557 1508 34.20% 30.52% 35.29%+0.10 +0.1 10
1994-07-16 DAG Riga D 0-064.1 1726 1508 62.00% 28.86% 9.14%+1.54 -8.3 16
1994-07-16 @ Jelgava D 0-064.1 1508 1726 9.14% 28.86% 62.00%-1.54 +8.3 14
1994-07-16 Liepaja (Old) D 1-151.8 1294 1275 44.32% 30.44% 25.24%+0.32 -2.3 3
1994-07-16 @ Kimikis Daugavpils D 1-151.8 1275 1294 25.24% 30.44% 44.32%-0.32 +2.3 5
1994-07-16 Skonto D 1-171.0 1652 1888 14.53% 29.46% 56.01%-1.26 +5.5 12
1994-07-16 @ Olimpija Riga D 1-171.0 1888 1652 56.01% 29.46% 14.53%+1.26 -5.5 21
1994-07-16 Gemma Riga L 1-262.0 1557 1315 63.39% 28.54% 8.06%+1.69 -35.2 10
1994-07-16 @ Pardaugava Riga W 2-162.0 1315 1557 8.06% 28.54% 63.39%-1.69 +35.2 7
1994-07-16 Blazma W 4-047.5 1359 1498 23.51% 30.23% 46.26%-0.66 +98.7 7
1994-07-16 @ Skonto Metals Rinar L 0-447.5 1498 1359 46.26% 30.23% 23.51%+0.66 -98.7 13
1994-07-16 Dinaburg W 2-156.8 1511 1506 42.46% 30.48% 27.06%+0.23 +17.5 13
1994-07-16 @ Torpedo Riga L 1-256.8 1506 1511 27.06% 30.48% 42.46%-0.23 -17.5 9
1994-07-20 Skonto Metals Rinar D 1-159.1 1488 1458 45.63% 30.41% 23.96%+0.39 -2.7 10
1994-07-20 @ Dinaburg D 1-159.1 1458 1488 23.96% 30.41% 45.63%-0.39 +2.7 8
1994-08-04 Skonto L 1-551.9 1486 1882 6.31% 27.23% 66.46%-2.26 -16.0 10
1994-08-04 @ Dinaburg W 5-151.9 1882 1486 66.46% 27.23% 6.31%+2.26 +16.0 23
1994-08-06 Jelgava L 0-442.4 1350 1718 7.30% 27.70% 65.00%-2.08 -22.1 7
1994-08-06 @ Gemma Riga W 4-042.4 1718 1350 65.00% 27.70% 7.30%+2.08 +22.1 18
1994-08-06 Liepaja (Old) W 3-250.2 1658 1277 69.79% 26.28% 3.93%+2.55 +3.0 14
1994-08-06 @ Olimpija Riga L 2-350.2 1277 1658 3.93% 26.28% 69.79%-2.55 -3.0 5
1994-08-06 Blazma L 0-254.2 1521 1399 55.01% 29.87% 15.12%+0.95 -61.1 10
1994-08-06 @ Pardaugava Riga W 2-054.2 1399 1521 15.12% 29.87% 55.01%-0.95 +61.1 15
1994-08-06 Torpedo Riga L 0-152.1 1460 1528 32.49% 30.49% 37.02%-0.22 -21.1 8
1994-08-06 @ Skonto Metals Rinar W 1-052.1 1528 1460 37.02% 30.49% 32.49%+0.22 +21.1 15
1994-08-06 Kimikis Daugavpils W 4-034.6 1517 1292 62.40% 28.77% 8.83%+1.59 +26.8 16
1994-08-06 @ DAG Riga L 0-434.6 1292 1517 8.83% 28.77% 62.40%-1.59 -26.8 3
1994-08-13 Skonto Metals Rinar W 3-046.9 1898 1439 72.57% 24.77% 2.66%+3.03 +6.1 25
1994-08-13 @ Skonto L 0-346.9 1439 1898 2.66% 24.77% 72.57%-3.03 -6.1 8
1994-08-14 Gemma Riga D 0-047.4 1265 1328 33.19% 30.50% 36.30%-0.19 +0.4 4
1994-08-14 @ Kimikis Daugavpils D 0-047.4 1328 1265 36.30% 30.50% 33.19%+0.19 -0.4 8
1994-08-14 Dinaburg W 2-156.1 1274 1470 17.77% 29.83% 52.40%-1.02 +29.0 7
1994-08-14 @ Liepaja (Old) L 1-256.1 1470 1274 52.40% 29.83% 17.77%+1.02 -29.1 10
1994-08-14 Jelgava L 1-257.4 1460 1740 11.54% 28.95% 59.51%-1.53 -8.9 10
1994-08-14 @ Pardaugava Riga W 2-157.4 1740 1460 59.51% 28.95% 11.54%+1.53 +8.9 20
1994-08-14 Blazma D 1-161.5 1549 1460 51.94% 30.11% 17.95%+0.75 -4.4 16
1994-08-14 @ Torpedo Riga D 1-161.5 1460 1549 17.95% 30.11% 51.94%-0.75 +4.4 16
1994-08-15 DAG Riga D 0-063.1 1661 1543 54.59% 29.91% 15.50%+0.92 -5.8 15
1994-08-15 @ Olimpija Riga D 0-063.1 1543 1661 15.50% 29.91% 54.59%-0.92 +5.8 17
1994-08-18 Skonto L 1-850.5 1545 1904 7.64% 27.84% 64.53%-2.03 -32.2 16
1994-08-18 @ Torpedo Riga W 8-150.5 1904 1545 64.53% 27.84% 7.64%+2.03 +32.2 27
1994-08-20 Jelgava W 2-172.2 1465 1749 11.28% 28.89% 59.83%-1.56 +33.1 18
1994-08-20 @ Blazma L 1-272.2 1749 1465 59.83% 28.89% 11.28%+1.56 -33.1 20
1994-08-20 DAG Riga L 0-150.5 1441 1549 27.12% 30.38% 42.51%-0.48 -18.5 10
1994-08-20 @ Dinaburg W 1-050.5 1549 1441 42.51% 30.38% 27.12%+0.48 +18.6 19
1994-08-20 Olimpija Riga L 1-347.5 1328 1655 9.01% 28.31% 62.68%-1.83 -12.3 8
1994-08-20 @ Gemma Riga W 3-147.5 1655 1328 62.68% 28.31% 9.01%+1.83 +12.3 17
1994-08-20 Kimikis Daugavpils W 4-139.0 1452 1266 59.93% 29.24% 10.82%+1.35 +20.7 12
1994-08-20 @ Pardaugava Riga L 1-439.0 1266 1452 10.82% 29.24% 59.93%-1.35 -20.7 4
1994-08-20 Liepaja (Old) W 2-037.4 1433 1303 55.70% 29.80% 14.50%+1.00 +21.7 10
1994-08-20 @ Skonto Metals Rinar L 0-237.4 1303 1433 14.50% 29.80% 55.70%-1.00 -21.7 7
1994-08-28 Skonto L 0-250.4 1498 1936 5.09% 26.50% 68.42%-2.52 -8.1 18
1994-08-28 @ Blazma W 2-050.4 1936 1498 68.42% 26.50% 5.09%+2.52 +8.1 29
1994-08-28 Dinaburg L 0-439.2 1315 1422 27.35% 30.38% 42.26%-0.46 -66.8 8
1994-08-28 @ Gemma Riga W 4-039.2 1422 1315 42.26% 30.38% 27.35%+0.46 +66.8 12
1994-08-28 Jelgava L 0-337.8 1245 1716 4.31% 25.89% 69.80%-2.72 -10.0 4
1994-08-28 @ Kimikis Daugavpils W 3-037.8 1716 1245 69.80% 25.89% 4.31%+2.72 +10.0 22
1994-08-28 Torpedo Riga L 1-245.7 1281 1513 14.82% 29.50% 55.69%-1.24 -11.0 7
1994-08-28 @ Liepaja (Old) W 2-145.7 1513 1281 55.69% 29.50% 14.82%+1.24 +11.0 18
1994-08-28 Pardaugava Riga L 0-165.3 1667 1472 60.55% 29.14% 10.32%+1.40 -35.7 17
1994-08-28 @ Olimpija Riga W 1-065.3 1472 1667 10.32% 29.14% 60.55%-1.40 +35.7 14
1994-08-28 Skonto Metals Rinar W 3-044.8 1568 1455 54.20% 29.94% 15.86%+0.90 +33.8 21
1994-08-28 @ DAG Riga L 0-344.8 1455 1568 15.86% 29.94% 54.20%-0.90 -33.8 10
1994-09-11 Skonto Metals Rinar L 1-245.4 1249 1421 19.98% 30.01% 50.00%-0.87 -13.9 8
1994-09-11 @ Gemma Riga W 2-145.4 1421 1249 50.00% 30.01% 19.98%+0.87 +13.9 12
1994-09-11 Olimpija Riga D 0-065.3 1726 1632 52.45% 30.08% 17.47%+0.78 -5.1 23
1994-09-11 @ Jelgava D 0-065.3 1632 1726 17.47% 30.08% 52.45%-0.78 +5.1 18
1994-09-11 Blazma W 1-051.9 1235 1490 13.14% 29.25% 57.62%-1.38 +33.8 6
1994-09-11 @ Kimikis Daugavpils L 0-151.9 1490 1235 57.62% 29.25% 13.14%+1.38 -33.8 18
1994-09-11 Dinaburg D 1-160.9 1508 1489 44.23% 30.45% 25.32%+0.31 -2.3 15
1994-09-11 @ Pardaugava Riga D 1-160.9 1489 1508 25.32% 30.45% 44.23%-0.31 +2.3 13
1994-09-11 DAG Riga L 0-353.0 1524 1602 31.11% 30.47% 38.42%-0.29 -56.1 18
1994-09-11 @ Torpedo Riga W 3-053.0 1602 1524 38.42% 30.47% 31.11%+0.29 +56.1 23
1994-09-18 Liepaja (Old) W 2-035.9 1456 1270 59.92% 29.24% 10.84%+1.34 +17.0 20
1994-09-18 @ Blazma L 0-235.9 1270 1456 10.84% 29.24% 59.92%-1.34 -17.0 7
1994-09-18 Dinaburg W 1-051.4 1721 1491 62.70% 28.71% 8.60%+1.62 +7.3 25
1994-09-18 @ Jelgava L 0-151.4 1491 1721 8.60% 28.71% 62.70%-1.62 -7.3 13
1994-09-18 Olimpija Riga L 0-238.7 1269 1637 7.30% 27.70% 65.01%-2.08 -11.6 6
1994-09-18 @ Kimikis Daugavpils W 2-038.7 1637 1269 65.01% 27.70% 7.30%+2.08 +11.6 20
1994-09-18 DAG Riga W 3-263.6 1944 1658 65.73% 27.89% 6.38%+1.97 +4.9 31
1994-09-18 @ Skonto L 2-363.6 1658 1944 6.38% 27.89% 65.73%-1.97 -4.9 23
1994-09-18 Pardaugava Riga D 0-054.3 1435 1506 32.08% 30.49% 37.43%-0.24 +0.7 13
1994-09-18 @ Skonto Metals Rinar D 0-054.3 1506 1435 37.43% 30.49% 32.08%+0.24 -0.7 16
1994-09-18 Gemma Riga D 2-258.9 1468 1235 62.89% 28.66% 8.45%+1.64 -5.8 19
1994-09-18 @ Torpedo Riga D 2-258.9 1235 1468 8.45% 28.66% 62.89%-1.64 +5.8 9
1994-09-22 Gemma Riga W 8-041.8 1949 1240 79.88% 19.35% 0.76%+4.58 +3.8 33
1994-09-22 @ Skonto L 0-841.8 1240 1949 0.76% 19.35% 79.88%-4.58 -3.8 9
1994-09-24 Skonto Metals Rinar W 1-049.3 1728 1436 66.02% 27.79% 6.19%+2.01 +5.4 27
1994-09-24 @ Jelgava L 0-149.3 1436 1728 6.19% 27.79% 66.02%-2.01 -5.4 13
1994-09-24 Dinaburg L 1-342.9 1257 1484 15.18% 29.54% 55.28%-1.21 -19.3 6
1994-09-24 @ Kimikis Daugavpils W 3-142.9 1484 1257 55.28% 29.54% 15.18%+1.21 +19.4 15
1994-09-24 DAG Riga L 0-140.3 1253 1653 6.21% 27.18% 66.61%-2.28 -5.3 7
1994-09-24 @ Liepaja (Old) W 1-040.3 1653 1253 66.61% 27.18% 6.21%+2.28 +5.3 25
1994-09-24 Blazma W 2-155.4 1648 1473 59.21% 29.36% 11.43%+1.28 +8.9 22
1994-09-24 @ Olimpija Riga L 1-255.4 1473 1648 11.43% 29.36% 59.21%-1.28 -8.9 20
1994-09-24 Pardaugava Riga L 0-250.4 1462 1505 35.99% 30.52% 33.49%-0.07 -42.8 19
1994-09-24 @ Torpedo Riga W 2-050.4 1505 1462 33.49% 30.52% 35.99%+0.07 +42.8 18
1994-10-02 Olimpija Riga L 0-252.6 1503 1657 21.87% 30.14% 47.99%-0.76 -29.8 15
1994-10-02 @ Dinaburg W 2-052.6 1657 1503 47.99% 30.14% 21.87%+0.76 +29.8 24
1994-10-02 Liepaja (Old) W 3-038.5 1237 1248 40.34% 30.51% 29.16%+0.13 +53.6 11
1994-10-02 @ Gemma Riga L 0-338.5 1248 1237 29.16% 30.51% 40.34%-0.13 -53.6 7
1994-10-02 Torpedo Riga W 3-045.2 1733 1419 67.03% 27.44% 5.53%+2.14 +13.1 29
1994-10-02 @ Jelgava L 0-345.2 1419 1733 5.53% 27.44% 67.03%-2.14 -13.1 19
1994-10-02 Pardaugava Riga W 3-048.5 1953 1548 70.70% 25.82% 3.48%+2.70 +8.1 35
1994-10-02 @ Skonto L 0-348.5 1548 1953 3.48% 25.82% 70.70%-2.70 -8.1 18
1994-10-02 Kimikis Daugavpils W 2-035.1 1430 1238 60.38% 29.17% 10.46%+1.39 +16.4 15
1994-10-02 @ Skonto Metals Rinar L 0-235.1 1238 1430 10.46% 29.17% 60.38%-1.39 -16.4 6
1994-10-02 Blazma W 1-049.8 1658 1464 60.48% 29.15% 10.37%+1.40 +8.7 27
1994-10-02 @ DAG Riga L 0-149.8 1464 1658 10.37% 29.15% 60.48%-1.40 -8.7 20
1994-10-15 Dinaburg D 1-158.4 1455 1473 39.45% 30.52% 30.03%+0.08 -1.1 21
1994-10-15 @ Blazma D 1-158.4 1473 1455 30.03% 30.52% 39.45%-0.08 +1.1 16
1994-10-15 DAG Riga D 1-160.3 1290 1667 6.99% 27.56% 65.45%-2.13 +8.4 12
1994-10-15 @ Gemma Riga D 1-160.3 1667 1290 65.45% 27.56% 6.99%+2.13 -8.4 28
1994-10-15 Torpedo Riga D 1-152.4 1221 1406 18.80% 29.92% 51.28%-0.95 +4.2 7
1994-10-15 @ Kimikis Daugavpils D 1-152.4 1406 1221 51.28% 29.92% 18.80%+0.95 -4.2 20
1994-10-15 Pardaugava Riga D 2-259.5 1194 1540 8.21% 28.05% 63.74%-1.94 +5.9 8
1994-10-15 @ Liepaja (Old) D 2-259.5 1540 1194 63.74% 28.05% 8.21%+1.94 -5.9 19
1994-10-15 Skonto Metals Rinar W 1-049.3 1687 1447 63.32% 28.56% 8.12%+1.68 +6.9 26
1994-10-15 @ Olimpija Riga L 0-149.3 1447 1687 8.12% 28.56% 63.32%-1.68 -6.9 15
1994-10-15 Jelgava D 2-276.7 1961 1747 61.80% 28.90% 9.30%+1.52 -5.5 36
1994-10-15 @ Skonto D 2-276.7 1747 1961 9.30% 28.90% 61.80%-1.52 +5.5 30
1994-10-19 Skonto L 0-540.8 1200 1956 1.04% 19.86% 79.10%-4.48 -3.3 8
1994-10-19 @ Liepaja (Old) W 5-040.8 1956 1200 79.10% 19.86% 1.04%+4.48 +3.3 38
1994-10-22 Blazma D 1-153.9 1299 1454 21.70% 30.13% 48.17%-0.77 +3.3 13
1994-10-22 @ Gemma Riga D 1-153.9 1454 1299 48.17% 30.13% 21.70%+0.77 -3.3 22
1994-10-22 Liepaja (Old) W 5-138.5 1752 1197 75.61% 22.74% 1.65%+3.63 +3.9 32
1994-10-22 @ Jelgava L 1-538.5 1197 1752 1.65% 22.74% 75.61%-3.63 -3.9 8
1994-10-22 Torpedo Riga W 1-047.3 1694 1402 66.00% 27.80% 6.20%+2.00 +5.4 28
1994-10-22 @ Olimpija Riga L 0-147.3 1402 1694 6.20% 27.80% 66.00%-2.00 -5.4 20
1994-10-22 DAG Riga W 4-269.2 1534 1658 25.18% 30.31% 44.51%-0.57 +39.0 21
1994-10-22 @ Pardaugava Riga L 2-469.2 1658 1534 44.51% 30.31% 25.18%+0.57 -39.0 28
1994-10-22 Kimikis Daugavpils W 10-041.7 1959 1225 80.52% 18.81% 0.67%+4.73 +4.1 40
1994-10-22 @ Skonto L 0-1041.7 1225 1959 0.67% 18.81% 80.52%-4.73 -4.1 7
1994-10-22 Dinaburg W 3-259.3 1440 1474 37.15% 30.52% 32.32%-0.02 +18.8 17
1994-10-22 @ Skonto Metals Rinar L 2-359.3 1474 1440 32.32% 30.52% 37.15%+0.02 -18.8 16
1994-10-29 Skonto Metals Rinar W 2-046.1 1451 1458 40.85% 30.50% 28.65%+0.15 +36.4 24
1994-10-29 @ Blazma L 0-246.1 1458 1451 28.65% 30.50% 40.85%-0.15 -36.4 17
1994-10-29 Torpedo Riga D 1-156.1 1456 1396 48.88% 30.29% 20.83%+0.56 -3.5 17
1994-10-29 @ Dinaburg D 1-156.1 1396 1456 20.83% 30.29% 48.88%-0.56 +3.5 21
1994-10-29 Pardaugava Riga D 0-052.6 1302 1573 12.09% 29.06% 58.85%-1.48 +7.1 14
1994-10-29 @ Gemma Riga D 0-052.6 1573 1302 58.85% 29.06% 12.09%+1.48 -7.1 22
1994-10-29 Kimikis Daugavpils D 1-151.3 1193 1221 38.06% 30.52% 31.42%+0.02 -0.8 9
1994-10-29 @ Liepaja (Old) D 1-151.3 1221 1193 31.42% 30.52% 38.06%-0.02 +0.8 8
1994-10-29 Olimpija Riga W 2-159.4 1963 1699 64.58% 28.23% 7.19%+1.83 +5.8 42
1994-10-29 @ Skonto L 1-259.4 1699 1963 7.19% 28.23% 64.58%-1.83 -5.8 28
1994-10-29 Jelgava D 0-065.5 1619 1756 23.78% 30.24% 45.98%-0.65 +3.1 29
1994-10-29 @ DAG Riga D 0-065.5 1756 1619 45.98% 30.24% 23.78%+0.65 -3.1 33

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1994-07-16 8.06% Gemma Riga 1315 2 @ Pardaugava Riga 1557 1
2 1994-08-28 10.32% Pardaugava Riga 1472 1 @ Olimpija Riga 1667 0
3 1994-08-20 11.28% @ Blazma 1465 2 Jelgava 1749 1
4 1994-09-11 13.14% @ Kimikis Daugavpils 1235 1 Blazma 1490 0
5 1994-08-06 15.12% Blazma 1399 2 @ Pardaugava Riga 1521 0
6 1994-04-17 16.39% DAG Riga 1368 3 @ Kimikis Daugavpils 1474 1
7 1994-06-18 17.42% @ Liepaja (Old) 1230 2 Gemma Riga 1430 0
8 1994-08-14 17.77% @ Liepaja (Old) 1274 2 Dinaburg 1470 1
9 1994-06-11 18.63% Torpedo Riga 1554 2 @ Pardaugava Riga 1636 0
10 1994-04-23 20.77% @ DAG Riga 1419 2 Olimpija Riga 1584 0
11 1994-05-22 23.46% Torpedo Riga 1462 3 @ DAG Riga 1497 1
12 1994-07-16 23.51% @ Skonto Metals Rinar 1359 4 Blazma 1498 0
13 1994-10-22 25.18% @ Pardaugava Riga 1534 4 DAG Riga 1658 2
14 1994-04-23 27.07% @ Blazma 1377 1 Torpedo Riga 1486 0
15 1994-07-09 28.14% Olimpija Riga 1583 3 @ Torpedo Riga 1580 0
16 1994-05-28 28.66% Torpedo Riga 1507 2 @ Gemma Riga 1500 0
17 1994-06-11 29.91% @ Blazma 1440 3 Olimpija Riga 1527 2
18 1994-05-14 30.99% DAG Riga 1473 1 @ Skonto Metals Rinar 1448 0
19 1994-05-22 33.31% Gemma Riga 1466 4 @ Skonto Metals Rinar 1424 2
20 1994-09-24 33.49% Pardaugava Riga 1505 2 @ Torpedo Riga 1462 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-07-16 98.66 @ Skonto Metals Rinar 4 1359 23.51% Blazma 0 1498 46.26% 30.23%
2 1994-07-09 68.99 Olimpija Riga 3 1583 28.14% @ Torpedo Riga 0 1580 41.36% 30.50%
3 1994-08-28 66.80 Dinaburg 4 1422 42.26% @ Gemma Riga 0 1315 27.35% 30.38%
4 1994-08-06 61.07 Blazma 2 1399 15.12% @ Pardaugava Riga 0 1521 55.01% 29.87%
5 1994-06-18 58.51 @ Liepaja (Old) 2 1230 17.42% Gemma Riga 0 1430 52.78% 29.80%
6 1994-06-11 57.04 Torpedo Riga 2 1554 18.63% @ Pardaugava Riga 0 1636 51.21% 30.16%
7 1994-09-11 56.09 DAG Riga 3 1602 38.42% @ Torpedo Riga 0 1524 31.11% 30.47%
8 1994-04-23 54.82 @ DAG Riga 2 1419 20.77% Olimpija Riga 0 1584 49.16% 30.07%
9 1994-10-02 53.60 @ Gemma Riga 3 1237 40.34% Liepaja (Old) 0 1248 29.16% 30.51%
10 1994-04-17 51.59 DAG Riga 3 1368 16.39% @ Kimikis Daugavpils 1 1474 53.62% 29.99%
11 1994-07-02 47.25 Olimpija Riga 3 1536 45.15% @ Skonto Metals Rinar 0 1406 24.57% 30.28%
12 1994-05-28 47.04 Torpedo Riga 2 1507 28.66% @ Gemma Riga 0 1500 40.84% 30.50%
13 1994-05-22 45.01 Torpedo Riga 3 1462 23.46% @ DAG Riga 1 1497 46.15% 30.39%
14 1994-06-11 42.88 @ DAG Riga 5 1441 58.69% Liepaja (Old) 0 1273 11.87% 29.43%
15 1994-09-24 42.80 Pardaugava Riga 2 1505 33.49% @ Torpedo Riga 0 1462 35.99% 30.52%
16 1994-10-22 39.00 @ Pardaugava Riga 4 1534 25.18% DAG Riga 2 1658 44.51% 30.31%
17 1994-06-18 37.63 Jelgava 2 1698 39.56% @ Torpedo Riga 0 1611 29.99% 30.45%
18 1994-10-29 36.45 @ Blazma 2 1451 40.85% Skonto Metals Rinar 0 1458 28.65% 30.50%
19 1994-08-28 35.67 Pardaugava Riga 1 1472 10.32% @ Olimpija Riga 0 1667 60.55% 29.14%
20 1994-07-16 35.24 Gemma Riga 2 1315 8.06% @ Pardaugava Riga 1 1557 63.39% 28.54%
21 1994-06-11 34.76 @ Dinaburg 4 1505 58.71% Kimikis Daugavpils 0 1337 11.86% 29.43%
22 1994-05-08 34.69 Pardaugava Riga 3 1618 53.83% @ Kimikis Daugavpils 0 1407 16.48% 29.70%
23 1994-08-28 33.83 @ DAG Riga 3 1568 54.20% Skonto Metals Rinar 0 1455 15.86% 29.94%
24 1994-09-11 33.77 @ Kimikis Daugavpils 1 1235 13.14% Blazma 0 1490 57.62% 29.25%
25 1994-07-09 33.36 @ Blazma 3 1465 54.50% Gemma Riga 0 1348 15.58% 29.91%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-10-15 76.7 @ Skonto 2 1961 61.80% Jelgava 2 1747 9.30% 28.90%
2 1994-08-20 72.2 @ Blazma 2 1465 11.28% Jelgava 1 1749 59.83% 28.89%
3 1994-07-16 71.0 @ Olimpija Riga 1 1652 14.53% Skonto 1 1888 56.01% 29.46%
4 1994-10-22 69.2 @ Pardaugava Riga 4 1534 25.18% DAG Riga 2 1658 44.51% 30.31%
5 1994-04-23 68.8 @ Jelgava 1 1660 47.34% Pardaugava Riga 1 1615 22.31% 30.35%
6 1994-05-22 67.8 @ Olimpija Riga 1 1531 22.18% Jelgava 1 1682 47.67% 30.16%
7 1994-05-14 67.1 @ Pardaugava Riga 1 1653 55.43% Olimpija Riga 1 1526 14.74% 29.83%
8 1994-10-29 65.5 @ DAG Riga 0 1619 23.78% Jelgava 0 1756 45.98% 30.24%
9 1994-08-28 65.3 Pardaugava Riga 1 1472 10.32% @ Olimpija Riga 0 1667 60.55% 29.14%
10 1994-09-11 65.3 @ Jelgava 0 1726 52.45% Olimpija Riga 0 1632 17.47% 30.08%
11 1994-07-16 64.1 @ Jelgava 0 1726 62.00% DAG Riga 0 1508 9.14% 28.86%
12 1994-09-18 63.6 @ Skonto 3 1944 65.73% DAG Riga 2 1658 6.38% 27.89%
13 1994-06-11 63.4 @ Blazma 3 1440 29.91% Olimpija Riga 2 1527 39.64% 30.45%
14 1994-08-15 63.1 @ Olimpija Riga 0 1661 54.59% DAG Riga 0 1543 15.50% 29.91%
15 1994-05-22 62.4 @ Dinaburg 0 1529 25.99% Pardaugava Riga 0 1647 43.68% 30.34%
16 1994-06-11 62.2 Torpedo Riga 2 1554 18.63% @ Pardaugava Riga 0 1636 51.21% 30.16%
17 1994-07-16 62.0 Gemma Riga 2 1315 8.06% @ Pardaugava Riga 1 1557 63.39% 28.54%
18 1994-08-14 61.5 @ Torpedo Riga 1 1549 51.94% Blazma 1 1460 17.95% 30.11%
19 1994-05-08 61.4 @ Olimpija Riga 1 1529 47.71% Gemma Riga 1 1480 21.95% 30.34%
20 1994-04-17 61.1 @ Blazma 1 1371 13.49% Pardaugava Riga 1 1621 57.21% 29.30%
21 1994-06-18 61.1 @ Olimpija Riga 4 1505 37.15% Dinaburg 2 1540 32.32% 30.52%
22 1994-09-11 60.9 @ Pardaugava Riga 1 1508 44.23% Dinaburg 1 1489 25.32% 30.45%
23 1994-06-11 60.8 @ Skonto Metals Rinar 0 1400 10.10% Jelgava 0 1706 61.28% 28.62%
24 1994-10-15 60.3 @ Gemma Riga 1 1290 6.99% DAG Riga 1 1667 65.45% 27.56%
25 1994-07-02 59.8 Skonto 1 1867 45.36% @ Jelgava 0 1735 24.37% 30.27%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1994-06-11 33.7 @ DAG Riga 5 1441 58.69% Liepaja (Old) 0 1273 11.87% 29.43%
2 1994-08-06 34.6 @ DAG Riga 4 1517 62.40% Kimikis Daugavpils 0 1292 8.83% 28.77%
3 1994-10-02 35.1 @ Skonto Metals Rinar 2 1430 60.38% Kimikis Daugavpils 0 1238 10.46% 29.17%
4 1994-09-18 35.9 @ Blazma 2 1456 59.92% Liepaja (Old) 0 1270 10.84% 29.24%
5 1994-06-11 36.5 @ Dinaburg 4 1505 58.71% Kimikis Daugavpils 0 1337 11.86% 29.43%
6 1994-08-20 37.4 @ Skonto Metals Rinar 2 1433 55.70% Liepaja (Old) 0 1303 14.50% 29.80%
7 1994-07-09 37.8 @ Blazma 3 1465 54.50% Gemma Riga 0 1348 15.58% 29.91%
8 1994-08-28 37.8 Jelgava 3 1716 69.80% @ Kimikis Daugavpils 0 1245 4.31% 25.89%
9 1994-04-23 38.4 @ Dinaburg 2 1493 58.12% Liepaja (Old) 0 1332 12.36% 29.51%
10 1994-10-02 38.5 @ Gemma Riga 3 1237 40.34% Liepaja (Old) 0 1248 29.16% 30.51%
11 1994-10-22 38.5 @ Jelgava 5 1752 75.61% Liepaja (Old) 1 1197 1.65% 22.74%
12 1994-09-18 38.7 Olimpija Riga 2 1637 65.01% @ Kimikis Daugavpils 0 1269 7.30% 27.70%
13 1994-08-20 39.0 @ Pardaugava Riga 4 1452 59.93% Kimikis Daugavpils 1 1266 10.82% 29.24%
14 1994-08-28 39.2 Dinaburg 4 1422 42.26% @ Gemma Riga 0 1315 27.35% 30.38%
15 1994-07-02 39.9 @ Torpedo Riga 1 1574 64.88% Kimikis Daugavpils 0 1304 6.97% 28.14%
16 1994-09-24 40.3 DAG Riga 1 1653 66.61% @ Liepaja (Old) 0 1253 6.21% 27.18%
17 1994-07-02 40.4 @ DAG Riga 2 1485 54.27% Gemma Riga 0 1371 15.79% 29.93%
18 1994-10-19 40.8 Skonto 5 1956 79.10% @ Liepaja (Old) 0 1200 1.04% 19.86%
19 1994-07-09 41.2 Jelgava 2 1718 68.28% @ Liepaja (Old) 0 1283 5.17% 26.55%
20 1994-10-22 41.7 @ Skonto 10 1959 80.52% Kimikis Daugavpils 0 1225 0.67% 18.81%
21 1994-05-14 41.8 @ Jelgava 3 1668 66.14% Kimikis Daugavpils 0 1373 6.10% 27.75%
22 1994-09-22 41.8 @ Skonto 8 1949 79.88% Gemma Riga 0 1240 0.76% 19.35%
23 1994-08-06 42.4 Jelgava 4 1718 65.00% @ Gemma Riga 0 1350 7.30% 27.70%
24 1994-09-24 42.9 Dinaburg 3 1484 55.28% @ Kimikis Daugavpils 1 1257 15.18% 29.54%
25 1994-07-02 44.2 @ Pardaugava Riga 2 1551 64.49% Liepaja (Old) 1 1289 7.26% 28.26%