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1979-80 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Jeunesse Esch

5.37 points above expected

33 points · 27.63 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Rumelange

5.50 points below expected

11 points · 16.50 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 16 1 5 33 43 25 +18 27.63 +5.37
2 Differdange 03 22 14 4 4 32 51 21 +30 30.67 +1.33
3 Progres Niedercorn 22 11 8 3 30 58 28 +30 30.12 -0.12
4 Union Luxembourg 22 12 5 5 29 48 29 +19 25.73 +3.27
5 Grevenmacher 22 6 10 6 22 27 32 -5 21.55 +0.45
6 Spora Luxembourg 22 6 7 9 19 29 33 -4 16.08 +2.92
7 Stade Dudelange 22 7 5 10 19 29 33 -4 17.05 +1.95
8 Avenir Beggen 22 7 4 11 18 33 33 0 21.91 -3.91
9 Aris Bonnevoie 22 6 6 10 18 26 36 -10 18.68 -0.68
10 Etzella Ettelbruck 22 7 3 12 17 30 44 -14 19.86 -2.86
11 Chiers Rodange 22 6 4 12 16 18 44 -26 18.22 -2.22
12 Rumelange 22 4 3 15 11 21 55 -34 16.50 -5.50

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 33 27.63 +5.37
2 Union Luxembourg 29 25.73 +3.27
3 Spora Luxembourg 19 16.08 +2.92
4 Stade Dudelange 19 17.05 +1.95
5 Differdange 03 32 30.67 +1.33

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Rumelange 11 16.50 -5.50
2 Avenir Beggen 18 21.91 -3.91
3 Etzella Ettelbruck 17 19.86 -2.86
4 Chiers Rodange 16 18.22 -2.22
5 Aris Bonnevoie 18 18.68 -0.68

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Union Luxembourg 8 Dec 2 – Apr 6 1 in 190
2 Chiers Rodange 4 Oct 7 – Nov 11 1 in 64
3 Jeunesse Esch 5 Apr 6 – May 29 1 in 36
4 Spora Luxembourg 2 Oct 31 – Nov 4 1 in 27
5 Avenir Beggen 2 May 29 – Jun 3 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Avenir Beggen 4 Oct 7 – Nov 11 1 in 194
2 Grevenmacher 4 Apr 20 – Jun 3 1 in 42
3 Chiers Rodange 4 Apr 20 – Jun 3 1 in 32
4 Differdange 03 2 Sep 23 – Sep 30 1 in 21
5 Rumelange 4 Oct 31 – Dec 2 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Union Luxembourg 15 Sep 16 – Apr 6 1 in 301
2 Grevenmacher 8 Sep 2 – Nov 4 1 in 56
3 Chiers Rodange 5 Sep 30 – Nov 11 1 in 18
4 Differdange 03 11 Nov 4 – Apr 13 1 in 15
5 Spora Luxembourg 5 Apr 13 – Jun 3 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Progres Niedercorn 4 Oct 7 – Nov 11 1 in 41
2 Avenir Beggen 5 Sep 30 – Nov 11 1 in 39
3 Differdange 03 4 Sep 23 – Oct 31 1 in 22
4 Stade Dudelange 9 Jan 9 – Apr 20 1 in 14
5 Spora Luxembourg 10 Nov 11 – Apr 13 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1337 33 +39 8 5.8 +2.2
Differdange 03 1423 32 +0 8 7.4 +0.6
Progres Niedercorn 1386 30 +13 6 6.1 -0.1
Union Luxembourg 1309 29 -37 3 5.6 -2.6
Grevenmacher 1095 22 -100 2 4.4 -2.4
Spora Luxembourg 1129 19 +82 8 5.2 +2.8
Stade Dudelange 1129 19 +45 6 4.6 +1.4
Avenir Beggen 1233 18 +115 7 4.2 +2.8
Aris Bonnevoie 1095 18 -10 5 4.6 +0.4
Etzella Ettelbruck 1066 17 -43 4 4.1 -0.1
Chiers Rodange 1003 16 -61 1 4.0 -3.0
Rumelange 1021 11 -42 2 3.9 -1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB AB CR D0 EE GRE JE PN RUM SL SD UL
Aris Bonnevoie —
1-1-0
2.10
0-1-1
2.85
0-0-2
1.33
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.27
0-0-2
1.50
0-2-0
1.25
2-0-0
3.00
1-1-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
1.85
Avenir Beggen
0-1-1
3.43
 —
2-0-0
3.21
0-0-2
1.67
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
2.50
0-0-2
2.11
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
3.43
0-1-1
3.53
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
2.22
Chiers Rodange
1-1-0
2.67
0-0-2
2.31
 —
0-0-2
1.19
1-1-0
2.39
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
1.74
1-0-1
1.20
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
2.83
1-0-1
1.78
Differdange 03
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
3.87
2-0-0
4.38
 —
2-0-0
4.42
0-2-0
4.03
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.73
2-0-0
4.24
1-1-0
4.52
0-1-1
4.44
1-0-1
3.46
Etzella Ettelbruck
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.60
0-1-1
3.13
0-0-2
1.13
 —
1-0-1
2.63
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
1.42
2-0-0
3.02
0-0-2
3.47
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.04
Grevenmacher
2-0-0
3.25
0-0-2
3.02
1-1-0
3.15
0-2-0
1.51
1-0-1
2.89
 —
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
1.64
0-2-0
3.45
0-2-0
3.61
1-1-0
3.37
0-1-1
2.32
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
4.04
2-0-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.79
1-0-1
2.31
2-0-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.62
 —
0-0-2
2.48
1-0-1
4.17
2-0-0
4.23
2-0-0
4.11
1-0-1
3.06
Progres Niedercorn
0-2-0
4.30
1-1-0
4.01
1-0-1
4.36
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
4.12
0-1-1
3.89
2-0-0
3.04
 —
2-0-0
4.43
2-0-0
4.35
1-1-0
4.28
0-2-0
3.12
Rumelange
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.32
0-0-2
2.50
0-2-0
2.07
1-0-1
1.37
0-0-2
1.13
 —
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.77
0-0-2
1.95
Spora Luxembourg
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.01
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
1.04
2-0-0
2.06
0-2-0
1.92
0-0-2
1.32
0-0-2
1.20
1-1-0
3.01
 —
1-1-0
2.47
0-0-2
1.38
Stade Dudelange
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.16
2-0-0
2.69
1-1-0
1.12
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
1.43
0-1-1
1.27
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
3.05
 —
0-1-1
1.80
Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
3.68
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
3.76
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
3.48
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.46
0-2-0
2.40
2-0-0
3.59
2-0-0
4.16
1-1-0
3.75
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +5.1
Allowed 0.78 -6.8
Differential 0.89 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%5.68%5.68%4.55%1.14%1.89%24.24%
15.68%9.85%7.58%3.79%1.89%1.14%29.92%
25.68%7.58%7.58%4.17%0.76%—25.76%
34.55%3.79%4.17%—0.38%—12.88%
41.14%1.89%0.76%0.38%——4.17%
5+1.89%1.14%————3.03%
Total24.24%29.92%25.76%12.88%4.17%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.56 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.28
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%—13.64%——27.27%
19.09%13.64%9.09%——4.55%36.36%
29.09%—13.64%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%27.27%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.64 -0.45
SD 0.96 1.43 1.87
CV 0.81 0.88 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%—13.64%—4.55%31.82%
1—9.09%13.64%———22.73%
213.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
39.09%—————9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%27.27%22.73%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.77 1.34 2.71
CV 1.18 0.89 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%54.55%
14.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%22.73%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 2.00 -1.18
SD 1.05 1.83 2.36
CV 1.29 0.91 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
14.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
29.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
318.18%4.55%————22.73%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total40.91%31.82%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 0.95 +1.36
SD 1.64 1.00 1.99
CV 0.71 1.05 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%—9.09%—27.27%
19.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%—31.82%
3———————
4———4.55%——4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%27.27%18.18%13.64%18.18%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.00 -0.64
SD 1.29 1.54 2.08
CV 0.95 0.77 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%4.55%9.09%4.55%—4.55%45.45%
1—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
2——9.09%———9.09%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%31.82%4.55%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.45 -0.23
SD 1.38 1.71 2.29
CV 1.12 1.18 —
Max 4 8 +3
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
19.09%4.55%—9.09%——22.73%
222.73%22.73%—9.09%——54.55%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%40.91%9.09%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.14 +0.82
SD 1.00 1.08 1.56
CV 0.51 0.95 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
14.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
24.55%9.09%22.73%9.09%——45.45%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total31.82%27.27%27.27%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.27 +1.36
SD 2.13 1.16 2.77
CV 0.81 0.91 —
Max 9 4 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%——9.09%27.27%
19.09%9.09%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%54.55%
24.55%——9.09%——13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%13.64%27.27%18.18%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 2.50 -1.55
SD 0.79 2.18 2.44
CV 0.82 0.87 —
Max 3 9 +2
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—9.09%4.55%——18.18%
113.64%18.18%18.18%—4.55%—54.55%
2——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
3——4.55%———4.55%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total22.73%22.73%40.91%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.50 -0.18
SD 1.13 1.10 1.68
CV 0.86 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
1—13.64%4.55%13.64%——31.82%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.64%40.91%27.27%18.18%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.50 -0.18
SD 1.09 0.96 1.59
CV 0.82 0.64 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
14.55%13.64%4.55%———22.73%
2—9.09%9.09%———18.18%
34.55%9.09%9.09%—4.55%—27.27%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total18.18%40.91%36.36%—4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.32 +0.86
SD 1.44 0.95 1.83
CV 0.66 0.72 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Differdange 03 1423 32 30.67 +1.33 68.0% 23 24 28 31 33 36 38
Progres Niedercorn 1386 30 30.12 -0.12 51.0% 23 25 27 30 33 35 37
Jeunesse Esch 1337 33 27.63 +5.37 98.0% 19 21 25 28 31 33 35
Union Luxembourg 1309 29 25.73 +3.27 89.0% 16 19 23 26 28 31 34
Avenir Beggen 1233 18 21.91 -3.91 16.0% 14 15 20 22 25 27 30
Spora Luxembourg 1129 19 16.08 +2.92 82.0% 8 10 14 16 19 21 24
Stade Dudelange 1129 19 17.05 +1.95 76.0% 9 12 14 17 19 22 25
Grevenmacher 1095 22 21.55 +0.45 58.0% 12 15 19 21 24 28 30
Aris Bonnevoie 1095 18 18.68 -0.68 48.0% 9 12 17 19 21 24 26
Etzella Ettelbruck 1066 17 19.86 -2.86 29.0% 10 13 17 20 22 27 30
Rumelange 1021 11 16.50 -5.50 11.0% 8 11 13 17 19 22 28
Chiers Rodange 1003 16 18.22 -2.22 32.0% 10 12 16 18 21 25 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.67%
Strong Edge
46.97%22.73%30.30%
Elo Value
Home Edge
156 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
058.45400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
11%
Jeunesse Esch, 3rd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.41 * Lucky: 4.41 to 5.88 * Wild Swing: 5.88 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.33 * Close: 1.33 to 2 * Off: 2 to 2.66 * Way Off: 2.66 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.07 points
Some Luck
03.679
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Off
01.664
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Jeunesse Esch
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
11.00%
Rumelange
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 146.03
1.74
Moderate Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
79%
Wide Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
92%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Very Frequent
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Rare
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Notable Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.68
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.53
Some Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Solid Favorites
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.30
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.14
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.079
Well Within Noise
00.1380.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch11.00%24.00%26.00%20.00%12.00%4.00%1.00%2.00%————
Differdange 0343.00%31.00%14.00%6.00%5.00%1.00%——————
Progres Niedercorn40.00%29.00%18.00%9.00%4.00%———————
Union Luxembourg6.00%9.00%26.00%31.00%9.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%—1.00%1.00%
Grevenmacher—2.00%5.00%11.00%18.00%17.00%14.00%10.00%8.00%8.00%4.00%3.00%
Spora Luxembourg————2.00%4.00%9.00%11.00%17.00%14.00%24.00%19.00%
Stade Dudelange———1.00%3.00%10.00%14.00%9.00%18.00%13.00%12.00%20.00%
Avenir Beggen—1.00%6.00%12.00%18.00%22.00%12.00%13.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%1.00%
Aris Bonnevoie———3.00%6.00%14.00%13.00%14.00%16.00%16.00%9.00%9.00%
Etzella Ettelbruck—3.00%2.00%4.00%15.00%12.00%12.00%16.00%11.00%11.00%6.00%8.00%
Chiers Rodange——2.00%3.00%6.00%3.00%14.00%14.00%13.00%16.00%16.00%13.00%
Rumelange—1.00%1.00%—2.00%5.00%6.00%9.00%11.00%18.00%21.00%26.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Differdange 03 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Progres Niedercorn 100% —
Union Luxembourg 98.00% 2.00%
Grevenmacher 93.00% 7.00%
Avenir Beggen 92.00% 8.00%
Etzella Ettelbruck 86.00% 14.00%
Aris Bonnevoie 82.00% 18.00%
Chiers Rodange 71.00% 29.00%
Stade Dudelange 68.00% 32.00%
Spora Luxembourg 57.00% 43.00%
Rumelange 53.00% 47.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1979-09-02 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-028.1 1334 1109 69.03% 22.17% 8.80%+1.82 +9.0 2
1979-09-02 @ Differdange 03 L 0-328.1 1109 1334 8.80% 22.17% 69.03%-1.82 -9.0 0
1979-09-02 Chiers Rodange W 4-137.8 1149 1116 53.46% 23.89% 22.65%+0.59 +17.8 2
1979-09-02 @ Grevenmacher L 1-437.8 1116 1149 22.65% 23.89% 53.46%-0.59 -17.8 0
1979-09-02 Avenir Beggen W 1-037.7 1231 1225 50.30% 24.00% 25.70%+0.41 +8.5 2
1979-09-02 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-137.7 1225 1231 25.70% 24.00% 50.30%-0.41 -8.5 0
1979-09-02 Etzella Ettelbruck L 3-459.5 1225 1185 54.13% 23.86% 22.01%+0.63 -13.6 0
1979-09-02 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-359.5 1185 1225 22.01% 23.86% 54.13%-0.63 +13.6 2
1979-09-02 Progres Niedercorn L 1-436.7 1078 1325 19.08% 23.22% 57.70%-1.21 -15.3 0
1979-09-02 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-136.7 1325 1078 57.70% 23.22% 19.08%+1.21 +15.3 2
1979-09-02 Rumelange W 2-144.9 1095 1153 42.13% 24.11% 33.77%+0.00 +10.0 2
1979-09-02 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-244.9 1153 1095 33.77% 24.11% 42.13%+0.00 -10.0 0
1979-09-09 Grevenmacher L 2-352.3 1100 1167 40.85% 24.10% 35.05%-0.06 -11.0 0
1979-09-09 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-252.3 1167 1100 35.05% 24.10% 40.85%+0.06 +11.0 4
1979-09-09 Union Luxembourg W 2-039.9 1098 1211 34.41% 24.03% 41.56%-0.35 +23.4 2
1979-09-09 @ Chiers Rodange L 0-239.9 1211 1098 41.56% 24.03% 34.41%+0.35 -23.4 0
1979-09-09 Jeunesse Esch L 1-543.1 1199 1240 44.47% 24.10% 31.43%+0.11 -39.2 2
1979-09-09 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 5-143.1 1240 1199 31.43% 24.10% 44.47%-0.11 +39.1 4
1979-09-09 Avenir Beggen D 2-258.1 1340 1217 62.02% 23.28% 14.70%+1.16 -2.4 3
1979-09-09 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-258.1 1217 1340 14.70% 23.28% 62.02%-1.16 +2.4 1
1979-09-09 Differdange 03 L 1-340.3 1143 1343 23.79% 23.60% 52.61%-0.91 -13.0 0
1979-09-09 @ Rumelange W 3-140.3 1343 1143 52.61% 23.60% 23.79%+0.91 +13.0 4
1979-09-09 Stade Dudelange W 3-249.5 1062 1105 44.16% 24.10% 31.75%+0.10 +9.0 2
1979-09-09 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-349.5 1105 1062 31.75% 24.10% 44.16%-0.10 -9.0 2
1979-09-16 Etzella Ettelbruck D 1-151.9 1219 1160 56.21% 23.75% 20.04%+0.76 -2.4 2
1979-09-16 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-151.9 1160 1219 20.04% 23.75% 56.21%-0.76 +2.4 3
1979-09-16 Spora Luxembourg W 2-136.1 1356 1071 72.17% 21.34% 6.50%+2.20 +2.3 6
1979-09-16 @ Differdange 03 L 1-236.1 1071 1356 6.50% 21.34% 72.17%-2.20 -2.3 2
1979-09-16 Rumelange D 1-151.8 1178 1130 55.03% 23.82% 21.15%+0.68 -2.2 5
1979-09-16 @ Grevenmacher D 1-151.8 1130 1178 21.15% 23.82% 55.03%-0.68 +2.2 1
1979-09-16 Chiers Rodange D 1-152.2 1279 1122 64.65% 22.96% 12.39%+1.38 -3.6 5
1979-09-16 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-152.2 1122 1279 12.39% 22.96% 64.65%-1.38 +3.6 3
1979-09-16 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-151.9 1188 1089 59.96% 23.48% 16.56%+1.01 -2.9 1
1979-09-16 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-151.9 1089 1188 16.56% 23.48% 59.96%-1.01 +2.9 1
1979-09-16 Progres Niedercorn L 0-135.6 1096 1337 19.61% 23.27% 57.12%-1.17 -6.8 2
1979-09-16 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-035.6 1337 1096 57.12% 23.27% 19.61%+1.17 +6.8 5
1979-09-23 Jeunesse Esch L 1-242.4 1092 1275 25.59% 23.71% 50.70%-0.80 -8.0 1
1979-09-23 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-142.4 1275 1092 50.70% 23.71% 25.59%+0.80 +8.0 7
1979-09-23 Avenir Beggen L 0-337.1 1125 1217 37.41% 24.08% 38.52%-0.21 -31.3 3
1979-09-23 @ Chiers Rodange W 3-037.1 1217 1125 38.52% 24.08% 37.41%+0.21 +31.4 4
1979-09-23 Etzella Ettelbruck D 2-258.1 1344 1162 66.37% 22.69% 10.94%+1.54 -2.9 6
1979-09-23 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-258.1 1162 1344 10.94% 22.69% 66.37%-1.54 +2.9 4
1979-09-23 Union Luxembourg L 2-352.9 1132 1185 42.87% 24.10% 33.03%+0.04 -11.4 1
1979-09-23 @ Rumelange W 3-252.9 1185 1132 33.03% 24.10% 42.87%-0.04 +11.4 3
1979-09-23 Grevenmacher D 1-151.7 1069 1176 35.25% 24.05% 40.71%-0.31 +0.3 3
1979-09-23 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-151.7 1176 1069 40.71% 24.05% 35.25%+0.31 -0.3 6
1979-09-23 Differdange 03 W 3-150.8 1089 1358 17.22% 23.01% 59.77%-1.35 +27.9 4
1979-09-23 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-350.8 1358 1089 59.77% 23.01% 17.22%+1.35 -27.9 6
1979-09-30 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-152.1 1248 1084 65.16% 22.88% 11.96%+1.43 -3.7 5
1979-09-30 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-152.1 1084 1248 11.96% 22.88% 65.16%-1.43 +3.7 2
1979-09-30 Progres Niedercorn L 1-250.7 1330 1341 48.24% 24.05% 27.71%+0.30 -13.3 6
1979-09-30 @ Differdange 03 W 2-150.7 1341 1330 27.71% 24.05% 48.24%-0.30 +13.3 8
1979-09-30 Chiers Rodange D 0-047.8 1165 1094 57.39% 23.68% 18.93%+0.83 -2.9 5
1979-09-30 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 0-047.8 1094 1165 18.93% 23.68% 57.39%-0.83 +2.9 4
1979-09-30 Stade Dudelange W 3-138.9 1176 1117 56.09% 23.76% 20.15%+0.75 +11.4 8
1979-09-30 @ Grevenmacher L 1-338.9 1117 1176 20.15% 23.76% 56.09%-0.75 -11.4 4
1979-09-30 Rumelange W 2-030.8 1283 1121 65.01% 22.90% 12.08%+1.42 +8.4 9
1979-09-30 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-230.8 1121 1283 12.08% 22.90% 65.01%-1.42 -8.4 1
1979-09-30 Spora Luxembourg W 3-244.1 1196 1069 62.34% 23.25% 14.41%+1.19 +4.7 5
1979-09-30 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-344.1 1069 1196 14.41% 23.25% 62.34%-1.19 -4.7 3
1979-10-07 Etzella Ettelbruck W 1-040.5 1088 1162 39.81% 24.10% 36.09%-0.10 +11.1 4
1979-10-07 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-140.5 1162 1088 36.09% 24.10% 39.81%+0.10 -11.1 5
1979-10-07 Progres Niedercorn W 3-257.6 1097 1355 18.13% 23.12% 58.75%-1.28 +15.1 6
1979-10-07 @ Chiers Rodange L 2-357.6 1355 1097 58.75% 23.12% 18.13%+1.28 -15.0 8
1979-10-07 Grevenmacher D 0-048.4 1317 1187 62.57% 23.22% 14.21%+1.21 -3.7 7
1979-10-07 @ Differdange 03 D 0-048.4 1187 1317 14.21% 23.22% 62.57%-1.21 +3.7 9
1979-10-07 Avenir Beggen W 1-043.0 1113 1244 31.88% 23.97% 44.15%-0.47 +13.0 3
1979-10-07 @ Rumelange L 0-143.0 1244 1113 44.15% 23.97% 31.88%+0.47 -13.0 5
1979-10-07 Jeunesse Esch L 0-233.5 1065 1292 20.98% 23.40% 55.63%-1.08 -13.5 3
1979-10-07 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-033.5 1292 1065 55.63% 23.40% 20.98%+1.08 +13.5 11
1979-10-07 Union Luxembourg D 1-151.8 1106 1201 36.92% 24.07% 39.01%-0.23 +0.1 5
1979-10-07 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-151.8 1201 1106 39.01% 24.07% 36.92%+0.23 -0.1 6
1979-10-31 Spora Luxembourg L 0-149.2 1231 1051 66.27% 22.71% 11.03%+1.53 -19.1 5
1979-10-31 @ Avenir Beggen W 1-049.2 1051 1231 11.03% 22.71% 66.27%-1.53 +19.1 5
1979-10-31 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-037.1 1112 1099 51.16% 23.98% 24.86%+0.46 +8.3 8
1979-10-31 @ Chiers Rodange L 0-137.1 1099 1112 24.86% 23.98% 51.16%-0.46 -8.3 4
1979-10-31 Rumelange W 5-032.4 1151 1126 52.59% 23.93% 23.49%+0.54 +35.0 7
1979-10-31 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-532.4 1126 1151 23.49% 23.93% 52.59%-0.54 -35.0 3
1979-10-31 Stade Dudelange W 2-137.5 1305 1106 67.48% 22.49% 10.03%+1.65 +3.5 13
1979-10-31 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-237.5 1106 1305 10.03% 22.49% 67.48%-1.65 -3.5 5
1979-10-31 Grevenmacher D 0-048.5 1340 1191 64.04% 23.04% 12.92%+1.33 -4.0 9
1979-10-31 @ Progres Niedercorn D 0-048.5 1191 1340 12.92% 23.04% 64.04%-1.33 +4.0 10
1979-10-31 Differdange 03 W 2-147.6 1201 1313 34.52% 24.03% 41.45%-0.35 +11.7 8
1979-10-31 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-247.6 1313 1201 41.45% 24.03% 34.52%+0.35 -11.7 7
1979-11-04 Progres Niedercorn D 2-257.7 1091 1336 19.26% 23.24% 57.50%-1.20 +1.9 5
1979-11-04 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 2-257.7 1336 1091 57.50% 23.24% 19.26%+1.20 -1.9 10
1979-11-04 Jeunesse Esch W 2-036.5 1301 1309 48.74% 24.04% 27.22%+0.33 +16.9 9
1979-11-04 @ Differdange 03 L 0-236.5 1309 1301 27.22% 24.04% 48.74%-0.33 -16.8 13
1979-11-04 Union Luxembourg D 1-151.9 1195 1213 47.41% 24.06% 28.53%+0.26 -1.2 11
1979-11-04 @ Grevenmacher D 1-151.9 1213 1195 28.53% 24.06% 47.41%-0.26 +1.2 9
1979-11-04 Chiers Rodange L 1-346.7 1091 1120 45.92% 24.08% 29.99%+0.19 -22.0 3
1979-11-04 @ Rumelange W 3-146.7 1120 1091 29.99% 24.08% 45.92%-0.19 +22.0 10
1979-11-04 Etzella Ettelbruck W 1-042.3 1070 1186 34.01% 24.02% 41.97%-0.37 +12.5 7
1979-11-04 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-142.3 1186 1070 41.97% 24.02% 34.01%+0.37 -12.5 7
1979-11-04 Avenir Beggen W 2-147.1 1103 1212 34.85% 24.04% 41.11%-0.33 +11.6 7
1979-11-04 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-247.1 1212 1103 41.11% 24.04% 34.85%+0.33 -11.6 5
1979-11-11 Rumelange W 3-247.1 1092 1069 52.39% 23.93% 23.68%+0.53 +7.1 7
1979-11-11 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-347.1 1069 1092 23.68% 23.93% 52.39%-0.53 -7.2 3
1979-11-11 Differdange 03 L 0-336.4 1201 1318 33.80% 24.02% 42.18%-0.38 -29.0 5
1979-11-11 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-036.4 1318 1201 42.18% 24.02% 33.80%+0.38 +29.0 11
1979-11-11 Spora Luxembourg W 2-140.7 1142 1083 56.22% 23.75% 20.03%+0.76 +6.5 12
1979-11-11 @ Chiers Rodange L 1-240.7 1083 1142 20.03% 23.75% 56.22%-0.76 -6.5 7
1979-11-11 Stade Dudelange W 1-035.6 1174 1114 56.22% 23.75% 20.03%+0.76 +6.9 9
1979-11-11 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-135.6 1114 1174 20.03% 23.75% 56.22%-0.76 -6.9 7
1979-11-11 Grevenmacher W 2-032.5 1292 1193 59.91% 23.49% 16.61%+1.01 +11.1 15
1979-11-11 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-232.5 1193 1292 16.61% 23.49% 59.91%-1.01 -11.2 11
1979-11-11 Union Luxembourg D 2-258.1 1334 1214 61.77% 23.31% 14.92%+1.15 -2.4 11
1979-11-11 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-258.1 1214 1334 14.92% 23.31% 61.77%-1.15 +2.4 10
1979-12-02 Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-240.9 1347 1181 65.33% 22.86% 11.81%+1.44 +6.3 13
1979-12-02 @ Differdange 03 L 2-440.9 1181 1347 11.81% 22.86% 65.33%-1.44 -6.3 9
1979-12-02 Avenir Beggen L 0-242.7 1182 1172 50.87% 23.98% 25.15%+0.44 -27.8 11
1979-12-02 @ Grevenmacher W 2-042.7 1172 1182 25.15% 23.98% 50.87%-0.44 +27.8 7
1979-12-02 Jeunesse Esch W 3-144.7 1216 1303 38.09% 24.08% 37.82%-0.18 +18.9 12
1979-12-02 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-344.7 1303 1216 37.82% 24.08% 38.09%+0.18 -18.8 15
1979-12-02 Progres Niedercorn L 0-232.3 1062 1331 17.12% 23.00% 59.88%-1.36 -11.3 3
1979-12-02 @ Rumelange W 2-032.3 1331 1062 59.88% 23.00% 17.12%+1.36 +11.3 13
1979-12-02 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-241.4 1076 1100 46.71% 24.07% 29.21%+0.23 -25.8 7
1979-12-02 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-041.4 1100 1076 29.21% 24.07% 46.71%-0.23 +25.8 9
1979-12-02 Chiers Rodange W 2-144.2 1107 1149 44.34% 24.10% 31.56%+0.11 +9.5 9
1979-12-02 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-244.2 1149 1107 31.56% 24.10% 44.34%-0.11 -9.5 12
1980-01-09 Stade Dudelange W 2-035.0 1125 1117 50.65% 23.99% 25.36%+0.43 +15.9 11
1980-01-09 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-235.0 1117 1125 25.36% 23.99% 50.65%-0.43 -15.9 9
1980-01-09 Union Luxembourg L 0-539.2 1200 1235 45.16% 24.09% 30.75%+0.15 -58.7 7
1980-01-09 @ Avenir Beggen W 5-039.2 1235 1200 30.75% 24.09% 45.16%-0.15 +58.7 14
1980-01-09 Differdange 03 L 0-234.2 1139 1354 22.23% 23.50% 54.27%-1.00 -14.2 12
1980-01-09 @ Chiers Rodange W 2-034.2 1354 1139 54.27% 23.50% 22.23%+1.00 +14.2 15
1980-01-09 Grevenmacher L 1-348.5 1174 1155 51.93% 23.95% 24.12%+0.50 -24.6 9
1980-01-09 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-148.5 1155 1174 24.12% 23.95% 51.93%-0.50 +24.6 13
1980-01-09 Jeunesse Esch W 3-139.9 1343 1284 56.13% 23.76% 20.11%+0.75 +11.4 15
1980-01-09 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-339.9 1284 1343 20.11% 23.76% 56.13%-0.75 -11.4 15
1980-01-09 Spora Luxembourg D 1-151.7 1050 1050 49.59% 24.02% 26.39%+0.37 -1.5 4
1980-01-09 @ Rumelange D 1-151.7 1050 1050 26.39% 24.02% 49.59%-0.37 +1.5 8
1980-01-13 Union Luxembourg L 0-138.6 1141 1294 29.26% 23.88% 46.85%-0.60 -9.4 11
1980-01-13 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 1-038.6 1294 1141 46.85% 23.88% 29.26%+0.60 +9.5 16
1980-01-13 Jeunesse Esch L 0-236.4 1125 1273 29.87% 23.90% 46.23%-0.57 -18.1 12
1980-01-13 @ Chiers Rodange W 2-036.4 1273 1125 46.23% 23.90% 29.87%+0.57 +18.1 17
1980-01-13 Avenir Beggen W 2-142.4 1150 1141 50.65% 23.99% 25.36%+0.43 +8.0 11
1980-01-13 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-242.4 1141 1150 25.36% 23.99% 50.65%-0.43 -8.0 7
1980-01-13 Stade Dudelange D 1-152.7 1354 1101 70.60% 21.78% 7.62%+2.00 -4.5 16
1980-01-13 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.7 1101 1354 7.62% 21.78% 70.60%-2.00 +4.5 10
1980-01-13 Grevenmacher D 0-047.7 1049 1179 32.08% 23.97% 43.94%-0.46 +0.8 5
1980-01-13 @ Rumelange D 0-047.7 1179 1049 43.94% 23.97% 32.08%+0.46 -0.8 14
1980-01-13 Differdange 03 D 1-152.4 1052 1368 13.67% 22.49% 63.84%-1.65 +3.4 9
1980-01-13 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.4 1368 1052 63.84% 22.49% 13.67%+1.65 -3.5 16
1980-01-27 Differdange 03 L 1-634.8 1132 1364 20.43% 23.35% 56.22%-1.12 -25.6 11
1980-01-27 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 6-134.8 1364 1132 56.22% 23.35% 20.43%+1.12 +25.6 18
1980-01-27 Jeunesse Esch L 2-348.7 1133 1291 28.60% 23.86% 47.55%-0.64 -8.3 7
1980-01-27 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-248.7 1291 1133 47.55% 23.86% 28.60%+0.64 +8.3 19
1980-01-27 Grevenmacher D 0-047.7 1107 1178 40.28% 24.10% 35.61%-0.08 -0.3 13
1980-01-27 @ Chiers Rodange D 0-047.7 1178 1107 35.61% 24.10% 40.28%+0.08 +0.3 15
1980-01-27 Union Luxembourg L 2-446.5 1158 1303 30.13% 23.91% 45.95%-0.56 -14.1 11
1980-01-27 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-246.5 1303 1158 45.95% 23.91% 30.13%+0.56 +14.1 18
1980-01-27 Spora Luxembourg W 3-026.9 1349 1055 72.63% 21.19% 6.18%+2.26 +6.3 18
1980-01-27 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-326.9 1055 1349 6.18% 21.19% 72.63%-2.26 -6.3 9
1980-01-27 Stade Dudelange W 2-037.4 1050 1105 42.43% 24.11% 33.47%+0.02 +19.8 7
1980-01-27 @ Rumelange L 0-237.4 1105 1050 33.47% 24.11% 42.43%-0.02 -19.8 10
1980-02-03 Progres Niedercorn L 1-241.1 1125 1356 20.56% 23.36% 56.08%-1.11 -6.6 7
1980-02-03 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-141.1 1356 1125 56.08% 23.36% 20.56%+1.11 +6.7 20
1980-02-03 Rumelange W 6-129.4 1390 1069 73.82% 20.78% 5.40%+2.43 +7.4 20
1980-02-03 @ Differdange 03 L 1-629.4 1069 1390 5.40% 20.78% 73.82%-2.43 -7.4 7
1980-02-03 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-031.4 1179 1106 57.49% 23.67% 18.83%+0.84 +18.0 17
1980-02-03 @ Grevenmacher L 0-331.4 1106 1179 18.83% 23.67% 57.49%-0.84 -18.0 11
1980-02-03 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-031.0 1299 1144 64.53% 22.97% 12.49%+1.37 +8.6 21
1980-02-03 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-231.0 1144 1299 12.49% 22.97% 64.53%-1.37 -8.6 11
1980-02-03 Chiers Rodange W 4-027.7 1317 1107 68.19% 22.35% 9.46%+1.73 +12.6 20
1980-02-03 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-427.7 1107 1317 9.46% 22.35% 68.19%-1.73 -12.6 13
1980-02-03 Spora Luxembourg D 1-151.7 1085 1049 53.80% 23.88% 22.32%+0.61 -2.0 11
1980-02-03 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-151.7 1049 1085 22.32% 23.88% 53.80%-0.61 +2.0 10
1980-03-09 Chiers Rodange W 3-032.8 1118 1094 52.42% 23.93% 23.65%+0.53 +21.8 9
1980-03-09 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-332.8 1094 1118 23.65% 23.93% 52.42%-0.53 -21.8 13
1980-03-09 Stade Dudelange D 0-049.0 1397 1083 73.53% 20.88% 5.59%+2.39 -5.5 21
1980-03-09 @ Differdange 03 D 0-049.0 1083 1397 5.59% 20.88% 73.53%-2.39 +5.5 12
1980-03-09 Progres Niedercorn L 0-431.7 1135 1362 20.90% 23.39% 55.71%-1.09 -25.6 11
1980-03-09 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-031.7 1362 1135 55.71% 23.39% 20.90%+1.09 +25.6 22
1980-03-09 Spora Luxembourg D 0-048.0 1197 1051 63.80% 23.07% 13.13%+1.31 -3.9 18
1980-03-09 @ Grevenmacher D 0-048.0 1051 1197 13.13% 23.07% 63.80%-1.31 +3.9 11
1980-03-09 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-032.0 1308 1088 68.72% 22.23% 9.04%+1.78 +3.4 23
1980-03-09 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-132.0 1088 1308 9.04% 22.23% 68.72%-1.78 -3.4 11
1980-03-09 Rumelange W 4-132.6 1330 1062 71.35% 21.58% 7.07%+2.09 +6.1 22
1980-03-09 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-432.6 1062 1330 7.07% 21.58% 71.35%-2.09 -6.1 7
1980-03-16 Avenir Beggen W 3-035.8 1085 1140 42.52% 24.10% 33.38%+0.02 +28.7 13
1980-03-16 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-335.8 1140 1085 33.38% 24.10% 42.52%-0.02 -28.7 9
1980-03-16 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-144.0 1072 1109 44.93% 24.09% 30.98%+0.14 +9.3 15
1980-03-16 @ Chiers Rodange L 1-244.0 1109 1072 30.98% 24.09% 44.93%-0.14 -9.3 11
1980-03-16 Differdange 03 L 1-448.9 1388 1392 49.15% 24.03% 26.82%+0.35 -33.1 22
1980-03-16 @ Progres Niedercorn W 4-148.9 1392 1388 26.82% 24.03% 49.15%-0.35 +33.1 23
1980-03-16 Jeunesse Esch W 3-257.4 1056 1311 18.36% 23.14% 58.50%-1.26 +15.0 9
1980-03-16 @ Rumelange L 2-357.4 1311 1056 58.50% 23.14% 18.36%+1.26 -15.0 23
1980-03-16 Union Luxembourg L 1-239.4 1055 1336 16.22% 22.88% 60.90%-1.43 -5.4 11
1980-03-16 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-139.4 1336 1055 60.90% 22.88% 16.22%+1.43 +5.4 24
1980-03-16 Grevenmacher D 2-257.3 1089 1193 35.68% 24.05% 40.27%-0.29 +0.2 13
1980-03-16 @ Stade Dudelange D 2-257.3 1193 1089 40.27% 24.05% 35.68%+0.29 -0.2 19
1980-04-06 Rumelange W 2-141.3 1111 1071 54.22% 23.86% 21.93%+0.63 +7.1 11
1980-04-06 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-241.3 1071 1111 21.93% 23.86% 54.22%-0.63 -7.1 9
1980-04-06 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-143.1 1100 1114 47.95% 24.05% 28.00%+0.29 +8.6 13
1980-04-06 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-243.1 1114 1100 28.00% 24.05% 47.95%-0.29 -8.6 13
1980-04-06 Differdange 03 D 2-258.5 1192 1425 20.44% 23.35% 56.21%-1.12 +1.8 20
1980-04-06 @ Grevenmacher D 2-258.5 1425 1192 56.21% 23.35% 20.44%+1.12 -1.8 24
1980-04-06 Spora Luxembourg W 2-136.6 1296 1050 70.24% 21.88% 7.88%+1.96 +2.8 25
1980-04-06 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-236.6 1050 1296 7.88% 21.88% 70.24%-1.96 -2.8 11
1980-04-06 Chiers Rodange W 8-028.2 1355 1082 71.63% 21.50% 6.87%+2.13 +17.7 24
1980-04-06 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-828.2 1082 1355 6.87% 21.50% 71.63%-2.13 -17.7 15
1980-04-06 Stade Dudelange W 3-134.7 1341 1089 70.55% 21.80% 7.65%+1.99 +4.7 26
1980-04-06 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-334.7 1089 1341 7.65% 21.80% 70.55%-1.99 -4.7 13
1980-04-13 Chiers Rodange D 2-257.3 1105 1064 54.30% 23.85% 21.85%+0.64 -1.6 14
1980-04-13 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 2-257.3 1064 1105 21.85% 23.85% 54.30%-0.64 +1.6 16
1980-04-13 Union Luxembourg W 1-038.0 1423 1346 57.96% 23.64% 18.40%+0.87 +6.5 26
1980-04-13 @ Differdange 03 L 0-138.0 1346 1423 18.40% 23.64% 57.96%-0.87 -6.5 26
1980-04-13 Progres Niedercorn W 3-255.6 1194 1373 26.13% 23.74% 50.13%-0.77 +13.0 22
1980-04-13 @ Grevenmacher L 2-355.6 1373 1194 50.13% 23.74% 26.13%+0.77 -13.0 24
1980-04-13 Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-247.9 1064 1109 43.91% 24.10% 31.99%+0.09 -12.3 9
1980-04-13 @ Rumelange W 2-147.9 1109 1064 31.99% 24.10% 43.91%-0.09 +12.2 15
1980-04-13 Avenir Beggen D 2-257.2 1047 1118 40.25% 24.10% 35.65%-0.08 -0.2 12
1980-04-13 @ Spora Luxembourg D 2-257.2 1118 1047 35.65% 24.10% 40.25%+0.08 +0.2 12
1980-04-13 Jeunesse Esch L 1-339.5 1084 1299 22.22% 23.49% 54.29%-1.00 -12.3 13
1980-04-13 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-139.5 1299 1084 54.29% 23.49% 22.22%+1.00 +12.3 27
1980-04-20 Stade Dudelange W 2-033.7 1118 1072 54.86% 23.83% 21.32%+0.67 +13.8 14
1980-04-20 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-233.7 1072 1118 21.32% 23.83% 54.86%-0.67 -13.8 13
1980-04-20 Rumelange L 0-145.0 1065 1052 51.26% 23.97% 24.77%+0.46 -14.9 16
1980-04-20 @ Chiers Rodange W 1-045.0 1052 1065 24.77% 23.97% 51.26%-0.46 +14.9 11
1980-04-20 Spora Luxembourg L 0-442.4 1121 1047 57.69% 23.66% 18.65%+0.85 -59.4 15
1980-04-20 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-042.4 1047 1121 18.65% 23.66% 57.69%-0.85 +59.4 14
1980-04-20 Differdange 03 W 3-148.0 1311 1430 33.67% 24.01% 42.32%-0.39 +20.6 29
1980-04-20 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-348.0 1430 1311 42.32% 24.01% 33.67%+0.39 -20.6 26
1980-04-20 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-152.7 1360 1103 70.77% 21.74% 7.49%+2.02 -4.5 25
1980-04-20 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-152.7 1103 1360 7.49% 21.74% 70.77%-2.02 +4.5 15
1980-04-20 Grevenmacher W 3-030.3 1340 1207 62.77% 23.20% 14.03%+1.22 +13.9 28
1980-04-20 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-330.3 1207 1340 14.03% 23.20% 62.77%-1.22 -13.9 22
1980-05-15 Avenir Beggen W 3-027.6 1409 1132 71.80% 21.45% 6.75%+2.15 +6.9 28
1980-05-15 @ Differdange 03 L 0-327.6 1132 1409 6.75% 21.45% 71.80%-2.15 -6.9 14
1980-05-15 Jeunesse Esch L 1-244.5 1193 1332 31.03% 23.94% 45.02%-0.51 -9.3 22
1980-05-15 @ Grevenmacher W 2-144.5 1332 1193 45.02% 23.94% 31.03%+0.51 +9.3 31
1980-05-15 Progres Niedercorn D 2-259.2 1353 1355 49.41% 24.02% 26.57%+0.36 -1.1 29
1980-05-15 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-259.2 1355 1353 26.57% 24.02% 49.41%-0.36 +1.1 26
1980-05-15 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-143.0 1066 1108 44.35% 24.10% 31.55%+0.11 -13.1 11
1980-05-15 @ Rumelange W 1-043.0 1108 1066 31.55% 24.10% 44.35%-0.11 +13.1 17
1980-05-15 Chiers Rodange W 1-035.7 1106 1051 55.81% 23.78% 20.42%+0.73 +7.1 16
1980-05-15 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-135.7 1051 1106 20.42% 23.78% 55.81%-0.73 -7.1 16
1980-05-15 Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-248.0 1058 1061 49.24% 24.03% 26.73%+0.36 +7.9 15
1980-05-15 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-348.0 1061 1058 26.73% 24.03% 49.24%-0.36 -7.9 15
1980-05-29 Spora Luxembourg D 2-257.3 1121 1113 50.56% 23.99% 25.44%+0.43 -1.2 18
1980-05-29 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 2-257.3 1113 1121 25.44% 23.99% 50.56%-0.43 +1.2 17
1980-05-29 Grevenmacher W 8-036.9 1125 1184 42.03% 24.11% 33.86%+0.00 +73.0 16
1980-05-29 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-836.9 1184 1125 33.86% 24.11% 42.03%+0.00 -73.0 22
1980-05-29 Stade Dudelange L 0-339.8 1044 1066 46.79% 24.07% 29.13%+0.23 -37.6 16
1980-05-29 @ Chiers Rodange W 3-039.8 1066 1044 29.13% 24.07% 46.79%-0.23 +37.5 17
1980-05-29 Differdange 03 L 1-237.7 1054 1416 10.86% 21.89% 67.25%-1.95 -3.7 15
1980-05-29 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-137.7 1416 1054 67.25% 21.89% 10.86%+1.95 +3.7 30
1980-05-29 Union Luxembourg W 2-144.8 1341 1352 48.22% 24.05% 27.73%+0.30 +8.5 33
1980-05-29 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-244.8 1352 1341 27.73% 24.05% 48.22%-0.30 -8.6 29
1980-05-29 Rumelange W 9-027.9 1356 1053 73.04% 21.05% 5.91%+2.32 +17.0 28
1980-05-29 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-927.9 1053 1356 5.91% 21.05% 73.04%-2.32 -17.0 11
1980-06-03 Chiers Rodange W 3-025.5 1420 1006 77.44% 19.20% 3.36%+3.03 +3.3 32
1980-06-03 @ Differdange 03 L 0-325.5 1006 1420 3.36% 19.20% 77.44%-3.03 -3.4 16
1980-06-03 Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-146.5 1111 1050 56.38% 23.74% 19.87%+0.77 -16.2 22
1980-06-03 @ Grevenmacher W 1-046.5 1050 1111 19.87% 23.74% 56.38%-0.77 +16.2 17
1980-06-03 Progres Niedercorn L 2-356.2 1350 1373 46.67% 24.07% 29.26%+0.22 -12.2 33
1980-06-03 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-256.2 1373 1350 29.26% 24.07% 46.67%-0.22 +12.2 30
1980-06-03 Avenir Beggen L 0-246.8 1344 1198 63.79% 23.07% 13.14%+1.31 -34.6 29
1980-06-03 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-046.8 1198 1344 13.14% 23.07% 63.79%-1.31 +34.6 18
1980-06-03 Rumelange W 4-136.4 1114 1036 58.04% 23.64% 18.33%+0.88 +14.9 19
1980-06-03 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-436.4 1036 1114 18.33% 23.64% 58.04%-0.88 -14.9 11
1980-06-03 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-034.3 1104 1120 47.64% 24.06% 28.30%+0.27 +25.2 19
1980-06-03 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-334.3 1120 1104 28.30% 24.06% 47.64%-0.27 -25.2 18

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1979-10-31 11.03% Spora Luxembourg 1051 1 @ Avenir Beggen 1231 0
2 1980-06-03 13.14% Avenir Beggen 1198 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1344 0
3 1979-09-23 17.22% @ Stade Dudelange 1089 3 Differdange 03 1358 1
4 1979-10-07 18.13% @ Chiers Rodange 1097 3 Progres Niedercorn 1355 2
5 1980-03-16 18.36% @ Rumelange 1056 3 Jeunesse Esch 1311 2
6 1980-04-20 18.65% Spora Luxembourg 1047 4 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1121 0
7 1980-06-03 19.87% Etzella Ettelbruck 1050 1 @ Grevenmacher 1111 0
8 1979-09-02 22.01% Etzella Ettelbruck 1185 4 @ Union Luxembourg 1225 3
9 1980-01-09 24.12% Grevenmacher 1155 3 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1174 1
10 1980-04-20 24.77% Rumelange 1052 1 @ Chiers Rodange 1065 0
11 1979-12-02 25.15% Avenir Beggen 1172 2 @ Grevenmacher 1182 0
12 1980-04-13 26.13% @ Grevenmacher 1194 3 Progres Niedercorn 1373 2
13 1980-03-16 26.82% Differdange 03 1392 4 @ Progres Niedercorn 1388 1
14 1979-09-30 27.71% Progres Niedercorn 1341 2 @ Differdange 03 1330 1
15 1980-05-29 29.13% Stade Dudelange 1066 3 @ Chiers Rodange 1044 0
16 1979-12-02 29.21% Aris Bonnevoie 1100 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1076 0
17 1980-06-03 29.26% Progres Niedercorn 1373 3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1350 2
18 1979-11-04 29.99% Chiers Rodange 1120 3 @ Rumelange 1091 1
19 1980-01-09 30.75% Union Luxembourg 1235 5 @ Avenir Beggen 1200 0
20 1979-09-09 31.43% Jeunesse Esch 1240 5 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1199 1
21 1980-05-15 31.55% Aris Bonnevoie 1108 1 @ Rumelange 1066 0
22 1979-10-07 31.88% @ Rumelange 1113 1 Avenir Beggen 1244 0
23 1980-04-13 31.99% Etzella Ettelbruck 1109 2 @ Rumelange 1064 1
24 1979-09-23 33.03% Union Luxembourg 1185 3 @ Rumelange 1132 2
25 1980-04-20 33.67% @ Jeunesse Esch 1311 3 Differdange 03 1430 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1980-05-29 73.05 @ Avenir Beggen 8 1125 42.03% Grevenmacher 0 1184 33.86% 24.11%
2 1980-04-20 59.43 Spora Luxembourg 4 1047 18.65% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 0 1121 57.69% 23.66%
3 1980-01-09 58.67 Union Luxembourg 5 1235 30.75% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1200 45.16% 24.09%
4 1979-09-09 39.16 Jeunesse Esch 5 1240 31.43% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 1199 44.47% 24.10%
5 1980-05-29 37.56 Stade Dudelange 3 1066 29.13% @ Chiers Rodange 0 1044 46.79% 24.07%
6 1979-10-31 34.98 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 5 1151 52.59% Rumelange 0 1126 23.49% 23.93%
7 1980-06-03 34.61 Avenir Beggen 2 1198 13.14% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1344 63.79% 23.07%
8 1980-03-16 33.06 Differdange 03 4 1392 26.82% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1388 49.15% 24.03%
9 1979-09-23 31.35 Avenir Beggen 3 1217 38.52% @ Chiers Rodange 0 1125 37.41% 24.08%
10 1979-11-11 28.99 Differdange 03 3 1318 42.18% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1201 33.80% 24.02%
11 1980-03-16 28.73 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 1085 42.52% Avenir Beggen 0 1140 33.38% 24.10%
12 1979-09-23 27.93 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1089 17.22% Differdange 03 1 1358 59.77% 23.01%
13 1979-12-02 27.84 Avenir Beggen 2 1172 25.15% @ Grevenmacher 0 1182 50.87% 23.98%
14 1979-12-02 25.82 Aris Bonnevoie 2 1100 29.21% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 1076 46.71% 24.07%
15 1980-01-27 25.60 Differdange 03 6 1364 56.22% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1132 20.43% 23.35%
16 1980-03-09 25.58 Progres Niedercorn 4 1362 55.71% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 0 1135 20.90% 23.39%
17 1980-06-03 25.25 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1104 47.64% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1120 28.30% 24.06%
18 1980-01-09 24.56 Grevenmacher 3 1155 24.12% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 1174 51.93% 23.95%
19 1979-09-09 23.41 @ Chiers Rodange 2 1098 34.41% Union Luxembourg 0 1211 41.56% 24.03%
20 1979-11-04 22.03 Chiers Rodange 3 1120 29.99% @ Rumelange 1 1091 45.92% 24.08%
21 1980-03-09 21.84 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1118 52.42% Chiers Rodange 0 1094 23.65% 23.93%
22 1980-04-20 20.57 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1311 33.67% Differdange 03 1 1430 42.32% 24.01%
23 1980-01-27 19.83 @ Rumelange 2 1050 42.43% Stade Dudelange 0 1105 33.47% 24.11%
24 1979-10-31 19.07 Spora Luxembourg 1 1051 11.03% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1231 66.27% 22.71%
25 1979-12-02 18.85 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1216 38.09% Jeunesse Esch 1 1303 37.82% 24.08%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-09-02 59.5 Etzella Ettelbruck 4 1185 22.01% @ Union Luxembourg 3 1225 54.13% 23.86%
2 1980-05-15 59.2 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1353 49.41% Progres Niedercorn 2 1355 26.57% 24.02%
3 1980-04-06 58.5 @ Grevenmacher 2 1192 20.44% Differdange 03 2 1425 56.21% 23.35%
4 1979-09-09 58.1 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1340 62.02% Avenir Beggen 2 1217 14.70% 23.28%
5 1979-09-23 58.1 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1344 66.37% Etzella Ettelbruck 2 1162 10.94% 22.69%
6 1979-11-11 58.1 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1334 61.77% Union Luxembourg 2 1214 14.92% 23.31%
7 1979-11-04 57.7 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1091 19.26% Progres Niedercorn 2 1336 57.50% 23.24%
8 1979-10-07 57.6 @ Chiers Rodange 3 1097 18.13% Progres Niedercorn 2 1355 58.75% 23.12%
9 1980-03-16 57.4 @ Rumelange 3 1056 18.36% Jeunesse Esch 2 1311 58.50% 23.14%
10 1980-03-16 57.3 @ Stade Dudelange 2 1089 35.68% Grevenmacher 2 1193 40.27% 24.05%
11 1980-04-13 57.3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1105 54.30% Chiers Rodange 2 1064 21.85% 23.85%
12 1980-05-29 57.3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1121 50.56% Spora Luxembourg 2 1113 25.44% 23.99%
13 1980-04-13 57.2 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1047 40.25% Avenir Beggen 2 1118 35.65% 24.10%
14 1980-06-03 56.2 Progres Niedercorn 3 1373 29.26% @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1350 46.67% 24.07%
15 1980-04-13 55.6 @ Grevenmacher 3 1194 26.13% Progres Niedercorn 2 1373 50.13% 23.74%
16 1979-09-23 52.9 Union Luxembourg 3 1185 33.03% @ Rumelange 2 1132 42.87% 24.10%
17 1980-01-13 52.7 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1354 70.60% Stade Dudelange 1 1101 7.62% 21.78%
18 1980-04-20 52.7 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1360 70.77% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1103 7.49% 21.74%
19 1980-01-13 52.4 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1052 13.67% Differdange 03 1 1368 63.84% 22.49%
20 1979-09-09 52.3 Grevenmacher 3 1167 35.05% @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1100 40.85% 24.10%
21 1979-09-16 52.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1279 64.65% Chiers Rodange 1 1122 12.39% 22.96%
22 1979-09-30 52.1 @ Avenir Beggen 1 1248 65.16% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1084 11.96% 22.88%
23 1979-09-16 51.9 @ Avenir Beggen 1 1219 56.21% Etzella Ettelbruck 1 1160 20.04% 23.75%
24 1979-09-16 51.9 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1188 59.96% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1089 16.56% 23.48%
25 1979-11-04 51.9 @ Grevenmacher 1 1195 47.41% Union Luxembourg 1 1213 28.53% 24.06%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1980-06-03 25.5 @ Differdange 03 3 1420 77.44% Chiers Rodange 0 1006 3.36% 19.20%
2 1980-01-27 26.9 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 1349 72.63% Spora Luxembourg 0 1055 6.18% 21.19%
3 1980-05-15 27.6 @ Differdange 03 3 1409 71.80% Avenir Beggen 0 1132 6.75% 21.45%
4 1980-02-03 27.7 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1317 68.19% Chiers Rodange 0 1107 9.46% 22.35%
5 1980-05-29 27.9 @ Progres Niedercorn 9 1356 73.04% Rumelange 0 1053 5.91% 21.05%
6 1979-09-02 28.1 @ Differdange 03 3 1334 69.03% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1109 8.80% 22.17%
7 1980-04-06 28.2 @ Progres Niedercorn 8 1355 71.63% Chiers Rodange 0 1082 6.87% 21.50%
8 1980-02-03 29.4 @ Differdange 03 6 1390 73.82% Rumelange 1 1069 5.40% 20.78%
9 1980-04-20 30.3 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1340 62.77% Grevenmacher 0 1207 14.03% 23.20%
10 1979-09-30 30.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1283 65.01% Rumelange 0 1121 12.08% 22.90%
11 1980-02-03 31.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1299 64.53% Etzella Ettelbruck 0 1144 12.49% 22.97%
12 1980-02-03 31.4 @ Grevenmacher 3 1179 57.49% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1106 18.83% 23.67%
13 1980-03-09 31.7 Progres Niedercorn 4 1362 55.71% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 0 1135 20.90% 23.39%
14 1980-03-09 32.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1308 68.72% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1088 9.04% 22.23%
15 1979-12-02 32.3 Progres Niedercorn 2 1331 59.88% @ Rumelange 0 1062 17.12% 23.00%
16 1979-10-31 32.4 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 5 1151 52.59% Rumelange 0 1126 23.49% 23.93%
17 1979-11-11 32.5 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1292 59.91% Grevenmacher 0 1193 16.61% 23.49%
18 1980-03-09 32.6 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1330 71.35% Rumelange 1 1062 7.07% 21.58%
19 1980-03-09 32.8 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1118 52.42% Chiers Rodange 0 1094 23.65% 23.93%
20 1979-10-07 33.5 Jeunesse Esch 2 1292 55.63% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 1065 20.98% 23.40%
21 1980-04-20 33.7 @ Avenir Beggen 2 1118 54.86% Stade Dudelange 0 1072 21.32% 23.83%
22 1980-01-09 34.2 Differdange 03 2 1354 54.27% @ Chiers Rodange 0 1139 22.23% 23.50%
23 1980-06-03 34.3 @ Stade Dudelange 3 1104 47.64% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1120 28.30% 24.06%
24 1980-04-06 34.7 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1341 70.55% Stade Dudelange 1 1089 7.65% 21.80%
25 1980-01-27 34.8 Differdange 03 6 1364 56.22% @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1132 20.43% 23.35%