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1980-81 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Progres Niedercorn

35 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Aris Bonnevoie

5.41 points above expected

26 points · 20.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Stade Dudelange

5.94 points below expected

10 points · 15.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Progres Niedercorn 22 17 1 4 35 68 25 +43 31.06 +3.94
2 Differdange 03 22 15 4 3 34 60 24 +36 31.90 +2.10
3 Jeunesse Esch 22 14 3 5 31 48 23 +25 27.41 +3.59
4 Aris Bonnevoie 22 10 6 6 26 35 27 +8 20.59 +5.41
5 Avenir Beggen 22 9 4 9 22 29 33 -4 23.42 -1.42
6 Union Luxembourg 22 9 3 10 21 41 43 -2 23.99 -2.99
7 Olympique Eischen 22 8 4 10 20 27 32 -5 20.96 -0.96
8 Alliance Dudelange 22 7 6 9 20 29 37 -8 15.36 +4.64
9 Grevenmacher 22 6 4 12 16 20 48 -28 16.47 -0.47
10 Spora Luxembourg 22 6 3 13 15 28 41 -13 19.66 -4.66
11 Etzella Ettelbruck 22 5 4 13 14 22 41 -19 17.24 -3.24
12 Stade Dudelange 22 4 2 16 10 22 55 -33 15.94 -5.94

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aris Bonnevoie 26 20.59 +5.41
2 Alliance Dudelange 20 15.36 +4.64
3 Progres Niedercorn 35 31.06 +3.94
4 Jeunesse Esch 31 27.41 +3.59
5 Differdange 03 34 31.90 +2.10

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stade Dudelange 10 15.94 -5.94
2 Spora Luxembourg 15 19.66 -4.66
3 Etzella Ettelbruck 14 17.24 -3.24
4 Union Luxembourg 21 23.99 -2.99
5 Avenir Beggen 22 23.42 -1.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alliance Dudelange 4 Oct 19 – Nov 23 1 in 278
2 Jeunesse Esch 9 Mar 8 – May 10 1 in 273
3 Grevenmacher 3 Nov 30 – Feb 22 1 in 23
4 Progres Niedercorn 7 Mar 8 – Apr 25 1 in 22
5 Olympique Eischen 3 Sep 7 – Sep 21 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jeunesse Esch 3 Nov 23 – Feb 15 1 in 65
2 Spora Luxembourg 6 Feb 15 – Mar 29 1 in 56
3 Stade Dudelange 4 Oct 19 – Nov 23 1 in 35
4 Grevenmacher 6 Sep 21 – Nov 23 1 in 28
5 Progres Niedercorn 2 Sep 21 – Sep 28 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Alliance Dudelange 5 Sep 28 – Nov 23 1 in 101
2 Jeunesse Esch 11 Feb 22 – May 17 1 in 75
3 Aris Bonnevoie 7 Nov 30 – Mar 29 1 in 72
4 Grevenmacher 4 May 3 – May 24 1 in 19
5 Progres Niedercorn 14 Oct 19 – Apr 25 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 10 Feb 15 – May 3 1 in 55
2 Avenir Beggen 5 Oct 19 – Nov 30 1 in 17
3 Jeunesse Esch 4 Nov 23 – Feb 22 1 in 16
4 Grevenmacher 7 Mar 15 – Apr 25 1 in 10
5 Etzella Ettelbruck 7 Mar 8 – Apr 25 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Progres Niedercorn 1364 35 +23 8 7.0 +1.0
Differdange 03 1293 34 -12 8 7.8 +0.2
Jeunesse Esch 1286 31 +20 7 7.2 -0.2
Aris Bonnevoie 1113 26 -2 4 4.6 -0.6
Avenir Beggen 1126 22 +22 6 5.2 +0.8
Union Luxembourg 1120 21 -9 7 6.0 +1.0
Alliance Dudelange 983 20 -9 4 4.2 -0.2
Olympique Eischen 1047 20 -47 1 4.0 -3.0
Grevenmacher 988 16 +34 6 3.6 +2.4
Spora Luxembourg 1020 15 +4 4 4.1 -0.1
Etzella Ettelbruck 970 14 +11 4 3.8 +0.2
Stade Dudelange 922 10 -37 1 2.5 -1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD AB AB D0 EE GRE JE OE PN SL SD UL
Alliance Dudelange —
1-0-1
2.09
1-1-0
1.89
0-2-0
0.86
1-0-1
2.85
0-2-0
2.41
0-0-2
1.47
1-0-1
1.99
0-0-2
1.04
1-0-1
2.31
2-0-0
2.74
0-1-1
1.61
Aris Bonnevoie
1-0-1
3.56
—
1-1-0
2.40
0-1-1
1.35
1-1-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
1.72
0-1-1
2.81
0-0-2
1.68
1-1-0
3.03
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
2.46
Avenir Beggen
0-1-1
3.76
0-1-1
3.25
—
1-1-0
1.41
2-0-0
3.34
0-0-2
3.87
0-0-2
1.99
2-0-0
2.89
0-0-2
1.71
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.84
1-1-0
2.58
Differdange 03
0-2-0
4.82
1-1-0
4.31
0-1-1
4.25
—
2-0-0
4.59
2-0-0
4.69
1-0-1
3.48
2-0-0
4.18
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
4.74
2-0-0
4.05
Etzella Ettelbruck
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.31
0-0-2
1.07
—
0-1-1
2.87
0-1-1
1.79
1-1-0
2.19
1-0-1
1.29
0-0-2
2.62
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
1.79
Grevenmacher
0-2-0
3.24
0-0-2
2.45
2-0-0
1.78
0-0-2
0.98
1-1-0
2.78
—
0-0-2
1.47
1-1-0
2.34
0-0-2
1.09
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
3.13
0-0-2
2.03
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
4.19
0-1-1
3.93
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
2.17
1-1-0
3.87
2-0-0
4.19
—
1-0-1
3.89
0-1-1
2.22
2-0-0
3.70
1-0-1
4.43
2-0-0
3.10
Olympique Eischen
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
2.76
0-0-2
1.48
0-1-1
3.45
0-1-1
3.31
1-0-1
1.77
—
1-0-1
1.66
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.44
Progres Niedercorn
2-0-0
4.63
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
4.38
2-0-0
4.57
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
3.99
—
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-1
4.59
2-0-0
4.05
Spora Luxembourg
1-0-1
3.33
0-1-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.33
2-0-0
3.02
1-0-1
3.30
0-0-2
1.95
0-1-1
2.43
0-0-2
1.19
—
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-2
2.31
Stade Dudelange
0-0-2
2.90
0-0-2
2.26
0-0-2
1.81
0-0-2
0.94
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
1.24
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
1.07
0-1-1
2.54
—
0-1-1
1.66
Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
4.05
1-0-1
3.19
0-1-1
3.07
0-0-2
1.61
1-0-1
3.86
2-0-0
3.62
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
3.21
0-0-2
1.61
2-0-0
3.34
1-1-0
4.00
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.85 +4.8
Allowed 0.82 -7.1
Differential 0.96 +3.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.58%4.92%7.20%4.17%1.14%2.65%27.65%
14.92%6.82%6.82%3.79%1.52%1.52%25.38%
27.20%6.82%1.52%4.55%1.14%0.76%21.97%
34.17%3.79%4.55%0.76%1.14%0.38%14.77%
41.14%1.52%1.14%1.14%——4.92%
5+2.65%1.52%0.76%0.38%——5.30%
Total27.65%25.38%21.97%14.77%4.92%5.30%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 1.62 +0.00
SD 1.50 1.50 2.29
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
14.55%13.64%9.09%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
218.18%—4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total27.27%22.73%27.27%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.68 -0.36
SD 0.99 1.55 1.94
CV 0.75 0.92 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.73%4.55%9.09%———36.36%
19.09%4.55%—9.09%——22.73%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
3—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total36.36%27.27%18.18%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.23 +0.36
SD 1.71 1.23 1.73
CV 1.07 1.00 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
113.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
2—13.64%—9.09%——22.73%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total36.36%22.73%9.09%27.27%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.50 -0.18
SD 1.36 1.60 2.06
CV 1.03 1.06 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%——4.55%4.55%—18.18%
14.55%—————4.55%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
39.09%9.09%—4.55%——22.73%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+9.09%9.09%————18.18%
Total45.45%27.27%4.55%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 1.09 +1.64
SD 1.88 1.31 2.50
CV 0.69 1.20 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%13.64%—4.55%4.55%40.91%
1—9.09%9.09%—9.09%—27.27%
24.55%9.09%—9.09%——22.73%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%27.27%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.86 -0.86
SD 1.02 1.46 1.91
CV 1.02 0.78 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%9.09%—13.64%50.00%
1—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
29.09%13.64%—4.55%—4.55%31.82%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%13.64%18.18%—18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 2.18 -1.27
SD 1.02 1.99 2.41
CV 1.12 0.91 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
14.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
213.64%9.09%4.55%———27.27%
322.73%—9.09%—4.55%—36.36%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total45.45%18.18%27.27%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.18 1.05 +1.14
SD 1.26 1.17 1.96
CV 0.58 1.12 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%—13.64%—4.55%40.91%
14.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
213.64%———4.55%—18.18%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+———————
Total36.36%22.73%18.18%13.64%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.45 -0.23
SD 1.34 1.60 2.29
CV 1.09 1.10 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
14.55%——4.55%——9.09%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%——18.18%
34.55%13.64%9.09%———27.27%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+18.18%4.55%4.55%———27.27%
Total31.82%31.82%27.27%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.09 1.14 +1.95
SD 1.77 0.99 2.38
CV 0.57 0.87 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%13.64%———22.73%
14.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%—4.55%36.36%
213.64%4.55%—13.64%—4.55%36.36%
3———————
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%18.18%27.27%22.73%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.86 -0.59
SD 0.98 1.49 1.71
CV 0.77 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%18.18%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%4.55%36.36%
2—9.09%—9.09%——18.18%
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%27.27%27.27%18.18%9.09%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.50 -1.50
SD 0.98 1.68 1.85
CV 0.98 0.67 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——9.09%4.55%—18.18%
14.55%9.09%22.73%———36.36%
2—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
3—9.09%9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
4—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
5+——4.55%———4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%36.36%13.64%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.95 -0.09
SD 1.58 1.17 1.97
CV 0.85 0.60 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Progres Niedercorn 1364 35 31.06 +3.94 90.0% 23 25 28 31 33 38 41
Differdange 03 1293 34 31.90 +2.10 79.0% 23 27 30 32 34 37 40
Jeunesse Esch 1286 31 27.41 +3.59 86.0% 16 20 25 28 30 33 36
Avenir Beggen 1126 22 23.42 -1.42 37.0% 14 18 21 23 26 29 32
Union Luxembourg 1120 21 23.99 -2.99 25.0% 14 17 21 24 27 30 33
Aris Bonnevoie 1113 26 20.59 +5.41 93.0% 10 14 18 20 23 27 32
Olympique Eischen 1047 20 20.96 -0.96 45.0% 10 13 18 21 24 28 29
Spora Luxembourg 1020 15 19.66 -4.66 17.0% 9 13 17 20 23 27 30
Grevenmacher 988 16 16.47 -0.47 46.0% 10 11 14 17 19 22 26
Alliance Dudelange 983 20 15.36 +4.64 90.0% 8 9 13 16 18 21 24
Etzella Ettelbruck 970 14 17.24 -3.24 22.0% 7 10 15 17 20 23 25
Stade Dudelange 922 10 15.94 -5.94 5.0% 7 10 14 16 18 22 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.15%
Clear Edge
49.24%16.67%34.09%
Elo Value
Home Edge
139 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
053.05400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.34 goals
Neutral
-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Progres Niedercorn, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.03 * Some Luck: 3.03 to 4.54 * Lucky: 4.54 to 6.05 * Wild Swing: 6.05 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.27 * Close: 1.27 to 1.91 * Off: 1.91 to 2.55 * Way Off: 2.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.69 points
Some Luck
03.789
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.594
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
93.00%
Aris Bonnevoie
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
5.00%
Stade Dudelange
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 143.57
1.88
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
74%
Clear Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Some Drama
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Occasional
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.40
Notable Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.97
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.69
Strong Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.84
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.064
Well Within Noise
00.1400.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Progres Niedercorn42.00%31.00%16.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Differdange 0348.00%33.00%13.00%4.00%1.00%1.00%——————
Jeunesse Esch8.00%23.00%31.00%18.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%———
Aris Bonnevoie—1.00%5.00%12.00%10.00%12.00%24.00%12.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%3.00%
Avenir Beggen—5.00%11.00%19.00%22.00%17.00%10.00%7.00%6.00%3.00%——
Union Luxembourg2.00%5.00%16.00%20.00%16.00%18.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%4.00%1.00%—
Olympique Eischen——4.00%14.00%15.00%11.00%17.00%15.00%9.00%9.00%2.00%4.00%
Alliance Dudelange———1.00%—3.00%9.00%11.00%12.00%14.00%15.00%35.00%
Grevenmacher——1.00%—3.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%18.00%21.00%23.00%16.00%
Spora Luxembourg—2.00%2.00%4.00%14.00%15.00%13.00%14.00%11.00%8.00%12.00%5.00%
Etzella Ettelbruck———2.00%5.00%9.00%8.00%12.00%13.00%15.00%22.00%14.00%
Stade Dudelange——1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%12.00%15.00%19.00%23.00%23.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Avenir Beggen 100% —
Differdange 03 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Progres Niedercorn 100% —
Union Luxembourg 99.00% 1.00%
Aris Bonnevoie 95.00% 5.00%
Olympique Eischen 94.00% 6.00%
Spora Luxembourg 83.00% 17.00%
Etzella Ettelbruck 64.00% 36.00%
Grevenmacher 61.00% 39.00%
Stade Dudelange 54.00% 46.00%
Alliance Dudelange 50.00% 50.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1980-09-07 Grevenmacher D 1-154.8 937 1047 37.50% 17.64% 44.86%-0.41 +0.4 1
1980-09-07 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-154.8 1047 937 44.86% 17.64% 37.50%+0.41 -0.4 1
1980-09-07 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-051.1 1140 1047 62.87% 17.42% 19.71%+1.05 -2.8 1
1980-09-07 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-051.1 1047 1140 19.71% 17.42% 62.87%-1.05 +2.7 1
1980-09-07 Progres Niedercorn W 3-139.5 1254 1232 55.30% 17.60% 27.09%+0.54 +11.6 2
1980-09-07 @ Differdange 03 L 1-339.5 1232 1254 27.09% 17.60% 55.30%-0.54 -11.6 0
1980-09-07 Spora Luxembourg W 2-031.2 1188 1070 65.20% 17.33% 17.47%+1.23 +9.1 2
1980-09-07 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-231.2 1070 1188 17.47% 17.33% 65.20%-1.23 -9.1 0
1980-09-07 Stade Dudelange W 4-138.6 1040 1069 48.77% 17.67% 33.56%+0.17 +19.7 2
1980-09-07 @ Olympique Eischen L 1-438.6 1069 1040 33.56% 17.67% 48.77%-0.17 -19.7 0
1980-09-07 Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-343.9 1180 1029 67.84% 17.19% 14.96%+1.46 -44.0 0
1980-09-07 @ Union Luxembourg W 3-043.9 1029 1180 14.96% 17.19% 67.84%-1.46 +44.0 2
1980-09-14 Union Luxembourg L 1-241.4 937 1136 26.31% 17.45% 56.24%-1.04 -6.5 1
1980-09-14 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-141.4 1136 937 56.24% 17.45% 26.31%+1.04 +6.5 2
1980-09-14 Olympique Eischen L 0-241.4 1050 1059 51.40% 17.65% 30.95%+0.31 -23.1 1
1980-09-14 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-041.4 1059 1050 30.95% 17.65% 51.40%-0.31 +23.1 4
1980-09-14 Jeunesse Esch D 1-154.8 1073 1197 35.65% 17.62% 46.73%-0.51 +0.6 3
1980-09-14 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 1-154.8 1197 1073 46.73% 17.62% 35.65%+0.51 -0.6 3
1980-09-14 Stade Dudelange W 2-142.6 1047 1049 52.25% 17.64% 30.10%+0.36 +7.3 3
1980-09-14 @ Grevenmacher L 1-242.6 1049 1047 30.10% 17.64% 52.25%-0.36 -7.3 0
1980-09-14 Avenir Beggen W 3-137.3 1220 1138 61.89% 17.45% 20.65%+0.98 +9.1 2
1980-09-14 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-337.3 1138 1220 20.65% 17.45% 61.89%-0.98 -9.1 1
1980-09-14 Differdange 03 L 0-233.7 1061 1266 25.50% 17.42% 57.08%-1.09 -12.7 0
1980-09-14 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-033.7 1266 1061 57.08% 17.42% 25.50%+1.09 +12.7 4
1980-09-21 Stade Dudelange W 2-035.5 1027 1042 50.65% 17.66% 31.70%+0.27 +15.3 3
1980-09-21 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-235.5 1042 1027 31.70% 17.66% 50.65%-0.27 -15.3 0
1980-09-21 Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-131.8 1279 1074 71.69% 16.91% 11.39%+1.85 +7.4 6
1980-09-21 @ Differdange 03 L 1-431.8 1074 1279 11.39% 16.91% 71.69%-1.85 -7.5 3
1980-09-21 Alliance Dudelange W 2-028.1 1196 931 75.13% 16.53% 8.33%+2.29 +4.5 5
1980-09-21 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-228.1 931 1196 8.33% 16.53% 75.13%-2.29 -4.5 1
1980-09-21 Progres Niedercorn W 1-044.0 1082 1230 32.54% 17.58% 49.88%-0.67 +11.9 6
1980-09-21 @ Olympique Eischen L 0-144.0 1230 1082 49.88% 17.58% 32.54%+0.67 -11.9 2
1980-09-21 Grevenmacher W 3-137.0 1142 1054 62.38% 17.44% 20.18%+1.01 +9.0 4
1980-09-21 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-337.0 1054 1142 20.18% 17.44% 62.38%-1.01 -8.9 3
1980-09-21 Avenir Beggen W 1-041.2 1048 1128 41.71% 17.67% 40.62%-0.20 +10.0 2
1980-09-21 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-141.2 1128 1048 40.62% 17.67% 41.71%+0.20 -10.0 1
1980-09-28 Differdange 03 D 3-364.3 926 1286 12.29% 16.65% 71.06%-2.20 +2.1 2
1980-09-28 @ Alliance Dudelange D 3-364.3 1286 926 71.06% 16.65% 12.29%+2.20 -2.1 7
1980-09-28 Avenir Beggen L 0-142.7 1066 1118 45.74% 17.68% 36.59%+0.01 -11.1 3
1980-09-28 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 1-042.7 1118 1066 36.59% 17.68% 45.74%-0.01 +11.1 3
1980-09-28 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-144.8 1045 1042 52.95% 17.64% 29.42%+0.40 -12.6 3
1980-09-28 @ Grevenmacher W 1-044.8 1042 1045 29.42% 17.64% 52.95%-0.40 +12.6 5
1980-09-28 Stade Dudelange L 2-359.5 1218 1027 70.79% 16.99% 12.22%+1.75 -15.0 2
1980-09-28 @ Progres Niedercorn W 3-259.5 1027 1218 12.22% 16.99% 70.79%-1.75 +15.0 2
1980-09-28 Jeunesse Esch L 1-247.5 1151 1201 46.00% 17.68% 36.33%+0.02 -10.5 4
1980-09-28 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-147.5 1201 1151 36.33% 17.68% 46.00%-0.02 +10.5 7
1980-09-28 Olympique Eischen D 1-154.8 1058 1094 47.83% 17.67% 34.50%+0.12 -0.7 3
1980-09-28 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-154.8 1094 1058 34.50% 17.67% 47.83%-0.12 +0.7 7
1980-10-19 Progres Niedercorn L 1-340.8 1055 1203 32.45% 17.58% 49.97%-0.68 -13.5 5
1980-10-19 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-140.8 1203 1055 49.97% 17.58% 32.45%+0.68 +13.5 4
1980-10-19 Alliance Dudelange L 2-359.7 1129 928 71.45% 16.94% 11.62%+1.82 -15.2 3
1980-10-19 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-259.7 928 1129 11.62% 16.94% 71.45%-1.82 +15.2 4
1980-10-19 Union Luxembourg W 4-346.4 1284 1141 67.31% 17.22% 15.47%+1.41 +3.8 9
1980-10-19 @ Differdange 03 L 3-446.4 1141 1284 15.47% 17.22% 67.31%-1.41 -3.8 4
1980-10-19 Grevenmacher W 3-027.4 1211 1033 69.97% 17.05% 12.98%+1.66 +10.0 9
1980-10-19 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-327.4 1033 1211 12.98% 17.05% 69.97%-1.66 -10.0 3
1980-10-19 Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-250.7 1095 1055 57.30% 17.57% 25.13%+0.66 -12.8 7
1980-10-19 @ Olympique Eischen W 2-150.7 1055 1095 25.13% 17.57% 57.30%-0.66 +12.8 5
1980-10-19 Spora Luxembourg L 0-241.2 1042 1057 50.61% 17.66% 31.74%+0.27 -22.8 2
1980-10-19 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-041.2 1057 1042 31.74% 17.66% 50.61%-0.27 +22.8 5
1980-10-26 Olympique Eischen W 1-043.6 944 1082 33.64% 17.60% 48.76%-0.61 +11.7 6
1980-10-26 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-143.6 1082 944 48.76% 17.60% 33.64%+0.61 -11.7 7
1980-10-26 Stade Dudelange W 3-245.6 1068 1019 58.38% 17.55% 24.07%+0.73 +5.7 7
1980-10-26 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 2-345.6 1019 1068 24.07% 17.55% 58.38%-0.73 -5.7 2
1980-10-26 Differdange 03 L 1-344.6 1221 1288 43.72% 17.67% 38.61%-0.10 -17.4 9
1980-10-26 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-144.6 1288 1221 38.61% 17.67% 43.72%+0.10 +17.4 11
1980-10-26 Grevenmacher W 6-026.4 1216 1023 70.97% 16.98% 12.06%+1.77 +17.8 6
1980-10-26 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-626.4 1023 1216 12.06% 16.98% 70.97%-1.77 -17.8 3
1980-10-26 Avenir Beggen D 0-051.1 1137 1114 55.32% 17.60% 27.08%+0.54 -1.7 5
1980-10-26 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-051.1 1114 1137 27.08% 17.60% 55.32%-0.54 +1.7 4
1980-10-26 Aris Bonnevoie L 2-355.6 1080 1041 57.20% 17.57% 25.23%+0.66 -12.1 5
1980-10-26 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-255.6 1041 1080 25.23% 17.57% 57.20%-0.66 +12.1 7
1980-11-09 Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-138.2 1053 1074 49.94% 17.66% 32.40%+0.23 +19.1 9
1980-11-09 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-438.2 1074 1053 32.40% 17.66% 49.94%-0.23 -19.1 7
1980-11-09 Jeunesse Esch L 2-350.7 1116 1204 40.62% 17.66% 41.72%-0.25 -9.0 4
1980-11-09 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-250.7 1204 1116 41.72% 17.66% 40.62%+0.25 +9.0 11
1980-11-09 Differdange 03 L 0-230.8 1005 1305 16.46% 17.01% 66.53%-1.77 -8.5 3
1980-11-09 @ Grevenmacher W 2-030.8 1305 1005 66.53% 17.01% 16.46%+1.77 +8.5 13
1980-11-09 Union Luxembourg W 4-246.8 1071 1135 43.98% 17.67% 38.34%-0.08 +13.9 9
1980-11-09 @ Olympique Eischen L 2-446.8 1135 1071 38.34% 17.67% 43.98%+0.08 -13.9 5
1980-11-09 Spora Luxembourg W 5-235.8 1234 1068 69.05% 17.12% 13.84%+1.57 +7.8 8
1980-11-09 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-535.8 1068 1234 13.84% 17.12% 69.05%-1.57 -7.8 5
1980-11-09 Alliance Dudelange L 1-348.8 1013 955 59.30% 17.53% 23.17%+0.80 -22.9 2
1980-11-09 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-148.8 955 1013 23.17% 17.53% 59.30%-0.80 +22.9 8
1980-11-23 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-038.8 978 1073 39.73% 17.66% 42.61%-0.30 +19.6 10
1980-11-23 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-238.8 1073 978 42.61% 17.66% 39.73%+0.30 -19.6 9
1980-11-23 Avenir Beggen D 0-051.5 1314 1107 71.81% 16.90% 11.28%+1.86 -4.0 14
1980-11-23 @ Differdange 03 D 0-051.5 1107 1314 11.28% 16.90% 71.81%-1.86 +4.0 5
1980-11-23 Progres Niedercorn L 0-530.8 1055 1242 27.63% 17.48% 54.89%-0.96 -31.8 7
1980-11-23 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 5-030.8 1242 1055 54.89% 17.48% 27.63%+0.96 +31.8 10
1980-11-23 Jeunesse Esch W 2-040.3 1085 1213 35.00% 17.62% 47.38%-0.54 +21.5 11
1980-11-23 @ Olympique Eischen L 0-240.3 1213 1085 47.38% 17.62% 35.00%+0.54 -21.5 11
1980-11-23 Stade Dudelange W 4-133.3 1121 990 66.27% 17.28% 16.45%+1.32 +10.5 7
1980-11-23 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-433.3 990 1121 16.45% 17.28% 66.27%-1.32 -10.5 2
1980-11-23 Grevenmacher W 2-032.7 1060 996 59.95% 17.51% 22.54%+0.84 +11.4 7
1980-11-23 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-232.7 996 1060 22.54% 17.51% 59.95%-0.84 -11.4 3
1980-11-30 Union Luxembourg W 2-145.7 1053 1132 41.96% 17.67% 40.37%-0.18 +9.4 11
1980-11-30 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-245.7 1132 1053 40.37% 17.67% 41.96%+0.18 -9.4 7
1980-11-30 Avenir Beggen W 2-147.7 985 1111 35.31% 17.62% 47.07%-0.52 +10.7 5
1980-11-30 @ Grevenmacher L 1-247.7 1111 985 47.07% 17.62% 35.31%+0.52 -10.7 5
1980-11-30 Differdange 03 L 0-331.5 1106 1310 25.70% 17.43% 56.87%-1.08 -18.5 11
1980-11-30 @ Olympique Eischen W 3-031.5 1310 1106 56.87% 17.43% 25.70%+1.08 +18.6 16
1980-11-30 Alliance Dudelange W 5-128.8 1274 998 75.62% 16.47% 7.91%+2.36 +6.8 12
1980-11-30 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-528.8 998 1274 7.91% 16.47% 75.62%-2.36 -6.8 10
1980-11-30 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-033.2 1072 1023 58.29% 17.55% 24.16%+0.73 +12.1 9
1980-11-30 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-233.2 1023 1072 24.16% 17.55% 58.29%-0.73 -12.1 7
1980-11-30 Jeunesse Esch W 2-150.8 980 1192 24.80% 17.40% 57.80%-1.14 +12.9 4
1980-11-30 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-250.8 1192 980 57.80% 17.40% 24.80%+1.14 -12.9 11
1981-02-15 Spora Luxembourg W 2-038.7 991 1084 39.99% 17.66% 42.35%-0.28 +19.5 12
1981-02-15 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-238.7 1084 991 42.35% 17.66% 39.99%+0.28 -19.5 9
1981-02-15 Stade Dudelange W 7-126.6 1328 993 78.20% 16.02% 5.78%+2.79 +7.2 18
1981-02-15 @ Differdange 03 L 1-726.6 993 1328 5.78% 16.02% 78.20%-2.79 -7.2 4
1981-02-15 Grevenmacher L 0-242.3 1011 995 54.47% 17.62% 27.91%+0.49 -24.4 7
1981-02-15 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-042.3 995 1011 27.91% 17.62% 54.47%-0.49 +24.4 7
1981-02-15 Aris Bonnevoie L 3-461.1 1179 1062 65.02% 17.34% 17.64%+1.21 -13.4 11
1981-02-15 @ Jeunesse Esch W 4-361.1 1062 1179 17.64% 17.34% 65.02%-1.21 +13.4 13
1981-02-15 Union Luxembourg W 2-137.9 1280 1122 68.44% 17.16% 14.40%+1.51 +3.8 14
1981-02-15 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-237.9 1122 1280 14.40% 17.16% 68.44%-1.51 -3.8 7
1981-02-22 Differdange 03 D 0-051.4 1076 1335 19.96% 17.21% 62.83%-1.48 +2.7 14
1981-02-22 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 0-051.4 1335 1076 62.83% 17.21% 19.96%+1.48 -2.7 19
1981-02-22 Alliance Dudelange W 2-143.4 986 1011 49.47% 17.66% 32.86%+0.21 +7.9 9
1981-02-22 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-243.4 1011 986 32.86% 17.66% 49.47%-0.21 -7.9 12
1981-02-22 Olympique Eischen W 2-145.2 1020 1087 43.54% 17.67% 38.78%-0.10 +9.1 9
1981-02-22 @ Grevenmacher L 1-245.2 1087 1020 38.78% 17.67% 43.54%+0.10 -9.1 11
1981-02-22 Jeunesse Esch D 2-260.2 1284 1165 65.24% 17.33% 17.43%+1.23 -2.0 15
1981-02-22 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-260.2 1165 1284 17.43% 17.33% 65.24%-1.23 +2.0 12
1981-02-22 Union Luxembourg L 1-344.7 1064 1118 45.40% 17.68% 36.93%-0.01 -17.9 9
1981-02-22 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-144.7 1118 1064 36.93% 17.68% 45.40%+0.01 +17.9 9
1981-02-22 Avenir Beggen L 0-140.0 985 1100 36.85% 17.64% 45.51%-0.44 -9.2 4
1981-02-22 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-040.0 1100 985 45.51% 17.64% 36.85%+0.44 +9.2 7
1981-03-08 Avenir Beggen W 6-135.9 1078 1110 48.55% 17.67% 33.78%+0.16 +31.4 16
1981-03-08 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-635.9 1110 1078 33.78% 17.67% 48.55%-0.16 -31.3 7
1981-03-08 Union Luxembourg L 2-348.4 994 1136 33.21% 17.59% 49.20%-0.64 -7.6 9
1981-03-08 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-248.4 1136 994 49.20% 17.59% 33.21%+0.64 +7.6 11
1981-03-08 Differdange 03 W 3-250.4 1282 1333 45.90% 17.68% 36.42%+0.02 +8.2 17
1981-03-08 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-350.4 1333 1282 36.42% 17.68% 45.90%-0.02 -8.2 19
1981-03-08 Jeunesse Esch L 1-244.4 1046 1167 36.00% 17.63% 46.37%-0.49 -8.5 9
1981-03-08 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-144.4 1167 1046 46.37% 17.63% 36.00%+0.49 +8.5 14
1981-03-08 Olympique Eischen L 0-335.2 976 1078 38.62% 17.65% 43.73%-0.35 -26.3 4
1981-03-08 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-035.2 1078 976 43.73% 17.65% 38.62%+0.35 +26.3 13
1981-03-15 Progres Niedercorn L 0-331.1 1078 1290 24.78% 17.40% 57.82%-1.14 -18.0 7
1981-03-15 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-031.1 1290 1078 57.82% 17.40% 24.78%+1.14 +18.0 19
1981-03-15 Spora Luxembourg W 5-128.7 1325 1038 76.15% 16.39% 7.46%+2.44 +6.4 21
1981-03-15 @ Differdange 03 L 1-528.7 1038 1325 7.46% 16.39% 76.15%-2.44 -6.4 9
1981-03-15 Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-242.0 1176 987 70.66% 17.00% 12.34%+1.74 +3.1 16
1981-03-15 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-342.0 987 1176 12.34% 17.00% 70.66%-1.74 -3.1 9
1981-03-15 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-051.1 1105 1110 51.94% 17.65% 30.42%+0.34 -1.3 14
1981-03-15 @ Olympique Eischen D 0-051.1 1110 1105 30.42% 17.65% 51.94%-0.34 +1.3 17
1981-03-15 Alliance Dudelange D 1-154.9 1144 1003 67.12% 17.23% 15.64%+1.39 -3.0 12
1981-03-15 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-154.9 1003 1144 15.64% 17.23% 67.12%-1.39 +3.0 13
1981-03-15 Grevenmacher W 1-041.1 950 1029 41.91% 17.67% 40.42%-0.19 +10.0 6
1981-03-15 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-141.1 1029 950 40.42% 17.67% 41.91%+0.19 -10.0 9
1981-03-22 Jeunesse Esch L 0-137.7 1006 1179 29.27% 17.52% 53.21%-0.86 -7.6 13
1981-03-22 @ Alliance Dudelange W 1-037.7 1179 1006 53.21% 17.52% 29.27%+0.86 +7.6 18
1981-03-22 Spora Luxembourg W 2-141.4 1060 1031 56.08% 17.59% 26.33%+0.59 +6.5 9
1981-03-22 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-241.4 1031 1060 26.33% 17.59% 56.08%-0.59 -6.5 9
1981-03-22 Differdange 03 L 0-426.3 984 1331 13.09% 16.74% 70.17%-2.11 -13.1 9
1981-03-22 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-026.3 1331 984 70.17% 16.74% 13.09%+2.11 +13.1 23
1981-03-22 Union Luxembourg L 2-639.8 1019 1141 35.89% 17.63% 46.48%-0.49 -22.8 9
1981-03-22 @ Grevenmacher W 6-239.8 1141 1019 46.48% 17.63% 35.89%+0.49 +22.8 14
1981-03-22 Olympique Eischen W 4-238.6 1308 1103 71.69% 16.91% 11.39%+1.85 +4.7 21
1981-03-22 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-438.6 1103 1308 11.39% 16.91% 71.69%-1.85 -4.7 14
1981-03-22 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-138.5 960 1111 32.02% 17.57% 50.41%-0.70 -8.2 6
1981-03-22 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-038.5 1111 960 50.41% 17.57% 32.02%+0.70 +8.2 19
1981-03-29 Grevenmacher W 3-243.5 1119 996 65.61% 17.31% 17.08%+1.26 +4.2 21
1981-03-29 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-343.5 996 1119 17.08% 17.31% 65.61%-1.26 -4.2 9
1981-03-29 Etzella Ettelbruck W 1-034.7 1067 971 63.17% 17.41% 19.42%+1.07 +5.3 11
1981-03-29 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-134.7 971 1067 19.42% 17.41% 63.17%-1.07 -5.3 9
1981-03-29 Alliance Dudelange D 2-260.4 1344 998 78.59% 15.94% 5.48%+2.86 -3.3 24
1981-03-29 @ Differdange 03 D 2-260.4 998 1344 5.48% 15.94% 78.59%-2.86 +3.3 14
1981-03-29 Union Luxembourg W 3-031.9 1186 1164 55.34% 17.60% 27.06%+0.54 +19.5 20
1981-03-29 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-331.9 1164 1186 27.06% 17.60% 55.34%-0.54 -19.4 14
1981-03-29 Spora Luxembourg W 3-137.4 1099 1025 60.99% 17.48% 21.53%+0.91 +9.5 16
1981-03-29 @ Olympique Eischen L 1-337.4 1025 1099 21.53% 17.48% 60.99%-0.91 -9.5 9
1981-03-29 Progres Niedercorn L 2-341.9 952 1313 12.21% 16.65% 71.15%-2.21 -3.1 6
1981-03-29 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-241.9 1313 952 71.15% 16.65% 12.21%+2.21 +3.0 23
1981-04-01 Olympique Eischen W 3-034.0 1072 1108 47.89% 17.67% 34.44%+0.12 +23.9 13
1981-04-01 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-334.0 1108 1072 34.44% 17.67% 47.89%-0.12 -23.9 16
1981-04-01 Alliance Dudelange D 0-051.0 992 1001 51.38% 17.65% 30.97%+0.31 -1.2 10
1981-04-01 @ Grevenmacher D 0-051.0 1001 992 30.97% 17.65% 51.38%-0.31 +1.2 15
1981-04-05 Avenir Beggen D 1-154.8 1003 1096 39.87% 17.66% 42.47%-0.29 +0.1 16
1981-04-05 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-154.8 1096 1003 42.47% 17.66% 39.87%+0.29 -0.1 14
1981-04-05 Olympique Eischen D 0-051.0 965 1084 36.30% 17.63% 46.07%-0.47 +0.6 10
1981-04-05 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 0-051.0 1084 965 46.07% 17.63% 36.30%+0.47 -0.6 17
1981-04-05 Jeunesse Esch L 0-330.9 991 1206 24.43% 17.39% 58.18%-1.16 -17.7 10
1981-04-05 @ Grevenmacher W 3-030.9 1206 991 58.18% 17.39% 24.43%+1.16 +17.7 22
1981-04-05 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-134.7 1316 1124 70.89% 16.98% 12.13%+1.76 +5.6 25
1981-04-05 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-334.7 1124 1316 12.13% 16.98% 70.89%-1.76 -5.6 21
1981-04-05 Differdange 03 L 1-241.8 1144 1341 26.53% 17.45% 56.02%-1.03 -6.6 14
1981-04-05 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-141.8 1341 1144 56.02% 17.45% 26.53%+1.03 +6.6 26
1981-04-05 Stade Dudelange D 1-154.8 1015 949 60.23% 17.50% 22.27%+0.86 -2.1 10
1981-04-05 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-154.8 949 1015 22.27% 17.50% 60.23%-0.86 +2.1 7
1981-04-12 Spora Luxembourg D 0-051.1 1118 1013 63.98% 17.38% 18.64%+1.13 -2.9 22
1981-04-12 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 0-051.1 1013 1118 18.64% 17.38% 63.98%-1.13 +2.9 11
1981-04-12 Union Luxembourg W 2-144.2 1096 1138 47.10% 17.67% 35.23%+0.08 +8.4 16
1981-04-12 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-244.2 1138 1096 35.23% 17.67% 47.10%-0.08 -8.4 14
1981-04-12 Jeunesse Esch L 0-344.0 1347 1224 65.65% 17.31% 17.04%+1.27 -42.6 26
1981-04-12 @ Differdange 03 W 3-044.0 1224 1347 17.04% 17.31% 65.65%-1.27 +42.6 24
1981-04-12 Progres Niedercorn L 0-626.7 973 1322 13.00% 16.73% 70.27%-2.12 -19.0 10
1981-04-12 @ Grevenmacher W 6-026.7 1322 973 70.27% 16.73% 13.00%+2.12 +19.0 27
1981-04-12 Alliance Dudelange W 2-032.2 1084 1003 61.68% 17.46% 20.85%+0.96 +10.6 19
1981-04-12 @ Olympique Eischen L 0-232.2 1003 1084 20.85% 17.46% 61.68%-0.96 -10.6 16
1981-04-12 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-143.0 951 966 50.65% 17.66% 31.70%+0.27 +7.7 9
1981-04-12 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-243.0 966 951 31.70% 17.66% 50.65%-0.27 -7.7 10
1981-04-25 Stade Dudelange W 2-033.7 992 958 56.62% 17.58% 25.79%+0.62 +12.9 18
1981-04-25 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-233.7 958 992 25.79% 17.58% 56.62%-0.62 -12.9 9
1981-04-25 Grevenmacher W 5-023.6 1305 954 78.76% 15.90% 5.34%+2.89 +6.8 28
1981-04-25 @ Differdange 03 L 0-523.6 954 1305 5.34% 15.90% 78.76%-2.89 -6.7 10
1981-04-25 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-051.1 958 1115 31.31% 17.56% 51.13%-0.74 +1.2 11
1981-04-25 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 0-051.1 1115 958 51.13% 17.56% 31.31%+0.74 -1.2 23
1981-04-25 Avenir Beggen W 3-027.9 1266 1104 68.74% 17.14% 14.12%+1.54 +10.8 26
1981-04-25 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-327.9 1104 1266 14.12% 17.14% 68.74%-1.54 -10.8 16
1981-04-25 Olympique Eischen W 1-036.7 1129 1094 56.78% 17.58% 25.64%+0.63 +6.8 16
1981-04-25 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-136.7 1094 1129 25.64% 17.58% 56.78%-0.63 -6.8 19
1981-04-25 Progres Niedercorn L 0-133.2 1016 1341 14.64% 16.87% 68.49%-1.95 -4.1 11
1981-04-25 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-033.2 1341 1016 68.49% 16.87% 14.64%+1.95 +4.0 29
1981-05-03 Alliance Dudelange W 3-136.4 1114 1005 64.34% 17.37% 18.29%+1.16 +8.2 25
1981-05-03 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-336.4 1005 1114 18.29% 17.37% 64.34%-1.16 -8.2 18
1981-05-03 Differdange 03 W 4-040.2 1093 1311 24.13% 17.38% 58.49%-1.18 +49.5 18
1981-05-03 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-440.2 1311 1093 58.49% 17.38% 24.13%+1.18 -49.5 28
1981-05-03 Spora Luxembourg W 3-249.9 947 1012 43.95% 17.67% 38.38%-0.08 +8.5 12
1981-05-03 @ Grevenmacher L 2-349.9 1012 947 38.38% 17.67% 43.95%+0.08 -8.5 11
1981-05-03 Olympique Eischen W 6-026.6 1277 1088 70.69% 17.00% 12.31%+1.74 +18.2 28
1981-05-03 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-626.6 1088 1277 12.31% 17.00% 70.69%-1.74 -18.2 19
1981-05-03 Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-249.4 1345 959 79.94% 15.61% 4.45%+3.14 -35.8 29
1981-05-03 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-049.4 959 1345 4.45% 15.61% 79.94%-3.14 +35.8 13
1981-05-03 Union Luxembourg D 1-154.8 946 1136 27.20% 17.47% 55.33%-0.99 +1.5 10
1981-05-03 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-154.8 1136 946 55.33% 17.47% 27.20%+0.99 -1.6 17
1981-05-10 Progres Niedercorn L 0-527.0 997 1309 15.57% 16.94% 67.49%-1.86 -19.0 18
1981-05-10 @ Alliance Dudelange W 5-027.0 1309 997 67.49% 16.94% 15.57%+1.86 +19.0 31
1981-05-10 Grevenmacher L 0-246.9 1143 956 70.53% 17.01% 12.46%+1.72 -31.6 18
1981-05-10 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-046.9 956 1143 12.46% 17.01% 70.53%-1.72 +31.6 14
1981-05-10 Olympique Eischen W 3-027.2 1262 1069 70.90% 16.98% 12.12%+1.76 +9.4 30
1981-05-10 @ Differdange 03 L 0-327.2 1069 1262 12.12% 16.98% 70.90%-1.76 -9.4 19
1981-05-10 Spora Luxembourg L 1-249.0 995 1003 51.55% 17.65% 30.80%+0.32 -11.6 13
1981-05-10 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-149.0 1003 995 30.80% 17.65% 51.55%-0.32 +11.6 13
1981-05-10 Stade Dudelange W 2-027.1 1295 947 78.67% 15.92% 5.41%+2.88 +2.9 30
1981-05-10 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-227.1 947 1295 5.41% 15.92% 78.67%-2.88 -2.9 10
1981-05-10 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-350.2 1135 1122 54.13% 17.62% 28.25%+0.47 +6.4 19
1981-05-10 @ Union Luxembourg L 3-450.2 1122 1135 28.25% 17.62% 54.13%-0.47 -6.4 25
1981-05-17 Jeunesse Esch D 1-155.0 1116 1298 28.14% 17.49% 54.37%-0.93 +1.4 26
1981-05-17 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-155.0 1298 1116 54.37% 17.49% 28.14%+0.93 -1.4 31
1981-05-17 Etzella Ettelbruck D 1-154.8 987 984 53.04% 17.63% 29.33%+0.41 -1.3 15
1981-05-17 @ Grevenmacher D 1-154.8 984 987 29.33% 17.63% 53.04%-0.41 +1.3 14
1981-05-17 Avenir Beggen L 1-247.3 1060 1111 45.81% 17.68% 36.52%+0.01 -10.4 19
1981-05-17 @ Olympique Eischen W 2-147.3 1111 1060 36.52% 17.68% 45.81%-0.01 +10.4 20
1981-05-17 Progres Niedercorn L 0-431.1 1141 1328 27.65% 17.48% 54.87%-0.96 -25.8 19
1981-05-17 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-031.1 1328 1141 54.87% 17.48% 27.65%+0.96 +25.8 33
1981-05-17 Alliance Dudelange W 4-242.8 1015 978 57.01% 17.58% 25.41%+0.65 +9.8 15
1981-05-17 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-442.8 978 1015 25.41% 17.58% 57.01%-0.65 -9.8 18
1981-05-17 Differdange 03 L 0-526.6 944 1271 14.46% 16.86% 68.68%-1.96 -17.7 10
1981-05-17 @ Stade Dudelange W 5-026.6 1271 944 68.68% 16.86% 14.46%+1.96 +17.7 32
1981-05-24 Etzella Ettelbruck W 2-035.5 968 985 50.43% 17.66% 31.92%+0.26 +15.4 20
1981-05-24 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-235.5 985 968 31.92% 17.66% 50.43%-0.26 -15.4 14
1981-05-24 Stade Dudelange W 5-340.9 1122 927 71.08% 16.97% 11.96%+1.78 +4.7 22
1981-05-24 @ Avenir Beggen L 3-540.9 927 1122 11.96% 16.97% 71.08%-1.78 -4.7 10
1981-05-24 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-033.0 1289 1117 69.47% 17.09% 13.44%+1.61 +3.8 34
1981-05-24 @ Differdange 03 L 0-133.0 1117 1289 13.44% 17.09% 69.47%-1.61 -3.8 26
1981-05-24 Progres Niedercorn L 1-248.4 1297 1354 45.04% 17.68% 37.29%-0.03 -10.3 31
1981-05-24 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-148.4 1354 1297 37.29% 17.68% 45.04%+0.03 +10.3 35
1981-05-24 Grevenmacher D 0-051.1 1050 986 59.91% 17.51% 22.58%+0.84 -2.3 20
1981-05-24 @ Olympique Eischen D 0-051.1 986 1050 22.58% 17.51% 59.91%-0.84 +2.4 16
1981-05-24 Spora Luxembourg W 3-244.4 1115 1025 62.62% 17.43% 19.95%+1.03 +4.8 21
1981-05-24 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-344.4 1025 1115 19.95% 17.43% 62.62%-1.03 -4.8 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1981-05-03 4.45% Etzella Ettelbruck 959 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1345 0
2 1980-10-19 11.62% Alliance Dudelange 928 3 @ Avenir Beggen 1129 2
3 1980-09-28 12.22% Stade Dudelange 1027 3 @ Progres Niedercorn 1218 2
4 1981-05-10 12.46% Grevenmacher 956 2 @ Avenir Beggen 1143 0
5 1980-09-07 14.96% Etzella Ettelbruck 1029 3 @ Union Luxembourg 1180 0
6 1981-04-12 17.04% Jeunesse Esch 1224 3 @ Differdange 03 1347 0
7 1981-02-15 17.64% Aris Bonnevoie 1062 4 @ Jeunesse Esch 1179 3
8 1980-11-09 23.17% Alliance Dudelange 955 3 @ Stade Dudelange 1013 1
9 1981-05-03 24.13% @ Avenir Beggen 1093 4 Differdange 03 1311 0
10 1980-11-30 24.80% @ Stade Dudelange 980 2 Jeunesse Esch 1192 1
11 1980-10-19 25.13% Etzella Ettelbruck 1055 2 @ Olympique Eischen 1095 1
12 1980-10-26 25.23% Aris Bonnevoie 1041 3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1080 2
13 1981-02-15 27.91% Grevenmacher 995 2 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1011 0
14 1980-09-28 29.42% Aris Bonnevoie 1042 1 @ Grevenmacher 1045 0
15 1981-05-10 30.80% Spora Luxembourg 1003 2 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 995 1
16 1980-09-14 30.95% Olympique Eischen 1059 2 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1050 0
17 1980-10-19 31.74% Spora Luxembourg 1057 2 @ Stade Dudelange 1042 0
18 1980-09-21 32.54% @ Olympique Eischen 1082 1 Progres Niedercorn 1230 0
19 1980-10-26 33.64% @ Alliance Dudelange 944 1 Olympique Eischen 1082 0
20 1980-11-23 35.00% @ Olympique Eischen 1085 2 Jeunesse Esch 1213 0
21 1980-11-30 35.31% @ Grevenmacher 985 2 Avenir Beggen 1111 1
22 1980-09-28 36.33% Jeunesse Esch 1201 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1151 1
23 1981-05-17 36.52% Avenir Beggen 1111 2 @ Olympique Eischen 1060 1
24 1980-09-28 36.59% Avenir Beggen 1118 1 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1066 0
25 1981-02-22 36.93% Union Luxembourg 1118 3 @ Spora Luxembourg 1064 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1981-05-03 49.51 @ Avenir Beggen 4 1093 24.13% Differdange 03 0 1311 58.49% 17.38%
2 1980-09-07 44.03 Etzella Ettelbruck 3 1029 14.96% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1180 67.84% 17.19%
3 1981-04-12 42.58 Jeunesse Esch 3 1224 17.04% @ Differdange 03 0 1347 65.65% 17.31%
4 1981-05-03 35.77 Etzella Ettelbruck 2 959 4.45% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 1345 79.94% 15.61%
5 1980-11-23 31.82 Progres Niedercorn 5 1242 54.89% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 0 1055 27.63% 17.48%
6 1981-05-10 31.56 Grevenmacher 2 956 12.46% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1143 70.53% 17.01%
7 1981-03-08 31.36 @ Aris Bonnevoie 6 1078 48.55% Avenir Beggen 1 1110 33.78% 17.67%
8 1981-03-08 26.30 Olympique Eischen 3 1078 43.73% @ Stade Dudelange 0 976 38.62% 17.65%
9 1981-05-17 25.84 Progres Niedercorn 4 1328 54.87% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1141 27.65% 17.48%
10 1981-02-15 24.42 Grevenmacher 2 995 27.91% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 0 1011 54.47% 17.62%
11 1981-04-01 23.90 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1072 47.89% Olympique Eischen 0 1108 34.44% 17.67%
12 1980-09-14 23.14 Olympique Eischen 2 1059 30.95% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 1050 51.40% 17.65%
13 1980-11-09 22.94 Alliance Dudelange 3 955 23.17% @ Stade Dudelange 1 1013 59.30% 17.53%
14 1981-03-22 22.84 Union Luxembourg 6 1141 46.48% @ Grevenmacher 2 1019 35.89% 17.63%
15 1980-10-19 22.82 Spora Luxembourg 2 1057 31.74% @ Stade Dudelange 0 1042 50.61% 17.66%
16 1980-11-23 21.51 @ Olympique Eischen 2 1085 35.00% Jeunesse Esch 0 1213 47.38% 17.62%
17 1980-09-07 19.72 @ Olympique Eischen 4 1040 48.77% Stade Dudelange 1 1069 33.56% 17.67%
18 1980-11-23 19.64 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 978 39.73% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1073 42.61% 17.66%
19 1981-02-15 19.54 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 991 39.99% Spora Luxembourg 0 1084 42.35% 17.66%
20 1981-03-29 19.45 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1186 55.34% Union Luxembourg 0 1164 27.06% 17.60%
21 1980-11-09 19.14 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 1053 49.94% Etzella Ettelbruck 1 1074 32.40% 17.66%
22 1981-04-12 19.01 Progres Niedercorn 6 1322 70.27% @ Grevenmacher 0 973 13.00% 16.73%
23 1981-05-10 18.95 Progres Niedercorn 5 1309 67.49% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 997 15.57% 16.94%
24 1980-11-30 18.56 Differdange 03 3 1310 56.87% @ Olympique Eischen 0 1106 25.70% 17.43%
25 1981-05-03 18.17 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 1277 70.69% Olympique Eischen 0 1088 12.31% 17.00%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1980-09-28 64.3 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 926 12.29% Differdange 03 3 1286 71.06% 16.65%
2 1981-02-15 61.1 Aris Bonnevoie 4 1062 17.64% @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1179 65.02% 17.34%
3 1981-03-29 60.4 @ Differdange 03 2 1344 78.59% Alliance Dudelange 2 998 5.48% 15.94%
4 1981-02-22 60.2 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1284 65.24% Jeunesse Esch 2 1165 17.43% 17.33%
5 1980-10-19 59.7 Alliance Dudelange 3 928 11.62% @ Avenir Beggen 2 1129 71.45% 16.94%
6 1980-09-28 59.5 Stade Dudelange 3 1027 12.22% @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1218 70.79% 16.99%
7 1980-10-26 55.6 Aris Bonnevoie 3 1041 25.23% @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1080 57.20% 17.57%
8 1981-05-17 55.0 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1116 28.14% Jeunesse Esch 1 1298 54.37% 17.49%
9 1981-03-15 54.9 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1144 67.12% Alliance Dudelange 1 1003 15.64% 17.23%
10 1980-09-07 54.8 @ Alliance Dudelange 1 937 37.50% Grevenmacher 1 1047 44.86% 17.64%
11 1980-09-14 54.8 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 1073 35.65% Jeunesse Esch 1 1197 46.73% 17.62%
12 1980-09-28 54.8 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1058 47.83% Olympique Eischen 1 1094 34.50% 17.67%
13 1981-04-05 54.8 @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1003 39.87% Avenir Beggen 1 1096 42.47% 17.66%
14 1981-04-05 54.8 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1015 60.23% Stade Dudelange 1 949 22.27% 17.50%
15 1981-05-03 54.8 @ Stade Dudelange 1 946 27.20% Union Luxembourg 1 1136 55.33% 17.47%
16 1981-05-17 54.8 @ Grevenmacher 1 987 53.04% Etzella Ettelbruck 1 984 29.33% 17.63%
17 1980-11-23 51.5 @ Differdange 03 0 1314 71.81% Avenir Beggen 0 1107 11.28% 16.90%
18 1981-02-22 51.4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 1076 19.96% Differdange 03 0 1335 62.83% 17.21%
19 1980-09-07 51.1 @ Avenir Beggen 0 1140 62.87% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1047 19.71% 17.42%
20 1980-10-26 51.1 @ Union Luxembourg 0 1137 55.32% Avenir Beggen 0 1114 27.08% 17.60%
21 1981-03-15 51.1 @ Olympique Eischen 0 1105 51.94% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1110 30.42% 17.65%
22 1981-04-12 51.1 @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 1118 63.98% Spora Luxembourg 0 1013 18.64% 17.38%
23 1981-04-25 51.1 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 0 958 31.31% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1115 51.13% 17.56%
24 1981-05-24 51.1 @ Olympique Eischen 0 1050 59.91% Grevenmacher 0 986 22.58% 17.51%
25 1981-04-01 51.0 @ Grevenmacher 0 992 51.38% Alliance Dudelange 0 1001 30.97% 17.65%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1981-04-25 23.6 @ Differdange 03 5 1305 78.76% Grevenmacher 0 954 5.34% 15.90%
2 1981-03-22 26.3 Differdange 03 4 1331 70.17% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 0 984 13.09% 16.74%
3 1980-10-26 26.4 @ Progres Niedercorn 6 1216 70.97% Grevenmacher 0 1023 12.06% 16.98%
4 1981-02-15 26.6 @ Differdange 03 7 1328 78.20% Stade Dudelange 1 993 5.78% 16.02%
5 1981-05-03 26.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 1277 70.69% Olympique Eischen 0 1088 12.31% 17.00%
6 1981-05-17 26.6 Differdange 03 5 1271 68.68% @ Stade Dudelange 0 944 14.46% 16.86%
7 1981-04-12 26.7 Progres Niedercorn 6 1322 70.27% @ Grevenmacher 0 973 13.00% 16.73%
8 1981-05-10 27.0 Progres Niedercorn 5 1309 67.49% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 997 15.57% 16.94%
9 1981-05-10 27.1 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1295 78.67% Stade Dudelange 0 947 5.41% 15.92%
10 1981-05-10 27.2 @ Differdange 03 3 1262 70.90% Olympique Eischen 0 1069 12.12% 16.98%
11 1980-10-19 27.4 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1211 69.97% Grevenmacher 0 1033 12.98% 17.05%
12 1981-04-25 27.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1266 68.74% Avenir Beggen 0 1104 14.12% 17.14%
13 1980-09-21 28.1 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1196 75.13% Alliance Dudelange 0 931 8.33% 16.53%
14 1981-03-15 28.7 @ Differdange 03 5 1325 76.15% Spora Luxembourg 1 1038 7.46% 16.39%
15 1980-11-30 28.8 @ Progres Niedercorn 5 1274 75.62% Alliance Dudelange 1 998 7.91% 16.47%
16 1980-11-09 30.8 Differdange 03 2 1305 66.53% @ Grevenmacher 0 1005 16.46% 17.01%
17 1980-11-23 30.8 Progres Niedercorn 5 1242 54.89% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 0 1055 27.63% 17.48%
18 1981-04-05 30.9 Jeunesse Esch 3 1206 58.18% @ Grevenmacher 0 991 24.43% 17.39%
19 1981-03-15 31.1 Progres Niedercorn 3 1290 57.82% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1078 24.78% 17.40%
20 1981-05-17 31.1 Progres Niedercorn 4 1328 54.87% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1141 27.65% 17.48%
21 1980-09-07 31.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1188 65.20% Spora Luxembourg 0 1070 17.47% 17.33%
22 1980-11-30 31.5 Differdange 03 3 1310 56.87% @ Olympique Eischen 0 1106 25.70% 17.43%
23 1980-09-21 31.8 @ Differdange 03 4 1279 71.69% Etzella Ettelbruck 1 1074 11.39% 16.91%
24 1981-03-29 31.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1186 55.34% Union Luxembourg 0 1164 27.06% 17.60%
25 1981-04-12 32.2 @ Olympique Eischen 2 1084 61.68% Alliance Dudelange 0 1003 20.85% 17.46%