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1981-82 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Avenir Beggen

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Avenir Beggen

6.84 points above expected

36 points · 29.16 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

UN Kaerjeng

6.13 points below expected

10 points · 16.13 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Avenir Beggen 22 17 2 3 36 59 16 +43 29.16 +6.84
2 Progres Niedercorn 22 13 6 3 32 41 19 +22 27.90 +4.10
3 Jeunesse Esch 22 11 7 4 29 55 33 +22 28.92 +0.08
4 Differdange 03 22 12 3 7 27 45 29 +16 28.05 -1.05
5 Union Luxembourg 22 11 4 7 26 38 38 0 24.52 +1.48
6 Alliance Dudelange 22 10 5 7 25 41 36 +5 21.44 +3.56
7 Wiltz 71 22 8 5 9 21 32 30 +2 20.30 +0.70
8 Grevenmacher 22 8 3 11 19 21 32 -11 17.58 +1.42
9 Aris Bonnevoie 22 4 7 11 15 23 44 -21 16.97 -1.97
10 Olympique Eischen 22 5 4 13 14 22 41 -19 17.81 -3.81
11 UN Kaerjeng 22 3 4 15 10 20 48 -28 16.13 -6.13
12 Spora Luxembourg 22 2 6 14 10 18 49 -31 15.22 -5.22

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Avenir Beggen 36 29.16 +6.84
2 Progres Niedercorn 32 27.90 +4.10
3 Alliance Dudelange 25 21.44 +3.56
4 Union Luxembourg 26 24.52 +1.48
5 Grevenmacher 19 17.58 +1.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 UN Kaerjeng 10 16.13 -6.13
2 Spora Luxembourg 10 15.22 -5.22
3 Olympique Eischen 14 17.81 -3.81
4 Aris Bonnevoie 15 16.97 -1.97
5 Differdange 03 27 28.05 -1.05

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Avenir Beggen 10 Sep 6 – Nov 15 1 in 2,271
2 Grevenmacher 3 Sep 13 – Sep 27 1 in 24
3 Progres Niedercorn 5 Mar 7 – Apr 18 1 in 23
4 Union Luxembourg 3 Sep 6 – Sep 20 1 in 19
5 Olympique Eischen 2 Apr 4 – Apr 18 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 UN Kaerjeng 6 Sep 6 – Oct 11 1 in 97
2 Olympique Eischen 5 Sep 13 – Oct 11 1 in 47
3 Spora Luxembourg 7 Mar 21 – May 23 1 in 33
4 Grevenmacher 4 Mar 7 – Apr 10 1 in 32
5 Union Luxembourg 3 Mar 14 – Apr 4 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Progres Niedercorn 16 Oct 18 – May 23 1 in 98
2 Spora Luxembourg 5 Feb 7 – Mar 14 1 in 59
3 Avenir Beggen 10 Sep 6 – Nov 15 1 in 40
4 Wiltz 71 4 May 2 – May 23 1 in 16
5 Alliance Dudelange 5 Sep 6 – Oct 4 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Union Luxembourg 7 Feb 14 – May 2 1 in 35
2 UN Kaerjeng 8 Sep 6 – Oct 25 1 in 20
3 Grevenmacher 5 Feb 14 – Apr 10 1 in 15
4 Olympique Eischen 6 Nov 8 – Feb 14 1 in 9
5 Avenir Beggen 2 Nov 29 – Feb 7 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Avenir Beggen 1321 36 +6 7 7.4 -0.4
Progres Niedercorn 1294 32 +33 9 7.3 +1.7
Jeunesse Esch 1250 29 -8 6 7.6 -1.6
Differdange 03 1169 27 -46 6 7.3 -1.3
Union Luxembourg 1040 26 -21 6 5.3 +0.7
Alliance Dudelange 1057 25 +15 6 4.3 +1.7
Wiltz 71 1105 21 +38 6 4.1 +1.9
Grevenmacher 1008 19 +53 5 3.2 +1.8
Aris Bonnevoie 972 15 -10 4 3.8 +0.2
Olympique Eischen 956 14 -12 3 3.9 -0.9
UN Kaerjeng 891 10 -15 2 3.4 -1.4
Spora Luxembourg 876 10 -35 0 2.5 -2.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD AB AB D0 GRE JE OE PN SL UK UL W7
Alliance Dudelange —
0-1-1
3.47
0-0-2
1.75
1-0-1
1.64
1-0-1
3.07
0-2-0
1.78
2-0-0
3.23
1-0-1
1.73
1-1-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.38
0-1-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.81
Aris Bonnevoie
1-1-0
2.08
—
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
1.34
2-0-0
2.77
0-1-1
1.14
0-0-2
2.91
0-2-0
1.22
0-2-0
2.94
1-0-1
3.05
0-0-2
2.21
0-1-1
2.29
Avenir Beggen
2-0-0
3.81
2-0-0
4.58
—
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
4.42
1-0-1
2.58
2-0-0
3.60
0-0-2
3.21
2-0-0
4.58
1-1-0
3.54
2-0-0
3.00
1-1-0
4.25
Differdange 03
1-0-1
3.92
2-0-0
4.23
0-0-2
2.60
—
1-0-1
4.33
2-0-0
2.38
1-1-0
4.28
0-0-2
2.74
2-0-0
4.46
2-0-0
4.12
1-1-0
3.40
0-1-1
3.82
Grevenmacher
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
2.78
0-0-2
1.16
1-0-1
1.24
—
0-1-1
1.27
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
1.40
1-1-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
1.87
1-0-1
2.75
Jeunesse Esch
0-2-0
3.77
1-1-0
4.43
1-0-1
2.97
0-0-2
3.17
1-1-0
4.30
—
2-0-0
3.87
0-2-0
2.63
2-0-0
4.11
2-0-0
4.03
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.86
Olympique Eischen
0-0-2
2.32
2-0-0
2.64
0-0-2
1.97
0-1-1
1.29
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.70
—
0-1-1
1.38
1-1-0
3.03
0-1-1
3.17
1-0-1
1.72
0-0-2
2.40
Progres Niedercorn
1-0-1
3.83
0-2-0
4.36
2-0-0
2.35
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
4.17
0-2-0
2.92
1-1-0
4.20
—
2-0-0
4.34
2-0-0
4.59
0-1-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.86
Spora Luxembourg
0-1-1
1.66
0-2-0
2.61
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
1.12
0-1-1
2.50
0-0-2
1.47
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-2
1.23
—
1-0-1
2.88
0-0-2
1.63
1-1-0
2.28
UN Kaerjeng
0-0-2
2.17
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.44
0-1-1
2.43
0-0-2
1.53
1-1-0
2.38
0-0-2
1.00
1-0-1
2.67
—
0-1-1
1.77
0-0-2
1.89
Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
2.86
2-0-0
3.35
0-0-2
2.55
0-1-1
2.15
1-0-1
3.69
1-0-1
2.04
1-0-1
3.84
1-1-0
2.32
2-0-0
3.93
1-1-0
3.79
—
1-0-1
3.16
Wiltz 71
0-0-2
2.74
1-1-0
3.26
0-1-1
1.32
1-1-0
1.75
1-0-1
2.80
0-1-1
1.70
2-0-0
3.15
0-0-2
1.70
0-1-1
3.27
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
2.39
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.86 +5.6
Allowed 0.81 -7.4
Differential 0.96 +3.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%7.95%3.79%4.92%4.17%1.14%26.52%
17.95%8.33%7.58%1.14%3.03%2.27%30.30%
23.79%7.58%6.82%1.52%0.38%0.38%20.45%
34.92%1.14%1.52%1.52%1.14%—10.23%
44.17%3.03%0.38%1.14%——8.71%
5+1.14%2.27%0.38%———3.79%
Total26.52%30.30%20.45%10.23%8.71%3.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.57 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.28
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
19.09%9.09%4.55%—13.64%—36.36%
2—13.64%13.64%———27.27%
34.55%—————4.55%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%31.82%22.73%4.55%18.18%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.64 +0.23
SD 1.52 1.40 2.43
CV 0.82 0.85 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%—9.09%9.09%—36.36%
19.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%36.36%
2—4.55%9.09%4.55%——18.18%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%27.27%13.64%22.73%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.00 -0.95
SD 1.09 1.51 1.89
CV 1.04 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
19.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
2—9.09%————9.09%
322.73%4.55%————27.27%
418.18%——4.55%——22.73%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total50.00%36.36%4.55%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 0.73 +1.95
SD 1.55 0.94 1.96
CV 0.58 1.29 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%13.64%—4.55%4.55%—27.27%
19.09%9.09%————18.18%
24.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
3——4.55%—4.55%—9.09%
4—13.64%————13.64%
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total22.73%54.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.32 +0.73
SD 1.81 1.29 2.33
CV 0.89 0.98 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%45.45%
113.64%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
2—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
34.55%—————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total27.27%40.91%9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.95 1.45 -0.50
SD 1.13 1.47 2.04
CV 1.19 1.01 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
1—9.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
29.09%4.55%22.73%———36.36%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
413.64%4.55%————18.18%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total22.73%27.27%40.91%—4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.50 +1.00
SD 1.60 1.26 2.39
CV 0.64 0.84 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%13.64%—36.36%
14.55%9.09%22.73%———36.36%
29.09%4.55%———4.55%18.18%
34.55%——4.55%——9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%22.73%27.27%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.86 -0.86
SD 0.98 1.61 2.03
CV 0.98 0.87 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
122.73%4.55%4.55%———31.82%
213.64%4.55%13.64%———31.82%
39.09%4.55%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total54.55%18.18%18.18%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 0.86 +1.00
SD 1.17 1.17 1.48
CV 0.63 1.35 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%45.45%
14.55%13.64%9.09%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
24.55%——4.55%——9.09%
3———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%13.64%22.73%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.82 2.23 -1.41
SD 0.96 1.72 1.87
CV 1.17 0.77 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%18.18%4.55%——4.55%31.82%
1—9.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%9.09%45.45%
2—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total4.55%40.91%27.27%9.09%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 2.18 -1.27
SD 0.75 1.68 1.83
CV 0.83 0.77 —
Max 2 6 +1
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%9.09%9.09%—22.73%
19.09%4.55%4.55%——4.55%22.73%
24.55%9.09%13.64%———27.27%
39.09%—4.55%———13.64%
44.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total27.27%18.18%27.27%13.64%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.73 +0.00
SD 1.35 1.49 2.43
CV 0.78 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%13.64%13.64%——40.91%
14.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
49.09%—4.55%———13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total27.27%22.73%36.36%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.36 +0.09
SD 1.65 1.05 2.24
CV 1.14 0.77 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Avenir Beggen 1321 36 29.16 +6.84 100.0% 21 24 27 29 31 34 36
Progres Niedercorn 1294 32 27.90 +4.10 94.0% 19 21 26 28 30 33 37
Jeunesse Esch 1250 29 28.92 +0.08 50.0% 20 22 26 29 32 34 35
Differdange 03 1169 27 28.05 -1.05 45.0% 19 21 25 28 30 34 39
Wiltz 71 1105 21 20.30 +0.70 60.0% 12 14 18 20 23 26 30
Alliance Dudelange 1057 25 21.44 +3.56 87.0% 13 15 19 22 24 28 34
Union Luxembourg 1040 26 24.52 +1.48 69.0% 17 19 21 24 27 30 34
Grevenmacher 1008 19 17.58 +1.42 72.0% 8 12 15 17 20 25 27
Aris Bonnevoie 972 15 16.97 -1.97 35.0% 5 9 14 17 20 23 25
Olympique Eischen 956 14 17.81 -3.81 21.0% 4 12 15 17 20 25 26
UN Kaerjeng 891 10 16.13 -6.13 2.0% 9 11 14 16 19 21 25
Spora Luxembourg 876 10 15.22 -5.22 14.0% 6 9 13 15 18 20 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.64%
Clear Edge
46.21%21.21%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
158 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
047.67400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.36 goals
Neutral
-2+0.30+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
32%
Avenir Beggen, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Comfortable
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.95 * Some Luck: 2.95 to 4.43 * Lucky: 4.43 to 5.91 * Wild Swing: 5.91 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.31 * Close: 1.31 to 1.97 * Off: 1.97 to 2.62 * Way Off: 2.62 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.71 points
Some Luck
03.699
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
01.644
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
100.00%
Avenir Beggen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
2.00%
UN Kaerjeng
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 151.72
2.06
Wide Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
78%
Wide Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
93%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Very Frequent
0%49%100%
Blowouts
Expected
32%
Very Frequent
0%27%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Notable Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.16
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.71
Strong Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.82
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.23
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.058
Well Within Noise
00.1420.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Avenir Beggen32.00%26.00%25.00%10.00%3.00%3.00%1.00%—————
Progres Niedercorn17.00%19.00%25.00%22.00%8.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%————
Jeunesse Esch33.00%25.00%9.00%11.00%10.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%————
Differdange 0315.00%20.00%27.00%19.00%6.00%5.00%7.00%—1.00%———
Union Luxembourg2.00%7.00%8.00%21.00%26.00%14.00%10.00%9.00%1.00%2.00%——
Alliance Dudelange1.00%2.00%3.00%4.00%19.00%18.00%18.00%16.00%9.00%6.00%3.00%1.00%
Wiltz 71—1.00%3.00%4.00%12.00%17.00%19.00%18.00%11.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%
Grevenmacher———4.00%2.00%10.00%7.00%10.00%16.00%26.00%15.00%10.00%
Aris Bonnevoie———1.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%20.00%8.00%13.00%22.00%16.00%
Olympique Eischen———3.00%6.00%9.00%8.00%13.00%20.00%17.00%12.00%12.00%
UN Kaerjeng———1.00%2.00%2.00%9.00%8.00%13.00%14.00%24.00%27.00%
Spora Luxembourg————2.00%2.00%7.00%3.00%21.00%16.00%19.00%30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Avenir Beggen 100% —
Differdange 03 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Progres Niedercorn 100% —
Union Luxembourg 100% —
Alliance Dudelange 96.00% 4.00%
Wiltz 71 91.00% 9.00%
Olympique Eischen 76.00% 24.00%
Grevenmacher 75.00% 25.00%
Aris Bonnevoie 62.00% 38.00%
Spora Luxembourg 51.00% 49.00%
UN Kaerjeng 49.00% 51.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1981-09-06 Union Luxembourg L 0-438.9 1073 1077 47.95% 22.47% 29.58%+0.28 -55.2 0
1981-09-06 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 4-038.9 1077 1073 29.58% 22.47% 47.95%-0.28 +55.2 2
1981-09-06 Alliance Dudelange L 1-445.0 1004 1005 48.35% 22.46% 29.19%+0.30 -35.9 0
1981-09-06 @ Grevenmacher W 4-145.0 1005 1004 29.19% 22.46% 48.35%-0.30 +35.9 2
1981-09-06 Jeunesse Esch D 1-153.2 1198 1162 52.76% 22.37% 24.87%+0.53 -2.0 1
1981-09-06 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-153.2 1162 1198 24.87% 22.37% 52.76%-0.53 +2.0 1
1981-09-06 Olympique Eischen L 1-249.1 1027 1039 46.85% 22.48% 30.68%+0.22 -14.2 0
1981-09-06 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-149.1 1039 1027 30.68% 22.48% 46.85%-0.22 +14.2 2
1981-09-06 Avenir Beggen L 0-143.7 1056 1079 45.45% 22.49% 32.06%+0.16 -14.7 0
1981-09-06 @ UN Kaerjeng W 1-043.7 1079 1056 32.06% 22.49% 45.45%-0.16 +14.7 2
1981-09-06 Differdange 03 W 4-250.3 1056 1163 33.82% 22.44% 43.75%-0.38 +20.8 2
1981-09-06 @ Wiltz 71 L 2-450.3 1163 1056 43.75% 22.44% 33.82%+0.38 -20.8 0
1981-09-13 Wiltz 71 W 3-035.4 1041 1077 43.78% 22.50% 33.72%+0.08 +31.8 4
1981-09-13 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-335.4 1077 1041 33.72% 22.50% 43.78%-0.08 -31.8 2
1981-09-13 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-034.8 1142 1018 61.68% 21.96% 16.36%+1.09 +6.3 2
1981-09-13 @ Differdange 03 L 0-134.8 1018 1142 16.36% 21.96% 61.68%-1.09 -6.3 0
1981-09-13 UN Kaerjeng W 2-139.8 1164 1041 61.59% 21.97% 16.44%+1.08 +6.0 3
1981-09-13 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-239.8 1041 1164 16.44% 21.97% 61.59%-1.08 -6.0 0
1981-09-13 Avenir Beggen L 1-248.0 1053 1094 43.13% 22.50% 34.37%+0.05 -13.3 2
1981-09-13 @ Olympique Eischen W 2-148.0 1094 1053 34.37% 22.50% 43.13%-0.05 +13.3 4
1981-09-13 Progres Niedercorn W 4-354.8 1132 1196 39.85% 22.50% 37.66%-0.10 +11.0 4
1981-09-13 @ Union Luxembourg L 3-454.8 1196 1132 37.66% 22.50% 39.85%+0.10 -11.0 1
1981-09-13 Grevenmacher L 0-146.1 1012 968 53.70% 22.35% 23.96%+0.58 -17.1 0
1981-09-13 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-046.1 968 1012 23.96% 22.35% 53.70%-0.58 +17.1 2
1981-09-20 Alliance Dudelange D 1-153.1 1011 1073 40.20% 22.50% 37.31%-0.09 -0.2 1
1981-09-20 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.1 1073 1011 37.31% 22.50% 40.20%+0.09 +0.2 5
1981-09-20 Jeunesse Esch W 5-140.1 1107 1170 39.94% 22.50% 37.57%-0.10 +37.6 6
1981-09-20 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-540.1 1170 1107 37.57% 22.50% 39.94%+0.10 -37.6 3
1981-09-20 Olympique Eischen W 1-040.9 986 1040 41.17% 22.50% 36.33%-0.04 +12.3 4
1981-09-20 @ Grevenmacher L 0-140.9 1040 986 36.33% 22.50% 41.17%+0.04 -12.3 2
1981-09-20 Differdange 03 W 1-037.5 1185 1148 52.86% 22.37% 24.77%+0.53 +9.0 3
1981-09-20 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-137.5 1148 1185 24.77% 22.37% 52.86%-0.53 -9.0 2
1981-09-20 Union Luxembourg L 0-140.1 1035 1143 33.68% 22.43% 43.88%-0.38 -11.6 0
1981-09-20 @ UN Kaerjeng W 1-040.1 1143 1035 43.88% 22.43% 33.68%+0.38 +11.6 6
1981-09-20 Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.1 1045 995 54.34% 22.33% 23.33%+0.62 -2.2 3
1981-09-20 @ Wiltz 71 D 1-153.1 995 1045 23.33% 22.33% 54.34%-0.62 +2.2 1
1981-09-27 Progres Niedercorn W 2-148.7 1073 1194 31.97% 22.40% 45.63%-0.46 +13.9 7
1981-09-27 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-248.7 1194 1073 45.63% 22.40% 31.97%+0.46 -13.9 3
1981-09-27 UN Kaerjeng W 5-133.8 1139 1024 60.94% 22.01% 17.05%+1.04 +19.6 4
1981-09-27 @ Differdange 03 L 1-533.8 1024 1139 17.05% 22.01% 60.94%-1.04 -19.6 0
1981-09-27 Wiltz 71 W 2-145.5 998 1043 42.52% 22.50% 34.98%+0.02 +11.3 6
1981-09-27 @ Grevenmacher L 1-245.5 1043 998 34.98% 22.50% 42.52%-0.02 -11.3 3
1981-09-27 Jeunesse Esch L 0-434.7 1028 1133 34.10% 22.44% 43.46%-0.36 -41.9 2
1981-09-27 @ Olympique Eischen W 4-034.7 1133 1028 43.46% 22.44% 34.10%+0.36 +41.8 5
1981-09-27 Avenir Beggen L 0-340.3 1155 1145 49.70% 22.44% 27.86%+0.37 -43.6 6
1981-09-27 @ Union Luxembourg W 3-040.3 1145 1155 27.86% 22.44% 49.70%-0.37 +43.6 8
1981-09-27 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-049.1 997 1011 46.69% 22.48% 30.83%+0.22 -1.2 2
1981-09-27 @ Spora Luxembourg D 0-049.1 1011 997 30.83% 22.48% 46.69%-0.22 +1.2 2
1981-10-04 Grevenmacher W 1-038.6 1012 1009 48.87% 22.45% 28.67%+0.32 +10.2 4
1981-10-04 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-138.6 1009 1012 28.67% 22.45% 48.87%-0.32 -10.2 6
1981-10-04 Differdange 03 W 4-351.2 1188 1159 52.04% 22.39% 25.57%+0.49 +8.1 10
1981-10-04 @ Avenir Beggen L 3-451.2 1159 1188 25.57% 22.39% 52.04%-0.49 -8.1 4
1981-10-04 Union Luxembourg L 1-251.8 1174 1111 55.84% 22.27% 21.89%+0.70 -16.7 5
1981-10-04 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-151.8 1111 1174 21.89% 22.27% 55.84%-0.70 +16.7 8
1981-10-04 Spora Luxembourg W 1-033.4 1180 996 66.31% 21.53% 12.16%+1.47 +4.8 5
1981-10-04 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-133.4 996 1180 12.16% 21.53% 66.31%-1.47 -4.8 2
1981-10-04 Alliance Dudelange L 0-141.1 1004 1087 37.13% 22.48% 40.40%-0.22 -12.5 0
1981-10-04 @ UN Kaerjeng W 1-041.1 1087 1004 40.40% 22.48% 37.13%+0.22 +12.5 9
1981-10-04 Olympique Eischen W 1-037.1 1031 986 53.88% 22.34% 23.78%+0.59 +8.7 5
1981-10-04 @ Wiltz 71 L 0-137.1 986 1031 23.78% 22.34% 53.88%-0.59 -8.7 2
1981-10-11 Avenir Beggen L 0-140.6 1099 1196 35.18% 22.46% 42.37%-0.31 -12.0 9
1981-10-11 @ Alliance Dudelange W 1-040.6 1196 1099 42.37% 22.46% 35.18%+0.31 +12.0 12
1981-10-11 Jeunesse Esch W 4-139.6 1151 1158 47.56% 22.47% 29.97%+0.26 +24.4 6
1981-10-11 @ Differdange 03 L 1-439.6 1158 1151 29.97% 22.47% 47.56%-0.26 -24.4 5
1981-10-11 Progres Niedercorn W 1-046.0 999 1185 24.16% 22.15% 53.69%-0.88 +17.0 8
1981-10-11 @ Grevenmacher L 0-146.0 1185 999 53.69% 22.15% 24.16%+0.88 -17.0 5
1981-10-11 Olympique Eischen W 2-139.1 1128 977 63.85% 21.79% 14.36%+1.26 +5.3 10
1981-10-11 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-239.1 977 1128 14.36% 21.79% 63.85%-1.26 -5.3 2
1981-10-11 UN Kaerjeng W 2-036.0 991 991 48.45% 22.46% 29.09%+0.30 +19.4 4
1981-10-11 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-236.0 991 991 29.09% 22.46% 48.45%-0.30 -19.4 0
1981-10-11 Aris Bonnevoie W 5-136.8 1040 1023 50.62% 22.42% 26.96%+0.41 +28.9 7
1981-10-11 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-536.8 1023 1040 26.96% 22.42% 50.62%-0.41 -28.9 4
1981-10-18 Spora Luxembourg W 6-130.8 1208 1011 67.24% 21.42% 11.34%+1.56 +16.6 14
1981-10-18 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-630.8 1011 1208 11.34% 21.42% 67.24%-1.56 -16.6 4
1981-10-18 Alliance Dudelange D 2-258.7 1133 1087 53.93% 22.34% 23.73%+0.59 -1.6 6
1981-10-18 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.7 1087 1133 23.73% 22.34% 53.93%-0.59 +1.6 10
1981-10-18 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-034.9 972 994 45.63% 22.49% 31.89%+0.16 +30.4 4
1981-10-18 @ Olympique Eischen L 0-334.9 994 972 31.89% 22.49% 45.63%-0.16 -30.4 4
1981-10-18 Wiltz 71 W 3-030.8 1168 1069 59.38% 22.11% 18.52%+0.93 +19.3 7
1981-10-18 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-330.8 1069 1168 18.52% 22.11% 59.38%-0.93 -19.3 7
1981-10-18 Differdange 03 L 1-541.7 1133 1175 42.90% 22.50% 34.60%+0.04 -41.8 10
1981-10-18 @ Union Luxembourg W 5-141.7 1175 1133 34.60% 22.50% 42.90%-0.04 +41.8 8
1981-10-18 Grevenmacher D 0-049.1 972 1016 42.63% 22.50% 34.87%+0.02 -0.6 1
1981-10-18 @ UN Kaerjeng D 0-049.1 1016 972 34.87% 22.50% 42.63%-0.02 +0.6 9
1981-10-25 Union Luxembourg L 1-445.0 1089 1091 48.18% 22.46% 29.36%+0.29 -35.8 10
1981-10-25 @ Alliance Dudelange W 4-145.0 1091 1089 29.36% 22.46% 48.18%-0.29 +35.7 12
1981-10-25 Progres Niedercorn D 3-363.1 963 1187 20.29% 21.93% 57.77%-1.12 +1.7 5
1981-10-25 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 3-363.1 1187 963 57.77% 21.93% 20.29%+1.12 -1.7 8
1981-10-25 Jeunesse Esch L 0-433.4 994 1132 29.84% 22.35% 47.81%-0.57 -37.6 4
1981-10-25 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-033.4 1132 994 47.81% 22.35% 29.84%+0.57 +37.6 8
1981-10-25 UN Kaerjeng W 2-141.1 1050 971 57.37% 22.21% 20.42%+0.80 +7.2 9
1981-10-25 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-241.1 971 1050 20.42% 22.21% 57.37%-0.80 -7.2 1
1981-11-08 Wiltz 71 W 3-029.1 1225 1057 65.18% 21.66% 13.16%+1.37 +14.2 16
1981-11-08 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-329.1 1057 1225 13.16% 21.66% 65.18%-1.37 -14.2 9
1981-11-08 Alliance Dudelange L 0-149.3 1217 1053 64.86% 21.69% 13.45%+1.34 -20.6 8
1981-11-08 @ Differdange 03 W 1-049.3 1053 1217 13.45% 21.69% 64.86%-1.34 +20.5 12
1981-11-08 Grevenmacher W 3-244.3 1169 1017 64.03% 21.77% 14.20%+1.27 +5.0 10
1981-11-08 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-344.3 1017 1169 14.20% 21.77% 64.03%-1.27 -5.0 9
1981-11-08 Progres Niedercorn D 0-049.2 1002 1185 24.46% 22.16% 53.38%-0.86 +2.3 5
1981-11-08 @ Olympique Eischen D 0-049.2 1185 1002 53.38% 22.16% 24.46%+0.86 -2.3 9
1981-11-08 Spora Luxembourg W 3-028.9 1127 957 65.35% 21.64% 13.01%+1.38 +14.1 14
1981-11-08 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-328.9 957 1127 13.01% 21.64% 65.35%-1.38 -14.1 4
1981-11-08 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-143.8 964 965 48.34% 22.46% 29.20%+0.30 +9.8 3
1981-11-08 @ UN Kaerjeng L 1-243.8 965 964 29.20% 22.46% 48.34%-0.30 -9.8 5
1981-11-11 Avenir Beggen L 1-240.9 1012 1239 19.93% 21.91% 58.16%-1.14 -7.1 9
1981-11-11 @ Grevenmacher W 2-140.9 1239 1012 58.16% 21.91% 19.93%+1.14 +7.1 18
1981-11-15 Olympique Eischen W 4-030.8 1074 1005 56.45% 22.25% 21.30%+0.74 +28.5 14
1981-11-15 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-430.8 1005 1074 21.30% 22.25% 56.45%-0.74 -28.5 5
1981-11-15 Avenir Beggen L 1-336.9 955 1246 14.68% 21.44% 63.89%-1.54 -9.3 5
1981-11-15 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-136.9 1246 955 63.89% 21.44% 14.68%+1.54 +9.3 20
1981-11-15 Union Luxembourg W 2-149.3 1005 1141 29.95% 22.35% 47.70%-0.56 +14.5 11
1981-11-15 @ Grevenmacher L 1-249.3 1141 1005 47.70% 22.35% 29.95%+0.56 -14.4 14
1981-11-15 UN Kaerjeng W 3-135.7 1183 974 68.00% 21.32% 10.69%+1.63 +7.0 11
1981-11-15 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-335.7 974 1183 10.69% 21.32% 68.00%-1.63 -7.0 3
1981-11-15 Differdange 03 L 0-529.6 943 1196 17.59% 21.73% 60.68%-1.31 -29.6 4
1981-11-15 @ Spora Luxembourg W 5-029.6 1196 943 60.68% 21.73% 17.59%+1.31 +29.6 10
1981-11-15 Jeunesse Esch L 0-236.5 1043 1174 30.57% 22.37% 47.06%-0.53 -20.2 9
1981-11-15 @ Wiltz 71 W 2-036.5 1174 1043 47.06% 22.37% 30.57%+0.53 +20.2 12
1981-11-25 Olympique Eischen W 2-137.2 1226 976 70.40% 20.93% 8.67%+1.89 +3.3 12
1981-11-25 @ Differdange 03 L 1-237.2 976 1226 8.67% 20.93% 70.40%-1.89 -3.3 5
1981-11-29 Progres Niedercorn L 1-252.1 1256 1190 56.05% 22.26% 21.68%+0.72 -16.8 20
1981-11-29 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-152.1 1190 1256 21.68% 22.26% 56.05%-0.72 +16.8 13
1981-11-29 Grevenmacher W 1-032.9 1229 1019 68.07% 21.31% 10.62%+1.64 +4.3 14
1981-11-29 @ Differdange 03 L 0-132.9 1019 1229 10.62% 21.31% 68.07%-1.64 -4.3 11
1981-11-29 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-132.7 1195 946 70.32% 20.94% 8.73%+1.88 +8.2 14
1981-11-29 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-432.7 946 1195 8.73% 20.94% 70.32%-1.88 -8.2 5
1981-11-29 UN Kaerjeng D 1-153.1 973 967 49.19% 22.45% 28.36%+0.34 -1.5 6
1981-11-29 @ Olympique Eischen D 1-153.1 967 973 28.36% 22.45% 49.19%-0.34 +1.5 4
1981-11-29 Wiltz 71 W 2-032.6 1127 1022 59.89% 22.08% 18.03%+0.96 +13.0 16
1981-11-29 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-232.6 1022 1127 18.03% 22.08% 59.89%-0.96 -13.0 9
1982-02-07 Grevenmacher L 1-447.9 1102 1015 58.31% 22.16% 19.53%+0.86 -42.7 14
1982-02-07 @ Alliance Dudelange W 4-147.9 1015 1102 19.53% 22.16% 58.31%-0.86 +42.7 13
1982-02-07 UN Kaerjeng D 1-153.6 1239 968 71.48% 20.72% 7.80%+2.02 -5.0 21
1982-02-07 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-153.6 968 1239 7.80% 20.72% 71.48%-2.02 +5.0 5
1982-02-07 Wiltz 71 D 0-049.5 1234 1009 68.92% 21.18% 9.90%+1.72 -5.2 15
1982-02-07 @ Differdange 03 D 0-049.5 1009 1234 9.90% 21.18% 68.92%-1.72 +5.2 10
1982-02-07 Progres Niedercorn D 2-258.8 1203 1207 47.94% 22.47% 29.60%+0.28 -1.0 15
1982-02-07 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.8 1207 1203 29.60% 22.47% 47.94%-0.28 +1.0 14
1982-02-07 Spora Luxembourg D 3-362.9 971 913 55.29% 22.29% 22.42%+0.67 -1.5 7
1982-02-07 @ Olympique Eischen D 3-362.9 913 971 22.42% 22.29% 55.29%-0.67 +1.5 5
1982-02-07 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-028.3 1140 938 67.53% 21.38% 11.09%+1.58 +12.2 18
1982-02-07 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-328.3 938 1140 11.09% 21.38% 67.53%-1.58 -12.2 5
1982-02-14 Differdange 03 L 2-344.1 926 1228 13.85% 21.33% 64.82%-1.62 -4.8 5
1982-02-14 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-244.1 1228 926 64.82% 21.33% 13.85%+1.62 +4.8 17
1982-02-14 Olympique Eischen W 4-026.4 1234 970 71.14% 20.79% 8.07%+1.98 +11.7 23
1982-02-14 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-426.4 970 1234 8.07% 20.79% 71.14%-1.98 -11.7 7
1982-02-14 Spora Luxembourg D 0-049.3 1057 914 63.24% 21.84% 14.92%+1.21 -4.1 14
1982-02-14 @ Grevenmacher D 0-049.3 914 1057 14.92% 21.84% 63.24%-1.21 +4.1 6
1982-02-14 Union Luxembourg D 2-258.8 1208 1152 55.03% 22.30% 22.66%+0.66 -1.8 15
1982-02-14 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-258.8 1152 1208 22.66% 22.30% 55.03%-0.66 +1.8 19
1982-02-14 Jeunesse Esch L 1-633.5 973 1202 19.86% 21.90% 58.24%-1.15 -27.2 5
1982-02-14 @ UN Kaerjeng W 6-133.5 1202 973 58.24% 21.90% 19.86%+1.15 +27.2 17
1982-02-14 Alliance Dudelange L 1-247.8 1015 1060 42.48% 22.50% 35.02%+0.02 -13.1 10
1982-02-14 @ Wiltz 71 W 2-147.8 1060 1015 35.02% 22.50% 42.48%-0.02 +13.1 16
1982-02-21 Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.3 1073 919 64.14% 21.76% 14.10%+1.28 -3.8 17
1982-02-21 @ Alliance Dudelange D 1-153.3 919 1073 14.10% 21.76% 64.14%-1.28 +3.8 7
1982-03-07 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-449.4 1069 921 63.66% 21.80% 14.53%+1.24 -46.6 17
1982-03-07 @ Alliance Dudelange W 4-149.4 921 1069 14.53% 21.80% 63.66%-1.24 +46.6 7
1982-03-07 Progres Niedercorn L 0-145.8 1233 1206 51.78% 22.40% 25.82%+0.47 -16.5 17
1982-03-07 @ Differdange 03 W 1-045.8 1206 1233 25.82% 22.40% 51.78%-0.47 +16.5 17
1982-03-07 Avenir Beggen W 3-142.5 1229 1245 46.34% 22.48% 31.18%+0.20 +17.8 19
1982-03-07 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-342.5 1245 1229 31.18% 22.48% 46.34%-0.20 -17.8 23
1982-03-07 Grevenmacher W 2-039.9 958 1053 35.43% 22.46% 42.12%-0.30 +26.0 9
1982-03-07 @ Olympique Eischen L 0-239.9 1053 958 42.12% 22.46% 35.43%+0.30 -26.0 14
1982-03-07 UN Kaerjeng D 2-258.9 1154 946 67.89% 21.33% 10.78%+1.62 -3.3 20
1982-03-07 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-258.9 946 1154 10.78% 21.33% 67.89%-1.62 +3.3 6
1982-03-07 Wiltz 71 W 1-041.9 922 1001 37.67% 22.48% 39.84%-0.20 +13.2 9
1982-03-07 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-141.9 1001 922 39.84% 22.48% 37.67%+0.20 -13.2 10
1982-03-14 Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.1 967 936 52.31% 22.38% 25.30%+0.50 -1.9 8
1982-03-14 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.1 936 967 25.30% 22.38% 52.31%-0.50 +1.9 10
1982-03-14 Union Luxembourg W 3-031.5 1228 1150 57.28% 22.21% 20.50%+0.79 +21.1 25
1982-03-14 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-331.5 1150 1228 20.50% 22.21% 57.28%-0.79 -21.1 20
1982-03-14 Olympique Eischen W 6-232.9 1247 984 71.08% 20.80% 8.12%+1.97 +8.3 21
1982-03-14 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-632.9 984 1247 8.12% 20.80% 71.08%-1.97 -8.3 9
1982-03-14 Alliance Dudelange W 2-030.4 1223 1022 67.42% 21.40% 11.19%+1.57 +8.5 19
1982-03-14 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-230.4 1022 1223 11.19% 21.40% 67.42%-1.57 -8.4 17
1982-03-14 Differdange 03 L 1-435.2 949 1217 16.48% 21.63% 61.89%-1.39 -14.6 6
1982-03-14 @ UN Kaerjeng W 4-135.2 1217 949 61.89% 21.63% 16.48%+1.39 +14.6 19
1982-03-14 Grevenmacher W 4-034.7 988 1027 43.32% 22.50% 34.18%+0.06 +42.0 12
1982-03-14 @ Wiltz 71 L 0-434.7 1027 988 34.18% 22.50% 43.32%-0.06 -42.0 14
1982-03-21 UN Kaerjeng W 6-031.0 1014 935 57.46% 22.20% 20.34%+0.80 +40.1 19
1982-03-21 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-631.0 935 1014 20.34% 22.20% 57.46%-0.80 -40.1 6
1982-03-21 Avenir Beggen L 0-438.7 1231 1249 46.21% 22.48% 31.30%+0.19 -53.4 19
1982-03-21 @ Differdange 03 W 4-038.7 1249 1231 31.30% 22.48% 46.21%-0.19 +53.4 27
1982-03-21 Wiltz 71 L 0-337.6 976 1030 41.18% 22.50% 36.32%-0.04 -37.2 9
1982-03-21 @ Olympique Eischen W 3-037.6 1030 976 36.32% 22.50% 41.18%+0.04 +37.2 14
1982-03-21 Jeunesse Esch L 0-434.0 1129 1255 31.30% 22.39% 46.31%-0.50 -39.1 20
1982-03-21 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-034.0 1255 1129 46.31% 22.39% 31.30%+0.50 +39.1 23
1982-03-21 Progres Niedercorn L 0-329.3 938 1231 14.50% 21.41% 64.09%-1.56 -15.4 10
1982-03-21 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-029.3 1231 938 64.09% 21.41% 14.50%+1.56 +15.4 21
1982-04-04 Wiltz 71 D 0-049.1 965 1067 34.50% 22.45% 43.06%-0.34 +0.7 9
1982-04-04 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 0-049.1 1067 965 43.06% 22.45% 34.50%+0.34 -0.7 15
1982-04-04 Alliance Dudelange W 4-026.8 1302 1054 70.30% 20.95% 8.75%+1.88 +12.7 29
1982-04-04 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-426.8 1054 1302 8.75% 20.95% 70.30%-1.88 -12.7 19
1982-04-04 Differdange 03 L 0-245.8 1294 1178 60.99% 22.01% 17.00%+1.04 -36.4 23
1982-04-04 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-045.8 1178 1294 17.00% 22.01% 60.99%-1.04 +36.4 21
1982-04-04 Union Luxembourg W 2-042.1 939 1090 28.12% 22.30% 49.58%-0.66 +29.9 11
1982-04-04 @ Olympique Eischen L 0-242.1 1090 939 49.58% 22.30% 28.12%+0.66 -29.9 20
1982-04-04 Grevenmacher W 5-026.5 1246 985 71.00% 20.82% 8.18%+1.96 +14.6 23
1982-04-04 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-526.5 985 1246 8.18% 20.82% 71.00%-1.96 -14.6 14
1982-04-04 Spora Luxembourg W 2-144.8 895 922 44.90% 22.49% 32.61%+0.13 +10.6 8
1982-04-04 @ UN Kaerjeng L 1-244.8 922 895 32.61% 22.49% 44.90%-0.13 -10.6 10
1982-04-10 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-144.7 971 966 49.02% 22.45% 28.53%+0.33 -15.7 14
1982-04-10 @ Grevenmacher W 1-044.7 966 971 28.53% 22.45% 49.02%-0.33 +15.7 11
1982-04-18 Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.8 1041 1258 20.99% 21.98% 57.03%-1.07 +2.0 20
1982-04-18 @ Alliance Dudelange D 2-258.8 1258 1041 57.03% 21.98% 20.99%+1.07 -2.0 24
1982-04-18 Olympique Eischen L 0-145.0 982 969 50.11% 22.43% 27.46%+0.39 -16.0 11
1982-04-18 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 1-045.0 969 982 27.46% 22.43% 50.11%-0.39 +16.0 13
1982-04-18 Union Luxembourg D 1-153.4 1214 1060 64.14% 21.76% 14.10%+1.28 -3.8 22
1982-04-18 @ Differdange 03 D 1-153.4 1060 1214 14.10% 21.76% 64.14%-1.28 +3.8 21
1982-04-18 UN Kaerjeng W 2-142.0 955 905 54.33% 22.33% 23.35%+0.62 +8.1 16
1982-04-18 @ Grevenmacher L 1-242.0 905 955 23.35% 22.33% 54.33%-0.62 -8.1 8
1982-04-18 Avenir Beggen L 0-327.2 911 1315 8.33% 20.30% 71.36%-2.26 -9.1 10
1982-04-18 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-027.2 1315 911 71.36% 20.30% 8.33%+2.26 +9.1 31
1982-04-18 Progres Niedercorn L 0-234.3 1067 1261 23.25% 22.11% 54.65%-0.93 -16.1 15
1982-04-18 @ Wiltz 71 W 2-034.3 1261 1067 54.65% 22.11% 23.25%+0.93 +16.1 25
1982-05-02 Grevenmacher W 3-026.0 1324 963 75.46% 19.66% 4.88%+2.59 +5.4 33
1982-05-02 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-326.0 963 1324 4.88% 19.66% 75.46%-2.59 -5.4 16
1982-05-02 Spora Luxembourg W 2-028.0 1256 902 75.17% 19.75% 5.07%+2.54 +3.9 26
1982-05-02 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-228.0 902 1256 5.07% 19.75% 75.17%-2.54 -3.9 10
1982-05-02 Differdange 03 D 1-153.3 985 1211 20.08% 21.92% 58.00%-1.13 +2.8 14
1982-05-02 @ Olympique Eischen D 1-153.3 1211 985 58.00% 21.92% 20.08%+1.13 -2.8 23
1982-05-02 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-259.3 1277 966 73.42% 20.26% 6.31%+2.28 -4.0 26
1982-05-02 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-259.3 966 1277 6.31% 20.26% 73.42%-2.28 +4.0 12
1982-05-02 Alliance Dudelange D 2-258.6 1064 1043 51.00% 22.41% 26.58%+0.43 -1.3 22
1982-05-02 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-258.6 1043 1064 26.58% 22.41% 51.00%-0.43 +1.3 21
1982-05-02 Wiltz 71 L 2-348.5 897 1051 27.89% 22.29% 49.82%-0.67 -8.9 8
1982-05-02 @ UN Kaerjeng W 3-248.5 1051 897 49.82% 22.29% 27.89%+0.67 +8.9 17
1982-05-09 Differdange 03 L 1-243.0 1045 1208 26.72% 22.25% 51.02%-0.73 -9.0 21
1982-05-09 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-143.0 1208 1045 51.02% 22.25% 26.72%+0.73 +9.0 25
1982-05-09 UN Kaerjeng W 2-140.9 970 888 57.69% 22.19% 20.12%+0.82 +7.2 14
1982-05-09 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-240.9 888 970 20.12% 22.19% 57.69%-0.82 -7.1 8
1982-05-09 Jeunesse Esch D 1-153.4 958 1260 13.89% 21.34% 64.77%-1.61 +3.9 17
1982-05-09 @ Grevenmacher D 1-153.4 1260 958 64.77% 21.34% 13.89%+1.61 -3.9 27
1982-05-09 Olympique Eischen W 2-028.9 1273 987 72.24% 20.55% 7.20%+2.12 +5.5 28
1982-05-09 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-228.9 987 1273 7.20% 20.55% 72.24%-2.12 -5.5 14
1982-05-09 Union Luxembourg L 2-348.1 898 1063 26.59% 22.25% 51.16%-0.74 -8.6 10
1982-05-09 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-248.1 1063 898 51.16% 22.25% 26.59%+0.74 +8.5 24
1982-05-09 Avenir Beggen D 1-153.5 1060 1329 16.27% 21.61% 62.12%-1.41 +3.4 18
1982-05-09 @ Wiltz 71 D 1-153.5 1329 1060 62.12% 21.61% 16.27%+1.41 -3.5 34
1982-05-16 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-025.3 1326 977 75.00% 19.81% 5.19%+2.52 +7.5 36
1982-05-16 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-425.3 977 1326 5.19% 19.81% 75.00%-2.52 -7.6 14
1982-05-16 Spora Luxembourg W 4-131.6 1217 890 74.10% 20.08% 5.82%+2.38 +5.5 27
1982-05-16 @ Differdange 03 L 1-431.6 890 1217 5.82% 20.08% 74.10%-2.38 -5.5 10
1982-05-16 Wiltz 71 D 2-259.0 1256 1063 66.94% 21.46% 11.61%+1.53 -3.2 28
1982-05-16 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-259.0 1063 1256 11.61% 21.46% 66.94%-1.53 +3.2 19
1982-05-16 Alliance Dudelange L 1-247.4 982 1036 41.28% 22.50% 36.22%-0.04 -12.8 14
1982-05-16 @ Olympique Eischen W 2-147.4 1036 982 36.22% 22.50% 41.28%+0.04 +12.8 23
1982-05-16 Grevenmacher W 1-035.1 1071 961 60.40% 22.05% 17.55%+1.00 +6.7 26
1982-05-16 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-135.1 961 1071 17.55% 22.05% 60.40%-1.00 -6.7 17
1982-05-16 Progres Niedercorn L 0-132.0 881 1279 8.59% 20.37% 71.04%-2.22 -3.4 8
1982-05-16 @ UN Kaerjeng W 1-032.0 1279 881 71.04% 20.37% 8.59%+2.22 +3.4 30
1982-05-23 Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.9 969 1253 15.24% 21.50% 63.26%-1.49 +2.7 15
1982-05-23 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 2-258.9 1253 969 63.26% 21.50% 15.24%+1.49 -2.7 29
1982-05-23 Differdange 03 W 3-043.6 955 1222 16.46% 21.63% 61.92%-1.39 +53.5 19
1982-05-23 @ Grevenmacher L 0-343.6 1222 955 61.92% 21.63% 16.46%+1.39 -53.5 27
1982-05-23 Avenir Beggen W 1-041.8 1282 1334 41.61% 22.50% 35.89%-0.02 +12.2 32
1982-05-23 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-141.8 1334 1282 35.89% 22.50% 41.61%+0.02 -12.2 36
1982-05-23 Alliance Dudelange L 3-451.3 884 1048 26.63% 22.25% 51.12%-0.74 -8.4 10
1982-05-23 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-351.3 1048 884 51.12% 22.25% 26.63%+0.74 +8.3 25
1982-05-23 Olympique Eischen W 2-147.5 878 969 35.97% 22.47% 41.56%-0.28 +12.9 10
1982-05-23 @ UN Kaerjeng L 1-247.5 969 878 41.56% 22.47% 35.97%+0.28 -12.9 14
1982-05-23 Union Luxembourg W 4-033.6 1066 1078 46.94% 22.48% 30.58%+0.23 +38.4 21
1982-05-23 @ Wiltz 71 L 0-433.6 1078 1066 30.58% 22.48% 46.94%-0.23 -38.4 26

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1981-11-08 13.45% Alliance Dudelange 1053 1 @ Differdange 03 1217 0
2 1982-03-07 14.53% Aris Bonnevoie 921 4 @ Alliance Dudelange 1069 1
3 1982-05-23 16.46% @ Grevenmacher 955 3 Differdange 03 1222 0
4 1982-04-04 17.00% Differdange 03 1178 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1294 0
5 1982-02-07 19.53% Grevenmacher 1015 4 @ Alliance Dudelange 1102 1
6 1981-11-29 21.68% Progres Niedercorn 1190 2 @ Avenir Beggen 1256 1
7 1981-10-04 21.89% Union Luxembourg 1111 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1174 1
8 1981-09-13 23.96% Grevenmacher 968 1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1012 0
9 1981-10-11 24.16% @ Grevenmacher 999 1 Progres Niedercorn 1185 0
10 1982-03-07 25.82% Progres Niedercorn 1206 1 @ Differdange 03 1233 0
11 1982-04-18 27.46% Olympique Eischen 969 1 @ Aris Bonnevoie 982 0
12 1981-09-27 27.86% Avenir Beggen 1145 3 @ Union Luxembourg 1155 0
13 1982-04-04 28.12% @ Olympique Eischen 939 2 Union Luxembourg 1090 0
14 1982-04-10 28.53% Aris Bonnevoie 966 1 @ Grevenmacher 971 0
15 1981-09-06 29.19% Alliance Dudelange 1005 4 @ Grevenmacher 1004 1
16 1981-10-25 29.36% Union Luxembourg 1091 4 @ Alliance Dudelange 1089 1
17 1981-09-06 29.58% Union Luxembourg 1077 4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1073 0
18 1981-11-15 29.95% @ Grevenmacher 1005 2 Union Luxembourg 1141 1
19 1981-09-06 30.68% Olympique Eischen 1039 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1027 1
20 1982-03-21 31.30% Avenir Beggen 1249 4 @ Differdange 03 1231 0
21 1981-09-27 31.97% @ Alliance Dudelange 1073 2 Progres Niedercorn 1194 1
22 1981-09-06 32.06% Avenir Beggen 1079 1 @ UN Kaerjeng 1056 0
23 1981-09-06 33.82% @ Wiltz 71 1056 4 Differdange 03 1163 2
24 1981-09-13 34.37% Avenir Beggen 1094 2 @ Olympique Eischen 1053 1
25 1981-10-18 34.60% Differdange 03 1175 5 @ Union Luxembourg 1133 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1981-09-06 55.16 Union Luxembourg 4 1077 29.58% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 1073 47.95% 22.47%
2 1982-05-23 53.52 @ Grevenmacher 3 955 16.46% Differdange 03 0 1222 61.92% 21.63%
3 1982-03-21 53.41 Avenir Beggen 4 1249 31.30% @ Differdange 03 0 1231 46.21% 22.48%
4 1982-03-07 46.58 Aris Bonnevoie 4 921 14.53% @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1069 63.66% 21.80%
5 1981-09-27 43.57 Avenir Beggen 3 1145 27.86% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1155 49.70% 22.44%
6 1982-02-07 42.67 Grevenmacher 4 1015 19.53% @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1102 58.31% 22.16%
7 1982-03-14 41.95 @ Wiltz 71 4 988 43.32% Grevenmacher 0 1027 34.18% 22.50%
8 1981-09-27 41.85 Jeunesse Esch 4 1133 43.46% @ Olympique Eischen 0 1028 34.10% 22.44%
9 1981-10-18 41.82 Differdange 03 5 1175 34.60% @ Union Luxembourg 1 1133 42.90% 22.50%
10 1982-03-21 40.09 @ Alliance Dudelange 6 1014 57.46% UN Kaerjeng 0 935 20.34% 22.20%
11 1982-03-21 39.07 Jeunesse Esch 4 1255 46.31% @ Union Luxembourg 0 1129 31.30% 22.39%
12 1982-05-23 38.40 @ Wiltz 71 4 1066 46.94% Union Luxembourg 0 1078 30.58% 22.48%
13 1981-09-20 37.64 @ Avenir Beggen 5 1107 39.94% Jeunesse Esch 1 1170 37.57% 22.50%
14 1981-10-25 37.59 Jeunesse Esch 4 1132 47.81% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 994 29.84% 22.35%
15 1982-03-21 37.17 Wiltz 71 3 1030 36.32% @ Olympique Eischen 0 976 41.18% 22.50%
16 1982-04-04 36.42 Differdange 03 2 1178 17.00% @ Jeunesse Esch 0 1294 60.99% 22.01%
17 1981-09-06 35.86 Alliance Dudelange 4 1005 29.19% @ Grevenmacher 1 1004 48.35% 22.46%
18 1981-10-25 35.75 Union Luxembourg 4 1091 29.36% @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1089 48.18% 22.46%
19 1981-09-13 31.78 @ Alliance Dudelange 3 1041 43.78% Wiltz 71 0 1077 33.72% 22.50%
20 1981-10-18 30.40 @ Olympique Eischen 3 972 45.63% Aris Bonnevoie 0 994 31.89% 22.49%
21 1982-04-04 29.90 @ Olympique Eischen 2 939 28.12% Union Luxembourg 0 1090 49.58% 22.30%
22 1981-11-15 29.58 Differdange 03 5 1196 60.68% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 943 17.59% 21.73%
23 1981-10-11 28.89 @ Wiltz 71 5 1040 50.62% Aris Bonnevoie 1 1023 26.96% 22.42%
24 1981-11-15 28.49 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 1074 56.45% Olympique Eischen 0 1005 21.30% 22.25%
25 1982-02-14 27.25 Jeunesse Esch 6 1202 58.24% @ UN Kaerjeng 1 973 19.86% 21.90%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1981-10-25 63.1 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 963 20.29% Progres Niedercorn 3 1187 57.77% 21.93%
2 1982-02-07 62.9 @ Olympique Eischen 3 971 55.29% Spora Luxembourg 3 913 22.42% 22.29%
3 1982-05-02 59.3 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1277 73.42% Aris Bonnevoie 2 966 6.31% 20.26%
4 1982-05-16 59.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1256 66.94% Wiltz 71 2 1063 11.61% 21.46%
5 1982-03-07 58.9 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1154 67.89% UN Kaerjeng 2 946 10.78% 21.33%
6 1982-05-23 58.9 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 969 15.24% Jeunesse Esch 2 1253 63.26% 21.50%
7 1982-02-07 58.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1203 47.94% Progres Niedercorn 2 1207 29.60% 22.47%
8 1982-02-14 58.8 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1208 55.03% Union Luxembourg 2 1152 22.66% 22.30%
9 1982-04-18 58.8 @ Alliance Dudelange 2 1041 20.99% Jeunesse Esch 2 1258 57.03% 21.98%
10 1981-10-18 58.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1133 53.93% Alliance Dudelange 2 1087 23.73% 22.34%
11 1982-05-02 58.6 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1064 51.00% Alliance Dudelange 2 1043 26.58% 22.41%
12 1981-09-13 54.8 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1132 39.85% Progres Niedercorn 3 1196 37.66% 22.50%
13 1982-02-07 53.6 @ Avenir Beggen 1 1239 71.48% UN Kaerjeng 1 968 7.80% 20.72%
14 1982-05-09 53.5 @ Wiltz 71 1 1060 16.27% Avenir Beggen 1 1329 62.12% 21.61%
15 1982-04-18 53.4 @ Differdange 03 1 1214 64.14% Union Luxembourg 1 1060 14.10% 21.76%
16 1982-05-09 53.4 @ Grevenmacher 1 958 13.89% Jeunesse Esch 1 1260 64.77% 21.34%
17 1982-02-21 53.3 @ Alliance Dudelange 1 1073 64.14% Spora Luxembourg 1 919 14.10% 21.76%
18 1982-05-02 53.3 @ Olympique Eischen 1 985 20.08% Differdange 03 1 1211 58.00% 21.92%
19 1981-09-06 53.2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1198 52.76% Jeunesse Esch 1 1162 24.87% 22.37%
20 1981-09-20 53.1 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 1011 40.20% Alliance Dudelange 1 1073 37.31% 22.50%
21 1981-09-20 53.1 @ Wiltz 71 1 1045 54.34% Spora Luxembourg 1 995 23.33% 22.33%
22 1981-11-29 53.1 @ Olympique Eischen 1 973 49.19% UN Kaerjeng 1 967 28.36% 22.45%
23 1982-03-14 53.1 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 967 52.31% Spora Luxembourg 1 936 25.30% 22.38%
24 1981-11-29 52.1 Progres Niedercorn 2 1190 21.68% @ Avenir Beggen 1 1256 56.05% 22.26%
25 1981-10-04 51.8 Union Luxembourg 2 1111 21.89% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1174 55.84% 22.27%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1982-05-16 25.3 @ Avenir Beggen 4 1326 75.00% Aris Bonnevoie 0 977 5.19% 19.81%
2 1982-05-02 26.0 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1324 75.46% Grevenmacher 0 963 4.88% 19.66%
3 1982-02-14 26.4 @ Avenir Beggen 4 1234 71.14% Olympique Eischen 0 970 8.07% 20.79%
4 1982-04-04 26.5 @ Progres Niedercorn 5 1246 71.00% Grevenmacher 0 985 8.18% 20.82%
5 1982-04-04 26.8 @ Avenir Beggen 4 1302 70.30% Alliance Dudelange 0 1054 8.75% 20.95%
6 1982-04-18 27.2 Avenir Beggen 3 1315 71.36% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 911 8.33% 20.30%
7 1982-05-02 28.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1256 75.17% Spora Luxembourg 0 902 5.07% 19.75%
8 1982-02-07 28.3 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1140 67.53% Aris Bonnevoie 0 938 11.09% 21.38%
9 1981-11-08 28.9 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1127 65.35% Spora Luxembourg 0 957 13.01% 21.64%
10 1982-05-09 28.9 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1273 72.24% Olympique Eischen 0 987 7.20% 20.55%
11 1981-11-08 29.1 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1225 65.18% Wiltz 71 0 1057 13.16% 21.66%
12 1982-03-21 29.3 Progres Niedercorn 3 1231 64.09% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 938 14.50% 21.41%
13 1981-11-15 29.6 Differdange 03 5 1196 60.68% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 943 17.59% 21.73%
14 1982-03-14 30.4 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1223 67.42% Alliance Dudelange 0 1022 11.19% 21.40%
15 1981-10-18 30.8 @ Avenir Beggen 6 1208 67.24% Spora Luxembourg 1 1011 11.34% 21.42%
16 1981-10-18 30.8 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 1168 59.38% Wiltz 71 0 1069 18.52% 22.11%
17 1981-11-15 30.8 @ Alliance Dudelange 4 1074 56.45% Olympique Eischen 0 1005 21.30% 22.25%
18 1982-03-21 31.0 @ Alliance Dudelange 6 1014 57.46% UN Kaerjeng 0 935 20.34% 22.20%
19 1982-03-14 31.5 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1228 57.28% Union Luxembourg 0 1150 20.50% 22.21%
20 1982-05-16 31.6 @ Differdange 03 4 1217 74.10% Spora Luxembourg 1 890 5.82% 20.08%
21 1982-05-16 32.0 Progres Niedercorn 1 1279 71.04% @ UN Kaerjeng 0 881 8.59% 20.37%
22 1981-11-29 32.6 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1127 59.89% Wiltz 71 0 1022 18.03% 22.08%
23 1981-11-29 32.7 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1195 70.32% Aris Bonnevoie 1 946 8.73% 20.94%
24 1981-11-29 32.9 @ Differdange 03 1 1229 68.07% Grevenmacher 0 1019 10.62% 21.31%
25 1982-03-14 32.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 1247 71.08% Olympique Eischen 2 984 8.12% 20.80%