1982-83 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

34 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Aris Bonnevoie

6.88 points above expected

28 points · 21.12 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Alliance Dudelange

6.95 points below expected

10 points · 16.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Jeunesse Esch	22	16	2	4	34	69	29	+40	28.83	+5.17
2	Avenir Beggen	22	12	5	5	29	39	23	+16	28.30	+0.70
3	Aris Bonnevoie	22	10	8	4	28	43	26	+17	21.12	+6.88
4	Progres Niedercorn	22	10	8	4	28	32	19	+13	28.74	-0.74
5	Grevenmacher	22	8	7	7	23	31	34	-3	20.16	+2.84
6	Rumelange	22	8	6	8	22	33	33	0	20.88	+1.12
7	Differdange 03	22	7	6	9	20	36	35	+1	24.33	-4.33
8	Stade Dudelange	22	5	9	8	19	31	44	-13	17.39	+1.61
9	Union Luxembourg	22	8	2	12	18	42	38	+4	20.76	-2.76
10	Wiltz 71	22	6	5	11	17	31	42	-11	19.67	-2.67
11	Olympique Eischen	22	6	4	12	16	16	38	-22	16.87	-0.87
12	Alliance Dudelange	22	2	6	14	10	15	57	-42	16.95	-6.95

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Aris Bonnevoie	28	21.12	+6.88
2	Jeunesse Esch	34	28.83	+5.17
3	Grevenmacher	23	20.16	+2.84
4	Stade Dudelange	19	17.39	+1.61
5	Rumelange	22	20.88	+1.12

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Alliance Dudelange	10	16.95	-6.95
2	Differdange 03	20	24.33	-4.33
3	Union Luxembourg	18	20.76	-2.76
4	Wiltz 71	17	19.67	-2.67
5	Olympique Eischen	16	16.87	-0.87

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Jeunesse Esch	7	Sep 5 – Oct 24	1 in 191
2	Avenir Beggen	6	Mar 13 – May 8	1 in 89
3	Olympique Eischen	2	Apr 24 – May 1	1 in 39
4	Aris Bonnevoie	4	Feb 20 – Mar 20	1 in 38
5	Wiltz 71	3	May 1 – May 15	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Union Luxembourg	6	Sep 1 – Oct 3	1 in 137
2	Wiltz 71	4	Oct 3 – Oct 31	1 in 75
3	Rumelange	4	Nov 14 – Feb 20	1 in 51
4	Differdange 03	3	Apr 24 – May 8	1 in 38
5	Olympique Eischen	4	Sep 26 – Oct 24	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Stade Dudelange	9	Oct 17 – Mar 13	1 in 248
2	Grevenmacher	7	Oct 24 – Feb 27	1 in 60
3	Aris Bonnevoie	9	Oct 31 – Apr 20	1 in 47
4	Progres Niedercorn	14	Sep 1 – Feb 27	1 in 38
5	Rumelange	7	Sep 12 – Oct 31	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Wiltz 71	9	Sep 12 – Nov 21	1 in 42
2	Rumelange	9	Oct 24 – Mar 20	1 in 41
3	Differdange 03	7	Mar 20 – Jun 5	1 in 29
4	Progres Niedercorn	4	Feb 20 – Mar 20	1 in 22
5	Grevenmacher	7	Sep 1 – Oct 17	1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch	1142	34	+40	9	7.4	+1.6
Avenir Beggen	1098	29	+18	8	6.5	+1.5
Aris Bonnevoie	1023	28	+23	6	5.0	+1.0
Progres Niedercorn	1072	28	-6	5	6.3	-1.3
Grevenmacher	939	23	-11	6	4.9	+1.1
Rumelange	962	22	+45	6	4.3	+1.7
Differdange 03	954	20	-35	1	5.2	-4.2
Stade Dudelange	875	19	-7	4	3.8	+0.2
Union Luxembourg	969	18	-24	3	5.7	-2.7
Wiltz 71	916	17	+40	6	4.5	+1.5
Olympique Eischen	819	16	-23	5	3.6	+1.4
Alliance Dudelange	760	10	-60	1	2.9	-1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AD	AB	AB	D0	GRE	JE	OE	PN	RUM	SD	UL	W7
Alliance Dudelange	—	0-0-2 2.33	0-0-2 1.38	0-0-2 1.98	1-1-0 2.18	0-0-2 1.09	1-1-0 2.62	0-0-2 1.34	0-2-0 2.03	0-1-1 2.82	0-0-2 2.18	0-1-1 2.32
Aris Bonnevoie	2-0-0 3.14	—	1-1-0 1.96	0-2-0 2.74	0-2-0 2.81	0-0-2 1.83	1-0-1 3.07	1-1-0 1.77	1-0-1 3.02	1-1-0 3.37	2-0-0 2.90	1-1-0 3.13
Avenir Beggen	2-0-0 4.12	0-1-1 3.50	—	1-0-1 3.48	1-0-1 3.78	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 4.03	1-1-0 2.65	1-1-0 3.60	1-1-0 3.99	2-0-0 3.62	1-1-0 3.77
Differdange 03	2-0-0 3.48	0-2-0 2.72	1-0-1 1.98	—	0-1-1 3.16	0-1-1 2.11	1-0-1 3.58	0-1-1 2.17	1-1-0 3.34	0-0-2 3.72	1-0-1 3.48	1-0-1 3.46
Grevenmacher	0-1-1 3.29	0-2-0 2.65	1-0-1 1.70	1-1-0 2.30	—	1-0-1 1.46	1-1-0 3.05	1-1-0 1.65	0-0-2 2.76	1-1-0 3.04	0-0-2 2.82	2-0-0 2.85
Jeunesse Esch	2-0-0 4.45	2-0-0 3.64	1-0-1 2.87	1-1-0 3.35	1-0-1 4.03	—	1-1-0 4.29	0-0-2 2.67	2-0-0 3.58	2-0-0 4.13	2-0-0 3.72	2-0-0 3.80
Olympique Eischen	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.39	1-0-1 1.46	1-0-1 1.89	0-1-1 2.41	0-1-1 1.23	—	1-0-1 1.41	0-0-2 2.25	0-1-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.02	1-0-1 2.44
Progres Niedercorn	2-0-0 4.16	0-1-1 3.70	0-1-1 2.80	1-1-0 3.29	0-1-1 3.83	2-0-0 2.78	1-0-1 4.09	—	1-1-0 3.56	1-1-0 4.01	1-1-0 3.58	1-1-0 3.95
Rumelange	0-2-0 3.43	1-0-1 2.44	0-1-1 1.87	0-1-1 2.12	2-0-0 2.69	0-0-2 1.89	2-0-0 3.21	0-1-1 1.91	—	1-1-0 2.97	1-0-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.84
Stade Dudelange	1-1-0 2.63	0-1-1 2.09	0-1-1 1.50	2-0-0 1.76	0-1-1 2.41	0-0-2 1.36	1-1-0 2.81	0-1-1 1.48	0-1-1 2.48	—	1-1-0 2.37	0-1-1 2.58
Union Luxembourg	2-0-0 3.29	0-0-2 2.56	0-0-2 1.85	1-0-1 1.98	2-0-0 2.63	0-0-2 1.75	1-0-1 3.44	0-1-1 1.88	1-0-1 2.75	0-1-1 3.08	—	1-0-1 2.76
Wiltz 71	1-1-0 3.14	0-1-1 2.33	0-1-1 1.70	1-0-1 2.01	0-0-2 2.61	0-0-2 1.68	1-0-1 3.02	0-1-1 1.54	1-0-1 2.62	1-1-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.69	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.63	+3.9
Allowed	0.76	-5.7
Differential	0.90	+3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.79%	6.82%	5.68%	5.68%	3.03%	2.27%	27.27%
1	6.82%	11.36%	5.30%	1.52%	1.14%	0.76%	26.89%
2	5.68%	5.30%	9.85%	—	3.03%	1.14%	25.00%
3	5.68%	1.52%	—	0.76%	0.38%	0.38%	8.71%
4	3.03%	1.14%	3.03%	0.38%	—	—	7.58%
5+	2.27%	0.76%	1.14%	0.38%	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	26.89%	25.00%	8.71%	7.58%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.58	1.58	+0.00
SD	1.47	1.47	2.32
CV	0.93	0.93	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	18.18%	59.09%
1	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
2	—	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	9.09%	27.27%	13.64%	13.64%	18.18%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.68	2.59	-1.91
SD	0.95	1.89	2.22
CV	1.39	0.73	—
Max	3	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	4.55%	9.09%	18.18%	—	4.55%	—	36.36%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.27%	36.36%	31.82%	—	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	1.18	+0.77
SD	1.29	1.01	1.72
CV	0.66	0.85	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
2	18.18%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	40.91%
3	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	40.91%	31.82%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	1.05	+0.73
SD	1.34	0.79	1.64
CV	0.76	0.75	—
Max	5	2	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	—	13.64%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	27.27%
3	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	22.73%	31.82%	22.73%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.59	+0.05
SD	1.50	1.37	2.21
CV	0.92	0.86	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	27.27%
1	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
2	13.64%	4.55%	13.64%	—	4.55%	—	36.36%
3	9.09%	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	27.27%	18.18%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.55	-0.14
SD	1.14	1.71	2.40
CV	0.81	1.11	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
1	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
2	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	22.73%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	9.09%	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	—	31.82%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
Total	22.73%	27.27%	45.45%	4.55%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.14	1.32	+1.82
SD	2.05	0.89	2.26
CV	0.65	0.68	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	22.73%	13.64%	—	59.09%
1	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
2	—	—	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	13.64%	9.09%	22.73%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.73	1.73	-1.00
SD	1.12	1.61	2.29
CV	1.54	0.93	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
1	13.64%	31.82%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	54.55%
2	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	36.36%	50.00%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.45	0.86	+0.59
SD	1.06	0.94	1.62
CV	0.73	1.09	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	22.73%
1	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	22.73%
4	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	31.82%	18.18%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.50	+0.00
SD	1.22	1.68	2.43
CV	0.82	1.12	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	36.36%
1	—	13.64%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
2	—	4.55%	18.18%	—	—	9.09%	31.82%
3	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
4	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	27.27%	27.27%	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	2.00	-0.59
SD	1.33	1.72	2.34
CV	0.95	0.86	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
1	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	36.36%
2	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%	—	18.18%
3	18.18%	—	—	—	4.55%	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	31.82%	13.64%	22.73%	13.64%	18.18%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	1.73	+0.18
SD	1.54	1.52	2.42
CV	0.81	0.88	—
Max	6	4	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	13.64%	—	9.09%	—	31.82%
1	13.64%	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	—	—	13.64%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	22.73%	13.64%	36.36%	9.09%	13.64%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	1.91	-0.50
SD	1.53	1.48	2.28
CV	1.09	0.77	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Jeunesse Esch	1142	34	28.83	+5.17	97.0%	19	23	26	29	31	34	35
Avenir Beggen	1098	29	28.30	+0.70	62.0%	18	22	26	29	31	35	38
Progres Niedercorn	1072	28	28.74	-0.74	53.0%	21	24	26	28	32	34	38
Aris Bonnevoie	1023	28	21.12	+6.88	98.0%	12	15	18	21	23	28	30
Union Luxembourg	969	18	20.76	-2.76	22.0%	11	15	19	20	23	27	29
Rumelange	962	22	20.88	+1.12	70.0%	13	15	18	21	24	27	29
Differdange 03	954	20	24.33	-4.33	15.0%	17	19	22	24	27	29	33
Grevenmacher	939	23	20.16	+2.84	82.0%	11	12	17	20	22	28	33
Wiltz 71	916	17	19.67	-2.67	30.0%	8	11	17	19	23	26	32
Stade Dudelange	875	19	17.39	+1.61	73.0%	10	12	15	17	20	23	31
Olympique Eischen	819	16	16.87	-0.87	49.0%	8	10	14	17	19	25	31
Alliance Dudelange	760	10	16.95	-6.95	4.0%	8	11	14	17	19	23	25

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

-4.55%

No Edge

34.85%25.76%39.39%

Elo Value

Home Edge: -15.80 Elo pts.

136 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

0400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.15 goals

Neutral

-2-0.12+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.3

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

39%

Jeunesse Esch, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.23/gm

Comfortable

00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.05 * Some Luck: 3.05 to 4.57 * Lucky: 4.57 to 6.09 * Wild Swing: 6.09 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.55 * Close: 1.55 to 2.32 * Off: 2.32 to 3.1 * Way Off: 3.1 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.76 points

Some Luck

03.8110

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.50

Pinpoint

01.944

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

98.00%

Aris Bonnevoie

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

4.00%

Alliance Dudelange

050

Season Outliers

Expected

3 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.

Gini Index

0.16

Balanced

00.170.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 112.07

1.67

Moderate Separation

11.651.852.052.5

Interquartile Edge

68%

Even

50%68%78%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

90%

Clear Edge

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

51%

Some Drama

0%48%100%

Blowouts

Expected

28%

Very Frequent

0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.62

Hard to Predict

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.32

Very Even

00.350.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.07

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.44

Some Carryover

00.430.621

Upset Rate

Expected

26%

Upset-Prone

0%25%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

22%

Shaky Favorites

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.16 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.16 to 0.23 * Above Noise: 0.23 to 0.31 * Well Above Noise: 0.31 and up.

Probability calibration

0.90

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.93

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.060

Well Within Noise

00.1560.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Jeunesse Esch	39.00%	27.00%	13.00%	10.00%	6.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Avenir Beggen	26.00%	27.00%	23.00%	7.00%	11.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—
Aris Bonnevoie	—	4.00%	8.00%	10.00%	13.00%	16.00%	16.00%	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	3.00%	4.00%
Progres Niedercorn	28.00%	26.00%	22.00%	18.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Grevenmacher	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	13.00%	11.00%	13.00%	13.00%	11.00%	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%
Rumelange	—	1.00%	6.00%	12.00%	10.00%	13.00%	11.00%	15.00%	15.00%	8.00%	4.00%	5.00%
Differdange 03	4.00%	8.00%	12.00%	19.00%	22.00%	16.00%	11.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Stade Dudelange	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	9.00%	14.00%	8.00%	21.00%	26.00%	15.00%
Union Luxembourg	—	1.00%	7.00%	10.00%	6.00%	16.00%	15.00%	13.00%	13.00%	9.00%	6.00%	4.00%
Wiltz 71	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	8.00%	8.00%	10.00%	5.00%	18.00%	13.00%	13.00%	8.00%	11.00%
Olympique Eischen	—	1.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%	2.00%	11.00%	8.00%	11.00%	15.00%	22.00%	27.00%
Alliance Dudelange	—	—	—	2.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	10.00%	13.00%	16.00%	19.00%	25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Avenir Beggen	100%	—
Jeunesse Esch	100%	—
Progres Niedercorn	100%	—
Differdange 03	99.00%	1.00%
Aris Bonnevoie	93.00%	7.00%
Rumelange	91.00%	9.00%
Union Luxembourg	90.00%	10.00%
Wiltz 71	81.00%	19.00%
Grevenmacher	80.00%	20.00%
Stade Dudelange	59.00%	41.00%
Alliance Dudelange	56.00%	44.00%
Olympique Eischen	51.00%	49.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
1982-09-01	Grevenmacher	D 2-2	56.7	905	920	34.14%	27.31%	38.55%	-0.23	+0.1	1
1982-09-01	@ Aris Bonnevoie	D 2-2	56.7	920	905	38.55%	27.31%	34.14%	+0.23	-0.1	1
1982-09-01	Olympique Eischen	W 4-0	33.0	997	897	49.49%	26.79%	23.72%	+0.61	+20.4	2
1982-09-01	@ Differdange 03	L 0-4	33.0	897	997	23.72%	26.79%	49.49%	-0.61	-20.4	0
1982-09-01	Progres Niedercorn	L 0-1	41.4	1031	1051	33.53%	27.30%	39.16%	-0.26	-7.5	0
1982-09-01	@ Jeunesse Esch	W 1-0	41.4	1051	1031	39.16%	27.30%	33.53%	+0.26	+7.5	2
1982-09-01	Avenir Beggen	L 0-2	34.5	932	1067	20.16%	26.36%	53.47%	-1.10	-9.4	0
1982-09-01	@ Union Luxembourg	W 2-0	34.5	1067	932	53.47%	26.36%	20.16%	+1.10	+9.4	2
1982-09-01	Alliance Dudelange	D 0-0	47.4	885	942	28.64%	27.15%	44.21%	-0.53	+0.7	1
1982-09-01	@ Stade Dudelange	D 0-0	47.4	942	885	44.21%	27.15%	28.64%	+0.53	-0.8	1
1982-09-01	Rumelange	L 0-1	43.8	969	931	41.69%	27.25%	31.06%	+0.16	-8.8	0
1982-09-01	@ Wiltz 71	W 1-0	43.8	931	969	31.06%	27.25%	41.69%	-0.16	+8.8	2
1982-09-05	Differdange 03	L 0-2	36.6	942	1017	26.39%	27.02%	46.59%	-0.67	-11.7	1
1982-09-05	@ Alliance Dudelange	W 2-0	36.6	1017	942	46.59%	27.02%	26.39%	+0.67	+11.7	4
1982-09-05	Grevenmacher	W 4-2	43.5	1076	920	55.75%	26.04%	18.21%	+1.03	+6.7	4
1982-09-05	@ Avenir Beggen	L 2-4	43.5	920	1076	18.21%	26.04%	55.75%	-1.03	-6.7	1
1982-09-05	Aris Bonnevoie	W 1-0	43.4	877	905	32.46%	27.28%	40.26%	-0.32	+8.6	2
1982-09-05	@ Olympique Eischen	L 0-1	43.4	905	877	40.26%	27.28%	32.46%	+0.32	-8.6	1
1982-09-05	Stade Dudelange	W 2-0	33.3	1058	886	57.36%	25.77%	16.87%	+1.15	+8.1	4
1982-09-05	@ Progres Niedercorn	L 0-2	33.3	886	1058	16.87%	25.77%	57.36%	-1.15	-8.1	1
1982-09-05	Wiltz 71	L 3-4	53.9	923	960	31.20%	27.25%	41.55%	-0.39	-6.2	0
1982-09-05	@ Union Luxembourg	W 4-3	53.9	960	923	41.55%	27.25%	31.20%	+0.39	+6.2	2
1982-09-05	Jeunesse Esch	L 1-4	39.5	939	1024	25.40%	26.94%	47.65%	-0.73	-13.9	2
1982-09-05	@ Rumelange	W 4-1	39.5	1024	939	47.65%	26.94%	25.40%	+0.73	+13.9	2
1982-09-12	Alliance Dudelange	W 4-0	38.3	896	930	31.67%	27.26%	41.07%	-0.36	+31.1	3
1982-09-12	@ Aris Bonnevoie	L 0-4	38.3	930	896	41.07%	27.26%	31.67%	+0.36	-31.1	1
1982-09-12	Progres Niedercorn	L 1-2	45.6	1029	1067	31.16%	27.25%	41.59%	-0.39	-6.7	4
1982-09-12	@ Differdange 03	W 2-1	45.6	1067	1029	41.59%	27.25%	31.16%	+0.39	+6.7	6
1982-09-12	Olympique Eischen	D 0-0	47.4	913	886	40.26%	27.28%	32.46%	+0.09	-0.4	2
1982-09-12	@ Grevenmacher	D 0-0	47.4	886	913	32.46%	27.28%	40.26%	-0.09	+0.4	3
1982-09-12	Union Luxembourg	W 4-2	44.6	1038	917	51.96%	26.55%	21.49%	+0.77	+7.7	4
1982-09-12	@ Jeunesse Esch	L 2-4	44.6	917	1038	21.49%	26.55%	51.96%	-0.77	-7.7	0
1982-09-12	Rumelange	L 0-3	35.8	878	925	29.85%	27.20%	42.94%	-0.46	-18.7	1
1982-09-12	@ Stade Dudelange	W 3-0	35.8	925	878	42.94%	27.20%	29.85%	+0.46	+18.7	4
1982-09-12	Avenir Beggen	L 1-2	42.6	966	1083	21.90%	26.60%	51.50%	-0.97	-5.0	2
1982-09-12	@ Wiltz 71	W 2-1	42.6	1083	966	51.50%	26.60%	21.90%	+0.97	+5.0	6
1982-09-19	Grevenmacher	D 2-2	56.7	899	913	34.33%	27.31%	38.36%	-0.22	+0.1	2
1982-09-19	@ Alliance Dudelange	D 2-2	56.7	913	899	38.36%	27.31%	34.33%	+0.22	-0.1	3
1982-09-19	Olympique Eischen	L 0-1	48.7	1088	886	60.12%	25.22%	14.66%	+1.37	-12.1	6
1982-09-19	@ Avenir Beggen	W 1-0	48.7	886	1088	14.66%	25.22%	60.12%	-1.37	+12.1	5
1982-09-19	Aris Bonnevoie	D 1-1	51.7	1073	927	54.68%	26.20%	19.13%	+0.95	-1.6	7
1982-09-19	@ Progres Niedercorn	D 1-1	51.7	927	1073	19.13%	26.20%	54.68%	-0.95	+1.6	4
1982-09-19	Stade Dudelange	L 2-4	51.4	909	859	43.25%	27.19%	29.56%	+0.25	-13.2	0
1982-09-19	@ Union Luxembourg	W 4-2	51.4	859	909	29.56%	27.19%	43.25%	-0.25	+13.2	3
1982-09-19	Differdange 03	D 1-1	51.4	944	1022	26.10%	27.00%	46.90%	-0.69	+0.9	5
1982-09-19	@ Rumelange	D 1-1	51.4	1022	944	46.90%	27.00%	26.10%	+0.69	-0.9	5
1982-09-19	Jeunesse Esch	L 1-2	43.7	961	1045	25.42%	26.94%	47.63%	-0.73	-5.7	2
1982-09-19	@ Wiltz 71	W 2-1	43.7	1045	961	47.63%	26.94%	25.42%	+0.73	+5.7	6
1982-09-26	Rumelange	L 1-2	46.4	929	945	34.05%	27.31%	38.64%	-0.23	-7.1	4
1982-09-26	@ Aris Bonnevoie	W 2-1	46.4	945	929	38.64%	27.31%	34.05%	+0.23	+7.1	7
1982-09-26	Union Luxembourg	W 2-1	42.3	1021	896	52.50%	26.48%	21.02%	+0.81	+4.9	7
1982-09-26	@ Differdange 03	L 1-2	42.3	896	1021	21.02%	26.48%	52.50%	-0.81	-4.9	0
1982-09-26	Progres Niedercorn	D 1-1	51.7	913	1072	18.00%	26.00%	56.00%	-1.28	+1.8	4
1982-09-26	@ Grevenmacher	D 1-1	51.7	1072	913	56.00%	26.00%	18.00%	+1.28	-1.8	8
1982-09-26	Avenir Beggen	W 2-0	40.7	1051	1076	32.83%	27.29%	39.88%	-0.30	+16.0	8
1982-09-26	@ Jeunesse Esch	L 0-2	40.7	1076	1051	39.88%	27.29%	32.83%	+0.30	-16.0	6
1982-09-26	Alliance Dudelange	L 0-1	42.2	898	899	36.20%	27.32%	36.47%	-0.12	-7.9	5
1982-09-26	@ Olympique Eischen	W 1-0	42.2	899	898	36.47%	27.32%	36.20%	+0.12	+7.9	4
1982-09-26	Wiltz 71	D 2-2	56.8	872	956	25.53%	26.95%	47.51%	-0.72	+0.7	4
1982-09-26	@ Stade Dudelange	D 2-2	56.8	956	872	47.51%	26.95%	25.53%	+0.72	-0.7	3
1982-10-03	Avenir Beggen	L 1-2	41.4	907	1060	18.48%	26.09%	55.43%	-1.24	-4.4	4
1982-10-03	@ Alliance Dudelange	W 2-1	41.4	1060	907	55.43%	26.09%	18.48%	+1.24	+4.4	8
1982-10-03	Stade Dudelange	W 6-2	36.5	1067	873	59.37%	25.38%	15.25%	+1.30	+9.9	10
1982-10-03	@ Jeunesse Esch	L 2-6	36.5	873	1067	15.25%	25.38%	59.37%	-1.30	-9.9	4
1982-10-03	Olympique Eischen	W 3-0	31.3	1070	890	58.06%	25.64%	16.30%	+1.20	+11.4	10
1982-10-03	@ Progres Niedercorn	L 0-3	31.3	890	1070	16.30%	25.64%	58.06%	-1.20	-11.4	5
1982-10-03	Aris Bonnevoie	L 2-4	48.0	891	922	32.04%	27.27%	40.69%	-0.34	-10.5	0
1982-10-03	@ Union Luxembourg	W 4-2	48.0	922	891	40.69%	27.27%	32.04%	+0.34	+10.5	6
1982-10-03	Grevenmacher	W 3-1	43.5	952	915	41.61%	27.25%	31.14%	+0.16	+11.5	9
1982-10-03	@ Rumelange	L 1-3	43.5	915	952	31.14%	27.25%	41.61%	-0.16	-11.5	4
1982-10-03	Differdange 03	L 0-1	39.3	955	1026	26.88%	27.05%	46.07%	-0.64	-6.3	3
1982-10-03	@ Wiltz 71	W 1-0	39.3	1026	955	46.07%	27.05%	26.88%	+0.64	+6.3	9
1982-10-17	Wiltz 71	W 4-1	43.6	932	948	34.06%	27.31%	38.63%	-0.23	+19.1	8
1982-10-17	@ Aris Bonnevoie	L 1-4	43.6	948	932	38.63%	27.31%	34.06%	+0.23	-19.1	3
1982-10-17	Stade Dudelange	D 1-1	51.9	1064	863	60.03%	25.24%	14.73%	+1.36	-2.1	9
1982-10-17	@ Avenir Beggen	D 1-1	51.9	863	1064	14.73%	25.24%	60.03%	-1.36	+2.1	5
1982-10-17	Jeunesse Esch	L 3-5	49.7	1033	1077	30.28%	27.22%	42.50%	-0.44	-9.6	9
1982-10-17	@ Differdange 03	W 5-3	49.7	1077	1033	42.50%	27.22%	30.28%	+0.44	+9.5	12
1982-10-17	Union Luxembourg	L 0-2	40.6	903	880	39.55%	27.30%	33.15%	+0.05	-15.9	4
1982-10-17	@ Grevenmacher	W 2-0	40.6	880	903	33.15%	27.30%	39.55%	-0.05	+15.9	2
1982-10-17	Rumelange	L 0-4	33.5	879	964	25.31%	26.94%	47.75%	-0.74	-21.5	5
1982-10-17	@ Olympique Eischen	W 4-0	33.5	964	879	47.75%	26.94%	25.31%	+0.74	+21.5	11
1982-10-24	Aris Bonnevoie	W 2-0	34.5	1086	952	53.51%	26.36%	20.13%	+0.87	+9.4	14
1982-10-24	@ Jeunesse Esch	L 0-2	34.5	952	1086	20.13%	26.36%	53.51%	-0.87	-9.4	8
1982-10-24	Avenir Beggen	D 1-1	51.4	1081	1062	39.03%	27.31%	33.66%	+0.02	-0.2	11
1982-10-24	@ Progres Niedercorn	D 1-1	51.4	1062	1081	33.66%	27.31%	39.03%	-0.02	+0.2	10
1982-10-24	Olympique Eischen	W 1-0	40.6	896	857	41.81%	27.24%	30.95%	+0.17	+7.0	4
1982-10-24	@ Union Luxembourg	L 0-1	40.6	857	896	30.95%	27.24%	41.81%	-0.17	-7.0	5
1982-10-24	Alliance Dudelange	D 2-2	56.8	985	902	47.48%	26.96%	25.56%	+0.49	-0.7	12
1982-10-24	@ Rumelange	D 2-2	56.8	902	985	25.56%	26.96%	47.48%	-0.49	+0.7	5
1982-10-24	Differdange 03	W 3-0	43.2	865	1023	18.09%	26.02%	55.90%	-1.27	+30.9	7
1982-10-24	@ Stade Dudelange	L 0-3	43.2	1023	865	55.90%	26.02%	18.09%	+1.27	-30.9	9
1982-10-24	Grevenmacher	L 0-2	41.4	929	887	42.23%	27.23%	30.55%	+0.19	-16.7	3
1982-10-24	@ Wiltz 71	W 2-0	41.4	887	929	30.55%	27.23%	42.23%	-0.19	+16.7	6
1982-10-31	Union Luxembourg	L 0-3	37.8	903	903	36.32%	27.32%	36.36%	-0.12	-21.7	5
1982-10-31	@ Alliance Dudelange	W 3-0	37.8	903	903	36.36%	27.32%	36.32%	+0.12	+21.7	6
1982-10-31	Stade Dudelange	D 1-1	51.4	942	896	42.72%	27.21%	30.07%	+0.22	-0.5	9
1982-10-31	@ Aris Bonnevoie	D 1-1	51.4	896	942	30.07%	27.21%	42.72%	-0.22	+0.5	8
1982-10-31	Differdange 03	L 1-2	49.9	1062	992	45.91%	27.06%	27.04%	+0.40	-9.0	10
1982-10-31	@ Avenir Beggen	W 2-1	49.9	992	1062	27.04%	27.06%	45.91%	-0.40	+8.9	11
1982-10-31	Jeunesse Esch	W 2-0	45.9	904	1096	15.39%	25.42%	59.20%	-1.52	+22.4	8
1982-10-31	@ Grevenmacher	L 0-2	45.9	1096	904	59.20%	25.42%	15.39%	+1.52	-22.4	14
1982-10-31	Wiltz 71	W 4-0	39.4	850	913	27.98%	27.11%	44.90%	-0.57	+33.4	7
1982-10-31	@ Olympique Eischen	L 0-4	39.4	913	850	44.90%	27.11%	27.98%	+0.57	-33.4	3
1982-10-31	Rumelange	D 1-1	51.5	1081	985	49.13%	26.83%	24.04%	+0.59	-1.1	12
1982-10-31	@ Progres Niedercorn	D 1-1	51.5	985	1081	24.04%	26.83%	49.13%	-0.59	+1.1	13
1982-11-06	Progres Niedercorn	L 0-1	35.2	882	1080	14.92%	25.29%	59.79%	-1.57	-3.8	5
1982-11-06	@ Alliance Dudelange	W 1-0	35.2	1080	882	59.79%	25.29%	14.92%	+1.57	+3.8	14
1982-11-14	Aris Bonnevoie	D 0-0	47.5	1001	942	44.53%	27.13%	28.33%	+0.32	-0.8	12
1982-11-14	@ Differdange 03	D 0-0	47.5	942	1001	28.33%	27.13%	44.53%	-0.32	+0.8	10
1982-11-14	Olympique Eischen	W 4-2	42.5	1073	884	59.01%	25.46%	15.54%	+1.28	+5.8	16
1982-11-14	@ Jeunesse Esch	L 2-4	42.5	884	1073	15.54%	25.46%	59.01%	-1.28	-5.8	7
1982-11-14	Progres Niedercorn	L 1-2	41.2	925	1084	18.01%	26.00%	55.99%	-1.28	-4.3	6
1982-11-14	@ Union Luxembourg	W 2-1	41.2	1084	925	55.99%	26.00%	18.01%	+1.28	+4.3	16
1982-11-14	Avenir Beggen	L 0-2	36.9	986	1053	27.33%	27.08%	45.59%	-0.61	-12.1	13
1982-11-14	@ Rumelange	W 2-0	36.9	1053	986	45.59%	27.08%	27.33%	+0.61	+12.1	12
1982-11-14	Grevenmacher	D 2-2	56.7	897	926	32.22%	27.28%	40.50%	-0.33	+0.3	9
1982-11-14	@ Stade Dudelange	D 2-2	56.7	926	897	40.50%	27.28%	32.22%	+0.33	-0.3	9
1982-11-14	Alliance Dudelange	D 3-3	61.0	879	878	36.56%	27.32%	36.11%	-0.10	-0.0	4
1982-11-14	@ Wiltz 71	D 3-3	61.0	878	879	36.11%	27.32%	36.56%	+0.10	+0.0	6
1982-11-21	Jeunesse Esch	L 0-4	29.8	878	1079	14.70%	25.23%	60.07%	-1.59	-13.5	6
1982-11-21	@ Alliance Dudelange	W 4-0	29.8	1079	878	60.07%	25.23%	14.70%	+1.59	+13.5	18
1982-11-21	Aris Bonnevoie	L 0-2	44.2	1066	942	52.23%	26.52%	21.26%	+0.79	-20.0	12
1982-11-21	@ Avenir Beggen	W 2-0	44.2	942	1066	21.26%	26.52%	52.23%	-0.79	+20.0	12
1982-11-21	Differdange 03	D 1-1	51.4	926	1000	26.56%	27.03%	46.42%	-0.66	+0.9	10
1982-11-21	@ Grevenmacher	D 1-1	51.4	1000	926	46.42%	27.03%	26.56%	+0.66	-0.9	13
1982-11-21	Stade Dudelange	D 0-0	47.4	878	897	33.61%	27.30%	39.09%	-0.26	+0.3	8
1982-11-21	@ Olympique Eischen	D 0-0	47.4	897	878	39.09%	27.30%	33.61%	+0.26	-0.2	10
1982-11-21	Wiltz 71	D 1-1	52.0	1088	879	60.71%	25.09%	14.20%	+1.41	-2.2	17
1982-11-21	@ Progres Niedercorn	D 1-1	52.0	879	1088	14.20%	25.09%	60.71%	-1.41	+2.2	5
1982-11-21	Union Luxembourg	L 0-3	39.9	974	921	43.66%	27.17%	29.17%	+0.27	-25.0	13
1982-11-21	@ Rumelange	W 3-0	39.9	921	974	29.17%	27.17%	43.66%	-0.27	+25.0	8
1982-12-05	Stade Dudelange	L 1-3	43.7	864	897	31.80%	27.27%	40.93%	-0.36	-11.7	6
1982-12-05	@ Alliance Dudelange	W 3-1	43.7	897	864	40.93%	27.27%	31.80%	+0.36	+11.7	12
1982-12-05	Union Luxembourg	W 3-1	41.1	1046	946	49.54%	26.79%	23.67%	+0.62	+9.3	14
1982-12-05	@ Avenir Beggen	L 1-3	41.1	946	1046	23.67%	26.79%	49.54%	-0.62	-9.3	8
1982-12-05	Aris Bonnevoie	D 1-1	51.3	927	962	31.43%	27.26%	41.31%	-0.38	+0.4	11
1982-12-05	@ Grevenmacher	D 1-1	51.3	962	927	41.31%	27.26%	31.43%	+0.38	-0.4	13
1982-12-05	Differdange 03	W 3-0	42.2	878	1000	21.42%	26.54%	52.04%	-1.01	+29.0	10
1982-12-05	@ Olympique Eischen	L 0-3	42.2	1000	878	52.04%	26.54%	21.42%	+1.01	-29.0	13
1982-12-05	Jeunesse Esch	W 2-0	40.0	1086	1093	35.35%	27.32%	37.33%	-0.17	+15.2	19
1982-12-05	@ Progres Niedercorn	L 0-2	40.0	1093	1086	37.33%	27.32%	35.35%	+0.17	-15.2	18
1982-12-05	Wiltz 71	L 0-1	44.9	949	881	45.52%	27.08%	27.40%	+0.38	-9.4	13
1982-12-05	@ Rumelange	W 1-0	44.9	881	949	27.40%	27.08%	45.52%	-0.38	+9.4	7
1983-02-20	Olympique Eischen	W 3-0	35.5	962	907	43.93%	27.16%	28.91%	+0.29	+18.3	15
1983-02-20	@ Aris Bonnevoie	L 0-3	35.5	907	962	28.91%	27.16%	43.93%	-0.29	-18.3	10
1983-02-20	Alliance Dudelange	W 5-0	32.4	971	852	51.65%	26.58%	21.77%	+0.75	+23.5	15
1983-02-20	@ Differdange 03	L 0-5	32.4	852	971	21.77%	26.58%	51.65%	-0.75	-23.5	6
1983-02-20	Avenir Beggen	W 1-0	46.9	927	1055	20.84%	26.46%	52.70%	-1.05	+10.7	13
1983-02-20	@ Grevenmacher	L 0-1	46.9	1055	927	52.70%	26.46%	20.84%	+1.05	-10.7	14
1983-02-20	Rumelange	W 6-1	34.9	1077	939	53.87%	26.31%	19.82%	+0.90	+18.0	20
1983-02-20	@ Jeunesse Esch	L 1-6	34.9	939	1077	19.82%	26.31%	53.87%	-0.90	-18.0	13
1983-02-20	Progres Niedercorn	D 2-2	57.3	909	1101	15.35%	25.41%	59.25%	-1.53	+1.5	13
1983-02-20	@ Stade Dudelange	D 2-2	57.3	1101	909	59.25%	25.41%	15.35%	+1.53	-1.5	20
1983-02-20	Union Luxembourg	L 2-5	44.2	891	936	30.11%	27.21%	42.68%	-0.45	-13.8	7
1983-02-20	@ Wiltz 71	W 5-2	44.2	936	891	42.68%	27.21%	30.11%	+0.45	+13.8	10
1983-02-27	Aris Bonnevoie	L 0-1	36.5	829	980	18.65%	26.12%	55.24%	-1.22	-4.7	6
1983-02-27	@ Alliance Dudelange	W 1-0	36.5	980	829	55.24%	26.12%	18.65%	+1.22	+4.7	17
1983-02-27	Wiltz 71	D 2-2	57.2	1044	877	56.83%	25.86%	17.31%	+1.11	-1.4	15
1983-02-27	@ Avenir Beggen	D 2-2	57.2	877	1044	17.31%	25.86%	56.83%	-1.11	+1.4	8
1983-02-27	Grevenmacher	L 0-3	35.7	889	938	29.62%	27.19%	43.19%	-0.48	-18.6	10
1983-02-27	@ Olympique Eischen	W 3-0	35.7	938	889	43.19%	27.19%	29.62%	+0.48	+18.6	15
1983-02-27	Differdange 03	D 1-1	51.5	1099	994	50.20%	26.73%	23.07%	+0.66	-1.2	21
1983-02-27	@ Progres Niedercorn	D 1-1	51.5	994	1099	23.07%	26.73%	50.20%	-0.66	+1.2	16
1983-02-27	Jeunesse Esch	L 1-2	41.7	950	1095	19.18%	26.21%	54.62%	-1.18	-4.5	10
1983-02-27	@ Union Luxembourg	W 2-1	41.7	1095	950	54.62%	26.21%	19.18%	+1.18	+4.5	22
1983-02-27	Stade Dudelange	D 2-2	56.7	921	910	37.94%	27.32%	34.75%	-0.03	-0.1	14
1983-02-27	@ Rumelange	D 2-2	56.7	910	921	34.75%	27.32%	37.94%	+0.03	+0.1	14
1983-03-13	Progres Niedercorn	W 2-1	51.4	985	1098	22.25%	26.64%	51.12%	-0.95	+9.8	19
1983-03-13	@ Aris Bonnevoie	L 1-2	51.4	1098	985	51.12%	26.64%	22.25%	+0.95	-9.8	21
1983-03-13	Rumelange	W 5-1	38.2	995	921	46.39%	27.03%	26.58%	+0.43	+18.6	18
1983-03-13	@ Differdange 03	L 1-5	38.2	921	995	26.58%	27.03%	46.39%	-0.43	-18.6	14
1983-03-13	Alliance Dudelange	L 0-1	47.0	957	824	53.24%	26.39%	20.37%	+0.85	-10.8	15
1983-03-13	@ Grevenmacher	W 1-0	47.0	824	957	20.37%	26.39%	53.24%	-0.85	+10.8	8
1983-03-13	Wiltz 71	W 4-0	29.3	1100	878	61.81%	24.82%	13.37%	+1.51	+12.4	24
1983-03-13	@ Jeunesse Esch	L 0-4	29.3	878	1100	13.37%	24.82%	61.81%	-1.51	-12.4	8
1983-03-13	Avenir Beggen	L 0-2	33.3	870	1043	16.85%	25.76%	57.38%	-1.38	-8.1	10
1983-03-13	@ Olympique Eischen	W 2-0	33.3	1043	870	57.38%	25.76%	16.85%	+1.38	+8.1	17
1983-03-13	Union Luxembourg	D 1-1	51.3	910	946	31.43%	27.26%	41.32%	-0.38	+0.4	15
1983-03-13	@ Stade Dudelange	D 1-1	51.3	946	910	41.32%	27.26%	31.43%	+0.38	-0.4	11
1983-03-20	Olympique Eischen	D 2-2	56.7	835	862	32.57%	27.29%	40.14%	-0.31	+0.2	9
1983-03-20	@ Alliance Dudelange	D 2-2	56.7	862	835	40.14%	27.29%	32.57%	+0.31	-0.2	11
1983-03-20	Jeunesse Esch	W 2-1	49.6	1051	1112	28.10%	27.12%	44.78%	-0.57	+8.8	19
1983-03-20	@ Avenir Beggen	L 1-2	49.6	1112	1051	44.78%	27.12%	28.10%	+0.57	-8.8	24
1983-03-20	Grevenmacher	L 1-4	48.0	1088	946	54.33%	26.25%	19.42%	+0.93	-25.4	21
1983-03-20	@ Progres Niedercorn	W 4-1	48.0	946	1088	19.42%	26.25%	54.33%	-0.93	+25.4	17
1983-03-20	Differdange 03	W 3-0	40.5	945	1014	27.23%	27.07%	45.70%	-0.62	+25.9	13
1983-03-20	@ Union Luxembourg	L 0-3	40.5	1014	945	45.70%	27.07%	27.23%	+0.62	-25.9	18
1983-03-20	Aris Bonnevoie	L 1-2	43.4	903	995	24.50%	26.87%	48.63%	-0.79	-5.5	14
1983-03-20	@ Rumelange	W 2-1	43.4	995	903	48.63%	26.87%	24.50%	+0.79	+5.5	21
1983-03-20	Stade Dudelange	W 1-0	44.0	866	911	30.24%	27.22%	42.54%	-0.44	+8.9	10
1983-03-20	@ Wiltz 71	L 0-1	44.0	911	866	42.54%	27.22%	30.24%	+0.44	-8.9	15
1983-04-20	Differdange 03	D 2-2	56.9	1104	988	51.37%	26.61%	22.02%	+0.73	-1.0	25
1983-04-20	@ Jeunesse Esch	D 2-2	56.9	988	1104	22.02%	26.61%	51.37%	-0.73	+1.0	19
1983-04-20	Alliance Dudelange	W 5-0	29.2	1063	835	62.34%	24.69%	12.98%	+1.55	+14.8	23
1983-04-20	@ Progres Niedercorn	L 0-5	29.2	835	1063	12.98%	24.69%	62.34%	-1.55	-14.8	9
1983-04-20	Grevenmacher	W 3-0	37.8	971	971	36.32%	27.32%	36.36%	-0.12	+21.7	15
1983-04-20	@ Union Luxembourg	L 0-3	37.8	971	971	36.36%	27.32%	36.32%	+0.12	-21.7	17
1983-04-20	Olympique Eischen	W 3-0	36.3	897	862	41.28%	27.26%	31.46%	+0.14	+19.5	16
1983-04-20	@ Rumelange	L 0-3	36.3	862	897	31.46%	27.26%	41.28%	-0.14	-19.5	11
1983-04-20	Avenir Beggen	L 0-5	31.1	902	1060	18.07%	26.01%	55.92%	-1.27	-20.1	15
1983-04-20	@ Stade Dudelange	W 5-0	31.1	1060	902	55.92%	26.01%	18.07%	+1.27	+20.1	21
1983-04-20	Aris Bonnevoie	D 2-2	57.0	875	1000	21.06%	26.49%	52.45%	-1.03	+1.1	11
1983-04-20	@ Wiltz 71	D 2-2	57.0	1000	875	52.45%	26.49%	21.06%	+1.03	-1.1	22
1983-04-24	Rumelange	D 0-0	47.5	821	916	24.09%	26.83%	49.08%	-0.82	+1.2	10
1983-04-24	@ Alliance Dudelange	D 0-0	47.5	916	821	49.08%	26.83%	24.09%	+0.82	-1.2	17
1983-04-24	Jeunesse Esch	L 2-4	45.3	999	1103	23.29%	26.75%	49.96%	-0.87	-8.2	22
1983-04-24	@ Aris Bonnevoie	W 4-2	45.3	1103	999	49.96%	26.75%	23.29%	+0.87	+8.2	27
1983-04-24	Progres Niedercorn	W 1-0	42.2	1080	1078	36.60%	27.32%	36.08%	-0.10	+7.9	23
1983-04-24	@ Avenir Beggen	L 0-1	42.2	1078	1080	36.08%	27.32%	36.60%	+0.10	-7.9	23
1983-04-24	Stade Dudelange	L 1-2	51.2	989	882	50.42%	26.71%	22.87%	+0.67	-9.7	19
1983-04-24	@ Differdange 03	W 2-1	51.2	882	989	22.87%	26.71%	50.42%	-0.67	+9.7	17
1983-04-24	Wiltz 71	W 2-0	36.7	950	876	46.32%	27.03%	26.65%	+0.42	+11.8	19
1983-04-24	@ Grevenmacher	L 0-2	36.7	876	950	26.65%	27.03%	46.32%	-0.42	-11.8	11
1983-04-24	Union Luxembourg	W 1-0	47.5	842	993	18.71%	26.13%	55.17%	-1.22	+11.1	13
1983-04-24	@ Olympique Eischen	L 0-1	47.5	993	842	55.17%	26.13%	18.71%	+1.22	-11.1	15
1983-05-01	Union Luxembourg	W 3-1	44.6	991	982	37.67%	27.32%	35.01%	-0.05	+12.6	24
1983-05-01	@ Aris Bonnevoie	L 1-3	44.6	982	991	35.01%	27.32%	37.67%	+0.05	-12.6	15
1983-05-01	Alliance Dudelange	W 2-0	30.9	1088	822	65.36%	23.82%	10.83%	+1.83	+5.3	25
1983-05-01	@ Avenir Beggen	L 0-2	30.9	822	1088	10.83%	23.82%	65.36%	-1.83	-5.3	10
1983-05-01	Wiltz 71	L 0-1	46.5	979	864	51.30%	26.62%	22.08%	+0.73	-10.5	19
1983-05-01	@ Differdange 03	W 1-0	46.5	864	979	22.08%	26.62%	51.30%	-0.73	+10.5	13
1983-05-01	Rumelange	L 0-3	39.7	961	915	42.76%	27.21%	30.03%	+0.22	-24.5	19
1983-05-01	@ Grevenmacher	W 3-0	39.7	915	961	30.03%	27.21%	42.76%	-0.22	+24.5	19
1983-05-01	Progres Niedercorn	W 1-0	49.0	853	1070	13.68%	24.92%	61.39%	-1.70	+12.3	15
1983-05-01	@ Olympique Eischen	L 0-1	49.0	1070	853	61.39%	24.92%	13.68%	+1.70	-12.3	23
1983-05-01	Jeunesse Esch	L 2-5	38.5	891	1111	13.49%	24.86%	61.64%	-1.72	-7.0	17
1983-05-01	@ Stade Dudelange	W 5-2	38.5	1111	891	61.64%	24.86%	13.49%	+1.72	+7.0	29
1983-05-08	Avenir Beggen	L 2-4	44.5	969	1093	21.17%	26.50%	52.32%	-1.03	-7.6	19
1983-05-08	@ Differdange 03	W 4-2	44.5	1093	969	52.32%	26.50%	21.17%	+1.03	+7.6	27
1983-05-08	Grevenmacher	W 7-0	31.4	1118	937	58.17%	25.62%	16.21%	+1.21	+25.0	31
1983-05-08	@ Jeunesse Esch	L 0-7	31.4	937	1118	16.21%	25.62%	58.17%	-1.21	-25.0	19
1983-05-08	Alliance Dudelange	W 6-0	31.7	969	816	55.38%	26.10%	18.52%	+1.00	+24.3	17
1983-05-08	@ Union Luxembourg	L 0-6	31.7	816	969	18.52%	26.10%	55.38%	-1.00	-24.3	10
1983-05-08	Progres Niedercorn	L 0-1	37.6	940	1058	21.79%	26.58%	51.63%	-0.98	-5.3	19
1983-05-08	@ Rumelange	W 1-0	37.6	1058	940	51.63%	26.58%	21.79%	+0.98	+5.3	25
1983-05-08	Aris Bonnevoie	L 0-4	32.3	884	1004	21.65%	26.57%	51.78%	-0.99	-19.0	17
1983-05-08	@ Stade Dudelange	W 4-0	32.3	1004	884	51.78%	26.57%	21.65%	+0.99	+19.0	26
1983-05-08	Olympique Eischen	W 3-0	37.4	875	866	37.62%	27.32%	35.06%	-0.05	+21.1	15
1983-05-08	@ Wiltz 71	L 0-3	37.4	866	875	35.06%	27.32%	37.62%	+0.05	-21.1	15
1983-05-15	Wiltz 71	L 0-6	33.3	792	896	23.25%	26.75%	50.00%	-0.88	-29.5	10
1983-05-15	@ Alliance Dudelange	W 6-0	33.3	896	792	50.00%	26.75%	23.25%	+0.88	+29.4	17
1983-05-15	Differdange 03	D 2-2	56.8	1023	961	44.76%	27.12%	28.12%	+0.33	-0.5	27
1983-05-15	@ Aris Bonnevoie	D 2-2	56.8	961	1023	28.12%	27.12%	44.76%	-0.33	+0.5	20
1983-05-15	Rumelange	D 1-1	51.8	1100	934	56.73%	25.88%	17.39%	+1.10	-1.8	28
1983-05-15	@ Avenir Beggen	D 1-1	51.8	934	1100	17.39%	25.88%	56.73%	-1.10	+1.8	20
1983-05-15	Stade Dudelange	W 3-0	35.8	912	865	42.80%	27.21%	29.99%	+0.22	+18.8	21
1983-05-15	@ Grevenmacher	L 0-3	35.8	865	912	29.99%	27.21%	42.80%	-0.22	-18.8	17
1983-05-15	Jeunesse Esch	D 1-1	52.6	845	1143	9.29%	23.01%	67.71%	-2.30	+2.8	16
1983-05-15	@ Olympique Eischen	D 1-1	52.6	1143	845	67.71%	23.01%	9.29%	+2.30	-2.8	32
1983-05-15	Union Luxembourg	D 1-1	51.4	1063	993	45.82%	27.06%	27.11%	+0.39	-0.8	26
1983-05-15	@ Progres Niedercorn	D 1-1	51.4	993	1063	27.11%	27.06%	45.82%	-0.39	+0.8	18
1983-06-05	Avenir Beggen	D 2-2	56.8	1022	1099	26.28%	27.01%	46.71%	-0.68	+0.7	28
1983-06-05	@ Aris Bonnevoie	D 2-2	56.8	1099	1022	46.71%	27.01%	26.28%	+0.68	-0.7	29
1983-06-05	Grevenmacher	L 1-2	48.4	962	931	40.72%	27.27%	32.01%	+0.11	-8.1	20
1983-06-05	@ Differdange 03	W 2-1	48.4	931	962	32.01%	27.27%	40.72%	-0.11	+8.1	23
1983-06-05	Alliance Dudelange	W 4-2	38.4	1140	763	72.76%	20.84%	6.40%	+2.65	+2.4	34
1983-06-05	@ Jeunesse Esch	L 2-4	38.4	763	1140	6.40%	20.84%	72.76%	-2.65	-2.4	10
1983-06-05	Rumelange	L 0-3	40.1	994	936	44.32%	27.14%	28.54%	+0.31	-25.3	18
1983-06-05	@ Union Luxembourg	W 3-0	40.1	936	994	28.54%	27.14%	44.32%	-0.31	+25.3	22
1983-06-05	Olympique Eischen	W 4-0	37.0	847	847	36.21%	27.32%	36.46%	-0.12	+28.4	19
1983-06-05	@ Stade Dudelange	L 0-4	37.0	847	847	36.46%	27.32%	36.21%	+0.12	-28.4	16
1983-06-05	Progres Niedercorn	L 0-2	34.4	925	1062	19.94%	26.33%	53.73%	-1.12	-9.3	17
1983-06-05	@ Wiltz 71	W 2-0	34.4	1062	925	53.73%	26.33%	19.94%	+1.12	+9.3	28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1983-05-01	13.68%	@ Olympique Eischen	853	1	Progres Niedercorn	1070	0
2	1982-09-19	14.66%	Olympique Eischen	886	1	@ Avenir Beggen	1088	0
3	1982-10-31	15.39%	@ Grevenmacher	904	2	Jeunesse Esch	1096	0
4	1982-10-24	18.09%	@ Stade Dudelange	865	3	Differdange 03	1023	0
5	1983-04-24	18.71%	@ Olympique Eischen	842	1	Union Luxembourg	993	0
6	1983-03-20	19.42%	Grevenmacher	946	4	@ Progres Niedercorn	1088	1
7	1983-03-13	20.37%	Alliance Dudelange	824	1	@ Grevenmacher	957	0
8	1983-02-20	20.84%	@ Grevenmacher	927	1	Avenir Beggen	1055	0
9	1982-11-21	21.26%	Aris Bonnevoie	942	2	@ Avenir Beggen	1066	0
10	1982-12-05	21.42%	@ Olympique Eischen	878	3	Differdange 03	1000	0
11	1983-05-01	22.08%	Wiltz 71	864	1	@ Differdange 03	979	0
12	1983-03-13	22.25%	@ Aris Bonnevoie	985	2	Progres Niedercorn	1098	1
13	1983-04-24	22.87%	Stade Dudelange	882	2	@ Differdange 03	989	1
14	1982-10-31	27.04%	Differdange 03	992	2	@ Avenir Beggen	1062	1
15	1983-03-20	27.23%	@ Union Luxembourg	945	3	Differdange 03	1014	0
16	1982-12-05	27.40%	Wiltz 71	881	1	@ Rumelange	949	0
17	1982-10-31	27.98%	@ Olympique Eischen	850	4	Wiltz 71	913	0
18	1983-03-20	28.10%	@ Avenir Beggen	1051	2	Jeunesse Esch	1112	1
19	1983-06-05	28.54%	Rumelange	936	3	@ Union Luxembourg	994	0
20	1982-11-21	29.17%	Union Luxembourg	921	3	@ Rumelange	974	0
21	1982-09-19	29.56%	Stade Dudelange	859	4	@ Union Luxembourg	909	2
22	1983-05-01	30.03%	Rumelange	915	3	@ Grevenmacher	961	0
23	1983-03-20	30.24%	@ Wiltz 71	866	1	Stade Dudelange	911	0
24	1982-10-24	30.55%	Grevenmacher	887	2	@ Wiltz 71	929	0
25	1982-09-01	31.06%	Rumelange	931	1	@ Wiltz 71	969	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1982-10-31	33.37	@ Olympique Eischen	4	850	27.98%	Wiltz 71	0	913	44.90%	27.11%
2	1982-09-12	31.06	@ Aris Bonnevoie	4	896	31.67%	Alliance Dudelange	0	930	41.07%	27.26%
3	1982-10-24	30.91	@ Stade Dudelange	3	865	18.09%	Differdange 03	0	1023	55.90%	26.02%
4	1983-05-15	29.45	Wiltz 71	6	896	50.00%	@ Alliance Dudelange	0	792	23.25%	26.75%
5	1982-12-05	28.98	@ Olympique Eischen	3	878	21.42%	Differdange 03	0	1000	52.04%	26.54%
6	1983-06-05	28.40	@ Stade Dudelange	4	847	36.21%	Olympique Eischen	0	847	36.46%	27.32%
7	1983-03-20	25.92	@ Union Luxembourg	3	945	27.23%	Differdange 03	0	1014	45.70%	27.07%
8	1983-03-20	25.40	Grevenmacher	4	946	19.42%	@ Progres Niedercorn	1	1088	54.33%	26.25%
9	1983-06-05	25.27	Rumelange	3	936	28.54%	@ Union Luxembourg	0	994	44.32%	27.14%
10	1983-05-08	25.04	@ Jeunesse Esch	7	1118	58.17%	Grevenmacher	0	937	16.21%	25.62%
11	1982-11-21	24.96	Union Luxembourg	3	921	29.17%	@ Rumelange	0	974	43.66%	27.17%
12	1983-05-01	24.55	Rumelange	3	915	30.03%	@ Grevenmacher	0	961	42.76%	27.21%
13	1983-05-08	24.33	@ Union Luxembourg	6	969	55.38%	Alliance Dudelange	0	816	18.52%	26.10%
14	1983-02-20	23.49	@ Differdange 03	5	971	51.65%	Alliance Dudelange	0	852	21.77%	26.58%
15	1982-10-31	22.43	@ Grevenmacher	2	904	15.39%	Jeunesse Esch	0	1096	59.20%	25.42%
16	1983-04-20	21.70	@ Union Luxembourg	3	971	36.32%	Grevenmacher	0	971	36.36%	27.32%
17	1982-10-31	21.68	Union Luxembourg	3	903	36.36%	@ Alliance Dudelange	0	903	36.32%	27.32%
18	1982-10-17	21.53	Rumelange	4	964	47.75%	@ Olympique Eischen	0	879	25.31%	26.94%
19	1983-05-08	21.12	@ Wiltz 71	3	875	37.62%	Olympique Eischen	0	866	35.06%	27.32%
20	1982-09-01	20.44	@ Differdange 03	4	997	49.49%	Olympique Eischen	0	897	23.72%	26.79%
21	1983-04-20	20.06	Avenir Beggen	5	1060	55.92%	@ Stade Dudelange	0	902	18.07%	26.01%
22	1982-11-21	20.01	Aris Bonnevoie	2	942	21.26%	@ Avenir Beggen	0	1066	52.23%	26.52%
23	1983-04-20	19.49	@ Rumelange	3	897	41.28%	Olympique Eischen	0	862	31.46%	27.26%
24	1982-10-17	19.14	@ Aris Bonnevoie	4	932	34.06%	Wiltz 71	1	948	38.63%	27.31%
25	1983-05-08	18.97	Aris Bonnevoie	4	1004	51.78%	@ Stade Dudelange	0	884	21.65%	26.57%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1982-11-14	61.0	@ Wiltz 71	3	879	36.56%	Alliance Dudelange	3	878	36.11%	27.32%
2	1983-02-20	57.3	@ Stade Dudelange	2	909	15.35%	Progres Niedercorn	2	1101	59.25%	25.41%
3	1983-02-27	57.2	@ Avenir Beggen	2	1044	56.83%	Wiltz 71	2	877	17.31%	25.86%
4	1983-04-20	57.0	@ Wiltz 71	2	875	21.06%	Aris Bonnevoie	2	1000	52.45%	26.49%
5	1983-04-20	56.9	@ Jeunesse Esch	2	1104	51.37%	Differdange 03	2	988	22.02%	26.61%
6	1982-09-26	56.8	@ Stade Dudelange	2	872	25.53%	Wiltz 71	2	956	47.51%	26.95%
7	1982-10-24	56.8	@ Rumelange	2	985	47.48%	Alliance Dudelange	2	902	25.56%	26.96%
8	1983-05-15	56.8	@ Aris Bonnevoie	2	1023	44.76%	Differdange 03	2	961	28.12%	27.12%
9	1983-06-05	56.8	@ Aris Bonnevoie	2	1022	26.28%	Avenir Beggen	2	1099	46.71%	27.01%
10	1982-09-01	56.7	@ Aris Bonnevoie	2	905	34.14%	Grevenmacher	2	920	38.55%	27.31%
11	1982-09-19	56.7	@ Alliance Dudelange	2	899	34.33%	Grevenmacher	2	913	38.36%	27.31%
12	1982-11-14	56.7	@ Stade Dudelange	2	897	32.22%	Grevenmacher	2	926	40.50%	27.28%
13	1983-02-27	56.7	@ Rumelange	2	921	37.94%	Stade Dudelange	2	910	34.75%	27.32%
14	1983-03-20	56.7	@ Alliance Dudelange	2	835	32.57%	Olympique Eischen	2	862	40.14%	27.29%
15	1982-09-05	53.9	Wiltz 71	4	960	41.55%	@ Union Luxembourg	3	923	31.20%	27.25%
16	1983-05-15	52.6	@ Olympique Eischen	1	845	9.29%	Jeunesse Esch	1	1143	67.71%	23.01%
17	1982-11-21	52.0	@ Progres Niedercorn	1	1088	60.71%	Wiltz 71	1	879	14.20%	25.09%
18	1982-10-17	51.9	@ Avenir Beggen	1	1064	60.03%	Stade Dudelange	1	863	14.73%	25.24%
19	1983-05-15	51.8	@ Avenir Beggen	1	1100	56.73%	Rumelange	1	934	17.39%	25.88%
20	1982-09-19	51.7	@ Progres Niedercorn	1	1073	54.68%	Aris Bonnevoie	1	927	19.13%	26.20%
21	1982-09-26	51.7	@ Grevenmacher	1	913	18.00%	Progres Niedercorn	1	1072	56.00%	26.00%
22	1982-10-31	51.5	@ Progres Niedercorn	1	1081	49.13%	Rumelange	1	985	24.04%	26.83%
23	1983-02-27	51.5	@ Progres Niedercorn	1	1099	50.20%	Differdange 03	1	994	23.07%	26.73%
24	1982-09-19	51.4	Stade Dudelange	4	859	29.56%	@ Union Luxembourg	2	909	43.25%	27.19%
25	1982-09-19	51.4	@ Rumelange	1	944	26.10%	Differdange 03	1	1022	46.90%	27.00%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1983-04-20	29.2	@ Progres Niedercorn	5	1063	62.34%	Alliance Dudelange	0	835	12.98%	24.69%
2	1983-03-13	29.3	@ Jeunesse Esch	4	1100	61.81%	Wiltz 71	0	878	13.37%	24.82%
3	1982-11-21	29.8	Jeunesse Esch	4	1079	60.07%	@ Alliance Dudelange	0	878	14.70%	25.23%
4	1983-05-01	30.9	@ Avenir Beggen	2	1088	65.36%	Alliance Dudelange	0	822	10.83%	23.82%
5	1983-04-20	31.1	Avenir Beggen	5	1060	55.92%	@ Stade Dudelange	0	902	18.07%	26.01%
6	1982-10-03	31.3	@ Progres Niedercorn	3	1070	58.06%	Olympique Eischen	0	890	16.30%	25.64%
7	1983-05-08	31.4	@ Jeunesse Esch	7	1118	58.17%	Grevenmacher	0	937	16.21%	25.62%
8	1983-05-08	31.7	@ Union Luxembourg	6	969	55.38%	Alliance Dudelange	0	816	18.52%	26.10%
9	1983-05-08	32.3	Aris Bonnevoie	4	1004	51.78%	@ Stade Dudelange	0	884	21.65%	26.57%
10	1983-02-20	32.4	@ Differdange 03	5	971	51.65%	Alliance Dudelange	0	852	21.77%	26.58%
11	1982-09-01	33.0	@ Differdange 03	4	997	49.49%	Olympique Eischen	0	897	23.72%	26.79%
12	1982-09-05	33.3	@ Progres Niedercorn	2	1058	57.36%	Stade Dudelange	0	886	16.87%	25.77%
13	1983-03-13	33.3	Avenir Beggen	2	1043	57.38%	@ Olympique Eischen	0	870	16.85%	25.76%
14	1983-05-15	33.3	Wiltz 71	6	896	50.00%	@ Alliance Dudelange	0	792	23.25%	26.75%
15	1982-10-17	33.5	Rumelange	4	964	47.75%	@ Olympique Eischen	0	879	25.31%	26.94%
16	1983-06-05	34.4	Progres Niedercorn	2	1062	53.73%	@ Wiltz 71	0	925	19.94%	26.33%
17	1982-09-01	34.5	Avenir Beggen	2	1067	53.47%	@ Union Luxembourg	0	932	20.16%	26.36%
18	1982-10-24	34.5	@ Jeunesse Esch	2	1086	53.51%	Aris Bonnevoie	0	952	20.13%	26.36%
19	1983-02-20	34.9	@ Jeunesse Esch	6	1077	53.87%	Rumelange	1	939	19.82%	26.31%
20	1982-11-06	35.2	Progres Niedercorn	1	1080	59.79%	@ Alliance Dudelange	0	882	14.92%	25.29%
21	1983-02-20	35.5	@ Aris Bonnevoie	3	962	43.93%	Olympique Eischen	0	907	28.91%	27.16%
22	1983-02-27	35.7	Grevenmacher	3	938	43.19%	@ Olympique Eischen	0	889	29.62%	27.19%
23	1982-09-12	35.8	Rumelange	3	925	42.94%	@ Stade Dudelange	0	878	29.85%	27.20%
24	1983-05-15	35.8	@ Grevenmacher	3	912	42.80%	Stade Dudelange	0	865	29.99%	27.21%
25	1983-04-20	36.3	@ Rumelange	3	897	41.28%	Olympique Eischen	0	862	31.46%	27.26%