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1983-84 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Avenir Beggen

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Differdange 03

6.34 points above expected

32 points · 25.66 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Etzella Ettelbruck

5.95 points below expected

9 points · 14.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Avenir Beggen 22 14 5 3 33 52 23 +29 29.07 +3.93
2 Differdange 03 22 14 4 4 32 43 17 +26 25.66 +6.34
3 Progres Niedercorn 22 13 5 4 31 51 24 +27 28.37 +2.63
4 Jeunesse Esch 22 13 1 8 27 58 33 +25 28.21 -1.21
5 Spora Luxembourg 22 12 1 9 25 38 32 +6 20.50 +4.50
6 Union Luxembourg 22 8 7 7 23 33 33 0 21.33 +1.67
7 Aris Bonnevoie 22 6 7 9 19 42 38 +4 21.32 -2.32
8 Rumelange 22 6 7 9 19 31 31 0 22.34 -3.34
9 Stade Dudelange 22 6 6 10 18 22 37 -15 17.49 +0.51
10 Wiltz 71 22 7 2 13 16 29 45 -16 18.17 -2.17
11 Grevenmacher 22 4 4 14 12 30 60 -30 16.59 -4.59
12 Etzella Ettelbruck 22 3 3 16 9 20 76 -56 14.95 -5.95

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Differdange 03 32 25.66 +6.34
2 Spora Luxembourg 25 20.50 +4.50
3 Avenir Beggen 33 29.07 +3.93
4 Progres Niedercorn 31 28.37 +2.63
5 Union Luxembourg 23 21.33 +1.67

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Etzella Ettelbruck 9 14.95 -5.95
2 Grevenmacher 12 16.59 -4.59
3 Rumelange 19 22.34 -3.34
4 Aris Bonnevoie 19 21.32 -2.32
5 Wiltz 71 16 18.17 -2.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Avenir Beggen 5 Dec 4 – Mar 21 1 in 35
2 Spora Luxembourg 3 Sep 11 – Sep 25 1 in 30
3 Differdange 03 3 Sep 4 – Sep 18 1 in 17
4 Union Luxembourg 2 Oct 2 – Oct 16 1 in 16
5 Rumelange 3 Sep 25 – Oct 16 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rumelange 5 Feb 19 – Apr 15 1 in 450
2 Grevenmacher 7 Nov 20 – Mar 21 1 in 58
3 Jeunesse Esch 2 Oct 2 – Oct 16 1 in 42
4 Wiltz 71 3 Sep 25 – Oct 16 1 in 12
5 Spora Luxembourg 3 Oct 2 – Oct 23 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aris Bonnevoie 7 Feb 19 – May 13 1 in 57
2 Progres Niedercorn 10 Oct 16 – Feb 19 1 in 20
3 Differdange 03 6 Mar 25 – May 27 1 in 16
4 Avenir Beggen 10 Dec 4 – May 20 1 in 11
5 Rumelange 5 Sep 25 – Oct 31 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rumelange 9 Feb 5 – May 27 1 in 93
2 Aris Bonnevoie 5 Sep 11 – Oct 16 1 in 18
3 Grevenmacher 8 Sep 4 – Oct 31 1 in 18
4 Avenir Beggen 3 Oct 23 – Nov 6 1 in 15
5 Jeunesse Esch 2 Oct 2 – Oct 16 1 in 8

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Avenir Beggen 1037 33 -16 7 7.8 -0.8
Differdange 03 1007 32 +63 8 5.3 +2.7
Progres Niedercorn 1010 31 -15 6 6.7 -0.7
Jeunesse Esch 1010 27 +25 8 6.2 +1.8
Spora Luxembourg 878 25 +15 6 4.5 +1.5
Union Luxembourg 887 23 +34 6 5.0 +1.0
Aris Bonnevoie 875 19 +13 4 5.3 -1.3
Rumelange 817 19 -43 2 4.2 -2.2
Stade Dudelange 758 18 +13 5 4.2 +0.8
Wiltz 71 751 16 -32 2 3.6 -1.6
Grevenmacher 716 12 -1 4 4.0 -0.0
Etzella Ettelbruck 628 9 -56 2 3.2 -1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB AB D0 EE GRE JE PN RUM SL SD UL W7
Aris Bonnevoie —
0-1-1
1.74
1-1-0
2.31
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.39
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
2.05
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.92
0-2-0
3.55
0-1-1
3.06
1-1-0
3.24
Avenir Beggen
1-1-0
3.85
—
0-0-2
3.29
2-0-0
4.76
1-1-0
4.41
2-0-0
2.70
2-0-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.94
0-2-0
4.45
2-0-0
3.60
2-0-0
3.89
Differdange 03
0-1-1
3.27
2-0-0
2.30
—
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
3.89
1-0-1
2.42
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
3.47
1-0-1
3.41
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.71
Etzella Ettelbruck
0-0-2
1.94
0-0-2
0.87
1-0-1
2.19
—
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
1.74
0-0-2
1.16
1-1-0
1.61
0-0-2
2.20
0-0-2
2.36
0-2-0
2.28
1-0-1
2.34
Grevenmacher
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
1.21
0-0-2
1.71
2-0-0
3.09
—
0-0-2
1.75
0-1-1
1.26
1-0-1
1.88
0-0-2
2.48
1-1-0
2.63
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
2.57
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
3.57
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-1
3.16
2-0-0
3.86
2-0-0
3.85
—
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.87
2-0-0
3.73
1-0-1
4.25
1-0-1
3.94
1-0-1
4.29
Progres Niedercorn
2-0-0
3.53
0-0-2
2.67
0-1-1
3.20
2-0-0
4.44
1-1-0
4.34
1-1-0
2.83
—
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
3.89
1-1-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.75
2-0-0
4.18
Rumelange
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
1.68
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
3.98
1-0-1
3.71
1-0-1
1.72
0-1-1
2.03
—
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
3.67
0-2-0
2.76
1-0-1
3.30
Spora Luxembourg
2-0-0
2.67
1-0-1
1.65
1-0-1
2.18
2-0-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.11
0-0-2
1.86
1-0-1
1.70
0-1-1
2.45
—
2-0-0
3.41
0-0-2
3.08
1-0-1
3.44
Stade Dudelange
0-2-0
2.04
0-2-0
1.16
0-0-2
1.94
2-0-0
3.23
0-1-1
2.95
1-0-1
1.35
0-1-1
1.48
1-0-1
1.92
0-0-2
2.17
—
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.61
Union Luxembourg
1-1-0
2.53
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
2.19
0-2-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.58
1-0-1
1.65
0-0-2
1.84
0-2-0
2.82
2-0-0
2.51
1-0-1
3.34
—
1-1-0
3.33
Wiltz 71
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
1.71
0-0-2
1.88
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
3.02
1-0-1
1.32
0-0-2
1.42
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.26
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +5.4
Allowed 0.82 -4.3
Differential 0.91 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.82%6.06%4.55%3.03%3.79%1.14%25.38%
16.06%9.09%5.68%3.79%3.79%1.89%30.30%
24.55%5.68%3.03%2.65%1.52%1.14%18.56%
33.03%3.79%2.65%0.76%0.76%0.38%11.36%
43.79%3.79%1.52%0.76%——9.85%
5+1.14%1.89%1.14%0.38%——4.55%
Total25.38%30.30%18.56%11.36%9.85%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.70 +0.00
SD 1.64 1.64 2.52
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%——4.55%—22.73%
19.09%13.64%9.09%4.55%——36.36%
2—4.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%22.73%
3————4.55%—4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total22.73%36.36%18.18%4.55%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 1.73 +0.18
SD 2.37 1.75 3.05
CV 1.24 1.01 —
Max 9 7 +9
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
1—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
49.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total31.82%40.91%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.05 +1.32
SD 1.68 0.95 1.84
CV 0.71 0.91 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
118.18%4.55%————22.73%
29.09%9.09%4.55%4.55%——27.27%
39.09%——4.55%——13.64%
413.64%—————13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total54.55%27.27%4.55%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 0.77 +1.18
SD 1.46 1.07 1.92
CV 0.75 1.38 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%——4.55%13.64%40.91%
14.55%——4.55%18.18%9.09%36.36%
24.55%————9.09%13.64%
3—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%13.64%—4.55%22.73%36.36%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 3.45 -2.55
SD 0.97 2.72 2.81
CV 1.07 0.79 —
Max 3 9 +2
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%4.55%13.64%—31.82%
1—9.09%9.09%—4.55%9.09%31.82%
2——9.09%4.55%4.55%—18.18%
3—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total—31.82%27.27%9.09%22.73%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.73 -1.36
SD 1.40 1.93 2.70
CV 1.03 0.71 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%——4.55%—18.18%
1—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
29.09%——9.09%——18.18%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
Total18.18%40.91%18.18%18.18%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.64 1.50 +1.14
SD 2.11 1.14 2.59
CV 0.80 0.76 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
19.09%18.18%4.55%4.55%——36.36%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
39.09%9.09%——4.55%—22.73%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+——9.09%———9.09%
Total31.82%40.91%18.18%4.55%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.09 +1.23
SD 1.64 1.06 1.88
CV 0.71 0.98 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
1—13.64%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
24.55%4.55%—9.09%——18.18%
34.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
44.55%4.55%————9.09%
5+———————
Total27.27%31.82%13.64%27.27%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.41 +0.00
SD 1.33 1.18 1.77
CV 0.95 0.84 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—13.64%4.55%——22.73%
118.18%—4.55%—9.09%—31.82%
2—13.64%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
44.55%—4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total36.36%18.18%22.73%9.09%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.45 +0.27
SD 1.70 1.44 2.51
CV 0.98 0.99 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%—9.09%13.64%9.09%—45.45%
1—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
29.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%18.18%22.73%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.68 -0.68
SD 1.15 1.32 2.06
CV 1.15 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
14.55%22.73%9.09%4.55%4.55%—45.45%
29.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
3——4.55%———4.55%
4—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total22.73%36.36%22.73%4.55%13.64%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.50 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.30 1.85
CV 0.84 0.87 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%18.18%—4.55%—27.27%
19.09%9.09%13.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%50.00%
2—4.55%————4.55%
3——9.09%———9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total13.64%18.18%40.91%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.05 -0.73
SD 1.49 1.36 2.10
CV 1.13 0.67 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Avenir Beggen 1037 33 29.07 +3.93 86.0% 20 22 27 29 32 35 37
Progres Niedercorn 1010 31 28.37 +2.63 78.0% 17 22 26 28 31 35 38
Jeunesse Esch 1010 27 28.21 -1.21 41.0% 17 23 25 29 31 34 38
Differdange 03 1007 32 25.66 +6.34 96.0% 15 20 23 26 28 31 38
Union Luxembourg 887 23 21.33 +1.67 66.0% 12 15 18 21 25 27 30
Spora Luxembourg 878 25 20.50 +4.50 88.0% 11 14 18 20 24 27 29
Aris Bonnevoie 875 19 21.32 -2.32 27.0% 11 14 18 21 24 28 33
Rumelange 817 19 22.34 -3.34 29.0% 12 15 19 23 25 28 31
Stade Dudelange 758 18 17.49 +0.51 61.0% 9 11 14 18 20 23 31
Wiltz 71 751 16 18.17 -2.17 29.0% 10 11 15 18 20 24 28
Grevenmacher 716 12 16.59 -4.59 18.0% 8 11 14 17 19 22 28
Etzella Ettelbruck 628 9 14.95 -5.95 6.0% 6 9 12 15 18 20 26

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.15%
Clear Edge
47.73%19.70%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
119 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
053.05300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.48 goals
Neutral
-2+0.44+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
34%
Avenir Beggen, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.1 * Some Luck: 3.1 to 4.65 * Lucky: 4.65 to 6.2 * Wild Swing: 6.2 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.42 * Close: 1.42 to 2.13 * Off: 2.13 to 2.84 * Way Off: 2.84 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.71 points
Some Luck
03.8810
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
01.774
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.00%
Differdange 03
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
6.00%
Etzella Ettelbruck
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 133.92
1.87
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
81%
Wide Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
91%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Some Drama
0%45%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%32%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Slight Separation
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.94
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.49
Some Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.93
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.13
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.117
Well Within Noise
00.1360.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Avenir Beggen34.00%19.00%20.00%11.00%8.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%————
Differdange 037.00%19.00%18.00%18.00%13.00%11.00%4.00%7.00%1.00%2.00%——
Progres Niedercorn30.00%21.00%14.00%16.00%5.00%8.00%5.00%———1.00%—
Jeunesse Esch26.00%29.00%18.00%13.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%——1.00%——
Spora Luxembourg—1.00%7.00%7.00%15.00%10.00%18.00%12.00%12.00%7.00%7.00%4.00%
Union Luxembourg2.00%1.00%9.00%8.00%13.00%16.00%9.00%12.00%11.00%10.00%6.00%3.00%
Aris Bonnevoie1.00%2.00%6.00%10.00%12.00%13.00%18.00%15.00%4.00%12.00%4.00%3.00%
Rumelange—4.00%6.00%15.00%16.00%15.00%15.00%7.00%13.00%4.00%1.00%4.00%
Stade Dudelange—2.00%——2.00%7.00%8.00%17.00%17.00%13.00%20.00%14.00%
Wiltz 71—1.00%1.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%10.00%14.00%16.00%15.00%16.00%11.00%
Grevenmacher—1.00%1.00%—1.00%2.00%8.00%10.00%14.00%21.00%19.00%23.00%
Etzella Ettelbruck————2.00%—2.00%5.00%12.00%15.00%26.00%38.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Avenir Beggen 100% —
Differdange 03 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Progres Niedercorn 99.00% 1.00%
Rumelange 95.00% 5.00%
Aris Bonnevoie 93.00% 7.00%
Union Luxembourg 91.00% 9.00%
Spora Luxembourg 89.00% 11.00%
Wiltz 71 73.00% 27.00%
Stade Dudelange 66.00% 34.00%
Grevenmacher 58.00% 42.00%
Etzella Ettelbruck 36.00% 64.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1983-09-04 Wiltz 71 W 2-140.7 888 824 57.65% 20.62% 21.73%+0.98 +5.6 2
1983-09-04 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-240.7 824 888 21.73% 20.62% 57.65%-0.98 -5.6 0
1983-09-04 Union Luxembourg W 3-138.4 932 862 58.29% 20.59% 21.12%+1.03 +9.5 2
1983-09-04 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-338.4 862 932 21.12% 20.59% 58.29%-1.03 -9.5 0
1983-09-04 Differdange 03 L 0-145.5 859 849 51.59% 20.81% 27.60%+0.53 -12.3 0
1983-09-04 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 1-045.5 849 859 27.60% 20.81% 51.59%-0.53 +12.3 2
1983-09-04 Jeunesse Esch L 0-335.7 836 953 34.26% 20.81% 44.93%-0.54 -23.9 0
1983-09-04 @ Grevenmacher W 3-035.7 953 836 44.93% 20.81% 34.26%+0.54 +23.9 2
1983-09-04 Stade Dudelange W 3-030.3 918 798 63.08% 20.31% 16.61%+1.45 +12.9 2
1983-09-04 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-330.3 798 918 16.61% 20.31% 63.08%-1.45 -12.9 0
1983-09-04 Spora Luxembourg W 2-034.4 852 801 56.19% 20.68% 23.13%+0.86 +11.9 2
1983-09-04 @ Rumelange L 0-234.4 801 852 23.13% 20.68% 56.19%-0.86 -11.9 0
1983-09-11 Avenir Beggen L 1-348.5 977 942 54.58% 20.73% 24.69%+0.74 -21.1 2
1983-09-11 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-148.5 942 977 24.69% 20.73% 54.58%-0.74 +21.1 4
1983-09-11 Aris Bonnevoie W 7-236.2 931 894 54.79% 20.73% 24.49%+0.76 +20.2 4
1983-09-11 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-736.2 894 931 24.49% 20.73% 54.79%-0.76 -20.2 2
1983-09-11 Etzella Ettelbruck D 0-049.8 853 847 51.01% 20.82% 28.18%+0.49 -1.4 1
1983-09-11 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-049.8 847 853 28.18% 20.82% 51.01%-0.49 +1.4 1
1983-09-11 Grevenmacher W 4-245.7 790 812 47.45% 20.87% 31.68%+0.26 +12.0 2
1983-09-11 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-445.7 812 790 31.68% 20.87% 47.45%-0.26 -12.0 0
1983-09-11 Differdange 03 L 0-239.6 785 861 40.06% 20.88% 39.06%-0.19 -18.6 0
1983-09-11 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-039.6 861 785 39.06% 20.88% 40.06%+0.19 +18.6 4
1983-09-11 Rumelange W 2-144.6 819 863 44.46% 20.89% 34.65%+0.07 +8.3 2
1983-09-11 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-244.6 863 819 34.65% 20.89% 44.46%-0.07 -8.3 2
1983-09-18 Stade Dudelange D 2-258.0 874 766 61.89% 20.39% 17.71%+1.34 -1.8 3
1983-09-18 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 2-258.0 766 874 17.71% 20.39% 61.89%-1.34 +1.8 1
1983-09-18 Spora Luxembourg L 0-149.7 963 801 66.39% 20.01% 13.60%+1.80 -15.7 4
1983-09-18 @ Avenir Beggen W 1-049.7 801 963 13.60% 20.01% 66.39%-1.80 +15.7 4
1983-09-18 Union Luxembourg W 4-031.8 880 851 53.76% 20.76% 25.49%+0.68 +24.5 6
1983-09-18 @ Differdange 03 L 0-431.8 851 880 25.49% 20.76% 53.76%-0.68 -24.5 1
1983-09-18 Jeunesse Esch L 0-634.7 848 956 35.60% 20.83% 43.57%-0.46 -47.1 1
1983-09-18 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 6-034.7 956 848 43.57% 20.83% 35.60%+0.46 +47.1 4
1983-09-18 Wiltz 71 L 0-144.1 800 827 46.82% 20.87% 32.31%+0.22 -11.3 0
1983-09-18 @ Grevenmacher W 1-044.1 827 800 32.31% 20.87% 46.82%-0.22 +11.2 4
1983-09-18 Progres Niedercorn L 1-343.3 855 951 37.18% 20.85% 41.97%-0.36 -15.2 2
1983-09-18 @ Rumelange W 3-143.3 951 855 41.97% 20.85% 37.18%+0.36 +15.2 6
1983-09-25 Rumelange L 1-250.4 872 840 54.14% 20.75% 25.12%+0.71 -12.1 3
1983-09-25 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-150.4 840 872 25.12% 20.75% 54.14%-0.71 +12.1 4
1983-09-25 Differdange 03 W 3-244.2 1003 904 61.14% 20.44% 18.42%+1.27 +4.6 6
1983-09-25 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-344.2 904 1003 18.42% 20.44% 61.14%-1.27 -4.6 6
1983-09-25 Grevenmacher D 1-153.6 967 789 67.62% 19.87% 12.50%+1.94 -3.2 7
1983-09-25 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-153.6 789 967 12.50% 19.87% 67.62%-1.94 +3.2 1
1983-09-25 Etzella Ettelbruck W 7-032.6 817 801 52.25% 20.79% 26.95%+0.58 +43.5 6
1983-09-25 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-732.6 801 817 26.95% 20.79% 52.25%-0.58 -43.5 1
1983-09-25 Union Luxembourg W 2-038.5 768 827 42.55% 20.89% 36.57%-0.05 +17.3 3
1983-09-25 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-238.5 827 768 36.57% 20.89% 42.55%+0.05 -17.3 1
1983-09-25 Avenir Beggen L 0-434.9 838 947 35.47% 20.83% 43.70%-0.47 -32.1 4
1983-09-25 @ Wiltz 71 W 4-034.9 947 838 43.70% 20.83% 35.47%+0.47 +32.1 6
1983-10-02 Progres Niedercorn W 4-350.2 979 964 52.23% 20.79% 26.98%+0.58 +6.3 8
1983-10-02 @ Avenir Beggen L 3-450.2 964 979 26.98% 20.79% 52.23%-0.58 -6.3 7
1983-10-02 Spora Luxembourg W 2-141.5 900 861 54.97% 20.72% 24.31%+0.77 +6.2 8
1983-10-02 @ Differdange 03 L 1-241.5 861 900 24.31% 20.72% 54.97%-0.77 -6.2 6
1983-10-02 Wiltz 71 W 2-038.1 758 806 43.95% 20.89% 35.16%+0.04 +16.8 3
1983-10-02 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-238.1 806 758 35.16% 20.89% 43.95%-0.04 -16.8 4
1983-10-02 Aris Bonnevoie D 2-257.9 792 860 41.24% 20.88% 37.88%-0.12 -0.1 2
1983-10-02 @ Grevenmacher D 2-257.9 860 792 37.88% 20.88% 41.24%+0.12 +0.1 4
1983-10-02 Jeunesse Esch W 3-255.2 809 1008 24.40% 20.48% 55.12%-1.22 +11.6 3
1983-10-02 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-355.2 1008 809 55.12% 20.48% 24.40%+1.22 -11.6 6
1983-10-02 Stade Dudelange W 3-031.8 852 786 57.91% 20.61% 21.48%+1.00 +16.2 6
1983-10-02 @ Rumelange L 0-331.8 786 852 21.48% 20.61% 57.91%-1.00 -16.2 3
1983-10-16 Avenir Beggen L 2-446.2 860 985 33.19% 20.78% 46.02%-0.61 -12.4 4
1983-10-16 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 4-246.2 985 860 46.02% 20.78% 33.19%+0.61 +12.4 10
1983-10-16 Stade Dudelange L 1-255.0 996 769 70.80% 19.42% 9.78%+2.35 -15.8 6
1983-10-16 @ Jeunesse Esch W 2-155.0 769 996 9.78% 19.42% 70.80%-2.35 +15.8 5
1983-10-16 Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-027.6 957 775 67.94% 19.83% 12.22%+1.98 +12.7 9
1983-10-16 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-427.6 775 957 12.22% 19.83% 67.94%-1.98 -12.7 3
1983-10-16 Grevenmacher W 4-030.3 868 792 58.95% 20.56% 20.49%+1.09 +20.3 8
1983-10-16 @ Rumelange L 0-430.3 792 868 20.49% 20.56% 58.95%-1.09 -20.3 2
1983-10-16 Union Luxembourg L 2-452.5 854 821 54.30% 20.74% 24.96%+0.72 -18.8 6
1983-10-16 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-252.5 821 854 24.96% 20.74% 54.30%-0.72 +18.8 5
1983-10-16 Differdange 03 L 1-538.6 789 906 34.42% 20.81% 44.78%-0.53 -26.1 4
1983-10-16 @ Wiltz 71 W 5-138.6 906 789 44.78% 20.81% 34.42%+0.53 +26.1 10
1983-10-23 Rumelange D 0-049.9 998 888 62.10% 20.38% 17.52%+1.36 -2.8 11
1983-10-23 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-049.9 888 998 17.52% 20.38% 62.10%-1.36 +2.8 9
1983-10-23 Progres Niedercorn D 2-257.9 932 970 45.38% 20.88% 33.74%+0.13 -0.5 11
1983-10-23 @ Differdange 03 D 2-257.9 970 932 33.74% 20.88% 45.38%-0.13 +0.5 10
1983-10-23 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-441.6 762 847 38.74% 20.87% 40.40%-0.27 -22.2 3
1983-10-23 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-141.6 847 762 40.40% 20.87% 38.74%+0.27 +22.2 6
1983-10-23 Spora Luxembourg W 4-134.2 981 836 65.13% 20.14% 14.74%+1.66 +9.8 8
1983-10-23 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-434.2 836 981 14.74% 20.14% 65.13%-1.66 -9.8 6
1983-10-23 Wiltz 71 D 1-153.3 840 763 58.97% 20.56% 20.47%+1.09 -2.1 6
1983-10-23 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-153.3 763 840 20.47% 20.56% 58.97%-1.09 +2.1 5
1983-10-23 Grevenmacher D 1-153.3 785 771 52.01% 20.80% 27.19%+0.56 -1.3 6
1983-10-23 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-153.3 771 785 27.19% 20.80% 52.01%-0.56 +1.3 3
1983-10-31 Differdange 03 W 1-041.2 870 932 42.06% 20.89% 37.06%-0.07 +9.3 8
1983-10-31 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-141.2 932 870 37.06% 20.89% 42.06%+0.07 -9.3 11
1983-10-31 Avenir Beggen D 2-258.0 773 995 21.92% 20.33% 57.75%-1.42 +1.5 4
1983-10-31 @ Grevenmacher D 2-258.0 995 773 57.75% 20.33% 21.92%+1.42 -1.5 12
1983-10-31 Union Luxembourg W 2-138.7 970 838 64.12% 20.22% 15.66%+1.56 +4.2 12
1983-10-31 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-238.7 838 970 15.66% 20.22% 64.12%-1.56 -4.2 6
1983-10-31 Etzella Ettelbruck D 0-050.0 891 740 65.65% 20.09% 14.27%+1.71 -3.3 10
1983-10-31 @ Rumelange D 0-050.0 740 891 14.27% 20.09% 65.65%-1.71 +3.3 4
1983-10-31 Stade Dudelange W 4-031.4 826 784 55.28% 20.71% 24.01%+0.80 +23.3 8
1983-10-31 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-431.4 784 826 24.01% 20.71% 55.28%-0.80 -23.2 6
1983-10-31 Jeunesse Esch W 1-047.3 765 990 21.66% 20.32% 58.02%-1.44 +13.7 7
1983-10-31 @ Wiltz 71 L 0-147.3 990 765 58.02% 20.32% 21.66%+1.44 -13.7 8
1983-11-06 Rumelange W 1-037.5 922 888 54.42% 20.74% 24.84%+0.73 +6.7 13
1983-11-06 @ Differdange 03 L 0-137.5 888 922 24.84% 20.74% 54.42%-0.73 -6.7 10
1983-11-06 Grevenmacher L 1-443.9 743 774 46.28% 20.88% 32.84%+0.18 -25.7 4
1983-11-06 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-143.9 774 743 32.84% 20.88% 46.28%-0.18 +25.7 6
1983-11-06 Progres Niedercorn D 1-153.3 977 975 50.56% 20.83% 28.61%+0.46 -1.2 9
1983-11-06 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-153.3 975 977 28.61% 20.83% 50.56%-0.46 +1.2 13
1983-11-06 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-040.5 834 879 44.37% 20.89% 34.74%+0.07 +8.8 8
1983-11-06 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-140.5 879 834 34.74% 20.89% 44.37%-0.07 -8.8 8
1983-11-06 Wiltz 71 W 1-036.3 849 779 58.30% 20.59% 21.11%+1.03 +5.8 10
1983-11-06 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-136.3 779 849 21.11% 20.59% 58.30%-1.03 -5.8 7
1983-11-06 Avenir Beggen D 0-050.0 761 994 20.87% 20.26% 58.86%-1.51 +2.3 7
1983-11-06 @ Stade Dudelange D 0-050.0 994 761 58.86% 20.26% 20.87%+1.51 -2.3 13
1983-11-20 Jeunesse Esch L 1-342.9 870 975 35.93% 20.83% 43.24%-0.44 -14.8 8
1983-11-20 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-142.9 975 870 43.24% 20.83% 35.93%+0.44 +14.8 11
1983-11-20 Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-131.7 991 717 73.39% 18.92% 7.69%+2.74 +5.2 15
1983-11-20 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-431.7 717 991 7.69% 18.92% 73.39%-2.74 -5.2 4
1983-11-20 Differdange 03 L 0-434.0 800 929 32.75% 20.77% 46.47%-0.64 -30.1 6
1983-11-20 @ Grevenmacher W 4-034.0 929 800 46.47% 20.77% 32.75%+0.64 +30.1 15
1983-11-20 Spora Luxembourg W 3-030.3 976 855 63.12% 20.30% 16.58%+1.46 +12.9 15
1983-11-20 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-330.3 855 976 16.58% 20.30% 63.12%-1.46 -12.9 10
1983-11-20 Union Luxembourg D 1-153.3 881 842 54.93% 20.72% 24.34%+0.77 -1.7 11
1983-11-20 @ Rumelange D 1-153.3 842 881 24.34% 20.72% 54.93%-0.77 +1.7 9
1983-11-20 Stade Dudelange W 4-032.5 773 763 51.58% 20.81% 27.61%+0.53 +26.2 9
1983-11-20 @ Wiltz 71 L 0-432.5 763 773 27.61% 20.81% 51.58%-0.53 -26.2 7
1983-11-27 Avenir Beggen W 2-144.3 959 996 45.45% 20.88% 33.67%+0.13 +8.1 17
1983-11-27 @ Differdange 03 L 1-244.3 996 959 33.67% 20.88% 45.45%-0.13 -8.1 15
1983-11-27 Rumelange L 2-357.3 990 880 62.22% 20.37% 17.41%+1.37 -13.1 11
1983-11-27 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-257.3 880 990 17.41% 20.37% 62.22%-1.37 +13.1 13
1983-11-27 Grevenmacher W 2-140.4 844 770 58.72% 20.57% 20.70%+1.07 +5.4 11
1983-11-27 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-240.4 770 844 20.70% 20.57% 58.72%-1.07 -5.4 6
1983-11-27 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-039.2 842 855 48.64% 20.86% 30.50%+0.33 +7.9 12
1983-11-27 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-139.2 855 842 30.50% 20.86% 48.64%-0.33 -7.9 8
1983-11-27 Etzella Ettelbruck W 3-139.9 737 712 53.32% 20.77% 25.92%+0.65 +11.3 9
1983-11-27 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-339.9 712 737 25.92% 20.77% 53.32%-0.65 -11.3 4
1983-11-27 Progres Niedercorn L 1-339.7 799 989 25.42% 20.53% 54.05%-1.14 -11.1 9
1983-11-27 @ Wiltz 71 W 3-139.7 989 799 54.05% 20.53% 25.42%+1.14 +11.1 17
1983-12-04 Etzella Ettelbruck L 0-151.4 967 701 73.01% 19.00% 7.99%+2.68 -17.2 17
1983-12-04 @ Differdange 03 W 1-051.4 701 967 7.99% 19.00% 73.01%-2.68 +17.2 6
1983-12-04 Grevenmacher W 7-129.3 977 764 69.93% 19.56% 10.51%+2.23 +13.3 13
1983-12-04 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-729.3 764 977 10.51% 19.56% 69.93%-2.23 -13.3 6
1983-12-04 Avenir Beggen L 2-445.6 849 988 31.47% 20.74% 47.78%-0.72 -11.9 11
1983-12-04 @ Union Luxembourg W 4-245.6 988 849 47.78% 20.74% 31.47%+0.72 +11.9 17
1983-12-04 Rumelange D 0-049.8 850 893 44.73% 20.88% 34.39%+0.09 -0.6 13
1983-12-04 @ Spora Luxembourg D 0-049.8 893 850 34.39% 20.88% 44.73%-0.09 +0.6 14
1983-12-04 Progres Niedercorn D 1-153.5 748 1000 19.14% 20.13% 60.73%-1.66 +2.3 10
1983-12-04 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-153.5 1000 748 60.73% 20.13% 19.14%+1.66 -2.3 18
1983-12-04 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.2 788 847 42.48% 20.89% 36.63%-0.05 -0.3 10
1983-12-04 @ Wiltz 71 D 1-153.2 847 788 36.63% 20.89% 42.48%+0.05 +0.3 9
1984-01-22 Progres Niedercorn L 0-433.2 848 997 30.09% 20.70% 49.21%-0.81 -28.0 9
1984-01-22 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 4-033.2 997 848 49.21% 20.70% 30.09%+0.81 +28.1 20
1984-01-22 Jeunesse Esch W 4-032.5 1000 990 51.52% 20.81% 27.67%+0.53 +26.2 19
1984-01-22 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-432.5 990 1000 27.67% 20.81% 51.52%-0.53 -26.2 13
1984-01-22 Stade Dudelange W 3-028.5 950 750 69.08% 19.68% 11.23%+2.12 +9.0 19
1984-01-22 @ Differdange 03 L 0-328.5 750 950 11.23% 19.68% 69.08%-2.12 -9.0 10
1984-01-22 Union Luxembourg D 0-049.8 718 838 34.00% 20.80% 45.20%-0.56 +0.6 7
1984-01-22 @ Etzella Ettelbruck D 0-049.8 838 718 45.20% 20.80% 34.00%+0.56 -0.6 12
1984-01-22 Spora Luxembourg L 1-245.3 751 849 36.93% 20.85% 42.23%-0.38 -8.7 6
1984-01-22 @ Grevenmacher W 2-145.3 849 751 42.23% 20.85% 36.93%+0.38 +8.7 15
1984-01-22 Wiltz 71 W 4-135.2 893 788 61.73% 20.40% 17.87%+1.33 +11.6 16
1984-01-22 @ Rumelange L 1-435.2 788 893 17.87% 20.40% 61.73%-1.33 -11.6 10
1984-02-05 Etzella Ettelbruck W 7-231.1 964 719 71.88% 19.23% 8.89%+2.50 +8.0 15
1984-02-05 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-731.1 719 964 8.89% 19.23% 71.88%-2.50 -8.0 7
1984-02-05 Rumelange D 1-153.4 1025 905 63.09% 20.31% 16.60%+1.45 -2.6 21
1984-02-05 @ Progres Niedercorn D 1-153.4 905 1025 16.60% 20.31% 63.09%-1.45 +2.6 17
1984-02-05 Differdange 03 D 1-153.3 837 959 33.69% 20.79% 45.52%-0.58 +0.6 13
1984-02-05 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-153.3 959 837 45.52% 20.79% 33.69%+0.58 -0.6 20
1984-02-05 Avenir Beggen L 1-438.3 858 1026 27.84% 20.63% 51.54%-0.97 -17.0 15
1984-02-05 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-138.3 1026 858 51.54% 20.63% 27.84%+0.97 +17.0 21
1984-02-05 Grevenmacher W 3-246.2 776 742 54.38% 20.74% 24.88%+0.73 +6.0 12
1984-02-05 @ Wiltz 71 L 2-346.2 742 776 24.88% 20.74% 54.38%-0.73 -6.0 6
1984-02-19 Wiltz 71 W 2-136.2 1043 782 72.72% 19.06% 8.22%+2.63 +2.3 23
1984-02-19 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-236.2 782 1043 8.22% 19.06% 72.72%-2.63 -2.3 12
1984-02-19 Jeunesse Esch W 1-039.2 958 972 48.55% 20.86% 30.59%+0.33 +8.0 22
1984-02-19 @ Differdange 03 L 0-139.2 972 958 30.59% 20.86% 48.55%-0.33 -8.0 15
1984-02-19 Spora Luxembourg L 0-139.8 711 841 32.55% 20.77% 46.68%-0.65 -8.4 7
1984-02-19 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 1-039.8 841 711 46.68% 20.77% 32.55%+0.65 +8.4 17
1984-02-19 Progres Niedercorn L 0-134.6 736 1023 16.22% 19.85% 63.93%-1.96 -4.6 6
1984-02-19 @ Grevenmacher W 1-034.6 1023 736 63.93% 19.85% 16.22%+1.96 +4.6 23
1984-02-19 Stade Dudelange W 2-033.0 838 742 60.86% 20.46% 18.68%+1.25 +9.9 15
1984-02-19 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-233.0 742 838 18.68% 20.46% 60.86%-1.25 -9.9 10
1984-02-19 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-148.0 908 820 60.10% 20.50% 19.40%+1.18 -14.2 17
1984-02-19 @ Rumelange W 1-048.0 820 908 19.40% 20.50% 60.10%-1.18 +14.2 11
1984-03-18 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-049.8 732 834 36.39% 20.84% 42.77%-0.41 +0.4 11
1984-03-18 @ Stade Dudelange D 0-049.8 834 732 42.77% 20.84% 36.39%+0.41 -0.4 12
1984-03-21 Grevenmacher W 8-131.6 833 732 61.37% 20.42% 18.20%+1.29 +25.5 14
1984-03-21 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-831.6 732 833 18.20% 20.42% 61.37%-1.29 -25.5 6
1984-03-21 Union Luxembourg W 4-134.9 964 847 62.76% 20.33% 16.91%+1.42 +11.0 17
1984-03-21 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-434.9 847 964 16.91% 20.33% 62.76%-1.42 -11.0 15
1984-03-21 Avenir Beggen L 1-248.6 1027 1046 47.98% 20.86% 31.15%+0.29 -10.9 23
1984-03-21 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-148.6 1046 1027 31.15% 20.86% 47.98%-0.29 +10.8 25
1984-03-21 Differdange 03 W 3-038.9 850 966 34.39% 20.81% 44.80%-0.53 +29.7 19
1984-03-21 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-338.9 966 850 44.80% 20.81% 34.39%+0.53 -29.7 22
1984-03-21 Rumelange W 2-042.7 732 893 28.67% 20.66% 50.67%-0.91 +22.7 13
1984-03-21 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-242.7 893 732 50.67% 20.66% 28.67%+0.91 -22.7 17
1984-03-21 Etzella Ettelbruck W 6-341.1 780 702 59.10% 20.55% 20.35%+1.10 +10.4 14
1984-03-21 @ Wiltz 71 L 3-641.1 702 780 20.35% 20.55% 59.10%-1.10 -10.4 7
1984-03-25 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.6 1056 859 68.97% 19.70% 11.33%+2.10 -3.3 26
1984-03-25 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-153.6 859 1056 11.33% 19.70% 68.97%-2.10 +3.3 15
1984-03-25 Wiltz 71 W 2-031.7 937 791 65.21% 20.13% 14.66%+1.67 +7.9 24
1984-03-25 @ Differdange 03 L 0-231.7 791 937 14.66% 20.13% 65.21%-1.67 -7.9 14
1984-03-25 Progres Niedercorn L 2-537.0 692 1017 13.46% 19.50% 67.04%-2.28 -7.7 7
1984-03-25 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 5-237.0 1017 692 67.04% 19.50% 13.46%+2.28 +7.7 25
1984-03-25 Rumelange W 3-254.0 706 871 28.32% 20.65% 51.03%-0.93 +10.9 8
1984-03-25 @ Grevenmacher L 2-354.0 871 706 51.03% 20.65% 28.32%+0.93 -10.9 17
1984-03-25 Spora Luxembourg W 2-037.9 836 879 44.70% 20.88% 34.41%+0.09 +16.5 17
1984-03-25 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-237.9 879 836 34.41% 20.88% 44.70%-0.09 -16.5 19
1984-03-25 Jeunesse Esch L 1-338.6 755 975 22.10% 20.35% 57.56%-1.40 -9.8 13
1984-03-25 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-138.6 975 755 57.56% 20.35% 22.10%+1.40 +9.8 19
1984-04-08 Etzella Ettelbruck W 9-028.8 862 684 67.62% 19.87% 12.51%+1.94 +27.9 17
1984-04-08 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-928.8 684 862 12.51% 19.87% 67.62%-1.94 -27.9 7
1984-04-08 Stade Dudelange W 3-141.9 717 745 46.75% 20.87% 32.37%+0.21 +13.6 10
1984-04-08 @ Grevenmacher L 1-341.9 745 717 32.37% 20.87% 46.75%-0.21 -13.6 13
1984-04-08 Differdange 03 L 0-147.7 1024 944 59.28% 20.54% 20.17%+1.11 -14.0 25
1984-04-08 @ Progres Niedercorn W 1-047.7 944 1024 20.17% 20.54% 59.28%-1.11 +14.0 26
1984-04-08 Avenir Beggen L 0-332.8 860 1053 24.96% 20.50% 54.54%-1.18 -18.3 17
1984-04-08 @ Rumelange W 3-032.8 1053 860 54.54% 20.50% 24.96%+1.18 +18.3 28
1984-04-08 Jeunesse Esch L 0-237.6 863 985 33.63% 20.79% 45.57%-0.58 -16.2 19
1984-04-08 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-037.6 985 863 45.57% 20.79% 33.63%+0.58 +16.2 21
1984-04-08 Union Luxembourg L 1-442.3 783 853 40.90% 20.88% 38.22%-0.14 -23.2 14
1984-04-08 @ Wiltz 71 W 4-142.3 853 783 38.22% 20.88% 40.90%+0.14 +23.2 19
1984-04-15 Grevenmacher W 2-028.4 1071 731 76.43% 18.12% 5.46%+3.30 +3.0 30
1984-04-15 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-228.4 731 1071 5.46% 18.12% 76.43%-3.30 -3.0 10
1984-04-15 Aris Bonnevoie D 0-049.9 958 890 58.13% 20.60% 21.27%+1.02 -2.3 27
1984-04-15 @ Differdange 03 D 0-049.9 890 958 21.27% 20.60% 58.13%-1.02 +2.3 18
1984-04-15 Rumelange W 3-148.1 656 841 25.87% 20.55% 53.58%-1.11 +20.7 9
1984-04-15 @ Etzella Ettelbruck L 1-348.1 841 656 53.58% 20.55% 25.87%+1.11 -20.7 17
1984-04-15 Wiltz 71 W 2-029.8 1001 759 71.67% 19.27% 9.06%+2.47 +5.0 23
1984-04-15 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-229.8 759 1001 9.06% 19.27% 71.67%-2.47 -5.0 14
1984-04-15 Progres Niedercorn L 1-243.8 876 1010 32.08% 20.76% 47.16%-0.68 -7.8 19
1984-04-15 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-143.8 1010 876 47.16% 20.76% 32.08%+0.68 +7.8 27
1984-04-15 Spora Luxembourg L 1-244.6 731 846 34.59% 20.81% 44.59%-0.52 -8.3 13
1984-04-15 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-144.6 846 731 44.59% 20.81% 34.59%+0.52 +8.3 21
1984-05-13 Union Luxembourg D 1-153.3 892 868 53.23% 20.77% 26.00%+0.65 -1.5 19
1984-05-13 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.3 868 892 26.00% 20.77% 53.23%-0.65 +1.5 20
1984-05-13 Stade Dudelange D 0-050.7 1074 723 76.87% 17.98% 5.16%+3.39 -4.8 31
1984-05-13 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-050.7 723 1074 5.16% 17.98% 76.87%-3.39 +4.8 14
1984-05-13 Etzella Ettelbruck W 5-135.1 728 677 56.28% 20.68% 23.05%+0.87 +18.7 12
1984-05-13 @ Grevenmacher L 1-535.1 677 728 23.05% 20.68% 56.28%-0.87 -18.7 9
1984-05-13 Jeunesse Esch W 1-038.3 1018 1006 51.76% 20.80% 27.44%+0.54 +7.3 29
1984-05-13 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-138.3 1006 1018 27.44% 20.80% 51.76%-0.54 -7.3 23
1984-05-13 Differdange 03 D 3-362.0 821 956 31.91% 20.75% 47.33%-0.69 +0.5 18
1984-05-13 @ Rumelange D 3-362.0 956 821 47.33% 20.75% 31.91%+0.69 -0.5 28
1984-05-13 Spora Luxembourg W 3-251.5 754 855 36.63% 20.84% 42.53%-0.40 +9.3 16
1984-05-13 @ Wiltz 71 L 2-351.5 855 754 42.53% 20.84% 36.63%+0.40 -9.3 21
1984-05-20 Grevenmacher W 4-027.1 956 747 69.71% 19.59% 10.70%+2.20 +11.2 30
1984-05-20 @ Differdange 03 L 0-427.1 747 956 10.70% 19.59% 69.71%-2.20 -11.2 12
1984-05-20 Avenir Beggen L 1-530.2 658 1070 8.72% 18.55% 72.72%-3.00 -7.5 9
1984-05-20 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 5-130.2 1070 658 72.72% 18.55% 8.72%+3.00 +7.5 33
1984-05-20 Aris Bonnevoie W 4-347.2 999 891 61.99% 20.38% 17.63%+1.35 +4.3 25
1984-05-20 @ Jeunesse Esch L 3-447.2 891 999 17.63% 20.38% 61.99%-1.35 -4.3 19
1984-05-20 Rumelange D 1-153.3 870 821 56.01% 20.69% 23.30%+0.85 -1.8 21
1984-05-20 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-153.3 821 870 23.30% 20.69% 56.01%-0.85 +1.8 19
1984-05-20 Progres Niedercorn W 3-148.0 846 1025 26.49% 20.57% 52.94%-1.06 +20.5 23
1984-05-20 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-348.0 1025 846 52.94% 20.57% 26.49%+1.06 -20.5 29
1984-05-20 Wiltz 71 W 2-144.3 728 764 45.65% 20.88% 33.47%+0.14 +8.1 16
1984-05-20 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-244.3 764 728 33.47% 20.88% 45.65%-0.14 -8.1 16
1984-05-27 Spora Luxembourg L 1-250.0 887 866 52.82% 20.78% 26.40%+0.62 -11.8 19
1984-05-27 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-150.0 866 887 26.40% 20.78% 52.82%-0.62 +11.8 25
1984-05-27 Differdange 03 L 0-344.0 1077 967 62.19% 20.37% 17.44%+1.37 -40.2 33
1984-05-27 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-044.0 967 1077 17.44% 20.37% 62.19%-1.37 +40.2 32
1984-05-27 Stade Dudelange L 1-441.6 651 736 38.76% 20.87% 40.37%-0.27 -22.2 9
1984-05-27 @ Etzella Ettelbruck W 4-141.6 736 651 40.37% 20.87% 38.76%+0.27 +22.2 18
1984-05-27 Union Luxembourg L 1-439.7 735 868 32.29% 20.76% 46.95%-0.67 -19.2 12
1984-05-27 @ Grevenmacher W 4-139.7 868 735 46.95% 20.76% 32.29%+0.67 +19.2 23
1984-05-27 Wiltz 71 W 2-029.7 1005 756 72.08% 19.19% 8.73%+2.53 +4.8 31
1984-05-27 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-229.7 756 1005 8.73% 19.19% 72.08%-2.53 -4.8 16
1984-05-27 Jeunesse Esch L 2-346.6 823 1003 26.43% 20.57% 53.00%-1.07 -6.3 19
1984-05-27 @ Rumelange W 3-246.6 1003 823 53.00% 20.57% 26.43%+1.07 +6.3 27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1983-12-04 7.99% Etzella Ettelbruck 701 1 @ Differdange 03 967 0
2 1983-10-16 9.78% Stade Dudelange 769 2 @ Jeunesse Esch 996 1
3 1983-09-18 13.60% Spora Luxembourg 801 1 @ Avenir Beggen 963 0
4 1983-11-27 17.41% Rumelange 880 3 @ Jeunesse Esch 990 2
5 1984-05-27 17.44% Differdange 03 967 3 @ Avenir Beggen 1077 0
6 1984-02-19 19.40% Aris Bonnevoie 820 1 @ Rumelange 908 0
7 1984-04-08 20.17% Differdange 03 944 1 @ Progres Niedercorn 1024 0
8 1983-10-31 21.66% @ Wiltz 71 765 1 Jeunesse Esch 990 0
9 1983-10-02 24.40% @ Union Luxembourg 809 3 Jeunesse Esch 1008 2
10 1983-09-11 24.69% Avenir Beggen 942 3 @ Jeunesse Esch 977 1
11 1983-10-16 24.96% Union Luxembourg 821 4 @ Spora Luxembourg 854 2
12 1983-09-25 25.12% Rumelange 840 2 @ Aris Bonnevoie 872 1
13 1984-04-15 25.87% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 656 3 Rumelange 841 1
14 1984-05-27 26.40% Spora Luxembourg 866 2 @ Aris Bonnevoie 887 1
15 1984-05-20 26.49% @ Spora Luxembourg 846 3 Progres Niedercorn 1025 1
16 1983-09-04 27.60% Differdange 03 849 1 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 859 0
17 1984-03-25 28.32% @ Grevenmacher 706 3 Rumelange 871 2
18 1984-03-21 28.67% @ Stade Dudelange 732 2 Rumelange 893 0
19 1984-03-21 31.15% Avenir Beggen 1046 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 1027 1
20 1983-09-18 32.31% Wiltz 71 827 1 @ Grevenmacher 800 0
21 1983-11-06 32.84% Grevenmacher 774 4 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 743 1
22 1984-03-21 34.39% @ Spora Luxembourg 850 3 Differdange 03 966 0
23 1984-05-13 36.63% @ Wiltz 71 754 3 Spora Luxembourg 855 2
24 1984-04-08 38.22% Union Luxembourg 853 4 @ Wiltz 71 783 1
25 1983-09-11 39.06% Differdange 03 861 2 @ Stade Dudelange 785 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1983-09-18 47.13 Jeunesse Esch 6 956 43.57% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 0 848 35.60% 20.83%
2 1983-09-25 43.46 @ Spora Luxembourg 7 817 52.25% Etzella Ettelbruck 0 801 26.95% 20.79%
3 1984-05-27 40.18 Differdange 03 3 967 17.44% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1077 62.19% 20.37%
4 1983-09-25 32.10 Avenir Beggen 4 947 43.70% @ Wiltz 71 0 838 35.47% 20.83%
5 1983-11-20 30.08 Differdange 03 4 929 46.47% @ Grevenmacher 0 800 32.75% 20.77%
6 1984-03-21 29.67 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 850 34.39% Differdange 03 0 966 44.80% 20.81%
7 1984-01-22 28.05 Progres Niedercorn 4 997 49.21% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 848 30.09% 20.70%
8 1984-04-08 27.92 @ Aris Bonnevoie 9 862 67.62% Etzella Ettelbruck 0 684 12.51% 19.87%
9 1984-01-22 26.22 @ Avenir Beggen 4 1000 51.52% Jeunesse Esch 0 990 27.67% 20.81%
10 1983-11-20 26.17 @ Wiltz 71 4 773 51.58% Stade Dudelange 0 763 27.61% 20.81%
11 1983-10-16 26.10 Differdange 03 5 906 44.78% @ Wiltz 71 1 789 34.42% 20.81%
12 1983-11-06 25.74 Grevenmacher 4 774 32.84% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 743 46.28% 20.88%
13 1984-03-21 25.48 @ Aris Bonnevoie 8 833 61.37% Grevenmacher 1 732 18.20% 20.42%
14 1983-09-18 24.47 @ Differdange 03 4 880 53.76% Union Luxembourg 0 851 25.49% 20.76%
15 1983-09-04 23.89 Jeunesse Esch 3 953 44.93% @ Grevenmacher 0 836 34.26% 20.81%
16 1983-10-31 23.26 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 826 55.28% Stade Dudelange 0 784 24.01% 20.71%
17 1984-04-08 23.23 Union Luxembourg 4 853 38.22% @ Wiltz 71 1 783 40.90% 20.88%
18 1984-03-21 22.73 @ Stade Dudelange 2 732 28.67% Rumelange 0 893 50.67% 20.66%
19 1984-05-27 22.25 Stade Dudelange 4 736 40.37% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 651 38.76% 20.87%
20 1983-10-23 22.24 Aris Bonnevoie 4 847 40.40% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 762 38.74% 20.87%
21 1983-09-11 21.11 Avenir Beggen 3 942 24.69% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 977 54.58% 20.73%
22 1984-04-15 20.71 @ Etzella Ettelbruck 3 656 25.87% Rumelange 1 841 53.58% 20.55%
23 1984-05-20 20.48 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 846 26.49% Progres Niedercorn 1 1025 52.94% 20.57%
24 1983-10-16 20.28 @ Rumelange 4 868 58.95% Grevenmacher 0 792 20.49% 20.56%
25 1983-09-11 20.20 @ Progres Niedercorn 7 931 54.79% Aris Bonnevoie 2 894 24.49% 20.73%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-05-13 62.0 @ Rumelange 3 821 31.91% Differdange 03 3 956 47.33% 20.75%
2 1983-09-18 58.0 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 874 61.89% Stade Dudelange 2 766 17.71% 20.39%
3 1983-10-31 58.0 @ Grevenmacher 2 773 21.92% Avenir Beggen 2 995 57.75% 20.33%
4 1983-10-02 57.9 @ Grevenmacher 2 792 41.24% Aris Bonnevoie 2 860 37.88% 20.88%
5 1983-10-23 57.9 @ Differdange 03 2 932 45.38% Progres Niedercorn 2 970 33.74% 20.88%
6 1983-11-27 57.3 Rumelange 3 880 17.41% @ Jeunesse Esch 2 990 62.22% 20.37%
7 1983-10-02 55.2 @ Union Luxembourg 3 809 24.40% Jeunesse Esch 2 1008 55.12% 20.48%
8 1983-10-16 55.0 Stade Dudelange 2 769 9.78% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 996 70.80% 19.42%
9 1984-03-25 54.0 @ Grevenmacher 3 706 28.32% Rumelange 2 871 51.03% 20.65%
10 1983-09-25 53.6 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 967 67.62% Grevenmacher 1 789 12.50% 19.87%
11 1984-03-25 53.6 @ Avenir Beggen 1 1056 68.97% Aris Bonnevoie 1 859 11.33% 19.70%
12 1983-12-04 53.5 @ Stade Dudelange 1 748 19.14% Progres Niedercorn 1 1000 60.73% 20.13%
13 1984-02-05 53.4 @ Progres Niedercorn 1 1025 63.09% Rumelange 1 905 16.60% 20.31%
14 1983-10-23 53.3 @ Union Luxembourg 1 840 58.97% Wiltz 71 1 763 20.47% 20.56%
15 1983-10-23 53.3 @ Stade Dudelange 1 785 52.01% Grevenmacher 1 771 27.19% 20.80%
16 1983-11-06 53.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 977 50.56% Progres Niedercorn 1 975 28.61% 20.83%
17 1983-11-20 53.3 @ Rumelange 1 881 54.93% Union Luxembourg 1 842 24.34% 20.72%
18 1984-02-05 53.3 @ Union Luxembourg 1 837 33.69% Differdange 03 1 959 45.52% 20.79%
19 1984-05-13 53.3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 892 53.23% Union Luxembourg 1 868 26.00% 20.77%
20 1984-05-20 53.3 @ Union Luxembourg 1 870 56.01% Rumelange 1 821 23.30% 20.69%
21 1983-12-04 53.2 @ Wiltz 71 1 788 42.48% Aris Bonnevoie 1 847 36.63% 20.89%
22 1983-10-16 52.5 Union Luxembourg 4 821 24.96% @ Spora Luxembourg 2 854 54.30% 20.74%
23 1984-05-13 51.5 @ Wiltz 71 3 754 36.63% Spora Luxembourg 2 855 42.53% 20.84%
24 1983-12-04 51.4 Etzella Ettelbruck 1 701 7.99% @ Differdange 03 0 967 73.01% 19.00%
25 1984-05-13 50.7 @ Avenir Beggen 0 1074 76.87% Stade Dudelange 0 723 5.16% 17.98%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-05-20 27.1 @ Differdange 03 4 956 69.71% Grevenmacher 0 747 10.70% 19.59%
2 1983-10-16 27.6 @ Progres Niedercorn 4 957 67.94% Etzella Ettelbruck 0 775 12.22% 19.83%
3 1984-04-15 28.4 @ Avenir Beggen 2 1071 76.43% Grevenmacher 0 731 5.46% 18.12%
4 1984-01-22 28.5 @ Differdange 03 3 950 69.08% Stade Dudelange 0 750 11.23% 19.68%
5 1984-04-08 28.8 @ Aris Bonnevoie 9 862 67.62% Etzella Ettelbruck 0 684 12.51% 19.87%
6 1983-12-04 29.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 7 977 69.93% Grevenmacher 1 764 10.51% 19.56%
7 1984-05-27 29.7 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 1005 72.08% Wiltz 71 0 756 8.73% 19.19%
8 1984-04-15 29.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1001 71.67% Wiltz 71 0 759 9.06% 19.27%
9 1984-05-20 30.2 Avenir Beggen 5 1070 72.72% @ Etzella Ettelbruck 1 658 8.72% 18.55%
10 1983-09-04 30.3 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 918 63.08% Stade Dudelange 0 798 16.61% 20.31%
11 1983-10-16 30.3 @ Rumelange 4 868 58.95% Grevenmacher 0 792 20.49% 20.56%
12 1983-11-20 30.3 @ Progres Niedercorn 3 976 63.12% Spora Luxembourg 0 855 16.58% 20.30%
13 1984-02-05 31.1 @ Jeunesse Esch 7 964 71.88% Etzella Ettelbruck 2 719 8.89% 19.23%
14 1983-10-31 31.4 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 826 55.28% Stade Dudelange 0 784 24.01% 20.71%
15 1984-03-21 31.6 @ Aris Bonnevoie 8 833 61.37% Grevenmacher 1 732 18.20% 20.42%
16 1983-11-20 31.7 @ Avenir Beggen 4 991 73.39% Etzella Ettelbruck 1 717 7.69% 18.92%
17 1984-03-25 31.7 @ Differdange 03 2 937 65.21% Wiltz 71 0 791 14.66% 20.13%
18 1983-09-18 31.8 @ Differdange 03 4 880 53.76% Union Luxembourg 0 851 25.49% 20.76%
19 1983-10-02 31.8 @ Rumelange 3 852 57.91% Stade Dudelange 0 786 21.48% 20.61%
20 1983-11-20 32.5 @ Wiltz 71 4 773 51.58% Stade Dudelange 0 763 27.61% 20.81%
21 1984-01-22 32.5 @ Avenir Beggen 4 1000 51.52% Jeunesse Esch 0 990 27.67% 20.81%
22 1983-09-25 32.6 @ Spora Luxembourg 7 817 52.25% Etzella Ettelbruck 0 801 26.95% 20.79%
23 1984-04-08 32.8 Avenir Beggen 3 1053 54.54% @ Rumelange 0 860 24.96% 20.50%
24 1984-02-19 33.0 @ Union Luxembourg 2 838 60.86% Stade Dudelange 0 742 18.68% 20.46%
25 1984-01-22 33.2 Progres Niedercorn 4 997 49.21% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 848 30.09% 20.70%