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1984-85 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

37 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Jeunesse Esch

7.04 points above expected

37 points · 29.96 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Wiltz 71

4.45 points below expected

13 points · 17.45 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 17 3 2 37 65 20 +45 29.96 +7.04
2 Differdange 03 22 13 6 3 32 41 22 +19 27.07 +4.93
3 Avenir Beggen 22 12 4 6 28 54 29 +25 28.39 -0.39
4 Progres Niedercorn 22 11 6 5 28 45 30 +15 26.72 +1.28
5 Spora Luxembourg 22 9 6 7 24 34 28 +6 23.54 +0.46
6 Union Luxembourg 22 9 5 8 23 49 42 +7 22.19 +0.81
7 Aris Bonnevoie 22 6 6 10 18 36 44 -8 21.03 -3.03
8 Olympique Eischen 22 8 2 12 18 27 43 -16 17.77 +0.23
9 Stade Dudelange 22 6 4 12 16 26 47 -21 16.80 -0.80
10 Alliance Dudelange 22 6 3 13 15 20 50 -30 16.70 -1.70
11 Wiltz 71 22 6 1 15 13 45 55 -10 17.45 -4.45
12 Rumelange 22 4 4 14 12 19 51 -32 16.38 -4.38

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 37 29.96 +7.04
2 Differdange 03 32 27.07 +4.93
3 Progres Niedercorn 28 26.72 +1.28
4 Union Luxembourg 23 22.19 +0.81
5 Spora Luxembourg 24 23.54 +0.46

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Wiltz 71 13 17.45 -4.45
2 Rumelange 12 16.38 -4.38
3 Aris Bonnevoie 18 21.03 -3.03
4 Alliance Dudelange 15 16.70 -1.70
5 Stade Dudelange 16 16.80 -0.80

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Differdange 03 6 Sep 2 – Sep 30 1 in 59
2 Alliance Dudelange 3 Nov 11 – Feb 24 1 in 35
3 Olympique Eischen 3 May 1 – May 8 1 in 26
4 Avenir Beggen 5 Oct 21 – Dec 9 1 in 16
5 Spora Luxembourg 3 Sep 23 – Oct 21 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rumelange 6 Sep 23 – Nov 11 1 in 33
2 Spora Luxembourg 3 Nov 4 – Dec 9 1 in 32
3 Avenir Beggen 3 Sep 2 – Sep 12 1 in 30
4 Wiltz 71 5 Sep 16 – Oct 28 1 in 21
5 Alliance Dudelange 4 Apr 21 – May 8 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jeunesse Esch 13 Sep 2 – Mar 3 1 in 58
2 Differdange 03 13 Oct 28 – May 8 1 in 56
3 Rumelange 5 Mar 10 – Apr 21 1 in 26
4 Spora Luxembourg 5 Sep 16 – Oct 28 1 in 21
5 Avenir Beggen 9 Sep 16 – Feb 24 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rumelange 10 Sep 2 – Nov 11 1 in 31
2 Alliance Dudelange 10 Mar 3 – May 26 1 in 26
3 Spora Luxembourg 5 Oct 28 – Feb 24 1 in 14
4 Aris Bonnevoie 6 Sep 30 – Dec 9 1 in 12
5 Differdange 03 4 Nov 4 – Feb 24 1 in 11

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1060 37 +6 8 7.3 +0.7
Differdange 03 985 32 -14 4 6.5 -2.5
Avenir Beggen 999 28 +19 9 7.1 +1.9
Progres Niedercorn 969 28 +17 9 6.6 +2.4
Spora Luxembourg 890 24 +6 6 4.5 +1.5
Union Luxembourg 901 23 +18 5 5.5 -0.5
Olympique Eischen 804 18 +30 8 4.5 +3.5
Aris Bonnevoie 855 18 +0 3 4.4 -1.4
Stade Dudelange 763 16 -5 4 3.2 +0.8
Alliance Dudelange 736 15 -33 1 4.0 -3.0
Wiltz 71 791 13 -1 3 3.8 -0.8
Rumelange 754 12 -30 1 3.3 -2.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AD AB AB D0 JE OE PN RUM SL SD UL W7
Alliance Dudelange —
1-1-0
2.11
0-1-1
1.51
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-2
1.35
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-2
1.62
2-0-0
2.75
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.11
0-0-2
2.78
Aris Bonnevoie
0-1-1
3.50
—
0-0-2
1.88
0-0-2
1.89
1-0-1
1.70
0-1-1
3.33
0-1-1
1.95
0-2-0
3.37
2-0-0
2.53
2-0-0
3.18
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
3.25
Avenir Beggen
1-1-0
4.11
2-0-0
3.73
—
0-1-1
3.01
0-0-2
2.66
2-0-0
4.06
0-1-1
3.09
2-0-0
4.30
1-1-0
3.55
2-0-0
4.20
0-0-2
3.59
2-0-0
4.06
Differdange 03
2-0-0
3.98
2-0-0
3.71
1-1-0
2.59
—
0-1-1
2.29
2-0-0
3.98
2-0-0
2.93
2-0-0
4.21
0-1-1
3.65
0-2-0
4.11
0-1-1
3.53
2-0-0
4.08
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
4.28
1-0-1
3.92
2-0-0
2.94
1-1-0
3.31
—
1-0-1
4.18
1-1-0
3.31
2-0-0
4.46
1-1-0
3.84
2-0-0
4.42
2-0-0
3.70
2-0-0
4.34
Olympique Eischen
1-0-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.27
0-0-2
1.56
0-0-2
1.63
1-0-1
1.45
—
0-1-1
1.60
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
2.92
1-0-1
2.06
2-0-0
2.82
Progres Niedercorn
2-0-0
4.00
1-1-0
3.66
1-1-0
2.51
0-0-2
2.67
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
4.02
—
1-1-0
3.90
0-1-1
3.39
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
3.98
Rumelange
0-0-2
2.84
0-2-0
2.23
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
1.18
1-0-1
2.55
0-1-1
1.72
—
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.12
1-0-1
2.76
Spora Luxembourg
1-0-1
3.74
0-0-2
3.07
0-1-1
2.06
1-1-0
1.95
0-1-1
1.77
1-0-1
3.54
1-1-0
2.22
1-0-1
3.51
—
2-0-0
3.37
0-2-0
2.75
2-0-0
3.44
Stade Dudelange
1-1-0
2.82
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-2
1.43
0-2-0
1.52
0-0-2
1.21
2-0-0
2.68
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-2
2.24
—
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.88
Union Luxembourg
1-0-1
3.50
1-1-0
2.94
2-0-0
2.01
1-1-0
2.08
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
3.54
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
3.48
0-2-0
2.85
1-0-1
3.54
—
0-1-1
3.61
Wiltz 71
2-0-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.35
0-0-2
1.56
0-0-2
1.54
0-0-2
1.29
0-0-2
2.78
0-0-2
1.64
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.00
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.59 +4.4
Allowed 0.93 -6.4
Differential 0.90 +3.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%4.92%4.55%3.03%3.03%2.27%23.11%
14.92%9.85%7.20%3.03%3.41%2.27%30.68%
24.55%7.20%0.76%3.41%1.89%1.14%18.94%
33.03%3.03%3.41%2.27%—0.38%12.12%
43.03%3.41%1.89%———8.33%
5+2.27%2.27%1.14%0.38%—0.76%6.82%
Total23.11%30.68%18.94%12.12%8.33%6.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.75 +0.00
SD 1.55 1.55 2.41
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%9.09%36.36%
19.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%45.45%
24.55%9.09%————13.64%
3———————
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%31.82%9.09%13.64%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 2.27 -1.36
SD 0.97 1.98 2.46
CV 1.07 0.87 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%——4.55%18.18%
1—18.18%13.64%4.55%——36.36%
2—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
34.55%4.55%9.09%9.09%——27.27%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%31.82%31.82%18.18%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 2.00 -0.36
SD 1.22 1.45 2.08
CV 0.74 0.72 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
19.09%4.55%——4.55%—18.18%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%—22.73%
34.55%——4.55%—4.55%13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+9.09%9.09%4.55%———22.73%
Total40.91%27.27%9.09%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.45 1.32 +1.14
SD 1.97 1.55 2.57
CV 0.80 1.18 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%———4.55%—18.18%
113.64%13.64%4.55%———31.82%
213.64%4.55%———4.55%22.73%
34.55%4.55%————9.09%
4—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total45.45%31.82%13.64%—4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.00 +0.86
SD 1.58 1.35 1.96
CV 0.85 1.35 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%—————4.55%
1—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
218.18%4.55%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
39.09%4.55%4.55%———18.18%
44.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
5+9.09%4.55%————13.64%
Total45.45%27.27%18.18%9.09%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.95 0.91 +2.05
SD 1.56 1.02 1.99
CV 0.53 1.12 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%9.09%—4.55%31.82%
113.64%4.55%9.09%—9.09%—36.36%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%22.73%27.27%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.95 -0.73
SD 1.19 1.53 2.21
CV 0.97 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—18.18%
14.55%13.64%4.55%—4.55%—27.27%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
44.55%9.09%————13.64%
5+—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
Total18.18%50.00%18.18%4.55%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.36 +0.68
SD 1.62 1.14 2.12
CV 0.79 0.83 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%18.18%18.18%—54.55%
1—13.64%——4.55%4.55%22.73%
2—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
3———————
4—9.09%————9.09%
5+———————
Total4.55%40.91%4.55%22.73%22.73%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 2.32 -1.45
SD 1.25 1.46 2.24
CV 1.44 0.63 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%4.55%—4.55%——22.73%
14.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%4.55%—40.91%
2—13.64%————13.64%
3—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%36.36%22.73%9.09%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.27 +0.27
SD 1.50 1.12 2.03
CV 0.97 0.88 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%9.09%—4.55%4.55%36.36%
1—9.09%—4.55%—9.09%22.73%
24.55%9.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%27.27%
39.09%—4.55%———13.64%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.73%27.27%13.64%9.09%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 2.14 -0.95
SD 1.10 1.93 2.36
CV 0.93 0.91 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
14.55%13.64%13.64%4.55%9.09%—45.45%
24.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
3—4.55%4.55%4.55%——13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+4.55%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
Total18.18%22.73%27.27%18.18%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.91 +0.32
SD 1.63 1.41 2.10
CV 0.73 0.74 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%———4.55%13.64%
1——22.73%4.55%—4.55%31.82%
2———9.09%13.64%—22.73%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+—4.55%———4.55%9.09%
Total9.09%18.18%31.82%13.64%13.64%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 2.50 -0.45
SD 1.56 1.63 2.44
CV 0.76 0.65 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Jeunesse Esch 1060 37 29.96 +7.04 98.0% 21 23 28 30 32 36 39
Avenir Beggen 999 28 28.39 -0.39 49.0% 20 21 26 29 31 34 38
Differdange 03 985 32 27.07 +4.93 90.0% 17 20 24 27 30 33 37
Progres Niedercorn 969 28 26.72 +1.28 65.0% 17 20 24 27 30 32 34
Union Luxembourg 901 23 22.19 +0.81 64.0% 14 16 19 22 24 28 32
Spora Luxembourg 890 24 23.54 +0.46 64.0% 16 18 21 23 26 29 33
Aris Bonnevoie 855 18 21.03 -3.03 27.0% 12 15 18 21 23 27 31
Olympique Eischen 804 18 17.77 +0.23 58.0% 5 10 15 18 21 24 29
Wiltz 71 791 13 17.45 -4.45 14.0% 7 11 16 17 20 23 27
Stade Dudelange 763 16 16.80 -0.80 48.0% 10 10 15 17 19 23 28
Rumelange 754 12 16.38 -4.38 17.0% 6 9 13 17 19 24 27
Alliance Dudelange 736 15 16.70 -1.70 35.0% 8 10 14 17 20 22 24

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.85%
Slight Edge
45.45%18.94%35.61%
Elo Value
Home Edge
104 Elo
0.010 goals per Elo point
034.33300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.45 goals
Neutral
-2+0.33+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
49%
Jeunesse Esch, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.23/gm
Comfortable
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.08 * Some Luck: 3.08 to 4.62 * Lucky: 4.62 to 6.16 * Wild Swing: 6.16 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.39 * Close: 1.39 to 2.08 * Off: 2.08 to 2.78 * Way Off: 2.78 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.27 points
Some Luck
03.8510
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.50
Pinpoint
01.744
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
98.00%
Jeunesse Esch
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
14.00%
Wiltz 71
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 108.98
1.89
Strong Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Even
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Some Drama
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.34
Very Even
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.72
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.90
Near-Lock
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Upset-Prone
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Solid Favorites
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.02
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.38
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.097
Well Within Noise
00.1430.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch49.00%22.00%12.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%3.00%—————
Differdange 0311.00%21.00%22.00%19.00%14.00%7.00%4.00%—1.00%1.00%——
Avenir Beggen24.00%24.00%19.00%15.00%7.00%6.00%5.00%—————
Progres Niedercorn8.00%17.00%31.00%18.00%7.00%9.00%4.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Spora Luxembourg5.00%2.00%10.00%13.00%23.00%16.00%15.00%7.00%5.00%4.00%——
Union Luxembourg3.00%8.00%2.00%11.00%17.00%20.00%12.00%12.00%6.00%5.00%4.00%—
Aris Bonnevoie—4.00%2.00%8.00%9.00%18.00%18.00%12.00%12.00%11.00%4.00%2.00%
Olympique Eischen—2.00%—1.00%6.00%8.00%8.00%16.00%16.00%12.00%16.00%15.00%
Stade Dudelange———2.00%2.00%1.00%6.00%12.00%19.00%16.00%24.00%18.00%
Alliance Dudelange———1.00%2.00%5.00%11.00%12.00%15.00%12.00%12.00%30.00%
Wiltz 71——2.00%1.00%4.00%5.00%10.00%14.00%16.00%20.00%18.00%10.00%
Rumelange———3.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%11.00%9.00%19.00%21.00%25.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Avenir Beggen 100% —
Differdange 03 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Spora Luxembourg 100% —
Progres Niedercorn 99.00% 1.00%
Union Luxembourg 96.00% 4.00%
Aris Bonnevoie 94.00% 6.00%
Wiltz 71 72.00% 28.00%
Olympique Eischen 69.00% 31.00%
Alliance Dudelange 58.00% 42.00%
Stade Dudelange 58.00% 42.00%
Rumelange 54.00% 46.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1984-09-02 Rumelange W 4-140.6 800 835 42.40% 20.09% 37.51%+0.00 +11.6 2
1984-09-02 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-440.6 835 800 37.51% 20.09% 42.40%+0.00 -11.6 0
1984-09-02 Differdange 03 L 0-144.2 969 953 49.12% 20.01% 30.87%+0.48 -6.3 0
1984-09-02 @ Avenir Beggen W 1-044.2 953 969 30.87% 20.01% 49.12%-0.48 +6.3 2
1984-09-02 Union Luxembourg W 4-136.2 957 877 56.93% 19.67% 23.39%+1.10 +7.8 2
1984-09-02 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-436.2 877 957 23.39% 19.67% 56.93%-1.10 -7.8 0
1984-09-02 Stade Dudelange L 0-340.1 836 793 52.59% 19.90% 27.51%+0.74 -18.3 0
1984-09-02 @ Olympique Eischen W 3-040.1 793 836 27.51% 19.90% 52.59%-0.74 +18.3 2
1984-09-02 Spora Luxembourg L 1-250.9 954 871 57.25% 19.65% 23.10%+1.13 -6.8 0
1984-09-02 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-150.9 871 954 23.10% 19.65% 57.25%-1.13 +6.8 2
1984-09-02 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-251.9 792 869 36.35% 20.03% 43.62%-0.41 +5.1 2
1984-09-02 @ Wiltz 71 L 2-351.9 869 792 43.62% 20.03% 36.35%+0.41 -5.1 0
1984-09-09 Union Luxembourg D 3-362.8 864 869 46.45% 20.06% 33.49%+0.28 -0.2 1
1984-09-09 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 3-362.8 869 864 33.49% 20.06% 46.45%-0.28 +0.2 1
1984-09-09 Olympique Eischen W 2-031.7 960 817 63.32% 19.11% 17.57%+1.70 +4.9 4
1984-09-09 @ Differdange 03 L 0-231.7 817 960 17.57% 19.11% 63.32%-1.70 -4.9 0
1984-09-09 Avenir Beggen W 2-036.4 965 962 47.44% 20.04% 32.52%+0.35 +8.4 4
1984-09-09 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-236.4 962 965 32.52% 20.04% 47.44%-0.35 -8.4 0
1984-09-09 Progres Niedercorn D 1-153.6 823 947 30.22% 19.83% 49.95%-0.86 +0.6 1
1984-09-09 @ Rumelange D 1-153.6 947 823 49.95% 19.83% 30.22%+0.86 -0.6 1
1984-09-09 Wiltz 71 W 2-140.7 878 797 57.04% 19.67% 23.30%+1.11 +3.2 4
1984-09-09 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-240.7 797 878 23.30% 19.67% 57.04%-1.11 -3.2 2
1984-09-09 Alliance Dudelange D 1-153.5 811 812 47.01% 20.05% 32.94%+0.32 -0.4 3
1984-09-09 @ Stade Dudelange D 1-153.5 812 811 32.94% 20.05% 47.01%-0.32 +0.4 3
1984-09-12 Differdange 03 L 1-339.5 812 965 26.86% 19.65% 53.49%-1.13 -6.2 3
1984-09-12 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-139.5 965 812 53.49% 19.65% 26.86%+1.13 +6.2 6
1984-09-12 Spora Luxembourg W 3-034.9 864 881 44.79% 20.08% 35.13%+0.17 +13.1 3
1984-09-12 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-334.9 881 864 35.13% 20.08% 44.79%-0.17 -13.1 4
1984-09-12 Union Luxembourg L 2-355.9 954 870 57.43% 19.64% 22.93%+1.14 -6.5 0
1984-09-12 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-255.9 870 954 22.93% 19.64% 57.43%-1.14 +6.5 3
1984-09-12 Jeunesse Esch L 1-436.9 812 973 25.89% 19.58% 54.53%-1.22 -8.5 0
1984-09-12 @ Olympique Eischen W 4-136.9 973 812 54.53% 19.58% 25.89%+1.22 +8.5 6
1984-09-12 Stade Dudelange W 5-238.0 947 811 62.69% 19.18% 18.13%+1.64 +5.4 3
1984-09-12 @ Progres Niedercorn L 2-538.0 811 947 18.13% 19.18% 62.69%-1.64 -5.4 3
1984-09-12 Rumelange W 5-138.6 794 824 43.07% 20.09% 36.84%+0.05 +14.8 4
1984-09-12 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-538.6 824 794 36.84% 20.09% 43.07%-0.05 -14.8 1
1984-09-16 Olympique Eischen W 6-028.5 947 804 63.42% 19.10% 17.48%+1.71 +13.6 2
1984-09-16 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-628.5 804 947 17.48% 19.10% 63.42%-1.71 -13.6 0
1984-09-16 Progres Niedercorn W 1-038.6 971 952 49.59% 20.00% 30.41%+0.51 +4.2 8
1984-09-16 @ Differdange 03 L 0-138.6 952 971 30.41% 20.00% 49.59%-0.51 -4.2 3
1984-09-16 Alliance Dudelange W 6-027.6 982 806 66.24% 18.73% 15.03%+2.02 +11.8 8
1984-09-16 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-627.6 806 982 15.03% 18.73% 66.24%-2.02 -11.8 3
1984-09-16 Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.5 876 868 48.15% 20.03% 31.82%+0.41 -0.5 4
1984-09-16 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-153.5 868 876 31.82% 20.03% 48.15%-0.41 +0.5 5
1984-09-16 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.5 809 877 37.59% 20.05% 42.36%-0.33 +0.1 2
1984-09-16 @ Rumelange D 1-153.5 877 809 42.36% 20.05% 37.59%+0.33 -0.1 4
1984-09-16 Wiltz 71 W 2-143.9 806 809 46.65% 20.06% 33.29%+0.30 +4.3 5
1984-09-16 @ Stade Dudelange L 1-243.9 809 806 33.29% 20.06% 46.65%-0.30 -4.3 4
1984-09-23 Avenir Beggen L 0-136.9 794 961 25.25% 19.53% 55.22%-1.27 -3.6 3
1984-09-23 @ Alliance Dudelange W 1-036.9 961 794 55.22% 19.53% 25.25%+1.27 +3.6 4
1984-09-23 Stade Dudelange W 3-246.1 877 810 55.51% 19.76% 24.74%+0.98 +3.2 6
1984-09-23 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-346.1 810 877 24.74% 19.76% 55.51%-0.98 -3.2 5
1984-09-23 Union Luxembourg W 3-145.0 790 876 35.25% 20.00% 44.74%-0.49 +9.5 2
1984-09-23 @ Olympique Eischen L 1-345.0 876 790 44.74% 20.00% 35.25%+0.49 -9.5 4
1984-09-23 Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.4 948 994 40.78% 20.08% 39.14%-0.11 -0.0 4
1984-09-23 @ Progres Niedercorn D 2-258.4 994 948 39.14% 20.08% 40.78%+0.11 +0.0 9
1984-09-23 Rumelange W 3-246.4 869 809 54.62% 19.80% 25.58%+0.90 +3.3 7
1984-09-23 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-346.4 809 869 25.58% 19.80% 54.62%-0.90 -3.3 2
1984-09-23 Differdange 03 L 2-443.3 805 975 24.83% 19.50% 55.67%-1.31 -5.2 4
1984-09-23 @ Wiltz 71 W 4-243.3 975 805 55.67% 19.50% 24.83%+1.31 +5.2 10
1984-09-30 Progres Niedercorn D 3-362.8 965 948 49.34% 20.00% 30.66%+0.49 -0.3 5
1984-09-30 @ Avenir Beggen D 3-362.8 948 965 30.66% 20.00% 49.34%-0.49 +0.3 5
1984-09-30 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-032.9 980 880 59.12% 19.52% 21.37%+1.29 +5.9 12
1984-09-30 @ Differdange 03 L 0-232.9 880 980 21.37% 19.52% 59.12%-1.29 -5.9 6
1984-09-30 Wiltz 71 W 4-239.6 994 800 67.76% 18.49% 13.75%+2.20 +3.0 11
1984-09-30 @ Jeunesse Esch L 2-439.6 800 994 13.75% 18.49% 67.76%-2.20 -3.0 4
1984-09-30 Alliance Dudelange L 1-248.4 800 791 48.30% 20.03% 31.67%+0.42 -5.9 2
1984-09-30 @ Olympique Eischen W 2-148.4 791 800 31.67% 20.03% 48.30%-0.42 +5.9 5
1984-09-30 Rumelange W 4-030.8 866 806 54.69% 19.80% 25.51%+0.91 +13.0 6
1984-09-30 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-430.8 806 866 25.51% 19.80% 54.69%-0.91 -13.0 2
1984-09-30 Spora Luxembourg L 0-140.9 807 872 38.00% 20.06% 41.95%-0.30 -5.1 5
1984-09-30 @ Stade Dudelange W 1-040.9 872 807 41.95% 20.06% 38.00%+0.30 +5.1 9
1984-10-21 Union Luxembourg W 2-147.2 797 879 35.63% 20.01% 44.35%-0.46 +5.4 7
1984-10-21 @ Alliance Dudelange L 1-247.2 879 797 44.35% 20.01% 35.63%+0.46 -5.4 6
1984-10-21 Jeunesse Esch L 0-632.6 874 997 30.44% 19.84% 49.72%-0.85 -22.1 6
1984-10-21 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 6-032.6 997 874 49.72% 19.84% 30.44%+0.85 +22.1 13
1984-10-21 Olympique Eischen W 2-031.3 948 794 64.39% 18.98% 16.63%+1.81 +4.7 7
1984-10-21 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-231.3 794 948 16.63% 18.98% 64.39%-1.81 -4.7 2
1984-10-21 Stade Dudelange L 0-338.2 793 802 45.93% 20.07% 34.00%+0.25 -16.3 2
1984-10-21 @ Rumelange W 3-038.2 802 793 34.00% 20.07% 45.93%-0.25 +16.3 7
1984-10-21 Differdange 03 W 4-037.6 877 986 32.10% 19.91% 47.99%-0.72 +22.0 11
1984-10-21 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-437.6 986 877 47.99% 19.91% 32.10%+0.72 -22.0 12
1984-10-21 Avenir Beggen L 0-530.5 796 964 25.11% 19.52% 55.37%-1.29 -15.8 4
1984-10-21 @ Wiltz 71 W 5-030.5 964 796 55.37% 19.52% 25.11%+1.29 +15.8 7
1984-10-28 Progres Niedercorn L 1-437.3 802 953 27.04% 19.66% 53.30%-1.12 -8.8 7
1984-10-28 @ Alliance Dudelange W 4-137.3 953 802 53.30% 19.66% 27.04%+1.12 +8.8 9
1984-10-28 Aris Bonnevoie W 5-238.2 980 852 61.94% 19.26% 18.80%+1.56 +5.5 9
1984-10-28 @ Avenir Beggen L 2-538.2 852 980 18.80% 19.26% 61.94%-1.56 -5.6 6
1984-10-28 Rumelange W 2-030.5 964 777 67.24% 18.58% 14.18%+2.14 +4.0 14
1984-10-28 @ Differdange 03 L 0-230.5 777 964 14.18% 18.58% 67.24%-2.14 -4.0 2
1984-10-28 Spora Luxembourg D 0-050.2 1019 899 61.13% 19.34% 19.53%+1.48 -1.4 14
1984-10-28 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-050.2 899 1019 19.53% 19.34% 61.13%-1.48 +1.4 12
1984-10-28 Wiltz 71 W 1-039.0 789 781 48.26% 20.03% 31.71%+0.41 +4.4 4
1984-10-28 @ Olympique Eischen L 0-139.0 781 789 31.71% 20.03% 48.26%-0.41 -4.4 4
1984-10-28 Stade Dudelange W 1-037.2 874 818 54.17% 19.83% 26.00%+0.87 +3.7 8
1984-10-28 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-137.2 818 874 26.00% 19.83% 54.17%-0.87 -3.7 7
1984-11-04 Olympique Eischen D 3-362.9 847 794 53.83% 19.84% 26.32%+0.84 -0.5 7
1984-11-04 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 3-362.9 794 847 26.32% 19.84% 53.83%-0.84 +0.5 5
1984-11-04 Union Luxembourg L 0-243.8 962 877 57.41% 19.64% 22.95%+1.14 -13.7 9
1984-11-04 @ Progres Niedercorn W 2-043.8 877 962 22.95% 19.64% 57.41%-1.14 +13.7 10
1984-11-04 Jeunesse Esch L 0-329.3 773 1017 17.76% 18.72% 63.52%-2.03 -7.2 2
1984-11-04 @ Rumelange W 3-029.3 1017 773 63.52% 18.72% 17.76%+2.03 +7.2 16
1984-11-04 Avenir Beggen L 1-244.4 901 986 35.26% 20.00% 44.73%-0.49 -4.5 12
1984-11-04 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-144.4 986 901 44.73% 20.00% 35.26%+0.49 +4.5 11
1984-11-04 Differdange 03 D 0-050.1 814 968 26.65% 19.63% 53.71%-1.15 +0.9 8
1984-11-04 @ Stade Dudelange D 0-050.1 968 814 53.71% 19.63% 26.65%+1.15 -0.9 15
1984-11-04 Alliance Dudelange W 4-033.7 776 793 44.81% 20.08% 35.11%+0.17 +17.1 6
1984-11-04 @ Wiltz 71 L 0-433.7 793 776 35.11% 20.08% 44.81%-0.17 -17.1 7
1984-11-11 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-039.4 776 846 37.36% 20.05% 42.60%-0.34 +10.5 9
1984-11-11 @ Alliance Dudelange L 0-239.4 846 776 42.60% 20.05% 37.36%+0.34 -10.5 7
1984-11-11 Rumelange W 4-026.2 990 765 70.09% 18.06% 11.85%+2.50 +6.4 13
1984-11-11 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-426.2 765 990 11.85% 18.06% 70.09%-2.50 -6.4 2
1984-11-11 Stade Dudelange W 2-030.0 1025 815 68.96% 18.28% 12.76%+2.35 +3.6 18
1984-11-11 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-230.0 815 1025 12.76% 18.28% 68.96%-2.35 -3.6 8
1984-11-11 Spora Luxembourg W 2-147.9 794 896 33.04% 19.94% 47.02%-0.65 +5.7 7
1984-11-11 @ Olympique Eischen L 1-247.9 896 794 47.02% 19.94% 33.04%+0.65 -5.7 12
1984-11-11 Wiltz 71 W 3-136.3 948 793 64.43% 18.98% 16.60%+1.82 +4.0 11
1984-11-11 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-336.3 793 948 16.60% 18.98% 64.43%-1.82 -4.0 6
1984-11-11 Differdange 03 D 1-153.5 891 967 36.49% 20.03% 43.48%-0.40 +0.2 11
1984-11-11 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-153.5 967 891 43.48% 20.03% 36.49%+0.40 -0.2 16
1984-12-09 Progres Niedercorn D 1-153.5 836 952 31.19% 19.87% 48.94%-0.79 +0.5 8
1984-12-09 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.5 952 836 48.94% 19.87% 31.19%+0.79 -0.5 12
1984-12-09 Jeunesse Esch D 1-153.5 967 1028 38.59% 20.06% 41.34%-0.26 +0.1 17
1984-12-09 @ Differdange 03 D 1-153.5 1028 967 41.34% 20.06% 38.59%+0.26 -0.1 19
1984-12-09 Olympique Eischen W 4-140.9 759 800 41.47% 20.09% 38.45%-0.06 +11.8 4
1984-12-09 @ Rumelange L 1-440.9 800 759 38.45% 20.09% 41.47%+0.06 -11.9 7
1984-12-09 Alliance Dudelange L 0-147.2 890 787 59.49% 19.49% 21.03%+1.33 -7.5 12
1984-12-09 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-047.2 787 890 21.03% 19.49% 59.49%-1.33 +7.5 11
1984-12-09 Avenir Beggen L 0-233.4 811 997 23.27% 19.37% 57.36%-1.45 -6.3 8
1984-12-09 @ Stade Dudelange W 2-033.4 997 811 57.36% 19.37% 23.27%+1.45 +6.3 15
1984-12-09 Union Luxembourg W 4-143.4 789 891 33.02% 19.94% 47.04%-0.65 +14.0 8
1984-12-09 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-443.4 891 789 47.04% 19.94% 33.02%+0.65 -14.0 11
1985-02-24 Wiltz 71 W 3-247.4 836 803 51.37% 19.94% 28.68%+0.65 +3.6 10
1985-02-24 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 2-347.4 803 836 28.68% 19.94% 51.37%-0.65 -3.6 8
1985-02-24 Avenir Beggen D 0-050.0 967 1003 42.20% 20.09% 37.71%-0.01 -0.1 18
1985-02-24 @ Differdange 03 D 0-050.0 1003 967 37.71% 20.09% 42.20%+0.01 +0.1 16
1985-02-24 Jeunesse Esch L 0-234.7 877 1028 27.02% 19.66% 53.32%-1.12 -7.2 11
1985-02-24 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-034.7 1028 877 53.32% 19.66% 27.02%+1.12 +7.2 21
1985-02-24 Alliance Dudelange L 0-142.7 771 794 43.91% 20.08% 36.00%+0.10 -5.7 4
1985-02-24 @ Rumelange W 1-042.7 794 771 36.00% 20.08% 43.91%-0.10 +5.7 13
1985-02-24 Progres Niedercorn D 0-050.0 883 951 37.54% 20.05% 42.41%-0.33 +0.2 13
1985-02-24 @ Spora Luxembourg D 0-050.0 951 883 42.41% 20.05% 37.54%+0.33 -0.1 13
1985-03-03 Stade Dudelange L 1-247.8 800 805 46.43% 20.06% 33.51%+0.28 -5.7 13
1985-03-03 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-147.8 805 800 33.51% 20.06% 46.43%-0.28 +5.6 10
1985-03-03 Jeunesse Esch L 2-448.8 1003 1035 42.69% 20.09% 37.22%+0.02 -8.1 16
1985-03-03 @ Avenir Beggen W 4-248.8 1035 1003 37.22% 20.09% 42.69%-0.02 +8.2 23
1985-03-03 Differdange 03 L 0-136.5 788 967 23.92% 19.43% 56.65%-1.39 -3.4 7
1985-03-03 @ Olympique Eischen W 1-036.5 967 788 56.65% 19.43% 23.92%+1.39 +3.4 20
1985-03-03 Rumelange W 4-027.1 951 765 67.13% 18.59% 14.28%+2.12 +7.7 15
1985-03-03 @ Progres Niedercorn L 0-427.1 765 951 14.28% 18.59% 67.13%-2.12 -7.7 4
1985-03-03 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-140.3 870 840 51.05% 19.95% 28.99%+0.62 +6.6 13
1985-03-03 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-340.3 840 870 28.99% 19.95% 51.05%-0.62 -6.6 10
1985-03-03 Spora Luxembourg L 1-244.5 800 883 35.52% 20.01% 44.47%-0.47 -4.5 8
1985-03-03 @ Wiltz 71 W 2-144.5 883 800 44.47% 20.01% 35.52%+0.47 +4.5 15
1985-03-10 Alliance Dudelange W 6-130.6 970 794 66.30% 18.72% 14.98%+2.03 +8.2 22
1985-03-10 @ Differdange 03 L 1-630.6 794 970 14.98% 18.72% 66.30%-2.03 -8.2 13
1985-03-10 Olympique Eischen L 2-359.8 1043 785 72.42% 17.55% 10.04%+2.82 -8.1 23
1985-03-10 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-259.8 785 1043 10.04% 17.55% 72.42%-2.82 +8.1 9
1985-03-10 Avenir Beggen W 5-353.2 877 995 30.95% 19.86% 49.19%-0.81 +8.7 15
1985-03-10 @ Union Luxembourg L 3-553.2 995 877 49.19% 19.86% 30.95%+0.81 -8.7 16
1985-03-10 Wiltz 71 W 2-145.3 757 795 41.92% 20.09% 38.00%-0.03 +4.8 6
1985-03-10 @ Rumelange L 1-245.3 795 757 38.00% 20.09% 41.92%+0.03 -4.8 8
1985-03-10 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-250.0 887 833 53.99% 19.84% 26.17%+0.85 -6.5 15
1985-03-10 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-150.0 833 887 26.17% 19.84% 53.99%-0.85 +6.5 12
1985-03-10 Progres Niedercorn L 1-339.7 811 959 27.32% 19.67% 53.01%-1.10 -6.3 10
1985-03-10 @ Stade Dudelange W 3-139.7 959 811 53.01% 19.67% 27.32%+1.10 +6.3 17
1985-03-23 Olympique Eischen W 2-036.0 804 793 48.66% 20.02% 31.32%+0.44 +8.2 12
1985-03-23 @ Stade Dudelange L 0-236.0 793 804 31.32% 20.02% 48.66%-0.44 -8.2 9
1985-03-30 Jeunesse Esch L 0-231.5 786 1035 17.41% 18.67% 63.93%-2.07 -4.9 13
1985-03-30 @ Alliance Dudelange W 2-031.5 1035 786 63.93% 18.67% 17.41%+2.07 +4.8 25
1985-03-30 Rumelange D 1-153.6 840 762 56.66% 19.69% 23.65%+1.08 -1.0 13
1985-03-30 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.6 762 840 23.65% 19.69% 56.66%-1.08 +1.0 7
1985-03-30 Avenir Beggen L 0-330.6 785 986 21.63% 19.21% 59.16%-1.61 -8.6 9
1985-03-30 @ Olympique Eischen W 3-030.6 986 785 59.16% 19.21% 21.63%+1.61 +8.6 18
1985-03-30 Differdange 03 L 1-442.9 965 979 45.30% 20.07% 34.62%+0.20 -13.5 17
1985-03-30 @ Progres Niedercorn W 4-142.9 979 965 34.62% 20.07% 45.30%-0.20 +13.6 24
1985-03-30 Union Luxembourg D 1-153.5 881 885 46.52% 20.06% 33.42%+0.29 -0.4 16
1985-03-30 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.5 885 881 33.42% 20.06% 46.52%-0.29 +0.4 16
1985-03-30 Stade Dudelange W 4-246.7 790 813 44.09% 20.08% 35.83%+0.12 +7.1 10
1985-03-30 @ Wiltz 71 L 2-446.7 813 790 35.83% 20.08% 44.09%-0.12 -7.1 12
1985-04-10 Alliance Dudelange D 0-050.6 995 781 69.26% 18.23% 12.52%+2.39 -2.0 19
1985-04-10 @ Avenir Beggen D 0-050.6 781 995 12.52% 18.23% 69.26%-2.39 +2.0 14
1985-04-10 Wiltz 71 W 4-239.6 992 797 67.82% 18.48% 13.70%+2.21 +3.0 26
1985-04-10 @ Differdange 03 L 2-439.6 797 992 13.70% 18.48% 67.82%-2.21 -3.0 10
1985-04-10 Progres Niedercorn W 4-029.8 1040 952 57.88% 19.61% 22.51%+1.18 +11.7 27
1985-04-10 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-429.8 952 1040 22.51% 19.61% 57.88%-1.18 -11.7 17
1985-04-10 Olympique Eischen W 2-139.8 886 776 60.14% 19.43% 20.43%+1.39 +2.8 18
1985-04-10 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-239.8 776 886 20.43% 19.43% 60.14%-1.39 -2.8 9
1985-04-10 Spora Luxembourg W 4-144.0 763 881 31.03% 19.87% 49.10%-0.80 +14.5 9
1985-04-10 @ Rumelange L 1-444.0 881 763 49.10% 19.87% 31.03%+0.80 -14.5 16
1985-04-10 Aris Bonnevoie L 0-436.0 806 839 42.57% 20.09% 37.34%+0.01 -19.9 12
1985-04-10 @ Stade Dudelange W 4-036.0 839 806 37.34% 20.09% 42.57%-0.01 +19.9 15
1985-04-14 Differdange 03 L 1-242.4 859 995 28.68% 19.75% 51.57%-0.99 -3.8 15
1985-04-14 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-142.4 995 859 51.57% 19.75% 28.68%+0.99 +3.8 28
1985-04-14 Avenir Beggen W 4-141.4 940 993 39.77% 20.08% 40.15%-0.18 +12.3 19
1985-04-14 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-441.4 993 940 40.15% 20.08% 39.77%+0.18 -12.3 19
1985-04-14 Union Luxembourg W 2-148.3 778 889 31.86% 19.90% 48.24%-0.74 +5.8 11
1985-04-14 @ Rumelange L 1-248.3 889 778 48.24% 19.90% 31.86%+0.74 -5.8 18
1985-04-14 Stade Dudelange W 6-030.4 866 786 57.01% 19.67% 23.32%+1.11 +17.7 18
1985-04-14 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-630.4 786 866 23.32% 19.67% 57.01%-1.11 -17.7 12
1985-04-14 Jeunesse Esch L 2-343.4 794 1052 16.75% 18.56% 64.69%-2.15 -2.2 10
1985-04-14 @ Wiltz 71 W 3-243.4 1052 794 64.69% 18.56% 16.75%+2.15 +2.2 29
1985-04-21 Wiltz 71 W 6-130.3 981 792 67.31% 18.57% 14.13%+2.14 +7.8 21
1985-04-21 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-630.3 792 981 14.13% 18.57% 67.31%-2.14 -7.8 10
1985-04-21 Spora Luxembourg D 0-050.2 999 884 60.69% 19.38% 19.93%+1.44 -1.4 29
1985-04-21 @ Differdange 03 D 0-050.2 884 999 19.93% 19.38% 60.69%-1.44 +1.4 19
1985-04-21 Aris Bonnevoie L 1-351.6 1054 855 68.17% 18.42% 13.41%+2.25 -14.0 29
1985-04-21 @ Jeunesse Esch W 3-151.6 855 1054 13.41% 18.42% 68.17%-2.25 +14.0 17
1985-04-21 Progres Niedercorn D 1-153.7 773 952 23.90% 19.42% 56.67%-1.39 +1.0 10
1985-04-21 @ Olympique Eischen D 1-153.7 952 773 56.67% 19.42% 23.90%+1.39 -1.0 20
1985-04-21 Alliance Dudelange W 5-029.3 883 783 59.07% 19.52% 21.41%+1.29 +13.8 20
1985-04-21 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-529.3 783 883 21.41% 19.52% 59.07%-1.29 -13.8 14
1985-04-21 Rumelange D 0-050.0 768 784 45.01% 20.08% 34.92%+0.18 -0.3 13
1985-04-21 @ Stade Dudelange D 0-050.0 784 768 34.92% 20.08% 45.01%-0.18 +0.3 12
1985-05-01 Olympique Eischen L 0-143.4 769 774 46.50% 20.06% 33.44%+0.29 -6.0 14
1985-05-01 @ Alliance Dudelange W 1-043.4 774 769 33.44% 20.06% 46.50%-0.29 +6.0 12
1985-05-05 Avenir Beggen L 1-243.0 869 988 30.77% 19.85% 49.37%-0.82 -4.0 17
1985-05-05 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-143.0 988 869 49.37% 19.85% 30.77%+0.82 +4.0 23
1985-05-05 Alliance Dudelange W 5-131.4 951 763 67.26% 18.57% 14.16%+2.14 +6.4 22
1985-05-05 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-531.4 763 951 14.16% 18.57% 67.26%-2.14 -6.4 14
1985-05-05 Differdange 03 L 0-330.2 784 998 20.47% 19.08% 60.44%-1.73 -8.2 12
1985-05-05 @ Rumelange W 3-030.2 998 784 60.44% 19.08% 20.47%+1.73 +8.2 31
1985-05-05 Jeunesse Esch L 1-339.4 885 1040 26.55% 19.62% 53.83%-1.16 -6.1 19
1985-05-05 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-139.4 1040 885 53.83% 19.62% 26.55%+1.16 +6.2 31
1985-05-05 Union Luxembourg W 3-253.9 768 897 29.61% 19.80% 50.59%-0.91 +5.8 15
1985-05-05 @ Stade Dudelange L 2-353.9 897 768 50.59% 19.80% 29.61%+0.91 -5.8 20
1985-05-05 Olympique Eischen L 1-248.2 784 780 47.70% 20.04% 32.26%+0.37 -5.8 10
1985-05-05 @ Wiltz 71 W 2-148.2 780 784 32.26% 20.04% 47.70%-0.37 +5.8 14
1985-05-08 Wiltz 71 L 0-337.6 757 779 44.18% 20.08% 35.73%+0.12 -15.7 14
1985-05-08 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-037.6 779 757 35.73% 20.08% 44.18%-0.12 +15.7 12
1985-05-08 Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.7 992 879 60.50% 19.40% 20.11%+1.42 -1.2 24
1985-05-08 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-153.7 879 992 20.11% 19.40% 60.50%-1.42 +1.2 20
1985-05-08 Stade Dudelange D 1-154.1 1006 773 70.63% 17.95% 11.42%+2.57 -1.8 32
1985-05-08 @ Differdange 03 D 1-154.1 773 1006 11.42% 17.95% 70.63%-2.57 +1.8 16
1985-05-08 Rumelange W 3-026.4 1046 776 73.17% 17.36% 9.48%+2.94 +3.9 33
1985-05-08 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-326.4 776 1046 9.48% 17.36% 73.17%-2.94 -3.9 12
1985-05-08 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-042.6 786 865 36.12% 20.02% 43.86%-0.43 +5.7 16
1985-05-08 @ Olympique Eischen L 0-142.6 865 786 43.86% 20.02% 36.12%+0.43 -5.7 17
1985-05-08 Progres Niedercorn L 1-245.2 891 958 37.79% 20.05% 42.16%-0.31 -4.8 20
1985-05-08 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-145.2 958 891 42.16% 20.05% 37.79%+0.31 +4.8 24
1985-05-12 Alliance Dudelange D 1-153.7 859 741 60.93% 19.36% 19.71%+1.46 -1.2 18
1985-05-12 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-153.7 741 859 19.71% 19.36% 60.93%-1.46 +1.2 15
1985-05-12 Union Luxembourg L 2-550.9 1004 886 60.96% 19.36% 19.69%+1.47 -15.4 32
1985-05-12 @ Differdange 03 W 5-250.9 886 1004 19.69% 19.36% 60.96%-1.47 +15.4 22
1985-05-12 Avenir Beggen L 0-135.2 772 991 19.96% 19.02% 61.02%-1.78 -2.9 12
1985-05-12 @ Rumelange W 1-035.2 991 772 61.02% 19.02% 19.96%+1.78 +2.9 26
1985-05-12 Olympique Eischen W 3-245.4 880 792 57.90% 19.61% 22.49%+1.18 +2.9 22
1985-05-12 @ Spora Luxembourg L 2-345.4 792 880 22.49% 19.61% 57.90%-1.18 -2.9 16
1985-05-12 Jeunesse Esch L 1-531.7 775 1050 15.43% 18.33% 66.24%-2.32 -6.8 16
1985-05-12 @ Stade Dudelange W 5-131.7 1050 775 66.24% 18.33% 15.43%+2.32 +6.8 35
1985-05-12 Progres Niedercorn L 0-136.9 794 962 25.09% 19.52% 55.39%-1.29 -3.6 12
1985-05-12 @ Wiltz 71 W 1-036.9 962 794 55.39% 19.52% 25.09%+1.29 +3.6 26
1985-05-26 Spora Luxembourg L 1-340.0 743 883 28.22% 19.73% 52.06%-1.02 -6.5 15
1985-05-26 @ Alliance Dudelange W 3-140.0 883 743 52.06% 19.73% 28.22%+1.02 +6.5 24
1985-05-26 Stade Dudelange W 5-130.5 994 768 70.15% 18.05% 11.80%+2.50 +5.3 28
1985-05-26 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-530.5 768 994 11.80% 18.05% 70.15%-2.50 -5.3 16
1985-05-26 Differdange 03 W 2-141.2 1057 989 55.64% 19.75% 24.61%+0.99 +3.3 37
1985-05-26 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-241.2 989 1057 24.61% 19.75% 55.64%-0.99 -3.3 32
1985-05-26 Rumelange W 4-032.3 789 769 49.72% 19.99% 30.29%+0.52 +15.1 18
1985-05-26 @ Olympique Eischen L 0-432.3 769 789 30.29% 19.99% 49.72%-0.52 -15.1 12
1985-05-26 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-139.9 966 858 59.97% 19.44% 20.58%+1.37 +2.9 28
1985-05-26 @ Progres Niedercorn L 1-239.9 858 966 20.58% 19.44% 59.97%-1.37 -2.8 18
1985-05-26 Wiltz 71 D 5-566.6 901 791 60.22% 19.42% 20.36%+1.40 -0.6 23
1985-05-26 @ Union Luxembourg D 5-566.6 791 901 20.36% 19.42% 60.22%-1.40 +0.6 13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1985-03-10 10.04% Olympique Eischen 785 3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1043 2
2 1985-04-21 13.41% Aris Bonnevoie 855 3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1054 1
3 1985-05-12 19.69% Union Luxembourg 886 5 @ Differdange 03 1004 2
4 1984-12-09 21.03% Alliance Dudelange 787 1 @ Spora Luxembourg 890 0
5 1984-09-12 22.93% Union Luxembourg 870 3 @ Avenir Beggen 954 2
6 1984-11-04 22.95% Union Luxembourg 877 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 962 0
7 1984-09-02 23.10% Spora Luxembourg 871 2 @ Progres Niedercorn 954 1
8 1985-03-10 26.17% Aris Bonnevoie 833 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 887 1
9 1984-09-02 27.51% Stade Dudelange 793 3 @ Olympique Eischen 836 0
10 1985-05-05 29.61% @ Stade Dudelange 768 3 Union Luxembourg 897 2
11 1984-09-02 30.87% Differdange 03 953 1 @ Avenir Beggen 969 0
12 1985-03-10 30.95% @ Union Luxembourg 877 5 Avenir Beggen 995 3
13 1985-04-10 31.03% @ Rumelange 763 4 Spora Luxembourg 881 1
14 1984-09-30 31.67% Alliance Dudelange 791 2 @ Olympique Eischen 800 1
15 1985-04-14 31.86% @ Rumelange 778 2 Union Luxembourg 889 1
16 1984-10-21 32.10% @ Spora Luxembourg 877 4 Differdange 03 986 0
17 1985-05-05 32.26% Olympique Eischen 780 2 @ Wiltz 71 784 1
18 1984-12-09 33.02% @ Wiltz 71 789 4 Union Luxembourg 891 1
19 1984-11-11 33.04% @ Olympique Eischen 794 2 Spora Luxembourg 896 1
20 1985-05-01 33.44% Olympique Eischen 774 1 @ Alliance Dudelange 769 0
21 1985-03-03 33.51% Stade Dudelange 805 2 @ Alliance Dudelange 800 1
22 1984-10-21 34.00% Stade Dudelange 802 3 @ Rumelange 793 0
23 1985-03-30 34.62% Differdange 03 979 4 @ Progres Niedercorn 965 1
24 1984-09-23 35.25% @ Olympique Eischen 790 3 Union Luxembourg 876 1
25 1984-10-21 35.63% @ Alliance Dudelange 797 2 Union Luxembourg 879 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-10-21 22.15 Jeunesse Esch 6 997 49.72% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 874 30.44% 19.84%
2 1984-10-21 22.04 @ Spora Luxembourg 4 877 32.10% Differdange 03 0 986 47.99% 19.91%
3 1985-04-10 19.93 Aris Bonnevoie 4 839 37.34% @ Stade Dudelange 0 806 42.57% 20.09%
4 1984-09-02 18.33 Stade Dudelange 3 793 27.51% @ Olympique Eischen 0 836 52.59% 19.90%
5 1985-04-14 17.66 @ Spora Luxembourg 6 866 57.01% Stade Dudelange 0 786 23.32% 19.67%
6 1984-11-04 17.06 @ Wiltz 71 4 776 44.81% Alliance Dudelange 0 793 35.11% 20.08%
7 1984-10-21 16.27 Stade Dudelange 3 802 34.00% @ Rumelange 0 793 45.93% 20.07%
8 1984-10-21 15.80 Avenir Beggen 5 964 55.37% @ Wiltz 71 0 796 25.11% 19.52%
9 1985-05-08 15.74 Wiltz 71 3 779 35.73% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 757 44.18% 20.08%
10 1985-05-12 15.37 Union Luxembourg 5 886 19.69% @ Differdange 03 2 1004 60.96% 19.36%
11 1985-05-26 15.10 @ Olympique Eischen 4 789 49.72% Rumelange 0 769 30.29% 19.99%
12 1984-09-12 14.78 @ Wiltz 71 5 794 43.07% Rumelange 1 824 36.84% 20.09%
13 1985-04-10 14.52 @ Rumelange 4 763 31.03% Spora Luxembourg 1 881 49.10% 19.87%
14 1985-04-21 13.98 Aris Bonnevoie 3 855 13.41% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1054 68.17% 18.42%
15 1984-12-09 13.98 @ Wiltz 71 4 789 33.02% Union Luxembourg 1 891 47.04% 19.94%
16 1985-04-21 13.79 @ Union Luxembourg 5 883 59.07% Alliance Dudelange 0 783 21.41% 19.52%
17 1984-11-04 13.69 Union Luxembourg 2 877 22.95% @ Progres Niedercorn 0 962 57.41% 19.64%
18 1984-09-16 13.61 @ Avenir Beggen 6 947 63.42% Olympique Eischen 0 804 17.48% 19.10%
19 1985-03-30 13.55 Differdange 03 4 979 34.62% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 965 45.30% 20.07%
20 1984-09-12 13.07 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 864 44.79% Spora Luxembourg 0 881 35.13% 20.08%
21 1984-09-30 13.04 @ Union Luxembourg 4 866 54.69% Rumelange 0 806 25.51% 19.80%
22 1985-04-14 12.27 @ Progres Niedercorn 4 940 39.77% Avenir Beggen 1 993 40.15% 20.08%
23 1984-12-09 11.85 @ Rumelange 4 759 41.47% Olympique Eischen 1 800 38.45% 20.09%
24 1984-09-16 11.81 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 982 66.24% Alliance Dudelange 0 806 15.03% 18.73%
25 1985-04-10 11.69 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1040 57.88% Progres Niedercorn 0 952 22.51% 19.61%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1985-05-26 66.6 @ Union Luxembourg 5 901 60.22% Wiltz 71 5 791 20.36% 19.42%
2 1984-11-04 62.9 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 847 53.83% Olympique Eischen 3 794 26.32% 19.84%
3 1984-09-09 62.8 @ Aris Bonnevoie 3 864 46.45% Union Luxembourg 3 869 33.49% 20.06%
4 1984-09-30 62.8 @ Avenir Beggen 3 965 49.34% Progres Niedercorn 3 948 30.66% 20.00%
5 1985-03-10 59.8 Olympique Eischen 3 785 10.04% @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1043 72.42% 17.55%
6 1984-09-23 58.4 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 948 40.78% Jeunesse Esch 2 994 39.14% 20.08%
7 1984-09-12 55.9 Union Luxembourg 3 870 22.93% @ Avenir Beggen 2 954 57.43% 19.64%
8 1985-05-08 54.1 @ Differdange 03 1 1006 70.63% Stade Dudelange 1 773 11.42% 17.95%
9 1985-05-05 53.9 @ Stade Dudelange 3 768 29.61% Union Luxembourg 2 897 50.59% 19.80%
10 1985-04-21 53.7 @ Olympique Eischen 1 773 23.90% Progres Niedercorn 1 952 56.67% 19.42%
11 1985-05-08 53.7 @ Avenir Beggen 1 992 60.50% Spora Luxembourg 1 879 20.11% 19.40%
12 1985-05-12 53.7 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 859 60.93% Alliance Dudelange 1 741 19.71% 19.36%
13 1984-09-09 53.6 @ Rumelange 1 823 30.22% Progres Niedercorn 1 947 49.95% 19.83%
14 1985-03-30 53.6 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 840 56.66% Rumelange 1 762 23.65% 19.69%
15 1984-09-09 53.5 @ Stade Dudelange 1 811 47.01% Alliance Dudelange 1 812 32.94% 20.05%
16 1984-09-16 53.5 @ Union Luxembourg 1 876 48.15% Spora Luxembourg 1 868 31.82% 20.03%
17 1984-09-16 53.5 @ Rumelange 1 809 37.59% Aris Bonnevoie 1 877 42.36% 20.05%
18 1984-11-11 53.5 @ Union Luxembourg 1 891 36.49% Differdange 03 1 967 43.48% 20.03%
19 1984-12-09 53.5 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 836 31.19% Progres Niedercorn 1 952 48.94% 19.87%
20 1984-12-09 53.5 @ Differdange 03 1 967 38.59% Jeunesse Esch 1 1028 41.34% 20.06%
21 1985-03-30 53.5 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 881 46.52% Union Luxembourg 1 885 33.42% 20.06%
22 1985-03-10 53.2 @ Union Luxembourg 5 877 30.95% Avenir Beggen 3 995 49.19% 19.86%
23 1984-09-02 51.9 @ Wiltz 71 3 792 36.35% Aris Bonnevoie 2 869 43.62% 20.03%
24 1985-04-21 51.6 Aris Bonnevoie 3 855 13.41% @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1054 68.17% 18.42%
25 1984-09-02 50.9 Spora Luxembourg 2 871 23.10% @ Progres Niedercorn 1 954 57.25% 19.65%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-11-11 26.2 @ Avenir Beggen 4 990 70.09% Rumelange 0 765 11.85% 18.06%
2 1985-05-08 26.4 @ Jeunesse Esch 3 1046 73.17% Rumelange 0 776 9.48% 17.36%
3 1985-03-03 27.1 @ Progres Niedercorn 4 951 67.13% Rumelange 0 765 14.28% 18.59%
4 1984-09-16 27.6 @ Jeunesse Esch 6 982 66.24% Alliance Dudelange 0 806 15.03% 18.73%
5 1984-09-16 28.5 @ Avenir Beggen 6 947 63.42% Olympique Eischen 0 804 17.48% 19.10%
6 1984-11-04 29.3 Jeunesse Esch 3 1017 63.52% @ Rumelange 0 773 17.76% 18.72%
7 1985-04-21 29.3 @ Union Luxembourg 5 883 59.07% Alliance Dudelange 0 783 21.41% 19.52%
8 1985-04-10 29.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1040 57.88% Progres Niedercorn 0 952 22.51% 19.61%
9 1984-11-11 30.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1025 68.96% Stade Dudelange 0 815 12.76% 18.28%
10 1985-05-05 30.2 Differdange 03 3 998 60.44% @ Rumelange 0 784 20.47% 19.08%
11 1985-04-21 30.3 @ Avenir Beggen 6 981 67.31% Wiltz 71 1 792 14.13% 18.57%
12 1985-04-14 30.4 @ Spora Luxembourg 6 866 57.01% Stade Dudelange 0 786 23.32% 19.67%
13 1984-10-21 30.5 Avenir Beggen 5 964 55.37% @ Wiltz 71 0 796 25.11% 19.52%
14 1984-10-28 30.5 @ Differdange 03 2 964 67.24% Rumelange 0 777 14.18% 18.58%
15 1985-05-26 30.5 @ Avenir Beggen 5 994 70.15% Stade Dudelange 1 768 11.80% 18.05%
16 1985-03-10 30.6 @ Differdange 03 6 970 66.30% Alliance Dudelange 1 794 14.98% 18.72%
17 1985-03-30 30.6 Avenir Beggen 3 986 59.16% @ Olympique Eischen 0 785 21.63% 19.21%
18 1984-09-30 30.8 @ Union Luxembourg 4 866 54.69% Rumelange 0 806 25.51% 19.80%
19 1984-10-21 31.3 @ Progres Niedercorn 2 948 64.39% Olympique Eischen 0 794 16.63% 18.98%
20 1985-05-05 31.4 @ Progres Niedercorn 5 951 67.26% Alliance Dudelange 1 763 14.16% 18.57%
21 1985-03-30 31.5 Jeunesse Esch 2 1035 63.93% @ Alliance Dudelange 0 786 17.41% 18.67%
22 1984-09-09 31.7 @ Differdange 03 2 960 63.32% Olympique Eischen 0 817 17.57% 19.11%
23 1985-05-12 31.7 Jeunesse Esch 5 1050 66.24% @ Stade Dudelange 1 775 15.43% 18.33%
24 1985-05-26 32.3 @ Olympique Eischen 4 789 49.72% Rumelange 0 769 30.29% 19.99%
25 1984-10-21 32.6 Jeunesse Esch 6 997 49.72% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 874 30.44% 19.84%