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1996-97 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

56 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Jeunesse Esch

10.10 points above expected

56 points · 45.90 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Aris Bonnevoie

11.06 points below expected

11 points · 22.06 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 17 5 0 56 56 11 +45 45.90 +10.10
2 Grevenmacher 22 15 5 2 50 56 22 +34 43.51 +6.49
3 Union Luxembourg 22 10 8 4 38 44 23 +21 39.40 -1.40
4 Avenir Beggen 22 11 5 6 38 46 30 +16 39.92 -1.92
5 Wiltz 71 22 11 3 8 36 33 38 -5 29.41 +6.59
6 Sporting Mertzig 22 8 8 6 32 45 39 +6 33.13 -1.13
7 Hobscheid 22 7 5 10 26 24 43 -19 19.86 +6.14
8 Spora Luxembourg 22 6 5 11 23 33 38 -5 29.49 -6.49
9 F91 Dudelange 22 6 4 12 22 27 43 -16 29.09 -7.09
10 Rumelange 22 5 3 14 18 33 59 -26 14.27 +3.73
11 Rodange 91 22 4 4 14 16 25 42 -17 21.27 -5.27
12 Aris Bonnevoie 22 2 5 15 11 20 54 -34 22.06 -11.06

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 56 45.90 +10.10
2 Wiltz 71 36 29.41 +6.59
3 Grevenmacher 50 43.51 +6.49
4 Hobscheid 26 19.86 +6.14
5 Rumelange 18 14.27 +3.73

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aris Bonnevoie 11 22.06 -11.06
2 F91 Dudelange 22 29.09 -7.09
3 Spora Luxembourg 23 29.49 -6.49
4 Rodange 91 16 21.27 -5.27
5 Avenir Beggen 38 39.92 -1.92

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wiltz 71 5 Sep 1 – Sep 29 1 in 322
2 Hobscheid 3 May 10 – May 25 1 in 128
3 Grevenmacher 7 Sep 1 – Oct 27 1 in 68
4 Sporting Mertzig 2 Mar 8 – Mar 16 1 in 17
5 Spora Luxembourg 3 Mar 16 – Apr 13 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 F91 Dudelange 5 Sep 8 – Oct 20 1 in 128
2 Rodange 91 7 Sep 21 – Dec 8 1 in 101
3 Aris Bonnevoie 6 Feb 16 – Apr 13 1 in 27
4 Grevenmacher 2 Mar 16 – Apr 9 1 in 20
5 Rumelange 7 Oct 20 – Feb 23 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 Sep 1 – May 25 1 in 43
2 Rodange 91 3 Feb 2 – Feb 23 1 in 19
3 Wiltz 71 5 Sep 1 – Sep 29 1 in 19
4 Grevenmacher 14 Sep 1 – Mar 8 1 in 18
5 Sporting Mertzig 6 Feb 16 – Apr 9 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 11 Sep 8 – Feb 9 1 in 187
2 Aris Bonnevoie 15 Dec 8 – May 25 1 in 115
3 Rodange 91 9 Sep 1 – Dec 8 1 in 22
4 F91 Dudelange 6 Sep 1 – Oct 20 1 in 18
5 Hobscheid 9 Feb 16 – May 3 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1372 56 +60 13 10.8 +2.2
Grevenmacher 1243 50 +36 11 9.3 +1.7
Union Luxembourg 1232 38 +49 11 9.6 +1.4
Avenir Beggen 1146 38 -69 5 8.2 -3.2
Wiltz 71 1008 36 -12 6 7.2 -1.2
Sporting Mertzig 1106 32 -11 8 7.1 +0.9
Hobscheid 907 26 +73 10 4.0 +6.0
Spora Luxembourg 1040 23 -36 3 6.5 -3.5
F91 Dudelange 965 22 -61 3 6.5 -3.5
Rumelange 882 18 +55 7 3.8 +3.2
Rodange 91 908 16 +14 6 5.3 +0.7
Aris Bonnevoie 773 11 -98 1 5.1 -4.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB AB FD GRE HOB JE R9 RUM SL SM UL W7
Aris Bonnevoie —
0-0-2
1.45
1-0-1
1.87
0-1-1
0.88
0-1-1
3.23
0-0-2
0.96
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-1
3.40
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.07
0-0-2
1.50
0-1-1
2.17
Avenir Beggen
2-0-0
4.10
—
1-1-0
3.36
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
4.05
0-0-2
2.07
2-0-0
4.54
1-1-0
4.84
1-0-1
3.95
0-1-1
3.41
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
3.49
F91 Dudelange
1-0-1
3.66
0-1-1
2.18
—
0-0-2
1.47
1-0-1
3.55
0-1-1
1.56
1-0-1
3.61
1-0-1
4.01
2-0-0
2.17
0-1-1
2.12
0-1-1
1.64
0-0-2
2.63
Grevenmacher
1-1-0
4.74
1-1-0
2.81
2-0-0
4.08
—
2-0-0
4.73
0-2-0
2.22
1-1-0
4.51
2-0-0
4.97
2-0-0
3.96
1-0-1
3.88
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
4.26
Hobscheid
1-1-0
2.29
0-1-1
1.51
1-0-1
1.98
0-0-2
0.89
—
0-0-2
0.79
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
3.59
2-0-0
1.77
0-1-1
1.93
0-2-0
1.45
1-0-1
1.73
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
4.67
2-0-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.99
0-2-0
3.31
2-0-0
4.84
—
2-0-0
4.94
2-0-0
5.12
2-0-0
4.48
2-0-0
4.17
0-2-0
3.54
2-0-0
4.46
Rodange 91
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-2
1.05
1-0-1
1.92
0-1-1
1.08
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
0.71
—
0-0-2
3.81
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
1.24
0-1-1
2.40
Rumelange
1-0-1
2.14
0-1-1
0.80
1-0-1
1.54
0-0-2
0.69
1-0-1
1.94
0-0-2
0.57
2-0-0
1.73
—
0-1-1
1.27
0-0-2
1.11
0-1-1
0.87
0-0-2
1.32
Spora Luxembourg
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
1.59
0-0-2
3.36
0-0-2
1.60
0-0-2
3.78
0-0-2
1.11
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-0
4.30
—
1-1-0
2.09
0-1-1
1.92
1-0-1
2.88
Sporting Mertzig
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
2.11
1-1-0
3.41
1-0-1
1.66
1-1-0
3.60
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-0
3.90
2-0-0
4.47
0-1-1
3.44
—
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
3.16
Union Luxembourg
2-0-0
4.05
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
3.90
1-0-1
2.15
0-2-0
4.11
0-2-0
2.00
2-0-0
4.34
1-1-0
4.76
1-1-0
3.61
1-1-0
3.26
—
0-0-2
3.80
Wiltz 71
1-1-0
3.36
0-0-2
2.05
2-0-0
2.88
0-0-2
1.30
1-0-1
3.81
0-0-2
1.12
1-1-0
3.13
2-0-0
4.25
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
2.36
2-0-0
1.74
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.83 +10.2
Allowed 0.83 -9.2
Differential 0.91 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%5.68%5.30%2.65%2.65%3.03%22.35%
15.68%11.36%6.44%6.06%2.65%2.27%34.47%
25.30%6.44%5.30%0.38%0.76%—18.18%
32.65%6.06%0.38%3.03%—0.76%12.88%
42.65%2.65%0.76%———6.06%
5+3.03%2.27%—0.76%——6.06%
Total22.35%34.47%18.18%12.88%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.67 +0.00
SD 1.52 1.52 2.44
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%40.91%
1—9.09%13.64%9.09%—9.09%40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3———4.55%——4.55%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%22.73%22.73%22.73%4.55%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 2.45 -1.55
SD 1.06 1.60 2.15
CV 1.17 0.65 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——9.09%——13.64%
113.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%9.09%—40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+13.64%4.55%————18.18%
Total36.36%27.27%9.09%18.18%9.09%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.36 +0.73
SD 1.74 1.40 2.66
CV 0.83 1.03 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%—9.09%—22.73%
19.09%13.64%4.55%22.73%——50.00%
2—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%————4.55%9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%36.36%13.64%22.73%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.23 1.95 -0.73
SD 1.07 1.53 1.93
CV 0.87 0.78 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—4.55%4.55%——18.18%
14.55%4.55%————9.09%
24.55%4.55%————9.09%
34.55%27.27%—9.09%——40.91%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total31.82%50.00%4.55%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.00 +1.55
SD 1.65 0.98 1.97
CV 0.65 0.98 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%9.09%—9.09%4.55%31.82%
19.09%18.18%—4.55%4.55%4.55%40.91%
24.55%9.09%4.55%———18.18%
3—4.55%————4.55%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total13.64%40.91%18.18%4.55%13.64%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.95 -0.86
SD 1.06 1.68 2.23
CV 0.98 0.86 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—————9.09%
113.64%4.55%————18.18%
222.73%4.55%4.55%———31.82%
34.55%9.09%—4.55%——18.18%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total63.64%27.27%4.55%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 0.50 +2.05
SD 1.84 0.80 1.89
CV 0.72 1.60 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.73%13.64%——4.55%40.91%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
29.09%4.55%4.55%—9.09%—27.27%
3———4.55%——4.55%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%40.91%22.73%9.09%13.64%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.91 -0.77
SD 1.28 1.38 1.90
CV 1.13 0.72 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%—9.09%27.27%
1—4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%9.09%36.36%
2——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
34.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
44.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
5+———————
Total13.64%18.18%27.27%13.64%4.55%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.68 -1.18
SD 1.41 2.15 2.89
CV 0.94 0.80 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
14.55%13.64%9.09%9.09%4.55%—40.91%
2—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
39.09%——4.55%——13.64%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total13.64%31.82%27.27%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.73 -0.23
SD 1.68 1.12 2.02
CV 1.12 0.65 —
Max 7 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
14.55%22.73%9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%50.00%
2—4.55%13.64%———18.18%
34.55%—4.55%———9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+4.55%4.55%—4.55%——13.64%
Total13.64%36.36%31.82%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.05 1.77 +0.27
SD 1.62 1.54 2.43
CV 0.79 0.87 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
1—22.73%9.09%———31.82%
218.18%9.09%9.09%———36.36%
3—4.55%—4.55%——9.09%
4—4.55%————4.55%
5+9.09%—————9.09%
Total27.27%45.45%22.73%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.05 +0.95
SD 1.48 0.84 1.94
CV 0.74 0.81 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%———9.09%9.09%22.73%
19.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
24.55%18.18%4.55%———27.27%
3—13.64%————13.64%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total22.73%36.36%13.64%9.09%9.09%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.73 -0.23
SD 1.26 1.61 2.56
CV 0.84 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Jeunesse Esch 1372 56 45.90 +10.10 97.0% 30 36 42 46 49 54 59
Grevenmacher 1243 50 43.51 +6.49 87.0% 29 32 40 43 48 53 58
Union Luxembourg 1232 38 39.40 -1.40 39.0% 26 28 36 40 43 49 53
Avenir Beggen 1146 38 39.92 -1.92 41.0% 19 31 35 40 44 49 53
Sporting Mertzig 1106 32 33.13 -1.13 45.0% 20 24 28 33 37 44 50
Spora Luxembourg 1040 23 29.49 -6.49 14.0% 18 21 25 29 33 40 48
Wiltz 71 1008 36 29.41 +6.59 86.0% 15 22 26 29 32 38 42
F91 Dudelange 965 22 29.09 -7.09 12.0% 11 17 25 29 34 38 43
Rodange 91 908 16 21.27 -5.27 17.0% 10 12 18 21 25 31 34
Hobscheid 907 26 19.86 +6.14 88.0% 9 13 16 20 23 28 30
Rumelange 882 18 14.27 +3.73 78.0% 3 7 11 13 18 23 30
Aris Bonnevoie 773 11 22.06 -11.06 0.0% 12 13 18 22 26 30 36

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.61%
Slight Edge
43.94%22.73%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 36.99 Elo pts.
163 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.29 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.2
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
45%
Jeunesse Esch, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.27/gm
Runaway
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.52 * Some Luck: 4.52 to 6.78 * Lucky: 6.78 to 9.04 * Wild Swing: 9.04 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.06 * Close: 1.06 to 1.59 * Off: 1.59 to 2.12 * Way Off: 2.12 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.38 points
Some Luck
05.6514
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Close
01.323
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Jeunesse Esch
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Aris Bonnevoie
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 176.14
2.19
Wide Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
82%
Wide Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
48%
Few
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
28%
Very Frequent
0%31%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Lopsided
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.39
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.70
Strong Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.04
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.10
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.099
Well Within Noise
00.1420.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch45.00%29.00%16.00%7.00%2.00%1.00%——————
Grevenmacher28.00%31.00%17.00%11.00%7.00%6.00%——————
Union Luxembourg10.00%19.00%22.00%19.00%17.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%———
Avenir Beggen15.00%15.00%25.00%22.00%11.00%8.00%3.00%——1.00%——
Wiltz 71——5.00%9.00%13.00%16.00%21.00%20.00%9.00%6.00%—1.00%
Sporting Mertzig1.00%4.00%8.00%20.00%19.00%18.00%11.00%13.00%3.00%2.00%—1.00%
Hobscheid—————1.00%7.00%9.00%15.00%20.00%34.00%14.00%
Spora Luxembourg1.00%2.00%4.00%6.00%8.00%18.00%30.00%9.00%12.00%8.00%2.00%—
F91 Dudelange——2.00%5.00%19.00%19.00%13.00%16.00%16.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%
Rumelange——————1.00%—5.00%10.00%20.00%64.00%
Rodange 91———1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%15.00%18.00%22.00%25.00%9.00%
Aris Bonnevoie——1.00%—2.00%4.00%5.00%16.00%21.00%25.00%17.00%9.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Avenir Beggen 100% —
Grevenmacher 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Union Luxembourg 100% —
Sporting Mertzig 99.00% 1.00%
Wiltz 71 99.00% 1.00%
Spora Luxembourg 98.00% 2.00%
F91 Dudelange 96.00% 4.00%
Aris Bonnevoie 74.00% 26.00%
Rodange 91 66.00% 34.00%
Hobscheid 52.00% 48.00%
Rumelange 16.00% 84.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1996-09-01 Avenir Beggen D 1-152.2 1116 1127 42.04% 24.06% 33.89%+0.16 -0.6 1
1996-09-01 @ F91 Dudelange D 1-152.2 1127 1116 33.89% 24.06% 42.04%-0.16 +0.6 1
1996-09-01 Rumelange W 5-129.6 1157 801 76.07% 17.64% 6.30%+2.41 +7.3 3
1996-09-01 @ Grevenmacher L 1-529.6 801 1157 6.30% 17.64% 76.07%-2.41 -7.3 0
1996-09-01 Jeunesse Esch D 3-362.0 1136 1191 35.79% 24.09% 40.12%-0.11 +0.2 1
1996-09-01 @ Union Luxembourg D 3-362.0 1191 1136 40.12% 24.09% 35.79%+0.11 -0.2 1
1996-09-01 Wiltz 71 L 0-144.0 1003 989 45.41% 23.96% 30.63%+0.31 -15.2 0
1996-09-01 @ Rodange 91 W 1-044.0 989 1003 30.63% 23.96% 45.41%-0.31 +15.2 3
1996-09-01 Hobscheid W 1-036.5 1052 953 55.76% 23.15% 21.09%+0.84 +8.2 3
1996-09-01 @ Sporting Mertzig L 0-136.5 953 1052 21.09% 23.15% 55.76%-0.84 -8.2 0
1996-09-08 Sporting Mertzig D 2-257.4 1000 1060 35.14% 24.09% 40.77%-0.14 +0.3 1
1996-09-08 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 2-257.4 1060 1000 40.77% 24.09% 35.14%+0.14 -0.3 4
1996-09-08 Union Luxembourg D 1-152.4 944 1136 19.89% 22.98% 57.14%-0.95 +2.8 1
1996-09-08 @ Hobscheid D 1-152.4 1136 944 57.14% 22.98% 19.89%+0.95 -2.8 2
1996-09-08 F91 Dudelange W 4-032.1 1191 1115 53.18% 23.44% 23.39%+0.69 +31.9 4
1996-09-08 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-432.1 1115 1191 23.39% 23.44% 53.18%-0.69 -32.0 1
1996-09-08 Avenir Beggen D 0-049.5 794 1127 10.26% 20.23% 69.50%-1.82 +5.2 1
1996-09-08 @ Rumelange D 0-049.5 1127 794 69.50% 20.23% 10.26%+1.82 -5.2 2
1996-09-08 Spora Luxembourg W 2-147.2 1004 1057 36.05% 24.10% 39.85%-0.10 +12.9 6
1996-09-08 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-247.2 1057 1004 39.85% 24.10% 36.05%+0.10 -12.9 0
1996-09-11 Jeunesse Esch L 0-335.1 1122 1223 29.68% 23.92% 46.40%-0.39 -29.8 2
1996-09-11 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-035.1 1223 1122 46.40% 23.92% 29.68%+0.39 +29.8 7
1996-09-11 Hobscheid L 0-147.9 1083 947 59.57% 22.61% 17.82%+1.06 -19.3 1
1996-09-11 @ F91 Dudelange W 1-047.9 947 1083 17.82% 22.61% 59.57%-1.06 +19.3 4
1996-09-11 Aris Bonnevoie W 5-030.1 1134 1000 59.31% 22.65% 18.04%+1.04 +31.3 5
1996-09-11 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-530.1 1000 1134 18.04% 22.65% 59.31%-1.04 -31.3 1
1996-09-11 Grevenmacher L 0-236.1 1045 1165 27.38% 23.78% 48.84%-0.51 -19.2 0
1996-09-11 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-036.1 1165 1045 48.84% 23.78% 27.38%+0.51 +19.2 6
1996-09-11 Wiltz 71 L 1-249.8 1060 1017 49.13% 23.76% 27.11%+0.49 -15.3 4
1996-09-11 @ Sporting Mertzig W 2-149.8 1017 1060 27.11% 23.76% 49.13%-0.49 +15.3 9
1996-09-15 F91 Dudelange W 4-038.8 969 1064 30.50% 23.95% 45.54%-0.35 +54.5 4
1996-09-15 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 0-438.8 1064 969 45.54% 23.95% 30.50%+0.35 -54.5 1
1996-09-15 Sporting Mertzig W 3-138.1 1184 1044 59.95% 22.55% 17.50%+1.08 +11.3 9
1996-09-15 @ Grevenmacher L 1-338.1 1044 1184 17.50% 22.55% 59.95%-1.08 -11.3 4
1996-09-15 Avenir Beggen L 0-533.0 967 1092 26.75% 23.74% 49.51%-0.54 -44.1 4
1996-09-15 @ Hobscheid W 5-033.0 1092 967 49.51% 23.74% 26.75%+0.54 +44.1 5
1996-09-15 Spora Luxembourg D 3-361.9 988 1025 38.26% 24.11% 37.64%+0.00 -0.0 1
1996-09-15 @ Rodange 91 D 3-361.9 1025 988 37.64% 24.11% 38.26%+0.00 +0.0 1
1996-09-15 Jeunesse Esch L 0-227.6 799 1253 5.79% 17.17% 77.04%-2.56 -4.2 1
1996-09-15 @ Rumelange W 2-027.6 1253 799 77.04% 17.17% 5.79%+2.56 +4.2 10
1996-09-15 Union Luxembourg W 2-043.0 1032 1165 25.95% 23.68% 50.37%-0.59 +31.3 12
1996-09-15 @ Wiltz 71 L 0-243.0 1165 1032 50.37% 23.68% 25.95%+0.59 -31.3 5
1996-09-21 Rodange 91 W 3-136.3 1195 988 66.01% 21.26% 12.73%+1.50 +8.3 12
1996-09-21 @ Grevenmacher L 1-336.3 988 1195 12.73% 21.26% 66.01%-1.50 -8.3 1
1996-09-29 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-138.9 1136 1024 57.21% 22.97% 19.83%+0.92 +12.6 8
1996-09-29 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-338.9 1024 1136 19.83% 22.97% 57.21%-0.92 -12.6 4
1996-09-29 Wiltz 71 L 1-344.1 1009 1064 35.89% 24.09% 40.02%-0.11 -20.6 1
1996-09-29 @ F91 Dudelange W 3-144.1 1064 1009 40.02% 24.09% 35.89%+0.11 +20.6 15
1996-09-29 Hobscheid W 3-133.7 1257 922 74.80% 18.21% 6.99%+2.28 +4.5 13
1996-09-29 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-333.7 922 1257 6.99% 18.21% 74.80%-2.28 -4.5 4
1996-09-29 Grevenmacher L 1-245.4 1134 1204 33.74% 24.06% 42.20%-0.20 -11.3 5
1996-09-29 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-145.4 1204 1134 42.20% 24.06% 33.74%+0.20 +11.4 15
1996-09-29 Rumelange D 1-153.1 1025 795 67.81% 20.76% 11.43%+1.64 -4.4 2
1996-09-29 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.1 795 1025 11.43% 20.76% 67.81%-1.64 +4.4 2
1996-09-29 Rodange 91 W 5-032.7 1033 979 50.52% 23.67% 25.81%+0.56 +42.8 7
1996-09-29 @ Sporting Mertzig L 0-532.7 979 1033 25.81% 23.67% 50.52%-0.56 -42.8 1
1996-10-13 Rumelange L 2-455.2 936 799 59.70% 22.59% 17.71%+1.07 -28.3 1
1996-10-13 @ Rodange 91 W 4-255.2 799 936 17.71% 22.59% 59.70%-1.07 +28.3 5
1996-10-20 Jeunesse Esch L 0-134.5 1011 1262 15.15% 22.00% 62.85%-1.31 -6.0 4
1996-10-20 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 1-034.5 1262 1011 62.85% 22.00% 15.15%+1.31 +6.0 16
1996-10-20 F91 Dudelange W 3-135.9 1215 989 67.48% 20.85% 11.67%+1.62 +7.6 18
1996-10-20 @ Grevenmacher L 1-335.9 989 1215 11.67% 20.85% 67.48%-1.62 -7.6 1
1996-10-20 Rumelange W 1-036.8 918 828 54.81% 23.27% 21.92%+0.78 +8.5 7
1996-10-20 @ Hobscheid L 0-136.8 828 918 21.92% 23.27% 54.81%-0.78 -8.4 5
1996-10-20 Union Luxembourg L 0-232.9 908 1122 17.95% 22.64% 59.41%-1.09 -13.3 1
1996-10-20 @ Rodange 91 W 2-032.9 1122 908 59.41% 22.64% 17.95%+1.09 +13.3 8
1996-10-20 Sporting Mertzig D 2-257.4 1021 1076 35.83% 24.09% 40.07%-0.11 +0.2 3
1996-10-20 @ Spora Luxembourg D 2-257.4 1076 1021 40.07% 24.09% 35.83%+0.11 -0.2 8
1996-10-20 Avenir Beggen L 0-535.5 1084 1149 34.50% 24.07% 41.43%-0.17 -54.0 15
1996-10-20 @ Wiltz 71 W 5-035.5 1149 1084 41.43% 24.07% 34.50%+0.17 +54.0 11
1996-10-27 Grevenmacher L 1-345.8 1203 1223 40.82% 24.08% 35.09%+0.11 -22.8 11
1996-10-27 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-145.8 1223 1203 35.09% 24.08% 40.82%-0.11 +22.8 21
1996-10-27 Rodange 91 W 1-036.9 981 895 54.33% 23.32% 22.36%+0.76 +8.6 4
1996-10-27 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-136.9 895 981 22.36% 23.32% 54.33%-0.76 -8.6 1
1996-10-27 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-148.2 926 1005 32.62% 24.03% 43.35%-0.25 +13.8 10
1996-10-27 @ Hobscheid L 1-248.2 1005 926 43.35% 24.03% 32.62%+0.25 -13.8 4
1996-10-27 Wiltz 71 W 3-135.7 1268 1030 68.32% 20.61% 11.08%+1.68 +7.2 19
1996-10-27 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-335.7 1030 1268 11.08% 20.61% 68.32%-1.68 -7.2 15
1996-10-27 Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.5 1136 1021 57.39% 22.94% 19.67%+0.93 -2.8 9
1996-10-27 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-152.5 1021 1136 19.67% 22.94% 57.39%-0.93 +2.8 4
1996-10-27 Sporting Mertzig L 2-344.2 819 1076 14.74% 21.88% 63.38%-1.35 -5.3 5
1996-10-27 @ Rumelange W 3-244.2 1076 819 63.38% 21.88% 14.74%+1.35 +5.3 11
1996-11-24 Rumelange W 2-138.9 991 814 63.44% 21.87% 14.69%+1.31 +5.5 7
1996-11-24 @ Aris Bonnevoie L 1-238.9 814 991 14.69% 21.87% 63.44%-1.31 -5.5 5
1996-11-24 Jeunesse Esch D 0-048.9 1245 1275 39.45% 24.10% 36.46%+0.05 -0.2 22
1996-11-24 @ Grevenmacher D 0-048.9 1275 1245 36.46% 24.10% 39.45%-0.05 +0.2 20
1996-11-24 Avenir Beggen L 1-238.0 886 1180 12.37% 21.12% 66.51%-1.58 -4.7 1
1996-11-24 @ Rodange 91 W 2-138.0 1180 886 66.51% 21.12% 12.37%+1.58 +4.7 14
1996-11-24 F91 Dudelange L 0-144.8 1024 990 48.10% 23.83% 28.07%+0.44 -16.0 4
1996-11-24 @ Spora Luxembourg W 1-044.8 990 1024 28.07% 23.83% 48.10%-0.44 +16.0 7
1996-11-24 Union Luxembourg L 1-246.1 1081 1133 36.25% 24.10% 39.65%-0.09 -12.0 11
1996-11-24 @ Sporting Mertzig W 2-146.1 1133 1081 39.65% 24.10% 36.25%+0.09 +12.0 12
1996-11-24 Hobscheid W 1-037.0 1023 940 53.94% 23.36% 22.70%+0.73 +8.7 18
1996-11-24 @ Wiltz 71 L 0-137.0 940 1023 22.70% 23.36% 53.94%-0.73 -8.7 10
1996-12-08 Wiltz 71 D 0-048.4 997 1032 38.64% 24.10% 37.26%+0.01 -0.1 8
1996-12-08 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 0-048.4 1032 997 37.26% 24.10% 38.64%-0.01 +0.1 19
1996-12-08 Spora Luxembourg W 1-034.3 1185 1008 63.39% 21.88% 14.73%+1.31 +5.9 17
1996-12-08 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-134.3 1008 1185 14.73% 21.88% 63.39%-1.31 -5.9 4
1996-12-08 Sporting Mertzig D 1-152.1 1005 1069 34.66% 24.08% 41.27%-0.16 +0.5 8
1996-12-08 @ F91 Dudelange D 1-152.1 1069 1005 41.27% 24.08% 34.66%+0.16 -0.5 12
1996-12-08 Grevenmacher L 0-427.6 932 1245 11.27% 20.69% 68.04%-1.70 -16.2 10
1996-12-08 @ Hobscheid W 4-027.6 1245 932 68.04% 20.69% 11.27%+1.70 +16.2 25
1996-12-08 Rodange 91 W 2-027.3 1275 881 78.08% 16.65% 5.27%+2.64 +3.8 23
1996-12-08 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-227.3 881 1275 5.27% 16.65% 78.08%-2.64 -3.8 1
1997-02-02 Rodange 91 L 0-245.0 997 878 57.85% 22.88% 19.27%+0.96 -35.5 8
1997-02-02 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-045.0 878 997 19.27% 22.88% 57.85%-0.96 +35.5 4
1997-02-02 Union Luxembourg W 1-038.5 1191 1145 49.55% 23.74% 26.72%+0.51 +10.0 20
1997-02-02 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-138.5 1145 1191 26.72% 23.74% 49.55%-0.51 -10.0 12
1997-02-02 Spora Luxembourg W 3-146.6 915 1002 31.52% 24.00% 44.48%-0.31 +24.4 13
1997-02-02 @ Hobscheid L 1-346.6 1002 915 44.48% 24.00% 31.52%+0.31 -24.4 4
1997-02-02 Sporting Mertzig W 2-031.0 1279 1068 66.23% 21.20% 12.57%+1.52 +9.5 26
1997-02-02 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-231.0 1068 1279 12.57% 21.20% 66.23%-1.52 -9.5 12
1997-02-02 F91 Dudelange L 0-331.5 808 1006 19.36% 22.89% 57.74%-0.99 -20.8 5
1997-02-02 @ Rumelange W 3-031.5 1006 808 57.74% 22.89% 19.36%+0.99 +20.8 11
1997-02-05 Aris Bonnevoie D 1-152.1 978 961 45.80% 23.94% 30.26%+0.33 -1.1 5
1997-02-05 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.1 961 978 30.26% 23.94% 45.80%-0.33 +1.1 9
1997-02-09 Aris Bonnevoie D 3-363.4 1261 962 72.61% 19.12% 8.27%+2.06 -3.2 26
1997-02-09 @ Grevenmacher D 3-363.4 962 1261 8.27% 19.12% 72.61%-2.06 +3.2 10
1997-02-09 F91 Dudelange D 1-152.4 1135 1027 56.72% 23.03% 20.25%+0.89 -2.7 13
1997-02-09 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-152.4 1027 1135 20.25% 23.03% 56.72%-0.89 +2.7 12
1997-02-09 Jeunesse Esch L 0-230.4 977 1288 11.37% 20.73% 67.90%-1.69 -8.6 5
1997-02-09 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-030.4 1288 977 67.90% 20.73% 11.37%+1.69 +8.6 29
1997-02-09 Rumelange W 2-137.3 1032 788 68.84% 20.44% 10.72%+1.73 +4.1 22
1997-02-09 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-237.3 788 1032 10.72% 20.44% 68.84%-1.73 -4.0 5
1997-02-16 Spora Luxembourg L 0-339.0 965 968 43.18% 24.04% 32.78%+0.21 -39.9 10
1997-02-16 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-039.0 968 965 32.78% 24.04% 43.18%-0.21 +40.0 8
1997-02-16 F91 Dudelange W 3-137.3 1201 1029 62.90% 21.99% 15.12%+1.28 +9.8 23
1997-02-16 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-337.3 1029 1201 15.12% 21.99% 62.90%-1.28 -9.9 12
1997-02-16 Sporting Mertzig D 1-152.2 940 1059 27.51% 23.79% 48.70%-0.50 +1.5 14
1997-02-16 @ Hobscheid D 1-152.2 1059 940 48.70% 23.79% 27.51%+0.50 -1.5 13
1997-02-16 Union Luxembourg D 1-153.0 1297 1132 62.34% 22.10% 15.56%+1.24 -3.6 30
1997-02-16 @ Jeunesse Esch D 1-153.0 1132 1297 15.56% 22.10% 62.34%-1.24 +3.6 14
1997-02-16 Grevenmacher L 1-430.6 783 1258 5.24% 16.61% 78.14%-2.69 -4.6 5
1997-02-16 @ Rumelange W 4-130.6 1258 783 78.14% 16.61% 5.24%+2.69 +4.6 29
1997-02-16 Rodange 91 D 2-257.8 1036 913 58.25% 22.82% 18.93%+0.98 -2.2 23
1997-02-16 @ Wiltz 71 D 2-257.8 913 1036 18.93% 22.82% 58.25%-0.98 +2.2 5
1997-02-23 Rumelange W 5-128.4 1210 779 79.98% 15.63% 4.39%+2.88 +4.9 26
1997-02-23 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-528.4 779 1210 4.39% 15.63% 79.98%-2.88 -4.9 5
1997-02-23 Jeunesse Esch D 2-258.3 1020 1293 13.59% 21.54% 64.86%-1.45 +3.0 13
1997-02-23 @ F91 Dudelange D 2-258.3 1293 1020 64.86% 21.54% 13.59%+1.45 -3.0 31
1997-02-23 Hobscheid D 2-258.2 1136 941 64.90% 21.53% 13.57%+1.42 -3.0 15
1997-02-23 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-258.2 941 1136 13.57% 21.53% 64.90%-1.42 +3.0 15
1997-02-23 Grevenmacher D 1-153.4 915 1263 9.61% 19.90% 70.49%-1.90 +4.8 6
1997-02-23 @ Rodange 91 D 1-153.4 1263 915 70.49% 19.90% 9.61%+1.90 -4.8 30
1997-02-23 Wiltz 71 W 2-146.0 1008 1034 39.98% 24.10% 35.92%+0.07 +11.9 11
1997-02-23 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-246.0 1034 1008 35.92% 24.10% 39.98%-0.07 -11.9 23
1997-02-23 Aris Bonnevoie W 5-134.6 1057 925 59.19% 22.67% 18.14%+1.04 +21.3 16
1997-02-23 @ Sporting Mertzig L 1-534.6 925 1057 18.14% 22.67% 59.19%-1.04 -21.3 10
1997-03-02 Union Luxembourg L 1-239.7 904 1133 16.79% 22.40% 60.81%-1.18 -6.3 10
1997-03-02 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 2-139.7 1133 904 60.81% 22.40% 16.79%+1.18 +6.3 18
1997-03-02 Spora Luxembourg W 3-028.4 1258 1020 68.37% 20.59% 11.04%+1.69 +12.1 33
1997-03-02 @ Grevenmacher L 0-328.4 1020 1258 11.04% 20.59% 68.37%-1.69 -12.1 11
1997-03-02 F91 Dudelange L 1-441.1 944 1023 32.64% 24.03% 43.33%-0.25 -27.1 15
1997-03-02 @ Hobscheid W 4-141.1 1023 944 43.33% 24.03% 32.64%+0.25 +27.1 16
1997-03-02 Avenir Beggen W 2-142.5 1290 1215 53.05% 23.45% 23.50%+0.69 +8.4 34
1997-03-02 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-242.5 1215 1290 23.50% 23.45% 53.05%-0.69 -8.5 26
1997-03-02 Rodange 91 W 4-146.7 774 920 24.43% 23.54% 52.03%-0.67 +39.5 8
1997-03-02 @ Rumelange L 1-446.7 920 774 52.03% 23.54% 24.43%+0.67 -39.5 6
1997-03-02 Sporting Mertzig D 1-152.1 1022 1079 35.55% 24.09% 40.36%-0.12 +0.3 24
1997-03-02 @ Wiltz 71 D 1-152.1 1079 1022 40.36% 24.09% 35.55%+0.12 -0.3 17
1997-03-08 Hobscheid W 2-039.2 881 917 38.45% 24.10% 37.44%+0.00 +24.6 9
1997-03-08 @ Rodange 91 L 0-239.2 917 881 37.44% 24.10% 38.45%+0.00 -24.6 15
1997-03-08 Union Luxembourg L 0-627.6 813 1139 10.66% 20.42% 68.93%-1.77 -22.4 8
1997-03-08 @ Rumelange W 6-027.6 1139 813 68.93% 20.42% 10.66%+1.77 +22.4 21
1997-03-08 Avenir Beggen W 4-146.2 1078 1207 26.40% 23.71% 49.89%-0.56 +38.0 20
1997-03-08 @ Sporting Mertzig L 1-446.2 1207 1078 49.89% 23.71% 26.40%+0.56 -38.0 26
1997-03-08 Grevenmacher L 1-337.4 1022 1270 15.34% 22.05% 62.61%-1.29 -10.0 24
1997-03-08 @ Wiltz 71 W 3-137.4 1270 1022 62.61% 22.05% 15.34%+1.29 +10.0 36
1997-03-16 Hobscheid D 1-153.4 1169 893 71.10% 19.69% 9.22%+1.92 -4.9 27
1997-03-16 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-153.4 893 1169 9.22% 19.69% 71.10%-1.92 +4.9 16
1997-03-16 Aris Bonnevoie W 2-139.6 1050 898 61.12% 22.34% 16.54%+1.16 +6.2 19
1997-03-16 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-239.6 898 1050 16.54% 22.34% 61.12%-1.16 -6.2 10
1997-03-16 Rumelange W 7-023.8 1299 791 83.36% 13.61% 3.03%+3.34 +6.6 37
1997-03-16 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-723.8 791 1299 3.03% 13.61% 83.36%-3.34 -6.6 8
1997-03-16 Wiltz 71 L 1-253.0 1161 1012 60.86% 22.39% 16.75%+1.14 -18.6 21
1997-03-16 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-153.0 1012 1161 16.75% 22.39% 60.86%-1.14 +18.6 27
1997-03-16 Rodange 91 W 1-036.4 1008 905 56.12% 23.11% 20.77%+0.86 +8.1 14
1997-03-16 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-136.4 905 1008 20.77% 23.11% 56.12%-0.86 -8.1 9
1997-03-16 Grevenmacher W 3-042.3 1116 1280 22.60% 23.35% 54.05%-0.78 +48.4 23
1997-03-16 @ Sporting Mertzig L 0-342.3 1280 1116 54.05% 23.35% 22.60%+0.78 -48.4 36
1997-04-09 Avenir Beggen L 0-428.5 892 1164 13.69% 21.57% 64.74%-1.44 -19.6 10
1997-04-09 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 4-028.5 1164 892 64.74% 21.57% 13.69%+1.44 +19.6 30
1997-04-09 Union Luxembourg L 0-244.3 1232 1143 54.63% 23.29% 22.08%+0.77 -33.7 36
1997-04-09 @ Grevenmacher W 2-044.3 1143 1232 22.08% 23.29% 54.63%-0.77 +33.7 24
1997-04-09 Jeunesse Esch L 0-228.5 898 1305 7.21% 18.38% 74.40%-2.28 -5.3 16
1997-04-09 @ Hobscheid W 2-028.5 1305 898 74.40% 18.38% 7.21%+2.28 +5.3 40
1997-04-09 Sporting Mertzig D 1-152.8 897 1165 14.00% 21.67% 64.33%-1.41 +3.9 10
1997-04-09 @ Rodange 91 D 1-152.8 1165 897 64.33% 21.67% 14.00%+1.41 -3.9 24
1997-04-09 Spora Luxembourg L 3-737.3 785 1016 16.58% 22.35% 61.07%-1.19 -15.2 8
1997-04-09 @ Rumelange W 7-337.3 1016 785 61.07% 22.35% 16.58%+1.19 +15.2 17
1997-04-09 F91 Dudelange W 3-144.1 1031 1056 40.06% 24.09% 35.84%+0.07 +20.6 30
1997-04-09 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-344.1 1056 1031 35.84% 24.09% 40.06%-0.07 -20.6 19
1997-04-13 Wiltz 71 W 5-030.2 1184 1051 59.21% 22.67% 18.12%+1.04 +31.5 33
1997-04-13 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-530.2 1051 1184 18.12% 22.67% 59.21%-1.04 -31.5 30
1997-04-13 Grevenmacher L 0-137.1 1035 1198 22.70% 23.36% 53.94%-0.77 -8.7 19
1997-04-13 @ F91 Dudelange W 1-037.1 1198 1035 53.94% 23.36% 22.70%+0.77 +8.7 39
1997-04-13 Aris Bonnevoie W 1-029.2 1311 872 80.32% 15.43% 4.24%+2.92 +1.6 43
1997-04-13 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-129.2 872 1311 4.24% 15.43% 80.32%-2.92 -1.6 10
1997-04-13 Rodange 91 W 2-029.5 1176 901 71.02% 19.71% 9.27%+1.92 +7.0 27
1997-04-13 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-229.5 901 1176 9.27% 19.71% 71.02%-1.92 -7.0 10
1997-04-13 Hobscheid W 4-039.8 769 892 27.07% 23.76% 49.17%-0.53 +58.2 11
1997-04-13 @ Rumelange L 0-439.8 892 769 49.17% 23.76% 27.07%+0.53 -58.2 16
1997-04-13 Spora Luxembourg L 1-448.6 1161 1031 58.97% 22.71% 18.32%+1.02 -44.2 24
1997-04-13 @ Sporting Mertzig W 4-148.6 1031 1161 18.32% 22.71% 58.97%-1.02 +44.2 20
1997-04-16 Hobscheid D 1-152.2 870 834 48.36% 23.81% 27.83%+0.45 -1.5 11
1997-04-16 @ Aris Bonnevoie D 1-152.2 834 870 27.83% 23.81% 48.36%-0.45 +1.5 17
1997-04-16 Avenir Beggen D 3-362.1 1207 1215 42.41% 24.05% 33.54%+0.18 -0.4 40
1997-04-16 @ Grevenmacher D 3-362.1 1215 1207 33.54% 24.05% 42.41%-0.18 +0.4 34
1997-04-16 F91 Dudelange W 2-150.2 894 1027 25.97% 23.68% 50.35%-0.58 +15.6 13
1997-04-16 @ Rodange 91 L 1-250.2 1027 894 50.35% 23.68% 25.97%+0.58 -15.6 19
1997-04-16 Union Luxembourg L 1-341.9 1075 1183 28.84% 23.87% 47.29%-0.44 -17.4 20
1997-04-16 @ Spora Luxembourg W 3-141.9 1183 1075 47.29% 23.87% 28.84%+0.44 +17.4 30
1997-04-16 Rumelange W 2-136.4 1117 828 71.96% 19.37% 8.67%+2.00 +3.2 27
1997-04-16 @ Sporting Mertzig L 1-236.4 828 1117 8.67% 19.37% 71.96%-2.00 -3.2 11
1997-04-16 Jeunesse Esch L 0-428.1 1020 1312 12.45% 21.15% 66.40%-1.57 -17.9 30
1997-04-16 @ Wiltz 71 W 4-028.1 1312 1020 66.40% 21.15% 12.45%+1.57 +17.9 46
1997-05-03 Hobscheid W 6-128.2 1206 835 76.86% 17.26% 5.88%+2.50 +8.3 43
1997-05-03 @ Grevenmacher L 1-628.2 835 1206 5.88% 17.26% 76.86%-2.50 -8.3 17
1997-05-03 Rumelange D 2-259.5 1201 824 77.17% 17.11% 5.73%+2.54 -4.2 31
1997-05-03 @ Union Luxembourg D 2-259.5 824 1201 5.73% 17.11% 77.17%-2.54 +4.2 12
1997-05-03 Jeunesse Esch L 0-130.7 910 1330 6.80% 18.06% 75.14%-2.35 -2.6 13
1997-05-03 @ Rodange 91 W 1-030.7 1330 910 75.14% 18.06% 6.80%+2.35 +2.6 49
1997-05-03 Avenir Beggen W 3-041.9 1058 1215 23.24% 23.42% 53.34%-0.74 +47.8 23
1997-05-03 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-341.9 1215 1058 53.34% 23.42% 23.24%+0.74 -47.9 34
1997-05-03 F91 Dudelange W 6-341.9 1120 1011 56.82% 23.02% 20.16%+0.90 +14.5 30
1997-05-03 @ Sporting Mertzig L 3-641.9 1011 1120 20.16% 23.02% 56.82%-0.90 -14.5 19
1997-05-03 Aris Bonnevoie W 5-030.1 1002 869 59.29% 22.66% 18.05%+1.04 +31.4 33
1997-05-03 @ Wiltz 71 L 0-530.1 869 1002 18.05% 22.66% 59.29%-1.04 -31.4 11
1997-05-10 Grevenmacher L 1-334.3 838 1215 8.35% 19.17% 72.47%-2.09 -5.4 11
1997-05-10 @ Aris Bonnevoie W 3-134.3 1215 838 72.47% 19.17% 8.35%+2.09 +5.4 46
1997-05-10 Sporting Mertzig D 2-257.6 1168 1134 47.93% 23.84% 28.23%+0.43 -1.0 35
1997-05-10 @ Avenir Beggen D 2-257.6 1134 1168 28.23% 23.84% 47.93%-0.43 +1.0 31
1997-05-10 Union Luxembourg L 0-233.4 996 1196 19.15% 22.86% 57.99%-1.00 -14.1 19
1997-05-10 @ F91 Dudelange W 2-033.4 1196 996 57.99% 22.86% 19.15%+1.00 +14.1 34
1997-05-10 Rodange 91 W 4-250.8 827 907 32.40% 24.02% 43.57%-0.26 +21.5 20
1997-05-10 @ Hobscheid L 2-450.8 907 827 43.57% 24.02% 32.40%+0.26 -21.5 13
1997-05-10 Spora Luxembourg W 4-134.1 1333 1106 67.54% 20.84% 11.63%+1.62 +10.8 52
1997-05-10 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-434.1 1106 1333 11.63% 20.84% 67.54%-1.62 -10.8 23
1997-05-10 Wiltz 71 L 1-338.5 829 1033 18.74% 22.78% 58.48%-1.03 -12.0 12
1997-05-10 @ Rumelange W 3-138.5 1033 829 58.48% 22.78% 18.74%+1.03 +12.0 36
1997-05-17 Rodange 91 W 1-031.8 1166 886 71.40% 19.58% 9.02%+1.95 +3.6 38
1997-05-17 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-131.8 886 1166 9.02% 19.58% 71.40%-1.95 -3.6 13
1997-05-17 Spora Luxembourg W 2-149.5 982 1095 28.26% 23.84% 47.90%-0.47 +15.0 22
1997-05-17 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-249.5 1095 982 47.90% 23.84% 28.26%+0.47 -15.0 23
1997-05-17 Wiltz 71 W 2-152.1 849 1045 19.45% 22.91% 57.64%-0.98 +17.7 23
1997-05-17 @ Hobscheid L 1-252.1 1045 849 57.64% 22.91% 19.45%+0.98 -17.7 36
1997-05-17 Grevenmacher D 0-049.5 1344 1220 58.35% 22.80% 18.85%+0.99 -3.3 53
1997-05-17 @ Jeunesse Esch D 0-049.5 1220 1344 18.85% 22.80% 58.35%-0.99 +3.3 47
1997-05-17 Sporting Mertzig D 1-152.4 1211 1135 53.06% 23.45% 23.49%+0.69 -2.2 35
1997-05-17 @ Union Luxembourg D 1-152.4 1135 1211 23.49% 23.45% 53.06%-0.69 +2.2 32
1997-05-17 Aris Bonnevoie W 3-036.4 816 832 41.39% 24.08% 34.53%+0.13 +33.6 15
1997-05-17 @ Rumelange L 0-336.4 832 816 34.53% 24.08% 41.39%-0.13 -33.6 11
1997-05-25 Rumelange L 1-351.0 997 850 60.67% 22.42% 16.91%+1.13 -32.1 22
1997-05-25 @ F91 Dudelange W 3-151.0 850 997 16.91% 22.42% 60.67%-1.13 +32.1 18
1997-05-25 Wiltz 71 W 4-028.5 1223 1028 65.01% 21.51% 13.48%+1.43 +19.3 50
1997-05-25 @ Grevenmacher L 0-428.5 1028 1223 13.48% 21.51% 65.01%-1.43 -19.3 36
1997-05-25 Avenir Beggen W 4-139.7 1208 1170 48.60% 23.80% 27.61%+0.46 +23.7 38
1997-05-25 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-439.7 1170 1208 27.61% 23.80% 48.60%-0.46 -23.7 38
1997-05-25 Aris Bonnevoie W 5-136.2 882 799 54.03% 23.35% 22.62%+0.74 +25.9 16
1997-05-25 @ Rodange 91 L 1-536.2 799 882 22.62% 23.35% 54.03%-0.74 -25.9 11
1997-05-25 Hobscheid L 0-247.0 1080 866 66.49% 21.13% 12.38%+1.54 -40.3 23
1997-05-25 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-047.0 866 1080 12.38% 21.13% 66.49%-1.54 +40.3 26
1997-05-25 Jeunesse Esch L 1-733.5 1138 1340 18.93% 22.82% 58.25%-1.02 -32.1 32
1997-05-25 @ Sporting Mertzig W 7-133.5 1340 1138 58.25% 22.82% 18.93%+1.02 +32.1 56

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1997-05-25 12.38% Hobscheid 866 2 @ Spora Luxembourg 1080 0
2 1997-03-16 16.75% Wiltz 71 1012 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1161 1
3 1997-05-25 16.91% Rumelange 850 3 @ F91 Dudelange 997 1
4 1996-10-13 17.71% Rumelange 799 4 @ Rodange 91 936 2
5 1996-09-11 17.82% Hobscheid 947 1 @ F91 Dudelange 1083 0
6 1997-04-13 18.32% Spora Luxembourg 1031 4 @ Sporting Mertzig 1161 1
7 1997-02-02 19.27% Rodange 91 878 2 @ Aris Bonnevoie 997 0
8 1997-05-17 19.45% @ Hobscheid 849 2 Wiltz 71 1045 1
9 1997-04-09 22.08% Union Luxembourg 1143 2 @ Grevenmacher 1232 0
10 1997-03-16 22.60% @ Sporting Mertzig 1116 3 Grevenmacher 1280 0
11 1997-05-03 23.24% @ Spora Luxembourg 1058 3 Avenir Beggen 1215 0
12 1997-03-02 24.43% @ Rumelange 774 4 Rodange 91 920 1
13 1996-09-15 25.95% @ Wiltz 71 1032 2 Union Luxembourg 1165 0
14 1997-04-16 25.97% @ Rodange 91 894 2 F91 Dudelange 1027 1
15 1997-03-08 26.40% @ Sporting Mertzig 1078 4 Avenir Beggen 1207 1
16 1997-04-13 27.07% @ Rumelange 769 4 Hobscheid 892 0
17 1996-09-11 27.11% Wiltz 71 1017 2 @ Sporting Mertzig 1060 1
18 1996-11-24 28.07% F91 Dudelange 990 1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1024 0
19 1997-05-17 28.26% @ F91 Dudelange 982 2 Spora Luxembourg 1095 1
20 1996-09-15 30.50% @ Aris Bonnevoie 969 4 F91 Dudelange 1064 0
21 1996-09-01 30.63% Wiltz 71 989 1 @ Rodange 91 1003 0
22 1997-02-02 31.52% @ Hobscheid 915 3 Spora Luxembourg 1002 1
23 1997-05-10 32.40% @ Hobscheid 827 4 Rodange 91 907 2
24 1996-10-27 32.62% @ Hobscheid 926 2 Aris Bonnevoie 1005 1
25 1997-02-16 32.78% Spora Luxembourg 968 3 @ Aris Bonnevoie 965 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-04-13 58.19 @ Rumelange 4 769 27.07% Hobscheid 0 892 49.17% 23.76%
2 1996-09-15 54.52 @ Aris Bonnevoie 4 969 30.50% F91 Dudelange 0 1064 45.54% 23.95%
3 1996-10-20 54.02 Avenir Beggen 5 1149 41.43% @ Wiltz 71 0 1084 34.50% 24.07%
4 1997-03-16 48.42 @ Sporting Mertzig 3 1116 22.60% Grevenmacher 0 1280 54.05% 23.35%
5 1997-05-03 47.86 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 1058 23.24% Avenir Beggen 0 1215 53.34% 23.42%
6 1997-04-13 44.23 Spora Luxembourg 4 1031 18.32% @ Sporting Mertzig 1 1161 58.97% 22.71%
7 1996-09-15 44.09 Avenir Beggen 5 1092 49.51% @ Hobscheid 0 967 26.75% 23.74%
8 1996-09-29 42.80 @ Sporting Mertzig 5 1033 50.52% Rodange 91 0 979 25.81% 23.67%
9 1997-05-25 40.33 Hobscheid 2 866 12.38% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 1080 66.49% 21.13%
10 1997-02-16 39.95 Spora Luxembourg 3 968 32.78% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 965 43.18% 24.04%
11 1997-03-02 39.46 @ Rumelange 4 774 24.43% Rodange 91 1 920 52.03% 23.54%
12 1997-03-08 38.03 @ Sporting Mertzig 4 1078 26.40% Avenir Beggen 1 1207 49.89% 23.71%
13 1997-02-02 35.48 Rodange 91 2 878 19.27% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 997 57.85% 22.88%
14 1997-04-09 33.67 Union Luxembourg 2 1143 22.08% @ Grevenmacher 0 1232 54.63% 23.29%
15 1997-05-17 33.57 @ Rumelange 3 816 41.39% Aris Bonnevoie 0 832 34.53% 24.08%
16 1997-05-25 32.11 Rumelange 3 850 16.91% @ F91 Dudelange 1 997 60.67% 22.42%
17 1997-05-25 32.08 Jeunesse Esch 7 1340 58.25% @ Sporting Mertzig 1 1138 18.93% 22.82%
18 1996-09-08 31.95 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1191 53.18% F91 Dudelange 0 1115 23.39% 23.44%
19 1997-04-13 31.46 @ Avenir Beggen 5 1184 59.21% Wiltz 71 0 1051 18.12% 22.67%
20 1997-05-03 31.36 @ Wiltz 71 5 1002 59.29% Aris Bonnevoie 0 869 18.05% 22.66%
21 1996-09-11 31.34 @ Union Luxembourg 5 1134 59.31% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1000 18.04% 22.65%
22 1996-09-15 31.32 @ Wiltz 71 2 1032 25.95% Union Luxembourg 0 1165 50.37% 23.68%
23 1996-09-11 29.80 Jeunesse Esch 3 1223 46.40% @ Avenir Beggen 0 1122 29.68% 23.92%
24 1996-10-13 28.30 Rumelange 4 799 17.71% @ Rodange 91 2 936 59.70% 22.59%
25 1997-03-02 27.10 F91 Dudelange 4 1023 43.33% @ Hobscheid 1 944 32.64% 24.03%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-02-09 63.4 @ Grevenmacher 3 1261 72.61% Aris Bonnevoie 3 962 8.27% 19.12%
2 1997-04-16 62.1 @ Grevenmacher 3 1207 42.41% Avenir Beggen 3 1215 33.54% 24.05%
3 1996-09-01 62.0 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1136 35.79% Jeunesse Esch 3 1191 40.12% 24.09%
4 1996-09-15 61.9 @ Rodange 91 3 988 38.26% Spora Luxembourg 3 1025 37.64% 24.11%
5 1997-05-03 59.5 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1201 77.17% Rumelange 2 824 5.73% 17.11%
6 1997-02-23 58.3 @ F91 Dudelange 2 1020 13.59% Jeunesse Esch 2 1293 64.86% 21.54%
7 1997-02-23 58.2 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1136 64.90% Hobscheid 2 941 13.57% 21.53%
8 1997-02-16 57.8 @ Wiltz 71 2 1036 58.25% Rodange 91 2 913 18.93% 22.82%
9 1997-05-10 57.6 @ Avenir Beggen 2 1168 47.93% Sporting Mertzig 2 1134 28.23% 23.84%
10 1996-09-08 57.4 @ Aris Bonnevoie 2 1000 35.14% Sporting Mertzig 2 1060 40.77% 24.09%
11 1996-10-20 57.4 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 1021 35.83% Sporting Mertzig 2 1076 40.07% 24.09%
12 1996-10-13 55.2 Rumelange 4 799 17.71% @ Rodange 91 2 936 59.70% 22.59%
13 1997-02-23 53.4 @ Rodange 91 1 915 9.61% Grevenmacher 1 1263 70.49% 19.90%
14 1997-03-16 53.4 @ Avenir Beggen 1 1169 71.10% Hobscheid 1 893 9.22% 19.69%
15 1996-09-29 53.1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 1025 67.81% Rumelange 1 795 11.43% 20.76%
16 1997-02-16 53.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1297 62.34% Union Luxembourg 1 1132 15.56% 22.10%
17 1997-03-16 53.0 Wiltz 71 2 1012 16.75% @ Union Luxembourg 1 1161 60.86% 22.39%
18 1997-04-09 52.8 @ Rodange 91 1 897 14.00% Sporting Mertzig 1 1165 64.33% 21.67%
19 1996-10-27 52.5 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1136 57.39% Spora Luxembourg 1 1021 19.67% 22.94%
20 1996-09-08 52.4 @ Hobscheid 1 944 19.89% Union Luxembourg 1 1136 57.14% 22.98%
21 1997-02-09 52.4 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1135 56.72% F91 Dudelange 1 1027 20.25% 23.03%
22 1997-05-17 52.4 @ Union Luxembourg 1 1211 53.06% Sporting Mertzig 1 1135 23.49% 23.45%
23 1996-09-01 52.2 @ F91 Dudelange 1 1116 42.04% Avenir Beggen 1 1127 33.89% 24.06%
24 1997-02-16 52.2 @ Hobscheid 1 940 27.51% Sporting Mertzig 1 1059 48.70% 23.79%
25 1997-04-16 52.2 @ Aris Bonnevoie 1 870 48.36% Hobscheid 1 834 27.83% 23.81%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-03-16 23.8 @ Jeunesse Esch 7 1299 83.36% Rumelange 0 791 3.03% 13.61%
2 1996-12-08 27.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1275 78.08% Rodange 91 0 881 5.27% 16.65%
3 1996-09-15 27.6 Jeunesse Esch 2 1253 77.04% @ Rumelange 0 799 5.79% 17.17%
4 1996-12-08 27.6 Grevenmacher 4 1245 68.04% @ Hobscheid 0 932 11.27% 20.69%
5 1997-03-08 27.6 Union Luxembourg 6 1139 68.93% @ Rumelange 0 813 10.66% 20.42%
6 1997-04-16 28.1 Jeunesse Esch 4 1312 66.40% @ Wiltz 71 0 1020 12.45% 21.15%
7 1997-05-03 28.2 @ Grevenmacher 6 1206 76.86% Hobscheid 1 835 5.88% 17.26%
8 1997-02-23 28.4 @ Avenir Beggen 5 1210 79.98% Rumelange 1 779 4.39% 15.63%
9 1997-03-02 28.4 @ Grevenmacher 3 1258 68.37% Spora Luxembourg 0 1020 11.04% 20.59%
10 1997-04-09 28.5 Avenir Beggen 4 1164 64.74% @ Aris Bonnevoie 0 892 13.69% 21.57%
11 1997-04-09 28.5 Jeunesse Esch 2 1305 74.40% @ Hobscheid 0 898 7.21% 18.38%
12 1997-05-25 28.5 @ Grevenmacher 4 1223 65.01% Wiltz 71 0 1028 13.48% 21.51%
13 1997-04-13 29.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1311 80.32% Aris Bonnevoie 0 872 4.24% 15.43%
14 1997-04-13 29.5 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1176 71.02% Rodange 91 0 901 9.27% 19.71%
15 1996-09-01 29.6 @ Grevenmacher 5 1157 76.07% Rumelange 1 801 6.30% 17.64%
16 1996-09-11 30.1 @ Union Luxembourg 5 1134 59.31% Aris Bonnevoie 0 1000 18.04% 22.65%
17 1997-05-03 30.1 @ Wiltz 71 5 1002 59.29% Aris Bonnevoie 0 869 18.05% 22.66%
18 1997-04-13 30.2 @ Avenir Beggen 5 1184 59.21% Wiltz 71 0 1051 18.12% 22.67%
19 1997-02-09 30.4 Jeunesse Esch 2 1288 67.90% @ Spora Luxembourg 0 977 11.37% 20.73%
20 1997-02-16 30.6 Grevenmacher 4 1258 78.14% @ Rumelange 1 783 5.24% 16.61%
21 1997-05-03 30.7 Jeunesse Esch 1 1330 75.14% @ Rodange 91 0 910 6.80% 18.06%
22 1997-02-02 31.0 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1279 66.23% Sporting Mertzig 0 1068 12.57% 21.20%
23 1997-02-02 31.5 F91 Dudelange 3 1006 57.74% @ Rumelange 0 808 19.36% 22.89%
24 1997-05-17 31.8 @ Avenir Beggen 1 1166 71.40% Rodange 91 0 886 9.02% 19.58%
25 1996-09-08 32.1 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1191 53.18% F91 Dudelange 0 1115 23.39% 23.44%