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1997-98 Luxembourg National Division Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Jeunesse Esch

54 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Jeunesse Esch

6.90 points above expected

54 points · 47.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Differdange 03

13.03 points below expected

5 points · 18.03 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 22 17 3 2 54 67 17 +50 47.10 +6.90
2 Union Luxembourg 22 17 2 3 53 64 19 +45 46.71 +6.29
3 Grevenmacher 22 13 4 5 43 49 23 +26 42.25 +0.75
4 F91 Dudelange 22 10 6 6 36 44 32 +12 31.37 +4.63
5 Avenir Beggen 22 10 5 7 35 41 35 +6 34.05 +0.95
6 Hobscheid 22 8 7 7 31 38 35 +3 26.93 +4.07
7 Sporting Mertzig 22 8 6 8 30 44 41 +3 30.45 -0.45
8 Wiltz 71 22 6 7 9 25 38 45 -7 27.26 -2.26
9 CS Petange 22 5 5 12 20 33 53 -20 27.60 -7.60
10 Spora Luxembourg 22 5 4 13 19 31 54 -23 19.19 -0.19
11 Rumelange 22 4 4 14 16 25 74 -49 16.77 -0.77
12 Differdange 03 22 0 5 17 5 15 61 -46 18.03 -13.03

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Jeunesse Esch 54 47.10 +6.90
2 Union Luxembourg 53 46.71 +6.29
3 F91 Dudelange 36 31.37 +4.63
4 Hobscheid 31 26.93 +4.07
5 Avenir Beggen 35 34.05 +0.95

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Differdange 03 5 18.03 -13.03
2 CS Petange 20 27.60 -7.60
3 Wiltz 71 25 27.26 -2.26
4 Rumelange 16 16.77 -0.77
5 Sporting Mertzig 30 30.45 -0.45

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Jeunesse Esch 14 Nov 16 – May 17 1 in 178
2 Union Luxembourg 9 Sep 28 – Mar 1 1 in 34
3 Grevenmacher 4 Aug 20 – Sep 24 1 in 20
4 Sporting Mertzig 3 Nov 9 – Nov 23 1 in 17
5 Wiltz 71 2 Aug 26 – Sep 17 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grevenmacher 3 Dec 7 – Mar 8 1 in 57
2 Spora Luxembourg 7 Sep 17 – Nov 16 1 in 52
3 CS Petange 5 Oct 26 – Nov 30 1 in 44
4 Differdange 03 8 Mar 8 – May 10 1 in 28
5 Sporting Mertzig 4 Aug 26 – Sep 28 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spora Luxembourg 5 Mar 8 – Apr 20 1 in 64
2 Wiltz 71 7 Aug 26 – Nov 9 1 in 39
3 Sporting Mertzig 5 Oct 19 – Nov 23 1 in 9
4 Union Luxembourg 13 Aug 20 – Mar 1 1 in 8
5 Jeunesse Esch 16 Oct 26 – May 17 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Differdange 03 22 Aug 20 – May 17 1 in 214
2 CS Petange 8 Sep 24 – Nov 30 1 in 70
3 Grevenmacher 4 Dec 7 – Mar 22 1 in 29
4 Wiltz 71 8 Oct 26 – Mar 8 1 in 22
5 Sporting Mertzig 7 Aug 20 – Oct 26 1 in 16

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Jeunesse Esch 1241 54 +42 15 12.3 +2.7
Union Luxembourg 1159 53 +48 13 11.4 +1.6
Grevenmacher 1054 43 +23 10 11.1 -1.1
F91 Dudelange 944 36 +61 10 7.7 +2.3
Avenir Beggen 973 35 -54 5 9.5 -4.5
Hobscheid 872 31 -7 6 6.6 -0.6
Sporting Mertzig 902 30 -7 8 7.9 +0.1
Wiltz 71 808 25 -16 4 4.5 -0.5
CS Petange 756 20 -15 4 3.0 +1.0
Spora Luxembourg 776 19 +67 7 5.1 +1.9
Rumelange 595 16 -106 0 2.7 -2.7
Differdange 03 572 5 -37 1 2.2 -1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AB CP D0 FD GRE HOB JE RUM SL SM UL W7
Avenir Beggen —
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
3.76
0-0-2
3.50
1-0-1
2.05
1-1-0
3.33
0-0-2
1.49
2-0-0
4.27
1-1-0
4.36
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
1.52
0-2-0
3.52
CS Petange
0-1-1
2.33
 —
2-0-0
3.42
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
1.20
1-1-0
2.81
0-0-2
1.17
0-1-1
4.04
1-0-1
3.74
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
0.85
0-1-1
3.03
Differdange 03
0-0-2
1.82
0-0-2
2.12
 —
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
0.79
0-2-0
1.30
0-0-2
0.65
0-0-2
3.17
0-1-1
2.17
0-1-1
1.62
0-0-2
0.58
0-1-1
2.24
F91 Dudelange
2-0-0
2.04
2-0-0
3.17
2-0-0
4.25
 —
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
3.10
0-0-2
1.35
0-2-0
3.73
1-1-0
3.87
1-1-0
2.81
0-1-1
1.35
2-0-0
3.08
Grevenmacher
1-0-1
3.49
1-0-1
4.37
2-0-0
4.83
1-1-0
3.63
 —
1-1-0
4.06
1-0-1
2.10
2-0-0
4.98
1-1-0
4.50
1-0-1
3.87
1-0-1
2.17
1-1-0
4.02
Hobscheid
0-1-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.73
0-2-0
4.28
2-0-0
2.44
0-1-1
1.50
 —
1-0-1
1.10
2-0-0
3.61
2-0-0
3.08
0-2-0
2.76
0-0-2
1.26
1-0-1
2.70
Jeunesse Esch
2-0-0
4.07
2-0-0
4.41
2-0-0
5.01
2-0-0
4.21
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
4.49
 —
2-0-0
5.11
2-0-0
5.01
1-1-0
4.26
1-1-0
2.97
1-1-0
4.46
Rumelange
0-0-2
1.32
1-1-0
1.51
2-0-0
2.36
0-2-0
1.83
0-0-2
0.66
0-0-2
1.93
0-0-2
0.56
 —
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
1.34
0-0-2
0.82
0-1-1
1.76
Spora Luxembourg
0-1-1
1.22
1-0-1
1.81
1-1-0
3.39
0-1-1
1.67
0-1-1
1.09
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
0.64
1-0-1
2.93
 —
1-0-1
1.77
0-0-2
0.83
1-0-1
1.85
Sporting Mertzig
1-0-1
2.23
1-1-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.95
0-1-1
2.73
1-0-1
1.68
0-2-0
2.78
0-1-1
1.30
2-0-0
4.23
1-0-1
3.79
 —
0-0-2
1.32
1-0-1
3.03
Union Luxembourg
1-0-1
4.03
2-0-0
4.76
2-0-0
5.08
1-1-0
4.21
1-0-1
3.36
2-0-0
4.31
0-1-1
2.57
2-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
4.79
2-0-0
4.24
 —
2-0-0
4.21
Wiltz 71
0-2-0
2.03
1-1-0
2.51
1-1-0
3.31
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
1.53
1-0-1
2.83
0-1-1
1.14
1-1-0
3.79
1-0-1
3.69
1-0-1
2.51
0-0-2
1.36
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.96 +9.8
Allowed 0.87 -7.9
Differential 0.96 +4.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%4.17%6.06%1.89%3.03%2.65%21.59%
14.17%9.09%4.17%6.06%0.38%4.55%28.41%
26.06%4.17%6.06%2.27%0.76%2.65%21.97%
31.89%6.06%2.27%3.03%0.38%—13.64%
43.03%0.38%0.76%0.38%——4.55%
5+2.65%4.55%2.65%———9.85%
Total21.59%28.41%21.97%13.64%4.55%9.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.85 +0.00
SD 1.65 1.65 2.62
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—9.09%—4.55%—22.73%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
24.55%4.55%———4.55%13.64%
39.09%13.64%—4.55%——27.27%
49.09%——4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total31.82%27.27%13.64%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.59 +0.27
SD 1.42 1.62 2.39
CV 0.76 1.02 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——9.09%—4.55%4.55%18.18%
14.55%9.09%4.55%18.18%——36.36%
24.55%—13.64%4.55%—9.09%31.82%
3——9.09%———9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total13.64%9.09%36.36%22.73%4.55%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.41 -0.91
SD 1.19 1.59 2.24
CV 0.79 0.66 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%13.64%9.09%13.64%9.09%54.55%
1—9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%22.73%
2——13.64%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—18.18%31.82%18.18%18.18%13.64%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 2.77 -2.09
SD 0.84 1.34 1.69
CV 1.23 0.48 —
Max 2 5 +0
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%—9.09%———18.18%
14.55%18.18%—9.09%——31.82%
2—9.09%——4.55%4.55%18.18%
34.55%9.09%————13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
Total22.73%40.91%18.18%9.09%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.45 +0.55
SD 1.75 1.34 2.18
CV 0.87 0.92 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
19.09%13.64%4.55%———27.27%
222.73%——4.55%——27.27%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
Total36.36%36.36%13.64%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.05 +1.18
SD 1.77 1.05 2.04
CV 0.80 1.00 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%——4.55%22.73%
14.55%13.64%4.55%9.09%——31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
34.55%9.09%—9.09%——22.73%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total18.18%36.36%22.73%18.18%—4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.59 +0.14
SD 1.55 1.26 2.12
CV 0.90 0.79 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
113.64%—————13.64%
213.64%4.55%9.09%4.55%——31.82%
3—4.55%————4.55%
49.09%—————9.09%
5+9.09%13.64%9.09%———31.82%
Total50.00%27.27%18.18%4.55%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 0.77 +2.27
SD 2.17 0.92 2.31
CV 0.71 1.19 —
Max 9 3 +9
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%—9.09%9.09%36.36%
1———9.09%—22.73%31.82%
29.09%—4.55%——4.55%18.18%
3——4.55%4.55%——9.09%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+———————
Total18.18%4.55%18.18%13.64%9.09%36.36%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 3.36 -2.23
SD 1.17 2.48 2.94
CV 1.03 0.74 —
Max 4 9 +2
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%13.64%4.55%4.55%4.55%31.82%
14.55%9.09%4.55%4.55%—9.09%31.82%
24.55%4.55%4.55%——4.55%18.18%
3—4.55%—4.55%4.55%—13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%22.73%13.64%9.09%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 2.45 -1.05
SD 1.62 1.74 2.57
CV 1.15 0.71 —
Max 7 6 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
19.09%9.09%—9.09%4.55%4.55%36.36%
2——13.64%——4.55%18.18%
3—13.64%—4.55%——18.18%
4———————
5+4.55%9.09%————13.64%
Total13.64%40.91%18.18%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.86 +0.14
SD 1.66 1.58 2.55
CV 0.83 0.85 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%————9.09%
1—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
29.09%9.09%————18.18%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
49.09%4.55%————13.64%
5+13.64%—9.09%———22.73%
Total40.91%31.82%27.27%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.91 0.86 +2.05
SD 1.72 0.83 1.96
CV 0.59 0.97 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%——4.55%——9.09%
1—13.64%13.64%4.55%—9.09%40.91%
2—13.64%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
3—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
4———————
5+—4.55%————4.55%
Total4.55%40.91%22.73%22.73%—9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 2.05 -0.32
SD 1.28 1.43 2.10
CV 0.74 0.70 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Jeunesse Esch 1241 54 47.10 +6.90 97.0% 37 40 44 47 51 53 57
Union Luxembourg 1159 53 46.71 +6.29 89.0% 34 37 44 47 51 55 60
Grevenmacher 1054 43 42.25 +0.75 56.0% 28 31 38 43 47 52 57
Avenir Beggen 973 35 34.05 +0.95 58.0% 21 24 30 34 37 45 49
F91 Dudelange 944 36 31.37 +4.63 84.0% 14 22 28 31 35 42 43
Sporting Mertzig 902 30 30.45 -0.45 50.0% 11 21 26 30 35 39 47
Hobscheid 872 31 26.93 +4.07 82.0% 16 18 23 27 30 35 43
Wiltz 71 808 25 27.26 -2.26 41.0% 14 19 23 27 30 35 49
Spora Luxembourg 776 19 19.19 -0.19 51.0% 8 11 16 19 22 27 32
CS Petange 756 20 27.60 -7.60 11.0% 12 18 25 28 31 36 42
Rumelange 595 16 16.77 -0.77 49.0% 8 9 13 17 20 24 30
Differdange 03 572 5 18.03 -13.03 0.0% 6 10 15 18 21 25 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 7% * Slight Edge: 7% to 11.5% * Clear Edge: 11.5% to 16.5% * Strong Edge: 16.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.88%
Clear Edge
45.45%21.97%32.58%
Elo Value
Home Edge
139 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
045.00400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.46 goals
Neutral
-2+0.32+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.05 * Tight Race: 0.05 to 0.17 * Comfortable: 0.17 to 0.27 * Runaway: 0.27 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.8
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
43%
Jeunesse Esch, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.05/gm
Photo Finish
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.32 * Some Luck: 4.32 to 6.48 * Lucky: 6.48 to 8.64 * Wild Swing: 8.64 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.06 * Close: 1.06 to 1.58 * Off: 1.58 to 2.11 * Way Off: 2.11 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.48 points
Some Luck
05.4013
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.83
Pinpoint
01.323
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
97.00%
Jeunesse Esch
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.00%
Differdange 03
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 1.85 * Strong Separation: 1.85 to 2.05 * Wide Separation: 2.05 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 68% * Slight Edge: 68% to 72.5% * Clear Edge: 72.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 89.5% * Clear Edge: 89.5% to 92% * Strong Edge: 92% to 95% * Dominant: 95% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 49% * Some Drama: 49% to 53% * Frequent: 53% to 56% * Very Frequent: 56% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 23% * Occasional: 23% to 26% * Frequent: 26% to 28% * Very Frequent: 28% and up.
Gini Index
0.26
Lopsided
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 204.11
2.35
Wide Separation
11.651.852.052.5
Interquartile Edge
78%
Wide Edge
50%68%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
44%
Few
0%43%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%34%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.35 * Slight Separation: 0.35 to 0.39 * Notable Separation: 0.39 to 0.44 * Lopsided: 0.44 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.43 * Some Carryover: 0.43 to 0.62 * Strong Carryover: 0.62 to 0.73 * Near-Lock: 0.73 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 21.5% * As Expected: 21.5% to 24% * Upset-Prone: 24% to 26.5% * Very Upset-Prone: 26.5% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 18% * As Expected: 18% to 20.5% * Shaky Favorites: 20.5% to 23.5% * Very Shaky: 23.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.49
Lopsided
00.350.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.26
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.64
Strong Carryover
00.430.621
Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.49
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.13
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.115
Well Within Noise
00.1400.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Jeunesse Esch43.00%33.00%21.00%2.00%1.00%———————
Union Luxembourg39.00%37.00%15.00%7.00%2.00%———————
Grevenmacher16.00%24.00%37.00%12.00%7.00%2.00%—2.00%————
F91 Dudelange—1.00%6.00%21.00%19.00%24.00%14.00%3.00%7.00%3.00%2.00%—
Avenir Beggen2.00%3.00%7.00%34.00%22.00%10.00%9.00%5.00%8.00%———
Hobscheid——3.00%3.00%10.00%13.00%14.00%29.00%14.00%8.00%5.00%1.00%
Sporting Mertzig—1.00%6.00%10.00%21.00%15.00%24.00%7.00%10.00%3.00%2.00%1.00%
Wiltz 71—1.00%4.00%6.00%5.00%15.00%16.00%24.00%15.00%11.00%2.00%1.00%
CS Petange——1.00%4.00%13.00%16.00%19.00%19.00%15.00%8.00%3.00%2.00%
Spora Luxembourg———1.00%—1.00%3.00%8.00%12.00%25.00%31.00%19.00%
Rumelange—————2.00%1.00%2.00%8.00%21.00%21.00%45.00%
Differdange 03—————2.00%—1.00%11.00%21.00%34.00%31.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Avenir Beggen 100% —
Grevenmacher 100% —
Jeunesse Esch 100% —
Union Luxembourg 100% —
F91 Dudelange 98.00% 2.00%
Sporting Mertzig 97.00% 3.00%
Wiltz 71 97.00% 3.00%
CS Petange 95.00% 5.00%
Hobscheid 94.00% 6.00%
Spora Luxembourg 50.00% 50.00%
Differdange 03 35.00% 65.00%
Rumelange 34.00% 66.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1997-08-20 Grevenmacher L 2-545.5 933 988 36.83% 23.30% 39.87%-0.08 -33.3 0
1997-08-20 @ Avenir Beggen W 5-245.5 988 933 39.87% 23.30% 36.83%+0.08 +33.3 3
1997-08-20 Spora Luxembourg W 3-039.5 770 865 31.45% 23.21% 45.34%-0.36 +53.8 3
1997-08-20 @ Hobscheid L 0-339.5 865 770 45.34% 23.21% 31.45%+0.36 -53.8 0
1997-08-20 Sporting Mertzig D 2-257.2 1080 906 63.68% 21.70% 14.62%+1.58 -3.7 1
1997-08-20 @ Jeunesse Esch D 2-257.2 906 1080 14.62% 21.70% 63.68%-1.58 +3.7 1
1997-08-20 F91 Dudelange D 0-048.6 754 809 36.94% 23.30% 39.76%-0.07 +0.3 1
1997-08-20 @ Rumelange D 0-048.6 809 754 39.76% 23.30% 36.94%+0.07 -0.3 1
1997-08-20 Differdange 03 W 3-247.5 878 840 49.59% 23.06% 27.34%+0.60 +11.7 3
1997-08-20 @ CS Petange L 2-347.5 840 878 27.34% 23.06% 49.59%-0.60 -11.7 0
1997-08-20 Union Luxembourg L 2-346.1 831 1001 22.75% 22.77% 54.48%-0.90 -10.1 0
1997-08-20 @ Wiltz 71 W 3-246.1 1001 831 54.48% 22.77% 22.75%+0.90 +10.1 3
1997-08-26 Wiltz 71 L 1-248.1 828 821 45.55% 23.21% 31.25%+0.37 -18.6 0
1997-08-26 @ Differdange 03 W 2-148.1 821 828 31.25% 23.21% 45.55%-0.37 +18.6 3
1997-08-26 Avenir Beggen W 5-142.6 809 899 32.11% 23.23% 44.66%-0.33 +57.8 4
1997-08-26 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-542.6 899 809 44.66% 23.23% 32.11%+0.33 -57.8 0
1997-08-26 Jeunesse Esch W 3-251.3 1021 1076 36.97% 23.30% 39.73%-0.07 +15.8 6
1997-08-26 @ Grevenmacher L 2-351.3 1076 1021 39.73% 23.30% 36.97%+0.07 -15.8 1
1997-08-26 CS Petange D 1-151.9 823 890 35.36% 23.29% 41.35%-0.15 +0.5 4
1997-08-26 @ Hobscheid D 1-151.9 890 823 41.35% 23.29% 35.36%+0.15 -0.5 4
1997-08-26 Rumelange W 5-026.6 1011 755 69.79% 20.40% 9.81%+2.17 +22.7 6
1997-08-26 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-526.6 755 1011 9.81% 20.40% 69.79%-2.17 -22.7 1
1997-08-26 Sporting Mertzig W 2-041.6 811 910 31.05% 23.20% 45.75%-0.38 +37.3 3
1997-08-26 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-241.6 910 811 45.75% 23.20% 31.05%+0.38 -37.3 1
1997-09-17 Union Luxembourg L 0-430.7 841 1034 20.53% 22.56% 56.90%-1.06 -36.9 0
1997-09-17 @ Avenir Beggen W 4-030.7 1034 841 56.90% 22.56% 20.53%+1.06 +36.9 9
1997-09-17 F91 Dudelange W 3-136.1 1060 867 65.27% 21.42% 13.31%+1.72 +11.3 4
1997-09-17 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-336.1 867 1060 13.31% 21.42% 65.27%-1.72 -11.3 4
1997-09-17 Differdange 03 W 4-250.0 732 809 33.85% 23.27% 42.88%-0.23 +27.4 4
1997-09-17 @ Rumelange L 2-450.0 809 732 42.88% 23.27% 33.85%+0.23 -27.4 0
1997-09-17 Grevenmacher L 0-137.2 872 1037 23.24% 22.81% 53.95%-0.86 -11.5 1
1997-09-17 @ Sporting Mertzig W 1-037.2 1037 872 53.95% 22.81% 23.24%+0.86 +11.5 9
1997-09-17 Spora Luxembourg W 5-032.5 889 848 49.87% 23.05% 27.08%+0.62 +57.4 7
1997-09-17 @ CS Petange L 0-532.5 848 889 27.08% 23.05% 49.87%-0.62 -57.4 3
1997-09-17 Hobscheid W 2-143.5 840 824 46.70% 23.17% 30.13%+0.44 +13.4 6
1997-09-17 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-243.5 824 840 30.13% 23.17% 46.70%-0.44 -13.4 4
1997-09-24 Avenir Beggen L 0-338.4 782 805 41.50% 23.29% 35.21%+0.16 -50.0 0
1997-09-24 @ Differdange 03 W 3-038.4 805 782 35.21% 23.29% 41.50%-0.16 +50.0 3
1997-09-24 Sporting Mertzig W 1-040.2 856 861 43.92% 23.25% 32.83%+0.29 +15.2 7
1997-09-24 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-140.2 861 856 32.83% 23.25% 43.92%-0.29 -15.2 1
1997-09-24 Rumelange W 6-135.8 811 759 51.17% 22.98% 25.85%+0.69 +45.8 7
1997-09-24 @ Hobscheid L 1-635.8 759 811 25.85% 22.98% 51.17%-0.69 -45.8 4
1997-09-24 Jeunesse Esch D 0-048.7 1070 1072 44.47% 23.24% 32.30%+0.31 -1.2 10
1997-09-24 @ Union Luxembourg D 0-048.7 1072 1070 32.30% 23.24% 44.47%-0.31 +1.2 5
1997-09-24 Grevenmacher L 0-232.0 791 1049 15.07% 21.79% 63.14%-1.53 -14.7 3
1997-09-24 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-032.0 1049 791 63.14% 21.79% 15.07%+1.53 +14.7 12
1997-09-24 Wiltz 71 D 2-256.9 946 853 55.99% 22.64% 21.36%+1.00 -2.5 8
1997-09-24 @ CS Petange D 2-256.9 853 946 21.36% 22.64% 55.99%-1.00 +2.5 7
1997-09-28 Hobscheid W 3-142.4 855 856 44.40% 23.24% 32.36%+0.31 +24.6 6
1997-09-28 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-342.4 856 855 32.36% 23.24% 44.40%-0.31 -24.5 7
1997-09-28 F91 Dudelange D 1-152.5 1063 871 65.21% 21.43% 13.36%+1.71 -5.3 13
1997-09-28 @ Grevenmacher D 1-152.5 871 1063 13.36% 21.43% 65.21%-1.71 +5.3 8
1997-09-28 Differdange 03 W 4-025.3 1073 732 74.76% 18.77% 6.46%+2.78 +12.0 8
1997-09-28 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-425.3 732 1073 6.46% 18.77% 74.76%-2.78 -12.0 0
1997-09-28 CS Petange D 2-257.0 714 944 17.17% 22.14% 60.69%-1.33 +3.2 5
1997-09-28 @ Rumelange D 2-257.0 944 714 60.69% 22.14% 17.17%+1.33 -3.2 9
1997-09-28 Union Luxembourg L 1-337.7 846 1069 17.72% 22.22% 60.06%-1.29 -14.8 1
1997-09-28 @ Sporting Mertzig W 3-137.7 1069 846 60.06% 22.22% 17.72%+1.29 +14.8 13
1997-09-28 Spora Luxembourg W 3-139.4 855 776 54.41% 22.77% 22.82%+0.89 +18.4 10
1997-09-28 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-339.4 776 855 22.82% 22.77% 54.41%-0.89 -18.4 3
1997-10-19 Sporting Mertzig D 2-256.7 720 831 29.45% 23.15% 47.40%-0.47 +1.2 1
1997-10-19 @ Differdange 03 D 2-256.7 831 720 47.40% 23.15% 29.45%+0.47 -1.2 2
1997-10-19 Spora Luxembourg W 6-237.4 876 758 58.54% 22.40% 19.06%+1.17 +24.4 11
1997-10-19 @ F91 Dudelange L 2-637.4 758 876 19.06% 22.40% 58.54%-1.17 -24.4 3
1997-10-19 Jeunesse Esch W 1-048.7 832 1085 15.40% 21.85% 62.75%-1.50 +26.4 10
1997-10-19 @ Hobscheid L 0-148.7 1085 832 62.75% 21.85% 15.40%+1.50 -26.4 8
1997-10-19 Grevenmacher W 2-143.1 1084 1058 48.02% 23.13% 28.85%+0.51 +12.9 16
1997-10-19 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-243.1 1058 1084 28.85% 23.13% 48.02%-0.51 -12.9 13
1997-10-19 Avenir Beggen D 1-152.0 941 879 52.40% 22.91% 24.69%+0.77 -2.6 10
1997-10-19 @ CS Petange D 1-152.0 879 941 24.69% 22.91% 52.40%-0.77 +2.6 7
1997-10-19 Rumelange W 3-137.0 874 717 62.21% 21.93% 15.86%+1.45 +13.4 13
1997-10-19 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-337.0 717 874 15.86% 21.93% 62.21%-1.45 -13.4 5
1997-10-26 Wiltz 71 D 1-151.9 882 887 43.90% 23.25% 32.85%+0.28 -1.0 8
1997-10-26 @ Avenir Beggen D 1-151.9 887 882 32.85% 23.25% 43.90%-0.28 +1.0 14
1997-10-26 Differdange 03 W 4-025.6 1045 721 73.86% 19.11% 7.03%+2.66 +13.1 16
1997-10-26 @ Grevenmacher L 0-425.6 721 1045 7.03% 19.11% 73.86%-2.66 -13.1 1
1997-10-26 CS Petange W 4-030.1 1058 938 58.78% 22.37% 18.85%+1.19 +34.2 11
1997-10-26 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-430.1 938 1058 18.85% 22.37% 58.78%-1.19 -34.2 10
1997-10-26 F91 Dudelange W 2-031.3 1097 900 65.51% 21.37% 13.12%+1.74 +12.9 19
1997-10-26 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-231.3 900 1097 13.12% 21.37% 65.51%-1.74 -12.9 11
1997-10-26 Spora Luxembourg W 2-038.8 704 733 40.49% 23.29% 36.21%+0.11 +31.0 8
1997-10-26 @ Rumelange L 0-238.8 733 704 36.21% 23.29% 40.49%-0.11 -31.0 3
1997-10-26 Hobscheid D 1-151.9 830 858 40.69% 23.29% 36.02%+0.12 -0.4 3
1997-10-26 @ Sporting Mertzig D 1-151.9 858 830 36.02% 23.29% 40.69%-0.12 +0.4 11
1997-11-09 F91 Dudelange L 1-339.0 708 887 21.75% 22.68% 55.57%-0.97 -17.7 1
1997-11-09 @ Differdange 03 W 3-139.0 887 708 55.57% 22.68% 21.75%+0.97 +17.7 14
1997-11-09 Grevenmacher L 0-233.6 859 1058 19.82% 22.48% 57.70%-1.11 -18.8 11
1997-11-09 @ Hobscheid W 2-033.6 1058 859 57.70% 22.48% 19.82%+1.11 +18.8 19
1997-11-09 Spora Luxembourg W 4-024.4 1110 703 77.95% 17.39% 4.66%+3.26 +8.5 22
1997-11-09 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-424.4 703 1110 4.66% 17.39% 77.95%-3.26 -8.5 3
1997-11-09 Avenir Beggen L 0-432.2 734 881 25.27% 22.95% 51.78%-0.73 -44.0 8
1997-11-09 @ Rumelange W 4-032.2 881 734 51.78% 22.95% 25.27%+0.73 +44.0 11
1997-11-09 Sporting Mertzig L 1-348.7 904 829 53.92% 22.81% 23.27%+0.86 -37.3 10
1997-11-09 @ CS Petange W 3-148.7 829 904 23.27% 22.81% 53.92%-0.86 +37.3 6
1997-11-09 Jeunesse Esch D 2-256.9 888 1093 19.38% 22.43% 58.18%-1.15 +2.8 15
1997-11-09 @ Wiltz 71 D 2-256.9 1093 888 58.18% 22.43% 19.38%+1.15 -2.8 12
1997-11-16 Hobscheid L 1-348.4 905 840 52.86% 22.88% 24.26%+0.80 -36.7 14
1997-11-16 @ F91 Dudelange W 3-148.4 840 905 24.26% 22.88% 52.86%-0.80 +36.7 14
1997-11-16 CS Petange W 2-031.0 1077 867 66.59% 21.16% 12.25%+1.84 +12.1 22
1997-11-16 @ Grevenmacher L 0-231.0 867 1077 12.25% 21.16% 66.59%-1.84 -12.1 10
1997-11-16 Rumelange W 9-025.9 1090 690 77.60% 17.56% 4.85%+3.20 +19.0 15
1997-11-16 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-925.9 690 1090 4.85% 17.56% 77.60%-3.20 -19.0 8
1997-11-16 Differdange 03 W 3-025.3 1118 690 78.86% 16.94% 4.20%+3.40 +5.8 25
1997-11-16 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-325.3 690 1118 4.20% 16.94% 78.86%-3.40 -5.8 1
1997-11-16 Avenir Beggen L 3-447.8 694 925 17.13% 22.14% 60.73%-1.34 -7.7 3
1997-11-16 @ Spora Luxembourg W 4-347.8 925 694 60.73% 22.14% 17.13%+1.34 +7.7 14
1997-11-16 Wiltz 71 W 3-143.3 866 891 41.25% 23.29% 35.46%+0.15 +26.4 9
1997-11-16 @ Sporting Mertzig L 1-343.3 891 866 35.46% 23.29% 41.25%-0.15 -26.4 15
1997-11-23 Jeunesse Esch L 0-234.4 932 1109 22.06% 22.71% 55.23%-0.95 -20.7 14
1997-11-23 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-034.4 1109 932 55.23% 22.71% 22.06%+0.95 +20.7 18
1997-11-23 Spora Luxembourg D 2-256.7 684 686 44.37% 23.24% 32.39%+0.31 -0.8 2
1997-11-23 @ Differdange 03 D 2-256.7 686 684 32.39% 23.24% 44.37%-0.31 +0.8 4
1997-11-23 Union Luxembourg L 1-337.0 876 1124 15.81% 21.92% 62.27%-1.46 -13.3 14
1997-11-23 @ Hobscheid W 3-137.0 1124 876 62.27% 21.92% 15.81%+1.46 +13.3 28
1997-11-23 Sporting Mertzig L 0-135.4 671 893 17.91% 22.25% 59.84%-1.27 -9.1 8
1997-11-23 @ Rumelange W 1-035.4 893 671 59.84% 22.25% 17.91%+1.27 +9.1 12
1997-11-23 F91 Dudelange L 2-547.3 854 869 42.71% 23.27% 34.02%+0.22 -37.4 10
1997-11-23 @ CS Petange W 5-247.3 869 854 34.02% 23.27% 42.71%-0.22 +37.4 17
1997-11-23 Grevenmacher D 1-152.2 865 1089 17.64% 22.21% 60.15%-1.29 +4.2 16
1997-11-23 @ Wiltz 71 D 1-152.2 1089 865 60.15% 22.21% 17.64%+1.29 -4.2 23
1997-11-30 Hobscheid D 1-152.1 684 863 21.77% 22.68% 55.55%-0.97 +3.3 3
1997-11-30 @ Differdange 03 D 1-152.1 863 684 55.55% 22.68% 21.77%+0.97 -3.3 15
1997-11-30 Wiltz 71 W 2-142.7 906 869 49.44% 23.07% 27.49%+0.59 +12.4 20
1997-11-30 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-242.7 869 906 27.49% 23.07% 49.44%-0.59 -12.4 16
1997-11-30 Rumelange W 5-128.6 1085 662 78.63% 17.06% 4.32%+3.37 +6.5 26
1997-11-30 @ Grevenmacher L 1-528.6 662 1085 4.32% 17.06% 78.63%-3.37 -6.5 8
1997-11-30 CS Petange W 2-028.8 1137 817 73.65% 19.19% 7.16%+2.63 +7.1 31
1997-11-30 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-228.8 817 1137 7.16% 19.19% 73.65%-2.63 -7.1 10
1997-11-30 Jeunesse Esch L 1-529.6 687 1130 6.11% 18.54% 75.34%-2.86 -9.4 4
1997-11-30 @ Spora Luxembourg W 5-129.6 1130 687 75.34% 18.54% 6.11%+2.86 +9.4 21
1997-11-30 Avenir Beggen L 1-345.7 902 912 43.30% 23.26% 33.44%+0.25 -30.9 12
1997-11-30 @ Sporting Mertzig W 3-145.7 912 902 33.44% 23.26% 43.30%-0.25 +30.9 17
1997-12-07 CS Petange L 0-138.7 687 810 27.96% 23.09% 48.95%-0.56 -13.4 3
1997-12-07 @ Differdange 03 W 1-038.7 810 687 48.95% 23.09% 27.96%+0.56 +13.4 13
1997-12-07 Rumelange D 0-049.5 918 656 70.21% 20.28% 9.51%+2.21 -7.0 21
1997-12-07 @ F91 Dudelange D 0-049.5 656 918 9.51% 20.28% 70.21%-2.21 +7.0 9
1997-12-07 Avenir Beggen L 0-344.0 1091 943 61.48% 22.03% 16.48%+1.40 -70.8 26
1997-12-07 @ Grevenmacher W 3-044.0 943 1091 16.48% 22.03% 61.48%-1.40 +70.8 20
1997-12-07 Wiltz 71 W 3-240.9 1144 856 71.79% 19.81% 8.39%+2.40 +3.9 34
1997-12-07 @ Union Luxembourg L 2-340.9 856 1144 8.39% 19.81% 71.79%-2.40 -3.9 16
1997-12-07 Hobscheid L 0-234.2 678 860 21.51% 22.66% 55.83%-0.99 -20.2 4
1997-12-07 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-034.2 860 678 55.83% 22.66% 21.51%+0.99 +20.2 18
1997-12-07 Jeunesse Esch L 2-538.3 871 1139 14.35% 21.65% 64.01%-1.60 -14.9 12
1997-12-07 @ Sporting Mertzig W 5-238.3 1139 871 64.01% 21.65% 14.35%+1.60 +14.9 24
1998-03-01 F91 Dudelange L 1-251.4 1013 911 56.91% 22.56% 20.53%+1.06 -22.6 20
1998-03-01 @ Avenir Beggen W 2-151.4 911 1013 20.53% 22.56% 56.91%-1.06 +22.7 24
1998-03-01 Grevenmacher W 1-035.4 1154 1021 60.02% 22.22% 17.75%+1.28 +9.1 27
1998-03-01 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-135.4 1021 1154 17.75% 22.22% 60.02%-1.28 -9.1 26
1998-03-01 Union Luxembourg L 2-534.2 663 1148 4.94% 17.64% 77.42%-3.17 -5.0 9
1998-03-01 @ Rumelange W 5-234.2 1148 663 77.42% 17.64% 4.94%+3.17 +5.0 37
1998-03-01 Spora Luxembourg W 5-132.5 856 658 65.68% 21.34% 12.98%+1.75 +20.2 15
1998-03-01 @ Sporting Mertzig L 1-532.5 658 856 12.98% 21.34% 65.68%-1.75 -20.2 4
1998-03-01 Hobscheid W 2-039.9 823 880 36.69% 23.30% 40.01%-0.08 +33.5 16
1998-03-01 @ CS Petange L 0-239.9 880 823 40.01% 23.30% 36.69%+0.08 -33.5 18
1998-03-01 Differdange 03 D 1-152.4 852 674 64.10% 21.63% 14.27%+1.61 -5.0 17
1998-03-01 @ Wiltz 71 D 1-152.4 674 852 14.27% 21.63% 64.10%-1.61 +5.0 4
1998-03-08 Rumelange L 0-242.1 679 658 47.37% 23.15% 29.48%+0.47 -38.4 4
1998-03-08 @ Differdange 03 W 2-042.1 658 679 29.48% 23.15% 47.37%-0.47 +38.4 12
1998-03-08 Jeunesse Esch L 2-539.3 934 1163 17.28% 22.16% 60.57%-1.32 -17.7 24
1998-03-08 @ F91 Dudelange W 5-239.3 1163 934 60.57% 22.16% 17.28%+1.32 +17.7 30
1998-03-08 Sporting Mertzig L 0-148.1 1012 876 60.21% 22.20% 17.59%+1.30 -25.4 26
1998-03-08 @ Grevenmacher W 1-048.1 876 1012 17.59% 22.20% 60.21%-1.30 +25.3 18
1998-03-08 Wiltz 71 W 2-144.2 847 847 44.51% 23.23% 32.25%+0.32 +14.1 21
1998-03-08 @ Hobscheid L 1-244.2 847 847 32.25% 23.23% 44.51%-0.32 -14.1 17
1998-03-08 Avenir Beggen L 1-252.9 1153 991 62.70% 21.86% 15.44%+1.49 -24.8 37
1998-03-08 @ Union Luxembourg W 2-152.9 991 1153 15.44% 21.86% 62.70%-1.49 +24.8 23
1998-03-08 CS Petange W 3-150.3 637 857 18.07% 22.27% 59.66%-1.26 +41.0 7
1998-03-08 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-350.3 857 637 59.66% 22.27% 18.07%+1.26 -41.0 16
1998-03-22 Differdange 03 W 2-028.0 1016 640 76.48% 18.06% 5.45%+3.03 +5.3 26
1998-03-22 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-228.0 640 1016 5.45% 18.06% 76.48%-3.03 -5.3 4
1998-03-22 Spora Luxembourg D 1-153.1 986 678 72.96% 19.43% 7.61%+2.54 -6.8 27
1998-03-22 @ Grevenmacher D 1-153.1 678 986 7.61% 19.43% 72.96%-2.54 +6.8 8
1998-03-22 Union Luxembourg W 2-142.2 1181 1129 51.28% 22.98% 25.74%+0.70 +11.8 33
1998-03-22 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-242.2 1129 1181 25.74% 22.98% 51.28%-0.70 -11.8 37
1998-03-22 Hobscheid L 1-339.5 696 861 23.30% 22.81% 53.89%-0.86 -18.8 12
1998-03-22 @ Rumelange W 3-139.5 861 696 53.89% 22.81% 23.30%+0.86 +18.8 24
1998-03-22 F91 Dudelange D 1-151.9 902 916 42.65% 23.27% 34.08%+0.22 -0.8 19
1998-03-22 @ Sporting Mertzig D 1-151.9 916 902 34.08% 23.27% 42.65%-0.22 +0.8 25
1998-03-22 CS Petange W 2-143.4 833 816 46.95% 23.17% 29.88%+0.45 +13.3 20
1998-03-22 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-243.4 816 833 29.88% 23.17% 46.95%-0.45 -13.3 16
1998-03-29 Jeunesse Esch L 0-226.8 635 1192 3.45% 16.08% 80.47%-3.69 -3.2 4
1998-03-29 @ Differdange 03 W 2-026.8 1192 635 80.47% 16.08% 3.45%+3.69 +3.2 36
1998-03-29 Grevenmacher L 0-238.7 917 979 35.88% 23.29% 40.83%-0.13 -30.8 25
1998-03-29 @ F91 Dudelange W 2-038.7 979 917 40.83% 23.29% 35.88%+0.13 +30.7 30
1998-03-29 Avenir Beggen D 0-048.7 879 1021 25.82% 22.98% 51.20%-0.69 +2.7 25
1998-03-29 @ Hobscheid D 0-048.7 1021 879 51.20% 22.98% 25.82%+0.69 -2.7 27
1998-03-29 Sporting Mertzig W 4-133.7 1117 901 66.98% 21.07% 11.94%+1.88 +14.5 40
1998-03-29 @ Union Luxembourg L 1-433.7 901 1117 11.94% 21.07% 66.98%-1.88 -14.5 19
1998-03-29 Wiltz 71 W 2-150.4 685 847 23.62% 22.83% 53.55%-0.84 +21.4 11
1998-03-29 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-250.4 847 685 53.55% 22.83% 23.62%+0.84 -21.4 20
1998-03-29 Rumelange L 2-356.9 802 677 59.23% 22.32% 18.45%+1.22 -22.3 16
1998-03-29 @ CS Petange W 3-256.9 677 802 18.45% 22.32% 59.23%-1.22 +22.3 15
1998-04-03 CS Petange W 3-135.1 1018 780 68.58% 20.71% 10.72%+2.04 +9.2 30
1998-04-03 @ Avenir Beggen L 1-335.1 780 1018 10.72% 20.71% 68.58%-2.04 -9.2 16
1998-04-03 Union Luxembourg W 1-044.9 1010 1131 28.22% 23.10% 48.68%-0.55 +20.9 33
1998-04-03 @ Grevenmacher L 0-144.9 1131 1010 48.68% 23.10% 28.22%+0.55 -20.9 40
1998-04-03 Hobscheid W 1-031.4 1196 882 73.27% 19.32% 7.40%+2.58 +3.9 39
1998-04-03 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-131.4 882 1196 7.40% 19.32% 73.27%-2.58 -3.9 25
1998-04-03 Wiltz 71 D 3-361.2 700 825 27.69% 23.08% 49.23%-0.58 +1.2 16
1998-04-03 @ Rumelange D 3-361.2 825 700 49.23% 23.08% 27.69%+0.58 -1.2 21
1998-04-03 F91 Dudelange D 1-152.1 707 886 21.74% 22.68% 55.58%-0.97 +3.3 12
1998-04-03 @ Spora Luxembourg D 1-152.1 886 707 55.58% 22.68% 21.74%+0.97 -3.3 26
1998-04-03 Differdange 03 W 5-026.6 887 632 69.71% 20.42% 9.87%+2.16 +22.9 22
1998-04-03 @ Sporting Mertzig L 0-526.6 632 887 9.87% 20.42% 69.71%-2.16 -22.9 4
1998-04-20 Grevenmacher L 1-529.9 609 1031 6.75% 18.95% 74.30%-2.72 -10.5 4
1998-04-20 @ Differdange 03 W 5-129.9 1031 609 74.30% 18.95% 6.75%+2.72 +10.5 36
1998-04-20 Union Luxembourg D 1-152.2 883 1110 17.41% 22.18% 60.41%-1.31 +4.3 27
1998-04-20 @ F91 Dudelange D 1-152.2 1110 883 60.41% 22.18% 17.41%+1.31 -4.3 41
1998-04-20 Sporting Mertzig D 3-361.1 878 909 40.33% 23.30% 36.37%+0.10 -0.2 26
1998-04-20 @ Hobscheid D 3-361.1 909 878 36.37% 23.30% 40.33%-0.10 +0.2 23
1998-04-20 Rumelange W 7-136.8 710 701 45.81% 23.20% 30.99%+0.39 +62.8 15
1998-04-20 @ Spora Luxembourg L 1-736.8 701 710 30.99% 23.20% 45.81%-0.39 -62.8 16
1998-04-20 Jeunesse Esch L 0-525.1 771 1199 6.55% 18.83% 74.63%-2.76 -15.0 16
1998-04-20 @ CS Petange W 5-025.1 1199 771 74.63% 18.83% 6.55%+2.76 +15.0 42
1998-04-20 Avenir Beggen D 0-048.9 824 1027 19.48% 22.44% 58.08%-1.14 +4.2 22
1998-04-20 @ Wiltz 71 D 0-048.9 1027 824 58.08% 22.44% 19.48%+1.14 -4.2 31
1998-04-26 Rumelange W 4-024.7 1023 638 76.93% 17.86% 5.21%+3.09 +9.5 34
1998-04-26 @ Avenir Beggen L 0-424.7 638 1023 5.21% 17.86% 76.93%-3.09 -9.5 16
1998-04-26 Differdange 03 W 4-026.2 887 598 71.86% 19.79% 8.35%+2.40 +15.7 30
1998-04-26 @ F91 Dudelange L 0-426.2 598 887 8.35% 19.79% 71.86%-2.40 -15.7 4
1998-04-26 Hobscheid D 3-361.6 1042 878 62.78% 21.84% 15.37%+1.50 -3.0 37
1998-04-26 @ Grevenmacher D 3-361.6 878 1042 15.37% 21.84% 62.78%-1.50 +3.0 27
1998-04-26 Wiltz 71 W 5-129.1 1214 828 77.00% 17.83% 5.17%+3.10 +7.9 45
1998-04-26 @ Jeunesse Esch L 1-529.1 828 1214 5.17% 17.83% 77.00%-3.10 -7.9 22
1998-04-26 Union Luxembourg L 1-236.8 773 1106 10.44% 20.62% 68.95%-2.08 -5.2 15
1998-04-26 @ Spora Luxembourg W 2-136.8 1106 773 68.95% 20.62% 10.44%+2.08 +5.2 44
1998-04-26 CS Petange D 2-257.1 910 756 61.91% 21.97% 16.12%+1.43 -3.4 24
1998-04-26 @ Sporting Mertzig D 2-257.1 756 910 16.12% 21.97% 61.91%-1.43 +3.4 17
1998-05-03 Spora Luxembourg D 3-362.1 1033 767 70.39% 20.23% 9.38%+2.23 -3.9 35
1998-05-03 @ Avenir Beggen D 3-362.1 767 1033 9.38% 20.23% 70.39%-2.23 +3.9 16
1998-05-03 Union Luxembourg L 0-523.7 583 1111 3.99% 16.71% 79.30%-3.48 -8.8 4
1998-05-03 @ Differdange 03 W 5-023.7 1111 583 79.30% 16.71% 3.99%+3.48 +8.8 47
1998-05-03 F91 Dudelange W 4-247.7 881 903 41.62% 23.28% 35.10%+0.17 +23.4 30
1998-05-03 @ Hobscheid L 2-447.7 903 881 35.10% 23.28% 41.62%-0.17 -23.4 30
1998-05-03 Jeunesse Esch L 1-527.7 629 1222 2.88% 15.28% 81.84%-3.95 -4.2 16
1998-05-03 @ Rumelange W 5-127.7 1222 629 81.84% 15.28% 2.88%+3.95 +4.2 48
1998-05-03 Grevenmacher W 3-258.3 759 1039 13.59% 21.48% 64.93%-1.69 +24.4 20
1998-05-03 @ CS Petange L 2-358.3 1039 759 64.93% 21.48% 13.59%+1.69 -24.4 37
1998-05-03 Sporting Mertzig W 6-141.3 820 906 32.68% 23.24% 44.08%-0.29 +70.0 25
1998-05-03 @ Wiltz 71 L 1-641.3 906 820 44.08% 23.24% 32.68%+0.29 -70.0 24
1998-05-10 CS Petange W 3-138.8 880 784 56.24% 22.62% 21.14%+1.01 +17.2 33
1998-05-10 @ F91 Dudelange L 1-338.8 784 880 21.14% 22.62% 56.24%-1.01 -17.2 20
1998-05-10 Wiltz 71 W 6-133.4 1014 890 59.12% 22.33% 18.55%+1.22 +34.4 40
1998-05-10 @ Grevenmacher L 1-633.4 890 1014 18.55% 22.33% 59.12%-1.22 -34.4 25
1998-05-10 Avenir Beggen W 2-031.3 1227 1029 65.61% 21.36% 13.04%+1.75 +12.8 51
1998-05-10 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-231.3 1029 1227 13.04% 21.36% 65.61%-1.75 -12.8 35
1998-05-10 Hobscheid W 5-027.4 1120 904 66.97% 21.08% 11.95%+1.88 +27.6 50
1998-05-10 @ Union Luxembourg L 0-527.4 904 1120 11.95% 21.08% 66.97%-1.88 -27.6 30
1998-05-10 Differdange 03 W 1-033.7 771 574 65.60% 21.36% 13.05%+1.75 +6.8 19
1998-05-10 @ Spora Luxembourg L 0-133.7 574 771 13.05% 21.36% 65.60%-1.75 -6.8 4
1998-05-10 Rumelange W 6-131.1 836 625 66.67% 21.14% 12.19%+1.85 +23.3 27
1998-05-10 @ Sporting Mertzig L 1-631.1 625 836 12.19% 21.14% 66.67%-1.85 -23.3 16
1998-05-17 Sporting Mertzig L 1-350.9 1016 859 62.17% 21.94% 15.90%+1.45 -42.7 35
1998-05-17 @ Avenir Beggen W 3-150.9 859 1016 15.90% 21.94% 62.17%-1.45 +42.7 30
1998-05-17 Differdange 03 D 2-257.8 877 567 73.06% 19.40% 7.54%+2.55 -5.1 31
1998-05-17 @ Hobscheid D 2-257.8 567 877 7.54% 19.40% 73.06%-2.55 +5.1 5
1998-05-17 Spora Luxembourg W 1-029.3 1239 778 80.22% 16.22% 3.56%+3.64 +1.8 54
1998-05-17 @ Jeunesse Esch L 0-129.3 778 1239 3.56% 16.22% 80.22%-3.64 -1.8 19
1998-05-17 Grevenmacher L 0-228.3 601 1049 5.97% 18.44% 75.59%-2.90 -5.8 16
1998-05-17 @ Rumelange W 2-028.3 1049 601 75.59% 18.44% 5.97%+2.90 +5.8 43
1998-05-17 Union Luxembourg L 2-633.4 767 1148 8.26% 19.75% 71.98%-2.42 -11.0 20
1998-05-17 @ CS Petange W 6-233.4 1148 767 71.98% 19.75% 8.26%+2.42 +11.0 53
1998-05-17 F91 Dudelange L 0-337.6 856 897 38.94% 23.30% 37.76%+0.03 -47.6 25
1998-05-17 @ Wiltz 71 W 3-037.6 897 856 37.76% 23.30% 38.94%-0.03 +47.6 36

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1998-05-03 13.59% @ CS Petange 759 3 Grevenmacher 1039 2
2 1997-10-19 15.40% @ Hobscheid 832 1 Jeunesse Esch 1085 0
3 1998-03-08 15.44% Avenir Beggen 991 2 @ Union Luxembourg 1153 1
4 1998-05-17 15.90% Sporting Mertzig 859 3 @ Avenir Beggen 1016 1
5 1997-12-07 16.48% Avenir Beggen 943 3 @ Grevenmacher 1091 0
6 1998-03-08 17.59% Sporting Mertzig 876 1 @ Grevenmacher 1012 0
7 1998-03-08 18.07% @ Spora Luxembourg 637 3 CS Petange 857 1
8 1998-03-29 18.45% Rumelange 677 3 @ CS Petange 802 2
9 1998-03-01 20.53% F91 Dudelange 911 2 @ Avenir Beggen 1013 1
10 1997-11-09 23.27% Sporting Mertzig 829 3 @ CS Petange 904 1
11 1998-03-29 23.62% @ Spora Luxembourg 685 2 Wiltz 71 847 1
12 1997-11-16 24.26% Hobscheid 840 3 @ F91 Dudelange 905 1
13 1998-04-03 28.22% @ Grevenmacher 1010 1 Union Luxembourg 1131 0
14 1998-03-08 29.48% Rumelange 658 2 @ Differdange 03 679 0
15 1997-08-26 31.05% @ Spora Luxembourg 811 2 Sporting Mertzig 910 0
16 1997-08-26 31.25% Wiltz 71 821 2 @ Differdange 03 828 1
17 1997-08-20 31.45% @ Hobscheid 770 3 Spora Luxembourg 865 0
18 1997-08-26 32.11% @ F91 Dudelange 809 5 Avenir Beggen 899 1
19 1998-05-03 32.68% @ Wiltz 71 820 6 Sporting Mertzig 906 1
20 1997-11-30 33.44% Avenir Beggen 912 3 @ Sporting Mertzig 902 1
21 1997-09-17 33.85% @ Rumelange 732 4 Differdange 03 809 2
22 1997-11-23 34.02% F91 Dudelange 869 5 @ CS Petange 854 2
23 1997-09-24 35.21% Avenir Beggen 805 3 @ Differdange 03 782 0
24 1998-03-01 36.69% @ CS Petange 823 2 Hobscheid 880 0
25 1997-08-26 36.97% @ Grevenmacher 1021 3 Jeunesse Esch 1076 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1997-12-07 70.82 Avenir Beggen 3 943 16.48% @ Grevenmacher 0 1091 61.48% 22.03%
2 1998-05-03 70.02 @ Wiltz 71 6 820 32.68% Sporting Mertzig 1 906 44.08% 23.24%
3 1998-04-20 62.77 @ Spora Luxembourg 7 710 45.81% Rumelange 1 701 30.99% 23.20%
4 1997-08-26 57.80 @ F91 Dudelange 5 809 32.11% Avenir Beggen 1 899 44.66% 23.23%
5 1997-09-17 57.42 @ CS Petange 5 889 49.87% Spora Luxembourg 0 848 27.08% 23.05%
6 1997-08-20 53.76 @ Hobscheid 3 770 31.45% Spora Luxembourg 0 865 45.34% 23.21%
7 1997-09-24 50.01 Avenir Beggen 3 805 35.21% @ Differdange 03 0 782 41.50% 23.29%
8 1998-05-17 47.56 F91 Dudelange 3 897 37.76% @ Wiltz 71 0 856 38.94% 23.30%
9 1997-09-24 45.76 @ Hobscheid 6 811 51.17% Rumelange 1 759 25.85% 22.98%
10 1997-11-09 43.99 Avenir Beggen 4 881 51.78% @ Rumelange 0 734 25.27% 22.95%
11 1998-05-17 42.68 Sporting Mertzig 3 859 15.90% @ Avenir Beggen 1 1016 62.17% 21.94%
12 1998-03-08 41.03 @ Spora Luxembourg 3 637 18.07% CS Petange 1 857 59.66% 22.27%
13 1998-03-08 38.42 Rumelange 2 658 29.48% @ Differdange 03 0 679 47.37% 23.15%
14 1997-11-23 37.38 F91 Dudelange 5 869 34.02% @ CS Petange 2 854 42.71% 23.27%
15 1997-11-09 37.33 Sporting Mertzig 3 829 23.27% @ CS Petange 1 904 53.92% 22.81%
16 1997-08-26 37.30 @ Spora Luxembourg 2 811 31.05% Sporting Mertzig 0 910 45.75% 23.20%
17 1997-09-17 36.86 Union Luxembourg 4 1034 56.90% @ Avenir Beggen 0 841 20.53% 22.56%
18 1997-11-16 36.66 Hobscheid 3 840 24.26% @ F91 Dudelange 1 905 52.86% 22.88%
19 1998-05-10 34.40 @ Grevenmacher 6 1014 59.12% Wiltz 71 1 890 18.55% 22.33%
20 1997-10-26 34.20 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1058 58.78% CS Petange 0 938 18.85% 22.37%
21 1998-03-01 33.45 @ CS Petange 2 823 36.69% Hobscheid 0 880 40.01% 23.30%
22 1997-08-20 33.28 Grevenmacher 5 988 39.87% @ Avenir Beggen 2 933 36.83% 23.30%
23 1997-10-26 30.97 @ Rumelange 2 704 40.49% Spora Luxembourg 0 733 36.21% 23.29%
24 1997-11-30 30.86 Avenir Beggen 3 912 33.44% @ Sporting Mertzig 1 902 43.30% 23.26%
25 1998-03-29 30.75 Grevenmacher 2 979 40.83% @ F91 Dudelange 0 917 35.88% 23.29%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-05-03 62.1 @ Avenir Beggen 3 1033 70.39% Spora Luxembourg 3 767 9.38% 20.23%
2 1998-04-26 61.6 @ Grevenmacher 3 1042 62.78% Hobscheid 3 878 15.37% 21.84%
3 1998-04-03 61.2 @ Rumelange 3 700 27.69% Wiltz 71 3 825 49.23% 23.08%
4 1998-04-20 61.1 @ Hobscheid 3 878 40.33% Sporting Mertzig 3 909 36.37% 23.30%
5 1998-05-03 58.3 @ CS Petange 3 759 13.59% Grevenmacher 2 1039 64.93% 21.48%
6 1998-05-17 57.8 @ Hobscheid 2 877 73.06% Differdange 03 2 567 7.54% 19.40%
7 1997-08-20 57.2 @ Jeunesse Esch 2 1080 63.68% Sporting Mertzig 2 906 14.62% 21.70%
8 1998-04-26 57.1 @ Sporting Mertzig 2 910 61.91% CS Petange 2 756 16.12% 21.97%
9 1997-09-28 57.0 @ Rumelange 2 714 17.17% CS Petange 2 944 60.69% 22.14%
10 1997-09-24 56.9 @ CS Petange 2 946 55.99% Wiltz 71 2 853 21.36% 22.64%
11 1997-11-09 56.9 @ Wiltz 71 2 888 19.38% Jeunesse Esch 2 1093 58.18% 22.43%
12 1998-03-29 56.9 Rumelange 3 677 18.45% @ CS Petange 2 802 59.23% 22.32%
13 1997-10-19 56.7 @ Differdange 03 2 720 29.45% Sporting Mertzig 2 831 47.40% 23.15%
14 1997-11-23 56.7 @ Differdange 03 2 684 44.37% Spora Luxembourg 2 686 32.39% 23.24%
15 1998-03-22 53.1 @ Grevenmacher 1 986 72.96% Spora Luxembourg 1 678 7.61% 19.43%
16 1998-03-08 52.9 Avenir Beggen 2 991 15.44% @ Union Luxembourg 1 1153 62.70% 21.86%
17 1997-09-28 52.5 @ Grevenmacher 1 1063 65.21% F91 Dudelange 1 871 13.36% 21.43%
18 1998-03-01 52.4 @ Wiltz 71 1 852 64.10% Differdange 03 1 674 14.27% 21.63%
19 1997-11-23 52.2 @ Wiltz 71 1 865 17.64% Grevenmacher 1 1089 60.15% 22.21%
20 1998-04-20 52.2 @ F91 Dudelange 1 883 17.41% Union Luxembourg 1 1110 60.41% 22.18%
21 1997-11-30 52.1 @ Differdange 03 1 684 21.77% Hobscheid 1 863 55.55% 22.68%
22 1998-04-03 52.1 @ Spora Luxembourg 1 707 21.74% F91 Dudelange 1 886 55.58% 22.68%
23 1997-10-19 52.0 @ CS Petange 1 941 52.40% Avenir Beggen 1 879 24.69% 22.91%
24 1997-08-26 51.9 @ Hobscheid 1 823 35.36% CS Petange 1 890 41.35% 23.29%
25 1997-10-26 51.9 @ Avenir Beggen 1 882 43.90% Wiltz 71 1 887 32.85% 23.25%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-05-03 23.7 Union Luxembourg 5 1111 79.30% @ Differdange 03 0 583 3.99% 16.71%
2 1997-11-09 24.4 @ Union Luxembourg 4 1110 77.95% Spora Luxembourg 0 703 4.66% 17.39%
3 1998-04-26 24.7 @ Avenir Beggen 4 1023 76.93% Rumelange 0 638 5.21% 17.86%
4 1998-04-20 25.1 Jeunesse Esch 5 1199 74.63% @ CS Petange 0 771 6.55% 18.83%
5 1997-09-28 25.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1073 74.76% Differdange 03 0 732 6.46% 18.77%
6 1997-11-16 25.3 @ Union Luxembourg 3 1118 78.86% Differdange 03 0 690 4.20% 16.94%
7 1997-10-26 25.6 @ Grevenmacher 4 1045 73.86% Differdange 03 0 721 7.03% 19.11%
8 1997-11-16 25.9 @ Jeunesse Esch 9 1090 77.60% Rumelange 0 690 4.85% 17.56%
9 1998-04-26 26.2 @ F91 Dudelange 4 887 71.86% Differdange 03 0 598 8.35% 19.79%
10 1997-08-26 26.6 @ Union Luxembourg 5 1011 69.79% Rumelange 0 755 9.81% 20.40%
11 1998-04-03 26.6 @ Sporting Mertzig 5 887 69.71% Differdange 03 0 632 9.87% 20.42%
12 1998-03-29 26.8 Jeunesse Esch 2 1192 80.47% @ Differdange 03 0 635 3.45% 16.08%
13 1998-05-10 27.4 @ Union Luxembourg 5 1120 66.97% Hobscheid 0 904 11.95% 21.08%
14 1998-05-03 27.7 Jeunesse Esch 5 1222 81.84% @ Rumelange 1 629 2.88% 15.28%
15 1998-03-22 28.0 @ Avenir Beggen 2 1016 76.48% Differdange 03 0 640 5.45% 18.06%
16 1998-05-17 28.3 Grevenmacher 2 1049 75.59% @ Rumelange 0 601 5.97% 18.44%
17 1997-11-30 28.6 @ Grevenmacher 5 1085 78.63% Rumelange 1 662 4.32% 17.06%
18 1997-11-30 28.8 @ Union Luxembourg 2 1137 73.65% CS Petange 0 817 7.16% 19.19%
19 1998-04-26 29.1 @ Jeunesse Esch 5 1214 77.00% Wiltz 71 1 828 5.17% 17.83%
20 1998-05-17 29.3 @ Jeunesse Esch 1 1239 80.22% Spora Luxembourg 0 778 3.56% 16.22%
21 1997-11-30 29.6 Jeunesse Esch 5 1130 75.34% @ Spora Luxembourg 1 687 6.11% 18.54%
22 1998-04-20 29.9 Grevenmacher 5 1031 74.30% @ Differdange 03 1 609 6.75% 18.95%
23 1997-10-26 30.1 @ Jeunesse Esch 4 1058 58.78% CS Petange 0 938 18.85% 22.37%
24 1997-09-17 30.7 Union Luxembourg 4 1034 56.90% @ Avenir Beggen 0 841 20.53% 22.56%
25 1997-11-16 31.0 @ Grevenmacher 2 1077 66.59% CS Petange 0 867 12.25% 21.16%