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1971-72 Maltese First Division Season

90 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Sliema Wanderers

26 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Floriana

5.25 points above expected

26 points · 20.75 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Marsa

4.01 points below expected

16 points · 20.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sliema Wanderers 18 10 6 2 26 28 7 +21 26.42 -0.42
2 Floriana 18 10 6 2 26 17 7 +10 20.75 +5.25
3 Valletta 18 10 4 4 24 18 13 +5 18.94 +5.06
4 Hibernians 18 5 8 5 18 11 11 0 19.78 -1.78
5 Birkirkara 18 4 9 5 17 17 12 +5 15.70 +1.30
6 Gzira United 18 5 7 6 17 12 12 0 21.00 -4.00
7 Marsa 18 5 6 7 16 17 22 -5 20.01 -4.01
8 Hamrun Spartans 18 4 7 7 15 13 13 0 16.68 -1.68
9 Zebbug Rangers 18 3 7 8 13 16 32 -16 11.28 +1.72
10 Qormi 18 1 6 11 8 6 26 -20 9.44 -1.44

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Floriana 26 20.75 +5.25
2 Valletta 24 18.94 +5.06
3 Zebbug Rangers 13 11.28 +1.72
4 Birkirkara 17 15.70 +1.30
5 Sliema Wanderers 26 26.42 -0.42

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Marsa 16 20.01 -4.01
2 Gzira United 17 21.00 -4.00
3 Hibernians 18 19.78 -1.78
4 Hamrun Spartans 15 16.68 -1.68
5 Qormi 8 9.44 -1.44

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sliema Wanderers 1479 26 +6 8 7.9 +0.1
Floriana 1345 26 +3 6 6.2 -0.2
Valletta 1297 24 +10 6 5.2 +0.8
Hibernians 1289 18 -6 5 6.1 -1.1
Gzira United 1316 17 +34 10 5.9 +4.1
Birkirkara 1216 17 +0 5 4.9 +0.1
Marsa 1277 16 -31 2 5.1 -3.1
Hamrun Spartans 1219 15 +6 5 4.2 +0.8
Zebbug Rangers 1101 13 -17 1 2.7 -1.7
Qormi 1042 8 -2 3 2.4 +0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIR FLO GU HS HIB MAR QOR SW VAL ZR
Birkirkara —
0-0-2
1.73
0-2-0
1.88
0-2-0
2.39
1-0-1
1.94
0-1-1
1.95
1-0-1
3.83
0-2-0
1.09
1-1-0
1.86
1-1-0
3.35
Floriana
2-0-0
3.54
 —
1-1-0
2.66
0-1-1
3.55
1-1-0
2.79
2-0-0
2.77
2-0-0
4.32
1-0-1
1.67
0-2-0
3.06
1-1-0
4.07
Gzira United
0-2-0
3.37
0-1-1
2.57
 —
2-0-0
3.23
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
2.69
1-1-0
4.25
0-2-0
1.52
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
3.93
Hamrun Spartans
0-2-0
2.84
1-1-0
1.72
0-0-2
2.02
 —
0-0-2
2.01
0-1-1
1.92
1-1-0
3.75
1-1-0
1.10
0-0-2
2.10
1-1-0
3.32
Hibernians
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
2.44
2-0-0
2.52
2-0-0
3.23
 —
0-2-0
2.53
0-2-0
4.17
0-0-2
1.46
0-1-1
2.77
0-2-0
3.88
Marsa
1-1-0
3.30
0-0-2
2.46
1-0-1
2.54
1-1-0
3.33
0-2-0
2.70
 —
1-1-0
4.15
0-1-1
1.54
0-0-2
2.78
1-0-1
3.92
Qormi
1-0-1
1.47
0-0-2
1.08
0-1-1
1.14
0-1-1
1.54
0-2-0
1.20
0-1-1
1.22
 —
0-0-2
0.77
0-0-2
1.32
0-1-1
2.13
Sliema Wanderers
0-2-0
4.31
1-0-1
3.61
0-2-0
3.78
0-1-1
4.29
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.75
2-0-0
4.76
 —
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
4.62
Valletta
0-1-1
3.40
0-2-0
2.18
1-0-1
2.29
2-0-0
3.15
1-1-0
2.46
2-0-0
2.46
2-0-0
4.01
0-0-2
1.42
 —
2-0-0
3.78
Zebbug Rangers
0-1-1
1.90
0-1-1
1.27
1-1-0
1.39
0-1-1
1.93
0-2-0
1.43
1-0-1
1.40
1-1-0
3.11
0-0-2
0.87
0-0-2
1.51
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.56 +7.6
Allowed 0.60 -5.4
Differential 0.82 +4.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.89%14.44%5.00%3.89%——42.22%
114.44%17.78%5.00%1.67%—1.11%40.00%
25.00%5.00%—0.56%——10.56%
33.89%1.67%0.56%———6.11%
4———————
5+—1.11%————1.11%
Total42.22%40.00%10.56%6.11%—1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 0.86 +0.00
SD 1.02 1.02 1.48
CV 1.18 1.18 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 90

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
038.89%5.56%————44.44%
15.56%11.11%22.22%———38.89%
211.11%—————11.11%
3———————
4———————
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total55.56%22.22%22.22%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 0.67 +0.28
SD 1.43 0.84 1.49
CV 1.52 1.26 —
Max 6 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%5.56%5.56%———33.33%
133.33%11.11%————44.44%
25.56%11.11%————16.67%
35.56%—————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total66.67%27.78%5.56%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 0.39 +0.56
SD 0.87 0.61 1.10
CV 0.92 1.56 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
027.78%27.78%————55.56%
15.56%11.11%—5.56%——22.22%
211.11%11.11%————22.22%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total44.44%50.00%—5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 0.67 +0.00
SD 0.84 0.77 1.08
CV 1.26 1.15 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%27.78%5.56%———50.00%
111.11%22.22%5.56%———38.89%
2———————
311.11%—————11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%50.00%11.11%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.72 0.72 +0.00
SD 0.96 0.67 1.33
CV 1.33 0.93 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%27.78%————44.44%
122.22%27.78%————50.00%
2—5.56%————5.56%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%61.11%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.61 0.61 +0.00
SD 0.61 0.50 0.77
CV 0.99 0.82 —
Max 2 1 +1
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
111.11%27.78%5.56%5.56%——50.00%
25.56%11.11%—5.56%——22.22%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%50.00%11.11%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.22 -0.28
SD 0.73 1.00 1.27
CV 0.77 0.82 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%16.67%22.22%16.67%——66.67%
15.56%22.22%5.56%———33.33%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%38.89%27.78%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.33 1.44 -1.11
SD 0.49 0.98 1.23
CV 1.46 0.68 —
Max 1 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%11.11%————33.33%
116.67%11.11%————27.78%
25.56%—————5.56%
316.67%11.11%————27.78%
4———————
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total61.11%38.89%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 0.39 +1.17
SD 1.65 0.50 1.62
CV 1.06 1.29 —
Max 6 1 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%11.11%5.56%——33.33%
133.33%11.11%————44.44%
25.56%5.56%————11.11%
35.56%—5.56%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total55.56%22.22%16.67%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.72 +0.28
SD 0.97 0.96 1.49
CV 0.97 1.33 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%5.56%—11.11%——33.33%
1—22.22%11.11%5.56%—11.11%50.00%
25.56%5.56%————11.11%
3—5.56%————5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%38.89%11.11%16.67%—11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.89 1.78 -0.89
SD 0.83 1.83 2.03
CV 0.94 1.03 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sliema Wanderers 1487 26 26.42 -0.42 49.0% 19 21 24 27 28 31 34
Floriana 1338 26 20.75 +5.25 97.0% 10 16 18 20 23 26 29
Gzira United 1316 17 21.00 -4.00 11.0% 15 16 19 21 23 26 28
Valletta 1297 24 18.94 +5.06 95.0% 13 13 17 19 21 24 25
Hibernians 1289 18 19.78 -1.78 36.0% 11 15 18 20 22 25 29
Marsa 1277 16 20.01 -4.01 17.0% 13 15 17 20 22 27 29
Hamrun Spartans 1219 15 16.68 -1.68 31.0% 9 11 15 17 19 22 25
Birkirkara 1216 17 15.70 +1.30 71.0% 8 10 13 16 18 21 23
Zebbug Rangers 1101 13 11.28 +1.72 83.0% 5 7 10 11 12 15 19
Qormi 1042 8 9.44 -1.44 42.0% 4 6 7 9 11 14 17

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.33%
Slight Edge
33.33%36.67%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 11.59 Elo pts.
240 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.23 goals
Neutral
-2+0.05+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
72%
Sliema Wanderers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.49 * Some Luck: 2.49 to 3.74 * Lucky: 3.74 to 4.98 * Wild Swing: 4.98 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.04 * Close: 1.04 to 1.56 * Off: 1.56 to 2.08 * Way Off: 2.08 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.13 points
Some Luck
03.118
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.60
Off
01.303
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
97.00%
Floriana
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
11.00%
Gzira United
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Balanced
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 123.59
1.72
Moderate Separation
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
63%
Even
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
93%
Clear Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
77%
Very Frequent
0%69%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Rare
0%9%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Slight Separation
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.97
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.68
Some Carryover
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%15%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.19 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.19 to 0.29 * Above Noise: 0.29 to 0.38 * Well Above Noise: 0.38 and up.
Probability calibration
0.94
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.97
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.113
Well Within Noise
00.1910.5

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Sliema Wanderers 2
Floriana 0

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Sliema Wanderers72.00%18.00%5.00%3.00%2.00%—————
Floriana4.00%22.00%18.00%18.00%17.00%11.00%7.00%1.00%2.00%—
Valletta2.00%10.00%15.00%17.00%17.00%19.00%13.00%6.00%1.00%—
Hibernians7.00%12.00%14.00%14.00%21.00%12.00%12.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%
Birkirkara—2.00%4.00%6.00%9.00%16.00%18.00%33.00%8.00%4.00%
Gzira United8.00%20.00%21.00%19.00%12.00%11.00%4.00%5.00%——
Marsa7.00%12.00%17.00%15.00%11.00%14.00%15.00%8.00%1.00%—
Hamrun Spartans—4.00%6.00%8.00%11.00%17.00%23.00%22.00%7.00%2.00%
Zebbug Rangers——————5.00%15.00%52.00%28.00%
Qormi——————3.00%6.00%26.00%65.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Floriana 92.00% 8.00%
Gzira United 91.00% 9.00%
Qormi 91.00% 9.00%
Hibernians 84.00% 16.00%
Valletta 81.00% 19.00%
Zebbug Rangers 80.00% 20.00%
Marsa 77.00% 23.00%
Hamrun Spartans 55.00% 45.00%
Birkirkara 49.00% 51.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1971-09-11 Hamrun Spartans D 0-044.7 1187 1215 30.12% 38.45% 31.43%-0.07 +0.0 1
1971-09-11 @ Birkirkara D 0-044.7 1215 1187 31.43% 38.45% 30.12%+0.07 -0.1 1
1971-09-11 Marsa W 2-041.0 1308 1319 32.57% 38.47% 28.97%+0.00 +11.9 2
1971-09-11 @ Floriana L 0-241.0 1319 1308 28.97% 38.47% 32.57%+0.00 -11.8 0
1971-09-11 Sliema Wanderers L 0-328.3 1074 1464 5.95% 25.16% 68.89%-1.58 -3.9 0
1971-09-11 @ Qormi W 3-028.3 1464 1074 68.89% 25.16% 5.95%+1.58 +3.9 2
1971-09-11 Gzira United W 1-046.0 1270 1335 25.20% 38.16% 36.64%-0.22 +7.3 2
1971-09-11 @ Valletta L 0-146.0 1335 1270 36.64% 38.16% 25.20%+0.22 -7.3 0
1971-09-11 Hibernians D 1-152.3 1110 1296 13.93% 35.03% 51.05%-0.73 +1.5 1
1971-09-11 @ Zebbug Rangers D 1-152.3 1296 1110 51.05% 35.03% 13.93%+0.73 -1.5 1
1971-09-25 Hibernians D 0-045.6 1320 1295 37.45% 38.26% 24.29%+0.15 -0.5 3
1971-09-25 @ Floriana D 0-045.6 1295 1320 24.29% 38.26% 37.45%-0.15 +0.5 2
1971-09-25 Birkirkara D 0-044.8 1215 1187 37.81% 38.23% 23.96%+0.16 -0.5 2
1971-09-25 @ Hamrun Spartans D 0-044.8 1187 1215 23.96% 38.23% 37.81%-0.16 +0.5 2
1971-09-25 Zebbug Rangers W 2-142.8 1307 1111 56.07% 33.37% 10.56%+0.87 +2.7 2
1971-09-25 @ Marsa L 1-242.8 1111 1307 10.56% 33.37% 56.07%-0.87 -2.7 1
1971-09-25 Valletta L 0-233.8 1070 1277 12.67% 34.22% 53.11%-0.82 -6.3 0
1971-09-25 @ Qormi W 2-033.8 1277 1070 53.11% 34.22% 12.67%+0.82 +6.3 4
1971-09-25 Gzira United D 0-048.9 1468 1328 50.69% 35.60% 13.71%+0.63 -1.7 3
1971-09-25 @ Sliema Wanderers D 0-048.9 1328 1468 13.71% 35.60% 50.69%-0.63 +1.6 1
1971-10-09 Gzira United D 1-152.3 1320 1330 32.65% 38.47% 28.88%+0.01 -0.1 4
1971-10-09 @ Floriana D 1-152.3 1330 1320 28.88% 38.47% 32.65%-0.01 +0.1 2
1971-10-09 Hibernians L 0-141.4 1215 1296 23.36% 37.95% 38.69%-0.29 -5.5 2
1971-10-09 @ Hamrun Spartans W 1-041.4 1296 1215 38.69% 37.95% 23.36%+0.29 +5.5 4
1971-10-09 Valletta L 2-357.0 1310 1284 37.58% 38.25% 24.17%+0.16 -6.7 2
1971-10-09 @ Marsa W 3-257.0 1284 1310 24.17% 38.25% 37.58%-0.16 +6.7 6
1971-10-09 Birkirkara D 0-048.6 1466 1188 63.10% 29.42% 7.48%+1.21 -2.6 4
1971-10-09 @ Sliema Wanderers D 0-048.6 1188 1466 7.48% 29.42% 63.10%-1.21 +2.6 3
1971-10-09 Qormi W 2-037.6 1108 1064 39.95% 38.02% 22.03%+0.23 +9.9 3
1971-10-09 @ Zebbug Rangers L 0-237.6 1064 1108 22.03% 38.02% 39.95%-0.23 -9.9 0
1971-10-16 Zebbug Rangers W 3-034.9 1209 1118 45.49% 37.08% 17.43%+0.43 +12.2 4
1971-10-16 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-334.9 1118 1209 17.43% 37.08% 45.49%-0.43 -12.2 3
1971-10-16 Floriana L 0-144.6 1301 1320 31.47% 38.47% 30.06%-0.03 -6.6 4
1971-10-16 @ Hibernians W 1-044.6 1320 1301 30.06% 38.47% 31.47%+0.03 +6.6 6
1971-10-16 Sliema Wanderers L 1-343.8 1303 1464 15.79% 35.97% 48.24%-0.62 -6.7 2
1971-10-16 @ Marsa W 3-143.8 1464 1303 48.24% 35.97% 15.79%+0.62 +6.7 6
1971-10-16 Gzira United D 0-046.9 1054 1330 9.38% 31.10% 59.51%-1.10 +2.3 1
1971-10-16 @ Qormi D 0-046.9 1330 1054 59.51% 31.10% 9.38%+1.10 -2.3 3
1971-10-16 Birkirkara D 1-151.9 1290 1191 46.47% 36.85% 16.68%+0.46 -1.1 7
1971-10-16 @ Valletta D 1-151.9 1191 1290 16.68% 36.85% 46.47%-0.46 +1.2 4
1971-10-23 Birkirkara W 2-144.9 1326 1192 50.13% 35.79% 14.07%+0.61 +3.5 8
1971-10-23 @ Floriana L 1-244.9 1192 1326 14.07% 35.79% 50.13%-0.61 -3.5 4
1971-10-23 Marsa L 0-146.6 1328 1297 38.21% 38.20% 23.59%+0.18 -7.5 3
1971-10-23 @ Gzira United W 1-046.6 1297 1328 23.59% 38.20% 38.21%-0.18 +7.5 4
1971-10-23 Zebbug Rangers D 0-046.2 1294 1106 55.35% 33.71% 10.94%+0.83 -2.0 5
1971-10-23 @ Hibernians D 0-046.2 1106 1294 10.94% 33.71% 55.35%-0.83 +2.0 4
1971-10-23 Hamrun Spartans D 1-151.9 1056 1222 15.42% 35.80% 48.78%-0.64 +1.3 2
1971-10-23 @ Qormi D 1-151.9 1222 1056 48.78% 35.80% 15.42%+0.64 -1.3 5
1971-10-23 Valletta W 3-034.8 1470 1289 54.68% 34.02% 11.31%+0.80 +8.4 8
1971-10-23 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-334.8 1289 1470 11.31% 34.02% 54.68%-0.80 -8.4 7
1971-11-07 Gzira United D 0-045.5 1188 1320 18.16% 36.83% 45.01%-0.50 +1.1 5
1971-11-07 @ Birkirkara D 0-045.5 1320 1188 45.01% 36.83% 18.16%+0.50 -1.1 4
1971-11-07 Hamrun Spartans D 1-152.2 1330 1220 47.52% 36.58% 15.90%+0.50 -1.2 9
1971-11-07 @ Floriana D 1-152.2 1220 1330 15.90% 36.58% 47.52%-0.50 +1.2 6
1971-11-07 Hibernians W 1-039.0 1479 1292 55.18% 33.79% 11.03%+0.83 +3.0 10
1971-11-07 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-139.0 1292 1479 11.03% 33.79% 55.18%-0.83 -3.0 5
1971-11-07 Qormi W 1-035.1 1281 1057 58.49% 32.13% 9.38%+0.98 +2.5 9
1971-11-07 @ Valletta L 0-135.1 1057 1281 9.38% 32.13% 58.49%-0.98 -2.5 2
1971-11-07 Marsa W 2-155.6 1108 1304 13.35% 34.68% 51.98%-0.77 +9.0 6
1971-11-07 @ Zebbug Rangers L 1-255.6 1304 1108 51.98% 34.68% 13.35%+0.77 -9.0 4
1971-11-21 Hibernians L 1-247.4 1189 1289 21.25% 37.60% 41.15%-0.37 -4.8 5
1971-11-21 @ Birkirkara W 2-147.4 1289 1189 41.15% 37.60% 21.25%+0.37 +4.8 7
1971-11-21 Marsa L 0-232.8 1055 1295 10.94% 32.80% 56.27%-0.95 -5.5 2
1971-11-21 @ Qormi W 2-032.8 1295 1055 56.27% 32.80% 10.94%+0.95 +5.5 6
1971-11-21 Floriana L 0-152.6 1482 1328 52.03% 35.11% 12.85%+0.69 -9.6 10
1971-11-21 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-052.6 1328 1482 12.85% 35.11% 52.03%-0.69 +9.6 11
1971-11-21 Hamrun Spartans W 1-040.4 1283 1221 42.09% 37.73% 20.18%+0.31 +5.0 11
1971-11-21 @ Valletta L 0-140.4 1221 1283 20.18% 37.73% 42.09%-0.31 -5.0 6
1971-11-21 Gzira United D 1-152.5 1117 1319 12.99% 34.45% 52.56%-0.79 +1.6 7
1971-11-21 @ Zebbug Rangers D 1-152.5 1319 1117 52.56% 34.45% 12.99%+0.79 -1.6 5
1971-12-05 Sliema Wanderers D 1-154.8 1185 1472 8.95% 30.53% 60.52%-1.15 +2.2 6
1971-12-05 @ Birkirkara D 1-154.8 1472 1185 60.52% 30.53% 8.95%+1.15 -2.2 11
1971-12-05 Floriana L 0-144.8 1317 1338 31.16% 38.47% 30.37%-0.04 -6.6 5
1971-12-05 @ Gzira United W 1-044.8 1338 1317 30.37% 38.47% 31.16%+0.04 +6.6 13
1971-12-05 Valletta L 0-141.8 1216 1288 24.40% 38.08% 37.52%-0.25 -5.6 6
1971-12-05 @ Hamrun Spartans W 1-041.8 1288 1216 37.52% 38.08% 24.40%+0.25 +5.6 13
1971-12-05 Hibernians D 1-152.9 1049 1294 10.73% 32.60% 56.68%-0.97 +1.9 3
1971-12-05 @ Qormi D 1-152.9 1294 1049 56.68% 32.60% 10.73%+0.97 -1.9 8
1971-12-19 Valletta W 2-043.8 1187 1294 20.49% 37.44% 42.07%-0.40 +15.2 8
1971-12-19 @ Birkirkara L 0-243.8 1294 1187 42.07% 37.44% 20.49%+0.40 -15.2 13
1971-12-19 Sliema Wanderers L 0-240.3 1345 1470 18.74% 37.00% 44.26%-0.47 -8.8 13
1971-12-19 @ Floriana W 2-040.3 1470 1345 44.26% 37.00% 18.74%+0.47 +8.8 13
1971-12-19 Gzira United W 1-044.1 1292 1311 31.47% 38.47% 30.06%-0.03 +6.4 10
1971-12-19 @ Hibernians L 0-144.1 1311 1292 30.06% 38.47% 31.47%+0.03 -6.4 5
1971-12-19 Qormi D 1-153.4 1301 1051 60.70% 30.88% 8.41%+1.09 -2.2 7
1971-12-19 @ Marsa D 1-153.4 1051 1301 8.41% 30.88% 60.70%-1.09 +2.2 4
1971-12-19 Hamrun Spartans D 1-151.4 1119 1211 22.08% 37.75% 40.17%-0.34 +0.7 8
1971-12-19 @ Zebbug Rangers D 1-151.4 1211 1119 40.17% 37.75% 22.08%+0.34 -0.7 7
1972-01-09 Zebbug Rangers W 6-137.1 1202 1119 44.52% 37.29% 18.19%+0.39 +16.8 10
1972-01-09 @ Birkirkara L 1-637.1 1119 1202 18.19% 37.29% 44.52%-0.39 -16.8 8
1972-01-09 Hibernians L 0-145.5 1304 1299 34.84% 38.41% 26.75%+0.07 -7.1 5
1972-01-09 @ Gzira United W 1-045.5 1299 1304 26.75% 38.41% 34.84%-0.07 +7.1 12
1972-01-09 Hamrun Spartans W 1-039.5 1298 1210 45.17% 37.15% 17.68%+0.42 +4.5 9
1972-01-09 @ Marsa L 0-139.5 1210 1298 17.68% 37.15% 45.17%-0.42 -4.5 7
1972-01-09 Floriana L 0-134.7 1054 1336 9.15% 30.80% 60.05%-1.13 -2.4 4
1972-01-09 @ Qormi W 1-034.7 1336 1054 60.05% 30.80% 9.15%+1.13 +2.4 15
1972-01-09 Sliema Wanderers L 0-139.6 1279 1479 13.10% 34.52% 52.38%-0.79 -3.5 13
1972-01-09 @ Valletta W 1-039.6 1479 1279 52.38% 34.52% 13.10%+0.79 +3.5 15
1972-01-23 Floriana L 1-247.0 1219 1338 19.29% 37.15% 43.55%-0.45 -4.5 10
1972-01-23 @ Birkirkara W 2-147.0 1338 1219 43.55% 37.15% 19.29%+0.45 +4.5 17
1972-01-23 Zebbug Rangers L 1-352.4 1297 1103 55.93% 33.44% 10.63%+0.86 -16.6 5
1972-01-23 @ Gzira United W 3-152.4 1103 1297 10.63% 33.44% 55.93%-0.86 +16.6 10
1972-01-23 Marsa D 1-151.7 1206 1303 21.54% 37.65% 40.81%-0.36 +0.7 8
1972-01-23 @ Hamrun Spartans D 1-151.7 1303 1206 40.81% 37.65% 21.54%+0.36 -0.7 10
1972-01-23 Sliema Wanderers L 0-140.9 1306 1482 14.62% 35.41% 49.97%-0.69 -3.8 12
1972-01-23 @ Hibernians W 1-040.9 1482 1306 49.97% 35.41% 14.62%+0.69 +3.8 17
1972-01-30 Qormi W 1-033.5 1343 1051 64.17% 28.73% 7.10%+1.26 +1.8 19
1972-01-30 @ Floriana L 0-133.5 1051 1343 7.10% 28.73% 64.17%-1.26 -1.8 4
1972-01-30 Valletta L 0-146.1 1302 1275 37.63% 38.25% 24.12%+0.16 -7.5 12
1972-01-30 @ Hibernians W 1-046.1 1275 1302 24.12% 38.25% 37.63%-0.16 +7.5 15
1972-01-30 Birkirkara W 2-146.3 1302 1214 45.15% 37.16% 17.69%+0.42 +4.2 12
1972-01-30 @ Marsa L 1-246.3 1214 1302 17.69% 37.16% 45.15%-0.42 -4.2 10
1972-01-30 Hamrun Spartans L 0-152.1 1486 1206 63.21% 29.35% 7.44%+1.22 -11.1 17
1972-01-30 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-052.1 1206 1486 7.44% 29.35% 63.21%-1.22 +11.1 10
1972-02-06 Qormi W 2-033.8 1210 1049 52.74% 34.84% 12.42%+0.72 +6.3 12
1972-02-06 @ Birkirkara L 0-233.8 1049 1210 12.42% 34.84% 52.74%-0.72 -6.3 4
1972-02-06 Sliema Wanderers D 0-048.4 1281 1475 13.45% 34.74% 51.80%-0.76 +1.7 6
1972-02-06 @ Gzira United D 0-048.4 1475 1281 51.80% 34.74% 13.45%+0.76 -1.7 18
1972-02-06 Hibernians D 1-152.0 1306 1294 35.70% 38.38% 25.92%+0.10 -0.3 13
1972-02-06 @ Marsa D 1-152.0 1294 1306 25.92% 38.38% 35.70%-0.10 +0.3 13
1972-02-06 Floriana D 0-046.4 1119 1345 11.68% 33.46% 54.86%-0.89 +2.0 11
1972-02-06 @ Zebbug Rangers D 0-046.4 1345 1119 54.86% 33.46% 11.68%+0.89 -2.0 20
1972-02-20 Valletta D 0-045.8 1343 1283 41.82% 37.77% 20.41%+0.30 -0.9 21
1972-02-20 @ Floriana D 0-045.8 1283 1343 20.41% 37.77% 41.82%-0.30 +0.9 16
1972-02-20 Birkirkara D 0-045.2 1282 1216 42.59% 37.65% 19.76%+0.32 -1.0 7
1972-02-20 @ Gzira United D 0-045.2 1216 1282 19.76% 37.65% 42.59%-0.32 +1.0 13
1972-02-20 Hamrun Spartans W 1-039.9 1295 1218 43.91% 37.41% 18.68%+0.37 +4.7 15
1972-02-20 @ Hibernians L 0-139.9 1218 1295 18.68% 37.41% 43.91%-0.37 -4.7 10
1972-02-20 Zebbug Rangers D 1-151.2 1043 1121 23.66% 37.99% 38.35%-0.28 +0.5 5
1972-02-20 @ Qormi D 1-151.2 1121 1043 38.35% 37.99% 23.66%+0.28 -0.5 12
1972-02-20 Marsa D 1-155.4 1473 1306 53.37% 34.58% 12.05%+0.75 -1.7 19
1972-02-20 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-155.4 1306 1473 12.05% 34.58% 53.37%-0.75 +1.7 14
1972-03-06 Hamrun Spartans W 2-037.1 1281 1213 42.89% 37.60% 19.52%+0.33 +9.1 9
1972-03-06 @ Gzira United L 0-237.1 1213 1281 19.52% 37.60% 42.89%-0.33 -9.1 10
1972-03-06 Marsa D 1-152.0 1299 1308 32.90% 38.46% 28.63%+0.01 -0.1 16
1972-03-06 @ Hibernians D 1-152.0 1308 1299 28.63% 38.46% 32.90%-0.01 +0.2 15
1972-03-06 Qormi W 3-026.6 1472 1044 74.33% 21.52% 4.15%+1.83 +2.5 21
1972-03-06 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-326.6 1044 1472 4.15% 21.52% 74.33%-1.83 -2.5 5
1972-03-06 Zebbug Rangers W 1-036.9 1284 1121 52.98% 34.74% 12.28%+0.73 +3.3 18
1972-03-06 @ Valletta L 0-136.9 1121 1284 12.28% 34.74% 52.98%-0.73 -3.3 12
1972-03-20 Marsa D 0-045.3 1217 1308 22.24% 37.77% 39.98%-0.33 +0.7 14
1972-03-20 @ Birkirkara D 0-045.3 1308 1217 39.98% 37.77% 22.24%+0.33 -0.7 16
1972-03-20 Gzira United L 1-248.0 1204 1291 22.67% 37.84% 39.48%-0.31 -5.0 10
1972-03-20 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-148.0 1291 1204 39.48% 37.84% 22.67%+0.31 +5.0 11
1972-03-20 Zebbug Rangers W 6-130.4 1474 1117 69.23% 25.28% 5.50%+1.54 +4.8 23
1972-03-20 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-630.4 1117 1474 5.50% 25.28% 69.23%-1.54 -4.8 12
1972-03-20 Hibernians D 1-151.9 1287 1299 32.34% 38.47% 29.19%+0.00 -0.1 19
1972-03-20 @ Valletta D 1-151.9 1299 1287 29.19% 38.47% 32.34%+0.00 +0.1 17
1972-03-27 Sliema Wanderers D 0-048.4 1199 1479 9.23% 30.90% 59.87%-1.12 +2.4 11
1972-03-27 @ Hamrun Spartans D 0-048.4 1479 1199 59.87% 30.90% 9.23%+1.12 -2.4 24
1972-03-27 Qormi D 0-047.1 1299 1041 61.46% 30.43% 8.11%+1.13 -2.5 18
1972-03-27 @ Hibernians D 0-047.1 1041 1299 8.11% 30.43% 61.46%-1.13 +2.5 6
1972-03-27 Gzira United L 0-145.7 1307 1296 35.65% 38.38% 25.97%+0.10 -7.2 16
1972-03-27 @ Marsa W 1-045.7 1296 1307 25.97% 38.38% 35.65%-0.10 +7.2 13
1972-03-27 Valletta L 1-244.7 1112 1287 14.77% 35.49% 49.74%-0.68 -3.6 12
1972-03-27 @ Zebbug Rangers W 2-144.7 1287 1112 49.74% 35.49% 14.77%+0.68 +3.6 21
1972-04-03 Qormi W 2-141.1 1303 1044 61.53% 30.39% 8.08%+1.13 +2.0 15
1972-04-03 @ Gzira United L 1-241.1 1044 1303 8.08% 30.39% 61.53%-1.13 -2.0 6
1972-04-03 Floriana D 0-045.7 1291 1342 26.99% 38.31% 34.70%-0.17 +0.3 22
1972-04-03 @ Valletta D 0-045.7 1342 1291 34.70% 38.31% 26.99%+0.17 -0.3 22
1972-04-03 Birkirkara D 0-045.0 1109 1218 20.31% 37.40% 42.29%-0.41 +0.9 13
1972-04-03 @ Zebbug Rangers D 0-045.0 1218 1109 42.29% 37.40% 20.31%+0.41 -0.9 15
1972-04-17 Zebbug Rangers W 3-031.0 1341 1110 59.20% 31.74% 9.06%+1.01 +6.7 24
1972-04-17 @ Floriana L 0-331.0 1110 1341 9.06% 31.74% 59.20%-1.01 -6.7 13
1972-04-17 Valletta W 2-039.7 1305 1291 35.96% 38.36% 25.67%+0.11 +11.0 17
1972-04-17 @ Gzira United L 0-239.7 1291 1305 25.67% 38.36% 35.96%-0.11 -11.0 22
1972-04-17 Qormi W 3-032.7 1201 1042 52.64% 34.88% 12.49%+0.71 +9.2 13
1972-04-17 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-332.7 1042 1201 12.49% 34.88% 52.64%-0.71 -9.2 6
1972-04-17 Birkirkara L 0-147.5 1297 1217 44.21% 37.35% 18.44%+0.38 -8.4 18
1972-04-17 @ Hibernians W 1-047.5 1217 1297 18.44% 37.35% 44.21%-0.38 +8.4 17
1972-05-01 Floriana L 0-143.6 1300 1348 27.40% 38.34% 34.26%-0.15 -6.1 16
1972-05-01 @ Marsa W 1-043.6 1348 1300 34.26% 38.34% 27.40%+0.15 +6.1 26
1972-05-01 Birkirkara W 1-048.6 1032 1225 13.53% 34.79% 51.69%-0.76 +9.5 8
1972-05-01 @ Qormi L 0-148.6 1225 1032 51.69% 34.79% 13.53%+0.76 -9.5 17
1972-05-01 Sliema Wanderers L 1-335.9 1103 1476 6.36% 26.06% 67.59%-1.51 -2.5 13
1972-05-01 @ Zebbug Rangers W 3-135.9 1476 1103 67.59% 26.06% 6.36%+1.51 +2.5 26
1972-05-08 Floriana W 1-048.1 1210 1354 17.12% 36.49% 46.39%-0.55 +8.7 15
1972-05-08 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-148.1 1354 1210 46.39% 36.49% 17.12%+0.55 -8.7 26
1972-05-08 Marsa W 3-039.6 1280 1294 32.09% 38.47% 29.44%-0.01 +17.4 24
1972-05-08 @ Valletta L 0-339.6 1294 1280 29.44% 38.47% 32.09%+0.01 -17.4 16

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
1972-05-15 Floriana W 2-039.5 1479 1345 47.73% 36.33% 15.95%+0.56 +7.8 1-0
1972-05-15 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-239.5 1345 1479 15.95% 36.33% 47.73%-0.56 -7.8 0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1972-01-30 7.44% Hamrun Spartans 1206 1 @ Sliema Wanderers 1486 0
2 1972-01-23 10.63% Zebbug Rangers 1103 3 @ Gzira United 1297 1
3 1971-11-21 12.85% Floriana 1328 1 @ Sliema Wanderers 1482 0
4 1971-11-07 13.35% @ Zebbug Rangers 1108 2 Marsa 1304 1
5 1972-05-01 13.53% @ Qormi 1032 1 Birkirkara 1225 0
6 1972-05-08 17.12% @ Hamrun Spartans 1210 1 Floriana 1354 0
7 1972-04-17 18.44% Birkirkara 1217 1 @ Hibernians 1297 0
8 1971-12-19 20.49% @ Birkirkara 1187 2 Valletta 1294 0
9 1971-10-23 23.59% Marsa 1297 1 @ Gzira United 1328 0
10 1972-01-30 24.12% Valletta 1275 1 @ Hibernians 1302 0
11 1971-10-09 24.17% Valletta 1284 3 @ Marsa 1310 2
12 1971-09-11 25.20% @ Valletta 1270 1 Gzira United 1335 0
13 1972-03-27 25.97% Gzira United 1296 1 @ Marsa 1307 0
14 1972-01-09 26.75% Hibernians 1299 1 @ Gzira United 1304 0
15 1971-10-16 30.06% Floriana 1320 1 @ Hibernians 1301 0
16 1971-12-05 30.37% Floriana 1338 1 @ Gzira United 1317 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1972-05-08 17.38 @ Valletta 3 1280 32.09% Marsa 0 1294 29.44% 38.47%
2 1972-01-09 16.77 @ Birkirkara 6 1202 44.52% Zebbug Rangers 1 1119 18.19% 37.29%
3 1972-01-23 16.58 Zebbug Rangers 3 1103 10.63% @ Gzira United 1 1297 55.93% 33.44%
4 1971-12-19 15.21 @ Birkirkara 2 1187 20.49% Valletta 0 1294 42.07% 37.44%
5 1971-10-16 12.18 @ Hamrun Spartans 3 1209 45.49% Zebbug Rangers 0 1118 17.43% 37.08%
6 1971-09-11 11.85 @ Floriana 2 1308 32.57% Marsa 0 1319 28.97% 38.47%
7 1972-01-30 11.11 Hamrun Spartans 1 1206 7.44% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1486 63.21% 29.35%
8 1972-04-17 10.98 @ Gzira United 2 1305 35.96% Valletta 0 1291 25.67% 38.36%
9 1971-10-09 9.92 @ Zebbug Rangers 2 1108 39.95% Qormi 0 1064 22.03% 38.02%
10 1971-11-21 9.58 Floriana 1 1328 12.85% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1482 52.03% 35.11%
11 1972-05-01 9.48 @ Qormi 1 1032 13.53% Birkirkara 0 1225 51.69% 34.79%
12 1972-04-17 9.24 @ Hamrun Spartans 3 1201 52.64% Qormi 0 1042 12.49% 34.88%
13 1972-03-06 9.11 @ Gzira United 2 1281 42.89% Hamrun Spartans 0 1213 19.52% 37.60%
14 1971-11-07 8.98 @ Zebbug Rangers 2 1108 13.35% Marsa 1 1304 51.98% 34.68%
15 1971-12-19 8.79 Sliema Wanderers 2 1470 44.26% @ Floriana 0 1345 18.74% 37.00%
16 1972-05-08 8.70 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1210 17.12% Floriana 0 1354 46.39% 36.49%
17 1971-10-23 8.42 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1470 54.68% Valletta 0 1289 11.31% 34.02%
18 1972-04-17 8.41 Birkirkara 1 1217 18.44% @ Hibernians 0 1297 44.21% 37.35%
19 1972-05-15 * 7.79 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1479 47.73% Floriana 0 1345 15.95% 36.33%
20 1971-10-23 7.54 Marsa 1 1297 23.59% @ Gzira United 0 1328 38.21% 38.20%
21 1972-01-30 7.46 Valletta 1 1275 24.12% @ Hibernians 0 1302 37.63% 38.25%
22 1971-09-11 7.30 @ Valletta 1 1270 25.20% Gzira United 0 1335 36.64% 38.16%
23 1972-03-27 7.18 Gzira United 1 1296 25.97% @ Marsa 0 1307 35.65% 38.38%
24 1972-01-09 7.07 Hibernians 1 1299 26.75% @ Gzira United 0 1304 34.84% 38.41%
25 1972-04-17 6.69 @ Floriana 3 1341 59.20% Zebbug Rangers 0 1110 9.06% 31.74%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-10-09 57.0 Valletta 3 1284 24.17% @ Marsa 2 1310 37.58% 38.25%
2 1971-11-07 55.6 @ Zebbug Rangers 2 1108 13.35% Marsa 1 1304 51.98% 34.68%
3 1972-02-20 55.4 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1473 53.37% Marsa 1 1306 12.05% 34.58%
4 1971-12-05 54.8 @ Birkirkara 1 1185 8.95% Sliema Wanderers 1 1472 60.52% 30.53%
5 1971-12-19 53.4 @ Marsa 1 1301 60.70% Qormi 1 1051 8.41% 30.88%
6 1971-12-05 52.9 @ Qormi 1 1049 10.73% Hibernians 1 1294 56.68% 32.60%
7 1971-11-21 52.6 Floriana 1 1328 12.85% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1482 52.03% 35.11%
8 1971-11-21 52.5 @ Zebbug Rangers 1 1117 12.99% Gzira United 1 1319 52.56% 34.45%
9 1972-01-23 52.4 Zebbug Rangers 3 1103 10.63% @ Gzira United 1 1297 55.93% 33.44%
10 1971-09-11 52.3 @ Zebbug Rangers 1 1110 13.93% Hibernians 1 1296 51.05% 35.03%
11 1971-10-09 52.3 @ Floriana 1 1320 32.65% Gzira United 1 1330 28.88% 38.47%
12 1971-11-07 52.2 @ Floriana 1 1330 47.52% Hamrun Spartans 1 1220 15.90% 36.58%
13 1972-01-30 52.1 Hamrun Spartans 1 1206 7.44% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1486 63.21% 29.35%
14 1972-02-06 52.0 @ Marsa 1 1306 35.70% Hibernians 1 1294 25.92% 38.38%
15 1972-03-06 52.0 @ Hibernians 1 1299 32.90% Marsa 1 1308 28.63% 38.46%
16 1971-10-16 51.9 @ Valletta 1 1290 46.47% Birkirkara 1 1191 16.68% 36.85%
17 1971-10-23 51.9 @ Qormi 1 1056 15.42% Hamrun Spartans 1 1222 48.78% 35.80%
18 1972-03-20 51.9 @ Valletta 1 1287 32.34% Hibernians 1 1299 29.19% 38.47%
19 1972-01-23 51.7 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1206 21.54% Marsa 1 1303 40.81% 37.65%
20 1971-12-19 51.4 @ Zebbug Rangers 1 1119 22.08% Hamrun Spartans 1 1211 40.17% 37.75%
21 1972-02-20 51.2 @ Qormi 1 1043 23.66% Zebbug Rangers 1 1121 38.35% 37.99%
22 1971-09-25 48.9 @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1468 50.69% Gzira United 0 1328 13.71% 35.60%
23 1971-10-09 48.6 @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1466 63.10% Birkirkara 0 1188 7.48% 29.42%
24 1972-05-01 48.6 @ Qormi 1 1032 13.53% Birkirkara 0 1225 51.69% 34.79%
25 1972-02-06 48.4 @ Gzira United 0 1281 13.45% Sliema Wanderers 0 1475 51.80% 34.74%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1972-03-06 26.6 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1472 74.33% Qormi 0 1044 4.15% 21.52%
2 1971-09-11 28.3 Sliema Wanderers 3 1464 68.89% @ Qormi 0 1074 5.95% 25.16%
3 1972-03-20 30.4 @ Sliema Wanderers 6 1474 69.23% Zebbug Rangers 1 1117 5.50% 25.28%
4 1972-04-17 31.0 @ Floriana 3 1341 59.20% Zebbug Rangers 0 1110 9.06% 31.74%
5 1972-04-17 32.7 @ Hamrun Spartans 3 1201 52.64% Qormi 0 1042 12.49% 34.88%
6 1971-11-21 32.8 Marsa 2 1295 56.27% @ Qormi 0 1055 10.94% 32.80%
7 1972-01-30 33.5 @ Floriana 1 1343 64.17% Qormi 0 1051 7.10% 28.73%
8 1971-09-25 33.8 Valletta 2 1277 53.11% @ Qormi 0 1070 12.67% 34.22%
9 1972-02-06 33.8 @ Birkirkara 2 1210 52.74% Qormi 0 1049 12.42% 34.84%
10 1972-01-09 34.7 Floriana 1 1336 60.05% @ Qormi 0 1054 9.15% 30.80%
11 1971-10-23 34.8 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1470 54.68% Valletta 0 1289 11.31% 34.02%
12 1971-10-16 34.9 @ Hamrun Spartans 3 1209 45.49% Zebbug Rangers 0 1118 17.43% 37.08%
13 1971-11-07 35.1 @ Valletta 1 1281 58.49% Qormi 0 1057 9.38% 32.13%
14 1972-05-01 35.9 Sliema Wanderers 3 1476 67.59% @ Zebbug Rangers 1 1103 6.36% 26.06%
15 1972-03-06 36.9 @ Valletta 1 1284 52.98% Zebbug Rangers 0 1121 12.28% 34.74%
16 1972-01-09 37.1 @ Birkirkara 6 1202 44.52% Zebbug Rangers 1 1119 18.19% 37.29%
17 1972-03-06 37.1 @ Gzira United 2 1281 42.89% Hamrun Spartans 0 1213 19.52% 37.60%
18 1971-10-09 37.6 @ Zebbug Rangers 2 1108 39.95% Qormi 0 1064 22.03% 38.02%
19 1971-11-07 39.0 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1479 55.18% Hibernians 0 1292 11.03% 33.79%
20 1972-01-09 39.5 @ Marsa 1 1298 45.17% Hamrun Spartans 0 1210 17.68% 37.15%
21 1972-05-15 * 39.5 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1479 47.73% Floriana 0 1345 15.95% 36.33%
22 1972-01-09 39.6 Sliema Wanderers 1 1479 52.38% @ Valletta 0 1279 13.10% 34.52%
23 1972-05-08 39.6 @ Valletta 3 1280 32.09% Marsa 0 1294 29.44% 38.47%
24 1972-04-17 39.7 @ Gzira United 2 1305 35.96% Valletta 0 1291 25.67% 38.36%
25 1972-02-20 39.9 @ Hibernians 1 1295 43.91% Hamrun Spartans 0 1218 18.68% 37.41%