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1998-99 Maltese Premier League Season

135 games

Final

Champion

Valletta

70 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Birkirkara

11.09 points above expected

68 points · 56.91 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hamrun Spartans

6.25 points below expected

15 points · 21.25 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valletta 27 23 1 3 70 71 23 +48 60.65 +9.35
2 Birkirkara 27 21 5 1 68 69 20 +49 56.91 +11.09
3 Sliema Wanderers 27 14 5 8 47 54 32 +22 49.31 -2.31
4 Hibernians 27 12 6 9 42 47 33 +14 42.46 -0.46
5 Floriana 27 10 6 11 36 47 50 -3 42.03 -6.03
6 Naxxar Lions 27 7 8 12 29 32 46 -14 31.72 -2.72
7 Pieta Hotspurs 27 7 6 14 27 39 39 0 32.25 -5.25
8 Rabat Ajax 27 7 6 14 27 37 67 -30 25.07 +1.93
9 St. Patrick 27 3 8 16 17 29 71 -42 18.37 -1.37
10 Hamrun Spartans 27 4 3 20 15 26 70 -44 21.25 -6.25

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Birkirkara 68 56.91 +11.09
2 Valletta 70 60.65 +9.35
3 Rabat Ajax 27 25.07 +1.93
4 Hibernians 42 42.46 -0.46
5 St. Patrick 17 18.37 -1.37

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamrun Spartans 15 21.25 -6.25
2 Floriana 36 42.03 -6.03
3 Pieta Hotspurs 27 32.25 -5.25
4 Naxxar Lions 29 31.72 -2.72
5 Sliema Wanderers 47 49.31 -2.31

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Naxxar Lions 3 Aug 30 – Sep 19 1 in 111
2 Rabat Ajax 3 Dec 6 – Dec 19 1 in 94
3 Hamrun Spartans 2 Apr 11 – Apr 17 1 in 26
4 Birkirkara 8 Mar 7 – May 9 1 in 23
5 Valletta 7 Oct 17 – Jan 10 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Naxxar Lions 6 Feb 27 – Apr 11 1 in 106
2 Pieta Hotspurs 6 Oct 17 – Dec 26 1 in 65
3 Sliema Wanderers 3 Apr 24 – May 8 1 in 40
4 Rabat Ajax 6 Aug 23 – Oct 4 1 in 17
5 Hamrun Spartans 6 Feb 14 – Apr 4 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Naxxar Lions 8 Aug 22 – Nov 1 1 in 202
2 Birkirkara 24 Sep 18 – May 9 1 in 174
3 Rabat Ajax 6 Nov 1 – Dec 26 1 in 86
4 St. Patrick 4 Jan 9 – Feb 16 1 in 46
5 Hibernians 5 Jan 16 – Feb 28 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Naxxar Lions 11 Jan 9 – Apr 17 1 in 416
2 Hamrun Spartans 15 Aug 24 – Jan 24 1 in 58
3 Pieta Hotspurs 8 Sep 27 – Dec 26 1 in 31
4 St. Patrick 17 Sep 9 – Mar 6 1 in 23
5 Floriana 5 Mar 14 – Apr 17 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Valletta 1212 70 +7 12 10.7 +1.3
Birkirkara 1199 68 +36 15 10.9 +4.1
Sliema Wanderers 1019 47 -24 4 8.3 -4.3
Hibernians 976 42 -2 6 8.2 -2.2
Floriana 882 36 +1 7 7.7 -0.7
Naxxar Lions 786 29 -22 4 6.0 -2.0
Pieta Hotspurs 877 27 +32 9 6.1 +2.9
Rabat Ajax 782 27 -49 3 5.8 -2.8
St. Patrick 672 17 -11 4 3.5 +0.5
Hamrun Spartans 701 15 +31 9 3.1 +5.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIR FLO HS HIB NL PH RA SW SP VAL
Birkirkara —
2-1-0
6.05
3-0-0
7.46
1-2-0
5.74
2-0-1
6.73
3-0-0
6.64
2-1-0
7.17
2-1-0
5.37
3-0-0
7.77
3-0-0
3.46
Floriana
0-1-2
2.36
 —
2-0-1
6.36
1-0-2
3.81
2-1-0
5.31
2-0-1
5.15
1-1-1
6.24
0-2-1
2.99
2-1-0
6.64
0-0-3
2.20
Hamrun Spartans
0-0-3
1.09
1-0-2
2.07
 —
0-0-3
2.12
1-2-0
2.48
0-0-3
2.89
1-0-2
3.41
1-0-2
1.31
0-1-2
4.86
0-0-3
1.02
Hibernians
0-2-1
2.65
2-0-1
4.56
3-0-0
6.31
 —
0-2-1
5.46
2-1-0
5.35
2-0-1
6.20
0-1-2
2.93
3-0-0
6.58
0-0-3
1.90
Naxxar Lions
1-0-2
1.72
0-1-2
3.06
0-2-1
5.92
1-2-0
2.93
 —
1-1-1
3.99
1-0-2
4.99
2-0-1
1.95
1-2-0
5.78
0-0-3
1.30
Pieta Hotspurs
0-0-3
1.81
1-0-2
3.23
3-0-0
5.49
0-1-2
3.03
1-1-1
4.38
 —
1-1-1
5.31
0-1-2
2.22
1-2-0
6.18
0-0-3
1.38
Rabat Ajax
0-1-2
1.33
1-1-1
2.18
2-0-1
4.96
1-0-2
2.21
2-0-1
3.39
1-1-1
3.06
 —
0-0-3
1.65
0-2-1
5.14
0-1-2
1.09
Sliema Wanderers
0-1-2
3.01
1-2-0
5.39
2-0-1
7.19
2-1-0
5.45
1-0-2
6.48
2-1-0
6.19
3-0-0
6.81
 —
3-0-0
7.05
0-0-3
2.73
St. Patrick
0-0-3
0.83
0-1-2
1.80
2-1-0
3.51
0-0-3
1.86
0-2-1
2.62
0-2-1
2.23
1-2-0
3.24
0-0-3
1.43
 —
0-0-3
0.81
Valletta
0-0-3
4.91
3-0-0
6.21
3-0-0
7.54
3-0-0
6.54
3-0-0
7.21
3-0-0
7.11
2-1-0
7.45
3-0-0
5.66
3-0-0
7.79
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.97 +12.0
Allowed 0.79 -9.0
Differential 0.93 +5.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.19%4.44%4.81%3.70%2.59%2.59%23.33%
14.44%11.85%8.52%3.33%1.85%2.22%32.22%
24.81%8.52%2.96%2.22%1.85%0.37%20.74%
33.70%3.33%2.22%—0.74%0.74%10.74%
42.59%1.85%1.85%0.74%——7.04%
5+2.59%2.22%0.37%0.74%——5.93%
Total23.33%32.22%20.74%10.74%7.04%5.93%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.67 +0.00
SD 1.53 1.53 2.41
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 135

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%—————3.70%
114.81%7.41%3.70%———25.93%
211.11%7.41%7.41%———25.93%
314.81%—7.41%———22.22%
43.70%3.70%————7.41%
5+3.70%7.41%—3.70%——14.81%
Total51.85%25.93%18.52%3.70%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.56 0.74 +1.81
SD 1.63 0.90 1.73
CV 0.64 1.22 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%7.41%3.70%3.70%11.11%—29.63%
1—11.11%—3.70%3.70%—18.52%
23.70%14.81%7.41%3.70%3.70%—33.33%
3——3.70%———3.70%
4———————
5+3.70%7.41%3.70%———14.81%
Total11.11%40.74%18.52%11.11%18.52%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.85 -0.11
SD 1.75 1.32 2.50
CV 1.00 0.71 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%—3.70%14.81%3.70%7.41%33.33%
13.70%7.41%22.22%7.41%7.41%—48.15%
2—7.41%——3.70%—11.11%
3————3.70%—3.70%
4——3.70%———3.70%
5+———————
Total7.41%14.81%29.63%22.22%18.52%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 2.59 -1.63
SD 0.98 1.55 1.98
CV 1.02 0.60 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%3.70%7.41%3.70%——22.22%
13.70%14.81%7.41%7.41%——33.33%
27.41%11.11%—3.70%——22.22%
3—7.41%3.70%———11.11%
4———————
5+7.41%3.70%————11.11%
Total25.93%40.74%18.52%14.81%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.22 +0.52
SD 1.70 1.01 2.23
CV 0.98 0.83 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%7.41%7.41%7.41%——33.33%
1—14.81%11.11%—3.70%3.70%33.33%
23.70%11.11%3.70%——3.70%22.22%
33.70%3.70%————7.41%
4———————
5+———3.70%——3.70%
Total18.52%37.04%22.22%11.11%3.70%7.41%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.70 -0.52
SD 1.21 1.51 1.85
CV 1.02 0.89 —
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%14.81%———29.63%
13.70%18.52%18.52%———40.74%
2————3.70%—3.70%
33.70%————3.70%7.41%
47.41%7.41%3.70%———18.52%
5+———————
Total18.52%37.04%37.04%—3.70%3.70%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.44 +0.00
SD 1.48 1.15 1.92
CV 1.02 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%—3.70%7.41%7.41%—22.22%
1—14.81%7.41%——14.81%37.04%
27.41%11.11%3.70%—7.41%—29.63%
3—————3.70%3.70%
43.70%—3.70%———7.41%
5+———————
Total14.81%25.93%18.52%7.41%14.81%18.52%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 2.48 -1.11
SD 1.11 1.99 2.47
CV 0.81 0.80 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.41%—7.41%—3.70%—18.52%
13.70%11.11%7.41%3.70%——25.93%
27.41%7.41%—7.41%——22.22%
311.11%7.41%————18.52%
4——7.41%———7.41%
5+7.41%—————7.41%
Total37.04%25.93%22.22%11.11%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.19 +0.81
SD 1.69 1.18 2.34
CV 0.84 0.99 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%11.11%———18.52%33.33%
1—18.52%3.70%11.11%—3.70%37.04%
2—7.41%7.41%7.41%——22.22%
3————3.70%—3.70%
4———3.70%——3.70%
5+———————
Total3.70%37.04%11.11%22.22%3.70%22.22%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 2.63 -1.56
SD 1.04 1.86 2.26
CV 0.96 0.71 —
Max 4 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.70%3.70%————7.41%
114.81%—3.70%—3.70%—22.22%
27.41%7.41%————14.81%
33.70%14.81%7.41%———25.93%
411.11%7.41%—3.70%——22.22%
5+3.70%3.70%————7.41%
Total44.44%37.04%11.11%3.70%3.70%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.63 0.85 +1.78
SD 1.62 1.03 1.91
CV 0.62 1.21 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valletta 1212 70 60.65 +9.35 96.0% 47 50 57 60 65 70 75
Birkirkara 1199 68 56.91 +11.09 96.0% 42 46 53 57 61 66 69
Sliema Wanderers 1019 47 49.31 -2.31 39.0% 34 38 45 50 53 57 62
Hibernians 976 42 42.46 -0.46 54.0% 25 30 38 42 48 53 58
Floriana 882 36 42.03 -6.03 19.0% 24 30 38 42 46 54 57
Pieta Hotspurs 877 27 32.25 -5.25 26.0% 17 23 27 32 37 44 49
Naxxar Lions 786 29 31.72 -2.72 43.0% 15 22 27 31 36 43 51
Rabat Ajax 782 27 25.07 +1.93 61.0% 9 15 21 25 29 34 39
Hamrun Spartans 701 15 21.25 -6.25 13.0% 8 12 18 21 24 30 33
St. Patrick 672 17 18.37 -1.37 42.0% 8 10 15 18 22 28 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.41%
Clear Edge
43.70%20.00%36.30%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 25.78 Elo pts.
165 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.08 goals
Neutral
-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
61%
Valletta, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.07/gm
Photo Finish
00.240.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.95 * Some Luck: 4.95 to 7.42 * Lucky: 7.42 to 9.89 * Wild Swing: 9.89 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.66 * Close: 0.66 to 0.99 * Off: 0.99 to 1.32 * Way Off: 1.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.76 points
Some Luck
06.1815
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.40
Pinpoint
00.822
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.00%
Valletta
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
13.00%
Hamrun Spartans
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Top-Heavy
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 190.12
2.72
Wide Separation
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
79%
Slight Edge
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Some Drama
0%46%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Very Frequent
0%30%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.49
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Lopsided
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.90
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.88
Near-Lock
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.17
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.073
Well Within Noise
00.1340.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Valletta61.00%32.00%7.00%———————
Birkirkara32.00%44.00%17.00%3.00%4.00%—————
Sliema Wanderers5.00%16.00%43.00%23.00%11.00%1.00%1.00%———
Hibernians2.00%6.00%21.00%25.00%26.00%12.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%—
Floriana—2.00%12.00%35.00%30.00%15.00%4.00%2.00%——
Naxxar Lions———6.00%11.00%31.00%26.00%20.00%4.00%2.00%
Pieta Hotspurs———8.00%16.00%28.00%26.00%15.00%6.00%1.00%
Rabat Ajax————2.00%10.00%23.00%28.00%26.00%11.00%
St. Patrick——————4.00%12.00%26.00%58.00%
Hamrun Spartans—————3.00%10.00%22.00%37.00%28.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Birkirkara 100% —
Floriana 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Hibernians 99.00% 1.00%
Naxxar Lions 94.00% 6.00%
Pieta Hotspurs 93.00% 7.00%
Rabat Ajax 63.00% 37.00%
Hamrun Spartans 35.00% 65.00%
St. Patrick 16.00% 84.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1998-08-22 Birkirkara L 0-333.6 931 1038 28.68% 20.90% 50.42%-0.49 -20.3 0
1998-08-22 @ Hibernians W 3-033.6 1038 931 50.42% 20.90% 28.68%+0.49 +20.2 3
1998-08-22 Floriana D 0-049.6 801 966 22.24% 20.31% 57.44%-0.85 +2.1 1
1998-08-22 @ Naxxar Lions D 0-049.6 966 801 57.44% 20.31% 22.24%+0.85 -2.1 1
1998-08-23 Rabat Ajax W 4-032.2 860 794 51.79% 20.82% 27.39%+0.56 +25.5 3
1998-08-23 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-432.2 794 860 27.39% 20.82% 51.79%-0.56 -25.4 0
1998-08-23 Sliema Wanderers L 0-527.3 750 1024 13.57% 18.55% 67.88%-1.50 -16.4 0
1998-08-23 @ St. Patrick W 5-027.3 1024 750 67.88% 18.55% 13.57%+1.50 +16.4 3
1998-08-24 Hamrun Spartans W 3-133.8 1119 823 73.45% 16.98% 9.58%+1.95 +4.2 3
1998-08-24 @ Valletta L 1-333.8 823 1119 9.58% 16.98% 73.45%-1.95 -4.2 0
1998-08-29 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-031.6 1058 885 63.52% 19.45% 17.03%+1.21 +8.7 6
1998-08-29 @ Birkirkara L 0-231.6 885 1058 17.03% 19.45% 63.52%-1.21 -8.7 3
1998-08-29 St. Patrick L 3-458.7 819 734 54.13% 20.64% 25.23%+0.67 -11.0 0
1998-08-29 @ Hamrun Spartans W 4-358.7 734 819 25.23% 20.64% 54.13%-0.67 +11.0 3
1998-08-30 Valletta L 0-430.7 964 1123 22.85% 20.39% 56.76%-0.81 -21.7 1
1998-08-30 @ Floriana W 4-030.7 1123 964 56.76% 20.39% 22.85%+0.81 +21.7 6
1998-08-30 Naxxar Lions L 0-336.5 768 803 38.16% 21.21% 40.63%-0.05 -25.6 0
1998-08-30 @ Rabat Ajax W 3-036.5 803 768 40.63% 21.21% 38.16%+0.05 +25.6 4
1998-09-09 Hibernians W 3-138.1 1040 911 59.09% 20.12% 20.80%+0.94 +9.1 6
1998-09-09 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-338.1 911 1040 20.80% 20.12% 59.09%-0.94 -9.1 0
1998-09-09 St. Patrick W 5-023.8 1145 745 79.70% 14.50% 5.80%+2.59 +6.7 9
1998-09-09 @ Valletta L 0-523.8 745 1145 5.80% 14.50% 79.70%-2.59 -6.7 3
1998-09-12 Rabat Ajax W 5-132.3 942 743 65.95% 18.98% 15.07%+1.37 +12.3 4
1998-09-12 @ Floriana L 1-532.3 743 942 15.07% 18.98% 65.95%-1.37 -12.3 0
1998-09-12 Birkirkara W 2-153.1 828 1067 15.98% 19.21% 64.82%-1.29 +14.0 7
1998-09-12 @ Naxxar Lions L 1-253.1 1067 828 64.82% 19.21% 15.98%+1.29 -14.0 6
1998-09-13 Hamrun Spartans W 5-031.1 902 808 55.20% 20.54% 24.25%+0.73 +28.2 3
1998-09-13 @ Hibernians L 0-531.1 808 902 24.25% 20.54% 55.20%-0.73 -28.2 0
1998-09-13 Sliema Wanderers L 0-233.2 876 1049 21.53% 20.22% 58.25%-0.89 -10.9 3
1998-09-13 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-033.2 1049 876 58.25% 20.22% 21.53%+0.89 +10.9 9
1998-09-18 Floriana D 2-258.4 1053 955 55.68% 20.50% 23.82%+0.75 -1.3 7
1998-09-18 @ Birkirkara D 2-258.4 955 1053 23.82% 20.50% 55.68%-0.75 +1.3 5
1998-09-19 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-433.4 780 866 31.21% 21.04% 47.75%-0.37 -28.4 0
1998-09-19 @ Hamrun Spartans W 4-033.4 866 780 47.75% 21.04% 31.21%+0.37 +28.4 6
1998-09-19 Naxxar Lions L 1-253.7 1060 842 67.51% 18.64% 13.85%+1.48 -14.5 9
1998-09-19 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-153.7 842 1060 13.85% 18.64% 67.51%-1.48 +14.5 10
1998-09-20 Valletta L 1-727.0 730 1152 6.74% 15.25% 78.02%-2.40 -7.7 0
1998-09-20 @ Rabat Ajax W 7-127.0 1152 730 78.02% 15.25% 6.74%+2.40 +7.7 12
1998-09-20 Hibernians L 0-630.0 738 930 19.72% 19.95% 60.33%-1.01 -27.8 3
1998-09-20 @ St. Patrick W 6-030.0 930 738 60.33% 19.95% 19.72%+1.01 +27.8 6
1998-09-23 Birkirkara L 0-327.7 751 1052 11.97% 18.01% 70.03%-1.67 -9.0 0
1998-09-23 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-027.7 1052 751 70.03% 18.01% 11.97%+1.67 +9.0 10
1998-09-23 Valletta L 1-340.5 1045 1159 27.80% 20.85% 51.36%-0.54 -11.8 9
1998-09-23 @ Sliema Wanderers W 3-140.5 1159 1045 51.36% 20.85% 27.80%+0.54 +11.8 15
1998-09-26 Hamrun Spartans D 1-153.3 857 742 57.53% 20.30% 22.16%+0.85 -1.9 11
1998-09-26 @ Naxxar Lions D 1-153.3 742 857 22.16% 20.30% 57.53%-0.85 +1.9 1
1998-09-26 Birkirkara L 3-540.8 723 1061 10.04% 17.20% 72.76%-1.89 -3.8 0
1998-09-26 @ Rabat Ajax W 5-340.8 1061 723 72.76% 17.20% 10.04%+1.89 +3.8 13
1998-09-27 Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.0 956 1034 32.25% 21.08% 46.67%-0.32 +0.7 6
1998-09-27 @ Floriana D 1-153.0 1034 956 46.67% 21.08% 32.25%+0.32 -0.7 10
1998-09-27 St. Patrick D 1-153.6 894 710 64.54% 19.26% 16.20%+1.27 -2.7 7
1998-09-27 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-153.6 710 894 16.20% 19.26% 64.54%-1.27 +2.7 4
1998-09-28 Hibernians W 1-033.1 1171 958 67.13% 18.72% 14.14%+1.45 +3.9 18
1998-09-28 @ Valletta L 0-133.1 958 1171 14.14% 18.72% 67.13%-1.45 -3.9 6
1998-10-02 Valletta W 4-145.4 1064 1175 28.18% 20.87% 50.95%-0.52 +27.4 16
1998-10-02 @ Birkirkara L 1-445.4 1175 1064 50.95% 20.87% 28.18%+0.52 -27.4 18
1998-10-03 Pieta Hotspurs D 1-153.1 954 891 51.42% 20.84% 27.74%+0.54 -1.2 7
1998-10-03 @ Hibernians D 1-153.1 891 954 27.74% 20.84% 51.42%-0.54 +1.2 8
1998-10-03 Naxxar Lions L 1-339.4 713 855 24.63% 20.58% 54.79%-0.71 -10.6 4
1998-10-03 @ St. Patrick W 3-139.4 855 713 54.79% 20.58% 24.63%+0.71 +10.6 14
1998-10-04 Floriana L 1-239.2 744 957 18.00% 19.64% 62.36%-1.13 -4.6 1
1998-10-04 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-139.2 957 744 62.36% 19.64% 18.00%+1.13 +4.6 9
1998-10-04 Rabat Ajax W 2-028.3 1033 719 74.64% 16.57% 8.80%+2.06 +4.5 13
1998-10-04 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-228.3 719 1033 8.80% 16.57% 74.64%-2.06 -4.5 0
1998-10-17 Hibernians D 1-153.0 866 953 31.04% 21.03% 47.93%-0.37 +0.9 15
1998-10-17 @ Naxxar Lions D 1-153.0 953 866 47.93% 21.03% 31.04%+0.37 -0.9 8
1998-10-17 Pieta Hotspurs W 1-032.1 1148 892 70.50% 17.88% 11.62%+1.71 +3.2 21
1998-10-17 @ Valletta L 0-132.1 892 1148 11.62% 17.88% 70.50%-1.71 -3.2 8
1998-10-18 Sliema Wanderers D 0-049.4 1092 1037 50.34% 20.91% 28.76%+0.49 -1.3 17
1998-10-18 @ Birkirkara D 0-049.4 1037 1092 28.76% 20.91% 50.34%-0.49 +1.2 14
1998-10-18 St. Patrick W 5-130.9 961 702 70.80% 17.79% 11.41%+1.73 +9.3 12
1998-10-18 @ Floriana L 1-530.9 702 961 11.41% 17.79% 70.80%-1.73 -9.3 4
1998-11-01 Naxxar Lions L 3-552.8 889 866 46.21% 21.10% 32.69%+0.30 -15.1 8
1998-11-01 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 5-352.8 866 889 32.69% 21.10% 46.21%-0.30 +15.1 18
1998-11-01 Hamrun Spartans W 4-248.4 715 739 39.52% 21.21% 39.27%+0.01 +14.0 3
1998-11-01 @ Rabat Ajax L 2-448.4 739 715 39.27% 21.21% 39.52%-0.01 -14.0 1
1998-11-08 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-141.3 970 874 55.44% 20.52% 24.04%+0.74 +6.0 15
1998-11-08 @ Floriana L 1-241.3 874 970 24.04% 20.52% 55.44%-0.74 -6.0 8
1998-11-08 Rabat Ajax D 1-153.0 693 729 37.98% 21.20% 40.81%-0.06 +0.1 5
1998-11-08 @ St. Patrick D 1-153.0 729 693 40.81% 21.20% 37.98%+0.06 -0.1 4
1998-11-21 St. Patrick W 1-029.4 1090 693 79.54% 14.57% 5.89%+2.57 +1.5 20
1998-11-21 @ Birkirkara L 0-129.4 693 1090 5.89% 14.57% 79.54%-2.57 -1.5 5
1998-11-21 Hamrun Spartans W 3-026.3 1039 726 74.59% 16.59% 8.83%+2.06 +6.5 17
1998-11-21 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-326.3 726 1039 8.83% 16.59% 74.59%-2.06 -6.5 1
1998-11-24 Floriana W 3-251.1 952 976 39.60% 21.21% 39.19%+0.01 +8.5 11
1998-11-24 @ Hibernians L 2-351.1 976 952 39.19% 21.21% 39.60%-0.01 -8.5 15
1998-11-24 Naxxar Lions W 1-031.8 1151 881 71.56% 17.57% 10.87%+1.79 +3.0 24
1998-11-24 @ Valletta L 0-131.8 881 1151 10.87% 17.57% 71.56%-1.79 -3.0 18
1998-11-29 Naxxar Lions W 2-141.5 968 879 54.64% 20.59% 24.77%+0.70 +6.1 18
1998-11-29 @ Floriana L 1-241.5 879 968 24.77% 20.59% 54.64%-0.70 -6.1 18
1998-11-29 Valletta L 1-430.2 719 1154 6.31% 14.92% 78.77%-2.48 -3.8 1
1998-11-29 @ Hamrun Spartans W 4-130.2 1154 719 78.77% 14.92% 6.31%+2.48 +3.8 27
1998-12-06 Hibernians W 2-045.8 728 961 16.44% 19.32% 64.24%-1.25 +27.7 7
1998-12-06 @ Rabat Ajax L 0-245.8 961 728 64.24% 19.32% 16.44%+1.25 -27.7 11
1998-12-06 St. Patrick W 7-025.5 1045 691 77.10% 15.63% 7.27%+2.30 +11.8 20
1998-12-06 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-725.5 691 1045 7.27% 15.63% 77.10%-2.30 -11.8 5
1998-12-13 Hibernians D 1-153.5 1092 933 62.19% 19.67% 18.14%+1.12 -2.4 21
1998-12-13 @ Birkirkara D 1-153.5 933 1092 18.14% 19.67% 62.19%-1.12 +2.4 12
1998-12-13 Hamrun Spartans D 1-153.0 680 715 38.01% 21.20% 40.78%-0.06 +0.1 6
1998-12-13 @ St. Patrick D 1-153.0 715 680 40.78% 21.20% 38.01%+0.06 -0.1 2
1998-12-13 Floriana W 4-134.5 1158 974 64.51% 19.26% 16.22%+1.27 +10.2 30
1998-12-13 @ Valletta L 1-434.5 974 1158 16.22% 19.26% 64.51%-1.27 -10.2 18
1998-12-16 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-149.5 756 868 28.00% 20.86% 51.14%-0.52 +11.2 10
1998-12-16 @ Rabat Ajax L 1-249.5 868 756 51.14% 20.86% 28.00%+0.52 -11.2 8
1998-12-19 Rabat Ajax L 1-250.9 872 767 56.46% 20.42% 23.12%+0.79 -12.3 18
1998-12-19 @ Naxxar Lions W 2-150.9 767 872 23.12% 20.42% 56.46%-0.79 +12.3 13
1998-12-19 Valletta L 3-441.9 680 1168 4.87% 13.62% 81.51%-2.81 -1.1 6
1998-12-19 @ St. Patrick W 4-341.9 1168 680 81.51% 13.62% 4.87%+2.81 +1.1 33
1998-12-20 Sliema Wanderers D 0-049.4 935 1057 26.90% 20.78% 52.32%-0.58 +1.5 13
1998-12-20 @ Hibernians D 0-049.4 1057 935 52.32% 20.78% 26.90%+0.58 -1.5 21
1998-12-20 Birkirkara L 0-231.4 857 1090 16.41% 19.31% 64.28%-1.26 -8.4 8
1998-12-20 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-031.4 1090 857 64.28% 19.31% 16.41%+1.26 +8.4 24
1998-12-26 Floriana D 1-153.3 780 964 20.45% 20.06% 59.48%-0.96 +2.1 14
1998-12-26 @ Rabat Ajax D 1-153.3 964 780 59.48% 20.06% 20.45%+0.96 -2.1 19
1998-12-26 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-240.2 1055 849 66.60% 18.84% 14.56%+1.41 +5.8 24
1998-12-26 @ Sliema Wanderers L 2-440.2 849 1055 14.56% 18.84% 66.60%-1.41 -5.8 8
1998-12-27 Naxxar Lions W 5-131.4 1098 860 69.17% 18.23% 12.60%+1.60 +10.3 27
1998-12-27 @ Birkirkara L 1-531.4 860 1098 12.60% 18.23% 69.17%-1.60 -10.3 18
1998-12-27 Hibernians L 1-336.9 715 937 17.25% 19.49% 63.26%-1.19 -7.6 2
1998-12-27 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-136.9 937 715 63.26% 19.49% 17.25%+1.19 +7.6 16
1999-01-03 Hamrun Spartans W 3-030.8 843 707 59.77% 20.03% 20.20%+0.98 +14.9 11
1999-01-03 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-330.8 707 843 20.20% 20.03% 59.77%-0.98 -14.9 2
1999-01-03 Rabat Ajax W 4-024.1 1169 782 78.99% 14.82% 6.19%+2.51 +5.8 36
1999-01-03 @ Valletta L 0-424.1 782 1169 6.19% 14.82% 78.99%-2.51 -5.8 14
1999-01-05 St. Patrick W 3-134.5 944 679 71.29% 17.65% 11.06%+1.77 +4.9 19
1999-01-05 @ Hibernians L 1-334.5 679 944 11.06% 17.65% 71.29%-1.77 -4.9 6
1999-01-05 Sliema Wanderers W 2-045.3 850 1061 18.08% 19.66% 62.26%-1.13 +26.9 21
1999-01-05 @ Naxxar Lions L 0-245.3 1061 850 62.26% 19.66% 18.08%+1.13 -26.9 24
1999-01-09 Naxxar Lions D 0-049.6 692 877 20.45% 20.06% 59.48%-0.96 +2.4 3
1999-01-09 @ Hamrun Spartans D 0-049.6 877 692 59.48% 20.06% 20.45%+0.96 -2.4 22
1999-01-09 Pieta Hotspurs D 0-049.6 674 858 20.49% 20.07% 59.44%-0.96 +2.4 7
1999-01-09 @ St. Patrick D 0-049.6 858 674 59.44% 20.07% 20.49%+0.96 -2.4 12
1999-01-10 Birkirkara L 0-431.2 962 1108 24.16% 20.53% 55.31%-0.73 -22.8 19
1999-01-10 @ Floriana W 4-031.2 1108 962 55.31% 20.53% 24.16%+0.73 +22.8 30
1999-01-10 Valletta L 1-336.8 949 1175 16.97% 19.43% 63.60%-1.21 -7.5 19
1999-01-10 @ Hibernians W 3-136.8 1175 949 63.60% 19.43% 16.97%+1.21 +7.5 39
1999-01-16 St. Patrick D 2-258.8 874 676 65.83% 19.00% 15.16%+1.36 -2.1 23
1999-01-16 @ Naxxar Lions D 2-258.8 676 874 15.16% 19.00% 65.83%-1.36 +2.1 8
1999-01-16 Hibernians L 0-236.3 855 942 31.15% 21.04% 47.82%-0.37 -14.9 12
1999-01-16 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-036.3 942 855 47.82% 21.04% 31.15%+0.37 +15.0 22
1999-01-17 Rabat Ajax D 2-259.9 1131 776 77.19% 15.59% 7.22%+2.31 -3.0 31
1999-01-17 @ Birkirkara D 2-259.9 776 1131 7.22% 15.59% 77.19%-2.31 +3.0 15
1999-01-17 Floriana W 1-036.6 1034 939 55.36% 20.53% 24.11%+0.74 +6.4 27
1999-01-17 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-136.6 939 1034 24.11% 20.53% 55.36%-0.74 -6.4 19
1999-01-23 Naxxar Lions D 0-049.5 957 872 54.06% 20.64% 25.29%+0.67 -1.7 23
1999-01-23 @ Hibernians D 0-049.5 872 957 25.29% 20.64% 54.06%-0.67 +1.7 24
1999-01-23 Sliema Wanderers L 2-440.2 779 1041 14.33% 18.78% 66.90%-1.43 -5.7 15
1999-01-23 @ Rabat Ajax W 4-240.2 1041 779 66.90% 18.78% 14.33%+1.43 +5.7 30
1999-01-24 Hamrun Spartans W 2-029.9 933 695 69.15% 18.24% 12.61%+1.60 +6.5 22
1999-01-24 @ Floriana L 0-229.9 695 933 12.61% 18.24% 69.15%-1.60 -6.5 3
1999-01-24 Birkirkara L 0-144.7 1182 1128 50.30% 20.91% 28.79%+0.48 -11.8 39
1999-01-24 @ Valletta W 1-044.7 1128 1182 28.79% 20.91% 50.30%-0.48 +11.8 34
1999-01-30 Rabat Ajax W 4-250.8 688 773 31.37% 21.05% 47.59%-0.36 +16.4 6
1999-01-30 @ Hamrun Spartans L 2-450.8 773 688 47.59% 21.05% 31.37%+0.36 -16.4 15
1999-01-30 Floriana D 2-258.9 678 939 14.41% 18.80% 66.79%-1.43 +2.2 9
1999-01-30 @ St. Patrick D 2-258.9 939 678 66.79% 18.80% 14.41%+1.43 -2.2 23
1999-01-31 Valletta L 0-131.6 840 1170 10.40% 17.37% 72.23%-1.85 -2.8 12
1999-01-31 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 1-031.6 1170 840 72.23% 17.37% 10.40%+1.85 +2.8 42
1999-01-31 Birkirkara L 2-348.4 1046 1140 30.27% 20.99% 48.73%-0.41 -6.9 30
1999-01-31 @ Sliema Wanderers W 3-248.4 1140 1046 48.73% 20.99% 30.27%+0.41 +6.9 37
1999-02-13 Pieta Hotspurs D 1-153.0 874 838 48.01% 21.03% 30.96%+0.38 -0.9 25
1999-02-13 @ Naxxar Lions D 1-153.0 838 874 30.96% 21.03% 48.01%-0.38 +0.9 13
1999-02-14 Hamrun Spartans W 3-024.2 1147 705 81.78% 13.48% 4.73%+2.84 +3.3 40
1999-02-14 @ Birkirkara L 0-324.2 705 1147 4.73% 13.48% 81.78%-2.84 -3.3 6
1999-02-14 Hibernians L 0-239.2 937 955 40.48% 21.21% 38.31%+0.05 -18.5 23
1999-02-14 @ Floriana W 2-039.2 955 937 38.31% 21.21% 40.48%-0.05 +18.5 26
1999-02-16 St. Patrick D 1-153.1 757 680 53.08% 20.72% 26.20%+0.62 -1.4 16
1999-02-16 @ Rabat Ajax D 1-153.1 680 757 26.20% 20.72% 53.08%-0.62 +1.4 10
1999-02-20 Floriana L 1-243.8 838 918 31.98% 21.07% 46.95%-0.33 -7.6 13
1999-02-20 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-143.8 918 838 46.95% 21.07% 31.98%+0.33 +7.6 26
1999-02-20 Birkirkara L 2-338.8 682 1150 5.36% 14.10% 80.54%-2.69 -1.2 10
1999-02-20 @ St. Patrick W 3-238.8 1150 682 80.54% 14.10% 5.36%+2.69 +1.2 43
1999-02-21 Rabat Ajax W 2-137.6 974 755 67.56% 18.63% 13.82%+1.48 +3.6 29
1999-02-21 @ Hibernians L 1-237.6 755 974 13.82% 18.63% 67.56%-1.48 -3.6 16
1999-02-21 Sliema Wanderers W 4-029.9 1173 1040 59.60% 20.05% 20.35%+0.97 +19.6 45
1999-02-21 @ Valletta L 0-429.9 1040 1173 20.35% 20.05% 59.60%-0.97 -19.6 30
1999-02-27 Valletta L 0-327.3 873 1193 10.92% 17.59% 71.48%-1.79 -8.2 25
1999-02-27 @ Naxxar Lions W 3-027.3 1193 873 71.48% 17.59% 10.92%+1.79 +8.2 48
1999-02-27 Rabat Ajax D 1-153.1 831 752 53.40% 20.70% 25.90%+0.64 -1.4 14
1999-02-27 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-153.1 752 831 25.90% 20.70% 53.40%-0.64 +1.5 17
1999-02-28 Sliema Wanderers L 1-236.5 701 1020 10.99% 17.62% 71.39%-1.78 -2.8 6
1999-02-28 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-136.5 1020 701 71.39% 17.62% 10.99%+1.78 +2.8 33
1999-02-28 Birkirkara D 1-153.3 977 1151 21.38% 20.20% 58.42%-0.90 +2.0 30
1999-02-28 @ Hibernians D 1-153.3 1151 977 58.42% 20.20% 21.38%+0.90 -2.0 44
1999-03-06 Floriana L 2-641.2 865 926 34.47% 21.15% 44.38%-0.21 -21.8 25
1999-03-06 @ Naxxar Lions W 6-241.2 926 865 44.38% 21.15% 34.47%+0.21 +21.8 29
1999-03-06 Sliema Wanderers L 1-333.9 681 1023 9.83% 17.10% 73.07%-1.92 -4.4 10
1999-03-06 @ St. Patrick W 3-133.9 1023 681 73.07% 17.10% 9.83%+1.92 +4.4 36
1999-03-07 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-135.4 1149 829 75.03% 16.42% 8.54%+2.10 +2.2 47
1999-03-07 @ Birkirkara L 1-235.4 829 1149 8.54% 16.42% 75.03%-2.10 -2.2 14
1999-03-07 Hamrun Spartans W 2-132.6 1201 699 84.45% 12.03% 3.51%+3.21 +0.8 51
1999-03-07 @ Valletta L 1-232.6 699 1201 3.51% 12.03% 84.45%-3.21 -0.8 6
1999-03-13 St. Patrick L 1-248.0 698 676 46.01% 21.10% 32.88%+0.29 -10.3 6
1999-03-13 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-148.0 676 698 32.88% 21.10% 46.01%-0.29 +10.2 13
1999-03-14 Valletta L 1-336.0 948 1202 14.86% 18.92% 66.21%-1.39 -6.6 29
1999-03-14 @ Floriana W 3-136.0 1202 948 66.21% 18.92% 14.86%+1.39 +6.6 54
1999-03-14 Hibernians W 2-143.0 1027 979 49.54% 20.95% 29.51%+0.45 +7.1 39
1999-03-14 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-243.0 979 1027 29.51% 20.95% 49.54%-0.45 -7.1 30
1999-03-15 Naxxar Lions W 2-041.5 753 843 30.72% 21.02% 48.27%-0.39 +21.4 20
1999-03-15 @ Rabat Ajax L 0-241.5 843 753 48.27% 21.02% 30.72%+0.39 -21.4 25
1999-03-19 Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.4 827 1034 18.44% 19.73% 61.84%-1.10 +2.4 15
1999-03-19 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-153.4 1034 827 61.84% 19.73% 18.44%+1.10 -2.4 40
1999-03-20 Rabat Ajax L 0-442.5 941 775 62.91% 19.55% 17.54%+1.17 -51.5 29
1999-03-20 @ Floriana W 4-042.5 775 941 17.54% 19.55% 62.91%-1.17 +51.5 23
1999-03-20 St. Patrick W 3-237.4 1208 686 85.24% 11.58% 3.19%+3.33 +0.7 57
1999-03-20 @ Valletta L 2-337.4 686 1208 3.19% 11.58% 85.24%-3.33 -0.7 13
1999-03-21 Hamrun Spartans W 2-136.1 972 687 72.64% 17.24% 10.12%+1.88 +2.6 33
1999-03-21 @ Hibernians L 1-236.1 687 972 10.12% 17.24% 72.64%-1.88 -2.6 6
1999-03-21 Birkirkara L 0-131.6 822 1152 10.42% 17.37% 72.21%-1.85 -2.8 25
1999-03-21 @ Naxxar Lions W 1-031.6 1152 822 72.21% 17.37% 10.42%+1.85 +2.8 50
1999-04-03 Valletta D 0-050.8 826 1209 8.09% 16.16% 75.75%-2.17 +4.3 24
1999-04-03 @ Rabat Ajax D 0-050.8 1209 826 75.75% 16.16% 8.09%+2.17 -4.3 58
1999-04-03 Hibernians L 1-237.1 686 975 12.64% 18.25% 69.11%-1.60 -3.3 13
1999-04-03 @ St. Patrick W 2-137.1 975 686 69.11% 18.25% 12.64%+1.60 +3.3 36
1999-04-04 Pieta Hotspurs L 1-437.3 685 830 24.37% 20.55% 55.08%-0.72 -14.8 6
1999-04-04 @ Hamrun Spartans W 4-137.3 830 685 55.08% 20.55% 24.37%+0.72 +14.8 18
1999-04-04 Naxxar Lions W 3-028.6 1032 819 67.12% 18.73% 14.15%+1.45 +10.6 43
1999-04-04 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-328.6 819 1032 14.15% 18.73% 67.12%-1.45 -10.6 25
1999-04-05 Floriana W 3-027.4 1154 890 71.23% 17.67% 11.10%+1.76 +8.3 53
1999-04-05 @ Birkirkara L 0-327.4 890 1154 11.10% 17.67% 71.23%-1.76 -8.3 29
1999-04-10 St. Patrick W 1-034.5 844 683 62.45% 19.63% 17.92%+1.14 +4.9 21
1999-04-10 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-134.5 683 844 17.92% 19.63% 62.45%-1.14 -4.9 13
1999-04-10 Hibernians W 2-030.2 1205 978 68.30% 18.45% 13.25%+1.54 +6.8 61
1999-04-10 @ Valletta L 0-230.2 978 1205 13.25% 18.45% 68.30%-1.54 -6.8 36
1999-04-11 Hamrun Spartans L 1-251.9 808 670 60.07% 19.99% 19.94%+1.00 -13.0 25
1999-04-11 @ Naxxar Lions W 2-151.9 670 808 19.94% 19.99% 60.07%-1.00 +13.0 9
1999-04-11 Birkirkara L 1-530.4 830 1163 10.30% 17.32% 72.38%-1.86 -8.4 24
1999-04-11 @ Rabat Ajax W 5-130.4 1163 830 72.38% 17.32% 10.30%+1.86 +8.4 56
1999-04-14 Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.3 881 1043 22.66% 20.36% 56.97%-0.82 +1.8 30
1999-04-14 @ Floriana D 1-153.3 1043 881 56.97% 20.36% 22.66%+0.82 -1.8 44
1999-04-14 Pieta Hotspurs W 1-035.8 971 849 58.31% 20.21% 21.48%+0.90 +5.7 39
1999-04-14 @ Hibernians L 0-135.8 849 971 21.48% 20.21% 58.31%-0.90 -5.7 21
1999-04-17 Floriana W 1-047.5 683 883 19.04% 19.83% 61.13%-1.06 +14.0 12
1999-04-17 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-147.5 883 683 61.13% 19.83% 19.04%+1.06 -14.0 30
1999-04-17 Naxxar Lions D 1-153.1 678 795 27.37% 20.82% 51.82%-0.56 +1.3 14
1999-04-17 @ St. Patrick D 1-153.1 795 678 51.82% 20.82% 27.37%+0.56 -1.3 26
1999-04-18 Valletta W 2-146.9 1171 1212 37.28% 21.20% 41.52%-0.09 +9.4 59
1999-04-18 @ Birkirkara L 1-246.9 1212 1171 41.52% 21.20% 37.28%+0.09 -9.4 61
1999-04-18 Rabat Ajax W 3-028.4 1041 822 67.60% 18.62% 13.79%+1.48 +10.3 47
1999-04-18 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-328.4 822 1041 13.79% 18.62% 67.60%-1.48 -10.3 24
1999-04-23 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-134.7 1202 843 77.40% 15.51% 7.10%+2.34 +1.8 64
1999-04-23 @ Valletta L 1-234.7 843 1202 7.10% 15.51% 77.40%-2.34 -1.8 21
1999-04-24 Sliema Wanderers W 2-033.0 1181 1051 59.14% 20.11% 20.75%+0.94 +10.5 62
1999-04-24 @ Birkirkara L 0-233.0 1051 1181 20.75% 20.11% 59.14%-0.94 -10.5 47
1999-04-24 Hibernians W 2-151.7 794 977 20.60% 20.09% 59.32%-0.95 +12.9 29
1999-04-24 @ Naxxar Lions L 1-251.7 977 794 59.32% 20.09% 20.60%+0.95 -12.9 39
1999-04-25 St. Patrick W 5-028.1 869 679 65.12% 19.15% 15.73%+1.31 +18.9 33
1999-04-25 @ Floriana L 0-528.1 679 869 15.73% 19.15% 65.12%-1.31 -18.9 14
1999-04-25 Hamrun Spartans W 2-140.6 812 697 57.53% 20.30% 22.16%+0.85 +5.6 27
1999-04-25 @ Rabat Ajax L 1-240.6 697 812 22.16% 20.30% 57.53%-0.85 -5.6 12
1999-05-01 Naxxar Lions W 4-139.4 842 807 47.80% 21.04% 31.16%+0.37 +18.3 24
1999-05-01 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-439.4 807 842 31.16% 21.04% 47.80%-0.37 -18.3 29
1999-05-01 Valletta L 2-345.8 1041 1204 22.43% 20.34% 57.24%-0.84 -5.3 47
1999-05-01 @ Sliema Wanderers W 3-245.8 1204 1041 57.24% 20.34% 22.43%+0.84 +5.3 67
1999-05-02 Birkirkara L 0-724.0 691 1191 4.60% 13.34% 82.06%-2.88 -7.1 12
1999-05-02 @ Hamrun Spartans W 7-024.0 1191 691 82.06% 13.34% 4.60%+2.88 +7.1 65
1999-05-02 Floriana L 2-355.1 964 888 53.01% 20.73% 26.26%+0.62 -11.0 39
1999-05-02 @ Hibernians W 3-255.1 888 964 26.26% 20.73% 53.01%-0.62 +11.0 36
1999-05-05 Rabat Ajax W 2-151.0 660 817 23.06% 20.41% 56.53%-0.80 +12.3 17
1999-05-05 @ St. Patrick L 1-251.0 817 660 56.53% 20.41% 23.06%+0.80 -12.3 27
1999-05-05 Naxxar Lions W 2-026.5 1209 789 80.74% 14.00% 5.25%+2.71 +2.6 70
1999-05-05 @ Valletta L 0-226.5 789 1209 5.25% 14.00% 80.74%-2.71 -2.6 29
1999-05-08 Pieta Hotspurs L 2-451.0 899 860 48.36% 21.01% 30.63%+0.39 -16.6 36
1999-05-08 @ Floriana W 4-251.0 860 899 30.63% 21.01% 48.36%-0.39 +16.6 27
1999-05-08 Hamrun Spartans L 1-255.7 1035 684 76.93% 15.70% 7.37%+2.29 -16.2 47
1999-05-08 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-155.7 684 1035 7.37% 15.70% 76.93%-2.29 +16.2 15
1999-05-09 St. Patrick W 1-027.6 1198 672 85.39% 11.49% 3.13%+3.35 +0.8 68
1999-05-09 @ Birkirkara L 0-127.6 672 1198 3.13% 11.49% 85.39%-3.35 -0.8 17
1999-05-09 Hibernians L 1-634.4 805 953 24.03% 20.52% 55.45%-0.74 -23.2 27
1999-05-09 @ Rabat Ajax W 6-134.4 953 805 55.45% 20.52% 24.03%+0.74 +23.2 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1999-05-08 7.37% Hamrun Spartans 684 2 @ Sliema Wanderers 1035 1
2 1998-09-19 13.85% Naxxar Lions 842 2 @ Sliema Wanderers 1060 1
3 1998-09-12 15.98% @ Naxxar Lions 828 2 Birkirkara 1067 1
4 1998-12-06 16.44% @ Rabat Ajax 728 2 Hibernians 961 0
5 1999-03-20 17.54% Rabat Ajax 775 4 @ Floriana 941 0
6 1999-01-05 18.08% @ Naxxar Lions 850 2 Sliema Wanderers 1061 0
7 1999-04-17 19.04% @ Hamrun Spartans 683 1 Floriana 883 0
8 1999-04-11 19.94% Hamrun Spartans 670 2 @ Naxxar Lions 808 1
9 1999-04-24 20.60% @ Naxxar Lions 794 2 Hibernians 977 1
10 1999-05-05 23.06% @ St. Patrick 660 2 Rabat Ajax 817 1
11 1998-12-19 23.12% Rabat Ajax 767 2 @ Naxxar Lions 872 1
12 1998-08-29 25.23% St. Patrick 734 4 @ Hamrun Spartans 819 3
13 1999-05-02 26.26% Floriana 888 3 @ Hibernians 964 2
14 1998-12-16 28.00% @ Rabat Ajax 756 2 Pieta Hotspurs 868 1
15 1998-10-02 28.18% @ Birkirkara 1064 4 Valletta 1175 1
16 1999-01-24 28.79% Birkirkara 1128 1 @ Valletta 1182 0
17 1999-05-08 30.63% Pieta Hotspurs 860 4 @ Floriana 899 2
18 1999-03-15 30.72% @ Rabat Ajax 753 2 Naxxar Lions 843 0
19 1999-01-30 31.37% @ Hamrun Spartans 688 4 Rabat Ajax 773 2
20 1998-11-01 32.69% Naxxar Lions 866 5 @ Pieta Hotspurs 889 3
21 1999-03-13 32.88% St. Patrick 676 2 @ Hamrun Spartans 698 1
22 1999-04-18 37.28% @ Birkirkara 1171 2 Valletta 1212 1
23 1999-02-14 38.31% Hibernians 955 2 @ Floriana 937 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-03-20 51.54 Rabat Ajax 4 775 17.54% @ Floriana 0 941 62.91% 19.55%
2 1998-09-19 28.41 Pieta Hotspurs 4 866 47.75% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 780 31.21% 21.04%
3 1998-09-13 28.23 @ Hibernians 5 902 55.20% Hamrun Spartans 0 808 24.25% 20.54%
4 1998-09-20 27.83 Hibernians 6 930 60.33% @ St. Patrick 0 738 19.72% 19.95%
5 1998-12-06 27.71 @ Rabat Ajax 2 728 16.44% Hibernians 0 961 64.24% 19.32%
6 1998-10-02 27.44 @ Birkirkara 4 1064 28.18% Valletta 1 1175 50.95% 20.87%
7 1999-01-05 26.90 @ Naxxar Lions 2 850 18.08% Sliema Wanderers 0 1061 62.26% 19.66%
8 1998-08-30 25.60 Naxxar Lions 3 803 40.63% @ Rabat Ajax 0 768 38.16% 21.21%
9 1998-08-23 25.45 @ Pieta Hotspurs 4 860 51.79% Rabat Ajax 0 794 27.39% 20.82%
10 1999-05-09 23.19 Hibernians 6 953 55.45% @ Rabat Ajax 1 805 24.03% 20.52%
11 1999-01-10 22.82 Birkirkara 4 1108 55.31% @ Floriana 0 962 24.16% 20.53%
12 1999-03-06 21.79 Floriana 6 926 44.38% @ Naxxar Lions 2 865 34.47% 21.15%
13 1998-08-30 21.73 Valletta 4 1123 56.76% @ Floriana 0 964 22.85% 20.39%
14 1999-03-15 21.37 @ Rabat Ajax 2 753 30.72% Naxxar Lions 0 843 48.27% 21.02%
15 1998-08-22 20.26 Birkirkara 3 1038 50.42% @ Hibernians 0 931 28.68% 20.90%
16 1999-02-21 19.56 @ Valletta 4 1173 59.60% Sliema Wanderers 0 1040 20.35% 20.05%
17 1999-04-25 18.92 @ Floriana 5 869 65.12% St. Patrick 0 679 15.73% 19.15%
18 1999-02-14 18.46 Hibernians 2 955 38.31% @ Floriana 0 937 40.48% 21.21%
19 1999-05-01 18.32 @ Pieta Hotspurs 4 842 47.80% Naxxar Lions 1 807 31.16% 21.04%
20 1999-05-08 16.58 Pieta Hotspurs 4 860 30.63% @ Floriana 2 899 48.36% 21.01%
21 1998-08-23 16.36 Sliema Wanderers 5 1024 67.88% @ St. Patrick 0 750 13.57% 18.55%
22 1999-01-30 16.35 @ Hamrun Spartans 4 688 31.37% Rabat Ajax 2 773 47.59% 21.05%
23 1999-05-08 16.22 Hamrun Spartans 2 684 7.37% @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1035 76.93% 15.70%
24 1998-11-01 15.07 Naxxar Lions 5 866 32.69% @ Pieta Hotspurs 3 889 46.21% 21.10%
25 1999-01-16 14.95 Hibernians 2 942 47.82% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 855 31.15% 21.04%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1999-01-17 59.9 @ Birkirkara 2 1131 77.19% Rabat Ajax 2 776 7.22% 15.59%
2 1999-01-30 58.9 @ St. Patrick 2 678 14.41% Floriana 2 939 66.79% 18.80%
3 1999-01-16 58.8 @ Naxxar Lions 2 874 65.83% St. Patrick 2 676 15.16% 19.00%
4 1998-08-29 58.7 St. Patrick 4 734 25.23% @ Hamrun Spartans 3 819 54.13% 20.64%
5 1998-09-18 58.4 @ Birkirkara 2 1053 55.68% Floriana 2 955 23.82% 20.50%
6 1999-05-08 55.7 Hamrun Spartans 2 684 7.37% @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1035 76.93% 15.70%
7 1999-05-02 55.1 Floriana 3 888 26.26% @ Hibernians 2 964 53.01% 20.73%
8 1998-09-19 53.7 Naxxar Lions 2 842 13.85% @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1060 67.51% 18.64%
9 1998-09-27 53.6 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 894 64.54% St. Patrick 1 710 16.20% 19.26%
10 1998-12-13 53.5 @ Birkirkara 1 1092 62.19% Hibernians 1 933 18.14% 19.67%
11 1999-03-19 53.4 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 827 18.44% Sliema Wanderers 1 1034 61.84% 19.73%
12 1998-09-26 53.3 @ Naxxar Lions 1 857 57.53% Hamrun Spartans 1 742 22.16% 20.30%
13 1998-12-26 53.3 @ Rabat Ajax 1 780 20.45% Floriana 1 964 59.48% 20.06%
14 1999-02-28 53.3 @ Hibernians 1 977 21.38% Birkirkara 1 1151 58.42% 20.20%
15 1999-04-14 53.3 @ Floriana 1 881 22.66% Sliema Wanderers 1 1043 56.97% 20.36%
16 1998-09-12 53.1 @ Naxxar Lions 2 828 15.98% Birkirkara 1 1067 64.82% 19.21%
17 1998-10-03 53.1 @ Hibernians 1 954 51.42% Pieta Hotspurs 1 891 27.74% 20.84%
18 1999-02-16 53.1 @ Rabat Ajax 1 757 53.08% St. Patrick 1 680 26.20% 20.72%
19 1999-02-27 53.1 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 831 53.40% Rabat Ajax 1 752 25.90% 20.70%
20 1999-04-17 53.1 @ St. Patrick 1 678 27.37% Naxxar Lions 1 795 51.82% 20.82%
21 1998-09-27 53.0 @ Floriana 1 956 32.25% Sliema Wanderers 1 1034 46.67% 21.08%
22 1998-10-17 53.0 @ Naxxar Lions 1 866 31.04% Hibernians 1 953 47.93% 21.03%
23 1998-11-08 53.0 @ St. Patrick 1 693 37.98% Rabat Ajax 1 729 40.81% 21.20%
24 1998-12-13 53.0 @ St. Patrick 1 680 38.01% Hamrun Spartans 1 715 40.78% 21.20%
25 1999-02-13 53.0 @ Naxxar Lions 1 874 48.01% Pieta Hotspurs 1 838 30.96% 21.03%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1998-09-09 23.8 @ Valletta 5 1145 79.70% St. Patrick 0 745 5.80% 14.50%
2 1999-05-02 24.0 Birkirkara 7 1191 82.06% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 691 4.60% 13.34%
3 1999-01-03 24.1 @ Valletta 4 1169 78.99% Rabat Ajax 0 782 6.19% 14.82%
4 1999-02-14 24.2 @ Birkirkara 3 1147 81.78% Hamrun Spartans 0 705 4.73% 13.48%
5 1998-12-06 25.5 @ Sliema Wanderers 7 1045 77.10% St. Patrick 0 691 7.27% 15.63%
6 1998-11-21 26.3 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1039 74.59% Hamrun Spartans 0 726 8.83% 16.59%
7 1999-05-05 26.5 @ Valletta 2 1209 80.74% Naxxar Lions 0 789 5.25% 14.00%
8 1998-09-20 27.0 Valletta 7 1152 78.02% @ Rabat Ajax 1 730 6.74% 15.25%
9 1998-08-23 27.3 Sliema Wanderers 5 1024 67.88% @ St. Patrick 0 750 13.57% 18.55%
10 1999-02-27 27.3 Valletta 3 1193 71.48% @ Naxxar Lions 0 873 10.92% 17.59%
11 1999-04-05 27.4 @ Birkirkara 3 1154 71.23% Floriana 0 890 11.10% 17.67%
12 1999-05-09 27.6 @ Birkirkara 1 1198 85.39% St. Patrick 0 672 3.13% 11.49%
13 1998-09-23 27.7 Birkirkara 3 1052 70.03% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 751 11.97% 18.01%
14 1999-04-25 28.1 @ Floriana 5 869 65.12% St. Patrick 0 679 15.73% 19.15%
15 1998-10-04 28.3 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1033 74.64% Rabat Ajax 0 719 8.80% 16.57%
16 1999-04-18 28.4 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1041 67.60% Rabat Ajax 0 822 13.79% 18.62%
17 1999-04-04 28.6 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1032 67.12% Naxxar Lions 0 819 14.15% 18.73%
18 1998-11-21 29.4 @ Birkirkara 1 1090 79.54% St. Patrick 0 693 5.89% 14.57%
19 1999-01-24 29.9 @ Floriana 2 933 69.15% Hamrun Spartans 0 695 12.61% 18.24%
20 1999-02-21 29.9 @ Valletta 4 1173 59.60% Sliema Wanderers 0 1040 20.35% 20.05%
21 1998-09-20 30.0 Hibernians 6 930 60.33% @ St. Patrick 0 738 19.72% 19.95%
22 1998-11-29 30.2 Valletta 4 1154 78.77% @ Hamrun Spartans 1 719 6.31% 14.92%
23 1999-04-10 30.2 @ Valletta 2 1205 68.30% Hibernians 0 978 13.25% 18.45%
24 1999-04-11 30.4 Birkirkara 5 1163 72.38% @ Rabat Ajax 1 830 10.30% 17.32%
25 1998-08-30 30.7 Valletta 4 1123 56.76% @ Floriana 0 964 22.85% 20.39%