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1999-00 Maltese Premier League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Birkirkara

47 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Floriana

8.27 points above expected

34 points · 25.73 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Gozo

10.75 points below expected

14 points · 24.75 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Birkirkara 18 15 2 1 47 39 9 +30 38.88 +8.12
2 Valletta 18 13 1 4 40 58 22 +36 37.36 +2.64
3 Floriana 18 11 1 6 34 35 24 +11 25.73 +8.27
4 Sliema Wanderers 18 10 3 5 33 41 23 +18 31.71 +1.29
5 Pieta Hotspurs 18 7 5 6 26 33 36 -3 23.61 +2.39
6 Hibernians 18 5 7 6 22 28 25 +3 27.15 -5.15
7 Naxxar Lions 18 4 4 10 16 27 40 -13 18.04 -2.04
8 Gozo 18 3 5 10 14 14 29 -15 24.75 -10.75
9 Zurrieq 18 3 3 12 12 20 55 -35 15.14 -3.14
10 Rabat Ajax 18 2 3 13 9 19 51 -32 12.43 -3.43
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Birkirkara 10 7 1 2 22 25 5 +20 44.64 -22.64
2 Sliema Wanderers 10 7 1 2 22 21 13 +8 30.79 -8.79
3 Valletta 10 5 1 4 16 17 14 +3 39.68 -23.68
4 Naxxar Lions 6 4 1 1 13 17 9 +8 17.96 -4.96
5 Rabat Ajax 6 3 3 0 12 15 11 +4 10.98 +1.02
6 Floriana 10 3 1 6 10 15 20 -5 28.84 -18.84
7 Pieta Hotspurs 10 3 0 7 9 12 24 -12 21.61 -12.61
8 Hibernians 10 3 0 7 9 9 23 -14 21.34 -12.34
9 Gozo 6 1 2 3 5 8 10 -2 18.03 -13.03
10 Zurrieq 6 1 0 5 3 12 22 -10 12.92 -9.92

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Floriana 34 25.73 +8.27
2 Birkirkara 47 38.88 +8.12
3 Valletta 40 37.36 +2.64
4 Pieta Hotspurs 26 23.61 +2.39
5 Sliema Wanderers 33 31.71 +1.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gozo 14 24.75 -10.75
2 Hibernians 22 27.15 -5.15
3 Rabat Ajax 9 12.43 -3.43
4 Zurrieq 12 15.14 -3.14
5 Naxxar Lions 16 18.04 -2.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Birkirkara 10 Oct 17 – Jan 23 1 in 43
2 Rabat Ajax 2 Dec 8 – Dec 13 1 in 25
3 Valletta 8 Nov 20 – Jan 23 1 in 24
4 Floriana 4 Dec 4 – Jan 8 1 in 23
5 Naxxar Lions 2 Aug 29 – Sep 11 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gozo 3 Dec 9 – Dec 19 1 in 15
2 Valletta 2 Aug 24 – Aug 28 1 in 15
3 Sliema Wanderers 2 Dec 21 – Jan 9 1 in 13
4 Hibernians 2 Nov 27 – Dec 4 1 in 11
5 Floriana 2 Nov 15 – Nov 20 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pieta Hotspurs 4 Oct 2 – Oct 23 1 in 12
2 Birkirkara 11 Oct 17 – Jan 30 1 in 9
3 Rabat Ajax 2 Dec 8 – Dec 13 1 in 7
4 Valletta 9 Nov 20 – Jan 30 1 in 7
5 Floriana 4 Dec 4 – Jan 8 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gozo 6 Aug 29 – Oct 3 1 in 81
2 Hibernians 6 Sep 12 – Oct 17 1 in 52
3 Zurrieq 8 Sep 18 – Nov 27 1 in 15
4 Sliema Wanderers 4 Dec 4 – Jan 9 1 in 14
5 Rabat Ajax 12 Aug 24 – Dec 4 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Birkirkara 1400 69 +96 13 10.5 +2.5
Valletta 1233 56 -62 6 10.1 -4.1
Sliema Wanderers 1201 55 +52 12 7.6 +4.4
Floriana 1060 44 +28 7 5.0 +2.0
Pieta Hotspurs 999 35 -34 3 4.6 -1.6
Hibernians 923 31 -81 3 4.6 -1.6
Naxxar Lions 965 29 +40 10 9.3 +0.7
Rabat Ajax 834 21 +40 9 4.8 +4.2
Gozo 893 19 -39 5 9.6 -4.6
Zurrieq 751 15 -41 3 4.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIR FLO GOZ HIB NL PH RA SW VAL ZUR
Birkirkara —
2-0-0
4.37
1-0-1
4.58
1-1-0
4.18
2-0-0
4.79
2-0-0
4.47
2-0-0
5.09
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-0
2.95
2-0-0
4.67
Floriana
0-0-2
1.30
 —
2-0-0
2.57
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.84
0-1-1
3.60
2-0-0
4.22
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
1.55
2-0-0
4.36
Gozo
1-0-1
1.10
0-0-2
3.08
 —
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
3.89
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
4.15
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-0
3.75
Hibernians
0-1-1
1.48
0-0-2
2.84
1-1-0
3.37
 —
0-2-0
3.93
1-1-0
3.04
2-0-0
4.16
0-2-0
2.24
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
4.23
Naxxar Lions
0-0-2
0.90
1-0-1
1.81
1-1-0
1.77
0-2-0
1.72
 —
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
3.56
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
1.07
1-1-0
3.10
Pieta Hotspurs
0-0-2
1.19
1-1-0
2.05
0-1-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.61
2-0-0
3.49
 —
1-1-0
3.99
1-1-0
1.86
0-0-2
1.39
2-0-0
3.51
Rabat Ajax
0-0-2
0.62
0-0-2
1.44
1-1-0
1.51
0-0-2
1.51
1-0-1
2.09
0-1-1
1.67
 —
0-0-2
0.88
0-0-2
0.75
0-1-1
2.52
Sliema Wanderers
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.76
0-2-0
3.41
2-0-0
4.16
0-1-1
3.79
2-0-0
4.80
 —
1-0-1
2.17
2-0-0
4.28
Valletta
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
4.11
2-0-0
4.28
1-0-1
3.76
2-0-0
4.61
2-0-0
4.28
2-0-0
4.95
1-0-1
3.48
 —
2-0-0
4.89
Zurrieq
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
1.30
0-1-1
1.91
2-0-0
1.43
0-1-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.13
1-1-0
3.13
0-0-2
1.38
0-0-2
0.80
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.72 +8.5
Allowed 0.75 -7.9
Differential 0.91 +5.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.30%4.92%6.82%4.17%0.76%1.52%23.48%
14.92%6.06%7.95%3.03%1.89%1.52%25.38%
26.82%7.95%3.03%4.55%0.76%1.89%25.00%
34.17%3.03%4.55%2.27%0.76%0.76%15.53%
40.76%1.89%0.76%0.76%—0.38%4.55%
5+1.52%1.52%1.89%0.76%0.38%—6.06%
Total23.48%25.38%25.00%15.53%4.55%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.76 +0.00
SD 1.60 1.60 2.36
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 9 9 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%10.71%————14.29%
110.71%7.14%————17.86%
228.57%10.71%————39.29%
33.57%3.57%————7.14%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+3.57%7.14%3.57%———14.29%
Total53.57%42.86%3.57%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.29 0.50 +1.79
SD 1.84 0.58 1.87
CV 0.81 1.15 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.57%3.57%10.71%——17.86%
110.71%3.57%17.86%———32.14%
210.71%3.57%3.57%3.57%——21.43%
33.57%3.57%7.14%———14.29%
4—3.57%—3.57%—3.57%10.71%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total25.00%21.43%32.14%17.86%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.57 +0.21
SD 1.40 1.26 1.87
CV 0.78 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%8.33%———33.33%
18.33%16.67%12.50%8.33%4.17%4.17%54.17%
2———————
3—4.17%4.17%—4.17%—12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.83%33.33%25.00%8.33%8.33%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.92 1.62 -0.71
SD 0.93 1.38 1.37
CV 1.01 0.85 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%14.29%7.14%3.57%—35.71%
13.57%7.14%14.29%———25.00%
2—7.14%3.57%——3.57%14.29%
37.14%3.57%3.57%7.14%——21.43%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+———————
Total17.86%25.00%35.71%14.29%3.57%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.71 -0.39
SD 1.28 1.24 1.87
CV 0.97 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%4.17%4.17%8.33%——25.00%
14.17%————4.17%8.33%
24.17%4.17%4.17%16.67%4.17%4.17%37.50%
38.33%4.17%4.17%8.33%——25.00%
4———————
5+——4.17%———4.17%
Total25.00%12.50%16.67%33.33%4.17%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 2.04 -0.21
SD 1.43 1.57 2.08
CV 0.78 0.77 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%10.71%3.57%—3.57%28.57%
17.14%——3.57%3.57%—14.29%
2—7.14%10.71%7.14%3.57%3.57%32.14%
33.57%—10.71%——3.57%17.86%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+———————
Total21.43%14.29%32.14%14.29%7.14%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.61 2.14 -0.54
SD 1.29 1.86 2.36
CV 0.80 0.87 —
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%—8.33%8.33%4.17%4.17%29.17%
1—12.50%8.33%8.33%4.17%—33.33%
2—4.17%4.17%4.17%——12.50%
3——12.50%4.17%4.17%—20.83%
4———————
5+———4.17%——4.17%
Total4.17%16.67%33.33%29.17%12.50%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 2.58 -1.17
SD 1.35 1.72 2.28
CV 0.95 0.66 —
Max 5 9 +2
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
1—3.57%3.57%3.57%——10.71%
27.14%21.43%—3.57%——32.14%
37.14%3.57%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+3.57%—7.14%—3.57%—14.29%
Total25.00%39.29%21.43%10.71%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.21 1.29 +0.93
SD 1.79 1.08 1.90
CV 0.81 0.84 —
Max 7 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%—3.57%———7.14%
13.57%3.57%14.29%3.57%—3.57%28.57%
214.29%10.71%—3.57%——28.57%
37.14%3.57%————10.71%
4——7.14%———7.14%
5+7.14%3.57%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
Total35.71%21.43%28.57%10.71%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.68 1.29 +1.39
SD 2.33 1.27 2.85
CV 0.87 0.99 —
Max 9 5 +9
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.17%8.33%4.17%—8.33%25.00%
1—8.33%8.33%4.17%8.33%4.17%33.33%
2—8.33%4.17%8.33%—8.33%29.17%
3—4.17%———4.17%8.33%
4———4.17%——4.17%
5+———————
Total—25.00%20.83%20.83%8.33%25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 3.21 -1.88
SD 1.09 2.17 2.44
CV 0.82 0.68 —
Max 4 9 +2
Min 0 1 -8

Games Played: 24

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Birkirkara 1400 47 38.88 +8.12 95.0% 23 30 36 39 42 47 52
Valletta 1233 40 37.36 +2.64 79.0% 21 28 34 38 40 44 50
Sliema Wanderers 1201 33 31.71 +1.29 63.0% 19 23 28 31 35 40 43
Floriana 1060 34 25.73 +8.27 95.0% 14 16 22 26 29 34 37
Pieta Hotspurs 999 26 23.61 +2.39 70.0% 9 16 21 24 27 30 34
Naxxar Lions 965 16 18.04 -2.04 40.0% 5 9 14 18 22 26 32
Hibernians 923 22 27.15 -5.15 20.0% 12 20 23 27 31 35 39
Gozo 893 14 24.75 -10.75 1.0% 9 17 21 24 28 35 39
Rabat Ajax 834 9 12.43 -3.43 32.0% 1 4 8 12 16 22 26
Zurrieq 751 12 15.14 -3.14 23.0% 3 8 13 15 18 23 29

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+10.61%
Strong Edge
46.97%16.67%36.36%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 36.99 Elo pts.
143 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.08 goals
Neutral
-2+0.26+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.4
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
45%
Birkirkara, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.39/gm
Runaway
00.270.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.11 * Some Luck: 4.11 to 6.17 * Lucky: 6.17 to 8.23 * Wild Swing: 8.23 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.89 * Close: 0.89 to 1.34 * Off: 1.34 to 1.78 * Way Off: 1.78 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.62 points
Some Luck
05.1413
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Close
01.112.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
95.00%
Birkirkara
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.00%
Gozo
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Lopsided
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 177.11
2.19
Strong Separation
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
76%
Slight Edge
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
54%
Some Drama
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Slight Separation
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.09
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.70
Some Carryover
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Very Upset-Prone
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Shaky Favorites
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.23
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.98
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.108
Well Within Noise
00.1400.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Birkirkara45.00%38.00%7.00%7.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
Valletta45.00%37.00%9.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%———
Floriana—2.00%15.00%17.00%21.00%21.00%9.00%11.00%3.00%1.00%
Sliema Wanderers9.00%16.00%37.00%20.00%11.00%3.00%2.00%2.00%——
Pieta Hotspurs——3.00%15.00%24.00%20.00%21.00%11.00%5.00%1.00%
Hibernians—5.00%17.00%23.00%20.00%15.00%12.00%6.00%—2.00%
Naxxar Lions——1.00%2.00%5.00%9.00%19.00%33.00%20.00%11.00%
Gozo1.00%2.00%11.00%11.00%11.00%26.00%24.00%10.00%3.00%1.00%
Zurrieq———1.00%1.00%3.00%7.00%17.00%43.00%28.00%
Rabat Ajax————3.00%1.00%4.00%10.00%26.00%56.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Floriana 99.00% 1.00%
Pieta Hotspurs 99.00% 1.00%
Gozo 95.00% 5.00%
Naxxar Lions 62.00% 38.00%
Zurrieq 28.00% 72.00%
Rabat Ajax 17.00% 83.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Floriana 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Pieta Hotspurs 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Gozo 80.32% 19.68%
Naxxar Lions 79.19% 20.81%
Zurrieq 26.68% 73.32%
Rabat Ajax 13.81% 86.19%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1999-08-24 Naxxar Lions W 2-033.8 971 905 54.96% 17.49% 27.56%+0.72 +19.7 3
1999-08-24 @ Floriana L 0-233.8 905 971 27.56% 17.49% 54.96%-0.72 -19.7 0
1999-08-24 Hibernians L 0-331.8 897 1036 27.71% 17.49% 54.80%-0.71 -28.8 0
1999-08-24 @ Rabat Ajax W 3-031.8 1036 897 54.80% 17.49% 27.71%+0.71 +28.8 3
1999-08-24 Sliema Wanderers L 1-250.9 1192 1063 61.87% 17.20% 20.93%+1.16 -20.0 0
1999-08-24 @ Valletta W 2-150.9 1063 1192 20.93% 17.20% 61.87%-1.16 +20.0 3
1999-08-24 Birkirkara L 1-433.0 939 1187 16.88% 16.90% 66.22%-1.48 -15.5 0
1999-08-24 @ Zurrieq W 4-133.0 1187 939 66.22% 16.90% 16.88%+1.48 +15.5 3
1999-08-28 Valletta W 3-252.3 1065 1172 31.58% 17.59% 50.83%-0.49 +15.8 6
1999-08-28 @ Hibernians L 2-352.3 1172 1065 50.83% 17.59% 31.58%+0.49 -15.8 0
1999-08-28 Rabat Ajax W 2-139.1 977 868 59.85% 17.30% 22.85%+1.02 +8.4 3
1999-08-28 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-239.1 868 977 22.85% 17.30% 59.85%-1.02 -8.4 0
1999-08-29 Floriana W 2-136.3 1203 991 69.26% 16.62% 14.12%+1.74 +5.4 6
1999-08-29 @ Birkirkara L 1-236.3 991 1203 14.12% 16.62% 69.26%-1.74 -5.4 3
1999-08-29 Gozo W 2-150.9 886 1092 20.55% 17.17% 62.27%-1.18 +20.1 3
1999-08-29 @ Naxxar Lions L 1-250.9 1092 886 62.27% 17.17% 20.55%+1.18 -20.1 0
1999-08-29 Zurrieq W 5-027.5 1083 923 64.95% 17.00% 18.05%+1.38 +31.5 6
1999-08-29 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-527.5 923 1083 18.05% 17.00% 64.95%-1.38 -31.5 0
1999-09-11 Naxxar Lions L 2-348.9 860 906 39.90% 17.67% 42.42%-0.06 -12.8 0
1999-09-11 @ Rabat Ajax W 3-248.9 906 860 42.42% 17.67% 39.90%+0.06 +12.8 6
1999-09-11 Pieta Hotspurs W 5-341.8 1156 986 65.87% 16.93% 17.21%+1.45 +9.4 3
1999-09-11 @ Valletta L 3-541.8 986 1156 17.21% 16.93% 65.87%-1.45 -9.4 3
1999-09-12 Sliema Wanderers W 2-139.8 1208 1115 58.08% 17.38% 24.54%+0.91 +8.9 9
1999-09-12 @ Birkirkara L 1-239.8 1115 1208 24.54% 17.38% 58.08%-0.91 -8.9 6
1999-09-12 Gozo W 5-141.0 986 1072 34.35% 17.63% 48.02%-0.34 +50.0 6
1999-09-12 @ Floriana L 1-541.0 1072 986 48.02% 17.63% 34.35%+0.34 -50.0 0
1999-09-12 Hibernians W 2-150.4 892 1080 22.27% 17.27% 60.46%-1.06 +19.6 3
1999-09-12 @ Zurrieq L 1-250.4 1080 892 60.46% 17.27% 22.27%+1.06 -19.6 6
1999-09-17 Birkirkara D 0-050.3 1061 1217 25.74% 17.43% 56.83%-0.83 +2.8 7
1999-09-17 @ Hibernians D 0-050.3 1217 1061 56.83% 17.43% 25.74%+0.83 -2.8 10
1999-09-18 Rabat Ajax D 1-153.8 1022 847 66.24% 16.90% 16.86%+1.48 -4.1 1
1999-09-18 @ Gozo D 1-153.8 847 1022 16.86% 16.90% 66.24%-1.48 +4.1 1
1999-09-18 Zurrieq W 2-140.6 976 911 54.81% 17.49% 27.70%+0.71 +9.9 6
1999-09-18 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-240.6 911 976 27.70% 17.49% 54.81%-0.71 -9.9 3
1999-09-19 Valletta L 2-439.2 918 1166 16.99% 16.91% 66.10%-1.47 -9.9 6
1999-09-19 @ Naxxar Lions W 4-239.2 1166 918 66.10% 16.91% 16.99%+1.47 +9.9 6
1999-09-19 Floriana W 2-140.5 1106 1036 55.45% 17.47% 27.08%+0.75 +9.7 9
1999-09-19 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-240.5 1036 1106 27.08% 17.47% 55.45%-0.75 -9.7 6
1999-09-21 Pieta Hotspurs D 0-050.2 1018 986 50.61% 17.59% 31.80%+0.48 -1.6 2
1999-09-21 @ Gozo D 0-050.2 986 1018 31.80% 17.59% 50.61%-0.48 +1.7 7
1999-09-25 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-133.8 1214 988 70.37% 16.49% 13.13%+1.84 +8.6 13
1999-09-25 @ Birkirkara L 1-333.8 988 1214 13.13% 16.49% 70.37%-1.84 -8.6 7
1999-09-25 Rabat Ajax W 4-345.2 1026 851 66.25% 16.90% 16.85%+1.48 +5.9 9
1999-09-25 @ Floriana L 3-445.2 851 1026 16.85% 16.90% 66.25%-1.48 -5.9 1
1999-09-26 Valletta L 0-233.2 1016 1175 25.37% 17.41% 57.22%-0.86 -18.4 2
1999-09-26 @ Gozo W 2-033.2 1175 1016 57.22% 17.41% 25.37%+0.86 +18.3 9
1999-09-26 Hibernians D 3-362.4 1116 1064 53.23% 17.53% 29.23%+0.62 -1.2 10
1999-09-26 @ Sliema Wanderers D 3-362.4 1064 1116 29.23% 17.53% 53.23%-0.62 +1.2 8
1999-09-26 Naxxar Lions D 2-258.1 901 909 45.37% 17.66% 36.97%+0.21 -0.5 4
1999-09-26 @ Zurrieq D 2-258.1 909 901 36.97% 17.66% 45.37%-0.21 +0.5 7
1999-10-01 Floriana L 0-143.5 1065 1032 50.79% 17.59% 31.62%+0.49 -17.6 8
1999-10-01 @ Hibernians W 1-043.5 1032 1065 31.62% 17.59% 50.79%-0.49 +17.6 12
1999-10-02 Sliema Wanderers D 0-050.2 979 1115 28.10% 17.50% 54.39%-0.69 +2.3 8
1999-10-02 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 0-050.2 1115 979 54.39% 17.50% 28.10%+0.69 -2.3 11
1999-10-02 Valletta L 0-926.9 845 1194 10.34% 16.05% 73.61%-2.18 -32.4 1
1999-10-02 @ Rabat Ajax W 9-026.9 1194 845 73.61% 16.05% 10.34%+2.18 +32.4 12
1999-10-03 Birkirkara L 1-529.9 909 1223 12.30% 16.38% 71.32%-1.94 -14.8 7
1999-10-03 @ Naxxar Lions W 5-129.9 1223 909 71.32% 16.38% 12.30%+1.94 +14.8 16
1999-10-03 Gozo D 1-153.6 901 998 32.92% 17.61% 49.47%-0.42 +1.3 5
1999-10-03 @ Zurrieq D 1-153.6 998 901 49.47% 17.61% 32.92%+0.42 -1.3 3
1999-10-09 Valletta W 3-147.9 1050 1226 23.52% 17.33% 59.15%-0.98 +33.2 15
1999-10-09 @ Floriana L 1-347.9 1226 1050 59.15% 17.33% 23.52%+0.98 -33.2 12
1999-10-09 Rabat Ajax D 1-153.6 902 813 57.65% 17.40% 24.96%+0.88 -2.6 6
1999-10-09 @ Zurrieq D 1-153.6 813 902 24.96% 17.40% 57.65%-0.88 +2.6 2
1999-10-10 Birkirkara W 1-047.7 996 1238 17.47% 16.95% 65.58%-1.43 +22.5 6
1999-10-10 @ Gozo L 0-147.7 1238 996 65.58% 16.95% 17.47%+1.43 -22.5 16
1999-10-10 Pieta Hotspurs D 2-258.2 1047 981 54.91% 17.49% 27.60%+0.72 -1.6 9
1999-10-10 @ Hibernians D 2-258.2 981 1047 27.60% 17.49% 54.91%-0.72 +1.6 9
1999-10-10 Naxxar Lions W 3-027.3 1112 894 69.75% 16.56% 13.68%+1.78 +15.1 14
1999-10-10 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-327.3 894 1112 13.68% 16.56% 69.75%-1.78 -15.1 7
1999-10-16 Floriana W 3-251.9 983 1083 32.55% 17.61% 49.84%-0.44 +15.5 12
1999-10-16 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 2-351.9 1083 983 49.84% 17.61% 32.55%+0.44 -15.5 15
1999-10-16 Zurrieq W 9-127.4 1193 899 74.74% 15.86% 9.40%+2.31 +21.6 15
1999-10-16 @ Valletta L 1-927.4 899 1193 9.40% 15.86% 74.74%-2.31 -21.6 6
1999-10-17 Sliema Wanderers L 1-241.8 1019 1127 31.42% 17.58% 51.00%-0.50 -11.1 6
1999-10-17 @ Gozo W 2-141.8 1127 1019 51.00% 17.58% 31.42%+0.50 +11.0 17
1999-10-17 Hibernians D 0-050.2 879 1046 24.60% 17.38% 58.02%-0.91 +3.0 8
1999-10-17 @ Naxxar Lions D 0-050.2 1046 879 58.02% 17.38% 24.60%+0.91 -3.0 10
1999-10-17 Birkirkara L 0-227.3 816 1215 7.99% 15.52% 76.49%-2.54 -6.1 2
1999-10-17 @ Rabat Ajax W 2-027.3 1215 816 76.49% 15.52% 7.99%+2.54 +6.1 19
1999-10-22 Valletta W 2-036.4 1221 1215 47.29% 17.64% 35.07%+0.31 +24.3 22
1999-10-22 @ Birkirkara L 0-236.4 1215 1221 35.07% 17.64% 47.29%-0.31 -24.3 15
1999-10-23 Zurrieq W 3-241.4 1067 878 67.49% 16.79% 15.72%+1.58 +5.6 18
1999-10-23 @ Floriana L 2-341.4 878 1067 15.72% 16.79% 67.49%-1.58 -5.6 6
1999-10-23 Naxxar Lions W 1-034.7 999 882 60.63% 17.26% 22.11%+1.07 +8.6 15
1999-10-23 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-134.7 882 999 22.11% 17.26% 60.63%-1.07 -8.6 8
1999-10-24 Gozo W 3-139.6 1043 1008 51.03% 17.58% 31.39%+0.50 +19.1 13
1999-10-24 @ Hibernians L 1-339.6 1008 1043 31.39% 17.58% 51.03%-0.50 -19.1 6
1999-10-24 Rabat Ajax W 3-131.9 1138 809 76.66% 15.49% 7.85%+2.56 +5.2 20
1999-10-24 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-331.9 809 1138 7.85% 15.49% 76.66%-2.56 -5.2 2
1999-11-14 Rabat Ajax W 3-026.4 1062 804 72.52% 16.22% 11.26%+2.06 +12.5 16
1999-11-14 @ Hibernians L 0-326.4 804 1062 11.26% 16.22% 72.52%-2.06 -12.5 2
1999-11-14 Gozo L 2-351.6 1007 989 48.89% 17.62% 33.49%+0.39 -15.2 15
1999-11-14 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-251.6 989 1007 33.49% 17.62% 48.89%-0.39 +15.2 9
1999-11-15 Zurrieq W 2-026.7 1246 872 78.76% 14.98% 6.26%+2.87 +4.8 25
1999-11-15 @ Birkirkara L 0-226.7 872 1246 6.26% 14.98% 78.76%-2.87 -4.8 6
1999-11-15 Floriana W 3-041.8 874 1073 21.24% 17.21% 61.55%-1.13 +57.8 11
1999-11-15 @ Naxxar Lions L 0-341.8 1073 874 61.55% 17.21% 21.24%+1.13 -57.8 18
1999-11-20 Birkirkara L 0-133.5 1015 1250 17.97% 16.99% 65.04%-1.39 -7.1 18
1999-11-20 @ Floriana W 1-033.5 1250 1015 65.04% 16.99% 17.97%+1.39 +7.1 28
1999-11-20 Valletta L 1-342.3 1144 1190 39.78% 17.67% 42.55%-0.07 -23.4 20
1999-11-20 @ Sliema Wanderers W 3-142.3 1190 1144 42.55% 17.67% 39.78%+0.07 +23.4 18
1999-11-23 Pieta Hotspurs D 2-258.3 792 992 21.15% 17.21% 61.64%-1.14 +2.5 3
1999-11-23 @ Rabat Ajax D 2-258.3 992 792 61.64% 17.21% 21.15%+1.14 -2.5 16
1999-11-27 Hibernians W 2-031.5 1214 1074 62.97% 17.13% 19.90%+1.23 +14.8 21
1999-11-27 @ Valletta L 0-231.5 1074 1214 19.90% 17.13% 62.97%-1.23 -14.8 16
1999-11-27 Sliema Wanderers L 2-732.2 867 1120 16.54% 16.87% 66.59%-1.51 -20.1 6
1999-11-27 @ Zurrieq W 7-232.2 1120 867 66.59% 16.87% 16.54%+1.51 +20.1 23
1999-12-01 Naxxar Lions D 0-050.2 1004 931 55.71% 17.46% 26.83%+0.77 -2.6 10
1999-12-01 @ Gozo D 0-050.2 931 1004 26.83% 17.46% 55.71%-0.77 +2.6 12
1999-12-04 Zurrieq L 1-252.9 1059 847 69.30% 16.61% 14.08%+1.74 -22.4 16
1999-12-04 @ Hibernians W 2-152.9 847 1059 14.08% 16.61% 69.30%-1.74 +22.4 9
1999-12-04 Valletta L 2-536.6 989 1228 17.66% 16.97% 65.37%-1.41 -14.0 16
1999-12-04 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 5-236.6 1228 989 65.37% 16.97% 17.66%+1.41 +14.0 24
1999-12-04 Floriana L 1-433.9 794 1008 19.88% 17.13% 62.99%-1.24 -18.0 3
1999-12-04 @ Rabat Ajax W 4-133.9 1008 794 62.99% 17.13% 19.88%+1.24 +18.0 21
1999-12-04 Birkirkara L 0-137.5 1140 1257 30.36% 17.56% 52.08%-0.56 -11.4 23
1999-12-04 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-037.5 1257 1140 52.08% 17.56% 30.36%+0.56 +11.4 31
1999-12-08 Rabat Ajax L 2-356.2 934 776 64.72% 17.02% 18.27%+1.36 -19.9 12
1999-12-08 @ Naxxar Lions W 3-256.2 776 934 18.27% 17.02% 64.72%-1.36 +19.8 6
1999-12-09 Floriana L 0-141.1 1001 1026 42.93% 17.67% 39.40%+0.09 -15.2 10
1999-12-09 @ Gozo W 1-041.1 1026 1001 39.40% 17.67% 42.93%-0.09 +15.2 24
1999-12-11 Naxxar Lions W 3-025.2 1242 914 76.63% 15.49% 7.88%+2.55 +8.8 27
1999-12-11 @ Valletta L 0-325.2 914 1242 7.88% 15.49% 76.63%-2.55 -8.8 12
1999-12-11 Pieta Hotspurs L 1-437.6 870 975 31.77% 17.59% 50.63%-0.48 -27.3 9
1999-12-11 @ Zurrieq W 4-137.6 975 870 50.63% 17.59% 31.77%+0.48 +27.3 19
1999-12-13 Gozo W 2-150.4 796 986 22.14% 17.26% 60.59%-1.07 +19.6 9
1999-12-13 @ Rabat Ajax L 1-250.4 986 796 60.59% 17.26% 22.14%+1.07 -19.6 10
1999-12-18 Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.6 1037 1129 33.56% 17.62% 48.82%-0.38 +1.2 17
1999-12-18 @ Hibernians D 1-153.6 1129 1037 48.82% 17.62% 33.56%+0.38 -1.2 24
1999-12-18 Birkirkara L 0-132.7 1003 1269 15.52% 16.77% 67.70%-1.60 -6.2 19
1999-12-18 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 1-032.7 1269 1003 67.70% 16.77% 15.52%+1.60 +6.2 34
1999-12-19 Zurrieq W 3-031.8 905 842 54.57% 17.50% 27.93%+0.70 +29.0 15
1999-12-19 @ Naxxar Lions L 0-331.8 842 905 27.93% 17.50% 54.57%-0.70 -29.0 9
1999-12-19 Gozo W 1-030.7 1251 966 74.22% 15.95% 9.82%+2.25 +4.0 30
1999-12-19 @ Valletta L 0-130.7 966 1251 9.82% 15.95% 74.22%-2.25 -4.0 10
1999-12-21 Hibernians W 2-029.1 1275 1038 71.12% 16.40% 12.48%+1.91 +9.5 37
1999-12-21 @ Birkirkara L 0-229.1 1038 1275 12.48% 16.40% 71.12%-1.91 -9.5 17
1999-12-21 Sliema Wanderers W 1-042.7 1041 1128 34.26% 17.63% 48.11%-0.35 +16.8 27
1999-12-21 @ Floriana L 0-142.7 1128 1041 48.11% 17.63% 34.26%+0.35 -16.8 24
2000-01-08 Hibernians W 2-035.2 1058 1029 50.30% 17.60% 32.10%+0.46 +22.5 30
2000-01-08 @ Floriana L 0-235.2 1029 1058 32.10% 17.60% 50.30%-0.46 -22.5 17
2000-01-08 Rabat Ajax W 2-132.7 1255 816 81.39% 14.17% 4.44%+3.33 +1.7 33
2000-01-08 @ Valletta L 1-232.7 816 1255 4.44% 14.17% 81.39%-3.33 -1.7 9
2000-01-09 Naxxar Lions W 5-232.9 1285 934 77.70% 15.25% 7.05%+2.71 +5.7 40
2000-01-09 @ Birkirkara L 2-532.9 934 1285 7.05% 15.25% 77.70%-2.71 -5.7 15
2000-01-09 Zurrieq W 1-033.7 962 813 63.90% 17.07% 19.03%+1.30 +7.5 13
2000-01-09 @ Gozo L 0-133.7 813 962 19.03% 17.07% 63.90%-1.30 -7.5 9
2000-01-09 Pieta Hotspurs L 2-355.0 1111 997 60.42% 17.27% 22.30%+1.06 -18.5 24
2000-01-09 @ Sliema Wanderers W 3-255.0 997 1111 22.30% 17.27% 60.42%-1.06 +18.5 22
2000-01-15 Zurrieq L 1-344.4 814 806 47.49% 17.64% 34.88%+0.32 -27.1 9
2000-01-15 @ Rabat Ajax W 3-144.4 806 814 34.88% 17.64% 47.49%-0.32 +27.1 12
2000-01-15 Floriana W 2-137.3 1257 1080 66.38% 16.89% 16.73%+1.49 +6.3 36
2000-01-15 @ Valletta L 1-237.3 1080 1257 16.73% 16.89% 66.38%-1.49 -6.3 30
2000-01-17 Gozo W 2-027.5 1290 970 76.21% 15.58% 8.21%+2.50 +6.3 43
2000-01-17 @ Birkirkara L 0-227.5 970 1290 8.21% 15.58% 76.21%-2.50 -6.3 13
2000-01-17 Hibernians L 1-442.4 1015 1006 47.59% 17.64% 34.77%+0.32 -38.4 22
2000-01-17 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 4-142.4 1006 1015 34.77% 17.64% 47.59%-0.32 +38.4 20
2000-01-23 Rabat Ajax W 4-022.0 1297 787 83.67% 13.26% 3.07%+3.82 +4.3 46
2000-01-23 @ Birkirkara L 0-422.0 787 1297 3.07% 13.26% 83.67%-3.82 -4.3 9
2000-01-23 Pieta Hotspurs D 2-258.2 1074 977 58.58% 17.36% 24.06%+0.94 -2.1 31
2000-01-23 @ Floriana D 2-258.2 977 1074 24.06% 17.36% 58.58%-0.94 +2.1 23
2000-01-23 Sliema Wanderers L 2-344.4 929 1092 24.88% 17.39% 57.72%-0.89 -8.6 15
2000-01-23 @ Naxxar Lions W 3-244.4 1092 929 57.72% 17.39% 24.88%+0.89 +8.6 27
2000-01-23 Valletta L 0-624.0 833 1263 6.83% 15.18% 77.99%-2.75 -14.5 12
2000-01-23 @ Zurrieq W 6-024.0 1263 833 77.99% 15.18% 6.83%+2.75 +14.5 39
2000-01-29 Naxxar Lions D 3-362.4 1045 920 61.47% 17.22% 21.31%+1.13 -2.0 21
2000-01-29 @ Hibernians D 3-362.4 920 1045 21.31% 17.22% 61.47%-1.13 +2.0 16
2000-01-29 Gozo W 4-134.0 1101 964 62.76% 17.14% 20.09%+1.22 +18.2 30
2000-01-29 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-434.0 964 1101 20.09% 17.14% 62.76%-1.22 -18.2 13
2000-01-30 Birkirkara D 1-154.3 1278 1301 43.13% 17.67% 39.19%+0.10 -0.3 40
2000-01-30 @ Valletta D 1-154.3 1301 1278 39.19% 17.67% 43.13%-0.10 +0.3 47
2000-01-30 Floriana L 1-237.1 818 1072 16.47% 16.86% 66.66%-1.52 -6.2 12
2000-01-30 @ Zurrieq W 2-137.1 1072 818 66.66% 16.86% 16.47%+1.52 +6.2 34
2000-02-13 Pieta Hotspurs L 2-348.5 922 979 38.37% 17.67% 43.96%-0.14 -12.4 16
2000-02-13 @ Naxxar Lions W 3-248.5 979 922 43.96% 17.67% 38.37%+0.14 +12.4 26
2000-02-13 Sliema Wanderers L 0-228.4 783 1119 10.97% 16.17% 72.87%-2.10 -8.4 9
2000-02-13 @ Rabat Ajax W 2-028.4 1119 783 72.87% 16.17% 10.97%+2.10 +8.4 33
2000-02-15 Hibernians D 1-153.6 945 1043 32.88% 17.61% 49.51%-0.42 +1.3 14
2000-02-15 @ Gozo D 1-153.6 1043 945 49.51% 17.61% 32.88%+0.42 -1.3 22

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2000-02-19 Hibernians L 0-149.7 1301 1041 72.68% 16.19% 11.13%+2.08 -24.9 0
2000-02-19 @ Birkirkara W 1-049.7 1041 1301 11.13% 16.19% 72.68%-2.08 +24.9 3
2000-02-19 Valletta D 0-050.4 1128 1277 26.46% 17.45% 56.09%-0.79 +2.7 1
2000-02-19 @ Sliema Wanderers D 0-050.4 1277 1128 56.09% 17.45% 26.46%+0.79 -2.7 1
2000-02-20 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-033.1 1078 991 57.41% 17.40% 25.18%+0.87 +18.2 3
2000-02-20 @ Floriana L 0-233.1 991 1078 25.18% 17.40% 57.41%-0.87 -18.2 0
2000-02-20 Gozo W 1-040.6 910 947 41.16% 17.68% 41.17%+0.00 +14.7 3
2000-02-20 @ Naxxar Lions L 0-140.6 947 910 41.17% 17.68% 41.16%+0.00 -14.7 0
2000-02-26 Birkirkara W 1-049.1 973 1276 12.95% 16.47% 70.58%-1.86 +24.2 3
2000-02-26 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-149.1 1276 973 70.58% 16.47% 12.95%+1.86 -24.2 0
2000-02-26 Floriana W 3-028.4 1275 1097 66.53% 16.88% 16.59%+1.50 +18.1 4
2000-02-26 @ Valletta L 0-328.4 1097 1275 16.59% 16.88% 66.53%-1.50 -18.1 3
2000-02-27 Zurrieq W 5-349.3 774 812 40.99% 17.68% 41.33%-0.01 +20.4 3
2000-02-27 @ Rabat Ajax L 3-549.3 812 774 41.33% 17.68% 40.99%+0.01 -20.4 0
2000-02-27 Hibernians W 2-140.7 1130 1066 54.70% 17.49% 27.80%+0.71 +9.9 4
2000-02-27 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-240.7 1066 1130 27.80% 17.49% 54.70%-0.71 -9.9 3
2000-03-04 Sliema Wanderers W 2-032.4 1252 1140 60.14% 17.29% 22.57%+1.04 +16.5 3
2000-03-04 @ Birkirkara L 0-232.4 1140 1252 22.57% 17.29% 60.14%-1.04 -16.5 4
2000-03-04 Valletta L 0-229.4 997 1293 13.44% 16.53% 70.02%-1.81 -10.2 3
2000-03-04 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-029.4 1293 997 70.02% 16.53% 13.44%+1.81 +10.2 7
2000-03-05 Floriana W 2-144.1 1056 1078 43.28% 17.67% 39.05%+0.10 +13.3 6
2000-03-05 @ Hibernians L 1-244.1 1078 1056 39.05% 17.67% 43.28%-0.10 -13.3 3
2000-03-05 Naxxar Lions L 0-234.1 792 924 28.46% 17.51% 54.03%-0.67 -20.3 0
2000-03-05 @ Zurrieq W 2-034.1 924 792 54.03% 17.51% 28.46%+0.67 +20.3 6
2000-03-11 Birkirkara L 0-329.7 1065 1269 20.84% 17.19% 61.97%-1.16 -22.3 3
2000-03-11 @ Floriana W 3-029.7 1269 1065 61.97% 17.19% 20.84%+1.16 +22.3 6
2000-03-11 Hibernians W 2-136.0 1303 1070 70.88% 16.43% 12.69%+1.89 +4.8 10
2000-03-11 @ Valletta L 1-236.0 1070 1303 12.69% 16.43% 70.88%-1.89 -4.8 6
2000-03-12 Rabat Ajax D 0-050.3 932 795 62.78% 17.14% 20.07%+1.22 -3.9 1
2000-03-12 @ Gozo D 0-050.3 795 932 20.07% 17.14% 62.78%-1.22 +3.9 4
2000-03-12 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-031.5 1124 987 62.71% 17.15% 20.15%+1.22 +14.9 7
2000-03-12 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-231.5 987 1124 20.15% 17.15% 62.71%-1.22 -14.9 3
2000-03-18 Rabat Ajax D 3-362.5 945 798 63.63% 17.09% 19.28%+1.28 -2.3 7
2000-03-18 @ Naxxar Lions D 3-362.5 798 945 19.28% 17.09% 63.63%-1.28 +2.3 5
2000-03-18 Hibernians W 4-037.1 972 1065 33.46% 17.62% 48.92%-0.39 +61.0 6
2000-03-18 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-437.1 1065 972 48.92% 17.62% 33.46%+0.39 -61.0 6
2000-03-19 Valletta W 2-144.8 1291 1308 44.02% 17.67% 38.31%+0.14 +13.1 9
2000-03-19 @ Birkirkara L 1-244.8 1308 1291 38.31% 17.67% 44.02%-0.14 -13.1 10
2000-03-19 Sliema Wanderers L 4-552.1 1043 1139 33.05% 17.61% 49.33%-0.41 -10.5 3
2000-03-19 @ Floriana W 5-452.1 1139 1043 49.33% 17.61% 33.05%+0.41 +10.5 10
2000-04-01 Zurrieq W 3-135.5 928 772 64.59% 17.02% 18.38%+1.35 +11.9 4
2000-04-01 @ Gozo L 1-335.5 772 928 18.38% 17.02% 64.59%-1.35 -11.9 0
2000-04-01 Birkirkara L 0-229.3 1004 1304 13.14% 16.50% 70.36%-1.84 -10.0 6
2000-04-01 @ Hibernians W 2-029.3 1304 1004 70.36% 16.50% 13.14%+1.84 +10.0 12
2000-04-02 Floriana L 2-350.9 1033 1032 46.48% 17.65% 35.87%+0.26 -14.6 6
2000-04-02 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-250.9 1032 1033 35.87% 17.65% 46.48%-0.26 +14.6 6
2000-04-02 Sliema Wanderers L 1-251.6 1295 1149 63.56% 17.09% 19.34%+1.28 -20.5 10
2000-04-02 @ Valletta W 2-151.6 1149 1295 19.34% 17.09% 63.56%-1.28 +20.5 13
2000-04-08 Naxxar Lions L 1-344.0 940 942 46.04% 17.65% 36.31%+0.24 -26.4 4
2000-04-08 @ Gozo W 3-144.0 942 940 36.31% 17.65% 46.04%-0.24 +26.4 10
2000-04-08 Birkirkara L 0-827.6 1018 1314 13.45% 16.54% 70.02%-1.81 -37.3 6
2000-04-08 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 8-027.6 1314 1018 70.02% 16.54% 13.45%+1.81 +37.3 15
2000-04-09 Valletta L 0-231.1 1047 1274 18.65% 17.04% 64.30%-1.33 -13.9 6
2000-04-09 @ Floriana W 2-031.1 1274 1047 64.30% 17.04% 18.65%+1.33 +13.9 13
2000-04-09 Sliema Wanderers L 2-538.5 994 1170 23.58% 17.34% 59.08%-0.97 -18.2 6
2000-04-09 @ Hibernians W 5-238.5 1170 994 59.08% 17.34% 23.58%+0.97 +18.2 16
2000-04-15 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-236.5 1288 981 75.50% 15.72% 8.78%+2.41 +5.2 16
2000-04-15 @ Valletta L 2-436.5 981 1288 8.78% 15.72% 75.50%-2.41 -5.2 6
2000-04-15 Rabat Ajax L 2-349.2 760 801 40.59% 17.68% 41.73%-0.03 -13.0 0
2000-04-15 @ Zurrieq W 3-249.2 801 760 41.73% 17.68% 40.59%+0.03 +13.0 8
2000-04-16 Hibernians W 3-032.0 1033 976 53.89% 17.52% 28.59%+0.66 +29.6 9
2000-04-16 @ Floriana L 0-332.0 976 1033 28.59% 17.52% 53.89%-0.66 -29.6 6
2000-04-16 Birkirkara L 0-233.6 1188 1351 24.94% 17.39% 57.67%-0.88 -18.1 16
2000-04-16 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-033.6 1351 1188 57.67% 17.39% 24.94%+0.88 +18.1 18
2000-04-22 Rabat Ajax D 1-153.6 914 814 58.85% 17.35% 23.81%+0.96 -2.8 5
2000-04-22 @ Gozo D 1-153.6 814 914 23.81% 17.35% 58.85%-0.96 +2.9 9
2000-04-22 Sliema Wanderers L 0-329.9 976 1170 21.75% 17.24% 61.00%-1.10 -23.2 6
2000-04-22 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-029.9 1170 976 61.00% 17.24% 21.75%+1.10 +23.2 19
2000-04-23 Valletta W 2-154.0 946 1293 10.40% 16.06% 73.54%-2.17 +23.8 9
2000-04-23 @ Hibernians L 1-254.0 1293 946 73.54% 16.06% 10.40%+2.17 -23.8 16
2000-04-23 Zurrieq W 6-232.8 969 747 70.06% 16.53% 13.41%+1.81 +13.7 13
2000-04-23 @ Naxxar Lions L 2-632.8 747 969 13.41% 16.53% 70.06%-1.81 -13.7 0
2000-04-24 Floriana D 1-154.4 1369 1063 75.49% 15.72% 8.79%+2.40 -5.8 19
2000-04-24 @ Birkirkara D 1-154.4 1063 1369 8.79% 15.72% 75.49%-2.40 +5.8 10
2000-04-28 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-338.1 970 953 48.68% 17.62% 33.69%+0.38 -46.5 9
2000-04-28 @ Hibernians W 3-038.1 953 970 33.69% 17.62% 48.68%-0.38 +46.5 9
2000-04-28 Naxxar Lions W 3-254.3 817 983 24.65% 17.38% 57.97%-0.90 +17.8 12
2000-04-28 @ Rabat Ajax L 2-354.3 983 817 57.97% 17.38% 24.65%+0.90 -17.8 13
2000-04-29 Floriana W 2-138.7 1193 1068 61.50% 17.22% 21.28%+1.13 +7.8 22
2000-04-29 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-238.7 1068 1193 21.28% 17.22% 61.50%-1.13 -7.8 10
2000-04-29 Gozo W 4-358.0 733 911 23.41% 17.33% 59.27%-0.98 +17.8 3
2000-04-29 @ Zurrieq L 3-458.0 911 733 59.27% 17.33% 23.41%+0.98 -17.8 5
2000-04-30 Birkirkara L 1-537.7 1270 1364 33.29% 17.62% 49.10%-0.40 -36.7 16
2000-04-30 @ Valletta W 5-137.7 1364 1270 49.10% 17.62% 33.29%+0.40 +36.7 22

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2000-04-23 10.40% @ Hibernians 946 2 Valletta 1293 1
2 2000-02-19 11.13% Hibernians 1041 1 @ Birkirkara 1301 0
3 2000-02-26 12.95% @ Pieta Hotspurs 973 1 Birkirkara 1276 0
4 1999-12-04 14.08% Zurrieq 847 2 @ Hibernians 1059 1
5 1999-10-10 17.47% @ Gozo 996 1 Birkirkara 1238 0
6 1999-12-08 18.27% Rabat Ajax 776 3 @ Naxxar Lions 934 2
7 2000-04-02 19.34% Sliema Wanderers 1149 2 @ Valletta 1295 1
8 1999-08-29 20.55% @ Naxxar Lions 886 2 Gozo 1092 1
9 1999-08-24 20.93% Sliema Wanderers 1063 2 @ Valletta 1192 1
10 1999-11-15 21.24% @ Naxxar Lions 874 3 Floriana 1073 0
11 1999-12-13 22.14% @ Rabat Ajax 796 2 Gozo 986 1
12 1999-09-12 22.27% @ Zurrieq 892 2 Hibernians 1080 1
13 2000-01-09 22.30% Pieta Hotspurs 997 3 @ Sliema Wanderers 1111 2
14 2000-04-29 23.41% @ Zurrieq 733 4 Gozo 911 3
15 1999-10-09 23.52% @ Floriana 1050 3 Valletta 1226 1
16 2000-04-28 24.65% @ Rabat Ajax 817 3 Naxxar Lions 983 2
17 1999-08-28 31.58% @ Hibernians 1065 3 Valletta 1172 2
18 1999-10-01 31.62% Floriana 1032 1 @ Hibernians 1065 0
19 1999-10-16 32.55% @ Pieta Hotspurs 983 3 Floriana 1083 2
20 2000-03-18 33.46% @ Pieta Hotspurs 972 4 Hibernians 1065 0
21 1999-11-14 33.49% Gozo 989 3 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1007 2
22 2000-04-28 33.69% Pieta Hotspurs 953 3 @ Hibernians 970 0
23 1999-12-21 34.26% @ Floriana 1041 1 Sliema Wanderers 1128 0
24 1999-09-12 34.35% @ Floriana 986 5 Gozo 1072 1
25 2000-01-17 34.77% Hibernians 1006 4 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1015 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-03-18 61.00 @ Pieta Hotspurs 4 972 33.46% Hibernians 0 1065 48.92% 17.62%
2 1999-11-15 57.84 @ Naxxar Lions 3 874 21.24% Floriana 0 1073 61.55% 17.21%
3 1999-09-12 50.00 @ Floriana 5 986 34.35% Gozo 1 1072 48.02% 17.63%
4 2000-04-28 46.49 Pieta Hotspurs 3 953 33.69% @ Hibernians 0 970 48.68% 17.62%
5 2000-01-17 38.43 Hibernians 4 1006 34.77% @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 1015 47.59% 17.64%
6 2000-04-08 37.31 Birkirkara 8 1314 70.02% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1018 13.45% 16.54%
7 2000-04-30 36.72 Birkirkara 5 1364 49.10% @ Valletta 1 1270 33.29% 17.62%
8 1999-10-09 33.18 @ Floriana 3 1050 23.52% Valletta 1 1226 59.15% 17.33%
9 1999-10-02 32.36 Valletta 9 1194 73.61% @ Rabat Ajax 0 845 10.34% 16.05%
10 1999-08-29 31.54 @ Sliema Wanderers 5 1083 64.95% Zurrieq 0 923 18.05% 17.00%
11 2000-04-16 29.60 @ Floriana 3 1033 53.89% Hibernians 0 976 28.59% 17.52%
12 1999-12-19 29.00 @ Naxxar Lions 3 905 54.57% Zurrieq 0 842 27.93% 17.50%
13 1999-08-24 28.80 Hibernians 3 1036 54.80% @ Rabat Ajax 0 897 27.71% 17.49%
14 1999-12-11 27.33 Pieta Hotspurs 4 975 50.63% @ Zurrieq 1 870 31.77% 17.59%
15 2000-01-15 27.12 Zurrieq 3 806 34.88% @ Rabat Ajax 1 814 47.49% 17.64%
16 2000-04-08 26.40 Naxxar Lions 3 942 36.31% @ Gozo 1 940 46.04% 17.65%
17 2000-02-19 24.91 Hibernians 1 1041 11.13% @ Birkirkara 0 1301 72.68% 16.19%
18 1999-10-22 24.27 @ Birkirkara 2 1221 47.29% Valletta 0 1215 35.07% 17.64%
19 2000-02-26 24.20 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 973 12.95% Birkirkara 0 1276 70.58% 16.47%
20 2000-04-23 23.76 @ Hibernians 2 946 10.40% Valletta 1 1293 73.54% 16.06%
21 1999-11-20 23.35 Valletta 3 1190 42.55% @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1144 39.78% 17.67%
22 2000-04-22 23.23 Sliema Wanderers 3 1170 61.00% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 976 21.75% 17.24%
23 2000-01-08 22.52 @ Floriana 2 1058 50.30% Hibernians 0 1029 32.10% 17.60%
24 1999-10-10 22.48 @ Gozo 1 996 17.47% Birkirkara 0 1238 65.58% 16.95%
25 1999-12-04 22.40 Zurrieq 2 847 14.08% @ Hibernians 1 1059 69.30% 16.61%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-03-18 62.5 @ Naxxar Lions 3 945 63.63% Rabat Ajax 3 798 19.28% 17.09%
2 1999-09-26 62.4 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1116 53.23% Hibernians 3 1064 29.23% 17.53%
3 2000-01-29 62.4 @ Hibernians 3 1045 61.47% Naxxar Lions 3 920 21.31% 17.22%
4 1999-11-23 58.3 @ Rabat Ajax 2 792 21.15% Pieta Hotspurs 2 992 61.64% 17.21%
5 1999-10-10 58.2 @ Hibernians 2 1047 54.91% Pieta Hotspurs 2 981 27.60% 17.49%
6 2000-01-23 58.2 @ Floriana 2 1074 58.58% Pieta Hotspurs 2 977 24.06% 17.36%
7 1999-09-26 58.1 @ Zurrieq 2 901 45.37% Naxxar Lions 2 909 36.97% 17.66%
8 2000-04-29 58.0 @ Zurrieq 4 733 23.41% Gozo 3 911 59.27% 17.33%
9 1999-12-08 56.2 Rabat Ajax 3 776 18.27% @ Naxxar Lions 2 934 64.72% 17.02%
10 2000-01-09 55.0 Pieta Hotspurs 3 997 22.30% @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1111 60.42% 17.27%
11 2000-04-24 54.4 @ Birkirkara 1 1369 75.49% Floriana 1 1063 8.79% 15.72%
12 2000-01-30 54.3 @ Valletta 1 1278 43.13% Birkirkara 1 1301 39.19% 17.67%
13 2000-04-28 54.3 @ Rabat Ajax 3 817 24.65% Naxxar Lions 2 983 57.97% 17.38%
14 2000-04-23 54.0 @ Hibernians 2 946 10.40% Valletta 1 1293 73.54% 16.06%
15 1999-09-18 53.8 @ Gozo 1 1022 66.24% Rabat Ajax 1 847 16.86% 16.90%
16 1999-10-03 53.6 @ Zurrieq 1 901 32.92% Gozo 1 998 49.47% 17.61%
17 1999-10-09 53.6 @ Zurrieq 1 902 57.65% Rabat Ajax 1 813 24.96% 17.40%
18 1999-12-18 53.6 @ Hibernians 1 1037 33.56% Sliema Wanderers 1 1129 48.82% 17.62%
19 2000-02-15 53.6 @ Gozo 1 945 32.88% Hibernians 1 1043 49.51% 17.61%
20 2000-04-22 53.6 @ Gozo 1 914 58.85% Rabat Ajax 1 814 23.81% 17.35%
21 1999-12-04 52.9 Zurrieq 2 847 14.08% @ Hibernians 1 1059 69.30% 16.61%
22 1999-08-28 52.3 @ Hibernians 3 1065 31.58% Valletta 2 1172 50.83% 17.59%
23 2000-03-19 52.1 Sliema Wanderers 5 1139 49.33% @ Floriana 4 1043 33.05% 17.61%
24 1999-10-16 51.9 @ Pieta Hotspurs 3 983 32.55% Floriana 2 1083 49.84% 17.61%
25 1999-11-14 51.6 Gozo 3 989 33.49% @ Pieta Hotspurs 2 1007 48.89% 17.62%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-01-23 22.0 @ Birkirkara 4 1297 83.67% Rabat Ajax 0 787 3.07% 13.26%
2 2000-01-23 24.0 Valletta 6 1263 77.99% @ Zurrieq 0 833 6.83% 15.18%
3 1999-12-11 25.2 @ Valletta 3 1242 76.63% Naxxar Lions 0 914 7.88% 15.49%
4 1999-11-14 26.4 @ Hibernians 3 1062 72.52% Rabat Ajax 0 804 11.26% 16.22%
5 1999-11-15 26.7 @ Birkirkara 2 1246 78.76% Zurrieq 0 872 6.26% 14.98%
6 1999-10-02 26.9 Valletta 9 1194 73.61% @ Rabat Ajax 0 845 10.34% 16.05%
7 1999-10-10 27.3 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1112 69.75% Naxxar Lions 0 894 13.68% 16.56%
8 1999-10-17 27.3 Birkirkara 2 1215 76.49% @ Rabat Ajax 0 816 7.99% 15.52%
9 1999-10-16 27.4 @ Valletta 9 1193 74.74% Zurrieq 1 899 9.40% 15.86%
10 1999-08-29 27.5 @ Sliema Wanderers 5 1083 64.95% Zurrieq 0 923 18.05% 17.00%
11 2000-01-17 27.5 @ Birkirkara 2 1290 76.21% Gozo 0 970 8.21% 15.58%
12 2000-04-08 27.6 Birkirkara 8 1314 70.02% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1018 13.45% 16.54%
13 2000-02-13 28.4 Sliema Wanderers 2 1119 72.87% @ Rabat Ajax 0 783 10.97% 16.17%
14 2000-02-26 28.4 @ Valletta 3 1275 66.53% Floriana 0 1097 16.59% 16.88%
15 1999-12-21 29.1 @ Birkirkara 2 1275 71.12% Hibernians 0 1038 12.48% 16.40%
16 2000-04-01 29.3 Birkirkara 2 1304 70.36% @ Hibernians 0 1004 13.14% 16.50%
17 2000-03-04 29.4 Valletta 2 1293 70.02% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 997 13.44% 16.53%
18 2000-03-11 29.7 Birkirkara 3 1269 61.97% @ Floriana 0 1065 20.84% 17.19%
19 1999-10-03 29.9 Birkirkara 5 1223 71.32% @ Naxxar Lions 1 909 12.30% 16.38%
20 2000-04-22 29.9 Sliema Wanderers 3 1170 61.00% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 976 21.75% 17.24%
21 1999-12-19 30.7 @ Valletta 1 1251 74.22% Gozo 0 966 9.82% 15.95%
22 2000-04-09 31.1 Valletta 2 1274 64.30% @ Floriana 0 1047 18.65% 17.04%
23 1999-11-27 31.5 @ Valletta 2 1214 62.97% Hibernians 0 1074 19.90% 17.13%
24 2000-03-12 31.5 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1124 62.71% Pieta Hotspurs 0 987 20.15% 17.15%
25 1999-08-24 31.8 Hibernians 3 1036 54.80% @ Rabat Ajax 0 897 27.71% 17.49%