‹ ›

2000-01 Maltese Premier League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Valletta

42 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hibernians

6.36 points above expected

35 points · 28.64 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pieta Hotspurs

6.28 points below expected

17 points · 23.28 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valletta 18 13 3 2 42 55 27 +28 37.62 +4.38
2 Sliema Wanderers 18 12 3 3 39 70 24 +46 34.20 +4.80
3 Birkirkara 18 11 4 3 37 34 15 +19 39.04 -2.04
4 Hibernians 18 10 5 3 35 44 23 +21 28.64 +6.36
5 Floriana 18 10 3 5 33 42 31 +11 29.41 +3.59
6 Hamrun Spartans 18 7 4 7 25 24 31 -7 21.06 +3.94
7 Pieta Hotspurs 18 4 5 9 17 40 40 0 23.28 -6.28
8 Naxxar Lions 18 3 3 12 12 22 44 -22 17.96 -5.96
9 Rabat Ajax 18 2 4 12 10 23 53 -30 14.12 -4.12
10 Xghajra Tornados 18 0 2 16 2 7 73 -66 7.73 -5.73
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valletta 10 8 1 1 25 21 11 +10 37.52 -12.52
2 Sliema Wanderers 10 6 2 2 20 26 13 +13 38.40 -18.40
3 Birkirkara 10 5 2 3 17 16 12 +4 36.25 -19.25
4 Hibernians 10 4 2 4 14 16 17 -1 31.46 -17.46
5 Naxxar Lions 6 3 2 1 11 18 11 +7 15.07 -4.07
6 Pieta Hotspurs 6 3 2 1 11 16 9 +7 22.71 -11.71
7 Rabat Ajax 6 3 2 1 11 12 10 +2 13.28 -2.28
8 Floriana 10 3 1 6 10 12 17 -5 30.45 -20.45
9 Xghajra Tornados 6 0 0 6 0 4 20 -16 3.68 -3.68
10 Hamrun Spartans 10 0 0 10 0 4 25 -21 18.21 -18.21

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hibernians 35 28.64 +6.36
2 Sliema Wanderers 39 34.20 +4.80
3 Valletta 42 37.62 +4.38
4 Hamrun Spartans 25 21.06 +3.94
5 Floriana 33 29.41 +3.59

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pieta Hotspurs 17 23.28 -6.28
2 Naxxar Lions 12 17.96 -5.96
3 Xghajra Tornados 2 7.73 -5.73
4 Rabat Ajax 10 14.12 -4.12
5 Birkirkara 37 39.04 -2.04

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Floriana 7 Nov 19 – Jan 15 1 in 196
2 Hamrun Spartans 3 Aug 27 – Sep 12 1 in 99
3 Sliema Wanderers 5 Nov 25 – Jan 6 1 in 29
4 Valletta 7 Sep 10 – Nov 19 1 in 21
5 Hibernians 2 Sep 12 – Sep 17 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Naxxar Lions 6 Nov 12 – Jan 7 1 in 15
2 Xghajra Tornados 8 Sep 5 – Nov 19 1 in 15
3 Sliema Wanderers 2 Sep 12 – Sep 16 1 in 13
4 Pieta Hotspurs 3 Aug 26 – Sep 10 1 in 9
5 Floriana 3 Sep 30 – Oct 20 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernians 10 Aug 26 – Nov 26 1 in 136
2 Hamrun Spartans 4 Aug 19 – Sep 12 1 in 36
3 Sliema Wanderers 10 Sep 21 – Jan 6 1 in 24
4 Floriana 8 Nov 19 – Jan 27 1 in 23
5 Valletta 10 Aug 20 – Nov 19 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hamrun Spartans 6 Dec 10 – Feb 3 1 in 9
2 Rabat Ajax 8 Oct 1 – Dec 18 1 in 8
3 Pieta Hotspurs 6 Sep 21 – Nov 25 1 in 8
4 Xghajra Tornados 18 Aug 20 – Feb 4 1 in 7
5 Birkirkara 2 Sep 23 – Sep 29 1 in 7

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Valletta 1488 67 +80 13 9.9 +3.1
Sliema Wanderers 1426 59 +52 10 9.3 +0.7
Birkirkara 1373 54 +33 10 8.6 +1.4
Hibernians 1200 49 -142 4 7.5 -3.5
Floriana 1219 43 +23 6 5.2 +0.8
Pieta Hotspurs 958 28 -65 8 11.1 -3.1
Hamrun Spartans 851 25 -47 0 1.7 -1.7
Naxxar Lions 911 23 +129 11 8.0 +3.0
Rabat Ajax 774 21 -9 8 7.4 +0.6
Xghajra Tornados 381 2 -55 0 1.6 -1.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIR FLO HS HIB NL PH RA SW VAL XT
Birkirkara —
0-1-1
4.27
1-1-0
4.75
1-1-0
3.57
2-0-0
4.80
1-1-0
4.76
2-0-0
5.11
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
3.13
2-0-0
5.27
Floriana
1-1-0
1.33
—
1-0-1
3.81
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
4.41
2-0-0
3.95
2-0-0
3.70
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.06
2-0-0
5.21
Hamrun Spartans
0-1-1
0.88
1-0-1
1.80
—
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
3.77
1-1-0
2.35
1-1-0
3.66
1-0-1
1.12
0-0-2
1.12
2-0-0
4.12
Hibernians
0-1-1
2.04
1-1-0
2.70
2-0-0
3.36
—
2-0-0
3.54
1-1-0
3.75
2-0-0
4.45
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
1.86
2-0-0
5.32
Naxxar Lions
0-0-2
0.84
0-1-1
1.22
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
2.07
—
1-0-1
1.85
0-0-2
3.51
0-1-1
0.69
0-0-2
0.80
2-0-0
4.19
Pieta Hotspurs
0-1-1
0.87
0-0-2
1.66
0-1-1
3.25
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-1
3.75
—
1-1-0
4.01
0-0-2
1.65
0-1-1
1.00
2-0-0
4.40
Rabat Ajax
0-0-2
0.54
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
1.95
0-0-2
1.18
2-0-0
2.09
0-1-1
1.60
—
0-0-2
0.67
0-0-2
0.60
0-2-0
3.72
Sliema Wanderers
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
3.53
1-0-1
4.50
1-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
4.96
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
4.98
—
1-1-0
2.11
2-0-0
5.32
Valletta
1-0-1
2.47
2-0-0
3.56
2-0-0
4.50
1-1-0
3.74
2-0-0
4.83
1-1-0
4.62
2-0-0
5.05
0-1-1
3.49
—
2-0-0
5.00
Xghajra Tornados
0-0-2
0.41
0-0-2
0.46
0-0-2
1.50
0-0-2
0.38
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
1.23
0-2-0
1.88
0-0-2
0.39
0-0-2
0.68
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +6.4
Allowed 0.84 -7.6
Differential 0.89 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.17%5.68%3.79%2.65%3.79%20.08%
14.17%7.58%4.55%4.92%3.03%1.89%26.14%
25.68%4.55%7.58%3.41%1.89%—23.11%
33.79%4.92%3.41%3.79%0.38%0.38%16.67%
42.65%3.03%1.89%0.38%——7.95%
5+3.79%1.89%—0.38%——6.06%
Total20.08%26.14%23.11%16.67%7.95%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 1.92 +0.00
SD 1.66 1.66 2.79
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 11 11 +11
Min 0 0 -11

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%3.57%———10.71%
114.29%10.71%10.71%———35.71%
27.14%10.71%10.71%———28.57%
37.14%7.14%————14.29%
43.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
5+———————
Total32.14%39.29%28.57%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 0.96 +0.82
SD 1.17 0.79 1.49
CV 0.65 0.82 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.57%3.57%—3.57%—10.71%
17.14%7.14%10.71%3.57%10.71%—39.29%
27.14%—7.14%3.57%——17.86%
33.57%7.14%10.71%———21.43%
4—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total21.43%21.43%35.71%7.14%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 1.71 +0.21
SD 1.51 1.30 2.33
CV 0.78 0.76 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.71%14.29%7.14%3.57%—35.71%
1—14.29%3.57%7.14%3.57%10.71%39.29%
210.71%3.57%————14.29%
37.14%—3.57%———10.71%
4———————
5+———————
Total17.86%28.57%21.43%14.29%7.14%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.00 -1.00
SD 0.98 1.66 2.21
CV 0.98 0.83 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%——3.57%10.71%
17.14%3.57%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
27.14%3.57%17.86%3.57%3.57%—35.71%
314.29%3.57%3.57%3.57%——25.00%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total35.71%14.29%32.14%10.71%3.57%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.43 +0.71
SD 1.33 1.37 2.29
CV 0.62 0.96 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.17%4.17%12.50%4.17%4.17%29.17%
1—8.33%12.50%8.33%——29.17%
2——4.17%4.17%——8.33%
3—4.17%4.17%8.33%——16.67%
44.17%4.17%—4.17%——12.50%
5+4.17%—————4.17%
Total8.33%20.83%25.00%37.50%4.17%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 2.29 -0.62
SD 1.58 1.46 2.60
CV 0.95 0.64 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.17%4.17%——8.33%
1—12.50%—8.33%4.17%—25.00%
2—4.17%12.50%8.33%8.33%—33.33%
3—4.17%—4.17%—4.17%12.50%
48.33%4.17%————12.50%
5+8.33%—————8.33%
Total16.67%25.00%16.67%25.00%12.50%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.33 2.04 +0.29
SD 1.76 1.46 2.77
CV 0.75 0.71 —
Max 8 5 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.17%——4.17%8.33%16.67%
14.17%12.50%—16.67%4.17%4.17%41.67%
28.33%—4.17%8.33%4.17%—25.00%
3—4.17%—8.33%——12.50%
4——4.17%———4.17%
5+———————
Total12.50%20.83%8.33%33.33%12.50%12.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 2.62 -1.17
SD 1.06 1.84 2.41
CV 0.73 0.70 —
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%3.57%——10.71%
1—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
23.57%3.57%10.71%3.57%——21.43%
3—7.14%7.14%3.57%——17.86%
43.57%7.14%7.14%———17.86%
5+17.86%7.14%————25.00%
Total25.00%28.57%35.71%10.71%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.43 1.32 +2.11
SD 2.46 0.98 3.18
CV 0.72 0.74 —
Max 11 3 +11
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
17.14%——3.57%3.57%—14.29%
210.71%17.86%7.14%—3.57%—39.29%
33.57%10.71%3.57%7.14%——25.00%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+—10.71%—3.57%——14.29%
Total25.00%42.86%10.71%14.29%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.71 1.36 +1.36
SD 1.33 1.22 1.85
CV 0.49 0.90 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%12.50%12.50%12.50%25.00%75.00%
1—4.17%——4.17%4.17%12.50%
2———4.17%——4.17%
3———4.17%4.17%—8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total—16.67%12.50%20.83%20.83%29.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.46 3.88 -3.42
SD 0.93 2.44 2.69
CV 2.03 0.63 —
Max 3 11 +0
Min 0 1 -11

Games Played: 24

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valletta 1488 42 37.62 +4.38 86.0% 29 30 34 38 41 45 50
Sliema Wanderers 1426 39 34.20 +4.80 85.0% 18 25 31 35 38 42 44
Birkirkara 1373 37 39.04 -2.04 36.0% 26 32 36 39 42 46 49
Floriana 1219 33 29.41 +3.59 79.0% 18 22 26 29 33 37 39
Hibernians 1200 35 28.64 +6.36 92.0% 18 19 24 28 33 37 43
Pieta Hotspurs 958 17 23.28 -6.28 14.0% 11 15 20 23 27 31 38
Naxxar Lions 911 12 17.96 -5.96 10.0% 9 11 15 17 21 25 29
Hamrun Spartans 851 25 21.06 +3.94 86.0% 11 13 17 21 24 31 38
Rabat Ajax 774 10 14.12 -4.12 20.0% 2 7 11 14 17 22 25
Xghajra Tornados 381 2 7.73 -5.73 6.0% 1 2 5 8 10 12 15

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+8.33%
Clear Edge
44.70%18.94%36.36%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 29.02 Elo pts.
179 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.14 goals
Neutral
-2+0.16+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
35%
Valletta, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.17/gm
Tight Race
00.230.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.76 * Some Luck: 3.76 to 5.65 * Lucky: 5.65 to 7.53 * Wild Swing: 7.53 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.69 * Close: 0.69 to 1.04 * Off: 1.04 to 1.39 * Way Off: 1.39 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.90 points
Some Luck
04.7012
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Close
00.872
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
92.00%
Hibernians
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
6.00%
Xghajra Tornados
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.30
Lopsided
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 315.45
2.43
Wide Separation
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
94%
Wide Edge
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 100%
100%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
44%
Few
0%41%100%
Blowouts
Expected
30%
Very Frequent
0%37%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.46
Highly Predictable
00.502
Matchup Imbalance
0.57
Lopsided
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.19
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.75
Strong Carryover
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%17%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
As Expected
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.26 * Well Above Noise: 0.26 and up.
Probability calibration
0.84
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.21
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.082
Well Within Noise
00.1280.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Valletta35.00%32.00%23.00%8.00%2.00%—————
Sliema Wanderers16.00%26.00%29.00%16.00%8.00%5.00%————
Birkirkara44.00%31.00%14.00%7.00%3.00%1.00%————
Hibernians2.00%6.00%15.00%25.00%24.00%21.00%4.00%3.00%——
Floriana1.00%5.00%15.00%30.00%28.00%16.00%4.00%1.00%——
Hamrun Spartans1.00%—2.00%7.00%4.00%21.00%33.00%28.00%4.00%—
Pieta Hotspurs1.00%—2.00%7.00%24.00%24.00%27.00%9.00%6.00%—
Naxxar Lions————7.00%9.00%22.00%35.00%26.00%1.00%
Rabat Ajax—————3.00%10.00%23.00%55.00%9.00%
Xghajra Tornados———————1.00%9.00%90.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Floriana 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Hibernians 99.00% 1.00%
Hamrun Spartans 96.00% 4.00%
Pieta Hotspurs 95.00% 5.00%
Naxxar Lions 63.00% 37.00%
Rabat Ajax 45.00% 55.00%
Xghajra Tornados 2.00% 98.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Floriana 100% —
Hamrun Spartans 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Pieta Hotspurs 97.51% 2.49%
Naxxar Lions 63.44% 36.56%
Rabat Ajax 38.21% 61.79%
Xghajra Tornados 0.84% 99.16%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2000-08-19 Hamrun Spartans D 1-151.7 1050 871 64.48% 19.56% 15.96%+1.16 -9.0 1
2000-08-19 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-151.7 871 1050 15.96% 19.56% 64.48%-1.16 +9.0 1
2000-08-19 Rabat Ajax W 4-242.4 1090 948 61.09% 19.73% 19.18%+0.95 +25.3 3
2000-08-19 @ Floriana L 2-442.4 948 1090 19.18% 19.73% 61.09%-0.95 -25.3 0
2000-08-20 Hibernians W 5-029.7 1180 1005 64.08% 19.58% 16.34%+1.13 +66.1 3
2000-08-20 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-529.7 1005 1180 16.34% 19.58% 64.08%-1.13 -66.1 0
2000-08-20 Valletta L 1-632.0 888 1204 11.06% 19.15% 69.79%-1.60 -38.2 0
2000-08-20 @ Xghajra Tornados W 6-132.0 1204 888 69.79% 19.15% 11.06%+1.60 +38.2 3
2000-08-21 Birkirkara L 0-132.6 1031 1315 13.04% 19.35% 67.62%-1.42 -12.2 0
2000-08-21 @ Naxxar Lions W 1-032.6 1315 1031 67.62% 19.35% 13.04%+1.42 +12.2 3
2000-08-26 Naxxar Lions W 3-039.7 939 1019 33.27% 20.06% 46.67%-0.28 +100.1 3
2000-08-26 @ Hibernians L 0-339.7 1019 939 46.67% 20.06% 33.27%+0.28 -100.1 0
2000-08-26 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-133.5 1328 1041 71.78% 18.92% 9.30%+1.76 +20.5 6
2000-08-26 @ Birkirkara L 1-433.5 1041 1328 9.30% 18.92% 71.78%-1.76 -20.5 1
2000-08-27 Floriana W 2-151.8 880 1115 16.62% 19.60% 63.78%-1.15 +46.2 4
2000-08-27 @ Hamrun Spartans L 1-251.8 1115 880 63.78% 19.60% 16.62%+1.15 -46.2 3
2000-08-27 Xghajra Tornados D 3-361.3 923 849 53.88% 19.96% 26.16%+0.57 -3.0 1
2000-08-27 @ Rabat Ajax D 3-361.3 849 923 26.16% 19.96% 53.88%-0.57 +3.0 1
2000-08-28 Sliema Wanderers D 2-256.8 1242 1246 43.92% 20.08% 36.00%+0.14 -1.0 4
2000-08-28 @ Valletta D 2-256.8 1246 1242 36.00% 20.08% 43.92%-0.14 +1.0 4
2000-09-05 Birkirkara D 2-256.8 1069 1348 13.33% 19.37% 67.30%-1.40 +7.6 4
2000-09-05 @ Floriana D 2-256.8 1348 1069 67.30% 19.37% 13.33%+1.40 -7.6 7
2000-09-05 Hamrun Spartans L 0-336.0 852 926 34.13% 20.07% 45.80%-0.25 -77.4 1
2000-09-05 @ Xghajra Tornados W 3-036.0 926 852 45.80% 20.07% 34.13%+0.25 +77.4 7
2000-09-06 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-146.8 919 1021 30.49% 20.03% 49.48%-0.40 +62.8 3
2000-09-06 @ Naxxar Lions L 1-346.8 1021 919 49.48% 20.03% 30.49%+0.40 -62.8 1
2000-09-06 Valletta D 3-361.4 1039 1241 19.48% 19.75% 60.78%-0.96 +4.7 4
2000-09-06 @ Hibernians D 3-361.4 1241 1039 60.78% 19.75% 19.48%+0.96 -4.7 5
2000-09-09 Rabat Ajax W 6-026.9 1247 920 73.86% 18.62% 7.52%+1.99 +37.8 7
2000-09-09 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-626.9 920 1247 7.52% 18.62% 73.86%-1.99 -37.8 1
2000-09-09 Xghajra Tornados W 3-025.3 1340 775 81.53% 16.35% 2.12%+3.31 +5.5 10
2000-09-09 @ Birkirkara L 0-325.3 775 1340 2.12% 16.35% 81.53%-3.31 -5.5 1
2000-09-10 Floriana L 1-340.4 958 1076 28.42% 20.00% 51.58%-0.50 -39.7 1
2000-09-10 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-140.4 1076 958 51.58% 20.00% 28.42%+0.50 +39.7 7
2000-09-10 Naxxar Lions W 2-135.9 1236 982 69.91% 19.14% 10.95%+1.58 +9.8 8
2000-09-10 @ Valletta L 1-235.9 982 1236 10.95% 19.14% 69.91%-1.58 -9.8 3
2000-09-12 Hibernians L 2-345.0 882 1044 23.46% 19.89% 56.66%-0.74 -18.5 1
2000-09-12 @ Rabat Ajax W 3-245.0 1044 882 56.66% 19.89% 23.46%+0.74 +18.5 7
2000-09-12 Sliema Wanderers W 2-047.2 1004 1285 13.21% 19.36% 67.43%-1.41 +97.8 10
2000-09-12 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-247.2 1285 1004 67.43% 19.36% 13.21%+1.41 -97.8 7
2000-09-16 Birkirkara L 0-333.4 1187 1346 23.76% 19.90% 56.34%-0.72 -57.2 7
2000-09-16 @ Sliema Wanderers W 3-033.4 1346 1187 56.34% 19.90% 23.76%+0.72 +57.1 13
2000-09-16 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-833.1 770 918 24.88% 19.92% 55.20%-0.67 -149.4 1
2000-09-16 @ Xghajra Tornados W 8-033.1 918 770 55.20% 19.92% 24.88%+0.67 +149.4 4
2000-09-17 Floriana D 1-151.6 972 1116 25.46% 19.94% 54.60%-0.64 +5.2 4
2000-09-17 @ Naxxar Lions D 1-151.6 1116 972 54.60% 19.94% 25.46%+0.64 -5.1 8
2000-09-17 Hamrun Spartans W 2-039.4 1062 1101 38.95% 20.09% 40.96%-0.06 +61.8 10
2000-09-17 @ Hibernians L 0-239.4 1101 1062 40.96% 20.09% 38.95%+0.06 -61.8 10
2000-09-21 Rabat Ajax W 5-131.0 1246 864 76.22% 18.16% 5.62%+2.29 +16.1 11
2000-09-21 @ Valletta L 1-531.0 864 1246 5.62% 18.16% 76.22%-2.29 -16.1 1
2000-09-21 Sliema Wanderers L 2-348.7 1068 1130 35.70% 20.08% 44.22%-0.18 -26.2 4
2000-09-21 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-248.7 1130 1068 44.22% 20.08% 35.70%+0.18 +26.2 10
2000-09-23 Hibernians D 2-257.3 1403 1124 71.37% 18.97% 9.66%+1.72 -8.8 14
2000-09-23 @ Birkirkara D 2-257.3 1124 1403 9.66% 18.97% 71.37%-1.72 +8.8 11
2000-09-23 Xghajra Tornados W 1-028.9 1111 620 79.69% 17.14% 3.17%+2.90 +3.0 11
2000-09-23 @ Floriana L 0-128.9 620 1111 3.17% 17.14% 79.69%-2.90 -3.0 1
2000-09-24 Naxxar Lions W 2-042.9 848 977 27.03% 19.97% 53.00%-0.56 +77.2 4
2000-09-24 @ Rabat Ajax L 0-242.9 977 848 53.00% 19.97% 27.03%+0.56 -77.2 4
2000-09-24 Valletta L 0-331.0 1040 1262 17.62% 19.66% 62.72%-1.08 -44.0 10
2000-09-24 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-031.0 1262 1040 62.72% 19.66% 17.62%+1.08 +44.0 14
2000-09-29 Birkirkara W 1-045.0 1306 1394 32.24% 20.05% 47.71%-0.33 +37.2 17
2000-09-29 @ Valletta L 0-145.0 1394 1306 47.71% 20.05% 32.24%+0.33 -37.2 14
2000-09-30 Floriana W 3-247.0 1156 1114 50.08% 20.02% 29.90%+0.40 +22.7 13
2000-09-30 @ Sliema Wanderers L 2-347.0 1114 1156 29.90% 20.02% 50.08%-0.40 -22.7 11
2000-09-30 Xghajra Tornados W 3-240.5 900 617 71.61% 18.94% 9.45%+1.74 +8.1 7
2000-09-30 @ Naxxar Lions L 2-340.5 617 900 9.45% 18.94% 71.61%-1.74 -8.1 1
2000-10-01 Hamrun Spartans L 2-348.3 925 996 34.51% 20.07% 45.42%-0.23 -25.5 4
2000-10-01 @ Rabat Ajax W 3-248.3 996 925 45.42% 20.07% 34.51%+0.23 +25.5 13
2000-10-01 Pieta Hotspurs D 2-256.5 1133 1041 55.94% 19.91% 24.15%+0.67 -4.2 12
2000-10-01 @ Hibernians D 2-256.5 1041 1133 24.15% 19.91% 55.94%-0.67 +4.2 5
2000-10-14 Rabat Ajax W 3-132.3 1357 899 78.76% 17.47% 3.77%+2.71 +5.9 17
2000-10-14 @ Birkirkara L 1-332.3 899 1357 3.77% 17.47% 78.76%-2.71 -5.9 4
2000-10-14 Sliema Wanderers L 0-1125.9 609 1179 2.92% 16.98% 80.10%-3.01 -26.0 1
2000-10-14 @ Xghajra Tornados W 11-025.9 1179 609 80.10% 16.98% 2.92%+3.01 +26.0 16
2000-10-16 Hibernians L 1-442.7 1091 1129 39.12% 20.09% 40.79%-0.05 -72.9 11
2000-10-16 @ Floriana W 4-142.7 1129 1091 40.79% 20.09% 39.12%+0.05 +72.9 15
2000-10-16 Valletta L 3-543.4 1046 1344 12.15% 19.26% 68.59%-1.50 -15.8 5
2000-10-16 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 5-343.4 1344 1046 68.59% 19.26% 12.15%+1.50 +15.8 20
2000-10-17 Naxxar Lions W 3-032.3 1021 908 58.24% 19.84% 21.92%+0.79 +53.3 16
2000-10-17 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-332.3 908 1021 21.92% 19.84% 58.24%-0.79 -53.3 7
2000-10-20 Floriana W 4-026.8 1359 1018 74.51% 18.51% 6.99%+2.06 +24.0 23
2000-10-20 @ Valletta L 0-426.8 1018 1359 6.99% 18.51% 74.51%-2.06 -24.0 11
2000-10-21 Sliema Wanderers D 3-361.6 855 1205 9.32% 18.92% 71.76%-1.79 +7.4 8
2000-10-21 @ Naxxar Lions D 3-361.6 1205 855 71.76% 18.92% 9.32%+1.79 -7.4 17
2000-10-21 Xghajra Tornados W 6-024.3 1202 583 82.64% 15.76% 1.60%+3.61 +7.8 18
2000-10-21 @ Hibernians L 0-624.3 583 1202 1.60% 15.76% 82.64%-3.61 -7.8 1
2000-10-22 Birkirkara L 0-132.7 1074 1363 12.74% 19.32% 67.94%-1.45 -11.9 16
2000-10-22 @ Hamrun Spartans W 1-032.7 1363 1074 67.94% 19.32% 12.74%+1.45 +11.9 20
2000-10-22 Pieta Hotspurs D 2-256.4 893 1030 26.25% 19.96% 53.80%-0.60 +3.6 5
2000-10-22 @ Rabat Ajax D 2-256.4 1030 893 53.80% 19.96% 26.25%+0.60 -3.6 6
2000-11-12 Naxxar Lions W 2-132.8 1375 862 80.26% 16.92% 2.82%+3.02 +2.5 23
2000-11-12 @ Birkirkara L 1-232.8 862 1375 2.82% 16.92% 80.26%-3.02 -2.5 8
2000-11-12 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-036.3 1062 1026 49.28% 20.03% 30.69%+0.36 +48.8 19
2000-11-12 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-236.3 1026 1062 30.69% 20.03% 49.28%-0.36 -48.8 6
2000-11-19 Floriana L 0-734.7 897 994 31.04% 20.04% 48.92%-0.38 -158.5 5
2000-11-19 @ Rabat Ajax W 7-034.7 994 897 48.92% 20.04% 31.04%+0.38 +158.5 14
2000-11-19 Xghajra Tornados W 2-025.3 1383 575 85.89% 13.54% 0.58%+4.67 +1.0 26
2000-11-19 @ Valletta L 0-225.3 575 1383 0.58% 13.54% 85.89%-4.67 -1.0 1
2000-11-20 Sliema Wanderers D 2-256.6 1209 1197 46.12% 20.06% 33.82%+0.23 -1.6 19
2000-11-20 @ Hibernians D 2-256.6 1197 1209 33.82% 20.06% 46.12%-0.23 +1.6 18
2000-11-24 Hamrun Spartans W 4-140.0 1153 1111 49.94% 20.02% 30.03%+0.39 +58.8 17
2000-11-24 @ Floriana L 1-440.0 1111 1153 30.03% 20.02% 49.94%-0.39 -58.8 19
2000-11-25 Birkirkara D 1-152.2 977 1377 7.18% 18.55% 74.27%-2.07 +13.0 7
2000-11-25 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-152.2 1377 977 74.27% 18.55% 7.18%+2.07 -13.0 24
2000-11-25 Valletta W 4-149.4 1199 1384 21.04% 19.81% 59.15%-0.87 +105.0 21
2000-11-25 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-449.4 1384 1199 59.15% 19.81% 21.04%+0.87 -105.0 26
2000-11-26 Hibernians L 0-328.2 860 1208 9.40% 18.94% 71.66%-1.78 -24.5 8
2000-11-26 @ Naxxar Lions W 3-028.2 1208 860 71.66% 18.94% 9.40%+1.78 +24.5 22
2000-11-26 Rabat Ajax D 1-151.6 574 738 23.22% 19.88% 56.90%-0.75 +6.0 2
2000-11-26 @ Xghajra Tornados D 1-151.6 738 574 56.90% 19.88% 23.22%+0.75 -6.0 6
2000-12-01 Naxxar Lions W 4-030.3 990 835 62.37% 19.67% 17.95%+1.03 +58.4 10
2000-12-01 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-430.3 835 990 17.95% 19.67% 62.37%-1.03 -58.4 8
2000-12-02 Floriana L 0-148.1 1364 1211 62.18% 19.68% 18.14%+1.01 -47.8 24
2000-12-02 @ Birkirkara W 1-048.1 1211 1364 18.14% 19.68% 62.18%-1.01 +47.8 20
2000-12-02 Hibernians W 2-142.1 1279 1232 50.65% 20.01% 29.33%+0.42 +23.5 29
2000-12-02 @ Valletta L 1-242.1 1232 1279 29.33% 20.01% 50.65%-0.42 -23.5 22
2000-12-03 Sliema Wanderers L 1-331.9 732 1304 2.89% 16.97% 80.14%-3.02 -4.5 6
2000-12-03 @ Rabat Ajax W 3-131.9 1304 732 80.14% 16.97% 2.89%+3.02 +4.5 24
2000-12-03 Xghajra Tornados W 2-027.3 1053 580 79.18% 17.32% 3.50%+2.79 +6.3 22
2000-12-03 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-227.3 580 1053 3.50% 17.32% 79.18%-2.79 -6.3 2
2000-12-07 Birkirkara L 0-127.7 574 1317 1.16% 15.07% 83.77%-3.98 -1.1 2
2000-12-07 @ Xghajra Tornados W 1-027.7 1317 574 83.77% 15.07% 1.16%+3.98 +1.0 27
2000-12-08 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-242.0 1259 1049 66.90% 19.40% 13.70%+1.33 +11.4 23
2000-12-08 @ Floriana L 2-342.0 1049 1259 13.70% 19.40% 66.90%-1.33 -11.4 10
2000-12-08 Rabat Ajax W 1-029.0 1209 728 79.43% 17.24% 3.34%+2.84 +3.2 25
2000-12-08 @ Hibernians L 0-129.0 728 1209 3.34% 17.24% 79.43%-2.84 -3.2 6
2000-12-10 Hamrun Spartans W 6-132.2 1308 1059 69.60% 19.17% 11.24%+1.55 +38.8 27
2000-12-10 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-632.2 1059 1308 11.24% 19.17% 69.60%-1.55 -38.7 22
2000-12-10 Valletta L 1-332.2 777 1303 3.69% 17.42% 78.89%-2.77 -5.8 8
2000-12-10 @ Naxxar Lions W 3-132.2 1303 777 78.89% 17.42% 3.69%+2.77 +5.8 32
2000-12-16 Hibernians L 0-331.8 1020 1212 20.41% 19.78% 59.81%-0.91 -50.1 22
2000-12-16 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-031.8 1212 1020 59.81% 19.78% 20.41%+0.91 +50.1 28
2000-12-16 Sliema Wanderers L 0-240.7 1318 1347 40.32% 20.09% 39.59%+0.00 -61.0 27
2000-12-16 @ Birkirkara W 2-040.7 1347 1318 39.59% 20.09% 40.32%+0.00 +61.0 30
2000-12-17 Naxxar Lions W 3-238.0 1271 771 79.92% 17.05% 3.03%+2.94 +2.6 26
2000-12-17 @ Floriana L 2-338.0 771 1271 3.03% 17.05% 79.92%-2.94 -2.6 8
2000-12-17 Xghajra Tornados W 4-025.3 1037 573 78.96% 17.40% 3.64%+2.75 +12.5 13
2000-12-17 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-425.3 573 1037 3.64% 17.40% 78.96%-2.75 -12.5 2
2000-12-18 Valletta L 1-331.8 725 1309 2.71% 16.83% 80.46%-3.09 -4.2 6
2000-12-18 @ Rabat Ajax W 3-131.8 1309 725 80.46% 16.83% 2.71%+3.09 +4.2 35
2001-01-06 Hamrun Spartans W 5-131.6 1313 970 74.58% 18.49% 6.93%+2.07 +19.9 38
2001-01-06 @ Valletta L 1-531.6 970 1313 6.93% 18.49% 74.58%-2.07 -19.9 22
2001-01-06 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-238.5 1408 1050 75.24% 18.37% 6.40%+2.16 +9.0 33
2001-01-06 @ Sliema Wanderers L 2-438.5 1050 1408 6.40% 18.37% 75.24%-2.16 -9.0 13
2001-01-07 Floriana L 0-324.8 560 1273 1.36% 15.42% 83.22%-3.81 -3.4 2
2001-01-07 @ Xghajra Tornados W 3-024.8 1273 560 83.22% 15.42% 1.36%+3.81 +3.4 29
2001-01-07 Rabat Ajax L 1-347.1 769 720 50.80% 20.01% 29.18%+0.43 -64.3 8
2001-01-07 @ Naxxar Lions W 3-147.1 720 769 29.18% 20.01% 50.80%-0.43 +64.3 9
2001-01-14 Naxxar Lions L 0-532.4 557 704 25.04% 19.93% 55.03%-0.66 -96.3 2
2001-01-14 @ Xghajra Tornados W 5-032.4 704 557 55.03% 19.93% 25.04%+0.66 +96.2 11
2001-01-14 Rabat Ajax D 1-151.7 950 785 63.29% 19.63% 17.09%+1.08 -8.5 23
2001-01-14 @ Hamrun Spartans D 1-151.7 785 950 17.09% 19.63% 63.29%-1.08 +8.5 10
2001-01-15 Birkirkara L 0-241.2 1262 1257 45.21% 20.07% 34.72%+0.19 -67.1 28
2001-01-15 @ Hibernians W 2-041.2 1257 1262 34.72% 20.07% 45.21%-0.19 +67.0 30
2001-01-15 Sliema Wanderers W 3-256.0 1277 1417 25.81% 19.95% 54.25%-0.62 +37.4 32
2001-01-15 @ Floriana L 2-356.0 1417 1277 54.25% 19.95% 25.81%+0.62 -37.4 33
2001-01-23 Hibernians L 0-333.0 1041 1195 24.28% 19.91% 55.81%-0.70 -58.2 13
2001-01-23 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-033.0 1195 1041 55.81% 19.91% 24.28%+0.70 +58.2 31
2001-01-23 Valletta W 4-249.2 1324 1333 43.21% 20.08% 36.70%+0.11 +43.8 33
2001-01-23 @ Birkirkara L 2-449.2 1333 1324 36.70% 20.08% 43.21%-0.11 -43.8 38
2001-01-24 Hamrun Spartans D 1-151.6 801 942 25.74% 19.95% 54.32%-0.62 +5.0 12
2001-01-24 @ Naxxar Lions D 1-151.6 942 801 54.32% 19.95% 25.74%+0.62 -5.0 24
2001-01-24 Xghajra Tornados W 7-023.1 1380 461 87.46% 12.22% 0.32%+5.28 +1.6 36
2001-01-24 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-723.1 461 1380 0.32% 12.22% 87.46%-5.28 -1.6 2
2001-01-27 Birkirkara L 0-425.0 793 1368 2.85% 16.94% 80.21%-3.04 -9.7 10
2001-01-27 @ Rabat Ajax W 4-025.0 1368 793 80.21% 16.94% 2.85%+3.04 +9.7 36
2001-01-27 Floriana D 2-257.1 1253 1314 35.91% 20.08% 44.02%-0.18 +1.0 32
2001-01-27 @ Hibernians D 2-257.1 1314 1253 44.02% 20.08% 35.91%+0.18 -1.0 33
2001-01-28 Naxxar Lions W 7-024.9 1381 806 81.75% 16.24% 2.01%+3.37 +11.5 39
2001-01-28 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-724.9 806 1381 2.01% 16.24% 81.75%-3.37 -11.4 12
2001-01-28 Pieta Hotspurs D 3-361.7 1289 983 72.83% 18.78% 8.39%+1.87 -7.7 39
2001-01-28 @ Valletta D 3-361.7 983 1289 8.39% 18.78% 72.83%-1.87 +7.7 14
2001-02-03 Hamrun Spartans D 1-152.4 1377 937 78.23% 17.63% 4.13%+2.62 -14.5 37
2001-02-03 @ Birkirkara D 1-152.4 937 1377 4.13% 17.63% 78.23%-2.62 +14.5 25
2001-02-03 Valletta L 1-347.4 1313 1281 48.72% 20.04% 31.24%+0.34 -61.9 33
2001-02-03 @ Floriana W 3-147.4 1281 1313 31.24% 20.04% 48.72%-0.34 +62.0 42
2001-02-04 Hibernians L 0-423.6 459 1254 0.87% 14.45% 84.68%-4.27 -2.8 2
2001-02-04 @ Xghajra Tornados W 4-023.6 1254 459 84.68% 14.45% 0.87%+4.27 +2.8 35
2001-02-04 Rabat Ajax W 3-135.9 990 784 66.65% 19.42% 13.93%+1.31 +21.2 17
2001-02-04 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-335.9 784 990 13.93% 19.42% 66.65%-1.31 -21.2 10

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2001-02-10 Birkirkara L 0-236.9 1251 1363 29.22% 20.01% 50.77%-0.46 -46.9 0
2001-02-10 @ Floriana W 2-036.9 1363 1251 50.77% 20.01% 29.22%+0.46 +46.9 3
2001-02-11 Hibernians W 4-243.9 1393 1257 60.53% 19.76% 19.71%+0.92 +25.9 3
2001-02-11 @ Sliema Wanderers L 2-443.9 1257 1393 19.71% 19.76% 60.53%-0.92 -25.9 0
2001-02-11 Valletta L 0-130.7 951 1343 7.48% 18.61% 73.91%-2.02 -7.2 0
2001-02-11 @ Hamrun Spartans W 1-030.7 1343 951 73.91% 18.61% 7.48%+2.02 +7.2 3
2001-02-17 Floriana W 2-139.0 1350 1204 61.55% 19.71% 18.74%+0.98 +16.0 6
2001-02-17 @ Valletta L 1-239.0 1204 1350 18.74% 19.71% 61.55%-0.98 -16.0 0
2001-02-17 Hamrun Spartans W 2-029.5 1231 944 71.83% 18.91% 9.25%+1.76 +16.6 3
2001-02-17 @ Hibernians L 0-229.5 944 1231 9.25% 18.91% 71.83%-1.76 -16.6 0
2001-02-18 Naxxar Lions W 2-136.6 1012 794 67.43% 19.36% 13.21%+1.37 +11.6 3
2001-02-18 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-236.6 794 1012 13.21% 19.36% 67.43%-1.37 -11.6 0
2001-02-18 Rabat Ajax L 0-230.3 456 762 11.66% 19.21% 69.13%-1.54 -20.7 0
2001-02-18 @ Xghajra Tornados W 2-030.3 762 456 69.13% 19.21% 11.66%+1.54 +20.7 3
2001-02-19 Sliema Wanderers L 1-250.1 1410 1419 43.21% 20.08% 36.71%+0.11 -32.3 3
2001-02-19 @ Birkirkara W 2-150.1 1419 1410 36.71% 20.08% 43.21%-0.11 +32.3 6
2001-02-24 Hibernians L 1-350.5 1366 1248 58.82% 19.82% 21.36%+0.82 -73.8 6
2001-02-24 @ Valletta W 3-150.5 1248 1366 21.36% 19.82% 58.82%-0.82 +73.8 6
2001-02-24 Sliema Wanderers D 1-153.0 1188 1451 14.49% 19.46% 66.04%-1.30 +9.6 1
2001-02-24 @ Floriana D 1-153.0 1451 1188 66.04% 19.46% 14.49%+1.30 -9.6 7
2001-02-25 Birkirkara L 0-130.0 927 1377 5.52% 18.13% 76.35%-2.35 -5.3 0
2001-02-25 @ Hamrun Spartans W 1-030.0 1377 927 76.35% 18.13% 5.52%+2.35 +5.3 6
2001-02-25 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-255.9 783 1023 16.20% 19.58% 64.22%-1.18 +72.1 6
2001-02-25 @ Rabat Ajax L 2-455.9 1023 783 64.22% 19.58% 16.20%+1.18 -72.1 3
2001-03-03 Hamrun Spartans W 5-129.9 1441 922 80.43% 16.84% 2.72%+3.06 +7.7 10
2001-03-03 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-529.9 922 1441 2.72% 16.84% 80.43%-3.06 -7.7 0
2001-03-03 Valletta L 1-251.1 1383 1292 55.79% 19.91% 24.30%+0.66 -40.5 6
2001-03-03 @ Birkirkara W 2-151.1 1292 1383 24.30% 19.91% 55.79%-0.66 +40.5 9
2001-03-04 Floriana W 1-035.5 1322 1198 59.38% 19.80% 20.82%+0.85 +18.6 9
2001-03-04 @ Hibernians L 0-135.5 1198 1322 20.82% 19.80% 59.38%-0.85 -18.6 1
2001-03-04 Xghajra Tornados W 4-343.6 783 436 74.75% 18.46% 6.78%+2.09 +5.7 3
2001-03-04 @ Naxxar Lions L 3-443.6 436 783 6.78% 18.46% 74.75%-2.09 -5.7 0
2001-03-10 Hibernians D 1-153.2 1342 1340 44.71% 20.07% 35.22%+0.17 -1.6 7
2001-03-10 @ Birkirkara D 1-153.2 1340 1342 35.22% 20.07% 44.71%-0.17 +1.6 10
2001-03-10 Sliema Wanderers W 2-045.7 1333 1449 28.70% 20.00% 51.30%-0.48 +74.9 12
2001-03-10 @ Valletta L 0-245.7 1449 1333 51.30% 20.00% 28.70%+0.48 -74.9 10
2001-03-11 Hamrun Spartans W 3-134.8 1179 914 70.55% 19.07% 10.39%+1.64 +16.1 4
2001-03-11 @ Floriana L 1-334.8 914 1179 10.39% 19.07% 70.55%-1.64 -16.1 0
2001-03-11 Xghajra Tornados W 5-024.7 951 430 80.48% 16.82% 2.69%+3.07 +11.3 6
2001-03-11 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-524.7 430 951 2.69% 16.82% 80.48%-3.07 -11.3 0
2001-03-17 Hamrun Spartans W 2-027.1 1408 898 80.19% 16.94% 2.86%+3.00 +5.1 15
2001-03-17 @ Valletta L 0-227.1 898 1408 2.86% 16.94% 80.19%-3.00 -5.1 0
2001-03-17 Rabat Ajax D 3-361.2 788 855 35.03% 20.07% 44.89%-0.21 +1.0 4
2001-03-17 @ Naxxar Lions D 3-361.2 855 788 44.89% 20.07% 35.03%+0.21 -1.0 7
2001-03-18 Floriana W 2-139.0 1341 1195 61.46% 19.72% 18.82%+0.97 +16.0 10
2001-03-18 @ Birkirkara L 1-239.0 1195 1341 18.82% 19.72% 61.46%-0.97 -16.0 4
2001-03-18 Sliema Wanderers L 1-346.0 1342 1374 39.93% 20.09% 39.98%-0.02 -52.4 10
2001-03-18 @ Hibernians W 3-146.0 1374 1342 39.98% 20.09% 39.93%+0.02 +52.4 13
2001-03-31 Pieta Hotspurs D 2-256.5 789 962 22.27% 19.85% 57.88%-0.80 +4.8 5
2001-03-31 @ Naxxar Lions D 2-256.5 962 789 57.88% 19.85% 22.27%+0.80 -4.8 7
2001-03-31 Valletta L 1-436.7 1179 1413 16.71% 19.61% 63.68%-1.14 -35.3 4
2001-03-31 @ Floriana W 4-136.7 1413 1179 63.68% 19.61% 16.71%+1.14 +35.3 18
2001-04-01 Birkirkara L 1-252.1 1426 1357 53.45% 19.96% 26.59%+0.55 -38.9 13
2001-04-01 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-152.1 1357 1426 26.59% 19.96% 53.45%-0.55 +38.9 13
2001-04-01 Hibernians L 1-234.6 893 1290 7.31% 18.58% 74.11%-2.05 -6.6 0
2001-04-01 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-134.6 1290 893 74.11% 18.58% 7.31%+2.05 +6.6 13
2001-04-07 Floriana W 4-134.7 1388 1144 69.22% 19.20% 11.57%+1.52 +25.2 16
2001-04-07 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-434.7 1144 1388 11.57% 19.20% 69.22%-1.52 -25.2 4
2001-04-07 Xghajra Tornados W 1-029.4 854 419 78.07% 17.68% 4.25%+2.59 +4.1 10
2001-04-07 @ Rabat Ajax L 0-129.4 419 854 4.25% 17.68% 78.07%-2.59 -4.1 0
2001-04-08 Hamrun Spartans W 3-131.9 1395 886 80.18% 16.95% 2.87%+3.00 +4.5 16
2001-04-08 @ Birkirkara L 1-331.9 886 1395 2.87% 16.95% 80.18%-3.00 -4.5 0
2001-04-08 Valletta L 2-347.9 1296 1448 24.49% 19.92% 55.59%-0.69 -19.1 13
2001-04-08 @ Hibernians W 3-247.9 1448 1296 55.59% 19.92% 24.49%+0.69 +19.2 21
2001-04-14 Hibernians W 2-044.1 1119 1277 23.83% 19.90% 56.27%-0.72 +81.7 7
2001-04-14 @ Floriana L 0-244.1 1277 1119 56.27% 19.90% 23.83%+0.72 -81.7 13
2001-04-14 Naxxar Lions L 0-427.0 415 794 7.99% 18.71% 73.30%-1.95 -27.4 0
2001-04-14 @ Xghajra Tornados W 4-027.0 794 415 73.30% 18.71% 7.99%+1.95 +27.4 8
2001-04-15 Rabat Ajax D 1-151.6 958 858 56.81% 19.88% 23.30%+0.72 -6.0 8
2001-04-15 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-151.6 858 958 23.30% 19.88% 56.81%-0.72 +6.0 11
2001-04-15 Sliema Wanderers L 0-425.4 882 1413 3.60% 17.38% 79.03%-2.80 -12.3 0
2001-04-15 @ Hamrun Spartans W 4-025.4 1413 882 79.03% 17.38% 3.60%+2.80 +12.3 19
2001-04-16 Birkirkara W 2-146.2 1468 1400 53.18% 19.97% 26.85%+0.54 +21.8 24
2001-04-16 @ Valletta L 1-246.2 1400 1468 26.85% 19.97% 53.18%-0.54 -21.8 16
2001-04-28 Floriana L 0-229.9 870 1200 10.28% 19.05% 70.66%-1.68 -18.4 0
2001-04-28 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-029.9 1200 870 70.66% 19.05% 10.28%+1.68 +18.4 10
2001-04-28 Pieta Hotspurs L 1-430.9 387 952 3.00% 17.04% 79.96%-2.98 -6.6 0
2001-04-28 @ Xghajra Tornados W 4-130.9 952 387 79.96% 17.04% 3.00%+2.98 +6.6 11
2001-04-29 Birkirkara D 2-257.2 1195 1378 21.30% 19.82% 58.88%-0.86 +5.0 14
2001-04-29 @ Hibernians D 2-257.2 1378 1195 58.88% 19.82% 21.30%+0.86 -5.1 17
2001-04-29 Naxxar Lions L 1-445.9 864 821 50.14% 20.02% 29.84%+0.40 -89.9 11
2001-04-29 @ Rabat Ajax W 4-145.9 821 864 29.84% 20.02% 50.14%-0.40 +89.9 11
2001-04-30 Valletta D 2-263.3 1425 1489 35.40% 20.08% 44.52%-0.20 +1.2 20
2001-04-30 @ Sliema Wanderers D 2-263.3 1489 1425 44.52% 20.08% 35.40%+0.20 -1.1 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2000-09-12 13.21% @ Hamrun Spartans 1004 2 Sliema Wanderers 1285 0
2 2001-02-25 16.20% @ Rabat Ajax 783 4 Pieta Hotspurs 1023 2
3 2000-08-27 16.62% @ Hamrun Spartans 880 2 Floriana 1115 1
4 2000-12-02 18.14% Floriana 1211 1 @ Birkirkara 1364 0
5 2000-11-25 21.04% @ Sliema Wanderers 1199 4 Valletta 1384 1
6 2001-02-24 21.36% Hibernians 1248 3 @ Valletta 1366 1
7 2001-04-14 23.83% @ Floriana 1119 2 Hibernians 1277 0
8 2001-03-03 24.30% Valletta 1292 2 @ Birkirkara 1383 1
9 2001-01-15 25.81% @ Floriana 1277 3 Sliema Wanderers 1417 2
10 2001-04-01 26.59% Birkirkara 1357 2 @ Sliema Wanderers 1426 1
11 2000-09-24 27.03% @ Rabat Ajax 848 2 Naxxar Lions 977 0
12 2001-03-10 28.70% @ Valletta 1333 2 Sliema Wanderers 1449 0
13 2001-01-07 29.18% Rabat Ajax 720 3 @ Naxxar Lions 769 1
14 2001-04-29 29.84% Naxxar Lions 821 4 @ Rabat Ajax 864 1
15 2000-09-06 30.49% @ Naxxar Lions 919 3 Pieta Hotspurs 1021 1
16 2001-02-03 31.24% Valletta 1281 3 @ Floriana 1313 1
17 2000-09-29 32.24% @ Valletta 1306 1 Birkirkara 1394 0
18 2000-08-26 33.27% @ Hibernians 939 3 Naxxar Lions 1019 0
19 2001-01-15 34.72% Birkirkara 1257 2 @ Hibernians 1262 0
20 2001-02-19 36.71% Sliema Wanderers 1419 2 @ Birkirkara 1410 1
21 2000-09-17 38.95% @ Hibernians 1062 2 Hamrun Spartans 1101 0
22 2000-12-16 39.59% Sliema Wanderers 1347 2 @ Birkirkara 1318 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2000-11-19 158.52 Floriana 7 994 48.92% @ Rabat Ajax 0 897 31.04% 20.04%
2 2000-09-16 149.43 Pieta Hotspurs 8 918 55.20% @ Xghajra Tornados 0 770 24.88% 19.92%
3 2000-11-25 104.96 @ Sliema Wanderers 4 1199 21.04% Valletta 1 1384 59.15% 19.81%
4 2000-08-26 100.06 @ Hibernians 3 939 33.27% Naxxar Lions 0 1019 46.67% 20.06%
5 2000-09-12 97.83 @ Hamrun Spartans 2 1004 13.21% Sliema Wanderers 0 1285 67.43% 19.36%
6 2001-01-14 96.25 Naxxar Lions 5 704 55.03% @ Xghajra Tornados 0 557 25.04% 19.93%
7 2001-04-29 89.88 Naxxar Lions 4 821 29.84% @ Rabat Ajax 1 864 50.14% 20.02%
8 2001-04-14 81.66 @ Floriana 2 1119 23.83% Hibernians 0 1277 56.27% 19.90%
9 2000-09-05 77.43 Hamrun Spartans 3 926 45.80% @ Xghajra Tornados 0 852 34.13% 20.07%
10 2000-09-24 77.20 @ Rabat Ajax 2 848 27.03% Naxxar Lions 0 977 53.00% 19.97%
11 2001-03-10 74.92 @ Valletta 2 1333 28.70% Sliema Wanderers 0 1449 51.30% 20.00%
12 2001-02-24 73.81 Hibernians 3 1248 21.36% @ Valletta 1 1366 58.82% 19.82%
13 2000-10-16 72.92 Hibernians 4 1129 40.79% @ Floriana 1 1091 39.12% 20.09%
14 2001-02-25 72.07 @ Rabat Ajax 4 783 16.20% Pieta Hotspurs 2 1023 64.22% 19.58%
15 2001-01-15 67.05 Birkirkara 2 1257 34.72% @ Hibernians 0 1262 45.21% 20.07%
16 2000-08-20 66.13 @ Sliema Wanderers 5 1180 64.08% Hibernians 0 1005 16.34% 19.58%
17 2001-01-07 64.31 Rabat Ajax 3 720 29.18% @ Naxxar Lions 1 769 50.80% 20.01%
18 2000-09-06 62.81 @ Naxxar Lions 3 919 30.49% Pieta Hotspurs 1 1021 49.48% 20.03%
19 2001-02-03 61.95 Valletta 3 1281 31.24% @ Floriana 1 1313 48.72% 20.04%
20 2000-09-17 61.78 @ Hibernians 2 1062 38.95% Hamrun Spartans 0 1101 40.96% 20.09%
21 2000-12-16 61.00 Sliema Wanderers 2 1347 39.59% @ Birkirkara 0 1318 40.32% 20.09%
22 2000-11-24 58.76 @ Floriana 4 1153 49.94% Hamrun Spartans 1 1111 30.03% 20.02%
23 2000-12-01 58.39 @ Pieta Hotspurs 4 990 62.37% Naxxar Lions 0 835 17.95% 19.67%
24 2001-01-23 58.22 Hibernians 3 1195 55.81% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1041 24.28% 19.91%
25 2000-09-16 57.15 Birkirkara 3 1346 56.34% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1187 23.76% 19.90%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-04-30 63.3 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1425 35.40% Valletta 2 1489 44.52% 20.08%
2 2001-01-28 61.7 @ Valletta 3 1289 72.83% Pieta Hotspurs 3 983 8.39% 18.78%
3 2000-10-21 61.6 @ Naxxar Lions 3 855 9.32% Sliema Wanderers 3 1205 71.76% 18.92%
4 2000-09-06 61.4 @ Hibernians 3 1039 19.48% Valletta 3 1241 60.78% 19.75%
5 2000-08-27 61.3 @ Rabat Ajax 3 923 53.88% Xghajra Tornados 3 849 26.16% 19.96%
6 2001-03-17 61.2 @ Naxxar Lions 3 788 35.03% Rabat Ajax 3 855 44.89% 20.07%
7 2000-09-23 57.3 @ Birkirkara 2 1403 71.37% Hibernians 2 1124 9.66% 18.97%
8 2001-04-29 57.2 @ Hibernians 2 1195 21.30% Birkirkara 2 1378 58.88% 19.82%
9 2001-01-27 57.1 @ Hibernians 2 1253 35.91% Floriana 2 1314 44.02% 20.08%
10 2000-08-28 56.8 @ Valletta 2 1242 43.92% Sliema Wanderers 2 1246 36.00% 20.08%
11 2000-09-05 56.8 @ Floriana 2 1069 13.33% Birkirkara 2 1348 67.30% 19.37%
12 2000-11-20 56.6 @ Hibernians 2 1209 46.12% Sliema Wanderers 2 1197 33.82% 20.06%
13 2000-10-01 56.5 @ Hibernians 2 1133 55.94% Pieta Hotspurs 2 1041 24.15% 19.91%
14 2001-03-31 56.5 @ Naxxar Lions 2 789 22.27% Pieta Hotspurs 2 962 57.88% 19.85%
15 2000-10-22 56.4 @ Rabat Ajax 2 893 26.25% Pieta Hotspurs 2 1030 53.80% 19.96%
16 2001-01-15 56.0 @ Floriana 3 1277 25.81% Sliema Wanderers 2 1417 54.25% 19.95%
17 2001-02-25 55.9 @ Rabat Ajax 4 783 16.20% Pieta Hotspurs 2 1023 64.22% 19.58%
18 2001-03-10 53.2 @ Birkirkara 1 1342 44.71% Hibernians 1 1340 35.22% 20.07%
19 2001-02-24 53.0 @ Floriana 1 1188 14.49% Sliema Wanderers 1 1451 66.04% 19.46%
20 2001-02-03 52.4 @ Birkirkara 1 1377 78.23% Hamrun Spartans 1 937 4.13% 17.63%
21 2000-11-25 52.2 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 977 7.18% Birkirkara 1 1377 74.27% 18.55%
22 2001-04-01 52.1 Birkirkara 2 1357 26.59% @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1426 53.45% 19.96%
23 2000-08-27 51.8 @ Hamrun Spartans 2 880 16.62% Floriana 1 1115 63.78% 19.60%
24 2000-08-19 51.7 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 1050 64.48% Hamrun Spartans 1 871 15.96% 19.56%
25 2001-01-14 51.7 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 950 63.29% Rabat Ajax 1 785 17.09% 19.63%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-01-24 23.1 @ Sliema Wanderers 7 1380 87.46% Xghajra Tornados 0 461 0.32% 12.22%
2 2001-02-04 23.6 Hibernians 4 1254 84.68% @ Xghajra Tornados 0 459 0.87% 14.45%
3 2000-10-21 24.3 @ Hibernians 6 1202 82.64% Xghajra Tornados 0 583 1.60% 15.76%
4 2001-03-11 24.7 @ Pieta Hotspurs 5 951 80.48% Xghajra Tornados 0 430 2.69% 16.82%
5 2001-01-07 24.8 Floriana 3 1273 83.22% @ Xghajra Tornados 0 560 1.36% 15.42%
6 2001-01-28 24.9 @ Sliema Wanderers 7 1381 81.75% Naxxar Lions 0 806 2.01% 16.24%
7 2001-01-27 25.0 Birkirkara 4 1368 80.21% @ Rabat Ajax 0 793 2.85% 16.94%
8 2000-09-09 25.3 @ Birkirkara 3 1340 81.53% Xghajra Tornados 0 775 2.12% 16.35%
9 2000-11-19 25.3 @ Valletta 2 1383 85.89% Xghajra Tornados 0 575 0.58% 13.54%
10 2000-12-17 25.3 @ Pieta Hotspurs 4 1037 78.96% Xghajra Tornados 0 573 3.64% 17.40%
11 2001-04-15 25.4 Sliema Wanderers 4 1413 79.03% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 882 3.60% 17.38%
12 2000-10-14 25.9 Sliema Wanderers 11 1179 80.10% @ Xghajra Tornados 0 609 2.92% 16.98%
13 2000-10-20 26.8 @ Valletta 4 1359 74.51% Floriana 0 1018 6.99% 18.51%
14 2000-09-09 26.9 @ Sliema Wanderers 6 1247 73.86% Rabat Ajax 0 920 7.52% 18.62%
15 2001-04-14 27.0 Naxxar Lions 4 794 73.30% @ Xghajra Tornados 0 415 7.99% 18.71%
16 2001-03-17 27.1 @ Valletta 2 1408 80.19% Hamrun Spartans 0 898 2.86% 16.94%
17 2000-12-03 27.3 @ Hamrun Spartans 2 1053 79.18% Xghajra Tornados 0 580 3.50% 17.32%
18 2000-12-07 27.7 Birkirkara 1 1317 83.77% @ Xghajra Tornados 0 574 1.16% 15.07%
19 2000-11-26 28.2 Hibernians 3 1208 71.66% @ Naxxar Lions 0 860 9.40% 18.94%
20 2000-09-23 28.9 @ Floriana 1 1111 79.69% Xghajra Tornados 0 620 3.17% 17.14%
21 2000-12-08 29.0 @ Hibernians 1 1209 79.43% Rabat Ajax 0 728 3.34% 17.24%
22 2001-04-07 29.4 @ Rabat Ajax 1 854 78.07% Xghajra Tornados 0 419 4.25% 17.68%
23 2001-02-17 29.5 @ Hibernians 2 1231 71.83% Hamrun Spartans 0 944 9.25% 18.91%
24 2000-08-20 29.7 @ Sliema Wanderers 5 1180 64.08% Hibernians 0 1005 16.34% 19.58%
25 2001-03-03 29.9 @ Sliema Wanderers 5 1441 80.43% Hamrun Spartans 1 922 2.72% 16.84%