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2001-02 Maltese Premier League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Birkirkara

40 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hibernians

9.17 points above expected

40 points · 30.83 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Floriana

6.12 points below expected

22 points · 28.12 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Birkirkara 18 12 4 2 40 46 16 +30 37.28 +2.72
2 Hibernians 18 12 4 2 40 41 22 +19 30.83 +9.17
3 Sliema Wanderers 18 12 2 4 38 48 16 +32 39.66 -1.66
4 Valletta 18 10 5 3 35 40 21 +19 38.92 -3.92
5 Hamrun Spartans 18 7 2 9 23 23 33 -10 16.67 +6.33
6 Floriana 18 6 4 8 22 27 24 +3 28.12 -6.12
7 Marsa 18 6 4 8 22 32 38 -6 17.55 +4.45
8 Pieta Hotspurs 18 4 3 11 15 20 36 -16 19.01 -4.01
9 Naxxar Lions 18 4 0 14 12 24 54 -30 16.33 -4.33
10 Lija Athletics 18 2 2 14 8 14 55 -41 9.70 -1.70
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Hibernians 10 7 2 1 23 26 12 +14 33.53 -10.53
2 Sliema Wanderers 10 5 2 3 17 19 13 +6 37.51 -20.51
3 Floriana 10 4 2 4 14 12 14 -2 22.45 -8.45
4 Pieta Hotspurs 6 4 0 2 12 9 6 +3 17.88 -5.88
5 Valletta 10 3 3 4 12 11 12 -1 36.53 -24.53
6 Birkirkara 10 2 5 3 11 14 13 +1 37.67 -26.67
7 Naxxar Lions 6 2 2 2 8 13 8 +5 14.59 -6.59
8 Marsa 6 2 1 3 7 10 10 0 21.32 -14.32
9 Lija Athletics 6 2 1 3 7 7 15 -8 8.89 -1.89
10 Hamrun Spartans 10 1 2 7 5 3 21 -18 16.82 -11.82

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hibernians 40 30.83 +9.17
2 Hamrun Spartans 23 16.67 +6.33
3 Marsa 22 17.55 +4.45
4 Birkirkara 40 37.28 +2.72
5 Sliema Wanderers 38 39.66 -1.66

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Floriana 22 28.12 -6.12
2 Naxxar Lions 12 16.33 -4.33
3 Pieta Hotspurs 15 19.01 -4.01
4 Valletta 35 38.92 -3.92
5 Lija Athletics 8 9.70 -1.70

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernians 6 Aug 19 – Sep 29 1 in 144
2 Sliema Wanderers 5 Sep 8 – Oct 17 1 in 15
3 Floriana 2 Oct 21 – Nov 11 1 in 12
4 Hamrun Spartans 2 Feb 5 – Feb 16 1 in 8
5 Valletta 4 Oct 20 – Dec 9 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Naxxar Lions 6 Sep 22 – Nov 25 1 in 33
2 Pieta Hotspurs 4 Aug 18 – Sep 15 1 in 22
3 Sliema Wanderers 2 Jan 27 – Feb 17 1 in 20
4 Lija Athletics 6 Aug 19 – Oct 9 1 in 8
5 Marsa 3 Jan 19 – Feb 16 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Marsa 4 Aug 26 – Sep 23 1 in 29
2 Hibernians 7 Aug 19 – Oct 13 1 in 18
3 Hamrun Spartans 3 Oct 14 – Nov 24 1 in 14
4 Pieta Hotspurs 2 Sep 22 – Sep 30 1 in 13
5 Lija Athletics 2 Nov 17 – Nov 25 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Valletta 3 Sep 9 – Sep 22 1 in 62
2 Sliema Wanderers 2 Oct 21 – Nov 17 1 in 21
3 Floriana 5 Aug 20 – Sep 30 1 in 18
4 Birkirkara 2 Nov 24 – Dec 2 1 in 6
5 Naxxar Lions 6 Sep 22 – Nov 25 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Hibernians 1394 63 +26 10 8.0 +2.0
Sliema Wanderers 1429 55 -21 7 9.3 -2.3
Birkirkara 1390 51 -6 6 7.8 -1.8
Valletta 1404 47 -3 7 8.7 -1.7
Floriana 1269 36 -9 5 6.3 -1.3
Marsa 1041 29 -17 7 8.6 -1.6
Hamrun Spartans 1034 28 +12 5 2.1 +2.9
Pieta Hotspurs 1062 27 -3 9 9.3 -0.3
Naxxar Lions 1032 20 +19 7 6.9 +0.1
Lija Athletics 882 15 +0 6 3.3 +2.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIR FLO HS HIB LA MAR NL PH SW VAL
Birkirkara —
2-0-0
3.82
2-0-0
4.89
1-1-0
3.62
2-0-0
5.20
2-0-0
4.79
2-0-0
4.92
1-1-0
4.69
0-1-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.67
Floriana
0-0-2
1.80
 —
0-1-1
4.19
0-0-2
2.43
1-1-0
4.72
0-2-0
4.15
2-0-0
4.31
1-0-1
4.13
2-0-0
1.25
0-0-2
1.51
Hamrun Spartans
0-0-2
0.80
1-1-0
1.44
 —
0-1-1
1.18
2-0-0
3.86
0-0-2
2.81
2-0-0
2.62
2-0-0
2.28
0-0-2
0.70
0-0-2
0.74
Hibernians
0-1-1
1.99
2-0-0
3.18
1-1-0
4.47
 —
2-0-0
4.97
1-1-0
4.41
2-0-0
4.36
2-0-0
4.39
1-0-1
1.63
1-1-0
1.67
Lija Athletics
0-0-2
0.55
0-1-1
0.95
0-0-2
1.76
0-0-2
0.74
 —
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
1.91
1-0-1
1.69
0-1-1
0.42
0-0-2
0.47
Marsa
0-0-2
0.89
0-2-0
1.48
2-0-0
2.79
0-1-1
1.23
2-0-0
3.83
 —
1-0-1
2.89
0-0-2
2.86
0-0-2
0.73
1-1-0
0.71
Naxxar Lions
0-0-2
0.77
0-0-2
1.33
0-0-2
2.98
0-0-2
1.28
1-0-1
3.70
1-0-1
2.71
 —
2-0-0
2.64
0-0-2
0.69
0-0-2
0.72
Pieta Hotspurs
0-1-1
0.98
1-0-1
1.50
0-0-2
3.32
0-0-2
1.25
1-0-1
3.93
2-0-0
2.74
0-0-2
2.96
 —
0-0-2
0.76
0-2-0
0.74
Sliema Wanderers
1-1-0
3.24
0-0-2
4.40
2-0-0
5.02
1-0-1
3.99
1-1-0
5.36
2-0-0
4.98
2-0-0
5.02
2-0-0
4.94
 —
1-0-1
2.94
Valletta
1-1-0
2.93
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
4.97
0-1-1
3.94
2-0-0
5.30
0-1-1
5.01
2-0-0
4.99
0-2-0
4.96
1-0-1
2.67
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.90 +9.7
Allowed 0.83 -7.6
Differential 0.94 +4.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.79%5.30%5.30%3.79%2.27%1.89%22.35%
15.30%9.09%8.33%3.41%2.27%2.27%30.68%
25.30%8.33%5.30%2.65%2.27%0.38%24.24%
33.79%3.41%2.65%0.76%——10.61%
42.27%2.27%2.27%——0.38%7.20%
5+1.89%2.27%0.38%—0.38%—4.92%
Total22.35%30.68%24.24%10.61%7.20%4.92%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.66 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.28
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%————14.29%
17.14%17.86%3.57%7.14%——35.71%
2—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
37.14%3.57%————10.71%
43.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
5+3.57%7.14%3.57%———14.29%
Total28.57%46.43%17.86%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 1.04 +1.11
SD 1.76 0.88 1.99
CV 0.82 0.85 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
17.14%10.71%14.29%10.71%——42.86%
210.71%7.14%7.14%3.57%——28.57%
33.57%3.57%————7.14%
4———————
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total25.00%32.14%25.00%17.86%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.36 +0.04
SD 1.10 1.06 1.69
CV 0.79 0.78 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%14.29%7.14%10.71%3.57%46.43%
17.14%10.71%3.57%——3.57%25.00%
23.57%10.71%—7.14%——21.43%
33.57%—————3.57%
4——3.57%———3.57%
5+———————
Total17.86%28.57%21.43%14.29%10.71%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.93 -1.00
SD 1.09 1.51 2.13
CV 1.17 0.78 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
17.14%10.71%————17.86%
27.14%10.71%10.71%—3.57%—32.14%
3—14.29%7.14%———21.43%
47.14%3.57%3.57%———14.29%
5+3.57%———3.57%—7.14%
Total25.00%42.86%25.00%—7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.39 1.21 +1.18
SD 1.34 1.07 1.63
CV 0.56 0.88 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%—12.50%8.33%12.50%12.50%50.00%
14.17%—8.33%4.17%4.17%4.17%25.00%
2—4.17%8.33%—4.17%—16.67%
3——4.17%———4.17%
4—4.17%————4.17%
5+———————
Total8.33%8.33%33.33%12.50%20.83%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 2.92 -2.04
SD 1.12 1.77 2.42
CV 1.27 0.61 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——8.33%4.17%——12.50%
14.17%8.33%8.33%—8.33%—29.17%
24.17%12.50%8.33%8.33%8.33%—41.67%
3——4.17%4.17%——8.33%
44.17%—————4.17%
5+—4.17%————4.17%
Total12.50%25.00%29.17%16.67%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 2.00 -0.25
SD 1.19 1.29 1.94
CV 0.68 0.64 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.17%—4.17%8.33%
14.17%4.17%20.83%4.17%8.33%12.50%54.17%
28.33%4.17%4.17%8.33%4.17%—29.17%
3———————
4——4.17%———4.17%
5+4.17%—————4.17%
Total16.67%8.33%29.17%16.67%12.50%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 2.58 -1.04
SD 1.25 1.82 2.63
CV 0.81 0.70 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%12.50%4.17%8.33%——29.17%
1—8.33%12.50%4.17%4.17%4.17%33.33%
28.33%12.50%———4.17%25.00%
34.17%4.17%4.17%———12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%37.50%20.83%12.50%4.17%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.75 -0.54
SD 1.02 1.45 1.91
CV 0.84 0.83 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%3.57%———17.86%
13.57%3.57%7.14%3.57%——17.86%
27.14%3.57%3.57%—3.57%—17.86%
310.71%3.57%7.14%———21.43%
43.57%7.14%3.57%———14.29%
5+7.14%3.57%————10.71%
Total39.29%28.57%25.00%3.57%3.57%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.39 1.04 +1.36
SD 1.85 1.07 2.33
CV 0.77 1.03 —
Max 7 4 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%3.57%3.57%——21.43%
17.14%14.29%7.14%———28.57%
23.57%10.71%3.57%———17.86%
37.14%3.57%—3.57%——14.29%
43.57%3.57%3.57%——3.57%14.29%
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total28.57%42.86%17.86%7.14%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.18 +0.64
SD 1.49 1.16 1.75
CV 0.82 0.98 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sliema Wanderers 1429 38 39.66 -1.66 37.0% 28 31 36 40 43 46 49
Valletta 1404 35 38.92 -3.92 24.0% 28 30 36 39 42 46 51
Hibernians 1394 40 30.83 +9.17 96.0% 15 19 28 31 34 40 46
Birkirkara 1390 40 37.28 +2.72 72.0% 27 29 34 37 41 45 48
Floriana 1269 22 28.12 -6.12 8.0% 17 19 25 28 31 34 41
Pieta Hotspurs 1062 15 19.01 -4.01 26.0% 9 12 15 19 23 26 28
Marsa 1041 22 17.55 +4.45 83.0% 9 11 14 17 21 24 31
Hamrun Spartans 1034 23 16.67 +6.33 90.0% 6 10 13 16 20 25 28
Naxxar Lions 1032 12 16.33 -4.33 23.0% 2 8 13 16 19 24 35
Lija Athletics 882 8 9.70 -1.70 40.0% 3 4 8 10 12 16 18

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.36%
Strong Edge
46.21%18.94%34.85%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 39.65 Elo pts.
174 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.37 goals
Neutral
-2+0.23+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
25%
Birkirkara, 3rd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.210.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.73 * Some Luck: 3.73 to 5.6 * Lucky: 5.6 to 7.46 * Wild Swing: 7.46 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.76 * Close: 0.76 to 1.14 * Off: 1.14 to 1.52 * Way Off: 1.52 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.95 points
Some Luck
04.6612
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.40
Off
00.952
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.00%
Hibernians
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
8.00%
Floriana
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.25
Top-Heavy
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 203.85
2.07
Strong Separation
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
88%
Wide Edge
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
96%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Some Drama
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.512
Matchup Imbalance
0.51
Lopsided
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.04
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.65
Some Carryover
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Very Upset-Prone
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
Very Shaky
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.
Probability calibration
0.88
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.85
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.104
Well Within Noise
00.1350.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Birkirkara25.00%28.00%29.00%14.00%4.00%—————
Hibernians3.00%7.00%17.00%40.00%25.00%3.00%3.00%2.00%——
Sliema Wanderers41.00%36.00%16.00%6.00%1.00%—————
Valletta31.00%25.00%31.00%13.00%——————
Hamrun Spartans————3.00%20.00%19.00%23.00%28.00%7.00%
Floriana—3.00%7.00%23.00%54.00%8.00%4.00%1.00%——
Marsa———2.00%5.00%29.00%22.00%21.00%18.00%3.00%
Pieta Hotspurs———1.00%5.00%30.00%28.00%17.00%17.00%2.00%
Naxxar Lions—1.00%—1.00%3.00%10.00%21.00%28.00%26.00%10.00%
Lija Athletics——————3.00%8.00%11.00%78.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Floriana 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Marsa 84.00% 16.00%
Pieta Hotspurs 81.00% 19.00%
Hamrun Spartans 69.00% 31.00%
Naxxar Lions 55.00% 45.00%
Lija Athletics 11.00% 89.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Floriana 100% —
Hamrun Spartans 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Marsa 92.65% 7.35%
Pieta Hotspurs 74.04% 25.96%
Naxxar Lions 30.22% 69.78%
Lija Athletics 3.09% 96.91%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2001-08-18 Marsa W 4-129.8 1423 1051 79.59% 14.07% 6.35%+2.37 +3.4 3
2001-08-18 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-429.8 1051 1423 6.35% 14.07% 79.59%-2.37 -3.4 0
2001-08-18 Pieta Hotspurs W 5-235.1 1382 1102 73.97% 16.13% 9.90%+1.84 +4.7 3
2001-08-18 @ Birkirkara L 2-535.1 1102 1382 9.90% 16.13% 73.97%-1.84 -4.7 0
2001-08-19 Hibernians L 0-133.9 1007 1256 16.63% 18.26% 65.11%-1.20 -4.0 0
2001-08-19 @ Hamrun Spartans W 1-033.9 1256 1007 65.11% 18.26% 16.63%+1.20 +4.0 3
2001-08-19 Lija Athletics W 4-242.0 1062 939 60.55% 18.95% 20.50%+0.93 +7.1 3
2001-08-19 @ Naxxar Lions L 2-442.0 939 1062 20.50% 18.95% 60.55%-0.93 -7.1 0
2001-08-20 Floriana W 2-140.2 1446 1269 65.87% 18.12% 16.01%+1.25 +3.6 3
2001-08-20 @ Valletta L 1-240.2 1269 1446 16.01% 18.12% 65.87%-1.25 -3.6 0
2001-08-25 Hamrun Spartans L 0-341.2 1097 1003 57.37% 19.31% 23.32%+0.77 -32.2 0
2001-08-25 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-041.2 1003 1097 23.32% 19.31% 57.37%-0.77 +32.2 3
2001-08-25 Valletta L 0-225.8 932 1450 4.58% 12.53% 82.89%-2.75 -1.9 0
2001-08-25 @ Lija Athletics W 2-025.8 1450 932 82.89% 12.53% 4.58%+2.75 +1.9 6
2001-08-26 Naxxar Lions W 2-145.1 1048 1069 42.60% 20.07% 37.33%+0.11 +7.7 3
2001-08-26 @ Marsa L 1-245.1 1069 1048 37.33% 20.07% 42.60%-0.11 -7.7 3
2001-08-26 Sliema Wanderers W 2-152.4 1260 1427 23.93% 19.38% 56.69%-0.73 +11.0 6
2001-08-26 @ Hibernians L 1-252.4 1427 1260 56.69% 19.38% 23.93%+0.73 -11.0 3
2001-09-08 Birkirkara L 0-139.4 1265 1387 29.09% 19.79% 51.11%-0.47 -6.6 0
2001-09-08 @ Floriana W 1-039.4 1387 1265 51.11% 19.79% 29.09%+0.47 +6.6 6
2001-09-08 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-132.5 1416 1065 78.41% 14.55% 7.04%+2.24 +2.7 6
2001-09-08 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-332.5 1065 1416 7.04% 14.55% 78.41%-2.24 -2.7 0
2001-09-09 Hibernians L 1-337.4 1061 1271 19.87% 18.85% 61.27%-0.97 -7.7 3
2001-09-09 @ Naxxar Lions W 3-137.4 1271 1061 61.27% 18.85% 19.87%+0.97 +7.7 9
2001-09-09 Marsa D 3-365.6 1452 1056 80.84% 13.51% 5.65%+2.50 -2.3 7
2001-09-09 @ Valletta D 3-365.6 1056 1452 5.65% 13.51% 80.84%-2.50 +2.3 4
2001-09-14 Valletta W 5-463.5 1278 1449 23.53% 19.33% 57.14%-0.76 +10.1 12
2001-09-14 @ Hibernians L 4-563.5 1449 1278 57.14% 19.33% 23.53%+0.76 -10.1 7
2001-09-15 Naxxar Lions L 0-143.4 1062 1054 46.73% 19.98% 33.29%+0.28 -9.8 0
2001-09-15 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 1-043.4 1054 1062 33.29% 19.98% 46.73%-0.28 +9.8 6
2001-09-15 Sliema Wanderers L 1-529.3 1036 1419 8.83% 15.61% 75.56%-1.97 -6.2 3
2001-09-15 @ Hamrun Spartans W 5-129.3 1419 1036 75.56% 15.61% 8.83%+1.97 +6.2 9
2001-09-16 Birkirkara L 1-429.4 930 1393 5.99% 13.80% 80.21%-2.43 -3.2 0
2001-09-16 @ Lija Athletics W 4-129.4 1393 930 80.21% 13.80% 5.99%+2.43 +3.2 9
2001-09-16 Floriana D 1-153.9 1058 1259 20.65% 18.97% 60.38%-0.93 +1.9 5
2001-09-16 @ Marsa D 1-153.9 1259 1058 60.38% 18.97% 20.65%+0.93 -1.9 1
2001-09-22 Hamrun Spartans L 2-451.2 1063 1029 50.11% 19.85% 30.04%+0.42 -15.2 6
2001-09-22 @ Naxxar Lions W 4-251.2 1029 1063 30.04% 19.85% 50.11%-0.42 +15.2 6
2001-09-22 Pieta Hotspurs D 0-052.3 1439 1053 80.36% 13.73% 5.91%+2.45 -4.2 8
2001-09-22 @ Valletta D 0-052.3 1053 1439 5.91% 13.73% 80.36%-2.45 +4.2 1
2001-09-23 Hibernians L 1-246.9 1257 1288 41.10% 20.08% 38.81%+0.05 -8.3 1
2001-09-23 @ Floriana W 2-146.9 1288 1257 38.81% 20.08% 41.10%-0.05 +8.3 15
2001-09-23 Marsa L 1-242.1 927 1060 27.70% 19.70% 52.60%-0.54 -6.0 0
2001-09-23 @ Lija Athletics W 2-142.1 1060 927 52.60% 19.70% 27.70%+0.54 +6.0 8
2001-09-28 Valletta L 0-325.7 1044 1435 8.51% 15.44% 76.04%-2.02 -5.5 6
2001-09-28 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-025.7 1435 1044 76.04% 15.44% 8.51%+2.02 +5.5 11
2001-09-29 Lija Athletics W 5-023.2 1297 921 79.78% 13.98% 6.23%+2.39 +6.3 18
2001-09-29 @ Hibernians L 0-523.2 921 1297 6.23% 13.98% 79.78%-2.39 -6.3 0
2001-09-29 Naxxar Lions W 6-024.0 1425 1048 79.82% 13.96% 6.21%+2.39 +7.5 12
2001-09-29 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-624.0 1048 1425 6.21% 13.96% 79.82%-2.39 -7.5 6
2001-09-30 Birkirkara L 2-438.9 1066 1396 11.34% 16.73% 71.93%-1.67 -4.0 8
2001-09-30 @ Marsa W 4-238.9 1396 1066 71.93% 16.73% 11.34%+1.67 +4.0 12
2001-09-30 Floriana W 3-149.3 1057 1248 21.49% 19.09% 59.42%-0.87 +19.8 4
2001-09-30 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-349.3 1248 1057 59.42% 19.09% 21.49%+0.87 -19.8 1
2001-10-09 Hamrun Spartans W 5-023.7 1400 1039 79.00% 14.31% 6.69%+2.30 +6.9 15
2001-10-09 @ Birkirkara L 0-523.7 1039 1400 6.69% 14.31% 79.00%-2.30 -6.9 6
2001-10-09 Lija Athletics W 3-132.8 1229 914 76.22% 15.38% 8.40%+2.03 +3.2 4
2001-10-09 @ Floriana L 1-332.8 914 1229 8.40% 15.38% 76.22%-2.03 -3.2 0
2001-10-12 Sliema Wanderers L 0-343.7 1441 1432 46.68% 19.99% 33.34%+0.28 -26.8 11
2001-10-12 @ Valletta W 3-043.7 1432 1441 33.34% 19.99% 46.68%-0.28 +26.8 15
2001-10-13 Hibernians D 2-259.3 1062 1303 17.20% 18.37% 64.43%-1.16 +1.7 9
2001-10-13 @ Marsa D 2-259.3 1303 1062 64.43% 18.37% 17.20%+1.16 -1.7 19
2001-10-13 Naxxar Lions W 5-128.1 1407 1041 79.27% 14.20% 6.53%+2.33 +4.5 18
2001-10-13 @ Birkirkara L 1-528.1 1041 1407 6.53% 14.20% 79.27%-2.33 -4.5 6
2001-10-14 Hamrun Spartans D 0-050.7 1232 1032 67.84% 17.73% 14.43%+1.38 -3.0 5
2001-10-14 @ Floriana D 0-050.7 1032 1232 14.43% 17.73% 67.84%-1.38 +3.0 7
2001-10-14 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-150.6 911 1077 24.13% 19.40% 56.48%-0.72 +10.9 3
2001-10-14 @ Lija Athletics L 1-250.6 1077 911 56.48% 19.40% 24.13%+0.72 -10.9 4
2001-10-17 Sliema Wanderers L 0-146.5 1412 1459 38.84% 20.08% 41.08%-0.04 -8.4 18
2001-10-17 @ Birkirkara W 1-046.5 1459 1412 41.08% 20.08% 38.84%+0.04 +8.4 18
2001-10-20 Marsa W 2-036.7 1066 1064 45.82% 20.01% 34.17%+0.24 +14.3 7
2001-10-20 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-236.7 1064 1066 34.17% 20.01% 45.82%-0.24 -14.3 9
2001-10-20 Valletta L 1-431.1 1036 1414 9.06% 15.73% 75.21%-1.94 -5.0 6
2001-10-20 @ Naxxar Lions W 4-131.1 1414 1036 75.21% 15.73% 9.06%+1.94 +5.0 14
2001-10-21 Floriana L 0-151.6 1468 1229 70.99% 16.98% 12.03%+1.60 -14.3 18
2001-10-21 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-051.6 1229 1468 12.03% 16.98% 70.99%-1.60 +14.3 8
2001-10-21 Lija Athletics W 2-032.6 1035 922 59.48% 19.08% 21.44%+0.88 +9.5 10
2001-10-21 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-232.6 922 1035 21.44% 19.08% 59.48%-0.88 -9.5 3
2001-10-22 Birkirkara L 0-140.7 1301 1403 31.48% 19.91% 48.61%-0.36 -7.1 19
2001-10-22 @ Hibernians W 1-040.7 1403 1301 48.61% 19.91% 31.48%+0.36 +7.1 21
2001-11-11 Naxxar Lions W 2-137.3 1243 1031 68.86% 17.50% 13.64%+1.45 +3.1 11
2001-11-11 @ Floriana L 1-237.3 1031 1243 13.64% 17.50% 68.86%-1.45 -3.1 6
2001-11-11 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-132.8 1294 1080 69.06% 17.46% 13.49%+1.46 +7.5 22
2001-11-11 @ Hibernians L 1-432.8 1080 1294 13.49% 17.46% 69.06%-1.46 -7.5 7
2001-11-17 Sliema Wanderers D 0-052.5 913 1453 4.09% 12.01% 83.89%-2.88 +4.4 4
2001-11-17 @ Lija Athletics D 0-052.5 1453 913 83.89% 12.01% 4.09%+2.88 -4.4 19
2001-11-24 Hamrun Spartans D 1-154.6 1302 1045 72.37% 16.61% 11.03%+1.71 -3.1 23
2001-11-24 @ Hibernians D 1-154.6 1045 1302 11.03% 16.61% 72.37%-1.71 +3.1 11
2001-11-24 Valletta L 1-349.3 1410 1419 44.37% 20.04% 35.59%+0.18 -15.3 21
2001-11-24 @ Birkirkara W 3-149.3 1419 1410 35.59% 20.04% 44.37%-0.18 +15.3 17
2001-11-25 Naxxar Lions W 3-253.9 917 1028 30.33% 19.86% 49.81%-0.41 +9.2 7
2001-11-25 @ Lija Athletics L 2-353.9 1028 917 49.81% 19.86% 30.33%+0.41 -9.2 6
2001-11-25 Sliema Wanderers L 2-437.6 1049 1449 8.16% 15.25% 76.59%-2.07 -2.8 9
2001-11-25 @ Marsa W 4-237.6 1449 1049 76.59% 15.25% 8.16%+2.07 +2.8 22
2001-11-28 Hamrun Spartans W 2-036.8 1047 1048 45.39% 20.02% 34.59%+0.22 +14.4 12
2001-11-28 @ Marsa L 0-236.8 1048 1047 34.59% 20.02% 45.39%-0.22 -14.4 11
2001-12-01 Hibernians W 2-034.0 1452 1299 63.59% 18.51% 17.90%+1.11 +8.0 25
2001-12-01 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-234.0 1299 1452 17.90% 18.51% 63.59%-1.11 -8.0 23
2001-12-01 Valletta L 1-241.8 1246 1434 21.86% 19.13% 59.01%-0.85 -4.8 11
2001-12-01 @ Floriana W 2-141.8 1434 1246 59.01% 19.13% 21.86%+0.85 +4.8 20
2001-12-02 Birkirkara D 1-154.8 1072 1395 11.77% 16.89% 71.34%-1.63 +3.0 8
2001-12-02 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-154.8 1395 1072 71.34% 16.89% 11.77%+1.63 -3.0 22
2001-12-02 Marsa W 2-038.6 1019 1061 39.62% 20.09% 40.29%-0.01 +16.3 9
2001-12-02 @ Naxxar Lions L 0-238.6 1061 1019 40.29% 20.09% 39.62%+0.01 -16.3 12
2001-12-08 Floriana W 3-137.8 1392 1241 63.36% 18.55% 18.09%+1.09 +7.0 25
2001-12-08 @ Birkirkara L 1-337.8 1241 1392 18.09% 18.55% 63.36%-1.09 -7.0 11
2001-12-08 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-146.0 1033 1075 39.59% 20.09% 40.32%-0.01 +8.2 14
2001-12-08 @ Hamrun Spartans L 1-246.0 1075 1033 40.32% 20.09% 39.59%+0.01 -8.2 8
2001-12-09 Lija Athletics W 4-021.5 1439 926 85.97% 10.86% 3.16%+3.17 +2.5 23
2001-12-09 @ Valletta L 0-421.5 926 1439 3.16% 10.86% 85.97%-3.17 -2.5 7
2001-12-09 Naxxar Lions W 3-241.5 1291 1035 72.23% 16.65% 11.12%+1.70 +2.4 26
2001-12-09 @ Hibernians L 2-341.5 1035 1291 11.12% 16.65% 72.23%-1.70 -2.4 9
2001-12-15 Birkirkara L 1-236.0 1041 1399 9.97% 16.16% 73.87%-1.83 -2.2 14
2001-12-15 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-136.0 1399 1041 73.87% 16.16% 9.97%+1.83 +2.2 28
2001-12-15 Valletta W 1-051.3 1045 1441 8.27% 15.31% 76.43%-2.05 +15.2 15
2001-12-15 @ Marsa L 0-151.3 1441 1045 76.43% 15.31% 8.27%+2.05 -15.2 23
2001-12-16 Floriana D 2-259.5 924 1234 12.46% 17.13% 70.41%-1.56 +2.2 8
2001-12-16 @ Lija Athletics D 2-259.5 1234 924 70.41% 17.13% 12.46%+1.56 -2.1 12
2001-12-16 Sliema Wanderers L 0-325.9 1067 1460 8.44% 15.41% 76.15%-2.03 -5.5 8
2001-12-16 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-025.9 1460 1067 76.15% 15.41% 8.44%+2.03 +5.5 28
2002-01-04 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-038.0 1033 1062 41.49% 20.08% 38.42%+0.06 +15.7 12
2002-01-04 @ Naxxar Lions L 0-238.0 1062 1033 38.42% 20.08% 41.49%-0.06 -15.7 8
2002-01-05 Hamrun Spartans W 3-238.8 1465 1039 82.30% 12.82% 4.88%+2.68 +1.0 31
2002-01-05 @ Sliema Wanderers L 2-338.8 1039 1465 4.88% 12.82% 82.30%-2.68 -1.0 14
2002-01-05 Hibernians D 2-261.2 1426 1293 61.62% 18.81% 19.57%+0.99 -1.5 24
2002-01-05 @ Valletta D 2-261.2 1293 1426 19.57% 18.81% 61.62%-0.99 +1.5 27
2002-01-06 Lija Athletics W 3-022.9 1401 926 84.49% 11.70% 3.81%+2.96 +2.3 31
2002-01-06 @ Birkirkara L 0-322.9 926 1401 3.81% 11.70% 84.49%-2.96 -2.3 8
2002-01-06 Marsa D 2-259.3 1232 1060 65.41% 18.20% 16.38%+1.22 -1.8 13
2002-01-06 @ Floriana D 2-259.3 1060 1232 16.38% 18.20% 65.41%-1.22 +1.8 16
2002-01-11 Lija Athletics W 5-133.0 1062 924 62.10% 18.74% 19.16%+1.02 +13.6 19
2002-01-11 @ Marsa L 1-533.0 924 1062 19.16% 18.74% 62.10%-1.02 -13.6 8
2002-01-12 Birkirkara D 1-159.1 1466 1404 53.67% 19.63% 26.70%+0.59 -1.3 32
2002-01-12 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-159.1 1404 1466 26.70% 19.63% 53.67%-0.59 +1.3 32
2002-01-12 Floriana W 2-142.3 1294 1230 53.86% 19.61% 26.52%+0.60 +5.8 30
2002-01-12 @ Hibernians L 1-242.3 1230 1294 26.52% 19.61% 53.86%-0.60 -5.8 13
2002-01-13 Naxxar Lions W 2-144.7 1038 1049 44.10% 20.05% 35.85%+0.17 +7.4 17
2002-01-13 @ Hamrun Spartans L 1-244.7 1049 1038 35.85% 20.05% 44.10%-0.17 -7.4 12
2002-01-13 Valletta D 1-155.1 1046 1425 9.02% 15.71% 75.27%-1.95 +3.3 9
2002-01-13 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-155.1 1425 1046 75.27% 15.71% 9.02%+1.95 -3.3 25
2002-01-19 Hamrun Spartans W 3-024.6 1421 1046 79.78% 13.98% 6.24%+2.39 +3.9 28
2002-01-19 @ Valletta L 0-324.6 1046 1421 6.24% 13.98% 79.78%-2.39 -3.9 17
2002-01-19 Marsa W 3-025.4 1405 1075 77.17% 15.03% 7.80%+2.12 +5.0 35
2002-01-19 @ Birkirkara L 0-325.4 1075 1405 7.80% 15.03% 77.17%-2.12 -5.0 19
2002-01-20 Hibernians L 0-424.3 910 1300 8.54% 15.46% 76.01%-2.01 -7.2 8
2002-01-20 @ Lija Athletics W 4-024.3 1300 910 76.01% 15.46% 8.54%+2.01 +7.2 33
2002-01-20 Sliema Wanderers L 1-430.4 1041 1465 7.26% 14.70% 78.04%-2.21 -3.9 12
2002-01-20 @ Naxxar Lions W 4-130.4 1465 1041 78.04% 14.70% 7.26%+2.21 +3.9 35
2002-01-26 Birkirkara L 1-628.4 1037 1410 9.28% 15.84% 74.88%-1.91 -8.0 12
2002-01-26 @ Naxxar Lions W 6-128.4 1410 1037 74.88% 15.84% 9.28%+1.91 +8.0 38
2002-01-26 Marsa W 3-242.0 1307 1070 70.88% 17.01% 12.11%+1.59 +2.6 36
2002-01-26 @ Hibernians L 2-342.0 1070 1307 12.11% 17.01% 70.88%-1.59 -2.6 19
2002-01-27 Pieta Hotspurs W 5-132.0 1225 1049 65.68% 18.15% 16.17%+1.24 +11.5 16
2002-01-27 @ Floriana L 1-532.0 1049 1225 16.17% 18.15% 65.68%-1.24 -11.5 9
2002-01-27 Valletta L 1-255.4 1469 1425 51.30% 19.78% 28.92%+0.48 -10.0 35
2002-01-27 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-155.4 1425 1469 28.92% 19.78% 51.30%-0.48 +10.0 31
2002-02-02 Hibernians D 1-156.0 1418 1310 58.94% 19.14% 21.92%+0.85 -1.8 39
2002-02-02 @ Birkirkara D 1-156.0 1310 1418 21.92% 19.14% 58.94%-0.85 +1.8 37
2002-02-02 Naxxar Lions W 5-127.6 1435 1029 81.34% 13.28% 5.38%+2.56 +3.7 34
2002-02-02 @ Valletta L 1-527.6 1029 1435 5.38% 13.28% 81.34%-2.56 -3.7 12
2002-02-03 Lija Athletics W 3-029.6 1038 903 61.80% 18.78% 19.42%+1.00 +12.6 12
2002-02-03 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-329.6 903 1038 19.42% 18.78% 61.80%-1.00 -12.6 8
2002-02-05 Floriana W 1-047.1 1042 1236 21.22% 19.05% 59.73%-0.89 +12.2 20
2002-02-05 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-147.1 1236 1042 59.73% 19.05% 21.22%+0.89 -12.2 16
2002-02-16 Hamrun Spartans L 1-241.0 890 1054 24.32% 19.42% 56.27%-0.71 -5.3 8
2002-02-16 @ Lija Athletics W 2-141.0 1054 890 56.27% 19.42% 24.32%+0.71 +5.3 23
2002-02-16 Pieta Hotspurs L 2-353.4 1068 1051 47.86% 19.94% 32.19%+0.33 -8.9 19
2002-02-16 @ Marsa W 3-253.4 1051 1068 32.19% 19.94% 47.86%-0.33 +8.9 15
2002-02-17 Birkirkara D 0-055.0 1439 1416 48.61% 19.91% 31.47%+0.36 -0.9 35
2002-02-17 @ Valletta D 0-055.0 1416 1439 31.47% 19.91% 48.61%-0.36 +0.9 40
2002-02-17 Sliema Wanderers W 2-046.8 1224 1459 17.70% 18.48% 63.82%-1.12 +24.5 19
2002-02-17 @ Floriana L 0-246.8 1459 1224 63.82% 18.48% 17.70%+1.12 -24.5 35
2002-02-23 Floriana L 0-329.4 1026 1248 18.68% 18.66% 62.66%-1.05 -12.2 12
2002-02-23 @ Naxxar Lions W 3-029.4 1248 1026 62.66% 18.66% 18.68%+1.05 +12.2 22
2002-02-23 Marsa L 2-352.7 1059 1059 45.61% 20.02% 34.37%+0.23 -8.6 23
2002-02-23 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-252.7 1059 1059 34.37% 20.02% 45.61%-0.23 +8.6 22
2002-02-24 Hibernians L 0-133.9 1059 1312 16.33% 18.19% 65.48%-1.22 -3.9 15
2002-02-24 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 1-033.9 1312 1059 65.48% 18.19% 16.33%+1.22 +3.9 40
2002-02-24 Lija Athletics W 7-022.2 1434 885 87.30% 10.07% 2.62%+3.39 +3.4 38
2002-02-24 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-722.2 885 1434 2.62% 10.07% 87.30%-3.39 -3.4 8

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-03-02 Floriana L 1-254.2 1417 1261 63.92% 18.46% 17.62%+1.13 -12.2 0
2002-03-02 @ Birkirkara W 2-154.2 1261 1417 17.62% 18.46% 63.92%-1.13 +12.2 3
2002-03-02 Hibernians D 1-156.5 1438 1316 60.49% 18.96% 20.56%+0.93 -1.9 1
2002-03-02 @ Valletta D 1-156.5 1316 1438 20.56% 18.96% 60.49%-0.93 +1.9 1
2002-03-03 Hamrun Spartans W 4-023.4 1438 1051 80.38% 13.72% 5.90%+2.45 +4.9 3
2002-03-03 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-423.4 1051 1438 5.90% 13.72% 80.38%-2.45 -4.9 0
2002-03-03 Pieta Hotspurs L 1-248.0 1067 1056 47.14% 19.97% 32.89%+0.30 -9.3 0
2002-03-03 @ Marsa W 2-148.0 1056 1067 32.89% 19.97% 47.14%-0.30 +9.3 3
2002-03-09 Floriana L 0-247.3 1436 1273 64.57% 18.35% 17.08%+1.17 -24.7 1
2002-03-09 @ Valletta W 2-047.3 1273 1436 17.08% 18.35% 64.57%-1.17 +24.7 6
2002-03-09 Sliema Wanderers W 4-254.4 1318 1443 28.66% 19.77% 51.57%-0.49 +15.6 4
2002-03-09 @ Hibernians L 2-454.4 1443 1318 51.57% 19.77% 28.66%+0.49 -15.6 3
2002-03-10 Birkirkara L 0-425.2 1046 1405 9.90% 16.13% 73.97%-1.84 -8.4 0
2002-03-10 @ Hamrun Spartans W 4-025.2 1405 1046 73.97% 16.13% 9.90%+1.84 +8.4 3
2002-03-10 Naxxar Lions D 2-258.7 882 1013 27.84% 19.71% 52.44%-0.53 +0.8 1
2002-03-10 @ Lija Athletics D 2-258.7 1013 882 52.44% 19.71% 27.84%+0.53 -0.9 1
2002-03-16 Hibernians L 0-229.8 1037 1333 13.34% 17.41% 69.25%-1.47 -6.0 0
2002-03-16 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-029.8 1333 1037 69.25% 17.41% 13.34%+1.47 +6.0 7
2002-03-16 Valletta D 1-157.7 1413 1411 45.80% 20.01% 34.19%+0.24 -0.5 4
2002-03-16 @ Birkirkara D 1-157.7 1411 1413 34.19% 20.01% 45.80%-0.24 +0.5 2
2002-03-17 Marsa D 1-153.5 1013 1058 39.13% 20.09% 40.79%-0.03 +0.1 2
2002-03-17 @ Naxxar Lions D 1-153.5 1058 1013 40.79% 20.09% 39.13%+0.03 -0.1 1
2002-03-17 Sliema Wanderers L 0-334.8 1298 1427 28.13% 19.73% 52.13%-0.52 -17.6 6
2002-03-17 @ Floriana W 3-034.8 1427 1298 52.13% 19.73% 28.13%+0.52 +17.6 6
2002-03-23 Birkirkara D 2-263.8 1445 1413 49.80% 19.86% 30.34%+0.41 -0.7 7
2002-03-23 @ Sliema Wanderers D 2-263.8 1413 1445 30.34% 19.86% 49.80%-0.41 +0.7 5
2002-03-23 Floriana W 3-140.7 1339 1280 53.28% 19.66% 27.07%+0.57 +10.2 10
2002-03-23 @ Hibernians L 1-340.7 1280 1339 27.07% 19.66% 53.28%-0.57 -10.2 6
2002-03-24 Hamrun Spartans W 1-029.6 1412 1031 80.04% 13.87% 6.09%+2.42 +1.4 5
2002-03-24 @ Valletta L 0-129.6 1031 1412 6.09% 13.87% 80.04%-2.42 -1.4 0
2002-03-24 Lija Athletics W 2-030.5 1065 882 66.33% 18.03% 15.64%+1.28 +7.1 6
2002-03-24 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-230.5 882 1065 15.64% 18.03% 66.33%-1.28 -7.1 1
2002-03-30 Hibernians L 1-350.5 1413 1349 53.86% 19.61% 26.53%+0.60 -18.1 5
2002-03-30 @ Birkirkara W 3-150.5 1349 1413 26.53% 19.61% 53.86%-0.60 +18.1 13
2002-03-30 Lija Athletics W 4-027.2 1058 875 66.34% 18.03% 15.63%+1.28 +13.4 4
2002-03-30 @ Marsa L 0-427.2 875 1058 15.63% 18.03% 66.34%-1.28 -13.4 1
2002-03-31 Floriana L 0-231.2 1030 1270 17.28% 18.39% 64.33%-1.15 -7.8 0
2002-03-31 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-031.2 1270 1030 64.33% 18.39% 17.28%+1.15 +7.8 9
2002-03-31 Naxxar Lions W 2-141.9 1072 1013 53.28% 19.66% 27.06%+0.57 +5.9 9
2002-03-31 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-241.9 1013 1072 27.06% 19.66% 53.28%-0.57 -5.9 2
2002-03-31 Valletta W 2-148.1 1444 1413 49.64% 19.87% 30.49%+0.40 +6.5 10
2002-03-31 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-248.1 1413 1444 30.49% 19.87% 49.64%-0.40 -6.5 5
2002-04-06 Birkirkara D 1-155.1 1278 1395 29.53% 19.82% 50.65%-0.45 +1.0 10
2002-04-06 @ Floriana D 1-155.1 1395 1278 50.65% 19.82% 29.53%+0.45 -1.0 6
2002-04-07 Sliema Wanderers L 0-227.3 1022 1450 7.10% 14.60% 78.30%-2.23 -3.1 0
2002-04-07 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-027.3 1450 1022 78.30% 14.60% 7.10%+2.23 +3.1 13
2002-04-07 Valletta L 2-451.3 1368 1407 40.00% 20.09% 39.91%+0.00 -12.6 13
2002-04-07 @ Hibernians W 4-251.3 1407 1368 39.91% 20.09% 40.00%+0.00 +12.6 8
2002-04-13 Birkirkara W 1-050.8 1019 1394 9.16% 15.78% 75.06%-1.93 +15.0 3
2002-04-13 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-150.8 1394 1019 75.06% 15.78% 9.16%+1.93 -15.0 6
2002-04-13 Valletta W 1-047.2 1279 1419 26.81% 19.64% 53.55%-0.58 +11.0 13
2002-04-13 @ Floriana L 0-147.2 1419 1279 53.55% 19.64% 26.81%+0.58 -11.0 8
2002-04-14 Hibernians L 1-352.6 1454 1355 57.90% 19.26% 22.85%+0.79 -19.3 13
2002-04-14 @ Sliema Wanderers W 3-152.6 1355 1454 22.85% 19.26% 57.90%-0.79 +19.3 16
2002-04-14 Marsa W 2-144.0 1078 1071 46.43% 19.99% 33.58%+0.27 +7.0 12
2002-04-14 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-244.0 1071 1078 33.58% 19.99% 46.43%-0.27 -7.0 4
2002-04-20 Hamrun Spartans W 4-024.0 1374 1034 77.80% 14.79% 7.41%+2.18 +6.2 19
2002-04-20 @ Hibernians L 0-424.0 1034 1374 7.41% 14.79% 77.80%-2.18 -6.2 3
2002-04-20 Lija Athletics W 6-028.8 1007 862 62.78% 18.64% 18.58%+1.06 +23.2 5
2002-04-20 @ Naxxar Lions L 0-628.8 862 1007 18.58% 18.64% 62.78%-1.06 -23.1 1
2002-04-21 Birkirkara L 1-252.0 1408 1379 49.45% 19.88% 30.68%+0.40 -9.7 8
2002-04-21 @ Valletta W 2-152.0 1379 1408 30.68% 19.88% 49.45%-0.40 +9.7 9
2002-04-21 Floriana W 3-246.4 1434 1290 62.75% 18.64% 18.61%+1.06 +4.0 16
2002-04-21 @ Sliema Wanderers L 2-346.4 1290 1434 18.61% 18.64% 62.75%-1.06 -4.0 13
2002-04-27 Lija Athletics L 0-149.8 1085 839 71.54% 16.84% 11.62%+1.64 -14.4 12
2002-04-27 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 1-049.8 839 1085 11.62% 16.84% 71.54%-1.64 +14.4 4
2002-04-27 Valletta D 1-155.0 1028 1399 9.36% 15.88% 74.77%-1.90 +3.3 4
2002-04-27 @ Hamrun Spartans D 1-155.0 1399 1028 74.77% 15.88% 9.36%+1.90 -3.3 9
2002-04-28 Hibernians L 0-237.7 1286 1380 32.40% 19.95% 47.65%-0.32 -13.7 13
2002-04-28 @ Floriana W 2-037.7 1380 1286 47.65% 19.95% 32.40%+0.32 +13.7 22
2002-04-28 Naxxar Lions W 2-142.8 1064 1030 50.13% 19.84% 30.02%+0.43 +6.4 7
2002-04-28 @ Marsa L 1-242.8 1030 1064 30.02% 19.84% 50.13%-0.43 -6.4 5
2002-04-29 Sliema Wanderers D 0-054.2 1389 1438 38.60% 20.08% 41.31%-0.05 +0.1 10
2002-04-29 @ Birkirkara D 0-054.2 1438 1389 41.31% 20.08% 38.60%+0.05 -0.1 17
2002-05-03 Hamrun Spartans D 1-154.5 1272 1031 71.17% 16.94% 11.90%+1.61 -3.0 14
2002-05-03 @ Floriana D 1-154.5 1031 1272 11.90% 16.94% 71.17%-1.61 +3.0 5
2002-05-03 Marsa W 4-147.6 853 1071 19.15% 18.74% 62.11%-1.02 +29.2 7
2002-05-03 @ Lija Athletics L 1-447.6 1071 853 62.11% 18.74% 19.15%+1.02 -29.2 7
2002-05-04 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-146.2 1023 1070 38.92% 20.09% 41.00%-0.04 +8.3 8
2002-05-04 @ Naxxar Lions L 1-246.2 1070 1023 41.00% 20.09% 38.92%+0.04 -8.3 12
2002-05-04 Sliema Wanderers W 1-045.9 1395 1438 39.54% 20.09% 40.38%-0.02 +8.7 12
2002-05-04 @ Valletta L 0-145.9 1438 1395 40.38% 20.09% 39.54%+0.02 -8.7 17
2002-05-05 Birkirkara D 2-261.9 1394 1389 46.23% 20.00% 33.77%+0.26 -0.4 23
2002-05-05 @ Hibernians D 2-261.9 1389 1394 33.77% 20.00% 46.23%-0.26 +0.4 11

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2001-12-15 8.27% @ Marsa 1045 1 Valletta 1441 0
2 2002-04-13 9.16% @ Hamrun Spartans 1019 1 Birkirkara 1394 0
3 2002-04-27 11.62% Lija Athletics 839 1 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1085 0
4 2001-10-21 12.03% Floriana 1229 1 @ Sliema Wanderers 1468 0
5 2002-03-09 17.08% Floriana 1273 2 @ Valletta 1436 0
6 2002-03-02 17.62% Floriana 1261 2 @ Birkirkara 1417 1
7 2002-02-17 17.70% @ Floriana 1224 2 Sliema Wanderers 1459 0
8 2002-05-03 19.15% @ Lija Athletics 853 4 Marsa 1071 1
9 2002-02-05 21.22% @ Hamrun Spartans 1042 1 Floriana 1236 0
10 2001-09-30 21.49% @ Pieta Hotspurs 1057 3 Floriana 1248 1
11 2002-04-14 22.85% Hibernians 1355 3 @ Sliema Wanderers 1454 1
12 2001-08-25 23.32% Hamrun Spartans 1003 3 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1097 0
13 2001-09-14 23.53% @ Hibernians 1278 5 Valletta 1449 4
14 2001-08-26 23.93% @ Hibernians 1260 2 Sliema Wanderers 1427 1
15 2001-10-14 24.13% @ Lija Athletics 911 2 Pieta Hotspurs 1077 1
16 2002-03-30 26.53% Hibernians 1349 3 @ Birkirkara 1413 1
17 2002-04-13 26.81% @ Floriana 1279 1 Valletta 1419 0
18 2002-03-09 28.66% @ Hibernians 1318 4 Sliema Wanderers 1443 2
19 2002-01-27 28.92% Valletta 1425 2 @ Sliema Wanderers 1469 1
20 2001-09-22 30.04% Hamrun Spartans 1029 4 @ Naxxar Lions 1063 2
21 2001-11-25 30.33% @ Lija Athletics 917 3 Naxxar Lions 1028 2
22 2002-04-21 30.68% Birkirkara 1379 2 @ Valletta 1408 1
23 2002-02-16 32.19% Pieta Hotspurs 1051 3 @ Marsa 1068 2
24 2002-03-03 32.89% Pieta Hotspurs 1056 2 @ Marsa 1067 1
25 2001-09-15 33.29% Naxxar Lions 1054 1 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1062 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-08-25 32.18 Hamrun Spartans 3 1003 23.32% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1097 57.37% 19.31%
2 2002-05-03 29.22 @ Lija Athletics 4 853 19.15% Marsa 1 1071 62.11% 18.74%
3 2001-10-12 26.77 Sliema Wanderers 3 1432 33.34% @ Valletta 0 1441 46.68% 19.99%
4 2002-03-09 24.74 Floriana 2 1273 17.08% @ Valletta 0 1436 64.57% 18.35%
5 2002-02-17 24.47 @ Floriana 2 1224 17.70% Sliema Wanderers 0 1459 63.82% 18.48%
6 2002-04-20 23.15 @ Naxxar Lions 6 1007 62.78% Lija Athletics 0 862 18.58% 18.64%
7 2001-09-30 19.82 @ Pieta Hotspurs 3 1057 21.49% Floriana 1 1248 59.42% 19.09%
8 2002-04-14 19.35 Hibernians 3 1355 22.85% @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1454 57.90% 19.26%
9 2002-03-30 18.11 Hibernians 3 1349 26.53% @ Birkirkara 1 1413 53.86% 19.61%
10 2002-03-17 17.60 Sliema Wanderers 3 1427 52.13% @ Floriana 0 1298 28.13% 19.73%
11 2001-12-02 16.33 @ Naxxar Lions 2 1019 39.62% Marsa 0 1061 40.29% 20.09%
12 2002-01-04 15.71 @ Naxxar Lions 2 1033 41.49% Pieta Hotspurs 0 1062 38.42% 20.08%
13 2002-03-09 15.58 @ Hibernians 4 1318 28.66% Sliema Wanderers 2 1443 51.57% 19.77%
14 2001-11-24 15.30 Valletta 3 1419 35.59% @ Birkirkara 1 1410 44.37% 20.04%
15 2001-12-15 15.25 @ Marsa 1 1045 8.27% Valletta 0 1441 76.43% 15.31%
16 2001-09-22 15.19 Hamrun Spartans 4 1029 30.04% @ Naxxar Lions 2 1063 50.11% 19.85%
17 2002-04-13 15.02 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1019 9.16% Birkirkara 0 1394 75.06% 15.78%
18 2001-11-28 14.42 @ Marsa 2 1047 45.39% Hamrun Spartans 0 1048 34.59% 20.02%
19 2002-04-27 14.42 Lija Athletics 1 839 11.62% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1085 71.54% 16.84%
20 2001-10-21 14.32 Floriana 1 1229 12.03% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1468 70.99% 16.98%
21 2001-10-20 14.28 @ Pieta Hotspurs 2 1066 45.82% Marsa 0 1064 34.17% 20.01%
22 2002-04-28 13.66 Hibernians 2 1380 47.65% @ Floriana 0 1286 32.40% 19.95%
23 2002-01-11 13.56 @ Marsa 5 1062 62.10% Lija Athletics 1 924 19.16% 18.74%
24 2002-03-30 13.40 @ Marsa 4 1058 66.34% Lija Athletics 0 875 15.63% 18.03%
25 2002-02-03 12.61 @ Pieta Hotspurs 3 1038 61.80% Lija Athletics 0 903 19.42% 18.78%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-09-09 65.6 @ Valletta 3 1452 80.84% Marsa 3 1056 5.65% 13.51%
2 2002-03-23 63.8 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1445 49.80% Birkirkara 2 1413 30.34% 19.86%
3 2001-09-14 63.5 @ Hibernians 5 1278 23.53% Valletta 4 1449 57.14% 19.33%
4 2002-05-05 61.9 @ Hibernians 2 1394 46.23% Birkirkara 2 1389 33.77% 20.00%
5 2002-01-05 61.2 @ Valletta 2 1426 61.62% Hibernians 2 1293 19.57% 18.81%
6 2001-12-16 59.5 @ Lija Athletics 2 924 12.46% Floriana 2 1234 70.41% 17.13%
7 2001-10-13 59.3 @ Marsa 2 1062 17.20% Hibernians 2 1303 64.43% 18.37%
8 2002-01-06 59.3 @ Floriana 2 1232 65.41% Marsa 2 1060 16.38% 18.20%
9 2002-01-12 59.1 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1466 53.67% Birkirkara 1 1404 26.70% 19.63%
10 2002-03-10 58.7 @ Lija Athletics 2 882 27.84% Naxxar Lions 2 1013 52.44% 19.71%
11 2002-03-16 57.7 @ Birkirkara 1 1413 45.80% Valletta 1 1411 34.19% 20.01%
12 2002-03-02 56.5 @ Valletta 1 1438 60.49% Hibernians 1 1316 20.56% 18.96%
13 2002-02-02 56.0 @ Birkirkara 1 1418 58.94% Hibernians 1 1310 21.92% 19.14%
14 2002-01-27 55.4 Valletta 2 1425 28.92% @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1469 51.30% 19.78%
15 2002-01-13 55.1 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 1046 9.02% Valletta 1 1425 75.27% 15.71%
16 2002-04-06 55.1 @ Floriana 1 1278 29.53% Birkirkara 1 1395 50.65% 19.82%
17 2002-02-17 55.0 @ Valletta 0 1439 48.61% Birkirkara 0 1416 31.47% 19.91%
18 2002-04-27 55.0 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1028 9.36% Valletta 1 1399 74.77% 15.88%
19 2001-12-02 54.8 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 1072 11.77% Birkirkara 1 1395 71.34% 16.89%
20 2001-11-24 54.6 @ Hibernians 1 1302 72.37% Hamrun Spartans 1 1045 11.03% 16.61%
21 2002-05-03 54.5 @ Floriana 1 1272 71.17% Hamrun Spartans 1 1031 11.90% 16.94%
22 2002-03-09 54.4 @ Hibernians 4 1318 28.66% Sliema Wanderers 2 1443 51.57% 19.77%
23 2002-03-02 54.2 Floriana 2 1261 17.62% @ Birkirkara 1 1417 63.92% 18.46%
24 2002-04-29 54.2 @ Birkirkara 0 1389 38.60% Sliema Wanderers 0 1438 41.31% 20.08%
25 2001-09-16 53.9 @ Marsa 1 1058 20.65% Floriana 1 1259 60.38% 18.97%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2001-12-09 21.5 @ Valletta 4 1439 85.97% Lija Athletics 0 926 3.16% 10.86%
2 2002-02-24 22.2 @ Sliema Wanderers 7 1434 87.30% Lija Athletics 0 885 2.62% 10.07%
3 2002-01-06 22.9 @ Birkirkara 3 1401 84.49% Lija Athletics 0 926 3.81% 11.70%
4 2001-09-29 23.2 @ Hibernians 5 1297 79.78% Lija Athletics 0 921 6.23% 13.98%
5 2002-03-03 23.4 @ Sliema Wanderers 4 1438 80.38% Hamrun Spartans 0 1051 5.90% 13.72%
6 2001-10-09 23.7 @ Birkirkara 5 1400 79.00% Hamrun Spartans 0 1039 6.69% 14.31%
7 2001-09-29 24.0 @ Sliema Wanderers 6 1425 79.82% Naxxar Lions 0 1048 6.21% 13.96%
8 2002-04-20 24.0 @ Hibernians 4 1374 77.80% Hamrun Spartans 0 1034 7.41% 14.79%
9 2002-01-20 24.3 Hibernians 4 1300 76.01% @ Lija Athletics 0 910 8.54% 15.46%
10 2002-01-19 24.6 @ Valletta 3 1421 79.78% Hamrun Spartans 0 1046 6.24% 13.98%
11 2002-03-10 25.2 Birkirkara 4 1405 73.97% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 1046 9.90% 16.13%
12 2002-01-19 25.4 @ Birkirkara 3 1405 77.17% Marsa 0 1075 7.80% 15.03%
13 2001-09-28 25.7 Valletta 3 1435 76.04% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 1044 8.51% 15.44%
14 2001-08-25 25.8 Valletta 2 1450 82.89% @ Lija Athletics 0 932 4.58% 12.53%
15 2001-12-16 25.9 Sliema Wanderers 3 1460 76.15% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1067 8.44% 15.41%
16 2002-03-30 27.2 @ Marsa 4 1058 66.34% Lija Athletics 0 875 15.63% 18.03%
17 2002-04-07 27.3 Sliema Wanderers 2 1450 78.30% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 1022 7.10% 14.60%
18 2002-02-02 27.6 @ Valletta 5 1435 81.34% Naxxar Lions 1 1029 5.38% 13.28%
19 2001-10-13 28.1 @ Birkirkara 5 1407 79.27% Naxxar Lions 1 1041 6.53% 14.20%
20 2002-01-26 28.4 Birkirkara 6 1410 74.88% @ Naxxar Lions 1 1037 9.28% 15.84%
21 2002-04-20 28.8 @ Naxxar Lions 6 1007 62.78% Lija Athletics 0 862 18.58% 18.64%
22 2001-09-15 29.3 Sliema Wanderers 5 1419 75.56% @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1036 8.83% 15.61%
23 2001-09-16 29.4 Birkirkara 4 1393 80.21% @ Lija Athletics 1 930 5.99% 13.80%
24 2002-02-23 29.4 Floriana 3 1248 62.66% @ Naxxar Lions 0 1026 18.68% 18.66%
25 2002-02-03 29.6 @ Pieta Hotspurs 3 1038 61.80% Lija Athletics 0 903 19.42% 18.78%