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2002-03 Maltese Premier League Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Sliema Wanderers

44 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sliema Wanderers

6.21 points above expected

44 points · 37.79 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Floriana

5.98 points below expected

20 points · 25.98 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sliema Wanderers 18 14 2 2 44 51 16 +35 37.79 +6.21
2 Birkirkara 18 13 1 4 40 46 26 +20 34.06 +5.94
3 Valletta 18 12 1 5 37 42 18 +24 35.32 +1.68
4 Hibernians 18 9 3 6 30 35 26 +9 34.36 -4.36
5 Pieta Hotspurs 18 6 5 7 23 19 22 -3 20.48 +2.52
6 Marsaxlokk 18 7 0 11 21 27 38 -11 20.30 +0.70
7 Floriana 18 6 2 10 20 24 31 -7 25.98 -5.98
8 Hamrun Spartans 18 5 2 11 17 25 40 -15 17.58 -0.58
9 Marsa 18 4 4 10 16 25 45 -20 16.54 -0.54
10 Mosta 18 2 4 12 10 14 46 -32 11.72 -1.72
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sliema Wanderers 10 6 2 2 20 19 12 +7 41.55 -21.55
2 Birkirkara 10 5 2 3 17 18 10 +8 36.90 -19.90
3 Hibernians 10 5 2 3 17 18 10 +8 30.80 -13.80
4 Valletta 10 4 4 2 16 15 13 +2 36.49 -20.49
5 Hamrun Spartans 6 3 3 0 12 7 3 +4 17.50 -5.50
6 Floriana 6 2 4 0 10 10 3 +7 22.26 -12.26
7 Marsa 6 2 2 2 8 8 8 0 16.56 -8.56
8 Pieta Hotspurs 10 1 4 5 7 8 21 -13 19.60 -12.60
9 Marsaxlokk 10 1 2 7 5 7 19 -12 18.29 -13.29
10 Mosta 6 0 1 5 1 3 14 -11 9.47 -8.47

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sliema Wanderers 44 37.79 +6.21
2 Birkirkara 40 34.06 +5.94
3 Pieta Hotspurs 23 20.48 +2.52
4 Valletta 37 35.32 +1.68
5 Marsaxlokk 21 20.30 +0.70

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Floriana 20 25.98 -5.98
2 Hibernians 30 34.36 -4.36
3 Mosta 10 11.72 -1.72
4 Hamrun Spartans 17 17.58 -0.58
5 Marsa 16 16.54 -0.54

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Birkirkara 7 Dec 10 – Jan 25 1 in 44
2 Marsaxlokk 2 Nov 12 – Dec 3 1 in 17
3 Hamrun Spartans 2 Dec 11 – Dec 14 1 in 16
4 Mosta 1 Sep 15 – Sep 15 1 in 13
5 Sliema Wanderers 5 Sep 11 – Oct 5 1 in 10

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernians 2 Sep 15 – Sep 23 1 in 31
2 Floriana 3 Aug 25 – Sep 16 1 in 16
3 Mosta 6 Dec 20 – Jan 30 1 in 10
4 Hamrun Spartans 5 Sep 14 – Oct 20 1 in 10
5 Marsaxlokk 4 Aug 25 – Sep 21 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mosta 3 Oct 26 – Dec 3 1 in 41
2 Pieta Hotspurs 6 Sep 14 – Oct 27 1 in 33
3 Birkirkara 9 Nov 3 – Jan 25 1 in 14
4 Marsaxlokk 2 Nov 12 – Dec 3 1 in 5
5 Floriana 4 Sep 22 – Oct 20 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernians 4 Dec 10 – Jan 4 1 in 71
2 Pieta Hotspurs 6 Oct 27 – Dec 22 1 in 11
3 Hamrun Spartans 7 Aug 31 – Oct 27 1 in 10
4 Marsa 8 Sep 28 – Dec 15 1 in 10
5 Mosta 10 Nov 13 – Jan 30 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Sliema Wanderers 1459 64 -26 7 10.1 -3.1
Birkirkara 1404 57 +3 10 8.8 +1.2
Valletta 1413 53 +37 13 8.4 +4.6
Hibernians 1386 47 +26 10 7.8 +2.2
Floriana 1249 30 +12 9 10.3 -1.3
Pieta Hotspurs 1135 30 -27 1 3.7 -2.7
Hamrun Spartans 1125 29 +15 11 7.8 +3.2
Marsaxlokk 1130 26 -13 1 3.6 -2.6
Marsa 1106 24 -7 5 6.7 -1.7
Mosta 934 11 -20 1 3.4 -2.4

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BIR FLO HS HIB MAR MAR MOS PH SW VAL
Birkirkara —
1-0-1
3.82
2-0-0
4.64
1-0-1
2.87
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
4.40
2-0-0
5.04
2-0-0
4.38
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.65
Floriana
1-0-1
1.80
 —
0-0-2
4.02
1-0-1
1.86
1-0-1
4.06
2-0-0
3.61
1-0-1
4.61
0-2-0
3.61
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-2
1.62
Hamrun Spartans
0-0-2
1.05
2-0-0
1.62
 —
0-0-2
1.15
0-0-2
3.01
1-0-1
2.44
1-1-0
3.73
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
0.91
1-0-1
1.03
Hibernians
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
3.76
2-0-0
4.52
 —
0-2-0
4.63
1-0-1
4.41
0-1-1
5.05
2-0-0
4.33
2-0-0
2.25
0-0-2
2.62
Marsa
0-0-2
1.14
1-0-1
1.58
2-0-0
2.58
0-2-0
1.06
 —
0-0-2
2.44
1-1-0
3.62
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
0.87
0-0-2
1.01
Marsaxlokk
0-0-2
1.26
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
1.25
2-0-0
3.16
 —
2-0-0
3.98
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-2
1.13
0-0-2
1.19
Mosta
0-0-2
0.71
1-0-1
1.07
0-1-1
1.89
1-1-0
0.70
0-1-1
1.99
0-0-2
1.65
 —
0-0-2
1.65
0-0-2
0.62
0-1-1
0.68
Pieta Hotspurs
0-0-2
1.28
0-2-0
2.00
1-1-0
3.30
0-0-2
1.32
1-1-0
3.23
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
3.98
 —
0-1-1
1.17
1-0-1
1.22
Sliema Wanderers
1-1-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.99
2-0-0
4.80
0-0-2
3.36
2-0-0
4.84
2-0-0
4.55
2-0-0
5.15
1-1-0
4.51
 —
2-0-0
2.96
Valletta
1-0-1
2.94
2-0-0
4.01
1-0-1
4.66
2-0-0
2.98
2-0-0
4.69
2-0-0
4.48
1-1-0
5.07
1-0-1
4.44
0-0-2
2.64
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.91 +8.9
Allowed 0.76 -9.0
Differential 0.98 +5.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.44%6.06%4.55%1.52%3.03%27.65%
16.44%6.82%5.30%4.92%1.89%0.76%26.14%
26.06%5.30%5.30%3.41%0.76%1.52%22.35%
34.55%4.92%3.41%0.76%—0.38%14.02%
41.52%1.89%0.76%———4.17%
5+3.03%0.76%1.52%0.38%——5.68%
Total27.65%26.14%22.35%14.02%4.17%5.68%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.59 +0.00
SD 1.46 1.46 2.29
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
17.14%—3.57%7.14%——17.86%
27.14%7.14%—3.57%——17.86%
37.14%10.71%7.14%3.57%——28.57%
4—3.57%7.14%———10.71%
5+3.57%—3.57%———7.14%
Total32.14%25.00%25.00%17.86%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.29 1.29 +1.00
SD 1.76 1.12 2.09
CV 0.77 0.87 —
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%4.17%———29.17%
14.17%12.50%4.17%8.33%4.17%—33.33%
24.17%4.17%—4.17%—4.17%16.67%
34.17%4.17%4.17%———12.50%
4—4.17%————4.17%
5+—4.17%————4.17%
Total25.00%41.67%12.50%12.50%4.17%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.42 +0.00
SD 1.38 1.35 1.87
CV 0.97 0.95 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%—8.33%4.17%—4.17%20.83%
112.50%12.50%4.17%—4.17%—33.33%
24.17%8.33%4.17%16.67%4.17%—37.50%
3—8.33%————8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.83%29.17%16.67%20.83%8.33%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.79 -0.46
SD 0.92 1.44 1.77
CV 0.69 0.81 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%7.14%3.57%3.57%——17.86%
17.14%3.57%10.71%3.57%——25.00%
210.71%3.57%10.71%——3.57%28.57%
37.14%—7.14%———14.29%
43.57%3.57%————7.14%
5+3.57%—3.57%———7.14%
Total35.71%17.86%35.71%7.14%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.29 +0.61
SD 1.45 1.24 2.06
CV 0.77 0.97 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%8.33%4.17%4.17%—12.50%33.33%
14.17%8.33%4.17%8.33%—4.17%29.17%
2—4.17%12.50%4.17%——20.83%
3—4.17%4.17%———8.33%
4———————
5+4.17%4.17%————8.33%
Total12.50%29.17%25.00%16.67%—16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 2.21 -0.83
SD 1.47 1.77 2.71
CV 1.07 0.80 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%14.29%7.14%7.14%—35.71%
17.14%7.14%3.57%10.71%3.57%—32.14%
23.57%3.57%—3.57%3.57%—14.29%
33.57%3.57%———3.57%10.71%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+———————
Total14.29%28.57%17.86%21.43%14.29%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 2.04 -0.82
SD 1.26 1.43 2.09
CV 1.04 0.70 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%8.33%8.33%16.67%8.33%4.17%50.00%
1—8.33%4.17%8.33%8.33%4.17%33.33%
2—4.17%8.33%———12.50%
3—4.17%————4.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total4.17%25.00%20.83%25.00%16.67%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.71 2.50 -1.79
SD 0.86 1.38 1.79
CV 1.21 0.55 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%14.29%3.57%3.57%—10.71%42.86%
17.14%10.71%10.71%———28.57%
27.14%—10.71%———17.86%
33.57%—7.14%———10.71%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%25.00%32.14%3.57%—10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.54 -0.57
SD 1.04 1.50 1.99
CV 1.07 0.98 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%—7.14%———10.71%
110.71%—————10.71%
27.14%7.14%7.14%3.57%—3.57%28.57%
314.29%10.71%3.57%3.57%——32.14%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+10.71%—3.57%———14.29%
Total50.00%17.86%21.43%7.14%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.00 +1.50
SD 1.45 1.28 2.08
CV 0.58 1.28 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.71%3.57%3.57%3.57%——21.43%
13.57%7.14%7.14%3.57%——21.43%
214.29%10.71%———3.57%28.57%
33.57%3.57%————7.14%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+7.14%—3.57%3.57%——14.29%
Total46.43%25.00%14.29%10.71%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.04 1.11 +0.93
SD 1.75 1.55 2.43
CV 0.86 1.40 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sliema Wanderers 1459 44 37.79 +6.21 91.0% 24 29 34 37 41 47 49
Valletta 1413 37 35.32 +1.68 65.0% 23 27 31 35 39 44 46
Birkirkara 1404 40 34.06 +5.94 89.0% 20 24 30 34 38 42 47
Hibernians 1386 30 34.36 -4.36 22.0% 25 26 31 34 38 43 46
Floriana 1249 20 25.98 -5.98 18.0% 13 18 22 26 29 36 41
Pieta Hotspurs 1135 23 20.48 +2.52 74.0% 10 12 17 20 24 31 34
Marsaxlokk 1130 21 20.30 +0.70 62.0% 8 11 17 20 23 29 40
Hamrun Spartans 1125 17 17.58 -0.58 44.0% 7 9 15 18 20 25 30
Marsa 1106 16 16.54 -0.54 51.0% 4 8 13 16 20 25 30
Mosta 934 10 11.72 -1.72 38.0% 2 4 9 12 14 18 23

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-8.33%
No Edge
36.36%18.94%44.70%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -29.02 Elo pts.
159 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.22 goals
Road-Tilted
-2-0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
38%
Sliema Wanderers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.22/gm
Comfortable
00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.14 * Some Luck: 4.14 to 6.21 * Lucky: 6.21 to 8.28 * Wild Swing: 8.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.92 * Close: 0.92 to 1.38 * Off: 1.38 to 1.85 * Way Off: 1.85 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.75 points
As Expected
05.1713
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.152.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
91.00%
Sliema Wanderers
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
18.00%
Floriana
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Top-Heavy
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 165.08
1.96
Moderate Separation
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
83%
Clear Edge
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
95%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
49%
Few
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
27%
Very Frequent
0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.52
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.52
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.93
Near-Lock
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.28 * Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.95
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.15
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.090
Well Within Noise
00.1400.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Sliema Wanderers38.00%35.00%18.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%————
Birkirkara15.00%19.00%26.00%27.00%10.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%——
Valletta30.00%17.00%27.00%16.00%10.00%—————
Hibernians15.00%23.00%19.00%30.00%11.00%2.00%————
Pieta Hotspurs——2.00%5.00%18.00%12.00%23.00%21.00%13.00%6.00%
Marsaxlokk—2.00%—1.00%11.00%26.00%25.00%19.00%10.00%6.00%
Floriana2.00%4.00%7.00%15.00%31.00%24.00%10.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%
Hamrun Spartans————5.00%18.00%18.00%26.00%19.00%14.00%
Marsa——1.00%—2.00%14.00%18.00%17.00%32.00%16.00%
Mosta—————2.00%5.00%11.00%25.00%57.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Floriana 98.00% 2.00%
Marsaxlokk 85.00% 15.00%
Pieta Hotspurs 78.00% 22.00%
Hamrun Spartans 70.00% 30.00%
Marsa 64.00% 36.00%
Mosta 5.00% 95.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that fixed the regular-season standings and projected only the promotion/relegation playoff, each participating team's chance of going up versus staying at this level.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff
Birkirkara 100% —
Hibernians 100% —
Marsaxlokk 100% —
Pieta Hotspurs 100% —
Sliema Wanderers 100% —
Valletta 100% —
Floriana 93.86% 6.14%
Hamrun Spartans 60.53% 39.47%
Marsa 43.37% 56.63%
Mosta 2.24% 97.76%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-08-24 Birkirkara L 0-627.7 1128 1373 14.41% 16.50% 69.09%-1.72 -11.6 0
2002-08-24 @ Marsa W 6-027.7 1373 1128 69.09% 16.50% 14.41%+1.72 +11.6 3
2002-08-24 Sliema Wanderers D 2-261.4 1140 1401 13.41% 16.08% 70.51%-1.82 +1.4 1
2002-08-24 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 2-261.4 1401 1140 70.51% 16.08% 13.41%+1.82 -1.4 1
2002-08-25 Hamrun Spartans L 0-147.6 1284 1115 61.56% 18.27% 20.18%+0.88 -8.2 0
2002-08-25 @ Floriana W 1-047.6 1115 1284 20.18% 18.27% 61.56%-0.88 +8.2 3
2002-08-25 Hibernians L 0-428.0 1156 1364 16.99% 17.41% 65.60%-1.49 -9.4 0
2002-08-25 @ Marsaxlokk W 4-028.0 1364 1156 65.60% 17.41% 16.99%+1.49 +9.4 3
2002-08-26 Valletta L 0-423.4 998 1382 7.62% 12.64% 79.74%-2.59 -4.0 0
2002-08-26 @ Mosta W 4-023.4 1382 998 79.74% 12.64% 7.62%+2.59 +4.0 3
2002-08-31 Marsa W 6-027.1 1386 1116 71.26% 15.85% 12.89%+1.51 +10.3 6
2002-08-31 @ Valletta L 0-627.1 1116 1386 12.89% 15.85% 71.26%-1.51 -10.4 0
2002-08-31 Mosta D 2-260.0 1123 994 57.09% 18.99% 23.91%+0.63 -0.8 4
2002-08-31 @ Hamrun Spartans D 2-260.0 994 1123 23.91% 18.99% 57.09%-0.63 +0.8 1
2002-09-01 Floriana W 4-139.1 1374 1276 53.27% 19.45% 27.28%+0.43 +9.5 6
2002-09-01 @ Hibernians L 1-439.1 1276 1374 27.28% 19.45% 53.27%-0.43 -9.5 0
2002-09-11 Marsaxlokk W 1-033.1 1399 1147 69.76% 16.30% 13.93%+1.40 +2.1 4
2002-09-11 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-133.1 1147 1399 13.93% 16.30% 69.76%-1.40 -2.1 0
2002-09-11 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-138.2 1385 1141 68.97% 16.53% 14.50%+1.35 +2.1 6
2002-09-11 @ Birkirkara L 1-238.2 1141 1385 14.50% 16.53% 68.97%-1.35 -2.1 1
2002-09-14 Hamrun Spartans W 2-029.4 1397 1123 71.62% 15.73% 12.65%+1.54 +3.7 9
2002-09-14 @ Valletta L 0-229.4 1123 1397 12.65% 15.73% 71.62%-1.54 -3.6 4
2002-09-14 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-140.1 1106 1139 35.37% 20.01% 44.61%-0.39 -5.1 0
2002-09-14 @ Marsa W 1-040.1 1139 1106 44.61% 20.01% 35.37%+0.39 +5.1 4
2002-09-15 Birkirkara L 1-336.1 1145 1387 14.60% 16.57% 68.83%-1.70 -3.7 0
2002-09-15 @ Marsaxlokk W 3-136.1 1387 1145 68.83% 16.57% 14.60%+1.70 +3.7 9
2002-09-15 Hibernians W 2-156.3 995 1383 7.48% 12.53% 80.00%-2.62 +9.6 4
2002-09-15 @ Mosta L 1-256.3 1383 995 80.00% 12.53% 7.48%+2.62 -9.6 6
2002-09-16 Sliema Wanderers L 2-541.4 1266 1401 23.32% 18.89% 57.79%-1.03 -7.1 0
2002-09-16 @ Floriana W 5-241.4 1401 1266 57.79% 18.89% 23.32%+1.03 +7.1 7
2002-09-21 Marsa L 2-352.9 1119 1101 42.52% 20.07% 37.42%-0.07 -5.3 4
2002-09-21 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-252.9 1101 1119 37.42% 20.07% 42.52%+0.07 +5.3 3
2002-09-21 Marsaxlokk W 2-038.3 1144 1141 40.40% 20.09% 39.51%-0.16 +10.6 7
2002-09-21 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-238.3 1141 1144 39.51% 20.09% 40.40%+0.16 -10.6 0
2002-09-22 Floriana L 1-252.6 1390 1259 57.34% 18.96% 23.70%+0.64 -7.3 9
2002-09-22 @ Birkirkara W 2-152.6 1259 1390 23.70% 18.96% 57.34%-0.64 +7.3 3
2002-09-22 Mosta W 4-023.1 1409 1004 80.98% 12.08% 6.94%+2.35 +3.6 10
2002-09-22 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-423.1 1004 1409 6.94% 12.08% 80.98%-2.35 -3.6 4
2002-09-23 Valletta L 2-547.2 1373 1400 36.19% 20.04% 43.77%-0.35 -10.4 6
2002-09-23 @ Hibernians W 5-247.2 1400 1373 43.77% 20.04% 36.19%+0.35 +10.4 12
2002-09-28 Birkirkara L 0-324.3 1001 1383 7.69% 12.69% 79.62%-2.58 -3.1 4
2002-09-28 @ Mosta W 3-024.3 1383 1001 79.62% 12.69% 7.69%+2.58 +3.1 12
2002-09-28 Marsaxlokk L 1-343.2 1106 1130 36.56% 20.05% 43.39%-0.33 -8.6 3
2002-09-28 @ Marsa W 3-143.2 1130 1106 43.39% 20.05% 36.56%+0.33 +8.6 3
2002-09-29 Hibernians L 0-327.6 1114 1363 14.13% 16.39% 69.48%-1.75 -6.0 4
2002-09-29 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-027.6 1363 1114 69.48% 16.39% 14.13%+1.75 +6.0 9
2002-09-29 Pieta Hotspurs D 0-050.6 1266 1155 54.99% 19.26% 25.75%+0.52 -1.0 4
2002-09-29 @ Floriana D 0-050.6 1155 1266 25.75% 19.26% 54.99%-0.52 +1.0 8
2002-09-30 Sliema Wanderers L 0-242.5 1411 1412 39.74% 20.09% 40.17%-0.19 -10.6 12
2002-09-30 @ Valletta W 2-042.5 1412 1411 40.17% 20.09% 39.74%+0.19 +10.6 13
2002-10-04 Valletta L 1-346.9 1386 1400 38.00% 20.07% 41.93%-0.27 -8.9 12
2002-10-04 @ Birkirkara W 3-146.9 1400 1386 41.93% 20.07% 38.00%+0.27 +8.9 15
2002-10-05 Floriana L 1-339.3 1139 1265 24.21% 19.04% 56.75%-0.98 -6.0 3
2002-10-05 @ Marsaxlokk W 3-139.3 1265 1139 56.75% 19.04% 24.21%+0.98 +6.0 7
2002-10-05 Hamrun Spartans W 2-028.4 1423 1108 74.91% 14.60% 10.49%+1.80 +3.0 16
2002-10-05 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-228.4 1108 1423 10.49% 14.60% 74.91%-1.80 -3.0 4
2002-10-06 Marsa D 2-261.2 1369 1098 71.38% 15.81% 12.81%+1.52 -1.4 10
2002-10-06 @ Hibernians D 2-261.2 1098 1369 12.81% 15.81% 71.38%-1.52 +1.4 4
2002-10-06 Mosta W 3-029.9 1156 998 60.36% 18.48% 21.16%+0.81 +8.9 11
2002-10-06 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 0-329.9 998 1156 21.16% 18.48% 60.36%-0.81 -8.9 4
2002-10-19 Marsaxlokk L 1-436.1 989 1133 22.45% 18.74% 58.81%-1.09 -7.9 4
2002-10-19 @ Mosta W 4-136.1 1133 989 58.81% 18.74% 22.45%+1.09 +7.9 6
2002-10-19 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-149.8 1409 1165 69.04% 16.51% 14.45%+1.35 -9.1 15
2002-10-19 @ Valletta W 1-049.8 1165 1409 14.45% 16.51% 69.04%-1.35 +9.1 14
2002-10-20 Birkirkara L 2-343.1 1105 1377 12.72% 15.77% 71.51%-1.89 -1.7 4
2002-10-20 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-243.1 1377 1105 71.51% 15.77% 12.72%+1.89 +1.7 15
2002-10-20 Floriana L 2-345.7 1099 1271 19.88% 18.20% 61.93%-1.26 -2.7 4
2002-10-20 @ Marsa W 3-245.7 1271 1099 61.93% 18.20% 19.88%+1.26 +2.7 10
2002-10-21 Sliema Wanderers W 2-044.2 1368 1426 32.04% 19.86% 48.11%-0.55 +12.4 13
2002-10-21 @ Hibernians L 0-244.2 1426 1368 48.11% 19.86% 32.04%+0.55 -12.5 16
2002-10-25 Hibernians L 0-338.8 1379 1380 39.85% 20.09% 40.07%-0.19 -15.5 15
2002-10-25 @ Birkirkara W 3-038.8 1380 1379 40.07% 20.09% 39.85%+0.19 +15.5 16
2002-10-26 Marsa W 3-134.1 1413 1096 75.04% 14.55% 10.41%+1.81 +2.6 19
2002-10-26 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-334.1 1096 1413 10.41% 14.55% 75.04%-1.81 -2.6 4
2002-10-26 Mosta L 1-352.7 1274 981 73.19% 15.21% 11.60%+1.66 -15.6 10
2002-10-26 @ Floriana W 3-152.7 981 1274 11.60% 15.21% 73.19%-1.66 +15.6 7
2002-10-27 Hamrun Spartans D 1-154.0 1174 1103 49.77% 19.75% 30.48%+0.26 -0.6 15
2002-10-27 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-154.0 1103 1174 30.48% 19.75% 49.77%-0.26 +0.6 5
2002-10-27 Valletta L 3-542.8 1141 1400 13.54% 16.14% 70.33%-1.81 -2.9 6
2002-10-27 @ Marsaxlokk W 5-342.8 1400 1141 70.33% 16.14% 13.54%+1.81 +2.9 18
2002-11-03 Marsa W 3-027.0 1364 1094 71.27% 15.84% 12.89%+1.51 +5.4 18
2002-11-03 @ Birkirkara L 0-327.0 1094 1364 12.89% 15.84% 71.27%-1.51 -5.4 4
2002-11-03 Pieta Hotspurs W 5-027.5 1416 1173 68.90% 16.55% 14.55%+1.34 +9.9 22
2002-11-03 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-527.5 1173 1416 14.55% 16.55% 68.90%-1.34 -9.9 15
2002-11-12 Marsaxlokk L 1-254.9 1395 1138 70.19% 16.18% 13.63%+1.43 -8.7 16
2002-11-12 @ Hibernians W 2-154.9 1138 1395 13.63% 16.18% 70.19%-1.43 +8.7 9
2002-11-13 Mosta D 0-052.7 1403 996 81.11% 12.02% 6.87%+2.37 -2.7 19
2002-11-13 @ Valletta D 0-052.7 996 1403 6.87% 12.02% 81.11%-2.37 +2.7 8
2002-11-24 Floriana W 2-044.1 1103 1258 21.42% 18.54% 60.05%-1.16 +15.1 8
2002-11-24 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-244.1 1258 1103 60.05% 18.54% 21.42%+1.16 -15.1 10
2002-11-24 Pieta Hotspurs W 1-033.9 1387 1163 67.11% 17.04% 15.86%+1.22 +2.5 19
2002-11-24 @ Hibernians L 0-133.9 1163 1387 15.86% 17.04% 67.11%-1.22 -2.5 15
2002-11-30 Birkirkara D 3-368.0 1426 1369 47.89% 19.87% 32.24%+0.17 -0.3 23
2002-11-30 @ Sliema Wanderers D 3-368.0 1369 1426 32.24% 19.87% 47.89%-0.17 +0.3 19
2002-11-30 Floriana W 1-036.6 1400 1243 60.23% 18.51% 21.27%+0.80 +3.3 22
2002-11-30 @ Valletta L 0-136.6 1243 1400 21.27% 18.51% 60.23%-0.80 -3.3 10
2002-12-03 Marsaxlokk L 1-440.6 1119 1147 36.01% 20.03% 43.95%-0.36 -12.0 8
2002-12-03 @ Hamrun Spartans W 4-140.6 1147 1119 43.95% 20.03% 36.01%+0.36 +12.0 12
2002-12-03 Mosta D 1-154.0 1088 999 52.17% 19.56% 28.28%+0.38 -0.7 5
2002-12-03 @ Marsa D 1-154.0 999 1088 28.28% 19.56% 52.17%-0.38 +0.7 9
2002-12-06 Valletta L 1-236.3 1088 1403 10.47% 14.59% 74.94%-2.16 -1.5 5
2002-12-06 @ Marsa W 2-136.3 1403 1088 74.94% 14.59% 10.47%+2.16 +1.5 25
2002-12-10 Birkirkara L 0-134.3 1161 1369 16.94% 17.39% 65.67%-1.49 -2.6 15
2002-12-10 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 1-034.3 1369 1161 65.67% 17.39% 16.94%+1.49 +2.6 22
2002-12-10 Hibernians W 1-048.0 1240 1389 21.97% 18.65% 59.38%-1.12 +8.0 13
2002-12-10 @ Floriana L 0-148.0 1389 1240 59.38% 18.65% 21.97%+1.12 -8.0 19
2002-12-11 Hamrun Spartans L 1-242.1 1000 1107 26.31% 19.33% 54.36%-0.85 -3.8 9
2002-12-11 @ Mosta W 2-142.1 1107 1000 54.36% 19.33% 26.31%+0.85 +3.8 11
2002-12-11 Sliema Wanderers L 0-327.6 1159 1426 13.07% 15.93% 71.00%-1.86 -5.5 12
2002-12-11 @ Marsaxlokk W 3-027.6 1426 1159 71.00% 15.93% 13.07%+1.86 +5.5 26
2002-12-14 Floriana W 1-036.1 1431 1248 63.06% 17.97% 18.97%+0.97 +2.9 29
2002-12-14 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-136.1 1248 1431 18.97% 17.97% 63.06%-0.97 -2.9 13
2002-12-14 Valletta W 2-155.4 1110 1405 11.53% 15.18% 73.29%-2.03 +9.0 14
2002-12-14 @ Hamrun Spartans L 1-255.4 1405 1110 73.29% 15.18% 11.53%+2.03 -9.0 25
2002-12-15 Marsa D 2-259.8 1158 1086 49.92% 19.74% 30.34%+0.27 -0.5 16
2002-12-15 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 2-259.8 1086 1158 30.34% 19.74% 49.92%-0.27 +0.4 6
2002-12-15 Mosta D 2-262.0 1381 996 79.79% 12.62% 7.59%+2.23 -1.8 20
2002-12-15 @ Hibernians D 2-262.0 996 1381 7.59% 12.62% 79.79%-2.23 +1.8 10
2002-12-17 Marsaxlokk W 4-241.5 1372 1153 66.65% 17.15% 16.20%+1.19 +3.7 25
2002-12-17 @ Birkirkara L 2-441.5 1153 1372 16.20% 17.15% 66.65%-1.19 -3.7 12
2002-12-20 Sliema Wanderers L 1-331.6 998 1434 5.96% 11.19% 82.85%-2.92 -1.4 10
2002-12-20 @ Mosta W 3-131.6 1434 998 82.85% 11.19% 5.96%+2.92 +1.4 32
2002-12-21 Birkirkara L 2-348.0 1245 1376 23.78% 18.97% 57.25%-1.00 -3.2 13
2002-12-21 @ Floriana W 3-248.0 1376 1245 57.25% 18.97% 23.78%+1.00 +3.2 28
2002-12-21 Hibernians W 2-040.8 1396 1379 42.29% 20.07% 37.64%-0.08 +10.2 28
2002-12-21 @ Valletta L 0-240.8 1379 1396 37.64% 20.07% 42.29%+0.08 -10.2 20
2002-12-22 Hamrun Spartans W 2-147.8 1087 1119 35.38% 20.01% 44.60%-0.39 +5.8 9
2002-12-22 @ Marsa L 1-247.8 1119 1087 44.60% 20.01% 35.38%+0.39 -5.8 14
2002-12-22 Pieta Hotspurs W 1-041.9 1150 1158 38.81% 20.08% 41.11%-0.23 +5.8 15
2002-12-22 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-141.9 1158 1150 41.11% 20.08% 38.81%+0.23 -5.8 16
2002-12-29 Marsa W 2-035.8 1155 1092 48.73% 19.82% 31.45%+0.21 +8.8 18
2002-12-29 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-235.8 1092 1155 31.45% 19.82% 48.73%-0.21 -8.8 9
2003-01-04 Hibernians D 2-261.3 1084 1369 12.01% 15.42% 72.58%-1.97 +1.5 10
2003-01-04 @ Marsa D 2-261.3 1369 1084 72.58% 15.42% 12.01%+1.97 -1.5 21
2003-01-04 Sliema Wanderers L 0-525.4 1114 1435 10.18% 14.41% 75.41%-2.20 -6.8 14
2003-01-04 @ Hamrun Spartans W 5-025.4 1435 1114 75.41% 14.41% 10.18%+2.20 +6.8 35
2003-01-05 Marsaxlokk W 2-035.4 1242 1164 50.69% 19.68% 29.63%+0.31 +8.3 16
2003-01-05 @ Floriana L 0-235.4 1164 1242 29.63% 19.68% 50.69%-0.31 -8.3 18
2003-01-05 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-232.3 997 1152 21.39% 18.53% 60.07%-1.16 -6.2 10
2003-01-05 @ Mosta W 2-032.3 1152 997 60.07% 18.53% 21.39%+1.16 +6.2 19
2003-01-07 Hamrun Spartans W 3-243.3 1368 1107 70.51% 16.08% 13.41%+1.46 +1.8 24
2003-01-07 @ Hibernians L 2-343.3 1107 1368 13.41% 16.08% 70.51%-1.46 -1.8 14
2003-01-07 Valletta W 2-149.7 1442 1406 45.07% 20.00% 34.93%+0.04 +4.8 38
2003-01-07 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-249.7 1406 1442 34.93% 20.00% 45.07%-0.04 -4.8 28
2003-01-08 Floriana D 1-154.2 1158 1250 27.93% 19.52% 52.55%-0.76 +0.8 20
2003-01-08 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-154.2 1250 1158 52.55% 19.52% 27.93%+0.76 -0.8 17
2003-01-08 Mosta W 2-026.5 1379 990 80.02% 12.52% 7.47%+2.26 +2.1 31
2003-01-08 @ Birkirkara L 0-226.5 990 1379 7.47% 12.52% 80.02%-2.26 -2.1 10
2003-01-11 Birkirkara L 1-348.3 1401 1381 42.84% 20.06% 37.10%-0.06 -9.8 28
2003-01-11 @ Valletta W 3-148.3 1381 1401 37.10% 20.06% 42.84%+0.06 +9.8 34
2003-01-11 Hibernians L 2-359.2 1447 1370 50.61% 19.69% 29.70%+0.30 -6.2 38
2003-01-11 @ Sliema Wanderers W 3-259.2 1370 1447 29.70% 19.69% 50.61%-0.30 +6.2 27
2003-01-12 Marsa L 1-350.1 1249 1085 61.06% 18.36% 20.58%+0.85 -13.3 17
2003-01-12 @ Floriana W 3-150.1 1085 1249 20.58% 18.36% 61.06%-0.85 +13.3 13
2003-01-12 Mosta W 3-029.6 1156 988 61.42% 18.29% 20.29%+0.87 +8.6 21
2003-01-12 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-329.6 988 1156 20.29% 18.29% 61.42%-0.87 -8.6 10
2003-01-18 Hamrun Spartans W 4-239.6 1391 1105 72.60% 15.41% 11.99%+1.61 +2.7 37
2003-01-18 @ Birkirkara L 2-439.6 1105 1391 11.99% 15.41% 72.60%-1.61 -2.7 14
2003-01-18 Valletta L 0-328.3 1159 1391 15.23% 16.81% 67.95%-1.64 -6.4 20
2003-01-18 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-028.3 1391 1159 67.95% 16.81% 15.23%+1.64 +6.4 31
2003-01-19 Floriana L 1-432.8 980 1236 13.70% 16.20% 70.10%-1.79 -4.9 10
2003-01-19 @ Mosta W 4-132.8 1236 980 70.10% 16.20% 13.70%+1.79 +4.9 20
2003-01-19 Sliema Wanderers L 0-524.9 1098 1441 9.27% 13.83% 76.90%-2.33 -6.1 13
2003-01-19 @ Marsa W 5-024.9 1441 1098 76.90% 13.83% 9.27%+2.33 +6.1 41
2003-01-25 Birkirkara L 1-346.4 1376 1393 37.46% 20.07% 42.47%-0.29 -8.8 27
2003-01-25 @ Hibernians W 3-146.4 1393 1376 42.47% 20.07% 37.46%+0.29 +8.8 40
2003-01-25 Marsaxlokk W 4-027.4 1398 1164 68.03% 16.79% 15.18%+1.28 +8.4 34
2003-01-25 @ Valletta L 0-427.4 1164 1398 15.18% 16.79% 68.03%-1.28 -8.4 21
2003-01-26 Pieta Hotspurs L 2-350.1 1102 1152 33.08% 19.92% 47.00%-0.50 -4.3 14
2003-01-26 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-250.1 1152 1102 47.00% 19.92% 33.08%+0.50 +4.3 23
2003-01-30 Marsa L 0-530.6 975 1092 25.14% 19.18% 55.69%-0.92 -16.8 10
2003-01-30 @ Mosta W 5-030.6 1092 975 55.69% 19.18% 25.14%+0.92 +16.8 16
2003-02-04 Sliema Wanderers L 1-347.1 1402 1447 33.81% 19.95% 46.24%-0.46 -8.1 40
2003-02-04 @ Birkirkara W 3-147.1 1447 1402 46.24% 19.95% 33.81%+0.46 +8.1 44
2003-02-04 Valletta L 1-241.4 1241 1406 20.49% 18.34% 61.17%-1.22 -3.0 20
2003-02-04 @ Floriana W 2-141.4 1406 1241 61.17% 18.34% 20.49%+1.22 +3.0 37
2003-02-05 Hamrun Spartans L 1-346.6 1156 1098 48.08% 19.86% 32.06%+0.18 -10.8 21
2003-02-05 @ Marsaxlokk W 3-146.6 1098 1156 32.06% 19.86% 48.08%-0.18 +10.8 17
2003-02-05 Hibernians L 0-134.2 1157 1367 16.81% 17.35% 65.83%-1.50 -2.6 23
2003-02-05 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 1-034.2 1367 1157 65.83% 17.35% 16.81%+1.50 +2.6 30

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2003-02-15 Birkirkara L 0-143.3 1370 1394 36.51% 20.05% 43.45%-0.34 -5.3 0
2003-02-15 @ Hibernians W 1-043.3 1394 1370 43.45% 20.05% 36.51%+0.34 +5.3 3
2003-02-15 Marsaxlokk W 3-026.6 1455 1145 74.48% 14.75% 10.76%+1.76 +4.5 3
2003-02-15 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-326.6 1145 1455 10.76% 14.75% 74.48%-1.76 -4.5 0
2003-02-18 Hamrun Spartans D 1-154.3 1238 1109 57.10% 18.99% 23.91%+0.63 -1.0 1
2003-02-18 @ Floriana D 1-154.3 1109 1238 23.91% 18.99% 57.10%-0.63 +1.0 1
2003-02-18 Pieta Hotspurs D 0-052.0 1409 1154 69.99% 16.24% 13.78%+1.42 -2.0 1
2003-02-18 @ Valletta D 0-052.0 1154 1409 13.78% 16.24% 69.99%-1.42 +2.0 1
2003-02-22 Sliema Wanderers D 2-262.2 1156 1459 11.08% 14.93% 73.98%-2.08 +1.5 2
2003-02-22 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 2-262.2 1459 1156 73.98% 14.93% 11.08%+2.08 -1.5 4
2003-02-22 Valletta W 7-244.4 1399 1407 38.85% 20.08% 41.06%-0.23 +17.7 6
2003-02-22 @ Birkirkara L 2-744.4 1407 1399 41.06% 20.08% 38.85%+0.23 -17.7 1
2003-02-23 Marsa L 0-135.5 958 1109 21.78% 18.61% 59.61%-1.13 -3.3 0
2003-02-23 @ Mosta W 1-035.5 1109 958 59.61% 18.61% 21.78%+1.13 +3.3 3
2003-02-23 Marsaxlokk W 2-030.7 1364 1141 67.11% 17.03% 15.85%+1.22 +4.6 3
2003-02-23 @ Hibernians L 0-230.7 1141 1364 15.85% 17.03% 67.11%-1.22 -4.6 0
2003-03-01 Birkirkara D 0-052.1 1158 1417 13.51% 16.12% 70.37%-1.81 +2.1 3
2003-03-01 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 0-052.1 1417 1158 70.37% 16.12% 13.51%+1.81 -2.1 7
2003-03-01 Hibernians W 3-036.7 1458 1369 52.11% 19.56% 28.33%+0.37 +11.6 7
2003-03-01 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-336.7 1369 1458 28.33% 19.56% 52.11%-0.37 -11.6 3
2003-03-02 Floriana D 0-050.5 1113 1237 24.41% 19.07% 56.52%-0.96 +1.1 4
2003-03-02 @ Marsa D 0-050.5 1237 1113 56.52% 19.07% 24.41%+0.96 -1.1 2
2003-03-02 Valletta D 1-155.5 1136 1389 13.89% 16.28% 69.83%-1.77 +1.8 1
2003-03-02 @ Marsaxlokk D 1-155.5 1389 1136 69.83% 16.28% 13.89%+1.77 -1.8 2
2003-03-07 Marsaxlokk L 0-150.3 1415 1138 71.87% 15.65% 12.48%+1.56 -9.4 7
2003-03-07 @ Birkirkara W 1-050.3 1138 1415 12.48% 15.65% 71.87%-1.56 +9.4 4
2003-03-07 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-139.5 1357 1160 64.57% 17.65% 17.78%+1.06 +2.6 6
2003-03-07 @ Hibernians L 1-239.5 1160 1357 17.78% 17.65% 64.57%-1.06 -2.6 3
2003-03-10 Mosta W 3-138.1 1110 955 60.04% 18.54% 21.42%+0.79 +5.4 4
2003-03-10 @ Hamrun Spartans L 1-338.1 955 1110 21.42% 18.54% 60.04%-0.79 -5.4 0
2003-03-10 Sliema Wanderers L 0-337.8 1388 1469 29.15% 19.64% 51.21%-0.70 -11.9 2
2003-03-10 @ Valletta W 3-037.8 1469 1388 51.21% 19.64% 29.15%+0.70 +11.9 10
2003-03-15 Birkirkara W 3-255.0 1481 1406 50.42% 19.70% 29.88%+0.29 +4.0 13
2003-03-15 @ Sliema Wanderers L 2-355.0 1406 1481 29.88% 19.70% 50.42%-0.29 -4.0 7
2003-03-15 Hibernians D 0-052.5 1376 1360 42.21% 20.07% 37.72%-0.08 -0.1 3
2003-03-15 @ Valletta D 0-052.5 1360 1376 37.72% 20.07% 42.21%+0.08 +0.2 7
2003-03-18 Marsaxlokk W 3-251.8 1157 1147 41.36% 20.08% 38.56%-0.12 +4.9 6
2003-03-18 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 2-351.8 1147 1157 38.56% 20.08% 41.36%+0.12 -4.9 4
2003-03-18 Mosta D 1-155.2 1236 949 72.65% 15.39% 11.96%+1.62 -2.0 3
2003-03-18 @ Floriana D 1-155.2 949 1236 11.96% 15.39% 72.65%-1.62 +2.0 1
2003-04-05 Marsa D 1-153.9 1115 1114 40.16% 20.09% 39.75%-0.17 -0.0 5
2003-04-05 @ Hamrun Spartans D 1-153.9 1114 1115 39.75% 20.09% 40.16%+0.17 +0.0 5
2003-04-05 Sliema Wanderers L 0-131.5 1142 1485 9.24% 13.82% 76.94%-2.33 -1.4 4
2003-04-05 @ Marsaxlokk W 1-031.5 1485 1142 76.94% 13.82% 9.24%+2.33 +1.4 16
2003-04-05 Valletta L 0-528.1 1162 1376 16.58% 17.28% 66.14%-1.52 -11.3 6
2003-04-05 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 5-028.1 1376 1162 66.14% 17.28% 16.58%+1.52 +11.3 6
2003-04-06 Hibernians W 2-147.5 1402 1360 45.82% 19.97% 34.21%+0.08 +4.7 10
2003-04-06 @ Birkirkara L 1-247.5 1360 1402 34.21% 19.97% 45.82%-0.08 -4.7 7
2003-04-15 Hibernians L 0-230.9 1141 1355 16.52% 17.26% 66.22%-1.53 -4.8 4
2003-04-15 @ Marsaxlokk W 2-030.9 1355 1141 66.22% 17.26% 16.52%+1.53 +4.8 10
2003-04-15 Sliema Wanderers L 1-236.7 1151 1487 9.54% 14.01% 76.45%-2.29 -1.3 6
2003-04-15 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-136.7 1487 1151 76.45% 14.01% 9.54%+2.29 +1.3 19
2003-04-16 Birkirkara W 2-042.7 1387 1406 37.20% 20.06% 42.74%-0.30 +11.3 9
2003-04-16 @ Valletta L 0-242.7 1406 1387 42.74% 20.06% 37.20%+0.30 -11.3 10
2003-04-16 Floriana D 0-050.5 1115 1234 25.00% 19.16% 55.85%-0.93 +1.1 6
2003-04-16 @ Hamrun Spartans D 0-050.5 1234 1115 55.85% 19.16% 25.00%+0.93 -1.1 4
2003-04-19 Mosta W 5-133.7 1114 951 60.85% 18.40% 20.75%+0.84 +9.5 8
2003-04-19 @ Marsa L 1-533.7 951 1114 20.75% 18.40% 60.85%-0.84 -9.5 1
2003-04-19 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-030.2 1395 1149 69.15% 16.48% 14.37%+1.36 +4.2 13
2003-04-19 @ Birkirkara L 0-230.2 1149 1395 14.37% 16.48% 69.15%-1.36 -4.2 6
2003-04-20 Marsaxlokk W 2-137.8 1398 1136 70.58% 16.06% 13.36%+1.46 +1.9 12
2003-04-20 @ Valletta L 1-237.8 1136 1398 13.36% 16.06% 70.58%-1.46 -1.9 4
2003-04-20 Sliema Wanderers W 5-254.9 1360 1488 24.07% 19.02% 56.92%-0.98 +15.3 13
2003-04-20 @ Hibernians L 2-554.9 1488 1360 56.92% 19.02% 24.07%+0.98 -15.3 19
2003-05-03 Marsa W 5-135.7 1233 1123 54.73% 19.29% 25.98%+0.51 +11.7 7
2003-05-03 @ Floriana L 1-535.7 1123 1233 25.98% 19.29% 54.73%-0.51 -11.7 8
2003-05-03 Mosta W 1-034.8 1116 942 62.15% 18.15% 19.70%+0.91 +3.0 9
2003-05-03 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-134.8 942 1116 19.70% 18.15% 62.15%-0.91 -3.0 1
2003-05-04 Birkirkara L 1-433.1 1134 1399 13.18% 15.98% 70.84%-1.84 -4.7 4
2003-05-04 @ Marsaxlokk W 4-133.1 1399 1134 70.84% 15.98% 13.18%+1.84 +4.7 16
2003-05-04 Hibernians L 0-527.5 1145 1376 15.39% 16.87% 67.74%-1.63 -10.5 6
2003-05-04 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 5-027.5 1376 1145 67.74% 16.87% 15.39%+1.63 +10.5 16
2003-05-05 Valletta L 0-246.8 1473 1400 50.02% 19.73% 30.25%+0.27 -12.9 19
2003-05-05 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-046.8 1400 1473 30.25% 19.73% 50.02%-0.27 +12.9 15
2003-05-09 Floriana L 0-325.8 939 1245 10.96% 14.86% 74.18%-2.10 -4.5 1
2003-05-09 @ Mosta W 3-025.8 1245 939 74.18% 14.86% 10.96%+2.10 +4.5 10
2003-05-09 Pieta Hotspurs D 1-153.9 1130 1135 39.22% 20.09% 40.69%-0.21 +0.0 5
2003-05-09 @ Marsaxlokk D 1-153.9 1135 1130 40.69% 20.09% 39.22%+0.21 -0.0 7
2003-05-10 Hamrun Spartans L 0-141.1 1111 1119 38.85% 20.08% 41.06%-0.23 -5.5 8
2003-05-10 @ Marsa W 1-041.1 1119 1111 41.06% 20.08% 38.85%+0.23 +5.5 12
2003-05-10 Sliema Wanderers D 0-055.4 1404 1460 32.33% 19.88% 47.79%-0.53 +0.5 17
2003-05-10 @ Birkirkara D 0-055.4 1460 1404 47.79% 19.88% 32.33%+0.53 -0.5 20
2003-05-10 Valletta D 1-157.4 1386 1413 36.17% 20.04% 43.79%-0.35 +0.2 17
2003-05-10 @ Hibernians D 1-157.4 1413 1386 43.79% 20.04% 36.17%+0.35 -0.2 16

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2002-09-15 7.48% @ Mosta 995 2 Hibernians 1383 1
2 2002-12-14 11.53% @ Hamrun Spartans 1110 2 Valletta 1405 1
3 2002-10-26 11.60% Mosta 981 3 @ Floriana 1274 1
4 2003-03-07 12.48% Marsaxlokk 1138 1 @ Birkirkara 1415 0
5 2002-11-12 13.63% Marsaxlokk 1138 2 @ Hibernians 1395 1
6 2002-10-19 14.45% Pieta Hotspurs 1165 1 @ Valletta 1409 0
7 2002-08-25 20.18% Hamrun Spartans 1115 1 @ Floriana 1284 0
8 2003-01-12 20.58% Marsa 1085 3 @ Floriana 1249 1
9 2002-11-24 21.42% @ Hamrun Spartans 1103 2 Floriana 1258 0
10 2002-12-10 21.97% @ Floriana 1240 1 Hibernians 1389 0
11 2002-09-22 23.70% Floriana 1259 2 @ Birkirkara 1390 1
12 2003-04-20 24.07% @ Hibernians 1360 5 Sliema Wanderers 1488 2
13 2003-01-11 29.70% Hibernians 1370 3 @ Sliema Wanderers 1447 2
14 2003-05-05 30.25% Valletta 1400 2 @ Sliema Wanderers 1473 0
15 2002-10-21 32.04% @ Hibernians 1368 2 Sliema Wanderers 1426 0
16 2003-02-05 32.06% Hamrun Spartans 1098 3 @ Marsaxlokk 1156 1
17 2002-12-22 35.38% @ Marsa 1087 2 Hamrun Spartans 1119 1
18 2003-01-11 37.10% Birkirkara 1381 3 @ Valletta 1401 1
19 2003-04-16 37.20% @ Valletta 1387 2 Birkirkara 1406 0
20 2002-09-21 37.42% Marsa 1101 3 @ Hamrun Spartans 1119 2
21 2002-12-22 38.81% @ Marsaxlokk 1150 1 Pieta Hotspurs 1158 0
22 2003-02-22 38.85% @ Birkirkara 1399 7 Valletta 1407 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-02-22 17.67 @ Birkirkara 7 1399 38.85% Valletta 2 1407 41.06% 20.08%
2 2003-01-30 16.82 Marsa 5 1092 55.69% @ Mosta 0 975 25.14% 19.18%
3 2002-10-26 15.60 Mosta 3 981 11.60% @ Floriana 1 1274 73.19% 15.21%
4 2002-10-25 15.46 Hibernians 3 1380 40.07% @ Birkirkara 0 1379 39.85% 20.09%
5 2003-04-20 15.30 @ Hibernians 5 1360 24.07% Sliema Wanderers 2 1488 56.92% 19.02%
6 2002-11-24 15.14 @ Hamrun Spartans 2 1103 21.42% Floriana 0 1258 60.05% 18.54%
7 2003-01-12 13.31 Marsa 3 1085 20.58% @ Floriana 1 1249 61.06% 18.36%
8 2003-05-05 12.87 Valletta 2 1400 30.25% @ Sliema Wanderers 0 1473 50.02% 19.73%
9 2002-10-21 12.45 @ Hibernians 2 1368 32.04% Sliema Wanderers 0 1426 48.11% 19.86%
10 2002-12-03 12.02 Marsaxlokk 4 1147 43.95% @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1119 36.01% 20.03%
11 2003-03-10 11.92 Sliema Wanderers 3 1469 51.21% @ Valletta 0 1388 29.15% 19.64%
12 2003-05-03 11.72 @ Floriana 5 1233 54.73% Marsa 1 1123 25.98% 19.29%
13 2002-08-24 11.62 Birkirkara 6 1373 69.09% @ Marsa 0 1128 14.41% 16.50%
14 2003-03-01 11.62 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1458 52.11% Hibernians 0 1369 28.33% 19.56%
15 2003-04-05 11.29 Valletta 5 1376 66.14% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1162 16.58% 17.28%
16 2003-04-16 11.27 @ Valletta 2 1387 37.20% Birkirkara 0 1406 42.74% 20.06%
17 2003-02-05 10.77 Hamrun Spartans 3 1098 32.06% @ Marsaxlokk 1 1156 48.08% 19.86%
18 2002-09-30 10.63 Sliema Wanderers 2 1412 40.17% @ Valletta 0 1411 39.74% 20.09%
19 2002-09-21 10.58 @ Pieta Hotspurs 2 1144 40.40% Marsaxlokk 0 1141 39.51% 20.09%
20 2003-05-04 10.47 Hibernians 5 1376 67.74% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1145 15.39% 16.87%
21 2002-09-23 10.44 Valletta 5 1400 43.77% @ Hibernians 2 1373 36.19% 20.04%
22 2002-08-31 10.35 @ Valletta 6 1386 71.26% Marsa 0 1116 12.89% 15.85%
23 2002-12-21 10.17 @ Valletta 2 1396 42.29% Hibernians 0 1379 37.64% 20.07%
24 2002-11-03 9.89 @ Sliema Wanderers 5 1416 68.90% Pieta Hotspurs 0 1173 14.55% 16.55%
25 2003-01-11 9.77 Birkirkara 3 1381 37.10% @ Valletta 1 1401 42.84% 20.06%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-11-30 68.0 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1426 47.89% Birkirkara 3 1369 32.24% 19.87%
2 2003-02-22 62.2 @ Pieta Hotspurs 2 1156 11.08% Sliema Wanderers 2 1459 73.98% 14.93%
3 2002-12-15 62.0 @ Hibernians 2 1381 79.79% Mosta 2 996 7.59% 12.62%
4 2002-08-24 61.4 @ Pieta Hotspurs 2 1140 13.41% Sliema Wanderers 2 1401 70.51% 16.08%
5 2003-01-04 61.3 @ Marsa 2 1084 12.01% Hibernians 2 1369 72.58% 15.42%
6 2002-10-06 61.2 @ Hibernians 2 1369 71.38% Marsa 2 1098 12.81% 15.81%
7 2002-08-31 60.0 @ Hamrun Spartans 2 1123 57.09% Mosta 2 994 23.91% 18.99%
8 2002-12-15 59.8 @ Pieta Hotspurs 2 1158 49.92% Marsa 2 1086 30.34% 19.74%
9 2003-01-11 59.2 Hibernians 3 1370 29.70% @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1447 50.61% 19.69%
10 2003-05-10 57.4 @ Hibernians 1 1386 36.17% Valletta 1 1413 43.79% 20.04%
11 2002-09-15 56.3 @ Mosta 2 995 7.48% Hibernians 1 1383 80.00% 12.53%
12 2003-03-02 55.5 @ Marsaxlokk 1 1136 13.89% Valletta 1 1389 69.83% 16.28%
13 2002-12-14 55.4 @ Hamrun Spartans 2 1110 11.53% Valletta 1 1405 73.29% 15.18%
14 2003-05-10 55.4 @ Birkirkara 0 1404 32.33% Sliema Wanderers 0 1460 47.79% 19.88%
15 2003-03-18 55.2 @ Floriana 1 1236 72.65% Mosta 1 949 11.96% 15.39%
16 2003-03-15 55.0 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1481 50.42% Birkirkara 2 1406 29.88% 19.70%
17 2002-11-12 54.9 Marsaxlokk 2 1138 13.63% @ Hibernians 1 1395 70.19% 16.18%
18 2003-04-20 54.9 @ Hibernians 5 1360 24.07% Sliema Wanderers 2 1488 56.92% 19.02%
19 2003-02-18 54.3 @ Floriana 1 1238 57.10% Hamrun Spartans 1 1109 23.91% 18.99%
20 2003-01-08 54.2 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 1158 27.93% Floriana 1 1250 52.55% 19.52%
21 2002-10-27 54.0 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 1174 49.77% Hamrun Spartans 1 1103 30.48% 19.75%
22 2002-12-03 54.0 @ Marsa 1 1088 52.17% Mosta 1 999 28.28% 19.56%
23 2003-04-05 53.9 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1115 40.16% Marsa 1 1114 39.75% 20.09%
24 2003-05-09 53.9 @ Marsaxlokk 1 1130 39.22% Pieta Hotspurs 1 1135 40.69% 20.09%
25 2002-09-21 52.9 Marsa 3 1101 37.42% @ Hamrun Spartans 2 1119 42.52% 20.07%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-09-22 23.1 @ Sliema Wanderers 4 1409 80.98% Mosta 0 1004 6.94% 12.08%
2 2002-08-26 23.4 Valletta 4 1382 79.74% @ Mosta 0 998 7.62% 12.64%
3 2002-09-28 24.3 Birkirkara 3 1383 79.62% @ Mosta 0 1001 7.69% 12.69%
4 2003-01-19 24.9 Sliema Wanderers 5 1441 76.90% @ Marsa 0 1098 9.27% 13.83%
5 2003-01-04 25.4 Sliema Wanderers 5 1435 75.41% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 1114 10.18% 14.41%
6 2003-05-09 25.8 Floriana 3 1245 74.18% @ Mosta 0 939 10.96% 14.86%
7 2003-01-08 26.5 @ Birkirkara 2 1379 80.02% Mosta 0 990 7.47% 12.52%
8 2003-02-15 26.6 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1455 74.48% Marsaxlokk 0 1145 10.76% 14.75%
9 2002-11-03 27.0 @ Birkirkara 3 1364 71.27% Marsa 0 1094 12.89% 15.84%
10 2002-08-31 27.1 @ Valletta 6 1386 71.26% Marsa 0 1116 12.89% 15.85%
11 2003-01-25 27.4 @ Valletta 4 1398 68.03% Marsaxlokk 0 1164 15.18% 16.79%
12 2002-11-03 27.5 @ Sliema Wanderers 5 1416 68.90% Pieta Hotspurs 0 1173 14.55% 16.55%
13 2003-05-04 27.5 Hibernians 5 1376 67.74% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1145 15.39% 16.87%
14 2002-09-29 27.6 Hibernians 3 1363 69.48% @ Hamrun Spartans 0 1114 14.13% 16.39%
15 2002-12-11 27.6 Sliema Wanderers 3 1426 71.00% @ Marsaxlokk 0 1159 13.07% 15.93%
16 2002-08-24 27.7 Birkirkara 6 1373 69.09% @ Marsa 0 1128 14.41% 16.50%
17 2002-08-25 28.0 Hibernians 4 1364 65.60% @ Marsaxlokk 0 1156 16.99% 17.41%
18 2003-04-05 28.1 Valletta 5 1376 66.14% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1162 16.58% 17.28%
19 2003-01-18 28.3 Valletta 3 1391 67.95% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1159 15.23% 16.81%
20 2002-10-05 28.4 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1423 74.91% Hamrun Spartans 0 1108 10.49% 14.60%
21 2002-09-14 29.4 @ Valletta 2 1397 71.62% Hamrun Spartans 0 1123 12.65% 15.73%
22 2003-01-12 29.6 @ Marsaxlokk 3 1156 61.42% Mosta 0 988 20.29% 18.29%
23 2002-10-06 29.9 @ Pieta Hotspurs 3 1156 60.36% Mosta 0 998 21.16% 18.48%
24 2003-04-19 30.2 @ Birkirkara 2 1395 69.15% Pieta Hotspurs 0 1149 14.37% 16.48%
25 2003-01-30 30.6 Marsa 5 1092 55.69% @ Mosta 0 975 25.14% 19.18%