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2017-18 Maltese Premier League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Valletta

58 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gzira United

9.36 points above expected

51 points · 41.64 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lija Athletics

10.57 points below expected

6 points · 16.57 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valletta 26 17 7 2 58 40 11 +29 49.73 +8.27
2 Balzan 26 16 7 3 55 42 19 +23 49.43 +5.57
3 Gzira United 26 15 6 5 51 52 33 +19 41.64 +9.36
4 Birkirkara 26 15 2 9 47 44 28 +16 45.22 +1.78
5 Floriana 26 12 10 4 46 48 18 +30 45.70 +0.30
6 Hibernians 26 13 7 6 46 43 16 +27 49.97 -3.97
7 Sliema Wanderers 26 11 7 8 40 35 26 +9 42.74 -2.74
8 Hamrun Spartans 26 10 5 11 35 39 33 +6 34.61 +0.39
9 Senglea Athletic 26 7 5 14 26 29 47 -18 27.95 -1.95
10 Mosta 26 7 5 14 26 28 52 -24 25.32 +0.68
11 St. Andrews 26 6 6 14 24 21 41 -20 27.11 -3.11
12 Tarxien Rainbows 26 6 5 15 23 34 56 -22 27.86 -4.86
13 Naxxar Lions 26 5 7 14 22 27 41 -14 21.48 +0.52
14 Lija Athletics 26 1 3 22 6 23 84 -61 16.57 -10.57

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Gzira United 51 41.64 +9.36
2 Valletta 58 49.73 +8.27
3 Balzan 55 49.43 +5.57
4 Birkirkara 47 45.22 +1.78
5 Mosta 26 25.32 +0.68

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lija Athletics 6 16.57 -10.57
2 Tarxien Rainbows 23 27.86 -4.86
3 Hibernians 46 49.97 -3.97
4 St. Andrews 24 27.11 -3.11
5 Sliema Wanderers 40 42.74 -2.74

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Birkirkara 8 Nov 24 – Feb 10 1 in 265
2 Gzira United 5 Aug 18 – Sep 24 1 in 111
3 Balzan 6 Oct 20 – Dec 9 1 in 52
4 Sliema Wanderers 4 Oct 15 – Nov 5 1 in 22
5 St. Andrews 2 Apr 7 – Apr 14 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lija Athletics 13 Nov 25 – Apr 7 1 in 186
2 Mosta 6 Feb 25 – Apr 15 1 in 54
3 Tarxien Rainbows 5 Oct 21 – Nov 26 1 in 29
4 Sliema Wanderers 2 Apr 14 – Apr 20 1 in 22
5 St. Andrews 4 Oct 14 – Nov 5 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Balzan 21 Sep 9 – Mar 17 1 in 393
2 Floriana 11 Aug 18 – Nov 19 1 in 46
3 St. Andrews 4 Jan 13 – Feb 9 1 in 27
4 Birkirkara 10 Nov 24 – Mar 3 1 in 23
5 Gzira United 8 Feb 2 – Apr 14 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sliema Wanderers 5 Dec 8 – Jan 26 1 in 33
2 St. Andrews 7 Oct 14 – Dec 10 1 in 19
3 Senglea Athletic 8 Sep 23 – Nov 25 1 in 14
4 Hibernians 3 Dec 9 – Jan 7 1 in 12
5 Gzira United 3 Oct 20 – Nov 4 1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Valletta 1443 58 +31 13 9.7 +3.3
Balzan 1395 55 -14 9 9.5 -0.5
Gzira United 1316 51 +34 12 8.6 +3.4
Birkirkara 1357 47 -44 6 9.5 -3.5
Hibernians 1406 46 +27 10 8.7 +1.3
Floriana 1348 46 +8 9 9.5 -0.5
Sliema Wanderers 1267 40 -13 7 8.3 -1.3
Hamrun Spartans 1218 35 -22 4 7.3 -3.3
Senglea Athletic 1094 26 -30 4 5.2 -1.2
Mosta 1043 26 -37 3 4.3 -1.3
St. Andrews 1114 24 +17 7 4.9 +2.1
Tarxien Rainbows 1133 23 +52 8 5.2 +2.8
Naxxar Lions 1086 22 +29 6 4.3 +1.7
Lija Athletics 858 6 -37 1 2.5 -1.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAL BIR FLO GU HS HIB LA MOS NL SA SW SA TR VAL
Balzan —
2-0-0
3.11
0-2-0
3.02
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
3.75
1-0-1
2.71
2-0-0
4.94
2-0-0
4.44
1-1-0
4.67
2-0-0
4.45
1-1-0
3.37
1-0-1
4.19
1-0-1
4.61
1-1-0
2.64
Birkirkara
0-0-2
2.43
—
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
3.34
0-0-2
2.43
2-0-0
4.71
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.60
1-0-1
4.05
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
4.27
2-0-0
4.18
0-1-1
2.69
Floriana
0-2-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.76
—
0-2-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.61
0-1-1
2.36
2-0-0
5.00
1-1-0
4.22
2-0-0
4.58
1-1-0
4.19
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
4.12
2-0-0
3.94
0-1-1
2.22
Gzira United
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.29
0-2-0
2.40
—
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
1.95
2-0-0
4.08
1-1-0
4.16
2-0-0
4.48
1-1-0
3.96
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
3.84
2-0-0
3.79
1-0-1
1.93
Hamrun Spartans
0-1-1
1.80
0-0-2
2.20
0-0-2
1.92
0-0-2
2.24
—
0-1-1
1.59
1-1-0
4.44
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
3.14
0-0-2
2.30
1-1-0
3.28
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
1.49
Hibernians
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.59
1-1-0
3.96
—
2-0-0
5.00
1-1-0
4.43
0-2-0
4.80
2-0-0
4.28
0-0-2
3.60
1-0-1
4.40
1-1-0
4.51
0-1-1
2.57
Lija Athletics
0-0-2
0.72
0-0-2
0.94
0-0-2
0.67
0-0-2
1.51
0-1-1
1.17
0-0-2
0.69
—
0-0-2
2.08
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
1.70
0-0-2
1.09
0-1-1
1.64
1-0-1
1.64
0-0-2
0.66
Mosta
0-0-2
1.17
0-0-2
1.36
0-1-1
1.35
0-1-1
1.41
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
1.16
2-0-0
3.46
—
0-0-2
3.24
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
1.21
1-1-0
2.66
2-0-0
2.77
0-0-2
1.18
Naxxar Lions
0-1-1
0.95
0-0-2
1.01
0-0-2
1.03
0-0-2
1.11
0-0-2
1.55
0-2-0
0.84
1-1-0
3.14
2-0-0
2.28
—
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
1.30
1-1-0
2.10
0-0-2
2.30
0-1-1
0.89
Senglea Athletic
0-0-2
1.15
1-0-1
1.52
0-1-1
1.38
0-1-1
1.60
0-0-2
2.39
0-0-2
1.30
2-0-0
3.85
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
3.33
—
1-1-0
1.65
1-0-1
3.02
0-2-0
3.25
0-0-2
1.45
Sliema Wanderers
0-1-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
3.23
2-0-0
1.94
2-0-0
4.53
0-1-1
4.38
1-1-0
4.28
0-1-1
3.90
—
2-0-0
4.12
0-1-1
3.92
0-1-1
2.09
St. Andrews
1-0-1
1.39
1-0-1
1.31
1-0-1
1.44
0-1-1
1.71
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
1.18
1-1-0
3.90
0-1-1
2.87
0-1-1
3.43
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
1.45
—
0-1-1
2.65
0-0-2
0.99
Tarxien Rainbows
1-0-1
1.00
0-0-2
1.39
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
1.76
0-0-2
2.60
0-1-1
1.09
1-0-1
3.91
0-0-2
2.75
2-0-0
3.23
0-2-0
2.28
1-1-0
1.63
1-1-0
2.87
—
0-0-2
1.12
Valletta
0-1-1
2.88
1-1-0
2.84
1-1-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.61
1-1-0
4.07
1-1-0
2.96
2-0-0
5.01
2-0-0
4.41
1-1-0
4.74
2-0-0
4.12
1-1-0
3.45
2-0-0
4.62
2-0-0
4.48
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.71 +13.6
Allowed 0.83 -7.1
Differential 0.92 +5.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.34%8.52%6.04%3.57%1.92%1.92%31.32%
18.52%9.89%6.59%3.57%0.82%1.10%30.49%
26.04%6.59%3.30%2.47%0.55%1.10%20.05%
33.57%3.57%2.47%—0.27%0.27%10.16%
41.92%0.82%0.55%0.27%——3.57%
5+1.92%1.10%1.10%0.27%——4.40%
Total31.32%30.49%20.05%10.16%3.57%4.40%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.39 1.39 2.10
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%3.85%————23.08%
111.54%7.69%—3.85%——23.08%
211.54%19.23%—3.85%——34.62%
33.85%7.69%————11.54%
4———3.85%——3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total50.00%38.46%—11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 0.73 +0.88
SD 1.30 0.96 1.40
CV 0.80 1.32 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%3.85%7.69%——26.92%
13.85%3.85%3.85%7.69%——19.23%
219.23%7.69%————26.92%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total38.46%30.77%15.38%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.08 +0.62
SD 1.44 1.09 2.10
CV 0.85 1.01 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%11.54%3.85%———23.08%
111.54%23.08%————34.62%
27.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
33.85%—————3.85%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+11.54%—3.85%———15.38%
Total46.15%38.46%15.38%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 0.69 +1.15
SD 1.87 0.74 2.11
CV 1.01 1.06 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—3.85%—3.85%—15.38%
1—11.54%11.54%———23.08%
27.69%15.38%3.85%———26.92%
3—7.69%11.54%———19.23%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+———3.85%——3.85%
Total23.08%38.46%30.77%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.27 +0.73
SD 1.39 1.00 1.76
CV 0.69 0.79 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%19.23%3.85%3.85%3.85%—42.31%
1—7.69%3.85%———11.54%
27.69%7.69%—3.85%3.85%—23.08%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
Total23.08%50.00%11.54%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.27 +0.23
SD 1.66 1.15 2.05
CV 1.10 0.91 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%11.54%————26.92%
119.23%7.69%7.69%———34.62%
23.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total57.69%26.92%11.54%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.65 0.62 +1.04
SD 1.74 0.85 1.99
CV 1.05 1.38 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——15.38%7.69%11.54%7.69%42.31%
1—11.54%7.69%7.69%—7.69%34.62%
2———7.69%3.85%3.85%15.38%
3——3.85%—3.85%—7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total—11.54%26.92%23.08%19.23%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 3.23 -2.35
SD 0.95 1.61 1.90
CV 1.08 0.50 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 1 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%19.23%7.69%—7.69%50.00%
111.54%3.85%————15.38%
2—3.85%7.69%——7.69%19.23%
3—7.69%———3.85%11.54%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total19.23%26.92%26.92%7.69%—19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 2.00 -0.92
SD 1.35 1.72 2.17
CV 1.26 0.86 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%19.23%———38.46%
1—11.54%11.54%3.85%3.85%3.85%34.62%
27.69%——3.85%—3.85%15.38%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+———————
Total30.77%19.23%30.77%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.04 1.58 -0.54
SD 1.11 1.50 1.92
CV 1.07 0.95 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%19.23%—11.54%—3.85%38.46%
13.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%3.85%3.85%30.77%
23.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total15.38%34.62%23.08%15.38%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.81 -0.69
SD 1.24 1.41 2.02
CV 1.11 0.78 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%—3.85%——19.23%
115.38%15.38%15.38%———46.15%
211.54%3.85%7.69%———23.08%
33.85%—3.85%———7.69%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total34.62%34.62%26.92%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.00 +0.35
SD 1.13 0.89 1.50
CV 0.84 0.89 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%11.54%7.69%3.85%7.69%—42.31%
111.54%11.54%7.69%7.69%——38.46%
2—7.69%—7.69%——15.38%
3——3.85%———3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%30.77%19.23%19.23%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.58 -0.77
SD 0.85 1.27 1.48
CV 1.05 0.81 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%—7.69%30.77%
1—7.69%7.69%15.38%3.85%—34.62%
2—7.69%7.69%3.85%——19.23%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total7.69%26.92%30.77%23.08%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 2.15 -0.85
SD 1.32 1.41 2.20
CV 1.01 0.65 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%—————19.23%
130.77%7.69%7.69%———46.15%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
311.54%3.85%————15.38%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total69.23%19.23%11.54%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 0.42 +1.12
SD 1.42 0.70 1.48
CV 0.92 1.66 —
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valletta 1443 58 49.73 +8.27 91.0% 34 40 46 50 54 59 63
Hibernians 1406 46 49.97 -3.97 23.0% 36 41 47 50 53 59 63
Balzan 1395 55 49.43 +5.57 80.0% 36 40 46 49 53 59 64
Birkirkara 1357 47 45.22 +1.78 69.0% 32 34 42 45 48 56 59
Floriana 1348 46 45.70 +0.30 55.0% 27 31 42 45 49 56 71
Gzira United 1316 51 41.64 +9.36 93.0% 28 31 38 41 46 52 57
Sliema Wanderers 1267 40 42.74 -2.74 37.0% 30 32 38 42 46 54 58
Hamrun Spartans 1218 35 34.61 +0.39 57.0% 21 23 31 34 38 43 50
Tarxien Rainbows 1133 23 27.86 -4.86 22.0% 15 20 24 28 31 37 42
St. Andrews 1114 24 27.11 -3.11 33.0% 10 18 23 27 31 37 40
Senglea Athletic 1094 26 27.95 -1.95 40.0% 13 18 24 28 31 38 49
Naxxar Lions 1086 22 21.48 +0.52 59.0% 10 13 18 21 24 30 34
Mosta 1043 26 25.32 +0.68 56.0% 11 16 21 24 29 36 37
Lija Athletics 858 6 16.57 -10.57 1.0% 4 9 13 17 20 25 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.74%
Strong Edge
45.60%22.53%31.87%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 48.03 Elo pts.
171 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.32 goals
Neutral
-2+0.28+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.7
Wide Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
26%
Valletta, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.12/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.73 * Some Luck: 4.73 to 7.09 * Lucky: 7.09 to 9.45 * Wild Swing: 9.45 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.23 * Close: 1.23 to 1.85 * Off: 1.85 to 2.47 * Way Off: 2.47 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.09 points
Some Luck
05.9115
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.29
Close
01.544
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
93.00%
Gzira United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
1.00%
Lija Athletics
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.23
Even
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 170.06
2.24
Strong Separation
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
81%
Clear Edge
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
97%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Frequent
0%52%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Occasional
0%24%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.53
Highly Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.46
Notable Separation
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.83
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.78
Strong Carryover
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
As Expected
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.92
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.30
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.078
Well Within Noise
00.1170.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Valletta26.00%15.00%20.00%18.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%—1.00%—————
Balzan25.00%19.00%20.00%15.00%7.00%5.00%8.00%1.00%——————
Gzira United3.00%8.00%6.00%9.00%16.00%19.00%24.00%7.00%4.00%4.00%————
Birkirkara9.00%9.00%12.00%14.00%20.00%17.00%12.00%3.00%4.00%—————
Floriana9.00%11.00%18.00%17.00%18.00%16.00%4.00%4.00%2.00%—1.00%———
Hibernians25.00%26.00%17.00%15.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%——————
Sliema Wanderers3.00%11.00%3.00%11.00%17.00%17.00%25.00%10.00%3.00%—————
Hamrun Spartans—1.00%2.00%1.00%3.00%10.00%9.00%34.00%18.00%15.00%1.00%4.00%—2.00%
Senglea Athletic——2.00%——2.00%2.00%9.00%16.00%24.00%20.00%11.00%11.00%3.00%
Mosta——————4.00%10.00%13.00%10.00%19.00%15.00%21.00%8.00%
St. Andrews—————2.00%2.00%11.00%9.00%22.00%20.00%17.00%13.00%4.00%
Tarxien Rainbows————2.00%1.00%3.00%8.00%20.00%16.00%25.00%17.00%6.00%2.00%
Naxxar Lions———————1.00%10.00%6.00%12.00%25.00%26.00%20.00%
Lija Athletics—————————3.00%2.00%11.00%23.00%61.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Balzan 100% — —
Birkirkara 100% — —
Floriana 100% — —
Gzira United 100% — —
Hibernians 100% — —
Sliema Wanderers 100% — —
Valletta 100% — —
Hamrun Spartans 94.00% 4.00% 2.00%
Tarxien Rainbows 75.00% 17.00% 8.00%
Senglea Athletic 75.00% 11.00% 14.00%
St. Andrews 66.00% 17.00% 17.00%
Mosta 56.00% 15.00% 29.00%
Naxxar Lions 29.00% 25.00% 46.00%
Lija Athletics 5.00% 11.00% 84.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2017-08-18 Floriana D 1-154.8 1351 1272 54.92% 22.97% 22.11%+0.75 -2.1 1
2017-08-18 @ Birkirkara D 1-154.8 1272 1351 22.11% 22.97% 54.92%-0.75 +2.1 1
2017-08-18 Gzira United L 0-433.8 1088 1200 29.70% 23.68% 46.63%-0.38 -34.3 0
2017-08-18 @ Lija Athletics W 4-033.8 1200 1088 46.63% 23.68% 29.70%+0.38 +34.3 3
2017-08-18 Hamrun Spartans L 1-446.4 1224 1163 52.80% 23.21% 23.99%+0.64 -35.2 0
2017-08-18 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 4-146.4 1163 1224 23.99% 23.21% 52.80%-0.64 +35.2 3
2017-08-18 St. Andrews W 4-028.9 1365 1184 64.92% 21.15% 13.93%+1.34 +17.4 3
2017-08-18 @ Hibernians L 0-428.9 1184 1365 13.93% 21.15% 64.92%-1.34 -17.4 0
2017-08-19 Mosta W 1-033.9 1324 1127 66.33% 20.78% 12.89%+1.43 +4.5 3
2017-08-19 @ Valletta L 0-133.9 1127 1324 12.89% 20.78% 66.33%-1.43 -4.5 0
2017-08-19 Naxxar Lions W 2-029.1 1319 1044 72.17% 18.86% 8.98%+1.89 +5.9 3
2017-08-19 @ Balzan L 0-229.1 1044 1319 8.98% 18.86% 72.17%-1.89 -5.9 0
2017-08-19 Senglea Athletic D 2-259.3 1260 1158 57.35% 22.65% 20.00%+0.88 -1.8 1
2017-08-19 @ Sliema Wanderers D 2-259.3 1158 1260 20.00% 22.65% 57.35%-0.88 +1.8 1
2017-08-25 Balzan W 3-256.6 1167 1324 24.42% 23.26% 52.32%-0.64 +13.5 3
2017-08-25 @ St. Andrews L 2-356.6 1324 1167 52.32% 23.26% 24.42%+0.64 -13.5 3
2017-08-25 Hibernians L 0-137.7 1198 1382 21.76% 22.92% 55.32%-0.79 -7.4 3
2017-08-25 @ Hamrun Spartans W 1-037.7 1382 1198 55.32% 22.92% 21.76%+0.79 +7.4 6
2017-08-25 Tarxien Rainbows W 5-031.5 1274 1189 55.48% 22.90% 21.62%+0.78 +32.4 4
2017-08-25 @ Floriana L 0-531.5 1189 1274 21.62% 22.90% 55.48%-0.78 -32.4 0
2017-08-25 Valletta L 0-137.8 1160 1329 23.20% 23.12% 53.68%-0.71 -7.8 1
2017-08-25 @ Senglea Athletic W 1-037.8 1329 1160 53.68% 23.12% 23.20%+0.71 +7.8 6
2017-08-26 Birkirkara W 2-042.6 1235 1349 29.42% 23.66% 46.92%-0.39 +26.0 6
2017-08-26 @ Gzira United L 0-242.6 1349 1235 46.92% 23.66% 29.42%+0.39 -26.0 1
2017-08-26 Lija Athletics W 3-139.9 1122 1054 53.67% 23.12% 23.21%+0.68 +12.7 3
2017-08-26 @ Mosta L 1-339.9 1054 1122 23.21% 23.12% 53.67%-0.68 -12.7 0
2017-08-26 Sliema Wanderers L 1-533.9 1038 1258 18.47% 22.36% 59.18%-1.01 -19.0 0
2017-08-26 @ Naxxar Lions W 5-133.9 1258 1038 59.18% 22.36% 18.47%+1.01 +19.0 4
2017-09-08 Hamrun Spartans L 1-249.0 1180 1191 43.59% 23.80% 32.61%+0.22 -12.2 3
2017-09-08 @ St. Andrews W 2-149.0 1191 1180 32.61% 23.80% 43.59%-0.22 +12.2 6
2017-09-09 Floriana D 1-155.5 1390 1306 55.33% 22.92% 21.75%+0.77 -2.2 7
2017-09-09 @ Hibernians D 1-155.5 1306 1390 21.75% 22.92% 55.33%-0.77 +2.2 5
2017-09-09 Gzira United L 1-245.2 1157 1261 30.77% 23.73% 45.50%-0.33 -9.3 0
2017-09-09 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 2-145.2 1261 1157 45.50% 23.73% 30.77%+0.33 +9.3 9
2017-09-09 Mosta W 2-031.3 1323 1135 65.54% 20.99% 13.46%+1.38 +8.9 4
2017-09-09 @ Birkirkara L 0-231.3 1135 1323 13.46% 20.99% 65.54%-1.38 -8.9 3
2017-09-09 Sliema Wanderers D 0-050.0 1311 1277 49.49% 23.50% 27.01%+0.48 -1.6 4
2017-09-09 @ Balzan D 0-050.0 1277 1311 27.01% 23.50% 49.49%-0.48 +1.6 5
2017-09-10 Naxxar Lions D 0-051.0 1337 1019 74.97% 17.70% 7.34%+2.14 -5.3 7
2017-09-10 @ Valletta D 0-051.0 1019 1337 7.34% 17.70% 74.97%-2.14 +5.3 1
2017-09-10 Senglea Athletic L 2-349.6 1041 1152 29.89% 23.69% 46.43%-0.37 -8.6 0
2017-09-10 @ Lija Athletics W 3-249.6 1152 1041 46.43% 23.69% 29.89%+0.37 +8.6 4
2017-09-15 St. Andrews W 4-029.7 1308 1168 61.25% 21.98% 16.77%+1.10 +20.8 8
2017-09-15 @ Floriana L 0-429.7 1168 1308 16.77% 21.98% 61.25%-1.10 -20.8 3
2017-09-16 Balzan D 0-049.6 1203 1309 30.49% 23.72% 45.79%-0.34 +1.1 7
2017-09-16 @ Hamrun Spartans D 0-049.6 1309 1203 45.79% 23.72% 30.49%+0.34 -1.1 5
2017-09-16 Birkirkara W 1-047.0 1160 1332 22.96% 23.09% 53.96%-0.72 +15.6 7
2017-09-16 @ Senglea Athletic L 0-147.0 1332 1160 53.96% 23.09% 22.96%+0.72 -15.6 4
2017-09-16 Hibernians W 3-256.2 1270 1387 29.07% 23.64% 47.29%-0.41 +12.4 12
2017-09-16 @ Gzira United L 2-356.2 1387 1270 47.29% 23.64% 29.07%+0.41 -12.4 7
2017-09-16 Lija Athletics D 1-153.4 1024 1032 43.95% 23.79% 32.26%+0.23 -0.7 2
2017-09-16 @ Naxxar Lions D 1-153.4 1032 1024 32.26% 23.79% 43.95%-0.23 +0.7 1
2017-09-17 Tarxien Rainbows W 3-143.4 1126 1148 42.18% 23.84% 33.98%+0.16 +17.4 6
2017-09-17 @ Mosta L 1-343.4 1148 1126 33.98% 23.84% 42.18%-0.16 -17.4 0
2017-09-17 Valletta L 0-142.9 1278 1331 37.66% 23.89% 38.46%-0.03 -11.5 5
2017-09-17 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-042.9 1331 1278 38.46% 23.89% 37.66%+0.03 +11.6 10
2017-09-22 Mosta W 3-028.4 1375 1144 69.01% 19.98% 11.01%+1.63 +10.5 10
2017-09-22 @ Hibernians L 0-328.4 1144 1375 11.01% 19.98% 69.01%-1.63 -10.5 6
2017-09-23 Floriana L 0-139.6 1204 1329 28.15% 23.58% 48.26%-0.45 -9.2 7
2017-09-23 @ Hamrun Spartans W 1-039.6 1329 1204 48.26% 23.58% 28.15%+0.45 +9.2 11
2017-09-23 Naxxar Lions W 3-241.6 1317 1023 73.39% 18.37% 8.24%+2.00 +2.5 7
2017-09-23 @ Birkirkara L 2-341.6 1023 1317 8.24% 18.37% 73.39%-2.00 -2.5 2
2017-09-23 Senglea Athletic D 1-153.5 1130 1176 38.69% 23.89% 37.42%+0.01 -0.1 1
2017-09-23 @ Tarxien Rainbows D 1-153.5 1176 1130 37.42% 23.89% 38.69%-0.01 +0.1 8
2017-09-23 Sliema Wanderers L 0-232.5 1033 1267 17.34% 22.11% 60.55%-1.09 -11.3 1
2017-09-23 @ Lija Athletics W 2-032.5 1267 1033 60.55% 22.11% 17.34%+1.09 +11.3 8
2017-09-24 Gzira United L 2-348.9 1147 1282 26.94% 23.49% 49.57%-0.51 -7.9 3
2017-09-24 @ St. Andrews W 3-248.9 1282 1147 49.57% 23.49% 26.94%+0.51 +7.9 15
2017-09-24 Valletta W 2-147.9 1308 1343 40.26% 23.88% 35.86%+0.08 +10.5 8
2017-09-24 @ Balzan L 1-247.9 1343 1308 35.86% 23.88% 40.26%-0.08 -10.5 10
2017-09-29 Gzira United D 1-154.7 1338 1290 51.23% 23.36% 25.41%+0.56 -1.7 12
2017-09-29 @ Floriana D 1-154.7 1290 1338 25.41% 23.36% 51.23%-0.56 +1.7 16
2017-09-29 Lija Athletics W 4-344.3 1319 1022 73.64% 18.27% 8.10%+2.02 +2.4 11
2017-09-29 @ Balzan L 3-444.3 1022 1319 8.10% 18.27% 73.64%-2.02 -2.4 1
2017-09-29 Naxxar Lions D 1-155.8 1385 1021 77.72% 16.40% 5.88%+2.41 -5.0 11
2017-09-29 @ Hibernians D 1-155.8 1021 1385 5.88% 16.40% 77.72%-2.41 +5.0 3
2017-09-29 Valletta L 0-340.0 1319 1332 43.25% 23.81% 32.94%+0.20 -35.3 7
2017-09-29 @ Birkirkara W 3-040.0 1332 1319 32.94% 23.81% 43.25%-0.20 +35.3 13
2017-09-30 Mosta W 5-240.4 1195 1133 52.87% 23.20% 23.93%+0.64 +16.0 10
2017-09-30 @ Hamrun Spartans L 2-540.4 1133 1195 23.93% 23.20% 52.87%-0.64 -16.0 6
2017-09-30 Senglea Athletic W 1-041.6 1139 1176 39.97% 23.88% 36.15%+0.07 +11.2 6
2017-09-30 @ St. Andrews L 0-141.6 1176 1139 36.15% 23.88% 39.97%-0.07 -11.2 8
2017-09-30 Sliema Wanderers W 2-151.2 1130 1278 25.47% 23.36% 51.16%-0.59 +14.0 4
2017-09-30 @ Tarxien Rainbows L 1-251.2 1278 1130 51.16% 23.36% 25.47%+0.59 -14.0 8
2017-10-13 Hibernians L 0-136.5 1165 1380 18.83% 22.43% 58.74%-0.98 -6.5 8
2017-10-13 @ Senglea Athletic W 1-036.5 1380 1165 58.74% 22.43% 18.83%+0.98 +6.5 14
2017-10-13 Lija Athletics W 4-237.0 1368 1019 76.80% 16.85% 6.35%+2.32 +3.1 16
2017-10-13 @ Valletta L 2-437.0 1019 1368 6.35% 16.85% 76.80%-2.32 -3.1 1
2017-10-13 Tarxien Rainbows L 1-244.4 1026 1144 28.97% 23.63% 47.39%-0.41 -8.9 3
2017-10-13 @ Naxxar Lions W 2-144.4 1144 1026 47.39% 23.63% 28.97%+0.41 +8.9 7
2017-10-14 Balzan D 1-154.9 1337 1321 47.14% 23.65% 29.21%+0.37 -1.1 13
2017-10-14 @ Floriana D 1-154.9 1321 1337 29.21% 23.65% 47.14%-0.37 +1.1 12
2017-10-14 St. Andrews W 1-041.4 1117 1150 40.50% 23.87% 35.63%+0.09 +11.1 9
2017-10-14 @ Mosta L 0-141.4 1150 1117 35.63% 23.87% 40.50%-0.09 -11.1 6
2017-10-15 Birkirkara W 3-036.5 1264 1284 42.38% 23.84% 33.78%+0.17 +29.1 11
2017-10-15 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-336.5 1284 1264 33.78% 23.84% 42.38%-0.17 -29.1 7
2017-10-15 Hamrun Spartans W 4-031.7 1292 1211 55.04% 22.96% 22.00%+0.75 +26.7 19
2017-10-15 @ Gzira United L 0-431.7 1211 1292 22.00% 22.96% 55.04%-0.75 -26.7 10
2017-10-20 Balzan L 1-250.4 1319 1322 44.57% 23.77% 31.66%+0.26 -12.4 19
2017-10-20 @ Gzira United W 2-150.4 1322 1319 31.66% 23.77% 44.57%-0.26 +12.4 15
2017-10-20 Birkirkara L 0-232.4 1016 1255 16.96% 22.02% 61.02%-1.11 -11.1 1
2017-10-20 @ Lija Athletics W 2-032.4 1255 1016 61.02% 22.02% 16.96%+1.11 +11.1 10
2017-10-20 St. Andrews W 3-147.4 1017 1139 28.47% 23.60% 47.93%-0.43 +22.9 6
2017-10-20 @ Naxxar Lions L 1-347.4 1139 1017 47.93% 23.60% 28.47%+0.43 -22.9 6
2017-10-21 Hamrun Spartans L 1-345.7 1158 1184 41.47% 23.86% 34.67%+0.13 -20.3 8
2017-10-21 @ Senglea Athletic W 3-145.7 1184 1158 34.67% 23.86% 41.47%-0.13 +20.3 13
2017-10-21 Tarxien Rainbows W 6-028.5 1371 1153 68.00% 20.30% 11.71%+1.56 +21.5 19
2017-10-21 @ Valletta L 0-628.5 1153 1371 11.71% 20.30% 68.00%-1.56 -21.5 7
2017-10-22 Floriana D 2-259.5 1128 1336 19.56% 22.57% 57.87%-0.93 +1.9 10
2017-10-22 @ Mosta D 2-259.5 1336 1128 57.87% 22.57% 19.56%+0.93 -1.9 14
2017-10-22 Hibernians W 1-045.5 1293 1387 32.07% 23.78% 44.14%-0.27 +13.1 14
2017-10-22 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-145.5 1387 1293 44.14% 23.78% 32.07%+0.27 -13.1 14
2017-10-27 Gzira United D 1-153.9 1138 1306 23.33% 23.13% 53.54%-0.70 +2.0 9
2017-10-27 @ Senglea Athletic D 1-153.9 1306 1138 53.54% 23.13% 23.33%+0.70 -2.0 20
2017-10-28 Floriana L 1-239.0 1040 1334 13.13% 20.87% 66.00%-1.44 -4.3 6
2017-10-28 @ Naxxar Lions W 2-139.0 1334 1040 66.00% 20.87% 13.13%+1.44 +4.3 17
2017-10-28 Hibernians L 0-327.2 1005 1374 9.26% 19.03% 71.71%-1.88 -8.8 1
2017-10-28 @ Lija Athletics W 3-027.2 1374 1005 71.71% 19.03% 9.26%+1.88 +8.8 17
2017-10-28 St. Andrews W 3-027.3 1392 1116 72.24% 18.83% 8.93%+1.89 +8.5 22
2017-10-28 @ Valletta L 0-327.3 1116 1392 8.93% 18.83% 72.24%-1.89 -8.5 6
2017-10-28 Tarxien Rainbows W 3-138.0 1266 1131 60.67% 22.09% 17.24%+1.07 +9.8 13
2017-10-28 @ Birkirkara L 1-338.0 1131 1266 17.24% 22.09% 60.67%-1.07 -9.8 7
2017-10-30 Balzan L 0-530.9 1130 1335 19.82% 22.61% 57.57%-0.91 -30.0 10
2017-10-30 @ Mosta W 5-030.9 1335 1130 57.57% 22.61% 19.82%+0.91 +29.9 18
2017-10-30 Hamrun Spartans W 1-036.8 1306 1205 57.31% 22.65% 20.04%+0.87 +6.9 17
2017-10-30 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-136.8 1205 1306 20.04% 22.65% 57.31%-0.87 -6.9 13
2017-11-03 Senglea Athletic W 3-029.0 1338 1140 66.40% 20.76% 12.84%+1.44 +12.3 20
2017-11-03 @ Floriana L 0-329.0 1140 1338 12.84% 20.76% 66.40%-1.44 -12.3 9
2017-11-04 Birkirkara W 2-143.1 1365 1276 55.96% 22.84% 21.20%+0.80 +6.8 21
2017-11-04 @ Balzan L 1-243.1 1276 1365 21.20% 22.84% 55.96%-0.80 -6.8 13
2017-11-04 Lija Athletics L 2-358.1 1122 996 59.77% 22.25% 17.98%+1.01 -15.3 7
2017-11-04 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 3-258.1 996 1122 17.98% 22.25% 59.77%-1.01 +15.3 4
2017-11-04 Mosta D 2-259.9 1304 1100 66.87% 20.63% 12.50%+1.47 -2.8 21
2017-11-04 @ Gzira United D 2-259.9 1100 1304 12.50% 20.63% 66.87%-1.47 +2.8 11
2017-11-04 Naxxar Lions W 2-031.7 1198 1036 63.31% 21.54% 15.15%+1.23 +10.0 16
2017-11-04 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-231.7 1036 1198 15.15% 21.54% 63.31%-1.23 -10.0 6
2017-11-05 Sliema Wanderers L 0-233.5 1108 1313 19.74% 22.60% 57.66%-0.92 -12.8 6
2017-11-05 @ St. Andrews W 2-033.5 1313 1108 57.66% 22.60% 19.74%+0.92 +12.8 20
2017-11-05 Valletta D 0-052.3 1383 1401 42.59% 23.83% 33.58%+0.17 -0.6 18
2017-11-05 @ Hibernians D 0-052.3 1401 1383 33.58% 23.83% 42.59%-0.17 +0.6 23
2017-11-17 Naxxar Lions W 3-134.4 1301 1026 72.23% 18.83% 8.94%+1.89 +5.1 24
2017-11-17 @ Gzira United L 1-334.4 1026 1301 8.94% 18.83% 72.23%-1.89 -5.0 6
2017-11-18 Birkirkara W 1-037.3 1382 1269 58.54% 22.46% 19.00%+0.94 +6.5 21
2017-11-18 @ Hibernians L 0-137.3 1269 1382 19.00% 22.46% 58.54%-0.94 -6.5 13
2017-11-18 Lija Athletics D 1-153.7 1095 1012 55.36% 22.92% 21.72%+0.77 -2.2 7
2017-11-18 @ St. Andrews D 1-153.7 1012 1095 21.72% 22.92% 55.36%-0.77 +2.2 5
2017-11-18 Senglea Athletic W 2-146.2 1103 1128 41.70% 23.85% 34.45%+0.14 +10.2 14
2017-11-18 @ Mosta L 1-246.2 1128 1103 34.45% 23.85% 41.70%-0.14 -10.2 9
2017-11-18 Tarxien Rainbows W 1-032.4 1371 1106 71.49% 19.11% 9.40%+1.83 +3.3 24
2017-11-18 @ Balzan L 0-132.4 1106 1371 9.40% 19.11% 71.49%-1.83 -3.3 7
2017-11-19 Sliema Wanderers W 1-040.6 1350 1326 48.27% 23.58% 28.15%+0.42 +9.2 23
2017-11-19 @ Floriana L 0-140.6 1326 1350 28.15% 23.58% 48.27%-0.42 -9.2 20
2017-11-19 Valletta D 0-050.4 1208 1401 20.83% 22.78% 56.39%-0.85 +2.6 17
2017-11-19 @ Hamrun Spartans D 0-050.4 1401 1208 56.39% 22.78% 20.83%+0.85 -2.6 24
2017-11-24 St. Andrews W 2-031.6 1262 1093 63.92% 21.40% 14.68%+1.27 +9.7 16
2017-11-24 @ Birkirkara L 0-231.6 1093 1262 14.68% 21.40% 63.92%-1.27 -9.7 7
2017-11-25 Balzan L 0-135.1 1117 1375 15.56% 21.66% 62.78%-1.22 -5.4 9
2017-11-25 @ Senglea Athletic W 1-035.1 1375 1117 62.78% 21.66% 15.56%+1.22 +5.4 27
2017-11-25 Gzira United W 2-145.8 1317 1306 46.44% 23.69% 29.87%+0.34 +9.1 23
2017-11-25 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-245.8 1306 1317 29.87% 23.69% 46.44%-0.34 -9.1 24
2017-11-25 Hamrun Spartans L 1-534.6 1014 1211 20.52% 22.73% 56.75%-0.87 -20.9 5
2017-11-25 @ Lija Athletics W 5-134.6 1211 1014 56.75% 22.73% 20.52%+0.87 +20.9 20
2017-11-25 Mosta W 2-041.0 1021 1113 32.20% 23.79% 44.01%-0.26 +24.6 9
2017-11-25 @ Naxxar Lions L 0-241.0 1113 1021 44.01% 23.79% 32.20%+0.26 -24.6 14
2017-11-26 Floriana W 1-041.2 1399 1360 50.13% 23.45% 26.42%+0.51 +8.7 27
2017-11-26 @ Valletta L 0-141.2 1360 1399 26.42% 23.45% 50.13%-0.51 -8.7 23
2017-11-26 Hibernians L 0-329.4 1103 1389 13.65% 21.06% 65.29%-1.39 -13.1 7
2017-11-26 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 3-029.4 1389 1103 65.29% 21.06% 13.65%+1.39 +13.1 24
2017-12-08 Sliema Wanderers D 1-154.2 1089 1326 17.06% 22.04% 60.90%-1.11 +3.0 15
2017-12-08 @ Mosta D 1-154.2 1326 1089 60.90% 22.04% 17.06%+1.11 -3.0 24
2017-12-09 Birkirkara L 0-142.9 1231 1272 39.46% 23.88% 36.66%+0.04 -12.0 20
2017-12-09 @ Hamrun Spartans W 1-042.9 1272 1231 36.66% 23.88% 39.46%-0.04 +12.0 19
2017-12-09 Hibernians W 1-044.1 1380 1402 42.12% 23.84% 34.04%+0.15 +10.7 30
2017-12-09 @ Balzan L 0-144.1 1402 1380 34.04% 23.84% 42.12%-0.15 -10.7 24
2017-12-09 Lija Athletics W 6-025.2 1351 993 77.35% 16.58% 6.07%+2.37 +10.6 26
2017-12-09 @ Floriana L 0-625.2 993 1351 6.07% 16.58% 77.35%-2.37 -10.6 5
2017-12-09 Naxxar Lions W 2-142.6 1112 1045 53.45% 23.14% 23.40%+0.67 +7.4 12
2017-12-09 @ Senglea Athletic L 1-242.6 1045 1112 23.40% 23.14% 53.45%-0.67 -7.4 9
2017-12-10 Tarxien Rainbows L 2-353.9 1083 1090 44.15% 23.78% 32.06%+0.24 -11.7 7
2017-12-10 @ St. Andrews W 3-253.9 1090 1083 32.06% 23.78% 44.15%-0.24 +11.7 10
2017-12-10 Valletta W 2-151.6 1297 1407 29.96% 23.69% 46.35%-0.36 +12.9 27
2017-12-10 @ Gzira United L 1-251.6 1407 1297 46.35% 23.69% 29.96%+0.36 -12.9 27
2017-12-16 Balzan D 0-050.6 1038 1391 9.97% 19.44% 70.60%-1.78 +4.7 10
2017-12-16 @ Naxxar Lions D 0-050.6 1391 1038 70.60% 19.44% 9.97%+1.78 -4.7 31
2017-12-16 Sliema Wanderers W 3-042.9 1119 1323 19.91% 22.63% 57.46%-0.91 +45.1 15
2017-12-16 @ Senglea Athletic L 0-342.9 1323 1119 57.46% 22.63% 19.91%+0.91 -45.1 24
2017-12-16 Tarxien Rainbows W 2-141.0 1219 1102 59.01% 22.39% 18.61%+0.97 +6.0 23
2017-12-16 @ Hamrun Spartans L 1-241.0 1102 1219 18.61% 22.39% 59.01%-0.97 -6.0 10
2017-12-16 Valletta L 0-133.9 1092 1395 12.58% 20.66% 66.76%-1.49 -4.4 15
2017-12-16 @ Mosta W 1-033.9 1395 1092 66.76% 20.66% 12.58%+1.49 +4.4 30
2017-12-17 Birkirkara L 0-245.2 1361 1284 54.68% 23.00% 22.31%+0.73 -29.7 26
2017-12-17 @ Floriana W 2-045.2 1284 1361 22.31% 23.00% 54.68%-0.73 +29.7 22
2017-12-17 Hibernians W 2-155.5 1072 1391 11.66% 20.27% 68.07%-1.59 +18.1 10
2017-12-17 @ St. Andrews L 1-255.5 1391 1072 68.07% 20.27% 11.66%+1.59 -18.1 24
2017-12-18 Lija Athletics W 3-240.9 1310 982 75.58% 17.42% 7.00%+2.20 +2.1 30
2017-12-18 @ Gzira United L 2-340.9 982 1310 7.00% 17.42% 75.58%-2.20 -2.1 5
2018-01-05 Gzira United W 4-035.3 1314 1312 45.24% 23.74% 31.02%+0.29 +35.5 25
2018-01-05 @ Birkirkara L 0-435.3 1312 1314 31.02% 23.74% 45.24%-0.29 -35.5 30
2018-01-06 Mosta L 1-537.8 980 1087 30.36% 23.71% 45.93%-0.34 -29.1 5
2018-01-06 @ Lija Athletics W 5-137.8 1087 980 45.93% 23.71% 30.36%+0.34 +29.1 18
2018-01-06 Naxxar Lions D 1-154.7 1278 1042 69.33% 19.87% 10.80%+1.66 -4.1 25
2018-01-06 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-154.7 1042 1278 10.80% 19.87% 69.33%-1.66 +4.1 11
2018-01-06 Senglea Athletic W 1-033.4 1399 1165 69.27% 19.89% 10.84%+1.65 +3.8 33
2018-01-06 @ Valletta L 0-133.4 1165 1399 10.84% 19.89% 69.27%-1.65 -3.8 15
2018-01-06 St. Andrews W 3-134.2 1386 1090 73.60% 18.28% 8.12%+2.01 +4.5 34
2018-01-06 @ Balzan L 1-334.2 1090 1386 8.12% 18.28% 73.60%-2.01 -4.6 10
2018-01-07 Floriana L 0-232.6 1096 1332 17.15% 22.07% 60.78%-1.10 -11.2 10
2018-01-07 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 2-032.6 1332 1096 60.78% 22.07% 17.15%+1.10 +11.2 29
2018-01-07 Hamrun Spartans D 0-050.6 1373 1226 61.91% 21.84% 16.25%+1.14 -3.5 25
2018-01-07 @ Hibernians D 0-050.6 1226 1373 16.25% 21.84% 61.91%-1.14 +3.5 24
2018-01-12 Lija Athletics W 2-030.4 1161 951 67.34% 20.49% 12.17%+1.51 +8.0 18
2018-01-12 @ Senglea Athletic L 0-230.4 951 1161 12.17% 20.49% 67.34%-1.51 -8.0 5
2018-01-13 Balzan L 1-245.9 1274 1391 29.13% 23.64% 47.23%-0.40 -8.9 25
2018-01-13 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-145.9 1391 1274 47.23% 23.64% 29.13%+0.40 +8.9 37
2018-01-13 St. Andrews D 1-154.1 1229 1085 61.58% 21.91% 16.51%+1.12 -3.0 25
2018-01-13 @ Hamrun Spartans D 1-154.1 1085 1229 16.51% 21.91% 61.58%-1.12 +3.1 11
2018-01-13 Tarxien Rainbows W 3-136.3 1277 1084 65.91% 20.89% 13.19%+1.41 +7.5 33
2018-01-13 @ Gzira United L 1-336.3 1084 1277 13.19% 20.89% 65.91%-1.41 -7.5 10
2018-01-13 Valletta L 0-132.5 1047 1403 9.82% 19.35% 70.83%-1.80 -3.4 11
2018-01-13 @ Naxxar Lions W 1-032.5 1403 1047 70.83% 19.35% 9.82%+1.80 +3.4 36
2018-01-14 Birkirkara L 0-330.7 1116 1349 17.41% 22.13% 60.47%-1.08 -16.5 18
2018-01-14 @ Mosta W 3-030.7 1349 1116 60.47% 22.13% 17.41%+1.08 +16.5 28
2018-01-14 Hibernians L 0-145.1 1343 1369 41.45% 23.86% 34.70%+0.13 -12.5 29
2018-01-14 @ Floriana W 1-045.1 1369 1343 34.70% 23.86% 41.45%-0.13 +12.4 28
2018-01-26 Sliema Wanderers D 1-155.5 1406 1265 61.35% 21.96% 16.70%+1.11 -3.0 37
2018-01-26 @ Valletta D 1-155.5 1265 1406 16.70% 21.96% 61.35%-1.11 +3.0 26
2018-01-27 Floriana W 1-048.7 1088 1331 16.66% 21.95% 61.39%-1.14 +17.5 14
2018-01-27 @ St. Andrews L 0-148.7 1331 1088 61.39% 21.95% 16.66%+1.14 -17.5 29
2018-01-27 Gzira United W 2-035.0 1382 1284 56.88% 22.71% 20.40%+0.85 +13.1 31
2018-01-27 @ Hibernians L 0-235.0 1284 1382 20.40% 22.71% 56.88%-0.85 -13.1 33
2018-01-27 Mosta L 0-143.2 1077 1100 41.94% 23.85% 34.21%+0.15 -12.6 10
2018-01-27 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 1-043.2 1100 1077 34.21% 23.85% 41.94%-0.15 +12.6 21
2018-01-27 Naxxar Lions L 0-434.2 943 1043 31.24% 23.75% 45.01%-0.30 -35.7 5
2018-01-27 @ Lija Athletics W 4-034.2 1043 943 45.01% 23.75% 31.24%+0.30 +35.7 14
2018-01-28 Hamrun Spartans W 2-032.4 1400 1226 64.30% 21.31% 14.39%+1.30 +9.5 40
2018-01-28 @ Balzan L 0-232.4 1226 1400 14.39% 21.31% 64.30%-1.30 -9.5 25
2018-01-28 Senglea Athletic W 5-028.5 1366 1169 66.29% 20.79% 12.92%+1.43 +20.0 31
2018-01-28 @ Birkirkara L 0-528.5 1169 1366 12.92% 20.79% 66.29%-1.43 -20.0 18
2018-02-02 St. Andrews D 1-154.3 1271 1106 63.58% 21.48% 14.94%+1.25 -3.3 34
2018-02-02 @ Gzira United D 1-154.3 1106 1271 14.94% 21.48% 63.58%-1.25 +3.3 15
2018-02-03 Birkirkara L 0-230.8 1079 1386 12.37% 20.57% 67.06%-1.51 -8.2 14
2018-02-03 @ Naxxar Lions W 2-030.8 1386 1079 67.06% 20.57% 12.37%+1.51 +8.2 34
2018-02-03 Hamrun Spartans W 1-037.0 1313 1216 56.78% 22.73% 20.49%+0.85 +7.0 32
2018-02-03 @ Floriana L 0-137.0 1216 1313 20.49% 22.73% 56.78%-0.85 -7.0 25
2018-02-03 Lija Athletics W 2-027.4 1268 907 77.49% 16.51% 6.00%+2.39 +3.8 29
2018-02-03 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-227.4 907 1268 6.00% 16.51% 77.49%-2.39 -3.8 5
2018-02-03 Tarxien Rainbows D 2-259.1 1149 1064 55.46% 22.91% 21.63%+0.77 -1.7 19
2018-02-03 @ Senglea Athletic D 2-259.1 1064 1149 21.63% 22.91% 55.46%-0.77 +1.7 11
2018-02-04 Balzan D 0-053.0 1403 1409 44.28% 23.78% 31.94%+0.25 -0.9 38
2018-02-04 @ Valletta D 0-053.0 1409 1403 31.94% 23.78% 44.28%-0.25 +0.9 41
2018-02-04 Hibernians D 0-050.3 1112 1395 13.83% 21.12% 65.05%-1.37 +3.9 22
2018-02-04 @ Mosta D 0-050.3 1395 1112 65.05% 21.12% 13.83%+1.37 -3.9 32
2018-02-09 Mosta D 0-049.1 1109 1116 44.09% 23.79% 32.13%+0.24 -0.8 16
2018-02-09 @ St. Andrews D 0-049.1 1116 1109 32.13% 23.79% 44.09%-0.24 +0.8 23
2018-02-10 Floriana D 1-156.0 1410 1320 56.05% 22.83% 21.12%+0.81 -2.3 42
2018-02-10 @ Balzan D 1-156.0 1320 1410 21.12% 22.83% 56.05%-0.81 +2.3 33
2018-02-10 Sliema Wanderers W 2-142.3 1394 1272 59.45% 22.31% 18.24%+1.00 +5.9 37
2018-02-10 @ Birkirkara L 1-242.3 1272 1394 18.24% 22.31% 59.45%-1.00 -5.9 29
2018-02-12 Gzira United L 1-247.2 1209 1268 36.89% 23.89% 39.22%-0.06 -10.7 25
2018-02-12 @ Hamrun Spartans W 2-147.2 1268 1209 39.22% 23.89% 36.89%+0.06 +10.7 37
2018-02-12 Naxxar Lions W 5-242.8 1066 1071 44.43% 23.77% 31.79%+0.25 +20.3 14
2018-02-12 @ Tarxien Rainbows L 2-542.8 1071 1066 31.79% 23.77% 44.43%-0.25 -20.3 14
2018-02-12 Senglea Athletic W 5-131.2 1391 1147 69.96% 19.66% 10.38%+1.71 +10.8 35
2018-02-12 @ Hibernians L 1-531.2 1147 1391 10.38% 19.66% 69.96%-1.71 -10.8 19
2018-02-12 Valletta L 1-332.2 904 1402 5.01% 15.45% 79.54%-2.64 -2.7 5
2018-02-12 @ Lija Athletics W 3-132.2 1402 904 79.54% 15.45% 5.01%+2.64 +2.7 41
2018-02-23 Hibernians D 0-050.7 1050 1402 10.04% 19.48% 70.48%-1.77 +4.7 15
2018-02-23 @ Naxxar Lions D 0-050.7 1402 1050 70.48% 19.48% 10.04%+1.77 -4.7 36
2018-02-24 Balzan L 0-324.7 901 1408 4.82% 15.23% 79.95%-2.68 -4.3 5
2018-02-24 @ Lija Athletics W 3-024.7 1408 901 79.95% 15.23% 4.82%+2.68 +4.3 45
2018-02-24 Floriana D 0-050.0 1279 1322 38.98% 23.89% 37.13%+0.02 -0.1 38
2018-02-24 @ Gzira United D 0-050.0 1322 1279 37.13% 23.89% 38.98%-0.02 +0.1 34
2018-02-24 St. Andrews W 2-144.1 1136 1108 48.75% 23.55% 27.70%+0.45 +8.5 22
2018-02-24 @ Senglea Athletic L 1-244.1 1108 1136 27.70% 23.55% 48.75%-0.45 -8.5 16
2018-02-24 Tarxien Rainbows D 1-154.3 1266 1086 64.81% 21.18% 14.01%+1.33 -3.5 30
2018-02-24 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-154.3 1086 1266 14.01% 21.18% 64.81%-1.33 +3.5 15
2018-02-25 Birkirkara D 0-052.8 1405 1400 45.77% 23.72% 30.51%+0.31 -1.1 42
2018-02-25 @ Valletta D 0-052.8 1400 1405 30.51% 23.72% 45.77%-0.31 +1.1 38
2018-02-25 Hamrun Spartans L 0-238.0 1117 1199 33.67% 23.83% 42.50%-0.20 -20.0 23
2018-02-25 @ Mosta W 2-038.0 1199 1117 42.50% 23.83% 33.67%+0.20 +20.0 28
2018-03-03 Lija Athletics W 2-133.4 1401 897 84.45% 12.55% 3.00%+3.23 +0.9 41
2018-03-03 @ Birkirkara L 1-233.4 897 1401 3.00% 12.55% 84.45%-3.23 -0.9 5
2018-03-03 Mosta W 5-027.5 1322 1097 68.57% 20.12% 11.31%+1.60 +17.4 37
2018-03-03 @ Floriana L 0-527.5 1097 1322 11.31% 20.12% 68.57%-1.60 -17.4 23
2018-03-03 Naxxar Lions D 0-049.2 1100 1055 50.78% 23.40% 25.82%+0.54 -1.8 17
2018-03-03 @ St. Andrews D 0-049.2 1055 1100 25.82% 23.40% 50.78%-0.54 +1.8 16
2018-03-03 Valletta L 0-230.7 1090 1404 11.94% 20.40% 67.66%-1.56 -7.9 15
2018-03-03 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 2-030.7 1404 1090 67.66% 20.40% 11.94%+1.56 +7.9 45
2018-03-04 Senglea Athletic W 3-032.4 1219 1145 54.25% 23.05% 22.70%+0.71 +21.0 31
2018-03-04 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-332.4 1145 1219 22.70% 23.05% 54.25%-0.71 -21.0 22
2018-03-04 Sliema Wanderers L 0-149.7 1397 1262 60.72% 22.08% 17.20%+1.07 -17.3 36
2018-03-04 @ Hibernians W 1-049.7 1262 1397 17.20% 22.08% 60.72%-1.07 +17.3 33
2018-03-05 Gzira United D 0-051.3 1412 1278 60.57% 22.11% 17.32%+1.06 -3.3 46
2018-03-05 @ Balzan D 0-051.3 1278 1412 17.32% 22.11% 60.57%-1.06 +3.2 39
2018-03-09 Tarxien Rainbows L 0-431.1 896 1082 21.52% 22.89% 55.59%-0.81 -26.2 5
2018-03-09 @ Lija Athletics W 4-031.1 1082 896 55.59% 22.89% 21.52%+0.81 +26.2 18
2018-03-10 Balzan L 1-350.2 1402 1409 44.12% 23.78% 32.09%+0.24 -21.4 41
2018-03-10 @ Birkirkara W 3-150.2 1409 1402 32.09% 23.78% 44.12%-0.24 +21.4 49
2018-03-10 Floriana D 0-049.8 1124 1340 18.81% 22.43% 58.77%-0.98 +3.0 23
2018-03-10 @ Senglea Athletic D 0-049.8 1340 1124 58.77% 22.43% 18.81%+0.98 -3.0 38
2018-03-10 Hamrun Spartans L 1-436.9 1057 1240 21.85% 22.94% 55.21%-0.79 -17.1 16
2018-03-10 @ Naxxar Lions W 4-136.9 1240 1057 55.21% 22.94% 21.85%+0.79 +17.1 34
2018-03-10 St. Andrews W 1-034.1 1280 1098 65.01% 21.13% 13.86%+1.34 +4.8 36
2018-03-10 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-134.1 1098 1280 13.86% 21.13% 65.01%-1.34 -4.9 17
2018-03-11 Gzira United L 3-544.6 1080 1282 20.03% 22.65% 57.32%-0.90 -9.5 23
2018-03-11 @ Mosta W 5-344.6 1282 1080 57.32% 22.65% 20.03%+0.90 +9.5 42
2018-03-11 Hibernians W 2-147.3 1412 1380 49.23% 23.52% 27.25%+0.47 +8.4 48
2018-03-11 @ Valletta L 1-247.3 1380 1412 27.25% 23.52% 49.23%-0.47 -8.4 36
2018-03-16 Birkirkara L 1-337.1 1108 1380 14.51% 21.35% 64.14%-1.31 -8.3 18
2018-03-16 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 3-137.1 1380 1108 64.14% 21.35% 14.51%+1.31 +8.3 44
2018-03-17 Mosta W 2-027.8 1430 1070 77.45% 16.53% 6.02%+2.38 +3.8 52
2018-03-17 @ Balzan L 0-227.8 1070 1430 6.02% 16.53% 77.45%-2.38 -3.8 23
2018-03-17 Naxxar Lions W 2-028.7 1337 1040 73.65% 18.26% 8.09%+2.02 +5.2 41
2018-03-17 @ Floriana L 0-228.7 1040 1337 8.09% 18.26% 73.65%-2.02 -5.2 16
2018-03-17 Sliema Wanderers L 2-353.6 1257 1284 41.28% 23.86% 34.86%+0.12 -11.1 34
2018-03-17 @ Hamrun Spartans W 3-253.6 1284 1257 34.86% 23.86% 41.28%-0.12 +11.1 39
2018-03-17 Valletta L 0-133.4 1093 1420 11.24% 20.08% 68.68%-1.63 -3.9 17
2018-03-17 @ St. Andrews W 1-033.4 1420 1093 68.68% 20.08% 11.24%+1.63 +3.9 51
2018-03-18 Lija Athletics W 7-023.6 1371 870 84.36% 12.61% 3.03%+3.22 +5.7 39
2018-03-18 @ Hibernians L 0-723.6 870 1371 3.03% 12.61% 84.36%-3.22 -5.6 5
2018-03-18 Senglea Athletic W 4-134.6 1291 1127 63.47% 21.50% 15.03%+1.24 +12.1 45
2018-03-18 @ Gzira United L 1-434.6 1127 1291 15.03% 21.50% 63.47%-1.24 -12.1 23
2018-04-06 Mosta W 5-240.8 1115 1066 51.27% 23.35% 25.38%+0.56 +16.9 26
2018-04-06 @ Senglea Athletic L 2-540.8 1066 1115 25.38% 23.35% 51.27%-0.56 -16.8 23
2018-04-07 Balzan W 3-153.3 1100 1434 10.89% 19.92% 69.19%-1.67 +31.8 21
2018-04-07 @ Tarxien Rainbows L 1-353.3 1434 1100 69.19% 19.92% 10.89%+1.67 -31.8 52
2018-04-07 Gzira United L 0-231.6 1035 1303 14.75% 21.42% 63.83%-1.29 -9.7 16
2018-04-07 @ Naxxar Lions W 2-031.6 1303 1035 63.83% 21.42% 14.75%+1.29 +9.7 48
2018-04-07 Hibernians L 1-350.0 1389 1377 46.59% 23.68% 29.73%+0.35 -22.4 44
2018-04-07 @ Birkirkara W 3-150.0 1377 1389 29.73% 23.68% 46.59%-0.35 +22.4 42
2018-04-07 St. Andrews L 1-240.7 864 1089 18.03% 22.27% 59.70%-1.04 -5.9 5
2018-04-07 @ Lija Athletics W 2-140.7 1089 864 59.70% 22.27% 18.03%+1.04 +5.9 20
2018-04-08 Floriana D 2-260.0 1295 1342 38.57% 23.89% 37.55%+0.01 -0.0 40
2018-04-08 @ Sliema Wanderers D 2-260.0 1342 1295 37.55% 23.89% 38.57%-0.01 +0.0 42
2018-04-08 Hamrun Spartans W 3-030.7 1424 1246 64.73% 21.20% 14.07%+1.32 +13.5 54
2018-04-08 @ Valletta L 0-330.7 1246 1424 14.07% 21.20% 64.73%-1.32 -13.5 34
2018-04-13 Lija Athletics D 1-155.7 1232 858 78.25% 16.13% 5.62%+2.47 -5.1 35
2018-04-13 @ Hamrun Spartans D 1-155.7 858 1232 5.62% 16.13% 78.25%-2.47 +5.0 6
2018-04-14 Birkirkara W 1-049.4 1095 1366 14.58% 21.37% 64.05%-1.31 +18.2 23
2018-04-14 @ St. Andrews L 0-149.4 1366 1095 64.05% 21.37% 14.58%+1.31 -18.2 44
2018-04-14 Senglea Athletic W 2-137.7 1402 1132 71.85% 18.98% 9.17%+1.86 +3.0 55
2018-04-14 @ Balzan L 1-237.7 1132 1402 9.17% 18.98% 71.85%-1.86 -3.0 26
2018-04-14 Sliema Wanderers W 2-145.4 1313 1295 47.39% 23.63% 28.98%+0.38 +8.9 51
2018-04-14 @ Gzira United L 1-245.4 1295 1313 28.98% 23.63% 47.39%-0.38 -8.9 40
2018-04-14 Valletta D 1-156.6 1342 1438 31.84% 23.78% 44.38%-0.28 +0.8 43
2018-04-14 @ Floriana D 1-156.6 1438 1342 44.38% 23.78% 31.84%+0.28 -0.8 55
2018-04-15 Naxxar Lions L 0-242.2 1050 1025 48.30% 23.58% 28.12%+0.43 -26.6 23
2018-04-15 @ Mosta W 2-042.2 1025 1050 28.12% 23.58% 48.30%-0.43 +26.6 19
2018-04-15 Tarxien Rainbows D 2-260.7 1399 1132 71.68% 19.04% 9.28%+1.85 -3.2 43
2018-04-15 @ Hibernians D 2-260.7 1132 1399 9.28% 19.04% 71.68%-1.85 +3.2 22
2018-04-20 Mosta L 0-150.7 1287 1023 71.39% 19.15% 9.46%+1.82 -20.0 40
2018-04-20 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-050.7 1023 1287 9.46% 19.15% 71.39%-1.82 +20.0 26
2018-04-20 Senglea Athletic W 3-038.3 1051 1129 34.28% 23.85% 41.87%-0.17 +34.4 22
2018-04-20 @ Naxxar Lions L 0-338.3 1129 1051 41.87% 23.85% 34.28%+0.17 -34.4 26
2018-04-20 St. Andrews D 0-049.2 1135 1113 47.91% 23.60% 28.48%+0.41 -1.4 23
2018-04-20 @ Tarxien Rainbows D 0-049.2 1113 1135 28.48% 23.60% 47.91%-0.41 +1.4 24
2018-04-21 Balzan W 1-044.0 1396 1405 43.87% 23.79% 32.33%+0.23 +10.3 46
2018-04-21 @ Hibernians L 0-144.0 1405 1396 32.33% 23.79% 43.87%-0.23 -10.3 55
2018-04-21 Floriana L 2-629.9 863 1343 5.48% 15.98% 78.54%-2.53 -4.6 6
2018-04-21 @ Lija Athletics W 6-229.9 1343 863 78.54% 15.98% 5.48%+2.53 +4.6 46
2018-04-21 Gzira United W 2-143.8 1437 1322 58.73% 22.43% 18.84%+0.95 +6.1 58
2018-04-21 @ Valletta L 1-243.8 1322 1437 18.84% 22.43% 58.73%-0.95 -6.1 51
2018-04-21 Hamrun Spartans W 4-242.8 1348 1227 59.32% 22.33% 18.35%+0.99 +9.2 47
2018-04-21 @ Birkirkara L 2-442.8 1227 1348 18.35% 22.33% 59.32%-0.99 -9.2 35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2018-04-20 9.46% Mosta 1023 1 @ Sliema Wanderers 1287 0
2 2018-04-07 10.89% @ Tarxien Rainbows 1100 3 Balzan 1434 1
3 2017-12-17 11.66% @ St. Andrews 1072 2 Hibernians 1391 1
4 2018-04-14 14.58% @ St. Andrews 1095 1 Birkirkara 1366 0
5 2018-01-27 16.66% @ St. Andrews 1088 1 Floriana 1331 0
6 2018-03-04 17.20% Sliema Wanderers 1262 1 @ Hibernians 1397 0
7 2017-11-04 17.98% Lija Athletics 996 3 @ Tarxien Rainbows 1122 2
8 2017-12-16 19.91% @ Senglea Athletic 1119 3 Sliema Wanderers 1323 0
9 2017-12-17 22.31% Birkirkara 1284 2 @ Floriana 1361 0
10 2017-09-16 22.96% @ Senglea Athletic 1160 1 Birkirkara 1332 0
11 2017-08-18 23.99% Hamrun Spartans 1163 4 @ Tarxien Rainbows 1224 1
12 2017-08-25 24.42% @ St. Andrews 1167 3 Balzan 1324 2
13 2017-09-30 25.47% @ Tarxien Rainbows 1130 2 Sliema Wanderers 1278 1
14 2018-04-15 28.12% Naxxar Lions 1025 2 @ Mosta 1050 0
15 2017-10-20 28.47% @ Naxxar Lions 1017 3 St. Andrews 1139 1
16 2017-09-16 29.07% @ Gzira United 1270 3 Hibernians 1387 2
17 2017-08-26 29.42% @ Gzira United 1235 2 Birkirkara 1349 0
18 2018-04-07 29.73% Hibernians 1377 3 @ Birkirkara 1389 1
19 2017-12-10 29.96% @ Gzira United 1297 2 Valletta 1407 1
20 2017-10-20 31.66% Balzan 1322 2 @ Gzira United 1319 1
21 2017-12-10 32.06% Tarxien Rainbows 1090 3 @ St. Andrews 1083 2
22 2017-10-22 32.07% @ Sliema Wanderers 1293 1 Hibernians 1387 0
23 2018-03-10 32.09% Balzan 1409 3 @ Birkirkara 1402 1
24 2017-11-25 32.20% @ Naxxar Lions 1021 2 Mosta 1113 0
25 2017-09-08 32.61% Hamrun Spartans 1191 2 @ St. Andrews 1180 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-12-16 45.12 @ Senglea Athletic 3 1119 19.91% Sliema Wanderers 0 1323 57.46% 22.63%
2 2018-01-27 35.74 Naxxar Lions 4 1043 45.01% @ Lija Athletics 0 943 31.24% 23.75%
3 2018-01-05 35.54 @ Birkirkara 4 1314 45.24% Gzira United 0 1312 31.02% 23.74%
4 2017-09-29 35.27 Valletta 3 1332 32.94% @ Birkirkara 0 1319 43.25% 23.81%
5 2017-08-18 35.25 Hamrun Spartans 4 1163 23.99% @ Tarxien Rainbows 1 1224 52.80% 23.21%
6 2018-04-20 34.37 @ Naxxar Lions 3 1051 34.28% Senglea Athletic 0 1129 41.87% 23.85%
7 2017-08-18 34.31 Gzira United 4 1200 46.63% @ Lija Athletics 0 1088 29.70% 23.68%
8 2017-08-25 32.36 @ Floriana 5 1274 55.48% Tarxien Rainbows 0 1189 21.62% 22.90%
9 2018-04-07 31.83 @ Tarxien Rainbows 3 1100 10.89% Balzan 1 1434 69.19% 19.92%
10 2017-10-30 29.95 Balzan 5 1335 57.57% @ Mosta 0 1130 19.82% 22.61%
11 2017-12-17 29.70 Birkirkara 2 1284 22.31% @ Floriana 0 1361 54.68% 23.00%
12 2018-01-06 29.11 Mosta 5 1087 45.93% @ Lija Athletics 1 980 30.36% 23.71%
13 2017-10-15 29.10 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1264 42.38% Birkirkara 0 1284 33.78% 23.84%
14 2017-10-15 26.66 @ Gzira United 4 1292 55.04% Hamrun Spartans 0 1211 22.00% 22.96%
15 2018-04-15 26.63 Naxxar Lions 2 1025 28.12% @ Mosta 0 1050 48.30% 23.58%
16 2018-03-09 26.16 Tarxien Rainbows 4 1082 55.59% @ Lija Athletics 0 896 21.52% 22.89%
17 2017-08-26 25.98 @ Gzira United 2 1235 29.42% Birkirkara 0 1349 46.92% 23.66%
18 2017-11-25 24.63 @ Naxxar Lions 2 1021 32.20% Mosta 0 1113 44.01% 23.79%
19 2017-10-20 22.91 @ Naxxar Lions 3 1017 28.47% St. Andrews 1 1139 47.93% 23.60%
20 2018-04-07 22.37 Hibernians 3 1377 29.73% @ Birkirkara 1 1389 46.59% 23.68%
21 2017-10-21 21.46 @ Valletta 6 1371 68.00% Tarxien Rainbows 0 1153 11.71% 20.30%
22 2018-03-10 21.38 Balzan 3 1409 32.09% @ Birkirkara 1 1402 44.12% 23.78%
23 2018-03-04 20.97 @ Hamrun Spartans 3 1219 54.25% Senglea Athletic 0 1145 22.70% 23.05%
24 2017-11-25 20.89 Hamrun Spartans 5 1211 56.75% @ Lija Athletics 1 1014 20.52% 22.73%
25 2017-09-15 20.84 @ Floriana 4 1308 61.25% St. Andrews 0 1168 16.77% 21.98%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-04-15 60.7 @ Hibernians 2 1399 71.68% Tarxien Rainbows 2 1132 9.28% 19.04%
2 2018-04-08 60.0 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1295 38.57% Floriana 2 1342 37.55% 23.89%
3 2017-11-04 59.9 @ Gzira United 2 1304 66.87% Mosta 2 1100 12.50% 20.63%
4 2017-10-22 59.5 @ Mosta 2 1128 19.56% Floriana 2 1336 57.87% 22.57%
5 2017-08-19 59.3 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1260 57.35% Senglea Athletic 2 1158 20.00% 22.65%
6 2018-02-03 59.1 @ Senglea Athletic 2 1149 55.46% Tarxien Rainbows 2 1064 21.63% 22.91%
7 2017-11-04 58.1 Lija Athletics 3 996 17.98% @ Tarxien Rainbows 2 1122 59.77% 22.25%
8 2017-08-25 56.6 @ St. Andrews 3 1167 24.42% Balzan 2 1324 52.32% 23.26%
9 2018-04-14 56.6 @ Floriana 1 1342 31.84% Valletta 1 1438 44.38% 23.78%
10 2017-09-16 56.2 @ Gzira United 3 1270 29.07% Hibernians 2 1387 47.29% 23.64%
11 2018-02-10 56.0 @ Balzan 1 1410 56.05% Floriana 1 1320 21.12% 22.83%
12 2017-09-29 55.8 @ Hibernians 1 1385 77.72% Naxxar Lions 1 1021 5.88% 16.40%
13 2018-04-13 55.7 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1232 78.25% Lija Athletics 1 858 5.62% 16.13%
14 2017-09-09 55.5 @ Hibernians 1 1390 55.33% Floriana 1 1306 21.75% 22.92%
15 2017-12-17 55.5 @ St. Andrews 2 1072 11.66% Hibernians 1 1391 68.07% 20.27%
16 2018-01-26 55.5 @ Valletta 1 1406 61.35% Sliema Wanderers 1 1265 16.70% 21.96%
17 2017-10-14 54.9 @ Floriana 1 1337 47.14% Balzan 1 1321 29.21% 23.65%
18 2017-08-18 54.8 @ Birkirkara 1 1351 54.92% Floriana 1 1272 22.11% 22.97%
19 2017-09-29 54.7 @ Floriana 1 1338 51.23% Gzira United 1 1290 25.41% 23.36%
20 2018-01-06 54.7 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1278 69.33% Naxxar Lions 1 1042 10.80% 19.87%
21 2018-02-02 54.3 @ Gzira United 1 1271 63.58% St. Andrews 1 1106 14.94% 21.48%
22 2018-02-24 54.3 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1266 64.81% Tarxien Rainbows 1 1086 14.01% 21.18%
23 2017-12-08 54.2 @ Mosta 1 1089 17.06% Sliema Wanderers 1 1326 60.90% 22.04%
24 2018-01-13 54.1 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1229 61.58% St. Andrews 1 1085 16.51% 21.91%
25 2017-10-27 53.9 @ Senglea Athletic 1 1138 23.33% Gzira United 1 1306 53.54% 23.13%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-03-18 23.6 @ Hibernians 7 1371 84.36% Lija Athletics 0 870 3.03% 12.61%
2 2018-02-24 24.7 Balzan 3 1408 79.95% @ Lija Athletics 0 901 4.82% 15.23%
3 2017-12-09 25.2 @ Floriana 6 1351 77.35% Lija Athletics 0 993 6.07% 16.58%
4 2017-10-28 27.2 Hibernians 3 1374 71.71% @ Lija Athletics 0 1005 9.26% 19.03%
5 2017-10-28 27.3 @ Valletta 3 1392 72.24% St. Andrews 0 1116 8.93% 18.83%
6 2018-02-03 27.4 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1268 77.49% Lija Athletics 0 907 6.00% 16.51%
7 2018-03-03 27.5 @ Floriana 5 1322 68.57% Mosta 0 1097 11.31% 20.12%
8 2018-03-17 27.8 @ Balzan 2 1430 77.45% Mosta 0 1070 6.02% 16.53%
9 2017-09-22 28.4 @ Hibernians 3 1375 69.01% Mosta 0 1144 11.01% 19.98%
10 2017-10-21 28.5 @ Valletta 6 1371 68.00% Tarxien Rainbows 0 1153 11.71% 20.30%
11 2018-01-28 28.5 @ Birkirkara 5 1366 66.29% Senglea Athletic 0 1169 12.92% 20.79%
12 2018-03-17 28.7 @ Floriana 2 1337 73.65% Naxxar Lions 0 1040 8.09% 18.26%
13 2017-08-18 28.9 @ Hibernians 4 1365 64.92% St. Andrews 0 1184 13.93% 21.15%
14 2017-11-03 29.0 @ Floriana 3 1338 66.40% Senglea Athletic 0 1140 12.84% 20.76%
15 2017-08-19 29.1 @ Balzan 2 1319 72.17% Naxxar Lions 0 1044 8.98% 18.86%
16 2017-11-26 29.4 Hibernians 3 1389 65.29% @ Tarxien Rainbows 0 1103 13.65% 21.06%
17 2017-09-15 29.7 @ Floriana 4 1308 61.25% St. Andrews 0 1168 16.77% 21.98%
18 2018-04-21 29.9 Floriana 6 1343 78.54% @ Lija Athletics 2 863 5.48% 15.98%
19 2018-01-12 30.4 @ Senglea Athletic 2 1161 67.34% Lija Athletics 0 951 12.17% 20.49%
20 2018-01-14 30.7 Birkirkara 3 1349 60.47% @ Mosta 0 1116 17.41% 22.13%
21 2018-03-03 30.7 Valletta 2 1404 67.66% @ Tarxien Rainbows 0 1090 11.94% 20.40%
22 2018-04-08 30.7 @ Valletta 3 1424 64.73% Hamrun Spartans 0 1246 14.07% 21.20%
23 2018-02-03 30.8 Birkirkara 2 1386 67.06% @ Naxxar Lions 0 1079 12.37% 20.57%
24 2017-10-30 30.9 Balzan 5 1335 57.57% @ Mosta 0 1130 19.82% 22.61%
25 2018-03-09 31.1 Tarxien Rainbows 4 1082 55.59% @ Lija Athletics 0 896 21.52% 22.89%