‹ ›

2018-19 Maltese Premier League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Valletta

58 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hamrun Spartans

6.70 points above expected

46 points · 39.30 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Floriana

9.95 points below expected

32 points · 41.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Valletta 26 18 4 4 58 61 18 +43 54.07 +3.93
2 Hibernians 26 18 4 4 58 54 27 +27 52.54 +5.46
3 Gzira United 26 13 11 2 50 42 21 +21 46.41 +3.59
4 Hamrun Spartans 26 12 10 4 46 35 20 +15 39.30 +6.70
5 Sliema Wanderers 26 13 6 7 45 37 26 +11 42.09 +2.91
6 Balzan 26 12 7 7 43 41 31 +10 46.70 -3.70
7 Birkirkara 26 12 3 11 39 33 26 +7 45.68 -6.68
8 Floriana 26 9 5 12 32 28 25 +3 41.95 -9.95
9 Mosta 26 7 8 11 29 30 45 -15 24.39 +4.61
10 Senglea Athletic 26 7 5 14 26 33 46 -13 25.96 +0.04
11 Tarxien Rainbows 26 8 2 16 26 29 58 -29 28.19 -2.19
12 St. Andrews 26 7 3 16 24 25 45 -20 30.87 -6.87
13 Qormi 26 6 2 18 20 25 51 -26 14.43 +5.57
14 Pieta Hotspurs 26 3 4 19 13 25 59 -34 18.12 -5.12

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamrun Spartans 46 39.30 +6.70
2 Qormi 20 14.43 +5.57
3 Hibernians 58 52.54 +5.46
4 Mosta 29 24.39 +4.61
5 Valletta 58 54.07 +3.93

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Floriana 32 41.95 -9.95
2 St. Andrews 24 30.87 -6.87
3 Birkirkara 39 45.68 -6.68
4 Pieta Hotspurs 13 18.12 -5.12
5 Balzan 43 46.70 -3.70

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Qormi 2 Apr 15 – Apr 22 1 in 192
2 Gzira United 6 Sep 16 – Oct 27 1 in 104
3 Senglea Athletic 4 Jan 13 – Feb 9 1 in 55
4 Hibernians 8 Sep 28 – Dec 9 1 in 45
5 Valletta 7 Sep 16 – Nov 4 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Birkirkara 4 Apr 5 – Apr 26 1 in 698
2 St. Andrews 7 Feb 16 – Apr 14 1 in 332
3 Pieta Hotspurs 12 Nov 25 – Mar 30 1 in 240
4 Qormi 12 Sep 21 – Jan 20 1 in 72
5 Floriana 3 Oct 22 – Nov 4 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gzira United 16 Aug 18 – Feb 3 1 in 212
2 Mosta 5 Mar 30 – Apr 26 1 in 134
3 Hamrun Spartans 10 Oct 26 – Feb 9 1 in 103
4 Qormi 3 Apr 15 – Apr 26 1 in 49
5 Senglea Athletic 5 Jan 13 – Feb 16 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Andrews 12 Dec 14 – Apr 14 1 in 179
2 Birkirkara 4 Apr 5 – Apr 26 1 in 42
3 Gzira United 5 Jan 12 – Feb 17 1 in 33
4 Floriana 5 Jan 11 – Feb 16 1 in 21
5 Hibernians 3 Mar 8 – Mar 30 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Hibernians 1442 58 +4 10 10.5 -0.5
Valletta 1473 58 -15 8 10.6 -2.6
Gzira United 1382 50 -5 8 9.8 -1.8
Hamrun Spartans 1322 46 +7 9 8.7 +0.3
Sliema Wanderers 1316 45 -10 7 9.2 -2.2
Balzan 1351 43 -3 10 8.7 +1.3
Birkirkara 1325 39 -30 3 9.2 -6.2
Floriana 1310 32 +13 7 8.0 -1.0
Mosta 1139 29 +15 7 4.2 +2.8
Senglea Athletic 1183 26 +6 6 4.7 +1.3
Tarxien Rainbows 1125 26 -9 4 4.9 -0.9
St. Andrews 1128 24 -2 6 4.1 +1.9
Qormi 1029 20 +31 7 2.6 +4.4
Pieta Hotspurs 1003 13 -2 3 3.2 -0.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAL BIR FLO GU HS HIB MOS PH QOR SA SW SA TR VAL
Balzan —
0-1-1
2.94
1-1-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.75
0-2-0
3.27
0-1-1
2.32
1-1-0
4.40
2-0-0
4.83
2-0-0
4.97
1-0-1
4.35
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
4.25
2-0-0
4.13
0-0-2
2.22
Birkirkara
1-1-0
2.63
—
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
2.68
0-0-2
3.31
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
4.35
2-0-0
4.72
1-0-1
4.86
1-0-1
4.21
2-0-0
2.94
1-0-1
4.08
2-0-0
4.08
0-0-2
2.26
Floriana
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.57
—
0-0-2
2.22
0-1-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.04
1-1-0
4.18
1-0-1
4.59
1-0-1
4.78
2-0-0
4.03
0-1-1
2.84
0-0-2
3.98
2-0-0
3.79
1-0-1
1.64
Gzira United
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
2.89
2-0-0
3.36
—
0-2-0
3.39
1-0-1
2.46
0-2-0
4.56
1-1-0
4.87
2-0-0
4.96
2-0-0
4.40
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-1
4.31
1-1-0
4.02
0-2-0
2.19
Hamrun Spartans
0-2-0
2.30
2-0-0
2.27
1-1-0
2.38
0-2-0
2.18
—
0-1-1
1.82
0-1-1
3.99
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
4.68
1-1-0
3.92
0-1-1
2.56
2-0-0
3.55
1-0-1
3.68
1-1-0
1.58
Hibernians
1-1-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.54
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
3.77
—
1-1-0
4.67
2-0-0
4.90
1-0-1
5.16
2-0-0
4.57
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
4.35
2-0-0
4.38
1-0-1
2.64
Mosta
0-1-1
1.24
1-0-1
1.28
0-1-1
1.44
0-2-0
1.09
1-1-0
1.61
0-1-1
1.00
—
1-0-1
3.63
1-1-0
3.71
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-2
1.47
0-1-1
2.19
2-0-0
2.18
0-0-2
0.88
Pieta Hotspurs
0-0-2
0.86
0-0-2
0.96
1-0-1
1.07
0-1-1
0.83
0-0-2
1.12
0-0-2
0.80
1-0-1
1.95
—
0-1-1
3.27
0-1-1
1.98
0-0-2
1.06
1-1-0
1.84
0-0-2
1.91
0-0-2
0.65
Qormi
0-0-2
0.74
1-0-1
0.83
1-0-1
0.90
0-0-2
0.75
0-0-2
0.99
1-0-1
0.59
0-1-1
1.88
1-1-0
2.30
—
1-0-1
1.71
0-0-2
0.91
1-0-1
1.48
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-2
0.59
Senglea Athletic
1-0-1
1.28
1-0-1
1.42
0-0-2
1.58
0-0-2
1.23
0-1-1
1.68
0-0-2
1.09
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
3.61
1-0-1
3.89
—
0-1-1
1.57
2-0-0
2.44
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
0.98
Sliema Wanderers
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
2.63
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
2.07
2-0-0
4.15
2-0-0
4.60
2-0-0
4.78
1-1-0
4.04
—
1-1-0
3.78
2-0-0
3.82
1-0-1
1.79
St. Andrews
1-0-1
1.37
1-0-1
1.53
2-0-0
1.63
1-0-1
1.32
0-0-2
2.03
0-0-2
1.28
1-1-0
3.39
0-1-1
3.75
1-0-1
4.13
0-0-2
3.13
0-1-1
1.81
—
0-0-2
2.99
0-0-2
0.98
Tarxien Rainbows
0-0-2
1.48
0-0-2
1.53
0-0-2
1.80
0-1-1
1.58
1-0-1
1.90
0-0-2
1.26
0-0-2
3.40
2-0-0
3.67
2-0-0
3.96
1-1-0
2.87
0-0-2
1.78
2-0-0
2.58
—
0-0-2
1.02
Valletta
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.96
0-2-0
3.38
0-1-1
4.03
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
4.81
2-0-0
5.09
2-0-0
5.16
1-1-0
4.69
1-0-1
3.80
2-0-0
4.69
2-0-0
4.65
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +11.6
Allowed 0.77 -8.5
Differential 0.94 +5.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.49%7.97%9.07%3.85%1.37%1.65%29.40%
17.97%9.34%7.97%3.57%1.10%0.82%30.77%
29.07%7.97%3.30%1.65%0.55%0.27%22.80%
33.85%3.57%1.65%2.20%——11.26%
41.37%1.10%0.55%———3.02%
5+1.65%0.82%0.27%———2.75%
Total29.40%30.77%22.80%11.26%3.02%2.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.37 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 2.02
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
17.69%3.85%7.69%—3.85%3.85%26.92%
27.69%3.85%7.69%———19.23%
33.85%15.38%————19.23%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total38.46%26.92%23.08%3.85%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 1.19 +0.38
SD 1.39 1.33 2.02
CV 0.88 1.11 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
17.69%3.85%15.38%———26.92%
223.08%7.69%—7.69%——38.46%
37.69%—————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.15%19.23%23.08%11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.00 +0.27
SD 0.96 1.10 1.66
CV 0.76 1.10 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%26.92%11.54%3.85%——50.00%
17.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
211.54%—————11.54%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
43.85%3.85%————7.69%
5+———————
Total34.62%42.31%15.38%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 0.96 +0.12
SD 1.35 0.92 1.80
CV 1.26 0.95 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%7.69%————19.23%
115.38%26.92%————42.31%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
33.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total34.62%53.85%7.69%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.62 0.81 +0.81
SD 1.39 0.75 1.20
CV 0.86 0.93 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.54%3.85%————15.38%
115.38%19.23%11.54%———46.15%
211.54%7.69%7.69%———26.92%
37.69%—3.85%———11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total46.15%30.77%23.08%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 0.77 +0.58
SD 0.89 0.82 1.14
CV 0.66 1.06 —
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%———3.85%
111.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%——26.92%
215.38%23.08%7.69%3.85%——50.00%
3——3.85%———3.85%
43.85%—3.85%———7.69%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total34.62%34.62%23.08%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.08 1.04 +1.04
SD 1.23 0.96 1.66
CV 0.59 0.92 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%—7.69%3.85%3.85%30.77%
13.85%15.38%3.85%15.38%——38.46%
211.54%3.85%————15.38%
3—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%30.77%7.69%30.77%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.73 -0.58
SD 1.05 1.43 1.88
CV 0.91 0.83 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%19.23%19.23%3.85%—46.15%
1—7.69%15.38%———23.08%
2—3.85%3.85%7.69%—3.85%19.23%
3—7.69%—3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total—23.08%38.46%30.77%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 2.27 -1.31
SD 1.08 1.00 1.57
CV 1.12 0.44 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 1 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%15.38%—3.85%3.85%30.77%
111.54%3.85%19.23%7.69%3.85%—46.15%
27.69%—3.85%3.85%3.85%—19.23%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%15.38%38.46%11.54%11.54%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.96 -1.00
SD 0.82 1.48 1.85
CV 0.86 0.76 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%15.38%19.23%——3.85%42.31%
1—3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
2—11.54%7.69%———19.23%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total15.38%30.77%34.62%7.69%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.77 -0.50
SD 1.43 1.37 2.25
CV 1.13 0.77 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%11.54%———26.92%
13.85%11.54%3.85%3.85%——23.08%
211.54%15.38%3.85%———30.77%
37.69%7.69%3.85%———19.23%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%42.31%23.08%3.85%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.00 +0.42
SD 1.10 0.85 1.53
CV 0.77 0.85 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%15.38%3.85%3.85%3.85%38.46%
17.69%7.69%15.38%3.85%—3.85%38.46%
211.54%—————11.54%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.08%23.08%30.77%11.54%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.73 -0.77
SD 1.00 1.46 2.05
CV 1.04 0.84 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%15.38%7.69%3.85%7.69%38.46%
13.85%3.85%3.85%11.54%3.85%—26.92%
23.85%15.38%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
33.85%—————3.85%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total11.54%26.92%23.08%19.23%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 2.23 -1.12
SD 1.21 1.66 2.47
CV 1.09 0.74 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%——15.38%
115.38%7.69%3.85%———26.92%
27.69%11.54%————19.23%
37.69%——3.85%——11.54%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+11.54%3.85%————15.38%
Total53.85%30.77%7.69%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 0.69 +1.65
SD 1.94 0.93 2.40
CV 0.83 1.34 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Valletta 1473 58 54.07 +3.93 71.0% 38 44 50 54 59 64 70
Hibernians 1442 58 52.54 +5.46 79.0% 31 40 49 53 57 62 68
Gzira United 1382 50 46.41 +3.59 71.0% 25 34 41 47 51 57 61
Balzan 1351 43 46.70 -3.70 29.0% 26 34 43 47 51 56 64
Birkirkara 1325 39 45.68 -6.68 18.0% 28 36 41 46 50 56 59
Hamrun Spartans 1322 46 39.30 +6.70 89.0% 22 27 36 40 44 47 56
Sliema Wanderers 1316 45 42.09 +2.91 74.0% 27 30 38 42 46 53 58
Floriana 1310 32 41.95 -9.95 12.0% 26 29 36 42 47 53 65
Senglea Athletic 1183 26 25.96 +0.04 55.0% 11 15 23 26 29 36 39
Mosta 1139 29 24.39 +4.61 85.0% 13 16 22 24 27 33 37
St. Andrews 1128 24 30.87 -6.87 12.0% 14 22 26 31 34 41 46
Tarxien Rainbows 1125 26 28.19 -2.19 41.0% 13 18 24 28 32 38 46
Qormi 1029 20 14.43 +5.57 88.0% 3 6 10 15 19 22 25
Pieta Hotspurs 1003 13 18.12 -5.12 19.0% 5 9 14 18 22 27 30

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-2.75%
Slight Edge
38.46%20.33%41.21%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -9.55 Elo pts.
201 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.04 goals
Neutral
-2-0.05+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.5
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
42%
Valletta, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.97 * Some Luck: 4.97 to 7.45 * Lucky: 7.45 to 9.93 * Wild Swing: 9.93 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.14 * Close: 1.14 to 1.71 * Off: 1.71 to 2.27 * Way Off: 2.27 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.34 points
Some Luck
06.2116
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.57
Close
01.423
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
89.00%
Hamrun Spartans
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
12.00%
Floriana
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Even
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 149.38
2.05
Strong Separation
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
77%
Slight Edge
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 96%
94%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Some Drama
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Occasional
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.542
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Slight Separation
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.72
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.84
Near-Lock
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
21%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Shaky Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.90
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.92
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Valletta42.00%24.00%18.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%—1.00%——————
Hibernians30.00%25.00%20.00%10.00%5.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%1.00%—————
Gzira United7.00%18.00%15.00%16.00%10.00%15.00%10.00%2.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%———
Hamrun Spartans1.00%1.00%3.00%8.00%15.00%17.00%22.00%17.00%10.00%4.00%1.00%—1.00%—
Sliema Wanderers4.00%3.00%11.00%8.00%10.00%22.00%18.00%15.00%6.00%1.00%2.00%———
Balzan5.00%16.00%13.00%19.00%24.00%9.00%8.00%3.00%1.00%1.00%1.00%———
Birkirkara7.00%6.00%14.00%17.00%17.00%17.00%13.00%6.00%2.00%1.00%————
Floriana4.00%7.00%6.00%14.00%11.00%7.00%15.00%17.00%14.00%3.00%2.00%———
Mosta———————5.00%3.00%20.00%28.00%33.00%8.00%3.00%
Senglea Athletic——————2.00%6.00%15.00%23.00%22.00%20.00%7.00%5.00%
Tarxien Rainbows————2.00%2.00%2.00%8.00%17.00%22.00%25.00%12.00%7.00%3.00%
St. Andrews———1.00%1.00%2.00%9.00%17.00%25.00%21.00%13.00%7.00%4.00%—
Qormi—————————1.00%2.00%10.00%28.00%59.00%
Pieta Hotspurs———————1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%18.00%45.00%30.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Balzan 100% — —
Birkirkara 100% — —
Floriana 100% — —
Gzira United 100% — —
Hibernians 100% — —
Sliema Wanderers 100% — —
Valletta 100% — —
Hamrun Spartans 99.00% — 1.00%
St. Andrews 89.00% 7.00% 4.00%
Tarxien Rainbows 78.00% 12.00% 10.00%
Mosta 56.00% 33.00% 11.00%
Senglea Athletic 68.00% 20.00% 12.00%
Pieta Hotspurs 7.00% 18.00% 75.00%
Qormi 3.00% 10.00% 87.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2018-08-17 Balzan W 1-044.7 1352 1377 35.83% 21.53% 42.64%-0.17 +7.5 3
2018-08-17 @ Birkirkara L 0-144.7 1377 1352 42.64% 21.53% 35.83%+0.17 -7.5 0
2018-08-17 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-136.6 1396 1055 75.73% 15.25% 9.03%+1.65 +1.6 3
2018-08-17 @ Hibernians L 1-236.6 1055 1396 9.03% 15.25% 75.73%-1.65 -1.6 0
2018-08-17 Senglea Athletic W 1-047.2 1010 1175 19.88% 19.80% 60.32%-0.87 +10.1 3
2018-08-17 @ Qormi L 0-147.2 1175 1010 60.32% 19.80% 19.88%+0.87 -10.1 0
2018-08-18 Floriana W 2-043.0 1258 1351 27.09% 20.98% 51.93%-0.51 +16.7 3
2018-08-18 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-243.0 1351 1258 51.93% 20.98% 27.09%+0.51 -16.7 0
2018-08-18 Gzira United L 1-437.6 1203 1322 24.32% 20.63% 55.05%-0.64 -10.8 0
2018-08-18 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 4-137.6 1322 1203 55.05% 20.63% 24.32%+0.64 +10.8 3
2018-08-18 St. Andrews L 1-342.5 1138 1187 32.43% 21.40% 46.17%-0.29 -9.8 0
2018-08-18 @ Mosta W 3-142.5 1187 1138 46.17% 21.40% 32.43%+0.29 +9.8 3
2018-08-18 Valletta W 3-043.0 1290 1415 23.74% 20.54% 55.72%-0.67 +25.7 3
2018-08-18 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-343.0 1415 1290 55.72% 20.54% 23.74%+0.67 -25.7 0
2018-08-24 Mosta L 0-240.0 1165 1128 44.46% 21.47% 34.07%+0.14 -14.6 0
2018-08-24 @ Senglea Athletic W 2-040.0 1128 1165 34.07% 21.47% 44.46%-0.14 +14.6 3
2018-08-24 Sliema Wanderers L 0-143.5 1335 1316 41.91% 21.54% 36.55%+0.05 -7.4 0
2018-08-24 @ Floriana W 1-043.5 1316 1335 36.55% 21.54% 41.91%-0.05 +7.4 6
2018-08-24 Tarxien Rainbows L 1-540.3 1197 1192 39.91% 21.56% 38.52%-0.02 -21.1 3
2018-08-24 @ St. Andrews W 5-140.3 1192 1197 38.52% 21.56% 39.91%+0.02 +21.1 3
2018-08-25 Birkirkara L 1-237.3 1053 1360 10.55% 16.24% 73.22%-1.57 -1.9 0
2018-08-25 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-137.3 1360 1053 73.22% 16.24% 10.55%+1.57 +1.9 6
2018-08-25 Hamrun Spartans D 0-050.6 1333 1275 47.37% 21.33% 31.30%+0.24 -0.7 4
2018-08-25 @ Gzira United D 0-050.6 1275 1333 31.30% 21.33% 47.37%-0.24 +0.7 4
2018-08-25 Hibernians L 1-250.2 1389 1397 38.06% 21.56% 40.38%-0.09 -6.4 0
2018-08-25 @ Valletta W 2-150.2 1397 1389 40.38% 21.56% 38.06%+0.09 +6.4 6
2018-08-25 Qormi W 4-237.5 1369 1020 76.31% 15.00% 8.69%+1.69 +2.4 3
2018-08-25 @ Balzan L 2-437.5 1020 1369 8.69% 15.00% 76.31%-1.69 -2.4 3
2018-09-14 Floriana L 0-243.7 1404 1327 49.72% 21.17% 29.11%+0.33 -16.0 6
2018-09-14 @ Hibernians W 2-043.7 1327 1404 29.11% 21.17% 49.72%-0.33 +16.0 3
2018-09-15 Balzan L 0-528.9 1151 1371 15.55% 18.55% 65.90%-1.14 -13.5 0
2018-09-15 @ Senglea Athletic W 5-028.9 1371 1151 65.90% 18.55% 15.55%+1.14 +13.5 6
2018-09-15 Pieta Hotspurs D 2-260.5 1017 1051 34.52% 21.49% 43.99%-0.21 +0.3 4
2018-09-15 @ Qormi D 2-260.5 1051 1017 43.99% 21.49% 34.52%+0.21 -0.3 1
2018-09-16 Gzira United L 0-239.3 1323 1332 37.92% 21.56% 40.52%-0.09 -12.8 6
2018-09-16 @ Sliema Wanderers W 2-039.3 1332 1323 40.52% 21.56% 37.92%+0.09 +12.9 7
2018-09-16 St. Andrews W 1-037.6 1275 1176 52.63% 20.91% 26.46%+0.44 +5.0 7
2018-09-16 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-137.6 1176 1275 26.46% 20.91% 52.63%-0.44 -5.0 3
2018-09-16 Tarxien Rainbows W 3-147.5 1143 1214 29.76% 21.23% 49.02%-0.40 +13.7 6
2018-09-16 @ Mosta L 1-347.5 1214 1143 49.02% 21.23% 29.76%+0.40 -13.7 3
2018-09-16 Valletta L 0-338.1 1362 1383 36.29% 21.54% 42.18%-0.15 -18.0 6
2018-09-16 @ Birkirkara W 3-038.1 1383 1362 42.18% 21.54% 36.29%+0.15 +18.0 3
2018-09-21 Mosta W 3-136.9 1385 1156 66.61% 18.36% 15.02%+1.09 +4.8 9
2018-09-21 @ Balzan L 1-336.9 1156 1385 15.02% 18.36% 66.61%-1.09 -4.8 6
2018-09-21 Qormi W 6-025.4 1401 1018 78.56% 14.01% 7.43%+1.85 +7.3 6
2018-09-21 @ Valletta L 0-625.4 1018 1401 7.43% 14.01% 78.56%-1.85 -7.3 4
2018-09-21 Senglea Athletic D 1-154.5 1051 1137 27.93% 21.07% 51.00%-0.48 +0.9 2
2018-09-21 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-154.5 1137 1051 51.00% 21.07% 27.93%+0.48 -0.9 1
2018-09-22 Hamrun Spartans W 2-150.8 1200 1280 28.60% 21.13% 50.27%-0.45 +8.1 6
2018-09-22 @ Tarxien Rainbows L 1-250.8 1280 1200 50.27% 21.13% 28.60%+0.45 -8.1 7
2018-09-22 Sliema Wanderers L 0-233.3 1171 1310 22.28% 20.29% 57.43%-0.74 -8.2 3
2018-09-22 @ St. Andrews W 2-033.3 1310 1171 57.43% 20.29% 22.28%+0.74 +8.2 9
2018-09-23 Birkirkara L 0-240.1 1343 1344 39.16% 21.56% 39.28%-0.05 -13.2 3
2018-09-23 @ Floriana W 2-040.1 1344 1343 39.28% 21.56% 39.16%+0.05 +13.2 9
2018-09-23 Hibernians W 3-256.7 1345 1388 33.37% 21.44% 45.19%-0.26 +7.0 10
2018-09-23 @ Gzira United L 2-356.7 1388 1345 45.19% 21.44% 33.37%+0.26 -7.0 6
2018-09-28 Floriana L 1-334.1 1010 1330 9.94% 15.86% 74.20%-1.64 -3.1 4
2018-09-28 @ Qormi W 3-134.1 1330 1010 74.20% 15.86% 9.94%+1.64 +3.1 6
2018-09-28 St. Andrews W 2-031.1 1381 1163 65.59% 18.63% 15.78%+1.03 +5.9 9
2018-09-28 @ Hibernians L 0-231.1 1163 1381 15.78% 18.63% 65.59%-1.03 -5.9 3
2018-09-28 Valletta L 1-531.2 1136 1408 12.37% 17.22% 70.40%-1.40 -7.2 1
2018-09-28 @ Senglea Athletic W 5-131.2 1408 1136 70.40% 17.22% 12.37%+1.40 +7.2 9
2018-09-29 Hamrun Spartans D 0-050.1 1152 1272 24.15% 20.60% 55.25%-0.65 +1.3 7
2018-09-29 @ Mosta D 0-050.1 1272 1152 55.25% 20.60% 24.15%+0.65 -1.3 8
2018-09-29 Pieta Hotspurs W 1-030.7 1390 1052 75.53% 15.33% 9.14%+1.63 +1.8 12
2018-09-29 @ Balzan L 0-130.7 1052 1390 9.14% 15.33% 75.53%-1.63 -1.8 2
2018-09-30 Gzira United L 1-249.5 1357 1352 39.91% 21.56% 38.53%-0.02 -6.7 9
2018-09-30 @ Birkirkara W 2-149.5 1352 1357 38.53% 21.56% 39.91%+0.02 +6.7 13
2018-09-30 Tarxien Rainbows W 3-140.6 1319 1208 54.05% 20.75% 25.20%+0.50 +7.9 12
2018-09-30 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-340.6 1208 1319 25.20% 20.75% 54.05%-0.50 -7.9 6
2018-10-05 Balzan W 4-144.6 1415 1392 42.57% 21.53% 35.90%+0.07 +15.1 12
2018-10-05 @ Valletta L 1-444.6 1392 1415 35.90% 21.53% 42.57%-0.07 -15.1 12
2018-10-05 Mosta W 3-148.5 1050 1153 26.04% 20.86% 53.10%-0.56 +14.7 5
2018-10-05 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-348.5 1153 1050 53.10% 20.86% 26.04%+0.56 -14.7 7
2018-10-05 Sliema Wanderers D 0-050.5 1271 1327 31.65% 21.35% 47.00%-0.32 +0.6 9
2018-10-05 @ Hamrun Spartans D 0-050.5 1327 1271 47.00% 21.35% 31.65%+0.32 -0.6 13
2018-10-06 Birkirkara W 2-045.3 1157 1350 17.58% 19.21% 63.21%-1.01 +19.9 6
2018-10-06 @ St. Andrews L 0-245.3 1350 1157 63.21% 19.21% 17.58%+1.01 -19.8 9
2018-10-06 Hibernians L 2-442.3 1200 1386 18.13% 19.36% 62.51%-0.97 -5.2 6
2018-10-06 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 4-242.3 1386 1200 62.51% 19.36% 18.13%+0.97 +5.2 12
2018-10-06 Qormi W 1-030.3 1359 1007 76.48% 14.93% 8.59%+1.70 +1.6 16
2018-10-06 @ Gzira United L 0-130.3 1007 1359 8.59% 14.93% 76.48%-1.70 -1.6 4
2018-10-06 Senglea Athletic W 4-134.6 1333 1129 64.31% 18.95% 16.74%+0.97 +7.6 9
2018-10-06 @ Floriana L 1-434.6 1129 1333 16.74% 18.95% 64.31%-0.97 -7.6 1
2018-10-19 Gzira United L 0-133.2 1121 1361 14.33% 18.09% 67.58%-1.23 -2.8 1
2018-10-19 @ Senglea Athletic W 1-033.2 1361 1121 67.58% 18.09% 14.33%+1.23 +2.8 19
2018-10-19 St. Andrews L 0-231.9 1006 1177 19.38% 19.68% 60.93%-0.90 -7.2 4
2018-10-19 @ Qormi W 2-031.9 1177 1006 60.93% 19.68% 19.38%+0.90 +7.2 9
2018-10-20 Tarxien Rainbows W 2-033.5 1331 1195 57.01% 20.36% 22.64%+0.63 +8.3 12
2018-10-20 @ Birkirkara L 0-233.5 1195 1331 22.64% 20.36% 57.01%-0.63 -8.3 6
2018-10-20 Valletta L 0-425.0 1065 1430 8.06% 14.52% 77.42%-1.86 -5.4 5
2018-10-20 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 4-025.0 1430 1065 77.42% 14.52% 8.06%+1.86 +5.4 15
2018-10-21 Hamrun Spartans W 2-143.9 1392 1272 55.19% 20.61% 24.20%+0.55 +4.4 15
2018-10-21 @ Hibernians L 1-243.9 1272 1392 24.20% 20.61% 55.19%-0.55 -4.4 9
2018-10-21 Sliema Wanderers L 1-240.5 1138 1326 18.03% 19.33% 62.64%-0.98 -3.4 7
2018-10-21 @ Mosta W 2-140.5 1326 1138 62.64% 19.33% 18.03%+0.98 +3.3 16
2018-10-22 Floriana W 2-039.0 1377 1341 44.24% 21.48% 34.28%+0.13 +11.8 15
2018-10-22 @ Balzan L 0-239.0 1341 1377 34.28% 21.48% 44.24%-0.13 -11.8 9
2018-10-26 Birkirkara W 2-151.1 1267 1339 29.66% 21.22% 49.13%-0.40 +7.9 12
2018-10-26 @ Hamrun Spartans L 1-251.1 1339 1267 49.13% 21.22% 29.66%+0.40 -7.9 12
2018-10-27 Balzan W 3-040.2 1363 1388 35.70% 21.52% 42.78%-0.17 +20.5 22
2018-10-27 @ Gzira United L 0-340.2 1388 1363 42.78% 21.52% 35.70%+0.17 -20.5 15
2018-10-27 Mosta W 5-027.1 1436 1135 72.74% 16.41% 10.85%+1.45 +9.3 18
2018-10-27 @ Valletta L 0-527.1 1135 1436 10.85% 16.41% 72.74%-1.45 -9.3 7
2018-10-27 Pieta Hotspurs L 1-255.4 1329 1059 70.25% 17.27% 12.48%+1.29 -10.9 9
2018-10-27 @ Floriana W 2-155.4 1059 1329 12.48% 17.27% 70.25%-1.29 +10.9 8
2018-10-27 Qormi W 1-034.3 1187 998 62.68% 19.32% 18.00%+0.89 +3.5 9
2018-10-27 @ Tarxien Rainbows L 0-134.3 998 1187 18.00% 19.32% 62.68%-0.89 -3.5 4
2018-10-29 Hibernians L 0-140.8 1329 1396 30.25% 21.26% 48.48%-0.38 -5.7 16
2018-10-29 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-040.8 1396 1329 48.48% 21.26% 30.25%+0.38 +5.7 18
2018-10-29 Senglea Athletic L 1-250.0 1184 1119 48.31% 21.27% 30.41%+0.28 -7.8 9
2018-10-29 @ St. Andrews W 2-150.0 1119 1184 30.41% 21.27% 48.31%-0.28 +7.8 4
2018-11-02 Sliema Wanderers W 2-039.4 1331 1324 40.27% 21.56% 38.17%-0.01 +12.9 15
2018-11-02 @ Birkirkara L 0-239.4 1324 1331 38.17% 21.56% 40.27%+0.01 -12.9 16
2018-11-03 Gzira United D 1-156.3 1070 1384 10.22% 16.04% 73.74%-1.61 +2.6 9
2018-11-03 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-156.3 1384 1070 73.74% 16.04% 10.22%+1.61 -2.6 23
2018-11-03 Hibernians L 0-427.1 1126 1402 12.13% 17.10% 70.76%-1.42 -8.5 7
2018-11-03 @ Mosta W 4-027.1 1402 1126 70.76% 17.10% 12.13%+1.42 +8.5 21
2018-11-03 St. Andrews L 0-245.4 1368 1176 63.04% 19.25% 17.72%+0.90 -19.8 15
2018-11-03 @ Balzan W 2-045.4 1176 1368 17.72% 19.25% 63.04%-0.90 +19.8 12
2018-11-03 Tarxien Rainbows L 1-244.7 1126 1190 30.64% 21.29% 48.07%-0.36 -5.4 4
2018-11-03 @ Senglea Athletic W 2-144.7 1190 1126 48.07% 21.29% 30.64%+0.36 +5.4 12
2018-11-04 Floriana W 1-039.2 1445 1318 55.95% 20.51% 23.54%+0.58 +4.5 21
2018-11-04 @ Valletta L 0-139.2 1318 1445 23.54% 20.51% 55.95%-0.58 -4.5 9
2018-11-04 Hamrun Spartans L 0-228.9 995 1275 11.91% 16.99% 71.09%-1.44 -4.4 4
2018-11-04 @ Qormi W 2-028.9 1275 995 71.09% 16.99% 11.91%+1.44 +4.4 15
2018-11-09 Valletta D 0-054.0 1381 1449 30.09% 21.25% 48.66%-0.39 +0.8 24
2018-11-09 @ Gzira United D 0-054.0 1449 1381 48.66% 21.25% 30.09%+0.39 -0.8 22
2018-11-10 Balzan L 1-339.2 1195 1348 21.04% 20.05% 58.91%-0.80 -6.7 12
2018-11-10 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 3-139.2 1348 1195 58.91% 20.05% 21.04%+0.80 +6.7 18
2018-11-10 Pieta Hotspurs D 3-364.8 1196 1073 55.56% 20.56% 23.88%+0.56 -0.8 13
2018-11-10 @ St. Andrews D 3-364.8 1073 1196 23.88% 20.56% 55.56%-0.56 +0.8 10
2018-11-10 Qormi W 2-027.9 1311 991 74.21% 15.85% 9.93%+1.54 +3.6 19
2018-11-10 @ Sliema Wanderers L 0-227.9 991 1311 9.93% 15.85% 74.21%-1.54 -3.6 4
2018-11-10 Senglea Athletic W 1-035.5 1279 1121 59.56% 19.94% 20.50%+0.74 +4.0 18
2018-11-10 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-135.5 1121 1279 20.50% 19.94% 59.56%-0.74 -4.0 4
2018-11-11 Birkirkara W 2-147.2 1410 1344 48.43% 21.27% 30.30%+0.28 +5.3 24
2018-11-11 @ Hibernians L 1-247.2 1344 1410 30.30% 21.27% 48.43%-0.28 -5.3 15
2018-11-11 Mosta W 1-034.3 1314 1117 63.54% 19.13% 17.33%+0.93 +3.4 12
2018-11-11 @ Floriana L 0-134.3 1117 1314 17.33% 19.13% 63.54%-0.93 -3.4 7
2018-11-23 Hamrun Spartans D 2-261.8 1355 1283 49.08% 21.22% 29.70%+0.31 -0.5 19
2018-11-23 @ Balzan D 2-261.8 1283 1355 29.70% 21.22% 49.08%-0.31 +0.5 19
2018-11-24 Birkirkara L 0-328.6 1114 1338 15.29% 18.46% 66.25%-1.16 -8.2 7
2018-11-24 @ Mosta W 3-028.6 1338 1114 66.25% 18.46% 15.29%+1.16 +8.2 18
2018-11-24 Gzira United L 0-140.5 1317 1382 30.49% 21.28% 48.23%-0.37 -5.7 12
2018-11-24 @ Floriana W 1-040.5 1382 1317 48.23% 21.28% 30.49%+0.37 +5.7 27
2018-11-24 Sliema Wanderers L 0-231.3 1117 1314 17.28% 19.12% 63.61%-1.03 -6.4 4
2018-11-24 @ Senglea Athletic W 2-031.3 1314 1117 63.61% 19.12% 17.28%+1.03 +6.4 22
2018-11-24 St. Andrews W 1-033.7 1449 1195 68.84% 17.72% 13.44%+1.21 +2.6 25
2018-11-24 @ Valletta L 0-133.7 1195 1449 13.44% 17.72% 68.84%-1.21 -2.6 13
2018-11-25 Hibernians L 1-234.8 987 1416 5.99% 12.67% 81.33%-2.18 -1.0 4
2018-11-25 @ Qormi W 2-134.8 1416 987 81.33% 12.67% 5.99%+2.18 +1.0 27
2018-11-25 Tarxien Rainbows L 0-331.9 1073 1189 24.71% 20.68% 54.60%-0.62 -13.0 10
2018-11-25 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-031.9 1189 1073 54.60% 20.68% 24.71%+0.62 +13.0 15
2018-12-07 Qormi W 2-136.0 1347 986 77.10% 14.66% 8.24%+1.74 +1.5 21
2018-12-07 @ Birkirkara L 1-236.0 986 1347 8.24% 14.66% 77.10%-1.74 -1.5 4
2018-12-08 Balzan L 1-344.7 1321 1354 34.55% 21.49% 43.97%-0.21 -10.3 22
2018-12-08 @ Sliema Wanderers W 3-144.7 1354 1321 43.97% 21.49% 34.55%+0.21 +10.3 22
2018-12-08 Floriana W 3-041.4 1193 1311 24.34% 20.63% 55.03%-0.64 +25.5 16
2018-12-08 @ St. Andrews L 0-341.4 1311 1193 55.03% 20.63% 24.34%+0.64 -25.5 12
2018-12-08 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-244.6 1284 1060 66.14% 18.49% 15.37%+1.06 +2.7 22
2018-12-08 @ Hamrun Spartans L 2-344.6 1060 1284 15.37% 18.49% 66.14%-1.06 -2.7 10
2018-12-08 Valletta L 0-730.0 1202 1451 13.68% 17.82% 68.50%-1.29 -16.3 15
2018-12-08 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 7-030.0 1451 1202 68.50% 17.82% 13.68%+1.29 +16.3 28
2018-12-09 Mosta D 3-366.2 1388 1105 71.27% 16.93% 11.80%+1.35 -1.5 28
2018-12-09 @ Gzira United D 3-366.2 1105 1388 11.80% 16.93% 71.27%-1.35 +1.5 8
2018-12-09 Senglea Athletic W 2-028.7 1417 1111 73.15% 16.26% 10.59%+1.47 +3.9 30
2018-12-09 @ Hibernians L 0-228.7 1111 1417 10.59% 16.26% 73.15%-1.47 -3.9 4
2018-12-14 St. Andrews W 2-141.8 1386 1218 60.61% 19.75% 19.65%+0.79 +3.6 31
2018-12-14 @ Gzira United L 1-241.8 1218 1386 19.65% 19.75% 60.61%-0.79 -3.6 16
2018-12-15 Qormi W 2-033.5 1107 984 55.47% 20.57% 23.96%+0.56 +8.7 11
2018-12-15 @ Mosta L 0-233.5 984 1107 23.96% 20.57% 55.47%-0.56 -8.7 4
2018-12-15 Sliema Wanderers L 0-327.7 1058 1310 13.49% 17.74% 68.77%-1.30 -7.2 10
2018-12-15 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-027.7 1310 1058 68.77% 17.74% 13.49%+1.30 +7.2 25
2018-12-16 Birkirkara L 0-230.1 1107 1348 14.18% 18.03% 67.78%-1.25 -5.3 4
2018-12-16 @ Senglea Athletic W 2-030.1 1348 1107 67.78% 18.03% 14.18%+1.25 +5.3 24
2018-12-16 Tarxien Rainbows W 4-032.3 1286 1186 52.80% 20.89% 26.31%+0.45 +18.0 15
2018-12-16 @ Floriana L 0-432.3 1186 1286 26.31% 20.89% 52.80%-0.45 -18.0 15
2018-12-17 Hamrun Spartans L 0-150.3 1468 1287 61.95% 19.48% 18.57%+0.85 -10.3 28
2018-12-17 @ Valletta W 1-050.3 1287 1468 18.57% 19.48% 61.95%-0.85 +10.3 25
2018-12-17 Hibernians D 2-263.8 1365 1420 31.62% 21.35% 47.03%-0.33 +0.4 23
2018-12-17 @ Balzan D 2-263.8 1420 1365 47.03% 21.35% 31.62%+0.33 -0.4 31
2019-01-11 Hamrun Spartans D 1-155.2 1304 1297 40.21% 21.56% 38.22%-0.01 -0.1 16
2019-01-11 @ Floriana D 1-155.2 1297 1304 38.22% 21.56% 40.21%+0.01 +0.1 26
2019-01-12 Hibernians L 0-227.2 1051 1420 7.91% 14.41% 77.69%-1.88 -2.8 10
2019-01-12 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-027.2 1420 1051 77.69% 14.41% 7.91%+1.88 +2.8 34
2019-01-12 Tarxien Rainbows D 1-155.9 1390 1168 66.03% 18.52% 15.45%+1.06 -2.0 32
2019-01-12 @ Gzira United D 1-155.9 1168 1390 15.45% 18.52% 66.03%-1.06 +2.0 16
2019-01-13 Birkirkara D 0-051.7 1365 1353 40.87% 21.56% 37.57%+0.01 -0.1 24
2019-01-13 @ Balzan D 0-051.7 1353 1365 37.57% 21.56% 40.87%-0.01 +0.1 25
2019-01-13 Mosta D 1-154.6 1214 1116 52.59% 20.91% 26.50%+0.44 -1.0 17
2019-01-13 @ St. Andrews D 1-154.6 1116 1214 26.50% 20.91% 52.59%-0.44 +1.0 12
2019-01-13 Qormi W 4-031.0 1101 976 55.85% 20.52% 23.63%+0.58 +16.3 7
2019-01-13 @ Senglea Athletic L 0-431.0 976 1101 23.63% 20.52% 55.85%-0.58 -16.3 4
2019-01-13 Sliema Wanderers W 2-036.0 1457 1318 57.46% 20.29% 22.25%+0.65 +8.2 31
2019-01-13 @ Valletta L 0-236.0 1318 1457 22.25% 20.29% 57.46%-0.65 -8.1 25
2019-01-18 Floriana D 1-155.3 1309 1304 40.02% 21.56% 38.42%-0.02 -0.1 26
2019-01-18 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-155.3 1304 1309 38.42% 21.56% 40.02%+0.02 +0.1 17
2019-01-18 Gzira United D 1-156.2 1297 1388 27.41% 21.01% 51.58%-0.50 +0.9 27
2019-01-18 @ Hamrun Spartans D 1-156.2 1388 1297 51.58% 21.01% 27.41%+0.50 -0.9 33
2019-01-18 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-026.5 1354 1048 73.13% 16.27% 10.60%+1.47 +5.6 28
2019-01-18 @ Birkirkara L 0-326.5 1048 1354 10.60% 16.27% 73.13%-1.47 -5.6 10
2019-01-19 Senglea Athletic L 0-336.4 1117 1118 39.06% 21.56% 39.38%-0.05 -19.1 12
2019-01-19 @ Mosta W 3-036.4 1118 1117 39.38% 21.56% 39.06%+0.05 +19.1 10
2019-01-19 St. Andrews W 2-149.2 1170 1213 33.17% 21.43% 45.40%-0.27 +7.4 19
2019-01-19 @ Tarxien Rainbows L 1-249.2 1213 1170 45.40% 21.43% 33.17%+0.27 -7.4 17
2019-01-20 Balzan L 1-332.4 959 1365 6.69% 13.35% 79.97%-2.06 -2.0 4
2019-01-20 @ Qormi W 3-132.4 1365 959 79.97% 13.35% 6.69%+2.06 +2.0 27
2019-01-20 Valletta L 1-251.5 1423 1465 33.34% 21.44% 45.22%-0.26 -5.8 34
2019-01-20 @ Hibernians W 2-151.5 1465 1423 45.22% 21.44% 33.34%+0.26 +5.8 34
2019-02-01 Senglea Athletic L 1-255.0 1367 1137 66.74% 18.33% 14.93%+1.09 -10.4 27
2019-02-01 @ Balzan W 2-155.0 1137 1367 14.93% 18.33% 66.74%-1.09 +10.4 13
2019-02-02 Hamrun Spartans L 0-333.2 1206 1298 27.27% 21.00% 51.73%-0.50 -14.2 17
2019-02-02 @ St. Andrews W 3-033.2 1298 1206 51.73% 21.00% 27.27%+0.50 +14.2 30
2019-02-02 Hibernians L 0-139.0 1304 1417 24.94% 20.72% 54.34%-0.61 -4.8 17
2019-02-02 @ Floriana W 1-039.0 1417 1304 54.34% 20.72% 24.94%+0.61 +4.8 37
2019-02-02 Mosta L 0-241.6 1177 1098 50.13% 21.14% 28.73%+0.35 -16.2 19
2019-02-02 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 2-041.6 1098 1177 28.73% 21.14% 50.13%-0.35 +16.2 15
2019-02-02 Qormi L 0-241.7 1042 957 50.81% 21.08% 28.10%+0.37 -16.3 10
2019-02-02 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-041.7 957 1042 28.10% 21.08% 50.81%-0.37 +16.3 7
2019-02-03 Birkirkara W 2-038.2 1471 1359 54.22% 20.73% 25.05%+0.51 +9.1 37
2019-02-03 @ Valletta L 0-238.2 1359 1471 25.05% 20.73% 54.22%-0.51 -9.1 28
2019-02-03 Sliema Wanderers D 1-156.3 1387 1309 49.89% 21.16% 28.95%+0.34 -0.8 34
2019-02-03 @ Gzira United D 1-156.3 1309 1387 28.95% 21.16% 49.89%-0.34 +0.8 27
2019-02-08 Valletta L 1-233.7 974 1480 4.11% 10.49% 85.39%-2.56 -0.7 7
2019-02-08 @ Qormi W 2-133.7 1480 974 85.39% 10.49% 4.11%+2.56 +0.7 40
2019-02-09 Balzan D 0-051.0 1114 1356 14.11% 18.00% 67.89%-1.25 +2.4 16
2019-02-09 @ Mosta D 0-051.0 1356 1114 67.89% 18.00% 14.11%+1.25 -2.4 28
2019-02-09 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-142.4 1147 1026 55.35% 20.59% 24.06%+0.56 +4.4 16
2019-02-09 @ Senglea Athletic L 1-242.4 1026 1147 24.06% 20.59% 55.35%-0.56 -4.4 10
2019-02-09 St. Andrews D 1-155.0 1310 1192 54.97% 20.64% 24.39%+0.54 -1.2 28
2019-02-09 @ Sliema Wanderers D 1-155.0 1192 1310 24.39% 20.64% 54.97%-0.54 +1.2 18
2019-02-09 Tarxien Rainbows W 3-030.9 1312 1161 58.78% 20.08% 21.15%+0.70 +11.3 33
2019-02-09 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-330.9 1161 1312 21.15% 20.08% 58.78%-0.70 -11.3 19
2019-02-10 Floriana D 0-050.9 1350 1299 46.36% 21.39% 32.26%+0.21 -0.6 29
2019-02-10 @ Birkirkara D 0-050.9 1299 1350 32.26% 21.39% 46.36%-0.21 +0.6 18
2019-02-10 Gzira United W 1-043.7 1422 1386 44.26% 21.48% 34.26%+0.13 +6.3 40
2019-02-10 @ Hibernians L 0-143.7 1386 1422 34.26% 21.48% 44.26%-0.13 -6.3 34
2019-02-15 Sliema Wanderers L 1-241.4 1150 1309 20.41% 19.92% 59.67%-0.84 -3.8 19
2019-02-15 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 2-141.4 1309 1150 59.67% 19.92% 20.41%+0.84 +3.8 31
2019-02-16 Hibernians L 1-239.9 1193 1428 14.60% 18.20% 67.21%-1.21 -2.7 18
2019-02-16 @ St. Andrews W 2-139.9 1428 1193 67.21% 18.20% 14.60%+1.21 +2.7 43
2019-02-16 Mosta L 0-148.4 1324 1116 64.60% 18.88% 16.52%+0.98 -10.7 33
2019-02-16 @ Hamrun Spartans W 1-048.4 1116 1324 16.52% 18.88% 64.60%-0.98 +10.7 19
2019-02-16 Qormi L 0-150.3 1300 973 74.70% 15.66% 9.63%+1.57 -12.1 18
2019-02-16 @ Floriana W 1-050.3 973 1300 9.63% 15.66% 74.70%-1.57 +12.1 10
2019-02-16 Senglea Athletic D 3-367.4 1481 1152 74.89% 15.59% 9.52%+1.59 -1.7 41
2019-02-16 @ Valletta D 3-367.4 1152 1481 9.52% 15.59% 74.89%-1.59 +1.7 17
2019-02-17 Balzan L 0-325.8 1021 1354 9.38% 15.49% 75.13%-1.70 -4.9 10
2019-02-17 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-025.8 1354 1021 75.13% 15.49% 9.38%+1.70 +4.9 31
2019-02-17 Birkirkara D 1-156.6 1380 1349 43.53% 21.50% 34.97%+0.10 -0.3 35
2019-02-17 @ Gzira United D 1-156.6 1349 1380 34.97% 21.50% 43.53%-0.10 +0.3 30
2019-03-01 Floriana L 0-136.3 1153 1288 22.77% 20.38% 56.85%-0.71 -4.4 17
2019-03-01 @ Senglea Athletic W 1-036.3 1288 1153 56.85% 20.38% 22.77%+0.71 +4.4 21
2019-03-01 Tarxien Rainbows W 5-027.5 1431 1146 71.49% 16.86% 11.65%+1.37 +10.0 46
2019-03-01 @ Hibernians L 0-527.5 1146 1431 11.65% 16.86% 71.49%-1.37 -10.0 19
2019-03-01 Valletta L 1-247.0 1359 1479 24.17% 20.61% 55.22%-0.65 -4.4 31
2019-03-01 @ Balzan W 2-147.0 1479 1359 55.22% 20.61% 24.17%+0.65 +4.4 44
2019-03-02 Gzira United L 1-429.9 985 1380 7.04% 13.67% 79.29%-2.01 -3.0 10
2019-03-02 @ Qormi W 4-129.9 1380 985 79.29% 13.67% 7.04%+2.01 +3.0 38
2019-03-02 Hamrun Spartans W 2-148.4 1313 1313 39.22% 21.56% 39.22%-0.05 +6.6 34
2019-03-02 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-248.4 1313 1313 39.22% 21.56% 39.22%+0.05 -6.6 33
2019-03-02 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-248.2 1127 1016 54.02% 20.75% 25.22%+0.50 +4.3 22
2019-03-02 @ Mosta L 2-348.2 1016 1127 25.22% 20.75% 54.02%-0.50 -4.3 10
2019-03-02 St. Andrews W 2-032.8 1350 1190 59.67% 19.92% 20.41%+0.74 +7.5 33
2019-03-02 @ Birkirkara L 0-232.8 1190 1350 20.41% 19.92% 59.67%-0.74 -7.5 18
2019-03-08 Birkirkara L 0-230.7 1136 1357 15.50% 18.54% 65.96%-1.15 -5.8 19
2019-03-08 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 2-030.7 1357 1136 65.96% 18.54% 15.50%+1.15 +5.8 36
2019-03-08 Hibernians D 1-157.2 1306 1441 22.74% 20.38% 56.88%-0.72 +1.3 34
2019-03-08 @ Hamrun Spartans D 1-157.2 1441 1306 56.88% 20.38% 22.74%+0.72 -1.3 47
2019-03-08 Mosta W 3-137.8 1319 1131 62.68% 19.32% 17.99%+0.89 +5.8 37
2019-03-08 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-337.8 1131 1319 17.99% 19.32% 62.68%-0.89 -5.8 22
2019-03-09 Balzan D 0-051.0 1292 1354 30.79% 21.30% 47.91%-0.36 +0.7 22
2019-03-09 @ Floriana D 0-051.0 1354 1292 47.91% 21.30% 30.79%+0.36 -0.7 32
2019-03-09 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-023.5 1484 1012 83.67% 11.45% 4.88%+2.29 +2.4 47
2019-03-09 @ Valletta L 0-323.5 1012 1484 4.88% 11.45% 83.67%-2.29 -2.4 10
2019-03-09 Qormi L 0-245.0 1183 982 63.94% 19.04% 17.02%+0.95 -20.0 18
2019-03-09 @ St. Andrews W 2-045.0 982 1183 17.02% 19.04% 63.94%-0.95 +20.1 13
2019-03-09 Senglea Athletic W 3-136.7 1383 1149 67.08% 18.23% 14.69%+1.11 +4.7 41
2019-03-09 @ Gzira United L 1-336.7 1149 1383 14.69% 18.23% 67.08%-1.11 -4.7 17
2019-03-12 Sliema Wanderers D 2-263.6 1439 1325 54.49% 20.70% 24.81%+0.52 -0.8 48
2019-03-12 @ Hibernians D 2-263.6 1325 1439 24.81% 20.70% 54.49%-0.52 +0.9 38
2019-03-13 Floriana L 0-228.8 1010 1293 11.76% 16.91% 71.33%-1.45 -4.3 10
2019-03-13 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-028.8 1293 1010 71.33% 16.91% 11.76%+1.45 +4.3 25
2019-03-13 Gzira United D 0-052.1 1354 1387 34.55% 21.49% 43.96%-0.21 +0.4 33
2019-03-13 @ Balzan D 0-052.1 1387 1354 43.96% 21.49% 34.55%+0.21 -0.4 42
2019-03-13 Hamrun Spartans L 0-145.2 1363 1308 46.98% 21.36% 31.66%+0.23 -8.1 36
2019-03-13 @ Birkirkara W 1-045.2 1308 1363 31.66% 21.36% 46.98%-0.23 +8.1 37
2019-03-13 Valletta L 0-131.0 1125 1486 8.24% 14.67% 77.09%-1.84 -1.6 22
2019-03-13 @ Mosta W 1-031.0 1486 1125 77.09% 14.67% 8.24%+1.84 +1.6 50
2019-03-14 St. Andrews W 5-037.3 1144 1163 36.59% 21.54% 41.87%-0.14 +32.5 20
2019-03-14 @ Senglea Athletic L 0-537.3 1163 1144 41.87% 21.54% 36.59%+0.14 -32.5 18
2019-03-14 Tarxien Rainbows L 1-242.2 1002 1130 23.42% 20.49% 56.09%-0.68 -4.3 13
2019-03-14 @ Qormi W 2-142.2 1130 1002 56.09% 20.49% 23.42%+0.68 +4.3 22
2019-03-29 Qormi W 2-136.9 1316 998 74.04% 15.92% 10.04%+1.53 +1.8 40
2019-03-29 @ Hamrun Spartans L 1-236.9 998 1316 10.04% 15.92% 74.04%-1.53 -1.8 13
2019-03-30 Balzan L 0-133.7 1130 1354 15.34% 18.48% 66.18%-1.16 -3.0 18
2019-03-30 @ St. Andrews W 1-033.7 1354 1130 66.18% 18.48% 15.34%+1.16 +3.0 36
2019-03-30 Mosta D 1-156.7 1439 1124 73.81% 16.01% 10.18%+1.52 -2.6 49
2019-03-30 @ Hibernians D 1-156.7 1124 1439 10.18% 16.01% 73.81%-1.52 +2.6 23
2019-03-30 Pieta Hotspurs W 5-232.8 1387 1005 78.47% 14.05% 7.48%+1.85 +2.8 45
2019-03-30 @ Gzira United L 2-532.8 1005 1387 7.48% 14.05% 78.47%-1.85 -2.8 10
2019-03-30 Senglea Athletic D 2-260.6 1134 1177 33.37% 21.44% 45.19%-0.26 +0.3 23
2019-03-30 @ Tarxien Rainbows D 2-260.6 1177 1134 45.19% 21.44% 33.37%+0.26 -0.3 21
2019-03-31 Birkirkara L 0-141.8 1326 1355 35.16% 21.51% 43.34%-0.19 -6.4 38
2019-03-31 @ Sliema Wanderers W 1-041.8 1355 1326 43.34% 21.51% 35.16%+0.19 +6.4 39
2019-03-31 Valletta W 2-048.1 1297 1488 17.80% 19.27% 62.93%-0.99 +19.8 28
2019-03-31 @ Floriana L 0-248.1 1488 1297 62.93% 19.27% 17.80%+0.99 -19.8 50
2019-04-05 Hibernians L 2-353.1 1361 1436 29.30% 21.19% 49.51%-0.42 -4.9 39
2019-04-05 @ Birkirkara W 3-253.1 1436 1361 49.51% 21.19% 29.30%+0.42 +4.9 52
2019-04-05 Sliema Wanderers L 2-342.1 996 1320 9.78% 15.76% 74.47%-1.65 -1.7 13
2019-04-05 @ Qormi W 3-242.1 1320 996 74.47% 15.76% 9.78%+1.65 +1.7 41
2019-04-05 Tarxien Rainbows W 2-030.7 1357 1135 66.05% 18.51% 15.43%+1.06 +5.7 39
2019-04-05 @ Balzan L 0-230.7 1135 1357 15.43% 18.51% 66.05%-1.06 -5.7 23
2019-04-06 Floriana D 3-365.4 1126 1317 17.82% 19.27% 62.91%-0.99 +1.1 24
2019-04-06 @ Mosta D 3-365.4 1317 1126 62.91% 19.27% 17.82%+0.99 -1.1 29
2019-04-06 Hamrun Spartans D 2-261.3 1176 1317 22.11% 20.26% 57.63%-0.75 +1.0 22
2019-04-06 @ Senglea Athletic D 2-261.3 1317 1176 57.63% 20.26% 22.11%+0.75 -1.0 41
2019-04-07 Gzira United D 1-159.5 1468 1390 49.97% 21.15% 28.88%+0.34 -0.8 51
2019-04-07 @ Valletta D 1-159.5 1390 1468 28.88% 21.15% 49.97%-0.34 +0.8 46
2019-04-07 St. Andrews W 3-149.1 1003 1127 23.74% 20.54% 55.72%-0.67 +15.4 13
2019-04-07 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-349.1 1127 1003 55.72% 20.54% 23.74%+0.67 -15.3 18
2019-04-13 Mosta L 1-254.9 1356 1128 66.64% 18.36% 15.01%+1.09 -10.4 39
2019-04-13 @ Birkirkara W 2-154.9 1128 1356 15.01% 18.36% 66.64%-1.09 +10.4 27
2019-04-13 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-033.9 1129 1018 54.08% 20.75% 25.18%+0.50 +9.1 26
2019-04-13 @ Tarxien Rainbows L 0-233.9 1018 1129 25.18% 20.75% 54.08%-0.50 -9.1 13
2019-04-14 Balzan D 1-156.0 1316 1363 32.83% 21.42% 45.76%-0.28 +0.5 42
2019-04-14 @ Hamrun Spartans D 1-156.0 1363 1316 45.76% 21.42% 32.83%+0.28 -0.5 40
2019-04-14 Valletta L 0-425.5 1112 1467 8.45% 14.83% 76.72%-1.81 -5.7 18
2019-04-14 @ St. Andrews W 4-025.5 1467 1112 76.72% 14.83% 8.45%+1.81 +5.7 54
2019-04-15 Floriana W 1-040.2 1391 1316 49.53% 21.19% 29.28%+0.32 +5.5 49
2019-04-15 @ Gzira United L 0-140.2 1316 1391 29.28% 21.19% 49.53%-0.32 -5.5 29
2019-04-15 Qormi L 1-354.9 1441 994 82.34% 12.16% 5.50%+2.17 -21.2 52
2019-04-15 @ Hibernians W 3-154.9 994 1441 5.50% 12.16% 82.34%-2.17 +21.2 16
2019-04-15 Senglea Athletic D 0-050.4 1321 1177 57.94% 20.21% 21.85%+0.67 -1.6 42
2019-04-15 @ Sliema Wanderers D 0-050.4 1177 1321 21.85% 20.21% 57.94%-0.67 +1.6 23
2019-04-20 Gzira United D 1-156.1 1138 1396 13.17% 17.60% 69.24%-1.33 +2.3 28
2019-04-20 @ Mosta D 1-156.1 1396 1138 69.24% 17.60% 13.17%+1.33 -2.3 50
2019-04-20 Hamrun Spartans L 0-228.2 1009 1317 10.49% 16.20% 73.30%-1.58 -3.8 13
2019-04-20 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-028.2 1317 1009 73.30% 16.20% 10.49%+1.58 +3.8 45
2019-04-20 Sliema Wanderers W 2-147.1 1362 1320 45.24% 21.44% 33.32%+0.16 +5.8 43
2019-04-20 @ Balzan L 1-247.1 1320 1362 33.32% 21.44% 45.24%-0.16 -5.8 42
2019-04-20 Tarxien Rainbows W 1-031.5 1473 1138 75.29% 15.43% 9.28%+1.62 +1.8 57
2019-04-20 @ Valletta L 0-131.5 1138 1473 9.28% 15.43% 75.29%-1.62 -1.8 26
2019-04-22 Birkirkara W 1-050.4 1016 1346 9.47% 15.55% 74.97%-1.69 +12.2 19
2019-04-22 @ Qormi L 0-150.4 1346 1016 74.97% 15.55% 9.47%+1.69 -12.2 39
2019-04-22 Hibernians L 0-230.7 1179 1420 14.23% 18.05% 67.72%-1.24 -5.3 23
2019-04-22 @ Senglea Athletic W 2-030.7 1420 1179 67.72% 18.05% 14.23%+1.24 +5.3 55
2019-04-22 St. Andrews L 0-148.3 1310 1106 64.28% 18.96% 16.76%+0.97 -10.7 29
2019-04-22 @ Floriana W 1-048.3 1106 1310 16.76% 18.96% 64.28%-0.97 +10.7 21
2019-04-26 Floriana L 0-330.5 1136 1300 20.07% 19.84% 60.08%-0.86 -10.8 26
2019-04-26 @ Tarxien Rainbows W 3-030.5 1300 1136 60.08% 19.84% 20.07%+0.86 +10.8 32
2019-04-26 Gzira United W 1-050.0 1117 1394 12.09% 17.08% 70.83%-1.42 +11.6 24
2019-04-26 @ St. Andrews L 0-150.0 1394 1117 70.83% 17.08% 12.09%+1.42 -11.6 50
2019-04-26 Mosta D 1-154.6 1028 1140 25.01% 20.72% 54.27%-0.61 +1.1 20
2019-04-26 @ Qormi D 1-154.6 1140 1028 54.27% 20.72% 25.01%+0.61 -1.1 29
2019-04-26 Senglea Athletic L 2-358.7 1334 1174 59.75% 19.91% 20.34%+0.75 -9.0 39
2019-04-26 @ Birkirkara W 3-258.7 1174 1334 20.34% 19.91% 59.75%-0.75 +8.9 26
2019-04-27 Balzan W 5-141.1 1425 1368 47.15% 21.35% 31.51%+0.23 +17.5 58
2019-04-27 @ Hibernians L 1-541.1 1368 1425 31.51% 21.35% 47.15%-0.23 -17.5 43
2019-04-27 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-137.1 1314 1005 73.37% 16.18% 10.45%+1.49 +1.9 45
2019-04-27 @ Sliema Wanderers L 1-237.1 1005 1314 10.45% 16.18% 73.37%-1.49 -1.9 13
2019-04-27 Valletta D 1-158.3 1321 1475 20.92% 20.03% 59.05%-0.81 +1.5 46
2019-04-27 @ Hamrun Spartans D 1-158.3 1475 1321 59.05% 20.03% 20.92%+0.81 -1.5 58

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2019-04-15 5.50% Qormi 994 3 @ Hibernians 1441 1
2 2019-04-22 9.47% @ Qormi 1016 1 Birkirkara 1346 0
3 2019-02-16 9.63% Qormi 973 1 @ Floriana 1300 0
4 2019-04-26 12.09% @ St. Andrews 1117 1 Gzira United 1394 0
5 2018-10-27 12.48% Pieta Hotspurs 1059 2 @ Floriana 1329 1
6 2019-02-01 14.93% Senglea Athletic 1137 2 @ Balzan 1367 1
7 2019-04-13 15.01% Mosta 1128 2 @ Birkirkara 1356 1
8 2019-02-16 16.52% Mosta 1116 1 @ Hamrun Spartans 1324 0
9 2019-04-22 16.76% St. Andrews 1106 1 @ Floriana 1310 0
10 2019-03-09 17.02% Qormi 982 2 @ St. Andrews 1183 0
11 2018-10-06 17.58% @ St. Andrews 1157 2 Birkirkara 1350 0
12 2018-11-03 17.72% St. Andrews 1176 2 @ Balzan 1368 0
13 2019-03-31 17.80% @ Floriana 1297 2 Valletta 1488 0
14 2018-12-17 18.57% Hamrun Spartans 1287 1 @ Valletta 1468 0
15 2018-08-17 19.88% @ Qormi 1010 1 Senglea Athletic 1175 0
16 2019-04-26 20.34% Senglea Athletic 1174 3 @ Birkirkara 1334 2
17 2018-08-18 23.74% @ Sliema Wanderers 1290 3 Valletta 1415 0
18 2019-04-07 23.74% @ Pieta Hotspurs 1003 3 St. Andrews 1127 1
19 2018-12-08 24.34% @ St. Andrews 1193 3 Floriana 1311 0
20 2018-10-05 26.04% @ Pieta Hotspurs 1050 3 Mosta 1153 1
21 2018-08-18 27.09% @ Hamrun Spartans 1258 2 Floriana 1351 0
22 2019-02-02 28.10% Qormi 957 2 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1042 0
23 2018-09-22 28.60% @ Tarxien Rainbows 1200 2 Hamrun Spartans 1280 1
24 2019-02-02 28.73% Mosta 1098 2 @ Tarxien Rainbows 1177 0
25 2018-09-14 29.11% Floriana 1327 2 @ Hibernians 1404 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-03-14 32.49 @ Senglea Athletic 5 1144 36.59% St. Andrews 0 1163 41.87% 21.54%
2 2018-08-18 25.74 @ Sliema Wanderers 3 1290 23.74% Valletta 0 1415 55.72% 20.54%
3 2018-12-08 25.46 @ St. Andrews 3 1193 24.34% Floriana 0 1311 55.03% 20.63%
4 2019-04-15 21.22 Qormi 3 994 5.50% @ Hibernians 1 1441 82.34% 12.16%
5 2018-08-24 21.14 Tarxien Rainbows 5 1192 38.52% @ St. Andrews 1 1197 39.91% 21.56%
6 2018-10-27 20.53 @ Gzira United 3 1363 35.70% Balzan 0 1388 42.78% 21.52%
7 2019-03-09 20.06 Qormi 2 982 17.02% @ St. Andrews 0 1183 63.94% 19.04%
8 2018-10-06 19.85 @ St. Andrews 2 1157 17.58% Birkirkara 0 1350 63.21% 19.21%
9 2018-11-03 19.80 St. Andrews 2 1176 17.72% @ Balzan 0 1368 63.04% 19.25%
10 2019-03-31 19.78 @ Floriana 2 1297 17.80% Valletta 0 1488 62.93% 19.27%
11 2019-01-19 19.10 Senglea Athletic 3 1118 39.38% @ Mosta 0 1117 39.06% 21.56%
12 2018-09-16 18.01 Valletta 3 1383 42.18% @ Birkirkara 0 1362 36.29% 21.54%
13 2018-12-16 17.98 @ Floriana 4 1286 52.80% Tarxien Rainbows 0 1186 26.31% 20.89%
14 2019-04-27 17.47 @ Hibernians 5 1425 47.15% Balzan 1 1368 31.51% 21.35%
15 2018-08-18 16.66 @ Hamrun Spartans 2 1258 27.09% Floriana 0 1351 51.93% 20.98%
16 2019-01-13 16.34 @ Senglea Athletic 4 1101 55.85% Qormi 0 976 23.63% 20.52%
17 2019-02-02 16.34 Qormi 2 957 28.10% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1042 50.81% 21.08%
18 2018-12-08 16.29 Valletta 7 1451 68.50% @ Tarxien Rainbows 0 1202 13.68% 17.82%
19 2019-02-02 16.15 Mosta 2 1098 28.73% @ Tarxien Rainbows 0 1177 50.13% 21.14%
20 2018-09-14 16.03 Floriana 2 1327 29.11% @ Hibernians 0 1404 49.72% 21.17%
21 2019-04-07 15.35 @ Pieta Hotspurs 3 1003 23.74% St. Andrews 1 1127 55.72% 20.54%
22 2018-10-05 15.06 @ Valletta 4 1415 42.57% Balzan 1 1392 35.90% 21.53%
23 2018-10-05 14.71 @ Pieta Hotspurs 3 1050 26.04% Mosta 1 1153 53.10% 20.86%
24 2018-08-24 14.59 Mosta 2 1128 34.07% @ Senglea Athletic 0 1165 44.46% 21.47%
25 2019-02-02 14.20 Hamrun Spartans 3 1298 51.73% @ St. Andrews 0 1206 27.27% 21.00%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-02-16 67.4 @ Valletta 3 1481 74.89% Senglea Athletic 3 1152 9.52% 15.59%
2 2018-12-09 66.2 @ Gzira United 3 1388 71.27% Mosta 3 1105 11.80% 16.93%
3 2019-04-06 65.4 @ Mosta 3 1126 17.82% Floriana 3 1317 62.91% 19.27%
4 2018-11-10 64.8 @ St. Andrews 3 1196 55.56% Pieta Hotspurs 3 1073 23.88% 20.56%
5 2018-12-17 63.8 @ Balzan 2 1365 31.62% Hibernians 2 1420 47.03% 21.35%
6 2019-03-12 63.6 @ Hibernians 2 1439 54.49% Sliema Wanderers 2 1325 24.81% 20.70%
7 2018-11-23 61.8 @ Balzan 2 1355 49.08% Hamrun Spartans 2 1283 29.70% 21.22%
8 2019-04-06 61.3 @ Senglea Athletic 2 1176 22.11% Hamrun Spartans 2 1317 57.63% 20.26%
9 2019-03-30 60.6 @ Tarxien Rainbows 2 1134 33.37% Senglea Athletic 2 1177 45.19% 21.44%
10 2018-09-15 60.5 @ Qormi 2 1017 34.52% Pieta Hotspurs 2 1051 43.99% 21.49%
11 2019-04-07 59.5 @ Valletta 1 1468 49.97% Gzira United 1 1390 28.88% 21.15%
12 2019-04-26 58.7 Senglea Athletic 3 1174 20.34% @ Birkirkara 2 1334 59.75% 19.91%
13 2019-04-27 58.3 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1321 20.92% Valletta 1 1475 59.05% 20.03%
14 2019-03-08 57.2 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1306 22.74% Hibernians 1 1441 56.88% 20.38%
15 2018-09-23 56.7 @ Gzira United 3 1345 33.37% Hibernians 2 1388 45.19% 21.44%
16 2019-03-30 56.7 @ Hibernians 1 1439 73.81% Mosta 1 1124 10.18% 16.01%
17 2019-02-17 56.6 @ Gzira United 1 1380 43.53% Birkirkara 1 1349 34.97% 21.50%
18 2018-11-03 56.3 @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 1070 10.22% Gzira United 1 1384 73.74% 16.04%
19 2019-02-03 56.3 @ Gzira United 1 1387 49.89% Sliema Wanderers 1 1309 28.95% 21.16%
20 2019-01-18 56.2 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1297 27.41% Gzira United 1 1388 51.58% 21.01%
21 2019-04-20 56.1 @ Mosta 1 1138 13.17% Gzira United 1 1396 69.24% 17.60%
22 2019-04-14 56.0 @ Hamrun Spartans 1 1316 32.83% Balzan 1 1363 45.76% 21.42%
23 2019-01-12 55.9 @ Gzira United 1 1390 66.03% Tarxien Rainbows 1 1168 15.45% 18.52%
24 2018-10-27 55.4 Pieta Hotspurs 2 1059 12.48% @ Floriana 1 1329 70.25% 17.27%
25 2019-01-18 55.3 @ Sliema Wanderers 1 1309 40.02% Floriana 1 1304 38.42% 21.56%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2019-03-09 23.5 @ Valletta 3 1484 83.67% Pieta Hotspurs 0 1012 4.88% 11.45%
2 2018-10-20 25.0 Valletta 4 1430 77.42% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1065 8.06% 14.52%
3 2018-09-21 25.4 @ Valletta 6 1401 78.56% Qormi 0 1018 7.43% 14.01%
4 2019-04-14 25.5 Valletta 4 1467 76.72% @ St. Andrews 0 1112 8.45% 14.83%
5 2019-02-17 25.8 Balzan 3 1354 75.13% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1021 9.38% 15.49%
6 2019-01-18 26.5 @ Birkirkara 3 1354 73.13% Pieta Hotspurs 0 1048 10.60% 16.27%
7 2018-10-27 27.1 @ Valletta 5 1436 72.74% Mosta 0 1135 10.85% 16.41%
8 2018-11-03 27.1 Hibernians 4 1402 70.76% @ Mosta 0 1126 12.13% 17.10%
9 2019-01-12 27.2 Hibernians 2 1420 77.69% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1051 7.91% 14.41%
10 2019-03-01 27.5 @ Hibernians 5 1431 71.49% Tarxien Rainbows 0 1146 11.65% 16.86%
11 2018-12-15 27.7 Sliema Wanderers 3 1310 68.77% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1058 13.49% 17.74%
12 2018-11-10 27.9 @ Sliema Wanderers 2 1311 74.21% Qormi 0 991 9.93% 15.85%
13 2019-04-20 28.2 Hamrun Spartans 2 1317 73.30% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1009 10.49% 16.20%
14 2018-11-24 28.6 Birkirkara 3 1338 66.25% @ Mosta 0 1114 15.29% 18.46%
15 2018-12-09 28.7 @ Hibernians 2 1417 73.15% Senglea Athletic 0 1111 10.59% 16.26%
16 2019-03-13 28.8 Floriana 2 1293 71.33% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1010 11.76% 16.91%
17 2018-09-15 28.9 Balzan 5 1371 65.90% @ Senglea Athletic 0 1151 15.55% 18.55%
18 2018-11-04 28.9 Hamrun Spartans 2 1275 71.09% @ Qormi 0 995 11.91% 16.99%
19 2019-03-02 29.9 Gzira United 4 1380 79.29% @ Qormi 1 985 7.04% 13.67%
20 2018-12-08 30.0 Valletta 7 1451 68.50% @ Tarxien Rainbows 0 1202 13.68% 17.82%
21 2018-12-16 30.1 Birkirkara 2 1348 67.78% @ Senglea Athletic 0 1107 14.18% 18.03%
22 2018-10-06 30.3 @ Gzira United 1 1359 76.48% Qormi 0 1007 8.59% 14.93%
23 2019-04-26 30.5 Floriana 3 1300 60.08% @ Tarxien Rainbows 0 1136 20.07% 19.84%
24 2018-09-29 30.7 @ Balzan 1 1390 75.53% Pieta Hotspurs 0 1052 9.14% 15.33%
25 2019-03-08 30.7 Birkirkara 2 1357 65.96% @ Tarxien Rainbows 0 1136 15.50% 18.54%