2021-22 Maltese Premier League Season

162 games

Final

Champion

Hibernians

31 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Gzira United

3.29 points above expected

27 points · 23.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hibernians

1.80 points below expected

31 points · 32.80 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Hibernians	22	13	8	1	47	39	18	+21	40.49	+6.51
2	Floriana	22	13	6	3	45	36	19	+17	31.12	+13.88
3	Birkirkara	22	9	9	4	36	30	22	+8	37.46	-1.46
4	Hamrun Spartans	22	10	5	7	35	28	22	+6	38.46	-3.46
5	Gzira United	22	9	6	7	33	39	33	+6	34.37	-1.37
6	Gudja United	22	9	2	11	29	26	25	+1	25.49	+3.51
7	Sirens	22	7	6	9	27	28	38	-10	24.53	+2.47
8	Valletta	22	7	5	10	26	28	34	-6	25.44	+0.56
9	Mosta	22	6	7	9	25	32	41	-9	25.72	-0.72
10	Balzan	22	7	2	13	23	30	33	-3	28.77	-5.77
11	Santa Lucia	22	4	10	8	22	28	38	-10	24.65	-2.65
12	Sliema Wanderers	22	2	6	14	12	12	33	-21	24.26	-12.26

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Hibernians	27	15	9	3	31	46	23	+23	32.80	-1.80
2	Floriana	27	14	9	4	29	38	21	+17	29.92	-0.92
3	Hamrun Spartans	27	13	6	8	28	33	24	+9	25.00	+3.00
4	Gzira United	27	12	7	8	27	46	38	+8	23.71	+3.29
5	Birkirkara	27	10	11	6	23	35	27	+8	24.78	-1.78
6	Gudja United	27	10	2	15	18	29	35	-6	19.72	-1.72

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Valletta	27	10	6	11	23	39	40	-1	19.95	+3.05
2	Sirens	27	9	7	11	21	40	48	-8	20.58	+0.42
3	Mosta	27	8	8	11	20	41	50	-9	20.07	-0.07
4	Balzan	27	9	3	15	19	37	42	-5	19.78	-0.78
5	Santa Lucia	27	5	12	10	16	36	45	-9	17.76	-1.76
6	Sliema Wanderers	27	4	6	17	12	16	43	-27	11.65	+0.35

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Gzira United	27	23.71	+3.29
2	Valletta	23	19.95	+3.05
3	Hamrun Spartans	28	25.00	+3.00
4	Sirens	21	20.58	+0.42
5	Sliema Wanderers	12	11.65	+0.35

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Hibernians	31	32.80	-1.80
2	Birkirkara	23	24.78	-1.78
3	Santa Lucia	16	17.76	-1.76
4	Gudja United	18	19.72	-1.72
5	Floriana	29	29.92	-0.92

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Floriana	5	Feb 6 – Mar 6	1 in 53
2	Valletta	3	Oct 30 – Nov 27	1 in 22
3	Santa Lucia	2	Feb 20 – Feb 27	1 in 20
4	Balzan	3	Oct 23 – Nov 21	1 in 19
5	Sliema Wanderers	2	Jan 26 – Jan 29	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Balzan	5	Jan 26 – Feb 19	1 in 314
2	Sliema Wanderers	7	Oct 31 – Jan 22	1 in 183
3	Valletta	4	Jan 30 – Feb 20	1 in 45
4	Gudja United	5	Oct 16 – Nov 28	1 in 29
5	Sirens	4	Feb 27 – Apr 2	1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Floriana	11	Dec 5 – Mar 6	1 in 89
2	Hibernians	18	Aug 16 – Feb 12	1 in 63
3	Valletta	6	Oct 17 – Dec 4	1 in 30
4	Mosta	5	Sep 26 – Nov 20	1 in 12
5	Sirens	4	Dec 13 – Jan 23	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Sliema Wanderers	14	Aug 12 – Jan 22	1 in 157
2	Hamrun Spartans	7	Jan 22 – Feb 26	1 in 66
3	Balzan	7	Jan 19 – Feb 19	1 in 25
4	Valletta	9	Dec 4 – Feb 20	1 in 24
5	Hibernians	3	Jan 18 – Jan 29	1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Hibernians	1420	54	-1	7	8.7	-1.7
Floriana	1339	51	-2	6	6.8	-0.8
Hamrun Spartans	1366	45	+23	10	7.2	+2.8
Gzira United	1344	43	+14	10	6.7	+3.3
Birkirkara	1334	41	-3	5	7.0	-2.0
Valletta	1224	36	+34	10	7.5	+2.5
Sirens	1188	34	+15	7	6.5	+0.5
Mosta	1195	32	-2	7	6.9	+0.1
Gudja United	1208	32	-30	3	4.5	-1.5
Balzan	1205	30	-21	7	7.3	-0.3
Santa Lucia	1188	27	+8	5	7.2	-2.2
Sliema Wanderers	1100	18	-34	6	5.4	+0.6

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BAL	BIR	FLO	GU	GU	HS	HIB	MOS	SL	SIR	SW	VAL
Balzan	—	0-0-2 2.19	0-0-2 2.62	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.13	1-1-0 2.03	0-0-2 1.81	0-0-3 4.70	0-1-2 4.87	3-0-0 4.46	2-0-1 5.05	1-1-1 4.28
Birkirkara	2-0-0 3.26	—	0-2-1 4.81	3-0-0 5.44	1-2-0 4.41	1-1-1 3.83	1-1-1 3.46	1-1-0 3.58	0-0-2 3.98	0-1-1 3.87	1-1-0 3.97	0-2-0 3.63
Floriana	2-0-0 2.82	1-2-0 3.37	—	3-0-0 5.19	2-0-1 3.80	0-2-1 3.37	0-2-1 3.08	1-1-0 3.26	1-1-0 2.92	1-0-1 3.62	1-1-0 3.03	2-0-0 2.82
Gudja United	1-0-1 2.42	0-0-3 2.76	0-0-3 3.00	—	0-0-3 2.90	2-0-1 2.67	0-0-3 2.22	2-0-0 2.61	1-1-0 2.53	0-1-1 2.72	2-0-0 2.75	2-0-0 2.66
Gzira United	1-0-1 3.32	0-2-1 3.75	1-0-2 4.36	3-0-0 5.30	—	2-0-1 3.69	1-0-2 3.34	0-1-1 3.52	0-2-0 3.49	2-0-0 3.72	1-1-0 3.53	1-1-0 3.43
Hamrun Spartans	0-1-1 3.42	1-1-1 4.33	1-2-0 4.80	1-0-2 5.55	1-0-2 4.47	—	1-1-1 3.36	2-0-0 3.82	2-0-0 3.75	1-1-0 3.71	2-0-0 4.05	1-0-1 3.69
Hibernians	2-0-0 3.67	1-1-1 4.71	1-2-0 5.10	3-0-0 6.05	2-0-1 4.83	1-1-1 4.80	—	1-1-0 4.02	0-2-0 4.11	1-1-0 3.99	2-0-0 4.02	1-1-0 4.08
Mosta	3-0-0 3.46	0-1-1 1.89	0-1-1 2.19	0-0-2 2.83	1-1-0 1.95	0-0-2 1.67	0-1-1 1.49	—	1-2-0 4.21	0-1-2 4.28	2-0-1 4.50	1-1-1 4.01
Santa Lucia	2-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 1.53	0-1-1 2.52	0-1-1 2.91	0-2-0 1.97	0-0-2 1.73	0-2-0 1.41	0-2-1 3.94	—	0-1-2 4.29	0-2-1 4.47	1-0-2 3.88
Sirens	0-0-3 3.70	1-1-0 1.62	1-0-1 1.85	1-1-0 2.71	0-0-2 1.76	0-1-1 1.77	0-1-1 1.51	2-1-0 3.88	2-1-0 3.87	—	1-1-1 4.30	1-0-2 4.08
Sliema Wanderers	1-0-2 3.14	0-1-1 1.53	0-1-1 2.42	0-0-2 2.70	0-1-1 1.94	0-0-2 1.46	0-0-2 1.49	1-0-2 3.66	1-2-0 3.70	1-1-1 3.86	—	0-0-3 3.65
Valletta	1-1-1 3.88	0-2-0 1.84	0-0-2 2.62	0-0-2 2.78	0-1-1 2.02	1-0-1 1.79	0-1-1 1.44	1-1-1 4.14	2-0-1 4.28	2-0-1 4.08	3-0-0 4.51	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.47	+4.9
Allowed	0.53	-4.1
Differential	0.91	+4.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.41%	9.57%	3.70%	3.40%	—	0.31%	24.38%
1	9.57%	11.73%	8.64%	4.94%	0.93%	0.31%	36.11%
2	3.70%	8.64%	6.79%	4.32%	—	—	23.46%
3	3.40%	4.94%	4.32%	0.62%	0.31%	0.31%	13.89%
4	—	0.93%	—	0.31%	—	—	1.23%
5+	0.31%	0.31%	—	0.31%	—	—	0.93%
Total	24.38%	36.11%	23.46%	13.89%	1.23%	0.93%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.35	1.35	+0.00
SD	1.10	1.10	1.51
CV	0.82	0.82	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 162

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	18.52%	—	3.70%	—	—	22.22%
1	14.81%	3.70%	18.52%	3.70%	—	—	40.74%
2	—	11.11%	3.70%	11.11%	—	—	25.93%
3	—	—	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	7.41%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.70%	—	—	—	—	3.70%
Total	14.81%	37.04%	25.93%	22.22%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.37	1.56	-0.19
SD	1.28	1.01	1.49
CV	0.93	0.65	—
Max	6	3	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.81%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	—	25.93%
1	7.41%	22.22%	—	3.70%	—	—	33.33%
2	7.41%	7.41%	3.70%	7.41%	—	—	25.93%
3	7.41%	—	7.41%	—	—	—	14.81%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.04%	37.04%	14.81%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	1.00	+0.30
SD	1.03	1.00	1.27
CV	0.80	1.00	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.52%	3.70%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
1	7.41%	7.41%	7.41%	—	3.70%	—	25.93%
2	14.81%	18.52%	7.41%	—	—	—	40.74%
3	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	48.15%	33.33%	14.81%	—	3.70%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.41	0.78	+0.63
SD	0.97	0.97	1.33
CV	0.69	1.25	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.70%	14.81%	11.11%	3.70%	—	—	33.33%
1	18.52%	—	14.81%	7.41%	—	—	40.74%
2	3.70%	—	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	11.11%
3	7.41%	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	—	14.81%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	18.52%	33.33%	14.81%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.07	1.30	-0.22
SD	1.04	1.10	1.63
CV	0.96	0.85	—
Max	3	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	—	7.41%
1	7.41%	18.52%	11.11%	7.41%	—	—	44.44%
2	3.70%	11.11%	7.41%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	14.81%	3.70%	—	3.70%	—	22.22%
4	—	3.70%	—	—	—	—	3.70%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	51.85%	25.93%	7.41%	3.70%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.70	1.41	+0.30
SD	1.03	0.93	1.38
CV	0.61	0.66	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	18.52%	—	—	—	—	29.63%
1	14.81%	3.70%	7.41%	—	3.70%	—	29.63%
2	7.41%	14.81%	7.41%	—	—	—	29.63%
3	3.70%	7.41%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.04%	44.44%	14.81%	—	3.70%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.22	0.89	+0.33
SD	1.01	0.93	1.33
CV	0.83	1.05	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.81%	—	—	—	—	—	14.81%
1	11.11%	18.52%	7.41%	—	—	—	37.04%
2	3.70%	11.11%	—	3.70%	—	—	18.52%
3	3.70%	14.81%	3.70%	—	—	—	22.22%
4	—	7.41%	—	—	—	—	7.41%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	51.85%	11.11%	3.70%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.70	0.85	+0.85
SD	1.20	0.77	1.20
CV	0.71	0.90	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.41%	3.70%	7.41%	—	—	18.52%
1	7.41%	14.81%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	33.33%
2	—	3.70%	14.81%	11.11%	—	—	29.63%
3	—	—	14.81%	—	—	—	14.81%
4	—	—	—	3.70%	—	—	3.70%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.41%	25.93%	40.74%	25.93%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.85	-0.33
SD	1.09	0.91	1.21
CV	0.72	0.49	—
Max	4	3	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.41%	7.41%	—	7.41%	—	—	22.22%
1	3.70%	14.81%	11.11%	7.41%	—	—	37.04%
2	3.70%	3.70%	18.52%	—	—	—	25.93%
3	3.70%	—	3.70%	3.70%	—	3.70%	14.81%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.52%	25.93%	33.33%	18.52%	—	3.70%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.33	1.67	-0.33
SD	1.00	1.21	1.36
CV	0.75	0.73	—
Max	3	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.70%	7.41%	—	7.41%	—	—	18.52%
1	3.70%	14.81%	7.41%	11.11%	—	3.70%	40.74%
2	—	11.11%	7.41%	3.70%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	3.70%	11.11%	—	—	—	14.81%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.70%	—	—	—	—	—	3.70%
Total	11.11%	37.04%	25.93%	22.22%	—	3.70%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.48	1.78	-0.30
SD	1.19	1.28	1.90
CV	0.80	0.72	—
Max	5	6	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	22.22%	11.11%	7.41%	—	3.70%	55.56%
1	11.11%	7.41%	—	11.11%	—	—	29.63%
2	—	3.70%	3.70%	7.41%	—	—	14.81%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	33.33%	14.81%	25.93%	—	3.70%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.59	1.59	-1.00
SD	0.75	1.31	1.41
CV	1.26	0.82	—
Max	2	5	+1
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 27

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.70%	3.70%	11.11%	3.70%	—	—	22.22%
1	7.41%	14.81%	11.11%	3.70%	3.70%	—	40.74%
2	—	7.41%	3.70%	3.70%	—	—	14.81%
3	7.41%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	18.52%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	3.70%	—	—	3.70%
Total	18.52%	37.04%	25.93%	14.81%	3.70%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.44	1.48	-0.04
SD	1.25	1.09	1.72
CV	0.87	0.73	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 27

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Hibernians	1420	31	40.49	-9.49	87.0%	27	31	35	41	45	51	57
Hamrun Spartans	1366	28	38.46	-10.46	30.0%	22	30	35	38	42	48	51
Gzira United	1344	27	34.37	-7.37	40.0%	21	23	30	35	39	44	50
Floriana	1339	29	31.12	-2.12	98.0%	16	21	27	31	34	41	48
Birkirkara	1334	23	37.46	-14.46	46.0%	26	29	33	37	41	45	57
Valletta	1224	23	25.44	-2.44	60.0%	13	15	22	25	30	33	36
Gudja United	1208	18	25.49	-7.49	74.0%	10	16	21	25	30	35	39
Balzan	1205	19	28.77	-9.77	18.0%	16	21	25	29	33	37	41
Mosta	1195	20	25.72	-5.72	51.0%	12	17	22	25	29	36	40
Sirens	1188	21	24.53	-3.53	70.0%	12	16	21	25	28	32	41
Santa Lucia	1188	16	24.65	-8.65	39.0%	8	16	20	25	28	35	37
Sliema Wanderers	1100	12	24.26	-12.26	0.0%	13	16	20	24	28	34	36

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

First Phase

Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

-0.62%

Slight Edge

36.42%26.54%37.04%

Elo Value

Home Edge: -2.14 Elo pts.

213 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0600

Scoring Tilt

Expected

-0.11 goals

Neutral

-2-0.01+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.

Title-Race Openness

3.7

Open

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

41%

Hibernians, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.07/gm

Photo Finish

00.160.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.63 * Some Luck: 4.63 to 6.94 * Lucky: 6.94 to 9.26 * Wild Swing: 9.26 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.68 * Close: 1.68 to 2.53 * Off: 2.53 to 3.37 * Way Off: 3.37 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.20 points

Some Luck

05.7914

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.67

Pinpoint

02.115

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

98.00%

Floriana

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

0.00%

Sliema Wanderers

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.

Gini Index

0.14

Balanced

00.20.270.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 90.68

0.84

Coin-Flip Parity

0.951.6522.253

Interquartile Edge

70%

Even

50%72.5%79%84%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

84%

Even

50%86%100%

Close Games

Expected

72%

Very Frequent

0%68%100%

Blowouts

Expected 10%

10%

Rare

0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.64

Hard to Predict

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.26

Very Even

00.420.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.12

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.43

Weak Carryover

00.570.741

Upset Rate

Expected

28%

Very Upset-Prone

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

23%

Very Shaky

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.2 * Above Noise: 0.2 to 0.27 * Well Above Noise: 0.27 and up.

Probability calibration

0.94

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.98

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.050

Well Within Noise

00.1360.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Hibernians	41.00%	23.00%	12.00%	8.00%	7.00%	5.00%	—	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Floriana	7.00%	9.00%	7.00%	12.00%	16.00%	12.00%	14.00%	8.00%	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	2.00%
Hamrun Spartans	24.00%	22.00%	25.00%	14.00%	5.00%	7.00%	—	2.00%	—	1.00%	—	—
Gzira United	12.00%	14.00%	16.00%	17.00%	12.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%
Birkirkara	15.00%	27.00%	21.00%	17.00%	5.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	—	—	—	—
Gudja United	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	13.00%	7.00%	11.00%	10.00%	13.00%	17.00%	12.00%	11.00%
Valletta	1.00%	1.00%	—	4.00%	5.00%	15.00%	11.00%	9.00%	21.00%	13.00%	8.00%	12.00%
Sirens	—	1.00%	1.00%	—	9.00%	5.00%	10.00%	14.00%	14.00%	14.00%	15.00%	17.00%
Mosta	—	—	4.00%	3.00%	7.00%	10.00%	11.00%	12.00%	12.00%	15.00%	13.00%	13.00%
Balzan	—	2.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	14.00%	16.00%	10.00%	15.00%	6.00%	7.00%	2.00%
Santa Lucia	—	—	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	8.00%	9.00%	14.00%	9.00%	14.00%	15.00%	18.00%
Sliema Wanderers	—	—	2.00%	5.00%	7.00%	4.00%	6.00%	8.00%	9.00%	15.00%	21.00%	23.00%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Hibernians	73.23%	21.11%	4.54%	1.01%	0.10%	0.01%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Floriana	22.61%	53.14%	16.78%	6.03%	1.34%	0.10%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hamrun Spartans	1.86%	10.24%	28.02%	31.01%	22.34%	6.53%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Gzira United	0.73%	5.11%	18.19%	25.97%	35.72%	14.28%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Birkirkara	1.54%	9.91%	30.25%	29.04%	22.59%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Gudja United	0.03%	0.49%	2.22%	6.94%	17.91%	72.41%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Valletta	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.53%	22.42%	20.74%	19.00%	13.66%	1.65%
Sirens	—	—	—	—	—	—	30.63%	23.95%	19.99%	15.02%	9.35%	1.06%
Mosta	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.49%	21.99%	21.84%	19.27%	13.65%	1.76%
Balzan	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.81%	20.43%	20.66%	21.23%	16.60%	2.27%
Santa Lucia	—	—	—	—	—	—	6.39%	10.89%	15.76%	22.65%	36.99%	7.32%
Sliema Wanderers	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.15%	0.32%	1.01%	2.83%	9.75%	85.94%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Birkirkara	100%	—
Floriana	100%	—
Hibernians	100%	—
Gzira United	99.00%	1.00%
Hamrun Spartans	99.00%	1.00%
Balzan	92.00%	8.00%
Gudja United	77.00%	23.00%
Valletta	75.00%	25.00%
Mosta	71.00%	29.00%
Santa Lucia	68.00%	32.00%
Sirens	64.00%	36.00%
Sliema Wanderers	55.00%	45.00%

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team	Qualified for Championship Round	Relegated
Birkirkara	100%	—
Floriana	100%	—
Gudja United	100%	—
Gzira United	100%	—
Hamrun Spartans	100%	—
Hibernians	100%	—
Sirens	89.59%	10.41%
Valletta	84.69%	15.31%
Mosta	84.59%	15.41%
Balzan	81.13%	18.87%
Santa Lucia	55.69%	44.31%
Sliema Wanderers	4.31%	95.69%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2021-08-12	Sliema Wanderers	W 1-0	40.2	1260	1247	37.75%	28.13%	34.11%	+0.05	+8.5	3
2021-08-12	@ Balzan	L 0-1	40.2	1247	1260	34.11%	28.13%	37.75%	-0.05	-8.5	0
2021-08-13	Sirens	L 0-1	39.9	1189	1201	34.18%	28.14%	37.68%	-0.07	-8.5	0
2021-08-13	@ Gudja United	W 1-0	39.9	1201	1189	37.68%	28.14%	34.18%	+0.07	+8.5	3
2021-08-13	Valletta	L 1-2	51.7	1356	1213	54.67%	25.83%	19.50%	+0.66	-11.6	0
2021-08-13	@ Hamrun Spartans	W 2-1	51.7	1213	1356	19.50%	25.83%	54.67%	-0.66	+11.6	3
2021-08-14	Birkirkara	L 0-3	31.3	1242	1320	25.93%	27.44%	46.62%	-0.37	-18.9	0
2021-08-14	@ Mosta	W 3-0	31.3	1320	1242	46.62%	27.44%	25.93%	+0.37	+18.9	3
2021-08-14	Santa Lucia	D 2-2	58.6	1216	1219	35.55%	28.15%	36.30%	-0.02	+0.0	1
2021-08-14	@ Floriana	D 2-2	58.6	1219	1216	36.30%	28.15%	35.55%	+0.02	-0.0	1
2021-08-16	Hibernians	L 1-3	42.0	1314	1332	33.40%	28.12%	38.48%	-0.09	-13.7	0
2021-08-16	@ Gzira United	W 3-1	42.0	1332	1314	38.48%	28.12%	33.40%	+0.09	+13.7	3
2021-08-20	Floriana	D 0-0	47.9	1239	1216	39.15%	28.09%	32.76%	+0.10	-0.3	1
2021-08-20	@ Sliema Wanderers	D 0-0	47.9	1216	1239	32.76%	28.09%	39.15%	-0.10	+0.3	2
2021-08-20	Mosta	D 1-1	52.6	1210	1223	33.98%	28.13%	37.89%	-0.07	+0.2	4
2021-08-20	@ Sirens	D 1-1	52.6	1223	1210	37.89%	28.13%	33.98%	+0.07	-0.2	1
2021-08-21	Balzan	W 1-0	42.4	1225	1269	29.94%	27.92%	42.14%	-0.22	+10.0	6
2021-08-21	@ Valletta	L 0-1	42.4	1269	1225	42.14%	27.92%	29.94%	+0.22	-10.0	3
2021-08-21	Hamrun Spartans	W 2-1	48.0	1339	1345	35.08%	28.15%	36.77%	-0.04	+8.5	6
2021-08-21	@ Birkirkara	L 1-2	48.0	1345	1339	36.77%	28.15%	35.08%	+0.04	-8.5	0
2021-08-22	Gudja United	W 2-1	40.2	1346	1180	57.17%	25.11%	17.72%	+0.77	+4.6	6
2021-08-22	@ Hibernians	L 1-2	40.2	1180	1346	17.72%	25.11%	57.17%	-0.77	-4.6	0
2021-08-22	Gzira United	D 1-1	53.1	1219	1301	25.49%	27.37%	47.14%	-0.39	+1.1	2
2021-08-22	@ Santa Lucia	D 1-1	53.1	1301	1219	47.14%	27.37%	25.49%	+0.39	-1.1	1
2021-09-11	Hamrun Spartans	L 1-2	42.2	1223	1336	22.24%	26.67%	51.08%	-0.54	-5.7	1
2021-09-11	@ Mosta	W 2-1	42.2	1336	1223	51.08%	26.67%	22.24%	+0.54	+5.7	3
2021-09-11	Sliema Wanderers	D 1-1	53.0	1300	1239	44.41%	27.71%	27.88%	+0.28	-0.8	2
2021-09-11	@ Gzira United	D 1-1	53.0	1239	1300	27.88%	27.71%	44.41%	-0.28	+0.8	2
2021-09-11	Valletta	W 3-0	34.8	1217	1235	33.40%	28.12%	38.48%	-0.09	+25.5	5
2021-09-11	@ Floriana	L 0-3	34.8	1235	1217	38.48%	28.12%	33.40%	+0.09	-25.5	6
2021-09-12	Birkirkara	L 1-2	43.4	1259	1347	24.74%	27.23%	48.03%	-0.43	-6.3	3
2021-09-12	@ Balzan	W 2-1	43.4	1347	1259	48.03%	27.23%	24.74%	+0.43	+6.3	9
2021-09-12	Hibernians	L 1-3	36.7	1210	1351	19.73%	25.91%	54.36%	-0.67	-8.9	4
2021-09-12	@ Sirens	W 3-1	36.7	1351	1210	54.36%	25.91%	19.73%	+0.67	+8.9	9
2021-09-12	Santa Lucia	D 2-2	58.6	1176	1220	29.92%	27.92%	42.16%	-0.22	+0.4	1
2021-09-12	@ Gudja United	D 2-2	58.6	1220	1176	42.16%	27.92%	29.92%	+0.22	-0.4	3
2021-09-18	Gzira United	L 0-2	32.3	1209	1299	24.63%	27.21%	48.16%	-0.43	-12.5	6
2021-09-18	@ Valletta	W 2-0	32.3	1299	1209	48.16%	27.21%	24.63%	+0.43	+12.5	5
2021-09-18	Mosta	W 3-2	46.4	1360	1217	54.50%	25.87%	19.63%	+0.66	+4.8	12
2021-09-18	@ Hibernians	L 2-3	46.4	1217	1360	19.63%	25.87%	54.50%	-0.66	-4.9	1
2021-09-18	Sirens	L 1-3	42.5	1219	1201	38.58%	28.11%	33.31%	+0.08	-15.2	3
2021-09-18	@ Santa Lucia	W 3-1	42.5	1201	1219	33.31%	28.11%	38.58%	-0.08	+15.2	7
2021-09-19	Balzan	L 0-1	44.5	1342	1252	48.14%	27.22%	24.64%	+0.41	-11.1	3
2021-09-19	@ Hamrun Spartans	W 1-0	44.5	1252	1342	24.64%	27.22%	48.14%	-0.41	+11.1	6
2021-09-19	Floriana	D 1-1	53.6	1354	1242	50.89%	26.71%	22.40%	+0.51	-1.4	10
2021-09-19	@ Birkirkara	D 1-1	53.6	1242	1354	22.40%	26.71%	50.89%	-0.51	+1.4	6
2021-09-19	Gudja United	L 2-3	54.0	1239	1176	44.73%	27.68%	27.59%	+0.29	-9.4	2
2021-09-19	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 3-2	54.0	1176	1239	27.59%	27.68%	44.73%	-0.29	+9.4	4
2021-09-25	Hamrun Spartans	L 1-2	43.2	1244	1331	24.87%	27.26%	47.87%	-0.42	-6.3	6
2021-09-25	@ Floriana	W 2-1	43.2	1331	1244	47.87%	27.26%	24.87%	+0.42	+6.3	6
2021-09-25	Santa Lucia	D 1-1	53.9	1364	1204	56.55%	25.30%	18.16%	+0.74	-2.0	13
2021-09-25	@ Hibernians	D 1-1	53.9	1204	1364	18.16%	25.30%	56.55%	-0.74	+2.0	4
2021-09-25	Valletta	W 2-0	36.2	1185	1197	34.34%	28.14%	37.52%	-0.06	+17.2	7
2021-09-25	@ Gudja United	L 0-2	36.2	1197	1185	37.52%	28.14%	34.34%	+0.06	-17.2	6
2021-09-26	Balzan	W 2-1	48.4	1213	1264	29.08%	27.84%	43.07%	-0.25	+9.6	4
2021-09-26	@ Mosta	L 1-2	48.4	1264	1213	43.07%	27.84%	29.08%	+0.25	-9.6	6
2021-09-26	Birkirkara	D 1-1	53.8	1311	1352	30.33%	27.95%	41.71%	-0.20	+0.5	6
2021-09-26	@ Gzira United	D 1-1	53.8	1352	1311	41.71%	27.95%	30.33%	+0.20	-0.5	11
2021-09-26	Sliema Wanderers	D 2-2	58.6	1216	1230	33.96%	28.13%	37.91%	-0.08	+0.1	8
2021-09-26	@ Sirens	D 2-2	58.6	1230	1216	37.91%	28.13%	33.96%	+0.08	-0.1	3
2021-10-16	Floriana	L 1-2	47.1	1254	1237	38.32%	28.12%	33.56%	+0.07	-8.8	6
2021-10-16	@ Balzan	W 2-1	47.1	1237	1254	33.56%	28.12%	38.32%	-0.07	+8.8	9
2021-10-16	Gudja United	W 2-0	30.4	1352	1203	55.31%	25.65%	19.04%	+0.69	+9.9	14
2021-10-16	@ Birkirkara	L 0-2	30.4	1203	1352	19.04%	25.65%	55.31%	-0.69	-9.9	7
2021-10-16	Gzira United	L 0-1	42.6	1337	1312	39.55%	28.08%	32.37%	+0.11	-9.5	6
2021-10-16	@ Hamrun Spartans	W 1-0	42.6	1312	1337	32.37%	28.08%	39.55%	-0.11	+9.5	9
2021-10-17	Hibernians	L 0-3	29.4	1230	1362	20.46%	26.15%	53.39%	-0.63	-15.4	3
2021-10-17	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 3-0	29.4	1362	1230	53.39%	26.15%	20.46%	+0.63	+15.4	16
2021-10-17	Mosta	D 2-2	58.6	1206	1222	33.67%	28.12%	38.20%	-0.08	+0.2	5
2021-10-17	@ Santa Lucia	D 2-2	58.6	1222	1206	38.20%	28.12%	33.67%	+0.08	-0.2	5
2021-10-17	Sirens	W 3-1	43.2	1179	1216	30.86%	27.99%	41.15%	-0.18	+16.0	9
2021-10-17	@ Valletta	L 1-3	43.2	1216	1179	41.15%	27.99%	30.86%	+0.18	-16.0	8
2021-10-23	Balzan	L 1-2	49.7	1321	1245	46.39%	27.47%	26.13%	+0.35	-10.2	9
2021-10-23	@ Gzira United	W 2-1	49.7	1245	1321	26.13%	27.47%	46.39%	-0.35	+10.2	9
2021-10-23	Floriana	D 1-1	52.7	1222	1246	32.58%	28.09%	39.34%	-0.12	+0.3	6
2021-10-23	@ Mosta	D 1-1	52.7	1246	1222	39.34%	28.09%	32.58%	+0.12	-0.3	10
2021-10-23	Hamrun Spartans	L 1-3	36.7	1193	1328	20.23%	26.08%	53.70%	-0.64	-9.1	7
2021-10-23	@ Gudja United	W 3-1	36.7	1328	1193	53.70%	26.08%	20.23%	+0.64	+9.1	9
2021-10-24	Birkirkara	W 3-2	57.3	1200	1362	18.05%	25.25%	56.69%	-0.77	+11.4	11
2021-10-24	@ Sirens	L 2-3	57.3	1362	1200	56.69%	25.25%	18.05%	+0.77	-11.4	14
2021-10-24	Sliema Wanderers	D 0-0	47.8	1206	1214	34.77%	28.15%	37.08%	-0.05	+0.1	6
2021-10-24	@ Santa Lucia	D 0-0	47.8	1214	1206	37.08%	28.15%	34.77%	+0.05	-0.1	4
2021-10-24	Valletta	D 1-1	54.2	1378	1195	58.99%	24.52%	16.49%	+0.85	-2.2	17
2021-10-24	@ Hibernians	D 1-1	54.2	1195	1378	16.49%	24.52%	58.99%	-0.85	+2.2	10
2021-10-30	Hibernians	D 1-1	54.6	1350	1376	32.40%	28.08%	39.52%	-0.13	+0.3	15
2021-10-30	@ Birkirkara	D 1-1	54.6	1376	1350	39.52%	28.08%	32.40%	+0.13	-0.3	18
2021-10-30	Santa Lucia	W 5-3	47.5	1197	1206	34.65%	28.14%	37.21%	-0.05	+12.5	13
2021-10-30	@ Valletta	L 3-5	47.5	1206	1197	37.21%	28.14%	34.65%	+0.05	-12.5	6
2021-10-30	Sirens	W 1-0	35.9	1337	1212	52.53%	26.36%	21.11%	+0.58	+5.8	12
2021-10-30	@ Hamrun Spartans	L 0-1	35.9	1212	1337	21.11%	26.36%	52.53%	-0.58	-5.8	11
2021-10-31	Gudja United	W 1-0	37.5	1255	1184	45.85%	27.54%	26.60%	+0.33	+7.0	12
2021-10-31	@ Balzan	L 0-1	37.5	1184	1255	26.60%	27.54%	45.85%	-0.33	-7.0	7
2021-10-31	Gzira United	W 2-1	49.3	1246	1311	27.35%	27.65%	45.01%	-0.32	+9.9	13
2021-10-31	@ Floriana	L 1-2	49.3	1311	1246	45.01%	27.65%	27.35%	+0.32	-9.9	9
2021-10-31	Mosta	L 2-3	51.2	1214	1222	34.78%	28.15%	37.07%	-0.05	-7.8	4
2021-10-31	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 3-2	51.2	1222	1214	37.07%	28.15%	34.78%	+0.05	+7.7	9
2021-11-20	Floriana	L 0-1	37.2	1176	1256	25.79%	27.42%	46.80%	-0.38	-6.9	7
2021-11-20	@ Gudja United	W 1-0	37.2	1256	1176	46.80%	27.42%	25.79%	+0.38	+6.9	16
2021-11-20	Gzira United	D 2-2	59.0	1230	1301	26.68%	27.56%	45.76%	-0.34	+0.7	10
2021-11-20	@ Mosta	D 2-2	59.0	1301	1230	45.76%	27.56%	26.68%	+0.34	-0.7	10
2021-11-20	Valletta	L 0-3	33.8	1207	1210	35.43%	28.15%	36.42%	-0.03	-24.0	4
2021-11-20	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 3-0	33.8	1210	1207	36.42%	28.15%	35.43%	+0.03	+24.0	16
2021-11-21	Balzan	L 1-6	36.4	1206	1262	28.39%	27.77%	43.83%	-0.28	-27.1	11
2021-11-21	@ Sirens	W 6-1	36.4	1262	1206	43.83%	27.77%	28.39%	+0.28	+27.1	15
2021-11-21	Birkirkara	W 2-0	41.4	1194	1351	18.42%	25.41%	56.17%	-0.75	+23.8	9
2021-11-21	@ Santa Lucia	L 0-2	41.4	1351	1194	56.17%	25.41%	18.42%	+0.75	-23.8	15
2021-11-21	Hamrun Spartans	W 1-0	41.0	1375	1343	40.54%	28.03%	31.43%	+0.14	+8.0	21
2021-11-21	@ Hibernians	L 0-1	41.0	1343	1375	31.43%	28.03%	40.54%	-0.14	-8.0	12
2021-11-27	Mosta	W 3-1	41.7	1234	1231	36.40%	28.15%	35.45%	+0.01	+14.3	19
2021-11-27	@ Valletta	L 1-3	41.7	1231	1234	35.45%	28.15%	36.40%	-0.01	-14.3	10
2021-11-27	Sirens	L 1-2	49.5	1262	1179	47.40%	27.33%	25.27%	+0.38	-10.3	16
2021-11-27	@ Floriana	W 2-1	49.5	1179	1262	25.27%	27.33%	47.40%	-0.38	+10.3	14
2021-11-27	Sliema Wanderers	W 2-0	30.3	1327	1183	54.76%	25.80%	19.44%	+0.67	+10.1	18
2021-11-27	@ Birkirkara	L 0-2	30.3	1183	1327	19.44%	25.80%	54.76%	-0.67	-10.1	4
2021-11-28	Gudja United	W 3-2	46.4	1301	1170	53.20%	26.20%	20.60%	+0.60	+5.1	13
2021-11-28	@ Gzira United	L 2-3	46.4	1170	1301	20.60%	26.20%	53.20%	-0.60	-5.1	7
2021-11-28	Hibernians	L 1-2	43.8	1290	1383	24.21%	27.13%	48.67%	-0.45	-6.2	15
2021-11-28	@ Balzan	W 2-1	43.8	1383	1290	48.67%	27.13%	24.21%	+0.45	+6.2	24
2021-11-28	Santa Lucia	W 3-0	29.7	1335	1218	51.54%	26.58%	21.88%	+0.54	+16.4	15
2021-11-28	@ Hamrun Spartans	L 0-3	29.7	1218	1335	21.88%	26.58%	51.54%	-0.54	-16.4	9
2021-12-04	Birkirkara	D 0-0	48.7	1248	1337	24.74%	27.23%	48.02%	-0.43	+1.3	20
2021-12-04	@ Valletta	D 0-0	48.7	1337	1248	48.02%	27.23%	24.74%	+0.43	-1.3	19
2021-12-04	Gudja United	L 0-3	36.0	1216	1165	43.19%	27.83%	28.98%	+0.23	-27.9	10
2021-12-04	@ Mosta	W 3-0	36.0	1165	1216	28.98%	27.83%	43.19%	-0.23	+27.9	10
2021-12-04	Gzira United	L 1-3	37.3	1189	1306	21.92%	26.59%	51.49%	-0.56	-9.8	14
2021-12-04	@ Sirens	W 3-1	37.3	1306	1189	51.49%	26.59%	21.92%	+0.56	+9.8	16
2021-12-05	Balzan	D 3-3	62.8	1201	1283	25.45%	27.36%	47.19%	-0.40	+0.7	10
2021-12-05	@ Santa Lucia	D 3-3	62.8	1283	1201	47.19%	27.36%	25.45%	+0.40	-0.7	16
2021-12-05	Floriana	D 0-0	49.5	1389	1252	53.95%	26.01%	20.03%	+0.63	-1.9	25
2021-12-05	@ Hibernians	D 0-0	49.5	1252	1389	20.03%	26.01%	53.95%	-0.63	+1.9	17
2021-12-05	Hamrun Spartans	L 0-2	29.2	1172	1351	16.77%	24.66%	58.57%	-0.85	-8.8	4
2021-12-05	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 2-0	29.2	1351	1172	58.57%	24.66%	16.77%	+0.85	+8.8	18
2021-12-11	Floriana	L 1-3	39.6	1202	1254	28.95%	27.83%	43.22%	-0.25	-12.3	10
2021-12-11	@ Santa Lucia	W 3-1	39.6	1254	1202	43.22%	27.83%	28.95%	+0.25	+12.3	20
2021-12-12	Gzira United	W 3-1	40.4	1388	1315	45.89%	27.54%	26.57%	+0.33	+11.5	28
2021-12-12	@ Hibernians	L 1-3	40.4	1315	1388	26.57%	27.54%	45.89%	-0.33	-11.5	16
2021-12-12	Mosta	D 2-2	59.6	1336	1189	55.09%	25.71%	19.20%	+0.68	-1.4	20
2021-12-12	@ Birkirkara	D 2-2	59.6	1189	1336	19.20%	25.71%	55.09%	-0.68	+1.4	11
2021-12-13	Gudja United	D 0-0	47.8	1179	1192	34.06%	28.13%	37.81%	-0.07	+0.2	15
2021-12-13	@ Sirens	D 0-0	47.8	1192	1179	37.81%	28.13%	34.06%	+0.07	-0.2	11
2021-12-13	Hamrun Spartans	L 0-1	36.8	1250	1360	22.54%	26.75%	50.71%	-0.53	-6.1	20
2021-12-13	@ Valletta	W 1-0	36.8	1360	1250	50.71%	26.75%	22.54%	+0.53	+6.1	21
2021-12-18	Santa Lucia	D 2-2	59.2	1304	1190	51.21%	26.65%	22.15%	+0.53	-1.1	17
2021-12-18	@ Gzira United	D 2-2	59.2	1190	1304	22.15%	26.65%	51.21%	-0.53	+1.1	11
2021-12-18	Sirens	L 2-3	51.8	1190	1179	37.43%	28.14%	34.43%	+0.04	-8.2	11
2021-12-18	@ Mosta	W 3-2	51.8	1179	1190	34.43%	28.14%	37.43%	-0.04	+8.2	18
2021-12-19	Hibernians	L 1-2	39.2	1192	1399	14.87%	23.60%	61.53%	-0.98	-3.9	11
2021-12-19	@ Gudja United	W 2-1	39.2	1399	1192	61.53%	23.60%	14.87%	+0.98	+3.9	31
2021-12-19	Sliema Wanderers	W 2-0	31.6	1266	1164	49.80%	26.93%	23.28%	+0.47	+11.9	23
2021-12-19	@ Floriana	L 0-2	31.6	1164	1266	23.28%	26.93%	49.80%	-0.47	-11.9	4
2021-12-19	Valletta	W 2-1	44.9	1283	1244	41.46%	27.97%	30.57%	+0.17	+7.4	19
2021-12-19	@ Balzan	L 1-2	44.9	1244	1283	30.57%	27.97%	41.46%	-0.17	-7.4	20
2022-01-17	Floriana	L 0-2	34.2	1236	1278	30.19%	27.94%	41.86%	-0.21	-14.7	20
2022-01-17	@ Valletta	W 2-0	34.2	1278	1236	41.86%	27.94%	30.19%	+0.21	+14.7	26
2022-01-17	Mosta	W 2-1	39.7	1366	1182	59.17%	24.45%	16.38%	+0.85	+4.3	24
2022-01-17	@ Hamrun Spartans	L 1-2	39.7	1182	1366	16.38%	24.45%	59.17%	-0.85	-4.3	11
2022-01-18	Gzira United	L 1-3	35.9	1152	1303	18.88%	25.59%	55.53%	-0.72	-8.5	4
2022-01-18	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 3-1	35.9	1303	1152	55.53%	25.59%	18.88%	+0.72	+8.5	20
2022-01-18	Sirens	D 1-1	54.6	1403	1188	62.39%	23.26%	14.35%	+1.00	-2.5	32
2022-01-18	@ Hibernians	D 1-1	54.6	1188	1403	14.35%	23.26%	62.39%	-1.00	+2.5	19
2022-01-19	Balzan	W 3-2	50.5	1334	1290	42.14%	27.92%	29.94%	+0.20	+6.9	23
2022-01-19	@ Birkirkara	L 2-3	50.5	1290	1334	29.94%	27.92%	42.14%	-0.20	-6.9	19
2022-01-19	Gudja United	L 0-3	34.0	1191	1188	36.27%	28.15%	35.58%	+0.00	-24.4	11
2022-01-19	@ Santa Lucia	W 3-0	34.0	1188	1191	35.58%	28.15%	36.27%	+0.00	+24.4	14
2022-01-22	Hamrun Spartans	D 2-2	59.9	1283	1370	24.92%	27.27%	47.81%	-0.42	+0.8	20
2022-01-22	@ Balzan	D 2-2	59.9	1370	1283	47.81%	27.27%	24.92%	+0.42	-0.8	25
2022-01-22	Hibernians	D 1-1	54.7	1177	1400	13.89%	22.95%	63.15%	-1.06	+2.6	12
2022-01-22	@ Mosta	D 1-1	54.7	1400	1177	63.15%	22.95%	13.89%	+1.06	-2.6	33
2022-01-22	Sliema Wanderers	W 1-0	37.5	1213	1143	45.55%	27.58%	26.86%	+0.32	+7.1	17
2022-01-22	@ Gudja United	L 0-1	37.5	1143	1213	26.86%	27.58%	45.55%	-0.32	-7.1	4
2022-01-23	Birkirkara	W 1-0	43.4	1293	1341	29.41%	27.88%	42.71%	-0.24	+10.1	29
2022-01-23	@ Floriana	L 0-1	43.4	1341	1293	42.71%	27.88%	29.41%	+0.24	-10.1	23
2022-01-23	Santa Lucia	W 2-1	45.1	1190	1166	39.31%	28.09%	32.60%	+0.10	+7.8	22
2022-01-23	@ Sirens	L 1-2	45.1	1166	1190	32.60%	28.09%	39.31%	-0.10	-7.8	11
2022-01-23	Valletta	D 1-1	53.2	1311	1221	48.18%	27.21%	24.61%	+0.41	-1.2	21
2022-01-23	@ Gzira United	D 1-1	53.2	1221	1311	24.61%	27.21%	48.18%	-0.41	+1.2	21
2022-01-26	Balzan	W 1-0	45.5	1136	1284	19.13%	25.69%	55.19%	-0.70	+12.4	7
2022-01-26	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 0-1	45.5	1284	1136	55.19%	25.69%	19.13%	+0.70	-12.4	20
2022-01-26	Birkirkara	D 0-0	49.5	1369	1331	41.32%	27.98%	30.70%	+0.17	-0.6	26
2022-01-26	@ Hamrun Spartans	D 0-0	49.5	1331	1369	30.70%	27.98%	41.32%	-0.17	+0.6	24
2022-01-29	Hibernians	D 0-0	50.0	1158	1398	12.97%	22.28%	64.75%	-1.13	+3.1	12
2022-01-29	@ Santa Lucia	D 0-0	50.0	1398	1158	64.75%	22.28%	12.97%	+1.13	-3.1	34
2022-01-29	Mosta	L 2-3	55.0	1272	1180	48.40%	27.17%	24.43%	+0.42	-10.0	20
2022-01-29	@ Balzan	W 3-2	55.0	1180	1272	24.43%	27.17%	48.40%	-0.42	+10.0	15
2022-01-29	Sirens	W 1-0	42.4	1148	1198	29.28%	27.86%	42.86%	-0.24	+10.1	10
2022-01-29	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 0-1	42.4	1198	1148	42.86%	27.86%	29.28%	+0.24	-10.1	22
2022-01-30	Floriana	D 2-2	60.0	1369	1303	45.06%	27.64%	27.30%	+0.30	-0.6	27
2022-01-30	@ Hamrun Spartans	D 2-2	60.0	1303	1369	27.30%	27.64%	45.06%	-0.30	+0.6	30
2022-01-30	Gudja United	L 1-3	41.9	1223	1220	36.31%	28.15%	35.53%	+0.00	-14.6	21
2022-01-30	@ Valletta	W 3-1	41.9	1220	1223	35.53%	28.15%	36.31%	+0.00	+14.6	20
2022-01-30	Gzira United	W 1-0	40.6	1332	1310	39.00%	28.10%	32.90%	+0.09	+8.3	27
2022-01-30	@ Birkirkara	L 0-1	40.6	1310	1332	32.90%	28.10%	39.00%	-0.09	-8.3	21
2022-02-05	Hamrun Spartans	W 4-1	43.1	1302	1368	27.24%	27.63%	45.13%	-0.32	+24.3	24
2022-02-05	@ Gzira United	L 1-4	43.1	1368	1302	45.13%	27.63%	27.24%	+0.32	-24.3	27
2022-02-05	Santa Lucia	W 1-0	39.2	1190	1162	39.96%	28.06%	31.98%	+0.12	+8.1	18
2022-02-05	@ Mosta	L 0-1	39.2	1162	1190	31.98%	28.06%	39.96%	-0.12	-8.1	12
2022-02-05	Sliema Wanderers	W 1-0	32.3	1395	1159	64.45%	22.41%	13.14%	+1.10	+3.6	37
2022-02-05	@ Hibernians	L 0-1	32.3	1159	1395	13.14%	22.41%	64.45%	-1.10	-3.6	10
2022-02-06	Balzan	W 2-1	45.0	1304	1262	41.84%	27.94%	30.22%	+0.19	+7.3	33
2022-02-06	@ Floriana	L 1-2	45.0	1262	1304	30.22%	27.94%	41.84%	-0.19	-7.4	20
2022-02-06	Birkirkara	L 0-1	36.7	1234	1340	22.98%	26.86%	50.16%	-0.51	-6.2	20
2022-02-06	@ Gudja United	W 1-0	36.7	1340	1234	50.16%	26.86%	22.98%	+0.51	+6.2	30
2022-02-06	Valletta	W 2-1	47.1	1188	1208	33.09%	28.11%	38.81%	-0.10	+8.8	25
2022-02-06	@ Sirens	L 1-2	47.1	1208	1188	38.81%	28.11%	33.09%	+0.10	-8.8	21
2022-02-12	Gzira United	L 1-3	39.3	1254	1326	26.61%	27.55%	45.85%	-0.35	-11.5	20
2022-02-12	@ Balzan	W 3-1	39.3	1326	1254	45.85%	27.55%	26.61%	+0.35	+11.5	27
2022-02-12	Hibernians	L 1-4	32.4	1199	1398	15.36%	23.89%	60.75%	-0.94	-9.9	21
2022-02-12	@ Valletta	W 4-1	32.4	1398	1199	60.75%	23.89%	15.36%	+0.94	+9.9	40
2022-02-12	Mosta	W 2-0	31.4	1311	1198	51.04%	26.68%	22.28%	+0.52	+11.5	36
2022-02-12	@ Floriana	L 0-2	31.4	1198	1311	22.28%	26.68%	51.04%	-0.52	-11.5	18
2022-02-13	Gudja United	L 0-1	45.2	1344	1228	51.39%	26.61%	22.00%	+0.53	-11.7	27
2022-02-13	@ Hamrun Spartans	W 1-0	45.2	1228	1344	22.00%	26.61%	51.39%	-0.53	+11.7	23
2022-02-13	Santa Lucia	D 1-1	52.4	1155	1153	36.14%	28.15%	35.70%	+0.00	-0.0	11
2022-02-13	@ Sliema Wanderers	D 1-1	52.4	1153	1155	35.70%	28.15%	36.14%	+0.00	+0.0	13
2022-02-13	Sirens	D 1-1	53.7	1346	1197	55.38%	25.63%	18.99%	+0.69	-1.9	31
2022-02-13	@ Birkirkara	D 1-1	53.7	1197	1346	18.99%	25.63%	55.38%	-0.69	+1.9	26
2022-02-19	Balzan	W 1-0	40.7	1240	1243	35.50%	28.15%	36.35%	-0.02	+8.9	26
2022-02-19	@ Gudja United	L 0-1	40.7	1243	1240	36.35%	28.15%	35.50%	+0.02	-8.9	20
2022-02-19	Birkirkara	L 2-3	56.4	1408	1344	44.78%	27.67%	27.54%	+0.29	-9.4	40
2022-02-19	@ Hibernians	W 3-2	56.4	1344	1408	27.54%	27.67%	44.78%	-0.29	+9.4	34
2022-02-19	Hamrun Spartans	D 1-1	53.5	1198	1332	20.35%	26.12%	53.53%	-0.64	+1.7	27
2022-02-19	@ Sirens	D 1-1	53.5	1332	1198	53.53%	26.12%	20.35%	+0.64	-1.7	28
2022-02-20	Floriana	L 1-2	48.1	1338	1322	38.10%	28.13%	33.78%	+0.06	-8.7	27
2022-02-20	@ Gzira United	W 2-1	48.1	1322	1338	33.78%	28.13%	38.10%	-0.06	+8.7	39
2022-02-20	Sliema Wanderers	W 1-0	39.0	1187	1155	40.42%	28.03%	31.54%	+0.14	+8.0	21
2022-02-20	@ Mosta	L 0-1	39.0	1155	1187	31.54%	28.03%	40.42%	-0.14	-8.0	11
2022-02-20	Valletta	W 2-1	47.6	1153	1189	31.01%	28.00%	40.99%	-0.18	+9.2	16
2022-02-20	@ Santa Lucia	L 1-2	47.6	1189	1153	40.99%	28.00%	31.01%	+0.18	-9.2	21
2022-02-26	Gudja United	W 2-0	32.9	1331	1249	47.22%	27.36%	25.42%	+0.38	+12.8	42
2022-02-26	@ Floriana	L 0-2	32.9	1249	1331	25.42%	27.36%	47.22%	-0.38	-12.8	26
2022-02-26	Hibernians	D 0-0	50.1	1331	1399	27.01%	27.60%	45.39%	-0.33	+1.0	29
2022-02-26	@ Hamrun Spartans	D 0-0	50.1	1399	1331	45.39%	27.60%	27.01%	+0.33	-1.0	41
2022-02-26	Sliema Wanderers	W 1-0	38.9	1180	1147	40.62%	28.02%	31.35%	+0.15	+8.0	24
2022-02-26	@ Valletta	L 0-1	38.9	1147	1180	31.35%	28.02%	40.62%	-0.15	-8.0	11
2022-02-27	Mosta	L 3-4	59.0	1329	1195	53.59%	26.10%	20.30%	+0.62	-10.6	27
2022-02-27	@ Gzira United	W 4-3	59.0	1195	1329	20.30%	26.10%	53.59%	-0.62	+10.6	24
2022-02-27	Santa Lucia	L 2-3	57.7	1354	1163	59.91%	24.20%	15.90%	+0.89	-11.9	34
2022-02-27	@ Birkirkara	W 3-2	57.7	1163	1354	15.90%	24.20%	59.91%	-0.89	+11.9	19
2022-02-27	Sirens	W 2-1	44.9	1234	1200	40.70%	28.02%	31.28%	+0.15	+7.5	23
2022-02-27	@ Balzan	L 1-2	44.9	1200	1234	31.28%	28.02%	40.70%	-0.15	-7.5	27
2022-03-05	Balzan	W 1-0	35.4	1398	1241	56.14%	25.42%	18.45%	+0.72	+5.1	44
2022-03-05	@ Hibernians	L 0-1	35.4	1241	1398	18.45%	25.42%	56.14%	-0.72	-5.1	23
2022-03-05	Gzira United	L 1-2	43.3	1236	1318	25.42%	27.36%	47.22%	-0.40	-6.4	26
2022-03-05	@ Gudja United	W 2-1	43.3	1318	1236	47.22%	27.36%	25.42%	+0.40	+6.4	30
2022-03-05	Valletta	D 2-2	58.5	1205	1188	38.38%	28.12%	33.50%	+0.07	-0.2	25
2022-03-05	@ Mosta	D 2-2	58.5	1188	1205	33.50%	28.12%	38.38%	-0.07	+0.2	25
2022-03-06	Birkirkara	D 0-0	49.3	1139	1342	15.11%	23.74%	61.14%	-0.96	+2.7	12
2022-03-06	@ Sliema Wanderers	D 0-0	49.3	1342	1139	61.14%	23.74%	15.11%	+0.96	-2.7	35
2022-03-06	Floriana	L 0-3	28.5	1193	1344	18.85%	25.58%	55.57%	-0.72	-14.3	27
2022-03-06	@ Sirens	W 3-0	28.5	1344	1193	55.57%	25.58%	18.85%	+0.72	+14.3	45
2022-03-06	Hamrun Spartans	L 0-1	34.6	1175	1332	18.41%	25.40%	56.19%	-0.75	-5.1	19
2022-03-06	@ Santa Lucia	W 1-0	34.6	1332	1175	56.19%	25.40%	18.41%	+0.75	+5.1	32
2022-03-11	Santa Lucia	L 0-1	43.1	1236	1169	45.20%	27.63%	27.18%	+0.30	-10.5	23
2022-03-11	@ Balzan	W 1-0	43.1	1169	1236	27.18%	27.63%	45.20%	-0.30	+10.5	22
2022-03-11	Sliema Wanderers	W 3-1	34.6	1337	1142	60.31%	24.05%	15.64%	+0.91	+7.1	35
2022-03-11	@ Hamrun Spartans	L 1-3	34.6	1142	1337	15.64%	24.05%	60.31%	-0.91	-7.1	12
2022-03-12	Hibernians	L 1-4	39.9	1358	1403	29.87%	27.92%	42.21%	-0.22	-17.8	45
2022-03-12	@ Floriana	W 4-1	39.9	1403	1358	42.21%	27.92%	29.87%	+0.22	+17.8	47
2022-03-12	Mosta	W 1-0	39.5	1230	1205	39.40%	28.08%	32.51%	+0.10	+8.2	29
2022-03-12	@ Gudja United	L 0-1	39.5	1205	1230	32.51%	28.08%	39.40%	-0.10	-8.2	25
2022-03-12	Sirens	W 2-1	40.7	1325	1178	55.01%	25.73%	19.26%	+0.68	+5.0	33
2022-03-12	@ Gzira United	L 1-2	40.7	1178	1325	19.26%	25.73%	55.01%	-0.68	-5.0	27
2022-03-12	Valletta	D 1-1	53.6	1339	1188	55.52%	25.59%	18.89%	+0.70	-1.9	36
2022-03-12	@ Birkirkara	D 1-1	53.6	1188	1339	18.89%	25.59%	55.52%	-0.70	+1.9	26

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2022-04-02	Valletta	L 0-3	33.2	1173	1190	33.55%	28.12%	38.33%	-0.09	-23.1	0
2022-04-02	@ Sirens	W 3-0	33.2	1190	1173	38.33%	28.12%	33.55%	+0.09	+23.1	3
2022-04-03	Gzira United	L 0-1	42.2	1341	1330	37.45%	28.14%	34.41%	+0.04	-9.1	0
2022-04-03	@ Floriana	W 1-0	42.2	1330	1341	34.41%	28.14%	37.45%	-0.04	+9.1	3
2022-04-04	Gudja United	W 3-0	30.5	1337	1238	49.40%	27.00%	23.60%	+0.46	+17.5	3
2022-04-04	@ Birkirkara	L 0-3	30.5	1238	1337	23.60%	27.00%	49.40%	-0.46	-17.5	0
2022-04-04	Hibernians	W 2-1	51.9	1344	1421	26.01%	27.45%	46.54%	-0.37	+10.2	3
2022-04-04	@ Hamrun Spartans	L 1-2	51.9	1421	1344	46.54%	27.45%	26.01%	+0.37	-10.2	0
2022-04-04	Mosta	W 1-0	42.8	1134	1197	27.70%	27.69%	44.61%	-0.30	+10.4	3
2022-04-04	@ Sliema Wanderers	L 0-1	42.8	1197	1134	44.61%	27.69%	27.70%	+0.30	-10.4	0
2022-04-04	Santa Lucia	L 0-3	35.8	1226	1180	42.36%	27.90%	29.73%	+0.20	-27.5	0
2022-04-04	@ Balzan	W 3-0	35.8	1180	1226	29.73%	27.90%	42.36%	-0.20	+27.5	3
2022-04-09	Balzan	W 3-2	51.9	1186	1198	34.24%	28.14%	37.62%	-0.07	+8.2	3
2022-04-09	@ Mosta	L 2-3	51.9	1198	1186	37.62%	28.14%	34.24%	+0.07	-8.2	0
2022-04-09	Floriana	D 0-0	50.3	1411	1331	46.82%	27.41%	25.76%	+0.36	-1.2	1
2022-04-09	@ Hibernians	D 0-0	50.3	1331	1411	25.76%	27.41%	46.82%	-0.36	+1.2	1
2022-04-09	Sirens	D 2-2	58.6	1207	1150	43.91%	27.77%	28.32%	+0.26	-0.6	4
2022-04-09	@ Santa Lucia	D 2-2	58.6	1150	1207	28.32%	27.77%	43.91%	-0.26	+0.6	1
2022-04-10	Birkirkara	D 1-1	54.1	1339	1355	33.68%	28.12%	38.20%	-0.08	+0.2	4
2022-04-10	@ Gzira United	D 1-1	54.1	1355	1339	38.20%	28.12%	33.68%	+0.08	-0.2	4
2022-04-10	Hamrun Spartans	W 1-0	45.7	1220	1354	20.36%	26.12%	53.51%	-0.64	+12.1	3
2022-04-10	@ Gudja United	L 0-1	45.7	1354	1220	53.51%	26.12%	20.36%	+0.64	-12.1	3
2022-04-10	Sliema Wanderers	W 3-1	38.8	1213	1145	45.39%	27.60%	27.01%	+0.31	+11.7	6
2022-04-10	@ Valletta	L 1-3	38.8	1145	1213	27.01%	27.60%	45.39%	-0.31	-11.7	3
2022-04-23	Floriana	D 0-0	49.3	1355	1333	39.08%	28.10%	32.82%	+0.09	-0.3	5
2022-04-23	@ Birkirkara	D 0-0	49.3	1333	1355	32.82%	28.10%	39.08%	-0.09	+0.3	2
2022-04-23	Sirens	L 0-5	35.2	1133	1151	33.46%	28.12%	38.42%	-0.09	-37.1	3
2022-04-23	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 5-0	35.2	1151	1133	38.42%	28.12%	33.46%	+0.09	+37.1	4
2022-04-23	Valletta	D 1-1	52.6	1190	1225	31.15%	28.01%	40.84%	-0.17	+0.4	1
2022-04-23	@ Balzan	D 1-1	52.6	1225	1190	40.84%	28.01%	31.15%	+0.17	-0.5	7
2022-04-24	Gzira United	W 2-0	37.1	1342	1339	36.30%	28.15%	35.55%	+0.00	+16.6	6
2022-04-24	@ Hamrun Spartans	L 0-2	37.1	1339	1342	35.55%	28.15%	36.30%	+0.00	-16.6	4
2022-04-24	Hibernians	L 0-2	30.0	1232	1410	16.88%	24.71%	58.41%	-0.84	-8.9	3
2022-04-24	@ Gudja United	W 2-0	30.0	1410	1232	58.41%	24.71%	16.88%	+0.84	+8.9	4
2022-04-24	Santa Lucia	D 1-1	52.5	1195	1207	34.19%	28.14%	37.67%	-0.07	+0.2	4
2022-04-24	@ Mosta	D 1-1	52.5	1207	1195	37.67%	28.14%	34.19%	+0.07	-0.2	5
2022-04-30	Balzan	L 2-3	51.3	1188	1191	35.53%	28.15%	36.32%	-0.02	-7.9	4
2022-04-30	@ Sirens	W 3-2	51.3	1191	1188	36.32%	28.15%	35.53%	+0.02	+7.9	4
2022-04-30	Hamrun Spartans	D 0-0	49.4	1333	1358	32.37%	28.08%	39.56%	-0.13	+0.4	3
2022-04-30	@ Floriana	D 0-0	49.4	1358	1333	39.56%	28.08%	32.37%	+0.13	-0.4	7
2022-04-30	Mosta	L 2-3	52.7	1224	1195	40.12%	28.05%	31.83%	+0.13	-8.6	7
2022-04-30	@ Valletta	W 3-2	52.7	1195	1224	31.83%	28.05%	40.12%	-0.13	+8.6	7
2022-05-01	Birkirkara	W 3-1	41.9	1418	1354	44.82%	27.67%	27.51%	+0.29	+11.8	7
2022-05-01	@ Hibernians	L 1-3	41.9	1354	1418	27.51%	27.67%	44.82%	-0.29	-11.8	5
2022-05-01	Gudja United	W 3-1	38.1	1323	1224	49.33%	27.01%	23.66%	+0.45	+10.5	7
2022-05-01	@ Gzira United	L 1-3	38.1	1224	1323	23.66%	27.01%	49.33%	-0.45	-10.4	3
2022-05-01	Sliema Wanderers	L 1-2	50.1	1207	1096	50.76%	26.74%	22.50%	+0.51	-10.9	5
2022-05-01	@ Santa Lucia	W 2-1	50.1	1096	1207	22.50%	26.74%	50.76%	-0.51	+10.9	6
2022-05-05	Floriana	L 1-2	41.9	1213	1333	21.59%	26.50%	51.91%	-0.57	-5.6	3
2022-05-05	@ Gudja United	W 2-1	41.9	1333	1213	51.91%	26.50%	21.59%	+0.57	+5.6	6
2022-05-05	Sirens	L 2-3	52.4	1203	1180	39.26%	28.09%	32.65%	+0.10	-8.5	7
2022-05-05	@ Mosta	W 3-2	52.4	1180	1203	32.65%	28.09%	39.26%	-0.10	+8.5	7
2022-05-06	Balzan	L 0-1	36.6	1107	1198	24.45%	27.18%	48.37%	-0.44	-6.6	6
2022-05-06	@ Sliema Wanderers	W 1-0	36.6	1198	1107	48.37%	27.18%	24.45%	+0.44	+6.6	7
2022-05-06	Santa Lucia	W 2-1	45.4	1216	1196	38.78%	28.11%	33.11%	+0.08	+7.9	10
2022-05-06	@ Valletta	L 1-2	45.4	1196	1216	33.11%	28.11%	38.78%	-0.08	-7.9	5
2022-05-07	Hamrun Spartans	L 0-1	41.5	1343	1358	33.74%	28.13%	38.14%	-0.08	-8.5	5
2022-05-07	@ Birkirkara	W 1-0	41.5	1358	1343	38.14%	28.13%	33.74%	+0.08	+8.5	10
2022-05-07	Hibernians	W 2-1	52.5	1333	1430	23.85%	27.05%	49.10%	-0.47	+10.6	10
2022-05-07	@ Gzira United	L 1-2	52.5	1430	1333	49.10%	27.05%	23.85%	+0.47	-10.6	7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2022-02-27	15.90%	Santa Lucia	1163	3	@ Birkirkara	1354	2
2	2021-10-24	18.05%	@ Sirens	1200	3	Birkirkara	1362	2
3	2021-11-21	18.42%	@ Santa Lucia	1194	2	Birkirkara	1351	0
4	2022-01-26	19.13%	@ Sliema Wanderers	1136	1	Balzan	1284	0
5	2021-08-13	19.50%	Valletta	1213	2	@ Hamrun Spartans	1356	1
6	2022-02-27	20.30%	Mosta	1195	4	@ Gzira United	1329	3
7	2022-04-10	20.36%	@ Gudja United	1220	1	Hamrun Spartans	1354	0
8	2022-02-13	22.00%	Gudja United	1228	1	@ Hamrun Spartans	1344	0
9	2022-05-01	22.50%	Sliema Wanderers	1096	2	@ Santa Lucia	1207	1
10	2022-05-07	23.85%	@ Gzira United	1333	2	Hibernians	1430	1
11	2022-01-29	24.43%	Mosta	1180	3	@ Balzan	1272	2
12	2021-09-19	24.64%	Balzan	1252	1	@ Hamrun Spartans	1342	0
13	2021-11-27	25.27%	Sirens	1179	2	@ Floriana	1262	1
14	2022-04-04	26.01%	@ Hamrun Spartans	1344	2	Hibernians	1421	1
15	2021-10-23	26.13%	Balzan	1245	2	@ Gzira United	1321	1
16	2022-03-11	27.18%	Santa Lucia	1169	1	@ Balzan	1236	0
17	2022-02-05	27.24%	@ Gzira United	1302	4	Hamrun Spartans	1368	1
18	2021-10-31	27.35%	@ Floriana	1246	2	Gzira United	1311	1
19	2022-02-19	27.54%	Birkirkara	1344	3	@ Hibernians	1408	2
20	2021-09-19	27.59%	Gudja United	1176	3	@ Sliema Wanderers	1239	2
21	2022-04-04	27.70%	@ Sliema Wanderers	1134	1	Mosta	1197	0
22	2021-12-04	28.98%	Gudja United	1165	3	@ Mosta	1216	0
23	2021-09-26	29.08%	@ Mosta	1213	2	Balzan	1264	1
24	2022-01-29	29.28%	@ Sliema Wanderers	1148	1	Sirens	1198	0
25	2022-01-23	29.41%	@ Floriana	1293	1	Birkirkara	1341	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-04-23	37.11	Sirens	5	1151	38.42%	@ Sliema Wanderers	0	1133	33.46%	28.12%
2	2021-12-04	27.87	Gudja United	3	1165	28.98%	@ Mosta	0	1216	43.19%	27.83%
3	2022-04-04	27.45	Santa Lucia	3	1180	29.73%	@ Balzan	0	1226	42.36%	27.90%
4	2021-11-21	27.13	Balzan	6	1262	43.83%	@ Sirens	1	1206	28.39%	27.77%
5	2021-09-11	25.52	@ Floriana	3	1217	33.40%	Valletta	0	1235	38.48%	28.12%
6	2022-01-19	24.44	Gudja United	3	1188	35.58%	@ Santa Lucia	0	1191	36.27%	28.15%
7	2022-02-05	24.33	@ Gzira United	4	1302	27.24%	Hamrun Spartans	1	1368	45.13%	27.63%
8	2021-11-20	24.03	Valletta	3	1210	36.42%	@ Sliema Wanderers	0	1207	35.43%	28.15%
9	2021-11-21	23.78	@ Santa Lucia	2	1194	18.42%	Birkirkara	0	1351	56.17%	25.41%
10	2022-04-02	23.09	Valletta	3	1190	38.33%	@ Sirens	0	1173	33.55%	28.12%
11	2021-08-14	18.93	Birkirkara	3	1320	46.62%	@ Mosta	0	1242	25.93%	27.44%
12	2022-03-12	17.84	Hibernians	4	1403	42.21%	@ Floriana	1	1358	29.87%	27.92%
13	2022-04-04	17.50	@ Birkirkara	3	1337	49.40%	Gudja United	0	1238	23.60%	27.00%
14	2021-09-25	17.25	@ Gudja United	2	1185	34.34%	Valletta	0	1197	37.52%	28.14%
15	2022-04-24	16.58	@ Hamrun Spartans	2	1342	36.30%	Gzira United	0	1339	35.55%	28.15%
16	2021-11-28	16.40	@ Hamrun Spartans	3	1335	51.54%	Santa Lucia	0	1218	21.88%	26.58%
17	2021-10-17	16.01	@ Valletta	3	1179	30.86%	Sirens	1	1216	41.15%	27.99%
18	2021-10-17	15.44	Hibernians	3	1362	53.39%	@ Sliema Wanderers	0	1230	20.46%	26.15%
19	2021-09-18	15.24	Sirens	3	1201	33.31%	@ Santa Lucia	1	1219	38.58%	28.11%
20	2022-01-17	14.69	Floriana	2	1278	41.86%	@ Valletta	0	1236	30.19%	27.94%
21	2022-01-30	14.58	Gudja United	3	1220	35.53%	@ Valletta	1	1223	36.31%	28.15%
22	2021-11-27	14.33	@ Valletta	3	1234	36.40%	Mosta	1	1231	35.45%	28.15%
23	2022-03-06	14.32	Floriana	3	1344	55.57%	@ Sirens	0	1193	18.85%	25.58%
24	2021-08-16	13.73	Hibernians	3	1332	38.48%	@ Gzira United	1	1314	33.40%	28.12%
25	2022-02-26	12.82	@ Floriana	2	1331	47.22%	Gudja United	0	1249	25.42%	27.36%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2021-12-05	62.8	@ Santa Lucia	3	1201	25.45%	Balzan	3	1283	47.19%	27.36%
2	2022-01-30	60.0	@ Hamrun Spartans	2	1369	45.06%	Floriana	2	1303	27.30%	27.64%
3	2022-01-22	59.9	@ Balzan	2	1283	24.92%	Hamrun Spartans	2	1370	47.81%	27.27%
4	2021-12-12	59.6	@ Birkirkara	2	1336	55.09%	Mosta	2	1189	19.20%	25.71%
5	2021-12-18	59.2	@ Gzira United	2	1304	51.21%	Santa Lucia	2	1190	22.15%	26.65%
6	2021-11-20	59.0	@ Mosta	2	1230	26.68%	Gzira United	2	1301	45.76%	27.56%
7	2022-02-27	59.0	Mosta	4	1195	20.30%	@ Gzira United	3	1329	53.59%	26.10%
8	2021-08-14	58.6	@ Floriana	2	1216	35.55%	Santa Lucia	2	1219	36.30%	28.15%
9	2021-09-12	58.6	@ Gudja United	2	1176	29.92%	Santa Lucia	2	1220	42.16%	27.92%
10	2021-09-26	58.6	@ Sirens	2	1216	33.96%	Sliema Wanderers	2	1230	37.91%	28.13%
11	2021-10-17	58.6	@ Santa Lucia	2	1206	33.67%	Mosta	2	1222	38.20%	28.12%
12	2022-04-09	58.6	@ Santa Lucia	2	1207	43.91%	Sirens	2	1150	28.32%	27.77%
13	2022-03-05	58.5	@ Mosta	2	1205	38.38%	Valletta	2	1188	33.50%	28.12%
14	2022-02-27	57.7	Santa Lucia	3	1163	15.90%	@ Birkirkara	2	1354	59.91%	24.20%
15	2021-10-24	57.3	@ Sirens	3	1200	18.05%	Birkirkara	2	1362	56.69%	25.25%
16	2022-02-19	56.4	Birkirkara	3	1344	27.54%	@ Hibernians	2	1408	44.78%	27.67%
17	2022-01-29	55.0	Mosta	3	1180	24.43%	@ Balzan	2	1272	48.40%	27.17%
18	2022-01-22	54.7	@ Mosta	1	1177	13.89%	Hibernians	1	1400	63.15%	22.95%
19	2021-10-30	54.6	@ Birkirkara	1	1350	32.40%	Hibernians	1	1376	39.52%	28.08%
20	2022-01-18	54.6	@ Hibernians	1	1403	62.39%	Sirens	1	1188	14.35%	23.26%
21	2021-10-24	54.2	@ Hibernians	1	1378	58.99%	Valletta	1	1195	16.49%	24.52%
22	2022-04-10	54.1	@ Gzira United	1	1339	33.68%	Birkirkara	1	1355	38.20%	28.12%
23	2021-09-19	54.0	Gudja United	3	1176	27.59%	@ Sliema Wanderers	2	1239	44.73%	27.68%
24	2021-09-25	53.9	@ Hibernians	1	1364	56.55%	Santa Lucia	1	1204	18.16%	25.30%
25	2021-09-26	53.8	@ Gzira United	1	1311	30.33%	Birkirkara	1	1352	41.71%	27.95%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2022-03-06	28.5	Floriana	3	1344	55.57%	@ Sirens	0	1193	18.85%	25.58%
2	2021-12-05	29.2	Hamrun Spartans	2	1351	58.57%	@ Sliema Wanderers	0	1172	16.77%	24.66%
3	2021-10-17	29.4	Hibernians	3	1362	53.39%	@ Sliema Wanderers	0	1230	20.46%	26.15%
4	2021-11-28	29.7	@ Hamrun Spartans	3	1335	51.54%	Santa Lucia	0	1218	21.88%	26.58%
5	2022-04-24	30.0	Hibernians	2	1410	58.41%	@ Gudja United	0	1232	16.88%	24.71%
6	2021-11-27	30.3	@ Birkirkara	2	1327	54.76%	Sliema Wanderers	0	1183	19.44%	25.80%
7	2021-10-16	30.4	@ Birkirkara	2	1352	55.31%	Gudja United	0	1203	19.04%	25.65%
8	2022-04-04	30.5	@ Birkirkara	3	1337	49.40%	Gudja United	0	1238	23.60%	27.00%
9	2021-08-14	31.3	Birkirkara	3	1320	46.62%	@ Mosta	0	1242	25.93%	27.44%
10	2022-02-12	31.4	@ Floriana	2	1311	51.04%	Mosta	0	1198	22.28%	26.68%
11	2021-12-19	31.6	@ Floriana	2	1266	49.80%	Sliema Wanderers	0	1164	23.28%	26.93%
12	2021-09-18	32.3	Gzira United	2	1299	48.16%	@ Valletta	0	1209	24.63%	27.21%
13	2022-02-05	32.3	@ Hibernians	1	1395	64.45%	Sliema Wanderers	0	1159	13.14%	22.41%
14	2022-02-12	32.4	Hibernians	4	1398	60.75%	@ Valletta	1	1199	15.36%	23.89%
15	2022-02-26	32.9	@ Floriana	2	1331	47.22%	Gudja United	0	1249	25.42%	27.36%
16	2022-04-02	33.2	Valletta	3	1190	38.33%	@ Sirens	0	1173	33.55%	28.12%
17	2021-11-20	33.8	Valletta	3	1210	36.42%	@ Sliema Wanderers	0	1207	35.43%	28.15%
18	2022-01-19	34.0	Gudja United	3	1188	35.58%	@ Santa Lucia	0	1191	36.27%	28.15%
19	2022-01-17	34.2	Floriana	2	1278	41.86%	@ Valletta	0	1236	30.19%	27.94%
20	2022-03-06	34.6	Hamrun Spartans	1	1332	56.19%	@ Santa Lucia	0	1175	18.41%	25.40%
21	2022-03-11	34.6	@ Hamrun Spartans	3	1337	60.31%	Sliema Wanderers	1	1142	15.64%	24.05%
22	2021-09-11	34.8	@ Floriana	3	1217	33.40%	Valletta	0	1235	38.48%	28.12%
23	2022-04-23	35.2	Sirens	5	1151	38.42%	@ Sliema Wanderers	0	1133	33.46%	28.12%
24	2022-03-05	35.4	@ Hibernians	1	1398	56.14%	Balzan	0	1241	18.45%	25.42%
25	2022-04-04	35.8	Santa Lucia	3	1180	29.73%	@ Balzan	0	1226	42.36%	27.90%