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2022-23 Maltese Premier League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Hamrun Spartans

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Hamrun Spartans

16.02 points above expected

69 points · 52.98 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Santa Lucia

9.08 points below expected

15 points · 24.08 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Hamrun Spartans 26 22 3 1 69 45 10 +35 52.98 +16.02
2 Birkirkara 26 14 8 4 50 50 20 +30 47.33 +2.67
3 Gzira United 26 14 6 6 48 46 19 +27 46.00 +2.00
4 Mosta 26 14 4 8 46 47 33 +14 37.98 +8.02
5 Hibernians 26 14 4 8 46 45 37 +8 45.92 +0.08
6 Balzan 26 14 4 8 46 37 32 +5 37.42 +8.58
7 Valletta 26 9 10 7 37 37 23 +14 39.93 -2.93
8 Floriana 26 10 7 9 37 30 26 +4 41.56 -4.56
9 Sirens 26 8 9 9 33 25 32 -7 33.48 -0.48
10 Gudja United 26 8 5 13 29 28 39 -11 35.44 -6.44
11 Marsaxlokk 26 5 10 11 25 28 38 -10 26.56 -1.56
12 Santa Lucia 26 4 3 19 15 20 49 -29 24.08 -9.08
13 Zebbug Rangers 26 4 2 20 14 21 58 -37 20.46 -6.46
14 Pieta Hotspurs 26 3 3 20 12 22 65 -43 17.05 -5.05

Phase 1 points were halved (rounded up) going into Phase 2. Phase 2 split the league into a Championship Round and a Relegation Round, each played as its own round-robin.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamrun Spartans 69 52.98 +16.02
2 Balzan 46 37.42 +8.58
3 Mosta 46 37.98 +8.02
4 Birkirkara 50 47.33 +2.67
5 Gzira United 48 46.00 +2.00

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Santa Lucia 15 24.08 -9.08
2 Zebbug Rangers 14 20.46 -6.46
3 Gudja United 29 35.44 -6.44
4 Pieta Hotspurs 12 17.05 -5.05
5 Floriana 37 41.56 -4.56

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hamrun Spartans 8 Dec 4 – Feb 11 1 in 47
2 Pieta Hotspurs 2 Mar 12 – Apr 2 1 in 43
3 Marsaxlokk 2 Oct 17 – Oct 23 1 in 38
4 Balzan 4 Feb 5 – Mar 5 1 in 26
5 Birkirkara 5 Aug 19 – Oct 2 1 in 25

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gzira United 4 Mar 5 – Apr 8 1 in 70
2 Birkirkara 2 Oct 23 – Oct 29 1 in 35
3 Gudja United 3 Mar 5 – Apr 1 1 in 28
4 Valletta 4 Sep 10 – Oct 15 1 in 25
5 Pieta Hotspurs 6 Aug 20 – Oct 9 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Marsaxlokk 6 Oct 1 – Nov 5 1 in 67
2 Balzan 9 Dec 16 – Mar 10 1 in 27
3 Birkirkara 11 Jan 7 – Apr 14 1 in 19
4 Gudja United 6 Aug 20 – Oct 8 1 in 18
5 Hamrun Spartans 15 Dec 4 – Apr 22 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Birkirkara 6 Oct 8 – Nov 12 1 in 53
2 Sirens 9 Aug 19 – Oct 29 1 in 35
3 Marsaxlokk 10 Oct 30 – Feb 5 1 in 31
4 Gzira United 5 Feb 18 – Apr 8 1 in 21
5 Gudja United 8 Feb 11 – Apr 22 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Hamrun Spartans 1579 69 +42 13 11.2 +1.8
Birkirkara 1506 50 +44 10 9.8 +0.2
Gzira United 1459 48 -15 6 8.2 -2.2
Mosta 1389 46 +31 10 8.0 +2.0
Balzan 1361 46 -14 7 5.2 +1.8
Hibernians 1368 46 -39 7 8.3 -1.3
Floriana 1339 37 +10 10 9.6 +0.4
Valletta 1396 37 -9 8 10.4 -2.4
Sirens 1277 33 +26 11 8.4 +2.6
Gudja United 1183 29 -55 1 5.2 -4.2
Marsaxlokk 1189 25 -18 4 5.5 -1.5
Santa Lucia 1115 15 +7 4 2.8 +1.2
Zebbug Rangers 1062 14 -55 0 2.4 -2.4
Pieta Hotspurs 1055 12 +46 7 2.8 +4.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAL BIR FLO GU GU HS HIB MAR MOS PH SL SIR VAL ZR
Balzan —
1-0-1
1.62
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
1.89
0-0-2
1.47
1-0-1
2.18
1-1-0
3.87
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
4.40
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.41
0-1-1
2.77
2-0-0
3.94
Birkirkara
1-0-1
3.94
—
2-0-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.85
1-1-0
2.89
0-2-0
2.42
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
4.43
0-1-1
3.70
2-0-0
4.91
2-0-0
4.35
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
4.51
Floriana
0-1-1
2.89
0-0-2
2.56
—
1-1-0
3.60
0-1-1
1.93
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
2.63
1-1-0
3.89
0-1-1
3.27
2-0-0
4.27
2-0-0
4.16
1-1-0
3.55
1-1-0
2.75
2-0-0
4.28
Gudja United
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
1.72
0-1-1
1.96
—
0-2-0
1.94
0-0-2
1.11
0-0-2
1.89
0-1-1
3.60
2-0-0
2.59
1-0-1
4.31
2-0-0
3.72
0-0-2
2.92
1-0-1
1.78
1-0-1
4.06
Gzira United
1-0-1
3.67
0-1-1
2.66
1-1-0
3.63
0-2-0
3.62
—
0-0-2
2.35
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
4.32
1-0-1
3.63
2-0-0
4.76
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
4.10
0-1-1
3.77
2-0-0
4.77
Hamrun Spartans
2-0-0
4.10
0-2-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
4.50
2-0-0
3.19
—
2-0-0
3.00
2-0-0
4.45
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
4.74
1-1-0
4.85
2-0-0
4.07
2-0-0
3.81
1-0-1
5.04
Hibernians
1-0-1
3.37
0-1-1
2.54
2-0-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.67
0-0-2
2.77
0-0-2
2.55
—
0-1-1
4.21
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
4.63
2-0-0
4.48
1-1-0
3.62
0-1-1
3.66
2-0-0
4.53
Marsaxlokk
0-1-1
1.69
1-1-0
1.16
0-1-1
1.68
1-1-0
1.96
0-1-1
1.27
0-0-2
1.14
1-1-0
1.37
—
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
4.00
1-1-0
3.14
0-0-2
2.43
0-1-1
1.65
1-1-0
3.02
Mosta
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
1.85
1-1-0
2.28
0-0-2
2.96
1-0-1
1.93
0-0-2
1.57
0-0-2
2.23
2-0-0
3.56
—
2-0-0
4.01
2-0-0
4.23
1-1-0
3.06
1-1-0
2.55
2-0-0
4.29
Pieta Hotspurs
0-0-2
1.19
0-0-2
0.75
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
1.28
0-0-2
0.87
0-0-2
0.89
0-0-2
0.99
1-1-0
1.56
0-0-2
1.56
—
0-0-2
2.18
0-1-1
1.35
0-1-1
1.39
1-0-1
2.37
Santa Lucia
0-0-2
2.08
0-0-2
1.24
0-0-2
1.42
0-0-2
1.84
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
0.80
0-0-2
1.12
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
1.35
2-0-0
3.37
—
0-1-1
2.04
1-0-1
1.30
1-0-1
3.41
Sirens
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.01
2-0-0
2.63
0-0-2
1.47
0-0-2
1.51
0-1-1
1.94
2-0-0
3.12
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
4.23
1-1-0
3.52
—
0-2-0
1.95
1-1-0
3.71
Valletta
1-1-0
2.78
0-1-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.80
1-0-1
3.78
1-1-0
1.79
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
1.90
1-1-0
3.91
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
4.20
1-0-1
4.30
0-2-0
3.61
—
2-0-0
4.39
Zebbug Rangers
0-0-2
1.62
0-0-2
1.09
0-0-2
1.30
1-0-1
1.51
0-0-2
0.86
1-0-1
0.64
0-0-2
1.08
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-2
1.29
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.14
0-1-1
1.85
0-0-2
1.20
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.78 +13.3
Allowed 0.79 -9.5
Differential 0.90 +6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%9.34%6.59%2.20%1.92%1.65%28.85%
19.34%11.54%9.07%3.57%1.37%0.82%35.71%
26.59%9.07%1.10%2.20%0.27%0.27%19.51%
32.20%3.57%2.20%1.65%——9.62%
41.92%1.37%0.27%———3.57%
5+1.65%0.82%0.27%———2.75%
Total28.85%35.71%19.51%9.62%3.57%2.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.26 1.26 1.94
CV 0.95 0.95 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%7.69%7.69%—3.85%—34.62%
17.69%—7.69%3.85%——19.23%
23.85%11.54%————15.38%
3—15.38%15.38%———30.77%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.92%34.62%30.77%3.85%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.23 +0.19
SD 1.27 1.03 1.55
CV 0.89 0.84 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%————15.38%
13.85%23.08%7.69%———34.62%
27.69%11.54%————19.23%
33.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+7.69%3.85%————11.54%
Total34.62%53.85%11.54%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 0.77 +1.15
SD 1.55 0.65 1.80
CV 0.80 0.85 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%15.38%7.69%———30.77%
119.23%15.38%3.85%3.85%——42.31%
27.69%—3.85%——3.85%15.38%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total38.46%38.46%15.38%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.00 +0.15
SD 1.19 1.17 1.64
CV 1.03 1.17 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.54%11.54%3.85%——26.92%
111.54%15.38%11.54%7.69%3.85%—50.00%
2—11.54%————11.54%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total15.38%42.31%23.08%15.38%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.50 -0.42
SD 0.93 1.07 1.53
CV 0.87 0.71 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%————15.38%
111.54%11.54%11.54%3.85%——38.46%
215.38%3.85%————19.23%
37.69%3.85%—3.85%——15.38%
47.69%—————7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total53.85%26.92%11.54%7.69%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 0.73 +1.04
SD 1.45 0.96 1.91
CV 0.82 1.32 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—————7.69%
134.62%3.85%————38.46%
219.23%15.38%——3.85%—38.46%
33.85%—————3.85%
47.69%3.85%————11.54%
5+———————
Total73.08%23.08%——3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.38 +1.35
SD 1.08 0.85 1.26
CV 0.62 2.22 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%—3.85%3.85%15.38%
111.54%15.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%—42.31%
211.54%7.69%————19.23%
3——7.69%———7.69%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total26.92%34.62%23.08%3.85%7.69%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.42 +0.31
SD 1.46 1.36 2.28
CV 0.84 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%7.69%—3.85%——19.23%
17.69%26.92%19.23%—3.85%3.85%61.54%
2—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
33.85%3.85%————7.69%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.23%42.31%23.08%7.69%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.46 -0.38
SD 0.80 1.24 1.47
CV 0.74 0.85 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%——3.85%15.38%
1—11.54%15.38%———26.92%
27.69%26.92%—3.85%——38.46%
3—3.85%————3.85%
43.85%7.69%————11.54%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total19.23%50.00%23.08%3.85%—3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.27 +0.54
SD 1.33 1.08 2.08
CV 0.73 0.85 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%11.54%—7.69%7.69%38.46%
13.85%7.69%15.38%3.85%7.69%3.85%42.31%
2—3.85%—11.54%——15.38%
3—3.85%————3.85%
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%23.08%26.92%15.38%15.38%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 2.50 -1.65
SD 0.83 1.66 1.98
CV 0.99 0.66 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%11.54%23.08%3.85%3.85%—46.15%
13.85%3.85%11.54%11.54%——30.77%
2—11.54%3.85%7.69%——23.08%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total7.69%26.92%38.46%23.08%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.88 -1.12
SD 0.82 0.99 1.28
CV 1.06 0.53 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.38%11.54%7.69%7.69%——42.31%
115.38%7.69%3.85%3.85%——30.77%
23.85%7.69%3.85%———15.38%
3——3.85%7.69%——11.54%
4———————
5+———————
Total34.62%26.92%19.23%19.23%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.23 -0.27
SD 1.04 1.14 1.31
CV 1.08 0.93 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.23%19.23%—3.85%——42.31%
1—15.38%—3.85%——19.23%
23.85%11.54%————15.38%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%——11.54%
43.85%—————3.85%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total34.62%53.85%—11.54%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 0.88 +0.54
SD 1.70 0.91 1.98
CV 1.20 1.03 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%11.54%7.69%7.69%7.69%53.85%
1—3.85%11.54%3.85%—3.85%23.08%
211.54%——3.85%——15.38%
3———3.85%——3.85%
4——3.85%———3.85%
5+———————
Total11.54%23.08%26.92%19.23%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 2.23 -1.42
SD 1.10 1.50 2.04
CV 1.36 0.67 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Hamrun Spartans 1579 69 52.98 +16.02 100.0% 32 43 48 54 57 63 65
Birkirkara 1506 50 47.33 +2.67 72.0% 34 37 43 48 51 56 66
Gzira United 1459 48 46.00 +2.00 64.0% 30 35 40 45 51 59 64
Valletta 1396 37 39.93 -2.93 36.0% 25 31 36 39 44 49 56
Mosta 1389 46 37.98 +8.02 90.0% 22 27 34 37 42 48 56
Hibernians 1368 46 45.92 +0.08 54.0% 31 34 42 45 49 56 66
Balzan 1361 46 37.42 +8.58 94.0% 23 29 33 37 41 47 52
Floriana 1339 37 41.56 -4.56 28.0% 19 31 37 41 47 53 55
Sirens 1277 33 33.48 -0.48 51.0% 18 24 29 33 38 43 50
Marsaxlokk 1189 25 26.56 -1.56 45.0% 11 18 23 26 30 37 45
Gudja United 1183 29 35.44 -6.44 18.0% 20 24 31 35 39 48 55
Santa Lucia 1115 15 24.08 -9.08 9.0% 7 14 21 23 27 34 46
Zebbug Rangers 1062 14 20.46 -6.46 15.0% 6 12 16 20 25 30 32
Pieta Hotspurs 1055 12 17.05 -5.05 23.0% 6 7 13 17 20 26 31

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under -3% * Slight Edge: -3% to 3.5% * Clear Edge: 3.5% to 8.5% * Strong Edge: 8.5% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
-7.14%
No Edge
35.71%21.43%42.86%
Elo Value
Home Edge: -24.86 Elo pts.
173 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
-0.19 goals
Neutral
-2-0.14+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.08 * Tight Race: 0.08 to 0.21 * Comfortable: 0.21 to 0.29 * Runaway: 0.29 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.3
Open
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
49%
Hamrun Spartans, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.73/gm
Runaway
00.191/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.95 * Some Luck: 4.95 to 7.43 * Lucky: 7.43 to 9.91 * Wild Swing: 9.91 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.29 * Close: 1.29 to 1.93 * Off: 1.93 to 2.58 * Way Off: 2.58 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.70 points
Some Luck
06.1915
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.86
Pinpoint
01.614
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
100.00%
Hamrun Spartans
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
9.00%
Santa Lucia
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.2 * Even: 0.2 to 0.23 * Top-Heavy: 0.23 to 0.27 * Lopsided: 0.27 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.65 * Moderate Separation: 1.65 to 2 * Strong Separation: 2 to 2.25 * Wide Separation: 2.25 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 79% * Clear Edge: 79% to 84% * Wide Edge: 84% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 92.5% * Clear Edge: 92.5% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 98% * Dominant: 98% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 50.5% * Some Drama: 50.5% to 56.5% * Frequent: 56.5% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 16.5% * Occasional: 16.5% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26% * Very Frequent: 26% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Top-Heavy
00.20.270.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 164.08
2.36
Wide Separation
0.951.6522.253
Interquartile Edge
77%
Slight Edge
50%72.5%79%84%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%56%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Rare
0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.42 * Slight Separation: 0.42 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.51 * Lopsided: 0.51 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.74 * Strong Carryover: 0.74 to 0.83 * Near-Lock: 0.83 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 16% * As Expected: 16% to 18.5% * Upset-Prone: 18.5% to 23% * Very Upset-Prone: 23% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 12% * As Expected: 12% to 15.5% * Shaky Favorites: 15.5% to 19.5% * Very Shaky: 19.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Slight Separation
00.420.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.22
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.82
Strong Carryover
00.570.741
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.16
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.26
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.121
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1210.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Hamrun Spartans49.00%26.00%16.00%2.00%4.00%—1.00%1.00%—1.00%————
Birkirkara17.00%24.00%19.00%11.00%15.00%5.00%5.00%2.00%1.00%—1.00%———
Gzira United16.00%17.00%7.00%18.00%19.00%6.00%7.00%5.00%2.00%3.00%————
Mosta1.00%2.00%3.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%12.00%16.00%16.00%11.00%2.00%2.00%——
Hibernians8.00%19.00%20.00%21.00%12.00%5.00%7.00%4.00%3.00%1.00%————
Balzan—2.00%4.00%7.00%6.00%17.00%16.00%17.00%17.00%9.00%5.00%———
Valletta2.00%2.00%7.00%14.00%12.00%17.00%12.00%17.00%9.00%5.00%2.00%—1.00%—
Floriana5.00%5.00%18.00%13.00%7.00%18.00%9.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%—1.00%——
Sirens—1.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%12.00%13.00%11.00%15.00%18.00%17.00%5.00%2.00%—
Gudja United2.00%2.00%4.00%2.00%7.00%5.00%13.00%12.00%22.00%15.00%14.00%2.00%——
Marsaxlokk——1.00%—2.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%6.00%15.00%21.00%34.00%10.00%5.00%
Santa Lucia————2.00%—3.00%—2.00%7.00%27.00%27.00%22.00%10.00%
Zebbug Rangers—————————7.00%10.00%20.00%31.00%32.00%
Pieta Hotspurs—————————3.00%1.00%9.00%34.00%53.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Balzan 100% — —
Birkirkara 100% — —
Floriana 99.00% 1.00% —
Gudja United 98.00% 2.00% —
Gzira United 100% — —
Hamrun Spartans 100% — —
Hibernians 100% — —
Mosta 98.00% 2.00% —
Valletta 99.00% — 1.00%
Sirens 93.00% 5.00% 2.00%
Marsaxlokk 51.00% 34.00% 15.00%
Santa Lucia 41.00% 27.00% 32.00%
Zebbug Rangers 17.00% 20.00% 63.00%
Pieta Hotspurs 4.00% 9.00% 87.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2022-08-19 Sirens W 2-036.7 1368 1293 48.84% 22.50% 28.66%+0.29 +20.2 3
2022-08-19 @ Birkirkara L 0-236.7 1293 1368 28.66% 22.50% 48.84%-0.29 -20.2 0
2022-08-19 Zebbug Rangers W 3-139.3 1304 1165 56.43% 21.96% 21.61%+0.66 +13.7 3
2022-08-19 @ Balzan L 1-339.3 1165 1304 21.61% 21.96% 56.43%-0.66 -13.7 0
2022-08-20 Gudja United L 1-247.8 1297 1304 37.72% 22.73% 39.55%-0.18 -12.6 0
2022-08-20 @ Mosta W 2-147.8 1304 1297 39.55% 22.73% 37.72%+0.18 +12.6 3
2022-08-20 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-033.2 1370 1213 58.30% 21.75% 19.95%+0.76 +14.8 3
2022-08-20 @ Floriana L 0-233.2 1213 1370 19.95% 21.75% 58.30%-0.76 -14.8 0
2022-08-20 Santa Lucia W 3-142.8 1372 1297 48.88% 22.50% 28.62%+0.29 +17.4 3
2022-08-20 @ Gzira United L 1-342.8 1297 1372 28.62% 22.50% 48.88%-0.29 -17.4 0
2022-08-21 Hibernians D 1-156.3 1311 1412 25.60% 22.32% 52.08%-0.73 +2.0 1
2022-08-21 @ Valletta D 1-156.3 1412 1311 52.08% 22.32% 25.60%+0.73 -2.0 1
2022-08-26 Gzira United D 3-365.8 1316 1389 28.83% 22.51% 48.66%-0.57 +0.9 4
2022-08-26 @ Gudja United D 3-365.8 1389 1316 48.66% 22.51% 28.83%+0.57 -0.9 4
2022-08-26 Valletta L 0-633.1 1198 1313 24.06% 22.20% 53.75%-0.81 -48.3 0
2022-08-26 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 6-033.1 1313 1198 53.75% 22.20% 24.06%+0.81 +48.3 4
2022-08-27 Birkirkara L 1-239.7 1152 1388 13.75% 20.59% 65.66%-1.50 -5.2 0
2022-08-27 @ Zebbug Rangers W 2-139.7 1388 1152 65.66% 20.59% 13.75%+1.50 +5.2 6
2022-08-27 Floriana D 2-261.5 1273 1384 24.41% 22.23% 53.37%-0.79 +1.6 1
2022-08-27 @ Sirens D 2-261.5 1384 1273 53.37% 22.23% 24.41%+0.79 -1.6 4
2022-08-27 Mosta L 1-438.1 1187 1285 26.03% 22.35% 51.63%-0.70 -22.8 0
2022-08-27 @ Marsaxlokk W 4-138.1 1285 1187 51.63% 22.35% 26.03%+0.70 +22.8 3
2022-08-28 Balzan L 0-237.6 1279 1318 33.26% 22.67% 44.07%-0.37 -22.7 0
2022-08-28 @ Santa Lucia W 2-037.6 1318 1279 44.07% 22.67% 33.26%+0.37 +22.7 6
2022-08-29 Hamrun Spartans L 1-446.2 1410 1384 42.31% 22.70% 34.99%+0.01 -33.6 1
2022-08-29 @ Hibernians W 4-146.2 1384 1410 34.99% 22.70% 42.31%-0.01 +33.7 3
2022-09-03 Floriana W 1-044.0 1393 1383 40.09% 22.73% 37.19%-0.08 +13.2 9
2022-09-03 @ Birkirkara L 0-144.0 1383 1393 37.19% 22.73% 40.09%+0.08 -13.2 4
2022-09-03 Gudja United L 0-143.7 1341 1317 42.03% 22.71% 35.26%-0.01 -14.5 6
2022-09-03 @ Balzan W 1-043.7 1317 1341 35.26% 22.71% 42.03%+0.01 +14.5 7
2022-09-03 Santa Lucia W 2-042.7 1147 1257 24.58% 22.24% 53.18%-0.78 +33.4 3
2022-09-03 @ Zebbug Rangers L 0-242.7 1257 1147 53.18% 22.24% 24.58%+0.78 -33.4 0
2022-09-03 Sirens D 0-050.4 1362 1274 50.44% 22.42% 27.14%+0.36 -1.9 5
2022-09-03 @ Valletta D 0-050.4 1274 1362 27.14% 22.42% 50.44%-0.36 +1.9 2
2022-09-04 Hibernians L 0-535.3 1307 1377 29.33% 22.54% 48.14%-0.54 -48.0 3
2022-09-04 @ Mosta W 5-035.3 1377 1307 48.14% 22.54% 29.33%+0.54 +48.0 4
2022-09-04 Marsaxlokk D 0-050.3 1389 1165 64.65% 20.79% 14.56%+1.15 -4.5 5
2022-09-04 @ Gzira United D 0-050.3 1165 1389 14.56% 20.79% 64.65%-1.15 +4.4 1
2022-09-04 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-030.2 1418 1150 68.19% 20.01% 11.80%+1.40 +9.0 6
2022-09-04 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-230.2 1150 1418 11.80% 20.01% 68.19%-1.40 -9.0 0
2022-09-07 Marsaxlokk W 1-033.6 1427 1169 67.42% 20.20% 12.38%+1.34 +5.0 9
2022-09-07 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-133.6 1169 1427 12.38% 20.20% 67.42%-1.34 -5.0 1
2022-09-09 Zebbug Rangers W 2-141.9 1332 1180 57.78% 21.81% 20.41%+0.73 +7.5 10
2022-09-09 @ Gudja United L 1-241.9 1180 1332 20.41% 21.81% 57.78%-0.73 -7.5 3
2022-09-10 Hamrun Spartans L 0-234.4 1276 1432 20.00% 21.76% 58.24%-1.04 -14.8 2
2022-09-10 @ Sirens W 2-034.4 1432 1276 58.24% 21.76% 20.00%+1.04 +14.8 12
2022-09-10 Mosta L 1-437.2 1141 1259 23.70% 22.16% 54.13%-0.83 -21.0 0
2022-09-10 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 4-137.2 1259 1141 54.13% 22.16% 23.70%+0.83 +21.0 6
2022-09-10 Valletta W 1-043.2 1370 1360 40.04% 22.73% 37.23%-0.09 +13.2 7
2022-09-10 @ Floriana L 0-143.2 1360 1370 37.23% 22.73% 40.04%+0.09 -13.2 5
2022-09-11 Balzan L 1-241.5 1164 1326 19.42% 21.68% 58.90%-1.08 -7.2 1
2022-09-11 @ Marsaxlokk W 2-141.5 1326 1164 58.90% 21.68% 19.42%+1.08 +7.2 9
2022-09-11 Birkirkara L 0-430.5 1223 1406 17.67% 21.41% 60.92%-1.20 -25.1 0
2022-09-11 @ Santa Lucia W 4-030.5 1406 1223 60.92% 21.41% 17.67%+1.20 +25.1 12
2022-09-11 Gzira United L 1-252.7 1425 1384 44.34% 22.66% 33.00%+0.09 -14.3 4
2022-09-11 @ Hibernians W 2-152.7 1384 1425 33.00% 22.66% 44.34%-0.09 +14.3 8
2022-10-01 Floriana W 2-040.0 1447 1383 47.47% 22.56% 29.97%+0.23 +20.9 15
2022-10-01 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-240.0 1383 1447 29.97% 22.56% 47.47%-0.23 -20.9 7
2022-10-01 Gudja United L 1-339.5 1198 1339 21.43% 21.93% 56.64%-0.96 -13.6 0
2022-10-01 @ Santa Lucia W 3-139.5 1339 1198 56.64% 21.93% 21.43%+0.96 +13.6 13
2022-10-01 Marsaxlokk L 0-337.2 1172 1157 40.85% 22.72% 36.43%-0.05 -38.8 3
2022-10-01 @ Zebbug Rangers W 3-037.2 1157 1172 36.43% 22.72% 40.85%+0.05 +38.8 4
2022-10-01 Sirens D 1-154.5 1280 1261 41.35% 22.72% 35.94%-0.03 -0.4 7
2022-10-01 @ Mosta D 1-154.5 1261 1280 35.94% 22.72% 41.35%+0.03 +0.4 3
2022-10-02 Hibernians L 0-237.7 1334 1410 28.41% 22.49% 49.10%-0.59 -20.0 9
2022-10-02 @ Balzan W 2-037.7 1410 1334 49.10% 22.49% 28.41%+0.59 +20.0 7
2022-10-02 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-027.5 1398 1120 68.95% 19.82% 11.23%+1.46 +16.3 11
2022-10-02 @ Gzira United L 0-427.5 1120 1398 11.23% 19.82% 68.95%-1.46 -16.3 0
2022-10-02 Valletta W 3-036.2 1431 1347 50.08% 22.44% 27.48%+0.34 +28.3 15
2022-10-02 @ Birkirkara L 0-336.2 1347 1431 27.48% 22.44% 50.08%-0.34 -28.3 5
2022-10-07 Zebbug Rangers W 1-032.6 1430 1134 70.26% 19.46% 10.28%+1.57 +4.2 10
2022-10-07 @ Hibernians L 0-132.6 1134 1430 10.28% 19.46% 70.26%-1.57 -4.1 3
2022-10-08 Birkirkara D 1-158.0 1353 1460 24.95% 22.27% 52.78%-0.76 +2.1 14
2022-10-08 @ Gudja United D 1-158.0 1460 1353 52.78% 22.27% 24.95%+0.76 -2.1 16
2022-10-08 Hamrun Spartans L 0-139.0 1318 1468 20.60% 21.84% 57.56%-1.01 -8.1 5
2022-10-08 @ Valletta W 1-039.0 1468 1318 57.56% 21.84% 20.60%+1.01 +8.1 18
2022-10-08 Mosta D 1-155.3 1362 1280 49.74% 22.46% 27.81%+0.33 -1.6 8
2022-10-08 @ Floriana D 1-155.3 1280 1362 27.81% 22.46% 49.74%-0.33 +1.6 8
2022-10-08 Santa Lucia D 2-260.1 1196 1185 40.23% 22.73% 37.05%-0.08 -0.2 5
2022-10-08 @ Marsaxlokk D 2-260.1 1185 1196 37.05% 22.73% 40.23%+0.08 +0.2 1
2022-10-09 Balzan L 2-345.2 1104 1314 15.55% 21.01% 63.43%-1.35 -5.6 0
2022-10-09 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-245.2 1314 1104 63.43% 21.01% 15.55%+1.35 +5.6 12
2022-10-09 Gzira United L 0-332.3 1262 1415 20.28% 21.80% 57.92%-1.02 -21.8 3
2022-10-09 @ Sirens W 3-032.3 1415 1262 57.92% 21.80% 20.28%+1.02 +21.8 14
2022-10-15 Hamrun Spartans D 0-056.6 1457 1476 36.01% 22.72% 41.27%-0.25 +0.4 17
2022-10-15 @ Birkirkara D 0-056.6 1476 1457 41.27% 22.72% 36.01%+0.25 -0.4 19
2022-10-15 Valletta W 3-146.4 1282 1310 34.62% 22.70% 42.69%-0.31 +24.0 11
2022-10-15 @ Mosta L 1-346.4 1310 1282 42.69% 22.70% 34.62%+0.31 -24.0 5
2022-10-16 Floriana W 1-041.8 1436 1360 49.02% 22.49% 28.49%+0.30 +10.6 17
2022-10-16 @ Gzira United L 0-141.8 1360 1436 28.49% 22.49% 49.02%-0.30 -10.6 8
2022-10-16 Hibernians L 2-345.0 1185 1435 12.87% 20.34% 66.79%-1.58 -4.7 1
2022-10-16 @ Santa Lucia W 3-245.0 1435 1185 66.79% 20.34% 12.87%+1.58 +4.6 13
2022-10-16 Pieta Hotspurs L 0-142.7 1129 1098 43.06% 22.69% 34.25%+0.04 -14.8 3
2022-10-16 @ Zebbug Rangers W 1-042.7 1098 1129 34.25% 22.69% 43.06%-0.04 +14.8 3
2022-10-16 Sirens D 0-049.9 1319 1240 49.41% 22.48% 28.12%+0.31 -1.8 13
2022-10-16 @ Balzan D 0-049.9 1240 1319 28.12% 22.48% 49.41%-0.31 +1.8 4
2022-10-17 Marsaxlokk L 1-253.5 1355 1196 58.58% 21.72% 19.70%+0.77 -18.3 14
2022-10-17 @ Gudja United W 2-153.5 1196 1355 19.70% 21.72% 58.58%-0.77 +18.3 8
2022-10-21 Zebbug Rangers D 3-364.1 1242 1115 55.12% 22.08% 22.80%+0.59 -1.5 5
2022-10-21 @ Sirens D 3-364.1 1115 1242 22.80% 22.08% 55.12%-0.59 +1.5 4
2022-10-22 Gudja United W 2-146.2 1439 1337 52.30% 22.30% 25.39%+0.45 +9.1 16
2022-10-22 @ Hibernians L 1-246.2 1337 1439 25.39% 22.30% 52.30%-0.45 -9.1 14
2022-10-22 Gzira United D 0-051.8 1286 1447 19.56% 21.70% 58.73%-1.07 +3.4 6
2022-10-22 @ Valletta D 0-051.8 1447 1286 58.73% 21.70% 19.56%+1.07 -3.4 18
2022-10-22 Mosta W 2-144.1 1476 1306 59.66% 21.58% 18.76%+0.84 +7.0 22
2022-10-22 @ Hamrun Spartans L 1-244.1 1306 1476 18.76% 21.58% 59.66%-0.84 -7.0 11
2022-10-22 Santa Lucia L 1-244.5 1113 1180 29.59% 22.55% 47.87%-0.53 -10.3 3
2022-10-22 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-144.5 1180 1113 47.87% 22.55% 29.59%+0.53 +10.3 4
2022-10-23 Balzan D 0-050.6 1350 1317 43.18% 22.69% 34.13%+0.04 -0.7 9
2022-10-23 @ Floriana D 0-050.6 1317 1350 34.13% 22.69% 43.18%-0.04 +0.7 14
2022-10-23 Birkirkara W 1-050.5 1214 1458 13.24% 20.45% 66.32%-1.55 +21.8 11
2022-10-23 @ Marsaxlokk L 0-150.5 1458 1214 66.32% 20.45% 13.24%+1.55 -21.8 17
2022-10-29 Floriana L 0-133.6 1116 1349 13.97% 20.64% 65.39%-1.48 -5.6 4
2022-10-29 @ Zebbug Rangers W 1-033.6 1349 1116 65.39% 20.64% 13.97%+1.48 +5.6 12
2022-10-29 Mosta L 1-254.6 1436 1299 56.26% 21.97% 21.76%+0.65 -17.6 17
2022-10-29 @ Birkirkara W 2-154.6 1299 1436 21.76% 21.97% 56.26%-0.65 +17.6 14
2022-10-29 Sirens D 0-049.4 1190 1240 31.80% 22.63% 45.57%-0.43 +1.1 5
2022-10-29 @ Santa Lucia D 0-049.4 1240 1190 45.57% 22.63% 31.80%+0.43 -1.1 6
2022-10-29 Valletta L 1-346.5 1318 1290 42.66% 22.70% 34.64%+0.02 -24.0 14
2022-10-29 @ Balzan W 3-146.5 1290 1318 34.64% 22.70% 42.66%-0.02 +24.0 9
2022-10-30 Hamrun Spartans L 1-252.8 1444 1482 33.24% 22.67% 44.09%-0.37 -11.4 18
2022-10-30 @ Gzira United W 2-152.8 1482 1444 44.09% 22.67% 33.24%+0.37 +11.4 25
2022-10-30 Hibernians D 1-156.1 1236 1448 15.35% 20.97% 63.69%-1.37 +3.8 12
2022-10-30 @ Marsaxlokk D 1-156.1 1448 1236 63.69% 20.97% 15.35%+1.37 -3.8 17
2022-10-30 Pieta Hotspurs W 1-033.8 1327 1103 64.73% 20.77% 14.50%+1.15 +5.8 17
2022-10-30 @ Gudja United L 0-133.8 1103 1327 14.50% 20.77% 64.73%-1.15 -5.8 3
2022-11-04 Gzira United L 0-236.4 1316 1432 23.95% 22.19% 53.86%-0.81 -17.3 14
2022-11-04 @ Mosta W 2-036.4 1432 1316 53.86% 22.19% 23.95%+0.81 +17.3 21
2022-11-05 Birkirkara D 1-159.2 1445 1418 42.34% 22.70% 34.96%+0.01 -0.5 18
2022-11-05 @ Hibernians D 1-159.2 1418 1445 34.96% 22.70% 42.34%-0.01 +0.5 18
2022-11-05 Gudja United W 2-042.7 1239 1333 26.37% 22.37% 51.26%-0.69 +32.3 9
2022-11-05 @ Sirens L 0-242.7 1333 1239 51.26% 22.37% 26.37%+0.69 -32.3 17
2022-11-05 Marsaxlokk D 1-154.3 1097 1239 21.25% 21.91% 56.84%-0.97 +2.7 4
2022-11-05 @ Pieta Hotspurs D 1-154.3 1239 1097 56.84% 21.91% 21.25%+0.97 -2.7 13
2022-11-05 Santa Lucia W 1-035.8 1355 1192 58.97% 21.67% 19.36%+0.80 +7.6 15
2022-11-05 @ Floriana L 0-135.8 1192 1355 19.36% 21.67% 58.97%-0.80 -7.6 5
2022-11-06 Balzan W 1-037.5 1494 1294 62.50% 21.17% 16.33%+1.01 +6.5 28
2022-11-06 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-137.5 1294 1494 16.33% 21.17% 62.50%-1.01 -6.5 14
2022-11-06 Zebbug Rangers W 3-029.5 1314 1111 62.82% 21.12% 16.06%+1.03 +17.6 12
2022-11-06 @ Valletta L 0-329.5 1111 1314 16.06% 21.12% 62.82%-1.03 -17.6 4
2022-11-12 Gzira United D 1-159.3 1419 1450 34.34% 22.69% 42.97%-0.32 +0.6 19
2022-11-12 @ Birkirkara D 1-159.3 1450 1419 42.97% 22.69% 34.34%+0.32 -0.6 22
2022-11-12 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-137.4 1444 1099 73.37% 18.47% 8.17%+1.84 +3.1 21
2022-11-12 @ Hibernians L 1-237.4 1099 1444 8.17% 18.47% 73.37%-1.84 -3.1 4
2022-11-12 Valletta L 0-233.2 1184 1331 20.80% 21.86% 57.34%-0.99 -15.3 5
2022-11-12 @ Santa Lucia W 2-033.2 1331 1184 57.34% 21.86% 20.80%+0.99 +15.3 15
2022-11-13 Floriana L 0-335.4 1301 1362 30.32% 22.58% 47.10%-0.50 -30.7 17
2022-11-13 @ Gudja United W 3-035.4 1362 1301 47.10% 22.58% 30.32%+0.50 +30.7 18
2022-11-13 Mosta L 1-247.5 1288 1299 37.04% 22.73% 40.24%-0.21 -12.4 14
2022-11-13 @ Balzan W 2-147.5 1299 1288 40.24% 22.73% 37.04%+0.21 +12.4 17
2022-11-13 Sirens L 1-246.2 1237 1271 33.79% 22.68% 43.53%-0.34 -11.5 13
2022-11-13 @ Marsaxlokk W 2-146.2 1271 1237 43.53% 22.68% 33.79%+0.34 +11.5 12
2022-11-27 Hamrun Spartans W 4-258.8 1093 1500 6.02% 17.07% 76.91%-2.49 +36.1 7
2022-11-27 @ Zebbug Rangers L 2-458.8 1500 1093 76.91% 17.07% 6.02%+2.49 -36.2 28
2022-12-03 Balzan L 0-149.6 1449 1275 60.04% 21.53% 18.43%+0.86 -19.8 22
2022-12-03 @ Gzira United W 1-049.6 1275 1449 18.43% 21.53% 60.04%-0.86 +19.8 17
2022-12-03 Hibernians L 0-137.5 1283 1447 19.26% 21.66% 59.09%-1.09 -7.6 12
2022-12-03 @ Sirens W 1-037.5 1447 1283 59.09% 21.66% 19.26%+1.09 +7.6 24
2022-12-03 Marsaxlokk D 1-155.3 1393 1225 59.44% 21.61% 18.95%+0.82 -3.1 19
2022-12-03 @ Floriana D 1-155.3 1225 1393 18.95% 21.61% 59.44%-0.82 +3.1 14
2022-12-04 Birkirkara L 1-530.4 1096 1420 9.05% 18.92% 72.02%-2.01 -10.9 4
2022-12-04 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 5-130.4 1420 1096 72.02% 18.92% 9.05%+2.01 +10.9 22
2022-12-04 Gudja United L 0-145.4 1347 1270 49.05% 22.49% 28.46%+0.30 -16.5 15
2022-12-04 @ Valletta W 1-045.4 1270 1347 28.46% 22.49% 49.05%-0.30 +16.5 20
2022-12-04 Santa Lucia W 2-030.0 1464 1169 70.18% 19.48% 10.34%+1.56 +7.9 31
2022-12-04 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-230.0 1169 1464 10.34% 19.48% 70.18%-1.56 -7.9 5
2022-12-04 Zebbug Rangers W 2-031.9 1311 1129 60.86% 21.42% 17.72%+0.91 +13.3 20
2022-12-04 @ Mosta L 0-231.9 1129 1311 17.72% 21.42% 60.86%-0.91 -13.3 7
2022-12-10 Balzan W 2-144.2 1430 1295 56.04% 21.99% 21.97%+0.64 +8.0 25
2022-12-10 @ Birkirkara L 1-244.2 1295 1430 21.97% 21.99% 56.04%-0.64 -8.1 17
2022-12-10 Sirens L 0-134.6 1085 1275 17.09% 21.31% 61.60%-1.24 -6.8 4
2022-12-10 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 1-034.6 1275 1085 61.60% 21.31% 17.09%+1.24 +6.8 15
2022-12-11 Gzira United L 0-229.1 1116 1429 9.49% 19.13% 71.38%-1.95 -7.2 7
2022-12-11 @ Zebbug Rangers W 2-029.1 1429 1116 71.38% 19.13% 9.49%+1.95 +7.2 25
2022-12-11 Hamrun Spartans L 0-137.4 1287 1472 17.45% 21.37% 61.17%-1.21 -6.9 20
2022-12-11 @ Gudja United W 1-037.4 1472 1287 61.17% 21.37% 17.45%+1.21 +6.9 34
2022-12-11 Mosta L 1-241.5 1161 1325 19.28% 21.66% 59.05%-1.09 -7.2 5
2022-12-11 @ Santa Lucia W 2-141.5 1325 1161 59.05% 21.66% 19.28%+1.09 +7.2 23
2022-12-11 Valletta L 1-243.8 1228 1330 25.51% 22.31% 52.18%-0.73 -9.1 14
2022-12-11 @ Marsaxlokk W 2-143.8 1330 1228 52.18% 22.31% 25.51%+0.73 +9.1 18
2022-12-12 Floriana W 1-043.4 1455 1390 47.59% 22.56% 29.85%+0.23 +11.0 27
2022-12-12 @ Hibernians L 0-143.4 1390 1455 29.85% 22.56% 47.59%-0.23 -11.1 19
2022-12-15 Gzira United L 0-133.0 1154 1436 10.99% 19.73% 69.28%-1.77 -4.5 5
2022-12-15 @ Santa Lucia W 1-033.0 1436 1154 69.28% 19.73% 10.99%+1.77 +4.5 28
2022-12-16 Balzan L 2-346.0 1109 1287 18.02% 21.47% 60.51%-1.17 -6.4 7
2022-12-16 @ Zebbug Rangers W 3-246.0 1287 1109 60.51% 21.47% 18.02%+1.17 +6.4 20
2022-12-16 Birkirkara W 1-049.1 1282 1439 19.96% 21.76% 58.28%-1.04 +19.3 18
2022-12-16 @ Sirens L 0-149.1 1439 1282 58.28% 21.76% 19.96%+1.04 -19.3 25
2022-12-16 Hamrun Spartans L 0-134.5 1219 1479 12.27% 20.17% 67.56%-1.64 -5.0 14
2022-12-16 @ Marsaxlokk W 1-034.5 1479 1219 67.56% 20.17% 12.27%+1.64 +5.0 37
2022-12-16 Mosta W 2-150.3 1280 1332 31.52% 22.62% 45.86%-0.44 +14.7 23
2022-12-16 @ Gudja United L 1-250.3 1332 1280 45.86% 22.62% 31.52%+0.44 -14.7 23
2022-12-17 Floriana L 1-335.1 1079 1379 10.13% 19.40% 70.48%-1.87 -6.7 4
2022-12-17 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 3-135.1 1379 1079 70.48% 19.40% 10.13%+1.87 +6.7 22
2022-12-17 Valletta L 0-444.6 1466 1339 55.06% 22.09% 22.86%+0.59 -65.5 27
2022-12-17 @ Hibernians W 4-044.6 1339 1466 22.86% 22.09% 55.06%-0.59 +65.5 21
2023-01-07 Gudja United D 1-156.6 1441 1294 57.24% 21.87% 20.89%+0.70 -2.8 29
2023-01-07 @ Gzira United D 1-156.6 1294 1441 20.89% 21.87% 57.24%-0.70 +2.8 24
2023-01-07 Santa Lucia W 3-139.1 1294 1149 57.02% 21.89% 21.08%+0.69 +13.4 23
2023-01-07 @ Balzan L 1-339.1 1149 1294 21.08% 21.89% 57.02%-0.69 -13.4 5
2023-01-07 Sirens W 1-039.6 1385 1301 49.99% 22.44% 27.57%+0.34 +10.4 25
2023-01-07 @ Floriana L 0-139.6 1301 1385 27.57% 22.44% 49.99%-0.34 -10.4 18
2023-01-07 Zebbug Rangers W 5-027.1 1419 1102 71.62% 19.05% 9.33%+1.68 +16.6 28
2023-01-07 @ Birkirkara L 0-527.1 1102 1419 9.33% 19.05% 71.62%-1.68 -16.6 7
2023-01-08 Hibernians W 1-043.8 1484 1400 49.97% 22.45% 27.59%+0.34 +10.4 40
2023-01-08 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-143.8 1400 1484 27.59% 22.45% 49.97%-0.34 -10.4 27
2023-01-08 Marsaxlokk W 2-143.6 1317 1214 52.31% 22.30% 25.39%+0.45 +9.1 26
2023-01-08 @ Mosta L 1-243.6 1214 1317 25.39% 22.30% 52.31%-0.45 -9.1 14
2023-01-08 Pieta Hotspurs D 1-155.5 1405 1072 72.63% 18.72% 8.65%+1.77 -5.2 22
2023-01-08 @ Valletta D 1-155.5 1072 1405 8.65% 18.72% 72.63%-1.77 +5.2 5
2023-01-20 Zebbug Rangers W 2-145.1 1136 1086 45.60% 22.63% 31.77%+0.15 +11.0 8
2023-01-20 @ Santa Lucia L 1-245.1 1086 1136 31.77% 22.63% 45.60%-0.15 -11.0 7
2023-01-21 Balzan L 0-141.9 1297 1307 37.25% 22.73% 40.02%-0.20 -13.2 24
2023-01-21 @ Gudja United W 1-041.9 1307 1297 40.02% 22.73% 37.25%+0.20 +13.2 26
2023-01-21 Birkirkara L 1-249.9 1396 1436 33.06% 22.67% 44.27%-0.37 -11.3 25
2023-01-21 @ Floriana W 2-149.9 1436 1396 44.27% 22.67% 33.06%+0.37 +11.3 31
2023-01-21 Mosta W 2-037.8 1390 1326 47.43% 22.56% 30.01%+0.22 +20.9 30
2023-01-21 @ Hibernians L 0-237.8 1326 1390 30.01% 22.56% 47.43%-0.22 -20.9 26
2023-01-22 Gzira United L 0-329.7 1205 1438 13.95% 20.64% 65.41%-1.49 -15.4 14
2023-01-22 @ Marsaxlokk W 3-029.7 1438 1205 65.41% 20.64% 13.95%+1.49 +15.4 32
2023-01-22 Hamrun Spartans L 1-236.3 1077 1494 5.74% 16.84% 77.42%-2.55 -2.1 5
2023-01-22 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-136.3 1494 1077 77.42% 16.84% 5.74%+2.55 +2.1 43
2023-01-28 Gudja United W 2-045.4 1075 1284 15.59% 21.02% 63.39%-1.35 +39.4 10
2023-01-28 @ Zebbug Rangers L 0-245.4 1284 1075 63.39% 21.02% 15.59%+1.35 -39.4 24
2023-01-28 Hibernians W 2-041.8 1454 1411 44.60% 22.66% 32.74%+0.10 +22.5 35
2023-01-28 @ Gzira United L 0-241.8 1411 1454 32.74% 22.66% 44.60%-0.10 -22.5 30
2023-01-28 Pieta Hotspurs W 4-028.3 1305 1075 65.18% 20.68% 14.14%+1.18 +20.4 29
2023-01-28 @ Mosta L 0-428.3 1075 1305 14.14% 20.68% 65.18%-1.18 -20.4 5
2023-01-28 Santa Lucia W 2-029.6 1447 1147 70.52% 19.39% 10.10%+1.59 +7.7 34
2023-01-28 @ Birkirkara L 0-229.6 1147 1447 10.10% 19.39% 70.52%-1.59 -7.7 8
2023-01-29 Floriana D 0-052.4 1400 1384 40.80% 22.72% 36.48%-0.06 -0.3 23
2023-01-29 @ Valletta D 0-052.4 1384 1400 36.48% 22.72% 40.80%+0.06 +0.4 26
2023-01-29 Marsaxlokk D 0-049.8 1320 1190 55.49% 22.05% 22.46%+0.61 -2.8 27
2023-01-29 @ Balzan D 0-049.8 1190 1320 22.46% 22.05% 55.49%-0.61 +2.8 15
2023-01-29 Sirens W 3-032.5 1497 1291 63.03% 21.08% 15.89%+1.04 +17.4 46
2023-01-29 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-332.5 1291 1497 15.89% 21.08% 63.03%-1.04 -17.4 18
2023-02-01 Valletta D 3-365.5 1274 1399 22.96% 22.10% 54.94%-0.87 +1.5 19
2023-02-01 @ Sirens D 3-365.5 1399 1274 54.94% 22.10% 22.96%+0.87 -1.5 24
2023-02-04 Gzira United L 0-626.0 1055 1476 5.63% 16.75% 77.62%-2.57 -11.6 5
2023-02-04 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 6-026.0 1476 1055 77.62% 16.75% 5.63%+2.57 +11.5 38
2023-02-04 Hamrun Spartans L 0-142.7 1385 1514 22.58% 22.06% 55.36%-0.89 -8.7 26
2023-02-04 @ Floriana W 1-042.7 1514 1385 55.36% 22.06% 22.58%+0.89 +8.7 49
2023-02-04 Mosta L 1-246.0 1275 1326 31.72% 22.63% 45.66%-0.43 -11.0 19
2023-02-04 @ Sirens W 2-146.0 1326 1275 45.66% 22.63% 31.72%+0.43 +11.0 32
2023-02-04 Santa Lucia W 3-032.4 1245 1139 52.66% 22.28% 25.06%+0.47 +26.2 27
2023-02-04 @ Gudja United L 0-332.4 1139 1245 25.06% 22.28% 52.66%-0.47 -26.2 8
2023-02-05 Balzan L 1-252.0 1388 1317 48.37% 22.52% 29.10%+0.27 -15.4 30
2023-02-05 @ Hibernians W 2-152.0 1317 1388 29.10% 22.52% 48.37%-0.27 +15.4 30
2023-02-05 Birkirkara D 1-158.9 1398 1455 30.84% 22.60% 46.56%-0.47 +1.1 25
2023-02-05 @ Valletta D 1-158.9 1455 1398 46.56% 22.60% 30.84%+0.47 -1.1 35
2023-02-05 Zebbug Rangers D 1-154.1 1193 1114 49.31% 22.48% 28.21%+0.31 -1.5 16
2023-02-05 @ Marsaxlokk D 1-154.1 1114 1193 28.21% 22.48% 49.31%-0.31 +1.6 11
2023-02-11 Gudja United W 3-139.9 1454 1271 60.93% 21.41% 17.66%+0.91 +11.5 38
2023-02-11 @ Birkirkara L 1-339.9 1271 1454 17.66% 21.41% 60.93%-0.91 -11.5 27
2023-02-11 Hibernians L 0-230.1 1116 1373 12.41% 20.21% 67.38%-1.63 -9.5 11
2023-02-11 @ Zebbug Rangers W 2-030.1 1373 1116 67.38% 20.21% 12.41%+1.63 +9.5 33
2023-02-11 Valletta W 1-043.6 1523 1399 54.76% 22.11% 23.13%+0.57 +8.9 52
2023-02-11 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-143.6 1399 1523 23.13% 22.11% 54.76%-0.57 -8.9 25
2023-02-12 Floriana W 2-042.0 1337 1376 33.16% 22.67% 44.17%-0.37 +28.5 35
2023-02-12 @ Mosta L 0-242.0 1376 1337 44.17% 22.67% 33.16%+0.37 -28.5 26
2023-02-12 Marsaxlokk L 0-138.2 1113 1191 28.24% 22.48% 49.28%-0.59 -10.6 8
2023-02-12 @ Santa Lucia W 1-038.2 1191 1113 49.28% 22.48% 28.24%+0.59 +10.6 19
2023-02-12 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-243.2 1333 1043 69.75% 19.60% 10.65%+1.53 +3.9 33
2023-02-12 @ Balzan L 2-343.2 1043 1333 10.65% 19.60% 69.75%-1.53 -3.8 5
2023-02-12 Sirens W 1-036.2 1488 1264 64.59% 20.80% 14.61%+1.14 +5.9 41
2023-02-12 @ Gzira United L 0-136.2 1264 1488 14.61% 20.80% 64.59%-1.14 -5.9 19
2023-02-18 Gudja United D 1-154.3 1202 1259 30.75% 22.59% 46.65%-0.48 +1.2 20
2023-02-18 @ Marsaxlokk D 1-154.3 1259 1202 46.65% 22.59% 30.75%+0.48 -1.2 28
2023-02-18 Gzira United D 1-158.8 1348 1493 20.94% 21.88% 57.18%-0.98 +2.8 27
2023-02-18 @ Floriana D 1-158.8 1493 1348 57.18% 21.88% 20.94%+0.98 -2.8 42
2023-02-18 Zebbug Rangers L 0-235.6 1039 1106 29.63% 22.55% 47.82%-0.53 -20.7 5
2023-02-18 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 2-035.6 1106 1039 47.82% 22.55% 29.63%+0.53 +20.7 14
2023-02-19 Balzan L 1-342.0 1258 1337 28.24% 22.48% 49.27%-0.59 -17.2 19
2023-02-19 @ Sirens W 3-142.0 1337 1258 49.27% 22.48% 28.24%+0.59 +17.2 36
2023-02-19 Birkirkara D 0-059.0 1532 1465 47.77% 22.55% 29.68%+0.24 -1.5 53
2023-02-19 @ Hamrun Spartans D 0-059.0 1465 1532 29.68% 22.55% 47.77%-0.24 +1.5 39
2023-02-19 Mosta D 0-051.8 1390 1365 42.16% 22.71% 35.13%+0.00 -0.6 26
2023-02-19 @ Valletta D 0-051.8 1365 1390 35.13% 22.71% 42.16%+0.00 +0.6 36
2023-02-19 Santa Lucia W 3-243.6 1383 1102 69.09% 19.78% 11.12%+1.47 +4.0 36
2023-02-19 @ Hibernians L 2-343.6 1102 1383 11.12% 19.78% 69.09%-1.47 -4.0 8
2023-03-04 Pieta Hotspurs W 2-143.9 1098 1019 49.45% 22.47% 28.08%+0.32 +9.9 11
2023-03-04 @ Santa Lucia L 1-243.9 1019 1098 28.08% 22.47% 49.45%-0.32 -9.9 5
2023-03-04 Sirens L 0-137.0 1127 1241 24.14% 22.20% 53.66%-0.80 -9.3 14
2023-03-04 @ Zebbug Rangers W 1-037.0 1241 1127 53.66% 22.20% 24.14%+0.80 +9.2 22
2023-03-05 Floriana W 3-146.1 1354 1350 39.14% 22.73% 38.13%-0.12 +21.9 39
2023-03-05 @ Balzan L 1-346.1 1350 1354 38.13% 22.73% 39.14%+0.12 -21.9 27
2023-03-05 Hamrun Spartans L 1-247.3 1366 1530 19.22% 21.65% 59.12%-1.09 -7.1 36
2023-03-05 @ Mosta W 2-147.3 1530 1366 59.12% 21.65% 19.22%+1.09 +7.1 56
2023-03-05 Hibernians L 1-437.9 1258 1387 22.67% 22.07% 55.26%-0.88 -20.2 28
2023-03-05 @ Gudja United W 4-137.9 1387 1258 55.26% 22.07% 22.67%+0.88 +20.3 39
2023-03-05 Marsaxlokk D 1-156.2 1467 1203 67.88% 20.09% 12.03%+1.38 -4.5 40
2023-03-05 @ Birkirkara D 1-156.2 1203 1467 12.03% 20.09% 67.88%-1.38 +4.5 21
2023-03-05 Valletta L 1-256.9 1491 1389 52.12% 22.32% 25.56%+0.44 -16.4 42
2023-03-05 @ Gzira United W 2-156.9 1389 1491 25.56% 22.32% 52.12%-0.44 +16.4 29
2023-03-10 Balzan D 0-052.3 1406 1376 42.88% 22.69% 34.43%+0.03 -0.7 30
2023-03-10 @ Valletta D 0-052.3 1376 1406 34.43% 22.69% 42.88%-0.03 +0.7 40
2023-03-11 Birkirkara D 1-158.2 1358 1462 25.29% 22.29% 52.42%-0.74 +2.0 37
2023-03-11 @ Mosta D 1-158.2 1462 1358 52.42% 22.29% 25.29%+0.74 -2.0 41
2023-03-11 Gzira United W 1-049.1 1537 1474 47.33% 22.57% 30.10%+0.22 +11.1 59
2023-03-11 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-149.1 1474 1537 30.10% 22.57% 47.33%-0.22 -11.1 42
2023-03-11 Marsaxlokk L 1-352.0 1407 1207 62.51% 21.17% 16.32%+1.01 -33.6 39
2023-03-11 @ Hibernians W 3-152.0 1207 1407 16.32% 21.17% 62.51%-1.01 +33.6 24
2023-03-11 Zebbug Rangers W 1-034.2 1328 1118 63.51% 21.00% 15.49%+1.07 +6.2 30
2023-03-11 @ Floriana L 0-134.2 1118 1328 15.49% 21.00% 63.51%-1.07 -6.2 14
2023-03-12 Gudja United W 3-151.7 1009 1238 14.19% 20.70% 65.11%-1.47 +35.0 8
2023-03-12 @ Pieta Hotspurs L 1-351.7 1238 1009 65.11% 20.70% 14.19%+1.47 -35.0 28
2023-03-12 Santa Lucia W 2-141.9 1250 1108 56.80% 21.92% 21.28%+0.68 +7.8 25
2023-03-12 @ Sirens L 1-241.9 1108 1250 21.28% 21.92% 56.80%-0.68 -7.8 11
2023-04-01 Hamrun Spartans L 0-436.9 1376 1548 18.57% 21.56% 59.87%-1.13 -26.3 40
2023-04-01 @ Balzan W 4-036.9 1548 1376 59.87% 21.56% 18.57%+1.13 +26.3 62
2023-04-01 Mosta L 1-255.3 1463 1360 52.28% 22.30% 25.42%+0.45 -16.5 42
2023-04-01 @ Gzira United W 2-155.3 1360 1463 25.42% 22.30% 52.28%-0.45 +16.5 40
2023-04-01 Sirens L 0-139.4 1203 1258 31.11% 22.61% 46.29%-0.46 -11.4 28
2023-04-01 @ Gudja United W 1-039.4 1258 1203 46.29% 22.61% 31.11%+0.46 +11.4 28
2023-04-01 Valletta L 1-531.0 1111 1405 10.43% 19.52% 70.04%-1.84 -12.6 14
2023-04-01 @ Zebbug Rangers W 5-131.0 1405 1111 70.04% 19.52% 10.43%+1.84 +12.6 33
2023-04-02 Floriana L 0-230.5 1100 1335 13.86% 20.61% 65.53%-1.49 -10.5 11
2023-04-02 @ Santa Lucia W 2-030.5 1335 1100 65.53% 20.61% 13.86%+1.49 +10.5 33
2023-04-02 Hibernians W 5-037.4 1460 1373 50.37% 22.42% 27.20%+0.36 +45.1 44
2023-04-02 @ Birkirkara L 0-537.4 1373 1460 27.20% 22.42% 50.37%-0.36 -45.1 39
2023-04-02 Pieta Hotspurs L 1-253.9 1241 1044 62.28% 21.20% 16.52%+0.99 -19.4 24
2023-04-02 @ Marsaxlokk W 2-153.9 1044 1241 16.52% 21.20% 62.28%-0.99 +19.4 11
2023-04-08 Birkirkara L 1-350.1 1447 1505 30.65% 22.59% 46.76%-0.48 -18.4 42
2023-04-08 @ Gzira United W 3-150.1 1505 1447 46.76% 22.59% 30.65%+0.48 +18.4 47
2023-04-08 Gudja United D 1-154.8 1345 1192 57.98% 21.79% 20.23%+0.74 -2.9 34
2023-04-08 @ Floriana D 1-154.8 1192 1345 20.23% 21.79% 57.98%-0.74 +2.9 29
2023-04-08 Hibernians L 1-433.0 1063 1328 11.97% 20.07% 67.96%-1.67 -11.2 11
2023-04-08 @ Pieta Hotspurs W 4-133.0 1328 1063 67.96% 20.07% 11.97%+1.67 +11.2 42
2023-04-08 Marsaxlokk W 3-250.8 1270 1221 45.36% 22.64% 32.01%+0.13 +10.5 31
2023-04-08 @ Sirens L 2-350.8 1221 1270 32.01% 22.64% 45.36%-0.13 -10.5 24
2023-04-10 Balzan L 2-355.8 1377 1350 42.43% 22.70% 34.87%+0.01 -13.1 40
2023-04-10 @ Mosta W 3-255.8 1350 1377 34.87% 22.70% 42.43%-0.01 +13.1 43
2023-04-10 Santa Lucia L 0-150.7 1418 1090 72.33% 18.82% 8.85%+1.75 -23.6 33
2023-04-10 @ Valletta W 1-050.7 1090 1418 8.85% 18.82% 72.33%-1.75 +23.6 14
2023-04-10 Zebbug Rangers W 4-025.2 1575 1099 80.22% 15.47% 4.30%+2.60 +5.9 65
2023-04-10 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-425.2 1099 1575 4.30% 15.47% 80.22%-2.60 -5.9 14
2023-04-14 Floriana L 1-535.5 1211 1342 22.38% 22.04% 55.58%-0.90 -25.9 24
2023-04-14 @ Marsaxlokk W 5-135.5 1342 1211 55.58% 22.04% 22.38%+0.90 +25.8 37
2023-04-14 Pieta Hotspurs W 3-240.7 1524 1052 80.04% 15.57% 4.39%+2.58 +1.5 50
2023-04-14 @ Birkirkara L 2-340.7 1052 1524 4.39% 15.57% 80.04%-2.58 -1.5 11
2023-04-14 Valletta L 1-240.9 1195 1394 16.33% 21.17% 62.50%-1.29 -6.2 29
2023-04-14 @ Gudja United W 2-140.9 1394 1195 62.50% 21.17% 16.33%+1.29 +6.2 36
2023-04-15 Gzira United L 0-239.1 1363 1428 29.86% 22.56% 47.58%-0.52 -20.8 43
2023-04-15 @ Balzan W 2-039.1 1428 1363 47.58% 22.56% 29.86%+0.52 +20.8 45
2023-04-15 Hamrun Spartans D 1-157.8 1113 1581 4.49% 15.68% 79.83%-2.84 +6.1 15
2023-04-15 @ Santa Lucia D 1-157.8 1581 1113 79.83% 15.68% 4.49%+2.84 -6.1 66
2023-04-15 Mosta L 0-527.9 1093 1364 11.64% 19.96% 68.40%-1.71 -20.8 14
2023-04-15 @ Zebbug Rangers W 5-027.9 1364 1093 68.40% 19.96% 11.64%+1.71 +20.8 43
2023-04-15 Sirens D 1-155.0 1339 1280 46.82% 22.59% 30.60%+0.20 -1.2 43
2023-04-15 @ Hibernians D 1-155.0 1280 1339 30.60% 22.59% 46.82%-0.20 +1.2 32
2023-04-20 Marsaxlokk D 1-155.3 1400 1185 63.89% 20.93% 15.18%+1.10 -3.9 37
2023-04-20 @ Valletta D 1-155.3 1185 1400 15.18% 20.93% 63.89%-1.10 +3.9 25
2023-04-20 Pieta Hotspurs D 0-049.8 1281 1050 65.25% 20.67% 14.08%+1.19 -4.6 33
2023-04-20 @ Sirens D 0-049.8 1050 1281 14.08% 20.67% 65.25%-1.19 +4.5 12
2023-04-21 Birkirkara W 2-158.9 1342 1525 17.66% 21.41% 60.94%-1.20 +19.0 46
2023-04-21 @ Balzan L 1-258.9 1525 1342 60.94% 21.41% 17.66%+1.20 -19.0 50
2023-04-21 Hibernians L 2-547.4 1368 1338 42.88% 22.69% 34.43%+0.03 -29.5 37
2023-04-21 @ Floriana W 5-247.4 1338 1368 34.43% 22.69% 42.88%-0.03 +29.5 46
2023-04-21 Santa Lucia W 2-138.8 1385 1119 67.97% 20.07% 11.96%+1.39 +4.6 46
2023-04-21 @ Mosta L 1-238.8 1119 1385 11.96% 20.07% 67.97%-1.39 -4.6 15
2023-04-21 Zebbug Rangers W 4-025.6 1449 1072 75.26% 17.76% 6.98%+2.03 +10.0 48
2023-04-21 @ Gzira United L 0-425.6 1072 1449 6.98% 17.76% 75.26%-2.03 -9.9 14
2023-04-22 Gudja United W 2-030.0 1574 1188 75.77% 17.55% 6.68%+2.08 +5.0 69
2023-04-22 @ Hamrun Spartans L 0-230.0 1188 1574 6.68% 17.55% 75.77%-2.08 -5.0 29

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2022-11-27 6.02% @ Zebbug Rangers 1093 4 Hamrun Spartans 1500 2
2 2023-04-10 8.85% Santa Lucia 1090 1 @ Valletta 1418 0
3 2022-10-23 13.24% @ Marsaxlokk 1214 1 Birkirkara 1458 0
4 2023-03-12 14.19% @ Pieta Hotspurs 1009 3 Gudja United 1238 1
5 2023-01-28 15.59% @ Zebbug Rangers 1075 2 Gudja United 1284 0
6 2023-03-11 16.32% Marsaxlokk 1207 3 @ Hibernians 1407 1
7 2023-04-02 16.52% Pieta Hotspurs 1044 2 @ Marsaxlokk 1241 1
8 2023-04-21 17.66% @ Balzan 1342 2 Birkirkara 1525 1
9 2022-12-03 18.43% Balzan 1275 1 @ Gzira United 1449 0
10 2022-10-17 19.70% Marsaxlokk 1196 2 @ Gudja United 1355 1
11 2022-12-16 19.96% @ Sirens 1282 1 Birkirkara 1439 0
12 2022-10-29 21.76% Mosta 1299 2 @ Birkirkara 1436 1
13 2022-12-17 22.86% Valletta 1339 4 @ Hibernians 1466 0
14 2022-09-03 24.58% @ Zebbug Rangers 1147 2 Santa Lucia 1257 0
15 2023-04-01 25.42% Mosta 1360 2 @ Gzira United 1463 1
16 2023-03-05 25.56% Valletta 1389 2 @ Gzira United 1491 1
17 2022-11-05 26.37% @ Sirens 1239 2 Gudja United 1333 0
18 2022-12-04 28.46% Gudja United 1270 1 @ Valletta 1347 0
19 2023-02-05 29.10% Balzan 1317 2 @ Hibernians 1388 1
20 2022-12-16 31.52% @ Gudja United 1280 2 Mosta 1332 1
21 2022-09-11 33.00% Gzira United 1384 2 @ Hibernians 1425 1
22 2023-02-12 33.16% @ Mosta 1337 2 Floriana 1376 0
23 2022-10-16 34.25% Pieta Hotspurs 1098 1 @ Zebbug Rangers 1129 0
24 2023-04-21 34.43% Hibernians 1338 5 @ Floriana 1368 2
25 2022-10-15 34.62% @ Mosta 1282 3 Valletta 1310 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-12-17 65.47 Valletta 4 1339 22.86% @ Hibernians 0 1466 55.06% 22.09%
2 2022-08-26 48.34 Valletta 6 1313 53.75% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1198 24.06% 22.20%
3 2022-09-04 48.04 Hibernians 5 1377 48.14% @ Mosta 0 1307 29.33% 22.54%
4 2023-04-02 45.15 @ Birkirkara 5 1460 50.37% Hibernians 0 1373 27.20% 22.42%
5 2023-01-28 39.36 @ Zebbug Rangers 2 1075 15.59% Gudja United 0 1284 63.39% 21.02%
6 2022-10-01 38.81 Marsaxlokk 3 1157 36.43% @ Zebbug Rangers 0 1172 40.85% 22.72%
7 2022-11-27 36.16 @ Zebbug Rangers 4 1093 6.02% Hamrun Spartans 2 1500 76.91% 17.07%
8 2023-03-12 34.96 @ Pieta Hotspurs 3 1009 14.19% Gudja United 1 1238 65.11% 20.70%
9 2022-08-29 33.66 Hamrun Spartans 4 1384 34.99% @ Hibernians 1 1410 42.31% 22.70%
10 2023-03-11 33.65 Marsaxlokk 3 1207 16.32% @ Hibernians 1 1407 62.51% 21.17%
11 2022-09-03 33.43 @ Zebbug Rangers 2 1147 24.58% Santa Lucia 0 1257 53.18% 22.24%
12 2022-11-05 32.34 @ Sirens 2 1239 26.37% Gudja United 0 1333 51.26% 22.37%
13 2022-11-13 30.67 Floriana 3 1362 47.10% @ Gudja United 0 1301 30.32% 22.58%
14 2023-04-21 29.47 Hibernians 5 1338 34.43% @ Floriana 2 1368 42.88% 22.69%
15 2023-02-12 28.47 @ Mosta 2 1337 33.16% Floriana 0 1376 44.17% 22.67%
16 2022-10-02 28.28 @ Birkirkara 3 1431 50.08% Valletta 0 1347 27.48% 22.44%
17 2023-04-01 26.29 Hamrun Spartans 4 1548 59.87% @ Balzan 0 1376 18.57% 21.56%
18 2023-02-04 26.17 @ Gudja United 3 1245 52.66% Santa Lucia 0 1139 25.06% 22.28%
19 2023-04-14 25.86 Floriana 5 1342 55.58% @ Marsaxlokk 1 1211 22.38% 22.04%
20 2022-09-11 25.12 Birkirkara 4 1406 60.92% @ Santa Lucia 0 1223 17.67% 21.41%
21 2022-10-15 23.97 @ Mosta 3 1282 34.62% Valletta 1 1310 42.69% 22.70%
22 2022-10-29 23.96 Valletta 3 1290 34.64% @ Balzan 1 1318 42.66% 22.70%
23 2023-04-10 23.56 Santa Lucia 1 1090 8.85% @ Valletta 0 1418 72.33% 18.82%
24 2022-08-27 22.79 Mosta 4 1285 51.63% @ Marsaxlokk 1 1187 26.03% 22.35%
25 2022-08-28 22.74 Balzan 2 1318 44.07% @ Santa Lucia 0 1279 33.26% 22.67%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2022-08-26 65.8 @ Gudja United 3 1316 28.83% Gzira United 3 1389 48.66% 22.51%
2 2023-02-01 65.5 @ Sirens 3 1274 22.96% Valletta 3 1399 54.94% 22.10%
3 2022-10-21 64.1 @ Sirens 3 1242 55.12% Zebbug Rangers 3 1115 22.80% 22.08%
4 2022-08-27 61.5 @ Sirens 2 1273 24.41% Floriana 2 1384 53.37% 22.23%
5 2022-10-08 60.1 @ Marsaxlokk 2 1196 40.23% Santa Lucia 2 1185 37.05% 22.73%
6 2022-11-12 59.3 @ Birkirkara 1 1419 34.34% Gzira United 1 1450 42.97% 22.69%
7 2022-11-05 59.2 @ Hibernians 1 1445 42.34% Birkirkara 1 1418 34.96% 22.70%
8 2023-02-19 59.0 @ Hamrun Spartans 0 1532 47.77% Birkirkara 0 1465 29.68% 22.55%
9 2023-02-05 58.9 @ Valletta 1 1398 30.84% Birkirkara 1 1455 46.56% 22.60%
10 2023-04-21 58.9 @ Balzan 2 1342 17.66% Birkirkara 1 1525 60.94% 21.41%
11 2022-11-27 58.8 @ Zebbug Rangers 4 1093 6.02% Hamrun Spartans 2 1500 76.91% 17.07%
12 2023-02-18 58.8 @ Floriana 1 1348 20.94% Gzira United 1 1493 57.18% 21.88%
13 2023-03-11 58.2 @ Mosta 1 1358 25.29% Birkirkara 1 1462 52.42% 22.29%
14 2022-10-08 58.0 @ Gudja United 1 1353 24.95% Birkirkara 1 1460 52.78% 22.27%
15 2023-04-15 57.8 @ Santa Lucia 1 1113 4.49% Hamrun Spartans 1 1581 79.83% 15.68%
16 2023-03-05 56.9 Valletta 2 1389 25.56% @ Gzira United 1 1491 52.12% 22.32%
17 2022-10-15 56.6 @ Birkirkara 0 1457 36.01% Hamrun Spartans 0 1476 41.27% 22.72%
18 2023-01-07 56.6 @ Gzira United 1 1441 57.24% Gudja United 1 1294 20.89% 21.87%
19 2022-08-21 56.3 @ Valletta 1 1311 25.60% Hibernians 1 1412 52.08% 22.32%
20 2023-03-05 56.2 @ Birkirkara 1 1467 67.88% Marsaxlokk 1 1203 12.03% 20.09%
21 2022-10-30 56.1 @ Marsaxlokk 1 1236 15.35% Hibernians 1 1448 63.69% 20.97%
22 2023-04-10 55.8 Balzan 3 1350 34.87% @ Mosta 2 1377 42.43% 22.70%
23 2023-01-08 55.5 @ Valletta 1 1405 72.63% Pieta Hotspurs 1 1072 8.65% 18.72%
24 2022-10-08 55.3 @ Floriana 1 1362 49.74% Mosta 1 1280 27.81% 22.46%
25 2022-12-03 55.3 @ Floriana 1 1393 59.44% Marsaxlokk 1 1225 18.95% 21.61%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2023-04-10 25.2 @ Hamrun Spartans 4 1575 80.22% Zebbug Rangers 0 1099 4.30% 15.47%
2 2023-04-21 25.6 @ Gzira United 4 1449 75.26% Zebbug Rangers 0 1072 6.98% 17.76%
3 2023-02-04 26.0 Gzira United 6 1476 77.62% @ Pieta Hotspurs 0 1055 5.63% 16.75%
4 2023-01-07 27.1 @ Birkirkara 5 1419 71.62% Zebbug Rangers 0 1102 9.33% 19.05%
5 2022-10-02 27.5 @ Gzira United 4 1398 68.95% Pieta Hotspurs 0 1120 11.23% 19.82%
6 2023-04-15 27.9 Mosta 5 1364 68.40% @ Zebbug Rangers 0 1093 11.64% 19.96%
7 2023-01-28 28.3 @ Mosta 4 1305 65.18% Pieta Hotspurs 0 1075 14.14% 20.68%
8 2022-12-11 29.1 Gzira United 2 1429 71.38% @ Zebbug Rangers 0 1116 9.49% 19.13%
9 2022-11-06 29.5 @ Valletta 3 1314 62.82% Zebbug Rangers 0 1111 16.06% 21.12%
10 2023-01-28 29.6 @ Birkirkara 2 1447 70.52% Santa Lucia 0 1147 10.10% 19.39%
11 2023-01-22 29.7 Gzira United 3 1438 65.41% @ Marsaxlokk 0 1205 13.95% 20.64%
12 2022-12-04 30.0 @ Hamrun Spartans 2 1464 70.18% Santa Lucia 0 1169 10.34% 19.48%
13 2023-04-22 30.0 @ Hamrun Spartans 2 1574 75.77% Gudja United 0 1188 6.68% 17.55%
14 2023-02-11 30.1 Hibernians 2 1373 67.38% @ Zebbug Rangers 0 1116 12.41% 20.21%
15 2022-09-04 30.2 @ Hamrun Spartans 2 1418 68.19% Pieta Hotspurs 0 1150 11.80% 20.01%
16 2022-12-04 30.4 Birkirkara 5 1420 72.02% @ Pieta Hotspurs 1 1096 9.05% 18.92%
17 2022-09-11 30.5 Birkirkara 4 1406 60.92% @ Santa Lucia 0 1223 17.67% 21.41%
18 2023-04-02 30.5 Floriana 2 1335 65.53% @ Santa Lucia 0 1100 13.86% 20.61%
19 2023-04-01 31.0 Valletta 5 1405 70.04% @ Zebbug Rangers 1 1111 10.43% 19.52%
20 2022-12-04 31.9 @ Mosta 2 1311 60.86% Zebbug Rangers 0 1129 17.72% 21.42%
21 2022-10-09 32.3 Gzira United 3 1415 57.92% @ Sirens 0 1262 20.28% 21.80%
22 2023-02-04 32.4 @ Gudja United 3 1245 52.66% Santa Lucia 0 1139 25.06% 22.28%
23 2023-01-29 32.5 @ Hamrun Spartans 3 1497 63.03% Sirens 0 1291 15.89% 21.08%
24 2022-10-07 32.6 @ Hibernians 1 1430 70.26% Zebbug Rangers 0 1134 10.28% 19.46%
25 2022-12-15 33.0 Gzira United 1 1436 69.28% @ Santa Lucia 0 1154 10.99% 19.73%