2016-17 Divizia Nationala Season

165 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

Dacia Chisinau

69 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

FC Zaria

10.63 points above expected

65 points · 54.37 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Dinamo-Auto

13.44 points below expected

23 points · 36.44 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Dacia Chisinau	30	22	3	5	69	54	15	+39	63.97	+5.03
2	Sheriff Tiraspol	30	22	3	5	69	71	15	+56	70.09	-1.09
3	Milsami Orhei	30	22	2	6	68	57	20	+37	60.20	+7.80
4	FC Zaria	30	20	5	5	65	56	21	+35	54.37	+10.63
5	Zimbru	30	13	7	10	46	32	29	+3	48.71	-2.71
6	Petrocub Hincesti	30	8	10	12	34	31	38	-7	30.26	+3.74
7	Speranta Nisporeni	30	7	8	15	29	24	35	-11	33.65	-4.65
8	Academia Chisinau	30	8	3	19	27	21	52	-31	27.59	-0.59
9	Dinamo-Auto	30	5	8	17	23	31	58	-27	36.44	-13.44
10	Saxan	30	5	4	21	19	23	57	-34	22.41	-3.41
11	Ungheni	30	4	5	21	17	19	79	-60	20.41	-3.41

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	FC Zaria	65	54.37	+10.63
2	Milsami Orhei	68	60.20	+7.80
3	Dacia Chisinau	69	63.97	+5.03
4	Petrocub Hincesti	34	30.26	+3.74
5	Academia Chisinau	27	27.59	-0.59

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Dinamo-Auto	23	36.44	-13.44
2	Speranta Nisporeni	29	33.65	-4.65
3	Saxan	19	22.41	-3.41
4	Ungheni	17	20.41	-3.41
5	Zimbru	46	48.71	-2.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FC Zaria	9	Nov 4 – Mar 4	1 in 279
2	Speranta Nisporeni	4	Sep 30 – Oct 29	1 in 90
3	Dacia Chisinau	8	Apr 1 – May 21	1 in 37
4	Zimbru	4	Jul 25 – Aug 14	1 in 34
5	Petrocub Hincesti	3	Aug 5 – Aug 21	1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dinamo-Auto	4	Jul 30 – Aug 27	1 in 78
2	Ungheni	7	Oct 1 – Nov 25	1 in 16
3	Dacia Chisinau	2	Jul 25 – Aug 6	1 in 14
4	Speranta Nisporeni	5	Aug 14 – Sep 25	1 in 12
5	Academia Chisinau	4	Jul 30 – Aug 20	1 in 11

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	FC Zaria	11	Oct 21 – Mar 4	1 in 59
2	Petrocub Hincesti	5	Mar 16 – Apr 9	1 in 27
3	Milsami Orhei	12	Sep 16 – Dec 9	1 in 20
4	Speranta Nisporeni	5	Sep 30 – Nov 9	1 in 17
5	Ungheni	3	Aug 27 – Sep 25	1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Speranta Nisporeni	9	Nov 9 – Mar 20	1 in 35
2	Petrocub Hincesti	9	Nov 25 – Mar 20	1 in 19
3	Academia Chisinau	7	Feb 28 – Apr 9	1 in 17
4	Dacia Chisinau	3	Nov 30 – Dec 10	1 in 14
5	FC Zaria	3	Oct 16 – Oct 30	1 in 12

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team	Elo	Season Pts	Elo Δ (5)	Points (5)	Expected (5)	Actual − Exp
Dacia Chisinau	1608	69	+17	15	12.5	+2.5
Sheriff Tiraspol	1657	69	+10	13	12.9	+0.1
Milsami Orhei	1525	68	+30	15	11.2	+3.8
FC Zaria	1486	65	-16	8	10.8	-2.8
Zimbru	1355	46	+6	6	8.2	-2.2
Petrocub Hincesti	1240	34	-9	2	4.0	-2.0
Speranta Nisporeni	1244	29	-3	3	4.2	-1.2
Academia Chisinau	1151	27	-2	5	3.3	+1.7
Dinamo-Auto	1234	23	-5	2	2.9	-0.9
Saxan	1121	19	+20	4	2.9	+1.1
Ungheni	1043	17	-34	1	2.9	-1.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AC	DC	DIN	FZ	MO	PH	SAX	ST	SN	UNG	ZIM
Academia Chisinau	—	0-0-3 1.23	0-1-2 3.64	0-0-3 1.77	0-0-3 1.40	2-1-0 4.07	1-0-2 5.14	1-0-2 0.85	2-1-0 3.24	2-0-1 5.22	0-0-3 2.18
Dacia Chisinau	3-0-0 7.31	—	3-0-0 7.03	1-0-2 5.49	0-2-1 4.59	2-1-0 7.25	3-0-0 7.69	2-0-1 2.96	3-0-0 6.99	3-0-0 7.77	2-0-1 6.26
Dinamo-Auto	2-1-0 4.80	0-0-3 1.49	—	0-0-3 2.51	0-0-3 1.80	0-1-2 5.68	3-0-0 5.93	0-1-2 1.46	0-1-2 4.87	0-2-1 6.06	0-2-1 3.08
FC Zaria	3-0-0 6.73	2-0-1 2.97	3-0-0 5.97	—	1-0-2 3.50	1-2-0 6.71	2-1-0 7.14	1-1-1 2.29	1-1-1 6.61	3-0-0 7.36	3-0-0 4.96
Milsami Orhei	3-0-0 7.13	1-2-0 3.85	3-0-0 6.69	2-0-1 4.95	—	2-0-1 6.99	3-0-0 7.48	1-0-2 2.93	3-0-0 6.86	3-0-0 7.62	1-0-2 5.50
Petrocub Hincesti	0-1-2 4.37	0-1-2 1.29	2-1-0 2.78	0-2-1 1.79	1-0-2 1.52	—	2-0-1 5.45	0-1-2 1.01	0-2-1 3.87	3-0-0 5.03	0-2-1 2.53
Saxan	2-0-1 3.31	0-0-3 0.90	0-0-3 2.53	0-1-2 1.38	0-0-3 1.08	1-0-2 3.00	—	0-0-3 0.71	0-1-2 2.76	1-1-1 4.52	1-1-1 1.52
Sheriff Tiraspol	2-0-1 7.75	1-0-2 5.50	2-1-0 7.07	1-1-1 6.19	2-0-1 5.53	2-1-0 7.56	3-0-0 7.91	—	3-0-0 7.53	3-0-0 7.88	3-0-0 6.51
Speranta Nisporeni	0-1-2 5.21	0-0-3 1.52	2-1-0 3.58	1-1-1 1.88	0-0-3 1.65	1-2-0 4.58	2-1-0 5.70	0-0-3 1.04	—	1-1-1 5.92	0-1-2 2.60
Ungheni	1-0-2 3.24	0-0-3 0.83	1-2-0 2.41	0-0-3 1.19	0-0-3 0.96	0-0-3 3.42	1-1-1 3.93	0-0-3 0.74	1-1-1 2.56	—	0-1-2 1.74
Zimbru	3-0-0 6.30	1-0-2 2.21	1-2-0 5.38	0-0-3 3.49	2-0-1 2.96	1-2-0 5.94	1-1-1 7.00	0-0-3 1.98	2-1-0 5.87	2-1-0 6.76	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.89	+11.3
Allowed	0.84	-9.4
Differential	0.94	+5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.88%	11.21%	8.18%	4.55%	3.33%	2.12%	37.27%
1	11.21%	6.06%	5.45%	2.12%	2.73%	0.61%	28.18%
2	8.18%	5.45%	3.64%	0.91%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	2.12%	0.91%	—	—	—	7.58%
4	3.33%	2.73%	—	—	—	—	6.06%
5+	2.12%	0.61%	—	—	—	—	2.73%
Total	37.27%	28.18%	18.18%	7.58%	6.06%	2.73%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.27	+0.00
SD	1.40	1.40	2.29
CV	1.10	1.10	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 165

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	20.00%	16.67%	—	13.33%	3.33%	60.00%
1	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
2	—	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	40.00%	20.00%	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.70	1.73	-1.03
SD	1.06	1.48	2.03
CV	1.51	0.86	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	13.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	20.00%
4	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	56.67%	36.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.80	0.50	+1.30
SD	1.32	0.63	1.51
CV	0.74	1.26	—
Max	4	2	+4
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	30.00%
1	3.33%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	16.67%	—	43.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	30.00%	16.67%	16.67%	20.00%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.93	-0.90
SD	0.89	1.41	1.75
CV	0.86	0.73	—
Max	3	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	13.33%	—	—	—	26.67%
1	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
2	10.00%	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	30.00%
3	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	50.00%	30.00%	20.00%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.87	0.70	+1.17
SD	1.59	0.79	1.98
CV	0.85	1.13	—
Max	6	2	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	3.33%	16.67%
1	16.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	26.67%
2	26.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	30.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	63.33%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.90	0.67	+1.23
SD	1.42	1.15	2.13
CV	0.75	1.73	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	10.00%	10.00%	—	6.67%	3.33%	46.67%
1	6.67%	10.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	30.00%	26.67%	—	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.27	-0.23
SD	1.33	1.31	2.11
CV	1.28	1.04	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	16.67%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	50.00%
1	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	30.00%
2	3.33%	—	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	20.00%	33.33%	16.67%	3.33%	6.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.77	1.90	-1.13
SD	0.94	1.58	1.94
CV	1.22	0.83	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
1	16.67%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	26.67%
2	16.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
3	10.00%	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%
4	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	10.00%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	66.67%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.37	0.50	+1.87
SD	2.06	0.82	2.33
CV	0.87	1.64	—
Max	7	3	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	23.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	56.67%
1	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	23.33%
2	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	40.00%	20.00%	3.33%	6.67%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.80	1.17	-0.37
SD	1.19	1.12	1.69
CV	1.48	0.96	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.33%	—	10.00%	20.00%	10.00%	13.33%	56.67%
1	6.67%	3.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	—	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	—	13.33%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.33%	6.67%	33.33%	20.00%	13.33%	13.33%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.63	2.63	-2.00
SD	0.85	1.73	2.30
CV	1.34	0.66	—
Max	3	7	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	10.00%	—	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	16.67%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	40.00%
2	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	43.33%	36.67%	3.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.07	0.97	+0.10
SD	1.08	1.16	1.88
CV	1.01	1.20	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 30

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Sheriff Tiraspol	1678	69	70.09	-1.09	45.0%	56	58	67	71	75	78	80
Dacia Chisinau	1587	69	63.97	+5.03	81.0%	46	50	61	64	68	74	79
Milsami Orhei	1525	68	60.20	+7.80	93.0%	44	49	57	60	65	69	76
FC Zaria	1486	65	54.37	+10.63	96.0%	38	41	50	54	58	65	70
Zimbru	1355	46	48.71	-2.71	37.0%	32	36	44	49	53	60	67
Speranta Nisporeni	1244	29	33.65	-4.65	24.0%	22	23	30	33	38	44	47
Petrocub Hincesti	1240	34	30.26	+3.74	75.0%	17	20	27	31	34	39	41
Dinamo-Auto	1234	23	36.44	-13.44	1.0%	21	27	33	37	41	46	50
Academia Chisinau	1151	27	27.59	-0.59	48.0%	14	17	23	28	31	38	42
Saxan	1121	19	22.41	-3.41	34.0%	10	12	18	23	26	31	42
Ungheni	1043	17	20.41	-3.41	27.0%	9	12	17	20	24	29	37

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 10.5% * Clear Edge: 10.5% to 16% * Strong Edge: 16% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+10.91%

Clear Edge

46.67%17.58%35.76%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 38.05 Elo pts.

176 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.42 goals

Neutral

-2+0.22+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.37 * Comfortable: 0.37 to 0.52 * Runaway: 0.52 and up.

Title-Race Openness

1.8

One-Team Race

123410

Champion Preseason Odds

21%

Dacia Chisinau, 2nd of 11

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.00/gm

Photo Finish

00.220.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.96 * Some Luck: 4.96 to 7.44 * Lucky: 7.44 to 9.91 * Wild Swing: 9.91 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.65 * Close: 0.65 to 0.98 * Off: 0.98 to 1.31 * Way Off: 1.31 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.38 points

Some Luck

06.2015

Average Finish Error

Expected

0.73

00.822

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.45%

96.00%

FC Zaria

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.55%

1.00%

Dinamo-Auto

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 11

Minimal Outliers

01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.23 * Even: 0.23 to 0.26 * Top-Heavy: 0.26 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully: Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.7 * Strong Separation: 2.7 to 2.95 * Wide Separation: 2.95 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 81% * Clear Edge: 81% to 85.5% * Wide Edge: 85.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17% * Occasional: 17% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.

Gini Index

0.27

Top-Heavy

00.230.5

Noll-Scully

Elo SD: 207.21

2.86

Strong Separation

12.52.953.75

Interquartile Edge

86%

Wide Edge

50%72.5%81%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 98%

97%

Clear Edge

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

53%

Few

0%48%100%

Blowouts

Expected

27%

Very Frequent

0%28%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.47 * Slight Separation: 0.47 to 0.52 * Notable Separation: 0.52 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.75 * Strong Carryover: 0.75 to 0.84 * Near-Lock: 0.84 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 11.5% * As Expected: 11.5% to 13.5% * Shaky Favorites: 13.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.47

Highly Predictable

00.502

Matchup Imbalance

0.54

Notable Separation

00.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.10

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.85

Near-Lock

00.570.751

Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Upset-Prone

0%19%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

15%

Shaky Favorites

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.39

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.09

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.037

Well Within Noise

00.1160.3

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The sections below show matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Sheriff Tiraspol 3

Dacia Chisinau 0

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11
Dacia Chisinau	21.00%	45.00%	21.00%	9.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sheriff Tiraspol	70.00%	19.00%	10.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Milsami Orhei	8.00%	21.00%	42.00%	21.00%	8.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—
FC Zaria	1.00%	11.00%	23.00%	44.00%	17.00%	3.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Zimbru	—	4.00%	4.00%	25.00%	55.00%	9.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—
Petrocub Hincesti	—	—	—	—	2.00%	11.00%	23.00%	29.00%	17.00%	15.00%	3.00%
Speranta Nisporeni	—	—	—	—	7.00%	24.00%	29.00%	23.00%	12.00%	4.00%	1.00%
Academia Chisinau	—	—	—	—	—	10.00%	12.00%	18.00%	30.00%	15.00%	15.00%
Dinamo-Auto	—	—	—	—	7.00%	41.00%	29.00%	16.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Saxan	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	9.00%	21.00%	35.00%	31.00%
Ungheni	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	15.00%	30.00%	49.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Dacia Chisinau	100%	—
FC Zaria	100%	—
Milsami Orhei	100%	—
Sheriff Tiraspol	100%	—
Zimbru	100%	—
Dinamo-Auto	98.00%	2.00%
Speranta Nisporeni	95.00%	5.00%
Petrocub Hincesti	82.00%	18.00%
Academia Chisinau	70.00%	30.00%
Saxan	34.00%	66.00%
Ungheni	21.00%	79.00%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Points
2016-07-23	FC Zaria	L 1-2	66.6	1618	1380	71.37%	16.41%	12.22%	+1.56	-15.9	0
2016-07-23	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	W 2-1	66.6	1380	1618	12.22%	16.41%	71.37%	-1.56	+15.9	3
2016-07-23	Dinamo-Auto	D 0-0	52.0	1234	1369	28.14%	18.26%	53.60%	-0.55	+1.6	1
2016-07-23	@ Speranta Nisporeni	D 0-0	52.0	1369	1234	53.60%	18.26%	28.14%	+0.55	-1.6	1
2016-07-23	Saxan	W 2-0	30.0	1456	1136	76.69%	15.14%	8.17%	+2.03	+4.3	3
2016-07-23	@ Milsami Orhei	L 0-2	30.0	1136	1456	8.17%	15.14%	76.69%	-2.03	-4.3	0
2016-07-24	Ungheni	W 4-1	39.9	1218	1172	52.46%	18.31%	29.23%	+0.48	+17.7	3
2016-07-24	@ Academia Chisinau	L 1-4	39.9	1172	1218	29.23%	18.31%	52.46%	-0.48	-17.7	0
2016-07-25	Zimbru	L 0-1	55.4	1526	1386	62.98%	17.60%	19.42%	+1.01	-14.9	0
2016-07-25	@ Dacia Chisinau	W 1-0	55.4	1386	1526	19.42%	17.60%	62.98%	-1.01	+15.0	3
2016-07-30	Academia Chisinau	W 1-0	45.0	1132	1236	31.91%	18.41%	49.69%	-0.38	+12.0	3
2016-07-30	@ Saxan	L 0-1	45.0	1236	1132	49.69%	18.41%	31.91%	+0.38	-12.0	3
2016-07-30	Petrocub Hincesti	D 0-0	52.3	1396	1170	70.53%	16.56%	12.90%	+1.50	-3.8	4
2016-07-30	@ FC Zaria	D 0-0	52.3	1170	1396	12.90%	16.56%	70.53%	-1.50	+3.8	1
2016-07-30	Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-1	44.0	1368	1602	18.13%	17.45%	64.42%	-1.11	-5.0	1
2016-07-30	@ Dinamo-Auto	W 1-0	44.0	1602	1368	64.42%	17.45%	18.13%	+1.11	+5.0	3
2016-07-31	Milsami Orhei	W 1-0	48.2	1401	1460	37.98%	18.52%	43.50%	-0.12	+10.7	6
2016-07-31	@ Zimbru	L 0-1	48.2	1460	1401	43.50%	18.52%	37.98%	+0.12	-10.7	3
2016-07-31	Speranta Nisporeni	D 0-0	51.2	1154	1236	34.97%	18.48%	46.55%	-0.24	+0.7	1
2016-07-31	@ Ungheni	D 0-0	51.2	1236	1154	46.55%	18.48%	34.97%	+0.24	-0.7	2
2016-08-05	Dinamo-Auto	W 3-1	52.0	1173	1363	22.25%	17.88%	59.87%	-0.86	+23.3	4
2016-08-05	@ Petrocub Hincesti	L 1-3	52.0	1363	1173	59.87%	17.88%	22.25%	+0.86	-23.3	1
2016-08-05	Saxan	W 2-1	43.1	1235	1144	57.88%	18.02%	24.10%	+0.73	+6.1	5
2016-08-05	@ Speranta Nisporeni	L 1-2	43.1	1144	1235	24.10%	18.02%	57.88%	-0.73	-6.1	3
2016-08-06	Dacia Chisinau	W 1-0	51.6	1450	1511	37.73%	18.52%	43.75%	-0.13	+10.8	6
2016-08-06	@ Milsami Orhei	L 0-1	51.6	1511	1450	43.75%	18.52%	37.73%	+0.13	-10.8	0
2016-08-06	Ungheni	W 7-0	27.6	1607	1155	82.95%	12.84%	4.21%	+2.78	+6.8	6
2016-08-06	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-7	27.6	1155	1607	4.21%	12.84%	82.95%	-2.78	-6.8	1
2016-08-06	Zimbru	L 0-2	35.4	1224	1412	22.45%	17.90%	59.66%	-0.85	-11.4	3
2016-08-06	@ Academia Chisinau	W 2-0	35.4	1412	1224	59.66%	17.90%	22.45%	+0.85	+11.5	9
2016-08-13	Academia Chisinau	W 2-0	31.8	1500	1213	74.72%	15.67%	9.61%	+1.84	+5.0	3
2016-08-13	@ Dacia Chisinau	L 0-2	31.8	1213	1500	9.61%	15.67%	74.72%	-1.84	-5.0	3
2016-08-13	Petrocub Hincesti	L 0-2	39.7	1148	1197	39.53%	18.53%	41.95%	-0.06	-18.6	1
2016-08-13	@ Ungheni	W 2-0	39.7	1197	1148	41.95%	18.53%	39.53%	+0.06	+18.6	7
2016-08-14	FC Zaria	L 1-3	47.6	1340	1392	38.90%	18.52%	42.58%	-0.08	-15.9	1
2016-08-14	@ Dinamo-Auto	W 3-1	47.6	1392	1340	42.58%	18.52%	38.90%	+0.08	+15.9	7
2016-08-14	Saxan	W 3-0	27.9	1614	1137	83.89%	12.40%	3.71%	+2.92	+2.7	9
2016-08-14	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-3	27.9	1137	1614	3.71%	12.40%	83.89%	-2.92	-2.7	3
2016-08-14	Speranta Nisporeni	W 2-0	33.5	1423	1241	66.90%	17.14%	15.96%	+1.25	+8.3	12
2016-08-14	@ Zimbru	L 0-2	33.5	1241	1423	15.96%	17.14%	66.90%	-1.25	-8.3	5
2016-08-20	Dacia Chisinau	L 1-2	42.4	1233	1505	15.20%	17.01%	67.79%	-1.33	-4.0	5
2016-08-20	@ Speranta Nisporeni	W 2-1	42.4	1505	1233	67.79%	17.01%	15.20%	+1.33	+4.0	6
2016-08-20	Milsami Orhei	L 0-4	31.2	1208	1460	16.66%	17.24%	66.10%	-1.22	-16.5	3
2016-08-20	@ Academia Chisinau	W 4-0	31.2	1460	1208	66.10%	17.24%	16.66%	+1.22	+16.5	9
2016-08-20	Zimbru	W 3-0	42.0	1617	1431	67.21%	17.09%	15.70%	+1.27	+11.9	12
2016-08-20	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-3	42.0	1431	1617	15.70%	17.09%	67.21%	-1.27	-11.9	12
2016-08-21	Saxan	W 2-1	43.5	1215	1135	56.63%	18.10%	25.27%	+0.67	+6.4	10
2016-08-21	@ Petrocub Hincesti	L 1-2	43.5	1135	1215	25.27%	18.10%	56.63%	-0.67	-6.4	3
2016-08-21	Ungheni	W 3-0	28.7	1408	1130	74.18%	15.80%	10.02%	+1.80	+7.6	10
2016-08-21	@ FC Zaria	L 0-3	28.7	1130	1408	10.02%	15.80%	74.18%	-1.80	-7.6	1
2016-08-27	Dinamo-Auto	W 2-1	54.3	1122	1324	21.06%	17.77%	61.16%	-0.93	+13.7	4
2016-08-27	@ Ungheni	L 1-2	54.3	1324	1122	61.16%	17.77%	21.06%	+0.93	-13.7	1
2016-09-10	Dacia Chisinau	L 0-4	31.2	1222	1509	14.15%	16.82%	69.03%	-1.41	-14.1	10
2016-09-10	@ Petrocub Hincesti	W 4-0	31.2	1509	1222	69.03%	16.82%	14.15%	+1.41	+14.1	9
2016-09-10	Milsami Orhei	W 2-0	46.6	1629	1477	64.17%	17.47%	18.35%	+1.08	+9.5	15
2016-09-10	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-2	46.6	1477	1629	18.35%	17.47%	64.17%	-1.08	-9.5	9
2016-09-10	Saxan	W 1-0	34.6	1310	1128	66.88%	17.14%	15.98%	+1.25	+4.4	4
2016-09-10	@ Dinamo-Auto	L 0-1	34.6	1128	1310	15.98%	17.14%	66.88%	-1.25	-4.4	3
2016-09-11	Academia Chisinau	L 0-1	45.6	1229	1191	51.37%	18.35%	30.28%	+0.43	-12.4	5
2016-09-11	@ Speranta Nisporeni	W 1-0	45.6	1191	1229	30.28%	18.35%	51.37%	-0.43	+12.4	6
2016-09-11	Zimbru	W 3-0	41.1	1416	1419	45.89%	18.49%	35.62%	+0.20	+24.9	13
2016-09-11	@ FC Zaria	L 0-3	41.1	1419	1416	35.62%	18.49%	45.89%	-0.20	-24.8	12
2016-09-16	Petrocub Hincesti	W 5-0	29.1	1467	1208	72.91%	16.09%	11.00%	+1.69	+13.5	12
2016-09-16	@ Milsami Orhei	L 0-5	29.1	1208	1467	11.00%	16.09%	72.91%	-1.69	-13.5	10
2016-09-16	Ungheni	D 2-2	61.9	1124	1136	44.73%	18.51%	36.77%	+0.15	-0.3	4
2016-09-16	@ Saxan	D 2-2	61.9	1136	1124	36.77%	18.51%	44.73%	-0.15	+0.3	5
2016-09-17	FC Zaria	L 1-2	61.4	1523	1441	56.80%	18.09%	25.11%	+0.68	-12.8	9
2016-09-17	@ Dacia Chisinau	W 2-1	61.4	1441	1523	25.11%	18.09%	56.80%	-0.68	+12.8	16
2016-09-17	Dinamo-Auto	W 1-0	39.5	1395	1314	56.58%	18.11%	25.32%	+0.67	+6.8	15
2016-09-17	@ Zimbru	L 0-1	39.5	1314	1395	25.32%	18.11%	56.58%	-0.67	-6.8	4
2016-09-17	Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-1	35.5	1204	1638	6.87%	14.56%	78.56%	-2.25	-1.9	6
2016-09-17	@ Academia Chisinau	W 1-0	35.5	1638	1204	78.56%	14.56%	6.87%	+2.25	+1.9	18
2016-09-21	Petrocub Hincesti	D 0-0	52.4	1401	1194	69.02%	16.82%	14.16%	+1.39	-3.6	16
2016-09-21	@ Zimbru	D 0-0	52.4	1194	1401	14.16%	16.82%	69.02%	-1.39	+3.6	11
2016-09-21	Sheriff Tiraspol	W 3-0	56.9	1510	1640	28.78%	18.29%	52.93%	-0.52	+34.8	12
2016-09-21	@ Dacia Chisinau	L 0-3	56.9	1640	1510	52.93%	18.29%	28.78%	+0.52	-34.8	18
2016-09-21	Speranta Nisporeni	W 4-0	29.4	1481	1216	73.23%	16.02%	10.75%	+1.71	+10.7	15
2016-09-21	@ Milsami Orhei	L 0-4	29.4	1216	1481	10.75%	16.02%	73.23%	-1.71	-10.7	5
2016-09-25	Academia Chisinau	L 0-1	43.9	1198	1202	45.82%	18.49%	35.69%	+0.19	-11.2	11
2016-09-25	@ Petrocub Hincesti	W 1-0	43.9	1202	1198	35.69%	18.49%	45.82%	-0.19	+11.2	9
2016-09-25	Dacia Chisinau	L 0-3	36.0	1308	1545	17.89%	17.41%	64.70%	-1.13	-13.5	4
2016-09-25	@ Dinamo-Auto	W 3-0	36.0	1545	1308	64.70%	17.41%	17.89%	+1.13	+13.5	15
2016-09-25	Milsami Orhei	L 0-2	48.0	1454	1492	41.04%	18.53%	40.43%	+0.00	-19.2	16
2016-09-25	@ FC Zaria	W 2-0	48.0	1492	1454	40.43%	18.53%	41.04%	+0.00	+19.2	18
2016-09-25	Speranta Nisporeni	W 2-0	31.8	1605	1206	80.73%	13.78%	5.49%	+2.48	+2.8	21
2016-09-25	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-2	31.8	1206	1605	5.49%	13.78%	80.73%	-2.48	-2.8	5
2016-09-25	Zimbru	D 1-1	56.9	1136	1398	15.96%	17.14%	66.90%	-1.27	+3.0	6
2016-09-25	@ Ungheni	D 1-1	56.9	1398	1136	66.90%	17.14%	15.96%	+1.27	-3.0	17
2016-09-30	FC Zaria	L 0-2	34.5	1213	1434	19.23%	17.58%	63.19%	-1.04	-9.9	9
2016-09-30	@ Academia Chisinau	W 2-0	34.5	1434	1213	63.19%	17.58%	19.23%	+1.04	+9.9	19
2016-09-30	Dinamo-Auto	W 4-1	38.2	1511	1294	69.76%	16.70%	13.54%	+1.44	+8.7	21
2016-09-30	@ Milsami Orhei	L 1-4	38.2	1294	1511	13.54%	16.70%	69.76%	-1.44	-8.7	4
2016-09-30	Petrocub Hincesti	W 1-0	40.0	1203	1187	48.58%	18.44%	32.98%	+0.31	+8.5	8
2016-09-30	@ Speranta Nisporeni	L 0-1	40.0	1187	1203	32.98%	18.44%	48.58%	-0.31	-8.5	11
2016-10-01	Saxan	W 2-0	30.5	1395	1124	73.69%	15.92%	10.39%	+1.75	+5.5	20
2016-10-01	@ Zimbru	L 0-2	30.5	1124	1395	10.39%	15.92%	73.69%	-1.75	-5.5	4
2016-10-01	Ungheni	W 3-0	27.8	1559	1139	81.60%	13.43%	4.97%	+2.59	+3.7	18
2016-10-01	@ Dacia Chisinau	L 0-3	27.8	1139	1559	4.97%	13.43%	81.60%	-2.59	-3.7	6
2016-10-15	Academia Chisinau	W 3-1	41.4	1285	1203	56.86%	18.09%	25.06%	+0.68	+10.9	7
2016-10-15	@ Dinamo-Auto	L 1-3	41.4	1203	1285	25.06%	18.09%	56.86%	-0.68	-10.9	9
2016-10-15	Dacia Chisinau	L 0-2	30.1	1118	1562	6.56%	14.40%	79.04%	-2.30	-3.4	4
2016-10-15	@ Saxan	W 2-0	30.1	1562	1118	79.04%	14.40%	6.56%	+2.30	+3.4	21
2016-10-16	Sheriff Tiraspol	D 0-0	55.5	1178	1608	7.03%	14.64%	78.33%	-2.22	+4.7	12
2016-10-16	@ Petrocub Hincesti	D 0-0	55.5	1608	1178	78.33%	14.64%	7.03%	+2.22	-4.7	22
2016-10-16	Speranta Nisporeni	L 0-2	49.8	1444	1211	71.01%	16.47%	12.51%	+1.54	-31.6	19
2016-10-16	@ FC Zaria	W 2-0	49.8	1211	1444	12.51%	16.47%	71.01%	-1.54	+31.6	11
2016-10-16	Ungheni	W 4-0	26.9	1519	1135	80.01%	14.05%	5.94%	+2.39	+5.8	24
2016-10-16	@ Milsami Orhei	L 0-4	26.9	1135	1519	5.94%	14.05%	80.01%	-2.39	-5.8	6
2016-10-21	Academia Chisinau	L 1-2	47.2	1130	1192	37.55%	18.51%	43.93%	-0.14	-8.9	6
2016-10-21	@ Ungheni	W 2-1	47.2	1192	1130	43.93%	18.51%	37.55%	+0.14	+8.9	12
2016-10-21	Dacia Chisinau	L 0-1	46.0	1400	1566	24.75%	18.07%	57.18%	-0.72	-6.6	20
2016-10-21	@ Zimbru	W 1-0	46.0	1566	1400	57.18%	18.07%	24.75%	+0.72	+6.6	24
2016-10-21	Milsami Orhei	L 0-1	32.5	1115	1525	7.76%	14.97%	77.27%	-2.11	-2.2	4
2016-10-21	@ Saxan	W 1-0	32.5	1525	1115	77.27%	14.97%	7.76%	+2.11	+2.2	27
2016-10-21	Sheriff Tiraspol	D 0-0	61.8	1413	1603	22.13%	17.87%	60.01%	-0.87	+2.4	20
2016-10-21	@ FC Zaria	D 0-0	61.8	1603	1413	60.01%	17.87%	22.13%	+0.87	-2.4	23
2016-10-21	Speranta Nisporeni	L 1-4	47.5	1296	1243	53.35%	18.27%	28.38%	+0.52	-29.5	7
2016-10-21	@ Dinamo-Auto	W 4-1	47.5	1243	1296	28.38%	18.27%	53.35%	-0.52	+29.5	14
2016-10-29	Saxan	W 1-0	37.3	1201	1113	57.51%	18.05%	24.45%	+0.72	+6.6	15
2016-10-29	@ Academia Chisinau	L 0-1	37.3	1113	1201	24.45%	18.05%	57.51%	-0.72	-6.5	4
2016-10-29	Ungheni	W 3-0	31.3	1273	1121	64.18%	17.47%	18.35%	+1.08	+13.8	17
2016-10-29	@ Speranta Nisporeni	L 0-3	31.3	1121	1273	18.35%	17.47%	64.18%	-1.08	-13.8	6
2016-10-30	FC Zaria	D 2-2	63.1	1183	1415	18.31%	17.47%	64.23%	-1.10	+2.0	13
2016-10-30	@ Petrocub Hincesti	D 2-2	63.1	1415	1183	64.23%	17.47%	18.31%	+1.10	-2.0	21
2016-10-30	Dinamo-Auto	W 3-0	32.6	1601	1267	77.47%	14.91%	7.62%	+2.11	+5.8	26
2016-10-30	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-3	32.6	1267	1601	7.62%	14.91%	77.47%	-2.11	-5.8	7
2016-10-30	Zimbru	W 1-0	42.8	1527	1394	62.38%	17.66%	19.96%	+0.97	+5.4	30
2016-10-30	@ Milsami Orhei	L 0-1	42.8	1394	1527	19.96%	17.66%	62.38%	-0.97	-5.5	20
2016-11-04	FC Zaria	L 1-4	34.8	1106	1413	12.86%	16.55%	70.58%	-1.52	-8.3	4
2016-11-04	@ Saxan	W 4-1	34.8	1413	1106	70.58%	16.55%	12.86%	+1.52	+8.3	24
2016-11-04	Petrocub Hincesti	L 0-1	47.0	1261	1185	56.13%	18.13%	25.74%	+0.65	-13.4	7
2016-11-04	@ Dinamo-Auto	W 1-0	47.0	1185	1261	25.74%	18.13%	56.13%	-0.65	+13.4	16
2016-11-05	Academia Chisinau	W 2-0	33.0	1388	1207	66.81%	17.15%	16.04%	+1.24	+8.4	23
2016-11-05	@ Zimbru	L 0-2	33.0	1207	1388	16.04%	17.15%	66.81%	-1.24	-8.4	15
2016-11-05	Milsami Orhei	D 1-1	69.7	1572	1533	51.59%	18.34%	30.07%	+0.44	-1.2	25
2016-11-05	@ Dacia Chisinau	D 1-1	69.7	1533	1572	30.07%	18.34%	51.59%	-0.44	+1.2	31
2016-11-05	Sheriff Tiraspol	L 1-2	37.9	1107	1607	4.95%	13.42%	81.63%	-2.62	-1.3	6
2016-11-05	@ Ungheni	W 2-1	37.9	1607	1107	81.63%	13.42%	4.95%	+2.62	+1.3	29
2016-11-09	Speranta Nisporeni	D 2-2	62.3	1098	1286	22.33%	17.89%	59.78%	-0.85	+1.6	5
2016-11-09	@ Saxan	D 2-2	62.3	1286	1098	59.78%	17.89%	22.33%	+0.85	-1.6	18
2016-11-19	Dacia Chisinau	L 0-1	34.9	1199	1571	9.38%	15.59%	75.03%	-1.89	-2.6	15
2016-11-19	@ Academia Chisinau	W 1-0	34.9	1571	1199	75.03%	15.59%	9.38%	+1.89	+2.6	28
2016-11-19	Ungheni	W 5-0	32.1	1198	1105	58.00%	18.02%	23.98%	+0.74	+28.4	19
2016-11-19	@ Petrocub Hincesti	L 0-5	32.1	1105	1198	23.98%	18.02%	58.00%	-0.74	-28.4	6
2016-11-19	Zimbru	L 0-1	40.9	1285	1397	31.00%	18.38%	50.62%	-0.42	-8.1	18
2016-11-19	@ Speranta Nisporeni	W 1-0	40.9	1397	1285	50.62%	18.38%	31.00%	+0.42	+8.1	26
2016-11-20	Dinamo-Auto	W 2-1	42.0	1421	1248	66.18%	17.23%	16.58%	+1.20	+4.3	27
2016-11-20	@ FC Zaria	L 1-2	42.0	1248	1421	16.58%	17.23%	66.18%	-1.20	-4.3	7
2016-11-20	Sheriff Tiraspol	L 1-5	30.6	1099	1608	4.74%	13.26%	82.00%	-2.67	-3.8	5
2016-11-20	@ Saxan	W 5-1	30.6	1608	1099	82.00%	13.26%	4.74%	+2.67	+3.8	32
2016-11-25	Academia Chisinau	W 2-0	31.2	1534	1196	77.65%	14.85%	7.49%	+2.13	+3.9	34
2016-11-25	@ Milsami Orhei	L 0-2	31.2	1196	1534	7.49%	14.85%	77.65%	-2.13	-3.9	15
2016-11-25	FC Zaria	L 0-3	28.8	1077	1426	10.52%	15.95%	73.53%	-1.76	-8.0	6
2016-11-25	@ Ungheni	W 3-0	28.8	1426	1077	73.53%	15.95%	10.52%	+1.76	+8.0	30
2016-11-25	Petrocub Hincesti	W 2-0	43.6	1096	1227	28.64%	18.28%	53.07%	-0.53	+24.0	8
2016-11-25	@ Saxan	L 0-2	43.6	1227	1096	53.07%	18.28%	28.64%	+0.53	-24.0	19
2016-11-26	Sheriff Tiraspol	L 1-4	47.5	1405	1612	20.54%	17.72%	61.74%	-0.96	-12.9	26
2016-11-26	@ Zimbru	W 4-1	47.5	1612	1405	61.74%	17.72%	20.54%	+0.96	+12.9	35
2016-11-26	Speranta Nisporeni	W 1-0	36.7	1574	1277	75.32%	15.52%	9.16%	+1.90	+2.5	31
2016-11-26	@ Dacia Chisinau	L 0-1	36.7	1277	1574	9.16%	15.52%	75.32%	-1.90	-2.5	18
2016-11-29	Saxan	W 2-0	29.9	1434	1120	76.35%	15.24%	8.41%	+2.00	+4.4	33
2016-11-29	@ FC Zaria	L 0-2	29.9	1120	1434	8.41%	15.24%	76.35%	-2.00	-4.4	8
2016-11-29	Ungheni	D 2-2	62.4	1243	1069	66.23%	17.23%	16.54%	+1.20	-2.1	8
2016-11-29	@ Dinamo-Auto	D 2-2	62.4	1069	1243	16.54%	17.23%	66.23%	-1.20	+2.1	7
2016-11-30	Dacia Chisinau	W 1-0	54.9	1625	1576	52.76%	18.30%	28.94%	+0.49	+7.6	38
2016-11-30	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-1	54.9	1576	1625	28.94%	18.30%	52.76%	-0.49	-7.6	31
2016-11-30	Milsami Orhei	L 0-2	35.9	1274	1538	15.82%	17.11%	67.07%	-1.28	-8.3	18
2016-11-30	@ Speranta Nisporeni	W 2-0	35.9	1538	1274	67.07%	17.11%	15.82%	+1.28	+8.3	37
2016-11-30	Zimbru	L 1-2	43.3	1203	1392	22.27%	17.88%	59.84%	-0.86	-5.7	19
2016-11-30	@ Petrocub Hincesti	W 2-1	43.3	1392	1203	59.84%	17.88%	22.27%	+0.86	+5.7	29
2016-12-03	Dinamo-Auto	L 0-3	34.8	1115	1241	29.24%	18.31%	52.45%	-0.50	-21.0	8
2016-12-03	@ Saxan	W 3-0	34.8	1241	1115	52.45%	18.31%	29.24%	+0.50	+21.0	11
2016-12-04	FC Zaria	L 0-1	46.7	1397	1438	40.62%	18.53%	40.86%	-0.02	-10.1	29
2016-12-04	@ Zimbru	W 1-0	46.7	1438	1397	40.86%	18.53%	40.62%	+0.02	+10.1	36
2016-12-04	Petrocub Hincesti	D 1-1	60.1	1569	1197	79.41%	14.27%	6.32%	+2.32	-4.3	32
2016-12-04	@ Dacia Chisinau	D 1-1	60.1	1197	1569	6.32%	14.27%	79.41%	-2.32	+4.3	20
2016-12-04	Sheriff Tiraspol	W 2-1	65.9	1546	1632	34.30%	18.47%	47.23%	-0.27	+10.8	40
2016-12-04	@ Milsami Orhei	L 1-2	65.9	1632	1546	47.23%	18.47%	34.30%	+0.27	-10.8	38
2016-12-04	Speranta Nisporeni	W 3-1	47.6	1193	1266	36.03%	18.50%	45.47%	-0.20	+18.1	18
2016-12-04	@ Academia Chisinau	L 1-3	47.6	1266	1193	45.47%	18.50%	36.03%	+0.20	-18.1	18
2016-12-09	Milsami Orhei	L 0-2	32.7	1201	1557	10.16%	15.85%	74.00%	-1.80	-5.3	20
2016-12-09	@ Petrocub Hincesti	W 2-0	32.7	1557	1201	74.00%	15.85%	10.16%	+1.80	+5.3	43
2016-12-09	Saxan	W 3-0	37.5	1071	1094	43.16%	18.52%	38.32%	+0.09	+26.4	10
2016-12-09	@ Ungheni	L 0-3	37.5	1094	1071	38.32%	18.52%	43.16%	-0.09	-26.4	8
2016-12-10	Academia Chisinau	W 1-0	34.5	1622	1211	81.23%	13.58%	5.19%	+2.54	+1.4	41
2016-12-10	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-1	34.5	1211	1622	5.19%	13.58%	81.23%	-2.54	-1.4	18
2016-12-10	Dacia Chisinau	W 1-0	55.7	1448	1564	30.48%	18.36%	51.16%	-0.44	+12.3	39
2016-12-10	@ FC Zaria	L 0-1	55.7	1564	1448	51.16%	18.36%	30.48%	+0.44	-12.3	32
2016-12-10	Zimbru	D 1-1	57.3	1262	1387	29.36%	18.32%	52.33%	-0.49	+1.3	12
2016-12-10	@ Dinamo-Auto	D 1-1	57.3	1387	1262	52.33%	18.32%	29.36%	+0.49	-1.3	30
2017-02-24	FC Zaria	L 1-2	64.2	1562	1461	59.01%	17.94%	23.04%	+0.79	-13.2	43
2017-02-24	@ Milsami Orhei	W 2-1	64.2	1461	1562	23.04%	17.94%	59.01%	-0.79	+13.2	42
2017-02-24	Petrocub Hincesti	W 2-1	46.1	1209	1196	48.18%	18.44%	33.37%	+0.29	+8.1	21
2017-02-24	@ Academia Chisinau	L 1-2	46.1	1196	1209	33.37%	18.44%	48.18%	-0.29	-8.1	20
2017-02-24	Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-2	35.0	1248	1623	9.23%	15.54%	75.22%	-1.91	-4.8	18
2017-02-24	@ Speranta Nisporeni	W 2-0	35.0	1623	1248	75.22%	15.54%	9.23%	+1.91	+4.8	44
2017-02-25	Dinamo-Auto	W 4-1	37.0	1552	1263	74.80%	15.65%	9.55%	+1.85	+6.1	35
2017-02-25	@ Dacia Chisinau	L 1-4	37.0	1263	1552	9.55%	15.65%	74.80%	-1.85	-6.1	12
2017-02-25	Ungheni	W 4-0	27.5	1386	1098	74.80%	15.65%	9.55%	+1.85	+9.5	33
2017-02-25	@ Zimbru	L 0-4	27.5	1098	1386	9.55%	15.65%	74.80%	-1.85	-9.5	10
2017-02-28	Academia Chisinau	W 6-0	29.4	1474	1217	72.70%	16.14%	11.16%	+1.67	+16.3	45
2017-02-28	@ FC Zaria	L 0-6	29.4	1217	1474	11.16%	16.14%	72.70%	-1.67	-16.3	21
2017-02-28	Speranta Nisporeni	D 1-1	56.2	1188	1243	38.56%	18.52%	42.92%	-0.10	+0.2	21
2017-02-28	@ Petrocub Hincesti	D 1-1	56.2	1243	1188	42.92%	18.52%	38.56%	+0.10	-0.2	19
2017-03-01	Dacia Chisinau	L 1-2	37.5	1088	1558	5.76%	13.95%	80.29%	-2.45	-1.5	10
2017-03-01	@ Ungheni	W 2-1	37.5	1558	1088	80.29%	13.95%	5.76%	+2.45	+1.5	38
2017-03-01	Milsami Orhei	L 0-4	32.5	1257	1549	13.85%	16.76%	69.39%	-1.44	-13.8	12
2017-03-01	@ Dinamo-Auto	W 4-0	32.5	1549	1257	69.39%	16.76%	13.85%	+1.44	+13.8	46
2017-03-01	Zimbru	W 3-0	47.2	1068	1396	11.64%	16.26%	72.10%	-1.64	+46.6	11
2017-03-01	@ Saxan	L 0-3	47.2	1396	1068	72.10%	16.26%	11.64%	+1.64	-46.6	33
2017-03-04	FC Zaria	L 0-1	37.1	1243	1490	17.07%	17.30%	65.63%	-1.19	-4.7	19
2017-03-04	@ Speranta Nisporeni	W 1-0	37.1	1490	1243	65.63%	17.30%	17.07%	+1.19	+4.7	48
2017-03-04	Petrocub Hincesti	W 4-0	28.8	1628	1188	82.46%	13.06%	4.48%	+2.71	+4.3	47
2017-03-04	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-4	28.8	1188	1628	4.48%	13.06%	82.46%	-2.71	-4.3	21
2017-03-05	Milsami Orhei	L 0-2	29.3	1087	1563	5.58%	13.84%	80.58%	-2.48	-2.9	10
2017-03-05	@ Ungheni	W 2-0	29.3	1563	1087	80.58%	13.84%	5.58%	+2.48	+2.9	49
2017-03-05	Saxan	W 2-0	28.9	1560	1114	82.67%	12.97%	4.36%	+2.74	+2.2	41
2017-03-05	@ Dacia Chisinau	L 0-2	28.9	1114	1560	4.36%	12.97%	82.67%	-2.74	-2.2	11
2017-03-06	Dinamo-Auto	L 1-2	48.3	1201	1244	40.37%	18.53%	41.11%	-0.03	-9.5	21
2017-03-06	@ Academia Chisinau	W 2-1	48.3	1244	1201	41.11%	18.53%	40.37%	+0.03	+9.5	15
2017-03-11	Milsami Orhei	W 5-0	49.2	1632	1566	54.95%	18.20%	26.86%	+0.59	+31.4	50
2017-03-11	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-5	49.2	1566	1632	26.86%	18.20%	54.95%	-0.59	-31.4	49
2017-03-11	Saxan	D 0-0	52.0	1349	1112	71.30%	16.42%	12.28%	+1.56	-3.9	34
2017-03-11	@ Zimbru	D 0-0	52.0	1112	1349	12.28%	16.42%	71.30%	-1.56	+3.9	12
2017-03-11	Ungheni	W 3-0	26.5	1562	1084	83.94%	12.37%	3.69%	+2.92	+2.7	44
2017-03-11	@ Dacia Chisinau	L 0-3	26.5	1084	1562	3.69%	12.37%	83.94%	-2.92	-2.7	10
2017-03-12	Dinamo-Auto	D 1-1	56.2	1192	1253	37.68%	18.52%	43.80%	-0.13	+0.3	22
2017-03-12	@ Academia Chisinau	D 1-1	56.2	1253	1192	43.80%	18.52%	37.68%	+0.13	-0.3	16
2017-03-16	Dacia Chisinau	D 0-0	64.5	1534	1564	42.14%	18.53%	39.33%	+0.04	-0.2	50
2017-03-16	@ Milsami Orhei	D 0-0	64.5	1564	1534	39.33%	18.53%	42.14%	-0.04	+0.2	45
2017-03-16	Petrocub Hincesti	D 2-2	62.3	1253	1184	55.26%	18.18%	26.56%	+0.61	-1.2	17
2017-03-16	@ Dinamo-Auto	D 2-2	62.3	1184	1253	26.56%	18.18%	55.26%	-0.61	+1.2	22
2017-03-16	Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-2	50.2	1495	1664	24.38%	18.04%	57.57%	-0.74	-12.3	48
2017-03-16	@ FC Zaria	W 2-0	50.2	1664	1495	57.57%	18.04%	24.38%	+0.74	+12.3	53
2017-03-16	Zimbru	L 1-2	40.4	1081	1345	15.79%	17.11%	67.10%	-1.28	-4.1	10
2017-03-16	@ Ungheni	W 2-1	40.4	1345	1081	67.10%	17.11%	15.79%	+1.28	+4.1	37
2017-03-17	Academia Chisinau	W 1-0	43.8	1116	1192	35.70%	18.49%	45.81%	-0.21	+11.2	15
2017-03-17	@ Saxan	L 0-1	43.8	1192	1116	45.81%	18.49%	35.70%	+0.21	-11.2	22
2017-03-20	Speranta Nisporeni	D 0-0	51.3	1185	1238	38.85%	18.52%	42.63%	-0.09	+0.2	23
2017-03-20	@ Petrocub Hincesti	D 0-0	51.3	1238	1185	42.63%	18.52%	38.85%	+0.09	-0.2	20
2017-03-31	Dinamo-Auto	W 4-1	42.5	1238	1252	44.46%	18.51%	37.03%	+0.14	+21.7	23
2017-03-31	@ Speranta Nisporeni	L 1-4	42.5	1252	1238	37.03%	18.51%	44.46%	-0.14	-21.6	17
2017-03-31	Saxan	W 1-0	38.3	1185	1127	53.91%	18.25%	27.85%	+0.54	+7.4	26
2017-03-31	@ Petrocub Hincesti	L 0-1	38.3	1127	1185	27.85%	18.25%	53.91%	-0.54	-7.4	15
2017-03-31	Ungheni	L 0-1	47.6	1181	1077	59.24%	17.93%	22.83%	+0.80	-14.1	22
2017-03-31	@ Academia Chisinau	W 1-0	47.6	1077	1181	22.83%	17.93%	59.24%	-0.80	+14.1	13
2017-04-01	FC Zaria	W 1-0	49.1	1565	1483	56.79%	18.09%	25.11%	+0.68	+6.7	48
2017-04-01	@ Dacia Chisinau	L 0-1	49.1	1483	1565	25.11%	18.09%	56.79%	-0.68	-6.7	48
2017-04-01	Milsami Orhei	W 1-0	53.5	1349	1534	22.70%	17.92%	59.38%	-0.83	+14.1	40
2017-04-01	@ Zimbru	L 0-1	53.5	1534	1349	59.38%	17.92%	22.70%	+0.83	-14.1	50
2017-04-04	Petrocub Hincesti	L 0-4	34.9	1091	1192	32.32%	18.42%	49.26%	-0.36	-29.9	13
2017-04-04	@ Ungheni	W 4-0	34.9	1192	1091	49.26%	18.42%	32.32%	+0.36	+29.9	29
2017-04-04	Speranta Nisporeni	L 0-1	38.3	1120	1259	27.63%	18.24%	54.13%	-0.58	-7.3	15
2017-04-04	@ Saxan	W 1-0	38.3	1259	1120	54.13%	18.24%	27.63%	+0.58	+7.3	26
2017-04-05	Academia Chisinau	W 3-2	43.5	1520	1167	78.49%	14.59%	6.92%	+2.22	+1.7	53
2017-04-05	@ Milsami Orhei	L 2-3	43.5	1167	1520	6.92%	14.59%	78.49%	-2.22	-1.7	22
2017-04-05	Dacia Chisinau	L 0-1	64.9	1676	1571	59.33%	17.92%	22.75%	+0.81	-14.1	53
2017-04-05	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	W 1-0	64.9	1571	1676	22.75%	17.92%	59.33%	-0.81	+14.1	51
2017-04-05	Zimbru	W 2-0	38.7	1476	1363	60.19%	17.85%	21.96%	+0.85	+11.2	51
2017-04-05	@ FC Zaria	L 0-2	38.7	1363	1476	21.96%	17.85%	60.19%	-0.85	-11.2	40
2017-04-08	Ungheni	L 0-1	50.2	1267	1061	68.89%	16.84%	14.26%	+1.38	-16.3	26
2017-04-08	@ Speranta Nisporeni	W 1-0	50.2	1061	1267	14.26%	16.84%	68.89%	-1.38	+16.3	16
2017-04-09	FC Zaria	L 0-4	29.4	1165	1487	11.96%	16.34%	71.69%	-1.61	-11.9	22
2017-04-09	@ Academia Chisinau	W 4-0	29.4	1487	1165	71.69%	16.34%	11.96%	+1.61	+11.9	54
2017-04-09	Milsami Orhei	W 3-1	56.6	1222	1522	13.35%	16.66%	69.99%	-1.48	+27.0	32
2017-04-09	@ Petrocub Hincesti	L 1-3	56.6	1522	1222	69.99%	16.66%	13.35%	+1.48	-27.0	53
2017-04-09	Saxan	W 2-0	34.0	1230	1113	60.70%	17.81%	21.49%	+0.88	+11.0	20
2017-04-09	@ Dinamo-Auto	L 0-2	34.0	1113	1230	21.49%	17.81%	60.70%	-0.88	-11.0	15
2017-04-09	Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-1	43.7	1352	1662	12.70%	16.52%	70.78%	-1.54	-3.5	40
2017-04-09	@ Zimbru	W 1-0	43.7	1662	1352	70.78%	16.52%	12.70%	+1.54	+3.5	56
2017-04-14	Academia Chisinau	L 1-2	63.4	1665	1153	85.16%	11.75%	3.09%	+3.12	-18.3	56
2017-04-14	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	W 2-1	63.4	1153	1665	3.09%	11.75%	85.16%	-3.12	+18.3	25
2017-04-14	Dinamo-Auto	D 2-2	62.1	1077	1241	24.95%	18.08%	56.97%	-0.71	+1.3	17
2017-04-14	@ Ungheni	D 2-2	62.1	1241	1077	56.97%	18.08%	24.95%	+0.71	-1.3	21
2017-04-14	Speranta Nisporeni	W 1-0	35.4	1495	1250	71.84%	16.32%	11.85%	+1.60	+3.3	56
2017-04-14	@ Milsami Orhei	L 0-1	35.4	1250	1495	11.85%	16.32%	71.84%	-1.60	-3.3	26
2017-04-15	Petrocub Hincesti	W 2-1	41.3	1499	1249	72.22%	16.24%	11.54%	+1.63	+3.0	57
2017-04-15	@ FC Zaria	L 1-2	41.3	1249	1499	11.54%	16.24%	72.22%	-1.63	-3.0	32
2017-04-15	Zimbru	W 3-1	44.2	1585	1349	71.30%	16.42%	12.28%	+1.56	+5.6	54
2017-04-15	@ Dacia Chisinau	L 1-3	44.2	1349	1585	12.28%	16.42%	71.30%	-1.56	-5.6	40
2017-04-30	Academia Chisinau	W 4-0	30.3	1343	1171	66.00%	17.26%	16.75%	+1.19	+16.6	43
2017-04-30	@ Zimbru	L 0-4	30.3	1171	1343	16.75%	17.26%	66.00%	-1.19	-16.5	25
2017-04-30	Dinamo-Auto	W 3-2	45.9	1502	1240	73.10%	16.05%	10.85%	+1.70	+2.7	60
2017-04-30	@ FC Zaria	L 2-3	45.9	1240	1502	10.85%	16.05%	73.10%	-1.70	-2.7	21
2017-04-30	Petrocub Hincesti	W 1-0	35.5	1591	1246	78.03%	14.73%	7.23%	+2.17	+2.0	57
2017-04-30	@ Dacia Chisinau	L 0-1	35.5	1246	1591	7.23%	14.73%	78.03%	-2.17	-2.0	32
2017-04-30	Saxan	W 3-1	34.8	1498	1102	80.58%	13.84%	5.58%	+2.46	+2.5	59
2017-04-30	@ Milsami Orhei	L 1-3	34.8	1102	1498	5.58%	13.84%	80.58%	-2.46	-2.5	15
2017-04-30	Speranta Nisporeni	W 4-1	37.4	1647	1247	80.74%	13.78%	5.49%	+2.48	+3.5	59
2017-04-30	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 1-4	37.4	1247	1647	5.49%	13.78%	80.74%	-2.48	-3.5	26
2017-05-03	FC Zaria	D 0-0	54.0	1244	1505	16.02%	17.15%	66.84%	-1.26	+3.3	27
2017-05-03	@ Speranta Nisporeni	D 0-0	54.0	1505	1244	66.84%	17.15%	16.02%	+1.26	-3.3	61
2017-05-03	Dacia Chisinau	L 0-4	28.5	1155	1593	6.75%	14.50%	78.75%	-2.27	-6.7	25
2017-05-03	@ Academia Chisinau	W 4-0	28.5	1593	1155	78.75%	14.50%	6.75%	+2.27	+6.7	60
2017-05-03	Milsami Orhei	L 0-1	36.7	1237	1500	15.82%	17.11%	67.06%	-1.28	-4.4	21
2017-05-03	@ Dinamo-Auto	W 1-0	36.7	1500	1237	67.06%	17.11%	15.82%	+1.28	+4.4	62
2017-05-03	Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-2	35.2	1244	1650	7.93%	15.04%	77.03%	-2.09	-4.1	32
2017-05-03	@ Petrocub Hincesti	W 2-0	35.2	1650	1244	77.03%	15.04%	7.93%	+2.09	+4.1	62
2017-05-03	Ungheni	W 3-0	35.7	1099	1079	49.10%	18.42%	32.48%	+0.33	+23.0	18
2017-05-03	@ Saxan	L 0-3	35.7	1079	1099	32.48%	18.42%	49.10%	-0.33	-23.0	17
2017-05-07	FC Zaria	D 1-1	58.0	1122	1501	9.05%	15.48%	75.48%	-1.93	+3.9	19
2017-05-07	@ Saxan	D 1-1	58.0	1501	1122	75.48%	15.48%	9.05%	+1.93	-3.9	62
2017-05-07	Dacia Chisinau	L 0-1	37.1	1247	1600	10.31%	15.89%	73.79%	-1.78	-2.9	27
2017-05-07	@ Speranta Nisporeni	W 1-0	37.1	1600	1247	73.79%	15.89%	10.31%	+1.78	+2.9	63
2017-05-07	Sheriff Tiraspol	D 0-0	58.1	1232	1655	7.32%	14.78%	77.90%	-2.18	+4.7	22
2017-05-07	@ Dinamo-Auto	D 0-0	58.1	1655	1232	77.90%	14.78%	7.32%	+2.18	-4.7	63
2017-05-07	Zimbru	D 1-1	56.9	1240	1360	30.06%	18.34%	51.60%	-0.46	+1.2	33
2017-05-07	@ Petrocub Hincesti	D 1-1	56.9	1360	1240	51.60%	18.34%	30.06%	+0.46	-1.2	44
2017-05-08	Milsami Orhei	L 0-2	29.0	1056	1505	6.40%	14.31%	79.29%	-2.33	-3.3	17
2017-05-08	@ Ungheni	W 2-0	29.0	1505	1056	79.29%	14.31%	6.40%	+2.33	+3.3	65
2017-05-12	Dinamo-Auto	W 4-1	36.3	1603	1237	79.10%	14.38%	6.52%	+2.29	+4.1	66
2017-05-12	@ Dacia Chisinau	L 1-4	36.3	1237	1603	6.52%	14.38%	79.10%	-2.29	-4.1	22
2017-05-12	Petrocub Hincesti	D 0-0	51.2	1148	1241	33.38%	18.45%	48.18%	-0.31	+0.9	26
2017-05-12	@ Academia Chisinau	D 0-0	51.2	1241	1148	48.18%	18.45%	33.38%	+0.31	-0.9	34
2017-05-12	Saxan	W 7-1	28.4	1650	1126	85.54%	11.54%	2.91%	+3.18	+3.3	66
2017-05-12	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 1-7	28.4	1126	1650	2.91%	11.54%	85.54%	-3.18	-3.3	19
2017-05-12	Speranta Nisporeni	D 1-1	57.1	1358	1244	60.37%	17.84%	21.79%	+0.86	-2.2	45
2017-05-12	@ Zimbru	D 1-1	57.1	1244	1358	21.79%	17.84%	60.37%	-0.86	+2.2	28
2017-05-12	Ungheni	W 5-0	25.2	1498	1052	82.67%	12.97%	4.36%	+2.74	+5.2	65
2017-05-12	@ FC Zaria	L 0-5	25.2	1052	1498	4.36%	12.97%	82.67%	-2.74	-5.2	17
2017-05-21	Academia Chisinau	D 0-0	51.4	1246	1149	58.53%	17.98%	23.50%	+0.77	-2.2	29
2017-05-21	@ Speranta Nisporeni	D 0-0	51.4	1149	1246	23.50%	17.98%	58.53%	-0.77	+2.2	27
2017-05-21	FC Zaria	W 2-0	48.4	1508	1503	47.11%	18.47%	34.42%	+0.25	+16.6	68
2017-05-21	@ Milsami Orhei	L 0-2	48.4	1503	1508	34.42%	18.47%	47.11%	-0.25	-16.6	65
2017-05-21	Dacia Chisinau	L 2-3	43.4	1123	1607	5.37%	13.70%	80.93%	-2.53	-1.3	19
2017-05-21	@ Saxan	W 3-2	43.4	1607	1123	80.93%	13.70%	5.37%	+2.53	+1.3	69
2017-05-21	Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-6	25.7	1047	1653	2.88%	11.51%	85.61%	-3.22	-3.9	17
2017-05-21	@ Ungheni	W 6-0	25.7	1653	1047	85.61%	11.51%	2.88%	+3.22	+3.9	69
2017-05-21	Zimbru	D 1-1	56.9	1233	1356	29.59%	18.32%	52.08%	-0.48	+1.2	23
2017-05-21	@ Dinamo-Auto	D 1-1	56.9	1356	1233	52.08%	18.32%	29.59%	+0.48	-1.2	46

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date	Opponent	Score	Excitement	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Proj. Margin	Elo Δ	Record
2017-05-30	Dacia Chisinau	W 3-0	52.1	1657	1608	52.82%	18.30%	28.89%	+0.49	+20.8	1-0
2017-05-30	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	L 0-3	52.1	1608	1657	28.89%	18.30%	52.82%	-0.49	-20.8	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2017-04-14	3.09%	Academia Chisinau	1153	2	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	1665	1
2	2017-03-01	11.64%	@ Saxan	1068	3	Zimbru	1396	0
3	2016-07-23	12.22%	FC Zaria	1380	2	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	1618	1
4	2016-10-16	12.51%	Speranta Nisporeni	1211	2	@ FC Zaria	1444	0
5	2017-04-09	13.35%	@ Petrocub Hincesti	1222	3	Milsami Orhei	1522	1
6	2017-04-08	14.26%	Ungheni	1061	1	@ Speranta Nisporeni	1267	0
7	2016-07-25	19.42%	Zimbru	1386	1	@ Dacia Chisinau	1526	0
8	2016-08-27	21.06%	@ Ungheni	1122	2	Dinamo-Auto	1324	1
9	2016-08-05	22.25%	@ Petrocub Hincesti	1173	3	Dinamo-Auto	1363	1
10	2017-04-01	22.70%	@ Zimbru	1349	1	Milsami Orhei	1534	0
11	2017-04-05	22.75%	Dacia Chisinau	1571	1	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	1676	0
12	2017-03-31	22.83%	Ungheni	1077	1	@ Academia Chisinau	1181	0
13	2017-02-24	23.04%	FC Zaria	1461	2	@ Milsami Orhei	1562	1
14	2016-09-17	25.11%	FC Zaria	1441	2	@ Dacia Chisinau	1523	1
15	2016-11-04	25.74%	Petrocub Hincesti	1185	1	@ Dinamo-Auto	1261	0
16	2016-10-21	28.38%	Speranta Nisporeni	1243	4	@ Dinamo-Auto	1296	1
17	2016-11-25	28.64%	@ Saxan	1096	2	Petrocub Hincesti	1227	0
18	2016-09-21	28.78%	@ Dacia Chisinau	1510	3	Sheriff Tiraspol	1640	0
19	2016-09-11	30.28%	Academia Chisinau	1191	1	@ Speranta Nisporeni	1229	0
20	2016-12-10	30.48%	@ FC Zaria	1448	1	Dacia Chisinau	1564	0
21	2016-07-30	31.91%	@ Saxan	1132	1	Academia Chisinau	1236	0
22	2016-12-04	34.30%	@ Milsami Orhei	1546	2	Sheriff Tiraspol	1632	1
23	2016-09-25	35.69%	Academia Chisinau	1202	1	@ Petrocub Hincesti	1198	0
24	2017-03-17	35.70%	@ Saxan	1116	1	Academia Chisinau	1192	0
25	2016-12-04	36.03%	@ Academia Chisinau	1193	3	Speranta Nisporeni	1266	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2017-03-01	46.63	@ Saxan	3	1068	11.64%	Zimbru	0	1396	72.10%	16.26%
2	2016-09-21	34.79	@ Dacia Chisinau	3	1510	28.78%	Sheriff Tiraspol	0	1640	52.93%	18.29%
3	2016-10-16	31.65	Speranta Nisporeni	2	1211	12.51%	@ FC Zaria	0	1444	71.01%	16.47%
4	2017-03-11	31.42	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	5	1632	54.95%	Milsami Orhei	0	1566	26.86%	18.20%
5	2017-04-04	29.91	Petrocub Hincesti	4	1192	49.26%	@ Ungheni	0	1091	32.32%	18.42%
6	2016-10-21	29.54	Speranta Nisporeni	4	1243	28.38%	@ Dinamo-Auto	1	1296	53.35%	18.27%
7	2016-11-19	28.43	@ Petrocub Hincesti	5	1198	58.00%	Ungheni	0	1105	23.98%	18.02%
8	2017-04-09	27.03	@ Petrocub Hincesti	3	1222	13.35%	Milsami Orhei	1	1522	69.99%	16.66%
9	2016-12-09	26.40	@ Ungheni	3	1071	43.16%	Saxan	0	1094	38.32%	18.52%
10	2016-09-11	24.85	@ FC Zaria	3	1416	45.89%	Zimbru	0	1419	35.62%	18.49%
11	2016-11-25	24.01	@ Saxan	2	1096	28.64%	Petrocub Hincesti	0	1227	53.07%	18.28%
12	2016-08-05	23.26	@ Petrocub Hincesti	3	1173	22.25%	Dinamo-Auto	1	1363	59.87%	17.88%
13	2017-05-03	22.99	@ Saxan	3	1099	49.10%	Ungheni	0	1079	32.48%	18.42%
14	2017-03-31	21.65	@ Speranta Nisporeni	4	1238	44.46%	Dinamo-Auto	1	1252	37.03%	18.51%
15	2016-12-03	21.01	Dinamo-Auto	3	1241	52.45%	@ Saxan	0	1115	29.24%	18.31%
16	2017-05-30 *	20.80	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	3	1657	52.82%	Dacia Chisinau	0	1608	28.89%	18.30%
17	2016-09-25	19.23	Milsami Orhei	2	1492	40.43%	@ FC Zaria	0	1454	41.04%	18.53%
18	2016-08-13	18.65	Petrocub Hincesti	2	1197	41.95%	@ Ungheni	0	1148	39.53%	18.53%
19	2017-04-14	18.35	Academia Chisinau	2	1153	3.09%	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	1	1665	85.16%	11.75%
20	2016-12-04	18.14	@ Academia Chisinau	3	1193	36.03%	Speranta Nisporeni	1	1266	45.47%	18.50%
21	2016-07-24	17.72	@ Academia Chisinau	4	1218	52.46%	Ungheni	1	1172	29.23%	18.31%
22	2017-05-21	16.63	@ Milsami Orhei	2	1508	47.11%	FC Zaria	0	1503	34.42%	18.47%
23	2017-04-30	16.56	@ Zimbru	4	1343	66.00%	Academia Chisinau	0	1171	16.75%	17.26%
24	2016-08-20	16.47	Milsami Orhei	4	1460	66.10%	@ Academia Chisinau	0	1208	16.66%	17.24%
25	2017-04-08	16.31	Ungheni	1	1061	14.26%	@ Speranta Nisporeni	0	1267	68.89%	16.84%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2016-11-05	69.7	@ Dacia Chisinau	1	1572	51.59%	Milsami Orhei	1	1533	30.07%	18.34%
2	2016-07-23	66.6	FC Zaria	2	1380	12.22%	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	1	1618	71.37%	16.41%
3	2016-12-04	65.9	@ Milsami Orhei	2	1546	34.30%	Sheriff Tiraspol	1	1632	47.23%	18.47%
4	2017-04-05	64.9	Dacia Chisinau	1	1571	22.75%	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	0	1676	59.33%	17.92%
5	2017-03-16	64.5	@ Milsami Orhei	0	1534	42.14%	Dacia Chisinau	0	1564	39.33%	18.53%
6	2017-02-24	64.2	FC Zaria	2	1461	23.04%	@ Milsami Orhei	1	1562	59.01%	17.94%
7	2017-04-14	63.4	Academia Chisinau	2	1153	3.09%	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	1	1665	85.16%	11.75%
8	2016-10-30	63.1	@ Petrocub Hincesti	2	1183	18.31%	FC Zaria	2	1415	64.23%	17.47%
9	2016-11-29	62.4	@ Dinamo-Auto	2	1243	66.23%	Ungheni	2	1069	16.54%	17.23%
10	2016-11-09	62.3	@ Saxan	2	1098	22.33%	Speranta Nisporeni	2	1286	59.78%	17.89%
11	2017-03-16	62.3	@ Dinamo-Auto	2	1253	55.26%	Petrocub Hincesti	2	1184	26.56%	18.18%
12	2017-04-14	62.1	@ Ungheni	2	1077	24.95%	Dinamo-Auto	2	1241	56.97%	18.08%
13	2016-09-16	61.9	@ Saxan	2	1124	44.73%	Ungheni	2	1136	36.77%	18.51%
14	2016-10-21	61.8	@ FC Zaria	0	1413	22.13%	Sheriff Tiraspol	0	1603	60.01%	17.87%
15	2016-09-17	61.4	FC Zaria	2	1441	25.11%	@ Dacia Chisinau	1	1523	56.80%	18.09%
16	2016-12-04	60.1	@ Dacia Chisinau	1	1569	79.41%	Petrocub Hincesti	1	1197	6.32%	14.27%
17	2017-05-07	58.1	@ Dinamo-Auto	0	1232	7.32%	Sheriff Tiraspol	0	1655	77.90%	14.78%
18	2017-05-07	58.0	@ Saxan	1	1122	9.05%	FC Zaria	1	1501	75.48%	15.48%
19	2016-12-10	57.3	@ Dinamo-Auto	1	1262	29.36%	Zimbru	1	1387	52.33%	18.32%
20	2017-05-12	57.1	@ Zimbru	1	1358	60.37%	Speranta Nisporeni	1	1244	21.79%	17.84%
21	2016-09-21	56.9	@ Dacia Chisinau	3	1510	28.78%	Sheriff Tiraspol	0	1640	52.93%	18.29%
22	2016-09-25	56.9	@ Ungheni	1	1136	15.96%	Zimbru	1	1398	66.90%	17.14%
23	2017-05-07	56.9	@ Petrocub Hincesti	1	1240	30.06%	Zimbru	1	1360	51.60%	18.34%
24	2017-05-21	56.9	@ Dinamo-Auto	1	1233	29.59%	Zimbru	1	1356	52.08%	18.32%
25	2017-04-09	56.6	@ Petrocub Hincesti	3	1222	13.35%	Milsami Orhei	1	1522	69.99%	16.66%

#	Date	Excitement	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Excitement	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2017-05-12	25.2	@ FC Zaria	5	1498	82.67%	Ungheni	0	1052	4.36%	12.97%
2	2017-05-21	25.7	Sheriff Tiraspol	6	1653	85.61%	@ Ungheni	0	1047	2.88%	11.51%
3	2017-03-11	26.5	@ Dacia Chisinau	3	1562	83.94%	Ungheni	0	1084	3.69%	12.37%
4	2016-10-16	26.9	@ Milsami Orhei	4	1519	80.01%	Ungheni	0	1135	5.94%	14.05%
5	2017-02-25	27.5	@ Zimbru	4	1386	74.80%	Ungheni	0	1098	9.55%	15.65%
6	2016-08-06	27.6	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	7	1607	82.95%	Ungheni	0	1155	4.21%	12.84%
7	2016-10-01	27.8	@ Dacia Chisinau	3	1559	81.60%	Ungheni	0	1139	4.97%	13.43%
8	2016-08-14	27.9	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	3	1614	83.89%	Saxan	0	1137	3.71%	12.40%
9	2017-05-12	28.4	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	7	1650	85.54%	Saxan	1	1126	2.91%	11.54%
10	2017-05-03	28.5	Dacia Chisinau	4	1593	78.75%	@ Academia Chisinau	0	1155	6.75%	14.50%
11	2016-08-21	28.7	@ FC Zaria	3	1408	74.18%	Ungheni	0	1130	10.02%	15.80%
12	2016-11-25	28.8	FC Zaria	3	1426	73.53%	@ Ungheni	0	1077	10.52%	15.95%
13	2017-03-04	28.8	@ Sheriff Tiraspol	4	1628	82.46%	Petrocub Hincesti	0	1188	4.48%	13.06%
14	2017-03-05	28.9	@ Dacia Chisinau	2	1560	82.67%	Saxan	0	1114	4.36%	12.97%
15	2017-05-08	29.0	Milsami Orhei	2	1505	79.29%	@ Ungheni	0	1056	6.40%	14.31%
16	2016-09-16	29.1	@ Milsami Orhei	5	1467	72.91%	Petrocub Hincesti	0	1208	11.00%	16.09%
17	2017-03-05	29.3	Milsami Orhei	2	1563	80.58%	@ Ungheni	0	1087	5.58%	13.84%
18	2016-09-21	29.4	@ Milsami Orhei	4	1481	73.23%	Speranta Nisporeni	0	1216	10.75%	16.02%
19	2017-02-28	29.4	@ FC Zaria	6	1474	72.70%	Academia Chisinau	0	1217	11.16%	16.14%
20	2017-04-09	29.4	FC Zaria	4	1487	71.69%	@ Academia Chisinau	0	1165	11.96%	16.34%
21	2016-11-29	29.9	@ FC Zaria	2	1434	76.35%	Saxan	0	1120	8.41%	15.24%
22	2016-07-23	30.0	@ Milsami Orhei	2	1456	76.69%	Saxan	0	1136	8.17%	15.14%
23	2016-10-15	30.1	Dacia Chisinau	2	1562	79.04%	@ Saxan	0	1118	6.56%	14.40%
24	2017-04-30	30.3	@ Zimbru	4	1343	66.00%	Academia Chisinau	0	1171	16.75%	17.26%
25	2016-10-01	30.5	@ Zimbru	2	1395	73.69%	Saxan	0	1124	10.39%	15.92%