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2025-26 Super Liga Season

114 games

Final

Champion

Petrocub Hincesti

73 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sheriff Tiraspol

6.06 points above expected

64 points · 57.94 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Milsami Orhei

6.24 points below expected

46 points · 52.24 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Petrocub Hincesti 21 14 6 1 48 44 14 +30 37.14 +10.86
2 Zimbru 21 13 5 3 44 52 21 +31 42.84 +1.16
3 Sheriff Tiraspol 21 13 2 6 41 43 17 +26 43.55 -2.55
4 Milsami Orhei 21 11 4 6 37 42 25 +17 40.58 -3.58
5 Balti 21 8 5 8 29 27 29 -2 25.70 +3.30
6 Dacia Buiucani 21 4 3 14 15 24 39 -15 19.77 -4.77
7 Politehnica UTM Chisinau 21 4 1 16 13 24 61 -37 16.75 -3.75
8 Spartanii Sportul 21 3 2 16 11 13 63 -50 10.68 +0.32
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Petrocub Hincesti 31 22 7 2 73 64 17 +47 18.94 +54.06
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 31 20 4 7 64 57 22 +35 16.94 +47.06
3 Zimbru 31 18 8 5 62 70 32 +38 20.45 +41.55
4 Milsami Orhei 31 13 7 11 46 47 38 +9 15.24 +30.76
5 Balti 31 10 7 14 37 31 44 -13 8.50 +28.50
6 Dacia Buiucani 31 4 4 23 16 30 59 -29 4.75 +11.25

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 64 57.94 +6.06
2 Petrocub Hincesti 73 66.94 +6.06
3 Spartanii Sportul 11 10.68 +0.32
4 Balti 37 37.50 -0.50
5 Zimbru 62 64.45 -2.45

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Milsami Orhei 46 52.24 -6.24
2 Politehnica UTM Chisinau 13 16.75 -3.75
3 Dacia Buiucani 16 19.75 -3.75
4 Zimbru 62 64.45 -2.45
5 Balti 37 37.50 -0.50

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Spartanii Sportul 2 Oct 25 – Nov 1 1 in 362
2 Politehnica UTM Chisinau 3 Nov 1 – Nov 22 1 in 32
3 Petrocub Hincesti 7 Mar 21 – May 10 1 in 27
4 Zimbru 5 Aug 30 – Oct 5 1 in 15
5 Sheriff Tiraspol 4 Jun 22 – Jul 13 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 4 Oct 26 – Nov 23 1 in 178
2 Dacia Buiucani 13 Nov 1 – May 9 1 in 94
3 Milsami Orhei 4 Apr 11 – May 2 1 in 19
4 Spartanii Sportul 9 Jul 27 – Sep 28 1 in 15
5 Politehnica UTM Chisinau 6 Jul 26 – Aug 30 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Zimbru 15 Jul 6 – Oct 25 1 in 62
2 Petrocub Hincesti 11 Sep 20 – Mar 8 1 in 26
3 Spartanii Sportul 2 Oct 25 – Nov 1 1 in 22
4 Politehnica UTM Chisinau 3 Nov 1 – Nov 22 1 in 8
5 Sheriff Tiraspol 7 Nov 30 – Apr 18 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Milsami Orhei 5 Nov 23 – Mar 21 1 in 88
2 Zimbru 3 Oct 19 – Nov 1 1 in 72
3 Dacia Buiucani 20 Sep 13 – May 17 1 in 47
4 Politehnica UTM Chisinau 11 Jun 22 – Aug 30 1 in 22
5 Sheriff Tiraspol 4 Oct 26 – Nov 23 1 in 19

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Petrocub Hincesti 1624 73 +40 13 10.8 +2.2
Sheriff Tiraspol 1525 64 +11 10 9.4 +0.6
Zimbru 1531 62 +16 10 9.5 +0.5
Milsami Orhei 1329 46 -49 4 6.4 -2.4
Balti 1197 37 -7 4 4.2 -0.2
Dacia Buiucani 1034 16 -11 1 2.1 -1.1
Politehnica UTM Chisinau 1106 13 +66 9 4.0 +5.0
Spartanii Sportul 1007 11 +61 7 2.7 +4.3

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BAL DB MO PH PUC ST SS ZIM
Balti —
3-2-0
9.07
2-2-1
3.40
0-2-3
3.19
2-0-1
5.62
1-0-4
2.62
2-0-1
6.64
0-1-4
2.84
Dacia Buiucani
0-2-3
5.01
 —
0-0-5
2.53
0-0-5
2.17
2-0-1
4.78
0-0-5
1.90
2-0-1
6.02
0-2-3
2.17
Milsami Orhei
1-2-2
10.71
5-0-0
11.62
 —
0-1-4
6.19
3-0-0
7.05
1-2-2
5.28
2-1-0
7.73
1-1-3
5.88
Petrocub Hincesti
3-2-0
10.94
5-0-0
12.02
4-1-0
7.89
 —
3-0-0
6.96
2-1-2
6.57
3-0-0
7.60
2-3-0
6.35
Politehnica UTM Chisinau
1-0-2
2.83
1-0-2
3.67
0-0-3
1.44
0-0-3
1.53
 —
0-0-3
1.31
2-1-0
5.18
0-0-3
1.08
Sheriff Tiraspol
4-0-1
11.52
5-0-0
12.29
2-2-1
8.80
2-1-2
7.51
3-0-0
7.19
 —
3-0-0
7.84
1-1-3
7.15
Spartanii Sportul
1-0-2
1.83
1-0-2
2.44
0-1-2
0.82
0-0-3
0.94
0-1-2
3.27
0-0-3
0.73
 —
1-0-2
0.88
Zimbru
4-1-0
11.29
3-2-0
12.02
3-1-1
8.20
0-3-2
7.73
3-0-0
7.44
3-1-1
6.93
2-0-1
7.67
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +11.5
Allowed 0.98 -13.8
Differential 0.98 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.77%6.14%7.02%5.26%0.88%3.07%31.14%
16.14%6.14%7.89%2.63%3.07%0.88%26.75%
27.02%7.89%1.75%3.51%0.88%—21.05%
35.26%2.63%3.51%0.88%——12.28%
40.88%3.07%0.88%———4.82%
5+3.07%0.88%————3.95%
Total31.14%26.75%21.05%12.28%4.82%3.95%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.47 +0.00
SD 1.46 1.46 2.34
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 114

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.90%9.68%16.13%6.45%——45.16%
16.45%6.45%3.23%6.45%3.23%—25.81%
26.45%9.68%————16.13%
3——6.45%3.23%——9.68%
4—3.23%————3.23%
5+———————
Total25.81%29.03%25.81%16.13%3.23%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.42 -0.42
SD 1.15 1.15 1.61
CV 1.15 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.45%9.68%16.13%9.68%3.23%—45.16%
13.23%3.23%22.58%3.23%——32.26%
2——3.23%9.68%——12.90%
3——3.23%———3.23%
4—3.23%————3.23%
5+—3.23%————3.23%
Total9.68%19.35%45.16%22.58%3.23%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.90 -0.94
SD 1.25 0.98 1.63
CV 1.29 0.51 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.90%3.23%3.23%6.45%——25.81%
16.45%6.45%16.13%6.45%——35.48%
23.23%9.68%————12.90%
36.45%3.23%3.23%3.23%——16.13%
4—6.45%————6.45%
5+3.23%—————3.23%
Total32.26%29.03%22.58%16.13%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.23 +0.29
SD 1.39 1.09 1.90
CV 0.92 0.89 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.68%3.23%3.23%———16.13%
16.45%12.90%————19.35%
216.13%19.35%————35.48%
312.90%3.23%————16.13%
4—3.23%3.23%———6.45%
5+6.45%—————6.45%
Total51.61%41.94%6.45%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 0.55 +1.52
SD 1.67 0.62 1.86
CV 0.81 1.14 —
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.76%4.76%—9.52%4.76%14.29%38.10%
1——9.52%—14.29%—23.81%
2—9.52%—14.29%4.76%—28.57%
3—4.76%————4.76%
4—4.76%————4.76%
5+———————
Total4.76%23.81%9.52%23.81%23.81%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 2.90 -1.76
SD 1.15 1.73 2.45
CV 1.01 0.60 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.45%9.68%3.23%———19.35%
116.13%3.23%3.23%———22.58%
212.90%9.68%3.23%3.23%3.23%—32.26%
39.68%3.23%————12.90%
46.45%—————6.45%
5+3.23%3.23%————6.45%
Total54.84%29.03%9.68%3.23%3.23%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.84 0.71 +1.13
SD 1.42 1.01 1.84
CV 0.77 1.42 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 31

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.52%4.76%14.29%4.76%—19.05%52.38%
14.76%—4.76%4.76%14.29%9.52%38.10%
24.76%—————4.76%
3——4.76%———4.76%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.05%4.76%23.81%9.52%14.29%28.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 3.00 -2.38
SD 0.80 2.21 2.48
CV 1.30 0.74 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.45%3.23%—6.45%——16.13%
13.23%12.90%3.23%———19.35%
29.68%3.23%6.45%3.23%——22.58%
39.68%6.45%9.68%———25.81%
4—3.23%3.23%———6.45%
5+9.68%—————9.68%
Total38.71%29.03%22.58%9.68%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.26 1.03 +1.23
SD 1.73 1.02 2.23
CV 0.77 0.98 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 31

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Petrocub Hincesti 1624 73 37.14 +35.86 98.0% 24 28 33 38 40 47 51
Zimbru 1531 62 42.84 +19.16 60.0% 27 35 39 42 47 51 56
Sheriff Tiraspol 1525 64 43.55 +20.45 28.0% 29 34 41 44 46 50 54
Milsami Orhei 1329 46 40.58 +5.42 26.0% 27 32 37 41 44 48 53
Balti 1197 37 25.70 +11.30 80.0% 13 18 22 26 29 36 39
Politehnica UTM Chisinau 1106 13 16.75 -3.75 28.0% 6 8 13 18 19 24 29
Dacia Buiucani 1034 16 19.77 -3.77 18.0% 8 12 17 19 24 28 31
Spartanii Sportul 1007 11 10.68 +0.32 61.0% 3 5 7 10 13 19 26

Point Totals in Context

Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.

First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 8% * Slight Edge: 8% to 10.5% * Clear Edge: 10.5% to 16% * Strong Edge: 16% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+7.02%
No Edge
44.74%17.54%37.72%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 24.42 Elo pts.
181 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.14 goals
Neutral
-2+0.13+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 4th * Longshot: 5th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.1 * Tight Race: 0.1 to 0.37 * Comfortable: 0.37 to 0.52 * Runaway: 0.52 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Open
12348
Champion Preseason Odds
8%
Petrocub Hincesti, 4th of 8
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.32/gm
Tight Race
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.01 * Some Luck: 4.01 to 6.02 * Lucky: 6.02 to 8.03 * Wild Swing: 8.03 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.54 * Close: 0.54 to 0.81 * Off: 0.81 to 1.08 * Way Off: 1.08 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 8 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 8 * As Expected: 8 to 12.8 * Several Outliers: 12.8 to 17.6 * Many Outliers: 17.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.83 points
Some Luck
05.0213
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.75
Close
00.671.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 93.75%
98.00%
Petrocub Hincesti
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected
18.00%
Dacia Buiucani
06.25%50
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 8
Minimal Outliers
00.88

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.23 * Even: 0.23 to 0.26 * Top-Heavy: 0.26 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 2.5 * Moderate Separation: 2.5 to 2.7 * Strong Separation: 2.7 to 2.95 * Wide Separation: 2.95 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 72.5% * Slight Edge: 72.5% to 81% * Clear Edge: 81% to 85.5% * Wide Edge: 85.5% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 96% * Clear Edge: 96% to 98% * Strong Edge: 98% to 99% * Dominant: 99% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 53% * Some Drama: 53% to 58% * Frequent: 58% to 62% * Very Frequent: 62% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 17% * Occasional: 17% to 22% * Frequent: 22% to 26.5% * Very Frequent: 26.5% and up.
Gini Index
0.32
Lopsided
00.230.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 218.93
3.42
Wide Separation
12.52.953.75
Interquartile Edge
90%
Wide Edge
50%72.5%81%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 98%
96%
Even
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
53%
Few
0%47%100%
Blowouts
Expected
26%
Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.47 * Slight Separation: 0.47 to 0.52 * Notable Separation: 0.52 to 0.56 * Lopsided: 0.56 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.57 * Some Carryover: 0.57 to 0.75 * Strong Carryover: 0.75 to 0.84 * Near-Lock: 0.84 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 14.5% * As Expected: 14.5% to 16.5% * Upset-Prone: 16.5% to 20% * Very Upset-Prone: 20% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 11.5% * As Expected: 11.5% to 13.5% * Shaky Favorites: 13.5% to 16% * Very Shaky: 16% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.46
Highly Predictable
00.492
Matchup Imbalance
0.56
Notable Separation
00.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.82
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.79
Strong Carryover
00.570.751
Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Upset-Prone
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
11%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.05
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.11
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.079
Well Within Noise
00.1440.4

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).

Team12345678
Petrocub Hincesti8.00%18.00%23.00%44.00%6.00%1.00%——
Sheriff Tiraspol39.00%31.00%18.00%10.00%2.00%———
Zimbru37.00%26.00%21.00%15.00%1.00%———
Milsami Orhei16.00%25.00%35.00%22.00%2.00%———
Balti——3.00%8.00%66.00%15.00%8.00%—
Dacia Buiucani———1.00%17.00%49.00%26.00%7.00%
Politehnica UTM Chisinau————5.00%28.00%51.00%16.00%
Spartanii Sportul————1.00%7.00%15.00%77.00%
Team123456
Petrocub Hincesti31.85%28.34%21.40%13.60%4.09%0.72%
Sheriff Tiraspol15.95%24.49%28.25%22.00%7.88%1.43%
Zimbru42.18%28.50%17.13%9.04%2.78%0.37%
Milsami Orhei9.29%16.37%26.18%32.96%12.72%2.48%
Balti0.69%1.94%6.07%17.72%50.25%23.33%
Dacia Buiucani0.04%0.36%0.97%4.68%22.28%71.67%
Politehnica UTM Chisinau——————
Spartanii Sportul——————

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase distribution and the second-phase championship and relegation groups. Reading a curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position.

Stochastic Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that played all 38 games of the season from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects FULL uncertainty — both the first-phase results and the second-phase results are simulated each iteration. For the playoff-sim version that conditions on the actual first-phase results, see the next table.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff
Balti 92.00% 8.00%
Dacia Buiucani 67.00% 33.00%
Milsami Orhei 100% —
Petrocub Hincesti 100% —
Politehnica UTM Chisinau 33.00% 67.00%
Sheriff Tiraspol 100% —
Spartanii Sportul 8.00% 92.00%
Zimbru 100% —

Actual Second Phase Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 simulations that took the actual first-phase results as FIXED and projected only the second-phase round-robin games, the probability of each team's end-of-season outcome. Reflects the narrower uncertainty that remained once the league split was decided — so contenders and relegation candidates settle into clearer roles here than in the full-season sim above.

Team Qualified for Championship Round Qualified for relegation playoff
Balti 100% —
Dacia Buiucani 100% —
Milsami Orhei 100% —
Petrocub Hincesti 100% —
Politehnica UTM Chisinau — 100%
Sheriff Tiraspol 100% —
Spartanii Sportul — 100%
Zimbru 100% —

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2025-06-21 Spartanii Sportul W 5-137.1 1154 1084 53.38% 18.45% 28.17%+0.52 +38.4 3
2025-06-21 @ Dacia Buiucani L 1-537.1 1084 1154 28.17% 18.45% 53.38%-0.52 -38.4 0
2025-06-21 Zimbru W 3-041.1 1419 1422 43.72% 18.60% 37.68%+0.12 +45.1 3
2025-06-21 @ Milsami Orhei L 0-341.1 1422 1419 37.68% 18.60% 43.72%-0.12 -45.0 0
2025-06-22 Balti D 1-154.9 1355 1214 61.30% 18.14% 20.56%+0.91 -4.0 1
2025-06-22 @ Petrocub Hincesti D 1-154.9 1214 1355 20.56% 18.14% 61.30%-0.91 +4.0 1
2025-06-22 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-431.0 1235 1471 16.56% 17.85% 65.59%-1.17 -28.7 0
2025-06-22 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 4-031.0 1471 1235 65.59% 17.85% 16.56%+1.17 +28.6 3
2025-06-28 Dacia Buiucani D 0-050.3 1218 1192 47.68% 18.56% 33.75%+0.28 -1.5 2
2025-06-28 @ Balti D 0-050.3 1192 1218 33.75% 18.56% 47.68%-0.28 +1.5 4
2025-06-28 Milsami Orhei L 0-330.9 1207 1464 14.96% 17.69% 67.35%-1.28 -19.9 0
2025-06-28 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 3-030.9 1464 1207 67.35% 17.69% 14.96%+1.28 +19.9 6
2025-06-29 Zimbru W 2-148.6 1351 1377 40.46% 18.61% 40.93%-0.01 +16.6 4
2025-06-29 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 1-248.6 1377 1351 40.93% 18.61% 40.46%+0.01 -16.6 0
2025-06-29 Spartanii Sportul W 5-129.5 1500 1045 80.61% 15.11% 4.28%+2.64 +6.2 6
2025-06-29 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-529.5 1045 1500 4.28% 15.11% 80.61%-2.64 -6.2 0
2025-07-05 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-255.9 1484 1506 40.98% 18.61% 40.42%+0.01 -16.6 6
2025-07-05 @ Milsami Orhei W 2-155.9 1506 1484 40.42% 18.61% 40.98%-0.01 +16.6 9
2025-07-05 Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 2-139.6 1367 1187 65.02% 17.89% 17.08%+1.13 +7.8 7
2025-07-05 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 1-239.6 1187 1367 17.08% 17.89% 65.02%-1.13 -7.8 0
2025-07-06 Zimbru L 0-332.6 1194 1360 22.86% 18.26% 58.88%-0.78 -29.4 4
2025-07-06 @ Dacia Buiucani W 3-032.6 1360 1194 58.88% 18.26% 22.86%+0.78 +29.4 3
2025-07-06 Balti L 0-233.3 1039 1216 21.79% 18.21% 60.00%-0.84 -19.4 0
2025-07-06 @ Spartanii Sportul W 2-033.3 1216 1039 60.00% 18.21% 21.79%+0.84 +19.4 5
2025-07-12 Dacia Buiucani L 2-353.2 1179 1164 46.22% 18.58% 35.20%+0.22 -17.4 0
2025-07-12 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 3-253.2 1164 1179 35.20% 18.58% 46.22%-0.22 +17.4 7
2025-07-13 Balti W 1-034.5 1523 1236 72.88% 17.01% 10.11%+1.72 +5.0 12
2025-07-13 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-134.5 1236 1523 10.11% 17.01% 72.88%-1.72 -5.0 5
2025-07-13 Zimbru L 0-626.6 1020 1389 8.52% 16.67% 74.81%-1.91 -22.1 0
2025-07-13 @ Spartanii Sportul W 6-026.6 1389 1020 74.81% 16.67% 8.52%+1.91 +22.1 6
2025-07-19 Zimbru D 1-155.4 1231 1412 21.41% 18.19% 60.40%-0.86 +3.8 6
2025-07-19 @ Balti D 1-155.4 1412 1231 60.40% 18.19% 21.41%+0.86 -3.8 7
2025-07-19 Milsami Orhei L 1-238.9 1182 1467 13.01% 17.47% 69.53%-1.44 -6.0 7
2025-07-19 @ Dacia Buiucani W 2-138.9 1467 1182 69.53% 17.47% 13.01%+1.44 +6.0 9
2025-07-20 Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-056.7 1375 1528 24.32% 18.32% 57.36%-0.71 +3.6 8
2025-07-20 @ Petrocub Hincesti D 0-056.7 1528 1375 57.36% 18.32% 24.32%+0.71 -3.6 13
2025-07-20 Politehnica UTM Chisinau D 0-050.2 998 1162 23.13% 18.27% 58.60%-0.77 +3.9 1
2025-07-20 @ Spartanii Sportul D 0-050.2 1162 998 58.60% 18.27% 23.13%+0.77 -3.9 1
2025-07-26 Balti L 0-139.3 1158 1234 33.46% 18.56% 47.98%-0.29 -14.9 1
2025-07-26 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 1-039.3 1234 1158 47.98% 18.56% 33.46%+0.29 +14.9 9
2025-07-27 Spartanii Sportul W 3-132.7 1473 1002 81.19% 14.90% 3.91%+2.74 +3.1 12
2025-07-27 @ Milsami Orhei L 1-332.7 1002 1473 3.91% 14.90% 81.19%-2.74 -3.1 1
2025-07-27 Dacia Buiucani W 2-139.0 1379 1176 66.94% 17.73% 15.33%+1.26 +7.0 11
2025-07-27 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 1-239.0 1176 1379 15.33% 17.73% 66.94%-1.26 -7.0 7
2025-07-27 Zimbru L 2-364.2 1524 1408 58.73% 18.27% 23.00%+0.78 -21.7 13
2025-07-27 @ Sheriff Tiraspol W 3-264.2 1408 1524 23.00% 18.27% 58.73%-0.78 +21.7 10
2025-08-03 Milsami Orhei D 3-366.2 1249 1476 17.29% 17.91% 64.80%-1.12 +2.9 10
2025-08-03 @ Balti D 3-366.2 1476 1249 64.80% 17.91% 17.29%+1.12 -2.9 13
2025-08-03 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-231.0 1169 1502 10.21% 17.03% 72.76%-1.71 -9.5 7
2025-08-03 @ Dacia Buiucani W 2-031.0 1502 1169 72.76% 17.03% 10.21%+1.71 +9.5 16
2025-08-03 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-228.8 998 1386 7.79% 16.49% 75.72%-2.00 -7.3 1
2025-08-03 @ Spartanii Sportul W 2-028.8 1386 998 75.72% 16.49% 7.79%+2.00 +7.3 14
2025-08-03 Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 7-028.1 1429 1143 72.85% 17.01% 10.13%+1.72 +30.4 13
2025-08-03 @ Zimbru L 0-728.1 1143 1429 10.13% 17.01% 72.85%-1.72 -30.4 1
2025-08-09 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-138.0 1252 1393 25.65% 18.37% 55.98%-0.64 -11.9 10
2025-08-09 @ Balti W 1-038.0 1393 1252 55.98% 18.37% 25.65%+0.64 +11.9 17
2025-08-09 Dacia Buiucani L 0-135.8 991 1159 22.72% 18.25% 59.03%-0.79 -10.7 1
2025-08-09 @ Spartanii Sportul W 1-035.8 1159 991 59.03% 18.25% 22.72%+0.79 +10.7 10
2025-08-10 Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 3-027.1 1512 1112 78.52% 15.79% 5.69%+2.34 +7.7 19
2025-08-10 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-327.1 1112 1512 5.69% 15.79% 78.52%-2.34 -7.7 1
2025-08-10 Milsami Orhei W 2-153.3 1460 1473 42.28% 18.61% 39.11%+0.06 +16.0 16
2025-08-10 @ Zimbru L 1-253.3 1473 1460 39.11% 18.61% 42.28%-0.06 -16.0 13
2025-08-16 Balti L 2-349.7 1170 1240 34.25% 18.57% 47.18%-0.26 -13.6 10
2025-08-16 @ Dacia Buiucani W 3-249.7 1240 1170 47.18% 18.57% 34.25%+0.26 +13.6 13
2025-08-16 Petrocub Hincesti D 1-159.8 1476 1405 53.52% 18.45% 28.03%+0.53 -2.4 17
2025-08-16 @ Zimbru D 1-159.8 1405 1476 28.03% 18.45% 53.52%-0.53 +2.4 18
2025-08-17 Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 4-132.6 1457 1105 76.42% 16.33% 7.25%+2.08 +8.3 16
2025-08-17 @ Milsami Orhei L 1-432.6 1105 1457 7.25% 16.33% 76.42%-2.08 -8.3 1
2025-08-17 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-325.5 980 1520 3.54% 14.65% 81.81%-2.84 -4.7 1
2025-08-17 @ Spartanii Sportul W 3-025.5 1520 980 81.81% 14.65% 3.54%+2.84 +4.7 22
2025-08-23 Spartanii Sportul W 4-133.1 1254 976 72.34% 17.09% 10.56%+1.67 +12.1 16
2025-08-23 @ Balti L 1-433.1 976 1254 10.56% 17.09% 72.34%-1.67 -12.1 1
2025-08-23 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-527.6 1096 1407 11.47% 17.25% 71.28%-1.58 -24.9 1
2025-08-23 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 5-027.6 1407 1096 71.28% 17.25% 11.47%+1.58 +24.9 21
2025-08-24 Milsami Orhei D 1-163.6 1524 1465 52.01% 18.49% 29.51%+0.46 -2.1 23
2025-08-24 @ Sheriff Tiraspol D 1-163.6 1465 1524 29.51% 18.49% 52.01%-0.46 +2.1 17
2025-08-24 Dacia Buiucani D 1-155.7 1473 1156 74.62% 16.71% 8.67%+1.89 -6.8 18
2025-08-24 @ Zimbru D 1-155.7 1156 1473 8.67% 16.71% 74.62%-1.89 +6.8 11
2025-08-30 Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 4-138.0 1163 1072 55.94% 18.38% 25.69%+0.64 +27.5 14
2025-08-30 @ Dacia Buiucani L 1-438.0 1072 1163 25.69% 18.38% 55.94%-0.64 -27.5 1
2025-08-30 Spartanii Sportul W 5-024.2 1467 964 82.20% 14.49% 3.32%+2.91 +7.1 21
2025-08-30 @ Zimbru L 0-524.2 964 1467 3.32% 14.49% 82.20%-2.91 -7.1 1
2025-08-31 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-332.8 1266 1522 15.01% 17.70% 67.29%-1.28 -20.0 16
2025-08-31 @ Balti W 3-032.8 1522 1266 67.29% 17.70% 15.01%+1.28 +20.0 26
2025-08-31 Milsami Orhei W 2-153.1 1432 1468 39.12% 18.61% 42.28%-0.06 +17.1 24
2025-08-31 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 1-253.1 1468 1432 42.28% 18.61% 39.12%+0.06 -17.0 17
2025-09-13 Dacia Buiucani W 3-243.5 1451 1190 71.17% 17.26% 11.57%+1.57 +5.1 20
2025-09-13 @ Milsami Orhei L 2-343.5 1190 1451 11.57% 17.26% 71.17%-1.57 -5.1 14
2025-09-13 Balti W 2-032.8 1474 1246 68.87% 17.54% 13.59%+1.39 +12.5 24
2025-09-13 @ Zimbru L 0-232.8 1246 1474 13.59% 17.54% 68.87%-1.39 -12.5 16
2025-09-14 Spartanii Sportul W 4-138.1 1044 957 55.48% 18.39% 26.13%+0.62 +27.9 4
2025-09-14 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau L 1-438.1 957 1044 26.13% 18.39% 55.48%-0.62 -27.9 1
2025-09-14 Petrocub Hincesti W 2-044.1 1542 1449 56.13% 18.37% 25.50%+0.65 +22.3 29
2025-09-14 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-244.1 1449 1542 25.50% 18.37% 56.13%-0.65 -22.3 24
2025-09-20 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-232.5 1185 1427 16.10% 17.81% 66.09%-1.20 -14.7 14
2025-09-20 @ Dacia Buiucani W 2-032.5 1427 1185 66.09% 17.81% 16.10%+1.20 +14.7 27
2025-09-20 Milsami Orhei L 1-430.5 929 1456 3.78% 14.81% 81.41%-2.77 -4.2 1
2025-09-20 @ Spartanii Sportul W 4-130.5 1456 929 81.41% 14.81% 3.78%+2.77 +4.2 23
2025-09-21 Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 3-244.7 1234 1072 63.31% 18.02% 18.68%+1.03 +8.0 19
2025-09-21 @ Balti L 2-344.7 1072 1234 18.68% 18.02% 63.31%-1.03 -8.0 4
2025-09-21 Sheriff Tiraspol W 2-053.2 1486 1564 33.25% 18.56% 48.19%-0.30 +38.1 27
2025-09-21 @ Zimbru L 0-253.2 1564 1486 48.19% 18.56% 33.25%+0.30 -38.1 29
2025-09-24 Petrocub Hincesti D 1-160.5 1460 1442 46.69% 18.58% 34.73%+0.24 -1.1 24
2025-09-24 @ Milsami Orhei D 1-160.5 1442 1460 34.73% 18.58% 46.69%-0.24 +1.1 28
2025-09-27 Zimbru L 2-340.8 1064 1524 5.34% 15.65% 79.01%-2.41 -2.4 4
2025-09-27 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 3-240.8 1524 1064 79.01% 15.65% 5.34%+2.41 +2.4 30
2025-09-27 Dacia Buiucani W 1-032.4 1526 1171 76.58% 16.29% 7.12%+2.10 +3.5 32
2025-09-27 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-132.4 1171 1526 7.12% 16.29% 76.58%-2.10 -3.5 14
2025-09-28 Balti W 2-139.9 1459 1242 68.08% 17.62% 14.30%+1.33 +6.6 27
2025-09-28 @ Milsami Orhei L 1-239.9 1242 1459 14.30% 17.62% 68.08%-1.33 -6.6 19
2025-09-28 Spartanii Sportul W 2-026.6 1443 924 82.66% 14.28% 3.06%+3.00 +2.8 31
2025-09-28 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-226.6 924 1443 3.06% 14.28% 82.66%-3.00 -2.8 1
2025-10-04 Balti D 0-052.0 1446 1235 67.55% 17.68% 14.78%+1.30 -6.0 32
2025-10-04 @ Petrocub Hincesti D 0-052.0 1235 1446 14.78% 17.68% 67.55%-1.30 +6.0 20
2025-10-04 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-235.5 1062 1530 5.13% 15.55% 79.32%-2.45 -2.4 4
2025-10-04 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 2-135.5 1530 1062 79.32% 15.55% 5.13%+2.45 +2.4 35
2025-10-05 Spartanii Sportul L 0-149.8 1167 922 70.16% 17.39% 12.45%+1.49 -28.9 14
2025-10-05 @ Dacia Buiucani W 1-049.8 922 1167 12.45% 17.39% 70.16%-1.49 +28.9 4
2025-10-05 Zimbru L 0-345.5 1465 1527 35.52% 18.58% 45.89%-0.20 -42.9 27
2025-10-05 @ Milsami Orhei W 3-045.5 1527 1465 45.89% 18.58% 35.52%+0.20 +42.9 33
2025-10-18 Dacia Buiucani W 2-034.3 1241 1138 57.24% 18.33% 24.43%+0.70 +21.5 23
2025-10-18 @ Balti L 0-234.3 1138 1241 24.43% 18.33% 57.24%-0.70 -21.5 14
2025-10-18 Milsami Orhei L 0-526.6 1059 1422 8.80% 16.74% 74.46%-1.87 -19.2 4
2025-10-18 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 5-026.6 1422 1059 74.46% 16.74% 8.80%+1.87 +19.2 30
2025-10-19 Spartanii Sportul W 5-023.6 1532 951 84.39% 13.42% 2.19%+3.35 +4.6 38
2025-10-19 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-523.6 951 1532 2.19% 13.42% 84.39%-3.35 -4.6 4
2025-10-19 Petrocub Hincesti D 0-060.6 1570 1440 60.19% 18.20% 21.61%+0.85 -4.2 34
2025-10-19 @ Zimbru D 0-060.6 1440 1570 21.61% 18.20% 60.19%-0.85 +4.2 33
2025-10-25 Zimbru D 2-261.9 1117 1565 5.68% 15.79% 78.54%-2.34 +5.7 15
2025-10-25 @ Dacia Buiucani D 2-261.9 1565 1117 78.54% 15.79% 5.68%+2.34 -5.7 35
2025-10-25 Balti W 2-048.0 946 1262 11.15% 17.19% 71.65%-1.61 +55.7 7
2025-10-25 @ Spartanii Sportul L 0-248.0 1262 946 71.65% 17.19% 11.15%+1.61 -55.7 23
2025-10-26 Sheriff Tiraspol W 1-053.4 1442 1537 31.07% 18.52% 50.41%-0.39 +21.0 33
2025-10-26 @ Milsami Orhei L 0-153.4 1537 1442 50.41% 18.52% 31.07%+0.39 -21.0 38
2025-10-26 Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 4-131.6 1444 1040 78.70% 15.74% 5.56%+2.36 +6.3 36
2025-10-26 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 1-431.6 1040 1444 5.56% 15.74% 78.70%-2.36 -6.3 4
2025-11-01 Dacia Buiucani W 2-148.9 1034 1122 31.90% 18.54% 49.57%-0.35 +19.5 7
2025-11-01 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau L 1-248.9 1122 1034 49.57% 18.54% 31.90%+0.35 -19.5 15
2025-11-01 Spartanii Sportul L 2-363.6 1560 1002 83.77% 13.75% 2.48%+3.22 -30.3 35
2025-11-01 @ Zimbru W 3-263.6 1002 1560 2.48% 13.75% 83.77%-3.22 +30.3 10
2025-11-02 Petrocub Hincesti L 1-254.6 1463 1450 45.92% 18.58% 35.50%+0.20 -18.3 33
2025-11-02 @ Milsami Orhei W 2-154.6 1450 1463 35.50% 18.58% 45.92%-0.20 +18.3 39
2025-11-02 Balti L 1-257.9 1516 1207 74.17% 16.79% 9.04%+1.84 -28.8 38
2025-11-02 @ Sheriff Tiraspol W 2-157.9 1207 1516 9.04% 16.79% 74.17%-1.84 +28.8 26
2025-11-08 Milsami Orhei L 0-230.0 1103 1444 9.82% 16.95% 73.23%-1.75 -9.2 15
2025-11-08 @ Dacia Buiucani W 2-030.0 1444 1103 73.23% 16.95% 9.82%+1.75 +9.2 36
2025-11-08 Sheriff Tiraspol W 4-256.9 1468 1487 41.53% 18.61% 39.87%+0.03 +25.2 42
2025-11-08 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 2-456.9 1487 1468 39.87% 18.61% 41.53%-0.03 -25.2 38
2025-11-09 Zimbru L 1-338.6 1235 1529 12.47% 17.39% 70.14%-1.49 -10.0 26
2025-11-09 @ Balti W 3-138.6 1529 1235 70.14% 17.39% 12.47%+1.49 +10.0 38
2025-11-09 Politehnica UTM Chisinau L 1-246.4 1032 1053 41.17% 18.61% 40.23%+0.02 -16.7 10
2025-11-09 @ Spartanii Sportul W 2-146.4 1053 1032 40.23% 18.61% 41.17%-0.02 +16.7 10
2025-11-22 Dacia Buiucani W 3-134.0 1494 1094 78.54% 15.79% 5.68%+2.34 +4.6 45
2025-11-22 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 1-334.0 1094 1494 5.68% 15.79% 78.54%-2.34 -4.6 15
2025-11-22 Balti W 3-149.6 1070 1225 24.00% 18.31% 57.69%-0.72 +38.9 13
2025-11-22 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau L 1-349.6 1225 1070 57.69% 18.31% 24.00%+0.72 -38.9 26
2025-11-23 Spartanii Sportul D 0-051.4 1454 1015 80.03% 15.32% 4.65%+2.55 -8.8 37
2025-11-23 @ Milsami Orhei D 0-051.4 1015 1454 4.65% 15.32% 80.03%-2.55 +8.8 11
2025-11-23 Zimbru L 0-149.1 1462 1539 33.34% 18.56% 48.10%-0.29 -14.9 38
2025-11-23 @ Sheriff Tiraspol W 1-049.1 1539 1462 48.10% 18.56% 33.34%+0.29 +14.9 41
2025-11-30 Milsami Orhei W 2-155.2 1187 1445 14.85% 17.68% 67.46%-1.29 +26.2 29
2025-11-30 @ Balti L 1-255.2 1445 1187 67.46% 17.68% 14.85%+1.29 -26.2 37
2025-11-30 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-427.0 1089 1447 9.04% 16.79% 74.17%-1.84 -16.0 15
2025-11-30 @ Dacia Buiucani W 4-027.0 1447 1089 74.17% 16.79% 9.04%+1.84 +16.0 41
2025-11-30 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-826.1 1024 1498 4.98% 15.48% 79.54%-2.48 -16.9 11
2025-11-30 @ Spartanii Sportul W 8-026.1 1498 1024 79.54% 15.48% 4.98%+2.48 +16.9 48
2025-11-30 Politehnica UTM Chisinau W 4-238.4 1554 1109 80.30% 15.23% 4.48%+2.59 +3.2 44
2025-11-30 @ Zimbru L 2-438.4 1109 1554 4.48% 15.23% 80.30%-2.59 -3.2 13

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2026-03-07 Zimbru D 0-059.3 1419 1558 25.84% 18.38% 55.78%-0.63 +3.2 1
2026-03-07 @ Milsami Orhei D 0-059.3 1558 1419 55.78% 18.38% 25.84%+0.63 -3.2 1
2026-03-08 Dacia Buiucani W 3-026.4 1515 1073 80.17% 15.27% 4.56%+2.57 +6.1 3
2026-03-08 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-326.4 1073 1515 4.56% 15.27% 80.17%-2.57 -6.1 0
2026-03-08 Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-135.1 1213 1463 15.44% 17.74% 66.81%-1.25 -7.5 0
2026-03-08 @ Balti W 1-035.1 1463 1213 66.81% 17.74% 15.44%+1.25 +7.5 3
2026-03-14 Dacia Buiucani W 3-240.2 1554 1067 81.71% 14.69% 3.60%+2.83 +1.6 4
2026-03-14 @ Zimbru L 2-340.2 1067 1554 3.60% 14.69% 81.71%-2.83 -1.6 0
2026-03-14 Petrocub Hincesti W 1-052.1 1471 1521 37.00% 18.60% 44.41%-0.14 +18.8 6
2026-03-14 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-152.1 1521 1471 44.41% 18.60% 37.00%+0.14 -18.8 3
2026-03-15 Balti D 0-051.5 1422 1205 68.03% 17.63% 14.35%+1.33 -6.1 2
2026-03-15 @ Milsami Orhei D 0-051.5 1205 1422 14.35% 17.63% 68.03%-1.33 +6.1 1
2026-03-20 Dacia Buiucani W 2-028.1 1489 1065 79.50% 15.49% 5.01%+2.48 +4.7 9
2026-03-20 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-228.1 1065 1489 5.01% 15.49% 79.50%-2.48 -4.6 0
2026-03-21 Zimbru L 0-232.2 1211 1556 9.68% 16.93% 73.40%-1.77 -9.0 1
2026-03-21 @ Balti W 2-032.2 1556 1211 73.40% 16.93% 9.68%+1.77 +9.0 7
2026-03-21 Milsami Orhei W 2-041.7 1502 1416 55.37% 18.39% 26.24%+0.61 +22.8 6
2026-03-21 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-241.7 1416 1502 26.24% 18.39% 55.37%-0.61 -22.8 2
2026-04-04 Dacia Buiucani W 1-031.2 1393 1061 75.41% 16.55% 8.04%+1.97 +4.0 5
2026-04-04 @ Milsami Orhei L 0-131.2 1061 1393 8.04% 16.55% 75.41%-1.97 -4.0 0
2026-04-05 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-231.9 1202 1525 10.80% 17.13% 72.07%-1.65 -10.1 1
2026-04-05 @ Balti W 2-031.9 1525 1202 72.07% 17.13% 10.80%+1.65 +10.1 9
2026-04-05 Sheriff Tiraspol D 2-271.6 1565 1494 53.49% 18.45% 28.06%+0.53 -1.8 8
2026-04-05 @ Zimbru D 2-271.6 1494 1565 28.06% 18.45% 53.49%-0.53 +1.8 10
2026-04-11 Balti L 1-241.9 1057 1192 26.22% 18.39% 55.39%-0.61 -11.4 0
2026-04-11 @ Dacia Buiucani W 2-141.9 1192 1057 55.39% 18.39% 26.22%+0.61 +11.4 4
2026-04-11 Zimbru W 3-051.0 1535 1563 40.19% 18.61% 41.20%-0.02 +48.5 12
2026-04-11 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-351.0 1563 1535 41.20% 18.61% 40.19%+0.02 -48.5 8
2026-04-11 Milsami Orhei W 3-145.8 1496 1397 56.80% 18.34% 24.86%+0.68 +18.9 13
2026-04-11 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-345.8 1397 1496 24.86% 18.34% 56.80%-0.68 -18.9 5
2026-04-18 Petrocub Hincesti L 1-235.1 1045 1584 3.56% 14.66% 81.78%-2.84 -1.6 0
2026-04-18 @ Dacia Buiucani W 2-135.1 1584 1045 81.78% 14.66% 3.56%+2.84 +1.6 15
2026-04-18 Balti W 2-031.2 1515 1204 74.27% 16.77% 8.95%+1.85 +8.4 16
2026-04-18 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-231.2 1204 1515 8.95% 16.77% 74.27%-1.85 -8.4 4
2026-04-18 Milsami Orhei W 3-144.6 1515 1378 60.86% 18.16% 20.98%+0.89 +16.2 11
2026-04-18 @ Zimbru L 1-344.6 1378 1515 20.98% 18.16% 60.86%-0.89 -16.2 5
2026-04-25 Zimbru L 0-326.3 1044 1531 4.65% 15.32% 80.03%-2.55 -6.3 0
2026-04-25 @ Dacia Buiucani W 3-026.3 1531 1044 80.03% 15.32% 4.65%+2.55 +6.3 14
2026-04-26 Milsami Orhei W 1-047.3 1195 1362 22.86% 18.26% 58.88%-0.78 +24.3 7
2026-04-26 @ Balti L 0-147.3 1362 1195 58.88% 18.26% 22.86%+0.78 -24.3 5
2026-04-26 Sheriff Tiraspol W 1-051.6 1585 1523 52.43% 18.48% 29.10%+0.48 +13.2 18
2026-04-26 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-151.6 1523 1585 29.10% 18.48% 52.43%-0.48 -13.2 16
2026-05-02 Balti W 4-135.1 1537 1220 74.63% 16.71% 8.66%+1.89 +9.9 17
2026-05-02 @ Zimbru L 1-435.1 1220 1537 8.66% 16.71% 74.63%-1.89 -9.9 7
2026-05-02 Petrocub Hincesti L 0-336.9 1338 1598 14.66% 17.66% 67.68%-1.31 -19.6 5
2026-05-02 @ Milsami Orhei W 3-036.9 1598 1338 67.68% 17.66% 14.66%+1.31 +19.6 21
2026-05-03 Sheriff Tiraspol L 1-235.2 1037 1510 5.02% 15.50% 79.48%-2.47 -2.3 0
2026-05-03 @ Dacia Buiucani W 2-135.2 1510 1037 79.48% 15.50% 5.02%+2.47 +2.3 19
2026-05-09 Milsami Orhei L 1-237.8 1035 1318 13.17% 17.49% 69.34%-1.43 -6.1 0
2026-05-09 @ Dacia Buiucani W 2-137.8 1318 1035 69.34% 17.49% 13.17%+1.43 +6.1 8
2026-05-10 Balti W 3-030.2 1618 1210 78.89% 15.68% 5.43%+2.39 +7.3 24
2026-05-10 @ Petrocub Hincesti L 0-330.2 1210 1618 5.43% 15.68% 78.89%-2.39 -7.3 7
2026-05-10 Zimbru W 1-053.9 1512 1547 39.20% 18.61% 42.19%-0.06 +18.0 22
2026-05-10 @ Sheriff Tiraspol L 0-153.9 1547 1512 42.19% 18.61% 39.20%+0.06 -18.0 17
2026-05-17 Dacia Buiucani D 0-050.4 1202 1029 64.39% 17.94% 17.67%+1.09 -5.2 8
2026-05-17 @ Balti D 0-050.4 1029 1202 17.67% 17.94% 64.39%-1.09 +5.2 1
2026-05-17 Sheriff Tiraspol D 0-055.3 1324 1530 19.06% 18.04% 62.90%-1.00 +4.9 9
2026-05-17 @ Milsami Orhei D 0-055.3 1530 1324 62.90% 18.04% 19.06%+1.00 -4.9 23
2026-05-17 Petrocub Hincesti D 1-169.2 1529 1625 30.91% 18.52% 50.57%-0.40 +1.8 18
2026-05-17 @ Zimbru D 1-169.2 1625 1529 50.57% 18.52% 30.91%+0.40 -1.9 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2025-11-01 2.48% Spartanii Sportul 1002 3 @ Zimbru 1560 2
2 2025-11-02 9.04% Balti 1207 2 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1516 1
3 2025-10-25 11.15% @ Spartanii Sportul 946 2 Balti 1262 0
4 2025-10-05 12.45% Spartanii Sportul 922 1 @ Dacia Buiucani 1167 0
5 2025-11-30 14.85% @ Balti 1187 2 Milsami Orhei 1445 1
6 2026-04-26 22.86% @ Balti 1195 1 Milsami Orhei 1362 0
7 2025-07-27 23.00% Zimbru 1408 3 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1524 2
8 2025-11-22 24.00% @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau 1070 3 Balti 1225 1
9 2025-10-26 31.07% @ Milsami Orhei 1442 1 Sheriff Tiraspol 1537 0
10 2025-11-01 31.90% @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau 1034 2 Dacia Buiucani 1122 1
11 2025-09-21 33.25% @ Zimbru 1486 2 Sheriff Tiraspol 1564 0
12 2025-07-12 35.20% Dacia Buiucani 1164 3 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau 1179 2
13 2025-11-02 35.50% Petrocub Hincesti 1450 2 @ Milsami Orhei 1463 1
14 2026-03-14 37.00% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1471 1 Petrocub Hincesti 1521 0
15 2025-08-31 39.12% @ Petrocub Hincesti 1432 2 Milsami Orhei 1468 1
16 2026-05-10 39.20% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1512 1 Zimbru 1547 0
17 2026-04-11 40.19% @ Petrocub Hincesti 1535 3 Zimbru 1563 0
18 2025-11-09 40.23% Politehnica UTM Chisinau 1053 2 @ Spartanii Sportul 1032 1
19 2025-07-05 40.42% Sheriff Tiraspol 1506 2 @ Milsami Orhei 1484 1
20 2025-06-29 40.46% @ Petrocub Hincesti 1351 2 Zimbru 1377 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-10-25 55.70 @ Spartanii Sportul 2 946 11.15% Balti 0 1262 71.65% 17.19%
2 2026-04-11 48.46 @ Petrocub Hincesti 3 1535 40.19% Zimbru 0 1563 41.20% 18.61%
3 2025-06-21 45.05 @ Milsami Orhei 3 1419 43.72% Zimbru 0 1422 37.68% 18.60%
4 2025-10-05 42.90 Zimbru 3 1527 45.89% @ Milsami Orhei 0 1465 35.52% 18.58%
5 2025-11-22 38.93 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau 3 1070 24.00% Balti 1 1225 57.69% 18.31%
6 2025-06-21 38.40 @ Dacia Buiucani 5 1154 53.38% Spartanii Sportul 1 1084 28.17% 18.45%
7 2025-09-21 38.12 @ Zimbru 2 1486 33.25% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1564 48.19% 18.56%
8 2025-08-03 30.38 @ Zimbru 7 1429 72.85% Politehnica UTM Chisinau 0 1143 10.13% 17.01%
9 2025-11-01 30.28 Spartanii Sportul 3 1002 2.48% @ Zimbru 2 1560 83.77% 13.75%
10 2025-07-06 29.38 Zimbru 3 1360 58.88% @ Dacia Buiucani 0 1194 22.86% 18.26%
11 2025-10-05 28.92 Spartanii Sportul 1 922 12.45% @ Dacia Buiucani 0 1167 70.16% 17.39%
12 2025-11-02 28.82 Balti 2 1207 9.04% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1516 74.17% 16.79%
13 2025-06-22 28.66 Sheriff Tiraspol 4 1471 65.59% @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau 0 1235 16.56% 17.85%
14 2025-09-14 27.86 @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau 4 1044 55.48% Spartanii Sportul 1 957 26.13% 18.39%
15 2025-08-30 27.45 @ Dacia Buiucani 4 1163 55.94% Politehnica UTM Chisinau 1 1072 25.69% 18.38%
16 2025-11-30 26.21 @ Balti 2 1187 14.85% Milsami Orhei 1 1445 67.46% 17.68%
17 2025-11-08 25.17 @ Petrocub Hincesti 4 1468 41.53% Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1487 39.87% 18.61%
18 2025-08-23 24.93 Petrocub Hincesti 5 1407 71.28% @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau 0 1096 11.47% 17.25%
19 2026-04-26 24.32 @ Balti 1 1195 22.86% Milsami Orhei 0 1362 58.88% 18.26%
20 2026-03-21 22.83 @ Petrocub Hincesti 2 1502 55.37% Milsami Orhei 0 1416 26.24% 18.39%
21 2025-09-14 22.28 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1542 56.13% Petrocub Hincesti 0 1449 25.50% 18.37%
22 2025-07-13 22.12 Zimbru 6 1389 74.81% @ Spartanii Sportul 0 1020 8.52% 16.67%
23 2025-07-27 21.70 Zimbru 3 1408 23.00% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1524 58.73% 18.27%
24 2025-10-18 21.46 @ Balti 2 1241 57.24% Dacia Buiucani 0 1138 24.43% 18.33%
25 2025-10-26 21.04 @ Milsami Orhei 1 1442 31.07% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1537 50.41% 18.52%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-04-05 71.6 @ Zimbru 2 1565 53.49% Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1494 28.06% 18.45%
2 2026-05-17 69.2 @ Zimbru 1 1529 30.91% Petrocub Hincesti 1 1625 50.57% 18.52%
3 2025-08-03 66.2 @ Balti 3 1249 17.29% Milsami Orhei 3 1476 64.80% 17.91%
4 2025-07-27 64.2 Zimbru 3 1408 23.00% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1524 58.73% 18.27%
5 2025-08-24 63.6 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1524 52.01% Milsami Orhei 1 1465 29.51% 18.49%
6 2025-11-01 63.6 Spartanii Sportul 3 1002 2.48% @ Zimbru 2 1560 83.77% 13.75%
7 2025-10-25 61.9 @ Dacia Buiucani 2 1117 5.68% Zimbru 2 1565 78.54% 15.79%
8 2025-10-19 60.6 @ Zimbru 0 1570 60.19% Petrocub Hincesti 0 1440 21.61% 18.20%
9 2025-09-24 60.5 @ Milsami Orhei 1 1460 46.69% Petrocub Hincesti 1 1442 34.73% 18.58%
10 2025-08-16 59.8 @ Zimbru 1 1476 53.52% Petrocub Hincesti 1 1405 28.03% 18.45%
11 2026-03-07 59.3 @ Milsami Orhei 0 1419 25.84% Zimbru 0 1558 55.78% 18.38%
12 2025-11-02 57.9 Balti 2 1207 9.04% @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1516 74.17% 16.79%
13 2025-11-08 56.9 @ Petrocub Hincesti 4 1468 41.53% Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1487 39.87% 18.61%
14 2025-07-20 56.7 @ Petrocub Hincesti 0 1375 24.32% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1528 57.36% 18.32%
15 2025-07-05 55.9 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1506 40.42% @ Milsami Orhei 1 1484 40.98% 18.61%
16 2025-08-24 55.7 @ Zimbru 1 1473 74.62% Dacia Buiucani 1 1156 8.67% 16.71%
17 2025-07-19 55.4 @ Balti 1 1231 21.41% Zimbru 1 1412 60.40% 18.19%
18 2026-05-17 55.3 @ Milsami Orhei 0 1324 19.06% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1530 62.90% 18.04%
19 2025-11-30 55.2 @ Balti 2 1187 14.85% Milsami Orhei 1 1445 67.46% 17.68%
20 2025-06-22 54.9 @ Petrocub Hincesti 1 1355 61.30% Balti 1 1214 20.56% 18.14%
21 2025-11-02 54.6 Petrocub Hincesti 2 1450 35.50% @ Milsami Orhei 1 1463 45.92% 18.58%
22 2026-05-10 53.9 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 1 1512 39.20% Zimbru 0 1547 42.19% 18.61%
23 2025-10-26 53.4 @ Milsami Orhei 1 1442 31.07% Sheriff Tiraspol 0 1537 50.41% 18.52%
24 2025-08-10 53.3 @ Zimbru 2 1460 42.28% Milsami Orhei 1 1473 39.11% 18.61%
25 2025-07-12 53.2 Dacia Buiucani 3 1164 35.20% @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau 2 1179 46.22% 18.58%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2025-10-19 23.6 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 5 1532 84.39% Spartanii Sportul 0 951 2.19% 13.42%
2 2025-08-30 24.2 @ Zimbru 5 1467 82.20% Spartanii Sportul 0 964 3.32% 14.49%
3 2025-08-17 25.5 Sheriff Tiraspol 3 1520 81.81% @ Spartanii Sportul 0 980 3.54% 14.65%
4 2025-11-30 26.1 Petrocub Hincesti 8 1498 79.54% @ Spartanii Sportul 0 1024 4.98% 15.48%
5 2026-04-25 26.3 Zimbru 3 1531 80.03% @ Dacia Buiucani 0 1044 4.65% 15.32%
6 2026-03-08 26.4 @ Petrocub Hincesti 3 1515 80.17% Dacia Buiucani 0 1073 4.56% 15.27%
7 2025-07-13 26.6 Zimbru 6 1389 74.81% @ Spartanii Sportul 0 1020 8.52% 16.67%
8 2025-09-28 26.6 @ Petrocub Hincesti 2 1443 82.66% Spartanii Sportul 0 924 3.06% 14.28%
9 2025-10-18 26.6 Milsami Orhei 5 1422 74.46% @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau 0 1059 8.80% 16.74%
10 2025-11-30 27.0 Sheriff Tiraspol 4 1447 74.17% @ Dacia Buiucani 0 1089 9.04% 16.79%
11 2025-08-10 27.1 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 3 1512 78.52% Politehnica UTM Chisinau 0 1112 5.69% 15.79%
12 2025-08-23 27.6 Petrocub Hincesti 5 1407 71.28% @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau 0 1096 11.47% 17.25%
13 2025-08-03 28.1 @ Zimbru 7 1429 72.85% Politehnica UTM Chisinau 0 1143 10.13% 17.01%
14 2026-03-20 28.1 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1489 79.50% Dacia Buiucani 0 1065 5.01% 15.49%
15 2025-08-03 28.8 Petrocub Hincesti 2 1386 75.72% @ Spartanii Sportul 0 998 7.79% 16.49%
16 2025-06-29 29.5 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 5 1500 80.61% Spartanii Sportul 1 1045 4.28% 15.11%
17 2025-11-08 30.0 Milsami Orhei 2 1444 73.23% @ Dacia Buiucani 0 1103 9.82% 16.95%
18 2026-05-10 30.2 @ Petrocub Hincesti 3 1618 78.89% Balti 0 1210 5.43% 15.68%
19 2025-09-20 30.5 Milsami Orhei 4 1456 81.41% @ Spartanii Sportul 1 929 3.78% 14.81%
20 2025-06-28 30.9 Milsami Orhei 3 1464 67.35% @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau 0 1207 14.96% 17.69%
21 2025-06-22 31.0 Sheriff Tiraspol 4 1471 65.59% @ Politehnica UTM Chisinau 0 1235 16.56% 17.85%
22 2025-08-03 31.0 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1502 72.76% @ Dacia Buiucani 0 1169 10.21% 17.03%
23 2026-04-04 31.2 @ Milsami Orhei 1 1393 75.41% Dacia Buiucani 0 1061 8.04% 16.55%
24 2026-04-18 31.2 @ Sheriff Tiraspol 2 1515 74.27% Balti 0 1204 8.95% 16.77%
25 2025-10-26 31.6 @ Petrocub Hincesti 4 1444 78.70% Politehnica UTM Chisinau 1 1040 5.56% 15.74%