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2016-17 Macedonian First Football League Season

195 games

Final

Champion

Vardar

83 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Pelister

10.48 points above expected

52 points · 41.52 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bregalnica Shtip

11.43 points below expected

24 points · 35.43 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vardar 36 25 8 3 83 75 24 +51 77.14 +5.86
2 Shkendija 36 20 10 6 70 71 39 +32 72.43 -2.43
3 Rabotnicki 36 14 12 10 54 49 41 +8 57.12 -3.12
4 Pelister 36 14 10 12 52 44 35 +9 41.52 +10.48
5 Renova 36 13 13 10 52 42 37 +5 44.99 +7.01
6 Sileks 36 11 14 11 47 41 43 -2 47.23 -0.23
7 Pobeda Junior 36 10 11 15 41 34 50 -16 41.15 -0.15
8 Shkupi 36 8 13 15 37 27 39 -12 43.77 -6.77
9 Bregalnica Shtip 36 4 12 20 24 39 69 -30 35.43 -11.43
10 Makedonija GP 36 4 11 21 23 35 80 -45 29.98 -6.98
# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Vardar 5 5 0 0 15 8 2 +6 — —
2 Shkendija 5 4 0 1 12 12 3 +9 — —
3 Rabotnicki 5 2 1 2 7 4 4 0 — —
4 Bregalnica Shtip 5 1 2 2 5 4 6 -2 — —
5 Sileks 5 1 1 3 4 3 8 -5 — —
6 Shkupi 5 0 0 5 0 1 9 -8 — —

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pelister 52 41.52 +10.48
2 Renova 52 44.99 +7.01
3 Vardar 83 77.14 +5.86
4 Pobeda Junior 41 41.15 -0.15
5 Sileks 47 47.23 -0.23

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bregalnica Shtip 24 35.43 -11.43
2 Makedonija GP 23 29.98 -6.98
3 Shkupi 37 43.77 -6.77
4 Rabotnicki 54 57.12 -3.12
5 Shkendija 70 72.43 -2.43

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Pobeda Junior 5 May 3 – May 28 1 in 1,432
2 Pelister 4 Oct 30 – Nov 20 1 in 62
3 Vardar 7 Mar 12 – Apr 23 1 in 15
4 Rabotnicki 3 Aug 10 – Aug 21 1 in 11
5 Sileks 2 Aug 14 – Aug 21 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Shkendija 2 Oct 23 – Oct 26 1 in 41
2 Pobeda Junior 4 Aug 7 – Aug 28 1 in 35
3 Makedonija GP 6 Apr 26 – May 21 1 in 21
4 Pelister 3 Mar 12 – Apr 2 1 in 16
5 Bregalnica Shtip 4 Oct 30 – Nov 20 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Renova 7 Aug 27 – Oct 16 1 in 48
2 Sileks 8 Oct 23 – Dec 4 1 in 48
3 Shkupi 5 Feb 26 – Apr 2 1 in 34
4 Rabotnicki 9 Nov 20 – Mar 18 1 in 31
5 Pelister 7 Oct 16 – Nov 27 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bregalnica Shtip 17 Sep 28 – Apr 2 1 in 116
2 Shkupi 10 Oct 30 – Mar 5 1 in 28
3 Makedonija GP 16 Feb 19 – May 21 1 in 23
4 Sileks 8 Aug 27 – Oct 23 1 in 22
5 Shkendija 3 Oct 23 – Oct 30 1 in 13

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Vardar 1531 98 +7 11 11.3 -0.3
Shkendija 1467 82 +9 11 11.0 +0.0
Rabotnicki 1286 61 -54 5 7.2 -2.2
Pelister 1245 52 +20 7 5.7 +1.3
Renova 1280 52 +11 7 5.3 +1.7
Sileks 1236 51 -14 5 6.0 -1.0
Pobeda Junior 1210 41 +37 12 6.6 +5.4
Shkupi 1172 37 -7 4 7.1 -3.1
Bregalnica Shtip 1125 29 -10 3 4.7 -1.7
Makedonija GP 1070 23 +1 4 3.5 +0.5

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BS MG PEL PJ RAB REN SHK SHK SIL VAR
Bregalnica Shtip —
1-1-2
6.12
0-2-2
5.10
0-2-2
4.86
1-2-1
3.07
0-1-3
4.64
0-1-3
2.08
2-1-1
4.88
0-1-3
4.38
0-1-3
1.69
Makedonija GP
2-1-1
4.66
—
0-1-3
4.28
0-3-1
4.17
0-1-3
3.13
1-1-2
3.64
0-0-4
1.73
1-2-1
4.32
0-2-2
3.64
0-0-4
1.49
Pelister
2-2-0
5.66
3-1-0
6.54
—
3-1-0
5.29
2-1-1
3.71
2-0-2
5.00
0-0-4
2.48
2-0-2
5.92
0-4-0
5.05
0-1-3
2.15
Pobeda Junior
2-2-0
5.89
1-3-0
6.65
0-1-3
5.51
—
2-1-1
3.49
0-1-3
4.92
1-0-3
2.28
2-2-0
5.29
1-1-2
4.64
1-0-3
1.89
Rabotnicki
1-2-1
7.84
3-1-0
7.83
1-1-2
7.13
1-1-2
7.39
—
1-3-0
6.59
1-2-1
3.62
2-1-1
7.43
3-0-1
6.44
1-1-2
2.91
Renova
3-1-0
6.15
2-1-1
7.19
2-0-2
5.75
3-1-0
5.85
0-3-1
4.22
—
0-3-1
2.64
2-1-1
6.16
1-2-1
5.40
0-1-3
2.23
Shkendija
3-1-0
9.09
4-0-0
9.55
4-0-0
8.56
3-0-1
8.83
1-2-1
7.23
1-3-0
8.38
—
0-3-1
8.82
3-1-0
8.38
1-0-3
4.84
Shkupi
1-1-2
5.89
1-2-1
6.48
2-0-2
4.86
0-2-2
5.46
1-1-2
3.44
1-1-2
4.61
1-3-0
2.29
—
1-1-2
4.44
0-2-2
1.92
Sileks
3-1-0
6.41
2-2-0
7.21
0-4-0
5.68
2-1-1
6.12
1-0-3
4.34
1-2-1
5.36
0-1-3
2.63
2-1-1
6.33
—
0-2-2
2.24
Vardar
3-1-0
9.60
4-0-0
9.88
3-1-0
9.01
3-0-1
9.35
2-1-1
8.04
3-1-0
8.89
3-0-1
5.90
2-2-0
9.28
2-2-0
8.88
—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +10.5
Allowed 0.72 -9.5
Differential 0.98 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.26%10.26%4.87%4.10%1.54%0.51%31.54%
110.26%13.85%5.38%4.87%0.26%0.51%35.13%
24.87%5.38%4.10%1.28%0.51%0.51%16.67%
34.10%4.87%1.28%1.54%—0.26%12.05%
41.54%0.26%0.51%—0.51%—2.82%
5+0.51%0.51%0.51%0.26%——1.79%
Total31.54%35.13%16.67%12.05%2.82%1.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.25 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.75
CV 0.97 0.97 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 195

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.20%9.76%4.88%9.76%2.44%—39.02%
14.88%14.63%9.76%4.88%—2.44%36.59%
22.44%—2.44%4.88%—2.44%12.20%
32.44%——4.88%—2.44%9.76%
4———————
5+——2.44%———2.44%
Total21.95%24.39%19.51%24.39%2.44%7.32%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.83 -0.78
SD 1.24 1.46 1.68
CV 1.19 0.80 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 41

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%—5.56%8.33%5.56%41.67%
1—13.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%30.56%
22.78%2.78%8.33%2.78%5.56%—22.22%
3—2.78%————2.78%
4———————
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total11.11%33.33%13.89%16.67%16.67%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 2.22 -1.25
SD 1.11 1.61 1.95
CV 1.14 0.72 —
Max 5 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%2.78%———27.78%
113.89%8.33%8.33%5.56%——36.11%
28.33%5.56%5.56%2.78%——22.22%
38.33%2.78%—2.78%——13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total41.67%30.56%16.67%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 0.97 +0.25
SD 1.02 1.03 1.40
CV 0.83 1.06 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%11.11%2.78%5.56%—41.67%
15.56%13.89%8.33%5.56%——33.33%
2—13.89%2.78%———16.67%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total22.22%36.11%27.78%8.33%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.39 -0.44
SD 1.04 1.10 1.56
CV 1.10 0.79 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.76%9.76%2.44%4.88%——26.83%
112.20%14.63%4.88%4.88%——36.59%
27.32%2.44%7.32%——2.44%19.51%
34.88%9.76%————14.63%
42.44%—————2.44%
5+———————
Total36.59%36.59%14.63%9.76%—2.44%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.10 +0.20
SD 1.10 1.24 1.72
CV 0.85 1.13 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 41

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%2.78%5.56%——30.56%
116.67%16.67%2.78%2.78%——38.89%
25.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%——19.44%
32.78%2.78%————5.56%
42.78%———2.78%—5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%36.11%11.11%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.03 +0.14
SD 1.11 1.11 1.48
CV 0.95 1.08 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.88%9.76%2.44%2.44%——19.51%
14.88%12.20%—2.44%——19.51%
22.44%9.76%4.88%———17.07%
39.76%19.51%2.44%———31.71%
44.88%———2.44%—7.32%
5+—2.44%2.44%———4.88%
Total26.83%53.66%12.20%4.88%2.44%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.02 1.02 +1.00
SD 1.44 0.91 1.70
CV 0.71 0.89 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 41

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.20%19.51%12.20%4.88%——48.78%
19.76%19.51%7.32%4.88%——41.46%
2—2.44%————2.44%
32.44%2.44%2.44%———7.32%
4———————
5+———————
Total24.39%43.90%21.95%9.76%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.68 1.17 -0.49
SD 0.85 0.92 1.29
CV 1.24 0.79 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 41

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.20%7.32%9.76%2.44%——31.71%
112.20%17.07%4.88%9.76%——43.90%
24.88%4.88%2.44%———12.20%
32.44%—2.44%4.88%——9.76%
4——2.44%———2.44%
5+———————
Total31.71%29.27%21.95%17.07%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.24 -0.17
SD 1.03 1.09 1.36
CV 0.96 0.88 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 41

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.32%——2.44%——9.76%
121.95%7.32%2.44%2.44%——34.15%
214.63%7.32%2.44%———24.39%
34.88%7.32%2.44%2.44%——17.07%
44.88%2.44%————7.32%
5+4.88%2.44%————7.32%
Total58.54%26.83%7.32%7.32%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.02 0.63 +1.39
SD 1.44 0.92 1.73
CV 0.71 1.44 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 41

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Vardar 1465 83 77.14 +5.86 81.0% 61 65 71 77 82 89 99
Shkendija 1461 70 72.43 -2.43 38.0% 57 60 68 72 76 85 94
Rabotnicki 1294 54 57.12 -3.12 34.0% 35 47 53 57 61 69 72
Renova 1280 52 44.99 +7.01 85.0% 28 35 40 46 50 54 58
Pelister 1245 52 41.52 +10.48 94.0% 24 31 36 42 45 54 60
Bregalnica Shtip 1232 24 35.43 -11.43 6.0% 17 23 31 35 39 47 59
Sileks 1226 47 47.23 -0.23 53.0% 30 34 41 47 52 62 65
Pobeda Junior 1210 41 41.15 -0.15 57.0% 27 30 37 41 45 52 62
Shkupi 1202 37 43.77 -6.77 18.0% 22 31 39 44 48 55 59
Makedonija GP 1070 23 29.98 -6.98 12.0% 13 18 26 30 34 40 43

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.54%
No Edge
45.64%30.26%24.10%
Elo Value
Home Edge
202 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
076.02600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.47 goals
Neutral
-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.8
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
68%
Vardar, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Runaway
00.250.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.64 * Some Luck: 5.64 to 8.46 * Lucky: 8.46 to 11.28 * Wild Swing: 11.28 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.87 * Close: 0.87 to 1.31 * Off: 1.31 to 1.75 * Way Off: 1.75 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.54 points
Some Luck
07.0518
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.80
Pinpoint
01.092.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.00%
Pelister
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
6.00%
Bregalnica Shtip
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 142.52
2.45
Wide Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
64%
Even
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
93%
Clear Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
64%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Rare
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.56
Predictable
00.582
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Slight Separation
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.92
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.60
Strong Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
10%
Solid Favorites
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.67
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.24
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.095
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Elo Progression Through The Playoffs

How each team's Elo rating moved through the playoff games. Game 0 is the starting Elo just before the first game; each later point is the post-game Elo after that fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Vardar68.00%30.00%2.00%———————
Shkendija30.00%63.00%7.00%———————
Rabotnicki2.00%6.00%62.00%20.00%5.00%4.00%—1.00%——
Pelister——6.00%10.00%14.00%12.00%22.00%19.00%11.00%6.00%
Renova——6.00%20.00%27.00%11.00%16.00%15.00%4.00%1.00%
Sileks—1.00%12.00%24.00%18.00%19.00%12.00%8.00%4.00%2.00%
Pobeda Junior——1.00%5.00%13.00%20.00%21.00%18.00%19.00%3.00%
Shkupi——3.00%19.00%14.00%23.00%20.00%12.00%5.00%4.00%
Bregalnica Shtip——1.00%2.00%9.00%8.00%9.00%13.00%34.00%24.00%
Makedonija GP—————3.00%—14.00%23.00%60.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Rabotnicki 99.00% 1.00% —
Shkendija 100% — —
Vardar 100% — —
Renova 80.00% 15.00% 5.00%
Sileks 86.00% 8.00% 6.00%
Shkupi 79.00% 12.00% 9.00%
Pelister 64.00% 19.00% 17.00%
Pobeda Junior 60.00% 18.00% 22.00%
Bregalnica Shtip 29.00% 13.00% 58.00%
Makedonija GP 3.00% 14.00% 83.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2016-08-07 Pelister L 0-244.8 1238 1113 59.32% 26.20% 14.48%+0.99 -26.6 0
2016-08-07 @ Pobeda Junior W 2-044.8 1113 1238 14.48% 26.20% 59.32%-0.99 +26.6 3
2016-08-07 Renova D 1-151.7 1232 1221 45.71% 30.89% 23.40%+0.43 -1.2 1
2016-08-07 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 1-151.7 1221 1232 23.40% 30.89% 45.71%-0.43 +1.2 1
2016-08-07 Shkupi D 1-156.6 1465 1202 72.95% 18.57% 8.47%+1.67 -3.6 1
2016-08-07 @ Vardar D 1-156.6 1202 1465 8.47% 18.57% 72.95%-1.67 +3.6 1
2016-08-08 Sileks W 2-138.5 1461 1226 70.46% 20.11% 9.43%+1.54 +2.5 3
2016-08-08 @ Shkendija L 1-238.5 1226 1461 9.43% 20.11% 70.46%-1.54 -2.5 0
2016-08-10 Rabotnicki L 0-434.9 1170 1294 27.33% 31.68% 40.99%-0.24 -28.5 0
2016-08-10 @ Makedonija GP W 4-034.9 1294 1170 40.99% 31.68% 27.33%+0.24 +28.5 3
2016-08-14 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-037.8 1139 1231 31.56% 32.05% 36.40%-0.08 +26.7 6
2016-08-14 @ Pelister L 0-337.8 1231 1139 36.40% 32.05% 31.56%+0.08 -26.7 1
2016-08-14 Makedonija GP W 1-036.3 1222 1141 54.34% 28.33% 17.33%+0.78 +5.4 4
2016-08-14 @ Renova L 0-136.3 1141 1222 17.33% 28.33% 54.34%-0.78 -5.4 0
2016-08-14 Pobeda Junior W 2-144.4 1224 1211 45.92% 30.85% 23.23%+0.44 +6.6 3
2016-08-14 @ Sileks L 1-244.4 1211 1224 23.23% 30.85% 45.92%-0.44 -6.6 0
2016-08-14 Rabotnicki L 0-141.0 1206 1323 28.27% 31.79% 39.94%-0.20 -8.2 1
2016-08-14 @ Shkupi W 1-041.0 1323 1206 39.94% 31.79% 28.27%+0.20 +8.2 6
2016-08-14 Shkendija W 3-041.2 1461 1464 43.95% 31.23% 24.82%+0.36 +20.2 4
2016-08-14 @ Vardar L 0-341.2 1464 1461 24.82% 31.23% 43.95%-0.36 -20.2 3
2016-08-21 Pelister D 2-256.7 1136 1166 40.23% 31.76% 28.01%+0.23 -0.5 1
2016-08-21 @ Makedonija GP D 2-256.7 1166 1136 28.01% 31.76% 40.23%-0.23 +0.4 7
2016-08-21 Renova W 1-036.1 1331 1228 56.90% 27.29% 15.81%+0.89 +4.9 9
2016-08-21 @ Rabotnicki L 0-136.1 1228 1331 15.81% 27.29% 56.90%-0.89 -4.9 4
2016-08-21 Sileks L 0-241.1 1204 1230 40.77% 31.70% 27.53%+0.25 -20.0 1
2016-08-21 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-041.1 1230 1204 27.53% 31.70% 40.77%-0.25 +20.0 6
2016-08-21 Vardar L 0-136.3 1205 1482 14.32% 26.05% 59.63%-0.99 -4.4 0
2016-08-21 @ Pobeda Junior W 1-036.3 1482 1205 59.63% 26.05% 14.32%+0.99 +4.4 7
2016-08-27 Bregalnica Shtip W 5-129.1 1486 1184 76.31% 16.45% 7.24%+1.87 +5.7 10
2016-08-27 @ Vardar L 1-529.1 1184 1486 7.24% 16.45% 76.31%-1.87 -5.7 1
2016-08-27 Makedonija GP D 1-152.8 1250 1135 58.18% 26.73% 15.10%+0.94 -2.4 7
2016-08-27 @ Sileks D 1-152.8 1135 1250 15.10% 26.73% 58.18%-0.94 +2.4 2
2016-08-27 Rabotnicki W 3-040.9 1166 1336 22.44% 30.62% 46.94%-0.46 +32.2 10
2016-08-27 @ Pelister L 0-340.9 1336 1166 46.94% 30.62% 22.44%+0.46 -32.3 9
2016-08-27 Renova D 0-046.6 1198 1223 40.92% 31.68% 27.39%+0.25 -0.8 2
2016-08-27 @ Shkupi D 0-046.6 1223 1198 27.39% 31.68% 40.92%-0.25 +0.8 5
2016-08-28 Pobeda Junior W 3-134.5 1444 1200 71.23% 19.64% 9.13%+1.58 +4.2 6
2016-08-28 @ Shkendija L 1-334.5 1200 1444 9.13% 19.64% 71.23%-1.58 -4.2 0
2016-09-10 Sileks W 3-139.8 1304 1248 51.35% 29.39% 19.27%+0.65 +9.7 12
2016-09-10 @ Rabotnicki L 1-339.8 1248 1304 19.27% 29.39% 51.35%-0.65 -9.7 7
2016-09-11 Pelister W 2-035.0 1224 1199 47.51% 30.48% 22.01%+0.50 +12.6 8
2016-09-11 @ Renova L 0-235.0 1199 1224 22.01% 30.48% 47.51%-0.50 -12.6 10
2016-09-11 Shkendija D 1-153.8 1178 1448 14.77% 26.45% 58.78%-0.96 +2.4 2
2016-09-11 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 1-153.8 1448 1178 58.78% 26.45% 14.77%+0.96 -2.4 7
2016-09-11 Shkupi W 2-144.9 1196 1197 44.15% 31.20% 24.66%+0.37 +6.9 3
2016-09-11 @ Pobeda Junior L 1-244.9 1197 1196 24.66% 31.20% 44.15%-0.37 -6.9 2
2016-09-11 Vardar L 0-427.7 1138 1492 10.61% 21.83% 67.56%-1.37 -11.1 2
2016-09-11 @ Makedonija GP W 4-027.7 1492 1138 67.56% 21.83% 10.61%+1.37 +11.1 13
2016-09-17 Pelister W 2-144.7 1190 1186 44.82% 31.07% 24.11%+0.40 +6.8 5
2016-09-17 @ Shkupi L 1-244.7 1186 1190 24.11% 31.07% 44.82%-0.40 -6.8 10
2016-09-18 Bregalnica Shtip D 0-046.9 1203 1181 47.13% 30.57% 22.30%+0.48 -1.5 4
2016-09-18 @ Pobeda Junior D 0-046.9 1181 1203 22.30% 30.57% 47.13%-0.48 +1.5 3
2016-09-18 Makedonija GP W 3-024.6 1445 1127 77.67% 15.58% 6.76%+1.95 +4.8 10
2016-09-18 @ Shkendija L 0-324.6 1127 1445 6.76% 15.58% 77.67%-1.95 -4.8 2
2016-09-18 Rabotnicki W 1-036.6 1503 1313 66.04% 22.70% 11.26%+1.31 +3.3 16
2016-09-18 @ Vardar L 0-136.6 1313 1503 11.26% 22.70% 66.04%-1.31 -3.3 12
2016-09-18 Renova D 0-046.9 1238 1236 44.54% 31.13% 24.33%+0.39 -1.2 8
2016-09-18 @ Sileks D 0-046.9 1236 1238 24.33% 31.13% 44.54%-0.39 +1.2 9
2016-09-24 Shkendija L 1-344.5 1310 1450 25.53% 31.38% 43.10%-0.32 -12.3 12
2016-09-24 @ Rabotnicki W 3-144.5 1450 1310 43.10% 31.38% 25.53%+0.32 +12.3 13
2016-09-25 Pobeda Junior D 1-151.1 1122 1201 33.24% 32.09% 34.66%-0.02 +0.1 3
2016-09-25 @ Makedonija GP D 1-151.1 1201 1122 34.66% 32.09% 33.24%+0.02 -0.1 5
2016-09-25 Shkupi W 1-039.9 1182 1197 42.35% 31.49% 26.15%+0.30 +7.7 6
2016-09-25 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-139.9 1197 1182 26.15% 31.49% 42.35%-0.30 -7.7 5
2016-09-25 Sileks D 0-046.5 1179 1237 36.35% 32.05% 31.60%+0.09 -0.3 11
2016-09-25 @ Pelister D 0-046.5 1237 1179 31.60% 32.05% 36.35%-0.09 +0.3 9
2016-09-25 Vardar D 0-050.5 1237 1506 14.80% 26.47% 58.73%-0.95 +2.7 10
2016-09-25 @ Renova D 0-050.5 1506 1237 58.73% 26.47% 14.80%+0.95 -2.7 17
2016-09-28 Makedonija GP L 1-252.6 1190 1122 52.82% 28.89% 18.29%+0.71 -12.2 6
2016-09-28 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-152.6 1122 1190 18.29% 28.89% 52.82%-0.71 +12.2 6
2016-09-28 Pelister D 1-157.7 1504 1179 78.13% 15.28% 6.60%+1.98 -3.9 18
2016-09-28 @ Vardar D 1-157.7 1179 1504 6.60% 15.28% 78.13%-1.98 +3.9 12
2016-09-28 Rabotnicki W 2-149.1 1201 1298 30.92% 32.01% 37.07%-0.10 +9.3 8
2016-09-28 @ Pobeda Junior L 1-249.1 1298 1201 37.07% 32.01% 30.92%+0.10 -9.3 12
2016-09-28 Renova D 1-156.3 1463 1240 69.26% 20.83% 9.91%+1.48 -3.3 14
2016-09-28 @ Shkendija D 1-156.3 1240 1463 9.91% 20.83% 69.26%-1.48 +3.3 11
2016-09-28 Sileks D 1-151.3 1189 1237 37.73% 31.98% 30.30%+0.14 -0.4 6
2016-09-28 @ Shkupi D 1-151.3 1237 1189 30.30% 31.98% 37.73%-0.14 +0.4 10
2016-10-01 Bregalnica Shtip D 1-152.9 1288 1178 57.70% 26.94% 15.36%+0.92 -2.3 13
2016-10-01 @ Rabotnicki D 1-152.9 1178 1288 15.36% 26.94% 57.70%-0.92 +2.3 7
2016-10-02 Pobeda Junior D 1-151.9 1243 1211 48.50% 30.23% 21.28%+0.54 -1.4 12
2016-10-02 @ Renova D 1-151.9 1211 1243 21.28% 30.23% 48.50%-0.54 +1.4 9
2016-10-02 Shkendija L 1-241.3 1183 1459 14.36% 26.09% 59.55%-0.99 -4.2 12
2016-10-02 @ Pelister W 2-141.3 1459 1183 59.55% 26.09% 14.36%+0.99 +4.2 17
2016-10-02 Shkupi L 0-143.2 1134 1189 36.80% 32.03% 31.18%+0.11 -9.8 6
2016-10-02 @ Makedonija GP W 1-043.2 1189 1134 31.18% 32.03% 36.80%-0.11 +9.8 9
2016-10-02 Vardar L 1-339.6 1238 1500 15.21% 26.82% 57.97%-0.92 -7.7 10
2016-10-02 @ Sileks W 3-139.6 1500 1238 57.97% 26.82% 15.21%+0.92 +7.7 21
2016-10-15 Makedonija GP W 2-139.2 1286 1124 63.22% 24.24% 12.54%+1.18 +3.6 16
2016-10-15 @ Rabotnicki L 1-239.2 1124 1286 12.54% 24.24% 63.22%-1.18 -3.6 6
2016-10-16 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-037.1 1242 1180 52.05% 29.15% 18.80%+0.68 +5.8 15
2016-10-16 @ Renova L 0-137.1 1180 1242 18.80% 29.15% 52.05%-0.68 -5.8 7
2016-10-16 Pobeda Junior W 2-037.3 1179 1212 39.76% 31.81% 28.43%+0.21 +15.5 15
2016-10-16 @ Pelister L 0-237.3 1212 1179 28.43% 31.81% 39.76%-0.21 -15.5 9
2016-10-16 Shkendija L 1-340.0 1230 1463 17.08% 28.18% 54.74%-0.78 -8.7 10
2016-10-16 @ Sileks W 3-140.0 1463 1230 54.74% 28.18% 17.08%+0.78 +8.7 20
2016-10-16 Vardar D 0-050.6 1199 1507 12.65% 24.36% 62.99%-1.15 +3.1 10
2016-10-16 @ Shkupi D 0-050.6 1507 1199 62.99% 24.36% 12.65%+1.15 -3.1 22
2016-10-23 Pelister D 0-046.6 1174 1194 41.65% 31.59% 26.76%+0.28 -0.8 8
2016-10-23 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-046.6 1194 1174 26.76% 31.59% 41.65%-0.28 +0.8 16
2016-10-23 Renova W 3-146.6 1121 1248 27.04% 31.63% 41.32%-0.25 +17.5 9
2016-10-23 @ Makedonija GP L 1-346.6 1248 1121 41.32% 31.63% 27.04%+0.25 -17.5 15
2016-10-23 Shkupi W 3-138.5 1290 1202 55.13% 28.02% 16.85%+0.81 +8.6 19
2016-10-23 @ Rabotnicki L 1-338.5 1202 1290 16.85% 28.02% 55.13%-0.81 -8.6 10
2016-10-23 Sileks D 1-151.3 1197 1221 40.99% 31.68% 27.34%+0.25 -0.7 10
2016-10-23 @ Pobeda Junior D 1-151.3 1221 1197 27.34% 31.68% 40.99%-0.25 +0.7 11
2016-10-23 Vardar L 0-249.7 1472 1504 39.96% 31.79% 28.25%+0.22 -19.7 20
2016-10-23 @ Shkendija W 2-049.7 1504 1472 28.25% 31.79% 39.96%-0.22 +19.7 25
2016-10-26 Shkupi L 0-151.2 1452 1193 72.65% 18.76% 8.59%+1.66 -16.2 20
2016-10-26 @ Shkendija W 1-051.2 1193 1452 8.59% 18.76% 72.65%-1.66 +16.2 13
2016-10-30 Bregalnica Shtip W 1-037.5 1222 1174 50.43% 29.68% 19.90%+0.61 +6.1 14
2016-10-30 @ Sileks L 0-137.5 1174 1222 19.90% 29.68% 50.43%-0.61 -6.1 8
2016-10-30 Makedonija GP W 1-037.1 1195 1138 51.46% 29.35% 19.19%+0.66 +5.9 19
2016-10-30 @ Pelister L 0-137.1 1138 1195 19.19% 29.35% 51.46%-0.66 -5.9 9
2016-10-30 Pobeda Junior W 2-136.6 1524 1196 78.38% 15.11% 6.51%+2.00 +1.6 28
2016-10-30 @ Vardar L 1-236.6 1196 1524 6.51% 15.11% 78.38%-2.00 -1.6 10
2016-10-30 Rabotnicki D 1-151.5 1230 1298 34.91% 32.09% 33.01%+0.04 -0.1 16
2016-10-30 @ Renova D 1-151.5 1298 1230 33.01% 32.09% 34.91%-0.04 +0.1 20
2016-10-30 Shkendija D 0-048.7 1209 1436 17.57% 28.48% 53.95%-0.75 +2.2 14
2016-10-30 @ Shkupi D 0-048.7 1436 1209 53.95% 28.48% 17.57%+0.75 -2.2 21
2016-11-05 Pelister L 0-148.0 1298 1201 56.23% 27.58% 16.20%+0.86 -13.5 20
2016-11-05 @ Rabotnicki W 1-048.0 1201 1298 16.20% 27.58% 56.23%-0.86 +13.6 22
2016-11-05 Shkendija L 1-242.5 1194 1434 16.66% 27.90% 55.44%-0.81 -4.9 10
2016-11-05 @ Pobeda Junior W 2-142.5 1434 1194 55.44% 27.90% 16.66%+0.81 +4.9 24
2016-11-05 Shkupi W 1-038.7 1230 1212 46.70% 30.67% 22.63%+0.47 +6.9 19
2016-11-05 @ Renova L 0-138.7 1212 1230 22.63% 30.67% 46.70%-0.47 -6.9 14
2016-11-05 Sileks D 1-151.2 1132 1228 31.00% 32.02% 36.98%-0.10 +0.3 10
2016-11-05 @ Makedonija GP D 1-151.2 1228 1132 36.98% 32.02% 31.00%+0.10 -0.3 15
2016-11-05 Vardar L 0-133.9 1167 1525 10.45% 21.60% 67.94%-1.39 -3.0 8
2016-11-05 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 1-033.9 1525 1167 67.94% 21.60% 10.45%+1.39 +3.0 31
2016-11-16 Bregalnica Shtip W 5-233.2 1439 1164 73.99% 17.92% 8.09%+1.73 +4.4 27
2016-11-16 @ Shkendija L 2-533.2 1164 1439 8.09% 17.92% 73.99%-1.73 -4.4 8
2016-11-16 Makedonija GP W 4-128.4 1528 1133 83.23% 11.92% 4.85%+2.33 +2.7 34
2016-11-16 @ Vardar L 1-428.4 1133 1528 4.85% 11.92% 83.23%-2.33 -2.7 10
2016-11-16 Pobeda Junior D 1-151.6 1205 1190 46.28% 30.77% 22.95%+0.45 -1.2 15
2016-11-16 @ Shkupi D 1-151.6 1190 1205 22.95% 30.77% 46.28%-0.45 +1.2 11
2016-11-16 Rabotnicki W 2-147.5 1228 1285 36.46% 32.04% 31.50%+0.09 +8.3 18
2016-11-16 @ Sileks L 1-247.5 1285 1228 31.50% 32.04% 36.46%-0.09 -8.3 20
2016-11-16 Renova W 1-040.4 1214 1237 41.25% 31.64% 27.11%+0.26 +7.9 25
2016-11-16 @ Pelister L 0-140.4 1237 1214 27.11% 31.64% 41.25%-0.26 -7.9 19
2016-11-20 Pobeda Junior L 2-354.4 1160 1191 40.14% 31.77% 28.09%+0.22 -9.4 8
2016-11-20 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-254.4 1191 1160 28.09% 31.77% 40.14%-0.22 +9.4 14
2016-11-20 Shkendija L 0-428.6 1130 1443 12.42% 24.10% 63.48%-1.17 -13.4 10
2016-11-20 @ Makedonija GP W 4-028.6 1443 1130 63.48% 24.10% 12.42%+1.17 +13.4 30
2016-11-20 Shkupi W 2-035.3 1222 1204 46.73% 30.67% 22.60%+0.47 +12.9 28
2016-11-20 @ Pelister L 0-235.3 1204 1222 22.60% 30.67% 46.73%-0.47 -12.9 15
2016-11-20 Sileks D 2-257.1 1229 1236 43.37% 31.33% 25.29%+0.34 -0.7 20
2016-11-20 @ Renova D 2-257.1 1236 1229 25.29% 31.33% 43.37%-0.34 +0.7 19
2016-11-20 Vardar W 3-046.2 1276 1531 15.67% 27.18% 57.15%-0.88 +37.6 23
2016-11-20 @ Rabotnicki L 0-346.2 1531 1276 57.15% 27.18% 15.67%+0.88 -37.6 34
2016-11-27 Bregalnica Shtip D 1-151.7 1191 1151 49.40% 29.98% 20.62%+0.57 -1.5 16
2016-11-27 @ Shkupi D 1-151.7 1151 1191 20.62% 29.98% 49.40%-0.57 +1.5 9
2016-11-27 Makedonija GP D 0-047.6 1200 1116 54.64% 28.21% 17.15%+0.79 -2.3 15
2016-11-27 @ Pobeda Junior D 0-047.6 1116 1200 17.15% 28.21% 54.64%-0.79 +2.3 11
2016-11-27 Pelister D 0-046.9 1237 1235 44.47% 31.14% 24.39%+0.38 -1.2 20
2016-11-27 @ Sileks D 0-046.9 1235 1237 24.39% 31.14% 44.47%-0.38 +1.2 29
2016-11-27 Rabotnicki D 2-261.6 1457 1314 61.21% 25.28% 13.51%+1.08 -2.0 31
2016-11-27 @ Shkendija D 2-261.6 1314 1457 13.51% 25.28% 61.21%-1.08 +2.0 24
2016-11-27 Renova W 1-032.7 1494 1228 73.16% 18.44% 8.40%+1.69 +2.3 37
2016-11-27 @ Vardar L 0-132.7 1228 1494 8.40% 18.44% 73.16%-1.69 -2.3 20
2016-11-30 Bregalnica Shtip D 2-256.7 1119 1152 39.76% 31.81% 28.43%+0.21 -0.4 12
2016-11-30 @ Makedonija GP D 2-256.7 1152 1119 28.43% 31.81% 39.76%-0.21 +0.4 10
2016-11-30 Pobeda Junior W 3-137.5 1316 1198 58.56% 26.55% 14.89%+0.96 +7.5 27
2016-11-30 @ Rabotnicki L 1-337.5 1198 1316 14.89% 26.55% 58.56%-0.96 -7.5 15
2016-11-30 Shkendija L 1-243.4 1226 1455 17.44% 28.40% 54.16%-0.75 -5.1 20
2016-11-30 @ Renova W 2-143.4 1455 1226 54.16% 28.40% 17.44%+0.75 +5.1 34
2016-11-30 Shkupi W 1-037.6 1236 1189 50.20% 29.74% 20.05%+0.61 +6.2 23
2016-11-30 @ Sileks L 0-137.6 1189 1236 20.05% 29.74% 50.20%-0.61 -6.2 16
2016-11-30 Vardar L 0-137.5 1236 1496 15.38% 26.95% 57.67%-0.91 -4.8 29
2016-11-30 @ Pelister W 1-037.5 1496 1236 57.67% 26.95% 15.38%+0.91 +4.8 40
2016-12-04 Makedonija GP L 0-243.6 1183 1118 52.40% 29.03% 18.56%+0.70 -24.2 16
2016-12-04 @ Shkupi W 2-043.6 1118 1183 18.56% 29.03% 52.40%-0.70 +24.2 15
2016-12-04 Pelister W 1-033.3 1460 1232 69.80% 20.51% 9.70%+1.50 +2.8 37
2016-12-04 @ Shkendija L 0-133.3 1232 1460 9.70% 20.51% 69.80%-1.50 -2.8 29
2016-12-04 Rabotnicki D 0-047.1 1153 1324 22.31% 30.58% 47.12%-0.47 +1.5 11
2016-12-04 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-047.1 1324 1153 47.12% 30.58% 22.31%+0.47 -1.5 28
2016-12-04 Renova L 0-240.8 1190 1221 40.13% 31.77% 28.10%+0.22 -19.7 15
2016-12-04 @ Pobeda Junior W 2-040.8 1221 1190 28.10% 31.77% 40.13%-0.22 +19.7 23
2016-12-04 Sileks D 1-157.5 1501 1242 72.61% 18.79% 8.60%+1.66 -3.6 41
2016-12-04 @ Vardar D 1-157.5 1242 1501 8.60% 18.79% 72.61%-1.66 +3.6 24
2017-02-19 Pelister D 2-256.7 1171 1229 36.26% 32.05% 31.68%+0.09 -0.2 16
2017-02-19 @ Pobeda Junior D 2-256.7 1229 1171 31.68% 32.05% 36.26%-0.09 +0.2 30
2017-02-19 Rabotnicki L 0-333.0 1143 1322 21.48% 30.30% 48.21%-0.51 -18.0 15
2017-02-19 @ Makedonija GP W 3-033.0 1322 1143 48.21% 30.30% 21.48%+0.51 +18.0 31
2017-02-19 Renova L 0-141.9 1154 1241 32.23% 32.07% 35.70%-0.05 -9.0 11
2017-02-19 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 1-041.9 1241 1154 35.70% 32.07% 32.23%+0.05 +9.0 26
2017-02-19 Shkupi W 3-024.8 1497 1159 79.18% 14.59% 6.23%+2.05 +4.3 44
2017-02-19 @ Vardar L 0-324.8 1159 1497 6.23% 14.59% 79.18%-2.05 -4.3 16
2017-02-19 Sileks W 2-030.4 1463 1245 68.76% 21.12% 10.12%+1.45 +5.5 40
2017-02-19 @ Shkendija L 0-230.4 1245 1463 10.12% 21.12% 68.76%-1.45 -5.5 24
2017-02-25 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-141.7 1229 1145 54.68% 28.20% 17.12%+0.79 +5.0 33
2017-02-25 @ Pelister L 1-241.7 1145 1229 17.12% 28.20% 54.68%-0.79 -5.0 11
2017-02-26 Makedonija GP D 2-258.4 1250 1125 59.32% 26.20% 14.48%+0.99 -1.9 27
2017-02-26 @ Renova D 2-258.4 1125 1250 14.48% 26.20% 59.32%-0.99 +1.9 16
2017-02-26 Pobeda Junior W 2-033.4 1240 1170 52.98% 28.83% 18.19%+0.72 +10.7 27
2017-02-26 @ Sileks L 0-233.4 1170 1240 18.19% 28.83% 52.98%-0.72 -10.7 16
2017-02-26 Rabotnicki D 1-152.0 1154 1340 20.93% 30.10% 48.98%-0.54 +1.5 17
2017-02-26 @ Shkupi D 1-152.0 1340 1154 48.98% 30.10% 20.93%+0.54 -1.5 32
2017-02-26 Shkendija W 3-148.9 1501 1468 48.56% 30.21% 21.23%+0.54 +10.6 47
2017-02-26 @ Vardar L 1-348.9 1468 1501 21.23% 30.21% 48.56%-0.54 -10.6 40
2017-03-04 Renova D 0-048.4 1339 1248 55.46% 27.89% 16.65%+0.82 -2.4 33
2017-03-04 @ Rabotnicki D 0-048.4 1248 1339 16.65% 27.89% 55.46%-0.82 +2.4 28
2017-03-05 Pelister L 1-246.5 1126 1234 29.43% 31.91% 38.66%-0.16 -7.9 16
2017-03-05 @ Makedonija GP W 2-146.5 1234 1126 38.66% 31.91% 29.43%+0.16 +7.9 36
2017-03-05 Shkupi D 0-052.0 1458 1156 76.28% 16.47% 7.25%+1.87 -4.3 41
2017-03-05 @ Shkendija D 0-052.0 1156 1458 7.25% 16.47% 76.28%-1.87 +4.3 18
2017-03-05 Sileks D 3-360.4 1140 1250 29.09% 31.88% 39.03%-0.17 +0.3 12
2017-03-05 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 3-360.4 1250 1140 39.03% 31.88% 29.09%+0.17 -0.3 28
2017-03-05 Vardar W 2-156.3 1160 1512 10.68% 21.92% 67.39%-1.37 +14.6 19
2017-03-05 @ Pobeda Junior L 1-256.3 1512 1160 67.39% 21.92% 10.68%+1.37 -14.6 47
2017-03-12 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-026.1 1497 1140 80.56% 13.68% 5.75%+2.14 +2.7 50
2017-03-12 @ Vardar L 0-226.1 1140 1497 5.75% 13.68% 80.56%-2.14 -2.7 12
2017-03-12 Makedonija GP W 4-240.4 1250 1118 60.03% 25.86% 14.11%+1.03 +6.3 31
2017-03-12 @ Sileks L 2-440.4 1118 1250 14.11% 25.86% 60.03%-1.03 -6.3 16
2017-03-12 Pobeda Junior W 4-025.7 1453 1174 74.38% 17.68% 7.94%+1.76 +7.7 44
2017-03-12 @ Shkendija L 0-425.7 1174 1453 7.94% 17.68% 74.38%-1.76 -7.7 19
2017-03-12 Rabotnicki L 0-142.2 1242 1336 31.21% 32.03% 36.76%-0.09 -8.8 36
2017-03-12 @ Pelister W 1-042.2 1336 1242 36.76% 32.03% 31.21%+0.09 +8.8 36
2017-03-12 Renova W 3-253.4 1160 1250 31.77% 32.05% 36.18%-0.07 +8.7 21
2017-03-12 @ Shkupi L 2-353.4 1250 1160 36.18% 32.05% 31.77%+0.07 -8.7 28
2017-03-18 Pelister W 2-144.7 1242 1233 45.38% 30.96% 23.66%+0.42 +6.7 31
2017-03-18 @ Renova L 1-244.7 1233 1242 23.66% 30.96% 45.38%-0.42 -6.7 36
2017-03-18 Shkendija L 1-336.2 1138 1461 11.95% 23.56% 64.49%-1.22 -5.9 12
2017-03-18 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 3-136.2 1461 1138 64.49% 23.56% 11.95%+1.22 +5.8 47
2017-03-18 Shkupi D 1-151.4 1167 1169 43.99% 31.23% 24.78%+0.36 -1.0 20
2017-03-18 @ Pobeda Junior D 1-151.4 1169 1167 24.78% 31.23% 43.99%-0.36 +1.0 22
2017-03-18 Sileks W 2-033.4 1345 1257 55.20% 27.99% 16.81%+0.81 +9.9 39
2017-03-18 @ Rabotnicki L 0-233.4 1257 1345 16.81% 27.99% 55.20%-0.81 -9.8 31
2017-03-18 Vardar L 0-527.2 1112 1500 9.30% 19.90% 70.79%-1.54 -11.6 16
2017-03-18 @ Makedonija GP W 5-027.2 1500 1112 70.79% 19.90% 9.30%+1.54 +11.6 53
2017-04-02 Bregalnica Shtip D 0-046.9 1166 1132 48.63% 30.19% 21.18%+0.54 -1.6 21
2017-04-02 @ Pobeda Junior D 0-046.9 1132 1166 21.18% 30.19% 48.63%-0.54 +1.6 13
2017-04-02 Makedonija GP W 5-126.9 1467 1101 81.23% 13.25% 5.53%+2.19 +4.1 50
2017-04-02 @ Shkendija L 1-526.9 1101 1467 5.53% 13.25% 81.23%-2.19 -4.1 16
2017-04-02 Pelister W 1-041.7 1170 1227 36.50% 32.04% 31.46%+0.10 +8.8 25
2017-04-02 @ Shkupi L 0-141.7 1227 1170 31.46% 32.04% 36.50%-0.10 -8.8 36
2017-04-02 Rabotnicki W 2-035.6 1512 1355 62.70% 24.51% 12.78%+1.15 +7.3 56
2017-04-02 @ Vardar L 0-235.6 1355 1512 12.78% 24.51% 62.70%-1.15 -7.3 39
2017-04-02 Renova W 3-034.3 1247 1248 44.07% 31.21% 24.72%+0.37 +20.2 34
2017-04-02 @ Sileks L 0-334.3 1248 1247 24.72% 31.21% 44.07%-0.37 -20.2 31
2017-04-05 Pobeda Junior D 0-046.3 1096 1164 34.96% 32.09% 32.95%+0.04 -0.1 17
2017-04-05 @ Makedonija GP D 0-046.3 1164 1096 32.95% 32.09% 34.96%-0.04 +0.1 22
2017-04-05 Shkendija W 1-048.3 1348 1471 27.48% 31.70% 40.82%-0.23 +10.6 42
2017-04-05 @ Rabotnicki L 0-148.3 1471 1348 40.82% 31.70% 27.48%+0.23 -10.6 50
2017-04-05 Shkupi W 3-035.8 1133 1179 38.12% 31.95% 29.93%+0.15 +23.3 16
2017-04-05 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-335.8 1179 1133 29.93% 31.95% 38.12%-0.15 -23.3 25
2017-04-05 Sileks D 0-046.7 1218 1267 37.58% 31.99% 30.44%+0.13 -0.4 37
2017-04-05 @ Pelister D 0-046.7 1267 1218 30.44% 31.99% 37.58%-0.13 +0.4 35
2017-04-05 Vardar L 0-136.7 1228 1519 13.56% 25.33% 61.11%-1.06 -4.1 31
2017-04-05 @ Renova W 1-036.7 1519 1228 61.11% 25.33% 13.56%+1.06 +4.2 59
2017-04-09 Makedonija GP W 1-036.9 1157 1096 51.90% 29.20% 18.90%+0.67 +5.8 19
2017-04-09 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-136.9 1096 1157 18.90% 29.20% 51.90%-0.67 -5.9 17
2017-04-09 Pelister W 3-134.1 1523 1217 76.63% 16.25% 7.13%+1.89 +3.1 62
2017-04-09 @ Vardar L 1-334.1 1217 1523 7.13% 16.25% 76.63%-1.89 -3.1 37
2017-04-09 Rabotnicki D 0-047.5 1164 1358 20.19% 29.80% 50.01%-0.58 +1.8 23
2017-04-09 @ Pobeda Junior D 0-047.5 1358 1164 50.01% 29.80% 20.19%+0.58 -1.8 43
2017-04-09 Renova D 1-156.3 1460 1224 70.56% 20.05% 9.40%+1.54 -3.4 51
2017-04-09 @ Shkendija D 1-156.3 1224 1460 9.40% 20.05% 70.56%-1.54 +3.4 32
2017-04-09 Sileks W 3-146.2 1155 1267 28.90% 31.86% 39.24%-0.18 +16.8 28
2017-04-09 @ Shkupi L 1-346.2 1267 1155 39.24% 31.86% 28.90%+0.18 -16.8 35
2017-04-15 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-135.2 1356 1163 66.46% 22.46% 11.08%+1.33 +5.3 46
2017-04-15 @ Rabotnicki L 1-335.2 1163 1356 11.08% 22.46% 66.46%-1.33 -5.3 19
2017-04-15 Pobeda Junior W 1-037.0 1227 1166 52.03% 29.16% 18.81%+0.68 +5.8 35
2017-04-15 @ Renova L 0-137.0 1166 1227 18.81% 29.16% 52.03%-0.68 -5.8 23
2017-04-15 Shkendija L 0-137.3 1214 1457 16.46% 27.76% 55.77%-0.82 -5.1 37
2017-04-15 @ Pelister W 1-037.3 1457 1214 55.77% 27.76% 16.46%+0.82 +5.1 54
2017-04-15 Shkupi D 0-046.3 1090 1172 32.94% 32.09% 34.97%-0.03 +0.1 18
2017-04-15 @ Makedonija GP D 0-046.3 1172 1090 34.97% 32.09% 32.94%+0.03 -0.1 29
2017-04-15 Vardar L 0-137.7 1250 1526 14.40% 26.12% 59.48%-0.99 -4.4 35
2017-04-15 @ Sileks W 1-037.7 1526 1250 59.48% 26.12% 14.40%+0.99 +4.4 65
2017-04-22 Makedonija GP D 1-155.5 1362 1091 73.69% 18.11% 8.20%+1.72 -3.7 47
2017-04-22 @ Rabotnicki D 1-155.5 1091 1362 8.20% 18.11% 73.69%-1.72 +3.7 19
2017-04-23 Bregalnica Shtip W 4-030.9 1233 1157 53.74% 28.55% 17.70%+0.75 +19.7 38
2017-04-23 @ Renova L 0-430.9 1157 1233 17.70% 28.55% 53.74%-0.75 -19.7 19
2017-04-23 Pobeda Junior W 1-037.4 1209 1160 50.53% 29.64% 19.83%+0.62 +6.1 40
2017-04-23 @ Pelister L 0-137.4 1160 1209 19.83% 29.64% 50.53%-0.62 -6.1 23
2017-04-23 Shkendija D 1-153.9 1246 1462 18.39% 28.94% 52.67%-0.69 +1.8 36
2017-04-23 @ Sileks D 1-153.9 1462 1246 52.67% 28.94% 18.39%+0.69 -1.9 55
2017-04-23 Vardar L 0-230.6 1172 1531 10.42% 21.56% 68.01%-1.40 -5.7 29
2017-04-23 @ Shkupi W 2-030.6 1531 1172 68.01% 21.56% 10.42%+1.40 +5.7 68
2017-04-26 Pelister D 1-151.1 1138 1215 33.50% 32.09% 34.41%-0.01 +0.1 20
2017-04-26 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 1-151.1 1215 1138 34.41% 32.09% 33.50%+0.01 -0.0 41
2017-04-26 Renova L 1-341.1 1094 1253 23.54% 30.93% 45.54%-0.41 -11.6 19
2017-04-26 @ Makedonija GP W 3-141.1 1253 1094 45.54% 30.93% 23.54%+0.41 +11.6 41
2017-04-26 Sileks W 1-043.3 1154 1248 31.25% 32.03% 36.72%-0.09 +9.8 26
2017-04-26 @ Pobeda Junior L 0-143.3 1248 1154 36.72% 32.03% 31.25%+0.09 -9.8 36
2017-04-26 Vardar W 3-154.3 1460 1536 33.71% 32.09% 34.20%+0.00 +15.2 58
2017-04-26 @ Shkendija L 1-354.3 1536 1460 34.20% 32.09% 33.71%+0.00 -15.3 68
2017-04-27 Shkupi L 0-149.6 1358 1166 66.26% 22.57% 11.17%+1.32 -15.3 47
2017-04-27 @ Rabotnicki W 1-049.6 1166 1358 11.17% 22.57% 66.26%-1.32 +15.3 32
2017-04-30 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-245.9 1238 1138 56.56% 27.43% 16.00%+0.87 +4.5 39
2017-04-30 @ Sileks L 2-345.9 1138 1238 16.00% 27.43% 56.56%-0.87 -4.5 20
2017-04-30 Makedonija GP W 3-136.6 1215 1083 60.12% 25.81% 14.06%+1.03 +7.1 44
2017-04-30 @ Pelister L 1-336.6 1083 1215 14.06% 25.81% 60.12%-1.03 -7.1 19
2017-04-30 Pobeda Junior W 4-024.4 1521 1164 80.59% 13.67% 5.74%+2.14 +5.1 71
2017-04-30 @ Vardar L 0-424.4 1164 1521 5.74% 13.67% 80.59%-2.14 -5.1 26
2017-04-30 Rabotnicki D 1-152.0 1264 1343 33.42% 32.09% 34.49%-0.01 +0.0 42
2017-04-30 @ Renova D 1-152.0 1343 1264 34.49% 32.09% 33.42%+0.01 -0.0 48
2017-04-30 Shkendija D 1-154.5 1182 1475 13.41% 25.17% 61.42%-1.08 +2.7 33
2017-04-30 @ Shkupi D 1-154.5 1475 1182 61.42% 25.17% 13.41%+1.08 -2.7 59
2017-05-03 Pelister D 1-153.4 1343 1222 58.79% 26.44% 14.76%+0.97 -2.4 49
2017-05-03 @ Rabotnicki D 1-153.4 1222 1343 14.76% 26.44% 58.79%-0.97 +2.4 45
2017-05-03 Shkendija W 1-049.9 1159 1473 12.39% 24.07% 63.55%-1.18 +14.8 29
2017-05-03 @ Pobeda Junior L 0-149.9 1473 1159 63.55% 24.07% 12.39%+1.18 -14.9 59
2017-05-03 Shkupi W 2-142.0 1265 1184 54.25% 28.36% 17.39%+0.77 +5.1 45
2017-05-03 @ Renova L 1-242.0 1184 1265 17.39% 28.36% 54.25%-0.77 -5.1 33
2017-05-03 Sileks L 0-138.6 1076 1242 22.70% 30.70% 46.60%-0.45 -6.9 19
2017-05-03 @ Makedonija GP W 1-038.6 1242 1076 46.60% 30.70% 22.70%+0.45 +6.9 42
2017-05-03 Vardar D 3-365.3 1133 1526 9.12% 19.62% 71.26%-1.57 +2.1 21
2017-05-03 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 3-365.3 1526 1133 71.26% 19.62% 9.12%+1.57 -2.2 72
2017-05-07 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-024.6 1458 1135 77.96% 15.38% 6.65%+1.97 +4.7 62
2017-05-07 @ Shkendija L 0-324.6 1135 1458 6.65% 15.38% 77.96%-1.97 -4.7 21
2017-05-07 Makedonija GP W 6-023.1 1524 1069 86.77% 9.54% 3.70%+2.63 +4.4 75
2017-05-07 @ Vardar L 0-623.1 1069 1524 3.70% 9.54% 86.77%-2.63 -4.4 19
2017-05-07 Pobeda Junior L 1-250.9 1179 1173 45.03% 31.03% 23.94%+0.40 -10.8 33
2017-05-07 @ Shkupi W 2-150.9 1173 1179 23.94% 31.03% 45.03%-0.40 +10.8 32
2017-05-07 Rabotnicki L 0-239.0 1249 1340 31.66% 32.05% 36.29%-0.07 -16.7 42
2017-05-07 @ Sileks W 2-039.0 1340 1249 36.29% 32.05% 31.66%+0.07 +16.7 52
2017-05-07 Renova W 3-036.1 1225 1270 38.17% 31.95% 29.88%+0.15 +23.3 48
2017-05-07 @ Pelister L 0-336.1 1270 1225 29.88% 31.95% 38.17%-0.15 -23.3 45
2017-05-13 Shkupi W 1-036.4 1248 1168 54.17% 28.39% 17.43%+0.77 +5.4 51
2017-05-13 @ Pelister L 0-136.4 1168 1248 17.43% 28.39% 54.17%-0.77 -5.4 33
2017-05-14 Pobeda Junior L 1-248.7 1131 1184 36.94% 32.02% 31.04%+0.11 -9.3 21
2017-05-14 @ Bregalnica Shtip W 2-148.7 1184 1131 31.04% 32.02% 36.94%-0.11 +9.3 35
2017-05-14 Shkendija L 2-341.7 1064 1463 8.94% 19.33% 71.73%-1.59 -2.2 19
2017-05-14 @ Makedonija GP W 3-241.7 1463 1064 71.73% 19.33% 8.94%+1.59 +2.2 65
2017-05-14 Sileks W 1-039.0 1246 1233 46.07% 30.82% 23.11%+0.44 +7.0 48
2017-05-14 @ Renova L 0-139.0 1233 1246 23.11% 30.82% 46.07%-0.44 -7.0 42
2017-05-14 Vardar D 2-262.9 1357 1528 22.25% 30.56% 47.19%-0.47 +1.0 53
2017-05-14 @ Rabotnicki D 2-262.9 1528 1357 47.19% 30.56% 22.25%+0.47 -1.0 76
2017-05-21 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-032.3 1163 1121 49.61% 29.92% 20.47%+0.58 +17.2 36
2017-05-21 @ Shkupi L 0-332.3 1121 1163 20.47% 29.92% 49.61%-0.58 -17.2 21
2017-05-21 Makedonija GP W 4-240.3 1194 1062 60.00% 25.87% 14.13%+1.03 +6.4 38
2017-05-21 @ Pobeda Junior L 2-440.3 1062 1194 14.13% 25.87% 60.00%-1.03 -6.4 19
2017-05-21 Pelister D 3-360.6 1226 1253 40.54% 31.73% 27.73%+0.24 -0.4 43
2017-05-21 @ Sileks D 3-360.6 1253 1226 27.73% 31.73% 40.54%-0.24 +0.4 52
2017-05-21 Rabotnicki D 2-262.2 1465 1358 57.29% 27.12% 15.59%+0.90 -1.7 66
2017-05-21 @ Shkendija D 2-262.2 1358 1465 15.59% 27.12% 57.29%-0.90 +1.7 54
2017-05-21 Renova W 2-030.1 1527 1253 73.96% 17.94% 8.10%+1.73 +4.2 79
2017-05-21 @ Vardar L 0-230.1 1253 1527 8.10% 17.94% 73.96%-1.73 -4.1 48
2017-05-28 Bregalnica Shtip W 5-348.5 1056 1104 37.68% 31.98% 30.34%+0.14 +11.9 22
2017-05-28 @ Makedonija GP L 3-548.5 1104 1056 30.34% 31.98% 37.68%-0.14 -11.9 21
2017-05-28 Pobeda Junior L 0-344.0 1360 1200 63.01% 24.35% 12.64%+1.17 -40.4 54
2017-05-28 @ Rabotnicki W 3-044.0 1200 1360 12.64% 24.35% 63.01%-1.17 +40.4 41
2017-05-28 Shkendija D 4-464.7 1249 1463 18.55% 29.03% 52.42%-0.68 +1.0 49
2017-05-28 @ Renova D 4-464.7 1463 1249 52.42% 29.03% 18.55%+0.68 -1.0 67
2017-05-28 Shkupi W 1-037.7 1225 1180 50.03% 29.80% 20.18%+0.60 +6.2 46
2017-05-28 @ Sileks L 0-137.7 1180 1225 20.18% 29.80% 50.03%-0.60 -6.2 36
2017-05-28 Vardar L 2-348.1 1254 1532 14.28% 26.02% 59.70%-1.00 -3.9 52
2017-05-28 @ Pelister W 3-248.1 1532 1254 59.70% 26.02% 14.28%+1.00 +3.9 82
2017-05-31 Makedonija GP D 1-152.5 1174 1068 57.25% 27.14% 15.61%+0.90 -2.3 37
2017-05-31 @ Shkupi D 1-152.5 1068 1174 15.61% 27.14% 57.25%-0.90 +2.3 23
2017-05-31 Pelister W 3-136.2 1462 1250 68.27% 21.41% 10.32%+1.42 +4.9 70
2017-05-31 @ Shkendija L 1-336.2 1250 1462 10.32% 21.41% 68.27%-1.42 -4.9 52
2017-05-31 Rabotnicki W 6-247.0 1092 1319 17.56% 28.47% 53.97%-0.75 +33.2 24
2017-05-31 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 2-647.0 1319 1092 53.97% 28.47% 17.56%+0.75 -33.2 54
2017-05-31 Renova L 0-339.9 1240 1250 42.97% 31.40% 25.63%+0.33 -30.1 41
2017-05-31 @ Pobeda Junior W 3-039.9 1250 1240 25.63% 31.40% 42.97%-0.33 +30.1 52
2017-05-31 Sileks D 0-054.0 1536 1231 76.49% 16.34% 7.18%+1.88 -4.3 83
2017-05-31 @ Vardar D 0-054.0 1231 1536 7.18% 16.34% 76.49%-1.88 +4.3 47

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2016-04-20 Bregalnica Shtip W 2-139.0 1437 1228 67.93% 21.61% 10.46%+1.41 +2.9 3
2016-04-20 @ Vardar L 1-239.0 1228 1437 10.46% 21.61% 67.93%-1.41 -2.9 0
2016-04-20 Rabotnicki W 3-138.2 1437 1286 62.09% 24.83% 13.08%+1.12 +6.5 3
2016-04-20 @ Shkendija L 1-338.2 1286 1437 13.08% 24.83% 62.09%-1.12 -6.5 0
2016-04-20 Shkupi W 1-039.6 1246 1247 44.18% 31.19% 24.62%+0.37 +7.4 3
2016-04-20 @ Sileks L 0-139.6 1247 1246 24.62% 31.19% 44.18%-0.37 -7.3 0
2016-04-24 Shkendija W 1-045.2 1440 1443 43.83% 31.26% 24.92%+0.36 +7.4 6
2016-04-24 @ Vardar L 0-145.2 1443 1440 24.92% 31.26% 43.83%-0.36 -7.4 3
2016-04-24 Shkupi W 2-036.7 1225 1240 42.38% 31.49% 26.13%+0.31 +14.5 3
2016-04-24 @ Bregalnica Shtip L 0-236.7 1240 1225 26.13% 31.49% 42.38%-0.31 -14.5 0
2016-04-24 Sileks W 2-035.3 1279 1254 47.61% 30.46% 21.94%+0.50 +12.6 3
2016-04-24 @ Rabotnicki L 0-235.3 1254 1279 21.94% 30.46% 47.61%-0.50 -12.6 3
2016-04-30 Bregalnica Shtip W 3-028.7 1436 1240 66.68% 22.33% 10.99%+1.34 +8.9 6
2016-04-30 @ Shkendija L 0-328.7 1240 1436 10.99% 22.33% 66.68%-1.34 -8.9 3
2016-04-30 Rabotnicki L 0-143.1 1225 1292 35.07% 32.08% 32.84%+0.05 -9.5 0
2016-04-30 @ Shkupi W 1-043.1 1292 1225 32.84% 32.08% 35.07%-0.05 +9.5 6
2016-04-30 Vardar L 1-244.2 1241 1447 19.16% 29.33% 51.51%-0.64 -5.6 3
2016-04-30 @ Sileks W 2-144.2 1447 1241 51.51% 29.33% 19.16%+0.64 +5.6 9
2016-05-08 Rabotnicki D 0-046.9 1231 1301 34.56% 32.09% 33.35%+0.03 -0.1 4
2016-05-08 @ Bregalnica Shtip D 0-046.9 1301 1231 33.35% 32.09% 34.56%-0.03 +0.1 7
2016-05-08 Shkupi W 2-029.4 1453 1216 70.64% 20.00% 9.36%+1.55 +5.0 12
2016-05-08 @ Vardar L 0-229.4 1216 1453 9.36% 20.00% 70.64%-1.55 -5.0 0
2016-05-08 Sileks W 3-028.4 1445 1235 67.99% 21.58% 10.43%+1.41 +8.3 9
2016-05-08 @ Shkendija L 0-328.4 1235 1445 10.43% 21.58% 67.99%-1.41 -8.3 3
2016-05-19 Bregalnica Shtip D 1-151.6 1227 1231 43.76% 31.27% 24.97%+0.36 -1.0 4
2016-05-19 @ Sileks D 1-151.6 1231 1227 24.97% 31.27% 43.76%-0.36 +1.0 5
2016-05-19 Shkendija L 1-339.3 1211 1453 16.48% 27.77% 55.75%-0.82 -8.4 0
2016-05-19 @ Shkupi W 3-139.3 1453 1211 55.75% 27.77% 16.48%+0.82 +8.4 12
2016-05-19 Vardar L 0-141.7 1302 1458 23.77% 30.99% 45.24%-0.40 -7.2 7
2016-05-19 @ Rabotnicki W 1-041.7 1458 1302 45.24% 30.99% 23.77%+0.40 +7.1 15

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-10-26 8.59% Shkupi 1193 1 @ Shkendija 1452 0
2 2017-03-05 10.68% @ Pobeda Junior 1160 2 Vardar 1512 1
3 2017-04-27 11.17% Shkupi 1166 1 @ Rabotnicki 1358 0
4 2017-05-03 12.39% @ Pobeda Junior 1159 1 Shkendija 1473 0
5 2017-05-28 12.64% Pobeda Junior 1200 3 @ Rabotnicki 1360 0
6 2016-08-07 14.48% Pelister 1113 2 @ Pobeda Junior 1238 0
7 2016-11-20 15.67% @ Rabotnicki 1276 3 Vardar 1531 0
8 2016-11-05 16.20% Pelister 1201 1 @ Rabotnicki 1298 0
9 2017-05-31 17.56% @ Bregalnica Shtip 1092 6 Rabotnicki 1319 2
10 2016-09-28 18.29% Makedonija GP 1122 2 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1190 1
11 2016-12-04 18.56% Makedonija GP 1118 2 @ Shkupi 1183 0
12 2016-08-27 22.44% @ Pelister 1166 3 Rabotnicki 1336 0
13 2017-05-07 23.94% Pobeda Junior 1173 2 @ Shkupi 1179 1
14 2017-05-31 25.63% Renova 1250 3 @ Pobeda Junior 1240 0
15 2016-10-23 27.04% @ Makedonija GP 1121 3 Renova 1248 1
16 2017-04-05 27.48% @ Rabotnicki 1348 1 Shkendija 1471 0
17 2016-08-21 27.53% Sileks 1230 2 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1204 0
18 2016-11-20 28.09% Pobeda Junior 1191 3 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1160 2
19 2016-12-04 28.10% Renova 1221 2 @ Pobeda Junior 1190 0
20 2016-10-23 28.25% Vardar 1504 2 @ Shkendija 1472 0
21 2017-04-09 28.90% @ Shkupi 1155 3 Sileks 1267 1
22 2016-09-28 30.92% @ Pobeda Junior 1201 2 Rabotnicki 1298 1
23 2017-05-14 31.04% Pobeda Junior 1184 2 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1131 1
24 2016-10-02 31.18% Shkupi 1189 1 @ Makedonija GP 1134 0
25 2017-04-26 31.25% @ Pobeda Junior 1154 1 Sileks 1248 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-05-28 40.42 Pobeda Junior 3 1200 12.64% @ Rabotnicki 0 1360 63.01% 24.35%
2 2016-11-20 37.58 @ Rabotnicki 3 1276 15.67% Vardar 0 1531 57.15% 27.18%
3 2017-05-31 33.22 @ Bregalnica Shtip 6 1092 17.56% Rabotnicki 2 1319 53.97% 28.47%
4 2016-08-27 32.26 @ Pelister 3 1166 22.44% Rabotnicki 0 1336 46.94% 30.62%
5 2017-05-31 30.15 Renova 3 1250 25.63% @ Pobeda Junior 0 1240 42.97% 31.40%
6 2016-08-10 28.51 Rabotnicki 4 1294 40.99% @ Makedonija GP 0 1170 27.33% 31.68%
7 2016-08-14 26.71 @ Pelister 3 1139 31.56% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1231 36.40% 32.05%
8 2016-08-07 26.63 Pelister 2 1113 14.48% @ Pobeda Junior 0 1238 59.32% 26.20%
9 2016-12-04 24.20 Makedonija GP 2 1118 18.56% @ Shkupi 0 1183 52.40% 29.03%
10 2017-04-05 23.31 @ Bregalnica Shtip 3 1133 38.12% Shkupi 0 1179 29.93% 31.95%
11 2017-05-07 23.29 @ Pelister 3 1225 38.17% Renova 0 1270 29.88% 31.95%
12 2016-08-14 20.25 @ Vardar 3 1461 43.95% Shkendija 0 1464 24.82% 31.23%
13 2017-04-02 20.20 @ Sileks 3 1247 44.07% Renova 0 1248 24.72% 31.21%
14 2016-08-21 19.95 Sileks 2 1230 27.53% @ Bregalnica Shtip 0 1204 40.77% 31.70%
15 2016-12-04 19.73 Renova 2 1221 28.10% @ Pobeda Junior 0 1190 40.13% 31.77%
16 2017-04-23 19.69 @ Renova 4 1233 53.74% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1157 17.70% 28.55%
17 2016-10-23 19.67 Vardar 2 1504 28.25% @ Shkendija 0 1472 39.96% 31.79%
18 2017-02-19 17.99 Rabotnicki 3 1322 48.21% @ Makedonija GP 0 1143 21.48% 30.30%
19 2016-10-23 17.46 @ Makedonija GP 3 1121 27.04% Renova 1 1248 41.32% 31.63%
20 2017-05-21 17.25 @ Shkupi 3 1163 49.61% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1121 20.47% 29.92%
21 2017-04-09 16.81 @ Shkupi 3 1155 28.90% Sileks 1 1267 39.24% 31.86%
22 2017-05-07 16.70 Rabotnicki 2 1340 36.29% @ Sileks 0 1249 31.66% 32.05%
23 2016-10-26 16.22 Shkupi 1 1193 8.59% @ Shkendija 0 1452 72.65% 18.76%
24 2016-10-16 15.47 @ Pelister 2 1179 39.76% Pobeda Junior 0 1212 28.43% 31.81%
25 2017-04-27 15.29 Shkupi 1 1166 11.17% @ Rabotnicki 0 1358 66.26% 22.57%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-05-03 65.3 @ Bregalnica Shtip 3 1133 9.12% Vardar 3 1526 71.26% 19.62%
2 2017-05-28 64.7 @ Renova 4 1249 18.55% Shkendija 4 1463 52.42% 29.03%
3 2017-05-14 62.9 @ Rabotnicki 2 1357 22.25% Vardar 2 1528 47.19% 30.56%
4 2017-05-21 62.2 @ Shkendija 2 1465 57.29% Rabotnicki 2 1358 15.59% 27.12%
5 2016-11-27 61.6 @ Shkendija 2 1457 61.21% Rabotnicki 2 1314 13.51% 25.28%
6 2017-05-21 60.6 @ Sileks 3 1226 40.54% Pelister 3 1253 27.73% 31.73%
7 2017-03-05 60.4 @ Bregalnica Shtip 3 1140 29.09% Sileks 3 1250 39.03% 31.88%
8 2017-02-26 58.4 @ Renova 2 1250 59.32% Makedonija GP 2 1125 14.48% 26.20%
9 2016-09-28 57.7 @ Vardar 1 1504 78.13% Pelister 1 1179 6.60% 15.28%
10 2016-12-04 57.5 @ Vardar 1 1501 72.61% Sileks 1 1242 8.60% 18.79%
11 2016-11-20 57.1 @ Renova 2 1229 43.37% Sileks 2 1236 25.29% 31.33%
12 2016-08-21 56.7 @ Makedonija GP 2 1136 40.23% Pelister 2 1166 28.01% 31.76%
13 2016-11-30 56.7 @ Makedonija GP 2 1119 39.76% Bregalnica Shtip 2 1152 28.43% 31.81%
14 2017-02-19 56.7 @ Pobeda Junior 2 1171 36.26% Pelister 2 1229 31.68% 32.05%
15 2016-08-07 56.6 @ Vardar 1 1465 72.95% Shkupi 1 1202 8.47% 18.57%
16 2016-09-28 56.3 @ Shkendija 1 1463 69.26% Renova 1 1240 9.91% 20.83%
17 2017-03-05 56.3 @ Pobeda Junior 2 1160 10.68% Vardar 1 1512 67.39% 21.92%
18 2017-04-09 56.3 @ Shkendija 1 1460 70.56% Renova 1 1224 9.40% 20.05%
19 2017-04-22 55.5 @ Rabotnicki 1 1362 73.69% Makedonija GP 1 1091 8.20% 18.11%
20 2017-04-30 54.5 @ Shkupi 1 1182 13.41% Shkendija 1 1475 61.42% 25.17%
21 2016-11-20 54.4 Pobeda Junior 3 1191 28.09% @ Bregalnica Shtip 2 1160 40.14% 31.77%
22 2017-04-26 54.3 @ Shkendija 3 1460 33.71% Vardar 1 1536 34.20% 32.09%
23 2017-05-31 54.0 @ Vardar 0 1536 76.49% Sileks 0 1231 7.18% 16.34%
24 2017-04-23 53.9 @ Sileks 1 1246 18.39% Shkendija 1 1462 52.67% 28.94%
25 2016-09-11 53.8 @ Bregalnica Shtip 1 1178 14.77% Shkendija 1 1448 58.78% 26.45%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-05-07 23.1 @ Vardar 6 1524 86.77% Makedonija GP 0 1069 3.70% 9.54%
2 2017-04-30 24.4 @ Vardar 4 1521 80.59% Pobeda Junior 0 1164 5.74% 13.67%
3 2016-09-18 24.6 @ Shkendija 3 1445 77.67% Makedonija GP 0 1127 6.76% 15.58%
4 2017-05-07 24.6 @ Shkendija 3 1458 77.96% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1135 6.65% 15.38%
5 2017-02-19 24.8 @ Vardar 3 1497 79.18% Shkupi 0 1159 6.23% 14.59%
6 2017-03-12 25.7 @ Shkendija 4 1453 74.38% Pobeda Junior 0 1174 7.94% 17.68%
7 2017-03-12 26.1 @ Vardar 2 1497 80.56% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1140 5.75% 13.68%
8 2017-04-02 26.9 @ Shkendija 5 1467 81.23% Makedonija GP 1 1101 5.53% 13.25%
9 2017-03-18 27.2 Vardar 5 1500 70.79% @ Makedonija GP 0 1112 9.30% 19.90%
10 2016-09-11 27.7 Vardar 4 1492 67.56% @ Makedonija GP 0 1138 10.61% 21.83%
11 2016-11-16 28.4 @ Vardar 4 1528 83.23% Makedonija GP 1 1133 4.85% 11.92%
12 2016-05-08 28.4 @ Shkendija 3 1445 67.99% Sileks 0 1235 10.43% 21.58%
13 2016-11-20 28.6 Shkendija 4 1443 63.48% @ Makedonija GP 0 1130 12.42% 24.10%
14 2016-04-30 28.7 @ Shkendija 3 1436 66.68% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1240 10.99% 22.33%
15 2016-08-27 29.1 @ Vardar 5 1486 76.31% Bregalnica Shtip 1 1184 7.24% 16.45%
16 2016-05-08 29.4 @ Vardar 2 1453 70.64% Shkupi 0 1216 9.36% 20.00%
17 2017-05-21 30.1 @ Vardar 2 1527 73.96% Renova 0 1253 8.10% 17.94%
18 2017-02-19 30.4 @ Shkendija 2 1463 68.76% Sileks 0 1245 10.12% 21.12%
19 2017-04-23 30.6 Vardar 2 1531 68.01% @ Shkupi 0 1172 10.42% 21.56%
20 2017-04-23 30.9 @ Renova 4 1233 53.74% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1157 17.70% 28.55%
21 2017-05-21 32.3 @ Shkupi 3 1163 49.61% Bregalnica Shtip 0 1121 20.47% 29.92%
22 2016-11-27 32.7 @ Vardar 1 1494 73.16% Renova 0 1228 8.40% 18.44%
23 2017-02-19 33.0 Rabotnicki 3 1322 48.21% @ Makedonija GP 0 1143 21.48% 30.30%
24 2016-11-16 33.2 @ Shkendija 5 1439 73.99% Bregalnica Shtip 2 1164 8.09% 17.92%
25 2016-12-04 33.3 @ Shkendija 1 1460 69.80% Pelister 0 1232 9.70% 20.51%