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2017-18 Macedonian First Football League Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Shkendija

91 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Shkendija

15.29 points above expected

91 points · 75.71 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Pelister

8.09 points below expected

34 points · 42.09 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Shkendija 36 29 4 3 91 101 27 +74 75.71 +15.29
2 Vardar 36 16 8 12 56 53 41 +12 63.91 -7.91
3 Rabotnicki 36 14 10 12 52 50 43 +7 49.52 +2.48
4 Shkupi 36 13 12 11 51 51 46 +5 43.35 +7.65
5 Sileks 36 13 11 12 50 30 37 -7 45.37 +4.63
6 AP Brera Strumica 36 10 12 14 42 43 47 -4 49.71 -7.71
7 Renova 36 10 11 15 41 36 53 -17 43.71 -2.71
8 Pobeda Junior 36 10 8 18 38 36 56 -20 39.58 -1.58
9 Skopje 36 7 14 15 35 24 43 -19 38.71 -3.71
10 Pelister 36 8 10 18 34 37 68 -31 42.09 -8.09

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Shkendija 91 75.71 +15.29
2 Shkupi 51 43.35 +7.65
3 Sileks 50 45.37 +4.63
4 Rabotnicki 52 49.52 +2.48
5 Pobeda Junior 38 39.58 -1.58

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Pelister 34 42.09 -8.09
2 Vardar 56 63.91 -7.91
3 AP Brera Strumica 42 49.71 -7.71
4 Skopje 35 38.71 -3.71
5 Renova 41 43.71 -2.71

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sileks 3 Nov 19 – Dec 3 1 in 30
2 Shkupi 4 May 9 – May 20 1 in 28
3 Skopje 2 Apr 29 – May 2 1 in 19
4 Shkendija 6 Oct 29 – Dec 3 1 in 18
5 Rabotnicki 3 Oct 22 – Oct 29 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vardar 3 Apr 18 – Apr 25 1 in 66
2 Sileks 4 Aug 26 – Sep 20 1 in 56
3 AP Brera Strumica 4 Nov 26 – Feb 14 1 in 40
4 Renova 4 Nov 5 – Nov 25 1 in 28
5 Pelister 3 Sep 16 – Sep 24 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skopje 8 Feb 18 – Apr 7 1 in 547
2 Sileks 8 Sep 24 – Nov 5 1 in 48
3 Shkupi 8 Apr 25 – May 20 1 in 27
4 Renova 6 Dec 3 – Mar 10 1 in 27
5 AP Brera Strumica 6 Mar 4 – Apr 15 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AP Brera Strumica 14 Nov 19 – Apr 18 1 in 677
2 Vardar 6 Apr 1 – Apr 25 1 in 78
3 Skopje 12 Aug 13 – Oct 25 1 in 59
4 Renova 9 Nov 5 – Mar 4 1 in 18
5 Pelister 8 Mar 4 – Apr 22 1 in 17

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Shkendija 1667 91 +28 15 11.9 +3.1
Vardar 1423 56 -45 4 9.3 -5.3
Rabotnicki 1414 52 +15 10 7.0 +3.0
Shkupi 1388 51 +67 13 7.5 +5.5
Sileks 1340 50 -3 5 5.3 -0.3
AP Brera Strumica 1339 42 -6 6 7.3 -1.3
Renova 1298 41 -44 1 5.3 -4.3
Pobeda Junior 1288 38 -3 6 5.6 +0.4
Skopje 1305 35 +14 7 5.0 +2.0
Pelister 1231 34 -31 3 4.1 -1.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABS PEL PJ RAB REN SHK SHK SIL SKO VAR
AP Brera Strumica —
3-1-0
6.16
1-2-1
6.53
1-2-1
5.44
1-1-2
5.98
1-1-2
2.95
1-1-2
6.19
0-1-3
5.77
2-2-0
6.48
0-1-3
3.70
Pelister
0-1-3
4.69
 —
2-2-0
5.87
1-1-2
4.93
2-0-2
5.09
0-0-4
2.25
0-2-2
4.97
2-1-1
4.75
0-2-2
6.12
1-1-2
3.15
Pobeda Junior
1-2-1
4.36
0-2-2
5.00
 —
1-0-3
4.39
1-2-1
4.99
1-1-2
2.23
1-1-2
5.20
1-0-3
4.62
2-0-2
5.25
2-0-2
2.78
Rabotnicki
1-2-1
5.41
2-1-1
5.94
3-0-1
6.51
 —
0-2-2
5.97
0-0-4
3.04
1-2-1
6.42
1-2-1
5.80
3-1-0
6.55
3-0-1
3.64
Renova
2-1-1
4.88
2-0-2
5.74
1-2-1
5.88
2-2-0
4.90
 —
0-0-4
2.30
1-1-2
5.75
0-2-2
5.10
2-2-0
6.03
0-1-3
3.54
Shkendija
2-1-1
8.09
4-0-0
8.95
2-1-1
8.94
4-0-0
7.98
4-0-0
8.84
 —
4-0-0
8.46
4-0-0
8.43
3-1-0
9.00
2-1-1
6.32
Shkupi
2-1-1
4.69
2-2-0
5.90
2-1-1
5.66
1-2-1
4.47
2-1-1
5.11
0-0-4
2.65
 —
1-2-1
4.84
1-2-1
5.79
2-1-1
3.33
Sileks
3-1-0
5.09
1-1-2
6.13
3-0-1
6.26
1-2-1
5.04
2-2-0
5.76
0-0-4
2.64
1-2-1
6.03
 —
1-2-1
6.30
1-1-2
3.78
Skopje
0-2-2
4.41
2-2-0
4.77
2-0-2
5.61
0-1-3
4.37
0-2-2
4.84
0-1-3
2.19
1-2-1
5.08
1-2-1
4.60
 —
1-2-1
2.92
Vardar
3-1-0
7.22
2-1-1
7.87
2-0-2
8.26
1-0-3
7.27
3-1-0
7.42
1-1-2
4.55
1-1-2
7.68
2-1-1
7.16
1-2-1
8.10
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.89 +7.3
Allowed 0.62 -11.7
Differential 0.97 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%9.72%5.83%3.06%1.67%0.83%32.22%
19.72%13.89%5.56%3.06%1.11%0.56%33.89%
25.83%5.56%1.67%2.22%1.11%1.11%17.50%
33.06%3.06%2.22%1.11%0.28%—9.72%
41.67%1.11%1.11%0.28%——4.17%
5+0.83%0.56%1.11%———2.50%
Total32.22%33.89%17.50%9.72%4.17%2.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.28 1.28 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.84
CV 1.01 1.01 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%2.78%———25.00%
15.56%19.44%11.11%5.56%——41.67%
211.11%2.78%5.56%2.78%—2.78%25.00%
3—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%38.89%22.22%11.11%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.31 -0.11
SD 0.98 1.14 1.26
CV 0.82 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%13.89%8.33%2.78%8.33%2.78%44.44%
1—16.67%2.78%5.56%——25.00%
2—11.11%2.78%——2.78%16.67%
3——8.33%—2.78%—11.11%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+———————
Total8.33%44.44%22.22%8.33%11.11%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.89 -0.86
SD 1.16 1.43 1.84
CV 1.13 0.76 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%5.56%—38.89%
113.89%8.33%8.33%2.78%——33.33%
25.56%5.56%2.78%—5.56%—19.44%
3———5.56%——5.56%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%30.56%19.44%13.89%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.56 -0.56
SD 1.04 1.32 1.58
CV 1.04 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%2.78%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
111.11%13.89%13.89%2.78%——41.67%
25.56%2.78%—2.78%—2.78%13.89%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
45.56%—5.56%———11.11%
5+———————
Total38.89%22.22%27.78%8.33%—2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.19 +0.19
SD 1.27 1.31 1.77
CV 0.92 1.09 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%11.11%2.78%8.33%—2.78%44.44%
15.56%11.11%5.56%—2.78%2.78%27.78%
22.78%8.33%—2.78%—2.78%16.67%
3—8.33%————8.33%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total27.78%41.67%8.33%11.11%2.78%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.47 -0.47
SD 1.20 1.58 1.96
CV 1.20 1.07 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%—————2.78%
15.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
216.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%—33.33%
316.67%8.33%2.78%2.78%——30.56%
45.56%2.78%————8.33%
5+8.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
Total55.56%25.00%11.11%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.81 0.75 +2.06
SD 1.45 1.05 1.84
CV 0.52 1.40 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%8.33%8.33%5.56%——27.78%
18.33%22.22%2.78%2.78%2.78%—38.89%
25.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+——5.56%———5.56%
Total22.22%44.44%19.44%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.28 +0.14
SD 1.42 1.03 1.76
CV 1.00 0.81 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%8.33%——2.78%38.89%
119.44%13.89%2.78%5.56%2.78%—44.44%
22.78%8.33%————11.11%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total41.67%33.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.03 -0.19
SD 0.85 1.23 1.53
CV 1.01 1.20 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
022.22%11.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%—50.00%
113.89%16.67%2.78%2.78%—2.78%38.89%
22.78%——2.78%2.78%—8.33%
3———————
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total41.67%27.78%11.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.19 -0.53
SD 0.86 1.39 1.61
CV 1.29 1.16 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%8.33%———25.00%
113.89%13.89%2.78%2.78%2.78%—36.11%
25.56%2.78%—8.33%——16.67%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
42.78%—2.78%———5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total36.11%30.56%19.44%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.14 +0.33
SD 1.32 1.13 1.67
CV 0.90 0.99 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Shkendija 1667 91 75.71 +15.29 100.0% 60 65 72 75 80 88 90
Vardar 1423 56 63.91 -7.91 16.0% 42 52 59 64 69 75 80
Rabotnicki 1414 52 49.52 +2.48 64.0% 32 36 44 50 55 60 66
Shkupi 1388 51 43.35 +7.65 83.0% 30 31 38 43 48 54 59
Sileks 1340 50 45.37 +4.63 76.0% 28 32 40 47 50 55 61
AP Brera Strumica 1339 42 49.71 -7.71 22.0% 34 37 43 50 55 63 71
Skopje 1305 35 38.71 -3.71 30.0% 22 30 34 38 42 49 52
Renova 1298 41 43.71 -2.71 40.0% 30 34 38 44 48 56 60
Pobeda Junior 1288 38 39.58 -1.58 40.0% 21 26 34 40 45 53 60
Pelister 1231 34 42.09 -8.09 13.0% 26 31 37 42 48 54 57

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 23% * Slight Edge: 23% to 31% * Clear Edge: 31% to 38% * Strong Edge: 38% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.33%
Slight Edge
47.78%27.78%24.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge
163 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
082.59500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.45 goals
Neutral
-2+0.51+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 3 * Open: 3 to 4 * Wide Open: 4 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.12 * Tight Race: 0.12 to 0.25 * Comfortable: 0.25 to 0.36 * Runaway: 0.36 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.2
One-Team Race
123410
Champion Preseason Odds
90%
Shkendija, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.97/gm
Runaway
00.331.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.73 * Some Luck: 5.73 to 8.59 * Lucky: 8.59 to 11.45 * Wild Swing: 11.45 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.23 * Close: 1.23 to 1.84 * Off: 1.84 to 2.45 * Way Off: 2.45 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.28 points
Some Luck
07.1618
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.20
Pinpoint
01.534
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
100.00%
Shkendija
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
13.00%
Pelister
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.17 * Even: 0.17 to 0.19 * Top-Heavy: 0.19 to 0.21 * Lopsided: 0.21 and up.
Noll-Scully
Take a league where every match is a coin flip and nobody is better than anybody. You would still get a table, with a leader and a bottom club, purely by luck, and you can work out how far apart that table would be. This is the real table measured against it. At 1.00 the season was no more spread out than pure chance; at 2.00 it was twice as spread out, which takes genuine differences in quality. Dividing by the luck figure is what makes seasons of different lengths comparable, because a short season spreads a table by luck alone far more than a long one does. Elo SD in the corner is the same question in rating points: how far apart the teams finished on the ratings.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1.9 * Moderate Separation: 1.9 to 2.1 * Strong Separation: 2.1 to 2.3 * Wide Separation: 2.3 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 65% * Slight Edge: 65% to 70.5% * Clear Edge: 70.5% to 78% * Wide Edge: 78% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 93% * Clear Edge: 93% to 95.5% * Strong Edge: 95.5% to 97.5% * Dominant: 97.5% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 56.5% * Some Drama: 56.5% to 60.5% * Frequent: 60.5% to 63.5% * Very Frequent: 63.5% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 15.5% * Occasional: 15.5% to 18% * Frequent: 18% to 23% * Very Frequent: 23% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Balanced
00.170.5
Noll-Scully
Elo SD: 120.46
2.14
Strong Separation
11.92.12.32.75
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%65%78%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Even
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Frequent
0%59%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Occasional
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.43 * Slight Separation: 0.43 to 0.46 * Notable Separation: 0.46 to 0.5 * Lopsided: 0.5 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.41 * Some Carryover: 0.41 to 0.57 * Strong Carryover: 0.57 to 0.65 * Near-Lock: 0.65 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 18% * Upset-Prone: 18% to 21% * Very Upset-Prone: 21% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 13% * As Expected: 13% to 14.5% * Shaky Favorites: 14.5% to 16.5% * Very Shaky: 16.5% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.38
Very Even
00.430.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.09
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.55
Some Carryover
00.410.571
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Upset-Prone
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
18%
Very Shaky
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.89
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.90
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.057
Well Within Noise
00.1250.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Shkendija90.00%10.00%————————
Vardar10.00%71.00%11.00%6.00%——2.00%———
Rabotnicki—8.00%25.00%24.00%14.00%11.00%7.00%4.00%6.00%1.00%
Shkupi—1.00%7.00%14.00%10.00%18.00%13.00%10.00%13.00%14.00%
Sileks——10.00%20.00%22.00%12.00%12.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%
AP Brera Strumica—10.00%27.00%13.00%12.00%12.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%4.00%
Renova——8.00%8.00%16.00%14.00%16.00%19.00%14.00%5.00%
Pobeda Junior——5.00%4.00%11.00%11.00%16.00%10.00%15.00%28.00%
Skopje——3.00%2.00%5.00%10.00%8.00%23.00%19.00%30.00%
Pelister——4.00%9.00%10.00%12.00%19.00%13.00%20.00%13.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Qualified for relegation playoff Direct relegation
Shkendija 100% — —
Vardar 100% — —
Rabotnicki 89.00% 4.00% 7.00%
AP Brera Strumica 81.00% 9.00% 10.00%
Sileks 76.00% 12.00% 12.00%
Renova 62.00% 19.00% 19.00%
Shkupi 63.00% 10.00% 27.00%
Pelister 54.00% 13.00% 33.00%
Pobeda Junior 47.00% 10.00% 43.00%
Skopje 28.00% 23.00% 49.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2017-08-12 Renova D 0-050.0 1365 1363 47.25% 28.46% 24.29%+0.52 -1.3 1
2017-08-12 @ Rabotnicki D 0-050.0 1363 1365 24.29% 28.46% 47.25%-0.52 +1.3 1
2017-08-12 Vardar W 2-044.5 1454 1485 42.78% 29.08% 28.14%+0.31 +14.5 3
2017-08-12 @ Shkendija L 0-244.5 1485 1454 28.14% 29.08% 42.78%-0.31 -14.5 0
2017-08-13 AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.7 1310 1370 38.72% 29.39% 31.89%+0.13 -0.3 1
2017-08-13 @ Shkupi D 1-153.7 1370 1310 31.89% 29.39% 38.72%-0.13 +0.3 1
2017-08-13 Pelister L 1-251.7 1325 1349 43.87% 28.96% 27.17%+0.36 -10.1 0
2017-08-13 @ Pobeda Junior W 2-151.7 1349 1325 27.17% 28.96% 43.87%-0.36 +10.1 3
2017-08-13 Skopje W 1-040.3 1341 1334 47.83% 28.36% 23.81%+0.55 +6.7 3
2017-08-13 @ Sileks L 0-140.3 1334 1341 23.81% 28.36% 47.83%-0.55 -6.7 0
2017-08-19 Sileks L 0-342.7 1364 1347 49.04% 28.12% 22.84%+0.61 -32.0 1
2017-08-19 @ Renova W 3-042.7 1347 1364 22.84% 28.12% 49.04%-0.61 +32.0 6
2017-08-20 Pobeda Junior W 4-031.0 1470 1315 64.40% 22.92% 12.69%+1.46 +13.0 3
2017-08-20 @ Vardar L 0-431.0 1315 1470 12.69% 22.92% 64.40%-1.46 -13.0 0
2017-08-20 Rabotnicki D 1-154.5 1359 1364 46.25% 28.63% 25.12%+0.47 -1.1 4
2017-08-20 @ Pelister D 1-154.5 1364 1359 25.12% 28.63% 46.25%-0.47 +1.1 2
2017-08-20 Skopje W 2-035.8 1371 1327 52.37% 27.35% 20.29%+0.77 +11.1 4
2017-08-20 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-235.8 1327 1371 20.29% 27.35% 52.37%-0.77 -11.1 0
2017-08-21 Shkendija L 0-337.1 1309 1468 25.80% 28.75% 45.45%-0.47 -19.7 1
2017-08-21 @ Shkupi W 3-037.1 1468 1309 45.45% 28.75% 25.80%+0.47 +19.7 6
2017-08-26 Pelister L 1-448.0 1379 1358 49.68% 27.99% 22.33%+0.64 -27.3 6
2017-08-26 @ Sileks W 4-148.0 1358 1379 22.33% 27.99% 49.68%-0.64 +27.3 7
2017-08-26 Renova D 0-049.0 1316 1332 44.82% 28.84% 26.34%+0.41 -1.0 1
2017-08-26 @ Skopje D 0-049.0 1332 1316 26.34% 28.84% 44.82%-0.41 +1.0 2
2017-08-26 Shkupi W 2-144.6 1302 1289 48.53% 28.22% 23.24%+0.58 +6.2 3
2017-08-26 @ Pobeda Junior L 1-244.6 1289 1302 23.24% 28.22% 48.53%-0.58 -6.2 1
2017-08-27 AP Brera Strumica W 2-146.0 1488 1382 59.35% 25.08% 15.57%+1.15 +4.3 9
2017-08-27 @ Shkendija L 1-246.0 1382 1488 15.57% 25.08% 59.35%-1.15 -4.3 4
2017-09-09 Sileks W 3-140.9 1484 1352 62.00% 23.99% 14.00%+1.31 +6.6 6
2017-09-09 @ Vardar L 1-340.9 1352 1484 14.00% 23.99% 62.00%-1.31 -6.6 6
2017-09-10 Pobeda Junior D 3-367.0 1492 1308 67.12% 21.59% 11.30%+1.63 -1.9 10
2017-09-10 @ Shkendija D 3-367.0 1308 1492 11.30% 21.59% 67.12%-1.63 +1.9 4
2017-09-10 Rabotnicki W 2-148.9 1283 1365 35.76% 29.46% 34.77%+0.01 +8.5 4
2017-09-10 @ Shkupi L 1-248.9 1365 1283 34.77% 29.46% 35.76%-0.01 -8.5 2
2017-09-10 Renova W 1-039.3 1378 1333 52.44% 27.33% 20.24%+0.78 +5.8 7
2017-09-10 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-139.3 1333 1378 20.24% 27.33% 52.44%-0.78 -5.9 2
2017-09-10 Skopje D 0-050.2 1385 1315 55.41% 26.46% 18.12%+0.93 -2.2 8
2017-09-10 @ Pelister D 0-050.2 1315 1385 18.12% 26.46% 55.41%-0.93 +2.2 2
2017-09-16 Pelister W 1-043.2 1327 1383 39.47% 29.35% 31.18%+0.17 +8.3 5
2017-09-16 @ Renova L 0-143.2 1383 1327 31.18% 29.35% 39.47%-0.17 -8.3 8
2017-09-17 AP Brera Strumica D 2-259.2 1310 1383 36.98% 29.44% 33.57%+0.06 -0.1 5
2017-09-17 @ Pobeda Junior D 2-259.2 1383 1310 33.57% 29.44% 36.98%-0.06 +0.1 8
2017-09-17 Shkendija L 2-644.5 1356 1490 28.76% 29.15% 42.09%-0.31 -19.8 2
2017-09-17 @ Rabotnicki W 6-244.5 1490 1356 42.09% 29.15% 28.76%+0.31 +19.8 13
2017-09-17 Shkupi L 0-148.4 1345 1292 53.51% 27.03% 19.45%+0.83 -12.5 6
2017-09-17 @ Sileks W 1-048.4 1292 1345 19.45% 27.03% 53.51%-0.83 +12.6 7
2017-09-17 Vardar D 1-156.1 1317 1490 24.23% 28.45% 47.32%-0.55 +1.2 3
2017-09-17 @ Skopje D 1-156.1 1490 1317 47.32% 28.45% 24.23%+0.55 -1.2 7
2017-09-20 Pelister W 2-038.0 1383 1374 48.10% 28.31% 23.59%+0.56 +12.6 11
2017-09-20 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-238.0 1374 1383 23.59% 28.31% 48.10%-0.56 -12.6 8
2017-09-20 Rabotnicki L 2-451.7 1310 1337 43.44% 29.01% 27.55%+0.34 -15.5 5
2017-09-20 @ Pobeda Junior W 4-251.7 1337 1310 27.55% 29.01% 43.44%-0.34 +15.5 5
2017-09-20 Renova W 2-143.3 1489 1335 64.22% 23.00% 12.78%+1.45 +3.5 10
2017-09-20 @ Vardar L 1-243.3 1335 1489 12.78% 23.00% 64.22%-1.45 -3.5 5
2017-09-20 Sileks W 5-032.2 1510 1333 66.49% 21.90% 11.61%+1.59 +14.5 16
2017-09-20 @ Shkendija L 0-532.2 1333 1510 11.61% 21.90% 66.49%-1.59 -14.5 6
2017-09-20 Skopje W 1-040.6 1304 1318 45.14% 28.79% 26.06%+0.42 +7.2 10
2017-09-20 @ Shkupi L 0-140.6 1318 1304 26.06% 28.79% 45.14%-0.42 -7.2 3
2017-09-23 Shkupi D 0-049.2 1332 1312 49.51% 28.03% 22.47%+0.63 -1.5 6
2017-09-23 @ Renova D 0-049.2 1312 1332 22.47% 28.03% 49.51%-0.63 +1.5 11
2017-09-24 AP Brera Strumica L 1-252.0 1352 1396 41.08% 29.24% 29.69%+0.24 -9.6 5
2017-09-24 @ Rabotnicki W 2-152.0 1396 1352 29.69% 29.24% 41.08%-0.24 +9.6 14
2017-09-24 Pobeda Junior W 1-039.1 1318 1295 49.92% 27.94% 22.14%+0.65 +6.3 9
2017-09-24 @ Sileks L 0-139.1 1295 1318 22.14% 27.94% 49.92%-0.65 -6.3 5
2017-09-24 Shkendija L 1-247.1 1311 1525 20.33% 27.36% 52.31%-0.80 -5.5 3
2017-09-24 @ Skopje W 2-147.1 1525 1311 52.31% 27.36% 20.33%+0.80 +5.5 19
2017-09-24 Vardar L 0-145.5 1362 1492 29.13% 29.19% 41.69%-0.29 -7.9 8
2017-09-24 @ Pelister W 1-045.5 1492 1362 41.69% 29.19% 29.13%+0.29 +7.9 13
2017-09-27 Pelister D 1-153.6 1313 1354 41.52% 29.20% 29.27%+0.26 -0.6 12
2017-09-27 @ Shkupi D 1-153.6 1354 1313 29.27% 29.20% 41.52%-0.26 +0.6 9
2017-09-27 Renova W 2-034.3 1530 1330 68.59% 20.83% 10.59%+1.73 +5.6 22
2017-09-27 @ Shkendija L 0-234.3 1330 1530 10.59% 20.83% 68.59%-1.73 -5.6 6
2017-09-27 Sileks D 0-049.4 1343 1325 49.19% 28.09% 22.72%+0.61 -1.5 6
2017-09-27 @ Rabotnicki D 0-049.4 1325 1343 22.72% 28.09% 49.19%-0.61 +1.5 10
2017-09-27 Skopje W 4-246.1 1288 1305 44.71% 28.85% 26.44%+0.40 +10.7 8
2017-09-27 @ Pobeda Junior L 2-446.1 1305 1288 26.44% 28.85% 44.71%-0.40 -10.7 3
2017-09-30 AP Brera Strumica W 1-044.5 1326 1406 36.08% 29.46% 34.46%+0.02 +9.0 13
2017-09-30 @ Sileks L 0-144.5 1406 1326 34.46% 29.46% 36.08%-0.02 -9.0 14
2017-09-30 Pobeda Junior D 0-049.0 1325 1299 50.18% 27.88% 21.94%+0.66 -1.6 7
2017-09-30 @ Renova D 0-049.0 1299 1325 21.94% 27.88% 50.18%-0.66 +1.6 9
2017-09-30 Rabotnicki D 0-048.7 1295 1341 40.73% 29.27% 30.01%+0.22 -0.6 4
2017-09-30 @ Skopje D 0-048.7 1341 1295 30.01% 29.27% 40.73%-0.22 +0.6 7
2017-09-30 Shkendija L 1-346.6 1354 1536 23.41% 28.26% 48.33%-0.60 -10.9 9
2017-09-30 @ Pelister W 3-146.6 1536 1354 48.33% 28.26% 23.41%+0.60 +10.8 25
2017-10-01 Shkupi W 1-036.7 1500 1313 67.50% 21.39% 11.11%+1.66 +3.1 16
2017-10-01 @ Vardar L 0-136.7 1313 1500 11.11% 21.39% 67.50%-1.66 -3.1 12
2017-10-14 Pobeda Junior W 2-143.9 1344 1301 52.25% 27.38% 20.37%+0.77 +5.5 12
2017-10-14 @ Pelister L 1-243.9 1301 1344 20.37% 27.38% 52.25%-0.77 -5.5 9
2017-10-14 Rabotnicki W 3-143.1 1323 1342 44.53% 28.88% 26.59%+0.39 +12.0 10
2017-10-14 @ Renova L 1-343.1 1342 1323 26.59% 28.88% 44.53%-0.39 -12.0 7
2017-10-14 Shkendija W 4-258.1 1504 1546 41.21% 29.23% 29.56%+0.24 +11.7 19
2017-10-14 @ Vardar L 2-458.1 1546 1504 29.56% 29.23% 41.21%-0.24 -11.7 25
2017-10-14 Shkupi W 2-034.4 1397 1309 57.33% 25.82% 16.85%+1.04 +9.3 17
2017-10-14 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-234.4 1309 1397 16.85% 25.82% 57.33%-1.04 -9.3 12
2017-10-14 Sileks D 1-153.3 1294 1335 41.45% 29.21% 29.34%+0.25 -0.6 5
2017-10-14 @ Skopje D 1-153.3 1335 1294 29.34% 29.21% 41.45%-0.25 +0.6 14
2017-10-22 AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.9 1293 1406 31.46% 29.36% 39.18%-0.18 +0.4 6
2017-10-22 @ Skopje D 1-153.9 1406 1293 39.18% 29.36% 31.46%+0.18 -0.4 18
2017-10-22 Pelister W 2-038.0 1330 1349 44.38% 28.90% 26.72%+0.39 +14.0 10
2017-10-22 @ Rabotnicki L 0-238.0 1349 1330 26.72% 28.90% 44.38%-0.39 -14.0 12
2017-10-22 Renova D 0-049.3 1336 1335 46.99% 28.51% 24.50%+0.51 -1.3 15
2017-10-22 @ Sileks D 0-049.3 1335 1336 24.50% 28.51% 46.99%-0.51 +1.3 11
2017-10-22 Shkupi W 4-135.2 1535 1300 71.69% 19.14% 9.17%+1.94 +5.8 28
2017-10-22 @ Shkendija L 1-435.2 1300 1535 9.17% 19.14% 71.69%-1.94 -5.8 12
2017-10-22 Vardar W 1-051.0 1295 1515 19.77% 27.16% 53.07%-0.84 +12.5 12
2017-10-22 @ Pobeda Junior L 0-151.0 1515 1295 53.07% 27.16% 19.77%+0.84 -12.5 19
2017-10-25 Pobeda Junior W 1-040.4 1294 1308 45.22% 28.78% 26.00%+0.42 +7.2 15
2017-10-25 @ Shkupi L 0-140.4 1308 1294 26.00% 28.78% 45.22%-0.42 -7.2 12
2017-10-25 Shkendija W 3-262.4 1406 1541 28.61% 29.14% 42.25%-0.32 +9.3 21
2017-10-25 @ AP Brera Strumica L 2-362.4 1541 1406 42.25% 29.14% 28.61%+0.32 -9.3 28
2017-10-25 Sileks L 1-252.5 1335 1334 47.02% 28.50% 24.48%+0.51 -10.7 12
2017-10-25 @ Pelister W 2-152.5 1334 1335 24.48% 28.50% 47.02%-0.51 +10.7 18
2017-10-25 Skopje W 5-136.1 1337 1294 52.23% 27.38% 20.39%+0.77 +17.6 14
2017-10-25 @ Renova L 1-536.1 1294 1337 20.39% 27.38% 52.23%-0.77 -17.6 6
2017-10-25 Vardar W 3-152.0 1344 1503 25.76% 28.74% 45.49%-0.47 +18.0 13
2017-10-25 @ Rabotnicki L 1-352.0 1503 1344 45.49% 28.74% 25.76%+0.47 -18.0 19
2017-10-28 AP Brera Strumica W 3-146.4 1354 1415 38.73% 29.39% 31.89%+0.13 +13.8 17
2017-10-28 @ Renova L 1-346.4 1415 1354 31.89% 29.39% 38.73%-0.13 -13.8 21
2017-10-29 Pelister W 1-041.8 1276 1324 40.47% 29.28% 30.24%+0.21 +8.1 9
2017-10-29 @ Skopje L 0-141.8 1324 1276 30.24% 29.28% 40.47%-0.21 -8.1 12
2017-10-29 Shkendija L 0-237.7 1300 1531 18.87% 26.80% 54.33%-0.91 -10.3 12
2017-10-29 @ Pobeda Junior W 2-037.7 1531 1300 54.33% 26.80% 18.87%+0.91 +10.3 31
2017-10-29 Shkupi W 1-038.2 1362 1302 54.24% 26.82% 18.94%+0.87 +5.5 16
2017-10-29 @ Rabotnicki L 0-138.2 1302 1362 18.94% 26.82% 54.24%-0.87 -5.5 15
2017-10-29 Vardar D 0-051.9 1345 1485 28.04% 29.07% 42.89%-0.35 +0.8 19
2017-10-29 @ Sileks D 0-051.9 1485 1345 42.89% 29.07% 28.04%+0.35 -0.8 20
2017-11-05 Pobeda Junior L 0-150.2 1401 1290 59.90% 24.86% 15.24%+1.19 -13.8 21
2017-11-05 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-050.2 1290 1401 15.24% 24.86% 59.90%-1.19 +13.8 15
2017-11-05 Rabotnicki W 2-145.1 1542 1367 66.25% 22.02% 11.73%+1.57 +3.1 34
2017-11-05 @ Shkendija L 1-245.1 1367 1542 11.73% 22.02% 66.25%-1.57 -3.1 16
2017-11-05 Renova W 2-148.0 1316 1368 40.02% 29.31% 30.67%+0.19 +7.8 15
2017-11-05 @ Pelister L 1-248.0 1368 1316 30.67% 29.31% 40.02%-0.19 -7.8 17
2017-11-05 Sileks L 0-145.2 1296 1346 40.26% 29.30% 30.44%+0.20 -10.0 15
2017-11-05 @ Shkupi W 1-045.2 1346 1296 30.44% 29.30% 40.26%-0.20 +10.0 22
2017-11-05 Skopje W 3-029.9 1484 1284 68.59% 20.83% 10.59%+1.73 +8.1 23
2017-11-05 @ Vardar L 0-329.9 1284 1484 10.59% 20.83% 68.59%-1.73 -8.1 9
2017-11-16 AP Brera Strumica L 3-457.9 1324 1387 38.39% 29.40% 32.21%+0.12 -8.4 15
2017-11-16 @ Pelister W 4-357.9 1387 1324 32.21% 29.40% 38.39%-0.12 +8.4 24
2017-11-16 Pobeda Junior W 4-032.3 1364 1304 54.27% 26.81% 18.91%+0.87 +19.7 19
2017-11-16 @ Rabotnicki L 0-432.3 1304 1364 18.91% 26.81% 54.27%-0.87 -19.7 15
2017-11-16 Shkendija L 0-241.3 1356 1545 22.65% 28.07% 49.27%-0.65 -12.2 22
2017-11-16 @ Sileks W 2-041.3 1545 1356 49.27% 28.07% 22.65%+0.65 +12.2 37
2017-11-16 Vardar L 2-547.2 1360 1492 28.99% 29.17% 41.84%-0.30 -15.8 17
2017-11-16 @ Renova W 5-247.2 1492 1360 41.84% 29.17% 28.99%+0.30 +15.8 26
2017-11-19 Pelister W 1-036.8 1508 1316 67.90% 21.19% 10.92%+1.68 +3.1 29
2017-11-19 @ Vardar L 0-136.8 1316 1508 10.92% 21.19% 67.90%-1.68 -3.1 15
2017-11-19 Rabotnicki D 1-155.6 1396 1384 48.49% 28.23% 23.28%+0.58 -1.3 25
2017-11-19 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-155.6 1384 1396 23.28% 28.23% 48.49%-0.58 +1.3 20
2017-11-19 Renova W 4-141.7 1286 1344 39.08% 29.37% 31.56%+0.15 +19.4 18
2017-11-19 @ Shkupi L 1-441.7 1344 1286 31.56% 29.37% 39.08%-0.15 -19.4 17
2017-11-19 Sileks L 0-241.3 1284 1344 38.87% 29.38% 31.75%+0.14 -18.4 15
2017-11-19 @ Pobeda Junior W 2-041.3 1344 1284 31.75% 29.38% 38.87%-0.14 +18.4 25
2017-11-19 Skopje W 4-028.8 1557 1276 75.49% 16.94% 7.57%+2.22 +7.1 40
2017-11-19 @ Shkendija L 0-428.8 1276 1557 7.57% 16.94% 75.49%-2.22 -7.1 9
2017-11-22 Shkupi D 0-048.3 1269 1305 42.12% 29.15% 28.73%+0.28 -0.7 10
2017-11-22 @ Skopje D 0-048.3 1305 1269 28.73% 29.15% 42.12%-0.28 +0.7 19
2017-11-25 Shkendija L 1-639.5 1325 1564 18.24% 26.52% 55.25%-0.96 -19.4 17
2017-11-25 @ Renova W 6-139.5 1564 1325 55.25% 26.52% 18.24%+0.96 +19.4 43
2017-11-26 Pobeda Junior L 0-146.3 1268 1266 47.29% 28.45% 24.25%+0.52 -11.4 10
2017-11-26 @ Skopje W 1-046.3 1266 1268 24.25% 28.45% 47.29%-0.52 +11.4 18
2017-11-26 Rabotnicki W 2-147.7 1362 1385 43.96% 28.95% 27.09%+0.37 +7.0 28
2017-11-26 @ Sileks L 1-247.7 1385 1362 27.09% 28.95% 43.96%-0.37 -7.0 20
2017-11-26 Shkupi D 2-258.8 1313 1306 47.75% 28.37% 23.88%+0.54 -0.9 16
2017-11-26 @ Pelister D 2-258.8 1306 1313 23.88% 28.37% 47.75%-0.54 +0.9 20
2017-11-26 Vardar L 0-244.3 1395 1511 30.97% 29.33% 39.70%-0.21 -15.6 25
2017-11-26 @ AP Brera Strumica W 2-044.3 1511 1395 39.70% 29.33% 30.97%+0.21 +15.6 32
2017-12-03 Pelister W 3-031.4 1583 1312 74.77% 17.36% 7.87%+2.17 +5.7 46
2017-12-03 @ Shkendija L 0-331.4 1312 1583 7.87% 17.36% 74.77%-2.17 -5.7 16
2017-12-03 Renova D 1-153.0 1277 1306 43.16% 29.04% 27.80%+0.33 -0.8 19
2017-12-03 @ Pobeda Junior D 1-153.0 1306 1277 27.80% 29.04% 43.16%-0.33 +0.8 18
2017-12-03 Sileks L 0-148.6 1379 1369 48.16% 28.30% 23.54%+0.56 -11.5 25
2017-12-03 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-048.6 1369 1379 23.54% 28.30% 48.16%-0.56 +11.5 31
2017-12-03 Skopje W 3-030.5 1378 1257 60.90% 24.46% 14.64%+1.24 +11.7 23
2017-12-03 @ Rabotnicki L 0-330.5 1257 1378 14.64% 24.46% 60.90%-1.24 -11.7 10
2017-12-03 Vardar W 2-048.1 1307 1526 19.84% 27.18% 52.98%-0.84 +23.5 23
2017-12-03 @ Shkupi L 0-248.1 1526 1307 52.98% 27.18% 19.84%+0.84 -23.5 32
2017-12-10 AP Brera Strumica W 3-141.7 1503 1367 62.43% 23.81% 13.76%+1.34 +6.5 35
2017-12-10 @ Vardar L 1-341.7 1367 1503 13.76% 23.81% 62.43%-1.34 -6.5 25
2017-12-13 Rabotnicki W 1-041.1 1510 1389 60.83% 24.49% 14.68%+1.24 +4.3 38
2017-12-13 @ Vardar L 0-141.1 1389 1510 14.68% 24.49% 60.83%-1.24 -4.3 23
2018-02-14 AP Brera Strumica W 5-243.7 1331 1361 42.94% 29.07% 28.00%+0.32 +15.4 26
2018-02-14 @ Shkupi L 2-543.7 1361 1331 28.00% 29.07% 42.94%-0.32 -15.3 25
2018-02-14 Pelister D 1-153.0 1276 1306 43.00% 29.06% 27.94%+0.32 -0.7 20
2018-02-14 @ Pobeda Junior D 1-153.0 1306 1276 27.94% 29.06% 43.00%-0.32 +0.7 17
2018-02-14 Renova D 0-050.2 1385 1306 56.38% 26.15% 17.47%+0.99 -2.3 24
2018-02-14 @ Rabotnicki D 0-050.2 1306 1385 17.47% 26.15% 56.38%-0.99 +2.3 19
2018-02-14 Vardar D 1-166.6 1589 1514 55.99% 26.28% 17.73%+0.97 -2.0 47
2018-02-14 @ Shkendija D 1-166.6 1514 1589 17.73% 26.28% 55.99%-0.97 +2.0 39
2018-02-17 Sileks D 0-049.2 1309 1381 37.13% 29.44% 33.43%+0.06 -0.2 20
2018-02-17 @ Renova D 0-049.2 1381 1309 33.43% 29.44% 37.13%-0.06 +0.2 32
2018-02-18 Pobeda Junior W 3-029.3 1516 1275 72.18% 18.86% 8.96%+1.98 +6.6 42
2018-02-18 @ Vardar L 0-329.3 1275 1516 8.96% 18.86% 72.18%-1.98 -6.6 20
2018-02-18 Rabotnicki W 3-253.8 1307 1383 36.56% 29.45% 33.99%+0.04 +7.9 20
2018-02-18 @ Pelister L 2-353.8 1383 1307 33.99% 29.45% 36.56%-0.04 -7.9 24
2018-02-18 Shkendija L 0-338.4 1346 1587 18.07% 26.44% 55.49%-0.97 -14.4 26
2018-02-18 @ Shkupi W 3-038.4 1587 1346 55.49% 26.44% 18.07%+0.97 +14.4 50
2018-02-18 Skopje D 0-049.6 1346 1245 58.72% 25.32% 15.96%+1.12 -2.6 26
2018-02-18 @ AP Brera Strumica D 0-049.6 1245 1346 15.96% 25.32% 58.72%-1.12 +2.6 11
2018-02-24 Vardar W 2-156.5 1375 1522 27.10% 28.95% 43.95%-0.40 +10.1 27
2018-02-24 @ Rabotnicki L 1-256.5 1522 1375 43.95% 28.95% 27.10%+0.40 -10.1 42
2018-02-25 AP Brera Strumica W 1-038.8 1601 1343 73.70% 17.99% 8.31%+2.09 +2.2 53
2018-02-25 @ Shkendija L 0-138.8 1343 1601 8.31% 17.99% 73.70%-2.09 -2.2 26
2018-02-25 Renova D 1-152.7 1248 1308 38.77% 29.38% 31.85%+0.14 -0.3 12
2018-02-25 @ Skopje D 1-152.7 1308 1248 31.85% 29.38% 38.77%-0.14 +0.3 21
2018-02-25 Shkupi D 3-361.9 1269 1332 38.46% 29.40% 32.14%+0.12 -0.2 21
2018-02-25 @ Pobeda Junior D 3-361.9 1332 1269 32.14% 29.40% 38.46%-0.12 +0.2 27
2018-03-03 Pobeda Junior W 3-029.2 1604 1269 79.54% 14.46% 6.00%+2.56 +4.1 56
2018-03-03 @ Shkendija L 0-329.2 1269 1604 6.00% 14.46% 79.54%-2.56 -4.1 21
2018-03-04 Rabotnicki D 1-154.2 1332 1385 39.77% 29.33% 30.90%+0.18 -0.4 28
2018-03-04 @ Shkupi D 1-154.2 1385 1332 30.90% 29.33% 39.77%-0.18 +0.4 28
2018-03-04 Renova D 1-153.9 1341 1309 50.92% 27.71% 21.37%+0.70 -1.5 27
2018-03-04 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.9 1309 1341 21.37% 27.71% 50.92%-0.70 +1.5 22
2018-03-04 Sileks L 2-365.0 1512 1381 62.00% 23.99% 14.01%+1.31 -12.6 42
2018-03-04 @ Vardar W 3-265.0 1381 1512 14.01% 23.99% 62.00%-1.31 +12.6 35
2018-03-04 Skopje D 0-049.0 1315 1248 55.06% 26.57% 18.37%+0.92 -2.2 21
2018-03-04 @ Pelister D 0-049.0 1248 1315 18.37% 26.57% 55.06%-0.92 +2.2 13
2018-03-07 Skopje L 0-150.3 1394 1250 63.25% 23.44% 13.31%+1.39 -14.4 35
2018-03-07 @ Sileks W 1-050.3 1250 1394 13.31% 23.44% 63.25%-1.39 +14.4 16
2018-03-10 Pelister W 1-040.1 1310 1313 46.65% 28.56% 24.79%+0.49 +7.0 25
2018-03-10 @ Renova L 0-140.1 1313 1310 24.79% 28.56% 46.65%-0.49 -7.0 21
2018-03-10 Shkendija L 0-243.4 1385 1608 19.59% 27.09% 53.32%-0.85 -10.7 28
2018-03-10 @ Rabotnicki W 2-043.4 1608 1385 53.32% 27.09% 19.59%+0.85 +10.7 59
2018-03-11 AP Brera Strumica D 0-048.4 1265 1339 36.77% 29.45% 33.78%+0.05 -0.2 22
2018-03-11 @ Pobeda Junior D 0-048.4 1339 1265 33.78% 29.45% 36.77%-0.05 +0.2 28
2018-03-11 Shkupi D 1-154.7 1379 1331 52.85% 27.22% 19.94%+0.80 -1.7 36
2018-03-11 @ Sileks D 1-154.7 1331 1379 19.94% 27.22% 52.85%-0.80 +1.7 29
2018-03-11 Vardar D 0-051.2 1264 1500 18.51% 26.64% 54.86%-0.94 +2.1 17
2018-03-11 @ Skopje D 0-051.2 1500 1264 54.86% 26.64% 18.51%+0.94 -2.1 43
2018-03-17 Pelister D 1-153.9 1339 1306 51.15% 27.65% 21.20%+0.71 -1.5 29
2018-03-17 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-153.9 1306 1339 21.20% 27.65% 51.15%-0.71 +1.5 22
2018-03-17 Rabotnicki W 2-041.4 1264 1375 31.76% 29.38% 38.86%-0.17 +18.4 25
2018-03-17 @ Pobeda Junior L 0-241.4 1375 1264 38.86% 29.38% 31.76%+0.17 -18.4 28
2018-03-17 Renova W 1-037.0 1498 1317 66.79% 21.75% 11.46%+1.61 +3.2 46
2018-03-17 @ Vardar L 0-137.0 1317 1498 11.46% 21.75% 66.79%-1.61 -3.2 25
2018-03-17 Sileks W 1-041.2 1618 1378 72.23% 18.83% 8.94%+1.98 +2.4 62
2018-03-17 @ Shkendija L 0-141.2 1378 1618 8.94% 18.83% 72.23%-1.98 -2.4 36
2018-03-18 Skopje L 0-245.1 1333 1266 55.02% 26.59% 18.40%+0.91 -24.2 29
2018-03-18 @ Shkupi W 2-045.1 1266 1333 18.40% 26.59% 55.02%-0.91 +24.2 20
2018-04-01 AP Brera Strumica D 1-154.3 1356 1338 49.28% 28.07% 22.65%+0.62 -1.4 29
2018-04-01 @ Rabotnicki D 1-154.3 1338 1356 22.65% 28.07% 49.28%-0.62 +1.4 30
2018-04-01 Pobeda Junior W 1-037.1 1375 1283 57.88% 25.63% 16.50%+1.07 +4.8 39
2018-04-01 @ Sileks L 0-137.1 1283 1375 16.50% 25.63% 57.88%-1.07 -4.8 25
2018-04-01 Shkendija D 0-056.3 1290 1621 12.44% 22.69% 64.86%-1.52 +3.2 21
2018-04-01 @ Skopje D 0-056.3 1621 1290 64.86% 22.69% 12.44%+1.52 -3.2 63
2018-04-01 Shkupi W 3-141.8 1314 1309 47.61% 28.40% 23.99%+0.54 +11.1 28
2018-04-01 @ Renova L 1-341.8 1309 1314 23.99% 28.40% 47.61%-0.54 -11.1 29
2018-04-01 Vardar D 0-051.7 1307 1501 22.17% 27.94% 49.88%-0.68 +1.6 23
2018-04-01 @ Pelister D 0-051.7 1501 1307 49.88% 27.94% 22.17%+0.68 -1.6 47
2018-04-04 Pelister D 1-154.7 1380 1309 55.53% 26.43% 18.04%+0.94 -2.0 40
2018-04-04 @ Sileks D 1-154.7 1309 1380 18.04% 26.43% 55.53%-0.94 +2.0 24
2018-04-07 Renova W 5-032.4 1618 1325 76.41% 16.38% 7.21%+2.30 +8.2 66
2018-04-07 @ Shkendija L 0-532.4 1325 1618 7.21% 16.38% 76.41%-2.30 -8.2 28
2018-04-07 Sileks W 2-038.8 1355 1378 43.92% 28.95% 27.12%+0.36 +14.1 32
2018-04-07 @ Rabotnicki L 0-238.8 1378 1355 27.12% 28.95% 43.92%-0.36 -14.1 40
2018-04-07 Skopje L 0-145.9 1278 1294 44.88% 28.83% 26.29%+0.41 -10.9 25
2018-04-07 @ Pobeda Junior W 1-045.9 1294 1278 26.29% 28.83% 44.88%-0.41 +10.9 24
2018-04-07 Vardar D 1-156.8 1339 1499 25.67% 28.73% 45.61%-0.47 +1.0 31
2018-04-07 @ AP Brera Strumica D 1-156.8 1499 1339 45.61% 28.73% 25.67%+0.47 -1.0 48
2018-04-15 AP Brera Strumica D 0-049.9 1364 1340 49.91% 27.94% 22.15%+0.65 -1.6 41
2018-04-15 @ Sileks D 0-049.9 1340 1364 22.15% 27.94% 49.91%-0.65 +1.6 32
2018-04-15 Pobeda Junior W 2-143.2 1317 1267 53.07% 27.16% 19.78%+0.81 +5.4 31
2018-04-15 @ Renova L 1-243.2 1267 1317 19.78% 27.16% 53.07%-0.81 -5.4 25
2018-04-15 Rabotnicki L 0-144.9 1305 1369 38.21% 29.41% 32.39%+0.11 -9.6 24
2018-04-15 @ Skopje W 1-044.9 1369 1305 32.39% 29.41% 38.21%-0.11 +9.6 35
2018-04-15 Shkendija L 0-636.8 1311 1626 13.25% 23.39% 63.36%-1.42 -20.0 24
2018-04-15 @ Pelister W 6-036.8 1626 1311 63.36% 23.39% 13.25%+1.42 +20.0 69
2018-04-15 Shkupi D 1-158.2 1498 1298 68.67% 20.78% 10.55%+1.73 -3.2 49
2018-04-15 @ Vardar D 1-158.2 1298 1498 10.55% 20.78% 68.67%-1.73 +3.2 30
2018-04-18 Pobeda Junior D 1-153.2 1291 1262 50.56% 27.79% 21.64%+0.68 -1.5 25
2018-04-18 @ Pelister D 1-153.2 1262 1291 21.64% 27.79% 50.56%-0.68 +1.5 26
2018-04-18 Rabotnicki W 2-148.4 1322 1379 39.35% 29.35% 31.30%+0.16 +7.9 34
2018-04-18 @ Renova L 1-248.4 1379 1322 31.30% 29.35% 39.35%-0.16 -7.9 35
2018-04-18 Shkendija L 2-364.5 1495 1646 26.71% 28.89% 44.40%-0.42 -6.6 49
2018-04-18 @ Vardar W 3-264.5 1646 1495 44.40% 28.89% 26.71%+0.42 +6.6 72
2018-04-18 Shkupi L 1-253.4 1342 1301 52.00% 27.44% 20.56%+0.76 -11.6 32
2018-04-18 @ AP Brera Strumica W 2-153.4 1301 1342 20.56% 27.44% 52.00%-0.76 +11.6 33
2018-04-18 Sileks D 1-153.4 1295 1362 37.81% 29.42% 32.76%+0.09 -0.2 25
2018-04-18 @ Skopje D 1-153.4 1362 1295 32.76% 29.42% 37.81%-0.09 +0.2 42
2018-04-22 AP Brera Strumica L 0-242.2 1295 1330 42.23% 29.14% 28.63%+0.29 -19.6 25
2018-04-22 @ Skopje W 2-042.2 1330 1295 28.63% 29.14% 42.23%-0.29 +19.6 35
2018-04-22 Pelister W 4-031.4 1371 1289 56.71% 26.04% 17.25%+1.01 +18.0 38
2018-04-22 @ Rabotnicki L 0-431.4 1289 1371 17.25% 26.04% 56.71%-1.01 -18.0 25
2018-04-22 Renova W 1-039.5 1362 1330 50.96% 27.70% 21.34%+0.70 +6.1 45
2018-04-22 @ Sileks L 0-139.5 1330 1362 21.34% 27.70% 50.96%-0.70 -6.1 34
2018-04-22 Shkupi W 2-034.4 1653 1312 79.89% 14.24% 5.87%+2.59 +2.7 75
2018-04-22 @ Shkendija L 0-234.4 1312 1653 5.87% 14.24% 79.89%-2.59 -2.7 33
2018-04-22 Vardar W 2-046.5 1263 1488 19.34% 26.99% 53.67%-0.87 +23.7 29
2018-04-22 @ Pobeda Junior L 0-246.5 1488 1263 53.67% 26.99% 19.34%+0.87 -23.7 49
2018-04-25 Pobeda Junior W 3-141.0 1310 1287 49.80% 27.96% 22.23%+0.64 +10.4 36
2018-04-25 @ Shkupi L 1-341.0 1287 1310 22.23% 27.96% 49.80%-0.64 -10.4 29
2018-04-25 Rabotnicki L 0-152.7 1465 1389 56.05% 26.26% 17.69%+0.97 -13.0 49
2018-04-25 @ Vardar W 1-052.7 1389 1465 17.69% 26.26% 56.05%-0.97 +13.0 41
2018-04-25 Shkendija D 2-269.2 1350 1655 13.79% 23.83% 62.38%-1.36 +2.0 36
2018-04-25 @ AP Brera Strumica D 2-269.2 1655 1350 62.38% 23.83% 13.79%+1.36 -2.0 76
2018-04-25 Sileks W 2-149.5 1271 1369 33.52% 29.44% 37.03%-0.09 +8.9 28
2018-04-25 @ Pelister L 1-249.5 1369 1271 37.03% 29.44% 33.52%+0.09 -8.9 45
2018-04-25 Skopje W 2-034.7 1324 1275 52.96% 27.19% 19.85%+0.81 +10.8 37
2018-04-25 @ Renova L 0-234.7 1275 1324 19.85% 27.19% 52.96%-0.81 -10.8 25
2018-04-29 AP Brera Strumica W 2-146.6 1335 1352 44.73% 28.85% 26.42%+0.40 +6.9 40
2018-04-29 @ Renova L 1-246.6 1352 1335 26.42% 28.85% 44.73%-0.40 -6.9 36
2018-04-29 Pelister W 4-034.2 1264 1280 44.88% 28.83% 26.29%+0.41 +26.1 28
2018-04-29 @ Skopje L 0-434.2 1280 1264 26.29% 28.83% 44.88%-0.41 -26.1 28
2018-04-29 Shkendija W 2-162.6 1276 1653 10.29% 20.49% 69.21%-1.80 +14.5 32
2018-04-29 @ Pobeda Junior L 1-262.6 1653 1276 69.21% 20.49% 10.29%+1.80 -14.5 76
2018-04-29 Shkupi D 1-155.3 1402 1320 56.72% 26.03% 17.24%+1.01 -2.1 42
2018-04-29 @ Rabotnicki D 1-155.3 1320 1402 17.24% 26.03% 56.72%-1.01 +2.1 37
2018-04-29 Vardar L 0-242.7 1360 1452 34.30% 29.46% 36.24%-0.06 -16.8 45
2018-04-29 @ Sileks W 2-042.7 1452 1360 36.24% 29.46% 34.30%+0.06 +16.8 52
2018-05-02 Pobeda Junior W 1-038.2 1345 1291 53.54% 27.03% 19.44%+0.84 +5.6 39
2018-05-02 @ AP Brera Strumica L 0-138.2 1291 1345 19.44% 27.03% 53.54%-0.84 -5.6 32
2018-05-02 Rabotnicki W 3-037.4 1639 1400 72.06% 18.93% 9.01%+1.97 +6.7 79
2018-05-02 @ Shkendija L 0-337.4 1400 1639 9.01% 18.93% 72.06%-1.97 -6.7 42
2018-05-02 Renova W 3-253.4 1254 1342 34.86% 29.46% 35.67%-0.03 +8.2 31
2018-05-02 @ Pelister L 2-353.4 1342 1254 35.67% 29.46% 34.86%+0.03 -8.2 40
2018-05-02 Sileks D 1-153.7 1322 1343 44.22% 28.92% 26.86%+0.38 -0.9 38
2018-05-02 @ Shkupi D 1-153.7 1343 1322 26.86% 28.92% 44.22%-0.38 +0.9 46
2018-05-02 Skopje L 0-152.4 1468 1290 66.58% 21.85% 11.56%+1.60 -14.9 52
2018-05-02 @ Vardar W 1-052.4 1290 1468 11.56% 21.85% 66.58%-1.60 +14.9 31
2018-05-06 AP Brera Strumica L 1-345.3 1262 1350 34.80% 29.46% 35.74%-0.04 -14.7 31
2018-05-06 @ Pelister W 3-145.3 1350 1262 35.74% 29.46% 34.80%+0.04 +14.7 42
2018-05-06 Pobeda Junior W 4-242.4 1393 1285 59.54% 25.00% 15.45%+1.17 +6.6 45
2018-05-06 @ Rabotnicki L 2-442.4 1285 1393 15.45% 25.00% 59.54%-1.17 -6.6 32
2018-05-06 Shkendija L 1-346.0 1344 1646 14.00% 23.99% 62.01%-1.34 -6.6 46
2018-05-06 @ Sileks W 3-146.0 1646 1344 62.01% 23.99% 14.00%+1.34 +6.6 82
2018-05-06 Shkupi D 1-153.4 1305 1321 44.85% 28.83% 26.32%+0.41 -0.9 32
2018-05-06 @ Skopje D 1-153.4 1321 1305 26.32% 28.83% 44.85%-0.41 +0.9 39
2018-05-06 Vardar D 1-155.4 1334 1454 30.50% 29.30% 40.19%-0.23 +0.5 41
2018-05-06 @ Renova D 1-155.4 1454 1334 40.19% 29.30% 30.50%+0.23 -0.5 53
2018-05-09 Pelister W 5-238.7 1322 1247 55.94% 26.29% 17.76%+0.96 +10.4 42
2018-05-09 @ Shkupi L 2-538.7 1247 1322 17.76% 26.29% 55.94%-0.96 -10.4 31
2018-05-13 Pelister L 2-361.8 1453 1237 70.07% 20.03% 9.90%+1.83 -13.8 53
2018-05-13 @ Vardar W 3-261.8 1237 1453 9.90% 20.03% 70.07%-1.83 +13.8 34
2018-05-13 Rabotnicki L 0-147.4 1365 1400 42.36% 29.12% 28.51%+0.29 -10.4 42
2018-05-13 @ AP Brera Strumica W 1-047.4 1400 1365 28.51% 29.12% 42.36%-0.29 +10.4 48
2018-05-13 Renova W 3-035.0 1333 1334 46.74% 28.55% 24.71%+0.50 +19.0 45
2018-05-13 @ Shkupi L 0-335.0 1334 1333 24.71% 28.55% 46.74%-0.50 -19.0 41
2018-05-13 Sileks W 1-042.3 1279 1337 39.07% 29.37% 31.56%+0.15 +8.4 35
2018-05-13 @ Pobeda Junior L 0-142.3 1337 1279 31.56% 29.37% 39.07%-0.15 -8.4 46
2018-05-13 Skopje W 3-139.2 1652 1304 80.41% 13.91% 5.68%+2.63 +2.3 85
2018-05-13 @ Shkendija L 1-339.2 1304 1652 5.68% 13.91% 80.41%-2.63 -2.3 32
2018-05-16 AP Brera Strumica W 3-249.4 1439 1355 57.01% 25.93% 17.05%+1.02 +4.5 56
2018-05-16 @ Vardar L 2-349.4 1355 1439 17.05% 25.93% 57.01%-1.02 -4.5 42
2018-05-16 Pobeda Junior W 1-039.2 1302 1287 48.83% 28.16% 23.00%+0.60 +6.5 35
2018-05-16 @ Skopje L 0-139.2 1287 1302 23.00% 28.16% 48.83%-0.60 -6.6 35
2018-05-16 Rabotnicki D 0-049.9 1329 1410 35.80% 29.46% 34.74%+0.01 -0.1 47
2018-05-16 @ Sileks D 0-049.9 1410 1329 34.74% 29.46% 35.80%-0.01 +0.1 49
2018-05-16 Shkendija L 0-336.7 1315 1654 11.99% 22.28% 65.73%-1.57 -9.4 41
2018-05-16 @ Renova W 3-036.7 1654 1315 65.73% 22.28% 11.99%+1.57 +9.4 88
2018-05-16 Shkupi L 0-239.4 1251 1352 33.06% 29.43% 37.51%-0.11 -16.4 34
2018-05-16 @ Pelister W 2-039.4 1352 1251 37.51% 29.43% 33.06%+0.11 +16.4 48
2018-05-20 Pelister W 4-027.7 1664 1234 85.41% 10.67% 3.92%+3.13 +3.2 91
2018-05-20 @ Shkendija L 0-427.7 1234 1664 3.92% 10.67% 85.41%-3.13 -3.2 34
2018-05-20 Renova W 1-040.8 1281 1306 43.63% 28.99% 27.38%+0.35 +7.5 38
2018-05-20 @ Pobeda Junior L 0-140.8 1306 1281 27.38% 28.99% 43.63%-0.35 -7.5 41
2018-05-20 Sileks L 1-253.2 1350 1329 49.66% 27.99% 22.34%+0.64 -11.1 42
2018-05-20 @ AP Brera Strumica W 2-153.2 1329 1350 22.34% 27.99% 49.66%-0.64 +11.1 50
2018-05-20 Skopje W 3-247.5 1410 1309 58.87% 25.26% 15.87%+1.13 +4.1 52
2018-05-20 @ Rabotnicki L 2-347.5 1309 1410 15.87% 25.26% 58.87%-1.13 -4.1 35
2018-05-20 Vardar W 4-145.1 1368 1444 36.62% 29.45% 33.93%+0.04 +20.4 51
2018-05-20 @ Shkupi L 1-445.1 1444 1368 33.93% 29.45% 36.62%-0.04 -20.5 56

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2018-05-13 9.90% Pelister 1237 3 @ Vardar 1453 2
2 2018-04-29 10.29% @ Pobeda Junior 1276 2 Shkendija 1653 1
3 2018-05-02 11.56% Skopje 1290 1 @ Vardar 1468 0
4 2018-03-07 13.31% Skopje 1250 1 @ Sileks 1394 0
5 2018-03-04 14.01% Sileks 1381 3 @ Vardar 1512 2
6 2017-11-05 15.24% Pobeda Junior 1290 1 @ AP Brera Strumica 1401 0
7 2018-04-25 17.69% Rabotnicki 1389 1 @ Vardar 1465 0
8 2018-03-18 18.40% Skopje 1266 2 @ Shkupi 1333 0
9 2018-04-22 19.34% @ Pobeda Junior 1263 2 Vardar 1488 0
10 2017-09-17 19.45% Shkupi 1292 1 @ Sileks 1345 0
11 2017-10-22 19.77% @ Pobeda Junior 1295 1 Vardar 1515 0
12 2017-12-03 19.84% @ Shkupi 1307 2 Vardar 1526 0
13 2018-04-18 20.56% Shkupi 1301 2 @ AP Brera Strumica 1342 1
14 2017-08-26 22.33% Pelister 1358 4 @ Sileks 1379 1
15 2018-05-20 22.34% Sileks 1329 2 @ AP Brera Strumica 1350 1
16 2017-08-19 22.84% Sileks 1347 3 @ Renova 1364 0
17 2017-12-03 23.54% Sileks 1369 1 @ AP Brera Strumica 1379 0
18 2017-11-26 24.25% Pobeda Junior 1266 1 @ Skopje 1268 0
19 2017-10-25 24.48% Sileks 1334 2 @ Pelister 1335 1
20 2017-10-25 25.76% @ Rabotnicki 1344 3 Vardar 1503 1
21 2018-04-07 26.29% Skopje 1294 1 @ Pobeda Junior 1278 0
22 2018-02-24 27.10% @ Rabotnicki 1375 2 Vardar 1522 1
23 2017-08-13 27.17% Pelister 1349 2 @ Pobeda Junior 1325 1
24 2017-09-20 27.55% Rabotnicki 1337 4 @ Pobeda Junior 1310 2
25 2018-05-13 28.51% Rabotnicki 1400 1 @ AP Brera Strumica 1365 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-08-19 32.02 Sileks 3 1347 22.84% @ Renova 0 1364 49.04% 28.12%
2 2017-08-26 27.29 Pelister 4 1358 22.33% @ Sileks 1 1379 49.68% 27.99%
3 2018-04-29 26.14 @ Skopje 4 1264 44.88% Pelister 0 1280 26.29% 28.83%
4 2018-03-18 24.21 Skopje 2 1266 18.40% @ Shkupi 0 1333 55.02% 26.59%
5 2018-04-22 23.73 @ Pobeda Junior 2 1263 19.34% Vardar 0 1488 53.67% 26.99%
6 2017-12-03 23.48 @ Shkupi 2 1307 19.84% Vardar 0 1526 52.98% 27.18%
7 2018-05-20 20.45 @ Shkupi 4 1368 36.62% Vardar 1 1444 33.93% 29.45%
8 2018-04-15 20.02 Shkendija 6 1626 63.36% @ Pelister 0 1311 13.25% 23.39%
9 2017-09-17 19.82 Shkendija 6 1490 42.09% @ Rabotnicki 2 1356 28.76% 29.15%
10 2017-08-21 19.71 Shkendija 3 1468 45.45% @ Shkupi 0 1309 25.80% 28.75%
11 2017-11-16 19.68 @ Rabotnicki 4 1364 54.27% Pobeda Junior 0 1304 18.91% 26.81%
12 2018-04-22 19.59 AP Brera Strumica 2 1330 28.63% @ Skopje 0 1295 42.23% 29.14%
13 2017-11-25 19.41 Shkendija 6 1564 55.25% @ Renova 1 1325 18.24% 26.52%
14 2017-11-19 19.40 @ Shkupi 4 1286 39.08% Renova 1 1344 31.56% 29.37%
15 2018-05-13 19.04 @ Shkupi 3 1333 46.74% Renova 0 1334 24.71% 28.55%
16 2017-11-19 18.41 Sileks 2 1344 31.75% @ Pobeda Junior 0 1284 38.87% 29.38%
17 2018-03-17 18.40 @ Pobeda Junior 2 1264 31.76% Rabotnicki 0 1375 38.86% 29.38%
18 2018-04-22 18.03 @ Rabotnicki 4 1371 56.71% Pelister 0 1289 17.25% 26.04%
19 2017-10-25 17.98 @ Rabotnicki 3 1344 25.76% Vardar 1 1503 45.49% 28.74%
20 2017-10-25 17.57 @ Renova 5 1337 52.23% Skopje 1 1294 20.39% 27.38%
21 2018-04-29 16.83 Vardar 2 1452 36.24% @ Sileks 0 1360 34.30% 29.46%
22 2018-05-16 16.39 Shkupi 2 1352 37.51% @ Pelister 0 1251 33.06% 29.43%
23 2017-11-16 15.77 Vardar 5 1492 41.84% @ Renova 2 1360 28.99% 29.17%
24 2017-11-26 15.62 Vardar 2 1511 39.70% @ AP Brera Strumica 0 1395 30.97% 29.33%
25 2017-09-20 15.51 Rabotnicki 4 1337 27.55% @ Pobeda Junior 2 1310 43.44% 29.01%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-04-25 69.2 @ AP Brera Strumica 2 1350 13.79% Shkendija 2 1655 62.38% 23.83%
2 2017-09-10 67.0 @ Shkendija 3 1492 67.12% Pobeda Junior 3 1308 11.30% 21.59%
3 2018-02-14 66.6 @ Shkendija 1 1589 55.99% Vardar 1 1514 17.73% 26.28%
4 2018-03-04 65.0 Sileks 3 1381 14.01% @ Vardar 2 1512 62.00% 23.99%
5 2018-04-18 64.5 Shkendija 3 1646 44.40% @ Vardar 2 1495 26.71% 28.89%
6 2018-04-29 62.6 @ Pobeda Junior 2 1276 10.29% Shkendija 1 1653 69.21% 20.49%
7 2017-10-25 62.4 @ AP Brera Strumica 3 1406 28.61% Shkendija 2 1541 42.25% 29.14%
8 2018-02-25 61.9 @ Pobeda Junior 3 1269 38.46% Shkupi 3 1332 32.14% 29.40%
9 2018-05-13 61.8 Pelister 3 1237 9.90% @ Vardar 2 1453 70.07% 20.03%
10 2017-09-17 59.2 @ Pobeda Junior 2 1310 36.98% AP Brera Strumica 2 1383 33.57% 29.44%
11 2017-11-26 58.8 @ Pelister 2 1313 47.75% Shkupi 2 1306 23.88% 28.37%
12 2018-04-15 58.2 @ Vardar 1 1498 68.67% Shkupi 1 1298 10.55% 20.78%
13 2017-10-14 58.1 @ Vardar 4 1504 41.21% Shkendija 2 1546 29.56% 29.23%
14 2017-11-16 57.9 AP Brera Strumica 4 1387 32.21% @ Pelister 3 1324 38.39% 29.40%
15 2018-04-07 56.8 @ AP Brera Strumica 1 1339 25.67% Vardar 1 1499 45.61% 28.73%
16 2018-02-24 56.5 @ Rabotnicki 2 1375 27.10% Vardar 1 1522 43.95% 28.95%
17 2018-04-01 56.3 @ Skopje 0 1290 12.44% Shkendija 0 1621 64.86% 22.69%
18 2017-09-17 56.1 @ Skopje 1 1317 24.23% Vardar 1 1490 47.32% 28.45%
19 2017-11-19 55.6 @ AP Brera Strumica 1 1396 48.49% Rabotnicki 1 1384 23.28% 28.23%
20 2018-05-06 55.4 @ Renova 1 1334 30.50% Vardar 1 1454 40.19% 29.30%
21 2018-04-29 55.3 @ Rabotnicki 1 1402 56.72% Shkupi 1 1320 17.24% 26.03%
22 2018-03-11 54.7 @ Sileks 1 1379 52.85% Shkupi 1 1331 19.94% 27.22%
23 2018-04-04 54.7 @ Sileks 1 1380 55.53% Pelister 1 1309 18.04% 26.43%
24 2017-08-20 54.5 @ Pelister 1 1359 46.25% Rabotnicki 1 1364 25.12% 28.63%
25 2018-04-01 54.3 @ Rabotnicki 1 1356 49.28% AP Brera Strumica 1 1338 22.65% 28.07%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2018-05-20 27.7 @ Shkendija 4 1664 85.41% Pelister 0 1234 3.92% 10.67%
2 2017-11-19 28.8 @ Shkendija 4 1557 75.49% Skopje 0 1276 7.57% 16.94%
3 2018-03-03 29.2 @ Shkendija 3 1604 79.54% Pobeda Junior 0 1269 6.00% 14.46%
4 2018-02-18 29.3 @ Vardar 3 1516 72.18% Pobeda Junior 0 1275 8.96% 18.86%
5 2017-11-05 29.9 @ Vardar 3 1484 68.59% Skopje 0 1284 10.59% 20.83%
6 2017-12-03 30.5 @ Rabotnicki 3 1378 60.90% Skopje 0 1257 14.64% 24.46%
7 2017-08-20 31.0 @ Vardar 4 1470 64.40% Pobeda Junior 0 1315 12.69% 22.92%
8 2017-12-03 31.4 @ Shkendija 3 1583 74.77% Pelister 0 1312 7.87% 17.36%
9 2018-04-22 31.4 @ Rabotnicki 4 1371 56.71% Pelister 0 1289 17.25% 26.04%
10 2017-09-20 32.2 @ Shkendija 5 1510 66.49% Sileks 0 1333 11.61% 21.90%
11 2017-11-16 32.3 @ Rabotnicki 4 1364 54.27% Pobeda Junior 0 1304 18.91% 26.81%
12 2018-04-07 32.4 @ Shkendija 5 1618 76.41% Renova 0 1325 7.21% 16.38%
13 2018-04-29 34.2 @ Skopje 4 1264 44.88% Pelister 0 1280 26.29% 28.83%
14 2017-09-27 34.3 @ Shkendija 2 1530 68.59% Renova 0 1330 10.59% 20.83%
15 2017-10-14 34.4 @ AP Brera Strumica 2 1397 57.33% Shkupi 0 1309 16.85% 25.82%
16 2018-04-22 34.4 @ Shkendija 2 1653 79.89% Shkupi 0 1312 5.87% 14.24%
17 2018-04-25 34.7 @ Renova 2 1324 52.96% Skopje 0 1275 19.85% 27.19%
18 2018-05-13 35.0 @ Shkupi 3 1333 46.74% Renova 0 1334 24.71% 28.55%
19 2017-10-22 35.2 @ Shkendija 4 1535 71.69% Shkupi 1 1300 9.17% 19.14%
20 2017-08-20 35.8 @ AP Brera Strumica 2 1371 52.37% Skopje 0 1327 20.29% 27.35%
21 2017-10-25 36.1 @ Renova 5 1337 52.23% Skopje 1 1294 20.39% 27.38%
22 2017-10-01 36.7 @ Vardar 1 1500 67.50% Shkupi 0 1313 11.11% 21.39%
23 2018-05-16 36.7 Shkendija 3 1654 65.73% @ Renova 0 1315 11.99% 22.28%
24 2017-11-19 36.8 @ Vardar 1 1508 67.90% Pelister 0 1316 10.92% 21.19%
25 2018-04-15 36.8 Shkendija 6 1626 63.36% @ Pelister 0 1311 13.25% 23.39%